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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 24 Jul 2026 16:35:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 241635
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 29W from
    05N-20N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is from 05N-11N between 25W-38W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 51W from
    07N-18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated moderate
    convection is occurring from 10N-14N between 49W-54W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 64W from 17N
    southward, moving westward around 15 kt. No significant deep
    convection is occurring in association with the wave today.

    A new tropical wave has formed in the W Caribbean at 84W from 18N
    southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and
    isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N west of 76W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W southwest to 06N29W. The ITCZ extends from
    06N30W to 09N49W, where it breaks for a tropical wave. The ITCZ
    resumes at 09N53W then to 08N60W along coastal Venezuela. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 05N-11N between 25W-38W. Isolated
    moderate convection is occurring from 10N-14N between 49W-54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W.
    Winds across the Gulf are generally light to moderate except for
    isolated strong E winds over the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 2-4 ft.
    Isolated moderate convection is occurring over the Straits of
    Florida this afternoon.

    For the forecast, the high pressure over the NE Gulf will shift to
    the central Gulf. The high pressure will provide for a light to
    gentle wind flow across the basin into the early part of next
    week, except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A moderate pressure gradient between low pressure over northern
    South America and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh
    to strong trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft.
    Elsewhere winds are gentle to moderate with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N
    west of 76W associated with a tropical wave. Additionally, an
    upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection north of
    19N west of 85W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and
    possibly Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to
    moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The Bermuda-Azores High well north of the area along with lower
    pressure over the ITCZ and the monsoon trough is forcing only
    moderate to isolated fresh trades west of 30W with seas of 4-7 ft.
    A larger pressure gradient farther east is forcing fresh to
    locally strong NE winds with seas 7-9 ft north of 20N east of
    30W. An upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection
    north of 24N between 61W-78W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a trough off the east coast of
    Florida will drift west into the peninsula today. Scattered
    thunderstorms will accompany the trough across the Bahamas. Fresh
    trade winds are expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches
    to the Windward Passage through the weekend. Moderate or weaker
    winds along with moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. A cold
    front may approach the waters east of northern Florida late this
    weekend and stall, preceded by fresh southwest winds north of
    about 28N and east of 75W through mid week.

    $$
    Landsea
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 24 Jul 2026 16:35:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 241635
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jul 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 29W from
    05N-20N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is from 05N-11N between 25W-38W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 51W from
    07N-18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated moderate
    convection is occurring from 10N-14N between 49W-54W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 64W from 17N
    southward, moving westward around 15 kt. No significant deep
    convection is occurring in association with the wave today.

    A new tropical wave has formed in the W Caribbean at 84W from 18N
    southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate and
    isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N west of 76W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W southwest to 06N29W. The ITCZ extends from
    06N30W to 09N49W, where it breaks for a tropical wave. The ITCZ
    resumes at 09N53W then to 08N60W along coastal Venezuela. Scattered
    moderate convection is from 05N-11N between 25W-38W. Isolated
    moderate convection is occurring from 10N-14N between 49W-54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered over the N Gulf near 29N88W.
    Winds across the Gulf are generally light to moderate except for
    isolated strong E winds over the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 2-4 ft.
    Isolated moderate convection is occurring over the Straits of
    Florida this afternoon.

    For the forecast, the high pressure over the NE Gulf will shift to
    the central Gulf. The high pressure will provide for a light to
    gentle wind flow across the basin into the early part of next
    week, except for pulsing moderate to fresh winds off the Yucatan
    Peninsula through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A moderate pressure gradient between low pressure over northern
    South America and high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh
    to strong trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft.
    Elsewhere winds are gentle to moderate with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring from 10N-17N
    west of 76W associated with a tropical wave. Additionally, an
    upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection north of
    19N west of 85W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through the forecast period. Fresh to locally strong
    winds will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras Sat night and
    possibly Sun night. Moderate or weaker winds with slight to
    moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The Bermuda-Azores High well north of the area along with lower
    pressure over the ITCZ and the monsoon trough is forcing only
    moderate to isolated fresh trades west of 30W with seas of 4-7 ft.
    A larger pressure gradient farther east is forcing fresh to
    locally strong NE winds with seas 7-9 ft north of 20N east of
    30W. An upper-level low is causing isolated moderate convection
    north of 24N between 61W-78W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a trough off the east coast of
    Florida will drift west into the peninsula today. Scattered
    thunderstorms will accompany the trough across the Bahamas. Fresh
    trade winds are expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches
    to the Windward Passage through the weekend. Moderate or weaker
    winds along with moderate seas are forecast elsewhere. A cold
    front may approach the waters east of northern Florida late this
    weekend and stall, preceded by fresh southwest winds north of
    about 28N and east of 75W through mid week.

    $$
    Landsea
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 26 Jul 2026 05:13:24 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 24 Jul 2026 21:51:18 GMT
  • Fri, 24 Jul 2026 17:13:24 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 241713
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Jul 24 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 24 Jul 2026 14:15:48 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 241415
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1015 AM EDT FRI 24 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-054

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
    FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
    A. 26/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 0106E FAUSTO
    C. 25/1730Z
    D. NA
    E. NA
    F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
    G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
    A. BEGIN 12-HRLY FIXES OF HURRICANE FAUSTO NEAR 20.0N 141.6W
    AT 26/1800Z.
    B. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND HURRICANE
    FAUSTO FOR 27/0000Z, DEPARTING PHOG AT 26/1730Z.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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