2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Tracking Dexter – 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Tracking Dexter – 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory
  • Tue, 05 Aug 2025 08:41:16 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Dexter Advisory Number 6 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Dexter Advisory Number 6
    778
    WTNT34 KNHC 050841
    TCPAT4

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Dexter Advisory Number 6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042025
    500 AM AST Tue Aug 05 2025

    ...DEXTER A BIT WEAKER BUT FORECAST TO RE-INTENSIFY AS A
    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS...


    SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...37.3N 64.4W
    ABOUT 345 MI...555 KM N OF BERMUDA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Dexter was
    located near latitude 37.3 North, longitude 64.4 West. Dexter is
    moving toward the northeast near 12 mph (19 km/h), and a gradual
    turn toward the east-northeast is expected during the next few days.

    Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
    with higher gusts. Little change in strength is expected for
    the next day or so. Some re-strengthening is forecast in a couple
    of days as Dexter becomes an extratropical cyclone.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
NHC Forecast Advisory
  • Tue, 05 Aug 2025 08:40:54 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Dexter Forecast/Advisory N... - Atlantic Tropical Storm Dexter Forecast/Advisory Number 6
    678
    WTNT24 KNHC 050840
    TCMAT4

    TROPICAL STORM DEXTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042025
    0900 UTC TUE AUG 05 2025

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 64.4W AT 05/0900Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 10 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
    34 KT....... 70NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
    4 M SEAS.... 0NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 64.4W AT 05/0900Z
    AT 05/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.0N 64.9W

    FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 38.2N 62.9W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 70NE 100SE 0SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 39.2N 60.7W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 70NE 90SE 40SW 40NW.

    FORECAST VALID 06/1800Z 39.9N 57.6W
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 90SE 40SW 60NW.

    FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 40.6N 54.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...120NE 100SE 60SW 80NW.

    FORECAST VALID 07/1800Z 42.0N 50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...130NE 100SE 70SW 80NW.

    FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 43.5N 45.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...150NE 110SE 90SW 90NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 46.5N 35.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT... 90NE 110SE 110SW 90NW.

    OUTLOOK VALID 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.3N 64.4W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/1500Z

    $$
    FORECASTER BLAKE
NHC Discussion
  • Tue, 05 Aug 2025 08:42:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Dexter Discussion Number 6 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Dexter Discussion Number 6
    000
    WTNT44 KNHC 050842
    TCDAT4

    Tropical Storm Dexter Discussion Number 6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042025
    500 AM AST Tue Aug 05 2025

    Dexter appears to be weakening. The low-level circulation has
    become totally exposed this morning- a consequence of continued
    strong vertical wind shear. Satellite intensity estimates have
    fallen so the initial wind speed is reduced to 35 kt. Little
    change is expected for the next day or so as Dexter battles the
    shear. While normally the storm would just decay after the waters
    become cooler in a couple days, most models are now showing
    re-intensification due to a favorable trough interaction. This was
    first shown by the ECMWF yesterday, and now other models are on
    board. The short-term part of the forecast was lowered based on the
    initial wind speed, and little change was made to the longer-term
    intensities.

    The storm continues moving east-northeastward at about 10 kt. An
    east-northeast to northeast track is likely for the next couple of
    days due to mid-latitude westerly flow. The aforementioned trough
    interaction should cause a faster forward motion in a few days.
    The new forecast is similar to the previous one, mostly ignoring
    the slow GFS solution. Extratropical transition is expected
    between 36-48 h, and the low is forecast to decay into a trough in
    roughly 4-5 days.


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 05/0900Z 37.3N 64.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
    12H 05/1800Z 38.2N 62.9W 35 KT 40 MPH
    24H 06/0600Z 39.2N 60.7W 35 KT 40 MPH
    36H 06/1800Z 39.9N 57.6W 40 KT 45 MPH
    48H 07/0600Z 40.6N 54.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    60H 07/1800Z 42.0N 50.0W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    72H 08/0600Z 43.5N 45.5W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    96H 09/0600Z 46.5N 35.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    120H 10/0600Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
2 Day Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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