2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 09:39:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 070938
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 23W, south of 12N, moving westward at
    around 15 kt. A cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection
    is observed where the wave meets the monsoon trough, from 04N to
    06N between 20W and 25W.

    A tropical wave is along 37W, south of 16N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. A few showers are noted on either side of the wave
    axis.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 63W, south of
    17N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Convection is limited. Fresh
    to locally strong E to SE winds are between the wave axis and the
    Lesser Antilles based on recent scatterometer data.

    A second tropical wave is in the eastern Caribbean Sea near 70W,
    south of 17N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is
    enhancing convection over portions of western Venezuela, including
    the Lake Maracaibo area.

    A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean Sea along 82W, south
    of 19N to across western Panama and into the eastern Pacific
    Ocean, slowly moving around 5 kt. Scattered to numerous showers
    and thunderstorms are noted over the Windward Passage, between
    Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
    between 73W and 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of W
    Africa near 12N16W, and continues southwestward to 04N28W. The
    ITCZ extends from 04N28W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
    Other than the convection associated with two tropical waves, a
    large area of moderate to isolated strong convection is observed
    near the coast of W Africa, covering the waters from 04N to 10N
    between 09W and 17W. This convective activity is affecting the
    coastal waters of Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure located over the western Atlantic just W of Bemuda
    extends a ridge across the SE of United States, including Florida,
    into the Gulf region. This system is supporting gentle to moderate
    SE to S winds across most of the basin, with the exception of
    fresh to strong E to SE winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula to about
    24N between 87W and 91W. Seas are slight to moderate within these
    wind speeds, with maximum seas to 6 ft occurring within the area
    of the strongest winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula. A cluster of
    moderate to strong convection is over the central Bay of Campeche.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted along the coast of Mexico
    and adjacent waters from Veracruz, Mexico to Brownsville, Texas.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region
    supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern Gulf
    and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western Gulf through
    Mon. Winds will be easterly at mostly fresh speeds across most of
    the western and central Gulf S of 26N through midweek. The exception
    will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
    moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
    evenings through Wed. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with
    these winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please see the Tropical Waves section above for more details,
    including any associated significant convection.

    Otherwise, high pressure north of the area centered just W of
    Bermuda, combined with lower pressures across South America
    supports moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the exception
    of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted, and in
    the Gulf of Honduras where a recent scatterometer pass indicates
    fresh to locally strong E winds. An upper level trough over the
    central Caribbean is helping to induce scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the Windward Passage, between
    Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
    between 73W and 82W. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds,
    embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to
    scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
    seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the Atlantic ridge
    north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin
    to increase again over the central Caribbean late tonight into
    Mon, and over the NW part of the basin Mon night into Tue as the
    pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic ridge and a broad
    area of low pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of
    Central America. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SE winds may persist
    in the NW Caribbean Wed through Thu.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward between the western coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details including any related significant
    convection.

    A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends from
    near 31N58W to the central Bahamas into eastern Cuba. Scattered
    showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are along and ahead of this
    trough, affecting the SE Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands,
    the lee of eastern Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. A 1020 mb high
    pressure located just W of Bermuda follows this frontal trough.
    The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a
    broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure
    situated SW of the Azores near 34N32W. Under the influence of this
    system, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of
    front to about 45W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are
    found north of 17N and east of 40W, including the Canary Islands.
    The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will remain nearly
    stationary through Mon night. A cold front will move across the
    waters N of 27N Tue through Wed, and gradually dissipate by Thu.
    High pressure will follow the front, and will be centered near
    Bermuda by Wed, then move eastward by Thu. This weather pattern
    will generally support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
    through midweek, except for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N
    between Hispaniola and Cuba starting late Wed.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 09:39:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 070938
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 23W, south of 12N, moving westward at
    around 15 kt. A cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection
    is observed where the wave meets the monsoon trough, from 04N to
    06N between 20W and 25W.

    A tropical wave is along 37W, south of 16N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. A few showers are noted on either side of the wave
    axis.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 63W, south of
    17N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Convection is limited. Fresh
    to locally strong E to SE winds are between the wave axis and the
    Lesser Antilles based on recent scatterometer data.

    A second tropical wave is in the eastern Caribbean Sea near 70W,
    south of 17N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is
    enhancing convection over portions of western Venezuela, including
    the Lake Maracaibo area.

    A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean Sea along 82W, south
    of 19N to across western Panama and into the eastern Pacific
    Ocean, slowly moving around 5 kt. Scattered to numerous showers
    and thunderstorms are noted over the Windward Passage, between
    Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
    between 73W and 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of W
    Africa near 12N16W, and continues southwestward to 04N28W. The
    ITCZ extends from 04N28W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
    Other than the convection associated with two tropical waves, a
    large area of moderate to isolated strong convection is observed
    near the coast of W Africa, covering the waters from 04N to 10N
    between 09W and 17W. This convective activity is affecting the
    coastal waters of Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure located over the western Atlantic just W of Bemuda
    extends a ridge across the SE of United States, including Florida,
    into the Gulf region. This system is supporting gentle to moderate
    SE to S winds across most of the basin, with the exception of
    fresh to strong E to SE winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula to about
    24N between 87W and 91W. Seas are slight to moderate within these
    wind speeds, with maximum seas to 6 ft occurring within the area
    of the strongest winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula. A cluster of
    moderate to strong convection is over the central Bay of Campeche.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted along the coast of Mexico
    and adjacent waters from Veracruz, Mexico to Brownsville, Texas.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region
    supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern Gulf
    and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western Gulf through
    Mon. Winds will be easterly at mostly fresh speeds across most of
    the western and central Gulf S of 26N through midweek. The exception
    will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
    moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
    evenings through Wed. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with
    these winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please see the Tropical Waves section above for more details,
    including any associated significant convection.

    Otherwise, high pressure north of the area centered just W of
    Bermuda, combined with lower pressures across South America
    supports moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the exception
    of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted, and in
    the Gulf of Honduras where a recent scatterometer pass indicates
    fresh to locally strong E winds. An upper level trough over the
    central Caribbean is helping to induce scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the Windward Passage, between
    Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
    between 73W and 82W. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds,
    embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to
    scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
    seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the Atlantic ridge
    north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin
    to increase again over the central Caribbean late tonight into
    Mon, and over the NW part of the basin Mon night into Tue as the
    pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic ridge and a broad
    area of low pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of
    Central America. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SE winds may persist
    in the NW Caribbean Wed through Thu.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward between the western coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details including any related significant
    convection.

    A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends from
    near 31N58W to the central Bahamas into eastern Cuba. Scattered
    showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are along and ahead of this
    trough, affecting the SE Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands,
    the lee of eastern Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. A 1020 mb high
    pressure located just W of Bermuda follows this frontal trough.
    The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a
    broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure
    situated SW of the Azores near 34N32W. Under the influence of this
    system, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of
    front to about 45W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are
    found north of 17N and east of 40W, including the Canary Islands.
    The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will remain nearly
    stationary through Mon night. A cold front will move across the
    waters N of 27N Tue through Wed, and gradually dissipate by Thu.
    High pressure will follow the front, and will be centered near
    Bermuda by Wed, then move eastward by Thu. This weather pattern
    will generally support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
    through midweek, except for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N
    between Hispaniola and Cuba starting late Wed.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 08 Jun 2026 23:13:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 07 Jun 2026 12:20:13 GMT
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 11:13:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 071113
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:54:16 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 061354
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EDT SAT 06 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-006

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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