2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 19 Apr 2026 04:17:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 190417
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Apr 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is analyzed from 14N17W to 04N20W. The ITCZ
    continues from that point to 03S40W. Scattered moderate to
    strong convection is noted within 200 nm on either side of the
    ITCZ and W of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1017 mb
    high centered near 28N86W. Gentle to moderate southeast winds and
    seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted over the western Gulf per latest
    scatterometer satellite data, buoy observations and recent
    altimeter satellite data. Light to gentle winds and seas of 2 ft
    or less are over the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast, a cold front will move off the Texas coast
    overnight. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will
    follow the cold front as it moves across the northern Gulf
    through the early part of the week. The front will stall from the
    Florida Straits to south Texas by late Mon then dissipate into mid
    week. Fresh SE winds will return to the northwest Gulf by late
    Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad mid to upper-level trough stretches from the central
    Atlantic southwestward to the central Caribbean. To its east,
    a moist and unstable air mass is helping to promote scattered
    showers over the eastern portion of the basin. The latest
    scatterometer satellite data generally reveals gentle to moderate
    trades east of about 72W. Seas are mostly 3 to 4 ft over this part
    of the basin. Light to gentle winds prevail over the remainder of
    the basin. Seas with these winds remain at 1 to 3 ft.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will support
    mainly gentle to moderate winds through the forecast period.
    Fresh NE winds may develop early next week across the Windward
    Passage associated with a late- season cold front moving into
    Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed from 29N71W to 23N73W. To the east,
    a broad 1026 mb high center is north of the area at 33N49W. This
    feature controls the wind flow pattern across most of the western
    and central Atlantic. Its associated gradient is maintaining light
    to gentle winds north of 25N and between 35W and 45W. Seas with
    these winds are about 4 to 6 ft. A 1010 mb surface low is analyzed
    near 26N19W. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are over
    the rest of the basin east of 35W along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridging over the western
    Atlantic will shift east tonight, ahead of a cold front that will
    move off the northeast Florida coast on Sun. Fresh to strong N to
    NE winds and rough seas will follow the front as it reaches a
    position from Bermuda to Florida Straits by late Mon, and from
    31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue. Winds will diminish through
    mid week as the front stalls and dissipates along 22N. High
    pressure will build between northeast Florida and Bermuda in the
    wake of the front. Large N swell may linger near the dissipating
    front Wed into Thu.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 19 Apr 2026 04:17:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 190417
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Apr 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is analyzed from 14N17W to 04N20W. The ITCZ
    continues from that point to 03S40W. Scattered moderate to
    strong convection is noted within 200 nm on either side of the
    ITCZ and W of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1017 mb
    high centered near 28N86W. Gentle to moderate southeast winds and
    seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted over the western Gulf per latest
    scatterometer satellite data, buoy observations and recent
    altimeter satellite data. Light to gentle winds and seas of 2 ft
    or less are over the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast, a cold front will move off the Texas coast
    overnight. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will
    follow the cold front as it moves across the northern Gulf
    through the early part of the week. The front will stall from the
    Florida Straits to south Texas by late Mon then dissipate into mid
    week. Fresh SE winds will return to the northwest Gulf by late
    Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad mid to upper-level trough stretches from the central
    Atlantic southwestward to the central Caribbean. To its east,
    a moist and unstable air mass is helping to promote scattered
    showers over the eastern portion of the basin. The latest
    scatterometer satellite data generally reveals gentle to moderate
    trades east of about 72W. Seas are mostly 3 to 4 ft over this part
    of the basin. Light to gentle winds prevail over the remainder of
    the basin. Seas with these winds remain at 1 to 3 ft.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will support
    mainly gentle to moderate winds through the forecast period.
    Fresh NE winds may develop early next week across the Windward
    Passage associated with a late- season cold front moving into
    Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed from 29N71W to 23N73W. To the east,
    a broad 1026 mb high center is north of the area at 33N49W. This
    feature controls the wind flow pattern across most of the western
    and central Atlantic. Its associated gradient is maintaining light
    to gentle winds north of 25N and between 35W and 45W. Seas with
    these winds are about 4 to 6 ft. A 1010 mb surface low is analyzed
    near 26N19W. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are over
    the rest of the basin east of 35W along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridging over the western
    Atlantic will shift east tonight, ahead of a cold front that will
    move off the northeast Florida coast on Sun. Fresh to strong N to
    NE winds and rough seas will follow the front as it reaches a
    position from Bermuda to Florida Straits by late Mon, and from
    31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue. Winds will diminish through
    mid week as the front stalls and dissipates along 22N. High
    pressure will build between northeast Florida and Bermuda in the
    wake of the front. Large N swell may linger near the dissipating
    front Wed into Thu.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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