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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 09:29:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 130929
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Sep 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 42W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is found within 120 nm on both sides of the trough
axis.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. A few showers are found near this
wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 13N16W and continues WSW to 09N27W and then to 11N44W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N47W to the coast of NE Venezuela near
10.5N63W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed within 120 nm on both sides of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1017 mb high pressure system over central Florida and lower
pressures over Mexico supports moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas in the south-central Gulf waters.
Moderate E-SE winds and seas of 2-4 ft are found in the western
Gulf. Elsewhere, under the broad ridge, light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, weak high pressure over central Florida will
continue to support relatively tranquil conditions to the Gulf
waters into Tue. The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where
a diurnal trough will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each evening, bringing nightly pulses of fresh to locally strong
NE winds. Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building
southward from the eastern United States will lead to increasing
NE to E winds over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong
force and rough seas over the northern Gulf Wed and Thu.
Conditions will improve late this week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of
the islands and lower pressures in Colombia sustain strong to near
gale-force NE-E winds over much of the central Caribbean. Rough to
very rough seas are occurring in these waters. Fresh to strong
NE-E winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found in the Windward Passage
and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are evident in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
An upper- level trough over the north-central Caribbean is
helping to induce a few showers and thunderstorms over the eastern
Caribbean. Similar convection is found in the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the aforementioned tight pressure gradient will
continue to support strong to near-gale easterly trade winds and
rough to locally very rough seas over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Gale- force winds off Colombia will
diminish below gale this morning. Strong winds are expected this
morning and tonight in the Gulf of Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate
to fresh easterly breezes are expected over the next few days in
the eastern Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring between
Bermuda and the Greater Antilles, especially north of 22N and
between 55W and 72W. A broad subtropical ridge dominates the SW
North Atlantic, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas of
3-5 ft. However, a tighter pressure gradient north of Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage allow for fresh to locally strong
easterly winds and moderate seas.
The interaction between a surface trough along 44W and an upper
level low near 26N50W continue to support scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms east of the trough axis to 38W and north of
22N. An extensive subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic
sustains moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas south of 20N and west of 45W. East of 45W, moderate to fresh
NE-E winds and moderate seas are prevalent. In the remainder of
the basin, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad subtropical ridge will
persist over the basin through Mon night, bringing mainly
tranquil marine conditions. However, trades north of Hispaniola
into the Windward Passage will be fresh to locally strong into
Mon. On Tue, strong high pressure building southward through the
eastern United States will bring a cold front into the NW waters,
increasing NE winds to fresh to strong and causing seas to build
to rough N of the Bahamas and W of 70W Tue through Wed night.
Conditions will improve late this week.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 09:29:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 130929
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Sep 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 42W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is found within 120 nm on both sides of the trough
axis.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 46W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. A few showers are found near this
wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 13N16W and continues WSW to 09N27W and then to 11N44W. The
ITCZ extends from 10N47W to the coast of NE Venezuela near
10.5N63W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed within 120 nm on both sides of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1017 mb high pressure system over central Florida and lower
pressures over Mexico supports moderate to locally fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas in the south-central Gulf waters.
Moderate E-SE winds and seas of 2-4 ft are found in the western
Gulf. Elsewhere, under the broad ridge, light to gentle winds and
slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, weak high pressure over central Florida will
continue to support relatively tranquil conditions to the Gulf
waters into Tue. The exception will be the Bay of Campeche, where
a diurnal trough will move westward offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each evening, bringing nightly pulses of fresh to locally strong
NE winds. Starting late Tue, stronger high pressure building
southward from the eastern United States will lead to increasing
NE to E winds over the basin, with speeds reaching fresh to strong
force and rough seas over the northern Gulf Wed and Thu.
Conditions will improve late this week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of
the islands and lower pressures in Colombia sustain strong to near
gale-force NE-E winds over much of the central Caribbean. Rough to
very rough seas are occurring in these waters. Fresh to strong
NE-E winds and seas of 4-8 ft are found in the Windward Passage
and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are evident in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
An upper- level trough over the north-central Caribbean is
helping to induce a few showers and thunderstorms over the eastern
Caribbean. Similar convection is found in the SW Caribbean.
For the forecast, the aforementioned tight pressure gradient will
continue to support strong to near-gale easterly trade winds and
rough to locally very rough seas over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Gale- force winds off Colombia will
diminish below gale this morning. Strong winds are expected this
morning and tonight in the Gulf of Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate
to fresh easterly breezes are expected over the next few days in
the eastern Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring between
Bermuda and the Greater Antilles, especially north of 22N and
between 55W and 72W. A broad subtropical ridge dominates the SW
North Atlantic, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas of
3-5 ft. However, a tighter pressure gradient north of Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage allow for fresh to locally strong
easterly winds and moderate seas.
The interaction between a surface trough along 44W and an upper
level low near 26N50W continue to support scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms east of the trough axis to 38W and north of
22N. An extensive subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic
sustains moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas south of 20N and west of 45W. East of 45W, moderate to fresh
NE-E winds and moderate seas are prevalent. In the remainder of
the basin, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad subtropical ridge will
persist over the basin through Mon night, bringing mainly
tranquil marine conditions. However, trades north of Hispaniola
into the Windward Passage will be fresh to locally strong into
Mon. On Tue, strong high pressure building southward through the
eastern United States will bring a cold front into the NW waters,
increasing NE winds to fresh to strong and causing seas to build
to rough N of the Bahamas and W of 70W Tue through Wed night.
Conditions will improve late this week.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 14 Sep 2026 23:34:11 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 13 Sep 2026 12:20:09 GMT - Sun, 13 Sep 2026 11:34:11 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 131134
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Sep 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms continue in association
with a trough of low pressure over the central Subtropical Atlantic.
While the environmental conditions are not currently favorable for
development due to strong upper-level winds, the system is expected
to move into a more favorable environment for some gradual
development by the middle to later portion of this week. The
disturbance is forecast to move west-northwestward across the
central part of the Subtropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Brown
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:46:31 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121346
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SAT 12 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-104
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf