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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 22:25:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152225
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Oct 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter
the northwest Gulf on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to
the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected
over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW
Gulf by early Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected
with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist
over the SW Gulf through Sun. Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO
headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and extends SW
to 1008 mb low pressure at 06N34W to 03N38W. The ITCZ extends
from 03N38W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 14W and 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean extending through
the Yucatan Channel is inducing scattered disorganized convection
over much of the southern basin. Some thunderstorms are
concentrated in the western Bay of Campeche, where a weak surface
trough is present. Otherwise, modest subtropical ridging from high
pressure NE of the region is leading to mainly moderate or weaker
easterly winds through the basin, with slight to moderate seas.
For the forecast, a ridge will dominate the Gulf region through
Fri producing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow and slight to
moderate seas. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest
Gulf on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to the central Bay
of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to
rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected over the
west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW Gulf by
late Sat morning. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the
strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist over the
SW Gulf through Sun. Strong high pressure will follow the front
promoting fresh to strong NE to E winds mainly over the eastern
half of the Gulf through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean is supporting
scattered moderate convection N of 17N and W of 80W. Otherwise,
the seasonal pressure gradient is leading to moderate to fresh
trades through the basin, with some strong easterly winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate seas dominate,
highest in the south-central basin.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and Fri, then mainly
moderate to fresh winds will prevail through the upcoming
weekend. Rough seas are expected offshore Colombia with the
strongest winds. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are forecast elsewhere. An area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a surface trough will continue to affect the NW
Caribbean tonight and Fri. Gusty winds and locally rough seas will
be associated with this convective activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough from 31N52W to near 26N62W is inducing scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection within 120 nm E of its
axis. A 1012 mb low pressure centered near 21N37W is also
generated scattered moderate convection N of its center to about
25N, between 32W and 28W, where fresh E winds and locally rough
seas are also pressure. Elsewhere, a mainly weak pressure gradient
is leading to moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a ridge will continue to dominate
the forecast waters through Fri. A cold front will reach the NE
waters on Fri with little change in winds and seas. A stronger
cold front will move into the waters off northeast Florida by late
Fri night into early Sat morning, and reach from near Bermuda to
South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-gale force winds and
rough to very rough seas will follow the front with gale
conditions possible in the vicinity of 31N70W by Sun night.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 22:25:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152225
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Oct 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter
the northwest Gulf on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to
the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected
over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW
Gulf by early Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected
with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist
over the SW Gulf through Sun. Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO
headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and extends SW
to 1008 mb low pressure at 06N34W to 03N38W. The ITCZ extends
from 03N38W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 14W and 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean extending through
the Yucatan Channel is inducing scattered disorganized convection
over much of the southern basin. Some thunderstorms are
concentrated in the western Bay of Campeche, where a weak surface
trough is present. Otherwise, modest subtropical ridging from high
pressure NE of the region is leading to mainly moderate or weaker
easterly winds through the basin, with slight to moderate seas.
For the forecast, a ridge will dominate the Gulf region through
Fri producing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow and slight to
moderate seas. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest
Gulf on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to the central Bay
of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to
rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected over the
west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW Gulf by
late Sat morning. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the
strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist over the
SW Gulf through Sun. Strong high pressure will follow the front
promoting fresh to strong NE to E winds mainly over the eastern
half of the Gulf through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid- and upper-level low over the NW Caribbean is supporting
scattered moderate convection N of 17N and W of 80W. Otherwise,
the seasonal pressure gradient is leading to moderate to fresh
trades through the basin, with some strong easterly winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate seas dominate,
highest in the south-central basin.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight and Fri, then mainly
moderate to fresh winds will prevail through the upcoming
weekend. Rough seas are expected offshore Colombia with the
strongest winds. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are forecast elsewhere. An area of showers and thunderstorms
associated with a surface trough will continue to affect the NW
Caribbean tonight and Fri. Gusty winds and locally rough seas will
be associated with this convective activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough from 31N52W to near 26N62W is inducing scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection within 120 nm E of its
axis. A 1012 mb low pressure centered near 21N37W is also
generated scattered moderate convection N of its center to about
25N, between 32W and 28W, where fresh E winds and locally rough
seas are also pressure. Elsewhere, a mainly weak pressure gradient
is leading to moderate or weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a ridge will continue to dominate
the forecast waters through Fri. A cold front will reach the NE
waters on Fri with little change in winds and seas. A stronger
cold front will move into the waters off northeast Florida by late
Fri night into early Sat morning, and reach from near Bermuda to
South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-gale force winds and
rough to very rough seas will follow the front with gale
conditions possible in the vicinity of 31N70W by Sun night.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 11:19:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 16 Oct 2026 04:00:48 GMT - Thu, 15 Oct 2026 23:19:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 152319
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Evans/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 14:30:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151430
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT THU 15 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-137
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE TRUDY
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 73
A. 16/1730Z
B. AFXXX 0221E TRUDY
C. 16/1330Z
D. 15.1N 102.3W
E. 16/1700Z TO 16/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: FIX MISSION INTO TRUDY FOR
17/1730Z.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf