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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 17:14:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 221714
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Sep 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A middle to
    upper-level trough currently extends over the NW Caribbean while
    relatively warm sea surface temperatures are present. In addition,
    a Central American Gyre looks to form over the next several days.
    All of these factors will lead to enhanced moisture funneling
    into Central America and the Caribbean, supporting heavy rainfall
    today through the 26th. There is still some uncertainty regarding
    the exact location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy
    rainfall looks likely across extreme SE Mexico near Chiapas,
    southern and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El Salvador,
    southern and eastern Belize, as well as across portions of Costa
    Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing over western
    Jamaica and into western Cuba as numerous moderate to strong
    convection is seen in the NW Caribbean N of 14N and W of 78W.
    Heavy rainfall in these regions will raise concerns for life-
    threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to local
    weather services as well as the International Desk at the Weather
    Prediction Center for more information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 33W/34W from
    06N to 19N, moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant
    convection is noted with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 21N48W to
    07N54W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active near the southern end of this tropical
    wave from 07N to 11N between 54W and 58W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
    12N16W west-southwestward to 10N40W. The ITCZ is analyzed from
    10N40W to 08N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    noted from 05N to 13N and E of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A very weak pressure gradient prevails across the area generating
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the Gulf. An upper-
    level trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the Florida Straits and the
    eastern Gulf.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate gentle
    to moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. An upper- level
    trough will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
    SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next two days.
    A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night and
    Fri, with little to no increase in the winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
    on convection in the NW Caribbean.

    Outside of convection, a weak pressure pattern is across the
    basin. Moderate to fresh trades along with 3-6 ft seas remain
    east of 80W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail west
    of 80W.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
    to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
    moderate winds elsewhere. An upper- level trough will support
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
    Caribbean for at least the next two days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    For awareness, Tropical Depression Fay is centered near 31.1N
    34.6W at 22/1500 UTC or 560 nm SW of the Azores, moving SW at 9
    kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb. Maximum
    sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Please read the
    latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
    at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    the latest Fay NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the
    Bahamas, off the coast of Florida, and between the Bahamas and
    Bermuda, west of 65W. This activity is due to ample deep layer
    moisture and upper level divergence southeast of an upper trough
    over the Gulf. Another upper low is centered farther east near
    25N50W, interacting with several surface troughs in the central
    Atlantic to support widely scattered showers and thunderstorms N
    of 20N between 40W and 60W. Another surface trough is analyzed E
    of the Lesser Antilles, with scattered moderate convection along
    the trough axis. Outside of convection, a rather weak pressure
    gradient across much of the Atlantic supports mostly gentle to
    moderate trades. Seas of 3 to 6 ft are occurring with these
    trades.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
    support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters through
    Wed night. An upper- level trough will produce scattered showers
    and thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days. A cold
    front will move off the SE United States coast late Wed night and
    extend from 31N72W to the NW Bahamas Fri morning and from 31N69W
    to the central Bahamas Sat morning. Fresh to strong winds and
    increasing seas will follow the front on Thu and Fri, before
    decreasing on Sat.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 17:14:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 221714
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Sep 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A middle to
    upper-level trough currently extends over the NW Caribbean while
    relatively warm sea surface temperatures are present. In addition,
    a Central American Gyre looks to form over the next several days.
    All of these factors will lead to enhanced moisture funneling
    into Central America and the Caribbean, supporting heavy rainfall
    today through the 26th. There is still some uncertainty regarding
    the exact location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy
    rainfall looks likely across extreme SE Mexico near Chiapas,
    southern and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El Salvador,
    southern and eastern Belize, as well as across portions of Costa
    Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing over western
    Jamaica and into western Cuba as numerous moderate to strong
    convection is seen in the NW Caribbean N of 14N and W of 78W.
    Heavy rainfall in these regions will raise concerns for life-
    threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to local
    weather services as well as the International Desk at the Weather
    Prediction Center for more information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 33W/34W from
    06N to 19N, moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant
    convection is noted with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 21N48W to
    07N54W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active near the southern end of this tropical
    wave from 07N to 11N between 54W and 58W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
    12N16W west-southwestward to 10N40W. The ITCZ is analyzed from
    10N40W to 08N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    noted from 05N to 13N and E of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A very weak pressure gradient prevails across the area generating
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the Gulf. An upper-
    level trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the Florida Straits and the
    eastern Gulf.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate gentle
    to moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. An upper- level
    trough will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
    SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next two days.
    A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night and
    Fri, with little to no increase in the winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
    on convection in the NW Caribbean.

    Outside of convection, a weak pressure pattern is across the
    basin. Moderate to fresh trades along with 3-6 ft seas remain
    east of 80W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail west
    of 80W.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
    to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
    moderate winds elsewhere. An upper- level trough will support
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
    Caribbean for at least the next two days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    For awareness, Tropical Depression Fay is centered near 31.1N
    34.6W at 22/1500 UTC or 560 nm SW of the Azores, moving SW at 9
    kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb. Maximum
    sustained wind speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Please read the
    latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
    at website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    the latest Fay NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the
    Bahamas, off the coast of Florida, and between the Bahamas and
    Bermuda, west of 65W. This activity is due to ample deep layer
    moisture and upper level divergence southeast of an upper trough
    over the Gulf. Another upper low is centered farther east near
    25N50W, interacting with several surface troughs in the central
    Atlantic to support widely scattered showers and thunderstorms N
    of 20N between 40W and 60W. Another surface trough is analyzed E
    of the Lesser Antilles, with scattered moderate convection along
    the trough axis. Outside of convection, a rather weak pressure
    gradient across much of the Atlantic supports mostly gentle to
    moderate trades. Seas of 3 to 6 ft are occurring with these
    trades.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
    support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters through
    Wed night. An upper- level trough will produce scattered showers
    and thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days. A cold
    front will move off the SE United States coast late Wed night and
    extend from 31N72W to the NW Bahamas Fri morning and from 31N69W
    to the central Bahamas Sat morning. Fresh to strong winds and
    increasing seas will follow the front on Thu and Fri, before
    decreasing on Sat.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 17:25:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 221725
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Sep 22 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Active Systems:
    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
    downgraded Tropical Depression Fay, located several hundred miles
    southwest of the Azores.

    Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    A tropical wave is forecast to move off the coast of western Africa
    tomorrow. Although upper-level winds are not very conducive, some
    slow development of this system is possible while it moves generally
    northwestward across the far eastern Atlantic. Interests in the
    Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as
    gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are possible there by the end of
    the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 15:23:21 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic


    Tropical Depression Fay 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2026 15:23:21 GMT
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 14:47:20 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Discussion Number 13 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
    662 
    WTNT41 KNHC 221447
    TCDAT1
     
    Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number  13
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
    
    Fay is currently comprised of a swirl of low- to mid-level clouds 
    with no convection. A recent ASCAT-B overpass indicates that the 
    maximum winds are now near 30 kt, and based on this the cyclone is 
    downgraded to a tropical depression. Unless convection comes back 
    in the next several hours, Fay should degenerate into a remnant low 
    later today.
    
    The system is moving southwestward, or 230/9 kt, as it rounds the
    eastern periphery of a low- to mid-level ridge to its west. A turn 
    toward the west-southwest and then the west is expected over the 
    next day or two as the ridge strengthens and builds eastward to the 
    north of Fay. Due to a slight southward shift in the guidance 
    envelope, the new track forecast is a little south of the previous 
    forecast.
    
    Currently, Fay is in an environment of moderate northwesterly shear 
    and dry air entrainment. While the dynamical models forecast the 
    shear to subside during the next 24 h, they also forecast strong 
    upper-level convergence over the system and continued dry air 
    entrainment. Based on this and the model simulated satellite 
    imagery, it appears unlikely that Fay will re-develop persistent 
    organized convection after the shear decreases. Thus, the new 
    intensity forecast follows the old forecast in showing a gradual 
    weakening of the remnant low until dissipation near 120 h.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  22/1500Z 31.1N  34.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
     12H  23/0000Z 30.5N  35.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     24H  23/1200Z 29.9N  37.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     36H  24/0000Z 29.5N  39.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  24/1200Z 29.4N  41.6W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  25/0000Z 29.5N  43.1W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  25/1200Z 29.5N  44.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     96H  26/1200Z 30.0N  46.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    120H  27/1200Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 14:46:51 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 13 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026
    000
    FONT11 KNHC 221446
    PWSAT1
                                                                        
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  13         
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026               
    1500 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026                                            
                                                                        
    AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR     
    LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 34.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER BEVEN
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 14:46:51 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Public Advisory Number 13 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 221446
    TCPAT1
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Fay Advisory Number  13
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    300 PM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
     
    ...FAY WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION...
    ...FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...31.1N 34.6W
    ABOUT 645 MI...1035 KM SW OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was
    located near latitude 31.1 North, longitude 34.6 West. The
    depression is moving toward the southwest near 10 mph (17 km/h). A 
    gradual turn toward the west-southwest and then west is expected 
    through midweek.
     
    Recent satellite wind data indicate that maximum sustained winds 
    are now near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Fay is likely to 
    degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low today.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 16:42:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 221642
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1245 PM EDT TUE 22 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-115 AMENDMENT

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE POLO
    FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 42 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 71
    A. 23/1800Z A. 24/0600Z
    B. NOAA2 0317E POLO B. AFXXX 0417E POLO
    C. 23/1300Z C. 24/0130Z
    D. 15.7N 102.3W D. 16.4N 103.5W
    E. 23/1700Z TO 24/2000Z E. 24/0500Z TO 24/0830Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR G. FIX AND BUOY RELEASE
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
    I. N/A I. 5 A-SIZED BUOYS WILL BE
    RELEASED ON THE NW SIDE OF
    POLO FOLLOWING THE FIX
    (AMENDED).

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
    A. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO HURRICANE
    POLO FOR 24/1800Z.
    B. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    15-E NEAR 15.7N 153.6W FOR 25/0600Z.

    3. REMARKS:
    A. DURING THE NOAA 42 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 23/1800Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
    WITHIN THE STORM ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW
    5,000 FT FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
    B. NOAA 43 WILL CONDUCT A 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO
    HURRICANE POLO ON WEDNESDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 23/1500Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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