2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Track The Tropics
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...

Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 18 Jan 2026 21:00:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 182059
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Jan 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning:
    A cold front extends from southern Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
    Gale force NW winds and rough seas immediately follow the front
    over the eastern Gulf, with gale force winds and very rough seas
    offshore of Veracruz, Mexico. Winds will diminish below gale
    force by tonight, with rough seas subsiding from north to south
    tonight through Mon morning.

    Caribbean Gale warning:
    The pressure gradient between a ridge of high pressure N of the
    area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds N
    of Colombia. Winds will pulse to near gale force, with frequent
    gusts to gale force, tonight and Mon night.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras through
    northern Central America:
    Periods of significant heavy rainfall are expected through
    midweek as abundant tropical moisture interacts with a pre-frontal
    trough in the northwest Caribbean and a cold front approaching
    the region from the northwest. The heaviest rainfall is expected
    to occur early Tue through early Wed in the Gulf of Honduras into
    northern Honduras, where totals in excess of 12 inches will be
    possible. Please consult products from your local meteorological
    services for additional information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
    03N21W. The ITCZ continues from 03N21W to 01S42W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 01N to 05N east of 23W, and
    within 210 NM of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please read the Special Features section for information on a
    Gale Warning.

    A cold front extends from south Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
    Aside from the gale force winds, widespread fresh to strong N
    winds prevail, with rough to very rough seas south of 27N. South
    and east of the front, moderate to fresh NW winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE and
    out of the basin tonight. High pressure will build southward into
    the region by Mon with improving marine conditions from N to S.
    However, strengthening high pressure over the SE of the United
    States will bring fresh to locally strong NE winds, mainly over
    the eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, Tue and Wed.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
    Rainfall surrounding the Gulf of Honduras through midweek, as well
    as a gale warning off the coast of Colombia.

    Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, prevail over the
    central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-7 ft,
    are over the eastern Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
    of 4-5 ft, are over the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and
    seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, aside from the gale warning, a cold front will
    move across the Yucatan Channel into the NW Caribbean this
    evening, reaching from central Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras on Mon
    morning, then stall over the same area by Tue morning, before
    gradually dissipating. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough
    seas are forecast in the wake of the front. Periods of significant
    heavy rainfall are expected through midweek as abundant tropical
    moisture interacts with the frontal boundary in the northwest
    Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends over the waters from 31N77W to central
    Florida. A pre frontal trough is SE of the front. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is over the waters east of
    the front to 76W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 27N and E of the
    front to 72W, where seas are in the 5-7 ft range. W of the front,
    strong to near- gale winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail. High
    pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters,
    anchored by a 1034 mb high near 35N40W. Fresh to strong winds, and
    seas of 7-11 ft prevail over the waters E of 60W. Elsewhere,
    moderate winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, are noted.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong Atlantic high pressure will
    enhance the trades up to strong speeds east of 65W through Thu.
    The front will reach from 31N70W to the central Bahamas by Mon
    morning, and from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Tue
    morning, then stall on Wed from near 31N60W to the central Bahamas
    before dissipating. The pressure gradient between the above
    mentioned high pressure and the front will also support fresh to
    strong southerly winds N of 27N and ahead of the front through
    tonight. High pressure building over the SE of the United States
    will boost NE winds to fresh to strong speeds in the vicinity of
    the Bahamas and Florida Straits into the middle of the week.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 18 Jan 2026 21:00:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 182059
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Jan 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning:
    A cold front extends from southern Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
    Gale force NW winds and rough seas immediately follow the front
    over the eastern Gulf, with gale force winds and very rough seas
    offshore of Veracruz, Mexico. Winds will diminish below gale
    force by tonight, with rough seas subsiding from north to south
    tonight through Mon morning.

    Caribbean Gale warning:
    The pressure gradient between a ridge of high pressure N of the
    area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds N
    of Colombia. Winds will pulse to near gale force, with frequent
    gusts to gale force, tonight and Mon night.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras through
    northern Central America:
    Periods of significant heavy rainfall are expected through
    midweek as abundant tropical moisture interacts with a pre-frontal
    trough in the northwest Caribbean and a cold front approaching
    the region from the northwest. The heaviest rainfall is expected
    to occur early Tue through early Wed in the Gulf of Honduras into
    northern Honduras, where totals in excess of 12 inches will be
    possible. Please consult products from your local meteorological
    services for additional information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
    03N21W. The ITCZ continues from 03N21W to 01S42W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 01N to 05N east of 23W, and
    within 210 NM of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please read the Special Features section for information on a
    Gale Warning.

    A cold front extends from south Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
    Aside from the gale force winds, widespread fresh to strong N
    winds prevail, with rough to very rough seas south of 27N. South
    and east of the front, moderate to fresh NW winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE and
    out of the basin tonight. High pressure will build southward into
    the region by Mon with improving marine conditions from N to S.
    However, strengthening high pressure over the SE of the United
    States will bring fresh to locally strong NE winds, mainly over
    the eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, Tue and Wed.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
    Rainfall surrounding the Gulf of Honduras through midweek, as well
    as a gale warning off the coast of Colombia.

    Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, prevail over the
    central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-7 ft,
    are over the eastern Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
    of 4-5 ft, are over the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and
    seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, aside from the gale warning, a cold front will
    move across the Yucatan Channel into the NW Caribbean this
    evening, reaching from central Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras on Mon
    morning, then stall over the same area by Tue morning, before
    gradually dissipating. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough
    seas are forecast in the wake of the front. Periods of significant
    heavy rainfall are expected through midweek as abundant tropical
    moisture interacts with the frontal boundary in the northwest
    Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends over the waters from 31N77W to central
    Florida. A pre frontal trough is SE of the front. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is over the waters east of
    the front to 76W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 27N and E of the
    front to 72W, where seas are in the 5-7 ft range. W of the front,
    strong to near- gale winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail. High
    pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters,
    anchored by a 1034 mb high near 35N40W. Fresh to strong winds, and
    seas of 7-11 ft prevail over the waters E of 60W. Elsewhere,
    moderate winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, are noted.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong Atlantic high pressure will
    enhance the trades up to strong speeds east of 65W through Thu.
    The front will reach from 31N70W to the central Bahamas by Mon
    morning, and from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Tue
    morning, then stall on Wed from near 31N60W to the central Bahamas
    before dissipating. The pressure gradient between the above
    mentioned high pressure and the front will also support fresh to
    strong southerly winds N of 27N and ahead of the front through
    tonight. High pressure building over the SE of the United States
    will boost NE winds to fresh to strong speeds in the vicinity of
    the Bahamas and Florida Straits into the middle of the week.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 18 Jan 2026 16:37:10 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 181637
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1140 AM EST SUN 18 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-049

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page