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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 12 Nov 2026 09:25:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 120925
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Nov 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits the coast of Senegal near 13N17W and
    extends to 06N20W. The ITCZ extends from that point to coastal
    French Guiana near 04N52W. Isolated moderate convection is located
    from 07N-11N between 20W-53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1014 mb low is at 28N96W along the north end of a pre-frontal
    trough that reaches to 21N97W. While no significant winds are
    associated with the trough, scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 21N-28N between 92W-98W. Winds across the Gulf are
    moderate or weaker with seas 1-4 ft.

    For the forecast, a strong cold front will reach the Texas coast
    tomorrow morning, then sweep across the basin through tomorrow
    night exiting the area early on Fri. A pre-frontal trough in the
    western Gulf will promote fresh to locally strong N to NW winds
    near Tampico and Veracruz tomorrow and Fri. Elsewhere, moderate to
    locally fresh N winds are expected in the wake of the cold front.
    High pressure will build southward into the region this weekend,
    with increasing easterly winds as the high shifts eastward Sun.
    Fresh to strong E winds are likely across portions of the northern
    Gulf starting on Sun as the pressure gradient increases. Looking
    ahead, a second cold front should move offshore the Texas coast
    Mon morning. The strong E winds will shift to mostly the NE Gulf
    Mon and Mon night as the front translates eastward across the
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north of the region
    and a 1008 mb low near 10N74W is causing fresh to strong trades
    over the central Caribbean with seas 6-8 ft. Elsewhere winds are
    moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. A trough extends from 21N84W
    to 16N86W in the NW Caribbean. This is promoting scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection north of 14N west of 78W.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the
    central and eastern Caribbean into Thu night, with mainly moderate
    winds elsewhere. The pressure gradient will diminish starting Fri
    as a cold front approaches the Yucatan Channel, leading to a
    weakening of the trades. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are
    likely behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat and
    Sun. Looking ahead, fresh to strong trades may become
    reestablished over the south central Caribbean early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N76W to 27N81W along the Florida
    peninsula east coast with scattered moderate convection north of
    29N between 70W-73W. Winds ahead of the cold front are fresh to
    locally strong with seas 4-6 ft. Two weak frontal boundaries
    extend across the subtropical north Atlantic - one from 26N66W to
    31N39W and one from 21N45W to 30N10W. the former is associated
    with scattered moderate convection from 21N-25N between 60W-75W.
    These fronts have diminished the typical pressure gradient across
    forecast waters, resulting the remainder of winds across the area
    being moderate or weaker. Seas are 8-11 ft north of 20N east of
    30W due to residual W swell. Elsewhere, seas are 3-7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds ahead of a
    weak cold front off the NE Florida coast will diminish later
    today as the front dissipates. A new stronger cold front is
    expected to move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu night
    accompanied by fresh to strong winds on either side of it. The
    front is expected to reach from near 31N66W to the SE Bahamas by
    Sat morning, and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to
    eastern Cuba by Sun morning. The cold front portion will shift
    east of 55W late Sun while the stationary portion weakens. On Sun,
    winds will briefly diminish below fresh over forecast waters.
    Looking ahead, a building Bermuda High should increase NE winds up
    to fresh to strong south of 27N west of 65W.

    $$
    Landsea
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 12 Nov 2026 09:25:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 120925
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Nov 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits the coast of Senegal near 13N17W and
    extends to 06N20W. The ITCZ extends from that point to coastal
    French Guiana near 04N52W. Isolated moderate convection is located
    from 07N-11N between 20W-53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1014 mb low is at 28N96W along the north end of a pre-frontal
    trough that reaches to 21N97W. While no significant winds are
    associated with the trough, scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 21N-28N between 92W-98W. Winds across the Gulf are
    moderate or weaker with seas 1-4 ft.

    For the forecast, a strong cold front will reach the Texas coast
    tomorrow morning, then sweep across the basin through tomorrow
    night exiting the area early on Fri. A pre-frontal trough in the
    western Gulf will promote fresh to locally strong N to NW winds
    near Tampico and Veracruz tomorrow and Fri. Elsewhere, moderate to
    locally fresh N winds are expected in the wake of the cold front.
    High pressure will build southward into the region this weekend,
    with increasing easterly winds as the high shifts eastward Sun.
    Fresh to strong E winds are likely across portions of the northern
    Gulf starting on Sun as the pressure gradient increases. Looking
    ahead, a second cold front should move offshore the Texas coast
    Mon morning. The strong E winds will shift to mostly the NE Gulf
    Mon and Mon night as the front translates eastward across the
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north of the region
    and a 1008 mb low near 10N74W is causing fresh to strong trades
    over the central Caribbean with seas 6-8 ft. Elsewhere winds are
    moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. A trough extends from 21N84W
    to 16N86W in the NW Caribbean. This is promoting scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection north of 14N west of 78W.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will prevail over the
    central and eastern Caribbean into Thu night, with mainly moderate
    winds elsewhere. The pressure gradient will diminish starting Fri
    as a cold front approaches the Yucatan Channel, leading to a
    weakening of the trades. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are
    likely behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat and
    Sun. Looking ahead, fresh to strong trades may become
    reestablished over the south central Caribbean early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N76W to 27N81W along the Florida
    peninsula east coast with scattered moderate convection north of
    29N between 70W-73W. Winds ahead of the cold front are fresh to
    locally strong with seas 4-6 ft. Two weak frontal boundaries
    extend across the subtropical north Atlantic - one from 26N66W to
    31N39W and one from 21N45W to 30N10W. the former is associated
    with scattered moderate convection from 21N-25N between 60W-75W.
    These fronts have diminished the typical pressure gradient across
    forecast waters, resulting the remainder of winds across the area
    being moderate or weaker. Seas are 8-11 ft north of 20N east of
    30W due to residual W swell. Elsewhere, seas are 3-7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds ahead of a
    weak cold front off the NE Florida coast will diminish later
    today as the front dissipates. A new stronger cold front is
    expected to move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu night
    accompanied by fresh to strong winds on either side of it. The
    front is expected to reach from near 31N66W to the SE Bahamas by
    Sat morning, and from near 31N55W to 25N65W and stationary to
    eastern Cuba by Sun morning. The cold front portion will shift
    east of 55W late Sun while the stationary portion weakens. On Sun,
    winds will briefly diminish below fresh over forecast waters.
    Looking ahead, a building Bermuda High should increase NE winds up
    to fresh to strong south of 27N west of 65W.

    $$
    Landsea
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 13 Nov 2026 23:21:53 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 12 Nov 2026 15:50:15 GMT
  • Thu, 12 Nov 2026 11:21:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    988
    ABNT20 KNHC 121121
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Thu Nov 12 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 17:30:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 111730
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1230 PM EST WED 11 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-164

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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