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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 18 Jul 2026 03:53:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180353
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Jul 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0335 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
Atlantic high pressure north of the basin and the Colombian low
will continue to support NE to E winds pulsing to gale-force
across the waters N of Colombia tonight and Sat night. Otherwise,
strong to near-gale force trade winds and rough seas will prevail
across the much of the central Caribbean into early Mon before
contracting to south of 15N. Rough to very rough seas in the 12
to 14 ft range will develop during the times of peak winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 09N to 16N and between 23W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to a 1012 mb
low pres near 14N24W to 08N42W. The ITCZ extends from 08N42W to
08N48W and then from 08N50W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is present from 09N to 16N and east
of 20W. Similar convection is found from 08N to 13W and between
51W to 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft associated with an upper level low, a weak
surface trough and abundant moisture result in strong showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters. These storms can
produce gusty winds, frequent lightning and suddenly higher seas.
Mariners should use caution. Meanwhile, diurnal heating and
tropical moisture allowed for thunderstorms to develop over
western Yucatan and progress westward into the eastern Bay of
Campeche, where the activity is currently diminishing.
A 1020 mb high pressure centered south of Louisiana dominates the
basin, supporting moderate to fresh E-SE winds south of a line
from the NE Yucatan to SE Texas. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast,low pressure across the eastern Gulf will remain
nearly stationary through the weekend then begin to drift
northward early next week, supporting periods of active
thunderstorms in that region. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will
dominate, producing gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas through the period .
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
section for more details.
The 1027 mb subtropical ridge centered near 28N54W in the central
Atlantic forces strong to gale easterly trade winds across the
central Caribbean, with the strongest winds occurring off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela. A recent scatterometer satellite
pass captured peak winds of 34 kt. Rough to very rough seas are
found in these waters. Moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate
seas are present in the eastern Caribbean, Windward Passage and
Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent. No significant convection is evident
across the Caribbean at this time.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
pressure ridge oriented along 27N-28N and the Colombian low will
support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
Colombia tonight and again Sat night. Otherwise, strong to near-
gale force trade winds and rough seas will prevail across the much
of the central Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to
south of 15N. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each
evening this weekend in the Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak surface trough in the north-central tropical Atlantic
supports isolated showers north of 26N and between 36W and 44W.
Meanwhile, a broad subtropical ridge centered over the central
Atlantic sustains moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8
ft south of 25N and west of 35W. The highest seas are occurring
east of the Windward Islands. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh
to locally strong N-NE winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted north
of the monsoon trough and east of 20W. Moderate to fresh SW winds
and seas of 4-7 ft are evident south of the monsoon trough and
east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic subtropical
ridge extends along 27N-28N tonight, and will gradually weaken
and drift northward this weekend, as a broad surface trough forms
E of 55W. This trough will drift westward next week, reaching
along 65W by Wed. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail S of 24N,
with gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds are expected
during the evenings this weekend N of Hispaniola and in the
Windward Passage.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 18 Jul 2026 03:53:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 180353
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sat Jul 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0335 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
Atlantic high pressure north of the basin and the Colombian low
will continue to support NE to E winds pulsing to gale-force
across the waters N of Colombia tonight and Sat night. Otherwise,
strong to near-gale force trade winds and rough seas will prevail
across the much of the central Caribbean into early Mon before
contracting to south of 15N. Rough to very rough seas in the 12
to 14 ft range will develop during the times of peak winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 09N to 16N and between 23W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 20 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to a 1012 mb
low pres near 14N24W to 08N42W. The ITCZ extends from 08N42W to
08N48W and then from 08N50W to 08N59W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is present from 09N to 16N and east
of 20W. Similar convection is found from 08N to 13W and between
51W to 59W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft associated with an upper level low, a weak
surface trough and abundant moisture result in strong showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters. These storms can
produce gusty winds, frequent lightning and suddenly higher seas.
Mariners should use caution. Meanwhile, diurnal heating and
tropical moisture allowed for thunderstorms to develop over
western Yucatan and progress westward into the eastern Bay of
Campeche, where the activity is currently diminishing.
A 1020 mb high pressure centered south of Louisiana dominates the
basin, supporting moderate to fresh E-SE winds south of a line
from the NE Yucatan to SE Texas. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast,low pressure across the eastern Gulf will remain
nearly stationary through the weekend then begin to drift
northward early next week, supporting periods of active
thunderstorms in that region. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will
dominate, producing gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas through the period .
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
section for more details.
The 1027 mb subtropical ridge centered near 28N54W in the central
Atlantic forces strong to gale easterly trade winds across the
central Caribbean, with the strongest winds occurring off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela. A recent scatterometer satellite
pass captured peak winds of 34 kt. Rough to very rough seas are
found in these waters. Moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate
seas are present in the eastern Caribbean, Windward Passage and
Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent. No significant convection is evident
across the Caribbean at this time.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
pressure ridge oriented along 27N-28N and the Colombian low will
support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
Colombia tonight and again Sat night. Otherwise, strong to near-
gale force trade winds and rough seas will prevail across the much
of the central Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to
south of 15N. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each
evening this weekend in the Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak surface trough in the north-central tropical Atlantic
supports isolated showers north of 26N and between 36W and 44W.
Meanwhile, a broad subtropical ridge centered over the central
Atlantic sustains moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-8
ft south of 25N and west of 35W. The highest seas are occurring
east of the Windward Islands. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh
to locally strong N-NE winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted north
of the monsoon trough and east of 20W. Moderate to fresh SW winds
and seas of 4-7 ft are evident south of the monsoon trough and
east of 30W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic subtropical
ridge extends along 27N-28N tonight, and will gradually weaken
and drift northward this weekend, as a broad surface trough forms
E of 55W. This trough will drift westward next week, reaching
along 65W by Wed. Moderate to fresh trades will prevail S of 24N,
with gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds are expected
during the evenings this weekend N of Hispaniola and in the
Windward Passage.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 19 Jul 2026 11:18:00 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 18 Jul 2026 03:53:43 GMT - Fri, 17 Jul 2026 23:18:00 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
836
ABNT20 KNHC 172317
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 17 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America and near Florida:
Showers and thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf of America and
portions of the Florida Peninsula are associated with an upper-level
low and a surface trough. Surface observations indicate that
pressures are high in the area and that currently there are no signs
of a surface circulation. However, some gradual development of this
system is possible while it meanders northward, bringing heavy rain
to portions of the Florida west coast during the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is
located near the western Cabo Verde Islands. The low is producing
limited and disorganized showers and thunderstorms while it moves
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. Environmental conditions are
becoming less conducive, and development of this system is no longer
anticipated. However, this system will likely produce some gusty
winds and locally heavy rain over the Cabo Verde Islands tonight.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 17 Jul 2026 13:24:27 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 171324
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT FRI 17 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-047
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE NE GULF OF AMERICA NEAR 28.0N 84.5W FOR 19/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf