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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 23 May 2026 05:06:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 230506
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat May 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has been analyzed near 18W from 13N
southward, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection are seen from 02N to 08N between 11W
and 20W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 45W, south of 12N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are observed from 02N to 07N between 42W and 50W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 79-80W, south of 15N and into
the Eastern Pacific to near 05N, moving westward at around 10 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring S of 11N and W of 80W.
Convection with this wave is being enhanced by the Eastern
Pacific monsoon trough, which extends across the SW Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
southwestward to 03N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N25W to 01N34W to
02N43W. Scattered moderate convection is observed S of 03N between
23W and 41W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level shortwave over the south-central US is supporting
widely scattered moderate convection across much of the N and W
Gulf coast from near Panama City Beach, FL to near Tampico,
Mexico. Ridging extending from the Atlantic into the Gulf supports
moderate E to SE winds across much of the Gulf, with fresh to
strong winds pulsing along and near the coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Slight seas prevail across the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little through late Mon,
then weaken into midweek. The related pressure gradient will
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow through
early Sun, except for light to gentle southeast winds W of about
94W Sat night through Tue as a weak trough develops off the Texas
coast. Winds then generally become southeast at gentle to moderate
speeds across the basin through midweek, with slight to moderate
seas, with the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW
Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the night time hours due
to local effects associated with a thermal trough. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong, are
expected to affect portions of the western Gulf through the
weekend and into next week. Mariners should keep up with the
latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the region and
the Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades in the south-
central Caribbean, where seas are 6-8 ft. Moderate to fresh trades
and 4-7 ft seas prevail in the eastern and central Caribbean as
well as the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds
and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring across waters near Hispaniola, Cuba,
and Jamaica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central Caribbean into early next week creating rough seas over
these waters. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades elsewhere across
the basin will begin to increase in coverage starting early next
week as stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift
southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure N of the region extends a ridge across much of the
basin. Fresh trades and seas of 6-8 ft prevail across areas S of
22N, as well as areas N of 22N and E of 30W. Winds are locally
fresh to strong in between the Canary Islands and the Cabo Verde
Islands, confirmed by recent scatterometer data. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail in the remainder
of the Atlantic waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered E of the
Bahamas near 32N58W dominates the forecast region. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during the afternoons and
evenings going into early next week. The western part of a
backdoor cold front will push south across the eastern portion of
the area from Sun afternoon into Mon before stalling near 26N,
then begin to weaken, dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong
northeast winds along with moderate seas will follow the front,
subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are forecast to increase
over most of the western half of the area starting Mon, including
the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to
the Windward Passage as slightly stronger high pressure over the
north-central Atlantic shifts east-southeastward leading to a
tighter pressure gradient.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 23 May 2026 05:06:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 230506
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat May 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has been analyzed near 18W from 13N
southward, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection are seen from 02N to 08N between 11W
and 20W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 45W, south of 12N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are observed from 02N to 07N between 42W and 50W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 79-80W, south of 15N and into
the Eastern Pacific to near 05N, moving westward at around 10 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring S of 11N and W of 80W.
Convection with this wave is being enhanced by the Eastern
Pacific monsoon trough, which extends across the SW Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
southwestward to 03N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N25W to 01N34W to
02N43W. Scattered moderate convection is observed S of 03N between
23W and 41W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper level shortwave over the south-central US is supporting
widely scattered moderate convection across much of the N and W
Gulf coast from near Panama City Beach, FL to near Tampico,
Mexico. Ridging extending from the Atlantic into the Gulf supports
moderate E to SE winds across much of the Gulf, with fresh to
strong winds pulsing along and near the coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Slight seas prevail across the Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little through late Mon,
then weaken into midweek. The related pressure gradient will
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow through
early Sun, except for light to gentle southeast winds W of about
94W Sat night through Tue as a weak trough develops off the Texas
coast. Winds then generally become southeast at gentle to moderate
speeds across the basin through midweek, with slight to moderate
seas, with the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW
Yucatan from the late afternoons and into the night time hours due
to local effects associated with a thermal trough. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong, are
expected to affect portions of the western Gulf through the
weekend and into next week. Mariners should keep up with the
latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the region and
the Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades in the south-
central Caribbean, where seas are 6-8 ft. Moderate to fresh trades
and 4-7 ft seas prevail in the eastern and central Caribbean as
well as the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds
and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring across waters near Hispaniola, Cuba,
and Jamaica.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central Caribbean into early next week creating rough seas over
these waters. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades elsewhere across
the basin will begin to increase in coverage starting early next
week as stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift
southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure N of the region extends a ridge across much of the
basin. Fresh trades and seas of 6-8 ft prevail across areas S of
22N, as well as areas N of 22N and E of 30W. Winds are locally
fresh to strong in between the Canary Islands and the Cabo Verde
Islands, confirmed by recent scatterometer data. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds and 3-6 ft seas prevail in the remainder
of the Atlantic waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered E of the
Bahamas near 32N58W dominates the forecast region. Fresh to strong
trades will pulse north of Hispaniola during the afternoons and
evenings going into early next week. The western part of a
backdoor cold front will push south across the eastern portion of
the area from Sun afternoon into Mon before stalling near 26N,
then begin to weaken, dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong
northeast winds along with moderate seas will follow the front,
subsiding late Tue. Elsewhere, trades are forecast to increase
over most of the western half of the area starting Mon, including
the waters between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to
the Windward Passage as slightly stronger high pressure over the
north-central Atlantic shifts east-southeastward leading to a
tighter pressure gradient.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 24 May 2026 17:04:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 23 May 2026 07:00:16 GMT - Sat, 23 May 2026 05:04:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 230504
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat May 23 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf