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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 19 Oct 2026 10:57:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191057
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Oct 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A stationary front extends across
the southern Gulf, from western Cuba to near 22N90W to the
central Bay of Campeche. A 1025 mb high pressure is over NE
Mexico while 1034 mb high pressure is across the NE U.S.
extending a ridge southward across the basin. The pressure
gradient south of these highs is forcing gale-force NW to N winds
and very rough seas of 12-15 ft across the SW waters of the Gulf,
S of 20N between the front and the Mexican coastline, while fresh
to locally strong E-NE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft prevail
across most of the remainder of the basin N of the front and E of
94W. The front will remain generally stationary and weaken into
Tue. Gale winds and very rough seas to 15 ft will prevail in the
SW basin through sunrise, then slowly diminish through Tue night.
Atlantic Gale Warning: The aforementioned front transitions to a
cold front over western Cuba to the northern Bahamas and connects
to a 1009 mb low near 32N71W. West of the cold front, N-NE winds
of 20 to 30 kt prevail, with gale-force and frequent gusts to 40
kt N of 29N and W of 71W, where a Gale Warning is in effect. Very
rough seas of 12 to 20 ft prevail across these waters. The low is
expected to continue to lift northward today, which will slow the
forward progress of the front. Winds west of the front are
expected to gradually diminish today, with gales ending later
this morning.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends across western Africa to the coast of
Guiea-Bissau near 12N16W and extends about 60 nm to the southwest.
The ITCZ extends from 09N21W to 07N38W to 11N44W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 07N to 20N between 37W and
60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
See the Special Features section above for information on the Gale
Warning in effect for portions of the southwest basin. Outside
of the gales, fresh to strong E-NE winds prevail E of 94W while
moderate to locally fresh N-NE winds are W of 94W and N of 22N.
Seas of 5 to 10 ft prevail across most of the basin, except in
the western Bay of Campeche where gales are still ongoing.
Otherwise, scattered showers and thunderstorms are ahead of the
front in the Yucatan Channel and eastern Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will continue over the
eastern Gulf through Tue. The front will slow down over the
Straits of Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula today, then drift to
the southeast of the Gulf through Tue as it weakens. Gale-force
winds will persist over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz through
later this morning.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An invereted mid-level trough across the NW Caribbean continues
to support numerous moderate isolated strong convection offshore
Nicaragua and eastern Honduras while moderate convection is in the
Yucatan Channel in association with a frontal boundary across the
southern Gulf of America. A weak pressure gradient across the
region is yielding only moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4-6
ft seas across the central Caribbean S of 16N between 64W and 78W.
Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and seas of 5 ft or less
prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the region due
to a frontal boundary across the Bahamas and the southern Gulf of
America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in the south-
central Caribbean through Wed night and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel tonight into Tue where it will remain through Wed
before dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and the NW
Caribbean through early Wed morning. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
SE winds will develop in the eastern Caribbean on Thu, and prevail
through Fri night as surface ridging builds N of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on gales
ongoing southwest of Bermuda behind a cold front moving through
western Atlantic waters.
A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure located N of
the forecast area near 32N71W SW to NW Cuba near 23N83W where it
stalls to the Bay of Campeche in the Gulf of America. Gust to
gale-force winds are N of 29N with fresh to near gale-force N to
NE winds elsewhere behind the front along with rough to very rough
seas. Scattered moderate convection is ahead of the front to 67W,
affecting a portion of the Bahamas and the Great Bahama Bank.
Surface ridging from the Azores High prevails elsewhere across the
subtropical waters, except over the central region where a broad
area of low pressure is generating scattered showers and tstms
from 24N to 30N between 35W and 57W. The pressure gradient between
the ridge and the broad low pressure is supporting fresh to strong
NE to E winds and rough seas to 10 ft in the same region.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between
the low and high pressure in the wake of the front will maintain
gust to gale-force winds N of 29N between 71W and 81W through
later this morning. The front will extend from 31N70W to west-
central Cuba by tonight where it will weaken before dissipating
into midweek. Marine conditions associated with the front will
affect mainly the waters W of 65W through Tue, although seas will
linger through Thu.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 19 Oct 2026 10:57:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191057
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Oct 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A stationary front extends across
the southern Gulf, from western Cuba to near 22N90W to the
central Bay of Campeche. A 1025 mb high pressure is over NE
Mexico while 1034 mb high pressure is across the NE U.S.
extending a ridge southward across the basin. The pressure
gradient south of these highs is forcing gale-force NW to N winds
and very rough seas of 12-15 ft across the SW waters of the Gulf,
S of 20N between the front and the Mexican coastline, while fresh
to locally strong E-NE winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft prevail
across most of the remainder of the basin N of the front and E of
94W. The front will remain generally stationary and weaken into
Tue. Gale winds and very rough seas to 15 ft will prevail in the
SW basin through sunrise, then slowly diminish through Tue night.
Atlantic Gale Warning: The aforementioned front transitions to a
cold front over western Cuba to the northern Bahamas and connects
to a 1009 mb low near 32N71W. West of the cold front, N-NE winds
of 20 to 30 kt prevail, with gale-force and frequent gusts to 40
kt N of 29N and W of 71W, where a Gale Warning is in effect. Very
rough seas of 12 to 20 ft prevail across these waters. The low is
expected to continue to lift northward today, which will slow the
forward progress of the front. Winds west of the front are
expected to gradually diminish today, with gales ending later
this morning.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends across western Africa to the coast of
Guiea-Bissau near 12N16W and extends about 60 nm to the southwest.
The ITCZ extends from 09N21W to 07N38W to 11N44W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 07N to 20N between 37W and
60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
See the Special Features section above for information on the Gale
Warning in effect for portions of the southwest basin. Outside
of the gales, fresh to strong E-NE winds prevail E of 94W while
moderate to locally fresh N-NE winds are W of 94W and N of 22N.
Seas of 5 to 10 ft prevail across most of the basin, except in
the western Bay of Campeche where gales are still ongoing.
Otherwise, scattered showers and thunderstorms are ahead of the
front in the Yucatan Channel and eastern Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will continue over the
eastern Gulf through Tue. The front will slow down over the
Straits of Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula today, then drift to
the southeast of the Gulf through Tue as it weakens. Gale-force
winds will persist over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz through
later this morning.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An invereted mid-level trough across the NW Caribbean continues
to support numerous moderate isolated strong convection offshore
Nicaragua and eastern Honduras while moderate convection is in the
Yucatan Channel in association with a frontal boundary across the
southern Gulf of America. A weak pressure gradient across the
region is yielding only moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4-6
ft seas across the central Caribbean S of 16N between 64W and 78W.
Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and seas of 5 ft or less
prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the region due
to a frontal boundary across the Bahamas and the southern Gulf of
America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in the south-
central Caribbean through Wed night and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel tonight into Tue where it will remain through Wed
before dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and the NW
Caribbean through early Wed morning. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
SE winds will develop in the eastern Caribbean on Thu, and prevail
through Fri night as surface ridging builds N of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on gales
ongoing southwest of Bermuda behind a cold front moving through
western Atlantic waters.
A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure located N of
the forecast area near 32N71W SW to NW Cuba near 23N83W where it
stalls to the Bay of Campeche in the Gulf of America. Gust to
gale-force winds are N of 29N with fresh to near gale-force N to
NE winds elsewhere behind the front along with rough to very rough
seas. Scattered moderate convection is ahead of the front to 67W,
affecting a portion of the Bahamas and the Great Bahama Bank.
Surface ridging from the Azores High prevails elsewhere across the
subtropical waters, except over the central region where a broad
area of low pressure is generating scattered showers and tstms
from 24N to 30N between 35W and 57W. The pressure gradient between
the ridge and the broad low pressure is supporting fresh to strong
NE to E winds and rough seas to 10 ft in the same region.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between
the low and high pressure in the wake of the front will maintain
gust to gale-force winds N of 29N between 71W and 81W through
later this morning. The front will extend from 31N70W to west-
central Cuba by tonight where it will weaken before dissipating
into midweek. Marine conditions associated with the front will
affect mainly the waters W of 65W through Tue, although seas will
linger through Thu.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 23:52:11 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 19 Oct 2026 13:50:27 GMT - Mon, 19 Oct 2026 11:52:11 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 191152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Oct 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is located along a
frontal boundary a few hundred miles off the southeast coast of the
United States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically
over the next couple of days. If the low remains over the Gulf
Stream and becomes detached from the front, it could briefly acquire
some subtropical cyclone characteristics during the middle to latter
portions of the week. The system is expected to begin to move
northeastward away from the the eastern United States later this
week, and environmental conditions are expected to become
unfavorable for development by the weekend. Regardless of the
status of the system, high winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous
surf are expected along portions of the U.S. East Coast during the
next few days. Please consult statements and warnings from local
National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center
for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm
Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:10:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181410
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT SUN 18 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-140
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST NEAR
36.0N 71.0W FOR 20/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf