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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 19 Jun 2026 10:59:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jun 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 28W from
02N to 18N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers are
near the wave from 07N to 09N, and within 60 nm east of the
northern portion of the wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 49W from 02N
to 18N moving westward at around 10 kt. Isolated showers are
within 120 nm either side of the wave from 08N to 12N.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 65W/66W
south of 19N near the Anegada Passage to central Venezuela. It
is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are from 12N to 13N between 65W and 69W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic off the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues south-southwestward to 09N23W and
06N35W. The ITCZ extends from 06N35W to 07N40W and to just east
of a tropical wave near 08N48W. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is just offshore the coast of Africa from 04N to 15N
and reaches west to near 19N. This convection is in advance of
the next tropical wave. Scattered moderate convection is within
120 nm north of the ITCZ between 40W-46W, and within 60 nm of the
ITCZ between 30W-37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A high pressure ridge extends westward along 26N from a subtropical
high located in the Atlantic to across Florida, and to the central
Gulf. A trough has emerged off the Yucatan Peninsula. It is analyzed
from near 25N90W to just inland Mexico at 19N93W. The pressure
gradient between these features is supporting fresh to strong winds
across much of the Gulf. Seas are in the range of 4 to 7 ft over
most of the Gulf, except for higher seas of 6 to 8 ft in spots over
the NW and west-central Gulf sections.
For the forecast, the present synoptic pattern will change little
going into the weekend. The pressure gradient between the high
pressure and relatively lower pressures over Texas and northeastern
Mexico will generally support mostly fresh southerly winds over
the western and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate anticyclonic
winds over the eastern Gulf through today. Winds over the western
and central Gulf will change little through early Mon, then
diminish to gentle to moderate speeds afterward. Winds over the
eastern Gulf become light to gentle in speeds beginning tonight
as weak high pressure settles over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between broad central Atlantic high pressure
and lower pressures in northern South America is generally sustaining
fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean and
the Gulf of Honduras, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh
trade winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are over the eastern and
northwestern sections of the sea as noted by satellite altimeter
data. Gentle to moderate winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft are across
the remainder of the Caribbean.
An area of scattered showers and thunderstorms is noted in the
southwestern Caribbean from 10N to 14N between 77W and 82W. This
activity is related to the eastern extension of the East Pacific
monsoon trough that protrudes eastward across northern Costa Rica
and to the northwest part of Colombia. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are elsewhere from 10N to 15N west of 74W to along
the coast of Nicaragua. Similar activity is over the Windward
Passage and just south of eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, the high pressure over the central Atlantic
will change little into next week. The pressure gradient between
the high pressure and relatively lower pressure to its south will
maintain fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas in
the central Caribbean through the forecast period, with highest
winds and seas expected off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing winds
at fresh to strong speeds and moderate to rough seas are expected
in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Mon, pulsing briefly to
near gale-force tonight. Moderate to fresh east to southeast
winds are expected elsewhere from 12N to 18N west of 80W through
Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A rather ill-defined trough extends from 31N30W to 26N38W and to
near 26N46W. No significant convection is present near the trough.
High pressure of 1023 mb is centered near 27N58W. High pressure
covers the waters north of about 20N. The related pressure
gradient is generally allowing for moderate to fresh trade winds
along with moderate seas to exist across much of the Atlantic south
about 21N as well as between the Bahamas and Cuba. Light to gentle
anticyclonic winds are north of 21N east of 73W while fresh
southwest winds are over the waters east of northern Florida to near
73W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft north of 21N, except for lower seas of 2 to
3 ft from 25N to 28N between 57W and 76W, and over the waters west
of the Bahamas, including the Straits of Florida.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure over the basin
will begin to shift slightly eastward tonight as a cold front
moves across the southeastern U.S. The front will move offshore
northeast Florida during the weekend, then stall and weaken. Fresh
to strong southwest winds are expected north of 30N and east to
near 72W through tonight. Moderate to fresh nightly pulsing fresh
to strong winds south of 22N will continue into early next week.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 19 Jun 2026 10:59:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jun 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 28W from
02N to 18N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers are
near the wave from 07N to 09N, and within 60 nm east of the
northern portion of the wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 49W from 02N
to 18N moving westward at around 10 kt. Isolated showers are
within 120 nm either side of the wave from 08N to 12N.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 65W/66W
south of 19N near the Anegada Passage to central Venezuela. It
is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are from 12N to 13N between 65W and 69W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic off the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues south-southwestward to 09N23W and
06N35W. The ITCZ extends from 06N35W to 07N40W and to just east
of a tropical wave near 08N48W. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is just offshore the coast of Africa from 04N to 15N
and reaches west to near 19N. This convection is in advance of
the next tropical wave. Scattered moderate convection is within
120 nm north of the ITCZ between 40W-46W, and within 60 nm of the
ITCZ between 30W-37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A high pressure ridge extends westward along 26N from a subtropical
high located in the Atlantic to across Florida, and to the central
Gulf. A trough has emerged off the Yucatan Peninsula. It is analyzed
from near 25N90W to just inland Mexico at 19N93W. The pressure
gradient between these features is supporting fresh to strong winds
across much of the Gulf. Seas are in the range of 4 to 7 ft over
most of the Gulf, except for higher seas of 6 to 8 ft in spots over
the NW and west-central Gulf sections.
For the forecast, the present synoptic pattern will change little
going into the weekend. The pressure gradient between the high
pressure and relatively lower pressures over Texas and northeastern
Mexico will generally support mostly fresh southerly winds over
the western and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate anticyclonic
winds over the eastern Gulf through today. Winds over the western
and central Gulf will change little through early Mon, then
diminish to gentle to moderate speeds afterward. Winds over the
eastern Gulf become light to gentle in speeds beginning tonight
as weak high pressure settles over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between broad central Atlantic high pressure
and lower pressures in northern South America is generally sustaining
fresh to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean and
the Gulf of Honduras, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh
trade winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are over the eastern and
northwestern sections of the sea as noted by satellite altimeter
data. Gentle to moderate winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft are across
the remainder of the Caribbean.
An area of scattered showers and thunderstorms is noted in the
southwestern Caribbean from 10N to 14N between 77W and 82W. This
activity is related to the eastern extension of the East Pacific
monsoon trough that protrudes eastward across northern Costa Rica
and to the northwest part of Colombia. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are elsewhere from 10N to 15N west of 74W to along
the coast of Nicaragua. Similar activity is over the Windward
Passage and just south of eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, the high pressure over the central Atlantic
will change little into next week. The pressure gradient between
the high pressure and relatively lower pressure to its south will
maintain fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas in
the central Caribbean through the forecast period, with highest
winds and seas expected off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing winds
at fresh to strong speeds and moderate to rough seas are expected
in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Mon, pulsing briefly to
near gale-force tonight. Moderate to fresh east to southeast
winds are expected elsewhere from 12N to 18N west of 80W through
Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A rather ill-defined trough extends from 31N30W to 26N38W and to
near 26N46W. No significant convection is present near the trough.
High pressure of 1023 mb is centered near 27N58W. High pressure
covers the waters north of about 20N. The related pressure
gradient is generally allowing for moderate to fresh trade winds
along with moderate seas to exist across much of the Atlantic south
about 21N as well as between the Bahamas and Cuba. Light to gentle
anticyclonic winds are north of 21N east of 73W while fresh
southwest winds are over the waters east of northern Florida to near
73W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft north of 21N, except for lower seas of 2 to
3 ft from 25N to 28N between 57W and 76W, and over the waters west
of the Bahamas, including the Straits of Florida.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure over the basin
will begin to shift slightly eastward tonight as a cold front
moves across the southeastern U.S. The front will move offshore
northeast Florida during the weekend, then stall and weaken. Fresh
to strong southwest winds are expected north of 30N and east to
near 72W through tonight. Moderate to fresh nightly pulsing fresh
to strong winds south of 22N will continue into early next week.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 20 Jun 2026 23:33:33 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 19 Jun 2026 12:04:11 GMT - Fri, 19 Jun 2026 11:33:33 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 191133
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore the East Coast of the United States (Remnants of Arthur):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a trough of low pressure
(the remnants of Arthur) are located over the southeastern United
States. The system is expected to emerge offshore the east coast of
the United States later today. Environmental conditions appear to be
marginally conducive for some subtropical or tropical development
tonight or Saturday as the system moves northeastward at around 20
mph across the Western Atlantic Ocean.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall with the potential for
life-threatening flash flooding is likely across portions of the
Southeast United States through tonight. Additional information on
the rainfall potential can be found in rainfall forecasts and
Excessive Rainfall Outlooks from the Weather Prediction Center
online at www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov. More information on this system,
including Gale Warnings, is available in High Seas Forecasts issued
by the National Weather Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO
header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 18 Jun 2026 14:25:47 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181425
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EDT THU 18 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-018
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf