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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 04:10:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150410
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Jul 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 04N to 15N and east of 27W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 09N35W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N35W to 04N52W. See the Tropical Waves section
for details on the convection near these features.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stalled frontal boundary draped across the southern and
southeastern United States, from eastern Texas to off the Georgia
coast. An east to west upper trough across this same area is
combining with plenty of low level moisture and diurnal heating to
support scattered moderate isolated strong convection across much
of the northern Gulf waters north of 25N. The strongest convection
is found in the NE Gulf waters. Similar storms are see in the
eastern Bay of Campeche.
Outside of convection, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida
and into the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas off Yucatan and in the Bay of
Campeche. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas
prevail.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical
Atlantic ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
South America continue to support strong to near gale-force
easterly winds and rough locally rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured winds up
to 32 kt. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas
are occurring in the remainder of the central Caribbean. Meanwhile,
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern Caribbean, the Windward Passage, and the Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper level trough and
abundant tropical moisture continue to support scattered moderate
to strong convection covers the area between west of Jamaica and
south of 20N. The strongest storms are along the NE coasts of
Honduras and Nicaragua. These storms can produce gusty winds to
near gale-force, frequent lightning and suddenly higher seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will
support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the central
Caribbean through the remainder of the week and weekend. Rough
seas will prevail with these winds. East winds will pulse fresh
to locally strong each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary frontal boundary extends from the central Atlantic to
the coast of Georgia, within 30N to 32N. Scattered showers are
noted north of 27N and between 55W and 65W. Moderate to locally
fresh SW winds and moderate seas are present in those waters.
Convection is suppressed elsewhere across much of the basin due to
a large plume of Saharan dust and mid-latitude dry air.
The Atlantic subtropical ridge persists across the basin,
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE
Bahamas and between 70W and 77W. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring south of 22N and
west of 35W to the Lesser Antilles. Meanwhile, in the far eastern
Atlantic, fresh to locally strong SW winds and seas of 4-8 ft are
evident south of 10N and east of 27W. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 04:10:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150410
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Jul 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 04N to 15N and east of 27W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 09N35W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N35W to 04N52W. See the Tropical Waves section
for details on the convection near these features.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stalled frontal boundary draped across the southern and
southeastern United States, from eastern Texas to off the Georgia
coast. An east to west upper trough across this same area is
combining with plenty of low level moisture and diurnal heating to
support scattered moderate isolated strong convection across much
of the northern Gulf waters north of 25N. The strongest convection
is found in the NE Gulf waters. Similar storms are see in the
eastern Bay of Campeche.
Outside of convection, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida
and into the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas off Yucatan and in the Bay of
Campeche. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas
prevail.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical
Atlantic ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
South America continue to support strong to near gale-force
easterly winds and rough locally rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured winds up
to 32 kt. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas
are occurring in the remainder of the central Caribbean. Meanwhile,
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern Caribbean, the Windward Passage, and the Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper level trough and
abundant tropical moisture continue to support scattered moderate
to strong convection covers the area between west of Jamaica and
south of 20N. The strongest storms are along the NE coasts of
Honduras and Nicaragua. These storms can produce gusty winds to
near gale-force, frequent lightning and suddenly higher seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will
support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the central
Caribbean through the remainder of the week and weekend. Rough
seas will prevail with these winds. East winds will pulse fresh
to locally strong each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary frontal boundary extends from the central Atlantic to
the coast of Georgia, within 30N to 32N. Scattered showers are
noted north of 27N and between 55W and 65W. Moderate to locally
fresh SW winds and moderate seas are present in those waters.
Convection is suppressed elsewhere across much of the basin due to
a large plume of Saharan dust and mid-latitude dry air.
The Atlantic subtropical ridge persists across the basin,
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE
Bahamas and between 70W and 77W. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring south of 22N and
west of 35W to the Lesser Antilles. Meanwhile, in the far eastern
Atlantic, fresh to locally strong SW winds and seas of 4-8 ft are
evident south of 10N and east of 27W. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 16 Jul 2026 17:14:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 15 Jul 2026 07:50:11 GMT - Wed, 15 Jul 2026 05:14:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 150514
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 13:46:59 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
120
NOUS42 KNHC 141345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT TUE 14 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-044
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf