SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 18 Nov 2025 09:58:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180958
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Nov 18 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from near 14N17W to 10N22W. The ITCZ
extends 10N22W to 03N48W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted within 180 nm S of the monsoon trough and
within 90 nm on either side of the ITCZ axis.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak stationary front that had been over the NE Gulf has
dissipated early this morning. A surface trough has drifted west
offshore the Yucatan Peninsula. High pressure centered north of
the area is the dominant feature influencing Gulf weather this
morning, inducing gentle to moderate SE winds over the central and
western Gulf, and light winds over the eastern Gulf. Seas 2 to 4
ft in the western basin, and less than 2 ft in the east.
For the forecast, high pressure will build south toward the NE
Gulf, allowing moderate to fresh SW winds to establish tonight
through Thu over the central and western Gulf. Looking ahead, a
weak cold front is likely to move into the northern Gulf by the
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weak low of 1013 mb is spinning midway between the Isle of
Youth, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. This low is supporting
scattered moderate convection over the offshore waters of central
Cuba. Gentle to moderate NE winds are noted on the NW quadrant of
the low center. Low pressure along the Colombian coast is also
causing scattered moderate convection offshore Colombia and
eastern Panama. Aside from the near aforementioned low, light to
gentle winds dominate the NW Caribbean, with mainly gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere, except locally fresh winds offshore
Colombia. Seas are less than 2 ft in the NW basin, 2 to 4 ft
elsewhere, with 4 to 6 ft offshore Colombia.
For the forecast, the low pressure center in the NW Caribbean
will devolve into a surface trough today, move W to the Yucatan
Channel tonight, then dissipate Wed. High pressure building from
the north will gradually cause tradewinds to return to normal
magnitude by mid- week, with moderate to locally fresh NE to E
winds expected Wed into the weekend. Pulsing strong winds are
likely offshore Colombia during the overnight and early morning
hours.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak and slow moving cold front extends from near 31N63W to
the NW Bahamas. N of the front, moderate N winds are ongoing,
along with moderate, but decaying, seas. To the east, a surface
trough that stretches from 30N58W to 23N62W is inducing scattered
moderate convection N of 25N between 55W and 62W. Still farther E,
a stationary front from 31N38W to 22N45W has scattered moderate
convection within 90 nm W of it to the N of 25N. A surface trough
is east of the Windward Islands along 56W. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 08N to 12N between 48W and 57W in
association with this trough. The tropical Atlantic S of 20N is
dominated by moderate to fresh trades and seas of 5 to 8 ft.
Similar conditions in NE winds are noted for all waters E of 35W.
For the remainder of the basin, moderate or lighter winds prevail,
with generally moderate seas. Rough seas in N swell are impacting
waters N of 28N between 50W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
slide E today and weaken, stall tonight from around 31N58W to
27N70W, then dissipate Wed. High pressure will build S toward the
waters in the wake of the front through late week, leading to
gentle breezes N of 25N and moderate E winds to the south. Seas
will gradually decay from moderate to slight from west to east
across the area through late week. Looking ahead, SW winds may
increase slightly off northeast Florida late Fri through Sat ahead
of a weak cold front moving through the southeast U.S.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 18 Nov 2025 09:58:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180958
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Nov 18 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from near 14N17W to 10N22W. The ITCZ
extends 10N22W to 03N48W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted within 180 nm S of the monsoon trough and
within 90 nm on either side of the ITCZ axis.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak stationary front that had been over the NE Gulf has
dissipated early this morning. A surface trough has drifted west
offshore the Yucatan Peninsula. High pressure centered north of
the area is the dominant feature influencing Gulf weather this
morning, inducing gentle to moderate SE winds over the central and
western Gulf, and light winds over the eastern Gulf. Seas 2 to 4
ft in the western basin, and less than 2 ft in the east.
For the forecast, high pressure will build south toward the NE
Gulf, allowing moderate to fresh SW winds to establish tonight
through Thu over the central and western Gulf. Looking ahead, a
weak cold front is likely to move into the northern Gulf by the
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weak low of 1013 mb is spinning midway between the Isle of
Youth, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. This low is supporting
scattered moderate convection over the offshore waters of central
Cuba. Gentle to moderate NE winds are noted on the NW quadrant of
the low center. Low pressure along the Colombian coast is also
causing scattered moderate convection offshore Colombia and
eastern Panama. Aside from the near aforementioned low, light to
gentle winds dominate the NW Caribbean, with mainly gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere, except locally fresh winds offshore
Colombia. Seas are less than 2 ft in the NW basin, 2 to 4 ft
elsewhere, with 4 to 6 ft offshore Colombia.
For the forecast, the low pressure center in the NW Caribbean
will devolve into a surface trough today, move W to the Yucatan
Channel tonight, then dissipate Wed. High pressure building from
the north will gradually cause tradewinds to return to normal
magnitude by mid- week, with moderate to locally fresh NE to E
winds expected Wed into the weekend. Pulsing strong winds are
likely offshore Colombia during the overnight and early morning
hours.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak and slow moving cold front extends from near 31N63W to
the NW Bahamas. N of the front, moderate N winds are ongoing,
along with moderate, but decaying, seas. To the east, a surface
trough that stretches from 30N58W to 23N62W is inducing scattered
moderate convection N of 25N between 55W and 62W. Still farther E,
a stationary front from 31N38W to 22N45W has scattered moderate
convection within 90 nm W of it to the N of 25N. A surface trough
is east of the Windward Islands along 56W. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 08N to 12N between 48W and 57W in
association with this trough. The tropical Atlantic S of 20N is
dominated by moderate to fresh trades and seas of 5 to 8 ft.
Similar conditions in NE winds are noted for all waters E of 35W.
For the remainder of the basin, moderate or lighter winds prevail,
with generally moderate seas. Rough seas in N swell are impacting
waters N of 28N between 50W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
slide E today and weaken, stall tonight from around 31N58W to
27N70W, then dissipate Wed. High pressure will build S toward the
waters in the wake of the front through late week, leading to
gentle breezes N of 25N and moderate E winds to the south. Seas
will gradually decay from moderate to slight from west to east
across the area through late week. Looking ahead, SW winds may
increase slightly off northeast Florida late Fri through Sat ahead
of a weak cold front moving through the southeast U.S.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 19 Nov 2025 23:17:26 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 18 Nov 2025 12:10:09 GMT - Tue, 18 Nov 2025 11:17:26 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 181117
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Bucci
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 17 Nov 2025 16:36:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
485
NOUS42 KNHC 171636
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EST MON 17 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-170
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
21/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf