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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 11 May 2026 03:15:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
681
AXNT20 KNHC 110315
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon May 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0305 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
broad western Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower
pressure in northern South America will maintain fresh to strong
trades along with rough seas over the south-central Caribbean
Sea during the next several days. These trades are forecast to
reach near-gale to gale-force tonight off northwest Colombia with
seas building to a peak of 12 ft.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 21W, south
of 10N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed south of 05N and between 20W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 57W, south of
10N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The wave is enhancing
convection in NE South America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 12N16W to 08N17W. The ITCZ extends from 08N17W to
04N20W and then from 02N22W to 02S45W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted south of 05N and between 25W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft is producing widespread cloudiness, scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms across the western and northern
Gulf waters. The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic extends
westward into the Gulf, supporting moderate to fresh easterly
winds and seas of 3-5 ft south of 25N and between 86W and 93W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail.
For the forecast, a cold front will move off the Texas coast early Mon
morning, with thunderstorms ahead of it. This front will move SE
and stretch from near Tampa Bay to the Bay of Campeche Tue, then
stall over the far SE basin Wed. Ahead of the front, fresh to
locally strong SE winds will pulse tonight and Mon night
offshore the Yucatan Peninsula as a surface trough moves
offshore.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section above for information
about expected gale conditions offshore Colombia tonight.
Dry weather conditions persist across the Caribbean Sea. The
subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the
central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, a tight gradient between strong high pressure
centered over the north Atlantic and low pressure over NW
Colombia will support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
rough seas in the central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Fri night, except Wed when winds are forecast to be
moderate to fresh. However, gale-force NE winds are forecast to
pulse tonight offshore Colombia. In the Gulf of Honduras, E to SE
winds will pulse at night tonight and Mon night. Otherwise, moderate
to fresh trades are forecast across the eastern Caribbean through
the period with moderate or weaker winds prevailing elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and a weak surface trough result in scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 74W. The remainder of
the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of an extensive
subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and
seas of 5-8 ft south o 25N and west of 40W. Moderate to fresh N-NE
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found east of 40W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front is expected to reach
the waters off NE Florida Mon and move eastward while weakening
Tue and Wed. Fresh to locally strong winds and rough seas will
follow the front before it weakens and conditions improve Tue
night. Along and ahead of the front, thunderstorms, some strong,
are expected. Starting mid-week, high pressure building over the
central Atlantic will support moderate to fresh SE-S winds and
moderate to rough seas E of 70W.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 11 May 2026 03:15:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
681
AXNT20 KNHC 110315
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon May 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0305 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
broad western Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower
pressure in northern South America will maintain fresh to strong
trades along with rough seas over the south-central Caribbean
Sea during the next several days. These trades are forecast to
reach near-gale to gale-force tonight off northwest Colombia with
seas building to a peak of 12 ft.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 21W, south
of 10N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed south of 05N and between 20W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 57W, south of
10N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The wave is enhancing
convection in NE South America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 12N16W to 08N17W. The ITCZ extends from 08N17W to
04N20W and then from 02N22W to 02S45W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted south of 05N and between 25W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft is producing widespread cloudiness, scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms across the western and northern
Gulf waters. The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic extends
westward into the Gulf, supporting moderate to fresh easterly
winds and seas of 3-5 ft south of 25N and between 86W and 93W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail.
For the forecast, a cold front will move off the Texas coast early Mon
morning, with thunderstorms ahead of it. This front will move SE
and stretch from near Tampa Bay to the Bay of Campeche Tue, then
stall over the far SE basin Wed. Ahead of the front, fresh to
locally strong SE winds will pulse tonight and Mon night
offshore the Yucatan Peninsula as a surface trough moves
offshore.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section above for information
about expected gale conditions offshore Colombia tonight.
Dry weather conditions persist across the Caribbean Sea. The
subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the
central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, a tight gradient between strong high pressure
centered over the north Atlantic and low pressure over NW
Colombia will support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
rough seas in the central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Fri night, except Wed when winds are forecast to be
moderate to fresh. However, gale-force NE winds are forecast to
pulse tonight offshore Colombia. In the Gulf of Honduras, E to SE
winds will pulse at night tonight and Mon night. Otherwise, moderate
to fresh trades are forecast across the eastern Caribbean through
the period with moderate or weaker winds prevailing elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and a weak surface trough result in scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 74W. The remainder of
the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of an extensive
subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and
seas of 5-8 ft south o 25N and west of 40W. Moderate to fresh N-NE
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found east of 40W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front is expected to reach
the waters off NE Florida Mon and move eastward while weakening
Tue and Wed. Fresh to locally strong winds and rough seas will
follow the front before it weakens and conditions improve Tue
night. Along and ahead of the front, thunderstorms, some strong,
are expected. Starting mid-week, high pressure building over the
central Atlantic will support moderate to fresh SE-S winds and
moderate to rough seas E of 70W.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 11 May 2026 05:00:06 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf