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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 22:19:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202219
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Oct 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southward to 08N18W and then westward to 07N27W. The ITCZ extends
from 07N27W to 08N55W. Scattered moderate convection is observed
from 08N to 12N and east of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is noted over much of the southwest
basin in association with a pair of surface troughs, one of which
extends north-to south from offshore the upper Texas coast to the
western Bay of Campeche and another that extends westward from
the northern Yucatan to near 21N92W. Strong NW winds continue
offshore Veracruz, where seas are estimated to be 6-8 ft.
Elsewhere, 1028 mb high pressure centered over the Middle
Mississippi Valley is supporting moderate to fresh E to NE winds
and moderate seas across the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support fresh to NE winds are across the basin through the latter
part of the week, except for strong NW to N winds over the SW Gulf
offshore Veracruz through Wed. Looking ahead, strengthening high
pressure over the eastern U.S. in combination with low pressure
that is expected to develop near the Bahamas will support strong
to near-gale NE winds and rough seas over the eastern Gulf Sat.
These conditions will spread westward to the central Gulf Sat
night through Sun night. Seas are expected to around 12 ft with
these winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper level trough extending across the Caribbean and the East
Pacific monsoon trough analyzed across the far SW Caribbean
support scattered moderate to strong convection S of 13N and W of
75W. Outside of convection, a weaker pressure gradient supports
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and subsequent slight seas across
much of the Caribbean, except for the south-central basin offshore
Colombia and Venezuela where moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft
seas prevail.
For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds N of 20N W of 85W will
diminish to moderate speeds by late Wed as high pressure north of
the basin weakens some. The pressure gradient in place will then
allow for mostly gentle to moderate trades and slight to moderate
seas across the basin through Wed night. Looking ahead, expect
moderate to fresh trades over the south-central Caribbean by Thu,
and fresh winds across the far northwestern Caribbean starting
late Sat as stronger high pressure builds again north of the area.
These trades diminish to moderate speeds Sun night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front is stalling from near Bermuda to the Turks and Caicos
to eastern Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 90
nm on either side of the front. Moderate to fresh N winds and
rough seas are noted N of the boundary.
A broad upper-level low near 25N54W and associated surface trough
to the west is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms N of 20N between 43W and 60W. Fresh SE winds and
moderate seas are to the east of the trough, extending to 35W.
Farther east, scattered moderate convection is noted along a
surface trough that extends from the Canary Islands to 25N25W.
Gentle to moderate winds and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a stationary front that extends
from 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas and to east-central Cuba.
Winds will diminish tonight into Wed as the frontal boundary
begins to weaken. Lingering swell will slowly subside through Fri.
Looking ahead, a tightening pressure gradient will develop
beginning late Fri as strengthening high pressure builds southward
over the western Atlantic and low pressure develops near, or NE
of the Bahamas along a remnant frontal trough. This setup is
expected to induce widespread near to gale-force NE winds over the
waters roughly NW of a line from near 31N51W to the central
Bahamas and to central Cuba, including the Straits of Florida.
Seas with these winds are expected to quickly build to rough to
very rough. Mariners should monitor the latest marine forecasts,
and have avoidance plans in place.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 22:19:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202219
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Oct 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southward to 08N18W and then westward to 07N27W. The ITCZ extends
from 07N27W to 08N55W. Scattered moderate convection is observed
from 08N to 12N and east of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is noted over much of the southwest
basin in association with a pair of surface troughs, one of which
extends north-to south from offshore the upper Texas coast to the
western Bay of Campeche and another that extends westward from
the northern Yucatan to near 21N92W. Strong NW winds continue
offshore Veracruz, where seas are estimated to be 6-8 ft.
Elsewhere, 1028 mb high pressure centered over the Middle
Mississippi Valley is supporting moderate to fresh E to NE winds
and moderate seas across the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support fresh to NE winds are across the basin through the latter
part of the week, except for strong NW to N winds over the SW Gulf
offshore Veracruz through Wed. Looking ahead, strengthening high
pressure over the eastern U.S. in combination with low pressure
that is expected to develop near the Bahamas will support strong
to near-gale NE winds and rough seas over the eastern Gulf Sat.
These conditions will spread westward to the central Gulf Sat
night through Sun night. Seas are expected to around 12 ft with
these winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper level trough extending across the Caribbean and the East
Pacific monsoon trough analyzed across the far SW Caribbean
support scattered moderate to strong convection S of 13N and W of
75W. Outside of convection, a weaker pressure gradient supports
gentle to moderate or weaker winds and subsequent slight seas across
much of the Caribbean, except for the south-central basin offshore
Colombia and Venezuela where moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft
seas prevail.
For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds N of 20N W of 85W will
diminish to moderate speeds by late Wed as high pressure north of
the basin weakens some. The pressure gradient in place will then
allow for mostly gentle to moderate trades and slight to moderate
seas across the basin through Wed night. Looking ahead, expect
moderate to fresh trades over the south-central Caribbean by Thu,
and fresh winds across the far northwestern Caribbean starting
late Sat as stronger high pressure builds again north of the area.
These trades diminish to moderate speeds Sun night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front is stalling from near Bermuda to the Turks and Caicos
to eastern Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 90
nm on either side of the front. Moderate to fresh N winds and
rough seas are noted N of the boundary.
A broad upper-level low near 25N54W and associated surface trough
to the west is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms N of 20N between 43W and 60W. Fresh SE winds and
moderate seas are to the east of the trough, extending to 35W.
Farther east, scattered moderate convection is noted along a
surface trough that extends from the Canary Islands to 25N25W.
Gentle to moderate winds and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a stationary front that extends
from 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas and to east-central Cuba.
Winds will diminish tonight into Wed as the frontal boundary
begins to weaken. Lingering swell will slowly subside through Fri.
Looking ahead, a tightening pressure gradient will develop
beginning late Fri as strengthening high pressure builds southward
over the western Atlantic and low pressure develops near, or NE
of the Bahamas along a remnant frontal trough. This setup is
expected to induce widespread near to gale-force NE winds over the
waters roughly NW of a line from near 31N51W to the central
Bahamas and to central Cuba, including the Straits of Florida.
Seas with these winds are expected to quickly build to rough to
very rough. Mariners should monitor the latest marine forecasts,
and have avoidance plans in place.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 11:52:50 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 02:22:45 GMT - Tue, 20 Oct 2026 23:52:50 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 202352
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Oct 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the mid-Atlantic United States coast is producing some
shower and thunderstorm activity primarily west of its center.
Satellite imagery indicates that the low is still frontal. Over
the next couple of days, the low could gradually lose its frontal
features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to briefly develop subtropical
characteristics. By the end of the week, the system is expected to
accelerate northeastward away from the the eastern United States,
and environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
for additional subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with the High Seas
Forecasts and the Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Katz/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 14:06:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 201405
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EDT TUE 20 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-142
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf