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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 06:07:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 080607
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will continue to result in fresh to near gale trades over
the central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
pulse to gale-force just north of Colombia tonight before
diminishing to just below gale-force Wed. These winds will again
pulse back up gale-force at night over these same waters through
the rest of period, except on Thu and Sun. Gale-force winds are
also expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 14N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 05N to 12N and between 20W and 35W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 08N to 13N and between 47W and 55W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near
the trough axis.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave along 83W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 5-10 kt. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen near the trough axis and nearby Nicaragua and Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N27W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N29W to 08N49W, then continues from 08N51W to
08N59W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
evident from 05N to 09N and east of 18W. Similar convection is
found from 06N to 10N and between 35W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level low over the NW Gulf is enhancing showers and
isolated thunderstorms over much of the basin south of 26N, with
the strongest convection occurring in the Bay of Campeche. A 1020
mb high pressure over the eastern Gulf results in moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas in the Bay of Campeche.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure extending westward
across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
Fri through Sat night. The related pressure gradient will
generally maintain gentle to moderate east to southeast winds
across the Gulf south of about 26N, and light to gentle southeast
to south winds north of about 26N, except for fresh to strong
northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night
due to the diurnal trough that moves westward from the Yucatan
peninsula. A mid to upper-level low acting on a very unstable
and moisture-laden atmosphere will continue to result in scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over mostly the SW Gulf,
with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across
the basin south of about 28N.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
a Gale Warning.
Divergence aloft is supporting a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and the western Greater
Antilles. A strong subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic
continues to dominate the Caribbean. Outside of the Gale Warning
area, strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough
seas are found across the central Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong
NE-E winds and seas of 5-8 ft are occurring in the Gulf of
Honduras and the Windward Passage. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are present in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
High north of the area along with lower pressure over N South
America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the central
Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should reach gales
just north of Colombia tonight before slightly diminishing
tomorrow. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of Honduras will
pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and evenings through the
weekend. A vigorous tropical wave should reach the Lesser
Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the E
Caribbean on Thu and Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge extends across the tropical
Atlantic along 27N, anchored by a 1027 mb high pressure system
near 27N43W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower
pressures in the deep tropics results in strong easterly trade
winds and rough seas south of 23N and between 70W and 75W. Fresh
to locally strong easterly breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are found
south of 24N and east of 45W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and
seas of 4-7 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to
a line from 30N20W to 24N45W and east of 45W. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and seas of 3-6 ft prevail. A weak front north of
our area and divergence aloft sustain scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms north of 27N and between 40W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The associated gradient will continue to support moderate to fresh
trades south of 23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N,
except north of 29N where moderate to fresh south to southwest
winds will exist. Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas
are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including approaches to
the Windward Passage through the weekend.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 06:07:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 080607
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will continue to result in fresh to near gale trades over
the central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
pulse to gale-force just north of Colombia tonight before
diminishing to just below gale-force Wed. These winds will again
pulse back up gale-force at night over these same waters through
the rest of period, except on Thu and Sun. Gale-force winds are
also expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 14N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 05N to 12N and between 20W and 35W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 08N to 13N and between 47W and 55W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near
the trough axis.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave along 83W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 5-10 kt. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen near the trough axis and nearby Nicaragua and Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N27W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N29W to 08N49W, then continues from 08N51W to
08N59W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
evident from 05N to 09N and east of 18W. Similar convection is
found from 06N to 10N and between 35W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level low over the NW Gulf is enhancing showers and
isolated thunderstorms over much of the basin south of 26N, with
the strongest convection occurring in the Bay of Campeche. A 1020
mb high pressure over the eastern Gulf results in moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas in the Bay of Campeche.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure extending westward
across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
Fri through Sat night. The related pressure gradient will
generally maintain gentle to moderate east to southeast winds
across the Gulf south of about 26N, and light to gentle southeast
to south winds north of about 26N, except for fresh to strong
northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night
due to the diurnal trough that moves westward from the Yucatan
peninsula. A mid to upper-level low acting on a very unstable
and moisture-laden atmosphere will continue to result in scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over mostly the SW Gulf,
with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across
the basin south of about 28N.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
a Gale Warning.
Divergence aloft is supporting a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the western Caribbean and the western Greater
Antilles. A strong subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic
continues to dominate the Caribbean. Outside of the Gale Warning
area, strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough
seas are found across the central Caribbean Sea. Fresh to strong
NE-E winds and seas of 5-8 ft are occurring in the Gulf of
Honduras and the Windward Passage. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are present in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
High north of the area along with lower pressure over N South
America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the central
Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should reach gales
just north of Colombia tonight before slightly diminishing
tomorrow. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of Honduras will
pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and evenings through the
weekend. A vigorous tropical wave should reach the Lesser
Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the E
Caribbean on Thu and Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge extends across the tropical
Atlantic along 27N, anchored by a 1027 mb high pressure system
near 27N43W. The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower
pressures in the deep tropics results in strong easterly trade
winds and rough seas south of 23N and between 70W and 75W. Fresh
to locally strong easterly breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are found
south of 24N and east of 45W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and
seas of 4-7 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ to
a line from 30N20W to 24N45W and east of 45W. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and seas of 3-6 ft prevail. A weak front north of
our area and divergence aloft sustain scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms north of 27N and between 40W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The associated gradient will continue to support moderate to fresh
trades south of 23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N,
except north of 29N where moderate to fresh south to southwest
winds will exist. Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas
are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including approaches to
the Windward Passage through the weekend.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 17:04:23 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 08 Jul 2026 06:40:05 GMT - Wed, 08 Jul 2026 05:04:23 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 080504
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 12:51:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
976
NOUS42 KNHC 071251
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 07 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-037
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf