2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 27 May 2026 23:51:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272351
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu May 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2345 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 38W from
    01N to 15N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. This wave
    remains embedded in a dry Saharan airmass that is suppressing
    deep convection from forming near it. Only isolated showers are
    within 120 nm west of the wave from 05N to 08N and within 120 nm
    east of the wave from 07N to 09N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 50W from 01N
    to 13N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers and
    thunderstorms are seen south of 06N between 49W and 51W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 76W south
    of 15N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are near the wave axis south of 14N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 06N21W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N30W, then briefly pauses
    at 04N38W. It resumes at 04N39W to 02N49W. Scattered moderate
    convection within 120 nm north of the trough between 19W-21W.
    Similar convection is southeast of the trough from 03N to 09N
    between 10W-17W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The upper-level flow pattern attributed to a rather robust
    upper-level trough that is over the west-central Gulf is drawing
    abundant deep tropical moisture northward from the Caribbean and
    into the eastern and central Gulf. This is resulting in
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some strong,
    primarily over the NW and NE Gulf waters. A squall line moving
    quickly east-southeastward across the NW Gulf waters is analyzed
    from south- central Louisiana to 27N93W and to the coast of
    Mexico at 25N98W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over
    the western half of the Yucatan Peninsula and its interior
    portions. Otherwise, the pressure gradient related to the western
    extension of weak Atlantic ridging is maintaining moderate or
    weaker winds. Seas are of moderate state with these winds.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned squall line of active
    thunderstorms will continue to move across the NW Gulf tonight.
    Expect periods of heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, wind gusts
    to gale-force and locally rough seas with this activity.
    Otherwise, the Atlantic ridge extends westward across north
    Florida and the northern Gulf coasts, and will sustain moderate
    to locally fresh SE to S winds through Fri, then diminish to
    gentle to moderate over the weekend. The exception will be
    evening pulses of fresh to strong winds off the northern Yucatan
    this evening and again Thu. The energetic upper-level trough
    that is over the west-central Gulf should continue to combine
    with abundant tropical moisture to produce scattered showers and
    strong thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf through
    Thu. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the latest
    forecasts.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The interaction between high pressure of 1023 mb centered over
    the western Atlantic with relatively lower pressure to the south
    over the Caribbean and in northern South America is bringing
    fresh to near gale-force trades along with rough to locally very
    rough seas over the central Caribbean. Seas are peaking up to 13
    ft off northwest Colombia as revealed by an earlier altimeter
    satellite data pass. Moderate to fresh trades and mostly moderate
    seas are present elsewhere. The southeastern periphery of a
    rather robust upper-level trough is supporting scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over and near western Cuba,
    and over some areas of the northwestern Caribbean. Similar
    convection is just offshore eastern Honduras, Nicaragua and Costa
    Rica. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also over the
    interior sections of central Cuba and Hispaniola as well as over
    northern and southern Panama. Isolated showers are elsewhere west
    of 79W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between 1023 mb high
    pressure in the western Atlantic and a 1007 mb Colombian low
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades and rough seas
    across the central Caribbean through Thu morning before gradually
    diminishing in areal coverage Thu evening through Fri. Winds are
    expected to pulse to near-gale force off northwest Colombia
    tonight through Thu morning. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and
    just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to strong speeds this
    evening through early Thu morning. The high pressure will shift
    eastward Thu night through the weekend, leaving a weakened
    Atlantic ridge north of the Caribbean. This will yield moderate
    to locally fresh winds and moderate seas across most of the basin
    through the weekend, except in the south-central basin, where
    fresh to strong winds and rough seas will remain.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure of 1023 mb is located near 29N68W, with a ridge
    stretching westward across northern Florida and to the north-
    central Gulf of America. To the east, a 1024 mb high center is
    near 30N31W. A weak stationary front is analyzed from near
    31N23W to 27N30W, where it transitions to a weak trough to 25N40W
    and to 24N49W. Another weak trough extends from near 31N46W to
    25N60W and northwestward to 27N68W. No significant convection is
    occurring with these features. High pressure is present over
    the rest of the basin north of about 15N anchored by the two
    previously mentioned high centers. Moderate to fresh trades
    along with moderate to locally rough seas are south of
    20N and east of 35W, also south of about 25N and east of 35W,
    and south of a line from northeast Florida to the northern
    Leeward Islands. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds are noted. Seas
    with these winds are of moderate state.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the present pattern is expected to
    produce fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas south
    of 24N and west of 65W through tonight, including the Great
    Bahama Bank, as the high begins to shift eastward. The ridge will
    remain in place, but weaken as this occurs, allowing winds and
    seas to begin to diminish. Looking ahead, two cold fronts will
    sweep eastward across the north Atlantic are expected to produce
    increasing winds and seas north of 28N and east of 70W from Thu
    night through Fri evening, then again from Sat night through Sun
    night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 27 May 2026 23:51:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272351
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu May 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2345 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 38W from
    01N to 15N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. This wave
    remains embedded in a dry Saharan airmass that is suppressing
    deep convection from forming near it. Only isolated showers are
    within 120 nm west of the wave from 05N to 08N and within 120 nm
    east of the wave from 07N to 09N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 50W from 01N
    to 13N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers and
    thunderstorms are seen south of 06N between 49W and 51W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 76W south
    of 15N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are near the wave axis south of 14N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 06N21W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ to 05N30W, then briefly pauses
    at 04N38W. It resumes at 04N39W to 02N49W. Scattered moderate
    convection within 120 nm north of the trough between 19W-21W.
    Similar convection is southeast of the trough from 03N to 09N
    between 10W-17W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The upper-level flow pattern attributed to a rather robust
    upper-level trough that is over the west-central Gulf is drawing
    abundant deep tropical moisture northward from the Caribbean and
    into the eastern and central Gulf. This is resulting in
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some strong,
    primarily over the NW and NE Gulf waters. A squall line moving
    quickly east-southeastward across the NW Gulf waters is analyzed
    from south- central Louisiana to 27N93W and to the coast of
    Mexico at 25N98W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over
    the western half of the Yucatan Peninsula and its interior
    portions. Otherwise, the pressure gradient related to the western
    extension of weak Atlantic ridging is maintaining moderate or
    weaker winds. Seas are of moderate state with these winds.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned squall line of active
    thunderstorms will continue to move across the NW Gulf tonight.
    Expect periods of heavy rainfall, frequent lightning, wind gusts
    to gale-force and locally rough seas with this activity.
    Otherwise, the Atlantic ridge extends westward across north
    Florida and the northern Gulf coasts, and will sustain moderate
    to locally fresh SE to S winds through Fri, then diminish to
    gentle to moderate over the weekend. The exception will be
    evening pulses of fresh to strong winds off the northern Yucatan
    this evening and again Thu. The energetic upper-level trough
    that is over the west-central Gulf should continue to combine
    with abundant tropical moisture to produce scattered showers and
    strong thunderstorms over the central and eastern Gulf through
    Thu. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the latest
    forecasts.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The interaction between high pressure of 1023 mb centered over
    the western Atlantic with relatively lower pressure to the south
    over the Caribbean and in northern South America is bringing
    fresh to near gale-force trades along with rough to locally very
    rough seas over the central Caribbean. Seas are peaking up to 13
    ft off northwest Colombia as revealed by an earlier altimeter
    satellite data pass. Moderate to fresh trades and mostly moderate
    seas are present elsewhere. The southeastern periphery of a
    rather robust upper-level trough is supporting scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over and near western Cuba,
    and over some areas of the northwestern Caribbean. Similar
    convection is just offshore eastern Honduras, Nicaragua and Costa
    Rica. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also over the
    interior sections of central Cuba and Hispaniola as well as over
    northern and southern Panama. Isolated showers are elsewhere west
    of 79W.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between 1023 mb high
    pressure in the western Atlantic and a 1007 mb Colombian low
    will continue to support fresh to strong trades and rough seas
    across the central Caribbean through Thu morning before gradually
    diminishing in areal coverage Thu evening through Fri. Winds are
    expected to pulse to near-gale force off northwest Colombia
    tonight through Thu morning. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and
    just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to strong speeds this
    evening through early Thu morning. The high pressure will shift
    eastward Thu night through the weekend, leaving a weakened
    Atlantic ridge north of the Caribbean. This will yield moderate
    to locally fresh winds and moderate seas across most of the basin
    through the weekend, except in the south-central basin, where
    fresh to strong winds and rough seas will remain.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure of 1023 mb is located near 29N68W, with a ridge
    stretching westward across northern Florida and to the north-
    central Gulf of America. To the east, a 1024 mb high center is
    near 30N31W. A weak stationary front is analyzed from near
    31N23W to 27N30W, where it transitions to a weak trough to 25N40W
    and to 24N49W. Another weak trough extends from near 31N46W to
    25N60W and northwestward to 27N68W. No significant convection is
    occurring with these features. High pressure is present over
    the rest of the basin north of about 15N anchored by the two
    previously mentioned high centers. Moderate to fresh trades
    along with moderate to locally rough seas are south of
    20N and east of 35W, also south of about 25N and east of 35W,
    and south of a line from northeast Florida to the northern
    Leeward Islands. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds are noted. Seas
    with these winds are of moderate state.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the present pattern is expected to
    produce fresh to strong winds with moderate to rough seas south
    of 24N and west of 65W through tonight, including the Great
    Bahama Bank, as the high begins to shift eastward. The ridge will
    remain in place, but weaken as this occurs, allowing winds and
    seas to begin to diminish. Looking ahead, two cold fronts will
    sweep eastward across the north Atlantic are expected to produce
    increasing winds and seas north of 28N and east of 70W from Thu
    night through Fri evening, then again from Sat night through Sun
    night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 29 May 2026 11:06:44 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 27 May 2026 23:55:45 GMT
  • Wed, 27 May 2026 23:06:44 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 272306
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed May 27 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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