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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 15 Nov 2026 02:38:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
011
AXNT20 KNHC 150238
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Nov 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains mostly over Africa. The ITCZ extends
from 10N16W to 06N20W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 11N between 20W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from southwest Florida through the
central Gulf into south Texas. Farther south, a trough extends
eastward into the Yucatan Peninsula. Recent scatterometer data and
buoy observations are showing moderate to fresh E to SE winds over
the northwest Gulf north of 22N and west of 90W, where seas are
4-6 ft. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 3-5 ft seas are noted
elsewhere.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between high
pressure building southward toward the basin and possible low
pressure developing in the west- central or NW Gulf Sun will lead
to increasing NE to E winds over the northern Gulf. Winds will
increase to near gale- force over portions of the NW and north-
central basin through Mon. Strong to near gale- force N winds will
also funnel down the NE coast of Mexico, including offshore
Veracruz, for the start of next week. Fresh to strong NE to E
winds are then likely to continue across the NE Gulf into the
middle of next week as a tight pressure gradient prevails. Rough
seas will build in association with these strong winds, and may
impact portions of the northern and western basin well into next
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and 4-6 ft seas are observed
across the eastern Caribbean, generally east of 70W, as a tight
pressure gradient prevails between low pressure over northern
Colombia and strong high pressure over the central Atlantic.
Moderate to fresh winds and 3-5 ft seas are evident over the
northwest Caribbean north of 20N. This is mostly north of a
stationary front over the northwest Caribbean. Scattered showers
and a few thunderstorms are noted along the front. Light to gentle
NE to E winds and 2-4 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong winds in the southeastern
Caribbean will slowly diminish into Monday. Fresh to strong
trades will develop in the south- central basin Sun night.
Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds will prevail over the
northwestern Caribbean into Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N60W to the central Bahamas to central
Cuba. A second front extends from Bermuda the northwest Bahamas
to South Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms persist
within 180 nm east of the front from 20N to 26N. Fresh to strong
SW winds and 8 to 12 ft seas are also noted within 180 nm east of
the front, north of 17N, and fresh to strong NE winds follow the
second front east of 65W, along with combined seas of 7 to 11 ft
in moderate NW swell. Elsewhere, the Atlantic is dominated by a
broad ridge anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near
29N35W. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
and 5-7 ft seas south of 20N, and gentle breezes and 3-5 ft seas
in NW and N swell elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, by Mon, the front will begin
to weaken over SE portions of the waters. High pressure building
southward toward the region will lead to a tightening pressure
gradient and increasing NE to E winds in the vicinity of the
Bahamas Mon. These winds and associated rough seas will expand in
area, especially northward and eastward, through the middle of
next week.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 15 Nov 2026 02:38:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
011
AXNT20 KNHC 150238
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Nov 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0230 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains mostly over Africa. The ITCZ extends
from 10N16W to 06N20W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 06N to 11N between 20W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from southwest Florida through the
central Gulf into south Texas. Farther south, a trough extends
eastward into the Yucatan Peninsula. Recent scatterometer data and
buoy observations are showing moderate to fresh E to SE winds over
the northwest Gulf north of 22N and west of 90W, where seas are
4-6 ft. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 3-5 ft seas are noted
elsewhere.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between high
pressure building southward toward the basin and possible low
pressure developing in the west- central or NW Gulf Sun will lead
to increasing NE to E winds over the northern Gulf. Winds will
increase to near gale- force over portions of the NW and north-
central basin through Mon. Strong to near gale- force N winds will
also funnel down the NE coast of Mexico, including offshore
Veracruz, for the start of next week. Fresh to strong NE to E
winds are then likely to continue across the NE Gulf into the
middle of next week as a tight pressure gradient prevails. Rough
seas will build in association with these strong winds, and may
impact portions of the northern and western basin well into next
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and 4-6 ft seas are observed
across the eastern Caribbean, generally east of 70W, as a tight
pressure gradient prevails between low pressure over northern
Colombia and strong high pressure over the central Atlantic.
Moderate to fresh winds and 3-5 ft seas are evident over the
northwest Caribbean north of 20N. This is mostly north of a
stationary front over the northwest Caribbean. Scattered showers
and a few thunderstorms are noted along the front. Light to gentle
NE to E winds and 2-4 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong winds in the southeastern
Caribbean will slowly diminish into Monday. Fresh to strong
trades will develop in the south- central basin Sun night.
Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds will prevail over the
northwestern Caribbean into Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N60W to the central Bahamas to central
Cuba. A second front extends from Bermuda the northwest Bahamas
to South Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms persist
within 180 nm east of the front from 20N to 26N. Fresh to strong
SW winds and 8 to 12 ft seas are also noted within 180 nm east of
the front, north of 17N, and fresh to strong NE winds follow the
second front east of 65W, along with combined seas of 7 to 11 ft
in moderate NW swell. Elsewhere, the Atlantic is dominated by a
broad ridge anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near
29N35W. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
and 5-7 ft seas south of 20N, and gentle breezes and 3-5 ft seas
in NW and N swell elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, by Mon, the front will begin
to weaken over SE portions of the waters. High pressure building
southward toward the region will lead to a tightening pressure
gradient and increasing NE to E winds in the vicinity of the
Bahamas Mon. These winds and associated rough seas will expand in
area, especially northward and eastward, through the middle of
next week.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 16 Nov 2026 17:05:33 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 15 Nov 2026 05:08:40 GMT - Sun, 15 Nov 2026 05:05:33 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 150505
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sun Nov 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 14 Nov 2026 16:19:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141619
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST SAT 14 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-167
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf