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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 10:26:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 011025
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Nov 01 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
W Africa near 15N17W, and continues southwestward to 13N20W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to
08N35W and to 08N58W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
convection is seen from 06N to 13N between 16W-25W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 60 nm of the ITCZ between 25W-34W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Fresh to strong east winds are over the NE Gulf along with seas
of 4 to 6 ft. An upper-level shortwave trough as seen on
water vapor imagery is shifting eastward across the NE Gulf.
Increasing scattered to numerous thunderstorms are present north
of 24N between 83W and 89W. This activity is being sustained by
divergence aloft to the east of the shortwave trough. This
activity is capable of producing strong gusty winds and heavy
rainfall. Outside of the NE Gulf gusty winds produced by the
shower and thunderstorm activity, overnight Ascat scatterometer
data and buoy observations generally reveal light to gentle winds
across the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient related to the strong
high pressure ridging southward along the southeastern U.S.
seaboard will maintain moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
and moderate seas across the north-central and NE Gulf through Mon
night. A cold front will move into the NW Gulf Tue as a warm
front develops over the NE Gulf. The warm front will slowly move
northeastward away from the area Tue through Wed as the cold
front slowly moves eastward across the Gulf, providing for areas
of moderate winds and seas. The cold front will then weaken over
the eastern Gulf Thu and Thu night while weak high pressure then
builds over the western Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the U.S. and
the western Atlantic, and lower pressure over Colombia supports
fresh trades along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in the south- central
Caribbean offshore Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and seas
of 4 to 6 ft are across the remainder of the central and eastern
Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are elsewhere.
Divergent flow aloft on the eastern side of a broad upper-level
trough that stretches from the central Atlantic southwestward to
the central Caribbean and to just north of Colombia is sustaining
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the eastern
portion of the basin, and isolated showers and thunderstorms over
the central portion.
For the forecast, the moderate to fresh trades over the central
and eastern Caribbean, and moderate to rough seas, will continue
through Mon, with some areas of strong winds near the coast of
Colombia and NW Venezuela. Winds and seas are expected to diminish
basin-wide late Mon through Thu as broad low pressure with a
relaxed pressure gradient gradually develops and then persists
across the Atlantic NE of the Bahamas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from near 31N48W southwestward to 26N62W, and
continues as a stationary front to 24N70W. Satellite imagery
shows increasing numerous thunderstorms along and within 60 nm
north of the frontal boundary between 58W and 62W, and also
to west from 24N to 27N between 62W and 80W. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm southeast of the boundary east of 58W.
A secondary cold front extends from 31N60W to 30N69W. No
significant convection is presently occurring with this front.
Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas of
7 to 9 ft are northwest of the first front, and also north of
24N west of 62W. Farther east, low pressure of 1011 mb is north
of the area west of Madeira near 33N29W, with a cold front
extending from it to 29N19W and to near 23N27W. An area of
scattered moderate convection is east of this front to the along
and inland the coast of Africa north of 22N. Moderate to fresh
north winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft in north swell are behind the
front north of 23N between 20W and 39. Gentle to moderate winds
and seas of 4 to 6 ft are elsewhere across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will weaken this
afternoon into this evening while it moves southeastward as high
pressure in its wake builds across the western Atlantic. Mariners
can expect widespread areas of fresh to locally strong northeast
to east winds along with rough seas to near 11 feet from Mon night
through Tue night over the waters N of about 26N and W of about
60W. The front is forecast to become nearly stationary near today
through Mon night. A warm front will develop over the NE Gulf Tue,
and move northeastward across the SW north Atlantic Wed. As the
high pressure off of the U.S. east coast gradually shifts east, a
weakening cold front will approach from the eastern Gulf Thu, then
move offshore of Florida late Thu night.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 10:26:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 011025
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Nov 01 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
W Africa near 15N17W, and continues southwestward to 13N20W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to
08N35W and to 08N58W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
convection is seen from 06N to 13N between 16W-25W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 60 nm of the ITCZ between 25W-34W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Fresh to strong east winds are over the NE Gulf along with seas
of 4 to 6 ft. An upper-level shortwave trough as seen on
water vapor imagery is shifting eastward across the NE Gulf.
Increasing scattered to numerous thunderstorms are present north
of 24N between 83W and 89W. This activity is being sustained by
divergence aloft to the east of the shortwave trough. This
activity is capable of producing strong gusty winds and heavy
rainfall. Outside of the NE Gulf gusty winds produced by the
shower and thunderstorm activity, overnight Ascat scatterometer
data and buoy observations generally reveal light to gentle winds
across the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient related to the strong
high pressure ridging southward along the southeastern U.S.
seaboard will maintain moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
and moderate seas across the north-central and NE Gulf through Mon
night. A cold front will move into the NW Gulf Tue as a warm
front develops over the NE Gulf. The warm front will slowly move
northeastward away from the area Tue through Wed as the cold
front slowly moves eastward across the Gulf, providing for areas
of moderate winds and seas. The cold front will then weaken over
the eastern Gulf Thu and Thu night while weak high pressure then
builds over the western Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the U.S. and
the western Atlantic, and lower pressure over Colombia supports
fresh trades along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in the south- central
Caribbean offshore Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and seas
of 4 to 6 ft are across the remainder of the central and eastern
Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are elsewhere.
Divergent flow aloft on the eastern side of a broad upper-level
trough that stretches from the central Atlantic southwestward to
the central Caribbean and to just north of Colombia is sustaining
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the eastern
portion of the basin, and isolated showers and thunderstorms over
the central portion.
For the forecast, the moderate to fresh trades over the central
and eastern Caribbean, and moderate to rough seas, will continue
through Mon, with some areas of strong winds near the coast of
Colombia and NW Venezuela. Winds and seas are expected to diminish
basin-wide late Mon through Thu as broad low pressure with a
relaxed pressure gradient gradually develops and then persists
across the Atlantic NE of the Bahamas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from near 31N48W southwestward to 26N62W, and
continues as a stationary front to 24N70W. Satellite imagery
shows increasing numerous thunderstorms along and within 60 nm
north of the frontal boundary between 58W and 62W, and also
to west from 24N to 27N between 62W and 80W. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm southeast of the boundary east of 58W.
A secondary cold front extends from 31N60W to 30N69W. No
significant convection is presently occurring with this front.
Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas of
7 to 9 ft are northwest of the first front, and also north of
24N west of 62W. Farther east, low pressure of 1011 mb is north
of the area west of Madeira near 33N29W, with a cold front
extending from it to 29N19W and to near 23N27W. An area of
scattered moderate convection is east of this front to the along
and inland the coast of Africa north of 22N. Moderate to fresh
north winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft in north swell are behind the
front north of 23N between 20W and 39. Gentle to moderate winds
and seas of 4 to 6 ft are elsewhere across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will weaken this
afternoon into this evening while it moves southeastward as high
pressure in its wake builds across the western Atlantic. Mariners
can expect widespread areas of fresh to locally strong northeast
to east winds along with rough seas to near 11 feet from Mon night
through Tue night over the waters N of about 26N and W of about
60W. The front is forecast to become nearly stationary near today
through Mon night. A warm front will develop over the NE Gulf Tue,
and move northeastward across the SW north Atlantic Wed. As the
high pressure off of the U.S. east coast gradually shifts east, a
weakening cold front will approach from the eastern Gulf Thu, then
move offshore of Florida late Thu night.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 23:18:30 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 01 Nov 2026 14:50:14 GMT - Sun, 01 Nov 2026 11:18:30 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 011118
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Sun Nov 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 31 Oct 2026 13:47:17 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311347
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT SAT 31 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-153
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf