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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 15 Sep 2026 21:00:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152100
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 18W, south of 20N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is from 06N to 17N and between 14W and 25W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 58W, south of 21N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is from 12N to 20N and between 53W and 60W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N18W and continues
to 08N27W to 08N43W. The ITCZ extends from 08N43W to 12N55W.
Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section above,
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 05N
to 10N between 28W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak pressure gradient prevails over the gulf waters. Gentle to
locally moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a strong high pressure over the eastern United
States will build southward behind a weakening cold front that
will spread across the eastern Gulf waters. The tighter pressure
gradient will support fresh to locally strong NE-E winds and
rough seas starting in the NE Gulf tonight and spreading over
the rest of the northern Gulf waters through Thu night.
Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will move westward offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula each evening through Thu night, bringing nightly
pulses of fresh to locally strong NE winds. Conditions will
improve across the basin Fri, allowing for moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas during the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough seas, prevail over
the south central Caribbean. Gentle winds and slight seas are over
the NW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas,
prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge located north of the islands and lower pressures in
Colombia will support fresh to locally near gale-force easterly
trade winds and moderate to rough seas across much of the
central Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere from
11N to 18N. These conditions will persist through the workweek.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are expected, except moderate to fresh mainly in the evenings
near the Windward Passage and Lee of Cuba through midweek. Winds
may diminish across the basin by the end of the week into the
upcoming weekend as the pressures gradient relaxes, with seas
also slightly subsiding.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from just NW of Bermuda southwestward to
along 30N to northern Florida. Moderate to locally fresh winds,
and moderate seas, prevail N of the front. A surface trough
extends from 30N52W to 26N51W. Scattered moderate convection is in
the vicinity of the trough. High pressure dominates the remainder
of the discussion waters N of 20N. Light to gentle winds, and
slight seas, prevail N of 22N and W of 55W. Gentle to moderate
winds, and moderate seas are found elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will shift slightly
southward through early Wed, then will become stationary from
Bermuda to the NW Bahamas by late Wed. A tight pressure gradient
between the building ridge over the eastern United States and the
front will result in fresh to locally strong NE winds and seas to
build to rough N of the Bahamas and W of 70W through early Thu.
Conditions will improve later Thu into Fri. During the middle to
later portion of the week, a trough of low pressure is forecast to
move west-northwestward into the NE portion of the waters,
bringing thunderstorms while also weakening the high and pressure
gradient.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 15 Sep 2026 21:00:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152100
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 18W, south of 20N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is from 06N to 17N and between 14W and 25W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 58W, south of 21N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is from 12N to 20N and between 53W and 60W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N18W and continues
to 08N27W to 08N43W. The ITCZ extends from 08N43W to 12N55W.
Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section above,
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 05N
to 10N between 28W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak pressure gradient prevails over the gulf waters. Gentle to
locally moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a strong high pressure over the eastern United
States will build southward behind a weakening cold front that
will spread across the eastern Gulf waters. The tighter pressure
gradient will support fresh to locally strong NE-E winds and
rough seas starting in the NE Gulf tonight and spreading over
the rest of the northern Gulf waters through Thu night.
Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will move westward offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula each evening through Thu night, bringing nightly
pulses of fresh to locally strong NE winds. Conditions will
improve across the basin Fri, allowing for moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas during the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough seas, prevail over
the south central Caribbean. Gentle winds and slight seas are over
the NW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas,
prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge located north of the islands and lower pressures in
Colombia will support fresh to locally near gale-force easterly
trade winds and moderate to rough seas across much of the
central Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere from
11N to 18N. These conditions will persist through the workweek.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are expected, except moderate to fresh mainly in the evenings
near the Windward Passage and Lee of Cuba through midweek. Winds
may diminish across the basin by the end of the week into the
upcoming weekend as the pressures gradient relaxes, with seas
also slightly subsiding.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from just NW of Bermuda southwestward to
along 30N to northern Florida. Moderate to locally fresh winds,
and moderate seas, prevail N of the front. A surface trough
extends from 30N52W to 26N51W. Scattered moderate convection is in
the vicinity of the trough. High pressure dominates the remainder
of the discussion waters N of 20N. Light to gentle winds, and
slight seas, prevail N of 22N and W of 55W. Gentle to moderate
winds, and moderate seas are found elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will shift slightly
southward through early Wed, then will become stationary from
Bermuda to the NW Bahamas by late Wed. A tight pressure gradient
between the building ridge over the eastern United States and the
front will result in fresh to locally strong NE winds and seas to
build to rough N of the Bahamas and W of 70W through early Thu.
Conditions will improve later Thu into Fri. During the middle to
later portion of the week, a trough of low pressure is forecast to
move west-northwestward into the NE portion of the waters,
bringing thunderstorms while also weakening the high and pressure
gradient.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 17 Sep 2026 11:16:13 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 15 Sep 2026 23:31:30 GMT - Tue, 15 Sep 2026 23:16:13 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 152316
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located about 700 miles east-southeast of
Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become a little more
conducive for development in a couple of days while the system moves
slowly westward to west-northwestward over the subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 15 Sep 2026 13:01:06 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 15 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-107
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf