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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2022 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

TrackTheTropics Resource Links

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

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Colin – 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
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NHC Public Advisory on Colin
  • Sun, 03 Jul 2022 08:44:02 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Colin Advisory Number 5 - Atlantic Remnants Of Colin Advisory Number 5

    000
    WTNT33 KNHC 030843
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Remnants Of Colin Advisory Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032022
    500 AM EDT Sun Jul 03 2022

    ...COLIN DISSIPATES OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...35.2N 77.0W
    ABOUT 10 MI...15 KM NNE OF NEW BERN NORTH CAROLINA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1014 MB...29.95 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

    None.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the remnants of Colin were located near
    latitude 35.2 North, longitude 77.0 West. The remnants are moving
    toward the northeast near 10 mph (17 km/h) and are expected to turn
    east-northeastward and accelerate soon, emerging over the Atlantic
    waters east of North Carolina this afternoon.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts,
    occurring mainly over the Atlantic waters off the North Carolina
    coast.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1014 mb (29.95 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    Key messages for the remnants of Colin can be found in the Tropical
    Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT3 and WMO header
    WTNT43 KNHC.

    WIND: Gusty winds are still possible over the North Carolina Outer
    Banks this morning.

    RAINFALL: Scattered showers and thunderstorms may impact coastal
    North Carolina through this morning. Most areas will see less than
    an inch of additional rainfall.

    SURF: Swells continue to affect portions of the North Carolina
    coast and could cause life-threatening surf and rip current
    conditions through this evening. Please consult products from your
    local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in forecasts issued by the local National Weather Service
    forecast offices in Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina,
    and in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

NHC Forecast Advisory on Colin
  • Sun, 03 Jul 2022 08:43:31 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of COLIN Forecast/Advisory Numbe... - Atlantic Remnants of COLIN Forecast/Advisory Number 5 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL032022 0900 UTC SUN JUL 03 2022 CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS Advisory... NONE. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 77.0W AT 03/0900Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 77.0W AT 03/0900Z AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 77.4W FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 77.0W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG

    885
    WTNT23 KNHC 030843
    TCMAT3

    REMNANTS OF COLIN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032022
    0900 UTC SUN JUL 03 2022

    CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

    NONE.

    SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 77.0W AT 03/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 9 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1014 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 35.2N 77.0W AT 03/0900Z
    AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.8N 77.4W

    FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 35.2N 77.0W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER BERG



NHC Discussion on Colin
  • Sun, 03 Jul 2022 08:44:32 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Colin Discussion Number 5 - Atlantic Remnants Of Colin Discussion Number 5

    000
    WTNT43 KNHC 030844
    TCDAT3

    Remnants Of Colin Discussion Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032022
    500 AM EDT Sun Jul 03 2022

    Colin no longer has a discernible center or closed circulation in
    satellite imagery or surface observations, and it has therefore
    dissipated over eastern North Carolina. The remnants are
    generating a line of convection mainly offshore the North Carolina
    coast, where buoy reports and earlier ASCAT data indicate that
    maximum winds are now down to 25 kt.

    Colin's remnants are moving a little faster toward the northeast
    (055/9 kt) and are expected to turn east-northeastward and
    accelerate soon, crossing the Outer Banks and emerging over the
    Atlantic waters this afternoon. The remnants are then expected to
    merge with a frontal system over the western Atlantic in about 24
    hours.

    This is the last advisory on Colin. For additional information,
    please see products issued by the local National Weather Service
    forecast offices in Morehead City and Wilmington, North Carolina.
    Also refer to High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    KEY MESSAGES:

    1. Rough surf and rip currents are likely to continue along the
    North Carolina coast through this evening.

    2. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may impact coastal North
    Carolina through this morning. Most areas will see less than an
    inch of additional rainfall.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 03/0900Z 35.2N 77.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS OF COLIN
    12H 03/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

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