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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 02 Jul 2026 09:45:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 020944
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 16N,
    moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 06N to 10N and east of 27W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 16N, moving
    westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present south
    of 12N between 45W and 58W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 20N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated
    with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 23N16W and continues southwestward to 07N35W.
    The ITCZ extends from 07N35W to 06N48W. Scattered moderate
    convection is evident from 04N to 10N and between 27W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak high pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting
    moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across the basin.
    Divergence aloft is producing a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche.

    For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the basin through the
    forecast period. Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds will
    pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
    due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
    Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
    half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
    elsewhere E of 90W.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge centered
    north of the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia
    supported fresh to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds
    and seas of 6-11 ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are
    found off Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
    seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate
    or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the lee of Cuba and
    off Panama and Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
    north of the islands and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
    trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central Caribbean
    through Fri morning, then diminish slightly through Sun. Expect winds
    to reach near gale-force each night offshore of Colombia and in
    the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
    continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
    will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
    thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night through
    Fri night as an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1034 mb high pressure system centered north of the Azores
    extends a ridge southwestward to the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N and west
    of 35W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
    present north of 20N and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
    lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. A surface trough extends
    from 31N72W to the NW Bahamas and a few showers are evident in
    the NW Bahamas and off SE Florida. Similar convection is occurring
    north of 27N and between 50W and 62W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
    gradually dissipate today while drifting northwestward toward the
    southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
    westward into central Florida through early next week. This
    pattern will support moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds S
    of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to
    locally strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening
    hours near the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 02 Jul 2026 09:45:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 020944
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 16N,
    moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 06N to 10N and east of 27W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 51W, south of 16N, moving
    westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present south
    of 12N between 45W and 58W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 20N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated
    with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 23N16W and continues southwestward to 07N35W.
    The ITCZ extends from 07N35W to 06N48W. Scattered moderate
    convection is evident from 04N to 10N and between 27W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak high pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting
    moderate or lighter winds and slight seas across the basin.
    Divergence aloft is producing a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche.

    For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the basin through the
    forecast period. Fresh to occasionally strong NE to E winds will
    pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
    due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
    Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
    half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
    elsewhere E of 90W.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge centered
    north of the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia
    supported fresh to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds
    and seas of 6-11 ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are
    found off Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
    seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate
    or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen in the lee of Cuba and
    off Panama and Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge
    north of the islands and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
    trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central Caribbean
    through Fri morning, then diminish slightly through Sun. Expect winds
    to reach near gale-force each night offshore of Colombia and in
    the Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
    continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
    will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
    thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean Thu night through
    Fri night as an upper-level trough sinks across the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1034 mb high pressure system centered north of the Azores
    extends a ridge southwestward to the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 22N and west
    of 35W. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
    present north of 20N and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
    lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. A surface trough extends
    from 31N72W to the NW Bahamas and a few showers are evident in
    the NW Bahamas and off SE Florida. Similar convection is occurring
    north of 27N and between 50W and 62W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
    gradually dissipate today while drifting northwestward toward the
    southeastern U.S. coast. The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly
    westward into central Florida through early next week. This
    pattern will support moderate to locally fresh E-SE trade winds S
    of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to
    locally strong winds each late afternoon into the early evening
    hours near the coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 03 Jul 2026 23:23:46 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 02 Jul 2026 15:22:06 GMT
  • Thu, 02 Jul 2026 11:23:46 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 021123
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 02 Jul 2026 13:34:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 021334
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0935 AM EDT THU 02 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-032

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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