SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 20 Nov 2025 04:42:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 200442
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0442 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 07N26W. The
ITCZ continues from that point to 09N52W. Scattered moderate
convection prevails from 03N to 11N and E of 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad surface ridge continues to dominate much of the Gulf.
Moderate E winds and moderate seas are present across the Florida
Straits. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are found at the
northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to
moderate seas dominate the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, mainly moderate E to SE winds and slight to
moderate seas will occur over the basin into the weekend as high
pressure prevails over the northeastern Gulf and southeastern U.S.
Locally fresh NE winds will pulse offshore of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the eastern Bay of Campeche each afternoon and
evening. Looking ahead, fresh to locally strong SE winds may
develop over the northwestern Gulf for the start of next week as
low pressure strengthens in the south- central U.S.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough is producing isolated moderate convection over
the eastern Caribbean, including the Mona Passage and Lesser
Antilles. The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough
is triggering scattered showers and thunderstorms along the
Caribbean coast of Panama mainly S of 12N. Fresh to locally strong
NE trade winds and rough seas are evident at the south-central
basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E trade winds with moderate seas
prevail elsewhere, except for fresh winds over the Windward
Passage and the offshore waters of central-Cuba.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh E to NE winds
are expected over the Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
low pressure in the south-central basin. Locally strong winds and
rough seas will pulse offshore of Colombia tonight, and again
starting this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends west-southwestward from a weak 1019 mb
low near 31N55W, then it has begun to dissipate from 28N69W to
the northern Bahamas. In addition, a surface trough extends from
the same low southward to 22N53W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is found along these features. This activity is also
supported by an upper- level low in the area. Another surface
trough is producing scattered moderate convection from 24N to 27N
between 39W and 44W. To the east, a cold front curves
southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic across 31N21W to
30N34W.
Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are noted north of 25N
between 65W and the Florida/Bahamas. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate NE to E winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to occasionally fresh NE
winds are expected north of Hispaniola and Cuba and into the
Bahamas through Fri as high pressure prevails over the
southeastern U.S. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are expected elsewhere into the weekend. Looking ahead,
increasing SW winds and building seas may occur offshore of
northern Florida this weekend ahead of a cold front moving off the
southeastern U.S.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 20 Nov 2025 04:42:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 200442
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0442 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 07N26W. The
ITCZ continues from that point to 09N52W. Scattered moderate
convection prevails from 03N to 11N and E of 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad surface ridge continues to dominate much of the Gulf.
Moderate E winds and moderate seas are present across the Florida
Straits. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are found at the
northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to
moderate seas dominate the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, mainly moderate E to SE winds and slight to
moderate seas will occur over the basin into the weekend as high
pressure prevails over the northeastern Gulf and southeastern U.S.
Locally fresh NE winds will pulse offshore of the Yucatan
Peninsula and into the eastern Bay of Campeche each afternoon and
evening. Looking ahead, fresh to locally strong SE winds may
develop over the northwestern Gulf for the start of next week as
low pressure strengthens in the south- central U.S.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough is producing isolated moderate convection over
the eastern Caribbean, including the Mona Passage and Lesser
Antilles. The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough
is triggering scattered showers and thunderstorms along the
Caribbean coast of Panama mainly S of 12N. Fresh to locally strong
NE trade winds and rough seas are evident at the south-central
basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E trade winds with moderate seas
prevail elsewhere, except for fresh winds over the Windward
Passage and the offshore waters of central-Cuba.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh E to NE winds
are expected over the Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
low pressure in the south-central basin. Locally strong winds and
rough seas will pulse offshore of Colombia tonight, and again
starting this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends west-southwestward from a weak 1019 mb
low near 31N55W, then it has begun to dissipate from 28N69W to
the northern Bahamas. In addition, a surface trough extends from
the same low southward to 22N53W. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is found along these features. This activity is also
supported by an upper- level low in the area. Another surface
trough is producing scattered moderate convection from 24N to 27N
between 39W and 44W. To the east, a cold front curves
southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic across 31N21W to
30N34W.
Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are noted north of 25N
between 65W and the Florida/Bahamas. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate NE to E winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to occasionally fresh NE
winds are expected north of Hispaniola and Cuba and into the
Bahamas through Fri as high pressure prevails over the
southeastern U.S. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas are expected elsewhere into the weekend. Looking ahead,
increasing SW winds and building seas may occur offshore of
northern Florida this weekend ahead of a cold front moving off the
southeastern U.S.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 21 Nov 2025 17:10:43 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Nov 2025 08:50:05 GMT - Thu, 20 Nov 2025 05:10:43 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 200510
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 19 Nov 2025 16:24:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 191624
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EST WED 19 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-172
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf