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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:50:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221450
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26W south
of 19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is seen from 05N to 10N between 23W
and 27W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 47W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 59W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 81W south of
20N, It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is active from western Panama to
eastern Nicaragua.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, and
northwestward from there to 13N45W and to 13N50W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ to near 12N57W. No significant convection
is noted outside of what is described in the Tropical Waves
section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough
reaching from northern Georgia to the coast of Louisiana.
Additional showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough off
Veracruz in the southwest Gulf. Elsewhere, ridging prevails
anchored by 1017 mb high pressure near 24N92W. This pattern is
supporting light to gentle breezes and slight seas, except for
moderate winds and 3-5 ft seas over the Bay of Campeche east of
the trough in that area.
For the forecast, the weak high pressure will remain centered
over the basin through the middle of next week, leading to gentle
to moderate winds and generally slight seas. A surface trough will
generate fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
peninsula each overnight as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 9 ft are with
these trades as noted in early morning satellite altimeter data
passes. Overnight satellite scatterometer data passes indicate
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are of moderate state
with these trades. Light to gentle trades are over the northwest
part of the basin. Seas there are 2 to 3 ft. In addition to the
showers and thunderstorms from western Panama to eastern Nicaragua
described in the Tropical Wave section above, a cluster of
showers and thunderstorms is active north of Bonaire in the
southeast Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and Colombia low pressure will support fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through much of next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. A pair of tropical
waves crossing the basin next week lead to enhanced winds after
their passages.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1021 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 28N70W dominates the far western Atlantic west of 60W.
Moderate SE winds and 3-4 ft seas are noted off Hispaniola and
eastern Cuba, with fresh winds and seas to 5 ft near the northern
entrance to the Windward Passage. Moderate SW winds and 4 ft seas
are noted off northeast Florida, with gentle breezes and slight
seas elsewhere west of 60W. Scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms are active north of 25N and west of 70W, southeast
of an upper trough over the eastern U.S. Farther east, a trough
extends from the north- central Atlantic 1016 mb low pressure near
29N58W to 28N60W. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are active
along this trough. A few thunderstorms are also active near a
trough farther to the south extending from 28N55W to 25N57W.
Elsewhere farther east, the basin in under the influence of broad
1027 mb high pressure centered north of the area near 36N40W. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5-7 ft
seas across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure dominating the
northern parts of the waters will support light to gentle winds N
of 23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 14:50:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221450
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Aug 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26W south
of 19N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is seen from 05N to 10N between 23W
and 27W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 47W south of
20N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
noted near the wave axis.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 59W
south of 20N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No
significant convection is noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean along 81W south of
20N, It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is active from western Panama to
eastern Nicaragua.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, and
northwestward from there to 13N45W and to 13N50W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ to near 12N57W. No significant convection
is noted outside of what is described in the Tropical Waves
section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough
reaching from northern Georgia to the coast of Louisiana.
Additional showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough off
Veracruz in the southwest Gulf. Elsewhere, ridging prevails
anchored by 1017 mb high pressure near 24N92W. This pattern is
supporting light to gentle breezes and slight seas, except for
moderate winds and 3-5 ft seas over the Bay of Campeche east of
the trough in that area.
For the forecast, the weak high pressure will remain centered
over the basin through the middle of next week, leading to gentle
to moderate winds and generally slight seas. A surface trough will
generate fresh winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
peninsula each overnight as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the
western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas in the range of 8 to 9 ft are with
these trades as noted in early morning satellite altimeter data
passes. Overnight satellite scatterometer data passes indicate
moderate to fresh trades elsewhere. Seas are of moderate state
with these trades. Light to gentle trades are over the northwest
part of the basin. Seas there are 2 to 3 ft. In addition to the
showers and thunderstorms from western Panama to eastern Nicaragua
described in the Tropical Wave section above, a cluster of
showers and thunderstorms is active north of Bonaire in the
southeast Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and Colombia low pressure will support fresh to
strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean through much of next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. A pair of tropical
waves crossing the basin next week lead to enhanced winds after
their passages.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1021 mb high pressure centered between the Bahamas and Bermuda
near 28N70W dominates the far western Atlantic west of 60W.
Moderate SE winds and 3-4 ft seas are noted off Hispaniola and
eastern Cuba, with fresh winds and seas to 5 ft near the northern
entrance to the Windward Passage. Moderate SW winds and 4 ft seas
are noted off northeast Florida, with gentle breezes and slight
seas elsewhere west of 60W. Scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms are active north of 25N and west of 70W, southeast
of an upper trough over the eastern U.S. Farther east, a trough
extends from the north- central Atlantic 1016 mb low pressure near
29N58W to 28N60W. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are active
along this trough. A few thunderstorms are also active near a
trough farther to the south extending from 28N55W to 25N57W.
Elsewhere farther east, the basin in under the influence of broad
1027 mb high pressure centered north of the area near 36N40W. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 5-7 ft
seas across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure dominating the
northern parts of the waters will support light to gentle winds N
of 23N through the period. To the south, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail, with locally strong winds pulsing at times offshore
Hispaniola and into the Windward Passage. The northern portion of
a tropical wave will move across the waters S of about 23N and E
of the Bahamas early next week freshening the trades. By Wed, the
northern portion of another tropical wave may move across the SE
portion of the area, increasing the trades over those waters.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 24 Aug 2026 05:13:44 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 22 Aug 2026 19:02:20 GMT - Sat, 22 Aug 2026 17:13:44 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 221713
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Aug 22 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northeastern Atlantic:
A strong non-tropical area of low pressure is located over the
northeastern Atlantic several hundred miles west of the coast of
Portugal. This system could acquire some subtropical or tropical
characteristics later today or on Sunday while it moves
east-southeastward at 10 to 15 mph toward Portugal and northwestern
Spain. The opportunity for tropical or subtropical development
should end Sunday night when the system encounters unfavorable
environmental conditions. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located over the central subtropical
Atlantic a few hundred miles east of Bermuda is producing
disorganized shower activity. Development of this system, if any, is
expected to be slow to occur while it drifts westward through Sunday
and then accelerates northward early next week. By the middle of
next week, the system could merge with a frontal boundary over the
north Atlantic, which should diminish any remaining chances of
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on
Monday. An area of low pressure could form in association with the
wave soon after it moves off the coast. Environmental conditions are
marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle to latter portions of next week while the
system moves westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at
https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt
$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 13:55:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
138
NOUS42 KNHC 221355
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT SAT 22 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-083
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: MISSIONS TASKED ON TCPOD 26-082 WILL STILL
FLY.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf