2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

159 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

PLEASE SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 23:03:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062303
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave that emerged off of Africa earlier this morning
    has it axis along 20W, south of 15N, moving W at around 15 kt.
    Widely scattered moderate convection is depicted from 03N to 08N
    between 14W and 26W.

    A tropical wave is near 32W, south of 13N, moving W at 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted where the wave meets the
    monsoon trough from 02N to 06N between 27W and 34W.

    Another tropical wave is along 57W-58W, south of 13.5N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is evident from 02.5N to 12N between 51W and 59W.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean Sea along 66W,
    south of 15N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to
    enhance convection over portions of Venezuela, but no significant
    convection is seen over the Caribbean.

    Another tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean Sea.
    Its axis is along 82W-83W, south of 19N into the EPAC region,
    moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    observed behind the wave N of 15N and across the waters and
    islands of Jamaica, and eastern Cuba, as it interacts with an
    upper trough along 80W. Scattered moderate to strong convection
    is also near the southern portion of the wave axis and along the
    eastern end of the EPAC monsoon trough.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 03N35W. The
    ITCZ extends from 03N35W to the coast of Brazil near 01.5N50W.
    Widely scattered moderate convection is about the ITCZ from 02N
    to 06N between 35W and 48W. Additional convection across the area
    is related to the tropical waves mentioned above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic W of Bemuda extends
    west-southwestward into the SE United States and NE Gulf waters,
    supporting gentle to moderate SE to S winds across most of the
    basin, with the exception of moderate to fresh E-NE winds through
    the Florida Straits. Seas are slight to moderate within these
    wind speeds, with maximum seas to 6 ft occurring NW of the Yucatan
    Peninsula. A surface trough over the western part of the basin is
    supporting scattered moderate convection south of 26.5N and west
    of 92W. Scattered moderate convection over coastal Mississippi and
    Alabama is shifting into those area coastal waters.

    For the forecast, the west Atlantic ridge will continue to
    dominate the Gulf region, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE
    winds over the eastern Gulf and moderate to fresh SE to S winds
    over the western Gulf through Mon. Winds will be easterly at
    mostly fresh speeds across most of the western and central Gulf S
    of 26N through midweek. The exception will be off the Yucatan
    Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support moderate winds to
    pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the evenings through
    Wed. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with these winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please, see the Tropical Waves section above for more details.

    High pressure north of the area is centered just W of Bermuda, and
    is combining with lower pressures across South America to support
    moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds and moderate seas
    across the majority of the basin, with the exception of the SW
    Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted. An upper level
    trough along 80W is supporting scattered moderate to strong
    convection N of 15N between 70W and 80W, including diurnal
    convection over Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba, as will as along
    the monsoon trough in the SW Caribbean. Elsewhere, patches of low
    level clouds, embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted
    producing isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean through Sun as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward.
    Winds will begin to increase again over the central Caribbean late
    tonight into Sun, and over the NW part of the basin Sun night
    into Mon as the pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic
    ridge and a broad area of low pressure located over the eastern
    Pacific offshore waters of Central America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between the W coast of
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details.

    A stalled frontal boundary extends through 31N58W to near 25N76W.
    SE of the front, a surface trough extends from 27N64W to eastern
    Cuba. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along and S of these
    two features. 1022 mb high pressure over the southeastern United
    States and the western Atlantic follows this frontal boundary. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure situated
    SW of the Azores near 33N33W. Under the influence of this
    feature, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 22N E of
    front to about 45W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are
    found north of 17N and east of 40W, including the Canary Islands.
    The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles, except between Barbados and 50W
    where recent satellite altimeter data showed a broad zone of 7-8
    ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary will
    will dissipate tonight. A surface trough extending to its
    southeast and into the southeastern Bahamas will drift westward
    through Mon night. A new cold front will reach from near 31N59W
    by late Tue, from near 30N55W to 26N63W and stationary to 27N69W,
    then shift E of the area Thu as a high center N of the area slides
    eastward along 33N. This weather pattern will generally support
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas into next week, except
    for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N between Hispaniola and Cuba
    starting late Wed.

    $$

    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 23:03:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062303
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave that emerged off of Africa earlier this morning
    has it axis along 20W, south of 15N, moving W at around 15 kt.
    Widely scattered moderate convection is depicted from 03N to 08N
    between 14W and 26W.

    A tropical wave is near 32W, south of 13N, moving W at 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted where the wave meets the
    monsoon trough from 02N to 06N between 27W and 34W.

    Another tropical wave is along 57W-58W, south of 13.5N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is evident from 02.5N to 12N between 51W and 59W.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean Sea along 66W,
    south of 15N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to
    enhance convection over portions of Venezuela, but no significant
    convection is seen over the Caribbean.

    Another tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean Sea.
    Its axis is along 82W-83W, south of 19N into the EPAC region,
    moving W at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    observed behind the wave N of 15N and across the waters and
    islands of Jamaica, and eastern Cuba, as it interacts with an
    upper trough along 80W. Scattered moderate to strong convection
    is also near the southern portion of the wave axis and along the
    eastern end of the EPAC monsoon trough.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 03N35W. The
    ITCZ extends from 03N35W to the coast of Brazil near 01.5N50W.
    Widely scattered moderate convection is about the ITCZ from 02N
    to 06N between 35W and 48W. Additional convection across the area
    is related to the tropical waves mentioned above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic W of Bemuda extends
    west-southwestward into the SE United States and NE Gulf waters,
    supporting gentle to moderate SE to S winds across most of the
    basin, with the exception of moderate to fresh E-NE winds through
    the Florida Straits. Seas are slight to moderate within these
    wind speeds, with maximum seas to 6 ft occurring NW of the Yucatan
    Peninsula. A surface trough over the western part of the basin is
    supporting scattered moderate convection south of 26.5N and west
    of 92W. Scattered moderate convection over coastal Mississippi and
    Alabama is shifting into those area coastal waters.

    For the forecast, the west Atlantic ridge will continue to
    dominate the Gulf region, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE
    winds over the eastern Gulf and moderate to fresh SE to S winds
    over the western Gulf through Mon. Winds will be easterly at
    mostly fresh speeds across most of the western and central Gulf S
    of 26N through midweek. The exception will be off the Yucatan
    Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support moderate winds to
    pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the evenings through
    Wed. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with these winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please, see the Tropical Waves section above for more details.

    High pressure north of the area is centered just W of Bermuda, and
    is combining with lower pressures across South America to support
    moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds and moderate seas
    across the majority of the basin, with the exception of the SW
    Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted. An upper level
    trough along 80W is supporting scattered moderate to strong
    convection N of 15N between 70W and 80W, including diurnal
    convection over Hispaniola, Jamaica, and Cuba, as will as along
    the monsoon trough in the SW Caribbean. Elsewhere, patches of low
    level clouds, embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted
    producing isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean through Sun as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward.
    Winds will begin to increase again over the central Caribbean late
    tonight into Sun, and over the NW part of the basin Sun night
    into Mon as the pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic
    ridge and a broad area of low pressure located over the eastern
    Pacific offshore waters of Central America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between the W coast of
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details.

    A stalled frontal boundary extends through 31N58W to near 25N76W.
    SE of the front, a surface trough extends from 27N64W to eastern
    Cuba. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along and S of these
    two features. 1022 mb high pressure over the southeastern United
    States and the western Atlantic follows this frontal boundary. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure situated
    SW of the Azores near 33N33W. Under the influence of this
    feature, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 22N E of
    front to about 45W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are
    found north of 17N and east of 40W, including the Canary Islands.
    The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles, except between Barbados and 50W
    where recent satellite altimeter data showed a broad zone of 7-8
    ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary will
    will dissipate tonight. A surface trough extending to its
    southeast and into the southeastern Bahamas will drift westward
    through Mon night. A new cold front will reach from near 31N59W
    by late Tue, from near 30N55W to 26N63W and stationary to 27N69W,
    then shift E of the area Thu as a high center N of the area slides
    eastward along 33N. This weather pattern will generally support
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas into next week, except
    for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N between Hispaniola and Cuba
    starting late Wed.

    $$

    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 08 Jun 2026 11:44:52 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 06 Jun 2026 23:45:51 GMT
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 23:44:52 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 062344
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:54:16 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 061354
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EDT SAT 06 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-006

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page