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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 19 May 2026 10:07:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191007
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue May 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 11N and
moving westward at 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
associated with this wave from 02N to 05N between 24W and 31W.
An Atlantic tropical wave along 60W is approaching the Windward
Islands S of 13N, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted mainly behind this wave, S of 08N between 50W
and 60W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, moving into
Central America, south of 16N, and moving westward at 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is impacting waters near Costa Rica
and Panama in association with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 05N19W. The
ITCZ extends from 05N25W to 00N50W. Convection near these features
is primarily associated with the Atlantic tropical waves,
described in the section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends into the
Gulf waters forcing fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas west of a
line from southern Louisiana to NE Yucatan and also in the Florida
Straits. Elsewhere, mainly moderate E to SE winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Generally dry weather conditions dominate
the basin, although a cluster of thunderstorms has moved offshore
the Middle Texas coast early this morning.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the western
Atlantic will extend a ridge into the Gulf through the week. Into
Wed, expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf,
pulsing to strong each evening offshore the Yucatan Peninsula, due
to the pressure gradient between the high pressure and low
pressure over Mexico and Texas. Late this week, the pressure
gradient will relax and even more tranquil marine conditions will
prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered moderate convection continues in the Windward Passage
and between Cuba and Jamaica due to upper level divergence. The
other convection in the basin, offshore Central America, is due to
a tropical wave described in the section above. High pressure of
1029 mb centered near Bermuda is aiding in a pressure gradient
that supports strong winds across the central Caribbean, including
the Gulf of Venezuela. Rough seas of up to 11 ft accompany these
winds. Elsewhere, fresh trades and moderate seas prevail, except
for gentle to moderate winds in the Lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Wed night, with moderate to fresh trades across
the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be expected
in the central Caribbean during this time. Large E swell resulting
in rough seas will impact the tropical Atlantic waters into
tonight, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Aside from some scattered moderate convection NE of the Bahamas
associated with a weak surface trough, the basin is void of
thunderstorm activity. A cold front has slipped S of 31N, and
extends from 31N45W to 29N60W. Some fresh SW winds are present E
of this boundary to 35W, N of 28N. Otherwise, subtropical ridging
dominates, bringing light to gentle winds and moderate seas N of
23N, with moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas to the south.
E of the Lesser Antilles, decaying easterly swell is leading to
some rough seas, that extend E to 45W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds N of Hispaniola
into tonight. A surface trough from near Bermuda to NE of the
Bahamas will dissipate today, leaving the basin dominated by
tranquil marine conditions into late this week.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 19 May 2026 10:07:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 191007
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue May 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 11N and
moving westward at 5 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
associated with this wave from 02N to 05N between 24W and 31W.
An Atlantic tropical wave along 60W is approaching the Windward
Islands S of 13N, moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted mainly behind this wave, S of 08N between 50W
and 60W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, moving into
Central America, south of 16N, and moving westward at 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is impacting waters near Costa Rica
and Panama in association with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 05N19W. The
ITCZ extends from 05N25W to 00N50W. Convection near these features
is primarily associated with the Atlantic tropical waves,
described in the section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends into the
Gulf waters forcing fresh E-SE winds and moderate seas west of a
line from southern Louisiana to NE Yucatan and also in the Florida
Straits. Elsewhere, mainly moderate E to SE winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Generally dry weather conditions dominate
the basin, although a cluster of thunderstorms has moved offshore
the Middle Texas coast early this morning.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the western
Atlantic will extend a ridge into the Gulf through the week. Into
Wed, expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf,
pulsing to strong each evening offshore the Yucatan Peninsula, due
to the pressure gradient between the high pressure and low
pressure over Mexico and Texas. Late this week, the pressure
gradient will relax and even more tranquil marine conditions will
prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Scattered moderate convection continues in the Windward Passage
and between Cuba and Jamaica due to upper level divergence. The
other convection in the basin, offshore Central America, is due to
a tropical wave described in the section above. High pressure of
1029 mb centered near Bermuda is aiding in a pressure gradient
that supports strong winds across the central Caribbean, including
the Gulf of Venezuela. Rough seas of up to 11 ft accompany these
winds. Elsewhere, fresh trades and moderate seas prevail, except
for gentle to moderate winds in the Lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and low pressure over Colombia will support
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean and the Gulf
of Honduras into Wed night, with moderate to fresh trades across
the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough seas can be expected
in the central Caribbean during this time. Large E swell resulting
in rough seas will impact the tropical Atlantic waters into
tonight, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Aside from some scattered moderate convection NE of the Bahamas
associated with a weak surface trough, the basin is void of
thunderstorm activity. A cold front has slipped S of 31N, and
extends from 31N45W to 29N60W. Some fresh SW winds are present E
of this boundary to 35W, N of 28N. Otherwise, subtropical ridging
dominates, bringing light to gentle winds and moderate seas N of
23N, with moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas to the south.
E of the Lesser Antilles, decaying easterly swell is leading to
some rough seas, that extend E to 45W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds N of Hispaniola
into tonight. A surface trough from near Bermuda to NE of the
Bahamas will dissipate today, leaving the basin dominated by
tranquil marine conditions into late this week.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 20 May 2026 23:22:17 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 19 May 2026 13:20:22 GMT - Tue, 19 May 2026 11:22:17 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
526
ABNT20 KNHC 191122
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue May 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf