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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 16:05:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141605
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Sep 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The two tropical waves previously analyzed over the central
Atlantic have merged into a single tropical wave, according
satellite imagery and tropical wave diagnostics. The wave axis is
along 50W, south of 18N. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 11.5N to 16N between 48W and 54.5W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N16W and continues
to 08N30W to 09N52W. The ITCZ extends from 09N52W to near 10N60W.
Scattered to locally numerous moderate isolated strong convection
is present from 05N to 14.5N and east of 45W. Isolated moderate
convection is present from 10N to 14N between 55W and the Lesser
Antilles.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is noted off Veracruz in the Bay of
Campeche. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are also affecting
portions of the western and eastern Gulf. A 1018 mb high pressure
system over the northern Gulf dominates the Gulf waters,
supporting moderate to fresh SE winds over the Bay of Campeche.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, weak ridging over the NE Gulf will persist into
Tue supporting relatively tranquil conditions across much of the
basin. The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where a diurnal
trough will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each
evening through late this week, bringing nightly pulses of fresh
NE winds. Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building
southward from the eastern United States will lead to increasing
NE to E winds over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong
and rough seas over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night.
Conditions will improve Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Middle to upper-level low pressure is centered over the Hispaniola,
and promoting unstable conditions over south and east portions of
the Caribbean. Multi-layered clouds with scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms prevail over most of the eastern basin E of 71W.
Scattered strong convection is occurring across the SW Caribbean
south of 15N.
A tight pressure gradient continues to support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to locally fresh NE-E
winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean and
Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the NW basin.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Bahamas and lower pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh
to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds and moderate to
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean, with moderate to
fresh trades elsewhere from 11N to 18N. These conditions will
persist through the workweek. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected, except moderate to
fresh mainly in the evenings near the Windward Passage and Lee of
Cuba through midweek.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates the SW North Atlantic,
allowing for light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
across much of the area, west of 55W. Moderate easterly winds are
noted off northern Hispaniola and western Cuba. A surface trough
along 49.5W in the central Atlantic is producing numerous showers
and isolated thunderstorms north of 25N and between 44.5W and
51W. Gusty winds and higher seas are likely occurring near these
storms. Another surface trough is supporting scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N between 57W and 59.5W.
Elsewhere, an expansive ridge persists in the central and eastern
Atlantic, supporting moderate or weaker seas and moderate seas
across the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad subtropical ridge dominates
much of the basin, forcing fresh easterly winds off Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage. On Tue, strong high pressure building
southward through the eastern United States will bring a cold
front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to locally
strong and causing seas to build to rough N of the Bahamas and W
of 70W through Thu. Conditions will improve Thu night into Fri.
During the middle to later portion of the week, a trough of low
pressure is forecast to move west-northwestward into the NE
portion of the waters, bringing thunderstorms.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 16:05:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141605
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Sep 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The two tropical waves previously analyzed over the central
Atlantic have merged into a single tropical wave, according
satellite imagery and tropical wave diagnostics. The wave axis is
along 50W, south of 18N. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 11.5N to 16N between 48W and 54.5W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N16W and continues
to 08N30W to 09N52W. The ITCZ extends from 09N52W to near 10N60W.
Scattered to locally numerous moderate isolated strong convection
is present from 05N to 14.5N and east of 45W. Isolated moderate
convection is present from 10N to 14N between 55W and the Lesser
Antilles.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is noted off Veracruz in the Bay of
Campeche. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are also affecting
portions of the western and eastern Gulf. A 1018 mb high pressure
system over the northern Gulf dominates the Gulf waters,
supporting moderate to fresh SE winds over the Bay of Campeche.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, weak ridging over the NE Gulf will persist into
Tue supporting relatively tranquil conditions across much of the
basin. The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where a diurnal
trough will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each
evening through late this week, bringing nightly pulses of fresh
NE winds. Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building
southward from the eastern United States will lead to increasing
NE to E winds over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong
and rough seas over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night.
Conditions will improve Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Middle to upper-level low pressure is centered over the Hispaniola,
and promoting unstable conditions over south and east portions of
the Caribbean. Multi-layered clouds with scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms prevail over most of the eastern basin E of 71W.
Scattered strong convection is occurring across the SW Caribbean
south of 15N.
A tight pressure gradient continues to support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to locally fresh NE-E
winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean and
Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the NW basin.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Bahamas and lower pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh
to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds and moderate to
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean, with moderate to
fresh trades elsewhere from 11N to 18N. These conditions will
persist through the workweek. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected, except moderate to
fresh mainly in the evenings near the Windward Passage and Lee of
Cuba through midweek.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates the SW North Atlantic,
allowing for light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
across much of the area, west of 55W. Moderate easterly winds are
noted off northern Hispaniola and western Cuba. A surface trough
along 49.5W in the central Atlantic is producing numerous showers
and isolated thunderstorms north of 25N and between 44.5W and
51W. Gusty winds and higher seas are likely occurring near these
storms. Another surface trough is supporting scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N between 57W and 59.5W.
Elsewhere, an expansive ridge persists in the central and eastern
Atlantic, supporting moderate or weaker seas and moderate seas
across the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad subtropical ridge dominates
much of the basin, forcing fresh easterly winds off Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage. On Tue, strong high pressure building
southward through the eastern United States will bring a cold
front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to locally
strong and causing seas to build to rough N of the Bahamas and W
of 70W through Thu. Conditions will improve Thu night into Fri.
During the middle to later portion of the week, a trough of low
pressure is forecast to move west-northwestward into the NE
portion of the waters, bringing thunderstorms.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 05:51:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 14 Sep 2026 18:06:25 GMT - Mon, 14 Sep 2026 17:51:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141751
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located about 1000 miles east-southeast
of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions over the system are
forecast to become more conducive for development by the middle of
this week. A tropical depression could form late this week as the
system moves slowly off to the west-northwest over the subtropical
Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Chenard/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 13:38:43 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141328
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT MON 14 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-106
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf