Skip to main content

2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

192 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Follow On Facebook

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ Cash Back On Gas
Shop Store For Essentials2026 Hurricane Season Supplies

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 22:52:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192252
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 27W, south of 21N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    observed from 07N to 12N and between 21W and 30W.

    A tropical wave is near 58W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Convection is isolated along the ITCZ near the wave at
    this time.

    A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 73W,
    south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
    the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico, as the
    wave interacts with an upper level trough across this area.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 11N26W and
    to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N51W to NE Venezuela near
    10N62W. Beyond convection described above with the tropical waves,
    scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N
    to 13.5N between 30W and 43W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1019 mb high
    pressure located near 27N89.5W. This pattern supports a gentle to
    moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin with slight to
    moderate seas of generally 3 ft or less. An upper level low center
    across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
    scattered showers and thunderstorms across large portions of the
    interior that are shifting eastward toward the Atlantic coast.
    Another large cluster of moderate to strong convection is across
    much of the Florida Panhandle and extends across the nearshore
    coastal waters between Apalachicola and Mobile Bay.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure over the central
    Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast period. This
    weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to locally moderate seas. A diurnally induced surface
    trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west
    of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will
    shift westward away from the peninsula at night as the trough
    migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Recent satellite scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong
    winds across the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh
    winds across the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas
    are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and
    slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
    the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico. Scattered
    showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across the SW
    Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua, Costa
    Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the trade
    wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is producing
    scattered showers across the Lesser Antilles and SE Caribbean S
    of 16N.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
    ridge north of the basin and relatively lower pressure in
    northern South America will generally support fresh to strong
    trades along with rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas will prevail over the north-central and eastern
    Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week, and
    increase in coverage over the tropical Atlantic and eastern
    Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical wave moves across those
    waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from 1018 mb low pressure near 33N48.5W
    to 30N50W to a 1016 mb low pressure center located near 29N61W,
    then continues as a dissipating frontal trough to just east of
    the SE Bahamas near 24N73W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
    stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
    isolated strong showers and thunderstorms within 180 nm S of the
    front and low between 46W and 62W. Satellite scatterometer data
    shows moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of
    the front between 46W and 64W. Seas area 4 to 5 ft within these
    winds. The remainder of the Atlantic is dominated by the Azores
    High centered near 38N30W, that extends southwestward across 30N
    and then a narrow ridge south of the front to near 70W. Under the
    influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds
    are occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W. However,
    small areas of fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser
    Antilles, while moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 18N to
    25N E of 30W. Seas across these areas are 6 to 7 ft. Otherwise,
    seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
    70W. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of
    13N between Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will begin to
    weaken tonight through Thu, and drift northward as high pressure
    builds modestly westward into the Bahamas through Fri. Elsewhere,
    a weak pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle
    winds over most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming
    weekend and into early next week. Moderate to locally fresh
    trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off the coast
    of Hispaniola throughout the period.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 22:52:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192252
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 27W, south of 21N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    observed from 07N to 12N and between 21W and 30W.

    A tropical wave is near 58W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Convection is isolated along the ITCZ near the wave at
    this time.

    A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean along 73W,
    south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
    the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico, as the
    wave interacts with an upper level trough across this area.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W to 11N26W and
    to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N51W to NE Venezuela near
    10N62W. Beyond convection described above with the tropical waves,
    scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 06.5N
    to 13.5N between 30W and 43W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by 1019 mb high
    pressure located near 27N89.5W. This pattern supports a gentle to
    moderate anticyclonic wind flow across the basin with slight to
    moderate seas of generally 3 ft or less. An upper level low center
    across the Florida Peninsula and adjacent waters is supporting
    scattered showers and thunderstorms across large portions of the
    interior that are shifting eastward toward the Atlantic coast.
    Another large cluster of moderate to strong convection is across
    much of the Florida Panhandle and extends across the nearshore
    coastal waters between Apalachicola and Mobile Bay.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure over the central
    Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast period. This
    weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
    and slight to locally moderate seas. A diurnally induced surface
    trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west
    of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will
    shift westward away from the peninsula at night as the trough
    migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Recent satellite scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong
    winds across the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh
    winds across the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas
    are 5 to 8 ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and
    slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection extends northeastward across Hispaniola,
    the Mona Passage and into the Atlantic N of Puerto Rico. Scattered
    showers and a few thunderstorms are occurring across the SW
    Caribbean and into coastal portions of southern Nicaragua, Costa
    Rica and western Panama. Shallow moisture, embedded in the trade
    wind flow ahead of an approaching tropical wave, is producing
    scattered showers across the Lesser Antilles and SE Caribbean S
    of 16N.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a subtropical
    ridge north of the basin and relatively lower pressure in
    northern South America will generally support fresh to strong
    trades along with rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas will prevail over the north-central and eastern
    Caribbean through the weekend and into early next week, and
    increase in coverage over the tropical Atlantic and eastern
    Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical wave moves across those
    waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from 1018 mb low pressure near 33N48.5W
    to 30N50W to a 1016 mb low pressure center located near 29N61W,
    then continues as a dissipating frontal trough to just east of
    the SE Bahamas near 24N73W. Middle level troughing overhead of the
    stationary front is supporting clusters of scattered moderate
    isolated strong showers and thunderstorms within 180 nm S of the
    front and low between 46W and 62W. Satellite scatterometer data
    shows moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of
    the front between 46W and 64W. Seas area 4 to 5 ft within these
    winds. The remainder of the Atlantic is dominated by the Azores
    High centered near 38N30W, that extends southwestward across 30N
    and then a narrow ridge south of the front to near 70W. Under the
    influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate trade winds
    are occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W. However,
    small areas of fresh winds are noted approaching the Lesser
    Antilles, while moderate to fresh NE winds prevail from 18N to
    25N E of 30W. Seas across these areas are 6 to 7 ft. Otherwise,
    seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
    70W. Saharan Air continues to dominate the Tropical Atlantic N of
    13N between Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will begin to
    weaken tonight through Thu, and drift northward as high pressure
    builds modestly westward into the Bahamas through Fri. Elsewhere,
    a weak pressure gradient will support mostly light to gentle
    winds over most of the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming
    weekend and into early next week. Moderate to locally fresh
    trades are expected south of about 22N, especially off the coast
    of Hispaniola throughout the period.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 21 Aug 2026 11:20:37 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Aug 2026 03:06:12 GMT
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:20:37 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 192320
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch/Evans
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 14:42:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    892
    NOUS42 KNHC 191441
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1045 AM EDT WED 19 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-080 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
    A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO SUSPECT AREA EP90 OVER THE CENTRAL
    PACIFIC NEAR 12.9N 146.4W FOR 21/1800Z.
    B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO EP90
    FOR 22/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 21/2000Z.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page