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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 23:45:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 142344
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Sep 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave axis is along 53W, from 07N to 18N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 09N to
19N between 47W and 56W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
to 08N31W to 09N48W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is
from 05N to 14N between 07W and 19W. Scattered moderate convection
is elsewhere from 06N to 13N between 18W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Widely scattered showers are basin-wide. Otherwise, a 1019 mb
high pressure offshore SE Louisiana dominates the Gulf waters,
supporting moderate to fresh NE winds off the Yucatan Peninsula
and over the eastern Bay of Campeche, and moderate SE winds W of
94W. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, weak ridging over the NE Gulf will persist into
Tue supporting relatively tranquil conditions across much of the
basin. The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where a diurnal
trough will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each
evening through late this week, bringing nightly pulses of fresh
NE winds. Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building
southward from the eastern United States will lead to increasing
NE to E winds over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong
and rough seas over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night.
Conditions will improve Fri through Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge centered north of the Bahamas and lower
pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh to locally near
gale-force easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas across
much of the central Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades
elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Otherwise, scattered heavy showers and
tstms are ongoing over the SW Caribbean between Colombia and NE
Nicaragua due to the eastern extension of the E Pacific monsoon.
Scattered heavy showers are ongoing over the E Caribbean being
fueled by abundant moisture and upper level diffluent flow.
For the forecast, fresh to locally near gale-force easterly trade
winds and moderate to rough seas across much of the central
Caribbean will persist through the workweek. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected, except
moderate to fresh mainly in the evenings near the Windward Passage
and Lee of Cuba through midweek. Winds may diminish across the
basin by the end of the week into the upcoming weekend as the
pressures gradient relaxes, with seas also slightly subsiding.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates much of the basin, forcing
fresh easterly winds off Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
A surface trough prevails in the central subtropical Atlantic
extending from 24N49W to 30N50W, which is producing scattered
heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and between
43W and 59W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail over the central and eastern subtropical waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, on Tue, strong high pressure
building southward through the eastern United States will bring a
cold front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to
locally strong and causing seas to build to rough N of the Bahamas
and W of 70W through early Thu. Conditions will improve later Thu
into Fri. During the middle to later portion of the week, a
trough of low pressure is forecast to move west-northwestward
into the NE portion of the waters, bringing thunderstorms while
also weakening the high and pressure gradient.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 23:45:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 142344
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Sep 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave axis is along 53W, from 07N to 18N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 09N to
19N between 47W and 56W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
to 08N31W to 09N48W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is
from 05N to 14N between 07W and 19W. Scattered moderate convection
is elsewhere from 06N to 13N between 18W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Widely scattered showers are basin-wide. Otherwise, a 1019 mb
high pressure offshore SE Louisiana dominates the Gulf waters,
supporting moderate to fresh NE winds off the Yucatan Peninsula
and over the eastern Bay of Campeche, and moderate SE winds W of
94W. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, weak ridging over the NE Gulf will persist into
Tue supporting relatively tranquil conditions across much of the
basin. The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where a diurnal
trough will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each
evening through late this week, bringing nightly pulses of fresh
NE winds. Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building
southward from the eastern United States will lead to increasing
NE to E winds over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong
and rough seas over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night.
Conditions will improve Fri through Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge centered north of the Bahamas and lower
pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh to locally near
gale-force easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas across
much of the central Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades
elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Otherwise, scattered heavy showers and
tstms are ongoing over the SW Caribbean between Colombia and NE
Nicaragua due to the eastern extension of the E Pacific monsoon.
Scattered heavy showers are ongoing over the E Caribbean being
fueled by abundant moisture and upper level diffluent flow.
For the forecast, fresh to locally near gale-force easterly trade
winds and moderate to rough seas across much of the central
Caribbean will persist through the workweek. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected, except
moderate to fresh mainly in the evenings near the Windward Passage
and Lee of Cuba through midweek. Winds may diminish across the
basin by the end of the week into the upcoming weekend as the
pressures gradient relaxes, with seas also slightly subsiding.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates much of the basin, forcing
fresh easterly winds off Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
A surface trough prevails in the central subtropical Atlantic
extending from 24N49W to 30N50W, which is producing scattered
heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and between
43W and 59W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail over the central and eastern subtropical waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, on Tue, strong high pressure
building southward through the eastern United States will bring a
cold front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to
locally strong and causing seas to build to rough N of the Bahamas
and W of 70W through early Thu. Conditions will improve later Thu
into Fri. During the middle to later portion of the week, a
trough of low pressure is forecast to move west-northwestward
into the NE portion of the waters, bringing thunderstorms while
also weakening the high and pressure gradient.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 11:16:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 14 Sep 2026 23:45:13 GMT - Mon, 14 Sep 2026 23:16:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 142316
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located about 900 miles east-southeast of
Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions over the system are forecast to become more
conducive for development by the middle of this week. A tropical
depression could form late this week as the system moves slowly
west-northwestward over the subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 13:38:43 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141328
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT MON 14 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-106
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf