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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 10:08:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 261008
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has emerged off Africa and now has an axis along
19W from 10N to 17N, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noticed from 12N to 15N E of 20W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 47W, from 08N
to 22W, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted E of this wave from 08N to 12N between 37W and 47W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 64W, from
the Virgin Islands into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is behind this
wave from 12N to 19N between 54W and 64W, and is impacting much of
the waters near the Lesser Antilles.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 74W, moving W
at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
to 12N25W to 10N37W. The ITCZ extends from 10N38W to 08N44W and
from 07N49W to 05N54W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is occurring from 09N to 14N between 20W and 27W and
08N to 12N between 29W and 37W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 03N to 11N between 49W and 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered
moderate convection over the SW basin. Light to gentle
anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin, with moderate SE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche, E of the surface through.
Seas are 2 to 4 ft where these moderate winds are ongoing,
otherwise generally 2 ft or less basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin into mid-
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Convection in the NW Caribbean has dissipated overnight. See the
above Tropical Waves sections for details on convection associated
with a tropical wave in the far eastern basin.
The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
the western Atlantic ridge extending into the eastern Gulf of
America is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over the
central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6 to
8 ft between 72W and 80W. Across the eastern basin, moderate to
locally fresh easterly trade winds prevail, with moderate seas of
4 to 6 ft. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
weaker, with slight seas. The exception there is locally fresh E
wind across the Gulf of Honduras, where seas are moderate ft.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
support fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas
across the south-central Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the
Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will weaken and shift east tonight,
allowing winds and seas to diminish over the central Caribbean
into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and seas will increase again
across the central Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds
north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A tight pressure gradient between low pressure over the Saharan
Desert and the 1029 mb Azores high has relaxed enough such that
gale conditions have ended in the vicinity of the Canary Islands
and near the Moroccan coast. As both the low and high weaken
today, strong NE winds will gradually decrease to moderate to
fresh into tonight. These higher winds have generated rough seas
that impact waters from the Canary Islands S to 18N and W to about
35W. These seas will slowly decay below 8 ft through the day.
Convection E of Florida and N of and E of the Bahamas has
generally dissipated overnight, but scattered moderate convection
prevails within about 60 nm either side of a surface trough axis
that extends from 31N45W to 27N52W. The pressure gradient between
the Azores High and lower pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon
trough is producing moderate to locally fresh trades along with
moderate seas across much of the Atlantic S of 26W. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
and the Atlantic ridge to the east.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 10:08:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 261008
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has emerged off Africa and now has an axis along
19W from 10N to 17N, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noticed from 12N to 15N E of 20W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 47W, from 08N
to 22W, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted E of this wave from 08N to 12N between 37W and 47W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 64W, from
the Virgin Islands into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is behind this
wave from 12N to 19N between 54W and 64W, and is impacting much of
the waters near the Lesser Antilles.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 74W, moving W
at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
to 12N25W to 10N37W. The ITCZ extends from 10N38W to 08N44W and
from 07N49W to 05N54W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is occurring from 09N to 14N between 20W and 27W and
08N to 12N between 29W and 37W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 03N to 11N between 49W and 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over the NE Gulf near 28N87W.
A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered
moderate convection over the SW basin. Light to gentle
anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin, with moderate SE
winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche, E of the surface through.
Seas are 2 to 4 ft where these moderate winds are ongoing,
otherwise generally 2 ft or less basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
gentle to moderate winds and slight seas to the basin into mid-
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Convection in the NW Caribbean has dissipated overnight. See the
above Tropical Waves sections for details on convection associated
with a tropical wave in the far eastern basin.
The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
the western Atlantic ridge extending into the eastern Gulf of
America is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over the
central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6 to
8 ft between 72W and 80W. Across the eastern basin, moderate to
locally fresh easterly trade winds prevail, with moderate seas of
4 to 6 ft. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
weaker, with slight seas. The exception there is locally fresh E
wind across the Gulf of Honduras, where seas are moderate ft.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
support fresh to strong winds with moderate to locally rough seas
across the south-central Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the
Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will weaken and shift east tonight,
allowing winds and seas to diminish over the central Caribbean
into mid week. Looking ahead, winds and seas will increase again
across the central Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds
north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A tight pressure gradient between low pressure over the Saharan
Desert and the 1029 mb Azores high has relaxed enough such that
gale conditions have ended in the vicinity of the Canary Islands
and near the Moroccan coast. As both the low and high weaken
today, strong NE winds will gradually decrease to moderate to
fresh into tonight. These higher winds have generated rough seas
that impact waters from the Canary Islands S to 18N and W to about
35W. These seas will slowly decay below 8 ft through the day.
Convection E of Florida and N of and E of the Bahamas has
generally dissipated overnight, but scattered moderate convection
prevails within about 60 nm either side of a surface trough axis
that extends from 31N45W to 27N52W. The pressure gradient between
the Azores High and lower pressure along the ITCZ and monsoon
trough is producing moderate to locally fresh trades along with
moderate seas across much of the Atlantic S of 26W. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
and the Atlantic ridge to the east.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 27 Jul 2026 23:27:50 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 26 Jul 2026 15:47:22 GMT - Sun, 26 Jul 2026 11:27:50 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 261127
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 25 Jul 2026 15:11:07 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 251510
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EDT SAT 25 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-055 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
A. 26/1800Z A. 27/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0206E FAUSTO B. NOAA9 0306E FAUSTO
C. 26/1500Z C. 26/1730Z
D. 20.1W 141.7W D. NA
E. 26/1730Z TO 26/2100Z E. NA
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. FIX G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 78 (CORRECTION)
A. 27/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0402E FAUSTO
C. 27/0300Z
D. 20.5N 144.3W
E. 27/0500Z TO 27/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
REMAINS A THREAT.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf