2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 03:57:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 040357
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1033
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
    force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones. Gale-
    force winds are expected from 04/1500 to 05/0000 UTC with severe
    gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions
    will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer to the
    Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 13N, moving
    westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 47W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 07N to 11N between 45W and 53W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 62W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing the shower and
    thunderstorm activity across NE South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N23W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N23W to 03N34W and from 03N37W to 02N48W.
    Scattered moderate convection is present from 04N to 12N and east
    of 22W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from southern Florida to SE Louisiana.
    A surface trough extends from 27N88W to the eastern Bay of
    Campeche. A tight pressure gradient behind the front forces fresh
    to strong easterly winds and moderate seas. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas are present north
    of a line from western Cuba to southern Texas. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and
    plenty of tropical moisture result in scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf waters, east of 90W.

    For the forecast, the trough will track north-northwestward
    through Fri. Interaction between this trough and the front is
    going to sustain fresh to strong ENE to SE winds with moderate to
    rough seas across the central and eastern Gulf, north of 25N
    through Fri evening. In addition, a persistent upper-level trough
    across the western Gulf will continue to enhance sporadic heavy
    showers and strong thunderstorms near the aforementioned trough
    and front through Fri night. Gusty winds with low visibility and
    frequent lightning will accompany the strong thunderstorms. After
    the low moves into Louisiana and the stationary front dissipates
    on Sat, the Atlantic Ridge should build westward across northern
    Florida into the Gulf, bringing moderate to locally fresh SE winds
    and moderate seas back to the entire Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A 1033 mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores
    extends southwestward to the Caribbean Sea, supporting fresh to
    strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    noted in the north-central and eastern Caribbean and the Gulf of
    Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring in the SW Caribbean, while fast-
    moving showers are passing across the NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
    shift east through Thu, allowing moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas to dominate much of the the Caribbean by
    Fri morning. The exception will be pulsing fresh to strong winds
    off Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night
    through Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge will rebuild north
    of the area by Sun, supporting fresh winds and building seas
    across the central and northwestern Caribbean by Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from a 1014 mb low pressure near 32N71W
    to the NW Bahamas and southern Florida. Scattered showers are
    present ahead of the front. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and
    rough to locally very rough seas are found behind the front.
    Fresh to strong southerly winds and moderate seas are evident
    ahead of the front to 64W and north of 29N. In the remainder of
    the tropical Atlantic, the basin is being dominated by ridging
    centered around a 1033 mb high located at 35N33W, leading to
    moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally
    rough seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough to very rough seas are active north of a stationary front
    extending southwestward from 31N71W to Miami, Florida. Fresh to
    strong SW winds are also active along the front between 30N and
    Bermuda. Winds and seas will diminish across the area through
    tomorrow night as the front dissipates and high pressure starts to
    build over the western Atlantic into next week.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 03:57:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 040357
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1033
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
    force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones. Gale-
    force winds are expected from 04/1500 to 05/0000 UTC with severe
    gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions
    will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer to the
    Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 35W, south of 13N, moving
    westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 47W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 07N to 11N between 45W and 53W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 62W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing the shower and
    thunderstorm activity across NE South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N23W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N23W to 03N34W and from 03N37W to 02N48W.
    Scattered moderate convection is present from 04N to 12N and east
    of 22W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from southern Florida to SE Louisiana.
    A surface trough extends from 27N88W to the eastern Bay of
    Campeche. A tight pressure gradient behind the front forces fresh
    to strong easterly winds and moderate seas. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas are present north
    of a line from western Cuba to southern Texas. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and
    plenty of tropical moisture result in scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf waters, east of 90W.

    For the forecast, the trough will track north-northwestward
    through Fri. Interaction between this trough and the front is
    going to sustain fresh to strong ENE to SE winds with moderate to
    rough seas across the central and eastern Gulf, north of 25N
    through Fri evening. In addition, a persistent upper-level trough
    across the western Gulf will continue to enhance sporadic heavy
    showers and strong thunderstorms near the aforementioned trough
    and front through Fri night. Gusty winds with low visibility and
    frequent lightning will accompany the strong thunderstorms. After
    the low moves into Louisiana and the stationary front dissipates
    on Sat, the Atlantic Ridge should build westward across northern
    Florida into the Gulf, bringing moderate to locally fresh SE winds
    and moderate seas back to the entire Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A 1033 mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores
    extends southwestward to the Caribbean Sea, supporting fresh to
    strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    noted in the north-central and eastern Caribbean and the Gulf of
    Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring in the SW Caribbean, while fast-
    moving showers are passing across the NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
    shift east through Thu, allowing moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas to dominate much of the the Caribbean by
    Fri morning. The exception will be pulsing fresh to strong winds
    off Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night
    through Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge will rebuild north
    of the area by Sun, supporting fresh winds and building seas
    across the central and northwestern Caribbean by Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from a 1014 mb low pressure near 32N71W
    to the NW Bahamas and southern Florida. Scattered showers are
    present ahead of the front. Moderate to fresh N-NE winds and
    rough to locally very rough seas are found behind the front.
    Fresh to strong southerly winds and moderate seas are evident
    ahead of the front to 64W and north of 29N. In the remainder of
    the tropical Atlantic, the basin is being dominated by ridging
    centered around a 1033 mb high located at 35N33W, leading to
    moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally
    rough seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough to very rough seas are active north of a stationary front
    extending southwestward from 31N71W to Miami, Florida. Fresh to
    strong SW winds are also active along the front between 30N and
    Bermuda. Winds and seas will diminish across the area through
    tomorrow night as the front dissipates and high pressure starts to
    build over the western Atlantic into next week.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 11:15:24 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 04 Jun 2026 04:39:40 GMT
  • Wed, 03 Jun 2026 23:15:24 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 032315
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Jun 3 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 03 Jun 2026 12:59:43 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    829
    NOUS42 KNHC 031259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT WED 03 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 04/1100Z TO 05/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-003

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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