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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 21:26:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272126
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge over
    the eastern United States and a stationary front extending from
    31N60W to a 1010 mb low pres system over the NW Bahamas supports
    a large area of strong to gale-force NE winds and rough to very
    rough seas across the waters north of the front and west of the
    low. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
    associated with these features, more concentrated from 23N to 29N
    between 66W and 73W. Abundant tropical moisture will remain in
    place in this area, favoring periods of locally heavy rain over
    parts of eastern Cuba, Hispaniola and the Bahamas during the next
    few days, resulting in localized flooding.

    Winds will diminish below gale-force by this evening. However,
    fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE swell
    will persist to the north of the front through the workweek and
    into the upcoming weekend, gradually diminishing. Mariners are
    urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and
    take the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast Africa
    near 11N15W and continues to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends from 10N20W
    to 10N50W to near 08N60W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 07N to 12N between 30W and 57W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the eastern of the United States extends a
    ridge across the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between the
    ridge and low pres over the NW Bahamas is supporting moderate to
    fresh winds E of 90W. Moderate to rough seas are over these
    waters. Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas are found west
    of 90W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a strong
    ridge over the eastern United States and a complex weather system
    over the Bahamas will force fresh to strong NE to E winds and
    rough seas over the E Gulf into Thu. Winds and seas will gradually
    diminish late this week into the weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to
    moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail through the forecast
    period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends from low pres over the NW Bahamas across
    central Cuba and across the western Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
    northerly winds and moderate seas are found N of 16N and W of the
    trough. Moderate winds and moderate seas are found over the
    eastern Caribbean east of 70W. Light to gentle winds, and slight
    to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the surface trough will remain nearly
    stationary. Ample tropical moisture and upper-level divergence
    support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms especially E
    of the trough. The surface trough will gradually weaken through
    the middle of the week. Winds and seas will diminish in the W
    Caribbean Wed. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade winds in
    the E Caribbean will continue over the next few days, gradually
    extending westward this week and into the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A Gale Warning is in effect for the SW North Atlantic. Please, see
    the Special Features section above for more information.

    Aside from the Gale conditions discussed in the Special Features
    section above, a stationary front extends from 31N34W to 29N40W.
    Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas are west of the front
    to near 55W. Rough seas are found N of 27N and E of the front to
    28W. Elsewhere, high pressure dominates the waters N of 20N,
    anchored by a 1020 mb high centered near 26N36W. Light to gentle
    winds, and moderate seas are in the vicinity of the high center.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds will diminish to just below
    gale-force this evening, but strong NE to E winds and rough to
    very rough seas will persist north of 27N and west of 65W through
    mid week as the low pressure moves to the southwest and the front
    weakens. Weak low pressure will form southwest of Bermuda by Fri,
    then lift to the northeast and reinforce the front waters between
    the central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh NE winds and seas
    to 7 ft north of the front through Sun.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 21:26:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272126
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Oct 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge over
    the eastern United States and a stationary front extending from
    31N60W to a 1010 mb low pres system over the NW Bahamas supports
    a large area of strong to gale-force NE winds and rough to very
    rough seas across the waters north of the front and west of the
    low. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are
    associated with these features, more concentrated from 23N to 29N
    between 66W and 73W. Abundant tropical moisture will remain in
    place in this area, favoring periods of locally heavy rain over
    parts of eastern Cuba, Hispaniola and the Bahamas during the next
    few days, resulting in localized flooding.

    Winds will diminish below gale-force by this evening. However,
    fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE swell
    will persist to the north of the front through the workweek and
    into the upcoming weekend, gradually diminishing. Mariners are
    urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and
    take the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast Africa
    near 11N15W and continues to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends from 10N20W
    to 10N50W to near 08N60W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 07N to 12N between 30W and 57W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the eastern of the United States extends a
    ridge across the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between the
    ridge and low pres over the NW Bahamas is supporting moderate to
    fresh winds E of 90W. Moderate to rough seas are over these
    waters. Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas are found west
    of 90W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a strong
    ridge over the eastern United States and a complex weather system
    over the Bahamas will force fresh to strong NE to E winds and
    rough seas over the E Gulf into Thu. Winds and seas will gradually
    diminish late this week into the weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to
    moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail through the forecast
    period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends from low pres over the NW Bahamas across
    central Cuba and across the western Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
    northerly winds and moderate seas are found N of 16N and W of the
    trough. Moderate winds and moderate seas are found over the
    eastern Caribbean east of 70W. Light to gentle winds, and slight
    to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the surface trough will remain nearly
    stationary. Ample tropical moisture and upper-level divergence
    support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms especially E
    of the trough. The surface trough will gradually weaken through
    the middle of the week. Winds and seas will diminish in the W
    Caribbean Wed. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade winds in
    the E Caribbean will continue over the next few days, gradually
    extending westward this week and into the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A Gale Warning is in effect for the SW North Atlantic. Please, see
    the Special Features section above for more information.

    Aside from the Gale conditions discussed in the Special Features
    section above, a stationary front extends from 31N34W to 29N40W.
    Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas are west of the front
    to near 55W. Rough seas are found N of 27N and E of the front to
    28W. Elsewhere, high pressure dominates the waters N of 20N,
    anchored by a 1020 mb high centered near 26N36W. Light to gentle
    winds, and moderate seas are in the vicinity of the high center.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds will diminish to just below
    gale-force this evening, but strong NE to E winds and rough to
    very rough seas will persist north of 27N and west of 65W through
    mid week as the low pressure moves to the southwest and the front
    weakens. Weak low pressure will form southwest of Bermuda by Fri,
    then lift to the northeast and reinforce the front waters between
    the central Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh NE winds and seas
    to 7 ft north of the front through Sun.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 11:05:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 03:23:32 GMT
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 23:05:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    773
    ABNT20 KNHC 272305
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 18:15:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271815
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1025 AM EDT TUE 27 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-149

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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