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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 08:41:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 220841
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Sep 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0840 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A mid to
    upper- level trough currently extends over the NW Caribbean while
    relatively warm sea surface temperatures are present, and in
    addition there is a potential for a Central American Gyre to form
    during the next several days. All of these factors are expected to
    lead to enhanced moisture funneling into Central America and the
    Caribbean to support heavy rainfall from September 22nd through
    the 25th. There is still some uncertainty regarding the exact
    location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks
    likely across portions of Costa Rica and Panama, as well as across
    southern Guatemala, far western Honduras, and far northern El
    Salvador. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing over western
    Jamaica and into central and eastern Cuba. Heavy rainfall in these
    regions will raise concerns for life- threatening flash flooding
    and landslides. Please refer to local weather services as well as
    the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 33W/34w from
    05N to 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    convection is noted with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 21N47W to
    07N51W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are active on the northern end of this
    tropical wave from 19N to 22N between 45W and 47W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
    13N16W southwestward to 11N25W. Segments of the ITCZ axis extend
    from 11N25W to 10N33W, from 10N35W to 07N49W, and from 07N51W to
    06N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 10N to 15N
    between 18W and 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A very weak pressure gradient, anchored by 1015 mb high pressure
    over south-central Louisiana, prevails across the area generating
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the Gulf. An upper-
    level trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the Florida Straits. A few
    showers and thunderstorms the coast of Louisiana.

    For the forecast, a very weak pressure gradient will force gentle to
    moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. A vigorous upper-
    level low will promote scattered showers and thunderstorms over
    the SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next two
    days. A cold front should dip into the NE Gulf Thu night and
    Fri, accompanied with little to no increase in the winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    As described above in the Special Features section, large areas
    of showers and thunderstorms continue to move north of Jamaica
    and into western and central Cuba. This activity is due to
    abundant tropical moisture and divergent flow aloft on the
    southeast side of an upper trough extending from eastern Gulf to
    the Yucatan Channel. Isolated pockets of showers and thunderstorms
    are noted elsewhere across the western Caribbean. Outside of
    convection, a weak pressure pattern is across the basin. Moderate
    to fresh trades along with moderate seas remain east of 80W. Light
    to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas prevail west of 80W.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient between high pressure north
    of the area to the Colombian Low will continue forcing moderate
    to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean for the next several
    days. A vigorous upper-level low is forcing scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for at least the
    next two days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    For awareness, Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 31.8N 33.7W at
    22/0900 UTC, moving SW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central
    pressure is 1009 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with
    gusts to 45 kt. Please visit hurricanes.gov for more info on
    Tropical Storm Fay.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the
    Bahamas, off northeast Florida, and between the Bahamas and
    Bermuda, west of 70W. This activity is due to ample deep layer
    moisture and upper level divergence southeast of an upper trough
    over the Gulf. Dry, subsident conditions prevail between 50W and
    65W, except for a small area of thunderstorms northeast of
    Barbados near 15N58W, along a persistent surface trough. Another
    upper low is center farther east near 26N50W, supporting an area
    of showers and thunderstorms near from 19N to 22N between 45W and
    47W on the northern end of a tropical wave. Mostly dry conditions
    are noted elsewhere. Outside of convection, a rather weak
    pressure gradient across much of the Atlantic supports mostly
    gentle to moderate trades. Seas of 3 to 6 ft are occurring with
    these trades.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient between high pressure north
    of the area to the Colombian Low will continue forcing moderate
    to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean for the next several
    days. A vigorous upper-level low is forcing scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for at least the
    next two days.

    Meanwhile, farther to the northeast, Fay will weaken to a remnant
    low near 31.2N 35.0W this afternoon, then move to 30.5N 36.9W Wed
    morning, and 29.9N 38.9W Wed afternoon. Winds and seas will
    continue to diminish as the weakening remnant low moves to 29.7N
    40.7W Thu morning, 29.8N 42.2W Thu afternoon, and 29.9N 43.4W Fri
    morning. The low pressure will will change little in intensity as
    it moves to 30.1N 45.3W early Sat.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 08:41:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 220841
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Sep 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0840 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A mid to
    upper- level trough currently extends over the NW Caribbean while
    relatively warm sea surface temperatures are present, and in
    addition there is a potential for a Central American Gyre to form
    during the next several days. All of these factors are expected to
    lead to enhanced moisture funneling into Central America and the
    Caribbean to support heavy rainfall from September 22nd through
    the 25th. There is still some uncertainty regarding the exact
    location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks
    likely across portions of Costa Rica and Panama, as well as across
    southern Guatemala, far western Honduras, and far northern El
    Salvador. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing over western
    Jamaica and into central and eastern Cuba. Heavy rainfall in these
    regions will raise concerns for life- threatening flash flooding
    and landslides. Please refer to local weather services as well as
    the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 33W/34w from
    05N to 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant
    convection is noted with this wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 21N47W to
    07N51W, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are active on the northern end of this
    tropical wave from 19N to 22N between 45W and 47W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
    13N16W southwestward to 11N25W. Segments of the ITCZ axis extend
    from 11N25W to 10N33W, from 10N35W to 07N49W, and from 07N51W to
    06N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 10N to 15N
    between 18W and 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A very weak pressure gradient, anchored by 1015 mb high pressure
    over south-central Louisiana, prevails across the area generating
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the Gulf. An upper-
    level trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the Florida Straits. A few
    showers and thunderstorms the coast of Louisiana.

    For the forecast, a very weak pressure gradient will force gentle to
    moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. A vigorous upper-
    level low will promote scattered showers and thunderstorms over
    the SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next two
    days. A cold front should dip into the NE Gulf Thu night and
    Fri, accompanied with little to no increase in the winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    As described above in the Special Features section, large areas
    of showers and thunderstorms continue to move north of Jamaica
    and into western and central Cuba. This activity is due to
    abundant tropical moisture and divergent flow aloft on the
    southeast side of an upper trough extending from eastern Gulf to
    the Yucatan Channel. Isolated pockets of showers and thunderstorms
    are noted elsewhere across the western Caribbean. Outside of
    convection, a weak pressure pattern is across the basin. Moderate
    to fresh trades along with moderate seas remain east of 80W. Light
    to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas prevail west of 80W.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient between high pressure north
    of the area to the Colombian Low will continue forcing moderate
    to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean for the next several
    days. A vigorous upper-level low is forcing scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for at least the
    next two days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    For awareness, Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 31.8N 33.7W at
    22/0900 UTC, moving SW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central
    pressure is 1009 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with
    gusts to 45 kt. Please visit hurricanes.gov for more info on
    Tropical Storm Fay.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the
    Bahamas, off northeast Florida, and between the Bahamas and
    Bermuda, west of 70W. This activity is due to ample deep layer
    moisture and upper level divergence southeast of an upper trough
    over the Gulf. Dry, subsident conditions prevail between 50W and
    65W, except for a small area of thunderstorms northeast of
    Barbados near 15N58W, along a persistent surface trough. Another
    upper low is center farther east near 26N50W, supporting an area
    of showers and thunderstorms near from 19N to 22N between 45W and
    47W on the northern end of a tropical wave. Mostly dry conditions
    are noted elsewhere. Outside of convection, a rather weak
    pressure gradient across much of the Atlantic supports mostly
    gentle to moderate trades. Seas of 3 to 6 ft are occurring with
    these trades.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient between high pressure north
    of the area to the Colombian Low will continue forcing moderate
    to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean for the next several
    days. A vigorous upper-level low is forcing scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for at least the
    next two days.

    Meanwhile, farther to the northeast, Fay will weaken to a remnant
    low near 31.2N 35.0W this afternoon, then move to 30.5N 36.9W Wed
    morning, and 29.9N 38.9W Wed afternoon. Winds and seas will
    continue to diminish as the weakening remnant low moves to 29.7N
    40.7W Thu morning, 29.8N 42.2W Thu afternoon, and 29.9N 43.4W Fri
    morning. The low pressure will will change little in intensity as
    it moves to 30.1N 45.3W early Sat.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 09:23:03 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic


    Tropical Storm Fay 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 22 Sep 2026 09:23:03 GMT
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 08:41:50 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 12 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 220841
    TCDAT1
     
    Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number  12
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
     
    Deep convection associated with Fay has completely dissipated, 
    leaving the low-level center fully exposed on satellite imagery. 
    Given the lack of organized deep convection over the past several 
    hours, Fay's remaining time as a tropical cyclone is limited unless 
    convection redevelops soon. Objective and subjective satellite 
    intensity estimates currently range from 25 to 44 kt. Based on a 
    blend of these estimates, the initial intensity is maintained at 35 
    kt for this advisory.
     
    The system is moving southwestward, or 230/8 kt, as it rounds the 
    eastern periphery of a mid-level ridge to its west. A turn toward 
    the west-southwest and then the west is expected over the next day 
    or two, as the ridge strengthens. The latest NHC track forecast is 
    near the previous nudged slightly towards the right, towards the 
    GDMI and HCCA aids.
     
    A combination of moderate wind shear and dry air entrainment should 
    cause Fay to gradually spin down and weaken. Although shear may 
    relax somewhat in a few days, as the system moves over slightly 
    warmer sea surface temperatures, model-simulated satellite imagery 
    suggests that any returning convection will occur only in 
    intermittent bursts. Based on current trends and model guidance, the 
    NHC intensity forecast calls for Fay to gradually weaken, and become 
    a post-tropical remnant low later today and dissipate into an open 
    trough by the end of the period.
     
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  22/0900Z 31.8N  33.7W   35 KT  40 MPH
     12H  22/1800Z 31.2N  35.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     24H  23/0600Z 30.5N  36.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     36H  23/1800Z 29.9N  38.9W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  24/0600Z 29.7N  40.7W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  24/1800Z 29.8N  42.2W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     72H  25/0600Z 29.9N  43.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     96H  26/0600Z 30.1N  45.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    120H  27/0600Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 08:40:48 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026
    000
    FONT11 KNHC 220840
    PWSAT1
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12              
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026               
    0900 UTC TUE SEP 22 2026                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
    31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
    35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER KELLY
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 08:40:48 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 12 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
    970 
    WTNT31 KNHC 220840
    TCPAT1
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number  12
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    900 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 2026
     
    ...FAY FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 900 AM GMT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...31.8N 33.7W
    ABOUT 570 MI...920 KM SW OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 230 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 900 AM GMT (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
    located near latitude 31.8 North, longitude 33.7 West. Fay is moving
    toward the southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A gradual turn toward the
    west-southwest and then west is expected through midweek.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Fay is likely to degenerate into a post-tropical remnant low today.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 300 PM GMT.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 08:40:48 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Fay (AT1/AL062026) - NHC Atlantic
    ...FAY FORECAST TO BECOME A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE LATER TODAY... As of 9:00 AM GMT Tue Sep 22 the center of Fay was located near 31.8, -33.7 with movement SW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 21 Sep 2026 16:12:07 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    953
    NOUS42 KNHC 211612
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1215 PM EDT MON 21 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-113 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. TROPICAL STORM POLO
    FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 42
    A. 22/1800Z
    B. NOAA2 0217E POLO (CORRECTION)
    C. 22/1300Z
    D. 15.3N 102.3W
    E. 22/1700Z TO 22/2000Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
    A. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO TROPICAL
    STORM POLO FOR 23/1800Z.
    B. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO TROPICAL STORM POLO NEAR 17.2N
    104.2W FOR 24/0600Z.

    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE MISSION INTO THE REMNANTS OF
    TROPICAL DEPRESSION 15-E NEAR 16.5N 154.5W FOR 25/0600Z.

    4. REMARKS:
    A. DURING THE NOAA 42 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 22/1800Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, TWO SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
    WITHIN THE STORM ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW
    5,000 FT FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
    B. NOAA 43 WILL CONDUCT A 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO
    TROPICAL STORM POLO ON TUESDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 22/1500Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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