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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 04:49:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100449
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Sep 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is near 23W, south of 20N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 61W, south of 20N and extends into
Guyana, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are
noted across the northern half of the wave environment.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along
70W, south of 19N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave
supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly N of
14N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N17W, and continues southwestward to 09N37W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N37W to 11N56W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 120 nm on either side of the boundaries
and W of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak 1016 mb low pressure is analyzed near 28N88W, with a
surface trough extending from 27N94W to 28N84W. Scattered showers
are noted near these features. To the SE, a diffluent pattern
aloft is helping to induce scattered showers and thunderstorms
over most of Florida. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
dominate the Gulf waters, with the exception of gentle to moderate
easterly winds and moderate seas over the Bay of Campeche due to
the presence of the above mentioned trough.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist into the start
of next week, supporting mostly light to gentle winds and slight
seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the western
Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low
continues to support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas,
over the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds and
moderate seas cover the remainder of the Caribbean waters.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over the eastern
Caribbean likely associated with the passage of a tropical wave.
Convection has flared-up over most of Cuba, the Cayman Islands,
and the Gulf of Honduras. An upper-level low spinning just south
of the Cayman Islands is enhancing this convective activity.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the
Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to near- gale
force, through tonight before diminishing modestly through Fri.
Rough seas will prevail over these waters with the persistent
strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front enters the forecast region near 31N54W and continues
westward to near 29N69W where it becomes a stationary front to
near 29N70W. Moderate to fresh NE winds are found N of the front.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen N of 27N and E of
the front to about 40W. A surface trough is south of the front,
and extends from 26N73W to central Cuba. This feature is
generating scattered showers and thunderstorms. The remainder of
the forecast waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a
1025 mb high centered located SW of the Azores near 35N27W. The
pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower pressures
over NW Africa is promoting moderate to fresh NE winds N of 25N
and E of 30W, including the Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh
trade winds are observed over most of the tropical Atlantic, and S
of 22N between 60W and 70W. Moderate or weaker winds prevail
elsewhere. Seas are in general moderate across the Atlantic
forecast waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front over the NE waters
will shift east of the area Thu. High pressure ridging will build
across the region in the wake of the front. Light to gentle winds
are expected in the vicinity of the ridge, N of 21N. Moderate to
fresh winds S of 21N will diminish slightly by this weekend.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 04:49:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100449
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Sep 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is near 23W, south of 20N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is near 61W, south of 20N and extends into
Guyana, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers are
noted across the northern half of the wave environment.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along
70W, south of 19N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave
supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly N of
14N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N17W, and continues southwestward to 09N37W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N37W to 11N56W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 120 nm on either side of the boundaries
and W of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak 1016 mb low pressure is analyzed near 28N88W, with a
surface trough extending from 27N94W to 28N84W. Scattered showers
are noted near these features. To the SE, a diffluent pattern
aloft is helping to induce scattered showers and thunderstorms
over most of Florida. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
dominate the Gulf waters, with the exception of gentle to moderate
easterly winds and moderate seas over the Bay of Campeche due to
the presence of the above mentioned trough.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist into the start
of next week, supporting mostly light to gentle winds and slight
seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off the western
Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving westward from the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low
continues to support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas,
over the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds and
moderate seas cover the remainder of the Caribbean waters.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over the eastern
Caribbean likely associated with the passage of a tropical wave.
Convection has flared-up over most of Cuba, the Cayman Islands,
and the Gulf of Honduras. An upper-level low spinning just south
of the Cayman Islands is enhancing this convective activity.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge and the
Colombian low will support strong winds, locally to near- gale
force, through tonight before diminishing modestly through Fri.
Rough seas will prevail over these waters with the persistent
strong winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front enters the forecast region near 31N54W and continues
westward to near 29N69W where it becomes a stationary front to
near 29N70W. Moderate to fresh NE winds are found N of the front.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen N of 27N and E of
the front to about 40W. A surface trough is south of the front,
and extends from 26N73W to central Cuba. This feature is
generating scattered showers and thunderstorms. The remainder of
the forecast waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a
1025 mb high centered located SW of the Azores near 35N27W. The
pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower pressures
over NW Africa is promoting moderate to fresh NE winds N of 25N
and E of 30W, including the Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh
trade winds are observed over most of the tropical Atlantic, and S
of 22N between 60W and 70W. Moderate or weaker winds prevail
elsewhere. Seas are in general moderate across the Atlantic
forecast waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front over the NE waters
will shift east of the area Thu. High pressure ridging will build
across the region in the wake of the front. Light to gentle winds
are expected in the vicinity of the ridge, N of 21N. Moderate to
fresh winds S of 21N will diminish slightly by this weekend.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 17:08:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 10 Sep 2026 05:53:57 GMT - Thu, 10 Sep 2026 05:08:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 100508
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 09 Sep 2026 13:45:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT WED 09 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-101
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf