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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:37:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301537
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall across the NE Caribbean: A strong tropical
wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is producing scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection from 15N-21N between
58W-67W, including Puerto Rico eastward across the Virgin Islands
and the northern Leeward Islands. Fresh to locally near-gale winds and
8-12 ft seas are associated with this wave from 18N-22N between
60W-65W. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that
there are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and
redevelopment is unlikely during the next day or two while the
wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 20 kt. The
system should bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto
Rico over the next couple of days. Rainfall amounts and the
location of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as
local topography will enhance orographic lift and support the
heaviest rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for
specific rainfall forecasts for your local area. Conditions may
become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week
as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of America and the
system has a low chance of formation through 7 days
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 22N,
moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is occurring from 13N-15N between 33W-40W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south of 23N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 15N-21N between 58W-67W. See
the Special Features section above for more information on this
wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W, south of 2-N,
moving westward near 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is occurring south of 11N between 77W-83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Mauritania at
20N16W southwestward to 10N29W. The ITCZ begins there and extends
to 10N39W, where it breaks for the central Atlantic tropical wave.
The ITCZ resumes at 09N43W and extends westward to coastal Guyana
at 08N59W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 10N-15N
east of 21W and from 07N-11N between 45W-57W. Isolated moderate
convection is also noted from 07N-10N between 15W-45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1014 mb low pressure about 100 NM south of the mouth of the
Mississippi River is producing a cluster of thunderstorms in the
north-central waters. Aside from gusty winds in thunderstorms, peak
winds are around 20 kt and seas 4 ft. Elsewhere, winds across the
Gulf are moderate or weaker with seas 1-3 ft.
For the forecast, slow development of the low is possible over
the next couple of days as it moves west or west-northwest across
the northern basin. Regardless of development, mariners over the
north-central and northwest Gulf can expect strong thunderstorms
with gusty winds and locally higher seas early this week. There is
a low chance of tropical formation of this low pressure over the
next 48 hours. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will persist through
the forecast period, sustaining moderate or weaker winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The pressure gradient from the Bermuda High north of the area
along with the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the S central Caribbean with seas 5-8 ft.
Additionally, seas of 5-8 ft in NE swell are impacting the
Anegada Passage. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas
2-4 ft.
For the forecast, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly will move
quickly westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
eastern Cuba into Tue. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure
gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will
continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades and
moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The Bermuda-Azores High extends as a ridge along 34N with a 1025
mb center at 34N54W and a second 1026 mb center at 34N32W. The
pressure gradient from those to lower pressure over the ITCZ and
monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to locally strong trades
this morning with seas of 3-7 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
also noted north of 25N between 73W-77W associated with a surface
trough extending from 28N76W to beyond 31N74W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will move quickly westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and
Monday, then eastern Cuba into Tue, bringing similar conditions to
waters S of 23N early this week. Elsewhere, abundant tropical
moisture and a deep-layer trough will aide in scattered
thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue. To the east, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong off
Hispaniola through tonight.
$$
Landsea/Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 15:37:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301537
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall across the NE Caribbean: A strong tropical
wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is producing scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection from 15N-21N between
58W-67W, including Puerto Rico eastward across the Virgin Islands
and the northern Leeward Islands. Fresh to locally near-gale winds and
8-12 ft seas are associated with this wave from 18N-22N between
60W-65W. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that
there are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and
redevelopment is unlikely during the next day or two while the
wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 20 kt. The
system should bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto
Rico over the next couple of days. Rainfall amounts and the
location of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as
local topography will enhance orographic lift and support the
heaviest rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for
specific rainfall forecasts for your local area. Conditions may
become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week
as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of America and the
system has a low chance of formation through 7 days
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 22N,
moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is occurring from 13N-15N between 33W-40W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south of 23N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 15N-21N between 58W-67W. See
the Special Features section above for more information on this
wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W, south of 2-N,
moving westward near 20 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is occurring south of 11N between 77W-83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Mauritania at
20N16W southwestward to 10N29W. The ITCZ begins there and extends
to 10N39W, where it breaks for the central Atlantic tropical wave.
The ITCZ resumes at 09N43W and extends westward to coastal Guyana
at 08N59W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 10N-15N
east of 21W and from 07N-11N between 45W-57W. Isolated moderate
convection is also noted from 07N-10N between 15W-45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1014 mb low pressure about 100 NM south of the mouth of the
Mississippi River is producing a cluster of thunderstorms in the
north-central waters. Aside from gusty winds in thunderstorms, peak
winds are around 20 kt and seas 4 ft. Elsewhere, winds across the
Gulf are moderate or weaker with seas 1-3 ft.
For the forecast, slow development of the low is possible over
the next couple of days as it moves west or west-northwest across
the northern basin. Regardless of development, mariners over the
north-central and northwest Gulf can expect strong thunderstorms
with gusty winds and locally higher seas early this week. There is
a low chance of tropical formation of this low pressure over the
next 48 hours. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will persist through
the forecast period, sustaining moderate or weaker winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The pressure gradient from the Bermuda High north of the area
along with the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the S central Caribbean with seas 5-8 ft.
Additionally, seas of 5-8 ft in NE swell are impacting the
Anegada Passage. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas
2-4 ft.
For the forecast, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly will move
quickly westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
eastern Cuba into Tue. Elsewhere across the basin, the pressure
gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low will
continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades and
moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The Bermuda-Azores High extends as a ridge along 34N with a 1025
mb center at 34N54W and a second 1026 mb center at 34N32W. The
pressure gradient from those to lower pressure over the ITCZ and
monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to locally strong trades
this morning with seas of 3-7 ft. Scattered moderate convection is
also noted north of 25N between 73W-77W associated with a surface
trough extending from 28N76W to beyond 31N74W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will move quickly westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and
Monday, then eastern Cuba into Tue, bringing similar conditions to
waters S of 23N early this week. Elsewhere, abundant tropical
moisture and a deep-layer trough will aide in scattered
thunderstorms W of 70W through Tue. To the east, the subtropical
ridge will dominate, supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to locally strong off
Hispaniola through tonight.
$$
Landsea/Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 01 Sep 2026 06:29:30 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:53:49 GMT - Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:29:30 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301828 CCA
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrteced
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Correct low chance to medium chance for the Gulf system
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A low pressure area is located over the northern Gulf of America
about 125 mils south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana.
Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that this
system has become better organized since yesterday. Additional
development is possible as the low moves slowly west-northwestward,
and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm could form
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana
coasts Tuesday or Tuesday night. Interests along the Louisiana and
Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over
portions of the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coasts during
the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico
eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands.
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there are no
signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is unlikely
during the next day or two while the wave moves westward to
west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The system should bring locally
heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola over the next couple of
days. Conditions may become more conducive for redevelopment by the
middle of the week as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of
America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 16:27:26 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 301627
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 30 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z TO 01/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-091 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NORTHERN GULF OF AMERICA - AL97)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72 (CORRECTED)
A. 31/1300Z A. 31/2330Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 02AAA SURVEY
C. 31/1200Z C. 31/2230Z
D. 28.3N 91.4W D. 28.6N 92.5W
E. 31/1230Z TO 21/1730Z E. 31/2300Z TO 01/0400Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST G. SYSTEM SURVEY
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 73
A. 01/1130Z
B. AFXXX 03AAA SURVEY
C. 01/1015Z
D. 29.2N 93.7W
E. 01/1100Z TO 01/1600Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. SYSTEM SURVEY
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON SUSPECT AREA AL97 AT 01/1730Z IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.
B. POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST INTO THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY SOUTH OF
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NEAR 21.5N 74.5W FOR 01/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM LOWELL
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
A. 01/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0112E LOWELL
C. 31/1700Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
MISSION AROUND LOWELL FOR 02/1200Z, DEPARTING PHJR TENTATIVELY
AT 02/0400Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON LOWELL AT 02/1730Z.
B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO LOWELL FOR 03/0000Z,
DEPARTING PHJR AT 02/2000Z.
C. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND LOWELL FOR
03/1200Z, DEPARTING PHJR TENTATIVELY AT 03/0400Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf