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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 16:56:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 261656
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1655 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Fay is centered near 29.6N 44.0W at 26/1500
UTC or 980 nm WSW of the Azores, moving WSW at 4 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1009 mb. Maximum sustained wind
speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas to 12 ft are
occurring across the N semicircle. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 28N to 30N between 43W and 46.5W. Little change in
strength is forecast over the next several days.
Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 18.8N 23.0W at 26/1500
UTC or 130 nm N of Sal Cabo Verde, moving NNW at 9 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are near 18 ft in the NE
quadrant. Gonzalo is a sheared storm with numerous moderate
isolated strong convection extending from 18N to 28N between 16.5W
and 20.5W. On the forecast track, the center will continue to
move away from northeastern portions of the Cabo Verde Islands
today. Additional weakening is forecast, and Gonzalo is expected
to become a remnant low in the next 12-24 hours. Swells generated
by Gonzalo are expected to affect portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands through today before diminishing Sunday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Very Large NE Swell: A cold front extends from near 31N68.5W
through the north-central Bahamas and to the NW coast of Cuba.
Deepening low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast of the U.S.
has produce gale to storm force N to NE winds pointing toward
Florida and the SE U.S. coast, and generating large swell. This
swell is propagating into the area behind the cold front,
producing seas of 8 to 12 ft generally to the N of 26W and W of
65W. Rough seas will follow the front through later this afternoon,
before starting to subside through Sun morning.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 63W, south of 18N, moving west
at near 15 kt. The wave is being sheared by an upper-level low
center across the NE Caribbean. No significant convection is
depicted at this time in association to this wave.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis along 81W, S of
16N, extending across Panama, moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is depicted along the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 14.5N22W to 08N41W. The ITCZ
extends from 08N41W to 11.5N61W. Aside from convection associated
with Gonzalo, numerous convection is depicted from 09.52N to 15N
between 49W and 60W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
04N to 14N between 22W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weakening stationary front extends from W Cuba to the south-central
Gulf to the Rio Grande river. Isolated showers can be found along
the weakening front. Scattered moderate convection is found over
the central Bay of Campeche along a surface trough. Moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas prevail basin- wide.
For the forecast, light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas, will prevail through the weekend. Winds and seas will
gradually increase from the early to the middle part of next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weaker than usual pressure gradient across the nearby Atlantic
and Caribbean basin is translating to gentle to moderate trades
over most of the basin, with the exception of locally fresh east
winds offshore western Venezuela and NE Colombia. Seas are 4 to 6
ft in the south-central Caribbean, 2 ft or less in the NW, and 3
to 5 ft elsewhere. A middle to upper-level low center is over the
NE Caribbean and promoting sinking air and stable conditions
across much of central portions. The eastern end of the Eastern
Pacific monsoon trough is supporting a cluster of scattered
showers and thunderstorms offshore of central and western
Colombia. Scattered moderate convection is present across the
waters between Jamaica and Cuba.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
to fresh trades over the south-central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere. Slight to moderate seas will be over the
NW Caribbean with moderate seas elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Gonzalo, Tropical Depression Fay and on significant swell
propagating southward into waters offshore Florida and NE of the
Bahamas to 65W.
A vigorous upper-level trough along the eastern seaboard of the
U.S. supports the deep low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast,
and a cold front across the western Atlantic waters from 31N68.5W
to the north-central Bahamas to NW coast of Cuba. Scattered to
locally numerous moderate isolated strong convection is occurring
ahead of the front to 64.5W. Moderate to fresh SW winds are
occurring N of 23N and ahead of the front to 62W, where seas are
5 to 9 ft in N swell. Behind the front, moderate NW to N winds
prevail. Seas are 8 to 12 ft in mostly N to NE swell. To the east,
a surface trough supported by a mid-level low is inducing
numerous moderate convection from 24N to 30N between 54W and 62W.
Moderate lo locally fresh winds and seas 4 to 6 ft are present in
the vicinity of this trough. E of this area, high pressure across
the NE Atlantic drapes across Tropical Depression Fay. The weak
pressure gradient to the south continues to yield a belt of
moderate trades from 10N to 21N W of 40W to the Lesser Antilles,
where seas are 5 to 6 ft. Farther E, moderate to fresh NE to E
winds prevail S of the monsoon trough to 24N between 19W and 30W,
where seas are 5 to 8 ft in NE swell from Gonzalo. Otherwise
mainly gentle winds prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
reach from near Bermuda to central Cuba tonight before starting to
weaken. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
along the frontal boundary. Moderate to fresh winds are expected
east of the front this weekend before diminishing. Rough to very
rough seas behind the front will gradually subside through the
weekend.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 16:56:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 261656
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1655 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Fay is centered near 29.6N 44.0W at 26/1500
UTC or 980 nm WSW of the Azores, moving WSW at 4 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1009 mb. Maximum sustained wind
speed is 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt. Peak seas to 12 ft are
occurring across the N semicircle. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 28N to 30N between 43W and 46.5W. Little change in
strength is forecast over the next several days.
Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 18.8N 23.0W at 26/1500
UTC or 130 nm N of Sal Cabo Verde, moving NNW at 9 kt. Estimated
minimum central pressure is 1005 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed
is 35 kt with gusts to 45 kt. Peak seas are near 18 ft in the NE
quadrant. Gonzalo is a sheared storm with numerous moderate
isolated strong convection extending from 18N to 28N between 16.5W
and 20.5W. On the forecast track, the center will continue to
move away from northeastern portions of the Cabo Verde Islands
today. Additional weakening is forecast, and Gonzalo is expected
to become a remnant low in the next 12-24 hours. Swells generated
by Gonzalo are expected to affect portions of the Cabo Verde
Islands through today before diminishing Sunday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Very Large NE Swell: A cold front extends from near 31N68.5W
through the north-central Bahamas and to the NW coast of Cuba.
Deepening low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast of the U.S.
has produce gale to storm force N to NE winds pointing toward
Florida and the SE U.S. coast, and generating large swell. This
swell is propagating into the area behind the cold front,
producing seas of 8 to 12 ft generally to the N of 26W and W of
65W. Rough seas will follow the front through later this afternoon,
before starting to subside through Sun morning.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 63W, south of 18N, moving west
at near 15 kt. The wave is being sheared by an upper-level low
center across the NE Caribbean. No significant convection is
depicted at this time in association to this wave.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis along 81W, S of
16N, extending across Panama, moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is depicted along the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 14.5N22W to 08N41W. The ITCZ
extends from 08N41W to 11.5N61W. Aside from convection associated
with Gonzalo, numerous convection is depicted from 09.52N to 15N
between 49W and 60W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
04N to 14N between 22W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weakening stationary front extends from W Cuba to the south-central
Gulf to the Rio Grande river. Isolated showers can be found along
the weakening front. Scattered moderate convection is found over
the central Bay of Campeche along a surface trough. Moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas prevail basin- wide.
For the forecast, light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
seas, will prevail through the weekend. Winds and seas will
gradually increase from the early to the middle part of next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weaker than usual pressure gradient across the nearby Atlantic
and Caribbean basin is translating to gentle to moderate trades
over most of the basin, with the exception of locally fresh east
winds offshore western Venezuela and NE Colombia. Seas are 4 to 6
ft in the south-central Caribbean, 2 ft or less in the NW, and 3
to 5 ft elsewhere. A middle to upper-level low center is over the
NE Caribbean and promoting sinking air and stable conditions
across much of central portions. The eastern end of the Eastern
Pacific monsoon trough is supporting a cluster of scattered
showers and thunderstorms offshore of central and western
Colombia. Scattered moderate convection is present across the
waters between Jamaica and Cuba.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
to fresh trades over the south-central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere. Slight to moderate seas will be over the
NW Caribbean with moderate seas elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Gonzalo, Tropical Depression Fay and on significant swell
propagating southward into waters offshore Florida and NE of the
Bahamas to 65W.
A vigorous upper-level trough along the eastern seaboard of the
U.S. supports the deep low pressure off the middle Atlantic coast,
and a cold front across the western Atlantic waters from 31N68.5W
to the north-central Bahamas to NW coast of Cuba. Scattered to
locally numerous moderate isolated strong convection is occurring
ahead of the front to 64.5W. Moderate to fresh SW winds are
occurring N of 23N and ahead of the front to 62W, where seas are
5 to 9 ft in N swell. Behind the front, moderate NW to N winds
prevail. Seas are 8 to 12 ft in mostly N to NE swell. To the east,
a surface trough supported by a mid-level low is inducing
numerous moderate convection from 24N to 30N between 54W and 62W.
Moderate lo locally fresh winds and seas 4 to 6 ft are present in
the vicinity of this trough. E of this area, high pressure across
the NE Atlantic drapes across Tropical Depression Fay. The weak
pressure gradient to the south continues to yield a belt of
moderate trades from 10N to 21N W of 40W to the Lesser Antilles,
where seas are 5 to 6 ft. Farther E, moderate to fresh NE to E
winds prevail S of the monsoon trough to 24N between 19W and 30W,
where seas are 5 to 8 ft in NE swell from Gonzalo. Otherwise
mainly gentle winds prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
reach from near Bermuda to central Cuba tonight before starting to
weaken. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are expected
along the frontal boundary. Moderate to fresh winds are expected
east of the front this weekend before diminishing. Rough to very
rough seas behind the front will gradually subside through the
weekend.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 20:40:26 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 26 Sep 2026 20:40:26 GMT - Sat, 26 Sep 2026 20:40:16 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 26 Sep 2026 20:40:16 GMT - Sat, 26 Sep 2026 20:38:55 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 8 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 800 PM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026000 WTNT42 KNHC 262038 TCDAT2 Post-Tropical Cyclone Gonzalo Discussion Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026 800 PM CVT Sat Sep 26 2026 The bulk of the convective activity associated with Gonzalo has become even further separated from its center this afternoon. This increased separation is due to strong southwesterly vertical wind shear, diagnosed at nearly 50 kt this afternoon by UW-CIMSS. In addition, water vapor imagery shows very dry air infiltrating the low-level circulation, limiting convective redevelopment. Given that the nearest convection is now more than 100 n mi away from the center, lacks sufficient organization, and that these very unfavorable conditions are likely to persist, Gonzalo is being declared a post-tropical cyclone in this advisory. The maximum sustained winds remain 35 kt, assuming some higher winds exist in the convection displaced well northeast of the center. The post-tropical cyclone is still moving off to the north-northeast at 045 degrees at 6 kt. Downshear convection may still attempt to tug the center more northward over the next 12-24 h. However, as this activity diminishes, a shallow low-level ridge should steer the remnant low more west-northwest during the early portion of next week before dissipation. This is the final NHC advisory on Gonzalo. Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 19.3N 23.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 27/0600Z 20.1N 23.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 27/1800Z 20.8N 23.7W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 36H 28/0600Z 21.3N 24.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 48H 28/1800Z 21.5N 24.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 60H 29/0600Z 21.7N 25.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 29/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Papin
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 20:38:55 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Forecast Discussion Number 27 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sat Sep 26 2026000 WTNT41 KNHC 262038 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 27 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Sat Sep 26 2026 The convection around Fay has been mostly stripped away by the wind shear and the dry air in the environment. The latest TAFB Dvorak fix was T2.0/30 kt and the objective intensity estimate is in the range of 29-39 kt. Given that there has been little change in the intensity estimates, the initial intensity has been held at 30 kt for this advisory. The cyclone is now slowly moving towards the south, at 180/2 kt. Fay is expected to continue to move southward into the southern flank of the subtropical Atlantic high. By early next week, the depression should turn westward due to the large-scale easterly flow, but there is still some uncertainty in the timing of this turn. The current NHC forecast track is similar to the previous one with some small adjustments based on the HCCA and GDMI forecast aids. The intensity forecast continues to have a high level of uncertainty as Fay is still over favorably warm sea-surface temperatures. However, vertical wind shear and dry mid-level air continue to hinder the depression and preventing a more organized structure from developing. Both the GFS and ECMWF SHIPS statistical analysis have mid-level relative humidity less than 40 percent for the next several days. Convection is likely to continue to pulse up and down, but the current NHC intensity forecast follows the trend of the previous one showing little change in strength with only minor changes made. This forecast continues to maintain Fay as a tropical depression until it become post-tropical and dissipates by the middle of next week. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 26/2100Z 29.8N 43.9W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 27/0600Z 29.6N 43.9W 25 KT 30 MPH 24H 27/1800Z 28.9N 44.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 36H 28/0600Z 27.8N 44.0W 25 KT 30 MPH 48H 28/1800Z 26.5N 44.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 29/0600Z 25.0N 45.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 29/1800Z 24.1N 47.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 96H 30/1800Z 23.4N 51.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Beven
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 20:38:28 +0000: Tropical Depression Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 27 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026000 FONT11 KNHC 262038 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC SAT SEP 26 2026 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KATZ/BEVEN
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 26 Sep 2026 15:47:25 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261547
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1150 AM EDT SAT 26 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-119
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS (NO CHANGES)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE NOLO
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78
A. 27/2330Z,28/0530Z
B. AFXXX 0815E NOLO
C. 27/2200Z
D. 16.8N 159.7W
E. 27/2300Z TO 28/0530Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. HURRICANE POLO
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 42
A. 27/1800Z
B. NOAA2 0417E POLO
C. 27/1330Z
D. 21.4N 113.9W
E. 27/1600Z TO 27/2000Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR & FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
3. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA 42 P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR AND
FIX MISSIONS INTO POLO FOR 28/1800Z AND 29/0600Z, DEPARTING
KHRL AT 28/1330Z AND 29/0100Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





