SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources
- NOAA National Hurricane Center
- International Meteorology Database
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Track Probabilities
- Brian McNoldy Atlantic Headquarters
- Brian McNoldy Tropical Satellite Sectors
- Brian McNoldy Infrared Hovmoller
- Brian McNoldy Past TC Radar Loops
- Weather Nerds TC Guidance
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- NOAA Tropical Cyclone Tracks
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Albany Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- Albany Tropical Atlantic Model Maps
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance
- FSU Tropical Model Outputs
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Genesis
- Penn State Tropical E-Wall
- NOAA HFIP Ruc Models
- Navy NRL TC Page
- College of DuPage Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NHC Analysis Tools
- NOAA NHC ATCF Directory
- NOAA NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA NCEP/EMC HWRF Model
- NOAA HFIP Model Products
- University of Miami Ocean Heat
- COLA Max Potential Hurricane Intensity
- Colorado State RAMMB TC Tracking
- Colorado State RAMMB Floaters
- Colorado State RAMMB GOES-16 Viewer
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-A
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-B
- Michael Ventrice Waves / MJO Maps
- TropicalAtlantic.com Analysis / Recon
- NCAR/RAL Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
Historic Louisiana Storms By Month
January
June
July
August
September
October
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 17:40:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141740
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Oct 14 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Lorenzo is centered near 18.2N 44.9W at 1500 UTC
or 1200 nm W of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving NW at 13 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, all across the eastern
semicircle. Peak seas are around 18 ft (5.5 M) to the NE of
center. Vertical wind shear continues to negatively impact
Lorenzo, and the current structure appears poorly organized. Small
clusters of moderate to strong convection are over the center and
extend to 240 nm over the southeastern semicircle. Lorenzo is
moving toward the NW and a turn to the north is expected later
today or tonight. A northeastward motion is then expected on
Wednesday and Thursday. Little change in strength is forecast over
the next few days, and Lorenzo may remain a lopsided storm, with
all of the strongest winds remaining on its eastern side.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
Lorenzo NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has been repositioned along
22W/23W, south of 15N, moving west at 10 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is observed from 05N to 14N and
between 20W and 27W.
Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 13N,
moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 02.5N to 09.5N and between 31W and 37W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W/57W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 11.5N to 14.5N and between 55W and 61W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 09N13.5W and continues southwestward to 07.5N17W and
to 10N26W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N34W to 06.5N37W to 09N45W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06.5N between
10W and 20W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Fair weather prevails over the Gulf basin today as weak high
pressure over the Mississippi Valley extends into the north-
central basin. The tail end of a weak cold front has moved through
south Florida and extends from across the Florida Keys to 25N85W
to just offshore of the NE Yucatan Peninsula. A few small clusters
of moderate convection are noted along the front to the W of the
Keys. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds prevail north of the
front to 26N and into the Bay of Campeche, where seas are
Louisiana supports moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds
and seas of 3-5 ft, highest in the Yucatan Channel. North of 26N
gentle easterly winds prevail, with seas less than 3 ft.
For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the Gulf region
through the forecast period, resulting in gentle to moderate winds
and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin. Winds are
forecast to increase to fresh speeds over the eastern and central
Gulf Thu night through Sat night as the pressure gradient tightens
some across the area. Winds will veer to the SE and S toward the
end of the week as high pressure over the SE United States shifts
eastward into the western Atlantic. Looking ahead, a cold front
will reach the northern Gulf waters on Sun.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep layered troughing across the southeastern Gulf is combining
with in inverted low level trough across the northwest Caribbean
to produce scattered moderate convection from 13.5N to 21N
between 76W and 86W. Small scattered showers dot the waters north
of 15N between 68W and 76W. Scattered moderate convection is also
occurring across the southeast basin, south of 13N and into
coastal Venezuela, east of 65W and across the southern Windward
Islands. Broad low pressure continues of the Caribbean Basin west
of 75W, producing cyclonic flow, while gentle to moderate easterly
winds are seen E of 75W. Seas are 3-4 ft to the E of 75W and 3 ft
or less W of 75W.
For the forecast, a cold front extending over the far SE Gulf of America
and the Yucatan Channel will move across Cuba and the NW Caribbean
today through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
seas are expected in the wake of the front. Unsettled weather
conditions will persist along and ahead of the frontal boundary.
Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin
through the work week.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
Tropical Storm Lorenzo in the central Atlantic.
An extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas extends a cold front
through the NW Bahamas, across the Florida Keys, and into the SE
Gulf of America. Scattered light to moderate convection is noted
within 180 nm ahead of this boundary. Fresh NW winds and rough
seas to 8 ft are found N of 29N and between 72W and 78W. Moderate
to fresh SW to W winds and moderate winds are occurring east of
the front, north of 28N and between 64W and 71W. Meanwhile,
moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are present
south of 21N and between 50W and 75W, to the west of Lorenzo.
Farther northeast, a 1006 mb low pressure near 29.5N53W extends a
surface trough to 25N58W. Scattered moderate convection is found
ahead of the trough. Fresh to locally strong cyclonic winds and
seas of 6-8 ft are present north of 26N and between 50W and 57W.
The rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is dominated by a
weak high pressure system centered between Bermuda and Puerto
Rico, supporting light to gentle winds and moderate seas.
Outside of Lorenzo, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
waters are also under the influence of a relaxed gradient as
multiple storm systems transit eastward across the midlatitudes.
In general, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate
these waters.
For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE
across the forecast waters through the week. The front will reach
from 31N70W to western Cuba by Tue morning, from near Bermuda to
central Cuba by Wed morning, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by
Thu morning. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are expected on
either side of the front across the waters N of 27N by tonight.
These marine conditions will shift eastward with the front through
late in the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well east
of the area near 18.2N 44.9W at 11 AM EDT, and is moving
northwest at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gusts
to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Lorenzo is
expected to remain east of 50W during the next several days.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 17:40:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 141740
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Oct 14 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Tropical Storm Lorenzo is centered near 18.2N 44.9W at 1500 UTC
or 1200 nm W of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving NW at 13 kt.
Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained
wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, all across the eastern
semicircle. Peak seas are around 18 ft (5.5 M) to the NE of
center. Vertical wind shear continues to negatively impact
Lorenzo, and the current structure appears poorly organized. Small
clusters of moderate to strong convection are over the center and
extend to 240 nm over the southeastern semicircle. Lorenzo is
moving toward the NW and a turn to the north is expected later
today or tonight. A northeastward motion is then expected on
Wednesday and Thursday. Little change in strength is forecast over
the next few days, and Lorenzo may remain a lopsided storm, with
all of the strongest winds remaining on its eastern side.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
Lorenzo NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has been repositioned along
22W/23W, south of 15N, moving west at 10 kt. Numerous moderate to
isolated strong convection is observed from 05N to 14N and
between 20W and 27W.
Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 13N,
moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 02.5N to 09.5N and between 31W and 37W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W/57W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 11.5N to 14.5N and between 55W and 61W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 09N13.5W and continues southwestward to 07.5N17W and
to 10N26W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N34W to 06.5N37W to 09N45W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06.5N between
10W and 20W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Fair weather prevails over the Gulf basin today as weak high
pressure over the Mississippi Valley extends into the north-
central basin. The tail end of a weak cold front has moved through
south Florida and extends from across the Florida Keys to 25N85W
to just offshore of the NE Yucatan Peninsula. A few small clusters
of moderate convection are noted along the front to the W of the
Keys. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds prevail north of the
front to 26N and into the Bay of Campeche, where seas are
Louisiana supports moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds
and seas of 3-5 ft, highest in the Yucatan Channel. North of 26N
gentle easterly winds prevail, with seas less than 3 ft.
For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the Gulf region
through the forecast period, resulting in gentle to moderate winds
and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin. Winds are
forecast to increase to fresh speeds over the eastern and central
Gulf Thu night through Sat night as the pressure gradient tightens
some across the area. Winds will veer to the SE and S toward the
end of the week as high pressure over the SE United States shifts
eastward into the western Atlantic. Looking ahead, a cold front
will reach the northern Gulf waters on Sun.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
Deep layered troughing across the southeastern Gulf is combining
with in inverted low level trough across the northwest Caribbean
to produce scattered moderate convection from 13.5N to 21N
between 76W and 86W. Small scattered showers dot the waters north
of 15N between 68W and 76W. Scattered moderate convection is also
occurring across the southeast basin, south of 13N and into
coastal Venezuela, east of 65W and across the southern Windward
Islands. Broad low pressure continues of the Caribbean Basin west
of 75W, producing cyclonic flow, while gentle to moderate easterly
winds are seen E of 75W. Seas are 3-4 ft to the E of 75W and 3 ft
or less W of 75W.
For the forecast, a cold front extending over the far SE Gulf of America
and the Yucatan Channel will move across Cuba and the NW Caribbean
today through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
seas are expected in the wake of the front. Unsettled weather
conditions will persist along and ahead of the frontal boundary.
Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin
through the work week.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
Tropical Storm Lorenzo in the central Atlantic.
An extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas extends a cold front
through the NW Bahamas, across the Florida Keys, and into the SE
Gulf of America. Scattered light to moderate convection is noted
within 180 nm ahead of this boundary. Fresh NW winds and rough
seas to 8 ft are found N of 29N and between 72W and 78W. Moderate
to fresh SW to W winds and moderate winds are occurring east of
the front, north of 28N and between 64W and 71W. Meanwhile,
moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are present
south of 21N and between 50W and 75W, to the west of Lorenzo.
Farther northeast, a 1006 mb low pressure near 29.5N53W extends a
surface trough to 25N58W. Scattered moderate convection is found
ahead of the trough. Fresh to locally strong cyclonic winds and
seas of 6-8 ft are present north of 26N and between 50W and 57W.
The rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is dominated by a
weak high pressure system centered between Bermuda and Puerto
Rico, supporting light to gentle winds and moderate seas.
Outside of Lorenzo, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
waters are also under the influence of a relaxed gradient as
multiple storm systems transit eastward across the midlatitudes.
In general, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate
these waters.
For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE
across the forecast waters through the week. The front will reach
from 31N70W to western Cuba by Tue morning, from near Bermuda to
central Cuba by Wed morning, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by
Thu morning. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are expected on
either side of the front across the waters N of 27N by tonight.
These marine conditions will shift eastward with the front through
late in the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well east
of the area near 18.2N 44.9W at 11 AM EDT, and is moving
northwest at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gusts
to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Lorenzo is
expected to remain east of 50W during the next several days.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 21:22:15 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Graphics - NHC Atlantic
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:41:52 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Oct 2025 21:22:15 GMT - Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:42 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast Discussion Number 7 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025000 WTNT42 KNHC 142034 TCDAT2 Tropical Storm Lorenzo Discussion Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025 500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025 Lorenzo is really struggling over the tropical Atlantic. The system is now only producing a few clusters of deep convection as dry air continues to entrain into the circulation. Based on the degraded satellite appearance and intensity estimates, the initial wind speed is lowered to 35 kt. Lorenzo is moving northwestward at 12 kt on the southwest side of a subtropical ridge over the eastern Atlantic. A turn to the north is expected by tonight, followed by a faster northeastward motion on Wednesday as a mid- to upper-level trough approaches from the west. The faster northeastward motion will likely continue until the system dissipates in a few days. Dry air and moderate to strong shear should continue to affect Lorenzo during the next several days. These conditions should cause the system to continue to degrade, and Lorenzo is now forecast to dissipate by day 3. In fact, most of the models show Lorenzo opening into a trough even sooner than that. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 14/2100Z 18.7N 45.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 12H 15/0600Z 20.5N 45.4W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 15/1800Z 23.0N 43.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 16/0600Z 25.6N 41.2W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 16/1800Z 28.3N 37.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 17/0600Z 29.8N 33.7W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 17/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:12 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025000 FONT12 KNHC 142034 PWSAT2 TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL122025 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:12 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Public Advisory Number 7 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025000 WTNT32 KNHC 142034 TCPAT2 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL122025 500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025 ...LORENZO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS WEEK... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.7N 45.5W ABOUT 1430 MI...2300 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorenzo was located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 45.5 West. Lorenzo is moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to the north is expected tonight, followed by a northeastward motion on Wednesday and Thursday. Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher gusts. Continued weakening is expected, and Lorenzo is forecast to dissipate within a few days. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:12 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Lorenzo (AT2/AL122025) - NHC Atlantic
...LORENZO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS WEEK... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Oct 14 the center of Lorenzo was located near 18.7, -45.5 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:16:20 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141416
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT TUE 14 OCTOBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z OCTOBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-136
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf