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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 23:01:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 232301
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Satellite images indicate that
showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization
associated with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles
southeast of Bermuda. Further development of the low is possible,
and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression
or storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward
and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48
hours and 7 days. A band-like of moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted E of the low center from 20N to 30N between
51W and 56W.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has its axis along 35W south of 19N, moving quickly
westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 04N to 13N between 30W and 40W.
A tropical wave has its axis along 54W south of 20N, moving westward
at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the northern
portion of the wave axis. Scatterometer data indicate the wind shift
associated with the wave.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 67W south of 20N extending from western Puerto Rico to
north-central Venezuela, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt.
the wave is enhancing some convective activity over parts of
Puerto Rico and northern Venezuela.
Another tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis
along 87W, moving westward at around 10 kt. The wave appears to
support some convective activity over parts of Nicaragua,
Honduras and Costa Rica.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for development,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter
portions of the week while the system moves generally westward at
15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. In
fact, a cluster of moderate to strong convection, possibly associated
with the next tropical wave, is about to emerge off the west coast
of Africa.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 12N30W, then SW to
07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to near Trinidad and Tobago.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 08N between
40W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high center
located near 26N92W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic
light to gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present
throughout the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter
data. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are
active over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast
between Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present
over the NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over central
Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge building
westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
locally moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A surface
trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.
The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to locally strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas up to around 8 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere,
except over the northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N,
where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are
present. Convection has flared-up over the Greater Antilles due
to daytime heating, local sea breezes and mountain upslope
lifting. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
northern Colombia.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and low pressure in northern South America will continue
to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over
the south- central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse
at times through the week following passages of a series of relatively
weak tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.
A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 28N70W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few
showers are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found
north of the front. A ridge dominates much of the area between
30W and 60W, with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near
35N44W. Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north
of the monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W,
and in a belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95.
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across
the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) is
forecast to move northward and out of the forecast region tonight
into Mon. Increasing winds and seas are possible tonight over
the far NE waters, with conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere,
high pressure will maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through
the period, with moderate to fresh trades to the south, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters this
week.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 23:01:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 232301
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95): Satellite images indicate that
showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization
associated with an area of low pressure located about 400 miles
southeast of Bermuda. Further development of the low is possible,
and this system could become a short-lived tropical depression
or storm during the next couple of days while it moves northward
and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda. This system
has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 48
hours and 7 days. A band-like of moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted E of the low center from 20N to 30N between
51W and 56W.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
website: https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has its axis along 35W south of 19N, moving quickly
westward at 20 to 25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 04N to 13N between 30W and 40W.
A tropical wave has its axis along 54W south of 20N, moving westward
at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the northern
portion of the wave axis. Scatterometer data indicate the wind shift
associated with the wave.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 67W south of 20N extending from western Puerto Rico to
north-central Venezuela, moving quickly westward at 20 to 25 kt.
the wave is enhancing some convective activity over parts of
Puerto Rico and northern Venezuela.
Another tropical wave is over the western Caribbean with axis
along 87W, moving westward at around 10 kt. The wave appears to
support some convective activity over parts of Nicaragua,
Honduras and Costa Rica.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Monday, and an area of low pressure could form
in association with the wave early this week. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be marginally conducive for development,
and a tropical depression could form by the middle to latter
portions of the week while the system moves generally westward at
15 to 20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. In
fact, a cluster of moderate to strong convection, possibly associated
with the next tropical wave, is about to emerge off the west coast
of Africa.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 12N16W and continues westward to 12N30W, then SW to
07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to near Trinidad and Tobago.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 08N between
40W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure, anchored by a 1018 mb high center
located near 26N92W, is generally allowing for anticyclonic
light to gentle winds across the basin. Slight seas are present
throughout the Gulf waters per buoy observations and altimeter
data. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain are
active over the Yucatan Peninsula, and across the Mexican coast
between Veracruz and Tampico where a surface trough is analyzed.
Isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present
over the NE Gulf, and over most of Florida.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over central
Gulf through midweek, with the western Atlantic ridge building
westward into the basin thereafter. This will maintain gentle to
locally moderate winds and slight seas through the week. A surface
trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Two tropical waves are moving across the Caribbean Sea. Please,
see the Tropical Wave section above for more details.
The pressure gradient associated to high pressure over the western
Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
is sustaining fresh to locally strong trades primarily over the
south-central Caribbean. Seas up to around 8 ft are with these
trades. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere,
except over the northwestern part of the Caribbean north of 20N,
where light to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are
present. Convection has flared-up over the Greater Antilles due
to daytime heating, local sea breezes and mountain upslope
lifting. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
northern Colombia.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and low pressure in northern South America will continue
to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough seas over
the south- central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW basin. Winds will pulse
at times through the week following passages of a series of relatively
weak tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on low
pressure, Invest AL95, with the potential for tropical cyclone formation.
A trough is analyzed E of Florida and runs from 31N76W to 25N80W.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are noted N of
25N W of 74W in association with this trough. A 1019 mb high
pressure situated near 28N70W dominates the remainder of the SW N
Atlantic, including the Bahamas and W of 60W. A stationary front
crosses between the Madeira and the Canary Islands. A few
showers are along the frontal boundary. Rough seas are found
north of the front. A ridge dominates much of the area between
30W and 60W, with a 1028 high pressure located north of area near
35N44W. Moderate to fresh trades are found from 10N to 20N north
of the monsoon trough between the Cabo Verde Islands and 42W,
and in a belt from there to near the low pressure area, AL95.
Winds are moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters.
Seas are slight north of 20N and west of 60W, and moderate across
the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned low (AL95) is
forecast to move northward and out of the forecast region tonight
into Mon. Increasing winds and seas are possible tonight over
the far NE waters, with conditions then improving Mon. Elsewhere,
high pressure will maintain mainly gentle winds N of 23N through
the period, with moderate to fresh trades to the south, with
slightly higher winds pulsing at times as the northern extent of
tropical waves most westward across the far southern waters this
week.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 05:28:03 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 23 Aug 2026 23:01:47 GMT - Sun, 23 Aug 2026 17:28:03 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 231727
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northeastern Atlantic:
A non-tropical area of low pressure located a couple of hundred
miles west of the coast of Portugal is producing limited shower
activity. This low is no longer anticipated to acquire any
subtropical characteristics before moving over Portugal and Spain
early tomorrow.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
Satellite images indicate that showers and thunderstorms are showing
some signs of organization associated with an area of low pressure
located about 400 miles southeast of Bermuda. Further development of
the low is possible, and this system could become a short-lived
tropical depression or storm during the next couple of days while it
moves northward and north-northeastward, well northeast of Bermuda.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on
Monday, and an area of low pressure could form in association with
the wave early this week. Environmental conditions are forecast to
be marginally conducive for development, and a tropical depression
could form by the middle to latter portions of the week while the
system moves generally westward at 15 to 20 mph across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 23 Aug 2026 13:15:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231315
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT SUN 23 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-084
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf