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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 21:13:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 232113
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Oct 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2115 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic and
low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a trough or
developing frontal boundary. This synoptic setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands this weekend and Mon. By mid-week, the trough is
forecast to weaken and move eastward into the central Atlantic.
Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-
threatening flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 11N15W
to 10N23W. The ITCZ extends from 11N15W to 12N32W, and resumes
from 12N36W to 10N60W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 09N to 22N between 21W and 31W, and from
05N to 10N between 33W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
the western Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and a trough over the Caribbean is supporting moderate winds, and
moderate seas, E of 94W. Gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas,prevail W of 94W.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and low pressure forecast to develop near the central
Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over
the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, beginning tonight
through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica.
Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas prevail E of 75W, with
gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas, W of 75W.
For the forecast, an upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of
America and NW Caribbean will support scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and
Windward Passage through Sun night. Meanwhile, a broad trough
over the central and western Caribbean will support light winds
and slight to moderate seas west of 76W through Sat, and moderate
to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas east of 76W. Looking
ahead, expect fresh N to NE winds across the western Caribbean
with building seas west of 80W early next week as high pressure
builds north of the area. Expect rough seas and large N swell
across the Yucatan Channel Mon and Tue. Little change is expected
elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
A surface trough extends from 31N56W to low pres near 27N71W to W
Cuba. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is within
150 nm southeast of the trough and west of 61W. Moderate winds,
and moderate to rough seas are west of the trough. Another trough
extends from 31N48W to 26N41W. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is within 90 nm east of the trough. Fresh to
locally strong winds, and rough seas, are within 90 nm east of the
trough and N of 29W. A third trough is over the eastern tropical
Atlantic, from 20N31W to 13N34W. Active convection east of the
trough is discussed in the ITCZ/monsoon trough section above.
Fresh to strong winds are between the Cabo Verde Islands and
western Africa, where rough seas are noted. Moderate to fresh
winds, and moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 50W. Gentle to
moderate winds, and moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell across the
forecast waters W of 65W and NE of the Bahamas will gradually
subside tonight through early Sat. A tightening pressure gradient
will develop across the northwestern zones beginning this evening
as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic, and
low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a cold front
moving slowly southward into the area. This setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds reaching gale-force over much of the waters
north of 29N and between 60W and 74W early Sun through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 21:13:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 232113
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Oct 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2115 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will develop
as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic and
low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a trough or
developing frontal boundary. This synoptic setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall Event in the North Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over the northern Caribbean combined with abundant tropical
moisture will support periods of heavy rain over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and the Turks and
Caicos Islands this weekend and Mon. By mid-week, the trough is
forecast to weaken and move eastward into the central Atlantic.
Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-
threatening flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 11N15W
to 10N23W. The ITCZ extends from 11N15W to 12N32W, and resumes
from 12N36W to 10N60W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 09N to 22N between 21W and 31W, and from
05N to 10N between 33W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern United States extends a ridge over
the western Gulf waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and a trough over the Caribbean is supporting moderate winds, and
moderate seas, E of 94W. Gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas,prevail W of 94W.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and low pressure forecast to develop near the central
Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over
the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, beginning tonight
through early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica.
Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas prevail E of 75W, with
gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas, W of 75W.
For the forecast, an upper level trough over the eastern Gulf of
America and NW Caribbean will support scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean and
Windward Passage through Sun night. Meanwhile, a broad trough
over the central and western Caribbean will support light winds
and slight to moderate seas west of 76W through Sat, and moderate
to fresh E to SE winds and moderate seas east of 76W. Looking
ahead, expect fresh N to NE winds across the western Caribbean
with building seas west of 80W early next week as high pressure
builds north of the area. Expect rough seas and large N swell
across the Yucatan Channel Mon and Tue. Little change is expected
elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and a heavy rain
event over the southern Bahamas and the Turks and Caicos Islands.
A surface trough extends from 31N56W to low pres near 27N71W to W
Cuba. Numerous moderate and scattered strong convection is within
150 nm southeast of the trough and west of 61W. Moderate winds,
and moderate to rough seas are west of the trough. Another trough
extends from 31N48W to 26N41W. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is within 90 nm east of the trough. Fresh to
locally strong winds, and rough seas, are within 90 nm east of the
trough and N of 29W. A third trough is over the eastern tropical
Atlantic, from 20N31W to 13N34W. Active convection east of the
trough is discussed in the ITCZ/monsoon trough section above.
Fresh to strong winds are between the Cabo Verde Islands and
western Africa, where rough seas are noted. Moderate to fresh
winds, and moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 50W. Gentle to
moderate winds, and moderate seas, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell across the
forecast waters W of 65W and NE of the Bahamas will gradually
subside tonight through early Sat. A tightening pressure gradient
will develop across the northwestern zones beginning this evening
as high pressure builds southward over the western Atlantic, and
low pressure deepens near the central Bahamas along a cold front
moving slowly southward into the area. This setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds reaching gale-force over much of the waters
north of 29N and between 60W and 74W early Sun through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 11:01:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 24 Oct 2026 02:36:34 GMT - Fri, 23 Oct 2026 23:01:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 232301
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 14:46:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231445
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT FRI 23 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-145
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf