SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources
- NOAA National Hurricane Center
- International Meteorology Database
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Track Probabilities
- Brian McNoldy Atlantic Headquarters
- Brian McNoldy Tropical Satellite Sectors
- Brian McNoldy Infrared Hovmoller
- Brian McNoldy Past TC Radar Loops
- Weather Nerds TC Guidance
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- NOAA Tropical Cyclone Tracks
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Albany Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- Albany Tropical Atlantic Model Maps
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance
- FSU Tropical Model Outputs
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Genesis
- Penn State Tropical E-Wall
- NOAA HFIP Ruc Models
- Navy NRL TC Page
- College of DuPage Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NHC Analysis Tools
- NOAA NHC ATCF Directory
- NOAA NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA NCEP/EMC HWRF Model
- NOAA HFIP Model Products
- University of Miami Ocean Heat
- COLA Max Potential Hurricane Intensity
- Colorado State RAMMB TC Tracking
- Colorado State RAMMB Floaters
- Colorado State RAMMB GOES-16 Viewer
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-A
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-B
- Michael Ventrice Waves / MJO Maps
- TropicalAtlantic.com Analysis / Recon
- NCAR/RAL Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
Historic Louisiana Storms By Month
January
June
July
August
September
October
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 10:33:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171033
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jan 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning:
A cold front extending from SW Louisiana to southern Texas will
reach the NE Gulf this morning, then sweep across the rest of the
Gulf through Sunday night. Fresh to strong NW to N winds behind
the front will peak at near-gale to gale-force across the west-
central and central Gulf late tonight through Sunday morning, and
off Veracruz, Mexico on Sunday. Seas under the strongest winds
will reach 13 to 15 ft. Conditions should gradually improve from
north to south starting Sunday afternoon. Please read the latest
High Sea and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshore.php for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Guinea and Sierra Leone, then runs southwestward to 06N17W. The
ITCZ curves westward from 06N17W through 03N30W to 03N46W.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 00N to 15N between
07W and 39W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning.
A broad surface ridge, extending from a 1028 mb high pressure
just NW of Bermuda, is dominating the eastern half of the Gulf and
supporting moderate and weaker winds through this morning. In the
western half of the Gulf, lower pressures dominate ahead of a
cold front extending from SW Louisiana to southern Texas.
For the forecast, the cold front will progress E today with
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, reaching from the
Big Bend of Florida to the Bay of Campeche Sun morning, and moving
SE of the Gulf by Sun night. Near gale to gale-force N winds are
anticipated to occur along the front tonight into Sun afternoon,
as well as over the typical coastal waters adjacent to
Tampico/Veracruz Sun morning into Sun night. Winds should steadily
diminish on late on Sun and on Mon. Looking ahead, building high
pressure over the SE United States should cause strengthening NE
to E winds over most of the Gulf on Tue and Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tail of a weakening stationary front extends from E Cuba to
NW Jamaica adjacent waters and is generating scattered heavy
showers and tstms across the Windward Passage, Jamaica and
adjacent waters. High pressure building N of the area in the wake
of the front is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E across the NW
Caribbean along with moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are also ongoing in the E Caribbean while
a tighter pressure gradient supports fresh to strong across the
central basin with rough seas to 9 ft.
For the forecast, the weakening stationary front will dissipate
today. Fresh to strong trades will prevail offshore of NW Colombia
and the central Caribbean today through Wed night, reaching near-
gale force at night tonight and into Tue night. Looking ahead, a
new cold front will enter the NW Caribbean Sun night, and as high
pressure builds in behind it, fresh to strong NE winds should
prevail through Tue night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from east of Bermuda near 31N57W to 25N68W
to E Cuba, supporting scattered heavy showers across the Great
Bahama Bank and the Turks and Caicos. Ahead of the front, a pre-
frontal trough may bring some showers to Puerto Rico adjacent
waters today. The remainder subtropical Atlantic waters are under
the influence of the Azores High, except for the far E Atlantic
where the tail of a cold front extends from the coast of NW Africa
to near 27N28W. The gradient of pressure between the ridge and the
front is supporting a broad area of fresh to strong NE to E winds
from the Cape Verde Islands to 30N E of 49W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front east of
Bermuda is expected to dissipate today. Also today, a building
Bermuda-Azores High will enhance the trades up to fresh to strong
east of 65W for the next few days. Another cold front will emerge
from the SE United States coast on Sun accompanied by fresh to
strong winds, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms north
of 27N. Winds with the front will diminish on Mon. Looking ahead,
building high pressure over the SE United States on Tue and Wed
will boost NE winds to fresh to strong over and north of the
Bahamas.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 10:33:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171033
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jan 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning:
A cold front extending from SW Louisiana to southern Texas will
reach the NE Gulf this morning, then sweep across the rest of the
Gulf through Sunday night. Fresh to strong NW to N winds behind
the front will peak at near-gale to gale-force across the west-
central and central Gulf late tonight through Sunday morning, and
off Veracruz, Mexico on Sunday. Seas under the strongest winds
will reach 13 to 15 ft. Conditions should gradually improve from
north to south starting Sunday afternoon. Please read the latest
High Sea and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshore.php for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Guinea and Sierra Leone, then runs southwestward to 06N17W. The
ITCZ curves westward from 06N17W through 03N30W to 03N46W.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 00N to 15N between
07W and 39W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning.
A broad surface ridge, extending from a 1028 mb high pressure
just NW of Bermuda, is dominating the eastern half of the Gulf and
supporting moderate and weaker winds through this morning. In the
western half of the Gulf, lower pressures dominate ahead of a
cold front extending from SW Louisiana to southern Texas.
For the forecast, the cold front will progress E today with
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, reaching from the
Big Bend of Florida to the Bay of Campeche Sun morning, and moving
SE of the Gulf by Sun night. Near gale to gale-force N winds are
anticipated to occur along the front tonight into Sun afternoon,
as well as over the typical coastal waters adjacent to
Tampico/Veracruz Sun morning into Sun night. Winds should steadily
diminish on late on Sun and on Mon. Looking ahead, building high
pressure over the SE United States should cause strengthening NE
to E winds over most of the Gulf on Tue and Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tail of a weakening stationary front extends from E Cuba to
NW Jamaica adjacent waters and is generating scattered heavy
showers and tstms across the Windward Passage, Jamaica and
adjacent waters. High pressure building N of the area in the wake
of the front is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E across the NW
Caribbean along with moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are also ongoing in the E Caribbean while
a tighter pressure gradient supports fresh to strong across the
central basin with rough seas to 9 ft.
For the forecast, the weakening stationary front will dissipate
today. Fresh to strong trades will prevail offshore of NW Colombia
and the central Caribbean today through Wed night, reaching near-
gale force at night tonight and into Tue night. Looking ahead, a
new cold front will enter the NW Caribbean Sun night, and as high
pressure builds in behind it, fresh to strong NE winds should
prevail through Tue night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from east of Bermuda near 31N57W to 25N68W
to E Cuba, supporting scattered heavy showers across the Great
Bahama Bank and the Turks and Caicos. Ahead of the front, a pre-
frontal trough may bring some showers to Puerto Rico adjacent
waters today. The remainder subtropical Atlantic waters are under
the influence of the Azores High, except for the far E Atlantic
where the tail of a cold front extends from the coast of NW Africa
to near 27N28W. The gradient of pressure between the ridge and the
front is supporting a broad area of fresh to strong NE to E winds
from the Cape Verde Islands to 30N E of 49W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front east of
Bermuda is expected to dissipate today. Also today, a building
Bermuda-Azores High will enhance the trades up to fresh to strong
east of 65W for the next few days. Another cold front will emerge
from the SE United States coast on Sun accompanied by fresh to
strong winds, scattered showers, and isolated thunderstorms north
of 27N. Winds with the front will diminish on Mon. Looking ahead,
building high pressure over the SE United States on Tue and Wed
will boost NE winds to fresh to strong over and north of the
Bahamas.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 17 Jan 2026 13:00:06 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 16 Jan 2026 19:30:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 161930
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0230 PM EST FRI 16 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-047 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 (CORRECTION)
A. 18/0000Z
B. AFXXX 03WSA TRACK66
C. 17/2015Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 17/2030Z TO 18/0230Z
2. FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72 (CORRECTION)
A. 18/1200Z
B. AFXXX 04WSA TRACK65
C. 18/0700Z
D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK AND TWO ADDITIONAL DROPS AT
28.2N 86.5W AND 28.9N 88.7W OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA.
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 18/0830Z TO 18/1430Z
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
