2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Track The Tropics
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...

Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 19 Nov 2025 22:51:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192251
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 11N20W. The
    ITCZ continues from that point to 09N60W. Scattered moderate
    convection prevails from 03N-10N and E of 34W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the Yucatan
    Channel, including part of the Florida Straits. Otherwise, a
    broad surface ridge continues to dominate much of the Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh E winds and moderate seas are present across
    the Florida Straits. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are
    found at the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    and slight to moderate seas dominate the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and
    slight to moderate seas will occur over the basin through Fri
    morning as high pressure prevails over the northeastern Gulf and
    southeastern U.S. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh NE winds
    will pulse offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the eastern
    Bay of Campeche each afternoon and evening through this weekend.
    Fresh to strong SE winds may develop over the northwestern Gulf
    late this weekend as low pressure strengthens in the south-
    central U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough is producing scattered moderate convection over
    the eastern Caribbean, including the Mona Passage and Lesser
    Antilles. The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough
    is triggering scattered showers and thunderstorms along the
    Caribbean coast of Panama mainly S of 10N. Moderate to fresh NE
    to E trade winds and rough seas are evident at the south-central
    basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E trade winds with moderate seas
    prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh E to NE winds
    are expected over the Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
    pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
    low pressure in the south-central basin. Locally strong winds and
    rough seas will pulse offshore of Colombia tonight, and again by
    this weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front meanders west-southwestward from the north-
    central Atlantic across 31N56W to the northern Bahamas. A surface
    trough is analyzed from 31N52W to 25N61W. Scattered moderate to
    strong convection is found near the front/trough north of 21N
    between 50W and 65W. This activity is also supported by an upper-
    level low in the area. Another stationary front curves
    southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic across 30N35W to
    24N42W. Scattered showers are present up to 60 nm along either
    side of this boundary. Another surface trough is triggering
    scattered moderate convection from 20N to 22N between 66W-71W.

    Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are noted north of 25N
    between 65W and the Florida/Bahamas. Elsewhere, gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to occasionally fresh NE
    winds are expected north of Hispaniola and Cuba and through the
    Bahamas through Fri as high pressure prevails over the
    northeastern Gulf of America and the southeastern U.S. Elsewhere,
    moderate to fresh NE winds are expected north of 27N and east of
    65W through Thu as a complex low pressure system forms. Moderate
    or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are expected elsewhere
    through Fri. Increasing SW winds and building seas may occur
    offshore of northern Florida this weekend ahead of a cold front
    moving through the southeastern U.S.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 19 Nov 2025 22:51:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192251
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 11N20W. The
    ITCZ continues from that point to 09N60W. Scattered moderate
    convection prevails from 03N-10N and E of 34W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the Yucatan
    Channel, including part of the Florida Straits. Otherwise, a
    broad surface ridge continues to dominate much of the Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh E winds and moderate seas are present across
    the Florida Straits. Light to gentle winds and slight seas are
    found at the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    and slight to moderate seas dominate the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and
    slight to moderate seas will occur over the basin through Fri
    morning as high pressure prevails over the northeastern Gulf and
    southeastern U.S. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh NE winds
    will pulse offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the eastern
    Bay of Campeche each afternoon and evening through this weekend.
    Fresh to strong SE winds may develop over the northwestern Gulf
    late this weekend as low pressure strengthens in the south-
    central U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough is producing scattered moderate convection over
    the eastern Caribbean, including the Mona Passage and Lesser
    Antilles. The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough
    is triggering scattered showers and thunderstorms along the
    Caribbean coast of Panama mainly S of 10N. Moderate to fresh NE
    to E trade winds and rough seas are evident at the south-central
    basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E trade winds with moderate seas
    prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh E to NE winds
    are expected over the Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
    pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
    low pressure in the south-central basin. Locally strong winds and
    rough seas will pulse offshore of Colombia tonight, and again by
    this weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front meanders west-southwestward from the north-
    central Atlantic across 31N56W to the northern Bahamas. A surface
    trough is analyzed from 31N52W to 25N61W. Scattered moderate to
    strong convection is found near the front/trough north of 21N
    between 50W and 65W. This activity is also supported by an upper-
    level low in the area. Another stationary front curves
    southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic across 30N35W to
    24N42W. Scattered showers are present up to 60 nm along either
    side of this boundary. Another surface trough is triggering
    scattered moderate convection from 20N to 22N between 66W-71W.

    Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are noted north of 25N
    between 65W and the Florida/Bahamas. Elsewhere, gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to occasionally fresh NE
    winds are expected north of Hispaniola and Cuba and through the
    Bahamas through Fri as high pressure prevails over the
    northeastern Gulf of America and the southeastern U.S. Elsewhere,
    moderate to fresh NE winds are expected north of 27N and east of
    65W through Thu as a complex low pressure system forms. Moderate
    or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are expected elsewhere
    through Fri. Increasing SW winds and building seas may occur
    offshore of northern Florida this weekend ahead of a cold front
    moving through the southeastern U.S.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 21 Nov 2025 11:09:05 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Nov 2025 01:12:57 GMT
  • Wed, 19 Nov 2025 23:09:05 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    072
    ABNT20 KNHC 192309
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Wed Nov 19 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 19 Nov 2025 16:24:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 191624
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1130 AM EST WED 19 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-172

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page