2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 26 May 2026 16:05:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 261605
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue May 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1555 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 40W, south of 11N, and
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present south of 08N and between 32W and 45W.

    An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W, south of 15N, and
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the
    trough axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N24W. The
    ITCZ extends from 08N24W to 04N39W and then from 04N41W to 03N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection is observed south of 08N and east of
    30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft associated with a deep upper level trough and
    tropical moisture being pulled northward result in scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection between 85W and 90W. A few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are also noted in the nearshore
    waters of southern Texas and northern Tamaulipas. A weak pressure
    gradient across the basin supports moderate to locally fresh SE
    winds and moderate seas over the eastern part of the Gulf, east of
    90W. Strongest winds are occurring in the Florida Straits.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extending west-southwestward
    across Florida into the central Gulf will sustain gentle to
    moderate SE to S winds through the weekend. The exception will be
    evening pulses of fresh off the northern Yucatan through Thu
    night. An upper-level trough across the central Gulf should
    continue to couple with abundant tropical moisture to produce
    scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms over the central
    and eastern Gulf into Thu. These thunderstorms are capable of
    producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, limited visibility, and
    locally rough seas. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with
    the latest forecast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southeastern end of a pronounced mid to upper-level trough is
    enhancing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    northwestern Caribbean. Convergent trades are producing similar
    weather between eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and across the
    northeastern basin, including waters near Hispaniola and Puerto
    Rico. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also found
    in the SW Caribbean, especially off Panama.

    A tight pressure gradient forces strong to near-gale easterly trade
    winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean. Moderate to
    fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
    Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Easterly swell is causing rough
    seas in the Atlantic water passages of the Lesser Antilles.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between high pressure in the
    western Atlantic and the Colombian low will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean with rough
    seas into Fri. These winds are expected to pulse to near- gale
    force off Barranquilla, Colombia, during night-time and morning
    hours through Thu. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras will reach
    fresh to strong each evening through the same period. By Fri, most
    of the basin should experience moderate with locally fresh winds
    and moderate seas, except the south- central basin in which fresh
    to strong winds and rough seas will remain through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N31W and
    continues southwestward to 25N40W, followed by a stationary front
    to 26N64W. A few showers are noted near this boundary. Moderate to
    locally fresh winds and seas of 6-9 ft are noted behind the
    fronts. The remainder of the basin is under the influence of an
    extensive subtropical ridge positioned over the central Atlantic.
    The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in
    the deep tropics supports moderate to fresh E-SE winds and rough
    seas south and west of a line from 27N74W to 19N60W. Meanwhile,
    moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are occurring
    south of 20N and west of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
    to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N and west
    of 60W through Wed, including the Great Bahama Bank, as the
    Atlantic high pressure shifts southeastward, tightening the
    pressure gradient. As the high weakens Wed night, winds and seas
    will diminish from east to west. A weakening stationary front from
    25N53W to 29N64W will dissipate this afternoon. Rough seas north
    of it will diminish by tonight.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 26 May 2026 16:05:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 261605
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue May 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1555 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 40W, south of 11N, and
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present south of 08N and between 32W and 45W.

    An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W, south of 15N, and
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the
    trough axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N24W. The
    ITCZ extends from 08N24W to 04N39W and then from 04N41W to 03N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection is observed south of 08N and east of
    30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft associated with a deep upper level trough and
    tropical moisture being pulled northward result in scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection between 85W and 90W. A few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are also noted in the nearshore
    waters of southern Texas and northern Tamaulipas. A weak pressure
    gradient across the basin supports moderate to locally fresh SE
    winds and moderate seas over the eastern part of the Gulf, east of
    90W. Strongest winds are occurring in the Florida Straits.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extending west-southwestward
    across Florida into the central Gulf will sustain gentle to
    moderate SE to S winds through the weekend. The exception will be
    evening pulses of fresh off the northern Yucatan through Thu
    night. An upper-level trough across the central Gulf should
    continue to couple with abundant tropical moisture to produce
    scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms over the central
    and eastern Gulf into Thu. These thunderstorms are capable of
    producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, limited visibility, and
    locally rough seas. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with
    the latest forecast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southeastern end of a pronounced mid to upper-level trough is
    enhancing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    northwestern Caribbean. Convergent trades are producing similar
    weather between eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and across the
    northeastern basin, including waters near Hispaniola and Puerto
    Rico. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also found
    in the SW Caribbean, especially off Panama.

    A tight pressure gradient forces strong to near-gale easterly trade
    winds and rough seas across the central Caribbean. Moderate to
    fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
    Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Easterly swell is causing rough
    seas in the Atlantic water passages of the Lesser Antilles.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between high pressure in the
    western Atlantic and the Colombian low will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean with rough
    seas into Fri. These winds are expected to pulse to near- gale
    force off Barranquilla, Colombia, during night-time and morning
    hours through Thu. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras will reach
    fresh to strong each evening through the same period. By Fri, most
    of the basin should experience moderate with locally fresh winds
    and moderate seas, except the south- central basin in which fresh
    to strong winds and rough seas will remain through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N31W and
    continues southwestward to 25N40W, followed by a stationary front
    to 26N64W. A few showers are noted near this boundary. Moderate to
    locally fresh winds and seas of 6-9 ft are noted behind the
    fronts. The remainder of the basin is under the influence of an
    extensive subtropical ridge positioned over the central Atlantic.
    The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in
    the deep tropics supports moderate to fresh E-SE winds and rough
    seas south and west of a line from 27N74W to 19N60W. Meanwhile,
    moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are occurring
    south of 20N and west of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
    to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N and west
    of 60W through Wed, including the Great Bahama Bank, as the
    Atlantic high pressure shifts southeastward, tightening the
    pressure gradient. As the high weakens Wed night, winds and seas
    will diminish from east to west. A weakening stationary front from
    25N53W to 29N64W will dissipate this afternoon. Rough seas north
    of it will diminish by tonight.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 27 May 2026 23:17:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 26 May 2026 16:08:05 GMT
  • Tue, 26 May 2026 11:17:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    478
    ABNT20 KNHC 261117
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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