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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:27:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
551
AXNT20 KNHC 021627
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1623 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 15N17W, and continues southwestward to 11N26W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N40W and to 10N60W. Scattered
to numerous moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 17N and
east of 30W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to
13N between 30W and 61W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern U.S.
and lower pressure south of the area is sustaining fresh to
strong east winds over the NE Gulf. Seas with these winds are 4 to
7 ft. An upper-level trough continues to support scattered to
numerous convection east of 84.5W. Elsewhere, mostly light to
gentle winds along with seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will maintain fresh to
strong E winds and moderate seas in the NE Gulf through early Tue.
A cold front will reach along the Texas coast Tue afternoon, and
move out over the NW Gulf Tue night into early Wed, followed by
moderate to fresh NW to N winds. The front will weaken as it moves
slowly across the basin through Thu, then across Florida Thu
night into Fri. In its wake, weak high pressure will settle in
over the region through Fri night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft continue across
the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
seas of 2 to 4 ft, prevail elsewhere. A deep layered trough is
supporting scattered moderate convection from 13N to 18N between
78W and 83W. To the south, scattered moderate convection is
depicted south of 15N between 73W and 83W in association to the
eastern end of the Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will
continue over the central and eastern Caribbean through Tue. The
pressure gradient across the region will relax Tue through Fri as
broad low pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall
weaker winds and diminishing seas throughout the remainder of the
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from near 31N39W southwestward to 27N46W,
where it becomes stationary to near 27N55W, and continues as a
frontal trough westward and through the central Bahamas along
25N. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. is building
eastward across the Atlantic waters north of the trough. The
resulting pressure gradient is supporting fresh to strong NE to E
winds north of 24N and west of 59W. Seas within these winds are 8
to 11 ft. North of the front and east of 59W, moderated to
locally fresh NE to E winds prevail along with seas 6 to 8 ft.
Scattered moderate convection is found along and north of the
frontal boundary and trough. Farther east, a trough extends from
31N28W to 26N18W. Moderate northwest winds and seas 8 to 9 ft are
west of the front to near 32.5W. Gentle to moderate trades along
with seas of 5 to 7 ft are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient will maintain
widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas to near
11 ft north of the trough and west of 60W through Tue morning.
Broad low pressure is expected to gradually develop along the
western edge of the trough beginning late Tue and slowly track
northward throughout the week. Fresh to near gale- force winds
with rough to very rough seas, possibly peaking to around 14 ft,
will expand eastward beyond Wed, impacting the waters mainly N of
about 27N. A cold front will slowly move across the waters between
Florida and 77W Fri and Fri night, but is expected not to have
significant impacts on winds and seas.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:27:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
551
AXNT20 KNHC 021627
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Nov 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1623 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 15N17W, and continues southwestward to 11N26W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N40W and to 10N60W. Scattered
to numerous moderate convection is depicted from 05N to 17N and
east of 30W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to
13N between 30W and 61W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure over the eastern U.S.
and lower pressure south of the area is sustaining fresh to
strong east winds over the NE Gulf. Seas with these winds are 4 to
7 ft. An upper-level trough continues to support scattered to
numerous convection east of 84.5W. Elsewhere, mostly light to
gentle winds along with seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will maintain fresh to
strong E winds and moderate seas in the NE Gulf through early Tue.
A cold front will reach along the Texas coast Tue afternoon, and
move out over the NW Gulf Tue night into early Wed, followed by
moderate to fresh NW to N winds. The front will weaken as it moves
slowly across the basin through Thu, then across Florida Thu
night into Fri. In its wake, weak high pressure will settle in
over the region through Fri night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft continue across
the central and eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and
seas of 2 to 4 ft, prevail elsewhere. A deep layered trough is
supporting scattered moderate convection from 13N to 18N between
78W and 83W. To the south, scattered moderate convection is
depicted south of 15N between 73W and 83W in association to the
eastern end of the Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will
continue over the central and eastern Caribbean through Tue. The
pressure gradient across the region will relax Tue through Fri as
broad low pressure forms north of the area, leading to overall
weaker winds and diminishing seas throughout the remainder of the
week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from near 31N39W southwestward to 27N46W,
where it becomes stationary to near 27N55W, and continues as a
frontal trough westward and through the central Bahamas along
25N. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. is building
eastward across the Atlantic waters north of the trough. The
resulting pressure gradient is supporting fresh to strong NE to E
winds north of 24N and west of 59W. Seas within these winds are 8
to 11 ft. North of the front and east of 59W, moderated to
locally fresh NE to E winds prevail along with seas 6 to 8 ft.
Scattered moderate convection is found along and north of the
frontal boundary and trough. Farther east, a trough extends from
31N28W to 26N18W. Moderate northwest winds and seas 8 to 9 ft are
west of the front to near 32.5W. Gentle to moderate trades along
with seas of 5 to 7 ft are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient will maintain
widespread fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas to near
11 ft north of the trough and west of 60W through Tue morning.
Broad low pressure is expected to gradually develop along the
western edge of the trough beginning late Tue and slowly track
northward throughout the week. Fresh to near gale- force winds
with rough to very rough seas, possibly peaking to around 14 ft,
will expand eastward beyond Wed, impacting the waters mainly N of
about 27N. A cold front will slowly move across the waters between
Florida and 77W Fri and Fri night, but is expected not to have
significant impacts on winds and seas.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 23:38:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:50:13 GMT - Mon, 02 Nov 2026 11:38:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
300
ABNT20 KNHC 021138
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 AM EST Mon Nov 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is likely to form along a weakening frontal
boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a couple of
days. This system could acquire some subtropical characteristics
late this week while it drifts over the western Atlantic. The
chances of subtropical development should end by the weekend when
the system is expected to move eastward or northeastward into
unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:20:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021620
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST MON 02 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-155
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





