2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 09 Dec 2025 16:42:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 091642
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Dec 9 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1641 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 08N13W, and
    continues southwestward to 05.5N17.5W, where it transitions to
    the ITCZ to 01N32W to near 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection
    is seen from 03S to 02N between 28.5W and 36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Straits of Florida
    southwestward to the Yucatan Peninsula and to extreme southern
    Mexico. Elsewhere, high pressure is building across the area
    behind the front. Fresh to locally strong winds prevail over the Bay
    of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf with seas of 8 to 10 ft.
    For the rest of the Gulf, gentle to moderate N to NE winds prevail
    with light to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, fresh NE winds and rough seas will continue in
    the Bay of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf through this
    evening, in the wake of a front that has stalled over the
    northwestern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh W to
    NW winds and moderate seas will develop in the northeastern basin
    Wed afternoon ahead of a cold front moving through the southern
    United States. The front is slated to enter the northern Gulf by
    Thu morning, with winds turning to the N and weakening in the wake
    of the front. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
    are expected over the remainder of the Gulf into this weekend as
    weak high pressure prevails over the basin.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front is analyzed from near western Cuba to the
    Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is found along
    the stationary front. The pressure gradient between the central
    Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressures in northern
    South America and in the south-central and southwestern Caribbean
    generally allows for moderate to fresh trade winds and seas of 5
    to 7 ft to exist east of about 79W. Light to gentle winds, along
    with seas of 2 to 5 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and eastern Caribbean today.
    Widespread fresh trades and rough seas are expected to develop
    over this region on Wed as a tightening pressure gradient develops
    between the Colombian low, a stalling front in the northwest
    basin and building high pressure in the central Atlantic. Winds
    will pulse to strong speeds offshore of northern Colombia and in
    the Gulf of Venezuela nightly through this weekend, and winds may
    reach near-gale force at times. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
    trades will prevail over the Atlantic waters and through the
    passages into this weekend. Locally rough seas in E swell in this
    region will subside through today, with a new E swell supporting
    rough seas Wed through this weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is dissipating. This front extends
    southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of the area near 34.5N58W
    to 31N59W to 27N69W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
    depicted along the dissipating front. A stronger cold front
    extends from near 31N63W to 26N74W, where it becomes stationary to
    the central Bahamas and to the Straits of Florida. Fresh to
    strong southwest winds are ahead of both fronts, while similar
    wind speeds from the northwest are behind the stronger front.
    These winds are occurring roughly north of about 27N between 31W
    and 70W. In addition, an area of near-gale force SW winds is found
    north of 30N between 53W and 61W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft with these
    winds. Otherwise, a 1021 mb high center near 25N41W is dominating
    the Atlantic north of 23N between 35W and the Greater Antilles,
    with gentle to moderate clockwise winds and seas of 8 to 12 ft in
    moderate to large northerly swells. For the tropical Atlantic from
    07N to 23N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh
    trade winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft seas are present. Gentle to
    moderate southerly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft seas are present
    over the remainder of the Atlantic.

    For the forecast, a cold front extending from south of Bermuda
    through the central Bahamas will progress eastward through the
    central Atlantic this week. Strong to locally near-gale force SW
    winds and rough seas will occur north of 27N and east of 65W ahead
    of the cold front through late tonight, with widespread fresh to
    strong W to NW winds expected in the wake of the front north of
    29N and east of 70W. Winds will subside from west to east tonight
    into early Wed. NW swell associated with this front will expand
    southeastward over the northwestern tropical Atlantic through Wed,
    supporting rough seas north of 26N by late tonight, and north of
    25N by Wed afternoon. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
    north of 30N and east of 70W today into Wed afternoon. Seas will
    slowly subside from west to east through late week. Looking ahead,
    fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas may develop offshore
    northern Florida by Wed evening, ahead of a cold front moving over
    the southern United States. The cold front is slated to push
    offshore early Thu, with fresh NW winds and rough seas expected in
    the wake of the front.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 09 Dec 2025 16:42:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 091642
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Dec 9 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1641 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 08N13W, and
    continues southwestward to 05.5N17.5W, where it transitions to
    the ITCZ to 01N32W to near 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection
    is seen from 03S to 02N between 28.5W and 36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from the Straits of Florida
    southwestward to the Yucatan Peninsula and to extreme southern
    Mexico. Elsewhere, high pressure is building across the area
    behind the front. Fresh to locally strong winds prevail over the Bay
    of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf with seas of 8 to 10 ft.
    For the rest of the Gulf, gentle to moderate N to NE winds prevail
    with light to moderate seas.

    For the forecast, fresh NE winds and rough seas will continue in
    the Bay of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf through this
    evening, in the wake of a front that has stalled over the
    northwestern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh W to
    NW winds and moderate seas will develop in the northeastern basin
    Wed afternoon ahead of a cold front moving through the southern
    United States. The front is slated to enter the northern Gulf by
    Thu morning, with winds turning to the N and weakening in the wake
    of the front. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
    are expected over the remainder of the Gulf into this weekend as
    weak high pressure prevails over the basin.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front is analyzed from near western Cuba to the
    Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is found along
    the stationary front. The pressure gradient between the central
    Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressures in northern
    South America and in the south-central and southwestern Caribbean
    generally allows for moderate to fresh trade winds and seas of 5
    to 7 ft to exist east of about 79W. Light to gentle winds, along
    with seas of 2 to 5 ft, prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and eastern Caribbean today.
    Widespread fresh trades and rough seas are expected to develop
    over this region on Wed as a tightening pressure gradient develops
    between the Colombian low, a stalling front in the northwest
    basin and building high pressure in the central Atlantic. Winds
    will pulse to strong speeds offshore of northern Colombia and in
    the Gulf of Venezuela nightly through this weekend, and winds may
    reach near-gale force at times. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
    trades will prevail over the Atlantic waters and through the
    passages into this weekend. Locally rough seas in E swell in this
    region will subside through today, with a new E swell supporting
    rough seas Wed through this weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is dissipating. This front extends
    southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of the area near 34.5N58W
    to 31N59W to 27N69W. Isolated showers and thunderstorms are
    depicted along the dissipating front. A stronger cold front
    extends from near 31N63W to 26N74W, where it becomes stationary to
    the central Bahamas and to the Straits of Florida. Fresh to
    strong southwest winds are ahead of both fronts, while similar
    wind speeds from the northwest are behind the stronger front.
    These winds are occurring roughly north of about 27N between 31W
    and 70W. In addition, an area of near-gale force SW winds is found
    north of 30N between 53W and 61W. Seas are 8 to 12 ft with these
    winds. Otherwise, a 1021 mb high center near 25N41W is dominating
    the Atlantic north of 23N between 35W and the Greater Antilles,
    with gentle to moderate clockwise winds and seas of 8 to 12 ft in
    moderate to large northerly swells. For the tropical Atlantic from
    07N to 23N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh
    trade winds and seas of 8 to 10 ft seas are present. Gentle to
    moderate southerly winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft seas are present
    over the remainder of the Atlantic.

    For the forecast, a cold front extending from south of Bermuda
    through the central Bahamas will progress eastward through the
    central Atlantic this week. Strong to locally near-gale force SW
    winds and rough seas will occur north of 27N and east of 65W ahead
    of the cold front through late tonight, with widespread fresh to
    strong W to NW winds expected in the wake of the front north of
    29N and east of 70W. Winds will subside from west to east tonight
    into early Wed. NW swell associated with this front will expand
    southeastward over the northwestern tropical Atlantic through Wed,
    supporting rough seas north of 26N by late tonight, and north of
    25N by Wed afternoon. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
    north of 30N and east of 70W today into Wed afternoon. Seas will
    slowly subside from west to east through late week. Looking ahead,
    fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas may develop offshore
    northern Florida by Wed evening, ahead of a cold front moving over
    the southern United States. The cold front is slated to push
    offshore early Thu, with fresh NW winds and rough seas expected in
    the wake of the front.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 08 Dec 2025 17:21:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 081721
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1225 PM EST MON 08 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-008

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72
    A. 10/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 03WSE IOP02
    C. 09/1830Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    35.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 150.0W, 55.0N 125.0W, AND 35.0N 125.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 09/2030Z TO 10/0230Z

    2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
    FOR THE 10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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