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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 09:41:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040941
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W from 05N to 16N,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 14N between 15W and 23W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W from 05N to 19N,
moving west at around 10 kt. There is no convection in association
with this wave at this time.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 74W, from
Haiti to Colombia, moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted in the vicinity of the Windward Passage.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N32W to 08N41W. The ITCZ extends from 08N41W
to 08N59W. Convection in the vicinity is primarily associated with
the eastern Atlantic tropical wave and is described in the above
section.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1015 mb high pressure is centered near 24N87W, supporting light
to gentle winds across most of the basin. Convection has
dissipated in association with a surface trough in the Bay of
Campeche, but moderate E to SE winds continue E of the boundary in
the eastern Bay. Seas are slight to 3 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend. Pulses
of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each night,
locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb, centered near
34N57W, and lower pressure over southern Caribbean due to the
passage of a tropical wave and a low center over NW Colombia is
supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin.
Seas in this region are rough to 10 ft. Over the E and NW basin,
moderate to fresh trades prevail along with moderate seas. Broad
lift associated with an upper level trough and deep tropical
moisture are aiding in the development of scattered moderate
convection on the lee side of Cuba and adjacent waters and the
Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
basin into the weekend, with rough seas there. Fresh to locally
strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds ands seas will
prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft supports scattered moderate convection over the
SW N Atlantic, including the Florida seaboard, Great Bahama Bank,
and Bahamas offshore waters W of 73W. Scattered moderate
convection has also developed farther east from 24N to 27N between
50W and 60W. The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge.
Fresh SW winds are offshore northern Florida to the SE of a
stalled front. Fresh trades are present offshore Hispaniola, and
in a zone from 22N to 28N between 50W and 65W. In the far NE
Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh SW winds offshore NE Florida
will diminish today as high pressure builds west toward the
region. A mid- and upper-level trough along the SE U.S. coast will
keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the
vicinity of the Bahamas into Wed. Locally strong trades will
continue pulsing offshore Hispaniola. A westward moving trough
will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into mid-week, then
approach the Bahamas by late week, bringing fresh to locally
strong winds and locally rough seas.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 09:41:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040941
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W from 05N to 16N,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 14N between 15W and 23W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W from 05N to 19N,
moving west at around 10 kt. There is no convection in association
with this wave at this time.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 74W, from
Haiti to Colombia, moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted in the vicinity of the Windward Passage.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N32W to 08N41W. The ITCZ extends from 08N41W
to 08N59W. Convection in the vicinity is primarily associated with
the eastern Atlantic tropical wave and is described in the above
section.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1015 mb high pressure is centered near 24N87W, supporting light
to gentle winds across most of the basin. Convection has
dissipated in association with a surface trough in the Bay of
Campeche, but moderate E to SE winds continue E of the boundary in
the eastern Bay. Seas are slight to 3 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend. Pulses
of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each night,
locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb, centered near
34N57W, and lower pressure over southern Caribbean due to the
passage of a tropical wave and a low center over NW Colombia is
supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin.
Seas in this region are rough to 10 ft. Over the E and NW basin,
moderate to fresh trades prevail along with moderate seas. Broad
lift associated with an upper level trough and deep tropical
moisture are aiding in the development of scattered moderate
convection on the lee side of Cuba and adjacent waters and the
Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
basin into the weekend, with rough seas there. Fresh to locally
strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds ands seas will
prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft supports scattered moderate convection over the
SW N Atlantic, including the Florida seaboard, Great Bahama Bank,
and Bahamas offshore waters W of 73W. Scattered moderate
convection has also developed farther east from 24N to 27N between
50W and 60W. The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge.
Fresh SW winds are offshore northern Florida to the SE of a
stalled front. Fresh trades are present offshore Hispaniola, and
in a zone from 22N to 28N between 50W and 65W. In the far NE
Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh SW winds offshore NE Florida
will diminish today as high pressure builds west toward the
region. A mid- and upper-level trough along the SE U.S. coast will
keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the
vicinity of the Bahamas into Wed. Locally strong trades will
continue pulsing offshore Hispaniola. A westward moving trough
will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into mid-week, then
approach the Bahamas by late week, bringing fresh to locally
strong winds and locally rough seas.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 05 Aug 2026 23:25:54 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 04 Aug 2026 14:10:06 GMT - Tue, 04 Aug 2026 11:25:54 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 041125
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 13:40:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT TUE 04 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-065
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf