2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 09 Nov 2025 05:47:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 090547
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Nov 9 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0600 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move into
    the NW Gulf late tonight, then quickly move SE through the basin
    and exit Mon. Strong to near gale-force N to NE winds and rough
    seas can be expected behind the front, with gale force winds and
    very rough seas offshore of Veracruz Mon. Gale force winds are
    forecast to begin at 10/1200 UTC, along with seas up to 12 ft. For
    more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
    by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    Significant Rainfall over Central America:
    A shearline is expected to form Sunday afternoon over the
    northwest Caribbean Sea and Honduras, enhancing moisture
    convergence across Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, and Nicaragua. The
    shearline will continue moving south on Monday, and will interact
    with a developing low off the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica
    by Tuesday morning, resulting in enhanced moisture convergence. A
    potent cold front will then arrive in Guatemala, Honduras, and
    Belize on Tuesday morning, after which it will become stationary
    and linger across the region through Thursday. Significant
    rainfall over the course of several days will be possible as a
    result, and will raise concerns for life-threatening flash
    flooding and landslides. This information was provided by the
    International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center. Please refer
    to your local meteorological service for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is analyzed inland over Africa. The ITCZ
    extends from 12N16W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 03N to 15N between the coast of Africa and 46W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Ridging extends over the basin, supporting moderate or weaker S
    to SW winds and 1 to 3 ft seas. No notable convection is occurring
    across the basin.

    For the forecast, a strong cold front will move into the NW Gulf
    late tonight, then quickly move SE through the basin and exit Mon.
    Strong to near gale-force N to NE winds and rough seas can be
    expected behind the front, with gale force winds and very rough
    seas offshore of Veracruz Mon. There is a potential for gust to
    gale force winds for the NW Gulf beginning Sun morning and
    continuing through Mon morning. Conditions will improve basin-
    wide by Tue evening.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The persistent surface trough in the western Caribbean continues
    to support scattered moderate convection, mainly within 90 nm of
    the coasts of Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Panama.
    Moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail across the
    eastern and central Caribbean, with fresh to strong winds
    occurring offshore NW Colombia. In the NW Caribbean, gentle to
    moderate winds and 1-3 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast, locally strong winds and rough seas are
    expected in the south-central Caribbean through Mon. Rough seas in
    N swell will continue over the tropical Atlantic waters east of
    the Lesser Antilles into Mon and then will gradually subside into
    Tue. A strong cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Mon,
    bringing strong to near gale force N winds and rough to very rough
    seas in its wake. The front will stall over the middle of next
    week from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras. Showers and
    thunderstorms along and ahead of this front will also bring a
    potential for heavy rainfall for much of next week over Central
    America, particularly Honduras.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the western Atlantic extends from 31N70W to
    the central Bahamas, and scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    occurring to the east of this feature, generally north of 25N and
    west of 60W. Moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds and 4 to 6 ft
    seas are occurring in this area as a storm system centered north
    of the region strengthens. West of 70W, light to gentle winds and
    2 to 4 ft seas prevail. Fresh to strong trades prevail across much
    of the Atlantic between 05N and 25N between the W coast of Africa
    and 62W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere across the open
    Atlantic. East of 60W, NW swell with periods of 12-16 seconds
    continues to propagate across most of the basin, with seas of 7-11
    ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh S to SW winds
    developing offshore of NE Florida Sun morning will reach fresh to
    strong speeds Sun night into Mon ahead of a strong cold front that
    will push off the SE U.S. Sun night. The front will progress SE
    and reach from Bermuda to E Cuba Tue afternoon, with the southern
    portion of the front stalling from 27N63W to E Cuba Tue night into
    Wed. Strong to gale-force winds and rough to very rough seas are
    expected behind the front through Tue evening. Gale conditions in
    W to NW winds are expected along and N of 30N Mon night into late
    Tue, especially W of 65W. Winds then will gradually diminish
    through Wed.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 09 Nov 2025 05:47:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 090547
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Nov 9 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0600 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move into
    the NW Gulf late tonight, then quickly move SE through the basin
    and exit Mon. Strong to near gale-force N to NE winds and rough
    seas can be expected behind the front, with gale force winds and
    very rough seas offshore of Veracruz Mon. Gale force winds are
    forecast to begin at 10/1200 UTC, along with seas up to 12 ft. For
    more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
    by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    Significant Rainfall over Central America:
    A shearline is expected to form Sunday afternoon over the
    northwest Caribbean Sea and Honduras, enhancing moisture
    convergence across Guatemala, Belize, Honduras, and Nicaragua. The
    shearline will continue moving south on Monday, and will interact
    with a developing low off the coasts of Nicaragua and Costa Rica
    by Tuesday morning, resulting in enhanced moisture convergence. A
    potent cold front will then arrive in Guatemala, Honduras, and
    Belize on Tuesday morning, after which it will become stationary
    and linger across the region through Thursday. Significant
    rainfall over the course of several days will be possible as a
    result, and will raise concerns for life-threatening flash
    flooding and landslides. This information was provided by the
    International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center. Please refer
    to your local meteorological service for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is analyzed inland over Africa. The ITCZ
    extends from 12N16W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 03N to 15N between the coast of Africa and 46W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Ridging extends over the basin, supporting moderate or weaker S
    to SW winds and 1 to 3 ft seas. No notable convection is occurring
    across the basin.

    For the forecast, a strong cold front will move into the NW Gulf
    late tonight, then quickly move SE through the basin and exit Mon.
    Strong to near gale-force N to NE winds and rough seas can be
    expected behind the front, with gale force winds and very rough
    seas offshore of Veracruz Mon. There is a potential for gust to
    gale force winds for the NW Gulf beginning Sun morning and
    continuing through Mon morning. Conditions will improve basin-
    wide by Tue evening.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The persistent surface trough in the western Caribbean continues
    to support scattered moderate convection, mainly within 90 nm of
    the coasts of Honduras, Nicaragua, Costa Rica, and Panama.
    Moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail across the
    eastern and central Caribbean, with fresh to strong winds
    occurring offshore NW Colombia. In the NW Caribbean, gentle to
    moderate winds and 1-3 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast, locally strong winds and rough seas are
    expected in the south-central Caribbean through Mon. Rough seas in
    N swell will continue over the tropical Atlantic waters east of
    the Lesser Antilles into Mon and then will gradually subside into
    Tue. A strong cold front will move into the NW Caribbean Mon,
    bringing strong to near gale force N winds and rough to very rough
    seas in its wake. The front will stall over the middle of next
    week from eastern Cuba to eastern Honduras. Showers and
    thunderstorms along and ahead of this front will also bring a
    potential for heavy rainfall for much of next week over Central
    America, particularly Honduras.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the western Atlantic extends from 31N70W to
    the central Bahamas, and scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    occurring to the east of this feature, generally north of 25N and
    west of 60W. Moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds and 4 to 6 ft
    seas are occurring in this area as a storm system centered north
    of the region strengthens. West of 70W, light to gentle winds and
    2 to 4 ft seas prevail. Fresh to strong trades prevail across much
    of the Atlantic between 05N and 25N between the W coast of Africa
    and 62W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere across the open
    Atlantic. East of 60W, NW swell with periods of 12-16 seconds
    continues to propagate across most of the basin, with seas of 7-11
    ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh S to SW winds
    developing offshore of NE Florida Sun morning will reach fresh to
    strong speeds Sun night into Mon ahead of a strong cold front that
    will push off the SE U.S. Sun night. The front will progress SE
    and reach from Bermuda to E Cuba Tue afternoon, with the southern
    portion of the front stalling from 27N63W to E Cuba Tue night into
    Wed. Strong to gale-force winds and rough to very rough seas are
    expected behind the front through Tue evening. Gale conditions in
    W to NW winds are expected along and N of 30N Mon night into late
    Tue, especially W of 65W. Winds then will gradually diminish
    through Wed.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 10 Nov 2025 17:01:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 09 Nov 2025 06:01:32 GMT
  • Sun, 09 Nov 2025 05:01:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 090501
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Sun Nov 9 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Jelsema
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 08 Nov 2025 16:31:06 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 081631
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1130 AM EST SAT 08 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-161

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
    THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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