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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 27 Jul 2026 09:19:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270918
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis across the Cabo
Verde Islands near 25W, extending from 09N to 18N, and moving W
at 10-15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are noted
near the wave.
An Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, extending from 09N to
21N, and moving W at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
along the southern end of the wave from 05N to 09N between 52W and
57W, and across the N end of the wave from 16N to 21N between 57W
and 61W.
A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis along 71W
southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is observed S of 12.5N near the
wave axis.
A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 78W, from
18N southward to E Panama, and moving W at 15 kt. Widely scattered
moderate convection is noted S of 14.5N between 78W and 82.5W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.5N17W and
continues to 11N39W. The ITCZ extends from 11.5N40W to 06N57.5W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is along the coast
of Africa from 05.5N to 13.5N E of 19W. Similar convection is present
from 08N to 11.5N between 29W and 36W, and from 08N to 12.5N
between 45W and 51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
extends southwestward to northern Florida, and supports a surface
trough across the NE Gulf along 29.5N into the Florida Big Bend.
Scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorms area south of this
surface trough and along the W coast. Narrow lines of moderate
convection extend SW to NE across the Straits of Florida.
Scattered moderate convection is noted across the SW Bay of
Campeche, ahead of the Yucatan trough shifting westward off the
peninsula. High pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 25N88W and
is supporting light to gentle variable winds, except gentle to
moderate W to NW winds along the northern Gulf coastal and
immediate offshore waters. Moderate to locally fresh E winds are
also ongoing in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface
trough that is coming off the Yucatan peninsula. Seas are 3 to 4
ft ahead of this Yucatan trough, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure will meander about the central Gulf
and weaken through Wed, leading to gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas. The high will then reorganize over the SE
Gulf Thu through Fri. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each
afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan
Peninsula as a trough develops daily and drifts westward. Looking
ahead, showers and thunderstorms are expected to become active
across the NE Gulf Wed afternoon through Thu as a frontal boundary
sinks to just N of the area.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The Atlantic ridge extends westward along 24N-25N, to the north of
the basin, and is supporting only fresh trade winds and seas of
5-7 ft across the central Caribbean S of 16N. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. An upper
level low is centered just N of the Virgin Islands, and
supporting convection described above over the Atlantic, just
ahead of an approaching tropical wave. Scattered heavy showers
area across much of the NE Caribbean E of 67W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
ridge along 24N-25N and the Colombian low will support fresh to
locally strong trade winds with moderate to locally rough seas
across the south-central Caribbean S of 15N through Tue, with
fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will strengthen N
of the basin Tue night through Fri, leading to increasing winds
and seas across central and west-central portions.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface ridge extending from a 1024 mb center of high pressure
near 32N42W extends southwestward to near 25N67W, and then
westward to the Straits of Florida. To the N of 27N and west of
67W, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is occurring
ahead of a stalling cold front along 31.5N and offshore of the
Carolinas. Moderate to locally fresh SW to S winds prevail ahead
of the front are moderate to fresh from the SW extending to 63W
and N of 27N. Elsewhere N of 22N and W of 40W, moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. Across the tropical
Atlantic S of 22N moderate to locally fresh trade winds prevail,
with seas of 4-7 ft. 1024 mb high pressure near the Azores is
promoting moderate to fresh NE to E winds from the Canary Islands
to 40W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the current ridge in place from the
Central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will persist through
Tue. Expect fresh to strong SW winds and moderate to rough seas
across the northern waters, mainly N of 28N, most of the week as
sinking frontal boundaries remain just to the north of area. The
Atlantic ridge will building modestly westward and into the
central Bahamas Tue night through Fri.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 27 Jul 2026 09:19:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270918
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis across the Cabo
Verde Islands near 25W, extending from 09N to 18N, and moving W
at 10-15 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection are noted
near the wave.
An Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, extending from 09N to
21N, and moving W at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
along the southern end of the wave from 05N to 09N between 52W and
57W, and across the N end of the wave from 16N to 21N between 57W
and 61W.
A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis along 71W
southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is observed S of 12.5N near the
wave axis.
A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 78W, from
18N southward to E Panama, and moving W at 15 kt. Widely scattered
moderate convection is noted S of 14.5N between 78W and 82.5W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.5N17W and
continues to 11N39W. The ITCZ extends from 11.5N40W to 06N57.5W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is along the coast
of Africa from 05.5N to 13.5N E of 19W. Similar convection is present
from 08N to 11.5N between 29W and 36W, and from 08N to 12.5N
between 45W and 51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
extends southwestward to northern Florida, and supports a surface
trough across the NE Gulf along 29.5N into the Florida Big Bend.
Scattered showers and an isolated thunderstorms area south of this
surface trough and along the W coast. Narrow lines of moderate
convection extend SW to NE across the Straits of Florida.
Scattered moderate convection is noted across the SW Bay of
Campeche, ahead of the Yucatan trough shifting westward off the
peninsula. High pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 25N88W and
is supporting light to gentle variable winds, except gentle to
moderate W to NW winds along the northern Gulf coastal and
immediate offshore waters. Moderate to locally fresh E winds are
also ongoing in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface
trough that is coming off the Yucatan peninsula. Seas are 3 to 4
ft ahead of this Yucatan trough, and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure will meander about the central Gulf
and weaken through Wed, leading to gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas. The high will then reorganize over the SE
Gulf Thu through Fri. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each
afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan
Peninsula as a trough develops daily and drifts westward. Looking
ahead, showers and thunderstorms are expected to become active
across the NE Gulf Wed afternoon through Thu as a frontal boundary
sinks to just N of the area.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The Atlantic ridge extends westward along 24N-25N, to the north of
the basin, and is supporting only fresh trade winds and seas of
5-7 ft across the central Caribbean S of 16N. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. An upper
level low is centered just N of the Virgin Islands, and
supporting convection described above over the Atlantic, just
ahead of an approaching tropical wave. Scattered heavy showers
area across much of the NE Caribbean E of 67W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
ridge along 24N-25N and the Colombian low will support fresh to
locally strong trade winds with moderate to locally rough seas
across the south-central Caribbean S of 15N through Tue, with
fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will strengthen N
of the basin Tue night through Fri, leading to increasing winds
and seas across central and west-central portions.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface ridge extending from a 1024 mb center of high pressure
near 32N42W extends southwestward to near 25N67W, and then
westward to the Straits of Florida. To the N of 27N and west of
67W, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is occurring
ahead of a stalling cold front along 31.5N and offshore of the
Carolinas. Moderate to locally fresh SW to S winds prevail ahead
of the front are moderate to fresh from the SW extending to 63W
and N of 27N. Elsewhere N of 22N and W of 40W, moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. Across the tropical
Atlantic S of 22N moderate to locally fresh trade winds prevail,
with seas of 4-7 ft. 1024 mb high pressure near the Azores is
promoting moderate to fresh NE to E winds from the Canary Islands
to 40W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the current ridge in place from the
Central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will persist through
Tue. Expect fresh to strong SW winds and moderate to rough seas
across the northern waters, mainly N of 28N, most of the week as
sinking frontal boundaries remain just to the north of area. The
Atlantic ridge will building modestly westward and into the
central Bahamas Tue night through Fri.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 28 Jul 2026 23:25:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 27 Jul 2026 13:10:06 GMT - Mon, 27 Jul 2026 11:25:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 271125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 15:57:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261557
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EDT SUN 26 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-056
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
A. 27/1730Z,2330Z A. 28/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0502A FAUSTO B. AFXXX 0602A FAUSTO
C. 27/1530Z C. 28/0400Z
D. 21.0N 147.0W D. 21.5N 149.8W
E. 27/1700Z TO 27/2330Z E. 28/0500Z TO 28/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
REMAINS A THREAT.
3. REMARK: NOAA G-IV TRAINING MISSION AROUND HURRICANE FAUSTO,
DEPARTING PHOG AT 27/1730Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf