2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 10 May 2026 09:59:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100959
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun May 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0955 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between high pressure
    well north of the region and relatively lower pressure in northern
    South America will lead to gale force winds off northwest Colombia
    through early this morning and then again on tonight along with
    rough seas. This gradient will weaken some early this week as a
    cold front moves into the western Atlantic allowing for the
    pulsing gale conditions to end Mon.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic with axis near 18W,
    south of 11N, moving westward at about 5-10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is evident near the trough axis.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 53W,
    south of 10N, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is present near the trough axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ
    extends from 03N19W to 00N30W and to 01S46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted south of 08N and between 30W and 52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft is producing scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche, western and northern Gulf
    waters. Moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are
    occurring north of Yucatan and off SE Texas. Elsewhere, light to
    gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

    For the forecast, winds will pulse to strong speeds near the
    Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through tonight. A cold front
    will move into the northern Gulf waters early Mon morning, and
    reach from northern Florida to the Bay of Campeche by late Mon,
    followed by moderate to locally strong N to NE winds. Fresh NW
    winds are expected off Veracruz Mon night into Tue morning.
    Scattered to numerous showers and strong thunderstorms are
    possible ahead of the front. Conditions will improve across the
    Gulf Tue night into Wed as the front weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features for information on an
    ongoing gale warning for offshore Colombia.

    Aside from the gale warning, the pressure gradient between broad
    high pressure north of the basin and lower pressures in the deep
    tropics results in fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds
    and locally rough seas in the central Caribbean and Gulf of
    Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh E to SE winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between the 1030 mb high
    pressure system over the N Atlantic and lower pressures in the
    deep tropics will support fresh to strong easterly trade winds
    with rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through late next
    week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
    through tonight, these winds are expected to reach gale-force off
    NW Colombia. Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds and
    rough seas are also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras through
    Mon night. Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the
    remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
    supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of 25N and
    west of 55W. Seas in these waters are 4-6 ft. Moderate to fresh
    NE-E winds and seas of 5-8 are noted south of 25N and east of 55W.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure dominates the much of
    the basin, supporting fresh to locally strong winds off northern
    Hispaniola through Mon night. Looking ahead, a cold front is
    expected to reach the waters off NE Florida late Mon and move
    eastward while weakening Tue and Wed. Fresh to locally strong
    winds and rough seas will follow the front, diminishing quickly
    Wed. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to
    marginally severe, are possible near the front. Building ridge
    over the central Atlantic will support moderate to fresh SE-S
    winds and moderate to rough seas E of 70W late next week.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 10 May 2026 09:59:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100959
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun May 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0955 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between high pressure
    well north of the region and relatively lower pressure in northern
    South America will lead to gale force winds off northwest Colombia
    through early this morning and then again on tonight along with
    rough seas. This gradient will weaken some early this week as a
    cold front moves into the western Atlantic allowing for the
    pulsing gale conditions to end Mon.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic with axis near 18W,
    south of 11N, moving westward at about 5-10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is evident near the trough axis.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 53W,
    south of 10N, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is present near the trough axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ
    extends from 03N19W to 00N30W and to 01S46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted south of 08N and between 30W and 52W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft is producing scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche, western and northern Gulf
    waters. Moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are
    occurring north of Yucatan and off SE Texas. Elsewhere, light to
    gentle winds and slight seas prevail.

    For the forecast, winds will pulse to strong speeds near the
    Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through tonight. A cold front
    will move into the northern Gulf waters early Mon morning, and
    reach from northern Florida to the Bay of Campeche by late Mon,
    followed by moderate to locally strong N to NE winds. Fresh NW
    winds are expected off Veracruz Mon night into Tue morning.
    Scattered to numerous showers and strong thunderstorms are
    possible ahead of the front. Conditions will improve across the
    Gulf Tue night into Wed as the front weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features for information on an
    ongoing gale warning for offshore Colombia.

    Aside from the gale warning, the pressure gradient between broad
    high pressure north of the basin and lower pressures in the deep
    tropics results in fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds
    and locally rough seas in the central Caribbean and Gulf of
    Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh E to SE winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between the 1030 mb high
    pressure system over the N Atlantic and lower pressures in the
    deep tropics will support fresh to strong easterly trade winds
    with rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through late next
    week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
    through tonight, these winds are expected to reach gale-force off
    NW Colombia. Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds and
    rough seas are also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras through
    Mon night. Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the
    remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
    supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of 25N and
    west of 55W. Seas in these waters are 4-6 ft. Moderate to fresh
    NE-E winds and seas of 5-8 are noted south of 25N and east of 55W.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure dominates the much of
    the basin, supporting fresh to locally strong winds off northern
    Hispaniola through Mon night. Looking ahead, a cold front is
    expected to reach the waters off NE Florida late Mon and move
    eastward while weakening Tue and Wed. Fresh to locally strong
    winds and rough seas will follow the front, diminishing quickly
    Wed. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to
    marginally severe, are possible near the front. Building ridge
    over the central Atlantic will support moderate to fresh SE-S
    winds and moderate to rough seas E of 70W late next week.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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