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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 09 Jun 2026 23:02:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
051
AXNT20 KNHC 092302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W-37W, S of 15N, moving
west at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 47W, S of 16N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 59W, S of 18N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 11N between 53W and 57W.
The axis of a tropical wave previously along 77W has shifted NW
across the Caribbean, and is becoming absorbed in the monsoonal
circulation across Central America and southeastern Mexico. This
wave has therefore been dropped from the 1800 UTC surface
analysis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
and extends SW to 08N21W. The ITCZ extends from 08N21W to 05.5N36W,
then from 05N38W to 04.5N46W, then from 04.5N48W to 04.5N52W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03.5N to 10N between
14W and 34W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 02N to 10N between 36W and 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge continues from 1022 mb high over Georgia
southwestward across the northern Gulf. The pressure gradient
between this ridge and lower pressure around TS Cristina and the
eastern Pacific monsoon circulation is supporting moderate to
locally fresh E-SE winds over the waters S of 26NW, while gentle
to moderate winds prevail N of 26N. Seas are in the 4-5 ft range
across SW portions and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate
convection covers the waters from the Yucatan Channel to the
Florida Panhandle.
For the forecast, a surface ridge across the northern Gulf will
continue to dominate the region the next few days, supporting
gentle to moderate east to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf,
and moderate to fresh winds in the western Gulf through much of
this week. Slight to moderate seas will also prevail. The
exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
trough will support fresh E winds pulsing to strong speeds during
the evenings through Wed. A trough or weak low pressure center may
emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu
through Fri night, accompanied by numerous showers and
thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate trade winds prevail across the basin E of 68W, while
moderate to fresh E-SE trades and moderate seas prevail across the
remaining Caribbean waters. Seas are 3 to 5 ft E of 68W and 4 to 7
ft W of 68W. The interaction of a diffuse tropical wave and upper
level troughing is supporting scattered active convection over
much of the western waters W of 75W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
ridge and T.S. Cristina and the Eastern Pacific monsoonal
circulation will strengthen slightly the next few days as high
pressure moves into the W Atlantic, leading to widespread moderate
to fresh trades with fresh to strong E winds in the central and
NW Caribbean, including the Gulf of Honduras. These conditions
will prevail through the forecast period. In addition, a trough or
weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula
into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night, maintaining a
tight pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean and the Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly moderate
seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 27N72W to eastern Cuba. Another deep
layered trough is analyzed from 31N60W to 23N69W. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are within 300 nm E of the second
trough. A front has become stationary along about 31N to the N
and NW of these troughs. Gentle to locally moderate NE to E winds
prevail across most of the area W of the second trough, with seas
4 ft or less. High pressure dominates the remainder of the
discussion waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1032 mb high centered SW
of the Azores near 36N34W. Moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds,
and slight to moderate seas, are N of 20N and W of 50W. Fresh to
strong winds are N of 20N and E of 30W, where seas are in the 7-9
ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas 5 to 8 ft prevail
elsewhere S of 20N.
For the forecast west of 55W, a deep layered surface trough
extending from 31N60W to 23N69W will remain nearly stationary
through midweek, supporting continued showers and thunderstorms in
the region. A weak front will move across the northern waters
tonight, then move very slowly or stall on Wed, gradually
dissipating by Thu. A weak cold front will follow, only reaching
as far south as about 27N before stalling and moving eastward or
dissipating. High pressure north of the area and in the wake of
the front will shift eastward through the end of the week while
weakening, with the associated ridge extending toward Florida and
southeastern Georgia. The related pressure gradient between this
high and lower pressures in the tropics will generally allow for
gentle to moderate winds N of 20N and moderate to fresh trades S
of 20N, along with slight to moderate seas. Increasing moisture
resulting in unsettled weather conditions is likely to impact the
far western section of the basin during the week.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 09 Jun 2026 23:02:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
051
AXNT20 KNHC 092302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W-37W, S of 15N, moving
west at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 47W, S of 16N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 59W, S of 18N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 11N between 53W and 57W.
The axis of a tropical wave previously along 77W has shifted NW
across the Caribbean, and is becoming absorbed in the monsoonal
circulation across Central America and southeastern Mexico. This
wave has therefore been dropped from the 1800 UTC surface
analysis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
and extends SW to 08N21W. The ITCZ extends from 08N21W to 05.5N36W,
then from 05N38W to 04.5N46W, then from 04.5N48W to 04.5N52W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03.5N to 10N between
14W and 34W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 02N to 10N between 36W and 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge continues from 1022 mb high over Georgia
southwestward across the northern Gulf. The pressure gradient
between this ridge and lower pressure around TS Cristina and the
eastern Pacific monsoon circulation is supporting moderate to
locally fresh E-SE winds over the waters S of 26NW, while gentle
to moderate winds prevail N of 26N. Seas are in the 4-5 ft range
across SW portions and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate
convection covers the waters from the Yucatan Channel to the
Florida Panhandle.
For the forecast, a surface ridge across the northern Gulf will
continue to dominate the region the next few days, supporting
gentle to moderate east to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf,
and moderate to fresh winds in the western Gulf through much of
this week. Slight to moderate seas will also prevail. The
exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
trough will support fresh E winds pulsing to strong speeds during
the evenings through Wed. A trough or weak low pressure center may
emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu
through Fri night, accompanied by numerous showers and
thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate trade winds prevail across the basin E of 68W, while
moderate to fresh E-SE trades and moderate seas prevail across the
remaining Caribbean waters. Seas are 3 to 5 ft E of 68W and 4 to 7
ft W of 68W. The interaction of a diffuse tropical wave and upper
level troughing is supporting scattered active convection over
much of the western waters W of 75W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
ridge and T.S. Cristina and the Eastern Pacific monsoonal
circulation will strengthen slightly the next few days as high
pressure moves into the W Atlantic, leading to widespread moderate
to fresh trades with fresh to strong E winds in the central and
NW Caribbean, including the Gulf of Honduras. These conditions
will prevail through the forecast period. In addition, a trough or
weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula
into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night, maintaining a
tight pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean and the Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly moderate
seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 27N72W to eastern Cuba. Another deep
layered trough is analyzed from 31N60W to 23N69W. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are within 300 nm E of the second
trough. A front has become stationary along about 31N to the N
and NW of these troughs. Gentle to locally moderate NE to E winds
prevail across most of the area W of the second trough, with seas
4 ft or less. High pressure dominates the remainder of the
discussion waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1032 mb high centered SW
of the Azores near 36N34W. Moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds,
and slight to moderate seas, are N of 20N and W of 50W. Fresh to
strong winds are N of 20N and E of 30W, where seas are in the 7-9
ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas 5 to 8 ft prevail
elsewhere S of 20N.
For the forecast west of 55W, a deep layered surface trough
extending from 31N60W to 23N69W will remain nearly stationary
through midweek, supporting continued showers and thunderstorms in
the region. A weak front will move across the northern waters
tonight, then move very slowly or stall on Wed, gradually
dissipating by Thu. A weak cold front will follow, only reaching
as far south as about 27N before stalling and moving eastward or
dissipating. High pressure north of the area and in the wake of
the front will shift eastward through the end of the week while
weakening, with the associated ridge extending toward Florida and
southeastern Georgia. The related pressure gradient between this
high and lower pressures in the tropics will generally allow for
gentle to moderate winds N of 20N and moderate to fresh trades S
of 20N, along with slight to moderate seas. Increasing moisture
resulting in unsettled weather conditions is likely to impact the
far western section of the basin during the week.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 11 Jun 2026 11:08:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 10 Jun 2026 03:06:09 GMT - Tue, 09 Jun 2026 23:08:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
575
ABNT20 KNHC 092308
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jun 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 09 Jun 2026 13:50:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT TUE 09 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-009
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


