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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 04:39:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
993
AXNT20 KNHC 010439
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 21W from 04N
to 19N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
evident from 10N to 19N between 16W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the
wave's environment.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 12N to 17N between 64W and 69W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is evident
near this tropical wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
southward to a 1010 mb low pres near 16N24W and then continues
southwestward to 07N43W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 06N47W to
06N53W. No significant convection is noted at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level
trough north of the area is producing a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the coast,
while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of
the basin.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
week as an upper-level trough and cold front at the surface drop
southward toward the Gulf states. Fresh southwest winds look to
develop ahead of the front over the far northern Gulf late this
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are occurring off
NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the
lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will slowly
subside through Sat. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient
across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades in the
central basin through this weekend and much of next week. Fresh to
strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then
diminish to moderate to fresh speeds for the remainder of the
period. A tropical wave, currently over the eastern Caribbean near
66W, is accompanied by increasing showers and thunderstorms along
with gusty winds. The wave will quickly move westward across the
remainder of the basin through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active north of 28N and
west of 70W. Fresh SW winds are evident in this area, with 5-7 ft
seas. Elsewhere, the remainder of the subtropical and tropical
Atlantic is influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered
near 33N50W. This pattern is supporting mostly moderate NE to E
winds and 4-6 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge will lift N
to near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The
gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and
west of 70W through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse
just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 01 Aug 2026 04:39:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
993
AXNT20 KNHC 010439
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed along 21W from 04N
to 19N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
evident from 10N to 19N between 16W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are noted in the
wave's environment.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 12N to 17N between 64W and 69W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 86W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is evident
near this tropical wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
southward to a 1010 mb low pres near 16N24W and then continues
southwestward to 07N43W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 06N47W to
06N53W. No significant convection is noted at this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-level
trough north of the area is producing a few showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the coast,
while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of
the basin.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
week as an upper-level trough and cold front at the surface drop
southward toward the Gulf states. Fresh southwest winds look to
develop ahead of the front over the far northern Gulf late this
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across much of the central
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are occurring off
NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the
lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will slowly
subside through Sat. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient
across the Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades in the
central basin through this weekend and much of next week. Fresh to
strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then
diminish to moderate to fresh speeds for the remainder of the
period. A tropical wave, currently over the eastern Caribbean near
66W, is accompanied by increasing showers and thunderstorms along
with gusty winds. The wave will quickly move westward across the
remainder of the basin through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active north of 28N and
west of 70W. Fresh SW winds are evident in this area, with 5-7 ft
seas. Elsewhere, the remainder of the subtropical and tropical
Atlantic is influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered
near 33N50W. This pattern is supporting mostly moderate NE to E
winds and 4-6 ft seas across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge will lift N
to near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The
gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
along with scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and
west of 70W through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse
just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 17:03:19 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 01 Aug 2026 07:20:24 GMT - Sat, 01 Aug 2026 05:03:19 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
529
ABNT20 KNHC 010503
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 13:51:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT FRI 31 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-061
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf