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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 03:07:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 110307
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Nov 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Meteo-France Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: SW winds to gale-force
    will persist through early Wed from the waters north of the
    Canary Islands to off Agadir, Morocco, with 12 to 18 ft seas.
    These gales and rough to very rough seas are ahead of a complex
    pair of low pressure systems west and northwest of the Canary
    Islands moving rapidly to the northeast. Winds and seas will start
    to diminish after 12 UTC.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France
    at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 09N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N20W to 07N53W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 07N to 09N between 30W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak pressure pattern continues between 1021 mb high pressure
    over the Lower Mississippi Valley and troughs over the western
    Gulf and southeast Gulf. This pattern is supporting light to
    gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across the basin. A few showers and
    thunderstorms are active over the far northwest Gulf along the
    upper Texas coast.

    For the forecast, a rather strong cold front will reach the Texas coast
    Wed night, then sweep across the Gulf through Thu night, exiting
    the basin early on Fri, followed by fresh to locally strong
    northerly winds and building seas. Fresh to strong northwest winds
    are expected in the far SW Gulf Thu through Fri. High pressure
    will settle in over the area in the wake of the front this
    weekend, with moderate to fresh easterly winds expected. These
    winds increase to fresh to strong speeds over the NW Gulf Sun,
    then shifting to the north-central and NE Gulf by Sun night as the
    gradient tightens ahead of a western Gulf frontal system and
    attendant low pressure that will be shifting eastward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
    the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
    fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
    to fresh trades elsewhere, except weaker near the coast of Central
    America and in the NE Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-
    central Caribbean and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere, except 2-4 ft over the
    northwest Caribbean. A few showers are active across the northwest
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas will
    prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Thu, with
    mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
    will weaken Thu night into Fri as a cold front approaches the
    Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate to fresh
    northwest winds and building seas are possible behind this front
    over the northwestern Caribbean into the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning for portions of the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast area.

    A stationary front extends from near 29N55W to low
    pressure of 1017 mb near 27N62W. A cold front extends from the
    low pressure southwestward to 23N67W, east of 1021 high pressure
    centered near 28N72W. To the east, fresh or greater winds surround
    the gale force low area described in the Special Features section
    above across the waters north of 20N east of 45W. Winds are
    moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters, along with
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front and low pressure will
    exit the region Wed. Another cold front is expected to move off
    the southeastern U.S. coast Thu accompanied by fresh to strong
    winds and building seas on both sides of it. These conditions are
    expected to persist into the weekend. By Sat, the front will stall
    from near 26N55W to the vicinity of the Turks and Caicos.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 03:07:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 110307
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Nov 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0300 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Meteo-France Eastern Atlantic Gale Warning: SW winds to gale-force
    will persist through early Wed from the waters north of the
    Canary Islands to off Agadir, Morocco, with 12 to 18 ft seas.
    These gales and rough to very rough seas are ahead of a complex
    pair of low pressure systems west and northwest of the Canary
    Islands moving rapidly to the northeast. Winds and seas will start
    to diminish after 12 UTC.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by Meteo-France
    at website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 10N14W to 09N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N20W to 07N53W. Scattered moderate convection is
    from 07N to 09N between 30W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak pressure pattern continues between 1021 mb high pressure
    over the Lower Mississippi Valley and troughs over the western
    Gulf and southeast Gulf. This pattern is supporting light to
    gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across the basin. A few showers and
    thunderstorms are active over the far northwest Gulf along the
    upper Texas coast.

    For the forecast, a rather strong cold front will reach the Texas coast
    Wed night, then sweep across the Gulf through Thu night, exiting
    the basin early on Fri, followed by fresh to locally strong
    northerly winds and building seas. Fresh to strong northwest winds
    are expected in the far SW Gulf Thu through Fri. High pressure
    will settle in over the area in the wake of the front this
    weekend, with moderate to fresh easterly winds expected. These
    winds increase to fresh to strong speeds over the NW Gulf Sun,
    then shifting to the north-central and NE Gulf by Sun night as the
    gradient tightens ahead of a western Gulf frontal system and
    attendant low pressure that will be shifting eastward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure centered north of
    the region and lower pressure over South America is leading to
    fresh to strong trades over the south central basin, with moderate
    to fresh trades elsewhere, except weaker near the coast of Central
    America and in the NE Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft in the south-
    central Caribbean and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere, except 2-4 ft over the
    northwest Caribbean. A few showers are active across the northwest
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong trades and locally rough seas will
    prevail over the south-central Caribbean through Thu, with
    mainly moderate winds and seas elsewhere. The pressure gradient
    will weaken Thu night into Fri as a cold front approaches the
    Yucatan Channel, weakening the trades. Moderate to fresh
    northwest winds and building seas are possible behind this front
    over the northwestern Caribbean into the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section for information on a Gale
    Warning for portions of the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast area.

    A stationary front extends from near 29N55W to low
    pressure of 1017 mb near 27N62W. A cold front extends from the
    low pressure southwestward to 23N67W, east of 1021 high pressure
    centered near 28N72W. To the east, fresh or greater winds surround
    the gale force low area described in the Special Features section
    above across the waters north of 20N east of 45W. Winds are
    moderate or weaker across the remainder of the waters, along with
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front and low pressure will
    exit the region Wed. Another cold front is expected to move off
    the southeastern U.S. coast Thu accompanied by fresh to strong
    winds and building seas on both sides of it. These conditions are
    expected to persist into the weekend. By Sat, the front will stall
    from near 26N55W to the vicinity of the Turks and Caicos.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 12 Nov 2026 17:02:02 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 11 Nov 2026 08:52:15 GMT
  • Wed, 11 Nov 2026 05:02:02 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 110501
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Wed Nov 11 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 10 Nov 2026 16:45:59 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101645
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1145 AM EST TUE 10 NOVEMBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-163

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.


    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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