2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 22 Apr 2026 04:04:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 220403
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Apr 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W and continues southwestward to 03N30W. The ITCZ
    extends from 03N30W to 00N45W. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed south of 06N and east of 29W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient between an extensive ridge over the eastern
    United States and lower pressures associated with a frontal
    boundary that extends from the NW Atlantic to western Cuba
    support fresh to strong easterly winds and rough seas over the SE
    Gulf waters, including the Florida Straits. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are found in the Florida Straits. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    will gradually diminish tonight in the SE Gulf. High pressure will
    build across the Gulf, with a relatively weak pressure gradient
    across the area. This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds
    basin- wide by Wed night, then prevailing through late week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Pockets of low-level moisture support isolated showers across the
    Caribbean Sea. The presence of a frontal boundary just north of
    the basin allows for a weak pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean, supporting moderate to locally strong NE winds in the
    lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and south-central Caribbean. This
    was confirmed by a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in
    these waters are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will continue N of the
    basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient over the
    Caribbean basin into the weekend. Fresh NE winds are expected
    tonight through Wed night across the Windward Passage and south of
    Cuba as a late-season cold front moves across Cuba, then
    dissipates along the N coast of Hispaniola Wed night into Thu.
    Tranquil marine conditions are expected across the entire basin
    Fri through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from a gale-force low pressure in the NW
    Atlantic to 31N58W and continues southwestward to the SE Bahamas
    and central Cuba. A few showers and thunderstorms are noted ahead
    of this boundary, especially north of 24N. Fresh to strong N-NE
    winds and rough seas to 11 ft are occurring behind the front.
    However, light to gentle winds and moderate seas are found under
    the ridge off the SE United States, mainly north of 29N and west
    of 74W.

    Farther east, northerly swell associated with a storm-force low
    pressure well north of the Azores supports rough seas over the far
    NE Atlantic, especially north of 24N and east of 36W. Elsewhere, a
    weak high pressure dominates sustaining moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas will continue to follow the aforementioned front as it
    moves eastward through Wed night. Conditions will gradually
    improve late this week as the front weakens and eventually stalls
    Fri over the SE waters. High pressure will settle in between
    northeast Florida and Bermuda for the end of the week, bringing
    tranquil conditions to area waters through the weekend.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 22 Apr 2026 04:04:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 220403
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Apr 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W and continues southwestward to 03N30W. The ITCZ
    extends from 03N30W to 00N45W. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed south of 06N and east of 29W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient between an extensive ridge over the eastern
    United States and lower pressures associated with a frontal
    boundary that extends from the NW Atlantic to western Cuba
    support fresh to strong easterly winds and rough seas over the SE
    Gulf waters, including the Florida Straits. The strongest winds
    and highest seas are found in the Florida Straits. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    will gradually diminish tonight in the SE Gulf. High pressure will
    build across the Gulf, with a relatively weak pressure gradient
    across the area. This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds
    basin- wide by Wed night, then prevailing through late week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Pockets of low-level moisture support isolated showers across the
    Caribbean Sea. The presence of a frontal boundary just north of
    the basin allows for a weak pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean, supporting moderate to locally strong NE winds in the
    lee of Cuba, Windward Passage and south-central Caribbean. This
    was confirmed by a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in
    these waters are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will continue N of the
    basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient over the
    Caribbean basin into the weekend. Fresh NE winds are expected
    tonight through Wed night across the Windward Passage and south of
    Cuba as a late-season cold front moves across Cuba, then
    dissipates along the N coast of Hispaniola Wed night into Thu.
    Tranquil marine conditions are expected across the entire basin
    Fri through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from a gale-force low pressure in the NW
    Atlantic to 31N58W and continues southwestward to the SE Bahamas
    and central Cuba. A few showers and thunderstorms are noted ahead
    of this boundary, especially north of 24N. Fresh to strong N-NE
    winds and rough seas to 11 ft are occurring behind the front.
    However, light to gentle winds and moderate seas are found under
    the ridge off the SE United States, mainly north of 29N and west
    of 74W.

    Farther east, northerly swell associated with a storm-force low
    pressure well north of the Azores supports rough seas over the far
    NE Atlantic, especially north of 24N and east of 36W. Elsewhere, a
    weak high pressure dominates sustaining moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas will continue to follow the aforementioned front as it
    moves eastward through Wed night. Conditions will gradually
    improve late this week as the front weakens and eventually stalls
    Fri over the SE waters. High pressure will settle in between
    northeast Florida and Bermuda for the end of the week, bringing
    tranquil conditions to area waters through the weekend.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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