ATTENTION: The NHC has issued it's last advisory on Theta as of 11-15-2020. All Graphics and Information on this page will eventually cease to update.
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- Mon, 04 Oct 2021 14:42:57 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Victor Advisory Number 21 - Atlantic Remnants Of Victor Advisory Number 21
000
WTNT35 KNHC 041442
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Victor Advisory Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 04 2021
...VICTOR DEGENERATES INTO A TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.8N 45.2W
ABOUT 1410 MI...2270 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Victor were located near
latitude 18.8 North, longitude 45.2 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west-northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through tonight.
Recent satellite-derived wind data indicate that maximum sustained
winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Weakening
is forecast through tonight.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on Victor. Additional information on the remnants of Victor
can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
- Mon, 04 Oct 2021 14:42:36 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of VICTOR Forecast/Advisory Numb... - Atlantic Remnants of VICTOR Forecast/Advisory Number 21 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021 1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 44.5W FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 45.2W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON VICTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF VICTOR CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER REINHART
000
WTNT25 KNHC 041442
TCMAT5
REMNANTS OF VICTOR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202021
1500 UTC MON OCT 04 2021
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT 13 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 25 KT WITH GUSTS TO 35 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 45.2W AT 04/1500Z
AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 44.5W
FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 45.2W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON VICTOR. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANTS OF VICTOR
CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER REINHART
- Mon, 04 Oct 2021 14:44:02 +0000: Atlantic Remnants Of Victor Discussion Number 21 - Atlantic Remnants Of Victor Discussion Number 21
000
WTNT45 KNHC 041443
TCDAT5
Remnants Of Victor Discussion Number 21
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202021
1100 AM AST Mon Oct 04 2021
Victor is no longer a tropical cyclone. A timely 1048 UTC ASCAT-A
pass confirms that Victor does not have a closed surface
circulation. Since the system has degenerated into a trough of low
pressure over the central Atlantic, this will be the final NHC
advisory on Victor. An area of 20 to 22-kt scatterometer winds is
noted well to the northeast of the trough axis, but these winds
should diminish through tonight as the trough dampens and the
remnants move west-northwestward. Hostile environmental conditions,
including strong southerly shear and very dry mid-level air, will
inhibit any redevelopment of this system.
Additional information on the remnants of Victor can be found in
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 04/1500Z 18.8N 45.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...REMNANTS
12H 05/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
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