2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 06:03:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 230603
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Nov 23 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0600 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
    southwestward to 09N19W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
    continues to 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    03N to 14N and E of 44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A frontal boundary slowing making its way into the NW Gulf from
    SE TX is helping to induce scattered showers in the NW Gulf. A
    1020 mb high pressure is centered near 27N86W, resulting in
    moderate or weaker winds in anticyclonic flow across the vast
    majority of the Gulf, except for the SW Gulf and Bay of Campeche
    where moderate to locally fresh NE winds persist. Slight seas
    prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, a weak stationary frontal boundary is along the
    Texas coast will lift back north as a warm front on Sun. Expect
    fresh southerly flow off the Texas coast Sun night through Mon
    night supported by the gradient between low pressure over
    northeast Mexico and high pressure that will be centered just
    offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast. These winds will diminish Tue
    ahead of another front moving across the southern Plains. Looking
    ahead, this stronger front will move into the northwest Gulf early
    on Wed, then sweep to the southeast of the basin by late Thu,
    followed by fresh northeast winds and building seas. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms may accompany the front across the NW
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough parallels the coasts of Honduras, Nicaragua,
    and Costa Rica, leading to scattered moderate and isolated strong
    convection in the Caribbean generally S of 20N and W of 79W.
    Elsewhere, the combination between high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and the Colombian low is resulting in fresh to strong
    trade winds over most of the central Caribbean as captured by a
    recent scatterometer pass. Seas are 6-8 ft with these winds.
    Moderate to fresh winds and seas of 3-6 ft are noted over the
    remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
    pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning well
    into next week due to the pressure gradient resulting from the
    combination of high pressure over the western Atlantic and
    relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia and the south-
    central Caribbean. Rough seas can be expected with these winds.
    Elsewhere, the gradient will also support moderate to fresh trade
    winds along with moderate seas over the remainder of the basin
    through the period. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms associated with a trough are over the western
    Caribbean from 14N to 20N between 81W and 85W. Gusty winds are
    possible with this activity as it may linger into Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front enters the discussion waters near 31N58W and
    extends to near 26N66W. No significant convection is associated
    with this front. A surface trough is analyzed from 31N46W to
    17N52W. This trough is interacting with an upper level trough with
    axis along 50W, leading to scattered moderate convection
    occurring N of 22N between 44W and 49W. Farther east, convergent
    surface winds are leading to the development of scattered showers
    to the SW of the Canary Islands.

    Outside of convection, the pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
    high near 38N22W and lower pressures in the deep tropics support
    fresh to strong E to NE winds N of 23N and E of 45W, where seas of
    7-10 ft are also analyzed. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate
    to locally fresh trades and moderate seas are prevalent E of the
    Lesser Antilles and S of 20N, as well as along the northern coasts
    of Cuba and Hispaniola. Elsewhere N of 20N and W of 50W, moderate
    or weaker winds and seas of 2-5 ft prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
    near 31N59W southwestward to 26N67W will weaken and dissipate by
    early Sun evening. High pressure off east-central Florida will
    dissipate through Sun, ahead of another weak cold front that will
    move off the northeast Florida coast early Sun. The front will
    reach from near Bermuda to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon.
    The eastern portion of the front will continue eastward and reach
    from 30N55W to 27N70W by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W
    starts to lift back north as a warm front. High pressure will
    build north of the front off the Carolina coast, supporting
    moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate seas across
    the region, with large NW swell following the front southeast of
    Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish west of 70W
    by Wed, ahead of front expected to move off the northeast Florida
    coast early Thu. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits
    of Florida by late Thu night, followed by fresh northeast winds
    and building seas.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 06:03:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 230603
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Nov 23 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0600 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
    southwestward to 09N19W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
    continues to 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    03N to 14N and E of 44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A frontal boundary slowing making its way into the NW Gulf from
    SE TX is helping to induce scattered showers in the NW Gulf. A
    1020 mb high pressure is centered near 27N86W, resulting in
    moderate or weaker winds in anticyclonic flow across the vast
    majority of the Gulf, except for the SW Gulf and Bay of Campeche
    where moderate to locally fresh NE winds persist. Slight seas
    prevail across the basin.

    For the forecast, a weak stationary frontal boundary is along the
    Texas coast will lift back north as a warm front on Sun. Expect
    fresh southerly flow off the Texas coast Sun night through Mon
    night supported by the gradient between low pressure over
    northeast Mexico and high pressure that will be centered just
    offshore the Mid-Atlantic coast. These winds will diminish Tue
    ahead of another front moving across the southern Plains. Looking
    ahead, this stronger front will move into the northwest Gulf early
    on Wed, then sweep to the southeast of the basin by late Thu,
    followed by fresh northeast winds and building seas. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms may accompany the front across the NW
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough parallels the coasts of Honduras, Nicaragua,
    and Costa Rica, leading to scattered moderate and isolated strong
    convection in the Caribbean generally S of 20N and W of 79W.
    Elsewhere, the combination between high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and the Colombian low is resulting in fresh to strong
    trade winds over most of the central Caribbean as captured by a
    recent scatterometer pass. Seas are 6-8 ft with these winds.
    Moderate to fresh winds and seas of 3-6 ft are noted over the
    remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
    pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning well
    into next week due to the pressure gradient resulting from the
    combination of high pressure over the western Atlantic and
    relatively lower pressure over northern Colombia and the south-
    central Caribbean. Rough seas can be expected with these winds.
    Elsewhere, the gradient will also support moderate to fresh trade
    winds along with moderate seas over the remainder of the basin
    through the period. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms associated with a trough are over the western
    Caribbean from 14N to 20N between 81W and 85W. Gusty winds are
    possible with this activity as it may linger into Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front enters the discussion waters near 31N58W and
    extends to near 26N66W. No significant convection is associated
    with this front. A surface trough is analyzed from 31N46W to
    17N52W. This trough is interacting with an upper level trough with
    axis along 50W, leading to scattered moderate convection
    occurring N of 22N between 44W and 49W. Farther east, convergent
    surface winds are leading to the development of scattered showers
    to the SW of the Canary Islands.

    Outside of convection, the pressure gradient between a 1032 mb
    high near 38N22W and lower pressures in the deep tropics support
    fresh to strong E to NE winds N of 23N and E of 45W, where seas of
    7-10 ft are also analyzed. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, moderate
    to locally fresh trades and moderate seas are prevalent E of the
    Lesser Antilles and S of 20N, as well as along the northern coasts
    of Cuba and Hispaniola. Elsewhere N of 20N and W of 50W, moderate
    or weaker winds and seas of 2-5 ft prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
    near 31N59W southwestward to 26N67W will weaken and dissipate by
    early Sun evening. High pressure off east-central Florida will
    dissipate through Sun, ahead of another weak cold front that will
    move off the northeast Florida coast early Sun. The front will
    reach from near Bermuda to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon.
    The eastern portion of the front will continue eastward and reach
    from 30N55W to 27N70W by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W
    starts to lift back north as a warm front. High pressure will
    build north of the front off the Carolina coast, supporting
    moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate seas across
    the region, with large NW swell following the front southeast of
    Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish west of 70W
    by Wed, ahead of front expected to move off the northeast Florida
    coast early Thu. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits
    of Florida by late Thu night, followed by fresh northeast winds
    and building seas.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 24 Nov 2025 17:00:53 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 23 Nov 2025 09:50:06 GMT
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 05:00:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 230500
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 22 Nov 2025 13:54:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    993
    NOUS42 KNHC 221354
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EST SAT 22 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-175

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE. PACIFIC
    WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS WILL RESUME ON 30 NOVEMBER.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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