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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 00:14:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 260014
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Oct 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2345 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the western and central offshore zones
tonight as strong high pressure builds southward over the
western Atlantic, and low pressure deepens ENE of the central
Bahamas along a stationary front that extends from 30N58W to
31N61W to low pressure near 29N66W 1010 mb, and continues to
28N70W to 26N75W and to 24N80.5W. This setup is inducing
widespread strong to gale- force NE to E winds and very rough
seas building to 20 ft. Gale-force winds to 40 kt prevail north
of 27N between 61.5N and 72.5W. Strong to gale winds north of
27N between 61W and 80W will continue through early Mon morning.
The portion of the front east of 70W is expected to begin to
lift northward tonight through Mon morning, and stall from near
Bermuda to W Cuba Mon and Mon night, then drift southeastward Tue
through Wed night. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S.
will shift slowly eastward and across the waters east of northern
Florida during this time, and maintain fresh to strong winds and
rough to very rough seas in NE swell to the north of the front
through the period. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these
hazardous marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions
to avoid these affected areas. Please, see the latest NWS High
Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: A mid to upper-level
trough over Florida, the northwestern Caribbean and the Bahamas
combined with abundant tropical moisture will support periods of
heavy rain over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands through Mon. Latest
model guidance indicates that the trough will begin to weaken
and meander northward. The main areas that are expected to be
impacted by abundant tropical moisture and heavy rainfall will
then shift to north and east of Cuba over the southern Bahamas,
Turks and Caicos, the Windward Passage and Hispaniola. The heavy
rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening
flash flooding. Please refer to your local weather services and
the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
15N17W southwestward to 07N31W. The ITCZ axis extends from 07N45W
to 10N60W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of
06N22N and within 60 nm 10N27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong ridge extends over the eastern United States and into
the central Gulf, and is supporting fresh to strong northeast to
east winds across most of the eastern Gulf, and gentle to
moderate winds across the western Gulf along with seas of 6 to 9
ft. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds prevail along seas 4 to 6
ft.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the high
pressure and a stationary front across the NW Bahamas and into
the eastern Florida Straits will maintain fresh to strong NE
winds and rough seas over the eastern Gulf, including the Straits
of Florida through Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos and locations farther
east through the early part of the upcoming week.
A couple of troughs extend southward from the western Atlantic
into the central Caribbean: one along 71W north of 16N, and the
other along 76.5W north 16N. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are between these troughs north of 16N. This activity is being
supported by upper-level divergence present east of a broad mid to
upper-level trough that covers the western Caribbean. Trades across
the northwestern and southwestern Caribbean are of moderate to fresh
speeds while northeast to east winds of similar speeds are east of
74W. Seas across the basin are mostly slight to moderate.
For the forecast, the aforementioned mid to upper-level trough
will slowly shift eastward through Tue and support scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean and
Windward Passage. Meanwhile, a broad surface trough extends from
the central Bahamas southward across eastern Cuba to a 1009 mb
low north of Jamaica near 19.5N76.5W, continuing to the SW
Caribbean, and will drift eastward through Tue. Strong high
pressure across the eastern U.S. will continue to build southward
across Florida and the Gulf of America through early next week,
leading to moderate to fresh N winds and moderate seas across the
western Caribbean W of the trough through late Tue. Expect rough
seas in large N swell across the Yucatan Channel late tonight
through early Tue. Otherwise, moderate to fresh east to southeast
winds in the E Caribbean will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds by Mon evening.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the southern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, the Windward Passage, and Hispaniola.
A stationary front extends from near 30N58W to 31N61W to low
pressure near 29N66W 1010 mb, and continues to 28N70W to 26N75W and
to 24N80.5W. A trough then extends southward from this low to the
Hispaniola adjacent waters. Another trough extends from eastern Cuba
to a 1009 mb low just south of eastern Cuba near 19N76W. These
features are supporting scattered moderate convection north of 20N
and between 58W and 74W. Widespread strong to gale-force winds and
rough seas are north of the front and along the trough or across
many of the offshores north of about of 27N. Otherwise, the Azores
high pressure ridge dominates the remainder Atlantic subtropical
waters, providing mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas,
except for fresh to strong winds funneling through the Canary
Islands and west of Cape Verde where rough seas are ongoing.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large area of strong to gale-
force NE to E winds will continue through near midnight across
the western and central offshore zones, along and N of a
stationary front extending from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas near
25N78W to the eastern Straits of Florida. Very rough seas to 20
ft are expected N of the front between 67W and 74W. The portion
of the front E of 70W is expected to begin to lift northward
tonight through Mon morning, and stall from near Bermuda to W
Cuba Mon and Mon night, then drift southeastward Tue through Wed
night. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. will shift
slowly eastward and into the NW Atlantic during this time, and
maintain fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE
swell to the north of the front through the period. Mariners are
urged to remain alert to these hazardous marine conditions, and
take the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 00:14:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 260014
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Oct 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2345 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tightening pressure gradient will
continue to develop across the western and central offshore zones
tonight as strong high pressure builds southward over the
western Atlantic, and low pressure deepens ENE of the central
Bahamas along a stationary front that extends from 30N58W to
31N61W to low pressure near 29N66W 1010 mb, and continues to
28N70W to 26N75W and to 24N80.5W. This setup is inducing
widespread strong to gale- force NE to E winds and very rough
seas building to 20 ft. Gale-force winds to 40 kt prevail north
of 27N between 61.5N and 72.5W. Strong to gale winds north of
27N between 61W and 80W will continue through early Mon morning.
The portion of the front east of 70W is expected to begin to
lift northward tonight through Mon morning, and stall from near
Bermuda to W Cuba Mon and Mon night, then drift southeastward Tue
through Wed night. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S.
will shift slowly eastward and across the waters east of northern
Florida during this time, and maintain fresh to strong winds and
rough to very rough seas in NE swell to the north of the front
through the period. Mariners are urged to remain alert to these
hazardous marine conditions, and take the necessary precautions
to avoid these affected areas. Please, see the latest NWS High
Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: A mid to upper-level
trough over Florida, the northwestern Caribbean and the Bahamas
combined with abundant tropical moisture will support periods of
heavy rain over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, Jamaica, the southern
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands through Mon. Latest
model guidance indicates that the trough will begin to weaken
and meander northward. The main areas that are expected to be
impacted by abundant tropical moisture and heavy rainfall will
then shift to north and east of Cuba over the southern Bahamas,
Turks and Caicos, the Windward Passage and Hispaniola. The heavy
rainfall will raise concerns for dangerous and life-threatening
flash flooding. Please refer to your local weather services and
the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis extends from the coast of Africa near
15N17W southwestward to 07N31W. The ITCZ axis extends from 07N45W
to 10N60W. Scattered moderate convection is within 60 nm of
06N22N and within 60 nm 10N27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A strong ridge extends over the eastern United States and into
the central Gulf, and is supporting fresh to strong northeast to
east winds across most of the eastern Gulf, and gentle to
moderate winds across the western Gulf along with seas of 6 to 9
ft. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds prevail along seas 4 to 6
ft.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the high
pressure and a stationary front across the NW Bahamas and into
the eastern Florida Straits will maintain fresh to strong NE
winds and rough seas over the eastern Gulf, including the Straits
of Florida through Wed.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about the potential for heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba,
Hispaniola, and Jamaica, the Turks and Caicos and locations farther
east through the early part of the upcoming week.
A couple of troughs extend southward from the western Atlantic
into the central Caribbean: one along 71W north of 16N, and the
other along 76.5W north 16N. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are between these troughs north of 16N. This activity is being
supported by upper-level divergence present east of a broad mid to
upper-level trough that covers the western Caribbean. Trades across
the northwestern and southwestern Caribbean are of moderate to fresh
speeds while northeast to east winds of similar speeds are east of
74W. Seas across the basin are mostly slight to moderate.
For the forecast, the aforementioned mid to upper-level trough
will slowly shift eastward through Tue and support scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms over the central Caribbean and
Windward Passage. Meanwhile, a broad surface trough extends from
the central Bahamas southward across eastern Cuba to a 1009 mb
low north of Jamaica near 19.5N76.5W, continuing to the SW
Caribbean, and will drift eastward through Tue. Strong high
pressure across the eastern U.S. will continue to build southward
across Florida and the Gulf of America through early next week,
leading to moderate to fresh N winds and moderate seas across the
western Caribbean W of the trough through late Tue. Expect rough
seas in large N swell across the Yucatan Channel late tonight
through early Tue. Otherwise, moderate to fresh east to southeast
winds in the E Caribbean will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds by Mon evening.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the southern Bahamas, the Turks and Caicos
Islands, the Windward Passage, and Hispaniola.
A stationary front extends from near 30N58W to 31N61W to low
pressure near 29N66W 1010 mb, and continues to 28N70W to 26N75W and
to 24N80.5W. A trough then extends southward from this low to the
Hispaniola adjacent waters. Another trough extends from eastern Cuba
to a 1009 mb low just south of eastern Cuba near 19N76W. These
features are supporting scattered moderate convection north of 20N
and between 58W and 74W. Widespread strong to gale-force winds and
rough seas are north of the front and along the trough or across
many of the offshores north of about of 27N. Otherwise, the Azores
high pressure ridge dominates the remainder Atlantic subtropical
waters, providing mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas,
except for fresh to strong winds funneling through the Canary
Islands and west of Cape Verde where rough seas are ongoing.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large area of strong to gale-
force NE to E winds will continue through near midnight across
the western and central offshore zones, along and N of a
stationary front extending from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas near
25N78W to the eastern Straits of Florida. Very rough seas to 20
ft are expected N of the front between 67W and 74W. The portion
of the front E of 70W is expected to begin to lift northward
tonight through Mon morning, and stall from near Bermuda to W
Cuba Mon and Mon night, then drift southeastward Tue through Wed
night. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. will shift
slowly eastward and into the NW Atlantic during this time, and
maintain fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE
swell to the north of the front through the period. Mariners are
urged to remain alert to these hazardous marine conditions, and
take the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 27 Oct 2026 11:09:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 03:06:18 GMT - Sun, 25 Oct 2026 23:09:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 252309
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 25 Oct 2026 13:23:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
303
NOUS42 KNHC 251325
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0925 AM EDT SUN 25 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-147
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf