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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 19 May 2026 22:20:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
016
AXNT20 KNHC 192219
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 60W, approaching the
Windward Islands S of 16N, and is moving W near 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted mainly behind the wave, S of 09N
between 50W and 58W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W, then runs southwestward to 05.5N20W. The ITCZ
extends from 05.5N20W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
Scattered moderate convection is seen from 00N to 06N between 10W
and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends westward
into the northern Gulf states, to eastern Texas. The resultant
pressure gradient across the basin is forcing moderate to fresh
E to E-SE winds and moderate seas across all but the Florida
coastal waters, but also includes the Florida Straits. Peak seas
are to 7 ft across the offshore waters of south Texas and NE
Mexico. Generally fair weather conditions dominate the basin,
although some weakening thunderstorms are have shifted westward
off of southwest and central Florida and into the local coastal
waters.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across the
Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf, pulsing to
strong each evening through Wed night offshore of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Beginning on Thu, the pressure gradient will relax and
tranquil marine conditions should prevail through the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the far SW
Caribbean, as the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon
trough reaches across the basin along 10N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are also ongoing across the Windward Passage as
well as the southern coasts and adjacent waters of Cuba.
The pressure gradient between a 1030 mb high near Bermuda and the
Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades across the central
to SW Caribbean, where seas are 8-12 ft, as indicated by recent
satellite altimeter data. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras.
The remainder of the NW Caribbean is seeing gentle to moderate
trades and 3-5 ft seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong trades over the S central Caribbean for the next several
days. Fresh to strong trades will also occur over the Gulf of
Honduras today and tonight before weakening tomorrow. Large E to SE
swell will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters tonight before
subsiding tomorrow. Looking ahead, fresh to strong trades over
the Gulf of Honduras are likely to return again starting on Sat
night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered moderate convection NE of the Bahamas to 69W and across
the southern Bahamas are associated with a weak surface trough
and upper level low centered near 28.5N74W. To the east, a cold
front enters the discussion waters near 31N39W and extends to
29N63W. Recent satellite scatterometer data indicates moderate N
to NE winds north the front, and moderate to fresh SW winds south
of the front to 29N. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge dominates,
resulting in fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas
prevailing across much of the Atlantic S of 23N, where seas are 7
to 10 ft, as verified by recent satellite altimeter data. Areas N
of 23N and away from any aforementioned features are seeing gentle
to moderate trades and seas of 4-7 ft prevail. Moderate to fresh
NE trades and moderate seas prevail across most of the area
between 20W and 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low will continue to
produce scattered showers and thunderstorms along a surface
trough to the east of the Bahamas through Thu. SE winds will pulse
fresh to strong north of Hispaniola during the afternoon and
evening hours for the next several days. Elsewhere, surface
ridging north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
quiescent through the weekend.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 19 May 2026 22:20:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
016
AXNT20 KNHC 192219
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 60W, approaching the
Windward Islands S of 16N, and is moving W near 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted mainly behind the wave, S of 09N
between 50W and 58W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W, then runs southwestward to 05.5N20W. The ITCZ
extends from 05.5N20W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
Scattered moderate convection is seen from 00N to 06N between 10W
and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends westward
into the northern Gulf states, to eastern Texas. The resultant
pressure gradient across the basin is forcing moderate to fresh
E to E-SE winds and moderate seas across all but the Florida
coastal waters, but also includes the Florida Straits. Peak seas
are to 7 ft across the offshore waters of south Texas and NE
Mexico. Generally fair weather conditions dominate the basin,
although some weakening thunderstorms are have shifted westward
off of southwest and central Florida and into the local coastal
waters.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across the
Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf, pulsing to
strong each evening through Wed night offshore of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Beginning on Thu, the pressure gradient will relax and
tranquil marine conditions should prevail through the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the far SW
Caribbean, as the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon
trough reaches across the basin along 10N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are also ongoing across the Windward Passage as
well as the southern coasts and adjacent waters of Cuba.
The pressure gradient between a 1030 mb high near Bermuda and the
Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades across the central
to SW Caribbean, where seas are 8-12 ft, as indicated by recent
satellite altimeter data. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras.
The remainder of the NW Caribbean is seeing gentle to moderate
trades and 3-5 ft seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong trades over the S central Caribbean for the next several
days. Fresh to strong trades will also occur over the Gulf of
Honduras today and tonight before weakening tomorrow. Large E to SE
swell will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters tonight before
subsiding tomorrow. Looking ahead, fresh to strong trades over
the Gulf of Honduras are likely to return again starting on Sat
night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered moderate convection NE of the Bahamas to 69W and across
the southern Bahamas are associated with a weak surface trough
and upper level low centered near 28.5N74W. To the east, a cold
front enters the discussion waters near 31N39W and extends to
29N63W. Recent satellite scatterometer data indicates moderate N
to NE winds north the front, and moderate to fresh SW winds south
of the front to 29N. Otherwise, the subtropical ridge dominates,
resulting in fresh to locally strong trades and moderate seas
prevailing across much of the Atlantic S of 23N, where seas are 7
to 10 ft, as verified by recent satellite altimeter data. Areas N
of 23N and away from any aforementioned features are seeing gentle
to moderate trades and seas of 4-7 ft prevail. Moderate to fresh
NE trades and moderate seas prevail across most of the area
between 20W and 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low will continue to
produce scattered showers and thunderstorms along a surface
trough to the east of the Bahamas through Thu. SE winds will pulse
fresh to strong north of Hispaniola during the afternoon and
evening hours for the next several days. Elsewhere, surface
ridging north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
quiescent through the weekend.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 21 May 2026 05:29:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 19 May 2026 22:20:10 GMT - Tue, 19 May 2026 17:29:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
891
ABNT20 KNHC 191729
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue May 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf