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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 17:01:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
383
AXNT20 KNHC 271701
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Jun 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: At 1341 UTC, a scatterometer pass
indicated strong to near-gale-force winds occurring in the
south-central Caribbean offshore northern Colombia. Frequent gusts
to gale-force can be anticipated at times this afternoon. A tight
pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and relatively
low pressure over Colombia will lead to the trade winds offshore
of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela peaking at gale-force
again tonight into Sun morning. These winds are forecast to
produce seas in the range of 12 to 15 ft north of Colombia. Please
refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the
National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 10N35W to
01N40W, and is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is largely W of the wave, south of
10N between 37W and 47W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 20N50W to 07N58W,
and is moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed south of 15N between 52W and 62W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 88W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is enhancing shower
activity in Central America and along the eastern Pacific coast.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N24W to 08N34W and then from 03N40W to
02N51W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
occurring east of 20W between 04N and 14N.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue to affect
the Bay of Campeche as a tropical wave passes by to the south.
Ridging extending over the eastern Gulf waters supports moderate
to locally fresh SE-S winds and seas of 3-5 ft west of 90W.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge will persist over the Gulf region
through the forecast period. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds
will generally prevail across the basin during this time, except
for fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the
northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Wed, and moderate
to locally fresh SE to S winds across the northwestern Gulf
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will
sink southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night into Tue and
gradually dissipate.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning off
Colombia.
Outside of the Gale Warning area, the subtropical ridge over the
central Atlantic is forcing fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and moderate to rough seas over much of the central Caribbean and
the Gulf of Honduras, as well as the Windward Passage. Moderate to
fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are occurring in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge north of the islands combined with the
Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough
to locally very rough seas in the central Caribbean through the
forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force offshore of
Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela during the nighttime and
early morning hours today and tonight. Elsewhere, pulsing fresh to
strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Fresh to strong NE winds and
moderate to locally rough seas will briefly affect the Windward
Passage late this afternoon into early Sun. Moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast across the
remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A couple of surface troughs located along 65W and 58W are
producing scattered showers north of 22N and between 55W and 65W.
Upper level jet dynamics, along with a tropical wave passing to
the south, are supporting scattered moderate convection from 21N
to 27N between 45W and 49W. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also noted in the convergent surface winds off
SE Florida and the NW Bahamas. The tropical Atlantic is dominated
by a broad subtropical ridge that supports moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a persistent subtropical ridge will
dominate the forecast area through the weekend. Fresh to strong
easterly winds, with locally rough seas are expected offshore
Hispaniola expected this afternoon and tonight. A nearly north-to-
south aligned surface trough located near 65W will shift westward
across the region through Sun, reaching near 70W by Sun morning
while dissipating. This will weaken the ridge and lead to
diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will sink
southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night and
gradually dissipate.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 17:01:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
383
AXNT20 KNHC 271701
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Jun 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1800 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: At 1341 UTC, a scatterometer pass
indicated strong to near-gale-force winds occurring in the
south-central Caribbean offshore northern Colombia. Frequent gusts
to gale-force can be anticipated at times this afternoon. A tight
pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and relatively
low pressure over Colombia will lead to the trade winds offshore
of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela peaking at gale-force
again tonight into Sun morning. These winds are forecast to
produce seas in the range of 12 to 15 ft north of Colombia. Please
refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the
National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 10N35W to
01N40W, and is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is largely W of the wave, south of
10N between 37W and 47W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 20N50W to 07N58W,
and is moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed south of 15N between 52W and 62W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 88W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is enhancing shower
activity in Central America and along the eastern Pacific coast.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N24W to 08N34W and then from 03N40W to
02N51W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
occurring east of 20W between 04N and 14N.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms continue to affect
the Bay of Campeche as a tropical wave passes by to the south.
Ridging extending over the eastern Gulf waters supports moderate
to locally fresh SE-S winds and seas of 3-5 ft west of 90W.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge will persist over the Gulf region
through the forecast period. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds
will generally prevail across the basin during this time, except
for fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the
northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Wed, and moderate
to locally fresh SE to S winds across the northwestern Gulf
through Sun night. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will
sink southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night into Tue and
gradually dissipate.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning off
Colombia.
Outside of the Gale Warning area, the subtropical ridge over the
central Atlantic is forcing fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and moderate to rough seas over much of the central Caribbean and
the Gulf of Honduras, as well as the Windward Passage. Moderate to
fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are occurring in the
eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge north of the islands combined with the
Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough
to locally very rough seas in the central Caribbean through the
forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force offshore of
Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela during the nighttime and
early morning hours today and tonight. Elsewhere, pulsing fresh to
strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Fresh to strong NE winds and
moderate to locally rough seas will briefly affect the Windward
Passage late this afternoon into early Sun. Moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast across the
remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A couple of surface troughs located along 65W and 58W are
producing scattered showers north of 22N and between 55W and 65W.
Upper level jet dynamics, along with a tropical wave passing to
the south, are supporting scattered moderate convection from 21N
to 27N between 45W and 49W. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are also noted in the convergent surface winds off
SE Florida and the NW Bahamas. The tropical Atlantic is dominated
by a broad subtropical ridge that supports moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a persistent subtropical ridge will
dominate the forecast area through the weekend. Fresh to strong
easterly winds, with locally rough seas are expected offshore
Hispaniola expected this afternoon and tonight. A nearly north-to-
south aligned surface trough located near 65W will shift westward
across the region through Sun, reaching near 70W by Sun morning
while dissipating. This will weaken the ridge and lead to
diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will sink
southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night and
gradually dissipate.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 28 Jun 2026 23:44:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 27 Jun 2026 17:01:34 GMT - Sat, 27 Jun 2026 11:44:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 271144
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off of the southeastern coast of the U. S.:
A low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the southeastern
coast of the United States along the western end of a frontal
system early next week. Slow development of this system will be
possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 12:53:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 271253
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 27 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-027
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf