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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 16:35:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071635
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Jul 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 12OO UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is just west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 25W south of 17N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 20W
and 27W. Scattered showers are likely over the Cabo Verde Islands
and surrounding waters.
A well defined tropical wave is along 46W south of 17N, moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 07N to 11N between 40W and 50W. This
wave should reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh
to strong trades and moderate to rough seas over the E Caribbean
on Thu and Fri. Currently, seas of 6 to 8 ft are noted west of the
wave axis based on altimeter data.
Another tropical wave is analyzed near 59W and extends southward
into Guyana. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 07N to 12N between 53W and 60.5W. the
wave will move across the Lesser Antilles this evening and tonight
increasing the chances of rain. It is forecast to reach Puerto
Rico on Wed bringing the chance of showers and thunderstorms.
The tropical wave previously located along 85W is relocated
farther E along 80W based on tropical wave diagnostic and surface
observations. Convection is limited near the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N25W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N27W to 08N44W to 09N57W. Most of the convective
activity across the area is associated with the above mentioned
tropical waves.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues the dominate the Gulf region producing a
gentle to moderate wind flow. Slight to moderate seas are noted
with these winds. An upper-level low over the western Gulf is
enhancing the development of showers and thunderstorms over parts
of the basin, more concentrated over the west-central Bay of
Campeche and near the Veracruz area.
For the forecast, the diurnal trough moving westward from the
Yucatan peninsula will cause fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
offshore of the peninsula nightly through the weekend. An upper-
level low will cause scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
over the Gulf for the next couple of days. Elsewhere, winds and
seas should be quiescent.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent satellite derived wind and altimeter data provide observations
of fresh to strong winds of 20 to 30 kt over central Caribbean
with seas of up to 13 ft. In addition, buoy 42058 located near
14N76W is reporting seas up to 10 ft. These winds are the result
of the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the
Colombian Low. The scatterometer satellite data passes also reveal
moderate to fresh trades across the eastern portion of the basin.
Seas are moderate with these winds. Moderate to locally fresh NE
to E winds are seen in the Gulf Honduras, where seas are 4 to 5
ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds along with slight to
moderate seas are present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring over the western Caribbean, particularly W of 85W,
including in the vicinity of the Gulf of Honduras. Patches of low
level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow, are moving
westward across the area producing isolated to scattered passing
showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
High north of the area along with lower pressure over N South
America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the central
Caribbean for the next several days. Likewise, trades over the
Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and
evenings through the weekend. A tropical wave centered near 59W
currently will enhance showers and thunderstorms over the Windward
Islands and the SE Caribbean for the next two days. Another stronger
tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing
fresh to strong trades over the E Caribbean on Thu and Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) from CIMSS and the Geocolor
satellite imagery show abundant African dust over this area into
the eastern Caribbean.
As it is normal for this time of the year, the Bermuda-Azores
High dominates the Atlantic forecast waters. Moderate to fresh
winds are observed along the southern periphery of its associated
ridge, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just north of
Hispaniola. Light to gentle winds are near the ridge axis, mainly
N of 25N. Seas are generally moderate with these winds. An upper-
level low spinning between Hispaniola and the southeastern
Bahamas is generating some shower activity.
For the forecast west of 55W, ridging associated with the Bermuda-
Azores High will remain farther south than usual - near 27N. Waters
north of 29N will have moderate to fresh W to SW winds for the next
several days. Additionally, fresh to strong trades will continue
just north of Hispaniola and the approaches to the Windward Passage
through the weekend.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 16:35:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 071635
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Jul 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 12OO UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is just west of the Cabo Verde Islands. Its axis
is along 25W south of 17N. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 20W
and 27W. Scattered showers are likely over the Cabo Verde Islands
and surrounding waters.
A well defined tropical wave is along 46W south of 17N, moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 07N to 11N between 40W and 50W. This
wave should reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh
to strong trades and moderate to rough seas over the E Caribbean
on Thu and Fri. Currently, seas of 6 to 8 ft are noted west of the
wave axis based on altimeter data.
Another tropical wave is analyzed near 59W and extends southward
into Guyana. It is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 07N to 12N between 53W and 60.5W. the
wave will move across the Lesser Antilles this evening and tonight
increasing the chances of rain. It is forecast to reach Puerto
Rico on Wed bringing the chance of showers and thunderstorms.
The tropical wave previously located along 85W is relocated
farther E along 80W based on tropical wave diagnostic and surface
observations. Convection is limited near the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 09N25W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N27W to 08N44W to 09N57W. Most of the convective
activity across the area is associated with the above mentioned
tropical waves.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues the dominate the Gulf region producing a
gentle to moderate wind flow. Slight to moderate seas are noted
with these winds. An upper-level low over the western Gulf is
enhancing the development of showers and thunderstorms over parts
of the basin, more concentrated over the west-central Bay of
Campeche and near the Veracruz area.
For the forecast, the diurnal trough moving westward from the
Yucatan peninsula will cause fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
offshore of the peninsula nightly through the weekend. An upper-
level low will cause scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
over the Gulf for the next couple of days. Elsewhere, winds and
seas should be quiescent.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent satellite derived wind and altimeter data provide observations
of fresh to strong winds of 20 to 30 kt over central Caribbean
with seas of up to 13 ft. In addition, buoy 42058 located near
14N76W is reporting seas up to 10 ft. These winds are the result
of the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the
Colombian Low. The scatterometer satellite data passes also reveal
moderate to fresh trades across the eastern portion of the basin.
Seas are moderate with these winds. Moderate to locally fresh NE
to E winds are seen in the Gulf Honduras, where seas are 4 to 5
ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds along with slight to
moderate seas are present. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring over the western Caribbean, particularly W of 85W,
including in the vicinity of the Gulf of Honduras. Patches of low
level moisture, embedded in the trade wind flow, are moving
westward across the area producing isolated to scattered passing
showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores
High north of the area along with lower pressure over N South
America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the central
Caribbean for the next several days. Likewise, trades over the
Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and
evenings through the weekend. A tropical wave centered near 59W
currently will enhance showers and thunderstorms over the Windward
Islands and the SE Caribbean for the next two days. Another stronger
tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing
fresh to strong trades over the E Caribbean on Thu and Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) from CIMSS and the Geocolor
satellite imagery show abundant African dust over this area into
the eastern Caribbean.
As it is normal for this time of the year, the Bermuda-Azores
High dominates the Atlantic forecast waters. Moderate to fresh
winds are observed along the southern periphery of its associated
ridge, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just north of
Hispaniola. Light to gentle winds are near the ridge axis, mainly
N of 25N. Seas are generally moderate with these winds. An upper-
level low spinning between Hispaniola and the southeastern
Bahamas is generating some shower activity.
For the forecast west of 55W, ridging associated with the Bermuda-
Azores High will remain farther south than usual - near 27N. Waters
north of 29N will have moderate to fresh W to SW winds for the next
several days. Additionally, fresh to strong trades will continue
just north of Hispaniola and the approaches to the Windward Passage
through the weekend.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 05:22:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 07 Jul 2026 18:01:18 GMT - Tue, 07 Jul 2026 17:22:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 071722
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster B. Hurley
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 12:51:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
976
NOUS42 KNHC 071251
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 07 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-037
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf