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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 21 Jun 2026 21:07:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 212107
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jun 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from 03N
to 18N. It is moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is from 02N to 16N between 25W and 35W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 46W from 02N
to 18N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection
is observed near this tropical wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 68W south
of 20N to inland Venezuela. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are active from 12N
to 15N between 62W and 67W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 15N16W,
and continues southwestward to 06N25W and to near 06N40W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to near 00N50W. Scattered moderate
convection from 05N to 12N between 12W and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1018 mb high pressure is centered over the northeast Gulf near
28N85W, with a ridge extending toward the northeast coast of
Mexico. This pattern is supporting gentle breezes and 1-3 ft over
the eastern Gulf, and moderate to locally fresh SE winds and 4-6
ft over the western Gulf.
For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure will prevail
across the NE Gulf for much of the week. The pressure gradient
between the high pressure and relatively lower pressures over
Texas and northeastern Mexico will maintain mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf through late Mon night
before diminishing to gentle to moderate speeds. Slight to
moderate seas will be with these winds. Light winds along with
slight seas will be over the eastern Gulf through the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extends north of the area across the western
Atlantic. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the tropical
wave over the eastern Caribbean is supporting moderate to fresh E
winds across the eastern Caribbean, and fresh to strong E to SE
winds elsewhere. Seas are 7-10 ft over the southwest Caribbean,
and 5-7 ft elsewhere. In addition to the scattered showers and
thunderstorm near the tropical wave, trade wind convergence is
supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms between eastern
Panama and northeast Nicaragua, and between eastern Honduras and
the southeast Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the pattern will support fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
the forecast period. The trade winds are expected to increase to
near gale across the central portion of the basin over a large
area south of 15N, including along the coast of Colombia and in
the Gulf of Venezuela starting Mon night through Tue night. Seas
are expected to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Pulsing
fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly well into the upcoming week. Moderate
to fresh winds are expected over much of the remainder of the
Caribbean through the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Broad high pressure that is anchored by a 1025 high center at
33N37W covers the area north of about 18N. The related pressure
gradient between the high pressure and relatively lower pressure
over the tropical Atlantic are supporting moderate to locally
fresh trade winds and moderate seas across most of the Atlantic
south of about 22N along with seas 5 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate
variable winds are north of 22N and west of 35W along with seas
of 3 to 4 ft. Upper-level jet dynamics along the southeastern
periphery of a broad upper trough that is along the U.S. east
coast are sustaining an area of scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N between 65W and 75W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak high pressure ridge will prevail across much of
the waters through the week. Surface troughing will linger near and
offshore Florida the early part of the week. Moderate to fresh
trade winds south of 24N will pulse to strong speeds between the
Turks and Caicos and Hispaniola through the forecast period.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 21 Jun 2026 21:07:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 212107
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jun 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from 03N
to 18N. It is moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is from 02N to 16N between 25W and 35W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 46W from 02N
to 18N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection
is observed near this tropical wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 68W south
of 20N to inland Venezuela. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are active from 12N
to 15N between 62W and 67W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 15N16W,
and continues southwestward to 06N25W and to near 06N40W, where
it transitions to the ITCZ to near 00N50W. Scattered moderate
convection from 05N to 12N between 12W and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1018 mb high pressure is centered over the northeast Gulf near
28N85W, with a ridge extending toward the northeast coast of
Mexico. This pattern is supporting gentle breezes and 1-3 ft over
the eastern Gulf, and moderate to locally fresh SE winds and 4-6
ft over the western Gulf.
For the forecast, the relatively weak high pressure will prevail
across the NE Gulf for much of the week. The pressure gradient
between the high pressure and relatively lower pressures over
Texas and northeastern Mexico will maintain mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf through late Mon night
before diminishing to gentle to moderate speeds. Slight to
moderate seas will be with these winds. Light winds along with
slight seas will be over the eastern Gulf through the week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extends north of the area across the western
Atlantic. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the tropical
wave over the eastern Caribbean is supporting moderate to fresh E
winds across the eastern Caribbean, and fresh to strong E to SE
winds elsewhere. Seas are 7-10 ft over the southwest Caribbean,
and 5-7 ft elsewhere. In addition to the scattered showers and
thunderstorm near the tropical wave, trade wind convergence is
supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms between eastern
Panama and northeast Nicaragua, and between eastern Honduras and
the southeast Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the pattern will support fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
the forecast period. The trade winds are expected to increase to
near gale across the central portion of the basin over a large
area south of 15N, including along the coast of Colombia and in
the Gulf of Venezuela starting Mon night through Tue night. Seas
are expected to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Pulsing
fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly well into the upcoming week. Moderate
to fresh winds are expected over much of the remainder of the
Caribbean through the week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Broad high pressure that is anchored by a 1025 high center at
33N37W covers the area north of about 18N. The related pressure
gradient between the high pressure and relatively lower pressure
over the tropical Atlantic are supporting moderate to locally
fresh trade winds and moderate seas across most of the Atlantic
south of about 22N along with seas 5 to 8 ft. Gentle to moderate
variable winds are north of 22N and west of 35W along with seas
of 3 to 4 ft. Upper-level jet dynamics along the southeastern
periphery of a broad upper trough that is along the U.S. east
coast are sustaining an area of scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N between 65W and 75W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak high pressure ridge will prevail across much of
the waters through the week. Surface troughing will linger near and
offshore Florida the early part of the week. Moderate to fresh
trade winds south of 24N will pulse to strong speeds between the
Turks and Caicos and Hispaniola through the forecast period.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 23 Jun 2026 11:09:13 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 21 Jun 2026 23:11:46 GMT - Sun, 21 Jun 2026 23:09:13 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 212309
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 21 Jun 2026 13:33:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 211333
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0935 AM EDT SUN 21 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-021
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf