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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 10 Jul 2026 21:09:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 102109
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
    Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
    America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
    trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
    Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
    gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
    tonight and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak to around
    14 ft off Colombia Sat night.

    Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W, south
    of 16N. It is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are seen near the wave axis.

    The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 82W south of 19N
    into the eastern north Pacific, moving westward at about 15-20
    kt. Active convection is along the wave axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W. The
    ITCZ continues from 08N28W to 09N53W. Scattered moderate and
    isolated strong convection is from 06N to 11N between 16W and 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
    western and northern Gulf. A relatively weak pressure gradient
    over the area is supporting gentle to locally moderate winds,
    along with slight seas, across the region.

    For the forecast, ridging will dominate into next week,
    supporting mainly gentle SE winds. Fresh E winds will pulse
    offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
    gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
    low is supporting strong winds over the central Caribbean,
    reaching near gale force off Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades
    and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
    high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
    support strong trades over the central Caribbean through next
    week. Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela tonight and Sat night. Trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will pulse to strong each evening through early next
    week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 31N53W to 30N60W. Scattered showers
    are in the vicinity of the trough. Moderate winds, and seas of 4-6
    ft, are N of the trough. Farther east, a cold front enters the
    waters near 31N18W and extends to 28N32W to 30N36W. Gentle to
    moderate winds are N of the front. High pressure dominates the
    remainder of the waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1024 mb high near
    28N38W, and a 1024 mb high near 26N64W. Light to gentle winds are
    in the vicinity of the high. Moderate to fresh winds are noted
    elsewhere. Seas are moderate or less across the discussion waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
    dominant through the period, supporting moderate to fresh trades S
    of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds
    are expected each N offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward
    Passage. An upper-level low pressure will move W from the Bahamas
    and Florida through the weekend, bringing thunderstorms with
    locally strong winds and frequent lightning.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 10 Jul 2026 21:09:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 102109
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
    Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
    America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
    trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
    Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
    gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
    tonight and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak to around
    14 ft off Colombia Sat night.

    Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W, south
    of 16N. It is moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are seen near the wave axis.

    The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is near 82W south of 19N
    into the eastern north Pacific, moving westward at about 15-20
    kt. Active convection is along the wave axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W. The
    ITCZ continues from 08N28W to 09N53W. Scattered moderate and
    isolated strong convection is from 06N to 11N between 16W and 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
    western and northern Gulf. A relatively weak pressure gradient
    over the area is supporting gentle to locally moderate winds,
    along with slight seas, across the region.

    For the forecast, ridging will dominate into next week,
    supporting mainly gentle SE winds. Fresh E winds will pulse
    offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
    gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
    low is supporting strong winds over the central Caribbean,
    reaching near gale force off Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades
    and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
    high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
    support strong trades over the central Caribbean through next
    week. Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela tonight and Sat night. Trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will pulse to strong each evening through early next
    week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 31N53W to 30N60W. Scattered showers
    are in the vicinity of the trough. Moderate winds, and seas of 4-6
    ft, are N of the trough. Farther east, a cold front enters the
    waters near 31N18W and extends to 28N32W to 30N36W. Gentle to
    moderate winds are N of the front. High pressure dominates the
    remainder of the waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1024 mb high near
    28N38W, and a 1024 mb high near 26N64W. Light to gentle winds are
    in the vicinity of the high. Moderate to fresh winds are noted
    elsewhere. Seas are moderate or less across the discussion waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
    dominant through the period, supporting moderate to fresh trades S
    of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds
    are expected each N offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward
    Passage. An upper-level low pressure will move W from the Bahamas
    and Florida through the weekend, bringing thunderstorms with
    locally strong winds and frequent lightning.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 12 Jul 2026 11:05:07 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 10 Jul 2026 23:29:49 GMT
  • Fri, 10 Jul 2026 23:05:07 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    881
    ABNT20 KNHC 102305
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 10 Jul 2026 13:05:32 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101305
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0905 AM EDT FRI 10 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-040

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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