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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 10 Sep 2026 17:00:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 101700
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Sep 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, south of 20N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 12N to 18N between 25W and 32W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 65W, south of 20N and extends
    into Venezuela, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection
    is in the vicinity of the wave.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 75, south of 19N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Convection near this wave is primarily
    associated with the East Pacific monsoon trough, described below.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and continues
    southwestward to near 13N22W, then northwestward to 15N29W, then
    southwestward to 09N41W. The ITCZ extends from 09N41W to 07N59W.
    Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section above,
    scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
    04N to 14N and E of 22W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are also seen NW of the ITCZ, between the western end of the
    feature and the Lesser Antilles.

    The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
    across the far SW Caribbean. Numerous moderate and isolated
    strong convection is occurring S of 13N and W of 76W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is analyzed from near the Mouth of the
    Missisippi River to near Galveston, TX, with a weak 1014 mb low
    along the trough. Scattered moderate convection is occurring N of
    the trough and also along much of the TX coast. Another surface
    trough extends from SW FL to NW Cuba, with widely scattered
    moderate convection occurring across much of the eastern Gulf.
    Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient is over the discussion waters
    supporting gentle to locally moderate winds. These winds are
    generating mainly slight seas over the Gulf waters.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist into early next
    week, supporting mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas.
    Starting this weekend, winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
    seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to
    a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
    night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area
    and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trade winds
    and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean, with winds
    locally near gale-force offshore NW Colombia. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and slight to locally moderate seas, are over the NW
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas cover the
    remainder of the Caribbean waters.

    For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
    about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    offshore Colombia and western Venezuela through early next week.
    Moderate to rough seas will prevail over these waters. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front enters the forecast region near 31N48W and continues
    westward to near 28N56W where it becomes stationary to near
    31N74W. Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of the
    front. Moderate to fresh winds are noted S of 25N and W of 50W, as
    well as E of 50W and S of 20N. Light to gentle winds dominate the
    remainder of the discussion waters. Moderate seas prevail over
    much of the area.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front over the NE waters
    will shift east of the area today, with high pressure building in
    its wake. Light to gentle winds are expected in the vicinity of
    the ridge, N of 21N. Moderate to fresh winds S of 21N will
    diminish slightly by the start of next week.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 10 Sep 2026 17:00:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 101700
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Sep 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, south of 20N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 12N to 18N between 25W and 32W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 65W, south of 20N and extends
    into Venezuela, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection
    is in the vicinity of the wave.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 75, south of 19N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Convection near this wave is primarily
    associated with the East Pacific monsoon trough, described below.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and continues
    southwestward to near 13N22W, then northwestward to 15N29W, then
    southwestward to 09N41W. The ITCZ extends from 09N41W to 07N59W.
    Aside from convection noted in the tropical waves section above,
    scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
    04N to 14N and E of 22W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are also seen NW of the ITCZ, between the western end of the
    feature and the Lesser Antilles.

    The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
    across the far SW Caribbean. Numerous moderate and isolated
    strong convection is occurring S of 13N and W of 76W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is analyzed from near the Mouth of the
    Missisippi River to near Galveston, TX, with a weak 1014 mb low
    along the trough. Scattered moderate convection is occurring N of
    the trough and also along much of the TX coast. Another surface
    trough extends from SW FL to NW Cuba, with widely scattered
    moderate convection occurring across much of the eastern Gulf.
    Otherwise, a weak pressure gradient is over the discussion waters
    supporting gentle to locally moderate winds. These winds are
    generating mainly slight seas over the Gulf waters.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist into early next
    week, supporting mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas.
    Starting this weekend, winds will pulse to fresh with moderate
    seas off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to
    a diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
    night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area
    and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trade winds
    and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean, with winds
    locally near gale-force offshore NW Colombia. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and slight to locally moderate seas, are over the NW
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas cover the
    remainder of the Caribbean waters.

    For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
    about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
    offshore Colombia and western Venezuela through early next week.
    Moderate to rough seas will prevail over these waters. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front enters the forecast region near 31N48W and continues
    westward to near 28N56W where it becomes stationary to near
    31N74W. Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of the
    front. Moderate to fresh winds are noted S of 25N and W of 50W, as
    well as E of 50W and S of 20N. Light to gentle winds dominate the
    remainder of the discussion waters. Moderate seas prevail over
    much of the area.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front over the NE waters
    will shift east of the area today, with high pressure building in
    its wake. Light to gentle winds are expected in the vicinity of
    the ridge, N of 21N. Moderate to fresh winds S of 21N will
    diminish slightly by the start of next week.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 12 Sep 2026 05:05:34 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 10 Sep 2026 18:01:15 GMT
  • Thu, 10 Sep 2026 17:05:34 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 101705
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Thu Sep 10 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi/Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 10 Sep 2026 13:51:31 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101351
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EDT THU 10 SEPTEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-102

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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