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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 02 Nov 2026 03:36:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    272
    AXNT20 KNHC 020336
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0300 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 16N17W, and continues westward to 16N23W, where it
    transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to 08N59W.
    Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
    06N to 10N between 15W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper-level trough is supporting scattered to numerous
    convection east of 88W. This activity is capable of producing
    strong gusty winds and heavy rainfall. Elsewhere, fresh to strong
    east winds are over the NE Gulf along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.
    Light to gentle NE winds, and seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure over the
    eastern U.S. and lower pressure south of the area will maintain
    fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas through the NE Gulf
    through Mon night. A cold front will reach along the Texas coast
    Tue afternoon, and out over the NW Gulf Tue night into early
    Wed, followed by moderate to fresh northwest to north winds. The
    front will weaken as it slowly moves across the basin through Thu,
    then across Florida Thu night into Fri. In its wake, weak high
    pressure will settle in over the region through Fri night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevails across
    the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
    seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades along with moderate
    seas over the central and eastern Caribbean will continue through
    Tue night. The pressure gradient will relax starting Mon night as
    broad low pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall
    weaker winds and diminishing seas for the remainder of the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A coastal trough reaches from near Charleston, South Carolina to
    Jacksonville, Florida. Strong to near-gale force winds prevail
    north of 27N and west of 70W, associated with a tight gradient
    between the trough and 1032 mb high pressure centered over
    Virginia. A recent altimeter pass confirmed rough seas of 8-10 ft
    in this area. Recent scatterometer satellite data shows fresh to
    strong NE to E winds north of 25N and west of 55W, north of a
    cold front that extends from near 31N42W southwestward to 28N50W
    becomes stationary to 24N65W, and continues as a trough through
    the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
    convection is along this front. Farther east, a trough extends
    from 1014 mb low pressure near 32N25W to 26N23W to 22N30W. Fresh
    NW winds and seas to 8 ft prevail west of the front to 30W.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas
    persist.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will remain in
    place through Tue night as high pressure builds across the
    northern and central waters. The resulting pressure gradient will
    lead to widespread fresh to strong northeast to east winds and
    rough seas to around 10 ft north of about 27N and west of 60W.
    Broad low pressure may gradually develop along the western edge of
    the stationary front, and this may cause the strong winds and
    rough seas to spread eastward toward mid-week, impacting waters
    mainly N of 28N. The next cold front is forecast to move off
    Florida late Thu night.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 02 Nov 2026 03:36:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    272
    AXNT20 KNHC 020336
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0300 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 16N17W, and continues westward to 16N23W, where it
    transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to 08N59W.
    Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
    06N to 10N between 15W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper-level trough is supporting scattered to numerous
    convection east of 88W. This activity is capable of producing
    strong gusty winds and heavy rainfall. Elsewhere, fresh to strong
    east winds are over the NE Gulf along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.
    Light to gentle NE winds, and seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure over the
    eastern U.S. and lower pressure south of the area will maintain
    fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas through the NE Gulf
    through Mon night. A cold front will reach along the Texas coast
    Tue afternoon, and out over the NW Gulf Tue night into early
    Wed, followed by moderate to fresh northwest to north winds. The
    front will weaken as it slowly moves across the basin through Thu,
    then across Florida Thu night into Fri. In its wake, weak high
    pressure will settle in over the region through Fri night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevails across
    the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
    seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades along with moderate
    seas over the central and eastern Caribbean will continue through
    Tue night. The pressure gradient will relax starting Mon night as
    broad low pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall
    weaker winds and diminishing seas for the remainder of the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A coastal trough reaches from near Charleston, South Carolina to
    Jacksonville, Florida. Strong to near-gale force winds prevail
    north of 27N and west of 70W, associated with a tight gradient
    between the trough and 1032 mb high pressure centered over
    Virginia. A recent altimeter pass confirmed rough seas of 8-10 ft
    in this area. Recent scatterometer satellite data shows fresh to
    strong NE to E winds north of 25N and west of 55W, north of a
    cold front that extends from near 31N42W southwestward to 28N50W
    becomes stationary to 24N65W, and continues as a trough through
    the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
    convection is along this front. Farther east, a trough extends
    from 1014 mb low pressure near 32N25W to 26N23W to 22N30W. Fresh
    NW winds and seas to 8 ft prevail west of the front to 30W.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas
    persist.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will remain in
    place through Tue night as high pressure builds across the
    northern and central waters. The resulting pressure gradient will
    lead to widespread fresh to strong northeast to east winds and
    rough seas to around 10 ft north of about 27N and west of 60W.
    Broad low pressure may gradually develop along the western edge of
    the stationary front, and this may cause the strong winds and
    rough seas to spread eastward toward mid-week, impacting waters
    mainly N of 28N. The next cold front is forecast to move off
    Florida late Thu night.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 03 Nov 2026 17:06:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 09:36:32 GMT
  • Mon, 02 Nov 2026 05:06:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 020506
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:53:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 011552
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1100 AM EST SUN 01 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-154

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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