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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 16:52:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 101652
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 42W, S of 15N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is observed near this wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 55W, S of 15N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed S of 10N between 53W and 58W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 62W, S of 18N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is associated
with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
and extends SW to 05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 05N30W to 02N51W.
Numerous moderate to strong convection is along and within 150 nm
of the monsoon trough and ITCZ from 30W eastward. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are along and within 100 nm of
the remainder of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds persist over the Gulf south of
25N, driven by the pressure gradient between a weak subtropical
ridge and T.S. Cristina in the Eastern Pacific near the coast of
El Salvador. Seas are 5-7 ft in the south-central Gulf, and 2-5
feet elsewhere. A surface trough is analyzed from the Bay of
Campeche along the Mexican coast from near Veracruz to Tampico,
and is supporting scattered moderate to strong convection. Another
surface trough analyzed along the eastern Yucatan Peninsula
supports scattered moderate convection near the Yucatan Channel.
Lastly, another surface trough extending off the southern FL
Peninsula supports scattered moderate convection in the FL
Straits.
For the forecast, a modest surface ridge will continue to support
gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern and north-
central Gulf into early next week. A trough or weak low pressure
center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of
Campeche on Thu night and then track slowly northwestward through
the weekend. It will enhance the gradient with the surface ridge,
causing fresh to strong SE winds across the south-central and
northwestward Gulf. It will also trigger scattered to numerous
thunderstorms and rough seas across the west-central Gulf into
Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
At 1200 UTC, T.S. Cristina was located in the Eastern Pacific
near the coast of El Salvador. A surface trough analyzed along
the eastern Yucatan Peninsula is interacting with moisture from
T.S. Cristina, and supports scattered moderate convection N of 15N
and W of 80W to the coasts of Belize and Mexico, including the
Gulf of Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is also ongoing in
the SW Caribbean along the East Pacific monsoon trough. The
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and T.S. Cristina
supports moderate to fresh winds with moderate seas from the
central Caribbean to the northwest Caribbean. Winds are locally
fresh to strong in the south-central Caribbean offshore Colombia,
as well as in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate trades and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge of high
pressure at the western Atlantic and T.S. Cristina in the Eastern
Pacific offshore of El Salvador will sustain fresh to strong E to
SE winds with moderate to rough seas from the south-central to
northwestern Caribbean into early week. During the weekend, the
high over the western Atlantic is expected to strengthen further,
and cause fresh E trades to expand northward into the north-
central basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak 1017 mb low at 25N64W and surface trough extending from
31N56W through the low to 22N67W are helping to develop scattered
moderate convection from 22N to 28N between 60W and 65W. To the
northwest, a weak cold front is analyzed along 28-29N between 60W
and 79W. Another surface trough extending off the southern FL
Peninsula supports scattered moderate convection in the waters SW
of the Bahamas and the FL Straits. These features are also
helping to maintain a weaker pressure gradient across much of the
Atlantic N of 20N and W of 40W, where gentle to moderate trades
and 3-6 ft seas prevail, except for 1-3 ft seas from the Bahamas
to the FL Straits. Ridging from the Azores high expands across
the rest of the Atlantic, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas across much of the basin S of 20N. Scatterometer
data indicates fresh to strong NE winds and 6-9 ft seas across
areas N of 20N and E of 40W, with the strongest winds occurring in
between the Canary Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, thunderstorms persist near a weak
1017 mb low pressure at 25N64W on the southern end of a surface
trough extending to 31N56W. The low pressure will dissipate as it
moves northeastward along the trough through Thu. Meanwhile, a
weak frontal boundary currently between northeast Florida and
Bermuda will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak low pressure.
The Atlantic ridge will build across the region late Thu through
Fri along roughly 25N. Looking ahead, this pattern will support
moderate to fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola at night from
Fri night through Sun night.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 16:52:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 101652
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 42W, S of 15N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is observed near this wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 55W, S of 15N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed S of 10N between 53W and 58W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 62W, S of 18N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is associated
with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
and extends SW to 05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 05N30W to 02N51W.
Numerous moderate to strong convection is along and within 150 nm
of the monsoon trough and ITCZ from 30W eastward. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are along and within 100 nm of
the remainder of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds persist over the Gulf south of
25N, driven by the pressure gradient between a weak subtropical
ridge and T.S. Cristina in the Eastern Pacific near the coast of
El Salvador. Seas are 5-7 ft in the south-central Gulf, and 2-5
feet elsewhere. A surface trough is analyzed from the Bay of
Campeche along the Mexican coast from near Veracruz to Tampico,
and is supporting scattered moderate to strong convection. Another
surface trough analyzed along the eastern Yucatan Peninsula
supports scattered moderate convection near the Yucatan Channel.
Lastly, another surface trough extending off the southern FL
Peninsula supports scattered moderate convection in the FL
Straits.
For the forecast, a modest surface ridge will continue to support
gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern and north-
central Gulf into early next week. A trough or weak low pressure
center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of
Campeche on Thu night and then track slowly northwestward through
the weekend. It will enhance the gradient with the surface ridge,
causing fresh to strong SE winds across the south-central and
northwestward Gulf. It will also trigger scattered to numerous
thunderstorms and rough seas across the west-central Gulf into
Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
At 1200 UTC, T.S. Cristina was located in the Eastern Pacific
near the coast of El Salvador. A surface trough analyzed along
the eastern Yucatan Peninsula is interacting with moisture from
T.S. Cristina, and supports scattered moderate convection N of 15N
and W of 80W to the coasts of Belize and Mexico, including the
Gulf of Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is also ongoing in
the SW Caribbean along the East Pacific monsoon trough. The
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and T.S. Cristina
supports moderate to fresh winds with moderate seas from the
central Caribbean to the northwest Caribbean. Winds are locally
fresh to strong in the south-central Caribbean offshore Colombia,
as well as in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate trades and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge of high
pressure at the western Atlantic and T.S. Cristina in the Eastern
Pacific offshore of El Salvador will sustain fresh to strong E to
SE winds with moderate to rough seas from the south-central to
northwestern Caribbean into early week. During the weekend, the
high over the western Atlantic is expected to strengthen further,
and cause fresh E trades to expand northward into the north-
central basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak 1017 mb low at 25N64W and surface trough extending from
31N56W through the low to 22N67W are helping to develop scattered
moderate convection from 22N to 28N between 60W and 65W. To the
northwest, a weak cold front is analyzed along 28-29N between 60W
and 79W. Another surface trough extending off the southern FL
Peninsula supports scattered moderate convection in the waters SW
of the Bahamas and the FL Straits. These features are also
helping to maintain a weaker pressure gradient across much of the
Atlantic N of 20N and W of 40W, where gentle to moderate trades
and 3-6 ft seas prevail, except for 1-3 ft seas from the Bahamas
to the FL Straits. Ridging from the Azores high expands across
the rest of the Atlantic, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas across much of the basin S of 20N. Scatterometer
data indicates fresh to strong NE winds and 6-9 ft seas across
areas N of 20N and E of 40W, with the strongest winds occurring in
between the Canary Islands.
For the forecast west of 55W, thunderstorms persist near a weak
1017 mb low pressure at 25N64W on the southern end of a surface
trough extending to 31N56W. The low pressure will dissipate as it
moves northeastward along the trough through Thu. Meanwhile, a
weak frontal boundary currently between northeast Florida and
Bermuda will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak low pressure.
The Atlantic ridge will build across the region late Thu through
Fri along roughly 25N. Looking ahead, this pattern will support
moderate to fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola at night from
Fri night through Sun night.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 11 Jun 2026 23:36:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 10 Jun 2026 17:00:13 GMT - Wed, 10 Jun 2026 11:36:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 101136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Bay of Campeche:
A broad area of low pressure could form over the Bay of Campeche
late this week. Conditions are not expected to be favorable for
significant development, and the system should move inland over
eastern Mexico late this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 13:47:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
755
NOUS42 KNHC 101347
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT WED 10 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-010
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 21.0N 94.5W FOR 12/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf