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Sam – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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Sam – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Sam
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 14:49:11 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Hanna Advisory Number 5 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Hanna Advisory Number 5
    000
    WTNT33 KNHC 291449
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Hanna Advisory Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026
    1100 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026

    ...HANNA MOVING SOUTHEASTWARD AND SLIGHTLY WEAKER...


    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...34.6N 45.5W
    ABOUT 1120 MI...1805 KM ENE OF BERMUDA
    ABOUT 1055 MI...1695 KM W OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...SE OR 125 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was
    located near latitude 34.6 North, longitude 45.5 West. Hanna is
    moving toward the southeast near 12 mph (19 km/h) and and this
    motion is forecast to continue over the next day or so followed by
    a turn to the east-northeast.

    Recent satellite wind data indicates that maximum sustained winds
    are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is
    expected during the next couple of days, and Hanna is likely to
    become a post-tropical cyclone by the latter part of this week.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
NHC Forecast Advisory on Sam
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 15:01:41 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast/Advisory Nu... - Atlantic Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast/Advisory Number 5...corrected (corrected)
    000
    WTNT23 KNHC 291500 CCA
    TCMAT3

    TROPICAL STORM HANNA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5...CORRECTED
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082026
    1500 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026

    CORRECTED TO ADD 4 M SEAS

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 45.5W AT 29/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 25 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST OR 125 DEGREES AT 10 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
    34 KT....... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS.... 0NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.6N 45.5W AT 29/1500Z
    AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 34.9N 45.7W

    FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 34.0N 44.2W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 33.9N 43.0W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 34.5N 41.6W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 30NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 35.3N 39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 36.4N 37.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 37.4N 34.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.6N 45.5W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
NHC Discussion on Sam
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 14:49:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Hanna Discussion Number 5 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Hanna Discussion Number 5
    000
    WTNT43 KNHC 291449
    TCDAT3

    Tropical Storm Hanna Discussion Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026
    1100 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026

    Satellite imagery this morning shows that Hanna continues as a
    sheared tropical cyclone with the low-level center mostly exposed to
    the west of the main convective area. The cyclone also remains just
    south of a weak frontal boundary. Based on a just received ASCAT
    overpass, the initial intensity is reduced to 35 kt. The
    scatterometer data also suggests that the circulation is becoming
    less well defined as it interacts with the frontal boundary.

    The initial motion is now 125/10 kt. There is little change to the
    track forecast reasoning from the previous advisory. Hanna is
    embedded in the flow between a broad mid-latitude trough to its
    northeast and a larger subtropical ridge to its south. This synoptic
    pattern should result in a southeastward or east-southward motion
    over the next 12-24 h with a gradual decrease in forward speed. An
    east-northeastward motion is then expected as the cyclone becomes
    vertically shallow and influenced by a low-level ridge centered
    south of the Azores. The new forecast track is similar to the
    previous track and is in best agreement with the HFIP Corrected
    Consensus model.

    Hanna should gradually weaken due to shear and dry air entrainment,
    and the system is likely to stop producing convection and
    degenerate to a remnant low between 36-48 h based on global model
    simulated satellite imagery. The system is expected to weaken to a
    trough by 96 h.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 29/1500Z 34.6N 45.5W 35 KT 40 MPH
    12H 30/0000Z 34.0N 44.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
    24H 30/1200Z 33.9N 43.0W 35 KT 40 MPH
    36H 01/0000Z 34.5N 41.6W 35 KT 40 MPH
    48H 01/1200Z 35.3N 39.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    60H 02/0000Z 36.4N 37.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    72H 02/1200Z 37.4N 34.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    96H 03/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic
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