SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 21 Oct 2026 10:20:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 211020
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Oct 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of The
Gambia near 13N17W and continues west-southwestward to 08N31W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N31W to 09N51W. Scattered showers are
noted in the vicinity of the Monsoon Trough and E of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough in the Bay of Campeche continues to produce
scattered showers, while drier conditions are prevalent
elsewhere. Strong high pressure north of the area is forcing
strong NW winds and rough seas in the SW Gulf, while moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the rest
of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support fresh to NE winds across the basin through the week,
except for strong NW to N winds over the SW Gulf through Wed. The
high, combined with a low pressure that is expected to develop
near the Bahamas, will support strong to near-gale NE winds and
rough seas over the eastern Gulf Sat. These conditions will spread
westward to the central Gulf Sat night through Sun night. Seas
are expected to peak to 12 ft with these winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted off Colombia. High
pressure north of the area and a nearby stationary frontal
boundary support moderate to fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft in
the waters north of 20N. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds
and seas of 3-5 ft are found from 11.5N to 16N and east of 80W.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail.
For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds N of 20N W of 85W will diminish
to moderate speeds today as high pressure north of the basin
weakens. Moderate to fresh SE winds will prevail across the
eastern and central Caribbean through the forecast period, while
gentle to moderate NE winds will continue W of 79W.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from Bermuda to the central Bahamas
and central Cuba. Scattered showers are occurring near this
boundary. Latest scatterometer satellite pass showed moderate to
fresh northerly winds behind the front. Seas in these waters are
8-12 ft. Farther east, a weak low pressure near 29N59W along an
NW-SE oriented surface trough and a nearby broad upper-level
trough combine to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
north of 20N and between 42W and 60W. Moderate to fresh southerly
winds and moderate seas are found east of the surface trough.
Meanwhile, well east of the Lesser Antilles, a surface trough is
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms from 13N to 18N and
between 43W and 52W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are present south of 10N and west of 50W. Finally,
in the far NE Atlantic, a surface trough along 23W from 20N-30N
supports scattered showers north of 24N and east of 25W. Moderate
to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found north of 25N
and east of 35W. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is under a
strong high pressure system positioned north of the Azores,
sustaining moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a stationary front that extends
from 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas and to central Cuba. Winds
will diminish into Wed as the frontal boundary weakens. Lingering
swell will slowly subside through Fri. A tightening pressure
gradient will develop beginning late Fri as high pressure builds
southward over the western Atlantic and low pressure develops
near, or NE of the Bahamas along a remnant frontal trough. This
setup is expected to induce widespread near to gale-force NE winds
over the waters roughly NW of a line from near 31N61W to the
northern Bahamas. Seas with these winds are expected to quickly
build to rough to very rough. Mariners should monitor the latest
marine forecasts, and have avoidance plans in place.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 21 Oct 2026 10:20:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 211020
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Oct 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of The
Gambia near 13N17W and continues west-southwestward to 08N31W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N31W to 09N51W. Scattered showers are
noted in the vicinity of the Monsoon Trough and E of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough in the Bay of Campeche continues to produce
scattered showers, while drier conditions are prevalent
elsewhere. Strong high pressure north of the area is forcing
strong NW winds and rough seas in the SW Gulf, while moderate to
fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the rest
of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
support fresh to NE winds across the basin through the week,
except for strong NW to N winds over the SW Gulf through Wed. The
high, combined with a low pressure that is expected to develop
near the Bahamas, will support strong to near-gale NE winds and
rough seas over the eastern Gulf Sat. These conditions will spread
westward to the central Gulf Sat night through Sun night. Seas
are expected to peak to 12 ft with these winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted off Colombia. High
pressure north of the area and a nearby stationary frontal
boundary support moderate to fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft in
the waters north of 20N. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds
and seas of 3-5 ft are found from 11.5N to 16N and east of 80W.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and seas of 2-4 ft prevail.
For the forecast, fresh NE to E winds N of 20N W of 85W will diminish
to moderate speeds today as high pressure north of the basin
weakens. Moderate to fresh SE winds will prevail across the
eastern and central Caribbean through the forecast period, while
gentle to moderate NE winds will continue W of 79W.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from Bermuda to the central Bahamas
and central Cuba. Scattered showers are occurring near this
boundary. Latest scatterometer satellite pass showed moderate to
fresh northerly winds behind the front. Seas in these waters are
8-12 ft. Farther east, a weak low pressure near 29N59W along an
NW-SE oriented surface trough and a nearby broad upper-level
trough combine to support scattered showers and thunderstorms
north of 20N and between 42W and 60W. Moderate to fresh southerly
winds and moderate seas are found east of the surface trough.
Meanwhile, well east of the Lesser Antilles, a surface trough is
producing scattered showers and thunderstorms from 13N to 18N and
between 43W and 52W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are present south of 10N and west of 50W. Finally,
in the far NE Atlantic, a surface trough along 23W from 20N-30N
supports scattered showers north of 24N and east of 25W. Moderate
to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found north of 25N
and east of 35W. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is under a
strong high pressure system positioned north of the Azores,
sustaining moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and
large NE swell persist west of a stationary front that extends
from 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas and to central Cuba. Winds
will diminish into Wed as the frontal boundary weakens. Lingering
swell will slowly subside through Fri. A tightening pressure
gradient will develop beginning late Fri as high pressure builds
southward over the western Atlantic and low pressure develops
near, or NE of the Bahamas along a remnant frontal trough. This
setup is expected to induce widespread near to gale-force NE winds
over the waters roughly NW of a line from near 31N61W to the
northern Bahamas. Seas with these winds are expected to quickly
build to rough to very rough. Mariners should monitor the latest
marine forecasts, and have avoidance plans in place.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 23:42:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 21 Oct 2026 16:10:28 GMT - Wed, 21 Oct 2026 11:42:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 211142
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Oct 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the East Coast of the United States (AL93):
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred
miles off the mid-Atlantic United States coast is producing some
shower and thunderstorm activity primarily west and northwest of its
center. Over the next day or two, the low could gradually lose its
frontal features while it moves slowly north-northeastward over the
Gulf Stream, allowing the system to possibly develop subtropical
characteristics. By Friday, the system is expected to accelerate
northeastward away from the the eastern United States, and
environmental conditions are expected to become unfavorable for
additional subtropical or tropical development.
Regardless of the status of the system, high winds, coastal
flooding, and dangerous surf are expected along portions of the U.S.
East Coast during the next few days. For more information, please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center, along with the High Seas
Forecasts and the Storm Warnings issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 21 Oct 2026 14:25:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
075
NOUS42 KNHC 211425
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EDT WED 21 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-143
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf