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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 22:17:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 302217
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Oct 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 06N31W, where
    it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to near
    06N42.5W. Then, another portion of the ITCZ extends from 10N50.5W
    to 11N61.5W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 07N
    to 14N and E of 28W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A tight pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern
    United States, a surface trough over the Bahamas and a trough
    over the south-central Gulf are supporting moderate to fresh
    northeast to east winds across the northeast and north-central
    Gulf. Moderate seas to 7 ft are with these winds. Moderate or
    weaker winds prevails elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas across the
    northeast and north- central Gulf into Mon. Looking ahead, expect
    a cold front to enter the northwest Gulf Tue night, and move
    slowly southeastward, reaching the east-central Gulf Wed night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the Gulf and
    Atlantic and lower pressure over Colombia supports fresh to strong
    trades and 5-7 ft seas in the south-central Caribbean and Gulf of
    Venezuela. Mainly moderate trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail across
    the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean, with gentle to
    moderate or weaker winds and slight seas elsewhere. A surface
    trough analyzed from Jamaica to the north coast of Panama supports
    scattered moderate convection over the southwestern Caribbean.
    Scattered moderate convection is also occurring in the E
    Caribbean, driven by convergent surface winds and an upper- level
    trough.

    For the forecast, a lingering frontal trough extends from 1012 mb
    low pres NE of Bermuda southwestward to 27N79W, allowing for a
    modest pressure gradient to the south, and across the Caribbean
    basin. The low pres will shift NE through the weekend, with strong
    high pressure building into the western Atlantic, and forcing the
    frontal trough southward to the central Bahamas Sun through early
    Mon. Expect moderate to fresh trades over the central and eastern
    Caribbean to continue through Mon, with small areas of strong
    winds near the coast of Colombia and NW Venezuela. Winds and seas
    are expected to diminish basin- wide late Mon through Wed as broad
    low pressure develops across the Atlantic well NE of the Bahamas.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1012 mb low is analyzed north of the area near 33N62W. A cold
    front extends from this low to the waters north of the Turks and
    Caicos. A stationary front also extends from this low to 31N55W
    to 22N37W to 31N25W. A surface trough extends from 30N66W to north
    of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas of 6-11 ft
    prevail N of the large stationary front and surface trough.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near the cold front,
    generally N of 22N between 58W and 72W. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are also along the stationary front N of 25N between
    19W and the front. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate or
    weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, 1012 mb low pres NE of Bermuda
    extends a cold front S then SW to the Turks and Caicos Islands,
    while a lingering frontal trough extends from the low pres through
    31N63W to near 27N79W. Fresh to strong NE to E winds with rough
    seas as high as 12 ft will persist north of the frontal trough
    into next week, as the low pressure moves northeastward, and
    strong high pressure gradually builds into the western Atlantic.
    This will reinvigorate the frontal trough and force it
    southeastward, where it will stall near 24N Sun through early Mon,
    then lift northward late Mon through Wed as broad low pressure
    develops well NE of the Bahamas.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 22:17:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 302217
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Oct 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 06N31W, where
    it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to near
    06N42.5W. Then, another portion of the ITCZ extends from 10N50.5W
    to 11N61.5W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 07N
    to 14N and E of 28W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A tight pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern
    United States, a surface trough over the Bahamas and a trough
    over the south-central Gulf are supporting moderate to fresh
    northeast to east winds across the northeast and north-central
    Gulf. Moderate seas to 7 ft are with these winds. Moderate or
    weaker winds prevails elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas across the
    northeast and north- central Gulf into Mon. Looking ahead, expect
    a cold front to enter the northwest Gulf Tue night, and move
    slowly southeastward, reaching the east-central Gulf Wed night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the Gulf and
    Atlantic and lower pressure over Colombia supports fresh to strong
    trades and 5-7 ft seas in the south-central Caribbean and Gulf of
    Venezuela. Mainly moderate trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail across
    the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean, with gentle to
    moderate or weaker winds and slight seas elsewhere. A surface
    trough analyzed from Jamaica to the north coast of Panama supports
    scattered moderate convection over the southwestern Caribbean.
    Scattered moderate convection is also occurring in the E
    Caribbean, driven by convergent surface winds and an upper- level
    trough.

    For the forecast, a lingering frontal trough extends from 1012 mb
    low pres NE of Bermuda southwestward to 27N79W, allowing for a
    modest pressure gradient to the south, and across the Caribbean
    basin. The low pres will shift NE through the weekend, with strong
    high pressure building into the western Atlantic, and forcing the
    frontal trough southward to the central Bahamas Sun through early
    Mon. Expect moderate to fresh trades over the central and eastern
    Caribbean to continue through Mon, with small areas of strong
    winds near the coast of Colombia and NW Venezuela. Winds and seas
    are expected to diminish basin- wide late Mon through Wed as broad
    low pressure develops across the Atlantic well NE of the Bahamas.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1012 mb low is analyzed north of the area near 33N62W. A cold
    front extends from this low to the waters north of the Turks and
    Caicos. A stationary front also extends from this low to 31N55W
    to 22N37W to 31N25W. A surface trough extends from 30N66W to north
    of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and seas of 6-11 ft
    prevail N of the large stationary front and surface trough.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near the cold front,
    generally N of 22N between 58W and 72W. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are also along the stationary front N of 25N between
    19W and the front. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate or
    weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, 1012 mb low pres NE of Bermuda
    extends a cold front S then SW to the Turks and Caicos Islands,
    while a lingering frontal trough extends from the low pres through
    31N63W to near 27N79W. Fresh to strong NE to E winds with rough
    seas as high as 12 ft will persist north of the frontal trough
    into next week, as the low pressure moves northeastward, and
    strong high pressure gradually builds into the western Atlantic.
    This will reinvigorate the frontal trough and force it
    southeastward, where it will stall near 24N Sun through early Mon,
    then lift northward late Mon through Wed as broad low pressure
    develops well NE of the Bahamas.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 01 Nov 2026 11:08:37 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 31 Oct 2026 02:36:52 GMT
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 23:08:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 302308
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 13:00:04 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 301259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT FRI 30 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 31/1100Z OCTOBER TO 01/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-152

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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