2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 24 May 2026 05:24:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    700
    AXNT20 KNHC 240524
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun May 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 23W from 13N southward, moving westward
    at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection, enhanced by the Monsoon
    Trough and nearby ITCZ, is from 00N to 05N between 20W and 27W.

    A tropical wave is analyzed along 51W, south of 12N, moving
    westward at around 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the
    wave axis.

    A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 81W, south of
    15N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. This wave is
    nearly stationary, with surface and upper air data from San Andres
    Island indicating the wave remains east of the island. Scattered
    showers and tstorms are along the coasts of Panama and Costa Rica.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N17W and continues
    southwestward to 03N23W. The ITCZ extends from 03N23W to 01N45W,
    east of a tropical wave. Outside of the convection related to the
    tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm
    on either side of the ITCZ.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate to strong convection has entered the NW Gulf
    waters mainly N of 26N and W of 88W. Elsewhere, the subtropical
    Atlantic ridge extends across Florida and much of the central and
    eastern Gulf waters. Satellite scatterometer data indicates gentle
    to moderate SE winds across the basin, except for fresh to strong
    E winds pulsing offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and through the
    Straits of Florida. Seas across the basin are analyzed at 2-4 ft.

    For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
    Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little through late Mon,
    then weaken for the remainder of the week. The related pressure
    gradient will maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind
    flow through early Sun, except for light to gentle southeast
    winds W of about 94W tonight through Tue as a trough develops off
    the Texas coast. Winds then generally become southeast at gentle
    to moderate speeds across the basin through midweek, with slight
    to moderate seas, with the exception of fresh to strong winds
    pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the night
    time hours due to local effects associated with a thermal trough.
    Numerous showers and thunderstorms over the NW and north-central
    Gulf producing frequent lightning with gusty winds will continue
    to reduce visibility into early Sun. Otherwise, increasing
    moisture over the southeastern Gulf beginning around the middle
    portion of the upcoming week should lead to increasing chances for
    unsettled weather in that part of the Gulf. Mariners are urged to
    keep up with the latest forecast.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the region and
    the Colombian Low supports fresh to strong trades in the central
    Caribbean as well as the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, satellite
    scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh trades across the
    basin. Satellite altimeter data supports an analysis of 4-7 ft
    seas across much of the Caribbean, while areas near the north
    coast of Colombia are seeing seas of 7-9 ft prevail. Scattered
    moderate convection is ongoing over the waters near Cuba and
    Hispaniola.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
    America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
    central Caribbean well into the upcoming week bringing rough seas
    across those waters. Fresh to strong trades will pulse each
    evening over the Gulf of Honduras through the period. Fresh trades
    elsewhere across the basin will begin to increase in coverage
    starting early next week as N Atlantic high pressure begins to
    shift southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure dominates the Atlantic waters, providing for
    moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas across much of the
    basin. Winds are locally strong along the northern shore of
    Hispaniola. Some isolated to scattered moderate convection is
    moving offshore the SE US and into the western Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will continue to
    dominate most of the forecast region into early next week. Fresh
    to strong trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during the
    afternoons and evenings going into early next week. The western
    part of a backdoor cold front will push south across the eastern
    portion of the area from Sun evening into Mon before stalling near
    27N, then begin to weaken, dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong
    northeast winds along with moderate to rough seas will follow the
    front, subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are forecast to
    increase over most of the western half of the area starting Mon,
    including the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the
    entrance to the Windward Passage as initially stronger Atlantic
    high pressure begins to shift east-southeastward tightening the
    pressure gradient. The high pressure will then begin to weaken Wed
    allowing for the tight gradient to slacken leading to diminishing
    trades. Expect for increasing moisture along with unsettled
    weather conditions for the far western portion of the area
    beginning around the middle portion of the upcoming week.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 24 May 2026 05:24:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    700
    AXNT20 KNHC 240524
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun May 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 23W from 13N southward, moving westward
    at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection, enhanced by the Monsoon
    Trough and nearby ITCZ, is from 00N to 05N between 20W and 27W.

    A tropical wave is analyzed along 51W, south of 12N, moving
    westward at around 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the
    wave axis.

    A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 81W, south of
    15N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. This wave is
    nearly stationary, with surface and upper air data from San Andres
    Island indicating the wave remains east of the island. Scattered
    showers and tstorms are along the coasts of Panama and Costa Rica.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N17W and continues
    southwestward to 03N23W. The ITCZ extends from 03N23W to 01N45W,
    east of a tropical wave. Outside of the convection related to the
    tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is within 120 nm
    on either side of the ITCZ.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate to strong convection has entered the NW Gulf
    waters mainly N of 26N and W of 88W. Elsewhere, the subtropical
    Atlantic ridge extends across Florida and much of the central and
    eastern Gulf waters. Satellite scatterometer data indicates gentle
    to moderate SE winds across the basin, except for fresh to strong
    E winds pulsing offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and through the
    Straits of Florida. Seas across the basin are analyzed at 2-4 ft.

    For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
    Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little through late Mon,
    then weaken for the remainder of the week. The related pressure
    gradient will maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind
    flow through early Sun, except for light to gentle southeast
    winds W of about 94W tonight through Tue as a trough develops off
    the Texas coast. Winds then generally become southeast at gentle
    to moderate speeds across the basin through midweek, with slight
    to moderate seas, with the exception of fresh to strong winds
    pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the night
    time hours due to local effects associated with a thermal trough.
    Numerous showers and thunderstorms over the NW and north-central
    Gulf producing frequent lightning with gusty winds will continue
    to reduce visibility into early Sun. Otherwise, increasing
    moisture over the southeastern Gulf beginning around the middle
    portion of the upcoming week should lead to increasing chances for
    unsettled weather in that part of the Gulf. Mariners are urged to
    keep up with the latest forecast.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the region and
    the Colombian Low supports fresh to strong trades in the central
    Caribbean as well as the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, satellite
    scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh trades across the
    basin. Satellite altimeter data supports an analysis of 4-7 ft
    seas across much of the Caribbean, while areas near the north
    coast of Colombia are seeing seas of 7-9 ft prevail. Scattered
    moderate convection is ongoing over the waters near Cuba and
    Hispaniola.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
    America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
    central Caribbean well into the upcoming week bringing rough seas
    across those waters. Fresh to strong trades will pulse each
    evening over the Gulf of Honduras through the period. Fresh trades
    elsewhere across the basin will begin to increase in coverage
    starting early next week as N Atlantic high pressure begins to
    shift southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure dominates the Atlantic waters, providing for
    moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas across much of the
    basin. Winds are locally strong along the northern shore of
    Hispaniola. Some isolated to scattered moderate convection is
    moving offshore the SE US and into the western Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will continue to
    dominate most of the forecast region into early next week. Fresh
    to strong trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during the
    afternoons and evenings going into early next week. The western
    part of a backdoor cold front will push south across the eastern
    portion of the area from Sun evening into Mon before stalling near
    27N, then begin to weaken, dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong
    northeast winds along with moderate to rough seas will follow the
    front, subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are forecast to
    increase over most of the western half of the area starting Mon,
    including the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the
    entrance to the Windward Passage as initially stronger Atlantic
    high pressure begins to shift east-southeastward tightening the
    pressure gradient. The high pressure will then begin to weaken Wed
    allowing for the tight gradient to slacken leading to diminishing
    trades. Expect for increasing moisture along with unsettled
    weather conditions for the far western portion of the area
    beginning around the middle portion of the upcoming week.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 25 May 2026 17:01:23 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 24 May 2026 05:24:53 GMT
  • Sun, 24 May 2026 05:01:23 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 240501
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sun May 24 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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