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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 21:48:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 082147
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through next week,
with gale-force winds occurring again tonight offshore of Colombia.
The ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward to along
28N through Tue and maintain strong to near gale-force winds
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Seas
will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the time of the
gale-force winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is near 29W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets
the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to
12N between 27W and 33W.
The tropical wave is along 41W from 07N to 19N moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N and 12N
between 37W and 44W.
A tropical wave is near 57W from 09N to 19N, moving west at 10 to
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N to 13N between
55W and 60W.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a low chance
of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 16N16N and continues westward to near 11N25W then on
to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 10N55W. Most of the
convective activity across the area is related to the tropical
waves.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida Big Bend
area to 25N85W. Another trough is over the Bay of Campeche. This
weak pressure pattern is supporting mostly light breezes and 1-3
ft seas across the basin. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms across the central and west-
central parts of the basin.
For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from the
Big Bend of Florida into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
showers and thunderstorms through this afternoon as the trough
moves inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of
Campeche and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface
trough. Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High
westward across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the
basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E
to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
for the waters north of Colombia.
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located west
of Bermuda near 32N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean. Seas are
8 to 12 ft across much of this area. Moderate to fresh trades are
over the E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are
observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are between Cuba and Jamaica, across the
Cayman Islands and regional waters, and south of western Cuba,
including the Yucatan Channel.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
through next week, with gale-force winds occurring again tonight
offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the region will gradually
shift southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to
near gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to locally
strong speeds during the evenings and nights in the Gulf of
Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
The Atlantic ridge looks to shift farther southward later next
week, which may act to increase easterly trade winds again across
the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off northeast
Florida and the northern Bahamas, related to diffluent flow
aloft. A broad ridge dominates the waters north of 25N across the
basin, broken only by a trough reaching from 31N45W to 25N55W.
Saharan dust is evident mainly east of this trough, north of 15N.
The pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of
22N and west of 60W with 4-6 ft seas, fresh to strong NE winds and
5-7 ft seas over the Canary Islands, and mostly gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a low level trough extending across
northern Florida will shift NW and further inland today.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to
75W will shift northwestward today, then persist N of 30N through
Sun. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High and an attendant ridge will
shift slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds
will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
and night. The Atlantic ridge then looks to drop a bit farther
southward later next week, which may result in stronger easterly
winds.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 21:48:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 082147
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through next week,
with gale-force winds occurring again tonight offshore of Colombia.
The ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward to along
28N through Tue and maintain strong to near gale-force winds
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night. Seas
will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the time of the
gale-force winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is near 29W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets
the monsoon trough. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N to
12N between 27W and 33W.
The tropical wave is along 41W from 07N to 19N moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N and 12N
between 37W and 44W.
A tropical wave is near 57W from 09N to 19N, moving west at 10 to
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N to 13N between
55W and 60W.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a low chance
of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 16N16N and continues westward to near 11N25W then on
to 12N40W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 10N55W. Most of the
convective activity across the area is related to the tropical
waves.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida Big Bend
area to 25N85W. Another trough is over the Bay of Campeche. This
weak pressure pattern is supporting mostly light breezes and 1-3
ft seas across the basin. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms across the central and west-
central parts of the basin.
For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from the
Big Bend of Florida into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
showers and thunderstorms through this afternoon as the trough
moves inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of
Campeche and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface
trough. Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High
westward across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the
basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E
to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
for the waters north of Colombia.
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located west
of Bermuda near 32N68W and the Colombian low continues to support
fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean. Seas are
8 to 12 ft across much of this area. Moderate to fresh trades are
over the E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are
observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are between Cuba and Jamaica, across the
Cayman Islands and regional waters, and south of western Cuba,
including the Yucatan Channel.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
through next week, with gale-force winds occurring again tonight
offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the region will gradually
shift southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to
near gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to locally
strong speeds during the evenings and nights in the Gulf of
Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
The Atlantic ridge looks to shift farther southward later next
week, which may act to increase easterly trade winds again across
the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off northeast
Florida and the northern Bahamas, related to diffluent flow
aloft. A broad ridge dominates the waters north of 25N across the
basin, broken only by a trough reaching from 31N45W to 25N55W.
Saharan dust is evident mainly east of this trough, north of 15N.
The pattern is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds south of
22N and west of 60W with 4-6 ft seas, fresh to strong NE winds and
5-7 ft seas over the Canary Islands, and mostly gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a low level trough extending across
northern Florida will shift NW and further inland today.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to
75W will shift northwestward today, then persist N of 30N through
Sun. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High and an attendant ridge will
shift slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds
will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
and night. The Atlantic ridge then looks to drop a bit farther
southward later next week, which may result in stronger easterly
winds.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 10 Aug 2026 11:28:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 09 Aug 2026 00:44:43 GMT - Sat, 08 Aug 2026 23:28:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 082328
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave
is located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Some gradual development is possible during the early to middle part
of next week while the disturbance moves westward across the central
tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become much
less conducive for development later in the week when the system
approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of
Africa on Tuesday. Gradual development will be possible thereafter
and a tropical depression could form during the second half of next
week while the system moves westward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 14:22:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081422
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EDT SAT 08 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-069
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO DEVELOPING SYSTEM NEAR 12.0N 142.5W
FOR 11/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
DEVELOPING SYSTEM FOR 12/0000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf