SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:58:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 042058
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Nov 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A sharp trough is analyzed this
afternoon from 31N66.5W to 1008 mb low pressure near 27N63W, with
a stationary front extending from west through the low to east. A
large area of fresh to strong NE-E winds are found from 27N to 31N
between 55W and 70W with gale force winds across the northern
portion of those waters. Associated seas are 8-13 ft. The
pressure gradient is expected to continue to support near gale to
gale force NE to E winds roughly over the waters N of 29N between
60W and 70W. Gale-force winds may continue across northern
portions of this expected broad low pressure into late Sat. Seas
are expected to build to 10-15 ft with these winds through Thu as
the low pressure drifts east-northeastward. Environmental conditions
could support this system gradually acquiring subtropical
characteristics through this weekend while it moves slowly
eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic. By
early next week, environmental conditions are forecast to become
unfavorable for further development. Please read the latest High
Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through Thursday. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your
local weather agency and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from 11N15W to 07N22W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N22W to 10N35W to 07N45W to near Trinidad and
Tobago and the NE coast of Venezuela at 10N63W. Scattered to
numerous moderate convection is noted from 03N to 10N between 21W
and 44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front reaches from the SE LA coast and border with
Mississippi near 30.5N89.5W to just north of Tampico, Mexico.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds follow the front. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, driven by
convergent surface winds in the E Gulf and an old pre-frontal
trough near the FL Panhandle. Surface ridging prevails elsewhere
across much of the Gulf, supporting gentle to moderate or weaker
winds and 2-4 ft seas.
For the forecast, a cold front across the NW Gulf will weaken and
dissipate tonight. Moderate northwest to north winds prevail west
of the front. The next cold front is expected to move across the
Gulf waters this weekend. Fresh to strong north winds will develop
west of the front and west of 93W on Sun, with moderate north to
northeast winds elsewhere behind the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep-layer troughing across the northwestern Caribbean supports
scattered moderate to strong convection from 14N to 22N between
75W and 81W. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between surface
ridging in the Atlantic and the 1009 mb low just off NW Colombia
supports mainly moderate trades in the SE and NW Caribbean with
light to gentle winds across the remainder of the waters. Seas of
1-4 ft are seen across the Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area today. This
will diminish the moderate trades across the central and eastern
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
A cold front enters the open high seas waters through 31N30W to
25N38W then continues as stationary through 27N47W to 24N55W to
the 1008 mb Special Features low near 27N63W to 27N66W. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is occurring from 22N to 31N between
50W and 66W. Additional isolated to widely scattered moderate
convection occurring farther east along the front from 22N to 28N
between 30W and 50W, as well as ahead of the cold front to 19W to
the N of 25N. In addition to the winds and seas described in the
Special Features section above, moderate to fresh NE winds and 5-8
ft seas prevail across much of the waters N of 25N and the front.
Gentle to moderate or weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail
elsewhere across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1008 mb low pressure centered
near 26N65W will track slowly east- northeastward during the rest
of the week and the weekend. A broad zone of strong to gale- force
winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, will
develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward through Sun,
impacting the waters mainly north of about 27N. The gale-force
winds will likely be north of 29N through the end of the week.
Elsewhere, a weakening cold front will move across the waters
between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night, then dissipate Sat and
Sat night.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 20:58:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 042058
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Nov 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2000 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A sharp trough is analyzed this
afternoon from 31N66.5W to 1008 mb low pressure near 27N63W, with
a stationary front extending from west through the low to east. A
large area of fresh to strong NE-E winds are found from 27N to 31N
between 55W and 70W with gale force winds across the northern
portion of those waters. Associated seas are 8-13 ft. The
pressure gradient is expected to continue to support near gale to
gale force NE to E winds roughly over the waters N of 29N between
60W and 70W. Gale-force winds may continue across northern
portions of this expected broad low pressure into late Sat. Seas
are expected to build to 10-15 ft with these winds through Thu as
the low pressure drifts east-northeastward. Environmental conditions
could support this system gradually acquiring subtropical
characteristics through this weekend while it moves slowly
eastward over the western and central subtropical Atlantic. By
early next week, environmental conditions are forecast to become
unfavorable for further development. Please read the latest High
Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
Heavy Precipitation across Central America: Deep-layer troughing
over the northwestern Caribbean extends southwestward across
northern portions of Central America and into the tropical
eastern Pacific. This feature will interact with enhanced low-
level moisture and onshore flow south of the monsoon trough over
the next several days. This will favor heavy precipitation
developing across Central America starting today and lasting
through at least Friday. The heaviest precipitation is expected
across Nicaragua and Costa Rica, with the bulk of precipitation
occurring through Thursday. Heavy rainfall may lead to life-
threatening flash flooding and landslides. Please refer to your
local weather agency and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from 11N15W to 07N22W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N22W to 10N35W to 07N45W to near Trinidad and
Tobago and the NE coast of Venezuela at 10N63W. Scattered to
numerous moderate convection is noted from 03N to 10N between 21W
and 44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front reaches from the SE LA coast and border with
Mississippi near 30.5N89.5W to just north of Tampico, Mexico.
Moderate to fresh N to NE winds follow the front. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring in the far NE Gulf, driven by
convergent surface winds in the E Gulf and an old pre-frontal
trough near the FL Panhandle. Surface ridging prevails elsewhere
across much of the Gulf, supporting gentle to moderate or weaker
winds and 2-4 ft seas.
For the forecast, a cold front across the NW Gulf will weaken and
dissipate tonight. Moderate northwest to north winds prevail west
of the front. The next cold front is expected to move across the
Gulf waters this weekend. Fresh to strong north winds will develop
west of the front and west of 93W on Sun, with moderate north to
northeast winds elsewhere behind the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep-layer troughing across the northwestern Caribbean supports
scattered moderate to strong convection from 14N to 22N between
75W and 81W. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between surface
ridging in the Atlantic and the 1009 mb low just off NW Colombia
supports mainly moderate trades in the SE and NW Caribbean with
light to gentle winds across the remainder of the waters. Seas of
1-4 ft are seen across the Caribbean.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the area is
supporting moderate trade winds, along with moderate seas, over
the central and eastern Caribbean. Light to gentle winds and
slight to moderate seas are over the western Caribbean. The
pressure gradient will further loosen across the area today. This
will diminish the moderate trades across the central and eastern
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning in the western Atlantic.
A cold front enters the open high seas waters through 31N30W to
25N38W then continues as stationary through 27N47W to 24N55W to
the 1008 mb Special Features low near 27N63W to 27N66W. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is occurring from 22N to 31N between
50W and 66W. Additional isolated to widely scattered moderate
convection occurring farther east along the front from 22N to 28N
between 30W and 50W, as well as ahead of the cold front to 19W to
the N of 25N. In addition to the winds and seas described in the
Special Features section above, moderate to fresh NE winds and 5-8
ft seas prevail across much of the waters N of 25N and the front.
Gentle to moderate or weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas prevail
elsewhere across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a 1008 mb low pressure centered
near 26N65W will track slowly east- northeastward during the rest
of the week and the weekend. A broad zone of strong to gale- force
winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking near 14 ft, will
develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward through Sun,
impacting the waters mainly north of about 27N. The gale-force
winds will likely be north of 29N through the end of the week.
Elsewhere, a weakening cold front will move across the waters
between Florida and 75W Fri and Fri night, then dissipate Sat and
Sat night.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 06 Nov 2026 11:30:27 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 05 Nov 2026 01:33:31 GMT - Wed, 04 Nov 2026 23:30:27 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 042330
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Wed Nov 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western and Central Atlantic:
A non-tropical low pressure area is located a few hundred miles
south of Bermuda. Environmental conditions could support this
system gradually acquiring subtropical characteristics through this
weekend while it moves slowly eastward over the western and central
subtropical Atlantic. By early next week, environmental conditions
are forecast to become unfavorable for further development. For
more information on this system, including Gale Warnings, please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service can be
found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Evans/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 16:34:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041634
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1135 AM EST WED 04 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-157
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf