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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 17:33:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301730
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical is just SE of the Cape Verde Islands with axis along
22W, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is from 04N to 08N between 10W and 26W.
A tropical wave in the central Atlantic extends from 02N to 15N
with axis near 39W, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is observed from 04N to 10N and between 30W
and 41W.
A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 17N to inland
Venezuela, with axis near 68W, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is over western Venezuela and far
eastern Colombia.
A tropical wave in the SW Caribbean has its axis near 78W, moving
westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
southwestward to 09N25W. The ITCZ extends from 09N25W to 07N36W,
where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from
07N39W to 06N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
occurring along and within 100 nm of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient across the area favors moderate or weaker
ESE winds across the western half of the Gulf and light to gentle
winds elsewhere. Seas basin-wide are slight. Scattered showers are
occurring across the central Gulf in advance of a surface trough
moving southward across the region.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
region. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the
NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local
effects associated with a surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to
SE winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except
for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to strong easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-12 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean while moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing
in the Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
winds over the central Caribbean through Sat night, except
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are
likely to reach near gale-force at night. Otherwise, moderate to
fresh trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate
or weaker winds will prevail over the NW Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front is moving across the NE Florida offshore waters
west of 65W, bringing showers and scattered tstms to the region.
Another surface trough is bringing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the waters E of the Turks and Caicos and N or
Hispaniola. The Azores High extends a broad ridge elsewhere across
the subtropical waters, which is supporting moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas across much of the waters W of 25W. East
of 25W, a tighter pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
pressures over NW Africa supports fresh to strong NE winds and
rough seas to 9 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a frontal trough is moving across
the NW waters, and extends from 30N71W to near Melbourne, Florida.
The trough will first drift southward trough Wed morning, then
begin moving westward late Wed into Thu. Under this weather
pattern, moderate or weaker winds are expected, except for
moderate to fresh winds offshore Hispaniola mainly late in the
afternoons into the early evening hours.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 17:33:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 301730
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical is just SE of the Cape Verde Islands with axis along
22W, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is from 04N to 08N between 10W and 26W.
A tropical wave in the central Atlantic extends from 02N to 15N
with axis near 39W, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is observed from 04N to 10N and between 30W
and 41W.
A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean south of 17N to inland
Venezuela, with axis near 68W, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is over western Venezuela and far
eastern Colombia.
A tropical wave in the SW Caribbean has its axis near 78W, moving
westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
southwestward to 09N25W. The ITCZ extends from 09N25W to 07N36W,
where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from
07N39W to 06N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
occurring along and within 100 nm of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient across the area favors moderate or weaker
ESE winds across the western half of the Gulf and light to gentle
winds elsewhere. Seas basin-wide are slight. Scattered showers are
occurring across the central Gulf in advance of a surface trough
moving southward across the region.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
region. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the
NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local
effects associated with a surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to
SE winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except
for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to strong easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-12 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found offshore NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean while moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing
in the Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
winds over the central Caribbean through Sat night, except
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are
likely to reach near gale-force at night. Otherwise, moderate to
fresh trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate
or weaker winds will prevail over the NW Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front is moving across the NE Florida offshore waters
west of 65W, bringing showers and scattered tstms to the region.
Another surface trough is bringing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms to the waters E of the Turks and Caicos and N or
Hispaniola. The Azores High extends a broad ridge elsewhere across
the subtropical waters, which is supporting moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas across much of the waters W of 25W. East
of 25W, a tighter pressure gradient between the ridge and lower
pressures over NW Africa supports fresh to strong NE winds and
rough seas to 9 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a frontal trough is moving across
the NW waters, and extends from 30N71W to near Melbourne, Florida.
The trough will first drift southward trough Wed morning, then
begin moving westward late Wed into Thu. Under this weather
pattern, moderate or weaker winds are expected, except for
moderate to fresh winds offshore Hispaniola mainly late in the
afternoons into the early evening hours.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 05:36:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 30 Jun 2026 19:23:31 GMT - Tue, 30 Jun 2026 17:36:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301736
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A weak area of low pressure located along a frontal boundary off the
southeastern U.S. coast is associated with limited shower and
thunderstorm activity. The proximity of nearby dry air is expected
to prevent development of this system as it drifts southward and
then westward later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 13:38:15 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 301338
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT TUE 30 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-030
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf