Skip to main content

2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

147 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Follow On Facebook

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ Cash Back On Gas
Shop Store For Essentials2026 Hurricane Season Supplies

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:58:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062358
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Mon Sep 07 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2345 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 25W south
    of 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    convection is presently occurring with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
    20N. It is moving westward around 15 kt. Only isolated showers
    are seen near its southern portion from 07N to 09N.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W. It is
    moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
    is presently occurring with this wave.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 81W, reaching
    southward to central Panama. It is extends from central Cuba
    southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving west
    at around 10 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are south of
    11N west of the wave inland Central America, and also south of
    10N east of the wave to the northwest portion of Colombia. This
    activity is being further enhanced by the eastern extension of
    the East Pacific monsoon trough that crosses the wave axis near
    10N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16W, and
    continues southwestward to 05N32W, then west-northwestward
    to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to near 07N55W.
    Aside from convection described above under Tropical Waves,
    convection remains very limited across the area under a dry and
    stable atmospheric environment. At best, only isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are present.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A shortwave trough aloft moving through the southeastern U.S. is
    working on a very moist and unstable airmass that is in place
    over the region. This is resulting in scattered showers and
    thunderstorms over some sections of northern and central Florida,
    southern Alabama and Mississippi. A weak trough near the southeastern
    Gulf is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    south of about 25N and east of 92W to near the Florida Keys and
    over some sections of the Straits of Florida. Otherwise, relatively
    weak high pressure, anchored by a 1014 mb high near 26N87W, is
    providing for light to gentle winds in the vicinity of the high
    center. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly
    gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas are over the forecast
    waters.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
    persist across the Gulf basin through the period, supporting
    mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over most of the
    waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
    western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
    surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
    and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
    Caribbean as highlighted by satellite scatterometer data passes.
    Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends east to
    west roughly along 25N to South Florida. The pressure gradient
    between this subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is
    supporting fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas over
    the south- central Caribbean. The gradient will begin to tighten
    starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, and
    locally near-gale force, with rough seas, Mon through midweek.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    will prevail through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The combination of a mid-level trough and ample deep atmospheric
    moisture and instability in place is supporting numerous showers
    and thunderstorms north of about 23N and west of 72W. Similar
    activity to the southeast of a frontal boundary is noted north
    of 27N between 56W and 72W. The remainder of the Atlantic
    forecast region is under the influence of high pressure, anchored
    by a 1018 mb high center near 25N54W. The associated gradient is
    generally allowing for gentle winds near the high center, as
    well as along the ridge extending from the high along 25N. A
    stronger high center of 1026 mb is centered north of the area
    near 36N21W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
    pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
    winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W as depicted in
    satellite scatterometer data passes. Elsewhere, moderate winds
    prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the high center near 25N54W will
    gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early next
    week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
    the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front will approach the
    northern waters tonight, hen stall near 31N through midweek
    before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
    active across these northern waters west of 65W through Tue.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:58:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062358
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Mon Sep 07 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2345 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 25W south
    of 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    convection is presently occurring with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
    20N. It is moving westward around 15 kt. Only isolated showers
    are seen near its southern portion from 07N to 09N.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W. It is
    moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
    is presently occurring with this wave.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 81W, reaching
    southward to central Panama. It is extends from central Cuba
    southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving west
    at around 10 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are south of
    11N west of the wave inland Central America, and also south of
    10N east of the wave to the northwest portion of Colombia. This
    activity is being further enhanced by the eastern extension of
    the East Pacific monsoon trough that crosses the wave axis near
    10N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16W, and
    continues southwestward to 05N32W, then west-northwestward
    to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to near 07N55W.
    Aside from convection described above under Tropical Waves,
    convection remains very limited across the area under a dry and
    stable atmospheric environment. At best, only isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are present.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A shortwave trough aloft moving through the southeastern U.S. is
    working on a very moist and unstable airmass that is in place
    over the region. This is resulting in scattered showers and
    thunderstorms over some sections of northern and central Florida,
    southern Alabama and Mississippi. A weak trough near the southeastern
    Gulf is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    south of about 25N and east of 92W to near the Florida Keys and
    over some sections of the Straits of Florida. Otherwise, relatively
    weak high pressure, anchored by a 1014 mb high near 26N87W, is
    providing for light to gentle winds in the vicinity of the high
    center. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly
    gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas are over the forecast
    waters.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
    persist across the Gulf basin through the period, supporting
    mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over most of the
    waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
    western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
    surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
    and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
    Caribbean as highlighted by satellite scatterometer data passes.
    Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends east to
    west roughly along 25N to South Florida. The pressure gradient
    between this subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is
    supporting fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas over
    the south- central Caribbean. The gradient will begin to tighten
    starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, and
    locally near-gale force, with rough seas, Mon through midweek.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    will prevail through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The combination of a mid-level trough and ample deep atmospheric
    moisture and instability in place is supporting numerous showers
    and thunderstorms north of about 23N and west of 72W. Similar
    activity to the southeast of a frontal boundary is noted north
    of 27N between 56W and 72W. The remainder of the Atlantic
    forecast region is under the influence of high pressure, anchored
    by a 1018 mb high center near 25N54W. The associated gradient is
    generally allowing for gentle winds near the high center, as
    well as along the ridge extending from the high along 25N. A
    stronger high center of 1026 mb is centered north of the area
    near 36N21W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
    pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
    winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W as depicted in
    satellite scatterometer data passes. Elsewhere, moderate winds
    prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the high center near 25N54W will
    gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early next
    week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
    the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front will approach the
    northern waters tonight, hen stall near 31N through midweek
    before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
    active across these northern waters west of 65W through Tue.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 08 Sep 2026 11:20:39 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 07 Sep 2026 02:28:10 GMT
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:20:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 062320
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 22:45:12 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 062245
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0645 PM EDT SUN 06 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-098 AMENDMENT

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE LOWELL
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 (CHGD) FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
    A. 07/1730Z,2030Z,2330Z A. 08/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 1012E LOWELL B. NOAA3 1112E LOWELL
    C. 07/1530Z C. 07/2000Z
    D. 18.5N 162.7W D. 20.0N 162.5W
    E. 07/1700Z TO 07/2330Z E. 07/2130Z TO 08/0130Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 76 (CHGD) FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 78
    A. 08/0230Z,0530Z A. 08/0830Z,1130Z,1430Z
    B. AFXXX 1212E LOWELL B. AFXXX 1312E LOWELL
    C. 08/0045Z C. 08/0645Z
    D. 20.7N 162.2W D. 22.3N 162.0W
    E. 08/0200Z TO 08/0530Z E. 08/0800Z TO 08/1430Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. FIX G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT FIVE - NOAA 43
    A. 08/1200Z
    B. NOAA3 1412E LOWELL
    C. 08/0800Z
    D. 23.0N 161.9W
    E. 08/0930Z TO 08/1330Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARKS:
    A. THE NOAA 43 MISSIONS TASKED FOR THE 07/0000Z AND 07/1200Z
    REQUIREMENTS IN TCPOD 26-097 WILL NOT BE FLOWN.
    B. DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 08/1200Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
    WITHIN THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
    ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
    C. NOAA 49 WILL CONDUCT A 7-HOUR G-IV RESEARCH MISSION OVER
    LOWELL ON MONDAY, DEPARTING PHNL AT 07/2100Z.

    $$
    SEF/ANM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page