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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 16:59:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201659
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderated convection
    is present from 06N to 14N and between 25W and 32W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 47W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south from the
    Virgin Islands, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 11N to 15N between 59W and 65W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
    developed from 11N to 14N W of 79W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and to
    10N49W. The ITCZ extends from 10N49W to 10N60W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to
    17N and east of 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Outflow from overnight convection in the southeastern U.S. has
    moved southward into the far NE Gulf and is inducing scattered
    moderate convection offshore the Florida Panhandle. Scattered
    moderate convection is also noted in the western Bay of Campeche,
    aided by the northern extent of an eastern Pacific tropical wave.
    Otherwise, high pressure centered near 26N89W dominates. This is
    supporting gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds through the
    basin, with slight seas. Some seas to 4 ft are ongoing in the Bay
    of Campeche.


    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
    central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
    period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
    moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
    the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
    winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
    evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
    at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    The pressure gradient between general higher pressure to the
    north and low pressure centered over northern Colombia is
    supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin,
    with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle over the NW
    basin. Seas are moderate, except rough in the south-central and
    slight in the NW.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
    fresh to locally near gale-force trades and rough seas across the
    south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
    north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
    early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the tropical
    Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
    wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
    tropics.

    A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N48W and
    continues westward to 30N58W, where it devolves into a surface
    trough and continues to 26N69W. Scattered moderate convection us
    noted N of 26N between 47W and 65W and in association with these
    features. The rest of the basin is under the influence of
    subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
    except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 12N and
    24N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
    support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
    of 23N going into the upcoming weekend and into early next week.
    Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south of
    about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 16:59:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201659
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderated convection
    is present from 06N to 14N and between 25W and 32W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 47W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south from the
    Virgin Islands, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 11N to 15N between 59W and 65W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection has
    developed from 11N to 14N W of 79W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and to
    10N49W. The ITCZ extends from 10N49W to 10N60W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to
    17N and east of 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Outflow from overnight convection in the southeastern U.S. has
    moved southward into the far NE Gulf and is inducing scattered
    moderate convection offshore the Florida Panhandle. Scattered
    moderate convection is also noted in the western Bay of Campeche,
    aided by the northern extent of an eastern Pacific tropical wave.
    Otherwise, high pressure centered near 26N89W dominates. This is
    supporting gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds through the
    basin, with slight seas. Some seas to 4 ft are ongoing in the Bay
    of Campeche.


    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
    central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
    period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
    moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of
    the basin. A surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong
    winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early
    evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the peninsula
    at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    The pressure gradient between general higher pressure to the
    north and low pressure centered over northern Colombia is
    supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin,
    with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle over the NW
    basin. Seas are moderate, except rough in the south-central and
    slight in the NW.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
    fresh to locally near gale-force trades and rough seas across the
    south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast period.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the
    north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into
    early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the tropical
    Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
    wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
    tropics.

    A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N48W and
    continues westward to 30N58W, where it devolves into a surface
    trough and continues to 26N69W. Scattered moderate convection us
    noted N of 26N between 47W and 65W and in association with these
    features. The rest of the basin is under the influence of
    subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
    except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 12N and
    24N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
    support mostly light to gentle winds over most of the waters north
    of 23N going into the upcoming weekend and into early next week.
    Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south of
    about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 22 Aug 2026 05:22:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Aug 2026 19:02:35 GMT
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 17:22:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 201722
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Northeastern Atlantic:
    A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to develop along a
    front over the northeastern Atlantic by early Friday. This system
    could separate from its fronts and acquire some subtropical or
    tropical characteristics later this weekend while it moves generally
    eastward or east-northeastward toward Portugal and northwestern
    Spain. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts issued by
    Meteo France.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
    header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at
    https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 16:05:13 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    447
    NOUS42 KNHC 201605
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1205 PM EDT THU 20 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-081

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
    A. 21/1730Z,2330Z A. 22/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 0102C CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0202C CYCLONE
    C. 21/1430Z C. 21/2000Z
    D. 13.6N 146.8W D. 14.0N 147.5W
    E. 21/1700Z TO 21/2330Z E. 21/2200Z TO 22/0230Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 78
    A. 22/0530Z,1130Z
    B. AFXXX 0302C CYCLONE
    C. 22/0230Z
    D. 14.5N 148.4W
    E. 22/0500Z TO 22/1130Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
    A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.
    B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO TD 2-C FOR
    23/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 22/2000Z.

    3. REMARK: DURING THE NOAA 42 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 22/0000Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN
    THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT
    1 TO 2 HOURS.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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