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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 17:50:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111749
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1744 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are occurring around 550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across
the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance in the next 48
hours is medium.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 32W from 07N to 19N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N
to 13N between 28W and 40W. Please read the Special Features section
above for more information about this wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 52.5W from 07N to 18N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
10N to 15N between 52W and 57W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 64W from 13N to 23N, moving
west at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers are noted over the U.S.
Virgin Islands and over portions of Puerto Rico.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 85W S of 21N, moving west at
15 kt. A cluster of moderate to strong convection is depicted
from 16N to 18.5N and west of 83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W and continues
southwestward to 1014 mb low pres near 10N31W to 10N51W. Aside
from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 07N to 15N
and east of 21.5W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends from a High near 29N71W westward across
the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds, and
slight seas prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical gentle to
moderate E to SE winds are occurring along the N and W coastal
waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds are blowing through the
Straits of Florida, producing seas to 5 ft. A surface trough
continues to drift westward across the Bay of Campeche and is
yielding a small cluster of moderate convection offshore Veracruz.
For the forecast, the aforementioned surface ridge will dominate
the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat night.
Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the basin,
with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb High and a 1008 mb
Colombian Low is supporting strong to near gale-force winds, and
moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 16N
between 71W and 79W. Fresh NE winds prevail through the Windward
Passage and south of Cuba, while moderate to fresh trade winds
prevail across the NE Caribbean to the Mona Passage in advance of
an approaching tropical wave. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight
to moderate seas prevail elsewhere across SE and NW portions.
Along and ahead of the tropical wave near 85W a cluster of
moderate to strong convection is impacting the east coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula, the Gulf of Honduras, and most of the coast of
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
South America will continue to support fresh to strong trades over
the central portion of the basin through Wed night. The ridge
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu allowing for the
trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
portion of the basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach
near-gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night, except Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the Windward
Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 19N, anchored by a
1023 mb high centered near 28N43W. Light to gentle winds
generally prevail over the waters N of 23N and west of 30W, with
slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S
of 23N and west of 30W, and moderate seas to 7 ft. Fresh to
strong N to NE winds continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to
the east of 37W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates
most of the basin N of 15N from Africa through the southern
Bahamas.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging along 28N
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu and change
little into Sat. The gradient will tighten over the southern
portion leading to an increase of the trades from the Bahamas
eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the
approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to
strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of low pressure is
located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 17:50:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 111749
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1744 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are occurring around 550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across
the central tropical Atlantic. Formation chance in the next 48
hours is medium.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 32W from 07N to 19N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N
to 13N between 28W and 40W. Please read the Special Features section
above for more information about this wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 52.5W from 07N to 18N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from
10N to 15N between 52W and 57W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 64W from 13N to 23N, moving
west at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers are noted over the U.S.
Virgin Islands and over portions of Puerto Rico.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 85W S of 21N, moving west at
15 kt. A cluster of moderate to strong convection is depicted
from 16N to 18.5N and west of 83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W and continues
southwestward to 1014 mb low pres near 10N31W to 10N51W. Aside
from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 07N to 15N
and east of 21.5W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends from a High near 29N71W westward across
the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds, and
slight seas prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical gentle to
moderate E to SE winds are occurring along the N and W coastal
waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds are blowing through the
Straits of Florida, producing seas to 5 ft. A surface trough
continues to drift westward across the Bay of Campeche and is
yielding a small cluster of moderate convection offshore Veracruz.
For the forecast, the aforementioned surface ridge will dominate
the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat night.
Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the basin,
with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb High and a 1008 mb
Colombian Low is supporting strong to near gale-force winds, and
moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 16N
between 71W and 79W. Fresh NE winds prevail through the Windward
Passage and south of Cuba, while moderate to fresh trade winds
prevail across the NE Caribbean to the Mona Passage in advance of
an approaching tropical wave. Gentle to moderate winds, and slight
to moderate seas prevail elsewhere across SE and NW portions.
Along and ahead of the tropical wave near 85W a cluster of
moderate to strong convection is impacting the east coast of the
Yucatan Peninsula, the Gulf of Honduras, and most of the coast of
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
South America will continue to support fresh to strong trades over
the central portion of the basin through Wed night. The ridge
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu allowing for the
trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
portion of the basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach
near-gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night, except Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the Windward
Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 19N, anchored by a
1023 mb high centered near 28N43W. Light to gentle winds
generally prevail over the waters N of 23N and west of 30W, with
slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S
of 23N and west of 30W, and moderate seas to 7 ft. Fresh to
strong N to NE winds continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to
the east of 37W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates
most of the basin N of 15N from Africa through the southern
Bahamas.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging along 28N
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu and change
little into Sat. The gradient will tighten over the southern
portion leading to an increase of the trades from the Bahamas
eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the
approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to
strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of low pressure is
located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 05:31:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 18:06:29 GMT - Tue, 11 Aug 2026 17:31:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 111731
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are occurring around 550 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to become more
conducive for development during the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of this
week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across
the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic:
Shower and thunderstorm activity associated with a trough of low
pressure located about 750 miles east-northeast of Bermuda has
become a little more concentrated since yesterday. Some development
of this system is possible during the next day or so while it moves
eastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical Atlantic.
The system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week,
ending its chances of formation by Thursday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 14:38:07 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111438
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1040 AM EDT TUE 11 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-072
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (CENTRAL PACIFIC - CP93)
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 13/0000Z A. 13/0000Z
B. NOAA9 02AAC SURV B. NOAA2 03AAC TDR
C. 12/1730Z C. 12/2000Z
D. NA D. 14.0N 143.0W
E. NA E. 12/2200Z TO 13/0230Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 15.7N 145.0W FOR
13/1800Z.
B. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
CP93 FOR 14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/1730Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/2000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf