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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:42:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071642
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1620 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area,
Invest AL94, is located near 26N61W this morning, moving east-
northeastward near 7 kt. This non- tropical low pressure area is
located several hundred miles south- southeast of Bermuda, and
continues to produce scattered to numerous heavy showers and
thunderstorms from 20N to 31N between 47W-60W. The low could still
acquire some subtropical characteristics through tonight before
upper-level winds increase on Sunday and begin to weaken the
system. The low is forecast to move generally east-northeastward
over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next
couple of days. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed a
broad band of near- gale to gale force NE to E winds of 30 to 40
kt occurring along and within 210 nm north of a stationary front
that drapes across the low center, from 26.5N47W to 28.5N59W to
27N64W. Recent altimeter and buoy data shows seas of 10 to 19 ft
occurring within this band of winds. Gale-force winds and very
rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to continue to the
north of this low center as it moves over parts of the central
subtropical Atlantic through the weekend.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12.5N17W and extends
SW to 09N21W. The ITCZ extends from 06.5N24W to 06N38W, then
resumes from 04N42W to 02N51W. Scattered to locally numerous
moderate to strong convection is occurring S of 11.5N between 29W
and 41W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from near Venice, Florida to the SW Gulf near
23N93W then is stationary to 25N97W. A dry and reinforcing cold
front moving into the NE Gulf directly behind the front is now ill
defined and is merging with the leading front. A few small
clusters of moderate convection are along the front over center
and NW portions of this basin. Otherwise, skies are fair. Moderate
to fresh N-NE winds are spilling across the NE Gulf, and become
moderate NE to E elsewhere north of the front. Gentle to moderate
NE winds are also over the Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Seas
are 3 to 5 ft NE portions and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
For the forecast, the frontal boundary from central Florida to
the west central Gulf will slowly shift across the remainder of
the basin into early next week, as high pressure builds across the
basin. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Invest6 AL94, south of Bermuda and E of the Bahamas, continues to
disrupt the trade wind flow across the Caribbean basin. An
elongated trough extends from the Gulf of Honduras to just
offshore of NE Colombia, which is supporting scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms near and to the south of this feature.
Across the eastern Caribbean moderate SE winds across the Windward
Islands turn anticyclonically and become SW to W across Puerto
Rico and the NE Caribbean. Due to the weak pressure gradient over
the region caused by low center S of Bermuda, seas are 4 ft or
less across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Easterly winds will return
to the basin by late Mon and strengthen over the central
Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
AL94.
Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N25W to
24N42W, then stalls to 28.5N59W to 27N64W. Scattered to numerous
heavy showers and thunderstorms are noted from 20N to 31N between
47W-60W. Strong to near gale- force SW winds are ahead of the
front E of 35W, where seas are 10 to 14 ft, while fresh to strong
NNW winds follow the front E of 36W. where seas are 9 to 12 ft.
South of Invest AL94, winds are fresh to strong from the SW,
extending south to 20N between 50W and 66W.
For the forecast west of 55W, Invest AL94 will drift slowly east-
northeastward. A second low may develop east of this low today.
The lows will merge over the eastern waters late in the weekend,
then shift east of the area by early next week. An area of strong
to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16
ft, will prevail north of the lows, impacting the waters mainly
north of about 27N and east of 65W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
weakening cold front has entered the waters between Florida and
75W. The front will dissipate by Sun.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:42:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071642
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Nov 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1620 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1000 mb low pressure area,
Invest AL94, is located near 26N61W this morning, moving east-
northeastward near 7 kt. This non- tropical low pressure area is
located several hundred miles south- southeast of Bermuda, and
continues to produce scattered to numerous heavy showers and
thunderstorms from 20N to 31N between 47W-60W. The low could still
acquire some subtropical characteristics through tonight before
upper-level winds increase on Sunday and begin to weaken the
system. The low is forecast to move generally east-northeastward
over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during the next
couple of days. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed a
broad band of near- gale to gale force NE to E winds of 30 to 40
kt occurring along and within 210 nm north of a stationary front
that drapes across the low center, from 26.5N47W to 28.5N59W to
27N64W. Recent altimeter and buoy data shows seas of 10 to 19 ft
occurring within this band of winds. Gale-force winds and very
rough seas in excess of 12 ft are expected to continue to the
north of this low center as it moves over parts of the central
subtropical Atlantic through the weekend.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOAT.html for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12.5N17W and extends
SW to 09N21W. The ITCZ extends from 06.5N24W to 06N38W, then
resumes from 04N42W to 02N51W. Scattered to locally numerous
moderate to strong convection is occurring S of 11.5N between 29W
and 41W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from near Venice, Florida to the SW Gulf near
23N93W then is stationary to 25N97W. A dry and reinforcing cold
front moving into the NE Gulf directly behind the front is now ill
defined and is merging with the leading front. A few small
clusters of moderate convection are along the front over center
and NW portions of this basin. Otherwise, skies are fair. Moderate
to fresh N-NE winds are spilling across the NE Gulf, and become
moderate NE to E elsewhere north of the front. Gentle to moderate
NE winds are also over the Bay of Campeche offshore Yucatan. Seas
are 3 to 5 ft NE portions and 3 ft or less elsewhere.
For the forecast, the frontal boundary from central Florida to
the west central Gulf will slowly shift across the remainder of
the basin into early next week, as high pressure builds across the
basin. Moderate to fresh winds will prevail behind the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Invest6 AL94, south of Bermuda and E of the Bahamas, continues to
disrupt the trade wind flow across the Caribbean basin. An
elongated trough extends from the Gulf of Honduras to just
offshore of NE Colombia, which is supporting scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms near and to the south of this feature.
Across the eastern Caribbean moderate SE winds across the Windward
Islands turn anticyclonically and become SW to W across Puerto
Rico and the NE Caribbean. Due to the weak pressure gradient over
the region caused by low center S of Bermuda, seas are 4 ft or
less across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Easterly winds will return
to the basin by late Mon and strengthen over the central
Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of Invest
AL94.
Aside from Invest AL94, a cold front extends from 31N25W to
24N42W, then stalls to 28.5N59W to 27N64W. Scattered to numerous
heavy showers and thunderstorms are noted from 20N to 31N between
47W-60W. Strong to near gale- force SW winds are ahead of the
front E of 35W, where seas are 10 to 14 ft, while fresh to strong
NNW winds follow the front E of 36W. where seas are 9 to 12 ft.
South of Invest AL94, winds are fresh to strong from the SW,
extending south to 20N between 50W and 66W.
For the forecast west of 55W, Invest AL94 will drift slowly east-
northeastward. A second low may develop east of this low today.
The lows will merge over the eastern waters late in the weekend,
then shift east of the area by early next week. An area of strong
to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 16
ft, will prevail north of the lows, impacting the waters mainly
north of about 27N and east of 65W through tonight. Elsewhere, a
weakening cold front has entered the waters between Florida and
75W. The front will dissipate by Sun.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 09 Nov 2026 05:25:39 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 07 Nov 2026 19:08:05 GMT - Sat, 07 Nov 2026 17:25:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 071725
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sat Nov 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Recent satellite-derived wind data indicates a
sharpening frontal structure is associated with this system. The low
could still briefly acquire some subtropical characteristics through
tonight, though this scenario appears to be trending less likely.
The low is forecast to move generally eastward over the western and
central subtropical Atlantic during the next couple of days and
become absorbed by a new non-tropical low pressure system to its
east early next week. Regardless, gale-force winds are likely over
parts of the central subtropical Atlantic through the weekend. For
more information, including Gale Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts
issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Mahoney
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 07 Nov 2026 16:25:37 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
333
NOUS42 KNHC 071625
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1125 AM EST SAT 07 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-160
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf