2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 22 Apr 2026 22:09:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    242
    AXNT20 KNHC 222209
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Apr 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Senegal
    near 14N16.5W then curves southwestward to 02.5N33W. ITCZ
    continues southwestward from 02.5N33W to 01N38W to 07N56W and then
    to the coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Numerous moderate scattered
    strong convection is noted south of the monsoon trough from 00N to
    07N between 09W and 25W. Scattered moderate convection is seen
    near and up to 150 nm within the ITCZ west of 46W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The remnants of the recent cold front can be seen in satellite
    imagery this evening, in the form of a shearline, extending from
    offshore the NW coast of Cuba near 23N84W to 24N89W to 27N94W.
    Midday satellite scatterometer wind data showed convergent fresh
    to strong E to SE winds to the northeast of this boundary, that
    continue to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms within 200
    nm NE of the shearline, and extend inland across the coasts of
    Louisiana and southeast Texas. Seas are 5 to 8 ft within these
    winds. Otherwise, high pressure across the western Atlantic
    extends a ridge southwestward over the Gulf. Gentle to moderate
    SE to S winds with 3 to 5 ft prevail across the W and SW Gulf.

    For the forecast, fresh winds and rough seas along and just NE of
    the shearline will gradually diminish tonight in the southeastern
    and central Gulf. High pressure will then build across the Gulf
    region, with a relatively weak pressure gradient expected across
    the area. This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds basin-
    wide Thu through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The tail-end of an old cold front has become stationary across the
    N and NW coast of Hispaniola, and is producing scattered showers
    across eastern Cuba, along the north coast of Hispaniola, and
    across interior Jamaica. Farther west, a surface trough is
    bringing patchy showers in the northwestern basin. Moderate to
    locally fresh ENE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail in the lee
    of Cuba and through the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate ENE
    to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail across the remainder of the
    Caribbean Sea, except seas to 5 ft along the NW coast of Colombia.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE winds are expected
    through the Windward Passage and southwest of Cuba through
    tonight as a late-season cold front stalls across eastern Cuba and
    the N coast of Hispaniola along about 20N, then dissipates Thu.
    The Atlantic high pressure located north of the basin will weaken
    over the next couple of days and support a weaker than usual
    pressure gradient over the Caribbean Sea into the weekend. This
    will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas across the entire basin Fri through Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An Atlantic cold front enters the area waters near 31N53W and
    extends southwestward to 21N67W, then has become stationary to the
    NW coast of Haiti. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are occurring up to 300 nm E of the front, to the N of 25N, and
    within 90 nm southeast of this feature elsewhere. Further south,
    a surface trough is causing scattered showers east of the northern
    Leeward Islands. Fresh to locally strong N to NE winds and 7 to 11
    ft seas prevail N of the cold front, except gentle to moderate
    winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft off northeastern Florida to 75W. To
    the east of the front, moderate S to SW winds and 4 to 6 ft seas
    dominate north of 25N between 44W and cold front. For the
    remainder of the Atlantic west of 36W, gentle with locally
    moderate ENE to E winds and 4 to 5 ft seas exist. N of 20N and E
    of 36W, N swell is producing seas of 7 to 12 ft, with new large N
    swell poised to enter those waters and reinforce seas tonight and
    Thu.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas will follow the front as it moves eastward through
    tonight, and stalls along about 20N to the north of Puerto Rico
    and Hispaniola. Conditions will gradually improve late this week
    as the front weakens and eventually stalls Fri over the SE waters.
    High pressure in the wake of the front will weaken over the next
    couple of days, bringing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow
    with slight to moderate seas through the weekend, with the
    exception of the NE waters where fresh westerly winds and rough
    seas are expected as a cold front clips the area on Sat.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 22 Apr 2026 22:09:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    242
    AXNT20 KNHC 222209
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Apr 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Senegal
    near 14N16.5W then curves southwestward to 02.5N33W. ITCZ
    continues southwestward from 02.5N33W to 01N38W to 07N56W and then
    to the coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Numerous moderate scattered
    strong convection is noted south of the monsoon trough from 00N to
    07N between 09W and 25W. Scattered moderate convection is seen
    near and up to 150 nm within the ITCZ west of 46W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The remnants of the recent cold front can be seen in satellite
    imagery this evening, in the form of a shearline, extending from
    offshore the NW coast of Cuba near 23N84W to 24N89W to 27N94W.
    Midday satellite scatterometer wind data showed convergent fresh
    to strong E to SE winds to the northeast of this boundary, that
    continue to trigger scattered showers and thunderstorms within 200
    nm NE of the shearline, and extend inland across the coasts of
    Louisiana and southeast Texas. Seas are 5 to 8 ft within these
    winds. Otherwise, high pressure across the western Atlantic
    extends a ridge southwestward over the Gulf. Gentle to moderate
    SE to S winds with 3 to 5 ft prevail across the W and SW Gulf.

    For the forecast, fresh winds and rough seas along and just NE of
    the shearline will gradually diminish tonight in the southeastern
    and central Gulf. High pressure will then build across the Gulf
    region, with a relatively weak pressure gradient expected across
    the area. This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds basin-
    wide Thu through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The tail-end of an old cold front has become stationary across the
    N and NW coast of Hispaniola, and is producing scattered showers
    across eastern Cuba, along the north coast of Hispaniola, and
    across interior Jamaica. Farther west, a surface trough is
    bringing patchy showers in the northwestern basin. Moderate to
    locally fresh ENE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail in the lee
    of Cuba and through the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate ENE
    to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail across the remainder of the
    Caribbean Sea, except seas to 5 ft along the NW coast of Colombia.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE winds are expected
    through the Windward Passage and southwest of Cuba through
    tonight as a late-season cold front stalls across eastern Cuba and
    the N coast of Hispaniola along about 20N, then dissipates Thu.
    The Atlantic high pressure located north of the basin will weaken
    over the next couple of days and support a weaker than usual
    pressure gradient over the Caribbean Sea into the weekend. This
    will result in mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas across the entire basin Fri through Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An Atlantic cold front enters the area waters near 31N53W and
    extends southwestward to 21N67W, then has become stationary to the
    NW coast of Haiti. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are occurring up to 300 nm E of the front, to the N of 25N, and
    within 90 nm southeast of this feature elsewhere. Further south,
    a surface trough is causing scattered showers east of the northern
    Leeward Islands. Fresh to locally strong N to NE winds and 7 to 11
    ft seas prevail N of the cold front, except gentle to moderate
    winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft off northeastern Florida to 75W. To
    the east of the front, moderate S to SW winds and 4 to 6 ft seas
    dominate north of 25N between 44W and cold front. For the
    remainder of the Atlantic west of 36W, gentle with locally
    moderate ENE to E winds and 4 to 5 ft seas exist. N of 20N and E
    of 36W, N swell is producing seas of 7 to 12 ft, with new large N
    swell poised to enter those waters and reinforce seas tonight and
    Thu.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas will follow the front as it moves eastward through
    tonight, and stalls along about 20N to the north of Puerto Rico
    and Hispaniola. Conditions will gradually improve late this week
    as the front weakens and eventually stalls Fri over the SE waters.
    High pressure in the wake of the front will weaken over the next
    couple of days, bringing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow
    with slight to moderate seas through the weekend, with the
    exception of the NE waters where fresh westerly winds and rough
    seas are expected as a cold front clips the area on Sat.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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