2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 09 Jun 2026 23:02:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    051
    AXNT20 KNHC 092302
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W-37W, S of 15N, moving
    west at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 47W, S of 16N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 59W, S of 18N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 06N to 11N between 53W and 57W.

    The axis of a tropical wave previously along 77W has shifted NW
    across the Caribbean, and is becoming absorbed in the monsoonal
    circulation across Central America and southeastern Mexico. This
    wave has therefore been dropped from the 1800 UTC surface
    analysis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
    and extends SW to 08N21W. The ITCZ extends from 08N21W to 05.5N36W,
    then from 05N38W to 04.5N46W, then from 04.5N48W to 04.5N52W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03.5N to 10N between
    14W and 34W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    noted from 02N to 10N between 36W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge continues from 1022 mb high over Georgia
    southwestward across the northern Gulf. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and lower pressure around TS Cristina and the
    eastern Pacific monsoon circulation is supporting moderate to
    locally fresh E-SE winds over the waters S of 26NW, while gentle
    to moderate winds prevail N of 26N. Seas are in the 4-5 ft range
    across SW portions and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate
    convection covers the waters from the Yucatan Channel to the
    Florida Panhandle.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge across the northern Gulf will
    continue to dominate the region the next few days, supporting
    gentle to moderate east to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf,
    and moderate to fresh winds in the western Gulf through much of
    this week. Slight to moderate seas will also prevail. The
    exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
    trough will support fresh E winds pulsing to strong speeds during
    the evenings through Wed. A trough or weak low pressure center may
    emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu
    through Fri night, accompanied by numerous showers and
    thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate trade winds prevail across the basin E of 68W, while
    moderate to fresh E-SE trades and moderate seas prevail across the
    remaining Caribbean waters. Seas are 3 to 5 ft E of 68W and 4 to 7
    ft W of 68W. The interaction of a diffuse tropical wave and upper
    level troughing is supporting scattered active convection over
    much of the western waters W of 75W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
    ridge and T.S. Cristina and the Eastern Pacific monsoonal
    circulation will strengthen slightly the next few days as high
    pressure moves into the W Atlantic, leading to widespread moderate
    to fresh trades with fresh to strong E winds in the central and
    NW Caribbean, including the Gulf of Honduras. These conditions
    will prevail through the forecast period. In addition, a trough or
    weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula
    into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night, maintaining a
    tight pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean and the Gulf of
    Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly moderate
    seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 27N72W to eastern Cuba. Another deep
    layered trough is analyzed from 31N60W to 23N69W. Scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are within 300 nm E of the second
    trough. A front has become stationary along about 31N to the N
    and NW of these troughs. Gentle to locally moderate NE to E winds
    prevail across most of the area W of the second trough, with seas
    4 ft or less. High pressure dominates the remainder of the
    discussion waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1032 mb high centered SW
    of the Azores near 36N34W. Moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds,
    and slight to moderate seas, are N of 20N and W of 50W. Fresh to
    strong winds are N of 20N and E of 30W, where seas are in the 7-9
    ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas 5 to 8 ft prevail
    elsewhere S of 20N.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a deep layered surface trough
    extending from 31N60W to 23N69W will remain nearly stationary
    through midweek, supporting continued showers and thunderstorms in
    the region. A weak front will move across the northern waters
    tonight, then move very slowly or stall on Wed, gradually
    dissipating by Thu. A weak cold front will follow, only reaching
    as far south as about 27N before stalling and moving eastward or
    dissipating. High pressure north of the area and in the wake of
    the front will shift eastward through the end of the week while
    weakening, with the associated ridge extending toward Florida and
    southeastern Georgia. The related pressure gradient between this
    high and lower pressures in the tropics will generally allow for
    gentle to moderate winds N of 20N and moderate to fresh trades S
    of 20N, along with slight to moderate seas. Increasing moisture
    resulting in unsettled weather conditions is likely to impact the
    far western section of the basin during the week.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 09 Jun 2026 23:02:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    051
    AXNT20 KNHC 092302
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W-37W, S of 15N, moving
    west at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 47W, S of 16N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 59W, S of 18N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 06N to 11N between 53W and 57W.

    The axis of a tropical wave previously along 77W has shifted NW
    across the Caribbean, and is becoming absorbed in the monsoonal
    circulation across Central America and southeastern Mexico. This
    wave has therefore been dropped from the 1800 UTC surface
    analysis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
    and extends SW to 08N21W. The ITCZ extends from 08N21W to 05.5N36W,
    then from 05N38W to 04.5N46W, then from 04.5N48W to 04.5N52W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03.5N to 10N between
    14W and 34W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    noted from 02N to 10N between 36W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge continues from 1022 mb high over Georgia
    southwestward across the northern Gulf. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and lower pressure around TS Cristina and the
    eastern Pacific monsoon circulation is supporting moderate to
    locally fresh E-SE winds over the waters S of 26NW, while gentle
    to moderate winds prevail N of 26N. Seas are in the 4-5 ft range
    across SW portions and 2-4 ft elsewhere. Scattered moderate
    convection covers the waters from the Yucatan Channel to the
    Florida Panhandle.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge across the northern Gulf will
    continue to dominate the region the next few days, supporting
    gentle to moderate east to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf,
    and moderate to fresh winds in the western Gulf through much of
    this week. Slight to moderate seas will also prevail. The
    exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
    trough will support fresh E winds pulsing to strong speeds during
    the evenings through Wed. A trough or weak low pressure center may
    emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu
    through Fri night, accompanied by numerous showers and
    thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate trade winds prevail across the basin E of 68W, while
    moderate to fresh E-SE trades and moderate seas prevail across the
    remaining Caribbean waters. Seas are 3 to 5 ft E of 68W and 4 to 7
    ft W of 68W. The interaction of a diffuse tropical wave and upper
    level troughing is supporting scattered active convection over
    much of the western waters W of 75W.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
    ridge and T.S. Cristina and the Eastern Pacific monsoonal
    circulation will strengthen slightly the next few days as high
    pressure moves into the W Atlantic, leading to widespread moderate
    to fresh trades with fresh to strong E winds in the central and
    NW Caribbean, including the Gulf of Honduras. These conditions
    will prevail through the forecast period. In addition, a trough or
    weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula
    into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night, maintaining a
    tight pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean and the Gulf of
    Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly moderate
    seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 27N72W to eastern Cuba. Another deep
    layered trough is analyzed from 31N60W to 23N69W. Scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are within 300 nm E of the second
    trough. A front has become stationary along about 31N to the N
    and NW of these troughs. Gentle to locally moderate NE to E winds
    prevail across most of the area W of the second trough, with seas
    4 ft or less. High pressure dominates the remainder of the
    discussion waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1032 mb high centered SW
    of the Azores near 36N34W. Moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds,
    and slight to moderate seas, are N of 20N and W of 50W. Fresh to
    strong winds are N of 20N and E of 30W, where seas are in the 7-9
    ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas 5 to 8 ft prevail
    elsewhere S of 20N.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a deep layered surface trough
    extending from 31N60W to 23N69W will remain nearly stationary
    through midweek, supporting continued showers and thunderstorms in
    the region. A weak front will move across the northern waters
    tonight, then move very slowly or stall on Wed, gradually
    dissipating by Thu. A weak cold front will follow, only reaching
    as far south as about 27N before stalling and moving eastward or
    dissipating. High pressure north of the area and in the wake of
    the front will shift eastward through the end of the week while
    weakening, with the associated ridge extending toward Florida and
    southeastern Georgia. The related pressure gradient between this
    high and lower pressures in the tropics will generally allow for
    gentle to moderate winds N of 20N and moderate to fresh trades S
    of 20N, along with slight to moderate seas. Increasing moisture
    resulting in unsettled weather conditions is likely to impact the
    far western section of the basin during the week.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 11 Jun 2026 11:08:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 10 Jun 2026 03:06:09 GMT
  • Tue, 09 Jun 2026 23:08:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    575
    ABNT20 KNHC 092308
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Jun 9 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 09 Jun 2026 13:50:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 091350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT TUE 09 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-009

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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