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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 16 Nov 2025 18:02:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
011
AXNT20 KNHC 161802
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Nov 16 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1720 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains inland over Africa. The ITCZ extends
from 09N15W to 06N25W to 07N58W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 01N to 08N between 13W and 33W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
1016 mb high pressure is centered just west of the Florida Keys. A
weak surface trough is analyzed along 92W. Light to gentle
anticyclonic winds and 1-3 ft seas prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
eastern Gulf will generally maintain gentle to moderate
anticyclonic flow across the basin through Mon. Afterward,
stronger high pressure that moves offshore the Mid-Atlantic region
will build south- southwestward across the northern Gulf through
the rest of the period, with its associated gradient resulting in
fresh to strong southeast to south winds across most of basin,
with the strong wind speeds expected mainly in the NW Gulf as a
cold front moves across central Texas. Seas are expected to become
rough with these winds.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The sharp surface trough persists in the W Caribbean, extending
from La Isla de la Juventud, Cuba, to Cabo Gracias a Dios,
Honduras. Scattered showers are along the trough axis and adjacent
waters. Scattered moderate convection is from the coast of Panama
north to 11N between 75W and 83W, enhanced by the East Pacific
Monsoon Trough. Satellite scatterometer indicates light to gentle
trades across the basin, except in the south-central Caribbean off
the coast of Colombia where trades reach moderate speeds. Seas
are 2-4 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
result in mainly gentle to moderate trade winds for the first half
of the week. As high pressure builds southward toward the region,
and the Colombian low becomes evident, the trade winds will increase
late this week. Moderate long period northeast swell will propagate
through waters east of the Lesser Antilles as well as Caribbean
passages into Mon.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N45W to the eastern Dominican
Republic. Scattered moderate convection is north of 26N between
40W and 50W. A pair of 1014 mb lows are analyzed in the deep
central tropical Atlantic, with no significant convection evident
at this time. 1015 mb high pressure is centered near 27N62W, and
near the Azores. Moderate or weaker trades, and 4-7 ft seas,
prevail across the central and western Atlantic. In the eastern
Atlantic, fresh NE winds are evident in satellite scatterometer
east of 25W. Decaying N swell to 8 ft is also analyzed in the
waters east of 25W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach the
southeastern part of the area this afternoon and become
stationary, then weaken tonight and dissipate Mon. The high
pressure will shift southeastward through Mon night as a weakening
cold front moves across the waters east of northern and central
Florida. Ahead of this front, fresh to strong southwest to west
winds will impact the waters north of about 29N today through Mon
afternoon. Winds and seas will diminish behind the front, which is
forecast to becoming stationary across the eastern part of the
area going into the middle portion of the week.
$$
Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 16 Nov 2025 18:02:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
011
AXNT20 KNHC 161802
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Nov 16 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1720 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains inland over Africa. The ITCZ extends
from 09N15W to 06N25W to 07N58W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 01N to 08N between 13W and 33W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
1016 mb high pressure is centered just west of the Florida Keys. A
weak surface trough is analyzed along 92W. Light to gentle
anticyclonic winds and 1-3 ft seas prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
eastern Gulf will generally maintain gentle to moderate
anticyclonic flow across the basin through Mon. Afterward,
stronger high pressure that moves offshore the Mid-Atlantic region
will build south- southwestward across the northern Gulf through
the rest of the period, with its associated gradient resulting in
fresh to strong southeast to south winds across most of basin,
with the strong wind speeds expected mainly in the NW Gulf as a
cold front moves across central Texas. Seas are expected to become
rough with these winds.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The sharp surface trough persists in the W Caribbean, extending
from La Isla de la Juventud, Cuba, to Cabo Gracias a Dios,
Honduras. Scattered showers are along the trough axis and adjacent
waters. Scattered moderate convection is from the coast of Panama
north to 11N between 75W and 83W, enhanced by the East Pacific
Monsoon Trough. Satellite scatterometer indicates light to gentle
trades across the basin, except in the south-central Caribbean off
the coast of Colombia where trades reach moderate speeds. Seas
are 2-4 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient over the basin will
result in mainly gentle to moderate trade winds for the first half
of the week. As high pressure builds southward toward the region,
and the Colombian low becomes evident, the trade winds will increase
late this week. Moderate long period northeast swell will propagate
through waters east of the Lesser Antilles as well as Caribbean
passages into Mon.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N45W to the eastern Dominican
Republic. Scattered moderate convection is north of 26N between
40W and 50W. A pair of 1014 mb lows are analyzed in the deep
central tropical Atlantic, with no significant convection evident
at this time. 1015 mb high pressure is centered near 27N62W, and
near the Azores. Moderate or weaker trades, and 4-7 ft seas,
prevail across the central and western Atlantic. In the eastern
Atlantic, fresh NE winds are evident in satellite scatterometer
east of 25W. Decaying N swell to 8 ft is also analyzed in the
waters east of 25W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach the
southeastern part of the area this afternoon and become
stationary, then weaken tonight and dissipate Mon. The high
pressure will shift southeastward through Mon night as a weakening
cold front moves across the waters east of northern and central
Florida. Ahead of this front, fresh to strong southwest to west
winds will impact the waters north of about 29N today through Mon
afternoon. Winds and seas will diminish behind the front, which is
forecast to becoming stationary across the eastern part of the
area going into the middle portion of the week.
$$
Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 18 Nov 2025 05:12:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 16 Nov 2025 21:16:28 GMT - Sun, 16 Nov 2025 17:12:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 161712
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 16 Nov 2025 16:15:16 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
087
NOUS42 KNHC 161615
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1115 AM EST SUN 16 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-169
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS
ARE NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf