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Hurricane Earl – 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Hurricane Earl – 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory on Earl
  • Thu, 28 Aug 2025 08:36:56 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Advisory Number 19 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Advisory Number 19
    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 280836
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Advisory Number 19
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062025
    900 AM GMT Thu Aug 28 2025

    ...FERNAND BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE...
    ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...41.2N 42.9W
    ABOUT 635 MI...1020 KM ESE OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 23 MPH...37 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
    Fernand was located near latitude 41.2 North, longitude 42.9 West.
    The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east-northeast near
    23 mph (37 km/h) and this motion with some additional increase in
    forward speed is forecast until the system opens up into a trough.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h)
    with higher gusts. The post-tropical cyclone is expected to open up
    into a trough in 24-36 hours.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
    under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
NHC Forecast Advisory on Earl
  • Thu, 28 Aug 2025 08:34:55 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Forecast/Ad... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Forecast/Advisory Number 19
    177
    WTNT21 KNHC 280834
    TCMAT1

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 19
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
    0900 UTC THU AUG 28 2025

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 42.9W AT 28/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 20 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
    34 KT....... 0NE 70SE 50SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS.... 60NE 120SE 100SW 50NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 41.2N 42.9W AT 28/0900Z
    AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 40.6N 44.2W

    FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 42.7N 38.7W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 50SE 30SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 44.9N 31.5W...POST-TROPICAL
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 41.2N 42.9W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER PAPIN
NHC Discussion on Earl
  • Thu, 28 Aug 2025 08:38:26 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Discussion Number 19 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Discussion Number 19
    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 280838
    TCDAT1

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Fernand Discussion Number 19
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062025
    900 AM GMT Thu Aug 28 2025

    It has now been more than 12 hours since Fernand has produced what
    could be considered organized deep convection near its center, and
    now that the cyclone has moved north of the Gulf Stream, this
    activity is very unlikely to come back. Therefore, Fernand is now
    considered a post-tropical cyclone, and this will be the final NHC
    advisory on the system. The maximum sustained winds have been
    lowered to 40 kt, assuming there has been some spin-down of the
    winds relative to the earlier scatterometer data, given the lack of
    deep convection. The system is continuing to accelerate
    east-northeastward, now at 060/20 kt, and this motion should
    continue until the post-tropical cyclone opens up into a trough in
    about 24-36 hours. This system will ultimately become absorbed by a
    larger mid-latitude cyclone forecast to develop in the far North
    Atlantic.

    Additional information on this system, including gale warnings, can
    be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 28/0900Z 41.2N 42.9W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    12H 28/1800Z 42.7N 38.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    24H 29/0600Z 44.9N 31.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
    36H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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