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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:40:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 061040
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Nov 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1003 mb low pressure area,
located near 26N65W, is producing fresh to near gale-force NE to E
winds in the north semicircle, extending past 30N and between 52W
and 70W per recent scatterometer satellite data. Altimeter data
and Sofar buoy data show seas of 8 to 14 ft within these winds.
Scattere moderate to isolated strong convection is also noted in
the same region while numerous moderate to strong convection is
from 18N to 25N between 55W and 61W. This system could acquire
some subtropical characteristics during the next couple of days
while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. By late this weekend, upper-level winds are
forecast to become unfavorable for further development. While a
new non-tropical low could form from the remnants of the current
low early next week, environmental conditions are unlikely to
support significant development. Regardless, gale-force winds are
forecast over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic from Sat
morning through the rest of the weekend. Please read the latest
High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOEP.html
for more details.
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Middle-level
troughing over the SW Caribbean and upper level divergence over
Central America and into the tropical eastern Pacific will
interact with enhanced low-level moisture and onshore flow south
of the monsoon trough over the next several days. This will favor
heavy precipitation developing across Central America through at
least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected across
Nicaragua and Costa Rica, which may lead to life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your local weather
agency and the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center
for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
08N17W. The ITCZ extends from 08N17W to 07N54W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 01N to 13N between 18W and 41W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the Florida Panhandle near
30N86W and continues southwestward to 25N91W. Scattered moderate
convection is across coastal Texas waters. Otherwise, surface
ridging over the Gulf along a weak pressure gradient support
mainly light to gentle winds and slight seas basin-wide.
For the forecast, the stalled frontal boundary from the Florida
panhandle to the NW Gulf will start to push southward as a cold
front across the Gulf waters today. Near gale NW winds are
expected in the SW Gulf Sun night and Mon west of the front.
Moderate to fresh winds will prevail elsewhere west of the front
on Sun through early next week as it moves east across the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A 1008 mb low is centered over the northwestern Caribbean
offshore eastern Honduras with scattered heavy showers and tstms
extending from 17N to 19N between 81W and 85W. Scattered showers
are also occuring offshore southern Jamaica. Over the NW Caribbean
and NW of the low, gentle to moderate NNE winds are present.
Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere along with slight to
moderate seas.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen
over the central Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of this
system (Invest AL94).
Elsewhere, a cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N22W
and extends southwestward to 26N30W, then continues as staionary
to 25N54W. Moderate to locally fresh SW winds are occurring south
and east of the front.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres will drift today then
slowly move east-northeastward during the weekend. An area of
strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking
near 15 ft, prevails north of the low and will expand eastward
through Sun, impacting the waters mainly north of about 27N.
Elsewhere, a weakening cold front will move across the waters
between Florida and 75W today, then dissipate by Sat.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 10:40:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 061040
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Nov 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 1003 mb low pressure area,
located near 26N65W, is producing fresh to near gale-force NE to E
winds in the north semicircle, extending past 30N and between 52W
and 70W per recent scatterometer satellite data. Altimeter data
and Sofar buoy data show seas of 8 to 14 ft within these winds.
Scattere moderate to isolated strong convection is also noted in
the same region while numerous moderate to strong convection is
from 18N to 25N between 55W and 61W. This system could acquire
some subtropical characteristics during the next couple of days
while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. By late this weekend, upper-level winds are
forecast to become unfavorable for further development. While a
new non-tropical low could form from the remnants of the current
low early next week, environmental conditions are unlikely to
support significant development. Regardless, gale-force winds are
forecast over parts of the central subtropical Atlantic from Sat
morning through the rest of the weekend. Please read the latest
High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html and the latest Tropical
weather outlook at website: https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/TWOEP.html
for more details.
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Middle-level
troughing over the SW Caribbean and upper level divergence over
Central America and into the tropical eastern Pacific will
interact with enhanced low-level moisture and onshore flow south
of the monsoon trough over the next several days. This will favor
heavy precipitation developing across Central America through at
least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected across
Nicaragua and Costa Rica, which may lead to life-threatening
flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your local weather
agency and the International Desk at the Weather Prediction Center
for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
08N17W. The ITCZ extends from 08N17W to 07N54W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted from 01N to 13N between 18W and 41W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the Florida Panhandle near
30N86W and continues southwestward to 25N91W. Scattered moderate
convection is across coastal Texas waters. Otherwise, surface
ridging over the Gulf along a weak pressure gradient support
mainly light to gentle winds and slight seas basin-wide.
For the forecast, the stalled frontal boundary from the Florida
panhandle to the NW Gulf will start to push southward as a cold
front across the Gulf waters today. Near gale NW winds are
expected in the SW Gulf Sun night and Mon west of the front.
Moderate to fresh winds will prevail elsewhere west of the front
on Sun through early next week as it moves east across the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A 1008 mb low is centered over the northwestern Caribbean
offshore eastern Honduras with scattered heavy showers and tstms
extending from 17N to 19N between 81W and 85W. Scattered showers
are also occuring offshore southern Jamaica. Over the NW Caribbean
and NW of the low, gentle to moderate NNE winds are present.
Moderate or weaker winds are elsewhere along with slight to
moderate seas.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the basin will
result in moderate or weaker trade winds, along with slight to
moderate seas, through early next week. Winds will strengthen
over the central Caribbean by Tuesday.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and the potential for subtropical development of this
system (Invest AL94).
Elsewhere, a cold front enters the central Atlantic near 31N22W
and extends southwestward to 26N30W, then continues as staionary
to 25N54W. Moderate to locally fresh SW winds are occurring south
and east of the front.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pres will drift today then
slowly move east-northeastward during the weekend. An area of
strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking
near 15 ft, prevails north of the low and will expand eastward
through Sun, impacting the waters mainly north of about 27N.
Elsewhere, a weakening cold front will move across the waters
between Florida and 75W today, then dissipate by Sat.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 08 Nov 2026 05:25:26 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 06 Nov 2026 17:36:20 GMT - Fri, 06 Nov 2026 17:25:26 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 061725
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Fri Nov 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic (AL94):
A non-tropical low pressure area located several hundred miles south
of Bermuda is producing limited shower activity. The chances of this
low acquiring subtropical characteristics are decreasing due to
strong upper-level winds that are expected to persist over the
system into the weekend. The low is forecast to move generally
eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic during
the next couple of days and become absorbed by a new non-tropical
low pressure system to its east later this weekend. Regardless,
gale-force winds are likely over parts of the central subtropical
Atlantic through the weekend. For more information, including Gale
Warnings, see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 16:16:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
871
NOUS42 KNHC 061616
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST FRI 06 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-159
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf