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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 17:09:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141708
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Jul 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed in the far eastern Atlantic along
20W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Numerous moderate
to strong convection is seen from 04N to 15N and E of 25W, likely
enhanced by the Atlantic monsoon trough.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 88-89W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is found south of 17N and west of 81W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N40W. The
ITCZ then continues from 06N40W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the monsoon trough between 25W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A frontal boundary draped across the southern and southeastern
United States, along with diurnal heating and plenty of moisture
combine to support scattered moderate convection across much of
the northern Gulf waters, especially north of 27N. A surface
trough in the Bay of Campeche supports scattered moderate
convection across the far SW Gulf. Outside of convection, the
Atlantic ridge extends across Florida and into the Gulf. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate
seas off Yucatan and in the Bay of Campeche. Moderate to fresh
westerly winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 29N.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical ridge
anchored north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
South America continue to support strong to near gale-force
easterly winds and rough seas in the south-central Caribbean.
Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate seas are occurring in the
remainder of the central Caribbean, Windward Passage and the Gulf
of Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are noted in the eastern Caribbean, the Windward
Passage, and the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America
will support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the
central Caribbean through the week. Rough seas will prevail with
these winds. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each
evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE
Bahamas and between 70W and 80W, along with fresh NE winds E of
Cabo Verde between 15N and 25N. Moderate easterly winds and
moderate seas are occurring south of 22N and west of 30W.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
A surface trough is analyzed from the central and northern
Bahamas to near 31N74W. Another surface trough is analyzed from
22N68W to 29N54W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring along and within 100 nm of both trough axes. Convection
is suppressed elsewhere across much of the basin due to a large
plume of Saharan dust and mid- latitude dry air.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 17:09:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141708
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Jul 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed in the far eastern Atlantic along
20W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Numerous moderate
to strong convection is seen from 04N to 15N and E of 25W, likely
enhanced by the Atlantic monsoon trough.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 88-89W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection is found south of 17N and west of 81W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N40W. The
ITCZ then continues from 06N40W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted along the monsoon trough between 25W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A frontal boundary draped across the southern and southeastern
United States, along with diurnal heating and plenty of moisture
combine to support scattered moderate convection across much of
the northern Gulf waters, especially north of 27N. A surface
trough in the Bay of Campeche supports scattered moderate
convection across the far SW Gulf. Outside of convection, the
Atlantic ridge extends across Florida and into the Gulf. This
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate
seas off Yucatan and in the Bay of Campeche. Moderate to fresh
westerly winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 29N.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical ridge
anchored north of the islands and lower pressures in northern
South America continue to support strong to near gale-force
easterly winds and rough seas in the south-central Caribbean.
Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate seas are occurring in the
remainder of the central Caribbean, Windward Passage and the Gulf
of Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are noted in the eastern Caribbean, the Windward
Passage, and the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America
will support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the
central Caribbean through the week. Rough seas will prevail with
these winds. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each
evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE
Bahamas and between 70W and 80W, along with fresh NE winds E of
Cabo Verde between 15N and 25N. Moderate easterly winds and
moderate seas are occurring south of 22N and west of 30W.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
A surface trough is analyzed from the central and northern
Bahamas to near 31N74W. Another surface trough is analyzed from
22N68W to 29N54W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring along and within 100 nm of both trough axes. Convection
is suppressed elsewhere across much of the basin due to a large
plume of Saharan dust and mid- latitude dry air.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 16 Jul 2026 05:18:09 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 14 Jul 2026 18:32:44 GMT - Tue, 14 Jul 2026 17:18:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141718
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 13:46:59 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
120
NOUS42 KNHC 141345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT TUE 14 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-044
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf