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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale
Category Wind Speed Storm Surge
  mph ft
5 ≥157 >18
4 130–156 13–18
3 111–129 9–12
2 96–110 6–8
1 74–95 4–5
Additional Classifications
Tropical Storm 39–73 0–3
Tropical Depression 0–38 0
The Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale is a classification used for most Western Hemisphere tropical cyclones that exceed the intensities of "tropical depressions" and "tropical storms", and thereby become hurricanes. Source: Intellicast

Hurricane Season 101

The official Atlantic Basin Hurricane Season runs from June 1st to November 30th.

A tropical cyclone is a warm-core, low pressure system without any “front” attached. It develops over tropical or subtropical waters, and has an organized circulation. Depending upon location, tropical cyclones have different names around the world. The Tropical Cyclones we track in the Atlantic basin are called Tropical Depressions, Tropical Storms and Hurricanes!

Atlantic Basin Tropical Cyclones are classified as follows:

Tropical Depression: Organized system of clouds and thunderstorms with defined surface circulation and max sustained winds of 38 mph or less.

Tropical Storm: Organized system of strong thunderstorms with a defined surface circulation and maximum sustained winds of 39-73 mph.

Hurricane: Intense tropical weather system of strong thunderstorms with a well-defined surface circulation. A Hurricane has max sustained winds of 74 mph or higher!

The difference between Tropical Storm and Hurricane Watches, Warnings, Advisories and Outlooks

Warnings:Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials.Evacuate immediately if told to do so.

  • Storm Surge Warning: There is a danger of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area. This is generally within 36 hours. If you are under a storm surge warning, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Warning: Hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are expected somewhere within the specified area. NHC issues a hurricane warning 36 hours in advance of tropical storm-force winds to give you time to complete your preparations. All preparations should be complete. Evacuate immediately if so ordered.
  • Tropical Storm Warning: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within your area within 36 hours.
  • Extreme Wind Warning: Extreme sustained winds of a major hurricane (115 mph or greater), usually associated with the eyewall, are expected to begin within an hour. Take immediate shelter in the interior portion of a well-built structure.

Please note that hurricane and tropical storm watches and warnings for winds on land as well as storm surge watches and warnings can be issued for storms that the NWS believes will become tropical cyclones but have not yet attained all of the characteristics of a tropical cyclone (i.e., a closed low-level circulation, sustained thunderstorm activity, etc.). In these cases, the forecast conditions on land warrant alerting the public. These storms are referred to as “potential tropical cyclones” by the NWS.
Hurricane, tropical storm, and storm surge watches and warnings can also be issued for storms that have lost some or all of their tropical cyclone characteristics, but continue to produce dangerous conditions. These storms are called “post-tropical cyclones” by the NWS.

Watches: Listen closely to instructions from local officials on TV, radio, cell phones or other computers for instructions from local officials. Evacuate if told to do so.

  • Storm Surge Watch: Storm here is a possibility of life-threatening inundation from rising water moving inland from the shoreline somewhere within the specified area, generally within 48 hours. If you are under a storm surge watch, check for evacuation orders from your local officials.
  • Hurricane Watch: Huriricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or greater) are possible within your area. Because it may not be safe to prepare for a hurricane once winds reach tropical storm force, The NHC issues hurricane watches 48 hours before it anticipates tropical storm-force winds.
  • Tropical Storm Watch: Tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified area within 48 hours.

Advisories:

  • Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory:The Tropical Cyclone Public Advisory contains a list of all current coastal watches and warnings associated with an ongoing or potential tropical cyclone, a post-tropical cyclone, or a subtropical cyclone. It also provides the cyclone position, maximum sustained winds, current motion, and a description of the hazards associated with the storm.
  • Tropical Cyclone Track Forecast Cone:This graphic shows areas under tropical storm and hurricane watches and warnings, the current position of the center of the storm, and its predicted track. Forecast uncertainty is conveyed on the graphic by a “cone” (white and stippled areas) drawn such that the center of the storm will remain within the cone about 60 to 70 percent of the time. Remember, the effects of a tropical cyclone can span hundreds of miles. Areas well outside of the cone often experience hazards such as tornadoes or inland flooding from heavy rain.

Outlooks:

  • Tropical Weather Outlook:The Tropical Weather Outlook is a discussion of significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for development during the next 5 days. The Outlook includes a categorical forecast of the probability of tropical cyclone formation during the first 48 hours and during the entire 5-day forecast period. You can also find graphical versions of the 2-day and 5-day Outlook here

Be sure to read up on tons of more information on Hurricane knowledge, preparedness, statistics and history under the menu on the left hand side of the page!

TrackTheTropics Resource Links

CONUS Hurricane Strikes

1950-2017
[Map of 1950-2017 CONUS Hurricane Strikes]
Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total MAJOR Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Total Major Hurricane Strikes 1900-2010 Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Western Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf MAJOR Hurricane Strikes Eastern Gulf Major Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Hurricane Strikes SE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes SE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Hurricane Strikes NE Coast MAJOR Hurricane Strikes NE Coast Major Hurricane Strikes

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Page Navigation: Atlantic Tropical Outlook / Tropical Discussion / Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Recon Flight Plans / Marine Weather Discussion / Tropical Monthly Summary

2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic

7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

  • Sat, 30 Nov 2024 23:31:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook

    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 302331
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    This is the last regularly scheduled Tropical Weather Outlook of
    the 2024 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Routine issuance of the
    Tropical Weather Outlook will resume on May 15, 2025. During the
    off-season, Special Tropical Weather Outlooks will be issued as
    conditions warrant.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven

Tropical Weather Discussion

  • Sat, 15 Feb 2025 10:58:59 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000<br />AXNT20 KNHC 151058<br />TWDAT<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1215 UTC Sat Feb 15 2025<br /><br />Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America<br />Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South<br />America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the<br />Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite<br />imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.<br /><br />Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through <br />1030 UTC.<br /><br />...SPECIAL FEATURES...<br /><br />Caribbean Gale Warning: Winds will pulse to gale force offshore <br />of Colombia early this morning, and again tonight into early Sun <br />as a strong pressure gradient prevails between high pressure in <br />the western Atlantic and the Colombian low. Locally very rough <br />seas are expected near and to the west of the gale force winds. <br />Pulsing strong to near-gale force winds are expected each night<br />and early morning into next week. <br /><br />SW Gulf of America Gale Warning: A cold front will enter the <br />northwestern Gulf of America early on Sun, with strong N winds and<br />rough seas occurring behind the front west of 90W as it moves <br />southeastward. Gale force winds are expected offshore of Veracruz <br />on Sun in the wake of the front. Winds will diminish from north to<br />south by Mon morning. <br /><br />Please, refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast, that is <br />issued by the National Hurricane Center, at the website: <br />www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml, for details.<br /><br />...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... <br /><br />The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 05N09W and extends to<br />03N15W. The ITCZ continues from 03N15W to 02S36W. Scattered <br />moderate convection is occurring south of 05N and east of 18W.<br /><br />...GULF OF AMERICA...<br /><br />Please refer to the Special Features section for information<br />regarding a Gale Warning in the southwestern Gulf of America on<br />Sun. <br /><br />A cold front extends from west-central Florida to 26N76W.<br />Elsewhere, a 1016 mb low is located in southeastern Texas, and a<br />trough extends toward the south through the central Bay of<br />Campeche. Moderate to locally fresh SE winds are occurring across<br />the eastern, central and northwestern Gulf of America, with gentle<br />to locally moderate winds in the southwestern basin, including the<br />Bay of Campeche. Seas of 3 to 6 ft are noted across the basin. <br /><br />For the forecast, pulsing fresh to locally strong SE to E winds <br />will prevail in the southern Gulf early this morning, offshore of <br />the Yucatan Peninsula and northwestern Cuba. A warm front will <br />lift northward through the northern basin today, and moderate to <br />fresh SE to E winds are expected to develop across much of the <br />basin, including through the Florida Straits. Locally strong S <br />winds and rough seas will be possible in the northwestern Gulf <br />offshore of Texas later this morning, with more widespread strong <br />S to SW winds developing in the north-central Gulf late tonight <br />into Sun. The next cold front will enter the northwestern Gulf of <br />America early on Sun, with strong N winds and rough seas occurring<br />behind the front west of 90W as it moves southeastward. Gale <br />force winds are expected offshore of Veracruz on Sun in the wake <br />of the front. Winds will diminish from north to south by Mon <br />morning, with transient high pressure expected over the basin <br />through Tue. Looking ahead, another cold front will move into the <br />northwestern Gulf of America by the middle of next week. <br /><br />...CARIBBEAN SEA...<br /><br />Please refer to the Special Features section for information<br />regarding a Gale Warning in the south-central Caribbean offshore<br />of Colombia. <br /><br />Pulsing gale force winds are occurring offshore of northwestern<br />Colombia, with strong winds occurring through the central<br />Caribbean, through the Windward Passage and across the Atlantic<br />Passages into the eastern basin. Elsewhere, fresh trade winds<br />prevail in the southwestern and eastern basin, with moderate winds<br />in the northwestern basin. Rough seas cover much of the central<br />and eastern Caribbean, with locally very rough seas to 13 ft<br />occurring near the gales. Otherwise, moderate seas prevail in the<br />northwestern Caribbean.<br /><br />For the forecast, winds will pulse to gale force offshore of <br />Colombia early this morning, and again tonight into early Sun as a<br />strong pressure gradient prevails between high pressure in the <br />western Atlantic and the Colombian low. Locally very rough seas <br />are expected near and to the west of the gale force winds. <br />Widespread fresh trade winds and rough seas will occur across the <br />central and eastern Caribbean through this weekend, with winds <br />pulsing to strong speeds in the Gulf of Venezuela, through the <br />Windward Passage, downwind of Hispaniola, in the lee of Cuba, in <br />the Gulf of Honduras, and through the Atlantic Passages. <br />Elsewhere, pulsing fresh NE winds are expected in the western <br />basin. Looking ahead, a decreasing pressure gradient between the <br />Colombian low and high pressure in the western and central <br />Atlantic will support moderate to fresh trade winds and locally <br />rough seas across the basin into early next week, with locally <br />strong winds occurring offshore of Colombia. <br /><br />...ATLANTIC OCEAN...<br /><br />A cold front extends from 31N55W southwestward into south Florida,<br />and fresh to locally strong NE to E winds and rough seas are <br />occurring north of the front. Elsewhere, a weakening cold front<br />has been analyzed from 31N20W to 31N33W to 27N43W. Rough seas are<br />occurring near this cold front, with very rough seas noted north<br />of 28N and east of 39W. Farther south, moderate to fresh NE to E<br />winds prevail south of 25N, with locally strong winds and rough<br />seas occurring east of the Windward Islands from 12N to 18N west <br />of 45W. <br /><br />For the forecast, a cold front extending from 31N55W to south <br />Florida will progress southeastward this morning before stalling <br />along 28N later today, and dissipate by Sun. Fresh to locally <br />strong NE to E winds are expected north of the front this morning.<br />Pulsing fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will also occur <br />north of Hispaniola and Cuba and near the Bahamas into Sun. A <br />long-period N swell associated with this cold front will produce <br />rough seas north of 27N by late morning, and north of 23N by Sun <br />morning. Very rough seas of 12 to 14 ft will be possible north of <br />28N and east of 60W late tonight through Sun. Farther south, fresh<br />trade winds and rough seas will prevail south of 23N through this<br />weekend, with winds pulsing to strong speeds at times east of the<br />Windward Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds and rough<br />seas will then occur in this region through at least the middle <br />of next week. Elsewhere, winds will turn to the S and strengthen <br />west of 70W off the coast of Florida by early Sun ahead of the <br />next cold front forecast to move off the coast of the southeastern<br />United States Sun night. This front will reach from Bermuda to <br />the Florida Straits by Mon afternoon, then drift SE and weaken <br />considerably through Tue. <br /><br />$$<br />ADAMS

Active Tropical Systems

Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans

  • Fri, 14 Feb 2025 18:14:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    394 <br />NOUS42 KNHC 141814<br />REPRPD<br />WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS<br />CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.<br />0115 PM EST FRI 14 FEBRUARY 2025<br />SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)<br />         VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z FEBRUARY 2025<br />         WSPOD NUMBER.....24-076<br /><br />I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS<br />   1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72<br />      A. 16/0000Z<br />      B. AFXXX 05WSA TRACK66<br />      C. 15/2000Z<br />      D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK, PLUS 9 ADDITIONAL DROPS<br />         AT MIDPOINTS BETWEEN ORIGINAL 10 DROPS<br />      E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 15/2030Z TO 16/0230Z<br />      F. TRACK WILL BE FLOWN COUNTERCLOCKWISE<br /><br />   2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.<br />   3. REMARK: THE TEAL 72 MISSION TASKED IN WSPOD 24-075 FOR THE<br />      15/1200Z SYNOPTIC TIME WILL NOT BE FLOWN.<br /><br />II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS<br />    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75<br />       A. 16/0000Z<br />       B. AFXXX 15WSE IOP24<br />       C. 15/1900Z<br />       D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:<br />          35.0N 125.0W, 35.0N 145.0W, 50.0N 145.0W, AND 50.0N 125.0W<br />       E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 15/2030Z TO 16/0230Z<br /><br />    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK.....NEGATIVE.<br />    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN<br />       ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE<br />       18/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.<br /><br />$$<br />SEF<br /><br />NNNN

Marine Weather Discussion

  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.

Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary

  • Sun, 01 Dec 2024 03:00:40 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 010300<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />1000 PM EST Sat Nov 30 2024<br /><br />For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:<br /><br />Tropical cyclone activity this November was above average in terms <br />of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes in <br />the Atlantic basin. Three named storms formed during the month, <br />including one (Rafael) that became a major hurricane. Based on a <br />30-year climatology (1991-2020), a tropical storm forms in November <br />once every year or two, and a hurricane forms once every two years.<br /><br />Rafael strengthened into a hurricane while passing near Jamaica and <br />the Cayman Islands before making landfall in western Cuba as a <br />category 3 hurricane. Elsewhere, Patty brought tropical storm <br />conditions to portions of the Azores. Sara meandered near the coast <br />of Honduras before making landfall as a tropical storm in Belize.<br /><br />Overall, the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season had above-normal <br />activity in terms of the number of named storms, hurricanes, and <br />major hurricanes. In 2024, there were 18 named storms that formed in <br />the Atlantic basin, of which 11 became hurricanes and 5 strengthened <br />into major hurricanes (category 3 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson <br />Hurricane Wind Scale). These numbers are greater than the long-term <br />(1991-2020) averages of 14 named storms, 7 hurricanes, and 3 major <br />hurricanes. In terms of Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE), which <br />measures the strength and duration of tropical storms and <br />hurricanes, activity in the basin in 2024 was about 34 percent above <br />the long-term (1991-2020) average.<br /><br />Reports on individual cyclones, when completed, are available at the <br />National Hurricane Center website at<br />www.hurricanes.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2024&basin=atl<br /><br />Summary Table<br /><br />Name Dates Max Wind (mph)<br />------------------------------------------------------------------<br />TS Alberto 19-20 Jun 50*<br />MH Beryl 28 Jun-9 Jul 165<br />TS Chris 30 Jun-1 Jul 45*<br />H Debby 3-9 Aug 80<br />H Ernesto 12-20 Aug 100<br />H Francine 9-12 Sep 100<br />TS Gordon 11-17 Sep 45<br />MH Helene 24-27 Sep 140<br />H Isaac 26-30 Sep 105<br />TS Joyce 27 Sep-1 Oct 50<br />MH Kirk 29 Sep-7 Oct 145<br />H Leslie 2-12 Oct 105 <br />MH Milton 5-10 Oct 180<br />TS Nadine 19-20 Oct 60<br />H Oscar 19-22 Oct 85<br />TS Patty 2-4 Nov 65<br />MH Rafael 4-10 Nov 120<br />TS Sara 14-18 Nov 50<br /><br />------------------------------------------------------------------ <br /><br />Dates are based on Coordinated Universal Time (UTC).<br />* Denotes a storm for which the post-storm analysis is complete.<br /><br />$$<br />Hurricane Specialist Unit