2024 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

• Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  
  000
  ABNT20 KNHC 302331
  TWOAT
  
  Tropical Weather Outlook
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
  
  This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
  the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
  Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
  off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
  conditions warrant.
  
  $$
  Forecaster Beven
  
  

• Fri, 17 Jan 2025 18:13:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  014 <br />AXNT20 KNHC 171813<br />TWDAT <br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1815 UTC Fri Jan 17 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />1800 UTC.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough passes through the coastal plains of Liberia<br />near 06N10W, to 01N20W and 01N27W. The ITCZ continues from 01N27W,<br />to 02N37W 03N43W 03N49W. Precipitation: scattered moderate to<br />strong is from 05N southward between 44W and 52W. Scattered<br />moderate to isolated strong is from 02N northward between 02W and<br />07W.<br /><br />...GULF OF MEXICO...<br /><br />A 1017 mb low pressure center is about 180 nm to the NNE of the NE<br />corner of the Yucatan Peninsula, and about 150 nm to the NNW of NW<br />Cuba, close to 24N86W. A stationary front extends to the Florida<br />Keys, and then toward the NW Bahamas. A cold front extends<br />southwestward, to the coastal waters of east central Belize.<br /><br />A 1022 mb high pressure center is in the SW corner of the Gulf,<br />close to 23N96W. A 1021 mb high pressure center is in southern<br />Mississippi. <br /><br />Fresh cyclonic winds are from 85W eastward. Fresh SE winds are<br />from 26N to 29N between 88W and 91W. Moderate or slower winds are<br />in the remainder of the Gulf of Mexico.<br /><br />Fresh to locally strong NE winds, surrounding a 1017 mb low in <br />the southeastern Gulf of Mexico, will diminish by this evening. <br />Moderate to locally fresh SE to SW winds look to develop this <br />evening and continue through Sat across the northern and western <br />Gulf as a warm front lifts northward, ahead of developing low <br />pressure in the south-central United States. A cold front <br />associated with the aforementioned low is expected to enter the <br />northwestern basin Sat night, and fresh N winds will follow the <br />front. Winds will increase to strong speeds on Sun as the pressure<br />gradient tightens between the front and building high pressure <br />over the central U.S. Near-gale force winds will be possible on <br />Sun over the southwestern Gulf offshore of Tampico and Veracruz. <br />Rough seas are expected to accompany the winds. Looking ahead, a <br />very strong cold front is slated to move into the northwestern <br />Gulf early next week, leading to strong to near gale force winds <br />across the basin. Winds may reach gale force in the far western <br />Gulf, offshore of Mexico. Rough to very rough seas are expected <br />with these winds. <br /> <br />...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br /><br />A NE-to-SW oriented shear line passes through 18N63W in the Saint<br />Barthelemy Channel, to 15N70W and 13N80W. Strong NE winds are from<br />the shear line northward between 67W and 75W, and from 13N <br />southward between 73W and 79W. Mostly fresh to some strong NE <br />winds are elsewhere from the Greater Antilles southward between <br />64W and the Windward Passage, and from 15N southward from 78W <br />westward. Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder of the <br />Caribbean Sea. Rough seas are from 13N southward between 73W and<br />79W. Moderate seas that range from 6 feet to 7 feet are from the<br />Greater Antilles southward between 64W and 80W. Slight seas are in<br />the remainder of the Caribbean Sea.<br /><br />The 24-hour rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended <br />at 17/1200 UTC, are: 0.20 in Trinidad; 0.03 in Curacao; and 0.01 <br />in St. Thomas in the Virgin Islands. This information is from the<br />Pan American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.<br /><br />Widespread moderate to fresh E to NE winds will prevail across <br />the southwestern, central and eastern Caribbean through this <br />weekend, with locally strong winds developing each night offshore <br />of Colombia and through the Atlantic Passages. Locally rough seas <br />are expected near strong winds. A long-period E swell will promote<br />rough seas through the Atlantic Passages later today through <br />early next week. Moderate to fresh SE to E winds will develop Sat <br />night in the northwestern Caribbean ahead of a cold front moving <br />southeastward through the Gulf of Mexico. Looking ahead, fresh to <br />strong E winds and building seas will occur over much of the basin<br />ahead of the aforementioned cold front approaching the <br />northwestern Caribbean. <br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />A first cold front passes through 31N39W 26N50W 22N60W. A<br />stationary front continues from 22N60W, to Haiti. A second cold<br />front is about 160 nm to the SSE of the first cold front, until<br />23N49W. A shear line continues from 23N49W, to the Saint<br />Barthelemy Channel. A surface trough is about 280 nm to the NNW of<br />the second cold front, between 50W and 71W. Strong or faster<br />cyclonic wind flow is from 28N northward between 54W and 72W.<br />Fresh cyclonic wind flow is in the remainder of the area that is<br />from 27N northward between 47W and 78W. Fresh SW winds are from<br />29N northward between 30W and the first cold front. The 24-hour <br />rainfall totals in inches, for the period that ended at 17/1200 <br />UTC, are: 0.32 in Bermuda. This information is from the Pan <br />American Temperature and Precipitation Tables/MIATPTPAN.<br /><br />Fresh to strong NE winds are from 12N to 25N from 25W eastward.<br />Mostly fresh to some strong NE winds are from 25N southward<br />between 25W and 60W. Moderate or slower winds are in the remainder<br />of the Atlantic Ocean.<br /><br />Rough seas are from 07N northward between 35W and 77W.<br />Moderate seas are in the remainder of the Atlantic Ocean.<br /><br />Rough to very rough seas, associated with a pair of cold fronts <br />in the central Atlantic, will expand farther east today, impacting<br />areas north of 20N and east of 65W. A long-period N swell <br />associated with complex low pressure systems north of the area <br />will reinforce rough seas north of 27N and east of 77W today, <br />before rough seas slowly subside in this area Sat morning. Fresh <br />to strong W to NW winds, associated with a cold front extending <br />from the aforementioned lows, will occur north of 28N and east of <br />75W today, with winds expanding farther east as the system treks <br />eastward. Elsewhere, south of 22N, moderate to fresh trade winds <br />will prevail through early next week, with winds pulsing to strong<br />speeds east of the Windward Islands at times. Fresh to locally <br />strong S winds and rough seas are expected to develop off the <br />coast of Florida and through the northern Bahamas tonight as low <br />pressure forms off the coast of the southeastern U.S., before the <br />low moves northeastward this weekend. Another cold front, slated <br />to move into the northwestern waters on Sun will promote fresh to <br />strong SW to NW winds and rough seas north of 27N. Looking ahead, <br />a very strong cold front is expected to move off the southeastern <br />U.S. coast early next week, followed by strong north winds and <br />building seas north of Cuba and west of 70W. <br /> <br />$$<br />mt/ea

• Fri, 17 Jan 2025 22:00:01 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
  The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

• Fri, 17 Jan 2025 15:35:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
  

  000<br />NOUS42 KNHC 171535<br />REPRPD<br />WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br />CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br />1035 AM EST FRI 17 JANUARY 2025<br />SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)<br />         VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z JANUARY 2025<br />         WSPOD NUMBER.....24-048<br /><br />I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br />    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br />    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /><br />II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS<br />    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br />    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /><br />$$<br />AOM/WJM<br /><br />NNNN

• Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
  
  000
  AGXX40 KNHC 171522
  MIMATS
  
  Marine Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
  
  Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
  and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
  and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
  
  This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
  Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
  Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
  the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
  week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
  basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
  Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
  Plains.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  
  A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
  diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
  will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
  pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
  
  ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  
  A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
  will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
  drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
  pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
  an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
  with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
  
  $$
  
  .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
  coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
  telephone:
  
  .GULF OF MEXICO...
  None.
  
  .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  None.
  
  .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  None.
  
  $$
  
  *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
  
  Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
  Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
  
  For additional information, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
  
  $$
  
  .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
  

• Sun, 01 Dec 2024 03:00:40 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
  000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 010300<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1000 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br /><br />For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br /><br />Tropical cyclone activity this November was above average in terms <br />of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes in <br />the Atlantic basin. Three named storms formed during the month, <br />including one (Rafael) that became a major hurricane. Based on a <br />30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November <br />once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years.<br /><br />Rafael strengthened into a hurricane while passing near Jamaica and <br />the Cayman Islands before making landfall in western Cuba as a <br />category 3 hurricane. Elsewhere, Patty brought tropical storm <br />conditions to portions of the Azores. Sara meandered near the coast <br />of Honduras before making landfall as a tropical storm in Belize.<br /><br />Overall, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal <br />activity in terms of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and <br />major hurricanes. In 2024, there were 18 named storms that formed in <br />the Atlantic basin, of which 11 became hurricanes and 5 strengthened <br />into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson <br />Hurricane Wind Scale). These numbers are greater than the long-term <br />(1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major <br />hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which <br />measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and <br />hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2024 was about 34 percent above <br />the long-term (1991-2020) average.<br /><br />Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the <br />National Hurricane Center website at<br />www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2024&basin=atl<br /><br />Summary Table<br /><br />Name Dates Max Wind (mph)<br />------------------------------------------------------------------<br />TS Alberto 19-20 Jun 50*<br />MH Beryl 28 Jun-9 Jul 165<br />TS Chris 30 Jun-1 Jul 45*<br />H Debby 3-9 Aug 80<br />H Ernesto 12-20 Aug 100<br />H Francine 9-12 Sep 100<br />TS Gordon 11-17 Sep 45<br />MH Helene 24-27 Sep 140<br />H Isaac 26-30 Sep 105<br />TS Joyce 27 Sep-1 Oct 50<br />MH Kirk 29 Sep-7 Oct 145<br />H Leslie 2-12 Oct 105 <br />MH Milton 5-10 Oct 180<br />TS Nadine 19-20 Oct 60<br />H Oscar 19-22 Oct 85<br />TS Patty 2-4 Nov 65<br />MH Rafael 4-10 Nov 120<br />TS Sara 14-18 Nov 50<br /><br />------------------------------------------------------------------ <br /><br />Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).<br />* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.<br /><br />$$<br />Hurricane Specialist Unit