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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 10 Nov 2026 20:57:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 102057
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Nov 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Meteo-France Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: A pair of low
pressure areas are in the eastern Atlantic with attendant fronts.
Low pressure of 998 mb is analyzed from 33N25W with a stationary
front to a 10 02 mb low near 29N33W, with cold fronts also out
ahead of both of these lows. Ahead of these fronts, gale-force
southwesterlies are present N of 26N to 21W. Very rough seas of up
to 20 ft extend beyond this area of gales southward to 22W and
westward to 42W. These features will move rapidly E and a Gale
Warning has been issued by Meteo-France for the Irving and Madeira
zones, Irving through 11/06 UTC and Madeira through 11/15 UTC.
Rough to very rough seas will continue to accompany the winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France
at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 12N16W to 09N21W. The ITCZ
extends from 09N21W to 08N35W to along the coast of northern South
America to 06N55W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to
09N between 40W and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The combination of high pressure and and a couple of troughs, one
in the eastern Gulf extending from 29N85W to 23N86W, and the
other one in the western Gulf from near Corpus Christi to 23N97W
and to 19N95W, is generally allowing for light to gentle winds
across the basin, with the exception of mostly moderate north
winds west of the western Gulf trough from 22N to 24N. Slight seas
are over the basin, except moderate seas west of the western
trough. Scattered moderate convection is present across portions
of the basin north of 24N between the troughs.
For the forecast, a rather strong cold front will reach the Texas
coast Wed night, then sweep across the Gulf through Thu night
exiting the basin early on Fri, and followed by fresh to locally
strong northerly winds and building seas. Fresh to strong
northwest winds are expected in the far SW Gulf Thu through Fri.
High pressure will settle in over the area in the wake of the
front this weekend, with moderate to fresh easterly winds
expected. These winds increase to fresh to strong speeds over the
NW Gulf Sun, then shifting to the north-central and NE Gulf by Sun
night as the gradient tightens ahead of a western Gulf frontal
system and attendant low pressure that will be shifting eastward.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
to fresh trades elsewhere, except weaker near the coast of Central
America and in the NE Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-
central Caribbean and 3 to 6 ft elsewhere, except less where the
weaker winds are. Moderate to strong convection is noted in the NW
Caribbean from 15N to 20N from Jamaica westward, where trade
winds are converging near a surface trough and producing localized
rough seas.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
will prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Thu, with
mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
will weaken Thu night into Fri as a cold front approaches the
Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate to fresh northwest
winds and building seas are possible behind this front over the
northwestern Caribbean into the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning for portions of the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast area.
A stationary front extends from near 30N50W to low pressure of
1016 mb near 27N63W then continues as mainly a stationary front to
across the SE Bahamas. Some moderate to fresh winds are found
north of 30N between 50W and 65W where a reinforcing cold front is
rotating through. To the east, fresh or greater winds surround the
gale force low area described in the Special Features section
above across the waters north of 22N between 18W and 40W. Winds
are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters, along
with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front and low pressure will
exit the region Wed. Another cold front is expected to move off
the southeastern U.S. coast Thu night accompanied by fresh to
strong winds and building seas on either side of it. These
conditions are expected to persist into the weekend. By early Sat,
the front will extend from near Bermuda to the southeastern
Bahamas, and stall from near 26N55W to the vicinity of the Turks
and Caicos.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 10 Nov 2026 20:57:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 102057
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Nov 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Meteo-France Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: A pair of low
pressure areas are in the eastern Atlantic with attendant fronts.
Low pressure of 998 mb is analyzed from 33N25W with a stationary
front to a 10 02 mb low near 29N33W, with cold fronts also out
ahead of both of these lows. Ahead of these fronts, gale-force
southwesterlies are present N of 26N to 21W. Very rough seas of up
to 20 ft extend beyond this area of gales southward to 22W and
westward to 42W. These features will move rapidly E and a Gale
Warning has been issued by Meteo-France for the Irving and Madeira
zones, Irving through 11/06 UTC and Madeira through 11/15 UTC.
Rough to very rough seas will continue to accompany the winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France
at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 12N16W to 09N21W. The ITCZ
extends from 09N21W to 08N35W to along the coast of northern South
America to 06N55W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to
09N between 40W and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The combination of high pressure and and a couple of troughs, one
in the eastern Gulf extending from 29N85W to 23N86W, and the
other one in the western Gulf from near Corpus Christi to 23N97W
and to 19N95W, is generally allowing for light to gentle winds
across the basin, with the exception of mostly moderate north
winds west of the western Gulf trough from 22N to 24N. Slight seas
are over the basin, except moderate seas west of the western
trough. Scattered moderate convection is present across portions
of the basin north of 24N between the troughs.
For the forecast, a rather strong cold front will reach the Texas
coast Wed night, then sweep across the Gulf through Thu night
exiting the basin early on Fri, and followed by fresh to locally
strong northerly winds and building seas. Fresh to strong
northwest winds are expected in the far SW Gulf Thu through Fri.
High pressure will settle in over the area in the wake of the
front this weekend, with moderate to fresh easterly winds
expected. These winds increase to fresh to strong speeds over the
NW Gulf Sun, then shifting to the north-central and NE Gulf by Sun
night as the gradient tightens ahead of a western Gulf frontal
system and attendant low pressure that will be shifting eastward.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
to fresh trades elsewhere, except weaker near the coast of Central
America and in the NE Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-
central Caribbean and 3 to 6 ft elsewhere, except less where the
weaker winds are. Moderate to strong convection is noted in the NW
Caribbean from 15N to 20N from Jamaica westward, where trade
winds are converging near a surface trough and producing localized
rough seas.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
will prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Thu, with
mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
will weaken Thu night into Fri as a cold front approaches the
Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate to fresh northwest
winds and building seas are possible behind this front over the
northwestern Caribbean into the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning for portions of the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast area.
A stationary front extends from near 30N50W to low pressure of
1016 mb near 27N63W then continues as mainly a stationary front to
across the SE Bahamas. Some moderate to fresh winds are found
north of 30N between 50W and 65W where a reinforcing cold front is
rotating through. To the east, fresh or greater winds surround the
gale force low area described in the Special Features section
above across the waters north of 22N between 18W and 40W. Winds
are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters, along
with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front and low pressure will
exit the region Wed. Another cold front is expected to move off
the southeastern U.S. coast Thu night accompanied by fresh to
strong winds and building seas on either side of it. These
conditions are expected to persist into the weekend. By early Sat,
the front will extend from near Bermuda to the southeastern
Bahamas, and stall from near 26N55W to the vicinity of the Turks
and Caicos.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 12 Nov 2026 11:08:30 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 11 Nov 2026 02:45:46 GMT - Tue, 10 Nov 2026 23:08:30 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 102308
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Tue Nov 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 10 Nov 2026 16:45:59 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 101645
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1145 AM EST TUE 10 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-163
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf