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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 23 Sep 2026 10:28:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 231027
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Sep 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A mid to
    upper-level trough currently extends from the eastern Gulf of
    America across the Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while
    relatively warm sea surface temperatures and abundant low level
    moisture are present. An elongated low level trough will prevail
    across this area during the next several days, and aid in
    funneling enhanced tropical moisture across Central America and
    the western Caribbean, supporting periods of heavy rainfall
    through Sat the 26th. There is still some uncertainty regarding
    the exact location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy
    rainfall looks likely across extreme southeastern Mexico near
    Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El
    Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as well as across portions
    of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing
    from the NW coastal waters of Jamaica, westward across the Cayman
    Islands to 83W and then northward across east-central Cuba to
    Andros Island in the Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection are
    elsewhere across the Gulf of Honduras, and the remainder of the
    Bahamas. Heavy rainfall in these regions will create the
    possibility of life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.
    Please refer to local weather services as well as the
    International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 43W, S of 15N, moving
    westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to
    12N between 41W and 45W.

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 59W south of 16N,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits Africa along the Guinea coast near
    11N15W and extends southwestward to 09N44W, where it transitions
    to the ITCZ and continues to 09N59W. Scattered to numerous
    moderate to strong convection is noted from 05N to 11N E of 25W
    to the coast of Africa.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak pressure gradient remains across the Gulf basin as
    weakening high pressure across the SE U.S. extends a ridge across
    the northern Gulf. A broad and persistent middle to upper-level
    trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting very active
    thunderstorms over portions of the NW Caribbean and across eastern
    Cuba into the Bahamas, while convection across the Gulf has
    diminished in recent hours, with widely scattered moderate
    convection across the Straits of Florida and into the SW Florida
    waters across the Fort Meyers area. A weak surface trough lingers
    from central Florida into the the SW Gulf to the western Straits
    of Florida. The current surface pattern is generally producing
    light to gentle easterly winds and slight seas across the Gulf.
    Moderate E-NE winds and seas to 3 ft are occurring well offshore
    of southern Texas between 93W and 95W.

    For the forecast, the current weak pressure pattern across the
    Gulf will continue to generate gentle to moderate winds across
    the Gulf through Thu. The persistent middle to upper-level trough
    will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the SE Gulf
    and the Straits of Florida for at least the next couple of days.
    A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night and
    Fri. The front will shift southward accompanied by increasing
    winds and seas, before stalling over the SE Gulf this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
    on impactful weather across the northwestern Caribbean.

    Outside of the active convection across the NW Caribbean, fair
    weather dominates most of the basin. Scattered showers accompany a
    low-level trough moving across the Leeward Islands. At the
    surface, a weak pressure pattern prevails across the basin.
    Moderate trades prevail across most of the basin E of 76W, where
    seas are 3 to 5 ft, while fresh to strong winds are S of 14N to
    the coasts of NW Venezuela and extreme NE Colombia, where seas are
    5 to 7 ft. Outside of convection, light to gentle winds and
    slight seas prevail across the remaining waters of the western
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will continue across
    the basin to produce moderate to fresh trades over the S central
    Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. A deep layered
    upper trough over NW portions will support scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for at least the
    next couple of days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Of note: What was previously Tropical Depression Fay is now a
    post-tropical remnant low pressure of 1013 mb centered near
    30.5N37.0W. Winds of 20-30 kt continue within 180 nm across the N
    semicircle, where buoy observations suggest seas are 8 to 13 ft.
    Scattered moderate convection has increased in recent hours, and
    within 90 nm across the E semicircle of the low.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the
    NW Caribbean, across eastern Cuba and over much of the Bahamas and
    adjacent Atlantic waters S of 28N and W of 67W. This activity is
    occurring due to the combination of ample moisture across the area
    and unstable conditions created by the persistent and deep
    layered upper trough across the eastern Gulf of America and NW
    Caribbean. Another upper-level low is drifting westward near
    26N51W. This feature is interacting with several surface troughs
    in the central Atlantic resulting in an area of scattered moderate
    convection from 22.5N to 28N between 41W and 53W. Another surface
    trough is moving westward across the Lesser Antilles, and
    producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the
    Leeward Islands and adjacent Atlantic waters W of 59W. Outside of
    this convection, a weak pressure gradient continues across much
    of the Atlantic. This pattern is sustaining mostly gentle to
    moderate trades S of 23N and variable light to gentle winds
    elsewhere W of 50W, except for moderate SE to S winds over the
    area N of 25N between 58W and 70W. Seas are 4 ft or less across
    this area except 5 to 8 ft N of 26N between 49W and 52W.

    Elsewhere, the Azores high is centered across the NE Atlantic
    along 20W and extends a ridge southwestward and drapes across the
    remnant low of Fay. The resultant pressure gradient is yielding
    moderate N to NE winds from the Canary Islands to the Cabo Verdes,
    with strong winds along the coast of Africa. Seas there are 3 to
    6 ft. Moderate NE trades prevail S of 21N between the Cabo Verdes
    and 50W, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. N of this area winds are light
    to gentle. However, long period N to NE swell has moved into the
    waters N of 25N and E of 52W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a continued weak pressure gradient
    will support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters
    through Wed night. The upper-level trough will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days.
    A cold front will move off the SE United States coast late Wed
    night. The front will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda
    to the straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken.
    Fresh to strong winds and increasing seas in large NE swell will
    follow the front on Thu and Fri.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 23 Sep 2026 10:28:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 231027
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Sep 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Heavy Rainfall in Central America, Jamaica, and Cuba: A mid to
    upper-level trough currently extends from the eastern Gulf of
    America across the Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while
    relatively warm sea surface temperatures and abundant low level
    moisture are present. An elongated low level trough will prevail
    across this area during the next several days, and aid in
    funneling enhanced tropical moisture across Central America and
    the western Caribbean, supporting periods of heavy rainfall
    through Sat the 26th. There is still some uncertainty regarding
    the exact location of heaviest rainfall, but for now heavy
    rainfall looks likely across extreme southeastern Mexico near
    Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala, western Honduras, El
    Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as well as across portions
    of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy rainfall is ongoing
    from the NW coastal waters of Jamaica, westward across the Cayman
    Islands to 83W and then northward across east-central Cuba to
    Andros Island in the Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection are
    elsewhere across the Gulf of Honduras, and the remainder of the
    Bahamas. Heavy rainfall in these regions will create the
    possibility of life-threatening flash flooding and landslides.
    Please refer to local weather services as well as the
    International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 43W, S of 15N, moving
    westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to
    12N between 41W and 45W.

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 59W south of 16N,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough exits Africa along the Guinea coast near
    11N15W and extends southwestward to 09N44W, where it transitions
    to the ITCZ and continues to 09N59W. Scattered to numerous
    moderate to strong convection is noted from 05N to 11N E of 25W
    to the coast of Africa.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak pressure gradient remains across the Gulf basin as
    weakening high pressure across the SE U.S. extends a ridge across
    the northern Gulf. A broad and persistent middle to upper-level
    trough over the eastern Gulf is supporting very active
    thunderstorms over portions of the NW Caribbean and across eastern
    Cuba into the Bahamas, while convection across the Gulf has
    diminished in recent hours, with widely scattered moderate
    convection across the Straits of Florida and into the SW Florida
    waters across the Fort Meyers area. A weak surface trough lingers
    from central Florida into the the SW Gulf to the western Straits
    of Florida. The current surface pattern is generally producing
    light to gentle easterly winds and slight seas across the Gulf.
    Moderate E-NE winds and seas to 3 ft are occurring well offshore
    of southern Texas between 93W and 95W.

    For the forecast, the current weak pressure pattern across the
    Gulf will continue to generate gentle to moderate winds across
    the Gulf through Thu. The persistent middle to upper-level trough
    will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the SE Gulf
    and the Straits of Florida for at least the next couple of days.
    A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night and
    Fri. The front will shift southward accompanied by increasing
    winds and seas, before stalling over the SE Gulf this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
    on impactful weather across the northwestern Caribbean.

    Outside of the active convection across the NW Caribbean, fair
    weather dominates most of the basin. Scattered showers accompany a
    low-level trough moving across the Leeward Islands. At the
    surface, a weak pressure pattern prevails across the basin.
    Moderate trades prevail across most of the basin E of 76W, where
    seas are 3 to 5 ft, while fresh to strong winds are S of 14N to
    the coasts of NW Venezuela and extreme NE Colombia, where seas are
    5 to 7 ft. Outside of convection, light to gentle winds and
    slight seas prevail across the remaining waters of the western
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will continue across
    the basin to produce moderate to fresh trades over the S central
    Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. A deep layered
    upper trough over NW portions will support scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over the W Caribbean for at least the
    next couple of days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Of note: What was previously Tropical Depression Fay is now a
    post-tropical remnant low pressure of 1013 mb centered near
    30.5N37.0W. Winds of 20-30 kt continue within 180 nm across the N
    semicircle, where buoy observations suggest seas are 8 to 13 ft.
    Scattered moderate convection has increased in recent hours, and
    within 90 nm across the E semicircle of the low.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain active across the
    NW Caribbean, across eastern Cuba and over much of the Bahamas and
    adjacent Atlantic waters S of 28N and W of 67W. This activity is
    occurring due to the combination of ample moisture across the area
    and unstable conditions created by the persistent and deep
    layered upper trough across the eastern Gulf of America and NW
    Caribbean. Another upper-level low is drifting westward near
    26N51W. This feature is interacting with several surface troughs
    in the central Atlantic resulting in an area of scattered moderate
    convection from 22.5N to 28N between 41W and 53W. Another surface
    trough is moving westward across the Lesser Antilles, and
    producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the
    Leeward Islands and adjacent Atlantic waters W of 59W. Outside of
    this convection, a weak pressure gradient continues across much
    of the Atlantic. This pattern is sustaining mostly gentle to
    moderate trades S of 23N and variable light to gentle winds
    elsewhere W of 50W, except for moderate SE to S winds over the
    area N of 25N between 58W and 70W. Seas are 4 ft or less across
    this area except 5 to 8 ft N of 26N between 49W and 52W.

    Elsewhere, the Azores high is centered across the NE Atlantic
    along 20W and extends a ridge southwestward and drapes across the
    remnant low of Fay. The resultant pressure gradient is yielding
    moderate N to NE winds from the Canary Islands to the Cabo Verdes,
    with strong winds along the coast of Africa. Seas there are 3 to
    6 ft. Moderate NE trades prevail S of 21N between the Cabo Verdes
    and 50W, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. N of this area winds are light
    to gentle. However, long period N to NE swell has moved into the
    waters N of 25N and E of 52W, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a continued weak pressure gradient
    will support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters
    through Wed night. The upper-level trough will support scattered
    showers and thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days.
    A cold front will move off the SE United States coast late Wed
    night. The front will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda
    to the straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken.
    Fresh to strong winds and increasing seas in large NE swell will
    follow the front on Thu and Fri.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 24 Sep 2026 23:53:05 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 23 Sep 2026 14:20:06 GMT
  • Wed, 23 Sep 2026 11:53:05 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 231152
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Sep 23 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave that just
    moved off the west coast of Africa, has formed about 600 miles
    southeast of the Cabo Verde Islands. This system could become a
    short-lived tropical depression on Thursday or Friday while it
    moves northwestward to northward. However, strong upper-level
    winds should end the opportunity for development by the weekend.
    Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands should monitor the progress of
    this system as gusty winds and areas of heavy rain are possible
    there by the end of the week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (Former Tropical Storm Fay):
    A low pressure system, formerly Tropical Storm Fay, is located
    about 800 miles southwest of the Azores. Shower activity
    associated with the low has increased this morning. However,
    significant re-development of this system is unlikely while it
    moves generally westward over the next couple of days. By the
    weekend, increasingly strong upper-level winds should inhibit
    re-development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 22 Sep 2026 16:42:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 221642
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1245 PM EDT TUE 22 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-115 AMENDMENT

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE POLO
    FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 42 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 71
    A. 23/1800Z A. 24/0600Z
    B. NOAA2 0317E POLO B. AFXXX 0417E POLO
    C. 23/1300Z C. 24/0130Z
    D. 15.7N 102.3W D. 16.4N 103.5W
    E. 23/1700Z TO 24/2000Z E. 24/0500Z TO 24/0830Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR G. FIX AND BUOY RELEASE
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
    I. N/A I. 5 A-SIZED BUOYS WILL BE
    RELEASED ON THE NW SIDE OF
    POLO FOLLOWING THE FIX
    (AMENDED).

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
    A. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO HURRICANE
    POLO FOR 24/1800Z.
    B. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO THE REMNANTS OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
    15-E NEAR 15.7N 153.6W FOR 25/0600Z.

    3. REMARKS:
    A. DURING THE NOAA 42 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 23/1800Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
    WITHIN THE STORM ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW
    5,000 FT FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
    B. NOAA 43 WILL CONDUCT A 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO
    HURRICANE POLO ON WEDNESDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 23/1500Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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