2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 16:52:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 041652
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1031
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
    force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones.
    Scatterometer data from 1014 UTC today showed strong to near gale
    force winds occurring off the coast of Morocco. Gale-force winds
    are expected to occur through 05/0000 UTC with severe gusts. These
    winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions will persist
    into the weekend. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France
    High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 17W south of
    14N, moving west at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    active from 06N to 10N between 13W and 19W.

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south of 12N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen
    from 04N to 09N between 36W and 42W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 14N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 08N to 12N between 47W and 55W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing shower and thunderstorm
    activity across NE South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N26W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N26W to 03N37W where it is broken by a
    tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from 02N40W to 01N50W.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along and within
    150 nm of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weakening stationary front and frontal remnant trough extend
    from the Florida Straits to SE Louisiana. A tight pressure
    gradient behind the front forces fresh to strong easterly winds
    and moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    slight to moderate seas are present across the southeast Gulf and
    the Straits of Florida. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical
    moisture result in numerous moderate and isolated strong
    convection over the Gulf waters east of 90W.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong E to SE winds and moderate to
    rough seas persist north of a weakening stationary front over the
    SE waters. Pressure is falling over the central Gulf along a
    trough, and low pressure weak may form later today near 26N90W
    even as the front dissipates. This will enhance the strong winds
    and rough seas over the north-central Gulf this afternoon and
    evening. Meanwhile, scattered thunderstorms will continue today
    over the south-central and southeast Gulf. Winds and seas will
    diminish starting Fri as the low dissipates to a remnant trough as
    it moves onshore over southwest Louisiana, and as a ridge builds
    from the western Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. This pattern will
    support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate
    seas into early next week, except for occasionally fresh to strong
    pulses off northwest Yucatan during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A ridge extends from 1031 mb high pressure system centered
    SW of the Azores southwestward to the Caribbean Sea, supporting
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-
    central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
    seas are noted in the north-central and eastern Caribbean as well
    as the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring in the SW Caribbean, along the eastern extension of the
    East Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
    exceptions will be fresh to strong pulses off Venezuela tonight,
    and in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night. Fresh to strong
    SE winds and building are possible over the northwest and north-
    central Caribbean late Sat through early next week as the Atlantic
    ridge rebuilds north of area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from 31N67W to the central Bahamas and the
    Florida Straits. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are
    present along and just ahead of the front, while scattered
    moderate convection is occurring over the central and southern
    Bahamas. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and rough seas in NE swell
    are found behind the front. Fresh to strong southerly winds and
    moderate seas are evident N of 27N and W of 65W to the front. In
    the remainder of the tropical Atlantic, the basin is being
    dominated by ridging centered around a 1031 mb high located SW of
    the Azores, leading to moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and
    moderate to locally rough seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front reaches from 31N68W to
    the central Bahamas, then is stationary to the Florida Straits.
    Rough seas will linger over the northern waters behind the front
    today. The front will stall today then dissipate Fri into Sat, as
    high pressure builds across the area. This pattern will allow
    gentle to moderate winds and 3-5 ft seas into early next week.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 16:52:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 041652
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1031
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
    force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones.
    Scatterometer data from 1014 UTC today showed strong to near gale
    force winds occurring off the coast of Morocco. Gale-force winds
    are expected to occur through 05/0000 UTC with severe gusts. These
    winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions will persist
    into the weekend. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France
    High Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 17W south of
    14N, moving west at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    active from 06N to 10N between 13W and 19W.

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W, south of 12N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen
    from 04N to 09N between 36W and 42W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 14N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 08N to 12N between 47W and 55W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 64W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing shower and thunderstorm
    activity across NE South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N26W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N26W to 03N37W where it is broken by a
    tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from 02N40W to 01N50W.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along and within
    150 nm of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weakening stationary front and frontal remnant trough extend
    from the Florida Straits to SE Louisiana. A tight pressure
    gradient behind the front forces fresh to strong easterly winds
    and moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    slight to moderate seas are present across the southeast Gulf and
    the Straits of Florida. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical
    moisture result in numerous moderate and isolated strong
    convection over the Gulf waters east of 90W.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong E to SE winds and moderate to
    rough seas persist north of a weakening stationary front over the
    SE waters. Pressure is falling over the central Gulf along a
    trough, and low pressure weak may form later today near 26N90W
    even as the front dissipates. This will enhance the strong winds
    and rough seas over the north-central Gulf this afternoon and
    evening. Meanwhile, scattered thunderstorms will continue today
    over the south-central and southeast Gulf. Winds and seas will
    diminish starting Fri as the low dissipates to a remnant trough as
    it moves onshore over southwest Louisiana, and as a ridge builds
    from the western Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. This pattern will
    support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate
    seas into early next week, except for occasionally fresh to strong
    pulses off northwest Yucatan during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A ridge extends from 1031 mb high pressure system centered
    SW of the Azores southwestward to the Caribbean Sea, supporting
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-
    central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
    seas are noted in the north-central and eastern Caribbean as well
    as the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring in the SW Caribbean, along the eastern extension of the
    East Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
    exceptions will be fresh to strong pulses off Venezuela tonight,
    and in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night. Fresh to strong
    SE winds and building are possible over the northwest and north-
    central Caribbean late Sat through early next week as the Atlantic
    ridge rebuilds north of area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from 31N67W to the central Bahamas and the
    Florida Straits. Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms are
    present along and just ahead of the front, while scattered
    moderate convection is occurring over the central and southern
    Bahamas. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and rough seas in NE swell
    are found behind the front. Fresh to strong southerly winds and
    moderate seas are evident N of 27N and W of 65W to the front. In
    the remainder of the tropical Atlantic, the basin is being
    dominated by ridging centered around a 1031 mb high located SW of
    the Azores, leading to moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and
    moderate to locally rough seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front reaches from 31N68W to
    the central Bahamas, then is stationary to the Florida Straits.
    Rough seas will linger over the northern waters behind the front
    today. The front will stall today then dissipate Fri into Sat, as
    high pressure builds across the area. This pattern will allow
    gentle to moderate winds and 3-5 ft seas into early next week.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 05:48:04 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 04 Jun 2026 19:00:00 GMT
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 17:48:04 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 041747
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 12:59:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT THU 04 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-004

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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