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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 22:11:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 012211
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 07N to 18N between 20W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 52W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 05N to 10N between 45W and 55W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 15N to 17N between 70W and 72W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Western Sahara near 24N15W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
low pressure area near 16N26W and then to 08N45W. The ITCZ
extends from 08N45W to 08N59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. 1017 mb
surface high pressure is centered north of the Yucatan Channel
near 23N85W. This pattern is supporting moderate W winds and 2-4
ft seas off the northern Gulf coast, and light to gentle breezes
and 1-3 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure will remain
in control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting
gentle to moderate winds for the next several days. The exception
will be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
peninsula nightly through the period. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf and over mostly the
eastern portion of the north-central Gulf into the upcoming week
as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.
Moderate to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the
front over the far northern Gulf late this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off central Belize,
and off northeastern Costa Rica and southeastern Nicaragua.
Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep
tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of
6-9 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast, the persistent enhanced pressure gradient
across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the
central basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of
next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of
Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over
the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by scattered
showers and thunderstorms. The wave will quickly continue westward
across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across
much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from the central
Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change little through Tue, then
lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient between the ridge
and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue
to support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers
and thunderstorms over the majority of the area into the upcoming
week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
at night through the period.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 22:11:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 012211
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 07N to 18N between 20W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 52W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 05N to 10N between 45W and 55W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 15N to 17N between 70W and 72W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Western Sahara near 24N15W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
low pressure area near 16N26W and then to 08N45W. The ITCZ
extends from 08N45W to 08N59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
thunderstorms across much of the east-central Gulf. 1017 mb
surface high pressure is centered north of the Yucatan Channel
near 23N85W. This pattern is supporting moderate W winds and 2-4
ft seas off the northern Gulf coast, and light to gentle breezes
and 1-3 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure will remain
in control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting
gentle to moderate winds for the next several days. The exception
will be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
peninsula nightly through the period. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will continue over the NE Gulf and over mostly the
eastern portion of the north-central Gulf into the upcoming week
as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.
Moderate to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the
front over the far northern Gulf late this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off central Belize,
and off northeastern Costa Rica and southeastern Nicaragua.
Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
situated in the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep
tropics sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of
6-9 ft across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast, the persistent enhanced pressure gradient
across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the
central basin through the rest of the weekend and into most of
next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of
Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, currently over
the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by scattered
showers and thunderstorms. The wave will quickly continue westward
across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across
much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from the central
Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change little through Tue, then
lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure gradient between the ridge
and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue
to support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers
and thunderstorms over the majority of the area into the upcoming
week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
at night through the period.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 03 Aug 2026 11:49:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:57:28 GMT - Sat, 01 Aug 2026 23:49:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 012349
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Mahoney/Pierce/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 13:50:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
787
NOUS42 KNHC 011350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT SAT 01 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-062
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf