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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 03:37:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 230337
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Oct 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Heavy Rainfall in the North Caribbean: A broad upper-level
trough extends from the United States into the NW Caribbean,
while deep moisture convergence is ongoing at lower levels in the
southern Caribbean. A broad plume of very moist air will interact
with the upper level trough in the NW Caribbean, sustaining
moisture into Hispaniola, Jamaica, Cuba, and the Bahamas over the
next several days. Low-level winds will also lead to moist onshore
flow entering along the southern coasts of east Cuba and Haiti,
where heavy precipitation is expected through Sunday. Expect the
heaviest precipitation to occur across all other aforementioned
areas on Sat and Sun. Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for
dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 07N12W
and extends to 07N18W. The ITCZ extends from 07N18W to 08N27W. It
resumes from 08N33W to 06N54W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 02N to 09N between 16W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern of the United States supports
moderate to fresh NE to E winds across the Gulf region. Slight to
moderate seas are noted.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and a low pressure forecast to develop near the Bahamas
will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over the
eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, Fri night through
early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper level trough over NW Caribbean supports scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms over the north-central
Caribbean and Windward Passage. A weak pressure gradient over the
area is generating moderate or weaker winds, and slight to
moderate seas, over the basin.
For the forecast, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
over the north-central Caribbean and Windward Passage will
prevail through Sat. Meanwhile, a broad trough over the central
and western Caribbean will support light winds and slight to
moderate seas west of 75W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E to
SE winds and moderate seas east of 75W. Fresh N to NE winds
across the western Caribbean with building seas west of 80W are
expected by early next week as high pressure builds north of the
area. Expect rough seas and large swell across the Yucatan Channel
Mon and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1011 mb low is centered to the northe of the area, with a
trough extending from the low to 24N53W. Scattered moderate
convection is in the vicinity of the trough. Fresh to strong
southerly winds, and moderate to rough seas are east of the trough
between 44W and 51W. Large northerly swell generated from Post-
Tropical Josephine north of the area is generating rough seas N of
25N and W of 65W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and
moderate seas prevail as surface ridging dominates the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell will continue
to propagate across the forecast region W of 65W and NE of the
Bahamas through Fri. A tightening pressure gradient will develop
beginning late Fri as high pressure builds southward over the
western Atlantic and low pressure deepens near the Bahamas along a
trough or developing frontal boundary. This setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 23 Oct 2026 03:37:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 230337
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Oct 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Heavy Rainfall in the North Caribbean: A broad upper-level
trough extends from the United States into the NW Caribbean,
while deep moisture convergence is ongoing at lower levels in the
southern Caribbean. A broad plume of very moist air will interact
with the upper level trough in the NW Caribbean, sustaining
moisture into Hispaniola, Jamaica, Cuba, and the Bahamas over the
next several days. Low-level winds will also lead to moist onshore
flow entering along the southern coasts of east Cuba and Haiti,
where heavy precipitation is expected through Sunday. Expect the
heaviest precipitation to occur across all other aforementioned
areas on Sat and Sun. Heavy rainfall will raise concerns for
dangerous and life-threatening flash flooding.
Please refer to your local weather services and the International
Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 07N12W
and extends to 07N18W. The ITCZ extends from 07N18W to 08N27W. It
resumes from 08N33W to 06N54W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 02N to 09N between 16W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the eastern of the United States supports
moderate to fresh NE to E winds across the Gulf region. Slight to
moderate seas are noted.
For the forecast, a tightening pressure gradient between the high
pressure and a low pressure forecast to develop near the Bahamas
will bring fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas over the
eastern Gulf, including the Florida Straits, Fri night through
early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper level trough over NW Caribbean supports scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms over the north-central
Caribbean and Windward Passage. A weak pressure gradient over the
area is generating moderate or weaker winds, and slight to
moderate seas, over the basin.
For the forecast, scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
over the north-central Caribbean and Windward Passage will
prevail through Sat. Meanwhile, a broad trough over the central
and western Caribbean will support light winds and slight to
moderate seas west of 75W through Sat, and moderate to fresh E to
SE winds and moderate seas east of 75W. Fresh N to NE winds
across the western Caribbean with building seas west of 80W are
expected by early next week as high pressure builds north of the
area. Expect rough seas and large swell across the Yucatan Channel
Mon and Tue. Little change is expected elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1011 mb low is centered to the northe of the area, with a
trough extending from the low to 24N53W. Scattered moderate
convection is in the vicinity of the trough. Fresh to strong
southerly winds, and moderate to rough seas are east of the trough
between 44W and 51W. Large northerly swell generated from Post-
Tropical Josephine north of the area is generating rough seas N of
25N and W of 65W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds, and
moderate seas prevail as surface ridging dominates the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, large northerly swell will continue
to propagate across the forecast region W of 65W and NE of the
Bahamas through Fri. A tightening pressure gradient will develop
beginning late Fri as high pressure builds southward over the
western Atlantic and low pressure deepens near the Bahamas along a
trough or developing frontal boundary. This setup is expected to
induce widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough to very
rough seas, with winds likely reaching gale-force over much of the
waters north of 27N and W of 60W Sat night through Sun night.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions, and take the necessary precautions to avoid the
affected areas.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 24 Oct 2026 17:35:30 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 23 Oct 2026 07:10:07 GMT - Fri, 23 Oct 2026 05:35:30 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 230535
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Subtropical Central Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles east of
Bermuda is producing a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Further development of this system is not expected as
it moves north-northeastward into increasingly unfavorable
environmental conditions during the next day or so.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 22 Oct 2026 14:05:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
317
NOUS42 KNHC 221405
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EDT THU 22 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-144
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf