2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 07 Jan 2026 10:40:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071040
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jan 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
    04.5N18W. The ITCZ continues from 04.5N18W to 06.5N54W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 50W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Ridging extends over the Gulf, stemming from a 1017 mb high
    centered near 26N87.5W, and a 1018 mb high centered near 26N83W.
    Moderate E winds are noted in the eastern Bay of Campeche, and
    moderate S winds prevail in the western Gulf offshore of
    northeastern Mexico. Seas of 1 to 3 ft prevail over the basin.

    For the forecast, widespread fresh S to SE winds and moderate
    seas are expected to develop west of 90W tonight as the pressure
    gradient increases between ridging over the eastern basin and a
    developing storm system in the central United States. Strong winds
    will pulse offshore of south Texas and northeastern Mexico
    tonight through Thu, and locally rough seas may accompany these
    winds. Moderate to fresh SE winds will expand eastward over much
    of the Gulf on Thu, with these winds continuing through Fri.
    Looking ahead, a cold front will enter the northwestern Gulf early
    this weekend. Widespread fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough
    seas are expected in the wake of the front as it sweeps over the
    basin into early next week. Gale force winds will be possible
    offshore of Tampico and Veracruz, Mexico Sat into early Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends from 19N75W to 15N76W, and scattered
    showers are noted near this feature. Elsewhere, a 1010 mb low is
    centered over northwestern Colombia, supporting fresh to strong NE
    to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas in the south-central basin. Locally
    fresh E winds are occurring south of Hispaniola. Weak ridging
    extends over the rest of the Caribbean, supporting moderate or
    weaker trade winds and 2 to 5 ft seas.

    For the forecast, strong to occasionally near-gale force NE to E
    winds will pulse offshore of northern Colombia through this
    weekend as low pressure prevails over the region. Rough seas will
    occur near and to the west of these winds. Strong winds are also
    expected each afternoon and evening in the Gulf of Venezuela
    starting on Thu. Fresh NE to E winds will occur over the central
    Caribbean today, including through the Windward Passage, with
    widespread fresh winds expanding over much of the basin through
    late week as the pressure gradient increases between the Colombian
    low and high pressure to the north. Pulsing strong winds are
    expected through the Windward Passage and south of Hispaniola
    nightly starting on Thu.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N45.5W southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    near 21N58W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring near this front, north of 18N between 39N and 57W. Fresh
    to strong S winds and rough seas to 9 ft are occurring to the
    east of the front, north of 27N. Farther west, moderate NE winds
    and locally rough seas are occurring east of 65W as high pressure
    prevails to the north. A surface trough is noted from 31N75W to
    28N78W, supporting moderate to fresh SW winds offshore of northern
    and central Florida. Elsewhere, a 1035 mb high is building north
    of the waters near 37.5N23W, and fresh to strong NE winds and
    rough seas of 8 to 11 ft are occurring near and downwind of the
    Canary Islands. Fresh trade winds and 5 to 8 ft seas prevail south
    of 20N.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh NE winds
    and rough seas occurring east of 65W will slowly diminish this
    morning. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh SW winds will occur north of
    29N and west of 70W today as a surface trough develops to the
    north and moves eastward. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate
    seas are then expected over the northwest tropical Atlantic on Thu
    as a weak pressure gradient develops. High pressure building off
    the coast of the eastern United States on Fri will support
    moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and building seas over the
    region through this weekend. Looking ahead, a cold front is
    slated move off the coast of the southeastern U.S. on Sun, leading
    to increasing winds and building seas in the wake of the front.

    $$
    ADAMS
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 07 Jan 2026 10:40:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071040
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jan 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
    04.5N18W. The ITCZ continues from 04.5N18W to 06.5N54W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 50W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Ridging extends over the Gulf, stemming from a 1017 mb high
    centered near 26N87.5W, and a 1018 mb high centered near 26N83W.
    Moderate E winds are noted in the eastern Bay of Campeche, and
    moderate S winds prevail in the western Gulf offshore of
    northeastern Mexico. Seas of 1 to 3 ft prevail over the basin.

    For the forecast, widespread fresh S to SE winds and moderate
    seas are expected to develop west of 90W tonight as the pressure
    gradient increases between ridging over the eastern basin and a
    developing storm system in the central United States. Strong winds
    will pulse offshore of south Texas and northeastern Mexico
    tonight through Thu, and locally rough seas may accompany these
    winds. Moderate to fresh SE winds will expand eastward over much
    of the Gulf on Thu, with these winds continuing through Fri.
    Looking ahead, a cold front will enter the northwestern Gulf early
    this weekend. Widespread fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough
    seas are expected in the wake of the front as it sweeps over the
    basin into early next week. Gale force winds will be possible
    offshore of Tampico and Veracruz, Mexico Sat into early Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends from 19N75W to 15N76W, and scattered
    showers are noted near this feature. Elsewhere, a 1010 mb low is
    centered over northwestern Colombia, supporting fresh to strong NE
    to E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas in the south-central basin. Locally
    fresh E winds are occurring south of Hispaniola. Weak ridging
    extends over the rest of the Caribbean, supporting moderate or
    weaker trade winds and 2 to 5 ft seas.

    For the forecast, strong to occasionally near-gale force NE to E
    winds will pulse offshore of northern Colombia through this
    weekend as low pressure prevails over the region. Rough seas will
    occur near and to the west of these winds. Strong winds are also
    expected each afternoon and evening in the Gulf of Venezuela
    starting on Thu. Fresh NE to E winds will occur over the central
    Caribbean today, including through the Windward Passage, with
    widespread fresh winds expanding over much of the basin through
    late week as the pressure gradient increases between the Colombian
    low and high pressure to the north. Pulsing strong winds are
    expected through the Windward Passage and south of Hispaniola
    nightly starting on Thu.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N45.5W southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    near 21N58W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring near this front, north of 18N between 39N and 57W. Fresh
    to strong S winds and rough seas to 9 ft are occurring to the
    east of the front, north of 27N. Farther west, moderate NE winds
    and locally rough seas are occurring east of 65W as high pressure
    prevails to the north. A surface trough is noted from 31N75W to
    28N78W, supporting moderate to fresh SW winds offshore of northern
    and central Florida. Elsewhere, a 1035 mb high is building north
    of the waters near 37.5N23W, and fresh to strong NE winds and
    rough seas of 8 to 11 ft are occurring near and downwind of the
    Canary Islands. Fresh trade winds and 5 to 8 ft seas prevail south
    of 20N.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh NE winds
    and rough seas occurring east of 65W will slowly diminish this
    morning. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh SW winds will occur north of
    29N and west of 70W today as a surface trough develops to the
    north and moves eastward. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate
    seas are then expected over the northwest tropical Atlantic on Thu
    as a weak pressure gradient develops. High pressure building off
    the coast of the eastern United States on Fri will support
    moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and building seas over the
    region through this weekend. Looking ahead, a cold front is
    slated move off the coast of the southeastern U.S. on Sun, leading
    to increasing winds and building seas in the wake of the front.

    $$
    ADAMS
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 06 Jan 2026 16:22:19 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 061622
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1125 AM EST TUE 06 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-037

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    09/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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