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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 17:06:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
368
AXNT20 KNHC 121706
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 41W from 06N to 20N, moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave
axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W, and continues to 10N24W to 13N35W to 10N44W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to the coast of Venezuela near
10N61W. Numerous moderate convection is noted from 08N to 14N
between 44W and 63W.
The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection are seen along and near the coasts of Nicaragua,
Costa Rica, and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level shortwave trough over the SE US and convergent
surface winds over the eastern Gulf are supporting widely
scattered moderate convection across a large region N of 24N and E
of 95W. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between higher pressure
inland over Mexico and a surface trough in the Bay of Campeche
supports moderate to locally fresh SE to S winds and seas of 3-5
ft across the Bay of Campeche and the far west Gulf. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and seas of 1-3 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the NE Gulf will
dominate into the start of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
speeds each night off the W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal
trough moving toward the SW Gulf. By Tue night, a building ridge
over the eastern United States and a frontal trough will combine
to increase winds to fresh to locally strong speeds and build seas
over the Gulf waters N of 23N into late next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between surface ridging over the western
N Atlantic and the Colombian low supports fresh to near gale-force
easterly trade winds and rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean S of 18N. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are found in the eastern Caribbean, while moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas are prevalent elsewhere. An upper-level
trough over the NW Caribbean is producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. All other convection is described in the
monsoon trough/ITCZ section above. Fair weather prevails across
most of the Caribbean E of 77W.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the islands and lower pressures associated with
the Colombian Low will continue to support strong to locally near-
gale easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough seas
over the central Caribbean for the next several days. Gusts to
gale force are likely tonight off Colombia. Winds will pulse to
strong speeds in the Gulf of Honduras this evening through Mon
morning. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly breezes are
expected over the next few days in the eastern Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level trough in the SW N Atlantic and surface trough
paralleling the SE US coast are producing scattered moderate
convection N of 23N and W of 72W. To the east, A frontal remnant
trough extends from 31N44W to 26N55W to just south of Bermuda. A
1017 mb low is analyzed SE of Bermuda. Interactions between these
features and the upper-level trough are supporting more scattered
moderate convection from 24N to 30N between 56W and 67W, while
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring along
the trough axis from 52W northeastward. Finally, a surface trough
N of the tropical wave near 41W is also supporting isolated
moderate convection along the trough axis.
Outside of convection, surface ridging dominates much of the
tropical Atlantic. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and moderate
seas dominate much of the basin E of 34W, as well as S of 20N and
W of 40W. Gentle to moderate or weaker trades and 3-5 ft seas
prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered thunderstorms between
Bermuda and the Bahamas in association with an upper-level trough
should diminish tonight. At the surface, the subtropical ridge
will continue to dominate for the next several days. Trades north
of Hispaniola into the Windward Passage will be fresh to locally
strong into early next week. Looking ahead, a building ridge over
the eastern United States and a frontal trough will combine to
increase winds to fresh to locally strong speeds and build seas to
rough north of the Bahamas and W of 70W starting Tue and
continuing into Thu. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will prevail.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 17:06:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
368
AXNT20 KNHC 121706
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sat Sep 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 41W from 06N to 20N, moving
westward at around 20 kt. Scattered showers are seen near the wave
axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W, and continues to 10N24W to 13N35W to 10N44W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to the coast of Venezuela near
10N61W. Numerous moderate convection is noted from 08N to 14N
between 44W and 63W.
The eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough extends
across the far SW Caribbean. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection are seen along and near the coasts of Nicaragua,
Costa Rica, and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level shortwave trough over the SE US and convergent
surface winds over the eastern Gulf are supporting widely
scattered moderate convection across a large region N of 24N and E
of 95W. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient between higher pressure
inland over Mexico and a surface trough in the Bay of Campeche
supports moderate to locally fresh SE to S winds and seas of 3-5
ft across the Bay of Campeche and the far west Gulf. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and seas of 1-3 ft prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the NE Gulf will
dominate into the start of next week. Winds will pulse to fresh
speeds each night off the W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal
trough moving toward the SW Gulf. By Tue night, a building ridge
over the eastern United States and a frontal trough will combine
to increase winds to fresh to locally strong speeds and build seas
over the Gulf waters N of 23N into late next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between surface ridging over the western
N Atlantic and the Colombian low supports fresh to near gale-force
easterly trade winds and rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean S of 18N. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are found in the eastern Caribbean, while moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas are prevalent elsewhere. An upper-level
trough over the NW Caribbean is producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. All other convection is described in the
monsoon trough/ITCZ section above. Fair weather prevails across
most of the Caribbean E of 77W.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the islands and lower pressures associated with
the Colombian Low will continue to support strong to locally near-
gale easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough seas
over the central Caribbean for the next several days. Gusts to
gale force are likely tonight off Colombia. Winds will pulse to
strong speeds in the Gulf of Honduras this evening through Mon
morning. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly breezes are
expected over the next few days in the eastern Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level trough in the SW N Atlantic and surface trough
paralleling the SE US coast are producing scattered moderate
convection N of 23N and W of 72W. To the east, A frontal remnant
trough extends from 31N44W to 26N55W to just south of Bermuda. A
1017 mb low is analyzed SE of Bermuda. Interactions between these
features and the upper-level trough are supporting more scattered
moderate convection from 24N to 30N between 56W and 67W, while
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring along
the trough axis from 52W northeastward. Finally, a surface trough
N of the tropical wave near 41W is also supporting isolated
moderate convection along the trough axis.
Outside of convection, surface ridging dominates much of the
tropical Atlantic. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and moderate
seas dominate much of the basin E of 34W, as well as S of 20N and
W of 40W. Gentle to moderate or weaker trades and 3-5 ft seas
prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered thunderstorms between
Bermuda and the Bahamas in association with an upper-level trough
should diminish tonight. At the surface, the subtropical ridge
will continue to dominate for the next several days. Trades north
of Hispaniola into the Windward Passage will be fresh to locally
strong into early next week. Looking ahead, a building ridge over
the eastern United States and a frontal trough will combine to
increase winds to fresh to locally strong speeds and build seas to
rough north of the Bahamas and W of 70W starting Tue and
continuing into Thu. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas will prevail.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 05:21:03 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 12 Sep 2026 21:24:32 GMT - Sat, 12 Sep 2026 17:21:03 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121720
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:46:31 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121346
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SAT 12 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-104
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf