SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 03 Oct 2026 22:41:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 032241
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Oct 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2240 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 44W, south of 20N, moving westward at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
ahead of the wave axis from 08N to 13N between 44W and 52W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along
77W, south of 21N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave
appears to enhance convection over eastern Cuba and the south-
central Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic trough the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 10N23W to
09N40W. The ITCZ extends from 11N50W to 09N60W. Aside from the
convection associated with the tropical wave, no significant
convection is noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper-level low spinning over the Bay of Campeche supports
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over parts of the
Gulf region. This system is also enhancing convection over the
Isthmus of Tehuantepec. A surface trough is analyzed over the
western Gulf and runs from SE Louisiana to the central Bay of
Campeche. The pressure gradient between this trough and a ridge
over the western Atlantic and Florida is allowing for mostly
fresh southeast winds to exist E of the trough axis. Light to
gentle winds are occurring west of the trough axis. Seas are
generally moderate, except in the Bay of Campeche where seas are
in the 1 to 3 ft range.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE winds will follow a weak
frontal boundary that will drift into the far northwest Gulf off
the Texas coast tonight, then along the Mexican coast to Veracruz
through Tue. A ridge will extend from the western Atlantic into
north Florida through late Sun, supporting moderate to fresh SE
to S winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft across much of the central and
eastern Gulf. Looking ahead, this ridge will shift southeastward
into midweek ahead of the slowly moving front, which will stall
over the northern Gulf by mid week. Fresh NE to E winds and
building seas will persist north of the front, with fresh to
strong NW to N winds possible off Veracruz through the early part
of the week. Gentle to moderate easterly winds and slight seas
will persist elsewhere through the latter part of the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are affecting
the Greater Antilles, the Cayman Islands, and parts of the NW
Caribbean under a diffluent pattern aloft. High pressure north of
the area, combined with the Colombian Low is supporting moderate
to fresh easterly trade winds across much of the Caribbean Sea
with moderate seas.
For the forecast, a weak ridge over the western Atlantic will
support moderate E to SE winds across all but the far southwest
Caribbean through the early part of the week, with fresh winds
pulsing off Colombia and the Gulf of Honduras at night. These
winds and associated seas will diminish by mid week, as the high
pressure shifts eastward, although fresh winds may continue to
pulse over the Gulf of Honduras through Fri.
Of note, locally heavy rain and a few strong thunderstorms are
possible across Hispaniola the remainder of the weekend, mainly
over Haiti and western Hispaniola. A mid-upper level trough will
deepen toward Hispaniola and develop a closed circulation near
the island by Sun. This combined with available moisture and
local effects as daytime heating, local sea breezes and mountain
upslope lifting will likely increase the chances of rain in the
area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low located N of Hispaniola is generating scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms. This convective activity
is more concentrated south of 27N between 62W and 70W. A surface
trough is analyzed in this area, and extends from 28N63W to 20N70W.
High pressure of 1021 mb is located NE of Bermuda near 34N63W.
Its associated ridge dominates the western Atlantic, including
the Bahamas and Florida. Mainly light to gentle winds are noted
under the influence of the ridge NE of the Bahamas while moderate
easterly winds are evident between the Bahamas and Cuba, and in
the Straits of Florida. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
waters is dominated by high pressure. The pressure gradient between
this feature and a trough extending over NW Africa supports fresh
NE winds offshore Western Sahara and southern Morocco, including
between the Canary Islands. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these wind
speeds. Elsewhere moderate or weaker winds prevail with moderate
seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak ridge will shift eastward
through Mon ahead of a cold front that will stall off the NE
Florida coast Tue. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas may
follow the front, but stay over the coastal waters off far NE
Florida through mid week. Gentle to moderate and slight seas will
persist elsewhere.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 03 Oct 2026 22:41:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 032241
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Oct 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2240 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 44W, south of 20N, moving westward at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
ahead of the wave axis from 08N to 13N between 44W and 52W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along
77W, south of 21N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave
appears to enhance convection over eastern Cuba and the south-
central Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic trough the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 10N23W to
09N40W. The ITCZ extends from 11N50W to 09N60W. Aside from the
convection associated with the tropical wave, no significant
convection is noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper-level low spinning over the Bay of Campeche supports
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over parts of the
Gulf region. This system is also enhancing convection over the
Isthmus of Tehuantepec. A surface trough is analyzed over the
western Gulf and runs from SE Louisiana to the central Bay of
Campeche. The pressure gradient between this trough and a ridge
over the western Atlantic and Florida is allowing for mostly
fresh southeast winds to exist E of the trough axis. Light to
gentle winds are occurring west of the trough axis. Seas are
generally moderate, except in the Bay of Campeche where seas are
in the 1 to 3 ft range.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE winds will follow a weak
frontal boundary that will drift into the far northwest Gulf off
the Texas coast tonight, then along the Mexican coast to Veracruz
through Tue. A ridge will extend from the western Atlantic into
north Florida through late Sun, supporting moderate to fresh SE
to S winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft across much of the central and
eastern Gulf. Looking ahead, this ridge will shift southeastward
into midweek ahead of the slowly moving front, which will stall
over the northern Gulf by mid week. Fresh NE to E winds and
building seas will persist north of the front, with fresh to
strong NW to N winds possible off Veracruz through the early part
of the week. Gentle to moderate easterly winds and slight seas
will persist elsewhere through the latter part of the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are affecting
the Greater Antilles, the Cayman Islands, and parts of the NW
Caribbean under a diffluent pattern aloft. High pressure north of
the area, combined with the Colombian Low is supporting moderate
to fresh easterly trade winds across much of the Caribbean Sea
with moderate seas.
For the forecast, a weak ridge over the western Atlantic will
support moderate E to SE winds across all but the far southwest
Caribbean through the early part of the week, with fresh winds
pulsing off Colombia and the Gulf of Honduras at night. These
winds and associated seas will diminish by mid week, as the high
pressure shifts eastward, although fresh winds may continue to
pulse over the Gulf of Honduras through Fri.
Of note, locally heavy rain and a few strong thunderstorms are
possible across Hispaniola the remainder of the weekend, mainly
over Haiti and western Hispaniola. A mid-upper level trough will
deepen toward Hispaniola and develop a closed circulation near
the island by Sun. This combined with available moisture and
local effects as daytime heating, local sea breezes and mountain
upslope lifting will likely increase the chances of rain in the
area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low located N of Hispaniola is generating scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms. This convective activity
is more concentrated south of 27N between 62W and 70W. A surface
trough is analyzed in this area, and extends from 28N63W to 20N70W.
High pressure of 1021 mb is located NE of Bermuda near 34N63W.
Its associated ridge dominates the western Atlantic, including
the Bahamas and Florida. Mainly light to gentle winds are noted
under the influence of the ridge NE of the Bahamas while moderate
easterly winds are evident between the Bahamas and Cuba, and in
the Straits of Florida. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
waters is dominated by high pressure. The pressure gradient between
this feature and a trough extending over NW Africa supports fresh
NE winds offshore Western Sahara and southern Morocco, including
between the Canary Islands. Seas are 6 to 8 ft within these wind
speeds. Elsewhere moderate or weaker winds prevail with moderate
seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak ridge will shift eastward
through Mon ahead of a cold front that will stall off the NE
Florida coast Tue. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas may
follow the front, but stay over the coastal waters off far NE
Florida through mid week. Gentle to moderate and slight seas will
persist elsewhere.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 05 Oct 2026 05:30:06 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 03 Oct 2026 22:41:52 GMT - Sat, 03 Oct 2026 17:30:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031729
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Oct 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 03 Oct 2026 13:37:06 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 031336
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT SAT 03 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-125
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL/IDP
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf