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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 27 May 2026 10:29:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 271028
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed May 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave IS 46W from 11N southward, and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen from
04N to 06N between 45W and 48W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 75W from 15N southward
across western Colombia. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
It is enhancing convection near the East Pacific monsoon trough.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Mauritania and Senegal, then runs southwestward to 10N25W. An
ITCZ continues from 10N25W to 03N43W. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is occurring south of the monsoon
trough from 02N to 09N east of 19W. Widely scattered moderate
convection is seen up to 100 nm along either side of the ITCZ.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near eastern Panama and northwestern
Colombia.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergent flow aloft attributed to a deep upper-level trough,
combined with abundant tropical moisture pulled northward from
the Caribbean, results in numerous showers and thunderstorms
south of 28N and E of 91W. Moderate to fresh SE winds prevail
across the basin, with moderate seas.
For the forecast, a squall line is going to produce heavy
showers, dangerous lightning and strong to near-gale W winds along
with locally rough seas for the northwestern Gulf this morning.
Otherwise, the Atlantic ridge extending west-southwestward across
Florida into the central Gulf will sustain gentle to moderate with
locally fresh SE to S winds through the weekend. The exception
will be evening pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan
through Thu night. An upper- level trough across the central Gulf
should continue to couple with abundant tropical moisture to
produce scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms over the
central and eastern Gulf through Thu. These thunderstorms are
capable of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, limited
visibility, and locally rough seas. Mariners are urged to keep up
to date with the latest forecast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The interaction between strong high pressure over the central
Atlantic and lower pressure to its south related to low pressure
over northern S America has created a tight pressure gradient over
the central part of the basin. This is inducing strong to near-
gale trade winds along with rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trade winds along with moderate seas
are over the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Long-period E
swell is creating rough seas in the Atlantic water passages of
the Lesser Antilles. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
moderate seas are prevalent.
The southeastern periphery of a well pronounced upper-level
trough is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms over
the Yucatan Channel and waters adjacent to the northeast portion
of the Yucatan Peninsula and the western tip of Cuba. Similar
activity is inland over some sections of Cuba, and over the
southwestern Caribbean S of 14N and W of 78W. This activity
extends to inland Central America.
For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between high pressure
in the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will continue to
support fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean with
rough seas through Thu. These winds are expected to pulse to near-
gale force off Barranquilla, Colombia tonight through Thu
morning. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and just north of Jamaica
will reach fresh to strong this evening through early Thu morning.
By Fri night, most of the basin should experience moderate with
locally fresh winds and moderate seas, except the south-central
basin in which fresh to strong winds and rough seas will remain
through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front is analyzed from near 31N28W southwestward to
28N30W, where it transitions to a stationary front to 25N37W. To
the W of the front, a 1023 mb low pres is analyzed near 26N55W.
The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a broad and
strong area of high pressure centered over the central Atlantic.
The pressure gradient between the high pressure and relatively
lower pressure in the deep tropics is sustaining fresh to strong E
to SE winds and rough seas south S of 25N between 67W-74W. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh easterly winds along with seas of about 6-8 ft
are south of 20N and west of 30W, and moderate or weaker winds and
moderate are over the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N and west
of 68W through this afternoon, including the Great Bahama Bank,
as the Atlantic high pressure shifts southeastward, tightening the
pressure gradient. This high is going to weaken tonight, allowing
winds and seas to diminish. A dissipating stationary front from
25N35W to 24N40W will be gone later this morning. In the longer
term, two cold fronts passing across the north Atlantic might
cause increasing winds and seas north of 28N and east of 70W from
Thu night through Fri, and again from Sat night through Sun.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 27 May 2026 10:29:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 271028
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed May 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave IS 46W from 11N southward, and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen from
04N to 06N between 45W and 48W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 75W from 15N southward
across western Colombia. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
It is enhancing convection near the East Pacific monsoon trough.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Mauritania and Senegal, then runs southwestward to 10N25W. An
ITCZ continues from 10N25W to 03N43W. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is occurring south of the monsoon
trough from 02N to 09N east of 19W. Widely scattered moderate
convection is seen up to 100 nm along either side of the ITCZ.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near eastern Panama and northwestern
Colombia.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergent flow aloft attributed to a deep upper-level trough,
combined with abundant tropical moisture pulled northward from
the Caribbean, results in numerous showers and thunderstorms
south of 28N and E of 91W. Moderate to fresh SE winds prevail
across the basin, with moderate seas.
For the forecast, a squall line is going to produce heavy
showers, dangerous lightning and strong to near-gale W winds along
with locally rough seas for the northwestern Gulf this morning.
Otherwise, the Atlantic ridge extending west-southwestward across
Florida into the central Gulf will sustain gentle to moderate with
locally fresh SE to S winds through the weekend. The exception
will be evening pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan
through Thu night. An upper- level trough across the central Gulf
should continue to couple with abundant tropical moisture to
produce scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms over the
central and eastern Gulf through Thu. These thunderstorms are
capable of producing gusty winds, frequent lightning, limited
visibility, and locally rough seas. Mariners are urged to keep up
to date with the latest forecast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The interaction between strong high pressure over the central
Atlantic and lower pressure to its south related to low pressure
over northern S America has created a tight pressure gradient over
the central part of the basin. This is inducing strong to near-
gale trade winds along with rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trade winds along with moderate seas
are over the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Long-period E
swell is creating rough seas in the Atlantic water passages of
the Lesser Antilles. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
moderate seas are prevalent.
The southeastern periphery of a well pronounced upper-level
trough is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms over
the Yucatan Channel and waters adjacent to the northeast portion
of the Yucatan Peninsula and the western tip of Cuba. Similar
activity is inland over some sections of Cuba, and over the
southwestern Caribbean S of 14N and W of 78W. This activity
extends to inland Central America.
For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between high pressure
in the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will continue to
support fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean with
rough seas through Thu. These winds are expected to pulse to near-
gale force off Barranquilla, Colombia tonight through Thu
morning. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and just north of Jamaica
will reach fresh to strong this evening through early Thu morning.
By Fri night, most of the basin should experience moderate with
locally fresh winds and moderate seas, except the south-central
basin in which fresh to strong winds and rough seas will remain
through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front is analyzed from near 31N28W southwestward to
28N30W, where it transitions to a stationary front to 25N37W. To
the W of the front, a 1023 mb low pres is analyzed near 26N55W.
The remainder of the basin is under the influence of a broad and
strong area of high pressure centered over the central Atlantic.
The pressure gradient between the high pressure and relatively
lower pressure in the deep tropics is sustaining fresh to strong E
to SE winds and rough seas south S of 25N between 67W-74W. Elsewhere,
moderate to fresh easterly winds along with seas of about 6-8 ft
are south of 20N and west of 30W, and moderate or weaker winds and
moderate are over the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N and west
of 68W through this afternoon, including the Great Bahama Bank,
as the Atlantic high pressure shifts southeastward, tightening the
pressure gradient. This high is going to weaken tonight, allowing
winds and seas to diminish. A dissipating stationary front from
25N35W to 24N40W will be gone later this morning. In the longer
term, two cold fronts passing across the north Atlantic might
cause increasing winds and seas north of 28N and east of 70W from
Thu night through Fri, and again from Sat night through Sun.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 28 May 2026 17:00:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 27 May 2026 11:00:23 GMT - Wed, 27 May 2026 05:00:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
855
ABNT20 KNHC 270500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed May 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf