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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

5 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

• Tue, 30 Nov 2021 23:23:04 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  
  000
  ABNT20 KNHC 302322
  TWOAT
  
  Tropical Weather Outlook
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  700 PM EST Tue Nov 30 2021
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
  
  This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
  the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
  Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2022. During the
  off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
  conditions warrant.
  
  $$
  Forecaster Beven
  

• Fri, 21 Jan 2022 00:06:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
  
  000
  AXNT20 KNHC 210006
  TWDAT
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  0005 UTC Fri Jan 21 2022
  
  Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
  Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
  America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
  Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
  imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
  
  Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
  2350 UTC.
  
  ...SPECIAL FEATURES...
  
  ...Caribbean Sea Gale Warning...
  
  The surface pressure gradient, between W Atlantic Ocean high
  pressure and lower pressure in Colombia and in Panama, will
  continue to support pulsing winds to minimal gale force within
  about 90 nm of the coast of Colombia tonight and Fri night. Sea
  heights will build to a range from 8-12 ft. As the ridge shifts
  eastward over the weekend, the pressure gradient will weaken, thus
  leading to fresh to strong winds winds in the south-central basin
  through the middle of next week.
  
  ...Gulf of Mexico Gale Warning...
  
  Strong high pressure is rapidly building behind a cold front that
  extends from the Florida Big Bend SW to Veracruz, Mexico offshore
  waters. This is supporting ongoing gale-force northerly winds over
  the Tampico offshore waters with seas of 8 to 10 ft. Near gale
  force winds will continue along the eastern Mexico offshore waters
  through late Fri with gale conditions shifting to the Veracruz
  region tonight. The front will extend from Sarasota, Florida to
  the central Bay of Campeche Fri evening when winds and seas will
  diminish below gale-force. However, fresh to strong N to NE winds
  will gradually diminish through Sun.
  
  Please, read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast, issued by the
  National Hurricane Center, at the website,
  https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
  
  ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
  
  The ITCZ extends from the coast of Liberia near 05N09W to 04N24W
  to 05N41W. Scattered moderate convection extends from 03N to 15N
  between 19W and 36W.
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  Please, read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about a
  gale warning for the Gulf of Mexico.
  
  A cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend SW to Veracruz,
  Mexico offshore waters this evening. Near gale to gale force N to
  NE winds are behind the front with the strongest winds being off
  the east-central Mexico coast or the Tampico offshore waters. Gale
  force winds will extend to the region of Vercruz tonight.
  
  Weak low pressure is forecast to develop along the frontal
  boundary over the central Gulf on Fri, and quickly move
  northeastward across Florida into the western Atlantic Sat evening
  pushing the cold front across the southeastern Gulf into Sun
  morning. Winds behind the front will diminish below gale force
  early Fri evening. High pressure will build across the area in
  the wake of the front then shift eastward through Mon, at which
  time fresh to strong southerly flow develops over the NW Gulf in
  advance of the next cold front. This front will move off the Texas
  coast Mon, will quickly reach the eastern Gulf Tue and Tue night.
  Mainly moderate to fresh northerly winds will follow behind this
  front.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA...
  
  Please, read the SPECIAL FEATURES section, for details about a
  gale warning for the Caribbean Sea.
  
  Patches of shallow moisture are supporting isolated showers in the
  Mona Passage as well the Gulf of Honduras. Farther west, the tail
  of a pre-frontal trough support a line of showers in the Yucatan
  Channel. Dry air subsidence from aloft support fair weather
  elsewhere. Strong high pressure over the SW N Atlantic waters is
  supporting fresh trade winds in the eastern Caribbean and fresh to
  strong winds in the south-central region where seas are in the 7
  to 9 ft range. Sea heights are 5 to 6 ft elsewhere, except the NW
  Caribbean where seas are up to 4 ft.
  
  The pressure gradient between high pressure across the western
  Atlantic and the Colombian low will continue to support pulsing
  winds to minimal gale force within about 90 nm of the coast of
  Colombia tonight and Fri night. Seas will build with these winds.
  The coverage area of the fresh to strong trade winds has increased
  and will cover mainly the waters between 68W and 80W through Fri.
  Generally moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere. A
  weakening cold front is forecast to enter the far NW Caribbean
  Sun.
  
  ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
  
  Strong high pressure ridging dominates the western and central
  Atlantic waters. A cold front extends from 31N35W SW to 25N52W
  where it transitions to a stationary front that continues to just
  east of the central Bahamas. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE
  winds dominate this region with seas in the 3 to 7 ft range.
  
  High pressure located northeast of Bermuda will shift
  northeastward allowing for the next cold front to move offshore
  northern Florida on Fri, accompanied by fresh to strong winds. Low
  pressure forecast to develop along the frontal boundary over the
  Gulf of Mexico will move into the western Atlantic Sat evening,
  then move across the northern forecast waters on Sun. High
  pressure in its wake will shift eastward through Tue as another
  cold front move across the waters NE of northern Florida through
  Tue night. Fresh southerly winds will precede this front.
  
  $$
  Ramos
  

• Thu, 02 Dec 2021 11:23:04 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
  The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.

• Thu, 20 Jan 2022 16:42:34 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
  

   
   666 
   NOUS42 KNHC 201642
   REPRPD
   WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
   CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
   1145 AM EST THU 20 JANUARY 2022
   SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
            VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JANUARY 2022
            WSPOD NUMBER.....21-051
   
   I.  ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   
   II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
       1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
       2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
   
   $$
   SEF
   
   NNNN
   
   

• Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
  
  000
  AGXX40 KNHC 171522
  MIMATS
  
  Marine Weather Discussion
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
  
  Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
  and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
  and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
  
  This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
  Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
  Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
  
  ...GULF OF MEXICO...
  
  High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
  the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
  week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
  basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
  Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
  Plains.
  
  ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  
  A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
  diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
  will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
  pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
  
  ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  
  A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
  will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
  drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
  pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
  an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
  with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
  
  $$
  
  .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
  coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
  telephone:
  
  .GULF OF MEXICO...
  None.
  
  .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
  55W AND 64W...
  None.
  
  .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
  None.
  
  $$
  
  *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
  
  Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
  Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
  
  For additional information, please visit:
  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
  
  $$
  
  .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
  

• Wed, 01 Dec 2021 12:30:41 +0000: Atlantic - Atlantic
  
  000
  ABNT30 KNHC 011230
  TWSAT
  
  Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
  NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
  800 AM EDT Wed Dec 1 2021
  
  For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
  
  No tropical cyclones formed in the basin during November. However,
  Tropical Storm Wanda continued from the end of October through the
  first seven days of November. Based on a 30-year climatology
  (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November every one to two
  years.
  
  Overall, the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season featured above normal
  activity. Twenty-one named storms formed, of which seven became
  hurricanes and four became major hurricanes - category 3 or higher
  on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. This compares to the
  long-term averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major
  hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which
  measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and
  hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2021 was also above normal,
  about 20 percent above the long-term (1991-2020) mean.
  
  Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at
  the National Hurricane Center website at
  www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2021&basin=atl
  
  Summary Table
  
  Name Dates Max Wind (mph)
  ---------------------------------------------------
  TS Ana 22-23 May 45*
  TS Bill 14-15 Jun 65*
  TS Claudette 19-22 Jun 45
  TS Danny 27-29 Jun 45*
  H Elsa 1- 9 Jul 85
  TS Fred 11-17 Aug 65*
  MH Grace 13-21 Aug 125
  H Henri 16-23 Aug 75
  MH Ida 26 Aug- 1 Sep 150
  TS Kate 28 Aug- 1 Sep 45
  TS Julian 28-30 Aug 60*
  MH Larry 31 Aug-11 Sep 125
  TS Mindy 8-10 Sep 45
  H Nicholas 12-16 Sep 75
  TS Odette 17-18 Sep 45*
  TS Peter 19-22 Sep 50
  TS Rose 19-23 Sep 50
  MH Sam 22 Sep- 5 Oct 150
  STS Teresa 24-25 Sep 45
  TS Victor 29 Sep- 4 Oct 65
  TS Wanda 31 Oct- 7 Nov 50
  ---------------------------------------------------
  
  * Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.
  
  $$
  Hurricane Specialist Unit