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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 29 Apr 2026 03:00:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290300
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Apr 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
south-southwestward to 02N20W and then to 01S35W. The ITCZ
continues from 01S35W to 03N42W. Scattered moderate convection
is active from 03N to 06N between 12W and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Buoy observations and earlier scatterometer satellite data
confirm moderate to fresh SE winds across the northwest Gulf,
between 1018 mb high pressure over the northeast Gulf and 1001
mb low pressure over central Mexico. Seas are 5-7 ft over the
northwest Gulf. Farther south, fresh NE winds are likely off the
northwest Yucatan Peninsula related to the trough that often
develops over Yucatan in the evening. Gentle breezes and 3-5 ft
are noted elsewhere, except for 1-3 ft over the far eastern Gulf.
Areas of smoke due to agricultural and forest fires in southern
Mexico are limiting visibility to 3 to 5 miles over the far
western Gulf and along the coast in the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between weak high pressure
over the eastern Gulf and a trough that extends along the coast
of Mexico from Tampico to Veracruz will support moderate to
fresh southeast winds and moderate seas over the western half of
the Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate
seas over the eastern part of the basin through Wed morning.
Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will pulse fresh to strong winds off
the Yucatan Peninsula this evening, then at mostly fresh speeds
through Fri night. A weak cold front will move into the far
northern Gulf Thu and begin to stall Thu night into Fri, perhaps
over waters further south. A strong cold front will emerge off
the Texas coast late Fri night, then reach from northern Florida
to the Bay of Campeche by late on Sat, and from central Florida to
the Yucatan peninsula on Sun. The front will be followed by fresh
to strong north to northeast winds, with near gale winds possible
offshore Tampico and Veracruz on Sat. Seas are forecast to build
to around 12 ft, or possibly even higher Sat and Sat night, then
slowly subside on Sun. There is a potential for the near gale
winds to reach gale force. Scattered showers and thunderstorms,
some possibly strong, are expected to precede the front. Mariners
should stay up to date with the latest forecast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Ridging north of the area is strong enough to support fresh to
locally strong trade winds off northeast Colombia and northwest
Venezuela, where seas are 5-6 ft. Fresh NE winds may be active
across the Windward Passage and Gulf of Honduras currently as
well. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds prevail elsewhere across
the basin, with 3-5 ft seas, except for 1-3 ft seas in the far
northwest Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and the Colombian low will support moderate to fresh
trades over the eastern and central Caribbean through Sunday,
reaching locally strong at times. In the Gulf of Honduras,
moderate to fresh east winds and moderate seas are expected
through Fri, then increasing to fresh to strong speeds through Sat
night before diminishing Sunday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N59W to 26N68W then is stationary to the
NW Bahamas, with a pre- frontal trough to its east from 27N60W to
20N65W. The supporting mid to upper trough has moved well east of
the front, and is maintaining scattered showers and thunderstorms
from 25N to 30N between 52W and 60W. Moderate to fresh NW winds
and 6-8 ft seas in N swell follow the front. Gentle to moderate
breezes and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere west of 55W. Farther east,
a front reaches from the eastern Azores to 26N30W to 21N38W. A
reinforcing cold front follows, reaching from low pressure over
the western Azores to 31N33W to 30N40W. Moderate NW winds and 5-7
ft seas in NW swell follow these fronts. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh E trade winds and 5-6 ft seas are noted south of 20N, and
gentle breezes with 4-5 ft seas noted north of 20N.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extending from 31N61W to just east of
the central Bahamas will move E of 55W on Wed. Another cold front
is expected to move offshore northeast Florida on Thu, and weaken
as it moves across the northern portions of the area through Fri
afternoon before passing E of 55W on Sat. A third cold front will
move off the coast of northeast Florida on Saturday. This front
will reach from 31N73W to central Florida on Sun.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 29 Apr 2026 03:00:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290300
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Apr 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
south-southwestward to 02N20W and then to 01S35W. The ITCZ
continues from 01S35W to 03N42W. Scattered moderate convection
is active from 03N to 06N between 12W and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Buoy observations and earlier scatterometer satellite data
confirm moderate to fresh SE winds across the northwest Gulf,
between 1018 mb high pressure over the northeast Gulf and 1001
mb low pressure over central Mexico. Seas are 5-7 ft over the
northwest Gulf. Farther south, fresh NE winds are likely off the
northwest Yucatan Peninsula related to the trough that often
develops over Yucatan in the evening. Gentle breezes and 3-5 ft
are noted elsewhere, except for 1-3 ft over the far eastern Gulf.
Areas of smoke due to agricultural and forest fires in southern
Mexico are limiting visibility to 3 to 5 miles over the far
western Gulf and along the coast in the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between weak high pressure
over the eastern Gulf and a trough that extends along the coast
of Mexico from Tampico to Veracruz will support moderate to
fresh southeast winds and moderate seas over the western half of
the Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate
seas over the eastern part of the basin through Wed morning.
Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will pulse fresh to strong winds off
the Yucatan Peninsula this evening, then at mostly fresh speeds
through Fri night. A weak cold front will move into the far
northern Gulf Thu and begin to stall Thu night into Fri, perhaps
over waters further south. A strong cold front will emerge off
the Texas coast late Fri night, then reach from northern Florida
to the Bay of Campeche by late on Sat, and from central Florida to
the Yucatan peninsula on Sun. The front will be followed by fresh
to strong north to northeast winds, with near gale winds possible
offshore Tampico and Veracruz on Sat. Seas are forecast to build
to around 12 ft, or possibly even higher Sat and Sat night, then
slowly subside on Sun. There is a potential for the near gale
winds to reach gale force. Scattered showers and thunderstorms,
some possibly strong, are expected to precede the front. Mariners
should stay up to date with the latest forecast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Ridging north of the area is strong enough to support fresh to
locally strong trade winds off northeast Colombia and northwest
Venezuela, where seas are 5-6 ft. Fresh NE winds may be active
across the Windward Passage and Gulf of Honduras currently as
well. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds prevail elsewhere across
the basin, with 3-5 ft seas, except for 1-3 ft seas in the far
northwest Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and the Colombian low will support moderate to fresh
trades over the eastern and central Caribbean through Sunday,
reaching locally strong at times. In the Gulf of Honduras,
moderate to fresh east winds and moderate seas are expected
through Fri, then increasing to fresh to strong speeds through Sat
night before diminishing Sunday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N59W to 26N68W then is stationary to the
NW Bahamas, with a pre- frontal trough to its east from 27N60W to
20N65W. The supporting mid to upper trough has moved well east of
the front, and is maintaining scattered showers and thunderstorms
from 25N to 30N between 52W and 60W. Moderate to fresh NW winds
and 6-8 ft seas in N swell follow the front. Gentle to moderate
breezes and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere west of 55W. Farther east,
a front reaches from the eastern Azores to 26N30W to 21N38W. A
reinforcing cold front follows, reaching from low pressure over
the western Azores to 31N33W to 30N40W. Moderate NW winds and 5-7
ft seas in NW swell follow these fronts. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh E trade winds and 5-6 ft seas are noted south of 20N, and
gentle breezes with 4-5 ft seas noted north of 20N.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extending from 31N61W to just east of
the central Bahamas will move E of 55W on Wed. Another cold front
is expected to move offshore northeast Florida on Thu, and weaken
as it moves across the northern portions of the area through Fri
afternoon before passing E of 55W on Sat. A third cold front will
move off the coast of northeast Florida on Saturday. This front
will reach from 31N73W to central Florida on Sun.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 29 Apr 2026 07:20:07 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf