2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 28 Feb 2026 10:07:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 281007
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Feb 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0955 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for
    the Canarias and Agadir Marine Zones of Meteo France. The
    forecast calls for NE winds to Force 8 on the Beaufort Wind
    Scale, with severe gusts between the Canary Islands through at
    least 01/0000 UTC. Seas currently range from 9 to 13 ft N of 10N
    and E of 30W based on a recent altimeter pass. Higher seas of 12
    to 15 ft are possible just N of the Canary Islands.

    For more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
    issued by Meteo-France at website:
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiches/2

    Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell Event: A robust
    high pressure system near the Azores is maintaining fresh to
    near gale-force trade winds across the eastern and central
    Atlantic. Wind waves generated by these winds will continue to
    generate seas of 8 to 13 ft across most of the waters between 20W
    and 60W, with highest seas E of 40W. This event will persist
    through early next week, while drifting SW.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N14W, then extends southwestward to 05N18W. The ITCZ
    continues from 05N18W to the coast of Brazil near 04S38W.
    Scattered moderate convection is observed south of 06N and east of
    30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend region to a
    1013 mb low pres near 27N87W and then to the south Texas coast. A
    few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the SE Gulf
    waters. A weak pressure gradient dominates the Gulf, resulting in
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the storm activity will progress southeastward
    this morning and weaken. The weak front will slowly sink
    southeastward and exit the basin tonight. Later, a strong high
    pressure system will build west-southwestward over the area from
    the N Atlantic beginning on Sun night, with the related gradient
    generally supporting moderate to fresh east to southeast winds
    across the Gulf. Locally strong winds will occur at night off N
    Yucatan Tue and Wed.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A strong high pressure system centered over the central Atlantic
    combines with the Colombian low to support fresh to near gale-
    force trade winds over the central Caribbean. Seas are 7 to 10 ft
    with these winds. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    dominate the eastern Caribbean, while mainly gentle to moderate E
    to SE winds with moderate seas are noted over the NW part of the
    basin. Seas to 8 ft are noted across the Atlantic passages in the
    Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast, an expansive subtropical ridge over the central
    Atlantic will support fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds
    and moderate to rough seas across the central and eastern Caribbean
    over the next several days. A tighter pressure gradient will
    initiate gale-force winds off Colombia at night Mon through at least
    late next week and support locally very rough seas. Fresh to strong
    trades expected elsewhere across most of the central and eastern
    portions of the basin. In the meantime, rough seas in mixed swell
    will prevail in the tropical N Atlantic through the forecast period,
    with seas to 12 ft reaching 55W Mon. Elsewhere, little change is
    expected with moderate to fresh trades continuing through the
    period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A Gale warning is in effect E of 35W. Please, see the Special
    Features section for more information.

    A nearly stationary front has exited the coast off NE Florida,
    supporting numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms W of 75W
    and N of 27N. Meanwhile, a 1034 mb high pressure system located
    near the Azores extends an extensive ridge across the entire
    Atlantic forecast waters. The tight pressure gradient between the
    ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics and western Africa
    result in fresh to near gale-force easterly winds and rough to
    very rough seas over much of the central and eastern Atlantic.
    Moderate to fresh easterly winds and rough seas are found north of
    20N and between 50W and 65W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front is expected
    to move slowly southeastward and weaken across the waters W of
    65W through Sun night before dissipating. Elsewhere, high pressure
    over the central Atlantic continues to maintain control over much
    of the western Atlantic while rough seas prevail over the SE
    waters. Another cold front is expected to enter the northern
    waters early next week and gradually shift southeastward and
    weaken. Fresh to near gale-force easterly winds and rough to very
    rough seas, peaking around 14 ft, are forecast behind the front
    Mon through Tue night north of 27N. High pressure will build by
    the middle of next week resulting in moderate to fresh winds and
    rough seas over much of the basin.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 28 Feb 2026 10:07:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 281007
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Feb 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0955 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: A Gale Warning remains in effect for
    the Canarias and Agadir Marine Zones of Meteo France. The
    forecast calls for NE winds to Force 8 on the Beaufort Wind
    Scale, with severe gusts between the Canary Islands through at
    least 01/0000 UTC. Seas currently range from 9 to 13 ft N of 10N
    and E of 30W based on a recent altimeter pass. Higher seas of 12
    to 15 ft are possible just N of the Canary Islands.

    For more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
    issued by Meteo-France at website:
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiches/2

    Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell Event: A robust
    high pressure system near the Azores is maintaining fresh to
    near gale-force trade winds across the eastern and central
    Atlantic. Wind waves generated by these winds will continue to
    generate seas of 8 to 13 ft across most of the waters between 20W
    and 60W, with highest seas E of 40W. This event will persist
    through early next week, while drifting SW.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N14W, then extends southwestward to 05N18W. The ITCZ
    continues from 05N18W to the coast of Brazil near 04S38W.
    Scattered moderate convection is observed south of 06N and east of
    30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Florida Big Bend region to a
    1013 mb low pres near 27N87W and then to the south Texas coast. A
    few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the SE Gulf
    waters. A weak pressure gradient dominates the Gulf, resulting in
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the storm activity will progress southeastward
    this morning and weaken. The weak front will slowly sink
    southeastward and exit the basin tonight. Later, a strong high
    pressure system will build west-southwestward over the area from
    the N Atlantic beginning on Sun night, with the related gradient
    generally supporting moderate to fresh east to southeast winds
    across the Gulf. Locally strong winds will occur at night off N
    Yucatan Tue and Wed.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A strong high pressure system centered over the central Atlantic
    combines with the Colombian low to support fresh to near gale-
    force trade winds over the central Caribbean. Seas are 7 to 10 ft
    with these winds. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    dominate the eastern Caribbean, while mainly gentle to moderate E
    to SE winds with moderate seas are noted over the NW part of the
    basin. Seas to 8 ft are noted across the Atlantic passages in the
    Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast, an expansive subtropical ridge over the central
    Atlantic will support fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds
    and moderate to rough seas across the central and eastern Caribbean
    over the next several days. A tighter pressure gradient will
    initiate gale-force winds off Colombia at night Mon through at least
    late next week and support locally very rough seas. Fresh to strong
    trades expected elsewhere across most of the central and eastern
    portions of the basin. In the meantime, rough seas in mixed swell
    will prevail in the tropical N Atlantic through the forecast period,
    with seas to 12 ft reaching 55W Mon. Elsewhere, little change is
    expected with moderate to fresh trades continuing through the
    period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A Gale warning is in effect E of 35W. Please, see the Special
    Features section for more information.

    A nearly stationary front has exited the coast off NE Florida,
    supporting numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms W of 75W
    and N of 27N. Meanwhile, a 1034 mb high pressure system located
    near the Azores extends an extensive ridge across the entire
    Atlantic forecast waters. The tight pressure gradient between the
    ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics and western Africa
    result in fresh to near gale-force easterly winds and rough to
    very rough seas over much of the central and eastern Atlantic.
    Moderate to fresh easterly winds and rough seas are found north of
    20N and between 50W and 65W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front is expected
    to move slowly southeastward and weaken across the waters W of
    65W through Sun night before dissipating. Elsewhere, high pressure
    over the central Atlantic continues to maintain control over much
    of the western Atlantic while rough seas prevail over the SE
    waters. Another cold front is expected to enter the northern
    waters early next week and gradually shift southeastward and
    weaken. Fresh to near gale-force easterly winds and rough to very
    rough seas, peaking around 14 ft, are forecast behind the front
    Mon through Tue night north of 27N. High pressure will build by
    the middle of next week resulting in moderate to fresh winds and
    rough seas over much of the basin.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 27 Feb 2026 17:15:26 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271715
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1215 PM EST FRI 27 FEBRUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 01/1100Z MARCH 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-089

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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