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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2022 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

TrackTheTropics Resource Links

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

Danny – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on TD4
  • Sat, 01 Oct 2022 08:40:14 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Advisory Number 35 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Advisory Number 35

    000
    WTNT34 KNHC 010840
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Advisory Number 35
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
    500 AM EDT Sat Oct 01 2022

    ...IAN'S HEAVY RAINS CONTINUE ACROSS THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS AND
    MID-ATLANTIC...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...35.7N 79.8W
    ABOUT 30 MI...45 KM S OF GREENSBORO NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian
    was located near latitude 35.7 North, longitude 79.8 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 12
    mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the north with a decrease in forward
    speed is expected later today. On the forecast track, the center
    of Ian is expected to move northward across central North Carolina
    this morning and reach south-central Virginia by this afternoon.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 35 mph (55 km/h)
    with higher gusts. These winds are occurring over the waters east
    of North Carolina and Virginia. Additional weakening is expected,
    and Ian is forecast to dissipate over south-central Virginia by
    tonight.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Ian can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion
    under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header WTNT44 KNHC and on the
    web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT4.shtml.

    WIND: Gusty winds are expected to continue across portions of the
    central and southern Appalachians through this morning.

    RAINFALL: Ian is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches with local
    maxima of 6 inches across portions of the Central Appalachians and
    coastal Mid-Atlantic.

    Major to record river flooding will continue across central Florida
    through next week. Limited flash, urban and small stream flooding
    is possible across the central Appalachians and the southern
    Mid-Atlantic this weekend, with minor river flooding expected over
    the coastal Carolinas.

    SURF: Swells generated by Ian are affecting the coast of the
    southeastern United States and the northwestern Bahamas but should
    gradually subside over the weekend. These swells are likely to
    cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please
    consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Future information on Ian can be found in
    Public Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning
    at 11 AM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH,
    and on the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

NHC Forecast Advisory on TD4
  • Sat, 01 Oct 2022 08:39:43 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone IAN Forecast/Adviso... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone IAN Forecast/Advisory Number 35 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022 0900 UTC SAT OCT 01 2022 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 79.8W AT 01/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 79.8W AT 01/0900Z AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 79.7W FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.8N 79.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 79.8W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON IAN. FUTURE INFORMATION ON IAN CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 11 AM EDT (1500 UTC), UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4, WMO HEADER WTNT34 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG

    000
    WTNT24 KNHC 010839
    TCMAT4

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 35
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092022
    0900 UTC SAT OCT 01 2022

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 79.8W AT 01/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT 10 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.7N 79.8W AT 01/0900Z
    AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.3N 79.7W

    FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 36.8N 79.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.7N 79.8W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON IAN. FUTURE INFORMATION ON IAN CAN BE FOUND IN PUBLIC
    ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 11
    AM EDT (1500 UTC), UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCPAT4, WMO HEADER WTNT34
    KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT HTTP://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV. ADDITIONAL
    INFORMATION CAN ALSO BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO
    HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER BERG


NHC Discussion on TD4
  • Sat, 01 Oct 2022 08:40:45 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Discussion Number 35 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Discussion Number 35

    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 010840
    TCDAT4

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Ian Discussion Number 35
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
    500 AM EDT Sat Oct 01 2022

    Ian's circulation continues to wind down, and marine observations
    off the coast of North Carolina and Virginia, as well as earlier
    ASCAT data, indicate that maximum winds in the southerly flow south
    of the warm front have dropped below gale force. The initial
    intensity is set at 30 kt for this advisory, with those winds
    occurring over the Atlantic waters. The bulk of the associated
    rainfall is located north and west of the occluded/warm front,
    stretching from the southern Appalachians northward across the
    Mid-Atlantic states.

    Ian's center has turned north-northwestward and slowed down over
    central North Carolina, with an initial motion of 345/10 kt. The
    system is forecast to turn back to the north and slow down further
    later today, and global model fields indicate that the low center
    should dissipate over south-central Virginia by this evening.
    This is indicated in the new official forecast. A new frontal
    low may form on the triple point over the Delmarva Peninsula or
    adjacent Atlantic waters and scoot eastward later today or tonight.

    Although seas 12 feet or greater continue over portions of the
    adjacent Atlantic waters, they are not indicated in this forecast
    package since they are so far east of Ian's center. Information on
    seas and high winds over marine areas can be found in High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under AWIPS
    header NFDHSFAT1 and WMO header FZNT01 KWBC.

    This is the last advisory on Ian issued by the National Hurricane
    Center. Future information on this system can be found in Public
    Advisories issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at 11
    AM EDT, under AWIPS header TCPAT4, WMO header WTNT34 KWNH, and on
    the web at http://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov.


    Key Messages:

    1. Ongoing major to record river flooding will continue through
    next week across portions of central Florida. Limited flash, urban,
    and small stream flooding is possible across portions of the
    central Appalachians and the southern Mid-Atlantic this weekend.

    2. Gusty winds are expected across portions of the central and
    southern Appalachians through this morning.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 01/0900Z 35.7N 79.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    12H 01/1800Z 36.8N 79.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 02/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

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