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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:38:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 192238
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Oct 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Significant N Swell: A 1004 mb low near 34N71W extends
southwestward to the southeast Bahamas. Scattered moderate
convection is along and within 90 nm SE of the front. NW of the
front, fresh to locally strong N winds prevail, but very rough
seas generated by previously higher winds and ongoing gales closer
to the aforementioned low center are impacting waters N of 26N and
W of 70W. Seas as high as 16 ft are along 31N. These seas will
only gradually decay tonight, and remain above 12 ft into Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from Guiea-Bissau near 12N16W to near
10N20W. The ITCZ extends from 10N20W to 08N34W to 12N44W.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 06N to 09N between
20W and 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from northern Cuba across the southern
Gulf and into the Bay of Campeche. Scattered moderate convection
is occurring along and within 90 nm on both sides of the boundary.
Much of the basin N of the front is seeing fresh to strong E to
NE winds and 6-8 ft seas prevail, with winds near gale force and
seas of 8-12 ft occurring in the far SW Gulf offshore Veracruz.
For the forecast, the stationary front will gradually weaken
through Tue as high pressure builds southward across the area.
Marine conditions will be relatively calm over the region through
the period, with the exception of the eastern Gulf beginning on
Fri, at which time a tightening pressure gradient is expected to
bring fresh to near gale-force NE winds and building seas over
that part of the Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The East Pacific monsoon trough extending across the far SW
Caribbean is supporting scattered moderate to strong convection
S of 16N and W of 77W. Moderate to fresh trades and 5-7 ft seas
prevail in the central Caribbean, with gentle to moderate trades
and 2-5 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the region due
to a frontal boundary across the Bahamas and the southern Gulf of
America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in the south-
central Caribbean through Wed night and moderate, or weaker winds
elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel tonight into Tue, where it will remain through Wed
before dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and the
northwestern Caribbean through early Wed morning. Otherwise,
moderate to fresh SE winds will develop in the eastern Caribbean
on Thu, and prevail through Sat night as surface ridging builds N
of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on
significant north swell behind a cold front in the western
Atlantic.
An upper level low near 24N51W is inducing several surface troughs
in the Atlantic from 08N to 31N between 40W and 55W. Scattered
moderate to isolated convection is occurring from 14N to 29N
between 40W and 50W, with scattered showers and thunderstorms W of
this area out to 55W. A large swath of fresh to locally strong
winds in broad counterclockwise flow as well as 6-10 ft seas are
occurring N of 24N between 40W and 60W. Elsewhere across the
Atlantic, gentle to moderate or weaker trades and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extends from near
31N69W to 26N72W and becomes stationary to across the central
Bahamas and to along the north-central coast of Cuba, continuing
into the south-central Gulf and to the eastern Bay of Campeche in
the Gulf of America. NW to N fresh to strong winds are NW of the
front N of 30N between 69W and 73W along with very rough seas
while mostly fresh N to NE winds are elsewhere behind the front
along with rough to very rough seas N and NE of the Bahamas. The
cold front will reach from near 31N70W to west-central Cuba by
late tonight, where it will weaken before it dissipates into Wed.
Seas N and NE of the Bahamas will slowly subside through the end
of the week, however a tightening pressure gradient developing
late Fri is expected to induce widespread near to gale-force NE
winds over the waters N of about 25N well into the weekend. Seas
with these winds are expected to quickly build to rough to very
rough. Mariners should monitor the latest marine forecasts, and
have avoidance plans in place.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 19 Oct 2026 22:38:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 192238
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Oct 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Significant N Swell: A 1004 mb low near 34N71W extends
southwestward to the southeast Bahamas. Scattered moderate
convection is along and within 90 nm SE of the front. NW of the
front, fresh to locally strong N winds prevail, but very rough
seas generated by previously higher winds and ongoing gales closer
to the aforementioned low center are impacting waters N of 26N and
W of 70W. Seas as high as 16 ft are along 31N. These seas will
only gradually decay tonight, and remain above 12 ft into Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from Guiea-Bissau near 12N16W to near
10N20W. The ITCZ extends from 10N20W to 08N34W to 12N44W.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 06N to 09N between
20W and 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from northern Cuba across the southern
Gulf and into the Bay of Campeche. Scattered moderate convection
is occurring along and within 90 nm on both sides of the boundary.
Much of the basin N of the front is seeing fresh to strong E to
NE winds and 6-8 ft seas prevail, with winds near gale force and
seas of 8-12 ft occurring in the far SW Gulf offshore Veracruz.
For the forecast, the stationary front will gradually weaken
through Tue as high pressure builds southward across the area.
Marine conditions will be relatively calm over the region through
the period, with the exception of the eastern Gulf beginning on
Fri, at which time a tightening pressure gradient is expected to
bring fresh to near gale-force NE winds and building seas over
that part of the Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The East Pacific monsoon trough extending across the far SW
Caribbean is supporting scattered moderate to strong convection
S of 16N and W of 77W. Moderate to fresh trades and 5-7 ft seas
prevail in the central Caribbean, with gentle to moderate trades
and 2-5 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the region due
to a frontal boundary across the Bahamas and the southern Gulf of
America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in the south-
central Caribbean through Wed night and moderate, or weaker winds
elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel tonight into Tue, where it will remain through Wed
before dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and the
northwestern Caribbean through early Wed morning. Otherwise,
moderate to fresh SE winds will develop in the eastern Caribbean
on Thu, and prevail through Sat night as surface ridging builds N
of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on
significant north swell behind a cold front in the western
Atlantic.
An upper level low near 24N51W is inducing several surface troughs
in the Atlantic from 08N to 31N between 40W and 55W. Scattered
moderate to isolated convection is occurring from 14N to 29N
between 40W and 50W, with scattered showers and thunderstorms W of
this area out to 55W. A large swath of fresh to locally strong
winds in broad counterclockwise flow as well as 6-10 ft seas are
occurring N of 24N between 40W and 60W. Elsewhere across the
Atlantic, gentle to moderate or weaker trades and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extends from near
31N69W to 26N72W and becomes stationary to across the central
Bahamas and to along the north-central coast of Cuba, continuing
into the south-central Gulf and to the eastern Bay of Campeche in
the Gulf of America. NW to N fresh to strong winds are NW of the
front N of 30N between 69W and 73W along with very rough seas
while mostly fresh N to NE winds are elsewhere behind the front
along with rough to very rough seas N and NE of the Bahamas. The
cold front will reach from near 31N70W to west-central Cuba by
late tonight, where it will weaken before it dissipates into Wed.
Seas N and NE of the Bahamas will slowly subside through the end
of the week, however a tightening pressure gradient developing
late Fri is expected to induce widespread near to gale-force NE
winds over the waters N of about 25N well into the weekend. Seas
with these winds are expected to quickly build to rough to very
rough. Mariners should monitor the latest marine forecasts, and
have avoidance plans in place.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:48:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 03:23:25 GMT - Mon, 19 Oct 2026 23:48:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
668
ABNT20 KNHC 192348
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is currently attached
to an occluded frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the
southeast coast of the United States. This low is likely to move
slowly north-northeastward over the next couple of days. If the low
remains over the Gulf Stream, it could develop organized shower and
thunderstorm activity. If the low is also then able to separate
from frontal features, it could briefly acquire subtropical cyclone
characteristics during the middle to latter portion of this week.
The system is expected to move northeastward away from the the
eastern United States later this week, and environmental conditions
are expected to become unfavorable for subtropical or tropical
development by the weekend.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with High Seas
Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 19 Oct 2026 15:06:35 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 191418
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1020 AM EDT MON 19 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-141
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf