SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 20 Jan 2026 20:46:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202046
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jan 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between 1032 mb
high pressure over the central Atlantic and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to near gale-force NE to E winds offshore
Colombia. These two features will remain in place through the
middle of the week, before the high pressure weakens and shifts
eastward. Drainage flow at night will enhance winds off Colombia
to gale force at night through Thu morning. Rough seas are
forecast with these winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras and northern
Central America: Periods of significant heavy rainfall are
expected through mid-week as abundant tropical moisture interacts
with a shearline extending from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of
Honduras. Periods of heavy rainfall will continue through early
Wed in the Gulf of Honduras and northern Honduras, where totals in
excess of 12 inches will be likely.
Please consult products from your local meteorological services
for additional information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 08N12W and continues
southwestward to 03N22W. The ITCZ extends from 03N22W to
01.5S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
depicted from 01N to 07W, and east of 14W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is over the far NE waters. Otherwise, high
pressure dominates the Gulf waters. Moderate to fresh winds, and
moderate seas, prevail across the discussion waters.
For the forecast, strong high pressure over the SE of the United
States supports fresh to locally strong northerly winds and
moderate to rough seas across most of the eastern Gulf, including
the Straits of Florida. These marine conditions will persist
through Wed. The next cold front is slated to enter the NW Gulf
Fri night into Sat followed by fresh to strong winds and building
seas. Reinforcing high pressure, in the wake of the front, may
bring gale conditions first near Tampico, then near Veracruz on
Mon.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
Rainfall in the NW Caribbean through midweek, as well as a Gale
Warning offshore Colombia.
A shearline extends from eastern Cuba to northern Honduras. Fresh
to strong northerly winds, and moderate to rough seas, prevail W
of the shearline. Outside of the south- central Caribbean,
moderate to fresh easterly winds,and moderate to rough seas,
prevail across the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, gale force NE winds will continue to pulse each
night and early morning hours over the waters offshore Colombia
through Thu morning. Strong high pressure over the SE of the
United States will continue to promote fresh to strong NE winds
and moderate to rough seas across the NW Caribbean through Wed.
These winds are transporting abundant tropical moisture into
northern Honduras supporting periods of locally heavy rainfall
through mid- week. An area of moisture will move across the
Leeward Islands late on Wed, and over Puerto Rico on Thu, likely
reaching Hispaniola on Fri. This is forecast to increase the
likelihood of showers and isolated thunderstorms over the islands
and surrounding waters.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from SE of Bermuda to north of the central
Bahamas where it transition to a stationary front to eastern
Cuba. Fresh to strong winds prevail S of 27N and W of the front.
Elsewhere W of the front, moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-6
ft, prevail. The remainder of the Atlantic discussion waters are
dominated by high pressure, with fresh to strong winds, and seas
of 7-11 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, Atlantic high pressure will
promote fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas east of 65W
through Thu. A nearly stationary front extends from 31N63W to
eastern Cuba. This feature will lift N and gradually dissipate
through Thu. The pressure gradient between strong high pressure
over the SE of the United States and the front will continue to
support fresh to strong NE winds over the western Atlantic W of
the front, in the vicinity of the Bahamas and the Straits of
Florida through Wed.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 20 Jan 2026 20:46:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202046
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jan 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between 1032 mb
high pressure over the central Atlantic and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to near gale-force NE to E winds offshore
Colombia. These two features will remain in place through the
middle of the week, before the high pressure weakens and shifts
eastward. Drainage flow at night will enhance winds off Colombia
to gale force at night through Thu morning. Rough seas are
forecast with these winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
Significant Heavy Rainfall in the Gulf of Honduras and northern
Central America: Periods of significant heavy rainfall are
expected through mid-week as abundant tropical moisture interacts
with a shearline extending from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of
Honduras. Periods of heavy rainfall will continue through early
Wed in the Gulf of Honduras and northern Honduras, where totals in
excess of 12 inches will be likely.
Please consult products from your local meteorological services
for additional information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic near 08N12W and continues
southwestward to 03N22W. The ITCZ extends from 03N22W to
01.5S43W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
depicted from 01N to 07W, and east of 14W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is over the far NE waters. Otherwise, high
pressure dominates the Gulf waters. Moderate to fresh winds, and
moderate seas, prevail across the discussion waters.
For the forecast, strong high pressure over the SE of the United
States supports fresh to locally strong northerly winds and
moderate to rough seas across most of the eastern Gulf, including
the Straits of Florida. These marine conditions will persist
through Wed. The next cold front is slated to enter the NW Gulf
Fri night into Sat followed by fresh to strong winds and building
seas. Reinforcing high pressure, in the wake of the front, may
bring gale conditions first near Tampico, then near Veracruz on
Mon.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section on Potential Heavy
Rainfall in the NW Caribbean through midweek, as well as a Gale
Warning offshore Colombia.
A shearline extends from eastern Cuba to northern Honduras. Fresh
to strong northerly winds, and moderate to rough seas, prevail W
of the shearline. Outside of the south- central Caribbean,
moderate to fresh easterly winds,and moderate to rough seas,
prevail across the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, gale force NE winds will continue to pulse each
night and early morning hours over the waters offshore Colombia
through Thu morning. Strong high pressure over the SE of the
United States will continue to promote fresh to strong NE winds
and moderate to rough seas across the NW Caribbean through Wed.
These winds are transporting abundant tropical moisture into
northern Honduras supporting periods of locally heavy rainfall
through mid- week. An area of moisture will move across the
Leeward Islands late on Wed, and over Puerto Rico on Thu, likely
reaching Hispaniola on Fri. This is forecast to increase the
likelihood of showers and isolated thunderstorms over the islands
and surrounding waters.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from SE of Bermuda to north of the central
Bahamas where it transition to a stationary front to eastern
Cuba. Fresh to strong winds prevail S of 27N and W of the front.
Elsewhere W of the front, moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-6
ft, prevail. The remainder of the Atlantic discussion waters are
dominated by high pressure, with fresh to strong winds, and seas
of 7-11 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, Atlantic high pressure will
promote fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas east of 65W
through Thu. A nearly stationary front extends from 31N63W to
eastern Cuba. This feature will lift N and gradually dissipate
through Thu. The pressure gradient between strong high pressure
over the SE of the United States and the front will continue to
support fresh to strong NE winds over the western Atlantic W of
the front, in the vicinity of the Bahamas and the Straits of
Florida through Wed.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 20 Jan 2026 23:20:18 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 20 Jan 2026 17:42:34 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 201742
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1245 PM EST TUE 20 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-051
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE MISSIONS ALONG TRACK 66
FOR 23/0000Z AND 23/1200Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 74
A. 22/0000Z
B. AFXXX 11WSE IOP10
C. 21/1900Z
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY: 25.0N 140.0W, 25.0N 120.0W, 40.0N 120.0W, AND 40.0N 140.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 21/2030Z TO 22/0230Z
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
23/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
24/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf