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Track The Tropics has been the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7 since 2013! The main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2023 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th. A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes! Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows: Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less. Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph. Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.
Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS. Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.
  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.
Advisories:
  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.
Outlooks:
  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here
Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page! Here are your 2020 Hurricane Season Names: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine ,Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky and Wilfred!!!

TrackTheTropics Resource Links

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
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2023 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Page Navigation: Atlantic Tropical Outlook / Tropical Discussion / Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Recon Flight Plans / Marine Weather Discussion / Tropical Monthly Summary

2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic

7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 17:29:51 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 021729
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Jun 2 2023

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
    upgraded Tropical Storm Arlene, located over the eastern Gulf of
    Mexico.

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    &&

    Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Arlene are issued under WMO
    header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
    Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Arlene are issued under WMO
    header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi

Tropical Weather Discussion

  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 18:23:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion (corrected) - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic) (corrected)

    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 021823 CCA
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion...CORRECTION
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1805 UTC Fri Jun 2 2023

    Corrected to indicate that Tropical Depression Two has been
    upgraded to Tropical Storm Arlene

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    The center of Tropical Storm Arlene, at 02/1800 UTC, is near
    near 26.7N 86.2W. This position is about 425 km/230 nm to the
    west of Fort Myers in Florida, and it is about 550 km/297 nm to
    the NNW of the western tip of Cuba. The tropical storm is
    moving southward, or 175 degrees, 4 knots. The estimated minimum
    central pressure is 1002 mb. The maximum sustained wind speeds are
    35 knots with gusts to 45 knots. The sea heights that are close
    to the tropical storm are ranging from 6 feet to a maximum of
    10 feet. Precipitation: scattered to numerous moderate is within
    180 nm of the center in the NE quadrant. Isolated moderate is from
    25N to 27N between 80W and 84W, including in parts of south
    Florida. Broad surface low pressure extends from the area of the
    tropical storm, through the Yucatan Channel, into the NW part
    of the Caribbean Sea.

    Please, read the latest NHC Public Advisory at
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCPAT2.shtml, and the
    Forecast/Advisory at
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATCMAT2.shtml,for details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 32W/33W from 13N
    southward, moving W from 10 knots to 15 knots. Precipitation:
    widely scattered moderate to isolated strong is within 450 nm to
    the west of the tropical wave 04N to 09N. Isolated moderate to
    locally strong is within 530 nm to the east of the tropical wave
    from 04N to 10N.

    An Atlantic Ocean tropical wave is along 51W/52W, from 16N
    southward, moving westward 10 knots. Precipitation: Scattered
    moderate to strong is within 270 nm to the east of the tropical
    wave from 05N to 09N, and within 440 nm to the west of the
    tropical wave from 05N to 13N.

    A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 65W/66W, from Puerto Rico
    southward, moving W 10 knots. Precipitation: isolated moderate to
    locally strong is from 17N southward between 60W and 63W, covering
    the nearby eastern Caribbean Sea islands, from Guadeloupe
    southward.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Guinea
    along 10N, 08N22W. The ITCZ continues from 08N22W, 06N33W 06N40W
    05N49W. Precipitation: widely scattered moderate to isolated
    strong is from 02N to 10N from 21W eastward. Isolated moderate to
    locally strong is elsewhere from 15N southward from 60W eastward.

    GULF OF MEXICO...

    Please, read the Special Features section, for details about
    Tropical Storm Arlene.

    Moderate to locally fresh winds are from the Yucatan Peninsula
    westward. Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere from 90W
    westward. Light to gentle winds are in the SE Gulf. The sea
    heights range from 2 feet to 3 feet from 90W westward, and they
    range from 1 foot to 2 feet, elsewhere from 90W eastward, away
    from Tropical Storm Arlene.

    Some smoke and haze, and possible reductions to visibility, are
    in the southern parts of the Gulf of Mexico, from the NE Yucatan
    Peninsula southwestward, due to ongoing agricultural fires in
    southern Mexico and in northern Central America.

    Tropical Depression Two is near 26.7N 86.3W 1002 mb at 11 AM EDT
    moving S at 4 kt. Maximum sustained winds are 30 kt with gusts to
    40 kt. T.D. Two will move to 25.6N 86.2W this evening, 24.2N 85.8W
    Sat morning, become a remnant low and move to 23.2N 84.9W Sat
    evening, before dissipating Sun morning. Over the western Gulf,
    gentle to moderate winds are expected into early next week, with
    occasional fresh pulses along the W coast of Yucatan.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Mostly fresh SE winds are in the central one-third of the area.
    Moderate SE winds are in the eastern one-third of the area.
    Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere. The sea heights range from
    4 feet to 5 feet from 73W eastward, and they range from 2 feet to
    3 feet elsewhere.

    An upper level trough, and a surface trough, are in the NW corner
    of the Caribbean Sea. Comparatively drier air in subsidence
    accompanies the upper level trough.

    Precipitation: scattered moderate to widely scattered strong in
    clusters, is covering the areas that are from 11N to Cuba between
    between 70W and 82W. This area encompasses Hispaniola, the SE
    half of Cuba, Jamaica, and the surrounding waters. Isolated
    moderate is from 12N southward from 78W westward. The monsoon
    trough extends from La Peninsula de la Guajira of northern
    Colombia, to 13N80W, through the central sections of Nicaragua,
    into the Pacific Ocean.

    The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended
    at 02/1200 UTC, are: 1.59 in Montego Bay in Jamaica, 0.30 in
    Trinidad, 0.07 in Guadeloupe, and 0.01 in Kingston in Jamaica,
    according to the Pan American Temperature and Precipitation
    Tables, MIATPTPAN.

    A weak pressure pattern will maintain gentle to moderate trades
    across the Caribbean and the tropical N Atlantic through the end
    of week, with occasional fresh pulses along the N coast of
    Venezuela and Colombia. Winds over the central part of the basin
    will diminish early next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front is passing through 31N30W 27N43W, beyond 31N62W. The
    front connects eventually to a 1005 mb low pressure center that
    is near 31N67W. A surface trough extends from the 1005 mb low
    pressure center, to the NW Bahamas, and to 25N80W off the coast of
    SE Florida. Precipitation: broken to overcast multilayered
    clouds, and isolated moderate to locally strong, are from 20N
    northward from 20W westward. Fresh to strong cyclonic wind flow is
    within 210 nm of the 1005 mb low pressure center. Fresh to strong
    southerly winds are from 23N to 25N between 66W and 68W.

    Large-scale moderate anticyclonic wind flow is elsewhere from 20N
    northward from 60W westward. The sea heights range from 3 feet to
    5 feet from 20N northward from 60W westward. Large-scale gentle
    anticyclonic wind flow covers the Atlantic Ocean from 16N
    northward from 60W eastward. A 1016 mb high pressure center is
    near 22N35W.

    Fresh northerly winds are from 15N to 20N from 23W eastward.
    Fresh NE winds are from the ITCZ to 13N between 40W and 50W.
    Moderate NE winds cover the rest of the Atlantic Ocean. The sea
    heights range from 3 feet to 5 feet, elsewhere, from 60W eastward.
    The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended
    at 02/1200 UTC, are: 1.09 in Bermuda, according to the Pan
    American Temperature and Precipitation Tables, MIATPTPAN.

    A surface trough extends from the northern Bahamas northeastward
    to 1007 mb low pressure southwest of Bermuda near 30N68W. Fresh to
    strong winds are likely near and to the SE of the low as it
    shifts ENE through early next week, impacting zones mainly north
    of 25N and east of 65W. Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and
    building seas are expected over the waters off northeast Florida
    late this weekend through early Mon.

    $$
    MT/EC/SDR

Active Tropical Systems

  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 20:37:41 +0000: Tropical Storm Arlene Graphics - NHC Atlantic
    Tropical Storm Arlene 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
    5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 02 Jun 2023 20:37:41 GMT

    Tropical Storm Arlene 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
    Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 02 Jun 2023 21:23:10 GMT
  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 20:36:22 +0000: Tropical Storm Arlene Wind Speed Probabilities Number 6 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 2100 UTC FRI JUN 02 2023
    
    000
    FONT12 KNHC 022036
    PWSAT2
                                                                        
    TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6           
    NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022023               
    2100 UTC FRI JUN 02 2023                                            
                                                                        
    AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS LOCATED NEAR       
    LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
    WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                        
    Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
       ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
       CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                        
    WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                        
    CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
       ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
       ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
       ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
    FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
        OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
            AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
       (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
            18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                        
    PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
    X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
    THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
    PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
    64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                        
                                                                        
      - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                        
                   FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
      TIME       18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
    PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
                 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
                                                                        
    FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
    - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
    LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                        
    $$                                                                  
    FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               
    
  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 20:36:22 +0000: Tropical Storm Arlene Forecast Discussion Number 6 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023
    
    000
    WTNT42 KNHC 022036
    TCDAT2
     
    Tropical Storm Arlene Discussion Number   6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022023
    400 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023
    
    Arlene has changed little during the last few hours.  The low-level 
    center is still estimated to be near the southwest side of the main 
    area of deep convection.  The initial intensity remains 35 kt based 
    on the earlier Hurricane Hunter data and a Dvorak 2.5 classification 
    from TAFB.  The tropical-storm-force winds are confined to a 
    relatively small region of about 60 n mi to the north of the center 
    in the area of strongest thunderstorms.  Arlene is currently moving 
    to the south-southeast at about 5 kt and is being steered by a mid- 
    to upper-level trough that it is embedded within.  This overall 
    motion is expected to continue during the next day or two.
    
    Although Arlene has strengthened a little today, the models are in 
    good agreement that increasing vertical wind shear and notably 
    drier air are expected to affect the cyclone beginning tonight.  
    These conditions should cause a weakening trend, and Arlene is 
    expected to become a remnant low on Saturday and dissipate on 
    Sunday.
    
    The main hazard expected from Arlene is the potential for heavy rain 
    over portions of south and central Florida through Saturday.
    
     
    FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
     
    INIT  02/2100Z 26.4N  85.8W   35 KT  40 MPH
     12H  03/0600Z 25.3N  85.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
     24H  03/1800Z 24.0N  84.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     36H  04/0600Z 23.2N  83.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
     48H  04/1800Z...DISSIPATED
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
     
    
  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 20:35:54 +0000: Tropical Storm Arlene Public Advisory Number 6 - NHC Atlantic
    Issued at 400 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023
    
    000
    WTNT32 KNHC 022035
    TCPAT2
     
    BULLETIN
    Tropical Storm Arlene Advisory Number   6
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022023
    400 PM CDT Fri Jun 02 2023
     
    ...ARLENE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO...
     
     
    SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
    ----------------------------------------------
    LOCATION...26.4N 85.8W
    ABOUT 240 MI...390 KM W OF FT. MYERS FLORIDA
    ABOUT 315 MI...510 KM N OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA
    MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
    PRESENT MOVEMENT...SSE OR 165 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
    MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES
     
     
    WATCHES AND WARNINGS
    --------------------
    There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
     
     
    DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
    ----------------------
    At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Arlene was
    located near latitude 26.4 North, longitude 85.8 West. Arlene is
    moving toward the south-southeast near 7 mph (11 km/h).  A slightly 
    faster south-southeast motion is expected during the next day or 
    two. 
     
    Maximum sustained winds remain near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher 
    gusts. Arlene is expected to weaken by tonight, and it is forecast 
    to degenerate into a remnant low on Saturday.
     
    Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
    north of the center.
     
    The estimated minimum central pressure is 1002 mb (29.59 inches).
     
     
    HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
    ----------------------
    RAINFALL: Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with localized higher
    amounts up to 6 inches are possible through Saturday across portions
    of the central and southern Florida Peninsula. The heavy rainfall
    could lead to isolated flash, urban, and small stream flooding
    impacts.
     
     
    NEXT ADVISORY
    -------------
    Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
     
    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
     
    
  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 20:35:54 +0000: Summary for Tropical Storm Arlene (AT2/AL022023) - NHC Atlantic
    ...ARLENE MOVING SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO... As of 4:00 PM CDT Fri Jun 2 the center of Arlene was located near 26.4, -85.8 with movement SSE at 7 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1002 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans

  • Fri, 02 Jun 2023 14:38:50 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
     
     000
     NOUS42 KNHC 021438
     REPRPD
     WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
     CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
     1045 AM EDT FRI 02 JUNE 2023
     SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
              VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z JUNE 2023
              TCPOD NUMBER.....23-003
     
     I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
         1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
         2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
         3. REMARK:  THE 03/0530Z AND THE 03/1730Z FIX REQUIREMENTS FOR THE
            TEAL 73 AND TEAL 71 MISSIONS LEVIED IN TCPOD 23-002 FOR TROPICAL
            DEPRESSION TWO WERE CANCELED BY NHC AT 02/1355Z.
     
     II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
         1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
         2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
     
     $$
     SEF
     
     NNNN
     

Marine Weather Discussion

  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.

Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary

  • Thu, 01 Dec 2022 12:52:46 +0000: Atlantic - Atlantic

    000
    ABNT30 KNHC 011252
    TWSAT

    Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EST Thu Dec 1 2022

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone activity in the Atlantic basin during November was
    above average in terms of the number of named storms and
    hurricanes. Two hurricanes (Martin and Nicole) formed in the basin
    during November, and Lisa which developed in late October became a
    hurricane early in November. Based on a 30-year climatology
    (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November every one or two
    years. Although Martin did not affect land as a tropical cyclone,
    Nicole became a hurricane when it was affecting the northwestern
    Bahamas, and it became the first November hurricane to make landfall
    in Florida since Kate in 1985. Lisa also made landfall in Belize
    as a hurricane during the month of November.

    Overall, the 2022 Atlantic hurricane season featured near normal
    activity in terms of the number of named storms and hurricanes, but
    was slightly below average in terms of the number of major
    hurricanes. In 2022, fourteen named storms formed, of which eight
    became hurricanes, and two became major hurricanes - category 3 or
    higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to
    the long-term (1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes,
    and 3 major hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy
    (ACE), which measures the strength and duration of tropical storms
    and hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2022 was slightly
    below average. The ACE for 2022 is 80 percent of the long-term
    (1991-2020) mean.

    Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
    the National Hurricane Center website at
    www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2022&basin=atl

    Summary Table

    Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
    ---------------------------------------------------
    TS Alex 5-6 Jun 70*
    TS Bonnie 1-9 Jul 115
    TS Colin 1-2 Jul 40*
    H Danielle 1-8 Sep 90
    H Earl 3-10 Sep 105
    MH Fiona 14-24 Sep 130
    TS Gaston 20-26 Sep 65
    MH Ian 23-30 Sep 155
    TS Hermine 23-25 Sep 40
    TD Eleven 28-29 Sep 35
    TD Twelve 4-5 Oct 35
    H Julia 6-9 Oct 85
    TS Karl 11-15 Oct 60
    H Lisa 31 Oct-5 Nov 85
    H Martin 1-3 Nov 85
    H Nicole 7-11 Nov 75
    ---------------------------------------------------

    * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.

    $$
    Hurricane Specialist Unit

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