2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 09 Dec 2025 20:47:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 092047
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Dec 10 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07N13W and continues
    southwestward to 05N16W. The ITCZ continues from 05N16W to 02N37W
    to near 03N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N
    to 10N between 26W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. Fresh to locally
    strong winds are over the SE Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds are SE
    of a line from N Florida to Veracruz, Mexico. Light to gentle
    winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range over the SE
    Gulf and over the Bay of Campeche. Elsewhere, seas of 4-6 ft are
    noted.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE winds and rough seas will
    continue in the Bay of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf through
    this evening, in the wake of a front that has stalled over the
    northwestern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh W to
    NW winds and moderate seas will develop in the northeastern basin
    by Wed ahead of a cold front moving through the southern United
    States. The front is slated to enter the northern Gulf by early
    Thu, with winds turning to the N in the wake of the front.
    Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are expected
    over the remainder of the Gulf into this weekend as weak high
    pressure prevails over the basin.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front is analyzed from near western Cuba to the
    Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is found along
    the stationary front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the
    central and eastern Caribbean with light to gentle winds
    elsewhere. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the central and
    eastern Caribbean, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and eastern Caribbean today.
    Widespread fresh trades and rough seas are expected to develop
    over this region on Wed as a tightening pressure gradient develops
    between the Colombian low, a stalled front in the northwest basin
    and building high pressure in the central Atlantic. Winds will
    pulse to strong speeds offshore of northern Colombia and in the
    Gulf of Venezuela nightly through this weekend, and winds may
    reach near-gale force at times. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
    trades will prevail over the Atlantic waters and through the
    passages into this weekend. A new E swell will support rough seas
    over this region Wed through this weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from southeast of Bermuda through the
    central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
    is noted along the front. Fresh to near gale winds are N of 27N
    and E of the front to 46W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 27N and
    W of the front to 70W. Seas of 8-11 ft are over these waters.
    Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere west of the front, with
    seas of 4-7 ft, except to 9 ft north of 30W. The remainder of the
    discussion waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a
    1021 mb high centered near 27N33W. Light to gentle winds are in
    the vicinity of the high center. Moderate to fresh winds prevail S
    of 20N. Gentle to moderate winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are in
    the 8-12 ft range in NW to N swell east of 50W, and 5-7 ft
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the front will progress eastward through the
    central Atlantic this week. Strong to locally near-gale force SW
    winds and rough seas will occur north of 28N and east of 60W ahead
    of the cold front through late tonight, with widespread fresh to
    strong W to NW winds expected in the wake of the front north of
    30N and east of 65W. Winds will subside from west to east tonight
    into early Wed. NW swell associated with this front will expand
    southeastward over the northwestern tropical Atlantic through Wed,
    supporting rough seas north of 27N by late tonight, and north of
    25N by Wed afternoon. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
    north of 30N and east of 70W into Wed afternoon. Seas will slowly
    subside from west to east, west of 65W, into early Thu. Fresh to
    strong SW winds and rough seas will develop offshore of northern
    Florida by Wed evening, ahead of a cold front moving over the
    southern United States. The cold front is slated to push offshore
    early Thu, with fresh to strong NW winds and rough seas expected
    in the wake of the front.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 09 Dec 2025 20:47:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 092047
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Dec 10 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07N13W and continues
    southwestward to 05N16W. The ITCZ continues from 05N16W to 02N37W
    to near 03N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N
    to 10N between 26W and 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. Fresh to locally
    strong winds are over the SE Gulf. Moderate to fresh winds are SE
    of a line from N Florida to Veracruz, Mexico. Light to gentle
    winds prevail elsewhere. Seas are in the 6-8 ft range over the SE
    Gulf and over the Bay of Campeche. Elsewhere, seas of 4-6 ft are
    noted.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE winds and rough seas will
    continue in the Bay of Campeche and the southeastern Gulf through
    this evening, in the wake of a front that has stalled over the
    northwestern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh W to
    NW winds and moderate seas will develop in the northeastern basin
    by Wed ahead of a cold front moving through the southern United
    States. The front is slated to enter the northern Gulf by early
    Thu, with winds turning to the N in the wake of the front.
    Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are expected
    over the remainder of the Gulf into this weekend as weak high
    pressure prevails over the basin.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front is analyzed from near western Cuba to the
    Yucatan Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is found along
    the stationary front. Moderate to fresh winds prevail over the
    central and eastern Caribbean with light to gentle winds
    elsewhere. Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the central and
    eastern Caribbean, and 2-4 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh E winds and moderate
    seas will prevail over the central and eastern Caribbean today.
    Widespread fresh trades and rough seas are expected to develop
    over this region on Wed as a tightening pressure gradient develops
    between the Colombian low, a stalled front in the northwest basin
    and building high pressure in the central Atlantic. Winds will
    pulse to strong speeds offshore of northern Colombia and in the
    Gulf of Venezuela nightly through this weekend, and winds may
    reach near-gale force at times. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
    trades will prevail over the Atlantic waters and through the
    passages into this weekend. A new E swell will support rough seas
    over this region Wed through this weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from southeast of Bermuda through the
    central Bahamas. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
    is noted along the front. Fresh to near gale winds are N of 27N
    and E of the front to 46W. Fresh to strong winds are N of 27N and
    W of the front to 70W. Seas of 8-11 ft are over these waters.
    Gentle to moderate winds are elsewhere west of the front, with
    seas of 4-7 ft, except to 9 ft north of 30W. The remainder of the
    discussion waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a
    1021 mb high centered near 27N33W. Light to gentle winds are in
    the vicinity of the high center. Moderate to fresh winds prevail S
    of 20N. Gentle to moderate winds are noted elsewhere. Seas are in
    the 8-12 ft range in NW to N swell east of 50W, and 5-7 ft
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the front will progress eastward through the
    central Atlantic this week. Strong to locally near-gale force SW
    winds and rough seas will occur north of 28N and east of 60W ahead
    of the cold front through late tonight, with widespread fresh to
    strong W to NW winds expected in the wake of the front north of
    30N and east of 65W. Winds will subside from west to east tonight
    into early Wed. NW swell associated with this front will expand
    southeastward over the northwestern tropical Atlantic through Wed,
    supporting rough seas north of 27N by late tonight, and north of
    25N by Wed afternoon. Very rough seas over 12 ft will be possible
    north of 30N and east of 70W into Wed afternoon. Seas will slowly
    subside from west to east, west of 65W, into early Thu. Fresh to
    strong SW winds and rough seas will develop offshore of northern
    Florida by Wed evening, ahead of a cold front moving over the
    southern United States. The cold front is slated to push offshore
    early Thu, with fresh to strong NW winds and rough seas expected
    in the wake of the front.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 09 Dec 2025 18:07:26 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 091807
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0110 PM EST TUE 09 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-009

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
    A. 11/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 04WSE IOP03
    C. 10/1745Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    35.0N 155.0W, 55.0N 155.0W, 55.0N 125.0W, AND 35.0N 125.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 10/2030Z TO 11/0230Z

    2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
    FOR THE 11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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