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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:32:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 201632
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Oct 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southward to 08N18W and then
westward to 07N27W. The ITCZ extends from 07N27W to 10N62W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from
08N to 12N and east of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and tstms persist this morning over
the southwest Gulf and off the Yucatan Peninsula, along a trough
analyzed along 94W in the W Gulf and another trough extending
across the northern Yucatan Peninsula. Strong NW winds continue
offshore Veracruz, where seas are estimated to be 6-8 ft.
Elsewhere, 1029 mb high pressure centered over the Middle
Mississippi Valley is supporting moderate to fresh E to NE winds
and moderate seas across the Gulf, except for the far SE Gulf and
Florida Straits where fresh to strong NE winds persist.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms persist
this morning over the southwest Gulf and off the Yucatan
Peninsula. High pressure over the eastern U.S. will support fresh
to NE winds are across the basin through the latter part of the
week, except for strong NW to N winds over the SW Gulf offshore
Veracruz through Wed. Looking ahead, strengthening high pressure
over the eastern U.S. will support strong to near-gale NE winds
and rough seas over the eastern Gulf Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper level trough extending across the Caribbean and the East
Pacific monsoon trough analyzed across the far SW Caribbean
support scattered moderate to strong convection S of 13N and W of
75W. Outside of convection, a weaker pressure gradient supports
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and subsequent slight seas across
much of the Caribbean, except for the south-central basin offshore
Colombia and Venezeula where moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft
seas prevail.
For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support moderate to fresh NE winds across the far northwest
Caribbean and Yucatan Channel through early this afternoon. These
winds will diminish Wed as the high pressure weakens, leaving
gentle to moderate trades and slight to moderate seas across the
basin. Looking ahead, expect moderate to fresh winds across the
south-central Caribbean by Thu, and fresh winds across the far
northwestern Caribbean starting late Sat as high pressure builds
again north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from SW of Bermuda near 31N67W to the
southern Bahamas to eastern Cuba. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are occurring along much of the cold front. Moderate
to fresh N to NE winds are W of the front to the SE US coast, with
locally strong NE winds occurring along the south Florida coast
and the Florida Straits. Rough seas prevail N of the Bahamas and W
of 70W, with very rough seas of 13-15 ft occurring N of 28N
between 71W and 80W.
A broad upper-level low near 25N54W is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms from 20N to 31N and between 43W and
60W. A surface trough reaches from 28N50W to 1012 mb low pressure
near 26N56W to 23N58W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh and locally strong easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft north
of 26N and between 35W and 55W. Farther east, scattered showers
and thunderstorms are active along a weak surface trough extends
from the Canary Islands to 1015 mb low pressure near 27N21W to
24N25W. Gentle to moderate winds and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a cold front that extends from
31N67W to the southeastern Bahamas and to east-central Cuba. Winds
will diminish tonight into Wed as the front dissipates, and
lingering swell will subside through Thu. Looking ahead, a
tightening pressure gradient developing late Fri is expected to
induce widespread near to gale-force NE winds over the waters
north of about 25N well into the weekend. Seas with these winds
are expected to quickly build to rough to very rough. Mariners
should monitor the latest marine forecasts, and have avoidance
plans in place.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 16:32:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 201632
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Oct 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southward to 08N18W and then
westward to 07N27W. The ITCZ extends from 07N27W to 10N62W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from
08N to 12N and east of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and tstms persist this morning over
the southwest Gulf and off the Yucatan Peninsula, along a trough
analyzed along 94W in the W Gulf and another trough extending
across the northern Yucatan Peninsula. Strong NW winds continue
offshore Veracruz, where seas are estimated to be 6-8 ft.
Elsewhere, 1029 mb high pressure centered over the Middle
Mississippi Valley is supporting moderate to fresh E to NE winds
and moderate seas across the Gulf, except for the far SE Gulf and
Florida Straits where fresh to strong NE winds persist.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms persist
this morning over the southwest Gulf and off the Yucatan
Peninsula. High pressure over the eastern U.S. will support fresh
to NE winds are across the basin through the latter part of the
week, except for strong NW to N winds over the SW Gulf offshore
Veracruz through Wed. Looking ahead, strengthening high pressure
over the eastern U.S. will support strong to near-gale NE winds
and rough seas over the eastern Gulf Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper level trough extending across the Caribbean and the East
Pacific monsoon trough analyzed across the far SW Caribbean
support scattered moderate to strong convection S of 13N and W of
75W. Outside of convection, a weaker pressure gradient supports
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and subsequent slight seas across
much of the Caribbean, except for the south-central basin offshore
Colombia and Venezeula where moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft
seas prevail.
For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support moderate to fresh NE winds across the far northwest
Caribbean and Yucatan Channel through early this afternoon. These
winds will diminish Wed as the high pressure weakens, leaving
gentle to moderate trades and slight to moderate seas across the
basin. Looking ahead, expect moderate to fresh winds across the
south-central Caribbean by Thu, and fresh winds across the far
northwestern Caribbean starting late Sat as high pressure builds
again north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from SW of Bermuda near 31N67W to the
southern Bahamas to eastern Cuba. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are occurring along much of the cold front. Moderate
to fresh N to NE winds are W of the front to the SE US coast, with
locally strong NE winds occurring along the south Florida coast
and the Florida Straits. Rough seas prevail N of the Bahamas and W
of 70W, with very rough seas of 13-15 ft occurring N of 28N
between 71W and 80W.
A broad upper-level low near 25N54W is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms from 20N to 31N and between 43W and
60W. A surface trough reaches from 28N50W to 1012 mb low pressure
near 26N56W to 23N58W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh and locally strong easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft north
of 26N and between 35W and 55W. Farther east, scattered showers
and thunderstorms are active along a weak surface trough extends
from the Canary Islands to 1015 mb low pressure near 27N21W to
24N25W. Gentle to moderate winds and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a cold front that extends from
31N67W to the southeastern Bahamas and to east-central Cuba. Winds
will diminish tonight into Wed as the front dissipates, and
lingering swell will subside through Thu. Looking ahead, a
tightening pressure gradient developing late Fri is expected to
induce widespread near to gale-force NE winds over the waters
north of about 25N well into the weekend. Seas with these winds
are expected to quickly build to rough to very rough. Mariners
should monitor the latest marine forecasts, and have avoidance
plans in place.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 05:00:34 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 20:17:55 GMT - Tue, 20 Oct 2026 17:00:34 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 201700
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Oct 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the North Carolina coast is producing some shower and
thunderstorm activity primarily west of its center. Recent satellite
wind data indicated the low is still frontal. Over the next couple
of days, the low could develop some showers and thunderstorms near
the low-level center and gradually lose its frontal features while
it moves slowly north-northeastward over the Gulf Stream, allowing
the system to briefly develop subtropical characteristics. By the
end of the week, the system is expected to accelerate northeastward
away from the the eastern United States, where environmental
conditions are expected to become unfavorable for additional
subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with High Seas
Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:06:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 201405
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EDT TUE 20 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-142
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf