2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 24 May 2026 21:52:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 242152
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon May 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2140 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 30W from 12N southward, moving westward
    at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is observed near this
    tropical wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is analyzed south of Barbados along 59W, moving
    westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident
    over Guyana and western Venezuela.

    A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 82W, south of
    14N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. The position
    is based in part on the morning upper air sounding from San Andres
    Island. This wave is drifting west at 5 kt. No significant
    convection is noted at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Dakar, Senegal and
    continues southwestward to 05N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N30W.
    The ITCZ continues form 03N30W to 01N50W. No significant
    convection is evident at this time.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is active over
    the central Gulf this afternoon, along a squall line reaching from
    just south of the mouth of the Mississippi River to
    24N94W. Scattered moderate convection is also active near 28N87W,
    and off Brownsville, Texas. This convection is active in an area
    of upper level divergence, ahead of a mid/upper level trough
    reaching from central Texas to the Bay of Campeche. Strong gusty
    winds and rough seas are likely along the squall line. Gentle to
    moderate SE winds and 2-4 seas are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into the
    Gulf region. This system will continue to support a gentle to
    moderate E to SE wind flow through the middle of the week, with
    the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan
    from the late afternoons and into the night time hours due to
    local effects associated with a thermal trough. An upper-level
    disturbance continues to enhance the development of numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf, more concentrated
    over the NW part of the basin. These thunderstorms are capable of
    producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, limited visibility and
    locally rough seas. The SE flow will continue to advect abundant
    tropical moisture through at least the middle of the week helping
    to induce more convective activity across the Gulf waters. Mariners
    are urged to keep up with the latest forecast.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and the
    Colombian Low continues to support fresh to strong trades in the
    central Caribbean, including off the southern tip of Hispaniola,
    and in the Gulf of Honduras, as noted in recent scatterometer
    satellite data. Elsewhere, trades are moderate to fresh per the
    latest scatterometer data. Seas are 4-7 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades over the south-central Caribbean with rough seas
    through at least Wed night. Fresh to locally strong trades will
    pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras through the period.
    Fresh trades elsewhere across the basin will begin to increase in
    coverage starting Mon as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins
    to shift southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic waters, providing
    moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas across the basin mainly
    south of 25N. Winds are light to gentle north of 25N, with 3-5 ft
    seas, in closer proximity to high pressures centered north of the
    area.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds are forecast to increase over most of the
    waters S of 25N starting Mon, including the waters between Cuba
    and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to the Windward Passage
    as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift southeastward
    tightening the pressure gradient. The high pressure will then
    begin to weaken Wed allowing for the tight pressure gradient to
    slacken leading to diminishing winds and seas. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse north of Hispaniola through Tue night into Wed
    morning creating moderate to rough seas. The western part of a
    cold front will push south across the eastern portion of the area
    from tonight into early Mon before stalling near 27N, and
    dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong northeast winds along with
    moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with these marine
    conditions subsiding on Tue.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 24 May 2026 21:52:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 242152
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon May 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2140 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 30W from 12N southward, moving westward
    at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is observed near this
    tropical wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is analyzed south of Barbados along 59W, moving
    westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident
    over Guyana and western Venezuela.

    A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 82W, south of
    14N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. The position
    is based in part on the morning upper air sounding from San Andres
    Island. This wave is drifting west at 5 kt. No significant
    convection is noted at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Dakar, Senegal and
    continues southwestward to 05N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N30W.
    The ITCZ continues form 03N30W to 01N50W. No significant
    convection is evident at this time.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is active over
    the central Gulf this afternoon, along a squall line reaching from
    just south of the mouth of the Mississippi River to
    24N94W. Scattered moderate convection is also active near 28N87W,
    and off Brownsville, Texas. This convection is active in an area
    of upper level divergence, ahead of a mid/upper level trough
    reaching from central Texas to the Bay of Campeche. Strong gusty
    winds and rough seas are likely along the squall line. Gentle to
    moderate SE winds and 2-4 seas are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into the
    Gulf region. This system will continue to support a gentle to
    moderate E to SE wind flow through the middle of the week, with
    the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan
    from the late afternoons and into the night time hours due to
    local effects associated with a thermal trough. An upper-level
    disturbance continues to enhance the development of numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf, more concentrated
    over the NW part of the basin. These thunderstorms are capable of
    producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, limited visibility and
    locally rough seas. The SE flow will continue to advect abundant
    tropical moisture through at least the middle of the week helping
    to induce more convective activity across the Gulf waters. Mariners
    are urged to keep up with the latest forecast.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and the
    Colombian Low continues to support fresh to strong trades in the
    central Caribbean, including off the southern tip of Hispaniola,
    and in the Gulf of Honduras, as noted in recent scatterometer
    satellite data. Elsewhere, trades are moderate to fresh per the
    latest scatterometer data. Seas are 4-7 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades over the south-central Caribbean with rough seas
    through at least Wed night. Fresh to locally strong trades will
    pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras through the period.
    Fresh trades elsewhere across the basin will begin to increase in
    coverage starting Mon as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins
    to shift southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic waters, providing
    moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas across the basin mainly
    south of 25N. Winds are light to gentle north of 25N, with 3-5 ft
    seas, in closer proximity to high pressures centered north of the
    area.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds are forecast to increase over most of the
    waters S of 25N starting Mon, including the waters between Cuba
    and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to the Windward Passage
    as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift southeastward
    tightening the pressure gradient. The high pressure will then
    begin to weaken Wed allowing for the tight pressure gradient to
    slacken leading to diminishing winds and seas. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse north of Hispaniola through Tue night into Wed
    morning creating moderate to rough seas. The western part of a
    cold front will push south across the eastern portion of the area
    from tonight into early Mon before stalling near 27N, and
    dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong northeast winds along with
    moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with these marine
    conditions subsiding on Tue.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 26 May 2026 11:10:33 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 25 May 2026 01:16:06 GMT
  • Sun, 24 May 2026 23:10:33 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 242310
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun May 24 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin/Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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