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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 04:27:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150427
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jun 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been introduced in the far eastern Atlantic
along 19W, south of 16N, based on satellite imagery, total
precipitable water and wave diagnostic data. The wave is moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed
from 02N to 11N and east of 24W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present
from 02N to 09N and between 25W and 38W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 04N to 08N and west of 45W.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 67W, south of
18N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring south of 14N and between the wave and 61W.
The tropical wave previously in the western Caribbean Sea has
moved into the eastern Pacific. Please read the Eastern Pacific's
Tropical Weather Discussion for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 07N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N26W to 05N33W and then from 05N36W to 05N49W.
Please read the TROPICAL WAVES section above for details on the
convection.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak high pressure over the NE Gulf waters dominates the basin,
supporting moderate to fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas across
the western Gulf and off northern Yucatan. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a trough of low pressure located over northeastern
Mexico will remain inland and drift northward over northeastern
Mexico and then into southern Texas through Wed. The system could
re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf Wed, where environmental
conditions may support some development around midweek. The
pressure gradient between the trough and a ridge across the Gulf
region will support fresh to strong southerly winds over the
western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf,
likely through Thu, as the pressure gradient tightens further.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few showers and thunderstorms are noted off Panama, Costa Rica
and Cuba. The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge over the central Atlantic and lower pressures in northern
South America forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
moderate to rough seas over much of the basin, south of 19N. The
strongest winds and highest seas are noted off Colombia.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, 1023 mb high pressure near 26N62W extends a ridge
westward through the central Bahamas and into the eastern Gulf of
America. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the Colombian
low will continue to support a large area of fresh to strong
trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the central
Caribbean through early Mon. Then, the ridge will reorganize to
the E Mon through early Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing
winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf of
Honduras nightly through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and
seas of 5-8 ft south of 24N and between 60W and 75W. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found south of 20N and
west of 35W. In the far east, moderate to fresh N-NE winds and
seas of 6-8 ft are found north of 16N and east of 30W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, 1023 mb high pressure near 26N62W
extends a ridge westward through the central Bahamas and into the
eastern Gulf of America. The ridge will generally remain in place
through early Mon, then reorganize to the E Mon through early
Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu. This pattern will support
moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N through Wed. Fresh
SW winds are expected across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W
tonight through early Mon, then expand eastward to 70W through
early Wed, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S.
Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 04:27:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150427
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jun 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been introduced in the far eastern Atlantic
along 19W, south of 16N, based on satellite imagery, total
precipitable water and wave diagnostic data. The wave is moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed
from 02N to 11N and east of 24W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present
from 02N to 09N and between 25W and 38W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 04N to 08N and west of 45W.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 67W, south of
18N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring south of 14N and between the wave and 61W.
The tropical wave previously in the western Caribbean Sea has
moved into the eastern Pacific. Please read the Eastern Pacific's
Tropical Weather Discussion for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 07N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N26W to 05N33W and then from 05N36W to 05N49W.
Please read the TROPICAL WAVES section above for details on the
convection.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak high pressure over the NE Gulf waters dominates the basin,
supporting moderate to fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas across
the western Gulf and off northern Yucatan. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a trough of low pressure located over northeastern
Mexico will remain inland and drift northward over northeastern
Mexico and then into southern Texas through Wed. The system could
re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf Wed, where environmental
conditions may support some development around midweek. The
pressure gradient between the trough and a ridge across the Gulf
region will support fresh to strong southerly winds over the
western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf,
likely through Thu, as the pressure gradient tightens further.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few showers and thunderstorms are noted off Panama, Costa Rica
and Cuba. The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge over the central Atlantic and lower pressures in northern
South America forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
moderate to rough seas over much of the basin, south of 19N. The
strongest winds and highest seas are noted off Colombia.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, 1023 mb high pressure near 26N62W extends a ridge
westward through the central Bahamas and into the eastern Gulf of
America. The pressure gradient between this ridge and the Colombian
low will continue to support a large area of fresh to strong
trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the central
Caribbean through early Mon. Then, the ridge will reorganize to
the E Mon through early Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing
winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf of
Honduras nightly through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and
seas of 5-8 ft south of 24N and between 60W and 75W. Moderate to
fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found south of 20N and
west of 35W. In the far east, moderate to fresh N-NE winds and
seas of 6-8 ft are found north of 16N and east of 30W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, 1023 mb high pressure near 26N62W
extends a ridge westward through the central Bahamas and into the
eastern Gulf of America. The ridge will generally remain in place
through early Mon, then reorganize to the E Mon through early
Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu. This pattern will support
moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N through Wed. Fresh
SW winds are expected across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W
tonight through early Mon, then expand eastward to 70W through
early Wed, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S.
Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 16 Jun 2026 17:07:52 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 15 Jun 2026 08:00:16 GMT - Mon, 15 Jun 2026 05:07:52 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
239
ABNT20 KNHC 150507
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northwestern Gulf of America:
A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico continues
to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development is not expected during the next day or so while the
trough remains inland and drifts generally northward over
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas. The system is then forecast
to move northeastward and could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
of America late Tuesday or Wednesday, where environmental conditions
may support some development around midweek. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, heavy rainfall and flash flooding are possible
across portions of eastern and southern Texas and Louisiana this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 13:30:40 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141330
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 14 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-014
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf