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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 16 Apr 2026 23:52:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 162352
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Apr 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea-Bissau just south of Bissau and extends south-southwestward
to 05N18W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 02N30W to south
of the Equator at 43W and to near the Amazon Delta region. Scattered
moderate convection is within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between
19W-23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge extends southwestward from a 1023 mb high near the
Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate to fresh
southeast winds along with seas of 4 to 6 ft are present in the
eastern Bay of Campeche and extending northward to near 24N. Latest
scatterometer satellite data indicates gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft over the rest of the basin,
except for slightly lower seas of 2 to 4 ft in the southeastern part
of the Gulf.
For the forecast a ridge across the northern Gulf will remain in
place and slowly weaken through Sat, maintaining gentle to moderate
east to southeast winds across most of the basin. The exception will
be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will allow fresh
to strong winds to pulse during the evenings. Looking ahead, fresh
to strong north to northeast winds and building seas will follow a
cold front moving across the northern Gulf Sat night through the
early part of the week. The front will stall from the Straits of
Florida to South Texas by late Mon and dissipate through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid to upper-level low dropping southward over the north-
central Dominican Republic is helping to sustain scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms near the Dominican Republic
and ABC Islands as well as over sections of the northeastern
Caribbean, including Puerto Rico and vicinity waters. A surface
trough extends from the western Atlantic to eastern Haiti.
Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime is present across most of the
sea. Moderate to locally fresh east-northeast to east-southeast
winds along with seas of 4 to 6 ft are in the lee of Cuba, near the
Windward Passage and near the ABC Islands. Latest scatterometer
satellite data shows gentle to moderate east-southeast winds
elsewhere across the basin. Seas are about 2 to 4 ft with these
winds.
For the forecast, the aforementioned mid to upper-level low is
expected to become absorbed into a trough by early on Fri as the
trough shifts eastward toward the northeastern Caribbean. The
surface trough will disrupt the typical pressure pattern across the
basin during this time. Expect fresh trade winds and moderate seas
off the coast of Colombia overnight, then mainly gentle to moderate
winds are expected there during the remainder of the week. Winds and
seas will generally diminish across the basin as the trough passes
north of the area Fri through the weekend. Looking ahead, expect
fresh northeast winds early next week across the Windward Passage
associated with a late-season cold front moving across Cuba.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid to upper-level trough curves southwestward from southeast of
Bermuda to 24N60W, to a mid to upper-level low over the north-
central Dominican Republic, and southwestward from there to the
southwest Caribbean. A surface trough extends from 31N63W to the
Turks and Caicos and to eastern Haiti. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are seen from 20N to 22N between 67W and 71W,
and from 22N to 24N between 65W and 69W. Refer to the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section at the beginning for additional convection in
the Atlantic Basin.
A 1023 mb high center is analyzed north of the area at 34N68W
while a 1025 mb high center is just north of the area at 32N49W.
High pressure continues to dominate the wind flow pattern
across the basin, generally north of about 18N and east of the
Lesser Antilles and also north of 21N and west of 61W. The related
gradient is providing for light to gentle winds north of 26N between
35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over
these waters. Farther south from 20N to 26N and between 35W and the
Bahamas, gentle to moderate northeast to east winds are present
along with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh northeast to east
winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft mainly in an east swell prevail for the
remainder of the Atlantic Basin.
Three other surface troughs are analyzed over the basin, however, no
deep convection is presently occurring with these features.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough extending from
eastern Haiti to the Turks and Caicos to southwest of Bermuda will
move little through Fri, then dissipate through Sat. High pressure
will build into the area from the east following the trough. Looking
ahead, a cold front is forecast to move off the coast of northeast
Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to strong N to NE winds and building
seas in the wake of the front as it reaches from Bermuda to the
Straits of Florida by late Mon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by
late Tue.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 16 Apr 2026 23:52:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 162352
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Apr 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea-Bissau just south of Bissau and extends south-southwestward
to 05N18W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 02N30W to south
of the Equator at 43W and to near the Amazon Delta region. Scattered
moderate convection is within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between
19W-23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge extends southwestward from a 1023 mb high near the
Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate to fresh
southeast winds along with seas of 4 to 6 ft are present in the
eastern Bay of Campeche and extending northward to near 24N. Latest
scatterometer satellite data indicates gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft over the rest of the basin,
except for slightly lower seas of 2 to 4 ft in the southeastern part
of the Gulf.
For the forecast a ridge across the northern Gulf will remain in
place and slowly weaken through Sat, maintaining gentle to moderate
east to southeast winds across most of the basin. The exception will
be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will allow fresh
to strong winds to pulse during the evenings. Looking ahead, fresh
to strong north to northeast winds and building seas will follow a
cold front moving across the northern Gulf Sat night through the
early part of the week. The front will stall from the Straits of
Florida to South Texas by late Mon and dissipate through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid to upper-level low dropping southward over the north-
central Dominican Republic is helping to sustain scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms near the Dominican Republic
and ABC Islands as well as over sections of the northeastern
Caribbean, including Puerto Rico and vicinity waters. A surface
trough extends from the western Atlantic to eastern Haiti.
Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime is present across most of the
sea. Moderate to locally fresh east-northeast to east-southeast
winds along with seas of 4 to 6 ft are in the lee of Cuba, near the
Windward Passage and near the ABC Islands. Latest scatterometer
satellite data shows gentle to moderate east-southeast winds
elsewhere across the basin. Seas are about 2 to 4 ft with these
winds.
For the forecast, the aforementioned mid to upper-level low is
expected to become absorbed into a trough by early on Fri as the
trough shifts eastward toward the northeastern Caribbean. The
surface trough will disrupt the typical pressure pattern across the
basin during this time. Expect fresh trade winds and moderate seas
off the coast of Colombia overnight, then mainly gentle to moderate
winds are expected there during the remainder of the week. Winds and
seas will generally diminish across the basin as the trough passes
north of the area Fri through the weekend. Looking ahead, expect
fresh northeast winds early next week across the Windward Passage
associated with a late-season cold front moving across Cuba.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid to upper-level trough curves southwestward from southeast of
Bermuda to 24N60W, to a mid to upper-level low over the north-
central Dominican Republic, and southwestward from there to the
southwest Caribbean. A surface trough extends from 31N63W to the
Turks and Caicos and to eastern Haiti. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are seen from 20N to 22N between 67W and 71W,
and from 22N to 24N between 65W and 69W. Refer to the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section at the beginning for additional convection in
the Atlantic Basin.
A 1023 mb high center is analyzed north of the area at 34N68W
while a 1025 mb high center is just north of the area at 32N49W.
High pressure continues to dominate the wind flow pattern
across the basin, generally north of about 18N and east of the
Lesser Antilles and also north of 21N and west of 61W. The related
gradient is providing for light to gentle winds north of 26N between
35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over
these waters. Farther south from 20N to 26N and between 35W and the
Bahamas, gentle to moderate northeast to east winds are present
along with seas of 6 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh northeast to east
winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft mainly in an east swell prevail for the
remainder of the Atlantic Basin.
Three other surface troughs are analyzed over the basin, however, no
deep convection is presently occurring with these features.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough extending from
eastern Haiti to the Turks and Caicos to southwest of Bermuda will
move little through Fri, then dissipate through Sat. High pressure
will build into the area from the east following the trough. Looking
ahead, a cold front is forecast to move off the coast of northeast
Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to strong N to NE winds and building
seas in the wake of the front as it reaches from Bermuda to the
Straits of Florida by late Mon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by
late Tue.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 17 Apr 2026 03:06:13 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf