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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 23:26:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
058
AXNT20 KNHC 232326
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Sep 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Fay: Newly redeveloped Tropical Depression
Fay is centered near 30.1N 39.2W at 23/2100 UTC or 770 nm SW of
the Azores, moving W at 7 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure
is 1011 mb. Winds of 25 to 30 kt, rough seas, and numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection are noted within about 150
nm of the center in the northern semicircle. Fay is forecast to
strengthen as it continues moving west tonight, and is expected to
become a tropical storm. Gradual weakening should begin by this
weekend.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL90): Low pressure is developing
around 10N along a tropical wave with an axis around 18W. Numerous
moderate to scattered strong convection is noted from 08N to 13N,
E of 22W. This low pressure may become a short-lived tropical
depression on Thursday or Friday while it moves NW to N. However,
strong upper-level winds should end the opportunity for
development by the weekend. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands
should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds, areas
of heavy rain and flash flooding are possible there by Friday.
This system has a medium chance of formation in the next 48 hours.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America: A mid to upper-level trough
currently extends from the eastern Gulf of America across the
Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while relatively warm sea
surface temperatures and abundant low level moisture are present.
An elongated low level trough will prevail across this area during
the next several days, and aid in funneling enhanced tropical
moisture across Central America and the western Caribbean,
supporting periods of heavy rainfall through Sat the 26th. There
is still some uncertainty regarding the exact location of heaviest
rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks likely across extreme
southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala,
western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as
well as across portions of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy
rainfall is ongoing from the NW coastal waters of Jamaica,
westward across the Cayman Islands to 87W and then northward
across east-central Cuba to Andros Island in the Bahamas.
Heavy rainfall in these regions will create the possibility of
life-threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to
local weather services as well as the International Desk at the
Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
See Special Features section above for information on a tropical
wave in the far eastern Atlantic that has potential for tropical
formation.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 46W, S of 16W,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 09N to 12N between 45W and 54W.
A western Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W, south of 16N,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted S of 16N between 61W and 66W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 12N17W to 07N48W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 09N58W. Numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N
between 22W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection continues across the Florida Keys
southwestward toward the Yucatan Channel in association with a
deep layer trough. Otherwise, mainly gentle NE winds dominate with
slight seas.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate gentle
to moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. An upper-level
trough will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next couple of
days. A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night
and Fri. The front will shift southward before stalling over the
SE Gulf this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on low
pressure in the far western Caribbean producing heavy rainfall
over portions of Central America into the weekend.
A weak pressure pattern prevails across the basin. Moderate
trades prevail across most of the basin, where seas are 2 to 4 ft,
while fresh winds are S of 14N to the coasts of NW Venezuela and
extreme NE Colombia, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Outside of
convection, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail across
the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere. An upper-level trough will support
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on newly re-
developed Tropical Depression Fay well east-southeast of Bermuda.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain across eastern Cuba
and over much of the Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters W of
67W. This activity is occurring due to the combination of ample
moisture across the area and unstable conditions created by the
persistent and deep layered upper trough across the eastern Gulf
of America and NW Caribbean. Another upper-level low is drifting
westward near 25N50W. This feature is interacting with several
surface troughs in the central Atlantic resulting in an area of
scattered moderate convection from 22N to 28N between 46W and
53.5W. Outside of this convection, a weak pressure gradient
continues across much of the Atlantic. This pattern is sustaining
mostly gentle to moderate trades S of 20N and variable light to
gentle winds elsewhere W of 35W, except for moderate SE to S winds
over the area N of 26.5N between 57W and 73W. Seas are 3 to 5 ft
across this. Elsewhere, seas are 4 to 6 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters through
tonight. An upper- level trough will produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days. A cold
front will move off the SE United States coast late tonight. The
front will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the
straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken. Fresh to
strong winds and increasing seas will follow the front on Thu and
Fri, before decreasing on Sat.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 23:26:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
058
AXNT20 KNHC 232326
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Sep 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Depression Fay: Newly redeveloped Tropical Depression
Fay is centered near 30.1N 39.2W at 23/2100 UTC or 770 nm SW of
the Azores, moving W at 7 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure
is 1011 mb. Winds of 25 to 30 kt, rough seas, and numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection are noted within about 150
nm of the center in the northern semicircle. Fay is forecast to
strengthen as it continues moving west tonight, and is expected to
become a tropical storm. Gradual weakening should begin by this
weekend.
Far Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL90): Low pressure is developing
around 10N along a tropical wave with an axis around 18W. Numerous
moderate to scattered strong convection is noted from 08N to 13N,
E of 22W. This low pressure may become a short-lived tropical
depression on Thursday or Friday while it moves NW to N. However,
strong upper-level winds should end the opportunity for
development by the weekend. Interests in the Cabo Verde Islands
should monitor the progress of this system as gusty winds, areas
of heavy rain and flash flooding are possible there by Friday.
This system has a medium chance of formation in the next 48 hours.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America: A mid to upper-level trough
currently extends from the eastern Gulf of America across the
Yucatan Peninsula and NW Caribbean, while relatively warm sea
surface temperatures and abundant low level moisture are present.
An elongated low level trough will prevail across this area during
the next several days, and aid in funneling enhanced tropical
moisture across Central America and the western Caribbean,
supporting periods of heavy rainfall through Sat the 26th. There
is still some uncertainty regarding the exact location of heaviest
rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks likely across extreme
southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala,
western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as
well as across portions of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently, heavy
rainfall is ongoing from the NW coastal waters of Jamaica,
westward across the Cayman Islands to 87W and then northward
across east-central Cuba to Andros Island in the Bahamas.
Heavy rainfall in these regions will create the possibility of
life-threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to
local weather services as well as the International Desk at the
Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
See Special Features section above for information on a tropical
wave in the far eastern Atlantic that has potential for tropical
formation.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 46W, S of 16W,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 09N to 12N between 45W and 54W.
A western Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W, south of 16N,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted S of 16N between 61W and 66W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 12N17W to 07N48W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ and continues to 09N58W. Numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 04N to 10N
between 22W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection continues across the Florida Keys
southwestward toward the Yucatan Channel in association with a
deep layer trough. Otherwise, mainly gentle NE winds dominate with
slight seas.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate gentle
to moderate winds across the Gulf through Thu. An upper-level
trough will support scattered showers and thunderstorms over the
SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida for at least the next couple of
days. A cold front is forecast to move into the NE Gulf Thu night
and Fri. The front will shift southward before stalling over the
SE Gulf this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on low
pressure in the far western Caribbean producing heavy rainfall
over portions of Central America into the weekend.
A weak pressure pattern prevails across the basin. Moderate
trades prevail across most of the basin, where seas are 2 to 4 ft,
while fresh winds are S of 14N to the coasts of NW Venezuela and
extreme NE Colombia, where seas are 4 to 6 ft. Outside of
convection, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail across
the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will generate moderate
to fresh trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to
moderate winds elsewhere. An upper-level trough will support
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on newly re-
developed Tropical Depression Fay well east-southeast of Bermuda.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain across eastern Cuba
and over much of the Bahamas and adjacent Atlantic waters W of
67W. This activity is occurring due to the combination of ample
moisture across the area and unstable conditions created by the
persistent and deep layered upper trough across the eastern Gulf
of America and NW Caribbean. Another upper-level low is drifting
westward near 25N50W. This feature is interacting with several
surface troughs in the central Atlantic resulting in an area of
scattered moderate convection from 22N to 28N between 46W and
53.5W. Outside of this convection, a weak pressure gradient
continues across much of the Atlantic. This pattern is sustaining
mostly gentle to moderate trades S of 20N and variable light to
gentle winds elsewhere W of 35W, except for moderate SE to S winds
over the area N of 26.5N between 57W and 73W. Seas are 3 to 5 ft
across this. Elsewhere, seas are 4 to 6 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support gentle to moderate trades across forecast waters through
tonight. An upper- level trough will produce scattered showers and
thunderstorms west of 65W for the next couple of days. A cold
front will move off the SE United States coast late tonight. The
front will shift eastward, reaching from near Bermuda to the
straits of Florida Sat night before starting to weaken. Fresh to
strong winds and increasing seas will follow the front on Thu and
Fri, before decreasing on Sat.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 03:22:47 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 24 Sep 2026 03:22:47 GMT - Thu, 24 Sep 2026 02:38:42 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 16 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 AM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026402 WTNT41 KNHC 240238 TCDAT1 Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 AM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 Deep convection has persisted since the previous advisory, especially to the north and northeast of the surface center. Recent microwave and geostationary satellite data indicate fairly good confidence that the center is near the southern or southwestern edge of the convection. The latest TAFB Dvorak intensity estimate is 2.5/35 kt and recent objective intensity estimates from UW-CIMSS range from 33-42 kt. A pair of ASCAT passes from around 23/2300 UTC showed several reliable 32 kt wind vectors. Given the low bias of the ASCAT instrument due to its resolution, the initial intensity is raised to 35 kt, in agreement with the TAFB estimate, making Fay a tropical storm again. The initial motion is estimated to be west-southwestward, or 250 degrees at 8 kt. Fay is expected to continue moving generally westward for the next few days as it is steered by a narrow low- to mid-level ridge to its north, although a deceleration is expected in a couple of days as steering currents weaken. The NHC forecast is very similar to the previous one, and is fairly close to, but slightly faster toward the west than, the latest GDMI and HCCA. Confidence in the NHC track forecast appears to be above average due to good agreement among the track models. Fay is forecast to remain over warm water and within a weak vertical wind shear environment for another 36 hours, but the dry airmass that Fay is embedded in, with mid-level relative humidity values between 30 and 40 percent, should prevent significant strengthening. The NHC forecast shows little change in strength while the shear remains weak. By 48 hours, increasing northeasterly vertical wind shear should work to induce gradual weakening. The NHC forecast is a little higher than the previous one, in that it shows a more gradual weakening in the 36 to 72 hour period. The NHC forecast is near the middle of the guidance envelope, and forecast confidence is medium to high. No changes have been made to the timing of post-tropical transition or dissipation, but it should be noted that the UKMET and Canadian models hold onto the low a bit longer than indicated in the NHC forecast. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 24/0300Z 29.8N 40.0W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 24/1200Z 29.8N 41.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 25/0000Z 29.9N 42.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 25/1200Z 29.9N 43.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 26/0000Z 29.7N 44.1W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 26/1200Z 29.6N 44.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 27/0000Z 29.8N 45.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 28/0000Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Hagen
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 02:35:35 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 16 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2026787 FONT11 KNHC 240234 PWSAT1 TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 0300 UTC THU SEP 24 2026 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 40.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER HAGEN - Thu, 24 Sep 2026 02:34:25 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 16 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 AM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026921 WTNT31 KNHC 240234 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 16 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 AM GMT Thu Sep 24 2026 ...FAY REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS... SUMMARY OF 300 AM GMT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...29.8N 40.0W ABOUT 935 MI...1505 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WSW OR 250 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 AM GMT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 29.8 North, longitude 40.0 West. Fay is moving toward the west-southwest near 9 mph (15 km/h). A generally westward motion with some decrease in forward speed is expected over the next few days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two, with gradual weakening expected thereafter. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Hagen
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 02:34:25 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Fay (AT1/AL062026) - NHC Atlantic
...FAY REGAINS TROPICAL STORM STATUS... As of 3:00 AM GMT Thu Sep 24 the center of Fay was located near 29.8, -40.0 with movement WSW at 9 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1010 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 23 Sep 2026 16:28:06 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
271
NOUS42 KNHC 231628
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT WED 23 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-116
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 78
A. 25/0000Z A. 25/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0115E CYCLONE B. AFXXX 0215E CYCLONE
C. 24/2200Z C. 25/0330Z
D. 15.7N 155.2W D. 16.2N 155.0W
E. 24/2330Z TO 25/0300Z E. 25/0500Z TO 25/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON TD 15-E.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE FIX OF HURRICANE POLO AT
26/1800Z.
4. REMARKS:
A. THE NOAA 42 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION TASKED IN TCPOD
26-115 FOR THE HURRICANE POLO 23/1800Z REQUIREMENT WILL
NOT BE FLOWN.
B. THE TEAL 71 FIX MISSION TASKED IN TCPOD 26-115 FOR THE POLO
24/0600Z REQUIREMENT WAS CANCELED BY NHC AT 23/1315Z.
C. NOAA 42 MAY CONDUCT A 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO
HURRICANE POLO ON THURSDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 24/1300Z.
DURING THE MISSION, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE
WITHIN THE STORM ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW
5,000 FT FOR ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf