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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 20:33:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
922
AXNT20 KNHC 162033
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Sep 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 26W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 19N between
23W and 31W.
The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W, south
of 22N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is noted from 14N to 20N between 58W and 66W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W to 09N37W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N37W to 09N60W. Aside from convection noted in
the tropical waves section above, Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 07N to 10N between 41W and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Fresh to locally strong winds, and moderate seas, prevail in the
NE Gulf. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and slight seas, are
noted.
For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds and
moderate to rough seas over the NE Gulf will spread westward over
the remainder of the northern Gulf waters through late Thu night.
Winds will diminish Fri into Sat, leading to moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas during the weekend. Meanwhile, a
rather broad mid to upper-level trough will move toward Florida
from the western Atlantic Thu through Fri as it transitions to low
pressure. This feature will lead to increasing shower and
thunderstorm activity over the eastern and central Gulf waters.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The moderate pressure gradient between ridging north of the area
along with lower pressure over Colombia-Venezuela is supporting
fresh to locally strong trades over the S central Caribbean.
Moderate to locally rough seas are over these waters. Moderate to
fresh winds, and moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 80W. W of
80W, gentle to locally moderate winds, and slight to moderate
seas, prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
over the western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in South
America will generally maintain fresh to locally near gale-force
trades along with moderate to locally rough seas over most of the
central Caribbean through the end of the week. Otherwise, moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will continue across the
eastern Caribbean through the weekend as winds diminish and seas
subside elsewhere across the basin as the pressures gradient
relaxes. A tropical wave currently in the eastern Caribbean will
reach the western Caribbean during the upcoming weekend expected
to be accompanied with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from near Bermuda west-southwestward to
the N Bahamas. Fresh to locally strong winds, and moderate to
locally rough seas, prevail N of the front. Light to
gentle winds, and slight seas, are SE of the front N of 22N and W
of 55W. Fresh to strong winds, and moderate seas, are noted near
the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between
high pressure over the southeastern U.S. and a stationary front
that extends from just east of Bermuda to the NW Bahamas will
maintain mostly fresh northeast winds and moderate seas W of the
front through Thu. Conditions will improve late Thu into Fri as
high pressure becomes the dominate feature across the basin into
the weekend. Meanwhile, a broad mid to upper-level trough located
just east of the southeastern Bahamas in combination with a very
moist and unstable environment will continue to support scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the forecast
waters through the next few days as the trough gradually
transitions to low pressure that will be moving in a west to
northwest direction.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 20:33:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
922
AXNT20 KNHC 162033
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Sep 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 26W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to 19N between
23W and 31W.
The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W, south
of 22N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is noted from 14N to 20N between 58W and 66W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W to 09N37W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N37W to 09N60W. Aside from convection noted in
the tropical waves section above, Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 07N to 10N between 41W and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Fresh to locally strong winds, and moderate seas, prevail in the
NE Gulf. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and slight seas, are
noted.
For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds and
moderate to rough seas over the NE Gulf will spread westward over
the remainder of the northern Gulf waters through late Thu night.
Winds will diminish Fri into Sat, leading to moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas during the weekend. Meanwhile, a
rather broad mid to upper-level trough will move toward Florida
from the western Atlantic Thu through Fri as it transitions to low
pressure. This feature will lead to increasing shower and
thunderstorm activity over the eastern and central Gulf waters.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The moderate pressure gradient between ridging north of the area
along with lower pressure over Colombia-Venezuela is supporting
fresh to locally strong trades over the S central Caribbean.
Moderate to locally rough seas are over these waters. Moderate to
fresh winds, and moderate seas, are elsewhere east of 80W. W of
80W, gentle to locally moderate winds, and slight to moderate
seas, prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
over the western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in South
America will generally maintain fresh to locally near gale-force
trades along with moderate to locally rough seas over most of the
central Caribbean through the end of the week. Otherwise, moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will continue across the
eastern Caribbean through the weekend as winds diminish and seas
subside elsewhere across the basin as the pressures gradient
relaxes. A tropical wave currently in the eastern Caribbean will
reach the western Caribbean during the upcoming weekend expected
to be accompanied with scattered showers and thunderstorms.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from near Bermuda west-southwestward to
the N Bahamas. Fresh to locally strong winds, and moderate to
locally rough seas, prevail N of the front. Light to
gentle winds, and slight seas, are SE of the front N of 22N and W
of 55W. Fresh to strong winds, and moderate seas, are noted near
the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between
high pressure over the southeastern U.S. and a stationary front
that extends from just east of Bermuda to the NW Bahamas will
maintain mostly fresh northeast winds and moderate seas W of the
front through Thu. Conditions will improve late Thu into Fri as
high pressure becomes the dominate feature across the basin into
the weekend. Meanwhile, a broad mid to upper-level trough located
just east of the southeastern Bahamas in combination with a very
moist and unstable environment will continue to support scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the forecast
waters through the next few days as the trough gradually
transitions to low pressure that will be moving in a west to
northwest direction.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 18 Sep 2026 05:57:51 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 16 Sep 2026 21:06:13 GMT - Wed, 16 Sep 2026 17:57:51 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 161757
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL98):
A small area of low pressure located several hundred miles east of
Bermuda has become better defined over the last 24 hours.
Environmental conditions could become a little more conducive for
further development in the next few days while the system moves
slowly westward to southward over the subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gallina/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 16 Sep 2026 13:13:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 161313
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 16 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-108
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf