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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 16 May 2026 05:28:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
389
AXNT20 KNHC 160528
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0527 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 36.5W, from 12.5N
southward, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 01S to 06N between 34W and 41W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 60.5W, from 14N
southward into the Venezuela and Guyana border, and moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are seen across Guyana.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then curves
southwestward to 01N27W. An ITCZ continues from 01N27W to 01S34W,
then westward from 0.5S38W to near 00N47W. Numerous moderate to
scattered strong convection is present near and south of the
monsoon trough from 01S to 10N and east of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge reaches southwestward from a 1017 mb high over the
the NE Gulf to the western Gulf. Light to gentle winds and seas
at 1 to 2 ft are present the eastern half of the Gulf. Moderate to
locally fresh NE to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted off
northern Yucatan Peninsula, and the coast of southern Texas and
northeastern Mexico. Mainly gentle winds and seas of 2 to 3 ft
prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate through early next
week. As low pressure deepens over Texas, the pressure gradient
will tighten and SE winds will increase to fresh over the western
Gulf this weekend, then continue through early next week. A
diurnal trough moving NW off the Yucatan Peninsula may cause
strong winds to pulse each evening offshore.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a broad surface ridge near 21N
and a 1006 mb low near the Colombia-Venezuela border is sustaining
fresh to strong NE to E winds and 6 to 9 ft seas at the south-
central basin. Gentle to moderate E winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft
are evident at the northwestern and waters. Moderate to fresh E
winds with 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N
of the area and the Colombian Low will support strong trades
across the central Caribbean, with near-gale force winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Honduras into Tue. Moderate to fresh
trades are expected across the remainder of the forecast waters.
Large W swell resulting in rough seas will impact the tropical N
Atlantic waters through Mon, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough stretches southwestward from southeast of
Bermuda across 31N65W to the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate
convection is noted, north of 26.5N between 56W and 66W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are present near the trough itself,
including the central Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and TROPICAL WAVES sections for additional
convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds and 6 to 8 ft seas are
found near the trough, north of 28N between 55W and 66W.
Otherwise, a broad surface ridge extending southwestward from a
1035 mb Azores High to near the southeast Bahamas is supporting
light to gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft north of 27N between
42W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the Atlantic
waters from 05N to 27N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles,
mainly fresh NE to E winds and seas at 6 to 9 ft seas prevail.
East of 35W, mainly fresh N to NE winds along with seas 6 to 9 ft
prevail, except for strong NE winds of the Canary Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, mainly tranquil marine conditions
with moderate to fresh easterly winds will prevail through early
next week.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 16 May 2026 05:28:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
389
AXNT20 KNHC 160528
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0527 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 36.5W, from 12.5N
southward, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 01S to 06N between 34W and 41W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 60.5W, from 14N
southward into the Venezuela and Guyana border, and moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are seen across Guyana.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then curves
southwestward to 01N27W. An ITCZ continues from 01N27W to 01S34W,
then westward from 0.5S38W to near 00N47W. Numerous moderate to
scattered strong convection is present near and south of the
monsoon trough from 01S to 10N and east of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge reaches southwestward from a 1017 mb high over the
the NE Gulf to the western Gulf. Light to gentle winds and seas
at 1 to 2 ft are present the eastern half of the Gulf. Moderate to
locally fresh NE to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted off
northern Yucatan Peninsula, and the coast of southern Texas and
northeastern Mexico. Mainly gentle winds and seas of 2 to 3 ft
prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate through early next
week. As low pressure deepens over Texas, the pressure gradient
will tighten and SE winds will increase to fresh over the western
Gulf this weekend, then continue through early next week. A
diurnal trough moving NW off the Yucatan Peninsula may cause
strong winds to pulse each evening offshore.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a broad surface ridge near 21N
and a 1006 mb low near the Colombia-Venezuela border is sustaining
fresh to strong NE to E winds and 6 to 9 ft seas at the south-
central basin. Gentle to moderate E winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft
are evident at the northwestern and waters. Moderate to fresh E
winds with 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N
of the area and the Colombian Low will support strong trades
across the central Caribbean, with near-gale force winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Honduras into Tue. Moderate to fresh
trades are expected across the remainder of the forecast waters.
Large W swell resulting in rough seas will impact the tropical N
Atlantic waters through Mon, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough stretches southwestward from southeast of
Bermuda across 31N65W to the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate
convection is noted, north of 26.5N between 56W and 66W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are present near the trough itself,
including the central Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and TROPICAL WAVES sections for additional
convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds and 6 to 8 ft seas are
found near the trough, north of 28N between 55W and 66W.
Otherwise, a broad surface ridge extending southwestward from a
1035 mb Azores High to near the southeast Bahamas is supporting
light to gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft north of 27N between
42W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the Atlantic
waters from 05N to 27N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles,
mainly fresh NE to E winds and seas at 6 to 9 ft seas prevail.
East of 35W, mainly fresh N to NE winds along with seas 6 to 9 ft
prevail, except for strong NE winds of the Canary Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, mainly tranquil marine conditions
with moderate to fresh easterly winds will prevail through early
next week.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 17 May 2026 17:05:53 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 16 May 2026 07:40:12 GMT - Sat, 16 May 2026 05:05:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 160505
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf