2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 07 Dec 2025 10:29:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071029
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Dec 7 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1025 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front is forecast to
    move across the Gulf tonight into Mon, followed by fresh to
    strong northwest to north winds and building seas. Gale-force
    northwest to north winds are expected off Veracruz Mon evening
    along with seas peaking to around 11 ft (3.5 m). Winds and seas
    will diminish Tue into Wed as the front becomes stationary from
    the Straits of Florida to the Yucatan Channel while high pressure
    settles across the central Gulf.

    Please refer to the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at the website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
    Leone near 07N12W, and continues southwestward to 03N23W. The
    ITCZ extends from 03N23W to 04N48W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is observed from 02N to 07N and east of
    39W.

    GULF OF AMERICA

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for information on
    upcoming gale conditions expected off Veracruz, Mexico.

    A weak stationary front extends from near Siesta Key, Florida to
    the NW Gulf waters and a few showers are noted north of the
    boundary. Generally drier conditions are seen elsewhere. Moderate
    or lighter winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail across the basin and will persist through
    this evening as the front weakens and drifts northward. A cold
    front is expected to enter the NW Gulf tonight and overtake the
    current front, while sweeping across the basin into early next
    week. This will lead to fresh to strong N to NW winds and building
    seas in the wake of the front. Gale-force NW to N winds are
    forecast off Veracruz Mon evening. Winds and seas will diminish
    Tue into Wed as the front stalls across the Yucatan Channel and
    Straits of Florida, and high pressure settles across the central
    Gulf. Light to gentle winds and slight seas will persist late Wed
    through the end of next week.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak surface trough along 85W continues to produce scattered
    showers west of 82W and south of 20N. Similar convection is noted
    off NW Colombia, while pockets of low-level moisture generate
    isolated showers in the eastern and central Caribbean. High
    pressure north of the area result in fresh to strong easterly
    trade winds and seas of 6-8 ft in the central Caribbean. Moderate
    to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the
    eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
    to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure north of the islands will
    support moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas
    over the central and eastern Caribbean through at least the middle
    of next week. Strong winds off NW Colombia, along with locally
    rough seas, will diminish this morning. Moderate or lighter winds
    and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A persistent
    E-NE swell will support rough seas across the Atlantic waters and
    passages of the Lesser Antilles through next Thu. Looking ahead, a
    weakening cold front will approach the northwestern Caribbean on
    Tue and linger across the Yucatan Channel and Straits of Florida
    through Wed. High pressure will build across the eastern Gulf of
    America by the middle of next week, leading to strong winds and
    rough seas in the south-entral Caribbean into late next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from near Bermuda to central Florida.
    Moderate to locally strong winds and moderate to rough seas are
    occurring north of 28N and east of 55W. Meanwhile, a subtropical
    ridge extends from Africa to the Bahamas along 25N. Moderate to
    locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted south
    of 23N and west of 60W. Farther east, a surface trough extends
    from 31N37W to 26N52W and moderate to locally strong winds and
    rough seas are present north of 26N and between 25N and 60W.
    South of 21N and between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, moderate
    to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft are prevalent.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front
    extends from near Bermuda to near Stuart, Florida. Fresh to
    locally strong winds and moderate to rough seas are noted ahead of
    and behind the front. These winds and seas will shift quickly
    eastward today with the front. The weak front is expected to
    dissipate later today. Looking ahead, a complex low pressure
    system and strong cold front will into the northwestern tropical
    Atlantic tonight and Mon, supporting widespread fresh to near
    gale-force winds and building seas ahead of and behind the front
    Mon through Tue. The cold front will reach from near Bermuda to
    the NW Bahamas and Straits of Florida Tue morning, then gradually
    weaken and stall along about 26N early Wed. Large N swell will
    move into the regional waters Tue through Wed then diminish Wed
    night.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 07 Dec 2025 10:29:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071029
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Dec 7 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1025 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front is forecast to
    move across the Gulf tonight into Mon, followed by fresh to
    strong northwest to north winds and building seas. Gale-force
    northwest to north winds are expected off Veracruz Mon evening
    along with seas peaking to around 11 ft (3.5 m). Winds and seas
    will diminish Tue into Wed as the front becomes stationary from
    the Straits of Florida to the Yucatan Channel while high pressure
    settles across the central Gulf.

    Please refer to the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at the website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
    Leone near 07N12W, and continues southwestward to 03N23W. The
    ITCZ extends from 03N23W to 04N48W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is observed from 02N to 07N and east of
    39W.

    GULF OF AMERICA

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for information on
    upcoming gale conditions expected off Veracruz, Mexico.

    A weak stationary front extends from near Siesta Key, Florida to
    the NW Gulf waters and a few showers are noted north of the
    boundary. Generally drier conditions are seen elsewhere. Moderate
    or lighter winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail across the basin and will persist through
    this evening as the front weakens and drifts northward. A cold
    front is expected to enter the NW Gulf tonight and overtake the
    current front, while sweeping across the basin into early next
    week. This will lead to fresh to strong N to NW winds and building
    seas in the wake of the front. Gale-force NW to N winds are
    forecast off Veracruz Mon evening. Winds and seas will diminish
    Tue into Wed as the front stalls across the Yucatan Channel and
    Straits of Florida, and high pressure settles across the central
    Gulf. Light to gentle winds and slight seas will persist late Wed
    through the end of next week.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak surface trough along 85W continues to produce scattered
    showers west of 82W and south of 20N. Similar convection is noted
    off NW Colombia, while pockets of low-level moisture generate
    isolated showers in the eastern and central Caribbean. High
    pressure north of the area result in fresh to strong easterly
    trade winds and seas of 6-8 ft in the central Caribbean. Moderate
    to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the
    eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
    to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure north of the islands will
    support moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas
    over the central and eastern Caribbean through at least the middle
    of next week. Strong winds off NW Colombia, along with locally
    rough seas, will diminish this morning. Moderate or lighter winds
    and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A persistent
    E-NE swell will support rough seas across the Atlantic waters and
    passages of the Lesser Antilles through next Thu. Looking ahead, a
    weakening cold front will approach the northwestern Caribbean on
    Tue and linger across the Yucatan Channel and Straits of Florida
    through Wed. High pressure will build across the eastern Gulf of
    America by the middle of next week, leading to strong winds and
    rough seas in the south-entral Caribbean into late next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from near Bermuda to central Florida.
    Moderate to locally strong winds and moderate to rough seas are
    occurring north of 28N and east of 55W. Meanwhile, a subtropical
    ridge extends from Africa to the Bahamas along 25N. Moderate to
    locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted south
    of 23N and west of 60W. Farther east, a surface trough extends
    from 31N37W to 26N52W and moderate to locally strong winds and
    rough seas are present north of 26N and between 25N and 60W.
    South of 21N and between Africa and the Lesser Antilles, moderate
    to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft are prevalent.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front
    extends from near Bermuda to near Stuart, Florida. Fresh to
    locally strong winds and moderate to rough seas are noted ahead of
    and behind the front. These winds and seas will shift quickly
    eastward today with the front. The weak front is expected to
    dissipate later today. Looking ahead, a complex low pressure
    system and strong cold front will into the northwestern tropical
    Atlantic tonight and Mon, supporting widespread fresh to near
    gale-force winds and building seas ahead of and behind the front
    Mon through Tue. The cold front will reach from near Bermuda to
    the NW Bahamas and Straits of Florida Tue morning, then gradually
    weaken and stall along about 26N early Wed. Large N swell will
    move into the regional waters Tue through Wed then diminish Wed
    night.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 06 Dec 2025 18:07:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    800
    NOUS42 KNHC 061807
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0110 PM EST SAT 06 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-006

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
    A. 08/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 02WSE IOP01
    C. 07/1730Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    35.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 125.0W, AND 35.0N 125.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 07/2030Z TO 08/0230Z

    2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
    FOR THE 08/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    09/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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