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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 03:34:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 020334
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 21N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the
    wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the
    wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted with this wave
    at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and dives
    southwestward to 10N43W. The ITCZ extends from 10N43W to 10N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection prevails along the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. A 1015 mb
    surface high pressure is centered near 24N86W. This pattern is
    supporting moderate W winds and 2-4 ft seas off the northern Gulf
    coast, and light to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh NE to
    E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly
    through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over much of the NE Gulf N of 25N and E of 90W into the
    upcoming week as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach
    the Gulf coast. Moderate to fresh southwest winds will continue
    over the far northern Gulf through Sunday evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over Costa Rica and
    Panama. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the
    deep tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and
    seas of 6-8 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean
    Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the persistent pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of next
    week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over the
    central Caribbean near 72W, is accompanied by scattered showers
    and thunderstorms mainly over Hispaniola and the adjacent nearshore
    waters. The wave will continue quickly moving westward across
    the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of
    the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will change little
    through Tue, then lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient
    between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast
    waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds ahead of
    the front, along with scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
    majority of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the
    period

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 03:34:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 020334
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 21N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the
    wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the
    wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted with this wave
    at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and dives
    southwestward to 10N43W. The ITCZ extends from 10N43W to 10N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection prevails along the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. A 1015 mb
    surface high pressure is centered near 24N86W. This pattern is
    supporting moderate W winds and 2-4 ft seas off the northern Gulf
    coast, and light to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh NE to
    E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly
    through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over much of the NE Gulf N of 25N and E of 90W into the
    upcoming week as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach
    the Gulf coast. Moderate to fresh southwest winds will continue
    over the far northern Gulf through Sunday evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over Costa Rica and
    Panama. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the
    deep tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and
    seas of 6-8 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean
    Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the persistent pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of next
    week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over the
    central Caribbean near 72W, is accompanied by scattered showers
    and thunderstorms mainly over Hispaniola and the adjacent nearshore
    waters. The wave will continue quickly moving westward across
    the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of
    the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will change little
    through Tue, then lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient
    between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast
    waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds ahead of
    the front, along with scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
    majority of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the
    period

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 17:17:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 02 Aug 2026 07:00:05 GMT
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 05:17:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 020517
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Mahoney/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 13:50:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    787
    NOUS42 KNHC 011350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT SAT 01 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-062

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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