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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 13 Aug 2026 22:20:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 132220
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient will tighten
    between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
    along 27N and the Colombian low on Friday. The tightening pressure
    gradient will increase winds in the south central Caribbean, with
    winds pulsing to gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela on Friday night. Very rough seas to 13 ft will build
    near and downwind of these gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri
    night into early Sat. Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized in
    association with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of
    the Lesser Antilles. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind
    data indicate that the system does not have a closed circulation.
    This system is expected to move into a region of strong upper-
    level winds and dry air, and the development chances appear to be
    decreasing. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
    progress of this system as gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are
    possible Friday night and Saturday, regardless of development.
    There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone development in the
    next 48 hours.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, from 02N to 20N, moving
    west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 29W and 36W.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive
    for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late
    this week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west-
    northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    There is a low chance for tropical development of this system in
    the next 48 hours, and a medium chance for development in the next
    7 days.

    Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
    wave with axis near 46W.

    The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W, moving
    westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
    strong convection is noted from 15N to 20N between 68W and 72W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
    southwestward to 10N33W to 14N44W then to 06.5N56W. Aside from
    convection noted in the tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES
    section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted from 06N to 15N between 13W and 22W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
    a 1020 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge that extends westward across
    Florida and into the Gulf region will change little through Sat
    before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin. Pulses of
    fresh winds are expected north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
    and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal
    surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
    the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
    forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
    that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
    effective Fri night.

    The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
    the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
    central Caribbean waters. Moderate seas prevail over these waters.
    Fresh to locally strong trade winds and moderate seas are over
    the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
    moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

    For the forecast, tradewinds will increase over the central
    Caribbean tonight through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale force
    just north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night into
    Sat morning. A strong tropical wave- Invest AL92 - should start
    impacting the Leeward Islands beginning tomorrow evening. Strong
    to near gale force along with areas of heavy rain are expected Fri
    night and Sat. These weather conditions will shift westward
    toward the central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles, including
    the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon. Afterwards the
    tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
    located over the central tropical Atlantic.

    A surface trough extends over the SW N Atlantic from 30N63W to
    the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
    convection is in the vicinity of the trough. High pressure
    dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N,
    anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 28N47W. Light to gentle
    winds, and slight seas are in the vicinity of the high center,
    mainly N of 24N between 30W and 60W. Fresh to strong winds, and
    rough seas, generated by AL92 are from 12N to 17N between 41W and
    50W. Fresh to strong winds are also found near the Canary Islands
    SE toward the coast of Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate
    winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong NE to E winds are
    expected south of 22N tonight through Sun night. Elsewhere, winds
    are expected to remain light to moderate for the next few days.
    A weak cold front will slowly push across our northern border
    east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast but with little
    change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 13 Aug 2026 22:20:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 132220
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 14 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient will tighten
    between subtropical high pressure across the western Atlantic
    along 27N and the Colombian low on Friday. The tightening pressure
    gradient will increase winds in the south central Caribbean, with
    winds pulsing to gale force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela on Friday night. Very rough seas to 13 ft will build
    near and downwind of these gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri
    night into early Sat. Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    Showers and thunderstorms have become less organized in
    association with a tropical wave located about 1000 miles east of
    the Lesser Antilles. In addition, recent satellite-derived wind
    data indicate that the system does not have a closed circulation.
    This system is expected to move into a region of strong upper-
    level winds and dry air, and the development chances appear to be
    decreasing. Interests in the Lesser Antilles should monitor the
    progress of this system as gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are
    possible Friday night and Saturday, regardless of development.
    There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone development in the
    next 48 hours.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, from 02N to 20N, moving
    west at around 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 29W and 36W.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive
    for gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late
    this week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or west-
    northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    There is a low chance for tropical development of this system in
    the next 48 hours, and a medium chance for development in the next
    7 days.

    Please see SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a tropical
    wave with axis near 46W.

    The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W, moving
    westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
    strong convection is noted from 15N to 20N between 68W and 72W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and extends
    southwestward to 10N33W to 14N44W then to 06.5N56W. Aside from
    convection noted in the tropical waves and SPECIAL FEATURES
    section above, scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted from 06N to 15N between 13W and 22W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
    a 1020 mb high near 27N86W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail across the NE Gulf in the vicinity of the high center.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge that extends westward across
    Florida and into the Gulf region will change little through Sat
    before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will produce mostly
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin. Pulses of
    fresh winds are expected north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
    and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night, as a diurnal
    surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across
    the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
    forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
    that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
    effective Fri night.

    The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure and
    the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
    central Caribbean waters. Moderate seas prevail over these waters.
    Fresh to locally strong trade winds and moderate seas are over
    the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
    moderate seas, prevail over the remaining waters.

    For the forecast, tradewinds will increase over the central
    Caribbean tonight through Sat. Peak winds should reach gale force
    just north of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night into
    Sat morning. A strong tropical wave- Invest AL92 - should start
    impacting the Leeward Islands beginning tomorrow evening. Strong
    to near gale force along with areas of heavy rain are expected Fri
    night and Sat. These weather conditions will shift westward
    toward the central Caribbean and the Greater Antilles, including
    the Windward Passage from Sat night through Mon. Afterwards the
    tropical wave may weaken, as it moves toward the W Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
    located over the central tropical Atlantic.

    A surface trough extends over the SW N Atlantic from 30N63W to
    the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
    convection is in the vicinity of the trough. High pressure
    dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N of 20N,
    anchored by a 1024 mb high centered near 28N47W. Light to gentle
    winds, and slight seas are in the vicinity of the high center,
    mainly N of 24N between 30W and 60W. Fresh to strong winds, and
    rough seas, generated by AL92 are from 12N to 17N between 41W and
    50W. Fresh to strong winds are also found near the Canary Islands
    SE toward the coast of Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate
    winds, and moderate seas, prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong NE to E winds are
    expected south of 22N tonight through Sun night. Elsewhere, winds
    are expected to remain light to moderate for the next few days.
    A weak cold front will slowly push across our northern border
    east of 70W Sun, causing a wind shift to northeast but with little
    change in wind speeds on Sun and Mon north of 28N.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 15 Aug 2026 11:19:45 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:22:38 GMT
  • Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:19:45 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    953
    ABNT20 KNHC 132319
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Thu Aug 13 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
    Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
    about 800 miles east of the Lesser Antilles have continued to
    become less organized. This system is moving into a region of
    increasing upper-level winds and dry air, and the possibility of
    development appears to be decreasing. Regardless of development,
    interests in the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the
    progress of this system since gusty winds and areas of heavy rain
    are possible across these islands Friday night and Saturday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL94):
    A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
    Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for
    gradual development, and a tropical depression could form late this
    week or this weekend while the wave moves westward or
    west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Mahoney/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 13 Aug 2026 18:04:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 131804
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0205 PM EDT THU 13 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-074 AMENDMENT

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. TROPICAL STORM LALA
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
    A. 14/1730Z,2330Z A. 15/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 0701C LALA B. NOAA9 0801C LALA
    C. 14/1600Z C. 14/2000Z
    D. 17.0N 150.5W D. NA
    E. 14/1700Z TO 13/2330Z E. NA
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
    G. FIX G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 42 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 77
    A. 15/0000Z A. 15/0530Z,1130Z
    B. NOAA2 0901C LALA B. AFXXX 1001C LALA
    C. 14/2000Z C. 15/0415Z
    D. 17.4N 151.7W D. 17.7N 153.0W
    E. 14/2200Z TO 15/0230Z E. 14/0500Z TO 14/1130Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
    A. CONTINUE 6-HOURLY FIX MISSIONS INTO TROPICAL STORM LALA IF
    SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.
    B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO TROPICAL
    STORM LALA FOR 16/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 15/2000Z.

    3. REMARK: DURING THE NOAA 42 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 15/0000Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN
    THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT
    1 TO 1.5 HOURS. (AMENDED)

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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