2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 09 May 2026 09:31:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 090931
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat May 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...Caribbean Gale Warning...
    A broad subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean will force fresh
    to strong easterly trade winds with rough seas in the south-
    central Caribbean through midweek next week, including the Gulf of
    Venezuela. During the nighttime hours through Sun night, these
    winds are expected to reach gale-force off NW Colombia. Winds will
    decrease below gale early next week.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic, south of 10N with
    axis near 44W, moving west at 5-10 kt. There is no deep convection
    associated with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is confined to the African continent. The ITCZ
    extends from 04N17W to 01S49W. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed south of 10N and east of 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak stationary front extends from the Florida panhandle to SE
    Louisiana and a few showers are noted across the northern Gulf
    waters. Moderate to fresh easterly SE winds and seas of 3-5 ft are
    evident north of 28N and north of the Yucatan peninsula. Moderate
    or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, isolated to scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are possible over the northern Gulf waters today and
    Sun as the weak stationary front lifts northward. Winds will
    pulse to strong near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through
    Sun night. Looking ahead, another cold front will move into the
    northern Gulf waters late Sun, and reach from northern Florida to
    the Bay of Campeche by late Mon, followed by moderate to locally
    strong N to NE winds. Fresh to strong NW winds are expected off
    Veracruz Mon night. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are possible ahead of the front. Conditions will
    improve across the basin Tue night into Wed as the front weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features for details on the Gale Warning
    off NW Colombia.

    Broad high pressure north of the Caribbean and lower pressures in
    the deep tropics result in fresh to near gale-force easterly
    trade winds and locally rough seas in the central Caribbean and
    Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a broad subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean
    will force fresh to strong easterly trade winds with rough seas
    in the south-central Caribbean through midweek next week,
    including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
    through Sun night, these winds are expected to reach gale-force
    off NW Colombia. Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds
    and rough seas are also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras
    through Sun night. Moderate to fresh trades are expected across
    the remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic waters near 31N64W and
    continues southwestward to 30N71W, followed by a stationary front
    to NE Florida. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted
    near this boundary. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west
    of 55W, is dominated by a weak pressure gradient that supports
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

    Meanwhile, broad surface ridging also dominates the central and
    eastern Atlantic. In the far NE Atlantic, a wakening cold front
    extends from 31N11W to 24N24W to 29N35W. Moderate to fresh winds
    and moderate to rough seas up to 10 ft are occurring behind the
    front. Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the
    rest of the central and eastern Atlantic east of 55W. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
    will gradually weaken today as the cold front portion shifts
    eastward and weakens. A stronger cold front is expected to follow
    a similar path Mon through Tue, followed by fresh to locally
    strong winds and rough seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms,
    some possibly strong to marginally severe, are possible near both
    fronts. Meanwhile, the subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic
    will support fresh to locally strong winds off northern
    Hispaniola through Mon night.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 09 May 2026 09:31:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 090931
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat May 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...Caribbean Gale Warning...
    A broad subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean will force fresh
    to strong easterly trade winds with rough seas in the south-
    central Caribbean through midweek next week, including the Gulf of
    Venezuela. During the nighttime hours through Sun night, these
    winds are expected to reach gale-force off NW Colombia. Winds will
    decrease below gale early next week.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic, south of 10N with
    axis near 44W, moving west at 5-10 kt. There is no deep convection
    associated with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is confined to the African continent. The ITCZ
    extends from 04N17W to 01S49W. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed south of 10N and east of 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak stationary front extends from the Florida panhandle to SE
    Louisiana and a few showers are noted across the northern Gulf
    waters. Moderate to fresh easterly SE winds and seas of 3-5 ft are
    evident north of 28N and north of the Yucatan peninsula. Moderate
    or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, isolated to scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are possible over the northern Gulf waters today and
    Sun as the weak stationary front lifts northward. Winds will
    pulse to strong near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through
    Sun night. Looking ahead, another cold front will move into the
    northern Gulf waters late Sun, and reach from northern Florida to
    the Bay of Campeche by late Mon, followed by moderate to locally
    strong N to NE winds. Fresh to strong NW winds are expected off
    Veracruz Mon night. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are possible ahead of the front. Conditions will
    improve across the basin Tue night into Wed as the front weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features for details on the Gale Warning
    off NW Colombia.

    Broad high pressure north of the Caribbean and lower pressures in
    the deep tropics result in fresh to near gale-force easterly
    trade winds and locally rough seas in the central Caribbean and
    Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a broad subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean
    will force fresh to strong easterly trade winds with rough seas
    in the south-central Caribbean through midweek next week,
    including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
    through Sun night, these winds are expected to reach gale-force
    off NW Colombia. Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds
    and rough seas are also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras
    through Sun night. Moderate to fresh trades are expected across
    the remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic waters near 31N64W and
    continues southwestward to 30N71W, followed by a stationary front
    to NE Florida. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted
    near this boundary. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west
    of 55W, is dominated by a weak pressure gradient that supports
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

    Meanwhile, broad surface ridging also dominates the central and
    eastern Atlantic. In the far NE Atlantic, a wakening cold front
    extends from 31N11W to 24N24W to 29N35W. Moderate to fresh winds
    and moderate to rough seas up to 10 ft are occurring behind the
    front. Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the
    rest of the central and eastern Atlantic east of 55W. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
    will gradually weaken today as the cold front portion shifts
    eastward and weakens. A stronger cold front is expected to follow
    a similar path Mon through Tue, followed by fresh to locally
    strong winds and rough seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms,
    some possibly strong to marginally severe, are possible near both
    fronts. Meanwhile, the subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic
    will support fresh to locally strong winds off northern
    Hispaniola through Mon night.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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