2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 22:46:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 012246
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Jan 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    NE Atlantic Significant Swell: Residual NW swell will maintain
    seas near 12 ft in the NE Atlantic north of 28N and E of 40W.
    These seas will subside below 12 ft tonight.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends just offshore Africa along 10N to
    around 15W. The ITCZ stretches along 06N from 11W to 42W.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is present from
    04N to 07N between 11W and 18W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Convection associated with a weakening surface trough in the
    western Bay of Campeche diminished this afternoon, leaving the
    basin dominated by a 1023 mb high pressure centered near 26N91W.
    This is inducing mainly gentle anticyclonic flow basin-wide, with
    slight seas.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
    prevail over the basin through Fri morning as high pressure builds
    over the central Gulf of America. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
    winds and moderate seas will develop over the northern Gulf on
    Fri as a warm front, associated with a low pressure system moving
    through the southern U.S., lifts northward. A cold front trailing
    the low is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sat, leading to
    moderate N winds behind the front. High pressure will build over
    the basin in the wake of the front Sun into next week

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough that extends from just south of Haiti to just
    offshore Colombia is inducing scattered moderate convection within
    150 nm S of Hispaniola. Earlier convection in western Caribbean
    waters has diminished this afternoon.

    The dominant winds over the basin are fresh NE, but strong N winds
    are ongoing offshore Nicaragua, and strong E winds are present
    offshore western Venezuela. In addition, gentle to moderate winds
    are present in the NE basin, near the Yucatan Peninsula, and in
    the Gulf of Honduras. Seas are 5 to 8 ft, except 3 to 5 ft in the
    NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and western Caribbean,
    including through the Windward Passage, through Fri as high
    pressure builds over the Gulf of America. Locally strong N winds
    will be possible offshore of Nicaragua through late this evening.
    Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong trade winds are expected in the
    south-central basin through Sat as low pressure anchors over
    northern Colombia. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    then expected over much of the Caribbean Sun into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section above for information on very
    rough seas in the NE Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic across
    31N54W to 26N63W. Scattered moderate convection is along and up to
    90 nm E of this boundary, with more scattered moderate convection
    being caused by converging low-level southerly winds from 22N to
    28N between 54W and 59W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
    for additional convection in the Atlantic basin.

    Behind the cold front, N of 26N, fresh W winds are ongoing, with
    ahead of the cold front, N of 25N and E to 50W, moderate to fresh
    SW winds are present. Rough seas are occurring in both areas of
    higher winds. In the NE Atlantic, another cold front extends from
    the Canary Islands to just NW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Fresh to
    strong NW winds and rough seas follow this front to the N of 25N.
    Elsewhere, moderate seas prevail, and winds are moderate or
    weaker, except for a zone of fresh trades and 6 to 9 ft seas from
    05N to 15N between 30W and 55W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will progress east
    through the evening, with moderate to fresh SW winds E of the
    front, and N of 28N. Rough seas associated with this front, north
    of 27N and east of 60W, will slowly subside from west to east by
    late tonight. Elsewhere, fresh W winds and locally rough seas
    occurring well offshore of northern Florida will expand eastward
    today as a cold front passing north of the waters moves eastward.
    Looking ahead, fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas are
    expected to develop offshore of northern and central Florida on
    Sat, ahead of a cold front moving through the southeastern U.S.
    The front is forecast to enter the northwest tropical Atlantic
    later this weekend, supporting fresh N winds and locally rough
    seas behind the front. These winds and seas will expand
    southeastward into early next week.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 22:46:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 012246
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Jan 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    NE Atlantic Significant Swell: Residual NW swell will maintain
    seas near 12 ft in the NE Atlantic north of 28N and E of 40W.
    These seas will subside below 12 ft tonight.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends just offshore Africa along 10N to
    around 15W. The ITCZ stretches along 06N from 11W to 42W.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is present from
    04N to 07N between 11W and 18W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Convection associated with a weakening surface trough in the
    western Bay of Campeche diminished this afternoon, leaving the
    basin dominated by a 1023 mb high pressure centered near 26N91W.
    This is inducing mainly gentle anticyclonic flow basin-wide, with
    slight seas.

    For the forecast, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas will
    prevail over the basin through Fri morning as high pressure builds
    over the central Gulf of America. Fresh to locally strong SW to W
    winds and moderate seas will develop over the northern Gulf on
    Fri as a warm front, associated with a low pressure system moving
    through the southern U.S., lifts northward. A cold front trailing
    the low is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sat, leading to
    moderate N winds behind the front. High pressure will build over
    the basin in the wake of the front Sun into next week

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough that extends from just south of Haiti to just
    offshore Colombia is inducing scattered moderate convection within
    150 nm S of Hispaniola. Earlier convection in western Caribbean
    waters has diminished this afternoon.

    The dominant winds over the basin are fresh NE, but strong N winds
    are ongoing offshore Nicaragua, and strong E winds are present
    offshore western Venezuela. In addition, gentle to moderate winds
    are present in the NE basin, near the Yucatan Peninsula, and in
    the Gulf of Honduras. Seas are 5 to 8 ft, except 3 to 5 ft in the
    NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh N to NE winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and western Caribbean,
    including through the Windward Passage, through Fri as high
    pressure builds over the Gulf of America. Locally strong N winds
    will be possible offshore of Nicaragua through late this evening.
    Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong trade winds are expected in the
    south-central basin through Sat as low pressure anchors over
    northern Colombia. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    then expected over much of the Caribbean Sun into early next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section above for information on very
    rough seas in the NE Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from the north-central Atlantic across
    31N54W to 26N63W. Scattered moderate convection is along and up to
    90 nm E of this boundary, with more scattered moderate convection
    being caused by converging low-level southerly winds from 22N to
    28N between 54W and 59W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
    for additional convection in the Atlantic basin.

    Behind the cold front, N of 26N, fresh W winds are ongoing, with
    ahead of the cold front, N of 25N and E to 50W, moderate to fresh
    SW winds are present. Rough seas are occurring in both areas of
    higher winds. In the NE Atlantic, another cold front extends from
    the Canary Islands to just NW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Fresh to
    strong NW winds and rough seas follow this front to the N of 25N.
    Elsewhere, moderate seas prevail, and winds are moderate or
    weaker, except for a zone of fresh trades and 6 to 9 ft seas from
    05N to 15N between 30W and 55W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will progress east
    through the evening, with moderate to fresh SW winds E of the
    front, and N of 28N. Rough seas associated with this front, north
    of 27N and east of 60W, will slowly subside from west to east by
    late tonight. Elsewhere, fresh W winds and locally rough seas
    occurring well offshore of northern Florida will expand eastward
    today as a cold front passing north of the waters moves eastward.
    Looking ahead, fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas are
    expected to develop offshore of northern and central Florida on
    Sat, ahead of a cold front moving through the southeastern U.S.
    The front is forecast to enter the northwest tropical Atlantic
    later this weekend, supporting fresh N winds and locally rough
    seas behind the front. These winds and seas will expand
    southeastward into early next week.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 01 Jan 2026 15:06:03 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 011505
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1005 AM EST THU 01 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-032

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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