SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 09:45:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150945
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Oct 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter
the northwest Gulf late on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida
to the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds
and moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales
possible over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and
over the SW Gulf by Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are
expected with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to
persist over the SW Gulf trough Sun.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and extends SW
to 05N53W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 05N53W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 02N to 11N
and E of 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper-level low over Yucatan and NW Caribbean is supporting
showers across the western half of the basin. A high pressure
ridge extends from a 1019 mb high center that is over the Florida
Panhandle. Recent scatterometer data along with buoy observations
reveal moderate to fresh east winds east of 90W, and moderate east
to southeast winds west of 90W. Over the eastern Bay of Campeche,
a surface trough is generating scattered showers and fresh to
near gale force SE to E winds. Seas basin- wide are slight to
moderate. Locally higher seas are likely with the convection
associated with the trough offshore Yucatan. Otherwise, the
remnants of a surface trough are supporting scattered showers in
the Straits of Florida and the Yucatan Channel.
For the forecast, the ridge will dominate the Gulf region through
Fri producing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow and slight
to moderate seas. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest
Gulf late Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to the central Bay
of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to
rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected over the
west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW Gulf by
Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the
strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist over the
SW Gulf through Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper-level low over Yucatan and NW Caribbean are supporting
isolated showers across the western half of the basin, except for
scattered showers and tstms along a surface trough that extends
from 13N81W to 20N81W. Recent scatterometer data show fresh to
strong E to SE winds in the vicinity of this convective activity
where seas to 8 ft are likely. Otherwise, surface ridging N of the
region, is supporting moderate to fresh easterlies in the central
Caribbean and moderate or weaker trades elsewhere. Seas are 3-4
ft over the NW and E basin, and 5 to 6 ft over the central and
portions of the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the
Colombian low will support moderate to fresh trade winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through the upcoming
weekend, with rough seas offshore Colombia. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Moisture
associated with an uper-level trough over the central Caribbean
will reach the NW Caribbean today, keeping the chances of showers
and thunderstorms across the basin high. Gusty winds and rough
seas will be associated with this convective activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough is analyzed along 67W with scattered
showers in its vicinity. Surface high pressure over the SE CONUS
and NE of Bermuda support mainly light to gentle winds, and slight
to moderate seas over the west and central subtropical Atlantic
waters. Fresh easterly winds are ongoing in the Great Bahama
Bank. Otherwise, the subtropical eastern Atlantic is under the
influence of the Azores High, which is generally supporting
moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas to 6 ft
between the coast of NW Africa and 22W, including the waters
adjacent to the Canary Islands. A 1011 mb low is located near
21N36W, which is generating scattered showers from 19N to 27N
between 28W and 39W. Moderate to fresh winds are in the northern
semicircle of the low to approximately 27N along with rough seas
to 9 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough E of the Bahamas
is forecast to dissipate later today. A cold front will reach the
NE waters on Fri with little change in winds and seas. A stronger
cold front will move into the waters off northeast Florida by
late Fri night into early Sat morning, and reach from near Bermuda
to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-gale force winds and
rough seas will follow the front.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 09:45:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150945
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Oct 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter
the northwest Gulf late on Fri, and reach from southwest Florida
to the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds
and moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales
possible over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and
over the SW Gulf by Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are
expected with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to
persist over the SW Gulf trough Sun.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and extends SW
to 05N53W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 05N53W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 02N to 11N
and E of 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper-level low over Yucatan and NW Caribbean is supporting
showers across the western half of the basin. A high pressure
ridge extends from a 1019 mb high center that is over the Florida
Panhandle. Recent scatterometer data along with buoy observations
reveal moderate to fresh east winds east of 90W, and moderate east
to southeast winds west of 90W. Over the eastern Bay of Campeche,
a surface trough is generating scattered showers and fresh to
near gale force SE to E winds. Seas basin- wide are slight to
moderate. Locally higher seas are likely with the convection
associated with the trough offshore Yucatan. Otherwise, the
remnants of a surface trough are supporting scattered showers in
the Straits of Florida and the Yucatan Channel.
For the forecast, the ridge will dominate the Gulf region through
Fri producing a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow and slight
to moderate seas. A cold front is forecast to enter the northwest
Gulf late Fri, and reach from southwest Florida to the central Bay
of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to
rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected over the
west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW Gulf by
Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected with the
strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist over the
SW Gulf through Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper-level low over Yucatan and NW Caribbean are supporting
isolated showers across the western half of the basin, except for
scattered showers and tstms along a surface trough that extends
from 13N81W to 20N81W. Recent scatterometer data show fresh to
strong E to SE winds in the vicinity of this convective activity
where seas to 8 ft are likely. Otherwise, surface ridging N of the
region, is supporting moderate to fresh easterlies in the central
Caribbean and moderate or weaker trades elsewhere. Seas are 3-4
ft over the NW and E basin, and 5 to 6 ft over the central and
portions of the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the
Colombian low will support moderate to fresh trade winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through the upcoming
weekend, with rough seas offshore Colombia. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. Moisture
associated with an uper-level trough over the central Caribbean
will reach the NW Caribbean today, keeping the chances of showers
and thunderstorms across the basin high. Gusty winds and rough
seas will be associated with this convective activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough is analyzed along 67W with scattered
showers in its vicinity. Surface high pressure over the SE CONUS
and NE of Bermuda support mainly light to gentle winds, and slight
to moderate seas over the west and central subtropical Atlantic
waters. Fresh easterly winds are ongoing in the Great Bahama
Bank. Otherwise, the subtropical eastern Atlantic is under the
influence of the Azores High, which is generally supporting
moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas to 6 ft
between the coast of NW Africa and 22W, including the waters
adjacent to the Canary Islands. A 1011 mb low is located near
21N36W, which is generating scattered showers from 19N to 27N
between 28W and 39W. Moderate to fresh winds are in the northern
semicircle of the low to approximately 27N along with rough seas
to 9 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough E of the Bahamas
is forecast to dissipate later today. A cold front will reach the
NE waters on Fri with little change in winds and seas. A stronger
cold front will move into the waters off northeast Florida by
late Fri night into early Sat morning, and reach from near Bermuda
to South Florida by late Sat. Strong to near-gale force winds and
rough seas will follow the front.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 16 Oct 2026 17:13:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 15 Oct 2026 11:30:06 GMT - Thu, 15 Oct 2026 05:13:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 150513
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Oct 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 14 Oct 2026 16:05:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
104
NOUS42 KNHC 141605
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1205 PM EDT WED 14 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-136
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM TRUDY
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72
A. 15/1730Z
B. AFXXX 0121E TRUDY
C. 15/1245Z
D. 13.3N 101.4W
E. 15/1700Z TO 15/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: FIX MISSION INTO TRUDY FOR
16/1730Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf