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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 14 Jan 2026 08:22:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140822
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Jan 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 06N17W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to 02N24W to 02N35W to the north coast
of Brazil at 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
02N to 07N between 39W and 50.5W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A trough is analyzed from just offshore Texas near 28N97W to
just inland Mexico at 18N94W. High pressure of 1019 mb is analyzed
in the NW Gulf offshore Texas at 27N94.5W. Winds are mainly gentle
to locally moderate in anticyclonic flow across the basin. Seas
are in the 1-3 ft range N of 25N, and 3-6 ft range S of 26N in
residual N-NE swell.
For the forecast, moderate or lighter winds will prevail across
the basin through early this morning. The next cold front will
move into the Gulf later today and tonight. The front will shift
quickly southeast of the basin by Thu evening, and will be
followed by increasing winds and building seas. Conditions will
improve Thu night into the weekend. A reinforcing surge of fresh
to strong northerly winds may impact the basin late in the
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Broad ridging NE of the basin and 1010 mb low pressure over
northern Colombian near 08.5N75.5W supports fresh to strong NE-E
winds in the S-central Caribbean and moderate to fresh winds
elsewhere in the central Caribbean S of 20N, with seas of 5-8 ft,
highest near the N coast of Colombia. Winds are mainly moderate or
weaker across the remainder of the basin, locally fresh near the
Windward Passage., with seas in the 3-6 ft range.
For the forecast, pulsing of fresh to strong winds offshore of NW
Colombia will diminish by Thu, then return this weekend.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will prevail through tonight.
A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Thu, stall from E
Cuba to Honduras on Fri, and dissipate on Sat. The pressure
gradient may tighten in the wake of the front later in the
upcoming weekend and early next week leading to increasing winds
and building seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N57W to the Central Bahamas and
the Straits of Florida at 24N80W. Some scattered moderate
convection is noted on satellite imagery N of 27N between 56W and
61W. Winds are mainly moderate or weaker W of a line from 31N53W
to Puerto Rico, except locally fresh near the Windward Passage.
Seas are in the 3-6 ft range W of 70W in N-NE swell, and 5-7 ft
between 55W and 70W. Moderate to fresh, locally strong trades are
noted S of 28N and E of 45W, where seas are 7-11 ft in mixed
swell. Winds are mainly moderate or weaker elsewhere with 5-7 ft
seas in mixed swells.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
31N62W to the central Bahamas and western Cuba will gradually
dissipate early today. A pre-frontal trough will emerge off the
coast of NE Florida later this morning and quickly move eastward,
accompanied by fresh to strong winds with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N. The next cold front will enter the NW
waters by Thu morning, reaching from near Bermuda to the SE
Bahamas Fri morning, and extending from 31N59W to 25N70W Sat
morning where it will stall and weaken. Widespread fresh to strong
winds will accompany the front through Fri. Winds are forecast to
reach gale force Thu night east of the front and N of 29N. A
reinforcing front may impact the basin late in the upcoming
weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 14 Jan 2026 08:22:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140822
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Jan 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic along the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W and extends southwestward to 06N17W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to 02N24W to 02N35W to the north coast
of Brazil at 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
02N to 07N between 39W and 50.5W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A trough is analyzed from just offshore Texas near 28N97W to
just inland Mexico at 18N94W. High pressure of 1019 mb is analyzed
in the NW Gulf offshore Texas at 27N94.5W. Winds are mainly gentle
to locally moderate in anticyclonic flow across the basin. Seas
are in the 1-3 ft range N of 25N, and 3-6 ft range S of 26N in
residual N-NE swell.
For the forecast, moderate or lighter winds will prevail across
the basin through early this morning. The next cold front will
move into the Gulf later today and tonight. The front will shift
quickly southeast of the basin by Thu evening, and will be
followed by increasing winds and building seas. Conditions will
improve Thu night into the weekend. A reinforcing surge of fresh
to strong northerly winds may impact the basin late in the
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Broad ridging NE of the basin and 1010 mb low pressure over
northern Colombian near 08.5N75.5W supports fresh to strong NE-E
winds in the S-central Caribbean and moderate to fresh winds
elsewhere in the central Caribbean S of 20N, with seas of 5-8 ft,
highest near the N coast of Colombia. Winds are mainly moderate or
weaker across the remainder of the basin, locally fresh near the
Windward Passage., with seas in the 3-6 ft range.
For the forecast, pulsing of fresh to strong winds offshore of NW
Colombia will diminish by Thu, then return this weekend.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will prevail through tonight.
A cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Thu, stall from E
Cuba to Honduras on Fri, and dissipate on Sat. The pressure
gradient may tighten in the wake of the front later in the
upcoming weekend and early next week leading to increasing winds
and building seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N57W to the Central Bahamas and
the Straits of Florida at 24N80W. Some scattered moderate
convection is noted on satellite imagery N of 27N between 56W and
61W. Winds are mainly moderate or weaker W of a line from 31N53W
to Puerto Rico, except locally fresh near the Windward Passage.
Seas are in the 3-6 ft range W of 70W in N-NE swell, and 5-7 ft
between 55W and 70W. Moderate to fresh, locally strong trades are
noted S of 28N and E of 45W, where seas are 7-11 ft in mixed
swell. Winds are mainly moderate or weaker elsewhere with 5-7 ft
seas in mixed swells.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
31N62W to the central Bahamas and western Cuba will gradually
dissipate early today. A pre-frontal trough will emerge off the
coast of NE Florida later this morning and quickly move eastward,
accompanied by fresh to strong winds with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N. The next cold front will enter the NW
waters by Thu morning, reaching from near Bermuda to the SE
Bahamas Fri morning, and extending from 31N59W to 25N70W Sat
morning where it will stall and weaken. Widespread fresh to strong
winds will accompany the front through Fri. Winds are forecast to
reach gale force Thu night east of the front and N of 29N. A
reinforcing front may impact the basin late in the upcoming
weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 14 Jan 2026 09:20:07 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 13 Jan 2026 17:00:50 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131700
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EST TUE 13 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-044
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
16/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf