2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Track The Tropics
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...

Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Tracking Lorenzo – 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Share this page
NHC Projected Path Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
NHC Key Messages Key Messages
Zoomed In Watches and Warnings Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath Additional Projected Path Swath
Wave Height Forecast Wave Height Forecast
Current Radar of Storm Current Satellite, Radar and Winds
Current Wind Field Wind Field
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds
Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds
Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities
Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
NOAA NESDIS Floaters Floater
Floater
Floater Other Floaters:WeatherNerds - NRL Floaters - CyclonicWx - RAMMB Sat - RAMMB Model Data - RAMMB Wind Products
Latest Model Tracks 12L Model Tracks 12L Model Tracks
Latest Intensity Models Intensity Forecasts Intensity Forecasts
Surge Forecast surge
Rainfall Forecast rainfall rainfall
Flash Flood Potential rainfall
Top Analog Tracks Top Analog Tracks
238 Visitors Tracking The Tropics in the past hour!
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Current IR Satellite IR Sat
Current Wind Field Wind Field
Radar Loops Nearby Radar Loops Near Storm
Archived Loops
EURO Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
GFS Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
Microwave Imagery Microwave Imagery
LIVE Power Outage Map Power Outages
SPC Watches and Warnings Power Outages
Average Days For System To Reach U.S. Average Days For System To Reach U.S.
Past Track History Past Track History
Sea Surface Temps Around Storm Water Vapor
Windshear Around Storm Windshear
NHC Public Advisory
  • Wed, 15 Oct 2025 20:32:01 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Advisory Number 11 - Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Advisory Number 11
    498
    WTNT32 KNHC 152031
    TCPAT2

    BULLETIN
    Remnants Of Lorenzo Advisory Number 11
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025
    500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025

    ...LORENZO DISSIPATES...
    ...THIS IS THE FINAL ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...23.1N 42.5W
    ABOUT 1300 MI...2090 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 35 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the remnants of Lorenzo were located near
    latitude 23.1 North, longitude 42.5 West. The remnants are moving
    toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h) and this motion is
    expected to continue with a faster forward speed for the next day
    or so.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci
NHC Discussion
  • Wed, 15 Oct 2025 20:32:30 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Discussion Number 11 - Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Discussion Number 11
    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 152032
    TCDAT2

    Remnants Of Lorenzo Discussion Number 11
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025
    500 PM AST Wed Oct 15 2025

    Visible satellite imagery shows that Lorenzo no longer has a
    well-defined circulation and has dissipated. Recent microwave
    imagery also suggested that the system had opened to its west.
    Satellite intensity estimates have decreased as well, indicating
    that Lorenzo has lost its organized convection. The initial
    intensity is lowered to 30 kt based on a blend of these estimates.
    The remnants of Lorenzo have turned northeastward and are moving an
    estimated 16 kt. This general motion with an accelerated forward
    speed is expected for the next day or so.

    Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas
    Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header
    NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 15/2100Z 23.1N 42.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
    12H 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Bucci
NHC Forecast Advisory
  • Wed, 15 Oct 2025 20:31:35 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Forecast/Advisory Num... - Atlantic Remnants of Lorenzo Forecast/Advisory Number 11
    752
    WTNT22 KNHC 152031
    TCMAT2

    REMNANTS OF LORENZO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025
    2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2025

    REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 42.5W AT 15/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 35 DEGREES AT 16 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    4 M SEAS.... 45NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.1N 42.5W AT 15/2100Z
    AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.3N 43.3W

    FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.1N 42.5W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER BUCCI
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic
Share this page