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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 10:08:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141007
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Oct 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 37W, from 10N to 20N, moving westward
near 10 kt. A tight gradient between the wave and high pressure to
its north is producing fresh to strong easterly winds across the
northern half of the wave. Seas with these winds are 8 to 11 ft.
Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 54W, from 10N to 20N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is present at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 08N19W. The
ITCZ extends from that point to 06N58W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 05N to 11N between 26W and 34W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1019 mb high is centered near 30N86W. Recent scatterometer
data show gentle to moderate northeast to east winds across the
eastern half of the Gulf S of 28N, and east to southeast winds of
the same speed W of 90W. Seas basin-wide are in the range of 1 to
5 ft. Fair skies prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure over the northeast Gulf will keep E to
SE winds and moderate seas from the Florida Straits to the Texas
coast, and gentle breezes and slight seas elsewhere. A cold front
is expected to enter the northwest Gulf Fri night, and reach from
southwest Florida to the far southwest Gulf by Sat night. Strong
to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow the front,
with gales possible off the coast of Mexico between Tampico and
Coatzacoalcos late Fri night into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A middle-level low is supporting scattered showers in the lee
side of Cuba adjacent waters, and in the Gulf of Honduras while an
upper-level low over the eastern half of the Caribbean is
supporting scattered showers and tstms over Hispaniola and its
adjacent waters, including the Windward Passage and the Mona
Passage. A recent scatterometer pass show fresh to strong ESE
winds S of Haiti and in the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, winds are
moderate or weaker, with seas fluctuating between 3 to 5 ft.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms will prevail
across the eastern half of the basin today, associated with an
upper-level low. Fresh E to SE winds will persist north of 13N
south of Jamaica through today, north of broad low pressure over
the southwest Caribbean. Trade winds will increase along with
building seas over the south-central Caribbean as high pressure
builds over the western Atlantic.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Surface ridging anchored by a 1019 mb in North Carolina, is
building over the SW N Atlantic waters just N of the Bahamas. Scattered
showers prevail along a trough that extends from 28N72W to
24N80W. To the east, a 1015 mb low is centered near 25N66W. The
remainder subtropical central and eastern Atlantic is under the
influence of the Azores High, which is supporting moderate to
fresh NE winds and moderate seas to 6 ft between the coast of NW
Africa and 26W, including the Canary Islands. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate to slight seas dominate elsewhere N of 20N and
W of 26W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move southward
into the waters east of 75W today, then stall and dissipate along
29N through Thu. A stronger cold front will move into the waters
off northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat morning,
and reach from Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to
near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow the front.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 10:08:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141007
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Oct 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 37W, from 10N to 20N, moving westward
near 10 kt. A tight gradient between the wave and high pressure to
its north is producing fresh to strong easterly winds across the
northern half of the wave. Seas with these winds are 8 to 11 ft.
Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 54W, from 10N to 20N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is present at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 08N19W. The
ITCZ extends from that point to 06N58W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 05N to 11N between 26W and 34W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1019 mb high is centered near 30N86W. Recent scatterometer
data show gentle to moderate northeast to east winds across the
eastern half of the Gulf S of 28N, and east to southeast winds of
the same speed W of 90W. Seas basin-wide are in the range of 1 to
5 ft. Fair skies prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure over the northeast Gulf will keep E to
SE winds and moderate seas from the Florida Straits to the Texas
coast, and gentle breezes and slight seas elsewhere. A cold front
is expected to enter the northwest Gulf Fri night, and reach from
southwest Florida to the far southwest Gulf by Sat night. Strong
to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow the front,
with gales possible off the coast of Mexico between Tampico and
Coatzacoalcos late Fri night into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A middle-level low is supporting scattered showers in the lee
side of Cuba adjacent waters, and in the Gulf of Honduras while an
upper-level low over the eastern half of the Caribbean is
supporting scattered showers and tstms over Hispaniola and its
adjacent waters, including the Windward Passage and the Mona
Passage. A recent scatterometer pass show fresh to strong ESE
winds S of Haiti and in the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, winds are
moderate or weaker, with seas fluctuating between 3 to 5 ft.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms will prevail
across the eastern half of the basin today, associated with an
upper-level low. Fresh E to SE winds will persist north of 13N
south of Jamaica through today, north of broad low pressure over
the southwest Caribbean. Trade winds will increase along with
building seas over the south-central Caribbean as high pressure
builds over the western Atlantic.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Surface ridging anchored by a 1019 mb in North Carolina, is
building over the SW N Atlantic waters just N of the Bahamas. Scattered
showers prevail along a trough that extends from 28N72W to
24N80W. To the east, a 1015 mb low is centered near 25N66W. The
remainder subtropical central and eastern Atlantic is under the
influence of the Azores High, which is supporting moderate to
fresh NE winds and moderate seas to 6 ft between the coast of NW
Africa and 26W, including the Canary Islands. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate to slight seas dominate elsewhere N of 20N and
W of 26W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move southward
into the waters east of 75W today, then stall and dissipate along
29N through Thu. A stronger cold front will move into the waters
off northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat morning,
and reach from Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to
near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow the front.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 23:12:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 14:57:49 GMT - Wed, 14 Oct 2026 11:12:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141112
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 15:06:08 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131506
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1105 AM EDT TUE 13 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-135
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE SIMON
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
A. 14/2000Z
B. AFXXX 0320E SIMON
C. 14/1545Z
D. 20.2N 107.9W
E. 14/1930Z TO 14/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION ON HURRICANE SIMON FOR 15/2000Z NEAR
20.8N 107.8W.
B. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION ON TD 21E FOR 15/1730Z NEAR
13.5N 101.8W.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf