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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:00:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 201000
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Oct 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Significant N Swell: A 1001 mb low pressure centered
between the Outer Banks and Bermuda continues to produce a large
area of strong to gale-force winds north of our area. A cold front
extends from this low to 34N63W and continues as a stationary
front to 31N67W and to the Florida Straits. Fresh to locally
strong northerly winds and rough to very rough seas, peaking
around 14 ft, are noted behind the front south of 31N. These seas
will subside below 12 ft this morning. Seas to 8 ft will persist
thereafter over the waters west of 65W and north of 25N through
Thu night.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues west-southwestward to 09N25W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N25W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is observed from 08N to 12N and east
of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and tstms persist this morning over
the southwest Gulf and off the Yucatan Peninsula, along a trough
reaching from north of Tampico, Mexico to Ciudad del Carmen,
Mexico. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured strong
winds off Veracruz, where seas are estimated to be 8 ft.
Elsewhere, 1028 mb high pressure centered over the Ohio Valley is
supporting moderate to fresh NE winds and mainly 5-7 ft seas
across the Gulf.
For the forecast, the high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
continue to support fresh to NE winds are across the basin
through the latter part of the week, except for strong NW to N
winds over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz through Wed. Looking
ahead, strengthening high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support strong to near-gale NE winds and rough seas over the
eastern Gulf Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Trade wind convergent and favorable divergent flow aloft is
supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms across the
southwest Caribbean from Colombia to Nicaragua. An upper trough is
also supporting a few thunderstorms from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
and in the Windward Passage. High pressure over the eastern U.S.
is maintaining moderate to fresh NE to E winds across the Yucatan
Passage. Elsewhere, relatively weak pressure gradient is
supporting only limited fresh trade wind flow off Colombia with
4-6 ft seas, with gentle to moderate trade winds and 2-4 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
continue to support moderate to fresh NE winds across the far
northwest Caribbean and Yucatan Channel through late today. These
winds will diminish by mid week as the high pressure weakens,
leaving gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
across the basin through mid week. Looking ahead, expect moderate
to fresh winds across the south-central Caribbean by Thu, and
fresh winds across the far northwest Caribbean by late Sat as high
pressure builds again north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on
significant north swell behind a cold front in the western
Atlantic.
A broad upper-level low near 25N52W is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms from 20N to 31N and between 43W and
57W. A surface trough reaches from 28N49W to 1010 mb low pressure
near 25N56W to 21N60W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
locally strong easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft north of 26N and
between 45W and 55W. Farther east, scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active along a weak surface trough extends from
the Canary Islands to 1012 mb low pressure near 27N21W to 24N25W.
Gentle to moderate winds and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a stationary reaching from 31N67W
to the central Bahamas to northwest Cuba. Winds will diminish
tonight into Wed as the front dissipates, and lingering swell will
subside through Thu. Looking ahead, a tightening pressure
gradient developing late Fri is expected to induce widespread near
to gale-force NE winds over the waters north of about 25N well
into the weekend. Seas with these winds are expected to quickly
build to rough to very rough. Mariners should monitor the latest
marine forecasts, and have avoidance plans in place.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 10:00:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 201000
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Oct 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Significant N Swell: A 1001 mb low pressure centered
between the Outer Banks and Bermuda continues to produce a large
area of strong to gale-force winds north of our area. A cold front
extends from this low to 34N63W and continues as a stationary
front to 31N67W and to the Florida Straits. Fresh to locally
strong northerly winds and rough to very rough seas, peaking
around 14 ft, are noted behind the front south of 31N. These seas
will subside below 12 ft this morning. Seas to 8 ft will persist
thereafter over the waters west of 65W and north of 25N through
Thu night.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues west-southwestward to 09N25W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N25W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is observed from 08N to 12N and east
of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and tstms persist this morning over
the southwest Gulf and off the Yucatan Peninsula, along a trough
reaching from north of Tampico, Mexico to Ciudad del Carmen,
Mexico. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured strong
winds off Veracruz, where seas are estimated to be 8 ft.
Elsewhere, 1028 mb high pressure centered over the Ohio Valley is
supporting moderate to fresh NE winds and mainly 5-7 ft seas
across the Gulf.
For the forecast, the high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
continue to support fresh to NE winds are across the basin
through the latter part of the week, except for strong NW to N
winds over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz through Wed. Looking
ahead, strengthening high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support strong to near-gale NE winds and rough seas over the
eastern Gulf Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Trade wind convergent and favorable divergent flow aloft is
supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms across the
southwest Caribbean from Colombia to Nicaragua. An upper trough is
also supporting a few thunderstorms from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
and in the Windward Passage. High pressure over the eastern U.S.
is maintaining moderate to fresh NE to E winds across the Yucatan
Passage. Elsewhere, relatively weak pressure gradient is
supporting only limited fresh trade wind flow off Colombia with
4-6 ft seas, with gentle to moderate trade winds and 2-4 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
continue to support moderate to fresh NE winds across the far
northwest Caribbean and Yucatan Channel through late today. These
winds will diminish by mid week as the high pressure weakens,
leaving gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
across the basin through mid week. Looking ahead, expect moderate
to fresh winds across the south-central Caribbean by Thu, and
fresh winds across the far northwest Caribbean by late Sat as high
pressure builds again north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on
significant north swell behind a cold front in the western
Atlantic.
A broad upper-level low near 25N52W is producing a large area of
showers and thunderstorms from 20N to 31N and between 43W and
57W. A surface trough reaches from 28N49W to 1010 mb low pressure
near 25N56W to 21N60W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
locally strong easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft north of 26N and
between 45W and 55W. Farther east, scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active along a weak surface trough extends from
the Canary Islands to 1012 mb low pressure near 27N21W to 24N25W.
Gentle to moderate winds and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a stationary reaching from 31N67W
to the central Bahamas to northwest Cuba. Winds will diminish
tonight into Wed as the front dissipates, and lingering swell will
subside through Thu. Looking ahead, a tightening pressure
gradient developing late Fri is expected to induce widespread near
to gale-force NE winds over the waters north of about 25N well
into the weekend. Seas with these winds are expected to quickly
build to rough to very rough. Mariners should monitor the latest
marine forecasts, and have avoidance plans in place.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 21 Oct 2026 23:50:28 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 20 Oct 2026 12:44:13 GMT - Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:50:28 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
822
ABNT20 KNHC 201150
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the North Carolina coast is producing some shower and
thunderstorm activity primarily west of its center. However,
overnight satellite wind data indicated the low was still attached
to an occluded front. Over the next couple of days, the low could
develop some organized deep convection and gradually lose its
frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to briefly develop subtropical
characteristics. By the end of the week, the system is expected to
accelerate northeastward away from the the eastern United States,
where environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable
for additional subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with High Seas
Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 19 Oct 2026 15:06:35 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 191418
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1020 AM EDT MON 19 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-141
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf