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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:44:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301744
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Oct 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 06N28W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ. the ITCZ then continues to near
05N54W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 03N to 10N
and E of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A tight pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern
United States, a surface trough over the Bahamas and a trough
over the south-central Gulf are supporting moderate to fresh
northeast to east winds across the northeast and north-central
Gulf. Moderate seas to 6-7 ft are with these winds. Moderate or
weaker winds are elsewhere as noted in recent scatterometer
passes.
For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient between high
pressure over the eastern U.S. and lower pressure over the Bahamas
and the NW Caribbean will continue to support moderate to fresh
NE to E winds and moderate seas across the northeast and north-
central Gulf into early next week. Looking ahead, expect fresh SE
to S winds to develop over much of the northwest Gulf by Tue
night, as a cold front moves through the Southern Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the Gulf and
Atlantic and lower pressure over Colombia supports fresh to strong
trades and 5-7 ft seas in the south-central Caribbean and Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail across
the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean, with gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas elsewhere. A surface
trough analyzed from Jamaica to the north coast of Panama supports
scattered moderate convection S of 17N between 74W and 81W.
Scattered moderate convection is also occurring in the SE
Caribbean S of 14N and E of 68W, driven by convergent surface
winds and an upper-level trough.
For the forecast, a lingering frontal trough extends from 1012 mb
low pres near 30N67W to 27N79W, allowing for a modest pressure
gradient to the south, and across the Caribbean basin. The low
pres will shift NE through the weekend, with strong high pressure
building into the western Atlantic, and forcing the frontal trough
southward through the NW Bahamas. Expect moderate to fresh trades
over the central and eastern Caribbean to continue through Mon
night, with small areas of strong winds near the coast of Colombia
and NW Venezuela. Winds and seas are expected to diminish basin-
wide late Mon through Tue as broad low pressure begins to develop
across the Atlantic to the NE of the Bahamas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1012 mb low is analyzed near 30N67W. A cold front extends from
this low to the waters north of the Turks and Caicos. A stationary
front also extends from another low north of the area to 31N57W to
23N36W to 31N25W. A surface trough also extends from the low to
just north of the Bahamas and then to near the Florida Keys.
Fresh to strong E to NE winds and seas of 6-10 ft prevail N of the
large stationary front and surface trough. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are along and ahead of the cold front, generally N
of 22N and W of 61W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also
along and ahead of the stationary front N of 20N between 20W and
35W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate or weaker trades and
3-6 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, 1012 mb low pres near 30N67W
extends a cold front S-SW into the southeast Bahamas, while a
lingering frontal trough extends from the low pres to near 27N79W.
Fresh to strong NE to E winds with rough seas to around 12 ft
will persist north of the frontal trough into next week, as the
low pressure moves northeastward past Bermuda, and strong high
pressure gradually builds into the western Atlantic. This will
reinvigorate the frontal trough and force it southeastward, where
it will stall near 25N Sun, then lift northward Mon and Tue as
broad low pressure begins to develop NE of the Bahamas.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:44:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301744
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Oct 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 06N28W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ. the ITCZ then continues to near
05N54W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 03N to 10N
and E of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A tight pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern
United States, a surface trough over the Bahamas and a trough
over the south-central Gulf are supporting moderate to fresh
northeast to east winds across the northeast and north-central
Gulf. Moderate seas to 6-7 ft are with these winds. Moderate or
weaker winds are elsewhere as noted in recent scatterometer
passes.
For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient between high
pressure over the eastern U.S. and lower pressure over the Bahamas
and the NW Caribbean will continue to support moderate to fresh
NE to E winds and moderate seas across the northeast and north-
central Gulf into early next week. Looking ahead, expect fresh SE
to S winds to develop over much of the northwest Gulf by Tue
night, as a cold front moves through the Southern Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the Gulf and
Atlantic and lower pressure over Colombia supports fresh to strong
trades and 5-7 ft seas in the south-central Caribbean and Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail across
the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean, with gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas elsewhere. A surface
trough analyzed from Jamaica to the north coast of Panama supports
scattered moderate convection S of 17N between 74W and 81W.
Scattered moderate convection is also occurring in the SE
Caribbean S of 14N and E of 68W, driven by convergent surface
winds and an upper-level trough.
For the forecast, a lingering frontal trough extends from 1012 mb
low pres near 30N67W to 27N79W, allowing for a modest pressure
gradient to the south, and across the Caribbean basin. The low
pres will shift NE through the weekend, with strong high pressure
building into the western Atlantic, and forcing the frontal trough
southward through the NW Bahamas. Expect moderate to fresh trades
over the central and eastern Caribbean to continue through Mon
night, with small areas of strong winds near the coast of Colombia
and NW Venezuela. Winds and seas are expected to diminish basin-
wide late Mon through Tue as broad low pressure begins to develop
across the Atlantic to the NE of the Bahamas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1012 mb low is analyzed near 30N67W. A cold front extends from
this low to the waters north of the Turks and Caicos. A stationary
front also extends from another low north of the area to 31N57W to
23N36W to 31N25W. A surface trough also extends from the low to
just north of the Bahamas and then to near the Florida Keys.
Fresh to strong E to NE winds and seas of 6-10 ft prevail N of the
large stationary front and surface trough. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are along and ahead of the cold front, generally N
of 22N and W of 61W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also
along and ahead of the stationary front N of 20N between 20W and
35W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate or weaker trades and
3-6 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, 1012 mb low pres near 30N67W
extends a cold front S-SW into the southeast Bahamas, while a
lingering frontal trough extends from the low pres to near 27N79W.
Fresh to strong NE to E winds with rough seas to around 12 ft
will persist north of the frontal trough into next week, as the
low pressure moves northeastward past Bermuda, and strong high
pressure gradually builds into the western Atlantic. This will
reinvigorate the frontal trough and force it southeastward, where
it will stall near 25N Sun, then lift northward Mon and Tue as
broad low pressure begins to develop NE of the Bahamas.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 01 Nov 2026 05:12:04 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 30 Oct 2026 19:54:17 GMT - Fri, 30 Oct 2026 17:12:04 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301711
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 30 Oct 2026 13:00:04 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 301259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT FRI 30 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z OCTOBER TO 01/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-152
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





