2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Track The Tropics
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...

Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 29 Nov 2025 17:29:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291729
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Nov 29 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1710 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A surface trough, currently
    analyzed from 15N to 25N along 44W, will merge with another
    surface trough currently analyzed from 06N to 12N along 50W. The
    combined trough will advance westward across the tropical and
    subtropical central Atlantic, and bring fresh to strong E winds
    across most of the waters from 15N to 30N east of 60W through
    Monday. These winds will build seas to 8-12 ft in the described
    area by Monday. Late on Monday, winds and seas will begin to
    diminish as the trough weakens and continues westward to 65W. This
    pattern is partly associated with a broad upper level trough
    across the central Atlantic.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 07N13W and
    extends to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends westward from near 05N19W to
    07N48W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 09N
    east of 25W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Strong high pressure centered over North Carolina provides for
    return flow across the Gulf, with fresh to strong wind speeds
    noted in the eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida and
    Yucatan Channel, and the NW Gulf offshore Texas. Winds are
    moderate or weaker elsewhere. Seas are 4-7 ft across the Gulf,
    with highest seas analyzed in the Straits of Florida, Yucatan
    Channel, and offshore Texas. Seas may locally peak to 8 ft in
    these areas, as indicated by recent satellite altimeter data.

    For the forecast, aside from the NW Gulf waters, winds and seas
    will diminish tonight as high pressure slides east into the
    Atlantic. The cold front will move offshore Texas Sun, then stall
    along the far northern Gulf Mon. Low pressure will form along
    along the front Mon night near the Texas coast, then race NE
    toward the eastern U.S. coast. This will allow reinforcing cold
    air to send the front through the Gulf into the middle of the
    week. Looking ahead, the front may move N as a warm front ahead of
    another low pressure forming over Texas Thu.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers continue along a stationary front that extends
    from central Cuba to central Belize. Recent scatterometer data
    indicates fresh to strong NW winds north of the front, including
    within the Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere, a more relaxed pressure
    gradient across the eastern and central Caribbean provides for
    moderate to locally fresh trades. Seas are 4-7 ft across the
    basin. Scattered showers and tstorms are noted in the central and
    SW Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the front will dissipate and the high pressure
    shifts eastward into the western Atlantic late today, allowing
    winds and seas to diminish and conditions to remain relatively
    benign into the middle of next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a
    Significant Swell Event in the Central Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from Bermuda to the central Bahamas
    and central Cuba. Scattered showers and tstorms are along the
    front. Strong high pressure centered over North Carolina continues
    to force fresh to strong NE winds to the west of the front across
    the Bahamas to the Straits of Florida. Seas are 8-11 ft from 25N
    to 29N between 66W and 76W. Seas are 4-7 ft elsewhere in the W
    Atlantic. Elsewhere across the basin, aside from the SPECIAL
    FEATURE, trades are gentle to moderate with 4-7 ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will gradually
    dissipate through Sun, and high pressure north of the front will
    shift eastward, allowing winds and seas to diminish. Another weak
    front will stall off the northeast Florida coast Mon, then lift
    northward Mon night. Expect southerly winds and building seas
    north of 29N and west of 75W Tue as low pressure moves from the
    northern Gulf to the Carolinas. Looking ahead, these strong
    southerly winds will shift eastward north of 28N into the middle
    of next week, ahead of a cold front moving off the northeast
    Florida coast Tue night into Wed. This front will reach from
    Bermuda to South Florida by late Wed. Meanwhile, strong winds and
    rough seas will accompany a trough moving westward into the waters
    northeast of the Leeward Islands Sun into Tue night.

    $$
    Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 29 Nov 2025 17:29:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291729
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Nov 29 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1710 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A surface trough, currently
    analyzed from 15N to 25N along 44W, will merge with another
    surface trough currently analyzed from 06N to 12N along 50W. The
    combined trough will advance westward across the tropical and
    subtropical central Atlantic, and bring fresh to strong E winds
    across most of the waters from 15N to 30N east of 60W through
    Monday. These winds will build seas to 8-12 ft in the described
    area by Monday. Late on Monday, winds and seas will begin to
    diminish as the trough weakens and continues westward to 65W. This
    pattern is partly associated with a broad upper level trough
    across the central Atlantic.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 07N13W and
    extends to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends westward from near 05N19W to
    07N48W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 09N
    east of 25W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Strong high pressure centered over North Carolina provides for
    return flow across the Gulf, with fresh to strong wind speeds
    noted in the eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida and
    Yucatan Channel, and the NW Gulf offshore Texas. Winds are
    moderate or weaker elsewhere. Seas are 4-7 ft across the Gulf,
    with highest seas analyzed in the Straits of Florida, Yucatan
    Channel, and offshore Texas. Seas may locally peak to 8 ft in
    these areas, as indicated by recent satellite altimeter data.

    For the forecast, aside from the NW Gulf waters, winds and seas
    will diminish tonight as high pressure slides east into the
    Atlantic. The cold front will move offshore Texas Sun, then stall
    along the far northern Gulf Mon. Low pressure will form along
    along the front Mon night near the Texas coast, then race NE
    toward the eastern U.S. coast. This will allow reinforcing cold
    air to send the front through the Gulf into the middle of the
    week. Looking ahead, the front may move N as a warm front ahead of
    another low pressure forming over Texas Thu.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers continue along a stationary front that extends
    from central Cuba to central Belize. Recent scatterometer data
    indicates fresh to strong NW winds north of the front, including
    within the Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere, a more relaxed pressure
    gradient across the eastern and central Caribbean provides for
    moderate to locally fresh trades. Seas are 4-7 ft across the
    basin. Scattered showers and tstorms are noted in the central and
    SW Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the front will dissipate and the high pressure
    shifts eastward into the western Atlantic late today, allowing
    winds and seas to diminish and conditions to remain relatively
    benign into the middle of next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a
    Significant Swell Event in the Central Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from Bermuda to the central Bahamas
    and central Cuba. Scattered showers and tstorms are along the
    front. Strong high pressure centered over North Carolina continues
    to force fresh to strong NE winds to the west of the front across
    the Bahamas to the Straits of Florida. Seas are 8-11 ft from 25N
    to 29N between 66W and 76W. Seas are 4-7 ft elsewhere in the W
    Atlantic. Elsewhere across the basin, aside from the SPECIAL
    FEATURE, trades are gentle to moderate with 4-7 ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will gradually
    dissipate through Sun, and high pressure north of the front will
    shift eastward, allowing winds and seas to diminish. Another weak
    front will stall off the northeast Florida coast Mon, then lift
    northward Mon night. Expect southerly winds and building seas
    north of 29N and west of 75W Tue as low pressure moves from the
    northern Gulf to the Carolinas. Looking ahead, these strong
    southerly winds will shift eastward north of 28N into the middle
    of next week, ahead of a cold front moving off the northeast
    Florida coast Tue night into Wed. This front will reach from
    Bermuda to South Florida by late Wed. Meanwhile, strong winds and
    rough seas will accompany a trough moving westward into the waters
    northeast of the Leeward Islands Sun into Tue night.

    $$
    Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 01 Dec 2025 05:15:57 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 29 Nov 2025 18:50:10 GMT
  • Sat, 29 Nov 2025 17:15:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 291715
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Sat Nov 29 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 29 Nov 2025 15:28:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    337
    NOUS42 KNHC 291528
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1030 AM EST SAT 29 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 30/1100Z TO 01/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-182

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE MISSIONS ALONG TRACK 66 FOR
    02/0000Z AND TRACK 62 FOR 02/1200Z SYNOPTIC TIMES.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page