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Tracking Margot – 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Tracking Margot – 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Margot
NHC Forecast Advisory on Margot
  • Thu, 02 Oct 2025 14:46:08 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Forecast/Adv... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Forecast/Advisory Number 24
    000
    WTNT24 KNHC 021446
    TCMAT4

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IMELDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 24
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL092025
    1500 UTC THU OCT 02 2025

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 59.5W AT 02/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 75 DEGREES AT 25 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 980 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 65 KT WITH GUSTS TO 80 KT.
    64 KT....... 0NE 0SE 40SW 40NW.
    50 KT....... 0NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.
    34 KT.......120NE 240SE 180SW 270NW.
    4 M SEAS....300NE 330SE 420SW 420NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.2N 59.5W AT 02/1500Z
    AT 02/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.9N 60.9W

    FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 34.3N 55.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
    64 KT... 0NE 0SE 20SW 30NW.
    50 KT... 50NE 50SE 60SW 80NW.
    34 KT...180NE 240SE 170SW 270NW.

    FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 36.3N 51.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE 60SE 70SW 90NW.
    34 KT...240NE 220SE 200SW 270NW.

    FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 38.9N 49.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
    50 KT... 80NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.
    34 KT...240NE 220SE 210SW 250NW.

    FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 41.7N 47.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 60SE 50SW 70NW.
    34 KT...210NE 210SE 220SW 180NW.

    FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 44.6N 44.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 40SE 30SW 0NW.
    34 KT...170NE 190SE 210SW 150NW.

    FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 47.1N 40.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 0NE 30SE 20SW 0NW.
    34 KT...150NE 150SE 200SW 160NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 50.0N 30.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 80NE 70SE 100SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.2N 59.5W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER REINHART
NHC Discussion on Margot
  • Thu, 02 Oct 2025 14:48:37 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Discussion Number 24 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Discussion Number 24
    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 021448
    TCDAT4

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Imelda Discussion Number 24
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092025
    1100 AM AST Thu Oct 02 2025

    Imelda is no longer a tropical cyclone. Visible satellite images and
    global model fields indicate that a front extends into the center of
    the cyclone from the east-northeast, while another frontal feature
    has developed to the south of the cyclone. This is consistent with
    overnight microwave data that showed Imelda taking the appearance of
    an occluded cyclone, as well as recent satellite trends that show
    the remaining convection is mainly focused along these fronts.
    Therefore, Imelda is classified as a 65-kt extratropical cyclone
    this morning, and this will be the final NHC advisory on the system.

    Post-tropical Imelda is racing toward the east-northeast (075/25
    kt) away from Bermuda. The cyclone is expected to turn northeastward
    on Friday ahead of an amplifying upper-level trough over the
    northern Atlantic, then turn back toward the east-northeast by
    Sunday within the mid-latitude westerlies. The track guidance is in
    much better agreement than yesterday, and the NHC forecast lies near
    the center of the envelope between the HCCA and TVCA aids.

    Baroclinic forcing from the upper trough will likely cause the
    cyclone to remain a large, storm-force low through the weekend. Even
    though the peak winds are forecast to gradually diminish, a large
    area of 34- and 50-kt winds will create hazardous marine conditions
    and large swell that will continue to affect an expansive portion of
    the western and central Atlantic.

    Additional information can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by
    the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO
    header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    KEY MESSAGES:

    1. Gusty winds over Bermuda will gradually subside today.

    2. Swells and high surf from Imelda are expected to produce
    dangerous marine conditions and rip currents along much of the East
    Coast of the United States and the western Atlantic during the next
    several days.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 02/1500Z 33.2N 59.5W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    12H 03/0000Z 34.3N 55.0W 65 KT 75 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 03/1200Z 36.3N 51.4W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    36H 04/0000Z 38.9N 49.1W 60 KT 70 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    48H 04/1200Z 41.7N 47.6W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    60H 05/0000Z 44.6N 44.6W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    72H 05/1200Z 47.1N 40.1W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    96H 06/1200Z 50.0N 30.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    120H 07/1200Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic
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