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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 15:15:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291515
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is present from 04N to 13N and between 18W and 30W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 04N to 15N and between 38W and
    56W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 88W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is evident from 10N to 19N and between 81W and 88W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the border of
    Mauritania and Senegal at 16N16W and continues to 09N22W and then
    to 12N36W. The ITCZ extends from 12N36W to 09N44W and then from
    09N46W to 06N58W. Please see the Tropical Waves section above for
    information on the convection near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A few showers are noted over the eastern Gulf waters associated
    with low-level convergence and an upper-level trough north of the
    area. The remainder of the basin is under fairly tranquil weather
    conditions in the westernmost portion of the subtropical ridge.
    The weak pressure gradient results in moderate or weaker winds and
    slight seas over much of the Gulf waters. However, stronger winds
    and higher seas are likely occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-force
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 10 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. A recent scatterometer satellite pass
    captured winds up to 29 kt. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes
    and moderate seas are found in the north- central and eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate easterly winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas prevail. Aside from the convection described
    in the Tropical Waves section above, no other significant
    convection is occurring in the remainder of the Caribbean waters.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades will
    increase into Thu as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time, expect fresh
    to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the
    eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds and
    highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are expected
    in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    within 120 nm of the trough axis. The remainder of the basin in
    under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a
    1025 mb high pressure system near 29N49W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6-9 ft north
    of 28N and west of 64W. Stronger winds and higher seas may be
    occurring near the stronger convection. Moderate to locally fresh
    easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and
    monsoon trough to 24N and west of 35W. In the far eastern
    Atlantic, fresh to strong N winds and seas of 4-7 ft are evident
    north of 18N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
    and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a frontal boundary over the W Atlantic, will
    support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    from tonight through Sat.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 15:15:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291515
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is present from 04N to 13N and between 18W and 30W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 04N to 15N and between 38W and
    56W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 88W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is evident from 10N to 19N and between 81W and 88W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the border of
    Mauritania and Senegal at 16N16W and continues to 09N22W and then
    to 12N36W. The ITCZ extends from 12N36W to 09N44W and then from
    09N46W to 06N58W. Please see the Tropical Waves section above for
    information on the convection near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A few showers are noted over the eastern Gulf waters associated
    with low-level convergence and an upper-level trough north of the
    area. The remainder of the basin is under fairly tranquil weather
    conditions in the westernmost portion of the subtropical ridge.
    The weak pressure gradient results in moderate or weaker winds and
    slight seas over much of the Gulf waters. However, stronger winds
    and higher seas are likely occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands forces fresh to near gale-force
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central
    Caribbean, with the strongest winds and highest seas to 10 ft
    occurring off NW Colombia. A recent scatterometer satellite pass
    captured winds up to 29 kt. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes
    and moderate seas are found in the north- central and eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate easterly winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas prevail. Aside from the convection described
    in the Tropical Waves section above, no other significant
    convection is occurring in the remainder of the Caribbean waters.

    For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades will
    increase into Thu as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time, expect fresh
    to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the
    eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds and
    highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are expected
    in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
    Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
    our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    within 120 nm of the trough axis. The remainder of the basin in
    under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a
    1025 mb high pressure system near 29N49W.

    The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
    trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6-9 ft north
    of 28N and west of 64W. Stronger winds and higher seas may be
    occurring near the stronger convection. Moderate to locally fresh
    easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and
    monsoon trough to 24N and west of 35W. In the far eastern
    Atlantic, fresh to strong N winds and seas of 4-7 ft are evident
    north of 18N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
    and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a frontal boundary over the W Atlantic, will
    support fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    from tonight through Sat.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 31 Jul 2026 05:22:37 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 29 Jul 2026 21:23:15 GMT
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 17:22:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 291722
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 12:46:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    731
    NOUS42 KNHC 291246
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT WED 29 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-059

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARK: ALL REMAINING TASKED REQUIREMENTS FOR TROPICAL
    DEPRESSION FAUSTO WERE CANCELED BY NHC AT 28/2030Z.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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