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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 23 May 2026 17:05:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 231705
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat May 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1650 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 20W from 13N southward, moving westward
at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection, enhanced by the Monsoon
Trough and nearby ITCZ, is from 01N to 06N between 10W and 23W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 48W, south of 12N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from the
equator to 05N between 47W and 51W, including coastal regions of
far NE Brazil.
A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 81W, south of
15N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. This wave is
nearly stationary, with surface and upper air data from San Andres
Island indicating the wave remains east of the island. Scattered
showers and tstorms are along the coasts of Panama and Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 04N23W. The ITCZ extends from 04N23W to 01N43W,
east of a tropical wave. Outside of the convection related to the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm
north and south of the ITCZ.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is along the coast of Louisiana,
north of 28N between 88W and 94W. Scattered moderate convection is
also moving off the south Texas coast. These unsettled areas of
weather will persist for the next several hours over water.
Elsewhere, the subtropical Atlantic ridge extends across Florida
and much of the central and eastern Gulf waters. Satellite
scatterometer data indicates gentle to moderate SE winds across
the basin. Seas are analyzed to range from 2-4 ft. The diurnal
trough in the Bay of Campeche dissipated earlier this morning.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western Atlantic to
the northern Gulf will change little through late Mon, then
weaken into midweek. The related pressure gradient will maintain
a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow through early
Sun, except for light to gentle southeast winds W of about 94W
Sat night through Tue as a weak trough develops off the Texas
coast. Winds then generally become southeast at gentle to
moderate speeds across the basin through midweek, with slight to
moderate seas, with the exception of fresh to strong winds
pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the
night time hours due to local effects associated with a thermal
trough. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected near
the above mentioned trough.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the region and
the Colombian Low supports fresh to locally strong trades in the
south-central Caribbean, where seas are 7 to 9 ft. Elsewhere,
satellite scatterometer data received this morning indicates
moderate to fresh trades across the basin. Satellite altimeter
data supports an analysis of 4-7 ft seas across the Caribbean.
Pockets of low-level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow,
are affecting the remainder of the region by generating isolated
passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central Caribbean into early next week creating rough seas over
these waters. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades elsewhere across
the basin will begin to increase in coverage starting early next
week as stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift
southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure dominates the Atlantic waters, providing for gentle
to moderate trades and 4-7 ft seas across the basin. Pockets of
low-level moisture embedded in the trade wind flow may generate a
few passing showers, especially in the western Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will continue to
dominate most of the forecast region this weekend into early next
week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during
the afternoons and evenings going into early next week. The
western part of a backdoor cold front will push south across the
eastern portion of the area from Sun afternoon into Mon before
stalling near 26N, then begin to weaken, dissipating on Tue. Fresh
to strong northeast winds along with moderate to rough seas will
follow the front, subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are
forecast to increase over most of the western half of the area
starting Mon, including the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as
well as the entrance to the Windward Passage as stronger Atlantic
high pressure begins to shift southeastward tightening the
pressure gradient.
$$
Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 23 May 2026 17:05:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 231705
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat May 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1650 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 20W from 13N southward, moving westward
at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection, enhanced by the Monsoon
Trough and nearby ITCZ, is from 01N to 06N between 10W and 23W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 48W, south of 12N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from the
equator to 05N between 47W and 51W, including coastal regions of
far NE Brazil.
A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 81W, south of
15N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. This wave is
nearly stationary, with surface and upper air data from San Andres
Island indicating the wave remains east of the island. Scattered
showers and tstorms are along the coasts of Panama and Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 04N23W. The ITCZ extends from 04N23W to 01N43W,
east of a tropical wave. Outside of the convection related to the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm
north and south of the ITCZ.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is along the coast of Louisiana,
north of 28N between 88W and 94W. Scattered moderate convection is
also moving off the south Texas coast. These unsettled areas of
weather will persist for the next several hours over water.
Elsewhere, the subtropical Atlantic ridge extends across Florida
and much of the central and eastern Gulf waters. Satellite
scatterometer data indicates gentle to moderate SE winds across
the basin. Seas are analyzed to range from 2-4 ft. The diurnal
trough in the Bay of Campeche dissipated earlier this morning.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western Atlantic to
the northern Gulf will change little through late Mon, then
weaken into midweek. The related pressure gradient will maintain
a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow through early
Sun, except for light to gentle southeast winds W of about 94W
Sat night through Tue as a weak trough develops off the Texas
coast. Winds then generally become southeast at gentle to
moderate speeds across the basin through midweek, with slight to
moderate seas, with the exception of fresh to strong winds
pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the
night time hours due to local effects associated with a thermal
trough. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected near
the above mentioned trough.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the region and
the Colombian Low supports fresh to locally strong trades in the
south-central Caribbean, where seas are 7 to 9 ft. Elsewhere,
satellite scatterometer data received this morning indicates
moderate to fresh trades across the basin. Satellite altimeter
data supports an analysis of 4-7 ft seas across the Caribbean.
Pockets of low-level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow,
are affecting the remainder of the region by generating isolated
passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central Caribbean into early next week creating rough seas over
these waters. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades elsewhere across
the basin will begin to increase in coverage starting early next
week as stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift
southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure dominates the Atlantic waters, providing for gentle
to moderate trades and 4-7 ft seas across the basin. Pockets of
low-level moisture embedded in the trade wind flow may generate a
few passing showers, especially in the western Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will continue to
dominate most of the forecast region this weekend into early next
week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during
the afternoons and evenings going into early next week. The
western part of a backdoor cold front will push south across the
eastern portion of the area from Sun afternoon into Mon before
stalling near 26N, then begin to weaken, dissipating on Tue. Fresh
to strong northeast winds along with moderate to rough seas will
follow the front, subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are
forecast to increase over most of the western half of the area
starting Mon, including the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as
well as the entrance to the Windward Passage as stronger Atlantic
high pressure begins to shift southeastward tightening the
pressure gradient.
$$
Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 24 May 2026 23:26:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 23 May 2026 17:10:12 GMT - Sat, 23 May 2026 11:26:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 231126
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat May 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf