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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2024 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th.

A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes!

Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows:

Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less.

Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph.

Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.

  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.

Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS.
Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS.

Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.

  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.

Advisories:

  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.

Outlooks:

  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here

Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page!

TrackTheTropics Resource Links

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

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[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
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Tracking Emily – 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Latest Surface Plot
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Tropical Tidbits Storm Page
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
Surface Wind Field Surface Wind Field Cumulative Wind History Cumulative Wind History
Microwave Imagery
Microwave Imagery
NOAA NESDIS Floaters
Floater
Floater
Other Floaters:
TropicalTidbits - WeatherNerds - GOES16
Windshear Around Storm
Windshear
Dry Air/ Water Vapor Around Storm
Water Temps
Past Track History Past Track History
Top Analog Tracks Top Analog Tracks
WeatherNerds.org Floaters
Other Floater Sites:
TropicalTidbits - NRL Floaters - CyclonicWx - RAMMB Sat - RAMMB Model Data - RAMMB Wind Products

Intensity Forecasts Intensity Forecasts Model Tracks Model Tracks Model Tracks Model Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks
EURO Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
EPS Ensemble Tracks
NHC Public Advisory on Emily
  • Tue, 09 Jul 2024 02:35:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Beryl Advisory Number 42 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Beryl Advisory Number 42

    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 090234
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Beryl Advisory Number 42
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
    1000 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

    ...FLOODING RAINS AND THE RISK OF TORNADOES CONTINUE ACROSS
    PORTIONS OF EASTERN TEXAS, WESTERN LOUISIANA AND ARKANSAS...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...32.8N 94.3W
    ABOUT 70 MI...110 KM ENE OF TYLER TEXAS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1000 PM CDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Beryl
    was located near latitude 32.8 North, longitude 94.3 West. The
    depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 17 mph (28
    km/h) and this motion is expected to continue during the next
    couple of days.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Weakening is forecast, and Beryl is expected to become a remnant
    low on Tuesday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for Beryl can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
    Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KNHC,
    and on the NHC website at hurricanes.gov/text/MIATCDAT2.shtml.

    STORM SURGE: Water levels remain elevated along the Texas coast,
    but should continue to recede overnight.

    For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge inundation,
    please see the National Weather Service Peak Storm Surge Graphic,
    available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.

    TORNADOES: Several tornadoes are possible through tonight across
    parts of east Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. The tornado risk will
    spread into southeast Missouri, northern Tennessee, Kentucky,
    southern Illinois, southern Indiana, and Ohio on Tuesday.

    RAINFALL: Heavy rainfall of 3 to 5 inches, with locally higher
    amounts, is expected across portions of far southeastern Oklahoma,
    Arkansas and southern Missouri through Tuesday. Local flash and
    urban flooding is expected.

    For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall and flash flooding
    associated with Tropical Depression Beryl, please see the National
    Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall Graphic, available at
    hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and the Flash Flood Risk
    graphic at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero

    For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
    this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the
    WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link:
    www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

    For a list of rainfall observations (and wind reports) associated
    this storm, see the companion storm summary at WBCSCCNS2 with the
    WMO header ACUS42 KWBC or at the following link:
    www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/nfdscc2.html

    SURF: Swells generated by Beryl are expected to gradually
    decrease during the next day or so. Please consult products from
    your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

NHC Forecast Advisory on Emily
  • Tue, 09 Jul 2024 02:34:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression BERYL Forecast/Adviso... - Atlantic Tropical Depression BERYL Forecast/Advisory Number 42 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024 0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2024 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 94.8W FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.9N 92.6W...INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 38.1N 89.3W...Post-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.9N 85.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.8N 79.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 46.5N 75.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 94.3W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON BERYL. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER TCMAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT22 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT WWW.HURRICANES.GOV. RAINFALL FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN ALWAYS BE FOUND AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML AND OUTLOOKS OF FLASH FLOOD RISKS CAN BE FOUND AT HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESSIVE_RAINFALL_OUTLOOK_ERO.PHP . $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI

    000
    WTNT22 KNHC 090234
    TCMAT2

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION BERYL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 42
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022024
    0300 UTC TUE JUL 09 2024

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.8N 94.3W AT 09/0300Z
    AT 09/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N 94.8W

    FORECAST VALID 09/1200Z 34.9N 92.6W...INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 10/0000Z 38.1N 89.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 40.9N 85.7W...POST-TROP/INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 43.0N 82.4W...POST-TROP/INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 44.8N 79.0W...POST-TROP/INLAND
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 46.5N 75.9W...POST-TROP/INLAND
    MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.8N 94.3W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON BERYL. THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY
    THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. FUTURE INFORMATION
    ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE
    WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER BEGINNING AT 0900 UTC, UNDER AWIPS HEADER
    TCMAT2, WMO HEADER WTNT22 KWNH, AND ON THE WEB AT
    WWW.HURRICANES.GOV.

    RAINFALL FORECASTS FOR THE UNITED STATES CAN ALWAYS BE FOUND AT
    HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/QPF2.SHTML
    AND OUTLOOKS OF FLASH FLOOD RISKS CAN BE FOUND AT
    HTTPS://WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV/QPF/EXCESSIVE_RAINFALL_OUTLOOK_ERO.PHP
    .

    $$
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


NHC Discussion on Emily
  • Tue, 09 Jul 2024 02:36:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Beryl Discussion Number 42 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Beryl Discussion Number 42

    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 090235
    TCDAT2

    Tropical Depression Beryl Discussion Number 42
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022024
    1000 PM CDT Mon Jul 08 2024

    Beryl continues to move farther inland, and the center is now near
    the border of Texas, Louisiana, and Arkansas. Although the wind and
    storm surge hazards have largely subsided, there continues to be a
    significant threat of heavy rainfall and tornadoes along the
    forecast track for the next day or so. Visit weather.gov for details
    on these hazards.

    Beryl is expected to move swiftly northeastward while weakening,
    and it is forecast to become a remnant low on Tuesday. This is the
    last tropical cyclone discussion issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on Beryl. Future information on this system can be found in
    discussions issued by the Weather Prediction Center beginning at
    400 AM CDT, under AWIPS header TCDAT2, WMO header WTNT42 KWNH, and
    on the web at www.hurricanes.gov.

    Rainfall forecasts for the United States can always be found at
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
    and outlooks of flash flood risks can be found at
    https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excessive_rainfall_outlook_ero.php

    Key Messages:

    1. Local flash and urban flooding is expected across portions of
    northeast Texas, far southeastern Oklahoma, Arkansas, and southern
    Missouri through Tuesday. Minor to moderate river flooding is also
    possible.

    2. Use caution after Beryl passes. Deadly hazards remain including
    downed power lines and flooded areas. Ensure generators are
    properly ventilated to avoid carbon monoxide poisoning. Exercise
    caution when using chainsaws and power tools, and drink plenty of
    water to avoid heat exhaustion.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 09/0300Z 32.8N 94.3W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
    12H 09/1200Z 34.9N 92.6W 25 KT 30 MPH...INLAND
    24H 10/0000Z 38.1N 89.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
    36H 10/1200Z 40.9N 85.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
    48H 11/0000Z 43.0N 82.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
    60H 11/1200Z 44.8N 79.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
    72H 12/0000Z 46.5N 75.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
    96H 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic