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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 05:00:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
751
AXNT20 KNHC 260500
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.9N 43.4W at 26/0300 UTC or
about 1755 KM or 950 NM W-SW of the Azores, moving W-SW at 6 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas to 18 ft are
occurring within 60 NM nm across the N semicircle. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 29N to 30.5N between 42W and
43.5W. A gradual turn toward the S-SW is expected over the next
few days. Fay is expected to maintain it current strength
overnight then a slow weakening trend will begin through the
weekend, before the surface circulation opens up into a trough by
Tue.
Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 16.9N 22.5W at 26/0300
UTC or about 50 KM or 30 nm E-NE of Sal, Cabo Verde, moving N at
8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are
near 19 ft within 210 nm NE of center. Numerous strong convection
is noted from 17N to 21N between 17W and 22W. A general northward
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, with a
slower forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the
center will past across the northeastern portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands tonight and move north of the islands on Sat.
Gradual weakening is expected tonight through Sat as southerly
vertical wind shear continues to impact the storm through the
weekend. Gonzalo is expected to lose convection and become post
tropical by Sat night. Swells generated by the storm are expected
to affect the Cabo Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells
are likely to cause large and powerful surf and life- threatening
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Very Large NE Swell: A cold front extends from near 31N71W
through the north-central Bahamas and to the NW coast of Cuba.
Deepening low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast of the U.S.
has produce gale to storm force N to NE winds pointing toward
Florida and the SE U.S. coast, and generating large swell. This
swell is propagating into the area behind the cold front,
producing seas of 8 to 13 ft generally to the N of 26W and W of
70W. The highest seas of 12 to 13 ft are occurring in the
Gulfstream offshore of northern Florida, N of 29N. Buoy 41010 at
28.9N 78.5W 120 NM east of Cape Canaveral is showing 10 ft seas as
of 0300 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas
will follow the front through Sat morning, before starting to
subside through Sun morning.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America and Southern Mexico: A deep-
layer trough extending from the Yucatan Channel southwestward
across southern Mexico, combined with abundant low- level
moisture, is leading to heavy rainfall across portions of the
Central America from Costa Rica to Guatemala, and portions of
Chiapas and Campeche, Mexico. Rainfall amounts in this region
will create the potential for life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides through Sat, before the upper level system responsible
for the rainfall shifts into the eastern Pacific. Please refer to
local weather services as well as the International Desk at the
Weather Prediction Center at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/international/intl2.sthml for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 60W, from 06N to 17N, moving
west near 15 kt. The wave is being sheared by an upper-level low
center across the NE Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10.5N to 19.5N between 58W and 65W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave axis is along 79W, S of 15N,
extending across Panama, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is ahead of the wave, S of
13.5N W of 81.5W and inland across Central America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from just S-SW of Gonzalo near 15N23W
to 11N27W to 08.5N37W. The ITCZ extends from 08N39W to 11.5N55W to
10.5N60W. Aside from convection associated with Gonzalo and the
tropical waves, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 08N to 13N between 20W and 29W, from 05N to 07.5N
between 32W and 44W. and from 10N to 13N between 47.5W and 56W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak cold front has continued to move southward across the
eastern Gulf and Florida, and now extends from the NW coast of
Cuba near La Habana to 24N90W, then becomes stationary and
continues NW to the central Texas coast in the area of Victoria.
Widely scattered clusters of moderate convection are found within
120 nm S of the front between western Cuba and 96W. Moderate N-NE
to E-NE winds are N of this boundary E of 90W, while moderate E
winds are also within 75 nm N of the front between 90W and 96W.
Gentle E to NE winds are occurring to the south of the front. Seas
N of the front are generally 3 to 5 ft, and 2 to 3 ft to the south.
For the forecast, the weak cold front will begin to stall across
eastern portions of the Gulf tonight and then dissipate into Sat.
Moderate to locally NE to E fresh winds will follow the front
tonight. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail through
Sat night. Winds will diminish slightly Sun into early next week
as weak high pressure settle across the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See the Special Features section above for information on heavy
rainfall over portions of Central America and southern Mexico
expected tonight into Sat.
A weaker than usual pressure gradient across the nearby Atlantic
and Caribbean basin is translating to gentle to moderate trades
over most of the basin, with the exception of fresh east winds
offshore western Venezuela and NE Colombia. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in
the south-central Caribbean, 2 ft or less in the NW, and 2 to 4
ft elsewhere. A middle to upper-level low center is over the NE
Caribbean and promoting sinking air and stable conditions across
much of central portions. Scattered moderate convection across
across most of the Gulf of Honduras to 19N. and across the waters
between Jamaica and eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, the continued weak pressure gradient across the
region will support moderate to fresh trades over the south-
central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Slight
to moderate seas will be over the NW Caribbean with moderate seas
elsewhere. Active showers and thunderstorms over NW portions
tonight will gradually shift eastward to the central Caribbean
through Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storms Fay and Gonzalo, and on significant swell propagating
southward into waters offshore Florida and NE of the Bahamas to
68W.
A vigorous upper-level trough along the eastern seaboard of the
U.S. supports the deep low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast,
and a cold front across the western Atlantic waters from 31N71W to
the north-central Bahamas to the NW coast of Cuba. Scattered to
locally numerous moderate isolated strong convection is occurring
SE of the front to the Greater Antilles W of 70W and E of the
front to 66.5W. Moderate to fresh SW winds are occurring N of 26N
and ahead of the front to 64W, where seas are 5 to 9 ft in N
swell. Behind the front, moderate to locally fresh N to N-NE winds
prevail with recent satellite scatterometer data showing strongest
winds along most of the Florida coastal waters. Seas are 8 to 13
ft in mostly N to NE swell. To the east, as surface trough that
extends from 28N58W to 23N61W is supported by a mid level low and
is inducing numerous moderate convection from 23N to 28N between
54W and 60W. E of this area, high pressure across the NE Atlantic
drapes across Tropical Storm Fay. The weak pressure gradient to
the south continues to yield a belt of moderate trades from 10N to
20N W of 40W to the Lesser Antilles, where seas are 5 to 6 ft.
Farther E, moderate to fresh NE to E winds prevail N of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 25W and 40W, where seas are 5 to 89
ft in NE swell from Gonzalo. Otherwise mainly gentle winds
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
drift SE and reach from near Bermuda to central Cuba Sat night
before starting to weaken. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected along the frontal boundary. Fresh to
strong winds and rough to very rough seas in large N to NE swell will
follow the front through Sat morning, before subsiding through Sun
morning.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 05:00:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
751
AXNT20 KNHC 260500
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Sep 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.9N 43.4W at 26/0300 UTC or
about 1755 KM or 950 NM W-SW of the Azores, moving W-SW at 6 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas to 18 ft are
occurring within 60 NM nm across the N semicircle. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 29N to 30.5N between 42W and
43.5W. A gradual turn toward the S-SW is expected over the next
few days. Fay is expected to maintain it current strength
overnight then a slow weakening trend will begin through the
weekend, before the surface circulation opens up into a trough by
Tue.
Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 16.9N 22.5W at 26/0300
UTC or about 50 KM or 30 nm E-NE of Sal, Cabo Verde, moving N at
8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb. Maximum
sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak seas are
near 19 ft within 210 nm NE of center. Numerous strong convection
is noted from 17N to 21N between 17W and 22W. A general northward
motion is expected to continue for the next day or so, with a
slower forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the
center will past across the northeastern portions of the Cabo
Verde Islands tonight and move north of the islands on Sat.
Gradual weakening is expected tonight through Sat as southerly
vertical wind shear continues to impact the storm through the
weekend. Gonzalo is expected to lose convection and become post
tropical by Sat night. Swells generated by the storm are expected
to affect the Cabo Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells
are likely to cause large and powerful surf and life- threatening
rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local
weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Very Large NE Swell: A cold front extends from near 31N71W
through the north-central Bahamas and to the NW coast of Cuba.
Deepening low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast of the U.S.
has produce gale to storm force N to NE winds pointing toward
Florida and the SE U.S. coast, and generating large swell. This
swell is propagating into the area behind the cold front,
producing seas of 8 to 13 ft generally to the N of 26W and W of
70W. The highest seas of 12 to 13 ft are occurring in the
Gulfstream offshore of northern Florida, N of 29N. Buoy 41010 at
28.9N 78.5W 120 NM east of Cape Canaveral is showing 10 ft seas as
of 0300 UTC. Fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas
will follow the front through Sat morning, before starting to
subside through Sun morning.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America and Southern Mexico: A deep-
layer trough extending from the Yucatan Channel southwestward
across southern Mexico, combined with abundant low- level
moisture, is leading to heavy rainfall across portions of the
Central America from Costa Rica to Guatemala, and portions of
Chiapas and Campeche, Mexico. Rainfall amounts in this region
will create the potential for life-threatening flash flooding and
landslides through Sat, before the upper level system responsible
for the rainfall shifts into the eastern Pacific. Please refer to
local weather services as well as the International Desk at the
Weather Prediction Center at
https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/international/intl2.sthml for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 60W, from 06N to 17N, moving
west near 15 kt. The wave is being sheared by an upper-level low
center across the NE Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10.5N to 19.5N between 58W and 65W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave axis is along 79W, S of 15N,
extending across Panama, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is ahead of the wave, S of
13.5N W of 81.5W and inland across Central America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from just S-SW of Gonzalo near 15N23W
to 11N27W to 08.5N37W. The ITCZ extends from 08N39W to 11.5N55W to
10.5N60W. Aside from convection associated with Gonzalo and the
tropical waves, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 08N to 13N between 20W and 29W, from 05N to 07.5N
between 32W and 44W. and from 10N to 13N between 47.5W and 56W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak cold front has continued to move southward across the
eastern Gulf and Florida, and now extends from the NW coast of
Cuba near La Habana to 24N90W, then becomes stationary and
continues NW to the central Texas coast in the area of Victoria.
Widely scattered clusters of moderate convection are found within
120 nm S of the front between western Cuba and 96W. Moderate N-NE
to E-NE winds are N of this boundary E of 90W, while moderate E
winds are also within 75 nm N of the front between 90W and 96W.
Gentle E to NE winds are occurring to the south of the front. Seas
N of the front are generally 3 to 5 ft, and 2 to 3 ft to the south.
For the forecast, the weak cold front will begin to stall across
eastern portions of the Gulf tonight and then dissipate into Sat.
Moderate to locally NE to E fresh winds will follow the front
tonight. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail through
Sat night. Winds will diminish slightly Sun into early next week
as weak high pressure settle across the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See the Special Features section above for information on heavy
rainfall over portions of Central America and southern Mexico
expected tonight into Sat.
A weaker than usual pressure gradient across the nearby Atlantic
and Caribbean basin is translating to gentle to moderate trades
over most of the basin, with the exception of fresh east winds
offshore western Venezuela and NE Colombia. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in
the south-central Caribbean, 2 ft or less in the NW, and 2 to 4
ft elsewhere. A middle to upper-level low center is over the NE
Caribbean and promoting sinking air and stable conditions across
much of central portions. Scattered moderate convection across
across most of the Gulf of Honduras to 19N. and across the waters
between Jamaica and eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, the continued weak pressure gradient across the
region will support moderate to fresh trades over the south-
central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Slight
to moderate seas will be over the NW Caribbean with moderate seas
elsewhere. Active showers and thunderstorms over NW portions
tonight will gradually shift eastward to the central Caribbean
through Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storms Fay and Gonzalo, and on significant swell propagating
southward into waters offshore Florida and NE of the Bahamas to
68W.
A vigorous upper-level trough along the eastern seaboard of the
U.S. supports the deep low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast,
and a cold front across the western Atlantic waters from 31N71W to
the north-central Bahamas to the NW coast of Cuba. Scattered to
locally numerous moderate isolated strong convection is occurring
SE of the front to the Greater Antilles W of 70W and E of the
front to 66.5W. Moderate to fresh SW winds are occurring N of 26N
and ahead of the front to 64W, where seas are 5 to 9 ft in N
swell. Behind the front, moderate to locally fresh N to N-NE winds
prevail with recent satellite scatterometer data showing strongest
winds along most of the Florida coastal waters. Seas are 8 to 13
ft in mostly N to NE swell. To the east, as surface trough that
extends from 28N58W to 23N61W is supported by a mid level low and
is inducing numerous moderate convection from 23N to 28N between
54W and 60W. E of this area, high pressure across the NE Atlantic
drapes across Tropical Storm Fay. The weak pressure gradient to
the south continues to yield a belt of moderate trades from 10N to
20N W of 40W to the Lesser Antilles, where seas are 5 to 6 ft.
Farther E, moderate to fresh NE to E winds prevail N of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 25W and 40W, where seas are 5 to 89
ft in NE swell from Gonzalo. Otherwise mainly gentle winds
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
drift SE and reach from near Bermuda to central Cuba Sat night
before starting to weaken. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected along the frontal boundary. Fresh to
strong winds and rough to very rough seas in large N to NE swell will
follow the front through Sat morning, before subsiding through Sun
morning.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 05:23:20 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 260523
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Sep 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Gonzalo, located just east-northeast of the Cabo Verde
Islands, and on Tropical Storm Fay, located well to the
west-southwest of the Azores.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pierce/Evans/Berg - Sat, 26 Sep 2026 03:28:46 +0000: Tropical Storm Gonzalo Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 26 Sep 2026 03:28:46 GMT - Sat, 26 Sep 2026 03:22:56 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 26 Sep 2026 03:22:55 GMT - Sat, 26 Sep 2026 02:59:48 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 24 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 AM GMT Sat Sep 26 2026938 WTNT41 KNHC 260259 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 24 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 AM GMT Sat Sep 26 2026 Fay's structure is falling apart once again. Satellite imagery shows that most of the deep convection has disappeared over the past several hours. Recent ASCAT data returned a maximum wind retrieval of just 24 kt, but given the low bias of the ASCAT due to its resolution, and the fact that all of the recent subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates still support tropical storm intensity, the initial intensity is set at a possibly generous 35 kt. The initial motion remains slow, at 260/3 kt. Steering winds are expected to remain light as Fay sits within the Atlantic subtropical high, with a turn to the south-southwest expected within the next 24 h as the storm meanders into the southern flank of the high. Track forecast models are generally in good agreement for the first 48 h, before exhibiting larger spread thereafter as Fay moves away from the influence of the subtropical high. Skilled models suggest that Fay could be picked up by the prevailing easterlies by early next week, but the latest forecast calls for Fay to dissipate by then. Fay has been difficult to forecast, as global models continue to depict recurring cycles of diurnal convection, which have allowed Fay to gain a second wind, so to speak, even as environmental conditions become increasingly hostile. This is likely due to SSTs remaining favorable for the storm, even as SHIPS guidance suggest that mid-level moisture is lacking and vertical wind shear remains moderate. Intensity guidance also depicts another re-strengthening of Fay just beyond 48 h, likely due to vertical wind shear relenting. The current thinking behind the forecast, however, is that with Fay weak enough as it is, the current environment will continue to degrade its structure and inhibit its ability to restrengthen. As a result, the latest intensity forecast is relatively conservative, holding Fay's strength somewhat steady as it undergoes these cycles of nocturnal convection, before the storm is expected to open up into a trough by Tuesday. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/0300Z 29.9N 43.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 26/1200Z 30.0N 43.6W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 27/0000Z 29.9N 43.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 36H 27/1200Z 29.2N 43.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 28/0000Z 28.3N 44.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 28/1200Z 27.2N 44.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 29/0000Z 25.4N 44.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Evans/Hagen
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 02:59:16 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 24 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 0300 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026000 FONT11 KNHC 260259 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 0300 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER EVANS/HAGEN
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 18:55:11 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 251855
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0255 PM EDT FRI 25 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-118 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS (NO CHANGES)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE NOLO (NO CHANGES)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - 79
A. 26/1430Z,1730Z,2030Z A. 26/2330Z,27/0230Z,0530Z
B. AFXXX 0515E NOLO B. AFXXX 0615E NOLO
C. 26/1300Z C. 26/2215Z
D. 17.1N 155.7W D. 17.1N 156.3W
E. 26/1400Z TO 26/2030Z E. 26/2300Z TO 27/0530Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 77
A. 27/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0715E NOLO
C. 27/1015Z
D. 16.9N 157.8W
E. 27/1100Z TO 27/1730Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. HURRICANE POLO
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 43
A. 27/0000Z
B. NOAA3 0317E POLO
C. 26/2000Z (CHANGED)
D. 18.9N 112.7W
E. 26/2130Z TO 27/0100Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR & FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
3. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: (NO CHANGES)
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON NOLO IF SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.
B. NOAA 42 AND 43 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR AND FIX MISSIONS INTO
POLO FOR 27/1800Z AND 28/0600Z, DEPARTING KHRL AT 27/1300Z
AND 28/0100Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf