SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 24 Aug 2026 06:03:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
576
AXNT20 KNHC 240602
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Showers and thunderstorms
are slowly getting better organized in association with a low
pressure area centered about 400 miles southeast of Bermuda near
29N62W, 1016 mb. Further development of the low is possible, and
this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or
storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward and
north- northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system has
a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours
and 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has its axis along 36W south of 19N, moving
quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 13N between 35W and 41W.
A tropical wave has its axis along 56W south of 20N, moving
westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
N of 18N between 51W-55W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean, with axis
along 68W, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers
are noted in the wave environment and N of 17N.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis along
90W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. The wave appears to
support convective activity over the Yucatan peninsula.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portions of the week while the system moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic. This system has a medium chance for tropical formation
in 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 07N50W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N50W to 07N53W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection
is noted along the monsoon trough E of 21W, and between 35W and
48W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak surface ridging, anchored by a 1016 mb high center located
near 27N93W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic light to
gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present throughout
the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter data.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are active
over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast between
Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed. Isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present over the
NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge
building westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A
surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of
the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.
The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up o 6 ft are with these trades. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except over the
northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N, where light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are present.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to maintain
fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-
central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse at times
through the week following passages of a series of relatively weak
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.
A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 29N68W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few showers
are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found north of the
front. A ridge dominates much of the area between 30W and 60W,
with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near 35N47W.
Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north of the
monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W, and in a
belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95. Winds are
moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters. Seas are
slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across the
remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) will
continue developing as it moves northward and north-
northeastward well to the northeast of Bermuda. Increasing winds
and seas are possible tonight over the far NE waters, with
conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere, high pressure will
maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through the period, with
moderate to fresh trades to the south, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters this week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 24 Aug 2026 06:03:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
576
AXNT20 KNHC 240602
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Showers and thunderstorms
are slowly getting better organized in association with a low
pressure area centered about 400 miles southeast of Bermuda near
29N62W, 1016 mb. Further development of the low is possible, and
this system could become a short-lived tropical depression or
storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward and
north- northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system has
a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48 hours
and 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has its axis along 36W south of 19N, moving
quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 13N between 35W and 41W.
A tropical wave has its axis along 56W south of 20N, moving
westward at around 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
N of 18N between 51W-55W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean, with axis
along 68W, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers
are noted in the wave environment and N of 17N.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis along
90W, moving westward at around 15-20 kt. The wave appears to
support convective activity over the Yucatan peninsula.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for
development, and a tropical depression could form by the middle to
latter portions of the week while the system moves generally
westward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern and central tropical
Atlantic. This system has a medium chance for tropical formation
in 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 07N50W. The ITCZ
extends from 07N50W to 07N53W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection
is noted along the monsoon trough E of 21W, and between 35W and
48W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak surface ridging, anchored by a 1016 mb high center located
near 27N93W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic light to
gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present throughout
the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter data.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are active
over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast between
Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed. Isolated
to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present over the
NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
central Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge
building westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A
surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of
the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.
The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to strong trades primarily over the south-
central Caribbean. Seas up o 6 ft are with these trades. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere, except over the
northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N, where light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are present.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to maintain
fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over the south-
central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light to gentle
winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse at times
through the week following passages of a series of relatively weak
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.
A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 29N68W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few showers
are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found north of the
front. A ridge dominates much of the area between 30W and 60W,
with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near 35N47W.
Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north of the
monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W, and in a
belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95. Winds are
moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters. Seas are
slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across the
remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) will
continue developing as it moves northward and north-
northeastward well to the northeast of Bermuda. Increasing winds
and seas are possible tonight over the far NE waters, with
conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere, high pressure will
maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through the period, with
moderate to fresh trades to the south, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters this week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 17:26:07 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 24 Aug 2026 06:10:10 GMT - Mon, 24 Aug 2026 05:26:07 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 240526
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 24 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
Showers and thunderstorms associated with an area of low pressure
are located a few hundred miles southeast of Bermuda. Further
development of the low is possible, and this system could become a
short-lived tropical depression or storm during the next couple of
days while it moves northward and north-northeastward, well
northeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa
later today, and an area of low pressure could form in association
with the wave early this week. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be marginally conducive for development, and a tropical
depression could form by the middle to latter portions of the week
while the system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 13:15:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231315
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT SUN 23 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-084
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf