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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 20 May 2026 15:00:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
364
AXNT20 KNHC 201500
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W, south
of 15N, and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection
is noted near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic off the coast of Africa
near 12N16W and extends southwestward to near 06N20W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N20W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 150 nm N of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Numerous moderate to isolated scattered moderate convection
generated from outflow boundaries associated with earlier
thunderstorms over Texas, is impacting waters within 90 nm of the
Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. This activity is bringing
locally higher winds and seas. Elsewhere, high pressure prevails
across the Gulf waters. Gentle winds prevail over the NE Gulf,
with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are in the 2-3 ft
range over the NE Gulf, and 3-5 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the north-central Gulf will change little during the
next few days. The pressure gradient between it and relatively
lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend, with the exception of winds pulsing
to fresh to strong speeds from the late afternoons and into the
night time hours. A series of upper-level disturbances in a very
moist and unstable environment is expected to keep unsettled
weather conditions in the form of scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms in the NW Gulf for the next few days. Mariners
transiting through these waters are advised to be prepared for
rapidly changing weather conditions with this activity.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb high centered near 32N60W
and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trade winds
over the south central Caribbean. Light to gentle winds over over
the NW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds generally prevail
elsewhere. Seas are in the 8-10 ft range in the south central
Caribbean, 2-4 ft in the NW Caribbean, and 4-7 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central portion of the Caribbean through the weekend. These trades
will continue to bring rough seas to that portion of the basin.
Fresh trades will also pulse each evening over the Gulf of
Honduras. Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere through the
forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough is over the waters NE of the Bahamas. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the
Bahamas. A cold front extends from 31N32W to 26N54W. Scattered
moderate convection is in the vicinity of the front. Moderate to
fresh winds prevail over the waters S of 25N and west of 60W.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds are noted. Seas are in the 6-8
ft range S of 25N and W of 60W, as well as S of 20N and W of 50W.
Rough seas follow the cold front mentioned above that has ushered
in a set of NW swell. Elsewhere, seas are in the 4-7 ft range.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large mid to upper-level low and
accompanying surface trough northeast of the Bahamas will continue
to produce scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over
most of the waters roughly between the Bahamas and 70W through at
least Thu evening. Some of this activity may contain strong gusty
winds and heavy rain reducing visibility. Southeast winds will
pulse fresh to strong speeds north of Hispaniola in the afternoons
and evenings through Fri. Otherwise, high pressure centered just
north of the area will maintain rather quite marine conditions
through the period.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 20 May 2026 15:00:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
364
AXNT20 KNHC 201500
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W, south
of 15N, and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection
is noted near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic off the coast of Africa
near 12N16W and extends southwestward to near 06N20W. The ITCZ
extends from 06N20W to 03N51W. Scattered moderate convection is
noted within 150 nm N of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Numerous moderate to isolated scattered moderate convection
generated from outflow boundaries associated with earlier
thunderstorms over Texas, is impacting waters within 90 nm of the
Louisiana and upper Texas coasts. This activity is bringing
locally higher winds and seas. Elsewhere, high pressure prevails
across the Gulf waters. Gentle winds prevail over the NE Gulf,
with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere. Seas are in the 2-3 ft
range over the NE Gulf, and 3-5 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the north-central Gulf will change little during the
next few days. The pressure gradient between it and relatively
lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend, with the exception of winds pulsing
to fresh to strong speeds from the late afternoons and into the
night time hours. A series of upper-level disturbances in a very
moist and unstable environment is expected to keep unsettled
weather conditions in the form of scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms in the NW Gulf for the next few days. Mariners
transiting through these waters are advised to be prepared for
rapidly changing weather conditions with this activity.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb high centered near 32N60W
and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong trade winds
over the south central Caribbean. Light to gentle winds over over
the NW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds generally prevail
elsewhere. Seas are in the 8-10 ft range in the south central
Caribbean, 2-4 ft in the NW Caribbean, and 4-7 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central portion of the Caribbean through the weekend. These trades
will continue to bring rough seas to that portion of the basin.
Fresh trades will also pulse each evening over the Gulf of
Honduras. Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere through the
forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough is over the waters NE of the Bahamas. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the
Bahamas. A cold front extends from 31N32W to 26N54W. Scattered
moderate convection is in the vicinity of the front. Moderate to
fresh winds prevail over the waters S of 25N and west of 60W.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds are noted. Seas are in the 6-8
ft range S of 25N and W of 60W, as well as S of 20N and W of 50W.
Rough seas follow the cold front mentioned above that has ushered
in a set of NW swell. Elsewhere, seas are in the 4-7 ft range.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large mid to upper-level low and
accompanying surface trough northeast of the Bahamas will continue
to produce scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over
most of the waters roughly between the Bahamas and 70W through at
least Thu evening. Some of this activity may contain strong gusty
winds and heavy rain reducing visibility. Southeast winds will
pulse fresh to strong speeds north of Hispaniola in the afternoons
and evenings through Fri. Otherwise, high pressure centered just
north of the area will maintain rather quite marine conditions
through the period.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 22 May 2026 05:18:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 20 May 2026 21:56:42 GMT - Wed, 20 May 2026 17:18:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
642
ABNT20 KNHC 201718
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed May 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf