2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 11 Mar 2026 04:49:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 110449
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Mar 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a Bermuda
    High and a Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across
    the eastern Caribbean through tonight, and the central part of the
    basin through Wed night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia
    will pulse to minimal gale-force during the night-time hours tonight
    and to near-gale force on Wed night. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are expected
    with these strongest winds. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for
    the forecast zones of Agadir and Tarfaya. The forecast calls for
    northerly gales with severe gusts through 12/0000 UTC at least.
    Very rough seas to around 12 ft (4 m) are likely with these winds.
    Please refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on
    their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 10N14W, then continues SW to near 02N21W. The ITCZ extends
    from 02N21W to the coast of Brazil near 03S44.5W. Scattered
    moderate is noted S of 05N between 10W and 25W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends from the western Atlantic across Florida
    into the Gulf region. A 1023 mb high pressure is located over the
    NE Gulf. This pattern is supporting moderate to locally fresh SE
    to S winds and 3 to 6 ft seas across the western Gulf, and gentle
    to moderate E to SE winds with 1 to 3 ft seas over the eastern
    Gulf, with the exception of fresh to locally strong E winds and
    moderate seas in the Straits of Florida. Mostly cloudy skies are
    noted over the NW Gulf and the coast of Texas.

    For the forecast, a broad surface ridge extending across the basin
    will prevail through Wed. The pressure gradient between the ridge
    and lower pressures over Mexico will support mainly moderate to
    fresh E to SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to fresh and strong near
    the northern Yucatan and the western Gulf in the evenings, and
    slightly weaker winds overall in the northeastern Gulf. Seas will
    be slight to moderate through Wed. A cold front will impact the
    northwestern Gulf beginning Wed night, before moving across the
    Gulf waters through Thu night, stalling and dissipating over the
    SE Gulf Fri and Fri night. In the wake of the front, winds will
    increase to fresh to near gale-force speeds and seas will build to
    8 to 11 ft through Thu night, with conditions improving thereafter
    as ridging gradually rebuilds across the basin. Another cold front
    may approach early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see Special Features section above regarding a Gale Warning
    in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong trade winds
    across the central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
    the eastern part of the basin. Similar wind speeds are also
    observed in the lee of central Cuba. These winds are the result
    of the pressure gradient between the Colombian low and the Atlantic
    ridge. Winds are gentle to moderate in the NW Caribbean. Rough
    seas of 8 to 11 ft prevail in the south-central Caribbean near
    the coast of Colombia, and are a bit more moderate at 6 to 8 ft in
    the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean. Moderate seas
    are noted in the NW Caribbean. Locally rough seas are near Atlantic
    passages in E swell. A sharp upper-level trough extending from
    the SE Bahamas to Nicaragua is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean, mainly N of 15N.
    This convective activity is affecting parts of eastern Cuba,
    Hispaniola (more concentrated in Haiti), and Jamaica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across
    the eastern basin through tonight, and the central basin through
    Wed night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to
    gale- force during the night-time hours tonight and to near-gale
    on Wed night. Fresh to strong winds will linger in the S-central
    Caribbean into the upcoming weekend. Fresh to locally strong NE to
    E winds will pulse near the Windward Passage and south of Haiti
    through Wed night. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Lee of Cuba through Wed night. Large easterly
    trade-wind swell from the tropical North Atlantic will keep rough
    seas near the Lesser Antilles through early Thu. Marine conditions
    will improve slightly but temporarily by the end of the week as
    the pressure gradient weakens due to a weak cold front approaching
    the NW Caribbean. High pressure will build across the Atlantic by
    the end of the weekend with fresh to strong trades and building
    seas extending from the Tropical N Atlantic to the eastern and
    central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extends from 1029 mb high pressure centered east
    of Bermuda to the coasts of northeast Florida and Georgia. This
    pattern is supporting moderate to fresh E winds and 6 to 8 ft
    seas south of 25N and west of 55W, and light to gentle
    anticyclonic flow and 4 to 6 ft seas elsewhere. Farther east, a
    surface trough is along roughly 46W from 20N to 30N, associated
    with an upper- level low over that area. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms associated with the upper low and surface trough are
    active from 22N to 25N between 35W and 41W. Moderate to fresh SE
    winds and seas of 8 to 9 ft are seen on the E side of the trough
    axis. Strong upper-level winds are also supporting scattered
    showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Cabo Verde Islands.
    Fresh to strong NE winds are observed per scatterometer data N of
    20N E of 20W, including the Canary Islands. Seas of 8 to 11 ft are
    with these winds based on altimeter data. In the tropical
    Atlantic, moderate to fresh trades and moderate to rough seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
    will prevail south of 25N through Wed, reaching strong speeds
    north of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Moderate
    or weaker winds can be expected elsewhere across the region through
    Wed. Southerly fresh to strong winds will develop off northern
    Florida Wed night ahead of a cold front. That front will move
    offshore Thu evening with fresh to strong winds and building seas
    behind it, weakening and slowing from near Bermuda to the northern
    Bahamas by Fri. High pressure ridging will build across the basin
    for the end of the week into the weekend, with moderate to fresh
    trades dominating the basin by the end of the weekend, and rough
    seas over the SE waters.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 11 Mar 2026 04:49:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 110449
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Mar 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a Bermuda
    High and a Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across
    the eastern Caribbean through tonight, and the central part of the
    basin through Wed night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia
    will pulse to minimal gale-force during the night-time hours tonight
    and to near-gale force on Wed night. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are expected
    with these strongest winds. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for
    the forecast zones of Agadir and Tarfaya. The forecast calls for
    northerly gales with severe gusts through 12/0000 UTC at least.
    Very rough seas to around 12 ft (4 m) are likely with these winds.
    Please refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on
    their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 10N14W, then continues SW to near 02N21W. The ITCZ extends
    from 02N21W to the coast of Brazil near 03S44.5W. Scattered
    moderate is noted S of 05N between 10W and 25W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends from the western Atlantic across Florida
    into the Gulf region. A 1023 mb high pressure is located over the
    NE Gulf. This pattern is supporting moderate to locally fresh SE
    to S winds and 3 to 6 ft seas across the western Gulf, and gentle
    to moderate E to SE winds with 1 to 3 ft seas over the eastern
    Gulf, with the exception of fresh to locally strong E winds and
    moderate seas in the Straits of Florida. Mostly cloudy skies are
    noted over the NW Gulf and the coast of Texas.

    For the forecast, a broad surface ridge extending across the basin
    will prevail through Wed. The pressure gradient between the ridge
    and lower pressures over Mexico will support mainly moderate to
    fresh E to SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to fresh and strong near
    the northern Yucatan and the western Gulf in the evenings, and
    slightly weaker winds overall in the northeastern Gulf. Seas will
    be slight to moderate through Wed. A cold front will impact the
    northwestern Gulf beginning Wed night, before moving across the
    Gulf waters through Thu night, stalling and dissipating over the
    SE Gulf Fri and Fri night. In the wake of the front, winds will
    increase to fresh to near gale-force speeds and seas will build to
    8 to 11 ft through Thu night, with conditions improving thereafter
    as ridging gradually rebuilds across the basin. Another cold front
    may approach early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see Special Features section above regarding a Gale Warning
    in effect for the south-central Caribbean.

    Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong trade winds
    across the central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
    the eastern part of the basin. Similar wind speeds are also
    observed in the lee of central Cuba. These winds are the result
    of the pressure gradient between the Colombian low and the Atlantic
    ridge. Winds are gentle to moderate in the NW Caribbean. Rough
    seas of 8 to 11 ft prevail in the south-central Caribbean near
    the coast of Colombia, and are a bit more moderate at 6 to 8 ft in
    the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean. Moderate seas
    are noted in the NW Caribbean. Locally rough seas are near Atlantic
    passages in E swell. A sharp upper-level trough extending from
    the SE Bahamas to Nicaragua is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms over the north-central Caribbean, mainly N of 15N.
    This convective activity is affecting parts of eastern Cuba,
    Hispaniola (more concentrated in Haiti), and Jamaica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across
    the eastern basin through tonight, and the central basin through
    Wed night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to
    gale- force during the night-time hours tonight and to near-gale
    on Wed night. Fresh to strong winds will linger in the S-central
    Caribbean into the upcoming weekend. Fresh to locally strong NE to
    E winds will pulse near the Windward Passage and south of Haiti
    through Wed night. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Lee of Cuba through Wed night. Large easterly
    trade-wind swell from the tropical North Atlantic will keep rough
    seas near the Lesser Antilles through early Thu. Marine conditions
    will improve slightly but temporarily by the end of the week as
    the pressure gradient weakens due to a weak cold front approaching
    the NW Caribbean. High pressure will build across the Atlantic by
    the end of the weekend with fresh to strong trades and building
    seas extending from the Tropical N Atlantic to the eastern and
    central Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extends from 1029 mb high pressure centered east
    of Bermuda to the coasts of northeast Florida and Georgia. This
    pattern is supporting moderate to fresh E winds and 6 to 8 ft
    seas south of 25N and west of 55W, and light to gentle
    anticyclonic flow and 4 to 6 ft seas elsewhere. Farther east, a
    surface trough is along roughly 46W from 20N to 30N, associated
    with an upper- level low over that area. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms associated with the upper low and surface trough are
    active from 22N to 25N between 35W and 41W. Moderate to fresh SE
    winds and seas of 8 to 9 ft are seen on the E side of the trough
    axis. Strong upper-level winds are also supporting scattered
    showers and thunderstorms over parts of the Cabo Verde Islands.
    Fresh to strong NE winds are observed per scatterometer data N of
    20N E of 20W, including the Canary Islands. Seas of 8 to 11 ft are
    with these winds based on altimeter data. In the tropical
    Atlantic, moderate to fresh trades and moderate to rough seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
    will prevail south of 25N through Wed, reaching strong speeds
    north of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Moderate
    or weaker winds can be expected elsewhere across the region through
    Wed. Southerly fresh to strong winds will develop off northern
    Florida Wed night ahead of a cold front. That front will move
    offshore Thu evening with fresh to strong winds and building seas
    behind it, weakening and slowing from near Bermuda to the northern
    Bahamas by Fri. High pressure ridging will build across the basin
    for the end of the week into the weekend, with moderate to fresh
    trades dominating the basin by the end of the weekend, and rough
    seas over the SE waters.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 10 Mar 2026 16:02:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101602
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1205 PM EDT TUE 10 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z MARCH 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-100

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
    A. 12/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 41WSE IOP42
    C. 11/1900Z
    D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    35.0N 130.0W, 35.0N 155.0W, 55.0N 155.0W, AND 55.0N 130.0W
    E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 11/2030Z TO 12/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
    FOR THE 13/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
    FOR THE 14/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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