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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 10:57:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301057
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Oct 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1045 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea Bissau near 11N16W and continues southward to 08N25W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 07N40W, where it is broken by
    a surface trough. The ITCZ then resumes at 07N45W to 08N61W.
    Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the trough
    between 19W-21W and within 30 nm south of the trough between
    25W-31W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A tight pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern
    United States, low pressure over the Bahamas and a trough over
    the central Gulf that extends southeastward across the northern
    Yucatan Peninsula is supporting moderate to fresh northeast to
    east winds across the northeast and north-central Gulf. Moderate
    seas to around 7 ft are with these winds. Moderate, or weaker
    winds are elsewhere as noted in overnight Ascat scatterometer
    data passes.

    For the forecast, the moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
    over the northeast and north-central Gulf waters will be supported
    by the gradient in place into early next week. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh southeast to south winds over much of the northwest
    Gulf by Tue night between high pressure over the western Atlantic
    and a cold front that will be moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A frontal boundary along with a couple of troughs that are over the
    western Atlantic generally maintain a weak pressure gradient over
    the Caribbean waters west of about 76W, thus leading to light to
    gentle winds and slight seas there. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas are elsewhere. A trough analyzed from just east of
    Jamaica to just inland Colombia near 09N74W is supporting an area of
    scattered showers and thunderstorms over the waters from 15N to 19N
    between 72W and 77W. Similar activity is seen from 09N to 14N
    between 78W and 80W.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades over the central and
    eastern Caribbean will continue through Mon night, then diminish
    to light to gentle. The exception is in the south-central
    Caribbean and in the Gulf of Venezuela, where fresh to strong
    trades will begin Fri night and continue into Sun morning. Light
    to gentle breezes are forecast elsewhere into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from low pressure of 1012 mb near 32.5N25W,
    south-southwestward to a warm front near 27N28W, and it connects to
    a 1013 mb low pressure near 27N30W. A cold front extends from the
    low pressure to 25N35W and to 27N46W, then becomes a stationary
    front to 29N55W. It transitions to a warm front to 31N60W, to a 1011
    mb low pressure near 31N69W. A cold front extends from the low
    pressure to 28N75W, then becomes a stationary front to near South
    Florida. A trough extends from near 30N67W to 23N68W. Overnight
    Ascat scatterometer data passes depicted fresh to strong northeast
    to east winds north of the frontal boundary west of about 58W.
    Recent altimeter satellite data and buoy observations show seas of 9
    to 11 ft with these winds. Fresh to strong northeast winds are also
    north of the frontal boundary portion east of 58W, with seas of 9 to
    10 ft.

    In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh northeast winds are present
    from 15N to 22N between the coast of Africa and 21W, and from
    14N to 18N between 21W and 25W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these
    winds. Moderate to fresh trades are south of 20N west of 50W,
    and from 10N to 19N between 35W and 50W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft with
    these trades. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere as seen in the
    overnight Ascat scatterometer data passes. Seas are 3 to 4 ft with
    the light to gentle winds, except less than 3 ft southwest of the
    Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong northeast to east
    winds along with rough seas to around 11 ft will persist north of
    the front into next week as the low pressure moves northeastward
    past Bermuda, and the reinforced cold front moves southeastward
    and stalls near, or along 24N.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 10:57:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301057
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Oct 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1045 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea Bissau near 11N16W and continues southward to 08N25W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 07N40W, where it is broken by
    a surface trough. The ITCZ then resumes at 07N45W to 08N61W.
    Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm south of the trough
    between 19W-21W and within 30 nm south of the trough between
    25W-31W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A tight pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern
    United States, low pressure over the Bahamas and a trough over
    the central Gulf that extends southeastward across the northern
    Yucatan Peninsula is supporting moderate to fresh northeast to
    east winds across the northeast and north-central Gulf. Moderate
    seas to around 7 ft are with these winds. Moderate, or weaker
    winds are elsewhere as noted in overnight Ascat scatterometer
    data passes.

    For the forecast, the moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
    over the northeast and north-central Gulf waters will be supported
    by the gradient in place into early next week. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh southeast to south winds over much of the northwest
    Gulf by Tue night between high pressure over the western Atlantic
    and a cold front that will be moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A frontal boundary along with a couple of troughs that are over the
    western Atlantic generally maintain a weak pressure gradient over
    the Caribbean waters west of about 76W, thus leading to light to
    gentle winds and slight seas there. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas are elsewhere. A trough analyzed from just east of
    Jamaica to just inland Colombia near 09N74W is supporting an area of
    scattered showers and thunderstorms over the waters from 15N to 19N
    between 72W and 77W. Similar activity is seen from 09N to 14N
    between 78W and 80W.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades over the central and
    eastern Caribbean will continue through Mon night, then diminish
    to light to gentle. The exception is in the south-central
    Caribbean and in the Gulf of Venezuela, where fresh to strong
    trades will begin Fri night and continue into Sun morning. Light
    to gentle breezes are forecast elsewhere into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from low pressure of 1012 mb near 32.5N25W,
    south-southwestward to a warm front near 27N28W, and it connects to
    a 1013 mb low pressure near 27N30W. A cold front extends from the
    low pressure to 25N35W and to 27N46W, then becomes a stationary
    front to 29N55W. It transitions to a warm front to 31N60W, to a 1011
    mb low pressure near 31N69W. A cold front extends from the low
    pressure to 28N75W, then becomes a stationary front to near South
    Florida. A trough extends from near 30N67W to 23N68W. Overnight
    Ascat scatterometer data passes depicted fresh to strong northeast
    to east winds north of the frontal boundary west of about 58W.
    Recent altimeter satellite data and buoy observations show seas of 9
    to 11 ft with these winds. Fresh to strong northeast winds are also
    north of the frontal boundary portion east of 58W, with seas of 9 to
    10 ft.

    In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh northeast winds are present
    from 15N to 22N between the coast of Africa and 21W, and from
    14N to 18N between 21W and 25W. Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these
    winds. Moderate to fresh trades are south of 20N west of 50W,
    and from 10N to 19N between 35W and 50W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft with
    these trades. Light to gentle winds are elsewhere as seen in the
    overnight Ascat scatterometer data passes. Seas are 3 to 4 ft with
    the light to gentle winds, except less than 3 ft southwest of the
    Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong northeast to east
    winds along with rough seas to around 11 ft will persist north of
    the front into next week as the low pressure moves northeastward
    past Bermuda, and the reinforced cold front moves southeastward
    and stalls near, or along 24N.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 31 Oct 2026 23:18:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 30 Oct 2026 13:24:49 GMT
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 11:18:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    869
    ABNT20 KNHC 301118
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Oct 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 13:00:04 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 301259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT FRI 30 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 31/1100Z OCTOBER TO 01/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-152

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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