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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 05:06:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 300506
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, from 02N to 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Any nearby convection is described
with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are seen from 07N to 13N between 46W and 57W.
An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south
of 20N near the western Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
moving westward at around 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
seen near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N17W
to 09N22W to 12N36W. The ITCZ extends from 12N36W to 09N47W where
it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from 07N50W
to 06N54W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen
from 06N to 11N between 25W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A persistent surface trough is from near Naples, Florida to the
eastern Gulf near 26N87W. Clusters of scattered moderate to
strong convection are noted N of 26N and E of 86W. Otherwise,
1014 mb high pressure near 27N91W controls the basin with gentle
to moderate or weaker winds prevailing across much of the Gulf
and away from areas of convection, except for the SW Gulf where a
surface trough is driving moderate to fresh E winds. Seas are 1
to 3 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
26N86W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain scattered showers and
thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf through the rest of the
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical fresh to
strong trades across the basin from 11N to 18N including the Gulf
of Honduras, except locally near gale force near northern
Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8
ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W, and mainly 3 to 5 ft
elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba. Seas are locally 8-10
ft offshore N Colombia.
For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
will increase on Thu as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time, expect fresh
to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the
eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds to near
gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest seas offshore
Colombia. Fresh winds are expected to pulse in the Gulf of
Honduras nightly through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
N of 28N and W of 75W. The remainder of the basin is under the
influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1025 mb high
pressure system near 30N51W.
The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
north of 28N and west of 65W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and
monsoon trough to 20N and west of 40W, with locally strong E winds E
of the Lesser Antilles to about 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic,
fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft are evident
from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 25N, through Fri.
This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
Atlantic, will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and
west of 70W for the next several days. Fresh to strong trades will
pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
through the upcoming weekend.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 05:06:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 300506
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, from 02N to 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Any nearby convection is described
with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are seen from 07N to 13N between 46W and 57W.
An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 71W, south
of 20N near the western Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
moving westward at around 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
seen near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N17W
to 09N22W to 12N36W. The ITCZ extends from 12N36W to 09N47W where
it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then resumes from 07N50W
to 06N54W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen
from 06N to 11N between 25W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A persistent surface trough is from near Naples, Florida to the
eastern Gulf near 26N87W. Clusters of scattered moderate to
strong convection are noted N of 26N and E of 86W. Otherwise,
1014 mb high pressure near 27N91W controls the basin with gentle
to moderate or weaker winds prevailing across much of the Gulf
and away from areas of convection, except for the SW Gulf where a
surface trough is driving moderate to fresh E winds. Seas are 1
to 3 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
26N86W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain scattered showers and
thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf through the rest of the
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical fresh to
strong trades across the basin from 11N to 18N including the Gulf
of Honduras, except locally near gale force near northern
Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8
ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W, and mainly 3 to 5 ft
elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba. Seas are locally 8-10
ft offshore N Colombia.
For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
will increase on Thu as the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time, expect fresh
to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across most of the
eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest winds to near
gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest seas offshore
Colombia. Fresh winds are expected to pulse in the Gulf of
Honduras nightly through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
N of 28N and W of 75W. The remainder of the basin is under the
influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1025 mb high
pressure system near 30N51W.
The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
north of 28N and west of 65W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the ITCZ and
monsoon trough to 20N and west of 40W, with locally strong E winds E
of the Lesser Antilles to about 60W. In the far eastern Atlantic,
fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft are evident
from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 25N, through Fri.
This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
Atlantic, will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
scattered showers and thunderstorms primarily north of 27N and
west of 70W for the next several days. Fresh to strong trades will
pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the mornings
through the upcoming weekend.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 17:12:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 30 Jul 2026 09:40:12 GMT - Thu, 30 Jul 2026 05:12:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
496
ABNT20 KNHC 300512
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Jul 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 29 Jul 2026 12:46:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
731
NOUS42 KNHC 291246
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT WED 29 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-059
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: ALL REMAINING TASKED REQUIREMENTS FOR TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FAUSTO WERE CANCELED BY NHC AT 28/2030Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf