SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 09 Mar 2026 23:04:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 092304
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Mar 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
Atlantic high pressure ridge, along about 32N, and the Colombian
low, will continue to support fresh to near gale-force trades
across the south central and southeastern Caribbean through Thu
morning. Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to gale-force Tue
night, and possibly briefly again on Wed night. Seas of 8 to 12
ft are expected with the strongest winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11.5N15.5W to
02.5N19.5W, then transitions to ITCZ, continuing from that point
to 01S34W to the coast of Brazil at 03S37W. Scattered showers are
noted about the ITCZ W of 18W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends across the northern Gulf, from 1028 mb
highpressure just E of Bermuda, westward to SE Texas. Gentle to
moderate SE to S winds are found across most of the basin, with
slight seas of 2 to 4 ft, except peak seas of 5 ft offshore of the
central Mexican coast. A small and narrow band of weak showers
extends offshore from the mouth of the Mississippi River.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will prevail through
midweek. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
pressures over Mexico will support mainly moderate to fresh E to
SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to fresh and strong near the northern
Yucatan and the western Gulf in the evenings, and slightly weaker
winds overall in the northeastern Gulf. Seas will be slight to
moderate through Wed. A cold front may impact the northwestern
Gulf beginning Wed night, before moving across the basin through
Fri night with winds increasing to fresh to strong speeds and seas
building to 9 ft behind it. A brief period of gale force winds
may be possible offshore of Veracruz early on Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above regarding developing
Gale conditions in the south-central Caribbean.
A strong pressure gradient between the Colombian low and Atlantic high
pressure extending westward along 32N to the north is supporting
fresh to strong trade winds over much of the central and eastern
Caribbean. Winds are moderate to fresh across the remaining
basin, except for light winds in far SW portions. Rough seas of 8
to 10 ft prevail in the central and south-central Caribbean and
are a bit more moderate at 6 to 8 ft in the eastern Caribbean,
except locally rough near Atlantic passages. Scattered passing
showers dot much of the north central and W portions of the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a Bermuda High and
the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across the
eastern basin through Tue, and the central basin through Wed
night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-
force during the night-time hours Tue night. Fresh to locally
strong NE to E winds will pulse near the Windward Passage through
mid-week. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of
Honduras and Lee of Cuba through Wed night. Large easterly trade-
wind swell from the tropical North Atlantic will keep rough seas
near the Lesser Antilles through Wed night. Marine conditions will
improve slightly by the end of the week as the pressure gradient
weakens due to a weak cold front approaching the NW Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Surface ridging dominates the central and western tropical
Atlantic, centered on a 1028 mb high near 32N60W. This pattern is
supporting widespread moderate to fresh trade winds south of 27N
and west of 45W, becoming moderate SE to S winds north of the
Bahamas and west of 70W. Rough seas to 10 ft in E swell are noted
in this region of fresh winds as well as east of the Lesser
Antilles. Elsewhere, the remnants of a frontal boundary are
analyzed as a surface trough, extending from 31N37W to 25N41W.
Fresh to strong NE winds are occurring N of 27N between the trough
and 48W. Associated remnant rough seas are found N of 28N between
25W and 37W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring N
of 22N between 34W and 41W. Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds
and rough seas in NE swell prevail off the coast of northwest
Africa, supported by a strong pressure gradient between a high to
the north over the Azores and lower pressures over northwest
Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
prevail over the rest of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
will prevail south of 27N through midweek, reaching strong north
of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Rough seas will
prevail within these winds and east of the central and southeast
Bahamas through Tue. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected
elsewhere across the region. Fresh to strong southerly winds may
develop off northern Florida Wed night ahead of a cold front.
That front is expected to move offshore Thu with fresh to strong
winds and building seas behind it, weakening and slowing from near
Bermuda to the northern Bahamas by late Thu night.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 09 Mar 2026 23:04:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 092304
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Mar 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
Atlantic high pressure ridge, along about 32N, and the Colombian
low, will continue to support fresh to near gale-force trades
across the south central and southeastern Caribbean through Thu
morning. Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to gale-force Tue
night, and possibly briefly again on Wed night. Seas of 8 to 12
ft are expected with the strongest winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11.5N15.5W to
02.5N19.5W, then transitions to ITCZ, continuing from that point
to 01S34W to the coast of Brazil at 03S37W. Scattered showers are
noted about the ITCZ W of 18W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends across the northern Gulf, from 1028 mb
highpressure just E of Bermuda, westward to SE Texas. Gentle to
moderate SE to S winds are found across most of the basin, with
slight seas of 2 to 4 ft, except peak seas of 5 ft offshore of the
central Mexican coast. A small and narrow band of weak showers
extends offshore from the mouth of the Mississippi River.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will prevail through
midweek. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
pressures over Mexico will support mainly moderate to fresh E to
SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to fresh and strong near the northern
Yucatan and the western Gulf in the evenings, and slightly weaker
winds overall in the northeastern Gulf. Seas will be slight to
moderate through Wed. A cold front may impact the northwestern
Gulf beginning Wed night, before moving across the basin through
Fri night with winds increasing to fresh to strong speeds and seas
building to 9 ft behind it. A brief period of gale force winds
may be possible offshore of Veracruz early on Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above regarding developing
Gale conditions in the south-central Caribbean.
A strong pressure gradient between the Colombian low and Atlantic high
pressure extending westward along 32N to the north is supporting
fresh to strong trade winds over much of the central and eastern
Caribbean. Winds are moderate to fresh across the remaining
basin, except for light winds in far SW portions. Rough seas of 8
to 10 ft prevail in the central and south-central Caribbean and
are a bit more moderate at 6 to 8 ft in the eastern Caribbean,
except locally rough near Atlantic passages. Scattered passing
showers dot much of the north central and W portions of the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a Bermuda High and
the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across the
eastern basin through Tue, and the central basin through Wed
night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-
force during the night-time hours Tue night. Fresh to locally
strong NE to E winds will pulse near the Windward Passage through
mid-week. Moderate to fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of
Honduras and Lee of Cuba through Wed night. Large easterly trade-
wind swell from the tropical North Atlantic will keep rough seas
near the Lesser Antilles through Wed night. Marine conditions will
improve slightly by the end of the week as the pressure gradient
weakens due to a weak cold front approaching the NW Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Surface ridging dominates the central and western tropical
Atlantic, centered on a 1028 mb high near 32N60W. This pattern is
supporting widespread moderate to fresh trade winds south of 27N
and west of 45W, becoming moderate SE to S winds north of the
Bahamas and west of 70W. Rough seas to 10 ft in E swell are noted
in this region of fresh winds as well as east of the Lesser
Antilles. Elsewhere, the remnants of a frontal boundary are
analyzed as a surface trough, extending from 31N37W to 25N41W.
Fresh to strong NE winds are occurring N of 27N between the trough
and 48W. Associated remnant rough seas are found N of 28N between
25W and 37W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring N
of 22N between 34W and 41W. Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds
and rough seas in NE swell prevail off the coast of northwest
Africa, supported by a strong pressure gradient between a high to
the north over the Azores and lower pressures over northwest
Africa. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
prevail over the rest of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
will prevail south of 27N through midweek, reaching strong north
of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Rough seas will
prevail within these winds and east of the central and southeast
Bahamas through Tue. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected
elsewhere across the region. Fresh to strong southerly winds may
develop off northern Florida Wed night ahead of a cold front.
That front is expected to move offshore Thu with fresh to strong
winds and building seas behind it, weakening and slowing from near
Bermuda to the northern Bahamas by late Thu night.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 10 Mar 2026 02:14:07 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 09 Mar 2026 17:25:34 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
286
NOUS42 KNHC 091725
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0125 PM EDT MON 09 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z MARCH 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-099
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
A. 11/0000Z
B. NOAA9 40WSE IOP41
C. 10/1930Z
D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY: 35.0N 130.0W, 35.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 150.0W, AND 55.0N
130.0W
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 10/2030Z TO 11/0230Z
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
FOR THE 12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
FOR THE 13/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf