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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 10:14:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 121014
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jul 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to gale-force off the
coast of Colombia through this morning. Rough to very rough seas
are expected with these winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along 70W
south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are depicted along the wave axis from
11N to 13N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through near 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 09N41W. The ITCZ continues from 09N41W
to 07N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ
and W of 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across Florida into the Gulf region. Associated southeasterly
low-level flow continues to transport abundant low level moisture
into the basin. Scattered showers are noted over the central
Gulf. The subtropical ridge is supporting light to gentle winds
east of 88W. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds prevail west of
88W, except for moderate to fresh winds north of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Seas 2 to 4 ft prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary will remain N of the area
through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern Gulf
waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Elsewhere,
high pressure will dominate, supporting gentle to moderate SE
winds. Fresh to strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the
Colombian Low supports fresh to strong winds over the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds reaching minimal gale-force
offshore Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are with these winds.
Fresh to strong winds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras.
Moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas dominate the
eastern Caribbean. Rough seas, generated by the strong winds in
the central Caribbean, are reaching the SW part of the basin where
moderate to fresh trades prevail. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are over the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient between
high pressure north of the basin and lower pressures over northern
South America supports gale-force NE winds and rough seas over
the south central Caribbean through this morning, and strong to
near-gale trade winds across the central portion of the basin
through the weekend. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse
to strong each evening through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce scattered showers
and thunderstorms across the waters N of 24N between 53W and 64W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
broad subtropical ridge that sustains moderate to fresh winds
south of 23N and moderate seas, except for strong winds north of
the Hispaniola and the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to fresh
trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 10:14:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 121014
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jul 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to gale-force off the
coast of Colombia through this morning. Rough to very rough seas
are expected with these winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along 70W
south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are depicted along the wave axis from
11N to 13N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through near 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 09N41W. The ITCZ continues from 09N41W
to 07N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ
and W of 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across Florida into the Gulf region. Associated southeasterly
low-level flow continues to transport abundant low level moisture
into the basin. Scattered showers are noted over the central
Gulf. The subtropical ridge is supporting light to gentle winds
east of 88W. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds prevail west of
88W, except for moderate to fresh winds north of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Seas 2 to 4 ft prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a frontal boundary will remain N of the area
through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern Gulf
waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Elsewhere,
high pressure will dominate, supporting gentle to moderate SE
winds. Fresh to strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the
Colombian Low supports fresh to strong winds over the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds reaching minimal gale-force
offshore Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are with these winds.
Fresh to strong winds are also noted in the Gulf of Honduras.
Moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas dominate the
eastern Caribbean. Rough seas, generated by the strong winds in
the central Caribbean, are reaching the SW part of the basin where
moderate to fresh trades prevail. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are over the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient between
high pressure north of the basin and lower pressures over northern
South America supports gale-force NE winds and rough seas over
the south central Caribbean through this morning, and strong to
near-gale trade winds across the central portion of the basin
through the weekend. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse
to strong each evening through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to induce scattered showers
and thunderstorms across the waters N of 24N between 53W and 64W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
broad subtropical ridge that sustains moderate to fresh winds
south of 23N and moderate seas, except for strong winds north of
the Hispaniola and the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to fresh
trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 13 Jul 2026 23:22:02 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 12 Jul 2026 12:30:08 GMT - Sun, 12 Jul 2026 11:22:02 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121121
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 13:46:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111346
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SAT 11 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-041
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf