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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:30:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011630
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    W Africa near 15N18W, and continues southwestward to 12N23W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to
    07N39W and to 12N59W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
    convection is seen from 06N to 14N and east of 33W. Scattered
    moderate convection from 07N to 14N between 33W and 61.5W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Fresh to strong east winds are over the NE Gulf along with seas
    of 4 to 6 ft. An upper-level trough is supporting scattered to
    numerous convection north of 24N and east of 88W. This activity
    is capable of producing strong gusty winds and heavy rainfall.
    Elsewhere, light to gentle NE winds prevail along seas 2 to 4 ft.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    over the SE U.S. and lower pressure over the deep tropics will
    maintain fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas through the NE Gulf
    through Mon night. A cold front will move into the NW Gulf Tue,
    then move slowly E across the basin through Thu night, as high
    pressure builds in behind it.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the U.S. and
    the western Atlantic, and lower pressure over Colombia supports
    fresh trades along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in the south- central
    Caribbean offshore Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and seas
    of 4 to 6 ft are across the remainder of the central and eastern
    Caribbean. The eastern end of the Pacific monsoon trough is
    supporting a cluster of moderate convection south of 13N and west
    79W.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades along with moderate
    seas over the central and eastern Caribbean will continue through
    Mon, with locally strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia.
    The pressure gradient will relax starting Mon night as broad low
    pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall weaker winds
    and diminishing seas through Thu.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near 31N48W southwestward to 24N70W,
    and continues as a trough to 26N82W. Numerous convection is found
    along and north of the trough from 24N to 29N and west of 73.
    Elsewhere along the cold front, scattered moderate convection is
    noted. A secondary cold front extends from 31N58.5W to 30N69W. No
    significant convection is presently occurring with this front.
    Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas of 7 to 9
    ft are northwest of the first front, north of 24N west of 60W.
    Farther east, low pressure of 1012 mb is north of the area west
    of Madeira near 34N24W, with a cold front extending from it to
    31N18W and to near 23.5N25W. An area of scattered moderate
    convection is east of this front to the along and inland the coast
    of Africa north of 25N. Gentle to moderate north winds and seas
    of 7 to 10 ft in north swell are behind the front north of 23N
    between 18W and 32W. Gentle to moderate winds and seas of 4 to 6
    ft are elsewhere across the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts will move SE today and
    weaken as high pressure builds southward behind it across the
    western Atlantic. Widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and
    rough seas develop behind the front Mon N of 26N and W of 60W as
    the cold front stalls and the pressure gradient tightens. These
    conditions will prevail through Tue night, when the front will
    dissipate. The high pressure in the western Atlantic will slide
    east Wed into Thu, allowing the next cold front to move offshore
    Florida late Thu night.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 01 Nov 2026 16:30:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011630
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    W Africa near 15N18W, and continues southwestward to 12N23W,
    where it transitions to the ITCZ. The ITCZ then continues to
    07N39W and to 12N59W. Numerous moderate to isolated strong
    convection is seen from 06N to 14N and east of 33W. Scattered
    moderate convection from 07N to 14N between 33W and 61.5W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Fresh to strong east winds are over the NE Gulf along with seas
    of 4 to 6 ft. An upper-level trough is supporting scattered to
    numerous convection north of 24N and east of 88W. This activity
    is capable of producing strong gusty winds and heavy rainfall.
    Elsewhere, light to gentle NE winds prevail along seas 2 to 4 ft.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    over the SE U.S. and lower pressure over the deep tropics will
    maintain fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas through the NE Gulf
    through Mon night. A cold front will move into the NW Gulf Tue,
    then move slowly E across the basin through Thu night, as high
    pressure builds in behind it.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between higher pressure over the U.S. and
    the western Atlantic, and lower pressure over Colombia supports
    fresh trades along with seas of 5 to 7 ft in the south- central
    Caribbean offshore Colombia. Moderate to fresh trades and seas
    of 4 to 6 ft are across the remainder of the central and eastern
    Caribbean. The eastern end of the Pacific monsoon trough is
    supporting a cluster of moderate convection south of 13N and west
    79W.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades along with moderate
    seas over the central and eastern Caribbean will continue through
    Mon, with locally strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia.
    The pressure gradient will relax starting Mon night as broad low
    pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall weaker winds
    and diminishing seas through Thu.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near 31N48W southwestward to 24N70W,
    and continues as a trough to 26N82W. Numerous convection is found
    along and north of the trough from 24N to 29N and west of 73.
    Elsewhere along the cold front, scattered moderate convection is
    noted. A secondary cold front extends from 31N58.5W to 30N69W. No
    significant convection is presently occurring with this front.
    Fresh to strong northeast to east winds along with seas of 7 to 9
    ft are northwest of the first front, north of 24N west of 60W.
    Farther east, low pressure of 1012 mb is north of the area west
    of Madeira near 34N24W, with a cold front extending from it to
    31N18W and to near 23.5N25W. An area of scattered moderate
    convection is east of this front to the along and inland the coast
    of Africa north of 25N. Gentle to moderate north winds and seas
    of 7 to 10 ft in north swell are behind the front north of 23N
    between 18W and 32W. Gentle to moderate winds and seas of 4 to 6
    ft are elsewhere across the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the fronts will move SE today and
    weaken as high pressure builds southward behind it across the
    western Atlantic. Widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and
    rough seas develop behind the front Mon N of 26N and W of 60W as
    the cold front stalls and the pressure gradient tightens. These
    conditions will prevail through Tue night, when the front will
    dissipate. The high pressure in the western Atlantic will slide
    east Wed into Thu, allowing the next cold front to move offshore
    Florida late Thu night.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 03 Nov 2026 05:05:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 01 Nov 2026 18:01:17 GMT
  • Sun, 01 Nov 2026 17:05:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 011705
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Sun Nov 1 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 01 Nov 2026 15:53:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 011552
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1100 AM EST SUN 01 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-154

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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