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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 20 Apr 2026 21:28:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202128
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Apr 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 12N15W to 00N23W. The ITCZ
continues from 00N23W to 02S44W. Scattered moderate convection is
within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 16W and 23W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is active from 00N to 05N
between 10W and 17W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends westward from Naples, Florida to
21N95W. A morning scatterometer satellite pass indicated fresh to
strong winds are north of the front, although more recent buoy
observations indicate these winds may be diminishing this
afternoon. Similarly, earlier altimeter satellite data indicated
seas to 8 ft over the northern Gulf, but buoys are showing seas
are largely below 8 ft. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over
much of the remainder of the waters, with 4-6 ft seas.
For the forecast, the western portion of the front will gradually
dissipate over the central and western Gulf, while the eastern
portion will resume moving southward and move across Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel, before stalling along about 21N Wed and
dissipating early Thu. Gentle to moderate southeasterly winds will
return to the Gulf on Thu.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The cold front moving across the Gulf and western Atlantic is
displacing and weakening the typical subtropical ridge that
governs the trade wind flow across the Caribbean. This pattern is
supporting gentle to moderate E trade winds across the basin this
afternoon. Seas are 5-6 ft over the eastern Caribbean, and 2-4 ft
elsewhere. No significant shower or thunderstorm activity is
noted at this time.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will develop Tue night
and Wed night across the Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba,
associated with a late-season cold front moving slowly across
Cuba. The front is expected to dissipate across eastern Cuba early
Thu. Tranquil marine conditions are expected across the entire
basin Fri and Sat.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from just west of Bermuda to the northern
Bahamas to South Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
active along the front. Fresh to strong NE winds with 7-10 ft seas
are evident north of the front. Farther east, a few showers and
thunderstorms are also active along a trough ahead of the front
extending from 30N68W to the central Bahamas. A broad ridge
dominates the remainder of the discussion area, anchored by 1028
mb high pressure over the north- central Atlantic west of the
Azores near 38N41W. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate
winds and seas of 4-7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
rough seas will follow the front as it continues moving
southeastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the Florida Keys
early tonight, from 31N60W to the NW coast of Cuba by Tue
afternoon, and then begin to stall and weaken from 31N55W to
25N60W to eastern Cuba along 21N Wed morning. Winds will diminish
Wed as the front stalls and dissipates along 21N by early Thu.
Weak high pressure will settle in between northeast Florida and
Bermuda Thu through Sat, in the wake of the front. Large N to NE
swell will linger near the weakening front Tue night through Thu
morning, including waters near the Windward Passage.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 20 Apr 2026 21:28:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202128
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Apr 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 12N15W to 00N23W. The ITCZ
continues from 00N23W to 02S44W. Scattered moderate convection is
within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 16W and 23W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is active from 00N to 05N
between 10W and 17W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends westward from Naples, Florida to
21N95W. A morning scatterometer satellite pass indicated fresh to
strong winds are north of the front, although more recent buoy
observations indicate these winds may be diminishing this
afternoon. Similarly, earlier altimeter satellite data indicated
seas to 8 ft over the northern Gulf, but buoys are showing seas
are largely below 8 ft. Gentle to moderate winds prevail over
much of the remainder of the waters, with 4-6 ft seas.
For the forecast, the western portion of the front will gradually
dissipate over the central and western Gulf, while the eastern
portion will resume moving southward and move across Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel, before stalling along about 21N Wed and
dissipating early Thu. Gentle to moderate southeasterly winds will
return to the Gulf on Thu.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The cold front moving across the Gulf and western Atlantic is
displacing and weakening the typical subtropical ridge that
governs the trade wind flow across the Caribbean. This pattern is
supporting gentle to moderate E trade winds across the basin this
afternoon. Seas are 5-6 ft over the eastern Caribbean, and 2-4 ft
elsewhere. No significant shower or thunderstorm activity is
noted at this time.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds will develop Tue night
and Wed night across the Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba,
associated with a late-season cold front moving slowly across
Cuba. The front is expected to dissipate across eastern Cuba early
Thu. Tranquil marine conditions are expected across the entire
basin Fri and Sat.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from just west of Bermuda to the northern
Bahamas to South Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
active along the front. Fresh to strong NE winds with 7-10 ft seas
are evident north of the front. Farther east, a few showers and
thunderstorms are also active along a trough ahead of the front
extending from 30N68W to the central Bahamas. A broad ridge
dominates the remainder of the discussion area, anchored by 1028
mb high pressure over the north- central Atlantic west of the
Azores near 38N41W. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate
winds and seas of 4-7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
rough seas will follow the front as it continues moving
southeastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the Florida Keys
early tonight, from 31N60W to the NW coast of Cuba by Tue
afternoon, and then begin to stall and weaken from 31N55W to
25N60W to eastern Cuba along 21N Wed morning. Winds will diminish
Wed as the front stalls and dissipates along 21N by early Thu.
Weak high pressure will settle in between northeast Florida and
Bermuda Thu through Sat, in the wake of the front. Large N to NE
swell will linger near the weakening front Tue night through Thu
morning, including waters near the Windward Passage.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 21 Apr 2026 03:25:01 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf