2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 08 Nov 2025 10:38:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 081038
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Nov 8 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 12N16W and continues southwestward to near 10N18W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ, which extends to 07N30W to
    02N45W. Scattered moderate convection is along and within 210 nm
    of both the ITCZ and monsoon trough.

    The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
    across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring as a result over the offshore waters of Panama and
    Costa Rica.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak ridge dominates the entire Gulf, which is supporting
    moderate or weaker winds and slight seas. Otherwise, a mid-level
    short-wave trough supports scattered showers over the Florida Big
    Bend offshore waters.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
    prevail basin-wide through this evening. A strong cold front will
    move into the NW Gulf Sun morning and progress southeastward,
    exiting the basin Mon afternoon. Strong to near gale-froce N to NE
    winds and rough seas can be expected behind the front, and gale
    force winds and very rough seas are likely offshore of Veracruz
    Mon. Conditions will improve basin-wide by Tue evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough in the W Caribbean is aiding in the development
    of scattered moderate convection across the offshore waters of E
    Honduras and Nicaragua. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure over the western and central Atlantic and the Colombian
    low is supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central
    Caribbean, and moderate to fresh trades elsewhere in the central
    and eastern basin. Light to gentle winds are over the NW
    Caribbean. Seas are moderate, except slight in the NW Caribbean.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail over
    the central and eastern Caribbean through Tue, as a surface
    trough moves westward through the region, and high pressure builds
    to the north. Locally strong winds and rough seas are expected in
    the south-central and portions of the north-central Caribbean
    during the weekend and on Mon. Rough seas in N swell will continue
    over the tropical Atlantic waters east of the Lesser Antilles
    into Mon and then will gradually subside through late Tue. Looking
    ahead, a strong cold front is slated to enter the NW Caribbean
    late Mon, leading to widespread strong to near gale force N winds
    and rough seas in the wake of the front. The cold front is
    forecast to reach from E Cuba to E Honduras Tue evening where it
    will stall before it starts to weaken Tue night into Wed.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weakening stationary front extends from 31N41W to 26N57W where
    it starts to dissipate. Mid to upper level diffluent flow support
    scattered heavy showers and isolated tstms N of the front or 26N
    between 50W and 75W. The remainder subtropical Atlantic is under
    the influence of the Azores-Bermuda High, which is supporting
    moderate or weaker winds W of 40W and moderate to fresh NW to E
    winds E of 40W. Otherwise, large N swell is supporting a broad
    area of 8 to 12 ft seas across the central and eastern Atlantic,
    with 8 to 9 ft seas extending across the tropical waters between
    the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles offshore waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, large NW swell to 12 ft will
    continue to impact the central Atlantic subtropical waters today
    before subsiding this evening. Moderate to fresh S to SW winds
    developing offshore of NE Florida Sun morning will reach fresh to
    strong speeds Sun night into Mon ahead of a strong cold front that
    will push off the SE U.S. Sun night. The front will progress SE
    and reach from Bermuda to E Cuba Tue afternoon, with the southern
    portion of the front stalling from 27N63W to E Cuba Tue night into
    Wed. Strong to near gale force winds and rough to very rough seas
    are expected behind the front through Tue night.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 08 Nov 2025 10:38:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 081038
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Nov 8 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 12N16W and continues southwestward to near 10N18W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ, which extends to 07N30W to
    02N45W. Scattered moderate convection is along and within 210 nm
    of both the ITCZ and monsoon trough.

    The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
    across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring as a result over the offshore waters of Panama and
    Costa Rica.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak ridge dominates the entire Gulf, which is supporting
    moderate or weaker winds and slight seas. Otherwise, a mid-level
    short-wave trough supports scattered showers over the Florida Big
    Bend offshore waters.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
    prevail basin-wide through this evening. A strong cold front will
    move into the NW Gulf Sun morning and progress southeastward,
    exiting the basin Mon afternoon. Strong to near gale-froce N to NE
    winds and rough seas can be expected behind the front, and gale
    force winds and very rough seas are likely offshore of Veracruz
    Mon. Conditions will improve basin-wide by Tue evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough in the W Caribbean is aiding in the development
    of scattered moderate convection across the offshore waters of E
    Honduras and Nicaragua. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure over the western and central Atlantic and the Colombian
    low is supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central
    Caribbean, and moderate to fresh trades elsewhere in the central
    and eastern basin. Light to gentle winds are over the NW
    Caribbean. Seas are moderate, except slight in the NW Caribbean.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trade winds will prevail over
    the central and eastern Caribbean through Tue, as a surface
    trough moves westward through the region, and high pressure builds
    to the north. Locally strong winds and rough seas are expected in
    the south-central and portions of the north-central Caribbean
    during the weekend and on Mon. Rough seas in N swell will continue
    over the tropical Atlantic waters east of the Lesser Antilles
    into Mon and then will gradually subside through late Tue. Looking
    ahead, a strong cold front is slated to enter the NW Caribbean
    late Mon, leading to widespread strong to near gale force N winds
    and rough seas in the wake of the front. The cold front is
    forecast to reach from E Cuba to E Honduras Tue evening where it
    will stall before it starts to weaken Tue night into Wed.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weakening stationary front extends from 31N41W to 26N57W where
    it starts to dissipate. Mid to upper level diffluent flow support
    scattered heavy showers and isolated tstms N of the front or 26N
    between 50W and 75W. The remainder subtropical Atlantic is under
    the influence of the Azores-Bermuda High, which is supporting
    moderate or weaker winds W of 40W and moderate to fresh NW to E
    winds E of 40W. Otherwise, large N swell is supporting a broad
    area of 8 to 12 ft seas across the central and eastern Atlantic,
    with 8 to 9 ft seas extending across the tropical waters between
    the Cape Verde Islands and the Lesser Antilles offshore waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, large NW swell to 12 ft will
    continue to impact the central Atlantic subtropical waters today
    before subsiding this evening. Moderate to fresh S to SW winds
    developing offshore of NE Florida Sun morning will reach fresh to
    strong speeds Sun night into Mon ahead of a strong cold front that
    will push off the SE U.S. Sun night. The front will progress SE
    and reach from Bermuda to E Cuba Tue afternoon, with the southern
    portion of the front stalling from 27N63W to E Cuba Tue night into
    Wed. Strong to near gale force winds and rough to very rough seas
    are expected behind the front through Tue night.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 09 Nov 2025 23:32:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 08 Nov 2025 14:50:09 GMT
  • Sat, 08 Nov 2025 11:32:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 081132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sat Nov 8 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 07 Nov 2025 16:30:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 071630
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1130 AM EST FRI 07 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....29-160

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
    THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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