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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 23:12:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152311
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and the Colombian low will support pulsing NE
winds to gale-force across the waters N of Colombia each night through
Sat night. Rough seas will prevail with these winds. Otherwise, strong
to near-gale trade winds, and rough seas, will prevail across the
central Caribbean into early next week.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is E of the Cabo Verde Islands with axis along
21W and south of 16N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. A 1014 mb
low pressure is analyzed along the wave axis near 10N. An area of
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted within about 120
nm NW quadrant of the low center. The most recent scatterometer
data indicate the circulation of the low as well as and area of
fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas to the south
of the low center affecting the waters N of 05N between 16W and
21W. The convective activity associated with this tropical wave
have become a little better organized during the past 24 hours.
Some additional slow development is possible over the next couple
of days as the system moves generally west- northwestward. After
that, the system is expected to move into an environment that is
not conducive for additional development by the weekend.
Another tropical wave is along 28W, south of 18N, moving westward
at 15 kt. Convection is limited near the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to a 1014 mb low pressure near 10.5N21W to 08N36W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N36W to 06N55W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical wave along 21N, no significant
convection is evident.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1020 mb located over the central Gulf near 26N90W
dominates the basin producing gentle to moderate winds with the
exception of light winds over the NE Gulf, and moderate to fresh
Ne to E winds across the Straits of Florida. Seas are in general
3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft over the NE Gulf. A stationary front
over southern Texas is helping to induce numerous showers and
thunderstorms over eastern Texas and the far NW Gulf. Similar
convective activity is also occurring over the Yucatan Peninsula
and regional waters.
For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong winds will pulse offshore
the Yucatan Peninsula each night. Mainly gentle to moderate winds,
and slight to locally moderate seas, will prevail elsewhere.
Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is expected to form during the
weekend over the northeastern Gulf of America. Subsequent slow development
of this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over
the northeastern Gulf and or near the southeastern coast of the United
States by early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning is in effect for the south-central Caribbean offshore
of Colombia. Please, refer to the Special Features section for
more details.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombia
low continues to support fresh to strong winds over the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia. Altimeter
data provide observations of seas in the 8 to 10 ft range across
the area. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are noted in the eastern Caribbean and in the lee of Cuba.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
A diffluent pattern aloft combined with abundant tropical moisture
is generating a large area of showers and thunderstorms over the
NW Caribbean and the Yucatan Peninsula, particularly from 18N to
21N W of 82W. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas
are likely with this convective activity.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and the Colombian low will support pulsing NE
winds to gale-force across the waters N of Colombia each night
through Sat night. Otherwise, strong to near-gale trade winds,
and rough seas, will prevail across the central Caribbean into
early next week. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong
each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low pressure located N of area
near 35N52W to 30N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are related to the front. Moderate SW winds are S of the front
to about 28N. Farther E, a stationary from enter the forecast
region near 31N20W and continues SW to 25N26W and to near 24N40W.
Light to gentle winds follow the front. Mainly low clouds and a
few showers are likely associated with the frontal boundary. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is under the influence of
high pressure. Moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds are seen
N of 18N E of 20W, including the Canary Islands. Similar wind
speeds dominate the tropical Atlantic with moderate seas.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are present elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 23:12:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 152311
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and the Colombian low will support pulsing NE
winds to gale-force across the waters N of Colombia each night through
Sat night. Rough seas will prevail with these winds. Otherwise, strong
to near-gale trade winds, and rough seas, will prevail across the
central Caribbean into early next week.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is E of the Cabo Verde Islands with axis along
21W and south of 16N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. A 1014 mb
low pressure is analyzed along the wave axis near 10N. An area of
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted within about 120
nm NW quadrant of the low center. The most recent scatterometer
data indicate the circulation of the low as well as and area of
fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas to the south
of the low center affecting the waters N of 05N between 16W and
21W. The convective activity associated with this tropical wave
have become a little better organized during the past 24 hours.
Some additional slow development is possible over the next couple
of days as the system moves generally west- northwestward. After
that, the system is expected to move into an environment that is
not conducive for additional development by the weekend.
Another tropical wave is along 28W, south of 18N, moving westward
at 15 kt. Convection is limited near the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N16W and continues
southwestward to a 1014 mb low pressure near 10.5N21W to 08N36W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N36W to 06N55W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical wave along 21N, no significant
convection is evident.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1020 mb located over the central Gulf near 26N90W
dominates the basin producing gentle to moderate winds with the
exception of light winds over the NE Gulf, and moderate to fresh
Ne to E winds across the Straits of Florida. Seas are in general
3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft over the NE Gulf. A stationary front
over southern Texas is helping to induce numerous showers and
thunderstorms over eastern Texas and the far NW Gulf. Similar
convective activity is also occurring over the Yucatan Peninsula
and regional waters.
For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong winds will pulse offshore
the Yucatan Peninsula each night. Mainly gentle to moderate winds,
and slight to locally moderate seas, will prevail elsewhere.
Looking ahead, an area of low pressure is expected to form during the
weekend over the northeastern Gulf of America. Subsequent slow development
of this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over
the northeastern Gulf and or near the southeastern coast of the United
States by early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning is in effect for the south-central Caribbean offshore
of Colombia. Please, refer to the Special Features section for
more details.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombia
low continues to support fresh to strong winds over the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia. Altimeter
data provide observations of seas in the 8 to 10 ft range across
the area. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are noted in the eastern Caribbean and in the lee of Cuba.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
A diffluent pattern aloft combined with abundant tropical moisture
is generating a large area of showers and thunderstorms over the
NW Caribbean and the Yucatan Peninsula, particularly from 18N to
21N W of 82W. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas
are likely with this convective activity.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and the Colombian low will support pulsing NE
winds to gale-force across the waters N of Colombia each night
through Sat night. Otherwise, strong to near-gale trade winds,
and rough seas, will prevail across the central Caribbean into
early next week. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong
each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low pressure located N of area
near 35N52W to 30N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are related to the front. Moderate SW winds are S of the front
to about 28N. Farther E, a stationary from enter the forecast
region near 31N20W and continues SW to 25N26W and to near 24N40W.
Light to gentle winds follow the front. Mainly low clouds and a
few showers are likely associated with the frontal boundary. The
remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is under the influence of
high pressure. Moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds are seen
N of 18N E of 20W, including the Canary Islands. Similar wind
speeds dominate the tropical Atlantic with moderate seas.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are present elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 17 Jul 2026 11:26:28 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 16 Jul 2026 05:01:42 GMT - Wed, 15 Jul 2026 23:26:28 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 152326
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave located
southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands have become slightly better
organized since yesterday. Some additional slow development is
possible during the next couple of days while the system moves
generally west-northwestward at about 10 mph. By this weekend, the
system is forecast to move into a less conducive environment, and
further development is not expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northeastern Gulf of America and Offshore of the Southeastern U.S.:
An area of low pressure is forecast to form during the weekend over
the northeastern Gulf of America. Some gradual development of this
system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the
northeastern Gulf of America and near the coast of the southeastern
United States early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 13:14:52 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151314
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 15 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-045
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf