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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 06:08:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140608
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Oct 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0550 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 35W, from 10N to 22N, moving westward
near 10 kt. A tight gradient between the wave and high pressure to
its north is producing fresh to strong easterly winds from 21N to
26N between 28W and 36W. Seas with these winds are 8 to 11 ft
(2.5 to 3.5 m). Satellite imagery shows scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection from 18N to 26N between 27W and 32W.
A tropical wave is near 48W, from 10N to 20N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 15N to 21N
between 41W and 49W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to
19N34W to 12N48W. The ITCZ extends from 11N52W to 09N60W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 04N to 11N between 25W and 36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is centered over southern Alabama and extends a
broad ridge south-southwestward across the basin. Recent
scatterometer data show gentle to moderate northeast to east
winds across the eastern half of the Gulf S of 28N, and east to
southeast winds of the same speed W of 90W. Seas basin-wide are
in the range of 1 to 5 ft. Fair skies prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure over the north-central Gulf will
support E to SE winds and moderate seas from the Florida Straits
to the Texas coast, and gentle breezes and slight seas elsewhere.
A cold front is expected to enter the northwest Gulf Fri night,
and reach from southwest Florida to the far southwest Gulf by Sat
night. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow
the front, with gales possible off the coast of Mexico between
Tampico and Coatzacoalcos late Fri night into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A middle-level low is supporting widely scattered showers in the
lee side of Cuba adjacent waters, and in the Gulf of Honduras
while an upper-level low over the eastern half of the Caribbean is
supporting scattered heavy showers and isolated tstms over
Hispaniola and its adjacent waters, including the Windward Passage
and the Mona Passage. A recent scatterometer pass show fresh to
strong ESE winds S of Haiti and in the Windward Passage.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker, with seas fluctuating
between 3 to 5 ft.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
active across the central Caribbean through tonight, associated
with an upper-level low. Fresh E to SE winds will persist north of
13N south and southwest of Jamaica through mid week, north of
broad low pressure over the southwest Caribbean. Trade winds will
increase along with building seas over the south-central Caribbean
as high pressure builds over the western Atlantic.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Surface ridging anchored by a 1019 mb in North Carolina, and a
1018 mb high in southern Alabama is starting to build over the SW
N Atlantic waters just N of the Bahamas and west of a couple of
surface troughs that linger between 53W and 68W. The remainder
subtropical central and eastern Atlantic is under the influence of
the Azores High, which is supporting moderate to fresh NE winds
and moderate seas to 6 ft between the coast of NW Africa and 26W,
including the Canary Islands. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate to slight seas dominate elsewhere N of 20N and W of 26W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move southward
into the waters east of 75W into Wed, then stall and dissipate
along 29N through Thu. A stronger cold front will move into the
waters off northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat
morning, and reach from Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat.
Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow the
front.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 06:08:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140608
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Oct 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0550 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 35W, from 10N to 22N, moving westward
near 10 kt. A tight gradient between the wave and high pressure to
its north is producing fresh to strong easterly winds from 21N to
26N between 28W and 36W. Seas with these winds are 8 to 11 ft
(2.5 to 3.5 m). Satellite imagery shows scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection from 18N to 26N between 27W and 32W.
A tropical wave is near 48W, from 10N to 20N, moving westward at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 15N to 21N
between 41W and 49W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to
19N34W to 12N48W. The ITCZ extends from 11N52W to 09N60W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 04N to 11N between 25W and 36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is centered over southern Alabama and extends a
broad ridge south-southwestward across the basin. Recent
scatterometer data show gentle to moderate northeast to east
winds across the eastern half of the Gulf S of 28N, and east to
southeast winds of the same speed W of 90W. Seas basin-wide are
in the range of 1 to 5 ft. Fair skies prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure over the north-central Gulf will
support E to SE winds and moderate seas from the Florida Straits
to the Texas coast, and gentle breezes and slight seas elsewhere.
A cold front is expected to enter the northwest Gulf Fri night,
and reach from southwest Florida to the far southwest Gulf by Sat
night. Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow
the front, with gales possible off the coast of Mexico between
Tampico and Coatzacoalcos late Fri night into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A middle-level low is supporting widely scattered showers in the
lee side of Cuba adjacent waters, and in the Gulf of Honduras
while an upper-level low over the eastern half of the Caribbean is
supporting scattered heavy showers and isolated tstms over
Hispaniola and its adjacent waters, including the Windward Passage
and the Mona Passage. A recent scatterometer pass show fresh to
strong ESE winds S of Haiti and in the Windward Passage.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker, with seas fluctuating
between 3 to 5 ft.
For the forecast, scattered showers and thunderstorms will be
active across the central Caribbean through tonight, associated
with an upper-level low. Fresh E to SE winds will persist north of
13N south and southwest of Jamaica through mid week, north of
broad low pressure over the southwest Caribbean. Trade winds will
increase along with building seas over the south-central Caribbean
as high pressure builds over the western Atlantic.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Surface ridging anchored by a 1019 mb in North Carolina, and a
1018 mb high in southern Alabama is starting to build over the SW
N Atlantic waters just N of the Bahamas and west of a couple of
surface troughs that linger between 53W and 68W. The remainder
subtropical central and eastern Atlantic is under the influence of
the Azores High, which is supporting moderate to fresh NE winds
and moderate seas to 6 ft between the coast of NW Africa and 26W,
including the Canary Islands. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate to slight seas dominate elsewhere N of 20N and W of 26W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move southward
into the waters east of 75W into Wed, then stall and dissipate
along 29N through Thu. A stronger cold front will move into the
waters off northeast Florida by late Fri night into early Sat
morning, and reach from Bermuda to South Florida by late Sat.
Strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas will follow the
front.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 17:17:19 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 14 Oct 2026 06:10:12 GMT - Wed, 14 Oct 2026 05:17:19 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 140517
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Oct 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 13 Oct 2026 15:06:08 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131506
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1105 AM EDT TUE 13 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-135
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE SIMON
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
A. 14/2000Z
B. AFXXX 0320E SIMON
C. 14/1545Z
D. 20.2N 107.9W
E. 14/1930Z TO 14/2300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION ON HURRICANE SIMON FOR 15/2000Z NEAR
20.8N 107.8W.
B. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION ON TD 21E FOR 15/1730Z NEAR
13.5N 101.8W.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf