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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:22:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 080622
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1003 mb low pressure area is
    located near 27N59W, moving east-northeastward near 7 kt. This
    non-tropical low pressure area is located 405 nm southeast of
    Bermuda, and continues to produce scattered to numerous heavy
    showers and thunderstorms over the E semicircle of the low, from
    20N to 31N between 35W and 59W. The low is forecast to move
    generally east-northeastward over the central subtropical Atlantic
    during the next couple of days. Recent satellite scatterometer
    data showed a broad band of near-gale to gale force NE to E winds
    of 30 to 40 kt occurring in the NE quadrant within 240 nm of the
    low center. Recent altimeter and buoy data shows seas of 08 to 17
    ft occurring within the area of gales and convection. Gale-force
    winds and very rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to
    continue to the north of this low center as it moves over parts of
    the central subtropical Atlantic through Sun.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and extends SW
    to 09N18W. The ITCZ extends from 09N18W to 05N35W to 05N53W.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N to 11N
    between 11W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from south Florida to 23N88W where it stalls
    to 23N95W to the southern Texas coastal waters. Gentle to moderate
    NE to E winds are ongoing E of 90W while moderate to fresh ESE
    winds are W of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the Bay of
    Campeche. Seas are 1 to 4 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, the front will slowly shift southward across
    the remainder of the basin into early next week. Moderate to fresh
    winds will prevail behind the front. High pressure will build in
    the wake of the front, with winds diminishing to gentle to
    moderate speeds. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf
    next Thursday, followed by fresh winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient due to the low in the Special Features is
    supporting moderate or weaker winds and 3 to 4 ft seas basin-wide.
    Otherwise, a line of scattered heavy showers and tstms is moving
    across the NE Caribbean associated with the tail of a surface
    trough extending NE to the central subtropical Atlantic waters.
    Scattered showers prevail offshore E Honduras and NE Nicaragua
    due to a lingering surface trough.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
    the central Caribbean by Tuesday.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    Aside from the low in Special Features, a cold front extends from
    31N17W to 25W30W where it stalls to 26N40W and then transitions to
    a warm front that continues to 29N52W. Scattered heavy showers are
    ahead of the front N of 20N to the NW coast of Africa. Strong to
    near gale-force SW winds are ahead of the front where seas are 8
    to 12 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds follow the front E of
    35W, where seas are 11 to 15 ft. South of the Special Features
    low, winds are fresh to strong to 20N between 45W and 62W, and
    seas are rough to 12 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres in the Special Features
    will continue to move east-northeastward through midweek. An area
    of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
    peaking near 17 ft, will prevail north of the low, impacting the
    waters mainly north of about 27N and east of 60W through late Sun.
    Elsewhere, a weakening cold front over the NW waters will
    dissipate Sun.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 06:22:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 080622
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Nov 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1003 mb low pressure area is
    located near 27N59W, moving east-northeastward near 7 kt. This
    non-tropical low pressure area is located 405 nm southeast of
    Bermuda, and continues to produce scattered to numerous heavy
    showers and thunderstorms over the E semicircle of the low, from
    20N to 31N between 35W and 59W. The low is forecast to move
    generally east-northeastward over the central subtropical Atlantic
    during the next couple of days. Recent satellite scatterometer
    data showed a broad band of near-gale to gale force NE to E winds
    of 30 to 40 kt occurring in the NE quadrant within 240 nm of the
    low center. Recent altimeter and buoy data shows seas of 08 to 17
    ft occurring within the area of gales and convection. Gale-force
    winds and very rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to
    continue to the north of this low center as it moves over parts of
    the central subtropical Atlantic through Sun.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and extends SW
    to 09N18W. The ITCZ extends from 09N18W to 05N35W to 05N53W.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 02N to 11N
    between 11W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from south Florida to 23N88W where it stalls
    to 23N95W to the southern Texas coastal waters. Gentle to moderate
    NE to E winds are ongoing E of 90W while moderate to fresh ESE
    winds are W of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the Bay of
    Campeche. Seas are 1 to 4 ft basin-wide.

    For the forecast, the front will slowly shift southward across
    the remainder of the basin into early next week. Moderate to fresh
    winds will prevail behind the front. High pressure will build in
    the wake of the front, with winds diminishing to gentle to
    moderate speeds. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf
    next Thursday, followed by fresh winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient due to the low in the Special Features is
    supporting moderate or weaker winds and 3 to 4 ft seas basin-wide.
    Otherwise, a line of scattered heavy showers and tstms is moving
    across the NE Caribbean associated with the tail of a surface
    trough extending NE to the central subtropical Atlantic waters.
    Scattered showers prevail offshore E Honduras and NE Nicaragua
    due to a lingering surface trough.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
    result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
    moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
    the central Caribbean by Tuesday.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning.

    Aside from the low in Special Features, a cold front extends from
    31N17W to 25W30W where it stalls to 26N40W and then transitions to
    a warm front that continues to 29N52W. Scattered heavy showers are
    ahead of the front N of 20N to the NW coast of Africa. Strong to
    near gale-force SW winds are ahead of the front where seas are 8
    to 12 ft, while fresh to strong NNW winds follow the front E of
    35W, where seas are 11 to 15 ft. South of the Special Features
    low, winds are fresh to strong to 20N between 45W and 62W, and
    seas are rough to 12 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres in the Special Features
    will continue to move east-northeastward through midweek. An area
    of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
    peaking near 17 ft, will prevail north of the low, impacting the
    waters mainly north of about 27N and east of 60W through late Sun.
    Elsewhere, a weakening cold front over the NW waters will
    dissipate Sun.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:16:44 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 08 Nov 2026 08:33:17 GMT
  • Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:16:44 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 080516
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Sun Nov 8 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:25:37 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    333
    NOUS42 KNHC 071625
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1125 AM EST SAT 07 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-160

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
    THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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