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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 18 May 2026 04:11:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180410
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon May 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 11N,
moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
south of 07N and between 17W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, south of 14N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant convection is observed near
the trough axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is present
near the trough axis in the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the border of
Guinea-Bissau and Guinea, continues southwestward to 04N20W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N20W to 02N35W and to 02N50W. Isolated showers
are evident near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A tight pressure gradient between a broad subtropical ridge over
the Atlantic and lower pressures over Mexico sustain fresh to
strong E-SE winds and moderate seas over much of the western and
south-central Gulf waters. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Fairly tranquil weather
conditions are noted across the basin, except for some showers in
the nearshore waters of western Florida, Veracruz and Tamaulipas.
Agricultural fires in SE Mexico and Central America are causing
hazy conditions in the western Gulf waters, with the worse
conditions occurring in the Bay of Campeche. Mariners are advised
to use caution due to decreased visibilities in these waters.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will extend
a ridge over and just north of the Gulf into late week. Expect
moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this week
between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico. Also
expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings through midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating sustain a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms over portions of Cuba and Hispaniola. Tight
pressure gradient will continue to support fresh to strong NE to
E winds and 6 to 9 ft seas at the central Caribbean, and in the
Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh breezes and moderate seas are
noted in the eastern Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent elsewhere. Rough seas
associated with large E swell impact the water passages of the
Lesser Antilles
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras through Tue night, with moderate to fresh trades
across the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be
expected in the central Caribbean through Wednesday morning as
well. Large E swell resulting in rough seas will impact the
tropical Atlantic waters through Tue, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from 31N59W to 25N71W.
Coupling with an upper-level trough over the western Atlantic,
scattered moderate convection is occurring north of 21N and between
65W and 72W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are found across much of the SW North Atlantic, especially
west of 60W.
The central and eastern Atlantic is dominated by an extensive
subtropical ridge centered near 31N37W. Tight pressure gradient
between this ridge and lower pressures in western Africa support
fresh to strong N-NE winds and rough seas north of 17N and east of
21W. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and rough seas are
found south of 25N and between 21W and 60W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and rough seas
with E swell overnight east of the Leeward Islands. A weak frontal
remnant trough extending from 31N58W to E of the Bahamas will
dissipate overnight, leaving tranquil marine conditions in place
through midweek.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 18 May 2026 04:11:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180410
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon May 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 11N,
moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
south of 07N and between 17W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, south of 14N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant convection is observed near
the trough axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is present
near the trough axis in the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the border of
Guinea-Bissau and Guinea, continues southwestward to 04N20W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N20W to 02N35W and to 02N50W. Isolated showers
are evident near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A tight pressure gradient between a broad subtropical ridge over
the Atlantic and lower pressures over Mexico sustain fresh to
strong E-SE winds and moderate seas over much of the western and
south-central Gulf waters. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Fairly tranquil weather
conditions are noted across the basin, except for some showers in
the nearshore waters of western Florida, Veracruz and Tamaulipas.
Agricultural fires in SE Mexico and Central America are causing
hazy conditions in the western Gulf waters, with the worse
conditions occurring in the Bay of Campeche. Mariners are advised
to use caution due to decreased visibilities in these waters.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will extend
a ridge over and just north of the Gulf into late week. Expect
moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this week
between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico. Also
expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings through midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating sustain a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms over portions of Cuba and Hispaniola. Tight
pressure gradient will continue to support fresh to strong NE to
E winds and 6 to 9 ft seas at the central Caribbean, and in the
Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh breezes and moderate seas are
noted in the eastern Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent elsewhere. Rough seas
associated with large E swell impact the water passages of the
Lesser Antilles
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras through Tue night, with moderate to fresh trades
across the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be
expected in the central Caribbean through Wednesday morning as
well. Large E swell resulting in rough seas will impact the
tropical Atlantic waters through Tue, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from 31N59W to 25N71W.
Coupling with an upper-level trough over the western Atlantic,
scattered moderate convection is occurring north of 21N and between
65W and 72W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are found across much of the SW North Atlantic, especially
west of 60W.
The central and eastern Atlantic is dominated by an extensive
subtropical ridge centered near 31N37W. Tight pressure gradient
between this ridge and lower pressures in western Africa support
fresh to strong N-NE winds and rough seas north of 17N and east of
21W. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and rough seas are
found south of 25N and between 21W and 60W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and rough seas
with E swell overnight east of the Leeward Islands. A weak frontal
remnant trough extending from 31N58W to E of the Bahamas will
dissipate overnight, leaving tranquil marine conditions in place
through midweek.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 19 May 2026 17:01:57 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 18 May 2026 05:03:33 GMT - Mon, 18 May 2026 05:01:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 180501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon May 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf