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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 04:11:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 090411
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to gale-force NE winds over the south
central Caribbean tonight, Fri night, and Sat night off Colombia.
Gale-force winds are also possible in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri
night and Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft on
Sat.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is observed
near the trough axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present from 11N to 16N and between 60W and
66W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 18N, moving
westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near the
trough axis over the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 10N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N26W to 09N32W, then continues from 08N35W to
03N51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical moisture combine to
produce showers and isolated thunderstorms over much of the basin
south of 25N and east of 85W, with the strongest convection
occurring in the Bay of Campeche. A 1020 mb high pressure over the
eastern Gulf results in moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas south of 25N and east of 96W. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure extending westward
across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
Fri through Sat night. The weather pattern will support gentle
to moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of
about 26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of
about 26N. The exception will be occasional fresh to strong
northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night.
A mid to upper- level low along with a moist and unstable
airmass will generate scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the SW Gulf, with scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across the basin south of about
28N through Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.
Divergence aloft is supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and the western Greater
Antilles. A strong subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic
continues to dominate the Caribbean. Outside of the Gale Warning
area, strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough
seas are found across the central Caribbean Sea. Fresh to locally
strong NE-E winds and seas of 4-7 ft are occurring in the Gulf of
Honduras, lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage and the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, trades over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to
fresh to strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through
early next week. A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean is
accompanied by fresh to strong trades along with scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms that are currently present from 13N to
16N between 62W and 65W. These trades will combine with those
already present in the central Caribbean beginning Thu night as
the wave advances westward.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad upper level low near the SE Bahamas is enhancing some
shower and isolated thunderstorm activity north of Hispaniola.
Meanwhile, an expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along
27N, anchored by a 1027 mb high center at 27N47W. The pressure
gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the deep
tropics is supporting fresh to strong easterly winds off northern
Haiti. Seas of 6-8 ft in these waters.
Fresh to locally strong easterly breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are
found south of 23N and east of 35W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds
and seas of 4-7 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ to a line from 30N20W to 25N35W and east of 35W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and seas of 3-6 ft prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 04:11:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 090411
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to gale-force NE winds over the south
central Caribbean tonight, Fri night, and Sat night off Colombia.
Gale-force winds are also possible in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri
night and Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft on
Sat.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is observed
near the trough axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present from 11N to 16N and between 60W and
66W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 18N, moving
westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near the
trough axis over the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 10N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N26W to 09N32W, then continues from 08N35W to
03N51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical moisture combine to
produce showers and isolated thunderstorms over much of the basin
south of 25N and east of 85W, with the strongest convection
occurring in the Bay of Campeche. A 1020 mb high pressure over the
eastern Gulf results in moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas south of 25N and east of 96W. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure extending westward
across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
Fri through Sat night. The weather pattern will support gentle
to moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of
about 26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of
about 26N. The exception will be occasional fresh to strong
northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night.
A mid to upper- level low along with a moist and unstable
airmass will generate scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the SW Gulf, with scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across the basin south of about
28N through Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.
Divergence aloft is supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and the western Greater
Antilles. A strong subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic
continues to dominate the Caribbean. Outside of the Gale Warning
area, strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough
seas are found across the central Caribbean Sea. Fresh to locally
strong NE-E winds and seas of 4-7 ft are occurring in the Gulf of
Honduras, lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage and the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, trades over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to
fresh to strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through
early next week. A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean is
accompanied by fresh to strong trades along with scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms that are currently present from 13N to
16N between 62W and 65W. These trades will combine with those
already present in the central Caribbean beginning Thu night as
the wave advances westward.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad upper level low near the SE Bahamas is enhancing some
shower and isolated thunderstorm activity north of Hispaniola.
Meanwhile, an expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along
27N, anchored by a 1027 mb high center at 27N47W. The pressure
gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the deep
tropics is supporting fresh to strong easterly winds off northern
Haiti. Seas of 6-8 ft in these waters.
Fresh to locally strong easterly breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are
found south of 23N and east of 35W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds
and seas of 4-7 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ to a line from 30N20W to 25N35W and east of 35W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and seas of 3-6 ft prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 17:01:04 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 09 Jul 2026 06:20:10 GMT - Thu, 09 Jul 2026 05:01:04 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
015
ABNT20 KNHC 090500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 13:29:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081329
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT WED 08 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-038
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL/RAR
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf