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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 22 May 2026 16:29:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221629
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1629 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 41W, south of 11N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection is limited.
A tropical wave is moving westward across the central Caribbean.
Its axis is along 78W, south of 15N, moving westward near 10 kt.
The southern portion of the wave extends into the EPAC along the
coast of Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 03N25W. The ITCZ
extends from 03N25W to 02N38W and from 01N44.5W to 03N50W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed south
of 03N between 10W and 27W. Scattered moderate convection is S of
09N between 35W and 53W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region.
This system supports moderate to fresh SE winds across the
Straits of Florida with seas of 3 to 4 ft. Elsewhere, a gentle to
moderate wind flow, with slight to moderate seas prevail. A
cluster of showers and thunderstorms is noted in the eastern Gulf
north of 26N between 85W and 88W. Winds and seas could be higher
near tstms.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little during the
forecast period. The related pressure gradient will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend and into early next week, with the
exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from the
late afternoons and into the night time hours due to local
effects associated with a thermal trough. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong, are expected to
affect portions of the western Gulf through the weekend and into
next week. Mariners should keep up with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent scatterometer data provide observations of fresh to strong
trade winds across the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds. These winds are
the result of the pressure gradient between high pressure N of the
area and the relatively lower pressures in northern South
America. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are
affecting portions of Cuba. Pockets of low-level moisture,
embedded in the trade wind flow, are affecting the remainder of
the basin generating isolated to scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central Caribbean into early next week creating rough seas over
these waters. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades will remain
elsewhere through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A large mid to upper-level low located NE of the Bahamas continues
to support the development of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
across the waters from 23N to 29N between 73W and 77W. A surface
trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, is analyzed from
28N28.5W to 23N55.5W. High pressure of 1026 mb centered E of
Bermuda dominates the remainder of the forecast region. Under this
weather pattern, fresh to locally strong NE winds and seas of 6
to 8 ft are observed between the W coast of Africa and the Cabo
Verde Islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas dominate
the remainder of the tropical Atlantic. Elsewhere, a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic flow is noted with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad mid to upper-level trough E
of the Bahamas will maintain unsettled weather conditions
generally to the E and NE of the Bahamas through early Sat
afternoon as the trough becomes less defined. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during the afternoons and
evenings going into early next week. The western part of a
backdoor cold front will push south across the eastern portion of
the area from Sun afternoon into Mon before stalling near 26N,
then begin to weaken and dissipate Tue. Fresh to strong northeast
winds along with moderate seas will follow in behind the front,
subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are forecast to increase
over most of the western half of the area starting Mon, including
the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to
the Windward Passage as slightly stronger high pressure N of the
area shifts east-southeastward leading to a tighter pressure
gradient.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 22 May 2026 16:29:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 221629
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1629 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 41W, south of 11N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection is limited.
A tropical wave is moving westward across the central Caribbean.
Its axis is along 78W, south of 15N, moving westward near 10 kt.
The southern portion of the wave extends into the EPAC along the
coast of Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 03N25W. The ITCZ
extends from 03N25W to 02N38W and from 01N44.5W to 03N50W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed south
of 03N between 10W and 27W. Scattered moderate convection is S of
09N between 35W and 53W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region.
This system supports moderate to fresh SE winds across the
Straits of Florida with seas of 3 to 4 ft. Elsewhere, a gentle to
moderate wind flow, with slight to moderate seas prevail. A
cluster of showers and thunderstorms is noted in the eastern Gulf
north of 26N between 85W and 88W. Winds and seas could be higher
near tstms.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little during the
forecast period. The related pressure gradient will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend and into early next week, with the
exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from the
late afternoons and into the night time hours due to local
effects associated with a thermal trough. Scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong, are expected to
affect portions of the western Gulf through the weekend and into
next week. Mariners should keep up with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent scatterometer data provide observations of fresh to strong
trade winds across the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela. Seas are 6 to 8 ft with these winds. These winds are
the result of the pressure gradient between high pressure N of the
area and the relatively lower pressures in northern South
America. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring in the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are
affecting portions of Cuba. Pockets of low-level moisture,
embedded in the trade wind flow, are affecting the remainder of
the basin generating isolated to scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central Caribbean into early next week creating rough seas over
these waters. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades will remain
elsewhere through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A large mid to upper-level low located NE of the Bahamas continues
to support the development of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
across the waters from 23N to 29N between 73W and 77W. A surface
trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, is analyzed from
28N28.5W to 23N55.5W. High pressure of 1026 mb centered E of
Bermuda dominates the remainder of the forecast region. Under this
weather pattern, fresh to locally strong NE winds and seas of 6
to 8 ft are observed between the W coast of Africa and the Cabo
Verde Islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas dominate
the remainder of the tropical Atlantic. Elsewhere, a gentle to
moderate anticyclonic flow is noted with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad mid to upper-level trough E
of the Bahamas will maintain unsettled weather conditions
generally to the E and NE of the Bahamas through early Sat
afternoon as the trough becomes less defined. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during the afternoons and
evenings going into early next week. The western part of a
backdoor cold front will push south across the eastern portion of
the area from Sun afternoon into Mon before stalling near 26N,
then begin to weaken and dissipate Tue. Fresh to strong northeast
winds along with moderate seas will follow in behind the front,
subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are forecast to increase
over most of the western half of the area starting Mon, including
the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to
the Windward Passage as slightly stronger high pressure N of the
area shifts east-southeastward leading to a tighter pressure
gradient.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 24 May 2026 05:30:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 22 May 2026 20:49:06 GMT - Fri, 22 May 2026 17:30:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 221730
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri May 22 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf