2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 17:40:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 141740
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Oct 14 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is centered near 18.2N 44.9W at 1500 UTC
    or 1200 nm W of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving NW at 13 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, all across the eastern
    semicircle. Peak seas are around 18 ft (5.5 M) to the NE of
    center. Vertical wind shear continues to negatively impact
    Lorenzo, and the current structure appears poorly organized. Small
    clusters of moderate to strong convection are over the center and
    extend to 240 nm over the southeastern semicircle. Lorenzo is
    moving toward the NW and a turn to the north is expected later
    today or tonight. A northeastward motion is then expected on
    Wednesday and Thursday. Little change in strength is forecast over
    the next few days, and Lorenzo may remain a lopsided storm, with
    all of the strongest winds remaining on its eastern side.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
    Lorenzo NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has been repositioned along
    22W/23W, south of 15N, moving west at 10 kt. Numerous moderate to
    isolated strong convection is observed from 05N to 14N and
    between 20W and 27W.

    Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 13N,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 02.5N to 09.5N and between 31W and 37W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W/57W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 11.5N to 14.5N and between 55W and 61W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea near 09N13.5W and continues southwestward to 07.5N17W and
    to 10N26W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N34W to 06.5N37W to 09N45W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06.5N between
    10W and 20W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Fair weather prevails over the Gulf basin today as weak high
    pressure over the Mississippi Valley extends into the north-
    central basin. The tail end of a weak cold front has moved through
    south Florida and extends from across the Florida Keys to 25N85W
    to just offshore of the NE Yucatan Peninsula. A few small clusters
    of moderate convection are noted along the front to the W of the
    Keys. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds prevail north of the
    front to 26N and into the Bay of Campeche, where seas are

    Louisiana supports moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds
    and seas of 3-5 ft, highest in the Yucatan Channel. North of 26N
    gentle easterly winds prevail, with seas less than 3 ft.

    For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the Gulf region
    through the forecast period, resulting in gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin. Winds are
    forecast to increase to fresh speeds over the eastern and central
    Gulf Thu night through Sat night as the pressure gradient tightens
    some across the area. Winds will veer to the SE and S toward the
    end of the week as high pressure over the SE United States shifts
    eastward into the western Atlantic. Looking ahead, a cold front
    will reach the northern Gulf waters on Sun.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Deep layered troughing across the southeastern Gulf is combining
    with in inverted low level trough across the northwest Caribbean
    to produce scattered moderate convection from 13.5N to 21N
    between 76W and 86W. Small scattered showers dot the waters north
    of 15N between 68W and 76W. Scattered moderate convection is also
    occurring across the southeast basin, south of 13N and into
    coastal Venezuela, east of 65W and across the southern Windward
    Islands. Broad low pressure continues of the Caribbean Basin west
    of 75W, producing cyclonic flow, while gentle to moderate easterly
    winds are seen E of 75W. Seas are 3-4 ft to the E of 75W and 3 ft
    or less W of 75W.

    For the forecast, a cold front extending over the far SE Gulf of America
    and the Yucatan Channel will move across Cuba and the NW Caribbean
    today through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
    seas are expected in the wake of the front. Unsettled weather
    conditions will persist along and ahead of the frontal boundary.
    Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin
    through the work week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo in the central Atlantic.

    An extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas extends a cold front
    through the NW Bahamas, across the Florida Keys, and into the SE
    Gulf of America. Scattered light to moderate convection is noted
    within 180 nm ahead of this boundary. Fresh NW winds and rough
    seas to 8 ft are found N of 29N and between 72W and 78W. Moderate
    to fresh SW to W winds and moderate winds are occurring east of
    the front, north of 28N and between 64W and 71W. Meanwhile,
    moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are present
    south of 21N and between 50W and 75W, to the west of Lorenzo.
    Farther northeast, a 1006 mb low pressure near 29.5N53W extends a
    surface trough to 25N58W. Scattered moderate convection is found
    ahead of the trough. Fresh to locally strong cyclonic winds and
    seas of 6-8 ft are present north of 26N and between 50W and 57W.
    The rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is dominated by a
    weak high pressure system centered between Bermuda and Puerto
    Rico, supporting light to gentle winds and moderate seas.

    Outside of Lorenzo, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
    waters are also under the influence of a relaxed gradient as
    multiple storm systems transit eastward across the midlatitudes.
    In general, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate
    these waters.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE
    across the forecast waters through the week. The front will reach
    from 31N70W to western Cuba by Tue morning, from near Bermuda to
    central Cuba by Wed morning, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by
    Thu morning. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are expected on
    either side of the front across the waters N of 27N by tonight.
    These marine conditions will shift eastward with the front through
    late in the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well east
    of the area near 18.2N 44.9W at 11 AM EDT, and is moving
    northwest at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gusts
    to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Lorenzo is
    expected to remain east of 50W during the next several days.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 17:40:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 141740
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Oct 14 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo is centered near 18.2N 44.9W at 1500 UTC
    or 1200 nm W of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving NW at 13 kt.
    Estimated minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Maximum sustained
    wind speed is 40 kt with gusts to 50 kt, all across the eastern
    semicircle. Peak seas are around 18 ft (5.5 M) to the NE of
    center. Vertical wind shear continues to negatively impact
    Lorenzo, and the current structure appears poorly organized. Small
    clusters of moderate to strong convection are over the center and
    extend to 240 nm over the southeastern semicircle. Lorenzo is
    moving toward the NW and a turn to the north is expected later
    today or tonight. A northeastward motion is then expected on
    Wednesday and Thursday. Little change in strength is forecast over
    the next few days, and Lorenzo may remain a lopsided storm, with
    all of the strongest winds remaining on its eastern side.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and the latest
    Lorenzo NHC Forecast/Advisory and Public Advisory at
    www.hurricanes.gov for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has been repositioned along
    22W/23W, south of 15N, moving west at 10 kt. Numerous moderate to
    isolated strong convection is observed from 05N to 14N and
    between 20W and 27W.

    Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W, south of 13N,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 02.5N to 09.5N and between 31W and 37W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W/57W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 11.5N to 14.5N and between 55W and 61W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea near 09N13.5W and continues southwestward to 07.5N17W and
    to 10N26W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N34W to 06.5N37W to 09N45W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06.5N between
    10W and 20W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Fair weather prevails over the Gulf basin today as weak high
    pressure over the Mississippi Valley extends into the north-
    central basin. The tail end of a weak cold front has moved through
    south Florida and extends from across the Florida Keys to 25N85W
    to just offshore of the NE Yucatan Peninsula. A few small clusters
    of moderate convection are noted along the front to the W of the
    Keys. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds prevail north of the
    front to 26N and into the Bay of Campeche, where seas are

    Louisiana supports moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds
    and seas of 3-5 ft, highest in the Yucatan Channel. North of 26N
    gentle easterly winds prevail, with seas less than 3 ft.

    For the forecast, a weak ridge will dominate the Gulf region
    through the forecast period, resulting in gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin. Winds are
    forecast to increase to fresh speeds over the eastern and central
    Gulf Thu night through Sat night as the pressure gradient tightens
    some across the area. Winds will veer to the SE and S toward the
    end of the week as high pressure over the SE United States shifts
    eastward into the western Atlantic. Looking ahead, a cold front
    will reach the northern Gulf waters on Sun.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Deep layered troughing across the southeastern Gulf is combining
    with in inverted low level trough across the northwest Caribbean
    to produce scattered moderate convection from 13.5N to 21N
    between 76W and 86W. Small scattered showers dot the waters north
    of 15N between 68W and 76W. Scattered moderate convection is also
    occurring across the southeast basin, south of 13N and into
    coastal Venezuela, east of 65W and across the southern Windward
    Islands. Broad low pressure continues of the Caribbean Basin west
    of 75W, producing cyclonic flow, while gentle to moderate easterly
    winds are seen E of 75W. Seas are 3-4 ft to the E of 75W and 3 ft
    or less W of 75W.

    For the forecast, a cold front extending over the far SE Gulf of America
    and the Yucatan Channel will move across Cuba and the NW Caribbean
    today through Thu. Moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate
    seas are expected in the wake of the front. Unsettled weather
    conditions will persist along and ahead of the frontal boundary.
    Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas over much of the basin
    through the work week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo in the central Atlantic.

    An extratropical cyclone off the Carolinas extends a cold front
    through the NW Bahamas, across the Florida Keys, and into the SE
    Gulf of America. Scattered light to moderate convection is noted
    within 180 nm ahead of this boundary. Fresh NW winds and rough
    seas to 8 ft are found N of 29N and between 72W and 78W. Moderate
    to fresh SW to W winds and moderate winds are occurring east of
    the front, north of 28N and between 64W and 71W. Meanwhile,
    moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas are present
    south of 21N and between 50W and 75W, to the west of Lorenzo.
    Farther northeast, a 1006 mb low pressure near 29.5N53W extends a
    surface trough to 25N58W. Scattered moderate convection is found
    ahead of the trough. Fresh to locally strong cyclonic winds and
    seas of 6-8 ft are present north of 26N and between 50W and 57W.
    The rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is dominated by a
    weak high pressure system centered between Bermuda and Puerto
    Rico, supporting light to gentle winds and moderate seas.

    Outside of Lorenzo, the central and eastern tropical Atlantic
    waters are also under the influence of a relaxed gradient as
    multiple storm systems transit eastward across the midlatitudes.
    In general, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate
    these waters.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold front will move SE
    across the forecast waters through the week. The front will reach
    from 31N70W to western Cuba by Tue morning, from near Bermuda to
    central Cuba by Wed morning, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by
    Thu morning. Fresh to strong winds and rough seas are expected on
    either side of the front across the waters N of 27N by tonight.
    These marine conditions will shift eastward with the front through
    late in the week. Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Lorenzo is well east
    of the area near 18.2N 44.9W at 11 AM EDT, and is moving
    northwest at 13 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 40 kt with gusts
    to 50 kt, and the minimum central pressure is 1003 mb. Lorenzo is
    expected to remain east of 50W during the next several days.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 21:22:15 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Graphics - NHC Atlantic
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:41:52 GMT

    Tropical Storm Lorenzo 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Tue, 14 Oct 2025 21:22:15 GMT
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:42 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Forecast Discussion Number 7 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 142034
    TCDAT2
     
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo Discussion Number   7
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
    500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
     
    Lorenzo is really struggling over the tropical Atlantic.  The
    system is now only producing a few clusters of deep convection as
    dry air continues to entrain into the circulation.  Based on the
    degraded satellite appearance and intensity estimates, the initial
    wind speed is lowered to 35 kt.
     
    Lorenzo is moving northwestward at 12 kt on the southwest side of a
    subtropical ridge over the eastern Atlantic.  A turn to the north
    is expected by tonight, followed by a faster northeastward motion on
    Wednesday as a mid- to upper-level trough approaches from the west. 
    The faster northeastward motion will likely continue until the 
    system dissipates in a few days.
    
    Dry air and moderate to strong shear should continue to affect 
    Lorenzo during the next several days.  These conditions should 
    cause the system to continue to degrade, and Lorenzo is now forecast 
    to dissipate by day 3.  In fact, most of the models show Lorenzo 
    opening into a trough even sooner than that.
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  14/2100Z 18.7N  45.5W   35 KT  40 MPH
     12H  15/0600Z 20.5N  45.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
     24H  15/1800Z 23.0N  43.9W   35 KT  40 MPH
     36H  16/0600Z 25.6N  41.2W   35 KT  40 MPH
     48H  16/1800Z 28.3N  37.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
     60H  17/0600Z 29.8N  33.7W   30 KT  35 MPH
     72H  17/1800Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:12 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Wind Speed Probabilities Number 7 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025
    000
    FONT12 KNHC 142034
    PWSAT2
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7          
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122025               
    2100 UTC TUE OCT 14 2025                                            
                                                                        
    AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENZO WAS LOCATED NEAR      
    LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:12 +0000: Tropical Storm Lorenzo Public Advisory Number 7 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 142034
    TCPAT2
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Lorenzo Advisory Number   7
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL122025
    500 PM AST Tue Oct 14 2025
     
    ...LORENZO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN...
    ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS WEEK...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...18.7N 45.5W
    ABOUT 1430 MI...2300 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Lorenzo was 
    located near latitude 18.7 North, longitude 45.5 West. Lorenzo is 
    moving toward the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn to 
    the north is expected tonight, followed by a northeastward motion 
    on Wednesday and Thursday.
     
    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h) 
    with higher gusts.  Continued weakening is expected, and Lorenzo is 
    forecast to dissipate within a few days.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km)
    from the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 20:34:12 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Lorenzo (AT2/AL122025) - NHC Atlantic
    ...LORENZO CONTINUES TO WEAKEN... ...EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE LATER THIS WEEK... As of 5:00 PM AST Tue Oct 14 the center of Lorenzo was located near 18.7, -45.5 with movement NW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 14 Oct 2025 14:16:20 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 141416
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1015 AM EDT TUE 14 OCTOBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z OCTOBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-136

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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