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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 16:46:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
953
AXNT20 KNHC 011646
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jul 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near
27W from 02N to 16N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is seen from 07N to 10N between 25W and 30W.
A tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with axis near 47W,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are present from 05N to 09N and between 45W and
50W.
A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. The wave
axis is near 75W, south of 19N, and moving westward at around 15
kt. Scattered showers are offshore Colombia and E Panama.
The tropical wave crossing Central America that was mentioned in
the previous discussion has moved over into the Eastern Pacific.
Please refer to the Tropical Weather Discussion for the Eastern
Pacific for information on that wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
W Africa near 22N17W and continues southwestward to 07N31W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N31W to 09N45W where it is broken by a
tropical wave. The ITCZ then continues from 07N50W to 08N59W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is evident from0 5N to 15N and E of
24W, as well as from 06N to 10N between 55W and 60W. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are also seen along and within
100 nm of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Gulf is dominated by a weak ridge that supports gentle to
moderate SE winds and slight seas W of 90W, and light to gentle
winds and slight seas over the remainder Gulf. There are two
surface troughs, one extending from SE Louisiana to the waters NW
of Dry Tortugas, which is generating scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf, and a second trough in
the Bay of Campeche which is generating similar activity.
For the forecast, a ridge across the northern Gulf will continue
to dominate the basin for the remainder of the week. A weakening
frontal trough extending from SE Louisiana to the central Florida
coast will gradually dissipate through Thu, with scattered showers
and thunderstorms persisting along the trough. Fresh to locally
strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula
nightly through Sun night due to local effects associated with a
daily surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will
prevail across the western half of the Gulf while moderate or
weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward
across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas this morning.
The pressure gradient between this ridge and the Colombian Low
will support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough
seas over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish
slightly through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near gale-
force each night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in
the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail
over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms
are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night through Fri night
as an upper- level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front is across the NW waters, extending from 31N71W
to 26N80W. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing ahead of the
front between 50W and 65W and N of 29N. A pair of surface troughs
in the central to west Atlantic are aiding in the development of
scattered showers. The Azores High extends a ridge across the
remainder of the subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across the
waters S of 22N are moderate to fresh with moderate seas to 6 ft.
N of 22N and E of 35W, a tighter pressure gradient with lower
pressures over NW Africa is leading to fresh to locally strong NE
winds along with rough seas to 10 ft, including the Canary
Islands. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas
this morning. A weakening stationary front is across the NW
waters, from 31N72W through the NW Bahamas to the south-central
coast of Florida. The front will gradually dissipate through Thu
while moving westward toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The
Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into central
Florida through the weekend. This pattern will support moderate to
locally fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker
winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to locally strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 16:46:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
953
AXNT20 KNHC 011646
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jul 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is west of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near
27W from 02N to 16N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is seen from 07N to 10N between 25W and 30W.
A tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with axis near 47W,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are present from 05N to 09N and between 45W and
50W.
A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. The wave
axis is near 75W, south of 19N, and moving westward at around 15
kt. Scattered showers are offshore Colombia and E Panama.
The tropical wave crossing Central America that was mentioned in
the previous discussion has moved over into the Eastern Pacific.
Please refer to the Tropical Weather Discussion for the Eastern
Pacific for information on that wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
W Africa near 22N17W and continues southwestward to 07N31W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N31W to 09N45W where it is broken by a
tropical wave. The ITCZ then continues from 07N50W to 08N59W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is evident from0 5N to 15N and E of
24W, as well as from 06N to 10N between 55W and 60W. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are also seen along and within
100 nm of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Gulf is dominated by a weak ridge that supports gentle to
moderate SE winds and slight seas W of 90W, and light to gentle
winds and slight seas over the remainder Gulf. There are two
surface troughs, one extending from SE Louisiana to the waters NW
of Dry Tortugas, which is generating scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf, and a second trough in
the Bay of Campeche which is generating similar activity.
For the forecast, a ridge across the northern Gulf will continue
to dominate the basin for the remainder of the week. A weakening
frontal trough extending from SE Louisiana to the central Florida
coast will gradually dissipate through Thu, with scattered showers
and thunderstorms persisting along the trough. Fresh to locally
strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula
nightly through Sun night due to local effects associated with a
daily surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will
prevail across the western half of the Gulf while moderate or
weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward
across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas this morning.
The pressure gradient between this ridge and the Colombian Low
will support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough
seas over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish
slightly through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near gale-
force each night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in
the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail
over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms
are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night through Fri night
as an upper- level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front is across the NW waters, extending from 31N71W
to 26N80W. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing ahead of the
front between 50W and 65W and N of 29N. A pair of surface troughs
in the central to west Atlantic are aiding in the development of
scattered showers. The Azores High extends a ridge across the
remainder of the subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across the
waters S of 22N are moderate to fresh with moderate seas to 6 ft.
N of 22N and E of 35W, a tighter pressure gradient with lower
pressures over NW Africa is leading to fresh to locally strong NE
winds along with rough seas to 10 ft, including the Canary
Islands. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas
this morning. A weakening stationary front is across the NW
waters, from 31N72W through the NW Bahamas to the south-central
coast of Florida. The front will gradually dissipate through Thu
while moving westward toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The
Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into central
Florida through the weekend. This pattern will support moderate to
locally fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker
winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to locally strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 05:23:02 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 01 Jul 2026 18:05:45 GMT - Wed, 01 Jul 2026 17:23:02 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
727
ABNT20 KNHC 011722
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 13:12:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 011312
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 01 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-031
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf