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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 07 Sep 2026 23:20:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072320
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 08 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 36W from 03N
to 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 240 nm west of the wave
from 05N to 07N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W. It is
moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
within 240 nm east of the wave from 05N to 08N. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 120 nm west of the wave from 11N to
18N.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 71W south
of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are possible under high cloudiness from 12N to
17N between 68W and 72W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86.5W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection
information, please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion (TWDEP)
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
continues southwestward to 13N24W and west-southwestward to
09N40W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N47W. It resumes
near 08N51W to 10N59W. Scattered moderate convection is within
240 nm south of the ITCZ between 40W and 46W. Similar convection
is well to the southeast of the trough from 06N to 10N east of
22W to well inland Africa.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to just west
of Key West and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere.
Weak high pressure of 1015 mb is centered near 27N93W. Its
associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for
light to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per latest
buoy observations, scatterometer data and a few satellite
altimeter data passes.
For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will persist
across the Gulf through the period, producing a weak pressure
gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight
seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
sustaining fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate
seas over the south- central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades
and moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of
the northwestern portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds
are continuing.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and the lower pressure in northern South America
will begin to tighten tonight, leading to an increase in areal
coverage of strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through
Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough seas
will develop over these waters with the persistent strong winds.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave
into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
of 1014 mb near 31.5N71W southwestward to 30N76W and westward to
inland northern Florida near 30N81W. To the south and southeast
of this frontal boundary, numerous showers and thunderstorms are
occurring northwest and north of a line from 31N61W to 27N70W and
to 23N78W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
trough situated north of Puerto Rico and the Hispaniola continues
to support scattered showers and thunderstorms from 18.5N to
23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb
high center near 27N55W pretty much controls the wind regime
throughout the remainder of the basin. A stronger high center
of 1027 mb is north of the area at 35W24W. A ridge stretches
from this high center southwestward to the 1022 mb high and to
near 25N70W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and
a pair of tropical waves moving through the tropical Atlantic
region is supporting fresh to strong winds north of 11N and east
of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas over these waters.
Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are over the waters west
of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
are present elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
of 1022 mb and ridge will gradually shift northeastward and
strengthen through mid week. This pattern will support moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to
fresh winds south of about 21N Tue night through Thu. A weak cold
front will stall near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters west of 60W through Tue night.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 07 Sep 2026 23:20:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072320
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 08 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 36W from 03N
to 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are within 240 nm west of the wave
from 05N to 07N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W. It is
moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
within 240 nm east of the wave from 05N to 08N. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 120 nm west of the wave from 11N to
18N.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 71W south
of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are possible under high cloudiness from 12N to
17N between 68W and 72W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86.5W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection
information, please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion (TWDEP)
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
continues southwestward to 13N24W and west-southwestward to
09N40W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N47W. It resumes
near 08N51W to 10N59W. Scattered moderate convection is within
240 nm south of the ITCZ between 40W and 46W. Similar convection
is well to the southeast of the trough from 06N to 10N east of
22W to well inland Africa.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to just west
of Key West and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere.
Weak high pressure of 1015 mb is centered near 27N93W. Its
associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for
light to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per latest
buoy observations, scatterometer data and a few satellite
altimeter data passes.
For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will persist
across the Gulf through the period, producing a weak pressure
gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight
seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
sustaining fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate
seas over the south- central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades
and moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of
the northwestern portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds
are continuing.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
high pressure and the lower pressure in northern South America
will begin to tighten tonight, leading to an increase in areal
coverage of strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through
Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough seas
will develop over these waters with the persistent strong winds.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave
into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
of 1014 mb near 31.5N71W southwestward to 30N76W and westward to
inland northern Florida near 30N81W. To the south and southeast
of this frontal boundary, numerous showers and thunderstorms are
occurring northwest and north of a line from 31N61W to 27N70W and
to 23N78W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
trough situated north of Puerto Rico and the Hispaniola continues
to support scattered showers and thunderstorms from 18.5N to
23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb
high center near 27N55W pretty much controls the wind regime
throughout the remainder of the basin. A stronger high center
of 1027 mb is north of the area at 35W24W. A ridge stretches
from this high center southwestward to the 1022 mb high and to
near 25N70W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and
a pair of tropical waves moving through the tropical Atlantic
region is supporting fresh to strong winds north of 11N and east
of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas over these waters.
Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are over the waters west
of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
are present elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
of 1022 mb and ridge will gradually shift northeastward and
strengthen through mid week. This pattern will support moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to
fresh winds south of about 21N Tue night through Thu. A weak cold
front will stall near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters west of 60W through Tue night.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 11:11:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 08 Sep 2026 00:11:01 GMT - Mon, 07 Sep 2026 23:11:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
786
ABNT20 KNHC 072311
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 07 Sep 2026 17:32:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 071732
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0135 PM EDT MON 07 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-099 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE LOWELL
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79
A. 08/1730Z
B. AFXXX 1412E LOWELL
C. 08/1600Z
D. 23.8N 160.8W
E. 08/1700Z TO 08/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS:
A. THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 08/0000Z REQUIREMENT IN
TCPOD 26-098 WILL NOT BE FLOWN.
B. NOAA 43 WILL CONDUCT TWO 8-HOUR P-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS INTO
LOWELL ON TUESDAY, DEPARTING PHKO AT 08/2000Z AND 09/0800Z.
(CORRECTED)
C. NOAA 49 WILL CONDUCT A 7-HOUR G-IV RESEARCH MISSION OVER
LOWELL ALSO ON TUESDAY, DEPARTING PHNL AT 08/2100Z.
$$
SEF/ANM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf