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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 29 Jul 2026 23:46:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 292345
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 19N just
west of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section below.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 47W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is
described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south
of 20N near the eastern Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is described
with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
A now departed NW Caribbean tropical wave is along 90W, south of
19N over the central Yucatan Peninsula, moving westward at around
15 kt. Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N16W
to 10N20W to 14N34W. The ITCZ extends from 14N34W to along the
northern coast of South America at 06.5N58W. Isolated to widely
scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 21W
and 31W, and from 05.5N to 10.5N between 44W and 58W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A persistent surface trough is from near Cape Coral, Florida to
the eastern Gulf near 26N88W. A cluster of scattered moderate to
strong convection is noted from 26N to 29N between 83W and 86W.
Otherwise, 1015 mb high pressure near 27N93W controls the basin
with light to gentle anticyclonic winds from northwest of the high
to the southeast of the high, with moderate return flow closer to
the coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are 1
to 3 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
29N87W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain active weather in the form
of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf
through the rest of the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical moderate to
fresh trades across the basin from 11N to 18N, except locally
strong near northern Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are
elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8 ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W,
and mainly 3 to 5 ft elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
will increase into Thu as the pressure gradient between the
Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time,
expect fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across
most of the eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest
winds to near gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest
seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are expected in the
Gulf of Honduras nightly through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
within 120 nm of the trough axis. The remainder of the basin in
under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a
1024 mb high pressure system near 30N50W.
The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
north of 28N and west of 65W. Stronger winds and higher seas may
be occurring near the stronger convection. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the
ITCZ and monsoon trough to 22N and west of 40W. In the far
eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7
ft are evident from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 24N-25N, through
Fri. This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
Atlantic will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms primarily north of
27N and west of 65W for the next several days. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
mornings through the upcoming weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 29 Jul 2026 23:46:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 292345
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 28W, south of 19N just
west of the Cabo Verde Islands, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section below.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 47W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is
described with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
An eastern to central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south
of 20N near the eastern Dominican Republic to western Venezuela,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Any nearby convection is described
with the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
A now departed NW Caribbean tropical wave is along 90W, south of
19N over the central Yucatan Peninsula, moving westward at around
15 kt. Any nearby convection is described with the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from Mauritania at 19N16W
to 10N20W to 14N34W. The ITCZ extends from 14N34W to along the
northern coast of South America at 06.5N58W. Isolated to widely
scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 10N between 21W
and 31W, and from 05.5N to 10.5N between 44W and 58W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A persistent surface trough is from near Cape Coral, Florida to
the eastern Gulf near 26N88W. A cluster of scattered moderate to
strong convection is noted from 26N to 29N between 83W and 86W.
Otherwise, 1015 mb high pressure near 27N93W controls the basin
with light to gentle anticyclonic winds from northwest of the high
to the southeast of the high, with moderate return flow closer to
the coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are 1
to 3 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. A trough extends from Tampa, Florida to
29N87W while a mid to upper level broad trough north of the area
is slowly advancing southward toward a very moist and unstable
Gulf airmass. This set-up will maintain active weather in the form
of scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly over the NE Gulf
through the rest of the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A mid to upper level feature is supporting moderate convection in
the NW Caribbean just southeast of the Yucatan Channel. Otherwise,
high pressure at the surface over the central Atlantic and low
pressure over northern Colombia supports the typical moderate to
fresh trades across the basin from 11N to 18N, except locally
strong near northern Colombia. Gentle to moderate winds are
elsewhere. Seas are 5 to 8 ft from 10N to 18N to the east of 80W,
and mainly 3 to 5 ft elsewhere except lower in the lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, the coverage area and strength of the trades
will increase into Thu as the pressure gradient between the
Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By that time,
expect fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas across
most of the eastern and central Caribbean, with the strongest
winds to near gale, or possible brief gusts to gale and highest
seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds are expected in the
Gulf of Honduras nightly through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough extends from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas.
Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level trough north of
our waters supports scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
within 120 nm of the trough axis. The remainder of the basin in
under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge anchored by a
1024 mb high pressure system near 30N50W.
The pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge and frontal
trough support fresh to strong S-SW winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft
north of 28N and west of 65W. Stronger winds and higher seas may
be occurring near the stronger convection. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are noted north of the
ITCZ and monsoon trough to 22N and west of 40W. In the far
eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 4 to 7
ft are evident from 15N to 30N and east of 20W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, roughly along 24N-25N, through
Fri. This, in combination with a frontal trough over the western
Atlantic will support fresh to strong SW winds along with
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms primarily north of
27N and west of 65W for the next several days. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night and into the
mornings through the upcoming weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 11:13:26 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 30 Jul 2026 03:09:02 GMT - Wed, 29 Jul 2026 23:13:26 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 292313
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 29 Jul 2026 12:46:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
731
NOUS42 KNHC 291246
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT WED 29 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-059
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. REMARK: ALL REMAINING TASKED REQUIREMENTS FOR TROPICAL
DEPRESSION FAUSTO WERE CANCELED BY NHC AT 28/2030Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf