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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 23:05:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 022304
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2220 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W, south of 16N,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06.5N to 11N between 20W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 11N to 13.5N between 53W and 61W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 84W-85W, south of 20N and
extending into the tropical eastern Pacific, moving westward at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is along the monsoon trough near the coast of Costa Rica, and
extends ahead of the wave across Central America and into the
adjacent Pacific waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16.5W and continues southwestward to 06.5N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 06.5N35W to 06N45W to 9.5N53W. Scattered
moderate convection is evident from 06.5N to 12N E of 19W and into
western Africa, and from 06N to 10N and between 30W and 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic southwestward
across the SE U.S. and the northern Gulf waters, supporting
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across the entire
basin. Divergence aloft is supporting a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the western Bay of Campeche and Mexican coastal
waters south of Tampico. Similar activity is also noted weakening
across the NE Gulf. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms across
southern Florida are moving westward and reaching the coasts
between Tampa Bay and Naples.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure across the NE Atlantic extends southwestward through
30N39W and then west-southwestward to the NW Bahamas. The pressure
gradient across the basin has tightened behind a tropical wave
move moving into Central America, and supports fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and seas of 8-11 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are occurring ahead of a tropical wave approaching
the Lesser Antilles, and are weakening as they cross the islands
and encounter SW wind shear. Scattered thunderstorms are along the
monsoon trough S of 10N across the coastal waters of western
Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish
slightly through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near-gale
force each night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in
the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail
over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms
are expected across the SE Caribbean tonight through Fri night as
an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening front remains stationary along about 31N, from 55W to
1017 mb low pressure near 31.5N73W, then becomes a surface trough
extends from 31N74W to the upper Florida Keys. Low level
convergence south of the front, and along the trough are aiding
in the development of scattered moderate convection between the NW
Bahamas and SE Florida, and S of the front to 28N between 47W and
72W. A 1033 mb high pressure system centered NE of the Azores
extends a ridge southwestward through 30N39W then west-
southwestward to the waters east of the Bahamas. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N
and west of 35W to the SE Bahamas. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds
and seas of 5-8 ft are present north of 20N and east of 35W.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extending from
31.5N73W to the Upper Florida Keys will gradually dissipate
tonight while drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S.
coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly from the central
Atlantic westward into central Florida through early next week.
This pattern will support moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to
strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening hours near
the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 23:05:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 022304
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jul 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2220 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W, south of 16N,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06.5N to 11N between 20W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 11N to 13.5N between 53W and 61W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 84W-85W, south of 20N and
extending into the tropical eastern Pacific, moving westward at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection
is along the monsoon trough near the coast of Costa Rica, and
extends ahead of the wave across Central America and into the
adjacent Pacific waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16.5W and continues southwestward to 06.5N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 06.5N35W to 06N45W to 9.5N53W. Scattered
moderate convection is evident from 06.5N to 12N E of 19W and into
western Africa, and from 06N to 10N and between 30W and 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure extends from the western Atlantic southwestward
across the SE U.S. and the northern Gulf waters, supporting
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across the entire
basin. Divergence aloft is supporting a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the western Bay of Campeche and Mexican coastal
waters south of Tampico. Similar activity is also noted weakening
across the NE Gulf. Scattered afternoon thunderstorms across
southern Florida are moving westward and reaching the coasts
between Tampa Bay and Naples.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure across the NE Atlantic extends southwestward through
30N39W and then west-southwestward to the NW Bahamas. The pressure
gradient across the basin has tightened behind a tropical wave
move moving into Central America, and supports fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and seas of 8-11 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are occurring ahead of a tropical wave approaching
the Lesser Antilles, and are weakening as they cross the islands
and encounter SW wind shear. Scattered thunderstorms are along the
monsoon trough S of 10N across the coastal waters of western
Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish
slightly through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near-gale
force each night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in
the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail
over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms
are expected across the SE Caribbean tonight through Fri night as
an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening front remains stationary along about 31N, from 55W to
1017 mb low pressure near 31.5N73W, then becomes a surface trough
extends from 31N74W to the upper Florida Keys. Low level
convergence south of the front, and along the trough are aiding
in the development of scattered moderate convection between the NW
Bahamas and SE Florida, and S of the front to 28N between 47W and
72W. A 1033 mb high pressure system centered NE of the Azores
extends a ridge southwestward through 30N39W then west-
southwestward to the waters east of the Bahamas. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N
and west of 35W to the SE Bahamas. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds
and seas of 5-8 ft are present north of 20N and east of 35W.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extending from
31.5N73W to the Upper Florida Keys will gradually dissipate
tonight while drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S.
coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly from the central
Atlantic westward into central Florida through early next week.
This pattern will support moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to
strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening hours near
the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 11:04:57 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 02 Jul 2026 23:07:59 GMT - Thu, 02 Jul 2026 23:04:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 022304
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 13:34:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021334
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0935 AM EDT THU 02 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-032
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf