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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 26 Jul 2026 23:05:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    098
    AXNT20 KNHC 262305
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2305 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 20W from 08N
    to 17N, moving W at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near the wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 50W, from 06N
    to 22N, moving W at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
    this wave.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 66W, from
    the 17N66W southward into Venezuela, moving W at 15 kt. No
    significant convection is observed near the wave over the ocean.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
    at 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 07N49W, and then
    resumes from 07N50W to 06N55W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and
    35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the Bay
    of Campeche, especially off western Yucatan. Similar storms are
    found in the eastern Gulf, mainly near Florida. High pressure
    dominates the rest of the basin, supporting moderate or weaker
    winds and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely near the mentioned storms.

    For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather pattern
    across the Gulf region through at least mid-week, bringing gentle
    to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Pulsing fresh NE
    to E winds are likely each afternoon and evening along and just
    north of the Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops
    daily and drifts westward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands supports fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the south-central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found in the north-central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail. Afternoon convection has developed over Cuba, Hispaniola,
    Jamaica, from Costa Rica to Venezuela, with some of the storms
    affecting the nearby waters.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    tonight, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid-week. Looking ahead, winds
    and seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting
    Wed as the ridge builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A couple of surface troughs and divergence aloft support scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 25N and west of 68W.
    Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas are present north of
    27N and between 63W and 77W. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas are occurring south of 23N and between 60W
    and 75W. In the central Atlantic, an upper level trough is aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection NE of the
    Lesser Antilles from 15N to 22N and between 53W and 63W.

    The tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge
    anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure system near the Azores.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft
    cover much of the central and eastern Pacific, with the highest
    seas evident to the NW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, expect fresh to strong SW winds and
    moderate to rough seas across the north waters, mainly N of 29N,
    most of the week as frontal boundaries remain to the north of
    area. A ridge will dominate the remainder of the forecast region
    producing mainly gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 26 Jul 2026 23:05:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    098
    AXNT20 KNHC 262305
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2305 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 20W from 08N
    to 17N, moving W at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is noted
    near the wave.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 50W, from 06N
    to 22N, moving W at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
    this wave.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 66W, from
    the 17N66W southward into Venezuela, moving W at 15 kt. No
    significant convection is observed near the wave over the ocean.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
    at 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    to 10N44W. The ITCZ extends from 10N44W to 07N49W, and then
    resumes from 07N50W to 06N55W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and
    35W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the Bay
    of Campeche, especially off western Yucatan. Similar storms are
    found in the eastern Gulf, mainly near Florida. High pressure
    dominates the rest of the basin, supporting moderate or weaker
    winds and slight seas. However, stronger winds and higher seas are
    likely near the mentioned storms.

    For the forecast, a ridge will remain in control of the weather pattern
    across the Gulf region through at least mid-week, bringing gentle
    to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas. Pulsing fresh NE
    to E winds are likely each afternoon and evening along and just
    north of the Yucatan Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops
    daily and drifts westward.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the islands supports fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the south-central
    Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
    are found in the north-central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail. Afternoon convection has developed over Cuba, Hispaniola,
    Jamaica, from Costa Rica to Venezuela, with some of the storms
    affecting the nearby waters.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
    and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds with
    moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    tonight, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The ridge will
    weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas to diminish
    over the central Caribbean into mid-week. Looking ahead, winds
    and seas will increase again across the central Caribbean starting
    Wed as the ridge builds again north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A couple of surface troughs and divergence aloft support scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 25N and west of 68W.
    Moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas are present north of
    27N and between 63W and 77W. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas are occurring south of 23N and between 60W
    and 75W. In the central Atlantic, an upper level trough is aiding
    in the development of scattered moderate convection NE of the
    Lesser Antilles from 15N to 22N and between 53W and 63W.

    The tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge
    anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure system near the Azores.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft
    cover much of the central and eastern Pacific, with the highest
    seas evident to the NW of the Cabo Verde Islands. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, expect fresh to strong SW winds and
    moderate to rough seas across the north waters, mainly N of 29N,
    most of the week as frontal boundaries remain to the north of
    area. A ridge will dominate the remainder of the forecast region
    producing mainly gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 28 Jul 2026 11:08:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 27 Jul 2026 03:43:44 GMT
  • Sun, 26 Jul 2026 23:08:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 262308
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 26 Jul 2026 15:57:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 261557
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1200 PM EDT SUN 26 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-056

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
    A. 27/1730Z,2330Z A. 28/0530Z,1130Z
    B. AFXXX 0502A FAUSTO B. AFXXX 0602A FAUSTO
    C. 27/1530Z C. 28/0400Z
    D. 21.0N 147.0W D. 21.5N 149.8W
    E. 27/1700Z TO 27/2330Z E. 28/0500Z TO 28/1130Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
    REMAINS A THREAT.

    3. REMARK: NOAA G-IV TRAINING MISSION AROUND HURRICANE FAUSTO,
    DEPARTING PHOG AT 27/1730Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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