2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 24 Nov 2025 05:58:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 240558
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Nov 24 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0600 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and continues
    southwestward to 08N16W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
    continues to 05N35W, and then runs west-northwestward to the coast
    of Guyana near 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
    E of 31W between 03N and 13N, and also near the coast of Guyana.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Satellite imagery shows a fog bank forming along the Gulf coast of
    Florida from the Big Bend down to near Venice, FL as of 0550 UTC.
    Mariners should be aware of the potential for reduced visibility
    within 20-30 nm of the coast in these aforementioned areas. A
    weak stationary front extends from near Apalachicola, FL across
    the N Gulf to the TX coast near Port Aransas. Widely scattered
    showers are seen near and in the vicinity of the front. Otherwise,
    weak ridging continues to dominate the basin. Recent
    scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh SE to E winds
    across much of the Gulf W of 90W, and gentle to moderate E to NE
    winds E of 90W. Slight seas prevail across the Gulf.

    For the forecast, a frontal boundary remains stationary from the
    Florida Panhandle to Lake Jackson, Texas. The front will lift
    northeastward as a warm front tonight as low pressure develops
    over the Southern Plains. Expect fresh southerly flow off the
    Texas coast tonight through Mon night supported by the gradient
    between low pressure over northeast Mexico and high pressure off
    the Carolinas. These winds will diminish Tue ahead of a frontal
    boundary that will be nearing the Texas coast. A stronger
    reinforcing cold front will overtake the frontal boundary early
    Wed, then move into the northwest Gulf. The cold front will then
    sweep to the southeast of the basin by late Thu, followed by fresh
    to strong northeast winds and building seas into the weekend.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms may accompany the initial
    frontal boundary.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak upper level trough and convergent surface winds in the NW
    Caribbean is leading to scattered moderate convection near the
    coasts of Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, as well as more isolated
    convection near the SW coast of Jamaica. In the SW Caribbean, the
    East Pacific monsoon trough is supporting more scattered moderate
    convection generally S of 12N and W of 75W. Outside of convection,
    the pressure gradient between high pressure over the SE US and the
    Colombia low sustains fresh to strong NE winds off the NW coast of
    Colombia, with rough seas also analyzed in the region. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas persist across the remainder of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will force
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas offshore of
    northern Colombia each night and morning through mid week. In the
    remainder of the basin, the weather pattern will also support
    moderate to fresh breezes along with moderate seas through the
    period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An elongated surface trough persists over the central Atlantic
    from 31N48W to near 20N50W. A broad upper level low is also
    centered near 26N49W, and is aiding in the development of
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms from 18N to 31N
    between 42W and 51W. A pair of surface troughs are also analyzed
    over the eastern Atlantic, one from 28N21W to 18N27W and the other
    from 31N10W to near 17N22W. Another upper level low appears to be
    centered near 24N25W, with these three features resulting in
    widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms E of 28W
    between 13N and 29N.

    Elsewhere across the Atlantic, a cold front enters the discussion
    waters near 31N71W and extends to the FL coast near Cape
    Canaveral. No notable convection is associated with this front.
    Otherwise, a trade wind regime persists across much of the
    Atlantic, with recent scatterometer data indicating moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas confirmed by altimeter data
    prevailing across much of the Atlantic E of 50W, as well as S of
    20N between the Lesser Antilles and 50W. Gentle to moderate NE
    winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front extends from
    31N73W to Palm Bay, Florida and will reach from near Bermuda to
    Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon. The eastern portion of the
    front will continue eastward and reach from 30N55W to 27N70W by
    early Tue, while the portion west of 70W starts to lift back north
    as a warm front. High pressure will shift eastward off Carolina
    coast following the front, supporting moderate to fresh northeast
    to east winds and moderate seas over the region. Looking ahead,
    winds and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of a
    stronger front expected to move off the northeast Florida coast
    Wed night. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits of
    Florida by early Fri, followed by fresh northeast winds and
    building seas through Fri night.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 24 Nov 2025 05:58:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 240558
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Nov 24 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0600 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and continues
    southwestward to 08N16W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
    continues to 05N35W, and then runs west-northwestward to the coast
    of Guyana near 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
    E of 31W between 03N and 13N, and also near the coast of Guyana.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Satellite imagery shows a fog bank forming along the Gulf coast of
    Florida from the Big Bend down to near Venice, FL as of 0550 UTC.
    Mariners should be aware of the potential for reduced visibility
    within 20-30 nm of the coast in these aforementioned areas. A
    weak stationary front extends from near Apalachicola, FL across
    the N Gulf to the TX coast near Port Aransas. Widely scattered
    showers are seen near and in the vicinity of the front. Otherwise,
    weak ridging continues to dominate the basin. Recent
    scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh SE to E winds
    across much of the Gulf W of 90W, and gentle to moderate E to NE
    winds E of 90W. Slight seas prevail across the Gulf.

    For the forecast, a frontal boundary remains stationary from the
    Florida Panhandle to Lake Jackson, Texas. The front will lift
    northeastward as a warm front tonight as low pressure develops
    over the Southern Plains. Expect fresh southerly flow off the
    Texas coast tonight through Mon night supported by the gradient
    between low pressure over northeast Mexico and high pressure off
    the Carolinas. These winds will diminish Tue ahead of a frontal
    boundary that will be nearing the Texas coast. A stronger
    reinforcing cold front will overtake the frontal boundary early
    Wed, then move into the northwest Gulf. The cold front will then
    sweep to the southeast of the basin by late Thu, followed by fresh
    to strong northeast winds and building seas into the weekend.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms may accompany the initial
    frontal boundary.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak upper level trough and convergent surface winds in the NW
    Caribbean is leading to scattered moderate convection near the
    coasts of Belize, Honduras, Nicaragua, as well as more isolated
    convection near the SW coast of Jamaica. In the SW Caribbean, the
    East Pacific monsoon trough is supporting more scattered moderate
    convection generally S of 12N and W of 75W. Outside of convection,
    the pressure gradient between high pressure over the SE US and the
    Colombia low sustains fresh to strong NE winds off the NW coast of
    Colombia, with rough seas also analyzed in the region. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas persist across the remainder of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will force
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas offshore of
    northern Colombia each night and morning through mid week. In the
    remainder of the basin, the weather pattern will also support
    moderate to fresh breezes along with moderate seas through the
    period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An elongated surface trough persists over the central Atlantic
    from 31N48W to near 20N50W. A broad upper level low is also
    centered near 26N49W, and is aiding in the development of
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms from 18N to 31N
    between 42W and 51W. A pair of surface troughs are also analyzed
    over the eastern Atlantic, one from 28N21W to 18N27W and the other
    from 31N10W to near 17N22W. Another upper level low appears to be
    centered near 24N25W, with these three features resulting in
    widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms E of 28W
    between 13N and 29N.

    Elsewhere across the Atlantic, a cold front enters the discussion
    waters near 31N71W and extends to the FL coast near Cape
    Canaveral. No notable convection is associated with this front.
    Otherwise, a trade wind regime persists across much of the
    Atlantic, with recent scatterometer data indicating moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas confirmed by altimeter data
    prevailing across much of the Atlantic E of 50W, as well as S of
    20N between the Lesser Antilles and 50W. Gentle to moderate NE
    winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front extends from
    31N73W to Palm Bay, Florida and will reach from near Bermuda to
    Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon. The eastern portion of the
    front will continue eastward and reach from 30N55W to 27N70W by
    early Tue, while the portion west of 70W starts to lift back north
    as a warm front. High pressure will shift eastward off Carolina
    coast following the front, supporting moderate to fresh northeast
    to east winds and moderate seas over the region. Looking ahead,
    winds and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of a
    stronger front expected to move off the northeast Florida coast
    Wed night. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits of
    Florida by early Fri, followed by fresh northeast winds and
    building seas through Fri night.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 25 Nov 2025 17:07:45 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 24 Nov 2025 08:20:06 GMT
  • Mon, 24 Nov 2025 05:07:45 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    761
    ABNT20 KNHC 240507
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 13:50:31 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    552
    NOUS42 KNHC 231350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EST SUN 23 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-176

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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