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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:28:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041728
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Nov 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A sharp trough is analyzed this
evening from 29N64W to 19N65W, underneath an upper trough
extending from Bermuda southwestward over the Bahamas and S
Florida. A 1010 mb low is analyzed along the trough near 26N66W.
Recent buoy observations and scatterometer data showed strong to
near-gale E to NE winds N of 26N between 55W and 70W, while recent
altimeter data showed 8-11 ft seas between the Bahamas and
Bermuda. As the low strengthens today, the pressure gradient is
expected to yield near-gale to gale-force NE to E winds beginning
this afternoon, roughly over the waters N of 29N between 60W and
70W. Seas are expected to build to 10-15 ft with these winds
through Thu as the low pressure drifts east-northeastward. The
low pressure could acquire some subtropical characteristics late
this week as it continues to shift slowly E-NE across the sub-
tropical Atlantic. Gale-force winds may continue across northern
portions of this expected broad low pressure into late Sat.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean and eastern Pacific will interact
with enhanced low-level moisture over the western Caribbean
during the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America, northern South America, as well
as Jamaica through Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across the Pacific coasts of Costa Rica, Panama, and Nicaragua,
with the bulk of precipitation occurring today and Thursday. Heavy
rainfall will lead to possible life-threatening flash flooding
and landslides. Please refer to your local weather agency and the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from coast of Guinea near
11N15W, and continues southwestward to 07N21W. The ITCZ and
continues from that point to 09.5N61W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring along and within 250 nm of these features
generally E of 53W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front reaches from the SE LA coast near 29N91W to the NE
Mexico coast just north of Tampico. Moderate to fresh N to NE
winds follow the front. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
in the far NE Gulf, driven by convergent surface winds in the E
Gulf and a pre-frontal trough near the FL Panhandle. Surface
ridging prevails elsewhere across much of the Gulf, supporting
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas.
For the forecast, a cold front across the NW Gulf will weaken and
dissipate by tonight. Moderate northwest to north winds prevail
west of the front. The next cold front is expected to move across
the Gulf waters this weekend. Fresh to strong north winds will
develop west of the front and west of 93W on Sun, with moderate
north to northeast winds elsewhere behind the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep-layer troughing across the northwestern Caribbean supports
scattered moderate to strong convection from 08N to 18N between
71W and 81W. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between surface
ridging in the Atlantic and the 1009 mb Colombia low supports
moderate to fresh trades across the north-central and NW Caribbean
N of 14N between 75W and 82W. Gentle to moderate or weaker trades
prevail across the remainder of the basin. Seas of 1-4 ft are seen
across the Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area today. This
will diminish the moderate trades across the central and eastern
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
A frontal boundary extends from a 1013 mb low near 30N35W to
26N38W to 28N64W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
occurring from 23N to 30N between 54W and 63W, with additional
scattered moderate convection occurring farther east along the
front from 21N to 29N between 37W and 54W. In addition to the
winds and seas described in the Special Features section above,
moderate to fresh NE winds and 5-8 ft seas prevail across much of
the waters W of 70W. Fresh to strong SW winds and seas of 5-8 ft
prevail E of the front across areas N of 27N and W of 30W. Gentle
to moderate or weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail elsewhere
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1010 mb low pressure centered
near 26N66W will track slowly east- northeastward during the rest
of the week and the weekend. A broad zone of strong to gale- force
winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, will
develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward from this
afternoon through Sun, impacting the waters mainly north of about
27N. The gale-force winds will likely be north of 29N from this
afternoon through Sat night. A weakening cold front will move
across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night, then
dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:28:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041728
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Nov 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A sharp trough is analyzed this
evening from 29N64W to 19N65W, underneath an upper trough
extending from Bermuda southwestward over the Bahamas and S
Florida. A 1010 mb low is analyzed along the trough near 26N66W.
Recent buoy observations and scatterometer data showed strong to
near-gale E to NE winds N of 26N between 55W and 70W, while recent
altimeter data showed 8-11 ft seas between the Bahamas and
Bermuda. As the low strengthens today, the pressure gradient is
expected to yield near-gale to gale-force NE to E winds beginning
this afternoon, roughly over the waters N of 29N between 60W and
70W. Seas are expected to build to 10-15 ft with these winds
through Thu as the low pressure drifts east-northeastward. The
low pressure could acquire some subtropical characteristics late
this week as it continues to shift slowly E-NE across the sub-
tropical Atlantic. Gale-force winds may continue across northern
portions of this expected broad low pressure into late Sat.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean and eastern Pacific will interact
with enhanced low-level moisture over the western Caribbean
during the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America, northern South America, as well
as Jamaica through Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across the Pacific coasts of Costa Rica, Panama, and Nicaragua,
with the bulk of precipitation occurring today and Thursday. Heavy
rainfall will lead to possible life-threatening flash flooding
and landslides. Please refer to your local weather agency and the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from coast of Guinea near
11N15W, and continues southwestward to 07N21W. The ITCZ and
continues from that point to 09.5N61W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring along and within 250 nm of these features
generally E of 53W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front reaches from the SE LA coast near 29N91W to the NE
Mexico coast just north of Tampico. Moderate to fresh N to NE
winds follow the front. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
in the far NE Gulf, driven by convergent surface winds in the E
Gulf and a pre-frontal trough near the FL Panhandle. Surface
ridging prevails elsewhere across much of the Gulf, supporting
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas.
For the forecast, a cold front across the NW Gulf will weaken and
dissipate by tonight. Moderate northwest to north winds prevail
west of the front. The next cold front is expected to move across
the Gulf waters this weekend. Fresh to strong north winds will
develop west of the front and west of 93W on Sun, with moderate
north to northeast winds elsewhere behind the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep-layer troughing across the northwestern Caribbean supports
scattered moderate to strong convection from 08N to 18N between
71W and 81W. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between surface
ridging in the Atlantic and the 1009 mb Colombia low supports
moderate to fresh trades across the north-central and NW Caribbean
N of 14N between 75W and 82W. Gentle to moderate or weaker trades
prevail across the remainder of the basin. Seas of 1-4 ft are seen
across the Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area today. This
will diminish the moderate trades across the central and eastern
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
A frontal boundary extends from a 1013 mb low near 30N35W to
26N38W to 28N64W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
occurring from 23N to 30N between 54W and 63W, with additional
scattered moderate convection occurring farther east along the
front from 21N to 29N between 37W and 54W. In addition to the
winds and seas described in the Special Features section above,
moderate to fresh NE winds and 5-8 ft seas prevail across much of
the waters W of 70W. Fresh to strong SW winds and seas of 5-8 ft
prevail E of the front across areas N of 27N and W of 30W. Gentle
to moderate or weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail elsewhere
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1010 mb low pressure centered
near 26N66W will track slowly east- northeastward during the rest
of the week and the weekend. A broad zone of strong to gale- force
winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, will
develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward from this
afternoon through Sun, impacting the waters mainly north of about
27N. The gale-force winds will likely be north of 29N from this
afternoon through Sat night. A weakening cold front will move
across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night, then
dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 05:32:55 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 04 Nov 2026 18:55:10 GMT - Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:32:55 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 041732
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic:
A non-tropical low pressure area is located a few hundred miles
south of Bermuda. Environmental conditions could support this
system gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics through this
weekend while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. By early next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. For
more information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:34:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041634
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EST WED 04 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-157
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf