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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:24:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 091724
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Nov 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 996 mb low pressure is centered
    near 30N47W, moving NE at 10-15 kt. A warm front extends from the
    low to 25N31W. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed gale
    force SW winds occurring in the SE quadrant of the low, where buoy
    and altimeter data indicated seas of 10 to 16 ft in mixed swell.
    Across the remainder quadrants of the low, a broad zone of strong
    to near-gale force winds cover a region from 20N to 31N between
    34W and 60W. Buoy and altimeter data suggest that seas in this
    area are 8 to 13 ft in mixed NE and SW swell. Scattered to
    numerous moderate to strong convection is occurring mostly to east
    of this deep-layered low pressure system, from 25N to 31N between
    39W and 45W. The low will continue to move east-northeastward and
    accelerate, moving east of 35W by Tue night. The broad zone of
    strong to gale force SW winds occurring with the low will shift in
    sync with the low through Tue, generating very rough to high seas
    to around 20 ft before exiting the forecast area.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic waters near 11N15W to
    08N20W. The ITCZ extends from that point to 06N57W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough extends along coastal Deep South Texas to the NE
    Mexico offshore waters, and is generating scattered showers in
    that area. Moderate to fresh ESE winds and moderate seas in the 4
    to 6 ft range are W of 90W while light to gentle winds and slight
    seas are elsewhere E of 90W.

    For the forecast, high pressure across the area supports gentle
    to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW Gulf. Slight seas
    dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate seas elsewhere.
    Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the basin by
    midweek. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu and
    rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area Fri.
    The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong winds and
    building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Due to the gale-force low northeast of the Caribbean, the pressure
    gradient across forecast waters remains weak, promoting only
    gentle to moderate trade winds across much of the basin and seas
    of 2-4 ft. Recent scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh
    trades offshore NW Colombia. A surface trough in the SW Caribbean
    is generating scattered moderate convection over the waters
    offshore Honduras.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, except moderate to fresh
    in the central portion, along with slight to moderate seas,
    through today. Winds will strengthen to fresh to strong over the
    central Caribbean by Tue and then prevail through the week, with
    mainly moderate to locally fresh winds elsewhere, except weaker
    near Central America. Expect rough seas with the fresh to strong
    winds. Winds will weaken over the western portion of the basin
    toward the end of the week as a cold front approaches from the NW.
    The front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri, followed by moderate to
    fresh winds and building seas.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    A cold front extends from SE of Bermuda to the NW Bahamas where
    it transitions to a surface trough to the Florida Straits. West of
    62W, winds are gentle to moderate and seas are moderate. A cold
    front has moved E of the Canary Islands, with moderate to fresh NW
    winds and seas of 8-10 ft behind the front to 30W and N of 20N.
    Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail
    across much of the remaining Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong winds and
    rough to very rough seas cover the waters north of 20N and east of
    61W on the periphery of a gale low centered east of the area.
    These winds and seas will decrease from west to east through the
    early part of the week as the low shifts further from the forecast
    waters. Elsewhere, a cold front extends from 31N60W through a
    1015 mb low at 28N70W to the NW Bahamas then a trough continues to
    the Florida Keys. The front and low will move eastward over the
    waters north of 25N through midweek. Another, stronger, cold front
    will enter the NW waters toward the end of the week, ushering in
    fresh to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it.

    $$
    Adams/Juliano
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:24:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 091724
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Nov 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 996 mb low pressure is centered
    near 30N47W, moving NE at 10-15 kt. A warm front extends from the
    low to 25N31W. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed gale
    force SW winds occurring in the SE quadrant of the low, where buoy
    and altimeter data indicated seas of 10 to 16 ft in mixed swell.
    Across the remainder quadrants of the low, a broad zone of strong
    to near-gale force winds cover a region from 20N to 31N between
    34W and 60W. Buoy and altimeter data suggest that seas in this
    area are 8 to 13 ft in mixed NE and SW swell. Scattered to
    numerous moderate to strong convection is occurring mostly to east
    of this deep-layered low pressure system, from 25N to 31N between
    39W and 45W. The low will continue to move east-northeastward and
    accelerate, moving east of 35W by Tue night. The broad zone of
    strong to gale force SW winds occurring with the low will shift in
    sync with the low through Tue, generating very rough to high seas
    to around 20 ft before exiting the forecast area.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic waters near 11N15W to
    08N20W. The ITCZ extends from that point to 06N57W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough extends along coastal Deep South Texas to the NE
    Mexico offshore waters, and is generating scattered showers in
    that area. Moderate to fresh ESE winds and moderate seas in the 4
    to 6 ft range are W of 90W while light to gentle winds and slight
    seas are elsewhere E of 90W.

    For the forecast, high pressure across the area supports gentle
    to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW Gulf. Slight seas
    dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate seas elsewhere.
    Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the basin by
    midweek. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu and
    rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area Fri.
    The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong winds and
    building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Due to the gale-force low northeast of the Caribbean, the pressure
    gradient across forecast waters remains weak, promoting only
    gentle to moderate trade winds across much of the basin and seas
    of 2-4 ft. Recent scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh
    trades offshore NW Colombia. A surface trough in the SW Caribbean
    is generating scattered moderate convection over the waters
    offshore Honduras.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, except moderate to fresh
    in the central portion, along with slight to moderate seas,
    through today. Winds will strengthen to fresh to strong over the
    central Caribbean by Tue and then prevail through the week, with
    mainly moderate to locally fresh winds elsewhere, except weaker
    near Central America. Expect rough seas with the fresh to strong
    winds. Winds will weaken over the western portion of the basin
    toward the end of the week as a cold front approaches from the NW.
    The front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri, followed by moderate to
    fresh winds and building seas.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    A cold front extends from SE of Bermuda to the NW Bahamas where
    it transitions to a surface trough to the Florida Straits. West of
    62W, winds are gentle to moderate and seas are moderate. A cold
    front has moved E of the Canary Islands, with moderate to fresh NW
    winds and seas of 8-10 ft behind the front to 30W and N of 20N.
    Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail
    across much of the remaining Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong winds and
    rough to very rough seas cover the waters north of 20N and east of
    61W on the periphery of a gale low centered east of the area.
    These winds and seas will decrease from west to east through the
    early part of the week as the low shifts further from the forecast
    waters. Elsewhere, a cold front extends from 31N60W through a
    1015 mb low at 28N70W to the NW Bahamas then a trough continues to
    the Florida Keys. The front and low will move eastward over the
    waters north of 25N through midweek. Another, stronger, cold front
    will enter the NW waters toward the end of the week, ushering in
    fresh to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it.

    $$
    Adams/Juliano
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 05:05:14 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:57:19 GMT
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:05:14 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 091705
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:01:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 091701
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1200 PM EST MON 09 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-162

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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