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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 11 Nov 2026 21:32:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 112132
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Nov 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1900 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W southwestward to 05.5N21W.
The ITCZ extends from 05.5N21W to just NE of the coast of Brazil
at 03N48W. Scattered moderate convection is found from 06N to 12N
between Africa and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak trough over the western Gulf is inducing scattered
moderate convection offshore the Texas and Louisiana coasts, as
well as offshore NE Mexico. Moderate NW winds are found W of the
trough over the western Gulf nearshore waters. Elsewhere, mainly
high pressure dominates, with gentle NE winds, along with seas of
3 ft or less, except to 4 ft W of the trough.
For the forecast, a strong cold front will reach the Texas coast
early on Thu, then sweep across the basin through Thu night
exiting the area early on Fri. Fresh to locally strong north winds
and building seas are expected in its wake. High pressure will
build southward into the region this weekend, with increasing
easterly winds as the high shifts eastward Sun. Strong east winds
are likely across portions of the northern Gulf starting on Sun as
the pressure gradient increases ahead of an approaching weather
system, with an associated cold front that will move offshore the
Texas coast by Mon morning. The strong east winds will shift to
mostly the NE Gulf Mon and Mon night as the front and a trough
translate eastward across the Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
fresh to strong trades over the central portion of the basin from
11N to 18N, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except
weaker near the coast of Central America and in the NW Caribbean.
Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the central Caribbean from 11N to 18N, and
4 to 6 ft elsewhere, except 2 to 4 ft over the NW Caribbean.
Scattered moderate convection is noted in the NW basin between
Cuba and Honduras and Belize due to upper-level divergence.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
will prevail over the south-central Caribbean into Thu night, with
mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
will weaken starting Fri as a cold front approaches the Yucatan
Channel, leading to a weakening of the trades. Moderate northeast
to east winds and slightly building seas are likely behind this
front over the northwestern Caribbean this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 29N45W to 26N60W. Isolated showers are
associated with a pre-frontal trough N of 28N around 41W,
otherwise little sensible weather is associated with this front.
To the east, a cold front extends from the Iberian Peninsula
through 31N11W to 22N41W. Ahead of this front, fresh to strong SW
winds prevail with moderate to fresh winds NW of the front to 26W.
Rough to very rough associated seas are found N of 20N and E of
37W. Upper-level divergence is leading to scattered to numerous
moderate convection N of the Greater Antilles to 26N, between 63W
and 74W. Across the remainder of the waters, weak high pressure
is leading to moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong cold front is expected to
move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu night accompanied by
fresh to strong winds and building seas on either side of it. The
front is expected to reach from near 31N64W to eastern Cuba by Sat
afternoon, and from near 30N55W to 25N64W and stationary to
eastern Cuba by early on Sun. Fresh to strong southwest winds will
be east of the cold front along with seas possibly peaking to
around 12 ft on Sat. The cold front portion will shift east of 55W
late Sun while the stationary portion weakens. Fresh to strong
northeast winds are expected north of the stationary front to near
28N through Mon night.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 11 Nov 2026 21:32:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 112132
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Nov 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1900 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W southwestward to 05.5N21W.
The ITCZ extends from 05.5N21W to just NE of the coast of Brazil
at 03N48W. Scattered moderate convection is found from 06N to 12N
between Africa and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak trough over the western Gulf is inducing scattered
moderate convection offshore the Texas and Louisiana coasts, as
well as offshore NE Mexico. Moderate NW winds are found W of the
trough over the western Gulf nearshore waters. Elsewhere, mainly
high pressure dominates, with gentle NE winds, along with seas of
3 ft or less, except to 4 ft W of the trough.
For the forecast, a strong cold front will reach the Texas coast
early on Thu, then sweep across the basin through Thu night
exiting the area early on Fri. Fresh to locally strong north winds
and building seas are expected in its wake. High pressure will
build southward into the region this weekend, with increasing
easterly winds as the high shifts eastward Sun. Strong east winds
are likely across portions of the northern Gulf starting on Sun as
the pressure gradient increases ahead of an approaching weather
system, with an associated cold front that will move offshore the
Texas coast by Mon morning. The strong east winds will shift to
mostly the NE Gulf Mon and Mon night as the front and a trough
translate eastward across the Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
fresh to strong trades over the central portion of the basin from
11N to 18N, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except
weaker near the coast of Central America and in the NW Caribbean.
Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the central Caribbean from 11N to 18N, and
4 to 6 ft elsewhere, except 2 to 4 ft over the NW Caribbean.
Scattered moderate convection is noted in the NW basin between
Cuba and Honduras and Belize due to upper-level divergence.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
will prevail over the south-central Caribbean into Thu night, with
mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
will weaken starting Fri as a cold front approaches the Yucatan
Channel, leading to a weakening of the trades. Moderate northeast
to east winds and slightly building seas are likely behind this
front over the northwestern Caribbean this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 29N45W to 26N60W. Isolated showers are
associated with a pre-frontal trough N of 28N around 41W,
otherwise little sensible weather is associated with this front.
To the east, a cold front extends from the Iberian Peninsula
through 31N11W to 22N41W. Ahead of this front, fresh to strong SW
winds prevail with moderate to fresh winds NW of the front to 26W.
Rough to very rough associated seas are found N of 20N and E of
37W. Upper-level divergence is leading to scattered to numerous
moderate convection N of the Greater Antilles to 26N, between 63W
and 74W. Across the remainder of the waters, weak high pressure
is leading to moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong cold front is expected to
move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu night accompanied by
fresh to strong winds and building seas on either side of it. The
front is expected to reach from near 31N64W to eastern Cuba by Sat
afternoon, and from near 30N55W to 25N64W and stationary to
eastern Cuba by early on Sun. Fresh to strong southwest winds will
be east of the cold front along with seas possibly peaking to
around 12 ft on Sat. The cold front portion will shift east of 55W
late Sun while the stationary portion weakens. Fresh to strong
northeast winds are expected north of the stationary front to near
28N through Mon night.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 13 Nov 2026 11:02:46 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 11 Nov 2026 23:30:20 GMT - Wed, 11 Nov 2026 23:02:46 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 112302
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Wed Nov 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:30:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111730
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EST WED 11 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-164
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf