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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 21:29:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
262
AXNT20 KNHC 112121
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): Disorganized showers and
thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are occurring around
550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development
during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression will
likely form during the latter half of this week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone
development in the next 48 hours.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 32W from 02N to 19N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N
to 14N between 30W and 40W. Please read the Special Features
section above for more information about this wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 53.5W from 02N to 18N, moving
west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N
to 12N between 53W and 57W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 65W S of 23N, moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Showers and thunderstorms are noted over portions of
Puerto Rico.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 85W S of 21N, moving west at
15 kt. A cluster of moderate to strong convection is noted from
14N to 20N between 83W and 88W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W and continues
southwestward to 1012 mb low pres near 11N32.5W to 11N52W. Aside
from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
scattered to numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is
noted from 08N to 13N and east of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1021
mb high in the NE Gulf. Light winds and slight seas are in the
vicinity of the high. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
locally moderate seas, prevail over the remainder of the Gulf
waters.
For the forecast, high pressure will be in control of the general
wind flow pattern across the basin through the period allowing
for mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds to prevail across the
basin, with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north
and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche
each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure north of the area and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
central Caribbean. Rough seas cover these waters. Gentle to
moderate winds, and moderate seas, prevail over the remainder of
the Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades are over the central
Caribbean due to the pressure gradient between high pressure
ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
South America. The ridge will gradually shift southward to near
26N by Thu allowing for the trades to significantly expand in
coverage to cover the eastern portion of the basin into early Sat.
A strong tropical wave, or low pressure is expected to cross the
Lesser Antilles eastern late Sat night and move across the eastern
Caribbean through Sun night. Winds are expected to reach near-
gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each
night, except Wed night. There is some potential for winds to
reach gale force offshore Colombia Fri night. Winds will pulse up
to fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the
Windward Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate
to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 27N52W. Light to gentle winds
generally prevail over the waters N of 23N and west of 30W, with
slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S
of 23N and west of 30W, with moderate seas. Fresh to strong N to
NE winds, and moderate seas, cover the remaining discussion
waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging along 28N
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu and change
little into the weekend. The gradient will tighten over the
southern portion leading to an increase of the trades from the
Bahamas eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in
the approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing
to strong speeds each night. Of note, disorganized showers and
thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are present well
east of the forecast waters over the far eastern Atlantic.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression will likely form during the latter half of this week
while the system moves westward to west- northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 21:29:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
262
AXNT20 KNHC 112121
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92): Disorganized showers and
thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are occurring around
550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development
during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression will
likely form during the latter half of this week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. There is a medium chance for tropical cyclone
development in the next 48 hours.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 32W from 02N to 19N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N
to 14N between 30W and 40W. Please read the Special Features
section above for more information about this wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 53.5W from 02N to 18N, moving
west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N
to 12N between 53W and 57W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 65W S of 23N, moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Showers and thunderstorms are noted over portions of
Puerto Rico.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 85W S of 21N, moving west at
15 kt. A cluster of moderate to strong convection is noted from
14N to 20N between 83W and 88W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N17W and continues
southwestward to 1012 mb low pres near 11N32.5W to 11N52W. Aside
from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
scattered to numerous moderate and isolated strong convection is
noted from 08N to 13N and east of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1021
mb high in the NE Gulf. Light winds and slight seas are in the
vicinity of the high. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to
locally moderate seas, prevail over the remainder of the Gulf
waters.
For the forecast, high pressure will be in control of the general
wind flow pattern across the basin through the period allowing
for mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds to prevail across the
basin, with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north
and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche
each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to
moderate seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure north of the area and
the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds over the
central Caribbean. Rough seas cover these waters. Gentle to
moderate winds, and moderate seas, prevail over the remainder of
the Caribbean waters.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trades are over the central
Caribbean due to the pressure gradient between high pressure
ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
South America. The ridge will gradually shift southward to near
26N by Thu allowing for the trades to significantly expand in
coverage to cover the eastern portion of the basin into early Sat.
A strong tropical wave, or low pressure is expected to cross the
Lesser Antilles eastern late Sat night and move across the eastern
Caribbean through Sun night. Winds are expected to reach near-
gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each
night, except Wed night. There is some potential for winds to
reach gale force offshore Colombia Fri night. Winds will pulse up
to fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the
Windward Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate
to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 27N52W. Light to gentle winds
generally prevail over the waters N of 23N and west of 30W, with
slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S
of 23N and west of 30W, with moderate seas. Fresh to strong N to
NE winds, and moderate seas, cover the remaining discussion
waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging along 28N
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu and change
little into the weekend. The gradient will tighten over the
southern portion leading to an increase of the trades from the
Bahamas eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in
the approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing
to strong speeds each night. Of note, disorganized showers and
thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave are present well
east of the forecast waters over the far eastern Atlantic.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become more conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression will likely form during the latter half of this week
while the system moves westward to west- northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 11:40:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 12 Aug 2026 03:21:05 GMT - Tue, 11 Aug 2026 23:40:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 112340
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of organization in
association with a tropical wave located around 700 miles southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to
be conducive for development during the next few days, and a
tropical depression will likely form within a couple of days while
the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL93):
Satellite images indicate that the low-level circulation associated
with a broad area of low pressure located about 900 miles east-
northeast of Bermuda has become better defined today. Further
development of this system is possible, and a short-lived tropical
depression or storm could form during the next day or so while it
moves eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical
Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach cooler waters by
Thursday, ending its chances of formation.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave just offshore of the coast of west Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some
development of this system during the next several days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 14:38:07 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111438
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1040 AM EDT TUE 11 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-072
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (CENTRAL PACIFIC - CP93)
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 13/0000Z A. 13/0000Z
B. NOAA9 02AAC SURV B. NOAA2 03AAC TDR
C. 12/1730Z C. 12/2000Z
D. NA D. 14.0N 143.0W
E. NA E. 12/2200Z TO 13/0230Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 15.7N 145.0W FOR
13/1800Z.
B. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
CP93 FOR 14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/1730Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/2000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf