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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 10:12:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 311011
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
South America will continue to support strong to near gale-force
winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next
several days. Winds to gale-force in the offshore waters of
Colombia will dissipate by 12Z this morning. Seas to around 14 ft
are expected with these winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south
of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 08N to 12N between 37W and 41W.
A tropical wave has been relocated to near 57W, south of 20N and
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 12N to 15N between 55W and 58W.
An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N and
moving quickly westward at around 15-20 kt. Any nearby convection
is currently observed in the far eastern Tropical Pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
Mauritania at 21N17W to 12N44W. The ITCZ extends from 12N44W to
14N57W. In addition to the convection described in the Tropical
Waves section above, no convection is noted at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
25N86W within a broad ridge. As a result, gentle to moderate winds
and slight seas prevail across the Gulf. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, generated by a frontal
boundary N of the region. Isolated moderate convection is also
occurring ahead of a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend as a frontal
boundary remains just N of the area, and a very moist and
unstable airmass prevails over region.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.
High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the remainder of the
basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail. Some convection is present near eastern Honduras and
Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical wave and lower to mid
level support.
For the forecast, elsewhere outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to near-gale trades will continue to expand in coverage
across the central Caribbean through this morning as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
northern Colombian tightens. Fresh trades will continue elsewhere
south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast period.
Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight,
then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters.
Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
of 27N and west of 70W. Fresh to near gale force SW winds and 5
to 9 ft seas are in this region as well, highest winds and seas in
areas of convection. In the central Atlantic, a surface trough is
analyzed from 29N55W to 21N60W. Upper level divergence in the
same region as this trough is leading to scattered showers and
thunderstorms generally from 20N to 30N between 50W and 60W.
Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of
the tropical Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades are noted
north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to
strong N to NE winds from offshore Africa to the Cabo Verde
Islands, as well as along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
immediately east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across
the areas of fresh to strong winds. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical Atlantic
waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface ridge across the west
and central Atlantic will change little through Sat night before
it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week. The gradient
between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast
waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along
with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of
70W for the rest of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
mornings through the upcoming weekend.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 10:12:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 311011
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
South America will continue to support strong to near gale-force
winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next
several days. Winds to gale-force in the offshore waters of
Colombia will dissipate by 12Z this morning. Seas to around 14 ft
are expected with these winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south
of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 08N to 12N between 37W and 41W.
A tropical wave has been relocated to near 57W, south of 20N and
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 12N to 15N between 55W and 58W.
An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N and
moving quickly westward at around 15-20 kt. Any nearby convection
is currently observed in the far eastern Tropical Pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
Mauritania at 21N17W to 12N44W. The ITCZ extends from 12N44W to
14N57W. In addition to the convection described in the Tropical
Waves section above, no convection is noted at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
25N86W within a broad ridge. As a result, gentle to moderate winds
and slight seas prevail across the Gulf. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, generated by a frontal
boundary N of the region. Isolated moderate convection is also
occurring ahead of a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend as a frontal
boundary remains just N of the area, and a very moist and
unstable airmass prevails over region.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.
High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the remainder of the
basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail. Some convection is present near eastern Honduras and
Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical wave and lower to mid
level support.
For the forecast, elsewhere outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to near-gale trades will continue to expand in coverage
across the central Caribbean through this morning as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
northern Colombian tightens. Fresh trades will continue elsewhere
south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast period.
Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight,
then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters.
Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
of 27N and west of 70W. Fresh to near gale force SW winds and 5
to 9 ft seas are in this region as well, highest winds and seas in
areas of convection. In the central Atlantic, a surface trough is
analyzed from 29N55W to 21N60W. Upper level divergence in the
same region as this trough is leading to scattered showers and
thunderstorms generally from 20N to 30N between 50W and 60W.
Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of
the tropical Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades are noted
north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to
strong N to NE winds from offshore Africa to the Cabo Verde
Islands, as well as along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
immediately east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across
the areas of fresh to strong winds. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical Atlantic
waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface ridge across the west
and central Atlantic will change little through Sat night before
it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week. The gradient
between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast
waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along
with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of
70W for the rest of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
mornings through the upcoming weekend.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:07:09 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 31 Jul 2026 14:21:44 GMT - Fri, 31 Jul 2026 11:07:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 311107
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 13:51:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT FRI 31 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-061
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf