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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 22:02:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
917
AXNT20 KNHC 022202
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from coastal Senegal near
13N16W to 10N29W. The ITCZ starts at 10N29W and extends to 09N56W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
05N-12N east of 22W. Isolated moderate convection is noted between
07N-13N between 28W-62W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong Bermuda High to the northeast of the Gulf is forcing
fresh to strong E winds in the NE Gulf along with seas of 5-8 ft.
Elsewhere across the Gulf has moderate or weaker winds with seas
2-4 ft. Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the SE Gulf
south of 25N east of 84W.
For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. is
combining with a surface trough across the SE Gulf to maintain
fresh to strong NE to E winds and moderate to locally rough seas
across the NE Gulf. These conditions will gradually shift
northward and inland through Tue evening. A cold front will reach
along the Texas coast late Tue afternoon, and move out over the NW
Gulf Tue night through Wed, followed briefly by moderate to fresh
NW to N winds. The front will then weaken and dissipate Wed
night. A new cold front will move slowly into the NW Gulf waters
Fri through Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A stationary front north of the Caribbean has diminished the
north-south pressure gradient, causing only gentle to moderate
trades this afternoon. Seas are 4-7 ft over the SW and S central
Caribbean and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring south of 15N and west of 78W in association with the
eastward extension of the Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail across the central and eastern Caribbean this afternoon
and will persist through Tue. The pressure gradient across the
region will then relax Tue night through Sat as broad low pressure
forms along the trough to the SW of Bermuda and shifts E-NE
throughout the week, leading to overall weaker winds and
diminishing seas across the Caribbean basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N37W to 27N45W, where it becomes a
stationary front to 25N67W, where that transitions to a shear
line to 25N77W. The winds are E fresh to strong with seas 8-11 ft
north of the boundary. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
from 20N-28N between 60W-68W and near Florida from 25N-28N west of
78W. Remainder of Atlantic waters has winds moderate or weaker
with seas 5-7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure across the
eastern U.S. is building eastward across the Atlantic waters north
of the frontal boundary. The resulting pressure gradient will
maintain widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
to 11 ft north of the trough and west of 60W through Tue. Broad
low pressure is expected to develop along the trough, SW of
Bermuda between 27N and 28N, Tue night through Wed, and track
slowly E-NE throughout the week. A broad zone of strong to near
gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking around 15
ft, will develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward Wed
through Fri, impacting the waters mainly N of about 27N. Gale-
force winds are likely N of 29N Wed evening through Thu evening. A
weak cold front will slowly move across the waters between
Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night.
$$
Landsea/Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 22:02:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
917
AXNT20 KNHC 022202
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from coastal Senegal near
13N16W to 10N29W. The ITCZ starts at 10N29W and extends to 09N56W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
05N-12N east of 22W. Isolated moderate convection is noted between
07N-13N between 28W-62W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong Bermuda High to the northeast of the Gulf is forcing
fresh to strong E winds in the NE Gulf along with seas of 5-8 ft.
Elsewhere across the Gulf has moderate or weaker winds with seas
2-4 ft. Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the SE Gulf
south of 25N east of 84W.
For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. is
combining with a surface trough across the SE Gulf to maintain
fresh to strong NE to E winds and moderate to locally rough seas
across the NE Gulf. These conditions will gradually shift
northward and inland through Tue evening. A cold front will reach
along the Texas coast late Tue afternoon, and move out over the NW
Gulf Tue night through Wed, followed briefly by moderate to fresh
NW to N winds. The front will then weaken and dissipate Wed
night. A new cold front will move slowly into the NW Gulf waters
Fri through Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A stationary front north of the Caribbean has diminished the
north-south pressure gradient, causing only gentle to moderate
trades this afternoon. Seas are 4-7 ft over the SW and S central
Caribbean and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring south of 15N and west of 78W in association with the
eastward extension of the Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail across the central and eastern Caribbean this afternoon
and will persist through Tue. The pressure gradient across the
region will then relax Tue night through Sat as broad low pressure
forms along the trough to the SW of Bermuda and shifts E-NE
throughout the week, leading to overall weaker winds and
diminishing seas across the Caribbean basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N37W to 27N45W, where it becomes a
stationary front to 25N67W, where that transitions to a shear
line to 25N77W. The winds are E fresh to strong with seas 8-11 ft
north of the boundary. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
from 20N-28N between 60W-68W and near Florida from 25N-28N west of
78W. Remainder of Atlantic waters has winds moderate or weaker
with seas 5-7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure across the
eastern U.S. is building eastward across the Atlantic waters north
of the frontal boundary. The resulting pressure gradient will
maintain widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
to 11 ft north of the trough and west of 60W through Tue. Broad
low pressure is expected to develop along the trough, SW of
Bermuda between 27N and 28N, Tue night through Wed, and track
slowly E-NE throughout the week. A broad zone of strong to near
gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking around 15
ft, will develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward Wed
through Fri, impacting the waters mainly N of about 27N. Gale-
force winds are likely N of 29N Wed evening through Thu evening. A
weak cold front will slowly move across the waters between
Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night.
$$
Landsea/Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 05:07:51 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 22:02:54 GMT - Mon, 02 Nov 2026 17:07:51 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 021707
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is likely to form along a weakening frontal
boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a couple of
days. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics
late this week while it drifts over the western Atlantic. The
chances of subtropical development should end by the weekend when
the system is expected to move eastward or northeastward into
unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:20:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021620
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST MON 02 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-155
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf