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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 04:17:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 110417
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W from 05N to 17N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N
to 13N between 23W and 31W.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 47W-48W from 06N to 18N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
08N to 14N between 46W and 53W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 60W from 13N to 23N, moving
west at 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is about the wave axis
from 16.5N to 18N between 59W and 61W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 80W S of 20N, moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Widely scattered showers are in the vicinity of the
wave N of 18N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19.5N16.5W and continues southwestward to 10N31W
to 12.5N41W to 10.5N49W. The ITCZ extends from 11N51W to 10.5N58W
to 11.5N61W. Aside from the convection mentioned in the tropical
waves section, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 08N to 11.5N E of 23W to the coast of Africa, while
scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 07.5N to
12.5N between 33W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High near 29N71W westward
across the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to locally moderate E to SE winds,
and slight seas generally prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical
moderate to locally fresh NE winds are occurring along the N and W
coastal waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds are blowing through the Straits
of Florida, producing seas to 4 ft. A low level trough continues
to drift westward across the east central Gulf and is yielding a
small cluster of moderate convection well offshore of the mouth of
the Mississippi River. Afternoon convection across central
Florida has shifted westward over the waters SW of the entrance to
Tampa Bay, and is quickly weakening.
For the forecast, the current ridge across the northern Gulf will
dominate the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat
night. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will generally prevail
across the basin, with the exception of pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough
migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda High near 29N71W and
a 1007 mb Colombian Low is supporting fresh to strong winds, and
moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 17.5N
between 67W and 79W. Recent satellite scatterometer winds showed
winds near gale-force off the northern coast of Colombia, where
seas are estimated at around 10 ft. Fresh NE winds prevail through
the Windward Passage and across the Gulf of Honduras, while
moderate to fresh trade winds prevail across the NE Caribbean to
the Mona Passage in advance of an approaching tropical wave.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere across SE and NW portions. Ahead of the tropical wave
along 80W scattered moderate convection is noted between the
Cayman Islands and the east coast of the Yucatan, across the Gulf
of Honduras, and along most of the coast of Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between ridging over the
western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
portion of the Caribbean basin through Wed night. The ridge will
gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu, and coincide with
the arrival of a tropical wave, allowing for the fresh to strong
trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach near-gale force
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night, except
Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to strong speeds during
the evenings and at night in the the Windward Passage through the
forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail
elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1023 mb Bermuda High centered near 29N71W, and a 1023 mb high
centered near 27.5N45.5W. Light to gentle winds generally prevail
over the waters N of 24N and west of 30W, with slight to moderate
seas. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds are noted S of 24N and
west of 30W, and moderate seas to 6 ft. Fresh to locally strong N
to NE winds continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to the east
of 25W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates most of
the basin N of 15N from Africa through the southern Bahamas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the current Atlantic ridge will
shift slowly southward to along 28N Tue and to near 26N by Thu
then change little into Sat. The pressure gradient will tighten
over the southern portion leading to an increase of the trades
from the Bahamas eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of
Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage through the
period, pulsing to strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of
low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing active showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
this week while this system moves westward to west- northwestward
across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 04:17:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 110417
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W from 05N to 17N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N
to 13N between 23W and 31W.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 47W-48W from 06N to 18N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
08N to 14N between 46W and 53W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 60W from 13N to 23N, moving
west at 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is about the wave axis
from 16.5N to 18N between 59W and 61W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 80W S of 20N, moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Widely scattered showers are in the vicinity of the
wave N of 18N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19.5N16.5W and continues southwestward to 10N31W
to 12.5N41W to 10.5N49W. The ITCZ extends from 11N51W to 10.5N58W
to 11.5N61W. Aside from the convection mentioned in the tropical
waves section, scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted from 08N to 11.5N E of 23W to the coast of Africa, while
scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 07.5N to
12.5N between 33W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High near 29N71W westward
across the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to locally moderate E to SE winds,
and slight seas generally prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical
moderate to locally fresh NE winds are occurring along the N and W
coastal waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds are blowing through the Straits
of Florida, producing seas to 4 ft. A low level trough continues
to drift westward across the east central Gulf and is yielding a
small cluster of moderate convection well offshore of the mouth of
the Mississippi River. Afternoon convection across central
Florida has shifted westward over the waters SW of the entrance to
Tampa Bay, and is quickly weakening.
For the forecast, the current ridge across the northern Gulf will
dominate the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat
night. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will generally prevail
across the basin, with the exception of pulses of fresh winds
occurring north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay
of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough
migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
Slight to moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda High near 29N71W and
a 1007 mb Colombian Low is supporting fresh to strong winds, and
moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 17.5N
between 67W and 79W. Recent satellite scatterometer winds showed
winds near gale-force off the northern coast of Colombia, where
seas are estimated at around 10 ft. Fresh NE winds prevail through
the Windward Passage and across the Gulf of Honduras, while
moderate to fresh trade winds prevail across the NE Caribbean to
the Mona Passage in advance of an approaching tropical wave.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail
elsewhere across SE and NW portions. Ahead of the tropical wave
along 80W scattered moderate convection is noted between the
Cayman Islands and the east coast of the Yucatan, across the Gulf
of Honduras, and along most of the coast of Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between ridging over the
western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
portion of the Caribbean basin through Wed night. The ridge will
gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu, and coincide with
the arrival of a tropical wave, allowing for the fresh to strong
trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach near-gale force
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night, except
Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to strong speeds during
the evenings and at night in the the Windward Passage through the
forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail
elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1023 mb Bermuda High centered near 29N71W, and a 1023 mb high
centered near 27.5N45.5W. Light to gentle winds generally prevail
over the waters N of 24N and west of 30W, with slight to moderate
seas. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds are noted S of 24N and
west of 30W, and moderate seas to 6 ft. Fresh to locally strong N
to NE winds continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to the east
of 25W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates most of
the basin N of 15N from Africa through the southern Bahamas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the current Atlantic ridge will
shift slowly southward to along 28N Tue and to near 26N by Thu
then change little into Sat. The pressure gradient will tighten
over the southern portion leading to an increase of the trades
from the Bahamas eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of
Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage through the
period, pulsing to strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of
low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands is producing active showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
this week while this system moves westward to west- northwestward
across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 12 Aug 2026 11:40:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 04:31:16 GMT - Mon, 10 Aug 2026 23:40:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 102340
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually
become more conducive for development during the next day or two,
and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter half
of this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
East of the Windward Islands:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are located about 900 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some
gradual development of this system is possible through midweek
while it moves quickly westward across the central tropical
Atlantic. Environmental conditions are expected to become less
favorable for development later this week as the system nears the
Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of
Bermuda is producing a small area of shower and thunderstorm
activity. Some development of this system is possible during the
next couple of days while it moves quickly eastward across the
central subtropical Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach
cooler waters later this week, ending its chances of formation by
Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 10 Aug 2026 14:43:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 101443
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT MON 10 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-071
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 12.0N 55.0W FOR 12/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (CENTRAL PACIFIC - CP93)
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
A. 12/0000Z
B. NOAA9 01AAC SURV
C. 11/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
CP93 FOR 13/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 12/1730Z.
B. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 15.0N 144.0W FOR
13/0000Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
13/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 12/2000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf