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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 17:03:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
843
AXNT20 KNHC 101703
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak to around
14 ft off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave extends from near 16N51W to
03N53W. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are seen near the wave axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 74W south of 19N
moving westward at about 15 kt. The wave appears to enhance some
convection over Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the nearby waters
including the Windward Passage.
Another central Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W south of 19N
moving westward also at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection continues across the far SW Caribbean offshore of
Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and SE Nicaragua where the East
Pacific monsoon trough is analyzed and the wave appears to enhance
convection. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near its
northern portion from 15N to 20N and between 80W and 84W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then runs from 08N28W
to 09N50W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 06N to
12N and E of 20W. Elsewhere, no significant convection is seen
along either feature.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Combined support from an upper level trough over the SE US and a
surface trough in the Bay of Campeche supports widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms across the western and northern Gulf.
Outside of convection, ridging dominates the basin with gentle to
moderate or weaker E to SE winds and slight seas prevalent across
the region.
For the forecast, a weak ridge axis extending westward from the
Atlantic across the Gulf along 28N will change into next week.
This will support gentle to moderate east to southeast winds south
of 26N, and mostly light to gentle southeast to south- southwest
winds north of 26N through the period. Winds become mostly light
and variable starting Mon over the north- central and NE Gulf.
Pulsing fresh northeast to east winds are expected offshore the
Yucatan peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela, and the Tropical Waves section for details on
convection in the Caribbean.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and lower
pressures over Colombia supports a large swath of fresh to strong
trades and rough seas over the central to SW Caribbean. Winds near
gale force are confirmed in the Gulf of Venezuela, per a recent
scatterometer pass. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail across the remainder of the Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support strong trades over the central Caribbean into next week.
Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela tonight and Sat night. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras
will pulse to strong in the late afternoons and evenings through
early next week. A pair of tropical waves will move across the
basin through Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary SE of Bermuda is aiding in the development of
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 26N between 50W
and 65W. An upper level trough also supports scattered shower and
thunderstorm development over the southern Bahamas and the Turks
and Caicos. Ridging dominates much of the remaining Atlantic, with
a large and persistent Saharan Dust plume also helping to keep
much of the remaining basin free of convection. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas prevail S of 22N and W of 35W, as well as
N of 22N and E of 35W. Fresh to locally strong trades are
confirmed by a recent scatterometer pass from 10N to 20N between
50W and the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds
and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the period, supporting moderate to fresh trades S
of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds
are expected each N offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward
Passage. An upper-level low pressure will move W from the Bahamas
and Florida through the weekend, bringing thunderstorms with
locally strong winds and frequent lightning.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 17:03:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
843
AXNT20 KNHC 101703
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak to around
14 ft off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave extends from near 16N51W to
03N53W. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are seen near the wave axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 74W south of 19N
moving westward at about 15 kt. The wave appears to enhance some
convection over Hispaniola, eastern Cuba, and the nearby waters
including the Windward Passage.
Another central Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W south of 19N
moving westward also at about 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection continues across the far SW Caribbean offshore of
Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and SE Nicaragua where the East
Pacific monsoon trough is analyzed and the wave appears to enhance
convection. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near its
northern portion from 15N to 20N and between 80W and 84W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then runs from 08N28W
to 09N50W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 06N to
12N and E of 20W. Elsewhere, no significant convection is seen
along either feature.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Combined support from an upper level trough over the SE US and a
surface trough in the Bay of Campeche supports widely scattered
showers and thunderstorms across the western and northern Gulf.
Outside of convection, ridging dominates the basin with gentle to
moderate or weaker E to SE winds and slight seas prevalent across
the region.
For the forecast, a weak ridge axis extending westward from the
Atlantic across the Gulf along 28N will change into next week.
This will support gentle to moderate east to southeast winds south
of 26N, and mostly light to gentle southeast to south- southwest
winds north of 26N through the period. Winds become mostly light
and variable starting Mon over the north- central and NE Gulf.
Pulsing fresh northeast to east winds are expected offshore the
Yucatan peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela, and the Tropical Waves section for details on
convection in the Caribbean.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and lower
pressures over Colombia supports a large swath of fresh to strong
trades and rough seas over the central to SW Caribbean. Winds near
gale force are confirmed in the Gulf of Venezuela, per a recent
scatterometer pass. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail across the remainder of the Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support strong trades over the central Caribbean into next week.
Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela tonight and Sat night. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras
will pulse to strong in the late afternoons and evenings through
early next week. A pair of tropical waves will move across the
basin through Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal boundary SE of Bermuda is aiding in the development of
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 26N between 50W
and 65W. An upper level trough also supports scattered shower and
thunderstorm development over the southern Bahamas and the Turks
and Caicos. Ridging dominates much of the remaining Atlantic, with
a large and persistent Saharan Dust plume also helping to keep
much of the remaining basin free of convection. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas prevail S of 22N and W of 35W, as well as
N of 22N and E of 35W. Fresh to locally strong trades are
confirmed by a recent scatterometer pass from 10N to 20N between
50W and the Lesser Antilles. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds
and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the period, supporting moderate to fresh trades S
of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds
are expected each N offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward
Passage. An upper-level low pressure will move W from the Bahamas
and Florida through the weekend, bringing thunderstorms with
locally strong winds and frequent lightning.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 05:21:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 10 Jul 2026 17:32:27 GMT - Fri, 10 Jul 2026 17:21:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
691
ABNT20 KNHC 101721
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 13:05:32 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 101305
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0905 AM EDT FRI 10 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-040
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf