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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 14 Nov 2026 08:28:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 140828
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from 31N67W to the
    Florida Straits. Gale force winds and rough seas prevail N of 29N
    within 150 nm east of the front. These gales will be short-
    lived, with winds diminishing below gale force this afternoon.
    Thereafter, strong winds will prevail ahead of the front into Sun
    morning, when the front will reach from near 31N55W to near the
    Windward Passage.

    Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by
    the National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12.5N16W to 10N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 10N20W to 06N40W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 03N to 07N between 20W and 43W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas, prevail east of 90W.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail west
    of 90W.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will prevail today as
    high pressure builds southward toward the region. These winds will
    strengthen tonight into Sun over the northern Gulf ahead of a
    cold front that will move offshore Texas Sun night into Mon. Near
    gale- force winds are likely in the far northern Gulf ahead of
    this cold front early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to locally strong winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail over the
    waters east of 70W. A trough extends from central Cuba to the
    Gulf of Honduras, with gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
    west of the trough. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
    seas, are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the eastern
    Caribbean will diminish today. Moderate to fresh northeast to east
    winds will prevail behind a surface trough over the northwestern
    Caribbean through Sun night. Trade winds are likely strengthen
    again over the south central Caribbean starting Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on gale
    conditions east of a cold front.

    A cold front extends from 31N67W to the Florida Straits. Numerous
    thunderstorms are within 210 nm east of the front. Aside from the
    gale force winds, strong to near- gale force winds and rough seas
    are noted N of 24N E of the front to 59W. A reinforcing front is
    from 31N76W to S Florida. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to
    rough seas prevail west of this front. Elsewhere W of 59W,
    moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted. The remainder
    of the waters N of 15N are dominated by high pressure, anchored by
    a 1026 mb high centered near 32N30W. Gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas are found N of 25N and E of 42W. Moderate to fresh
    winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, in addition to the aforementioned
    gale-force winds and accompanying rough seas, strong winds will
    prevail ahead of the front into Sun morning, when the front will
    reach from near 31N55W to near the Windward Passage. The boundary
    should then stall and weaken into early next week. The pressure
    gradient between the front and building Bermuda high will tigthen,
    leading to increasing NE winds S of 27N and W of 65W Mon, and
    these strong winds will expand northward Tue and Tue night.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 14 Nov 2026 08:28:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 140828
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Nov 14 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0830 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front extends from 31N67W to the
    Florida Straits. Gale force winds and rough seas prevail N of 29N
    within 150 nm east of the front. These gales will be short-
    lived, with winds diminishing below gale force this afternoon.
    Thereafter, strong winds will prevail ahead of the front into Sun
    morning, when the front will reach from near 31N55W to near the
    Windward Passage.

    Please see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by
    the National Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12.5N16W to 10N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 10N20W to 06N40W to 03N50W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 03N to 07N between 20W and 43W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas, prevail east of 90W.
    Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail west
    of 90W.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh winds will prevail today as
    high pressure builds southward toward the region. These winds will
    strengthen tonight into Sun over the northern Gulf ahead of a
    cold front that will move offshore Texas Sun night into Mon. Near
    gale- force winds are likely in the far northern Gulf ahead of
    this cold front early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to locally strong winds and 5-7 ft seas prevail over the
    waters east of 70W. A trough extends from central Cuba to the
    Gulf of Honduras, with gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas
    west of the trough. Light to gentle winds, and slight to moderate
    seas, are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades over the eastern
    Caribbean will diminish today. Moderate to fresh northeast to east
    winds will prevail behind a surface trough over the northwestern
    Caribbean through Sun night. Trade winds are likely strengthen
    again over the south central Caribbean starting Mon.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on gale
    conditions east of a cold front.

    A cold front extends from 31N67W to the Florida Straits. Numerous
    thunderstorms are within 210 nm east of the front. Aside from the
    gale force winds, strong to near- gale force winds and rough seas
    are noted N of 24N E of the front to 59W. A reinforcing front is
    from 31N76W to S Florida. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to
    rough seas prevail west of this front. Elsewhere W of 59W,
    moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas are noted. The remainder
    of the waters N of 15N are dominated by high pressure, anchored by
    a 1026 mb high centered near 32N30W. Gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas are found N of 25N and E of 42W. Moderate to fresh
    winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, in addition to the aforementioned
    gale-force winds and accompanying rough seas, strong winds will
    prevail ahead of the front into Sun morning, when the front will
    reach from near 31N55W to near the Windward Passage. The boundary
    should then stall and weaken into early next week. The pressure
    gradient between the front and building Bermuda high will tigthen,
    leading to increasing NE winds S of 27N and W of 65W Mon, and
    these strong winds will expand northward Tue and Tue night.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 15 Nov 2026 23:24:26 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 14 Nov 2026 15:10:19 GMT
  • Sat, 14 Nov 2026 11:24:26 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 141124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Sat Nov 14 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 13 Nov 2026 16:47:12 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 131647
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1150 AM EST FRI 13 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-166

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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