2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 20 Apr 2026 15:17:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201517
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Apr 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1500 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12N15W to 02N18W. The ITCZ
    continues from 02N18W to 01S25W to 01S40W to 02S45W. Scattered
    moderate convection is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 16W
    and 23W. Scattered moderate convection is also from 00N to 01N
    between 25W and 30W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends southwestward from Fort Myers, Florida to
    24N90W, where it becomes a stationary front extending westward to
    24N95W then southward to near Veracruz, Mexico. Fresh to strong
    winds are N of the front over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate
    winds prevail over much of the remainder of the waters, except
    fresh NE winds west of the Yucatan peninsula. Seas are in the 5-7
    ft behind the front, and 2-4 ft ahead of the front.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong N to NE winds and moderate to
    rough seas will follow the cold front through Mon. On Tue, the
    western portion of this boundary will gradually dissipate over the
    central and western Gulf, while the eastern portion will resume
    moving southward into Cuba and the Yucatan Channel. Gentle to
    moderate southeasterly winds will return to the Gulf on Thu.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The cold front moving across the Gulf and western Atlantic is
    displacing and weakening the typical subtropical ridge that
    governs the trade wind flow across the Caribbean. As a result, the
    only areas of moderate to fresh E winds are likely over the far
    northeastern Caribbean, off Cabo Beata on the south coast of
    Hispaniola, and off central Colombia. Seas are 5-6 ft in these
    areas. Moderate E winds and 3-5 ft seas are ongoing elsewhere east
    of 75W. Mostly gentle NE to E winds and 2-4 ft seas are noted
    elsewhere west of 75W. No significant shower or thunderstorm
    activity is noted at this time.

    For the forecast, the weak Atlantic high pressure will continue N
    of the basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    over much of the Caribbean basin throughout the week. Fresh to
    strong NE winds will develop Tue night and Wed across the Windward
    Passage and in the lee of Cuba, associated with a late- season
    cold front moving slowly across Cuba. The front is expected to
    dissipate across eastern Cuba late Wed.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N72W to Stuart, Florida. Fresh to
    strong NE winds with 6-9 ft seas are evident north of the front.
    A few showers and thunderstorms are active along the front as
    well. A few showers and thunderstorms are also active along a
    trough ahead of the front extending from 30N70W to the central
    Bahamas. A broad ridge dominates the remainder of the discussion
    area, anchored by 1031 mb high pressure over the north-cental
    Atlantic near 41N43W. This pattern is supporting gentle to
    moderate winds and seas of 4-7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas will follow the front as it continues moving
    southeastward, reaching from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by
    late this afternoon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by Tue
    afternoon. Winds will begin to diminish Tue night as the front
    stalls and dissipates along 22N by late Wed. Weak high pressure
    will settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda Thu through
    Fri, in the wake of the front. Large N to NE swell will linger
    near the dissipating front Wed into Thu, including waters near the
    Windward Passage.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 20 Apr 2026 15:17:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201517
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Apr 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1500 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 12N15W to 02N18W. The ITCZ
    continues from 02N18W to 01S25W to 01S40W to 02S45W. Scattered
    moderate convection is within 120 nm south of the ITCZ between 16W
    and 23W. Scattered moderate convection is also from 00N to 01N
    between 25W and 30W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends southwestward from Fort Myers, Florida to
    24N90W, where it becomes a stationary front extending westward to
    24N95W then southward to near Veracruz, Mexico. Fresh to strong
    winds are N of the front over the NE Gulf. Gentle to moderate
    winds prevail over much of the remainder of the waters, except
    fresh NE winds west of the Yucatan peninsula. Seas are in the 5-7
    ft behind the front, and 2-4 ft ahead of the front.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong N to NE winds and moderate to
    rough seas will follow the cold front through Mon. On Tue, the
    western portion of this boundary will gradually dissipate over the
    central and western Gulf, while the eastern portion will resume
    moving southward into Cuba and the Yucatan Channel. Gentle to
    moderate southeasterly winds will return to the Gulf on Thu.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The cold front moving across the Gulf and western Atlantic is
    displacing and weakening the typical subtropical ridge that
    governs the trade wind flow across the Caribbean. As a result, the
    only areas of moderate to fresh E winds are likely over the far
    northeastern Caribbean, off Cabo Beata on the south coast of
    Hispaniola, and off central Colombia. Seas are 5-6 ft in these
    areas. Moderate E winds and 3-5 ft seas are ongoing elsewhere east
    of 75W. Mostly gentle NE to E winds and 2-4 ft seas are noted
    elsewhere west of 75W. No significant shower or thunderstorm
    activity is noted at this time.

    For the forecast, the weak Atlantic high pressure will continue N
    of the basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    over much of the Caribbean basin throughout the week. Fresh to
    strong NE winds will develop Tue night and Wed across the Windward
    Passage and in the lee of Cuba, associated with a late- season
    cold front moving slowly across Cuba. The front is expected to
    dissipate across eastern Cuba late Wed.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N72W to Stuart, Florida. Fresh to
    strong NE winds with 6-9 ft seas are evident north of the front.
    A few showers and thunderstorms are active along the front as
    well. A few showers and thunderstorms are also active along a
    trough ahead of the front extending from 30N70W to the central
    Bahamas. A broad ridge dominates the remainder of the discussion
    area, anchored by 1031 mb high pressure over the north-cental
    Atlantic near 41N43W. This pattern is supporting gentle to
    moderate winds and seas of 4-7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas will follow the front as it continues moving
    southeastward, reaching from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by
    late this afternoon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by Tue
    afternoon. Winds will begin to diminish Tue night as the front
    stalls and dissipates along 22N by late Wed. Weak high pressure
    will settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda Thu through
    Fri, in the wake of the front. Large N to NE swell will linger
    near the dissipating front Wed into Thu, including waters near the
    Windward Passage.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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