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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABNT20 KNHC 302331
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
conditions warrant.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 15 Feb 2025 10:58:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000<br />AXNT20 KNHC 151058<br />TWDAT<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1215 UTC Sat Feb 15 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />1030 UTC.<br /><br />...SPECIAL FEATURES...<br /><br />Caribbean Gale Warning: Winds will pulse to gale force offshore <br />of Colombia early this morning, and again tonight into early Sun <br />as a strong pressure gradient prevails between high pressure in <br />the western Atlantic and the Colombian low. Locally very rough <br />seas are expected near and to the west of the gale force winds. <br />Pulsing strong to near-gale force winds are expected each night<br />and early morning into next week. <br /><br />SW Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front will enter the <br />northwestern Gulf of America early on Sun, with strong N winds and<br />rough seas occurring behind the front west of 90W as it moves <br />southeastward. Gale force winds are expected offshore of Veracruz <br />on Sun in the wake of the front. Winds will diminish from north to<br />south by Mon morning. <br /><br />Please, refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast, that is <br />issued by the National Hurricane Center, at the website: <br />www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for details.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 05N09W and extends to<br />03N15W. The ITCZ continues from 03N15W to 02S36W. Scattered <br />moderate convection is occurring south of 05N and east of 18W.<br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />Please refer to the Special Features section for information<br />regarding a Gale Warning in the southwestern Gulf of America on<br />Sun. <br /><br />A cold front extends from west-central Florida to 26N76W.<br />Elsewhere, a 1016 mb low is located in southeastern Texas, and a<br />trough extends toward the south through the central Bay of<br />Campeche. Moderate to locally fresh SE winds are occurring across<br />the eastern, central and northwestern Gulf of America, with gentle<br />to locally moderate winds in the southwestern basin, including the<br />Bay of Campeche. Seas of 3 to 6 ft are noted across the basin. <br /><br />For the forecast, pulsing fresh to locally strong SE to E winds <br />will prevail in the southern Gulf early this morning, offshore of <br />the Yucatan Peninsula and northwestern Cuba. A warm front will <br />lift northward through the northern basin today, and moderate to <br />fresh SE to E winds are expected to develop across much of the <br />basin, including through the Florida Straits. Locally strong S <br />winds and rough seas will be possible in the northwestern Gulf <br />offshore of Texas later this morning, with more widespread strong <br />S to SW winds developing in the north-central Gulf late tonight <br />into Sun. The next cold front will enter the northwestern Gulf of <br />America early on Sun, with strong N winds and rough seas occurring<br />behind the front west of 90W as it moves southeastward. Gale <br />force winds are expected offshore of Veracruz on Sun in the wake <br />of the front. Winds will diminish from north to south by Mon <br />morning, with transient high pressure expected over the basin <br />through Tue. Looking ahead, another cold front will move into the <br />northwestern Gulf of America by the middle of next week. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br /><br />Please refer to the Special Features section for information<br />regarding a Gale Warning in the south-central Caribbean offshore<br />of Colombia. <br /><br />Pulsing gale force winds are occurring offshore of northwestern<br />Colombia, with strong winds occurring through the central<br />Caribbean, through the Windward Passage and across the Atlantic<br />Passages into the eastern basin. Elsewhere, fresh trade winds<br />prevail in the southwestern and eastern basin, with moderate winds<br />in the northwestern basin. Rough seas cover much of the central<br />and eastern Caribbean, with locally very rough seas to 13 ft<br />occurring near the gales. Otherwise, moderate seas prevail in the<br />northwestern Caribbean.<br /><br />For the forecast, winds will pulse to gale force offshore of <br />Colombia early this morning, and again tonight into early Sun as a<br />strong pressure gradient prevails between high pressure in the <br />western Atlantic and the Colombian low. Locally very rough seas <br />are expected near and to the west of the gale force winds. <br />Widespread fresh trade winds and rough seas will occur across the <br />central and eastern Caribbean through this weekend, with winds <br />pulsing to strong speeds in the Gulf of Venezuela, through the <br />Windward Passage, downwind of Hispaniola, in the lee of Cuba, in <br />the Gulf of Honduras, and through the Atlantic Passages. <br />Elsewhere, pulsing fresh NE winds are expected in the western <br />basin. Looking ahead, a decreasing pressure gradient between the <br />Colombian low and high pressure in the western and central <br />Atlantic will support moderate to fresh trade winds and locally <br />rough seas across the basin into early next week, with locally <br />strong winds occurring offshore of Colombia. <br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />A cold front extends from 31N55W southwestward into south Florida,<br />and fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and rough seas are <br />occurring north of the front. Elsewhere, a weakening cold front<br />has been analyzed from 31N20W to 31N33W to 27N43W. Rough seas are<br />occurring near this cold front, with very rough seas noted north<br />of 28N and east of 39W. Farther south, moderate to fresh NE to E<br />winds prevail south of 25N, with locally strong winds and rough<br />seas occurring east of the Windward Islands from 12N to 18N west <br />of 45W. <br /><br />For the forecast, a cold front extending from 31N55W to south <br />Florida will progress southeastward this morning before stalling <br />along 28N later today, and dissipate by Sun. Fresh to locally <br />strong NE to E winds are expected north of the front this morning.<br />Pulsing fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will also occur <br />north of Hispaniola and Cuba and near the Bahamas into Sun. A <br />long-period N swell associated with this cold front will produce <br />rough seas north of 27N by late morning, and north of 23N by Sun <br />morning. Very rough seas of 12 to 14 ft will be possible north of <br />28N and east of 60W late tonight through Sun. Farther south, fresh<br />trade winds and rough seas will prevail south of 23N through this<br />weekend, with winds pulsing to strong speeds at times east of the<br />Windward Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds and rough<br />seas will then occur in this region through at least the middle <br />of next week. Elsewhere, winds will turn to the S and strengthen <br />west of 70W off the coast of Florida by early Sun ahead of the <br />next cold front forecast to move off the coast of the southeastern<br />United States Sun night. This front will reach from Bermuda to <br />the Florida Straits by Mon afternoon, then drift SE and weaken <br />considerably through Tue. <br /><br />$$<br />ADAMS
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 15 Feb 2025 15:22:18 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 14 Feb 2025 18:14:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
394 <br />NOUS42 KNHC 141814<br />REPRPD<br />WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br />CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br />0115 PM EST FRI 14 FEBRUARY 2025<br />SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)<br /> VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z FEBRUARY 2025<br /> WSPOD NUMBER.....24-076<br /><br />I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br /> 1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72<br /> A. 16/0000Z<br /> B. AFXXX 05WSA TRACK66<br /> C. 15/2000Z<br /> D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK, PLUS 9 ADDITIONAL DROPS<br /> AT MIDPOINTS BETWEEN ORIGINAL 10 DROPS<br /> E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 15/2030Z TO 16/0230Z<br /> F. TRACK WILL BE FLOWN COUNTERCLOCKWISE<br /><br /> 2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br /> 3. REMARK: THE TEAL 72 MISSION TASKED IN WSPOD 24-075 FOR THE<br /> 15/1200Z SYNOPTIC TIME WILL NOT BE FLOWN.<br /><br />II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS<br /> 1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75<br /> A. 16/0000Z<br /> B. AFXXX 15WSE IOP24<br /> C. 15/1900Z<br /> D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:<br /> 35.0N 125.0W, 35.0N 145.0W, 50.0N 145.0W, AND 50.0N 125.0W<br /> E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 15/2030Z TO 16/0230Z<br /><br /> 2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.<br /> 3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN<br /> ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE<br /> 18/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.<br /><br />$$<br />SEF<br /><br />NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Sun, 01 Dec 2024 03:00:40 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 010300<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1000 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br /><br />For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br /><br />Tropical cyclone activity this November was above average in terms <br />of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes in <br />the Atlantic basin. Three named storms formed during the month, <br />including one (Rafael) that became a major hurricane. Based on a <br />30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November <br />once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years.<br /><br />Rafael strengthened into a hurricane while passing near Jamaica and <br />the Cayman Islands before making landfall in western Cuba as a <br />category 3 hurricane. Elsewhere, Patty brought tropical storm <br />conditions to portions of the Azores. Sara meandered near the coast <br />of Honduras before making landfall as a tropical storm in Belize.<br /><br />Overall, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal <br />activity in terms of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and <br />major hurricanes. In 2024, there were 18 named storms that formed in <br />the Atlantic basin, of which 11 became hurricanes and 5 strengthened <br />into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson <br />Hurricane Wind Scale). These numbers are greater than the long-term <br />(1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major <br />hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which <br />measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and <br />hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2024 was about 34 percent above <br />the long-term (1991-2020) average.<br /><br />Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the <br />National Hurricane Center website at<br />www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2024&basin=atl<br /><br />Summary Table<br /><br />Name Dates Max Wind (mph)<br />------------------------------------------------------------------<br />TS Alberto 19-20 Jun 50*<br />MH Beryl 28 Jun-9 Jul 165<br />TS Chris 30 Jun-1 Jul 45*<br />H Debby 3-9 Aug 80<br />H Ernesto 12-20 Aug 100<br />H Francine 9-12 Sep 100<br />TS Gordon 11-17 Sep 45<br />MH Helene 24-27 Sep 140<br />H Isaac 26-30 Sep 105<br />TS Joyce 27 Sep-1 Oct 50<br />MH Kirk 29 Sep-7 Oct 145<br />H Leslie 2-12 Oct 105 <br />MH Milton 5-10 Oct 180<br />TS Nadine 19-20 Oct 60<br />H Oscar 19-22 Oct 85<br />TS Patty 2-4 Nov 65<br />MH Rafael 4-10 Nov 120<br />TS Sara 14-18 Nov 50<br /><br />------------------------------------------------------------------ <br /><br />Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).<br />* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.<br /><br />$$<br />Hurricane Specialist Unit