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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 03:59:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 130359
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been introduced in the far eastern Atlantic
along 18W, south of 14N, based on satellite imagery, total
precipitable water and wave diagnostic data. The wave is moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed
south of 13N and east of 27W.
Another eastern tropical wave is along 32W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
the trough axis.
The tropical wave previously analyzed in the eastern Caribbean has
dissipated based on satellite imagery, total precipitable water
and wave diagnostic data.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 05N32W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N34W to 00N50W. A few showers are seen
near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms, especially south of 25N
and west of 90W. The tight pressure gradient between this low and
a 1017 mb ridge in the NE Gulf sustain fresh to near gale-force SE
winds and moderate to locally rough seas south of 26N and west of
88W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast, scattered to numerous squalls and thunderstorm
continue tonight across the SW Gulf, to the NE of a broad area of
low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche near 19N94W and
extending to offshore of Tampico. The low pressure system will
shift NW through the weekend and move inland over northeastern
Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over
the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting
with a frontal boundary. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will support fresh to
strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas, accompanied by
scattered showers and thunderstorms, through Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Diurnal heating and divergence aloft are sustaining a few showers
and isolated thunderstorms across parts of Cuba, Hispaniola and
nearby waters. The disturbance in the Bay of Campeche is also
producing some shower activity in the Gulf of Honduras. The
subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends into the
Caribbean waters, supporting fresh to near gale-force easterly
trade winds and moderate to rough seas in the central and SE
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are found in the NE Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends westward along 28.5N
and across Florida and the NE Gulf of America. The ridge will
generally remain in place through early next week to support a
large area of fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough
seas across the central Caribbean through Sun. Expect highest
winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong SE winds
and rough seas will also persist over the northwestern Caribbean,
to the W of 845W, including the Gulf of Honduras, through Sat
night. Expect active showers and thunderstorms across portions of
the Yucatan Channel and adjacent Yucatan waters through early Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N38W to 28N44W, followed by a
surface trough to 30N52W. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas south of 22N and west of 35W. Moderate to
fresh northerly winds and moderate seas are found north of 14N and
east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad ridge extends from the
central Atlantic along 25N westward across Florida along 28.5N
and across the NE Gulf of America, and will generally remain in
place through early next week. Weak low pressure near 31N56W,
accompanied by scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, is
shifting NE and out of the forecast waters, and will allow the
ridge to reorganize across the area through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a
gentle anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds
will develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun
evening through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE
U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late
evening across waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 03:59:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 130359
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been introduced in the far eastern Atlantic
along 18W, south of 14N, based on satellite imagery, total
precipitable water and wave diagnostic data. The wave is moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed
south of 13N and east of 27W.
Another eastern tropical wave is along 32W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
the trough axis.
The tropical wave previously analyzed in the eastern Caribbean has
dissipated based on satellite imagery, total precipitable water
and wave diagnostic data.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 05N32W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N34W to 00N50W. A few showers are seen
near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad area of low pressure in the Bay of Campeche is producing a
large area of showers and thunderstorms, especially south of 25N
and west of 90W. The tight pressure gradient between this low and
a 1017 mb ridge in the NE Gulf sustain fresh to near gale-force SE
winds and moderate to locally rough seas south of 26N and west of
88W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast, scattered to numerous squalls and thunderstorm
continue tonight across the SW Gulf, to the NE of a broad area of
low pressure located over the Bay of Campeche near 19N94W and
extending to offshore of Tampico. The low pressure system will
shift NW through the weekend and move inland over northeastern
Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over
the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting
with a frontal boundary. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will support fresh to
strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas, accompanied by
scattered showers and thunderstorms, through Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Diurnal heating and divergence aloft are sustaining a few showers
and isolated thunderstorms across parts of Cuba, Hispaniola and
nearby waters. The disturbance in the Bay of Campeche is also
producing some shower activity in the Gulf of Honduras. The
subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends into the
Caribbean waters, supporting fresh to near gale-force easterly
trade winds and moderate to rough seas in the central and SE
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are found in the NE Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends westward along 28.5N
and across Florida and the NE Gulf of America. The ridge will
generally remain in place through early next week to support a
large area of fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough
seas across the central Caribbean through Sun. Expect highest
winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong SE winds
and rough seas will also persist over the northwestern Caribbean,
to the W of 845W, including the Gulf of Honduras, through Sat
night. Expect active showers and thunderstorms across portions of
the Yucatan Channel and adjacent Yucatan waters through early Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N38W to 28N44W, followed by a
surface trough to 30N52W. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas south of 22N and west of 35W. Moderate to
fresh northerly winds and moderate seas are found north of 14N and
east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad ridge extends from the
central Atlantic along 25N westward across Florida along 28.5N
and across the NE Gulf of America, and will generally remain in
place through early next week. Weak low pressure near 31N56W,
accompanied by scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, is
shifting NE and out of the forecast waters, and will allow the
ridge to reorganize across the area through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a
gentle anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds
will develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun
evening through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE
U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late
evening across waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 17:06:19 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 13 Jun 2026 05:38:18 GMT - Sat, 13 Jun 2026 05:06:19 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 130506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western Gulf:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure moving west-northwestward over the Bay of Campeche remain
disorganized. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only
marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland
over eastern Mexico by Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the
northwestern Gulf on Tuesday or Wednesday while interacting with a
frontal boundary, but conditions there are also expected to be only
marginally conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:45:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT FRI 12 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-012
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf