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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 04:35:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040435
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0434 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has been introduced in the 00Z analysis along
22W, south of 17N. Isolated convection is depicted along the wave
axis.
Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 31.5W, extending
from 04N to 17N, and moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are seen from 06N to 12N between 27W
and 38W.
A tropical wave is across the eastern Caribbean, south of 19N,
moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 12N to 18N between 62.5W and 70W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N29W. The ITCZ extends from 10N34W to
06N53W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
waves, scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06.5N to
08.5N between 37W and 49.5W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
across the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, anchored by a
1017 mb high in the central Gulf. This supports light to gentle
winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle
to moderate NE to E winds over the Bay of Campeche associated
with a surface trough. Afternoon convection over Florida has
drifted westward over the eastern Gulf as it weakens.
For the forecast, the weak surface ridge will continue to
dominate the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting
gentle to moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle
winds over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week. These winds are
the result of local effects associated with a surface trough.
Slight to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Abundant tropical moisture accompanying the tropical wave along
66.5W has encountered favorable upper level conditions due to an
elongated middle to upper-level low pressure N of the Greater
Antilles, supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms across
much of the eastern Caribbean east of 74W. Western Cuba and
western Hispaniola afternoon convection has drifted offshore as it
weakens. The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north
of the basin and the Colombian Low continues to support fresh to
strong easterly winds and seas of 8-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas 4 to 6 ft are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean away from areas of convection
associated with the tropical wave near 66.5W. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E
Pacific extension of the monsoon continues to support scattered
strong convection over the waters near the coasts of NW Colombia
and Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Wed night. Expect winds to
reach near-gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms across the E Caribbean are being fueled by a
tropical wave with axis along 66W. The wave and its associated
moisture will reach Hispaniola and the central Caribbean waters on
Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 31N-33N between 57W and 70W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms previal across much of the central and
northwestern Atlantic between the stalled front and 25.5N, from
43W to 64W, and focused along another surface trough from 31N46W
to 26N53W. Otherwise, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the subtropical Atlantic waters, thus
supporting mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
across much of the waters S of 22N. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across areas from 08N to 22N between 35W and the Lesser
Antilles, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate trades and
3-6 ft seas prevail across much of the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 04:35:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040435
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0434 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has been introduced in the 00Z analysis along
22W, south of 17N. Isolated convection is depicted along the wave
axis.
Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 31.5W, extending
from 04N to 17N, and moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are seen from 06N to 12N between 27W
and 38W.
A tropical wave is across the eastern Caribbean, south of 19N,
moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 12N to 18N between 62.5W and 70W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N29W. The ITCZ extends from 10N34W to
06N53W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
waves, scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06.5N to
08.5N between 37W and 49.5W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
across the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, anchored by a
1017 mb high in the central Gulf. This supports light to gentle
winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle
to moderate NE to E winds over the Bay of Campeche associated
with a surface trough. Afternoon convection over Florida has
drifted westward over the eastern Gulf as it weakens.
For the forecast, the weak surface ridge will continue to
dominate the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting
gentle to moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle
winds over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week. These winds are
the result of local effects associated with a surface trough.
Slight to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Abundant tropical moisture accompanying the tropical wave along
66.5W has encountered favorable upper level conditions due to an
elongated middle to upper-level low pressure N of the Greater
Antilles, supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms across
much of the eastern Caribbean east of 74W. Western Cuba and
western Hispaniola afternoon convection has drifted offshore as it
weakens. The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north
of the basin and the Colombian Low continues to support fresh to
strong easterly winds and seas of 8-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas 4 to 6 ft are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean away from areas of convection
associated with the tropical wave near 66.5W. Elsewhere, moderate
or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E
Pacific extension of the monsoon continues to support scattered
strong convection over the waters near the coasts of NW Colombia
and Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Wed night. Expect winds to
reach near-gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms across the E Caribbean are being fueled by a
tropical wave with axis along 66W. The wave and its associated
moisture will reach Hispaniola and the central Caribbean waters on
Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 31N-33N between 57W and 70W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms previal across much of the central and
northwestern Atlantic between the stalled front and 25.5N, from
43W to 64W, and focused along another surface trough from 31N46W
to 26N53W. Otherwise, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the subtropical Atlantic waters, thus
supporting mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
across much of the waters S of 22N. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across areas from 08N to 22N between 35W and the Lesser
Antilles, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate trades and
3-6 ft seas prevail across much of the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 17:12:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 04 Jul 2026 10:30:07 GMT - Sat, 04 Jul 2026 05:12:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
577
ABNT20 KNHC 040512
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 12:50:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 031249
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT FRI 03 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-033
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf