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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 09:35:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140935
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Sep 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed within 120 nm on both sides of the
wave axis.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of
17N, moving westward at near 15 kt. A few showers are found near
the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
near 13N16W and continues to 08N35W to 10N50W. The ITCZ extends
from 10N52W to near 08N61W. Scattered to locally numerous
moderate isolated strong convection is present from 04N to 14N and
east of 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high pressure system over central Florida dominates the
Gulf waters, supporting moderate to fresh E-SE winds and moderate
seas south of a line from NE Texas to NE Yucatan. Elsewhere, light
to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. Strong storms are noted
off Veracruz in the Bay of Campeche and a few showers are
occurring off western Florida.
For the forecast, weak ridging over the NE Gulf will persist into Tue
supporting relatively tranquil conditions across much of the basin.
The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where a diurnal trough
will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each evening
through late this week, bringing nightly pulses of fresh NE winds.
Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building southward from
the eastern United States will lead to increasing NE to E winds
over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong and rough
seas over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night. Conditions will
improve Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Middle to upper-level low pressure is centered over Haiti, and
promoting unstable conditions over south and east portions of the
Caribbean. Multi-layered clouds with scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms prevail over most of the eastern basin E of 71W,
across the Lesser Antilles to 58W. Scattered strong convection is
occurring across the SW Caribbean south of 16N.
A tight pressure gradient continues to support fresh to near
gale-force easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the
central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh NE-E
winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean and
Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the NW basin.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Bahamas and lower pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh
to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds and moderate to
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean. These conditions
will persist through the workweek. Strong winds in the Gulf of
Honduras will diminish this morning. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh
easterly breezes are expected over the next several days in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates the SW North Atlantic,
allowing for light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
across much of the area, west of 55W. Fresh easterly winds are
noted off northern Hispaniola. A surface trough along 47W in the
central Atlantic is producing numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorms north of 24N and between 41W and 60W. Gusty winds
and higher seas are likely occurring near these storms. Elsewhere,
an expansive ridge persists in the central and eastern Atlantic,
supporting moderate or weaker seas and moderate seas across the
area.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned ridge will force
fresh to locally strong easterly winds off Hispaniola and in the
Windward Passage tonight. On Tue, strong high pressure building
southward through the eastern United States will bring a cold
front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to locally
strong and causing seas to build to rough N of the Bahamas and W
of 70W through Thu. Conditions will improve Thu night into Fri.
During the middle to later portion of the week, a trough of low
pressure is forecast to move west-northwestward into the NE
portion of the waters, bringing thunderstorms.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 09:35:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140935
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Sep 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is observed within 120 nm on both sides of the
wave axis.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of
17N, moving westward at near 15 kt. A few showers are found near
the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
near 13N16W and continues to 08N35W to 10N50W. The ITCZ extends
from 10N52W to near 08N61W. Scattered to locally numerous
moderate isolated strong convection is present from 04N to 14N and
east of 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high pressure system over central Florida dominates the
Gulf waters, supporting moderate to fresh E-SE winds and moderate
seas south of a line from NE Texas to NE Yucatan. Elsewhere, light
to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. Strong storms are noted
off Veracruz in the Bay of Campeche and a few showers are
occurring off western Florida.
For the forecast, weak ridging over the NE Gulf will persist into Tue
supporting relatively tranquil conditions across much of the basin.
The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where a diurnal trough
will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each evening
through late this week, bringing nightly pulses of fresh NE winds.
Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building southward from
the eastern United States will lead to increasing NE to E winds
over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong and rough
seas over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night. Conditions will
improve Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Middle to upper-level low pressure is centered over Haiti, and
promoting unstable conditions over south and east portions of the
Caribbean. Multi-layered clouds with scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms prevail over most of the eastern basin E of 71W,
across the Lesser Antilles to 58W. Scattered strong convection is
occurring across the SW Caribbean south of 16N.
A tight pressure gradient continues to support fresh to near
gale-force easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the
central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh NE-E
winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean and
Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the NW basin.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
Bahamas and lower pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh
to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds and moderate to
rough seas across much of the central Caribbean. These conditions
will persist through the workweek. Strong winds in the Gulf of
Honduras will diminish this morning. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh
easterly breezes are expected over the next several days in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates the SW North Atlantic,
allowing for light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
across much of the area, west of 55W. Fresh easterly winds are
noted off northern Hispaniola. A surface trough along 47W in the
central Atlantic is producing numerous showers and isolated
thunderstorms north of 24N and between 41W and 60W. Gusty winds
and higher seas are likely occurring near these storms. Elsewhere,
an expansive ridge persists in the central and eastern Atlantic,
supporting moderate or weaker seas and moderate seas across the
area.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned ridge will force
fresh to locally strong easterly winds off Hispaniola and in the
Windward Passage tonight. On Tue, strong high pressure building
southward through the eastern United States will bring a cold
front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to locally
strong and causing seas to build to rough N of the Bahamas and W
of 70W through Thu. Conditions will improve Thu night into Fri.
During the middle to later portion of the week, a trough of low
pressure is forecast to move west-northwestward into the NE
portion of the waters, bringing thunderstorms.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 15 Sep 2026 23:26:28 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 14 Sep 2026 11:30:11 GMT - Mon, 14 Sep 2026 11:26:28 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141126
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Sep 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located a little more than 1000 miles
east-southeast of Bermuda continues to produce disorganized showers
and thunderstorms. Environmental conditions over the system are
currently unfavorable for development due to strong upper-level
winds. However, as the system moves west-northwestward across the
central part of the Subtropical Atlantic, it is forecast to enter a
more conducive environment for gradual development by the middle to
latter portion of this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 13:50:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT SUN 13 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-105
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf