SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources
- NOAA National Hurricane Center
- International Meteorology Database
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Track Probabilities
- Brian McNoldy Atlantic Headquarters
- Brian McNoldy Tropical Satellite Sectors
- Brian McNoldy Infrared Hovmoller
- Brian McNoldy Past TC Radar Loops
- Weather Nerds TC Guidance
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- NOAA Tropical Cyclone Tracks
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Albany Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- Albany Tropical Atlantic Model Maps
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance
- FSU Tropical Model Outputs
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Genesis
- Penn State Tropical E-Wall
- NOAA HFIP Ruc Models
- Navy NRL TC Page
- College of DuPage Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NHC Analysis Tools
- NOAA NHC ATCF Directory
- NOAA NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA NCEP/EMC HWRF Model
- NOAA HFIP Model Products
- University of Miami Ocean Heat
- COLA Max Potential Hurricane Intensity
- Colorado State RAMMB TC Tracking
- Colorado State RAMMB Floaters
- Colorado State RAMMB GOES-16 Viewer
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-A
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-B
- Michael Ventrice Waves / MJO Maps
- TropicalAtlantic.com Analysis / Recon
- NCAR/RAL Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
Historic Louisiana Storms By Month
January
June
July
August
September
October
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 09:00:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290900
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Dec 29 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will enter the
NW Gulf waters early this morning. Gale force winds and rough
seas are expected in the wake of the front off the coast of Texas
and Louisiana early this morning, and offshore of Tampico and
Veracruz by this afternoon and night. Prolonged gale force winds
and significant very rough seas will persist over the western Bay
of Campeche through late Tue night. Seas will peak around 20 ft
off Veracruz Tue. Conditions will improve from north to south by
midweek.
Central Atlantic Gale and Significant Swell: A couple of cold
fronts are moving through the north central waters, extending from
a storm force low centered near 42N49W. The first cold front
extends from 31N44.5W to 22N61W to 24N71W. The second cold front
enters the waters near 31N47W to 25N61W to 26N70W. Near-gale to
gale force winds are on either side of the front N of 28N between
41W and 54W. Elsewhere, fresh to strong winds are over the waters
N of 23N between 38W and 60W. Winds W of the front will diminish
below gale force this morning, with gale force winds continuing N
of 28N within 60 nm east of the front through this afternoon.
Large N swell generated from the storm system is producing very
rough seas greater than 12 ft over the forecast waters N of 24N
between 40W and 63W. These very rough seas will shift eastward
while gradually subsiding from south to north through the week.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W and continues to 06N19W. The ITCZ continues
from 06N19W to 00N48W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 01N to 05N between 11W and 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section above on a Gale Warning.
A surface trough is noted over the SW Gulf, with moderate winds in
the vicinity of the trough. The remainder of the Gulf if under the
influence of high pressure, anchored by a 1019 mb high centered
over the eastern Gulf. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity
of the high center, with gentle to locally moderate winds
elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-2 ft range in the eastern Gulf, and
2-4 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, a cold front will move into the northern Gulf
by early this morning. The front will rapidly shift across the
Gulf waters, moving SE of the area Tue. Gale force winds and rough
seas are expected in the wake of the front off the coast of Texas
and Louisiana early this morning, and offshore of Tampico and
Veracruz by this afternoon and night. Prolonged gale force winds
and significant very rough seas will persist over the western Bay
of Campeche through late Tue night. Widespread strong to near-gale
force winds and rough seas are expected elsewhere behind the
front. Winds and seas will diminish from north to south through
midweek. High pressure will build over the basin following the
front with moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas through late
this week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-9
ft, over the south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds,
and seas of 5-7 ft, prevail over the north central Caribbean.
Moderate winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong trade winds and
rough seas are expected over the central Caribbean through the
middle of the week as a moderate pressure gradient prevails
between the Colombian low and high pressure to the north. Winds
may reach near-gale force offshore of northern Colombia tonight.
Moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds and moderate seas are
expected over the rest of the basin through midweek. Elsewhere, a
long period N to NW swell will bring rough seas over the Atlantic
waters this week. A cold front will move into the northwestern
basin late Tue into Wed, and weaken as it moves southeastward and
dissipates on Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for details on a gale
warning and a significant swell event in the central Atlantic.
Aside from the cold fronts with gale warnings, and the significant
swell with very rough seas 12 ft or greater, rough seas greater
than 8 ft cover the waters N of a line from 28N70W to 15N54W to
30N22W. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are
over the deep tropics S of 12N between 35W and 60W. Elsewhere,
winds are moderate or weaker with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong W to NW winds and
very rough seas will continue over the central tropical Atlantic,
north of 22N and east of 65W, through this morning as a series of
cold fronts extending from a storm system north of the area move
over the region. Widespread rough seas associated with this storm
system will prevail east of 70W will subside from west to east
early this week. Farther west, fresh to locally strong W to SW
winds will develop offshore of Florida on today ahead of another
cold front moving through the southern U.S. This front will move
offshore by late today, with fresh to strong W to NW winds and
rough seas in the wake of the front. These winds and seas will
expand eastward toward the central Atlantic through midweek as the
front moves eastward. Another cold front is expected to enter the
northwest tropical Atlantic late this week, with increasing winds
and building seas near and behind the front.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 09:00:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290900
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Dec 29 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will enter the
NW Gulf waters early this morning. Gale force winds and rough
seas are expected in the wake of the front off the coast of Texas
and Louisiana early this morning, and offshore of Tampico and
Veracruz by this afternoon and night. Prolonged gale force winds
and significant very rough seas will persist over the western Bay
of Campeche through late Tue night. Seas will peak around 20 ft
off Veracruz Tue. Conditions will improve from north to south by
midweek.
Central Atlantic Gale and Significant Swell: A couple of cold
fronts are moving through the north central waters, extending from
a storm force low centered near 42N49W. The first cold front
extends from 31N44.5W to 22N61W to 24N71W. The second cold front
enters the waters near 31N47W to 25N61W to 26N70W. Near-gale to
gale force winds are on either side of the front N of 28N between
41W and 54W. Elsewhere, fresh to strong winds are over the waters
N of 23N between 38W and 60W. Winds W of the front will diminish
below gale force this morning, with gale force winds continuing N
of 28N within 60 nm east of the front through this afternoon.
Large N swell generated from the storm system is producing very
rough seas greater than 12 ft over the forecast waters N of 24N
between 40W and 63W. These very rough seas will shift eastward
while gradually subsiding from south to north through the week.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 10N14W and continues to 06N19W. The ITCZ continues
from 06N19W to 00N48W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 01N to 05N between 11W and 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section above on a Gale Warning.
A surface trough is noted over the SW Gulf, with moderate winds in
the vicinity of the trough. The remainder of the Gulf if under the
influence of high pressure, anchored by a 1019 mb high centered
over the eastern Gulf. Light to gentle winds are in the vicinity
of the high center, with gentle to locally moderate winds
elsewhere. Seas are in the 1-2 ft range in the eastern Gulf, and
2-4 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, a cold front will move into the northern Gulf
by early this morning. The front will rapidly shift across the
Gulf waters, moving SE of the area Tue. Gale force winds and rough
seas are expected in the wake of the front off the coast of Texas
and Louisiana early this morning, and offshore of Tampico and
Veracruz by this afternoon and night. Prolonged gale force winds
and significant very rough seas will persist over the western Bay
of Campeche through late Tue night. Widespread strong to near-gale
force winds and rough seas are expected elsewhere behind the
front. Winds and seas will diminish from north to south through
midweek. High pressure will build over the basin following the
front with moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas through late
this week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds, and seas of 6-9
ft, over the south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds,
and seas of 5-7 ft, prevail over the north central Caribbean.
Moderate winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh to occasionally strong trade winds and
rough seas are expected over the central Caribbean through the
middle of the week as a moderate pressure gradient prevails
between the Colombian low and high pressure to the north. Winds
may reach near-gale force offshore of northern Colombia tonight.
Moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds and moderate seas are
expected over the rest of the basin through midweek. Elsewhere, a
long period N to NW swell will bring rough seas over the Atlantic
waters this week. A cold front will move into the northwestern
basin late Tue into Wed, and weaken as it moves southeastward and
dissipates on Thu.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for details on a gale
warning and a significant swell event in the central Atlantic.
Aside from the cold fronts with gale warnings, and the significant
swell with very rough seas 12 ft or greater, rough seas greater
than 8 ft cover the waters N of a line from 28N70W to 15N54W to
30N22W. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are
over the deep tropics S of 12N between 35W and 60W. Elsewhere,
winds are moderate or weaker with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong W to NW winds and
very rough seas will continue over the central tropical Atlantic,
north of 22N and east of 65W, through this morning as a series of
cold fronts extending from a storm system north of the area move
over the region. Widespread rough seas associated with this storm
system will prevail east of 70W will subside from west to east
early this week. Farther west, fresh to locally strong W to SW
winds will develop offshore of Florida on today ahead of another
cold front moving through the southern U.S. This front will move
offshore by late today, with fresh to strong W to NW winds and
rough seas in the wake of the front. These winds and seas will
expand eastward toward the central Atlantic through midweek as the
front moves eastward. Another cold front is expected to enter the
northwest tropical Atlantic late this week, with increasing winds
and building seas near and behind the front.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 16:01:47 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 15:05:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
273
NOUS42 KNHC 291505
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EST MON 29 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-029
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
