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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 05 Jan 2026 05:37:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
441
AXNT20 KNHC 050537
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jan 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
Leone near Freetown, then reaches west-southwestward to 06N16W.
An ITCZ continues from 06N16W across 04N30W to 04N45W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is seen near these
features from 03N to 07N between 10W and 28W, including the coast
of Liberia.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is causing
scattered showers across the Caribbean waters near eastern Panama
and northwestern Colombia.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weakening stationary front meanders westward from near the
Florida Keys to the central Gulf, then transitions into a
surface trough across the west-central Gulf. Patchy showers are
seen near and up to 50 nm south of the front. Two surface trough
are triggering widely scattered showers over the north-central
and northeastern Gulf. North of the front/trough, gentle to
moderate ENE to SE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft are present. South
of the front/trough, a 1019 mb high at the southwestern Gulf is
providing light to gentle winds with 1 to 2 ft seas.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh S to SE winds
and moderate seas are expected over the western Gulf through
midweek as the aforementioned high builds over the central basin
and drifts eastward. Moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
will prevail over the rest of the Gulf. Looking ahead, fresh to
locally strong S winds and widespread moderate seas will develop
west of 90W by Thu, as a complex low pressure system over the
central United States strengthens. A cold front associated with
this storm system is slated to enter the northern Gulf by next
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough curves northeastward from the southwest basin
through a 1012 mb low near Jamaica to beyond eastern Cuba. Widely
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring over
Jamaica, the Windward Passage and Hispaniola. Moderate to fresh N
to NE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present between Jamaica and
eastern Cuba. Gentle to moderate with locally fresh N to NE to E
winds with 3 to 5 ft seas dominate the southeastern and west-
central basin, including the eastern Gulf of Honduras. Light to
gentle winds and seas at 1 to 3 ft prevail for the rest of the
Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds are expected
from the north-central through western basin early this week as
high pressure over the Gulf of America moves eastward. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker trade winds and slight to moderate seas will
prevail over the rest of the basin through midweek. Fresh to
locally strong trade winds will develop over the south-central
basin by Tue evening, supporting locally rough seas near and to
the west of these winds. Looking ahead, widespread fresh trade
winds may develop over much of the basin late this week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front curves southwestward from the northeast of Bermuda
across 31N62W and the central Bahamas to the Florida Straits.
Widely scattered showers are noted near and up to 80 nm south of
this boundary. To the southeast, a surface trough meanders
southwestward from 28N65W across the Turks and Caicos Islands to
beyond eastern Cuba. Aided by divergent flows at the mid levels,
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is flaring up
near and east of this feature but south of the cold front, north
of 20N between 55W and the southeast Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in the Atlantic
Basin.
Moderate to fresh with locally strong SW to NW to NE winds with 6
to 9 ft seas are found near the cold front, north of 28N between
53W and 76W. To the west and southwest, gentle to moderate N to NE
winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft exist east of Florida and across the
northwest and central Bahamas. Moderate to locally fresh N to NE
winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft are noted near the southeast Bahamas.
Otherwise, a broad Atlantic Ridge is dominating waters north of
20N between 35W and 53W, and from 20N to 28N between 53W and 70W
with gentle to moderate E to SE to SW winds and 4 to 8 ft seas in
mixed moderate swells. For the tropical Atlantic from 05N to 20N
between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate with locally fresh
ENE to SE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas exist. Gentle to moderate E to
SE winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft prevail elsewhere in the Atlantic
Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
drift eastward early this week. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
winds and rough seas are expected east of the front, north of 29N,
through early Mon morning. Fresh to locally strong N to NE winds
and rough seas will occur in the wake of the front tonight, with
moderate to fresh N to NE winds and locally rough seas expanding
southeastward early this week as high pressure builds to the
north. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh S to SW winds may develop
offshore of northern Florida by midweek as a surface trough
develops to the north. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
are expected over the rest of the waters by late this week.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 05 Jan 2026 05:37:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
441
AXNT20 KNHC 050537
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jan 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Sierra
Leone near Freetown, then reaches west-southwestward to 06N16W.
An ITCZ continues from 06N16W across 04N30W to 04N45W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is seen near these
features from 03N to 07N between 10W and 28W, including the coast
of Liberia.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is causing
scattered showers across the Caribbean waters near eastern Panama
and northwestern Colombia.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weakening stationary front meanders westward from near the
Florida Keys to the central Gulf, then transitions into a
surface trough across the west-central Gulf. Patchy showers are
seen near and up to 50 nm south of the front. Two surface trough
are triggering widely scattered showers over the north-central
and northeastern Gulf. North of the front/trough, gentle to
moderate ENE to SE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft are present. South
of the front/trough, a 1019 mb high at the southwestern Gulf is
providing light to gentle winds with 1 to 2 ft seas.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh S to SE winds
and moderate seas are expected over the western Gulf through
midweek as the aforementioned high builds over the central basin
and drifts eastward. Moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
will prevail over the rest of the Gulf. Looking ahead, fresh to
locally strong S winds and widespread moderate seas will develop
west of 90W by Thu, as a complex low pressure system over the
central United States strengthens. A cold front associated with
this storm system is slated to enter the northern Gulf by next
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough curves northeastward from the southwest basin
through a 1012 mb low near Jamaica to beyond eastern Cuba. Widely
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring over
Jamaica, the Windward Passage and Hispaniola. Moderate to fresh N
to NE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present between Jamaica and
eastern Cuba. Gentle to moderate with locally fresh N to NE to E
winds with 3 to 5 ft seas dominate the southeastern and west-
central basin, including the eastern Gulf of Honduras. Light to
gentle winds and seas at 1 to 3 ft prevail for the rest of the
Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds are expected
from the north-central through western basin early this week as
high pressure over the Gulf of America moves eastward. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker trade winds and slight to moderate seas will
prevail over the rest of the basin through midweek. Fresh to
locally strong trade winds will develop over the south-central
basin by Tue evening, supporting locally rough seas near and to
the west of these winds. Looking ahead, widespread fresh trade
winds may develop over much of the basin late this week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front curves southwestward from the northeast of Bermuda
across 31N62W and the central Bahamas to the Florida Straits.
Widely scattered showers are noted near and up to 80 nm south of
this boundary. To the southeast, a surface trough meanders
southwestward from 28N65W across the Turks and Caicos Islands to
beyond eastern Cuba. Aided by divergent flows at the mid levels,
scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is flaring up
near and east of this feature but south of the cold front, north
of 20N between 55W and the southeast Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in the Atlantic
Basin.
Moderate to fresh with locally strong SW to NW to NE winds with 6
to 9 ft seas are found near the cold front, north of 28N between
53W and 76W. To the west and southwest, gentle to moderate N to NE
winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft exist east of Florida and across the
northwest and central Bahamas. Moderate to locally fresh N to NE
winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft are noted near the southeast Bahamas.
Otherwise, a broad Atlantic Ridge is dominating waters north of
20N between 35W and 53W, and from 20N to 28N between 53W and 70W
with gentle to moderate E to SE to SW winds and 4 to 8 ft seas in
mixed moderate swells. For the tropical Atlantic from 05N to 20N
between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate with locally fresh
ENE to SE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas exist. Gentle to moderate E to
SE winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft prevail elsewhere in the Atlantic
Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
drift eastward early this week. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
winds and rough seas are expected east of the front, north of 29N,
through early Mon morning. Fresh to locally strong N to NE winds
and rough seas will occur in the wake of the front tonight, with
moderate to fresh N to NE winds and locally rough seas expanding
southeastward early this week as high pressure builds to the
north. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh S to SW winds may develop
offshore of northern Florida by midweek as a surface trough
develops to the north. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
are expected over the rest of the waters by late this week.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 05 Jan 2026 06:20:16 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 04 Jan 2026 14:23:04 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041423
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0925 AM EST SUN 04 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-035
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf