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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:02:53 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 250002
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (Invest AL95): Satellite-wind data
    indicate that the low-level circulation associated with an area of
    low pressure centered a few hundred nautical miles east-
    southeast of Bermuda remains broad and somewhat elongated. Fresh
    to strong southerly winds are noted mainly on the NE side of the
    low, north of 25N between 52W and 60W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft,
    highest just north of the area. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is noted from 22N to 35N between 52W and 60W.
    Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for further
    development, but this system could become a short- lived tropical
    depression or storm through Tuesday while it moves northward then
    north-northeastward, and well northeast of Bermuda. By Wednesday,
    the low is forecast to move over cold waters, ending its
    formation chances. This system has a medium chance of tropical
    cyclone formation in the next 48 hours.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
    associated area of low pressure have exited Africa today, and are
    over the far eastern Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of
    the Cabo Verde islands. This system is producing scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection from 07N to 14N E of 27W.
    Presently these showers and thunderstorms do not show signs of
    organization. However, this system could become a tropical
    depression during the next few days while it moves westward to
    west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
    conducive for development by the weekend. This system has a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7 days.

    Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
    https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
    these features.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave and associated area of low
    pressure has moved away from the west coast of Africa , and is
    near 19W, and is described above. 1010 mb low pressure is
    analyzed near the wave at 11N18.5W.

    An central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 43W, south of
    19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Please refer to the Monsoon
    Trough/ITCZ section below for details on any nearby convection as
    it is elongated along the ITCZ axis.

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 60W south of 21N,
    moving westward around 10 kt. Convection near the wave is limited,
    however some widely scattered showers near the axis are occurring
    inland over Venezuela.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W south of 21N to
    northwest Venezuela, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted near the wave over land, across
    Hispaniola, and over NW Venezuela and NE Colombia.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 14N16.5W and continues southwestward to low pressure
    near 11N18.5W 1010 mb to 12N37W to 08N45W. The ITCZ extends from
    08N45W to 06N51W to 08N59W. Aside from the convection associated
    with the tropical waves described above, scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 36W
    and 57W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A large cluster of moderate to strong thunderstorms has shifted
    southward throughout the afternoon and is now along and within
    120 nm of the coasts from Panama City, FL to the Atchafalaya Bay,
    LA. 1018 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
    26N87W, and is generally producing light to gentle anticyclonic winds
    across the basin, except moderate NE winds in the eastern Bay of
    Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less prevail over the basin per
    buoy observations.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over NE
    Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge remaining
    dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
    locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend. A surface
    trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the
    Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
    central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
    Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone of strong
    winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and far NE
    Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
    to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
    elsewhere. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    occurring from 09N to 15.5N W of 80W, including over portions of
    northern Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the current pattern across the region will
    continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
    seas over the south- central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
    mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail,
    aside from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of
    the basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
    passages several tropical waves that will quickly move west across
    the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
    low pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical
    cyclone formation, and on Invest AL96, a tropical wave that has
    recently emerged off Africa.

    A weak surface trough is analyzed across the western Atlantic
    extending SW through 31N74W to the NW Bahamas. Isolated to widely
    scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are within 60 nm of this
    trough. Moderate SW winds are occurring north of this through.
    1018 mb high pressure is east of this feature near 29N72W. South
    of this high, fresh E-SE winds are noted from the southern
    Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the approach to the
    Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere
    north of 20N and west of 61W. Slight to moderate seas prevail
    north of 20N and west of 61W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 26N to 31N between 67W and 73W, supported by an upper
    level low to the SW of Bermuda.

    Elongated low pressure and attendant surface troughs prevail over
    the waters N of 23N between 53W and 62W and described above with
    Invest AL96.

    Another pair of weak surface troughs are in the NE portion of the
    basin from near the Canary Islands westward as the remnants of an
    old frontal boundary. No significant convection is noted near
    these features. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging prevails.
    Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon trough
    and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas. Winds are
    mainly moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, low pressure of 1016 mb centered
    near 30N61W is producing scattered moderate convection and strong
    S winds E of its center to about 52W. This low is showing signs
    of tropical organization, but will move N and out of the area by
    tonight. Additional development of this system is possible, and a
    short- lived tropical depression or storm could form through Tue
    well E or NE of Bermuda. Regardless of development, conditions
    will improve over area waters by Tue as the system moves away.
    Elsewhere, weak high pressure will prevail, with moderate to
    fresh trades will prevail S of 23N, with slightly higher winds
    pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
    westward across the far southern waters into the weekend.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 25 Aug 2026 00:02:53 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 250002
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (Invest AL95): Satellite-wind data
    indicate that the low-level circulation associated with an area of
    low pressure centered a few hundred nautical miles east-
    southeast of Bermuda remains broad and somewhat elongated. Fresh
    to strong southerly winds are noted mainly on the NE side of the
    low, north of 25N between 52W and 60W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft,
    highest just north of the area. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is noted from 22N to 35N between 52W and 60W.
    Environmental conditions are only marginally conducive for further
    development, but this system could become a short- lived tropical
    depression or storm through Tuesday while it moves northward then
    north-northeastward, and well northeast of Bermuda. By Wednesday,
    the low is forecast to move over cold waters, ending its
    formation chances. This system has a medium chance of tropical
    cyclone formation in the next 48 hours.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
    associated area of low pressure have exited Africa today, and are
    over the far eastern Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of
    the Cabo Verde islands. This system is producing scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection from 07N to 14N E of 27W.
    Presently these showers and thunderstorms do not show signs of
    organization. However, this system could become a tropical
    depression during the next few days while it moves westward to
    west- northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
    tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
    conducive for development by the weekend. This system has a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7 days.

    Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
    https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
    these features.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave and associated area of low
    pressure has moved away from the west coast of Africa , and is
    near 19W, and is described above. 1010 mb low pressure is
    analyzed near the wave at 11N18.5W.

    An central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 43W, south of
    19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Please refer to the Monsoon
    Trough/ITCZ section below for details on any nearby convection as
    it is elongated along the ITCZ axis.

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 60W south of 21N,
    moving westward around 10 kt. Convection near the wave is limited,
    however some widely scattered showers near the axis are occurring
    inland over Venezuela.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W south of 21N to
    northwest Venezuela, moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted near the wave over land, across
    Hispaniola, and over NW Venezuela and NE Colombia.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 14N16.5W and continues southwestward to low pressure
    near 11N18.5W 1010 mb to 12N37W to 08N45W. The ITCZ extends from
    08N45W to 06N51W to 08N59W. Aside from the convection associated
    with the tropical waves described above, scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 36W
    and 57W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A large cluster of moderate to strong thunderstorms has shifted
    southward throughout the afternoon and is now along and within
    120 nm of the coasts from Panama City, FL to the Atchafalaya Bay,
    LA. 1018 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
    26N87W, and is generally producing light to gentle anticyclonic winds
    across the basin, except moderate NE winds in the eastern Bay of
    Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less prevail over the basin per
    buoy observations.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over NE
    Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge remaining
    dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
    locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend. A surface
    trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the
    Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
    central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
    Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone of strong
    winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and far NE
    Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
    to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
    elsewhere. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    occurring from 09N to 15.5N W of 80W, including over portions of
    northern Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the current pattern across the region will
    continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
    seas over the south- central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
    mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail,
    aside from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of
    the basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
    passages several tropical waves that will quickly move west across
    the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
    low pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical
    cyclone formation, and on Invest AL96, a tropical wave that has
    recently emerged off Africa.

    A weak surface trough is analyzed across the western Atlantic
    extending SW through 31N74W to the NW Bahamas. Isolated to widely
    scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are within 60 nm of this
    trough. Moderate SW winds are occurring north of this through.
    1018 mb high pressure is east of this feature near 29N72W. South
    of this high, fresh E-SE winds are noted from the southern
    Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the approach to the
    Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere
    north of 20N and west of 61W. Slight to moderate seas prevail
    north of 20N and west of 61W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 26N to 31N between 67W and 73W, supported by an upper
    level low to the SW of Bermuda.

    Elongated low pressure and attendant surface troughs prevail over
    the waters N of 23N between 53W and 62W and described above with
    Invest AL96.

    Another pair of weak surface troughs are in the NE portion of the
    basin from near the Canary Islands westward as the remnants of an
    old frontal boundary. No significant convection is noted near
    these features. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging prevails.
    Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon trough
    and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas. Winds are
    mainly moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, low pressure of 1016 mb centered
    near 30N61W is producing scattered moderate convection and strong
    S winds E of its center to about 52W. This low is showing signs
    of tropical organization, but will move N and out of the area by
    tonight. Additional development of this system is possible, and a
    short- lived tropical depression or storm could form through Tue
    well E or NE of Bermuda. Regardless of development, conditions
    will improve over area waters by Tue as the system moves away.
    Elsewhere, weak high pressure will prevail, with moderate to
    fresh trades will prevail S of 23N, with slightly higher winds
    pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
    westward across the far southern waters into the weekend.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 26 Aug 2026 11:08:20 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 25 Aug 2026 02:16:15 GMT
  • Mon, 24 Aug 2026 23:08:20 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 242308
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
    An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles east
    of Bermuda is moving northward at 15 to 20 mph. Although the
    shower activity is showing signs of organization, the circulation
    remains broad and elongated. This system could become a
    short-lived tropical depression or storm on Tuesday before it moves
    over cool waters and into unfavorable environmental conditions
    Tuesday night and Wednesday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    A tropical wave and associated area of low pressure over the far
    eastern Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde
    islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This
    system could become a tropical depression during the next few days
    while it moves westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 mph across
    the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions
    could become less conducive for development by the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 24 Aug 2026 13:50:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 241350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT MON 24 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-085

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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