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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 11 Sep 2026 16:57:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111657
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Sep 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W, south of 21N, moving
    westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are seen W of the
    wave axis to near 40W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 75W, south of 21N and extends
    southward into central Colombia, moving westward at 15-20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is seen over the waters SE of
    Jamaica to near the wave axis.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 82W, south of 21N, moving
    westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted along
    the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W, and continues southwestward to 10N42W.
    The ITCZ extends from 10N42W to the coast of Guyana near 08N59W.
    Aside from convection associated with the tropical wave, scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 07N-12N west of 46W.

    The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
    across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate and isolated
    strong convection is occurring S of 11N and W of 79W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Broad upper-level troughing and convergent surface winds over and
    across much of the northern Gulf support numerous moderate
    convection from Fort Myers, FL to South Padre Island, TX
    northward. Outside of convection, gentle to moderate winds and
    slight seas prevail across the Gulf.

    For the forecast, NE to E winds will pulse to fresh each night off the
    W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal trough moving toward the SW
    Gulf. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker for the next
    several days due to the influence of weak high pressure centered
    over the N Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong trades with seas 6-8 ft are occurring over the
    central Caribbean between 67W-80W. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean, while gentle to
    moderate trades and slight seas prevail elsewhere. No additional
    convection is occurring over the Caribbean beyond that described
    in the tropical waves and monsoon trough/ITCZ sections.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient from ridging north of the
    area to the Colombian Low will continue to force strong to
    locally near-gale trades over the central Caribbean for the next
    several days. From tonight through Mon night, trades over the Gulf
    of Honduras will increase to fresh to locally strong. Elsewhere,
    winds will be moderate or weaker.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A dissipating stationary front extends from 31N43W to 26N53W to
    30N60W, with a frontal remnant trough then extending to 31N71W.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring within 100 NM south of
    these features. The pressure- gradient between the 1020 mb
    Bermuda-Azores High and lower pressure at the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough is forcing moderate to fresh trades with seas of 4-7 ft
    south of 22N. The exception is the fresh to locally strong NE
    winds with seas of 5-8 ft near the NW Africa coast north of 20N
    and the Canary Islands, as well as a region N of the ITCZ to 15N and
    W of 50W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas 3-5
    ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, trades north of Hispaniola
    including the approach to the Windward Passage will be fresh to
    locally strong through early next week. Elsewhere, the Bermuda-
    Azores High situated along 30N should support only moderate or
    weaker winds across the remaining forecast waters for the next
    several days.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 11 Sep 2026 16:57:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111657
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Sep 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W, south of 21N, moving
    westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are seen W of the
    wave axis to near 40W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 75W, south of 21N and extends
    southward into central Colombia, moving westward at 15-20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is seen over the waters SE of
    Jamaica to near the wave axis.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 82W, south of 21N, moving
    westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted along
    the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W, and continues southwestward to 10N42W.
    The ITCZ extends from 10N42W to the coast of Guyana near 08N59W.
    Aside from convection associated with the tropical wave, scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 07N-12N west of 46W.

    The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
    across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate and isolated
    strong convection is occurring S of 11N and W of 79W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Broad upper-level troughing and convergent surface winds over and
    across much of the northern Gulf support numerous moderate
    convection from Fort Myers, FL to South Padre Island, TX
    northward. Outside of convection, gentle to moderate winds and
    slight seas prevail across the Gulf.

    For the forecast, NE to E winds will pulse to fresh each night off the
    W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal trough moving toward the SW
    Gulf. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker for the next
    several days due to the influence of weak high pressure centered
    over the N Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong trades with seas 6-8 ft are occurring over the
    central Caribbean between 67W-80W. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean, while gentle to
    moderate trades and slight seas prevail elsewhere. No additional
    convection is occurring over the Caribbean beyond that described
    in the tropical waves and monsoon trough/ITCZ sections.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient from ridging north of the
    area to the Colombian Low will continue to force strong to
    locally near-gale trades over the central Caribbean for the next
    several days. From tonight through Mon night, trades over the Gulf
    of Honduras will increase to fresh to locally strong. Elsewhere,
    winds will be moderate or weaker.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A dissipating stationary front extends from 31N43W to 26N53W to
    30N60W, with a frontal remnant trough then extending to 31N71W.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring within 100 NM south of
    these features. The pressure- gradient between the 1020 mb
    Bermuda-Azores High and lower pressure at the ITCZ and monsoon
    trough is forcing moderate to fresh trades with seas of 4-7 ft
    south of 22N. The exception is the fresh to locally strong NE
    winds with seas of 5-8 ft near the NW Africa coast north of 20N
    and the Canary Islands, as well as a region N of the ITCZ to 15N and
    W of 50W. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with seas 3-5
    ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, trades north of Hispaniola
    including the approach to the Windward Passage will be fresh to
    locally strong through early next week. Elsewhere, the Bermuda-
    Azores High situated along 30N should support only moderate or
    weaker winds across the remaining forecast waters for the next
    several days.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 13 Sep 2026 05:04:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 11 Sep 2026 19:39:53 GMT
  • Fri, 11 Sep 2026 17:04:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 111704
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 11 Sep 2026 13:25:15 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 111325
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0930 AM EDT FRI 11 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-103

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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