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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 22:02:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 182202
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Oct 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is stalling this
evening from the northwest coast of Cuba to the eastern Bay of
Campeche. Scattered moderate convection is occurring within 120 nm
south and 60 nm north of the boundary. Gale-force winds and very
rough seas are present behind the front int the western Bay of
Campeche, with fresh to strong N winds and occasional rough seas
elsewhere N of the front. The front will remain generally
stationary and weaken into Tue. Gales and very rough seas will
prevail in the SW basin through tonight, with rough seas then
continuing through Tue.
Atlantic Gale Warning: The aforementioned cold front is moving
faster in the Atlantic, and extends this evening from 31N70W
through the NW Bahamas and to the northern coast of Cuba.
Scattered moderate convection is noted up to 120 nm ahead of this
front, and 60 nm behind the boundary. N of the cold front, near
gale-force northeast to north winds and very rough seas of up to
20 ft area present, with gales occurring N of 29N between 71W and
74W. The front will gradually slow down overnight, with gales
continuing into early Mon, and very rough seas expanding
southeastward into Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 06N25W. The ITCZ
extends from 04N29W to 12N45W, where it is broken by a surface
trough. The ITCZ then resumes from 11N49W to 12N57W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 08N to 17N between 35W and
60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
See the Special Features section above for information on the Gale
Warning in effect for portions of the southwest basin.
Outside fo the gales, fresh NE winds and moderate seas prevail
across most of the basin.
For the forecast, a cold front will slow down over the far
southern Gulf and Yucatan Peninsula tonight and Mon, then drift
to the southeast of the basin through Tue as it weakens. Gale-
force winds will persist over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz
through early Mon morning. High pressure behind the front, will
continue to support fresh NE to E winds mainly over the eastern
half of the Gulf through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Convection is mainly confined to the SW basin in association with
the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough. Moderate
to fresh trades and 4-6 ft seas prevail in the central Caribbean.
Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and slight seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the region due
to the passage of a cold front across the Bahamas and the southern
Gulf of America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in the
south- central Caribbean through Thu and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel Mon night into Tue where it will remain through
Wed before dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and the NW
Caribbean through early Wed morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on gales
ongoing southwest of Bermuda behind a cold front moving through
western Atlantic waters.
To the east of this cold front, a surface trough extending along
51W N of 22N is inducing scattered moderate convection N of 22N
between 48W and 55W. Another stronger trough from 31N45W
southeastward to 22N40W is producing an area of numerous strong
convection N of 24N between 41W and 47W. Finally, deeper in the
tropics, a third surface trough that is drapped from 08N51W to
15N43W is leading to a broad area of scattered moderate convection
from 08N to 15N between 40W and 50W. Locally fresh or higher
winds, with rough seas, are present in and near convection close
to each of these troughs, but for waters away from these features,
winds are generally moderate or less, with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall before dissipating into midweek. Marine conditions
associated with the front will affect mainly the waters W of 65W
through Tue, although seas will linger through much of the week.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 22:02:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 182202
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Oct 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is stalling this
evening from the northwest coast of Cuba to the eastern Bay of
Campeche. Scattered moderate convection is occurring within 120 nm
south and 60 nm north of the boundary. Gale-force winds and very
rough seas are present behind the front int the western Bay of
Campeche, with fresh to strong N winds and occasional rough seas
elsewhere N of the front. The front will remain generally
stationary and weaken into Tue. Gales and very rough seas will
prevail in the SW basin through tonight, with rough seas then
continuing through Tue.
Atlantic Gale Warning: The aforementioned cold front is moving
faster in the Atlantic, and extends this evening from 31N70W
through the NW Bahamas and to the northern coast of Cuba.
Scattered moderate convection is noted up to 120 nm ahead of this
front, and 60 nm behind the boundary. N of the cold front, near
gale-force northeast to north winds and very rough seas of up to
20 ft area present, with gales occurring N of 29N between 71W and
74W. The front will gradually slow down overnight, with gales
continuing into early Mon, and very rough seas expanding
southeastward into Tue.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at
website https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further
details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from 11N15W to 06N25W. The ITCZ
extends from 04N29W to 12N45W, where it is broken by a surface
trough. The ITCZ then resumes from 11N49W to 12N57W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring from 08N to 17N between 35W and
60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
See the Special Features section above for information on the Gale
Warning in effect for portions of the southwest basin.
Outside fo the gales, fresh NE winds and moderate seas prevail
across most of the basin.
For the forecast, a cold front will slow down over the far
southern Gulf and Yucatan Peninsula tonight and Mon, then drift
to the southeast of the basin through Tue as it weakens. Gale-
force winds will persist over the SW Gulf offshore Veracruz
through early Mon morning. High pressure behind the front, will
continue to support fresh NE to E winds mainly over the eastern
half of the Gulf through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Convection is mainly confined to the SW basin in association with
the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough. Moderate
to fresh trades and 4-6 ft seas prevail in the central Caribbean.
Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and slight seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient across the region due
to the passage of a cold front across the Bahamas and the southern
Gulf of America will maintain moderate to fresh trades in the
south- central Caribbean through Thu and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. The cold front will likely reach western Cuba and the
Yucatan Channel Mon night into Tue where it will remain through
Wed before dissipating. Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate to
rough seas will likely impact the Yucatan Channel and the NW
Caribbean through early Wed morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for information on gales
ongoing southwest of Bermuda behind a cold front moving through
western Atlantic waters.
To the east of this cold front, a surface trough extending along
51W N of 22N is inducing scattered moderate convection N of 22N
between 48W and 55W. Another stronger trough from 31N45W
southeastward to 22N40W is producing an area of numerous strong
convection N of 24N between 41W and 47W. Finally, deeper in the
tropics, a third surface trough that is drapped from 08N51W to
15N43W is leading to a broad area of scattered moderate convection
from 08N to 15N between 40W and 50W. Locally fresh or higher
winds, with rough seas, are present in and near convection close
to each of these troughs, but for waters away from these features,
winds are generally moderate or less, with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
stall before dissipating into midweek. Marine conditions
associated with the front will affect mainly the waters W of 65W
through Tue, although seas will linger through much of the week.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 20 Oct 2026 11:41:14 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 18 Oct 2026 23:42:25 GMT - Sun, 18 Oct 2026 23:41:14 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 182338
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Oct 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off the East Coast of the United States:
A storm-force non-tropical low pressure area is developing along a
frontal boundary tonight off the southeast coast of the United
States. This low is likely to move slowly and erratically over the
next couple of days while it initially remains non-tropical. Later
this week, if the system stays over the Gulf Stream, environmental
conditions could become more conducive for the low to develop some
subtropical characteristics. A subtropical cyclone could form over
the second half of this week as the system begins moving generally
northeastward, offshore of the eastern United States. Regardless of
development, this system will cause high winds, coastal flooding,
and dangerous surf along portions of the U.S. East Coast. Please
consult statements and warnings from local National Weather Service
offices and the Weather Prediction Center for more information,
along with High Seas Forecasts and Storm Warnings issued by the
National Weather Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 18 Oct 2026 14:10:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181410
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT SUN 18 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-140
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE LOW LEVEL INVEST NEAR
36.0N 71.0W FOR 20/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf