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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 04:27:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
574
AXNT20 KNHC 190426
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0425 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 07N to 14N between 24W and 34.5W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W, south of
18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. No significant convection
is associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 66W, south
of 18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate
convection is observed south of 11.5N between 63W and the wave
axis.
The tropical wave previously analyzed over the western Caribbean
is now been discussed in the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather
Discussion (TWDEP).
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W to 09N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident from 05N to 13N and east of 24W.
Isolated moderate convection is noted from 08N to 14N between
34.5W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure centered near 27N89.5W supports moderate to
locally fresh W-NW winds across the NE Gulf, and moderate to
locally fresh NE winds across the southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3
ft dominate the basin. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection is depicted over the Bay of Campeche is association to
a surface trough over the area.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin.
A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N. The
remnants of the ridge extend from the central Atlantic to N of
Puerto Rico along 18N. This weakened pressure pattern is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft from 66W into Central America, with locally strong winds
offshore Colombia. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Thunderstorms are active across the
coastal waters and inland from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a
tropical wave.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N50W to a 1015 mb low pres near
27N65W, followed by a weak cold front to the southwest. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted ahead of the
stationary front. Moderate SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted
south of the front to 26N between 31W and 65W. The remainder of
the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a
1027 mb high near 40W33W, that extends southwestward to just
north of the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of
21N and W of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, moderate to fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern
Western Sahara. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic
basin N of 12N and east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern
Bahamas, central and NW Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of
America.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal
boundaries will weaken to a frontal trough tonight into Wed.
Elsewhere, weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to
gentle winds, locally moderate, across much of the area north of
22N through the week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds can be expected south of 22N.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 04:27:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
574
AXNT20 KNHC 190426
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0425 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 07N to 14N between 24W and 34.5W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 47W, south of
18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. No significant convection
is associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 66W, south
of 18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate
convection is observed south of 11.5N between 63W and the wave
axis.
The tropical wave previously analyzed over the western Caribbean
is now been discussed in the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather
Discussion (TWDEP).
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W to 09N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is evident from 05N to 13N and east of 24W.
Isolated moderate convection is noted from 08N to 14N between
34.5W and 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure centered near 27N89.5W supports moderate to
locally fresh W-NW winds across the NE Gulf, and moderate to
locally fresh NE winds across the southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3
ft dominate the basin. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong
convection is depicted over the Bay of Campeche is association to
a surface trough over the area.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will
support mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin.
A diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N. The
remnants of the ridge extend from the central Atlantic to N of
Puerto Rico along 18N. This weakened pressure pattern is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft from 66W into Central America, with locally strong winds
offshore Colombia. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Thunderstorms are active across the
coastal waters and inland from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a
tropical wave.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-
central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in the north-central
and eastern Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N50W to a 1015 mb low pres near
27N65W, followed by a weak cold front to the southwest. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted ahead of the
stationary front. Moderate SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted
south of the front to 26N between 31W and 65W. The remainder of
the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a
1027 mb high near 40W33W, that extends southwestward to just
north of the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of
21N and W of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas.
However, moderate to fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are
found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern
Western Sahara. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic
basin N of 12N and east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern
Bahamas, central and NW Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of
America.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal
boundaries will weaken to a frontal trough tonight into Wed.
Elsewhere, weak pressure gradient will support mainly light to
gentle winds, locally moderate, across much of the area north of
22N through the week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds can be expected south of 22N.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 17:25:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Aug 2026 08:00:13 GMT - Wed, 19 Aug 2026 05:25:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 190524
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 14:06:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181406
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT TUE 18 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-079
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO A DEVELOPING SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC NEAR 14.5N 146.5W FOR 21/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO THE SYSTEM
FOR 22/0000Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND THE
SYSTEM FOR 22/0000Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf