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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2022 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

TrackTheTropics Resource Links

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

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[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
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Larry – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Latest Surface Plot
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Tropical Tidbits Storm Page
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
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NHC Public Advisory on Larry
  • Sat, 24 Sep 2022 20:40:36 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Advisory Number 42 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Advisory Number 42

    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 242040
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Advisory Number 42
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022
    500 PM AST Sat Sep 24 2022

    ...HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED IN ATLANTIC
    CANADA...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...48.4N 60.5W
    ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NW OF PORT AUX BASQUES NEWFOUNDLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 40 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...952 MB...28.12 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    The Canadian Hurricane Centre has discontinued all of the tropical
    storm and hurricane warnings for Atlantic Canada.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    There are no coastal tropical storm or hurricane watches or
    warnings. See warnings and forecasts issued by Environment Canada
    at https://weather.gc.ca/ for more information.

    For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
    products issued by your national meteorological service.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona
    was located near latitude 48.4 North, longitude 60.5 West. The
    post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 8 mph (13
    km/h). A faster north-northeast or north motion is expected
    through Monday. On the forecast track, the center of Fiona will
    move across Labrador and over the Labrador Sea late tonight and
    Sunday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 70 mph (110 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Gradual weakening is expected during the next couple of
    days.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 550 miles (890 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure based on surface
    observations is 952 mb (28.12 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Fiona can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC
    and on the web at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

    WIND: Gale-force and storm-force winds are expected to continue
    across portions of Atlantic Canada through early Sunday.

    RAINFALL: Fiona is forecast to produce 1 to 2 inches (25 to 50 mm)
    of rainfall across portions of Atlantic Canada, with storm total
    maxima as high as 10 inches (250 mm) across Nova Scotia, New
    Brunswick, Prince Edward Island, and western Newfoundland. Flooding
    is expected, some of which could be significant.

    STORM SURGE: A dangerous storm surge is expected to produce coastal
    flooding in portions of Atlantic Canada in areas of onshore winds.
    Near the coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and
    destructive waves.

    SURF: Swells generated by Fiona are affecting Atlantic Canada, the
    northeastern United States coast, and Bermuda. The swells are
    likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
    Please consult products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on Fiona. For more information, see forecasts and warnings
    issued by Environment Canada at https://weather.gc.ca/. Additional
    information can also be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the
    National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header
    FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

NHC Forecast Advisory on Larry
  • Sat, 24 Sep 2022 20:40:36 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone FIONA Forecast/Advi... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone FIONA Forecast/Advisory Number 42 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022 2100 UTC SAT SEP 24 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS Advisory... THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED ALL OF THE TROPICAL Storm AND HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ATLANTIC CANADA. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES OR WARNINGS. SEE WARNINGS AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA AT HTTPS://WEATHER.GC.CA/ FOR MORE INFORMATION. POST-TROPICAL Cyclone CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.4N 60.5W AT 24/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT. 50 KT.......120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW. 34 KT.......270NE 360SE 480SW 210NW. 12 FT SEAS..360NE 960SE 780SW 180NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.4N 60.5W AT 24/2100Z AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.7N 60.9W FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 50.6N 59.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. 34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 180NW. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 54.9N 58.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 58.4N 58.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 60.7N 57.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 63.1N 56.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW. FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.4N 60.5W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

    000
    WTNT22 KNHC 242040
    TCMAT2

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FIONA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072022
    2100 UTC SAT SEP 24 2022

    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE HAS DISCONTINUED ALL OF THE TROPICAL
    STORM AND HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ATLANTIC CANADA.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES OR
    WARNINGS. SEE WARNINGS AND FORECASTS ISSUED BY ENVIRONMENT CANADA
    AT HTTPS://WEATHER.GC.CA/ FOR MORE INFORMATION.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.4N 60.5W AT 24/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 7 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 952 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
    50 KT.......120NE 150SE 150SW 120NW.
    34 KT.......270NE 360SE 480SW 210NW.
    12 FT SEAS..360NE 960SE 780SW 180NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 48.4N 60.5W AT 24/2100Z
    AT 24/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 47.7N 60.9W

    FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 50.6N 59.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT...200NE 240SE 240SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 54.9N 58.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT...120NE 120SE 60SW 90NW.

    FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 58.4N 58.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 60.7N 57.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 63.1N 56.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 48.4N 60.5W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


NHC Discussion on Larry
  • Sat, 24 Sep 2022 20:41:09 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Discussion Number 42 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Discussion Number 42

    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 242040
    TCDAT2

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Fiona Discussion Number 42
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072022
    500 PM AST Sat Sep 24 2022

    Fiona remains a large and potent extratropical low pressure system.
    Even though the maximum winds have decreased just below
    hurricane-force, ASCAT data and surface observations show that
    Fiona has a very large wind field. The initial wind speed is
    estimated to be 60 kt.

    Fiona has slowed down significantly, and the system is now moving
    northeastward at 7 kt. A faster north to north-northeast motion is
    expected, taking the center of the system across Labrador tonight
    and early Sunday. The NHC track forecast is similar to the
    previous one.

    Since the tropical warnings have been discontinued for Atlantic
    Canada, this is the last NHC advisory on Fiona. For information on
    this system, see forecasts issued by Environment Canada at
    https://weather.gc.ca/. Additional information can be found in
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
    AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online
    at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    Key Messages:

    1. Fiona is forecast to continue to affect portions of Atlantic
    Canada through early Sunday, and significant impacts from high
    winds, storm surge, and heavy rainfall are expected.

    2. Heavy rains from Fiona are expected to continue to impact
    portions of Atlantic Canada into Sunday. This rainfall is expected
    to produce flooding, some of which could be significant.

    3. Large swells generated by Fiona are expected to cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions along the coast of
    the northeast United States, Bermuda, and Atlantic Canada during
    the next couple of days.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 24/2100Z 48.4N 60.5W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    12H 25/0600Z 50.6N 59.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 25/1800Z 54.9N 58.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    36H 26/0600Z 58.4N 58.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    48H 26/1800Z 60.7N 57.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    60H 27/0600Z 63.1N 56.1W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    72H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

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