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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 19:36:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051935
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Nov 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1920 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1004 mb low pressure area,
located near 27N65.5W, is producing gale force winds to the north
and north of the center, as observed on afternoon scatterometer
satellite data. Widespread strong winds are occurring across much
of the central tropical Atlantic, generally north of 27N between
55W and 70W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere from 20N to 31N
between 55W and 72W. Recent buoy data indicate that rough seas of
8 to 12 ft are occurring in this region, with locally higher seas
to 16 ft noted near the gale force winds. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is also noted. Environmental conditions
could allow this system to gradually acquire some subtropical
characteristics during the next couple of days or so while it
moves slowly eastward over the western and central subtropical
Atlantic. By late this weekend, upper-level winds are forecast to
become unfavorable for further development of this system. A new
non- tropical low could form to its east this weekend. Although
environmental conditions are unlikely to support significant
subtropical or tropical development of that system, gale-force
winds are possible over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic
through the weekend. Winds and seas start to diminish thereafter,
as environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
further development. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOEP.html
for more details.
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through today. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your
local weather agency and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
08N15W. The ITCZ extends from 08N15W to 10N40W to the coast of
northern South America at 08N60W. Isolated to widely scattered
moderate convection is noted from 01N to 14N between 16W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the northeastern Gulf near
Pensacola, Florida and continues southwestward to 25N96.5W
offshore of NE Mexico. Farther southeast, a weak 1013 mb high
prevails, centered near 25N88W. This pattern is supporting
moderate or weaker winds, and 1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, the stalled frontal boundary from the Florida
panhandle to the NW Gulf will start to push southward as a cold
front across the Gulf waters Friday. Near gale NW winds are
expected in the SW Gulf Sun night and Mon west of the front.
Moderate to fresh winds will prevail elsewhere west of the front
on Sun through early next week as it moves east across the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A 1008 mb low is centered over the northwestern Caribbean near
17N82W with limited convection. Afternoon scatterometer satellite
data indicate mainly light to locally moderate NE to NE winds are
occurring northwest of this feature. Elsewhere, moderate to
locally strong convection is noted south of Hispaniola, and gusty
winds and rapidly building seas are likely in this region.
Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and 1-3 ft seas are occurring
across the rest of the basin, slightly higher seas near Atlantic
passages.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
the central Caribbean Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic and the potential for subtropical
development of this system (Invest AL94).
Elsewhere, a cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N25W
and extends southwestward to 25N37W. Moderate to locally fresh SW
winds are occurring south and east of the front. Farther west, a
surface trough extending from 25N38W to 27N51W to 31N52W is
producing locally fresh winds on either side of the feature.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere
over the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1004 mb low pres centered near
27N65W will drift through Fri then slowly move east-northeastward
during the weekend. An area of strong to gale-force winds, and
rough to very rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, prevails north of
the low and will expand eastward through Sun, impacting the waters
mainly north of about 27N. Elsewhere, a weakening cold front will
move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night,
then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 19:36:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051935
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Nov 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1920 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1004 mb low pressure area,
located near 27N65.5W, is producing gale force winds to the north
and north of the center, as observed on afternoon scatterometer
satellite data. Widespread strong winds are occurring across much
of the central tropical Atlantic, generally north of 27N between
55W and 70W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere from 20N to 31N
between 55W and 72W. Recent buoy data indicate that rough seas of
8 to 12 ft are occurring in this region, with locally higher seas
to 16 ft noted near the gale force winds. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is also noted. Environmental conditions
could allow this system to gradually acquire some subtropical
characteristics during the next couple of days or so while it
moves slowly eastward over the western and central subtropical
Atlantic. By late this weekend, upper-level winds are forecast to
become unfavorable for further development of this system. A new
non- tropical low could form to its east this weekend. Although
environmental conditions are unlikely to support significant
subtropical or tropical development of that system, gale-force
winds are possible over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic
through the weekend. Winds and seas start to diminish thereafter,
as environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable for
further development. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOEP.html
for more details.
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through today. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your
local weather agency and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
08N15W. The ITCZ extends from 08N15W to 10N40W to the coast of
northern South America at 08N60W. Isolated to widely scattered
moderate convection is noted from 01N to 14N between 16W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the northeastern Gulf near
Pensacola, Florida and continues southwestward to 25N96.5W
offshore of NE Mexico. Farther southeast, a weak 1013 mb high
prevails, centered near 25N88W. This pattern is supporting
moderate or weaker winds, and 1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, the stalled frontal boundary from the Florida
panhandle to the NW Gulf will start to push southward as a cold
front across the Gulf waters Friday. Near gale NW winds are
expected in the SW Gulf Sun night and Mon west of the front.
Moderate to fresh winds will prevail elsewhere west of the front
on Sun through early next week as it moves east across the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A 1008 mb low is centered over the northwestern Caribbean near
17N82W with limited convection. Afternoon scatterometer satellite
data indicate mainly light to locally moderate NE to NE winds are
occurring northwest of this feature. Elsewhere, moderate to
locally strong convection is noted south of Hispaniola, and gusty
winds and rapidly building seas are likely in this region.
Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and 1-3 ft seas are occurring
across the rest of the basin, slightly higher seas near Atlantic
passages.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
the central Caribbean Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic and the potential for subtropical
development of this system (Invest AL94).
Elsewhere, a cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N25W
and extends southwestward to 25N37W. Moderate to locally fresh SW
winds are occurring south and east of the front. Farther west, a
surface trough extending from 25N38W to 27N51W to 31N52W is
producing locally fresh winds on either side of the feature.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere
over the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1004 mb low pres centered near
27N65W will drift through Fri then slowly move east-northeastward
during the weekend. An area of strong to gale-force winds, and
rough to very rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, prevails north of
the low and will expand eastward through Sun, impacting the waters
mainly north of about 27N. Elsewhere, a weakening cold front will
move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night,
then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 05:55:20 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 21:06:17 GMT - Thu, 05 Nov 2026 17:55:20 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 051755
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic:
A gale-force, non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles south of Bermuda is producing disorganized convection to the
north and east of its center. Environmental conditions could allow
this system to gradually acquire some subtropical characteristics
during the next couple of days or so while it moves slowly eastward
over the western and central subtropical Atlantic. By late this
weekend, upper-level winds are forecast to become unfavorable for
further development of this system. A new non-tropical low could
form to its east this weekend. Although environmental conditions are
unlikely to support significant subtropical or tropical development
of that system, gale-force winds are possible over parts of the
central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend. For more
information, including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 16:59:52 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051659
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EST THU 05 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-158
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
09/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf