2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 18:18:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    553
    AXNT20 KNHC 011818
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jan 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Residual NW swell will
    maintain seas near 12 ft at the central Atlantic north of 30N
    between 53W and 58W today. These seas will subside below 12 ft
    by early this evening.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough remains mostly over the African Continent. An
    ITCZ extends westward from just southwest of Liberia across
    05N25W to 06N45W. Scattered to numerous moderate with isolated
    strong convection is observed near the ITCZ from 04N to 07N
    between 10W and 18W. Scattered moderate convection is seen farther
    west from 04N to 07N between 16W and 36W.

    The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean
    waters near Panama.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the western Bay
    of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1022 mb high near the central Gulf
    continues to dominate much of the Gulf with gentle to moderate
    anti-cylconic winds and 1 to 3 ft seas.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
    prevail over the basin through Fri morning as high pressure builds
    over the central Gulf of America. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
    winds and moderate seas will develop over the northern Gulf on
    Fri as a warm front, associated with a low pressure system moving
    through the southern U.S., lifts northward. A cold front trailing
    the low is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sat, leading to
    moderate N winds behind the front. High pressure will build over
    the basin in the wake of the front Sun into next week

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough is producing scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms at the north-central basin. Convergent trades are
    triggering scattered showers at the Gulf of Honduras and near
    Jamaica. Moderate to fresh NNE to E trades and seas of 5 to 8 ft
    are present at the south-central and west-central basin. Gentle to
    moderate with locally fresh NNE to E to ESE trades and 3 to 5 ft
    seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the
    Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and western basin, including
    the Windward Passage, through Fri as high pressure builds over
    the Gulf of America to the north. Elsewhere, fresh to locally
    strong trade winds are expected in the south-central basin through
    Sat as low pressure anchors over northern Colombia. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are then expected over much of the
    basin for Sun..

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section at the beginning on rough to
    very rough seas at the central Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic across
    31N55W to 26N64W, then continues as a stationary front to
    northeast of the southeast Bahamas at 23N69W. Widely scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring near and up to
    110 nm southeast of this boundary. Convergent southerly winds
    farther east are generating similar convection north of 22N
    between 54W and 59W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
    additional convection in the Atlantic basin.

    Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are present
    east of Florida, north of 27N between 64W and the northeastern
    Florida coast. Fresh with locally strong S to SW winds and seas at
    8 to 12 ft in residual NW swell exist north of 27N between 48W and
    58W. Otherwise, moderate to gentle N to E to SE winds and 4 to 6
    ft seas are noted north of 20N between 35W and the
    Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the tropical Atlantic from 06N
    to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate with locally
    fresh NE to SSE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft in moderate to large N
    swell exist. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W,
    gentle SE to S winds with seas at 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate
    swell exist.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    progress eastward today, and moderate to fresh SW winds are
    expected east of the front, north of 27N, through this evening.
    Rough seas associated with this front, north of 26N and east of
    62W, will slowly subside from west to east into early Fri. Locally
    very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible north of 30N and east
    of 58W through this afternoon. Elsewhere, fresh to strong W winds
    and locally rough seas occurring offshore of northern Florida
    will expand eastward today as a cold front passing north of the
    waters moves eastward. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SW winds and
    rough seas are expected to develop offshore of northern and
    central Florida on Sat, ahead of a cold front moving through the
    southeastern U.S. The front is forecast to enter the northwestern
    tropical Atlantic later this weekend, supporting fresh to strong N
    winds and locally rough seas behind the front. These winds and
    seas will expand southeastward into early next week.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 18:18:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    553
    AXNT20 KNHC 011818
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Jan 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Residual NW swell will
    maintain seas near 12 ft at the central Atlantic north of 30N
    between 53W and 58W today. These seas will subside below 12 ft
    by early this evening.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough remains mostly over the African Continent. An
    ITCZ extends westward from just southwest of Liberia across
    05N25W to 06N45W. Scattered to numerous moderate with isolated
    strong convection is observed near the ITCZ from 04N to 07N
    between 10W and 18W. Scattered moderate convection is seen farther
    west from 04N to 07N between 16W and 36W.

    The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean
    waters near Panama.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the western Bay
    of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1022 mb high near the central Gulf
    continues to dominate much of the Gulf with gentle to moderate
    anti-cylconic winds and 1 to 3 ft seas.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
    prevail over the basin through Fri morning as high pressure builds
    over the central Gulf of America. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
    winds and moderate seas will develop over the northern Gulf on
    Fri as a warm front, associated with a low pressure system moving
    through the southern U.S., lifts northward. A cold front trailing
    the low is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sat, leading to
    moderate N winds behind the front. High pressure will build over
    the basin in the wake of the front Sun into next week

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough is producing scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms at the north-central basin. Convergent trades are
    triggering scattered showers at the Gulf of Honduras and near
    Jamaica. Moderate to fresh NNE to E trades and seas of 5 to 8 ft
    are present at the south-central and west-central basin. Gentle to
    moderate with locally fresh NNE to E to ESE trades and 3 to 5 ft
    seas prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the
    Windward Passage.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and western basin, including
    the Windward Passage, through Fri as high pressure builds over
    the Gulf of America to the north. Elsewhere, fresh to locally
    strong trade winds are expected in the south-central basin through
    Sat as low pressure anchors over northern Colombia. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas are then expected over much of the
    basin for Sun..

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section at the beginning on rough to
    very rough seas at the central Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic across
    31N55W to 26N64W, then continues as a stationary front to
    northeast of the southeast Bahamas at 23N69W. Widely scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring near and up to
    110 nm southeast of this boundary. Convergent southerly winds
    farther east are generating similar convection north of 22N
    between 54W and 59W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
    additional convection in the Atlantic basin.

    Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are present
    east of Florida, north of 27N between 64W and the northeastern
    Florida coast. Fresh with locally strong S to SW winds and seas at
    8 to 12 ft in residual NW swell exist north of 27N between 48W and
    58W. Otherwise, moderate to gentle N to E to SE winds and 4 to 6
    ft seas are noted north of 20N between 35W and the
    Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the tropical Atlantic from 06N
    to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate with locally
    fresh NE to SSE winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft in moderate to large N
    swell exist. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W,
    gentle SE to S winds with seas at 4 to 6 ft in mixed moderate
    swell exist.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    progress eastward today, and moderate to fresh SW winds are
    expected east of the front, north of 27N, through this evening.
    Rough seas associated with this front, north of 26N and east of
    62W, will slowly subside from west to east into early Fri. Locally
    very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible north of 30N and east
    of 58W through this afternoon. Elsewhere, fresh to strong W winds
    and locally rough seas occurring offshore of northern Florida
    will expand eastward today as a cold front passing north of the
    waters moves eastward. Looking ahead, fresh to strong SW winds and
    rough seas are expected to develop offshore of northern and
    central Florida on Sat, ahead of a cold front moving through the
    southeastern U.S. The front is forecast to enter the northwestern
    tropical Atlantic later this weekend, supporting fresh to strong N
    winds and locally rough seas behind the front. These winds and
    seas will expand southeastward into early next week.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 15:06:03 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 011505
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1005 AM EST THU 01 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-032

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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