2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 21:12:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    803
    AXNT20 KNHC 122112
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 30W S of 15N,
    moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 05N to 10N between 30W and 33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W S of 16N.
    It is moving westward near 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
    in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave has its axis near 60W south of 16N. It is moving
    westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
    presently occurring near this wave.

    The two previous waves in the Caribbean have merged. The axis of
    the merged tropical wave is near 77W south of 18N, moving
    westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is presently
    occurring near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 10N14W
    and extends southwestward to 07N20W. The ITCZ extends from 07N20W
    to 06N29W. It resumes near 06N31W to 05N47W. Scattered moderate
    to strong convection is noted from 03N to 15N between 11W and
    23W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 09N
    between 36W and 46W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. A 1007 mb low is
    centered over the SW Gulf. The pressure gradient between the area
    of high pressure and the low is supporting fresh to strong winds
    over the waters S of 25N and W of 87W. Seas are in the 5-8 ft
    range over these waters. Light winds, and seas of 2 ft, are in
    the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to moderate winds, and
    seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
    has increased a little near a broad area of low pressure located
    over the Bay of Campeche near 20.5N95W. Environmental conditions
    are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development
    before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday
    or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
    on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal
    boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be
    marginally conducive for any development. The pressure gradient
    between the low pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will
    support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas
    through Sun.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds prevail over the waters W of 85W, as well as
    over the waters S of 15N between 66W and 75W. Seas over these
    waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
    of 3-6 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
    rough seas will prevail across the central Caribbean through Sun.
    Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to
    strong SE winds and rough seas will also persist over the
    northwestern Caribbean, to the W of 85W, including the Gulf of
    Honduras, through Sat night. Expect active showers and
    thunderstorms across portions of the Yucatan Channel and adjacent
    Yucatan waters through early Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 24N69W to 20N75W. Scattered
    convection is SE of the trough. The remainder of the discussion
    waters N of 20N is dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1024
    mb high near 33N45W. Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas,
    generally prevail over the discussion waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will build across the
    area through early next week. This pattern will support moderate
    E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a gentle anticyclonic flow
    elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will develop across the NW
    waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening through Tue, as a weak
    frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong
    winds each afternoon through late evening across waters near
    Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 21:12:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    803
    AXNT20 KNHC 122112
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 30W S of 15N,
    moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 05N to 10N between 30W and 33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W S of 16N.
    It is moving westward near 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
    in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A tropical wave has its axis near 60W south of 16N. It is moving
    westward at about 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
    presently occurring near this wave.

    The two previous waves in the Caribbean have merged. The axis of
    the merged tropical wave is near 77W south of 18N, moving
    westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is presently
    occurring near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 10N14W
    and extends southwestward to 07N20W. The ITCZ extends from 07N20W
    to 06N29W. It resumes near 06N31W to 05N47W. Scattered moderate
    to strong convection is noted from 03N to 15N between 11W and
    23W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 09N
    between 36W and 46W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. A 1007 mb low is
    centered over the SW Gulf. The pressure gradient between the area
    of high pressure and the low is supporting fresh to strong winds
    over the waters S of 25N and W of 87W. Seas are in the 5-8 ft
    range over these waters. Light winds, and seas of 2 ft, are in
    the vicinity of the high center. Gentle to moderate winds, and
    seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity
    has increased a little near a broad area of low pressure located
    over the Bay of Campeche near 20.5N95W. Environmental conditions
    are forecast to be only marginally conducive for development
    before the system moves inland over eastern Mexico late Saturday
    or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
    on Tuesday and Wednesday while interacting with a frontal
    boundary, but there too, conditions are only expected to be
    marginally conducive for any development. The pressure gradient
    between the low pressure area and a ridge over the NE Gulf will
    support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas
    through Sun.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to strong winds prevail over the waters W of 85W, as well as
    over the waters S of 15N between 66W and 75W. Seas over these
    waters are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas
    of 3-6 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to
    rough seas will prevail across the central Caribbean through Sun.
    Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to
    strong SE winds and rough seas will also persist over the
    northwestern Caribbean, to the W of 85W, including the Gulf of
    Honduras, through Sat night. Expect active showers and
    thunderstorms across portions of the Yucatan Channel and adjacent
    Yucatan waters through early Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 24N69W to 20N75W. Scattered
    convection is SE of the trough. The remainder of the discussion
    waters N of 20N is dominated by high pressure, anchored by a 1024
    mb high near 33N45W. Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas,
    generally prevail over the discussion waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will build across the
    area through early next week. This pattern will support moderate
    E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a gentle anticyclonic flow
    elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will develop across the NW
    waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening through Tue, as a weak
    frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong
    winds each afternoon through late evening across waters near
    Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 14 Jun 2026 05:27:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 12 Jun 2026 22:51:56 GMT
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 17:27:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 121727
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Western Gulf:
    Disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity has increased a
    little near a broad area of low pressure located over the Bay of
    Campeche. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only
    marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland
    over eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. The system could
    re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while
    interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are
    only expected to be marginally conducive for any development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:45:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 121345
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0945 AM EDT FRI 12 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-012

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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