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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 03:56:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050356
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Nov 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A recent scatterometer satellite
pass confirmed winds to gale force south of Bermuda, between 1024
mb high pressure centered north of Bermuda near 37N65W, and 1008
mb low pressure near 26N64W. Gale-force winds are noted near
30N65W. Strong to near-gale force winds are noted from 27N to 31N
between 55W and 70W, with associated seas ranging from 8 ft to 12
ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also active
in this area. Environmental conditions could support this
system gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics through this
weekend while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. Chances of this development remain low
through 48 hours, and medium through the next seven days.
Regardless of such development, the area of winds and seas will
expand as the low shifts eastward, with gale force wind and very
rough seas will expand eastward north of 25N reaching as far east
as 45W by early Mon. Winds and seas start to diminish thereafter,
as environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable
for further development. Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through Thursday. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your
local weather agency and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from 11N15W to 09N18W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N18W to 08N35W to 10N55W. Scattered to
numerous moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 25W
and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front reaches from Gulfport, MS to Tampico, Mexico.
1015 mb high pressure is over the eastern and central Gulf,
centered near 25N88W. This pattern is supporting light breezes and
1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary extends across the NW Gulf. The
front will weaken and dissipate overnight. Moderate northwest to
north winds prevail west of the front. The next cold front is
expected to move across the Gulf waters this weekend. NW winds to
gale force are expected in the SW Gulf Sun night and Mon. Fresh to
strong north winds will develop west of the front and west of 93W
on Sun, with moderate north to northeast winds elsewhere behind
the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cluster of thunderstorms is active south of Jamaica near Pedro
Cay. Scattered thunderstorms are active across the southern
approaches to the Windward Passage. Broad 1008 mb low pressure
near Grand Cayman Island is along a surface trough at 82W from 15N
and 21N. This pattern is supporting light breezes and
1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area tonight.
This will diminish the moderate trades across the central and
eastern Caribbean through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
Elsewhere, a cold front reaches from 1004 mb low pressure near the
Azores to 30N31W to 26N40W, then stationary to 27N50W. Farther
south, a trough reaches from the Cabo Verde Islands to 11N35W.
This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft
combined seas in N swell.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure will track
slowly east-northeastward during the rest of the week and the
weekend. An area of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very
rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, has developed north of the low
pres and will expand eastward through Sun, impacting the waters
mainly north of about 27N. The gale-force winds will likely be
north of 29N through the end of the week. Elsewhere, a weakening
cold front will move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri
and Fri night, then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 03:56:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050356
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Nov 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A recent scatterometer satellite
pass confirmed winds to gale force south of Bermuda, between 1024
mb high pressure centered north of Bermuda near 37N65W, and 1008
mb low pressure near 26N64W. Gale-force winds are noted near
30N65W. Strong to near-gale force winds are noted from 27N to 31N
between 55W and 70W, with associated seas ranging from 8 ft to 12
ft. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also active
in this area. Environmental conditions could support this
system gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics through this
weekend while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. Chances of this development remain low
through 48 hours, and medium through the next seven days.
Regardless of such development, the area of winds and seas will
expand as the low shifts eastward, with gale force wind and very
rough seas will expand eastward north of 25N reaching as far east
as 45W by early Mon. Winds and seas start to diminish thereafter,
as environmental conditions are forecast to become unfavorable
for further development. Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through Thursday. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your
local weather agency and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from 11N15W to 09N18W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N18W to 08N35W to 10N55W. Scattered to
numerous moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 25W
and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front reaches from Gulfport, MS to Tampico, Mexico.
1015 mb high pressure is over the eastern and central Gulf,
centered near 25N88W. This pattern is supporting light breezes and
1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary extends across the NW Gulf. The
front will weaken and dissipate overnight. Moderate northwest to
north winds prevail west of the front. The next cold front is
expected to move across the Gulf waters this weekend. NW winds to
gale force are expected in the SW Gulf Sun night and Mon. Fresh to
strong north winds will develop west of the front and west of 93W
on Sun, with moderate north to northeast winds elsewhere behind
the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cluster of thunderstorms is active south of Jamaica near Pedro
Cay. Scattered thunderstorms are active across the southern
approaches to the Windward Passage. Broad 1008 mb low pressure
near Grand Cayman Island is along a surface trough at 82W from 15N
and 21N. This pattern is supporting light breezes and
1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area tonight.
This will diminish the moderate trades across the central and
eastern Caribbean through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
Elsewhere, a cold front reaches from 1004 mb low pressure near the
Azores to 30N31W to 26N40W, then stationary to 27N50W. Farther
south, a trough reaches from the Cabo Verde Islands to 11N35W.
This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft
combined seas in N swell.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure will track
slowly east-northeastward during the rest of the week and the
weekend. An area of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very
rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, has developed north of the low
pres and will expand eastward through Sun, impacting the waters
mainly north of about 27N. The gale-force winds will likely be
north of 29N through the end of the week. Elsewhere, a weakening
cold front will move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri
and Fri night, then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 17:02:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 08:52:22 GMT - Thu, 05 Nov 2026 05:02:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 050502
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic:
A non-tropical low pressure area is located a few hundred miles
south of Bermuda. Environmental conditions could support this
system gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics through this
weekend while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. By early next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. For
more information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:34:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041634
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EST WED 04 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-157
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf