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- Thu, 28 Aug 2025 08:36:56 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Advisory Number 19 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Advisory Number 19
000
WTNT31 KNHC 280836
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Advisory Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062025
900 AM GMT Thu Aug 28 2025
...FERNAND BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...
SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...41.2N 42.9W
ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Fernand was located near latitude 41.2 North, longitude 42.9 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near
23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion with some additional increase in
forward speed is forecast until the system opens up into a trough.
Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is expected to open up
into a trough in 24-36 hours.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
- Thu, 28 Aug 2025 08:34:55 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Forecast/Ad... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Forecast/Advisory Number 19
177
WTNT21 KNHC 280834
TCMAT1
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2025
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 42.9W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 50SW 0NW.
4 M SEAS.... 60NE 120SE 100SW 50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 42.9W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 44.2W
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 42.7N 38.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 44.9N 31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 42.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN
- Thu, 28 Aug 2025 08:38:26 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Discussion Number 19 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Discussion Number 19
000
WTNT41 KNHC 280838
TCDAT1
Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Discussion Number 19
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062025
900 AM GMT Thu Aug 28 2025
It has now been more than 12 hours since Fernand has produced what
could be considered organized deep convection near its center, and
now that the cyclone has moved north of the Gulf Stream, this
activity is very unlikely to come back. Therefore, Fernand is now
considered a post-tropical cyclone, and this will be the final NHC
advisory on the system. The maximum sustained winds have been
lowered to 40 kt, assuming there has been some spin-down of the
winds relative to the earlier scatterometer data, given the lack of
deep convection. The system is continuing to accelerate
east-northeastward, now at 060/20 kt, and this motion should
continue until the post-tropical cyclone opens up into a trough in
about 24-36 hours. This system will ultimately become absorbed by a
larger mid-latitude cyclone forecast to develop in the far North
Atlantic.
Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can
be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/0900Z 41.2N 42.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 28/1800Z 42.7N 38.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 29/0600Z 44.9N 31.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Papin