2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 10 Dec 2025 17:20:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 101720
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Dec 10 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1717 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 08N13.5W, and
    continues southwestward to 07N16W, where it transitions to the
    ITCZ to 02N31W to 02N36W and to near 01.5N46.5W. Numerous
    moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 01N to 07N
    between 22W and 41W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from
    05S to 01N between 25W and 36W. Similar convection is found from
    the Equator to 05N between 10W to 22W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A trough is analyzed over the western Gulf. The stalled frontal
    boundary that extends from western Cuba to inland the Yucatan
    Peninsula has dissipated. A trough is now analyzed in the same
    area. Otherwise, high pressure prevails across the Gulf. Moderate
    northeast winds are concentrated over the southeastern Gulf. Seas
    of around 6 ft in residual NE swell are over these waters. Light
    to gentle anticyclonic winds are present over the remainder of the
    basin, except offshore the Texas coast, where moderate south to
    southwest winds are present. Seas are 2 to 5 ft across the rest
    of the of the Gulf, except in the NE Gulf where seas are 3 ft or
    less.

    For the forecast, a weak cold front will quickly push across the
    E Gulf tonight into tomorrow before dissipating by Fri. Conditions
    across the entire Gulf will be quiescent for next few days as
    subtle high pressure prevails. Looking ahead, a strong cold front
    should reach the N waters on Sun or Sun night with building winds
    and seas behind the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front stretches southwestward from the Great Bahama
    Bank to western Cuba, where it transition to a surface trough that
    extends to the Yucatan Channel into the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Isolated weak showers are possible near the trough. A trough is
    analyzed over the NE part of the basin. The latest scatterometer
    satellite data passes indicate fresh to strong trade winds present
    over south-central Caribbean waters while moderate to fresh trade
    winds are elsewhere east of about 80W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with
    the fresh to strong trade winds, 5 to 7 ft elsewhere over the
    central Caribbean and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere east of 80W. Light and
    variable winds are west of 80W along with seas of 2 to 4 ft in
    southeast swell, except for higher seas of 4 to 6 ft in a north to
    northeast swell between the western tip of Cuba and the northeast
    part of the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, a moderate pressure gradient between the
    Bermuda- Azores High and the Colombian Low will continue to
    produce widespread fresh to strong trades over the central
    Caribbean for the next several days. Similarly, trades over the
    tropical North Atlantic will generally be fresh to strong with
    seas to 11 ft in large E swell through the weekend. Some of this
    large swell will also funnel through the Atlantic passages in the
    Lesser Antilles.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic southwestward
    to 31N48W and to 26N73W, where it continues as a stationary front
    to the central Bahamas and to western Cuba. Moderate SW winds and
    seas 8 to 11 ft are found along the front. Satellite imagery
    reveals a large area of scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection along and north of the frontal boundary between 60W and
    74W. Elsewhere, a 1025 mb high pressure near 27N38W is the
    dominate feature for the central and eastern Atlantic areas. Its
    associated pressure gradient is generally providing for gentle NE
    to E winds. Seas of 8 to 10 ft in long- period north swell is
    mixing with an east swell component south of 23N and east of the
    Lesser Antilles, where fresh to locally strong trade winds are
    quite expansive in coverage. Gentle to moderate winds are over the
    remainder of the Atlantic basin along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned frontal boundary will
    dissipate late tonight. Fresh to strong SW to W winds will develop
    north of the Bahamas tonight ahead of our next cold front. The
    new front should emerge off of the Florida/Georgia coast late
    tonight and extend from near 31N75W to the Florida Straits
    tomorrow morning, moving to 31N60W to the Turks and Caicos Fri
    morning, and dissipating in our NE waters from 31N55W to 27N60W
    Sat morning. Winds north of 27N both ahead and behind the cold
    front will be fresh to strong on Thu and Fri. Additionally, 8-10
    ft seas due to mixed SE and N swell will impact the waters south
    of 25N east of 65W tomorrow and extending through the weekend.
    Winds will improve across forecast waters Fri night through the
    weekend.

    $$ KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 10 Dec 2025 17:20:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 101720
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Dec 10 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1717 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 08N13.5W, and
    continues southwestward to 07N16W, where it transitions to the
    ITCZ to 02N31W to 02N36W and to near 01.5N46.5W. Numerous
    moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 01N to 07N
    between 22W and 41W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from
    05S to 01N between 25W and 36W. Similar convection is found from
    the Equator to 05N between 10W to 22W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A trough is analyzed over the western Gulf. The stalled frontal
    boundary that extends from western Cuba to inland the Yucatan
    Peninsula has dissipated. A trough is now analyzed in the same
    area. Otherwise, high pressure prevails across the Gulf. Moderate
    northeast winds are concentrated over the southeastern Gulf. Seas
    of around 6 ft in residual NE swell are over these waters. Light
    to gentle anticyclonic winds are present over the remainder of the
    basin, except offshore the Texas coast, where moderate south to
    southwest winds are present. Seas are 2 to 5 ft across the rest
    of the of the Gulf, except in the NE Gulf where seas are 3 ft or
    less.

    For the forecast, a weak cold front will quickly push across the
    E Gulf tonight into tomorrow before dissipating by Fri. Conditions
    across the entire Gulf will be quiescent for next few days as
    subtle high pressure prevails. Looking ahead, a strong cold front
    should reach the N waters on Sun or Sun night with building winds
    and seas behind the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front stretches southwestward from the Great Bahama
    Bank to western Cuba, where it transition to a surface trough that
    extends to the Yucatan Channel into the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Isolated weak showers are possible near the trough. A trough is
    analyzed over the NE part of the basin. The latest scatterometer
    satellite data passes indicate fresh to strong trade winds present
    over south-central Caribbean waters while moderate to fresh trade
    winds are elsewhere east of about 80W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with
    the fresh to strong trade winds, 5 to 7 ft elsewhere over the
    central Caribbean and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere east of 80W. Light and
    variable winds are west of 80W along with seas of 2 to 4 ft in
    southeast swell, except for higher seas of 4 to 6 ft in a north to
    northeast swell between the western tip of Cuba and the northeast
    part of the Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, a moderate pressure gradient between the
    Bermuda- Azores High and the Colombian Low will continue to
    produce widespread fresh to strong trades over the central
    Caribbean for the next several days. Similarly, trades over the
    tropical North Atlantic will generally be fresh to strong with
    seas to 11 ft in large E swell through the weekend. Some of this
    large swell will also funnel through the Atlantic passages in the
    Lesser Antilles.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic southwestward
    to 31N48W and to 26N73W, where it continues as a stationary front
    to the central Bahamas and to western Cuba. Moderate SW winds and
    seas 8 to 11 ft are found along the front. Satellite imagery
    reveals a large area of scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection along and north of the frontal boundary between 60W and
    74W. Elsewhere, a 1025 mb high pressure near 27N38W is the
    dominate feature for the central and eastern Atlantic areas. Its
    associated pressure gradient is generally providing for gentle NE
    to E winds. Seas of 8 to 10 ft in long- period north swell is
    mixing with an east swell component south of 23N and east of the
    Lesser Antilles, where fresh to locally strong trade winds are
    quite expansive in coverage. Gentle to moderate winds are over the
    remainder of the Atlantic basin along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned frontal boundary will
    dissipate late tonight. Fresh to strong SW to W winds will develop
    north of the Bahamas tonight ahead of our next cold front. The
    new front should emerge off of the Florida/Georgia coast late
    tonight and extend from near 31N75W to the Florida Straits
    tomorrow morning, moving to 31N60W to the Turks and Caicos Fri
    morning, and dissipating in our NE waters from 31N55W to 27N60W
    Sat morning. Winds north of 27N both ahead and behind the cold
    front will be fresh to strong on Thu and Fri. Additionally, 8-10
    ft seas due to mixed SE and N swell will impact the waters south
    of 25N east of 65W tomorrow and extending through the weekend.
    Winds will improve across forecast waters Fri night through the
    weekend.

    $$ KRV
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 10 Dec 2025 17:40:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101740
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1245 PM EST WED 10 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-010

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72
    A. 12/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 05WSE IOP04
    C. 11/1830Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    42.0N 140.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, 55.0N 125.0W, AND 40.0N 130.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 11/2030Z TO 12/0230Z

    2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
    FOR THE 12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    13/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    14/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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