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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 08 Aug 2026 05:03:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 080503
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. The ridge N of the region will shift
    southward over the weekend, increasing the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough
    seas will prevail in this area, building to very rough at times
    coinciding with the periods of gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands, with
    axis along 26W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted S of 10N.

    A tropical wave is near 46W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
    west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of
    10N.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 58W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted S of 10N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N16W and continues
    westward to near 11N42W. The ITCZ extends from 09N49W to 09N57W.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
    scattered moderate convection prevails within 300 nm on either
    side of the monsoon trough.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends across the Carolinas and into the
    north-central Gulf. A surface trough is moving westward across
    Florida. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate NE to E
    winds and 1-3 ft seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active across the central Gulf.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate most of the
    Gulf basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate
    E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
    Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a surface trough
    migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
    effect for the waters N of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N67W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, along
    with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh trades are over the
    E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are observed
    elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW
    basin through next week, with gale-force winds occurring tonight
    and Saturday night in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore of
    Colombia. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region will shift
    slightly southward, and maintain near gale-force winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Winds will pulse fresh to
    locally strong during the evenings and night in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the northern
    Bahamas and off the northeast coast of Florida, following a trough
    currently moving across the Florida peninsula. Broad ridging
    dominates the Atlantic north of 25N, supporting E to SE winds and
    4-6 ft across the basin, except for fresh to strong NE winds near
    the Canary Islands. Saharan dust covers the Atlantic north of 15N
    and east of 50W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will shift W-NW
    and inland through Sat. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    occurring E of the trough to 76W will shift northwestward behind
    the trough through Sat, then persist N of 30N through Sun. Fresh
    winds and moderate to rough seas N of the Bahamas and W of 76W
    will gradually subside by Sat morning. Otherwise, the Bermuda
    High will shift slightly southward through early next week. Fresh
    E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the
    Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each
    evening and night.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 08 Aug 2026 05:03:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 080503
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Aug 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to
    strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW basin
    through next week. The ridge N of the region will shift
    southward over the weekend, increasing the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to gale-force speeds tonight and Saturday night. Rough
    seas will prevail in this area, building to very rough at times
    coinciding with the periods of gale-force winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is moving across the Cape Verde Islands, with
    axis along 26W from 06N to 19N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted S of 10N.

    A tropical wave is near 46W, and extends from 05N to 19N, moving
    west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of
    10N.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 58W,
    extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted S of 10N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N16W and continues
    westward to near 11N42W. The ITCZ extends from 09N49W to 09N57W.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
    scattered moderate convection prevails within 300 nm on either
    side of the monsoon trough.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends across the Carolinas and into the
    north-central Gulf. A surface trough is moving westward across
    Florida. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate NE to E
    winds and 1-3 ft seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
    active across the central Gulf.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate most of the
    Gulf basin through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate
    E to SE winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds
    will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
    Bay of Campeche each evening and night as a surface trough
    migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
    effect for the waters N of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure located NW
    of Bermuda near 33N67W and the Colombian low continues to support
    fresh to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, along
    with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to fresh trades are over the
    E Caribbean while gentle to moderate E winds are observed
    elsewhere. Seas are moderate with these winds.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions of the SW
    basin through next week, with gale-force winds occurring tonight
    and Saturday night in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore of
    Colombia. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region will shift
    slightly southward, and maintain near gale-force winds offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Winds will pulse fresh to
    locally strong during the evenings and night in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the northern
    Bahamas and off the northeast coast of Florida, following a trough
    currently moving across the Florida peninsula. Broad ridging
    dominates the Atlantic north of 25N, supporting E to SE winds and
    4-6 ft across the basin, except for fresh to strong NE winds near
    the Canary Islands. Saharan dust covers the Atlantic north of 15N
    and east of 50W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will shift W-NW
    and inland through Sat. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    occurring E of the trough to 76W will shift northwestward behind
    the trough through Sat, then persist N of 30N through Sun. Fresh
    winds and moderate to rough seas N of the Bahamas and W of 76W
    will gradually subside by Sat morning. Otherwise, the Bermuda
    High will shift slightly southward through early next week. Fresh
    E winds will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the
    Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each
    evening and night.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 09 Aug 2026 17:02:20 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 08 Aug 2026 06:40:13 GMT
  • Sat, 08 Aug 2026 05:02:20 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 080502
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 07 Aug 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    338
    NOUS42 KNHC 071345
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0945 AM EDT FRI 07 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-068

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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