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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:32:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291732
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Oct 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 12N16W and continues to 08N26W. The ITCZ extends from
    08N26W to 08.5N39W, where it is broken by a surface trough. The
    ITCZ then resumes from 08N43W to 08N60W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 15W and 36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the Tennessee Valley extends a ridge across
    the Gulf. The pressure gradient tightens over the eastern half of
    the Gulf due to the presence of a stationary front N of the
    Bahamas and a trough near the Yucatan Peninsula. This is
    resulting in moderate to fresh NE winds E of 93W along with
    moderate to locally rough seas. Moderate or weaker winds prevail W
    of 93W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a high
    pressure system over the Tennessee Valley and troughs over the
    southern Gulf will continue to support moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds and moderate seas in the E Gulf into Mon. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh SE to S winds over much of the eastern Gulf through
    late Mon between high pressure over the western Atlantic and a
    cold front moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The passage of a stationary front over the SW N Atlantic waters is
    supporting a weak gradient over the Caribbean waters W of 76W,
    thus leading to light to gentle winds and slight seas. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere. A surface trough
    extending from the Windward Passage into the central Caribbean is
    supporting scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 15N
    between 70W and 76W.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh trade winds will
    continue south of 15N through the eastern, central and portions of
    the SW Caribbean through Sun night. Light to gentle breezes are
    forecast elsewhere into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A tight pressure gradient between a high pressure system over the
    NW Atlantic and a stationary front extending across the offshore
    zones N of 27N to a 1012 mb low N of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong
    NE winds and rough seas prevail N of the front and W of 60W.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring along
    and N of the front between 50W and 75W, as well as along a pre-
    frontal trough analyzed along 70-71W. The aforementioned
    stationary front connects to a cold front near 29N35W and extends
    NE to 31N30W. Scattered showers and tstms are N of 25N and ahead
    of the front to 23W. Moderate to fresh winds are E of 60W and
    behind the front with seas of 6-8 ft. Otherwise, moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, A stationary front extends east to
    west along roughly 29N to a 1012 mb low pressure area centered
    near the northern Bahamas, then southwestward to the Florida
    Straits. Scattered to numerous tstms are active along a trough
    near 70W north of 22N. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough
    seas will persist north of the front into next week as the low
    pressure moves northeastward to past Bermuda and the newly
    reinforced front moves to the southeast then stalls along 24N.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:32:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291732
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Oct 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 12N16W and continues to 08N26W. The ITCZ extends from
    08N26W to 08.5N39W, where it is broken by a surface trough. The
    ITCZ then resumes from 08N43W to 08N60W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 15W and 36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the Tennessee Valley extends a ridge across
    the Gulf. The pressure gradient tightens over the eastern half of
    the Gulf due to the presence of a stationary front N of the
    Bahamas and a trough near the Yucatan Peninsula. This is
    resulting in moderate to fresh NE winds E of 93W along with
    moderate to locally rough seas. Moderate or weaker winds prevail W
    of 93W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a high
    pressure system over the Tennessee Valley and troughs over the
    southern Gulf will continue to support moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds and moderate seas in the E Gulf into Mon. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh SE to S winds over much of the eastern Gulf through
    late Mon between high pressure over the western Atlantic and a
    cold front moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The passage of a stationary front over the SW N Atlantic waters is
    supporting a weak gradient over the Caribbean waters W of 76W,
    thus leading to light to gentle winds and slight seas. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere. A surface trough
    extending from the Windward Passage into the central Caribbean is
    supporting scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 15N
    between 70W and 76W.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh trade winds will
    continue south of 15N through the eastern, central and portions of
    the SW Caribbean through Sun night. Light to gentle breezes are
    forecast elsewhere into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A tight pressure gradient between a high pressure system over the
    NW Atlantic and a stationary front extending across the offshore
    zones N of 27N to a 1012 mb low N of the Bahamas. Fresh to strong
    NE winds and rough seas prevail N of the front and W of 60W.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring along
    and N of the front between 50W and 75W, as well as along a pre-
    frontal trough analyzed along 70-71W. The aforementioned
    stationary front connects to a cold front near 29N35W and extends
    NE to 31N30W. Scattered showers and tstms are N of 25N and ahead
    of the front to 23W. Moderate to fresh winds are E of 60W and
    behind the front with seas of 6-8 ft. Otherwise, moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, A stationary front extends east to
    west along roughly 29N to a 1012 mb low pressure area centered
    near the northern Bahamas, then southwestward to the Florida
    Straits. Scattered to numerous tstms are active along a trough
    near 70W north of 22N. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough
    seas will persist north of the front into next week as the low
    pressure moves northeastward to past Bermuda and the newly
    reinforced front moves to the southeast then stalls along 24N.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 31 Oct 2026 05:08:55 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 29 Oct 2026 18:01:55 GMT
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 17:08:55 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    723
    ABNT20 KNHC 291708
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 12:24:17 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 291224
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0825 AM EDT THU 29 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-151

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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