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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 28 May 2026 05:32:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 280504
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu May 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 39W from 00N
to 14N, moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers
are noted along the wave axis from 05N-08N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W from 01N
to 12N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are seen south of 06N between 49W and 51W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 77W south of
14N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The convection noted with
this wave remains over Central America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 06N23W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N37W, then resumes near
06N41W to 03N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the
ITCZ between 30W-36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The upper-level flow pattern attributed to a robust upper-level
trough over the west-central Gulf. This pattern is drawing
abundant deep tropical moisture northward from the Caribbean and
into the central Gulf. A squall line moving quickly east-
southeastward across the NW Gulf waters is analyzed from 28N92W to
24N94W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some
strong, prevail over the western half of the basin. Fresh to
strong winds prevail NW of the squall line, while moderate to
fresh winds prevail elsewhere over the W Gulf. Elsewhere, the
pressure gradient related to the western extension of weak
Atlantic ridging is maintaining moderate or weaker winds. Seas are
of moderate state with these winds.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends westward across
north Florida and the northern Gulf coasts, and will sustain
moderate to fresh SE to S winds through Fri, then diminish to
gentle to moderate over the weekend. The exception will be evening
pulses of fresh to strong winds off the northern Yucatan this
evening and again Thu. The upper-level trough across the west-
central Gulf should continue to combine with abundant tropical
moisture to produce scattered showers and strong thunderstorms
over the central and eastern Gulf through Thu. Mariners are urged
to keep up to date with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The interaction between high pressure of 1021 mb centered over
the western Atlantic with relatively lower pressure to the south
over the Caribbean and in northern South America is bringing fresh
to near gale-force trades along with rough seas over the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and mostly moderate seas are
present elsewhere. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms prevail over Central America.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between 1021 mb
high pressure in the western Atlantic and a 1006 mb Colombian low
will continue to support fresh to strong trades and rough seas
across the central Caribbean through Thu morning before gradually
diminishing in areal coverage Thu evening through Fri. Winds are
expected to pulse to near-gale force off northwestern Colombia
tonight through Thu morning. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and
just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to strong through early Thu
morning. The high pressure will shift east Thu night through the
weekend, leaving a weakened Atlantic ridge north of the Caribbean.
This will yield moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas
across most of the basin through the weekend, except the south-
central basin, where fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
remain.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure of 1021 mb is located near 29N68W, with a ridge
stretching westward across northern Florida and to the north-
central Gulf of America. To the east, a 1025 mb high center is
near 31N27W. A weak trough extends from near 30N54W to 25N58W. No
significant convection is occurring with these features. Another
trough is analyzed from 29N25W to 26N30W. High pressure is
present over the rest of the basin north of about 15N anchored by
the two previously mentioned high centers. Moderate to fresh
trades along with moderate to rough seas are south of 20N and
east of 35W, also south of about 25N and east of 35W, and south of
a line from northeast Florida to the northern Leeward Islands.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds are noted. Seas with these winds
are of moderate state.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas south
of 24N and west of 65W through tonight, including the Great Bahama
Bank, as the high begins to shift eastward. The ridge will remain
in place, but weaken as this occurs, allowing winds and seas to
begin to diminish. Two cold fronts will sweep eastward across the
north Atlantic are expected to produce increasing winds and seas
north of 28N and east of 70W from Thu night through Fri evening,
then again from Sat night through Sun night.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 28 May 2026 05:32:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 280504
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu May 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 39W from 00N
to 14N, moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers
are noted along the wave axis from 05N-08N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W from 01N
to 12N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are seen south of 06N between 49W and 51W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 77W south of
14N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The convection noted with
this wave remains over Central America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 06N23W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N37W, then resumes near
06N41W to 03N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the
ITCZ between 30W-36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The upper-level flow pattern attributed to a robust upper-level
trough over the west-central Gulf. This pattern is drawing
abundant deep tropical moisture northward from the Caribbean and
into the central Gulf. A squall line moving quickly east-
southeastward across the NW Gulf waters is analyzed from 28N92W to
24N94W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some
strong, prevail over the western half of the basin. Fresh to
strong winds prevail NW of the squall line, while moderate to
fresh winds prevail elsewhere over the W Gulf. Elsewhere, the
pressure gradient related to the western extension of weak
Atlantic ridging is maintaining moderate or weaker winds. Seas are
of moderate state with these winds.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends westward across
north Florida and the northern Gulf coasts, and will sustain
moderate to fresh SE to S winds through Fri, then diminish to
gentle to moderate over the weekend. The exception will be evening
pulses of fresh to strong winds off the northern Yucatan this
evening and again Thu. The upper-level trough across the west-
central Gulf should continue to combine with abundant tropical
moisture to produce scattered showers and strong thunderstorms
over the central and eastern Gulf through Thu. Mariners are urged
to keep up to date with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The interaction between high pressure of 1021 mb centered over
the western Atlantic with relatively lower pressure to the south
over the Caribbean and in northern South America is bringing fresh
to near gale-force trades along with rough seas over the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and mostly moderate seas are
present elsewhere. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms prevail over Central America.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between 1021 mb
high pressure in the western Atlantic and a 1006 mb Colombian low
will continue to support fresh to strong trades and rough seas
across the central Caribbean through Thu morning before gradually
diminishing in areal coverage Thu evening through Fri. Winds are
expected to pulse to near-gale force off northwestern Colombia
tonight through Thu morning. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and
just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to strong through early Thu
morning. The high pressure will shift east Thu night through the
weekend, leaving a weakened Atlantic ridge north of the Caribbean.
This will yield moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas
across most of the basin through the weekend, except the south-
central basin, where fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
remain.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure of 1021 mb is located near 29N68W, with a ridge
stretching westward across northern Florida and to the north-
central Gulf of America. To the east, a 1025 mb high center is
near 31N27W. A weak trough extends from near 30N54W to 25N58W. No
significant convection is occurring with these features. Another
trough is analyzed from 29N25W to 26N30W. High pressure is
present over the rest of the basin north of about 15N anchored by
the two previously mentioned high centers. Moderate to fresh
trades along with moderate to rough seas are south of 20N and
east of 35W, also south of about 25N and east of 35W, and south of
a line from northeast Florida to the northern Leeward Islands.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds are noted. Seas with these winds
are of moderate state.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
support fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas south
of 24N and west of 65W through tonight, including the Great Bahama
Bank, as the high begins to shift eastward. The ridge will remain
in place, but weaken as this occurs, allowing winds and seas to
begin to diminish. Two cold fronts will sweep eastward across the
north Atlantic are expected to produce increasing winds and seas
north of 28N and east of 70W from Thu night through Fri evening,
then again from Sat night through Sun night.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 29 May 2026 17:00:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 28 May 2026 07:40:13 GMT - Thu, 28 May 2026 05:00:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 280500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu May 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf