2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

290 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

PLEASE SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 20 May 2026 10:03:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201003
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed May 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 15N,
    and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near the trough axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 06N19W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N19W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate convection
    is observed within 150 nm N of the ITCZ from 19W to 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Numerous moderate to isolated scattered moderate convection,
    generated from outflow boundaries associated with earlier
    thunderstorms over Texas, is impacting waters within 90 nm of the
    Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. This activity is bringing
    locally higher winds and seas. A cluster of thunderstorms is also
    along the coast near Tampico, Mexico. A 1028 mb high pressure
    system near Bermuda extends westward to the Gulf waters supporting
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas south of 25N and between
    88W and 94W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
    States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across the
    Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf, pulsing to
    strong tonight offshore the Yucatan Peninsula. Beginning Thu, the
    pressure gradient will relax and tranquil marine conditions should
    prevail through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the region dominates
    the Caribbean Sea. The tight pressure gradient between this ridge
    and lower pressures in the deep tropics result in strong trade
    winds in the central Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 7 to 10
    ft. Fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the
    Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    moderate seas are evident, except in the NW basin, where gentle
    winds and slight seas prevail. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted in the Windward Passage in associated with a trough N of the
    Turks and Caicos, and the East Pacific Monsoon Trough is
    generating scattered convection within 90 nm of the coast of
    Panama and Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
    strong trades over the S central Caribbean through the weekend,
    with rough seas continuing. Fresh trades will also pulse each
    evening over the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
    winds and seas will prevail

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An elongated deep layer low pressure extending from near 31N75W
    to N of the Turks and Caicos is generating scattered moderate
    convection from 22N to 28N between 73W and 80W. The subtropical
    ridge, centered near Bermuda, dominates most of the rest of the
    basin, although a weak cold front extends from 31N35W to 26N59W.
    No significant weather changes are associated with this front, but
    seas generated from higher winds to the north are impacting
    waters N of the front, causing seas of 7 to 9 ft N of 30N between
    35W and 45W. Elsewhere N of 22N, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail. To the S of 22N, moderate to
    fresh trades dominate with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a trough E of the Bahamas will
    continue to produce scattered thunderstorms into Thu. SE winds
    will pulse fresh to strong north of Hispaniola afternoons and
    evenings through the end of the week. Elsewhere, surface ridging
    north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
    quiescent through the weekend.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 20 May 2026 10:03:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201003
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed May 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 15N,
    and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near the trough axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 06N19W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N19W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate convection
    is observed within 150 nm N of the ITCZ from 19W to 35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Numerous moderate to isolated scattered moderate convection,
    generated from outflow boundaries associated with earlier
    thunderstorms over Texas, is impacting waters within 90 nm of the
    Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. This activity is bringing
    locally higher winds and seas. A cluster of thunderstorms is also
    along the coast near Tampico, Mexico. A 1028 mb high pressure
    system near Bermuda extends westward to the Gulf waters supporting
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas south of 25N and between
    88W and 94W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
    States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across the
    Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf, pulsing to
    strong tonight offshore the Yucatan Peninsula. Beginning Thu, the
    pressure gradient will relax and tranquil marine conditions should
    prevail through the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the region dominates
    the Caribbean Sea. The tight pressure gradient between this ridge
    and lower pressures in the deep tropics result in strong trade
    winds in the central Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 7 to 10
    ft. Fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the
    Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    moderate seas are evident, except in the NW basin, where gentle
    winds and slight seas prevail. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted in the Windward Passage in associated with a trough N of the
    Turks and Caicos, and the East Pacific Monsoon Trough is
    generating scattered convection within 90 nm of the coast of
    Panama and Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
    strong trades over the S central Caribbean through the weekend,
    with rough seas continuing. Fresh trades will also pulse each
    evening over the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
    winds and seas will prevail

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An elongated deep layer low pressure extending from near 31N75W
    to N of the Turks and Caicos is generating scattered moderate
    convection from 22N to 28N between 73W and 80W. The subtropical
    ridge, centered near Bermuda, dominates most of the rest of the
    basin, although a weak cold front extends from 31N35W to 26N59W.
    No significant weather changes are associated with this front, but
    seas generated from higher winds to the north are impacting
    waters N of the front, causing seas of 7 to 9 ft N of 30N between
    35W and 45W. Elsewhere N of 22N, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail. To the S of 22N, moderate to
    fresh trades dominate with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a trough E of the Bahamas will
    continue to produce scattered thunderstorms into Thu. SE winds
    will pulse fresh to strong north of Hispaniola afternoons and
    evenings through the end of the week. Elsewhere, surface ridging
    north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
    quiescent through the weekend.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 21 May 2026 17:02:03 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 20 May 2026 10:40:12 GMT
  • Wed, 20 May 2026 05:02:03 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 200501
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed May 20 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page