2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 10 Mar 2026 04:52:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100451
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Mar 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
    Atlantic ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades across the eastern Caribbean through today,
    and over the central part of the basin through Wed night. Winds
    offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-force during
    the night-time hours tonight. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are expected
    with the strongest winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for
    the forecast zones of Agadir and Tarfaya. The forecast calls for
    northerly gales with severe gusts through 11/0000 UTC at least.
    Recent scatterometer data confirmed the presence of these wind
    speeds. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas
    Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 10N14W then continues SW to near 01.5N21W. Then the ITCZ
    extends from 01.5N21W to 01S30W to the coast of Brazil near
    02S45W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted from 05N to
    08N E of 15W to the coast of Africa, near 02N20W, and S of 01N
    between 35W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf waters, with a 1022 mb high pressure
    located over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds are
    found across most of the basin, with slight to moderate seas. An
    area of moderate to fresh easterly winds is noted over the SE Gulf
    within about 90 nm of the coast of western Cuba. Moderate E winds
    and moderate seas prevail in the Straits of Florida.

    For the forecast, a broad surface ridge extending across the
    basin will prevail through midweek. The pressure gradient between
    the ridge and lower pressures over Mexico will support mainly
    moderate to fresh E to SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to fresh and
    strong near the northern Yucatan and the western Gulf in the
    evenings, and slightly weaker winds overall in the northeastern
    Gulf. Seas will be slight to moderate through Wed. A cold front
    will impact the northwestern Gulf beginning Wed night, before
    moving across the basin through Fri night. In the wake of the
    front, winds will increase to fresh to strong speeds and seas will
    build to 7 to 10 ft through Thu night with conditions improving
    thereafter.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see Special Features section above regarding developing
    Gale conditions in the south-central Caribbean.

    Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong trade winds
    across the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela.
    Similar wind speeds are also observed across the Windward Passage.
    These winds are the result of the pressure gradient between the
    Colombian low and the Atlantic high pressure. Winds are moderate
    to fresh across the remaining basin, except for light winds in far
    SW portions near the coasts of Costa Rica and western Panama.
    Rough seas of 8 to 10 ft prevail in the south-central Caribbean
    near the coast of Colombia, and are a bit more moderate at 6 to 8
    ft in the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean. Moderate
    seas are noted in the NW Caribbean, except in the lee of Cuba
    where slight seas are noted. Locally rough seas are near Atlantic
    passages. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
    parts of Cuba and Hispaniola, more concentrated over Haiti. Passing
    showers dot much of the east and central portions of the basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across
    the eastern basin through Tue, and the central basin through Wed
    night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-
    force during the night-time hours Tue night. Fresh to strong
    winds will linger in the south-central Caribbean into the upcoming
    weekend. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse near
    the Windward Passage and south of Haiti through Thu. Moderate to
    fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Lee of Cuba
    through Wed night. Large easterly trade-wind swell from the tropical
    North Atlantic will keep rough seas near the Lesser Antilles through
    Wed night. Marine conditions will improve slightly by the end of
    the week as the pressure gradient weakens due to a weak cold front
    approaching the NW Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level low is generating scattered showers and thunderstorms
    across the waters from 21N to 30N between 34W and 43W. A surface
    trough is analyzed in this area and runs from 31N39W to 22N41W.
    Fresh to strong SE winds are on the E side of the trough axis to
    about 30W. A ridge continues to dominate the remainder of the
    Atlantic forecast waters, with a 1030 mb high pressure located E
    of Bermuda near 32N58W, and a 1037 mb high pressure situated over
    the Azores. This pattern is supporting fresh to strong winds N of
    18N and E of 30W, including the Canary Islands. Strong to minimal
    gale-force N winds are noted per scatterometer data near southern
    Morrocco. Moderate to fresh trade winds are south of 26N and west
    of 45W, becoming moderate SE to S winds north of the Bahamas and
    west of 70W. Moderate to rough seas in E swell are noted in this
    region of fresh winds as well as east of the Lesser Antilles.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over
    the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
    will prevail south of 26N through midweek, reaching strong speeds
    north of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Rough seas
    will prevail within these winds and east of the central and southeast
    Bahamas through Tue. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected
    elsewhere across the region. Southerly fresh to strong winds may
    develop off northern Florida Wed night ahead of a cold front. That
    front will move offshore Thu night with fresh to strong winds and
    building seas behind it, weakening and slowing from near Bermuda
    to the northern Bahamas by Fri. High pressure ridging will build
    across the basin for the start of the weekend.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 10 Mar 2026 04:52:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100451
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Mar 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
    Atlantic ridge and the Colombian low will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades across the eastern Caribbean through today,
    and over the central part of the basin through Wed night. Winds
    offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-force during
    the night-time hours tonight. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are expected
    with the strongest winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for
    the forecast zones of Agadir and Tarfaya. The forecast calls for
    northerly gales with severe gusts through 11/0000 UTC at least.
    Recent scatterometer data confirmed the presence of these wind
    speeds. For more details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas
    Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
    near 10N14W then continues SW to near 01.5N21W. Then the ITCZ
    extends from 01.5N21W to 01S30W to the coast of Brazil near
    02S45W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted from 05N to
    08N E of 15W to the coast of Africa, near 02N20W, and S of 01N
    between 35W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf waters, with a 1022 mb high pressure
    located over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds are
    found across most of the basin, with slight to moderate seas. An
    area of moderate to fresh easterly winds is noted over the SE Gulf
    within about 90 nm of the coast of western Cuba. Moderate E winds
    and moderate seas prevail in the Straits of Florida.

    For the forecast, a broad surface ridge extending across the
    basin will prevail through midweek. The pressure gradient between
    the ridge and lower pressures over Mexico will support mainly
    moderate to fresh E to SE winds basin-wide, pulsing to fresh and
    strong near the northern Yucatan and the western Gulf in the
    evenings, and slightly weaker winds overall in the northeastern
    Gulf. Seas will be slight to moderate through Wed. A cold front
    will impact the northwestern Gulf beginning Wed night, before
    moving across the basin through Fri night. In the wake of the
    front, winds will increase to fresh to strong speeds and seas will
    build to 7 to 10 ft through Thu night with conditions improving
    thereafter.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please see Special Features section above regarding developing
    Gale conditions in the south-central Caribbean.

    Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong trade winds
    across the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela.
    Similar wind speeds are also observed across the Windward Passage.
    These winds are the result of the pressure gradient between the
    Colombian low and the Atlantic high pressure. Winds are moderate
    to fresh across the remaining basin, except for light winds in far
    SW portions near the coasts of Costa Rica and western Panama.
    Rough seas of 8 to 10 ft prevail in the south-central Caribbean
    near the coast of Colombia, and are a bit more moderate at 6 to 8
    ft in the remainder of the central and eastern Caribbean. Moderate
    seas are noted in the NW Caribbean, except in the lee of Cuba
    where slight seas are noted. Locally rough seas are near Atlantic
    passages. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are occurring over
    parts of Cuba and Hispaniola, more concentrated over Haiti. Passing
    showers dot much of the east and central portions of the basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trades across
    the eastern basin through Tue, and the central basin through Wed
    night. Winds offshore of northwestern Colombia will pulse to gale-
    force during the night-time hours Tue night. Fresh to strong
    winds will linger in the south-central Caribbean into the upcoming
    weekend. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse near
    the Windward Passage and south of Haiti through Thu. Moderate to
    fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Lee of Cuba
    through Wed night. Large easterly trade-wind swell from the tropical
    North Atlantic will keep rough seas near the Lesser Antilles through
    Wed night. Marine conditions will improve slightly by the end of
    the week as the pressure gradient weakens due to a weak cold front
    approaching the NW Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level low is generating scattered showers and thunderstorms
    across the waters from 21N to 30N between 34W and 43W. A surface
    trough is analyzed in this area and runs from 31N39W to 22N41W.
    Fresh to strong SE winds are on the E side of the trough axis to
    about 30W. A ridge continues to dominate the remainder of the
    Atlantic forecast waters, with a 1030 mb high pressure located E
    of Bermuda near 32N58W, and a 1037 mb high pressure situated over
    the Azores. This pattern is supporting fresh to strong winds N of
    18N and E of 30W, including the Canary Islands. Strong to minimal
    gale-force N winds are noted per scatterometer data near southern
    Morrocco. Moderate to fresh trade winds are south of 26N and west
    of 45W, becoming moderate SE to S winds north of the Bahamas and
    west of 70W. Moderate to rough seas in E swell are noted in this
    region of fresh winds as well as east of the Lesser Antilles.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over
    the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
    will prevail south of 26N through midweek, reaching strong speeds
    north of Hispaniola into the Windward passage at times. Rough seas
    will prevail within these winds and east of the central and southeast
    Bahamas through Tue. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected
    elsewhere across the region. Southerly fresh to strong winds may
    develop off northern Florida Wed night ahead of a cold front. That
    front will move offshore Thu night with fresh to strong winds and
    building seas behind it, weakening and slowing from near Bermuda
    to the northern Bahamas by Fri. High pressure ridging will build
    across the basin for the start of the weekend.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 09 Mar 2026 17:25:34 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    286
    NOUS42 KNHC 091725
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0125 PM EDT MON 09 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z MARCH 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-099

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
    A. 11/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 40WSE IOP41
    C. 10/1930Z
    D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
    BY: 35.0N 130.0W, 35.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 150.0W, AND 55.0N
    130.0W
    E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 10/2030Z TO 11/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
    FOR THE 12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC
    FOR THE 13/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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