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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:58:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 062358
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Mon Sep 07 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2345 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 25W south
of 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
20N. It is moving westward around 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are seen near its southern portion from 07N to 09N.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W. It is
moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
is presently occurring with this wave.
A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 81W, reaching
southward to central Panama. It is extends from central Cuba
southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving west
at around 10 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are south of
11N west of the wave inland Central America, and also south of
10N east of the wave to the northwest portion of Colombia. This
activity is being further enhanced by the eastern extension of
the East Pacific monsoon trough that crosses the wave axis near
10N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16W, and
continues southwestward to 05N32W, then west-northwestward
to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to near 07N55W.
Aside from convection described above under Tropical Waves,
convection remains very limited across the area under a dry and
stable atmospheric environment. At best, only isolated showers
and thunderstorms are present.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A shortwave trough aloft moving through the southeastern U.S. is
working on a very moist and unstable airmass that is in place
over the region. This is resulting in scattered showers and
thunderstorms over some sections of northern and central Florida,
southern Alabama and Mississippi. A weak trough near the southeastern
Gulf is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
south of about 25N and east of 92W to near the Florida Keys and
over some sections of the Straits of Florida. Otherwise, relatively
weak high pressure, anchored by a 1014 mb high near 26N87W, is
providing for light to gentle winds in the vicinity of the high
center. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly
gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas are over the forecast
waters.
For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
persist across the Gulf basin through the period, supporting
mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over most of the
waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean as highlighted by satellite scatterometer data passes.
Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends east to
west roughly along 25N to South Florida. The pressure gradient
between this subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. The gradient will begin to tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, and
locally near-gale force, with rough seas, Mon through midweek.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail through the middle of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The combination of a mid-level trough and ample deep atmospheric
moisture and instability in place is supporting numerous showers
and thunderstorms north of about 23N and west of 72W. Similar
activity to the southeast of a frontal boundary is noted north
of 27N between 56W and 72W. The remainder of the Atlantic
forecast region is under the influence of high pressure, anchored
by a 1018 mb high center near 25N54W. The associated gradient is
generally allowing for gentle winds near the high center, as
well as along the ridge extending from the high along 25N. A
stronger high center of 1026 mb is centered north of the area
near 36N21W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W as depicted in
satellite scatterometer data passes. Elsewhere, moderate winds
prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high center near 25N54W will
gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early next
week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front will approach the
northern waters tonight, hen stall near 31N through midweek
before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
active across these northern waters west of 65W through Tue.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:58:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 062358
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Mon Sep 07 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2345 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 25W south
of 20N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
convection is presently occurring with this wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
20N. It is moving westward around 15 kt. Only isolated showers
are seen near its southern portion from 07N to 09N.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W. It is
moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
is presently occurring with this wave.
A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 81W, reaching
southward to central Panama. It is extends from central Cuba
southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving west
at around 10 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are south of
11N west of the wave inland Central America, and also south of
10N east of the wave to the northwest portion of Colombia. This
activity is being further enhanced by the eastern extension of
the East Pacific monsoon trough that crosses the wave axis near
10N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16W, and
continues southwestward to 05N32W, then west-northwestward
to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 08N42W to near 07N55W.
Aside from convection described above under Tropical Waves,
convection remains very limited across the area under a dry and
stable atmospheric environment. At best, only isolated showers
and thunderstorms are present.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A shortwave trough aloft moving through the southeastern U.S. is
working on a very moist and unstable airmass that is in place
over the region. This is resulting in scattered showers and
thunderstorms over some sections of northern and central Florida,
southern Alabama and Mississippi. A weak trough near the southeastern
Gulf is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
south of about 25N and east of 92W to near the Florida Keys and
over some sections of the Straits of Florida. Otherwise, relatively
weak high pressure, anchored by a 1014 mb high near 26N87W, is
providing for light to gentle winds in the vicinity of the high
center. Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly
gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight seas are over the forecast
waters.
For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will
persist across the Gulf basin through the period, supporting
mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over most of the
waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the
western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal
surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
Caribbean as highlighted by satellite scatterometer data passes.
Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends east to
west roughly along 25N to South Florida. The pressure gradient
between this subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. The gradient will begin to tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, and
locally near-gale force, with rough seas, Mon through midweek.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail through the middle of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The combination of a mid-level trough and ample deep atmospheric
moisture and instability in place is supporting numerous showers
and thunderstorms north of about 23N and west of 72W. Similar
activity to the southeast of a frontal boundary is noted north
of 27N between 56W and 72W. The remainder of the Atlantic
forecast region is under the influence of high pressure, anchored
by a 1018 mb high center near 25N54W. The associated gradient is
generally allowing for gentle winds near the high center, as
well as along the ridge extending from the high along 25N. A
stronger high center of 1026 mb is centered north of the area
near 36N21W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong
winds north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W as depicted in
satellite scatterometer data passes. Elsewhere, moderate winds
prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high center near 25N54W will
gradually shift northeastward and strengthen through early next
week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas through Tue. A weak cold front will approach the
northern waters tonight, hen stall near 31N through midweek
before lifting northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain
active across these northern waters west of 65W through Tue.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 08 Sep 2026 11:20:39 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 07 Sep 2026 02:28:10 GMT - Sun, 06 Sep 2026 23:20:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 062320
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 06 Sep 2026 22:45:12 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 062245
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0645 PM EDT SUN 06 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-098 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE LOWELL
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 (CHGD) FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
A. 07/1730Z,2030Z,2330Z A. 08/0000Z
B. AFXXX 1012E LOWELL B. NOAA3 1112E LOWELL
C. 07/1530Z C. 07/2000Z
D. 18.5N 162.7W D. 20.0N 162.5W
E. 07/1700Z TO 07/2330Z E. 07/2130Z TO 08/0130Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 76 (CHGD) FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 78
A. 08/0230Z,0530Z A. 08/0830Z,1130Z,1430Z
B. AFXXX 1212E LOWELL B. AFXXX 1312E LOWELL
C. 08/0045Z C. 08/0645Z
D. 20.7N 162.2W D. 22.3N 162.0W
E. 08/0200Z TO 08/0530Z E. 08/0800Z TO 08/1430Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT FIVE - NOAA 43
A. 08/1200Z
B. NOAA3 1412E LOWELL
C. 08/0800Z
D. 23.0N 161.9W
E. 08/0930Z TO 08/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS:
A. THE NOAA 43 MISSIONS TASKED FOR THE 07/0000Z AND 07/1200Z
REQUIREMENTS IN TCPOD 26-097 WILL NOT BE FLOWN.
B. DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 08/1200Z
SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
WITHIN THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
C. NOAA 49 WILL CONDUCT A 7-HOUR G-IV RESEARCH MISSION OVER
LOWELL ON MONDAY, DEPARTING PHNL AT 07/2100Z.
$$
SEF/ANM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf