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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 09 Nov 2026 23:02:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 092302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Nov 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 997 mb low pressure is centered
near 30N44W, moving eastward near 20 kt. A warm front is north of
the low from 30N47W to 31.5N42W to 27N32W. Recent satellite
scatterometer data showed a long fetch of gale force SW to S winds
occurring in the S and SE quadrant of the low, from 23N to 31N
between 40W and 47W, where buoy and altimeter data suggest seas
of 12 to 19 ft in mixed swell. Also shown in the scatterometer
data north of the warm front, a broad zone of strong to gale
force NE to E winds extends northward to 34N between 38W and 47W,
where seas are 9 to 14 ft. Across the remaining quadrants of the
low, strong winds and rough seas to 10 ft cover the area N of 20N
to 34N between 35W and 55W. Scattered to numerous moderate to
strong convection is occurring mostly to east of this deep-
layered low pressure system, N of 28N between 34W and 39W. The
low has begun to accelerate to the east-northeast and will move
east of 35W by midday Tue. The broad zone of strong to gale force
SW winds occurring with the low will shift in sync with the low
through Tue, generating very rough to high seas to around 20 ft
tonight before exiting the forecast area Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic waters near 11N15W to
09N20W. The ITCZ extends from that point to 05.5N34W to 07.5N51W
to 06.5N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to
09N between 15W and 22W, from 03N to 07N between 30W and 39W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to
12.5N between 47W and 57W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough extends along coastal Deep South Texas to the
Mexican offshore waters near 20N95W, and is generating scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 22N and W of 92W.
Moderate to fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas in the 4 to 6 ft
range are N of 24N and W of 94W, while light to gentle winds and
slight seas are elsewhere E of 90W.
For the forecast, broad high pressure across the area supports
gentle to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW Gulf.
Slight seas dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate seas
elsewhere. Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the basin
by midweek. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu
and rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area
Fri. The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong winds
and building seas. High pressure will settle across the basin in
the wake of the front during the weekend with moderate to fresh
return flow.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Weak high pressure has moved into the western Atlantic near
24N69W, bringing a return to easterly trade winds to much of the
Caribbean this afternoon. Gentle to moderate trade winds prevail
across the NW basin with seas of 2-4 ft. Recent scatterometer
data indicated moderate to fresh trades S of 15N from the SE basin
to offshore NE Colombia. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in this area. A
surface trough extending from the Gulf of Honduras to the SW
Caribbean is generating scattered moderate isolated strong
convection from 16N to 21N west of 81W.
For the forecast, the weak pressure gradient across the basin
has begun to tighten slightly this afternoon, bringing a return to
easterly trade winds. By Tue morning, fresh to strong winds will
prevail across south central portions, with moderate to locally
fresh winds elsewhere, except weaker near Central America. Expect
rough seas with the fresh to strong winds and mainly slight to
moderate seas elsewhere. Winds will weaken over the western
portion of the basin toward the end of the week as a cold front
approaches from the NW. The front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri
and gradually wash out into the weekend, with moderate to fresh
winds and building seas behind it.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and associated conditions across the NE zones.
A cold front extends from the central Atlantic through 31N59W to
1015 mb low pressure near 27.5N69W then through the central Bahamas
along 24N. North of the front, gentle to moderate northerly winds
prevail east of 76W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft in E swell generated
by the gale system. Elsewhere west of 60W, winds are light to gentle
with seas of 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. East of 35W, a weakening cold
front has moved SE of the Canary Islands, with moderate to fresh
W winds and seas of 8-12 ft behind the front to 20W and N of 28N.
NW swell across this region is producing seas of 7 to 9 ft N of
17N and east of 35W. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail across the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong SW winds
north of 20N and east of 58W will gradually diminish through the
evening as parent gale force low pressure moves farther away from
the area. Associated rough to very rough seas in NE swell north
of 20N and east of 60W will subside by early Tue. Meanwhile, a
cold front extends from 31N59W through a 1015 mb low at 27.5N69W
to the Central Bahamas. The front and low will move eastward over
the waters north of 25N through midweek. Another, stronger cold
front will enter the NW waters toward the end of the week,
ushering in fresh to strong winds and building seas on both sides
of it. The front should reach from 31N67W to the SE Bahamas by
early Sat, continuing eastward while gradually weakening by the
end of the weekend.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 09 Nov 2026 23:02:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 092302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Nov 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western Atlantic Gale Warning: A 997 mb low pressure is centered
near 30N44W, moving eastward near 20 kt. A warm front is north of
the low from 30N47W to 31.5N42W to 27N32W. Recent satellite
scatterometer data showed a long fetch of gale force SW to S winds
occurring in the S and SE quadrant of the low, from 23N to 31N
between 40W and 47W, where buoy and altimeter data suggest seas
of 12 to 19 ft in mixed swell. Also shown in the scatterometer
data north of the warm front, a broad zone of strong to gale
force NE to E winds extends northward to 34N between 38W and 47W,
where seas are 9 to 14 ft. Across the remaining quadrants of the
low, strong winds and rough seas to 10 ft cover the area N of 20N
to 34N between 35W and 55W. Scattered to numerous moderate to
strong convection is occurring mostly to east of this deep-
layered low pressure system, N of 28N between 34W and 39W. The
low has begun to accelerate to the east-northeast and will move
east of 35W by midday Tue. The broad zone of strong to gale force
SW winds occurring with the low will shift in sync with the low
through Tue, generating very rough to high seas to around 20 ft
tonight before exiting the forecast area Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/HSFAT2.html
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic waters near 11N15W to
09N20W. The ITCZ extends from that point to 05.5N34W to 07.5N51W
to 06.5N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to
09N between 15W and 22W, from 03N to 07N between 30W and 39W.
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 05N to
12.5N between 47W and 57W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough extends along coastal Deep South Texas to the
Mexican offshore waters near 20N95W, and is generating scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms N of 22N and W of 92W.
Moderate to fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas in the 4 to 6 ft
range are N of 24N and W of 94W, while light to gentle winds and
slight seas are elsewhere E of 90W.
For the forecast, broad high pressure across the area supports
gentle to moderate winds except locally fresh in the NW Gulf.
Slight seas dominate the NE half of the basin with moderate seas
elsewhere. Winds will diminish to light to gentle across the basin
by midweek. The next cold front will move into the NW Gulf on Thu
and rapidly shift across the Gulf basin, moving SE of the area
Fri. The front will be followed by fresh to locally strong winds
and building seas. High pressure will settle across the basin in
the wake of the front during the weekend with moderate to fresh
return flow.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Weak high pressure has moved into the western Atlantic near
24N69W, bringing a return to easterly trade winds to much of the
Caribbean this afternoon. Gentle to moderate trade winds prevail
across the NW basin with seas of 2-4 ft. Recent scatterometer
data indicated moderate to fresh trades S of 15N from the SE basin
to offshore NE Colombia. Seas are 4 to 6 ft in this area. A
surface trough extending from the Gulf of Honduras to the SW
Caribbean is generating scattered moderate isolated strong
convection from 16N to 21N west of 81W.
For the forecast, the weak pressure gradient across the basin
has begun to tighten slightly this afternoon, bringing a return to
easterly trade winds. By Tue morning, fresh to strong winds will
prevail across south central portions, with moderate to locally
fresh winds elsewhere, except weaker near Central America. Expect
rough seas with the fresh to strong winds and mainly slight to
moderate seas elsewhere. Winds will weaken over the western
portion of the basin toward the end of the week as a cold front
approaches from the NW. The front may enter the NW Caribbean Fri
and gradually wash out into the weekend, with moderate to fresh
winds and building seas behind it.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
Warning and associated conditions across the NE zones.
A cold front extends from the central Atlantic through 31N59W to
1015 mb low pressure near 27.5N69W then through the central Bahamas
along 24N. North of the front, gentle to moderate northerly winds
prevail east of 76W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft in E swell generated
by the gale system. Elsewhere west of 60W, winds are light to gentle
with seas of 5 to 7 ft in NE swell. East of 35W, a weakening cold
front has moved SE of the Canary Islands, with moderate to fresh
W winds and seas of 8-12 ft behind the front to 20W and N of 28N.
NW swell across this region is producing seas of 7 to 9 ft N of
17N and east of 35W. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail across the remaining Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong SW winds
north of 20N and east of 58W will gradually diminish through the
evening as parent gale force low pressure moves farther away from
the area. Associated rough to very rough seas in NE swell north
of 20N and east of 60W will subside by early Tue. Meanwhile, a
cold front extends from 31N59W through a 1015 mb low at 27.5N69W
to the Central Bahamas. The front and low will move eastward over
the waters north of 25N through midweek. Another, stronger cold
front will enter the NW waters toward the end of the week,
ushering in fresh to strong winds and building seas on both sides
of it. The front should reach from 31N67W to the SE Bahamas by
early Sat, continuing eastward while gradually weakening by the
end of the weekend.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 11 Nov 2026 11:12:16 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 09 Nov 2026 23:14:19 GMT - Mon, 09 Nov 2026 23:12:16 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 092312
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Mon Nov 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 09 Nov 2026 17:01:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091701
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EST MON 09 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-162
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf