2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 04:55:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 120455
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jun 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0450 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Heavy rainfall across the Yucatan peninsula and northern Belize:
    Broad low pressure is expected to develop over northern Central
    America and southern Mexico over the next couple of days. The
    combination of sustained upper-level divergence east of an upper
    low that is located over the eastern Bay of Campeche, and a
    tropical wave moving through the Yucatan Peninsula while abundant
    deep tropical moisture remains in place will provide the potential
    for heavy rainfall over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula into Sat.
    Increasing deep convection is presently over the eastern section
    of the Yucatan Peninsula and over eastern Belize. The heaviest
    rainfall may be as high as 6 to 8 inches over this 48 hour period,
    primarily across northern Belize and southern part of the Mexican
    state of Quintana Roo. Rainfall of up to 2 to 4 inches is
    possible across eastern Campeche and eastern Yucatan states as
    well. Localized flooding is possible. Please refer to local
    meteorological agencies for further guidance.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 22W, S of 15N,
    moving westward near 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has is axis near 52W, S of 15N,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers are active from
    05N to 06N between 51W and 53W.

    The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 64W, S of
    16N, moving westward around 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
    is active over the Caribbean, but scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is noted over central Venezuela near 08N65W.

    Another eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W,
    moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
    occurring at the present time with this wave over the Caribbean,
    but scattered convection is noted over Venezuela near 11N69W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends off the coast of Africa near
    16N16W and extends southwestward to 06N28W, where it transitions
    to the ITCZ to 04N47W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    02N to 14N between 11W and 26W, and from 04N to 08N between 30W
    and 42W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed fresh to strong E
    to SE winds off the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. These
    winds are between the western extension of the Atlantic ridge over
    the eastern Gulf, and a trough reaching from the south-central
    Gulf, across the Yucatan Peninsula and into northern Central
    America. Seas are estimated to be 5-6 ft in this area. Associated
    scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across the Bay of
    Campeche. The pattern is also supporting moderate SE winds
    elsewhere across the western Gulf, with 3-5 ft seas, and gentle
    southerly breezes over the eastern Gulf with 1-3 ft breezes.

    For the forecast, high pressure will persist across northeastern
    Gulf through Tue. Farther south, broad trough of low pressure
    extending from the Yucatan Peninsula northeastward into the
    southern Gulf will shift northwestward through the weekend, and
    move inland across NE Mexico and S Texas on Sun. This pattern will
    support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas
    shifting from the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula to the coast of
    Texas through early Sun, accompanied by numerous showers and
    thunderstorms. Winds and seas will diminish early next week after
    the low pressure moves inland and weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed fresh to strong SE
    winds across the far northwest Caribbean west of 80W, with near-
    gale force wind between Roatan and northern Belize. These winds
    are between the Atlantic ridge to the northeast, and a surface
    trough over northern Central America. Seas are likely 6-8 ft in
    this area. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are likely
    across the northwest Caribbean, reaching eastward to the Windward
    Passage. The pattern is also supporting fresh trade winds across
    the south- central and southeast Caribbean, with strong winds
    pulsing off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela. Moderate E
    winds persist elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
    place north of region through early next week to support a large
    area of fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
    across the central Caribbean, as a pair of tropical waves move
    westward across the region. Expect highest winds and seas off the
    coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong SE winds and rough seas will
    also persist over the northwestern Caribbean, to the W of 83W,
    including the Gulf of Honduras, through Sat night. Expect active
    showers and thunderstorms across portions of the Yucatan Channel
    and adjacent Yucatan waters through early Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A few showers and thunderstorms remain active near 28N58W, on the
    eastern end of a trough extending to 30N50W. A broad ridge extends
    from the Azores to south of the trough near 24N50W, then across
    Florida into the eastern Gulf. This pattern is support moderate to
    fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas south of 22N and west
    of 35W, and mostly gentle breezes and 4-6 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the trough will shift NE and out of
    the forecast waters through early Sat, then allow the ridge to
    reorganize across the area through early next week. This pattern
    will support moderate E-SE trade winds S of 23N and gentle
    anticyclonic winds elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will
    develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening
    through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S.
    Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
    across waters near the Greater Antilles.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 04:55:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 120455
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jun 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0450 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Heavy rainfall across the Yucatan peninsula and northern Belize:
    Broad low pressure is expected to develop over northern Central
    America and southern Mexico over the next couple of days. The
    combination of sustained upper-level divergence east of an upper
    low that is located over the eastern Bay of Campeche, and a
    tropical wave moving through the Yucatan Peninsula while abundant
    deep tropical moisture remains in place will provide the potential
    for heavy rainfall over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula into Sat.
    Increasing deep convection is presently over the eastern section
    of the Yucatan Peninsula and over eastern Belize. The heaviest
    rainfall may be as high as 6 to 8 inches over this 48 hour period,
    primarily across northern Belize and southern part of the Mexican
    state of Quintana Roo. Rainfall of up to 2 to 4 inches is
    possible across eastern Campeche and eastern Yucatan states as
    well. Localized flooding is possible. Please refer to local
    meteorological agencies for further guidance.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 22W, S of 15N,
    moving westward near 10 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has is axis near 52W, S of 15N,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Isolated showers are active from
    05N to 06N between 51W and 53W.

    The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 64W, S of
    16N, moving westward around 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection
    is active over the Caribbean, but scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is noted over central Venezuela near 08N65W.

    Another eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W,
    moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant convection is
    occurring at the present time with this wave over the Caribbean,
    but scattered convection is noted over Venezuela near 11N69W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends off the coast of Africa near
    16N16W and extends southwestward to 06N28W, where it transitions
    to the ITCZ to 04N47W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from
    02N to 14N between 11W and 26W, and from 04N to 08N between 30W
    and 42W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed fresh to strong E
    to SE winds off the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula. These
    winds are between the western extension of the Atlantic ridge over
    the eastern Gulf, and a trough reaching from the south-central
    Gulf, across the Yucatan Peninsula and into northern Central
    America. Seas are estimated to be 5-6 ft in this area. Associated
    scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across the Bay of
    Campeche. The pattern is also supporting moderate SE winds
    elsewhere across the western Gulf, with 3-5 ft seas, and gentle
    southerly breezes over the eastern Gulf with 1-3 ft breezes.

    For the forecast, high pressure will persist across northeastern
    Gulf through Tue. Farther south, broad trough of low pressure
    extending from the Yucatan Peninsula northeastward into the
    southern Gulf will shift northwestward through the weekend, and
    move inland across NE Mexico and S Texas on Sun. This pattern will
    support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas
    shifting from the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula to the coast of
    Texas through early Sun, accompanied by numerous showers and
    thunderstorms. Winds and seas will diminish early next week after
    the low pressure moves inland and weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A recent scatterometer satellite pass confirmed fresh to strong SE
    winds across the far northwest Caribbean west of 80W, with near-
    gale force wind between Roatan and northern Belize. These winds
    are between the Atlantic ridge to the northeast, and a surface
    trough over northern Central America. Seas are likely 6-8 ft in
    this area. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are likely
    across the northwest Caribbean, reaching eastward to the Windward
    Passage. The pattern is also supporting fresh trade winds across
    the south- central and southeast Caribbean, with strong winds
    pulsing off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela. Moderate E
    winds persist elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
    place north of region through early next week to support a large
    area of fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
    across the central Caribbean, as a pair of tropical waves move
    westward across the region. Expect highest winds and seas off the
    coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong SE winds and rough seas will
    also persist over the northwestern Caribbean, to the W of 83W,
    including the Gulf of Honduras, through Sat night. Expect active
    showers and thunderstorms across portions of the Yucatan Channel
    and adjacent Yucatan waters through early Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A few showers and thunderstorms remain active near 28N58W, on the
    eastern end of a trough extending to 30N50W. A broad ridge extends
    from the Azores to south of the trough near 24N50W, then across
    Florida into the eastern Gulf. This pattern is support moderate to
    fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas south of 22N and west
    of 35W, and mostly gentle breezes and 4-6 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the trough will shift NE and out of
    the forecast waters through early Sat, then allow the ridge to
    reorganize across the area through early next week. This pattern
    will support moderate E-SE trade winds S of 23N and gentle
    anticyclonic winds elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will
    develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening
    through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S.
    Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
    across waters near the Greater Antilles.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 13 Jun 2026 17:03:00 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 12 Jun 2026 08:50:11 GMT
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 05:03:00 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 120502
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Bay of Campeche:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are occurring over the
    Yucatan Peninsula and the adjacent Bay of Campeche, and a broad
    area of low pressure is expected to form in this area later today.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally
    conducive for development before the system moves inland over
    eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 11 Jun 2026 13:35:48 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 111335
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0935 AM EDT THU 11 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-011

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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