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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 05:04:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 030504
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0503 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 21.5W, south of 16N,
moving W at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06.5N to 11N between 20W and 30W. Isolated scattered
convection is found from 06.5N to 12N between the wave axis and
27W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has been repositioned based on
tropical wave diagnostics and visible satellite imagery and is
now along 59W, south of 19N. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is noted from 11N to 18N between 52W and 65W.
The western Caribbean tropical wave has moved to the eastern
Pacific. More information about this wave can be found in the
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean (TWDEP).
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 08N33W. The ITCZ extends from 08N33W
to 06N54W. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 05N to
12N between 28W and 51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic southwestward
across the SE U.S. and the northern Gulf waters, supporting
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across most of the
basin, except for locally N to NE fresh winds over the eastern Bay
of Campeche. Divergence aloft is supporting a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the eastern Bay of Campeche and
Mexican coastal waters south of Tampico. Scattered afternoon
thunderstorms across southern Florida are moving westward and
reaching the coasts between Tampa Bay and Naples.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and the Colombian Low has tightened behind a tropical
wave moving into the eastern Pacific. This pressure gradient is
supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 8-10
ft in the central to SW Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest
seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds
and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail. Convection over the eastern Carribbean can be found in
the Tropical Waves section above. Scattered thunderstorms are
along the monsoon trough S of 11N across the coastal waters of
western Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica. Afternoon convection
over Cuba has drifted southward and is now affecting the waters
south of the island as it weakens.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
continue to support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
rough seas over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then
diminish slightly through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near-
gale force each night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in
the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail
over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms
are expected across the SE Caribbean tonight through Fri night as
an upper- level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front along about 31N, extends from 55W to a 1017 mb
low pressure near 31.5N73W, then becomes a surface trough that
extends from 31N74W to Freeport, The Bahamas, northern adjacent
waters. Low level convergence south of the front, and along the
trough are aiding in the development of scattered moderate
convection between the NW Bahamas and SE Florida, and S of the
front to 27.5N between 44W and 67W. A 1033 mb high pressure system
centered NE of the Azores extends a ridge southwestward. Moderate
to fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N
and west of 35W to the SE Bahamas. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds
and seas of 5-8 ft are present north of 16N and east of 35W.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough, remnants of a
stationary front, extending from a 1017 mb low near 31N73W to
Freeport northern adjacent waters, will gradually dissipate
tonight while drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S.
coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into
central Florida through early next week. This pattern will support
moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 05:04:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 030504
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0503 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 21.5W, south of 16N,
moving W at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06.5N to 11N between 20W and 30W. Isolated scattered
convection is found from 06.5N to 12N between the wave axis and
27W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has been repositioned based on
tropical wave diagnostics and visible satellite imagery and is
now along 59W, south of 19N. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is noted from 11N to 18N between 52W and 65W.
The western Caribbean tropical wave has moved to the eastern
Pacific. More information about this wave can be found in the
Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern Pacific Ocean (TWDEP).
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 08N33W. The ITCZ extends from 08N33W
to 06N54W. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 05N to
12N between 28W and 51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic southwestward
across the SE U.S. and the northern Gulf waters, supporting
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across most of the
basin, except for locally N to NE fresh winds over the eastern Bay
of Campeche. Divergence aloft is supporting a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the eastern Bay of Campeche and
Mexican coastal waters south of Tampico. Scattered afternoon
thunderstorms across southern Florida are moving westward and
reaching the coasts between Tampa Bay and Naples.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and the Colombian Low has tightened behind a tropical
wave moving into the eastern Pacific. This pressure gradient is
supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 8-10
ft in the central to SW Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest
seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds
and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail. Convection over the eastern Carribbean can be found in
the Tropical Waves section above. Scattered thunderstorms are
along the monsoon trough S of 11N across the coastal waters of
western Colombia, Panama, and Costa Rica. Afternoon convection
over Cuba has drifted southward and is now affecting the waters
south of the island as it weakens.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
continue to support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
rough seas over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then
diminish slightly through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near-
gale force each night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in
the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail
over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms
are expected across the SE Caribbean tonight through Fri night as
an upper- level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front along about 31N, extends from 55W to a 1017 mb
low pressure near 31.5N73W, then becomes a surface trough that
extends from 31N74W to Freeport, The Bahamas, northern adjacent
waters. Low level convergence south of the front, and along the
trough are aiding in the development of scattered moderate
convection between the NW Bahamas and SE Florida, and S of the
front to 27.5N between 44W and 67W. A 1033 mb high pressure system
centered NE of the Azores extends a ridge southwestward. Moderate
to fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N
and west of 35W to the SE Bahamas. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds
and seas of 5-8 ft are present north of 16N and east of 35W.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough, remnants of a
stationary front, extending from a 1017 mb low near 31N73W to
Freeport northern adjacent waters, will gradually dissipate
tonight while drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S.
coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into
central Florida through early next week. This pattern will support
moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 17:06:00 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 03 Jul 2026 07:30:09 GMT - Fri, 03 Jul 2026 05:06:00 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 030505
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jul 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 13:34:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021334
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0935 AM EDT THU 02 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-032
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf