DONATE
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 16 Jun 2026 05:13:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 160513
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Jun 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0455 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Northwestern Gulf of America (Invest AL90): A trough of low
pressure located inland near the Texas/Mexico border continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America
today, and environmental conditions there are expected to be
marginally conducive for the formation of a short-lived tropical
storm later today or on Wednesday. Regardless of tropical cyclone
formation, interests across southern and eastern Texas and
portions of Louisiana and Mississippi should prepare for periods
of intense rainfall over the next several days which could produce
widespread, life-threatening flash, urban, and river flooding.
Gusty winds and coastal flooding are also possible along portions
of the northwestern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storm Watches or
Warnings could be required later today. Additional information on
this system can be found in products issued by your local National
Weather Service Forecast Office or NHC Key Messages.
This area has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in
the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest Tropical Weather
Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO
headers ABNT20 KNHC/TWOAT or at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for further details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 04N to 11N AND between 17W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 43W, south of 16N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 03N to 09N and between 33W and 54W.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 60W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted south of 13N and between 55W and 64W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 19N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is found
south of 13N and between 69W and 75W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W and continues southwestward to 07N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N26W to 04N43W and then from 04N45W to
04N51W. Please read the TROPICAL WAVES section above for details
on the convection.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
the potential for tropical cyclone formation in the NW Gulf of
America.
A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms affecting NE Mexico, southern Texas and nearshore
waters. The remainder of the basin is under the western extent of
the subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh SE winds and
moderate seas, west of 90W and off northern Yucatan. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a trough with weak low pressure along it
is inland across northeastern Mexico, and will move slowly
N to NE during the next couple of days. Low pressure is expected
to move northeastward along the Texas coast, and possibly re-
emerge over the NW Gulf late Tue or Wed, at which time
environmental conditions may be marginally conducive for the
formation of a short-lived tropical storm Wed into Thu. Widespread
showers and thunderstorms are expected over the NW Gulf Tue through
Thu. Otherwise, a tightening pressure gradient over the area will
sustain fresh to strong southerly winds over the western Gulf
early Wed through late Thu night, and moderate to fresh winds over
the eastern Gulf. Winds begin to diminish Fri as high pressure
settles in over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few showers are seen south of eastern Cuba and off western
Jamaica. The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge over the central Atlantic and lower pressures in northern
South America forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough
seas in the central Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest
seas are noted off Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes
and moderate seas are found in the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, a broad ridge extends from the central Atlantic
westward along 27N and across S Florida. The pressure gradient
across the region will sustain a large area of fresh to strong
trade winds in the south-central basin through the forecast
period, with highest winds and seas expected off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds at fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Sat, pulsing to near gale Wed
night, Thu night and Fri night. Gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere across the northwestern Caribbean will become SE at
fresh to strong speeds Wed through Thu night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and
seas of 5-8 ft south of 24N and between 67W and 75W. Moderate to
fresh SW winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 28N and
west of 65W. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
and seas of 5-8 ft are found south of 20N and west of 35W. In the
far east, moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 6-8 ft are
present north of 18N and east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad ridge extends from 1022 mb
high pressure near 26N57W westward along 27N and across S
Florida, and will change little through Fri, then begin to weaken
Fri night. The related pressure gradient will maintain moderate to
locally fresh trade winds south of 22N through Fri, diminishing
some in coverage beginning Fri night. Moderate to fresh SW winds
offshore of northeast Florida to near 74W are occurring ahead of a
surface trough. These winds will expand eastward to near 67W
through Wed, as a weak frontal system moves across the
southeastern U.S. The front is expected to move offshore late Fri
night and stall offshore northeast Florida Sat and Sat night.
Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 16 Jun 2026 05:13:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 160513
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Jun 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0455 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Northwestern Gulf of America (Invest AL90): A trough of low
pressure located inland near the Texas/Mexico border continues to
produce a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America
today, and environmental conditions there are expected to be
marginally conducive for the formation of a short-lived tropical
storm later today or on Wednesday. Regardless of tropical cyclone
formation, interests across southern and eastern Texas and
portions of Louisiana and Mississippi should prepare for periods
of intense rainfall over the next several days which could produce
widespread, life-threatening flash, urban, and river flooding.
Gusty winds and coastal flooding are also possible along portions
of the northwestern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storm Watches or
Warnings could be required later today. Additional information on
this system can be found in products issued by your local National
Weather Service Forecast Office or NHC Key Messages.
This area has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in
the next 48 hours. Please refer to the latest Tropical Weather
Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center under AWIPS/WMO
headers ABNT20 KNHC/TWOAT or at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for further details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 04N to 11N AND between 17W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 43W, south of 16N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 03N to 09N and between 33W and 54W.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 60W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted south of 13N and between 55W and 64W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 19N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is found
south of 13N and between 69W and 75W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 13N17W and continues southwestward to 07N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 07N26W to 04N43W and then from 04N45W to
04N51W. Please read the TROPICAL WAVES section above for details
on the convection.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
the potential for tropical cyclone formation in the NW Gulf of
America.
A trough of low pressure is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms affecting NE Mexico, southern Texas and nearshore
waters. The remainder of the basin is under the western extent of
the subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to fresh SE winds and
moderate seas, west of 90W and off northern Yucatan. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a trough with weak low pressure along it
is inland across northeastern Mexico, and will move slowly
N to NE during the next couple of days. Low pressure is expected
to move northeastward along the Texas coast, and possibly re-
emerge over the NW Gulf late Tue or Wed, at which time
environmental conditions may be marginally conducive for the
formation of a short-lived tropical storm Wed into Thu. Widespread
showers and thunderstorms are expected over the NW Gulf Tue through
Thu. Otherwise, a tightening pressure gradient over the area will
sustain fresh to strong southerly winds over the western Gulf
early Wed through late Thu night, and moderate to fresh winds over
the eastern Gulf. Winds begin to diminish Fri as high pressure
settles in over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few showers are seen south of eastern Cuba and off western
Jamaica. The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge over the central Atlantic and lower pressures in northern
South America forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough
seas in the central Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest
seas are noted off Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes
and moderate seas are found in the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, a broad ridge extends from the central Atlantic
westward along 27N and across S Florida. The pressure gradient
across the region will sustain a large area of fresh to strong
trade winds in the south-central basin through the forecast
period, with highest winds and seas expected off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds at fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Sat, pulsing to near gale Wed
night, Thu night and Fri night. Gentle to moderate winds
elsewhere across the northwestern Caribbean will become SE at
fresh to strong speeds Wed through Thu night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds and
seas of 5-8 ft south of 24N and between 67W and 75W. Moderate to
fresh SW winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 28N and
west of 65W. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
and seas of 5-8 ft are found south of 20N and west of 35W. In the
far east, moderate to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 6-8 ft are
present north of 18N and east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, a broad ridge extends from 1022 mb
high pressure near 26N57W westward along 27N and across S
Florida, and will change little through Fri, then begin to weaken
Fri night. The related pressure gradient will maintain moderate to
locally fresh trade winds south of 22N through Fri, diminishing
some in coverage beginning Fri night. Moderate to fresh SW winds
offshore of northeast Florida to near 74W are occurring ahead of a
surface trough. These winds will expand eastward to near 67W
through Wed, as a weak frontal system moves across the
southeastern U.S. The front is expected to move offshore late Fri
night and stall offshore northeast Florida Sat and Sat night.
Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 17 Jun 2026 17:02:39 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 16 Jun 2026 09:11:16 GMT - Tue, 16 Jun 2026 05:02:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 160502
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northwestern Gulf of America (AL90):
A trough of low pressure located inland near the Texas/Mexico border
continues to produce a large area of disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern
Gulf of America today, and environmental conditions there are
expected to be marginally conducive for the formation of a
short-lived tropical storm later today or on Wednesday.
Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, interests across southern
and eastern Texas and portions of Louisiana and Mississippi should
prepare for periods of intense rainfall over the next several days
which could produce widespread, life-threatening flash, urban, and
river flooding. Gusty winds and coastal flooding are also possible
along portions of the northwestern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storm
Watches or Warnings could be required later today. Additional
information on this system can be found in products issued by your
local National Weather Service Forecast Office or NHC Key Messages.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 16:13:01 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 151612
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1215 PM EDT MON 15 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 16/1100Z TO 17/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-015
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (WESTERN GULF OF AMERICA)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
A. 17/0600Z A. 17/1130,1730Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA SURVEY B. AFXXX 0201A CYCLONE
C. 17/0345Z C. 17/0930Z
D. 27.0N 97.0W D. 28.0N 96.0W
E. 17/0530Z TO 17/0930Z E. 17/1100Z TO 17/1730Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. SYSTEM SURVEY G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND REMAINS A
THREAT.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION
INTO SUSPECT AREA FOR 17/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM/KAL/RAR
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf