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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 20 Jun 2025 04:17:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000<br />AXNT20 KNHC 200413<br />TWDAT<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />0615 UTC Fri Jun 20 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />0413 UTC.<br /><br />...TROPICAL WAVES...<br /><br />A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa into<br />the eastern Atlantic. The wave axis is near 20W from 14N <br />southward. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 03N to <br />09N between the wave axis and 27.5W. <br /><br />Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 36W from 15N <br />southward, and moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate <br />convection is depicted from 04N to 10.5N between 32W and 41W.<br /><br />A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 51W from 16N southward, <br />moving westward around 10 kt. No significant convection is<br />depicted at this time in association with the wave. <br /><br />A Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from south of Dominican <br />Republic southward to northwestern Venezuela, moving westward <br />around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed in the <br />central Caribbean Sea and near the Venezuela- Colombia border.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along 13N17W and extends<br />southwestward to 08N26W. The ITCZ continues westward from that <br />point to 08N32W, then resumes W of a tropical wave near 08N38W to<br />08N48W. Convection near the area is related to the tropical waves<br />described above. <br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />A peripheral rainband associated with the now T.D. Erick over the <br />Oaxaca State, Mexico, is causing numerous showers and scattered<br />thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche. Scattered moderate<br />convection is also present offshore of northern and western <br />Florida as afternoon land convection drifts to the offshore waters<br />as it weakens. Otherwise, a surface ridge runs westward from <br />northern Florida to near the Texas- Mexico border. Moderate to <br />fresh SE winds and moderate seas dominate the southwestern and <br />west-cental Gulf, including the Bay of Campeche. Light to gentle <br />winds and slight seas are noted at the northeastern and east- <br />central Gulf. Gentle to moderate SE to SSE winds with moderate <br />seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.<br /><br />For the forecast, residual deep tropical moisture from former <br />eastern Pacific tropical cyclone Erick will linger over the <br />western and SW Gulf zones through Sat leading to unsettled weather<br />in the form of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. <br />This activity may be accompanied by gusty winds and locally higher<br />seas. Otherwise, fresh NE to E winds will pulse each afternoon <br />and evening over the next several days north of the Yucatan <br />Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche as a diurnal trough <br />develops and tracks westward across the region. Moderate to fresh <br />east to southeast winds along with moderate seas are expected over<br />the central and western Gulf through the weekend, then <br />diminishing early next week. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br /><br />Refer to the Tropical Waves section for additional weather in the<br />basin.<br /><br />A 1030 mb north Atlantic high centered near 41.5N40W continues to<br />provide a robust trade-wind pattern across the entire basin. <br />Convergent SE winds are creating isolated thunderstorms at the <br />northwestern basin, including the Gulf of Honduras. Strong to <br />near-gale NE to E winds and rough seas are occurring at the <br />south- central basin. Moderate to strong E winds and moderate seas<br />are present at the north-central Gulf. Moderate to fresh easterly<br />trades and seas at 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean <br />Sea, except light to gentle winds with slight seas near Costa Rica<br />and Panama.<br /><br />For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge over the <br />Atlantic waters north of the Caribbean and the Colombian low will <br />support fresh to strong easterly winds and rough seas over the <br />central Caribbean through early next week. Winds will pulse to <br />near gale force off Colombia at night. Elsewhere, moderate to <br />fresh winds and moderate seas will prevail. <br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />Refer to the Tropical Waves section for additional weather in the<br />basin.<br /><br />Convergent SW winds to the south of a stationary front near 32W <br />are producing scattered moderate convection north of 30N between <br />30W and 45W. A pronounced subtropical ridge stretches westward <br />from a 1030 mb high near 42.5N40W. These features are dominating <br />the Atlantic waters north of 23N and between 22W and 77W with <br />light to gentle winds and moderate seas. To the south from 07.5N <br />to 23N between 35W and the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to <br />fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas are evident. Gentle to <br />moderate Ne to E winds and moderate seas prevail for the <br />remaining Atlantic waters west of 35W, except for fresh to locally<br />strong winds off of Dakar and near the Canary Islands.<br /><br />For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge will prevail <br />along 29N. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to <br />locally rough seas are forecast south of the ridge through the <br />forecast period. Gentle to locally moderate winds will prevail <br />elsewhere.<br /><br />$$<br />KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 20 Jun 2025 04:17:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000<br />AXNT20 KNHC 200413<br />TWDAT<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />0615 UTC Fri Jun 20 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />0413 UTC.<br /><br />...TROPICAL WAVES...<br /><br />A new tropical wave has emerged off the coast of West Africa into<br />the eastern Atlantic. The wave axis is near 20W from 14N <br />southward. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 03N to <br />09N between the wave axis and 27.5W. <br /><br />Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 36W from 15N <br />southward, and moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate <br />convection is depicted from 04N to 10.5N between 32W and 41W.<br /><br />A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 51W from 16N southward, <br />moving westward around 10 kt. No significant convection is<br />depicted at this time in association with the wave. <br /><br />A Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from south of Dominican <br />Republic southward to northwestern Venezuela, moving westward <br />around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed in the <br />central Caribbean Sea and near the Venezuela- Colombia border.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along 13N17W and extends<br />southwestward to 08N26W. The ITCZ continues westward from that <br />point to 08N32W, then resumes W of a tropical wave near 08N38W to<br />08N48W. Convection near the area is related to the tropical waves<br />described above. <br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />A peripheral rainband associated with the now T.D. Erick over the <br />Oaxaca State, Mexico, is causing numerous showers and scattered<br />thunderstorms over the Bay of Campeche. Scattered moderate<br />convection is also present offshore of northern and western <br />Florida as afternoon land convection drifts to the offshore waters<br />as it weakens. Otherwise, a surface ridge runs westward from <br />northern Florida to near the Texas- Mexico border. Moderate to <br />fresh SE winds and moderate seas dominate the southwestern and <br />west-cental Gulf, including the Bay of Campeche. Light to gentle <br />winds and slight seas are noted at the northeastern and east- <br />central Gulf. Gentle to moderate SE to SSE winds with moderate <br />seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.<br /><br />For the forecast, residual deep tropical moisture from former <br />eastern Pacific tropical cyclone Erick will linger over the <br />western and SW Gulf zones through Sat leading to unsettled weather<br />in the form of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms. <br />This activity may be accompanied by gusty winds and locally higher<br />seas. Otherwise, fresh NE to E winds will pulse each afternoon <br />and evening over the next several days north of the Yucatan <br />Peninsula and in the eastern Bay of Campeche as a diurnal trough <br />develops and tracks westward across the region. Moderate to fresh <br />east to southeast winds along with moderate seas are expected over<br />the central and western Gulf through the weekend, then <br />diminishing early next week. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br /><br />Refer to the Tropical Waves section for additional weather in the<br />basin.<br /><br />A 1030 mb north Atlantic high centered near 41.5N40W continues to<br />provide a robust trade-wind pattern across the entire basin. <br />Convergent SE winds are creating isolated thunderstorms at the <br />northwestern basin, including the Gulf of Honduras. Strong to <br />near-gale NE to E winds and rough seas are occurring at the <br />south- central basin. Moderate to strong E winds and moderate seas<br />are present at the north-central Gulf. Moderate to fresh easterly<br />trades and seas at 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean <br />Sea, except light to gentle winds with slight seas near Costa Rica<br />and Panama.<br /><br />For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge over the <br />Atlantic waters north of the Caribbean and the Colombian low will <br />support fresh to strong easterly winds and rough seas over the <br />central Caribbean through early next week. Winds will pulse to <br />near gale force off Colombia at night. Elsewhere, moderate to <br />fresh winds and moderate seas will prevail. <br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />Refer to the Tropical Waves section for additional weather in the<br />basin.<br /><br />Convergent SW winds to the south of a stationary front near 32W <br />are producing scattered moderate convection north of 30N between <br />30W and 45W. A pronounced subtropical ridge stretches westward <br />from a 1030 mb high near 42.5N40W. These features are dominating <br />the Atlantic waters north of 23N and between 22W and 77W with <br />light to gentle winds and moderate seas. To the south from 07.5N <br />to 23N between 35W and the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to <br />fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas are evident. Gentle to <br />moderate Ne to E winds and moderate seas prevail for the <br />remaining Atlantic waters west of 35W, except for fresh to locally<br />strong winds off of Dakar and near the Canary Islands.<br /><br />For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge will prevail <br />along 29N. Moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to <br />locally rough seas are forecast south of the ridge through the <br />forecast period. Gentle to locally moderate winds will prevail <br />elsewhere.<br /><br />$$<br />KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 21 Jun 2025 17:02:25 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 20 Jun 2025 05:10:28 GMT - Fri, 20 Jun 2025 05:02:25 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
372
ABNT20 KNHC 200501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jun 20 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 19 Jun 2025 13:51:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
083 <br />NOUS42 KNHC 191350<br />REPRPD<br />WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br />CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br />0950 AM EDT THU 19 JUNE 2025<br />SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)<br /> VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z JUNE 2025<br /> TCPOD NUMBER.....25-019<br /><br />I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br /> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br /> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /><br />II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS<br /> 1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.<br /> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /> J. REMARK: THE 19/1130Z FIX MISSION TASKED ON TCPOD 25-017<br /> WAS CANCELED BY NHC AT 19/0115Z.<br /><br />$$<br />WJM<br /><br />NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf