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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 17:11:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091710
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into the weekend. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela Fri
night and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft
off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 40W south of
15N moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W south of 18N
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are occurring from the Mona Passage south to about 14N between 64W
and 70W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 76W from 19N
southward. It is moving westward around 10-15 kt. Numerous strong
and large convective clusters have recently formed over Colombia
and the offshore waters S of 11N and E of 78W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N37W. It resumes at 08N42W
to 05N52W. Scattered moderate convection is S of 08N and W of 49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Numerous moderate to strong convection is ongoing along a surface
trough running from the Bay of Campeche to the W Gulf. Upper
level troughing N of the region as well as convergent surface
winds in the E Gulf also support widely scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms across portions of the Gulf N of 24N
between 85W and 90W. Outside of convection, gentle to moderate or
weaker E to SE winds and slight seas prevail across the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure extending westward from the
Atlantic across central Florida and over the Gulf will change
little through Sat, then shift slightly southeastward afterward.
The weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds south of 26N east of 94W, and light to gentle
southeast to south-southwest winds north of 26N into the weekend.
Light and variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W. These winds
will gentle to moderate east to southeast winds tonight and
change little into next week. The exception will be occasional
fresh to strong northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan
peninsula at night. A mid-level trough combined with a very moist
and unstable environment is generating scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the SW Gulf. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are elsewhere south of about 28N. This activity is
expected to persist into tonight as it lifts north.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
later this week and weekend.
The pressure gradient between ridging over the Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South America continues to support fresh
to strong trades and rough seas across much of the central to SW
Caribbean, as well as through the Windward Passage. An altimeter
pass from early this morning confirmed seas of 13-15 ft occurring
offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail in the eastern Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle
to moderate or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
Scattered moderate convection is ongoing across the SW Caribbean,
enhanced by the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon
trough. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also
occurring over the waters between Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force Fri night,
and Sat night off Colombia. Gale-force winds are also expected in
the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades over the
Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in the late
afternoons and evenings through early next week. A tropical wave
in the eastern Caribbean is accompanied by scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. This activity will continue near the
tropical wave as it moves rapidly across the central and western
Caribbean the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak stationary front segment runs along 30/31N between 34W and
44W. No notable convection or changes in marine conditions are
occurring. Ridging prevails across much of the tropical and
subtropical Atlantic, with moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas prevailing across areas S of 22N and W of 35W. Locally
strong trades are seen along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
into the Windward Passage, as well as from 02N to 08N between 40W
and the Lesser Antilles. Another area of fresh to strong winds
from the NE is occurring N of 22N and E of 35W between a stronger
pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and lower
pressures over Africa. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6
ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 17:11:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091710
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into the weekend. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela Fri
night and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft
off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 40W south of
15N moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W south of 18N
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are occurring from the Mona Passage south to about 14N between 64W
and 70W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 76W from 19N
southward. It is moving westward around 10-15 kt. Numerous strong
and large convective clusters have recently formed over Colombia
and the offshore waters S of 11N and E of 78W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N37W. It resumes at 08N42W
to 05N52W. Scattered moderate convection is S of 08N and W of 49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Numerous moderate to strong convection is ongoing along a surface
trough running from the Bay of Campeche to the W Gulf. Upper
level troughing N of the region as well as convergent surface
winds in the E Gulf also support widely scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms across portions of the Gulf N of 24N
between 85W and 90W. Outside of convection, gentle to moderate or
weaker E to SE winds and slight seas prevail across the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure extending westward from the
Atlantic across central Florida and over the Gulf will change
little through Sat, then shift slightly southeastward afterward.
The weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds south of 26N east of 94W, and light to gentle
southeast to south-southwest winds north of 26N into the weekend.
Light and variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W. These winds
will gentle to moderate east to southeast winds tonight and
change little into next week. The exception will be occasional
fresh to strong northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan
peninsula at night. A mid-level trough combined with a very moist
and unstable environment is generating scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the SW Gulf. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are elsewhere south of about 28N. This activity is
expected to persist into tonight as it lifts north.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
later this week and weekend.
The pressure gradient between ridging over the Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South America continues to support fresh
to strong trades and rough seas across much of the central to SW
Caribbean, as well as through the Windward Passage. An altimeter
pass from early this morning confirmed seas of 13-15 ft occurring
offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail in the eastern Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle
to moderate or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
Scattered moderate convection is ongoing across the SW Caribbean,
enhanced by the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon
trough. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are also
occurring over the waters between Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force Fri night,
and Sat night off Colombia. Gale-force winds are also expected in
the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades over the
Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in the late
afternoons and evenings through early next week. A tropical wave
in the eastern Caribbean is accompanied by scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. This activity will continue near the
tropical wave as it moves rapidly across the central and western
Caribbean the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak stationary front segment runs along 30/31N between 34W and
44W. No notable convection or changes in marine conditions are
occurring. Ridging prevails across much of the tropical and
subtropical Atlantic, with moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas prevailing across areas S of 22N and W of 35W. Locally
strong trades are seen along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
into the Windward Passage, as well as from 02N to 08N between 40W
and the Lesser Antilles. Another area of fresh to strong winds
from the NE is occurring N of 22N and E of 35W between a stronger
pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and lower
pressures over Africa. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6
ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 05:09:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 09 Jul 2026 19:14:30 GMT - Thu, 09 Jul 2026 17:09:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 091709
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 13:40:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT THU 09 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-039
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf