Skip to main content

2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

234 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Follow On Facebook

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ Cash Back On Gas
Shop Store For Essentials2026 Hurricane Season Supplies

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 04 Aug 2026 22:38:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 042238
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W from 08N to 12N,
    moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 14N between 17W and 29W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W from 03N to 19N,
    moving west at 5 to 10 kt. There is no convection in association
    with this wave at this time.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 78W, from
    eastern Panama to Jamaica, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection active off western Panama.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N16W and continues
    southwestward to 14N20W to 07N45W. The ITCZ extends from 07N45W
    to 06N57W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to
    09N between 25W and 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 25N87W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin except for moderate SE
    winds off the Tamaulipas coast of northeast Mexico. Seas are 1-3
    ft across the basin. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are
    active off southwest Florida and over the south-central Gulf.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight to moderate seas into the
    upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan
    Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along with
    moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 7-9 ft seas persist across the
    south-central Caribbean, between high pressure north of area and
    lower pressure over northern South America. Moderate E winds and
    5-7 ft seas are noted elsewhere except for gentle E winds and 2-4
    ft over the far northwest Caribbean. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active near the Yucatan Channel.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades over the central basin into the weekend, with rough
    seas there, and near gale force winds at times. Fresh to locally
    strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
    prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active northeast of the
    Leeward Islands from 20N to 27N between 55W and 65W, associated
    with an upper low centered near 25N60W, and a related surface
    trough along 60W from 20N to 28N. Additional showers and
    thundersotrms are active from 22n to 27N between 65W and 75W, and
    over the northern Bahamas. Moderate to fresh and 5-6 ft seas are
    noted either side of the trough from 22N to 27N between 50W and
    65W, south of 1025 mb surface high pressure centered northeast of
    Bermuda near 34N60W. Moderate to fresh E winds are noted from the
    coast of Hispaniola through the southern Bahamas. In the far NE
    Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough
    seas are evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the
    Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate
    seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper level
    trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms
    ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas into
    Wed. Locally strong trades will continue pulsing offshore
    Hispaniola to near the Windward Passage. A westward moving trough
    will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into mid-week, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting west of the
    area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 04 Aug 2026 22:38:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 042238
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W from 08N to 12N,
    moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
    convection is noted from 06N to 14N between 17W and 29W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W from 03N to 19N,
    moving west at 5 to 10 kt. There is no convection in association
    with this wave at this time.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 78W, from
    eastern Panama to Jamaica, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection active off western Panama.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N16W and continues
    southwestward to 14N20W to 07N45W. The ITCZ extends from 07N45W
    to 06N57W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to
    09N between 25W and 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 25N87W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin except for moderate SE
    winds off the Tamaulipas coast of northeast Mexico. Seas are 1-3
    ft across the basin. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are
    active off southwest Florida and over the south-central Gulf.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight to moderate seas into the
    upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan
    Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along with
    moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 7-9 ft seas persist across the
    south-central Caribbean, between high pressure north of area and
    lower pressure over northern South America. Moderate E winds and
    5-7 ft seas are noted elsewhere except for gentle E winds and 2-4
    ft over the far northwest Caribbean. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are active near the Yucatan Channel.

    For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades over the central basin into the weekend, with rough
    seas there, and near gale force winds at times. Fresh to locally
    strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
    Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
    prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active northeast of the
    Leeward Islands from 20N to 27N between 55W and 65W, associated
    with an upper low centered near 25N60W, and a related surface
    trough along 60W from 20N to 28N. Additional showers and
    thundersotrms are active from 22n to 27N between 65W and 75W, and
    over the northern Bahamas. Moderate to fresh and 5-6 ft seas are
    noted either side of the trough from 22N to 27N between 50W and
    65W, south of 1025 mb surface high pressure centered northeast of
    Bermuda near 34N60W. Moderate to fresh E winds are noted from the
    coast of Hispaniola through the southern Bahamas. In the far NE
    Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough
    seas are evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the
    Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate
    seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper level
    trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms
    ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas into
    Wed. Locally strong trades will continue pulsing offshore
    Hispaniola to near the Windward Passage. A westward moving trough
    will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into mid-week, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting west of the
    area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 06 Aug 2026 11:05:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 05 Aug 2026 03:04:09 GMT
  • Tue, 04 Aug 2026 23:05:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 042305
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 04 Aug 2026 13:40:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041340
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT TUE 04 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-065

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page