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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 15 May 2026 00:13:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150013
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu May 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 27W from 12N
southward, and moving westward at about 10 kt. The wave is in a
very dry surrounding environment marked by a dense area of Saharan
Air Layer (SAL) as seen in the GOES-E dust and GEO color imagery.
Widely scattered moderate convection are seen within 30 nm of
05N26W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 47W from 13N southward,
and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are evident
from 02N to 04N between 46W and 50W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near coastal border of
Mauritian and Senegal, then curves southwestward to 06N24W. An
ITCZ runs westward from 04N28W to 02N45W. Scattered moderate
convection is seen near and up to 100 nm north of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The southeastern end of a cold front reaches southwestward from
Great Bahama Bank across the Florida Straits to the northern
coast of western Cuba. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring near the northern coast of central
Cuba and adjacent Florida Straits. Otherwise, a 1018 mb high at
the northwestern Gulf is dominating much of the Gulf with gentle N
to NE to SE winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft, except moderate winds
near the coast of western Florida, northern Yucatan Peninsula and
southeastern Texas/northeastern Mexico.
For the forecast, a weak cold front is forecast to enter the
northeastern Gulf tonight and dissipate over the eastern Gulf on
Fri. SE winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh over the
western half of the basin this weekend and into early next week as
the pressure gradient tightens between the western extension of
Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressures in west
Texas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Tight gradient between a strong ridge at the western Atlantic near
23N and lower pressure over northern Colombia is supporting fresh
to strong NE to E winds and seas of 6 to 8 ft at the south-central
basin, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Light to gentle winds and
1 to 3 ft seas exist at the northwestern basin. Moderate with
locally fresh NE to SE winds and seas at 4 to 7 ft prevail
elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades across the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia will persist
through Mon. Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the
remainder of the Caribbean Sea, except pulsing to strong in the
Gulf of Honduras at night Sat through Tue. Rough seas in large E
swell will continue to impact Atlantic waters near the Lesser
Antilles through late Sun, then begin to subside on Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends southwestward from northwest of Bermuda
across 31N70W to beyond the Great Bahama Bank. Scattered moderate
convection is evident near and up to 250 nm southeast of this
boundary, including the northwest and central Bahamas. A weak
stationary front near 31N between 46W and 56W is triggering patchy
showers north of 30N. Convergent trade winds are producing
scattered moderate convection off the coast of Suriname and
French Guiana. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the
beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Fresh to strong S to SW winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft are found
near the cold front, north of 28N between 61W and 70W. Otherwise,
gentle to moderate NE to SW winds and 4 to 7 ft seas exist north
of 27N between 35W and the northeastern Florida/southern Georgia
coast. Gentle to moderate SE to SW winds and 3 to 6 ft seas are
noted near the Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Moderate to fresh
with locally strong NE to E trade winds and seas at 6 to 10 ft
prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
sink a bit southward, and reach from near 31N69W to 26N72W to the
northwest Bahamas Fri. Afterward, it should become a weak
stationary front from near 31N62W to 26N70W early on Sat, and then
dissipate by late Sat night. High pressure north of the area
will shift eastward while it strengthens some. This will cause
fresh to strong southerly winds over the central and eastern
waters north of 27N through Fri while gradually lifting north of
the area.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 15 May 2026 00:13:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150013
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu May 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 27W from 12N
southward, and moving westward at about 10 kt. The wave is in a
very dry surrounding environment marked by a dense area of Saharan
Air Layer (SAL) as seen in the GOES-E dust and GEO color imagery.
Widely scattered moderate convection are seen within 30 nm of
05N26W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 47W from 13N southward,
and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are evident
from 02N to 04N between 46W and 50W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near coastal border of
Mauritian and Senegal, then curves southwestward to 06N24W. An
ITCZ runs westward from 04N28W to 02N45W. Scattered moderate
convection is seen near and up to 100 nm north of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The southeastern end of a cold front reaches southwestward from
Great Bahama Bank across the Florida Straits to the northern
coast of western Cuba. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring near the northern coast of central
Cuba and adjacent Florida Straits. Otherwise, a 1018 mb high at
the northwestern Gulf is dominating much of the Gulf with gentle N
to NE to SE winds and seas of 1 to 3 ft, except moderate winds
near the coast of western Florida, northern Yucatan Peninsula and
southeastern Texas/northeastern Mexico.
For the forecast, a weak cold front is forecast to enter the
northeastern Gulf tonight and dissipate over the eastern Gulf on
Fri. SE winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh over the
western half of the basin this weekend and into early next week as
the pressure gradient tightens between the western extension of
Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressures in west
Texas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Tight gradient between a strong ridge at the western Atlantic near
23N and lower pressure over northern Colombia is supporting fresh
to strong NE to E winds and seas of 6 to 8 ft at the south-central
basin, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Light to gentle winds and
1 to 3 ft seas exist at the northwestern basin. Moderate with
locally fresh NE to SE winds and seas at 4 to 7 ft prevail
elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades across the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia will persist
through Mon. Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the
remainder of the Caribbean Sea, except pulsing to strong in the
Gulf of Honduras at night Sat through Tue. Rough seas in large E
swell will continue to impact Atlantic waters near the Lesser
Antilles through late Sun, then begin to subside on Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends southwestward from northwest of Bermuda
across 31N70W to beyond the Great Bahama Bank. Scattered moderate
convection is evident near and up to 250 nm southeast of this
boundary, including the northwest and central Bahamas. A weak
stationary front near 31N between 46W and 56W is triggering patchy
showers north of 30N. Convergent trade winds are producing
scattered moderate convection off the coast of Suriname and
French Guiana. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the
beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.
Fresh to strong S to SW winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft are found
near the cold front, north of 28N between 61W and 70W. Otherwise,
gentle to moderate NE to SW winds and 4 to 7 ft seas exist north
of 27N between 35W and the northeastern Florida/southern Georgia
coast. Gentle to moderate SE to SW winds and 3 to 6 ft seas are
noted near the Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Moderate to fresh
with locally strong NE to E trade winds and seas at 6 to 10 ft
prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
sink a bit southward, and reach from near 31N69W to 26N72W to the
northwest Bahamas Fri. Afterward, it should become a weak
stationary front from near 31N62W to 26N70W early on Sat, and then
dissipate by late Sat night. High pressure north of the area
will shift eastward while it strengthens some. This will cause
fresh to strong southerly winds over the central and eastern
waters north of 27N through Fri while gradually lifting north of
the area.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 15 May 2026 02:47:10 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 15 May 2026 02:47:10 GMT
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf