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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 22:11:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 012211
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed from 07N to 18N between 20W and 30W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 52W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 05N to 10N between 45W and 55W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 15N to 17N between 70W and 72W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 24N15W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
    low pressure area near 16N26W and then to 08N45W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N45W to 08N59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. 1017 mb
    surface high pressure is centered north of the Yucatan Channel
    near 23N85W. This pattern is supporting moderate W winds and 2-4
    ft seas off the northern Gulf coast, and light to gentle breezes
    and 1-3 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure will remain
    in control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting
    gentle to moderate winds for the next several days. The exception
    will be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf and over mostly the
    eastern portion of the north-central Gulf into the upcoming week
    as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.
    Moderate to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the
    front over the far northern Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off central Belize,
    and off northeastern Costa Rica and southeastern Nicaragua.
    Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
    situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep
    tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of
    6-9 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the persistent enhanced pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the
    central basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of
    next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over
    the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by scattered
    showers and thunderstorms. The wave will quickly continue westward
    across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across
    much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from the central
    Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change little through Tue, then
    lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient between the ridge
    and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue
    to support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers
    and thunderstorms over the majority of the area into the upcoming
    week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    at night through the period.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 22:11:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 012211
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed from 07N to 18N between 20W and 30W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 52W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 05N to 10N between 45W and 55W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 15N to 17N between 70W and 72W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 24N15W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
    low pressure area near 16N26W and then to 08N45W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N45W to 08N59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. 1017 mb
    surface high pressure is centered north of the Yucatan Channel
    near 23N85W. This pattern is supporting moderate W winds and 2-4
    ft seas off the northern Gulf coast, and light to gentle breezes
    and 1-3 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure will remain
    in control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting
    gentle to moderate winds for the next several days. The exception
    will be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf and over mostly the
    eastern portion of the north-central Gulf into the upcoming week
    as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.
    Moderate to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the
    front over the far northern Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off central Belize,
    and off northeastern Costa Rica and southeastern Nicaragua.
    Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
    situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep
    tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of
    6-9 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the persistent enhanced pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the
    central basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of
    next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over
    the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by scattered
    showers and thunderstorms. The wave will quickly continue westward
    across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across
    much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from the central
    Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change little through Tue, then
    lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient between the ridge
    and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue
    to support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers
    and thunderstorms over the majority of the area into the upcoming
    week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    at night through the period.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 11:49:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:57:28 GMT
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:49:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 012349
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Mahoney/Pierce/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 13:50:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    787
    NOUS42 KNHC 011350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT SAT 01 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-062

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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