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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 15 Sep 2026 04:02:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    088
    AXNT20 KNHC 150402
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Sep 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave axis is along 54W, S of 20N, moving west at 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is depicted
    from 12N to 17.5N between 50W and 56W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 10.5N14.5W and continues to 11N21W to 07.5N43W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N44W to 11N54W. Numerous strong convection is from
    06N to 14N E of 18W to the coast of Africa. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06.5N to 13N between 18W and 28W, and
    from 06.5N to 12.5N between 28W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Widely scattered showers prevail across the basin from 23N to 28N,
    supported by a weakening middle to upper-level trough from the
    Yucatan Channel to SE Texas. Evening convection across much of
    interior Florida continues to shift southwestward and weaken as it
    reaches the western coastal waters of Florida. At the surface, a
    1017 mb high pressure center is just offshore SE Louisiana, and
    dominates the Gulf waters with anticyclonic flow. Recent
    scatterometer data shows light to gentle winds across the basin E
    of 92W, while fresh to locally strong NE winds prevail wihtin 120
    nm of the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and over the eastern Bay
    of Campeche, and moderate SE winds are W of 95W. Seas are
    generally 3 ft or less, except 3-5 ft near the Yucatan Peninsula,
    and 3 to locally 4 ft W of 95W.

    For the forecast, a weak ridge centered over the noreth-central
    Gulf will persist into Tue supporting relatively tranquil marine
    conditions across much of the basin. The exception will be the Bay
    of Campeche, where a diurnal trough will move westward offshore
    the Yucatan Peninsula each evening through late this week,
    bringing nightly pulses of fresh to locally strong NE winds.
    Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building southward from
    the eastern United States, behind a weakening frontal boundary,
    will lead to increasing NE to E winds over the basin, with
    increasing winds reaching fresh to locally strong speeds, and seas
    building to rough over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night.
    Conditions will improve Fri through Sat.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A persistent middle to upper-level low pressure system prevails
    across the Greater Antilles tonight, and is supporting scattered
    moderate convection between Haiti and 80W, and scattered light to
    moderate convection across the eastern Caribbean. At the surface,
    weak high pressure is centered just northeast of the NW Bahamas,
    and extends a ridge to 60W. The pressure gradient between this
    ridge and lower pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh to
    strong with locally near gale-force easterly trade winds across
    much of the central Caribbean between 68W and 78W, as well as the
    Windward Passage. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across this area. Elsewhere,
    moderate to fresh trades prevail elsewhere, except light winds
    across far NW portions. Scattered to locally numerous heavy
    showers and thunderstorms are ongoing over the SW Caribbean
    between Colombia and NE Nicaragua, along the eastern extension of
    the E Pacific monsoon through.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge located north of the Greater Antilles and lower pressures
    in Colombia will support fresh to locally near gale-force easterly
    trade winds and moderate to rough seas across much of the central
    Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere through the
    workweek. Expect moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
    seas across NW portions, except for moderate to fresh winds mainly
    in the evenings near the Windward Passage and Lee of Cuba through
    midweek. Winds may diminish across the basin by the end of the
    week into the upcoming weekend as the pressures gradient relaxes.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad ridge dominates much of the Atlantic basin N of 10N and E
    of 60W, producing moderate to fresh easterly winds between 30W
    and 60W, except for fresh winds and scattered moderate convection
    near the tropical wave along 54W. A deep layered upper cyclone is
    interacting with a surface trough from 31N53W to 24N50W, producing
    scattered moderate isolated strong convection from 27N to 31N
    between 44W and 53W. Fresh SE winds and seas of 5 to 6 ft are
    occurring across NE portions of this trough. Environmental
    conditions near this system are forecast to become more conducive
    for development by the middle of this week. A tropical depression
    could form late this week as the system moves slowly west-
    northwestward over the subtropical Atlantic. There is a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone development within the next seven days.
    To the W of 60W, a 1018 mb high center is analyzed near 28N74W,
    and extends a weak ridge to 60W. The pressure gradient to the S of
    this ridge is promoting moderate to fresh trades S of 23N and
    through the Bahamas, with strongest winds off Hispaniola and in
    the Windward Passage. Elsewhere W of 30W, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas prevail over the central and eastern
    subtropical waters. Broad low pressure along the NW coast of
    Africa in recent days has weakened and drifted westward over the
    Atlantic waters between NW Africa and 35W, where gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds generally prevail N of 10N, with seas of 4
    to 6 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a broad and weak subtropical ridge
    dominates much of the basin, forcing fresh E winds off Hispaniola
    and in the Windward Passage. On Tue, strong high pressure building
    southward through the eastern United States will bring a cold
    front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to locally
    strong behind the front, and producing building seas to rough N
    of the Bahamas and W of 70W through early Thu. Conditions will
    improve later Thu into Fri. During the middle to later portion of
    the week, a trough of low pressure is forecast to move west-
    northwestward into the NE portion of the waters, bringing
    thunderstorms while also weakening the high and pressure gradient.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 15 Sep 2026 04:02:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    088
    AXNT20 KNHC 150402
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Sep 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0330 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave axis is along 54W, S of 20N, moving west at 10 to
    15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is depicted
    from 12N to 17.5N between 50W and 56W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 10.5N14.5W and continues to 11N21W to 07.5N43W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N44W to 11N54W. Numerous strong convection is from
    06N to 14N E of 18W to the coast of Africa. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 06.5N to 13N between 18W and 28W, and
    from 06.5N to 12.5N between 28W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Widely scattered showers prevail across the basin from 23N to 28N,
    supported by a weakening middle to upper-level trough from the
    Yucatan Channel to SE Texas. Evening convection across much of
    interior Florida continues to shift southwestward and weaken as it
    reaches the western coastal waters of Florida. At the surface, a
    1017 mb high pressure center is just offshore SE Louisiana, and
    dominates the Gulf waters with anticyclonic flow. Recent
    scatterometer data shows light to gentle winds across the basin E
    of 92W, while fresh to locally strong NE winds prevail wihtin 120
    nm of the coast of the Yucatan Peninsula and over the eastern Bay
    of Campeche, and moderate SE winds are W of 95W. Seas are
    generally 3 ft or less, except 3-5 ft near the Yucatan Peninsula,
    and 3 to locally 4 ft W of 95W.

    For the forecast, a weak ridge centered over the noreth-central
    Gulf will persist into Tue supporting relatively tranquil marine
    conditions across much of the basin. The exception will be the Bay
    of Campeche, where a diurnal trough will move westward offshore
    the Yucatan Peninsula each evening through late this week,
    bringing nightly pulses of fresh to locally strong NE winds.
    Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building southward from
    the eastern United States, behind a weakening frontal boundary,
    will lead to increasing NE to E winds over the basin, with
    increasing winds reaching fresh to locally strong speeds, and seas
    building to rough over the northern Gulf Wed through Thu night.
    Conditions will improve Fri through Sat.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A persistent middle to upper-level low pressure system prevails
    across the Greater Antilles tonight, and is supporting scattered
    moderate convection between Haiti and 80W, and scattered light to
    moderate convection across the eastern Caribbean. At the surface,
    weak high pressure is centered just northeast of the NW Bahamas,
    and extends a ridge to 60W. The pressure gradient between this
    ridge and lower pressures in Colombia combine to sustain fresh to
    strong with locally near gale-force easterly trade winds across
    much of the central Caribbean between 68W and 78W, as well as the
    Windward Passage. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across this area. Elsewhere,
    moderate to fresh trades prevail elsewhere, except light winds
    across far NW portions. Scattered to locally numerous heavy
    showers and thunderstorms are ongoing over the SW Caribbean
    between Colombia and NE Nicaragua, along the eastern extension of
    the E Pacific monsoon through.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge located north of the Greater Antilles and lower pressures
    in Colombia will support fresh to locally near gale-force easterly
    trade winds and moderate to rough seas across much of the central
    Caribbean, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere through the
    workweek. Expect moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
    seas across NW portions, except for moderate to fresh winds mainly
    in the evenings near the Windward Passage and Lee of Cuba through
    midweek. Winds may diminish across the basin by the end of the
    week into the upcoming weekend as the pressures gradient relaxes.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad ridge dominates much of the Atlantic basin N of 10N and E
    of 60W, producing moderate to fresh easterly winds between 30W
    and 60W, except for fresh winds and scattered moderate convection
    near the tropical wave along 54W. A deep layered upper cyclone is
    interacting with a surface trough from 31N53W to 24N50W, producing
    scattered moderate isolated strong convection from 27N to 31N
    between 44W and 53W. Fresh SE winds and seas of 5 to 6 ft are
    occurring across NE portions of this trough. Environmental
    conditions near this system are forecast to become more conducive
    for development by the middle of this week. A tropical depression
    could form late this week as the system moves slowly west-
    northwestward over the subtropical Atlantic. There is a medium
    chance of tropical cyclone development within the next seven days.
    To the W of 60W, a 1018 mb high center is analyzed near 28N74W,
    and extends a weak ridge to 60W. The pressure gradient to the S of
    this ridge is promoting moderate to fresh trades S of 23N and
    through the Bahamas, with strongest winds off Hispaniola and in
    the Windward Passage. Elsewhere W of 30W, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas prevail over the central and eastern
    subtropical waters. Broad low pressure along the NW coast of
    Africa in recent days has weakened and drifted westward over the
    Atlantic waters between NW Africa and 35W, where gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds generally prevail N of 10N, with seas of 4
    to 6 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a broad and weak subtropical ridge
    dominates much of the basin, forcing fresh E winds off Hispaniola
    and in the Windward Passage. On Tue, strong high pressure building
    southward through the eastern United States will bring a cold
    front into the NW waters, increasing NE winds to fresh to locally
    strong behind the front, and producing building seas to rough N
    of the Bahamas and W of 70W through early Thu. Conditions will
    improve later Thu into Fri. During the middle to later portion of
    the week, a trough of low pressure is forecast to move west-
    northwestward into the NE portion of the waters, bringing
    thunderstorms while also weakening the high and pressure gradient.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 16 Sep 2026 17:37:08 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 15 Sep 2026 06:01:26 GMT
  • Tue, 15 Sep 2026 05:37:08 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    324
    ABNT20 KNHC 150537
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure located well east-southeast of Bermuda
    continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for
    development in a few days, and a tropical depression could form late
    this week as the system moves slowly west-northwestward over the
    subtropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 14 Sep 2026 13:38:43 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 141328
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0930 AM EDT MON 14 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-106

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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