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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 21 Aug 2026 04:40:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 210440
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0437 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 21N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
strong convection is present from 07N to 14N and between 28W and
40W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 09N to 14N and between 40W and 50W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is depicted in
association with this wave.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85.5W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
southwestward to 12N25W and to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from
11N50W to 10N60W. Outside of convection associated with tropical
wave, scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N to 07N
and east of 26W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered moderate convection
across the eastern Gulf. At the surface, 1017 mb high pressure
centered near 25N89W dominates the basin with light to gentle
anticyclonic winds, except for fresh to strong NE winds west of
the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure gradient associated with a
trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.
The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to high
pressure north of the Caribbean will lead to fresh to strong trade
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas will prevail over the north- central and eastern Caribbean
through the weekend and into early next week. A tropical wave will
move across the tropical Atlantic and into the far eastern
Caribbean early next week enhancing the trade wind flow across
those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.
A trough enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N51W and continues
southwestward to 27N66W. A cluster of moderate isolated strong
convection is noted N of 26N between 53W and 58W, while isolated
showers are noted along the trough axis. Isolated moderate
convection is also depicted north of the Bahamas. The rest of the
basin remains under the influence of subtropical ridging,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas, except for a belt of
moderate to fresh trades between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to
7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE wind prevail across the
northeastern waters from the Canary Islands southward to 18N and E
of 22W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 21 Aug 2026 04:40:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 210440
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0437 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 21N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
strong convection is present from 07N to 14N and between 28W and
40W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 09N to 14N and between 40W and 50W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is depicted in
association with this wave.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85.5W, south of 20N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
southwestward to 12N25W and to 11N50W. The ITCZ extends from
11N50W to 10N60W. Outside of convection associated with tropical
wave, scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N to 07N
and east of 26W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered moderate convection
across the eastern Gulf. At the surface, 1017 mb high pressure
centered near 25N89W dominates the basin with light to gentle
anticyclonic winds, except for fresh to strong NE winds west of
the Yucatan Peninsula due the pressure gradient associated with a
trough. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
across the basin.
The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered S of
Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 69W
and 75W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 9 ft in the
south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient associated to high
pressure north of the Caribbean will lead to fresh to strong trade
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas will prevail over the north- central and eastern Caribbean
through the weekend and into early next week. A tropical wave will
move across the tropical Atlantic and into the far eastern
Caribbean early next week enhancing the trade wind flow across
those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
tropics.
A trough enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N51W and continues
southwestward to 27N66W. A cluster of moderate isolated strong
convection is noted N of 26N between 53W and 58W, while isolated
showers are noted along the trough axis. Isolated moderate
convection is also depicted north of the Bahamas. The rest of the
basin remains under the influence of subtropical ridging,
supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas, except for a belt of
moderate to fresh trades between 12N and 22N, where seas are 5 to
7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE wind prevail across the
northeastern waters from the Canary Islands southward to 18N and E
of 22W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
of 23N going into early next week. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period. These trades may pulse to fresh to strong
speeds off northern Hispaniola at night through most of the
forecast period. Meanwhile, the northern portion of tropical wave
is expected to move through the eastern portion of the area early
next week enhancing the trades some.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 22 Aug 2026 17:37:21 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 21 Aug 2026 09:20:11 GMT - Fri, 21 Aug 2026 05:37:21 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
441
ABNT20 KNHC 210537
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northeastern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure is developing along a front over
the northeastern Atlantic a few hundred miles north-northeast of
the Azores. This system could separate from its front and acquire
some subtropical or tropical characteristics on Saturday or early
Sunday while it moves east-southeastward at 10 to 15 mph toward
Portugal and northwestern Spain. For more information, see High Seas
Forecasts issued by Meteo France.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A weak area of low pressure located over the central subtropical
Atlantic a few hundred miles east-southeast of Bermuda is producing
a concentrated area of showers and thunderstorms southeast of its
center. Surface pressures in the area are relatively high, therefore
development of this system, if any, is expected to be slow to occur
while it drifts west-southwestward through Sunday and then turns
northward early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at
https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 16:05:13 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
447
NOUS42 KNHC 201605
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1205 PM EDT THU 20 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-081
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 21/1730Z,2330Z A. 22/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0102C CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0202C CYCLONE
C. 21/1430Z C. 21/2000Z
D. 13.6N 146.8W D. 14.0N 147.5W
E. 21/1700Z TO 21/2330Z E. 21/2200Z TO 22/0230Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 78
A. 22/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0302C CYCLONE
C. 22/0230Z
D. 14.5N 148.4W
E. 22/0500Z TO 22/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.
B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO TD 2-C FOR
23/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 22/2000Z.
3. REMARK: DURING THE NOAA 42 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 22/0000Z
SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN
THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT
1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf