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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 23 Apr 2026 23:42:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
360
AXNT20 KNHC 232342
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Apr 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Africa near 10N15W to 04N20W and to 01N26.5W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to south of the Equator near 28W and continues to
04S35W and northwestward to 02S43W to the Equator at 50W. Numerous
moderate to strong convection is south of the monsoon trough
from 00N to 05N between 10W-19W. Scattered moderate convection
is within 30 nm of the trough between 25W-29W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An mid to upper-level trough extends from the southeastern U.S.
southwestward to 26N88W and to the Yucatan Peninsula while an
amplifying upper-level shortwave trough is moving through its
southern portion across the southeastern Gulf. Upper-level dynamics
associated with the trough is supporting an area of numerous showers
and thunderstorms over the southeastern Gulf south of 26N between
82W and 86W moving generally east-southeastward, and newly developed
shower and thunderstorm activity over the south-central Gulf from
23N to 25N between 87W and 90W. This activity is accompanied by
heavy rainfall reducing visibility and is attendant by gusty winds
producing locally rough seas. The strongest cells appear to be
approaching the northwest portion of Cuba. Otherwise, relatively
weak high pressure is over the eastern and central Gulf portions.
The related gradient is allowing for moderate to fresh southeast
winds over the eastern part of the basin, and gentle to moderate
southeast winds over the rest of the basin. Seas are 3 to 5 ft over
the eastern Gulf and 2 to 4 ft over the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
region, with a relatively weak pressure gradient across the area.
This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds and moderate
seas basin-wide through the weekend into the early part of next
week. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
diurnal trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh during the
evenings. The aforementioned area of numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the southeastern Gulf will continue east-
southeastward through early Fri. The activity over the south-
central Gulf will move southeast to south into early Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough extends southwestward from a tail-end of a
stationary front over Hispaniola to near the Nicaragua. Isolated
showers are near the trough, however, clusters of moderate
convection are north of 20N west of 82W. Moderate to fresh
northeast winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft are in the lee of Cuba and
near the Windward Passage. Mostly gentle winds and 1 to 3 ft
seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, high pressure located north of the basin will
weaken over the next couple of days as the remnants of a frontal
boundary, currently located north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
lifts northward as a trough during the upcoming weekend. This
weather pattern will support a weaker than usual pressure
gradient across the Caribbean Sea into the weekend, resulting in
mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
across the entire basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of
the area near 38N40W south-southwestward to 31N45W and to
25N53W, where it transitions to a stationary front to 20N61W and
to across north-central Hispaniola and to Haiti. A trough extends
from the northern Leeward Islands to near 15N65W. Isolated
showers are possible near the trough.
Moderate to fresh northeast winds along with seas of 7 to 10 ft
seas are west of the front to near 55W and north of 26N. Moderate to
fresh southerly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present north of 26N
between 35W and the cold front. Gentle to moderate northeast to
southeast winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail for the remainder of
the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will remain nearly
stationary just north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico on Fri. The
remnant moisture associated with the frontal boundary will lift
northward as a trough Sat through Sun. A weak low may develop along
the trough axis east of the Bahamas on Sun. This will support gentle
to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas across most of the
forecast area through the weekend. The exception will be over the
northeast waters, where fresh to locally strong westerly winds and
rough seas are expected beginning on Fri as another cold front clips
the region by late Sat into Sun.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 23 Apr 2026 23:42:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
360
AXNT20 KNHC 232342
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Apr 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Africa near 10N15W to 04N20W and to 01N26.5W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to south of the Equator near 28W and continues to
04S35W and northwestward to 02S43W to the Equator at 50W. Numerous
moderate to strong convection is south of the monsoon trough
from 00N to 05N between 10W-19W. Scattered moderate convection
is within 30 nm of the trough between 25W-29W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An mid to upper-level trough extends from the southeastern U.S.
southwestward to 26N88W and to the Yucatan Peninsula while an
amplifying upper-level shortwave trough is moving through its
southern portion across the southeastern Gulf. Upper-level dynamics
associated with the trough is supporting an area of numerous showers
and thunderstorms over the southeastern Gulf south of 26N between
82W and 86W moving generally east-southeastward, and newly developed
shower and thunderstorm activity over the south-central Gulf from
23N to 25N between 87W and 90W. This activity is accompanied by
heavy rainfall reducing visibility and is attendant by gusty winds
producing locally rough seas. The strongest cells appear to be
approaching the northwest portion of Cuba. Otherwise, relatively
weak high pressure is over the eastern and central Gulf portions.
The related gradient is allowing for moderate to fresh southeast
winds over the eastern part of the basin, and gentle to moderate
southeast winds over the rest of the basin. Seas are 3 to 5 ft over
the eastern Gulf and 2 to 4 ft over the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
region, with a relatively weak pressure gradient across the area.
This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds and moderate
seas basin-wide through the weekend into the early part of next
week. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
diurnal trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh during the
evenings. The aforementioned area of numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the southeastern Gulf will continue east-
southeastward through early Fri. The activity over the south-
central Gulf will move southeast to south into early Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough extends southwestward from a tail-end of a
stationary front over Hispaniola to near the Nicaragua. Isolated
showers are near the trough, however, clusters of moderate
convection are north of 20N west of 82W. Moderate to fresh
northeast winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft are in the lee of Cuba and
near the Windward Passage. Mostly gentle winds and 1 to 3 ft
seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, high pressure located north of the basin will
weaken over the next couple of days as the remnants of a frontal
boundary, currently located north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
lifts northward as a trough during the upcoming weekend. This
weather pattern will support a weaker than usual pressure
gradient across the Caribbean Sea into the weekend, resulting in
mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
across the entire basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of
the area near 38N40W south-southwestward to 31N45W and to
25N53W, where it transitions to a stationary front to 20N61W and
to across north-central Hispaniola and to Haiti. A trough extends
from the northern Leeward Islands to near 15N65W. Isolated
showers are possible near the trough.
Moderate to fresh northeast winds along with seas of 7 to 10 ft
seas are west of the front to near 55W and north of 26N. Moderate to
fresh southerly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present north of 26N
between 35W and the cold front. Gentle to moderate northeast to
southeast winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail for the remainder of
the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will remain nearly
stationary just north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico on Fri. The
remnant moisture associated with the frontal boundary will lift
northward as a trough Sat through Sun. A weak low may develop along
the trough axis east of the Bahamas on Sun. This will support gentle
to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas across most of the
forecast area through the weekend. The exception will be over the
northeast waters, where fresh to locally strong westerly winds and
rough seas are expected beginning on Fri as another cold front clips
the region by late Sat into Sun.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 24 Apr 2026 00:56:56 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf