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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 16:02:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    826
    AXNT20 KNHC 061602
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 24W, south of 20N, moving W
    at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06.5N
    to 12.5N between the wave axis and 27W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 39N, south of 20N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered convection is along the wave
    axis.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 69.5W, south of 19N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted from 16N to
    21N between 63W and 70W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 80W, and extends from central
    Cuba southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving
    west at around 10 kt. No significant convection is noted in the
    Caribbean waters with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16.5W and
    continues southwestward to 06.5N27W, then westward to near
    07N37W. The ITCZ continues from 07N37W to near 07N54W. Convection
    is limited across the area, aside from the areas noted in the
    tropical waves section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A mid to upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate
    convection over the central and northern Gulf. Similar convection
    is depicted over the eastern Gulf in association to a surface
    trough over Florida. High pressure prevails across the Gulf
    region, anchored by a 1014 mb high pressure centered near 26N87W.
    Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center.
    Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly gentle winds
    prevail elsewhere. Slight seas dominate the forecast waters.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
    basin through the period, supporting light to gentle winds and
    slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh
    with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
    a diurnal surface trough moving west off the Yucatan peninsula
    each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
    and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
    Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
    about 25N into south Florida. The pressure gradient between this
    subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to
    locally strong trades and moderate seas over the south-central
    Caribbean. The pressure gradient will begin to tighten starting
    Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, locally near- gale
    force, and rough seas, early through mid week. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
    through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid level trough is supporting numerous showers and scattered
    thunderstorms north of 24N and between 73W and 19.5W. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
    of high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high centered near
    25N55W. Light to gentle winds prevail near the high center, as
    well as along the ridge extending from the high along 23N. A
    stronger area of high pressure, 1027 mb, is centered north of the
    area near 36N22W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
    pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds
    N of the monsoon trough and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate
    winds prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate
    range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extends from the
    central Atlantic westward along about 25N and into south Florida
    this morning, and will gradually shift eastward through early next
    week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
    the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas. A weak cold front will approach the northern waters
    then stall along 30N-31N during the first part of next week.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 16:02:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    826
    AXNT20 KNHC 061602
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Sep 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 24W, south of 20N, moving W
    at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06.5N
    to 12.5N between the wave axis and 27W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 39N, south of 20N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered convection is along the wave
    axis.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 69.5W, south of 19N, moving W
    at around 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted from 16N to
    21N between 63W and 70W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 80W, and extends from central
    Cuba southward into the far eastern Pacific. The wave is moving
    west at around 10 kt. No significant convection is noted in the
    Caribbean waters with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19.5N16.5W and
    continues southwestward to 06.5N27W, then westward to near
    07N37W. The ITCZ continues from 07N37W to near 07N54W. Convection
    is limited across the area, aside from the areas noted in the
    tropical waves section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A mid to upper level trough is supporting scattered moderate
    convection over the central and northern Gulf. Similar convection
    is depicted over the eastern Gulf in association to a surface
    trough over Florida. High pressure prevails across the Gulf
    region, anchored by a 1014 mb high pressure centered near 26N87W.
    Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of the high center.
    Gentle to moderate winds are over the SW Gulf. Mainly gentle winds
    prevail elsewhere. Slight seas dominate the forecast waters.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
    basin through the period, supporting light to gentle winds and
    slight seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh
    with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
    a diurnal surface trough moving west off the Yucatan peninsula
    each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong trade winds
    and moderate seas offshore Colombia, and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere over the central
    Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
    about 25N into south Florida. The pressure gradient between this
    subtropical ridge and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to
    locally strong trades and moderate seas over the south-central
    Caribbean. The pressure gradient will begin to tighten starting
    Mon, leading to a broader area of strong winds, locally near- gale
    force, and rough seas, early through mid week. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail
    through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A mid level trough is supporting numerous showers and scattered
    thunderstorms north of 24N and between 73W and 19.5W. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the influence
    of high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high centered near
    25N55W. Light to gentle winds prevail near the high center, as
    well as along the ridge extending from the high along 23N. A
    stronger area of high pressure, 1027 mb, is centered north of the
    area near 36N22W. The pressure gradient between this area of high
    pressure, and the monsoon trough is supporting fresh to strong winds
    N of the monsoon trough and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate
    winds prevail. Seas across the forecast area are in the moderate
    range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure extends from the
    central Atlantic westward along about 25N and into south Florida
    this morning, and will gradually shift eastward through early next
    week. This pattern will maintain a weak pressure gradient across
    the regional waters, and support moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas. A weak cold front will approach the northern waters
    then stall along 30N-31N during the first part of next week.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 08 Sep 2026 05:06:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 06 Sep 2026 20:02:11 GMT
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 17:06:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    080
    ABNT20 KNHC 061706
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Sep 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 06 Sep 2026 16:42:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 061642
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1245 PM EDT SUN 06 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-098

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE LOWELL
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
    A. 07/1430Z,1730Z,2030Z A. 08/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 1012E LOWELL B. NOAA3 1112E LOWELL
    C. 07/1230Z C. 07/2000Z
    D. 18.3N 163.0W D. 20.0N 162.5W
    E. 07/1400Z TO 07/2030Z E. 07/2130Z TO 08/0130Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 76 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 78
    A. 07/2330Z,08/0230Z,0530Z A. 08/0830Z,1130Z,1430Z
    B. AFXXX 1212E LOWELL B. AFXXX 1312E LOWELL
    C. 07/2145Z C. 08/0645Z
    D. 19.9N 162.5W D. 22.3N 162.0W
    E. 07/2300Z TO 08/0530Z E. 08/0800Z TO 08/1430Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. FIX G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT FIVE - NOAA 43
    A. 08/1200Z
    B. NOAA3 1412E LOWELL
    C. 08/0800Z
    D. 23.0N 161.9W
    E. 08/0930Z TO 08/1330Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARKS:
    A. THE NOAA 43 MISSIONS TASKED FOR THE 07/0000Z AND 07/1200Z
    REQUIREMENTS IN TCPOD 26-097 WILL NOT BE FLOWN.
    B. DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 08/1200Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
    WITHIN THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
    ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
    C. NOAA 49 WILL CONDUCT A 7-HOUR G-IV RESEARCH MISSION OVER
    LOWELL ON MONDAY, DEPARTING PHNL AT 07/2100Z.

    $$
    SEF/ANM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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