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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 20 May 2026 10:03:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 201003
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 15N,
and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 06N19W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N19W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate convection
is observed within 150 nm N of the ITCZ from 19W to 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Numerous moderate to isolated scattered moderate convection,
generated from outflow boundaries associated with earlier
thunderstorms over Texas, is impacting waters within 90 nm of the
Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. This activity is bringing
locally higher winds and seas. A cluster of thunderstorms is also
along the coast near Tampico, Mexico. A 1028 mb high pressure
system near Bermuda extends westward to the Gulf waters supporting
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas south of 25N and between
88W and 94W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across the
Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf, pulsing to
strong tonight offshore the Yucatan Peninsula. Beginning Thu, the
pressure gradient will relax and tranquil marine conditions should
prevail through the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the region dominates
the Caribbean Sea. The tight pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures in the deep tropics result in strong trade
winds in the central Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 7 to 10
ft. Fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the
Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are evident, except in the NW basin, where gentle
winds and slight seas prevail. Scattered moderate convection is
noted in the Windward Passage in associated with a trough N of the
Turks and Caicos, and the East Pacific Monsoon Trough is
generating scattered convection within 90 nm of the coast of
Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong trades over the S central Caribbean through the weekend,
with rough seas continuing. Fresh trades will also pulse each
evening over the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
winds and seas will prevail
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An elongated deep layer low pressure extending from near 31N75W
to N of the Turks and Caicos is generating scattered moderate
convection from 22N to 28N between 73W and 80W. The subtropical
ridge, centered near Bermuda, dominates most of the rest of the
basin, although a weak cold front extends from 31N35W to 26N59W.
No significant weather changes are associated with this front, but
seas generated from higher winds to the north are impacting
waters N of the front, causing seas of 7 to 9 ft N of 30N between
35W and 45W. Elsewhere N of 22N, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. To the S of 22N, moderate to
fresh trades dominate with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a trough E of the Bahamas will
continue to produce scattered thunderstorms into Thu. SE winds
will pulse fresh to strong north of Hispaniola afternoons and
evenings through the end of the week. Elsewhere, surface ridging
north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
quiescent through the weekend.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 20 May 2026 10:03:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 201003
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 15N,
and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 06N19W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N19W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate convection
is observed within 150 nm N of the ITCZ from 19W to 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Numerous moderate to isolated scattered moderate convection,
generated from outflow boundaries associated with earlier
thunderstorms over Texas, is impacting waters within 90 nm of the
Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. This activity is bringing
locally higher winds and seas. A cluster of thunderstorms is also
along the coast near Tampico, Mexico. A 1028 mb high pressure
system near Bermuda extends westward to the Gulf waters supporting
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas south of 25N and between
88W and 94W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across the
Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf, pulsing to
strong tonight offshore the Yucatan Peninsula. Beginning Thu, the
pressure gradient will relax and tranquil marine conditions should
prevail through the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the region dominates
the Caribbean Sea. The tight pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures in the deep tropics result in strong trade
winds in the central Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 7 to 10
ft. Fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the
Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are evident, except in the NW basin, where gentle
winds and slight seas prevail. Scattered moderate convection is
noted in the Windward Passage in associated with a trough N of the
Turks and Caicos, and the East Pacific Monsoon Trough is
generating scattered convection within 90 nm of the coast of
Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong trades over the S central Caribbean through the weekend,
with rough seas continuing. Fresh trades will also pulse each
evening over the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
winds and seas will prevail
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An elongated deep layer low pressure extending from near 31N75W
to N of the Turks and Caicos is generating scattered moderate
convection from 22N to 28N between 73W and 80W. The subtropical
ridge, centered near Bermuda, dominates most of the rest of the
basin, although a weak cold front extends from 31N35W to 26N59W.
No significant weather changes are associated with this front, but
seas generated from higher winds to the north are impacting
waters N of the front, causing seas of 7 to 9 ft N of 30N between
35W and 45W. Elsewhere N of 22N, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. To the S of 22N, moderate to
fresh trades dominate with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a trough E of the Bahamas will
continue to produce scattered thunderstorms into Thu. SE winds
will pulse fresh to strong north of Hispaniola afternoons and
evenings through the end of the week. Elsewhere, surface ridging
north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
quiescent through the weekend.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 21 May 2026 17:02:03 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 20 May 2026 10:40:12 GMT - Wed, 20 May 2026 05:02:03 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 200501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed May 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf