2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 08 Jun 2026 06:17:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 080617
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Jun 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is has come off the coast of West Africa. Its axis
    extends from 03N to 12N and along 16W, moving westward at 5 kt.
    There is no significant convection associated with it at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is along 29W, south of 10N, moving westward at 15
    to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to
    10N between 25W and 35W.

    A tropical wave is along 41W, south of 11N, moving westward at
    around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is in the southern
    portion of the wave and near the ITCZ from 02N to 06N between 38W
    and 47W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean Sea near 77W, south
    of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is interacting
    with an upper level low center to its W, producing scattered
    moderate convection from 14N to 19N between 70W and 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    West Africa near 12N16W, and continues southwestward to 08N19W.
    The ITCZ extends from 07N20W to 05N26W, then west of a tropical
    wave from 04N31W to 04N37W, then west of a second tropical wave
    from 04N42W to 03N51W. See the tropical waves section for
    information about convection.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure located over the central Atlantic extends a ridge
    across Florida and into the eastern Gulf region. This system is
    supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds west of 90W, and in the
    SE Gulf. Seas basin-wide are slight to moderate.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region through Fri supporting gentle to moderate east to southeast
    winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to locally fresh winds
    in the western Gulf. Slight to moderate seas will prevail. A
    trough, or low pressure may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into
    the south central or southwestern portions of the Gulf, perhaps
    from late Thu through Fri night accompanied by numerous showers
    and thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and building
    seas. Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will move off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and into the eastern Bay of Campeche at night through
    Wed attendant by fresh to strong winds and slight to moderate
    seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The gradient between Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower
    pressures over Central America is maintaining moderate to fresh
    trade winds across the the majority of the basin along with mostly
    moderate seas. A tropical wave moving across the central and
    portions of the SW Caribbean is generating some showers across the
    region. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds, embedded in the
    trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to scattered passing
    showers.

    For the forecast, as the pressure gradient tightens further
    between the Atlantic high pressure and a broad area of low
    pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of Central
    America this will likely lead to an increase of the trade winds to
    fresh to strong speeds starting early Mon evening in the central
    and northwestern sections of the basin, and lasting through the
    rest of the period. Trade winds of fresh speeds are expected over
    the eastern section of the basin starting Wed night. The trade
    winds in the northwestern part of the basin are expected to become
    fresh to strong, predominately southeast in direction, beginning
    on Wed as a trough, or low pressure may shift northward or
    northwestward from the Yucatan Peninsula into the south-central or
    southwestern portions of the Gulf of America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details including
    any related significant convection.

    A surface trough extends from 28N72W to the central Bahamas.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are near the trough
    axis. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by
    a broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1033 mb high pressure
    situated SW of the Azores. Under the influence of this system, a
    gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of the trough
    to about 48W. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    are found north of 20N and east of 44W, including the Canary
    Islands. The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas to 7 ft are elsewhere S of 20N
    between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the trough will remain nearly
    stationary through the early part of the week. A weak cold front
    will move across the N waters Tue, then stall near 27N through
    Wed, gradually dissipating by Thu. High pressure in the wake of
    the front will shift eastward north of the area through the end of
    the week while weakening, with the associated ridge extending
    toward southeastern Georgia. The related pressure gradient will
    generally allow for gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas. Moderate to fresh east winds are expected between
    the southeastern Bahamas and Hispaniola, and westward to the
    waters between the Bahamas and Cuba beginning late Wed night.
    Increasing moisture resulting in unsettled weather conditions is
    likely to impact the far western section of the basin during the
    week.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 08 Jun 2026 06:17:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 080617
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Jun 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is has come off the coast of West Africa. Its axis
    extends from 03N to 12N and along 16W, moving westward at 5 kt.
    There is no significant convection associated with it at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is along 29W, south of 10N, moving westward at 15
    to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to
    10N between 25W and 35W.

    A tropical wave is along 41W, south of 11N, moving westward at
    around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is in the southern
    portion of the wave and near the ITCZ from 02N to 06N between 38W
    and 47W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean Sea near 77W, south
    of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is interacting
    with an upper level low center to its W, producing scattered
    moderate convection from 14N to 19N between 70W and 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    West Africa near 12N16W, and continues southwestward to 08N19W.
    The ITCZ extends from 07N20W to 05N26W, then west of a tropical
    wave from 04N31W to 04N37W, then west of a second tropical wave
    from 04N42W to 03N51W. See the tropical waves section for
    information about convection.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure located over the central Atlantic extends a ridge
    across Florida and into the eastern Gulf region. This system is
    supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds west of 90W, and in the
    SE Gulf. Seas basin-wide are slight to moderate.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region through Fri supporting gentle to moderate east to southeast
    winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to locally fresh winds
    in the western Gulf. Slight to moderate seas will prevail. A
    trough, or low pressure may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into
    the south central or southwestern portions of the Gulf, perhaps
    from late Thu through Fri night accompanied by numerous showers
    and thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and building
    seas. Elsewhere, a diurnal trough will move off the Yucatan
    Peninsula and into the eastern Bay of Campeche at night through
    Wed attendant by fresh to strong winds and slight to moderate
    seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The gradient between Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower
    pressures over Central America is maintaining moderate to fresh
    trade winds across the the majority of the basin along with mostly
    moderate seas. A tropical wave moving across the central and
    portions of the SW Caribbean is generating some showers across the
    region. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds, embedded in the
    trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to scattered passing
    showers.

    For the forecast, as the pressure gradient tightens further
    between the Atlantic high pressure and a broad area of low
    pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of Central
    America this will likely lead to an increase of the trade winds to
    fresh to strong speeds starting early Mon evening in the central
    and northwestern sections of the basin, and lasting through the
    rest of the period. Trade winds of fresh speeds are expected over
    the eastern section of the basin starting Wed night. The trade
    winds in the northwestern part of the basin are expected to become
    fresh to strong, predominately southeast in direction, beginning
    on Wed as a trough, or low pressure may shift northward or
    northwestward from the Yucatan Peninsula into the south-central or
    southwestern portions of the Gulf of America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Tropical Waves section for details including
    any related significant convection.

    A surface trough extends from 28N72W to the central Bahamas.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are near the trough
    axis. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by
    a broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1033 mb high pressure
    situated SW of the Azores. Under the influence of this system, a
    gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of the trough
    to about 48W. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    are found north of 20N and east of 44W, including the Canary
    Islands. The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas to 7 ft are elsewhere S of 20N
    between the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the trough will remain nearly
    stationary through the early part of the week. A weak cold front
    will move across the N waters Tue, then stall near 27N through
    Wed, gradually dissipating by Thu. High pressure in the wake of
    the front will shift eastward north of the area through the end of
    the week while weakening, with the associated ridge extending
    toward southeastern Georgia. The related pressure gradient will
    generally allow for gentle to moderate winds and slight to
    moderate seas. Moderate to fresh east winds are expected between
    the southeastern Bahamas and Hispaniola, and westward to the
    waters between the Bahamas and Cuba beginning late Wed night.
    Increasing moisture resulting in unsettled weather conditions is
    likely to impact the far western section of the basin during the
    week.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 09 Jun 2026 17:07:16 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 08 Jun 2026 08:56:16 GMT
  • Mon, 08 Jun 2026 05:07:16 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    766
    ABNT20 KNHC 080507
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Mon Jun 8 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 13:56:33 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 071356
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EDT SUN 07 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-007

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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