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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 10:15:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
239
AXNT20 KNHC 071015
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1002 mb low pressure area,
Invest AL94, is located near 25.5N62.5W. This non-tropical low
pressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of
Bermuda is producing disorganized heavy showers and thunderstorms
N of 20N between 46W-61W. The low could still acquire some
subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level
winds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally
eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during
the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical
low pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-
force winds are over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic
and will continue through the weekend.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and extends SW
to 10N20W where it transitions to ITCZ, which then continues to
07N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 01N to
14N between 22W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from from St Petersburg to the NW Gulf. A
reinforcing cold front extends from 30N84W to 28N87W. Moderate
NNE winds follow the fronts. Moderate NE winds are also over the
Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Slight seas to 3 ft are basin-
wide.
For the forecast, the front will slowly shift across the basin
into early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind
the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Invest6 AL94, south of Bermuda and E of the Bahamas, continue to
disrupt the trade wind flow across the Caribbean basin. Also, a
broad low of 1008 mb prevail over the Nicaragua offshore waters,
which is supporting scattered showers and isolated tstms over the
Honduras and Belize offshores. Similar convective activity is over
the E Caribbean E of a surface trough that extends across E
Puerto Rico to 15N67W. A weak pressure gradient over the region
due to the aforementioned features is supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas to 3 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
the central Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
AL94.
Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N28W to
26N44W, then it stalls to 28N52W. A warm front continues from that
point to 30N62W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is ahead
of the cold front to 18W. Strong to near gale- force SW winds are
ahead of the front while fresh to strong NNW winds follow it.
Rough seas of 8 to 12 ft are N of 23N between 25W and 50W. South
of Invest AL94, winds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending
south to 20N between 50W and 68W.
For the forecast west of 55W, Invest AL94 will drift slowly east-
northeastward. A second low may develop east of this low today.
The lows will merge over the eastern waters late in the weekend,
then shift east of the area by early next week. An area of strong
to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16
ft, will prevail north of the lows, impacting the waters mainly
north of about 27N and east of 65W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
weakening cold front has entered the waters between Florida and
75W. The front will dissipate by Sun.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 10:15:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
239
AXNT20 KNHC 071015
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1002 mb low pressure area,
Invest AL94, is located near 25.5N62.5W. This non-tropical low
pressure area located several hundred miles south-southeast of
Bermuda is producing disorganized heavy showers and thunderstorms
N of 20N between 46W-61W. The low could still acquire some
subtropical characteristics through tonight before upper-level
winds increase on Sunday. The low is forecast to move generally
eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during
the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical
low pressure system to its east early next week. Regardless, gale-
force winds are over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic
and will continue through the weekend.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and extends SW
to 10N20W where it transitions to ITCZ, which then continues to
07N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is from 01N to
14N between 22W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from from St Petersburg to the NW Gulf. A
reinforcing cold front extends from 30N84W to 28N87W. Moderate
NNE winds follow the fronts. Moderate NE winds are also over the
Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Slight seas to 3 ft are basin-
wide.
For the forecast, the front will slowly shift across the basin
into early next week. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind
the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Invest6 AL94, south of Bermuda and E of the Bahamas, continue to
disrupt the trade wind flow across the Caribbean basin. Also, a
broad low of 1008 mb prevail over the Nicaragua offshore waters,
which is supporting scattered showers and isolated tstms over the
Honduras and Belize offshores. Similar convective activity is over
the E Caribbean E of a surface trough that extends across E
Puerto Rico to 15N67W. A weak pressure gradient over the region
due to the aforementioned features is supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas to 3 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen over
the central Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
AL94.
Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N28W to
26N44W, then it stalls to 28N52W. A warm front continues from that
point to 30N62W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is ahead
of the cold front to 18W. Strong to near gale- force SW winds are
ahead of the front while fresh to strong NNW winds follow it.
Rough seas of 8 to 12 ft are N of 23N between 25W and 50W. South
of Invest AL94, winds are fresh to strong from the SW, extending
south to 20N between 50W and 68W.
For the forecast west of 55W, Invest AL94 will drift slowly east-
northeastward. A second low may develop east of this low today.
The lows will merge over the eastern waters late in the weekend,
then shift east of the area by early next week. An area of strong
to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16
ft, will prevail north of the lows, impacting the waters mainly
north of about 27N and east of 65W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
weakening cold front has entered the waters between Florida and
75W. The front will dissipate by Sun.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:16:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
871
NOUS42 KNHC 061616
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST FRI 06 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-159
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





