SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 10:09:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 291009
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 29W,
south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is found from 04-08N between 27W-31W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W, south of
14N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is found along the wave axis and N of 06N.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 68W, south of
20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at this
time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to 11N28W. The ITCZ extends from 06N30W to 06N57W.
Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves described
above, no significant convection is present at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends westward
into the Gulf waters, supporting fresh NE-E winds W of 90W, and
moderate SE winds E of 90W. Moderate seas prevail across the
basin.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E winds will pulse off
the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Thu night. Moderate to
fresh E to SE winds across the western half of the Gulf will
diminish to gentle to moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail
the remainder forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are
expected elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in
the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the forecast period,
reaching near-gale speeds offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate
or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder of the basin
during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands combine
with a surface trough along 63W to produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms from 20N to 26N and between 57W and 64W. The
remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds
and seas of 5-8 ft south of 25N and east of 30W.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and east of 20W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High will
dominate the forecast area through today. While most of the basin
will experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings for
the next several days. A weak cold front will push off of the SE
United States coast today and extend from 31N73W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
along the western end of the frontal system today or Tuesday.
Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it
drifts westward over our NW waters north of 28N.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 10:09:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 291009
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 29W,
south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is found from 04-08N between 27W-31W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W, south of
14N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is found along the wave axis and N of 06N.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 68W, south of
20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at this
time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to 11N28W. The ITCZ extends from 06N30W to 06N57W.
Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves described
above, no significant convection is present at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends westward
into the Gulf waters, supporting fresh NE-E winds W of 90W, and
moderate SE winds E of 90W. Moderate seas prevail across the
basin.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E winds will pulse off
the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Thu night. Moderate to
fresh E to SE winds across the western half of the Gulf will
diminish to gentle to moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail
the remainder forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are
expected elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in
the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the forecast period,
reaching near-gale speeds offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate
or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder of the basin
during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands combine
with a surface trough along 63W to produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms from 20N to 26N and between 57W and 64W. The
remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds
and seas of 5-8 ft south of 25N and east of 30W.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and east of 20W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High will
dominate the forecast area through today. While most of the basin
will experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings for
the next several days. A weak cold front will push off of the SE
United States coast today and extend from 31N73W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
along the western end of the frontal system today or Tuesday.
Gradual development of this system is possible thereafter while it
drifts westward over our NW waters north of 28N.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 23:49:28 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 29 Jun 2026 11:49:37 GMT - Mon, 29 Jun 2026 11:49:28 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 291149
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the southeastern
U.S. coast are associated with an area of low pressure along a
frontal boundary. Environmental conditions only appear marginally
favorable for some tropical development over the next day or two as
the system drifts southward and then westward before conditions
become even less favorable later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 28 Jun 2026 12:49:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
618
NOUS42 KNHC 281249
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SUN 28 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-028
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 32.0N 71.0W FOR 30/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf