2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 19 Jan 2026 20:38:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192038
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jan 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2040 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between 1034 mb
    high pressure SW of the Azores and the Colombian low is supporting
    fresh to near gale-force NE to E winds offshore Colombia. These
    two features will remain in place through the middle of the week,
    before the high pressure weakens and shifts eastward. Drainage
    flow at night will enhance winds off Colombia to gale force
    tonight, Tue night and Wed night. Rough to locally very rough seas
    are forecast with these winds. Please read the latest High Seas
    Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras and northern
    Central America: Periods of significant heavy rainfall are
    expected through mid-week as abundant tropical moisture interacts
    with a stationary front extending from eastern Cuba to the Gulf
    of Honduras. Fresh to strong winds will persist over the NW
    Caribbean in the wake of the front. This will result in the
    continuation of heavy rainfall Tue through early Wed in the Gulf
    of Honduras and northern Honduras, where totals in excess of 12
    inches will be likely. Please consult products from your local
    meteorological services for additional information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
    03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to 03S38W. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 01S to 08N east
    of 26W, and from 05S to 00N between 26W and 36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. Moderate to locally
    fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail SE of a line from central
    Florida to near Veracruz, Mexico. Mainly gentle to moderate
    winds, and seas of 3-6 ft prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong northerly winds and
    rough seas across the SE and SW Gulf, including the Yucatan
    Channel, will diminish tonight. However, strengthening high
    pressure over the SE of the United States will bring fresh to
    locally strong NE winds and building seas, mainly over the eastern
    Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, late tonight through Wed.
    Looking ahead, the next cold front is slated to enter the NW Gulf
    Fri night followed by fresh to strong winds and building seas.
    Gale conditions are possible over the west- central waters,
    including the Tampico area by Sat night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
    Rainfall in the NW Caribbean through midweek, as well as a gale
    warning offshore Colombia.

    A stationary front extends from central Cuba to the Gulf of
    Honduras. A tight pressure gradient behind the front is
    supporting fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough seas W
    of the front. Fresh to strong winds prevail off Colombia, where
    seas are in the 8-10 ft range. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds,
    and seas of 4-7 ft are noted.

    For the forecast, frequent gusts to gale force are forecast at
    night and early morning hours offshore Colombia through Thu. A
    stationary front extending from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of
    Honduras will gradually dissipate on Tue. Fresh to strong N to NE
    winds and rough seas will persist over the NW Caribbean W of the
    front. By late Tue, strengthening high pressure over the SE of the
    United States will reinforce the northerly winds over the NW
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Honduras. These marine conditions
    will improve by Wed. In addition, the NE winds will continue to
    transport abundant tropical moisture into northern Honduras
    supporting periods of heavy rainfall through mid-week. Looking
    ahead, an area of moisture, currently located over the central
    Atlantic, will reach the Leeward Islands on Wed, and Puerto Rico
    on Thu increasing the potential for showers and isolated
    thunderstorms.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near Bermuda to central Cuba. Scattered
    showers are in the vicinity of the front. Moderate to fresh winds,
    and seas of 5-7 ft are found W of the front. The remainder of the
    basin is dominated by high pressure. Fresh to strong winds, and
    seas of 7-12 ft prevail E of 60W, with moderate winds and seas of
    6-8 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure will
    continue to promote fresh to strong NE to E winds east of 65W
    through Thu. A cold front extends from near Bermuda to 26N73W
    where it transitions to a stationary front. This feature will
    stall from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Tue, then lift N
    while dissipating on Wed. High pressure building over the SE of
    the United States will reinforce the NE winds to fresh to strong
    speeds over the western Atlantic, in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    and the Straits of Florida through Wed.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 19 Jan 2026 20:38:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192038
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jan 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2040 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between 1034 mb
    high pressure SW of the Azores and the Colombian low is supporting
    fresh to near gale-force NE to E winds offshore Colombia. These
    two features will remain in place through the middle of the week,
    before the high pressure weakens and shifts eastward. Drainage
    flow at night will enhance winds off Colombia to gale force
    tonight, Tue night and Wed night. Rough to locally very rough seas
    are forecast with these winds. Please read the latest High Seas
    Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras and northern
    Central America: Periods of significant heavy rainfall are
    expected through mid-week as abundant tropical moisture interacts
    with a stationary front extending from eastern Cuba to the Gulf
    of Honduras. Fresh to strong winds will persist over the NW
    Caribbean in the wake of the front. This will result in the
    continuation of heavy rainfall Tue through early Wed in the Gulf
    of Honduras and northern Honduras, where totals in excess of 12
    inches will be likely. Please consult products from your local
    meteorological services for additional information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
    03N21W. The ITCZ extends from 03N21W to 03S38W. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 01S to 08N east
    of 26W, and from 05S to 00N between 26W and 36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. Moderate to locally
    fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail SE of a line from central
    Florida to near Veracruz, Mexico. Mainly gentle to moderate
    winds, and seas of 3-6 ft prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong northerly winds and
    rough seas across the SE and SW Gulf, including the Yucatan
    Channel, will diminish tonight. However, strengthening high
    pressure over the SE of the United States will bring fresh to
    locally strong NE winds and building seas, mainly over the eastern
    Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, late tonight through Wed.
    Looking ahead, the next cold front is slated to enter the NW Gulf
    Fri night followed by fresh to strong winds and building seas.
    Gale conditions are possible over the west- central waters,
    including the Tampico area by Sat night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
    Rainfall in the NW Caribbean through midweek, as well as a gale
    warning offshore Colombia.

    A stationary front extends from central Cuba to the Gulf of
    Honduras. A tight pressure gradient behind the front is
    supporting fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough seas W
    of the front. Fresh to strong winds prevail off Colombia, where
    seas are in the 8-10 ft range. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds,
    and seas of 4-7 ft are noted.

    For the forecast, frequent gusts to gale force are forecast at
    night and early morning hours offshore Colombia through Thu. A
    stationary front extending from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of
    Honduras will gradually dissipate on Tue. Fresh to strong N to NE
    winds and rough seas will persist over the NW Caribbean W of the
    front. By late Tue, strengthening high pressure over the SE of the
    United States will reinforce the northerly winds over the NW
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Honduras. These marine conditions
    will improve by Wed. In addition, the NE winds will continue to
    transport abundant tropical moisture into northern Honduras
    supporting periods of heavy rainfall through mid-week. Looking
    ahead, an area of moisture, currently located over the central
    Atlantic, will reach the Leeward Islands on Wed, and Puerto Rico
    on Thu increasing the potential for showers and isolated
    thunderstorms.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near Bermuda to central Cuba. Scattered
    showers are in the vicinity of the front. Moderate to fresh winds,
    and seas of 5-7 ft are found W of the front. The remainder of the
    basin is dominated by high pressure. Fresh to strong winds, and
    seas of 7-12 ft prevail E of 60W, with moderate winds and seas of
    6-8 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure will
    continue to promote fresh to strong NE to E winds east of 65W
    through Thu. A cold front extends from near Bermuda to 26N73W
    where it transitions to a stationary front. This feature will
    stall from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Tue, then lift N
    while dissipating on Wed. High pressure building over the SE of
    the United States will reinforce the NE winds to fresh to strong
    speeds over the western Atlantic, in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    and the Straits of Florida through Wed.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 19 Jan 2026 17:13:14 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 191710
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1210 PM EST MON 19 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-050

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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