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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 18:05:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
926
AXNT20 KNHC 231804
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Former Tropical Storm Fay):
The remnant low pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 30.5N37.5W.
Winds of 20-25 kt continue within 180 nm across the N semicircle,
where buoy observations suggest seas are 7 to 10 ft. Scattered
moderate convection has increased in recent hours, and within 90
nm across the NE semicircle of the low. While environmental
conditions are only marginally conducive for development, this
system could become a tropical depression again today or tonight
if the current thunderstorm activity persists. The system is
forecast to move westward during the next couple of days, and by
the weekend upper-level winds should inhibit formation chances.
This system has a high chance of formation in the next 48 hours.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa and
has been analyzed along 18W, S of 15W. Satellite derived winds
also depicted a low along the wave axis near 09N15W. Numerous
moderate convection is noted from 07.5N to 13N and east of 22W.
This area of low pressure is gradually becoming better defined,
and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased
since yesterday. This system could become a short-lived tropical
depression on Thursday or Friday while it moves northwestward to
northward. However, strong upper-level winds should end the
opportunity for development by the weekend. Interests in the Cabo
Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty
winds, areas of heavy rain and flash flooding is possible there by
Friday. This system has a medium chance of formation in the next
48 hours.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A mid to
upper-level trough currently extends from the eastern Gulf of
America across the Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while
relatively warm sea surface temperatures and abundant low level
moisture are present. An elongated low level trough will prevail
across this area during the next several days, and aid in
funneling enhanced tropical moisture across Central America and
the western Caribbean, supporting periods of heavy rainfall
through Sat the 26th. There is still some uncertainty regarding
the exact location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy
rainfall looks likely across extreme southeastern Mexico near
Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El
Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as well as across portions
of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing
from the NW coastal waters of Jamaica, westward across the Cayman
Islands to 87W and then northward across east-central Cuba to
Andros Island in the Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection are
elsewhere across the Gulf of Honduras, and the remainder of the
Bahamas. Heavy rainfall in these regions will create the
possibility of life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.
Please refer to local weather services as well as the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa and
has been analyzed along 18W, S of 15W. Please refer to the Special
Features section above for more information on this tropical wave.
An Atlantic tropical
wave is analyzed along 45W, S of 16N, moving westward at 15 kt.
Isolated moderate convection is from 09.5N to 12N between 42.5W
and 46W.
An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 60W south of 15N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
depicted south of 09N and west of 58W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits Africa near 12N16.5W and extends
southwestward to 07N48W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
continues to 09N58W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 22W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak pressure gradient remains across the Gulf basin as
weakening high pressure across the SE U.S. extends a ridge across
the northern Gulf. A broad and persistent middle to upper-level
trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting very active
thunderstorms over portions of the NW Caribbean and across eastern
Cuba into the Bahamas, while convection across the Gulf has
diminished in recent hours, with widely scattered moderate
convection across the Straits of Florida and into the SW Florida
waters across the Fort Meyers area. A weak surface trough lingers
from central Florida into the the SW Gulf to the Yucatan Channel.
The current surface pattern is generally producing light to
gentle easterly winds and slight seas across the Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate gentle
to moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. An upper-level
trough will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next couple of
days. A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night
and Fri. The front will shift southward before stalling over the
SE Gulf this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
on impactful weather across the northwestern Caribbean.
Outside of the active convection across the NW Caribbean, fair
weather dominates most of the basin. Scattered showers accompany a
low-level trough moving across the Virgin Islands. At the
surface, a weak pressure pattern prevails across the basin.
Moderate trades prevail across most of the basin, where seas are 2
to 4 ft, while fresh winds are S of 14N to the coasts of NW
Venezuela and extreme NE Colombia, where seas are 4 to 6 ft.
Outside of convection, light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere. An upper-level trough will support
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for at least the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for more
information on the Central Subtropical Atlantic system (Former
Tropical Storm Fay).
Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across
the NW Caribbean, across eastern Cuba and over much of the Bahamas
and adjacent Atlantic waters W of 67W. This activity is occurring
due to the combination of ample moisture across the area and
unstable conditions created by the persistent and deep layered
upper trough across the eastern Gulf of America and NW Caribbean.
Another upper-level low is drifting westward near 25N50W. This
feature is interacting with several surface troughs in the central
Atlantic resulting in an area of scattered moderate convection
from 22N to 28N between 46W and 53.5W. Outside of this convection,
a weak pressure gradient continues across much of the Atlantic.
This pattern is sustaining mostly gentle to moderate trades S of
20N and variable light to gentle winds elsewhere W of 35W, except
for moderate SE to S winds over the area N of 26.5N between 57W
and 73W. Seas are 3 to 5 ft across this. Elsewhere, seas are 4 to
6 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters through
tonight. An upper- level trough will produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days. A cold
front will move off the SE United States coast late tonight. The
front will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the
straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken. Fresh to
strong winds and increasing seas will follow the front on Thu and
Fri, before decreasing on Sat.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 18:05:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
926
AXNT20 KNHC 231804
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Subtropical Atlantic (Former Tropical Storm Fay):
The remnant low pressure of 1013 mb is centered near 30.5N37.5W.
Winds of 20-25 kt continue within 180 nm across the N semicircle,
where buoy observations suggest seas are 7 to 10 ft. Scattered
moderate convection has increased in recent hours, and within 90
nm across the NE semicircle of the low. While environmental
conditions are only marginally conducive for development, this
system could become a tropical depression again today or tonight
if the current thunderstorm activity persists. The system is
forecast to move westward during the next couple of days, and by
the weekend upper-level winds should inhibit formation chances.
This system has a high chance of formation in the next 48 hours.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa and
has been analyzed along 18W, S of 15W. Satellite derived winds
also depicted a low along the wave axis near 09N15W. Numerous
moderate convection is noted from 07.5N to 13N and east of 22W.
This area of low pressure is gradually becoming better defined,
and the associated shower and thunderstorm activity has increased
since yesterday. This system could become a short-lived tropical
depression on Thursday or Friday while it moves northwestward to
northward. However, strong upper-level winds should end the
opportunity for development by the weekend. Interests in the Cabo
Verde Islands should monitor the progress of this system as gusty
winds, areas of heavy rain and flash flooding is possible there by
Friday. This system has a medium chance of formation in the next
48 hours.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A mid to
upper-level trough currently extends from the eastern Gulf of
America across the Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while
relatively warm sea surface temperatures and abundant low level
moisture are present. An elongated low level trough will prevail
across this area during the next several days, and aid in
funneling enhanced tropical moisture across Central America and
the western Caribbean, supporting periods of heavy rainfall
through Sat the 26th. There is still some uncertainty regarding
the exact location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy
rainfall looks likely across extreme southeastern Mexico near
Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El
Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as well as across portions
of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing
from the NW coastal waters of Jamaica, westward across the Cayman
Islands to 87W and then northward across east-central Cuba to
Andros Island in the Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection are
elsewhere across the Gulf of Honduras, and the remainder of the
Bahamas. Heavy rainfall in these regions will create the
possibility of life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.
Please refer to local weather services as well as the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa and
has been analyzed along 18W, S of 15W. Please refer to the Special
Features section above for more information on this tropical wave.
An Atlantic tropical
wave is analyzed along 45W, S of 16N, moving westward at 15 kt.
Isolated moderate convection is from 09.5N to 12N between 42.5W
and 46W.
An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 60W south of 15N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is
depicted south of 09N and west of 58W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits Africa near 12N16.5W and extends
southwestward to 07N48W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
continues to 09N58W. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 22W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak pressure gradient remains across the Gulf basin as
weakening high pressure across the SE U.S. extends a ridge across
the northern Gulf. A broad and persistent middle to upper-level
trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting very active
thunderstorms over portions of the NW Caribbean and across eastern
Cuba into the Bahamas, while convection across the Gulf has
diminished in recent hours, with widely scattered moderate
convection across the Straits of Florida and into the SW Florida
waters across the Fort Meyers area. A weak surface trough lingers
from central Florida into the the SW Gulf to the Yucatan Channel.
The current surface pattern is generally producing light to
gentle easterly winds and slight seas across the Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate gentle
to moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. An upper-level
trough will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next couple of
days. A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night
and Fri. The front will shift southward before stalling over the
SE Gulf this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
on impactful weather across the northwestern Caribbean.
Outside of the active convection across the NW Caribbean, fair
weather dominates most of the basin. Scattered showers accompany a
low-level trough moving across the Virgin Islands. At the
surface, a weak pressure pattern prevails across the basin.
Moderate trades prevail across most of the basin, where seas are 2
to 4 ft, while fresh winds are S of 14N to the coasts of NW
Venezuela and extreme NE Colombia, where seas are 4 to 6 ft.
Outside of convection, light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere. An upper-level trough will support
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for at least the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for more
information on the Central Subtropical Atlantic system (Former
Tropical Storm Fay).
Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across
the NW Caribbean, across eastern Cuba and over much of the Bahamas
and adjacent Atlantic waters W of 67W. This activity is occurring
due to the combination of ample moisture across the area and
unstable conditions created by the persistent and deep layered
upper trough across the eastern Gulf of America and NW Caribbean.
Another upper-level low is drifting westward near 25N50W. This
feature is interacting with several surface troughs in the central
Atlantic resulting in an area of scattered moderate convection
from 22N to 28N between 46W and 53.5W. Outside of this convection,
a weak pressure gradient continues across much of the Atlantic.
This pattern is sustaining mostly gentle to moderate trades S of
20N and variable light to gentle winds elsewhere W of 35W, except
for moderate SE to S winds over the area N of 26.5N between 57W
and 73W. Seas are 3 to 5 ft across this. Elsewhere, seas are 4 to
6 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters through
tonight. An upper- level trough will produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days. A cold
front will move off the SE United States coast late tonight. The
front will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the
straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken. Fresh to
strong winds and increasing seas will follow the front on Thu and
Fri, before decreasing on Sat.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:36:56 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:36:56 GMT - Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:35:41 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Discussion Number 15 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 900 PM GMT Wed Sep 23 2026000 WTNT41 KNHC 232035 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Wed Sep 23 2026 Convection has redeveloped around the center of Fay and has persisted during the day. An earlier ASCAT pass indicated that the system still had a well-defined circulation. Therefore, Fay meets the criteria to be classified as a tropical cyclone again. The earlier ASCAT pass showed a maximum wind vector of around 31 kt and the most recent TAFB Dvorak classification was at T1.5/25 kt. Based on the given data, Fay's intensity is estimated to be 30 kt. The cyclone is moving just a little south of due west, or around 260/8 kt, as it moves to the south of a low- to mid-level ridge to the northwest. Fay is expected to continue on this general motion for the next several days. The current NHC track forecast is in line with the HCCA and GDMI forecast aids. There is a brief opportunity for Fay to regain tropical storm status during the next day or so, however wind shear is expected to increase again after 36 h. This should lead to the cyclone gradually weakening again, with the system becoming a post-tropical remnant low by 60 h, and then dissipating around 96 h, as suggested by simulated satellite imagery from the ECMWF global model. The current NHC intensity forecast track is in line with both the HCCA and GDMI forecast aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 23/2100Z 30.1N 39.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 24/0600Z 29.9N 40.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 24/1800Z 29.9N 41.8W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 25/0600Z 29.9N 42.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 48H 25/1800Z 29.7N 43.7W 25 KT 30 MPH 60H 26/0600Z 29.5N 44.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 26/1800Z 29.5N 45.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:35:13 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 15 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 23 2026000 FONT11 KNHC 232035 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC WED SEP 23 2026 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 39.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH - Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:34:39 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Advisory Number 15 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 2100 UTC WED SEP 23 2026391 WTNT21 KNHC 232034 TCMAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC WED SEP 23 2026 TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 39.2W AT 23/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 7 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 39.2W AT 23/2100Z AT 23/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.1N 38.8W FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 29.9N 40.5W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 29.9N 41.8W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 80NE 0SE 0SW 80NW. FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 29.9N 42.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 29.7N 43.7W MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 29.5N 44.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 29.5N 45.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.1N 39.2W NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0300Z $$ FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 20:34:39 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Public Advisory Number 15 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 900 PM GMT Wed Sep 23 2026392 WTNT31 KNHC 232034 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Fay Advisory Number 15 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Wed Sep 23 2026 ...LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM RE-DEVELOPS INTO TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 39.2W ABOUT 885 MI...1425 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was located near latitude 30.1 North, longitude 39.2 West. The depression is moving toward the west near 8 mph (13 km/h) and this general motion is expected to continue for the next several days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible during the next couple of days, but gradual weakening should occur thereafter. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Katz/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 16:28:06 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
271
NOUS42 KNHC 231628
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT WED 23 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-116
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 78
A. 25/0000Z A. 25/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0115E CYCLONE B. AFXXX 0215E CYCLONE
C. 24/2200Z C. 25/0330Z
D. 15.7N 155.2W D. 16.2N 155.0W
E. 24/2330Z TO 25/0300Z E. 25/0500Z TO 25/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON TD 15-E.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE FIX OF HURRICANE POLO AT
26/1800Z.
4. REMARKS:
A. THE NOAA 42 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION TASKED IN TCPOD
26-115 FOR THE HURRICANE POLO 23/1800Z REQUIREMENT WILL
NOT BE FLOWN.
B. THE TEAL 71 FIX MISSION TASKED IN TCPOD 26-115 FOR THE POLO
24/0600Z REQUIREMENT WAS CANCELED BY NHC AT 23/1315Z.
C. NOAA 42 MAY CONDUCT A 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO
HURRICANE POLO ON THURSDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 24/1300Z.
DURING THE MISSION, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
WITHIN THE STORM ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW
5,000 FT FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf