2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 03 Dec 2025 22:04:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 032204
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Dec 4 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1031 mb high
    centered near 35N27W and lower pressures over the Mediterranean
    Sea will support NE winds gusting to gale force offshore the
    Moroccan coast near Agadir. Accordingly, Meteo-France has issued a
    Gale Warning for the Agadir zone from 03/15 UTC to 04/00 UTC. For
    more information, please visit Meteo-France's website at:
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from the coastal border of Liberia and
    Sierra Leone near 07N12W to 04N21W. The ITCZ stretches from
    04N21W to 04N52W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from
    02N to 10N between the W coast of Africa and 33W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Florida Everglades to 24N88W
    to 1013 low pressure just offshore Tampico, Mexico. A surface
    trough extends from this low southward to just offshore Veracruz,
    Mexico, and another extends northward along the Texas coast. N of
    the front and W of 90W, fresh SE winds are ongoing, with seas of
    3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds prevail with seas of
    less than 3 ft.

    For the forecast, the stationary front will lift northward
    tonight as the low over the NW Gulf strengthens. Moderate to
    locally fresh southerly winds over the western Gulf will spread
    eastward tonight into Thu. Then, another cold front will enter the
    NW waters on Thu, and extend from SE Louisiana to near Tampico,
    Mexico Fri morning, then stall and also lift north toward the
    northern Gulf on Sat. Looking ahead, a stronger cold front is
    likely to sweep across the Gulf region late Sun into Mon, bringing
    fresh to strong NW to N winds over much of the basin. This front

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A robust surface trough along 64W is inducing numerous moderate
    convection along and E of it back into the Atlantic. In addition,
    fresh to strong E winds are present in the SE Caribbean to the E
    of the trough. Fresh trades are ongoing offshore Colombia and in
    the Windward Passage, otherwise NE to E winds are moderate or
    weaker across the basin. Seas are 5 to 7 ft in the SE Caribbean
    and offshore Colombia, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, building high pressure north of the Caribbean
    Sea will support moderate to fresh easterly winds over much of the
    basin starting Thu and continuing into early next week.
    Meanwhile, moderate to locally rough seas, in NE swell, will
    persist across the NE Caribbean passages through the week and into
    the weekend. A surface trough, currently located near 64W, will
    continue to move westward across the eastern Caribbean through
    tonight before dissipating. Fresh to strong winds and locally
    rough seas are noted in the wake of this trough. The associated
    moisture is producing some shower activity and isolated
    thunderstorms across much of the Lesser Antilles. Looking ahead, a
    cold front may approach the NW Caribbean early next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
    Warning in the far eastern Atlantic, offshore Morocco.

    A cold front extends from Bermuda to near Miami, Florida. A pre-
    frontal trough is noted from 28N70W to the Florida Straits.
    Another trough is farther east, with an axis from 30N63W to just N
    of Hispaniola. No significant convection is occurring with any of
    these features, and winds and seas for waters W of moderate or
    weaker.

    Much of the remaining Atlantic is dominated by ridging stemming
    from a 1031 mb high near 35N27W. The pressure gradient between
    this high and lower pressures in the tropics result in fresh to
    locally strong NE to E winds and seas of 7-11 ft occurring across
    much of the Atlantic between 10N and 30N and E of 60W. The two
    exceptions are near the Cabo Verde Islands and a region N of 24N
    between 40W and 55W where moderate to fresh winds and moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will extend from E of
    Bermuda to central Cuba by Thu morning, and from 31N55W to
    eastern Cuba by Fri morning while dissipating. High pressure will
    follow the front. Then, a ridge will dominate most of the forecast
    area through the end of the week. The next cold front is expected
    to clip the waters offshore of NE Florida during the upcoming
    weekend, with a stronger cold front reaching the same area on Mon.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 03 Dec 2025 22:04:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 032204
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Dec 4 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1031 mb high
    centered near 35N27W and lower pressures over the Mediterranean
    Sea will support NE winds gusting to gale force offshore the
    Moroccan coast near Agadir. Accordingly, Meteo-France has issued a
    Gale Warning for the Agadir zone from 03/15 UTC to 04/00 UTC. For
    more information, please visit Meteo-France's website at:
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from the coastal border of Liberia and
    Sierra Leone near 07N12W to 04N21W. The ITCZ stretches from
    04N21W to 04N52W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from
    02N to 10N between the W coast of Africa and 33W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Florida Everglades to 24N88W
    to 1013 low pressure just offshore Tampico, Mexico. A surface
    trough extends from this low southward to just offshore Veracruz,
    Mexico, and another extends northward along the Texas coast. N of
    the front and W of 90W, fresh SE winds are ongoing, with seas of
    3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, mainly gentle winds prevail with seas of
    less than 3 ft.

    For the forecast, the stationary front will lift northward
    tonight as the low over the NW Gulf strengthens. Moderate to
    locally fresh southerly winds over the western Gulf will spread
    eastward tonight into Thu. Then, another cold front will enter the
    NW waters on Thu, and extend from SE Louisiana to near Tampico,
    Mexico Fri morning, then stall and also lift north toward the
    northern Gulf on Sat. Looking ahead, a stronger cold front is
    likely to sweep across the Gulf region late Sun into Mon, bringing
    fresh to strong NW to N winds over much of the basin. This front

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A robust surface trough along 64W is inducing numerous moderate
    convection along and E of it back into the Atlantic. In addition,
    fresh to strong E winds are present in the SE Caribbean to the E
    of the trough. Fresh trades are ongoing offshore Colombia and in
    the Windward Passage, otherwise NE to E winds are moderate or
    weaker across the basin. Seas are 5 to 7 ft in the SE Caribbean
    and offshore Colombia, and 2 to 4 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, building high pressure north of the Caribbean
    Sea will support moderate to fresh easterly winds over much of the
    basin starting Thu and continuing into early next week.
    Meanwhile, moderate to locally rough seas, in NE swell, will
    persist across the NE Caribbean passages through the week and into
    the weekend. A surface trough, currently located near 64W, will
    continue to move westward across the eastern Caribbean through
    tonight before dissipating. Fresh to strong winds and locally
    rough seas are noted in the wake of this trough. The associated
    moisture is producing some shower activity and isolated
    thunderstorms across much of the Lesser Antilles. Looking ahead, a
    cold front may approach the NW Caribbean early next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
    Warning in the far eastern Atlantic, offshore Morocco.

    A cold front extends from Bermuda to near Miami, Florida. A pre-
    frontal trough is noted from 28N70W to the Florida Straits.
    Another trough is farther east, with an axis from 30N63W to just N
    of Hispaniola. No significant convection is occurring with any of
    these features, and winds and seas for waters W of moderate or
    weaker.

    Much of the remaining Atlantic is dominated by ridging stemming
    from a 1031 mb high near 35N27W. The pressure gradient between
    this high and lower pressures in the tropics result in fresh to
    locally strong NE to E winds and seas of 7-11 ft occurring across
    much of the Atlantic between 10N and 30N and E of 60W. The two
    exceptions are near the Cabo Verde Islands and a region N of 24N
    between 40W and 55W where moderate to fresh winds and moderate
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will extend from E of
    Bermuda to central Cuba by Thu morning, and from 31N55W to
    eastern Cuba by Fri morning while dissipating. High pressure will
    follow the front. Then, a ridge will dominate most of the forecast
    area through the end of the week. The next cold front is expected
    to clip the waters offshore of NE Florida during the upcoming
    weekend, with a stronger cold front reaching the same area on Mon.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 03 Dec 2025 17:00:30 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    542
    NOUS42 KNHC 031700
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1200 PM EST WED 03 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-003

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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