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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 12 Nov 2026 20:36:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 122036
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Nov 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2020 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: a strong cold front is expected
to move off the southeastern U.S. coast tonight accompanied by
fresh to strong winds on either side of it. The front is expected
to reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat
morning, and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern
Cuba by Sun morning. Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds
will precede the front to over the waters north of about 29N. The
cold front portion will shift east of 55W late Sun night while the
stationary portion weakens. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits the coast of Africa near 08N13W and
extends to 03N23W. The ITCZ extends from that point to near the
coast of Brazil at 11N50W. Isolated to widely moderate convection
is located from 01N to 07N to the E of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong cold front extends from the extreme western Florida
panhandle to southeastern Louisiana and to Brownsville, Texas. A
pre-frontal trough is analyzed from 28N88W to Veracruz, Mexico at
19N96W. Along with these surface features, a mid-level trough is
supporting isolated to scattered showers across the majority of
the basin. Moderate to fresh northerly winds are N of 23N and W of
the front, with fresh to strong NW-N winds S of 23N and W of the
front offshore of Veracruz. Moderate or weaker winds precede the
front. Seas are in the 3-6 ft range S of 25N, and W of the front
and 3 ft or less across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, the front will sweep across the rest of the
basin tonight exiting the area early on Fri. A pre-frontal trough
in the western Gulf will sustain fresh to locally strong northwest
to north winds near Tampico and Veracruz through early on Fri.
Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh north winds are expected in
the wake of the cold front. High pressure will build southward
into the region this weekend, with increasing easterly winds to
fresh to strong speeds across portions of the northern and central
Gulf. Looking ahead, a second strong cold front associated to
possible low pressure is expected to push off the Texas coast Mon
morning, and quickly move across the basin through Tue night. The
resultant tight pressure gradient will lead to fresh to strong
winds overspreading just about the entire basin. Winds to near
gale-force are possible in the northern portion of the NE Gulf
early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north of the region
and a 1007 mb low pressure along the NW coast of Colombia is
causing fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean from 11N
to 17N with seas 6-9 ft. Moderate to fresh trades are found
elsewhere from 11N to 21N E of 76W, with moderate or weaker winds
across the remainder of the basin. A pair of surface troughs are
analyzed in the western Caribbean supporting scattered showers and
thunderstorms mainly over the NW Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the
central and eastern Caribbean tonight, with gentle to moderate
winds elsewhere. The pressure gradient will slacken starting Fri
as a cold front approaches the Yucatan Channel leading to a
weakening of the trades. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
are likely behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat
through Sun. Looking ahead, fresh to strong trades may become
reestablished over the south central Caribbean early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A strong cold front is inland, moving across the SE United States.
A pre-frontal trough is analyzed over the waters from 31N74W to NE
of the Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is found across the
waters N of 20N and W of 60W. Moderate to fresh winds and 3-6 ft
seas cover this same area, locally strong winds N of 30N. To the
E, a weakening cold front is found from 31N30W to 28N52W
supporting some isolated to widely scattered moderate convection
from 20N to 31N between 50W and 60W, and from 26N to 31N between
40W and 50W. Yet another cold front is to the E, reaching from the
coast of Morrocco at 24N16W to 20N40W. Moderate to fresh winds are
found N of the front to 29N between Morrocco and 20W. Rough seas
are also found behind this front, mainly across the waters E of
25W. Moderate seas are across the remainder of the waters. Broad
high pressure blankets the remainder of the waters. A belt of
moderate to fresh trades is found over the southern waters from
06N to 16N to the W of 30W, with moderate or weaker winds across
the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong cold front is expected to
move off the southeastern U.S. coast tonight accompanied by fresh
to strong winds on either side of it. The front is expected to
reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning,
and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by
Sun morning. Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds will
precede the front to over the waters north of about 29N. The cold
front portion will shift east of 55W late Sun night while the
stationary portion weakens. On Sun, winds will briefly diminish
below fresh speeds over the forecast waters. Looking ahead, a
building Bermuda High should increase northeast winds up to fresh
to strong speeds south of 27N west of 65W Mon and Mon night, and
expand northward in coverage Tue and Tue night.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 12 Nov 2026 20:36:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 122036
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Nov 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2020 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: a strong cold front is expected
to move off the southeastern U.S. coast tonight accompanied by
fresh to strong winds on either side of it. The front is expected
to reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat
morning, and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern
Cuba by Sun morning. Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds
will precede the front to over the waters north of about 29N. The
cold front portion will shift east of 55W late Sun night while the
stationary portion weakens. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits the coast of Africa near 08N13W and
extends to 03N23W. The ITCZ extends from that point to near the
coast of Brazil at 11N50W. Isolated to widely moderate convection
is located from 01N to 07N to the E of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong cold front extends from the extreme western Florida
panhandle to southeastern Louisiana and to Brownsville, Texas. A
pre-frontal trough is analyzed from 28N88W to Veracruz, Mexico at
19N96W. Along with these surface features, a mid-level trough is
supporting isolated to scattered showers across the majority of
the basin. Moderate to fresh northerly winds are N of 23N and W of
the front, with fresh to strong NW-N winds S of 23N and W of the
front offshore of Veracruz. Moderate or weaker winds precede the
front. Seas are in the 3-6 ft range S of 25N, and W of the front
and 3 ft or less across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, the front will sweep across the rest of the
basin tonight exiting the area early on Fri. A pre-frontal trough
in the western Gulf will sustain fresh to locally strong northwest
to north winds near Tampico and Veracruz through early on Fri.
Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh north winds are expected in
the wake of the cold front. High pressure will build southward
into the region this weekend, with increasing easterly winds to
fresh to strong speeds across portions of the northern and central
Gulf. Looking ahead, a second strong cold front associated to
possible low pressure is expected to push off the Texas coast Mon
morning, and quickly move across the basin through Tue night. The
resultant tight pressure gradient will lead to fresh to strong
winds overspreading just about the entire basin. Winds to near
gale-force are possible in the northern portion of the NE Gulf
early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north of the region
and a 1007 mb low pressure along the NW coast of Colombia is
causing fresh to strong trades over the central Caribbean from 11N
to 17N with seas 6-9 ft. Moderate to fresh trades are found
elsewhere from 11N to 21N E of 76W, with moderate or weaker winds
across the remainder of the basin. A pair of surface troughs are
analyzed in the western Caribbean supporting scattered showers and
thunderstorms mainly over the NW Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the
central and eastern Caribbean tonight, with gentle to moderate
winds elsewhere. The pressure gradient will slacken starting Fri
as a cold front approaches the Yucatan Channel leading to a
weakening of the trades. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
are likely behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat
through Sun. Looking ahead, fresh to strong trades may become
reestablished over the south central Caribbean early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A strong cold front is inland, moving across the SE United States.
A pre-frontal trough is analyzed over the waters from 31N74W to NE
of the Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is found across the
waters N of 20N and W of 60W. Moderate to fresh winds and 3-6 ft
seas cover this same area, locally strong winds N of 30N. To the
E, a weakening cold front is found from 31N30W to 28N52W
supporting some isolated to widely scattered moderate convection
from 20N to 31N between 50W and 60W, and from 26N to 31N between
40W and 50W. Yet another cold front is to the E, reaching from the
coast of Morrocco at 24N16W to 20N40W. Moderate to fresh winds are
found N of the front to 29N between Morrocco and 20W. Rough seas
are also found behind this front, mainly across the waters E of
25W. Moderate seas are across the remainder of the waters. Broad
high pressure blankets the remainder of the waters. A belt of
moderate to fresh trades is found over the southern waters from
06N to 16N to the W of 30W, with moderate or weaker winds across
the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong cold front is expected to
move off the southeastern U.S. coast tonight accompanied by fresh
to strong winds on either side of it. The front is expected to
reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning,
and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to eastern Cuba by
Sun morning. Fresh to gale-force winds southwest winds will
precede the front to over the waters north of about 29N. The cold
front portion will shift east of 55W late Sun night while the
stationary portion weakens. On Sun, winds will briefly diminish
below fresh speeds over the forecast waters. Looking ahead, a
building Bermuda High should increase northeast winds up to fresh
to strong speeds south of 27N west of 65W Mon and Mon night, and
expand northward in coverage Tue and Tue night.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 14 Nov 2026 05:27:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 12 Nov 2026 21:28:15 GMT - Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:27:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121727
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Thu Nov 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 12 Nov 2026 16:16:27 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121616
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST THU 12 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-165
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf