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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 08:30:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 060830
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 22W, south of 20N, moving W
    at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to
    12N between 22W and 25W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 37N, south of 20N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave
    axis and S of 15N.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 68W, south of 20N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are near the northern end
    of the wave axis mainly between 65W and 70W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 79W, and extends from central
    Cuba southward into the far eastern Pacific. No significant
    convection is noted in the Caribbean waters with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, then
    westward to near 07N43W. The ITCZ continues from 07N43W to near
    08N58W. Convection is limited across the area, aside from the
    areas noted in the tropical waves section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails across the Gulf region, anchored by a 1014
    mb high pressure centered near 26N87W. Light to gentle winds are
    in the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to moderate winds are
    over the SW Gulf. Mainly gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight
    seas dominate the forecast waters.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
    gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
    next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
    western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
    trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
    and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
    Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
    trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. The
    pressure gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader
    area of strong, locally near-gale force, winds and rough seas,
    early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas will prevail through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A pair of surface troughs are over the far western Atlantic
    waters. One off the coast of Florida, and the other surface
    trough extends from 26N71W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. These
    feature are producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
    of high pressure, anchored by a 1017 mb high centered near 25N54W.
    Light to gentle winds prevail near the high center, as well as
    along the ridge extending from the high along 26N. A stronger area
    of high pressure, 1025 mb, is centered north of the area near
    35N22W. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure,
    and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds N of
    the monsoon trough and east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate winds
    prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
    prevail across the area into the middle of next week, producing a
    weak pressure gradient. The weak pressure gradient will support
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front will
    approach the northern waters then stall along 31N for the first
    part of next week.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 08:30:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 060830
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 22W, south of 20N, moving W
    at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to
    12N between 22W and 25W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 37N, south of 20N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave
    axis and S of 15N.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 68W, south of 20N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are near the northern end
    of the wave axis mainly between 65W and 70W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 79W, and extends from central
    Cuba southward into the far eastern Pacific. No significant
    convection is noted in the Caribbean waters with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W, then
    westward to near 07N43W. The ITCZ continues from 07N43W to near
    08N58W. Convection is limited across the area, aside from the
    areas noted in the tropical waves section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails across the Gulf region, anchored by a 1014
    mb high pressure centered near 26N87W. Light to gentle winds are
    in the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to moderate winds are
    over the SW Gulf. Mainly gentle winds prevail elsewhere. Slight
    seas dominate the forecast waters.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support light to
    gentle winds and slight seas over much of the waters into late
    next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
    western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
    trough moving west off the peninsula each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
    and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
    Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong
    trades along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. The
    pressure gradient will tighten starting Mon, leading to a broader
    area of strong, locally near-gale force, winds and rough seas,
    early next week. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas will prevail through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A pair of surface troughs are over the far western Atlantic
    waters. One off the coast of Florida, and the other surface
    trough extends from 26N71W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. These
    feature are producing scattered showers and thunderstorms. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
    of high pressure, anchored by a 1017 mb high centered near 25N54W.
    Light to gentle winds prevail near the high center, as well as
    along the ridge extending from the high along 26N. A stronger area
    of high pressure, 1025 mb, is centered north of the area near
    35N22W. The pressure gradient between this area of high pressure,
    and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds N of
    the monsoon trough and east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate winds
    prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally
    prevail across the area into the middle of next week, producing a
    weak pressure gradient. The weak pressure gradient will support
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. A weak cold front will
    approach the northern waters then stall along 31N for the first
    part of next week.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 07 Sep 2026 23:26:33 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 06 Sep 2026 13:10:09 GMT
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 11:26:33 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 061126
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 05 Sep 2026 21:03:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    929
    NOUS42 KNHC 052103
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0505 PM EDT SAT 05 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-097 AMENDMENT

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE LOWELL (CHANGED)
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
    A. 06/1730Z,2330Z A. 07/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 0712E LOWELL B. NOAA3 0812E LOWELL
    C. 06/1530Z C. 06/2000Z
    D. 15.1N 164.2W D. 15.7N 164.2W
    E. 06/1700Z TO 06/2330Z E. 06/2130Z TO 07/0130Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 79
    A. 07/0000Z A. 07/0530Z,1130Z
    B. NOAA9 0912E LOWELL B. AFXXX 1012E LOWELL
    C. 06/2100Z C. 07/0330Z
    D. NA D. 16.4N 164.0W
    E. NA E. 07/0500Z TO 07/1130Z
    F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. FIX
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT FIVE - NOAA 43
    A. 07/1200Z
    B. NOAA3 1112E LOWELL
    C. 07/0800Z
    D. 17.3N 163.8W
    E. 07/0930Z TO 07/1330Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
    A. BEGIN 3-HRLY FIXES AT 07/1430Z.
    B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO LOWELL FOR
    FOR 08/0000Z AND 08/1200Z, DEPARTING PHKO AT 07/2000Z AND
    08/0800Z, RESPECTIVELY.

    3. REMARKS:
    A. (CHANGED) THE FOLLOWING REQUIREMENTS TASKED IN TCPOD 26-096
    WILL NOT BE FLOWN:
    (1) TEAL 78 FOR THE 05/1730Z AND 05/2330Z FIXES
    (2) NOAA 43 FOR THE 06/0000Z AND 06/1200Z TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    (3) TEAL 77 FOR THE 06/0530Z FIX
    B. DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 07/1200Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
    WITHIN THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
    ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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