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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 23 Nov 2025 06:03:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 230603
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Nov 23 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0600 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
southwestward to 09N19W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
continues to 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
03N to 14N and E of 44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A frontal boundary slowing making its way into the NW Gulf from
SE TX is helping to induce scattered showers in the NW Gulf. A
1020 mb high pressure is centered near 27N86W, resulting in
moderate or weaker winds in anticyclonic flow across the vast
majority of the Gulf, except for the SW Gulf and Bay of Campeche
where moderate to locally fresh NE winds persist. Slight seas
prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak stationary frontal boundary is along the
Texas coast will lift back north as a warm front on Sun. Expect
fresh southerly flow off the Texas coast Sun night through Mon
night supported by the gradient between low pressure over
northeast Mexico and high pressure that will be centered just
offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast. These winds will diminish Tue
ahead of another front moving across the southern Plains. Looking
ahead, this stronger front will move into the northwest Gulf early
on Wed, then sweep to the southeast of the basin by late Thu,
followed by fresh northeast winds and building seas. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms may accompany the front across the NW
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough parallels the coasts of Honduras, Nicaragua,
and Costa Rica, leading to scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection in the Caribbean generally S of 20N and W of 79W.
Elsewhere, the combination between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and the Colombian low is resulting in fresh to strong
trade winds over most of the central Caribbean as captured by a
recent scatterometer pass. Seas are 6-8 ft with these winds.
Moderate to fresh winds and seas of 3-6 ft are noted over the
remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning well
into next week due to the pressure gradient resulting from the
combination of high pressure over the western Atlantic and
relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia and the south-
central Caribbean. Rough seas can be expected with these winds.
Elsewhere, the gradient will also support moderate to fresh trade
winds along with moderate seas over the remainder of the basin
through the period. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms associated with a trough are over the western
Caribbean from 14N to 20N between 81W and 85W. Gusty winds are
possible with this activity as it may linger into Sun night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front enters the discussion waters near 31N58W and
extends to near 26N66W. No significant convection is associated
with this front. A surface trough is analyzed from 31N46W to
17N52W. This trough is interacting with an upper level trough with
axis along 50W, leading to scattered moderate convection
occurring N of 22N between 44W and 49W. Farther east, convergent
surface winds are leading to the development of scattered showers
to the SW of the Canary Islands.
Outside of convection, the pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
high near 38N22W and lower pressures in the deep tropics support
fresh to strong E to NE winds N of 23N and E of 45W, where seas of
7-10 ft are also analyzed. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate
to locally fresh trades and moderate seas are prevalent E of the
Lesser Antilles and S of 20N, as well as along the northern coasts
of Cuba and Hispaniola. Elsewhere N of 20N and W of 50W, moderate
or weaker winds and seas of 2-5 ft prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
near 31N59W southwestward to 26N67W will weaken and dissipate by
early Sun evening. High pressure off east-central Florida will
dissipate through Sun, ahead of another weak cold front that will
move off the northeast Florida coast early Sun. The front will
reach from near Bermuda to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon.
The eastern portion of the front will continue eastward and reach
from 30N55W to 27N70W by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W
starts to lift back north as a warm front. High pressure will
build north of the front off the Carolina coast, supporting
moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate seas across
the region, with large NW swell following the front southeast of
Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish west of 70W
by Wed, ahead of front expected to move off the northeast Florida
coast early Thu. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits
of Florida by late Thu night, followed by fresh northeast winds
and building seas.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 23 Nov 2025 06:03:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 230603
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Nov 23 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0600 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
southwestward to 09N19W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
continues to 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
03N to 14N and E of 44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A frontal boundary slowing making its way into the NW Gulf from
SE TX is helping to induce scattered showers in the NW Gulf. A
1020 mb high pressure is centered near 27N86W, resulting in
moderate or weaker winds in anticyclonic flow across the vast
majority of the Gulf, except for the SW Gulf and Bay of Campeche
where moderate to locally fresh NE winds persist. Slight seas
prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak stationary frontal boundary is along the
Texas coast will lift back north as a warm front on Sun. Expect
fresh southerly flow off the Texas coast Sun night through Mon
night supported by the gradient between low pressure over
northeast Mexico and high pressure that will be centered just
offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast. These winds will diminish Tue
ahead of another front moving across the southern Plains. Looking
ahead, this stronger front will move into the northwest Gulf early
on Wed, then sweep to the southeast of the basin by late Thu,
followed by fresh northeast winds and building seas. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms may accompany the front across the NW
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough parallels the coasts of Honduras, Nicaragua,
and Costa Rica, leading to scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection in the Caribbean generally S of 20N and W of 79W.
Elsewhere, the combination between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and the Colombian low is resulting in fresh to strong
trade winds over most of the central Caribbean as captured by a
recent scatterometer pass. Seas are 6-8 ft with these winds.
Moderate to fresh winds and seas of 3-6 ft are noted over the
remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning well
into next week due to the pressure gradient resulting from the
combination of high pressure over the western Atlantic and
relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia and the south-
central Caribbean. Rough seas can be expected with these winds.
Elsewhere, the gradient will also support moderate to fresh trade
winds along with moderate seas over the remainder of the basin
through the period. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms associated with a trough are over the western
Caribbean from 14N to 20N between 81W and 85W. Gusty winds are
possible with this activity as it may linger into Sun night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front enters the discussion waters near 31N58W and
extends to near 26N66W. No significant convection is associated
with this front. A surface trough is analyzed from 31N46W to
17N52W. This trough is interacting with an upper level trough with
axis along 50W, leading to scattered moderate convection
occurring N of 22N between 44W and 49W. Farther east, convergent
surface winds are leading to the development of scattered showers
to the SW of the Canary Islands.
Outside of convection, the pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
high near 38N22W and lower pressures in the deep tropics support
fresh to strong E to NE winds N of 23N and E of 45W, where seas of
7-10 ft are also analyzed. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate
to locally fresh trades and moderate seas are prevalent E of the
Lesser Antilles and S of 20N, as well as along the northern coasts
of Cuba and Hispaniola. Elsewhere N of 20N and W of 50W, moderate
or weaker winds and seas of 2-5 ft prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
near 31N59W southwestward to 26N67W will weaken and dissipate by
early Sun evening. High pressure off east-central Florida will
dissipate through Sun, ahead of another weak cold front that will
move off the northeast Florida coast early Sun. The front will
reach from near Bermuda to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon.
The eastern portion of the front will continue eastward and reach
from 30N55W to 27N70W by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W
starts to lift back north as a warm front. High pressure will
build north of the front off the Carolina coast, supporting
moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate seas across
the region, with large NW swell following the front southeast of
Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish west of 70W
by Wed, ahead of front expected to move off the northeast Florida
coast early Thu. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits
of Florida by late Thu night, followed by fresh northeast winds
and building seas.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 24 Nov 2025 17:00:53 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 23 Nov 2025 09:50:06 GMT - Sun, 23 Nov 2025 05:00:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 230500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sun Nov 23 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 22 Nov 2025 13:54:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
993
NOUS42 KNHC 221354
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EST SAT 22 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-175
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE. PACIFIC
WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS WILL RESUME ON 30 NOVEMBER.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
