2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Tracking Julia – 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Julia
  • Sun, 06 Jul 2025 20:44:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number 9 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number 9
    ZCZC NFDTCPAT3 ALL
    TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number 9
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032025
    500 PM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

    ...CHANTAL MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...
    ...FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES AS RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL
    NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...34.9N 79.0W
    ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA
    ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    Flood watches are in effect for...
    * Central North Carolina
    * South-central Virginia


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Chantal
    was located near latitude 34.9 North, longitude 79.0 West. The
    depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17
    km/h). Chantal is expected to move at a faster forward speed as it
    turns more northeastward over the next 24 hours.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Some weakening is expected overnight as it moves farther inland
    with some slight restrengthening possible as it nears the Virginia
    Capes on Monday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Tropical Depression Chantal can be found in the
    Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
    header WTNT43 KNHC.

    RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Chantal will continue to produce heavy
    rainfall across portions of central North Carolina and
    south-central Virginia into Monday. Storm total rainfall of 2 to 4
    inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches, is expected. An elevated
    risk for flash flooding will continue.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Depression Chantal, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf

    For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
    this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the
    WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link:
    www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html


    TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible today over parts
    of eastern North Carolina.

    SURF: Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are expected
    to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
    Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.

    A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
    at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ripCurrents


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.

    $$
    Forecaster Roth

    NNNN
NHC Forecast Advisory on Julia
  • Sun, 06 Jul 2025 20:35:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Forecast/Advi... - Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Forecast/Advisory Number 9
    ZCZC NFDTCMAT3 ALL
    TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
    NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL032025
    2100 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 79.0W AT 06/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 79.0W AT 06/2100Z
    AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 79.3W

    FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.1N 78.4W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 37.9N 76.2W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N 79.0W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z

    $$
    FORECASTER ROTH


    NNNN
NHC Discussion on Julia
  • Sun, 06 Jul 2025 20:37:13 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number 9 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number 9
    ZCZC NFDTCDAT3 ALL
    TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM

    Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number 9
    NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032025
    500 PM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025

    Key Messages:

    1. Flash flood concerns continue across portions of central North
    Carolina and south-central Virginia into Monday morning. Isolated
    to scattered flash flooding could occur within more urbanized areas.

    2. Life-threatening surf and rip currents conditions are expected
    to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
    Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so. Beach
    goers should heed the advice of lifeguards and local officials.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 06/2100Z 34.9N 79.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
    12H 07/0600Z 36.1N 78.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
    24H 07/1800Z 37.9N 76.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND

    $$
    Forecaster Roth

    NNNN
2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic
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