2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 01 Jul 2026 11:01:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011100
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jul 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1040 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near
    26W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    confined to the monsoon trough region from 07N to 10N between 24W
    and 29W.

    A tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with axis near 46W,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 05N to 10N and between 40W and 50W.

    A tropical wave is moving across western Hispaniola and the
    central Caribbean. The wave axis is near 74W, south of 19N, and
    moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated showers are ongoing in the
    Windward Passage while scattered showers are offshore Colombia and
    E Panama.

    A tropical wave is moving across Central America with axis near
    84W, south of 19N, and moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is offshore Costa Rica and western Gulf of
    Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    W Africa near 22N16W and continues southwestward to 08N31W. The
    ITCZ extends from 08N31W to 07N58W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropivcal waves, scattered moderate
    convection is evident from 05N to 15N between 12W and 20W, and
    from 06N to 09N west of 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The Gulf is dominated by a weak ridge that supports gentle to
    moderate SE winds and slight seas W of 90W, and light to gentle
    winds and slight seas over the remainder Gulf. There are two
    surface troughs, one extending from SE Louisiana to the SW
    Florida seaboard, which is generating scattered showers over the
    NE Gulf, and a second trough is in the Bay of Campeche where is
    generating similar shower activity.

    For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the
    Gulf region the remainder of the week. Fresh to locally strong NE
    to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through
    Sun night due to local effects associated with a surface trough.
    Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the western
    half of the Gulf while moderate or weaker winds are expected
    elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
    to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-10 ft. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
    combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds over the central Caribbean through Sun night, except
    offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are
    likely to reach near gale-force at night. Moderate to rough seas
    are expected with the strongest winds. Otherwise, moderate to
    fresh trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate
    or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front is across the NW waters, extending from 31N72W
    to 28N79W. Scattered showers are ahead of the front to about 68W
    and N of 27N. Farther east, a pre-frontal trough extends from
    31N58W to 28N66W, which is generating scattered showers between
    55W and 62W. The Azores High extends a ridge across the remainder
    subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across these waters are
    moderate or weaker with moderate seas to 6 ft. East of 34W, a
    tighter pressure gradient with lower pressures over NW Africa is
    leading to fresh to locally strong NE winds along with rough seas
    to 10 ft, including the Canary Islands.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stattionary front will
    dissipate later today and its remnant trough will drift southward
    before moving WNW toward the southeastern U.S. coast late tonight
    into Thu. Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds
    are expected, except for moderate to fresh winds offshore
    Hispaniola mainly late in the afternoons into the early evening
    hours.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 01 Jul 2026 11:01:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011100
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jul 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1040 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near
    26W, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    confined to the monsoon trough region from 07N to 10N between 24W
    and 29W.

    A tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with axis near 46W,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 05N to 10N and between 40W and 50W.

    A tropical wave is moving across western Hispaniola and the
    central Caribbean. The wave axis is near 74W, south of 19N, and
    moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated showers are ongoing in the
    Windward Passage while scattered showers are offshore Colombia and
    E Panama.

    A tropical wave is moving across Central America with axis near
    84W, south of 19N, and moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is offshore Costa Rica and western Gulf of
    Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    W Africa near 22N16W and continues southwestward to 08N31W. The
    ITCZ extends from 08N31W to 07N58W. Aside from the convection
    associated with the tropivcal waves, scattered moderate
    convection is evident from 05N to 15N between 12W and 20W, and
    from 06N to 09N west of 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The Gulf is dominated by a weak ridge that supports gentle to
    moderate SE winds and slight seas W of 90W, and light to gentle
    winds and slight seas over the remainder Gulf. There are two
    surface troughs, one extending from SE Louisiana to the SW
    Florida seaboard, which is generating scattered showers over the
    NE Gulf, and a second trough is in the Bay of Campeche where is
    generating similar shower activity.

    For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the
    Gulf region the remainder of the week. Fresh to locally strong NE
    to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through
    Sun night due to local effects associated with a surface trough.
    Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the western
    half of the Gulf while moderate or weaker winds are expected
    elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
    to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-10 ft. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
    combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds over the central Caribbean through Sun night, except
    offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are
    likely to reach near gale-force at night. Moderate to rough seas
    are expected with the strongest winds. Otherwise, moderate to
    fresh trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate
    or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front is across the NW waters, extending from 31N72W
    to 28N79W. Scattered showers are ahead of the front to about 68W
    and N of 27N. Farther east, a pre-frontal trough extends from
    31N58W to 28N66W, which is generating scattered showers between
    55W and 62W. The Azores High extends a ridge across the remainder
    subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across these waters are
    moderate or weaker with moderate seas to 6 ft. East of 34W, a
    tighter pressure gradient with lower pressures over NW Africa is
    leading to fresh to locally strong NE winds along with rough seas
    to 10 ft, including the Canary Islands.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stattionary front will
    dissipate later today and its remnant trough will drift southward
    before moving WNW toward the southeastern U.S. coast late tonight
    into Thu. Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds
    are expected, except for moderate to fresh winds offshore
    Hispaniola mainly late in the afternoons into the early evening
    hours.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 02 Jul 2026 23:40:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 01 Jul 2026 11:50:05 GMT
  • Wed, 01 Jul 2026 11:40:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 011140
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 13:38:15 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 301338
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT TUE 30 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-030

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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