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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 10:30:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
712
AXNT20 KNHC 141030
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is observed from 02N to 07.5N between 22W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 43W-44W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is near
the wave axis.
Another Atlantic tropical wave is along 60W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection follows the wave from 06N to 09.5N between 53W and 60W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 18N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection
associated with this wave is along the monsoon trough in the SW
Caribbean, while most associated convection is in the eastern
North Pacific waters E of 88W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16.5W and continues southwestward to
04.5N30W. The ITCZ extends from 04.5N30W to 02.5N42W and then
continues from 02N44W to 01N50W. Scattered to numerous moderate to
strong convection is along the W coast of Africa from 01.5N to
11N E of 17W. Elsewhere, a few showers are seen near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Widely scattered moderate convection is noted on satellite
imagery across the western Gulf W of 95W, near the elongated area
of low pressure along the Mexican coast, except for scattered
moderate isolated strong convection S of 21N and W of 92.5W. A
tight pressure gradient between this low and a 1018 mb high in the
eastern Gulf is sustaining fresh to locally strong SE winds and
moderate to locally rough seas 6 to 9 ft west of a line from
SW Louisiana to the NE Yucatan. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, an elongated area of low pressure has moved
inland across coastal portions of eastern Mexico, but could re-
emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America late Tue or Wed while
interacting with a frontal boundary. The pressure gradient
between the low pressure area and 1018 mb high pressure over the
east- central Gulf will support fresh to strong SE winds and
moderate to rough seas across the western Gulf through tonight,
while scattered showers and thunderstorms continue there through
Mon. The Atlantic ridge will build westward into the Gulf Tue
through Thu, and combine with lower pressure over South Texas and
northeastern Mexico will promote fresh to strong southerly winds
over the western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the
eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A large cluster of moderate to strong convection persisting over
the Cayman Islands and across the NW Caribbean waters between
Jamaica and Cuba has begun to diminish recently, aided by middle
to upper level troughing extending across the NW Bahamas and
through the Florida Straits. Scattered moderate to strong
convection has flared up along the monsoon trough across the SW
Caribbean, behind the passing tropical wave. At the surface, the
western Atlantic ridge extends through 26N55W westward across
central Florida along 27N. The pressure gradient between this
sub- tropical ridge and lower pressures in northern South America
is forcing fresh to near gale easterly trade winds and rough seas
over the central basin south of 198. Recent satellite scatterometer
data captured winds up to 33 kt off northern Colombia, while
satellite altimeter data showed seas in the area to near 12 ft.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas prevail
across all but far NW portions.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
place through early Mon and support a large area of fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Thu. The ridge will
reorganize Mon through early Tue then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the
Caribbean basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
central and southeast Bahamas and central and eastern Cuba, but
have diminished in intensity in recent hours. A broad ridge
dominates the Atlantic basin along 26N-27N, and extends across
central Florida. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas south of 22N and west of 35W,
except for 7 to 8 ft seas just E of the Lesser Antilles. Fresh to
strong NE winds and moderate to locally rough seas are found
north of 15N and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
generally remain in place through early Mon, then reorganize along
60W Mon through early Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu. This
pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N, then
become moderate to fresh through Wed. Gentle anticyclonic flow
will prevail elsewhere through tonight then become gentle to
moderate SE to S winds Mon through Wed. Fresh SW winds will develop
across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W late Sun through early
Mon, then expand eastward to 70W through early Wed, as a weak
frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong
winds each afternoon through late evening across Atlantic waters
near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 10:30:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
712
AXNT20 KNHC 141030
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1000 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is observed from 02N to 07.5N between 22W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 43W-44W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is near
the wave axis.
Another Atlantic tropical wave is along 60W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection follows the wave from 06N to 09.5N between 53W and 60W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 18N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection
associated with this wave is along the monsoon trough in the SW
Caribbean, while most associated convection is in the eastern
North Pacific waters E of 88W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16.5W and continues southwestward to
04.5N30W. The ITCZ extends from 04.5N30W to 02.5N42W and then
continues from 02N44W to 01N50W. Scattered to numerous moderate to
strong convection is along the W coast of Africa from 01.5N to
11N E of 17W. Elsewhere, a few showers are seen near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Widely scattered moderate convection is noted on satellite
imagery across the western Gulf W of 95W, near the elongated area
of low pressure along the Mexican coast, except for scattered
moderate isolated strong convection S of 21N and W of 92.5W. A
tight pressure gradient between this low and a 1018 mb high in the
eastern Gulf is sustaining fresh to locally strong SE winds and
moderate to locally rough seas 6 to 9 ft west of a line from
SW Louisiana to the NE Yucatan. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, an elongated area of low pressure has moved
inland across coastal portions of eastern Mexico, but could re-
emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America late Tue or Wed while
interacting with a frontal boundary. The pressure gradient
between the low pressure area and 1018 mb high pressure over the
east- central Gulf will support fresh to strong SE winds and
moderate to rough seas across the western Gulf through tonight,
while scattered showers and thunderstorms continue there through
Mon. The Atlantic ridge will build westward into the Gulf Tue
through Thu, and combine with lower pressure over South Texas and
northeastern Mexico will promote fresh to strong southerly winds
over the western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the
eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A large cluster of moderate to strong convection persisting over
the Cayman Islands and across the NW Caribbean waters between
Jamaica and Cuba has begun to diminish recently, aided by middle
to upper level troughing extending across the NW Bahamas and
through the Florida Straits. Scattered moderate to strong
convection has flared up along the monsoon trough across the SW
Caribbean, behind the passing tropical wave. At the surface, the
western Atlantic ridge extends through 26N55W westward across
central Florida along 27N. The pressure gradient between this
sub- tropical ridge and lower pressures in northern South America
is forcing fresh to near gale easterly trade winds and rough seas
over the central basin south of 198. Recent satellite scatterometer
data captured winds up to 33 kt off northern Colombia, while
satellite altimeter data showed seas in the area to near 12 ft.
Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas prevail
across all but far NW portions.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
place through early Mon and support a large area of fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Thu. The ridge will
reorganize Mon through early Tue then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the
Caribbean basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
central and southeast Bahamas and central and eastern Cuba, but
have diminished in intensity in recent hours. A broad ridge
dominates the Atlantic basin along 26N-27N, and extends across
central Florida. This pattern is supporting moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas south of 22N and west of 35W,
except for 7 to 8 ft seas just E of the Lesser Antilles. Fresh to
strong NE winds and moderate to locally rough seas are found
north of 15N and east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
anticyclonic winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
generally remain in place through early Mon, then reorganize along
60W Mon through early Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu. This
pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N, then
become moderate to fresh through Wed. Gentle anticyclonic flow
will prevail elsewhere through tonight then become gentle to
moderate SE to S winds Mon through Wed. Fresh SW winds will develop
across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W late Sun through early
Mon, then expand eastward to 70W through early Wed, as a weak
frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong
winds each afternoon through late evening across Atlantic waters
near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 23:37:41 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 14 Jun 2026 16:00:20 GMT - Sun, 14 Jun 2026 11:37:41 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141137
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northwestern Gulf of America:
A broad area of low pressure located over eastern Mexico is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development is not expected during the next day or so while the low
remains inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas during the
next day or so. The system could then re-emerge over the
northwestern Gulf of America around midweek while interacting with a
frontal boundary, but conditions there are expected to be only
marginally conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 13:30:40 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141330
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 14 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-014
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf