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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 23:02:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 112302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Sep 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W, south of 21N, moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are near the wave
axis.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along
76W, south of 20N and extends southward into northern Colombia,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is enhancing convection
over eastern Cuba and Jamaica.
A second tropical wave is over the NW Caribbean near 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms are along the wave axis affecting
parts of Honduras and Nicaragua as well as Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, and continues southwestward to 10N42W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N42W to the coast of Guyana near 07N60W.
Aside from convection associated with the tropical wave, scattered
moderate convection is noted N of the ITCZ to about 11N and W of
50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Convection continues to flare-up over the Gulf region, mainly
north of 25N, and over the Florida Peninsula as abundant tropical
moisture remains in place. A diffluent pattern aloft is also
helping to induce this convective activity. A surface trough is
analyzed over south Florida and runs from 28N78W to 24N83W.
Another surface trough is over the central Bay of Campeche. Under
this weather pattern, gentle to locally moderate winds with slight
to moderate seas are noted.
For the forecast, NE to E winds will pulse to fresh each night off the
W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal trough moving toward the SW
Gulf. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker through early
next week due to the influence of weak high pressure centered
over the N Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low continues
to support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas over much of
the central Caribbean, as noted on scatterometer data. Seas are 8
to 11 ft per altimeter data over the south-central Caribbean.
Elsewhere moderate to locally fresh trade winds and moderate seas
are evident, with the exception of light to gentle winds over
the NW Caribbean. Numerous showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
are occurring over Cuba and Jamaica. An upper-level low spinning
over the NW Caribbean is enhancing this convective activity.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also noted over Hispaniola.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient from ridging north of the
area to the Colombian Low will continue to force strong to locally
near-gale trades over the central Caribbean for the next several
days. From late Sat through Mon night, trades over the Gulf of
Honduras will increase to fresh to locally strong. Elsewhere,
winds will be moderate or weaker.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough extends from 31N44W to 25N53W to 31N65W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are observed in association with this
trough, mainly N of 25N between 55W and 70W. The remainder of
the forecast waters are dominated by high pressure, with the main
center of 1023 mb located near the Azores. The pressure gradient
between the high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa is
promoting moderate to fresh N to NE winds N of 20N and E of 20W,
including the Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
observed E of the Lesser Antilles to about 40W, and also just N
of Hispaniola. Moderate or weaker winds prevail elsewhere. Seas
are in general moderate across the Atlantic forecast waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, trades north of Hispaniola into
the Windward Passage will be fresh to locally strong through
early next week. Elsewhere, the Bermuda-Azores High situated
along 30N should support moderate or weaker winds across the
remaining forecast waters for the next several days.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 23:02:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 112302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Sep 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 36W, south of 21N, moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are near the wave
axis.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean with axis along
76W, south of 20N and extends southward into northern Colombia,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is enhancing convection
over eastern Cuba and Jamaica.
A second tropical wave is over the NW Caribbean near 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms are along the wave axis affecting
parts of Honduras and Nicaragua as well as Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, and continues southwestward to 10N42W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N42W to the coast of Guyana near 07N60W.
Aside from convection associated with the tropical wave, scattered
moderate convection is noted N of the ITCZ to about 11N and W of
50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Convection continues to flare-up over the Gulf region, mainly
north of 25N, and over the Florida Peninsula as abundant tropical
moisture remains in place. A diffluent pattern aloft is also
helping to induce this convective activity. A surface trough is
analyzed over south Florida and runs from 28N78W to 24N83W.
Another surface trough is over the central Bay of Campeche. Under
this weather pattern, gentle to locally moderate winds with slight
to moderate seas are noted.
For the forecast, NE to E winds will pulse to fresh each night off the
W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal trough moving toward the SW
Gulf. Elsewhere, winds will be moderate or weaker through early
next week due to the influence of weak high pressure centered
over the N Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low continues
to support fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas over much of
the central Caribbean, as noted on scatterometer data. Seas are 8
to 11 ft per altimeter data over the south-central Caribbean.
Elsewhere moderate to locally fresh trade winds and moderate seas
are evident, with the exception of light to gentle winds over
the NW Caribbean. Numerous showers, with embedded thunderstorms,
are occurring over Cuba and Jamaica. An upper-level low spinning
over the NW Caribbean is enhancing this convective activity.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also noted over Hispaniola.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient from ridging north of the
area to the Colombian Low will continue to force strong to locally
near-gale trades over the central Caribbean for the next several
days. From late Sat through Mon night, trades over the Gulf of
Honduras will increase to fresh to locally strong. Elsewhere,
winds will be moderate or weaker.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough extends from 31N44W to 25N53W to 31N65W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are observed in association with this
trough, mainly N of 25N between 55W and 70W. The remainder of
the forecast waters are dominated by high pressure, with the main
center of 1023 mb located near the Azores. The pressure gradient
between the high pressure and lower pressures over NW Africa is
promoting moderate to fresh N to NE winds N of 20N and E of 20W,
including the Canary Islands. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
observed E of the Lesser Antilles to about 40W, and also just N
of Hispaniola. Moderate or weaker winds prevail elsewhere. Seas
are in general moderate across the Atlantic forecast waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, trades north of Hispaniola into
the Windward Passage will be fresh to locally strong through
early next week. Elsewhere, the Bermuda-Azores High situated
along 30N should support moderate or weaker winds across the
remaining forecast waters for the next several days.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 11:27:54 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 12 Sep 2026 01:32:13 GMT - Fri, 11 Sep 2026 23:27:54 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 112327
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Sep 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 11 Sep 2026 13:25:15 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111325
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT FRI 11 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-103
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf