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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 16:42:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 231641
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Oct 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
beginning late today as high pressure builds southward over the
western Atlantic and low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas
along a trough or developing frontal boundary. This setup is
expected to induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and
rough to very rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force
over much of the waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night
through Sun night. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these
dangerous marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions to
avoid the affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands this weekend and Mon. By mid-week, the trough is
forecast to weaken and move eastward into the central Atlantic.
Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-
threatening flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 13N16W
to 12N30W. The ITCZ runs from 11N36W to near the Venezuela/Guyana
border. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 11N
between 20W and 31W, and from 06N to 10N between 31W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
the Gulf waters, supporting mainly moderate to locally fresh NE
to E winds with slight to moderate seas. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are noted over the Straits of Florida, and near the
NE of the Yucatan Peninsula. Low clouds are banked up against the
Sierra Madre Mountains in Mexico.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the
above mentioned high pressure and low pressure forecast to
develop near the central Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE
winds and rough to very rough seas over the eastern Gulf,
including the Florida Straits, tonight through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica.
An upper-level trough over NW Caribbean is triggering scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the north-central and
NW Caribbean, including the Cayman Islands and regional waters as
well as Jamaica, and just south of Hispaniola. Recent scatterometer
data indicate moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds over the
eastern Caribbean, and moderate N to NE winds over the NW Caribbean
with moderate seas. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, an upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of
America and NW Caribbean will support scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and
Windward Passage through Sun. Meanwhile, a broad trough over the
central and western Caribbean will support light winds and slight
to moderate seas west of 75W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E
to SE winds and moderate seas east of 75W. Looking ahead, expect
fresh N to NE winds across the western Caribbean with building
seas west of 80W early next week as high pressure builds north of
the area. Expect rough seas and large swell across the Yucatan
Channel Mon and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are near a 1012 mb low pressure
located just E of the Bahamas at 25N73W. This convective activity
now covers most of the waters from 20N to 30N between 65W and
76W. A surface trough extends from the low center northeastward to
beyond 31N56W. A band of showers and thunderstorms is ahead of
the trough axis, mainly N of 25N. A few showers and thunderstorms
are near SE Florida. Moderate to fresh NE winds are noted N of
25N and W of 72W between the low pressure center and high pressure
over eastern United States. Fresh to strong southerly winds are
observed per satellite derived wind data N of 27N between 42W and
51W due to the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and a
trough situated N of 27N and near 50W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with
these winds. Farther south, a surface trough is analyzed and extends
from 19N31W to 10N32W. A cluster of moderate to strong convection
follow the trough axis. Elsewhere, high pressure located NE of
the Azores dominates the remainder of the forecast region supporting
moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds with moderate seas. Large
northerly swell continues to propagate mainly across the waters W
of 70W with seas of up to 9 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell will continue
to propagate across the forecast waters mainly W of 65W and NE of
the Bahamas today then gradually subside tonight through Sat. A
tightening pressure gradient will develop across the northwestern
zones beginning late today as high pressure builds southward over
the western Atlantic and low pressure deepens near the central
Bahamas along a trough or developing frontal boundary. This setup
is expected to induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and
rough to very rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force
over much of the waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night
through Sun night. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these
dangerous marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions to
avoid the affected areas.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 16:42:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 231641
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Oct 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
beginning late today as high pressure builds southward over the
western Atlantic and low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas
along a trough or developing frontal boundary. This setup is
expected to induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and
rough to very rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force
over much of the waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night
through Sun night. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these
dangerous marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions to
avoid the affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands this weekend and Mon. By mid-week, the trough is
forecast to weaken and move eastward into the central Atlantic.
Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-
threatening flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 13N16W
to 12N30W. The ITCZ runs from 11N36W to near the Venezuela/Guyana
border. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 11N
between 20W and 31W, and from 06N to 10N between 31W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
the Gulf waters, supporting mainly moderate to locally fresh NE
to E winds with slight to moderate seas. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are noted over the Straits of Florida, and near the
NE of the Yucatan Peninsula. Low clouds are banked up against the
Sierra Madre Mountains in Mexico.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the
above mentioned high pressure and low pressure forecast to
develop near the central Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE
winds and rough to very rough seas over the eastern Gulf,
including the Florida Straits, tonight through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica.
An upper-level trough over NW Caribbean is triggering scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the north-central and
NW Caribbean, including the Cayman Islands and regional waters as
well as Jamaica, and just south of Hispaniola. Recent scatterometer
data indicate moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds over the
eastern Caribbean, and moderate N to NE winds over the NW Caribbean
with moderate seas. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, an upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of
America and NW Caribbean will support scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and
Windward Passage through Sun. Meanwhile, a broad trough over the
central and western Caribbean will support light winds and slight
to moderate seas west of 75W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E
to SE winds and moderate seas east of 75W. Looking ahead, expect
fresh N to NE winds across the western Caribbean with building
seas west of 80W early next week as high pressure builds north of
the area. Expect rough seas and large swell across the Yucatan
Channel Mon and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are near a 1012 mb low pressure
located just E of the Bahamas at 25N73W. This convective activity
now covers most of the waters from 20N to 30N between 65W and
76W. A surface trough extends from the low center northeastward to
beyond 31N56W. A band of showers and thunderstorms is ahead of
the trough axis, mainly N of 25N. A few showers and thunderstorms
are near SE Florida. Moderate to fresh NE winds are noted N of
25N and W of 72W between the low pressure center and high pressure
over eastern United States. Fresh to strong southerly winds are
observed per satellite derived wind data N of 27N between 42W and
51W due to the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and a
trough situated N of 27N and near 50W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with
these winds. Farther south, a surface trough is analyzed and extends
from 19N31W to 10N32W. A cluster of moderate to strong convection
follow the trough axis. Elsewhere, high pressure located NE of
the Azores dominates the remainder of the forecast region supporting
moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds with moderate seas. Large
northerly swell continues to propagate mainly across the waters W
of 70W with seas of up to 9 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell will continue
to propagate across the forecast waters mainly W of 65W and NE of
the Bahamas today then gradually subside tonight through Sat. A
tightening pressure gradient will develop across the northwestern
zones beginning late today as high pressure builds southward over
the western Atlantic and low pressure deepens near the central
Bahamas along a trough or developing frontal boundary. This setup
is expected to induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and
rough to very rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force
over much of the waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night
through Sun night. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these
dangerous marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions to
avoid the affected areas.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 05:14:28 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 20:11:33 GMT - Fri, 23 Oct 2026 17:14:28 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 231714
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 14:46:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231445
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT FRI 23 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-145
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf