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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 22 Nov 2025 16:39:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221639
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Nov 22 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and
continues southwestward to 09N18W, where it transitions to the
ITCZ to 09N30W to 07N40W to 09N50W and to 07N58W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N
between 10W and 20W, and from 04N to 12N between 20W and 31W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic
to across Florida into the Gulf region. Its related pressure
gradient is generally allowing for mostly light to gentle
anticyclonic winds across the basin, except for gentle to moderate
northeast to east winds south of about 23N and east of 94W. Seas
are in general 2 to 4 ft, except 1 to 2 ft in the NE Gulf. A
frontal boundary is near the coast of Texas generating scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
For the forecast, a weak cold front will move into the northern
Gulf late today, stall late Sun and Mon, then lift northward Tue.
Patchy fog over the northwest Gulf ahead of the front will
dissipate later today. Expect fresh southerly flow off the Texas
coast Sun night through Mon night between low pressure over
northeast Mexico and high pressure over the Carolinas. These winds
will diminish Tue ahead of another front moving across the southern
Plains. Looking ahead, this stronger front will move into the
northwest Gulf Wed, followed by fresh NE winds and building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The combination between high pressure north of the area over the
western Atlantic and the Colombian low is resulting in fresh to
strong trade winds over most of the central Caribbean as captured
by a recent scatterometer pass. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these
winds. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas are noted
over the remainder of the basin.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are observed over
the southwestern section of the sea, where the East Pacific
monsoon trough extends across the region. Low-topped trade wind
showers are seen elsewhere, with some thunderstorm activity
offshore NE Honduras.
For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning through
the middle of next week as low pressure prevails over the south-
central Caribbean. These winds will bring rough seas to the waters
near northwest Colombia. Elsewhere, high pressure centered over
the western Atlantic will support moderate to fresh trade winds
and moderate seas over the rest of the basin through early next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front is anaylzed from near 31N59W southwestward to 26N67W.
No significant convection is seen in association with this front.
Mainly light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are on
either side of the front. Otherwise, high pressure dominates the
remainder of the western Atlantic, with a 1021 mb high pressure
situated near the NW Bahamas. Recent scatterometer satellite data
passes depict moderate to locally fresh northeast to east winds
south of about 23N west of 71W, including through the passages of
the Bahama Islands. These winds reach to along the coast of Cuba
and through the Straits of Florida.
Over the central Atlantic, a trough extends from near 31N50W to a
1015 mb low pressure located near 27N53W to 19N55W. An upper-level
low dropping southward is near 26N53W. This feature is providing
upper support for the low/trough. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms are E of the trough axis to about 44W. The
pressure gradient between strong high pressure of 1034 mb situated
to the northeast of the Azores and lower pressures over NW Africa
is producing an area of fresh to strong northeast to east winds N
of 27N and east of 30W, including the N waters of the Canary
Islands. Seas of 8 to 10 ft in northeast to east swell are over
this area. Moderate to fresh southeast to south winds are north of
25N between 40 and 45W or between the the trough and the SW
periphery of the Azores high pressure. Seas are 8 to 10 ft with
these winds. Otherwise, mostly moderate to fresh trades, with
moderate seas are present over the rest of the tropical Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front southeast of Bermuda
will shift eastward today, then stall and dissipate through Sun.
High pressure over the northern Bahamas will dissipate through
Sun, ahead of another weak cold front that will move off the
northeast Florida coast early Sun. The front will reach from
Bermuda to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon. The eastern
portion of the front will continue eastward and reach from 30N55W
to 27N70W by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W starts to
lift northward. High pressure will build north of the front off
the Carolina coast, supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
moderate seas across the region, with large NW swell following
the front southeast of Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will
diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of an approaching front over
the southeast U.S.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 22 Nov 2025 16:39:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221639
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Nov 22 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and
continues southwestward to 09N18W, where it transitions to the
ITCZ to 09N30W to 07N40W to 09N50W and to 07N58W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N
between 10W and 20W, and from 04N to 12N between 20W and 31W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic
to across Florida into the Gulf region. Its related pressure
gradient is generally allowing for mostly light to gentle
anticyclonic winds across the basin, except for gentle to moderate
northeast to east winds south of about 23N and east of 94W. Seas
are in general 2 to 4 ft, except 1 to 2 ft in the NE Gulf. A
frontal boundary is near the coast of Texas generating scattered
showers and thunderstorms.
For the forecast, a weak cold front will move into the northern
Gulf late today, stall late Sun and Mon, then lift northward Tue.
Patchy fog over the northwest Gulf ahead of the front will
dissipate later today. Expect fresh southerly flow off the Texas
coast Sun night through Mon night between low pressure over
northeast Mexico and high pressure over the Carolinas. These winds
will diminish Tue ahead of another front moving across the southern
Plains. Looking ahead, this stronger front will move into the
northwest Gulf Wed, followed by fresh NE winds and building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The combination between high pressure north of the area over the
western Atlantic and the Colombian low is resulting in fresh to
strong trade winds over most of the central Caribbean as captured
by a recent scatterometer pass. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these
winds. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas are noted
over the remainder of the basin.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are observed over
the southwestern section of the sea, where the East Pacific
monsoon trough extends across the region. Low-topped trade wind
showers are seen elsewhere, with some thunderstorm activity
offshore NE Honduras.
For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning through
the middle of next week as low pressure prevails over the south-
central Caribbean. These winds will bring rough seas to the waters
near northwest Colombia. Elsewhere, high pressure centered over
the western Atlantic will support moderate to fresh trade winds
and moderate seas over the rest of the basin through early next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front is anaylzed from near 31N59W southwestward to 26N67W.
No significant convection is seen in association with this front.
Mainly light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are on
either side of the front. Otherwise, high pressure dominates the
remainder of the western Atlantic, with a 1021 mb high pressure
situated near the NW Bahamas. Recent scatterometer satellite data
passes depict moderate to locally fresh northeast to east winds
south of about 23N west of 71W, including through the passages of
the Bahama Islands. These winds reach to along the coast of Cuba
and through the Straits of Florida.
Over the central Atlantic, a trough extends from near 31N50W to a
1015 mb low pressure located near 27N53W to 19N55W. An upper-level
low dropping southward is near 26N53W. This feature is providing
upper support for the low/trough. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms are E of the trough axis to about 44W. The
pressure gradient between strong high pressure of 1034 mb situated
to the northeast of the Azores and lower pressures over NW Africa
is producing an area of fresh to strong northeast to east winds N
of 27N and east of 30W, including the N waters of the Canary
Islands. Seas of 8 to 10 ft in northeast to east swell are over
this area. Moderate to fresh southeast to south winds are north of
25N between 40 and 45W or between the the trough and the SW
periphery of the Azores high pressure. Seas are 8 to 10 ft with
these winds. Otherwise, mostly moderate to fresh trades, with
moderate seas are present over the rest of the tropical Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front southeast of Bermuda
will shift eastward today, then stall and dissipate through Sun.
High pressure over the northern Bahamas will dissipate through
Sun, ahead of another weak cold front that will move off the
northeast Florida coast early Sun. The front will reach from
Bermuda to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon. The eastern
portion of the front will continue eastward and reach from 30N55W
to 27N70W by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W starts to
lift northward. High pressure will build north of the front off
the Carolina coast, supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds and
moderate seas across the region, with large NW swell following
the front southeast of Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will
diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of an approaching front over
the southeast U.S.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 24 Nov 2025 05:11:10 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 22 Nov 2025 18:53:32 GMT - Sat, 22 Nov 2025 17:11:10 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 221711
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sat Nov 22 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 22 Nov 2025 13:54:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
993
NOUS42 KNHC 221354
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EST SAT 22 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-175
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE. PACIFIC
WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS WILL RESUME ON 30 NOVEMBER.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
