2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 08 May 2026 21:41:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    102
    AXNT20 KNHC 082141
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat May 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...Caribbean Gale Warning...
    A tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high over the western
    Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia
    will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade winds with
    rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through midweek next
    week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
    tonight through Mon night, these winds are expected to peak at
    near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic, south of 09N with
    axis near 40W, moving west at 5 kt. Convection associated with
    this wave has diminished this morning.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
    southwestward to 06N20W. The ITCZ extends from 06N20W to 02N33W,
    and from 01N41W to 01N49W. Scattered moderate convection is
    present south of 04N and between 25W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the northeast Gulf over the
    Florida Big Bend area to South Texas. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active over coastal Louisiana. Weak 1015 mb high
    pressure is centered over the eastern Gulf, supporting gentle
    breezes and 1-2 ft seas, with gentle to moderate SE winds and 2-4
    ft over the central and western Gulf.

    For the forecast, the front across the northern Gulf will lift
    northward as a warm front. Afterward, the ridge should build back
    across the Gulf from the east. Winds will pulse to strong near the
    Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sun night. Looking
    ahead, another cold front might move into the northern Gulf waters
    late Sun, and reach from central Florida to eastern Bay of
    Campeche by late Mon, followed by moderate to fresh N to NE winds.
    Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are possible
    ahead of the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Broad high pressure north of the Caribbean and lower pressure in
    the deep tropics result in fresh to strong easterly trade winds
    and locally rough seas in the south-central Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    mainly moderate winds and seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high at
    the western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern
    Colombia will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds with rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
    midweek next week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the
    nighttime hours tonight through Mon night, these winds are
    expected to peak at near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.
    Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds and rough seas are
    also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras through Sun night.
    Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
    eastern and central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary cold front extends from 31N75W to near Palm Coast,
    Florida. This front is causing little sensible weather over the
    ocean. A ridge anchored by a 1018 mb center near 27N61W, dominates
    moves of the basin W of 35W, translating to moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas. A surface trough extends south
    from 31N to 27N along 52W, inducing scattered moderate convection
    north of 27N east of the trough to 45W. In the far eastern
    Atlantic, a cold front extends from the Canary Islands to 26N30W.
    Fresh NW winds and rough seas are N of this front. Gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    gradually weaken through Sat as the cold front portion shifts
    eastward north of 28N. A stronger cold front is expected to follow
    a similar path Mon through Tue, followed by fresh to strong
    winds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong
    to marginally severe, are possible near both fronts. Meanwhile, a
    1018 mb high over the western Atlantic near 27N62W will support
    fresh to locally strong winds off northern Hispaniola Sat through
    Mon.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 08 May 2026 21:41:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    102
    AXNT20 KNHC 082141
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat May 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...Caribbean Gale Warning...
    A tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high over the western
    Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia
    will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade winds with
    rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through midweek next
    week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
    tonight through Mon night, these winds are expected to peak at
    near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic, south of 09N with
    axis near 40W, moving west at 5 kt. Convection associated with
    this wave has diminished this morning.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
    southwestward to 06N20W. The ITCZ extends from 06N20W to 02N33W,
    and from 01N41W to 01N49W. Scattered moderate convection is
    present south of 04N and between 25W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the northeast Gulf over the
    Florida Big Bend area to South Texas. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active over coastal Louisiana. Weak 1015 mb high
    pressure is centered over the eastern Gulf, supporting gentle
    breezes and 1-2 ft seas, with gentle to moderate SE winds and 2-4
    ft over the central and western Gulf.

    For the forecast, the front across the northern Gulf will lift
    northward as a warm front. Afterward, the ridge should build back
    across the Gulf from the east. Winds will pulse to strong near the
    Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sun night. Looking
    ahead, another cold front might move into the northern Gulf waters
    late Sun, and reach from central Florida to eastern Bay of
    Campeche by late Mon, followed by moderate to fresh N to NE winds.
    Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are possible
    ahead of the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Broad high pressure north of the Caribbean and lower pressure in
    the deep tropics result in fresh to strong easterly trade winds
    and locally rough seas in the south-central Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    mainly moderate winds and seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high at
    the western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern
    Colombia will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds with rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
    midweek next week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the
    nighttime hours tonight through Mon night, these winds are
    expected to peak at near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.
    Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds and rough seas are
    also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras through Sun night.
    Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
    eastern and central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary cold front extends from 31N75W to near Palm Coast,
    Florida. This front is causing little sensible weather over the
    ocean. A ridge anchored by a 1018 mb center near 27N61W, dominates
    moves of the basin W of 35W, translating to moderate or weaker
    winds and slight to moderate seas. A surface trough extends south
    from 31N to 27N along 52W, inducing scattered moderate convection
    north of 27N east of the trough to 45W. In the far eastern
    Atlantic, a cold front extends from the Canary Islands to 26N30W.
    Fresh NW winds and rough seas are N of this front. Gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    gradually weaken through Sat as the cold front portion shifts
    eastward north of 28N. A stronger cold front is expected to follow
    a similar path Mon through Tue, followed by fresh to strong
    winds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong
    to marginally severe, are possible near both fronts. Meanwhile, a
    1018 mb high over the western Atlantic near 27N62W will support
    fresh to locally strong winds off northern Hispaniola Sat through
    Mon.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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