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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 28 Dec 2025 17:57:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
639
AXNT20 KNHC 281757
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Dec 28 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will enter the
NW Gulf waters early Mon. The front will move quickly
southeastward, departing the basin Tue night. Fresh to near gale-
force winds will follow the front, along with rough seas. Gale-
force N winds and rough to very rough seas will develop off
Tampico Mon afternoon and night. These winds and seas will reach
the waters off Veracruz Mon night and persist until Tue night.
Seas may peak around 20 ft off Veracruz Mon night into Tue.
Conditions will improve from north to south by midweek.
Central Atlantic Gale and Significant Swell: A couple of cold
fronts are moving through the north central waters. The first cold
front extends from 31N54W to 29N65W to 31N79W. The second cold
front enters the waters near 31N56W to 28N69W to 30N72W. These
fronts will lead to gale-force winds in the central
Atlantic starting tonight and lasting through Monday afternoon. Fresh
to strong NW winds currently follow these fronts, with fresh to
strong SW winds along and ahead of the fronts out to about 40W and
N of 23N. Gusts to gale force are expected immediately ahead of
the fronts as well as behind them, generally N of 24N between 30W
and 60W through the duration of the Gale Warning. Large N swell
from both fronts is leading to very rough seas greater than 12 ft
over the forecast waters N of 23N between 37W and 68W. The large
area of very rough seas will shift eastward across the waters N of
22N. Seas will peak at around 20 ft along and N of 30N between
45W and 55W Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and continues
to 06N17W. The ITCZ continues from 06N17W to 03N38W to 06N57W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
01N to 08N and E of 20W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also along and within 150 nm of the ITCZ from
30W westward.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section above on an upcoming
Gale Warning.
A surface trough is over the SW Gulf, while the remainder of the
Gulf is dominated by a 1021 mb high centered over the NE Gulf.
Light to gentle winds are over the E Gulf, with moderate to fresh
winds prevailing elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-2 ft range over the
NE Gulf, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds will
occur over the central and western Gulf today ahead of a cold
front moving through the southern U.S. The front is slated to move
into the northern Gulf late tonight, and gale force winds and
significant rough to very rough seas are expected in the wake of
the front off the coast of Texas and Louisiana by early Mon
morning, and offshore of Tampico and Veracruz by Mon afternoon and
evening. Prolonged gale force winds and very rough seas will
persist over the western Bay of Campeche through late Tue night.
Widespread strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas are
expected elsewhere behind the front. Winds and seas will diminish
from north to south through midweek. Looking ahead, high pressure
will build over the basin following the front, supporting moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas through late this week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong trades and seas of 6-9 ft prevail in the central
to SW Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas
offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas
prevail across much of the remaining basin. Pockets of enhanced
moisture in the trade wind flow are leading to scattered showers
in the central to NW Caribbean where a surface trough is also
present, as well as in the SE Caribbean near the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas are
expected over the central Caribbean through the middle of the
upcoming week as a moderate pressure gradient prevails between the
Colombian low and high pressure to the north. Winds may reach
near-gale force offshore of northern Colombia tonight and again
Mon night. Moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds and moderate
seas are expected over the rest of the basin through midweek.
Elsewhere, a long period N to NW swell will support rough seas
over the Atlantic waters early this week. Looking ahead, a cold
front will move into the northwestern basin late Tue into Wed, and
weaken as it moves southeastward by late this week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section at the beginning for details on
gale force winds and the ongoing significant swell in the central
Atlantic.
A couple of cold fronts are moving through the north central
waters. The first cold front extends from 31N54W to 29N65W to
31N79W. The second cold front enters the waters near 31N56W to
28N69W to 30N72W. Scattered moderate convection is seen ahead of
these fronts out to about 40W and N of 27N, enhanced also by a
dissipating stationary front in this region. Aside from the
gales and significant swell mentioned above, rough seas in excess
of 8 ft cover the waters north of a line running from 31N32W to
19N57W to 31N75W.
Farther east, a frontal remnant trough interacting with an upper
level trough along 30W is leading to scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms generally E of 35W and N of 20N. Moderate
to fresh S to SE winds and 7-10 ft seas are seen near this
feature, generally N of 24N between 25W and 33W. Much of the
remaining Atlantic is seeing moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas prevail, with locally rough seas and locally fresh to strong
trades analyzed S of 10N between 35W and 55W.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong W to NW winds and
very rough seas will continue over the central tropical Atlantic,
north of 22N and east of 70W, through Mon morning as a strong
storm system and a series of cold fronts move over the region.
Locally near-gale force winds will be possible north of 29N and
east of 60W through late tonight. Widespread rough seas associated
with this storm system will prevail east of 75W through tonight
before briefly subsiding from west to east early this week.
Farther west, fresh to locally strong W to SW winds will develop
offshore of Florida on Mon ahead of a cold front moving through
the southern U.S. The front is slated to move offshore by late
Mon, supporting fresh to strong W to NW winds and rough seas in
the wake of the front. These winds and seas will expand eastward
toward the central Atlantic through midweek as the front moves
eastward.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 28 Dec 2025 17:57:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
639
AXNT20 KNHC 281757
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Dec 28 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will enter the
NW Gulf waters early Mon. The front will move quickly
southeastward, departing the basin Tue night. Fresh to near gale-
force winds will follow the front, along with rough seas. Gale-
force N winds and rough to very rough seas will develop off
Tampico Mon afternoon and night. These winds and seas will reach
the waters off Veracruz Mon night and persist until Tue night.
Seas may peak around 20 ft off Veracruz Mon night into Tue.
Conditions will improve from north to south by midweek.
Central Atlantic Gale and Significant Swell: A couple of cold
fronts are moving through the north central waters. The first cold
front extends from 31N54W to 29N65W to 31N79W. The second cold
front enters the waters near 31N56W to 28N69W to 30N72W. These
fronts will lead to gale-force winds in the central
Atlantic starting tonight and lasting through Monday afternoon. Fresh
to strong NW winds currently follow these fronts, with fresh to
strong SW winds along and ahead of the fronts out to about 40W and
N of 23N. Gusts to gale force are expected immediately ahead of
the fronts as well as behind them, generally N of 24N between 30W
and 60W through the duration of the Gale Warning. Large N swell
from both fronts is leading to very rough seas greater than 12 ft
over the forecast waters N of 23N between 37W and 68W. The large
area of very rough seas will shift eastward across the waters N of
22N. Seas will peak at around 20 ft along and N of 30N between
45W and 55W Monday afternoon through Tuesday morning.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and continues
to 06N17W. The ITCZ continues from 06N17W to 03N38W to 06N57W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
01N to 08N and E of 20W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also along and within 150 nm of the ITCZ from
30W westward.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section above on an upcoming
Gale Warning.
A surface trough is over the SW Gulf, while the remainder of the
Gulf is dominated by a 1021 mb high centered over the NE Gulf.
Light to gentle winds are over the E Gulf, with moderate to fresh
winds prevailing elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-2 ft range over the
NE Gulf, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds will
occur over the central and western Gulf today ahead of a cold
front moving through the southern U.S. The front is slated to move
into the northern Gulf late tonight, and gale force winds and
significant rough to very rough seas are expected in the wake of
the front off the coast of Texas and Louisiana by early Mon
morning, and offshore of Tampico and Veracruz by Mon afternoon and
evening. Prolonged gale force winds and very rough seas will
persist over the western Bay of Campeche through late Tue night.
Widespread strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas are
expected elsewhere behind the front. Winds and seas will diminish
from north to south through midweek. Looking ahead, high pressure
will build over the basin following the front, supporting moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas through late this week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong trades and seas of 6-9 ft prevail in the central
to SW Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas
offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas
prevail across much of the remaining basin. Pockets of enhanced
moisture in the trade wind flow are leading to scattered showers
in the central to NW Caribbean where a surface trough is also
present, as well as in the SE Caribbean near the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas are
expected over the central Caribbean through the middle of the
upcoming week as a moderate pressure gradient prevails between the
Colombian low and high pressure to the north. Winds may reach
near-gale force offshore of northern Colombia tonight and again
Mon night. Moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds and moderate
seas are expected over the rest of the basin through midweek.
Elsewhere, a long period N to NW swell will support rough seas
over the Atlantic waters early this week. Looking ahead, a cold
front will move into the northwestern basin late Tue into Wed, and
weaken as it moves southeastward by late this week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section at the beginning for details on
gale force winds and the ongoing significant swell in the central
Atlantic.
A couple of cold fronts are moving through the north central
waters. The first cold front extends from 31N54W to 29N65W to
31N79W. The second cold front enters the waters near 31N56W to
28N69W to 30N72W. Scattered moderate convection is seen ahead of
these fronts out to about 40W and N of 27N, enhanced also by a
dissipating stationary front in this region. Aside from the
gales and significant swell mentioned above, rough seas in excess
of 8 ft cover the waters north of a line running from 31N32W to
19N57W to 31N75W.
Farther east, a frontal remnant trough interacting with an upper
level trough along 30W is leading to scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms generally E of 35W and N of 20N. Moderate
to fresh S to SE winds and 7-10 ft seas are seen near this
feature, generally N of 24N between 25W and 33W. Much of the
remaining Atlantic is seeing moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas prevail, with locally rough seas and locally fresh to strong
trades analyzed S of 10N between 35W and 55W.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong W to NW winds and
very rough seas will continue over the central tropical Atlantic,
north of 22N and east of 70W, through Mon morning as a strong
storm system and a series of cold fronts move over the region.
Locally near-gale force winds will be possible north of 29N and
east of 60W through late tonight. Widespread rough seas associated
with this storm system will prevail east of 75W through tonight
before briefly subsiding from west to east early this week.
Farther west, fresh to locally strong W to SW winds will develop
offshore of Florida on Mon ahead of a cold front moving through
the southern U.S. The front is slated to move offshore by late
Mon, supporting fresh to strong W to NW winds and rough seas in
the wake of the front. These winds and seas will expand eastward
toward the central Atlantic through midweek as the front moves
eastward.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 28 Dec 2025 18:55:28 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 28 Dec 2025 14:00:00 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 281359
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EST SUN 28 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-028
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf