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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 22:47:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072247
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area,
Invest AL94, is located near 26N60W, moving east- northeastward
near 7 kt. This non- tropical low pressure area is located several
hundred miles south- southeast of Bermuda, and continues to
produce scattered to numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms from
20N to 31N between 45W-60W. The low could still acquire some
subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level
winds increase on Sunday and begin to weaken the system. The low
is forecast to move generally east-northeastward over the western
and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days.
Recent satellite scatterometer data showed a broad band of near-
gale to gale force NE to E winds of 30 to 40 kt occurring along
and within 210 nm north of a stationary front that extends from
27N63W to 29N59W to 24N37W. Recent altimeter and buoy data shows
seas of 10 to 19 ft occurring within this band of winds. Gale-
force winds and very rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to
continue to the north of this low center as it moves over parts
of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and extends SW
to 09N23W. The ITCZ extends from 07N24W to 07N37W, where it is
broken by a trough associated with an easterly wave, then resumes
from 04N39W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
S of 11N between 22W and 45W, strongest near the easterly wave
trough.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from near Fort Myers, Florida to the SW Gulf
near 23N91W then is stationary to 24N96W. Moderate to fresh N-NE
winds are spilling across the NE Gulf, and become moderate NE to E
elsewhere north of the front. Gentle to moderate NE winds are
also over the Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Seas are 3 to 5 ft
NE portions and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary from central Florida to the
west central Gulf will slowly shift southward across the remainder
of the basin into early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will
prevail behind the front. High pressure will build in the wake of
the front, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. Another
cold front will move into the NW Gulf next Thursday, followed by
freshening winds and building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An elongated trough extends from the Gulf of Honduras to just
offshore of NW Colombia, which is supporting scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms near and to the south of this feature,
with moderate to strong convection near the coasts of Nicaragua
and Honduras. Across the eastern Caribbean moderate SE winds
across the Windward Islands turn and become SW to W across Puerto
Rico and the NE Caribbean. Moderate to fresh NE winds prevail in
the NW Caribbean, driven by the pressure gradient between the
aforementioned surface trough and high pressure over the US. Due
to the weaker pressure gradient over the rest of the region, seas
are 4 ft or less across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
the central Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
AL94.
Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N21W to
24N37W, then stalls to 29N59W and then to 27N63W. Scattered to
numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms are noted No f20N and E
of 35W, as well as from 35W to 45W between 20N and 25N. Strong to
near gale- force SW winds are ahead of the front E of 35W, where
seas are 10 to 14 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds follow the
front E of 40W, where seas are 9 to 12 ft. South of Invest AL94,
winds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending south to 18N
between 50W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1000 mb low pres centered near
26N60.5W will move east-northeastward. An area of strong to gale-
force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 17 ft,
will prevail north of the low, impacting the waters mainly north
of about 27N and east of 60W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
weakening cold front over the NW waters will dissipate by Sun.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 22:47:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072247
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area,
Invest AL94, is located near 26N60W, moving east- northeastward
near 7 kt. This non- tropical low pressure area is located several
hundred miles south- southeast of Bermuda, and continues to
produce scattered to numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms from
20N to 31N between 45W-60W. The low could still acquire some
subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level
winds increase on Sunday and begin to weaken the system. The low
is forecast to move generally east-northeastward over the western
and central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days.
Recent satellite scatterometer data showed a broad band of near-
gale to gale force NE to E winds of 30 to 40 kt occurring along
and within 210 nm north of a stationary front that extends from
27N63W to 29N59W to 24N37W. Recent altimeter and buoy data shows
seas of 10 to 19 ft occurring within this band of winds. Gale-
force winds and very rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to
continue to the north of this low center as it moves over parts
of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and extends SW
to 09N23W. The ITCZ extends from 07N24W to 07N37W, where it is
broken by a trough associated with an easterly wave, then resumes
from 04N39W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
S of 11N between 22W and 45W, strongest near the easterly wave
trough.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from near Fort Myers, Florida to the SW Gulf
near 23N91W then is stationary to 24N96W. Moderate to fresh N-NE
winds are spilling across the NE Gulf, and become moderate NE to E
elsewhere north of the front. Gentle to moderate NE winds are
also over the Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Seas are 3 to 5 ft
NE portions and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary from central Florida to the
west central Gulf will slowly shift southward across the remainder
of the basin into early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will
prevail behind the front. High pressure will build in the wake of
the front, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. Another
cold front will move into the NW Gulf next Thursday, followed by
freshening winds and building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An elongated trough extends from the Gulf of Honduras to just
offshore of NW Colombia, which is supporting scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms near and to the south of this feature,
with moderate to strong convection near the coasts of Nicaragua
and Honduras. Across the eastern Caribbean moderate SE winds
across the Windward Islands turn and become SW to W across Puerto
Rico and the NE Caribbean. Moderate to fresh NE winds prevail in
the NW Caribbean, driven by the pressure gradient between the
aforementioned surface trough and high pressure over the US. Due
to the weaker pressure gradient over the rest of the region, seas
are 4 ft or less across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
the central Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
AL94.
Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N21W to
24N37W, then stalls to 29N59W and then to 27N63W. Scattered to
numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms are noted No f20N and E
of 35W, as well as from 35W to 45W between 20N and 25N. Strong to
near gale- force SW winds are ahead of the front E of 35W, where
seas are 10 to 14 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds follow the
front E of 40W, where seas are 9 to 12 ft. South of Invest AL94,
winds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending south to 18N
between 50W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1000 mb low pres centered near
26N60.5W will move east-northeastward. An area of strong to gale-
force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 17 ft,
will prevail north of the low, impacting the waters mainly north
of about 27N and east of 60W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
weakening cold front over the NW waters will dissipate by Sun.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 09 Nov 2026 11:21:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 00:27:12 GMT - Sat, 07 Nov 2026 23:21:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 072321
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A broad, non-tropical low pressure system located several hundred
miles south-southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers
and thunderstorms to the east of its center. The system remains in
close proximity to fronts, and recent satellite images indicate the
circulation of the low has become less defined today. Subtropical
development of this system is not expected while it moves generally
eastward and merges with a frontal system over the next day or two.
For more information, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:25:37 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
333
NOUS42 KNHC 071625
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1125 AM EST SAT 07 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-160
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





