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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 13 May 2026 16:01:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131601
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed May 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1545 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 39W from 03N to 14N, moving
westward at 10 kt. The wave is devoid of significant deep
convection at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 17N17W and continues SW to 07N24W. The ITCZ extends
from 07N24W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
within 200 nm on either side of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects
to a 1012 mb low near 28N84W, then a cold front extends from the
low to 24N86W. A stationary front continues from that point to
20N90W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are in the NW semicircle
of the low from the Florida Big Bend to offshore SE Louisiana.
Gentle to moderate northerlies are across the Bay of Campeche
while light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere as high pressure
starts to build in the wake of the fronts. Seas are slight basin-
wide, except moderate to 5 ft in the NW of the low where the
strongest winds are ongoing.
For the forecast, the front is forecast to exit the SE Gulf
tonight. High pressure and quiescent conditions will build behind
the front today and Thu. Another weak cold front is forecast to
enter the NE Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
Southeast winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds
over the western half of the basin this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong
trade winds and 5-8 ft seas across the south-central to southwest
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are noted across the remainder of the central and eastern
Caribbean along with 4-6 ft seas. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent across the NW Caribbean.
Otherwise, heavy showers and tstms are ongoing offshore Costa Rica
near the E Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the weekend, with
the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh tradewinds are expected across the
remainder of forecast waters through Sun night, pulsing to
strong in the Gulf of Honduras Sat and Sun night. Large E swell
with rough seas will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters
tonight through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects to
a 1013 mb low near 31N85W. A broad area of scattered showers and
tstms prevails across the W Atlantic mainly W of 63W. The
remainder of the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
broad ridge anchored by high pressure located well N of the
discussion waters. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 8-10
ft prevail from the coast of W Africa to just pass the Cape Verde
Islands from 05N to 23N. Over the remainder tropical waters winds
are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and seas are moderate to
rough. Between 55W and the Bahamas, winds are moderate to fresh
from the E to SE and seas moderate. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary off NE Florida
will lift north of the area by Thu morning. A weak cold front
will move off the NE Florida coast on Thu, extending from 31N50W
to 25N72W Fri morning, from 31N72W to 26N65W on Sat morning, then
E of the area Sun. Fresh to strong S winds are expected N of 27N
ahead of the front.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 13 May 2026 16:01:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131601
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed May 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1545 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 39W from 03N to 14N, moving
westward at 10 kt. The wave is devoid of significant deep
convection at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 17N17W and continues SW to 07N24W. The ITCZ extends
from 07N24W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
within 200 nm on either side of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects
to a 1012 mb low near 28N84W, then a cold front extends from the
low to 24N86W. A stationary front continues from that point to
20N90W. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are in the NW semicircle
of the low from the Florida Big Bend to offshore SE Louisiana.
Gentle to moderate northerlies are across the Bay of Campeche
while light to gentle winds prevail elsewhere as high pressure
starts to build in the wake of the fronts. Seas are slight basin-
wide, except moderate to 5 ft in the NW of the low where the
strongest winds are ongoing.
For the forecast, the front is forecast to exit the SE Gulf
tonight. High pressure and quiescent conditions will build behind
the front today and Thu. Another weak cold front is forecast to
enter the NE Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
Southeast winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds
over the western half of the basin this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong
trade winds and 5-8 ft seas across the south-central to southwest
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are noted across the remainder of the central and eastern
Caribbean along with 4-6 ft seas. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent across the NW Caribbean.
Otherwise, heavy showers and tstms are ongoing offshore Costa Rica
near the E Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the weekend, with
the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh tradewinds are expected across the
remainder of forecast waters through Sun night, pulsing to
strong in the Gulf of Honduras Sat and Sun night. Large E swell
with rough seas will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters
tonight through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends across northern Florida and connects to
a 1013 mb low near 31N85W. A broad area of scattered showers and
tstms prevails across the W Atlantic mainly W of 63W. The
remainder of the subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a
broad ridge anchored by high pressure located well N of the
discussion waters. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 8-10
ft prevail from the coast of W Africa to just pass the Cape Verde
Islands from 05N to 23N. Over the remainder tropical waters winds
are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and seas are moderate to
rough. Between 55W and the Bahamas, winds are moderate to fresh
from the E to SE and seas moderate. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the frontal boundary off NE Florida
will lift north of the area by Thu morning. A weak cold front
will move off the NE Florida coast on Thu, extending from 31N50W
to 25N72W Fri morning, from 31N72W to 26N65W on Sat morning, then
E of the area Sun. Fresh to strong S winds are expected N of 27N
ahead of the front.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 13 May 2026 19:38:19 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf