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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:27:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    551
    AXNT20 KNHC 021627
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1623 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 15N17W, and continues southwestward to 11N26W, where
    it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N40W and to 10N60W. Scattered
    to numerous moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 17N and
    east of 30W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to
    13N between 30W and 61W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern U.S.
    and lower pressure south of the area is sustaining fresh to
    strong east winds over the NE Gulf. Seas with these winds are 4 to
    7 ft. An upper-level trough continues to support scattered to
    numerous convection east of 84.5W. Elsewhere, mostly light to
    gentle winds along with seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will maintain fresh to
    strong E winds and moderate seas in the NE Gulf through early Tue.
    A cold front will reach along the Texas coast Tue afternoon, and
    move out over the NW Gulf Tue night into early Wed, followed by
    moderate to fresh NW to N winds. The front will weaken as it moves
    slowly across the basin through Thu, then across Florida Thu
    night into Fri. In its wake, weak high pressure will settle in
    over the region through Fri night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft continue across
    the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
    seas of 2 to 4 ft, prevail elsewhere. A deep layered trough is
    supporting scattered moderate convection from 13N to 18N between
    78W and 83W. To the south, scattered moderate convection is
    depicted south of 15N between 73W and 83W in association to the
    eastern end of the Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will
    continue over the central and eastern Caribbean through Tue. The
    pressure gradient across the region will relax Tue through Fri as
    broad low pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall
    weaker winds and diminishing seas throughout the remainder of the
    week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near 31N39W southwestward to 27N46W,
    where it becomes stationary to near 27N55W, and continues as a
    frontal trough westward and through the central Bahamas along
    25N. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. is building
    eastward across the Atlantic waters north of the trough. The
    resulting pressure gradient is supporting fresh to strong NE to E
    winds north of 24N and west of 59W. Seas within these winds are 8
    to 11 ft. North of the front and east of 59W, moderated to
    locally fresh NE to E winds prevail along with seas 6 to 8 ft.
    Scattered moderate convection is found along and north of the
    frontal boundary and trough. Farther east, a trough extends from
    31N28W to 26N18W. Moderate northwest winds and seas 8 to 9 ft are
    west of the front to near 32.5W. Gentle to moderate trades along
    with seas of 5 to 7 ft are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient will maintain
    widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas to near
    11 ft north of the trough and west of 60W through Tue morning.
    Broad low pressure is expected to gradually develop along the
    western edge of the trough beginning late Tue and slowly track
    northward throughout the week. Fresh to near gale- force winds
    with rough to very rough seas, possibly peaking to around 14 ft,
    will expand eastward beyond Wed, impacting the waters mainly N of
    about 27N. A cold front will slowly move across the waters between
    Florida and 77W Fri and Fri night, but is expected not to have
    significant impacts on winds and seas.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:27:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    551
    AXNT20 KNHC 021627
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1623 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 15N17W, and continues southwestward to 11N26W, where
    it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N40W and to 10N60W. Scattered
    to numerous moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 17N and
    east of 30W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to
    13N between 30W and 61W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern U.S.
    and lower pressure south of the area is sustaining fresh to
    strong east winds over the NE Gulf. Seas with these winds are 4 to
    7 ft. An upper-level trough continues to support scattered to
    numerous convection east of 84.5W. Elsewhere, mostly light to
    gentle winds along with seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will maintain fresh to
    strong E winds and moderate seas in the NE Gulf through early Tue.
    A cold front will reach along the Texas coast Tue afternoon, and
    move out over the NW Gulf Tue night into early Wed, followed by
    moderate to fresh NW to N winds. The front will weaken as it moves
    slowly across the basin through Thu, then across Florida Thu
    night into Fri. In its wake, weak high pressure will settle in
    over the region through Fri night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft continue across
    the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
    seas of 2 to 4 ft, prevail elsewhere. A deep layered trough is
    supporting scattered moderate convection from 13N to 18N between
    78W and 83W. To the south, scattered moderate convection is
    depicted south of 15N between 73W and 83W in association to the
    eastern end of the Pacific monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will
    continue over the central and eastern Caribbean through Tue. The
    pressure gradient across the region will relax Tue through Fri as
    broad low pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall
    weaker winds and diminishing seas throughout the remainder of the
    week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near 31N39W southwestward to 27N46W,
    where it becomes stationary to near 27N55W, and continues as a
    frontal trough westward and through the central Bahamas along
    25N. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. is building
    eastward across the Atlantic waters north of the trough. The
    resulting pressure gradient is supporting fresh to strong NE to E
    winds north of 24N and west of 59W. Seas within these winds are 8
    to 11 ft. North of the front and east of 59W, moderated to
    locally fresh NE to E winds prevail along with seas 6 to 8 ft.
    Scattered moderate convection is found along and north of the
    frontal boundary and trough. Farther east, a trough extends from
    31N28W to 26N18W. Moderate northwest winds and seas 8 to 9 ft are
    west of the front to near 32.5W. Gentle to moderate trades along
    with seas of 5 to 7 ft are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient will maintain
    widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas to near
    11 ft north of the trough and west of 60W through Tue morning.
    Broad low pressure is expected to gradually develop along the
    western edge of the trough beginning late Tue and slowly track
    northward throughout the week. Fresh to near gale- force winds
    with rough to very rough seas, possibly peaking to around 14 ft,
    will expand eastward beyond Wed, impacting the waters mainly N of
    about 27N. A cold front will slowly move across the waters between
    Florida and 77W Fri and Fri night, but is expected not to have
    significant impacts on winds and seas.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 03 Nov 2026 23:38:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:50:13 GMT
  • Mon, 02 Nov 2026 11:38:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    300
    ABNT20 KNHC 021138
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Western Atlantic:
    An area of low pressure is likely to form along a weakening frontal
    boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a couple of
    days. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics
    late this week while it drifts over the western Atlantic. The
    chances of subtropical development should end by the weekend when
    the system is expected to move eastward or northeastward into
    unfavorable environmental conditions.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:20:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 021620
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1120 AM EST MON 02 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-155

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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