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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 02 Oct 2026 09:37:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 020937
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Oct 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 42W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N17W and continues southwestward to 11N31W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N40W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from
08N to 17N and between 43W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad upper-level low over SE Mexico, combined with abundant
tropical moisture, promote scattered showers and thunderstorms
over the E Gulf. High pressure over the western Atlantic and lower
pressures in Texas and Mexico support moderate to locally strong
SE winds and moderate seas across much of the basin. The strongest
winds and highest seas are found north of the Yucatan peninsula.
For the forecast, the aforementioned upper-level low and abundant
moisture will promote scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
over the eastern and northern Gulf through this weekend. High
pressure supports moderate to locally strong SE winds over much of
the basin. However, a weak front moving across Texas will weaken
the pressure gradient, allowing the winds across the Gulf today
into the weekend. Late this weekend, the front will reach the NW
Gulf, extending from the Florida panhandle to just offshore the
Texas- Mexico border to near Veracruz on Mon morning. Winds behind
the front should only be N to NE moderate to fresh and moderate seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The broad upper-level low over SE Mexico and abundant moisture
fuel scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly W of 80W.
High pressure north of the area continue to support moderate to
locally strong easterly winds and moderate seas across much of the
Caribbean Sea, except for light to gentle winds in the SW
Caribbean.
For the forecast, a moderate pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High north of the Caribbean and the Colombian Low will force fresh
to locally strong trades over the S central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras through Sat night. As a frontal boundary reaches the
waters north of the Bahamas, the pressure gradient will slacken
again from Sun through early next week leading to only moderate
trades across the Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and abundant tropical moisture continues to
sustain scattered showers and thunderstorms west of 70W. To the E,
a surface trough is analyzed from 29N55W to the northern Leeward
Islands. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the
northern half of the trough. High pressure between Bermuda and
Outer Banks forces moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas south of 28N and west of 70W.
The remainder of the forecast area is under the influence of a
broad ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure system just off
the Iberian peninsula. Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade
winds and moderate seas are found south of 22N and west of 30W.
Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 6-8 ft are occurring
north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will remain possible across the waters west of 75W
through at least Sat. Meanwhile, a surface trough - associated
with the remnants of Fay - will support similar shower and
thunderstorm activity over the next couple days north of 22N and
east of 70W. Trades just north of Hispaniola will boost to fresh
to locally strong this morning and tonight. Otherwise, winds and
seas will be quiescent through Mon. Looking ahead, a cold front
may reach the waters off of NE Florida Tue morning with increasing
winds and building seas behind the boundary.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 02 Oct 2026 09:37:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 020937
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Oct 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 42W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 17N17W and continues southwestward to 11N31W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N40W to the coast of Brazil near 02N51W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from
08N to 17N and between 43W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad upper-level low over SE Mexico, combined with abundant
tropical moisture, promote scattered showers and thunderstorms
over the E Gulf. High pressure over the western Atlantic and lower
pressures in Texas and Mexico support moderate to locally strong
SE winds and moderate seas across much of the basin. The strongest
winds and highest seas are found north of the Yucatan peninsula.
For the forecast, the aforementioned upper-level low and abundant
moisture will promote scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
over the eastern and northern Gulf through this weekend. High
pressure supports moderate to locally strong SE winds over much of
the basin. However, a weak front moving across Texas will weaken
the pressure gradient, allowing the winds across the Gulf today
into the weekend. Late this weekend, the front will reach the NW
Gulf, extending from the Florida panhandle to just offshore the
Texas- Mexico border to near Veracruz on Mon morning. Winds behind
the front should only be N to NE moderate to fresh and moderate seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The broad upper-level low over SE Mexico and abundant moisture
fuel scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms mainly W of 80W.
High pressure north of the area continue to support moderate to
locally strong easterly winds and moderate seas across much of the
Caribbean Sea, except for light to gentle winds in the SW
Caribbean.
For the forecast, a moderate pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High north of the Caribbean and the Colombian Low will force fresh
to locally strong trades over the S central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras through Sat night. As a frontal boundary reaches the
waters north of the Bahamas, the pressure gradient will slacken
again from Sun through early next week leading to only moderate
trades across the Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft and abundant tropical moisture continues to
sustain scattered showers and thunderstorms west of 70W. To the E,
a surface trough is analyzed from 29N55W to the northern Leeward
Islands. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the
northern half of the trough. High pressure between Bermuda and
Outer Banks forces moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas south of 28N and west of 70W.
The remainder of the forecast area is under the influence of a
broad ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure system just off
the Iberian peninsula. Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade
winds and moderate seas are found south of 22N and west of 30W.
Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 6-8 ft are occurring
north of the monsoon trough and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms will remain possible across the waters west of 75W
through at least Sat. Meanwhile, a surface trough - associated
with the remnants of Fay - will support similar shower and
thunderstorm activity over the next couple days north of 22N and
east of 70W. Trades just north of Hispaniola will boost to fresh
to locally strong this morning and tonight. Otherwise, winds and
seas will be quiescent through Mon. Looking ahead, a cold front
may reach the waters off of NE Florida Tue morning with increasing
winds and building seas behind the boundary.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 03 Oct 2026 17:16:43 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 02 Oct 2026 10:50:05 GMT - Fri, 02 Oct 2026 05:16:43 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
306
ABNT20 KNHC 020516
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Subtropical Central Atlantic (Remnants of Fay):
An area of low pressure associated with the remnants of former
Tropical Storm Fay is located several hundred miles southeast of
Bermuda. Despite ongoing thunderstorm activity, dry air and strong
upper-level winds are expected to prevent significant re-development
while it moves northwestward, to the east of Bermuda. Any formation
chances should end by Sunday due to very strong upper-level winds.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 01 Oct 2026 15:09:04 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 011508
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EDT THU 01 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-123
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf