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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 07 Nov 2026 10:15:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    239
    AXNT20 KNHC 071015
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1002 mb low pressure area,
    Invest AL94, is located near 25.5N62.5W. This non-tropical low
    pressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of
    Bermuda is producing disorganized heavy showers and thunderstorms
    N of 20N between 46W-61W. The low could still acquire some
    subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level
    winds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally
    eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during
    the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical
    low pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-
    force winds are over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic
    and will continue through the weekend.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
    weather outlook at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and extends SW
    to 10N20W where it transitions to ITCZ, which then continues to
    07N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 01N to
    14N between 22W and 43W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from from St Petersburg to the NW Gulf. A
    reinforcing cold front extends from 30N84W to 28N87W. Moderate
    NNE winds follow the fronts. Moderate NE winds are also over the
    Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Slight seas to 3 ft are basin-
    wide.

    For the forecast, the front will slowly shift across the basin
    into early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind
    the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Invest6 AL94, south of Bermuda and E of the Bahamas, continue to
    disrupt the trade wind flow across the Caribbean basin. Also, a
    broad low of 1008 mb prevail over the Nicaragua offshore waters,
    which is supporting scattered showers and isolated tstms over the
    Honduras and Belize offshores. Similar convective activity is over
    the E Caribbean E of a surface trough that extends across E
    Puerto Rico to 15N67W. A weak pressure gradient over the region
    due to the aforementioned features is supporting moderate or
    weaker winds and slight seas to 3 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
    the central Caribbean by Tuesday.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
    AL94.

    Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N28W to
    26N44W, then it stalls to 28N52W. A warm front continues from that
    point to 30N62W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is ahead
    of the cold front to 18W. Strong to near gale- force SW winds are
    ahead of the front while fresh to strong NNW winds follow it.
    Rough seas of 8 to 12 ft are N of 23N between 25W and 50W. South
    of Invest AL94, winds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending
    south to 20N between 50W and 68W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, Invest AL94 will drift slowly east-
    northeastward. A second low may develop east of this low today.
    The lows will merge over the eastern waters late in the weekend,
    then shift east of the area by early next week. An area of strong
    to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16
    ft, will prevail north of the lows, impacting the waters mainly
    north of about 27N and east of 65W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
    weakening cold front has entered the waters between Florida and
    75W. The front will dissipate by Sun.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 07 Nov 2026 10:15:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    239
    AXNT20 KNHC 071015
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1002 mb low pressure area,
    Invest AL94, is located near 25.5N62.5W. This non-tropical low
    pressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of
    Bermuda is producing disorganized heavy showers and thunderstorms
    N of 20N between 46W-61W. The low could still acquire some
    subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level
    winds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally
    eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during
    the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical
    low pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-
    force winds are over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic
    and will continue through the weekend.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
    weather outlook at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and extends SW
    to 10N20W where it transitions to ITCZ, which then continues to
    07N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 01N to
    14N between 22W and 43W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from from St Petersburg to the NW Gulf. A
    reinforcing cold front extends from 30N84W to 28N87W. Moderate
    NNE winds follow the fronts. Moderate NE winds are also over the
    Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Slight seas to 3 ft are basin-
    wide.

    For the forecast, the front will slowly shift across the basin
    into early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind
    the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Invest6 AL94, south of Bermuda and E of the Bahamas, continue to
    disrupt the trade wind flow across the Caribbean basin. Also, a
    broad low of 1008 mb prevail over the Nicaragua offshore waters,
    which is supporting scattered showers and isolated tstms over the
    Honduras and Belize offshores. Similar convective activity is over
    the E Caribbean E of a surface trough that extends across E
    Puerto Rico to 15N67W. A weak pressure gradient over the region
    due to the aforementioned features is supporting moderate or
    weaker winds and slight seas to 3 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
    the central Caribbean by Tuesday.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
    AL94.

    Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N28W to
    26N44W, then it stalls to 28N52W. A warm front continues from that
    point to 30N62W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is ahead
    of the cold front to 18W. Strong to near gale- force SW winds are
    ahead of the front while fresh to strong NNW winds follow it.
    Rough seas of 8 to 12 ft are N of 23N between 25W and 50W. South
    of Invest AL94, winds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending
    south to 20N between 50W and 68W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, Invest AL94 will drift slowly east-
    northeastward. A second low may develop east of this low today.
    The lows will merge over the eastern waters late in the weekend,
    then shift east of the area by early next week. An area of strong
    to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16
    ft, will prevail north of the lows, impacting the waters mainly
    north of about 27N and east of 65W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
    weakening cold front has entered the waters between Florida and
    75W. The front will dissipate by Sun.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:16:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    871
    NOUS42 KNHC 061616
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1120 AM EST FRI 06 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-159

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
    THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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