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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 08:44:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270844
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated
with an area of low pressure, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better
organized tonight. If the current trends continue, advisories could
be initiated on a short-lived tropical depression or storm later
today. However, environmental conditions are expected to become
hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its chances for
development. This system has a high chance of tropical cyclone
formation through the next 48 hours and 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.
Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.
A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.
For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.
Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 08:44:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270844
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A 1007 mb low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated
with an area of low pressure, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better
organized tonight. If the current trends continue, advisories could
be initiated on a short-lived tropical depression or storm later
today. However, environmental conditions are expected to become
hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its chances for
development. This system has a high chance of tropical cyclone
formation through the next 48 hours and 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas.
Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 62W moving across
the Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south
of 21N, moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 78W, south of 20N,
moving quickly westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water.
A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 19N16W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 13N33W to 14N43W. The ITCZ
extends from 14N43W to 11N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, scattered showers are noted
along the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Dry conditions are present across the basin as a weak ridging
prevails, anchored by a 1015 mb high near 27N93W. Light to gentle
winds prevail across the area, with slight seas.
For the forecast, weak pressure pattern will persist across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.
Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Costa Rica
and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions prevail elsewhere over
water. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to strong easterly
trade winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N
between 68W and 80W with 6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to fresh trades
prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with
gentle to moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse again to gale-force on Thu night off
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very
rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical
development over the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic this
weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N and W of 79W. A weak
surface trough runs from north of the waters through 31N57W to
24N61W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found
within 90-120 nm either side of the trough. To the east, a cold
front is analyzed N of 27N and E of 42W with no noticeable
convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to strong winds
associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N between 27W
and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N between 26W
and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north of the
monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh northerly
winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to 26N to the
east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the remainder of
the offshore and open waters. Slight seas are west of 70W, with
mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the waters, except
also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the cold front
mentioned.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to strong off northern Hispaniola at night. An
area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 17:06:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 27 Aug 2026 09:10:07 GMT - Thu, 27 Aug 2026 05:06:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 270506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Satellite imagery indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated
with an area of low pressure, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better
organized tonight. If the current trends continue, advisories could
be initiated on a short-lived tropical depression or storm later
today. However, environmental conditions are expected to become
hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its chances for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 13:55:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261355
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT WED 26 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-087
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf