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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 22 May 2026 09:33:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
928
AXNT20 KNHC 220933
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 39W/40W, south of 11N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection is limited.
A tropical wave is moving westward across the central Caribbean.
Its axis is along 77W, south of 15N, moving westward near 10 kt.
The southern portion of the wave extends into the EPAC along the
coast of Colombia where it is enhancing some shower and thunderstorm
activity.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 02N24W. The ITCZ extends
from 02N24W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is observed south of 07N between 10W and 20W. Scattered moderate
convection is S of 03N between 20W and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region.
This system supports moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the
Straits of Florida with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, a gentle to
moderate wind flow, with slight to moderate seas prevail. A narrow
band of showers and thunderstorms is noted in the eastern Gulf
near 87W from 24N to 28N. Winds and seas could be higher near tstms.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western Atlantic
to the northern Gulf will change little during the forecast period.
The pressure gradient between it and relatively lower pressures
over Texas and northern Mexico will generally maintain a gentle to
moderate east to southeast wind flow across the basin through the
weekend, with the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off
NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the night time hours
due to local effects associated with a thermal trough.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent scatterometer data provide observations of fresh to strong
trade winds across the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela. Seas are 6 to 9 ft with these winds based on altimeter
data. These winds are the result of the pressure gradient between
high pressure N of the area and the Colombian low. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few showers and
isolated thunderstorms are affecting portions of Cuba, the area
between Cuba and Jamaica, and Hispaniola, including nearby waters.
Pockets of low-level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow,
are affecting the remainder of the basin generating isolated to
scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South America
will support fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean
into early next week. These trades will continue to bring rough
seas, particularly offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong trades will
also pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate
trades will remain elsewhere through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A large mid to upper-level low located NE of the Bahamas continues
to support the development of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
across the waters from 23N to 28N between 65W and 75W. A surface
trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, is analyzed from
31N23W to 23N50W. High pressure of 1025 mb centered E of Bermuda
dominates the remainder of the forecast region. Under this weather
pattern, fresh N winds and seas of 6 to 8 ft are observed between
the W coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical
Atlantic. A recent scatterometer satellite pass show that winds
are pulsing to strong force off northern Hispaniola. Elsewhere, a
gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow is noted with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper-
level low will continue to produce scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms mainly NE of the Bahamas between 65W and 75W.
Some of this activity may contain strong gusty winds and locally
heavy rain reducing visibility. The low is forecast to lift N of
the area by early this evening. East winds will pulse fresh to
strong speeds north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and evenings
going into early next week. A cold front will clip the NE waters
by Sun night into Mon followed by fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas. At the same time, expect increasing winds roughly
across the area S of 24N and W of 60W, including the waters
between Cuba and the Bahamas as the pressure gradient tightens
there.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 22 May 2026 09:33:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
928
AXNT20 KNHC 220933
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 39W/40W, south of 11N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection is limited.
A tropical wave is moving westward across the central Caribbean.
Its axis is along 77W, south of 15N, moving westward near 10 kt.
The southern portion of the wave extends into the EPAC along the
coast of Colombia where it is enhancing some shower and thunderstorm
activity.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 02N24W. The ITCZ extends
from 02N24W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection
is observed south of 07N between 10W and 20W. Scattered moderate
convection is S of 03N between 20W and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region.
This system supports moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the
Straits of Florida with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, a gentle to
moderate wind flow, with slight to moderate seas prevail. A narrow
band of showers and thunderstorms is noted in the eastern Gulf
near 87W from 24N to 28N. Winds and seas could be higher near tstms.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western Atlantic
to the northern Gulf will change little during the forecast period.
The pressure gradient between it and relatively lower pressures
over Texas and northern Mexico will generally maintain a gentle to
moderate east to southeast wind flow across the basin through the
weekend, with the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off
NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the night time hours
due to local effects associated with a thermal trough.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent scatterometer data provide observations of fresh to strong
trade winds across the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela. Seas are 6 to 9 ft with these winds based on altimeter
data. These winds are the result of the pressure gradient between
high pressure N of the area and the Colombian low. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few showers and
isolated thunderstorms are affecting portions of Cuba, the area
between Cuba and Jamaica, and Hispaniola, including nearby waters.
Pockets of low-level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow,
are affecting the remainder of the basin generating isolated to
scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South America
will support fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean
into early next week. These trades will continue to bring rough
seas, particularly offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong trades will
also pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate
trades will remain elsewhere through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A large mid to upper-level low located NE of the Bahamas continues
to support the development of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
across the waters from 23N to 28N between 65W and 75W. A surface
trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, is analyzed from
31N23W to 23N50W. High pressure of 1025 mb centered E of Bermuda
dominates the remainder of the forecast region. Under this weather
pattern, fresh N winds and seas of 6 to 8 ft are observed between
the W coast of Africa and the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the tropical
Atlantic. A recent scatterometer satellite pass show that winds
are pulsing to strong force off northern Hispaniola. Elsewhere, a
gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow is noted with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper-
level low will continue to produce scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms mainly NE of the Bahamas between 65W and 75W.
Some of this activity may contain strong gusty winds and locally
heavy rain reducing visibility. The low is forecast to lift N of
the area by early this evening. East winds will pulse fresh to
strong speeds north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and evenings
going into early next week. A cold front will clip the NE waters
by Sun night into Mon followed by fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas. At the same time, expect increasing winds roughly
across the area S of 24N and W of 60W, including the waters
between Cuba and the Bahamas as the pressure gradient tightens
there.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 23 May 2026 23:29:46 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 22 May 2026 14:00:16 GMT - Fri, 22 May 2026 11:29:46 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 221129
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 22 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf