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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 12:16:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251216 AAA
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion...Updated
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026
Updated for Special Features
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600| UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
centered a few hundred nautical miles south-southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands along a tropical wave is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. The wave extends along 20W/21W and S of
20N, with a 1010 mb low centered along the wave axis near 11N21W.
Disorganized scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
seen from 07N to 12N between 17W and 25W. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely
to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
conducive for development by the weekend. This system has a high
chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W south of
20N moving westward around 15 kt. Convection as described below
under Monsoon Trough/ITCZ.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 63W south of 21N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 74W south of 21N
to northern Colombia moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is presently noted with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N24W and
westward to 12.5N35W to 11N40W and to 09N48W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 07N58W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm north of the trough between
43W-47W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north
of the trough between 47W-50W, and within 30 nm of the trough
between 38W-43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A relatively weak 1017 mb high pressure is centered over the
central Gulf near 25N89W, and is generally producing light to
gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin, except moderate NE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less
prevail over the basin per buoy observations and recent satellite
altimeter satellite data passes.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of
northwestern Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone
of strong winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and
far NE Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere.
Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
confined to south of 15N west of 80W, including some of the
inland sections of Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of 18N west of 77W.
For the forecast, the current synoptic pattern across the region
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the
rest of the week and into the weekend. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to impact the far
eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic zone starting Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is north of the area near
35N60W. Its associated trough extends from the low to 31N61W and to
near 24N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection and
fresh to strong south winds persist to the E of the trough N of 24N
between 55W and 58W. In the eastern Atlantic, another weak surface
trough is analyzed from near 29N32W to 25N34W. No convection is
active with this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging
prevails. A 1019 mb high center is over the western Atlantic at
29N69W. To the south of this feature, fresh east to southeast winds
are over the waters from the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos
Islands to near the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas remain elsewhere north of 20N and west of
61W. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon
trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas as noted
in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Winds are mainly
moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned fresh to strong
south winds and the convective activity N of 24N between 55W and
58W will slowly diminish through early this evening as Invest AL95
moves farther away from the forecast waters. Elsewhere, moderate
to at times fresh trades, will prevail S of about 23N, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters into
the weekend. Long period northeast to east swell from an approaching
low pressure system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone,
may begin to impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.
$$
Aguirre/JRL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 12:16:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251216 AAA
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion...Updated
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026
Updated for Special Features
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600| UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
centered a few hundred nautical miles south-southeast of the Cabo
Verde Islands along a tropical wave is producing disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. The wave extends along 20W/21W and S of
20N, with a 1010 mb low centered along the wave axis near 11N21W.
Disorganized scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
seen from 07N to 12N between 17W and 25W. Environmental conditions
appear conducive for gradual development, and this system is likely
to become a tropical depression during the next day or two while it
moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
conducive for development by the weekend. This system has a high
chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46W south of
20N moving westward around 15 kt. Convection as described below
under Monsoon Trough/ITCZ.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 63W south of 21N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 74W south of 21N
to northern Colombia moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
is presently noted with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 11N24W and
westward to 12.5N35W to 11N40W and to 09N48W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ to near 07N58W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is within 120 nm north of the trough between
43W-47W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm north
of the trough between 47W-50W, and within 30 nm of the trough
between 38W-43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A relatively weak 1017 mb high pressure is centered over the
central Gulf near 25N89W, and is generally producing light to
gentle anticyclonic winds across the basin, except moderate NE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less
prevail over the basin per buoy observations and recent satellite
altimeter satellite data passes.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of
northwestern Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone
of strong winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and
far NE Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
elsewhere.
Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
confined to south of 15N west of 80W, including some of the
inland sections of Nicaragua. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of 18N west of 77W.
For the forecast, the current synoptic pattern across the region
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the
rest of the week and into the weekend. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to
gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to impact the far
eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic zone starting Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
Low pressure of 1015 mb, Invest AL95, is north of the area near
35N60W. Its associated trough extends from the low to 31N61W and to
near 24N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection and
fresh to strong south winds persist to the E of the trough N of 24N
between 55W and 58W. In the eastern Atlantic, another weak surface
trough is analyzed from near 29N32W to 25N34W. No convection is
active with this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure ridging
prevails. A 1019 mb high center is over the western Atlantic at
29N69W. To the south of this feature, fresh east to southeast winds
are over the waters from the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos
Islands to near the Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas remain elsewhere north of 20N and west of
61W. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of the monsoon
trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8 ft seas as noted
in overnight satellite altimeter data passes. Winds are mainly
moderate and seas moderate across any remainder waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned fresh to strong
south winds and the convective activity N of 24N between 55W and
58W will slowly diminish through early this evening as Invest AL95
moves farther away from the forecast waters. Elsewhere, moderate
to at times fresh trades, will prevail S of about 23N, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters into
the weekend. Long period northeast to east swell from an approaching
low pressure system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone,
may begin to impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.
$$
Aguirre/JRL
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 23:52:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 25 Aug 2026 14:30:06 GMT - Tue, 25 Aug 2026 11:52:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 251152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east-northeast
of Bermuda is moving northward to north-northeastward at 15 to 20
mph. The associated shower activity remains disorganized and the
circulation is broad and elongated. This system could still become
a short-lived tropical depression or storm later today before
encountering increasingly hostile conditions tonight and Wednesday,
likely ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south-southeast
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
Environmental conditions could become less conducive for development
by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 14:10:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
404
NOUS42 KNHC 251410
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT TUE 25 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-086
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf