SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 09:40:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050940
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Nov 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: Latest scatterometer satellite
pass confirmed winds to gale force south of Bermuda, between 1023
mb high pressure centered north of Bermuda near 38N63W, and 1007
mb low pressure near 27N65W. Strong to near-gale force winds are
noted from 27N to 31N between 55W and 70W, with associated seas
ranging from 8 ft to 13 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also active in this area. Environmental
conditions could support this system gradually acquiring
subtropical characteristics through this weekend while it moves
slowly eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic.
By early next week, environmental conditions are forecast to
become unfavorable for further development. Chances of this
development remain low through 48 hours, and medium through the
next seven days. Regardless of such development, the area of winds
and seas will expand as the low shifts eastward, with gale force
wind and very rough seas will expand eastward north of 25N
reaching as far east as 45W by early Mon. Winds and seas start to
diminish thereafter, as environmental conditions are forecast to
become unfavorable for further development.
Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through today. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides.
Please refer to your local weather agency and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from 11N16W to 08N20W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N20W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 03N to 11N and E of 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front reaches from Gulfport, MS to Tampico, Mexico.
1014 mb high pressure is over the eastern and central Gulf,
centered near 26N86W. This pattern is supporting light breezes
and 1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, the frontal boundary will weaken and dissipate
today. Moderate northwest to north winds prevail west of the
front. The next cold front is expected to move across the Gulf
waters this weekend. Near gale NW winds are expected in the SW
Gulf Sun night and Mon west of the front. Fresh to strong north
winds will develop elsewhere west of the front on Sun through
early next week as it moves east across the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cluster of thunderstorms is active southeast of Jamaica.
Scattered thunderstorms are also active across the southern
approaches to the Windward Passage. Broad 1009 mb low pressure
near Grand Cayman Island is along a surface trough at 82W from 17N
and 20N. This pattern is supporting light breezes and 1-3 ft seas
across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient prevails across
the basin supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate
seas. The pressure gradient will further loosen across the area
tonight. This will diminish the moderate trades across the central
and eastern Caribbean through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
Elsewhere, a cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N28W
to 26N38W, then continues as stationary to 27N49W. Farther south,
a trough reaches from 19N27W to 13N31W. This pattern is
supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft combined seas in
N swell.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure will drift through
Fri, then slowly move east-northeastward during the weekend. An
area of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
peaking near 14 ft, has developed north of the low pres and will
expand eastward through Sun, impacting the waters mainly north of
about 27N. The gale- force winds will likely be north of 29N
through the end of the week. Elsewhere, a weakening cold front
will move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri
night, then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 05 Nov 2026 09:40:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050940
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Nov 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: Latest scatterometer satellite
pass confirmed winds to gale force south of Bermuda, between 1023
mb high pressure centered north of Bermuda near 38N63W, and 1007
mb low pressure near 27N65W. Strong to near-gale force winds are
noted from 27N to 31N between 55W and 70W, with associated seas
ranging from 8 ft to 13 ft. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also active in this area. Environmental
conditions could support this system gradually acquiring
subtropical characteristics through this weekend while it moves
slowly eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic.
By early next week, environmental conditions are forecast to
become unfavorable for further development. Chances of this
development remain low through 48 hours, and medium through the
next seven days. Regardless of such development, the area of winds
and seas will expand as the low shifts eastward, with gale force
wind and very rough seas will expand eastward north of 25N
reaching as far east as 45W by early Mon. Winds and seas start to
diminish thereafter, as environmental conditions are forecast to
become unfavorable for further development.
Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through today. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides.
Please refer to your local weather agency and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from 11N16W to 08N20W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N20W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 03N to 11N and E of 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front reaches from Gulfport, MS to Tampico, Mexico.
1014 mb high pressure is over the eastern and central Gulf,
centered near 26N86W. This pattern is supporting light breezes
and 1-3 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, the frontal boundary will weaken and dissipate
today. Moderate northwest to north winds prevail west of the
front. The next cold front is expected to move across the Gulf
waters this weekend. Near gale NW winds are expected in the SW
Gulf Sun night and Mon west of the front. Fresh to strong north
winds will develop elsewhere west of the front on Sun through
early next week as it moves east across the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cluster of thunderstorms is active southeast of Jamaica.
Scattered thunderstorms are also active across the southern
approaches to the Windward Passage. Broad 1009 mb low pressure
near Grand Cayman Island is along a surface trough at 82W from 17N
and 20N. This pattern is supporting light breezes and 1-3 ft seas
across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient prevails across
the basin supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate
seas. The pressure gradient will further loosen across the area
tonight. This will diminish the moderate trades across the central
and eastern Caribbean through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
Elsewhere, a cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N28W
to 26N38W, then continues as stationary to 27N49W. Farther south,
a trough reaches from 19N27W to 13N31W. This pattern is
supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 4-6 ft combined seas in
N swell.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure will drift through
Fri, then slowly move east-northeastward during the weekend. An
area of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
peaking near 14 ft, has developed north of the low pres and will
expand eastward through Sun, impacting the waters mainly north of
about 27N. The gale- force winds will likely be north of 29N
through the end of the week. Elsewhere, a weakening cold front
will move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri
night, then dissipate Sat and Sat night.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 23:49:37 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 15:30:12 GMT - Thu, 05 Nov 2026 11:49:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 051149
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Thu Nov 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic:
A broad, non-tropical low pressure area located a few hundred miles
south of Bermuda is producing some disorganized convection mainly to
the east of its center. Environmental conditions could support this
system gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics through this
weekend while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. By early next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. For more
information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:34:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041634
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EST WED 04 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-157
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf