SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources
- NOAA National Hurricane Center
- International Meteorology Database
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Track Probabilities
- Brian McNoldy Atlantic Headquarters
- Brian McNoldy Tropical Satellite Sectors
- Brian McNoldy Infrared Hovmoller
- Brian McNoldy Past TC Radar Loops
- Weather Nerds TC Guidance
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- NOAA Tropical Cyclone Tracks
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Albany Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- Albany Tropical Atlantic Model Maps
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance
- FSU Tropical Model Outputs
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Genesis
- Penn State Tropical E-Wall
- NOAA HFIP Ruc Models
- Navy NRL TC Page
- College of DuPage Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NHC Analysis Tools
- NOAA NHC ATCF Directory
- NOAA NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA NCEP/EMC HWRF Model
- NOAA HFIP Model Products
- University of Miami Ocean Heat
- COLA Max Potential Hurricane Intensity
- Colorado State RAMMB TC Tracking
- Colorado State RAMMB Floaters
- Colorado State RAMMB GOES-16 Viewer
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-A
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-B
- Michael Ventrice Waves / MJO Maps
- TropicalAtlantic.com Analysis / Recon
- NCAR/RAL Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
Historic Louisiana Storms By Month
January
June
July
August
September
October
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 01 Jan 2026 18:18:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
553
AXNT20 KNHC 011818
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jan 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Residual NW swell will
maintain seas near 12 ft at the central Atlantic north of 30N
between 53W and 58W today. These seas will subside below 12 ft
by early this evening.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough remains mostly over the African Continent. An
ITCZ extends westward from just southwest of Liberia across
05N25W to 06N45W. Scattered to numerous moderate with isolated
strong convection is observed near the ITCZ from 04N to 07N
between 10W and 18W. Scattered moderate convection is seen farther
west from 04N to 07N between 16W and 36W.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean
waters near Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the western Bay
of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1022 mb high near the central Gulf
continues to dominate much of the Gulf with gentle to moderate
anti-cylconic winds and 1 to 3 ft seas.
For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
prevail over the basin through Fri morning as high pressure builds
over the central Gulf of America. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
winds and moderate seas will develop over the northern Gulf on
Fri as a warm front, associated with a low pressure system moving
through the southern U.S., lifts northward. A cold front trailing
the low is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sat, leading to
moderate N winds behind the front. High pressure will build over
the basin in the wake of the front Sun into next week
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough is producing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms at the north-central basin. Convergent trades are
triggering scattered showers at the Gulf of Honduras and near
Jamaica. Moderate to fresh NNE to E trades and seas of 5 to 8 ft
are present at the south-central and west-central basin. Gentle to
moderate with locally fresh NNE to E to ESE trades and 3 to 5 ft
seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the
Windward Passage.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate
seas will prevail over the central and western basin, including
the Windward Passage, through Fri as high pressure builds over
the Gulf of America to the north. Elsewhere, fresh to locally
strong trade winds are expected in the south-central basin through
Sat as low pressure anchors over northern Colombia. Moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are then expected over much of the
basin for Sun..
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section at the beginning on rough to
very rough seas at the central Atlantic.
A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic across
31N55W to 26N64W, then continues as a stationary front to
northeast of the southeast Bahamas at 23N69W. Widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring near and up to
110 nm southeast of this boundary. Convergent southerly winds
farther east are generating similar convection north of 22N
between 54W and 59W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
additional convection in the Atlantic basin.
Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are present
east of Florida, north of 27N between 64W and the northeastern
Florida coast. Fresh with locally strong S to SW winds and seas at
8 to 12 ft in residual NW swell exist north of 27N between 48W and
58W. Otherwise, moderate to gentle N to E to SE winds and 4 to 6
ft seas are noted north of 20N between 35W and the
Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the tropical Atlantic from 06N
to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate with locally
fresh NE to SSE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft in moderate to large N
swell exist. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W,
gentle SE to S winds with seas at 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate
swell exist.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
progress eastward today, and moderate to fresh SW winds are
expected east of the front, north of 27N, through this evening.
Rough seas associated with this front, north of 26N and east of
62W, will slowly subside from west to east into early Fri. Locally
very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible north of 30N and east
of 58W through this afternoon. Elsewhere, fresh to strong W winds
and locally rough seas occurring offshore of northern Florida
will expand eastward today as a cold front passing north of the
waters moves eastward. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SW winds and
rough seas are expected to develop offshore of northern and
central Florida on Sat, ahead of a cold front moving through the
southeastern U.S. The front is forecast to enter the northwestern
tropical Atlantic later this weekend, supporting fresh to strong N
winds and locally rough seas behind the front. These winds and
seas will expand southeastward into early next week.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 01 Jan 2026 18:18:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
553
AXNT20 KNHC 011818
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jan 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Residual NW swell will
maintain seas near 12 ft at the central Atlantic north of 30N
between 53W and 58W today. These seas will subside below 12 ft
by early this evening.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough remains mostly over the African Continent. An
ITCZ extends westward from just southwest of Liberia across
05N25W to 06N45W. Scattered to numerous moderate with isolated
strong convection is observed near the ITCZ from 04N to 07N
between 10W and 18W. Scattered moderate convection is seen farther
west from 04N to 07N between 16W and 36W.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean
waters near Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the western Bay
of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1022 mb high near the central Gulf
continues to dominate much of the Gulf with gentle to moderate
anti-cylconic winds and 1 to 3 ft seas.
For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
prevail over the basin through Fri morning as high pressure builds
over the central Gulf of America. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
winds and moderate seas will develop over the northern Gulf on
Fri as a warm front, associated with a low pressure system moving
through the southern U.S., lifts northward. A cold front trailing
the low is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sat, leading to
moderate N winds behind the front. High pressure will build over
the basin in the wake of the front Sun into next week
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough is producing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms at the north-central basin. Convergent trades are
triggering scattered showers at the Gulf of Honduras and near
Jamaica. Moderate to fresh NNE to E trades and seas of 5 to 8 ft
are present at the south-central and west-central basin. Gentle to
moderate with locally fresh NNE to E to ESE trades and 3 to 5 ft
seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the
Windward Passage.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate
seas will prevail over the central and western basin, including
the Windward Passage, through Fri as high pressure builds over
the Gulf of America to the north. Elsewhere, fresh to locally
strong trade winds are expected in the south-central basin through
Sat as low pressure anchors over northern Colombia. Moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are then expected over much of the
basin for Sun..
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section at the beginning on rough to
very rough seas at the central Atlantic.
A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic across
31N55W to 26N64W, then continues as a stationary front to
northeast of the southeast Bahamas at 23N69W. Widely scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring near and up to
110 nm southeast of this boundary. Convergent southerly winds
farther east are generating similar convection north of 22N
between 54W and 59W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
additional convection in the Atlantic basin.
Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are present
east of Florida, north of 27N between 64W and the northeastern
Florida coast. Fresh with locally strong S to SW winds and seas at
8 to 12 ft in residual NW swell exist north of 27N between 48W and
58W. Otherwise, moderate to gentle N to E to SE winds and 4 to 6
ft seas are noted north of 20N between 35W and the
Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the tropical Atlantic from 06N
to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate with locally
fresh NE to SSE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft in moderate to large N
swell exist. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W,
gentle SE to S winds with seas at 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate
swell exist.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
progress eastward today, and moderate to fresh SW winds are
expected east of the front, north of 27N, through this evening.
Rough seas associated with this front, north of 26N and east of
62W, will slowly subside from west to east into early Fri. Locally
very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible north of 30N and east
of 58W through this afternoon. Elsewhere, fresh to strong W winds
and locally rough seas occurring offshore of northern Florida
will expand eastward today as a cold front passing north of the
waters moves eastward. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SW winds and
rough seas are expected to develop offshore of northern and
central Florida on Sat, ahead of a cold front moving through the
southeastern U.S. The front is forecast to enter the northwestern
tropical Atlantic later this weekend, supporting fresh to strong N
winds and locally rough seas behind the front. These winds and
seas will expand southeastward into early next week.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 01 Jan 2026 20:06:13 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 01 Jan 2026 15:06:03 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 011505
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EST THU 01 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-032
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
