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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2021 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

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Hurricane Teddy – 2020 Hurricane Season

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Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Projected Path with Watches and Warnings
Additional Projected Path Swath
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NHC Public Advisory on Teddy
  • Sat, 18 Sep 2021 20:34:12 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Advisory Number 5 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Advisory Number 5

    000
    WTNT35 KNHC 182034
    TCPAT5

    BULLETIN
    Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Advisory Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152021
    500 PM AST Sat Sep 18 2021

    ...ODETTE BECOMES A POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE SOUTH OF NOVA SCOTIA...
    ...THIS IS THE LAST NHC ADVISORY...


    SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...39.1N 65.1W
    ABOUT 295 MI...475 KM ESE OF NANTUCKET MASSACHUSETTS
    ABOUT 385 MI...625 KM SSW OF HALIFAX NOVA SCOTIA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB...29.56 INCHES


    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.

    Please refer to products issued by the Canadian Hurricane Centre
    for Odette's potential impacts to Newfoundland as a post-tropical
    cyclone.


    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette
    was located near latitude 39.1 North, longitude 65.1 West. Odette
    is moving toward the east-northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this
    general motion with an increase in forward speed is expected
    through Sunday. A turn toward the east and east-southeast with a
    decrease in forward speed is expected on Monday and Tuesday. On
    the forecast track, the center of Odette will pass well south of
    Atlantic Canada tonight through Monday.

    Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
    Strengthening is forecast during the next day or two.

    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
    from the center.

    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1001 mb (29.56 inches).


    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    SURF: Swells generated by Odette are affecting portions of the
    United States Mid-Atlantic coast and are expected to spread
    northward to portions of the U.S. Northeast and Atlantic Canada
    coasts during the weekend. These swells are likely to cause
    life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult
    products from your local weather office.


    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
    Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
    found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
    Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
    online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

    $$
    Forecaster Berg

NHC Forecast Advisory on Teddy
  • Sat, 18 Sep 2021 20:34:12 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ODETTE Forecast/Adv... - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone ODETTE Forecast/Advisory Number 5 NWS NATIONAL Hurricane CENTER MIAMI FL AL152021 2100 UTC SAT SEP 18 2021 THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT. PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE FOR ODETTE'S Potential IMPACTS TO NEWFOUNDLAND AS A POST-TROPICAL Cyclone. POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 65.1W AT 18/2100Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT.......180NE 150SE 180SW 120NW. 12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 90SW 90NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 65.1W AT 18/2100Z AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 66.1W FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 40.5N 62.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 120NW. FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 41.9N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 50NE 30SE 50SW 60NW. 34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 150NW. FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 42.3N 54.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT. 50 KT... 40NE 0SE 40SW 50NW. 34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 210NW. FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 41.8N 51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT. 50 KT... 30NE 0SE 30SW 30NW. 34 KT...270NE 180SE 210SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.7N 48.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT. 34 KT...300NE 120SE 180SW 240NW. FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 40.0N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. 34 KT...270NE 60SE 150SW 270NW. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 41.4N 47.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 43.2N 48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 65.1W THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/Advisory ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC. $$ FORECASTER BERG

    000
    WTNT25 KNHC 182034
    TCMAT5

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ODETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL152021
    2100 UTC SAT SEP 18 2021

    THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

    PLEASE REFER TO PRODUCTS ISSUED BY THE CANADIAN HURRICANE CENTRE
    FOR ODETTE'S POTENTIAL IMPACTS TO NEWFOUNDLAND AS A POST-TROPICAL
    CYCLONE.

    POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 65.1W AT 18/2100Z
    POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

    PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST OR 60 DEGREES AT 16 KT

    ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
    MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT.
    34 KT.......180NE 150SE 180SW 120NW.
    12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 90SW 90NW.
    WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
    MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

    REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.1N 65.1W AT 18/2100Z
    AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.7N 66.1W

    FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 40.5N 62.1W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...180NE 210SE 180SW 120NW.

    FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 41.9N 58.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 50NE 30SE 50SW 60NW.
    34 KT...180NE 240SE 180SW 150NW.

    FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 42.3N 54.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
    50 KT... 40NE 0SE 40SW 50NW.
    34 KT...240NE 240SE 180SW 210NW.

    FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 41.8N 51.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
    50 KT... 30NE 0SE 30SW 30NW.
    34 KT...270NE 180SE 210SW 240NW.

    FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 40.7N 48.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
    34 KT...300NE 120SE 180SW 240NW.

    FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 40.0N 47.2W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
    34 KT...270NE 60SE 150SW 270NW.

    EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
    ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

    OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 41.4N 47.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

    OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 43.2N 48.8W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

    REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.1N 65.1W

    THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
    CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
    FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
    SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.


    $$
    FORECASTER BERG


NHC Discussion on Teddy
  • Sat, 18 Sep 2021 20:34:37 +0000: Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Discussion Number 5 - Atlantic Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Discussion Number 5

    221
    WTNT45 KNHC 182034
    TCDAT5

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette Discussion Number 5
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL152021
    500 PM AST Sat Sep 18 2021

    Odette appears to have completed extratropical transition, perhaps
    a little earlier than the global models want to admit. The cyclone
    has developed a frontal structure similar to that of a bent back
    occlusion, with cold-air stratocumulus clouds advecting eastward
    to the south of the center behind the trailing cold front. In
    addition, the remaining deep convection is closer to the system's
    triple point than multiple-swirled center of circulation. The
    initial intensity is highly uncertain since all three ASCAT
    instruments completely missed the area where the strongest winds
    were likely to have been occurring, and it is held at 40 kt based on
    continuity.

    The post-tropical cyclone has turned to the east-northeast and is
    moving a little faster--now with a motion of 060/16 kt. Additional
    acceleration is expected during the next 24 hours while Odette is
    embedded in the mid-latitude westerlies. After 24 hours, Odette is
    expected to detach from the prevailing flow, which will cause the
    cyclone to slow down and meander southeast of Newfoundland by days
    3 through 5. The track guidance has shifted slightly southward on
    this cycle, and the NHC forecast follows that trend and continues
    to hedge toward a consensus of the GFS and ECMWF models.

    Now that Odette is extratropical, global models indicate that
    baroclinic forcing should support strengthening and expanding of
    the gale-force wind field during the next couple of days. During
    this evolution, the strongest winds will also migrate to the
    northern and western side of the circulation. The frontal low is
    expected to occlude in about 3 days, coincident with the beginning
    of its meandering motion, and that occlusion process should cause a
    slow weakening of the winds through the end of the forecast period.
    One caveat is that some of the models have been hinting that the
    occluded low could redevelop deep convection near the center and
    transition to a tropical or subtropical cyclone, but there has not
    been enough consistency among the guidance to explicitly make that
    forecast. If the system's forecast track continues to shift
    southward toward warmer waters on days 3 through 5, that scenario
    could become a stronger possibility.

    Post-Tropical Cyclone Odette is forecast to affect portions
    of Newfoundland with strong winds and heavy rainfall Sunday and
    Monday. Please refer to products from the Canadian Hurricane
    Centre for additional information on potential impacts in
    Newfoundland.

    This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center
    on Odette. Additional information on this system can be found in
    High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
    AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
    ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php


    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

    INIT 18/2100Z 39.1N 65.1W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    12H 19/0600Z 40.5N 62.1W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    24H 19/1800Z 41.9N 58.0W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    36H 20/0600Z 42.3N 54.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    48H 20/1800Z 41.8N 51.3W 50 KT 60 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    60H 21/0600Z 40.7N 48.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    72H 21/1800Z 40.0N 47.2W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    96H 22/1800Z 41.4N 47.5W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
    120H 23/1800Z 43.2N 48.8W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

    $$
    Forecaster Berg


2 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
5 Day Tropical Weather OutlookAtlantic 5 Day GTWO graphic

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