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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 04:52:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    669
    AXNT20 KNHC 290452
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Sep 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Fay has strengthened to a Tropical Storm again, and is centered
    near 26.0N 45.9W at 29/0300 UTC, or 1200 nm W-SW of the Azores,
    moving SW at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb.
    Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Seas to
    10 ft are within 75 nm in the NW semicircle. Northwesterly
    vertical wind shear continues to force convection to the south
    and southeast of the center of Tropical Storm Fay. Numerous
    moderate to strong convection is occurring from 23N to 26N between
    43W and 46W. A general SW to W-SW motion is anticipated over the
    next several days. Some minor fluctuations in intensity may occur
    through early Wed as convection pulses, before Fay weakens to a
    post tropical remnant low Wed morning.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
    Fay NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 75W, south of 18N
    into northwestern Colombia, moving west at 10 kt. Isolated
    clusters of moderate convection are found from 14N to 16N between
    74W and 76.5W, while scattered moderate convection is found along
    the NE coast of Colombia between 73W and 74W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits Africa along the coast of Mauritania near
    21N17W and extends to 1011 mb low pres near 21N25.5W then to
    07N39W. The ITCZ extends from 06.5N40W to 09N51W to the coast of
    Venezuela near 09N61W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted from 10N to 13.5N E of 21N to the African coast, and
    within 120 nm NW and 210 nm SE of the monsoon trough between 26W
    and 40W. Widely scattered moderate convection is within 75 nm N of
    the ITCZ between 45W and 54W and between 60W and 63W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate isolated strong convection extends form the
    entire Yucatan Peninsula and southeastern Mexico towards the north-
    northeast and across the southeastern Gulf waters to the offshore
    waters of western Florida near Cedar Key. This activity is
    occurring to the east and southeast of an upper level trough
    extending from the northeast Gulf through the Bay of
    Campeche. Mostly fair skies prevail elsewhere. At the surface, a
    weak stationary lingers over the northern coastal waters from
    SE Louisiana to near Apalachicola, Florida. Light to gentle winds
    south to southeast winds prevail across most of the basin,
    yielding slight seas. Moderate to fresh easterly winds across the
    northern coastal waters of the Yucatan are producing seas 3 ft and
    locally higher.

    For the forecast, the weak stationary front over the NE Gulf will
    dissipate tonight. High pressure north of the dissipated front
    will support gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the Gulf
    through Tue. Expect moderate to fresh winds and building seas
    over mostly the western Gulf by Tue night, as the high pressure
    shifts eastward ahead of a cold front moving through the Southern
    Plains. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish late in the
    week as the front stalls across eastern Texas Fri and Sat.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Deep layer troughing extending from the NE Gulf of America
    southward across the Yucatan Peninsula and extreme western
    Caribbean is supporting scattered clusters of moderate isolated
    strong convection across the NW basin, N of 13N and W of 77W, and
    extending northeastward into the Bahamas. Weak high pressure
    across the western Atlantic has drifted southward to near 27N59W,
    and tightened the pressure gradient modestly in the past 24
    hours. This is leading to moderate trades across most of the basin
    E of 77W, and fresh to locally strong winds S of 14N near the
    coast of NE Colombia. Seas are 5 to 6 ft in these strongest winds
    and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere E of 77W. Fresh to locally strong E to SE
    winds are also occurring across the Gulf of Honduras S of 18N,
    where seas are 4 to 5 ft and building. Mainly gentle yo moderate E
    to SE trades previal across the remainder of the basin, except
    light and variable SW portions.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure is slowly building across the
    central Atlantic, to the SE of a trough extending from Sw of
    Bermuda to the northern Bahamas. This pattern is supporting a
    modest pressure gradient over the region tonight. Expect moderate
    to fresh E to SE winds and building seas across the basin by
    midweek as high pressure builds north of the area, with rough seas
    possible in the Yucatan Channel and far NW Caribbean Thu night
    through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    Tropical Storm Fay.

    Ample low level moisture persists to the S and SE of a surface
    trough extending from SW of Bermuda to the NW Bahamas. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is occurring within 210 nm S
    and SE of this trough, where gentle to moderate S to SE winds
    prevail at the surface. Similar S to SE winds prevail to the N of
    the trough W of 75W. To the S of 22N gentle to moderate easterly
    trades prevail W of 60W, except fresh winds along the N coast of
    Hispaniola. Seas are generally 4 to 5 ft in northerly swell and 3
    ft or less W of 74W. To the E, T.S. Fay is centered near 26.0N
    45.9W, and is sandwiched in between two high centers at 28N57W
    and 31N44W. This pattern is leading to mainly gentle to locally
    moderate NE to E winds S of 22N between 30W and the Lesser
    Antilles, with 5 to 7 ft seas. Further east, the 1011 mb remnants
    of Gonzalo are near 21N25.5W, and is still producing moderate to
    locally fresh cyclonic winds and 5 to 7 ft seas to the N and W of
    the center. Elsewhere across the basin, moderate seas dominate.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
    thunderstorms will persist through morning along a trough
    reaching from the SW Bermuda adjacent waters to the northern
    Bahamas. The trough will dissipate through Tue, allowing high
    pressure to build over the western Atlantic. This pattern will
    support moderate to fresh E winds and 3-5 ft seas south of 25N by
    midweek.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 04:52:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    669
    AXNT20 KNHC 290452
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Sep 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Fay has strengthened to a Tropical Storm again, and is centered
    near 26.0N 45.9W at 29/0300 UTC, or 1200 nm W-SW of the Azores,
    moving SW at 9 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb.
    Maximum sustained wind speed is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Seas to
    10 ft are within 75 nm in the NW semicircle. Northwesterly
    vertical wind shear continues to force convection to the south
    and southeast of the center of Tropical Storm Fay. Numerous
    moderate to strong convection is occurring from 23N to 26N between
    43W and 46W. A general SW to W-SW motion is anticipated over the
    next several days. Some minor fluctuations in intensity may occur
    through early Wed as convection pulses, before Fay weakens to a
    post tropical remnant low Wed morning.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
    Fay NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 75W, south of 18N
    into northwestern Colombia, moving west at 10 kt. Isolated
    clusters of moderate convection are found from 14N to 16N between
    74W and 76.5W, while scattered moderate convection is found along
    the NE coast of Colombia between 73W and 74W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits Africa along the coast of Mauritania near
    21N17W and extends to 1011 mb low pres near 21N25.5W then to
    07N39W. The ITCZ extends from 06.5N40W to 09N51W to the coast of
    Venezuela near 09N61W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted from 10N to 13.5N E of 21N to the African coast, and
    within 120 nm NW and 210 nm SE of the monsoon trough between 26W
    and 40W. Widely scattered moderate convection is within 75 nm N of
    the ITCZ between 45W and 54W and between 60W and 63W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate isolated strong convection extends form the
    entire Yucatan Peninsula and southeastern Mexico towards the north-
    northeast and across the southeastern Gulf waters to the offshore
    waters of western Florida near Cedar Key. This activity is
    occurring to the east and southeast of an upper level trough
    extending from the northeast Gulf through the Bay of
    Campeche. Mostly fair skies prevail elsewhere. At the surface, a
    weak stationary lingers over the northern coastal waters from
    SE Louisiana to near Apalachicola, Florida. Light to gentle winds
    south to southeast winds prevail across most of the basin,
    yielding slight seas. Moderate to fresh easterly winds across the
    northern coastal waters of the Yucatan are producing seas 3 ft and
    locally higher.

    For the forecast, the weak stationary front over the NE Gulf will
    dissipate tonight. High pressure north of the dissipated front
    will support gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the Gulf
    through Tue. Expect moderate to fresh winds and building seas
    over mostly the western Gulf by Tue night, as the high pressure
    shifts eastward ahead of a cold front moving through the Southern
    Plains. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish late in the
    week as the front stalls across eastern Texas Fri and Sat.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Deep layer troughing extending from the NE Gulf of America
    southward across the Yucatan Peninsula and extreme western
    Caribbean is supporting scattered clusters of moderate isolated
    strong convection across the NW basin, N of 13N and W of 77W, and
    extending northeastward into the Bahamas. Weak high pressure
    across the western Atlantic has drifted southward to near 27N59W,
    and tightened the pressure gradient modestly in the past 24
    hours. This is leading to moderate trades across most of the basin
    E of 77W, and fresh to locally strong winds S of 14N near the
    coast of NE Colombia. Seas are 5 to 6 ft in these strongest winds
    and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere E of 77W. Fresh to locally strong E to SE
    winds are also occurring across the Gulf of Honduras S of 18N,
    where seas are 4 to 5 ft and building. Mainly gentle yo moderate E
    to SE trades previal across the remainder of the basin, except
    light and variable SW portions.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure is slowly building across the
    central Atlantic, to the SE of a trough extending from Sw of
    Bermuda to the northern Bahamas. This pattern is supporting a
    modest pressure gradient over the region tonight. Expect moderate
    to fresh E to SE winds and building seas across the basin by
    midweek as high pressure builds north of the area, with rough seas
    possible in the Yucatan Channel and far NW Caribbean Thu night
    through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    Tropical Storm Fay.

    Ample low level moisture persists to the S and SE of a surface
    trough extending from SW of Bermuda to the NW Bahamas. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is occurring within 210 nm S
    and SE of this trough, where gentle to moderate S to SE winds
    prevail at the surface. Similar S to SE winds prevail to the N of
    the trough W of 75W. To the S of 22N gentle to moderate easterly
    trades prevail W of 60W, except fresh winds along the N coast of
    Hispaniola. Seas are generally 4 to 5 ft in northerly swell and 3
    ft or less W of 74W. To the E, T.S. Fay is centered near 26.0N
    45.9W, and is sandwiched in between two high centers at 28N57W
    and 31N44W. This pattern is leading to mainly gentle to locally
    moderate NE to E winds S of 22N between 30W and the Lesser
    Antilles, with 5 to 7 ft seas. Further east, the 1011 mb remnants
    of Gonzalo are near 21N25.5W, and is still producing moderate to
    locally fresh cyclonic winds and 5 to 7 ft seas to the N and W of
    the center. Elsewhere across the basin, moderate seas dominate.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
    thunderstorms will persist through morning along a trough
    reaching from the SW Bermuda adjacent waters to the northern
    Bahamas. The trough will dissipate through Tue, allowing high
    pressure to build over the western Atlantic. This pattern will
    support moderate to fresh E winds and 3-5 ft seas south of 25N by
    midweek.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 08:52:14 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic


    Tropical Storm Fay 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 29 Sep 2026 08:52:14 GMT
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 08:51:08 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 37 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026
    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 290850
    TCDAT1
     
    Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number  37
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    500 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026
    
    Proxy-visible satellite imagery shows that the convection around Fay 
    has increasingly become more sheared in the last several hours. 
    Infrared imagery does still show some of the convection has cloud 
    tops near -70 C. In addition, the most recent TAFB Dvorak fix was 
    2.0/30 KT, and the objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS are 
    in the range of 33-43 kt. Therefore, the initial intensity has been 
    held at 35 kt for this advisory. 
     
    The storm is still moving toward the southwest with an estimated 
    initial motion of 235/11 kt. Fay is expected to keep a general 
    southwestward to west-southwestward motion for the next couple of 
    days as the cyclone is guided by the flow along the southern 
    periphery of a mid-level ridge situated over the central Atlantic. 
    The current NHC track forecast is almost identical to the previous 
    one with just a few minor adjustments based on the HCCA and GDMI 
    forecast aids.
    
    With the convection expected to pulsate for the next couple of days, 
    the intensity will also fluctuate as well. However that convection 
    will likely become increasingly separated from the center as the 
    SHIPS guidance indicates increasing vertical wind shear over the 
    couple of days. Based on the global models, Fay will struggle to 
    maintain deep convection as it moves into a more stable air mass and 
    an area of upper-level convergence. The current NHC intensity 
    forecast is based on the HCCA and GDMI forecast guidance and Fay is 
    still expected to become a post-tropical cyclone in a day or so.  
    The global models show the system degenerating into a trough 
    afterwards. 
    
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  29/0900Z 25.0N  46.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
     12H  29/1800Z 24.0N  48.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  30/0600Z 23.1N  50.2W   30 KT  35 MPH
     36H  30/1800Z 22.7N  52.2W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  01/0600Z 22.6N  54.0W   30 KT  35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     60H  01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Katz
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 08:50:07 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 37 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026
    000
    FONT11 KNHC 290849
    PWSAT1
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37              
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026               
    0900 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026                                            
                                                                        
    AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
    25.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 46.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
    35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                                          
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 08:50:07 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Advisory Number 37 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 0900 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026
    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 290849
    TCMAT1
     
    TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  37
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062026
    0900 UTC TUE SEP 29 2026
     
    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  46.8W AT 29/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
     
    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTHWEST OR 235 DEGREES AT  11 KT
     
    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
    34 KT.......  0NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
     
    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  46.8W AT 29/0900Z
    AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  46.3W
     
    FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.0N  48.2W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.1N  50.2W
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 22.7N  52.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 22.6N  54.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
     
    FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED
     
    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.0N  46.8W
     
    NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z
     
    $$
    FORECASTER KATZ/PASCH
  • Tue, 29 Sep 2026 08:50:07 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 37 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 500 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026
    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 290849
    TCPAT1
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number  37
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062026
    500 AM AST Tue Sep 29 2026
     
    ...FAY CONTINUES TO MOVE SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE ATLANTIC OCEAN...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...25.0N 46.8W
    ABOUT 1465 MI...2360 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...SW OR 235 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was 
    located near latitude 25.0 North, longitude 46.8 West. Fay is moving 
    toward the southwest near 13 mph (20 km/h). A southwest to 
    west-southwest motion, along with a further increase in forward 
    speed, are expected over the next couple of days.
     
    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. 
    Some weakening is expected during the next day or so, and 
    Fay is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone within 36 h.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 28 Sep 2026 13:51:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 281351
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0955 AM EDT MON 28 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-120

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARK: NOAA 42 WILL CONDUCT 8-HOUR P-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS INTO
    TROPICAL STORM RACHEL TUESDAY-WEDNESDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT
    29/1330Z AND 30/0100Z. DURING THE FIRST MISSION, FOUR SMALL
    UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN THE STORM ENVIRONMENT. THEY
    WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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