2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 28 Nov 2025 11:00:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 281100
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Nov 28 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1050 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough remains mostly confined to the African
    continent. The ITCZ extends westward from 08N15W to 08N35W to
    07N51W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 15N
    between 18W and 52W.

    The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
    scattered heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
    the Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia offshore waters.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers prevail across the SW and SE Gulf in the wake
    of a cold front, which tail still reaches the Bay of Campeche.
    Also with strong high pressure of 1031 mb located over Arkansas,
    which ridge is building across the Gulf in the wake of the front,
    a tight pressure gradient is resulting in the continuation of
    fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas to 10 ft across the basin,
    except the NW Gulf. Over the NW Gulf, winds are moderate to
    locally fresh mainly from the east, and seas are moderate to 7 ft.

    For the forecast, the tail of the cold front is expected to exit
    completely the Gulf this morning. Fresh to strong NE winds will
    follow in the wake of the cold front, with conditions improving
    tonight through Sat. Fresh to strong return flow will set up in
    the NW Gulf tonight and Sat, ahead of the next front. This next
    cold front will emerge off the Texas coast early Sun morning and
    meander slowly southeastward across the NW and N central Gulf Sun
    through Mon before moving southeastward Mon night and Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A cold front extending from western Cuba to the NE Yucatan Peninsula
    is followed by fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas to 10 ft.
    Scattered showers are also ahead of the front mainly affecting the
    Yucatan Channel and the Gulf of Honduras. A high pressure system
    over the north central Atlantic continues to tighten the pressure
    gradient in the central Caribbean, leading to the continuation of
    fresh to near gale force winds in the SW basin and portions of the
    central Caribbean. Elsewhere, trades are moderate to fresh and
    seas are moderate.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between strong high
    pressure over the central Atlantic and lower pressure over the SW
    Caribbean will sustain strong to near gale-force trades over the
    SW and south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    through later this morning before diminishing in the afternoon
    hours. Moderate to fresh trades are expected elsewhere in the
    eastern and central basin through Sun. The cold front is expected
    to stall from central Cuba to the Yucatan Peninsula this evening,
    then gradually lift N of the area on Sat. A very weak pressure
    gradient across the region Mon and Tue will lead to tranquil
    marine conditions.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front across the NW waters extends from 31N71W to Andros
    Island to W Cuba and is followed by fresh NW to N winds. The front
    is also supporting scattered showers ahead and behind it, between
    Freeport in the Bahamas and 67W. The remainder central and
    eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of strong high
    pressure just west of the Azores. A weakening stationary front
    extending from 31N35W to 27N48W along with a pair of surface
    troughs ahead of the front, are supporting moderate to locally
    fresh NE to E winds across the central and eastern subtropics
    along with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
    1030 mb high over the central Atlantic and low pressure across the
    SW Caribbean will sustain fresh E winds south of 25N and in the
    approach to the Windward Passage through the weekend. The cold
    front will move southeastward and extend from 31N64W through the
    central Bahamas tonight, and then dissipate from 31N58W the NW
    Bahamas by Sun morning. A tight pressure gradient in the wake of
    the front will produce increasing NE winds across much of the
    forecast area Sat, diminishing from west to east Sun. Fresh to
    strong SE winds will develop across the N and central Florida
    offshore waters by Mon night ahead of the next cold front forecast
    to come off the NE Florida coast Tue evening.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 28 Nov 2025 11:00:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 281100
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Nov 28 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1050 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough remains mostly confined to the African
    continent. The ITCZ extends westward from 08N15W to 08N35W to
    07N51W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 04N to 15N
    between 18W and 52W.

    The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
    scattered heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
    the Nicaragua, Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia offshore waters.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers prevail across the SW and SE Gulf in the wake
    of a cold front, which tail still reaches the Bay of Campeche.
    Also with strong high pressure of 1031 mb located over Arkansas,
    which ridge is building across the Gulf in the wake of the front,
    a tight pressure gradient is resulting in the continuation of
    fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas to 10 ft across the basin,
    except the NW Gulf. Over the NW Gulf, winds are moderate to
    locally fresh mainly from the east, and seas are moderate to 7 ft.

    For the forecast, the tail of the cold front is expected to exit
    completely the Gulf this morning. Fresh to strong NE winds will
    follow in the wake of the cold front, with conditions improving
    tonight through Sat. Fresh to strong return flow will set up in
    the NW Gulf tonight and Sat, ahead of the next front. This next
    cold front will emerge off the Texas coast early Sun morning and
    meander slowly southeastward across the NW and N central Gulf Sun
    through Mon before moving southeastward Mon night and Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A cold front extending from western Cuba to the NE Yucatan Peninsula
    is followed by fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas to 10 ft.
    Scattered showers are also ahead of the front mainly affecting the
    Yucatan Channel and the Gulf of Honduras. A high pressure system
    over the north central Atlantic continues to tighten the pressure
    gradient in the central Caribbean, leading to the continuation of
    fresh to near gale force winds in the SW basin and portions of the
    central Caribbean. Elsewhere, trades are moderate to fresh and
    seas are moderate.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between strong high
    pressure over the central Atlantic and lower pressure over the SW
    Caribbean will sustain strong to near gale-force trades over the
    SW and south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    through later this morning before diminishing in the afternoon
    hours. Moderate to fresh trades are expected elsewhere in the
    eastern and central basin through Sun. The cold front is expected
    to stall from central Cuba to the Yucatan Peninsula this evening,
    then gradually lift N of the area on Sat. A very weak pressure
    gradient across the region Mon and Tue will lead to tranquil
    marine conditions.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front across the NW waters extends from 31N71W to Andros
    Island to W Cuba and is followed by fresh NW to N winds. The front
    is also supporting scattered showers ahead and behind it, between
    Freeport in the Bahamas and 67W. The remainder central and
    eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of strong high
    pressure just west of the Azores. A weakening stationary front
    extending from 31N35W to 27N48W along with a pair of surface
    troughs ahead of the front, are supporting moderate to locally
    fresh NE to E winds across the central and eastern subtropics
    along with moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
    1030 mb high over the central Atlantic and low pressure across the
    SW Caribbean will sustain fresh E winds south of 25N and in the
    approach to the Windward Passage through the weekend. The cold
    front will move southeastward and extend from 31N64W through the
    central Bahamas tonight, and then dissipate from 31N58W the NW
    Bahamas by Sun morning. A tight pressure gradient in the wake of
    the front will produce increasing NE winds across much of the
    forecast area Sat, diminishing from west to east Sun. Fresh to
    strong SE winds will develop across the N and central Florida
    offshore waters by Mon night ahead of the next cold front forecast
    to come off the NE Florida coast Tue evening.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 29 Nov 2025 23:24:54 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 28 Nov 2025 12:14:59 GMT
  • Fri, 28 Nov 2025 11:24:54 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 281124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Fri Nov 28 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 14:18:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271418
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0920 AM EST THU 27 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-180

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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