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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 21 Nov 2025 18:08:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 211808
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Nov 21 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N16W and continues
southwestward to 08N23W. The ITCZ extends from 08N23W to 07N40W
and to 08N60W. Scattered moderate convection is from 11N to 13N
between 19W and 23W, and from 06N to 09N between 40W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure centered over central Florida dominates the Gulf
region producing a gentle to moderate SE to S wind flow, with the
exception of light to gentle winds over the NE Gulf. Seas are in
general 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft over the NE Gulf. Some shower
activity is noted over SE Louisiana and the N-central Gulf N of
26N. A diffluent pattern aloft supports this convective activity.
For the forecast, moderate S to SE winds will prevail over much
of the Gulf today as high pressure drifts over the northeastern
basin and the southeastern United States. Moderate to occasionally
fresh E to NE winds are expected each afternoon and evening in
the Bay of Campeche and north of the Yucatan Peninsula as a
diurnal trough develops and moves westward over the region.
Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong SE winds are expected to
develop offshore of Texas and eastern Mexico late this weekend
into next week, with locally fresh SE to SW winds expanding over
the central and eastern Gulf through midweek, as a cold front
moves over the southern U.S.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure located N of the area combined with the Colombian low
is promoting fresh to strong trade winds offshore Colombia with
moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
are noted over the remainder of the central Caribbean. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate trade winds are present across the basin along
with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
are confined to the southwestern Caribbean likely associated with
the eastern extent of the eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Low-topped
trade wind showers are seen elsewhere, with isolated thunderstorms
in the regional waters of Jamaica.
For the forecast, strong NE to E winds will pulse offshore of
northern Colombia each night and morning through the middle of
next week as low pressure prevails over the south-central Caribbean.
Rough seas are expected near and to the west of these winds.
Otherwise, high pressure centered over the western Atlantic will
support moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas over the
rest of the basin through early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front enters the forecast area near 31N70W and continues SW
to near 29N77W. A few showers are along the frontal boundary. High
pressure dominates the remainder of the western Atlantic, with a
1021 mb high pressure located over central Florida. Moderate to
locally fresh NE winds are blowing between the Bahamas and Cuba
while light to gentle winds are observed across the remainder of
the area N of 20N W of 55W. Slight to moderate seas are within
these winds. Another cold front is over the central Atlantic and
extends from a 1013 mb low pressure located N of area near 36N51W
to 26N56W. E of the front, a surface trough is analyzed and
stretches from 31N50W to a 1015 mb low pressure situated near
22.5N55W to 19N57W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near
these features. An upper-level trough is present in this region.
Farther E, another trough is along 28W from 20N to 30N. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are on the E side of the trough axis to
about 21W, from 24N to 29N. The pressure gradient between this
trough and high pressure of 1034 mb located NE of the Azores is
resulting in an area of fresh to strong NE to E winds N of 27N
between 25W and 35W. Rough seas are within these wind speeds.
Mainly moderate trades with moderate seas dominate the tropical
Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, locally fresh NE winds are expected
over the southern Bahamas and through the Windward Passage through
Sat morning as low pressure prevails in the south-central Caribbean.
Farther north, moderate to fresh W to SW winds will occur offshore
of northern Florida by Sat morning, with winds expanding farther
east into the central Atlantic through Sun morning, ahead of a cold
front pushing off the east coast of the United States. The cold
front is slated to move southeastward along the Florida Peninsula
and into the northwestern waters this weekend into early next week,
with moderate to fresh N to NE winds and building seas expected in
the wake of the front. Looking ahead, widespread moderate to fresh
trade winds will occur over much of the western Atlantic by midweek
as high pressure builds off the coast of the eastern U.S.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 21 Nov 2025 18:08:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 211808
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Nov 21 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N16W and continues
southwestward to 08N23W. The ITCZ extends from 08N23W to 07N40W
and to 08N60W. Scattered moderate convection is from 11N to 13N
between 19W and 23W, and from 06N to 09N between 40W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure centered over central Florida dominates the Gulf
region producing a gentle to moderate SE to S wind flow, with the
exception of light to gentle winds over the NE Gulf. Seas are in
general 3 to 5 ft, except 1 to 3 ft over the NE Gulf. Some shower
activity is noted over SE Louisiana and the N-central Gulf N of
26N. A diffluent pattern aloft supports this convective activity.
For the forecast, moderate S to SE winds will prevail over much
of the Gulf today as high pressure drifts over the northeastern
basin and the southeastern United States. Moderate to occasionally
fresh E to NE winds are expected each afternoon and evening in
the Bay of Campeche and north of the Yucatan Peninsula as a
diurnal trough develops and moves westward over the region.
Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong SE winds are expected to
develop offshore of Texas and eastern Mexico late this weekend
into next week, with locally fresh SE to SW winds expanding over
the central and eastern Gulf through midweek, as a cold front
moves over the southern U.S.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure located N of the area combined with the Colombian low
is promoting fresh to strong trade winds offshore Colombia with
moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
are noted over the remainder of the central Caribbean. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate trade winds are present across the basin along
with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
are confined to the southwestern Caribbean likely associated with
the eastern extent of the eastern Pacific monsoon trough. Low-topped
trade wind showers are seen elsewhere, with isolated thunderstorms
in the regional waters of Jamaica.
For the forecast, strong NE to E winds will pulse offshore of
northern Colombia each night and morning through the middle of
next week as low pressure prevails over the south-central Caribbean.
Rough seas are expected near and to the west of these winds.
Otherwise, high pressure centered over the western Atlantic will
support moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas over the
rest of the basin through early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front enters the forecast area near 31N70W and continues SW
to near 29N77W. A few showers are along the frontal boundary. High
pressure dominates the remainder of the western Atlantic, with a
1021 mb high pressure located over central Florida. Moderate to
locally fresh NE winds are blowing between the Bahamas and Cuba
while light to gentle winds are observed across the remainder of
the area N of 20N W of 55W. Slight to moderate seas are within
these winds. Another cold front is over the central Atlantic and
extends from a 1013 mb low pressure located N of area near 36N51W
to 26N56W. E of the front, a surface trough is analyzed and
stretches from 31N50W to a 1015 mb low pressure situated near
22.5N55W to 19N57W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near
these features. An upper-level trough is present in this region.
Farther E, another trough is along 28W from 20N to 30N. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are on the E side of the trough axis to
about 21W, from 24N to 29N. The pressure gradient between this
trough and high pressure of 1034 mb located NE of the Azores is
resulting in an area of fresh to strong NE to E winds N of 27N
between 25W and 35W. Rough seas are within these wind speeds.
Mainly moderate trades with moderate seas dominate the tropical
Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, locally fresh NE winds are expected
over the southern Bahamas and through the Windward Passage through
Sat morning as low pressure prevails in the south-central Caribbean.
Farther north, moderate to fresh W to SW winds will occur offshore
of northern Florida by Sat morning, with winds expanding farther
east into the central Atlantic through Sun morning, ahead of a cold
front pushing off the east coast of the United States. The cold
front is slated to move southeastward along the Florida Peninsula
and into the northwestern waters this weekend into early next week,
with moderate to fresh N to NE winds and building seas expected in
the wake of the front. Looking ahead, widespread moderate to fresh
trade winds will occur over much of the western Atlantic by midweek
as high pressure builds off the coast of the eastern U.S.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 23 Nov 2025 05:07:45 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 21 Nov 2025 18:40:08 GMT - Fri, 21 Nov 2025 17:07:45 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
678
ABNT20 KNHC 211707
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Fri Nov 21 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 21 Nov 2025 16:15:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 211615
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EST FRI 21 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-174
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf