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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 23:36:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 082336
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Nov 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 995 mb low pressure is centered
near 28N54W this afternoon, moving E-NE at 15 kt. A warm front
extends from 28N40W to 29.5N56W. Recent satellite scatterometer
data showed gale force NE to E winds occurring within 180 nm north
of the warm front, where buoy and altimeter data indicated seas of
10 to 14 ft in mixed NE swell. Across the south and eastern flanks
of the low, a broad zone of strong to gale force SW to S winds
from 18N to 28N between 46W and 57W. Buoy and altimeter data
suggest that seas in this gale area are 10 to 17 ft in mixed NE
and SW swell. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is occurring mostly to east of this deep-layered low pressure
system, from 25N to 31N between 38W and 52W. The low will move
east-northeastward, and accelerate, moving east of 35W by tue
night. An area of strong to gale- force winds, and rough to very
rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, will prevail north of the low,
impacting the waters mainly north of about 28N and east of 60W
through this evening. The broad zone of strong to gale force SW
winds occurring with the low this afternoon will shift in synch
with the low through Tue, generating very rough to high seas to
around 20 ft before exiting the forecast area.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic waters near 09.5N13.5W to
06N19W. The ITCZ extends from 05.5N22W to 03.5N48W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 04N to 06.5N east of 35W and from
03.5N to 10N between 35W and 53W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is located from the Florida Keys to near 22N90W
then continues as an ill-defined dying stationary front
northwestward to near 24N96W. Gentle N to NE winds prevail across
the basin east of 87W where seas are slight. Ridging extending
from the south-central U.S. and across the northern Gulf is
promoting moderate to fresh NE to E winds across the basin between
87W and the frontal boundary, producing seas of 3 to 6 ft, highest
across the Texas coastal waters. A surface trough along the NE
Mexico coastline north of 22N and extending inland into S Texas is
promoting scattered moderate convection north of 23N west of 94W.
For the forecast, the frontal boundary is expected to dissipate
by late Mon. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail north of the
weakening boundary. High pressure will then build across the
area, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. The next cold
front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu and rapidly shift across
the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area Fri. The front will be
followed by fresh to strong winds and building seas to 9 ft.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Due to the gale-force low northeast of the Caribbean, the pressure
gradient across forecast waters remains weak, promoting only
gentle to moderate NE to E winds across northwest sections and seas
1of 2-4 ft. A surface trough extends from 12N79W to 18N75W with
scattered moderate occurring from 16N-18N between 72W-79W.
Another surface trough is along about 68W. E of this feature
gentle to moderate SE to S winds are bringing tropical moisture
into the basin, and converging to the SE of another surface trough
across the NE Caribbean and into the Atlantic, where scattered to
numerous moderate isolated strong convection is occurring over
the Leeward Islands adjacent waters from 15N to 19N between
59W and 66W. Seas are 2 to 4 ft in this area, with moderate NE
swell moving through the eastern Caribbean Passages. Light winds
and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will continue across
the basin and result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along
with slight to moderate seas, through Mon. Winds will strengthen
over the central Caribbean by Tuesday and then prevail through the
week. A cold front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri, followed by
moderate to fresh winds and building seas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning. To the southeast of the SW gales associated with the low
center, a trough extends from the NE Caribbean near 17.5N65W
northeastward to 23N51W. The broad zone of SW to S gales prevail
between this trough and the low center. Along and within 150 nm S
of the trough, scattered moderate isolated strong convection
prevails. Fresh to locally strong SW to W winds generally prevail
across this area N of 17N between 43W and 60W. Seas are 6 to 10 ft
there in N-NE swell. To the W of the low, a weak cold front
extends from Bermuda to the Florida Keys, and has become nearly
stationary across the Bahamas and Keys.
Gentle to moderate N to NE winds and seas of 5 to 9 ft in E swell
cover these waters. SE of the front winds are light and variable,
with NE swell from the gale center producing seas of 6 to 10 ft.
Aside from the gale-force low center, a stationary front begins
at 28N40W to 21N33W, where it transitions to a cold front to
31N14W. NW winds are fresh to strong with seas 8-14 ft north of
26N east of 30W. Additionally, large N swell continues north of
25N between 30W-45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
from 23N to 27N between 20W and 30W. Elsewhere winds are moderate
or weaker with seas 3-7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the large gale-force low that has
impacted the regional waters the past several days has shifted
east 55W. Gale-force winds NW of the low impacting the waters N
of 29N and E of 60W will shift east of the area by tonight. Strong
to near gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas near 15
ft, cover the remainder of the waters east of 60W. These winds and
seas will decrease from west to east through midweek as the low
shifts further E of the forecast waters. Elsewhere, a cold front
extends from 31N66W to the NW Bahamas then stationary to the
Florida Keys. The stationary portion of the front will dissipate
by Mon while the cold front will move eastward over the waters N
of 25N through the middle of the week. Another, stronger, cold
front will enter the NW waters the end of the week, ushering in
fresh to strong winds and building seas.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 23:36:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 082336
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Nov 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 995 mb low pressure is centered
near 28N54W this afternoon, moving E-NE at 15 kt. A warm front
extends from 28N40W to 29.5N56W. Recent satellite scatterometer
data showed gale force NE to E winds occurring within 180 nm north
of the warm front, where buoy and altimeter data indicated seas of
10 to 14 ft in mixed NE swell. Across the south and eastern flanks
of the low, a broad zone of strong to gale force SW to S winds
from 18N to 28N between 46W and 57W. Buoy and altimeter data
suggest that seas in this gale area are 10 to 17 ft in mixed NE
and SW swell. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is occurring mostly to east of this deep-layered low pressure
system, from 25N to 31N between 38W and 52W. The low will move
east-northeastward, and accelerate, moving east of 35W by tue
night. An area of strong to gale- force winds, and rough to very
rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, will prevail north of the low,
impacting the waters mainly north of about 28N and east of 60W
through this evening. The broad zone of strong to gale force SW
winds occurring with the low this afternoon will shift in synch
with the low through Tue, generating very rough to high seas to
around 20 ft before exiting the forecast area.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic waters near 09.5N13.5W to
06N19W. The ITCZ extends from 05.5N22W to 03.5N48W. Scattered
moderate convection is from 04N to 06.5N east of 35W and from
03.5N to 10N between 35W and 53W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is located from the Florida Keys to near 22N90W
then continues as an ill-defined dying stationary front
northwestward to near 24N96W. Gentle N to NE winds prevail across
the basin east of 87W where seas are slight. Ridging extending
from the south-central U.S. and across the northern Gulf is
promoting moderate to fresh NE to E winds across the basin between
87W and the frontal boundary, producing seas of 3 to 6 ft, highest
across the Texas coastal waters. A surface trough along the NE
Mexico coastline north of 22N and extending inland into S Texas is
promoting scattered moderate convection north of 23N west of 94W.
For the forecast, the frontal boundary is expected to dissipate
by late Mon. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail north of the
weakening boundary. High pressure will then build across the
area, with winds diminishing to gentle to moderate. The next cold
front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu and rapidly shift across
the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area Fri. The front will be
followed by fresh to strong winds and building seas to 9 ft.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Due to the gale-force low northeast of the Caribbean, the pressure
gradient across forecast waters remains weak, promoting only
gentle to moderate NE to E winds across northwest sections and seas
1of 2-4 ft. A surface trough extends from 12N79W to 18N75W with
scattered moderate occurring from 16N-18N between 72W-79W.
Another surface trough is along about 68W. E of this feature
gentle to moderate SE to S winds are bringing tropical moisture
into the basin, and converging to the SE of another surface trough
across the NE Caribbean and into the Atlantic, where scattered to
numerous moderate isolated strong convection is occurring over
the Leeward Islands adjacent waters from 15N to 19N between
59W and 66W. Seas are 2 to 4 ft in this area, with moderate NE
swell moving through the eastern Caribbean Passages. Light winds
and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will continue across
the basin and result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along
with slight to moderate seas, through Mon. Winds will strengthen
over the central Caribbean by Tuesday and then prevail through the
week. A cold front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri, followed by
moderate to fresh winds and building seas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning. To the southeast of the SW gales associated with the low
center, a trough extends from the NE Caribbean near 17.5N65W
northeastward to 23N51W. The broad zone of SW to S gales prevail
between this trough and the low center. Along and within 150 nm S
of the trough, scattered moderate isolated strong convection
prevails. Fresh to locally strong SW to W winds generally prevail
across this area N of 17N between 43W and 60W. Seas are 6 to 10 ft
there in N-NE swell. To the W of the low, a weak cold front
extends from Bermuda to the Florida Keys, and has become nearly
stationary across the Bahamas and Keys.
Gentle to moderate N to NE winds and seas of 5 to 9 ft in E swell
cover these waters. SE of the front winds are light and variable,
with NE swell from the gale center producing seas of 6 to 10 ft.
Aside from the gale-force low center, a stationary front begins
at 28N40W to 21N33W, where it transitions to a cold front to
31N14W. NW winds are fresh to strong with seas 8-14 ft north of
26N east of 30W. Additionally, large N swell continues north of
25N between 30W-45W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
from 23N to 27N between 20W and 30W. Elsewhere winds are moderate
or weaker with seas 3-7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the large gale-force low that has
impacted the regional waters the past several days has shifted
east 55W. Gale-force winds NW of the low impacting the waters N
of 29N and E of 60W will shift east of the area by tonight. Strong
to near gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas near 15
ft, cover the remainder of the waters east of 60W. These winds and
seas will decrease from west to east through midweek as the low
shifts further E of the forecast waters. Elsewhere, a cold front
extends from 31N66W to the NW Bahamas then stationary to the
Florida Keys. The stationary portion of the front will dissipate
by Mon while the cold front will move eastward over the waters N
of 25N through the middle of the week. Another, stronger, cold
front will enter the NW waters the end of the week, ushering in
fresh to strong winds and building seas.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 10 Nov 2026 11:17:53 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 09 Nov 2026 03:23:01 GMT - Sun, 08 Nov 2026 23:17:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 082317
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sun Nov 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 16:15:20 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
464
NOUS42 KNHC 081615
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EST SUN 08 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-161
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf