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Tracking Cristobal – 2026 Atlantic Hurricane Season

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Tracking Cristobal - 2026 Hurricane Season

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NHC Public Advisory
  • Wed, 12 Aug 2026 14:49:55 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 1 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 1
    000
    WTNT33 KNHC 121449
    TCPAT3

    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Cristobal Advisory Number 1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032026
    300 PM GMT Wed Aug 12 2026

    ...TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL SUBTROPICAL
    ATLANTIC...


    SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...36.7N 43.0W
    ABOUT 880 MI...1420 KM W OF THE AZORES
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...E OR 90 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Cristobal was
    located near latitude 36.7 North, longitude 43.0 West. Cristobal is
    moving quickly toward the east near 25 mph (41 km/h). A turn toward
    the east-northeast and a slower forward motion is expected later
    today and tonight.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Slow weakening is forecast, and Cristobal is forecast to dissipate
    on Thursday.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    None.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 900 PM GMT.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
NHC Forecast Advisory
  • Wed, 12 Aug 2026 14:49:21 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast/Advisor... - Atlantic Tropical Storm Cristobal Forecast/Advisory Number 1
    000
    WTNT23 KNHC 121449
    TCMAT3

    TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032026
    1500 UTC WED AUG 12 2026

    TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 43.0W AT 12/1500Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR 90 DEGREES AT 22 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
    34 KT....... 0NE 80SE 0SW 0NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.7N 43.0W AT 12/1500Z
    AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.8N 43.9W

    FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 37.4N 40.2W
    MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
    34 KT... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.

    FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 38.5N 37.2W
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.7N 43.0W

    NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

    $$
    FORECASTER ADAMS/CANGIALOSI
NHC Discussion
  • Wed, 12 Aug 2026 14:51:24 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number 1 - Atlantic Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number 1
    000
    WTNT43 KNHC 121451
    TCDAT3

    Tropical Storm Cristobal Discussion Number 1
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032026
    300 PM GMT Wed Aug 12 2026

    The circulation associated with the area of low pressure we have
    been monitoring well east-northeast of Bermuda over the past several
    days has become better defined today. A recent ASCAT pass revealed
    an area of 35-40 kt winds southeast of the slightly elongated and
    exposed center, within the region of convection. While the
    convective organization has degraded since earlier this morning,
    scatterometer data indicate that the system has achieved tropical
    storm status, and it likely reached that threshold earlier this
    morning. Therefore, advisories are being initiated on Tropical Storm
    Cristobal, with the initial intensity set to 40 kt.

    Cristobal is moving quickly eastward around 22 kt over marginally
    favorable sea surface temperatures near 25 C. The storm is currently
    positioned between a subtropical high to the south, and a ridge
    extending over the north-central Atlantic to the northeast. A turn
    toward the northeast, accompanied by a gradual decrease in forward
    speed, is expected later today and tonight as Cristobal moves along
    the southwestern periphery of the northern Atlantic ridge. Slow
    weakening is forecast during this period as the storm moves over
    progressively cooler waters and encounters increasingly dry
    mid-level air and stronger northerly wind shear. Cristobal is
    expected to be short-lived and dissipate on Thursday. The official
    NHC track and intensity forecasts lie near the middle of the
    consensus guidance and are closest to the HCCA solution.

    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 12/1500Z 36.7N 43.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
    12H 13/0000Z 37.4N 40.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
    24H 13/1200Z 38.5N 37.2W 30 KT 35 MPH
    36H 14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
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