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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 10:56:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 031056
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is W of the Cape Verde Islands near 25W, extending
from 05N to 16N, and moving W at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 20W and 30W.
A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles this morning.
The axis of the wave extends from inland E Venezuela to 19N and is
near 61W, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 09N to 18N between 54W and 68W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 08N35W. The ITCZ extends from 08N35W to 07N56W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
moderate convection is evident from 07N to 13N E of 20W, from 06N
to 10N between 30W and 36W, and from 05N to 09N between 37W and
54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic SW across
the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for
gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the Bay of Campeche
associated with a surface trough. Aside from the moderate winds,
the surface trough is generating heavy showers and scattered
tstms in the SW Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and the Colombian Low continue to support fresh to strong
easterly winds and seas of 8-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E Pacific extension
of the monsoon continue to support scattered showers over the
Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia offshore waters. Shower activity
is also ongoing in the E basin as a tropical wave moves across the
Lesser Antilles this morning.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient between
the subtropical ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low
will continue to support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate
to rough seas over the central Caribbean through Tue night. Expect
winds to reach near-gale force each night offshore of Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker
winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers
and thunderstorms are expected across the E Caribbean through
tonight as a tropical wave moves across the region.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough, remnants of a statonary front, extends from a
1017 mb low pressure near 31N73W to Freeport northern adjacent
waters. Only isolated showers are noted in the vicinity of the
trough. Otherwise, the Azores extends a ridge southwestward across
the subtropical Atlantic waters, thus supporting mainly moderate
or weaker winds across the region and moderate seas, except slight
seas W of 65W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will gradually
dissipate today while drifting northwestward toward the
southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N,
and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to strong
winds each late afternoon into the early evening hours near the
coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 10:56:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 031056
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is W of the Cape Verde Islands near 25W, extending
from 05N to 16N, and moving W at around 5 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 05N to 13N between 20W and 30W.
A tropical wave is moving across the Lesser Antilles this morning.
The axis of the wave extends from inland E Venezuela to 19N and is
near 61W, moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 09N to 18N between 54W and 68W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 08N35W. The ITCZ extends from 08N35W to 07N56W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
moderate convection is evident from 07N to 13N E of 20W, from 06N
to 10N between 30W and 36W, and from 05N to 09N between 37W and
54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic SW across
the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for
gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the Bay of Campeche
associated with a surface trough. Aside from the moderate winds,
the surface trough is generating heavy showers and scattered
tstms in the SW Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and the Colombian Low continue to support fresh to strong
easterly winds and seas of 8-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E Pacific extension
of the monsoon continue to support scattered showers over the
Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia offshore waters. Shower activity
is also ongoing in the E basin as a tropical wave moves across the
Lesser Antilles this morning.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient between
the subtropical ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low
will continue to support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate
to rough seas over the central Caribbean through Tue night. Expect
winds to reach near-gale force each night offshore of Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker
winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers
and thunderstorms are expected across the E Caribbean through
tonight as a tropical wave moves across the region.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough, remnants of a statonary front, extends from a
1017 mb low pressure near 31N73W to Freeport northern adjacent
waters. Only isolated showers are noted in the vicinity of the
trough. Otherwise, the Azores extends a ridge southwestward across
the subtropical Atlantic waters, thus supporting mainly moderate
or weaker winds across the region and moderate seas, except slight
seas W of 65W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will gradually
dissipate today while drifting northwestward toward the
southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
westward into central Florida through early next week. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N,
and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to strong
winds each late afternoon into the early evening hours near the
coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 23:35:04 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 03 Jul 2026 14:00:13 GMT - Fri, 03 Jul 2026 11:35:04 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 031134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Jul 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 12:50:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 031249
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT FRI 03 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-033
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf