2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 18 Apr 2026 23:26:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    952
    AXNT20 KNHC 182326
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Apr 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis is confined to mostly over the African
    Continent. To its south, an ITCZ extends from 03N13W to 00N30W
    to 01N40W and to 00N49W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 35W-38W.
    Scattered moderate convection is within 180 nm south of the ITCZ
    between 13W-20W, and also south of the ITCZ west of 39W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge axis extends southwestward from a 1016 mb high near the
    Florida Big Bend area to near Tampico, Mexico. Gentle to moderate
    southeast winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are seen over the western
    Gulf per latest scatterometer satellite data, buoy observations
    and recent altimeter satellite data. Light to gentle winds and
    seas of 2 ft or less are over most of the eastern Gulf areas.
    Mostly gentle southeast winds along with seas of 2 to 4 ft are
    over the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will shift eastward
    this evening ahead of a strong cold front that will move off the
    Texas coast overnight. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds
    and building seas will follow the cold front as it moves across
    the northern Gulf tonight through the early part of the week. The
    front will stall from the Florida Straits to south Texas by late Mon
    then dissipate into mid week. Looking ahead, fresh southeast winds
    will return to the northwest Gulf by late Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad mid to upper-level trough stretches from the central
    Atlantic southwestward to the central Caribbean. To its east,
    a moist and unstable air mass is helping to promote isolated
    showers over the eastern section of the sea. The latest
    scatterometer satellite data generally reveals gentle to moderate
    trades east of about 72W. Seas are mostly 3 to 4 ft over this
    part of the basin. The scatterometer satellite data also
    indicates light to gentle winds over the remainder of the sea.
    Seas with these winds remain at 1 to 3 ft.

    Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are over northern
    Colombia and the northwest section of Venezuela. Similar activity
    is over the most of the interior of Hispaniola and over
    southeastern and south-central Cuba. This activity reaches
    the immediate coastal waters.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will
    support mainly gentle to moderate winds through midweek next
    week. Fresh northeast winds may develop early next week across
    the Windward Passage associated with a late-season cold front
    moving into Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed from 31N69W to 28N74W and to the
    northern Bahamas. An area of scattered showers and thunderstorms
    is southeast of this trough from 28N to 31N between 67W and 69W.
    Isolated showers are elsewhere north of 24N between 61W and 70W.
    Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for any additional
    weather in the Atlantic Basin. To the west of the same trough
    a weak 1017 mb high is near 30N77W, with associated weak ridging
    west and southwest of the trough. To the east-northeast, a rather
    large 1022 mb high center is north of the area at 33N48W. This
    feature controls the wind flow pattern across most of the
    western and central Atlantic. Its associated gradient is
    maintaining light to gentle winds north of 25N and between 35W
    and 45W. Seas with these winds are about 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to
    locally fresh northeast to east winds are over the rest of the
    basin east of 35W along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the weak high pressure ridging
    over the western Atlantic will shift eastward tonight ahead of a
    cold front that will move off the northeast Florida coast on
    Sun. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas will follow the
    front as it reaches a position from near Bermuda to the Straits
    of Florida by late Mon, and from near 31N60W to central Cuba by
    late Tue. Looking ahead, winds will diminish through mid week as
    the front stalls and dissipates along 22N and high pressure
    builds between northeast Florida and Bermuda following the front.
    Large N swell may linger near the dissipating front Wed into
    Thu.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 18 Apr 2026 23:26:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    952
    AXNT20 KNHC 182326
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Apr 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis is confined to mostly over the African
    Continent. To its south, an ITCZ extends from 03N13W to 00N30W
    to 01N40W and to 00N49W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is within 120 nm north of the ITCZ between 35W-38W.
    Scattered moderate convection is within 180 nm south of the ITCZ
    between 13W-20W, and also south of the ITCZ west of 39W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge axis extends southwestward from a 1016 mb high near the
    Florida Big Bend area to near Tampico, Mexico. Gentle to moderate
    southeast winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are seen over the western
    Gulf per latest scatterometer satellite data, buoy observations
    and recent altimeter satellite data. Light to gentle winds and
    seas of 2 ft or less are over most of the eastern Gulf areas.
    Mostly gentle southeast winds along with seas of 2 to 4 ft are
    over the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will shift eastward
    this evening ahead of a strong cold front that will move off the
    Texas coast overnight. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds
    and building seas will follow the cold front as it moves across
    the northern Gulf tonight through the early part of the week. The
    front will stall from the Florida Straits to south Texas by late Mon
    then dissipate into mid week. Looking ahead, fresh southeast winds
    will return to the northwest Gulf by late Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad mid to upper-level trough stretches from the central
    Atlantic southwestward to the central Caribbean. To its east,
    a moist and unstable air mass is helping to promote isolated
    showers over the eastern section of the sea. The latest
    scatterometer satellite data generally reveals gentle to moderate
    trades east of about 72W. Seas are mostly 3 to 4 ft over this
    part of the basin. The scatterometer satellite data also
    indicates light to gentle winds over the remainder of the sea.
    Seas with these winds remain at 1 to 3 ft.

    Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are over northern
    Colombia and the northwest section of Venezuela. Similar activity
    is over the most of the interior of Hispaniola and over
    southeastern and south-central Cuba. This activity reaches
    the immediate coastal waters.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will
    support mainly gentle to moderate winds through midweek next
    week. Fresh northeast winds may develop early next week across
    the Windward Passage associated with a late-season cold front
    moving into Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed from 31N69W to 28N74W and to the
    northern Bahamas. An area of scattered showers and thunderstorms
    is southeast of this trough from 28N to 31N between 67W and 69W.
    Isolated showers are elsewhere north of 24N between 61W and 70W.
    Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for any additional
    weather in the Atlantic Basin. To the west of the same trough
    a weak 1017 mb high is near 30N77W, with associated weak ridging
    west and southwest of the trough. To the east-northeast, a rather
    large 1022 mb high center is north of the area at 33N48W. This
    feature controls the wind flow pattern across most of the
    western and central Atlantic. Its associated gradient is
    maintaining light to gentle winds north of 25N and between 35W
    and 45W. Seas with these winds are about 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to
    locally fresh northeast to east winds are over the rest of the
    basin east of 35W along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the weak high pressure ridging
    over the western Atlantic will shift eastward tonight ahead of a
    cold front that will move off the northeast Florida coast on
    Sun. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas will follow the
    front as it reaches a position from near Bermuda to the Straits
    of Florida by late Mon, and from near 31N60W to central Cuba by
    late Tue. Looking ahead, winds will diminish through mid week as
    the front stalls and dissipates along 22N and high pressure
    builds between northeast Florida and Bermuda following the front.
    Large N swell may linger near the dissipating front Wed into
    Thu.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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