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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 10:34:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 151034
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jun 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is along 20W-21W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is observed from 03.5N to 12.5N between 14W and
28W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present from
03N to 07N and between 31W and 39W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is present from 05.5N to 08.5N from 50W to 58.5W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 18N, moving
westward at near 20 kt. Scattered showers dot the waters behind
the wave south of 14N, between the wave and 67W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W and continues southwestward to 06.5N30W. The
ITCZ extends from 06.5N30W to 05.5N36W and then resumes from
05.5N38W to 05.5N52W. Beyond convection described above in the
TROPICAL WAVES section, scattered moderate convection is elsewhere
within 120 nm N and 60 nm S of the ITCZ between 30W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure of 1019 mb is centered over the eastern Gulf
waters near 26N86.5W and extends a broad ridge westward to near
92W. Meanwhile, elongated low pressure persists across
northeastern Mexico and extends into S Texas. The associated
pressure gradient is supporting moderate to fresh SE to S winds
and moderate seas to 5 ft across the western Gulf and off the NW
coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Elsewhere, light to gentle
anticyclonic winds and slight seas prevail. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is across the central Texas coastal
waters, and shifting southeastward into the coastal waters from SE
Louisiana to south of Mobile Bay.
For the forecast, the trough of low pressure located over
northeastern Mexico and into S Texas will remain inland and drift
northward through midweek. New low pressure may develop late Tue
across S Texas and move NE across coastal Texas through Wed. This
system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf Wed, where
environmental conditions may support some development. Expect
active showers and thunderstorms across the NW Gulf during this
time. Elsewhere, Atlantic high pressure extends a ridge into the
eastern Gulf. The pressure gradient between the low pressure and
the ridge will support fresh to strong southerly winds over the
western Gulf early Wed through Thu night, and moderate to fresh
winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
1023 mb high pressure is centered across the Atlantic near 26N62W
and extends a ridge westward through the central Bahamas and into
the eastern Gulf of America. A tropical wave is moving quickly
into the central Caribbean along 70W, with scattered showers
behind the wave south of 14N, between 67W and 70W. The pressure
gradient south of the Atlantic ridge is producing a large area of
fresh to strong trade winds across much of the central basin
between 65W and 80W, highest off the coast of Colombia. Seas are 7
to 10 ft across these waters. Fresh winds prevail across the
remainder of the eastern basin, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Moderate
E to SE winds prevail across the rest of the basin W of 80W,
becoming gentle between Jamaica and the Yucatan Channel, with
moderate seas. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
along the monsoon trough between 80W and the E coast of Nicaragua.
Fair skies prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will reorganize E of 60W
today through Wed, then drift N to along 28N Thu through Fri. A
large area of fresh to strong trade winds across the central
Caribbean this morning will gradually retreat to the south-central
basin tonight through Tue, then persist through the end of the
week. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia.
Pulsing winds at fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf
of Honduras nightly through Fri. Gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere across the NW Caribbean will become SE at fresh to
strong speeds Wed through Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
extending from 1024 mb high pressure S of the Azores to 1023 mb
high pressure near 26N62W then westward through the central
Bahamas and into the eastern Gulf of America. A low level trough
extends along 80W across the coastal waters of central and NE
Florida. Fresh S to SW winds to the east of the feature are
forcing a cluster of scattered moderate convection N of 29N
between the trough and 77W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft across this area.
Another surface trough is along about 46W to the N of 27N. Low
level convergence ahead of this trough is producing scattered
moderate convection from 28N to 32N between the trough and 40W.
The pressure gradient south of the ridge is supporting fresh to
locally strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft south of
22N and between 50W and 75W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
seas of 5-8 ft are found elsewhere south of 20N and west of 35W.
In the far east, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas of 6-8
ft are found north of 16N and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent within the ridge.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will reorganize E of 60W
today through Wed, then drift N to along 28N Thu through Fri. This
pattern will support moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade
winds S of 22N throughout the week. Fresh SW winds are expected
across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W this morning, then will
expand eastward to 70W through early Wed, as a weak frontal system
moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each
afternoon through late evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto
Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 10:34:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 151034
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jun 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic is along 20W-21W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is observed from 03.5N to 12.5N between 14W and
28W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present from
03N to 07N and between 31W and 39W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 16N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is present from 05.5N to 08.5N from 50W to 58.5W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 18N, moving
westward at near 20 kt. Scattered showers dot the waters behind
the wave south of 14N, between the wave and 67W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W and continues southwestward to 06.5N30W. The
ITCZ extends from 06.5N30W to 05.5N36W and then resumes from
05.5N38W to 05.5N52W. Beyond convection described above in the
TROPICAL WAVES section, scattered moderate convection is elsewhere
within 120 nm N and 60 nm S of the ITCZ between 30W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure of 1019 mb is centered over the eastern Gulf
waters near 26N86.5W and extends a broad ridge westward to near
92W. Meanwhile, elongated low pressure persists across
northeastern Mexico and extends into S Texas. The associated
pressure gradient is supporting moderate to fresh SE to S winds
and moderate seas to 5 ft across the western Gulf and off the NW
coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. Elsewhere, light to gentle
anticyclonic winds and slight seas prevail. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is across the central Texas coastal
waters, and shifting southeastward into the coastal waters from SE
Louisiana to south of Mobile Bay.
For the forecast, the trough of low pressure located over
northeastern Mexico and into S Texas will remain inland and drift
northward through midweek. New low pressure may develop late Tue
across S Texas and move NE across coastal Texas through Wed. This
system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf Wed, where
environmental conditions may support some development. Expect
active showers and thunderstorms across the NW Gulf during this
time. Elsewhere, Atlantic high pressure extends a ridge into the
eastern Gulf. The pressure gradient between the low pressure and
the ridge will support fresh to strong southerly winds over the
western Gulf early Wed through Thu night, and moderate to fresh
winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
1023 mb high pressure is centered across the Atlantic near 26N62W
and extends a ridge westward through the central Bahamas and into
the eastern Gulf of America. A tropical wave is moving quickly
into the central Caribbean along 70W, with scattered showers
behind the wave south of 14N, between 67W and 70W. The pressure
gradient south of the Atlantic ridge is producing a large area of
fresh to strong trade winds across much of the central basin
between 65W and 80W, highest off the coast of Colombia. Seas are 7
to 10 ft across these waters. Fresh winds prevail across the
remainder of the eastern basin, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Moderate
E to SE winds prevail across the rest of the basin W of 80W,
becoming gentle between Jamaica and the Yucatan Channel, with
moderate seas. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
along the monsoon trough between 80W and the E coast of Nicaragua.
Fair skies prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will reorganize E of 60W
today through Wed, then drift N to along 28N Thu through Fri. A
large area of fresh to strong trade winds across the central
Caribbean this morning will gradually retreat to the south-central
basin tonight through Tue, then persist through the end of the
week. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia.
Pulsing winds at fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf
of Honduras nightly through Fri. Gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere across the NW Caribbean will become SE at fresh to
strong speeds Wed through Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
extending from 1024 mb high pressure S of the Azores to 1023 mb
high pressure near 26N62W then westward through the central
Bahamas and into the eastern Gulf of America. A low level trough
extends along 80W across the coastal waters of central and NE
Florida. Fresh S to SW winds to the east of the feature are
forcing a cluster of scattered moderate convection N of 29N
between the trough and 77W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft across this area.
Another surface trough is along about 46W to the N of 27N. Low
level convergence ahead of this trough is producing scattered
moderate convection from 28N to 32N between the trough and 40W.
The pressure gradient south of the ridge is supporting fresh to
locally strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft south of
22N and between 50W and 75W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
seas of 5-8 ft are found elsewhere south of 20N and west of 35W.
In the far east, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and seas of 6-8
ft are found north of 16N and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent within the ridge.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will reorganize E of 60W
today through Wed, then drift N to along 28N Thu through Fri. This
pattern will support moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade
winds S of 22N throughout the week. Fresh SW winds are expected
across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W this morning, then will
expand eastward to 70W through early Wed, as a weak frontal system
moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each
afternoon through late evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto
Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 16 Jun 2026 23:51:28 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 15 Jun 2026 13:56:00 GMT - Mon, 15 Jun 2026 11:51:28 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 151151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northwestern Gulf of America:
A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico continues
to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development is not expected during the next day or so while the
trough remains inland and drifts generally northward over
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas. The system is then forecast
to move northeastward and could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
of America late Tuesday or Wednesday, where environmental conditions
may support some development around midweek.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, heavy rainfall, flash
flooding and gusty winds are possible across portions of eastern and
southern Texas and Louisiana this week. Additional information on
this system can be found in products issued by your local National
Weather Service Forecast Office.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 13:30:40 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141330
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 14 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-014
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf