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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 21:04:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    703
    AXNT20 KNHC 282104
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Oct 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gales and Significant Swell N of Bahamas: A tight pressure
    gradient between a 1032 mb high pressure system over New England
    and a stationary front extending from S of Bermuda to a 1010 mb
    low just N of central Cuba is supporting fresh to near gale-force
    NE winds and rough to very rough seas N of the front and W of the
    low. Winds are reaching minimal gale force near 31N73W. Scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted N of the front
    between 65W and 75W. Winds will start to diminish tonight, with
    strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas persisting N of
    28N and W of 65W through Thu night as the low pressure moves
    southwestward and the front weakens. Mariners are urged to remain
    alert to these dangerous marine conditions and take the necessary
    precautions to avoid these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 12N16W and continues to 09N23W. The ITCZ extends from
    09N23W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is noted from 05N to 11N and between 29W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas prevail E of 90W. W of
    90W, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are noted.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between high pressure
    system over New England and a complex weather system over the Cay
    Sal area of the Bahamas will continue to support fresh to strong
    NE to E winds and rough seas in the E Gulf into late this week.
    Winds and seas will gradually diminish into Sat as the ridge
    slides eastward. Looking ahead, another robust high pressure
    system will reach New England late this weekend and early next
    week allowing winds and seas to increase in the NE Gulf.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail
    into early next week. Expect fresh SE to S winds over much of the
    Gulf by Mon between high pressure over the western Atlantic and a
    cold front moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient is supporting gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, a surface trough extends along 80W north of 15N
    into central Cuba. The trough will drift westward and weaken over
    the next couple of days. Ample tropical moisture and upper- level
    divergence support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the central Caribbean. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh
    trade winds in the E Caribbean will continue over the next few
    days, gradually extending westward into the south- central
    Caribbean through the week and into the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    a gale warning and significant swell causing very rough seas
    north of the Bahamas.

    Aside from the conditions mentioned in the Special Features
    section above, winds are moderate or weaker, with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between
    high pressure system over New England and a stationary front
    extending from SE of Bermuda to a 1010 mb low in the Cay Sal area
    of the Bahamas supports strong to gale-force NE winds and rough to
    very rough seas north of the front. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are occurring east of the Bahamas. Strong
    NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas will persist N of 28N
    and W of 65W through Thu night as the low pressure moves
    southwestward and the front weakens. Weak low pressure will
    develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift northeastward and
    reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the central
    Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and seas
    to 11 ft N of the front through early next week.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 21:04:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    703
    AXNT20 KNHC 282104
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Oct 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gales and Significant Swell N of Bahamas: A tight pressure
    gradient between a 1032 mb high pressure system over New England
    and a stationary front extending from S of Bermuda to a 1010 mb
    low just N of central Cuba is supporting fresh to near gale-force
    NE winds and rough to very rough seas N of the front and W of the
    low. Winds are reaching minimal gale force near 31N73W. Scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted N of the front
    between 65W and 75W. Winds will start to diminish tonight, with
    strong NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas persisting N of
    28N and W of 65W through Thu night as the low pressure moves
    southwestward and the front weakens. Mariners are urged to remain
    alert to these dangerous marine conditions and take the necessary
    precautions to avoid these affected areas.

    Please, see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website
    https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 12N16W and continues to 09N23W. The ITCZ extends from
    09N23W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is noted from 05N to 11N and between 29W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate seas prevail E of 90W. W of
    90W, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are noted.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between high pressure
    system over New England and a complex weather system over the Cay
    Sal area of the Bahamas will continue to support fresh to strong
    NE to E winds and rough seas in the E Gulf into late this week.
    Winds and seas will gradually diminish into Sat as the ridge
    slides eastward. Looking ahead, another robust high pressure
    system will reach New England late this weekend and early next
    week allowing winds and seas to increase in the NE Gulf.
    Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas will prevail
    into early next week. Expect fresh SE to S winds over much of the
    Gulf by Mon between high pressure over the western Atlantic and a
    cold front moving through the Southern Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak pressure gradient is supporting gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, a surface trough extends along 80W north of 15N
    into central Cuba. The trough will drift westward and weaken over
    the next couple of days. Ample tropical moisture and upper- level
    divergence support scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the central Caribbean. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh
    trade winds in the E Caribbean will continue over the next few
    days, gradually extending westward into the south- central
    Caribbean through the week and into the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for information on
    a gale warning and significant swell causing very rough seas
    north of the Bahamas.

    Aside from the conditions mentioned in the Special Features
    section above, winds are moderate or weaker, with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between
    high pressure system over New England and a stationary front
    extending from SE of Bermuda to a 1010 mb low in the Cay Sal area
    of the Bahamas supports strong to gale-force NE winds and rough to
    very rough seas north of the front. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are occurring east of the Bahamas. Strong
    NE to E winds and rough to very rough seas will persist N of 28N
    and W of 65W through Thu night as the low pressure moves
    southwestward and the front weakens. Weak low pressure will
    develop southwest of Bermuda by Fri, then lift northeastward and
    reinforce the frontal boundary over the waters between the central
    Bahamas and Bermuda. Expect fresh to strong NE-E winds and seas
    to 11 ft N of the front through early next week.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 30 Oct 2026 05:21:11 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 28 Oct 2026 21:23:20 GMT
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 17:21:11 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 281721
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 13:42:03 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 281341
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0945 AM EDT WED 28 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-150

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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