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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 24 Oct 2026 04:04:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 240404
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Oct 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
    as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic and
    low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a trough or
    developing frontal boundary. This synoptic setup is expected to
    induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
    rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
    waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
    Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
    conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
    affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
    trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
    moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
    Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
    Caicos Islands through Mon. By mid-week, the trough is forecast
    to weaken while moving eastward into the central Atlantic. Heavy
    rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening
    flash flooding.

    Please refer to your local weather services and the International
    Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 12N16W
    to 11N25W. The ITCZ extends from 11N25W to 12N32W, and resumes
    from 11N39W to 11N62W. A surface trough is analyzed along 35W from
    10N-20N. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
    from 05N to 18N and E of 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
    the western Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge
    and a trough over the Caribbean is supporting moderate winds, and
    moderate seas, E of 94W. Gentle winds, and slight to moderate
    seas, prevail W of 94W.

    For the forecast, the broad ridge will continue supporting moderate
    to fresh NE to E winds across most of the Gulf region, except
    locally strong E of 84W. A tightening pressure gradient between
    the high pressure and low pressure forecast to deepen near the
    central Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas
    over the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, beginning
    later tonight through early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information
    about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
    Hispaniola, and Jamaica.

    An upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of America and NW
    Caribbean supports scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
    over the north-central Caribbean and Windward Passage. A broad
    trough extends across the central and SW Caribbean, with light
    winds and slight to moderate seas west of 76W. Moderate to fresh
    winds and moderate seas prevail E of 76W.

    For the forecast, the scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and Windward
    Passage will prevail through Sun night. Light winds and slight to
    moderate seas will prevail across the central and SW Caribbean
    west of 76W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E to SE winds and
    moderate seas are expected east of 76W. Fresh N to NE winds will
    develop across the western Caribbean, with building seas west of
    80W early next week as high pressure builds north of the area.
    Expect rough seas and large N swell across the Yucatan Channel Mon
    and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information
    about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
    event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

    A surface trough extends from 29N68W to low pres near 24N72W to
    20N74W. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is
    within 150 nm southeast of the trough and west of 61W. Moderate
    winds, and moderate to rough seas are west of the trough. Another
    trough extends from 31N53W to 28N58W. Scattered showers are noted
    within 90 nm east of the trough. Fresh to strong winds, and rough
    seas, are within 90 nm east of the trough and N of 29W. Fresh to
    strong winds are between the Cabo Verde Islands and western
    Africa, where rough seas are noted. Moderate to fresh winds, and
    moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 50W. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell across the
    forecast waters W of 65W and NE of the Bahamas will gradually
    subside tonight through early Sat. A tightening pressure gradient
    will develop across the northwestern zones tonight as high
    pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic, and low
    pressure deepens near the central Bahamas south of a cold front
    moving slowly southward into the area. This setup is expected to
    induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
    rough seas, with winds reaching gale-force over much of the waters
    north of 28N and between 60W and 75W early Sun through Sun night.
    Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
    conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
    affected areas.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 24 Oct 2026 04:04:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 240404
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Oct 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
    as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic and
    low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a trough or
    developing frontal boundary. This synoptic setup is expected to
    induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
    rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
    waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
    Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
    conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
    affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
    trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
    moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
    Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
    Caicos Islands through Mon. By mid-week, the trough is forecast
    to weaken while moving eastward into the central Atlantic. Heavy
    rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening
    flash flooding.

    Please refer to your local weather services and the International
    Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 12N16W
    to 11N25W. The ITCZ extends from 11N25W to 12N32W, and resumes
    from 11N39W to 11N62W. A surface trough is analyzed along 35W from
    10N-20N. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
    from 05N to 18N and E of 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
    the western Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge
    and a trough over the Caribbean is supporting moderate winds, and
    moderate seas, E of 94W. Gentle winds, and slight to moderate
    seas, prevail W of 94W.

    For the forecast, the broad ridge will continue supporting moderate
    to fresh NE to E winds across most of the Gulf region, except
    locally strong E of 84W. A tightening pressure gradient between
    the high pressure and low pressure forecast to deepen near the
    central Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas
    over the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, beginning
    later tonight through early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information
    about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
    Hispaniola, and Jamaica.

    An upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of America and NW
    Caribbean supports scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
    over the north-central Caribbean and Windward Passage. A broad
    trough extends across the central and SW Caribbean, with light
    winds and slight to moderate seas west of 76W. Moderate to fresh
    winds and moderate seas prevail E of 76W.

    For the forecast, the scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and Windward
    Passage will prevail through Sun night. Light winds and slight to
    moderate seas will prevail across the central and SW Caribbean
    west of 76W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E to SE winds and
    moderate seas are expected east of 76W. Fresh N to NE winds will
    develop across the western Caribbean, with building seas west of
    80W early next week as high pressure builds north of the area.
    Expect rough seas and large N swell across the Yucatan Channel Mon
    and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information
    about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
    event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.

    A surface trough extends from 29N68W to low pres near 24N72W to
    20N74W. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is
    within 150 nm southeast of the trough and west of 61W. Moderate
    winds, and moderate to rough seas are west of the trough. Another
    trough extends from 31N53W to 28N58W. Scattered showers are noted
    within 90 nm east of the trough. Fresh to strong winds, and rough
    seas, are within 90 nm east of the trough and N of 29W. Fresh to
    strong winds are between the Cabo Verde Islands and western
    Africa, where rough seas are noted. Moderate to fresh winds, and
    moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 50W. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell across the
    forecast waters W of 65W and NE of the Bahamas will gradually
    subside tonight through early Sat. A tightening pressure gradient
    will develop across the northwestern zones tonight as high
    pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic, and low
    pressure deepens near the central Bahamas south of a cold front
    moving slowly southward into the area. This setup is expected to
    induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
    rough seas, with winds reaching gale-force over much of the waters
    north of 28N and between 60W and 75W early Sun through Sun night.
    Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
    conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
    affected areas.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 25 Oct 2026 17:24:40 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 24 Oct 2026 10:40:16 GMT
  • Sat, 24 Oct 2026 05:24:40 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 240524
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sat Oct 24 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pierce/Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 23 Oct 2026 14:46:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 231445
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1045 AM EDT FRI 23 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-145

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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