2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 09:49:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 140949
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Oct 14 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is centered near 16.2N 42.8W at 14/0300
    UTC or 1080 nm W of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving NW at 11 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Peak seas are around 21
    ft (6.5 M). The storm is poorly organized and clusters of moderate
    to strong convection extend are found within 200 nm over the
    eastern semicircle. Lorenzo is moving toward the NW and this
    motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the
    north tonight. A northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday and
    Thursday. Little change in strength is forecast over the next few
    days.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
    Lorenzo NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W, south of 13N, moving
    west at 10 kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
    observed from 06N to 13N and between 19W and 26W.

    Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 12N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 02N to 12N and between 30W and 37W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, south of 15N, moving
    westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    09N to 14N and between 52W and 62W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 07N23W
    and to 06N35W. The ITCZ extends from 06N35W to 07N44W. No
    additional convection is evident near the monsoon trough/ITCZ.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak high pressure system over Louisiana supports moderate or
    weaker anticyclonic winds and seas of 2-4 ft over much of the
    basin. A few pockets of low-level moisture travel across the SE
    and western Gulf waters, resulting in isolated, shallow showers.

    For the forecast, weak ridging will prevail through the forecast
    period, resulting in gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas over much of the Gulf. Winds are forecast to
    increase to fresh speeds over the eastern and central Gulf Thu
    night through Sat night as the pressure gradient tightens some
    across the area. Winds will veer to the SE and S toward the end of
    the week as high pressure over the SE United States shifts
    eastward into the western Atlantic. Looking ahead, a cold front
    will reach the northern waters on Sun.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft, plenty of tropical moisture and a weak surface
    trough across the NW Caribbean combine to produce abundant showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over much of the NW and SW Caribbean. A
    few showers are also seen in the central and eastern Caribbean. A
    weak pressure gradient across the basin sustains moderate easterly
    trade winds and moderate seas in the eastern and central
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail. However, mariners are advised that stronger winds and
    higher seas are likely near the strongest storms.

    For the forecast, a cold front extends from 31N73W to the NW
    Bahamas and will move across Cuba and the NW Caribbean today
    through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas are
    expected in the wake of the front. Unsettled weather conditions
    will persist along and ahead of the frontal boundary. Elsewhere, a
    weak pressure gradient will support moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas over much of the basin through the work
    week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well E of the forecast
    region near 17.2N 43.8W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving northwest at 13
    kt. Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt, and
    the minimum central pressure is 1000 mb.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo in the central Atlantic.

    An extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas extends a cold front to
    the NW Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is noted ahead of
    this boundary. Fresh W winds and rough seas are found N of 30N and
    between 71W and 75W. Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate winds
    are occurring north of 27N and between 65W and 71W. Meanwhile,
    moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are present
    south of 23N and between 60W and 75W. Farther east, a 1005 mb low
    pressure near 29N55W extends a surface trough to 25N60W. A few
    showers are found ahead of the trough. Fresh to strong cyclonic
    winds and seas of 5-9 ft are present north of 26N and between 47W
    and 60W. The rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is
    dominated by a weak high pressure system centered between Bermuda
    and Puerto Rico, supporting light to gentle winds and moderate
    seas.

    Outside of Lorenzo, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
    waters are also under the influence of a relaxed gradient as
    multiple storm systems transit across the midlatitudes. In
    general, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate these
    waters.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE
    across the forecast waters through the week. The front will reach
    from 31N70W to western Cuba by Tue morning, from near Bermuda to
    central Cuba by Wed morning, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by
    Thu morning. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are expected on
    either side of the front across the waters N of 27N by Tue night.
    These marine conditions will shift eastward with the front through
    late in the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well E of
    the forecast region near 17.2N 43.8W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving
    northwest at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts
    to 60 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1000 mb.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 09:49:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 140949
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Oct 14 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is centered near 16.2N 42.8W at 14/0300
    UTC or 1080 nm W of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving NW at 11 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt. Peak seas are around 21
    ft (6.5 M). The storm is poorly organized and clusters of moderate
    to strong convection extend are found within 200 nm over the
    eastern semicircle. Lorenzo is moving toward the NW and this
    motion is expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the
    north tonight. A northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday and
    Thursday. Little change in strength is forecast over the next few
    days.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
    Lorenzo NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W, south of 13N, moving
    west at 10 kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
    observed from 06N to 13N and between 19W and 26W.

    Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 12N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 02N to 12N and between 30W and 37W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, south of 15N, moving
    westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    09N to 14N and between 52W and 62W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 07N23W
    and to 06N35W. The ITCZ extends from 06N35W to 07N44W. No
    additional convection is evident near the monsoon trough/ITCZ.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak high pressure system over Louisiana supports moderate or
    weaker anticyclonic winds and seas of 2-4 ft over much of the
    basin. A few pockets of low-level moisture travel across the SE
    and western Gulf waters, resulting in isolated, shallow showers.

    For the forecast, weak ridging will prevail through the forecast
    period, resulting in gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas over much of the Gulf. Winds are forecast to
    increase to fresh speeds over the eastern and central Gulf Thu
    night through Sat night as the pressure gradient tightens some
    across the area. Winds will veer to the SE and S toward the end of
    the week as high pressure over the SE United States shifts
    eastward into the western Atlantic. Looking ahead, a cold front
    will reach the northern waters on Sun.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft, plenty of tropical moisture and a weak surface
    trough across the NW Caribbean combine to produce abundant showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over much of the NW and SW Caribbean. A
    few showers are also seen in the central and eastern Caribbean. A
    weak pressure gradient across the basin sustains moderate easterly
    trade winds and moderate seas in the eastern and central
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail. However, mariners are advised that stronger winds and
    higher seas are likely near the strongest storms.

    For the forecast, a cold front extends from 31N73W to the NW
    Bahamas and will move across Cuba and the NW Caribbean today
    through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas are
    expected in the wake of the front. Unsettled weather conditions
    will persist along and ahead of the frontal boundary. Elsewhere, a
    weak pressure gradient will support moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas over much of the basin through the work
    week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well E of the forecast
    region near 17.2N 43.8W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving northwest at 13
    kt. Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts to 60 kt, and
    the minimum central pressure is 1000 mb.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo in the central Atlantic.

    An extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas extends a cold front to
    the NW Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is noted ahead of
    this boundary. Fresh W winds and rough seas are found N of 30N and
    between 71W and 75W. Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate winds
    are occurring north of 27N and between 65W and 71W. Meanwhile,
    moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are present
    south of 23N and between 60W and 75W. Farther east, a 1005 mb low
    pressure near 29N55W extends a surface trough to 25N60W. A few
    showers are found ahead of the trough. Fresh to strong cyclonic
    winds and seas of 5-9 ft are present north of 26N and between 47W
    and 60W. The rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is
    dominated by a weak high pressure system centered between Bermuda
    and Puerto Rico, supporting light to gentle winds and moderate
    seas.

    Outside of Lorenzo, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
    waters are also under the influence of a relaxed gradient as
    multiple storm systems transit across the midlatitudes. In
    general, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate these
    waters.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE
    across the forecast waters through the week. The front will reach
    from 31N70W to western Cuba by Tue morning, from near Bermuda to
    central Cuba by Wed morning, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by
    Thu morning. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are expected on
    either side of the front across the waters N of 27N by Tue night.
    These marine conditions will shift eastward with the front through
    late in the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well E of
    the forecast region near 17.2N 43.8W at 5 AM EDT, and is moving
    northwest at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 50 kt with gusts
    to 60 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1000 mb.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:37:31 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Graphics - NHC Atlantic
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:37:06 GMT

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:37:06 GMT
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:35:21 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast Discussion Number 6 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 141435
    TCDAT2
     
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo Discussion Number   6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
    1100 AM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
     
    Lorenzo remains a poorly organized storm over the tropical central
    Atlantic.  The system is producing a few clusters of deep 
    convection, one of which is currently over the low-level center. The 
    satellite intensity estimates have come down and now range from 30 
    to 39 kt.  In addition, very recent ASCAT passes show peak winds of 
    about 35 kt.  Based on these data, the initial intensity is lowered 
    to 40 kt.
     
    Lorenzo continues to move northwestward at 13 kt.  A turn to the
    north is expected later today as the storm moves into a weakness in
    the subtropical ridge.  On Wednesday, the storm is likely to turn
    northeastward when it moves in the flow between an approaching
    mid-to upper-level trough and the subtropical ridge over the eastern
    Atlantic.  If the storm survives, the system could turn eastward or
    southeastward this weekend on the northern periphery of the ridge.
    The track guidance is in fair agreement, and no big changes were
    made to the previous prediction.
     
    The storm is currently embedded in a sheared and dry environment, 
    and those conditions are expected to persist during the next several 
    days.  The model guidance shows little to no strengthening.  In 
    fact, most of the global models show Lorenzo remaining lopsided, and 
    then opening up into a trough within the next few days.  Based on a 
    combination of the models and the lower initial intensity, the NHC 
    intensity forecast has again been nudged downward, and now shows 
    dissipation occurring by day 4.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  14/1500Z 18.2N  44.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
     12H  15/0000Z 19.6N  45.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
     24H  15/1200Z 22.0N  44.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
     36H  16/0000Z 24.7N  42.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
     48H  16/1200Z 27.3N  39.2W   40 KT  45 MPH
     60H  17/0000Z 29.4N  35.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
     72H  17/1200Z 29.9N  32.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
     96H  18/1200Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:34:23 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025
    000
    FONT12 KNHC 141434
    PWSAT2
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6          
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122025               
    1500 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025                                            
                                                                        
    AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
    LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 44.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:34:20 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Public Advisory Number 6 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 1100 AM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 141434
    TCPAT2
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
    1100 AM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
     
    ...LORENZO WEAKENS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    -----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...18.2N 44.9W
    ABOUT 1385 MI...2230 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB...29.62 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorenzo was
    located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 44.9 West. Lorenzo is
    moving toward the northwest near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this motion is
    expected to continue today, followed by a turn to the north tonight.
    A northeastward motion is expected on Wednesday and Thursday.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 45 mph (75 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.  Gradual weakening is expected during the next 
    few days.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
    east of the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb (29.62 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:34:20 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Lorenzo (AT2/AL122025) - NHC Atlantic
    ...LORENZO WEAKENS OVER THE CENTRAL TROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 11:00 AM AST Tue Oct 14 the center of Lorenzo was located near 18.2, -44.9 with movement NW at 15 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1003 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:16:20 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 141416
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1015 AM EDT TUE 14 OCTOBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z OCTOBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-136

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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