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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 10:40:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251040
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Oct 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the western and central offshore zones
today through this evening as strong high pressure builds
southward over the western Atlantic, and low pressure deepens ENE
of the central Bahamas, and just S of a stationary front along
27N-30N. This setup is expected to induce widespread strong to
near gale-force NE to E winds and very rough seas building to 20
ft, with gale-force winds expected over much of the waters north
of 27N and between 60W and 80W today through early Mon morning.
The front is expected to stall from near Bermuda to the central
Bahamas on Mon, with winds and seas diminishing very slowly
through Thu. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous
marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid
these affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over Florida, the NW Caribbean and the Bahamas combined
with abundant tropical moisture will support periods of heavy rain
over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and
the Turks and Caicos Islands through Mon. Today, model guidance
indicates that the trough will begin to weaken and meander
northward. The main areas that are expected to be impacted by
abundant tropical moisture and heavy rainfall will then shift to
north and east of Cuba over the southern Bahamas, Turks and
Caicos, the Windward Passage and Hispaniola. The heavy rainfall
will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening flash
flooding. Please refer to your local weather services and the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
14N16W southwestward to 07N27W. The ITCZ extends from 10N43W to
10N60W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
from 04N to 25N between 20W-41W, and from 09N to 14N between
56W-61W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong ridge extends over most of the eastern United States and
into the central Gulf, supporting moderate to locally fresh NE to
E winds across most of the E Gulf region, except locally strong E
of 86W. Moderate to fresh ENE winds are elsewhere. Moderate seas
prevail, with locally rough seas offshore NW Florida.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and a low pressure forecast to deepen near the central
Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over
the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits through early Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos and locations farther
east through the early part of the upcoming week.
A broad surface trough over the central Bahamas extends southward
across E Cuba to a 1009 mb low E of Jamaica near 19N75W. Numerous
moderate to strong convection is ahead of this low under an area
of upper level diffluence that covers Hispaniola and adjacent
waters. Gust to gale force winds and rough seas are likely within
this area of convection south of Hispaniola between 68W and 75W.
Winds over the NW and portions of SW Caribbean are moderate to
fresh from the NNW while ENE winds of the same speeds are E of
72W. Seas over these regions are moderate and slight between 74W
and 78W where winds are light to gentle and variable due to the
low pressure E of Jamaica.
For the forecast, the mid to upper level trough over Florida, the
NW Caribbean and the Bahamas will shift very slowly eastward
through Mon and support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the central Caribbean and Windward Passage.
The broad surface trough over the central Bahamas that extends
across E Cuba to a 1009 mb low E of Jamaica will drift eastward
through Tue. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. will
continue to build southward across Florida and the Gulf of America
through early next week, leading to moderate to fresh N winds and
moderate seas across the western Caribbean W of Jamaica through
late Tue. Expect rough seas in large N swell across the Yucatan
Channel late tonight through early Tue. Otherwise, moderate to
fresh ESE winds in the E Caribbean will diminish to gentle to
moderate speeds by Mon evening.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the southern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, the Windward Passage, and Hispaniola.
A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to 28N65W. There is a
1013 mb low just E of the central Bahamas while earlier scatt data
also showed the presence of a stronger low of 1012 mb south of the
front near 26N65W. A surface trough then extends southward from
this low to Hispaniola adjacent waters. These features are
supporting scattered moderate convection across the Atlantic
offshores, except S of 24N between 55W and 63W. Widespread strong
to gale-force winds and rough seas are north of the front or
across many of the offshores N of 27N. Otherwise, the Azores
ridge dominates the remainder Atlantic subtropical waters,
providing mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas,
except for strong winds funneling through the Canary Islands where
rough seas are ongoing.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the western and central offshore zones
today through this evening as strong high pressure builds
southward over the western Atlantic, and low pressure deepens ENE
of the central Bahamas, and just S of a stationary front along
27N-30N. This setup is expected to induce widespread strong to
near gale-force NE to E winds and very rough seas building to 20
ft, with gale-force winds expected over much of the waters north
of 27N and between 60W and 80W today through early Mon morning.
The front is expected to stall from near Bermuda to the central
Bahamas on Mon, with winds and seas diminishing very slowly
through Thu.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 10:40:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251040
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Oct 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the western and central offshore zones
today through this evening as strong high pressure builds
southward over the western Atlantic, and low pressure deepens ENE
of the central Bahamas, and just S of a stationary front along
27N-30N. This setup is expected to induce widespread strong to
near gale-force NE to E winds and very rough seas building to 20
ft, with gale-force winds expected over much of the waters north
of 27N and between 60W and 80W today through early Mon morning.
The front is expected to stall from near Bermuda to the central
Bahamas on Mon, with winds and seas diminishing very slowly
through Thu. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous
marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid
these affected areas.
Please, see the latest NWS High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: A mid to upper level
trough over Florida, the NW Caribbean and the Bahamas combined
with abundant tropical moisture will support periods of heavy rain
over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern Bahamas, and
the Turks and Caicos Islands through Mon. Today, model guidance
indicates that the trough will begin to weaken and meander
northward. The main areas that are expected to be impacted by
abundant tropical moisture and heavy rainfall will then shift to
north and east of Cuba over the southern Bahamas, Turks and
Caicos, the Windward Passage and Hispaniola. The heavy rainfall
will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening flash
flooding. Please refer to your local weather services and the
International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
14N16W southwestward to 07N27W. The ITCZ extends from 10N43W to
10N60W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is seen
from 04N to 25N between 20W-41W, and from 09N to 14N between
56W-61W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong ridge extends over most of the eastern United States and
into the central Gulf, supporting moderate to locally fresh NE to
E winds across most of the E Gulf region, except locally strong E
of 86W. Moderate to fresh ENE winds are elsewhere. Moderate seas
prevail, with locally rough seas offshore NW Florida.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and a low pressure forecast to deepen near the central
Bahamas will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over
the eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits through early Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos and locations farther
east through the early part of the upcoming week.
A broad surface trough over the central Bahamas extends southward
across E Cuba to a 1009 mb low E of Jamaica near 19N75W. Numerous
moderate to strong convection is ahead of this low under an area
of upper level diffluence that covers Hispaniola and adjacent
waters. Gust to gale force winds and rough seas are likely within
this area of convection south of Hispaniola between 68W and 75W.
Winds over the NW and portions of SW Caribbean are moderate to
fresh from the NNW while ENE winds of the same speeds are E of
72W. Seas over these regions are moderate and slight between 74W
and 78W where winds are light to gentle and variable due to the
low pressure E of Jamaica.
For the forecast, the mid to upper level trough over Florida, the
NW Caribbean and the Bahamas will shift very slowly eastward
through Mon and support scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the central Caribbean and Windward Passage.
The broad surface trough over the central Bahamas that extends
across E Cuba to a 1009 mb low E of Jamaica will drift eastward
through Tue. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. will
continue to build southward across Florida and the Gulf of America
through early next week, leading to moderate to fresh N winds and
moderate seas across the western Caribbean W of Jamaica through
late Tue. Expect rough seas in large N swell across the Yucatan
Channel late tonight through early Tue. Otherwise, moderate to
fresh ESE winds in the E Caribbean will diminish to gentle to
moderate speeds by Mon evening.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the southern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, the Windward Passage, and Hispaniola.
A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to 28N65W. There is a
1013 mb low just E of the central Bahamas while earlier scatt data
also showed the presence of a stronger low of 1012 mb south of the
front near 26N65W. A surface trough then extends southward from
this low to Hispaniola adjacent waters. These features are
supporting scattered moderate convection across the Atlantic
offshores, except S of 24N between 55W and 63W. Widespread strong
to gale-force winds and rough seas are north of the front or
across many of the offshores N of 27N. Otherwise, the Azores
ridge dominates the remainder Atlantic subtropical waters,
providing mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas,
except for strong winds funneling through the Canary Islands where
rough seas are ongoing.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the western and central offshore zones
today through this evening as strong high pressure builds
southward over the western Atlantic, and low pressure deepens ENE
of the central Bahamas, and just S of a stationary front along
27N-30N. This setup is expected to induce widespread strong to
near gale-force NE to E winds and very rough seas building to 20
ft, with gale-force winds expected over much of the waters north
of 27N and between 60W and 80W today through early Mon morning.
The front is expected to stall from near Bermuda to the central
Bahamas on Mon, with winds and seas diminishing very slowly
through Thu.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 23:34:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 25 Oct 2026 14:40:07 GMT - Sun, 25 Oct 2026 11:34:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 251134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 13:23:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
303
NOUS42 KNHC 251325
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0925 AM EDT SUN 25 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-147
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf