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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 16:46:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
413
AXNT20 KNHC 031646
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is W of the Cape Verde Islands near 28W,
extending from 03N to 16N, and moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen from 06N to
13N between 25W and 30W.
A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles this morning.
The axis of the wave extends from inland E Venezuela to 19N and is
near 63W, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 16N between 59W and 66W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 07N36W. The ITCZ extends from 07N36W to 08N57W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is evident from 11N to 14N E of
20W, as well as from 05N to 11N between 30W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic SW across
the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, anchored by a 1018 mb
high in the central to NW Gulf. This supports light to gentle
winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle
to moderate E to SE winds over the Bay of Campeche associated with
a surface trough. Aside from the moderate winds, the surface
trough in the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered showers and
thunderstorms in the SW Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week. These winds are
the result of local effects associated with a surface trough.
Slight to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details on
convection in the eastern Caribbean.
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and the Colombian Low continue to support fresh to strong
easterly winds and seas of 8-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean away from areas of convection
associated with the tropical wave near 63W. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E
Pacific extension of the monsoon continues to support scattered
moderate convection over the waters offshore of Costa Rica and
Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Tue night. Expect winds to
reach near- gale force each night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean today due to a
tropical wave with axis along 63W. The wave and its associated
moisture will reach Hispaniola and the central Caribbean waters on
Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough, remnants of a stationary front, extends from a
1017 mb low pressure near 31N73W to the SE FL coast. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen along and near the
trough axis as well as across much of the central and northern
Bahamas. Another surface trough runs from 31N66W to 29N60W to
30N56W, and is aiding in the development of scattered moderate
convection from 27N to 30N between 53W and 68W. An upper level low
north of the Dominican Republic is also aiding in the development
of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the waters
N of the Dominican Republic and E of the Turks and Caicos. Otherwise,
the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward across the
subtropical Atlantic waters, thus supporting mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas across much of the waters S of 20N.
Fresh to locally strong trades are confirmed by a 1341 UTC
scatterometer pass across areas from 10N to 15N between 50W and
the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to moderate trades and 3-6 ft seas
prevail across much of the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough, remnants of an
old frontal boundary, extends from a 1018 mb low pressure located
north of area near 32N73W to near West Palm Beach, Florida. The
trough will gradually dissipate today while drifting northwestward
toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then
build westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 16:46:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
413
AXNT20 KNHC 031646
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is W of the Cape Verde Islands near 28W,
extending from 03N to 16N, and moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen from 06N to
13N between 25W and 30W.
A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles this morning.
The axis of the wave extends from inland E Venezuela to 19N and is
near 63W, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 16N between 59W and 66W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 07N36W. The ITCZ extends from 07N36W to 08N57W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is evident from 11N to 14N E of
20W, as well as from 05N to 11N between 30W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic SW across
the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, anchored by a 1018 mb
high in the central to NW Gulf. This supports light to gentle
winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle
to moderate E to SE winds over the Bay of Campeche associated with
a surface trough. Aside from the moderate winds, the surface
trough in the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered showers and
thunderstorms in the SW Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week. These winds are
the result of local effects associated with a surface trough.
Slight to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details on
convection in the eastern Caribbean.
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and the Colombian Low continue to support fresh to strong
easterly winds and seas of 8-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean away from areas of convection
associated with the tropical wave near 63W. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E
Pacific extension of the monsoon continues to support scattered
moderate convection over the waters offshore of Costa Rica and
Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Tue night. Expect winds to
reach near- gale force each night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean today due to a
tropical wave with axis along 63W. The wave and its associated
moisture will reach Hispaniola and the central Caribbean waters on
Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough, remnants of a stationary front, extends from a
1017 mb low pressure near 31N73W to the SE FL coast. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen along and near the
trough axis as well as across much of the central and northern
Bahamas. Another surface trough runs from 31N66W to 29N60W to
30N56W, and is aiding in the development of scattered moderate
convection from 27N to 30N between 53W and 68W. An upper level low
north of the Dominican Republic is also aiding in the development
of scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the waters
N of the Dominican Republic and E of the Turks and Caicos. Otherwise,
the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward across the
subtropical Atlantic waters, thus supporting mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas across much of the waters S of 20N.
Fresh to locally strong trades are confirmed by a 1341 UTC
scatterometer pass across areas from 10N to 15N between 50W and
the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to moderate trades and 3-6 ft seas
prevail across much of the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough, remnants of an
old frontal boundary, extends from a 1018 mb low pressure located
north of area near 32N73W to near West Palm Beach, Florida. The
trough will gradually dissipate today while drifting northwestward
toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then
build westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 05:23:37 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 03 Jul 2026 21:06:09 GMT - Fri, 03 Jul 2026 17:23:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031723
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 12:50:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 031249
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT FRI 03 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-033
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf