2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 13 May 2026 16:01:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 131601
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed May 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1545 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is analyzed along 39W from 03N to 14N, moving
    westward at 10 kt. The wave is devoid of significant deep
    convection at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 17N17W and continues SW to 07N24W. The ITCZ extends
    from 07N24W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    within 200 nm on either side of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects
    to a 1012 mb low near 28N84W, then a cold front extends from the
    low to 24N86W. A stationary front continues from that point to
    20N90W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are in the NW semicircle
    of the low from the Florida Big Bend to offshore SE Louisiana.
    Gentle to moderate northerlies are across the Bay of Campeche
    while light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere as high pressure
    starts to build in the wake of the fronts. Seas are slight basin-
    wide, except moderate to 5 ft in the NW of the low where the
    strongest winds are ongoing.

    For the forecast, the front is forecast to exit the SE Gulf
    tonight. High pressure and quiescent conditions will build behind
    the front today and Thu. Another weak cold front is forecast to
    enter the NE Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
    Southeast winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds
    over the western half of the basin this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong
    trade winds and 5-8 ft seas across the south-central to southwest
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are noted across the remainder of the central and eastern
    Caribbean along with 4-6 ft seas. Moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent across the NW Caribbean.
    Otherwise, heavy showers and tstms are ongoing offshore Costa Rica
    near the E Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
    the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
    tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the weekend, with
    the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh tradewinds are expected across the
    remainder of forecast waters through Sun night, pulsing to
    strong in the Gulf of Honduras Sat and Sun night. Large E swell
    with rough seas will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters
    tonight through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects to
    a 1013 mb low near 31N85W. A broad area of scattered showers and
    tstms prevails across the W Atlantic mainly W of 63W. The
    remainder of the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
    broad ridge anchored by high pressure located well N of the
    discussion waters. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 8-10
    ft prevail from the coast of W Africa to just pass the Cape Verde
    Islands from 05N to 23N. Over the remainder tropical waters winds
    are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and seas are moderate to
    rough. Between 55W and the Bahamas, winds are moderate to fresh
    from the E to SE and seas moderate. Moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary off NE Florida
    will lift north of the area by Thu morning. A weak cold front
    will move off the NE Florida coast on Thu, extending from 31N50W
    to 25N72W Fri morning, from 31N72W to 26N65W on Sat morning, then
    E of the area Sun. Fresh to strong S winds are expected N of 27N
    ahead of the front.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 13 May 2026 16:01:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 131601
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed May 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1545 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is analyzed along 39W from 03N to 14N, moving
    westward at 10 kt. The wave is devoid of significant deep
    convection at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 17N17W and continues SW to 07N24W. The ITCZ extends
    from 07N24W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    within 200 nm on either side of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects
    to a 1012 mb low near 28N84W, then a cold front extends from the
    low to 24N86W. A stationary front continues from that point to
    20N90W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are in the NW semicircle
    of the low from the Florida Big Bend to offshore SE Louisiana.
    Gentle to moderate northerlies are across the Bay of Campeche
    while light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere as high pressure
    starts to build in the wake of the fronts. Seas are slight basin-
    wide, except moderate to 5 ft in the NW of the low where the
    strongest winds are ongoing.

    For the forecast, the front is forecast to exit the SE Gulf
    tonight. High pressure and quiescent conditions will build behind
    the front today and Thu. Another weak cold front is forecast to
    enter the NE Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
    Southeast winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds
    over the western half of the basin this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong
    trade winds and 5-8 ft seas across the south-central to southwest
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are noted across the remainder of the central and eastern
    Caribbean along with 4-6 ft seas. Moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent across the NW Caribbean.
    Otherwise, heavy showers and tstms are ongoing offshore Costa Rica
    near the E Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
    the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
    tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the weekend, with
    the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh tradewinds are expected across the
    remainder of forecast waters through Sun night, pulsing to
    strong in the Gulf of Honduras Sat and Sun night. Large E swell
    with rough seas will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters
    tonight through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects to
    a 1013 mb low near 31N85W. A broad area of scattered showers and
    tstms prevails across the W Atlantic mainly W of 63W. The
    remainder of the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
    broad ridge anchored by high pressure located well N of the
    discussion waters. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 8-10
    ft prevail from the coast of W Africa to just pass the Cape Verde
    Islands from 05N to 23N. Over the remainder tropical waters winds
    are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and seas are moderate to
    rough. Between 55W and the Bahamas, winds are moderate to fresh
    from the E to SE and seas moderate. Moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary off NE Florida
    will lift north of the area by Thu morning. A weak cold front
    will move off the NE Florida coast on Thu, extending from 31N50W
    to 25N72W Fri morning, from 31N72W to 26N65W on Sat morning, then
    E of the area Sun. Fresh to strong S winds are expected N of 27N
    ahead of the front.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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