2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 24 Apr 2026 23:13:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 242313
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Apr 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W, and
    continues southwestward to south of the Equator at 19W and
    to 02S23W. The ITCZ extends from 02S23W to 04S30W and to
    04S36W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is within 120 nm
    south of the ITCZ between 30W-35W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ
    between 25W-27W and within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between
    25.5W-28W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A relatively weak high pressure ridge extends from the western
    Atlantic westward across the northern Gulf coast. The associated
    pressure gradient is allowing for gentle to moderate southeast
    winds across the basin, except for mostly moderate southeast
    winds over the far western Gulf and in the central Bay of
    Campeche. Latest buoy observations and recent altimeter satellite
    data reveal seas of 3 to 4 ft over the basin.

    Isolated showers are over the western part of the Straits of
    Florida.

    For the forecast, the interaction between the high pressure ridge
    and a coastal trough that is just offshore Mexico from near
    Tampico to Veracruz will support moderate to fresh southeast
    winds and moderate seas over the western half of the Gulf, and
    gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas over the
    eastern part of the basin this weekend into early next week. In
    addition, a diurnal trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh off
    the Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings through the middle of
    the next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A rather weak pressure gradient is allowing for mostly gentle east
    to southeast winds across the basin, including offshore Colombia.
    Winds are southeast to south in direction west of about 79W. Seas
    throughout are about 2 to 4 ft, including in the Gulf of
    Honduras.

    Scattered moderate convection is evident north of Jamaica
    between 75W and 78W, including over some sections of eastern
    Cuba. Similar activity is over some sections of central and
    western Cuba, and just offshore western Cuba to the waters near
    the Isle of Youth. Isolated showers are over the northern part of
    the Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, high pressure located north of the basin will
    continue to weaken over the next couple of days as a trough,
    currently located N of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and eastern Cuba
    lifts northward during the upcoming weekend. This weather pattern
    will support a weaker than usual pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean Sea into Mon, resulting in mainly gentle to moderate
    winds and slight to moderate seas across the entire basin. Winds
    are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds over the east and
    central Caribbean Mon night through midweek as high pressure
    builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough, remnants of a frontal boundary, is analyzed
    from near 22N56W to 21N69W and west-northwestward to 23N79W. Aloft,
    a rather vigorous shortwave trough is just east of the Florida
    peninsula as seen in water vapor imagery. Divergence east of the
    trough is helping to sustain a large area of moderate rain, with
    embedded numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms that covers
    the waters south of 28N and between 66W and 77W. A weak 1017 mb
    high is analyzed northeast of the northern Bahamas near 28N69W.
    The associated gradient is supporting moderate or lighter
    northeast to east winds, and slight to moderate seas over the
    western half of the basin.

    A dissipating cold front extends from near 31N36W southwest
    to 27N48W. A 1020 mb high is analyzed to the southeast of the
    front near 27N26W. The pressure gradient between these two features
    is supporting moderate to fresh southwest winds east of the front
    to near 30W and north of 25N. Seas with these winds are 7 to 10
    ft primarily in northeast swell. Moderate to fresh northeast
    winds are between the Canary and Cape Verde Islands, and along
    the coast of NW Africa along with moderate seas. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
    lift northward this weekend. Weal low pressure may develop along
    the trough axis east of the southeastern Bahamas on Sat, and
    move eastward through Sun before dissipating. This will support
    gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas across most
    of the forecast area through the weekend. The exception will be
    over the NE waters where fresh to locally strong westerly winds
    and rough seas are expected beginning late this afternoon as
    another cold front clips the region by late Sat into Sun. A third
    cold front will enter the waters off NE Florida by Sun night,
    and extend from 31N70W to South Florida by Mon night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 24 Apr 2026 23:13:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 242313
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Apr 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W, and
    continues southwestward to south of the Equator at 19W and
    to 02S23W. The ITCZ extends from 02S23W to 04S30W and to
    04S36W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is within 120 nm
    south of the ITCZ between 30W-35W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is within 60 nm south of the ITCZ
    between 25W-27W and within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between
    25.5W-28W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A relatively weak high pressure ridge extends from the western
    Atlantic westward across the northern Gulf coast. The associated
    pressure gradient is allowing for gentle to moderate southeast
    winds across the basin, except for mostly moderate southeast
    winds over the far western Gulf and in the central Bay of
    Campeche. Latest buoy observations and recent altimeter satellite
    data reveal seas of 3 to 4 ft over the basin.

    Isolated showers are over the western part of the Straits of
    Florida.

    For the forecast, the interaction between the high pressure ridge
    and a coastal trough that is just offshore Mexico from near
    Tampico to Veracruz will support moderate to fresh southeast
    winds and moderate seas over the western half of the Gulf, and
    gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas over the
    eastern part of the basin this weekend into early next week. In
    addition, a diurnal trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh off
    the Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings through the middle of
    the next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A rather weak pressure gradient is allowing for mostly gentle east
    to southeast winds across the basin, including offshore Colombia.
    Winds are southeast to south in direction west of about 79W. Seas
    throughout are about 2 to 4 ft, including in the Gulf of
    Honduras.

    Scattered moderate convection is evident north of Jamaica
    between 75W and 78W, including over some sections of eastern
    Cuba. Similar activity is over some sections of central and
    western Cuba, and just offshore western Cuba to the waters near
    the Isle of Youth. Isolated showers are over the northern part of
    the Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, high pressure located north of the basin will
    continue to weaken over the next couple of days as a trough,
    currently located N of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola and eastern Cuba
    lifts northward during the upcoming weekend. This weather pattern
    will support a weaker than usual pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean Sea into Mon, resulting in mainly gentle to moderate
    winds and slight to moderate seas across the entire basin. Winds
    are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds over the east and
    central Caribbean Mon night through midweek as high pressure
    builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough, remnants of a frontal boundary, is analyzed
    from near 22N56W to 21N69W and west-northwestward to 23N79W. Aloft,
    a rather vigorous shortwave trough is just east of the Florida
    peninsula as seen in water vapor imagery. Divergence east of the
    trough is helping to sustain a large area of moderate rain, with
    embedded numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms that covers
    the waters south of 28N and between 66W and 77W. A weak 1017 mb
    high is analyzed northeast of the northern Bahamas near 28N69W.
    The associated gradient is supporting moderate or lighter
    northeast to east winds, and slight to moderate seas over the
    western half of the basin.

    A dissipating cold front extends from near 31N36W southwest
    to 27N48W. A 1020 mb high is analyzed to the southeast of the
    front near 27N26W. The pressure gradient between these two features
    is supporting moderate to fresh southwest winds east of the front
    to near 30W and north of 25N. Seas with these winds are 7 to 10
    ft primarily in northeast swell. Moderate to fresh northeast
    winds are between the Canary and Cape Verde Islands, and along
    the coast of NW Africa along with moderate seas. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
    lift northward this weekend. Weal low pressure may develop along
    the trough axis east of the southeastern Bahamas on Sat, and
    move eastward through Sun before dissipating. This will support
    gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas across most
    of the forecast area through the weekend. The exception will be
    over the NE waters where fresh to locally strong westerly winds
    and rough seas are expected beginning late this afternoon as
    another cold front clips the region by late Sat into Sun. A third
    cold front will enter the waters off NE Florida by Sun night,
    and extend from 31N70W to South Florida by Mon night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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