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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 11 Aug 2026 17:50:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111749
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1744 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
    wave are occurring around 550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
    Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
    conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
    tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this
    week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across
    the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance in the next 48
    hours is medium.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 32W from 07N to 19N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N
    to 13N between 28W and 40W. Please read the Special Features section
    above for more information about this wave.

    The axis of a tropical wave is along 52.5W from 07N to 18N,
    moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
    10N to 15N between 52W and 57W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 64W from 13N to 23N, moving
    west at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers are noted over the U.S.
    Virgin Islands and over portions of Puerto Rico.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 85W S of 21N, moving west at
    15 kt. A cluster of moderate to strong convection is depicted
    from 16N to 18.5N and west of 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W and continues
    southwestward to 1014 mb low pres near 10N31W to 10N51W. Aside
    from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
    scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 07N to 15N
    and east of 21.5W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends from a High near 29N71W westward across
    the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds, and
    slight seas prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds are occurring along the N and W coastal
    waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds are blowing through the
    Straits of Florida, producing seas to 5 ft. A surface trough
    continues to drift westward across the Bay of Campeche and is
    yielding a small cluster of moderate convection offshore Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned surface ridge will dominate
    the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat night.
    Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the basin,
    with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
    west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
    evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
    Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
    seas are expected through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb High and a 1008 mb
    Colombian Low is supporting strong to near gale-force winds, and
    moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 16N
    between 71W and 79W. Fresh NE winds prevail through the Windward
    Passage and south of Cuba, while moderate to fresh trade winds
    prevail across the NE Caribbean to the Mona Passage in advance of
    an approaching tropical wave. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight
    to moderate seas prevail elsewhere across SE and NW portions.
    Along and ahead of the tropical wave near 85W a cluster of
    moderate to strong convection is impacting the east coast of the
    Yucatan Peninsula, the Gulf of Honduras, and most of the coast of
    Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
    South America will continue to support fresh to strong trades over
    the central portion of the basin through Wed night. The ridge
    will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu allowing for the
    trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
    portion of the basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach
    near-gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night, except Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
    strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the Windward
    Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
    trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure prevails over the waters N of 19N, anchored by a
    1023 mb high centered near 28N43W. Light to gentle winds
    generally prevail over the waters N of 23N and west of 30W, with
    slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S
    of 23N and west of 30W, and moderate seas to 7 ft. Fresh to
    strong N to NE winds continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to
    the east of 37W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates
    most of the basin N of 15N from Africa through the southern
    Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging along 28N
    will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu and change
    little into Sat. The gradient will tighten over the southern
    portion leading to an increase of the trades from the Bahamas
    eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the
    approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to
    strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of low pressure is
    located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
    conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
    tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
    this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
    across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
    tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 11 Aug 2026 17:50:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111749
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1744 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
    wave are occurring around 550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
    Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
    conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
    tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this
    week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across
    the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance in the next 48
    hours is medium.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 32W from 07N to 19N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N
    to 13N between 28W and 40W. Please read the Special Features section
    above for more information about this wave.

    The axis of a tropical wave is along 52.5W from 07N to 18N,
    moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
    10N to 15N between 52W and 57W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 64W from 13N to 23N, moving
    west at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers are noted over the U.S.
    Virgin Islands and over portions of Puerto Rico.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 85W S of 21N, moving west at
    15 kt. A cluster of moderate to strong convection is depicted
    from 16N to 18.5N and west of 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W and continues
    southwestward to 1014 mb low pres near 10N31W to 10N51W. Aside
    from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
    scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 07N to 15N
    and east of 21.5W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends from a High near 29N71W westward across
    the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds, and
    slight seas prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds are occurring along the N and W coastal
    waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds are blowing through the
    Straits of Florida, producing seas to 5 ft. A surface trough
    continues to drift westward across the Bay of Campeche and is
    yielding a small cluster of moderate convection offshore Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned surface ridge will dominate
    the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat night.
    Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the basin,
    with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
    west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
    evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
    Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
    seas are expected through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb High and a 1008 mb
    Colombian Low is supporting strong to near gale-force winds, and
    moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 16N
    between 71W and 79W. Fresh NE winds prevail through the Windward
    Passage and south of Cuba, while moderate to fresh trade winds
    prevail across the NE Caribbean to the Mona Passage in advance of
    an approaching tropical wave. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight
    to moderate seas prevail elsewhere across SE and NW portions.
    Along and ahead of the tropical wave near 85W a cluster of
    moderate to strong convection is impacting the east coast of the
    Yucatan Peninsula, the Gulf of Honduras, and most of the coast of
    Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
    South America will continue to support fresh to strong trades over
    the central portion of the basin through Wed night. The ridge
    will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu allowing for the
    trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
    portion of the basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach
    near-gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    each night, except Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
    strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the Windward
    Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
    trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure prevails over the waters N of 19N, anchored by a
    1023 mb high centered near 28N43W. Light to gentle winds
    generally prevail over the waters N of 23N and west of 30W, with
    slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S
    of 23N and west of 30W, and moderate seas to 7 ft. Fresh to
    strong N to NE winds continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to
    the east of 37W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates
    most of the basin N of 15N from Africa through the southern
    Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging along 28N
    will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu and change
    little into Sat. The gradient will tighten over the southern
    portion leading to an increase of the trades from the Bahamas
    eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the
    approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to
    strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of low pressure is
    located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
    conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
    tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
    this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
    across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
    tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 13 Aug 2026 05:31:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 18:06:29 GMT
  • Tue, 11 Aug 2026 17:31:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 111731
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Central Tropical Atlantic:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
    wave are occurring around 550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
    Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
    conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
    tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this
    week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across
    the central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    Central Subtropical Atlantic:
    Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a trough of low
    pressure located about 750 miles east-northeast of Bermuda has
    become a little more concentrated since yesterday. Some development
    of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves
    eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic.
    The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week,
    ending its chances of formation by Thursday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 11 Aug 2026 14:38:07 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 111438
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1040 AM EDT TUE 11 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-072

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. SUSPECT AREA (CENTRAL PACIFIC - CP93)
    FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
    A. 13/0000Z A. 13/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 02AAC SURV B. NOAA2 03AAC TDR
    C. 12/1730Z C. 12/2000Z
    D. NA D. 14.0N 143.0W
    E. NA E. 12/2200Z TO 13/0230Z
    F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
    A. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 15.7N 145.0W FOR
    13/1800Z.
    B. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
    CP93 FOR 14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/1730Z.
    C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
    14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/2000Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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