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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 28 Sep 2026 23:39:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 282339
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Fay is centered near 26.6N 45.3W at 28/2100
UTC or 1150 nm WSW of the Azores, moving SW at 8 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1011 mb. Maximum sustained wind
speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Seas to 10 ft are within 90 nm
in the NW semicircle from the center. Numerous strong convection
is within 60 nm of the center. A general SW to WSW motion is
anticipated over the next several days. Little change in strength
is expected through Tue, with weakening expected thereafter.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
Fay NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the Caribbean analyzed along 74W, south of
16N into western Colombia, moving west at 10 kt. There is no
convection over the central basin associated with this wave at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 20N16W to 07N41W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N41W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 09N to 15N between 22W and 36W. Similar convection is
depicted from 06N to 13N between 43W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Abundant low level moisture embedded in southeasterly flow from
the Yucatan is converging over the SE Gulf, under favorable upper
level conditions is producing numerous moderate isolated strong
convection S of 265N between 83W and 91W southward to 21N. A weak
stationary front is depicted over the coastal waters from Mobile
Bay to near Mexico Beach, Florida. Light to gentle winds and
slight seas dominate.
For the forecast, the weak stationary front over the north-
central Gulf will dissipate through early Tue. High pressure north
of the front is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds and building seas
over mostly the western Gulf by Tue night, as the high pressure
shifts eastward ahead of a cold front moving through the Southern
Plains. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish late in the
week as the front approaches the northwest Gulf Fri and Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep layer troughing is leading to numerous moderate to isolated
strong convection W of 78W. Mainly gentle trades dominate due to a
weak pressure gradient, but fresh E winds are ongoing in the Gulf
of Honduras and offshore Colombia. Seas are 3 to 5 ft across east
and central portions and 3 to 4 ft, and less than 3 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, a trough over the Bahamas and southeast Gulf
has displaced the usual subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean.
This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate trade winds and
slight seas across the basin. Expect moderate to fresh E to SE
winds and building seas across the basin by mid week as the high
pressure builds north of the area, with rough seas possible in the
Yucatan Channel and far NW Caribbean Thu night through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information on
Tropical Depression Fay.
A surface trough extends from 31N67W through the central Bahamas
and into the Florida Straits. Numerous thunderstorms continue
along this feature, expanding southward to 23N, W of 64W. Light
to gentle winds are found to the NW of the trough. To the E of it,
moderate S to SW winds are noted to 61W. T.D. Fay is centered
near 27.1N 44.6W, and is sandwiched in between to high centers at
26N39W and 29N53W. This pattern is leading to mainly gentle NE to
E winds S of 22N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, with 5 to 7
ft seas. Further east, the 1011 mb remnants of Gonzalo are near
21N25W, and is still producing moderate cyclonic winds and 5 to 7
ft seas to the N and W of the center. Elsewhere across the basin,
moderate seas dominate.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms persist along a trough reaching from 31N67W to the
central Bahamas and Florida Straits. The trough will dissipate
through Tue, allowing high pressure to build over the western
Atlantic. This pattern will support moderate to fresh E winds and
3-5 ft seas south of 25N by midweek.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 28 Sep 2026 23:39:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 282339
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Sep 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Fay is centered near 26.6N 45.3W at 28/2100
UTC or 1150 nm WSW of the Azores, moving SW at 8 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1011 mb. Maximum sustained wind
speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Seas to 10 ft are within 90 nm
in the NW semicircle from the center. Numerous strong convection
is within 60 nm of the center. A general SW to WSW motion is
anticipated over the next several days. Little change in strength
is expected through Tue, with weakening expected thereafter.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
Fay NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the Caribbean analyzed along 74W, south of
16N into western Colombia, moving west at 10 kt. There is no
convection over the central basin associated with this wave at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 20N16W to 07N41W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N41W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 09N to 15N between 22W and 36W. Similar convection is
depicted from 06N to 13N between 43W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Abundant low level moisture embedded in southeasterly flow from
the Yucatan is converging over the SE Gulf, under favorable upper
level conditions is producing numerous moderate isolated strong
convection S of 265N between 83W and 91W southward to 21N. A weak
stationary front is depicted over the coastal waters from Mobile
Bay to near Mexico Beach, Florida. Light to gentle winds and
slight seas dominate.
For the forecast, the weak stationary front over the north-
central Gulf will dissipate through early Tue. High pressure north
of the front is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds and building seas
over mostly the western Gulf by Tue night, as the high pressure
shifts eastward ahead of a cold front moving through the Southern
Plains. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish late in the
week as the front approaches the northwest Gulf Fri and Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep layer troughing is leading to numerous moderate to isolated
strong convection W of 78W. Mainly gentle trades dominate due to a
weak pressure gradient, but fresh E winds are ongoing in the Gulf
of Honduras and offshore Colombia. Seas are 3 to 5 ft across east
and central portions and 3 to 4 ft, and less than 3 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, a trough over the Bahamas and southeast Gulf
has displaced the usual subtropical ridge north of the Caribbean.
This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate trade winds and
slight seas across the basin. Expect moderate to fresh E to SE
winds and building seas across the basin by mid week as the high
pressure builds north of the area, with rough seas possible in the
Yucatan Channel and far NW Caribbean Thu night through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information on
Tropical Depression Fay.
A surface trough extends from 31N67W through the central Bahamas
and into the Florida Straits. Numerous thunderstorms continue
along this feature, expanding southward to 23N, W of 64W. Light
to gentle winds are found to the NW of the trough. To the E of it,
moderate S to SW winds are noted to 61W. T.D. Fay is centered
near 27.1N 44.6W, and is sandwiched in between to high centers at
26N39W and 29N53W. This pattern is leading to mainly gentle NE to
E winds S of 22N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, with 5 to 7
ft seas. Further east, the 1011 mb remnants of Gonzalo are near
21N25W, and is still producing moderate cyclonic winds and 5 to 7
ft seas to the N and W of the center. Elsewhere across the basin,
moderate seas dominate.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms persist along a trough reaching from 31N67W to the
central Bahamas and Florida Straits. The trough will dissipate
through Tue, allowing high pressure to build over the western
Atlantic. This pattern will support moderate to fresh E winds and
3-5 ft seas south of 25N by midweek.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 28 Sep 2026 21:28:59 +0000: Tropical Storm Hanna Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 28 Sep 2026 21:28:59 GMT - Mon, 28 Sep 2026 21:23:03 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 28 Sep 2026 21:23:03 GMT - Mon, 28 Sep 2026 20:43:28 +0000: Tropical Storm Hanna Forecast Discussion Number 2 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Sep 28 2026000 WTNT43 KNHC 282043 TCDAT3 Tropical Storm Hanna Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026 500 PM AST Mon Sep 28 2026 Since this morning, Hanna's convective structure has become a little more disheveled with the tropical storm is affected by 20-25 kt of westerly vertical wind shear. There has not been an appreciable change in the subjective or objective intensity estimates this afternoon, and the initial intensity is held at 40 kt. The initial motion of Hanna is east-southeastward at 115 degrees at 15 kt. Hanna is embedded in the flow in between a longwave trough to its northeast, and a larger subtropical ridge to its south. This synoptic pattern should result in a continued east-southeastward motion over the next 24-36 hours with some gradually slow down in the track as the mid-latitude trough leaves Hanna behind. Much of the track guidance then shows a slow east-northeastward motion after the cyclone becomes more vertically shallow and becomes influenced by a low-level ridge centered south of the Azores. The NHC track forecast is very similar to the previous one, roughly in between the simple (TVCN) and corrected consensus (HCCA) aids. Vertical wind shear over Hanna is expected to persist in over the next 48-72 h, though because the tropical storm is currently moving in the same direction as the shear vector, bursts of deep convection down-shear of the center may allow for some slight intensification, which is reflected in the HCCA intensity guidance. However, when Hanna slows down and turned more east-northeastward, the shear is expected to shift more out of the north, importing very dry tropospheric air into the circulation. Simulated satellite imagery from the ECMWF and hurricane-regional models still show convection ceasing over the storm in around 60 h, marking its transition to a post-tropical cyclone in the forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 28/2100Z 36.5N 48.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 29/0600Z 35.5N 46.1W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 29/1800Z 34.3N 44.3W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 30/0600Z 33.9N 43.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 30/1800Z 34.2N 42.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 01/0600Z 34.8N 41.0W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 01/1800Z 36.0N 38.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 02/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin
- Mon, 28 Sep 2026 20:40:27 +0000: Tropical Storm Hanna Public Advisory Number 2 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Sep 28 2026512 WTNT33 KNHC 282040 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Hanna Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026 500 PM AST Mon Sep 28 2026 ...HANNA FORECAST TO BE A SHORT LIVED TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...36.5N 48.7W ABOUT 960 MI...1545 KM ENE OF BERMUDA ABOUT 1195 MI...1920 KM W OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...ESE OR 115 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Hanna was located near latitude 36.5 North, longitude 48.7 West. Hanna is moving toward the east-southeast near 17 mph (28 km/h). A general east-southeast motion is forecast over the next day or two followed by a turn to the east-northeast. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Only slight intensification is forecast in the short-term and Hanna is likely to become a post-tropical cyclone by the latter part of this week. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1006 mb (29.71 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Papin
- Mon, 28 Sep 2026 20:40:27 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Hanna (AT3/AL082026) - NHC Atlantic
...HANNA FORECAST TO BE A SHORT LIVED TROPICAL STORM AS IT MOVES EASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 PM AST Mon Sep 28 the center of Hanna was located near 36.5, -48.7 with movement ESE at 17 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1006 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 28 Sep 2026 13:51:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 281351
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT MON 28 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-120
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: NOAA 42 WILL CONDUCT 8-HOUR P-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS INTO
TROPICAL STORM RACHEL TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT
29/1330Z AND 30/0100Z. DURING THE FIRST MISSION, FOUR SMALL
UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN THE STORM ENVIRONMENT. THEY
WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





