2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Danny – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Danny – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on TD4
  • Thu, 02 Oct 2025 14:46:34 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Advisory Number 24 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Advisory Number 24
    203
    WTNT34 KNHC 021446
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Advisory Number 24
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025
    1100 AM AST Thu Oct 02 2025

    ...IMELDA BECOMES A STRONG EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE OVER THE CENTRAL
    ATLANTIC...
    ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...33.2N 59.5W
    ABOUT 315 MI...505 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 75 DEGREES AT 29 MPH...46 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...980 MB...28.94 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    The Bermuda Weather Service has discontinued the Tropical Storm
    Warning for Bermuda.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    None.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
    Imelda was located near latitude 33.2 North, longitude 59.5 West.
    The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near
    29 mph (46 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue
    through tonight. A northeastward motion is then forecast on Friday
    and Saturday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 75 mph (120 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Gradual weakening is forecast over the next few days, but
    the post-tropical cyclone will remain a large and powerful system
    as it moves across the central Atlantic.

    Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
    center, and gale-force winds extend outward up to 310 miles (500
    km).

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 980 mb (28.94 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Hurricane Imelda can be found in the Tropical
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header
    WTNT44 KNHC.

    WIND: Gusty winds on Bermuda are expected to gradually subside
    today.

    SURF: Distant swells generated by Imelda are affecting the Bahamas,
    Bermuda, and much of the U.S. East Coast. Swells from Imelda will
    spread toward the Greater Antilles and northern Leeward Islands on
    Friday and continue through the weekend. These swells are likely to
    cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
NHC Forecast Advisory on TD4
  • Thu, 02 Oct 2025 14:46:08 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Forecast/Adv... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Forecast/Advisory Number 24
    000
    WTNT24 KNHC 021446
    TCMAT4

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
    1500 UTC THU OCT 02 2025

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 59.5W AT 02/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 25 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
    64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 40SW 40NW.
    50 KT....... 0NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
    34 KT.......120NE 240SE 180SW 270NW.
    4 M SEAS....300NE 330SE 420SW 420NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 59.5W AT 02/1500Z
    AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 60.9W

    FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.3N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 60SW 80NW.
    34 KT...180NE 240SE 170SW 270NW.

    FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.3N 51.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE 60SE 70SW 90NW.
    34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 270NW.

    FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 38.9N 49.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
    34 KT...240NE 220SE 210SW 250NW.

    FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 41.7N 47.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
    34 KT...210NE 210SE 220SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 44.6N 44.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
    34 KT...170NE 190SE 210SW 150NW.

    FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 47.1N 40.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
    34 KT...150NE 150SE 200SW 160NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 50.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 80NE 70SE 100SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 59.5W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER REINHART
NHC Discussion on TD4
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