2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 18 Mar 2026 20:31:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 182031
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Mar 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    East Atlantic Gale Warning: A gale-warning is in effect, issued by
    Meteo-France, for the high seas zones of Irving, west of Madeira,
    and Meteor until 19/12 UTC at least, with severe gusts. Please
    refer to the next Special Feature for details on associated large
    swells. Please refer to the high seas forecast issued by Meteo-
    France on the website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    East Atlantic Long-period N Swell: Large, long-period north swell
    generated by a large fetch of gale to storm-force winds in the
    northeast Atlantic will continue to propagate southward of 31N
    through the weekend. Expect seas of 12-24 ft through Sat mainly N
    of the Cape Verde Islands and east of 43W. Seas across these
    northeastern waters will then gradually reduce in areal coverage
    and subside below 12 ft near the Canary Islands on Mon. Please
    refer to the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N12W then curves
    southwestward to 03N18W. The ITCZ continues from 03N18W to the
    coast of Brazil near 01S48W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is noted from 01N to 05N between 07W and 22W, and S of
    05N between 24W and 61W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge is anchored by a 1031 mb high pressure over the
    United States Mid-Atlantic region extends a ridge southward
    basin-wide, supporting moderate to fresh NE winds across the SE
    half of the basin along with 4 to 7 ft seas, except higher near
    and in the Yucatan Channel, where a tighter pressure gradient
    continues due to a lingering frontal boundary over the NW
    Caribbean. Winds are gentle to moderate at E-SE with 2 to 5 ft
    seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge across
    the Gulf region and a frontal boundary over the Caribbean Sea will
    support moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate to rough
    seas over the SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida to Fri. Moderate
    to fresh NE winds are expected across the eastern Bay of Campeche
    at night through Sat night. Elsewhere gentle to moderate winds and
    slight to moderate seas will prevail through Sun.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front extends from Cuba near 23N80W to the Gulf of
    Honduras. A surface trough is analyzed along to the east of the
    front, from near the Cayman Islands at 20N80W to the SW Caribbean
    at 12N80W. Low level convergence induced by both the front and
    the pre-frontal trough continue to support scattered showers over
    the NW basin, mainly N of 14N and W of 75W. Fresh to strong
    northerly winds with seas of 5 to 9 ft prevail N of the front.
    Across the central and eastern basin E of the trough, fresh to
    locally strong E-SE trade winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft prevail.
    Gentle to moderate winds are across the remainder of the waters
    near the trough axis, including in the SW Caribbean, with seas of
    3 to 6 ft.

    For the forecast, a stationary front extends from western Cuba to
    the Gulf on Honduras. Fresh to locally strong N winds and rough
    seas follow the front. On Thu, the frontal boundary will drift
    eastward, with the fresh to locally strong N winds spilling just
    offshore Nicaragua in the wake of the front. This system is
    forecast to dissipate by Fri. This weather pattern should decrease
    the influence from the Atlantic ridge over the east and central
    Caribbean allowing winds and seas to diminish through Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the Special Features section for details on an east
    Atlantic Gale Warning issued by Meteo-France, and associated large
    northerly swells.

    A stationary front extends from 31N70W to the NW Bahamas and
    western Cuba. Heavy showers associated with the front continue to
    affect the Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank, the Florida Straits,
    SE Florida Seaboard and within 240 nm E of the front between the
    Bahamas and Bermuda. Mostly fresh NE winds prevail W of the
    front, where seas are 5 to 9 ft E of 80W, and 3 to 6 ft across
    the Florida coastal waters, higher in the gulfstream.

    A broad ridge centered on a 1034 mb high near 37N45W dominates
    most of the rest of the Atlantic between the front and 25W. Fresh
    to near gale-force winds are found N of 23N and E of 40W to the
    coast of Africa associated with the gale to storm force system
    discussed in the Special Features section. Fresh to strong winds
    under a relatively tight pressure gradient are found elsewhere
    from 18N to 28N between 35W and 55W. Mainly moderate to fresh
    trades dominate the remainder of the basin E of the stationary
    front. Seas are 4 to 7 ft over the SE waters S of 20N and E of 35W
    including across the Cabo Verde Islands, and 7 to 11 ft across the
    remainder of the waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will remain
    nearly stationary from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Thu.
    A weak low pressure is forecast to develop along the frontal
    boundary late Thu into Fri, and move quickly NE and N of the
    forecast area by Sat. This will tighten the pressure gradient,
    supporting fresh to strong winds and rough seas on either side of
    front and across the offshore forecast waters N of 25N through the
    weekend as this system then transitions to a cold front and moves
    east of the area.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 18 Mar 2026 20:31:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 182031
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Mar 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    East Atlantic Gale Warning: A gale-warning is in effect, issued by
    Meteo-France, for the high seas zones of Irving, west of Madeira,
    and Meteor until 19/12 UTC at least, with severe gusts. Please
    refer to the next Special Feature for details on associated large
    swells. Please refer to the high seas forecast issued by Meteo-
    France on the website: https://wwmiws.wmo.int for more details.

    East Atlantic Long-period N Swell: Large, long-period north swell
    generated by a large fetch of gale to storm-force winds in the
    northeast Atlantic will continue to propagate southward of 31N
    through the weekend. Expect seas of 12-24 ft through Sat mainly N
    of the Cape Verde Islands and east of 43W. Seas across these
    northeastern waters will then gradually reduce in areal coverage
    and subside below 12 ft near the Canary Islands on Mon. Please
    refer to the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N12W then curves
    southwestward to 03N18W. The ITCZ continues from 03N18W to the
    coast of Brazil near 01S48W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is noted from 01N to 05N between 07W and 22W, and S of
    05N between 24W and 61W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge is anchored by a 1031 mb high pressure over the
    United States Mid-Atlantic region extends a ridge southward
    basin-wide, supporting moderate to fresh NE winds across the SE
    half of the basin along with 4 to 7 ft seas, except higher near
    and in the Yucatan Channel, where a tighter pressure gradient
    continues due to a lingering frontal boundary over the NW
    Caribbean. Winds are gentle to moderate at E-SE with 2 to 5 ft
    seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge across
    the Gulf region and a frontal boundary over the Caribbean Sea will
    support moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate to rough
    seas over the SE Gulf and the Straits of Florida to Fri. Moderate
    to fresh NE winds are expected across the eastern Bay of Campeche
    at night through Sat night. Elsewhere gentle to moderate winds and
    slight to moderate seas will prevail through Sun.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front extends from Cuba near 23N80W to the Gulf of
    Honduras. A surface trough is analyzed along to the east of the
    front, from near the Cayman Islands at 20N80W to the SW Caribbean
    at 12N80W. Low level convergence induced by both the front and
    the pre-frontal trough continue to support scattered showers over
    the NW basin, mainly N of 14N and W of 75W. Fresh to strong
    northerly winds with seas of 5 to 9 ft prevail N of the front.
    Across the central and eastern basin E of the trough, fresh to
    locally strong E-SE trade winds and seas of 5 to 8 ft prevail.
    Gentle to moderate winds are across the remainder of the waters
    near the trough axis, including in the SW Caribbean, with seas of
    3 to 6 ft.

    For the forecast, a stationary front extends from western Cuba to
    the Gulf on Honduras. Fresh to locally strong N winds and rough
    seas follow the front. On Thu, the frontal boundary will drift
    eastward, with the fresh to locally strong N winds spilling just
    offshore Nicaragua in the wake of the front. This system is
    forecast to dissipate by Fri. This weather pattern should decrease
    the influence from the Atlantic ridge over the east and central
    Caribbean allowing winds and seas to diminish through Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the Special Features section for details on an east
    Atlantic Gale Warning issued by Meteo-France, and associated large
    northerly swells.

    A stationary front extends from 31N70W to the NW Bahamas and
    western Cuba. Heavy showers associated with the front continue to
    affect the Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank, the Florida Straits,
    SE Florida Seaboard and within 240 nm E of the front between the
    Bahamas and Bermuda. Mostly fresh NE winds prevail W of the
    front, where seas are 5 to 9 ft E of 80W, and 3 to 6 ft across
    the Florida coastal waters, higher in the gulfstream.

    A broad ridge centered on a 1034 mb high near 37N45W dominates
    most of the rest of the Atlantic between the front and 25W. Fresh
    to near gale-force winds are found N of 23N and E of 40W to the
    coast of Africa associated with the gale to storm force system
    discussed in the Special Features section. Fresh to strong winds
    under a relatively tight pressure gradient are found elsewhere
    from 18N to 28N between 35W and 55W. Mainly moderate to fresh
    trades dominate the remainder of the basin E of the stationary
    front. Seas are 4 to 7 ft over the SE waters S of 20N and E of 35W
    including across the Cabo Verde Islands, and 7 to 11 ft across the
    remainder of the waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will remain
    nearly stationary from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas on Thu.
    A weak low pressure is forecast to develop along the frontal
    boundary late Thu into Fri, and move quickly NE and N of the
    forecast area by Sat. This will tighten the pressure gradient,
    supporting fresh to strong winds and rough seas on either side of
    front and across the offshore forecast waters N of 25N through the
    weekend as this system then transitions to a cold front and moves
    east of the area.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 18 Mar 2026 14:01:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 181400
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EDT WED 18 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z MARCH 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-108

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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