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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 22:39:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 012239
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Jun 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: Low pressure and an attendant cold front
moving S of 31N will reach from Bermuda to the NW Bahamas by late
Tue. Strong SW winds will develop ahead of the front Tue,
increasing to gale-force SE of Bermuda by afternoon. Seas will
build in this area to very rough. The front will stall Tue night,
and winds will fall below gale force by Wed morning.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 16N and
moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 04N to 07N between 33W and 37W.
A new tropical wave has been analyzed along 46W, S of 15N, moving
W at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently associated with this
wave.
A far western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, S of 15N
extending southward into the eastern Pacific, moving W at around 5
kt. Associated convection is confined to inland portions of
Central America and the waters of the eastern Pacific basin.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
Bissau near 11N15W and extends to 07N31W. The ITCZ extends from
07N31W to the Brazil coast near 04N51W. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 04N to 07N east of 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A deep layer trough across the western Gulf is promoting scattered
moderate convection between 87W and 94W, with the most
concentrated thunderstorms from 22N to 25N. Except near these
thunderstorms, winds across the Gulf are moderate or weaker with
seas 1-4 ft due to weak ridging predominating.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
waters until Wed morning, supporting gentle to moderate easterly
to southerly winds. On Wed night, a late-season cold front will
enter the northeastern Gulf, then stall from near Cape Haze,
Florida to New Orleans, Louisiana through Thu night before
dissipating Fri. Anticipate fresh to strong E to SE winds and
rough seas behind this front. By Fri night, ridging should rebuild
across the central and northeastern Gulf, resuming gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and moderate seas for the entire Gulf. An
upper-level trough across the western Gulf will continue to
support showers and thunderstorms across the eastern and central
Gulf through midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a ridge north of the Greater
Antilles and a 1007 mb Colombian Low will continue to produce
strong trades over the S central Caribbean. Fresh winds have also
developed in the Gulf of Honduras and over the remainder of the
central and eastern basin. Rough seas are present where the strong
winds are, with moderate seas corresponding to fresh winds. For
the rest of the basin, moderate winds and slight seas prevail. No
significant deep convection is occurring over the Caribbean this
evening.
For the forecast, a tight gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas at the central and part of the southwestern
basin through Wed morning. Afterward, these trade winds should
decrease to between moderate and fresh with moderate seas by Thu.
Fresh to strong winds with moderate seas are expected at the Gulf
of Honduras through Fri night. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
with slight to moderate seas will prevail for the rest of the
Caribbean Sea through the end of the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning for
waters southeast of Bermuda Tue evening.
A cold front has stalled from 31N57W to 26N62W. Convection
associated with this boundary has diminished this evening.
However, an upper level trough to the west is leading to numerous
moderate to scattered strong convection from The Bahamas to 28N
between 72W and Florida. N of these thunderstorms, a 1011 mb low
pressure is noted at 31N75W with a warm front extending SE to
29N72W, and cold front stretching from the low to near Daytona
Beach, Florida. The remainder of the basin is dominated ridging
from the Azores High, leading to moderate to fresh NE to E trades
and 6 to 9 ft seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, low pressure will merge with an
existing stationary front near 30N62W on Tue night. Aided by a
strong high over the north-central Atlantic, near-gale to gale-
force S to SW winds and rough seas are expected south of the low.
As this low tracks northeastward away from the area Wed and Wed
night, both winds and seas should gradually subside. Afterward, a
surface ridge will build southeastward from the southeastern U.S.
and promote gentle to moderate winds with moderate seas for the
wester Atlantic. The except will be pulsing fresh to locally
strong winds north of Hispaniola until Thu night.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 22:39:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 012239
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Jun 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: Low pressure and an attendant cold front
moving S of 31N will reach from Bermuda to the NW Bahamas by late
Tue. Strong SW winds will develop ahead of the front Tue,
increasing to gale-force SE of Bermuda by afternoon. Seas will
build in this area to very rough. The front will stall Tue night,
and winds will fall below gale force by Wed morning.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 16N and
moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 04N to 07N between 33W and 37W.
A new tropical wave has been analyzed along 46W, S of 15N, moving
W at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently associated with this
wave.
A far western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, S of 15N
extending southward into the eastern Pacific, moving W at around 5
kt. Associated convection is confined to inland portions of
Central America and the waters of the eastern Pacific basin.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
Bissau near 11N15W and extends to 07N31W. The ITCZ extends from
07N31W to the Brazil coast near 04N51W. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 04N to 07N east of 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A deep layer trough across the western Gulf is promoting scattered
moderate convection between 87W and 94W, with the most
concentrated thunderstorms from 22N to 25N. Except near these
thunderstorms, winds across the Gulf are moderate or weaker with
seas 1-4 ft due to weak ridging predominating.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
waters until Wed morning, supporting gentle to moderate easterly
to southerly winds. On Wed night, a late-season cold front will
enter the northeastern Gulf, then stall from near Cape Haze,
Florida to New Orleans, Louisiana through Thu night before
dissipating Fri. Anticipate fresh to strong E to SE winds and
rough seas behind this front. By Fri night, ridging should rebuild
across the central and northeastern Gulf, resuming gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and moderate seas for the entire Gulf. An
upper-level trough across the western Gulf will continue to
support showers and thunderstorms across the eastern and central
Gulf through midweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a ridge north of the Greater
Antilles and a 1007 mb Colombian Low will continue to produce
strong trades over the S central Caribbean. Fresh winds have also
developed in the Gulf of Honduras and over the remainder of the
central and eastern basin. Rough seas are present where the strong
winds are, with moderate seas corresponding to fresh winds. For
the rest of the basin, moderate winds and slight seas prevail. No
significant deep convection is occurring over the Caribbean this
evening.
For the forecast, a tight gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas at the central and part of the southwestern
basin through Wed morning. Afterward, these trade winds should
decrease to between moderate and fresh with moderate seas by Thu.
Fresh to strong winds with moderate seas are expected at the Gulf
of Honduras through Fri night. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
with slight to moderate seas will prevail for the rest of the
Caribbean Sea through the end of the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning for
waters southeast of Bermuda Tue evening.
A cold front has stalled from 31N57W to 26N62W. Convection
associated with this boundary has diminished this evening.
However, an upper level trough to the west is leading to numerous
moderate to scattered strong convection from The Bahamas to 28N
between 72W and Florida. N of these thunderstorms, a 1011 mb low
pressure is noted at 31N75W with a warm front extending SE to
29N72W, and cold front stretching from the low to near Daytona
Beach, Florida. The remainder of the basin is dominated ridging
from the Azores High, leading to moderate to fresh NE to E trades
and 6 to 9 ft seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, low pressure will merge with an
existing stationary front near 30N62W on Tue night. Aided by a
strong high over the north-central Atlantic, near-gale to gale-
force S to SW winds and rough seas are expected south of the low.
As this low tracks northeastward away from the area Wed and Wed
night, both winds and seas should gradually subside. Afterward, a
surface ridge will build southeastward from the southeastern U.S.
and promote gentle to moderate winds with moderate seas for the
wester Atlantic. The except will be pulsing fresh to locally
strong winds north of Hispaniola until Thu night.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 03 Jun 2026 11:07:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 02 Jun 2026 01:11:29 GMT - Mon, 01 Jun 2026 23:07:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 012307
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 12:53:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 011253
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT MON 01 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-01
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS PRODUCT, THE TCPOD, OUTLINES TASKED AND POSSIBLE NHC AND
NCEP OPERATIONAL WEATHER-RECONNAISSANCE FLYING REQUIREMENTS. IT WILL
BE ISSUED DAILY NO LATER THAN 1830 UTC THROUGH 30 NOVEMBER BY THE
CHIEF, AERIAL RECONNAISSANCE COORDINATION, ALL HURRICANES (CARCAH) UNIT
OF THE U.S. AIR FORCE RESERVE COMMAND.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


