Skip to main content

2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

926 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Follow On Facebook

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ Cash Back On Gas
Shop Store For Essentials2026 Hurricane Season Supplies

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 08:46:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    582
    AXNT20 KNHC 210846
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 30W, south of
    18N, moving eastward at around 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    convection is noted with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W, south of
    21N, drifting slowly westward. Scattered moderate convection is
    active on the northern end of the tropical wave from 18N to 21N
    between 43W and 45W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 15N17W to
    09N25W. The ITCZ extends from 07N30W to 04N50W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 10N to 15N and east of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak pressure gradient prevails across the area generating
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the Gulf. An upper
    low centered over west-central Florida is supporting clusters of
    showers and thunderstorms south of Apalachicola, Florida, and
    over the Florida Straits.

    For the forecast, weak surface ridging across the southeastern U.S.
    will maintain generally gentle to moderate winds across the
    basin through midweek. A vigorous upper-level low and associated
    surface trough over the southern Gulf will contribute to
    scattered showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf through
    midweek, with the Straits of Florida the most active area. A cold
    front may sink into the northern Gulf Thu night through Fri,
    leading to a modest increase in winds across the basin.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A relatively weak pressure pattern is across the basin. Moderate
    to fresh winds and moderate seas prevail east of 80W. Light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas prevail west of 80W.
    An upper trough reaches from the eastern Gulf into the northwest
    Caribbean. Divergent flow aloft on the southeast side of the upper
    trough is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms between
    Nicaragua and Jamaica, and off western Cuba.

    For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient between weak high
    pressure currently near Bermuda and the Colombian Low will
    maintain moderate to fresh trade winds over the south-central
    Caribbean through the week. A vigorous upper-level low over the
    eastern Gulf of America will continue to promote scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over the west and northwestern
    Caribbean through midweek.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    For awareness purposes, Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 33.8N
    32.1W at 21/0900 UTC or 350 nm SW of the Azores, moving SSE at 2
    kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb. Estimated minimum
    central pressure is 997 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 55 kt
    with gusts to 65 kt.

    An upper trough reaches from the eastern Gulf into the northwest
    Caribbean. Divergent flow aloft on the southeast side of the upper
    trough is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms from
    the Florida Straits, southeast Florida, and across the central
    and southern Bahamas. A weak pressure gradient prevails across
    the discussion waters. Light to gentle winds prevail across the
    waters west of 45W, except reaching moderate speeds near the
    central and southern Bahamas. Slight to moderate seas prevail over
    these waters. E of 45W, gentle to moderate winds and moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a very weak pressure gradient across the western
    Atlantic will promote variable gentle to moderate winds across
    forecast waters through early Thu. A vigorous upper-level low
    over the Gulf of America and Florida, and abundant tropical
    moisture across the Atlantic will force scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across the waters west of 70W through Wed. Low
    pressure will deepen offshore of the middle Atlantic coast of
    the U.S. late Wed through Fri, allowing a cold front to move
    into the far NW waters and N Florida Thu through Fri. The front
    will be accompanied by increasing winds and the potential for
    large N-NE swell.

    Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Fay will move to 33.2N 32.3W this
    afternoon, 32.3N 33.2W Tue morning, and 31.2N 34.9W Tue
    afternoon. Fay will weaken to a remnant low near 30.4N 36.7W Wed
    morning, then 29.8N 38.4W Wed afternoon, and 29.6N 40.1W Thu
    morning. Fay will change little in intensity as it moves to 29.5N
    43.0W by early Fri.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 08:46:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    582
    AXNT20 KNHC 210846
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Sep 21 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 30W, south of
    18N, moving eastward at around 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    convection is noted with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W, south of
    21N, drifting slowly westward. Scattered moderate convection is
    active on the northern end of the tropical wave from 18N to 21N
    between 43W and 45W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 15N17W to
    09N25W. The ITCZ extends from 07N30W to 04N50W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 10N to 15N and east of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak pressure gradient prevails across the area generating
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the Gulf. An upper
    low centered over west-central Florida is supporting clusters of
    showers and thunderstorms south of Apalachicola, Florida, and
    over the Florida Straits.

    For the forecast, weak surface ridging across the southeastern U.S.
    will maintain generally gentle to moderate winds across the
    basin through midweek. A vigorous upper-level low and associated
    surface trough over the southern Gulf will contribute to
    scattered showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf through
    midweek, with the Straits of Florida the most active area. A cold
    front may sink into the northern Gulf Thu night through Fri,
    leading to a modest increase in winds across the basin.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A relatively weak pressure pattern is across the basin. Moderate
    to fresh winds and moderate seas prevail east of 80W. Light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas prevail west of 80W.
    An upper trough reaches from the eastern Gulf into the northwest
    Caribbean. Divergent flow aloft on the southeast side of the upper
    trough is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms between
    Nicaragua and Jamaica, and off western Cuba.

    For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient between weak high
    pressure currently near Bermuda and the Colombian Low will
    maintain moderate to fresh trade winds over the south-central
    Caribbean through the week. A vigorous upper-level low over the
    eastern Gulf of America will continue to promote scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over the west and northwestern
    Caribbean through midweek.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    For awareness purposes, Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 33.8N
    32.1W at 21/0900 UTC or 350 nm SW of the Azores, moving SSE at 2
    kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 995 mb. Estimated minimum
    central pressure is 997 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 55 kt
    with gusts to 65 kt.

    An upper trough reaches from the eastern Gulf into the northwest
    Caribbean. Divergent flow aloft on the southeast side of the upper
    trough is supporting clusters of showers and thunderstorms from
    the Florida Straits, southeast Florida, and across the central
    and southern Bahamas. A weak pressure gradient prevails across
    the discussion waters. Light to gentle winds prevail across the
    waters west of 45W, except reaching moderate speeds near the
    central and southern Bahamas. Slight to moderate seas prevail over
    these waters. E of 45W, gentle to moderate winds and moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a very weak pressure gradient across the western
    Atlantic will promote variable gentle to moderate winds across
    forecast waters through early Thu. A vigorous upper-level low
    over the Gulf of America and Florida, and abundant tropical
    moisture across the Atlantic will force scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across the waters west of 70W through Wed. Low
    pressure will deepen offshore of the middle Atlantic coast of
    the U.S. late Wed through Fri, allowing a cold front to move
    into the far NW waters and N Florida Thu through Fri. The front
    will be accompanied by increasing winds and the potential for
    large N-NE swell.

    Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Fay will move to 33.2N 32.3W this
    afternoon, 32.3N 33.2W Tue morning, and 31.2N 34.9W Tue
    afternoon. Fay will weaken to a remnant low near 30.4N 36.7W Wed
    morning, then 29.8N 38.4W Wed afternoon, and 29.6N 40.1W Thu
    morning. Fay will change little in intensity as it moves to 29.5N
    43.0W by early Fri.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:52:38 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic


    Tropical Storm Fay 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 21 Sep 2026 09:22:54 GMT
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:52:09 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
    000
    FONT11 KNHC 211452
    PWSAT1
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9              
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026               
    1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2026                                            
                                                                        
    AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
    33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 32.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
    45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                                          
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER PASCH
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:52:09 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 9 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 300 PM GMT Mon Sep 21 2026
    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 211452
    TCDAT1
     
    Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number   9
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    300 PM GMT Mon Sep 21 2026
    
    Fay continues to be affected by strong west-northwesterly vertical 
    wind shear.  Practically all of the deep convection is confined to 
    a band of showers and thunderstorms located well to the 
    east of the well-defined low-level center.  Using a blend of 
    subjective and objective intensity estimates, the advisory 
    intensity is reduced to 45 kt.
    
    Global model simulations show a strong upper-level trough shifting 
    eastward from Fay during the next day or two.  This evolution would 
    allow for some relaxation of the shear, and this is also indicated 
    by the Decay SHIPS model.  However, the model guidance also 
    indicates that the system is likely to encounter a drier low- to 
    mid-level air mass, which should inhibit re-strengthening.  
    Simulated satellite imagery from the ECMWF output shows Fay's deep 
    convection mostly dissipated during the next few days.  Therefore 
    the official forecast, like the previous one, shows the cyclone 
    degenerating into a remnant low by 48 hours.
    
    Fay is now moving southward at around 4 kt, along the eastern side 
    of a mid-level high.  Over the next several days, the cyclone 
    is expected turn southwestward to west-southwestward and move 
    around the southeastern and southern periphery of the high.  This 
    should keep the system over the open Atlantic through dissipation 
    later in the week.  Not much change has been made to the previous 
    NHC track forecast, which remains in good agreement with the Google 
    DeepMind ensemble mean and corrected model consensus, HCCA.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  21/1500Z 33.3N  32.0W   45 KT  50 MPH
     12H  22/0000Z 32.6N  32.5W   40 KT  45 MPH
     24H  22/1200Z 31.6N  33.9W   40 KT  45 MPH
     36H  23/0000Z 30.7N  35.6W   35 KT  40 MPH
     48H  23/1200Z 30.0N  37.4W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  24/0000Z 29.4N  39.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  24/1200Z 29.3N  40.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     96H  25/1200Z 29.3N  43.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    120H  26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:51:53 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Advisory Number 9 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
    600 
    WTNT21 KNHC 211451
    TCMAT1
     
    TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026
    1500 UTC MON SEP 21 2026
     
    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  32.0W AT 21/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
     
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH OR 180 DEGREES AT   4 KT
     
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
    34 KT....... 60NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
    4 M SEAS.... 60NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
     
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N  32.0W AT 21/1500Z
    AT 21/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  31.9W
     
    FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 32.6N  32.5W
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 31.6N  33.9W
    MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
    34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 30.7N  35.6W
    MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
    34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
     
    FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.0N  37.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 29.4N  39.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 29.3N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
     
    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 29.3N  43.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
     
    OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z...DISSIPATED
     
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N  32.0W
     
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/2100Z
     
    $$
    FORECASTER PASCH
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 14:51:53 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 9 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 300 PM GMT Mon Sep 21 2026
    598 
    WTNT31 KNHC 211451
    TCPAT1
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number   9
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    300 PM GMT Mon Sep 21 2026
     
    ...FAY MOVING SLOWLY SOUTHWARD...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...33.3N 32.0W
    ABOUT 430 MI...690 KM SW OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...S OR 180 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
    located near latitude 33.3 North, longitude 32.0 West.  Fay is 
    moving toward the south near 5 mph (7 km/h).  A gradual turn toward 
    the southwest and west-southwest is expected over the next few days.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is forecast, and Fay could
    degenerate to a post-tropical remnant low in a couple of days.
    
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1000 mb (29.53 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 20 Sep 2026 15:43:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 201543
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1145 AM EDT SUN 20 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-112

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. SUSPECT AREA EP99
    FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 42
    A. 21/1600Z
    B. NOAA2 01AAE TDR
    C. 21/1300Z
    D. 15.0N 103.0W
    E. 21/1500Z TO 21/1800Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: BEGIN 12-HOURLY FIXES ON EP99 AT
    22/1800Z IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page