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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 17 May 2026 15:27:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171527
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun May 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is around 17W/18W from 14N
southward, moving very slowly. There is some indication that this
wave may need to be repositioned in the next day or so when
additional data becomes available. Isolated to widely scattered
moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N between 13W and 20W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 50W from 12N southward
to northern Brazil, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 02N to 05N between 48W and 52W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 77W from 19N southward across
eastern Jamaica to the northern coast of Colombia. This tropical
wave was previously analyzed to the east, but the latest
observations, satellite imagery, and analysis tools indicates that
it is near 77W, and is likely to get absorbed or merge its
vorticity with that of the Colombian/Panamanian low. There is no
deep convection noted over water, but active convection is present
over portions of northern and NW Colombia, possibly enhanced by
this feature.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W, then curves
southwestward to 05N21W. The ITCZ extends from 05N21W to 05N36W to
03.5N49.5W. Other than the convection described above in the
Tropical Waves section, scattered moderate is noted from 01N to
06N between 26W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A modest surface ridge reaches southwestward from the Florida
Panhandle to the western Gulf. This feature is supporting mainly
gentle winds with 1 to 3 ft seas for the eastern half of the Gulf.
In the western Gulf, the pressure gradient between the ridge and
lower pressure over Texas is leading to moderate to locally fresh
SE winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will
extend a ridge over and just north of the Gulf through mid-week.
Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this
week between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico.
Also expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a surface ridge along 31N and a
1007 mb low pressure over western Panama is sustaining fresh to
strong NE to E winds and 7 to 10 ft seas in the central and part
of the southwestern basin, from 10N to 16N between 70W and 82W.
Fresh E to SE winds and seas at 5 to 7 ft are noted at the Gulf
of Honduras. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of 4 to 7
ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, except more tranquil
conditions across the approach to the Windward Passage.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Tue night, with moderate to fresh trades across
the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be expected
in the central Caribbean through Tuesday night as well. Large E
swell resulting in rough seas will impact the tropical Atlantic
waters into Tue, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends SE from 31N59W to near the SE and Central
Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection extends up to 240 nm on
either side of this boundary. Otherwise, broad ridging anchored
by a 1029 mb high centered near 33N32W dominates. Mainly gentle
anticyclonic winds prevail across the waters north of 29N between
32W and 78W and with 3 to 5 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
dominate the remainder of the waters, with seas of 7 to 9 ft in N
to NE swell south of 23N and east of 62W, and 4 to 7 ft seas in
easterly swells elsewhere south of 29N.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the central
Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and occasionally rough
seas with E swell into tonight mainly east of the Leeward Islands.
A weak frontal remnant trough extending from 31N59W to the
Bahamas will dissipate today, leaving tranquil marine conditions
in place through mid-week.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 17 May 2026 15:27:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171527
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun May 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1400 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is around 17W/18W from 14N
southward, moving very slowly. There is some indication that this
wave may need to be repositioned in the next day or so when
additional data becomes available. Isolated to widely scattered
moderate convection is noted from 02N to 08N between 13W and 20W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 50W from 12N southward
to northern Brazil, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 02N to 05N between 48W and 52W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 77W from 19N southward across
eastern Jamaica to the northern coast of Colombia. This tropical
wave was previously analyzed to the east, but the latest
observations, satellite imagery, and analysis tools indicates that
it is near 77W, and is likely to get absorbed or merge its
vorticity with that of the Colombian/Panamanian low. There is no
deep convection noted over water, but active convection is present
over portions of northern and NW Colombia, possibly enhanced by
this feature.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W, then curves
southwestward to 05N21W. The ITCZ extends from 05N21W to 05N36W to
03.5N49.5W. Other than the convection described above in the
Tropical Waves section, scattered moderate is noted from 01N to
06N between 26W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A modest surface ridge reaches southwestward from the Florida
Panhandle to the western Gulf. This feature is supporting mainly
gentle winds with 1 to 3 ft seas for the eastern half of the Gulf.
In the western Gulf, the pressure gradient between the ridge and
lower pressure over Texas is leading to moderate to locally fresh
SE winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will
extend a ridge over and just north of the Gulf through mid-week.
Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this
week between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico.
Also expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a surface ridge along 31N and a
1007 mb low pressure over western Panama is sustaining fresh to
strong NE to E winds and 7 to 10 ft seas in the central and part
of the southwestern basin, from 10N to 16N between 70W and 82W.
Fresh E to SE winds and seas at 5 to 7 ft are noted at the Gulf
of Honduras. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and seas of 4 to 7
ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, except more tranquil
conditions across the approach to the Windward Passage.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Tue night, with moderate to fresh trades across
the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be expected
in the central Caribbean through Tuesday night as well. Large E
swell resulting in rough seas will impact the tropical Atlantic
waters into Tue, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends SE from 31N59W to near the SE and Central
Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection extends up to 240 nm on
either side of this boundary. Otherwise, broad ridging anchored
by a 1029 mb high centered near 33N32W dominates. Mainly gentle
anticyclonic winds prevail across the waters north of 29N between
32W and 78W and with 3 to 5 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
dominate the remainder of the waters, with seas of 7 to 9 ft in N
to NE swell south of 23N and east of 62W, and 4 to 7 ft seas in
easterly swells elsewhere south of 29N.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the central
Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and occasionally rough
seas with E swell into tonight mainly east of the Leeward Islands.
A weak frontal remnant trough extending from 31N59W to the
Bahamas will dissipate today, leaving tranquil marine conditions
in place through mid-week.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 18 May 2026 23:12:44 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 17 May 2026 15:22:06 GMT - Sun, 17 May 2026 11:12:44 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
909
ABNT20 KNHC 171112
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun May 17 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf