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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 14 Nov 2026 16:43:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 141643
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1638 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from Bermuda to
    central Cuba. Gale force SW winds are N of 29N ahead of the front, W
    of 60W. These gales will be short- lived, with winds diminishing
    below gale force this afternoon. Thereafter, strong winds will
    prevail ahead of the front into Sun morning, when the front will
    reach from near 31N55W to near the Windward Passage.

    Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by
    the National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 09N13W to 08N16W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N16W to 07N30W to 06N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 04N to 10N along the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel to the Bay of
    Campeche. A reinforcing front reaches from near Bonita Shores,
    Florida to near 27N93W. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and
    moderate seas, prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh winds will prevail
    today as high pressure builds southward toward the region. As
    pressure lowers over the southern Gulf, the pressure gradient will
    increase over the northern basin starting tonight, leading to
    increasing winds. By Sun night and continuing through early next
    week, near gale-force winds are likely across portions of the far
    northern Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail over the waters
    east of 70W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas,
    are noted elsewhere, except for moderate winds over the NW part of
    the basin. Scattered moderate convection is depicted across the
    Windward Passage in association to a pre- frontal trough. The
    eastern end of the Eastern Pacific Monsoon Trough is supporting
    numerous moderate convection south of 12.5N between 74W and 80W.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades over the eastern
    Caribbean today will transition to the south-central basin Sun,
    then increase in speed starting Mon. Moderate to fresh northeast
    to east winds will prevail behind a surface trough over the
    northwestern Caribbean into Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on gale
    conditions east of a cold front.

    A cold front extends from Bermuda to central Cuba. Numerous
    thunderstorms are within 210 nm east of the front. Gale force SW
    winds are N of 29N ahead of the front, W of 60W. Aside from the
    gale force winds, strong to near- gale force winds and rough seas
    are noted N of 24N E of the front to 55W. A secondary front extends
    from 31N72W to Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Fresh to strong winds
    and moderate to rough seas prevail west of this front. Elsewhere
    W of 65W, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted. The
    remainder of the waters N of 10N are dominated by high pressure,
    anchored by a 1026 mb high centered near 31N29W. Light to gentle
    winds and moderate seas are found N of 25N and E of 43W. Moderate
    to fresh winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, The gales will prevail through
    early afternoon before diminishing, but strong NW winds will
    develop to the west, behind the secondary front. The two
    aforementioned fronts will combine and reach from from 31N55W to
    the Windward Passage Sun. The combined boundary will weaken and
    move east of the area early next week. High pressure building
    southward toward the region will lead to increasing NE to E winds
    S of 27N and W of 65W Mon, and these strong winds will expand
    north and eastward through the middle of next week.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 14 Nov 2026 16:43:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 141643
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1638 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from Bermuda to
    central Cuba. Gale force SW winds are N of 29N ahead of the front, W
    of 60W. These gales will be short- lived, with winds diminishing
    below gale force this afternoon. Thereafter, strong winds will
    prevail ahead of the front into Sun morning, when the front will
    reach from near 31N55W to near the Windward Passage.

    Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by
    the National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 09N13W to 08N16W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N16W to 07N30W to 06N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 04N to 10N along the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Yucatan Channel to the Bay of
    Campeche. A reinforcing front reaches from near Bonita Shores,
    Florida to near 27N93W. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and
    moderate seas, prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh winds will prevail
    today as high pressure builds southward toward the region. As
    pressure lowers over the southern Gulf, the pressure gradient will
    increase over the northern basin starting tonight, leading to
    increasing winds. By Sun night and continuing through early next
    week, near gale-force winds are likely across portions of the far
    northern Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail over the waters
    east of 70W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas,
    are noted elsewhere, except for moderate winds over the NW part of
    the basin. Scattered moderate convection is depicted across the
    Windward Passage in association to a pre- frontal trough. The
    eastern end of the Eastern Pacific Monsoon Trough is supporting
    numerous moderate convection south of 12.5N between 74W and 80W.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades over the eastern
    Caribbean today will transition to the south-central basin Sun,
    then increase in speed starting Mon. Moderate to fresh northeast
    to east winds will prevail behind a surface trough over the
    northwestern Caribbean into Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on gale
    conditions east of a cold front.

    A cold front extends from Bermuda to central Cuba. Numerous
    thunderstorms are within 210 nm east of the front. Gale force SW
    winds are N of 29N ahead of the front, W of 60W. Aside from the
    gale force winds, strong to near- gale force winds and rough seas
    are noted N of 24N E of the front to 55W. A secondary front extends
    from 31N72W to Palm Beach Gardens, Florida. Fresh to strong winds
    and moderate to rough seas prevail west of this front. Elsewhere
    W of 65W, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted. The
    remainder of the waters N of 10N are dominated by high pressure,
    anchored by a 1026 mb high centered near 31N29W. Light to gentle
    winds and moderate seas are found N of 25N and E of 43W. Moderate
    to fresh winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, The gales will prevail through
    early afternoon before diminishing, but strong NW winds will
    develop to the west, behind the secondary front. The two
    aforementioned fronts will combine and reach from from 31N55W to
    the Windward Passage Sun. The combined boundary will weaken and
    move east of the area early next week. High pressure building
    southward toward the region will lead to increasing NE to E winds
    S of 27N and W of 65W Mon, and these strong winds will expand
    north and eastward through the middle of next week.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 16 Nov 2026 05:04:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 14 Nov 2026 22:25:08 GMT
  • Sat, 14 Nov 2026 17:04:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 141704
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 14 Nov 2026 16:19:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 141619
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1120 AM EST SAT 14 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-167

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL


    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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