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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 21:41:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 302141
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2115 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Please read the
latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website - https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south
of 20N, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 04N to 07N
between 25W and 30.5W.
A tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 19N
to near Barbados and Suriname, moving quickly westward at around
20 to 25 kt. Nearby convection which is present is described below
with the ITCZ.
An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 20N
just to the west of Jamaica, moving quickly westward at around 25
kt. Any nearby convection is currently observed in the far eastern
Tropical Pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
Mauritania at 20N16W to southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands to
09N28W to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 12N40W to 10N56W, then
resumes west of a tropical wave from 10N58W to the far NE coast of
Venezuela at 08N62W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted within 210 nm NNW of the ITCZ between 48W and 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
25N88W with a northwest to southeast ridge through the high. As a
result, anticyclonic winds are light to gentle along and around
the ridge axis, and moderate along the periphery closer to the
Gulf coastlines. Seas are 1 to 2 ft near the weaker winds, and 2
to 4 ft elsewhere. Some moderate convection is noted near the NW
coast of Yucatan near a surface trough analyzed over the
peninsula, with additional activity near the coast of Florida,
Mississippi and Alabama.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
area, and at the same a very moist and unstable airmass prevails
over region.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.
High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and
moderate seas are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the
remainder of the basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
locally moderate seas prevail. Some convection is present near
eastern Honduras and Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical
wave and lower to mid level support.
For the forecast, a Gale Warning is in effect tonight for the
offshore waters of Colombia and for the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas
are expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Elsewhere
across the central Caribbean, fresh to near gale trades will
continue to expand in coverage through early Fri as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
northern Colombian tightens. Mostly fresh trades will continue
elsewhere south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast
period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
tonight and Fri night, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of
the period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters and SW N
Atlantic offshore waters zones from northwest of Bermuda to 1011
mb low pressure near 32N79.5W to near Savannah, Georgia.
Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
of 27N and west of 69W. Fresh to strong SW winds and 5 to 9 ft
seas are there as well. Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge
continues to dominate much of the tropical Atlantic waters
anchored by a 1025 mb high pressure center near 31N51W. Moderate
to locally fresh trades are noted north of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to strong N to NE winds from offshore
Africa to the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across the
area of fresh to strong winds, as well as in the Tropical N
Atlantic offshore waters zones due to the proximity of a tropical
wave. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
remainder of the tropical Atlantic waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
from near 25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little
through Sat night before it shifts northward to near 28N into
early next week. The gradient between the ridge and a frontal
boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue to generally
support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest
of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will
pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
through the upcoming weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 21:41:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 302141
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2115 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in NW
South America will support strong to near gale-force winds and
rough seas in the central Caribbean during the next several days.
Winds will increase to gale-force in the offshore waters of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela tonight. Seas are expected
to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Please read the
latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website - https://www.nhc.gov/text/MIAHFSAT2.shtml
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern to central Atlantic tropical wave is along 36W, south
of 20N, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is present from 04N to 07N
between 25W and 30.5W.
A tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 19N
to near Barbados and Suriname, moving quickly westward at around
20 to 25 kt. Nearby convection which is present is described below
with the ITCZ.
An western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 20N
just to the west of Jamaica, moving quickly westward at around 25
kt. Any nearby convection is currently observed in the far eastern
Tropical Pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from the northern coast of
Mauritania at 20N16W to southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands to
09N28W to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 12N40W to 10N56W, then
resumes west of a tropical wave from 10N58W to the far NE coast of
Venezuela at 08N62W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted within 210 nm NNW of the ITCZ between 48W and 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1018 mb is remaining over the central Gulf near
25N88W with a northwest to southeast ridge through the high. As a
result, anticyclonic winds are light to gentle along and around
the ridge axis, and moderate along the periphery closer to the
Gulf coastlines. Seas are 1 to 2 ft near the weaker winds, and 2
to 4 ft elsewhere. Some moderate convection is noted near the NW
coast of Yucatan near a surface trough analyzed over the
peninsula, with additional activity near the coast of Florida,
Mississippi and Alabama.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. Unsettled weather in the form of
scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf
through the weekend as a frontal boundary remains just N of the
area, and at the same a very moist and unstable airmass prevails
over region.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the south-central Caribbean.
High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and rough seas across the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 11 ft
occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and
moderate seas are found elsewhere from 11N to 18N. Across the
remainder of the basin, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
locally moderate seas prevail. Some convection is present near
eastern Honduras and Nicaragua due to the proximity of a tropical
wave and lower to mid level support.
For the forecast, a Gale Warning is in effect tonight for the
offshore waters of Colombia and for the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas
are expected to build to around 14 ft with these winds. Elsewhere
across the central Caribbean, fresh to near gale trades will
continue to expand in coverage through early Fri as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and low pressure in
northern Colombian tightens. Mostly fresh trades will continue
elsewhere south S of about 18N through the rest of the forecast
period. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
tonight and Fri night, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of
the period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary is just north of the discussion waters and SW N
Atlantic offshore waters zones from northwest of Bermuda to 1011
mb low pressure near 32N79.5W to near Savannah, Georgia.
Associated scattered moderate isolated strong convection is north
of 27N and west of 69W. Fresh to strong SW winds and 5 to 9 ft
seas are there as well. Otherwise, a broad subtropical ridge
continues to dominate much of the tropical Atlantic waters
anchored by a 1025 mb high pressure center near 31N51W. Moderate
to locally fresh trades are noted north of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ to 20N, except fresh to strong N to NE winds from offshore
Africa to the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across the
area of fresh to strong winds, as well as in the Tropical N
Atlantic offshore waters zones due to the proximity of a tropical
wave. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
remainder of the tropical Atlantic waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
from near 25N65W to the Straits of Florida will change little
through Sat night before it shifts northward to near 28N into
early next week. The gradient between the ridge and a frontal
boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue to generally
support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and west of 65W for the rest
of the week and into the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will
pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
through the upcoming weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 05:33:11 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 30 Jul 2026 21:41:35 GMT - Thu, 30 Jul 2026 17:33:11 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301733
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 14:30:37 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
966
NOUS42 KNHC 301430
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT THU 30 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z TO 01/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-060
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf