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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 22:28:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
288
AXNT20 KNHC 122228
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jul 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 73W
and extends from Haiti to the Venezuela/Colombia border where the
wave appears to enhance moderate to isolated strong convection.
The wave is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms follow the wave axis affecting mainly the waters
from 13N to 16N between 64W and 73W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N38W. The ITCZ extends
from 09N38W to the coast of Guyana near 08N60W. Convection is limited
across the area.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward across
Florida into the Gulf region. Associated southeasterly low level flow
continues to transport abundant low level moisture into the basin.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted along the
coastal waters on the N Gulf states. Similar convective activity
is occurring over north-central Florida, mainly N of Lake Okeechobee.
The ridge is supporting gentle to moderate winds, except moderate
to locally fresh winds over the SW Gulf. Seas are generally 2 to 4
ft throughout.
For the forecast, a stationary front will reside just N of the area
through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern Gulf
waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to strong
easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each night.
Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate, supporting gentle to moderate
SE winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
Low supports fresh to strong winds over the central Caribbean. Seas
are 10 to 13 ft with these winds offshore Colombia based on altimeter
data. Fresh to locally strong winds are noted in the Gulf of Honduras,
and in the SW part of the basin reaching the coast of Nicaragua.
Moderate to rough seas are with the latter winds. Moderate to fresh
trade winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the
basin. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are over the
SW Caribbean, affecting mainly Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will
continue to support strong to near-gale force trade winds across
the central Caribbean into mid-week. East winds will pulse strong
each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce scattered showers
and thunderstorms across the waters N of 23N between 50W and 67W.
A surface trough is analyzed in this area and runs from 31N57W to
23N64W. The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence
of a broad subtropical ridge that sustains moderate to fresh trade
winds and moderate seas. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to
fresh trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
Of note: While The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring
several areas with the potential for tropical cyclone development
across the eastern and central Pacific, the Atlantic basin remains
relatively quiet. No tropical waves are currently noted between W
Africa and the Lesser Antilles. This pattern is typical during an
El Nino year.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 22:28:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
288
AXNT20 KNHC 122228
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jul 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along 73W
and extends from Haiti to the Venezuela/Colombia border where the
wave appears to enhance moderate to isolated strong convection.
The wave is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms follow the wave axis affecting mainly the waters
from 13N to 16N between 64W and 73W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N38W. The ITCZ extends
from 09N38W to the coast of Guyana near 08N60W. Convection is limited
across the area.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward across
Florida into the Gulf region. Associated southeasterly low level flow
continues to transport abundant low level moisture into the basin.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted along the
coastal waters on the N Gulf states. Similar convective activity
is occurring over north-central Florida, mainly N of Lake Okeechobee.
The ridge is supporting gentle to moderate winds, except moderate
to locally fresh winds over the SW Gulf. Seas are generally 2 to 4
ft throughout.
For the forecast, a stationary front will reside just N of the area
through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern Gulf
waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to strong
easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each night.
Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate, supporting gentle to moderate
SE winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
Low supports fresh to strong winds over the central Caribbean. Seas
are 10 to 13 ft with these winds offshore Colombia based on altimeter
data. Fresh to locally strong winds are noted in the Gulf of Honduras,
and in the SW part of the basin reaching the coast of Nicaragua.
Moderate to rough seas are with the latter winds. Moderate to fresh
trade winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the
basin. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are over the
SW Caribbean, affecting mainly Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will
continue to support strong to near-gale force trade winds across
the central Caribbean into mid-week. East winds will pulse strong
each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce scattered showers
and thunderstorms across the waters N of 23N between 50W and 67W.
A surface trough is analyzed in this area and runs from 31N57W to
23N64W. The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence
of a broad subtropical ridge that sustains moderate to fresh trade
winds and moderate seas. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to
fresh trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
Of note: While The National Hurricane Center (NHC) is monitoring
several areas with the potential for tropical cyclone development
across the eastern and central Pacific, the Atlantic basin remains
relatively quiet. No tropical waves are currently noted between W
Africa and the Lesser Antilles. This pattern is typical during an
El Nino year.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 11:06:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 12 Jul 2026 23:12:31 GMT - Sun, 12 Jul 2026 23:06:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 122306
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 13:41:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT SUN 12 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-042
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf