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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 04:46:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 030446
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are present from 06N to 12N and between 30W and
    37W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active over northeastern Venezuela and the Lesser Antilles.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 84W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are active S of 15N and W of 75W, including over Panama, Costa
    Rica, and Nicaragua.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pressure near 16N30W and then to 09N46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is active off the coast of Africa, generally from 04N
    to 11N and E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is analyzed along much of the northern Gulf
    coast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across much
    of the Gulf N of 24N. The Atlantic ridge extends east to west
    along roughly 23/24N, from the Florida Straits to the coast of
    Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh SW to W winds north of 25N where seas are 3-5
    ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds through the week. The exceptions will be fresh
    NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period, as well as the far northern Gulf,
    where a cold front approaching the coast will help to induce
    moderate to fresh W to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and
    over the central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 92W early this
    week as a mid to upper-level trough and a cold front approach the
    Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The westward-building subtropical high pressure system positioned
    over the central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds and rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate
    to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the
    eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are impacting the NW Caribbean waters as well as
    near the Windward Passage as they propagate southwestward off of
    Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through much of the week. Fresh to locally strong winds will
    pulse in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A
    tropical wave, near 82W is helping to enhance thunderstorms over
    the southwestern Caribbean. The wave will move inland Central
    America late tonight into early Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered moderate convection from Cuba across
    the Bahamas to Bermuda. Elsewhere, the tropical Atlantic is
    dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near 33N56W,
    supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and seas of 4-6
    ft north of 28N and west of 75W, as well as along the northern
    coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Another area of fresh to
    strong NE winds is confirmed by scatterometer data in between the
    Canary Islands. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh winds and
    moderate seas prevail across much of the remaining tropical
    Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little
    through Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on
    Thu. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a cold front
    moving through the southeastern U.S. will continue to support
    fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered
    thunderstorms over the majority of the area. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the
    period.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 04:46:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 030446
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 32W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are present from 06N to 12N and between 30W and
    37W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active over northeastern Venezuela and the Lesser Antilles.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 84W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are active S of 15N and W of 75W, including over Panama, Costa
    Rica, and Nicaragua.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pressure near 16N30W and then to 09N46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is active off the coast of Africa, generally from 04N
    to 11N and E of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is analyzed along much of the northern Gulf
    coast. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across much
    of the Gulf N of 24N. The Atlantic ridge extends east to west
    along roughly 23/24N, from the Florida Straits to the coast of
    Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh SW to W winds north of 25N where seas are 3-5
    ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds through the week. The exceptions will be fresh
    NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period, as well as the far northern Gulf,
    where a cold front approaching the coast will help to induce
    moderate to fresh W to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and
    over the central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 92W early this
    week as a mid to upper-level trough and a cold front approach the
    Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The westward-building subtropical high pressure system positioned
    over the central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds and rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate
    to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the
    eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are impacting the NW Caribbean waters as well as
    near the Windward Passage as they propagate southwestward off of
    Cuba.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
    basin through much of the week. Fresh to locally strong winds will
    pulse in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A
    tropical wave, near 82W is helping to enhance thunderstorms over
    the southwestern Caribbean. The wave will move inland Central
    America late tonight into early Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered moderate convection from Cuba across
    the Bahamas to Bermuda. Elsewhere, the tropical Atlantic is
    dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near 33N56W,
    supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and seas of 4-6
    ft north of 28N and west of 75W, as well as along the northern
    coasts of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola. Another area of fresh to
    strong NE winds is confirmed by scatterometer data in between the
    Canary Islands. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh winds and
    moderate seas prevail across much of the remaining tropical
    Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little
    through Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on
    Thu. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a cold front
    moving through the southeastern U.S. will continue to support
    fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered
    thunderstorms over the majority of the area. Fresh to strong
    trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the
    period.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 04 Aug 2026 17:06:37 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 03 Aug 2026 06:20:11 GMT
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 05:06:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 030506
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Mon Aug 3 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 13:13:21 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    590
    NOUS42 KNHC 021313
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0915 AM EDT SUN 02 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-063

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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