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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 07 Jun 2026 09:39:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 070938
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 23W, south of 12N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. A cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection
is observed where the wave meets the monsoon trough, from 04N to
06N between 20W and 25W.
A tropical wave is along 37W, south of 16N, moving westward at
15 to 20 kt. A few showers are noted on either side of the wave
axis.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 63W, south of
17N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Convection is limited. Fresh
to locally strong E to SE winds are between the wave axis and the
Lesser Antilles based on recent scatterometer data.
A second tropical wave is in the eastern Caribbean Sea near 70W,
south of 17N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is
enhancing convection over portions of western Venezuela, including
the Lake Maracaibo area.
A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean Sea along 82W, south
of 19N to across western Panama and into the eastern Pacific
Ocean, slowly moving around 5 kt. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms are noted over the Windward Passage, between
Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
between 73W and 82W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of W
Africa near 12N16W, and continues southwestward to 04N28W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N28W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
Other than the convection associated with two tropical waves, a
large area of moderate to isolated strong convection is observed
near the coast of W Africa, covering the waters from 04N to 10N
between 09W and 17W. This convective activity is affecting the
coastal waters of Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure located over the western Atlantic just W of Bemuda
extends a ridge across the SE of United States, including Florida,
into the Gulf region. This system is supporting gentle to moderate
SE to S winds across most of the basin, with the exception of
fresh to strong E to SE winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula to about
24N between 87W and 91W. Seas are slight to moderate within these
wind speeds, with maximum seas to 6 ft occurring within the area
of the strongest winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula. A cluster of
moderate to strong convection is over the central Bay of Campeche.
Scattered moderate convection is noted along the coast of Mexico
and adjacent waters from Veracruz, Mexico to Brownsville, Texas.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region
supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern Gulf
and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western Gulf through
Mon. Winds will be easterly at mostly fresh speeds across most of
the western and central Gulf S of 26N through midweek. The exception
will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
evenings through Wed. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with
these winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
Please see the Tropical Waves section above for more details,
including any associated significant convection.
Otherwise, high pressure north of the area centered just W of
Bermuda, combined with lower pressures across South America
supports moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade winds and
moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the exception
of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted, and in
the Gulf of Honduras where a recent scatterometer pass indicates
fresh to locally strong E winds. An upper level trough over the
central Caribbean is helping to induce scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the Windward Passage, between
Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
between 73W and 82W. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds,
embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the Atlantic ridge
north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin
to increase again over the central Caribbean late tonight into
Mon, and over the NW part of the basin Mon night into Tue as the
pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic ridge and a broad
area of low pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of
Central America. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SE winds may persist
in the NW Caribbean Wed through Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Two tropical waves are moving westward between the western coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
Waves section for more details including any related significant
convection.
A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends from
near 31N58W to the central Bahamas into eastern Cuba. Scattered
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are along and ahead of this
trough, affecting the SE Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands,
the lee of eastern Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. A 1020 mb high
pressure located just W of Bermuda follows this frontal trough.
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure
situated SW of the Azores near 34N32W. Under the influence of this
system, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of
front to about 45W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are
found north of 17N and east of 40W, including the Canary Islands.
The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will remain nearly
stationary through Mon night. A cold front will move across the
waters N of 27N Tue through Wed, and gradually dissipate by Thu.
High pressure will follow the front, and will be centered near
Bermuda by Wed, then move eastward by Thu. This weather pattern
will generally support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
through midweek, except for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N
between Hispaniola and Cuba starting late Wed.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 07 Jun 2026 09:39:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 070938
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 23W, south of 12N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. A cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection
is observed where the wave meets the monsoon trough, from 04N to
06N between 20W and 25W.
A tropical wave is along 37W, south of 16N, moving westward at
15 to 20 kt. A few showers are noted on either side of the wave
axis.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 63W, south of
17N, moving westward at around 20 kt. Convection is limited. Fresh
to locally strong E to SE winds are between the wave axis and the
Lesser Antilles based on recent scatterometer data.
A second tropical wave is in the eastern Caribbean Sea near 70W,
south of 17N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is
enhancing convection over portions of western Venezuela, including
the Lake Maracaibo area.
A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean Sea along 82W, south
of 19N to across western Panama and into the eastern Pacific
Ocean, slowly moving around 5 kt. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms are noted over the Windward Passage, between
Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
between 73W and 82W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of W
Africa near 12N16W, and continues southwestward to 04N28W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N28W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
Other than the convection associated with two tropical waves, a
large area of moderate to isolated strong convection is observed
near the coast of W Africa, covering the waters from 04N to 10N
between 09W and 17W. This convective activity is affecting the
coastal waters of Liberia, Sierra Leone and Guinea.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure located over the western Atlantic just W of Bemuda
extends a ridge across the SE of United States, including Florida,
into the Gulf region. This system is supporting gentle to moderate
SE to S winds across most of the basin, with the exception of
fresh to strong E to SE winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula to about
24N between 87W and 91W. Seas are slight to moderate within these
wind speeds, with maximum seas to 6 ft occurring within the area
of the strongest winds N of the Yucatan Peninsula. A cluster of
moderate to strong convection is over the central Bay of Campeche.
Scattered moderate convection is noted along the coast of Mexico
and adjacent waters from Veracruz, Mexico to Brownsville, Texas.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region
supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern Gulf
and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western Gulf through
Mon. Winds will be easterly at mostly fresh speeds across most of
the western and central Gulf S of 26N through midweek. The exception
will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
evenings through Wed. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with
these winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
Please see the Tropical Waves section above for more details,
including any associated significant convection.
Otherwise, high pressure north of the area centered just W of
Bermuda, combined with lower pressures across South America
supports moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade winds and
moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the exception
of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted, and in
the Gulf of Honduras where a recent scatterometer pass indicates
fresh to locally strong E winds. An upper level trough over the
central Caribbean is helping to induce scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the Windward Passage, between
Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central Caribbean from 11N to 17N
between 73W and 82W. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds,
embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the Atlantic ridge
north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin
to increase again over the central Caribbean late tonight into
Mon, and over the NW part of the basin Mon night into Tue as the
pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic ridge and a broad
area of low pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of
Central America. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SE winds may persist
in the NW Caribbean Wed through Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Two tropical waves are moving westward between the western coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
Waves section for more details including any related significant
convection.
A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends from
near 31N58W to the central Bahamas into eastern Cuba. Scattered
showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are along and ahead of this
trough, affecting the SE Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos Islands,
the lee of eastern Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. A 1020 mb high
pressure located just W of Bermuda follows this frontal trough.
The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure
situated SW of the Azores near 34N32W. Under the influence of this
system, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of
front to about 45W. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas are
found north of 17N and east of 40W, including the Canary Islands.
The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate to fresh
trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast
of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will remain nearly
stationary through Mon night. A cold front will move across the
waters N of 27N Tue through Wed, and gradually dissipate by Thu.
High pressure will follow the front, and will be centered near
Bermuda by Wed, then move eastward by Thu. This weather pattern
will generally support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
through midweek, except for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N
between Hispaniola and Cuba starting late Wed.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 08 Jun 2026 23:13:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 07 Jun 2026 12:20:13 GMT - Sun, 07 Jun 2026 11:13:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 071113
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:54:16 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 061354
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT SAT 06 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-006
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


