2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 17:19:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    007
    AXNT20 KNHC 231719
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 23 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and continues
    southwestward to 09N19W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
    continues to 10N32W to 07N58W. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen from 02N to 07N between 10W and 22W, and from 07N to 09N
    between 45W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered near 27N89W while a frontal
    boundary has reached the northern Gulf. The front extends from the
    western Florida Panhandle to inland south Texas, where it becomes
    a stationary front. Satellite pictures show scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms near the front over Texas. Under this weather
    pattern, moderate to fresh N to NE winds are noted behind the front.
    Mostly light to gentle winds are S of front, except for gentle to
    moderate northeast to east winds south of about 24N and east of 94W.
    Similar wind seepds are W of 94W. Seas are generally 2 to 4 ft,
    except for lower seas of 1 to 2 ft in the NE Gulf. Patches of fog,
    some dense, are along and just offshore the Florida Big Bend coast.
    A dense fog advisory is in effect in this area until 4 pm this
    afternoon.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned frontal boundary will lift
    northeastward as a warm front later today as a low pressure
    develops near the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles. Expect fresh
    southerly flow off the Texas coast tonight through Mon night
    supported by the gradient between low pressure over northeast
    Mexico and high pressure off the Carolinas. These winds will
    diminish Tue ahead of a frontal boundary that will be nearing the
    coast of Texas. A stronger reinforcing cold front will overtake
    the frontal boundary early Wed while emerging out over the
    northwest Gulf. The cold front will then sweep to the southeast of
    the basin by late Thu, followed by fresh to strong northeast
    winds and building seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may
    accompany the initial frontal boundary.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The combination between high pressure north of the area over the
    western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern
    Colombia is resulting in fresh to strong trade winds over most of
    the central Caribbean as noted in recent scatterometer data. The
    strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt are offshore Colombia where seas are
    in the 8 to 10 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
    are noted over the remainder of the basin. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are occurring from eastern Honduras to
    western Panama. Gusty winds are possible with this activity as it
    may linger into late tonight. Abundant tropical moisture in place,
    combined with an upper-level low spinning over Nicaragua supports
    this convection.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
    pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning well
    into the upcoming week due to the pressure gradient resulting from
    the combination of high pressure over the western Atlantic and
    relatively lower pressures over northern Colombia and the south-
    central Caribbean. Rough seas can be expected with these winds.
    Elsewhere, the gradient will also support moderate to fresh trade
    winds along with moderate seas over the remainder of the basin
    through the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure dominates the western Atlantic, with a 1020 mb high
    pressure situated just N of the NW Bahamas. Recent scatterometer
    data depict moderate northeast to east winds south of about 23N
    west of 71W, including through the passages of the Bahama Islands.
    These winds reach to along the coast of Cuba and through the
    Straits of Florida. Fresh northeast winds are in the Windward
    Passage as also seen in the scatterometer satellite data passes.

    Over the central Atlantic, a persistent trough extends from near
    31N47W to 20N52W. An upper-level trough is providing upper support
    for this feature. An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms
    remains associated with this trough. The pressure gradient between
    strong high pressure of 1031 mb centered just E of the Azores and
    relatively lower pressures over NW Africa is sustaining mostly
    fresh northeast to east winds north of about 28N and east of 24W,
    including waters to the north of the Canary Islands. Seas of 8 to
    10 ft in NE swell are over this area based on altimeter data.
    Moderate to fresh southeast to south winds are north of 22N and E
    of the aforementioned trough to about 40W. Moderate to rough seas
    are with these winds. Otherwise, mostly moderate to fresh trades,
    with moderate seas are present across the remainder of the tropical
    Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure off east-central
    Florida will shift southeastward and dissipate through early Mon
    in response to a cold front that will move off the northeast
    Florida coast this morning. The front will reach from near Bermuda
    to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon. The eastern portion of
    the front will continue eastward and reach from 30N55W to 27N70W
    by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W starts to lift back
    north as a warm front. High pressure will shift eastward off the
    Mid-Atlantic coast during the week, with its related gradient
    supporting moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate
    seas over the region, with large northwest swell following the
    front southeast of Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will
    diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of front expected to move off
    the northeast Florida coast early Thu. The front will reach from
    Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by late Thu night, followed by
    fresh northeast winds and building seas.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 17:19:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    007
    AXNT20 KNHC 231719
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 23 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and continues
    southwestward to 09N19W, where it transitions to the ITCZ and
    continues to 10N32W to 07N58W. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen from 02N to 07N between 10W and 22W, and from 07N to 09N
    between 45W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1020 mb high pressure is centered near 27N89W while a frontal
    boundary has reached the northern Gulf. The front extends from the
    western Florida Panhandle to inland south Texas, where it becomes
    a stationary front. Satellite pictures show scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms near the front over Texas. Under this weather
    pattern, moderate to fresh N to NE winds are noted behind the front.
    Mostly light to gentle winds are S of front, except for gentle to
    moderate northeast to east winds south of about 24N and east of 94W.
    Similar wind seepds are W of 94W. Seas are generally 2 to 4 ft,
    except for lower seas of 1 to 2 ft in the NE Gulf. Patches of fog,
    some dense, are along and just offshore the Florida Big Bend coast.
    A dense fog advisory is in effect in this area until 4 pm this
    afternoon.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned frontal boundary will lift
    northeastward as a warm front later today as a low pressure
    develops near the Texas and Oklahoma panhandles. Expect fresh
    southerly flow off the Texas coast tonight through Mon night
    supported by the gradient between low pressure over northeast
    Mexico and high pressure off the Carolinas. These winds will
    diminish Tue ahead of a frontal boundary that will be nearing the
    coast of Texas. A stronger reinforcing cold front will overtake
    the frontal boundary early Wed while emerging out over the
    northwest Gulf. The cold front will then sweep to the southeast of
    the basin by late Thu, followed by fresh to strong northeast
    winds and building seas. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may
    accompany the initial frontal boundary.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The combination between high pressure north of the area over the
    western Atlantic and relatively lower pressure over northern
    Colombia is resulting in fresh to strong trade winds over most of
    the central Caribbean as noted in recent scatterometer data. The
    strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt are offshore Colombia where seas are
    in the 8 to 10 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas
    are noted over the remainder of the basin. Scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms are occurring from eastern Honduras to
    western Panama. Gusty winds are possible with this activity as it
    may linger into late tonight. Abundant tropical moisture in place,
    combined with an upper-level low spinning over Nicaragua supports
    this convection.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong northeast to east winds will
    pulse offshore of northern Colombia each night and morning well
    into the upcoming week due to the pressure gradient resulting from
    the combination of high pressure over the western Atlantic and
    relatively lower pressures over northern Colombia and the south-
    central Caribbean. Rough seas can be expected with these winds.
    Elsewhere, the gradient will also support moderate to fresh trade
    winds along with moderate seas over the remainder of the basin
    through the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure dominates the western Atlantic, with a 1020 mb high
    pressure situated just N of the NW Bahamas. Recent scatterometer
    data depict moderate northeast to east winds south of about 23N
    west of 71W, including through the passages of the Bahama Islands.
    These winds reach to along the coast of Cuba and through the
    Straits of Florida. Fresh northeast winds are in the Windward
    Passage as also seen in the scatterometer satellite data passes.

    Over the central Atlantic, a persistent trough extends from near
    31N47W to 20N52W. An upper-level trough is providing upper support
    for this feature. An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms
    remains associated with this trough. The pressure gradient between
    strong high pressure of 1031 mb centered just E of the Azores and
    relatively lower pressures over NW Africa is sustaining mostly
    fresh northeast to east winds north of about 28N and east of 24W,
    including waters to the north of the Canary Islands. Seas of 8 to
    10 ft in NE swell are over this area based on altimeter data.
    Moderate to fresh southeast to south winds are north of 22N and E
    of the aforementioned trough to about 40W. Moderate to rough seas
    are with these winds. Otherwise, mostly moderate to fresh trades,
    with moderate seas are present across the remainder of the tropical
    Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, weak high pressure off east-central
    Florida will shift southeastward and dissipate through early Mon
    in response to a cold front that will move off the northeast
    Florida coast this morning. The front will reach from near Bermuda
    to Sebastian Inlet, Florida by early Mon. The eastern portion of
    the front will continue eastward and reach from 30N55W to 27N70W
    by early Tue, while the portion west of 70W starts to lift back
    north as a warm front. High pressure will shift eastward off the
    Mid-Atlantic coast during the week, with its related gradient
    supporting moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate
    seas over the region, with large northwest swell following the
    front southeast of Bermuda. Looking ahead, winds and seas will
    diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of front expected to move off
    the northeast Florida coast early Thu. The front will reach from
    Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by late Thu night, followed by
    fresh northeast winds and building seas.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 25 Nov 2025 05:06:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 23 Nov 2025 18:50:05 GMT
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 17:06:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 231706
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Sun Nov 23 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 23 Nov 2025 13:50:31 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    552
    NOUS42 KNHC 231350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EST SUN 23 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-176

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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