Skip to main content

2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

169 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Follow On Facebook

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ Cash Back On Gas
Shop Store For Essentials2026 Hurricane Season Supplies

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 30 Jul 2026 15:44:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301544
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is present from 04N to 11N and between 23W and 24W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 07N to 16N and between 44W and
    61W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 18N16W
    to 06N25W and to 12N38W. The ITCZ extends from 12N38W to 11N53W
    and then from 10N55W to 08N59W. Please see the Tropical Waves
    section above for information on the convection near the monsoon
    trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the NE
    Gulf waters associated with a frontal boundary north of the area
    and low-level convergence. The remainder of the basin is under
    fairly tranquil weather conditions. A weak pressure gradient
    dominates the Gulf waters, resulting in moderate or weaker winds
    and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
    scattered and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
    through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
    area, and as a moist and unstable airmass prevails over that
    section of the Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    An upper-level low over the Yucatan peninsula is generating a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 80W in the western
    Caribbean. Drier conditions are noted elsewhere.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. A recent partial scatterometer
    satellite pass captured winds up to 29 kt. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, Gale Warning is in effect for the offshore waters
    of Colombia for tonight. Seas are expected to build to around 13
    ft with these winds. Elsewhere across the central Caribbean, fresh
    to near gale trades will continue to expand in coverage through
    early Fri as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
    pressure and low pressure in northern Colombian tightens. Mostly
    fresh trades will continue elsewhere south S of about 18N through
    the rest of the forecast period. Fresh to strong winds are
    expected to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of the
    tropical Atlantic waters. In the SW North Atlantic, scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted north of 28N and west
    of 70W associated with a cold front and upper-level trough just
    north of the area. The pressure gradient between the aforementioned
    high pressure and frontal boundary results in fresh to strong
    S-SW winds and seas of 6-9 ft north of 27N and west of 65W.
    Stronger winds and higher seas may be occurring near the stronger
    convection.

    Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of
    5-8 ft are occurring north of the ITCZ and monsoon trough to 25N
    and west of 35W. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N
    winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 15N and east of
    25W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little through Sat
    night before it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week.
    The gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of
    the forecast waters will continue to generally support fresh to
    strong SW winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest of the week
    and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings through the upcoming
    weekend.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 30 Jul 2026 15:44:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301544
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
    South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
    rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
    Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is present from 04N to 11N and between 23W and 24W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 07N to 16N and between 44W and
    61W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 18N16W
    to 06N25W and to 12N38W. The ITCZ extends from 12N38W to 11N53W
    and then from 10N55W to 08N59W. Please see the Tropical Waves
    section above for information on the convection near the monsoon
    trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the NE
    Gulf waters associated with a frontal boundary north of the area
    and low-level convergence. The remainder of the basin is under
    fairly tranquil weather conditions. A weak pressure gradient
    dominates the Gulf waters, resulting in moderate or weaker winds
    and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
    scattered and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
    through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
    area, and as a moist and unstable airmass prevails over that
    section of the Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
    Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    An upper-level low over the Yucatan peninsula is generating a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 80W in the western
    Caribbean. Drier conditions are noted elsewhere.

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
    force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. A recent partial scatterometer
    satellite pass captured winds up to 29 kt. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, Gale Warning is in effect for the offshore waters
    of Colombia for tonight. Seas are expected to build to around 13
    ft with these winds. Elsewhere across the central Caribbean, fresh
    to near gale trades will continue to expand in coverage through
    early Fri as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
    pressure and low pressure in northern Colombian tightens. Mostly
    fresh trades will continue elsewhere south S of about 18N through
    the rest of the forecast period. Fresh to strong winds are
    expected to pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad subtropical ridge continues to dominate much of the
    tropical Atlantic waters. In the SW North Atlantic, scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted north of 28N and west
    of 70W associated with a cold front and upper-level trough just
    north of the area. The pressure gradient between the aforementioned
    high pressure and frontal boundary results in fresh to strong
    S-SW winds and seas of 6-9 ft north of 27N and west of 65W.
    Stronger winds and higher seas may be occurring near the stronger
    convection.

    Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of
    5-8 ft are occurring north of the ITCZ and monsoon trough to 25N
    and west of 35W. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N
    winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 15N and east of
    25W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little through Sat
    night before it shifts northward to near 28N into early next week.
    The gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of
    the forecast waters will continue to generally support fresh to
    strong SW winds along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest of the week
    and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings through the upcoming
    weekend.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 31 Jul 2026 23:18:39 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 30 Jul 2026 16:12:24 GMT
  • Thu, 30 Jul 2026 11:18:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 301118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 30 Jul 2026 14:30:37 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    966
    NOUS42 KNHC 301430
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1030 AM EDT THU 30 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 31/1100Z TO 01/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-060

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page