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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 12 Jun 2026 21:12:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
803
AXNT20 KNHC 122112
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 30W S of 15N,
moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 05N to 10N between 30W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W S of 16N.
It is moving westward near 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
A tropical wave has its axis near 60W south of 16N. It is moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
The two previous waves in the Caribbean have merged. The axis of
the merged tropical wave is near 77W south of 18N, moving
westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is presently
occurring near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 10N14W
and extends southwestward to 07N20W. The ITCZ extends from 07N20W
to 06N29W. It resumes near 06N31W to 05N47W. Scattered moderate
to strong convection is noted from 03N to 15N between 11W and
23W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 09N
between 36W and 46W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. A 1007 mb low is
centered over the SW Gulf. The pressure gradient between the area
of high pressure and the low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the waters S of 25N and W of 87W. Seas are in the 5-8 ft
range over these waters. Light winds, and seas of 2 ft, are in
the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to moderate winds, and
seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
has increased a little near a broad area of low pressure located
over the Bay of Campeche near 20.5N95W. Environmental conditions
are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development
before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday
or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal
boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be
marginally conducive for any development. The pressure gradient
between the low pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will
support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas
through Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds prevail over the waters W of 85W, as well as
over the waters S of 15N between 66W and 75W. Seas over these
waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
of 3-6 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
rough seas will prevail across the central Caribbean through Sun.
Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to
strong SE winds and rough seas will also persist over the
northwestern Caribbean, to the W of 85W, including the Gulf of
Honduras, through Sat night. Expect active showers and
thunderstorms across portions of the Yucatan Channel and adjacent
Yucatan waters through early Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 24N69W to 20N75W. Scattered
convection is SE of the trough. The remainder of the discussion
waters N of 20N is dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1024
mb high near 33N45W. Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas,
generally prevail over the discussion waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will build across the
area through early next week. This pattern will support moderate
E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a gentle anticyclonic flow
elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will develop across the NW
waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening through Tue, as a weak
frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong
winds each afternoon through late evening across waters near
Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 12 Jun 2026 21:12:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
803
AXNT20 KNHC 122112
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 30W S of 15N,
moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 05N to 10N between 30W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W S of 16N.
It is moving westward near 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
A tropical wave has its axis near 60W south of 16N. It is moving
westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
The two previous waves in the Caribbean have merged. The axis of
the merged tropical wave is near 77W south of 18N, moving
westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is presently
occurring near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 10N14W
and extends southwestward to 07N20W. The ITCZ extends from 07N20W
to 06N29W. It resumes near 06N31W to 05N47W. Scattered moderate
to strong convection is noted from 03N to 15N between 11W and
23W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 09N
between 36W and 46W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. A 1007 mb low is
centered over the SW Gulf. The pressure gradient between the area
of high pressure and the low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the waters S of 25N and W of 87W. Seas are in the 5-8 ft
range over these waters. Light winds, and seas of 2 ft, are in
the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to moderate winds, and
seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
has increased a little near a broad area of low pressure located
over the Bay of Campeche near 20.5N95W. Environmental conditions
are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development
before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday
or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal
boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be
marginally conducive for any development. The pressure gradient
between the low pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will
support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas
through Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds prevail over the waters W of 85W, as well as
over the waters S of 15N between 66W and 75W. Seas over these
waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
of 3-6 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
rough seas will prevail across the central Caribbean through Sun.
Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to
strong SE winds and rough seas will also persist over the
northwestern Caribbean, to the W of 85W, including the Gulf of
Honduras, through Sat night. Expect active showers and
thunderstorms across portions of the Yucatan Channel and adjacent
Yucatan waters through early Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 24N69W to 20N75W. Scattered
convection is SE of the trough. The remainder of the discussion
waters N of 20N is dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1024
mb high near 33N45W. Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas,
generally prevail over the discussion waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will build across the
area through early next week. This pattern will support moderate
E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a gentle anticyclonic flow
elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will develop across the NW
waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening through Tue, as a weak
frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong
winds each afternoon through late evening across waters near
Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 05:27:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 12 Jun 2026 22:51:56 GMT - Fri, 12 Jun 2026 17:27:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121727
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western Gulf:
Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a
little near a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of
Campeche. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only
marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland
over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. The system could
re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while
interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are
only expected to be marginally conducive for any development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:45:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT FRI 12 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-012
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf