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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 10:12:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111012
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Nov 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Meteo-France Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: SW winds to gale-force
    will persist through this morning from the waters north of the
    Canary Islands to off Agadir, Morocco, with 12 to 18 ft seas.
    These gales and rough to very rough seas are ahead of a complex
    pair of low pressure systems west and northwest of the Canary
    Islands moving rapidly to the northeast. Winds and seas will start
    to diminish after 12 UTC.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France
    at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 08N21W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N21W to 07N53W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 06N to 09N between 21W and 42W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak low pressure that has formed just offshore Texas is inducing
    scattered moderate convection offshore the Middle and Upper-Texas
    coast. Elsewhere, mainly high pressure dominates, with gentle NE
    winds prevail, along with seas of less than 3 ft.

    For the forecast, a cold front will exit Texas tonight, then
    sweep across the basin through Thu night and depart by Fri,
    leading fresh to locally strong N winds and building seas in its
    wake. High pressure will build southward into the region this
    weekend, with increasing easterly winds as the high shifts
    eastward Sun. Strong E winds are likely across portions of the
    northern Gulf starting Sun as the pressure gradient increases
    ahead of a low pressure and attendant cold front that will
    approach the NW Gulf for the start of next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
    the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
    fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
    to fresh trades elsewhere, except weaker near the coast of Central
    America and in the NW Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-
    central Caribbean and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere, except 2-4 ft over the
    northwest Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is noted in the
    NW basin due to upper-level divergence.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
    will prevail over the south-central Caribbean into Thu night, with
    mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
    will weaken starting Fri as a cold front approaches the Yucatan
    Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate north winds and slightly
    building seas are likely behind this front over the northwestern
    Caribbean this weekend.


    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning for portions of the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast area.

    A cold front extends from 29N55W to 27N62W. Scattered moderate
    convection is associated with a pre-frontal trough N of 29N
    around 45W, otherwise little sensible weather is associated with
    this front. To the east, a cold front extends from 31N22W to
    26W40W. Ahead of this front, fresh to strong SW winds prevail,
    with rough seas. Very rough seas in NW swell, and fresh winds are
    N of the boundary. Upper-level divergence is leading to scattered
    moderate convection N of the Greater Antilles to 22N, between 65W
    and 75W. Elsewhere, weak high pressure is leading to moderate or
    weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front in the NE waters
    will exit to the east later today. Another cold front is expected
    to move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu, accompanied by fresh
    to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it. These
    conditions are expected to persist through Sat night. By Sat
    night, the front will stall from near 28N55W to the vicinity of
    the Turks and Caicos.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 10:12:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111012
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Nov 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Meteo-France Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: SW winds to gale-force
    will persist through this morning from the waters north of the
    Canary Islands to off Agadir, Morocco, with 12 to 18 ft seas.
    These gales and rough to very rough seas are ahead of a complex
    pair of low pressure systems west and northwest of the Canary
    Islands moving rapidly to the northeast. Winds and seas will start
    to diminish after 12 UTC.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France
    at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 08N21W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N21W to 07N53W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 06N to 09N between 21W and 42W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak low pressure that has formed just offshore Texas is inducing
    scattered moderate convection offshore the Middle and Upper-Texas
    coast. Elsewhere, mainly high pressure dominates, with gentle NE
    winds prevail, along with seas of less than 3 ft.

    For the forecast, a cold front will exit Texas tonight, then
    sweep across the basin through Thu night and depart by Fri,
    leading fresh to locally strong N winds and building seas in its
    wake. High pressure will build southward into the region this
    weekend, with increasing easterly winds as the high shifts
    eastward Sun. Strong E winds are likely across portions of the
    northern Gulf starting Sun as the pressure gradient increases
    ahead of a low pressure and attendant cold front that will
    approach the NW Gulf for the start of next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
    the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
    fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
    to fresh trades elsewhere, except weaker near the coast of Central
    America and in the NW Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-
    central Caribbean and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere, except 2-4 ft over the
    northwest Caribbean. Scattered moderate convection is noted in the
    NW basin due to upper-level divergence.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas
    will prevail over the south-central Caribbean into Thu night, with
    mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
    will weaken starting Fri as a cold front approaches the Yucatan
    Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate north winds and slightly
    building seas are likely behind this front over the northwestern
    Caribbean this weekend.


    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning for portions of the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast area.

    A cold front extends from 29N55W to 27N62W. Scattered moderate
    convection is associated with a pre-frontal trough N of 29N
    around 45W, otherwise little sensible weather is associated with
    this front. To the east, a cold front extends from 31N22W to
    26W40W. Ahead of this front, fresh to strong SW winds prevail,
    with rough seas. Very rough seas in NW swell, and fresh winds are
    N of the boundary. Upper-level divergence is leading to scattered
    moderate convection N of the Greater Antilles to 22N, between 65W
    and 75W. Elsewhere, weak high pressure is leading to moderate or
    weaker winds and mainly moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front in the NE waters
    will exit to the east later today. Another cold front is expected
    to move off the southeastern U.S. coast Thu, accompanied by fresh
    to strong winds and building seas on both sides of it. These
    conditions are expected to persist through Sat night. By Sat
    night, the front will stall from near 28N55W to the vicinity of
    the Turks and Caicos.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 12 Nov 2026 23:33:09 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 11 Nov 2026 16:04:32 GMT
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 11:33:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 111133
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 16:45:59 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101645
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1145 AM EST TUE 10 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-163

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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