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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 16:50:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
790
AXNT20 KNHC 151650
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jul 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1649 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between high
pressure north of the basin and lower pressures over northern
South America will support pulsing NE winds to gale-force across
the waters N of Colombia each night from tonight through Fri
night. Rough seas will prevail with these winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26.5W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 02.5N to 10N between 24W and 29W.
A new tropical wave has moved off the coast of West Africa; the
wave axis is along 17.5W and south of 16N. Ahead of this wave, a
weak 1014 mb low pressure has formed along the monsoon trough.
Numerous moderate convection is depicted from 06N to 13N and east
of 24W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
southwestward to a 1014 mb low pressure near 11N19.5W to 09N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N35W to 07N55W. See the Tropical Waves
section for details on the convection near monsoon trough.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is draped across Texas and Louisiana coast. An
east to west upper trough across this same area is combining with
plenty of low level moisture and diurnal heating to support
scattered moderate convection across much of the northern Gulf
waters north of 21N and west of 90W.
Outside of convection, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida
and into the western Gulf. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh E to SE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas south of 24N. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong easterly winds
will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each night. Mainly
gentle to moderate winds, and slight to locally moderate seas,
will prevail elsewhere.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the south central Caribbean.
The tight pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical
Atlantic ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
South America continue to support strong to near gale-force
easterly winds and rough seas in the south-central Caribbean.
Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas are
occurring in the remainder of the central Caribbean. Meanwhile,
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern Caribbean and over the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
prevalent.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper level trough and
abundant tropical moisture continue to support numerous
moderate to scattered strong convection from 11N to 20.5N and west
of 82.5W. These storms can produce gusty winds to near gale-
force, frequent lightning and suddenly higher seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and the Colombian low will support pulsing NE
winds to gale- force across the waters N of Colombia each night
through Fri night. Otherwise, strong to near- gale trade winds,
and rough seas, will prevail across the central Caribbean through
the remainder of the week and weekend. East winds will pulse fresh
to locally strong each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from the central Atlantic to 30N62W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted north of 28N and between
51W and 63W. Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas are
present in those waters. Convection is suppressed elsewhere across
much of the basin due to a large plume of Saharan dust and mid-
latitude dry air.
The Atlantic subtropical ridge persists across the basin,
supporting moderate easterly trade winds south of the SE Bahamas
and between 70W and 80W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
and moderate seas are occurring south of 24N between 35W and the
Lesser Antilles. Meanwhile, in the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to
strong SW winds and seas of 4-8 ft are evident south of 10N and
east of 21W. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds and seas 3 to 6 ft
prevail between the Canary Islands and the coast of West Africa.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$ KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 16:50:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
790
AXNT20 KNHC 151650
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jul 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1649 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between high
pressure north of the basin and lower pressures over northern
South America will support pulsing NE winds to gale-force across
the waters N of Colombia each night from tonight through Fri
night. Rough seas will prevail with these winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26.5W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted from 02.5N to 10N between 24W and 29W.
A new tropical wave has moved off the coast of West Africa; the
wave axis is along 17.5W and south of 16N. Ahead of this wave, a
weak 1014 mb low pressure has formed along the monsoon trough.
Numerous moderate convection is depicted from 06N to 13N and east
of 24W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 19N17W and continues
southwestward to a 1014 mb low pressure near 11N19.5W to 09N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 09N35W to 07N55W. See the Tropical Waves
section for details on the convection near monsoon trough.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front is draped across Texas and Louisiana coast. An
east to west upper trough across this same area is combining with
plenty of low level moisture and diurnal heating to support
scattered moderate convection across much of the northern Gulf
waters north of 21N and west of 90W.
Outside of convection, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida
and into the western Gulf. This pattern is supporting moderate to
fresh E to SE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas south of 24N. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong easterly winds
will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each night. Mainly
gentle to moderate winds, and slight to locally moderate seas,
will prevail elsewhere.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the south central Caribbean.
The tight pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical
Atlantic ridge north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
South America continue to support strong to near gale-force
easterly winds and rough seas in the south-central Caribbean.
Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas are
occurring in the remainder of the central Caribbean. Meanwhile,
moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in
the eastern Caribbean and over the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are
prevalent.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper level trough and
abundant tropical moisture continue to support numerous
moderate to scattered strong convection from 11N to 20.5N and west
of 82.5W. These storms can produce gusty winds to near gale-
force, frequent lightning and suddenly higher seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and the Colombian low will support pulsing NE
winds to gale- force across the waters N of Colombia each night
through Fri night. Otherwise, strong to near- gale trade winds,
and rough seas, will prevail across the central Caribbean through
the remainder of the week and weekend. East winds will pulse fresh
to locally strong each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from the central Atlantic to 30N62W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted north of 28N and between
51W and 63W. Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas are
present in those waters. Convection is suppressed elsewhere across
much of the basin due to a large plume of Saharan dust and mid-
latitude dry air.
The Atlantic subtropical ridge persists across the basin,
supporting moderate easterly trade winds south of the SE Bahamas
and between 70W and 80W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
and moderate seas are occurring south of 24N between 35W and the
Lesser Antilles. Meanwhile, in the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to
strong SW winds and seas of 4-8 ft are evident south of 10N and
east of 21W. Moderate to locally fresh NE winds and seas 3 to 6 ft
prevail between the Canary Islands and the coast of West Africa.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$ KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 17 Jul 2026 05:28:20 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 15 Jul 2026 22:41:19 GMT - Wed, 15 Jul 2026 17:28:20 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 151728
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northeastern Gulf of America:
An area of low pressure is expected to form during the weekend over
the northeastern Gulf of America. Subsequent slow development of
this system is possible while it moves slowly northeastward over the
northeastern Gulf and or near the southeastern coast of the United
States by early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave southeast
of the Cabo Verde Islands have become a little better organized
during the past 24 hours. Some additional slow development is
possible over the next couple of days as the system moves generally
west-northwestward. After that, the system is expected to move into
an environment that is not conducive for additional development by
the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 13:14:52 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151314
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 15 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-045
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf