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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 03:49:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180349
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Apr 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 03N19W. The
ITCZ continues from that point to 00N48W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 90 nm on either side of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A high pressure ridge extends southwestward from a 1017 mb high
center that is near the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico,
Mexico. Moderate to fresh southeast winds are over the western
half of the basin. Seas with these winds are 4 to 6 ft. Latest
buoy observations and scatterometer satellite data indicate light
to gentle winds in the eastern portion of the Gulf, with the
exception of moderate northeast to east winds in the far
southeastern part of the basin near western Cuba and in the
Straits of Florida. Seas in the range of 3 to 5 ft are over the
remainder of the Gulf, except for lower seas of less than 3 ft in
the NE and eastern Gulf sections.
For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will remain in place
and slowly weaken through Sat, maintaining a weak pressure
gradient across the basin. This pressure gradient will support
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across most of the basin through
Sat. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
daily trough will result in a locally tighter pressure gradient to
support a pulsing of fresh to strong winds during the evenings.
Fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will follow a cold
front moving across the northern Gulf Sat night through the early
part of the week. The front will stall from the Florida Straits
to south Texas by late Mon then dissipate into mid week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Water vapor imagery reveals a lingering mid to upper-level
trough that extends from the central Atlantic southwestward to
across the eastern portion of Hispaniola. A surface trough is
analyzed from eastern Cuba southward to 16N79W. Abundant moisture
east of these features in combination with dynamics aloft related
to the mid to upper-level trough is resulting in an unsettled
weather pattern for the eastern Caribbean. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms prevail E of 67W. The unsettled weather conditions
will continue for the eastern Caribbean through the weekend.
Moderate to fresh trades are over the eastern Caribbean along
with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Mostly gentle trades are over the rest
of the basin. Seas are 2 to 4 ft elsewhere in the basin.
For the forecast, the surface trough will drift slowly westward
and weaken through Sat. Gentle to moderate winds through the
remainder of the forecast period. Fresh NE winds may develop early
next week across the Windward Passage associated with a late-
season cold front moving into Cuba.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad surface trough extends southward from near 28N73W to
eastern Cuba near 21N77W. The pressure gradient related to high
pressure of 1023 mb north of the area at 32N48W is generally
providing for light to gentle winds north of 25N between 35W and
the Florida/southern Georgia coast. Seas of 4 to 6 ft are within
this area of winds as noted in SoFar buoy and altimeter satellite
data. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and seas of 6 to 8
ft in mixed swell are over the rest of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
will dissipate through Sat. High pressure will build into the
area from the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is
forecast to move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night.
Expect fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake
of the front as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by
late Mon, from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue, before
stalling and dissipating along roughly 22N through mid week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 03:49:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180349
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Apr 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0330 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 03N19W. The
ITCZ continues from that point to 00N48W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted within 90 nm on either side of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A high pressure ridge extends southwestward from a 1017 mb high
center that is near the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico,
Mexico. Moderate to fresh southeast winds are over the western
half of the basin. Seas with these winds are 4 to 6 ft. Latest
buoy observations and scatterometer satellite data indicate light
to gentle winds in the eastern portion of the Gulf, with the
exception of moderate northeast to east winds in the far
southeastern part of the basin near western Cuba and in the
Straits of Florida. Seas in the range of 3 to 5 ft are over the
remainder of the Gulf, except for lower seas of less than 3 ft in
the NE and eastern Gulf sections.
For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will remain in place
and slowly weaken through Sat, maintaining a weak pressure
gradient across the basin. This pressure gradient will support
gentle to moderate E to SE winds across most of the basin through
Sat. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
daily trough will result in a locally tighter pressure gradient to
support a pulsing of fresh to strong winds during the evenings.
Fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas will follow a cold
front moving across the northern Gulf Sat night through the early
part of the week. The front will stall from the Florida Straits
to south Texas by late Mon then dissipate into mid week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Water vapor imagery reveals a lingering mid to upper-level
trough that extends from the central Atlantic southwestward to
across the eastern portion of Hispaniola. A surface trough is
analyzed from eastern Cuba southward to 16N79W. Abundant moisture
east of these features in combination with dynamics aloft related
to the mid to upper-level trough is resulting in an unsettled
weather pattern for the eastern Caribbean. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms prevail E of 67W. The unsettled weather conditions
will continue for the eastern Caribbean through the weekend.
Moderate to fresh trades are over the eastern Caribbean along
with seas of 3 to 5 ft. Mostly gentle trades are over the rest
of the basin. Seas are 2 to 4 ft elsewhere in the basin.
For the forecast, the surface trough will drift slowly westward
and weaken through Sat. Gentle to moderate winds through the
remainder of the forecast period. Fresh NE winds may develop early
next week across the Windward Passage associated with a late-
season cold front moving into Cuba.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad surface trough extends southward from near 28N73W to
eastern Cuba near 21N77W. The pressure gradient related to high
pressure of 1023 mb north of the area at 32N48W is generally
providing for light to gentle winds north of 25N between 35W and
the Florida/southern Georgia coast. Seas of 4 to 6 ft are within
this area of winds as noted in SoFar buoy and altimeter satellite
data. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and seas of 6 to 8
ft in mixed swell are over the rest of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
will dissipate through Sat. High pressure will build into the
area from the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is
forecast to move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night.
Expect fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake
of the front as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by
late Mon, from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue, before
stalling and dissipating along roughly 22N through mid week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 18 Apr 2026 04:47:52 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf