2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 22 Feb 2026 17:01:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    353
    AXNT20 KNHC 221701
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Feb 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1640 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: At 1500 UTC, a strong cold front
    extends from near Tampa Bay, Florida, to Veracruz, Mexico. Gale
    force winds are ongoing offshore of Tampico, Mexico, and
    spreading southward behind the front to offshore of Veracruz,
    Mexico. Seas are analyzed to range from 12-14 ft. The cold front
    will continue to move quickly through the Gulf today and tonight.
    Gale force winds will continue offshore Veracruz, Mexico, through
    Mon morning, with seas building to 12-16 ft over much of the
    southern Gulf, including waters with winds below gale force. Winds
    and seas should gradually subside from NW to SE Mon morning through
    Tue as high pressure builds across the Gulf region behind the
    cold front.

    W Atlantic Gale Warning: The same strong cold front described
    above currently moving through the Gulf of America recently exited
    the southeast US coast and northern Florida. Strong to gale force
    NW winds and rapidly building seas will prevail behind the front
    beginning later this afternoon through early Mon. Seas during
    this time will build to 12-15 ft. The front is expected to reach
    from near Bermuda to central Cuba Mon morning, and from 31N60W to
    the NW coast of the Dominican Republic Tue morning, while
    weakening. While winds are forecast to subside below gale force on
    Monday, strong to near-gale NW winds will persist over much of the
    western Atlantic until Tue afternoon, with seas remaining in the
    12-15 ft range. Conditions are expected to improve thereafter.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits Africa near 07N13W and extends to
    04N17W. The ITCZ continues from that point to the coast of Brazil
    near 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 05N
    between 35W and 45W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about a
    Gale Warning.

    At 1500 UTC, a strong cold front extends from near Tampa Bay,
    Florida, to Veracruz, Mexico. Outside of the GALE WARNING, strong
    to near-gale force NW winds prevail across the basin behind the
    front, as depicted in surface observations and scatterometer
    data. Seas are 8-12 ft, locally to 13 ft in the central Gulf, and
    building. Scattered moderate convection is along the front.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move quickly southeastward
    across the basin through tonight. Strong to near-gale northerly
    winds and rough to very rough seas will prevail behind the front.
    Gale- force winds will prevail offshore of Tampico will diminish
    by this evening, with gale- force winds offshore of Veracruz this
    afternoon and tonight. Winds and seas will gradually subside from
    NW to SE Mon through Tue in the wake of the front. High pressure
    will build in the wake of the front and shift E-SE across the Gulf
    Tue through Wed. Fresh to strong southerly return flow will
    develop across the W Gulf midweek ahead of the next cold front
    forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu evening.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    As the subtropical ridge retreats to the central and eastern
    Atlantic in response to the approaching strong cold front, the
    pressure gradient has weakened in the south-central Caribbean,
    allowing for trades to diminish to mainly fresh speeds in the
    region. Seas remain near 8-10 ft. Elsewhere in the central and
    eastern Caribbean, moderate to fresh trades prevail per the latest
    satellite scatterometer data, with 4-7 ft seas. In the western
    Caribbean, light to gentle winds and slight seas are analyzed. A
    subtle trough is across Jamaica and the southern Windward Passage,
    and producing a few showers.

    For the forecast, fresh trade winds across the south- central
    Caribbean will diminish overnight. Rough seas will linger S of 13N
    and E of the Lesser Antilles will subside today. A strong cold
    front will enter the NW Caribbean tonight. The front will reach
    from NW Haiti to near the Nicaragua-Costa Rica border by Tue
    morning, then stall and dissipate from central Dominican Republic
    to SE Nicaragua midweek. Expect strong N winds and rapidly
    building seas behind this front.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about a
    the W Atlantic Gale Warning.

    The strong cold front just entered the far NW waters at 1500 UTC,
    and will bring deteriorating winds and seas to the western
    Atlantic today as described in the GALE WARNING section.
    Elsewhere, 1020 mb high pressure is centered near 26N62W and 1022
    mb high pressure is centered near 24N49W. These two highs extend a
    large ridge axis across the basin along 25N, and support moderate
    to locally fresh trades south of 20N and light to gentle winds
    north of 20N. A surface trough parallels the African coast along
    18W. Seas across the basin are generally 4-7 ft, except south of
    10N and west of 40W where seas range from 8-9 ft in patches of
    fresh trades.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong to gale force NW winds and
    rapidly building seas are expected behind the cold front through
    early Mon. The front is expected to reach from near Bermuda to
    central Cuba Mon morning, and from 31N60W to the NW coast of the
    Dominican Republic Tue morning, while weakening. The front will
    stall from 30N55W to the central Dominican Republic early Wed,
    then drift W and dissipate through Thu.

    $$
    Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 22 Feb 2026 17:01:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    353
    AXNT20 KNHC 221701
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Feb 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1640 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: At 1500 UTC, a strong cold front
    extends from near Tampa Bay, Florida, to Veracruz, Mexico. Gale
    force winds are ongoing offshore of Tampico, Mexico, and
    spreading southward behind the front to offshore of Veracruz,
    Mexico. Seas are analyzed to range from 12-14 ft. The cold front
    will continue to move quickly through the Gulf today and tonight.
    Gale force winds will continue offshore Veracruz, Mexico, through
    Mon morning, with seas building to 12-16 ft over much of the
    southern Gulf, including waters with winds below gale force. Winds
    and seas should gradually subside from NW to SE Mon morning through
    Tue as high pressure builds across the Gulf region behind the
    cold front.

    W Atlantic Gale Warning: The same strong cold front described
    above currently moving through the Gulf of America recently exited
    the southeast US coast and northern Florida. Strong to gale force
    NW winds and rapidly building seas will prevail behind the front
    beginning later this afternoon through early Mon. Seas during
    this time will build to 12-15 ft. The front is expected to reach
    from near Bermuda to central Cuba Mon morning, and from 31N60W to
    the NW coast of the Dominican Republic Tue morning, while
    weakening. While winds are forecast to subside below gale force on
    Monday, strong to near-gale NW winds will persist over much of the
    western Atlantic until Tue afternoon, with seas remaining in the
    12-15 ft range. Conditions are expected to improve thereafter.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits Africa near 07N13W and extends to
    04N17W. The ITCZ continues from that point to the coast of Brazil
    near 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 05N
    between 35W and 45W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about a
    Gale Warning.

    At 1500 UTC, a strong cold front extends from near Tampa Bay,
    Florida, to Veracruz, Mexico. Outside of the GALE WARNING, strong
    to near-gale force NW winds prevail across the basin behind the
    front, as depicted in surface observations and scatterometer
    data. Seas are 8-12 ft, locally to 13 ft in the central Gulf, and
    building. Scattered moderate convection is along the front.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move quickly southeastward
    across the basin through tonight. Strong to near-gale northerly
    winds and rough to very rough seas will prevail behind the front.
    Gale- force winds will prevail offshore of Tampico will diminish
    by this evening, with gale- force winds offshore of Veracruz this
    afternoon and tonight. Winds and seas will gradually subside from
    NW to SE Mon through Tue in the wake of the front. High pressure
    will build in the wake of the front and shift E-SE across the Gulf
    Tue through Wed. Fresh to strong southerly return flow will
    develop across the W Gulf midweek ahead of the next cold front
    forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu evening.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    As the subtropical ridge retreats to the central and eastern
    Atlantic in response to the approaching strong cold front, the
    pressure gradient has weakened in the south-central Caribbean,
    allowing for trades to diminish to mainly fresh speeds in the
    region. Seas remain near 8-10 ft. Elsewhere in the central and
    eastern Caribbean, moderate to fresh trades prevail per the latest
    satellite scatterometer data, with 4-7 ft seas. In the western
    Caribbean, light to gentle winds and slight seas are analyzed. A
    subtle trough is across Jamaica and the southern Windward Passage,
    and producing a few showers.

    For the forecast, fresh trade winds across the south- central
    Caribbean will diminish overnight. Rough seas will linger S of 13N
    and E of the Lesser Antilles will subside today. A strong cold
    front will enter the NW Caribbean tonight. The front will reach
    from NW Haiti to near the Nicaragua-Costa Rica border by Tue
    morning, then stall and dissipate from central Dominican Republic
    to SE Nicaragua midweek. Expect strong N winds and rapidly
    building seas behind this front.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about a
    the W Atlantic Gale Warning.

    The strong cold front just entered the far NW waters at 1500 UTC,
    and will bring deteriorating winds and seas to the western
    Atlantic today as described in the GALE WARNING section.
    Elsewhere, 1020 mb high pressure is centered near 26N62W and 1022
    mb high pressure is centered near 24N49W. These two highs extend a
    large ridge axis across the basin along 25N, and support moderate
    to locally fresh trades south of 20N and light to gentle winds
    north of 20N. A surface trough parallels the African coast along
    18W. Seas across the basin are generally 4-7 ft, except south of
    10N and west of 40W where seas range from 8-9 ft in patches of
    fresh trades.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong to gale force NW winds and
    rapidly building seas are expected behind the cold front through
    early Mon. The front is expected to reach from near Bermuda to
    central Cuba Mon morning, and from 31N60W to the NW coast of the
    Dominican Republic Tue morning, while weakening. The front will
    stall from 30N55W to the central Dominican Republic early Wed,
    then drift W and dissipate through Thu.

    $$
    Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 22 Feb 2026 18:16:03 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 221815
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0115 PM EST SUN 22 FEBRUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-084

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARK: THE TEAL 73 AND TEAL 71 MISSIONS TASKED IN WSPOD 25-083
    FOR THE 23/0000Z & 23/12000Z SYNOPTIC TIMES WILL FLY AS PLANNED.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78
    A. 24/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 14WSC IOP38
    C. 23/1820Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    15.0N 150.0W, 30.0N 150.0W, 30.0N 130.0W, AND 15.0N 130.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 23/2030Z TO 24/0230Z

    2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
    A. 24/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 38WSE IOP38
    C. 23/1830Z
    D. 24 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 70 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    25.0N 125.0W, 25.0N 150.0W, 45.0N 150.0W, AND 45.0N 125.0W
    E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 23/2030Z TO 24/0230Z

    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
    THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
    RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    25/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
    AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    26/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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