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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 13 Nov 2026 23:44:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132344
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends
from near 31N71W to the northern Bahamas and to South Florida.
Strong southwest winds are ahead of the front while fresh
northwest winds are behind it. The front is expected to reach
from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and
from near 31N55W to near the Windward Passage by Sun morning.
Gale-force southwest winds will develop late tonight into Sat
morning ahead of the front north of 29N. These gale winds are
expected to be short-lived as latest forecast has them ending at
15Z. Seas with these winds are forecast to build to around 13 ft
on Sat. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis exits the coast of Africa near 12N17W,
and continues southwestward to 09N20W, where it transitions to
the ITCZ to 07N30W to 06N40W and to near 05N50W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between
24W-29W, between 31W-35W and within 120 nm north of the ITCZ
between 40W-45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front is analyzed from the Florida Keys to offshore
Veracruz, Mexico. Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight
to moderate seas are north of the front. Locally fresh winds and
moderate seas are off Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Light
to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin tonight.
Moderate to fresh north winds will veer easterly into Sat as
high pressure builds southward toward the region in the wake of
the front. These easterly winds will increase Sat night into
Sun, to strong over the northern Gulf ahead of the next cold
front that will move offshore Texas Sun night into Mon. Near
gale-force winds are likely in the far northern Gulf ahead of
this cold front early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds and moderate seas remain over the waters east
of 76W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas, are
noted elsewhere. A trough extends from central Cuba to the Gulf of
Honduras. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along and east of
the trough to near 75W as well as over portions of central and
eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the eastern Caribbean
will diminish Sat. A cold front will enter the northwestern
Caribbean this evening. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
are expected behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat
through Sun night. Trades are likely to strengthen again over the
south central Caribbean starting Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on
upcoming gale conditions east of a cold front.
A strong cold front extends from near 31N75W to the northern
Bahamas and to South Florida. Strong southwest winds are ahead of
the front impacting the Turks and Caicos and eastern Cuba while
fresh northwest winds are behind it. Seas ahead of the front are 7
to 11 ft and 5 to 7 ft behind it. A pre-frontal trough is analyzed
from near 31N67W to 27N75W to west-central Cuba. To its NW, a very
active subtropical jet stream rounds the base of a deepening broad
upper-level trough. A series of upper-level disturbances are riding
along the jet stream branch and combining with trough, which is
resulting in numerous large clusters of numerous moderate to strong
convection east of the trough to near 60W. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 24N to 30N between 54W and 60W. Over the
central Atlantic, a trough is along 48W from 17N to 25N. No
significant convection is occurring with this feature. A 1024 mb
high center is north of the area at 34N35W, with a broad ridge
stretching southwestward to the eastern portion of the Dominican
Republic. Light to gentle winds are roughly over the waters north of
about 24N between 35W and a line from 31N45W to 24N59W. Latest Ascat
scatterometer data indicates a swath of fresh trades from 17N to 24N
east of 50W, and also south of 15N east of the Windward Islands.
Seas over these waters are 5 to 7 ft in wind generated waves, with
northeast swell merging with east to southeast swell. The latest
Ascat scatterometer data also indicates gentle to moderate winds
over the remainder of the discussion waters along with mostly
moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front is
expected to reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas
by Sat morning, and from near 31N55W to near the Windward
Passage by Sun morning. The frontal boundary should then stall
and weaken into early next week. The pressure gradient between
the front and building Bermuda high pressure will tighten
leading to increasing NE winds S of 27N and W of 65W Mon, and
these strong winds will expand northward Tue and Tue night.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 13 Nov 2026 23:44:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132344
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
North-Central Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong cold front extends
from near 31N71W to the northern Bahamas and to South Florida.
Strong southwest winds are ahead of the front while fresh
northwest winds are behind it. The front is expected to reach
from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas by Sat morning, and
from near 31N55W to near the Windward Passage by Sun morning.
Gale-force southwest winds will develop late tonight into Sat
morning ahead of the front north of 29N. These gale winds are
expected to be short-lived as latest forecast has them ending at
15Z. Seas with these winds are forecast to build to around 13 ft
on Sat. Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis exits the coast of Africa near 12N17W,
and continues southwestward to 09N20W, where it transitions to
the ITCZ to 07N30W to 06N40W and to near 05N50W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between
24W-29W, between 31W-35W and within 120 nm north of the ITCZ
between 40W-45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front is analyzed from the Florida Keys to offshore
Veracruz, Mexico. Mexico. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight
to moderate seas are north of the front. Locally fresh winds and
moderate seas are off Veracruz in the far southwest Gulf. Light
to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the cold front will exit the basin tonight.
Moderate to fresh north winds will veer easterly into Sat as
high pressure builds southward toward the region in the wake of
the front. These easterly winds will increase Sat night into
Sun, to strong over the northern Gulf ahead of the next cold
front that will move offshore Texas Sun night into Mon. Near
gale-force winds are likely in the far northern Gulf ahead of
this cold front early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds and moderate seas remain over the waters east
of 76W. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate seas, are
noted elsewhere. A trough extends from central Cuba to the Gulf of
Honduras. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along and east of
the trough to near 75W as well as over portions of central and
eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the eastern Caribbean
will diminish Sat. A cold front will enter the northwestern
Caribbean this evening. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds
are expected behind this front over the northwestern Caribbean Sat
through Sun night. Trades are likely to strengthen again over the
south central Caribbean starting Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on
upcoming gale conditions east of a cold front.
A strong cold front extends from near 31N75W to the northern
Bahamas and to South Florida. Strong southwest winds are ahead of
the front impacting the Turks and Caicos and eastern Cuba while
fresh northwest winds are behind it. Seas ahead of the front are 7
to 11 ft and 5 to 7 ft behind it. A pre-frontal trough is analyzed
from near 31N67W to 27N75W to west-central Cuba. To its NW, a very
active subtropical jet stream rounds the base of a deepening broad
upper-level trough. A series of upper-level disturbances are riding
along the jet stream branch and combining with trough, which is
resulting in numerous large clusters of numerous moderate to strong
convection east of the trough to near 60W. Scattered moderate
convection is seen from 24N to 30N between 54W and 60W. Over the
central Atlantic, a trough is along 48W from 17N to 25N. No
significant convection is occurring with this feature. A 1024 mb
high center is north of the area at 34N35W, with a broad ridge
stretching southwestward to the eastern portion of the Dominican
Republic. Light to gentle winds are roughly over the waters north of
about 24N between 35W and a line from 31N45W to 24N59W. Latest Ascat
scatterometer data indicates a swath of fresh trades from 17N to 24N
east of 50W, and also south of 15N east of the Windward Islands.
Seas over these waters are 5 to 7 ft in wind generated waves, with
northeast swell merging with east to southeast swell. The latest
Ascat scatterometer data also indicates gentle to moderate winds
over the remainder of the discussion waters along with mostly
moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front is
expected to reach from near 31N66W to the southeastern Bahamas
by Sat morning, and from near 31N55W to near the Windward
Passage by Sun morning. The frontal boundary should then stall
and weaken into early next week. The pressure gradient between
the front and building Bermuda high pressure will tighten
leading to increasing NE winds S of 27N and W of 65W Mon, and
these strong winds will expand northward Tue and Tue night.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 15 Nov 2026 11:26:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 14 Nov 2026 00:46:10 GMT - Fri, 13 Nov 2026 23:26:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 132326
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Fri Nov 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:47:12 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131647
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1150 AM EST FRI 13 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-166
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf