SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 11 Dec 2025 21:07:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 112106
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Dec 12 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
07N17.5W. The ITCZ continues from 07N17.5W to 02N32W to 02N47W.
Scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 00N to
15N between 20W and 38W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 02N to 05N between 38W and 49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from central Florida to near the Texas-
Mexico border. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the waters E
of 94W, with light to gentle winds W of 94W. Seas are in the 3-5
ft range E of 88W, and 2-3 ft W of 88W.
For the forecast, the front will drift southeastward this evening
before dissipating tonight. Elsewhere, moderate to occasionally
fresh E to NE winds will occur in the eastern Bay of Campeche and
offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula each night through Sat.
Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are expected
over the remainder of the basin through Sat. The next cold front
will enter the northern Gulf on Sun, with increasing winds and
building seas in the wake of the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere E of 80W. W of 80W, gentle
to moderate winds are noted. Seas are in the 7-9 ft range over the
south central Caribbean, and 5-7 ft elsewhere E of 80W. W of 80W,
seas are in the 2-4 ft range.
For the forecast, widespread fresh trade winds are expected over
the central and eastern Caribbean through Sun morning as a
moderate pressure gradient prevails between the Colombian low and
high pressure to the north. Strong E winds will pulse in the
central basin, and winds may reach near-gale force at times
offshore of northern Colombia. Rough seas are expected near and to
the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong trade
winds and rough seas in E swell will prevail over the Atlantic
waters and through the passages into the eastern basin through
this weekend. A cold front will approach the northwestern
Caribbean by early next week, with increasing winds and building
seas behind the front.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A two cold fronts extend across the SW North Atlantic discussion
waters. The first front enters the waters near 31N69W and extends
SW to near 27N75W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of this front. The second cold front
enters the discussion waters near 31N74W and extends SW to central
Florida. Fresh to strong winds are N of 28N east of the first
front to near 60W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 29N west of
this front. Seas over these waters are in the 7-10 ft range.
Farther east, another cold front enters the waters near 31N22W to
30N39W. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-11 ft are N of this
front. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-11 ft are found S of
22N between 30W and 60W. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-9
ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the cold fronts will rapidly progress eastward
into the central Atlantic through Fri, and widespread strong to
locally near-gale force SW winds will occur ahead of the front,
generally north of 28N and east of 70W into Fri afternoon. Near
and to the west of the cold fronts, fresh to locally strong W to
NW winds are anticipated, north of 28N from offshore of Florida to
70W through late tonight. Rough seas associated with this storm
system are expected north of 27N, with seas slowly subsiding from
west to east into this weekend. Elsewhere in the central Atlantic,
rough seas in mixed N and SE swell will prevail through Fri
morning, with a new mixed swell reinforcing rough seas this
weekend. The next cold front will push off the coast of the
southeastern United States on Sun, with increasing winds and
building seas in the wake of the front.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 11 Dec 2025 21:07:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 112106
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Dec 12 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
07N17.5W. The ITCZ continues from 07N17.5W to 02N32W to 02N47W.
Scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 00N to
15N between 20W and 38W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 02N to 05N between 38W and 49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from central Florida to near the Texas-
Mexico border. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the waters E
of 94W, with light to gentle winds W of 94W. Seas are in the 3-5
ft range E of 88W, and 2-3 ft W of 88W.
For the forecast, the front will drift southeastward this evening
before dissipating tonight. Elsewhere, moderate to occasionally
fresh E to NE winds will occur in the eastern Bay of Campeche and
offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula each night through Sat.
Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are expected
over the remainder of the basin through Sat. The next cold front
will enter the northern Gulf on Sun, with increasing winds and
building seas in the wake of the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds prevail over the south central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere E of 80W. W of 80W, gentle
to moderate winds are noted. Seas are in the 7-9 ft range over the
south central Caribbean, and 5-7 ft elsewhere E of 80W. W of 80W,
seas are in the 2-4 ft range.
For the forecast, widespread fresh trade winds are expected over
the central and eastern Caribbean through Sun morning as a
moderate pressure gradient prevails between the Colombian low and
high pressure to the north. Strong E winds will pulse in the
central basin, and winds may reach near-gale force at times
offshore of northern Colombia. Rough seas are expected near and to
the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong trade
winds and rough seas in E swell will prevail over the Atlantic
waters and through the passages into the eastern basin through
this weekend. A cold front will approach the northwestern
Caribbean by early next week, with increasing winds and building
seas behind the front.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A two cold fronts extend across the SW North Atlantic discussion
waters. The first front enters the waters near 31N69W and extends
SW to near 27N75W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of this front. The second cold front
enters the discussion waters near 31N74W and extends SW to central
Florida. Fresh to strong winds are N of 28N east of the first
front to near 60W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 29N west of
this front. Seas over these waters are in the 7-10 ft range.
Farther east, another cold front enters the waters near 31N22W to
30N39W. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-11 ft are N of this
front. Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-11 ft are found S of
22N between 30W and 60W. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-9
ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the cold fronts will rapidly progress eastward
into the central Atlantic through Fri, and widespread strong to
locally near-gale force SW winds will occur ahead of the front,
generally north of 28N and east of 70W into Fri afternoon. Near
and to the west of the cold fronts, fresh to locally strong W to
NW winds are anticipated, north of 28N from offshore of Florida to
70W through late tonight. Rough seas associated with this storm
system are expected north of 27N, with seas slowly subsiding from
west to east into this weekend. Elsewhere in the central Atlantic,
rough seas in mixed N and SE swell will prevail through Fri
morning, with a new mixed swell reinforcing rough seas this
weekend. The next cold front will push off the coast of the
southeastern United States on Sun, with increasing winds and
building seas in the wake of the front.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 12 Dec 2025 03:37:44 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 11 Dec 2025 18:25:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
587
NOUS42 KNHC 111825
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0125 PM EST THU 11 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-011
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. MISSION REQUESTS FOR A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE
NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP FOR THE 13/0000Z
SYNOPTIC TIME, BUT NEITHER REQUEST CAN BE SUPPORTED.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
14/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
15/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf