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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:02:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 302301
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A low pressure area is located over the northern Gulf of America
about 125 miles south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana.
Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that
this system has become better organized since yesterday.
Additional development is possible as the low moves slowly west-
northwestward, and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical
storm could form before the system reaches the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts Tuesday or Tuesday night. Interests
along the Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the
progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible over portions of the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next couple of days.
this system has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation
through 48 hours, and also through 7 days.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico
eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward
Islands. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that
there are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and
redevelopment is unlikely during the next day or two while the
wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The
system should bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
and Hispaniola over the next couple of days. Conditions may
become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week
as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of America. Showers
and thunderstorms are currently affecting the Lesser Antilles
mainly north of St. Lucia, Puerto Rico and the US/UK Virgin
Islands and Dominican Republic. Rainfall amounts and the location
of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as local
topography will enhance orographic lift and support the heaviest
rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for specific
rainfall forecasts for your local area.
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is added to 1800 UTC analysis/surface map along
20W south of 20N. Some shower activity is near the wave axis.
Another tropical is along 42W, south of 21N, moving westward at
around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted where
the wave meets the ITCZ.
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
along 66W. Please, see the Special Features section for more
details.
Another tropical is over the central Caribbean with axis near
80W, south of 20N, moving westward near 20 kt. The wave appears
to enhance convection over the SW Caribbean, especially over
western Panama. A few showers are near the northern end of the
wave axis over the Cayman Islands.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Mauritania at
20N16W southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ begins there and
extends to 10N39W, then resumes at 09N43W and continues westward
to NE Venezuela at 08.5N60W. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 04N to 10N between 23W and 60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1014 mb low pressure (AL97) about 100 NM south of the mouth of
the Mississippi River is producing scattered thunderstorms in
the north-central waters. Aside from gusty winds in thunderstorms,
peak winds are around 20 kt and seas 4 ft. Scatterometer data
indicate the cyclonic circulation of this system, and a closed
low is analyzed. Elsewhere, winds across the Gulf are moderate or
weaker with seas 1 to 3 ft.
For the forecast, additional development is possible as the above
mentioned low moves slowly west-northwest and a short-lived
tropical depression or tropical storm could form before the
system reaches the Upper Texas or SW Louisiana coasts Tue or Tue
night. Regardless of development, mariners over the north-central
and northwest Gulf can expect strong thunderstorms with gusty
winds and locally higher seas early this week. Elsewhere, weak
high pressure will persist through the forecast period, sustaining
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to
fresh with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The pressure gradient from the Bermuda High north of the area
along with the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the south-central Caribbean with seas of 5 to 8 ft.
Additionally, rough seas in NE swell are impacting the Atlantic
passages of the NE Caribbean. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker with seas 2 to 4 ft.
For the forecast, as previously mentioned, a strong tropical
wave is producing numerous thunderstorms, strong winds, and rough
seas over the far NE Caribbean, northern Leeward Islands, Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, and adjacent Atlantic waters. This wave
will move westward toward Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
affect eastern Cuba into Tue. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low
will continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades
and moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The Bermuda-Azores High extends as a ridge along 34N with a 1025
mb center at 34N53W and a second 1025 mb center at 34N32W. The
pressure gradient from those to lower pressure over the ITCZ and
monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to locally fresh trades
with seas of 4 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
also noted north of 25N W of 60W, including parts of the Bahamas,
and most of the Florida Peninsula. A diffluent pattern aloft
continues to support this convective activity.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will move westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
eastern Cuba into Tue, bringing similar conditions to waters S of
23N early this week. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a
deep-layer trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W
through Tue. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
Winds will pulse to locally strong off Hispaniola tonight.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:02:05 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 302301
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 31 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A low pressure area is located over the northern Gulf of America
about 125 miles south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana.
Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that
this system has become better organized since yesterday.
Additional development is possible as the low moves slowly west-
northwestward, and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical
storm could form before the system reaches the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts Tuesday or Tuesday night. Interests
along the Louisiana and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the
progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible over portions of the Upper Texas or
southwestern Louisiana coasts during the next couple of days.
this system has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation
through 48 hours, and also through 7 days.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico
eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward
Islands. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that
there are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and
redevelopment is unlikely during the next day or two while the
wave moves westward to west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The
system should bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to
portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico,
and Hispaniola over the next couple of days. Conditions may
become more conducive for redevelopment by the middle of the week
as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of America. Showers
and thunderstorms are currently affecting the Lesser Antilles
mainly north of St. Lucia, Puerto Rico and the US/UK Virgin
Islands and Dominican Republic. Rainfall amounts and the location
of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as local
topography will enhance orographic lift and support the heaviest
rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for specific
rainfall forecasts for your local area.
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is added to 1800 UTC analysis/surface map along
20W south of 20N. Some shower activity is near the wave axis.
Another tropical is along 42W, south of 21N, moving westward at
around 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted where
the wave meets the ITCZ.
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
along 66W. Please, see the Special Features section for more
details.
Another tropical is over the central Caribbean with axis near
80W, south of 20N, moving westward near 20 kt. The wave appears
to enhance convection over the SW Caribbean, especially over
western Panama. A few showers are near the northern end of the
wave axis over the Cayman Islands.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic from coastal Mauritania at
20N16W southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ begins there and
extends to 10N39W, then resumes at 09N43W and continues westward
to NE Venezuela at 08.5N60W. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 04N to 10N between 23W and 60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1014 mb low pressure (AL97) about 100 NM south of the mouth of
the Mississippi River is producing scattered thunderstorms in
the north-central waters. Aside from gusty winds in thunderstorms,
peak winds are around 20 kt and seas 4 ft. Scatterometer data
indicate the cyclonic circulation of this system, and a closed
low is analyzed. Elsewhere, winds across the Gulf are moderate or
weaker with seas 1 to 3 ft.
For the forecast, additional development is possible as the above
mentioned low moves slowly west-northwest and a short-lived
tropical depression or tropical storm could form before the
system reaches the Upper Texas or SW Louisiana coasts Tue or Tue
night. Regardless of development, mariners over the north-central
and northwest Gulf can expect strong thunderstorms with gusty
winds and locally higher seas early this week. Elsewhere, weak
high pressure will persist through the forecast period, sustaining
moderate or weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to
fresh with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The pressure gradient from the Bermuda High north of the area
along with the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the south-central Caribbean with seas of 5 to 8 ft.
Additionally, rough seas in NE swell are impacting the Atlantic
passages of the NE Caribbean. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or
weaker with seas 2 to 4 ft.
For the forecast, as previously mentioned, a strong tropical
wave is producing numerous thunderstorms, strong winds, and rough
seas over the far NE Caribbean, northern Leeward Islands, Virgin
Islands, Puerto Rico, and adjacent Atlantic waters. This wave
will move westward toward Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
affect eastern Cuba into Tue. Elsewhere across the basin, the
pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and Colombian low
will continue to force fresh to locally strong easterly trades
and moderate to locally rough seas over the central and eastern
Caribbean through the week, with moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevailing for the remainder of the
waters.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the NE Caribbean.
The Bermuda-Azores High extends as a ridge along 34N with a 1025
mb center at 34N53W and a second 1025 mb center at 34N32W. The
pressure gradient from those to lower pressure over the ITCZ and
monsoon trough is forcing only moderate to locally fresh trades
with seas of 4 to 7 ft. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
also noted north of 25N W of 60W, including parts of the Bahamas,
and most of the Florida Peninsula. A diffluent pattern aloft
continues to support this convective activity.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will move westward and impact Hispaniola tonight and Monday, then
eastern Cuba into Tue, bringing similar conditions to waters S of
23N early this week. Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a
deep-layer trough will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W
through Tue. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate,
supporting mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas.
Winds will pulse to locally strong off Hispaniola tonight.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 01 Sep 2026 06:29:30 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:02:06 GMT - Sun, 30 Aug 2026 18:29:30 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 301828 CCA
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook...Corrteced
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026
Correct low chance to medium chance for the Gulf system
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A low pressure area is located over the northern Gulf of America
about 125 mils south of the coast of southeastern Louisiana.
Satellite imagery and recent satellite wind data indicate that this
system has become better organized since yesterday. Additional
development is possible as the low moves slowly west-northwestward,
and a short-lived tropical depression or tropical storm could form
before the system reaches the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana
coasts Tuesday or Tuesday night. Interests along the Louisiana and
Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible over
portions of the Upper Texas or southwestern Louisiana coasts during
the next couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, is
producing an area of showers and thunderstorms from Puerto Rico
eastward across the Virgin Islands and the northern Leeward Islands.
Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there are no
signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is unlikely
during the next day or two while the wave moves westward to
west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The system should bring locally
heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola over the next couple of
days. Conditions may become more conducive for redevelopment by the
middle of the week as the system reaches the southeastern Gulf of
America.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 16:27:26 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 301627
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1230 PM EDT SUN 30 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 31/1100Z TO 01/1100Z SEPTEMBER 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-091 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NORTHERN GULF OF AMERICA - AL97)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72 (CORRECTED)
A. 31/1300Z A. 31/2330Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 02AAA SURVEY
C. 31/1200Z C. 31/2230Z
D. 28.3N 91.4W D. 28.6N 92.5W
E. 31/1230Z TO 21/1730Z E. 31/2300Z TO 01/0400Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST G. SYSTEM SURVEY
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 73
A. 01/1130Z
B. AFXXX 03AAA SURVEY
C. 01/1015Z
D. 29.2N 93.7W
E. 01/1100Z TO 01/1600Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. SYSTEM SURVEY
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON SUSPECT AREA AL97 AT 01/1730Z IF SYSTEM
DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.
B. POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST INTO THE REMNANTS OF DOLLY SOUTH OF
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS NEAR 21.5N 74.5W FOR 01/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM LOWELL
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
A. 01/0000Z
B. NOAA9 0112E LOWELL
C. 31/1700Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
MISSION AROUND LOWELL FOR 02/1200Z, DEPARTING PHJR TENTATIVELY
AT 02/0400Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. BEGIN 6-HRLY FIXES ON LOWELL AT 02/1730Z.
B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO LOWELL FOR 03/0000Z,
DEPARTING PHJR AT 02/2000Z.
C. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND LOWELL FOR
03/1200Z, DEPARTING PHJR TENTATIVELY AT 03/0400Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf