2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 17:33:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301730
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical is just SE of the Cape Verde Islands with axis along
    22W, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is from 04N to 08N between 10W and 26W.

    A tropical wave in the central Atlantic extends from 02N to 15N
    with axis near 39W, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is observed from 04N to 10N and between 30W
    and 41W.

    A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 17N to inland
    Venezuela, with axis near 68W, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is over western Venezuela and far
    eastern Colombia.

    A tropical wave in the SW Caribbean has its axis near 78W, moving
    westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    southwestward to 09N25W. The ITCZ extends from 09N25W to 07N36W,
    where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from
    07N39W to 06N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the
    tropical waves, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring along and within 100 nm of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient across the area favors moderate or weaker
    ESE winds across the western half of the Gulf and light to gentle
    winds elsewhere. Seas basin-wide are slight. Scattered showers are
    occurring across the central Gulf in advance of a surface trough
    moving southward across the region.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the
    NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local
    effects associated with a surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
    moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except
    for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
    to strong easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-12 ft. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are found offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean while moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
    seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing
    in the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
    combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds over the central Caribbean through Sat night, except
    offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are
    likely to reach near gale-force at night. Otherwise, moderate to
    fresh trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate
    or weaker winds will prevail over the NW Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is moving across the NE Florida offshore waters
    west of 65W, bringing showers and scattered tstms to the region.
    Another surface trough is bringing scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms to the waters E of the Turks and Caicos and N or
    Hispaniola. The Azores High extends a broad ridge elsewhere across
    the subtropical waters, which is supporting moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas across much of the waters W of 25W. East
    of 25W, a tighter pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
    pressures over NW Africa supports fresh to strong NE winds and
    rough seas to 9 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a frontal trough is moving across
    the NW waters, and extends from 30N71W to near Melbourne, Florida.
    The trough will first drift southward trough Wed morning, then
    begin moving westward late Wed into Thu. Under this weather
    pattern, moderate or weaker winds are expected, except for
    moderate to fresh winds offshore Hispaniola mainly late in the
    afternoons into the early evening hours.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 17:33:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301730
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical is just SE of the Cape Verde Islands with axis along
    22W, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is from 04N to 08N between 10W and 26W.

    A tropical wave in the central Atlantic extends from 02N to 15N
    with axis near 39W, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is observed from 04N to 10N and between 30W
    and 41W.

    A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 17N to inland
    Venezuela, with axis near 68W, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is over western Venezuela and far
    eastern Colombia.

    A tropical wave in the SW Caribbean has its axis near 78W, moving
    westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    southwestward to 09N25W. The ITCZ extends from 09N25W to 07N36W,
    where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from
    07N39W to 06N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the
    tropical waves, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring along and within 100 nm of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient across the area favors moderate or weaker
    ESE winds across the western half of the Gulf and light to gentle
    winds elsewhere. Seas basin-wide are slight. Scattered showers are
    occurring across the central Gulf in advance of a surface trough
    moving southward across the region.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the
    NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local
    effects associated with a surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
    moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except
    for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
    to strong easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-12 ft. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are found offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean while moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
    seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing
    in the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
    combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds over the central Caribbean through Sat night, except
    offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are
    likely to reach near gale-force at night. Otherwise, moderate to
    fresh trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate
    or weaker winds will prevail over the NW Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is moving across the NE Florida offshore waters
    west of 65W, bringing showers and scattered tstms to the region.
    Another surface trough is bringing scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms to the waters E of the Turks and Caicos and N or
    Hispaniola. The Azores High extends a broad ridge elsewhere across
    the subtropical waters, which is supporting moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas across much of the waters W of 25W. East
    of 25W, a tighter pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
    pressures over NW Africa supports fresh to strong NE winds and
    rough seas to 9 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a frontal trough is moving across
    the NW waters, and extends from 30N71W to near Melbourne, Florida.
    The trough will first drift southward trough Wed morning, then
    begin moving westward late Wed into Thu. Under this weather
    pattern, moderate or weaker winds are expected, except for
    moderate to fresh winds offshore Hispaniola mainly late in the
    afternoons into the early evening hours.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 02 Jul 2026 05:36:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 30 Jun 2026 19:23:31 GMT
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 17:36:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 301736
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
    A weak area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary off the
    southeastern U.S. coast is associated with limited shower and
    thunderstorm activity. The proximity of nearby dry air is expected
    to prevent development of this system as it drifts southward and
    then westward later this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 13:38:15 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 301338
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT TUE 30 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-030

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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