SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 25 Nov 2025 10:27:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251027
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Nov 25 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1025 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 11N15W and continues to 11N19W. The ITCZ
extends from 11N19W to 09N40W and to 09N58W. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 05N to 15N and east of 30W. Similar
convection is observed from 07N to 14N and between 53W and 63W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak cold front is nearing the Texas coast and the pressure
gradient between this feature and high pressure off New England
support moderate to locally fresh SE-S winds and moderate seas
over much of the Gulf waters. No significant convection is noted
in the basin.
For the forecast, the moderate to fresh southerly winds will
decrease to gentle to moderate later today as high pressure off
New England departs eastward. A stronger reinforcing cold front
will overtake the aforementioned weak front early Wed, then move
into the NW Gulf waters. The cold front will then sweep to the
southeast of the basin by Thu night into Fri, followed by fresh to
strong northeast winds and building seas into the weekend.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms may accompany the frontal
boundary.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure off New England continues to force fresh to strong
easterly winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. The
strongest winds and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia.
Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere in the basin. Divergence aloft is supporting scattered
showers in the Gulf of Honduras and SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the islands and lower pressures in NW Colombia will sustain
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the central
Caribbean through late this week. The strongest winds of 25 to 30
kt, and highest seas peaking near 12 ft are expected offshore
Colombia mainly at night. In the remainder of the basin, the
weather pattern will support moderate to fresh winds along with
moderate seas through the period. Looking ahead, a cold front will
enter the NW Caribbean on Fri, followed by strong winds and rough
seas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front extends from near 31N58W to near 28N72W, where
it becomes a stationary front that extends to near Cape Canaveral,
FL. No significant convection is noted near the front. Moderate
to fresh NE winds and seas of 4-6 ft follow these fronts. Farther
east, a weak 1014 mb low pressure is near 31N47W. A surface
trough extends from this low to 19N48W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are present north of 21N between 43W and
49W. In the east Atlantic, a surface trough is analyzed from
29N21W to 26N25W to 21N26W to 16N30W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are ongoing between the trough axis and
the west coast of Africa. Scatterometer satellite data from a few
hours ago indicates fresh to locally strong winds N of the
trough, driven by the pressure gradient between the trough and
high pressure to the north.
Elsewhere across the Atlantic away from the aforementioned
features, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail
across the vast majority of the basin. The exceptions are two
regions, one north of 20N between 35W and 65W, and the other in
the vicinity of the Canary Islands, where gentle to moderate
trades and seas of 2-5 ft prevail due to weaker pressure gradients
in these areas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the eastern portion of the
aforementioned front will continue eastward and reach from 31N44W
to 27N63W by tonight, while the portion west of 70W starts to
lift north. High pressure located off New England will shift
eastward following the front, supporting moderate to fresh
northeast to east winds and moderate seas over the region. Looking
ahead, winds and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of
a stronger cold front expected to move off the northeast Florida
coast Wed night. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits
of Florida by early Fri, followed by fresh to strong NW winds and
building seas through Fri night. Looking ahead, a tightened
pressure gradient in the wake of the front is forecast to bring
increasing winds and building seas across much of the forecast
area during the upcoming weekend.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 25 Nov 2025 10:27:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251027
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Nov 25 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1025 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 11N15W and continues to 11N19W. The ITCZ
extends from 11N19W to 09N40W and to 09N58W. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 05N to 15N and east of 30W. Similar
convection is observed from 07N to 14N and between 53W and 63W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak cold front is nearing the Texas coast and the pressure
gradient between this feature and high pressure off New England
support moderate to locally fresh SE-S winds and moderate seas
over much of the Gulf waters. No significant convection is noted
in the basin.
For the forecast, the moderate to fresh southerly winds will
decrease to gentle to moderate later today as high pressure off
New England departs eastward. A stronger reinforcing cold front
will overtake the aforementioned weak front early Wed, then move
into the NW Gulf waters. The cold front will then sweep to the
southeast of the basin by Thu night into Fri, followed by fresh to
strong northeast winds and building seas into the weekend.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms may accompany the frontal
boundary.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure off New England continues to force fresh to strong
easterly winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. The
strongest winds and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia.
Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere in the basin. Divergence aloft is supporting scattered
showers in the Gulf of Honduras and SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the islands and lower pressures in NW Colombia will sustain
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the central
Caribbean through late this week. The strongest winds of 25 to 30
kt, and highest seas peaking near 12 ft are expected offshore
Colombia mainly at night. In the remainder of the basin, the
weather pattern will support moderate to fresh winds along with
moderate seas through the period. Looking ahead, a cold front will
enter the NW Caribbean on Fri, followed by strong winds and rough
seas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front extends from near 31N58W to near 28N72W, where
it becomes a stationary front that extends to near Cape Canaveral,
FL. No significant convection is noted near the front. Moderate
to fresh NE winds and seas of 4-6 ft follow these fronts. Farther
east, a weak 1014 mb low pressure is near 31N47W. A surface
trough extends from this low to 19N48W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are present north of 21N between 43W and
49W. In the east Atlantic, a surface trough is analyzed from
29N21W to 26N25W to 21N26W to 16N30W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are ongoing between the trough axis and
the west coast of Africa. Scatterometer satellite data from a few
hours ago indicates fresh to locally strong winds N of the
trough, driven by the pressure gradient between the trough and
high pressure to the north.
Elsewhere across the Atlantic away from the aforementioned
features, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail
across the vast majority of the basin. The exceptions are two
regions, one north of 20N between 35W and 65W, and the other in
the vicinity of the Canary Islands, where gentle to moderate
trades and seas of 2-5 ft prevail due to weaker pressure gradients
in these areas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the eastern portion of the
aforementioned front will continue eastward and reach from 31N44W
to 27N63W by tonight, while the portion west of 70W starts to
lift north. High pressure located off New England will shift
eastward following the front, supporting moderate to fresh
northeast to east winds and moderate seas over the region. Looking
ahead, winds and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of
a stronger cold front expected to move off the northeast Florida
coast Wed night. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits
of Florida by early Fri, followed by fresh to strong NW winds and
building seas through Fri night. Looking ahead, a tightened
pressure gradient in the wake of the front is forecast to bring
increasing winds and building seas across much of the forecast
area during the upcoming weekend.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 26 Nov 2025 23:39:13 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 25 Nov 2025 12:20:16 GMT - Tue, 25 Nov 2025 11:39:13 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 251139
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 25 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 24 Nov 2025 15:01:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 241501
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EST MON 24 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-177
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf