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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 01 Oct 2026 09:55:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 010955
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Oct 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N36W. A
surface trough is analyzed along 41W, south of 18N. The ITCZ
extends from 11N43W to the coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 08N to 15N
and between 25W and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A moderate pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge over the
western Atlantic and lower pressures in Texas and Mexico support
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across much of
the basin. Divergence aloft and abundant moisture combine to
produce a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over the SE Gulf
waters, while drier conditions are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the storm activity over the SE Gulf will spread
over much of the basin over the next few days. A moderate
pressure gradient between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and lower pressures over Texas and Mexico result in moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across the Gulf waters. The
gradient will weaken from west to east Fri into the weekend as a
frontal boundary approaches the western Gulf waters and a trough
forms over the central Gulf. The front may move into the basin by
the end of the weekend with weakening winds and subsiding seas
ahead of it. Increasing winds and building seas are possible
behind the drifting front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A middle to upper level low over the Yucatan Peninsula is drawing
abundant moisture from the E Pacific into the W Caribbean, which
continues to fuel scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms W
of 75W. Meanwhile, a surface trough over the eastern Caribbean is
producing some shower activity in the area.
High pressure north of the area is supporting moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds across much of the Caribbean and moderate
seas. Winds pulse to strong speeds off NW Colombia and in the
Gulfs of Venezuela and Honduras.
For the forecast, divergence aloft and abundant tropical moisture
will support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms W of
75W over the next few days. High pressure north of the area will
support pulsing fresh to strong easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean and in the Gulf of Honduras into Sat night.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail in the rest of the basin.
Later, a frontal boundary will slide into the Gulf of America and
western Atlantic this weekend, resulting in a weakening pressure
gradient across the Caribbean as the ridge retreats. Moderate to
locally fresh winds will then dominate the basin into early next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and abundant moisture continues to sustain
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 70W.
Meanwhile, the remnants of Fay are interacting with an upper-level
low to produce showers and isolated thunderstorms from 22N to 27N
and between 53W and 63W. Moderate to occasionally strong easterly
winds and seas of 6-8 ft are found in the area described.
Elsewhere west of 55W, high pressure dominates forcing moderate to
fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas south of 27N.
Light to gentle winds and seas of 2-5 ft are noted north of 27N.
In the rest of the tropical Atlantic, moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds prevail west of 25W. Seas of 6-8 ft are evident
north of 24N and east of 55W, while mainly moderate seas are
occurring elsewhere west of 25W. A tighter pressure gradient in
the eastern Atlantic supports moderate to locally fresh northerly
winds and seas of 4-8 ft east of 25W.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will remain possible across the waters west of 70W
through at least Fri. Meanwhile, a weakening surface trough,
associated with the remnants of Fay, will support similar storm
activity over the next few days as it moves westward between
Bermuda and the NE Caribbean. A broad ridge will persist across
the region into the weekend supporting moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas south of 25N. Winds will pulse to
strong speeds off N Hispaniola this evening and tonight. Moderate
or weaker winds will prevail elsewhere. Looking ahead, a frontal
boundary may reach the waters off NE Florida late this weekend
into early next week, resulting in increasing winds and building
seas behind the drifting boundary.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 01 Oct 2026 09:55:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 010955
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Oct 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N36W. A
surface trough is analyzed along 41W, south of 18N. The ITCZ
extends from 11N43W to the coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from 08N to 15N
and between 25W and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A moderate pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge over the
western Atlantic and lower pressures in Texas and Mexico support
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across much of
the basin. Divergence aloft and abundant moisture combine to
produce a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over the SE Gulf
waters, while drier conditions are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the storm activity over the SE Gulf will spread
over much of the basin over the next few days. A moderate
pressure gradient between high pressure over the western Atlantic
and lower pressures over Texas and Mexico result in moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas across the Gulf waters. The
gradient will weaken from west to east Fri into the weekend as a
frontal boundary approaches the western Gulf waters and a trough
forms over the central Gulf. The front may move into the basin by
the end of the weekend with weakening winds and subsiding seas
ahead of it. Increasing winds and building seas are possible
behind the drifting front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A middle to upper level low over the Yucatan Peninsula is drawing
abundant moisture from the E Pacific into the W Caribbean, which
continues to fuel scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms W
of 75W. Meanwhile, a surface trough over the eastern Caribbean is
producing some shower activity in the area.
High pressure north of the area is supporting moderate to fresh
easterly trade winds across much of the Caribbean and moderate
seas. Winds pulse to strong speeds off NW Colombia and in the
Gulfs of Venezuela and Honduras.
For the forecast, divergence aloft and abundant tropical moisture
will support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms W of
75W over the next few days. High pressure north of the area will
support pulsing fresh to strong easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean and in the Gulf of Honduras into Sat night.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail in the rest of the basin.
Later, a frontal boundary will slide into the Gulf of America and
western Atlantic this weekend, resulting in a weakening pressure
gradient across the Caribbean as the ridge retreats. Moderate to
locally fresh winds will then dominate the basin into early next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and abundant moisture continues to sustain
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 70W.
Meanwhile, the remnants of Fay are interacting with an upper-level
low to produce showers and isolated thunderstorms from 22N to 27N
and between 53W and 63W. Moderate to occasionally strong easterly
winds and seas of 6-8 ft are found in the area described.
Elsewhere west of 55W, high pressure dominates forcing moderate to
fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas south of 27N.
Light to gentle winds and seas of 2-5 ft are noted north of 27N.
In the rest of the tropical Atlantic, moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds prevail west of 25W. Seas of 6-8 ft are evident
north of 24N and east of 55W, while mainly moderate seas are
occurring elsewhere west of 25W. A tighter pressure gradient in
the eastern Atlantic supports moderate to locally fresh northerly
winds and seas of 4-8 ft east of 25W.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will remain possible across the waters west of 70W
through at least Fri. Meanwhile, a weakening surface trough,
associated with the remnants of Fay, will support similar storm
activity over the next few days as it moves westward between
Bermuda and the NE Caribbean. A broad ridge will persist across
the region into the weekend supporting moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas south of 25N. Winds will pulse to
strong speeds off N Hispaniola this evening and tonight. Moderate
or weaker winds will prevail elsewhere. Looking ahead, a frontal
boundary may reach the waters off NE Florida late this weekend
into early next week, resulting in increasing winds and building
seas behind the drifting boundary.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 02 Oct 2026 23:40:09 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 15:00:06 GMT - Thu, 01 Oct 2026 11:40:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
675
ABNT20 KNHC 011140
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 14:06:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
457
NOUS42 KNHC 301406
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EDT WED 30 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-122
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf