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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 13 Nov 2026 03:40:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 130339
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Nov 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: a strong cold front is moving
off the northeast Florida coast this morning accompanied by fresh
to strong winds on either side of it. The front is expected to
reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning,
and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by
Sun morning. Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds will
precede the front to over the waters north of about 29N. The cold
front portion will shift east of 55W late Sun night while the
stationary portion weakens. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 13N16W to 09N20W. The ITCZ extends
from 09N20W to 03N30W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
active from 04N to 06N between 20W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to near
Brownsville, Texas. Building high pressure north of the front is
already supporting fresh to strong winds and rough seas off
Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Moderate N winds and 2-4 ft
seas follow the front, with light breezes and 1-3 ft seas
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the front will rapidly shift across the
rest of the basin overnight and exit the area early on Fri. Fresh
to locally strong northwest to north winds will prevail near
Tampico and Veracruz through early on Fri. Elsewhere, moderate to
locally fresh north winds are expected in the wake of the cold
front. High pressure will build southward into the region this
weekend, with fresh to strong easterly winds across portions of
the northern and central Gulf. Another strong cold front is
expected to push off the Texas coast Mon morning, and quickly move
across the basin through Tue night. Fresh to strong winds will
follow the front across much of the basin. Winds to near gale-
force are possible in the far NE Gulf early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north of the region
and a 1007 mb low pressure along the NW coast of Colombia is
causing fresh to strong trades over the eastern and central
Caribbean with seas 6-8 ft. Moderate trade winds are found
elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas, except for light to gentle breezes and
2-4 ft over the northwest Caribbean. A pair of surface troughs
are analyzed in the western Caribbean supporting scattered showers
and thunderstorms mainly over the NW Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the central
and eastern Caribbean tonight, with gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere. The pressure gradient will loosen starting Fri,
weakening the trades. A cold front will enter the NW waters Fri.
Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are likely behind this
front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat through Sun. Trade
winds may strengthen again over the south central Caribbean early
next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the area north
of 20N and west of 60W ahead of a cold front starting move off the
northeast Florida coast. Strong SW winds and 6-8 ft seas are
active between northeast Florida and Bermuda ahead of the front.
A broad ridge centered by 1023 mb high pressure near 32N42W
dominates the remainder of the basin. This pattern is supporting
fresh to strong SW winds elsewhere north of 20N and east of 55W
with 4-6 ft seas. The pattern is also supporting fresh trade winds
and 5-7 ft seas over the deep tropics south of 20N and west of
35W. Gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front is expected to reach from near
31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and from near
31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by Sun morning.
Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds will precede the front
to over the waters north of about 29N. The cold front portion will
shift east of 55W late Sun night while the stationary portion
weakens. Winds will briefly diminish below fresh speeds over the
forecast waters on Sun. A building Bermuda High will tighten the
pressure gradient and support fresh to strong northeast winds
south of 27N west of 65W Mon and Mon night. The fresh to strong
winds will expand northward in coverage Tue and Tue night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 13 Nov 2026 03:40:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 130339
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Nov 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: a strong cold front is moving
off the northeast Florida coast this morning accompanied by fresh
to strong winds on either side of it. The front is expected to
reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning,
and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by
Sun morning. Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds will
precede the front to over the waters north of about 29N. The cold
front portion will shift east of 55W late Sun night while the
stationary portion weakens. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 13N16W to 09N20W. The ITCZ extends
from 09N20W to 03N30W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
active from 04N to 06N between 20W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend area to near
Brownsville, Texas. Building high pressure north of the front is
already supporting fresh to strong winds and rough seas off
Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Moderate N winds and 2-4 ft
seas follow the front, with light breezes and 1-3 ft seas
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the front will rapidly shift across the
rest of the basin overnight and exit the area early on Fri. Fresh
to locally strong northwest to north winds will prevail near
Tampico and Veracruz through early on Fri. Elsewhere, moderate to
locally fresh north winds are expected in the wake of the cold
front. High pressure will build southward into the region this
weekend, with fresh to strong easterly winds across portions of
the northern and central Gulf. Another strong cold front is
expected to push off the Texas coast Mon morning, and quickly move
across the basin through Tue night. Fresh to strong winds will
follow the front across much of the basin. Winds to near gale-
force are possible in the far NE Gulf early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north of the region
and a 1007 mb low pressure along the NW coast of Colombia is
causing fresh to strong trades over the eastern and central
Caribbean with seas 6-8 ft. Moderate trade winds are found
elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas, except for light to gentle breezes and
2-4 ft over the northwest Caribbean. A pair of surface troughs
are analyzed in the western Caribbean supporting scattered showers
and thunderstorms mainly over the NW Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the central
and eastern Caribbean tonight, with gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere. The pressure gradient will loosen starting Fri,
weakening the trades. A cold front will enter the NW waters Fri.
Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are likely behind this
front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat through Sun. Trade
winds may strengthen again over the south central Caribbean early
next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the area north
of 20N and west of 60W ahead of a cold front starting move off the
northeast Florida coast. Strong SW winds and 6-8 ft seas are
active between northeast Florida and Bermuda ahead of the front.
A broad ridge centered by 1023 mb high pressure near 32N42W
dominates the remainder of the basin. This pattern is supporting
fresh to strong SW winds elsewhere north of 20N and east of 55W
with 4-6 ft seas. The pattern is also supporting fresh trade winds
and 5-7 ft seas over the deep tropics south of 20N and west of
35W. Gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front is expected to reach from near
31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and from near
31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by Sun morning.
Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds will precede the front
to over the waters north of about 29N. The cold front portion will
shift east of 55W late Sun night while the stationary portion
weakens. Winds will briefly diminish below fresh speeds over the
forecast waters on Sun. A building Bermuda High will tighten the
pressure gradient and support fresh to strong northeast winds
south of 27N west of 65W Mon and Mon night. The fresh to strong
winds will expand northward in coverage Tue and Tue night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 14 Nov 2026 11:23:07 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 13 Nov 2026 04:14:21 GMT - Thu, 12 Nov 2026 23:23:07 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 122322
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 12 Nov 2026 16:16:27 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121616
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST THU 12 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-165
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf