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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 09:37:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 190935
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 05N to 12N and between 23W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 48W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 67W, south
of 18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 09N30W
and to 09N49W. The ITCZ extends from 09N49W to 09N59W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 04N to 15N
and east of 33W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak high pressure pattern forces gentle to moderate
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the
Gulf waters. Locally fresh easterly winds are found in the eastern
Bay of Campeche. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are
found in the NE Gulf and Bay of Campeche. Dry weather conditions
are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced
surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north
and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds
will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and seas
of 5-8 ft in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are evident in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are found elsewhere. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are seen in the SW Caribbean, while dry weather
conditions prevail in the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary remains stationary from 31N50W to a 1015 mb
low pres near 28N63W, followed by a dissipating stationary front.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
waters near and ahead of these boundaries. The rest of the SW
North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a high
pressure system that supports moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas.
The central and eastern tropical Atlantic are dominated by broad
ridging that sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, fresh NE winds are present north of the monsoon trough
to 27N and east of 30W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundaries
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area north of 22N through the week
and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can
be expected south of 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 09:37:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 190935
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 05N to 12N and between 23W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 48W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 67W, south
of 18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 09N30W
and to 09N49W. The ITCZ extends from 09N49W to 09N59W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 04N to 15N
and east of 33W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak high pressure pattern forces gentle to moderate
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the
Gulf waters. Locally fresh easterly winds are found in the eastern
Bay of Campeche. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are
found in the NE Gulf and Bay of Campeche. Dry weather conditions
are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally
moderate seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced
surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north
and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds
will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough
migrates into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and seas
of 5-8 ft in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are evident in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are found elsewhere. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are seen in the SW Caribbean, while dry weather
conditions prevail in the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary remains stationary from 31N50W to a 1015 mb
low pres near 28N63W, followed by a dissipating stationary front.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
waters near and ahead of these boundaries. The rest of the SW
North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a high
pressure system that supports moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas.
The central and eastern tropical Atlantic are dominated by broad
ridging that sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, fresh NE winds are present north of the monsoon trough
to 27N and east of 30W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundaries
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area north of 22N through the week
and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can
be expected south of 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:37:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Aug 2026 15:21:42 GMT - Wed, 19 Aug 2026 11:37:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
323
ABNT20 KNHC 191136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 14:42:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
892
NOUS42 KNHC 191441
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT WED 19 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-080 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO SUSPECT AREA EP90 OVER THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC NEAR 12.9N 146.4W FOR 21/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO EP90
FOR 22/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 21/2000Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf