SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 08 Dec 2025 21:05:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 082104
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Dec 9 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front extends from central
Florida to the central Bay of Campeche. Near gale to gale force
winds prevail over the waters S of 22N and west of the front,
where seas are in the 8-10 ft range. The front will continue to
shift SE tonight, with winds diminishing below gale force.
Please refer to the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at the website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 07.5N12.5W and extends to near 05N18W. The ITCZ then
continues from 05N18W to 02N31W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 25W and 39W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a gale
warning off Veracruz, Mexico.
A cold front extends from central Florida to the central Bay of
Campeche. Aside from gale conditions off Veracruz, Mexico, fresh
to strong winds prevail N of the front, with gentle to moderate
winds SE of the front. Seas are in the 5-8 ft range N of the
front, and 2-4 ft SE of the front.
For the forecast, the front will progress southeastward over the
basin early this week. Gale force winds and localized very rough
seas are expected offshore of Veracruz through this evening, with
strong winds continuing in this region into Tue morning.
Widespread fresh to strong N winds and rough seas will occur in
the wake of the front over the central and western Gulf through
late tonight, with mainly fresh winds and moderate seas expected
in the eastern basin. Winds and seas will diminish from northwest
to southeast through Tue as the front stalls near the Yucatan
Peninsula and eventually dissipates around midweek. Weak high
pressure will build over the basin later this week, supporting
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to locally fresh winds prevail over the central and
eastern Caribbean, with gentle winds over the western Caribbean.
Seas are in the 5-6 ft range over the central and eastern
Caribbean, and 3-5 ft over the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds and
moderate seas are expected over the central and eastern Caribbean
through Tue as weak ridging prevails over the central Atlantic.
Winds may pulse to strong speeds in the Gulf of Venezuela and
offshore of northern Colombia by Tue night, and locally rough seas
may develop near and to the west of these winds. An increasing
pressure gradient between a weakening cold front approaching the
northwestern Caribbean and low pressure in the south-central basin
will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas in the
central Caribbean for mid to late week. Winds may approach near-
gale force offshore of Colombia late Wed. Elsewhere, a persistent
E swell will continue to lead to rough seas over the Atlantic
waters and passages of the Lesser Antilles into early Wed before
seas slightly subside. A new mixed N and E swell will renew rough
seas over this region late Wed through the rest of the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from southwest of Bermuda to just northeast
of the Bahamas. A second, stronger cold front extends from 31N75W
to central Florida. Fresh to near-gale force winds prevail N of
27N and east of the first front to 63W, with moderate to fresh
winds W of the front. Seas are in the 5-8 ft range over these
waters.
High pressure prevails across the remainder of the Atlantic
discussion waters, anchored by a 1020 mb high centered near
23N46W. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high
center, with moderate to fresh winds prevailing over much of the
remainder of the Atlantic discussion waters. Seas of 12 to 15 ft
are noted over the waters N of 28N between 20W and 45W, with seas
generally in the 7-11 ft range N of 20N and E of 55W. S of 20N,
seas are in the 5-8 ft range. Elsewhere, seas of 5-6 ft are
noted.
For the forecast west of 55W, the first front will progress
eastward early this week, and fresh to strong SW winds are
expected ahead of the front north of 27N through Tue. Rough seas
in W swell will east of 73W will expand eastward into the central
Atlantic by tonight. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
north of 30N and east of 64W by Tue morning. The second front
will rapidly progress eastward through midweek, and widespread
fresh to strong N to NW winds are expected in the wake of the
front, generally north of 27N and west of 65W by late tonight,
with these winds also expanding eastward toward the central
Atlantic through Tue. A new N swell will support rough seas over
the northwest tropical Atlantic by late tonight, before merging
with the aforementioned rough seas in the central basin on Tue.
Winds will diminish from west to east through Tue night, with
rough seas slowly subsiding through late week. Looking ahead,
fresh to locally strong SW winds and rough seas may develop off
the coast of Florida mid to late week as a low pressure system
moves off the east coast of the U.S.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 08 Dec 2025 21:05:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 082104
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Dec 9 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front extends from central
Florida to the central Bay of Campeche. Near gale to gale force
winds prevail over the waters S of 22N and west of the front,
where seas are in the 8-10 ft range. The front will continue to
shift SE tonight, with winds diminishing below gale force.
Please refer to the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at the website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 07.5N12.5W and extends to near 05N18W. The ITCZ then
continues from 05N18W to 02N31W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 25W and 39W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for more on a gale
warning off Veracruz, Mexico.
A cold front extends from central Florida to the central Bay of
Campeche. Aside from gale conditions off Veracruz, Mexico, fresh
to strong winds prevail N of the front, with gentle to moderate
winds SE of the front. Seas are in the 5-8 ft range N of the
front, and 2-4 ft SE of the front.
For the forecast, the front will progress southeastward over the
basin early this week. Gale force winds and localized very rough
seas are expected offshore of Veracruz through this evening, with
strong winds continuing in this region into Tue morning.
Widespread fresh to strong N winds and rough seas will occur in
the wake of the front over the central and western Gulf through
late tonight, with mainly fresh winds and moderate seas expected
in the eastern basin. Winds and seas will diminish from northwest
to southeast through Tue as the front stalls near the Yucatan
Peninsula and eventually dissipates around midweek. Weak high
pressure will build over the basin later this week, supporting
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to locally fresh winds prevail over the central and
eastern Caribbean, with gentle winds over the western Caribbean.
Seas are in the 5-6 ft range over the central and eastern
Caribbean, and 3-5 ft over the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds and
moderate seas are expected over the central and eastern Caribbean
through Tue as weak ridging prevails over the central Atlantic.
Winds may pulse to strong speeds in the Gulf of Venezuela and
offshore of northern Colombia by Tue night, and locally rough seas
may develop near and to the west of these winds. An increasing
pressure gradient between a weakening cold front approaching the
northwestern Caribbean and low pressure in the south-central basin
will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas in the
central Caribbean for mid to late week. Winds may approach near-
gale force offshore of Colombia late Wed. Elsewhere, a persistent
E swell will continue to lead to rough seas over the Atlantic
waters and passages of the Lesser Antilles into early Wed before
seas slightly subside. A new mixed N and E swell will renew rough
seas over this region late Wed through the rest of the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from southwest of Bermuda to just northeast
of the Bahamas. A second, stronger cold front extends from 31N75W
to central Florida. Fresh to near-gale force winds prevail N of
27N and east of the first front to 63W, with moderate to fresh
winds W of the front. Seas are in the 5-8 ft range over these
waters.
High pressure prevails across the remainder of the Atlantic
discussion waters, anchored by a 1020 mb high centered near
23N46W. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high
center, with moderate to fresh winds prevailing over much of the
remainder of the Atlantic discussion waters. Seas of 12 to 15 ft
are noted over the waters N of 28N between 20W and 45W, with seas
generally in the 7-11 ft range N of 20N and E of 55W. S of 20N,
seas are in the 5-8 ft range. Elsewhere, seas of 5-6 ft are
noted.
For the forecast west of 55W, the first front will progress
eastward early this week, and fresh to strong SW winds are
expected ahead of the front north of 27N through Tue. Rough seas
in W swell will east of 73W will expand eastward into the central
Atlantic by tonight. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
north of 30N and east of 64W by Tue morning. The second front
will rapidly progress eastward through midweek, and widespread
fresh to strong N to NW winds are expected in the wake of the
front, generally north of 27N and west of 65W by late tonight,
with these winds also expanding eastward toward the central
Atlantic through Tue. A new N swell will support rough seas over
the northwest tropical Atlantic by late tonight, before merging
with the aforementioned rough seas in the central basin on Tue.
Winds will diminish from west to east through Tue night, with
rough seas slowly subsiding through late week. Looking ahead,
fresh to locally strong SW winds and rough seas may develop off
the coast of Florida mid to late week as a low pressure system
moves off the east coast of the U.S.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 08 Dec 2025 22:53:20 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 08 Dec 2025 17:21:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081721
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1225 PM EST MON 08 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-008
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72
A. 10/0000Z
B. AFXXX 03WSE IOP02
C. 09/1830Z
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
35.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 125.0W, AND 35.0N 125.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 09/2030Z TO 10/0230Z
2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
FOR THE 10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf