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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 10:23:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131023
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Oct 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 33W, from 10N to 20N, moving
westward near 10 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure is analyzed at the
wave axis near 18N32W. Fresh to strong winds are approximately
within 390 nm NE semicircle, where seas are 8 to 10 ft. Numerous
moderate scattered strong convection is present from 12N to 25N
between 21W and 35W. Further development of this system appears
unlikely as the low moves slowly northward to north-northwestward
and encounters stronger upper-level winds today and tonight.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected to continue
today across western portions of the Cabo Verde Islands with some
flooding possible there. There is a low chance for
tropical cyclone development in the next 48 hours, and through
next 7 days.
A tropical wave is analyzed near 45W, from 10N to 20N, moving
westward near 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is observed from 10N to 21N between 35W and 46W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 11N47W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N47W to 10N55W to 09N61W. See information on
the convection in the Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is located near 29N88W, which is providing gentle
to moderate NE to E winds across the eastern half of the Gulf S of
27N, and E to SE winds of the same speed W of 90W. Seas basin-
wide are mainly slight with some areas reaching 4 ft.
For the forecast, High pressure building across the basin will support
E to SE winds and moderate seas from the Florida Straits to the
Texas coast, and gentle breezes and slight seas elsewhere. A cold
front is expected to enter the northwest Gulf Fri night, and
reach from southwest Florida to the far southwest Gulf by Sat
night. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow
the front, with gales possible off the coast of Mexico between
Tampico and Coatzacoalcos Fri night through Sat night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and tstms are over the lee of Cuba adjacent
waters, in the Windward Passage and in the Gulf of Honduras. A
middle-level low is supporting scattered to isolated showers over
the eastern half of the basin. This low aloft reflects at the
surface on a trough that is moving across the central Caribbean.
Otherwise, the passage of a weakening cold front N of the area
along with low pressure E of the Bahamas are supporting a weak
pressure gradient across the region, thus resulting in moderate or
weaker trade winds and slight to moderate seas, except for fresh
winds offshore Venezuela in the south-central Caribbean.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be active
across the central Caribbean through today, associated with an
upper level low. Fresh winds across the south-central Caribbean
will diminish by this morning as high pressure north of the
region shifts eastward. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and
moderate seas will persist through mid week across the Caribbean,
then increase again later in the week as high pressure builds
north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening cold front extends from 31N69W to 25N80W. Ahead of
the front, a surface trough extends from 30N68W to 27N79W, which
is supporting scattered showers ahead of it to approximately 67W.
Farther east, a 1012 mb low is centered near 26N67W. However, it
lacks convection. The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic are
under the influence of the Azores ridge with a weakening
stationary front that extends from 31N34W to 29N48W. A surface
trough is analyzed from 28N51W to 23N55W. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas are N of 20N W of 44W. East of 44W, winds
are fresh to strong in the NE semicircle of a low connected to a
tropical wave near 32W. Fresh to strong winds are also ongoing
between the coast of W Africa and the Canary Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will dissipate through
Wed. A second reinforcing front will move southward into the
waters east of 75W into Wed, then stall and dissipate along 29N
through Thu. A stronger cold front will move into the waters off
northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat morning, and
reach from Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-
gale force winds and rough seas will follow the front.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 10:23:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131023
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Oct 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 33W, from 10N to 20N, moving
westward near 10 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure is analyzed at the
wave axis near 18N32W. Fresh to strong winds are approximately
within 390 nm NE semicircle, where seas are 8 to 10 ft. Numerous
moderate scattered strong convection is present from 12N to 25N
between 21W and 35W. Further development of this system appears
unlikely as the low moves slowly northward to north-northwestward
and encounters stronger upper-level winds today and tonight.
Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is expected to continue
today across western portions of the Cabo Verde Islands with some
flooding possible there. There is a low chance for
tropical cyclone development in the next 48 hours, and through
next 7 days.
A tropical wave is analyzed near 45W, from 10N to 20N, moving
westward near 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is observed from 10N to 21N between 35W and 46W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 11N47W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N47W to 10N55W to 09N61W. See information on
the convection in the Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is located near 29N88W, which is providing gentle
to moderate NE to E winds across the eastern half of the Gulf S of
27N, and E to SE winds of the same speed W of 90W. Seas basin-
wide are mainly slight with some areas reaching 4 ft.
For the forecast, High pressure building across the basin will support
E to SE winds and moderate seas from the Florida Straits to the
Texas coast, and gentle breezes and slight seas elsewhere. A cold
front is expected to enter the northwest Gulf Fri night, and
reach from southwest Florida to the far southwest Gulf by Sat
night. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow
the front, with gales possible off the coast of Mexico between
Tampico and Coatzacoalcos Fri night through Sat night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and tstms are over the lee of Cuba adjacent
waters, in the Windward Passage and in the Gulf of Honduras. A
middle-level low is supporting scattered to isolated showers over
the eastern half of the basin. This low aloft reflects at the
surface on a trough that is moving across the central Caribbean.
Otherwise, the passage of a weakening cold front N of the area
along with low pressure E of the Bahamas are supporting a weak
pressure gradient across the region, thus resulting in moderate or
weaker trade winds and slight to moderate seas, except for fresh
winds offshore Venezuela in the south-central Caribbean.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be active
across the central Caribbean through today, associated with an
upper level low. Fresh winds across the south-central Caribbean
will diminish by this morning as high pressure north of the
region shifts eastward. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and
moderate seas will persist through mid week across the Caribbean,
then increase again later in the week as high pressure builds
north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening cold front extends from 31N69W to 25N80W. Ahead of
the front, a surface trough extends from 30N68W to 27N79W, which
is supporting scattered showers ahead of it to approximately 67W.
Farther east, a 1012 mb low is centered near 26N67W. However, it
lacks convection. The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic are
under the influence of the Azores ridge with a weakening
stationary front that extends from 31N34W to 29N48W. A surface
trough is analyzed from 28N51W to 23N55W. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas are N of 20N W of 44W. East of 44W, winds
are fresh to strong in the NE semicircle of a low connected to a
tropical wave near 32W. Fresh to strong winds are also ongoing
between the coast of W Africa and the Canary Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will dissipate through
Wed. A second reinforcing front will move southward into the
waters east of 75W into Wed, then stall and dissipate along 29N
through Thu. A stronger cold front will move into the waters off
northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat morning, and
reach from Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-
gale force winds and rough seas will follow the front.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 23:18:05 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 13 Oct 2026 16:21:46 GMT - Tue, 13 Oct 2026 11:18:05 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 131117
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Oct 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A low pressure trough located several hundred miles west-northwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Further development of this
system is no longer expected as the low moves slowly northward to
north-northwestward within an area of strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 15:06:08 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131506
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1105 AM EDT TUE 13 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-135
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE SIMON
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
A. 14/2000Z
B. AFXXX 0320E SIMON
C. 14/1545Z
D. 20.2N 107.9W
E. 14/1930Z TO 14/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION ON HURRICANE SIMON FOR 15/2000Z NEAR
20.8N 107.8W.
B. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION ON TD 21E FOR 15/1730Z NEAR
13.5N 101.8W.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf