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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 18 May 2026 17:33:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 181733
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon May 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb high
near 31N35W and lower pressures over northern Africa supports
strong to near gale force NE winds generally E of 20W and N of
17N. Winds are expected to increase today and accordingly, Meteo-
France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir zone through at
least 19/00 UTC. Rough seas will accompany these winds as well.
For more information, please read the Meteo-France warning text
and High Seas forecast at:
wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W, south of 11N,
moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered showers are seen near
the south end of the wave axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, south of 14N, and
is nearly stationary. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen from 04N to 08N between 50W and 55W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 17N, and
is nearly stationary. Convection is addressed in the monsoon
trough section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W, then continues
southwestward to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends from 03N25W to 00N48W.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen S of 06N
between 23W and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a broad subtropical ridge over the
Atlantic and lower pressure over Mexico sustain fresh SE winds
and moderate seas over much of the western and south- central Gulf
waters. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail. No convection is present in the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will
extend a ridge over and just north of the Gulf through late week.
Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this
week between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico.
Also expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings through mid-week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft is sustaining scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the vicinity of Hispaniola, the Windward
Passage, and in the waters between Cuba and Jamaica. A tight
pressure gradient between the subtropical high to the north and
low pressure over Colombia is supporting strong NE to E winds and
7 to 10 ft seas in the central Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Wed, with moderate to fresh trades across the
remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be expected in
the central Caribbean during this time. Large E swell resulting in
rough seas will impact the tropical Atlantic waters into Tue
night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from 31N61W to 25N70W.
Coupling with an upper-level trough over the western Atlantic,
scattered moderate convection is occurring north of 21N between
66W and 73W. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are also
occurring across much of the Bahamas. Elsewhere, most of the
basin is dominated by an extensive subtropical ridge stemming from
a 1028 mb high centered near 31N35W. The pressure gradient
between this high and low pressure along the monsoon trough and
ITCZ is leading to fresh trades S of 24N, with gentle to moderate
winds to the north. Locally strong trades and locally rough seas
are ongoing from 07N to 13N between 42W and 47W, confirmed by a
recent scatterometer pass. Moderate seas generally prevail across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and rough seas
with E swell east of the Leeward Islands and N of Hispaniola
today. A weak surface trough from E of Bermuda to around 25N70W
will dissipate today, leaving tranquil marine conditions in place
through mid-week.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 18 May 2026 17:33:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 181733
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon May 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Agadir Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb high
near 31N35W and lower pressures over northern Africa supports
strong to near gale force NE winds generally E of 20W and N of
17N. Winds are expected to increase today and accordingly, Meteo-
France has issued a Gale Warning for the Agadir zone through at
least 19/00 UTC. Rough seas will accompany these winds as well.
For more information, please read the Meteo-France warning text
and High Seas forecast at:
wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 22W, south of 11N,
moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered showers are seen near
the south end of the wave axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, south of 14N, and
is nearly stationary. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
are seen from 04N to 08N between 50W and 55W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 17N, and
is nearly stationary. Convection is addressed in the monsoon
trough section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W, then continues
southwestward to 05N19W. The ITCZ extends from 03N25W to 00N48W.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen S of 06N
between 23W and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a broad subtropical ridge over the
Atlantic and lower pressure over Mexico sustain fresh SE winds
and moderate seas over much of the western and south- central Gulf
waters. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail. No convection is present in the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will
extend a ridge over and just north of the Gulf through late week.
Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this
week between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico.
Also expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings through mid-week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft is sustaining scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the vicinity of Hispaniola, the Windward
Passage, and in the waters between Cuba and Jamaica. A tight
pressure gradient between the subtropical high to the north and
low pressure over Colombia is supporting strong NE to E winds and
7 to 10 ft seas in the central Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Wed, with moderate to fresh trades across the
remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be expected in
the central Caribbean during this time. Large E swell resulting in
rough seas will impact the tropical Atlantic waters into Tue
night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from 31N61W to 25N70W.
Coupling with an upper-level trough over the western Atlantic,
scattered moderate convection is occurring north of 21N between
66W and 73W. Widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are also
occurring across much of the Bahamas. Elsewhere, most of the
basin is dominated by an extensive subtropical ridge stemming from
a 1028 mb high centered near 31N35W. The pressure gradient
between this high and low pressure along the monsoon trough and
ITCZ is leading to fresh trades S of 24N, with gentle to moderate
winds to the north. Locally strong trades and locally rough seas
are ongoing from 07N to 13N between 42W and 47W, confirmed by a
recent scatterometer pass. Moderate seas generally prevail across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and rough seas
with E swell east of the Leeward Islands and N of Hispaniola
today. A weak surface trough from E of Bermuda to around 25N70W
will dissipate today, leaving tranquil marine conditions in place
through mid-week.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 20 May 2026 05:17:37 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 18 May 2026 18:52:59 GMT - Mon, 18 May 2026 17:17:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 181717
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon May 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf