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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2026 17:00:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    779
    AXNT20 KNHC 151700
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient
    between high pressure building in from the southeastern U.S. and a
    sharp surface trough or possible low pressure in the western Gulf
    will lead to gales developing the E winds increasing to gale
    force tonight into Mon offshore Texas and Louisiana.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ
    extends from 06N21W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 01N to 13N between 20W and 49W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a gale warning in
    the NW Gulf.

    Fresh to strong winds, and building seas of 6 to locally 8 ft,
    prevail over the NW Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate
    seas are elsewhere W of 90W, except for the SW part of the basin,
    where gentle winds prevail. E of 90W, gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas are noted. A cluster of moderate
    convection is depicted from 26.5N to 28N between 92W and 96.6W.

    For the forecast, aside from the area of gale winds, strong to
    near- gale force NE to E winds are also expected across much of
    the northern basin, with near- gale force northerly winds W of the
    trough funneling down the NE coast of Mexico, including offshore
    Veracruz, Mon and Tue. Winds will diminish in the western Gulf by
    mid-week, but strong winds will prevail over the NE basin through
    late week, where the tight pressure gradient will remain. Rough
    seas generated by these winds will impact portions of the northern
    Gulf much of the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh winds, locally strong, and moderate seas cover
    the waters east of 75W. Moderate winds and moderate seas are over
    the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
    seas, prevail elsewhere. The tail end of an Atlantic cold front
    extends to eastern Cuba, supporting scattered moderate convection
    across the Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will develop in the
    south- central basin tonight, then prevail through at least mid-
    week. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds will prevail over
    the northwestern Caribbean through Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N57W to eastern Cuba. Fresh to strong
    SW winds and rough seas to near 10 ft, prevail N of 27N and east
    of the front to 44W. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and rough
    seas 8 to 10 ft are N of 29N and west of the front to 74W. High
    pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 15N, anchored
    by a 1025 mb high centered near 28N32W. Light to gentle winds and
    slight to moderate seas are in the vicinity of the high center.
    Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas generally prevail
    elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is depicted south of 28N
    along the frontal boundary.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    slide east while weakening, moving east of the region by Tue. High
    pressure building southward toward the region will lead to a
    tightening pressure gradient and NE to E winds increasing to
    strong S of 28N and W of 65W, including the Bahamas, Mon. These
    winds and associated rough seas will expand north and east into
    late week.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2026 17:00:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    779
    AXNT20 KNHC 151700
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient
    between high pressure building in from the southeastern U.S. and a
    sharp surface trough or possible low pressure in the western Gulf
    will lead to gales developing the E winds increasing to gale
    force tonight into Mon offshore Texas and Louisiana.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ
    extends from 06N21W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 01N to 13N between 20W and 49W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a gale warning in
    the NW Gulf.

    Fresh to strong winds, and building seas of 6 to locally 8 ft,
    prevail over the NW Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate
    seas are elsewhere W of 90W, except for the SW part of the basin,
    where gentle winds prevail. E of 90W, gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas are noted. A cluster of moderate
    convection is depicted from 26.5N to 28N between 92W and 96.6W.

    For the forecast, aside from the area of gale winds, strong to
    near- gale force NE to E winds are also expected across much of
    the northern basin, with near- gale force northerly winds W of the
    trough funneling down the NE coast of Mexico, including offshore
    Veracruz, Mon and Tue. Winds will diminish in the western Gulf by
    mid-week, but strong winds will prevail over the NE basin through
    late week, where the tight pressure gradient will remain. Rough
    seas generated by these winds will impact portions of the northern
    Gulf much of the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh winds, locally strong, and moderate seas cover
    the waters east of 75W. Moderate winds and moderate seas are over
    the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
    seas, prevail elsewhere. The tail end of an Atlantic cold front
    extends to eastern Cuba, supporting scattered moderate convection
    across the Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will develop in the
    south- central basin tonight, then prevail through at least mid-
    week. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds will prevail over
    the northwestern Caribbean through Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N57W to eastern Cuba. Fresh to strong
    SW winds and rough seas to near 10 ft, prevail N of 27N and east
    of the front to 44W. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and rough
    seas 8 to 10 ft are N of 29N and west of the front to 74W. High
    pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 15N, anchored
    by a 1025 mb high centered near 28N32W. Light to gentle winds and
    slight to moderate seas are in the vicinity of the high center.
    Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas generally prevail
    elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is depicted south of 28N
    along the frontal boundary.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    slide east while weakening, moving east of the region by Tue. High
    pressure building southward toward the region will lead to a
    tightening pressure gradient and NE to E winds increasing to
    strong S of 28N and W of 65W, including the Bahamas, Mon. These
    winds and associated rough seas will expand north and east into
    late week.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 17 Nov 2026 05:10:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 15 Nov 2026 18:15:46 GMT
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2026 17:10:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 151710
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2026 16:38:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 151638
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1140 AM EST SUN 15 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-168

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL


    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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