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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 15 Nov 2025 22:58:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152258
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Nov 16 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains inland over Africa. The ITCZ extends
from 10N15W to 06N25W to 09N55W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 06N to 10N between 20W and 30W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
1018 mb high pressure centered over Atlantic waters off northeast
Florida provides for light to gentle E winds and 1-3 ft seas
across the basin, except in the Yucatan Channel where seas are 3-5
ft.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds will
dominate the basin as high pressure moves from Florida toward the
SE Gulf on Sun. The ridge will slide a bit east for the start of
next week, allowing southeasterly winds to become more dominate,
reaching fresh to strong speeds across the western Gulf by the
middle of next week. Moderate to rough seas are expected with
these winds.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few showers and thunderstorms are along the monsoon trough over
the far southwest Caribbean, mainly off Panama. Fresh winds are
reported by scatterometer satellite in the lee of Cuba, with 3-5
ft seas. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate trades and 3-5 ft seas
prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a surface trough will meander offshore Honduras and
Nicaragua through Sun, helping to induce some shower and
thunderstorm activity. Fresh NE to E winds S of Cuba and offshore
Colombia will diminish by tonight as a weak pressure gradient
takes hold over the basin. This will result in an extended period
of mainly gentle to moderate trade winds across the basin for the
first half of next week. Long period NE swell will propagate across
the NE Caribbean, and waters E of the Lesser Antilles Sun into
Mon.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N50W to the southern Bahamas.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along the front north of
24N. Earlier scatterometer satellite data indicated moderate or
weaker winds near the front. Pair of 1011 mb low pressures are
centered near 12N45W and 12N38W. The scatterometer indicated
moderate or weaker winds near these low pressures. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and 4-7 ft seas prevail across the basin.
North of 27N, seas exceed 8 ft due to mixed swells generated
north of the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall by tonight from near 27N55W to north of Hispaniola, where
it will gradually dissipate Sun into Mon. Expect fresh to strong
SW to W winds and building seas across the waters north of 29N
Sun, ahead of a cold front forecast to reach the northern part of
the forecast region Mon. The front will likely reach from 31N60W
to just N of the NW Bahamas on Tue. Rough seas, in mainly
northerly swell, will periodically impact waters N of 28N through
early next week.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 15 Nov 2025 22:58:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152258
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Nov 16 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains inland over Africa. The ITCZ extends
from 10N15W to 06N25W to 09N55W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 06N to 10N between 20W and 30W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
1018 mb high pressure centered over Atlantic waters off northeast
Florida provides for light to gentle E winds and 1-3 ft seas
across the basin, except in the Yucatan Channel where seas are 3-5
ft.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds will
dominate the basin as high pressure moves from Florida toward the
SE Gulf on Sun. The ridge will slide a bit east for the start of
next week, allowing southeasterly winds to become more dominate,
reaching fresh to strong speeds across the western Gulf by the
middle of next week. Moderate to rough seas are expected with
these winds.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few showers and thunderstorms are along the monsoon trough over
the far southwest Caribbean, mainly off Panama. Fresh winds are
reported by scatterometer satellite in the lee of Cuba, with 3-5
ft seas. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate trades and 3-5 ft seas
prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a surface trough will meander offshore Honduras and
Nicaragua through Sun, helping to induce some shower and
thunderstorm activity. Fresh NE to E winds S of Cuba and offshore
Colombia will diminish by tonight as a weak pressure gradient
takes hold over the basin. This will result in an extended period
of mainly gentle to moderate trade winds across the basin for the
first half of next week. Long period NE swell will propagate across
the NE Caribbean, and waters E of the Lesser Antilles Sun into
Mon.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N50W to the southern Bahamas.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along the front north of
24N. Earlier scatterometer satellite data indicated moderate or
weaker winds near the front. Pair of 1011 mb low pressures are
centered near 12N45W and 12N38W. The scatterometer indicated
moderate or weaker winds near these low pressures. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and 4-7 ft seas prevail across the basin.
North of 27N, seas exceed 8 ft due to mixed swells generated
north of the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall by tonight from near 27N55W to north of Hispaniola, where
it will gradually dissipate Sun into Mon. Expect fresh to strong
SW to W winds and building seas across the waters north of 29N
Sun, ahead of a cold front forecast to reach the northern part of
the forecast region Mon. The front will likely reach from 31N60W
to just N of the NW Bahamas on Tue. Rough seas, in mainly
northerly swell, will periodically impact waters N of 28N through
early next week.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 17 Nov 2025 11:32:33 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 16 Nov 2025 03:21:40 GMT - Sat, 15 Nov 2025 23:32:33 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 152332
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 15 Nov 2025 16:18:52 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
089
NOUS42 KNHC 151618
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST SAT 15 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-168
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS
ARE NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf