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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 16 Apr 2026 09:46:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 160946
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Apr 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 11.5N15.5W, then continues southward to
03N18W. The ITCZ extends from 03N18W to the coast of Brazil near
02S45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
S of 03N between 14W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge extends from a 1024 mb high pressure over the western
Atlantic westward across northern Florida and the northern Gulf.
The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures
across the western Caribbean, as well as the diurnal Yucatan
Peninsula trough supports fresh NE to E winds within about 90 nm
of the coast of the Yucatan and the E Bay of Campeche, and fresh
E winds through the Straits of Florida. Seas are 4 to 6 ft across
these areas. Elsewhere, mainly moderate E to SE winds prevail,
except for the NE Gulf where light to gentle winds and slight seas
dominate. Seas are 3 to 4 ft across the remainder of the eastern
Gulf and 4 to 6 ft across the western Gulf.
For the forecast, the current ridge across the N Gulf will remain
in place and slowly weaken through Sat to maintain gentle to
moderate E to SE winds across most of the basin. The exception
will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will
allow fresh winds to pulse to strong during the evenings. Looking
ahead, fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will
follow a cold front moving across the northern Gulf Sat night
through Sun night. The front will stall from the Florida Straits
to south Texas by late Mon. Fresh SE winds are expected ahead of
the front over the NW and west-central Gulf beginning on Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad and deep layered cyclonic circulation continues across the
Greater Antilles, the western half of the Caribbean and the
adjacent Atlantic waters. This is inducing an inverted trough in
the low levels that extends from Dominican Republic northward
into the western Atlantic. This trough is weakening the local
pressure gradient and supporting gentle to moderate winds across
the eastern Caribbean E of 70W, except fresh winds along the NE
coastal waters of Venezuela. Seas are 3 to 4 ft across these
waters and 5 to 6 ft in the fresh winds off of NE Venezuela.
The western Atlantic ridge extends southwestward across the
Bahamas and the NW Caribbean, and is forcing fresh to strong NE
winds through the Windward Passage, and in the lee of eastern
Cuba, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh trade winds and
seas of 4 to 6 ft are occurring offshore Colombia. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate NE to E winds with seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail.
Abundant cloudiness, with possible showers, extends from Venezuela
across the SE Caribbean and the Lesser Antilles into the tropical
Atlantic.
For the forecast, a surface trough extending from Hispaniola
northward into the western Atlantic will move slowly westward and
weaken through the weekend. This feature will disrupt the typical
pressure pattern across the basin during this time. Expect fresh
trade winds and moderate seas off the coast of Colombia at night
through Fri night, then mainly gentle to moderate winds are expected
there during the remainder of the week. Fresh to locally strong
northeast winds and moderate seas will persist in the lee of Cuba,
and in the Windward Passage through early today. Winds and seas
will generally diminish across the basin as the trough passes
north of the area Fri through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad and deep layered cyclonic circulation extends from a small
upper-level low located just N of Hispaniola across the Bahamas,
the Greater Antilles, and the western Caribbean. This features has
induced a surface trough that extends from Bermuda to Dominican
Republic. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing E of the surface
trough and near the small upper low, particularly from 19N to 23N
between 60W and 70W. A surface ridge extends across the north portion
of the forecast area from the Azores to Bermuda and north-central
Florida into the northern Gulf of America. The associated pressure
gradient W of the aforementioned surface trough is producing a
broad area of fresh NE winds south of 29N through the central and
southeast Bahamas and across the eastern half of Cuba. Seas are 6
to 8 ft in this area. A moderate pressure gradient prevails south
of the ridge and E of the surface trough to 20W. Moderate to fresh
trade winds prevail across the basin S of 26N and into the tropics,
with an area of fresh to locally strong NE to E winds affecting
the waters from 06N to 12N between 50W and 56W. Seas are 7 to 9
ft with these winds based on altimeter data. Moderate to fresh NE
winds are observed N of 20N and E of 20W, including the Canary
Islands. Moderate to rough seas are related to these winds.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extending between
Bermuda and Dominican Republic will drift west toward the Turks
and Caicos Islands today, then will remain nearly stationary
through Fri while gradually weakening, then drift westward and
dissipate through the weekend. Moderate to fresh NE winds and
moderate to locally rough seas will persist west of the trough
across the southern Bahamas through this morning, with conditions
gradually improving thereafter as the trough weakens. High
pressure will build into the area from the E following the trough.
Looking ahead, a cold front is forecast to move off the coast of
northeast Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to strong N to NE winds
and building seas in the wake of the front as it reaches from
Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late Mon.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 16 Apr 2026 09:46:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 160946
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Apr 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0945 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 11.5N15.5W, then continues southward to
03N18W. The ITCZ extends from 03N18W to the coast of Brazil near
02S45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
S of 03N between 14W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge extends from a 1024 mb high pressure over the western
Atlantic westward across northern Florida and the northern Gulf.
The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures
across the western Caribbean, as well as the diurnal Yucatan
Peninsula trough supports fresh NE to E winds within about 90 nm
of the coast of the Yucatan and the E Bay of Campeche, and fresh
E winds through the Straits of Florida. Seas are 4 to 6 ft across
these areas. Elsewhere, mainly moderate E to SE winds prevail,
except for the NE Gulf where light to gentle winds and slight seas
dominate. Seas are 3 to 4 ft across the remainder of the eastern
Gulf and 4 to 6 ft across the western Gulf.
For the forecast, the current ridge across the N Gulf will remain
in place and slowly weaken through Sat to maintain gentle to
moderate E to SE winds across most of the basin. The exception
will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will
allow fresh winds to pulse to strong during the evenings. Looking
ahead, fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will
follow a cold front moving across the northern Gulf Sat night
through Sun night. The front will stall from the Florida Straits
to south Texas by late Mon. Fresh SE winds are expected ahead of
the front over the NW and west-central Gulf beginning on Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad and deep layered cyclonic circulation continues across the
Greater Antilles, the western half of the Caribbean and the
adjacent Atlantic waters. This is inducing an inverted trough in
the low levels that extends from Dominican Republic northward
into the western Atlantic. This trough is weakening the local
pressure gradient and supporting gentle to moderate winds across
the eastern Caribbean E of 70W, except fresh winds along the NE
coastal waters of Venezuela. Seas are 3 to 4 ft across these
waters and 5 to 6 ft in the fresh winds off of NE Venezuela.
The western Atlantic ridge extends southwestward across the
Bahamas and the NW Caribbean, and is forcing fresh to strong NE
winds through the Windward Passage, and in the lee of eastern
Cuba, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Moderate to fresh trade winds and
seas of 4 to 6 ft are occurring offshore Colombia. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate NE to E winds with seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail.
Abundant cloudiness, with possible showers, extends from Venezuela
across the SE Caribbean and the Lesser Antilles into the tropical
Atlantic.
For the forecast, a surface trough extending from Hispaniola
northward into the western Atlantic will move slowly westward and
weaken through the weekend. This feature will disrupt the typical
pressure pattern across the basin during this time. Expect fresh
trade winds and moderate seas off the coast of Colombia at night
through Fri night, then mainly gentle to moderate winds are expected
there during the remainder of the week. Fresh to locally strong
northeast winds and moderate seas will persist in the lee of Cuba,
and in the Windward Passage through early today. Winds and seas
will generally diminish across the basin as the trough passes
north of the area Fri through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad and deep layered cyclonic circulation extends from a small
upper-level low located just N of Hispaniola across the Bahamas,
the Greater Antilles, and the western Caribbean. This features has
induced a surface trough that extends from Bermuda to Dominican
Republic. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing E of the surface
trough and near the small upper low, particularly from 19N to 23N
between 60W and 70W. A surface ridge extends across the north portion
of the forecast area from the Azores to Bermuda and north-central
Florida into the northern Gulf of America. The associated pressure
gradient W of the aforementioned surface trough is producing a
broad area of fresh NE winds south of 29N through the central and
southeast Bahamas and across the eastern half of Cuba. Seas are 6
to 8 ft in this area. A moderate pressure gradient prevails south
of the ridge and E of the surface trough to 20W. Moderate to fresh
trade winds prevail across the basin S of 26N and into the tropics,
with an area of fresh to locally strong NE to E winds affecting
the waters from 06N to 12N between 50W and 56W. Seas are 7 to 9
ft with these winds based on altimeter data. Moderate to fresh NE
winds are observed N of 20N and E of 20W, including the Canary
Islands. Moderate to rough seas are related to these winds.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extending between
Bermuda and Dominican Republic will drift west toward the Turks
and Caicos Islands today, then will remain nearly stationary
through Fri while gradually weakening, then drift westward and
dissipate through the weekend. Moderate to fresh NE winds and
moderate to locally rough seas will persist west of the trough
across the southern Bahamas through this morning, with conditions
gradually improving thereafter as the trough weakens. High
pressure will build into the area from the E following the trough.
Looking ahead, a cold front is forecast to move off the coast of
northeast Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to strong N to NE winds
and building seas in the wake of the front as it reaches from
Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late Mon.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 16 Apr 2026 14:51:35 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf