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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 31 May 2026 04:00:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
136
AXNT20 KNHC 310400
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun May 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move across the waters
between northeast Florida and Bermuda tonight into Sunday. A
tight pressure gradient will support gale force winds on either
side of the cold front Sun afternoon, south and southeast of
Bermuda to near 29N, and between 55W and 65W. Strong to near-
gale force winds, rough to very rough seas, and scattered to
numerous thunderstorms are also expected mainly along and ahead of
the front, north of 26N. Conditions will improve Mon as the front
weakens and high pressure builds in its wake.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An east Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 23W, south of
13N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present south of 09N and between 20W and
30W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted S of 12N to well inland across Venezuela,
between 57W and 70W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W, south of 16N,
moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is evident
near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 06N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N24W to the coast of Brazil near 01N50W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring
south of 10N and east of 20W. Isolated showers are seen from 03N
to 10N and west of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A deep-layered upper level trough from the north-central to the
southwestern Gulf continues to support scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the eastern half of the basin. At the
surface, a weak pressure gradient prevails with a surface trough
extending from offshore of southern Louisiana to the central Bay
of Campeche, with Atlantic high pressure extending into south
Florida. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail across the basin. However, stronger winds and higher seas
can be expected near the strongest storms.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf waters
through midweek supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds with
moderate seas. The exception will be evening pulses of fresh winds
off the northern Yucatan Peninsula and in the central Gulf through
the same period. A pronounced deep-layered upper-level trough across
the western Gulf combined with a very warm, humid and unstable
airmass will continue to support rounds of showers and
thunderstorms, across the central and eastern Gulf through at least
Sun. Frequent lightning, with gusty winds and locally rough seas are
expected in strong thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to
date with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating support scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms across parts of Cuba, Yucatan, Central
America and surrounding waters. The tight pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge NE of the islands and lower
pressures in northern Colombia results in fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas across the central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern and NW Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds across most of
the basin through the early part of the next week, with fresh to
strong winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean. The
area of fresh to strong winds and rough seas will expand across the
east and central Caribbean Mon night into Tue as the ridge north of
the area strengthens. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish
slightly starting late Wed as the ridge north of the basin weakens.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A warm front extends northeastward from a 1010 mb low pressure
system near 30N75W and a surface trough extends southwestward from
the low. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is noted
ahead of the front low to 68W and north of 26N. Fresh to strong
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north of 27N and between 68W
and 76W. Moderate to fresh S-SE winds and moderate seas are found
north of 20N and between 50W and 68W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge anchored by a 1030 mb high pressure system
centered near 30N35W. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures in western Africa sustain fresh to strong
N-NE winds and rough seas from 10N to 29N and east of 40W.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are present
south of 20N and between the Lesser Antilles and 40W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers, with embedded
thunderstorms, are ahead of a 1010 mb low pressure area located
near 30N75W. A surface trough extends from the low center to the
NW Bahamas. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will
be associated with these features as they moves eastward through
tonight ahead of a reinforcing cold front moving into the area. The
cold front will also shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to
the northern Bahamas by early Sun. Expect strong to minimal gale
force winds and rough to very rough seas along and ahead of the
front north of 29N Sun into Sun night. The front will weaken and
stall from 31N57W to 27N65W by early Mon. Winds and seas diminish
west of the front as high pressure builds between northeast Florida
and Bermuda. Looking ahead, a second low pressure area and
accompanying front may move off northeast Florida on Mon and shift
eastward toward Bermuda through mid week, accompanied by fresh to
strong winds and rough seas over the waters north of 27N.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 31 May 2026 04:00:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
136
AXNT20 KNHC 310400
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun May 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move across the waters
between northeast Florida and Bermuda tonight into Sunday. A
tight pressure gradient will support gale force winds on either
side of the cold front Sun afternoon, south and southeast of
Bermuda to near 29N, and between 55W and 65W. Strong to near-
gale force winds, rough to very rough seas, and scattered to
numerous thunderstorms are also expected mainly along and ahead of
the front, north of 26N. Conditions will improve Mon as the front
weakens and high pressure builds in its wake.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An east Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 23W, south of
13N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present south of 09N and between 20W and
30W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 65W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is noted S of 12N to well inland across Venezuela,
between 57W and 70W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W, south of 16N,
moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is evident
near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 06N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N24W to the coast of Brazil near 01N50W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring
south of 10N and east of 20W. Isolated showers are seen from 03N
to 10N and west of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A deep-layered upper level trough from the north-central to the
southwestern Gulf continues to support scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the eastern half of the basin. At the
surface, a weak pressure gradient prevails with a surface trough
extending from offshore of southern Louisiana to the central Bay
of Campeche, with Atlantic high pressure extending into south
Florida. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail across the basin. However, stronger winds and higher seas
can be expected near the strongest storms.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf waters
through midweek supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds with
moderate seas. The exception will be evening pulses of fresh winds
off the northern Yucatan Peninsula and in the central Gulf through
the same period. A pronounced deep-layered upper-level trough across
the western Gulf combined with a very warm, humid and unstable
airmass will continue to support rounds of showers and
thunderstorms, across the central and eastern Gulf through at least
Sun. Frequent lightning, with gusty winds and locally rough seas are
expected in strong thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to
date with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating support scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms across parts of Cuba, Yucatan, Central
America and surrounding waters. The tight pressure gradient
between the subtropical ridge NE of the islands and lower
pressures in northern Colombia results in fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas across the central Caribbean.
Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern and NW Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds across most of
the basin through the early part of the next week, with fresh to
strong winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean. The
area of fresh to strong winds and rough seas will expand across the
east and central Caribbean Mon night into Tue as the ridge north of
the area strengthens. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish
slightly starting late Wed as the ridge north of the basin weakens.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A warm front extends northeastward from a 1010 mb low pressure
system near 30N75W and a surface trough extends southwestward from
the low. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is noted
ahead of the front low to 68W and north of 26N. Fresh to strong
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north of 27N and between 68W
and 76W. Moderate to fresh S-SE winds and moderate seas are found
north of 20N and between 50W and 68W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge anchored by a 1030 mb high pressure system
centered near 30N35W. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures in western Africa sustain fresh to strong
N-NE winds and rough seas from 10N to 29N and east of 40W.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are present
south of 20N and between the Lesser Antilles and 40W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers, with embedded
thunderstorms, are ahead of a 1010 mb low pressure area located
near 30N75W. A surface trough extends from the low center to the
NW Bahamas. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will
be associated with these features as they moves eastward through
tonight ahead of a reinforcing cold front moving into the area. The
cold front will also shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to
the northern Bahamas by early Sun. Expect strong to minimal gale
force winds and rough to very rough seas along and ahead of the
front north of 29N Sun into Sun night. The front will weaken and
stall from 31N57W to 27N65W by early Mon. Winds and seas diminish
west of the front as high pressure builds between northeast Florida
and Bermuda. Looking ahead, a second low pressure area and
accompanying front may move off northeast Florida on Mon and shift
eastward toward Bermuda through mid week, accompanied by fresh to
strong winds and rough seas over the waters north of 27N.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 17:01:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 31 May 2026 09:10:13 GMT - Sun, 31 May 2026 05:01:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 310501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun May 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf