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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 20:39:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132039
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 21/22W
S of 15N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 37W from
02N to 16N, moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant
convection is currently occurring with this wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 54W south of
19N. It is moving westward near 15 kt. No significant convection
is currently occurring with this wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 80/81W south
of 18N, moving westward at 10 kt. Most convection with this wave
is in the eastern North Pacific waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12.5N17W and
continues southwestward to 07N26W. The ITCZ extends from 07N26W
to 05N34W. It resumes from 04N38W to 00N49W. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 08N between
02W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A persistent broad area of low pressure present is over the
southwestern Gulf just offshore Mexico. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted within 240 nm NE of the low. A
1019 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. The pressure gradient
between these features is supporting fresh to strong winds NE of
the low. Light winds are in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 6-8 ft
range over the western Gulf, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the area of low
pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will support fresh to
strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas, accompanied by
scattered showers and thunderstorms, through Sun night. The
Atlantic ridge will build westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu,
and in combination with lower pressure over South Texas and
northeastern Mexico will promote fresh to strong southerly winds
over the western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the
eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 7-10 ft, prevail over the
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas, are
over the remainder of the Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, a ridge will prevail N of the area through Sun
to support a large area of fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean. Expect
highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing winds to
fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly through Thu. The ridge north of the area will reorganize
Sun night through Mon then shift slowly NE through midweek,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails across the discussion waters, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 25N58W and another 1026 mb high
centered near 31N30W. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of
the high centers. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere N of 20N.
Moderate to fresh winds prevail S of 20N. Seas are in the 5-7 ft
range S of 20N, and 3-5 ft N of 20N.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the area will
generally remain in place through Sun. The ridge will reorganize
Sun night and Mon, then shift slowly NE Tue through Wed. This
pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a
gentle anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds
will briefly develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W
late Sun into Sun night, as a weak frontal system moves through
the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through
late evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 20:39:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132039
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 21/22W
S of 15N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 37W from
02N to 16N, moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant
convection is currently occurring with this wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 54W south of
19N. It is moving westward near 15 kt. No significant convection
is currently occurring with this wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 80/81W south
of 18N, moving westward at 10 kt. Most convection with this wave
is in the eastern North Pacific waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12.5N17W and
continues southwestward to 07N26W. The ITCZ extends from 07N26W
to 05N34W. It resumes from 04N38W to 00N49W. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 08N between
02W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A persistent broad area of low pressure present is over the
southwestern Gulf just offshore Mexico. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is noted within 240 nm NE of the low. A
1019 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. The pressure gradient
between these features is supporting fresh to strong winds NE of
the low. Light winds are in the vicinity of the high center.
Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 6-8 ft
range over the western Gulf, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the area of low
pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will support fresh to
strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas, accompanied by
scattered showers and thunderstorms, through Sun night. The
Atlantic ridge will build westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu,
and in combination with lower pressure over South Texas and
northeastern Mexico will promote fresh to strong southerly winds
over the western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the
eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 7-10 ft, prevail over the
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas, are
over the remainder of the Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, a ridge will prevail N of the area through Sun
to support a large area of fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean. Expect
highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing winds to
fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly through Thu. The ridge north of the area will reorganize
Sun night through Mon then shift slowly NE through midweek,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails across the discussion waters, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 25N58W and another 1026 mb high
centered near 31N30W. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity of
the high centers. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere N of 20N.
Moderate to fresh winds prevail S of 20N. Seas are in the 5-7 ft
range S of 20N, and 3-5 ft N of 20N.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure over the area will
generally remain in place through Sun. The ridge will reorganize
Sun night and Mon, then shift slowly NE Tue through Wed. This
pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a
gentle anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds
will briefly develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W
late Sun into Sun night, as a weak frontal system moves through
the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through
late evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and
Hispaniola.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 11:23:34 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 14 Jun 2026 00:39:36 GMT - Sat, 13 Jun 2026 23:23:34 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 132323
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Southwestern Gulf of America:
A broad area of low pressure just offshore of eastern Mexico
is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Significant development is not anticipated before the low moves
inland over eastern Mexico during the next twelve hours. The
system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America on
Tuesday or Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but
conditions there are expected to be only marginally conducive for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 13:50:52 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
158
NOUS42 KNHC 131350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT SAT 13 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-013
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf