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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 04:32:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 020432
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0431 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 19W, from 02N to 19W,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Isolated moderate convection is depicted
from 06N to 12 N between 17.5W and 24W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with
axis near 50W, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 46W and 55W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 80.5W, S of 20N, moving W at
15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
southwestward to 08N36W. The ITCZ extends from 08N36W to 07N47W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is evident from 05N to 10N between
25W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Afternoon scattered moderate convection over Florida has moved
over the eastern Gulf as it weakens. Scattered to numerous
moderate convection is occurring over the Bay of Campeche south of
19N. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient is leading to light to
gentle winds and slight seas through the basin, except for
moderate NE winds over the eastern Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, the weak ridge will dominate the basin through
the forecast period. A weakening surface trough in the NE Gulf
will gradually dissipate through Thu, with some showers and
isolated thunderstorms persisting along the trough. Fresh to
occasionally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Sun night due to local effects
associated with a daily surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE
winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a strong subtropical ridge north of the Azores
extends a ridge southwestward to the Bahamas, and will generally
remain in place through the weekend. The pressure gradient between
this ridge and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central Caribbean
through Fri morning, then diminish slightly through Sun. Expect
winds to reach near gale-force each night offshore of Colombia and
in the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker
winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers
and thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night
through Fri night as an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from a 1014 mb low near 31N72W to the NW
Bahamas. Isolated showers are found along the trough axis. Another
weak trough is supporting scattered showers north of 28N between
49W and 62W. The Azores High extends a ridge across the remainder
of the subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across the waters S of
22N are moderate to fresh with moderate seas to 6 ft. N of 17N
and E of 35W, a tighter pressure gradient with lower pressures
over NW Africa is leading to fresh to locally strong NE winds
along with rough seas to 10 ft, including the Canary Islands.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough that extends
from a 1014 mb low near 31N72W to the NW Bahamas will gradually
dissipate through Thu while drifting northwestward toward the
southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
westward into central Florida through the weekend. This pattern
will support moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N,
and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to locally
strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening hours near
the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 04:32:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 020432
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0431 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 19W, from 02N to 19W,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Isolated moderate convection is depicted
from 06N to 12 N between 17.5W and 24W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with
axis near 50W, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 46W and 55W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 80.5W, S of 20N, moving W at
15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
southwestward to 08N36W. The ITCZ extends from 08N36W to 07N47W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is evident from 05N to 10N between
25W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Afternoon scattered moderate convection over Florida has moved
over the eastern Gulf as it weakens. Scattered to numerous
moderate convection is occurring over the Bay of Campeche south of
19N. Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient is leading to light to
gentle winds and slight seas through the basin, except for
moderate NE winds over the eastern Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, the weak ridge will dominate the basin through
the forecast period. A weakening surface trough in the NE Gulf
will gradually dissipate through Thu, with some showers and
isolated thunderstorms persisting along the trough. Fresh to
occasionally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Sun night due to local effects
associated with a daily surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE
winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a strong subtropical ridge north of the Azores
extends a ridge southwestward to the Bahamas, and will generally
remain in place through the weekend. The pressure gradient between
this ridge and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central Caribbean
through Fri morning, then diminish slightly through Sun. Expect
winds to reach near gale-force each night offshore of Colombia and
in the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker
winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers
and thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night
through Fri night as an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from a 1014 mb low near 31N72W to the NW
Bahamas. Isolated showers are found along the trough axis. Another
weak trough is supporting scattered showers north of 28N between
49W and 62W. The Azores High extends a ridge across the remainder
of the subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across the waters S of
22N are moderate to fresh with moderate seas to 6 ft. N of 17N
and E of 35W, a tighter pressure gradient with lower pressures
over NW Africa is leading to fresh to locally strong NE winds
along with rough seas to 10 ft, including the Canary Islands.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough that extends
from a 1014 mb low near 31N72W to the NW Bahamas will gradually
dissipate through Thu while drifting northwestward toward the
southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
westward into central Florida through the weekend. This pattern
will support moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N,
and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to locally
strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening hours near
the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 17:03:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 02 Jul 2026 08:50:05 GMT - Thu, 02 Jul 2026 05:03:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 020503
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 13:12:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 011312
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 01 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-031
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


