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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 02:46:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060246
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 31W S of 17N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt.
Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 38W and S of 18N, moving W at
10 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 48W south of 19N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
southern half of the wave S of 10N.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 79W, south of 19N, moving W at
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is active from 11N to
20N between 78W and 86W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W to 10N20W.
Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N21W to 08N30W, from 05N32W to
07N38W, from 07N39W to 08N47W, and from 08N49W to 08N58W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted within 240 nm on either
side of the ITCZ and W of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1016 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
26N88W. A surface trough extends across the Yucatan Peninsula into
the Yucatan Channel. Another trough extends from the western
Florida Panhandle to south of Apalachicola, Florida. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are active near these troughs across
the eastern Gulf and over the Yucatan Channel. Moderate to fresh
NW winds are possible off the western coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Gentle to moderate breezes are evident elsewhere. Seas
are 1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, surface ridging is forecast to prevail across
the basin through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for
locally fresh to strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula
at night. Locally moderate or weaker winds are forecast for the
eastern half of the Gulf while mainly slight seas are forecast
basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela as well as
the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted
elsewhere. Seas are 5-8 ft over the eastern and central
Caribbean, and 3-5 ft elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest
Caribbean. A mid to upper level trough extends from the western
Atlantic across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua.
Upper level divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade
wind flow is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms across
much of the northwest Caribbean between Honduras and Jamaica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the weekend. The aerial extent
of these winds will increase tonight into Mon as the Atlantic
ridge continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to strong
winds are expected to extend across most of the east, central and
SW Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at night
offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from tonight
through Fri. Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW
part of the basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to
locally strong E to SE winds are forecast at night through the
forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of
20N, and is anchored by 1026 mb high pressure centered near
29N39W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring along a surface
trough analyzed from 31N53W to 29N72W. The pattern is supporting
gentle to moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the
ridge axis, and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft
seas east and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will stay in place
through the forecast period, developing a center of high pressure
E of the Bahamas by Fri. This pattern will continue to support
moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 23N, and moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds, with moderate to
rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including
approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 02:46:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060246
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 31W S of 17N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt.
Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 38W and S of 18N, moving W at
10 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 48W south of 19N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
southern half of the wave S of 10N.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 79W, south of 19N, moving W at
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is active from 11N to
20N between 78W and 86W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W to 10N20W.
Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N21W to 08N30W, from 05N32W to
07N38W, from 07N39W to 08N47W, and from 08N49W to 08N58W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted within 240 nm on either
side of the ITCZ and W of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1016 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
26N88W. A surface trough extends across the Yucatan Peninsula into
the Yucatan Channel. Another trough extends from the western
Florida Panhandle to south of Apalachicola, Florida. Isolated
showers and thunderstorms are active near these troughs across
the eastern Gulf and over the Yucatan Channel. Moderate to fresh
NW winds are possible off the western coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Gentle to moderate breezes are evident elsewhere. Seas
are 1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, surface ridging is forecast to prevail across
the basin through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for
locally fresh to strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula
at night. Locally moderate or weaker winds are forecast for the
eastern half of the Gulf while mainly slight seas are forecast
basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela as well as
the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted
elsewhere. Seas are 5-8 ft over the eastern and central
Caribbean, and 3-5 ft elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest
Caribbean. A mid to upper level trough extends from the western
Atlantic across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua.
Upper level divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade
wind flow is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms across
much of the northwest Caribbean between Honduras and Jamaica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the weekend. The aerial extent
of these winds will increase tonight into Mon as the Atlantic
ridge continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to strong
winds are expected to extend across most of the east, central and
SW Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at night
offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from tonight
through Fri. Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW
part of the basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to
locally strong E to SE winds are forecast at night through the
forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of
20N, and is anchored by 1026 mb high pressure centered near
29N39W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring along a surface
trough analyzed from 31N53W to 29N72W. The pattern is supporting
gentle to moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the
ridge axis, and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft
seas east and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will stay in place
through the forecast period, developing a center of high pressure
E of the Bahamas by Fri. This pattern will continue to support
moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 23N, and moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds, with moderate to
rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including
approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 17:06:50 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 06 Jul 2026 08:00:06 GMT - Mon, 06 Jul 2026 05:06:50 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 060506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 13:19:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051319
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0920 AM EDT SUN 05 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-035
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf