2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 02 Apr 2026 20:31:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    515
    AXNT20 KNHC 022031
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 11N14.5W and continues southwestward to 06N18W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N18W to 02S44W. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted from 01N to 05N between 20W and 25W, and from 02S to 03N
    between 34W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient
    between this area of high pressure and a 1004 mb low over Mexico
    is supporting moderate to fresh winds over the basin. These winds
    are generating seas in the 3-6 ft range.

    For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic surface ridge extends
    westward across the northern Gulf states and will dominate the
    Gulf region through Sat morning, then weaken Sat afternoon and
    night as a cold front approaches. This will support moderate to
    fresh E to SE winds across the basin, with occasional strong
    winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the northwestern
    Gulf and through the Florida Straits through Sat. A cold front
    will enter the northwestern Gulf early Sun and move southeastward
    through early next week, reaching from near Fort Myers, FL to
    23N94W to the central Bay of Campeche Tue morning. Expected strong
    to near gale-force winds and rough seas behind the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds in the south
    central Caribbean. Seas over this area are in the 6-8 ft range.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic ridge continues along
    about 34N and into the SE U.S., and will weaken modestly through
    Sun morning. The pressure gradient between this surface ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh winds pulsing to strong with
    rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night, and fresh to
    locally strong NE to E winds and moderate to rough seas in the lee
    side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola
    through Fri night, before winds and seas diminish over the
    weekend. An inverted trough will develop from Hispaniola northward
    into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue, and yield fresh trade
    winds across the eastern Caribbean and gentle to moderate winds
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 26N55W to 17N60W. Scattered moderate
    and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the trough.
    High pressure is centered N and W of the trough. The pressure
    gradient between these features is supporting fresh to strong
    winds N of 20N between 50W and 75W. A second trough is over the
    eastern waters from 28N25W to 20N22W. High pressure is north of
    the trough. The pressure gradient between these features is
    supporting fresh winds N of the trough. Gentle to moderate winds
    prevail elsewhere. Mostly rough seas prevail N of 20N between 40W
    and 75W, and N of 24N between 23W and 40W. Moderate seas are found
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure extends from
    the central Atlantic west-southwestward into the SE U.S., and will
    drift slowly SW and weaken modestly through Sun morning. This
    pattern will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    mainly south of 29N, including the central and southeast Bahamas,
    through this weekend. By late Sun, the high will have weakened and
    shifted to NE of Bermuda, while an inverted surface trough forms
    from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic. A cold front is
    expected to exit the southeastern U.S. early Mon and move slowly
    southeastward, reaching from 31N72W to central Florida by Tue
    morning.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 02 Apr 2026 20:31:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    515
    AXNT20 KNHC 022031
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Apr 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 11N14.5W and continues southwestward to 06N18W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N18W to 02S44W. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted from 01N to 05N between 20W and 25W, and from 02S to 03N
    between 34W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. The pressure gradient
    between this area of high pressure and a 1004 mb low over Mexico
    is supporting moderate to fresh winds over the basin. These winds
    are generating seas in the 3-6 ft range.

    For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic surface ridge extends
    westward across the northern Gulf states and will dominate the
    Gulf region through Sat morning, then weaken Sat afternoon and
    night as a cold front approaches. This will support moderate to
    fresh E to SE winds across the basin, with occasional strong
    winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the northwestern
    Gulf and through the Florida Straits through Sat. A cold front
    will enter the northwestern Gulf early Sun and move southeastward
    through early next week, reaching from near Fort Myers, FL to
    23N94W to the central Bay of Campeche Tue morning. Expected strong
    to near gale-force winds and rough seas behind the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds in the south
    central Caribbean. Seas over this area are in the 6-8 ft range.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, a broad western Atlantic ridge continues along
    about 34N and into the SE U.S., and will weaken modestly through
    Sun morning. The pressure gradient between this surface ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh winds pulsing to strong with
    rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night, and fresh to
    locally strong NE to E winds and moderate to rough seas in the lee
    side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola
    through Fri night, before winds and seas diminish over the
    weekend. An inverted trough will develop from Hispaniola northward
    into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue, and yield fresh trade
    winds across the eastern Caribbean and gentle to moderate winds
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 26N55W to 17N60W. Scattered moderate
    and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the trough.
    High pressure is centered N and W of the trough. The pressure
    gradient between these features is supporting fresh to strong
    winds N of 20N between 50W and 75W. A second trough is over the
    eastern waters from 28N25W to 20N22W. High pressure is north of
    the trough. The pressure gradient between these features is
    supporting fresh winds N of the trough. Gentle to moderate winds
    prevail elsewhere. Mostly rough seas prevail N of 20N between 40W
    and 75W, and N of 24N between 23W and 40W. Moderate seas are found
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure extends from
    the central Atlantic west-southwestward into the SE U.S., and will
    drift slowly SW and weaken modestly through Sun morning. This
    pattern will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    mainly south of 29N, including the central and southeast Bahamas,
    through this weekend. By late Sun, the high will have weakened and
    shifted to NE of Bermuda, while an inverted surface trough forms
    from Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic. A cold front is
    expected to exit the southeastern U.S. early Mon and move slowly
    southeastward, reaching from 31N72W to central Florida by Tue
    morning.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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