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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 15 May 2026 23:50:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152350
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W, from 12N southward,
and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Widely scattered moderate
convection is noted ahead of the wave from 02N to 04N between 36W
and 38W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 57W, from 13N southward
into western Suriname, and moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen across
Guyana and Suriname.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Saloum Delta area in
Senegal, then curves southwestward to 03N26W. An ITCZ continues
from 03N26W to 01N32W, then westward from 00N36W to near the
Amazon River Delta, Brazil. Numerous moderate to scattered strong
convection is present near and south of the monsoon trough from
02N to 07N and east of 24W. Widely scattered moderate convection
is seen up to 150 nm along either side of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge reaches southwestward from a 1018 mb high near
the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Light to
gentle winds and seas at 1 to 2 ft are present the eastern half of
the Gulf. Moderate to fresh NE to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are
noted off northern Yucatan Peninsula, and the coast of southern
Texas and northeastern Mexico. Mainly gentle winds and seas of 2
to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate into early next
week. As low pressure deepens over Texas, the pressure gradient
will tighten, causing moderate to fresh SE winds off the Texas
and Mexico coast to expand across the entire western Gulf this
weekend, then continue through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Tight gradient between a broad surface ridge near 24N and a 1008
mb low near the Colombia-Venezuela border is sustaining fresh to
strong NE to E winds and 6 to 9 ft seas at the south-central
basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 3 to 6 ft are
evident at the northwestern and waters north of Costa Rica and
Panama. Moderate to fresh E winds with 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere
in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, fresh to near-gale trades across the central
basin, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Honduras will persist into midweek next week. Moderate to
fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the basin,
pulsing to strong in the Gulf of Honduras at night Sat through
Tue. Rough seas produced by large NE swell will impact the
Atlantic waters east of the Lesser Antilles into Mon, before
gradually subsiding afterward.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough former stationary front stretches southwestward
from southwest of Bermuda across 31N70W to the central Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection is flaring up east of this feature,
north of 27N between 63W and 69W. Scattered showers are present
near the trough itself, including the central Bahamas and Great
Bahama Bank. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Moderate to fresh with locally strong S to SW winds and 6 to 8 ft
seas are found near the trough, north of 28N between 55W and 68W.
Otherwise, a broad surface ridge extending southwestward from a
1034 mb Azores High across 31N40W to near the southeast Bahamas is
supporting light to gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft north of
26N between 35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. To the
south, gentle SE to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas exist from 20N to
26N and west of 65W. For the Atlantic waters from 05N to 26N
between 35W and the 65W/Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to E
winds and seas at 6 to 9 ft seas dominate. Gentle to moderate NE
to E winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft in mixed moderate swells prevail
for the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds north of
30N will lift north of the region this evening, allowing rough
seas to diminish. Thereafter, moderate seas with moderate to
fresh easterly winds will prevail through early next week.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 15 May 2026 23:50:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152350
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 35W, from 12N southward,
and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Widely scattered moderate
convection is noted ahead of the wave from 02N to 04N between 36W
and 38W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 57W, from 13N southward
into western Suriname, and moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen across
Guyana and Suriname.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Saloum Delta area in
Senegal, then curves southwestward to 03N26W. An ITCZ continues
from 03N26W to 01N32W, then westward from 00N36W to near the
Amazon River Delta, Brazil. Numerous moderate to scattered strong
convection is present near and south of the monsoon trough from
02N to 07N and east of 24W. Widely scattered moderate convection
is seen up to 150 nm along either side of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge reaches southwestward from a 1018 mb high near
the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Light to
gentle winds and seas at 1 to 2 ft are present the eastern half of
the Gulf. Moderate to fresh NE to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are
noted off northern Yucatan Peninsula, and the coast of southern
Texas and northeastern Mexico. Mainly gentle winds and seas of 2
to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate into early next
week. As low pressure deepens over Texas, the pressure gradient
will tighten, causing moderate to fresh SE winds off the Texas
and Mexico coast to expand across the entire western Gulf this
weekend, then continue through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Tight gradient between a broad surface ridge near 24N and a 1008
mb low near the Colombia-Venezuela border is sustaining fresh to
strong NE to E winds and 6 to 9 ft seas at the south-central
basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 3 to 6 ft are
evident at the northwestern and waters north of Costa Rica and
Panama. Moderate to fresh E winds with 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere
in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, fresh to near-gale trades across the central
basin, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Honduras will persist into midweek next week. Moderate to
fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the basin,
pulsing to strong in the Gulf of Honduras at night Sat through
Tue. Rough seas produced by large NE swell will impact the
Atlantic waters east of the Lesser Antilles into Mon, before
gradually subsiding afterward.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough former stationary front stretches southwestward
from southwest of Bermuda across 31N70W to the central Bahamas.
Scattered moderate convection is flaring up east of this feature,
north of 27N between 63W and 69W. Scattered showers are present
near the trough itself, including the central Bahamas and Great
Bahama Bank. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Moderate to fresh with locally strong S to SW winds and 6 to 8 ft
seas are found near the trough, north of 28N between 55W and 68W.
Otherwise, a broad surface ridge extending southwestward from a
1034 mb Azores High across 31N40W to near the southeast Bahamas is
supporting light to gentle winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft north of
26N between 35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. To the
south, gentle SE to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas exist from 20N to
26N and west of 65W. For the Atlantic waters from 05N to 26N
between 35W and the 65W/Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to E
winds and seas at 6 to 9 ft seas dominate. Gentle to moderate NE
to E winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft in mixed moderate swells prevail
for the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds north of
30N will lift north of the region this evening, allowing rough
seas to diminish. Thereafter, moderate seas with moderate to
fresh easterly winds will prevail through early next week.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 17 May 2026 11:15:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 15 May 2026 23:50:54 GMT - Fri, 15 May 2026 23:15:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 152315
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf