2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 11 May 2026 16:33:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    856
    AXNT20 KNHC 111633
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon May 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1633 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been repositioned
    to 27W, from 01S to 10N. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
    from 04S to 04.5N between 24W and 29W.

    A tropical wave has its axis near 58W S of 14N, moving westward
    at 5 to 10 kt. The wave is supporting moderate convection
    offshore Suriname and Guyana.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 11N16W and continues SW to 04N23W. The ITCZ extends
    from 01N29W to 03N50W. Aside from the convection associated with
    the tropical wave, scattered moderate convection is noted from
    03N to 05N between 18W and 23W. Similar convection is depicted
    from 00N to 04N between 29W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front is moving off the Texas coast this morning.
    Ahead of the front, scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    affecting mainly the north-central basin. Gusty winds to 30 kt and
    rough seas are likely near these showers and thunderstorms. A
    weak pressure gradient pattern is supporting moderate or weaker
    winds and 1 to 3 ft seas south of 24N and west of 87W. Elsewhere,
    light and variable winds along with seas 1 to 3 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, the weak cold front will steadily move
    southeastward and extend from the Big Bend of Florida to the Bay
    of Campeche Tue morning, then stall and dissipate by Wed. Winds
    are generally moderate or weaker with the front, though showers
    and thunderstorms will continue today and tonight along the front.
    High pressure and quiescent conditions will dominate on Wed and
    Thu. Looking ahead, another weak cold front should enter the NE
    Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Dry weather conditions persist across the Caribbean Sea. The
    subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to locally fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, gentle or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, a moderate gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
    High north of the area and the Colombian Low will continue to
    force fresh to strong NE to E trades over the S central Caribbean
    for the next several days. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades are
    forecast across the remainder of forecast waters. Large E swell
    will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters from Tue night into the
    weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft and abundant moisture inflow from the Gulf of
    America result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the offshore waters N of 27N and W of 64W. The remainder of
    the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge
    that is supporting moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas south
    of 25N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front will reach the
    waters off of NE Florida early tomorrow morning, extend along 30N
    and becoming stationary Wed morning, then lifting north of our
    waters as a warm front by Thu morning. While winds should be fresh
    or weaker in association with the front, scattered showers and
    thunderstorms should continue along the front. Looking ahead,
    another weak cold front will reach the Atlantic from NE Florida on
    Thu, and reaching from 31N70W to 26N72W Fri morning. S winds
    ahead of the front north of 28N will be fresh to strong.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 11 May 2026 16:33:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    856
    AXNT20 KNHC 111633
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon May 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1633 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been repositioned
    to 27W, from 01S to 10N. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
    from 04S to 04.5N between 24W and 29W.

    A tropical wave has its axis near 58W S of 14N, moving westward
    at 5 to 10 kt. The wave is supporting moderate convection
    offshore Suriname and Guyana.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 11N16W and continues SW to 04N23W. The ITCZ extends
    from 01N29W to 03N50W. Aside from the convection associated with
    the tropical wave, scattered moderate convection is noted from
    03N to 05N between 18W and 23W. Similar convection is depicted
    from 00N to 04N between 29W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front is moving off the Texas coast this morning.
    Ahead of the front, scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    affecting mainly the north-central basin. Gusty winds to 30 kt and
    rough seas are likely near these showers and thunderstorms. A
    weak pressure gradient pattern is supporting moderate or weaker
    winds and 1 to 3 ft seas south of 24N and west of 87W. Elsewhere,
    light and variable winds along with seas 1 to 3 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, the weak cold front will steadily move
    southeastward and extend from the Big Bend of Florida to the Bay
    of Campeche Tue morning, then stall and dissipate by Wed. Winds
    are generally moderate or weaker with the front, though showers
    and thunderstorms will continue today and tonight along the front.
    High pressure and quiescent conditions will dominate on Wed and
    Thu. Looking ahead, another weak cold front should enter the NE
    Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Dry weather conditions persist across the Caribbean Sea. The
    subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to locally fresh
    easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, gentle or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, a moderate gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
    High north of the area and the Colombian Low will continue to
    force fresh to strong NE to E trades over the S central Caribbean
    for the next several days. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades are
    forecast across the remainder of forecast waters. Large E swell
    will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters from Tue night into the
    weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft and abundant moisture inflow from the Gulf of
    America result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the offshore waters N of 27N and W of 64W. The remainder of
    the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge
    that is supporting moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas south
    of 25N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front will reach the
    waters off of NE Florida early tomorrow morning, extend along 30N
    and becoming stationary Wed morning, then lifting north of our
    waters as a warm front by Thu morning. While winds should be fresh
    or weaker in association with the front, scattered showers and
    thunderstorms should continue along the front. Looking ahead,
    another weak cold front will reach the Atlantic from NE Florida on
    Thu, and reaching from 31N70W to 26N72W Fri morning. S winds
    ahead of the front north of 28N will be fresh to strong.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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