2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 09 Jan 2026 17:09:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    331
    AXNT20 KNHC 091709
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jan 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move off
    the coast of Texas late tonight. Strong to near-gale force N winds
    following the front will rapidly reach gale force near Tampico
    late Sat morning and afternoon, and in Veracruz adjacent waters
    Sat evening through Mon morning. Winds may peak around 45 kt near
    Veracruz. Seas will quickly build and likely peak at around 21 ft
    offshore of Veracruz Sun and Sun night. The front will weaken and
    stall from near western Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern
    Bay of Campeche by Mon evening, and conditions in the SW Gulf
    will gradually improve Mon night into Tue.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at websites -
    https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through Sierra Leone near
    07N12W, then runs westward to 06N17W. The ITCZ continues westward
    from 06N17W to 02N35W to 02.5N51W. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted from 01N to 05N between 15W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A Gale Warning is in effect. Please read the Special Features section
    above for more information.

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region while a cold front is approaching
    the coast of Texas. The pressure gradient between these two features
    is supporting fresh to locally strong SE to S winds over the southern
    part of the Gulf. Gentle to moderate southerly winds are noted elsewhere.
    Seas are 4 to 7 ft in the western part of the basin and 2 to 4 ft in
    the eastern part, except less than 2 ft within about 120 nm of the
    Florida Peninsula.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong SE to S winds across portions
    of the southwest and central Gulf will diminish to moderate to fresh
    speeds today ahead of the next cold front. The front will move off the
    coast of Texas late tonight. Please, see the Special Features section
    for more details.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Recent satellite derived wind data provide observations of fresh
    to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean, with the
    strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt offshore Colombia. Rough seas of up
    to 11 ft are associated with these winds, that are the result of
    the pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area and the
    Colombian low. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds are occurring
    south of Hispaniola while moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds
    are blowing across the Windward Passage, between eastern Cuba and
    Jamaica, and in the lee of Cuba. Seas of 4 to 6 ft are within
    these winds. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere along with
    slight to moderate seas. Patches of low level moisture, with possible
    showers, are reaching Hispaniola and eastern Cuba under a NE to E
    winds flow. Low-topped trade wind showers are moving westward across
    the basin.

    For the forecast, strong to near-gale force NE to E winds will
    pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to the
    gradient between building high pressure N of the region and low
    pressure over northern Colombia, then fresh to locally strong
    there afterwards. Rough seas to 11 ft will occur within these
    winds. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are forecast elsewhere in
    the central and SW Caribbean, including the Windward Passage and
    Hispaniola adjacent waters. Locally strong winds will be likely
    pulsing at night over the Windward Passage and S of Hispaniola
    through Sat night, with similar winds pulsing in the lee of Cuba
    tonight and Sat night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will
    prevail, except for moderate to fresh winds near the Gulf of
    Honduras Fri night. A decaying cold front may move into or near
    the far NW Caribbean early next week where it will stall and wash
    out.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A ridge, anchored on a 1030 mb high pressure located well N of the
    area near 40N67W, dominates the western Atlantic, the State of
    Florida and the Bahamas. A cold front enters the forecast region
    near 31N58W and extends to 28N65W to 31N72W. Moderate to fresh N
    to NE winds are noted per scatterometer data in the wake of the
    front. Moderate to locally fresh winds are occurring elsewhere W
    of 60W with slight to moderate seas. A surface trough is analyzed
    from 27N56W to the northern Leeward Islands. A few showers are
    near the trough axis. An area of showers and thunderstorms has
    developed between the northern end of the trough and a stationary
    front that runs from 31N40W to 28N50W. This convective activity
    covers the waters from 24N to 30N between 49W and 54W. A low
    pressure may develop in this area. Strong winds are observed
    within this convection per satellite derived wind data. Farther
    E, high pressure of 1034 mb located between the Azores and the
    Madeiras Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower
    pressure in the vicinity of the Monsoon trough/ITCZ is generating
    a large area of fresh to strong NE to E winds roughly from 10N to
    25N E of 36W to the coast of west Africa with seas of 8 to 12 ft.
    Moderate to locally fresh trade winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft are
    observed over the remainder of the tropical Atlantic. Moderate
    winds and moderate seas, in NE swell, are seen in the vicinity of
    the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure building in
    the wake of a cold front with tail just into the NE waters will
    support moderate to fresh NE winds across the waters E of the
    Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank and the approaches to the Windward
    Passage through Sun, with locally strong winds near the Windward
    Passage. A new cold front will emerge off the NE Florida coast
    Sun. Fresh to strong NW winds and rough seas will follow this
    front, which is forecast to reach from Bermuda to the northern
    Bahamas by Mon morning, dissipating Mon night into Tue.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 09 Jan 2026 17:09:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    331
    AXNT20 KNHC 091709
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jan 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move off
    the coast of Texas late tonight. Strong to near-gale force N winds
    following the front will rapidly reach gale force near Tampico
    late Sat morning and afternoon, and in Veracruz adjacent waters
    Sat evening through Mon morning. Winds may peak around 45 kt near
    Veracruz. Seas will quickly build and likely peak at around 21 ft
    offshore of Veracruz Sun and Sun night. The front will weaken and
    stall from near western Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern
    Bay of Campeche by Mon evening, and conditions in the SW Gulf
    will gradually improve Mon night into Tue.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at websites -
    https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through Sierra Leone near
    07N12W, then runs westward to 06N17W. The ITCZ continues westward
    from 06N17W to 02N35W to 02.5N51W. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted from 01N to 05N between 15W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A Gale Warning is in effect. Please read the Special Features section
    above for more information.

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region while a cold front is approaching
    the coast of Texas. The pressure gradient between these two features
    is supporting fresh to locally strong SE to S winds over the southern
    part of the Gulf. Gentle to moderate southerly winds are noted elsewhere.
    Seas are 4 to 7 ft in the western part of the basin and 2 to 4 ft in
    the eastern part, except less than 2 ft within about 120 nm of the
    Florida Peninsula.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong SE to S winds across portions
    of the southwest and central Gulf will diminish to moderate to fresh
    speeds today ahead of the next cold front. The front will move off the
    coast of Texas late tonight. Please, see the Special Features section
    for more details.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Recent satellite derived wind data provide observations of fresh
    to strong trade winds over the south-central Caribbean, with the
    strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt offshore Colombia. Rough seas of up
    to 11 ft are associated with these winds, that are the result of
    the pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area and the
    Colombian low. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds are occurring
    south of Hispaniola while moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds
    are blowing across the Windward Passage, between eastern Cuba and
    Jamaica, and in the lee of Cuba. Seas of 4 to 6 ft are within
    these winds. Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere along with
    slight to moderate seas. Patches of low level moisture, with possible
    showers, are reaching Hispaniola and eastern Cuba under a NE to E
    winds flow. Low-topped trade wind showers are moving westward across
    the basin.

    For the forecast, strong to near-gale force NE to E winds will
    pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to the
    gradient between building high pressure N of the region and low
    pressure over northern Colombia, then fresh to locally strong
    there afterwards. Rough seas to 11 ft will occur within these
    winds. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are forecast elsewhere in
    the central and SW Caribbean, including the Windward Passage and
    Hispaniola adjacent waters. Locally strong winds will be likely
    pulsing at night over the Windward Passage and S of Hispaniola
    through Sat night, with similar winds pulsing in the lee of Cuba
    tonight and Sat night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will
    prevail, except for moderate to fresh winds near the Gulf of
    Honduras Fri night. A decaying cold front may move into or near
    the far NW Caribbean early next week where it will stall and wash
    out.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A ridge, anchored on a 1030 mb high pressure located well N of the
    area near 40N67W, dominates the western Atlantic, the State of
    Florida and the Bahamas. A cold front enters the forecast region
    near 31N58W and extends to 28N65W to 31N72W. Moderate to fresh N
    to NE winds are noted per scatterometer data in the wake of the
    front. Moderate to locally fresh winds are occurring elsewhere W
    of 60W with slight to moderate seas. A surface trough is analyzed
    from 27N56W to the northern Leeward Islands. A few showers are
    near the trough axis. An area of showers and thunderstorms has
    developed between the northern end of the trough and a stationary
    front that runs from 31N40W to 28N50W. This convective activity
    covers the waters from 24N to 30N between 49W and 54W. A low
    pressure may develop in this area. Strong winds are observed
    within this convection per satellite derived wind data. Farther
    E, high pressure of 1034 mb located between the Azores and the
    Madeiras Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    region. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower
    pressure in the vicinity of the Monsoon trough/ITCZ is generating
    a large area of fresh to strong NE to E winds roughly from 10N to
    25N E of 36W to the coast of west Africa with seas of 8 to 12 ft.
    Moderate to locally fresh trade winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft are
    observed over the remainder of the tropical Atlantic. Moderate
    winds and moderate seas, in NE swell, are seen in the vicinity of
    the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure building in
    the wake of a cold front with tail just into the NE waters will
    support moderate to fresh NE winds across the waters E of the
    Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank and the approaches to the Windward
    Passage through Sun, with locally strong winds near the Windward
    Passage. A new cold front will emerge off the NE Florida coast
    Sun. Fresh to strong NW winds and rough seas will follow this
    front, which is forecast to reach from Bermuda to the northern
    Bahamas by Mon morning, dissipating Mon night into Tue.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 09 Jan 2026 18:00:08 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 091800
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0100 PM EST FRI 09 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-040

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75
    A. 11/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 08WSE IOP07
    C. 10/1700Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    35.0N 155.0W, 35.0N 125.0W, 50.0N 125.0W, AND 50.0N 155.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 10/2030Z TO 11/0230Z

    2. FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
    A. 11/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 01WSC IOP07
    C. 10/1700Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    25.0N 160.0W, 25.0N 145.0W, 45.0N 145.0W AND 45.0N 160.0W.
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 10/2030Z TO 11/0230Z

    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: TWO USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC
    FOR THE 13/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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