SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 04:15:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040415
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0415 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving across the Cabo Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 24N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is affecting the islands.
A tropical wave is along 50W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern end
of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 18N between 46W and 53W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 65W, south of 21N, moving west at around 15 kt. Recent
scatterometer data show the winds shift associated with the wave,
mainly across the northern portion. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 10N27W to
07N35W to 10N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N51W to NE Venezuela
near 09N62W. Convection is limited across the area.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge dominates most of the Gulf region supporting gentle to
moderate winds, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just
offshore the western Yucatan Peninsula due to the presence of a
trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. A surface trough is analyzed
over Florida and extends from 30N81W to 25N85W. Scattered
thunderstorms are near the trough axis. Convection has flared-up
over the Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 8 ft
seas offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E
winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
parts of Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and Jamaica. Similar convective
activity is noted over portions of central America.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend then once again
increase to fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will continue
across the remainder of the basin during the period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak low pressure of 1016 mb is located near 30.5N61W. A surface
trough extends from the low center to near 27N67W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high
pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near
30N72W. Its associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to
moderate east to southeast winds are seen over the waters west of
74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the
influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1024
mb located NE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and
moderate seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and
away from any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will approach from the
NW late this weekend enhancing the potential for scattered and
thunderstorms over the NW portion of the area.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 04 Sep 2026 04:15:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040415
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Sep 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0415 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving across the Cabo Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 24N, south of 20N, moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is affecting the islands.
A tropical wave is along 50W, south of 20N, moving W at around 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted near the northern end
of the wave axis and mainly from 15N to 18N between 46W and 53W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern Caribbean. Its axis
is along 65W, south of 21N, moving west at around 15 kt. Recent
scatterometer data show the winds shift associated with the wave,
mainly across the northern portion. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N16W and continues southwestward to 10N27W to
07N35W to 10N48W. The ITCZ extends from 09N51W to NE Venezuela
near 09N62W. Convection is limited across the area.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge dominates most of the Gulf region supporting gentle to
moderate winds, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just
offshore the western Yucatan Peninsula due to the presence of a
trough. Seas are generally 1 to 3 ft. A surface trough is analyzed
over Florida and extends from 30N81W to 25N85W. Scattered
thunderstorms are near the trough axis. Convection has flared-up
over the Yucatan peninsula and SE Mexico.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the
waters through early next week. Winds will pulse to fresh with
moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure to the north and the
Colombian low is maintaining fresh to strong trades and 5 to 8 ft
seas offshore Colombia and western Venezuela. Mainly moderate E
winds and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the basin,
except the NW Caribbean where gentle winds and slight seas are
present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
parts of Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and Jamaica. Similar convective
activity is noted over portions of central America.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades
along with moderate seas over the central Caribbean. Winds over
these waters will briefly diminish this weekend then once again
increase to fresh to strong speeds early next week. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will continue
across the remainder of the basin during the period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak low pressure of 1016 mb is located near 30.5N61W. A surface
trough extends from the low center to near 27N67W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near these features. A 1019 mb high
pressure remains over the western Atlantic and is centered near
30N72W. Its associated ridge reaches the Bahamas. Gentle to
moderate east to southeast winds are seen over the waters west of
74W. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast region is under the
influence of a ridge, with the main high pressure center of 1024
mb located NE of the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh winds and
moderate seas prevail across much of the Atlantic S of 25N and
away from any convection or tropical waves. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will approach from the
NW late this weekend enhancing the potential for scattered and
thunderstorms over the NW portion of the area.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 05 Sep 2026 17:23:33 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 04 Sep 2026 06:01:33 GMT - Fri, 04 Sep 2026 05:23:33 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 040523
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Sep 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 03 Sep 2026 14:54:27 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
249
NOUS42 KNHC 031454
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1055 AM EDT THU 03 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-095
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE LOWELL
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 43
A. 04/1800Z A. 05/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0212E LOWELL B. NOAA3 0312E LOWELL
C. 04/1600Z C. 04/2000Z
D. 13.7N 160.4W D. 13.7N 161.0W
E. 04/1730Z TO 04/2100Z E. 04/2130Z TO 05/0230Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR & FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT FOUR - NOAA 43
A. 05/0600Z A. 05/1200Z
B. AFXXX 0412E LOWELL B. NOAA3 0512E LOWELL
C. 05/0400Z C. 05/0800Z
D. 13.8N 161.5W D. 13.9N 162.0W
E. 04/0530Z TO 05/0900Z E. 05/0930Z TO 05/1430Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR & FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. HURRICANE KARINA
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
A. 05/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0111E KARINA
C. 04/1700Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON LOWELL.
B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSIONS INTO LOWELL FOR
FOR 06/0000Z AND 06/1200Z, DEPARTING PHKO AT 05/2000Z AND
06/0800Z, RESPECTIVELY.
C. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND HURRICANE
LOWELL FOR 06/0000Z, DEPARTING KHNL AT 05/1730Z.
4. REMARK: DURING THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 05/1200Z
SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN
THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT
1 TO 2 HOURS.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf