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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 21:16:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 102116
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jun 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2115 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 44W, S of 15N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to
08N between 42W and 47W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 55W, S of 15N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted S of 10N between 53W and 60W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 63W, S of 18N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted S
of 12N between 60W and 62W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 11N16W
and extends SW to 06N30W. The ITCZ extends from 06N30W to 04N41W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N
between 10W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough is across the Yucatan Peninsula, supporting
scattered moderate and isolated strong convection near the
Yucatan Channel as well as over the Yucatan peninsula. Another
surface trough is over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate winds, and
seas of 3-5 ft prevail across most of the Gulf, except 2-3 ft over
the NE Gulf.
For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient will support gentle
to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern and north- central Gulf
into early next week. A trough or weak low pressure center may
emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu
night and then track slowly northwestward through the weekend.
This feature will enhance the pressure gradient, resulting in
fresh to strong SE winds across the south-central and west-
central Gulf. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms and rough seas
are also expected across the same area into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area, the
eastern north Pacific monsoon trough, and broad low pressure
around TD Cristina is supporting fresh to locally strong winds
over central and western Caribbean. Seas over these waters are in
the 4-7 ft range. Over the eastern Caribbean, gentle to moderate
winds and seas of 3-5 ft prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong E to SE winds with moderate to
rough seas will prevail from the south-central to northwestern
basin into early week. During the weekend, the high over the
western Atlantic is expected to strengthen further, and cause
fresh E trades to expand northward into the north-central basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak frontal boundary extends from 31N59W across the northern
waters to near 30N77W. A surface trough is found S of the front
from 31N56W to 23N68W, with a weak 1017 mb surface low along the
trough near 24N65W. Scattered moderate convection is NE of the low
along the trough. High pressure prevails across the remainder of
the waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1029 mb high centered near
39N28W. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail over
the waters N of 20N and W of 55W. Fresh to strong winds, and seas
of 6-8 ft are noted N of 20N and E of 23W. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds, and moderate seas, prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, The low will dissipate as it moves
northeastward along the trough through Thu. The frontal boundary
will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak low pressure. The
Atlantic ridge will then build across the region late Thu through
Fri along roughly 25N. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola at night from Fri night
through Sun night.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 21:16:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 102116
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jun 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2115 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 44W, S of 15N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to
08N between 42W and 47W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 55W, S of 15N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted S of 10N between 53W and 60W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 63W, S of 18N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted S
of 12N between 60W and 62W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 11N16W
and extends SW to 06N30W. The ITCZ extends from 06N30W to 04N41W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N
between 10W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough is across the Yucatan Peninsula, supporting
scattered moderate and isolated strong convection near the
Yucatan Channel as well as over the Yucatan peninsula. Another
surface trough is over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate winds, and
seas of 3-5 ft prevail across most of the Gulf, except 2-3 ft over
the NE Gulf.
For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient will support gentle
to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern and north- central Gulf
into early next week. A trough or weak low pressure center may
emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu
night and then track slowly northwestward through the weekend.
This feature will enhance the pressure gradient, resulting in
fresh to strong SE winds across the south-central and west-
central Gulf. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms and rough seas
are also expected across the same area into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area, the
eastern north Pacific monsoon trough, and broad low pressure
around TD Cristina is supporting fresh to locally strong winds
over central and western Caribbean. Seas over these waters are in
the 4-7 ft range. Over the eastern Caribbean, gentle to moderate
winds and seas of 3-5 ft prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong E to SE winds with moderate to
rough seas will prevail from the south-central to northwestern
basin into early week. During the weekend, the high over the
western Atlantic is expected to strengthen further, and cause
fresh E trades to expand northward into the north-central basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak frontal boundary extends from 31N59W across the northern
waters to near 30N77W. A surface trough is found S of the front
from 31N56W to 23N68W, with a weak 1017 mb surface low along the
trough near 24N65W. Scattered moderate convection is NE of the low
along the trough. High pressure prevails across the remainder of
the waters N of 20N, anchored by a 1029 mb high centered near
39N28W. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail over
the waters N of 20N and W of 55W. Fresh to strong winds, and seas
of 6-8 ft are noted N of 20N and E of 23W. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds, and moderate seas, prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, The low will dissipate as it moves
northeastward along the trough through Thu. The frontal boundary
will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak low pressure. The
Atlantic ridge will then build across the region late Thu through
Fri along roughly 25N. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola at night from Fri night
through Sun night.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 12 Jun 2026 11:17:06 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 10 Jun 2026 23:52:22 GMT - Wed, 10 Jun 2026 23:17:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 102315
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Bay of Campeche:
A broad area of low pressure could form over the Bay of Campeche on
Friday from a westward-moving tropical wave currently located over
the northwestern Caribbean Sea. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be only marginally conducive for development, and the
system should move inland over eastern Mexico by late this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 13:47:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
755
NOUS42 KNHC 101347
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT WED 10 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-010
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE NEAR 21.0N 94.5W FOR 12/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf