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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:41:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 081641
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 999 mb low pressure is centered
    near 28N56W this morning. A 1227 UTC ASCAT scatterometer pass
    indicated peak winds of 35 kt near 30N53W. Additionally, a 1430
    UTC Sentinel-6A altimeter pass showed peak seas of 15 ft in the
    same area. Seas are 8 ft or higher north of 20N between 45W-70W. A
    surface trough extends from the low southward to 18N60W with
    scattered moderate and isolated strong convection from 17N-23N
    between 50W-63W. A warm front extends eastward from the low to
    24N36W. Numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is
    occurring from 24N-30N between 40W-55W. The low will move east-
    northeastward, shifting east of the forecast waters by midweek. An
    area of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
    peaking near 14 ft, will prevail north of the low, impacting the
    waters mainly north of about 28N and east of 60W through today.
    After the gale diminishes, a large area of fresh to near gale SW
    winds will promote 12-18 ft seas through Tue night in our marine
    waters.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Sierra
    Leon 07N12W to 06N14W. The ITCZ extends from 07N14W to 04N41W.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 05N-08N east of 18W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is located from the Florida Keys to 23N88W, but
    with no significant winds, seas, or convection. Ridging north of
    the Gulf is promoting gentle to moderate winds and seas 2-5 ft
    across forecast waters today. A surface trough along the NE Mexico
    coastline north of 22N and extending inland into S Texas is
    promoting scattered moderate convection north of 25N west of 97W.

    For the forecast, a frontal boundary from the Florida Straits to
    23N88W will dissipate by late Mon. Moderate to fresh winds will
    prevail behind the front. High pressure will then build across the
    area, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. The next cold
    front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu and rapidly shift across
    the Gulf basin. The front will be followed by fresh to strong
    winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Due to the gale-force low northeast of the Caribbean, the pressure
    gradient across forecast waters is weak, promoting only gentle to
    moderate winds and seas 1-4 ft. A surface trough extends from
    17N67W to 10N70W with scattered moderate convection from 10N-17N
    between 66W-70W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
    is occurring over the Leeward Islands from 17N-19N between
    60W-64W.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through Mon. Winds will strengthen over the central
    Caribbean by Tuesday and then prevail through the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    Aside from the low in Special Features, a stationary front begins
    at 23N35W to 12N29W, where it transitions to a cold front to
    31N15W. Winds are fresh to strong with seas 8-15 ft north of 26N
    east of 30W. Additionally, large N swell continued north of 25N
    between 30W-45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from
    21N-30N between 25W-33W and north of 27N east of 18W. Elsewhere
    winds are moderate or weaker with seas 3-7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres in the Special Features
    will move east-northeastward, shifting east of the forecast
    waters by midweek. Elsewhere, a cold front extends from 31N69W to
    the NW Bahamas then stationary to the Florida Straits. The
    stationary portion of the front will dissipate by Mon while the
    cold front will move eastward over the waters N of 25N through the
    middle of the week.

    $$
    Landsea/Levine
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:41:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 081641
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 999 mb low pressure is centered
    near 28N56W this morning. A 1227 UTC ASCAT scatterometer pass
    indicated peak winds of 35 kt near 30N53W. Additionally, a 1430
    UTC Sentinel-6A altimeter pass showed peak seas of 15 ft in the
    same area. Seas are 8 ft or higher north of 20N between 45W-70W. A
    surface trough extends from the low southward to 18N60W with
    scattered moderate and isolated strong convection from 17N-23N
    between 50W-63W. A warm front extends eastward from the low to
    24N36W. Numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is
    occurring from 24N-30N between 40W-55W. The low will move east-
    northeastward, shifting east of the forecast waters by midweek. An
    area of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
    peaking near 14 ft, will prevail north of the low, impacting the
    waters mainly north of about 28N and east of 60W through today.
    After the gale diminishes, a large area of fresh to near gale SW
    winds will promote 12-18 ft seas through Tue night in our marine
    waters.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Sierra
    Leon 07N12W to 06N14W. The ITCZ extends from 07N14W to 04N41W.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 05N-08N east of 18W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is located from the Florida Keys to 23N88W, but
    with no significant winds, seas, or convection. Ridging north of
    the Gulf is promoting gentle to moderate winds and seas 2-5 ft
    across forecast waters today. A surface trough along the NE Mexico
    coastline north of 22N and extending inland into S Texas is
    promoting scattered moderate convection north of 25N west of 97W.

    For the forecast, a frontal boundary from the Florida Straits to
    23N88W will dissipate by late Mon. Moderate to fresh winds will
    prevail behind the front. High pressure will then build across the
    area, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. The next cold
    front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu and rapidly shift across
    the Gulf basin. The front will be followed by fresh to strong
    winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Due to the gale-force low northeast of the Caribbean, the pressure
    gradient across forecast waters is weak, promoting only gentle to
    moderate winds and seas 1-4 ft. A surface trough extends from
    17N67W to 10N70W with scattered moderate convection from 10N-17N
    between 66W-70W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
    is occurring over the Leeward Islands from 17N-19N between
    60W-64W.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through Mon. Winds will strengthen over the central
    Caribbean by Tuesday and then prevail through the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    Aside from the low in Special Features, a stationary front begins
    at 23N35W to 12N29W, where it transitions to a cold front to
    31N15W. Winds are fresh to strong with seas 8-15 ft north of 26N
    east of 30W. Additionally, large N swell continued north of 25N
    between 30W-45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from
    21N-30N between 25W-33W and north of 27N east of 18W. Elsewhere
    winds are moderate or weaker with seas 3-7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres in the Special Features
    will move east-northeastward, shifting east of the forecast
    waters by midweek. Elsewhere, a cold front extends from 31N69W to
    the NW Bahamas then stationary to the Florida Straits. The
    stationary portion of the front will dissipate by Mon while the
    cold front will move eastward over the waters N of 25N through the
    middle of the week.

    $$
    Landsea/Levine
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 05:14:25 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 21:31:18 GMT
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 17:14:25 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 081714
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15:20 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    464
    NOUS42 KNHC 081615
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1115 AM EST SUN 08 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-161

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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