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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 08 May 2026 21:41:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
102
AXNT20 KNHC 082141
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat May 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...Caribbean Gale Warning...
A tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia
will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade winds with
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through midweek next
week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
tonight through Mon night, these winds are expected to peak at
near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic, south of 09N with
axis near 40W, moving west at 5 kt. Convection associated with
this wave has diminished this morning.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
southwestward to 06N20W. The ITCZ extends from 06N20W to 02N33W,
and from 01N41W to 01N49W. Scattered moderate convection is
present south of 04N and between 25W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the northeast Gulf over the
Florida Big Bend area to South Texas. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active over coastal Louisiana. Weak 1015 mb high
pressure is centered over the eastern Gulf, supporting gentle
breezes and 1-2 ft seas, with gentle to moderate SE winds and 2-4
ft over the central and western Gulf.
For the forecast, the front across the northern Gulf will lift
northward as a warm front. Afterward, the ridge should build back
across the Gulf from the east. Winds will pulse to strong near the
Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sun night. Looking
ahead, another cold front might move into the northern Gulf waters
late Sun, and reach from central Florida to eastern Bay of
Campeche by late Mon, followed by moderate to fresh N to NE winds.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are possible
ahead of the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Broad high pressure north of the Caribbean and lower pressure in
the deep tropics result in fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and locally rough seas in the south-central Caribbean. Elsewhere,
mainly moderate winds and seas prevail.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high at
the western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern
Colombia will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade
winds with rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
midweek next week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the
nighttime hours tonight through Mon night, these winds are
expected to peak at near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.
Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds and rough seas are
also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras through Sun night.
Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
eastern and central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary cold front extends from 31N75W to near Palm Coast,
Florida. This front is causing little sensible weather over the
ocean. A ridge anchored by a 1018 mb center near 27N61W, dominates
moves of the basin W of 35W, translating to moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas. A surface trough extends south
from 31N to 27N along 52W, inducing scattered moderate convection
north of 27N east of the trough to 45W. In the far eastern
Atlantic, a cold front extends from the Canary Islands to 26N30W.
Fresh NW winds and rough seas are N of this front. Gentle to
moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
gradually weaken through Sat as the cold front portion shifts
eastward north of 28N. A stronger cold front is expected to follow
a similar path Mon through Tue, followed by fresh to strong
winds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong
to marginally severe, are possible near both fronts. Meanwhile, a
1018 mb high over the western Atlantic near 27N62W will support
fresh to locally strong winds off northern Hispaniola Sat through
Mon.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 08 May 2026 21:41:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
102
AXNT20 KNHC 082141
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat May 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...Caribbean Gale Warning...
A tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia
will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade winds with
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through midweek next
week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the nighttime hours
tonight through Mon night, these winds are expected to peak at
near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic, south of 09N with
axis near 40W, moving west at 5 kt. Convection associated with
this wave has diminished this morning.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
southwestward to 06N20W. The ITCZ extends from 06N20W to 02N33W,
and from 01N41W to 01N49W. Scattered moderate convection is
present south of 04N and between 25W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the northeast Gulf over the
Florida Big Bend area to South Texas. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active over coastal Louisiana. Weak 1015 mb high
pressure is centered over the eastern Gulf, supporting gentle
breezes and 1-2 ft seas, with gentle to moderate SE winds and 2-4
ft over the central and western Gulf.
For the forecast, the front across the northern Gulf will lift
northward as a warm front. Afterward, the ridge should build back
across the Gulf from the east. Winds will pulse to strong near the
Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sun night. Looking
ahead, another cold front might move into the northern Gulf waters
late Sun, and reach from central Florida to eastern Bay of
Campeche by late Mon, followed by moderate to fresh N to NE winds.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are possible
ahead of the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Broad high pressure north of the Caribbean and lower pressure in
the deep tropics result in fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and locally rough seas in the south-central Caribbean. Elsewhere,
mainly moderate winds and seas prevail.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a 1018 mb high at
the western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern
Colombia will continue to support fresh to strong easterly trade
winds with rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through
midweek next week, including the Gulf of Venezuela. During the
nighttime hours tonight through Mon night, these winds are
expected to peak at near-gale to gale-force off Barranquilla.
Fresh to strong with locally near-gale E winds and rough seas are
also anticipated in the Gulf of Honduras through Sun night.
Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
eastern and central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary cold front extends from 31N75W to near Palm Coast,
Florida. This front is causing little sensible weather over the
ocean. A ridge anchored by a 1018 mb center near 27N61W, dominates
moves of the basin W of 35W, translating to moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas. A surface trough extends south
from 31N to 27N along 52W, inducing scattered moderate convection
north of 27N east of the trough to 45W. In the far eastern
Atlantic, a cold front extends from the Canary Islands to 26N30W.
Fresh NW winds and rough seas are N of this front. Gentle to
moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
gradually weaken through Sat as the cold front portion shifts
eastward north of 28N. A stronger cold front is expected to follow
a similar path Mon through Tue, followed by fresh to strong
winds. Scattered showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong
to marginally severe, are possible near both fronts. Meanwhile, a
1018 mb high over the western Atlantic near 27N62W will support
fresh to locally strong winds off northern Hispaniola Sat through
Mon.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 08 May 2026 21:41:43 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf