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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 28 Jun 2026 23:44:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 282344
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 23W from
02N to 17N moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated showers are near
the wave axis from 04N to 08N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 50W south of
13N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is west of the wave to 55W from 07N to 10N.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 64W south of
20N. It is moving westward near 20 kt. No deep convection is near
the wave at the present time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W, and continues southwestward to 08N21W and
west-southwestward to 07N28.5W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
07N35W to 07N28W and to 07.5N45W. Scattered moderate convection is
within 30 nm north of the trough between 20W-28W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are southeast of the trough from 05N to
08N between 16W-20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1020 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf near 29N85W, with a
ridge extending westward to near central Texas. The related
gradient between it and relatively lower pressures in Texas and
in northeast Mexico is generally providing for moderate to fresh
southeast to south over the western Gulf. Seas are 3 to 5 ft with
these winds. Gentle or weaker winds along with seas of 1 to 3 ft
are elsewhere across the basin. A mid to upper-level low moving
westward across central Cuba has a trough that extends
northwestward into the eastern Gulf, where there is ample
moisture in place. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are from
just west of the Florida Keys to near 84W from 24N to 26N while
isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere south of 28N
east of 88W. Isolated showers are south of 23N west of 94W while
scattered showers are over the central and southeastern portions
of Mexico.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong northeast to east
winds will pulse off the northwest portion of the Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Thu night. Moderate to fresh east to
southeast winds across the western half of the Gulf will diminish
to gentle to moderate speeds Tue morning, and prevail the
remainder forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
elsewhere east of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and low
pressure in Colombia and nearby areas is sustaining strong to
near-gale force trades along with seas in the range of 8 to 11 ft
across the south-cental Caribbean. Buoy 42058 at 15N75W reported
a wave height maximum of 11 ft earlier today. Mostly fresh
trades along with seas of 5 to 7 ft are over the rest of the
central Caribbean. Gentle to moderate trades are over the
remainder of the basin, with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except a little
lower of 2 to 4 ft in the Gulf of Honduras and north of 18N west
of 85W.
Scattered moderate convection is along and just offshore the
northern and western coasts of Jamaica. Similar activity is
over some sections of western and eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and low pressure in Colombia and nearby areas will
continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
Caribbean into midweek, except reaching near gale-force speeds
offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate or lighter winds are
forecast across the remainder of the basin during the next
several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A high pressure ridge axis stretches southwestward from well
northeast of the area through a 1026 mb high center at 33N46W,
and continues southwestward to 30N67W and west-southwest to
across central Florida and over the Gulf of America. The pressure
gradient between the high pressure ridge and relatively lower
pressure in the deep tropics is favoring trades of moderate to
fresh speeds south of about 23N east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas
are 5 to 7 ft over these waters, except for higher seas of 6 to
8 ft in east swell from 11N to 15N between 55W and Lesser
Antilles.
In the far eastern part of the basin, fresh to strong northeast
winds are present north of 17N east of 22W to along the coast
of Africa due to a tight pressure gradient between the north
Atlantic high pressure and broad low pressure in western Africa,
where a segment of the monsoon trough is located. Seas are
5 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere moderate or weaker winds
along with seas 3 to 5 ft remain.
For the forecast west of 55W, an expansive Bermuda-Azores High
will dominate the forecast area through Mon. While most of the
basin will experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north
of Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings
for the next several days. On Mon, a weak frontal boundary should
emerge off the southeastern United States coast, and reach from
approximately 31N73W to the central Florida peninsula by Tue
morning. While the frontal boundary is forecast to dissipate on
Wed, a broad low pressure area is forecast to along the frontal
boundary offshore of the southeastern United States coast on
Mon or Tue. Gradual development is possible while the system
drifts southward and then westward before environmental
conditions become less conducive later this week.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 28 Jun 2026 23:44:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 282344
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2330 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 23W from
02N to 17N moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated showers are near
the wave axis from 04N to 08N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 50W south of
13N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is west of the wave to 55W from 07N to 10N.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 64W south of
20N. It is moving westward near 20 kt. No deep convection is near
the wave at the present time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W, and continues southwestward to 08N21W and
west-southwestward to 07N28.5W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to
07N35W to 07N28W and to 07.5N45W. Scattered moderate convection is
within 30 nm north of the trough between 20W-28W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are southeast of the trough from 05N to
08N between 16W-20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1020 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf near 29N85W, with a
ridge extending westward to near central Texas. The related
gradient between it and relatively lower pressures in Texas and
in northeast Mexico is generally providing for moderate to fresh
southeast to south over the western Gulf. Seas are 3 to 5 ft with
these winds. Gentle or weaker winds along with seas of 1 to 3 ft
are elsewhere across the basin. A mid to upper-level low moving
westward across central Cuba has a trough that extends
northwestward into the eastern Gulf, where there is ample
moisture in place. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are from
just west of the Florida Keys to near 84W from 24N to 26N while
isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere south of 28N
east of 88W. Isolated showers are south of 23N west of 94W while
scattered showers are over the central and southeastern portions
of Mexico.
For the forecast, fresh to locally strong northeast to east
winds will pulse off the northwest portion of the Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Thu night. Moderate to fresh east to
southeast winds across the western half of the Gulf will diminish
to gentle to moderate speeds Tue morning, and prevail the
remainder forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
elsewhere east of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE
Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and low
pressure in Colombia and nearby areas is sustaining strong to
near-gale force trades along with seas in the range of 8 to 11 ft
across the south-cental Caribbean. Buoy 42058 at 15N75W reported
a wave height maximum of 11 ft earlier today. Mostly fresh
trades along with seas of 5 to 7 ft are over the rest of the
central Caribbean. Gentle to moderate trades are over the
remainder of the basin, with seas of 3 to 5 ft, except a little
lower of 2 to 4 ft in the Gulf of Honduras and north of 18N west
of 85W.
Scattered moderate convection is along and just offshore the
northern and western coasts of Jamaica. Similar activity is
over some sections of western and eastern Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and low pressure in Colombia and nearby areas will
continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
Caribbean into midweek, except reaching near gale-force speeds
offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate or lighter winds are
forecast across the remainder of the basin during the next
several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A high pressure ridge axis stretches southwestward from well
northeast of the area through a 1026 mb high center at 33N46W,
and continues southwestward to 30N67W and west-southwest to
across central Florida and over the Gulf of America. The pressure
gradient between the high pressure ridge and relatively lower
pressure in the deep tropics is favoring trades of moderate to
fresh speeds south of about 23N east of the Lesser Antilles. Seas
are 5 to 7 ft over these waters, except for higher seas of 6 to
8 ft in east swell from 11N to 15N between 55W and Lesser
Antilles.
In the far eastern part of the basin, fresh to strong northeast
winds are present north of 17N east of 22W to along the coast
of Africa due to a tight pressure gradient between the north
Atlantic high pressure and broad low pressure in western Africa,
where a segment of the monsoon trough is located. Seas are
5 to 7 ft with these winds. Elsewhere moderate or weaker winds
along with seas 3 to 5 ft remain.
For the forecast west of 55W, an expansive Bermuda-Azores High
will dominate the forecast area through Mon. While most of the
basin will experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north
of Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings
for the next several days. On Mon, a weak frontal boundary should
emerge off the southeastern United States coast, and reach from
approximately 31N73W to the central Florida peninsula by Tue
morning. While the frontal boundary is forecast to dissipate on
Wed, a broad low pressure area is forecast to along the frontal
boundary offshore of the southeastern United States coast on
Mon or Tue. Gradual development is possible while the system
drifts southward and then westward before environmental
conditions become less conducive later this week.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 11:21:10 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 29 Jun 2026 01:10:07 GMT - Sun, 28 Jun 2026 23:21:10 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 282320
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located near the coast of
North Carolina are associated with a mid-level disturbance and an
approaching frontal system. A broad area of low pressure is forecast
to form along the front offshore of the southeastern coast of the
United States on Monday or Tuesday. Gradual development is possible
while the system drifts southward and then westward before
environmental conditions become less conducive later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 28 Jun 2026 12:49:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
618
NOUS42 KNHC 281249
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SUN 28 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-028
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 32.0N 71.0W FOR 30/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf