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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 06:04:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 300603
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Oct 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea Bissau near 11N16W and continues to 08N25W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N26W to 07N40W, where it is broken by a surface
    trough. The ITCZ then resumes from 07N45W to 08N60W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 04N to 12N between 15W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the Tennessee Valley extends a ridge into the
    northern Gulf. The pressure gradient tightens over the eastern
    half of the Gulf due to the presence of a frontal boundary
    northeast of the Bahamas and a trough over the central Gulf
    extending into the northern Yucatan Peninsula. This is resulting
    in moderate to fresh NE to E winds east of 91W along with
    moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate or weaker winds prevail west of
    91W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a high
    pressure system over the Carolinas and low pressure over the
    Bahamas will continue to support moderate to fresh northeast to
    east winds and moderate seas in the northeast and north-central
    Gulf into early next week. Looking ahead, expect fresh southeast
    to south winds over much of the northwest Gulf by Tue night
    between high pressure over the western Atlantic and a cold front
    that will be moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A frontal boundary over the SW N Atlantic waters is supporting a
    weak gradient over the Caribbean waters west of 77W, thus leading
    to light to gentle winds and slight seas. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas are elsewhere due to the Azores High,
    which extends to 65W, and Puerto Rico NE adjacent waters. Recent
    scatterometer data indicate the presence of a surface trough
    extending from Jamaica to NW Colombia, which is supporting
    scattered showers in the Windward Passage and Jamaica southern
    adjacent waters.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh trades will continue
    south of 15N through the eastern, central and portions of the SW
    Caribbean through Sun night, then diminish. Light to gentle
    breezes are forecast elsewhere into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A warm front extends from 28N55W to 31N62W to a 1013 mb low near
    30N70W. A cold front extends from the low pressure to the central
    Bahamas. Recent scatterometer data show fresh to strong NE winds
    in the northern semicircle of the low where scattered heavy
    showers continue to shift northeastward to 60W. Scatt data also
    show fresh NE winds elsewhere W of 70W N of the cold front and the
    Bahamas. Farther east, a cold front extends from 31N26W to 25N35W
    to 26N44W where it transitions to a stationary front that
    continues to 28N57W where it transitions to a warm front. A
    reinforcing cold front extends from 31N30W to 29N41W. Scattered
    showers are ahead of the leading front to 18W or Canary Islands
    western adjacent waters. Aside from the convection, fresh to
    strong NNE winds follow the reinforcing front along with rough
    seas to 10 ft. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong northeast to east
    winds along with rough seas to around 11 ft will persist north of
    the front into next week as the low pressure moves northeastward
    past Bermuda, and the reinforced cold front moves southeastward
    and stalls near, or along 24N.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 06:04:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 300603
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Oct 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea Bissau near 11N16W and continues to 08N25W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N26W to 07N40W, where it is broken by a surface
    trough. The ITCZ then resumes from 07N45W to 08N60W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 04N to 12N between 15W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the Tennessee Valley extends a ridge into the
    northern Gulf. The pressure gradient tightens over the eastern
    half of the Gulf due to the presence of a frontal boundary
    northeast of the Bahamas and a trough over the central Gulf
    extending into the northern Yucatan Peninsula. This is resulting
    in moderate to fresh NE to E winds east of 91W along with
    moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate or weaker winds prevail west of
    91W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a high
    pressure system over the Carolinas and low pressure over the
    Bahamas will continue to support moderate to fresh northeast to
    east winds and moderate seas in the northeast and north-central
    Gulf into early next week. Looking ahead, expect fresh southeast
    to south winds over much of the northwest Gulf by Tue night
    between high pressure over the western Atlantic and a cold front
    that will be moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A frontal boundary over the SW N Atlantic waters is supporting a
    weak gradient over the Caribbean waters west of 77W, thus leading
    to light to gentle winds and slight seas. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas are elsewhere due to the Azores High,
    which extends to 65W, and Puerto Rico NE adjacent waters. Recent
    scatterometer data indicate the presence of a surface trough
    extending from Jamaica to NW Colombia, which is supporting
    scattered showers in the Windward Passage and Jamaica southern
    adjacent waters.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh trades will continue
    south of 15N through the eastern, central and portions of the SW
    Caribbean through Sun night, then diminish. Light to gentle
    breezes are forecast elsewhere into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A warm front extends from 28N55W to 31N62W to a 1013 mb low near
    30N70W. A cold front extends from the low pressure to the central
    Bahamas. Recent scatterometer data show fresh to strong NE winds
    in the northern semicircle of the low where scattered heavy
    showers continue to shift northeastward to 60W. Scatt data also
    show fresh NE winds elsewhere W of 70W N of the cold front and the
    Bahamas. Farther east, a cold front extends from 31N26W to 25N35W
    to 26N44W where it transitions to a stationary front that
    continues to 28N57W where it transitions to a warm front. A
    reinforcing cold front extends from 31N30W to 29N41W. Scattered
    showers are ahead of the leading front to 18W or Canary Islands
    western adjacent waters. Aside from the convection, fresh to
    strong NNE winds follow the reinforcing front along with rough
    seas to 10 ft. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong northeast to east
    winds along with rough seas to around 11 ft will persist north of
    the front into next week as the low pressure moves northeastward
    past Bermuda, and the reinforced cold front moves southeastward
    and stalls near, or along 24N.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 31 Oct 2026 17:06:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 30 Oct 2026 07:00:36 GMT
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 05:06:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 300506
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 29 Oct 2026 12:24:17 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 291224
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0825 AM EDT THU 29 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-151

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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