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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:38:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 261638
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Oct 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between a 1031 mb high
pressure system over the eastern United States and a stationary
front extending from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas supports a
large area of strong winds, with frequent gusts to gale force,
across much of the waters N of 27N and W of the front. Rough to
very rough seas in N to NE swell follow the front. The portion of
the front east of 70W is expected to begin to drift southeastward
Tue through Wed night as a cold front before becoming stationary
again late this week. The aforementioned ridge will shift slowly
eastward into the north Atlantic during this time. The frequent
gusts to gale-force will diminish tonight, however, fresh to strong
winds and rough to very rough seas in NE swell to the north of
the front will persist through the period. Mariners are urged to
remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and take the
necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas. Please, see
the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: Deep-layer troughing
extending southward through the Bahamas into the NW Caribbean
combined with abundant tropical moisture will support periods of
heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, the southern
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands into midweek. The trough
will gradually shift N and E early this week, while weakening.
Very heavy rainfall will bring a potential for dangerous and life-
threatening flash flooding, particularly over portion of eastern
Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic. Please refer to your
local weather services and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.5N17W and extends
southwestward to 07.5N25W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N25W to
07N41W, and then from 09N50W to 10N60W. A surface trough is
analyzed from 14N44W to 06N45W. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 04N to 10N and between 22W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A tight pressure gradient between a 1031 mb high pressure system
over the eastern United States and a stationary front extending
into the Bahamas supports fresh to strong NE-E winds and rough
seas over the E Gulf waters, including the Florida Straits.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a 1031 mb
high pressure system over the eastern United States and a
stationary front extending from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas
supports fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas over the E
Gulf waters, including the Florida Straits. This weather pattern
will persist into midweek, followed by diminishing winds and seas
into next weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
moderate seas will prevail during much of the workweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Special Features section above for information on heavy
rainfall over eastern Cuba and Hispaniola.
An upper-level low spinning over central Cuba combined with
abundant tropical moisture supports a band of shower with embedded
thunderstorms across the central Caribbean and Hispaniola,
including also the Windward Passage. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring east of 72W.
Moderate to locally fresh NW to N winds are also occurring over
the Gulf of Honduras along with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the upper-level low will drift eastward through
mid- week keeping the chance of showers and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean and Hispaniola. Meanwhile, the surface
trough over the central Caribbean will drift westward over the
next few days. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. will
continue to build southward across Florida and the Gulf of America
through midweek, leading to moderate to fresh N winds and
moderate seas across the western Caribbean W of the trough through
late Tue. Expect rough seas in large north swell across the
Yucatan Channel through early Tue. Otherwise, moderate to fresh E
to SE winds in the E Caribbean will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds by tonight.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the Turks and Caicos Islands and
Hispaniola.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring
between 64W and 78.5W in association with the stationary front
and surface troughs described in the Special Features section.
South of the front, moderate to fresh SE to S winds and rough to
very rough seas are occurring and extend eastward to 60W. Farther
east, a cold front stretches across the central Atlantic and
moderate easterly winds and rough seas are noted north of 29N and
betwen 38W and 53W. The remainder of the basin is under a broad
subtropical ridge that supports moderate to locally fresh easterly
trades winds south of 25N and seas of 5-8 ft. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between a
1031 mb high pressure system over the eastern United States and a
stationary front extending from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas
supports a large area of strong winds, with frequent gusts to gale
force, across much of the waters N of 27N and W of the front.
Rough to very rough seas in N to NE swell follow the front. The
portion of the front east of 70W is expected to begin to drift
southeastward Tue through Wed night as a cold front before
becoming stationary again late this week. The aforementioned ridge
will shift slowly eastward into the north Atlantic during this
time. The frequent gusts to gale-force will diminish tonight,
however, fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE
swell to the north of the front will persist through the period.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions and take the necessary precautions to avoid these
affected areas.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 16:38:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 261638
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Oct 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between a 1031 mb high
pressure system over the eastern United States and a stationary
front extending from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas supports a
large area of strong winds, with frequent gusts to gale force,
across much of the waters N of 27N and W of the front. Rough to
very rough seas in N to NE swell follow the front. The portion of
the front east of 70W is expected to begin to drift southeastward
Tue through Wed night as a cold front before becoming stationary
again late this week. The aforementioned ridge will shift slowly
eastward into the north Atlantic during this time. The frequent
gusts to gale-force will diminish tonight, however, fresh to strong
winds and rough to very rough seas in NE swell to the north of
the front will persist through the period. Mariners are urged to
remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and take the
necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas. Please, see
the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Heavy Rainfall in the Northern Caribbean: Deep-layer troughing
extending southward through the Bahamas into the NW Caribbean
combined with abundant tropical moisture will support periods of
heavy rainfall over eastern Cuba, Hispaniola, the southern
Bahamas, and the Turks and Caicos Islands into midweek. The trough
will gradually shift N and E early this week, while weakening.
Very heavy rainfall will bring a potential for dangerous and life-
threatening flash flooding, particularly over portion of eastern
Cuba, Haiti, and the Dominican Republic. Please refer to your
local weather services and the International Desk at the Weather
Prediction Center for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.5N17W and extends
southwestward to 07.5N25W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N25W to
07N41W, and then from 09N50W to 10N60W. A surface trough is
analyzed from 14N44W to 06N45W. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 04N to 10N and between 22W and 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A tight pressure gradient between a 1031 mb high pressure system
over the eastern United States and a stationary front extending
into the Bahamas supports fresh to strong NE-E winds and rough
seas over the E Gulf waters, including the Florida Straits.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a 1031 mb
high pressure system over the eastern United States and a
stationary front extending from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas
supports fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas over the E
Gulf waters, including the Florida Straits. This weather pattern
will persist into midweek, followed by diminishing winds and seas
into next weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
moderate seas will prevail during much of the workweek.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Special Features section above for information on heavy
rainfall over eastern Cuba and Hispaniola.
An upper-level low spinning over central Cuba combined with
abundant tropical moisture supports a band of shower with embedded
thunderstorms across the central Caribbean and Hispaniola,
including also the Windward Passage. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring east of 72W.
Moderate to locally fresh NW to N winds are also occurring over
the Gulf of Honduras along with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the upper-level low will drift eastward through
mid- week keeping the chance of showers and thunderstorms over
the central Caribbean and Hispaniola. Meanwhile, the surface
trough over the central Caribbean will drift westward over the
next few days. Strong high pressure across the eastern U.S. will
continue to build southward across Florida and the Gulf of America
through midweek, leading to moderate to fresh N winds and
moderate seas across the western Caribbean W of the trough through
late Tue. Expect rough seas in large north swell across the
Yucatan Channel through early Tue. Otherwise, moderate to fresh E
to SE winds in the E Caribbean will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds by tonight.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section above for information
about a Gale Warning over the western Atlantic, and on heavy
rainfall expected for the Turks and Caicos Islands and
Hispaniola.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are occurring
between 64W and 78.5W in association with the stationary front
and surface troughs described in the Special Features section.
South of the front, moderate to fresh SE to S winds and rough to
very rough seas are occurring and extend eastward to 60W. Farther
east, a cold front stretches across the central Atlantic and
moderate easterly winds and rough seas are noted north of 29N and
betwen 38W and 53W. The remainder of the basin is under a broad
subtropical ridge that supports moderate to locally fresh easterly
trades winds south of 25N and seas of 5-8 ft. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, a tight pressure gradient between a
1031 mb high pressure system over the eastern United States and a
stationary front extending from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas
supports a large area of strong winds, with frequent gusts to gale
force, across much of the waters N of 27N and W of the front.
Rough to very rough seas in N to NE swell follow the front. The
portion of the front east of 70W is expected to begin to drift
southeastward Tue through Wed night as a cold front before
becoming stationary again late this week. The aforementioned ridge
will shift slowly eastward into the north Atlantic during this
time. The frequent gusts to gale-force will diminish tonight,
however, fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE
swell to the north of the front will persist through the period.
Mariners are urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine
conditions and take the necessary precautions to avoid these
affected areas.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 28 Oct 2026 11:25:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 26 Oct 2026 23:26:18 GMT - Mon, 26 Oct 2026 23:25:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 262325
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Oct 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 26 Oct 2026 13:52:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
530
NOUS42 KNHC 261355
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT MON 26 OCTOBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-148
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf