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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 10:06:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 081006
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb
Bermuda High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh
to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
through next week. Winds tonight have pulsed to minimal gale-force
offshore of Colombia and inside the Gulf of Venezuela. The
associated ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward
to along 28N through Tue to maintain strong to near gale-force
winds across the south central Caribbean. Winds will diminish to
below gale-force around sunrise this morning and then increase
again to gale-force tonight. Seas will build into the 12-13 ft
range during the time of the gale-force winds. Please read the
latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is moving away from the Cabo Verde
Islands, with axis along 28W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted
from 08.5N TO 12.5N between 27W and 31W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 47W, and extends from
05N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 41W and 47W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 59W-60W, approaching the Lesser
Antilles, extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to 11.5N
between 54W and 60W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16.5W and
continues westward to near 10N44.5W. The ITCZ extends from 10N48W
to 09.5N58W. Aside from the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted from 06.5N to 12N E of 24W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1024 mb high is located just NW of Bermuda and extends a western
Atlantic ridge westward along 33N and across the Carolinas. A
surface trough has moved westward across Florida, and extends from
the extreme SW Gulf to near Jacksonville, with the ridge drapped
across it over the northeast Gulf. This pattern is supporting
gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 1-3 ft seas across the basin,
except for moderate NE winds across the eastern Bay of Campeche.
Widely scattered showers are across the coastal waters of SW
Florida, and dot the waters elsewhere W of 88W.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate most of the
Gulf basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to
moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of
fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the waters N of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.
The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
of Bermuda near 33N67W and the Colombian low continues to support
fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean S of 16N
and between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across much of this
area except 10 to 13 ft in the gale winds offshore of Colombia.
Moderate to fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with
these winds. Scattered moderate convection extends from Haiti
northwestward to 80W and offshore of central Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin through
next week, with gale- force winds occurring early this morning and
again Saturday night offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the
region will gradually shift southward to along 28N through Tue and
maintain near gale- force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse fresh to locally strong
during the evenings and night in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, mainly
moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the Atlantic
waters north of the Bahamas and W of 76W, following a low level
trough currently moving across the Florida peninsula and into the
eastern Gulf of America. Broad ridging centered on a 1024 mb high
just NW of Bemuda dominates the Atlantic north of 24N and west of
50W, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 4-6 ft
W of 50W. A central Atlantic cold front extends southwestward to
near 33N50W and weakens the ridge across the central basin. An
Azores High dominates the basin est of 40W, producing fresh to
strong NE winds near the Canary Islands, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.
Saharan air and dust covers much of the Atlantic north of 12N and
east of 55W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough moving across
Florida will shift NW and further inland today. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to 77W will shift
northwestward behind the trough today, then persist N of 30N
through Sun. Otherwise, a 1024 mb Bermuda High will shift
slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will
prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
and night.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 10:06:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 081006
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb
Bermuda High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh
to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
through next week. Winds tonight have pulsed to minimal gale-force
offshore of Colombia and inside the Gulf of Venezuela. The
associated ridge N of the region will gradually shift southward
to along 28N through Tue to maintain strong to near gale-force
winds across the south central Caribbean. Winds will diminish to
below gale-force around sunrise this morning and then increase
again to gale-force tonight. Seas will build into the 12-13 ft
range during the time of the gale-force winds. Please read the
latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center
at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is moving away from the Cabo Verde
Islands, with axis along 28W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted
from 08.5N TO 12.5N between 27W and 31W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed near 47W, and extends from
05N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 41W and 47W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 59W-60W, approaching the Lesser
Antilles, extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15
kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 08N to 11.5N
between 54W and 60W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16.5W and
continues westward to near 10N44.5W. The ITCZ extends from 10N48W
to 09.5N58W. Aside from the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate isolated strong convection
is noted from 06.5N to 12N E of 24W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1024 mb high is located just NW of Bermuda and extends a western
Atlantic ridge westward along 33N and across the Carolinas. A
surface trough has moved westward across Florida, and extends from
the extreme SW Gulf to near Jacksonville, with the ridge drapped
across it over the northeast Gulf. This pattern is supporting
gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 1-3 ft seas across the basin,
except for moderate NE winds across the eastern Bay of Campeche.
Widely scattered showers are across the coastal waters of SW
Florida, and dot the waters elsewhere W of 88W.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate most of the
Gulf basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to
moderate E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of
fresh winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula
and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a surface
trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the
SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the waters N of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.
The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
of Bermuda near 33N67W and the Colombian low continues to support
fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean S of 16N
and between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 9 ft across much of this
area except 10 to 13 ft in the gale winds offshore of Colombia.
Moderate to fresh trades are over the E Caribbean while gentle to
moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are moderate with
these winds. Scattered moderate convection extends from Haiti
northwestward to 80W and offshore of central Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin through
next week, with gale- force winds occurring early this morning and
again Saturday night offshore of Colombia. The ridge N of the
region will gradually shift southward to along 28N through Tue and
maintain near gale- force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela each night. Winds will pulse fresh to locally strong
during the evenings and night in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, mainly
moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the Atlantic
waters north of the Bahamas and W of 76W, following a low level
trough currently moving across the Florida peninsula and into the
eastern Gulf of America. Broad ridging centered on a 1024 mb high
just NW of Bemuda dominates the Atlantic north of 24N and west of
50W, supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 4-6 ft
W of 50W. A central Atlantic cold front extends southwestward to
near 33N50W and weakens the ridge across the central basin. An
Azores High dominates the basin est of 40W, producing fresh to
strong NE winds near the Canary Islands, where seas are 6 to 8 ft.
Saharan air and dust covers much of the Atlantic north of 12N and
east of 55W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough moving across
Florida will shift NW and further inland today. Scattered showers
and thunderstorms occurring E of the trough to 77W will shift
northwestward behind the trough today, then persist N of 30N
through Sun. Otherwise, a 1024 mb Bermuda High will shift
slightly southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will
prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening
and night.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 23:46:57 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 08 Aug 2026 12:11:11 GMT - Sat, 08 Aug 2026 11:46:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 081146
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of Africa on
Tuesday. Some development of this system will be possible during
the middle to latter part of next week while it moves westward
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
338
NOUS42 KNHC 071345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT FRI 07 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-068
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf