2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 09:31:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050931
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jun 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb
    high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores near 34N36W
    and lower pressures in northwest Africa supports strong to gale-
    force northerly winds in the marine zone of Agadir. Scatterometer
    data confirmed the presence of these wind speeds off the coast of
    Morocco. Gale-force winds are expected to occur through 05/0000
    UTC, with severe gusts. These winds will create rough seas of 10
    ft and higher. Similar conditions will continue into the weekend.
    For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast
    listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 20W, south of 13N, moving west at 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is present from 05N to 08N between
    18W and 25W.

    A tropical wave is along 45W, south of 12N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    evident from 04N to 09N between 40W and 50W, more concentrated on
    the east side of the wave axis. Moderate to fresh winds are
    associated with the wave.

    Another tropical wave is along 57W, south of 16N, moving westward
    at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the wave axis S of
    11N. This tropical wave will move across the Windward Islands
    tonight into Sat increasing the likelihood of showers.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern caribbean along 70W, south of
    15N, moving westward at 15 kt. Convection is limited over the
    Caribbean waters. Currently, the wave appears to enhance convection
    over Lake Maracaibo in western Venezuela.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N27W. The ITCZ extends
    from 06N27W to 04N40W to the coast of Brazil near 00N50W. The convection
    in this area is mainly associated with the tropical waves previously
    mentioned.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Recent satellite derived wind data indicate fresh to strong E to
    SE winds over the eastern Gulf and north of a stationary front
    that extends across western Cuba into the SE Gulf to near 23N87W.
    Similar wind speeds are also noted over the eastern Bay of
    Campeche, and in the NW Gulf north of 28N between 92W and 95W.
    Moderate to rough seas are within the strongest winds, except in
    the Bay of Campeche where slight to moderate seas are noted.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas prevail.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near the frontal boundary.

    For the forecast, the fresh to strong E to SE winds over the
    eastern Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate speeds later
    today as the Atlantic ridge builds westward across the Gulf
    region. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
    diurnal trough will allow moderate winds to pulse to fresh,
    occasionally strong, during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure located
    near 34N36W, reaches the NE Caribbean. The ridge, combined with
    the Colombian low, supports fresh to strong easterly trade winds
    and moderate seas in the south-central Caribbean. Meanwhile, a
    stationary front extends across western Cuba and the SE Gulf of
    America. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted near the
    front. Farther south, fresh to strong easterly winds and moderate
    to rough seas are observed in the Gulf of Honduras likely due to
    the pressure gradient between high pressure over the SE of the
    United States and a broad are of low pressure in the eastern
    Pacific, offshore of Central America. Elsewhere, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
    exception will be fresh to strong pulses in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight. Then, winds will begin to increase again over the central
    Caribbean by Sat night, and over the NW part of the basin early
    next week as the Atlantic ridge rebuilds north of area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the Meteo-France forecast region.

    A frontal boundary extends from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas
    and western Cuba. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are along the front, particularly north of 27N. High pressure
    located over the SE of the United States follows this system. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge, supporting a gentle to moderate anticyclonic
    flow N of 20N E of front to about 30W. Fresh to strong N to NE
    winds and rough seas are found north of 18N and east of 30W.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are S of 20N between
    the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will dissipate late today
    into Sat, as high pressure builds across the area. This pattern
    will allow gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas into early
    next week.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 09:31:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050931
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jun 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb
    high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores near 34N36W
    and lower pressures in northwest Africa supports strong to gale-
    force northerly winds in the marine zone of Agadir. Scatterometer
    data confirmed the presence of these wind speeds off the coast of
    Morocco. Gale-force winds are expected to occur through 05/0000
    UTC, with severe gusts. These winds will create rough seas of 10
    ft and higher. Similar conditions will continue into the weekend.
    For more details, refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast
    listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 20W, south of 13N, moving west at 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is present from 05N to 08N between
    18W and 25W.

    A tropical wave is along 45W, south of 12N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    evident from 04N to 09N between 40W and 50W, more concentrated on
    the east side of the wave axis. Moderate to fresh winds are
    associated with the wave.

    Another tropical wave is along 57W, south of 16N, moving westward
    at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the wave axis S of
    11N. This tropical wave will move across the Windward Islands
    tonight into Sat increasing the likelihood of showers.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern caribbean along 70W, south of
    15N, moving westward at 15 kt. Convection is limited over the
    Caribbean waters. Currently, the wave appears to enhance convection
    over Lake Maracaibo in western Venezuela.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N27W. The ITCZ extends
    from 06N27W to 04N40W to the coast of Brazil near 00N50W. The convection
    in this area is mainly associated with the tropical waves previously
    mentioned.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Recent satellite derived wind data indicate fresh to strong E to
    SE winds over the eastern Gulf and north of a stationary front
    that extends across western Cuba into the SE Gulf to near 23N87W.
    Similar wind speeds are also noted over the eastern Bay of
    Campeche, and in the NW Gulf north of 28N between 92W and 95W.
    Moderate to rough seas are within the strongest winds, except in
    the Bay of Campeche where slight to moderate seas are noted.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas prevail.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are near the frontal boundary.

    For the forecast, the fresh to strong E to SE winds over the
    eastern Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate speeds later
    today as the Atlantic ridge builds westward across the Gulf
    region. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
    diurnal trough will allow moderate winds to pulse to fresh,
    occasionally strong, during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure located
    near 34N36W, reaches the NE Caribbean. The ridge, combined with
    the Colombian low, supports fresh to strong easterly trade winds
    and moderate seas in the south-central Caribbean. Meanwhile, a
    stationary front extends across western Cuba and the SE Gulf of
    America. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted near the
    front. Farther south, fresh to strong easterly winds and moderate
    to rough seas are observed in the Gulf of Honduras likely due to
    the pressure gradient between high pressure over the SE of the
    United States and a broad are of low pressure in the eastern
    Pacific, offshore of Central America. Elsewhere, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
    exception will be fresh to strong pulses in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight. Then, winds will begin to increase again over the central
    Caribbean by Sat night, and over the NW part of the basin early
    next week as the Atlantic ridge rebuilds north of area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the Meteo-France forecast region.

    A frontal boundary extends from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas
    and western Cuba. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are along the front, particularly north of 27N. High pressure
    located over the SE of the United States follows this system. The
    remainder of the Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge, supporting a gentle to moderate anticyclonic
    flow N of 20N E of front to about 30W. Fresh to strong N to NE
    winds and rough seas are found north of 18N and east of 30W.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are S of 20N between
    the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will dissipate late today
    into Sat, as high pressure builds across the area. This pattern
    will allow gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas into early
    next week.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 17:16:14 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 05 Jun 2026 09:44:47 GMT
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 05:16:14 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 050516
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 12:59:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT THU 04 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-004

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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