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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 22:58:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 032258
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is W of the Cape Verde Islands near 30W,
extending from 03N to 17N, and moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen from 06N to
11N between 29W and 34W.
A tropical wave is across the eastern Caribbean, south of 19N,
moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted from 10N to 16N between 61W and 70W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 08N34W. The ITCZ extends from 08N34W
to 05.5N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is evident within 60
nm N and 120 nm S of the ITCZ between 34W and 54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
across the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, anchored by a
1019 mb high in the central Gulf. This supports light to gentle
winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle
to moderate E to SE winds over the Bay of Campeche associated with
a surface trough. Aside from the moderate winds, the surface
trough in the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms in the SW Gulf, while scattered showers
extend across the NE Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Abundant tropical moisture accompanying the tropical wave along
65W has encountered favorable upper level conditions produce by an
elongated middle to upper-level low pressure just N of the Greater
Antilles to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across
much of the eastern Caribbean east of 70W. This upper level
feature is also supporting strong scattered afternoon convection
across Hispaniola and Cuba. The pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low
continue to support fresh to strong easterly winds and seas of
8-11 ft in the central to SW Caribbean. The strongest winds and
highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean
away from areas of convection associated with the tropical wave
near 65W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft there. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E Pacific
extension of the monsoon continues to support scattered strong
convection over the waters near the coasts of Costa Rica and
Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Tue night. Expect winds to
reach near- gale force each night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean tonight
accompanying the tropical wave along 65W. The wave and its
associated moisture will reach Hispaniola and the central
Caribbean waters on Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 32N-33N between 57W and 73W. A surface trough,
remnants of a stationary front, extends from a 1018 mb low
pressure near 32N73W to the SE FL coast. Scattered showers and
a few thunderstorms are seen along and near the trough axis, while
scattered showers and thunderstorms previal across much of the
central and northwestern Atlantic between the stalled front and
27N, from 46W to 72W, and focused along another surface trough
from 31N66W to 29N60W to 30N56W. A middle to upper-level low
north of the Dominican Republic is also aiding in the development
of strong scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across
Hispaniola and Cuba. Otherwise, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the subtropical Atlantic waters, thus
supporting mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
across much of the waters S of 20N. Fresh to locally strong trades
prevail across areas from 10N to 15N between 50W and the Lesser
Antilles, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate trades and
3-6 ft seas prevail across much of the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough across the NW
waters to SE Florida will gradually dissipate tonight while
drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The
Atlantic ridge will then build westward into central Florida
through early next week. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 22:58:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 032258
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is W of the Cape Verde Islands near 30W,
extending from 03N to 17N, and moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen from 06N to
11N between 29W and 34W.
A tropical wave is across the eastern Caribbean, south of 19N,
moving W at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted from 10N to 16N between 61W and 70W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 08N34W. The ITCZ extends from 08N34W
to 05.5N54W. Aside from the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is evident within 60
nm N and 120 nm S of the ITCZ between 34W and 54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
across the SE U.S. and to the central Gulf waters, anchored by a
1019 mb high in the central Gulf. This supports light to gentle
winds and slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle
to moderate E to SE winds over the Bay of Campeche associated with
a surface trough. Aside from the moderate winds, the surface
trough in the Bay of Campeche is generating scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms in the SW Gulf, while scattered showers
extend across the NE Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Abundant tropical moisture accompanying the tropical wave along
65W has encountered favorable upper level conditions produce by an
elongated middle to upper-level low pressure just N of the Greater
Antilles to produce scattered showers and thunderstorms across
much of the eastern Caribbean east of 70W. This upper level
feature is also supporting strong scattered afternoon convection
across Hispaniola and Cuba. The pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low
continue to support fresh to strong easterly winds and seas of
8-11 ft in the central to SW Caribbean. The strongest winds and
highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean
away from areas of convection associated with the tropical wave
near 65W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft there. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. The E Pacific
extension of the monsoon continues to support scattered strong
convection over the waters near the coasts of Costa Rica and
Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Tue night. Expect winds to
reach near- gale force each night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Active showers and
thunderstorms are expected across the SE Caribbean tonight
accompanying the tropical wave along 65W. The wave and its
associated moisture will reach Hispaniola and the central
Caribbean waters on Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 32N-33N between 57W and 73W. A surface trough,
remnants of a stationary front, extends from a 1018 mb low
pressure near 32N73W to the SE FL coast. Scattered showers and
a few thunderstorms are seen along and near the trough axis, while
scattered showers and thunderstorms previal across much of the
central and northwestern Atlantic between the stalled front and
27N, from 46W to 72W, and focused along another surface trough
from 31N66W to 29N60W to 30N56W. A middle to upper-level low
north of the Dominican Republic is also aiding in the development
of strong scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across
Hispaniola and Cuba. Otherwise, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the subtropical Atlantic waters, thus
supporting mainly moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
across much of the waters S of 20N. Fresh to locally strong trades
prevail across areas from 10N to 15N between 50W and the Lesser
Antilles, where seas are 6 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate trades and
3-6 ft seas prevail across much of the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough across the NW
waters to SE Florida will gradually dissipate tonight while
drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The
Atlantic ridge will then build westward into central Florida
through early next week. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 11:19:40 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 04 Jul 2026 03:28:02 GMT - Fri, 03 Jul 2026 23:19:40 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 032319
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 12:50:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 031249
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT FRI 03 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-033
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf