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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 16:39:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041638
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Atlantic. Its axis
is along 27N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 07N between 26.5W and
29W.
A tropical wave is along 53.5W, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern
end of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 19N between 47W and
56W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 69W, south of 19N, moving west at around 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 05N41W. The ITCZ extends from 05N41W to
09N57W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 4N to 19N
and east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate convection
over the central and NE Gulf. A ridge dominates most of the Gulf
region supporting gentle to moderate winds. Seas are generally 1
to 3 ft.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E winds
and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
portions of central America.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend, but increase to
fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail through
early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered to numerous moderate convection prevails north of 27N
and west of 77W in association to a mid level trough. A weak low
pressure of 1016 mb is located near 33N57W. A surface trough
extends from the low center to near 29N64W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high pressure
remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near 30N71W. Its
associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds are seen over the waters west of 74W. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located
SE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and away from
any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across
the area through early next week, generating a weak pressure
pattern. This will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas across the area.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 16:39:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041638
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Atlantic. Its axis
is along 27N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 07N between 26.5W and
29W.
A tropical wave is along 53.5W, south of 20N, moving W at around
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern
end of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 19N between 47W and
56W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 69W, south of 19N, moving west at around 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 05N41W. The ITCZ extends from 05N41W to
09N57W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 4N to 19N
and east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate convection
over the central and NE Gulf. A ridge dominates most of the Gulf
region supporting gentle to moderate winds. Seas are generally 1
to 3 ft.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E winds
and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
portions of central America.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend, but increase to
fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail through
early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered to numerous moderate convection prevails north of 27N
and west of 77W in association to a mid level trough. A weak low
pressure of 1016 mb is located near 33N57W. A surface trough
extends from the low center to near 29N64W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high pressure
remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near 30N71W. Its
associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds are seen over the waters west of 74W. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1023 mb located
SE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and away from
any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across
the area through early next week, generating a weak pressure
pattern. This will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas across the area.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 05:14:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 04 Sep 2026 17:50:21 GMT - Fri, 04 Sep 2026 17:14:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 041714
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 16:17:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
515
NOUS42 KNHC 041617
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1220 PM EDT FRI 04 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-096
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE LOWELL
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
A. 05/1730Z,2330Z A. 06/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0612E LOWELL B. NOAA3 0712E LOWELL
C. 05/1530Z C. 05/2000Z
D. 13.6N 162.8W D. 13.8N 163.3W
E. 05/1700Z TO 05/2330Z E. 05/2130Z TO 06/0130Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 77
A. 06/0000Z A. 06/0530Z,1130Z
B. NOAA9 0812E LOWELL B. AFXXX 0912E LOWELL
C. 05/2100Z C. 06/0330Z
D. NA D. 14.1N 163.6W
E. NA E. 06/0530Z TO 06/1130Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT FIVE - NOAA 43
A. 06/1200Z
B. NOAA3 1012E LOWELL
C. 06/0800Z
D. 14.5N 163.8W
E. 06/0930Z TO 06/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES.
B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO LOWELL FOR
FOR 07/0000Z AND 07/1200Z, DEPARTING PHKO AT 06/2000Z AND
07/0800Z, RESPECTIVELY.
C. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND HURRICANE
LOWELL FOR 07/0000Z, DEPARTING KHNL AT 06/2100Z.
3. REMARK: DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 06/1200Z
SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN
THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT
1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf