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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 07 Sep 2026 23:20:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072320
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Sep 08 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 36W from 03N
    to 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Isolated
    showers and thunderstorms are within 240 nm west of the wave
    from 05N to 07N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W. It is
    moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    within 240 nm east of the wave from 05N to 08N. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are within 120 nm west of the wave from 11N to
    18N.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 71W south
    of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are possible under high cloudiness from 12N to
    17N between 68W and 72W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86.5W south of 19N.
    It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection
    information, please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical
    Weather Discussion (TWDEP)

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
    continues southwestward to 13N24W and west-southwestward to
    09N40W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N47W. It resumes
    near 08N51W to 10N59W. Scattered moderate convection is within
    240 nm south of the ITCZ between 40W and 46W. Similar convection
    is well to the southeast of the trough from 06N to 10N east of
    22W to well inland Africa.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
    Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
    with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
    level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
    trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to just west
    of Key West and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
    eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
    peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
    southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
    west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere.

    Weak high pressure of 1015 mb is centered near 27N93W. Its
    associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per latest
    buoy observations, scatterometer data and a few satellite
    altimeter data passes.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will persist
    across the Gulf through the period, producing a weak pressure
    gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight
    seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with
    moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
    due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula
    each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
    sustaining fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate
    seas over the south- central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades
    and moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of
    the northwestern portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds
    are continuing.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
    high pressure and the lower pressure in northern South America
    will begin to tighten tonight, leading to an increase in areal
    coverage of strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through
    Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough seas
    will develop over these waters with the persistent strong winds.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave
    into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
    morning.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
    of 1014 mb near 31.5N71W southwestward to 30N76W and westward to
    inland northern Florida near 30N81W. To the south and southeast
    of this frontal boundary, numerous showers and thunderstorms are
    occurring northwest and north of a line from 31N61W to 27N70W and
    to 23N78W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
    trough situated north of Puerto Rico and the Hispaniola continues
    to support scattered showers and thunderstorms from 18.5N to
    23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb
    high center near 27N55W pretty much controls the wind regime
    throughout the remainder of the basin. A stronger high center
    of 1027 mb is north of the area at 35W24W. A ridge stretches
    from this high center southwestward to the 1022 mb high and to
    near 25N70W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and
    a pair of tropical waves moving through the tropical Atlantic
    region is supporting fresh to strong winds north of 11N and east
    of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas over these waters.
    Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are over the waters west
    of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
    are present elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
    of 1022 mb and ridge will gradually shift northeastward and
    strengthen through mid week. This pattern will support moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to
    fresh winds south of about 21N Tue night through Thu. A weak cold
    front will stall near 31N through mid week before lifting
    northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
    these northern waters west of 60W through Tue night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 07 Sep 2026 23:20:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072320
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Sep 08 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 36W from 03N
    to 19N. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15 kt. Isolated
    showers and thunderstorms are within 240 nm west of the wave
    from 05N to 07N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W. It is
    moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    within 240 nm east of the wave from 05N to 08N. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are within 120 nm west of the wave from 11N to
    18N.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 71W south
    of 19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are possible under high cloudiness from 12N to
    17N between 68W and 72W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86.5W south of 19N.
    It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. For related convection
    information, please refer to the Eastern Pacific Tropical
    Weather Discussion (TWDEP)

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
    continues southwestward to 13N24W and west-southwestward to
    09N40W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N47W. It resumes
    near 08N51W to 10N59W. Scattered moderate convection is within
    240 nm south of the ITCZ between 40W and 46W. Similar convection
    is well to the southeast of the trough from 06N to 10N east of
    22W to well inland Africa.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front is draped across northern Florida and the
    Florida panhandle. The combination of this frontal boundary,
    with deep moisture already in place over the area and an upper-
    level trough digging southward over the southeastern U.S. and a
    trough that extends from central Florida southwestward to just west
    of Key West and near the Dry Tortugas will continue to favor
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over most of the
    eastern Gulf, including the Straits of Florida, the Florida
    peninsula and the southern portion of Alabama, Mississippi and
    southeastern Louisiana going into the middle part of the week.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also evident south of 25N
    west of 90W while isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere.

    Weak high pressure of 1015 mb is centered near 27N93W. Its
    associated weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for
    light to gentle winds and slight seas across the basin per latest
    buoy observations, scatterometer data and a few satellite
    altimeter data passes.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned weak high pressure will persist
    across the Gulf through the period, producing a weak pressure
    gradient. This will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight
    seas over much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with
    moderate seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
    due to a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula
    each night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The interaction between high pressure over the western Atlantic
    and relatively lower pressure in northern South America is
    sustaining fresh to locally strong trades along with moderate
    seas over the south- central Caribbean. Mostly moderate trades
    and moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of
    the northwestern portion of the sea, where light to gentle winds
    are continuing.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic
    high pressure and the lower pressure in northern South America
    will begin to tighten tonight, leading to an increase in areal
    coverage of strong winds, locally to near-gale force, through
    Wed night before diminishing modestly through Fri. Rough seas
    will develop over these waters with the persistent strong winds.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    will prevail. Large easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave
    into the Tropical N Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu
    morning.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front is analyzed extending from weak low pressure
    of 1014 mb near 31.5N71W southwestward to 30N76W and westward to
    inland northern Florida near 30N81W. To the south and southeast
    of this frontal boundary, numerous showers and thunderstorms are
    occurring northwest and north of a line from 31N61W to 27N70W and
    to 23N78W. A mid to upper-level northeast to southwest oriented
    trough situated north of Puerto Rico and the Hispaniola continues
    to support scattered showers and thunderstorms from 18.5N to
    23.5N between 62W and 70.5W. High pressure, anchored by a 1022 mb
    high center near 27N55W pretty much controls the wind regime
    throughout the remainder of the basin. A stronger high center
    of 1027 mb is north of the area at 35W24W. A ridge stretches
    from this high center southwestward to the 1022 mb high and to
    near 25N70W. The pressure gradient between the high pressure and
    a pair of tropical waves moving through the tropical Atlantic
    region is supporting fresh to strong winds north of 11N and east
    of 27W. These winds are generating rough seas over these waters.
    Light to gentle winds, and slight seas, are over the waters west
    of about 70W. Moderate to fresh trades along with moderate seas
    are present elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
    of 1022 mb and ridge will gradually shift northeastward and
    strengthen through mid week. This pattern will support moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas through Tue, then moderate to
    fresh winds south of about 21N Tue night through Thu. A weak cold
    front will stall near 31N through mid week before lifting
    northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
    these northern waters west of 60W through Tue night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 09 Sep 2026 11:11:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 08 Sep 2026 00:11:01 GMT
  • Mon, 07 Sep 2026 23:11:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    786
    ABNT20 KNHC 072311
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Mon Sep 7 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 07 Sep 2026 17:32:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 071732
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0135 PM EDT MON 07 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-099 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE LOWELL
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79
    A. 08/1730Z
    B. AFXXX 1412E LOWELL
    C. 08/1600Z
    D. 23.8N 160.8W
    E. 08/1700Z TO 08/2030Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARKS:
    A. THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 08/0000Z REQUIREMENT IN
    TCPOD 26-098 WILL NOT BE FLOWN.
    B. NOAA 43 WILL CONDUCT TWO 8-HOUR P-3 RESEARCH MISSIONS INTO
    LOWELL ON TUESDAY, DEPARTING PHKO AT 08/2000Z AND 09/0800Z.
    (CORRECTED)
    C. NOAA 49 WILL CONDUCT A 7-HOUR G-IV RESEARCH MISSION OVER
    LOWELL ALSO ON TUESDAY, DEPARTING PHNL AT 08/2100Z.

    $$
    SEF/ANM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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