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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 11 Jan 2026 16:46:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111646
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jan 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends from
Tampa Bay, FL to eastern Veracruz, Mexico. NW winds to 45 kt, with
seas to 22 ft, continues in the SW Gulf offshore of Veracruz,
Mexico. Gale conditions are forecast to continue in this region
through Monday. The front will weaken and stall from near western
Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern Bay of Campeche by Mon
evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually improve Mon
night into Tue. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits the coast of Liberia near 05N10W and
continues to 04N17W. The ITCZ extends from 04N17W to 03N51W.
Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 07N between 25W and
50W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a GALE
WARNING.
As previously mentioned, strong cold front extends from
Tampa Bay, FL to eastern Veracruz, Mexico. Outside of the GALE
WARNING, strong to near-gale force northerly winds are behind the
front across most of the basin, with seas ranging from 8-11 ft.
Scattered showers are along the front. Moderate NE winds and
slight seas are analyzed ahead of the front in the far SE Gulf
and the Straits of Florida.
For the forecast, the front will continue to move across the basin
today, bringing strong to near-gale force northerly winds and 8-11
ft seas to the SE Gulf. The front will then weaken and stall from
near western Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern Bay of
Campeche by Mon evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually
improve Mon night into Tue. Moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas will prevail across the basin through early Wed.
The next cold front could impact the basin with increasing winds
and building seas by Wed night, with that front rapidly shifting
SE of the basin Thu.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The latest satellite scatterometer data indicates strong trades in
the south-central Caribbean off the coast of Colombia, a result of
the tight pressure gradient between the subtropical Atlantic ridge
and lower pressures over South America. Seas are 8-10 ft in these
strong trades, as captured in recent satellite altimeter data.
Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the remainder of the
central Caribbean, with 5-7 ft seas. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate
trades and 3-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast, strong to near gale force NE to E winds will
pulse offshore of NW Colombia through tonight due to the pressure
gradient between high pressure N of the region and low pressure
over northern Colombia, resulting in rough seas. After tonight,
fresh to locally strong winds will prevail there. Pulsing moderate
to fresh NE to E winds are forecast elsewhere in the central and
SW Caribbean, including the Windward Passage and Hispaniola
adjacent waters through at least the early part of the week.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will prevail. A decaying cold
front may move into or near the far NW Caribbean early this week
where it will stall and wash out. Another cold front may move into
the NW part of the basin Thu.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1028 mb high pressure is centered north of the area, and provides
for moderate to locally fresh trades across the tropical and
subtropical Atlantic Ocean. Seas are 4-7 ft, except south of 20N
and east of 40W where seas are 8-9 ft. Weak surface troughs are
from 20N57W to 28N54W and from 29N37W to 26N46W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure N of the area will
continue to move eastward ahead of a cold front forecast to emerge
off the NE Florida coast later today. Fresh to strong NW winds
and rough seas will follow this front, which is forecast to reach
from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas by Mon morning. Thereafter,
the front will become stationary as it dissipates Mon night into
Tue. The next cold front may enter the NW waters by Wed night,
reaching from near Bermuda to the SE Bahamas late Thu night, with
associated gale winds possible N of 29N Thu night.
$$
Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 11 Jan 2026 16:46:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111646
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jan 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends from
Tampa Bay, FL to eastern Veracruz, Mexico. NW winds to 45 kt, with
seas to 22 ft, continues in the SW Gulf offshore of Veracruz,
Mexico. Gale conditions are forecast to continue in this region
through Monday. The front will weaken and stall from near western
Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern Bay of Campeche by Mon
evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually improve Mon
night into Tue. Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits the coast of Liberia near 05N10W and
continues to 04N17W. The ITCZ extends from 04N17W to 03N51W.
Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to 07N between 25W and
50W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a GALE
WARNING.
As previously mentioned, strong cold front extends from
Tampa Bay, FL to eastern Veracruz, Mexico. Outside of the GALE
WARNING, strong to near-gale force northerly winds are behind the
front across most of the basin, with seas ranging from 8-11 ft.
Scattered showers are along the front. Moderate NE winds and
slight seas are analyzed ahead of the front in the far SE Gulf
and the Straits of Florida.
For the forecast, the front will continue to move across the basin
today, bringing strong to near-gale force northerly winds and 8-11
ft seas to the SE Gulf. The front will then weaken and stall from
near western Cuba to the Yucatan Channel to the eastern Bay of
Campeche by Mon evening. Conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually
improve Mon night into Tue. Moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas will prevail across the basin through early Wed.
The next cold front could impact the basin with increasing winds
and building seas by Wed night, with that front rapidly shifting
SE of the basin Thu.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The latest satellite scatterometer data indicates strong trades in
the south-central Caribbean off the coast of Colombia, a result of
the tight pressure gradient between the subtropical Atlantic ridge
and lower pressures over South America. Seas are 8-10 ft in these
strong trades, as captured in recent satellite altimeter data.
Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the remainder of the
central Caribbean, with 5-7 ft seas. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate
trades and 3-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast, strong to near gale force NE to E winds will
pulse offshore of NW Colombia through tonight due to the pressure
gradient between high pressure N of the region and low pressure
over northern Colombia, resulting in rough seas. After tonight,
fresh to locally strong winds will prevail there. Pulsing moderate
to fresh NE to E winds are forecast elsewhere in the central and
SW Caribbean, including the Windward Passage and Hispaniola
adjacent waters through at least the early part of the week.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will prevail. A decaying cold
front may move into or near the far NW Caribbean early this week
where it will stall and wash out. Another cold front may move into
the NW part of the basin Thu.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1028 mb high pressure is centered north of the area, and provides
for moderate to locally fresh trades across the tropical and
subtropical Atlantic Ocean. Seas are 4-7 ft, except south of 20N
and east of 40W where seas are 8-9 ft. Weak surface troughs are
from 20N57W to 28N54W and from 29N37W to 26N46W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure N of the area will
continue to move eastward ahead of a cold front forecast to emerge
off the NE Florida coast later today. Fresh to strong NW winds
and rough seas will follow this front, which is forecast to reach
from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas by Mon morning. Thereafter,
the front will become stationary as it dissipates Mon night into
Tue. The next cold front may enter the NW waters by Wed night,
reaching from near Bermuda to the SE Bahamas late Thu night, with
associated gale winds possible N of 29N Thu night.
$$
Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 11 Jan 2026 18:01:09 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 11 Jan 2026 16:35:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
530
NOUS42 KNHC 111635
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EST SUN 11 JANUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JANUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-042
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
