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Tracking Fernand – 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Tracking Fernand– 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory
  • Sun, 24 Aug 2025 08:34:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Fernand Advisory Number 3 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Fernand Advisory Number 3
    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 240834
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Fernand Advisory Number 3
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062025
    500 AM AST Sun Aug 24 2025

    ...FERNAND CONTINUING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD OVER THE OPEN ATLANTIC...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...29.7N 60.7W
    ABOUT 300 MI...485 KM SE OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1010 MB...29.83 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fernand was
    located near latitude 29.7 North, longitude 60.7 West. Fernand is
    moving toward the north-northeast near 15 mph (24 km/h) and this
    motion is expected to continue for the next day or two, followed
    by a turn to the northeast. On the forecast track, Fernand should
    move well east of Bermuda and across the open waters of the
    subtropical North Atlantic.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
    gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours. A
    weakening trend is expected by Tuesday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 105 miles (165 km)
    mainly to the southeast of the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1010 mb (29.83 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
NHC Forecast Advisory
  • Sun, 24 Aug 2025 08:33:46 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Fernand Forecast/Advisory ... - Atlantic Tropical Storm Fernand Forecast/Advisory Number 3
    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 240833
    TCMAT1

    TROPICAL STORM FERNAND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 3
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062025
    0900 UTC SUN AUG 24 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 60.7W AT 24/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 13 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1010 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
    34 KT....... 0NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS.... 0NE 105SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 29.7N 60.7W AT 24/0900Z
    AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.1N 61.0W

    FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 31.3N 60.1W
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT... 40NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 33.6N 59.1W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 35.7N 57.9W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 60NE 80SE 30SW 20NW.

    FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 38.2N 56.2W
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 20NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
    34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 20NW.

    FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 40.9N 53.6W
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 20NW.

    FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 44.3N 49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT... 50NE 80SE 40SW 0NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 29.7N 60.7W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BEVEN
NHC Discussion
  • Sun, 24 Aug 2025 08:34:45 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Fernand Discussion Number 3 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Fernand Discussion Number 3
    643
    WTNT41 KNHC 240834
    TCDAT1

    Tropical Storm Fernand Discussion Number 3
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062025
    500 AM AST Sun Aug 24 2025

    Convection associated with Fernand remains poorly organized this
    morning, with a cluster near and just west of the center and a very
    ragged outer band in the northern semicircle. The various
    subjective and objective satellite intensity estimates remain in
    the 35-40 kt range, and the initial intensity is held at 35 kt.

    The initial motion is 015/13 kt. As mentioned previously, Fernand
    is being steered around the western edge of the subtropical ridge,
    which will cause the storm to move north-northeastward during the
    next day or two. The system will then turn more northeastward and
    accelerate within the mid-latitude westerly flow between the ridge
    and an approaching trough. While the model guidance remains in good
    agreement with this scenario, the guidance envelop has shifted a
    little to the east since the previous advisory, Thus, the new
    forecast track is a little east of the previous track.

    Fernand should remain over warm sea surface temperatures and in
    a light shear environment for the next 36 h or so. However,
    mid-level dry air near the cyclone may slow the development. The
    intensity guidance has again trended downward, and the new forecast
    peak intensity of 50 kt is near the upper edge of the guidance.
    After 36 h, cooler water, increasing shear, and increased dry-air
    entrainment should cause weakening, and Fernand is now forecast to
    become post-tropical by 72 hr. The global models are in good
    agreement that the system should degenerate to a trough by 96 h,
    and the official forecast shows dissipation by that time.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 24/0900Z 29.7N 60.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
    12H 24/1800Z 31.3N 60.1W 40 KT 45 MPH
    24H 25/0600Z 33.6N 59.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
    36H 25/1800Z 35.7N 57.9W 50 KT 60 MPH
    48H 26/0600Z 38.2N 56.2W 50 KT 60 MPH
    60H 26/1800Z 40.9N 53.6W 45 KT 50 MPH
    72H 27/0600Z 44.3N 49.7W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    96H 28/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
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