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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 04:36:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 250436
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Oct 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient the
northwestern zones into Sun, the result of strong high pressure
building southward over the western Atlantic and low pressure
deepening near the Bahamas along a nearly stationary front that
extends NE toward Bermuda, will induce widespread gales. NE to E
winds of up to 40 kt and very rough seas will prevail for waters N
of 27N between 60W and 76W through early Mon as the front remains
in place, with conditions only slowly improving through mid-week.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: A mid to upper- level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands through Mon. By Sun, model guidance indicates that
the trough will begin to weaken and meander northward. The main
areas that are expected to be impacted by abundant tropical
moisture and heavy rainfall will then shift to north and east of
Cuba over the southern Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, the Windward
Passage and Hispaniola. The heavy rainfall will raise concerns for
dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding. Please refer to
your local weather services and the International Desk at the
Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
15N17W southwestward to 07N25W. The ITCZ extends from 08N38W to
10N57W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
from 09N to 16N between 22W-35W, and from 06N to 12N between
31W-40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure building into the southeastern United States
continues to support fresh to strong NE winds over the NE basin,
with moderate to fresh NE winds elsewhere. Moderate seas prevail,
with locally rough seas offshore Florida.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and low pressure forecast to deepen near the central
Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over
the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits tonight through
early Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos and locations farther
east through the early part of the upcoming week.
A surface trough extends southward from 1013 mb low pressure
centered just E of the Bahamas across eastern Cuba and Jamaica.
The trough combined with upper-level diffluence east of a mid to
upper-level trough axis over the NW Caribbean is support numerous
strong convection N of 15N between 71W and 76W, including waters
near Haiti and through the Windward Passage. Convection in the SW
basin in association with the East Pacific monsoon trough has
diurnally waned. Moderate to fresh NE winds encompass the NW
Caribbean to the west of the aforementioned surface trough, and
moderate to locally fresh trades are present in the eastern
basin. Seas are generally moderate, except slight in the SW. The
highest seas are in the Yucatan Channel, where heights are
estimated to 7 ft.
For the forecast, the mid to upper level trough over Florida, the
NW Caribbean and the Bahamas will shift very slowly eastward
through Mon and support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and Windward
Passage. Meanwhile, a broad surface trough over the central
Bahamas extending southward across Jamaica to 15N77W will drift
eastward through Tue. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S.
will build southward across Florida and the Gulf of America
through the weekend and lead to fresh N to NE winds and building
seas across the western Caribbean W of the trough. Expect rough
seas in large N swell across the Yucatan Channel Mon through Tue.
Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the southern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, the Windward Passage, and Hispaniola.
A stationary front extends from near 31N52W to 29N69W to a 1013 mb
low pressure near 26N74W. A surface trough then extends southward
from this low across eastern Cuba. Widespread strong to gale-force
winds and rough seas are north of the front, and to the east of
the surface trough, numerous thunderstorms are noted from the
Turks and Caicos southward into the Windward Passage and nearshore
waters of Haiti. To the east, another surface trough extends from
27N62W to just north of Dominican Republic. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted in association with this
feature from 20N to 30N between 60W and 70W. Away from the
convection strong S winds are E of the trough from 23N to 27N
between 62W and 67W. Farther east, the Azores ridge dominates,
providing mainly moderate E winds and moderate seas. Strong winds
are funneling through the Canary and Cabo Verde Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the northwestern zones tonight through
Sun as strong high pressure builds southward over the western
Atlantic, and low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas, and
just S of a stationary front along 28N-29N. This setup is expected
to induce widespread strong to near gale-force NE to E winds and
very rough seas building to 20 ft, with gale-force winds expected
over much of the waters north of 27N and between 60W and 76W early
Sun through Mon morning. The front is expected to stall from near
Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Mon, with winds and seas
diminishing very slowly through Thu. Mariners are urged to remain
alert to these dangerous marine conditions, and take the necessary
precautions to avoid these affected areas.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 04:36:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 250436
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Oct 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient the
northwestern zones into Sun, the result of strong high pressure
building southward over the western Atlantic and low pressure
deepening near the Bahamas along a nearly stationary front that
extends NE toward Bermuda, will induce widespread gales. NE to E
winds of up to 40 kt and very rough seas will prevail for waters N
of 27N between 60W and 76W through early Mon as the front remains
in place, with conditions only slowly improving through mid-week.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: A mid to upper- level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands through Mon. By Sun, model guidance indicates that
the trough will begin to weaken and meander northward. The main
areas that are expected to be impacted by abundant tropical
moisture and heavy rainfall will then shift to north and east of
Cuba over the southern Bahamas, Turks and Caicos, the Windward
Passage and Hispaniola. The heavy rainfall will raise concerns for
dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding. Please refer to
your local weather services and the International Desk at the
Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
15N17W southwestward to 07N25W. The ITCZ extends from 08N38W to
10N57W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
from 09N to 16N between 22W-35W, and from 06N to 12N between
31W-40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure building into the southeastern United States
continues to support fresh to strong NE winds over the NE basin,
with moderate to fresh NE winds elsewhere. Moderate seas prevail,
with locally rough seas offshore Florida.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and low pressure forecast to deepen near the central
Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over
the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits tonight through
early Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos and locations farther
east through the early part of the upcoming week.
A surface trough extends southward from 1013 mb low pressure
centered just E of the Bahamas across eastern Cuba and Jamaica.
The trough combined with upper-level diffluence east of a mid to
upper-level trough axis over the NW Caribbean is support numerous
strong convection N of 15N between 71W and 76W, including waters
near Haiti and through the Windward Passage. Convection in the SW
basin in association with the East Pacific monsoon trough has
diurnally waned. Moderate to fresh NE winds encompass the NW
Caribbean to the west of the aforementioned surface trough, and
moderate to locally fresh trades are present in the eastern
basin. Seas are generally moderate, except slight in the SW. The
highest seas are in the Yucatan Channel, where heights are
estimated to 7 ft.
For the forecast, the mid to upper level trough over Florida, the
NW Caribbean and the Bahamas will shift very slowly eastward
through Mon and support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and Windward
Passage. Meanwhile, a broad surface trough over the central
Bahamas extending southward across Jamaica to 15N77W will drift
eastward through Tue. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S.
will build southward across Florida and the Gulf of America
through the weekend and lead to fresh N to NE winds and building
seas across the western Caribbean W of the trough. Expect rough
seas in large N swell across the Yucatan Channel Mon through Tue.
Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the southern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, the Windward Passage, and Hispaniola.
A stationary front extends from near 31N52W to 29N69W to a 1013 mb
low pressure near 26N74W. A surface trough then extends southward
from this low across eastern Cuba. Widespread strong to gale-force
winds and rough seas are north of the front, and to the east of
the surface trough, numerous thunderstorms are noted from the
Turks and Caicos southward into the Windward Passage and nearshore
waters of Haiti. To the east, another surface trough extends from
27N62W to just north of Dominican Republic. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted in association with this
feature from 20N to 30N between 60W and 70W. Away from the
convection strong S winds are E of the trough from 23N to 27N
between 62W and 67W. Farther east, the Azores ridge dominates,
providing mainly moderate E winds and moderate seas. Strong winds
are funneling through the Canary and Cabo Verde Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the northwestern zones tonight through
Sun as strong high pressure builds southward over the western
Atlantic, and low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas, and
just S of a stationary front along 28N-29N. This setup is expected
to induce widespread strong to near gale-force NE to E winds and
very rough seas building to 20 ft, with gale-force winds expected
over much of the waters north of 27N and between 60W and 76W early
Sun through Mon morning. The front is expected to stall from near
Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Mon, with winds and seas
diminishing very slowly through Thu. Mariners are urged to remain
alert to these dangerous marine conditions, and take the necessary
precautions to avoid these affected areas.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 17:28:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 25 Oct 2026 07:40:05 GMT - Sun, 25 Oct 2026 05:28:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 250528
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 14:30:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
625
NOUS42 KNHC 241430
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT SAT 24 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-146
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO
HURRICANE VANCE FOR 26/1800Z NEAR 15.0N 103.8W.
$$
KAL
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf