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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 10 Jan 2026 08:46:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100846
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jan 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: Strong to near gale force NE to E
winds will pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to
the gradient between building high pressure N of the region and
low pressure over northern Colombia, except minimal gale force
until around sunrise this morning. Seas to 12 ft will occur
within these winds. After Sun night, fresh to locally strong
winds will prevail there.
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move off
the coast of Texas this morning. Strong to near-gale force N
winds following the front will rapidly reach gale force near
Tampico late this morning and afternoon, and in Veracruz adjacent
waters this evening through Mon. Winds may peak around 45 kt near
Veracruz. Seas will quickly build and likely peak at around 21 ft
offshore of Veracruz Sun and Sun night. The front will weaken and
stall from near western Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the
eastern Bay of Campeche by Mon evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf
will gradually improve Mon night into Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W and then continues to 06N18W. The ITCZ extends from
06N18W to 04N35W and to 01N50W near the coast of Brazil. Widely
scattered moderate convection is observed mainly south of 08N.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A Gale Warning is in effect for the W-central Gulf and western
Bay of Campeche area. Please read the Special Features section
above for details.
A subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends southwestward
to the Gulf of America. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures associated with a cold front over the southern
United States result in moderate to fresh SE-S winds over much of
the basin, especially east of 96W. Seas in these waters are 3-6
ft. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail. Areas of dense fog are present within 20 nm of shore of
SE Louisiana to nearshore of the western Florida Panhandle.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh SE winds will diminish this
morning as a cold front near the Texas coast enters the basin.
Strong to near- gale force N winds following the front will
rapidly reach gale force near Tampico late this morning and
afternoon, and in Veracruz adjacent waters this evening through
Mon. Winds may peak around 45 kt near Veracruz. Seas will quickly
build and likely peak at around 21 ft offshore of Veracruz Sun and
Sun night. The front will weaken and stall from near western Cuba
to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern Bay of Campeche by Mon
evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually improve Mon
night into Tue. Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail across the basin through early Wed. The next
cold front could impact the basin with increasing winds and
building seas by Wed night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning is in effect the waters off NW Colombia. Please
read the Special Features section above for details.
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge over
the western Atlantic and lower pressures in NW South America
results in strong to near gale-force NE winds in the south-central
Caribbean. This was confirmed by earlier scatterometer satellite
passes. Seas in these waters are 8-12 ft. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas prevail, except locally
fresh to strong in the Lee of Cuba, across and through the
approach to the Windward Passage, and offshore southern Haiti. No
significant convection is noted across the Caribbean basin.
For the forecast, strong to near gale force NE to E winds will
pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to the
gradient between building high pressure N of the region and low
pressure over northern Colombia, except minimal gale force until
around sunrise today. Seas to 12 ft will occur within these winds.
After Sun night, fresh to locally strong winds will prevail
there. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are forecast elsewhere in
the central and SW Caribbean, including the Windward Passage and
Hispaniola adjacent waters. Locally strong winds will be likely
pulsing at night over the Windward Passage and S of Hispaniola
through Sat night, with similar winds pulsing in the lee of Cuba
early today and Sat night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
will prevail, except for moderate to fresh winds near the Gulf of
Honduras this morning. A decaying cold front may move into or near
the far NW Caribbean early next week where it will stall and wash
out.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad 1028 mb high pressure system centered northwest of Bermuda
near 34N66W dominates much of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W.
A cold front extends from near 31N49W to 26N60W, where it becomes
a frontal trough to 25N65W to 28N74W. Moderate to fresh NE-E
winds and moderate seas are found west of a line from 31N50W to
Puerto Rico. Meanwhile, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
waters are dominates by a 1032 mb high pressure system located
northwest of Madeira. A tight pressure gradient forces fresh to
strong easterly winds and moderate to rough seas across much of
the waters east of 44W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure building and sliding
eastward in the wake of a cold front that extends from 27N55W to
26N59W continuing as a frontal trough to 25N65W and 28N74W will
support moderate to fresh NE winds across the waters E of the
Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank, and the approaches to the Windward
Passage through Sun, with locally strong winds near the Windward
Passage as the front washes out. A new cold front will emerge off
the NE Florida coast Sun. Fresh to strong NW winds and rough seas
will follow this front, which is forecast to reach from Bermuda to
the northern Bahamas by Mon morning. Thereafter, the front will
become stationary as it dissipates Mon night into Tue. The next
cold front may enter the NW waters by Wed night.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 10 Jan 2026 08:46:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100846
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jan 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: Strong to near gale force NE to E
winds will pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to
the gradient between building high pressure N of the region and
low pressure over northern Colombia, except minimal gale force
until around sunrise this morning. Seas to 12 ft will occur
within these winds. After Sun night, fresh to locally strong
winds will prevail there.
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will move off
the coast of Texas this morning. Strong to near-gale force N
winds following the front will rapidly reach gale force near
Tampico late this morning and afternoon, and in Veracruz adjacent
waters this evening through Mon. Winds may peak around 45 kt near
Veracruz. Seas will quickly build and likely peak at around 21 ft
offshore of Veracruz Sun and Sun night. The front will weaken and
stall from near western Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the
eastern Bay of Campeche by Mon evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf
will gradually improve Mon night into Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W and then continues to 06N18W. The ITCZ extends from
06N18W to 04N35W and to 01N50W near the coast of Brazil. Widely
scattered moderate convection is observed mainly south of 08N.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A Gale Warning is in effect for the W-central Gulf and western
Bay of Campeche area. Please read the Special Features section
above for details.
A subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends southwestward
to the Gulf of America. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures associated with a cold front over the southern
United States result in moderate to fresh SE-S winds over much of
the basin, especially east of 96W. Seas in these waters are 3-6
ft. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail. Areas of dense fog are present within 20 nm of shore of
SE Louisiana to nearshore of the western Florida Panhandle.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh SE winds will diminish this
morning as a cold front near the Texas coast enters the basin.
Strong to near- gale force N winds following the front will
rapidly reach gale force near Tampico late this morning and
afternoon, and in Veracruz adjacent waters this evening through
Mon. Winds may peak around 45 kt near Veracruz. Seas will quickly
build and likely peak at around 21 ft offshore of Veracruz Sun and
Sun night. The front will weaken and stall from near western Cuba
to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern Bay of Campeche by Mon
evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually improve Mon
night into Tue. Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
seas will prevail across the basin through early Wed. The next
cold front could impact the basin with increasing winds and
building seas by Wed night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning is in effect the waters off NW Colombia. Please
read the Special Features section above for details.
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge over
the western Atlantic and lower pressures in NW South America
results in strong to near gale-force NE winds in the south-central
Caribbean. This was confirmed by earlier scatterometer satellite
passes. Seas in these waters are 8-12 ft. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas prevail, except locally
fresh to strong in the Lee of Cuba, across and through the
approach to the Windward Passage, and offshore southern Haiti. No
significant convection is noted across the Caribbean basin.
For the forecast, strong to near gale force NE to E winds will
pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to the
gradient between building high pressure N of the region and low
pressure over northern Colombia, except minimal gale force until
around sunrise today. Seas to 12 ft will occur within these winds.
After Sun night, fresh to locally strong winds will prevail
there. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are forecast elsewhere in
the central and SW Caribbean, including the Windward Passage and
Hispaniola adjacent waters. Locally strong winds will be likely
pulsing at night over the Windward Passage and S of Hispaniola
through Sat night, with similar winds pulsing in the lee of Cuba
early today and Sat night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
will prevail, except for moderate to fresh winds near the Gulf of
Honduras this morning. A decaying cold front may move into or near
the far NW Caribbean early next week where it will stall and wash
out.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad 1028 mb high pressure system centered northwest of Bermuda
near 34N66W dominates much of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W.
A cold front extends from near 31N49W to 26N60W, where it becomes
a frontal trough to 25N65W to 28N74W. Moderate to fresh NE-E
winds and moderate seas are found west of a line from 31N50W to
Puerto Rico. Meanwhile, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
waters are dominates by a 1032 mb high pressure system located
northwest of Madeira. A tight pressure gradient forces fresh to
strong easterly winds and moderate to rough seas across much of
the waters east of 44W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure building and sliding
eastward in the wake of a cold front that extends from 27N55W to
26N59W continuing as a frontal trough to 25N65W and 28N74W will
support moderate to fresh NE winds across the waters E of the
Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank, and the approaches to the Windward
Passage through Sun, with locally strong winds near the Windward
Passage as the front washes out. A new cold front will emerge off
the NE Florida coast Sun. Fresh to strong NW winds and rough seas
will follow this front, which is forecast to reach from Bermuda to
the northern Bahamas by Mon morning. Thereafter, the front will
become stationary as it dissipates Mon night into Tue. The next
cold front may enter the NW waters by Wed night.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 10 Jan 2026 09:30:18 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 09 Jan 2026 18:18:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
077
NOUS42 KNHC 091818
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0120 PM EST FRI 09 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-040 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75
A. 11/0000Z
B. AFXXX 08WSE IOP07
C. 10/1745Z (CORRECTED)
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
35.0N 155.0W, 35.0N 125.0W, 50.0N 125.0W, AND 50.0N 155.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 10/2030Z TO 11/0230Z
2. FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
A. 11/0000Z
B. AFXXX 01WSC IOP07
C. 10/1830Z (CORRECTED)
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
25.0N 160.0W, 25.0N 145.0W, 45.0N 145.0W AND 45.0N 160.0W.
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 10/2030Z TO 11/0230Z
3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: TWO USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC
FOR THE 13/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf