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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 10:49:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 181049
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Oct 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front extends from Marco
Island, Florida to 21N91W where it transitions into a stationary
front that extends to the central Bay of Campeche. Strong to gale-
force winds and very rough seas to 25 ft follow the front over
the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz. Fresh to strong NE winds with
frequent gusts to gale force winds behind the front over the NE
Gulf will continue through today. The front will slow down as it
reaches from the Florida Straits to Merida, Mexico later today,
then drift to the southeast of the Gulf through Tue as it weakens.
Gale-force winds off Veracruz will persist over the SW Gulf
through tonight. Peak seas may exceed 25 ft in the Bay of Campeche
today, with rough seas prevailing across large portions of the
basin through Tue.
Atlantic Gale Warning: This same cold front continues to move SE
across the western Atlantic waters, and extends from 31N73W to near
Deerfield Beach, Florida. North winds of 25 to 30 kt are behind
the front, with frequent gusts over gale-force N of 28N and west
of 75W, where a Gale Warning is in effect. Seas behind the front
have built quickly to 18 ft. The front will reach from 31N72W to
the Straits of Florida later this morning, and from near 31N70W to
western Cuba by early Mon morning, then stall and dissipate
through mid week. Gale-force gusts are expected to continue across
the northwestern zones through today. Seas behind the front are
expected to build to 18 ft in N to NE swell today, and higher in
the Gulfstream.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the African coast near 09N13W to
07N15W. The ITCZ begins near 05N19W to 06N40W to 07N59W.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 03N to 07N and E
of 19W. Scattered to locally numerous moderate convection is
noted from 07N to 15N between 41W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
See Special Features section above for information on the Gale
Warnings in effect for portions of the Gulf of America behind a
cold front.
A cold front extends from Marco Island, Florida to 21N91W where
it transitions into a stationary front that extends to the central
Bay of Campeche. Strong to gale-force winds and very rough seas
follow the front over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz while fresh
to strong NE winds with frequent gusts to gale force winds are
behind the front over the NE Gulf. Aside from the winds and seas,
scattered showers and tstms are ahead of the front over the SE
Gulf, the Straits of Florida and the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds with frequent gusts to
gale force winds behind the front over the NE Gulf will continue
through today. The front will slow down as it reaches from the
Florida Straits to Merida, Mexico later today, then drift to the
southeast of the Gulf through Tue as it weakens. Gale-force winds
off Veracruz will persist over the SW Gulf through tonight. Fresh
to strong NE winds and rough seas will persist elsewhere north of
the front and E of 90W into Tue. Looking ahead, strong high
pressure building over the lower Mississippi Valley behind the
front, will prolong fresh NE to E winds over the eastern half of
the Gulf into mid-week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and tstms prevail over the NW Caribbean being
supported by a middle level inverted trough while heavier showers
are ongoing over the SW basin supported by the eastern extension
of the E Pacific monsoon. The passage of a cold front N of the
area is supporing a rather weak gradient over the region, which is
maintaining moderate or weaker winds, and slight to moderate seas,
except for fresh trades in the south-central Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weaker pressure gradient across the region
due to the passage of a cold front across the Bahamas and the
southern Gulf of America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in
the south-central Caribbean through Thu and moderate or weaker
winds elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and
the Yucatan Channel Mon night into Tue where it will stall before
dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to rough
seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and NW Cuba adjacent
waters through early Wed morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
Warning for waters offshore NE Florida.
A strong cold front extends from 31N73W to near Deerfield Beach,
Florida. North winds of 25 to 30 kt are behind the front, with
frequent gusts over gale-force N of 28N and west of 75W, where a
Gale Warning is in effect. Seas behind the front have built
quickly to 18 ft. Scattered showers and tstms are ahead of the
front, affecting the Bahamas and offshores N of 22N W of 65W.
Strong high pressure located NW of the Azores extends a broad
ridge southwestward to 65W, but drapes across a series of surface
troughs from 22N and 29W between 40W and 60W. The pressure
gradient N of these troughs is yielding moderate to fresh
easterly winds with seas of 6 to 8 ft in N swell between 37W and
44W. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are also between NW Africa
and 30W N of the Cape Verde Islands. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach from
31N72W to the Straits of Florida later this morning, and from near
31N70W to western Cuba by early Mon morning where it will stall
before dissipating into midweek. Strong to near-gale force winds
and rough to very rough seas will follow the front affecting
mainly the waters west of 65W through Tue, although seas will
linger through much of the week. Frequent gusts to gale-force
winds are forecast behind the front north of 29N and west of 77W
today through early Mon morning.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 10:49:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 181049
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Oct 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front extends from Marco
Island, Florida to 21N91W where it transitions into a stationary
front that extends to the central Bay of Campeche. Strong to gale-
force winds and very rough seas to 25 ft follow the front over
the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz. Fresh to strong NE winds with
frequent gusts to gale force winds behind the front over the NE
Gulf will continue through today. The front will slow down as it
reaches from the Florida Straits to Merida, Mexico later today,
then drift to the southeast of the Gulf through Tue as it weakens.
Gale-force winds off Veracruz will persist over the SW Gulf
through tonight. Peak seas may exceed 25 ft in the Bay of Campeche
today, with rough seas prevailing across large portions of the
basin through Tue.
Atlantic Gale Warning: This same cold front continues to move SE
across the western Atlantic waters, and extends from 31N73W to near
Deerfield Beach, Florida. North winds of 25 to 30 kt are behind
the front, with frequent gusts over gale-force N of 28N and west
of 75W, where a Gale Warning is in effect. Seas behind the front
have built quickly to 18 ft. The front will reach from 31N72W to
the Straits of Florida later this morning, and from near 31N70W to
western Cuba by early Mon morning, then stall and dissipate
through mid week. Gale-force gusts are expected to continue across
the northwestern zones through today. Seas behind the front are
expected to build to 18 ft in N to NE swell today, and higher in
the Gulfstream.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the African coast near 09N13W to
07N15W. The ITCZ begins near 05N19W to 06N40W to 07N59W.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 03N to 07N and E
of 19W. Scattered to locally numerous moderate convection is
noted from 07N to 15N between 41W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
See Special Features section above for information on the Gale
Warnings in effect for portions of the Gulf of America behind a
cold front.
A cold front extends from Marco Island, Florida to 21N91W where
it transitions into a stationary front that extends to the central
Bay of Campeche. Strong to gale-force winds and very rough seas
follow the front over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz while fresh
to strong NE winds with frequent gusts to gale force winds are
behind the front over the NE Gulf. Aside from the winds and seas,
scattered showers and tstms are ahead of the front over the SE
Gulf, the Straits of Florida and the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds with frequent gusts to
gale force winds behind the front over the NE Gulf will continue
through today. The front will slow down as it reaches from the
Florida Straits to Merida, Mexico later today, then drift to the
southeast of the Gulf through Tue as it weakens. Gale-force winds
off Veracruz will persist over the SW Gulf through tonight. Fresh
to strong NE winds and rough seas will persist elsewhere north of
the front and E of 90W into Tue. Looking ahead, strong high
pressure building over the lower Mississippi Valley behind the
front, will prolong fresh NE to E winds over the eastern half of
the Gulf into mid-week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and tstms prevail over the NW Caribbean being
supported by a middle level inverted trough while heavier showers
are ongoing over the SW basin supported by the eastern extension
of the E Pacific monsoon. The passage of a cold front N of the
area is supporing a rather weak gradient over the region, which is
maintaining moderate or weaker winds, and slight to moderate seas,
except for fresh trades in the south-central Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weaker pressure gradient across the region
due to the passage of a cold front across the Bahamas and the
southern Gulf of America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in
the south-central Caribbean through Thu and moderate or weaker
winds elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and
the Yucatan Channel Mon night into Tue where it will stall before
dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to rough
seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and NW Cuba adjacent
waters through early Wed morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
Warning for waters offshore NE Florida.
A strong cold front extends from 31N73W to near Deerfield Beach,
Florida. North winds of 25 to 30 kt are behind the front, with
frequent gusts over gale-force N of 28N and west of 75W, where a
Gale Warning is in effect. Seas behind the front have built
quickly to 18 ft. Scattered showers and tstms are ahead of the
front, affecting the Bahamas and offshores N of 22N W of 65W.
Strong high pressure located NW of the Azores extends a broad
ridge southwestward to 65W, but drapes across a series of surface
troughs from 22N and 29W between 40W and 60W. The pressure
gradient N of these troughs is yielding moderate to fresh
easterly winds with seas of 6 to 8 ft in N swell between 37W and
44W. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are also between NW Africa
and 30W N of the Cape Verde Islands. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach from
31N72W to the Straits of Florida later this morning, and from near
31N70W to western Cuba by early Mon morning where it will stall
before dissipating into midweek. Strong to near-gale force winds
and rough to very rough seas will follow the front affecting
mainly the waters west of 65W through Tue, although seas will
linger through much of the week. Frequent gusts to gale-force
winds are forecast behind the front north of 29N and west of 77W
today through early Mon morning.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 19 Oct 2026 17:07:20 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 18 Oct 2026 11:10:05 GMT - Sun, 18 Oct 2026 05:07:20 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 180507
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is expected to form
later today or tonight off the southeast coast of the United States.
This low is likely to move slowly and erratically through the middle
of next week, and some subtropical development is possible during
that time. Regardless of development, this system will cause high
winds, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf along portions of the
U.S. East Coast. Please consult statements and warnings from local
National Weather Service offices and the Weather Prediction Center
for more information, along with High Seas Forecasts and storm
warnings issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 14:20:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 171420
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1020 AM EDT SAT 17 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-139
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE TRUDY
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 73
A. 18/1730Z
B. AFXXX 0421E TRUDY
C. 18/1330Z
D. 19.6N 106.0W
E. 18/1700Z TO 18/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: THE TEAL 72 FIX MISSION TASKED ON TCPOD 26-138
WILL NOT FLY.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf