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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 10:13:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
049
AXNT20 KNHC 011013
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jun 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: 1014 mb low pressure off the Georgia coast will
deepen as it moves eastward toward Bermuda through late Tue, dragging
a cold front that move toward the northern Bahamas. Expect strong
SW winds ahead of the low pressure and front Tue, with near gale
to gale-force winds and rough to very rough seas southeast of
Bermuda by late Tue. Winds diminish below gale-force Tue night as
the front stalls from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas Tue,
although fresh to strong winds and rough seas will persist within
300 nm east of the front north of 27N through mid week.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 12N and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection is described in the
monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W, south of 17N and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Relatively dry air over the basin
is precluding convection near this wave at this time.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along the coast of Nicaragua
near 83W, south of 15N and moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection extends from western Panama to
southeast Nicaragua.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W, then curves southwestward to 08N25W then on
to 05N40W. The ITCZ extends from 05N40W to 05N52W. Scattered
moderate convection is evident from 04N to 08N between 30W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Instability under the center of an upper level low is supporting
numerous thunderstorms this morning over the far southwest Gulf
along the coast of Veracruz state in Mexico. Thunderstorms are
also active over the Loop Current north of the Yucatan Channel and
over the northeast Gulf 120 nm off the western Florida Panhandle
associated with the lift provided by the right rear entrance area
of an upper jet over the southeast U.S. 1018 mb high pressure
cell is centered over the eastern Gulf near 26N84W. This pattern
is supporting gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas over the eastern
Gulf, with moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft over the western Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
waters into midweek supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
with moderate seas. The exception will be evening pulses of fresh
winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula and in the central Gulf
through the same period. An upper-level trough across the western
Gulf will continue to support showers and thunderstorms across the
east and central Gulf through mid week. Expect fresh to strong E
winds and moderate to rough seas across the NE Gulf Wed and Wed
night as a frontal boundary reaches the area. Looking ahead, these
winds and seas will diminish Thu through Fri as the front stalls
and weakens from the southeast Gulf to the north-central Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
northeast of the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia
results in fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across the central Caribbean. Fresh to locally strong easterly
breezes and moderate seas are found in the Gulf of Honduras.
Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern and remainder of the NW Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
will support moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the
basin, with fresh to strong winds and rough seas over the south-
central Caribbean. The area of fresh to strong winds and rough
seas will expand across the east and central Caribbean tonight
into Tue as the ridge north of the area strengthens. Looking
ahead, winds and seas will diminish slightly starting late Wed as
the ridge north of the basin weakens. Farther west, strong winds
will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night through
Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning for
waters southeast of Bermuda Tue.
A cold front extends from 31N59W to the central Bahamas. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are active along with fresh to strong
SW winds and 8-10 ft seas within 90 nm east of the front, north of
27N. 1019 mb high pressure is centered off the Carolinas near
33N71W, east of 1014 mb low pressure centered off Georgia. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh SE winds and 5-6 ft seas
north of 30N and southeast of the low pressure. Gentle NE breezes
are noted elsewhere west of the front. Combined seas are 5-8 ft in
NW swell north of 27N and 3-5 ft elsewhere west of 60W. Farther
east, a broad ridge extends from 1019 mb high pressure centered
southwest of the Azores, southwestward to Hispaniola. This pattern
is supporting fresh to strong NW winds and 6-9 ft seas south of
the ridge axis, and gentle to moderate breezes with 4-6 ft seas
along the ridge axis. A large area of Saharan dust covers most of
the Atlantic between 10N and 20N, east of 60W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will shift
southeastward, ahead of a low pressure area and attendant front moving
off the Georgia coast. The low pressure will move toward Bermuda
through late Tue, with a trailing cold front reaching as far south
as the northern Bahamas. Expect strong SW winds ahead of the low
pressure and front Tue, with near gale to gale-force winds and
rough to very rough seas expected southeast of Bermuda by late
Tue. The front will stall from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas Tue
night, ahead of a reinforcing front moving into the waters off
northeast Florida accompanied by strong to near- gale force winds
and rough seas. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish into
Fri after the fronts merge, then weaken in place from Bermuda to
the northern Bahamas with broad high pressure building off the
Carolinas. Farther south, strong winds may pulse off the northern
coast of Hispaniola Tue night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 10:13:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
049
AXNT20 KNHC 011013
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jun 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: 1014 mb low pressure off the Georgia coast will
deepen as it moves eastward toward Bermuda through late Tue, dragging
a cold front that move toward the northern Bahamas. Expect strong
SW winds ahead of the low pressure and front Tue, with near gale
to gale-force winds and rough to very rough seas southeast of
Bermuda by late Tue. Winds diminish below gale-force Tue night as
the front stalls from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas Tue,
although fresh to strong winds and rough seas will persist within
300 nm east of the front north of 27N through mid week.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 12N and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection is described in the
monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W, south of 17N and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Relatively dry air over the basin
is precluding convection near this wave at this time.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along the coast of Nicaragua
near 83W, south of 15N and moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection extends from western Panama to
southeast Nicaragua.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W, then curves southwestward to 08N25W then on
to 05N40W. The ITCZ extends from 05N40W to 05N52W. Scattered
moderate convection is evident from 04N to 08N between 30W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Instability under the center of an upper level low is supporting
numerous thunderstorms this morning over the far southwest Gulf
along the coast of Veracruz state in Mexico. Thunderstorms are
also active over the Loop Current north of the Yucatan Channel and
over the northeast Gulf 120 nm off the western Florida Panhandle
associated with the lift provided by the right rear entrance area
of an upper jet over the southeast U.S. 1018 mb high pressure
cell is centered over the eastern Gulf near 26N84W. This pattern
is supporting gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas over the eastern
Gulf, with moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft over the western Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
waters into midweek supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
with moderate seas. The exception will be evening pulses of fresh
winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula and in the central Gulf
through the same period. An upper-level trough across the western
Gulf will continue to support showers and thunderstorms across the
east and central Gulf through mid week. Expect fresh to strong E
winds and moderate to rough seas across the NE Gulf Wed and Wed
night as a frontal boundary reaches the area. Looking ahead, these
winds and seas will diminish Thu through Fri as the front stalls
and weakens from the southeast Gulf to the north-central Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
northeast of the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia
results in fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across the central Caribbean. Fresh to locally strong easterly
breezes and moderate seas are found in the Gulf of Honduras.
Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern and remainder of the NW Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
will support moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the
basin, with fresh to strong winds and rough seas over the south-
central Caribbean. The area of fresh to strong winds and rough
seas will expand across the east and central Caribbean tonight
into Tue as the ridge north of the area strengthens. Looking
ahead, winds and seas will diminish slightly starting late Wed as
the ridge north of the basin weakens. Farther west, strong winds
will pulse across the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night through
Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning for
waters southeast of Bermuda Tue.
A cold front extends from 31N59W to the central Bahamas. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are active along with fresh to strong
SW winds and 8-10 ft seas within 90 nm east of the front, north of
27N. 1019 mb high pressure is centered off the Carolinas near
33N71W, east of 1014 mb low pressure centered off Georgia. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh SE winds and 5-6 ft seas
north of 30N and southeast of the low pressure. Gentle NE breezes
are noted elsewhere west of the front. Combined seas are 5-8 ft in
NW swell north of 27N and 3-5 ft elsewhere west of 60W. Farther
east, a broad ridge extends from 1019 mb high pressure centered
southwest of the Azores, southwestward to Hispaniola. This pattern
is supporting fresh to strong NW winds and 6-9 ft seas south of
the ridge axis, and gentle to moderate breezes with 4-6 ft seas
along the ridge axis. A large area of Saharan dust covers most of
the Atlantic between 10N and 20N, east of 60W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will shift
southeastward, ahead of a low pressure area and attendant front moving
off the Georgia coast. The low pressure will move toward Bermuda
through late Tue, with a trailing cold front reaching as far south
as the northern Bahamas. Expect strong SW winds ahead of the low
pressure and front Tue, with near gale to gale-force winds and
rough to very rough seas expected southeast of Bermuda by late
Tue. The front will stall from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas Tue
night, ahead of a reinforcing front moving into the waters off
northeast Florida accompanied by strong to near- gale force winds
and rough seas. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish into
Fri after the fronts merge, then weaken in place from Bermuda to
the northern Bahamas with broad high pressure building off the
Carolinas. Farther south, strong winds may pulse off the northern
coast of Hispaniola Tue night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 02 Jun 2026 23:21:34 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 01 Jun 2026 12:00:17 GMT - Mon, 01 Jun 2026 11:21:34 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
135
ABNT20 KNHC 011121
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
&&
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3,
respectively.
The list of names for 2026 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Arthur AR-thur Leah LEE-ah
Bertha BUR-thuh Marco MAR-koe
Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl Nana NA-na
Dolly DAH-lee Omar OH-mar
Edouard eh-DWARD Paulette pawl-LET
Fay fay Rene re-NAY
Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh Sally SAL-ee
Hanna HAN-uh Teddy TEHD-ee
Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs Vicky VIH-kee
Josephine JOH-seh-feen Wilfred WILL-fred
Kyle KY-ull
A full list of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone names and
pronunciations can be found at:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the
change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM,
7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.
NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for
disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the
threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land
areas within 72 hours. For these land-threatening "potential
tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and
watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the
naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions,
being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three",
etc.).
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches
or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between
intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by
radar. It can also be used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of
a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be
issued at any time, can be found under the WMO header WTNT61-65
KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at
https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information on NHC text and
graphical products can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf.
New and updated products for the 2026 season can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/2026NHCNewProductsAndServices.pdf
You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via X
when select National Hurricane Center products are issued.
Information about our Atlantic X feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available
at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/socialmedia/.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf