2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 19 Apr 2026 23:26:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192326
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Apr 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends from 07N11W southwestward to
    03N17W, where it transitions to 00N30W to 01S47W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is within 180 nm south of
    the ITCZ between 23W-30W. Scattered moderate convection is within
    180 nm south of the ITCZ between 31W-35W and within 60 nm north
    of the ITCZ between 33W-38W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A late-season cold front extends from north-central Florida
    southwestward to 27N88W and to a weak 1018 mb low at 25N96W.
    A cold front extends from the low south-southwestward to inland
    Mexico just south of Tampico, Mexico. Fresh to strong north-
    northeast winds are behind the front as noted in recent
    scatterometer satellite data. Seas of 6 to 9 ft with these winds are
    indicated in buoy data, and also confirmed by altimeter satellite
    data. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are east of the
    front. Seas with these winds are 5 to 7 ft. A surface trough is
    analyzed in the central Bay of Campeche. Fresh northeast winds over
    the Bay of Campeche are somewhat supported by the trough. Seas there
    are 3 to 5 ft.

    For the forecast, the fresh to strong north to northeast winds
    and moderate to rough seas will follow the cold front as it moves
    southward across the northern Gulf through Mon. The front is
    then expected to stall from the Straits of Florida to South
    Texas Mon night. On Tue, the western portion of this boundary
    will gradually dissipate over the central and western Gulf, while
    the eastern portion will resume moving southward into Cuba and
    the Yucatan Channel. In the wake of the front, gentle to moderate
    southeasterly winds will return to the Gulf on Thu.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A fairly weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for moderate
    or weaker trades to exist across the basin, with the except for
    locally fresh trades possible in the south-central Caribbean off the
    coast of Colombia, along the southern tip of Hispaniola, and within
    Atlantic Passages in the Lesser Antilles. Seas are about 3 to 5 ft
    across the basin, with locally higher seas in the Atlantic Passages
    of the Lesser Antilles.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over some of the
    interior sections of central Cuba. Isolated showers and
    thunderstorms are just inland the eastern tip of eastern Cuba, and
    along and just inland and offshore the southern coast of Jamaica.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will
    support mainly gentle to moderate winds through Tue. Fresh to
    strong northeast winds may develop Tue night and Wed across the
    Windward Passage and at the lee of Cuba associated with a late-
    season cold front moving across Cuba.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A late-season cold front has just emerged along the coast of
    northeast Florida. It extends southwestward across north-central
    Florida and to the Gulf of America. Light northwest winds are
    behind the front along with seas of 3 to 4 ft. A pre-frontal
    trough extends from near 31N77.5W to near Daytona Beach. An area
    of isolated showers and thunderstorms is located from 26N to 28N
    and west 75W to inland South Florida. Similar activity is seen from
    24N to 27N between 71W and 75W. Broad anticyclonic flow around a
    high pressure ridge that extends from near 31N53W to 28N69W
    dominates the remainder of the tropical Atlantic, with its
    associated gradient bringing gentle to moderate trades across most
    of the basin. Seas are in the range of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds behind the aforementioned late-
    season cold front will become fresh to strong, north to northeast in
    direction tonight. Rough seas will follow the front as it reaches
    from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by late Mon afternoon,
    and from near 31N60W to central Cuba by Tue afternoon. Winds will
    begin to diminish Tue night as the front stalls and dissipates along
    22N by late Wed. High pressure will settle in between northeast
    Florida and Bermuda in the wake of the front. Large north swell may
    linger near the dissipating front Wed into Thu, including waters
    near the Windward Passage.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 19 Apr 2026 23:26:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 192326
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon Apr 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends from 07N11W southwestward to
    03N17W, where it transitions to 00N30W to 01S47W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is within 180 nm south of
    the ITCZ between 23W-30W. Scattered moderate convection is within
    180 nm south of the ITCZ between 31W-35W and within 60 nm north
    of the ITCZ between 33W-38W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A late-season cold front extends from north-central Florida
    southwestward to 27N88W and to a weak 1018 mb low at 25N96W.
    A cold front extends from the low south-southwestward to inland
    Mexico just south of Tampico, Mexico. Fresh to strong north-
    northeast winds are behind the front as noted in recent
    scatterometer satellite data. Seas of 6 to 9 ft with these winds are
    indicated in buoy data, and also confirmed by altimeter satellite
    data. Moderate to fresh northeast to east winds are east of the
    front. Seas with these winds are 5 to 7 ft. A surface trough is
    analyzed in the central Bay of Campeche. Fresh northeast winds over
    the Bay of Campeche are somewhat supported by the trough. Seas there
    are 3 to 5 ft.

    For the forecast, the fresh to strong north to northeast winds
    and moderate to rough seas will follow the cold front as it moves
    southward across the northern Gulf through Mon. The front is
    then expected to stall from the Straits of Florida to South
    Texas Mon night. On Tue, the western portion of this boundary
    will gradually dissipate over the central and western Gulf, while
    the eastern portion will resume moving southward into Cuba and
    the Yucatan Channel. In the wake of the front, gentle to moderate
    southeasterly winds will return to the Gulf on Thu.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A fairly weak pressure gradient is generally allowing for moderate
    or weaker trades to exist across the basin, with the except for
    locally fresh trades possible in the south-central Caribbean off the
    coast of Colombia, along the southern tip of Hispaniola, and within
    Atlantic Passages in the Lesser Antilles. Seas are about 3 to 5 ft
    across the basin, with locally higher seas in the Atlantic Passages
    of the Lesser Antilles.

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted over some of the
    interior sections of central Cuba. Isolated showers and
    thunderstorms are just inland the eastern tip of eastern Cuba, and
    along and just inland and offshore the southern coast of Jamaica.

    For the forecast, a weaker than usual pressure gradient will
    support mainly gentle to moderate winds through Tue. Fresh to
    strong northeast winds may develop Tue night and Wed across the
    Windward Passage and at the lee of Cuba associated with a late-
    season cold front moving across Cuba.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A late-season cold front has just emerged along the coast of
    northeast Florida. It extends southwestward across north-central
    Florida and to the Gulf of America. Light northwest winds are
    behind the front along with seas of 3 to 4 ft. A pre-frontal
    trough extends from near 31N77.5W to near Daytona Beach. An area
    of isolated showers and thunderstorms is located from 26N to 28N
    and west 75W to inland South Florida. Similar activity is seen from
    24N to 27N between 71W and 75W. Broad anticyclonic flow around a
    high pressure ridge that extends from near 31N53W to 28N69W
    dominates the remainder of the tropical Atlantic, with its
    associated gradient bringing gentle to moderate trades across most
    of the basin. Seas are in the range of 5 to 7 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds behind the aforementioned late-
    season cold front will become fresh to strong, north to northeast in
    direction tonight. Rough seas will follow the front as it reaches
    from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by late Mon afternoon,
    and from near 31N60W to central Cuba by Tue afternoon. Winds will
    begin to diminish Tue night as the front stalls and dissipates along
    22N by late Wed. High pressure will settle in between northeast
    Florida and Bermuda in the wake of the front. Large north swell may
    linger near the dissipating front Wed into Thu, including waters
    near the Windward Passage.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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