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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 04:24:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100423
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Nov 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from an occluded
    997 mb low pressure centered near 31N49W to 22N47W, then is a trough
    to 18N60W. The low and associated front are moving to the E-NE at
    20 kt. Recent scatterometer satellite data shows winds reaching
    35 to 45 kt within 120 nm of the center of the low. Concurrent
    altimeter satellite data shows rough to very rough seas in this
    area as well. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas
    extend from north of 20N between 30W and 55W. The low pressure and
    associated strong to gale force winds will move east of 35W by Tue
    afternoon. Associated seas 8 ft or greater will gradually subside
    west of 35W through Wed afternoon.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12N16W to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends
    from 10N20W to 07N35W to 08N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 03N to 09N east of 25W, 03N to 09N between 30W and 40W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    1023 mb high pressure is centered over the lower Mississippi
    Valley, with weak 1017 mb low pressure centered northeast Mexico.
    This is supporting gentle to moderate NE to E winds across the
    basin, with 1-3 ft seas over the eastern Gulf and 2-4 ft seas over
    the western Gulf.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure across the area supports
    gentle to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW Gulf.
    Slight seas dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate seas
    elsewhere. Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the basin
    by Wed. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf Wed night
    and rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area by
    Fri. The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong winds
    and building seas. High pressure will settle across the basin in
    the wake of the front during the weekend with moderate to fresh
    return flow.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    1020 mb high pressure is centered north of the area near 29N75W,
    supporting fresh to strong winds off northwest Venezuela, with
    moderate to fresh winds elsewhere over the central Caribbean.
    Gentle to moderate are noted elsewhere. Seas are 4-6 ft over the
    central Caribbean and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered showers are
    observed between eastern Honduras and Grand Cayman Island.

    For the forecast, moderate trades will prevail, except fresh to locally
    strong E winds will pulse in the south-central basin. Rough seas
    will occur where the winds are highest, otherwise seas will be
    mainly moderate. By the end of the week, the pressure gradient
    will weaken as a cold front approaches from the northwest, so
    trades will lessen. The front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri and
    gradually wash out into the weekend, with moderate to fresh winds
    and building seas behind it.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning and associated conditions near 45W.

    In addition to the gale center listed in the Special Features
    section, a weak 1015 mb low pressure is centered near 27N68W. A
    cold front extends from 31N57W to the low pressure to the central
    Bahamas. Outside the area of winds and seas described in the
    Special Features near the gale center, gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas in a mix of swell.

    For the forecast west of 55W, broad high pressure across the area
    supports gentle to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW
    Gulf. Slight seas dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate
    seas elsewhere. Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the
    basin by Wed. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf Wed
    night and rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the
    area by Fri. The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong
    winds and building seas. High pressure will settle across the
    basin in the wake of the front during the weekend with moderate to
    fresh return flow.

    $$

    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 04:24:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100423
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Nov 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from an occluded
    997 mb low pressure centered near 31N49W to 22N47W, then is a trough
    to 18N60W. The low and associated front are moving to the E-NE at
    20 kt. Recent scatterometer satellite data shows winds reaching
    35 to 45 kt within 120 nm of the center of the low. Concurrent
    altimeter satellite data shows rough to very rough seas in this
    area as well. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas
    extend from north of 20N between 30W and 55W. The low pressure and
    associated strong to gale force winds will move east of 35W by Tue
    afternoon. Associated seas 8 ft or greater will gradually subside
    west of 35W through Wed afternoon.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12N16W to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends
    from 10N20W to 07N35W to 08N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 03N to 09N east of 25W, 03N to 09N between 30W and 40W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    1023 mb high pressure is centered over the lower Mississippi
    Valley, with weak 1017 mb low pressure centered northeast Mexico.
    This is supporting gentle to moderate NE to E winds across the
    basin, with 1-3 ft seas over the eastern Gulf and 2-4 ft seas over
    the western Gulf.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure across the area supports
    gentle to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW Gulf.
    Slight seas dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate seas
    elsewhere. Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the basin
    by Wed. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf Wed night
    and rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area by
    Fri. The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong winds
    and building seas. High pressure will settle across the basin in
    the wake of the front during the weekend with moderate to fresh
    return flow.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    1020 mb high pressure is centered north of the area near 29N75W,
    supporting fresh to strong winds off northwest Venezuela, with
    moderate to fresh winds elsewhere over the central Caribbean.
    Gentle to moderate are noted elsewhere. Seas are 4-6 ft over the
    central Caribbean and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered showers are
    observed between eastern Honduras and Grand Cayman Island.

    For the forecast, moderate trades will prevail, except fresh to locally
    strong E winds will pulse in the south-central basin. Rough seas
    will occur where the winds are highest, otherwise seas will be
    mainly moderate. By the end of the week, the pressure gradient
    will weaken as a cold front approaches from the northwest, so
    trades will lessen. The front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri and
    gradually wash out into the weekend, with moderate to fresh winds
    and building seas behind it.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning and associated conditions near 45W.

    In addition to the gale center listed in the Special Features
    section, a weak 1015 mb low pressure is centered near 27N68W. A
    cold front extends from 31N57W to the low pressure to the central
    Bahamas. Outside the area of winds and seas described in the
    Special Features near the gale center, gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas in a mix of swell.

    For the forecast west of 55W, broad high pressure across the area
    supports gentle to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW
    Gulf. Slight seas dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate
    seas elsewhere. Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the
    basin by Wed. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf Wed
    night and rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the
    area by Fri. The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong
    winds and building seas. High pressure will settle across the
    basin in the wake of the front during the weekend with moderate to
    fresh return flow.

    $$

    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:09:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 10 Nov 2026 07:10:09 GMT
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 05:09:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 100509
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Tue Nov 10 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:01:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 091701
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1200 PM EST MON 09 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-162

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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