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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 16 Oct 2026 09:55:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 160955
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Oct 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter
the northwest Gulf today, and reach from southwest Florida to the
central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected
over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW
Gulf by early Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected
with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist
over the SW Gulf through Sun. Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO
headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and extends SW
to 08N25W. The ITCZ extends from 08N25W to 1010 mb low pressure
near 6.5N37W, then continues to 05N52W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active from 06N to 12N between 13W and 20W,
from 04N to 07N between 25W and 30W, and from 05N to 09N between
35W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper-level short-wave trough is supporting scattered showers
and thunderstorms from the Yucatan Channel to the coast of Texas.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a surface
trough off the coast of Veracruz. 1018 mb high pressure over
Alabama is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 3 to 5
ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, a cold front moving through coastal Texas will
enter the far northwest Gulf today, reach from southwest Florida
to the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat, then stall and
dissipate from the Florida Straits to the Bay of Campeche through
the early part of next week. Gale force winds and rough to very
rough seas will follow the front over the west- central Gulf by
early Sat and the southwest Gulf by Sat evening, and persist
through Sun. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will
follow the front elsewhere. Looking ahead, strong high pressure
will build over the lower Mississippi Valley in the wake of the
front, promoting fresh to strong NE to E winds mainly over the
eastern half of the Gulf through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Upper-level diffluence over Yucatan and the NW Caribbean is
supporting scattered moderate convection W of 80W. Otherwise, the
seasonal pressure gradient is leading to moderate to fresh trades
through the basin, with some strong easterly winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate seas dominate,
highest in the south-central basin, and rough offshore Colombia.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela today, then mainly moderate
to fresh winds will prevail through the upcoming weekend. Rough
seas are expected offshore Colombia with the strongest winds.
Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
elsewhere. An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a
surface trough will continue to affect the NW Caribbean today.
Gusty winds and locally rough seas will be associated with this
convective activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N45W to 25N57W, and then is stationary to
25N70W. Fresh SW winds, 8-9 ft combined seas in NW swell, and
scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along the front
east of 50W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active near a
surface trough along 52W from 13N to 20N, and within 240 nm east
of a 1008 mb low pressure area near 23N37W. Moderate to fresh
winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted within 90 nm of the low pressure.
Elsewhere, generally moderate winds and seas are evident across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure off the Carolinas
will shift eastward today, ahead of a strong cold front that will
move off the coast of northeast Florida by early Sat. The front
will reach from 31N74W to Florida Straits by early Sun, then stall
and dissipate through early next week. Strong to near- gale force
winds and rough to very rough seas will follow the front, with
gale force winds possible north of 28N and west of 75W Sun night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 16 Oct 2026 09:55:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 160955
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Oct 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front is forecast to enter
the northwest Gulf today, and reach from southwest Florida to the
central Bay of Campeche by late Sat. Fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas will follow the front, with gales expected
over the west-central Gulf by early Sat morning, and over the SW
Gulf by early Sat afternoon. Rough to very rough seas are expected
with the strongest winds. Gale conditions are forecast to persist
over the SW Gulf through Sun. Please read the latest High Seas
Forecast issued by the National Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO
headers FZNT02 KNHC/HSFAT2 or at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and extends SW
to 08N25W. The ITCZ extends from 08N25W to 1010 mb low pressure
near 6.5N37W, then continues to 05N52W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active from 06N to 12N between 13W and 20W,
from 04N to 07N between 25W and 30W, and from 05N to 09N between
35W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper-level short-wave trough is supporting scattered showers
and thunderstorms from the Yucatan Channel to the coast of Texas.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a surface
trough off the coast of Veracruz. 1018 mb high pressure over
Alabama is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 3 to 5
ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast, a cold front moving through coastal Texas will
enter the far northwest Gulf today, reach from southwest Florida
to the central Bay of Campeche by late Sat, then stall and
dissipate from the Florida Straits to the Bay of Campeche through
the early part of next week. Gale force winds and rough to very
rough seas will follow the front over the west- central Gulf by
early Sat and the southwest Gulf by Sat evening, and persist
through Sun. Fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas will
follow the front elsewhere. Looking ahead, strong high pressure
will build over the lower Mississippi Valley in the wake of the
front, promoting fresh to strong NE to E winds mainly over the
eastern half of the Gulf through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Upper-level diffluence over Yucatan and the NW Caribbean is
supporting scattered moderate convection W of 80W. Otherwise, the
seasonal pressure gradient is leading to moderate to fresh trades
through the basin, with some strong easterly winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate seas dominate,
highest in the south-central basin, and rough offshore Colombia.
For the forecast, high pressure N of area combined with the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE to E winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela today, then mainly moderate
to fresh winds will prevail through the upcoming weekend. Rough
seas are expected offshore Colombia with the strongest winds.
Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
elsewhere. An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a
surface trough will continue to affect the NW Caribbean today.
Gusty winds and locally rough seas will be associated with this
convective activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N45W to 25N57W, and then is stationary to
25N70W. Fresh SW winds, 8-9 ft combined seas in NW swell, and
scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along the front
east of 50W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active near a
surface trough along 52W from 13N to 20N, and within 240 nm east
of a 1008 mb low pressure area near 23N37W. Moderate to fresh
winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted within 90 nm of the low pressure.
Elsewhere, generally moderate winds and seas are evident across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure off the Carolinas
will shift eastward today, ahead of a strong cold front that will
move off the coast of northeast Florida by early Sat. The front
will reach from 31N74W to Florida Straits by early Sun, then stall
and dissipate through early next week. Strong to near- gale force
winds and rough to very rough seas will follow the front, with
gale force winds possible north of 28N and west of 75W Sun night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 17 Oct 2026 17:16:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 16 Oct 2026 10:50:12 GMT - Fri, 16 Oct 2026 05:16:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 160516
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Oct 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Evans/Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 15 Oct 2026 14:30:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151430
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1030 AM EDT THU 15 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-137
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE TRUDY
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 73
A. 16/1730Z
B. AFXXX 0221E TRUDY
C. 16/1330Z
D. 15.1N 102.3W
E. 16/1700Z TO 16/2030Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: FIX MISSION INTO TRUDY FOR
17/1730Z.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf