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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 10:26:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 081026
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area is
    located near 28N58W. The low continues to produce scattered to
    numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms over the E semicircle of
    the low, from 20N to 31N between 38W and 62W. The low is forecast
    to move generally east-northeastward over the central subtropical
    Atlantic during the next couple of days. Recent satellite
    scatterometer data showed a broad band of near-gale to gale force
    NE to E winds of 30 to 40 kt occurring in the NE quadrant within
    240 nm of the low center. Seas of 8 to 16 ft occurring within the
    area of gales and convection. Gale-force winds and very rough
    seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to continue to the north of
    this low center as it moves over parts of the central subtropical
    Atlantic through Sun.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends SW
    to 07N19W. The ITCZ extends from 07N19W to 04N51W. Scattered
    showers prevail along the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from south Florida to 23N90W where it
    weakens to 25N97W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds are ongoing E
    of 90W while moderate to fresh ESE winds are W of 90W, except for
    light to gentle winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 1 to 4 ft
    basin-wide.

    For the forecast, the frontal boundary will weaken today and
    dissipate by late Mon. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind
    the front. High pressure will then build across the area, with
    winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. The next cold front will
    move into the NW Gulf on Thu, followed by freshening winds and
    building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient due to the low in the Special Features is
    supporting moderate or weaker winds and 3 to 4 ft seas basin-wide.
    Otherwise, a line of scattered heavy showers and tstms is moving
    across the NE Caribbean to the same low pres system. Scattered
    showers prevail offshore E Honduras and NE Nicaragua due to a
    lingering surface trough.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through Mon. Winds will strengthen over the
    central Caribbean by Tuesday and prevail through the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    Aside from the low in Special Features, a stationary front
    extends from 31N72W to 26N80W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds
    prevail in the vicinity of the front with slight seas. To the E of
    the Special Features low, a cold front extends from 31N15W to
    28N41W where it transitions to a warm front to 32N52W. Scattered
    moderate convection is ahead of the front N of 20N to the NW coast
    of Africa. Strong to near gale-force SW winds are ahead of the
    front where seas are 8 to 12 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds
    follow the front E of 35W, where seas are 11 to 15 ft. South of
    the Special Features low, winds are fresh to strong to 20N between
    45W and 62W, and seas are rough to 12 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres in the Special Features
    will continue to move east-northeastward through midweek. An area
    of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
    peaking near 16 ft, will prevail north of the low, impacting the
    waters mainly north of about 28N and east of 65W through today.
    Elsewhere, a weakening front over the NW waters will dissipate
    today.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 10:26:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 081026
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area is
    located near 28N58W. The low continues to produce scattered to
    numerous heavy showers and thunderstorms over the E semicircle of
    the low, from 20N to 31N between 38W and 62W. The low is forecast
    to move generally east-northeastward over the central subtropical
    Atlantic during the next couple of days. Recent satellite
    scatterometer data showed a broad band of near-gale to gale force
    NE to E winds of 30 to 40 kt occurring in the NE quadrant within
    240 nm of the low center. Seas of 8 to 16 ft occurring within the
    area of gales and convection. Gale-force winds and very rough
    seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to continue to the north of
    this low center as it moves over parts of the central subtropical
    Atlantic through Sun.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends SW
    to 07N19W. The ITCZ extends from 07N19W to 04N51W. Scattered
    showers prevail along the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from south Florida to 23N90W where it
    weakens to 25N97W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds are ongoing E
    of 90W while moderate to fresh ESE winds are W of 90W, except for
    light to gentle winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 1 to 4 ft
    basin-wide.

    For the forecast, the frontal boundary will weaken today and
    dissipate by late Mon. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind
    the front. High pressure will then build across the area, with
    winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. The next cold front will
    move into the NW Gulf on Thu, followed by freshening winds and
    building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient due to the low in the Special Features is
    supporting moderate or weaker winds and 3 to 4 ft seas basin-wide.
    Otherwise, a line of scattered heavy showers and tstms is moving
    across the NE Caribbean to the same low pres system. Scattered
    showers prevail offshore E Honduras and NE Nicaragua due to a
    lingering surface trough.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through Mon. Winds will strengthen over the
    central Caribbean by Tuesday and prevail through the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    Aside from the low in Special Features, a stationary front
    extends from 31N72W to 26N80W. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds
    prevail in the vicinity of the front with slight seas. To the E of
    the Special Features low, a cold front extends from 31N15W to
    28N41W where it transitions to a warm front to 32N52W. Scattered
    moderate convection is ahead of the front N of 20N to the NW coast
    of Africa. Strong to near gale-force SW winds are ahead of the
    front where seas are 8 to 12 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds
    follow the front E of 35W, where seas are 11 to 15 ft. South of
    the Special Features low, winds are fresh to strong to 20N between
    45W and 62W, and seas are rough to 12 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres in the Special Features
    will continue to move east-northeastward through midweek. An area
    of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
    peaking near 16 ft, will prevail north of the low, impacting the
    waters mainly north of about 28N and east of 65W through today.
    Elsewhere, a weakening front over the NW waters will dissipate
    today.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 23:18:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 14:50:07 GMT
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 11:18:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    704
    ABNT20 KNHC 081118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:25:37 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    333
    NOUS42 KNHC 071625
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1125 AM EST SAT 07 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-160

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
    THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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