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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 08 Sep 2026 22:45:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
264
AXNT20 KNHC 082245
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave along 17W north of 03N is moving into the eastern
Atlantic at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident
from 10N to 15N between 17W and 22W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 49W from 02N
to 18N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 16N between
50W and 55W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 60W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 12N to 15N between 58W and 62W.
A central western tropical wave has its axis near 82W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 17N to 21N between 80W
and 85W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N16W, and continues
southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ continues from 09N30W to 08N35W
to 10N45W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
seen from 06N to 11N between 30W and 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends across the eastern waters from Venice,
Florida to south-central Louisiana. A few showers and thunderstorms
are in the vicinity of the front. A surface trough persists over
the southwest Gulf, northeast of Veracruz. Gentle to moderate
winds are active over the central and west-central Gulf north of
the trough. Light to gentle winds are over the SE Gulf. Gentle
winds and slight seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
through the weekend, producing a weak pressure gradient. This
will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over
much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper low is centered between Panama and Jamaica, supporting
clusters of showers and thunderstorms over the northwest Caribbean
between Cuba and Belize. The pressure gradient between high
pressure over the western Atlantic and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of the
northwestern waters, where light to gentle winds are noted.
For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally
to near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing
modestly through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters
with the persistent strong winds. Fresh to locally strong winds
will pulse tonight in the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large
easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N
Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from Bermuda to Fort Pierce Florida. A
pre-frontal trough also extends from 31N63W to the Windward
Passage. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are active along the
trough from 25N to 30N. The subtropical ridge dominates the
remainder of the basin, anchored by 1027 mb high pressure near
31N38W, and extending westward through the northwest Bahamas.
This pattern is supporting gentle breezes and 3-5 ft seas along
the ridge axis through the Bahamas, and moderate to fresh NE winds
and 6-9 ft seas south of the ridge.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will gradually shift
northeastward and strengthen through mid week. This will cause
winds to increase slightly S of 21N through Thu. A stationary
front will linger near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters W of 60W through tonight.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 08 Sep 2026 22:45:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
264
AXNT20 KNHC 082245
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Sep 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave along 17W north of 03N is moving into the eastern
Atlantic at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is evident
from 10N to 15N between 17W and 22W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 49W from 02N
to 18N, moving westward at about 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is noted from 08N to 16N between
50W and 55W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 60W from 19N
southward, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 12N to 15N between 58W and 62W.
A central western tropical wave has its axis near 82W, south of
19N. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted from 17N to 21N between 80W
and 85W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N16W, and continues
southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ continues from 09N30W to 08N35W
to 10N45W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
seen from 06N to 11N between 30W and 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends across the eastern waters from Venice,
Florida to south-central Louisiana. A few showers and thunderstorms
are in the vicinity of the front. A surface trough persists over
the southwest Gulf, northeast of Veracruz. Gentle to moderate
winds are active over the central and west-central Gulf north of
the trough. Light to gentle winds are over the SE Gulf. Gentle
winds and slight seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
through the weekend, producing a weak pressure gradient. This
will support mostly light to gentle winds and slight seas over
much of the waters. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas
off the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings due to a
diurnal surface trough moving westward from the peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper low is centered between Panama and Jamaica, supporting
clusters of showers and thunderstorms over the northwest Caribbean
between Cuba and Belize. The pressure gradient between high
pressure over the western Atlantic and the Colombian low is
supporting fresh to strong trades along with moderate seas over
the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate are over the rest of basin, with the exception of the
northwestern waters, where light to gentle winds are noted.
For the forecast, the western Atlantic ridge extends E to W along
about 26N to the NW Bahamas. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the Colombian low will support strong winds, locally
to near- gale force, through Wed night before diminishing
modestly through Fri. Rough seas will develop over these waters
with the persistent strong winds. Fresh to locally strong winds
will pulse tonight in the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate
or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail. Large
easterly swell will accompany a tropical wave into the Tropical N
Atlantic waters early Wed through Thu morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from Bermuda to Fort Pierce Florida. A
pre-frontal trough also extends from 31N63W to the Windward
Passage. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are active along the
trough from 25N to 30N. The subtropical ridge dominates the
remainder of the basin, anchored by 1027 mb high pressure near
31N38W, and extending westward through the northwest Bahamas.
This pattern is supporting gentle breezes and 3-5 ft seas along
the ridge axis through the Bahamas, and moderate to fresh NE winds
and 6-9 ft seas south of the ridge.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will gradually shift
northeastward and strengthen through mid week. This will cause
winds to increase slightly S of 21N through Thu. A stationary
front will linger near 31N through mid week before lifting
northward. Showers and thunderstorms will remain active across
these northern waters W of 60W through tonight.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 10 Sep 2026 11:24:39 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 09 Sep 2026 03:06:11 GMT - Tue, 08 Sep 2026 23:24:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 082324
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Sep 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 08 Sep 2026 13:12:04 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081311
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT TUE 08 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-100
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARKS:
A. THE TEAL 79 MISSION FOR THE 08/1730Z LOWELL FIX REQUIREMENT
TASKED IN TCPOD 26-099 WAS CANCELED BY NHC AT 08/1120Z.
B. THE NOAA 43 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 08/1200Z REQUIREMENT IN
TCPOD 26-099 WILL NOT BE FLOWN.
C, ALL NOAA 43 RESEARCH MISSIONS INTO LOWELL HAVE BEEN
CANCELED.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf