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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 02:33:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290233
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0325 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. A few showers are noted near
the trough axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55W, south of
13N, moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
found south of 10N and between 50W and 58W.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 66W, south of
20N, moving westward near 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 17N to 22N and between 59W and 67W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 06N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N28W to 05N53W. Isolated showers are present
within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends westward
into the Gulf waters, supporting fresh to locally strong NE-E
winds and moderate seas south of 23N and between 90W and 95W.
Meanwhile, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate seas west of
93W and north of 23N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Thu night. Moderate to fresh E
to SE winds across the western half of the Gulf will diminish to
gentle to moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail the
remainder forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper low moving across the Florida Keys and diurnal heating
combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
across Cuba and nearby waters. Scattered showers are also
affecting the NE Caribbean due to another upper level low north of
the area and a tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean.
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near gale-force force easterly trade winds across much of the
central Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-10 ft. The strongest
winds and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to
locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin combined
with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong tradewinds
over the central Caribbean through the forecast period, reaching
near-gale speeds offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate or
lighter winds are forecast across the remainder of the basin
during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper level low centered north of the Leeward Islands combine
with a surface trough along 61W to produce scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms from 20N to 26N and between 57W and 66W.
The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft south of 25N and east of 30W.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and east of 20W.
A recent scatterometer satellite pass showed winds up to 31 kt
between Gran Canaria and Tenerife in the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High will
dominate the forecast area through Mon. While most of the basin
will experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings for
the next several days. On Mon, a weak cold front should push off
of the SE United States coast and extend from approximately 31N73W
to the central Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the cold
front is anticipated to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure
area is expected to form along the western end of the frontal
system on Monday or Tuesday. Gradual development of this system is
possible thereafter while it drifts westward over our NW waters
north of 28N.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 02:33:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290233
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0325 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. A few showers are noted near
the trough axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55W, south of
13N, moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
found south of 10N and between 50W and 58W.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 66W, south of
20N, moving westward near 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 17N to 22N and between 59W and 67W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 06N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N28W to 05N53W. Isolated showers are present
within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends westward
into the Gulf waters, supporting fresh to locally strong NE-E
winds and moderate seas south of 23N and between 90W and 95W.
Meanwhile, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate seas west of
93W and north of 23N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Thu night. Moderate to fresh E
to SE winds across the western half of the Gulf will diminish to
gentle to moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail the
remainder forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper low moving across the Florida Keys and diurnal heating
combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
across Cuba and nearby waters. Scattered showers are also
affecting the NE Caribbean due to another upper level low north of
the area and a tropical wave in the eastern Caribbean.
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near gale-force force easterly trade winds across much of the
central Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-10 ft. The strongest
winds and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to
locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin combined
with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong tradewinds
over the central Caribbean through the forecast period, reaching
near-gale speeds offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate or
lighter winds are forecast across the remainder of the basin
during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper level low centered north of the Leeward Islands combine
with a surface trough along 61W to produce scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms from 20N to 26N and between 57W and 66W.
The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft south of 25N and east of 30W.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and east of 20W.
A recent scatterometer satellite pass showed winds up to 31 kt
between Gran Canaria and Tenerife in the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda-Azores High will
dominate the forecast area through Mon. While most of the basin
will experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings for
the next several days. On Mon, a weak cold front should push off
of the SE United States coast and extend from approximately 31N73W
to the central Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the cold
front is anticipated to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure
area is expected to form along the western end of the frontal
system on Monday or Tuesday. Gradual development of this system is
possible thereafter while it drifts westward over our NW waters
north of 28N.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 17:01:54 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 29 Jun 2026 05:38:12 GMT - Mon, 29 Jun 2026 05:01:54 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 290501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located near the coast of
North Carolina are associated with a mid-level disturbance and an
approaching frontal system. A broad area of low pressure is forecast
to form along the front offshore of the southeastern coast of the
United States in the next day or two. Gradual development is
possible while the system drifts southward and then westward before
environmental conditions become less conducive later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 28 Jun 2026 12:49:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
618
NOUS42 KNHC 281249
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SUN 28 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-028
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 32.0N 71.0W FOR 30/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf