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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 23:44:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 252344 CCA
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1008 mb area of low
pressure is near 12N23.5W, a few hundred miles south of the Cabo
Verde Islands, and is producing scattered moderate isolated
strong convection from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W. Peak winds
are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft in the vicinity of the low.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during
the next day or two while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions could become less conducive for development by the
weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W from 06N-21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is occurring from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W.
This system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W south of 17N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.
A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N
to Cost Rica, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N between
80W and 87W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is across the Eastern Tropical Pacific from 04N to 09N E of 90W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1008 mb low at 12N23.5W, then westward to 13N41W to
12N47W. The ITCZ begins at 12N47W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 08N-13N between 31W-40W and from
11N-14N between 40W-51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Northerly middle level winds across the northern Gulf coast
continue to push scattered moderate isolated strong convection
across northern portions of the Gulf, southward to the area from
25N to 29N between 85W and 93W. The most intense convection there
is occurring across SE Louisiana and the adjacent coastal waters.
A weak 1018 mb high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N94W,
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-3 ft
this afternoon. A surface trough extends from a frontal system in
central Georgia, southwestward through the central Florida
Panhandle to 25N88W, while a second trough is across the central
Bay of Campeche. Modest convection accompanies both of these
troughs.
For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure will dominate the
basin through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming
weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate seas
offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the 1020 mb Bermuda High near
29N67W and the 1006 mb Colombian Low is forcing an expanding area
of fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean, from south
of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South America, where seas are 6 to 9
ft, and to 10 ft along the NE coast of Colombia. Elsewhere winds
are moderate or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin will
support fresh to strong winds south of 18N through the next
several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to minimal
gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia
during the next couple of evenings with locally very rough seas.
Mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic, has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A middle Atlantic upper-level trough north of the
Greater Antilles along about 60W is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 21N between 57W-62W.
East of 35W, a cold front is approaching the area from the north,
along 31N, and has squashed the ridge that has dominated that area
in recent days. Winds extending from the Canary Islands to north
of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N of 16N and E of
35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated deep layered trough
from north of the area southward along about 61W will continue to
support showers and thunderstorms over the waters north of 20N
between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high pressure
dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N through the
remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail
south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the
northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 23:44:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 252344 CCA
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1008 mb area of low
pressure is near 12N23.5W, a few hundred miles south of the Cabo
Verde Islands, and is producing scattered moderate isolated
strong convection from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W. Peak winds
are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft in the vicinity of the low.
Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual development,
and this system is likely to become a tropical depression during
the next day or two while it moves westward to west-northwestward
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions could become less conducive for development by the
weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W from 06N-21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is occurring from 08.5N 14N between 24W and 29W.
This system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W south of 17N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.
A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 69W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 82W, south of 20N
to Cost Rica, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N between
80W and 87W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is across the Eastern Tropical Pacific from 04N to 09N E of 90W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1008 mb low at 12N23.5W, then westward to 13N41W to
12N47W. The ITCZ begins at 12N47W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 08N-13N between 31W-40W and from
11N-14N between 40W-51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Northerly middle level winds across the northern Gulf coast
continue to push scattered moderate isolated strong convection
across northern portions of the Gulf, southward to the area from
25N to 29N between 85W and 93W. The most intense convection there
is occurring across SE Louisiana and the adjacent coastal waters.
A weak 1018 mb high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N94W,
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-3 ft
this afternoon. A surface trough extends from a frontal system in
central Georgia, southwestward through the central Florida
Panhandle to 25N88W, while a second trough is across the central
Bay of Campeche. Modest convection accompanies both of these
troughs.
For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure will dominate the
basin through the remainder of the week and into the upcoming
weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.
Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate seas
offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due
to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the 1020 mb Bermuda High near
29N67W and the 1006 mb Colombian Low is forcing an expanding area
of fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean, from south
of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South America, where seas are 6 to 9
ft, and to 10 ft along the NE coast of Colombia. Elsewhere winds
are moderate or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient across the Caribbean basin will
support fresh to strong winds south of 18N through the next
several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to minimal
gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia
during the next couple of evenings with locally very rough seas.
Mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic, has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A middle Atlantic upper-level trough north of the
Greater Antilles along about 60W is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 21N between 57W-62W.
East of 35W, a cold front is approaching the area from the north,
along 31N, and has squashed the ridge that has dominated that area
in recent days. Winds extending from the Canary Islands to north
of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N of 16N and E of
35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated deep layered trough
from north of the area southward along about 61W will continue to
support showers and thunderstorms over the waters north of 20N
between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high pressure
dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N through the
remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail
south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the
northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 11:32:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 26 Aug 2026 03:26:48 GMT - Tue, 25 Aug 2026 23:32:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 252332
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure located along a tropical wave a few hundred
miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce
showers and thunderstorms displaced southwest of its center. This
activity has changed little in organization this evening, but
environmental conditions remain somewhat favorable for gradual
development over the next couple of days. A tropical depression is
likely to form over the next day or two as the system moves westward
to west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic, though environmental conditions are forecast to become
less favorable for development by this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of
Bermuda is moving quickly north-northeastward at 20 to 25 mph. The
system's circulation remains elongated and its associated shower and
thunderstorm activity is also elongated. Environmental conditions
are becoming more hostile over the system, and its chances for
development are decreasing.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 14:10:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
404
NOUS42 KNHC 251410
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT TUE 25 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-086
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf