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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 16:47:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 081647
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1647 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support fresh to near gale trades over the central
Caribbean for the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-
force at night off Colombia, except on Thu and Sun. Gale-force
winds are also expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat
night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft Sat.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W from
03N to 15N, and is moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection noted from 06N to 09N between 27W and 35W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55.5W south
of 17N, and is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant
convection is depicted at the moment in association with this
wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 67W south of 18N.
It is moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
depicted at the moment in association with this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave has now moved into the
Eastern Pacific. For more information about this tropical wave,
please read the Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern
Pacific Ocean (TWDEP).
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 21N17W and
continues southwestward to 07N35W, where it transitions to the
ITCZ to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 02N
to 08N between 36W and 42W. Similar convection is well south of
the trough from 06N to 11N between the coast of Africa and 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure is extending westward across the
basin from the Atlantic. The associated pressure gradient is
generally allowing for light to gentle variable winds north of
24N and for gentle to moderate easterly winds south of 24N,
except for mostly moderate winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are
of slight state, except for moderate state seas in the Bay of
Campeche. Meanwhile, an upper-level low and mid-level trough over
the western Bay of Campeche is acting on a very unstable and
moisture- laden atmosphere. This has lead to the development of
numerous showers and thunderstorms over much of the west- central
and southwestern portions of the basin, south of about 26N and
west of 93W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present
north of 26N between 86W and 91W.
For the forecast, the aforementioned relatively weak high
pressure will change little through Thu night, then shift
northward to near the northern Gulf coast Fri through Sat night.
The weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds across the Gulf south of about 26N, and light to
gentle southeast to south winds north of about 26N. The exception
will be fresh to strong northeast to east winds offshore the
Yucatan peninsula at night due to the diurnal trough that moves
westward from the Yucatan peninsula. A mid to upper- level low
acting on a very unstable and moisture- laden atmosphere will
generate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the
SW Gulf, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
elsewhere across the basin south of about 28N through Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela.
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures over northern South America is bringing fresh to
near gale trades over the central Caribbean. Seas with these winds
are 8 to 11 ft. Moderate to locally fresh east winds and seas of
4 to 5 ft are in the Gulf of Honduras while fresh to strong
northeast winds are funneling into the Windward Passage. Seas
there are also 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, mostly fresh trades are over
the basin, except for gentle to moderate winds over the NW
Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft south of 18N and east of 83W and 3
to 5 ft elsewhere. Upper divergence is helping to sustain
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressures over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force at night off
Colombia, except on Thu and Sun. Gale-force winds are also
expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in
the late afternoons and evenings through the weekend. A fast-
moving tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles this
evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the eastern
Caribbean Thu through Fri night. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms may accompany this wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N, anchored
by a 1025 mb high center at 26N44W. The pressure gradient between
this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is producing
fresh to strong trades south of about 24N and between 63W and 78W.
Seas of 5 to 7 ft are with these trades. Farther east, moderate to
fresh trades along with seas 5 to 8 ft prevail south of a line
from 28N23W to 21N48W to 23N78W. North of that line, light to
gentle winds prevail along with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and seas of about 4 to 6 ft remain. An
upper level trough north of the Hispaniola and Puerto Rico is
supporting numerous showers and thunderstorms south of 23N between
64W and 72W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
Passage through the weekend.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 16:47:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 081647
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1647 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support fresh to near gale trades over the central
Caribbean for the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-
force at night off Colombia, except on Thu and Sun. Gale-force
winds are also expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat
night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft Sat.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W from
03N to 15N, and is moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection noted from 06N to 09N between 27W and 35W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55.5W south
of 17N, and is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant
convection is depicted at the moment in association with this
wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 67W south of 18N.
It is moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
depicted at the moment in association with this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave has now moved into the
Eastern Pacific. For more information about this tropical wave,
please read the Tropical Weather Discussion for the eastern
Pacific Ocean (TWDEP).
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 21N17W and
continues southwestward to 07N35W, where it transitions to the
ITCZ to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 02N
to 08N between 36W and 42W. Similar convection is well south of
the trough from 06N to 11N between the coast of Africa and 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure is extending westward across the
basin from the Atlantic. The associated pressure gradient is
generally allowing for light to gentle variable winds north of
24N and for gentle to moderate easterly winds south of 24N,
except for mostly moderate winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are
of slight state, except for moderate state seas in the Bay of
Campeche. Meanwhile, an upper-level low and mid-level trough over
the western Bay of Campeche is acting on a very unstable and
moisture- laden atmosphere. This has lead to the development of
numerous showers and thunderstorms over much of the west- central
and southwestern portions of the basin, south of about 26N and
west of 93W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also present
north of 26N between 86W and 91W.
For the forecast, the aforementioned relatively weak high
pressure will change little through Thu night, then shift
northward to near the northern Gulf coast Fri through Sat night.
The weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds across the Gulf south of about 26N, and light to
gentle southeast to south winds north of about 26N. The exception
will be fresh to strong northeast to east winds offshore the
Yucatan peninsula at night due to the diurnal trough that moves
westward from the Yucatan peninsula. A mid to upper- level low
acting on a very unstable and moisture- laden atmosphere will
generate scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the
SW Gulf, with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
elsewhere across the basin south of about 28N through Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and over the Gulf of Venezuela.
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures over northern South America is bringing fresh to
near gale trades over the central Caribbean. Seas with these winds
are 8 to 11 ft. Moderate to locally fresh east winds and seas of
4 to 5 ft are in the Gulf of Honduras while fresh to strong
northeast winds are funneling into the Windward Passage. Seas
there are also 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, mostly fresh trades are over
the basin, except for gentle to moderate winds over the NW
Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8 ft south of 18N and east of 83W and 3
to 5 ft elsewhere. Upper divergence is helping to sustain
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressures over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force at night off
Colombia, except on Thu and Sun. Gale-force winds are also
expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in
the late afternoons and evenings through the weekend. A fast-
moving tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles this
evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the eastern
Caribbean Thu through Fri night. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms may accompany this wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N, anchored
by a 1025 mb high center at 26N44W. The pressure gradient between
this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is producing
fresh to strong trades south of about 24N and between 63W and 78W.
Seas of 5 to 7 ft are with these trades. Farther east, moderate to
fresh trades along with seas 5 to 8 ft prevail south of a line
from 28N23W to 21N48W to 23N78W. North of that line, light to
gentle winds prevail along with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and seas of about 4 to 6 ft remain. An
upper level trough north of the Hispaniola and Puerto Rico is
supporting numerous showers and thunderstorms south of 23N between
64W and 72W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
Passage through the weekend.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 05:15:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 08 Jul 2026 18:01:31 GMT - Wed, 08 Jul 2026 17:15:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 081715
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 13:29:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081329
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT WED 08 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-038
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL/RAR
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf