Skip to main content

2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Ana – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

290 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Follow On Facebook

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ Cash Back On Gas
Shop Store For Essentials2026 Hurricane Season Supplies

Ana – 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Share this page
NHC Important Links: NHC Discussion / NHC Public Advisory / NHC Forecast / Wind Probs / Storm Archive
Storm Tracking Important Links: FSU Track Probability / NOAA Tracker / Albany Tracker / Navy NRL Page / HFIP Products / TropicalAtlantic Tracker / NCAR Guidance Page / CyclonicWX Tracker Products / CIMSS Tracker / TropicalTidbits Tracker / UWM Tracker / SFWMD Models
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath Additional Projected Path Swath
Additional Projected Path Swath
Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Likely Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds
Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical Storm Force Winds Most Reasonable Arrival Time of Tropical-Storm-Force Winds
Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities Hurricane Force Wind Probabilities
Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities Tropical Storm Force Wind Probabilities
NOAA NESDIS Floaters Floater
Floater
Other Floaters:TropicalTidbits - WeatherNerds - GOES16
Surface Wind Field Surface Wind Field
Cumulative Wind History Cumulative Wind History
Windfield Windfield
Microwave Imagery Microwave Imagery
Past Track History Past Track History
Top Analog Tracks Top Analog Tracks
NRL Floater 29L
Additional RAMMB Sat - Model Data - Wind Products
Check Scheduled Recon Flight Plans HERE Storm Recon
Intensity Forecasts Intensity Forecasts
Model Tracks Model Tracks
Model Tracks
EURO Ensemble Tracks EURO/GFS Ensembles from WeatherNerds
Model Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks GFS / Canadian Ensemble Tracks
EPS Ensemble Tracks
NHC Public Advisory on Ana
  • Mon, 28 Sep 2026 14:39:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Fay Advisory Number 34 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Fay Advisory Number 34
    000
    WTNT31 KNHC 281439
    TCPAT1

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Depression Fay Advisory Number 34
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026
    300 PM GMT Mon Sep 28 2026

    ...FAY MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


    SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...27.1N 44.6W
    ABOUT 1265 MI...2040 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSW OR 210 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB...29.86 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Depression Fay was
    located near latitude 27.1 North, longitude 44.6 West. The
    depression is moving toward the south-southwest near 9 mph (15
    km/h). A turn to the southwest and then to the west-southwest, along
    with an increase in forward motion, is expected over the next couple
    of days.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or so, and
    Fay is forecast to become a post-tropical cyclone on Tuesday.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1011 mb (29.86 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
NHC Forecast Advisory on Ana
  • Mon, 28 Sep 2026 14:38:51 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Fay Forecast/Advisory... - Atlantic Tropical Depression Fay Forecast/Advisory Number 34
    000
    WTNT21 KNHC 281438
    TCMAT1

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 34
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062026
    1500 UTC MON SEP 28 2026

    TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 44.6W AT 28/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OR 210 DEGREES AT 8 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1011 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 44.6W AT 28/1500Z
    AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.4N 44.3W

    FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 26.0N 45.5W
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 24.6N 47.2W
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.4N 48.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 23.1N 50.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 44.6W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

    $$
    FORECASTER KELLY
NHC Discussion on Ana
  • Mon, 28 Sep 2026 14:39:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 34 - Atlantic Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 34
    000
    WTNT41 KNHC 281439
    TCDAT1

    Tropical Depression Fay Discussion Number 34
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL062026
    300 PM GMT Mon Sep 28 2026

    Fay continues to produce bursts of deep convection, mainly to the
    south of the low-level center. A recent ASCAT-B scatterometer pass
    indicated the highest reliable satellite-derived surface winds were
    around 25-30 kt, which is in good agreement with the TAFB subjective
    Dvorak intensity estimate of T2.0/30 kt. Although some of the
    UW-CIMSS objective intensity estimates are higher, the initial
    intensity is held at 30 kt, leaning toward the scatterometer data.

    The initial motion is estimated to be south-southwestward, or
    210/8 kt. Fay should continue to move south-southwestward to
    southwestward along the southern periphery of a subtropical ridge
    located over the central Atlantic. Track guidance is in fairly good
    agreement on this general motion, with the primary differences being
    in the along-track spread. The latest NHC track forecast is slightly
    faster than the previous advisory and lies near the HCCA
    corrected-consensus aid.

    Fay has maintained persistent convection near the low-level center
    within a favorable environment over warm sea surface temperatures,
    low vertical wind shear, and abundant mid-level moisture. It is
    possible Fay could regain tropical storm strength. However, this
    favorable environment is expected to be short-lived. Global models
    continue to show the system will struggle to produce deep convection
    in a day or so as it encounters a more stable air mass and
    convergence aloft. The latest NHC intensity forecast is similar to
    the previous one, showing the system dissipating late Tuesday and
    degenerating into a surface trough shortly thereafter.



    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 28/1500Z 27.1N 44.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
    12H 29/0000Z 26.0N 45.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
    24H 29/1200Z 24.6N 47.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
    36H 30/0000Z 23.4N 48.9W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    48H 30/1200Z 23.1N 50.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
    60H 01/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic
Share this page