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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:17:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 052317
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 19W, south of 20N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is noted with this feature at this
time.
A tropical wave is along 34N, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis and S
of 12N.
A tropical wave is along 64W, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are in the vicinity of the wave axis
between 57W and 69W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 77W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to 06N43W. The ITCZ extends from 06N43W to 10N58W.
Aside from the convection described in the tropical wave section
above, no activity is noted at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region, anchored by a
1015 mb high centered near 26N88W. Light to gentle winds prevail
across most of the basin, except gentle to moderate winds over
the Bay of Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient between
the ridge and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted in the periphery of
the high pressure, mainly affecting the land areas and nearshore
waters.
For the forecast, weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue supporting
fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate seas over the
central Caribbean through the weekend. This gradient will tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong, locally near-
gale force, winds and rough seas, early next week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
through the middle of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from near 30N78W to 25N81W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are associated with this feature.
Another trough is analyzed along 72W from 21N to 28N with no
dominates the remainder of the Atlantic, centered near 26N36W.
Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
prevail across the area into the middle of next week, supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front will
approach the northern waters then stall along 31N for the first
part of next week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:17:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 052317
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 19W, south of 20N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. No convection is noted with this feature at this
time.
A tropical wave is along 34N, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis and S
of 12N.
A tropical wave is along 64W, south of 20N, moving W at around 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are in the vicinity of the wave axis
between 57W and 69W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 77W,
and extends from eastern Cuba to near western Colombia. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to 06N43W. The ITCZ extends from 06N43W to 10N58W.
Aside from the convection described in the tropical wave section
above, no activity is noted at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues to dominate the Gulf region, anchored by a
1015 mb high centered near 26N88W. Light to gentle winds prevail
across most of the basin, except gentle to moderate winds over
the Bay of Campeche likely due to the pressure gradient between
the ridge and a surface trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted in the periphery of
the high pressure, mainly affecting the land areas and nearshore
waters.
For the forecast, weak pressure gradient will support light to
gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh trades and 5 to 7 ft seas
offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Similar wind
speeds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue supporting
fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate seas over the
central Caribbean through the weekend. This gradient will tighten
starting Mon, leading to a broader area of strong, locally near-
gale force, winds and rough seas, early next week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
through the middle of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from near 30N78W to 25N81W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are associated with this feature.
Another trough is analyzed along 72W from 21N to 28N with no
dominates the remainder of the Atlantic, centered near 26N36W.
Under this weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
prevail across the area into the middle of next week, supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front will
approach the northern waters then stall along 31N for the first
part of next week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 07 Sep 2026 11:14:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 06 Sep 2026 02:00:35 GMT - Sat, 05 Sep 2026 23:14:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
717
ABNT20 KNHC 052314
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 21:03:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
929
NOUS42 KNHC 052103
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0505 PM EDT SAT 05 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-097 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE LOWELL (CHANGED)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
A. 06/1730Z,2330Z A. 07/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0712E LOWELL B. NOAA3 0812E LOWELL
C. 06/1530Z C. 06/2000Z
D. 15.1N 164.2W D. 15.7N 164.2W
E. 06/1700Z TO 06/2330Z E. 06/2130Z TO 07/0130Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 79
A. 07/0000Z A. 07/0530Z,1130Z
B. NOAA9 0912E LOWELL B. AFXXX 1012E LOWELL
C. 06/2100Z C. 07/0330Z
D. NA D. 16.4N 164.0W
E. NA E. 07/0500Z TO 07/1130Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT FIVE - NOAA 43
A. 07/1200Z
B. NOAA3 1112E LOWELL
C. 07/0800Z
D. 17.3N 163.8W
E. 07/0930Z TO 07/1330Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES AT 07/1430Z.
B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO LOWELL FOR
FOR 08/0000Z AND 08/1200Z, DEPARTING PHKO AT 07/2000Z AND
08/0800Z, RESPECTIVELY.
3. REMARKS:
A. (CHANGED) THE FOLLOWING REQUIREMENTS TASKED IN TCPOD 26-096
WILL NOT BE FLOWN:
(1) TEAL 78 FOR THE 05/1730Z AND 05/2330Z FIXES
(2) NOAA 43 FOR THE 06/0000Z AND 06/1200Z TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
(3) TEAL 77 FOR THE 06/0530Z FIX
B. DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 07/1200Z
SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
WITHIN THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf