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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 22:14:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 302214
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Oct 01 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A western Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 86W, south of
20N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed over the western Gulf, associated
with an upper low over the Yucatan peninsula.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, extends to
12N20W, and then to 17N30W and on to 10N40W. The ITCZ extends
from 10N40W to 08N50W to 09N61W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 10N to 14N between 20W and 30W, as well as from 12N to 18N
between 32W and 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A mid to upper low is centered on the north coast of the Yucatan
peninsula, supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
south-central and southeast Gulf.
Deep-layer troughing continues to support showers and
thunderstorms across the Florida Straits and the far SE Gulf.
High pressure over the eastern United States supports gentle to
moderate SE winds and slight seas across the basin.
For the forecast, showers and thunderstorms will linger in the SE
Gulf through at least tonight. The pressure gradient between high
pressure over the eastern United States and lower pressures in
Texas and Mexico support increasing winds to moderate to fresh
speeds across the basin later this evening. The gradient will
weaken from west to east by the end of the week into the weekend
as a frontal boundary approaches the western Gulf waters, possibly
moving into the basin by the end of the weekend with weakening
winds and subsiding seas ahead of it. Increasing winds and
building seas are possible behind the very slow moving or stalling
front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed over
the western Gulf mainly west of 80W, associated with an upper low
over the Yucatan peninsula. High pressure over the western
Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the
basin. Seas are 5-7 ft over the central Caribbean and 3-5 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will
support pulsing fresh to strong easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean and in the Gulf of Honduras through the
remainder of the week and into the weekend. Moderate or weaker
winds will prevail in the rest of the basin. Later, a frontal
boundary will slide into the Gulf of America and western
Atlantic this weekend, resulting in a weakening pressure
gradient across the Caribbean as the ridge retreats. Moderate to
locally fresh winds will then dominate the basin into early next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Deep-layer troughing over the Gulf continues to support scattered
moderate convection across the Bahamas and areas southward toward
Cuba. Another upper low centered over 20N60W is supporting
scattered moderate convection from 22N to 26N between 55W and 65W,
to include convection related to the remnant low of Fay near
23N52W. Outside of convection, gentle to moderate E to NE winds
and moderate seas prevail across much of the Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will remain possible across the waters west of 70W
through at least tonight. High pressure will persist across the
region over the remainder of the week and into the weekend
supporting moderate to locally fresh easterly winds south of 25N.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, the
remnants of Post- Tropical Cyclone Fay currently just east of the
offshore waters may move west of 55W later tonight. This area will
continue to weaken and gradually dissipate by late this week.
Looking ahead, a frontal boundary may reach the waters off NE
Florida early next week, resulting in increasing winds and
building seas behind the slow moving or stalling boundary.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 22:14:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 302214
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Oct 01 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A western Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 86W, south of
20N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed over the western Gulf, associated
with an upper low over the Yucatan peninsula.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, extends to
12N20W, and then to 17N30W and on to 10N40W. The ITCZ extends
from 10N40W to 08N50W to 09N61W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 10N to 14N between 20W and 30W, as well as from 12N to 18N
between 32W and 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A mid to upper low is centered on the north coast of the Yucatan
peninsula, supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
south-central and southeast Gulf.
Deep-layer troughing continues to support showers and
thunderstorms across the Florida Straits and the far SE Gulf.
High pressure over the eastern United States supports gentle to
moderate SE winds and slight seas across the basin.
For the forecast, showers and thunderstorms will linger in the SE
Gulf through at least tonight. The pressure gradient between high
pressure over the eastern United States and lower pressures in
Texas and Mexico support increasing winds to moderate to fresh
speeds across the basin later this evening. The gradient will
weaken from west to east by the end of the week into the weekend
as a frontal boundary approaches the western Gulf waters, possibly
moving into the basin by the end of the weekend with weakening
winds and subsiding seas ahead of it. Increasing winds and
building seas are possible behind the very slow moving or stalling
front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed over
the western Gulf mainly west of 80W, associated with an upper low
over the Yucatan peninsula. High pressure over the western
Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the
basin. Seas are 5-7 ft over the central Caribbean and 3-5 ft
elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will
support pulsing fresh to strong easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean and in the Gulf of Honduras through the
remainder of the week and into the weekend. Moderate or weaker
winds will prevail in the rest of the basin. Later, a frontal
boundary will slide into the Gulf of America and western
Atlantic this weekend, resulting in a weakening pressure
gradient across the Caribbean as the ridge retreats. Moderate to
locally fresh winds will then dominate the basin into early next
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Deep-layer troughing over the Gulf continues to support scattered
moderate convection across the Bahamas and areas southward toward
Cuba. Another upper low centered over 20N60W is supporting
scattered moderate convection from 22N to 26N between 55W and 65W,
to include convection related to the remnant low of Fay near
23N52W. Outside of convection, gentle to moderate E to NE winds
and moderate seas prevail across much of the Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will remain possible across the waters west of 70W
through at least tonight. High pressure will persist across the
region over the remainder of the week and into the weekend
supporting moderate to locally fresh easterly winds south of 25N.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, the
remnants of Post- Tropical Cyclone Fay currently just east of the
offshore waters may move west of 55W later tonight. This area will
continue to weaken and gradually dissipate by late this week.
Looking ahead, a frontal boundary may reach the waters off NE
Florida early next week, resulting in increasing winds and
building seas behind the slow moving or stalling boundary.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 02 Oct 2026 11:09:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 01 Oct 2026 02:30:44 GMT - Wed, 30 Sep 2026 23:09:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 302309
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 14:06:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
457
NOUS42 KNHC 301406
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EDT WED 30 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-122
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf