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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 21 Jun 2026 16:57:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
093
AXNT20 KNHC 211657
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jun 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1656 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28.5W from
03N to 16N. It is moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 02N to 09N between 25W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 43.5W from
02N to 17N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated moderate
convection is depicted from 00N to 08N between 40W and the wave
axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 66W south
of 19N to inland Venezuela. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are east of the axis
in the vicinity of the Windward Islands.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 15.5N17W,
and continues southwestward to 07N27W and to near 05N43.5W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to near 06N52W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 33W and 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridging stretches westward from the western Atlantic to across
Florida and to the central Gulf. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the relatively lower pressures over Texas and
northeastern Mexico has induced moderate to fresh southeast winds
west of about 90W along with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, light
to gentle winds prevail along with seas of 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
moderate convection is noted over the NW Gulf, north of 26.5N and
west of 91W.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will prevail
across the NE Gulf for much of the week. The pressure gradient
between the high pressure and relatively lower pressures over
Texas and northeastern Mexico will maintain mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf through late Mon night
before diminishing to gentle to moderate speeds. Slight to
moderate seas will be with these winds. Light winds along with
slight seas will be over the eastern Gulf through Thu night as a
new high center becomes situated over the central Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for convection
across the basin.
Broad high pressure is north of the basin over central Atlantic.
The pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower
pressures in northern South America will continue to generally
allow for fresh to locally strong trade winds across the central
Caribbean and the western Caribbean. Seas over the south-central
basin waters are 6 to 10 ft. Seas are 4 to 6 ft south of 21N and west
of 83W. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds are elsewhere along
with seas of 5 to 7 ft, except for gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds and seas of 3 to 4 ft over the waters south and
east of Cuba to near 21N. An area of scattered to numerous
moderate to strong convection is confined to the southwestern
section of the sea south of 14N and west of 77W, primarily due to
the eastern segment of the East Pacific monsoon trough that
reaches into that part of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail north of the area
into next week. The pressure gradient between the high pressure
and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through the
forecast period. The trade winds are expected to increase to near
gale across the central portion of the basin over a large area
south of 15N, including along the coast of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela starting Mon night through Tue night as Atlantic
high pressure shifts southeastward. Seas are expected to build to
around 13 ft with these winds. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly well into the upcoming week. Moderate to fresh winds are
expected over much of the remainder of the Caribbean through the
middle portion of next week. A tropical wave currently in the
eastern Caribbean will move across the rest of the basin through
late Wed, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected mainly
east of the wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Broad high pressure that is anchored by a 1024 high center at
28N45W covers the area north of about 18N. The related pressure
gradient between the high pressure and relatively lower pressure
over the tropical Atlantic are supporting moderate to locally fresh
trade winds and moderate seas across most of the Atlantic south
of about 23N along with seas 4 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate
variable winds are north of 23N and west of 35W along with seas
of 3 to 4 ft. Upper-level jet dynamics along the southeastern
periphery of a broad upper trough that is along the U.S. east
coast are sustaining an area of scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27.5N between 65W and 78W. A broad mid to
upper-level low has helped to induce an area of multilayer clouds
with embedded patches of rain over the waters northeast of the
Lesser Antilles, roughly from 17N to 30N between 50W and 58W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak high pressure ridge along
26N will shift slightly south today, and change little through Thu
night as surface troughing lingers near and offshore Florida.
Moderate to fresh trade winds south of 24N will pulse to strong
speeds between the Turks and Caicos and Hispaniola through the
forecast period.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 21 Jun 2026 16:57:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
093
AXNT20 KNHC 211657
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jun 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1656 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 28.5W from
03N to 16N. It is moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 02N to 09N between 25W and 33W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 43.5W from
02N to 17N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated moderate
convection is depicted from 00N to 08N between 40W and the wave
axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 66W south
of 19N to inland Venezuela. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are east of the axis
in the vicinity of the Windward Islands.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 15.5N17W,
and continues southwestward to 07N27W and to near 05N43.5W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to near 06N52W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 04N to 08N between 33W and 38W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridging stretches westward from the western Atlantic to across
Florida and to the central Gulf. The pressure gradient between the
ridge and the relatively lower pressures over Texas and
northeastern Mexico has induced moderate to fresh southeast winds
west of about 90W along with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, light
to gentle winds prevail along with seas of 2 to 4 ft. Scattered
moderate convection is noted over the NW Gulf, north of 26.5N and
west of 91W.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will prevail
across the NE Gulf for much of the week. The pressure gradient
between the high pressure and relatively lower pressures over
Texas and northeastern Mexico will maintain mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf through late Mon night
before diminishing to gentle to moderate speeds. Slight to
moderate seas will be with these winds. Light winds along with
slight seas will be over the eastern Gulf through Thu night as a
new high center becomes situated over the central Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for convection
across the basin.
Broad high pressure is north of the basin over central Atlantic.
The pressure gradient between the high pressure and lower
pressures in northern South America will continue to generally
allow for fresh to locally strong trade winds across the central
Caribbean and the western Caribbean. Seas over the south-central
basin waters are 6 to 10 ft. Seas are 4 to 6 ft south of 21N and west
of 83W. Moderate to locally fresh trade winds are elsewhere along
with seas of 5 to 7 ft, except for gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds and seas of 3 to 4 ft over the waters south and
east of Cuba to near 21N. An area of scattered to numerous
moderate to strong convection is confined to the southwestern
section of the sea south of 14N and west of 77W, primarily due to
the eastern segment of the East Pacific monsoon trough that
reaches into that part of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail north of the area
into next week. The pressure gradient between the high pressure
and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through the
forecast period. The trade winds are expected to increase to near
gale across the central portion of the basin over a large area
south of 15N, including along the coast of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela starting Mon night through Tue night as Atlantic
high pressure shifts southeastward. Seas are expected to build to
around 13 ft with these winds. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly well into the upcoming week. Moderate to fresh winds are
expected over much of the remainder of the Caribbean through the
middle portion of next week. A tropical wave currently in the
eastern Caribbean will move across the rest of the basin through
late Wed, with scattered showers and thunderstorms expected mainly
east of the wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Broad high pressure that is anchored by a 1024 high center at
28N45W covers the area north of about 18N. The related pressure
gradient between the high pressure and relatively lower pressure
over the tropical Atlantic are supporting moderate to locally fresh
trade winds and moderate seas across most of the Atlantic south
of about 23N along with seas 4 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate
variable winds are north of 23N and west of 35W along with seas
of 3 to 4 ft. Upper-level jet dynamics along the southeastern
periphery of a broad upper trough that is along the U.S. east
coast are sustaining an area of scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27.5N between 65W and 78W. A broad mid to
upper-level low has helped to induce an area of multilayer clouds
with embedded patches of rain over the waters northeast of the
Lesser Antilles, roughly from 17N to 30N between 50W and 58W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak high pressure ridge along
26N will shift slightly south today, and change little through Thu
night as surface troughing lingers near and offshore Florida.
Moderate to fresh trade winds south of 24N will pulse to strong
speeds between the Turks and Caicos and Hispaniola through the
forecast period.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 23 Jun 2026 05:13:40 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 21 Jun 2026 17:29:17 GMT - Sun, 21 Jun 2026 17:13:40 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 211713
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch/Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 21 Jun 2026 13:33:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 211333
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0935 AM EDT SUN 21 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-021
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf