2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

280 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

PLEASE SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 03 Jun 2026 08:29:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    540
    AXNT20 KNHC 030829
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jun 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0820 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning east of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1033
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and
    lower pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near
    gale- force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones.
    Gale- force winds are expected 03/1500 to at least 04/0000 UTC
    with severe gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar
    conditions will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer
    to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 13N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
    03N to 07N between 27W and 31W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44N, south of 14N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near this trough.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has been analyzed along 55W,
    south of 15N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection observed from 07N to 09N between 55W and 57W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
    southwestward to 03N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N25W to 00N35W to
    00N55W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 01S to 02N
    between 35W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft on the southeast side of a broad trough over the
    western Gulf is interacting with warmer sea surface temperatures
    to support numerous moderate to isolated strong thunderstorms
    across the far southeast Gulf, from off northeast Yucatan to off
    northwest Cuba. A few showers and thunderstorms are also active in
    the Big Bend area in the far northeast Gulf along a cold front
    from Slidell, Louisiana to Pine Island, Florida. A scatterometer
    satellite pass from around 03 UTC confirmed fresh NE to E winds
    following the front. Elsewhere, a 1016 mb high pressure area is
    centered near 27N85W. The pressure gradient between this high
    pressure and a trough near Yucatan is supporting fresh E winds
    north of Yucatan. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere.
    Combined seas are 2-4 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, the cold front moving into the far northeast
    Gulf this morning will stall from southwest Florida to southeast
    Louisiana through Thu, then dissipate gradually by Sat. Expect
    fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas north of the
    front today and Thu. Meanwhile, a trough off the western coast of
    the Yucatan Peninsula will extend farther north into the central
    Gulf today, and weak low pressure may form over the central Gulf
    through Thu. The low pressure may dissipate as it moves northward
    into the Louisiana coast through Fri. Strong to near- gale force
    winds are possible on the northern end of the trough over the
    north- central Gulf starting tonight as the low pressure forms. By
    Fri, these winds and seas will eventually merge with and enhance
    the ongoing conditions over the north- central Gulf, even as both
    the front and the low pressure dissipate. Looking ahead, the
    Atlantic ridge will rebuild westward into the Gulf by Sat,
    supporting gentle to moderate SE breezes and moderate seas, except
    for fresh winds pulsing off the coast of Yucatan in the evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge is supporting fresh to strong trade winds
    across the central Caribbean, with near-gale conditions sampled in
    the Gulf of Venezuela a little while ago. Concurrent altimeter
    satellite data confirmed rough seas across the central Caribbean
    as well. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and 4-6 ft seas are noted
    elsewhere, except 3-5 ft seas in the northwest Caribbean.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the far
    southwest Caribbean off Panama this morning along the monsoon
    trough. Lingering Saharan dust over the eastern Caribbean is
    inhibiting any significant convection elsewhere, except a few
    showers may be active across the Leeward Islands.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
    shift east through late today, allowing fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean to
    diminish slightly, although fresh to strong winds may pulse off
    Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night through
    Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge may rebuild by Sun,
    supporting fresh winds and building seas across the central and
    northwest Caribbean by Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A 1011 mb low pressure area is moving northeast past Bermuda,
    with a stalling frontal boundary extending to the northern
    Bahamas. Fresh to strong SW winds, rough seas, and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms will persist into Wed southwest of
    Bermuda, north of 27N. A second 1013 mb low pressure area is
    moving from Cape Hatteras to Bermuda with a reinforcing front
    currently reaching from 31N73W to Cape Canaveral, Florida,
    followed by fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough seas.
    Farther east, the Atlantic is dominated by 1033 mb pressure
    southwest of the Azores near 34N32W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE winds and 6-9 ft seas south of the ridge from
    northwest Africa to the Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds
    and 5-6 ft elsewhere to include along the ridge axis.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts merge into one front
    from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas tonight. The merged front
    will stall from just east of Bermuda to the central Bahamas and
    South Florida by Thu night, then meander northward as it weakens
    through Sun.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 03 Jun 2026 08:29:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    540
    AXNT20 KNHC 030829
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jun 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0820 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning east of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1033
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and
    lower pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near
    gale- force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones.
    Gale- force winds are expected 03/1500 to at least 04/0000 UTC
    with severe gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar
    conditions will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer
    to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 26W, south of 13N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
    03N to 07N between 27W and 31W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44N, south of 14N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near this trough.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has been analyzed along 55W,
    south of 15N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection observed from 07N to 09N between 55W and 57W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
    southwestward to 03N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N25W to 00N35W to
    00N55W. Scattered moderate convection is active from 01S to 02N
    between 35W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft on the southeast side of a broad trough over the
    western Gulf is interacting with warmer sea surface temperatures
    to support numerous moderate to isolated strong thunderstorms
    across the far southeast Gulf, from off northeast Yucatan to off
    northwest Cuba. A few showers and thunderstorms are also active in
    the Big Bend area in the far northeast Gulf along a cold front
    from Slidell, Louisiana to Pine Island, Florida. A scatterometer
    satellite pass from around 03 UTC confirmed fresh NE to E winds
    following the front. Elsewhere, a 1016 mb high pressure area is
    centered near 27N85W. The pressure gradient between this high
    pressure and a trough near Yucatan is supporting fresh E winds
    north of Yucatan. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere.
    Combined seas are 2-4 ft across the basin.

    For the forecast, the cold front moving into the far northeast
    Gulf this morning will stall from southwest Florida to southeast
    Louisiana through Thu, then dissipate gradually by Sat. Expect
    fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas north of the
    front today and Thu. Meanwhile, a trough off the western coast of
    the Yucatan Peninsula will extend farther north into the central
    Gulf today, and weak low pressure may form over the central Gulf
    through Thu. The low pressure may dissipate as it moves northward
    into the Louisiana coast through Fri. Strong to near- gale force
    winds are possible on the northern end of the trough over the
    north- central Gulf starting tonight as the low pressure forms. By
    Fri, these winds and seas will eventually merge with and enhance
    the ongoing conditions over the north- central Gulf, even as both
    the front and the low pressure dissipate. Looking ahead, the
    Atlantic ridge will rebuild westward into the Gulf by Sat,
    supporting gentle to moderate SE breezes and moderate seas, except
    for fresh winds pulsing off the coast of Yucatan in the evening.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge is supporting fresh to strong trade winds
    across the central Caribbean, with near-gale conditions sampled in
    the Gulf of Venezuela a little while ago. Concurrent altimeter
    satellite data confirmed rough seas across the central Caribbean
    as well. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and 4-6 ft seas are noted
    elsewhere, except 3-5 ft seas in the northwest Caribbean.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the far
    southwest Caribbean off Panama this morning along the monsoon
    trough. Lingering Saharan dust over the eastern Caribbean is
    inhibiting any significant convection elsewhere, except a few
    showers may be active across the Leeward Islands.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
    shift east through late today, allowing fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean to
    diminish slightly, although fresh to strong winds may pulse off
    Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night through
    Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge may rebuild by Sun,
    supporting fresh winds and building seas across the central and
    northwest Caribbean by Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A 1011 mb low pressure area is moving northeast past Bermuda,
    with a stalling frontal boundary extending to the northern
    Bahamas. Fresh to strong SW winds, rough seas, and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms will persist into Wed southwest of
    Bermuda, north of 27N. A second 1013 mb low pressure area is
    moving from Cape Hatteras to Bermuda with a reinforcing front
    currently reaching from 31N73W to Cape Canaveral, Florida,
    followed by fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough seas.
    Farther east, the Atlantic is dominated by 1033 mb pressure
    southwest of the Azores near 34N32W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE winds and 6-9 ft seas south of the ridge from
    northwest Africa to the Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds
    and 5-6 ft elsewhere to include along the ridge axis.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts merge into one front
    from Bermuda to the northern Bahamas tonight. The merged front
    will stall from just east of Bermuda to the central Bahamas and
    South Florida by Thu night, then meander northward as it weakens
    through Sun.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 23:30:16 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 03 Jun 2026 16:40:12 GMT
  • Wed, 03 Jun 2026 11:30:16 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 031130
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 03 Jun 2026 12:59:43 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    829
    NOUS42 KNHC 031259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT WED 03 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-003

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page