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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 04:26:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
997
AXNT20 KNHC 030426
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Nov 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Atlantic Gale Warning: Broad low pressure is expected to develop
along a trough, southwest of Bermuda, roughly from 27N to 28N,
Tue night through Wed, and track slowly east-northeastward
throughout the rest of the week. A broad zone of strong to gale-
force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking to around 16
ft, will develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward Wed
through Fri, impacting the waters mainly north of about 27N. The
gale-force winds are likely north of 29N from Wed afternoon
through Thu evening.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from coastal Senegal near
13N16W to 10N20W to 08N30W. The ITCZ starts at 08N30W and extends
to 08N58W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
noted from 09N-13N east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms persist over the Straits of
Florida, associated with an upper low over the southeast Gulf. The
gradient between high pressure over the western Atlantic and
troughing over Florida is supporting fresh E winds and 5-7 ft seas
across the northeast Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds
persist elsewhere, except for SE winds over the far northwest
Gulf.
For the forecast, a cold front will reach along the Texas coast
late Tue afternoon, and move out over the NW Gulf Tue night
through Wed, followed briefly by moderate to fresh northwest to
north winds. The front will then weaken and dissipate Wed night.
Another cold front is expected to slowly move into the NW Gulf
waters Fri through Sat night, followed by moderate to fresh
northeast winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper trough over the northwest Caribbean is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms between 75W and 83W. High
pressure over the western Atlantic is supporting moderate E winds
and 3-5 ft seas across the eastern Caribbean, except for fresh
winds off northeast Caribbean. Gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas are
noted over the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
across the central and eastern Caribbean will persist through
Tue. The pressure gradient across the region will then relax Tue
night through Sat as broad low pressure forms along the trough to
the SW of Bermuda and shifts east-northeastward throughout the
week, leading to overall weaker winds and diminishing seas across
the Caribbean basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N37W to 26N50W to 25N65W, where
that transitions to a shear line to 24N80W. Fresh to strong NE to
E winds and 8-11 ft seas continue north of the front and
shearline. Over the deep tropics, a few thunderstorms are active
along a trough extending along 48W from 14N to 20N. Farther east,
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are active south
of the Canary Islands. Gentle to moderate winds and 5-7 ft persist
elsewhere across the North Atlantic south of 31N.
For the forecast west of 55W, a lingering frontal trough meanders
from near 26N55W westward and through the central Bahamas along
25N. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. is building
eastward across the Atlantic waters north of the trough. The
resulting pressure gradient will maintain widespread fresh to
strong northeast to east winds and rough seas to 11 ft north of
the trough and west of 60W through Tue. Broad low pressure is
expected to develop along the trough, southwest of Bermuda,
roughly from 27N to 28N, Tue night through Wed, and track slowly
east-northeastward throughout the rest of the week. A broad zone
of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
peaking to around 16 ft, will develop north of the low pressure
and expand eastward Wed through Fri, impacting the waters mainly
north of about 27N. The gale-force winds are likely north of 29N
from Wed afternoon through Thu evening. A weakening cold front
will slowly move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and
Fri night, dissipating Sat and Sat night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 03 Nov 2026 04:26:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
997
AXNT20 KNHC 030426
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Nov 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Atlantic Gale Warning: Broad low pressure is expected to develop
along a trough, southwest of Bermuda, roughly from 27N to 28N,
Tue night through Wed, and track slowly east-northeastward
throughout the rest of the week. A broad zone of strong to gale-
force winds, and rough to very rough seas, peaking to around 16
ft, will develop north of the low pressure and expand eastward Wed
through Fri, impacting the waters mainly north of about 27N. The
gale-force winds are likely north of 29N from Wed afternoon
through Thu evening.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic from coastal Senegal near
13N16W to 10N20W to 08N30W. The ITCZ starts at 08N30W and extends
to 08N58W. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is
noted from 09N-13N east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms persist over the Straits of
Florida, associated with an upper low over the southeast Gulf. The
gradient between high pressure over the western Atlantic and
troughing over Florida is supporting fresh E winds and 5-7 ft seas
across the northeast Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds
persist elsewhere, except for SE winds over the far northwest
Gulf.
For the forecast, a cold front will reach along the Texas coast
late Tue afternoon, and move out over the NW Gulf Tue night
through Wed, followed briefly by moderate to fresh northwest to
north winds. The front will then weaken and dissipate Wed night.
Another cold front is expected to slowly move into the NW Gulf
waters Fri through Sat night, followed by moderate to fresh
northeast winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An upper trough over the northwest Caribbean is supporting
scattered showers and thunderstorms between 75W and 83W. High
pressure over the western Atlantic is supporting moderate E winds
and 3-5 ft seas across the eastern Caribbean, except for fresh
winds off northeast Caribbean. Gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas are
noted over the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
across the central and eastern Caribbean will persist through
Tue. The pressure gradient across the region will then relax Tue
night through Sat as broad low pressure forms along the trough to
the SW of Bermuda and shifts east-northeastward throughout the
week, leading to overall weaker winds and diminishing seas across
the Caribbean basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N37W to 26N50W to 25N65W, where
that transitions to a shear line to 24N80W. Fresh to strong NE to
E winds and 8-11 ft seas continue north of the front and
shearline. Over the deep tropics, a few thunderstorms are active
along a trough extending along 48W from 14N to 20N. Farther east,
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are active south
of the Canary Islands. Gentle to moderate winds and 5-7 ft persist
elsewhere across the North Atlantic south of 31N.
For the forecast west of 55W, a lingering frontal trough meanders
from near 26N55W westward and through the central Bahamas along
25N. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. is building
eastward across the Atlantic waters north of the trough. The
resulting pressure gradient will maintain widespread fresh to
strong northeast to east winds and rough seas to 11 ft north of
the trough and west of 60W through Tue. Broad low pressure is
expected to develop along the trough, southwest of Bermuda,
roughly from 27N to 28N, Tue night through Wed, and track slowly
east-northeastward throughout the rest of the week. A broad zone
of strong to gale-force winds, and rough to very rough seas,
peaking to around 16 ft, will develop north of the low pressure
and expand eastward Wed through Fri, impacting the waters mainly
north of about 27N. The gale-force winds are likely north of 29N
from Wed afternoon through Thu evening. A weakening cold front
will slowly move across the waters between Florida and 75W Fri and
Fri night, dissipating Sat and Sat night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 04 Nov 2026 17:08:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 03 Nov 2026 05:19:59 GMT - Tue, 03 Nov 2026 05:08:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
209
ABNT20 KNHC 030508
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Tue Nov 3 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western Atlantic:
An area of low pressure is expected to form along a weakening
frontal boundary a few hundred miles northeast of the Bahamas in a
day or so. This system could acquire some subtropical
characteristics late this week while it drifts over the western
Atlantic. The chances of subtropical development should end by the
weekend when the system is expected to move eastward or
northeastward into unfavorable environmental conditions.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 02 Nov 2026 16:20:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021620
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1120 AM EST MON 02 NOVEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z NOVEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-155
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf