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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 09:14:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 270914
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Oct 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0905 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge over
    the eastern United States and a stationary front extending from
    31N62W to a 1009 mb low pres system over the NW Bahamas is supporting
    a large area of strong to gale-force NE winds and rough to very
    rough seas across the waters north of the front and west of the
    low. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    north of the frontal boundary and also east of 67W south of the
    front. Periods of heavy rainfall may affect E Cuba, Hispaniola and
    the Bahamas during the next few days, resulting in localized
    flooding.

    Strong high pressure will remain over the eastern United States in
    the next few days. Gale-force winds will diminish by tonight;
    however, fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE
    swell will persist to the north of the front through the workweek
    and into the upcoming weekend, gradually diminishing. Mariners are
    urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and take
    the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas. Please, see
    the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at website https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for
    further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues to 08N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N20W to 07N40W and to 07N57W. A few showers are
    noted within 120 nm on both sides of these boundaries.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure north of the area supports fresh to strong NE-E
    winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the E Gulf waters, including the
    Florida Straits and Yucatan channel. Moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient will force fresh to
    strong NE to E winds and rough seas over the E Gulf during the
    next few days. Winds and seas will gradually diminish late this
    week into the weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas will prevail through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Special Features section above for information on heavy
    rainfall over Hispaniola.

    A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are found in the N and NE
    Caribbean associated with a complex weather system over the
    Bahamas. A surface trough extends across E Cuba and the central
    Caribbean and a moderate pressure gradient sustains moderate to
    locally fresh northerly winds and seas of 3-6 ft W of 80W.
    However, due to stronger winds in the E Gulf of America, seas to 8
    ft are occurring in the Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere, mainly
    moderate easterly trade winds and moderate seas are found in the E
    Caribbean, while light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail
    between 70W and 80W.

    For the forecast, the surface trough will drift westward over the
    next few days, and moderate to fresh northerly winds will persist
    ahead of the boundary. Seas up to 8 ft in N to NE swell will
    continue to propagate through the Yucatan Channel into this
    afternoon. Winds and seas will diminish in the W Caribbean Wed.
    Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade winds in the E
    Caribbean will continue over the next few days, gradually
    extending westward this week and into the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on the Gale
    Warning in effect for the SW North Atlantic and heavy rainfall
    affecting the Bahamas.

    South of the stationary front that extends from SE of Bermuda to
    the Bahamas, moderate to fresh southerly winds and rough to very rough
    seas are occurring west of 65W. Farther east, a stationary front
    extends from 31N30W to 29N40W to 31N49W. Rough seas are found
    behind this boundary. The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under
    the influence of a broad subtropical ridge centered near the
    Azores. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8
    ft are found south of 22N. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the portion of the front east of
    62W is expected to move southeastward as a cold front through Thu
    while a stationary front will persist over the waters N of 27N and
    W of 62W. A high pressure center will remain over the SE of the
    United States during this time. Gale-force winds will diminish by
    tonight; however, fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough
    seas in NE swell will persist to the north of the front through
    the forecast period, gradually diminishing.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 09:14:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 270914
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Oct 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0905 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between a strong ridge over
    the eastern United States and a stationary front extending from
    31N62W to a 1009 mb low pres system over the NW Bahamas is supporting
    a large area of strong to gale-force NE winds and rough to very
    rough seas across the waters north of the front and west of the
    low. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    north of the frontal boundary and also east of 67W south of the
    front. Periods of heavy rainfall may affect E Cuba, Hispaniola and
    the Bahamas during the next few days, resulting in localized
    flooding.

    Strong high pressure will remain over the eastern United States in
    the next few days. Gale-force winds will diminish by tonight;
    however, fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough seas in NE
    swell will persist to the north of the front through the workweek
    and into the upcoming weekend, gradually diminishing. Mariners are
    urged to remain alert to these dangerous marine conditions and take
    the necessary precautions to avoid these affected areas. Please, see
    the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at website https:www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for
    further details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues to 08N20W. The ITCZ
    extends from 08N20W to 07N40W and to 07N57W. A few showers are
    noted within 120 nm on both sides of these boundaries.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure north of the area supports fresh to strong NE-E
    winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the E Gulf waters, including the
    Florida Straits and Yucatan channel. Moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient will force fresh to
    strong NE to E winds and rough seas over the E Gulf during the
    next few days. Winds and seas will gradually diminish late this
    week into the weekend. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas will prevail through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Special Features section above for information on heavy
    rainfall over Hispaniola.

    A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are found in the N and NE
    Caribbean associated with a complex weather system over the
    Bahamas. A surface trough extends across E Cuba and the central
    Caribbean and a moderate pressure gradient sustains moderate to
    locally fresh northerly winds and seas of 3-6 ft W of 80W.
    However, due to stronger winds in the E Gulf of America, seas to 8
    ft are occurring in the Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere, mainly
    moderate easterly trade winds and moderate seas are found in the E
    Caribbean, while light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail
    between 70W and 80W.

    For the forecast, the surface trough will drift westward over the
    next few days, and moderate to fresh northerly winds will persist
    ahead of the boundary. Seas up to 8 ft in N to NE swell will
    continue to propagate through the Yucatan Channel into this
    afternoon. Winds and seas will diminish in the W Caribbean Wed.
    Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade winds in the E
    Caribbean will continue over the next few days, gradually
    extending westward this week and into the upcoming weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on the Gale
    Warning in effect for the SW North Atlantic and heavy rainfall
    affecting the Bahamas.

    South of the stationary front that extends from SE of Bermuda to
    the Bahamas, moderate to fresh southerly winds and rough to very rough
    seas are occurring west of 65W. Farther east, a stationary front
    extends from 31N30W to 29N40W to 31N49W. Rough seas are found
    behind this boundary. The rest of the tropical Atlantic is under
    the influence of a broad subtropical ridge centered near the
    Azores. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8
    ft are found south of 22N. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the portion of the front east of
    62W is expected to move southeastward as a cold front through Thu
    while a stationary front will persist over the waters N of 27N and
    W of 62W. A high pressure center will remain over the SE of the
    United States during this time. Gale-force winds will diminish by
    tonight; however, fresh to strong winds and rough to very rough
    seas in NE swell will persist to the north of the front through
    the forecast period, gradually diminishing.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 28 Oct 2026 23:22:25 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 27 Oct 2026 12:44:56 GMT
  • Tue, 27 Oct 2026 11:22:25 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 271122
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Oct 27 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 26 Oct 2026 13:52:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    530
    NOUS42 KNHC 261355
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0955 AM EDT MON 26 OCTOBER 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z OCTOBER 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-148

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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