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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 22 May 2026 03:58:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
148
AXNT20 KNHC 220357
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic is analyzed along 38W, south of 10N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is present near
the trough axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 76W, south of
15N, moving westward near 10 kt. The southern portion of the wave
is enhancing the storm activity over Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 04N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N24W to 01N37W and then from 01N40W to
01N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed south of 07N and east of 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered east of Bermuda extends into
the Gulf waters, supporting fresh to strong NE-E winds and seas
of 2-4 ft in the eastern Bay of Campeche and the Florida Straits.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the
eastern Gulf and off the coasts of Tamaulipas and Veracruz.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little during the
forecast period. The pressure gradient between it and relatively
lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend, with the exception of fresh to
strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and
into the night time hours due to local effects associated with a
thermal trough.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An extensive ridge located north of the islands continues to
sustain fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft in
the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate
to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the
eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting portions of Cuba,
Hispaniola and nearby waters. In the remainder of the basin,
pockets of low-level moisture generate light, fast-moving showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South America
will support fresh to strong trades over the south-central portion
of the Caribbean into early next week. These trades will continue
to bring rough seas to that portion of the basin. Fresh to strong
trades will also pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras.
Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere through the forecast
period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft results in a few showers between the Bahamas and
Bermuda. The subtropical ridge centered east of Bermuda forces
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas over
much of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W. A recent scatterometer
satellite pass show that winds are pulsing to strong force off
northern Hispaniola..
A dissipating stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near
31N25W and continues southwestward to 24N45W to 24N58W. The rest
of the central and eastern Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge anchored by the eastern extension of the 1026
mb high pressure east of Bermuda. A moderate pressure gradient
between the aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in western
Africa results in moderate to fresh to locally strong northerly
winds from 12N to 24N and east of 27W. Seas are 5-8 ft in these
waters. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
noted south of 23N and west of 27W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large mid to upper-level low
located ENE of the Bahamas will continue to produce scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms mainly W of 70W. Some of this
activity may contain strong gusty winds and locally heavy rain
reducing visibility. The low is forecast to lift N of the area by
early on Fri evening. East winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds
north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and evenings going into
early next week. Otherwise, high pressure centered just north of
the area will maintain rather quite marine conditions through the
period.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 22 May 2026 03:58:18 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
148
AXNT20 KNHC 220357
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic is analyzed along 38W, south of 10N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is present near
the trough axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 76W, south of
15N, moving westward near 10 kt. The southern portion of the wave
is enhancing the storm activity over Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 04N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 04N24W to 01N37W and then from 01N40W to
01N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
observed south of 07N and east of 35W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered east of Bermuda extends into
the Gulf waters, supporting fresh to strong NE-E winds and seas
of 2-4 ft in the eastern Bay of Campeche and the Florida Straits.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the
eastern Gulf and off the coasts of Tamaulipas and Veracruz.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little during the
forecast period. The pressure gradient between it and relatively
lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend, with the exception of fresh to
strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and
into the night time hours due to local effects associated with a
thermal trough.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
An extensive ridge located north of the islands continues to
sustain fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft in
the central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Moderate
to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the
eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting portions of Cuba,
Hispaniola and nearby waters. In the remainder of the basin,
pockets of low-level moisture generate light, fast-moving showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South America
will support fresh to strong trades over the south-central portion
of the Caribbean into early next week. These trades will continue
to bring rough seas to that portion of the basin. Fresh to strong
trades will also pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras.
Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere through the forecast
period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Divergence aloft results in a few showers between the Bahamas and
Bermuda. The subtropical ridge centered east of Bermuda forces
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas over
much of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W. A recent scatterometer
satellite pass show that winds are pulsing to strong force off
northern Hispaniola..
A dissipating stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near
31N25W and continues southwestward to 24N45W to 24N58W. The rest
of the central and eastern Atlantic is dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge anchored by the eastern extension of the 1026
mb high pressure east of Bermuda. A moderate pressure gradient
between the aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in western
Africa results in moderate to fresh to locally strong northerly
winds from 12N to 24N and east of 27W. Seas are 5-8 ft in these
waters. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
noted south of 23N and west of 27W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large mid to upper-level low
located ENE of the Bahamas will continue to produce scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms mainly W of 70W. Some of this
activity may contain strong gusty winds and locally heavy rain
reducing visibility. The low is forecast to lift N of the area by
early on Fri evening. East winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds
north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and evenings going into
early next week. Otherwise, high pressure centered just north of
the area will maintain rather quite marine conditions through the
period.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 23 May 2026 17:00:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 22 May 2026 07:13:48 GMT - Fri, 22 May 2026 05:00:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 220500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri May 22 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf