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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 19:57:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 241957
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Sep 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.8N 41.2W at 24/1500 UTC
or 860 nm WSW of the Azores, moving W at 5 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45
kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas to 12 ft are occurring within
75 nm across the NW semicircle. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted within 130 nm over the NE and NW and 70 nm SW
quadrants. Some additional strengthening is possible
through tonight. A gradual weakening trend is expected to
commence on Friday. A generally westward motion with some
decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov
for more details.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system could
become a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm later
today or on Friday while it moves northwestward to northward.
Increasing upper-level winds, however, should prevent further
development over the weekend. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands
should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds, areas
of heavy rain, and flash flooding are possible over the islands by
Friday. Heavy rain and flash flooding could also occur well to the
east along the coast of western Africa, particularly in western
portions of Senegal, The Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, and southwest
portions of Mauritania. This system has a high chance of
formation in the next 48 hours.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America: A mid to upper-level trough
currently extends from the eastern Gulf of America across the
Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while relatively warm sea
surface temperatures and abundant low level moisture are present.
An elongated low level trough will prevail across this area during
the next several days, and aid in funneling enhanced tropical
moisture across Central America and the western Caribbean,
supporting periods of heavy rainfall through Sat the 26th. There
is still some uncertainty regarding the exact location of heaviest
rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks likely across extreme
southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala,
western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as
well as across portions of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently,
numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms extends from the Gulf
of Honduras, north- northeastward across the Cayman Islands and
into the southern coastal waters of Cuba, and across Andros Island
and the remainder of the NW Bahamas W of 73W. Heavy rainfall
across these regions will create the possibility of life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to local
weather services as well as the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
See Special Features section above for information on a tropical
wave in the far eastern Atlantic along 20N that has potential for
tropical formation.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 46W, S of 14.5W,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 13N between the wave axis and 51W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 14N
into southern Venezuela, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is depicted over waters in association
with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the E Atlantic near 16N17W and extends
southward to 1007 low pressure near 12.3N21.1W then continues
westward to 10.5N49W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N49W and continues
to to near 10N59.5W. Scattered showers prevail from 04.5N to 09N
between 27.5W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 09N to 13N west of 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A frontal boundary extends from south Florida to NE Texas.
Moderate to locally fresh NE winds along with seas 2 to 4 ft
prevail in the wake of the front. Elsewhere, weak high pressure
prevails ahead of the front supporting light to gentle NE to E
winds along with seas 1 to 3 ft.
For the forecast, the aforementioned front is forecast to
progress across the E Gulf tonight and Fri, then stall over the SE
Gulf this weekend. Moderate to locally fresh winds will follow
the front through Fri night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds
will prevail through Sat night. Winds will diminish slightly Sun
into early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on
upper-level low pressure across the far western Caribbean,
and expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall over portions of
Central America into the weekend.
To the east, an upper level trough extends from the central
Atlantic southwestward to northern Venezuela. This trough is
supporting scattered moderate convection south of 13N and east of
65W.
At the surface, high pressure across the central Atlantic extends
a weak ridge north of the area, producing a weak pressure
gradient across the Caribbean basin. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across most of the basin S of 15N and E of 80W. Seas in
these winds are 4 to 7 ft. Over the eastern Caribbean moderate
winds prevail along and 3 to 5 ft in the moderate winds.
Elsewhere, outside of convection, light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, the weak pressure gradient will generate
moderate to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle
to moderate winds elsewhere. An upper-level trough will support
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Fay.
A deep-layered upper trough extending from the middle Atlantic
states of the U.S. S-SW across the eastern Gulf of America
continues to support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms from the NW Caribbean across the NW and central
Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters. Abundant low-level tropical
moisture is across much of the Atlantic W of 68W, trapped to the
south of an approaching front offshore of the SE U.S. and is
interacting with the upper trough. A surface trough is analyzed
within this convection across the NW Bahamas through the Straits
of Florida. A weak frontal boundary extends from 31N75W to South
Florida. Moderate to fresh winds prevail behind the front, except
for strong winds offshore NE Florida along with seas to 9 ft.
Ahead of the front, north of 28N and between 71W and 73W moderate
S to SW winds prevail.
Another upper-level low is drifting westward near 25N53W. This
feature is interacting with a surface trough resulting in an area
of scattered moderate convection from 21N to 28N between 50W and
56W. Outside of this convection, a weak pressure gradient
continues across much of the Atlantic, as high pressure remains
centered across the far NE Atlantic offshore of Europe. This
pattern is sustaining gentle to moderate trades S of 20N and
variable light to gentle winds elsewhere W of 35W. However, swell
generated from Tropical Storm Fay is producing seas of 6 to 11 ft
N of 28N between 38W and 45W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary
will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the Straits of
Florida Sat night before starting to weaken. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are expected along the frontal
boundary. Fresh to strong winds and increasing seas will follow
the front through Fri, before decreasing on Sat.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 19:57:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 241957
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Sep 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.8N 41.2W at 24/1500 UTC
or 860 nm WSW of the Azores, moving W at 5 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45
kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas to 12 ft are occurring within
75 nm across the NW semicircle. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted within 130 nm over the NE and NW and 70 nm SW
quadrants. Some additional strengthening is possible
through tonight. A gradual weakening trend is expected to
commence on Friday. A generally westward motion with some
decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at www.hurricanes.gov
for more details.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL90):
An elongated area of low pressure located a few hundred miles
south-southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large
area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms. This system could
become a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm later
today or on Friday while it moves northwestward to northward.
Increasing upper-level winds, however, should prevent further
development over the weekend. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands
should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds, areas
of heavy rain, and flash flooding are possible over the islands by
Friday. Heavy rain and flash flooding could also occur well to the
east along the coast of western Africa, particularly in western
portions of Senegal, The Gambia, Guinea-Bissau, and southwest
portions of Mauritania. This system has a high chance of
formation in the next 48 hours.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America: A mid to upper-level trough
currently extends from the eastern Gulf of America across the
Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while relatively warm sea
surface temperatures and abundant low level moisture are present.
An elongated low level trough will prevail across this area during
the next several days, and aid in funneling enhanced tropical
moisture across Central America and the western Caribbean,
supporting periods of heavy rainfall through Sat the 26th. There
is still some uncertainty regarding the exact location of heaviest
rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks likely across extreme
southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala,
western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as
well as across portions of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently,
numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms extends from the Gulf
of Honduras, north- northeastward across the Cayman Islands and
into the southern coastal waters of Cuba, and across Andros Island
and the remainder of the NW Bahamas W of 73W. Heavy rainfall
across these regions will create the possibility of life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to local
weather services as well as the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
See Special Features section above for information on a tropical
wave in the far eastern Atlantic along 20N that has potential for
tropical formation.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 46W, S of 14.5W,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 13N between the wave axis and 51W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 14N
into southern Venezuela, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is depicted over waters in association
with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the E Atlantic near 16N17W and extends
southward to 1007 low pressure near 12.3N21.1W then continues
westward to 10.5N49W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N49W and continues
to to near 10N59.5W. Scattered showers prevail from 04.5N to 09N
between 27.5W and 36W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 09N to 13N west of 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A frontal boundary extends from south Florida to NE Texas.
Moderate to locally fresh NE winds along with seas 2 to 4 ft
prevail in the wake of the front. Elsewhere, weak high pressure
prevails ahead of the front supporting light to gentle NE to E
winds along with seas 1 to 3 ft.
For the forecast, the aforementioned front is forecast to
progress across the E Gulf tonight and Fri, then stall over the SE
Gulf this weekend. Moderate to locally fresh winds will follow
the front through Fri night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds
will prevail through Sat night. Winds will diminish slightly Sun
into early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on
upper-level low pressure across the far western Caribbean,
and expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall over portions of
Central America into the weekend.
To the east, an upper level trough extends from the central
Atlantic southwestward to northern Venezuela. This trough is
supporting scattered moderate convection south of 13N and east of
65W.
At the surface, high pressure across the central Atlantic extends
a weak ridge north of the area, producing a weak pressure
gradient across the Caribbean basin. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across most of the basin S of 15N and E of 80W. Seas in
these winds are 4 to 7 ft. Over the eastern Caribbean moderate
winds prevail along and 3 to 5 ft in the moderate winds.
Elsewhere, outside of convection, light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, the weak pressure gradient will generate
moderate to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle
to moderate winds elsewhere. An upper-level trough will support
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Fay.
A deep-layered upper trough extending from the middle Atlantic
states of the U.S. S-SW across the eastern Gulf of America
continues to support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms from the NW Caribbean across the NW and central
Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters. Abundant low-level tropical
moisture is across much of the Atlantic W of 68W, trapped to the
south of an approaching front offshore of the SE U.S. and is
interacting with the upper trough. A surface trough is analyzed
within this convection across the NW Bahamas through the Straits
of Florida. A weak frontal boundary extends from 31N75W to South
Florida. Moderate to fresh winds prevail behind the front, except
for strong winds offshore NE Florida along with seas to 9 ft.
Ahead of the front, north of 28N and between 71W and 73W moderate
S to SW winds prevail.
Another upper-level low is drifting westward near 25N53W. This
feature is interacting with a surface trough resulting in an area
of scattered moderate convection from 21N to 28N between 50W and
56W. Outside of this convection, a weak pressure gradient
continues across much of the Atlantic, as high pressure remains
centered across the far NE Atlantic offshore of Europe. This
pattern is sustaining gentle to moderate trades S of 20N and
variable light to gentle winds elsewhere W of 35W. However, swell
generated from Tropical Storm Fay is producing seas of 6 to 11 ft
N of 28N between 38W and 45W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary
will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the Straits of
Florida Sat night before starting to weaken. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are expected along the frontal
boundary. Fresh to strong winds and increasing seas will follow
the front through Fri, before decreasing on Sat.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:23:01 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:23:01 GMT - Thu, 24 Sep 2026 20:33:27 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 19 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 900 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026000 WTNT41 KNHC 242033 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 Deep convection continues near and northeast of Fay's center, though the southwestern portion of the circulation is partially exposed. There has been no significant change to the satellite intensity estimates, so the initial intensity remains 45 kt. Fay has some chance to intensify overnight before an increase in easterly shear helps mix in very dry air outside the central core. The shear is expected to get fairly strong by the weekend, which should cause Fay to decay into a post-tropical cyclone in a couple of days. No significant changes were made to the intensity forecast. Fay's initial motion is unchanged at 270/5 kt. A ridge over the central Atlantic should steer the storm slowly westward during the next few days. Track guidance is in relatively good agreement, and the new forecast is basically an update of the previous one, near the Google DeepMind and HCCA aids. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/2100Z 29.8N 41.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 25/0600Z 29.8N 42.5W 50 KT 60 MPH 24H 25/1800Z 29.7N 43.5W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 26/0600Z 29.5N 44.5W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 26/1800Z 29.5N 45.6W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 60H 27/0600Z 29.5N 46.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 27/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Blake
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 20:32:56 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 19 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 2100 UTC THU SEP 24 2026000 FONT11 KNHC 242032 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC THU SEP 24 2026 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 41.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BLAKE - Thu, 24 Sep 2026 20:32:26 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 19 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 900 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026000 WTNT31 KNHC 242032 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 19 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 ...FAY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 41.8W ABOUT 1020 MI...1640 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 41.8 West. Fay is moving toward the west near 6 mph (9 km/h). A generally westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts. Some strengthening is possible overnight before weakening likely commences by Friday afternoon. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Blake
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 20:32:26 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Fay (AT1/AL062026) - NHC Atlantic
...FAY CONTINUES MOVING WESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... As of 9:00 PM GMT Thu Sep 24 the center of Fay was located near 29.8, -41.8 with movement W at 6 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:15:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 242113
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0515 PM EDT THU 24 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-117 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS (NO CHANGES)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM NOLO (NO CHANGES)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
A. 25/1730Z,2330Z A. 26/0530Z,0830Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0315E NOLO B. AFXXX 0415E NOLO
C. 25/1545Z C. 26/0400Z
D. 16.6N 155.6W D. 17.5N 155.4W
E. 25/1700Z TO 25/2330Z E. 26/0500Z TO 26/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES ON NOLO.
B. (CHANGED) NOAA 43 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR AND FIX MISSION INTO
HURRICANE POLO FOR 27/0000Z, DEPARTING KHRL AT 26/1900Z.
3. REMARKS:
A. NOAA 42 WILL CONDUCT AN 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO POLO
ON FRIDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 25/1300Z. DURING THE MISSION,
FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN THE STORM
ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
B. (CHANGED) NOAA 43 WILL ALSO CONDUCT AN 8-HOUR RESEARCH
MISSION INTO POLO ON FRIDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 25/1900Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf