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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 17:12:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301712
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A western Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 84W, south of
21N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed between 16N and 22N and W of 78W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, extends to
16N30W, and then to 09N41W. The ITCZ extends from 09N41W to the
coastal border of Guyana and Venezuela. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 09N to 19N between 29W and 40W, as well as
from 07N to 13N between 21W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Deep-layer troughing continues to support showers and
thunderstorms across the Florida Straits and the far SE Gulf.
High pressure over the eastern United States supports moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas over the western
Gulf waters, while moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, showers and thunderstorms will linger in the SE
Gulf through at least this evening. The pressure gradient between
high pressure over the eastern United States and lower pressures
in Texas and Mexico support moderate to fresh easterly winds over
the western Gulf waters. These winds will expand eastward across
the basin by tonight as the pressure gradient tightens. The
gradient will weaken from west to east by the end of the week into
the weekend as a frontal boundary approaches the western Gulf
waters, possibly moving into the basin by the end of the weekend
with weakening winds and subsiding seas ahead of it. Increasing
winds and building seas are possible behind the very slow moving
front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for details on
convection in the NW Caribbean.
The East Pacific monsoon trough extends across the far SW
Caribbean, and is supporting numerous strong convection S of 16N
and W of 78W. High pressure north of the area sustains moderate
to fresh easterly trade winds across much of the basin, increasing
to strong speeds off northern Colombia and along the northern end
of the tropical wave analyzed along 84W. Seas of 4-8 ft are
evident across the Caribbean, except for slight seas in the lee of
Cuba and Windward Passage.
For the forecast, a passing tropical wave and divergent flow
aloft will support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms W
of 75W over the next few days. High pressure north of the area
will support pulsing fresh to strong easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean and in the Gulf of Honduras through the
remainder of the week and into the weekend. Moderate or weaker
winds will prevail in the rest of the basin. Later, a frontal
boundary will slide into the Gulf of America and western Atlantic
this weekend, resulting in a weakening pressure gradient across
the Caribbean as the ridge retreats. Moderate to locally fresh
winds will then dominate the basin into early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Deep-layer troughing continues to support scattered moderate
convection across the Bahamas and areas southward toward Cuba. To
the east, convergent surface winds between a 1019 mb high SE of
Bermuda and the remnants of Fay are supporting scattered moderate
convection from 21N to 28N between 55W and 63W, as well as near
the center of Fay's remnants. Outside of convection, gentle to
moderate E to NE winds and moderate seas prevail across much of
the Atlantic. Locally fresh winds are seen in showers N of a
surface trough analyzed just E of the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will persist across
the region over the remainder of the week and into the weekend
supporting moderate to locally fresh easterly winds south of 25N.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, the
remnants of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay currently east of the
offshore waters may move west of 55W by tonight. This system will
continue to weaken and may dissipate late this week. Looking
ahead, a frontal boundary may reach the waters off NE Florida
early next week, resulting in an increase in winds and seas behind
the boundary.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 17:12:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301712
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Sep 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A western Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 84W, south of
21N, moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed between 16N and 22N and W of 78W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, extends to
16N30W, and then to 09N41W. The ITCZ extends from 09N41W to the
coastal border of Guyana and Venezuela. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 09N to 19N between 29W and 40W, as well as
from 07N to 13N between 21W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Deep-layer troughing continues to support showers and
thunderstorms across the Florida Straits and the far SE Gulf.
High pressure over the eastern United States supports moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas over the western
Gulf waters, while moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, showers and thunderstorms will linger in the SE
Gulf through at least this evening. The pressure gradient between
high pressure over the eastern United States and lower pressures
in Texas and Mexico support moderate to fresh easterly winds over
the western Gulf waters. These winds will expand eastward across
the basin by tonight as the pressure gradient tightens. The
gradient will weaken from west to east by the end of the week into
the weekend as a frontal boundary approaches the western Gulf
waters, possibly moving into the basin by the end of the weekend
with weakening winds and subsiding seas ahead of it. Increasing
winds and building seas are possible behind the very slow moving
front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for details on
convection in the NW Caribbean.
The East Pacific monsoon trough extends across the far SW
Caribbean, and is supporting numerous strong convection S of 16N
and W of 78W. High pressure north of the area sustains moderate
to fresh easterly trade winds across much of the basin, increasing
to strong speeds off northern Colombia and along the northern end
of the tropical wave analyzed along 84W. Seas of 4-8 ft are
evident across the Caribbean, except for slight seas in the lee of
Cuba and Windward Passage.
For the forecast, a passing tropical wave and divergent flow
aloft will support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms W
of 75W over the next few days. High pressure north of the area
will support pulsing fresh to strong easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean and in the Gulf of Honduras through the
remainder of the week and into the weekend. Moderate or weaker
winds will prevail in the rest of the basin. Later, a frontal
boundary will slide into the Gulf of America and western Atlantic
this weekend, resulting in a weakening pressure gradient across
the Caribbean as the ridge retreats. Moderate to locally fresh
winds will then dominate the basin into early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Deep-layer troughing continues to support scattered moderate
convection across the Bahamas and areas southward toward Cuba. To
the east, convergent surface winds between a 1019 mb high SE of
Bermuda and the remnants of Fay are supporting scattered moderate
convection from 21N to 28N between 55W and 63W, as well as near
the center of Fay's remnants. Outside of convection, gentle to
moderate E to NE winds and moderate seas prevail across much of
the Atlantic. Locally fresh winds are seen in showers N of a
surface trough analyzed just E of the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will persist across
the region over the remainder of the week and into the weekend
supporting moderate to locally fresh easterly winds south of 25N.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail elsewhere. Meanwhile, the
remnants of Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay currently east of the
offshore waters may move west of 55W by tonight. This system will
continue to weaken and may dissipate late this week. Looking
ahead, a frontal boundary may reach the waters off NE Florida
early next week, resulting in an increase in winds and seas behind
the boundary.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 17:31:30 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301731
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Sep 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center has issued its last advisory on
Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna, located over the central subtropical
Atlantic.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected over the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven - Wed, 30 Sep 2026 15:23:14 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 30 Sep 2026 15:23:14 GMT - Wed, 30 Sep 2026 14:50:58 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna Forecast Discussion Number 9 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 PM GMT Wed Sep 30 2026000 WTNT43 KNHC 301450 TCDAT3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna Discussion Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026 300 PM GMT Wed Sep 30 2026 Satellite imagery this morning shows that the convection associated with Hanna has dissipated, and a recent ASCAT overpass shows that the winds have decreased below tropical storm strength. The remaining strong winds are in an east-west band well to the north and northeast of the center. Convection appears unlikely to redevelop, and based on these factors Hanna is being downgraded to a remnant low pressure area. The remnant low should move eastward to east-northward for the next several days as it gradually weakens. The low is expected to degenerate to a trough between 72-96 h. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on Hanna. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 30/1500Z 33.4N 43.6W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 12H 01/0000Z 33.7N 42.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 01/1200Z 34.5N 40.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 02/0000Z 35.1N 37.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 02/1200Z 35.2N 35.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 03/0000Z 35.0N 33.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 03/1200Z 34.6N 31.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 04/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Beven
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 14:50:24 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna Wind Speed Probabilities Number 9 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 1500 UTC WED SEP 30 2026000 FONT13 KNHC 301450 PWSAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HANNA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 9 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL082026 1500 UTC WED SEP 30 2026 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HANNA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER BEVEN - Wed, 30 Sep 2026 14:50:00 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna Public Advisory Number 9 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 PM GMT Wed Sep 30 2026000 WTNT33 KNHC 301449 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna Advisory Number 9 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL082026 300 PM GMT Wed Sep 30 2026 ...HANNA BECOMES A REMNANT LOW PRESSURE AREA... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...33.4N 43.6W ABOUT 1230 MI...1980 KM E OF BERMUDA ABOUT 980 MI...1580 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Hanna was located near latitude 33.4 North, longitude 43.6 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the east near 5 mph (7 km/h). A turn toward the east-northeast is expected later today with an increase in forward speed on Thursday. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. The remnant low should gradually weaken during the next couple of days. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 30 Sep 2026 14:06:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
457
NOUS42 KNHC 301406
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EDT WED 30 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-122
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf