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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 17:07:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091706
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave was analyzed at 1200 UTC along 18W, from 06N
to 17N. The wave is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers
are seen near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 36/37W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to 14N
between 33W-41W.
A tropical wave is along 47W from 12N to 23N, moving west at
10-15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
convection currently accompanies the wave.
A tropical wave is along 66W and S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is in the eastern Caribbean
between 13N and the coast of Puerto Rico.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
be possible during the middle to latter part of the week while it
moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16N and continues
southwestward to 11N45W. The ITCZ extends from 11N45W to 12N62W.
In addition to the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves
section above, scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to
11N between 20W and 27W, as well as from 08N to 12N between 41W
and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough over the northern Gulf supports scattered
moderate convection along the northern Gulf coast from SE
LA to the western FL Panhandle. More scattered moderate convection
is active over the Gulf W of 91W near the south end of this
trough, also enhanced by another surface trough in the SW Gulf and
a divergent pattern aloft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
also active over the FL Straits. A 1023 mb Bermuda High extends
a weak ridge inland across the northern Gulf states. This weak
pressure pattern across the Gulf is supporting mostly light to
gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across the basin. Moderate to fresh
NE winds are occurring across the western coastal waters of the
Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a thermal trough there.
For the forecast, a surface trough extends from near Panama City,
Florida to 29N89W and to near 28N93W. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are near the trough. The trough will move inland the
northern Gulf coast this evening. Otherwise, a surface ridge
extends from the Bermuda High westward across the northern Gulf,
and will dominate most of the basin through late Tue. This will
support gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight
seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located
just west of Bermuda and a 1008 mb Colombian low continues to
support fresh to near gale force trades over the south-central to
SW Caribbean. Seas are 7 to 11 ft across much of this area. Fresh
to strong trade accompany a tropical wave across the eastern
Caribbean N of 15N, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh
trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean and the Gulf of
Honduras while gentle to moderate E winds are observed elsewhere.
Seas are 2 to 5 ft with these winds. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms continue between Cuba and Jamaica, across
the Cayman Islands and regional waters including the Yucatan
Channel, and are supported by upper level troughing over the W
Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda
High and lower pressure in northern South America will continue
to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and
portions of the SW basin will into the week. The associated ridge
will gradually shift southward to near 28N through midweek
maintaining strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the Gulf of
Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere. The
Atlantic ridge will shift farther southward later next week, which
may act to increase the trades again across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves
moving across the basin.
A broad ridge dominates the waters north of 25N across the basin,
broken only by a pair of troughs N of 26N between 48W and 59W.
Saharan air and suspended dust is evident south and east of these
troughs to as far sout has the monsoon trough and ITCZ. The
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N
and west of 55W into the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft.
North of 22N and east of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to
the Cabo Verde Islands, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Fresh to strong
NE winds and 5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands
southwestward to 20N. Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak trough along the U.S.
southeastern coast in combination with ample deep moisture in
place will help maintain scattered showers and thunderstorms
offshore northern Florida east to near 74W. Otherwise, the ridge
associated to high pressure of 1023 mb will shift southward to
along 28N through Tue. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola
and in the approach to the Windward Passage through the period,
pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night. The Atlantic
ridge will drop a bit farther southward later next week, which may
result in stronger easterly winds. Of note, a tropical wave is
expected to move off the west coast of Africa early in the week.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development thereafter and a tropical depression could form during
the latter half of this week while the system moves generally
westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 17:07:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091706
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave was analyzed at 1200 UTC along 18W, from 06N
to 17N. The wave is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers
are seen near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 36/37W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to 14N
between 33W-41W.
A tropical wave is along 47W from 12N to 23N, moving west at
10-15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no significant
convection currently accompanies the wave.
A tropical wave is along 66W and S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is in the eastern Caribbean
between 13N and the coast of Puerto Rico.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
be possible during the middle to latter part of the week while it
moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16N and continues
southwestward to 11N45W. The ITCZ extends from 11N45W to 12N62W.
In addition to the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves
section above, scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to
11N between 20W and 27W, as well as from 08N to 12N between 41W
and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough over the northern Gulf supports scattered
moderate convection along the northern Gulf coast from SE
LA to the western FL Panhandle. More scattered moderate convection
is active over the Gulf W of 91W near the south end of this
trough, also enhanced by another surface trough in the SW Gulf and
a divergent pattern aloft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
also active over the FL Straits. A 1023 mb Bermuda High extends
a weak ridge inland across the northern Gulf states. This weak
pressure pattern across the Gulf is supporting mostly light to
gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across the basin. Moderate to fresh
NE winds are occurring across the western coastal waters of the
Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a thermal trough there.
For the forecast, a surface trough extends from near Panama City,
Florida to 29N89W and to near 28N93W. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are near the trough. The trough will move inland the
northern Gulf coast this evening. Otherwise, a surface ridge
extends from the Bermuda High westward across the northern Gulf,
and will dominate most of the basin through late Tue. This will
support gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight
seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located
just west of Bermuda and a 1008 mb Colombian low continues to
support fresh to near gale force trades over the south-central to
SW Caribbean. Seas are 7 to 11 ft across much of this area. Fresh
to strong trade accompany a tropical wave across the eastern
Caribbean N of 15N, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh
trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean and the Gulf of
Honduras while gentle to moderate E winds are observed elsewhere.
Seas are 2 to 5 ft with these winds. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms continue between Cuba and Jamaica, across
the Cayman Islands and regional waters including the Yucatan
Channel, and are supported by upper level troughing over the W
Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda
High and lower pressure in northern South America will continue
to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and
portions of the SW basin will into the week. The associated ridge
will gradually shift southward to near 28N through midweek
maintaining strong to near-gale winds offshore Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the Gulf of
Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere. The
Atlantic ridge will shift farther southward later next week, which
may act to increase the trades again across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Refer to the section above for details on the tropical waves
moving across the basin.
A broad ridge dominates the waters north of 25N across the basin,
broken only by a pair of troughs N of 26N between 48W and 59W.
Saharan air and suspended dust is evident south and east of these
troughs to as far sout has the monsoon trough and ITCZ. The
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N
and west of 55W into the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft.
North of 22N and east of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to
the Cabo Verde Islands, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Fresh to strong
NE winds and 5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands
southwestward to 20N. Elsewhere within the ridge, gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak trough along the U.S.
southeastern coast in combination with ample deep moisture in
place will help maintain scattered showers and thunderstorms
offshore northern Florida east to near 74W. Otherwise, the ridge
associated to high pressure of 1023 mb will shift southward to
along 28N through Tue. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola
and in the approach to the Windward Passage through the period,
pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night. The Atlantic
ridge will drop a bit farther southward later next week, which may
result in stronger easterly winds. Of note, a tropical wave is
expected to move off the west coast of Africa early in the week.
Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for gradual
development thereafter and a tropical depression could form during
the latter half of this week while the system moves generally
westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 05:31:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 09 Aug 2026 20:09:27 GMT - Sun, 09 Aug 2026 17:31:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 091731
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a
tropical wave is located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands. Some gradual development of this system is
possible during the early to middle part of this week while it
moves westward across the central tropical Atlantic. Upper-level
winds are expected to become less conducive for development later in
the week when the system approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of
Africa early this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to
be conducive for gradual development thereafter, and a tropical
depression could form during the latter half of this week while the
system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 14:44:12 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091444
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT SUN 09 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-070
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION INTO
DEVELOPING SYSTEM NEAR 12.0N 53.0W FOR 12/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC
SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND CP93 FOR 12/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR
AT 11/1730Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 14.0N 147.0W FOR 13/0000Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
13/0000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf