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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 10:33:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171033
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1020 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic along 18W, south of
20N, based on satellite data and tropical wave guidance. The wave
is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 07N to 18N between 13W and 25W.
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 38W,
extending from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 08N to 10N between 35W and 40W.
A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 57W,
south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 10N to 18N between 51W and 61W.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 78W, south
of 20N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica and Panama offshore waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 13N30W to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N43W and continues to 14N52W to 11N61W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle variable winds and slight seas N of 24N. Moderate to
locally fresh NE to E winds are in the SW basin due to a westward
moving through in the Bay of Campeche, which is also supporting
moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate NE to E winds are also in the
Florida Straits and the approaches to the Yucatan Channel.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tropical wave over the SW Caribbean is supporting heavy showers
and tstms across the Central America offshore waters and is also
associated with fresh to strong winds affecting most of the
central and portions of the SW Caribbean where seas are rough to
10 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and
seas are moderate, including the Windward Passage. Gentle to
moderate NE to E winds are elsewhere in the NW Caribbean, except
for fresh winds in the lee side of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge N of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though late today. Fresh to strong
winds over the central basin will resume Wed night through Fri
night as high pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical
wave with axis near 78W will continue to move across the western
Caribbean through Tue before moving W of the region.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure system near
33N54W to 31N54W to 27N63W to 31N71W. Fresh to strong SW winds are
ahead of the front N of 28N and E of 58W. Scattered showers and
tstms are within 240 nm ahead of the front. The central and
eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a 1026 mb
high pressure system centered N of the Azores, which is supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to
fresh NE winds E of 20W.
For the forecast west of 55W, surface ridging along 27N and the
passage of a pair of tropical waves across the Caribbean Sea will
modulate moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of 23N through the
forecast period. Otherwise, the cold front will continue to move
across the northern forecast waters today then stall and weaken
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds ahead of the
front will diminish by this evening. However, shower activity
associated with the front and its remnants is forecast through
Thu.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 10:33:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171033
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1020 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the eastern Atlantic along 18W, south of
20N, based on satellite data and tropical wave guidance. The wave
is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 07N to 18N between 13W and 25W.
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 38W,
extending from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 08N to 10N between 35W and 40W.
A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 57W,
south of 18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 10N to 18N between 51W and 61W.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 78W, south
of 20N, and moving westward at 15 kt. Numerous moderate to strong
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica and Panama offshore waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 13N30W to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N43W and continues to 14N52W to 11N61W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting light to
gentle variable winds and slight seas N of 24N. Moderate to
locally fresh NE to E winds are in the SW basin due to a westward
moving through in the Bay of Campeche, which is also supporting
moderate seas to 6 ft. Moderate NE to E winds are also in the
Florida Straits and the approaches to the Yucatan Channel.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tropical wave over the SW Caribbean is supporting heavy showers
and tstms across the Central America offshore waters and is also
associated with fresh to strong winds affecting most of the
central and portions of the SW Caribbean where seas are rough to
10 ft. Elsewhere, winds are moderate to fresh from the NE to E and
seas are moderate, including the Windward Passage. Gentle to
moderate NE to E winds are elsewhere in the NW Caribbean, except
for fresh winds in the lee side of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the ridge N of
the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
over the central Caribbean though late today. Fresh to strong
winds over the central basin will resume Wed night through Fri
night as high pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical
wave with axis near 78W will continue to move across the western
Caribbean through Tue before moving W of the region.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1009 mb low pressure system near
33N54W to 31N54W to 27N63W to 31N71W. Fresh to strong SW winds are
ahead of the front N of 28N and E of 58W. Scattered showers and
tstms are within 240 nm ahead of the front. The central and
eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a 1026 mb
high pressure system centered N of the Azores, which is supporting
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas, except for moderate to
fresh NE winds E of 20W.
For the forecast west of 55W, surface ridging along 27N and the
passage of a pair of tropical waves across the Caribbean Sea will
modulate moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of 23N through the
forecast period. Otherwise, the cold front will continue to move
across the northern forecast waters today then stall and weaken
into a trough by Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds ahead of the
front will diminish by this evening. However, shower activity
associated with the front and its remnants is forecast through
Thu.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 23:18:02 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:57:34 GMT - Mon, 17 Aug 2026 11:18:02 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
588
ABNT20 KNHC 171117
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:57:34 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
587
NOUS42 KNHC 171356
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT MON 17 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-078
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf