2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 25 Apr 2026 20:18:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 252018
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Apr 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2000 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends SW
    to 01S31W. The ITCZ continues from 01S31W to 01S41W. Scattered to
    locally numerous moderate to strong convection is noted south 0f
    04N between Africa and Brazil.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cluster of showers and thunderstorms is depicted on satellite
    imagery in the northeast Gulf north of 26N and east of 87W
    associated with an analyzed outflow boundary. A weak 1004 mb low
    pressure area is analyzed along a surface trough over the waters
    offshore Veracruz with little impacts other than localized wind
    shifts. Otherwise, weak surface ridging extends over the eastern
    Gulf with a 1013 high pressure center near 28N84W. Light to gentle
    SE-S winds and 1-2 ft seas are east of 89W, with gentle to
    moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas west of 89W.

    For the forecast, a ridge across the Gulf waters, combined with a
    coastal trough near Mexico, will support moderate to fresh SE
    winds and moderate seas over the western half of the Gulf, and
    gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas over the
    eastern part of the basin through the middle of next week. In
    addition, a diurnal trough will pulse moderate to fresh winds off
    the Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings through Thu night.
    Meanwhile, gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas are
    likely in a cluster of strong thunderstorms currently affecting
    the waters between the western Florida Panhandle and SE Louisiana.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient is supporting mainly gentle E to SE
    winds over the Caribbean, except for locally moderate winds over
    the SE basin and in the eastern Gulf of Honduras, locally fresh
    there per earlier ASCAT scatterometer data. Seas of 1-3 ft are
    between 70W and 85W, and 2-4 ft elsewhere, locally higher near
    Atlantic passages.

    For the forecast, a surface trough is located north of the area
    roughly along 23W between Cuba and the Bahamas. This weather
    pattern will continue to support a weaker than usual pressure
    gradient across the Caribbean Sea into Mon, resulting in mainly
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across the
    entire basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where moderate to
    fresh E to SE winds are expected mainly at night. Otherwise, winds
    are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds over the east and
    central Caribbean Mon night through mid-week as high pressure
    builds again N of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends
    from 24N65W westward to the Straits of Florida. This features are
    supporting nearby scattered to isolated moderate convection.
    Fresh to locally strong winds in connection to the areas of
    convection are possible. The remaining subtropical Atlantic is
    under the influence of broad ridging. A cold front is just north
    of 31N to the southeast of Bermuda with associated fresh to strong
    SW-W winds across our waters north of 29N between 52W and 62W.
    Large associated seas are well ahead of the front, with 7-10 ft
    likely north of 27N between roughly 43W and 63W. Fresh to locally
    strong northerly winds are offshore northern Morocco north of 29N,
    as well as from 20N to 24N due to locally tight pressure
    gradients. Elevated seas of 6-8 ft are in these areas. Mainly
    gentle to moderate winds dominate the remainder of the waters,
    locally fresh south of 20N. Seas are 2-4 ft west of 80W, and
    mainly 4-7 ft in mixed swells across the remainder of the waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough in the SW N
    Atlantic will remain in place through Sun and gradually dissipate
    by Mon. A cold front approaching from the N will bring moderate to
    fresh SW to W winds and rough seas over the NE offshore waters
    through Sun. Another cold front is forecast to enter the waters
    off NE Florida by Sun night, extend from near Bermuda to South
    Florida by Mon night, and from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas by Tue
    night before dissipating. Moderate to fresh northerly winds and
    moderate seas are expected in the wake of the front N of 27N.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 25 Apr 2026 20:18:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 252018
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Apr 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2000 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends SW
    to 01S31W. The ITCZ continues from 01S31W to 01S41W. Scattered to
    locally numerous moderate to strong convection is noted south 0f
    04N between Africa and Brazil.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cluster of showers and thunderstorms is depicted on satellite
    imagery in the northeast Gulf north of 26N and east of 87W
    associated with an analyzed outflow boundary. A weak 1004 mb low
    pressure area is analyzed along a surface trough over the waters
    offshore Veracruz with little impacts other than localized wind
    shifts. Otherwise, weak surface ridging extends over the eastern
    Gulf with a 1013 high pressure center near 28N84W. Light to gentle
    SE-S winds and 1-2 ft seas are east of 89W, with gentle to
    moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas west of 89W.

    For the forecast, a ridge across the Gulf waters, combined with a
    coastal trough near Mexico, will support moderate to fresh SE
    winds and moderate seas over the western half of the Gulf, and
    gentle to moderate winds with slight to moderate seas over the
    eastern part of the basin through the middle of next week. In
    addition, a diurnal trough will pulse moderate to fresh winds off
    the Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings through Thu night.
    Meanwhile, gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas are
    likely in a cluster of strong thunderstorms currently affecting
    the waters between the western Florida Panhandle and SE Louisiana.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient is supporting mainly gentle E to SE
    winds over the Caribbean, except for locally moderate winds over
    the SE basin and in the eastern Gulf of Honduras, locally fresh
    there per earlier ASCAT scatterometer data. Seas of 1-3 ft are
    between 70W and 85W, and 2-4 ft elsewhere, locally higher near
    Atlantic passages.

    For the forecast, a surface trough is located north of the area
    roughly along 23W between Cuba and the Bahamas. This weather
    pattern will continue to support a weaker than usual pressure
    gradient across the Caribbean Sea into Mon, resulting in mainly
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across the
    entire basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where moderate to
    fresh E to SE winds are expected mainly at night. Otherwise, winds
    are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds over the east and
    central Caribbean Mon night through mid-week as high pressure
    builds again N of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends
    from 24N65W westward to the Straits of Florida. This features are
    supporting nearby scattered to isolated moderate convection.
    Fresh to locally strong winds in connection to the areas of
    convection are possible. The remaining subtropical Atlantic is
    under the influence of broad ridging. A cold front is just north
    of 31N to the southeast of Bermuda with associated fresh to strong
    SW-W winds across our waters north of 29N between 52W and 62W.
    Large associated seas are well ahead of the front, with 7-10 ft
    likely north of 27N between roughly 43W and 63W. Fresh to locally
    strong northerly winds are offshore northern Morocco north of 29N,
    as well as from 20N to 24N due to locally tight pressure
    gradients. Elevated seas of 6-8 ft are in these areas. Mainly
    gentle to moderate winds dominate the remainder of the waters,
    locally fresh south of 20N. Seas are 2-4 ft west of 80W, and
    mainly 4-7 ft in mixed swells across the remainder of the waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough in the SW N
    Atlantic will remain in place through Sun and gradually dissipate
    by Mon. A cold front approaching from the N will bring moderate to
    fresh SW to W winds and rough seas over the NE offshore waters
    through Sun. Another cold front is forecast to enter the waters
    off NE Florida by Sun night, extend from near Bermuda to South
    Florida by Mon night, and from 31N60W to the NW Bahamas by Tue
    night before dissipating. Moderate to fresh northerly winds and
    moderate seas are expected in the wake of the front N of 27N.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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