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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 10:58:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 101057
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak to around
14 ft off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave extends from near 16N46W to
03N51W. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated showers are
seen within 120 nm west of the wave from 07N to 09N, and near
its northern portion.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W south of 19N
moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
observed near the wave.
Another central Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W south of 19N
moving westward also at about 15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are near its northern portion from 17N to 19N
and between 80W and 82W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 12N21W and
west-southwestward to 10N29W, where it transitions to the ITCZ
to 09N36W and to 08N47W. It resumes at 08N50W and to near the
coast of Guyana at 07N57W. Dry air in place is keeping the
tropics free of deep convective activity. Only a few showers are
near the ITCZ between 32W and 35W and between 53W and 56W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge axis extends from Atlantic high pressure westward across
the basin along 28N. The related pressure gradient is generally
allowing for gentle to moderate east to southeast winds south of
26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of 26N.
Seas are of moderate state south of 26N, and of slight state north
of 26N.
Clusters of numerous to isolated strong convection are increasing
over the SW Gulf and central Bay of Campeche. This activity is
generally lifting north in response to an inverted mid-level
trough that is over northeast Mexico near the Texas border.
For the forecast, the ridge will change little through the next
few days keeping similar marine conditions as are initially being
observed. Winds become mostly light and variable starting Mon
over the north-central and NE Gulf. Occasional fresh to strong
northeast to east winds are expected offshore the Yucatan
peninsula at night into next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela tonight and on Sat night.
The pressure gradient between a nearly stagnant high pressure
over the central Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over
northern South America continues to drive the trade throughout
the basin. Overnight scatterometer satellite data passes show
strong to near gale-force easterly trades across the majority
of the central portion of the sea. Moderate seas are being
produced by these trades. Fresh trades along with slight to
moderate seas are in the Gulf of Honduras, also south of
Cuba to near 20N and between 78W and 81W and across the
eastern portion of the basin. Moderate or lighter winds along
with slight to moderate seas are present elsewhere over the
basin.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are noted over some areas of
the western portion of the basin as well between Cuba and Jamaica
and the Windward Passage.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia,
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to occasionally
strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through early
next week. A pair of tropical waves will move across the basin
through Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A plume of Saharan dust and dry mid-latitude air cover much of
the tropical Atlantic, suppressing the development of showers and
thunderstorms.
An expansive high pressure area, with its associated ridge axis
near 27N is anchored by a 1022 mb high center near 27N59.5W The
pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the
deep tropics is supporting fresh to strong easterly winds south of
about 24N and between 72W and 77W. Seas of 6 to 8 ft are over
these waters as depicted by overnight altimeter data passes.
Moderate to fresh westerly winds along with moderate seas are
north of 29N and west of 50W. Fresh to locally strong easterly
breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are found south of 23N and east of 45W.
Moderate to fresh northeast to east trades are present south of
21N between 41W and the Lesser Antilles while fresh to strong
northeast winds are seen from 19N to 27N east of 33W to the coast
of Africa. Seas are 8 to 9 ft in east swell from 07N to 18N
between 49N and the Lesser Antilles, 5 to 7 ft south of 23N east
of 49W, except 6 to 8 ft in northeast swell from 19N to 27N east
of 33W to the coast of Africa. Moderate or lighter winds and along
with seas of 4 to 6 ft are elsewhere.
A large upper-level low over the central Bahamas is attendant by
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the waters
from 21N to 25N between 72W and 76W. The low will continue to
track westward toward South Florida and the Keys through Sat. The
shower and thunderstorm activity may produce strong gusty winds
and frequent lightning.
An expansive dense plume of Saharan dust along with dry mid-
latitude air is suppressing the development of deep convective
activity over the tropical Atlantic region.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge near 28N
will change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 10:58:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 101057
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
tonight and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak to around
14 ft off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave extends from near 16N46W to
03N51W. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated showers are
seen within 120 nm west of the wave from 07N to 09N, and near
its northern portion.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W south of 19N
moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
observed near the wave.
Another central Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W south of 19N
moving westward also at about 15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are near its northern portion from 17N to 19N
and between 80W and 82W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 12N21W and
west-southwestward to 10N29W, where it transitions to the ITCZ
to 09N36W and to 08N47W. It resumes at 08N50W and to near the
coast of Guyana at 07N57W. Dry air in place is keeping the
tropics free of deep convective activity. Only a few showers are
near the ITCZ between 32W and 35W and between 53W and 56W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge axis extends from Atlantic high pressure westward across
the basin along 28N. The related pressure gradient is generally
allowing for gentle to moderate east to southeast winds south of
26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of 26N.
Seas are of moderate state south of 26N, and of slight state north
of 26N.
Clusters of numerous to isolated strong convection are increasing
over the SW Gulf and central Bay of Campeche. This activity is
generally lifting north in response to an inverted mid-level
trough that is over northeast Mexico near the Texas border.
For the forecast, the ridge will change little through the next
few days keeping similar marine conditions as are initially being
observed. Winds become mostly light and variable starting Mon
over the north-central and NE Gulf. Occasional fresh to strong
northeast to east winds are expected offshore the Yucatan
peninsula at night into next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela tonight and on Sat night.
The pressure gradient between a nearly stagnant high pressure
over the central Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over
northern South America continues to drive the trade throughout
the basin. Overnight scatterometer satellite data passes show
strong to near gale-force easterly trades across the majority
of the central portion of the sea. Moderate seas are being
produced by these trades. Fresh trades along with slight to
moderate seas are in the Gulf of Honduras, also south of
Cuba to near 20N and between 78W and 81W and across the
eastern portion of the basin. Moderate or lighter winds along
with slight to moderate seas are present elsewhere over the
basin.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are noted over some areas of
the western portion of the basin as well between Cuba and Jamaica
and the Windward Passage.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia,
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to occasionally
strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through early
next week. A pair of tropical waves will move across the basin
through Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A plume of Saharan dust and dry mid-latitude air cover much of
the tropical Atlantic, suppressing the development of showers and
thunderstorms.
An expansive high pressure area, with its associated ridge axis
near 27N is anchored by a 1022 mb high center near 27N59.5W The
pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the
deep tropics is supporting fresh to strong easterly winds south of
about 24N and between 72W and 77W. Seas of 6 to 8 ft are over
these waters as depicted by overnight altimeter data passes.
Moderate to fresh westerly winds along with moderate seas are
north of 29N and west of 50W. Fresh to locally strong easterly
breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are found south of 23N and east of 45W.
Moderate to fresh northeast to east trades are present south of
21N between 41W and the Lesser Antilles while fresh to strong
northeast winds are seen from 19N to 27N east of 33W to the coast
of Africa. Seas are 8 to 9 ft in east swell from 07N to 18N
between 49N and the Lesser Antilles, 5 to 7 ft south of 23N east
of 49W, except 6 to 8 ft in northeast swell from 19N to 27N east
of 33W to the coast of Africa. Moderate or lighter winds and along
with seas of 4 to 6 ft are elsewhere.
A large upper-level low over the central Bahamas is attendant by
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the waters
from 21N to 25N between 72W and 76W. The low will continue to
track westward toward South Florida and the Keys through Sat. The
shower and thunderstorm activity may produce strong gusty winds
and frequent lightning.
An expansive dense plume of Saharan dust along with dry mid-
latitude air is suppressing the development of deep convective
activity over the tropical Atlantic region.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge near 28N
will change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 17:07:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 10 Jul 2026 11:00:25 GMT - Fri, 10 Jul 2026 05:07:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 100507
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 13:40:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT THU 09 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-039
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf