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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 17:27:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 151727
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Feb 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N18W. The
ITCZ continues from 04N18W through 02N30W to north of Sao Luis,
Brazil at 01N45W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is seen E of 15W from the Equator to the African
coast. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ, S
of 04N between 18W and 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front was analyzed from near Gulfport, MS to near 26N92W at
1200 UTC this morning, with a pre-frontal squall line occurring just
ahead. Convection within the squall line is producing SW winds of
near-gale to gale-force strength. Scatterometer data confirm
fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front and N of 25N, with
seas of 6-8 ft. Much of the remaining Gulf N of 22N is seeing
moderate to fresh SW to W winds and moderate seas prevail, while
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-5 ft seas prevail
elsewhere. However in the far SW Gulf and Bay of Campeche mainly
offshore Veracruz, NW winds are fresh to strong due to enhanced
northerly flow behind the cold front and a strengthening pressure
gradient with high pressure building over northern Mexico.
For the forecast, a cold front across the central Gulf will move
eastward today, accompanied by fresh to strong S to SW winds and
moderate to rough seas. The front will move SE of the area by Mon
afternoon, with winds and seas decreasing. High pres will build in
the wake of the front. Gentle to moderate winds with slight to
moderate seas will prevail by midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A frontal remnant trough extends from Puerto Rico southwestward in
to the east-central Caribbean, while another surface trough also
extends from Haiti southward into the central basin. These support
fresh to strong NE winds in the vicinity of each trough, along
with 6-8 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail across the remainder of the Caribbean.
For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the
coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough
seas are expected with these winds. Fresh to strong winds will
prevail S of the Dominican Republic today as a high pressure
center passing N of the area maintains a tight pressure gradient.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
through the middle of next week, except for light to gentle winds
over the NW Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
through 31N48W to 19N64W. To the west, a frontal remnant trough is
analyzed S of a 1024 mb high near 30N71W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are noted N of 24N between 45W and 52W.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds follow the front, with moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas also prevailing across the W
Atlantic W of the front to the FL coast and S of the remnant
trough. Light to gentle winds and 3-5 ft seas prevail north of
the trough due to high pressure in the region.
For areas E of 45W and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough
seas prevail due to an enhanced pressure difference between a 1035
mb high near 36N18W and lower pressures in the deep tropics.
Scatterometer data confirm strong to near gale-force NE winds
prevailing N of 20N and E of 25W, with very rough seas N of the
Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure across the discussion
waters will shift eastward enabling a cold front to move off the
SE coast of the U.S. on Monday. S winds will strengthen offshore
north and central Florida today in advance of the front. The front
will shift eastward over the forecast waters, moving east of the
area the middle of the week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building
seas are expected in the wake of the front. These winds will
diminish by the middle of next week, with rough seas lingering E
of 60W.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 17:27:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 151727
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Feb 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W to 04N18W. The
ITCZ continues from 04N18W through 02N30W to north of Sao Luis,
Brazil at 01N45W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is seen E of 15W from the Equator to the African
coast. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ, S
of 04N between 18W and 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front was analyzed from near Gulfport, MS to near 26N92W at
1200 UTC this morning, with a pre-frontal squall line occurring just
ahead. Convection within the squall line is producing SW winds of
near-gale to gale-force strength. Scatterometer data confirm
fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front and N of 25N, with
seas of 6-8 ft. Much of the remaining Gulf N of 22N is seeing
moderate to fresh SW to W winds and moderate seas prevail, while
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-5 ft seas prevail
elsewhere. However in the far SW Gulf and Bay of Campeche mainly
offshore Veracruz, NW winds are fresh to strong due to enhanced
northerly flow behind the cold front and a strengthening pressure
gradient with high pressure building over northern Mexico.
For the forecast, a cold front across the central Gulf will move
eastward today, accompanied by fresh to strong S to SW winds and
moderate to rough seas. The front will move SE of the area by Mon
afternoon, with winds and seas decreasing. High pres will build in
the wake of the front. Gentle to moderate winds with slight to
moderate seas will prevail by midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A frontal remnant trough extends from Puerto Rico southwestward in
to the east-central Caribbean, while another surface trough also
extends from Haiti southward into the central basin. These support
fresh to strong NE winds in the vicinity of each trough, along
with 6-8 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail across the remainder of the Caribbean.
For the forecast, pulsing strong NE winds will prevail near the
coast of Colombia through the forecast period. Moderate to rough
seas are expected with these winds. Fresh to strong winds will
prevail S of the Dominican Republic today as a high pressure
center passing N of the area maintains a tight pressure gradient.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
through the middle of next week, except for light to gentle winds
over the NW Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
through 31N48W to 19N64W. To the west, a frontal remnant trough is
analyzed S of a 1024 mb high near 30N71W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are noted N of 24N between 45W and 52W.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds follow the front, with moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas also prevailing across the W
Atlantic W of the front to the FL coast and S of the remnant
trough. Light to gentle winds and 3-5 ft seas prevail north of
the trough due to high pressure in the region.
For areas E of 45W and N of 10N, fresh to strong trades and rough
seas prevail due to an enhanced pressure difference between a 1035
mb high near 36N18W and lower pressures in the deep tropics.
Scatterometer data confirm strong to near gale-force NE winds
prevailing N of 20N and E of 25W, with very rough seas N of the
Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure across the discussion
waters will shift eastward enabling a cold front to move off the
SE coast of the U.S. on Monday. S winds will strengthen offshore
north and central Florida today in advance of the front. The front
will shift eastward over the forecast waters, moving east of the
area the middle of the week. Fresh to strong NE winds and building
seas are expected in the wake of the front. These winds will
diminish by the middle of next week, with rough seas lingering E
of 60W.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 21:02:34 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 15 Feb 2026 18:00:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151800
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0100 PM EST SUN 15 FEBRUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-077
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
A. 17/0000Z
B. AFXXX 11WSC IOP33
C. 16/1830Z
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
25.0N 175.0W, 40.0N 175.0W, 40.0N 160.0W, AND 25.0N 160.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 16/2030Z TO 17/0230Z
2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
A. 17/0000Z
B. NOAA9 33WSE IOP33
C. 16/1945Z
D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
40.0N 145.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, 55.0N 137.0W, AND 48.0N 129.0W
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 16/2030Z TO 17/0230Z
3. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
FOR THE 19/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf