2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 19 Feb 2026 10:32:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 191032
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Feb 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough remains confined to the African continent. The
    ITCZ extends from 01N12W to 01N30W and to 01N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed within 165 nm either N and S of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The gradient of pressure between a surface ridge over the eastern
    half of the Gulf and low pressure over Mexico extending across the
    western half of the basin supports moderate to fresh S to SE winds
    basin-wide. Seas are slight E of 85W and moderate elsewhere. The
    southerly flow in the western Gulf is lifting northward smoke from
    agricultural fires in southern Mexico. Mariners are advised that
    this may reduce the visibility in the area. Aside from lower
    visibility from the smoke mainly over the SW basin, dense fog is
    ongoing over the northern Gulf waters, N of 26N.

    For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh S to SE winds
    and moderate seas are expected over the central and western Gulf
    through Fri as ridging prevails over the eastern basin. Locally
    strong E to SE winds will pulse in the south-central basin, north
    of the Yucatan Peninsula, each afternoon and night through Fri as
    a trough develops daily over the region. Looking ahead, a strong
    cold front is slated to move into the northern Gulf this weekend
    and sweep over the basin through early next week. Gale force winds
    and very rough seas will be possible offshore of Tampico and
    Veracruz Sun into Mon, and widespread fresh to strong N to NE
    winds and rough seas are expected elsewhere in the wake of the
    front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered SE of Bermuda continues to
    affect the Caribbean Sea, supporting strong to near gale-force
    NE to E winds and rough seas in the south-central and portions of
    the SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
    seas are found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean. In the
    Gulf of Honduras, fresh to strong SE winds and seas to 6 ft are
    ongoing.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds will pulse in the
    south-central Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
    pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
    the Colombian low. Winds may reach near-gale force each night
    offshore of northern Colombia, and rough seas are expected near
    and to the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to strong E to SE
    winds and occasionally rough seas will occur in the Gulf of
    Honduras into early Sun. Otherwise, moderate to occasionally fresh
    trade winds are expected over the rest of the basin through the
    forecast period. Looking ahead, rough seas may develop east of the
    Lesser Antilles tonight into the weekend as N swell progresses
    through the central tropical Atlantic.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of both the
    Bermuda and Azores Highs, which extend a ridge across the
    region and portions of the tropical Atlantic waters. Between both
    ridges, a slow moving cold front extends from 31N41W to 27N47W
    where it stalls while continuing to 24N67W. Over the SW N Atlantic
    waters, winds are mainly moderate or weaker, however rough seas to
    11 ft prevails E of 70W to about 36W. Over the far E subtropical
    Atlantic, winds are fresh to locally strong, including the Canary
    Islands, and seas are 5 to 8 ft. Over the tropical Atlantic, winds
    are moderate to fresh from the NE to E W of 35W. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, rough seas occurring east of 70W
    will slowly subside from west to east through early Fri in the
    wake of a weakening front currently extending from 31N42W to
    24N67W. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds will
    prevail offshore of northern Florida into this weekend as a front
    passes north of the area. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
    elsewhere through Sat. Looking ahead, a strong cold front is
    slated to push offshore of the southeastern U.S. on Sun, and
    increasing winds and rapidly building seas are expected in the
    wake of the front through early next week.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 19 Feb 2026 10:32:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 191032
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Feb 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough remains confined to the African continent. The
    ITCZ extends from 01N12W to 01N30W and to 01N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed within 165 nm either N and S of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The gradient of pressure between a surface ridge over the eastern
    half of the Gulf and low pressure over Mexico extending across the
    western half of the basin supports moderate to fresh S to SE winds
    basin-wide. Seas are slight E of 85W and moderate elsewhere. The
    southerly flow in the western Gulf is lifting northward smoke from
    agricultural fires in southern Mexico. Mariners are advised that
    this may reduce the visibility in the area. Aside from lower
    visibility from the smoke mainly over the SW basin, dense fog is
    ongoing over the northern Gulf waters, N of 26N.

    For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh S to SE winds
    and moderate seas are expected over the central and western Gulf
    through Fri as ridging prevails over the eastern basin. Locally
    strong E to SE winds will pulse in the south-central basin, north
    of the Yucatan Peninsula, each afternoon and night through Fri as
    a trough develops daily over the region. Looking ahead, a strong
    cold front is slated to move into the northern Gulf this weekend
    and sweep over the basin through early next week. Gale force winds
    and very rough seas will be possible offshore of Tampico and
    Veracruz Sun into Mon, and widespread fresh to strong N to NE
    winds and rough seas are expected elsewhere in the wake of the
    front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered SE of Bermuda continues to
    affect the Caribbean Sea, supporting strong to near gale-force
    NE to E winds and rough seas in the south-central and portions of
    the SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
    seas are found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean. In the
    Gulf of Honduras, fresh to strong SE winds and seas to 6 ft are
    ongoing.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds will pulse in the
    south-central Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
    pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
    the Colombian low. Winds may reach near-gale force each night
    offshore of northern Colombia, and rough seas are expected near
    and to the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to strong E to SE
    winds and occasionally rough seas will occur in the Gulf of
    Honduras into early Sun. Otherwise, moderate to occasionally fresh
    trade winds are expected over the rest of the basin through the
    forecast period. Looking ahead, rough seas may develop east of the
    Lesser Antilles tonight into the weekend as N swell progresses
    through the central tropical Atlantic.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of both the
    Bermuda and Azores Highs, which extend a ridge across the
    region and portions of the tropical Atlantic waters. Between both
    ridges, a slow moving cold front extends from 31N41W to 27N47W
    where it stalls while continuing to 24N67W. Over the SW N Atlantic
    waters, winds are mainly moderate or weaker, however rough seas to
    11 ft prevails E of 70W to about 36W. Over the far E subtropical
    Atlantic, winds are fresh to locally strong, including the Canary
    Islands, and seas are 5 to 8 ft. Over the tropical Atlantic, winds
    are moderate to fresh from the NE to E W of 35W. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, rough seas occurring east of 70W
    will slowly subside from west to east through early Fri in the
    wake of a weakening front currently extending from 31N42W to
    24N67W. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds will
    prevail offshore of northern Florida into this weekend as a front
    passes north of the area. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
    elsewhere through Sat. Looking ahead, a strong cold front is
    slated to push offshore of the southeastern U.S. on Sun, and
    increasing winds and rapidly building seas are expected in the
    wake of the front through early next week.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 18 Feb 2026 17:34:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 181734
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1235 PM EST WED 18 FEBRUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-080

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78
    A. 20/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 10WSC IOP34
    C. 19/1830Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
    BY: 25.0N 180.0W, 40.0N 180.0W, 40.0N 160.0W, AND 25.0N
    160.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 19/2030Z TO 20/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
    THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
    RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    21/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
    THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
    RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    22/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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