SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 10:59:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Sep 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.8N 42.8W at 25/0900 UTC
or 930 nm WSW of the Azores, moving W at 5 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45
kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas to 17 ft are occurring within
45 nm across the N semicircle. Numerous moderate convection is
noted from 28N to 31N between 39W and 46W. Some slight
strengthening is possible over the next 12 hours. Thereafter,
gradual weakening is expected through the weekend.
Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 14.2N 22.4W at 25/0900
UTC or 120 nm ESE of the Southernmost Cabo Verde Islands, moving
NNW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak
seas are near 15 ft. Numerous moderate to strong convection
extends from 10N to 23N between 17W and 22W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 06N to 30N between 17W and 29W. On the
forecast track, the center will pass near or over portions of the
Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight. Some strengthening is
possible today, with a gradual weakening trend forecast to begin
this weekend. Swells generated by the storm are expected to
affect the Cabo Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America and Southern Mexico: A mid to
upper-level trough is over the NW Caribbean while relatively warm
sea surface temperatures and abundant low level moisture are
present. This pattern will aid in funneling enhanced tropical
moisture across Central America and the western Caribbean,
supporting periods of heavy rainfall through Sat. There is still
some uncertainty regarding the exact location of heaviest
rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks likely across extreme
southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala,
western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as
well as across portions of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently,
scattered moderate isolated strong showers and thunderstorms
are in the Gulf of Honduras, as well as across the offshore waters
of Panama and Costa Rica. Heavy rainfall across these regions
will create the possibility of life-threatening flash flooding
and landslides. Please refer to local weather services as well as
the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 55W, from 07N to 16N, moving
west at 10 to 15 kt. There is no significant convection associated
with it at the time.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean along 77W, south of 13N
into central Colombia, moving westward at 15 kt. Heavy showers and
tstms are occurring over the Panama and Costa Rica offshore waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 11N25W to 08N37W to 11N48W. There
is no well defined ITCZ further west at this time. See T.S.
Gonzalo in the Special Features section for information on
convection.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from SE Louisiana to Cape Coral, FL. Ahead of
this front, a weakening cold front extends from the Straits of
Florida NW to Houston, Texas while a surface trough and a low are
over the E Bay of Campeche, generating some scattered showers.
Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds are in the wake or behind
these frontal boundaries while seas are slight to moderate.
For the forecast, the cold front will merge with a weakening cold
front over the SE Gulf later today and then move E of the Gulf
tonight into Sat. Moderate to locally fresh winds will follow the
front through tonight. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will
prevail through Sat night. Winds will diminish slightly Sun into
early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on
upper-level low pressure across the far western Caribbean that is
expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall over portions of
Central America into the weekend.
Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the south-central basin
along with moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient due to the passage of
a frontal boundary N of the area will support moderate to fresh
trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere. A middle to upper-level trough over the NW Caribbean
will support scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over
that region through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Fay and Tropical Storm Gonzalo.
A dissiapting stationary front extends from near 31N72W to the
Straits of Florida. A reinforcing cold front is across the NW
waters from 31N75W to near Stuart, Florida. Heavy showers and
tstms are ahead of these boundaries and a 1011 mb low centered
near 28N75W. These showers extends as far as 66W, including the
Great Bahama Bank and the approaches to the Windward Passage. A
broad surface ridge covers the remainder central and eastern
subtropical Atlantic waters. A surface trough is near the SW
periphery of the ridge, extending from 26N54W to 22N60W, which is
generating scattered showers from 21N to 28N between 51W and 59W.
Fresh to strong N to NE winds follow the frontal boundaries while
mainly moderate to fresh SW winds are ahead of the boundaries to
63W. Rough seas to 13 ft are behind the front. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas are elsewhere in the subtropical waters,
except in the vicinity of Fay.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will merge
with a trailing cold front and then shift eastward, reaching from
near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida Sat night before starting
to weaken. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
expected along the frontal boundary. Fresh to strong winds and
increasing seas will follow the front through today, before
decreasing on Sat.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 10:59:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Sep 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Fay is centered near 29.8N 42.8W at 25/0900 UTC
or 930 nm WSW of the Azores, moving W at 5 kt. Estimated minimum
central pressure is 1004 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 45
kt with gusts to 55 kt. Peak seas to 17 ft are occurring within
45 nm across the N semicircle. Numerous moderate convection is
noted from 28N to 31N between 39W and 46W. Some slight
strengthening is possible over the next 12 hours. Thereafter,
gradual weakening is expected through the weekend.
Tropical Storm Gonzalo is centered near 14.2N 22.4W at 25/0900
UTC or 120 nm ESE of the Southernmost Cabo Verde Islands, moving
NNW at 8 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb.
Maximum sustained wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt. Peak
seas are near 15 ft. Numerous moderate to strong convection
extends from 10N to 23N between 17W and 22W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 06N to 30N between 17W and 29W. On the
forecast track, the center will pass near or over portions of the
Cabo Verde Islands today and tonight. Some strengthening is
possible today, with a gradual weakening trend forecast to begin
this weekend. Swells generated by the storm are expected to
affect the Cabo Verde Islands through Saturday. These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest Fay
and Gonzalo NHC Forecast/Advisories and Public Advisories at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
Heavy Rainfall in Central America and Southern Mexico: A mid to
upper-level trough is over the NW Caribbean while relatively warm
sea surface temperatures and abundant low level moisture are
present. This pattern will aid in funneling enhanced tropical
moisture across Central America and the western Caribbean,
supporting periods of heavy rainfall through Sat. There is still
some uncertainty regarding the exact location of heaviest
rainfall, but for now heavy rainfall looks likely across extreme
southeastern Mexico near Chiapas, southern and central Guatemala,
western Honduras, El Salvador, southern and eastern Belize, as
well as across portions of Costa Rica and Panama. Currently,
scattered moderate isolated strong showers and thunderstorms
are in the Gulf of Honduras, as well as across the offshore waters
of Panama and Costa Rica. Heavy rainfall across these regions
will create the possibility of life-threatening flash flooding
and landslides. Please refer to local weather services as well as
the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 55W, from 07N to 16N, moving
west at 10 to 15 kt. There is no significant convection associated
with it at the time.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean along 77W, south of 13N
into central Colombia, moving westward at 15 kt. Heavy showers and
tstms are occurring over the Panama and Costa Rica offshore waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 11N25W to 08N37W to 11N48W. There
is no well defined ITCZ further west at this time. See T.S.
Gonzalo in the Special Features section for information on
convection.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from SE Louisiana to Cape Coral, FL. Ahead of
this front, a weakening cold front extends from the Straits of
Florida NW to Houston, Texas while a surface trough and a low are
over the E Bay of Campeche, generating some scattered showers.
Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds are in the wake or behind
these frontal boundaries while seas are slight to moderate.
For the forecast, the cold front will merge with a weakening cold
front over the SE Gulf later today and then move E of the Gulf
tonight into Sat. Moderate to locally fresh winds will follow the
front through tonight. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will
prevail through Sat night. Winds will diminish slightly Sun into
early next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above for information on
upper-level low pressure across the far western Caribbean that is
expected to produce areas of heavy rainfall over portions of
Central America into the weekend.
Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the south-central basin
along with moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient due to the passage of
a frontal boundary N of the area will support moderate to fresh
trades over the S central Caribbean, and gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere. A middle to upper-level trough over the NW Caribbean
will support scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over
that region through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Tropical
Storm Fay and Tropical Storm Gonzalo.
A dissiapting stationary front extends from near 31N72W to the
Straits of Florida. A reinforcing cold front is across the NW
waters from 31N75W to near Stuart, Florida. Heavy showers and
tstms are ahead of these boundaries and a 1011 mb low centered
near 28N75W. These showers extends as far as 66W, including the
Great Bahama Bank and the approaches to the Windward Passage. A
broad surface ridge covers the remainder central and eastern
subtropical Atlantic waters. A surface trough is near the SW
periphery of the ridge, extending from 26N54W to 22N60W, which is
generating scattered showers from 21N to 28N between 51W and 59W.
Fresh to strong N to NE winds follow the frontal boundaries while
mainly moderate to fresh SW winds are ahead of the boundaries to
63W. Rough seas to 13 ft are behind the front. Moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas are elsewhere in the subtropical waters,
except in the vicinity of Fay.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will merge
with a trailing cold front and then shift eastward, reaching from
near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida Sat night before starting
to weaken. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
expected along the frontal boundary. Fresh to strong winds and
increasing seas will follow the front through today, before
decreasing on Sat.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 14:51:03 +0000: Tropical Storm Gonzalo Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 25 Sep 2026 14:46:45 GMT - Fri, 25 Sep 2026 14:45:20 +0000: Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 22 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026000 WTNT31 KNHC 251445 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 300 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 2026 ...FAY SLIGHTLY STRONGER... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...30.1N 42.5W ABOUT 1040 MI...1670 KM WSW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was located near latitude 30.1 North, longitude 42.5 West. Fay is moving toward the west near 3 mph (6 km/h). A gradual turn to the west-southwest then southwest at a slower forward speed is expected over the next few of days. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher gusts. Some slight strengthening is possible over the next few hours. Gradual weakening, however, is still expected through the weekend. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT. $$ Forecaster Katz/Roberts
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 14:45:20 +0000: Tropical Storm Gonzalo Forecast Discussion Number 3 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 200 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026000 WTNT42 KNHC 251445 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Gonzalo Discussion Number 3 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL072026 200 PM CVT Fri Sep 25 2026 Gonzalo remains a sheared tropical cyclone with the deep convection located northeast of the elongated center. ASCAT data from around 1100 UTC revealed a large area of tropical-storm force winds located over the northeastern portion of the circulation with peak winds of around 45 kt. Those peak winds were the basis for increasing the intensity to 45 kt on the 1200 UTC intermediate advisory, and the initial intensity for this advisory remains unchanged. The initial motion estimate is north-northwest or 345/9 kt. A mid-level trough over the eastern Atlantic is expected to steer Gonzalo north-northwestward to northward today with the center passing near or over the easternmost Cabo Verde Islands. A north-northwestward heading should then continue over the weekend with some reduction in forward speed as the system weakens and becomes more vertically shallow. The updated NHC track forecast is similar to the previous advisory and lies closest to the HFIP corrected consensus aid. Little change in strength is expected today as Gonzalo passes near or over the Cabo Verde Islands. The shear is forecast to increase to more than 30 kt later tonight and become even more belligerent over the weekend. This should cause weakening to begin by Saturday morning with a continued gradual spin down through the weekend. As the SSTs cool along the track and strong shear continues, the system is likely to lose organized deep convection by late Sunday or Sunday night and become post-tropical. The NHC intensity forecast is close to a blend of the Google Deep Mind and HFIP corrected consensus aids. Key Messages: 1. Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the Cabo Verde Islands into tonight. 2. Heavy rains from Gonzalo could affect the eastern portions of the Cabo Verde Islands and the western coast of Africa between Guinea-Bissau to Senegal through Saturday. Areas of flash flooding will be possible along the Africa coasts with some isolated flash flood concerns for the eastern portions of Cabo Verde. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 25/1500Z 15.1N 22.7W 45 KT 50 MPH 12H 26/0000Z 16.5N 22.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 24H 26/1200Z 18.1N 23.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 36H 27/0000Z 19.3N 23.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 27/1200Z 20.3N 24.2W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 28/0000Z 20.8N 24.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 72H 28/1200Z 21.3N 25.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 29/1200Z 21.8N 25.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 30/1200Z 22.2N 25.9W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Brown
- Fri, 25 Sep 2026 14:45:20 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Fay (AT1/AL062026) - NHC Atlantic
...FAY SLIGHTLY STRONGER... As of 3:00 PM GMT Fri Sep 25 the center of Fay was located near 30.1, -42.5 with movement W at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph. - Fri, 25 Sep 2026 14:44:37 +0000: Tropical Storm Gonzalo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 3 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026440 FONT12 KNHC 251444 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL072026 1500 UTC FRI SEP 25 2026 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 22.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT RIBIERA GRANDE 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) PRAIA CVI 34 96 X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) SANTA MARIA CV 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SANTA MARIA CV 50 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BROWN
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 24 Sep 2026 21:15:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 242113
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0515 PM EDT THU 24 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-117 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS (NO CHANGES)
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM NOLO (NO CHANGES)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
A. 25/1730Z,2330Z A. 26/0530Z,0830Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0315E NOLO B. AFXXX 0415E NOLO
C. 25/1545Z C. 26/0400Z
D. 16.6N 155.6W D. 17.5N 155.4W
E. 25/1700Z TO 25/2330Z E. 26/0500Z TO 26/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 3-HRLY FIXES ON NOLO.
B. (CHANGED) NOAA 43 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR AND FIX MISSION INTO
HURRICANE POLO FOR 27/0000Z, DEPARTING KHRL AT 26/1900Z.
3. REMARKS:
A. NOAA 42 WILL CONDUCT AN 8-HOUR RESEARCH MISSION INTO POLO
ON FRIDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 25/1300Z. DURING THE MISSION,
FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN THE STORM
ENVIRONMENT. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR
ABOUT 1 TO 2 HOURS.
B. (CHANGED) NOAA 43 WILL ALSO CONDUCT AN 8-HOUR RESEARCH
MISSION INTO POLO ON FRIDAY, DEPARTING KHRL AT 25/1900Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf