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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 26 Jun 2025 06:11:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
027
AXNT20 KNHC 260609
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jun 26 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall over Central America/Western Caribbean:
Interaction between a couple of tropical waves and abundant
tropical moisture will continue to trigger sporadic deep
convection capable of producing heavy rain across the western
Caribbean and parts of central America through Friday. This will
increase the potential for flash flooding and mudslide, especially
in hilly terrains. In addition, divergent flow aloft will also
increases the chance of strong thunderstorms with dangerous
lightning and gusty winds. The heaviest rainfall is expected to
be near the east of coast of northern Nicaragua, Honduras,
Guatemala and Belize. Please refer to the local Weather Services
in the region for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 27W from just
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands southward, and moving west
around 15 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
tropical wave.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 42W from 15N southward,
and moving west around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
seen from 10N to 12N between 41W and 45W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 77W from south of Jamaica
southward to near the Panama-Colombia border. It is moving west
at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is evident over northwestern Colombia.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 85W from the Gulf of
Honduras southward across Honduras, Nicaragua and western Costa
Rica into the East Pacific. It is moving westward at 5 to 10 kt.
Aided by divergent flow aloft, numerous heavy showers and
scattered strong thunderstorms are occurring near the coast of
Honduras and Nicaragua. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are found farther north near the Cayman Islands and
at the western Gulf of Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Mauritania near Nouakchott, then reaches southwestward and to
09N29W. An ITCZ continues westward from 09N29W to 09N40W, then
southwestward from 09N43W to near the coastal border of French
Guiana and Suriname. Scattered to numerous heavy showers are
present south of the monsoon trough near the coast of Senegal and
Guiana. Scattered moderate convection is found near and up to 130
nm north of the ITCZ between 31W and 39W, and west of 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Two surface troughs are triggering widely scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms off the Florida west coast, and at the
southern Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1020 mb high at the
northeastern Gulf is dominating the rest of the Gulf. Moderate to
fresh ENE to E winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are evident at the
eastern Bay of Campeche. Light to gentle winds with 1 to 2 ft seas
exist at the northeastern and east-central Gulf. Gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft prevail for the rest
of the Gulf.
For the forecast, the 1020 mb high will continue to dominate the
Gulf waters through early next week. Fresh to strong NE to E winds
will pulse each evening and night over the next several days
north of the Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche
due to local effects induced by a thermal trough. Gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas can be expected
elsewhere through Mon.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the Special Features section about potential heavy
rainfall in the western Caribbean, and the Tropical Waves section
for convection in the entire Caribbean Sea. Strong with locally
near-gale E winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft dominate the south-
central basin. Fresh to strong E winds with 6 to 8 ft seas are
noted at the north-central basin. Light to gentle winds and seas
at 2 to 4 ft in moderate NE swell exist near Costa Rica and
Panama. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft
prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the Windward and
Mona Passages.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and lower pressure in the southwestern basin associated
with the East Pacific monsoon and the passage of tropical waves
will continue to support fresh to strong trades across most of the
central and southwestern basin through the end of the week. Winds
are expected to reach near-gale force off Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate to rough seas are expected within
these winds. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
will prevail. Winds will continue to increase and become strong
over the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night due to a tighter
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and a broad area of
low pressure located over the eastern Pacific region, offshore of
Central America and Southern Mexico.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough near the Bahamas is joining forces with an
upper-level low over Florida to produce scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms off the Florida west coast, and over the
central and southeast Bahamas. Farther east, another upper-level
low near 28N55W is causing isolated thunderstorms north of 25N
between 56W and 60W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
Waves sections at the beginning for additional convection in the
Atlantic Basin.
A subtropical ridge extending southwestward from a 1028 mb Azores
High across 31N43W to a 1021 mb Bermuda High is supporting gentle
winds with 3 to 5 ft seas north of 26N between 50W and the
Florida-southenr Georgia coast. Farther east, gentle to moderate
ENE to SE winds and seas of 4 to 5 ft are present north of 26N
between 35W and 50W. To the south from 08N to 26N between 35W and
the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to ESE winds
with 6 to 8 ft seas are found. Gentle with locally moderate E to
SE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate swells prevail
for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High and associated
ridge will prevail across the region through early next week,
supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas south
of 25N. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected elsewhere. Otherwise, fresh to strong E winds will pulse
late in the afternoons and at night north of Hispaniola through
early next week.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 26 Jun 2025 06:11:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
027
AXNT20 KNHC 260609
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jun 26 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall over Central America/Western Caribbean:
Interaction between a couple of tropical waves and abundant
tropical moisture will continue to trigger sporadic deep
convection capable of producing heavy rain across the western
Caribbean and parts of central America through Friday. This will
increase the potential for flash flooding and mudslide, especially
in hilly terrains. In addition, divergent flow aloft will also
increases the chance of strong thunderstorms with dangerous
lightning and gusty winds. The heaviest rainfall is expected to
be near the east of coast of northern Nicaragua, Honduras,
Guatemala and Belize. Please refer to the local Weather Services
in the region for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 27W from just
southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands southward, and moving west
around 15 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
tropical wave.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 42W from 15N southward,
and moving west around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
seen from 10N to 12N between 41W and 45W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 77W from south of Jamaica
southward to near the Panama-Colombia border. It is moving west
at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is evident over northwestern Colombia.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 85W from the Gulf of
Honduras southward across Honduras, Nicaragua and western Costa
Rica into the East Pacific. It is moving westward at 5 to 10 kt.
Aided by divergent flow aloft, numerous heavy showers and
scattered strong thunderstorms are occurring near the coast of
Honduras and Nicaragua. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are found farther north near the Cayman Islands and
at the western Gulf of Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Mauritania near Nouakchott, then reaches southwestward and to
09N29W. An ITCZ continues westward from 09N29W to 09N40W, then
southwestward from 09N43W to near the coastal border of French
Guiana and Suriname. Scattered to numerous heavy showers are
present south of the monsoon trough near the coast of Senegal and
Guiana. Scattered moderate convection is found near and up to 130
nm north of the ITCZ between 31W and 39W, and west of 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Two surface troughs are triggering widely scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms off the Florida west coast, and at the
southern Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1020 mb high at the
northeastern Gulf is dominating the rest of the Gulf. Moderate to
fresh ENE to E winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are evident at the
eastern Bay of Campeche. Light to gentle winds with 1 to 2 ft seas
exist at the northeastern and east-central Gulf. Gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft prevail for the rest
of the Gulf.
For the forecast, the 1020 mb high will continue to dominate the
Gulf waters through early next week. Fresh to strong NE to E winds
will pulse each evening and night over the next several days
north of the Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche
due to local effects induced by a thermal trough. Gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas can be expected
elsewhere through Mon.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the Special Features section about potential heavy
rainfall in the western Caribbean, and the Tropical Waves section
for convection in the entire Caribbean Sea. Strong with locally
near-gale E winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft dominate the south-
central basin. Fresh to strong E winds with 6 to 8 ft seas are
noted at the north-central basin. Light to gentle winds and seas
at 2 to 4 ft in moderate NE swell exist near Costa Rica and
Panama. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft
prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the Windward and
Mona Passages.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and lower pressure in the southwestern basin associated
with the East Pacific monsoon and the passage of tropical waves
will continue to support fresh to strong trades across most of the
central and southwestern basin through the end of the week. Winds
are expected to reach near-gale force off Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate to rough seas are expected within
these winds. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
will prevail. Winds will continue to increase and become strong
over the Gulf of Honduras through Sat night due to a tighter
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and a broad area of
low pressure located over the eastern Pacific region, offshore of
Central America and Southern Mexico.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough near the Bahamas is joining forces with an
upper-level low over Florida to produce scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms off the Florida west coast, and over the
central and southeast Bahamas. Farther east, another upper-level
low near 28N55W is causing isolated thunderstorms north of 25N
between 56W and 60W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
Waves sections at the beginning for additional convection in the
Atlantic Basin.
A subtropical ridge extending southwestward from a 1028 mb Azores
High across 31N43W to a 1021 mb Bermuda High is supporting gentle
winds with 3 to 5 ft seas north of 26N between 50W and the
Florida-southenr Georgia coast. Farther east, gentle to moderate
ENE to SE winds and seas of 4 to 5 ft are present north of 26N
between 35W and 50W. To the south from 08N to 26N between 35W and
the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to ESE winds
with 6 to 8 ft seas are found. Gentle with locally moderate E to
SE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate swells prevail
for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High and associated
ridge will prevail across the region through early next week,
supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas south
of 25N. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas are
expected elsewhere. Otherwise, fresh to strong E winds will pulse
late in the afternoons and at night north of Hispaniola through
early next week.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 27 Jun 2025 17:01:16 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 26 Jun 2025 10:20:08 GMT - Thu, 26 Jun 2025 05:01:16 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
228
ABNT20 KNHC 260501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jun 26 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 25 Jun 2025 17:03:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
941
NOUS42 KNHC 251703
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0105 PM EDT WED 25 JUNE 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JUNE 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-025 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf