2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Track The Tropics
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...

Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 07 Nov 2025 20:52:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072052
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Nov 8 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2050 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 13N16W and continues southwestward to near 08N24W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 00N49W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 20W
    and 39W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak ridge dominates most of the Gulf region. Moderate winds are
    found over the far NW Gulf, with gentle winds elsewhere. Seas are
    in the 2-3 ft range over the NW Gulf, and 1-2 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds will
    continue over the western basin through Sat as a complex low
    pressure system moves over the south-central U.S. A strong cold
    front will move into the northwest Gulf Sun morning and progress
    southeastward, exiting the basin Mon afternoon. Strong to near
    gale-froce N to NE winds and rough seas can be expected behind the
    front, and gale force winds and very rough seas are likely
    offshore of Veracruz Mon. Conditions will improve basin- wide by
    Tue evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting moderate trade winds
    over the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds are
    over the western Caribbean. Seas are in the 4-5 ft range over the
    central and eastern Caribbean, and 2-3 ft over the western
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, winds will freshen over the central and eastern
    Caribbean tonight, then prevail through Monday, as a surface
    trough moves westward through the region, and high pressure builds
    to the north. Locally strong winds and rough seas are forecast in
    the south- central Caribbean starting late Sat. Elsewhere, rough
    seas in mixed N and E swell are expected over the waters east of
    the Lesser Antilles into late Tue. Looking ahead, a strong cold
    front is slated to enter the northwestern Caribbean Mon, leading
    to widespread strong NE winds and rough seas in the wake of the
    front. The cold front is forecast to reach from E Cuba to E
    Honduras Tue evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from 31N30W to the NW Bahamas. An area
    of showers and thunderstorms is along the frontal boundary just E
    of the Bahamas. Another stationary front extends westward along
    31N and W of 60W. A ridge, anchored by a 1021 mb high pressure
    located near 28N40W, dominates the remainder of the forecast
    waters. A surface trough is analyzed E of the Lesser Antilles, from
    18N56W to 09N56W. Scattered moderate convection is on either side
    of the trough axis. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of
    the high center. Gentle to locally moderate winds are W of 60W.
    Moderate to fresh winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 10-11
    ft range N of 27N between 30W and 33W. Elsewhere E of 60W, seas of
    6-8 ft are noted. W of 60W, seas are in the 4-6 ft range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, rough seas in N swell will impact
    waters SE of Bermuda to about 20N through tonight. Moderate to
    fresh S to SW winds will develop offshore of Florida late this
    weekend ahead of a cold front moving through the southeastern U.S.
    The cold front will push off the coast Sun night and progress
    southeastward into the central Atlantic, leading to strong winds
    and rough seas behind the front through Tue night.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 07 Nov 2025 20:52:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072052
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Nov 8 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2050 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 13N16W and continues southwestward to near 08N24W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 00N49W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 20W
    and 39W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak ridge dominates most of the Gulf region. Moderate winds are
    found over the far NW Gulf, with gentle winds elsewhere. Seas are
    in the 2-3 ft range over the NW Gulf, and 1-2 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh S to SW winds will
    continue over the western basin through Sat as a complex low
    pressure system moves over the south-central U.S. A strong cold
    front will move into the northwest Gulf Sun morning and progress
    southeastward, exiting the basin Mon afternoon. Strong to near
    gale-froce N to NE winds and rough seas can be expected behind the
    front, and gale force winds and very rough seas are likely
    offshore of Veracruz Mon. Conditions will improve basin- wide by
    Tue evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and the Colombian low is supporting moderate trade winds
    over the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds are
    over the western Caribbean. Seas are in the 4-5 ft range over the
    central and eastern Caribbean, and 2-3 ft over the western
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, winds will freshen over the central and eastern
    Caribbean tonight, then prevail through Monday, as a surface
    trough moves westward through the region, and high pressure builds
    to the north. Locally strong winds and rough seas are forecast in
    the south- central Caribbean starting late Sat. Elsewhere, rough
    seas in mixed N and E swell are expected over the waters east of
    the Lesser Antilles into late Tue. Looking ahead, a strong cold
    front is slated to enter the northwestern Caribbean Mon, leading
    to widespread strong NE winds and rough seas in the wake of the
    front. The cold front is forecast to reach from E Cuba to E
    Honduras Tue evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from 31N30W to the NW Bahamas. An area
    of showers and thunderstorms is along the frontal boundary just E
    of the Bahamas. Another stationary front extends westward along
    31N and W of 60W. A ridge, anchored by a 1021 mb high pressure
    located near 28N40W, dominates the remainder of the forecast
    waters. A surface trough is analyzed E of the Lesser Antilles, from
    18N56W to 09N56W. Scattered moderate convection is on either side
    of the trough axis. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of
    the high center. Gentle to locally moderate winds are W of 60W.
    Moderate to fresh winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 10-11
    ft range N of 27N between 30W and 33W. Elsewhere E of 60W, seas of
    6-8 ft are noted. W of 60W, seas are in the 4-6 ft range.

    For the forecast west of 55W, rough seas in N swell will impact
    waters SE of Bermuda to about 20N through tonight. Moderate to
    fresh S to SW winds will develop offshore of Florida late this
    weekend ahead of a cold front moving through the southeastern U.S.
    The cold front will push off the coast Sun night and progress
    southeastward into the central Atlantic, leading to strong winds
    and rough seas behind the front through Tue night.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 09 Nov 2025 05:16:19 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 07 Nov 2025 21:06:14 GMT
  • Fri, 07 Nov 2025 17:16:19 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 071716
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Fri Nov 7 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 07 Nov 2025 16:30:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 071630
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1130 AM EST FRI 07 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....29-160

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
    THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page