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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 05 May 2026 17:15:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051715
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue May 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 25W, S of
11N, moving slowly westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection, also enhanced by the monsoon trough
analyzed in the vicinity of this wave, is noted S of 09N between
15W and 26W.
The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 58W, S of
18N, and is moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant
convection is associated with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W, and continues
southwestward to 02N28W. The ITCZ continues from 02N28W to near
01N50W. In addition to the convection mentioned above, scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is noted S of 04N between
30W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the Florida Straits to offshore
the NW coast of Cuba, with a frontal remnant trough then also
analyzed southwestward through the Bay of Campeche. No significant
convection is occurring with these features. Moderate to fresh SE
winds are occurring in the NW Gulf, with gentle to moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Slight seas prevail across the Gulf.
For the forecast, a stationary front extending from the Straits
of Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula across the Yucatan channel
will dissipate by early this evening. Moderate to fresh SE to S
return flow will set up in the W Gulf today as high pressure
builds into the eastern Gulf. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong
from Tampico to Veracruz, Mexico tonight into Wed. Similar winds
will pulse near the northern Yucatan Wed evening. The next cold
front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters Thu morning,
quickly stall Thu evening, then retreat back inland Fri as
ridging builds back in across the basin from the east.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A pair of scatterometer passes from earlier this morning showed
fresh to strong trades occurring in the central Caribbean, where
seas are 6-8 ft. Moderate to fresh trades and 4-6 ft seas are
ongoing in the eastern and southwestern Caribbean. In the
northwest Caribbean, gentle to moderate trades and 2-5 ft seas
prevail. Isolated moderate convection is occurring along the
coasts of Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas, with
similar winds in the Gulf of Honduras through the rest of the week
and into the weekend along with moderate to fresh trades over the
remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean. The remnants of a
frontal boundary dissipate by Tue in the far northwest part of
the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N62W southwestward through the
central and northern Bahamas to the Florida Straits. Scattered
moderate convection is along the front from the Bahamas
northeastward. Moderate to fresh NE winds are N of the front while
winds S of the front are gentle to moderate and from the SW.
In the eastern Atlantic, a trough is analyzed from a 1017 mb low
pres near 31N22W southwestward to near 20N31W. Another low pres is
analyzed near 28N29W. The pressure gradient between these features
and high pressure to the north is driving fresh to strong NE winds
and rough seas N of 27N between 25W and 35W.
Much of the remaining Atlantic is under the influence of ridging.
Scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh trades across much
of the Atlantic S of 15N, and gentle to moderate trades N of 15N
and away from features described above. Moderate seas prevail
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
31N60W to a weak 1016 mb low near 27N68W, to 24N74W and
northwestward to a weak 1013 mb low near 25.5N79.5W, and continues
from this low southwestward to the Straits of Florida. The front
will remain stationary today, then the northern portions will
shift east as a cold front tonight and Wed. Moderate to locally
fresh northeast to east winds north of 27N west of the front to
near 76W will diminish by late tonight as the frontal boundary
weakens. A weak cold front will move offshore the Georgia and
northeast Florida coasts Thu night. It will then slowly move
eastward across the northwest forecast waters into early Fri, then
become stationary near, or along 30N and west of 70W by Fri
evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
along and near the front. Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure
will be in place through the forecast period allowing for
generally quiet conditions across the area.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 05 May 2026 17:15:13 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051715
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue May 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 25W, S of
11N, moving slowly westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection, also enhanced by the monsoon trough
analyzed in the vicinity of this wave, is noted S of 09N between
15W and 26W.
The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 58W, S of
18N, and is moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant
convection is associated with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W, and continues
southwestward to 02N28W. The ITCZ continues from 02N28W to near
01N50W. In addition to the convection mentioned above, scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is noted S of 04N between
30W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from the Florida Straits to offshore
the NW coast of Cuba, with a frontal remnant trough then also
analyzed southwestward through the Bay of Campeche. No significant
convection is occurring with these features. Moderate to fresh SE
winds are occurring in the NW Gulf, with gentle to moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Slight seas prevail across the Gulf.
For the forecast, a stationary front extending from the Straits
of Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula across the Yucatan channel
will dissipate by early this evening. Moderate to fresh SE to S
return flow will set up in the W Gulf today as high pressure
builds into the eastern Gulf. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong
from Tampico to Veracruz, Mexico tonight into Wed. Similar winds
will pulse near the northern Yucatan Wed evening. The next cold
front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters Thu morning,
quickly stall Thu evening, then retreat back inland Fri as
ridging builds back in across the basin from the east.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A pair of scatterometer passes from earlier this morning showed
fresh to strong trades occurring in the central Caribbean, where
seas are 6-8 ft. Moderate to fresh trades and 4-6 ft seas are
ongoing in the eastern and southwestern Caribbean. In the
northwest Caribbean, gentle to moderate trades and 2-5 ft seas
prevail. Isolated moderate convection is occurring along the
coasts of Panama and Costa Rica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas, with
similar winds in the Gulf of Honduras through the rest of the week
and into the weekend along with moderate to fresh trades over the
remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean. The remnants of a
frontal boundary dissipate by Tue in the far northwest part of
the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N62W southwestward through the
central and northern Bahamas to the Florida Straits. Scattered
moderate convection is along the front from the Bahamas
northeastward. Moderate to fresh NE winds are N of the front while
winds S of the front are gentle to moderate and from the SW.
In the eastern Atlantic, a trough is analyzed from a 1017 mb low
pres near 31N22W southwestward to near 20N31W. Another low pres is
analyzed near 28N29W. The pressure gradient between these features
and high pressure to the north is driving fresh to strong NE winds
and rough seas N of 27N between 25W and 35W.
Much of the remaining Atlantic is under the influence of ridging.
Scatterometer data indicates moderate to fresh trades across much
of the Atlantic S of 15N, and gentle to moderate trades N of 15N
and away from features described above. Moderate seas prevail
across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
31N60W to a weak 1016 mb low near 27N68W, to 24N74W and
northwestward to a weak 1013 mb low near 25.5N79.5W, and continues
from this low southwestward to the Straits of Florida. The front
will remain stationary today, then the northern portions will
shift east as a cold front tonight and Wed. Moderate to locally
fresh northeast to east winds north of 27N west of the front to
near 76W will diminish by late tonight as the frontal boundary
weakens. A weak cold front will move offshore the Georgia and
northeast Florida coasts Thu night. It will then slowly move
eastward across the northwest forecast waters into early Fri, then
become stationary near, or along 30N and west of 70W by Fri
evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible
along and near the front. Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure
will be in place through the forecast period allowing for
generally quiet conditions across the area.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 05 May 2026 18:19:31 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf