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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 28 Jul 2026 22:00:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 282200
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far E
Atlantic with axis near 18W, extending from 03N to 18N, and moving
westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
04N to 10N between 15W and 27W.
A tropical wave is in moving from the E to the central Atlantic
with axis near 38W, extending from 06N to 16N, and moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the
wave axis.
A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
Anegada Passage, and moving westward at around 15 kt. No
significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
with this wave.
A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis along 83W, south
of 18N along the eastern coast of Nicaragua to across the border
of Costa Rica and Panama and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific
Ocean, and moving westward at around 10 kt. A cluster of
scattered moderate convection is noted from 13N to 16.5N between
79W and 89W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
Mauritania at 18N16W and continues to across the southern Cabo
Verde Islands to 08N42W. The ITCZ begins near 08N42W and
continues to 07N48W to 09.5N57W. Scattered moderate convection is
present offshore Africa, from 04N to 10.5N between the African
coast and 20W. Other than the convection associated with the
tropical wave near 18W as described above, a small cluster of
scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 09N between 42W
and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Isolated to widely scattered moderate convection is ongoing over
the E Gulf, from 25.5N to 29N between Florida and 88W in
associated with low level convergence occurring near a surface
trough that extends across central Florida to near Tampa Bay.
Similar convection is depicted near the coast of NW Cuba. The
remainder Gulf is under the influence of a 1014 mb high centered
near 28N93W, which is supporting light to gentle anticyclonic
winds along a ridge from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
Texas.
For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather
pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to moderate winds
for the next several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds
off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly into the
weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during
the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to the presence of a
frontal boundary over north- central Florida.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are occurring
over and nearshore western Jamaica.
Atlantic ridging dominates the region north of the basin,
extending W-SW along 24N and across the central Bahamas. The
pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
America and the ridge is supporting moderate to fresh trades over
the Caribbean from 11N to 18N along with 3 to 6 ft seas. Winds
are moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight
to moderate seas.
For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombia Low
increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
Wed through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
through 31N72W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida continuing across
Central Florida to near Tampa Bay. Fresh to strong SW winds are
found north of 27N and east of the boundary to near 63W, along
with 5 to locally 8 ft seas, highest near 31N. Nearby scattered
moderate convection is found east of the trough to near 63W to the
north of 23N. A 1025 mb high pressure near 29N47W and a 1021 mb
high pressure near 32.5N22W dominates the remainder subtropical
Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of
the monsoon trough and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with
moderate to locally fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere
southeast of the frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are
near Africa to the Canary Islands from 17N to 30N to the east of
20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This
in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida
will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 28 Jul 2026 22:00:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 282200
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has emerged off the coast of Africa in the far E
Atlantic with axis near 18W, extending from 03N to 18N, and moving
westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
04N to 10N between 15W and 27W.
A tropical wave is in moving from the E to the central Atlantic
with axis near 38W, extending from 06N to 16N, and moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the
wave axis.
A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
Anegada Passage, and moving westward at around 15 kt. No
significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
with this wave.
A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis along 83W, south
of 18N along the eastern coast of Nicaragua to across the border
of Costa Rica and Panama and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific
Ocean, and moving westward at around 10 kt. A cluster of
scattered moderate convection is noted from 13N to 16.5N between
79W and 89W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
Mauritania at 18N16W and continues to across the southern Cabo
Verde Islands to 08N42W. The ITCZ begins near 08N42W and
continues to 07N48W to 09.5N57W. Scattered moderate convection is
present offshore Africa, from 04N to 10.5N between the African
coast and 20W. Other than the convection associated with the
tropical wave near 18W as described above, a small cluster of
scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 09N between 42W
and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Isolated to widely scattered moderate convection is ongoing over
the E Gulf, from 25.5N to 29N between Florida and 88W in
associated with low level convergence occurring near a surface
trough that extends across central Florida to near Tampa Bay.
Similar convection is depicted near the coast of NW Cuba. The
remainder Gulf is under the influence of a 1014 mb high centered
near 28N93W, which is supporting light to gentle anticyclonic
winds along a ridge from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
Texas.
For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather
pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to moderate winds
for the next several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds
off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly into the
weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during
the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to the presence of a
frontal boundary over north- central Florida.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are occurring
over and nearshore western Jamaica.
Atlantic ridging dominates the region north of the basin,
extending W-SW along 24N and across the central Bahamas. The
pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
America and the ridge is supporting moderate to fresh trades over
the Caribbean from 11N to 18N along with 3 to 6 ft seas. Winds
are moderate or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight
to moderate seas.
For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombia Low
increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
Wed through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
through 31N72W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida continuing across
Central Florida to near Tampa Bay. Fresh to strong SW winds are
found north of 27N and east of the boundary to near 63W, along
with 5 to locally 8 ft seas, highest near 31N. Nearby scattered
moderate convection is found east of the trough to near 63W to the
north of 23N. A 1025 mb high pressure near 29N47W and a 1021 mb
high pressure near 32.5N22W dominates the remainder subtropical
Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of
the monsoon trough and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with
moderate to locally fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere
southeast of the frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are
near Africa to the Canary Islands from 17N to 30N to the east of
20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the
remainder of the waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This
in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida
will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 11:11:10 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 29 Jul 2026 00:26:49 GMT - Tue, 28 Jul 2026 23:11:10 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
634
ABNT20 KNHC 282311
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 28 Jul 2026 14:23:32 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 281423
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EDT TUE 28 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-058
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
A. 30/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0906E FAUSTO
C. 29/2230Z
D. 23.2N 158.0W
E. 29/2330Z TO 30/0300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf