2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 23:07:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272307
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Nov 28 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2305 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is confined to the African continent. The
    ITCZ extends from the coast of Sierra Leone near 09N13W to 08N35W
    and to 06N54W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from
    05N to 15N and between 25W and 45W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from SW Florida to northern Veracruz,
    Mexico. Scattered showers to isolated thunderstorms are found
    south of 25N, especially in the Bay of Campeche. A dry airmass
    prevails behind the frontal boundary, allowing for generally dry
    conditions. The pressure gradient between a strong high pressure
    over the central United States and the cold front result in fresh
    to strong N-NE winds behind the front, along with seas of 5-10
    ft. Fresh to near gale-force NW winds and rough seas are noted
    off Veracruz. Elsewhere in the Gulf, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, a cold front extending from near Sarasota, Florida to
    near Tampico, Mexico is moving southward across the Gulf with
    active showers and thunderstorms ahead of it. The front is expected
    to exit the Gulf to the southeast by Fri morning, with scattered
    showers and thunderstorms continuing along and ahead of the front
    tonight. Fresh to strong NE winds will follow in the wake of the
    cold front, with conditions improving Fri night through Sat. Fresh
    to strong return flow will set up in the NW Gulf Fri night and
    Sat, ahead of the next front. This next cold front will emerge off
    the Texas coast early Sun morning and meander slowly
    southeastward across the NW and N central Gulf Sun through Mon
    before moving southeastward Mon night and Tue.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft and convergent surface winds continue to support
    scattered showers across the SW Caribbean Sea, while generally
    drier conditions are found in the rest of the basin. A strong
    ridge north of the islands forces fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds in the central and SW Caribbean, with the strongest winds
    occurring off northern Colombia. Seas in these waters are 8-12
    ft. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
    present in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle
    winds and slight to moderate seas are evident.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between strong high pressure
    over the central Atlantic and lower pressure over the SW Caribbean
    will sustain strong to near gale-force trades over the SW and
    south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, through
    Fri morning before diminishing. Moderate to fresh trades are
    expected elsewhere in the eastern and central basin through Sun.
    A cold front will enter the NW Caribbean early Fri morning,
    followed by fresh to strong NE winds. The front is expected to
    stall from central Cuba to the Yucatan Peninsula Fri night, then
    gradually dissipate over the NW Caribbean on Sat. A very weak
    pressure gradient across the region Mon and Tue will lead to
    tranquil marine conditions.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N75W to SE Florida, generating
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms ahead of the
    boundary. Fresh NW winds and moderate seas are noted behind the
    front, while fresh to locally strong SW winds and moderate seas
    are evident ahead of the front, north of 29N and west of 72W.

    A stationary front in the central Atlantic extends southwestward
    from 31N35W to 26N49W. Fresh NE winds and 7-9 ft seas are north
    of the front. North of Hispaniola and on approach to the Windward
    Passage, E winds are pulsing to fresh speeds. Elsewhere, high
    pressure prevails across the Atlantic waters, supporting moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
    1030 mb high over the central Atlantic and low pressure across
    the SW Caribbean will sustain fresh E winds south of 22N and in
    the approach to the Windward Passage through tonight before
    diminishing on Fri. A cold front across the NW waters extends
    from 31N77W to Cape Canaveral, and is followed by fresh NW to N
    winds. The cold front will move southeastward and extend from
    31N72W to the Florida Straits tonight, from 31N64W through the
    central Bahamas by Fri night, and then dissipate from 31N58W the
    NW Bahamas by Sun morning. A tight pressure gradient in the wake
    of the front will produce increasing NE winds across much of the
    forecast area Sat, diminishing from west to east Sun.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 23:07:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272307
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Nov 28 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2305 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is confined to the African continent. The
    ITCZ extends from the coast of Sierra Leone near 09N13W to 08N35W
    and to 06N54W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from
    05N to 15N and between 25W and 45W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from SW Florida to northern Veracruz,
    Mexico. Scattered showers to isolated thunderstorms are found
    south of 25N, especially in the Bay of Campeche. A dry airmass
    prevails behind the frontal boundary, allowing for generally dry
    conditions. The pressure gradient between a strong high pressure
    over the central United States and the cold front result in fresh
    to strong N-NE winds behind the front, along with seas of 5-10
    ft. Fresh to near gale-force NW winds and rough seas are noted
    off Veracruz. Elsewhere in the Gulf, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, a cold front extending from near Sarasota, Florida to
    near Tampico, Mexico is moving southward across the Gulf with
    active showers and thunderstorms ahead of it. The front is expected
    to exit the Gulf to the southeast by Fri morning, with scattered
    showers and thunderstorms continuing along and ahead of the front
    tonight. Fresh to strong NE winds will follow in the wake of the
    cold front, with conditions improving Fri night through Sat. Fresh
    to strong return flow will set up in the NW Gulf Fri night and
    Sat, ahead of the next front. This next cold front will emerge off
    the Texas coast early Sun morning and meander slowly
    southeastward across the NW and N central Gulf Sun through Mon
    before moving southeastward Mon night and Tue.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft and convergent surface winds continue to support
    scattered showers across the SW Caribbean Sea, while generally
    drier conditions are found in the rest of the basin. A strong
    ridge north of the islands forces fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds in the central and SW Caribbean, with the strongest winds
    occurring off northern Colombia. Seas in these waters are 8-12
    ft. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
    present in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle
    winds and slight to moderate seas are evident.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between strong high pressure
    over the central Atlantic and lower pressure over the SW Caribbean
    will sustain strong to near gale-force trades over the SW and
    south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, through
    Fri morning before diminishing. Moderate to fresh trades are
    expected elsewhere in the eastern and central basin through Sun.
    A cold front will enter the NW Caribbean early Fri morning,
    followed by fresh to strong NE winds. The front is expected to
    stall from central Cuba to the Yucatan Peninsula Fri night, then
    gradually dissipate over the NW Caribbean on Sat. A very weak
    pressure gradient across the region Mon and Tue will lead to
    tranquil marine conditions.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N75W to SE Florida, generating
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms ahead of the
    boundary. Fresh NW winds and moderate seas are noted behind the
    front, while fresh to locally strong SW winds and moderate seas
    are evident ahead of the front, north of 29N and west of 72W.

    A stationary front in the central Atlantic extends southwestward
    from 31N35W to 26N49W. Fresh NE winds and 7-9 ft seas are north
    of the front. North of Hispaniola and on approach to the Windward
    Passage, E winds are pulsing to fresh speeds. Elsewhere, high
    pressure prevails across the Atlantic waters, supporting moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
    1030 mb high over the central Atlantic and low pressure across
    the SW Caribbean will sustain fresh E winds south of 22N and in
    the approach to the Windward Passage through tonight before
    diminishing on Fri. A cold front across the NW waters extends
    from 31N77W to Cape Canaveral, and is followed by fresh NW to N
    winds. The cold front will move southeastward and extend from
    31N72W to the Florida Straits tonight, from 31N64W through the
    central Bahamas by Fri night, and then dissipate from 31N58W the
    NW Bahamas by Sun morning. A tight pressure gradient in the wake
    of the front will produce increasing NE winds across much of the
    forecast area Sat, diminishing from west to east Sun.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 29 Nov 2025 05:03:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 27 Nov 2025 23:07:54 GMT
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 17:03:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 271703
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 14:18:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271418
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0920 AM EST THU 27 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-180

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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