2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 04:31:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    030
    AXNT20 KNHC 010431
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Jan 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0425 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front enters the far NE
    Atlantic waters near 31N19W and continues southwestward to 20N38W,
    followed by a shear line to 19N60W. Another cold front enters the
    basin near 31N23W to 29N30W and to 31N37W. Scattered showers are
    seen north of 28N and between 15W and 30W. A scatterometer
    satellite pass from a few hours ago indicate that fresh to strong
    cyclonic winds are occurring north of 25N and between the Canary
    Islands and 37W. Large N swell generated from the gale force low
    N of the area is producing very rough seas greater than 12 ft over
    the forecast waters north of 27N between 19W and 37W. These very
    rough seas will shift eastward while gradually subsiding through
    late week. Rough seas greater than 8 ft cover the waters N of 10N
    between 15W and 45W.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues to 07N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 07N20W to 03N35W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed from 02N to 07N and between 23W and 33W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate or
    weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. No significant
    convection is noted across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure is building across the Gulf waters.
    Moderate or weaker winds are expected through Thu. Fresh west to
    southwest winds will develop over the northern Gulf by late week
    ahead of a low pressure system that will move across the southern
    United States. A cold front will extend from the low across the
    forecast waters, reaching the eastern Gulf on Sun while weakening,
    then move to south of the area Sun night. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms may accompany the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A cold front extends from far eastern Cuba to NE Honduras. Moderate
    to fresh northerly winds and moderate seas are occurring behind
    the front in the NW Caribbean. A surface trough along 72W and
    divergence aloft result in scattered showers affecting Hispaniola,
    Puerto Rico and the north-central Caribbean waters. A few showers
    are also found north of Panama. A recent scatterometer satellite
    pass captured moderate to locally strong easterly winds in the
    south-central and SE Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-7 ft.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trade winds will pulse in
    the south-central Caribbean tonight. A cold front from eastern
    Cuba to eastern Honduras will become stationary from Hispaniola
    to near 15N80W by late on Thu, then weaken and dissipate on Fri.
    Fresh north winds behind the front will diminish north to south
    Fri through Sat. Rough seas in north swell over the Atlantic will
    subside by Thu evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section above for information on
    significant swell causing very rough seas in portions of the
    east-central Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from 31N61W to the SE Bahamas and eastern
    Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is along and within 60 nm E
    of the front. Fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas are found
    ahead of the front north of 28N and west of 51W. The remainder of
    the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a
    broad subtropical ridge. Moderate to locally fresh westerly winds
    and moderate seas are found off NE Florida. Meanwhile, moderate
    to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 7-9 ft are
    present south of 20N and west of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front in the SW N
    Atlantic will weaken as it moves across the eastern offshore
    waters Thu, and while its southern portion becomes stationary.
    Fresh to locally strong southwest winds and rough seas will
    prevail ahead of the front, generally north of 26N, through
    tonight. Fresh to locally strong west winds and rough seas may
    develop off the coast of northern Florida on Thu as a cold front
    passes north of the waters. Weak high pressure will build over the
    western tropical Atlantic allowing for moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas over the rest of the waters for late week.
    Another front will move across the basin starting late on Sat,
    reaching the eastern offshore waters Mon and and Mon night while
    weakening. Fresh to strong winds and building seas are expected
    ahead and behind this front.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 04:31:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    030
    AXNT20 KNHC 010431
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Jan 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0425 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front enters the far NE
    Atlantic waters near 31N19W and continues southwestward to 20N38W,
    followed by a shear line to 19N60W. Another cold front enters the
    basin near 31N23W to 29N30W and to 31N37W. Scattered showers are
    seen north of 28N and between 15W and 30W. A scatterometer
    satellite pass from a few hours ago indicate that fresh to strong
    cyclonic winds are occurring north of 25N and between the Canary
    Islands and 37W. Large N swell generated from the gale force low
    N of the area is producing very rough seas greater than 12 ft over
    the forecast waters north of 27N between 19W and 37W. These very
    rough seas will shift eastward while gradually subsiding through
    late week. Rough seas greater than 8 ft cover the waters N of 10N
    between 15W and 45W.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues to 07N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 07N20W to 03N35W to 02N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed from 02N to 07N and between 23W and 33W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate or
    weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. No significant
    convection is noted across the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure is building across the Gulf waters.
    Moderate or weaker winds are expected through Thu. Fresh west to
    southwest winds will develop over the northern Gulf by late week
    ahead of a low pressure system that will move across the southern
    United States. A cold front will extend from the low across the
    forecast waters, reaching the eastern Gulf on Sun while weakening,
    then move to south of the area Sun night. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms may accompany the front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A cold front extends from far eastern Cuba to NE Honduras. Moderate
    to fresh northerly winds and moderate seas are occurring behind
    the front in the NW Caribbean. A surface trough along 72W and
    divergence aloft result in scattered showers affecting Hispaniola,
    Puerto Rico and the north-central Caribbean waters. A few showers
    are also found north of Panama. A recent scatterometer satellite
    pass captured moderate to locally strong easterly winds in the
    south-central and SE Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-7 ft.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trade winds will pulse in
    the south-central Caribbean tonight. A cold front from eastern
    Cuba to eastern Honduras will become stationary from Hispaniola
    to near 15N80W by late on Thu, then weaken and dissipate on Fri.
    Fresh north winds behind the front will diminish north to south
    Fri through Sat. Rough seas in north swell over the Atlantic will
    subside by Thu evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section above for information on
    significant swell causing very rough seas in portions of the
    east-central Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from 31N61W to the SE Bahamas and eastern
    Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is along and within 60 nm E
    of the front. Fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas are found
    ahead of the front north of 28N and west of 51W. The remainder of
    the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a
    broad subtropical ridge. Moderate to locally fresh westerly winds
    and moderate seas are found off NE Florida. Meanwhile, moderate
    to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 7-9 ft are
    present south of 20N and west of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front in the SW N
    Atlantic will weaken as it moves across the eastern offshore
    waters Thu, and while its southern portion becomes stationary.
    Fresh to locally strong southwest winds and rough seas will
    prevail ahead of the front, generally north of 26N, through
    tonight. Fresh to locally strong west winds and rough seas may
    develop off the coast of northern Florida on Thu as a cold front
    passes north of the waters. Weak high pressure will build over the
    western tropical Atlantic allowing for moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas over the rest of the waters for late week.
    Another front will move across the basin starting late on Sat,
    reaching the eastern offshore waters Mon and and Mon night while
    weakening. Fresh to strong winds and building seas are expected
    ahead and behind this front.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 31 Dec 2025 14:36:08 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311436
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0935 AM EST WED 31 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-031

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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