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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 09:30:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 280930
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Significant Swell N of Bahamas: A tight pressure gradient between
    a 1035 mb high pressure system over New England and a stationary
    front extending from SE of Bermuda to a 1011 mb low in the NW
    Bahamas supports fresh to near gale-force NE winds and rough to
    very rough seas N of the front and W of the low. Peak seas are
    near 17 ft N of the NW Bahamas. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring N of the front and S of the front
    between 65W and 72W. Strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough
    seas will persist N of 28N and W of 65W through Thu night as the
    low pressure moves southwestward and the front weakens. Mariners
    are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and
    take the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues to 11N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 11N20W to 08N37W and to 08N54W. Scattered moderate
    to isolated strong convection is observed from 03N to 12N and between
    22W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over New England extends a ridge across the Gulf
    waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge and low pres over
    the Bahamas is supporting moderate to locally strong NE winds E
    of 90W. Moderate to locally rough seas are over these waters.
    Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found west of 90W.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
    continue to support fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    in the E Gulf into late this week. Winds and seas will gradually
    diminish into Sat as the ridge slides eastward. Looking ahead,
    another robust high pressure system will reach New England late
    this weekend and early next week allowing winds and seas to
    increase in the NE Gulf. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas will prevail through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continues to affect
    the central Caribbean waters, extending from northern Colombia to
    E Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Generally dry conditions prevail
    elsewhere. A weak pressure gradient allows for moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, a surface trough along 80W will drift westward
    and weaken over the next couple of days. Ample tropical moisture
    and upper-level divergence support scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the central Caribbean, especially over the
    Dominican Republic. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds in the E Caribbean will continue over the next few days,
    gradually extending westward through the week and into the
    upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    significant swell causing very rough seas north of the Bahamas.

    E of 70W, the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical
    ridge that supports moderate or weaker winds and seas of 4-8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, looking ahead, weak low pressure
    will develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift northeastward
    and reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the
    central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and
    seas to 10 ft N of the front through early next week.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 09:30:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 280930
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Significant Swell N of Bahamas: A tight pressure gradient between
    a 1035 mb high pressure system over New England and a stationary
    front extending from SE of Bermuda to a 1011 mb low in the NW
    Bahamas supports fresh to near gale-force NE winds and rough to
    very rough seas N of the front and W of the low. Peak seas are
    near 17 ft N of the NW Bahamas. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring N of the front and S of the front
    between 65W and 72W. Strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough
    seas will persist N of 28N and W of 65W through Thu night as the
    low pressure moves southwestward and the front weakens. Mariners
    are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and
    take the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues to 11N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 11N20W to 08N37W and to 08N54W. Scattered moderate
    to isolated strong convection is observed from 03N to 12N and between
    22W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over New England extends a ridge across the Gulf
    waters. The pressure gradient between the ridge and low pres over
    the Bahamas is supporting moderate to locally strong NE winds E
    of 90W. Moderate to locally rough seas are over these waters.
    Gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are found west of 90W.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
    continue to support fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    in the E Gulf into late this week. Winds and seas will gradually
    diminish into Sat as the ridge slides eastward. Looking ahead,
    another robust high pressure system will reach New England late
    this weekend and early next week allowing winds and seas to
    increase in the NE Gulf. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas will prevail through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continues to affect
    the central Caribbean waters, extending from northern Colombia to
    E Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Generally dry conditions prevail
    elsewhere. A weak pressure gradient allows for moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, a surface trough along 80W will drift westward
    and weaken over the next couple of days. Ample tropical moisture
    and upper-level divergence support scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the central Caribbean, especially over the
    Dominican Republic. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds in the E Caribbean will continue over the next few days,
    gradually extending westward through the week and into the
    upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    significant swell causing very rough seas north of the Bahamas.

    E of 70W, the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical
    ridge that supports moderate or weaker winds and seas of 4-8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, looking ahead, weak low pressure
    will develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift northeastward
    and reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the
    central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and
    seas to 10 ft N of the front through early next week.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:02:00 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 09:50:15 GMT
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 05:02:00 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 280501
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 18:15:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271815
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1025 AM EDT TUE 27 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-149

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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