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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2026 06:18:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050618
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 24W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N
    to 14N between 21W and 28W.

    A tropical wave is along 42W from 07N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is limited to the southern wave
    environment, from 05N to 08N between 38W and 44W.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 80W,
    extending southward from 19N, and moving west at 10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is active in the lee side of Cuba and in the
    Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N38W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
    waves, scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N between
    30W and 40W, and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the northern Gulf N of 26N and the
    SE basin. A surface trough move off the Yucatan to the Gulf of
    Campeche tonight, and is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds over the SW basin. Moderate SE winds is also present in the
    immediate offshores of E Mexico to near 94W. Seas basin-wide are
    1-4 ft. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are active over
    the SE Gulf S of 25N and E of 89W, and in the Bay of Campeche due
    to the surface trough.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight to moderate seas into the
    weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur west of the Yucatan
    Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along with
    moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 7-10 ft seas persist across the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean. In the NW basin, trade winds are moderate to fresh and
    seas slight to moderate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active SE of the Dominican Republic.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades, occasionally reaching near
    gale, and associated rough seas, over the central basin into the
    weekend. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers are active across the E Florida offshores,
    including the seaboard. Farther east, a surface trough extending
    from 27N61W to 20N63W is generating scattered showers and tstms
    from 21N to 27N between 56W and 66W. Surface ridging prevails
    elsewhere in the subtropical waters. In the far NE Atlantic,
    strong to near- gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
    evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas into Wed.
    Locally strong trades will continue pulsing offshore Hispaniola to
    near the Windward Passage. A westward moving trough will pass
    north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Wed and Wed night, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting west of the
    area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2026 06:18:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050618
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 24W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N
    to 14N between 21W and 28W.

    A tropical wave is along 42W from 07N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. Scattered moderate convection is limited to the southern wave
    environment, from 05N to 08N between 38W and 44W.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 80W,
    extending southward from 19N, and moving west at 10 kt. Scattered
    moderate convection is active in the lee side of Cuba and in the
    Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N38W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the tropical
    waves, scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N between
    30W and 40W, and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the northern Gulf N of 26N and the
    SE basin. A surface trough move off the Yucatan to the Gulf of
    Campeche tonight, and is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds over the SW basin. Moderate SE winds is also present in the
    immediate offshores of E Mexico to near 94W. Seas basin-wide are
    1-4 ft. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are active over
    the SE Gulf S of 25N and E of 89W, and in the Bay of Campeche due
    to the surface trough.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
    promoting gentle winds and slight to moderate seas into the
    weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur west of the Yucatan
    Peninsula each night, locally strong Wed night, along with
    moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 7-10 ft seas persist across the
    south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean. In the NW basin, trade winds are moderate to fresh and
    seas slight to moderate. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active SE of the Dominican Republic.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades, occasionally reaching near
    gale, and associated rough seas, over the central basin into the
    weekend. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
    of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers are active across the E Florida offshores,
    including the seaboard. Farther east, a surface trough extending
    from 27N61W to 20N63W is generating scattered showers and tstms
    from 21N to 27N between 56W and 66W. Surface ridging prevails
    elsewhere in the subtropical waters. In the far NE Atlantic,
    strong to near- gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
    evident off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary
    Islands. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas into Wed.
    Locally strong trades will continue pulsing offshore Hispaniola to
    near the Windward Passage. A westward moving trough will pass
    north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Wed and Wed night, then
    approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting west of the
    area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
    seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
    this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 06 Aug 2026 17:19:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 05 Aug 2026 09:40:08 GMT
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2026 05:19:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    544
    ABNT20 KNHC 050519
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 04 Aug 2026 13:40:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041340
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT TUE 04 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-065

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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