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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 21:53:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
431
AXNT20 KNHC 062153
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Jul 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is analyzed near 42W, S of 17N
moving quickly westward at 20-25 kt. Any nearby convection is
described with the monsoon trough/ITCZ in the section below.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is analyzed near 57W, S of 16N to
along the border of Guyana and Suriname, moving westward at
around 10 kt. Any nearby convection is described with the monsoon
trough/ITCZ in the section below.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave axis is near 83W, S of 17N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Any nearby convection is
described with the monsoon trough/ITCZ in the section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends across portions of Mauritania just
offshore into the Atlantic Ocean from 17.5N16W to near 14.5N19W.
The ITCZ extends from well S of the Cabo Verde Islands near 09N25W
to 07N40W, then resumes W of a tropical wave from 07.5N46W to
07N56W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from approximately 03N to 12N between 36W and 59W. Similar
convection is noted within 210 nm SW of the coast of Africa
between 11W and 19W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Subtropical ridging continues to be the dominant feature over the
basin, with the axis extending into the central Gulf from the
east. A surface trough that extends from near Apalachee Bay,
Florida into the N-central Gulf near 28N90W is supporting some
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms just off the coast
of the Florida Panhandle. Isolated activity can be found across
portions of the remainder of the Gulf in a moist summer-time
pattern. Winds are moderate or weaker, mainly anticyclonic,
throughout the basin, with generally slight seas, locally moderate
seas in the central Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, surface ridging will prevail across the basin
through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to moderate
winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for fresh to
strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night. Moderate
or weaker winds are forecast for the eastern half of the Gulf
while slight seas are forecast basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and lower
pressure over northern South America continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the central basin, with moderate to fresh E
winds elsewhere, except weaker in the NW Caribbean N of 20N. Seas
of 7-11 ft are present in the central basin, with slight seas in
the NW basin, and 4-7 ft seas elsewhere. Convection in the western
Caribbean is mainly associated with a tropical wave and is
described in the above section. Scattered moderate convection is
noted between the Cayman Islands and western Cuba, being induced
by upper-level divergence.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the week. The aerial extent of
these winds will continue to increase through midweek as the
Atlantic ridge continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to
strong winds are expected to extend across most of the east,
central and SW Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through
Fri. Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the
basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong E to
SE winds are forecast at night through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic N of 20N,
and is anchored by 1026 mb high pressure centered near 29N39W. The
pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas
for waters N of 22N and W of 20W, slightly higher seas E of 40W,
with mainly fresh trades and 5-7 ft seas to the S of 22N. Upper
level divergence to the east of a trough aloft is leading to
scattered moderate convection N of 22N and W of 63W, including in
the vicinity of the Bahamas. A surface trough N of 31N in the
central Atlantic supports some similar activity across the
discussion waters N of 27N between 43W and 63W. Fresh to strong
N-NE winds are found from 19N to the Canary and Madeira Islands
between Africa and 24W due to the normally tight pressure gradient
found across that region, where seas are also locally rough.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will
stay in place through the forecast period. This pattern will
continue to support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
23N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Strong winds, with
moderate to rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola,
including approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 21:53:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
431
AXNT20 KNHC 062153
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Jul 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is analyzed near 42W, S of 17N
moving quickly westward at 20-25 kt. Any nearby convection is
described with the monsoon trough/ITCZ in the section below.
An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is analyzed near 57W, S of 16N to
along the border of Guyana and Suriname, moving westward at
around 10 kt. Any nearby convection is described with the monsoon
trough/ITCZ in the section below.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave axis is near 83W, S of 17N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Any nearby convection is
described with the monsoon trough/ITCZ in the section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends across portions of Mauritania just
offshore into the Atlantic Ocean from 17.5N16W to near 14.5N19W.
The ITCZ extends from well S of the Cabo Verde Islands near 09N25W
to 07N40W, then resumes W of a tropical wave from 07.5N46W to
07N56W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from approximately 03N to 12N between 36W and 59W. Similar
convection is noted within 210 nm SW of the coast of Africa
between 11W and 19W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Subtropical ridging continues to be the dominant feature over the
basin, with the axis extending into the central Gulf from the
east. A surface trough that extends from near Apalachee Bay,
Florida into the N-central Gulf near 28N90W is supporting some
isolated to scattered showers and thunderstorms just off the coast
of the Florida Panhandle. Isolated activity can be found across
portions of the remainder of the Gulf in a moist summer-time
pattern. Winds are moderate or weaker, mainly anticyclonic,
throughout the basin, with generally slight seas, locally moderate
seas in the central Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, surface ridging will prevail across the basin
through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to moderate
winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for fresh to
strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night. Moderate
or weaker winds are forecast for the eastern half of the Gulf
while slight seas are forecast basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and lower
pressure over northern South America continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the central basin, with moderate to fresh E
winds elsewhere, except weaker in the NW Caribbean N of 20N. Seas
of 7-11 ft are present in the central basin, with slight seas in
the NW basin, and 4-7 ft seas elsewhere. Convection in the western
Caribbean is mainly associated with a tropical wave and is
described in the above section. Scattered moderate convection is
noted between the Cayman Islands and western Cuba, being induced
by upper-level divergence.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the week. The aerial extent of
these winds will continue to increase through midweek as the
Atlantic ridge continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to
strong winds are expected to extend across most of the east,
central and SW Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through
Fri. Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the
basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong E to
SE winds are forecast at night through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic N of 20N,
and is anchored by 1026 mb high pressure centered near 29N39W. The
pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas
for waters N of 22N and W of 20W, slightly higher seas E of 40W,
with mainly fresh trades and 5-7 ft seas to the S of 22N. Upper
level divergence to the east of a trough aloft is leading to
scattered moderate convection N of 22N and W of 63W, including in
the vicinity of the Bahamas. A surface trough N of 31N in the
central Atlantic supports some similar activity across the
discussion waters N of 27N between 43W and 63W. Fresh to strong
N-NE winds are found from 19N to the Canary and Madeira Islands
between Africa and 24W due to the normally tight pressure gradient
found across that region, where seas are also locally rough.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will
stay in place through the forecast period. This pattern will
continue to support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
23N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Strong winds, with
moderate to rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola,
including approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 11:08:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 06 Jul 2026 23:11:55 GMT - Mon, 06 Jul 2026 23:08:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 062308
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 061345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT MON 06 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-036
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf