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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 15 Nov 2026 17:00:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
779
AXNT20 KNHC 151700
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Nov 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient
between high pressure building in from the southeastern U.S. and a
sharp surface trough or possible low pressure in the western Gulf
will lead to gales developing the E winds increasing to gale
force tonight into Mon offshore Texas and Louisiana.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N21W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 01N to 13N between 20W and 49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a gale warning in
the NW Gulf.
Fresh to strong winds, and building seas of 6 to locally 8 ft,
prevail over the NW Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate
seas are elsewhere W of 90W, except for the SW part of the basin,
where gentle winds prevail. E of 90W, gentle to moderate winds
and slight to moderate seas are noted. A cluster of moderate
convection is depicted from 26.5N to 28N between 92W and 96.6W.
For the forecast, aside from the area of gale winds, strong to
near- gale force NE to E winds are also expected across much of
the northern basin, with near- gale force northerly winds W of the
trough funneling down the NE coast of Mexico, including offshore
Veracruz, Mon and Tue. Winds will diminish in the western Gulf by
mid-week, but strong winds will prevail over the NE basin through
late week, where the tight pressure gradient will remain. Rough
seas generated by these winds will impact portions of the northern
Gulf much of the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh winds, locally strong, and moderate seas cover
the waters east of 75W. Moderate winds and moderate seas are over
the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas, prevail elsewhere. The tail end of an Atlantic cold front
extends to eastern Cuba, supporting scattered moderate convection
across the Windward Passage.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will develop in the
south- central basin tonight, then prevail through at least mid-
week. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds will prevail over
the northwestern Caribbean through Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N57W to eastern Cuba. Fresh to strong
SW winds and rough seas to near 10 ft, prevail N of 27N and east
of the front to 44W. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and rough
seas 8 to 10 ft are N of 29N and west of the front to 74W. High
pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 15N, anchored
by a 1025 mb high centered near 28N32W. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are in the vicinity of the high center.
Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas generally prevail
elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is depicted south of 28N
along the frontal boundary.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
slide east while weakening, moving east of the region by Tue. High
pressure building southward toward the region will lead to a
tightening pressure gradient and NE to E winds increasing to
strong S of 28N and W of 65W, including the Bahamas, Mon. These
winds and associated rough seas will expand north and east into
late week.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 15 Nov 2026 17:00:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
779
AXNT20 KNHC 151700
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Nov 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient
between high pressure building in from the southeastern U.S. and a
sharp surface trough or possible low pressure in the western Gulf
will lead to gales developing the E winds increasing to gale
force tonight into Mon offshore Texas and Louisiana.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 06N21W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N21W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 01N to 13N between 20W and 49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see SPECIAL FEATURES above for more on a gale warning in
the NW Gulf.
Fresh to strong winds, and building seas of 6 to locally 8 ft,
prevail over the NW Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate
seas are elsewhere W of 90W, except for the SW part of the basin,
where gentle winds prevail. E of 90W, gentle to moderate winds
and slight to moderate seas are noted. A cluster of moderate
convection is depicted from 26.5N to 28N between 92W and 96.6W.
For the forecast, aside from the area of gale winds, strong to
near- gale force NE to E winds are also expected across much of
the northern basin, with near- gale force northerly winds W of the
trough funneling down the NE coast of Mexico, including offshore
Veracruz, Mon and Tue. Winds will diminish in the western Gulf by
mid-week, but strong winds will prevail over the NE basin through
late week, where the tight pressure gradient will remain. Rough
seas generated by these winds will impact portions of the northern
Gulf much of the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh winds, locally strong, and moderate seas cover
the waters east of 75W. Moderate winds and moderate seas are over
the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas, prevail elsewhere. The tail end of an Atlantic cold front
extends to eastern Cuba, supporting scattered moderate convection
across the Windward Passage.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades will develop in the
south- central basin tonight, then prevail through at least mid-
week. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds will prevail over
the northwestern Caribbean through Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N57W to eastern Cuba. Fresh to strong
SW winds and rough seas to near 10 ft, prevail N of 27N and east
of the front to 44W. Gentle to moderate NW to N winds and rough
seas 8 to 10 ft are N of 29N and west of the front to 74W. High
pressure dominates the remainder of the waters N of 15N, anchored
by a 1025 mb high centered near 28N32W. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are in the vicinity of the high center.
Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas generally prevail
elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is depicted south of 28N
along the frontal boundary.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
slide east while weakening, moving east of the region by Tue. High
pressure building southward toward the region will lead to a
tightening pressure gradient and NE to E winds increasing to
strong S of 28N and W of 65W, including the Bahamas, Mon. These
winds and associated rough seas will expand north and east into
late week.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 17 Nov 2026 05:10:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 15 Nov 2026 18:15:46 GMT - Sun, 15 Nov 2026 17:10:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 151710
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sun Nov 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 15 Nov 2026 16:38:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151638
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1140 AM EST SUN 15 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-168
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





