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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 05:36:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050536
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the west coast of Africa
soon, and will likely be added to the 0600 UTC analysis/surface
map.
A tropical wave is along 29N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the southern end of the
wave axis.
A tropical wave is along 56W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 16N to 20N between
54W and 58W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 72W,
and extends from Hispaniola to near the Venezuela/Colombia border.
No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24, then westward
to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 08N53W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 20W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region supporting light
to gentle winds, except gentle to moderate winds over the western
Gulf likely due to the pressure gradient between the ridge and a low
pressure area over NE Mexico. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. Isolated
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the central part of the
basin. Convection increases over north-central Florida where a
surface trough is analyzed. Once again, convection has flared-up
over the western Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters into the middle of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 7 ft
seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh
winds are blowing across the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are occurring over parts of Cuba and the Cayman
Islands and regional waters under a diffluent pattern aloft. Similar
convective activity is observed over northern central America.
For the forecast, the fresh to strong winds over the central Caribbean
will briefly diminish this weekend, then increase to strong speeds
early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail through early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1014 mb low pressure is centered off northeast Florida near 30.5N79W.
A surface trough extends from the low center across northern Florida.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these features.
Additional showers and thunderstorms along with moderate winds are
active along a trough reaching from 25N68W to just north of Hispaniola.
A 1018 mb high pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is
centered near 28N74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region
is also under the influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure
center of 1023 mb located midway between the Azores and the Madeira
Islands. Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail. A band of showers and thunderstorms ahead
of a cold front is reaching 30N between 40W and 50W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across the
area into early next week, generating a weak pressure pattern. This
will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas across the
area. A weak cold front may approach the northern waters, then stall
along 31N for the first part of next week.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 05:36:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050536
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is expected to emerge off the west coast of Africa
soon, and will likely be added to the 0600 UTC analysis/surface
map.
A tropical wave is along 29N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the southern end of the
wave axis.
A tropical wave is along 56W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 16N to 20N between
54W and 58W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 72W,
and extends from Hispaniola to near the Venezuela/Colombia border.
No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24, then westward
to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 08N53W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 20W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region supporting light
to gentle winds, except gentle to moderate winds over the western
Gulf likely due to the pressure gradient between the ridge and a low
pressure area over NE Mexico. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. Isolated
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, dot the central part of the
basin. Convection increases over north-central Florida where a
surface trough is analyzed. Once again, convection has flared-up
over the western Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters into the middle of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 7 ft
seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh
winds are blowing across the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms are occurring over parts of Cuba and the Cayman
Islands and regional waters under a diffluent pattern aloft. Similar
convective activity is observed over northern central America.
For the forecast, the fresh to strong winds over the central Caribbean
will briefly diminish this weekend, then increase to strong speeds
early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail through early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1014 mb low pressure is centered off northeast Florida near 30.5N79W.
A surface trough extends from the low center across northern Florida.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are associated with these features.
Additional showers and thunderstorms along with moderate winds are
active along a trough reaching from 25N68W to just north of Hispaniola.
A 1018 mb high pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is
centered near 28N74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region
is also under the influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure
center of 1023 mb located midway between the Azores and the Madeira
Islands. Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail. A band of showers and thunderstorms ahead
of a cold front is reaching 30N between 40W and 50W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will prevail across the
area into early next week, generating a weak pressure pattern. This
will support moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas across the
area. A weak cold front may approach the northern waters, then stall
along 31N for the first part of next week.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 17:11:46 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 05 Sep 2026 06:45:13 GMT - Sat, 05 Sep 2026 05:11:46 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 050511
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 16:17:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
515
NOUS42 KNHC 041617
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1220 PM EDT FRI 04 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-096
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE LOWELL
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
A. 05/1730Z,2330Z A. 06/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0612E LOWELL B. NOAA3 0712E LOWELL
C. 05/1530Z C. 05/2000Z
D. 13.6N 162.8W D. 13.8N 163.3W
E. 05/1700Z TO 05/2330Z E. 05/2130Z TO 06/0130Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 77
A. 06/0000Z A. 06/0530Z,1130Z
B. NOAA9 0812E LOWELL B. AFXXX 0912E LOWELL
C. 05/2100Z C. 06/0330Z
D. NA D. 14.1N 163.6W
E. NA E. 06/0530Z TO 06/1130Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT FIVE - NOAA 43
A. 06/1200Z
B. NOAA3 1012E LOWELL
C. 06/0800Z
D. 14.5N 163.8W
E. 06/0930Z TO 06/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES.
B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO LOWELL FOR
FOR 07/0000Z AND 07/1200Z, DEPARTING PHKO AT 06/2000Z AND
07/0800Z, RESPECTIVELY.
C. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND HURRICANE
LOWELL FOR 07/0000Z, DEPARTING KHNL AT 06/2100Z.
3. REMARK: DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 06/1200Z
SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN
THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT
1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf