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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 04:04:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 240404
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Oct 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic and
low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a trough or
developing frontal boundary. This synoptic setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands through Mon. By mid-week, the trough is forecast
to weaken while moving eastward into the central Atlantic. Heavy
rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening
flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 12N16W
to 11N25W. The ITCZ extends from 11N25W to 12N32W, and resumes
from 11N39W to 11N62W. A surface trough is analyzed along 35W from
10N-20N. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
from 05N to 18N and E of 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
the western Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and a trough over the Caribbean is supporting moderate winds, and
moderate seas, E of 94W. Gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas, prevail W of 94W.
For the forecast, the broad ridge will continue supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E winds across most of the Gulf region, except
locally strong E of 84W. A tightening pressure gradient between
the high pressure and low pressure forecast to deepen near the
central Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas
over the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, beginning
later tonight through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica.
An upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of America and NW
Caribbean supports scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
over the north-central Caribbean and Windward Passage. A broad
trough extends across the central and SW Caribbean, with light
winds and slight to moderate seas west of 76W. Moderate to fresh
winds and moderate seas prevail E of 76W.
For the forecast, the scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and Windward
Passage will prevail through Sun night. Light winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail across the central and SW Caribbean
west of 76W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E to SE winds and
moderate seas are expected east of 76W. Fresh N to NE winds will
develop across the western Caribbean, with building seas west of
80W early next week as high pressure builds north of the area.
Expect rough seas and large N swell across the Yucatan Channel Mon
and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
A surface trough extends from 29N68W to low pres near 24N72W to
20N74W. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is
within 150 nm southeast of the trough and west of 61W. Moderate
winds, and moderate to rough seas are west of the trough. Another
trough extends from 31N53W to 28N58W. Scattered showers are noted
within 90 nm east of the trough. Fresh to strong winds, and rough
seas, are within 90 nm east of the trough and N of 29W. Fresh to
strong winds are between the Cabo Verde Islands and western
Africa, where rough seas are noted. Moderate to fresh winds, and
moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 50W. Gentle to moderate
winds, and moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell across the
forecast waters W of 65W and NE of the Bahamas will gradually
subside tonight through early Sat. A tightening pressure gradient
will develop across the northwestern zones tonight as high
pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic, and low
pressure deepens near the central Bahamas south of a cold front
moving slowly southward into the area. This setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds reaching gale-force over much of the waters
north of 28N and between 60W and 75W early Sun through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 04:04:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 240404
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Oct 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic and
low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a trough or
developing frontal boundary. This synoptic setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands through Mon. By mid-week, the trough is forecast
to weaken while moving eastward into the central Atlantic. Heavy
rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening
flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 12N16W
to 11N25W. The ITCZ extends from 11N25W to 12N32W, and resumes
from 11N39W to 11N62W. A surface trough is analyzed along 35W from
10N-20N. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
from 05N to 18N and E of 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
the western Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and a trough over the Caribbean is supporting moderate winds, and
moderate seas, E of 94W. Gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas, prevail W of 94W.
For the forecast, the broad ridge will continue supporting moderate
to fresh NE to E winds across most of the Gulf region, except
locally strong E of 84W. A tightening pressure gradient between
the high pressure and low pressure forecast to deepen near the
central Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas
over the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, beginning
later tonight through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica.
An upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of America and NW
Caribbean supports scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
over the north-central Caribbean and Windward Passage. A broad
trough extends across the central and SW Caribbean, with light
winds and slight to moderate seas west of 76W. Moderate to fresh
winds and moderate seas prevail E of 76W.
For the forecast, the scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and Windward
Passage will prevail through Sun night. Light winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail across the central and SW Caribbean
west of 76W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E to SE winds and
moderate seas are expected east of 76W. Fresh N to NE winds will
develop across the western Caribbean, with building seas west of
80W early next week as high pressure builds north of the area.
Expect rough seas and large N swell across the Yucatan Channel Mon
and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
A surface trough extends from 29N68W to low pres near 24N72W to
20N74W. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is
within 150 nm southeast of the trough and west of 61W. Moderate
winds, and moderate to rough seas are west of the trough. Another
trough extends from 31N53W to 28N58W. Scattered showers are noted
within 90 nm east of the trough. Fresh to strong winds, and rough
seas, are within 90 nm east of the trough and N of 29W. Fresh to
strong winds are between the Cabo Verde Islands and western
Africa, where rough seas are noted. Moderate to fresh winds, and
moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 50W. Gentle to moderate
winds, and moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell across the
forecast waters W of 65W and NE of the Bahamas will gradually
subside tonight through early Sat. A tightening pressure gradient
will develop across the northwestern zones tonight as high
pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic, and low
pressure deepens near the central Bahamas south of a cold front
moving slowly southward into the area. This setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds reaching gale-force over much of the waters
north of 28N and between 60W and 75W early Sun through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:24:40 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 24 Oct 2026 10:40:16 GMT - Sat, 24 Oct 2026 05:24:40 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 240524
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Oct 24 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pierce/Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 14:46:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231445
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT FRI 23 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-145
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





