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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 10:29:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111029
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1025 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale-force off the coast of Colombia tonight. Rough to very rough
seas are forecast with these winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 10N to 14N and between 53W and 65W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 08N34W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N34W to 06N53W. Scattered moderate convection
is occurring from 04N to 11N and between 22W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The storm activity over the SE Gulf has diminished in the past
couple of hours, however, some showers and isolated thunderstorms
are noted in the northern and NW Gulf. The subtropical ridge
weakly extends into the Gulf waters supporting moderate or lighter
winds and seas of 2-4 ft.
For the forecast, an upper level low pressure currently over the NW
Bahamas will progress westward over the next several days, supporting
scattered moderate to strong convection. Additionally, a frontal
boundary will approach the northern Gulf coast enhancing the storm
activity across the area this weekend and into early next week.
Mariners should expect gusty winds, frequent lightning and higher
seas near the strongest storms. Elsewhere, high pressure will
dominate into next week, supporting mainly gentle to moderate SE
winds. However, fresh to strong easterly winds will pulse offshore
the Yucatan Peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia.
Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical moisture is producing
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the NW
Caribbean, especially west of 82W. Similar convection is noted in
the SW Caribbean. Meanwhile, a tropical wave approaching the
Lesser Antilles is bringing some showers to the SE Caribbean.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
low is supporting strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds
and rough to very rough seas over the central Caribbean and
Windward Passage, reaching gale force off Colombia. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail across the
remainder of the Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the islands and lower
environmental pressures over northern South America combine to
support strong to near gale-force easterly trades and rough seas
over the central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage. This
pattern will persist into next week. Winds will pulse to gale-
force off Colombia this morning and tonight. Trades over the Gulf
of Honduras will pulse to strong each evening through the forecast
period. Finally, moderate to locally fresh easterly breezes and
moderate seas are expected in the eastern Caribbean into next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper level low pressure and abundant tropical moisture
combine to produce numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms
across the NW Bahamas and nearby waters. Farther east, divergence
aloft and a frontal boundary just north of our area support
scattered showers north of 26N and between 53W and 61W. The rest
of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad
subtropical ridge that sustains fresh to strong easterly trade
winds and locally rough seas off Haiti and eastern Cuba and the SE
Bahamas. The strongest winds and seas are at the entrance of the
Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-9
ft are noted south of 23N. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper level low pressure
currently over the NW Bahamas will move westward through the
weekend, bringing thunderstorms with locally strong winds,
frequent lightning and higher seas. Meanwhile, the subtropical
ridge will remain dominant through the period, supporting moderate
to fresh trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the
north. Pulsing strong and locally rough seas winds are expected
each night offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 10:29:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111029
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1025 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale-force off the coast of Colombia tonight. Rough to very rough
seas are forecast with these winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 10N to 14N and between 53W and 65W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 08N34W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N34W to 06N53W. Scattered moderate convection
is occurring from 04N to 11N and between 22W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The storm activity over the SE Gulf has diminished in the past
couple of hours, however, some showers and isolated thunderstorms
are noted in the northern and NW Gulf. The subtropical ridge
weakly extends into the Gulf waters supporting moderate or lighter
winds and seas of 2-4 ft.
For the forecast, an upper level low pressure currently over the NW
Bahamas will progress westward over the next several days, supporting
scattered moderate to strong convection. Additionally, a frontal
boundary will approach the northern Gulf coast enhancing the storm
activity across the area this weekend and into early next week.
Mariners should expect gusty winds, frequent lightning and higher
seas near the strongest storms. Elsewhere, high pressure will
dominate into next week, supporting mainly gentle to moderate SE
winds. However, fresh to strong easterly winds will pulse offshore
the Yucatan Peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia.
Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical moisture is producing
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the NW
Caribbean, especially west of 82W. Similar convection is noted in
the SW Caribbean. Meanwhile, a tropical wave approaching the
Lesser Antilles is bringing some showers to the SE Caribbean.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
low is supporting strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds
and rough to very rough seas over the central Caribbean and
Windward Passage, reaching gale force off Colombia. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail across the
remainder of the Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the islands and lower
environmental pressures over northern South America combine to
support strong to near gale-force easterly trades and rough seas
over the central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage. This
pattern will persist into next week. Winds will pulse to gale-
force off Colombia this morning and tonight. Trades over the Gulf
of Honduras will pulse to strong each evening through the forecast
period. Finally, moderate to locally fresh easterly breezes and
moderate seas are expected in the eastern Caribbean into next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper level low pressure and abundant tropical moisture
combine to produce numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms
across the NW Bahamas and nearby waters. Farther east, divergence
aloft and a frontal boundary just north of our area support
scattered showers north of 26N and between 53W and 61W. The rest
of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad
subtropical ridge that sustains fresh to strong easterly trade
winds and locally rough seas off Haiti and eastern Cuba and the SE
Bahamas. The strongest winds and seas are at the entrance of the
Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-9
ft are noted south of 23N. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper level low pressure
currently over the NW Bahamas will move westward through the
weekend, bringing thunderstorms with locally strong winds,
frequent lightning and higher seas. Meanwhile, the subtropical
ridge will remain dominant through the period, supporting moderate
to fresh trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the
north. Pulsing strong and locally rough seas winds are expected
each night offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 23:13:17 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 11 Jul 2026 15:40:05 GMT - Sat, 11 Jul 2026 11:13:17 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 111113
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 13:46:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111346
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SAT 11 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-041
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf