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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 17:01:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111700
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
high pressure ridge extending from the central Atlantic west-
northwestward to north Florida and the NE Gulf of America, and
lower pressures over northern South America, will continue to
support strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds over the
south- central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, into
early next week. Morning satellite scatterometer data showed
winds near gale-force off the north coast of Colombia, where
satellite altimeter data showed seas of 12 to 15 ft. Winds and
seas have since diminished slightly across that area. Winds are
forecast to pulse to gale- force off the coast of Colombia again
tonight through Sun morning. Rough to very rough seas of 12 to 14
ft are expected with these winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has entered the Caribbean, along 61W-62W, south
of 18N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered squalls and moderate
thunderstorms are seen moving across the SE Caribbean, Windward
Islands, and adjacent Atlantic waters south of 14N between
between 55W and 64W.
A Caribbean tropical wave has entered the Yucatan Peninsula and
is now along about 88W, south of 21N and into the eastern Tropical
Pacific, moving west near 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is south of 20N, extending from 84.5W westward across
the Gulf of Honduras and adjacent waters and well inland.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N31W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N32W to 06N51W to the coast of Guyana near
07.5N59W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
occurring from 08N to 12N and between 15W and 27W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 31W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across north Florida and the Florida Big Bend today. Associated
southeasterly low level flow continues to transport areas of
abundant low level moisture into the basin. Clusters of scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms extends from the SE Louisiana
southward to near 26N, and area also about the Texas coastal
waters. Overnight convection across the Florida Straits and SE
Gulf has diminished in intensity, however scattered moderate
showers persist there. The subtropical ridge is supporting light
to gentle winds and seas of 2-4 ft across the waters east of 88W.
Gentle to moderate SE to S winds generally prevail west of 88W,
where seas are also 2-4 ft.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary will approach the northern
Gulf coast this weekend, enhancing thunderstorm activity across
the area into early next week. Mariners should expect gusty
winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas near the strongest
thunderstorms. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate into next
week, supporting mainly gentle to moderate SE winds. However,
fresh to strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
Peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia. The pressure
gradient south of the western Atlantic ridge to the north is
supporting mostly strong trade winds south of 17.5N between 67W
and 80W, based on morning satellite scatterometer data. Seas are 8
ft 15 ft across this area. Fresh to locally strong E-NE trade
winds accompany the tropical wave entering the Caribbean this
morning, and extend to the east of the wave axis and into the
Tropical Atlantic east of the Lesser Antilles. Squalls and
thunderstorms are ahead of the tropical wave in the SE Caribbean.
Seas across this area are 6-8 ft.
Divergence aloft and abundant tropical moisture accompanying
the tropical wave continues to producing scattered showers and
thunderstorms over the NW Caribbean west of 84.5W. Similar
convection is noted in the SW Caribbean, from western Panama to
southeast Nicaragua.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the islands and lower
environmental pressures over northern South America combine to
support strong to near gale-force easterly trades and rough seas
over the central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage. This
pattern will persist into next week. Winds will pulse to gale-
force off Colombia tonight. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras will
pulse to strong each evening through the forecast period.
Finally, moderate to locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate
seas are expected in the eastern Caribbean into next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A persistent upper level low pressure system over the SE Bahamas
and eastern Cuba is combining with abundant tropical moisture
surging northwestward across the Bahamas and into south Florida
to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across the NW
Bahamas, The Florida Straits, and nearby waters. A squall line is
seen northeast of Abaco moving northeastward. Farther east,
divergence aloft and a frontal trough just north of our area
extending southwestward to near 27N60W support scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and between 53W and 61W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
broad subtropical ridge that sustains fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas, except for locally rough seas to 8
ft off Haiti and eastern Cuba, and across the waters east of the
Lesser Antilles. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper level low pressure
currently over the NW Bahamas will move westward through the
weekend, supporting thunderstorms with locally strong winds,
frequent lightning and higher seas. Meanwhile, the subtropical
ridge will remain dominant through the period, supporting moderate
to fresh trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the
north. Pulsing strong and locally rough seas winds are expected
each night offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 17:01:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111700
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
high pressure ridge extending from the central Atlantic west-
northwestward to north Florida and the NE Gulf of America, and
lower pressures over northern South America, will continue to
support strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds over the
south- central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, into
early next week. Morning satellite scatterometer data showed
winds near gale-force off the north coast of Colombia, where
satellite altimeter data showed seas of 12 to 15 ft. Winds and
seas have since diminished slightly across that area. Winds are
forecast to pulse to gale- force off the coast of Colombia again
tonight through Sun morning. Rough to very rough seas of 12 to 14
ft are expected with these winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has entered the Caribbean, along 61W-62W, south
of 18N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered squalls and moderate
thunderstorms are seen moving across the SE Caribbean, Windward
Islands, and adjacent Atlantic waters south of 14N between
between 55W and 64W.
A Caribbean tropical wave has entered the Yucatan Peninsula and
is now along about 88W, south of 21N and into the eastern Tropical
Pacific, moving west near 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is south of 20N, extending from 84.5W westward across
the Gulf of Honduras and adjacent waters and well inland.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N31W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N32W to 06N51W to the coast of Guyana near
07.5N59W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
occurring from 08N to 12N and between 15W and 27W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 31W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across north Florida and the Florida Big Bend today. Associated
southeasterly low level flow continues to transport areas of
abundant low level moisture into the basin. Clusters of scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms extends from the SE Louisiana
southward to near 26N, and area also about the Texas coastal
waters. Overnight convection across the Florida Straits and SE
Gulf has diminished in intensity, however scattered moderate
showers persist there. The subtropical ridge is supporting light
to gentle winds and seas of 2-4 ft across the waters east of 88W.
Gentle to moderate SE to S winds generally prevail west of 88W,
where seas are also 2-4 ft.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary will approach the northern
Gulf coast this weekend, enhancing thunderstorm activity across
the area into early next week. Mariners should expect gusty
winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas near the strongest
thunderstorms. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate into next
week, supporting mainly gentle to moderate SE winds. However,
fresh to strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan
Peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia. The pressure
gradient south of the western Atlantic ridge to the north is
supporting mostly strong trade winds south of 17.5N between 67W
and 80W, based on morning satellite scatterometer data. Seas are 8
ft 15 ft across this area. Fresh to locally strong E-NE trade
winds accompany the tropical wave entering the Caribbean this
morning, and extend to the east of the wave axis and into the
Tropical Atlantic east of the Lesser Antilles. Squalls and
thunderstorms are ahead of the tropical wave in the SE Caribbean.
Seas across this area are 6-8 ft.
Divergence aloft and abundant tropical moisture accompanying
the tropical wave continues to producing scattered showers and
thunderstorms over the NW Caribbean west of 84.5W. Similar
convection is noted in the SW Caribbean, from western Panama to
southeast Nicaragua.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the islands and lower
environmental pressures over northern South America combine to
support strong to near gale-force easterly trades and rough seas
over the central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage. This
pattern will persist into next week. Winds will pulse to gale-
force off Colombia tonight. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras will
pulse to strong each evening through the forecast period.
Finally, moderate to locally fresh easterly breezes and moderate
seas are expected in the eastern Caribbean into next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A persistent upper level low pressure system over the SE Bahamas
and eastern Cuba is combining with abundant tropical moisture
surging northwestward across the Bahamas and into south Florida
to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across the NW
Bahamas, The Florida Straits, and nearby waters. A squall line is
seen northeast of Abaco moving northeastward. Farther east,
divergence aloft and a frontal trough just north of our area
extending southwestward to near 27N60W support scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and between 53W and 61W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
broad subtropical ridge that sustains fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas, except for locally rough seas to 8
ft off Haiti and eastern Cuba, and across the waters east of the
Lesser Antilles. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper level low pressure
currently over the NW Bahamas will move westward through the
weekend, supporting thunderstorms with locally strong winds,
frequent lightning and higher seas. Meanwhile, the subtropical
ridge will remain dominant through the period, supporting moderate
to fresh trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the
north. Pulsing strong and locally rough seas winds are expected
each night offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 13 Jul 2026 05:10:52 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 11 Jul 2026 21:20:12 GMT - Sat, 11 Jul 2026 17:10:52 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 111710
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 13:46:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111346
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SAT 11 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-041
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf