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- Sun, 06 Jul 2025 20:44:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number 9 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number 9
ZCZC NFDTCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
BULLETIN
Tropical Depression Chantal Advisory Number 9
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032025
500 PM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
...CHANTAL MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA...
...FLASH FLOOD THREAT CONTINUES AS RAINBANDS MOVE ACROSS CENTRAL
NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTH-CENTRAL VIRGINIA...
SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...34.9N 79.0W
ABOUT 65 MI...105 KM SSW OF RALEIGH NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 85 MI...135 KM NW OF WILMINGTON NORTH CAROLINA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 20 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
Flood watches are in effect for...
* Central North Carolina
* South-central Virginia
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 PM EDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Chantal
was located near latitude 34.9 North, longitude 79.0 West. The
depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 10 mph (17
km/h). Chantal is expected to move at a faster forward speed as it
turns more northeastward over the next 24 hours.
Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some weakening is expected overnight as it moves farther inland
with some slight restrengthening possible as it nears the Virginia
Capes on Monday.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Depression Chantal can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO
header WTNT43 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Tropical Depression Chantal will continue to produce heavy
rainfall across portions of central North Carolina and
south-central Virginia into Monday. Storm total rainfall of 2 to 4
inches, with local amounts up to 6 inches, is expected. An elevated
risk for flash flooding will continue.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
associated with Tropical Depression Chantal, please see the National
Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?rainqpf
For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS4 with the
WMO header ACUS44 KWBC or at the following link:
www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc4.html
TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible today over parts
of eastern North Carolina.
SURF: Life-threatening surf and rip current conditions are expected
to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at3.shtml?ripCurrents
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM EDT.
$$
Forecaster Roth
NNNN
- Sun, 06 Jul 2025 20:35:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Forecast/Advi... - Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Forecast/Advisory Number 9
ZCZC NFDTCMAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL032025
2100 UTC SUN JUL 06 2025
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 79.0W AT 06/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 9 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1007 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 79.0W AT 06/2100Z
AT 06/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.5N 79.3W
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 36.1N 78.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 37.9N 76.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.9N 79.0W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 07/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER ROTH
NNNN
- Sun, 06 Jul 2025 20:37:13 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number 9 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number 9
ZCZC NFDTCDAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KWNH DDHHMM
Tropical Depression Chantal Discussion Number 9
NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD AL032025
500 PM EDT Sun Jul 06 2025
Key Messages:
1. Flash flood concerns continue across portions of central North
Carolina and south-central Virginia into Monday morning. Isolated
to scattered flash flooding could occur within more urbanized areas.
2. Life-threatening surf and rip currents conditions are expected
to continue at beaches along the U.S. east coast from northeastern
Florida to the Mid-Atlantic states during the next day or so. Beach
goers should heed the advice of lifeguards and local officials.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 06/2100Z 34.9N 79.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
12H 07/0600Z 36.1N 78.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...INLAND
24H 07/1800Z 37.9N 76.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
$$
Forecaster Roth
NNNN