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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 02 Dec 2025 22:12:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 022212
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Dec 3 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 10N15W and
continues to 07N20W. The ITCZ extends from 07N20W to 08N55W.
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from
03N-13N and east of 25W. Scattered moderate convection has also
developed from 08N to 11N between 25W and 40W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend to near Veracruz,
Mexico. A pre-frontal trough extends from SW Florida to just W of
the Florida Keys. Neither feature is producing convection at this
time. Fresh N winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are N of the front,
except locally strong winds and rough seas have developed just
offshore N of Veracruz, Mexico. Ahead of the front, gentle winds
and slight seas dominate.
For the forecast, the cold front will move southward, reaching
the south-central Gulf by Wed morning, and marine conditions N of
the front will improve tonight. The front will stall and lift
northward by late Wed, as another low pressure system forms over
South Texas and the NW Gulf. Looking ahead, another cold front
will enter the NW waters on Thu, and extend from SE Louisiana to
near Tampico, Mexico Fri morning, then stall and lift north toward
the northern Gulf on Sat.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge to the north has been disrupted by a trough
N of N of Puerto Rico, creating a weak pressure gradient over the
basin and leading to mainly gentle winds and slight seas over the
basin. Convection is confined to offshore Panama to the S of 11N,
where the eastern portion of the NE Pacific monsoon trough
resides.
For the forecast, winds will continue to diminish across the
basin tonight and Wed as the surface trough progresses westward
just N of the basin, disrupting the influence of the subtropical
ridge. However, winds will freshen up again late this week as the
high pressure builds in north of the area. Another surface trough,
located near 60W, will move across the Windward Islands into the
eastern Caribbean tonight into Wed. Fresh to locally strong winds
and locally rough seas follow this trough. The associated moisture
will also bring some shower activity. Meanwhile, moderate to
locally rough seas, in NE swell, will persist across the NE
Caribbean passages through the week and into the weekend.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough just E of the Lesser Antilles is inducing
scattered moderate convection from 10N to 15N between 57W and 60W.
A deep layer trough, with a surface reflection along 60W N of 25N,
is inducing a broad area of scattered moderate convection from 20N
to 30N between 52W and 60W. Yet another surface trough that
extends from 19N66W to 25N64W is no longer producing any
convection. To the W of these features, W of 60W, light to gentle
winds and slight to moderate seas dominate until N of the Bahamas
and W of 70W, where SW winds have increased to fresh to strong
ahead of a cold front that is approaching the east coast of the
United States. Seas have increased to 6 to 9 ft in these region.
For waters to the E of 60W, widespread fresh W winds dominate the
basin, with seas of 7 to 10 ft. Areas of strong winds are present
in the far eastern Atlantic in the vicinity of the Canary Islands
and the Cabo Verde Islands as well has waters between those island
chains and Africa.
For the forecast west of 55W, expect fresh to strong southerly
winds and building seas across the area north of 29N and west of
72W ahead of a cold front that will reach the waters off the
northeast Florida coast early this evening. The front will extend
from near Bermuda to South Florida on Wed morning, and from 31N70W
to the Straits of Florida by Thu morning. Meanwhile, fresh to
strong easterly winds and rough seas follow a surface trough
currently located just N of Puerto Rico. The trough will continue
to move westward passing N of Hispaniola Wed and Thu. Winds and
seas in the wake of the trough are gradually diminishing.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 02 Dec 2025 22:12:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 022212
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Dec 3 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 10N15W and
continues to 07N20W. The ITCZ extends from 07N20W to 08N55W.
Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is observed from
03N-13N and east of 25W. Scattered moderate convection has also
developed from 08N to 11N between 25W and 40W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend to near Veracruz,
Mexico. A pre-frontal trough extends from SW Florida to just W of
the Florida Keys. Neither feature is producing convection at this
time. Fresh N winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are N of the front,
except locally strong winds and rough seas have developed just
offshore N of Veracruz, Mexico. Ahead of the front, gentle winds
and slight seas dominate.
For the forecast, the cold front will move southward, reaching
the south-central Gulf by Wed morning, and marine conditions N of
the front will improve tonight. The front will stall and lift
northward by late Wed, as another low pressure system forms over
South Texas and the NW Gulf. Looking ahead, another cold front
will enter the NW waters on Thu, and extend from SE Louisiana to
near Tampico, Mexico Fri morning, then stall and lift north toward
the northern Gulf on Sat.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge to the north has been disrupted by a trough
N of N of Puerto Rico, creating a weak pressure gradient over the
basin and leading to mainly gentle winds and slight seas over the
basin. Convection is confined to offshore Panama to the S of 11N,
where the eastern portion of the NE Pacific monsoon trough
resides.
For the forecast, winds will continue to diminish across the
basin tonight and Wed as the surface trough progresses westward
just N of the basin, disrupting the influence of the subtropical
ridge. However, winds will freshen up again late this week as the
high pressure builds in north of the area. Another surface trough,
located near 60W, will move across the Windward Islands into the
eastern Caribbean tonight into Wed. Fresh to locally strong winds
and locally rough seas follow this trough. The associated moisture
will also bring some shower activity. Meanwhile, moderate to
locally rough seas, in NE swell, will persist across the NE
Caribbean passages through the week and into the weekend.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough just E of the Lesser Antilles is inducing
scattered moderate convection from 10N to 15N between 57W and 60W.
A deep layer trough, with a surface reflection along 60W N of 25N,
is inducing a broad area of scattered moderate convection from 20N
to 30N between 52W and 60W. Yet another surface trough that
extends from 19N66W to 25N64W is no longer producing any
convection. To the W of these features, W of 60W, light to gentle
winds and slight to moderate seas dominate until N of the Bahamas
and W of 70W, where SW winds have increased to fresh to strong
ahead of a cold front that is approaching the east coast of the
United States. Seas have increased to 6 to 9 ft in these region.
For waters to the E of 60W, widespread fresh W winds dominate the
basin, with seas of 7 to 10 ft. Areas of strong winds are present
in the far eastern Atlantic in the vicinity of the Canary Islands
and the Cabo Verde Islands as well has waters between those island
chains and Africa.
For the forecast west of 55W, expect fresh to strong southerly
winds and building seas across the area north of 29N and west of
72W ahead of a cold front that will reach the waters off the
northeast Florida coast early this evening. The front will extend
from near Bermuda to South Florida on Wed morning, and from 31N70W
to the Straits of Florida by Thu morning. Meanwhile, fresh to
strong easterly winds and rough seas follow a surface trough
currently located just N of Puerto Rico. The trough will continue
to move westward passing N of Hispaniola Wed and Thu. Winds and
seas in the wake of the trough are gradually diminishing.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 02 Dec 2025 23:17:46 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 02 Dec 2025 18:20:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021820
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0120 PM EST TUE 02 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-002
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
A. 03/1700Z
B. AF304 01WSE BUOYDEP
C. 03/2000Z
D. 10 BOXES OF BUOYS DROPPED AT APPROXIMATELY 72 NM
INTERVALS BETWEEN 52.0N 146.0W AND 50.0N 163.0W
E. SFC TO 15,000 FT/ 03/2000Z TO 03/2300Z
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
05/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
06/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf