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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 10:19:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071019
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Jul 07 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A recently introduced far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its
axis along 25W south of 14N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
No significant convection is noted near the wave axis, only an
isolated shower near 09N26W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W south of 18N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is east of the wave from 05N to 10N between
40W and 46W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm west
of the wave from 07N to 10N. This wave is expected to be attendant
by tight gradient producing fresh to strong winds and building
seas to 8 ft starting this afternoon as it quickly tracks
westward toward 50W.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from near
18N57.5W to inland South America at 08N59W. It is moving westward
at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed from 02N to 13N and between 51W and 57W.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 85W south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is near the
wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 09N25W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 08N35W to 08N45W to 08N60W.
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is southeast of
the trough from 06N to 10N between 18W-23W. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm south of the ITCZ between 36W-40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure extends westward across the basin
from the Atlantic as a weak 1018 mb high is over eastern Mexico.
The related pressure gradient is generally maintaining gentle to
moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of about 26N,
and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of about 26N.
Latest satellite altimeter and buoy observations indicate slight
seas throughout.
Satellite imagery shows scattered showers and thunderstorms south
of 22N between 91W and 97W.
For the forecast, the weak high pressure will change little
through Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf
coast Fri through Sat night. The related pressure gradient will
continue to maintain gentle to moderate winds east to southeast
winds across the Gulf south of about 26N, and light to gentle
southeast to south winds north of about 26N, except for fresh to
strong northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at
night. Slight seas are forecast throughout the basin for the
forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and
relatively lower pressures in Colombia is supporting fresh to
strong trades across the central Caribbean as seen in the latest
satellite scatterometer data passes. Trades to near gale-force are
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Rough seas are
being produced by these trades. The scatterometer satellite data
passes also reveal moderate to fresh trades across the eastern
portion of the basin. Seas are of moderate state with these
trades. Trades of fresh speeds are in the Gulf Honduras, where
seas are 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds along
with slight to moderate seas are present.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressures in Colombia will continue
to support fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean
through the period, while mostly fresh trades will be elsewhere
south of 18N. Moderate to rough seas will accompany these winds.
Expect winds to pulse to near-gale force at night offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through Sat, except on Thu.
Moderate or weaker winds will continue over the northwestern part
of the basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong
east to southeast winds are forecast at night through the
forecast period. A tropical wave currently extending along 59W
south of 18N will move across the eastern Caribbean Wed and Wed
night, across the central Caribbean Thu through Fri night, and
across the eastern part of the western Caribbean Sat and Sat
night. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to
accompany this wave. Another tropical wave will move across the
basin starting Wed night attendant by fresh to strong winds.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Broad high pressure over the basin is the main feature
controlling the general wind flow pattern. One high center of 1023
mb is centered near 20N62W, and a 1026 mb high center is to the
northeast at 29N38.5W. A weak trough extends from near 31N55W to
26N59W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are east of the trough
from 25N to 29N between 52W and 55W. To the northeast of the trough,
an area of numerous moderate convection is located from 28N to 31N
between 42W and 48W. An upper shortwave trough is sustaining this
activity. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades are south of about 24N
and west of 30W, and where seas are 6 to 7 ft. Strong east winds are
between Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas. Moderate to locally
strong north to northeast winds are from 18N to 28N and east of 30W
to along the coast of Africa. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds
per a recent altimeter satellite data pass. Moderate or weaker winds
along with mostly moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure over the area
will change little through the forecast period. The associated
gradient will continue to support moderate to fresh trades south
of 23N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Strong winds along
with moderate to rough seas are expected at night north of
Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage through
Sat night.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 10:19:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071019
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Jul 07 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A recently introduced far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its
axis along 25W south of 14N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
No significant convection is noted near the wave axis, only an
isolated shower near 09N26W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W south of 18N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is east of the wave from 05N to 10N between
40W and 46W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm west
of the wave from 07N to 10N. This wave is expected to be attendant
by tight gradient producing fresh to strong winds and building
seas to 8 ft starting this afternoon as it quickly tracks
westward toward 50W.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from near
18N57.5W to inland South America at 08N59W. It is moving westward
at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed from 02N to 13N and between 51W and 57W.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 85W south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 kt. No significant convection is near the
wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 09N25W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 08N35W to 08N45W to 08N60W.
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is southeast of
the trough from 06N to 10N between 18W-23W. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm south of the ITCZ between 36W-40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure extends westward across the basin
from the Atlantic as a weak 1018 mb high is over eastern Mexico.
The related pressure gradient is generally maintaining gentle to
moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of about 26N,
and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of about 26N.
Latest satellite altimeter and buoy observations indicate slight
seas throughout.
Satellite imagery shows scattered showers and thunderstorms south
of 22N between 91W and 97W.
For the forecast, the weak high pressure will change little
through Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf
coast Fri through Sat night. The related pressure gradient will
continue to maintain gentle to moderate winds east to southeast
winds across the Gulf south of about 26N, and light to gentle
southeast to south winds north of about 26N, except for fresh to
strong northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at
night. Slight seas are forecast throughout the basin for the
forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and
relatively lower pressures in Colombia is supporting fresh to
strong trades across the central Caribbean as seen in the latest
satellite scatterometer data passes. Trades to near gale-force are
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Rough seas are
being produced by these trades. The scatterometer satellite data
passes also reveal moderate to fresh trades across the eastern
portion of the basin. Seas are of moderate state with these
trades. Trades of fresh speeds are in the Gulf Honduras, where
seas are 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds along
with slight to moderate seas are present.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressures in Colombia will continue
to support fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean
through the period, while mostly fresh trades will be elsewhere
south of 18N. Moderate to rough seas will accompany these winds.
Expect winds to pulse to near-gale force at night offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through Sat, except on Thu.
Moderate or weaker winds will continue over the northwestern part
of the basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong
east to southeast winds are forecast at night through the
forecast period. A tropical wave currently extending along 59W
south of 18N will move across the eastern Caribbean Wed and Wed
night, across the central Caribbean Thu through Fri night, and
across the eastern part of the western Caribbean Sat and Sat
night. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected to
accompany this wave. Another tropical wave will move across the
basin starting Wed night attendant by fresh to strong winds.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Broad high pressure over the basin is the main feature
controlling the general wind flow pattern. One high center of 1023
mb is centered near 20N62W, and a 1026 mb high center is to the
northeast at 29N38.5W. A weak trough extends from near 31N55W to
26N59W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are east of the trough
from 25N to 29N between 52W and 55W. To the northeast of the trough,
an area of numerous moderate convection is located from 28N to 31N
between 42W and 48W. An upper shortwave trough is sustaining this
activity. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades are south of about 24N
and west of 30W, and where seas are 6 to 7 ft. Strong east winds are
between Hispaniola and the southeastern Bahamas. Moderate to locally
strong north to northeast winds are from 18N to 28N and east of 30W
to along the coast of Africa. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds
per a recent altimeter satellite data pass. Moderate or weaker winds
along with mostly moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure over the area
will change little through the forecast period. The associated
gradient will continue to support moderate to fresh trades south
of 23N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Strong winds along
with moderate to rough seas are expected at night north of
Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage through
Sat night.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 23:09:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 07 Jul 2026 11:30:08 GMT - Tue, 07 Jul 2026 11:09:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
219
ABNT20 KNHC 071109
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 061345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT MON 06 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-036
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf