SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 23:15:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 142315
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jul 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed in the far eastern Atlantic along
21W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered to numerous
moderate to strong convection is seen from 05.5N to 13N and E of
27W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 07N40W. The
ITCZ then continues from 07N40W to the coast of Brazil near
01.5N50W. Convection near both features is described above with
the tropical wave.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stalled frontal boundary draped across the southern and
southeastern United States, from eastern Texas to near the
Georgia-South Carolina border. An east to west upper trough across
this same area is combining with plenty of low level moisture and
diurnal heating to support scattered moderate isolated strong
convection across much of the northern Gulf waters north of 27N.
A surface coastal trough from the western Bay of Campeche to near
Tampico supports scattered moderate convection across the far SW
Gulf. Outside of convection, the Atlantic ridge extends across
Florida and into the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas off Yucatan and in
the Bay of Campeche. Moderate winds and moderate seas are
occurring north of 29N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical Atlantic ridge
anchored north of the islands along 26N-27N and lower pressures
in northern South America continue to support strong to near gale-
force easterly winds and rough seas to 11 ft in the south-central
Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas
are occurring in the remainder of the central Caribbean, Windward
Passage and the Gulf of Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
Caribbean, the Windward Passage, and the Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent. Scattered moderate to strong convection covers the
area between the W coast of Jamaica and the Gulf of Honduras, and
is strongest along the NE coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua. This
weather is occurring behind an exiting tropical wave, and
supported by divergence aloft, to the south of an upper trough
over the NW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America
will support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the
central Caribbean through the week. Rough seas will prevail with
these winds. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each
evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
extending from 40W along 26N-27N to Florida, and supports
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE Bahamas and
between 70W and 80W. 1015 mb low pres near 33.5N21W extends a cold
front southwestward to 26N38W. A narrow ridge extends between
Morrocco and the front, and supports fresh NE winds along the
coast of Africa to the Cabo Verdes between 13N and 28N. Moderate
to locally fresh easterly trade winds winds and moderate seas
prevail south of 22N and west of 30W to the Lesser Antilles.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
A surface trough is analyzed from the central and northern
Bahamas to near 31N74W. Another surface trough is analyzed from
22N68W to 29N54W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring along and within 100 nm of both trough axes. Convection
is suppressed elsewhere across much of the basin due to a large
plume of Saharan dust and mid-latitude dry air.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 23:15:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 142315
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jul 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed in the far eastern Atlantic along
21W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered to numerous
moderate to strong convection is seen from 05.5N to 13N and E of
27W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 07N40W. The
ITCZ then continues from 07N40W to the coast of Brazil near
01.5N50W. Convection near both features is described above with
the tropical wave.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stalled frontal boundary draped across the southern and
southeastern United States, from eastern Texas to near the
Georgia-South Carolina border. An east to west upper trough across
this same area is combining with plenty of low level moisture and
diurnal heating to support scattered moderate isolated strong
convection across much of the northern Gulf waters north of 27N.
A surface coastal trough from the western Bay of Campeche to near
Tampico supports scattered moderate convection across the far SW
Gulf. Outside of convection, the Atlantic ridge extends across
Florida and into the central Gulf. This pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas off Yucatan and in
the Bay of Campeche. Moderate winds and moderate seas are
occurring north of 29N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the persistent subtropical Atlantic ridge
anchored north of the islands along 26N-27N and lower pressures
in northern South America continue to support strong to near gale-
force easterly winds and rough seas to 11 ft in the south-central
Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate to rough seas
are occurring in the remainder of the central Caribbean, Windward
Passage and the Gulf of Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
Caribbean, the Windward Passage, and the Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent. Scattered moderate to strong convection covers the
area between the W coast of Jamaica and the Gulf of Honduras, and
is strongest along the NE coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua. This
weather is occurring behind an exiting tropical wave, and
supported by divergence aloft, to the south of an upper trough
over the NW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America
will support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the
central Caribbean through the week. Rough seas will prevail with
these winds. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each
evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
extending from 40W along 26N-27N to Florida, and supports
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE Bahamas and
between 70W and 80W. 1015 mb low pres near 33.5N21W extends a cold
front southwestward to 26N38W. A narrow ridge extends between
Morrocco and the front, and supports fresh NE winds along the
coast of Africa to the Cabo Verdes between 13N and 28N. Moderate
to locally fresh easterly trade winds winds and moderate seas
prevail south of 22N and west of 30W to the Lesser Antilles.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
A surface trough is analyzed from the central and northern
Bahamas to near 31N74W. Another surface trough is analyzed from
22N68W to 29N54W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
occurring along and within 100 nm of both trough axes. Convection
is suppressed elsewhere across much of the basin due to a large
plume of Saharan dust and mid-latitude dry air.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period. The weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds
to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected each night
offshore Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 16 Jul 2026 11:33:14 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 15 Jul 2026 01:00:22 GMT - Tue, 14 Jul 2026 23:33:14 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 142333
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Jul 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 13:46:59 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
120
NOUS42 KNHC 141345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT TUE 14 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-044
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf