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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 03 Aug 2026 23:33:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 032333
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2305 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
depicted at this time in association with this wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. The wave is enhancing convection over
Venezuela and Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 08N49W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N49W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 11N E of 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
the area continues to generate some convection over the northern
and eastern waters. However, the most favorable environment for
showers and thunderstorms has moved eastward into the western
Atlantic. A weak pressure gradient dominates the Gulf waters,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to locally
moderate seas.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
gentle winds and slight seas through the remainder of the week and
into the upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur of
the Yucatan Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along
with moderate seas. Thunderstorms will prevail into mid-week in
the northeast basin as a cold front settles over the Florida
Panhandle and a mid- and upper-level trough sets up over the
region.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge is centered just east of Bermuda forcing
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across much
of the central Caribbean. An altimeter satellite pass from a few
hours ago showed seas up to 10 ft off northern Colombia. Moderate
to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are occurring in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter seas prevail.
An upper-level trough north of the area and diurnal heating
support numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms across Cuba
and nearby waters. A few showers are seen in Hispaniola and the
SW Caribbean, while drier conditions persist in the rest of the
basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
basin through the remainder of the week and into next weekend,
with rough seas there. Fresh to locally strong winds will also
pulse in the Gulf of Honduras. Fresh winds may pulse through the
Windward Passage at times. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker
winds ands seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough across the
eastern United States supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the western Atlantic, especially west of 72W.
Meanwhile, an upper-level low centered near 27N55W is producing a
few showers north of 22N and between 43W and 70W. The remainder
of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas
are found off northern Hispaniola. Moderate to locally fresh
anticyclonic winds and moderate seas are evident north of 20N and
west of 30W. In the far NE Atlantic, fresh to strong N-NE winds
and moderate to locally rough seas are evident off Morocco and in
the water passages of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh SW winds offshore NE Florida
will continue tonight before diminishing as high pressure builds
west toward the region. An upper-level trough along the eastern
coast of the U.S. will prolong scattered thunderstorms offshore
Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas early this week.
Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to pulse each
night offshore Hispaniola. A low level trough may bring fresh to
locally strong winds and locally rough seas from east to west
across the central waters by mid-week, reaching the NW waters by
the end of the week.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 03 Aug 2026 23:33:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 032333
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2305 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
depicted at this time in association with this wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. The wave is enhancing convection over
Venezuela and Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 08N49W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N49W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 11N E of 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
the area continues to generate some convection over the northern
and eastern waters. However, the most favorable environment for
showers and thunderstorms has moved eastward into the western
Atlantic. A weak pressure gradient dominates the Gulf waters,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to locally
moderate seas.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
gentle winds and slight seas through the remainder of the week and
into the upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur of
the Yucatan Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along
with moderate seas. Thunderstorms will prevail into mid-week in
the northeast basin as a cold front settles over the Florida
Panhandle and a mid- and upper-level trough sets up over the
region.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge is centered just east of Bermuda forcing
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across much
of the central Caribbean. An altimeter satellite pass from a few
hours ago showed seas up to 10 ft off northern Colombia. Moderate
to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are occurring in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter seas prevail.
An upper-level trough north of the area and diurnal heating
support numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms across Cuba
and nearby waters. A few showers are seen in Hispaniola and the
SW Caribbean, while drier conditions persist in the rest of the
basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
basin through the remainder of the week and into next weekend,
with rough seas there. Fresh to locally strong winds will also
pulse in the Gulf of Honduras. Fresh winds may pulse through the
Windward Passage at times. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker
winds ands seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough across the
eastern United States supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the western Atlantic, especially west of 72W.
Meanwhile, an upper-level low centered near 27N55W is producing a
few showers north of 22N and between 43W and 70W. The remainder
of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas
are found off northern Hispaniola. Moderate to locally fresh
anticyclonic winds and moderate seas are evident north of 20N and
west of 30W. In the far NE Atlantic, fresh to strong N-NE winds
and moderate to locally rough seas are evident off Morocco and in
the water passages of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to
moderate winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh SW winds offshore NE Florida
will continue tonight before diminishing as high pressure builds
west toward the region. An upper-level trough along the eastern
coast of the U.S. will prolong scattered thunderstorms offshore
Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas early this week.
Elsewhere, locally strong trades will continue to pulse each
night offshore Hispaniola. A low level trough may bring fresh to
locally strong winds and locally rough seas from east to west
across the central waters by mid-week, reaching the NW waters by
the end of the week.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 05 Aug 2026 11:07:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 04 Aug 2026 01:39:28 GMT - Mon, 03 Aug 2026 23:07:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 032307
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 03 Aug 2026 13:45:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 031345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT MON 03 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-064
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf