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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 04:37:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
943
AXNT20 KNHC 250437
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.8N 42.3W at 0300 UTC,
moving W at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak
seas to 13 ft are occurring within 75 nm across the NW
semicircle. Numerous strong convection is noted within 90 nm of
the center. Some strengthening is expected overnight before
weakening likely commences by Fri afternoon or evening. A
generally westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next few days.
Invest AL90 across the far eastern Atlantic, has been named
Tropical Storm Gonzalo, forming to the south-southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Gonzalo is centered near 13.2N 22.1W at 0300 UTC,
moving N-NW at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gust
to 50 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Recent
satellite scatterometer data showed that the center still remains
somewhat elongated but with a large fetch of 30-40 kt easterly
winds across the northern semicircle. Peak seas are to 14 ft
across this area. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection prevails across the SE semicircle of Gonzalo from 08N
to 17N between 16W and 25W. Tropical Storm Warnings have been
issued for the Cabo Verde Islands. Gonzalo is expected to move
north-northwestward during the next couple of days, passing near
or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight.
After about 24 hours, moderate to strong vertical wind shear and
cooling SSTs are expected to cause a gradual weakening trend.
Gonzalo is expected to become a post tropical remnant low to the
north of the Cabo Verdes by 72 hours and meander there for a few
days as steering currents become very weak. Heavy rains from
Gonzalo could affect the eastern islands of Cabo Verde and the
western coast of Africa between Guinea-Bissau to Senegal today
through Saturday.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America and Southern Mexico: A mid to
upper-level trough currently extends from the eastern Gulf of
America across the Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while
relatively warm sea surface temperatures and abundant low level
moisture are present. An elongated low level trough will prevail
across this area during the next several days, and aid in
funneling enhanced tropical moisture across Central America and
the western Caribbean, supporting periods of heavy rainfall
through Sat. There is still some uncertainty regarding the exact
location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks
likely across extreme southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern
and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and
eastern Belize, as well as across portions of Costa Rica and
Panama. Convection across the area has diminished in the past few
hours, with scattered moderate isolated strong showers and
thunderstorms extending from the Gulf of Honduras northeastward
across the Cayman Islands, across western Jamaica and eastern
Cuba. Heavy rainfall across these regions will create the
possibility of life- threatening flash flooding and landslides.
Please refer to local weather services as well as the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 51W-52W, S of
14W, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted behind the wave, from 10N to 13.5N between 46W and 51W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 13N
into central Colombia, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant
convection is depicted over water in association with this wave,
while numerous moderate to strong convection is observed over much
of northern Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the E Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania and meanders west the southwestward to low pressure
near 13N22W, which has since become T.S. Gonzalo, then extends
southwest to 10N25W to near 10N48W. There is no well defined
ITCZ further west at this time. Scattered moderate convection is
south of the monsoon trough from 07N to 09.5N between 25W and 32W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from SW Florida near Marco Islands to
the central Texas coast, but has recently begun to drift southward
to the E of 90W. Widely scattered showers are occurring along the
from between 86W and 90W. A more significant cold front has moved
into the NE Gulf, and extends from northern Tampa Bay to near
Mobile Bay. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds are found north of
the stationary front, while fresh NE winds are spilling across
the Florida Bid Bend behind the cold front. Seas of 3 to 4 ft are
found within 120 nm N of the stationary boundary, and across the
Big Bend. To the south, gentle winds and 1 to 3 ft seas dominate,
except for moderate N to NE winds along the NW coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula, where scattered thunderstorms have entered the
eastern Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, a cold front extending from Mobile Bay to the
Tampa Bay area will move southwestward and gradually merge with a
weakening stationary front across the central Gulf, then progress
across the E Gulf tonight and Fri, then stall over the Straits of
Florida Sat before weakening. Moderate to locally fresh winds
will follow the front through Fri night. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds will prevail through Sat night. Winds will diminish
slightly Sun into early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on
upper-level low pressure across the far western Caribbean that is
expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall over portions of
Central America into the weekend.
At the surface, very weak high pressure is across the western
Atlantic between the Bahamas and 60W. The resultant pressure
gradient across the Caribbean is yielding moderate to fresh trades
across the south-central basin S of 15N and between 63W and 73W.
Seas in these winds are 4 to 6 ft. Over the eastern Caribbean
moderate winds prevail with 3 to 4 ft seas, Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight seas prevail, except moderate seas across
the SW.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere through the next several days. An upper-
level trough will support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Fay and Tropical Storm Gonzalo.
A mid to upper-level trough extending from the coasts of the
Carolinas southwestward across the eastern Gulf of America has
allowed for two frontal systems to move into the area NW Atlantic
waters, and also supports scattered showers and thunderstorms from
the Straits of Florida, across the Bahamas and northeastward
towards Bermuda. A stationary front extends from the Storm-force
low center offshore of Cape Hatteras southwestward through 31N73W
to south Florida, followed by a reinforcing cold front across the
NW waters along 31N78W to near Cape Canaveral. Strong N to NE
winds 20-30 kt are filling into the area waters behind the cold
front, and producing building N-NE swell moving into the waters N
of the Bahamas and W of 65W. Local buoys show seas of 6 ft as far
south as Vero Beach, Florida increasing to 13 ft near 30N80W.
Ahead of these fronts, a 1010 mb low center is located near
27.5N76W. Gentle to moderate SE to S winds prevail across the area
E of this low to 68W, and become fresh SW winds ahead of the
stationary front and N of 30N. Seas across the area are 4 to 8 ft
in building N swell.
Another upper-level low is drifting westward near 25N54W. This
feature is interacting with a surface trough resulting in an area
of scattered moderate convection from 21N to 27N between 51W and
60W. Outside of this convection, a weak pressure gradient
continues across much of the Atlantic, as high pressure remains
centered across the far NE Atlantic offshore of Europe, and drapes
over T.S. Fay. This pattern is sustaining gentle to moderate
trades S of 20N and variable light to gentle winds and seas of 3
to 6 ft elsewhere W of 30W. However, swell generated from
Tropical Storm Fay is producing seas of 6 to 12 ft N of 28N
between 40W and 45W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front from near
31N73W to south Florida will gradually merge with the cold front
Fri and then shift southeastward, reaching from near Bermuda to
the Straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected along
the frontal boundary. Fresh to strong winds and large N-NE swell
will follow the front through Fri, before beginning to subside Sat
through Sun.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 04:37:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
943
AXNT20 KNHC 250437
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.8N 42.3W at 0300 UTC,
moving W at 5 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 45 kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak
seas to 13 ft are occurring within 75 nm across the NW
semicircle. Numerous strong convection is noted within 90 nm of
the center. Some strengthening is expected overnight before
weakening likely commences by Fri afternoon or evening. A
generally westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is
expected over the next few days.
Invest AL90 across the far eastern Atlantic, has been named
Tropical Storm Gonzalo, forming to the south-southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands. Gonzalo is centered near 13.2N 22.1W at 0300 UTC,
moving N-NW at 7 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gust
to 50 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb. Recent
satellite scatterometer data showed that the center still remains
somewhat elongated but with a large fetch of 30-40 kt easterly
winds across the northern semicircle. Peak seas are to 14 ft
across this area. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection prevails across the SE semicircle of Gonzalo from 08N
to 17N between 16W and 25W. Tropical Storm Warnings have been
issued for the Cabo Verde Islands. Gonzalo is expected to move
north-northwestward during the next couple of days, passing near
or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight.
After about 24 hours, moderate to strong vertical wind shear and
cooling SSTs are expected to cause a gradual weakening trend.
Gonzalo is expected to become a post tropical remnant low to the
north of the Cabo Verdes by 72 hours and meander there for a few
days as steering currents become very weak. Heavy rains from
Gonzalo could affect the eastern islands of Cabo Verde and the
western coast of Africa between Guinea-Bissau to Senegal today
through Saturday.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America and Southern Mexico: A mid to
upper-level trough currently extends from the eastern Gulf of
America across the Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while
relatively warm sea surface temperatures and abundant low level
moisture are present. An elongated low level trough will prevail
across this area during the next several days, and aid in
funneling enhanced tropical moisture across Central America and
the western Caribbean, supporting periods of heavy rainfall
through Sat. There is still some uncertainty regarding the exact
location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks
likely across extreme southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern
and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and
eastern Belize, as well as across portions of Costa Rica and
Panama. Convection across the area has diminished in the past few
hours, with scattered moderate isolated strong showers and
thunderstorms extending from the Gulf of Honduras northeastward
across the Cayman Islands, across western Jamaica and eastern
Cuba. Heavy rainfall across these regions will create the
possibility of life- threatening flash flooding and landslides.
Please refer to local weather services as well as the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 51W-52W, S of
14W, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted behind the wave, from 10N to 13.5N between 46W and 51W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 13N
into central Colombia, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant
convection is depicted over water in association with this wave,
while numerous moderate to strong convection is observed over much
of northern Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the E Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania and meanders west the southwestward to low pressure
near 13N22W, which has since become T.S. Gonzalo, then extends
southwest to 10N25W to near 10N48W. There is no well defined
ITCZ further west at this time. Scattered moderate convection is
south of the monsoon trough from 07N to 09.5N between 25W and 32W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from SW Florida near Marco Islands to
the central Texas coast, but has recently begun to drift southward
to the E of 90W. Widely scattered showers are occurring along the
from between 86W and 90W. A more significant cold front has moved
into the NE Gulf, and extends from northern Tampa Bay to near
Mobile Bay. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds are found north of
the stationary front, while fresh NE winds are spilling across
the Florida Bid Bend behind the cold front. Seas of 3 to 4 ft are
found within 120 nm N of the stationary boundary, and across the
Big Bend. To the south, gentle winds and 1 to 3 ft seas dominate,
except for moderate N to NE winds along the NW coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula, where scattered thunderstorms have entered the
eastern Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, a cold front extending from Mobile Bay to the
Tampa Bay area will move southwestward and gradually merge with a
weakening stationary front across the central Gulf, then progress
across the E Gulf tonight and Fri, then stall over the Straits of
Florida Sat before weakening. Moderate to locally fresh winds
will follow the front through Fri night. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds will prevail through Sat night. Winds will diminish
slightly Sun into early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on
upper-level low pressure across the far western Caribbean that is
expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall over portions of
Central America into the weekend.
At the surface, very weak high pressure is across the western
Atlantic between the Bahamas and 60W. The resultant pressure
gradient across the Caribbean is yielding moderate to fresh trades
across the south-central basin S of 15N and between 63W and 73W.
Seas in these winds are 4 to 6 ft. Over the eastern Caribbean
moderate winds prevail with 3 to 4 ft seas, Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight seas prevail, except moderate seas across
the SW.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere through the next several days. An upper-
level trough will support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Fay and Tropical Storm Gonzalo.
A mid to upper-level trough extending from the coasts of the
Carolinas southwestward across the eastern Gulf of America has
allowed for two frontal systems to move into the area NW Atlantic
waters, and also supports scattered showers and thunderstorms from
the Straits of Florida, across the Bahamas and northeastward
towards Bermuda. A stationary front extends from the Storm-force
low center offshore of Cape Hatteras southwestward through 31N73W
to south Florida, followed by a reinforcing cold front across the
NW waters along 31N78W to near Cape Canaveral. Strong N to NE
winds 20-30 kt are filling into the area waters behind the cold
front, and producing building N-NE swell moving into the waters N
of the Bahamas and W of 65W. Local buoys show seas of 6 ft as far
south as Vero Beach, Florida increasing to 13 ft near 30N80W.
Ahead of these fronts, a 1010 mb low center is located near
27.5N76W. Gentle to moderate SE to S winds prevail across the area
E of this low to 68W, and become fresh SW winds ahead of the
stationary front and N of 30N. Seas across the area are 4 to 8 ft
in building N swell.
Another upper-level low is drifting westward near 25N54W. This
feature is interacting with a surface trough resulting in an area
of scattered moderate convection from 21N to 27N between 51W and
60W. Outside of this convection, a weak pressure gradient
continues across much of the Atlantic, as high pressure remains
centered across the far NE Atlantic offshore of Europe, and drapes
over T.S. Fay. This pattern is sustaining gentle to moderate
trades S of 20N and variable light to gentle winds and seas of 3
to 6 ft elsewhere W of 30W. However, swell generated from
Tropical Storm Fay is producing seas of 6 to 12 ft N of 28N
between 40W and 45W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front from near
31N73W to south Florida will gradually merge with the cold front
Fri and then shift southeastward, reaching from near Bermuda to
the Straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected along
the frontal boundary. Fresh to strong winds and large N-NE swell
will follow the front through Fri, before beginning to subside Sat
through Sun.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 05:57:59 +0000: Tropical Storm Gonzalo Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2026 03:28:34 GMT - Fri, 25 Sep 2026 05:39:35 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Gonzalo (AT2/AL072026) - NHC Atlantic
...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING... As of 5:00 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 the center of Gonzalo was located near 13.7, -22.3 with movement NNW at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph. - Fri, 25 Sep 2026 05:39:35 +0000: Tropical Storm Gonzalo Public Advisory Number 1a - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 500 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026000 WTNT32 KNHC 250539 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Gonzalo Intermediate Advisory Number 1A NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026 500 AM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026 ...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS LATER THIS MORNING... SUMMARY OF 500 AM CVT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.7N 22.3W ABOUT 160 MI...260 KM ESE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY: None. SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT: A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for... * The Cabo Verde Islands. A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within 24 hours. For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products issued by your national meteorological service. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM CVT (0600 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Gonzalo was located near latitude 13.7 North, longitude 22.3 West. Gonzalo is moving toward the north-northwest near 8 mph (13 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue over the next several days, with a slower forward speed this weekend. On the forecast track, the center will pass near or over portions of the Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible today, with a gradual weakening trend forecast to begin this weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 175 miles (280 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- Key messages for Gonzalo can be found in the Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header WTNT42 KNHC. WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to reach the Cabo Verde Islands within the warning area later this morning. RAINFALL: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to produce rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches (30 to 75 mm) across the eastern portions of the Cabo Verde Islands on Friday and Saturday with less than 1 inch anticipated for the western side of the island chain. Heavy rain along the coastal areas of Guinea-Bissau, The Gambia, and Senegal will produce totals between 2 to 4 inches (50 to 100 mm) with isolated higher amounts along the immediate coast. SURF: Swells generated by the storm are expected to affect the Cabo Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 800 AM CVT. $$ Forecaster Kelly
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 05:29:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
257
ABNT20 KNHC 250529
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Tropical Storm Gonzalo, located about 160 miles east-southeast of
the southernmost Cabo Verde Islands, and on Tropical Storm Fay,
located well to the west-southwest of the Azores.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Gonzalo are issued under WMO
header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Gonzalo are issued under WMO
header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
$$
Forecaster Hagen - Fri, 25 Sep 2026 03:22:48 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2026 03:22:48 GMT
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:15:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 242113
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0515 PM EDT THU 24 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-117 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS (NO CHANGES)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM NOLO (NO CHANGES)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
A. 25/1730Z,2330Z A. 26/0530Z,0830Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0315E NOLO B. AFXXX 0415E NOLO
C. 25/1545Z C. 26/0400Z
D. 16.6N 155.6W D. 17.5N 155.4W
E. 25/1700Z TO 25/2330Z E. 26/0500Z TO 26/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES ON NOLO.
B. (CHANGED) NOAA 43 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR AND FIX MISSION INTO
HURRICANE POLO FOR 27/0000Z, DEPARTING KHRL AT 26/1900Z.
3. REMARKS:
A. NOAA 42 WILL CONDUCT AN 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO POLO
ON FRIDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 25/1300Z. DURING THE MISSION,
FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN THE STORM
ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
B. (CHANGED) NOAA 43 WILL ALSO CONDUCT AN 8-HOUR RESEARCH
MISSION INTO POLO ON FRIDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 25/1900Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





