2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 17 Apr 2026 17:47:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 171747
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Apr 17 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
    Senegal and Guinea-Bissau, then reaches southwestward to 03N18W.
    An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N18W through 01S30W
    to near the Amazon River Delta. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is near the ITCZ from 06S to 02N between 21W
    and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends southwestward from a 1019 mb high near
    the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate to
    fresh SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are see at the northwestern
    Gulf. Light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are noted at the
    northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 3
    to 5 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the ridge will remain in place and slowly
    weaken through Sat, maintaining gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across most of the Gulf through Sat. The exception will be off
    the Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will result in a
    locally tighter pressure gradient to support a pulsing of fresh to
    strong winds during the evenings. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
    and building seas are going to follow a cold front moving across
    the northern Gulf Sat night through the early part of next week.
    The front should stall from the Florida Straits to south Texas by
    late Mon then dissipate through Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The leading edge of a trade-wind surge is moving across the
    eastern basin, while a pronounced upper-level trough also cuts
    across the same general area from the Mona Passage through
    Panama. Enhanced by dynamics and moisture related to the upper-
    level trough, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring across the eastern basin. Moderate to fresh E winds and
    seas of 4 to 6 ft are present for the eastern basin. Gentle to
    locally moderate NE to ENE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the southern end of a broad surface trough
    currently over the eastern tip of Cuba and near Jamaica will
    drift slowly westward and weaken through Sat. This feature will
    disrupt the typical weather pattern across the central and
    western basin with a weaker than usual pressure gradient. This
    weaker pressure gradient will support mainly gentle to moderate
    winds through midweek next week. Fresh NE winds may develop early
    next week across the Windward Passage associated with a late-
    season cold front moving into Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad surface trough extends southward from near Bermuda across
    31N69W to beyond the central Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Patchy
    showers are present near and up to 150 nm west of the trough,
    including the Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
    at the beginning for additional weather in the Atlantic Basin.

    A large 1023 mb high near 33N52W is providing light to gentle
    winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in moderate N to ENE swell, north of
    25N between 35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the
    remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, moderate to fresh NE
    to E winds and 6 to 8 ft seas in mixed swells prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will dissipate through Sat. High pressure will build into the area
    from the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is forecast
    to move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect
    fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the
    front as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late
    Mon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 17 Apr 2026 17:47:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 171747
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Apr 17 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
    Senegal and Guinea-Bissau, then reaches southwestward to 03N18W.
    An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N18W through 01S30W
    to near the Amazon River Delta. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is near the ITCZ from 06S to 02N between 21W
    and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends southwestward from a 1019 mb high near
    the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate to
    fresh SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are see at the northwestern
    Gulf. Light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are noted at the
    northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 3
    to 5 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the ridge will remain in place and slowly
    weaken through Sat, maintaining gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across most of the Gulf through Sat. The exception will be off
    the Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will result in a
    locally tighter pressure gradient to support a pulsing of fresh to
    strong winds during the evenings. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
    and building seas are going to follow a cold front moving across
    the northern Gulf Sat night through the early part of next week.
    The front should stall from the Florida Straits to south Texas by
    late Mon then dissipate through Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The leading edge of a trade-wind surge is moving across the
    eastern basin, while a pronounced upper-level trough also cuts
    across the same general area from the Mona Passage through
    Panama. Enhanced by dynamics and moisture related to the upper-
    level trough, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring across the eastern basin. Moderate to fresh E winds and
    seas of 4 to 6 ft are present for the eastern basin. Gentle to
    locally moderate NE to ENE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the southern end of a broad surface trough
    currently over the eastern tip of Cuba and near Jamaica will
    drift slowly westward and weaken through Sat. This feature will
    disrupt the typical weather pattern across the central and
    western basin with a weaker than usual pressure gradient. This
    weaker pressure gradient will support mainly gentle to moderate
    winds through midweek next week. Fresh NE winds may develop early
    next week across the Windward Passage associated with a late-
    season cold front moving into Cuba.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A broad surface trough extends southward from near Bermuda across
    31N69W to beyond the central Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Patchy
    showers are present near and up to 150 nm west of the trough,
    including the Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
    at the beginning for additional weather in the Atlantic Basin.

    A large 1023 mb high near 33N52W is providing light to gentle
    winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in moderate N to ENE swell, north of
    25N between 35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the
    remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, moderate to fresh NE
    to E winds and 6 to 8 ft seas in mixed swells prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
    will dissipate through Sat. High pressure will build into the area
    from the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is forecast
    to move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect
    fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the
    front as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late
    Mon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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