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Tracking Lisa – 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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Tracking Lisa – 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Lisa
  • Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:37:50 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Advisory Number 5 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Advisory Number 5
    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 222037
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Advisory Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102026
    500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2026

    ...JOSEPHINE BECOMES A POWERFUL EXTRATROPICAL LOW...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...40.0N 65.8W
    ABOUT 235 MI...380 KM ESE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
    ABOUT 335 MI...540 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...988 MB...29.18 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
    Josephine was located near latitude 40.0 North, longitude 65.8 West.
    The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 17 mph
    (28 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue with a faster
    forward speed tonight. A gradual turn toward the east is forecast on
    Friday and into the weekend. On the forecast track, Josephine should
    move away from the United States and remain south of Nova Scotia and
    Newfoundland during the next couple of days.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 65 mph (100 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Strengthening is forecast through tonight, and Josephine is
    expected to become a powerful extratropical cyclone with
    hurricane-force winds tonight or early Friday.

    Winds of 40 mph (60 km/h) extend outward up to 415 miles (665 km)
    from the center. NOAA buoy 44001 located north of the center
    recently reported sustained winds of 49 mph (79 km/h) and a wind
    gust of 58 mph (94 km/h).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 988 mb (29.18 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    WIND: Gale-force winds are possible in gusts along portions of the
    northeastern United States coast through this evening. See products
    issued by your local National Weather Service office for more
    details.

    COASTAL FLOODING: Minor to locally moderate coastal flooding is
    ongoing along portions of the U.S. Mid-Atlantic coast and will
    continue through the rest of the week around times of high tide.
    Please refer to products issued by your local National Weather
    Service forecast office for more information.

    SURF: Large swells generated by Josephine are affecting much of the
    eastern seaboard of the United States and portions of Atlantic
    Canada. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and
    rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
    weather office.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at5.shtml?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
NHC Forecast Advisory on Lisa
  • Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:37:22 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Forecast/... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Forecast/Advisory Number 5
    000
    WTNT25 KNHC 222037
    TCMAT5

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOSEPHINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL102026
    2100 UTC THU OCT 22 2026

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 65.8W AT 22/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 15 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 988 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 55 KT WITH GUSTS TO 65 KT.
    50 KT....... 0NE 0SE 100SW 110NW.
    34 KT.......360NE 110SE 170SW 240NW.
    4 M SEAS....210NE 240SE 540SW 240NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.0N 65.8W AT 22/2100Z
    AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.5N 66.8W

    FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 41.3N 62.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 0SE 60SW 60NW.
    50 KT... 0NE 60SE 90SW 110NW.
    34 KT...360NE 130SE 180SW 240NW.

    FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 42.9N 58.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 110NW.
    34 KT...390NE 160SE 190SW 240NW.

    FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 43.5N 55.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 60NE 60SE 90SW 90NW.
    34 KT...320NE 200SE 190SW 240NW.

    FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 43.8N 52.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 60SE 60SW 60NW.
    34 KT...240NE 190SE 190SW 220NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 43.6N 48.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 180SE 180SW 200NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.0N 65.8W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
NHC Discussion on Lisa
  • Thu, 22 Oct 2026 20:38:47 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Discussion Number 5 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Discussion Number 5
    000
    WTNT45 KNHC 222038
    TCDAT5

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Josephine Discussion Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL102026
    500 PM AST Thu Oct 22 2026

    The convective cloud pattern of Josephine now resembles that of a
    warm frontal band, with little evidence of tropical-cyclone like
    curvature. In addition, the circulation center is becoming
    elongated and cold-air clouds are increasing in the southern
    semicircle. Based on these developments and the earlier
    scatterometer pass showing a developing frontal boundary, Josephine
    has become an extratropical cyclone. The initial intensity is set
    at 55 kt, and this could be conservative.

    The initial motion is now faster toward the northeast or 055/15 kt.
    Josephine should move generally northeastward with some increase
    in forward speed tonight, followed by an eastward turn as it
    becomes well embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies. On the
    forecast track, the center of Josephine will move away from the New
    England states this evening and pass south of Nova Scotia and
    Newfoundland tonight and Saturday. The guidance is again tightly
    clustered, and the new forecast track is similar to the previous
    forecast.

    Josephine is expected to strengthen as an extratropical low tonight
    due to the influence of an amplifying mid- to upper-level trough
    over eastern Canada and the New England states, with winds reaching
    hurricane force. After tonight the global dynamical models are in
    good agreement that the cyclone should steadily weaken, and they
    forecast Josephine to dissipate by 72 h as it is absorbed by a new
    low pressure area developing to its northeast. The new intensity
    forecast is based mainly on the global models and again has only
    minor adjustments from the last forecast. The wind radii forecasts
    have also been revised based on the global model forecasts.

    This will be the last advisory on Josephine issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
    Please also see products from local National Weather Service
    offices and Environment Canada for more information regarding the
    effects of Josephine in coastal areas.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 22/2100Z 40.0N 65.8W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    12H 23/0600Z 41.3N 62.7W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 23/1800Z 42.9N 58.6W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    36H 24/0600Z 43.5N 55.9W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    48H 24/1800Z 43.8N 52.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    60H 25/0600Z 43.6N 48.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    72H 25/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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