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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 21:33:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 192133
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Sep 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 45W from 02N
to 21N, moving westward at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is from 15N to 20N between 41W and 50W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 82/83WW south
of 19N to western Panama, moving westward around 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
15N to 20N between 77W and 85W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 14N17W to
09N27W to 15N45W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical
waves section above, scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 14W and 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak pressure gradient prevails across the area. Gentle to
moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas, prevail N of 25N.
Light to gentle winds and slight seas are found S of 25N.
For the forecast, weak ridging north of the Gulf will maintain
generally gentle to moderate winds across the Gulf for the next
several days. An upper-low and associated surface low/trough
over the central Gulf will contribute to scattered showers and
thunderstorms today and tonight.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to locally strong winds and moderate seas prevail over the
south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
are elsewhere E of 80W. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are found W of 80W.
For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient between high
pressure north of the area and the Colombian Low will maintain
fresh to locally strong trades over the S central Caribbean for
the next several days. A vigorous upper-level low will promote
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for at least the next two days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic waters N of 20N are dominated by three troughs. The
first one is from the central Bahamas northward to 28N73W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is in the vicinity of
this trough. Farther east, another trough extends from 31N60W to
25N52W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is in
the vicinity of this trough. A third trough is from 29N43W to
23N46W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is in
the vicinity of this trough. A weak pressure gradient prevails
across the waters W of 45W with light to gentle winds and slight
seas prevailing over these waters. East of 45W, gentle to moderate
winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support gentle to moderate winds across forecast waters for the
next several days. A vigorous upper-level low and abundant
tropical moisture will force scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms for the waters west of 65W for at least the next two
days.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 21:33:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 192133
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Sep 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 45W from 02N
to 21N, moving westward at 5-10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is from 15N to 20N between 41W and 50W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 82/83WW south
of 19N to western Panama, moving westward around 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from
15N to 20N between 77W and 85W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 14N17W to
09N27W to 15N45W. Aside from convection noted in the tropical
waves section above, scattered moderate and isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 15N between 14W and 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak pressure gradient prevails across the area. Gentle to
moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas, prevail N of 25N.
Light to gentle winds and slight seas are found S of 25N.
For the forecast, weak ridging north of the Gulf will maintain
generally gentle to moderate winds across the Gulf for the next
several days. An upper-low and associated surface low/trough
over the central Gulf will contribute to scattered showers and
thunderstorms today and tonight.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to locally strong winds and moderate seas prevail over the
south central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
are elsewhere E of 80W. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are found W of 80W.
For the forecast, a modest pressure gradient between high
pressure north of the area and the Colombian Low will maintain
fresh to locally strong trades over the S central Caribbean for
the next several days. A vigorous upper-level low will promote
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the W
Caribbean for at least the next two days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic waters N of 20N are dominated by three troughs. The
first one is from the central Bahamas northward to 28N73W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is in the vicinity of
this trough. Farther east, another trough extends from 31N60W to
25N52W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is in
the vicinity of this trough. A third trough is from 29N43W to
23N46W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is in
the vicinity of this trough. A weak pressure gradient prevails
across the waters W of 45W with light to gentle winds and slight
seas prevailing over these waters. East of 45W, gentle to moderate
winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak pressure gradient will
support gentle to moderate winds across forecast waters for the
next several days. A vigorous upper-level low and abundant
tropical moisture will force scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms for the waters west of 65W for at least the next two
days.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 21:23:06 +0000: Tropical Depression Six Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sat, 19 Sep 2026 21:23:06 GMT - Sat, 19 Sep 2026 20:34:11 +0000: Tropical Depression Six Forecast Discussion Number 2 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sat Sep 19 2026000 WTNT41 KNHC 192034 TCDAT1 Tropical Depression Six Discussion Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Sat Sep 19 2026 A new burst of convection has formed over the depression, that mostly covers the center of the system. However, the bulk of the convection is still on the northern side of the cyclone at this time, implying that some wind shear is still affecting it. The most recent TAFB Dvorak fix was T2.0/30 kt, which is the same as the previous cycle. Therefore, the initial intensity remains at 30 kt for this advisory. Tropical Depression Six is still moving slowly, but has started to show a bit more motion towards the north-northeast. The cyclone should move more northeastward for roughly the next 36 h as a trough to the north weakens a low- to mid-level ridge to the northeast. Following this, at around 48 h, the ridge should build back towards the west, which in turn will force the cyclone to move southwestward for the rest of the forecast period. The current NHC forecast track is very similar to the previous forecast track with small adjustments to the track and speed, and remains in good agreement with HCCA and GDMI. The cyclone should move into a slightly more favorable environment, between two areas of intense shear, and so there a good chance for intensification to occur for the next day or so. After 36 h, the system should move into an area of higher shear as the previously mentioned trough moves closer. This should lead to a gradual weakening of the system. The depression is expected to become a post-tropical remnant low around 72 h, and then dissipate around 120 h. There is still some uncertainty in the forecast of when the cyclone will become post-tropical and then dissipate, as both could possibly occur sooner than what is currently forecast. The new NHC intensity forecast is still in the middle of the guidance envelope, and is closely align with HCCA and just under GDMI for peak intensity. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 19/2100Z 32.9N 33.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 20/0600Z 33.3N 33.2W 40 KT 45 MPH 24H 20/1800Z 33.8N 32.9W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 21/0600Z 33.7N 32.4W 40 KT 45 MPH 48H 21/1800Z 32.9N 32.5W 35 KT 40 MPH 60H 22/0600Z 31.7N 33.4W 30 KT 35 MPH 72H 22/1800Z 30.5N 34.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 23/1800Z 28.6N 38.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 24/1800Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Katz/Berg
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 20:33:40 +0000: Tropical Depression Six Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 2100 UTC SAT SEP 19 2026000 FONT11 KNHC 192033 PWSAT1 TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026 2100 UTC SAT SEP 19 2026 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIX WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 33.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER KATZ - Sat, 19 Sep 2026 20:33:40 +0000: Tropical Depression Six Public Advisory Number 2 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 900 PM GMT Sat Sep 19 2026000 WTNT31 KNHC 192033 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Tropical Depression Six Advisory Number 2 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026 900 PM GMT Sat Sep 19 2026 ...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SLOWLY DRIFTS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST... SUMMARY OF 900 PM GMT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...32.9N 33.4W ABOUT 505 MI...810 KM SW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 900 PM GMT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Six was located near latitude 32.9 North, longitude 33.4 West. The depression is moving toward the north-northeast near 5 mph (7 km/h). The system is expected to generally move to the northeast for the next day or so, before turning toward the southwest in a couple of days. Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts. Slight strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours. After that time, gradual weakening is expected to occur. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1007 mb (29.74 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 300 AM GMT. $$ Forecaster Katz/Berg
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 20:33:40 +0000: Summary for Tropical Depression Six (AT1/AL062026) - NHC Atlantic
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION SLOWLY DRIFTS TOWARDS THE NORTHEAST... As of 9:00 PM GMT Sat Sep 19 the center of Six was located near 32.9, -33.4 with movement NNE at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1007 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 19 Sep 2026 18:06:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
914
NOUS42 KNHC 191806
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0205 PM EDT SAT 19 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-111 AMENDMENT
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: BEGIN 12-HOURLY FIXES ON EP99 AT
21/1800Z IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.
3. REMARK: THE SURVEY MISSION TASKED ON THE ORIGINAL VERSION OF
TCPOD 26-111 WILL NOT FLY.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf





