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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 13 Mar 2026 21:08:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132108
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Mar 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 03N20W.
Farther south, the ITCZ extends from 03N20W to 01S35W to 01S40W
to 02S43W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 00N to
02N between 20W and 25W, and along the equator between 30W and
35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from Cape Sable in southwest Florida
to near Cancun, Mexico. A few showers and thunderstorms are
active north of the front over the loop current near 23N85W.
Mostly fair skies, gentle breezes and slight seas are evident
elsewhere across the basin where weak high pressure persists.
For the forecast, the front will lift back to the N as a warm
front on Sat as high pressure over the region begins to shift
eastward. A strong cold front is expected to move into the NW
Gulf late Sun night, quickly reach the southeastern Gulf by Mon
night and slow down as it moves into the northwestern Caribbean
by late Tue. Strong to near gale-force N winds will follow the
front along with seas rapidly becoming rough. Gale-force winds
will be possible in the NW Gulf, and offshore Tampico and
Veracruz, Mexico on Sun night and Mon. The winds offshore
Veracruz may attain brief gusts to storm-force. In the wake of
the front, high pressure will build across the region into
midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A frontal boundary north of the Caribbean across the Bahamas is
breaking up the subtropical ridge and supporting mostly moderate
trade winds and 3-5 ft seas across the eastern and central
Caribbean across the basin, except for fresh winds and 5-6 seas
off the coast of Colombia. Light to gentle breezes and 1-2 ft
seas across the northwest Gulf. No significant convection is
evident over the basin at this time.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between north-central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in Colombia will
support pulsing fresh to strong trades across the central basin
through the morning hours. The high pressure will shift eastward
through Sat, with a brief weakening of the gradient allowing for
fresh to strong trades to be confined to S of about 13N between
72W and 76W. Afterward, new high pressure will build westward
across the central Atlantic next week, with the resulting pressure
gradient leading to fresh to strong trades and building seas
extending from the tropical Atlantic to the eastern and central
Caribbean, including through passages.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas, then
is stationary to Biscayne Bay, Florida. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active along the front over the Gulf Stream
between South Florida and the northern Bahamas. Fresh NE to E
winds and 6-9 ft seas are noted north of the front. A surface
trough is along 60W from 20N to 30N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active east of this trough from 20N to 30N to
50W. Gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere
west of 50W, with NW swell. A broad ridge is in place farther
east. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and 7-10 ft seas are noted
north of 25N and east of 40W, with moderate to fresh Ne to E
winds and 5-7 ft seas elsewhere east of 50W.
For the forecast west of 55W, Atlantic high pressure will build
west-southwestward toward the Bahamas through the weekend before
it will retreat eastward early next week in response to the next
cold front. This front will move off the U.S. southeastern coast
Mon evening, then slow down and stall from near 31N72W to the
central Bahamas and to central Cuba by late Tue. Fresh to strong
southerly winds and rough seas will develop over the NW forecast
waters starting Sun afternoon ahead of the front. These
conditions will shift eastward to the north- central waters by
late Tue. Fresh to strong northwest to north winds will follow
the front through Tue To the S, rough seas produced by long-
period E swell will impact the waters E of the Bahamas early next
week before slowly subsiding during midweek.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 13 Mar 2026 21:08:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132108
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Mar 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 03N20W.
Farther south, the ITCZ extends from 03N20W to 01S35W to 01S40W
to 02S43W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 00N to
02N between 20W and 25W, and along the equator between 30W and
35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from Cape Sable in southwest Florida
to near Cancun, Mexico. A few showers and thunderstorms are
active north of the front over the loop current near 23N85W.
Mostly fair skies, gentle breezes and slight seas are evident
elsewhere across the basin where weak high pressure persists.
For the forecast, the front will lift back to the N as a warm
front on Sat as high pressure over the region begins to shift
eastward. A strong cold front is expected to move into the NW
Gulf late Sun night, quickly reach the southeastern Gulf by Mon
night and slow down as it moves into the northwestern Caribbean
by late Tue. Strong to near gale-force N winds will follow the
front along with seas rapidly becoming rough. Gale-force winds
will be possible in the NW Gulf, and offshore Tampico and
Veracruz, Mexico on Sun night and Mon. The winds offshore
Veracruz may attain brief gusts to storm-force. In the wake of
the front, high pressure will build across the region into
midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A frontal boundary north of the Caribbean across the Bahamas is
breaking up the subtropical ridge and supporting mostly moderate
trade winds and 3-5 ft seas across the eastern and central
Caribbean across the basin, except for fresh winds and 5-6 seas
off the coast of Colombia. Light to gentle breezes and 1-2 ft
seas across the northwest Gulf. No significant convection is
evident over the basin at this time.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between north-central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in Colombia will
support pulsing fresh to strong trades across the central basin
through the morning hours. The high pressure will shift eastward
through Sat, with a brief weakening of the gradient allowing for
fresh to strong trades to be confined to S of about 13N between
72W and 76W. Afterward, new high pressure will build westward
across the central Atlantic next week, with the resulting pressure
gradient leading to fresh to strong trades and building seas
extending from the tropical Atlantic to the eastern and central
Caribbean, including through passages.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas, then
is stationary to Biscayne Bay, Florida. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active along the front over the Gulf Stream
between South Florida and the northern Bahamas. Fresh NE to E
winds and 6-9 ft seas are noted north of the front. A surface
trough is along 60W from 20N to 30N. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active east of this trough from 20N to 30N to
50W. Gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft are noted elsewhere
west of 50W, with NW swell. A broad ridge is in place farther
east. Fresh to strong NE to E winds and 7-10 ft seas are noted
north of 25N and east of 40W, with moderate to fresh Ne to E
winds and 5-7 ft seas elsewhere east of 50W.
For the forecast west of 55W, Atlantic high pressure will build
west-southwestward toward the Bahamas through the weekend before
it will retreat eastward early next week in response to the next
cold front. This front will move off the U.S. southeastern coast
Mon evening, then slow down and stall from near 31N72W to the
central Bahamas and to central Cuba by late Tue. Fresh to strong
southerly winds and rough seas will develop over the NW forecast
waters starting Sun afternoon ahead of the front. These
conditions will shift eastward to the north- central waters by
late Tue. Fresh to strong northwest to north winds will follow
the front through Tue To the S, rough seas produced by long-
period E swell will impact the waters E of the Bahamas early next
week before slowly subsiding during midweek.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 14 Mar 2026 03:21:05 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 13 Mar 2026 16:24:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131624
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT FRI 13 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z MARCH 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-103
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THERE WILL BE NO FURTHER PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS FOR THE REMAINDER
OF THIS WINTER SEASON.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf