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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 12 Oct 2025 17:37:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
339
AXNT20 KNHC 121737
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Oct 12 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: The Remnants of Jerry are now north of 31N
and merging with a frontal boundary. However, gale force S to SE
winds continue north of 26N between 59W and 62W, as depicted in
the latest scatterometer data. Scattered moderate convection is
noted in this area of gales. Seas are currently 12-15 ft. Winds
will diminish to near-gale force late tonight, and seas will
subside below 12 ft tomorrow morning.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on
the gale warning.
Invest AL97: A tropical wave located well to the southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Scattered moderate
convection is from 05N to 15N between 32W and 42W. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some development of this system
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form
during the early or middle part of this week while it moves to the
west- northwest or northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the central
tropical Atlantic. This system has a medium chance of tropical
formation within the next 48 hrs.
Please read the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION
ABOUT THE TROPICAL WAVE, AL97.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W to 09N38W. The ITCZ extends from 09N38W to
08N61W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 13N between
20W and 23W. Additional convection is described in SPECIAL
FEATURES associated with AL97.
GULF OF AMERICA...
1012 mb high pressure centered in the far NW Gulf and a clearing
airmass behind the W Atlantic frontal boundary allows for moderate
or weaker winds and slight seas across the basin.
For the forecast, the ridge will dominate the basin through late
this week, resulting in gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A stalled front crosses far western Cuba. Fresh S winds persist in
the lee of Cuba ahead of the boundary, with scattered showers and
tstorms. Areas of scattered moderate convection are from 11N to
16N between 76W and 82W, and from 11N to 18N between 67W and 72W,
including southern Hispaniola and the ABC Islands. Moderate or
weaker E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas prevail across
the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the central Atlantic will
support moderate to locally fresh trade winds and moderate seas
across the eastern Caribbean through mid week. Meanwhile, a weak
pressure pattern will maintain moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas elsewhere through the forecast period.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details on the
Gale Warning south of Bermuda and Invest 97W well SW of the Cabo
Verde Islands.
A stalled front, associated with the coastal low off the US East
Coast, extends from 31N73W to far western Cuba. Moderate to fresh
winds are in the vicinity of the front. 8-11 ft seas are north of
25N between 56W and the coast of Florida. Scattered moderate
convection is from 23N to 28N between 71W and 76W. Another frontal
boundary extends from 31N58W to 31N33W. 1017mb low pressure is
along the front near 27N51W; fresh winds are near this low.
Elsewhere in the basin, gentle to moderate trades and 4-7 ft seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move southward to
the east of Bermuda Tue into Wed, bringing fresh to strong winds
and rough seas to the waters north of 25N and east of 70W.
$$
Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 12 Oct 2025 17:37:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
339
AXNT20 KNHC 121737
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Oct 12 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: The Remnants of Jerry are now north of 31N
and merging with a frontal boundary. However, gale force S to SE
winds continue north of 26N between 59W and 62W, as depicted in
the latest scatterometer data. Scattered moderate convection is
noted in this area of gales. Seas are currently 12-15 ft. Winds
will diminish to near-gale force late tonight, and seas will
subside below 12 ft tomorrow morning.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details on
the gale warning.
Invest AL97: A tropical wave located well to the southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Scattered moderate
convection is from 05N to 15N between 32W and 42W. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for some development of this system
during the next few days, and a tropical depression could form
during the early or middle part of this week while it moves to the
west- northwest or northwest at 15 to 20 mph across the central
tropical Atlantic. This system has a medium chance of tropical
formation within the next 48 hrs.
Please read the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
PLEASE SEE THE SPECIAL FEATURES SECTION ABOVE FOR INFORMATION
ABOUT THE TROPICAL WAVE, AL97.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W to 09N38W. The ITCZ extends from 09N38W to
08N61W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 13N between
20W and 23W. Additional convection is described in SPECIAL
FEATURES associated with AL97.
GULF OF AMERICA...
1012 mb high pressure centered in the far NW Gulf and a clearing
airmass behind the W Atlantic frontal boundary allows for moderate
or weaker winds and slight seas across the basin.
For the forecast, the ridge will dominate the basin through late
this week, resulting in gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A stalled front crosses far western Cuba. Fresh S winds persist in
the lee of Cuba ahead of the boundary, with scattered showers and
tstorms. Areas of scattered moderate convection are from 11N to
16N between 76W and 82W, and from 11N to 18N between 67W and 72W,
including southern Hispaniola and the ABC Islands. Moderate or
weaker E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas prevail across
the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the central Atlantic will
support moderate to locally fresh trade winds and moderate seas
across the eastern Caribbean through mid week. Meanwhile, a weak
pressure pattern will maintain moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas elsewhere through the forecast period.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the SPECIAL FEATURES section for details on the
Gale Warning south of Bermuda and Invest 97W well SW of the Cabo
Verde Islands.
A stalled front, associated with the coastal low off the US East
Coast, extends from 31N73W to far western Cuba. Moderate to fresh
winds are in the vicinity of the front. 8-11 ft seas are north of
25N between 56W and the coast of Florida. Scattered moderate
convection is from 23N to 28N between 71W and 76W. Another frontal
boundary extends from 31N58W to 31N33W. 1017mb low pressure is
along the front near 27N51W; fresh winds are near this low.
Elsewhere in the basin, gentle to moderate trades and 4-7 ft seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move southward to
the east of Bermuda Tue into Wed, bringing fresh to strong winds
and rough seas to the waters north of 25N and east of 70W.
$$
Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 05:27:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 12 Oct 2025 21:06:12 GMT - Sun, 12 Oct 2025 17:27:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121727
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Oct 12 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL97):
An area of low pressure located well west-southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands continues to produce a large area of disorganized
showers and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive
for some development of this system during the next few days, and a
tropical depression could form during the early or middle part of
this week while it moves to the west-northwest or northwest at 15 to
20 mph across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 12 Oct 2025 13:27:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121327
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 12 OCTOBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z OCTOBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-134
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf