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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 25 May 2026 22:30:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
441
AXNT20 KNHC 252230
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon May 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An central Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W from 11N southward,
and moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. No significant convection is
evident at this time.
An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 68W from 15N southward
across western Venezuela, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from
14N to 16N between 63W and 70W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then curves
southwestward to 06N25W. An ITCZ continues from 06N25W to 04N35W,
then resumes from 02N41W to 02N49W. No significant convection is
evident at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A sharp mid/upper trough reaches from northeast Texas across the
western Gulf to the Yucatan Peninsula. Abundant moisture and
divergence aloft ahead of the trough is supporting numerous
moderate to strong thunderstorms in the southerly flow across the
central Gulf. Frequent lightning, gusty winds, and locally rough
seas are likely near these thunderstorms. Weak ridging extends
from north- central Atlantic to Florida, supporting fresh SE winds
across the Florida Straits, and moderate SE winds over the
eastern Gulf where seas are 3-5 ft. A weak pressure gradient
elsewhere across the central and western Gulf is supporting light
to gentle breezes with 1-3 ft seas.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will continue to sustain
gentle to moderate E to SE winds through Thu. The exception will
evening pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan. An upper-
level trough across the western Gulf should continue to couple
with abundant tropical moisture to produce thunderstorms over the
central and northeastern Gulf through at least Wed. These
thunderstorms are capable of producing gusty winds, frequent
lightning, limited visibility, and locally rough seas. Mariners
are urged to keep up to date with the latest forecast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the far
northwest Caribbean and the Yucatan Channel due to divergent flow
aloft ahead of a sharp mid/upper trough northwest of this area.
Elsewhere, other than the aforementioned thunderstorms south of
the Mona Passage near the tropical wave, no significant convection
is active at this time across the basin. Strong ridging over the
Atlantic along with lower pressure far south over Colombia is
altogether supporting fresh to strong trade winds across the
central Caribbean, with near-gale force winds possible off the
coast of central Colombia. Moderate E to SE winds are noted
elsewhere. Seas are 7-10 ft in the central Caribbean, and 4-7 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between high
pressure in the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will
continue to support fresh to strong trades over the south-central
Caribbean with rough seas through Thu night. These winds are
expected to pulse to near- gale force off Barranquilla, Colombia,
during night-time and morning hours into Thu. Trades in the Gulf
of Honduras will reach fresh to strong each evening through the
same period. Fresh to strong trades and rough seas will expand
northward into the north- central basin this evening, then
gradually subside Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front curves southwestward from west of the Azores across
31N38W to 26N55W, then turn northwestward to 30N63W. Fresh to
strong NE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas are present near and behind the
aforementioned cold front. Farther south, fresh to strong SE winds
and 7-9 ft seas are active from 15N to 27N and west of 55W into
the southern and central Bahamas. Moderate to fresh trade winds
and 5-7 ft are noted elsewhere south of 18N. Gentle breezes and
4-6 ft are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N through
Wed, including the Great Bahama Bank, as Atlantic high pressure
shifts southeastward, tightening the pressure gradient. As the
high weakens Wed night, winds and seas will diminish. A cold front
from 25N55W to 25N60W will slide SE tonight and out of the region
by Tue. Fresh NE winds and rough seas N of it will diminish Tue.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 25 May 2026 22:30:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
441
AXNT20 KNHC 252230
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon May 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An central Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W from 11N southward,
and moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. No significant convection is
evident at this time.
An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 68W from 15N southward
across western Venezuela, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from
14N to 16N between 63W and 70W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then curves
southwestward to 06N25W. An ITCZ continues from 06N25W to 04N35W,
then resumes from 02N41W to 02N49W. No significant convection is
evident at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A sharp mid/upper trough reaches from northeast Texas across the
western Gulf to the Yucatan Peninsula. Abundant moisture and
divergence aloft ahead of the trough is supporting numerous
moderate to strong thunderstorms in the southerly flow across the
central Gulf. Frequent lightning, gusty winds, and locally rough
seas are likely near these thunderstorms. Weak ridging extends
from north- central Atlantic to Florida, supporting fresh SE winds
across the Florida Straits, and moderate SE winds over the
eastern Gulf where seas are 3-5 ft. A weak pressure gradient
elsewhere across the central and western Gulf is supporting light
to gentle breezes with 1-3 ft seas.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will continue to sustain
gentle to moderate E to SE winds through Thu. The exception will
evening pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan. An upper-
level trough across the western Gulf should continue to couple
with abundant tropical moisture to produce thunderstorms over the
central and northeastern Gulf through at least Wed. These
thunderstorms are capable of producing gusty winds, frequent
lightning, limited visibility, and locally rough seas. Mariners
are urged to keep up to date with the latest forecast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the far
northwest Caribbean and the Yucatan Channel due to divergent flow
aloft ahead of a sharp mid/upper trough northwest of this area.
Elsewhere, other than the aforementioned thunderstorms south of
the Mona Passage near the tropical wave, no significant convection
is active at this time across the basin. Strong ridging over the
Atlantic along with lower pressure far south over Colombia is
altogether supporting fresh to strong trade winds across the
central Caribbean, with near-gale force winds possible off the
coast of central Colombia. Moderate E to SE winds are noted
elsewhere. Seas are 7-10 ft in the central Caribbean, and 4-7 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between high
pressure in the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will
continue to support fresh to strong trades over the south-central
Caribbean with rough seas through Thu night. These winds are
expected to pulse to near- gale force off Barranquilla, Colombia,
during night-time and morning hours into Thu. Trades in the Gulf
of Honduras will reach fresh to strong each evening through the
same period. Fresh to strong trades and rough seas will expand
northward into the north- central basin this evening, then
gradually subside Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front curves southwestward from west of the Azores across
31N38W to 26N55W, then turn northwestward to 30N63W. Fresh to
strong NE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas are present near and behind the
aforementioned cold front. Farther south, fresh to strong SE winds
and 7-9 ft seas are active from 15N to 27N and west of 55W into
the southern and central Bahamas. Moderate to fresh trade winds
and 5-7 ft are noted elsewhere south of 18N. Gentle breezes and
4-6 ft are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N through
Wed, including the Great Bahama Bank, as Atlantic high pressure
shifts southeastward, tightening the pressure gradient. As the
high weakens Wed night, winds and seas will diminish. A cold front
from 25N55W to 25N60W will slide SE tonight and out of the region
by Tue. Fresh NE winds and rough seas N of it will diminish Tue.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 27 May 2026 11:18:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 26 May 2026 03:22:13 GMT - Mon, 25 May 2026 23:18:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 252318
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon May 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin/Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf