2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 18 Apr 2026 09:28:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 180928
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Apr 18 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0920 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 03N22W. The
    ITCZ continues from 03N22W to 00N48W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 10W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A high pressure ridge extends southwestward from a 1016 mb high
    center over the NE Gulf to near Tampico, Mexico. Light winds and
    seas of 1-2 ft are in the vicinity of the high center. Moderate to
    fresh winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, are found west of the Yucatan
    peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will slowly weaken
    today. A weak pressure gradient across the basin will support
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds across most of the basin today.
    Fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will follow a cold
    front moving across the northern Gulf tonight through the early
    part of the week. The front will stall from the Florida Straits to
    south Texas by late Mon then dissipate into mid week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Gentle to moderate winds prevail across the Caribbean basin. Seas
    are in the 4-5 ft range over the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    seas of 2-4 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will
    support mainly gentle to moderate winds through the forecast
    period. Fresh NE winds may develop early next week across the
    Windward Passage associated with a late- season cold front moving
    into Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 30N73W to the central Bahamas. A
    surface trough is just off the coast of western Africa. High
    pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters,
    anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 33N47W. Light to gentle
    winds are over the northern waters in the vicinity of the high.
    Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds prevail. Seas of 7-9 ft are
    found S of 16N as well as east of 30W. Seas of 4-7 ft generally
    prevail elsewhere, except 3-4 ft over the far NW portion of the
    discussion waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will dissipate today. High pressure will build into the area from
    the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is forecast to
    move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the front
    as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late Mon,
    from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue, before stalling and
    dissipating along roughly 22N through mid week.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 18 Apr 2026 09:28:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 180928
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Apr 18 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0920 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 03N22W. The
    ITCZ continues from 03N22W to 00N48W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 10W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A high pressure ridge extends southwestward from a 1016 mb high
    center over the NE Gulf to near Tampico, Mexico. Light winds and
    seas of 1-2 ft are in the vicinity of the high center. Moderate to
    fresh winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, are found west of the Yucatan
    peninsula. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will slowly weaken
    today. A weak pressure gradient across the basin will support
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds across most of the basin today.
    Fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will follow a cold
    front moving across the northern Gulf tonight through the early
    part of the week. The front will stall from the Florida Straits to
    south Texas by late Mon then dissipate into mid week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Gentle to moderate winds prevail across the Caribbean basin. Seas
    are in the 4-5 ft range over the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    seas of 2-4 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will
    support mainly gentle to moderate winds through the forecast
    period. Fresh NE winds may develop early next week across the
    Windward Passage associated with a late- season cold front moving
    into Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 30N73W to the central Bahamas. A
    surface trough is just off the coast of western Africa. High
    pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters,
    anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 33N47W. Light to gentle
    winds are over the northern waters in the vicinity of the high.
    Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds prevail. Seas of 7-9 ft are
    found S of 16N as well as east of 30W. Seas of 4-7 ft generally
    prevail elsewhere, except 3-4 ft over the far NW portion of the
    discussion waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will dissipate today. High pressure will build into the area from
    the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is forecast to
    move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the front
    as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late Mon,
    from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue, before stalling and
    dissipating along roughly 22N through mid week.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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