2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 04 Jan 2026 22:02:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    270
    AXNT20 KNHC 042202
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Jan 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
    Leone near 08N13W and continues to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends from
    05N19W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 03N
    to 07N between 19W and 35W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stalling cold front extends from near Fort Myers, Florida, to
    just south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate NE winds and 2 to 4 ft
    seas follow the front in the NE Gulf, otherwise there is little
    sensible weather change associated with its passage, with light to
    gentle winds and slight seas dominating the remainder of the
    basin.

    For the forecast, the front will gradually dissipate through Mon.
    High pressure will build in the wake of the front, with moderate
    or weaker winds and slight seas prevailing through the middle of
    the week. Fresh to strong southerly return flow will develop over
    the western waters the middle to end of the week ahead of the next
    cold front expected to move into the NW Gulf Fri night.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extending from E Cuba to a 1011 mb low along the
    north-central coast of Colombia is generating scattered moderate
    convection between Panama and Colombia, between Cuba, Jamaica, and
    Haiti, and within 90 nm south of Haiti. West of the trough axis,
    fresh N winds are impacting portions of the western basin from S
    of eastern Cuba to offshore Nicaragua. Fresh trades are also
    ongoing in the SE Caribbean. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
    weaker as the pressure gradient has been disrupted by a cold front
    N of the region in the Atlantic. Seas are 2 to 5 ft, highest were
    winds are fresh, and lowest in the Lee of Cuba, Yucatan Passage,
    and Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support gentle to
    moderate trade winds over the Caribbean waters through midweek.
    High pressure will build north of the area, which will tighten the
    pressure gradient across the area the middle of the week. The
    tighter pressure gradient will support fresh trade winds over the
    central Caribbean, with winds reaching strong speeds off Colombia.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1001 mb low NW of Bermuda extends a cold front that reaches
    from 31N68W to South Florida this afternoon. Scattered moderate
    convection along this boundary is confined to just E of the
    Bahamas between 71W and 75W. Fresh to locally strong NW winds
    follow the front N of 28N, along with rough seas. Fresh to locally
    strong SW winds and similarly rough seas extend E of the front, N
    of 28N, to where a pre-frontal trough is marked from 31N65W to
    the Turks and Caicos. This trough is inducing scattered moderate
    to isolated strong convection within 90 nm on either side of its
    axis. Still farther E, a mid- and upper-level trough along 60W N
    of 25N is also inducing scattered moderate convection within 60 nm
    on either side of its axis. For the remaining waters N of 23N and
    W of 55W, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas dominate. In
    the tradewind belt S of 15N, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5
    to 7 seas prevail. In the NE basin, fresh N winds and rough seas
    prevail N of 25N and E of 30W, with rough seas but lighter winds
    extending southward to the Cabo Verde Islands. Elsewhere over the
    basin, generally moderate seas prevail, with moderate or weaker
    winds.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move E across
    the waters and out of the area early this week. Fresh to strong
    winds on either side of the front N of 28N will diminish this
    evening. Rough seas across the northern waters will subside by
    midweek. High pressure will build in the wake of the front, with
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevailing.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 04 Jan 2026 22:02:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    270
    AXNT20 KNHC 042202
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Jan 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
    Leone near 08N13W and continues to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends from
    05N19W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 03N
    to 07N between 19W and 35W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stalling cold front extends from near Fort Myers, Florida, to
    just south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate NE winds and 2 to 4 ft
    seas follow the front in the NE Gulf, otherwise there is little
    sensible weather change associated with its passage, with light to
    gentle winds and slight seas dominating the remainder of the
    basin.

    For the forecast, the front will gradually dissipate through Mon.
    High pressure will build in the wake of the front, with moderate
    or weaker winds and slight seas prevailing through the middle of
    the week. Fresh to strong southerly return flow will develop over
    the western waters the middle to end of the week ahead of the next
    cold front expected to move into the NW Gulf Fri night.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extending from E Cuba to a 1011 mb low along the
    north-central coast of Colombia is generating scattered moderate
    convection between Panama and Colombia, between Cuba, Jamaica, and
    Haiti, and within 90 nm south of Haiti. West of the trough axis,
    fresh N winds are impacting portions of the western basin from S
    of eastern Cuba to offshore Nicaragua. Fresh trades are also
    ongoing in the SE Caribbean. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
    weaker as the pressure gradient has been disrupted by a cold front
    N of the region in the Atlantic. Seas are 2 to 5 ft, highest were
    winds are fresh, and lowest in the Lee of Cuba, Yucatan Passage,
    and Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support gentle to
    moderate trade winds over the Caribbean waters through midweek.
    High pressure will build north of the area, which will tighten the
    pressure gradient across the area the middle of the week. The
    tighter pressure gradient will support fresh trade winds over the
    central Caribbean, with winds reaching strong speeds off Colombia.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1001 mb low NW of Bermuda extends a cold front that reaches
    from 31N68W to South Florida this afternoon. Scattered moderate
    convection along this boundary is confined to just E of the
    Bahamas between 71W and 75W. Fresh to locally strong NW winds
    follow the front N of 28N, along with rough seas. Fresh to locally
    strong SW winds and similarly rough seas extend E of the front, N
    of 28N, to where a pre-frontal trough is marked from 31N65W to
    the Turks and Caicos. This trough is inducing scattered moderate
    to isolated strong convection within 90 nm on either side of its
    axis. Still farther E, a mid- and upper-level trough along 60W N
    of 25N is also inducing scattered moderate convection within 60 nm
    on either side of its axis. For the remaining waters N of 23N and
    W of 55W, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas dominate. In
    the tradewind belt S of 15N, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5
    to 7 seas prevail. In the NE basin, fresh N winds and rough seas
    prevail N of 25N and E of 30W, with rough seas but lighter winds
    extending southward to the Cabo Verde Islands. Elsewhere over the
    basin, generally moderate seas prevail, with moderate or weaker
    winds.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move E across
    the waters and out of the area early this week. Fresh to strong
    winds on either side of the front N of 28N will diminish this
    evening. Rough seas across the northern waters will subside by
    midweek. High pressure will build in the wake of the front, with
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevailing.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 04 Jan 2026 14:23:04 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041423
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0925 AM EST SUN 04 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-035

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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