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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 23:32:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
780
AXNT20 KNHC 292332
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall: Disorganized showers and thunderstorm continue
in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located
about 300 miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there are
no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation.
Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward
to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally
heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days.
The main hazards for Puerto Rico will be urban flooding, lightning,
and gusty winds, especially tonight into Monday. The potential
for isolated flash flooding is lower but cannot be ruled out.
Rainfall amounts and the location of the highest totals remain
uncertain. Islands local topography could enhance orographic
lift and support additional rainfall, varying by island. Peak
rainfall rates are expected from tonight through Sun.
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 34W, south of 18N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.
A tropical wave is along 58W, south of 21N, moving westward around
20 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure, remnants of T.S. Dolly, is along
the wave axis near 17N58W. A cluster of moderate to isolated
strong convection is within about 90 nm NW quadrant of low
center. Fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas are
noted on either side of the wave axis per scatterometer and
altimeter data, covering roughly the waters from 16N to 22N
between 50W and 60W.
A tropical wave is along 70W and extends from Dominican Republic
to western Venezuela, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near the wave axis, affecting
Dominican Republic and the southern offshore waters.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to
enhance convection over parts of Central America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, and extends SW to near 10N24W, and
westward to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 07N40W to
11N53W. In addition to the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is present near
the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak 1014 mb low pressure is analyzed over the NE Gulf near
29N87W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are over
Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are noted elsewehre over the Gulf
waters. A diffluent pattern aloft supports this convective
activity. A weak ridge dominates the remainder of the basin.
Under this pattern, gentle to locally moderate winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail. Winds and seas could be higher near
thunderstorms.
For the forecast, cloudiness and showers associated with a weak
low pressure area centered about 125 miles south of Pensacola,
Florida, have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Some additional slow development of this system is possible
during the next few days as it drifts westward. Currently, this
system has a low chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7
days. Regardless of development, mariners over the northeast and
north-central Gulf can expect thunderstorms with gusty winds and
locally higher seas into early next week. Elsewhere, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds and
slight seas into into late next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated to a strong tropical wave that will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight.
High pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low
supports fresh to strong trades offshore Colombia where seas are
7 to 9 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
are found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean, and also
in the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Convection has fakred-up over
most of Cuba and Jamaica while a tropical wave is enhancing
convection over Dominican Republic. Showers and thunderstorms
ahead of the remnant of Dolly are reaching the northern Leeward
Islands.
For the forecast, a strong tropical wave will cross the northern
Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sun
and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will bring strong
to near gale force winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms with
locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters. Otherwise, the pressure
gradient between high pressure north of the basin and lower
pressure over South America will support strong trades and rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this weekend. These winds
will diminish slightly early next week as the aforementioned
tropical wave disrupts the pressure gradient.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about a strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, that is approaching
the Lesser Antilles.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring between Bermuda
and the Bahamas, particularly N of 24N and W of 68W. A diffluent
pattern aloft is helping to induce this convective activity. A
ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a 1026 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near
35N33W. Another high pressure center of 1026 mb is noted NE of
Bermuda near 35N54W. Aside from the winds and seas associated
with the remnants of Dolly, fresh to locally strong northerly
winds and moderate to rough seas are evident N of 20N and E of
20N to the coast of W Africa, including the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, the ridge generally supports moderate to locally fresh
winds easterly winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave
will bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer
trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early
next week. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
Winds will pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola
through Sun night.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 23:32:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
780
AXNT20 KNHC 292332
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall: Disorganized showers and thunderstorm continue
in association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located
about 300 miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there are
no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation.
Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward
to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally
heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands,
the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days.
The main hazards for Puerto Rico will be urban flooding, lightning,
and gusty winds, especially tonight into Monday. The potential
for isolated flash flooding is lower but cannot be ruled out.
Rainfall amounts and the location of the highest totals remain
uncertain. Islands local topography could enhance orographic
lift and support additional rainfall, varying by island. Peak
rainfall rates are expected from tonight through Sun.
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 34W, south of 18N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.
A tropical wave is along 58W, south of 21N, moving westward around
20 kt. A 1009 mb low pressure, remnants of T.S. Dolly, is along
the wave axis near 17N58W. A cluster of moderate to isolated
strong convection is within about 90 nm NW quadrant of low
center. Fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas are
noted on either side of the wave axis per scatterometer and
altimeter data, covering roughly the waters from 16N to 22N
between 50W and 60W.
A tropical wave is along 70W and extends from Dominican Republic
to western Venezuela, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are near the wave axis, affecting
Dominican Republic and the southern offshore waters.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears to
enhance convection over parts of Central America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, and extends SW to near 10N24W, and
westward to near 07N40W. The ITCZ continues from 07N40W to
11N53W. In addition to the convection associated with the
tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is present near
the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak 1014 mb low pressure is analyzed over the NE Gulf near
29N87W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are over
Florida and the Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are noted elsewehre over the Gulf
waters. A diffluent pattern aloft supports this convective
activity. A weak ridge dominates the remainder of the basin.
Under this pattern, gentle to locally moderate winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail. Winds and seas could be higher near
thunderstorms.
For the forecast, cloudiness and showers associated with a weak
low pressure area centered about 125 miles south of Pensacola,
Florida, have become a little better organized since yesterday.
Some additional slow development of this system is possible
during the next few days as it drifts westward. Currently, this
system has a low chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7
days. Regardless of development, mariners over the northeast and
north-central Gulf can expect thunderstorms with gusty winds and
locally higher seas into early next week. Elsewhere, a weak
pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds and
slight seas into into late next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated to a strong tropical wave that will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight.
High pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low
supports fresh to strong trades offshore Colombia where seas are
7 to 9 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
are found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean, and also
in the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Convection has fakred-up over
most of Cuba and Jamaica while a tropical wave is enhancing
convection over Dominican Republic. Showers and thunderstorms
ahead of the remnant of Dolly are reaching the northern Leeward
Islands.
For the forecast, a strong tropical wave will cross the northern
Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico Sun
and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave will bring strong
to near gale force winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms with
locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters. Otherwise, the pressure
gradient between high pressure north of the basin and lower
pressure over South America will support strong trades and rough
seas over the south-central Caribbean this weekend. These winds
will diminish slightly early next week as the aforementioned
tropical wave disrupts the pressure gradient.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about a strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, that is approaching
the Lesser Antilles.
Numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring between Bermuda
and the Bahamas, particularly N of 24N and W of 68W. A diffluent
pattern aloft is helping to induce this convective activity. A
ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a 1026 mb high pressure located SW of the Azores near
35N33W. Another high pressure center of 1026 mb is noted NE of
Bermuda near 35N54W. Aside from the winds and seas associated
with the remnants of Dolly, fresh to locally strong northerly
winds and moderate to rough seas are evident N of 20N and E of
20N to the coast of W Africa, including the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, the ridge generally supports moderate to locally fresh
winds easterly winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave will cross
the northern Leeward Islands tonight, the Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico Sun and Sun night, then Hispaniola Mon. This wave
will bring strong to near gale force winds, rough seas, and
thunderstorms with locally heavy rainfall to nearby waters S of
23N. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer
trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early
next week. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
Winds will pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola
through Sun night.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 31 Aug 2026 11:17:09 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 30 Aug 2026 03:40:42 GMT - Sat, 29 Aug 2026 23:17:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 292317
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
Showers and thunderstorm continue in association with the remnants
of Tropical Storm Dolly, located about 150 miles east of the Leeward
Islands. However, there are no signs that the system is developing a
closed circulation. Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while
it moves westward to west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward
Islands, the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several
days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northeastern and North-Central Gulf of America (AL97):
A weak low pressure area located around 125 miles south of
Pensacola, Florida is producing showers and thunderstorms. Some
additional slow development of this system is possible during the
next few days as it drifts westward across the northern Gulf.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:08:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 291508
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1110 AM EDT SAT 29 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-090
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA NEAR 28.5N 92.5W FOR 31/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
MISSION AROUND TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FOR 01/0000Z, DEPARTING
KLGB AT 31/1700Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND TROPICAL STORM
LOWELL FOR 02/0000Z, DEPARTING PHNL TENTATIVELY AT 01/1900Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO LOWELL FOR
02/1200Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 02/0800Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf