Currently 38 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Current Tropics Activity

PLEASE DONATE TO SUPPORT

This site is AD FREE so I rely on donations to keep it running. PLEASE if you appreciate my website and the information I provide then consider a one time or recurring donation!! Donate

Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2022 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

TrackTheTropics Resource Links

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

Peter – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Latest Surface Plot
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Tropical Tidbits Storm Page
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
NOAA NESDIS Floaters
Floater
Floater
Other Floaters:
TropicalTidbits - WeatherNerds - GOES16
Surface Wind Field Surface Wind Field Cumulative Wind History Cumulative Wind History
Windfield
Windfield
Microwave Imagery
Microwave Imagery
Top Analog Tracks Top Analog Tracks
Key Messages Key Messages
WeatherNerds.org Floaters
Other Floater Sites:
TropicalTidbits - NRL Floaters - CyclonicWx - RAMMB Sat - RAMMB Model Data - RAMMB Wind Products

Intensity Forecasts Intensity Forecasts Model Tracks Model Tracks Model Tracks Model Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks
EURO Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
EPS Ensemble Tracks
NHC Public Advisory on Peter
  • Sun, 07 Nov 2021 14:45:40 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Advisory Number 31 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Advisory Number 31

    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 071445
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Advisory Number 31
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212021
    300 PM GMT Sun Nov 07 2021

    ...WANDA BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
    ...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...40.2N 33.5W
    ABOUT 380 MI...610 KM WNW OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 45 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda
    was located near latitude 40.2 North, longitude 33.5 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 25 mph
    (41 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue with further
    acceleration through Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    The post-tropical cyclone is forecast to merge with a frontal system
    tonight and dissipate by Monday.

    Gale-force 34-kt winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from
    the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on Wanda. Additional information on this system can be found
    in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France under WMO header
    FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
    www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
    metarea2.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin

NHC Forecast Advisory on Peter
  • Sun, 07 Nov 2021 14:44:40 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone WANDA Forecast/Advi... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone WANDA Forecast/Advisory Number 31 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL212021 1500 UTC SUN NOV 07 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 33.5W AT 07/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT. 34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW. 12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 120SE 90SW 60NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 33.5W AT 07/1500Z AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 34.9W FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.5N 29.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 33.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON WANDA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO HEADER FQNT50 LFPW. $$ FORECASTER PAPIN

    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 071444
    TCMAT1

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE WANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 31
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL212021
    1500 UTC SUN NOV 07 2021

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 33.5W AT 07/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 45 DEGREES AT 22 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
    34 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
    12 FT SEAS.. 80NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 40.2N 33.5W AT 07/1500Z
    AT 07/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 39.2N 34.9W

    FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 43.5N 29.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 40.2N 33.5W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON WANDA. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY METEO FRANCE...UNDER WMO
    HEADER FQNT50 LFPW.

    $$
    FORECASTER PAPIN


NHC Discussion on Peter
  • Sun, 07 Nov 2021 14:47:10 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Discussion Number 31 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Discussion Number 31

    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 071447
    TCDAT1

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Wanda Discussion Number 31
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL212021
    300 PM GMT Sun Nov 07 2021

    Wanda is no longer generating deep convection in association with
    its low-level circulation. In fact, most of the colder cloud tops
    seen on satellite over the center right now are actually upper-level
    cirrus associated with a cold frontal boundary part of a
    larger mid-latitude cyclone southeast of Greenland. In addition, an
    1156 UTC ASCAT-B pass over Wanda's circulation shows that the north
    side is beginning to open up into a trough as the cold front is
    encroaching on the system. These above factors suggest that Wanda is
    no longer a tropical cyclone, and the system is now classified as a
    post-tropical low as of this advisory. The winds remain 35-kt based
    on the peak wind retrieval of 33-kt from the scatterometer data on
    the southeast side of the circulation.

    The system has been accelerating to the northeast with the latest
    estimated motion at 045/22 kt. The post-tropical cyclone should
    continue to accelerate to the northeast until it merges with
    the baroclinic zone approaching it. A 12 hour point is provided for
    continuity and to indicate the transition to an extratropical
    cyclone, though its quite possible the system will be fully
    absorbed by the frontal boundary by then. The track guidance at
    12 hours is tightly clustered, and the NHC track forecast at that
    time fame follows the consensus aids closely.

    This is the last NHC advisory on Wanda. Additional information on
    this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo
    France under WMO header FQNT50 LFPW and available on the web at
    www.meteofrance.com/previsions-meteo-marine/bulletin/grandlarge/
    metarea2.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 07/1500Z 40.2N 33.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    12H 08/0000Z 43.5N 29.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 08/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Papin

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

Facebook Comments