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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 09:30:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 120929
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Sep 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 38W, south of 25N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. The portions of the wave N of 18N is
shifting northwestward, forced by middle level southeasterly flow
behind it. Scattered moderate convection is from 21N to 25N near
this portion of the wave. Scattered moderate convection is also
about the southern portion of the wave, from 07N to 12N between
34W and 44W.
The tropical wave previously analyzed around 86W has moved into
the eastern Pacific, please read the Tropical Weather Discussion
(TWDEP) for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W, and continues to 10N22W to 14N33W to 10N43W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N45W to the coast of Venezuela near
10N61W. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is noted
from 08N to 12N between 46W and 62W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over northern Florida and lower pressures over
Mexico support moderate to locally fresh southerly winds and
moderate seas west of 94W and north of 23N. Moderate easterly
winds and seas of 2-4 ft are occurring in the Bay of Campeche.
ELsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the eastern
Gulf waters.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail over the NE Gulf waters
during the weekend. Winds will pulse to fresh speeds each night
off the W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal trough moving toward
the SW Gulf. By Tue night, a building ridge over the eastern
United States and a frontal trough will combine to increase winds
to fresh to locally strong speeds and build seas over the Gulf
waters N of 23N into late next week. Conditions will improve late
next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Weak high pressure is centered N of the basin, between the
Bahamas and Bermuda. The pressure gradient between the associated
ridge and the Colombian low supports fresh to near gale-force
easterly trade winds and rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean S of 18N. A buoy near 14N76W is showing seas to 10 ft.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in
the eastern Caribbean, while moderate winds and seas are prevalent
elsewhere.
An upper-level trough over the NW Caribbean is producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Fair weather prevails across
the area E of 78W.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the islands and lower pressures associated with
the Colombian Low will continue to support strong to locally
near-gale easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough
seas over the central Caribbean for the next several days. Gusts
to gale force may occur tonight off Colombia. Meanwhile, moderate
to fresh easterly breezes are expected over the next few days in
the eastern Caribbean. Winds will pulse to strong speeds in the
Gulf of Honduras this evening through Mon morning. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level trough in the SW N Atlantic is producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms over a good portion of the
basin, especially between Bermuda and the Bahamas. At the surface,
a weak high pressure dominates forcing moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas west of 55W.
A broad high pressure centered off Portugal supports moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds between the Lesser Antilles and 35W.
Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate seas are noted east of
35W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is noted between Bermuda and the Bahamas
associated with an upper- level trough. At the surface, the
subtropical ridge will dominate the SW N Atlantic waters over the
next several days. Trades north of Hispaniola into the Windward
Passage will be fresh to locally strong through early next week.
Looking ahead, a building ridge over the eastern United States and
a frontal trough will combine to increase winds to fresh to
locally strong speeds and build seas to rough north of the Bahamas
and W of 70W starting Tue and continuing into Thu. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 09:30:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 120929
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Sep 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0925 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 38W, south of 25N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. The portions of the wave N of 18N is
shifting northwestward, forced by middle level southeasterly flow
behind it. Scattered moderate convection is from 21N to 25N near
this portion of the wave. Scattered moderate convection is also
about the southern portion of the wave, from 07N to 12N between
34W and 44W.
The tropical wave previously analyzed around 86W has moved into
the eastern Pacific, please read the Tropical Weather Discussion
(TWDEP) for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W, and continues to 10N22W to 14N33W to 10N43W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N45W to the coast of Venezuela near
10N61W. Numerous moderate to scattered strong convection is noted
from 08N to 12N between 46W and 62W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over northern Florida and lower pressures over
Mexico support moderate to locally fresh southerly winds and
moderate seas west of 94W and north of 23N. Moderate easterly
winds and seas of 2-4 ft are occurring in the Bay of Campeche.
ELsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the eastern
Gulf waters.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail over the NE Gulf waters
during the weekend. Winds will pulse to fresh speeds each night
off the W Yucatan peninsula due to a diurnal trough moving toward
the SW Gulf. By Tue night, a building ridge over the eastern
United States and a frontal trough will combine to increase winds
to fresh to locally strong speeds and build seas over the Gulf
waters N of 23N into late next week. Conditions will improve late
next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Weak high pressure is centered N of the basin, between the
Bahamas and Bermuda. The pressure gradient between the associated
ridge and the Colombian low supports fresh to near gale-force
easterly trade winds and rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean S of 18N. A buoy near 14N76W is showing seas to 10 ft.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in
the eastern Caribbean, while moderate winds and seas are prevalent
elsewhere.
An upper-level trough over the NW Caribbean is producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms. Fair weather prevails across
the area E of 78W.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical
ridge north of the islands and lower pressures associated with
the Colombian Low will continue to support strong to locally
near-gale easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough
seas over the central Caribbean for the next several days. Gusts
to gale force may occur tonight off Colombia. Meanwhile, moderate
to fresh easterly breezes are expected over the next few days in
the eastern Caribbean. Winds will pulse to strong speeds in the
Gulf of Honduras this evening through Mon morning. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level trough in the SW N Atlantic is producing scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms over a good portion of the
basin, especially between Bermuda and the Bahamas. At the surface,
a weak high pressure dominates forcing moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas west of 55W.
A broad high pressure centered off Portugal supports moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds between the Lesser Antilles and 35W.
Moderate to fresh NE winds and moderate seas are noted east of
35W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is noted between Bermuda and the Bahamas
associated with an upper- level trough. At the surface, the
subtropical ridge will dominate the SW N Atlantic waters over the
next several days. Trades north of Hispaniola into the Windward
Passage will be fresh to locally strong through early next week.
Looking ahead, a building ridge over the eastern United States and
a frontal trough will combine to increase winds to fresh to
locally strong speeds and build seas to rough north of the Bahamas
and W of 70W starting Tue and continuing into Thu. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 13 Sep 2026 23:27:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 12 Sep 2026 15:00:05 GMT - Sat, 12 Sep 2026 11:27:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121127
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Sep 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 12 Sep 2026 13:46:31 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121346
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SAT 12 SEPTEMBER 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-104
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf