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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 23:02:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 092302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into the weekend. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela Fri
night and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft
off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
15N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are occurring across the southern half of the wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 77W from 19N
southward, moving westward around 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are noted across the southern half of the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N39W. It resumes at 09N43W
to 05N52W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical
waves, no significant convection is noted with the boundaries at
this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is ongoing along a surface trough
running from the Bay of Campeche to the W Gulf. Surface ridging
prevails elsewhere, anchored by a 1020 mb high centered near
29N85W. The weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds south of 26N east of 94W, and light to gentle
southeast to south-southwest winds north of 26N. Light and
variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W.
For the forecast, the weather pattern will change little through
the weekend, then shift slightly southeastward afterward.
Occasional fresh to strong northeast to east winds will pulse offshore
the Yucatan peninsula at night. The convection over the western
Gulf will persist into tonight.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
later this week and weekend.
The pressure gradient between ridging over the Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South America continues to support fresh
to strong trades and rough seas across much of the central to SW
Caribbean, as well as through the Windward Passage. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean
and the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing across the SW Caribbean, enhanced by the eastern extension
of the East Pacific monsoon trough. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are also occurring over the waters between
Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti.
For the forecast, winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia,
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, Fri night and Sat night. Trades over
the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in the
late afternoons and evenings through early next week. A tropical
wave in the eastern Caribbean is accompanied by scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms. This activity will continue near the
tropical wave as it moves rapidly across the central and western
Caribbean the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak stationary front segment runs along 30/31N between 33W and
43W. No notable convection or changes in marine conditions are
occurring. Surface ridging prevails across much of the tropical
and subtropical Atlantic, with moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas prevailing across areas S of 22N and W of 35W.
Strong trades are seen along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
into the Windward Passage, as well as from 02N to 08N between 40W
and the Lesser Antilles. An area of fresh to strong winds from
the NE is occurring N of 20N and E of 25W between a stronger
pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and lower
pressures over Africa. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6
ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 23:02:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 092302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into the weekend. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela Fri
night and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft
off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 41W south of
15N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are occurring across the southern half of the wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 77W from 19N
southward, moving westward around 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are noted across the southern half of the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 10N24W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 10N39W. It resumes at 09N43W
to 05N52W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical
waves, no significant convection is noted with the boundaries at
this time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is ongoing along a surface trough
running from the Bay of Campeche to the W Gulf. Surface ridging
prevails elsewhere, anchored by a 1020 mb high centered near
29N85W. The weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds south of 26N east of 94W, and light to gentle
southeast to south-southwest winds north of 26N. Light and
variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W.
For the forecast, the weather pattern will change little through
the weekend, then shift slightly southeastward afterward.
Occasional fresh to strong northeast to east winds will pulse offshore
the Yucatan peninsula at night. The convection over the western
Gulf will persist into tonight.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
later this week and weekend.
The pressure gradient between ridging over the Atlantic and lower
pressures over northern South America continues to support fresh
to strong trades and rough seas across much of the central to SW
Caribbean, as well as through the Windward Passage. Moderate to
fresh trades and moderate seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean
and the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection is
ongoing across the SW Caribbean, enhanced by the eastern extension
of the East Pacific monsoon trough. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are also occurring over the waters between
Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti.
For the forecast, winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia,
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, Fri night and Sat night. Trades over
the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in the
late afternoons and evenings through early next week. A tropical
wave in the eastern Caribbean is accompanied by scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms. This activity will continue near the
tropical wave as it moves rapidly across the central and western
Caribbean the next couple of days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak stationary front segment runs along 30/31N between 33W and
43W. No notable convection or changes in marine conditions are
occurring. Surface ridging prevails across much of the tropical
and subtropical Atlantic, with moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas prevailing across areas S of 22N and W of 35W.
Strong trades are seen along the northern coast of Hispaniola and
into the Windward Passage, as well as from 02N to 08N between 40W
and the Lesser Antilles. An area of fresh to strong winds from
the NE is occurring N of 20N and E of 25W between a stronger
pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure and lower
pressures over Africa. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-6
ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 11:15:24 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 10 Jul 2026 03:24:41 GMT - Thu, 09 Jul 2026 23:15:24 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 092315
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 13:40:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT THU 09 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-039
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf