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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:25:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 252325
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
    Azores High and lower pressures over northern Africa currently
    support strong to near gale-force NE winds between the Canary
    Islands and the coast of Morocco. These winds are confirmed by
    scatterometer data from 1100 UTC today. Winds will continue to
    increase and reach gale-force later today. Accordingly, Meteo
    France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir Zone until 26/00
    UTC.

    For more details, please refer to Meteo-France's website at:
    wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 40W, from 08N
    to 20N, moving W at around 10-15 kt. Convection near this wave is
    discussed in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave is moving through the eastern Caribbean and has
    an axis along 67W. It is moving W at around 20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted along the wave axis and S of 10N.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W from
    the Windward Passage to northern Colombia, moving W at around
    10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
    southern portion of the wave, mainly over northern Venezuela.

    A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into
    Central America along 89W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras,
    moving W at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated with
    this wave is impacting waters W of 80W and S of 20N, likely
    enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough which extends across
    the far SW Caribbean.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
    SW to 09N36W. The ITCZ extends from 09N36W to 07N58W. Scattered
    moderate convection is occurring south of the monsoon trough and
    E of 22W, from 05N to 11N between 31W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1022 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
    A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is
    generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the NE
    Gulf N of 25N and E of 88W. In the SW Gulf, a surface trough in
    the Bay of Campeche is generating moderate SE winds. Elsewhere,
    winds are light to gentle, with slight seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin through
    early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details on any
    convection across the Caribbean.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades
    over the central to SW Caribbean with seas of 6 to 9 ft. In the E
    basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in
    the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse
    across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east Mon, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and
    seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed
    as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the W Atlantic combined with upper level
    divergence from an upper level trough N of the region are aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection from 26N to
    31N between 67W and 72W, as well as over the central and northern
    Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is also occurring E of the
    Lesser Antilles with convergent surface winds in place. Otherwise,
    the pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower pressure
    along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to fresh
    trades along with moderate seas across much of the Atlantic. E of
    30W, the gradient tightens and fresh to strong winds along with
    rough seas are impacting waters N of 20N, including near the
    Canary Islands where NE winds are strong to near-gale force.
    Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    waters off southeast U.S. Sun, and stall. SW winds will increase
    and seas will build N of 25N through mid week between the Atlantic
    ridge east of the area and a reinforcing front approaching from
    the north.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:25:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 252325
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
    Azores High and lower pressures over northern Africa currently
    support strong to near gale-force NE winds between the Canary
    Islands and the coast of Morocco. These winds are confirmed by
    scatterometer data from 1100 UTC today. Winds will continue to
    increase and reach gale-force later today. Accordingly, Meteo
    France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir Zone until 26/00
    UTC.

    For more details, please refer to Meteo-France's website at:
    wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 40W, from 08N
    to 20N, moving W at around 10-15 kt. Convection near this wave is
    discussed in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave is moving through the eastern Caribbean and has
    an axis along 67W. It is moving W at around 20 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted along the wave axis and S of 10N.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W from
    the Windward Passage to northern Colombia, moving W at around
    10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
    southern portion of the wave, mainly over northern Venezuela.

    A tropical wave is crossing out of the far western Caribbean into
    Central America along 89W, southward from the Gulf of Honduras,
    moving W at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection associated with
    this wave is impacting waters W of 80W and S of 20N, likely
    enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough which extends across
    the far SW Caribbean.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
    SW to 09N36W. The ITCZ extends from 09N36W to 07N58W. Scattered
    moderate convection is occurring south of the monsoon trough and
    E of 22W, from 05N to 11N between 31W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1022 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
    A surface trough just offshore the Florida Peninsula is
    generating scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the NE
    Gulf N of 25N and E of 88W. In the SW Gulf, a surface trough in
    the Bay of Campeche is generating moderate SE winds. Elsewhere,
    winds are light to gentle, with slight seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
    gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin through
    early next week. Fresh winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
    Peninsula tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details on any
    convection across the Caribbean.

    The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
    high pressure north of the area is forcing fresh to strong trades
    over the central to SW Caribbean with seas of 6 to 9 ft. In the E
    basin, E winds are moderate to fresh and seas moderate while in
    the NW Caribbean winds are moderate or weaker and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
    the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean through Sun. Fresh to locally strong winds will pulse
    across the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Moderate or weaker winds with
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east Mon, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and
    seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting Wed
    as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough in the W Atlantic combined with upper level
    divergence from an upper level trough N of the region are aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection from 26N to
    31N between 67W and 72W, as well as over the central and northern
    Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is also occurring E of the
    Lesser Antilles with convergent surface winds in place. Otherwise,
    the pressure gradient between the Azores High and lower pressure
    along the ITCZ and monsoon trough is causing moderate to fresh
    trades along with moderate seas across much of the Atlantic. E of
    30W, the gradient tightens and fresh to strong winds along with
    rough seas are impacting waters N of 20N, including near the
    Canary Islands where NE winds are strong to near-gale force.
    Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will shift
    southward this weekend, allowing a cold front to move into the
    waters off southeast U.S. Sun, and stall. SW winds will increase
    and seas will build N of 25N through mid week between the Atlantic
    ridge east of the area and a reinforcing front approaching from
    the north.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 27 Jul 2026 11:17:11 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 26 Jul 2026 03:04:28 GMT
  • Sat, 25 Jul 2026 23:17:11 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 252317
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Jul 25 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 25 Jul 2026 15:11:07 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 251510
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1115 AM EDT SAT 25 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-055 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
    A. 26/1800Z A. 27/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 0206E FAUSTO B. NOAA9 0306E FAUSTO
    C. 26/1500Z C. 26/1730Z
    D. 20.1W 141.7W D. NA
    E. 26/1730Z TO 26/2100Z E. NA
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
    G. FIX G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 78 (CORRECTION)
    A. 27/0530Z,1130Z
    B. AFXXX 0402E FAUSTO
    C. 27/0300Z
    D. 20.5N 144.3W
    E. 27/0500Z TO 27/1130Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
    REMAINS A THREAT.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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