SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 09 Dec 2025 16:42:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091642
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Dec 9 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1641 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 08N13W, and
continues southwestward to 05.5N17.5W, where it transitions to
the ITCZ to 01N32W to near 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection
is seen from 03S to 02N between 28.5W and 36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the Straits of Florida
southwestward to the Yucatan Peninsula and to extreme southern
Mexico. Elsewhere, high pressure is building across the area
behind the front. Fresh to locally strong winds prevail over the Bay
of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf with seas of 8 to 10 ft.
For the rest of the Gulf, gentle to moderate N to NE winds prevail
with light to moderate seas.
For the forecast, fresh NE winds and rough seas will continue in
the Bay of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf through this
evening, in the wake of a front that has stalled over the
northwestern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh W to
NW winds and moderate seas will develop in the northeastern basin
Wed afternoon ahead of a cold front moving through the southern
United States. The front is slated to enter the northern Gulf by
Thu morning, with winds turning to the N and weakening in the wake
of the front. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
are expected over the remainder of the Gulf into this weekend as
weak high pressure prevails over the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A stationary front is analyzed from near western Cuba to the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is found along
the stationary front. The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressures in northern
South America and in the south-central and southwestern Caribbean
generally allows for moderate to fresh trade winds and seas of 5
to 7 ft to exist east of about 79W. Light to gentle winds, along
with seas of 2 to 5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E winds and moderate
seas will prevail over the central and eastern Caribbean today.
Widespread fresh trades and rough seas are expected to develop
over this region on Wed as a tightening pressure gradient develops
between the Colombian low, a stalling front in the northwest
basin and building high pressure in the central Atlantic. Winds
will pulse to strong speeds offshore of northern Colombia and in
the Gulf of Venezuela nightly through this weekend, and winds may
reach near-gale force at times. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
trades will prevail over the Atlantic waters and through the
passages into this weekend. Locally rough seas in E swell in this
region will subside through today, with a new E swell supporting
rough seas Wed through this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front is dissipating. This front extends
southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of the area near 34.5N58W
to 31N59W to 27N69W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
depicted along the dissipating front. A stronger cold front
extends from near 31N63W to 26N74W, where it becomes stationary to
the central Bahamas and to the Straits of Florida. Fresh to
strong southwest winds are ahead of both fronts, while similar
wind speeds from the northwest are behind the stronger front.
These winds are occurring roughly north of about 27N between 31W
and 70W. In addition, an area of near-gale force SW winds is found
north of 30N between 53W and 61W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft with these
winds. Otherwise, a 1021 mb high center near 25N41W is dominating
the Atlantic north of 23N between 35W and the Greater Antilles,
with gentle to moderate clockwise winds and seas of 8 to 12 ft in
moderate to large northerly swells. For the tropical Atlantic from
07N to 23N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh
trade winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft seas are present. Gentle to
moderate southerly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft seas are present
over the remainder of the Atlantic.
For the forecast, a cold front extending from south of Bermuda
through the central Bahamas will progress eastward through the
central Atlantic this week. Strong to locally near-gale force SW
winds and rough seas will occur north of 27N and east of 65W ahead
of the cold front through late tonight, with widespread fresh to
strong W to NW winds expected in the wake of the front north of
29N and east of 70W. Winds will subside from west to east tonight
into early Wed. NW swell associated with this front will expand
southeastward over the northwestern tropical Atlantic through Wed,
supporting rough seas north of 26N by late tonight, and north of
25N by Wed afternoon. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
north of 30N and east of 70W today into Wed afternoon. Seas will
slowly subside from west to east through late week. Looking ahead,
fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas may develop offshore
northern Florida by Wed evening, ahead of a cold front moving over
the southern United States. The cold front is slated to push
offshore early Thu, with fresh NW winds and rough seas expected in
the wake of the front.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 09 Dec 2025 16:42:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091642
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Dec 9 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1641 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 08N13W, and
continues southwestward to 05.5N17.5W, where it transitions to
the ITCZ to 01N32W to near 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection
is seen from 03S to 02N between 28.5W and 36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the Straits of Florida
southwestward to the Yucatan Peninsula and to extreme southern
Mexico. Elsewhere, high pressure is building across the area
behind the front. Fresh to locally strong winds prevail over the Bay
of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf with seas of 8 to 10 ft.
For the rest of the Gulf, gentle to moderate N to NE winds prevail
with light to moderate seas.
For the forecast, fresh NE winds and rough seas will continue in
the Bay of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf through this
evening, in the wake of a front that has stalled over the
northwestern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh W to
NW winds and moderate seas will develop in the northeastern basin
Wed afternoon ahead of a cold front moving through the southern
United States. The front is slated to enter the northern Gulf by
Thu morning, with winds turning to the N and weakening in the wake
of the front. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
are expected over the remainder of the Gulf into this weekend as
weak high pressure prevails over the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A stationary front is analyzed from near western Cuba to the
Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is found along
the stationary front. The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressures in northern
South America and in the south-central and southwestern Caribbean
generally allows for moderate to fresh trade winds and seas of 5
to 7 ft to exist east of about 79W. Light to gentle winds, along
with seas of 2 to 5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E winds and moderate
seas will prevail over the central and eastern Caribbean today.
Widespread fresh trades and rough seas are expected to develop
over this region on Wed as a tightening pressure gradient develops
between the Colombian low, a stalling front in the northwest
basin and building high pressure in the central Atlantic. Winds
will pulse to strong speeds offshore of northern Colombia and in
the Gulf of Venezuela nightly through this weekend, and winds may
reach near-gale force at times. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
trades will prevail over the Atlantic waters and through the
passages into this weekend. Locally rough seas in E swell in this
region will subside through today, with a new E swell supporting
rough seas Wed through this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front is dissipating. This front extends
southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of the area near 34.5N58W
to 31N59W to 27N69W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
depicted along the dissipating front. A stronger cold front
extends from near 31N63W to 26N74W, where it becomes stationary to
the central Bahamas and to the Straits of Florida. Fresh to
strong southwest winds are ahead of both fronts, while similar
wind speeds from the northwest are behind the stronger front.
These winds are occurring roughly north of about 27N between 31W
and 70W. In addition, an area of near-gale force SW winds is found
north of 30N between 53W and 61W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft with these
winds. Otherwise, a 1021 mb high center near 25N41W is dominating
the Atlantic north of 23N between 35W and the Greater Antilles,
with gentle to moderate clockwise winds and seas of 8 to 12 ft in
moderate to large northerly swells. For the tropical Atlantic from
07N to 23N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh
trade winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft seas are present. Gentle to
moderate southerly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft seas are present
over the remainder of the Atlantic.
For the forecast, a cold front extending from south of Bermuda
through the central Bahamas will progress eastward through the
central Atlantic this week. Strong to locally near-gale force SW
winds and rough seas will occur north of 27N and east of 65W ahead
of the cold front through late tonight, with widespread fresh to
strong W to NW winds expected in the wake of the front north of
29N and east of 70W. Winds will subside from west to east tonight
into early Wed. NW swell associated with this front will expand
southeastward over the northwestern tropical Atlantic through Wed,
supporting rough seas north of 26N by late tonight, and north of
25N by Wed afternoon. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
north of 30N and east of 70W today into Wed afternoon. Seas will
slowly subside from west to east through late week. Looking ahead,
fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas may develop offshore
northern Florida by Wed evening, ahead of a cold front moving over
the southern United States. The cold front is slated to push
offshore early Thu, with fresh NW winds and rough seas expected in
the wake of the front.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 09 Dec 2025 17:20:18 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 08 Dec 2025 17:21:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081721
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1225 PM EST MON 08 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-008
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72
A. 10/0000Z
B. AFXXX 03WSE IOP02
C. 09/1830Z
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
35.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 125.0W, AND 35.0N 125.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 09/2030Z TO 10/0230Z
2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
FOR THE 10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf