2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 14 Apr 2026 22:00:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    137
    AXNT20 KNHC 142200
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Apr 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W, then
    continues SW to 02N25W. The ITCZ extends from 02N25W to 00N33W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 03N between 17W and
    33W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
    system, moderate E to SE winds dominate, except fresh to locally
    strong NE to E winds in the Florida Straits, offshore W Cuba, and
    offshore the Yucatan Peninsula, where the pressure gradient is
    enhanced locally. Seas are moderate, except for slight in the NE
    basin.

    For the forecast, a ridge extends from high pressure over the
    west- central Atlantic across Florida into the northern Gulf. This
    pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and mostly
    moderate seas through Sat, except in the NE and N-central parts of
    the basin where mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas will prevail. Expect stronger winds to pulse off the
    Yucatan Peninsula each night through Sat. Looking ahead, fresh to
    strong NE winds and building seas will follow a cold front moving
    across the northern Gulf Sun and Sun night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Developing low pressure N of Puerto Rico is inducing scattered
    moderate convection over the far NE basin over waters near Puerto
    Rico and the Virgin Islands. W of this feature, high pressure
    building SW from the western Atlantic is supporting strong NE
    winds through Windward Passage, S of Cuba, and between Haiti and
    Jamaica. Locally rough seas are impacting these waters. The
    gradient between this building high and the Colombian low is
    leading to similar strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia.
    Elsewhere over the western and central Caribbean, moderate to
    fresh NE winds and moderate seas prevail, with gentle trades and
    moderate seas in the east.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the west-central Atlantic
    combined with the Colombian low will maintain fresh to locally
    strong trade winds and rough seas off the coast of Colombia
    overnight. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
    prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
    Hispaniola overnight as well. Winds and seas will diminish across
    the basin late in the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front is just N of Puerto Rico generating scattered
    showers with embedded thunderstorms from 18N to 22N between 58W
    and 68W. Low pressure of 1012 mb has formed this afternoon near
    20N64W in association with this feature. Fresh to strong NE winds
    and seas of 8 to 12 ft are found near and behind the
    aforementioned frontal boundary in a zone N of Hispaniola and
    Cuba, through the Turks and Caicos, to 25N, between 64W and the
    Bahamas. Farther N and W, winds and seas gradually taper off to
    light to gentle and slight, respectively, offshore NE Florida, as
    high pressure settles southward from offshore the Mid-Atlantic
    U.S. E of the front, high pressure of 1027 mb located NW of the
    Madeira Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. Fresh to strong N to NE winds up to 30 kt, and seas up to
    11 ft in long period NW swell prevail N of 20N and E of 20W,
    including the Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate
    dominate the tropical Atlantic, S of 20N. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front reaching from
    28N55W to 1014 mb low pressure north of Puerto Rico will weaken
    into a broad trough through tonight. The trough will drift west
    toward Hispaniola on Wed, and the southeastern Bahamas on Thu,
    then dissipate Fri. Strong NE winds and rough seas will persist
    west of the trough through mid week, with conditions gradually
    improving thereafter as the trough weakens and leaves weak high
    pressure over the region. Looking ahead, strong N winds and
    building seas will follow a front moving off the coast of
    northeast Florida Sun night.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 14 Apr 2026 22:00:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    137
    AXNT20 KNHC 142200
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Apr 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W, then
    continues SW to 02N25W. The ITCZ extends from 02N25W to 00N33W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 03N between 17W and
    33W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
    system, moderate E to SE winds dominate, except fresh to locally
    strong NE to E winds in the Florida Straits, offshore W Cuba, and
    offshore the Yucatan Peninsula, where the pressure gradient is
    enhanced locally. Seas are moderate, except for slight in the NE
    basin.

    For the forecast, a ridge extends from high pressure over the
    west- central Atlantic across Florida into the northern Gulf. This
    pattern will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds and mostly
    moderate seas through Sat, except in the NE and N-central parts of
    the basin where mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas will prevail. Expect stronger winds to pulse off the
    Yucatan Peninsula each night through Sat. Looking ahead, fresh to
    strong NE winds and building seas will follow a cold front moving
    across the northern Gulf Sun and Sun night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Developing low pressure N of Puerto Rico is inducing scattered
    moderate convection over the far NE basin over waters near Puerto
    Rico and the Virgin Islands. W of this feature, high pressure
    building SW from the western Atlantic is supporting strong NE
    winds through Windward Passage, S of Cuba, and between Haiti and
    Jamaica. Locally rough seas are impacting these waters. The
    gradient between this building high and the Colombian low is
    leading to similar strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia.
    Elsewhere over the western and central Caribbean, moderate to
    fresh NE winds and moderate seas prevail, with gentle trades and
    moderate seas in the east.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the west-central Atlantic
    combined with the Colombian low will maintain fresh to locally
    strong trade winds and rough seas off the coast of Colombia
    overnight. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
    prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
    Hispaniola overnight as well. Winds and seas will diminish across
    the basin late in the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front is just N of Puerto Rico generating scattered
    showers with embedded thunderstorms from 18N to 22N between 58W
    and 68W. Low pressure of 1012 mb has formed this afternoon near
    20N64W in association with this feature. Fresh to strong NE winds
    and seas of 8 to 12 ft are found near and behind the
    aforementioned frontal boundary in a zone N of Hispaniola and
    Cuba, through the Turks and Caicos, to 25N, between 64W and the
    Bahamas. Farther N and W, winds and seas gradually taper off to
    light to gentle and slight, respectively, offshore NE Florida, as
    high pressure settles southward from offshore the Mid-Atlantic
    U.S. E of the front, high pressure of 1027 mb located NW of the
    Madeira Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. Fresh to strong N to NE winds up to 30 kt, and seas up to
    11 ft in long period NW swell prevail N of 20N and E of 20W,
    including the Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate
    dominate the tropical Atlantic, S of 20N. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front reaching from
    28N55W to 1014 mb low pressure north of Puerto Rico will weaken
    into a broad trough through tonight. The trough will drift west
    toward Hispaniola on Wed, and the southeastern Bahamas on Thu,
    then dissipate Fri. Strong NE winds and rough seas will persist
    west of the trough through mid week, with conditions gradually
    improving thereafter as the trough weakens and leaves weak high
    pressure over the region. Looking ahead, strong N winds and
    building seas will follow a front moving off the coast of
    northeast Florida Sun night.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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