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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 10:00:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 101000
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Nov 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from 996 mb
    low pressure near 31N39W to 23N50W. Ahead of this front, gale-
    force southwesterlies are present N of 26N and E of 39W, extending
    to about 30W. Very rough seas of up to 20 ft extend beyond this
    area of gales southward to 22W and westward to 45W. This low
    pressure and cold front will move rapidly east, ending gales west
    of 35W this morning. However, very rough seas will prevail into
    tonight, with rough seas decaying below 8 ft Wed evening.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12N16W to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends
    from 10N20W to 07N35W to 08N52W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 03N to 09N east of 40W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    1023 mb high pressure is centered over the lower Mississippi
    Valley. This is supporting mainly gentle to moderate winds and
    slight seas through the basin. A surface trough extending from the
    mouth of the Rio Grande to just offshore Vercruz, Mexico, is
    inducing scattered moderate convection within 60 nm either side of
    its axis.

    For the forecast, winds will diminish further until Wed night,
    when a cold front will exit the Texas coast and move SE through
    the basin, exiting by Fri. The front will bring fresh to locally
    strong winds and building seas. High pressure will settle in in
    the wake of the front this weekend with moderate to fresh easterly
    winds expected.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
    the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
    fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
    to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central
    Caribbean and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted in and near the Gulf of Honduras, where trade winds are
    converging.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
    will prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Thu, with
    mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
    will weaken Thu night into Fri as a cold front approaches the
    Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate to fresh NW winds
    and building seas are possible behind this front in the NW basin
    into the weekend.


    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning for waters N of 25N and E of 40W.

    In addition to the gale center listed in the Special Features
    section, a weak 1015 mb low pressure is centered near 27N67W. A
    cold front extends from 31N56W to the low pressure to the SE
    Bahamas. Outside the area of winds and seas described in the
    Special Features near the gale center, gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas in a mix of swell.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front and
    low will move east through tonight and exit the region by Wed.
    Another front will move off the SE U.S. coast Thu, bringing fresh
    to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it, that will
    prevail into the weekend. By early Sat, the front will extend from
    Bermuda to the SE Bahamas.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 10:00:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 101000
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Nov 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from 996 mb
    low pressure near 31N39W to 23N50W. Ahead of this front, gale-
    force southwesterlies are present N of 26N and E of 39W, extending
    to about 30W. Very rough seas of up to 20 ft extend beyond this
    area of gales southward to 22W and westward to 45W. This low
    pressure and cold front will move rapidly east, ending gales west
    of 35W this morning. However, very rough seas will prevail into
    tonight, with rough seas decaying below 8 ft Wed evening.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12N16W to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends
    from 10N20W to 07N35W to 08N52W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 03N to 09N east of 40W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    1023 mb high pressure is centered over the lower Mississippi
    Valley. This is supporting mainly gentle to moderate winds and
    slight seas through the basin. A surface trough extending from the
    mouth of the Rio Grande to just offshore Vercruz, Mexico, is
    inducing scattered moderate convection within 60 nm either side of
    its axis.

    For the forecast, winds will diminish further until Wed night,
    when a cold front will exit the Texas coast and move SE through
    the basin, exiting by Fri. The front will bring fresh to locally
    strong winds and building seas. High pressure will settle in in
    the wake of the front this weekend with moderate to fresh easterly
    winds expected.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
    the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
    fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
    to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-central
    Caribbean and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted in and near the Gulf of Honduras, where trade winds are
    converging.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
    will prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Thu, with
    mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
    will weaken Thu night into Fri as a cold front approaches the
    Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate to fresh NW winds
    and building seas are possible behind this front in the NW basin
    into the weekend.


    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning for waters N of 25N and E of 40W.

    In addition to the gale center listed in the Special Features
    section, a weak 1015 mb low pressure is centered near 27N67W. A
    cold front extends from 31N56W to the low pressure to the SE
    Bahamas. Outside the area of winds and seas described in the
    Special Features near the gale center, gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas in a mix of swell.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front and
    low will move east through tonight and exit the region by Wed.
    Another front will move off the SE U.S. coast Thu, bringing fresh
    to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it, that will
    prevail into the weekend. By early Sat, the front will extend from
    Bermuda to the SE Bahamas.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 23:23:52 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 10 Nov 2026 13:50:24 GMT
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 11:23:52 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 101123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:01:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 091701
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1200 PM EST MON 09 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-162

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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