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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 05:06:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
415
AXNT20 KNHC 070506
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0445 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 21W south 20N. Numerous moderate
convection is noted E of 20W.
A second tropical wave is along 40W S of 20N, and moving west at
15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.
For the forecast, surface ridging will dominate across most of
the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE
winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
forecast for this portion of the basin through Tue night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located near Bermuda
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh
trades are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras
and in the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to
Grand Cayman to the coast of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW
basin through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the
region will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure
gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela to near-gale speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
central Bahamas southward toward central Cuba. Farther north,
1025 mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Fresh to strong E
winds prevail over the northern end of the trough from 25N to 29N
between 70W and 77W. A concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed
rough seas to 9 ft in this area as well. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail elsewhere west of 65W.
Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted
across the Canary Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to
moderate easterly flow and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the
remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will continue to
support shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
seaboard and offshores tonight into Fri morning before shifting
west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
Sun night, Mon night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts
southward.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 05:06:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
415
AXNT20 KNHC 070506
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0445 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 21W south 20N. Numerous moderate
convection is noted E of 20W.
A second tropical wave is along 40W S of 20N, and moving west at
15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.
For the forecast, surface ridging will dominate across most of
the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE
winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
forecast for this portion of the basin through Tue night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located near Bermuda
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh
trades are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras
and in the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to
Grand Cayman to the coast of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW
basin through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the
region will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure
gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela to near-gale speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
central Bahamas southward toward central Cuba. Farther north,
1025 mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Fresh to strong E
winds prevail over the northern end of the trough from 25N to 29N
between 70W and 77W. A concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed
rough seas to 9 ft in this area as well. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail elsewhere west of 65W.
Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted
across the Canary Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to
moderate easterly flow and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the
remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will continue to
support shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
seaboard and offshores tonight into Fri morning before shifting
west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
Sun night, Mon night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts
southward.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 17:12:06 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 07 Aug 2026 09:06:12 GMT - Fri, 07 Aug 2026 05:12:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 070512
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 14:15:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
369
NOUS42 KNHC 061415
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT THU 06 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-067
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf