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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:13:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 031713
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Nov 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: Broad low pressure is expected to
develop tonight along an old frontal boundary that extends from
25N60W to the central Bahamas, near 26N between 65W and 70W. A
very tight pressure gradient between the low pressure and strong
high pressure to its north is expected to induce near-gale to
gale-force northeast to east winds beginning Wed afternoon,
roughly over the waters from 29N to 31N between 63W and 69W. Seas
are expected to build to 10-16 ft (3-5 m) with these winds
through Thu as the low pressure drifts east-northeastward. The low
pressure could acquire some subtropical characteristics late this
week.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the western Caribbean will interact with enhanced low-level
moisture and onshore flow over the next several days. This will
favor heavy precipitation developing across Central America,
northern South America, as well as Jamaica starting today and
lasting through Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across southern and western portions of Costa Rica, Panama, and
Nicaragua, with the bulk of precipitation occurring today through
Thursday. Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your local weather
services and the International Desk at the Weather Prediction
Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic from coast of Guinea
near 11N15W, and continues southwestward to 06N21W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 09N61W. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring E of 20W
between 03N and 14N. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
are also occurring along and within 200 nm N of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The interaction between strong high pressure over the eastern
United States and a trough over the southern and eastern Gulf is
maintaining fresh to strong northeast to east winds and seas of
4-6 ft over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate southeast to east
winds and slight seas are elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection
is ongoing along the eastern end of a surface trough in the Gulf,
while more scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring
offshore south-central Louisiana as an upper-level trough moves
across the central US.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong northeast to east winds
over the NE Gulf will shift north of the area today. A cold front
will enter the NW Gulf tonight through Wed, then weaken and
dissipate Wed night. Moderate to fresh northwest to north winds
are expected west of the front. Another cold front is expected to
move into the NW Gulf waters Fri through Sat night, followed by
moderate to fresh northeast winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep-layer troughing in the western Caribbean supports scattered
moderate to strong convection N of 15N between 74W and 83W. In the
SW Caribbean, the influences from a surface trough and the East
Pacific monsoon trough are combining to support scattered moderate
convection S of 14N and W of 80W. Elsewhere, the pressure
difference between surface ridging across the Atlantic and lower
pressure over Colombia supports moderate to fresh trades and 4-6
ft seas across much of the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle
to moderate or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area by midweek.
This will diminish the moderate trades across the central and
eastern Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
A frontal boundary is analyzed from a 1016 mb low near 31N36W to
28N39W to 26N60W, where it then transitions to a shear line that
extends westward through the central Bahamas and to the SE FL
coast. Scattered moderate convection is occurring N of 22N between
55W and 66W. Winds quickly increase from gentle to moderate
trades S of the front and shear line to fresh to strong speeds N
of these features. Seas of 8-11 ft are seen N of the front and
shear line as well, with 5-8 ft seas S of these features. The
remainder of the Atlantic is seeing gentle to moderate or weaker
trade winds and 4-7 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an old frontal boundary extends
from near 26N55W westward to 26N60W, then becomes a shear line to
27N70W and to the central Bahamas near 25N78W. Strong high
pressure is centered north of Bermuda. The pressure gradient
between these features will support widespread fresh to strong
northeast to east winds and rough seas to 11 ft north of the
frontal boundary and shear line west of about 60W today. Broad low
pressure is expected to develop along the frontal boundary
southwest of Bermuda, roughly from 27N to 28N, tonight through
Wed, and track slowly east- northeastward during the rest of the
week. A broad zone of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to
very rough seas, peaking near 16 ft, will develop north of the low
pressure and expand eastward Wed through Fri, impacting the
waters mainly north of about 27N. The gale- force winds will
likely be north of 29N from Wed afternoon through early Fri. A
weakening cold front will move across the waters between Florida
and 75W Fri and Fri night, then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:13:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 031713
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Nov 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: Broad low pressure is expected to
develop tonight along an old frontal boundary that extends from
25N60W to the central Bahamas, near 26N between 65W and 70W. A
very tight pressure gradient between the low pressure and strong
high pressure to its north is expected to induce near-gale to
gale-force northeast to east winds beginning Wed afternoon,
roughly over the waters from 29N to 31N between 63W and 69W. Seas
are expected to build to 10-16 ft (3-5 m) with these winds
through Thu as the low pressure drifts east-northeastward. The low
pressure could acquire some subtropical characteristics late this
week.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the western Caribbean will interact with enhanced low-level
moisture and onshore flow over the next several days. This will
favor heavy precipitation developing across Central America,
northern South America, as well as Jamaica starting today and
lasting through Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across southern and western portions of Costa Rica, Panama, and
Nicaragua, with the bulk of precipitation occurring today through
Thursday. Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your local weather
services and the International Desk at the Weather Prediction
Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic from coast of Guinea
near 11N15W, and continues southwestward to 06N21W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 09N61W. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring E of 20W
between 03N and 14N. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
are also occurring along and within 200 nm N of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The interaction between strong high pressure over the eastern
United States and a trough over the southern and eastern Gulf is
maintaining fresh to strong northeast to east winds and seas of
4-6 ft over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate southeast to east
winds and slight seas are elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection
is ongoing along the eastern end of a surface trough in the Gulf,
while more scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring
offshore south-central Louisiana as an upper-level trough moves
across the central US.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong northeast to east winds
over the NE Gulf will shift north of the area today. A cold front
will enter the NW Gulf tonight through Wed, then weaken and
dissipate Wed night. Moderate to fresh northwest to north winds
are expected west of the front. Another cold front is expected to
move into the NW Gulf waters Fri through Sat night, followed by
moderate to fresh northeast winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep-layer troughing in the western Caribbean supports scattered
moderate to strong convection N of 15N between 74W and 83W. In the
SW Caribbean, the influences from a surface trough and the East
Pacific monsoon trough are combining to support scattered moderate
convection S of 14N and W of 80W. Elsewhere, the pressure
difference between surface ridging across the Atlantic and lower
pressure over Colombia supports moderate to fresh trades and 4-6
ft seas across much of the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle
to moderate or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area by midweek.
This will diminish the moderate trades across the central and
eastern Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
A frontal boundary is analyzed from a 1016 mb low near 31N36W to
28N39W to 26N60W, where it then transitions to a shear line that
extends westward through the central Bahamas and to the SE FL
coast. Scattered moderate convection is occurring N of 22N between
55W and 66W. Winds quickly increase from gentle to moderate
trades S of the front and shear line to fresh to strong speeds N
of these features. Seas of 8-11 ft are seen N of the front and
shear line as well, with 5-8 ft seas S of these features. The
remainder of the Atlantic is seeing gentle to moderate or weaker
trade winds and 4-7 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an old frontal boundary extends
from near 26N55W westward to 26N60W, then becomes a shear line to
27N70W and to the central Bahamas near 25N78W. Strong high
pressure is centered north of Bermuda. The pressure gradient
between these features will support widespread fresh to strong
northeast to east winds and rough seas to 11 ft north of the
frontal boundary and shear line west of about 60W today. Broad low
pressure is expected to develop along the frontal boundary
southwest of Bermuda, roughly from 27N to 28N, tonight through
Wed, and track slowly east- northeastward during the rest of the
week. A broad zone of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to
very rough seas, peaking near 16 ft, will develop north of the low
pressure and expand eastward Wed through Fri, impacting the
waters mainly north of about 27N. The gale- force winds will
likely be north of 29N from Wed afternoon through early Fri. A
weakening cold front will move across the waters between Florida
and 75W Fri and Fri night, then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 05:13:03 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:31:59 GMT - Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:13:03 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031712
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is expected to form along a weakening
frontal boundary a few hundred miles south of Bermuda over the next
day or so. This system could gradually acquire some subtropical
characteristics late this week or this weekend while it moves slowly
eastward over the western to central Subtropical Atlantic. By early
next week, environmental conditions are forecast to become
unfavorable for further development. For more information on this
system, including Gale Warnings, please see High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 16:15:32 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
547
NOUS42 KNHC 031615
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EST TUE 03 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-156
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf