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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 11 May 2026 16:33:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
856
AXNT20 KNHC 111633
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon May 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1633 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been repositioned
to 27W, from 01S to 10N. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 04S to 04.5N between 24W and 29W.
A tropical wave has its axis near 58W S of 14N, moving westward
at 5 to 10 kt. The wave is supporting moderate convection
offshore Suriname and Guyana.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 11N16W and continues SW to 04N23W. The ITCZ extends
from 01N29W to 03N50W. Aside from the convection associated with
the tropical wave, scattered moderate convection is noted from
03N to 05N between 18W and 23W. Similar convection is depicted
from 00N to 04N between 29W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak cold front is moving off the Texas coast this morning.
Ahead of the front, scattered showers and thunderstorms are
affecting mainly the north-central basin. Gusty winds to 30 kt and
rough seas are likely near these showers and thunderstorms. A
weak pressure gradient pattern is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and 1 to 3 ft seas south of 24N and west of 87W. Elsewhere,
light and variable winds along with seas 1 to 3 ft prevail.
For the forecast, the weak cold front will steadily move
southeastward and extend from the Big Bend of Florida to the Bay
of Campeche Tue morning, then stall and dissipate by Wed. Winds
are generally moderate or weaker with the front, though showers
and thunderstorms will continue today and tonight along the front.
High pressure and quiescent conditions will dominate on Wed and
Thu. Looking ahead, another weak cold front should enter the NE
Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Dry weather conditions persist across the Caribbean Sea. The
subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas across the south-central
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, gentle or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, a moderate gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
High north of the area and the Colombian Low will continue to
force fresh to strong NE to E trades over the S central Caribbean
for the next several days. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades are
forecast across the remainder of forecast waters. Large E swell
will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters from Tue night into the
weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and abundant moisture inflow from the Gulf of
America result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
over the offshore waters N of 27N and W of 64W. The remainder of
the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge
that is supporting moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas south
of 25N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front will reach the
waters off of NE Florida early tomorrow morning, extend along 30N
and becoming stationary Wed morning, then lifting north of our
waters as a warm front by Thu morning. While winds should be fresh
or weaker in association with the front, scattered showers and
thunderstorms should continue along the front. Looking ahead,
another weak cold front will reach the Atlantic from NE Florida on
Thu, and reaching from 31N70W to 26N72W Fri morning. S winds
ahead of the front north of 28N will be fresh to strong.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 11 May 2026 16:33:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
856
AXNT20 KNHC 111633
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon May 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1633 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been repositioned
to 27W, from 01S to 10N. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 04S to 04.5N between 24W and 29W.
A tropical wave has its axis near 58W S of 14N, moving westward
at 5 to 10 kt. The wave is supporting moderate convection
offshore Suriname and Guyana.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 11N16W and continues SW to 04N23W. The ITCZ extends
from 01N29W to 03N50W. Aside from the convection associated with
the tropical wave, scattered moderate convection is noted from
03N to 05N between 18W and 23W. Similar convection is depicted
from 00N to 04N between 29W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak cold front is moving off the Texas coast this morning.
Ahead of the front, scattered showers and thunderstorms are
affecting mainly the north-central basin. Gusty winds to 30 kt and
rough seas are likely near these showers and thunderstorms. A
weak pressure gradient pattern is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and 1 to 3 ft seas south of 24N and west of 87W. Elsewhere,
light and variable winds along with seas 1 to 3 ft prevail.
For the forecast, the weak cold front will steadily move
southeastward and extend from the Big Bend of Florida to the Bay
of Campeche Tue morning, then stall and dissipate by Wed. Winds
are generally moderate or weaker with the front, though showers
and thunderstorms will continue today and tonight along the front.
High pressure and quiescent conditions will dominate on Wed and
Thu. Looking ahead, another weak cold front should enter the NE
Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Dry weather conditions persist across the Caribbean Sea. The
subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas across the south-central
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, gentle or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, a moderate gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
High north of the area and the Colombian Low will continue to
force fresh to strong NE to E trades over the S central Caribbean
for the next several days. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades are
forecast across the remainder of forecast waters. Large E swell
will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters from Tue night into the
weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and abundant moisture inflow from the Gulf of
America result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
over the offshore waters N of 27N and W of 64W. The remainder of
the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge
that is supporting moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas south
of 25N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front will reach the
waters off of NE Florida early tomorrow morning, extend along 30N
and becoming stationary Wed morning, then lifting north of our
waters as a warm front by Thu morning. While winds should be fresh
or weaker in association with the front, scattered showers and
thunderstorms should continue along the front. Looking ahead,
another weak cold front will reach the Atlantic from NE Florida on
Thu, and reaching from 31N70W to 26N72W Fri morning. S winds
ahead of the front north of 28N will be fresh to strong.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 11 May 2026 18:01:16 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf