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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 15 Nov 2025 04:50:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150450
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Nov 15 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
southwestward to 11N20W. The ITCZ then continues from 11N20W to
09N33W, where it is broken by cyclonic surface winds around a
pair of surface lows to the north. The ITCZ then resumes at 09N45W
and extends westward to near 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 00N to 22N between 23W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1021 mb high is analyzed over the NE Gulf near 30N89W. The
pressure gradient between this high and low pressures to the south
of the basin are resulting in moderate to fresh NE winds and
moderate seas across near the Yucatan Channel. Moderate or weaker
E winds and slight seas of 1-3 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, winds will gradually slacken to light to gentle
over the weekend as high pressure across the Southeast of U.S.
moves toward the Florida Keys. Then, a ridge will continue to
dominate the Gulf region supporting a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic flow through early next week. Southerly return flow
will increase to fresh speeds across the western Gulf on Wed as
the pressure gradient tighten some across the area.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough parallels the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua.
Latest scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong NE to E winds
off central Colombia, and a concurrent altimeter satellite pass
showed moderate seas in that area. Fresh NE winds prevail off the
south coast of central Cuba. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds
persist elsewhere with moderate seas.
For the forecast, fresh winds are noted in the NW Caribbean.
These winds will diminish by Sat. Fresh to locally strong NE to E
winds offshore Colombia and Venezuela tonight will also weaken as
the overall pressure gradient decreases, and a gentle to moderate
trade wind regime becomes established for the weekend. This
pattern will prevail through at least early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers are active along a cold front extending from
31N56W southwestward to near 25N77W to 21N76W. To the E, a surface
trough is analyzed from 26N56W to 23N70W. Scattered showers are
also along the trough. Moderate to fresh NE winds seas are
evident south of 29N and west of 65W, with moderate NW to N winds
elsewhere west of the front. Moderate seas are W of the front.
An upper trough is active from 15N to 25N between 40W and 50W.
This is supporting a pair of 1012 mb low pressure areas near
12N35W and 12N43W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active
near these low pressure areas from 11N to 22N between 24W and
42W.
Over the eastern Atlantic, surface ridging prevails anchored by a
1018 mb high pressure centered north of the front near 26N39W.
Gentle to moderate breezes prevail elsewhere across the discussion
area. Combined rough seas in NW to N swell across the Atlantic
from 20N to 31N, east of 50W, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front in the W Atlantic will
stall from near 28N50W to N of Hispaniola Sat night. The
stationary boundary will then dissipate by the start of next week.
Expect fresh to strong SW to W winds and building seas across the
waters N of 29N Sun, ahead of a cold front forecast to reach the
N part of the forecast region Mon. Rough seas, in mainly northerly
swell, will periodically impact waters N of 28N through early
next week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 15 Nov 2025 04:50:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 150450
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Nov 15 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
southwestward to 11N20W. The ITCZ then continues from 11N20W to
09N33W, where it is broken by cyclonic surface winds around a
pair of surface lows to the north. The ITCZ then resumes at 09N45W
and extends westward to near 08N59W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring from 00N to 22N between 23W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1021 mb high is analyzed over the NE Gulf near 30N89W. The
pressure gradient between this high and low pressures to the south
of the basin are resulting in moderate to fresh NE winds and
moderate seas across near the Yucatan Channel. Moderate or weaker
E winds and slight seas of 1-3 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, winds will gradually slacken to light to gentle
over the weekend as high pressure across the Southeast of U.S.
moves toward the Florida Keys. Then, a ridge will continue to
dominate the Gulf region supporting a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic flow through early next week. Southerly return flow
will increase to fresh speeds across the western Gulf on Wed as
the pressure gradient tighten some across the area.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough parallels the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua.
Latest scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong NE to E winds
off central Colombia, and a concurrent altimeter satellite pass
showed moderate seas in that area. Fresh NE winds prevail off the
south coast of central Cuba. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds
persist elsewhere with moderate seas.
For the forecast, fresh winds are noted in the NW Caribbean.
These winds will diminish by Sat. Fresh to locally strong NE to E
winds offshore Colombia and Venezuela tonight will also weaken as
the overall pressure gradient decreases, and a gentle to moderate
trade wind regime becomes established for the weekend. This
pattern will prevail through at least early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers are active along a cold front extending from
31N56W southwestward to near 25N77W to 21N76W. To the E, a surface
trough is analyzed from 26N56W to 23N70W. Scattered showers are
also along the trough. Moderate to fresh NE winds seas are
evident south of 29N and west of 65W, with moderate NW to N winds
elsewhere west of the front. Moderate seas are W of the front.
An upper trough is active from 15N to 25N between 40W and 50W.
This is supporting a pair of 1012 mb low pressure areas near
12N35W and 12N43W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active
near these low pressure areas from 11N to 22N between 24W and
42W.
Over the eastern Atlantic, surface ridging prevails anchored by a
1018 mb high pressure centered north of the front near 26N39W.
Gentle to moderate breezes prevail elsewhere across the discussion
area. Combined rough seas in NW to N swell across the Atlantic
from 20N to 31N, east of 50W, and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front in the W Atlantic will
stall from near 28N50W to N of Hispaniola Sat night. The
stationary boundary will then dissipate by the start of next week.
Expect fresh to strong SW to W winds and building seas across the
waters N of 29N Sun, ahead of a cold front forecast to reach the
N part of the forecast region Mon. Rough seas, in mainly northerly
swell, will periodically impact waters N of 28N through early
next week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 16 Nov 2025 17:10:44 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 15 Nov 2025 05:13:02 GMT - Sat, 15 Nov 2025 05:10:44 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 150510
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 14 Nov 2025 17:36:00 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141735
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1235 PM EST FRI 14 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-167
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS
ARE NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf