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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 04:52:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    454
    AXNT20 KNHC 200452
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0452 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new tropical wave has been introduced into the 00Z analysis.
    This wave is along 26W, south of 18N. Scattered moderated
    convection is depicted from 07N to 12N between 24W and 30W.

    A tropical wave is along 37.5W, south of 18N, moving westward at
    10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    observed from 07N to 14N and between 30W and 43W.

    A tropical wave is near 58.5W, south of 19N, moving westward at
    10 to 15 kt. Isolated convection is depicted from 12N to 14N
    between 55W and 61.5W.

    A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 74W,
    south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection extends northeastward across
    western Hispaniola.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and extends
    southwestward to 11N24W and to 10N52W. Beyond convection
    described above with the tropical waves, numerous moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N to 14N and east of
    18W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1017 mb high
    pressure located near 25N87W. This pattern supports a gentle to
    moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin, except for fresh
    to locally strong W winds over the NE Gulf and NE winds west of
    the Yucatan Peninsula. Slight to moderate seas of generally 3 ft
    or less prevail across the basin. An upper level low center
    across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
    scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions north of Tampa
    that are shifting westward to the NE Gulf. Another cluster of
    moderate to strong convection is noted north of 28.5N between 87W
    and 39W.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
    central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
    period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
    moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
    the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh
    to locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
    the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from
    the peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south-central Caribbean,
    and moderate to fresh winds across the remainder of the central
    part of the basin. Seas are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to
    moderate trades and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
    Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across
    the SW Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua,
    Costa Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the
    trade wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is
    producing isolated showers across the Lesser Antilles, south
    of 14N.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
    fresh to locally near gale-force trades along with rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast
    period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
    over the north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend
    and into early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the
    tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a
    tropical wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from 1017 mb low pressure near
    32N48.5W to 30N48.5W to a 1017 mb low pressure center located
    near 29.5N60.5W, then continues as a trough to just east of the
    SE Bahamas near 23.5N70W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
    stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
    isolated strong showers and thunderstorms S of the front and low
    between 47W and 60W. Moderate SW winds prevail south of the front.
    Seas area 4 to 6 ft within these winds. The remainder of the
    Atlantic is dominated by the Azores High centered near 42N29W,
    that extends southwestward across 30N and then a narrow ridge
    south of the front to near 74W. Under the influence of this
    system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds are occurring S of
    22N E of 40W, and S of 27N W of 40W. However, small areas of
    fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser Antilles, while
    moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 17N to 24N E of 35W. Seas
    across these areas are 6 to 8 ft. Otherwise, seas are generally
    moderate E of 63W, and slight to moderate W of 63W. Saharan Air
    continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of 13N between
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
    will weaken to a trough tonight into Thu. Elsewhere, a weak
    pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds over
    most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming weekend
    and into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh
    trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off northern
    Hispaniola through the period.


    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 04:52:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    454
    AXNT20 KNHC 200452
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0452 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new tropical wave has been introduced into the 00Z analysis.
    This wave is along 26W, south of 18N. Scattered moderated
    convection is depicted from 07N to 12N between 24W and 30W.

    A tropical wave is along 37.5W, south of 18N, moving westward at
    10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    observed from 07N to 14N and between 30W and 43W.

    A tropical wave is near 58.5W, south of 19N, moving westward at
    10 to 15 kt. Isolated convection is depicted from 12N to 14N
    between 55W and 61.5W.

    A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 74W,
    south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection extends northeastward across
    western Hispaniola.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W and extends
    southwestward to 11N24W and to 10N52W. Beyond convection
    described above with the tropical waves, numerous moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N to 14N and east of
    18W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1017 mb high
    pressure located near 25N87W. This pattern supports a gentle to
    moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin, except for fresh
    to locally strong W winds over the NE Gulf and NE winds west of
    the Yucatan Peninsula. Slight to moderate seas of generally 3 ft
    or less prevail across the basin. An upper level low center
    across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
    scattered showers and thunderstorms across portions north of Tampa
    that are shifting westward to the NE Gulf. Another cluster of
    moderate to strong convection is noted north of 28.5N between 87W
    and 39W.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
    central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
    period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
    moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
    the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh
    to locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
    the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from
    the peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south-central Caribbean,
    and moderate to fresh winds across the remainder of the central
    part of the basin. Seas are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to
    moderate trades and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
    Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across
    the SW Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua,
    Costa Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the
    trade wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is
    producing isolated showers across the Lesser Antilles, south
    of 14N.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
    fresh to locally near gale-force trades along with rough seas
    across the south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast
    period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
    over the north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend
    and into early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the
    tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a
    tropical wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from 1017 mb low pressure near
    32N48.5W to 30N48.5W to a 1017 mb low pressure center located
    near 29.5N60.5W, then continues as a trough to just east of the
    SE Bahamas near 23.5N70W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
    stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
    isolated strong showers and thunderstorms S of the front and low
    between 47W and 60W. Moderate SW winds prevail south of the front.
    Seas area 4 to 6 ft within these winds. The remainder of the
    Atlantic is dominated by the Azores High centered near 42N29W,
    that extends southwestward across 30N and then a narrow ridge
    south of the front to near 74W. Under the influence of this
    system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds are occurring S of
    22N E of 40W, and S of 27N W of 40W. However, small areas of
    fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser Antilles, while
    moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 17N to 24N E of 35W. Seas
    across these areas are 6 to 8 ft. Otherwise, seas are generally
    moderate E of 63W, and slight to moderate W of 63W. Saharan Air
    continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of 13N between
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
    will weaken to a trough tonight into Thu. Elsewhere, a weak
    pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds over
    most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming weekend
    and into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh
    trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off northern
    Hispaniola through the period.


    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 21 Aug 2026 17:20:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Aug 2026 06:01:28 GMT
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 05:20:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    766
    ABNT20 KNHC 200520
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 14:42:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    892
    NOUS42 KNHC 191441
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1045 AM EDT WED 19 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-080 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
    A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO SUSPECT AREA EP90 OVER THE CENTRAL
    PACIFIC NEAR 12.9N 146.4W FOR 21/1800Z.
    B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO EP90
    FOR 22/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 21/2000Z.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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