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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 04:43:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060443
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 31W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is along 46W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5 to
10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 86W and S of
20N, and moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from eastern Panama to northeast Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 23N16W and continues
southwestward to 08N42W. The ITCZ extends from 08N45W to 06N57W.
Scattered showers are noted along the monsoon trough
between 31W-44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over northern Florida. This
pattern is supporting moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas over the
western Gulf, and light to gentle breezes with 1-3 ft seas
elsewhere. A mid-to-upper level trough is supporting scattered
showers and thunderstorms active over the southeast Gulf and the
Florida peninsula.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin,
promoting gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas through the
upcoming weekend and into early next week. Pulses of fresh winds
will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
Campeche each night, locally strong tonight, along with moderate
seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
the basin.
Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 9 ft seas persist across
the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
America. Moderate E winds and 3-7 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High and
relatively lower pressure in northern South America will continue
to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions
of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N
of the region will shift southward, acting to increase the
pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and
in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-
force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to
very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid-to-upper level trough extends from between Bermuda and
eastern Cuba is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms
offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are also active along a surface trough
extending from 27N67W to 20N71W. Fresh E winds and rough seas are
ongoing near the trough, from 23N to 26N between 65W and 672W. In
the far NE Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas
are evident off Morocco and in the passages of the Canary
Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with gentle to
moderate winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid-to-upper
level trough will keep scattered showers and thunderstorms ongoing
offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas through at
least tonight. A westward moving surface trough moving N of
Hispaniola tonight will approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting
west of the area by late Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong
winds and locally rough seas. Winds may pulse to fresh to strong
at times from north of Hispaniola to the Windward Passage.
Otherwise, weak ridging settles across the northern and central
waters during the upcoming weekend and into early next week,
bringing tranquil marine conditions.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 04:43:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060443
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu Aug 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 31W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is along 46W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5 to
10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 86W and S of
20N, and moving west at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from eastern Panama to northeast Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 23N16W and continues
southwestward to 08N42W. The ITCZ extends from 08N45W to 06N57W.
Scattered showers are noted along the monsoon trough
between 31W-44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1019 mb high pressure is centered over northern Florida. This
pattern is supporting moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas over the
western Gulf, and light to gentle breezes with 1-3 ft seas
elsewhere. A mid-to-upper level trough is supporting scattered
showers and thunderstorms active over the southeast Gulf and the
Florida peninsula.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin,
promoting gentle to moderate winds, and slight seas through the
upcoming weekend and into early next week. Pulses of fresh winds
will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
Campeche each night, locally strong tonight, along with moderate
seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
the basin.
Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 9 ft seas persist across
the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
America. Moderate E winds and 3-7 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High and
relatively lower pressure in northern South America will continue
to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central and portions
of the SW basin through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N
of the region will shift southward, acting to increase the
pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and
in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-
force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to
very rough at times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or weaker winds and seas will
prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid-to-upper level trough extends from between Bermuda and
eastern Cuba is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms
offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are also active along a surface trough
extending from 27N67W to 20N71W. Fresh E winds and rough seas are
ongoing near the trough, from 23N to 26N between 65W and 672W. In
the far NE Atlantic, strong N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas
are evident off Morocco and in the passages of the Canary
Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with gentle to
moderate winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid-to-upper
level trough will keep scattered showers and thunderstorms ongoing
offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas through at
least tonight. A westward moving surface trough moving N of
Hispaniola tonight will approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting
west of the area by late Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong
winds and locally rough seas. Winds may pulse to fresh to strong
at times from north of Hispaniola to the Windward Passage.
Otherwise, weak ridging settles across the northern and central
waters during the upcoming weekend and into early next week,
bringing tranquil marine conditions.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 17:00:53 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 06 Aug 2026 07:20:12 GMT - Thu, 06 Aug 2026 05:00:53 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
829
ABNT20 KNHC 060500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 05 Aug 2026 12:58:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051258
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT WED 05 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-066
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf