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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 09:45:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 020944
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 16N,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 10N and east of 27W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present south
of 12N between 45W and 58W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 20N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated
with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Western Sahara near 23N16W and continues southwestward to 07N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N35W to 06N48W. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 04N to 10N and between 27W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak high pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across the basin.
Divergence aloft is producing a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the basin through the
forecast period. Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge centered
north of the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia
supported fresh to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds
and seas of 6-11 ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are
found off Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the lee of Cuba and
off Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
north of the islands and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central Caribbean
through Fri morning, then diminish slightly through Sun. Expect winds
to reach near gale-force each night offshore of Colombia and in
the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night through
Fri night as an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1034 mb high pressure system centered north of the Azores
extends a ridge southwestward to the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N and west
of 35W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
present north of 20N and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. A surface trough extends
from 31N72W to the NW Bahamas and a few showers are evident in
the NW Bahamas and off SE Florida. Similar convection is occurring
north of 27N and between 50W and 62W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
gradually dissipate today while drifting northwestward toward the
southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds S
of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to
locally strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening
hours near the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 09:45:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 020944
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 16N,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 10N and east of 27W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present south
of 12N between 45W and 58W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 20N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated
with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Western Sahara near 23N16W and continues southwestward to 07N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N35W to 06N48W. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 04N to 10N and between 27W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak high pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across the basin.
Divergence aloft is producing a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the basin through the
forecast period. Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge centered
north of the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia
supported fresh to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds
and seas of 6-11 ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are
found off Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the lee of Cuba and
off Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
north of the islands and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central Caribbean
through Fri morning, then diminish slightly through Sun. Expect winds
to reach near gale-force each night offshore of Colombia and in
the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night through
Fri night as an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1034 mb high pressure system centered north of the Azores
extends a ridge southwestward to the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N and west
of 35W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
present north of 20N and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. A surface trough extends
from 31N72W to the NW Bahamas and a few showers are evident in
the NW Bahamas and off SE Florida. Similar convection is occurring
north of 27N and between 50W and 62W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
gradually dissipate today while drifting northwestward toward the
southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds S
of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to
locally strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening
hours near the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 23:23:46 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 02 Jul 2026 15:22:06 GMT - Thu, 02 Jul 2026 11:23:46 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 021123
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 13:34:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021334
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0935 AM EDT THU 02 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-032
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf