SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources
- NOAA National Hurricane Center
- International Meteorology Database
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Track Probabilities
- Brian McNoldy Atlantic Headquarters
- Brian McNoldy Tropical Satellite Sectors
- Brian McNoldy Infrared Hovmoller
- Brian McNoldy Past TC Radar Loops
- Weather Nerds TC Guidance
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- NOAA Tropical Cyclone Tracks
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Albany Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- Albany Tropical Atlantic Model Maps
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance
- FSU Tropical Model Outputs
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Genesis
- Penn State Tropical E-Wall
- NOAA HFIP Ruc Models
- Navy NRL TC Page
- College of DuPage Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NHC Analysis Tools
- NOAA NHC ATCF Directory
- NOAA NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA NCEP/EMC HWRF Model
- NOAA HFIP Model Products
- University of Miami Ocean Heat
- COLA Max Potential Hurricane Intensity
- Colorado State RAMMB TC Tracking
- Colorado State RAMMB Floaters
- Colorado State RAMMB GOES-16 Viewer
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-A
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-B
- Michael Ventrice Waves / MJO Maps
- TropicalAtlantic.com Analysis / Recon
- NCAR/RAL Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
Historic Louisiana Storms By Month
January
June
July
August
September
October
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 18 Jan 2026 21:00:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 182059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jan 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning:
A cold front extends from southern Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
Gale force NW winds and rough seas immediately follow the front
over the eastern Gulf, with gale force winds and very rough seas
offshore of Veracruz, Mexico. Winds will diminish below gale
force by tonight, with rough seas subsiding from north to south
tonight through Mon morning.
Caribbean Gale warning:
The pressure gradient between a ridge of high pressure N of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds N
of Colombia. Winds will pulse to near gale force, with frequent
gusts to gale force, tonight and Mon night.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras through
northern Central America:
Periods of significant heavy rainfall are expected through
midweek as abundant tropical moisture interacts with a pre-frontal
trough in the northwest Caribbean and a cold front approaching
the region from the northwest. The heaviest rainfall is expected
to occur early Tue through early Wed in the Gulf of Honduras into
northern Honduras, where totals in excess of 12 inches will be
possible. Please consult products from your local meteorological
services for additional information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
03N21W. The ITCZ continues from 03N21W to 01S42W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 01N to 05N east of 23W, and
within 210 NM of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section for information on a
Gale Warning.
A cold front extends from south Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
Aside from the gale force winds, widespread fresh to strong N
winds prevail, with rough to very rough seas south of 27N. South
and east of the front, moderate to fresh NW winds and slight seas
prevail.
For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE and
out of the basin tonight. High pressure will build southward into
the region by Mon with improving marine conditions from N to S.
However, strengthening high pressure over the SE of the United
States will bring fresh to locally strong NE winds, mainly over
the eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, Tue and Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
Rainfall surrounding the Gulf of Honduras through midweek, as well
as a gale warning off the coast of Colombia.
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, prevail over the
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-7 ft,
are over the eastern Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
of 4-5 ft, are over the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and
seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, aside from the gale warning, a cold front will
move across the Yucatan Channel into the NW Caribbean this
evening, reaching from central Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras on Mon
morning, then stall over the same area by Tue morning, before
gradually dissipating. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough
seas are forecast in the wake of the front. Periods of significant
heavy rainfall are expected through midweek as abundant tropical
moisture interacts with the frontal boundary in the northwest
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends over the waters from 31N77W to central
Florida. A pre frontal trough is SE of the front. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is over the waters east of
the front to 76W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 27N and E of the
front to 72W, where seas are in the 5-7 ft range. W of the front,
strong to near- gale winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail. High
pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters,
anchored by a 1034 mb high near 35N40W. Fresh to strong winds, and
seas of 7-11 ft prevail over the waters E of 60W. Elsewhere,
moderate winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, are noted.
For the forecast west of 55W, strong Atlantic high pressure will
enhance the trades up to strong speeds east of 65W through Thu.
The front will reach from 31N70W to the central Bahamas by Mon
morning, and from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Tue
morning, then stall on Wed from near 31N60W to the central Bahamas
before dissipating. The pressure gradient between the above
mentioned high pressure and the front will also support fresh to
strong southerly winds N of 27N and ahead of the front through
tonight. High pressure building over the SE of the United States
will boost NE winds to fresh to strong speeds in the vicinity of
the Bahamas and Florida Straits into the middle of the week.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 18 Jan 2026 21:00:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 182059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jan 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning:
A cold front extends from southern Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
Gale force NW winds and rough seas immediately follow the front
over the eastern Gulf, with gale force winds and very rough seas
offshore of Veracruz, Mexico. Winds will diminish below gale
force by tonight, with rough seas subsiding from north to south
tonight through Mon morning.
Caribbean Gale warning:
The pressure gradient between a ridge of high pressure N of the
area and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds N
of Colombia. Winds will pulse to near gale force, with frequent
gusts to gale force, tonight and Mon night.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras through
northern Central America:
Periods of significant heavy rainfall are expected through
midweek as abundant tropical moisture interacts with a pre-frontal
trough in the northwest Caribbean and a cold front approaching
the region from the northwest. The heaviest rainfall is expected
to occur early Tue through early Wed in the Gulf of Honduras into
northern Honduras, where totals in excess of 12 inches will be
possible. Please consult products from your local meteorological
services for additional information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
03N21W. The ITCZ continues from 03N21W to 01S42W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 01N to 05N east of 23W, and
within 210 NM of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section for information on a
Gale Warning.
A cold front extends from south Florida to the Bay of Campeche.
Aside from the gale force winds, widespread fresh to strong N
winds prevail, with rough to very rough seas south of 27N. South
and east of the front, moderate to fresh NW winds and slight seas
prevail.
For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE and
out of the basin tonight. High pressure will build southward into
the region by Mon with improving marine conditions from N to S.
However, strengthening high pressure over the SE of the United
States will bring fresh to locally strong NE winds, mainly over
the eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, Tue and Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
Rainfall surrounding the Gulf of Honduras through midweek, as well
as a gale warning off the coast of Colombia.
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, prevail over the
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-7 ft,
are over the eastern Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
of 4-5 ft, are over the NW Caribbean. Light to gentle winds, and
seas of 2-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, aside from the gale warning, a cold front will
move across the Yucatan Channel into the NW Caribbean this
evening, reaching from central Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras on Mon
morning, then stall over the same area by Tue morning, before
gradually dissipating. Fresh to strong northerly winds and rough
seas are forecast in the wake of the front. Periods of significant
heavy rainfall are expected through midweek as abundant tropical
moisture interacts with the frontal boundary in the northwest
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends over the waters from 31N77W to central
Florida. A pre frontal trough is SE of the front. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is over the waters east of
the front to 76W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 27N and E of the
front to 72W, where seas are in the 5-7 ft range. W of the front,
strong to near- gale winds, and seas of 5-6 ft, prevail. High
pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters,
anchored by a 1034 mb high near 35N40W. Fresh to strong winds, and
seas of 7-11 ft prevail over the waters E of 60W. Elsewhere,
moderate winds, and seas of 5-7 ft, are noted.
For the forecast west of 55W, strong Atlantic high pressure will
enhance the trades up to strong speeds east of 65W through Thu.
The front will reach from 31N70W to the central Bahamas by Mon
morning, and from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Tue
morning, then stall on Wed from near 31N60W to the central Bahamas
before dissipating. The pressure gradient between the above
mentioned high pressure and the front will also support fresh to
strong southerly winds N of 27N and ahead of the front through
tonight. High pressure building over the SE of the United States
will boost NE winds to fresh to strong speeds in the vicinity of
the Bahamas and Florida Straits into the middle of the week.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 19 Jan 2026 03:34:04 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 18 Jan 2026 16:37:10 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181637
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1140 AM EST SUN 18 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-049
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
