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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 16:57:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 061653
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1650 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is added to the 1200 UTC Unified Surface Analysis
along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is
noted from 08N to 11N between 15W and 21W, and from 11N to 14N
between 19W and 22W.
A second tropical wave is along 38W S of 20N, and moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
between 34W and 40W.
A third tropical wave is along 51W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to 20
kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
time.
A tropical wave is along northern Central America with axis along
89W. Please, see the TWDEP for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 10N36W. The ITCZ
extends from 09N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W. Aside
from the convection associated with the tropical waves, limited
convective activity is noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1027 mb located near Bermuda extends a ridge
westward across Florida into the Gulf region while a surface
trough is analyzed over the central Bay of Campeche. Under this
weather pattern, a light to gentle anticyclonic flow prevail,
with the exception of gentle to moderate E to SE winds on the
east side of the aforementioned trough. Slight to moderate seas
are noted, with the highest seas in the Bay of Campeche. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms continue to develop over parts of
Florida, the Straits of Florida and the SE Gulf as an upper-level
low remains over the eastern Gulf.
For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
across most of the Gulf through late Mon, supporting gentle to
moderate E to SE winds N of 22N along with slight seas. Pulses of
fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
into the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates
from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
are forecast for this portion of the basin through Mon night. In
addition, a surface trough currently located over the western
Atlantic and the Turks and Caicos Islands will continue to move
across the Bahamas today and tonight before reaching Florida on
Friday, leading to increased shower activity.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. In terms of shower
activity, a surface trough starting to move across the Turks and
Caicos Islands combined with an upper-level low spinning between
Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and tstms in the
Windward Passage as well as in the vicinity of Jamaica and the
Cayman Islands. The east extension of the E Pacific monsoon trough
is supporting similar convective activity offshore NW Colombia
and eastern Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
and portions of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend,
the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building
to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind
speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage through the forecast period, except over the weekend when
winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to
fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
As is typical for this time of the year, three tropical waves are
moving between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
About 60 tropical waves develop over North Africa each year.
A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
from 28N69W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering the waters
from 23N to 29N between 67W and 75W. Fresh to locally strong
winds are on either side of the trough axis between 25N and 28N
with seas of 8 to 10 ft based on scatterometer and altimeter data.
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the
influence of high pressure, with the main center of 1027 mb
situated near Bermuda. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa supports fresh
to strong N to NE winds offshore Morocco and Western Sahara,
including the Canary Islands with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
Moderate to fresh NE winds are seen per scatterometer data ahead
of the tropical wave located near 51W. Elsewhere gentle to moderate
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low NE of Freeport
will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
offshore E Florida and in the Great Bahama Bank through early this
evening. A westward moving surface trough over the central and
southern Bahamas offshores, will resume the shower activity across
the Florida seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting
west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
Sun night into Mon as the Bermuda High shifts southward.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 16:57:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 061653
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1650 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is added to the 1200 UTC Unified Surface Analysis
along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous moderate convection is
noted from 08N to 11N between 15W and 21W, and from 11N to 14N
between 19W and 22W.
A second tropical wave is along 38W S of 20N, and moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
between 34W and 40W.
A third tropical wave is along 51W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to 20
kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
time.
A tropical wave is along northern Central America with axis along
89W. Please, see the TWDEP for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 10N36W. The ITCZ
extends from 09N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W. Aside
from the convection associated with the tropical waves, limited
convective activity is noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1027 mb located near Bermuda extends a ridge
westward across Florida into the Gulf region while a surface
trough is analyzed over the central Bay of Campeche. Under this
weather pattern, a light to gentle anticyclonic flow prevail,
with the exception of gentle to moderate E to SE winds on the
east side of the aforementioned trough. Slight to moderate seas
are noted, with the highest seas in the Bay of Campeche. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms continue to develop over parts of
Florida, the Straits of Florida and the SE Gulf as an upper-level
low remains over the eastern Gulf.
For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will dominate
across most of the Gulf through late Mon, supporting gentle to
moderate E to SE winds N of 22N along with slight seas. Pulses of
fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and
into the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates
from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
are forecast for this portion of the basin through Mon night. In
addition, a surface trough currently located over the western
Atlantic and the Turks and Caicos Islands will continue to move
across the Bahamas today and tonight before reaching Florida on
Friday, leading to increased shower activity.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. In terms of shower
activity, a surface trough starting to move across the Turks and
Caicos Islands combined with an upper-level low spinning between
Haiti and Jamaica is supporting scattered showers and tstms in the
Windward Passage as well as in the vicinity of Jamaica and the
Cayman Islands. The east extension of the E Pacific monsoon trough
is supporting similar convective activity offshore NW Colombia
and eastern Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
and portions of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend,
the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to
gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building
to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind
speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage through the forecast period, except over the weekend when
winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to
fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
As is typical for this time of the year, three tropical waves are
moving between the west coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
About 60 tropical waves develop over North Africa each year.
A surface trough is analyzed over the western Atlantic, and runs
from 28N69W to the Turks and Caicos Islands. Numerous showers and
thunderstorms are associated with this trough covering the waters
from 23N to 29N between 67W and 75W. Fresh to locally strong
winds are on either side of the trough axis between 25N and 28N
with seas of 8 to 10 ft based on scatterometer and altimeter data.
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters is under the
influence of high pressure, with the main center of 1027 mb
situated near Bermuda. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa supports fresh
to strong N to NE winds offshore Morocco and Western Sahara,
including the Canary Islands with seas in the 6 to 8 ft range.
Moderate to fresh NE winds are seen per scatterometer data ahead
of the tropical wave located near 51W. Elsewhere gentle to moderate
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, an upper-level low NE of Freeport
will continue to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
offshore E Florida and in the Great Bahama Bank through early this
evening. A westward moving surface trough over the central and
southern Bahamas offshores, will resume the shower activity across
the Florida seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting
west of the area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower
activity, the surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong
winds and rough seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight.
Fresh E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches
of the Windward Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds
Sun night into Mon as the Bermuda High shifts southward.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 05:14:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 06 Aug 2026 20:27:52 GMT - Thu, 06 Aug 2026 17:14:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 061714
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 14:15:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
369
NOUS42 KNHC 061415
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT THU 06 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-067
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf