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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:24:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    850
    AXNT20 KNHC 131624
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Nov 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1623 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: a strong cold front extends
    from 31N75W to South Florida. Strong SW winds are ahead of the
    front, with fresh NW winds behind it. The front is expected to
    reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning,
    and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by
    Sun morning. Southwest winds ahead of the front are forecast to
    reach gale force late tonight into Sat N of 29N. Please, see the
    latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
    for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 07N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 07N20W to 04N36W to 04N51W. Scattered moderate
    convection is active from 05N to 08N between 20W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from Naples, Florida to just offshore Tampico,
    Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas are
    north of the front. Locally fresh winds and moderate seas are off
    Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Light to gentle winds, and
    slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move quickly SE and out of
    the basin later today. Moderate to fresh N winds will gradually
    diminish in the wake of the front as high pressure builds
    southward into the region. Sat night into Sun, fresh to strong E
    winds will develop across the northern and central Gulf ahead of
    the next cold front, that will move off Texas Mon morning. This
    front cross the basin through night, bringing fresh to strong
    winds behind it. Winds to near gale-force area possible in the far
    NE Gulf early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds, and moderate seas, prevail over the waters
    east of 76W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas,
    are noted elsewhere. A surface trough extends from central Cuba
    to the Gulf of Honduras. Numerous moderate and scattered strong
    convection is depicted along and east of the trough, also
    impacting portions of central and eastern Cuba, and Jamaica.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the central and
    eastern Caribbean will diminish tonight. A cold front will enter
    the NW waters today. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are
    expected behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat
    into Sun night. Trade winds are likely strengthen again over the
    south central Caribbean early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N75W to South Florida. Strong SW
    winds are ahead of the front, with fresh NW winds behind it. A
    pre- frontal through from the Central Bahamas through Central Cuba
    is inducing scattered to numerous thunderstorms to its east,
    impacting the central and eastern Cuba, the SE Bahamas, and the
    Turks and Caicos. Numerous moderate and scattered strong
    convection is ahead of the trough, generally S of 28N east of the
    front to 63W. Farther east, high pressure generally prevails,
    anchored by a 1025 mb high centered near 33N35W. Light to gentle
    winds cover the waters north of 24N between 35W and 50W. Fresh
    winds are found over the waters south of 13N between 35W and 60W.
    Gentle to moderate winds cover the remainder of the discussion
    waters. Seas are mainly moderate across the discussion waters,
    except reaching locally rough west of the cold front.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front is expected to reach from
    near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and from
    near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by Sun
    morning. SW winds ahead of the front are forecast to reach gale
    force late tonight into Sat N of 29N. The cold front portion will
    shift east of 55W late Sun night while the stationary portion
    weakens. A building Bermuda High will tighten the pressure
    gradient and support fresh to strong northeast winds south of 27N
    west of 65W Mon and Mon night. The fresh to strong winds will
    expand northward in coverage Tue and Tue night.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:24:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    850
    AXNT20 KNHC 131624
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Nov 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1623 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: a strong cold front extends
    from 31N75W to South Florida. Strong SW winds are ahead of the
    front, with fresh NW winds behind it. The front is expected to
    reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning,
    and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by
    Sun morning. Southwest winds ahead of the front are forecast to
    reach gale force late tonight into Sat N of 29N. Please, see the
    latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
    for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 07N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 07N20W to 04N36W to 04N51W. Scattered moderate
    convection is active from 05N to 08N between 20W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from Naples, Florida to just offshore Tampico,
    Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas are
    north of the front. Locally fresh winds and moderate seas are off
    Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Light to gentle winds, and
    slight seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move quickly SE and out of
    the basin later today. Moderate to fresh N winds will gradually
    diminish in the wake of the front as high pressure builds
    southward into the region. Sat night into Sun, fresh to strong E
    winds will develop across the northern and central Gulf ahead of
    the next cold front, that will move off Texas Mon morning. This
    front cross the basin through night, bringing fresh to strong
    winds behind it. Winds to near gale-force area possible in the far
    NE Gulf early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds, and moderate seas, prevail over the waters
    east of 76W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas,
    are noted elsewhere. A surface trough extends from central Cuba
    to the Gulf of Honduras. Numerous moderate and scattered strong
    convection is depicted along and east of the trough, also
    impacting portions of central and eastern Cuba, and Jamaica.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the central and
    eastern Caribbean will diminish tonight. A cold front will enter
    the NW waters today. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are
    expected behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat
    into Sun night. Trade winds are likely strengthen again over the
    south central Caribbean early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N75W to South Florida. Strong SW
    winds are ahead of the front, with fresh NW winds behind it. A
    pre- frontal through from the Central Bahamas through Central Cuba
    is inducing scattered to numerous thunderstorms to its east,
    impacting the central and eastern Cuba, the SE Bahamas, and the
    Turks and Caicos. Numerous moderate and scattered strong
    convection is ahead of the trough, generally S of 28N east of the
    front to 63W. Farther east, high pressure generally prevails,
    anchored by a 1025 mb high centered near 33N35W. Light to gentle
    winds cover the waters north of 24N between 35W and 50W. Fresh
    winds are found over the waters south of 13N between 35W and 60W.
    Gentle to moderate winds cover the remainder of the discussion
    waters. Seas are mainly moderate across the discussion waters,
    except reaching locally rough west of the cold front.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front is expected to reach from
    near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and from
    near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by Sun
    morning. SW winds ahead of the front are forecast to reach gale
    force late tonight into Sat N of 29N. The cold front portion will
    shift east of 55W late Sun night while the stationary portion
    weakens. A building Bermuda High will tighten the pressure
    gradient and support fresh to strong northeast winds south of 27N
    west of 65W Mon and Mon night. The fresh to strong winds will
    expand northward in coverage Tue and Tue night.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2026 05:18:41 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 13 Nov 2026 18:31:00 GMT
  • Fri, 13 Nov 2026 17:18:41 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 131718
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:47:12 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 131647
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1150 AM EST FRI 13 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-166

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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