2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

360 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

PLEASE SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 03 May 2026 22:48:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    692
    AXNT20 KNHC 032248
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon May 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2245 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave is along 40W/41W, from 10N southward, moving
    west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen where
    the wave meets the ITCZ. The wave continues to move through a
    hostile dry environment which inhibits other impacts.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then continues
    SW to near 03N20W. The ITCZ extends from 03N20W to NE Brazil
    near 02S45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted from 01N to 05N between 10W and 22W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    The late-season cold front now extends from the NW Bahamas along
    the Straits of Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche. An area
    of showers and thunderstorms is just S of the front affecting
    the Straits of Florida and western Cuba. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are elsewhere along the front. Latest scatterometer
    data indicate fresh to strong NW winds over the SW Gulf, including
    the Veracruz area. Seas are 9 to 12 ft with these winds. Moderate
    to fresh N to NE winds and moderate to locally rough seas are
    noted elsewhere N of the front, with the exception of the northern
    Gulf where winds and seas are diminishing.

    For the forecast, the cold front will stall and gradually wash out
    by tomorrow morning over the far SE Gulf. Strong NW winds offshore
    of Veracruz will diminish by tonight. Elsewhere, fresh N to NE
    winds will continue behind the front into tonight. Expect Mon and
    Tue to see quiet conditions prevailing across the Gulf. Moderate
    to fresh SE to S return flow will set up in the W Gulf Tue night
    into Thu. Looking ahead, Fri may be the start of another quiet
    period over the Gulf.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the eastern and central
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, with gentle to locally
    moderate E to SE winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are
    4 to 6 ft in the central Caribbean, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere,
    except 1 to 3 ft in the lee of Cuba and the Windward Passage,
    including also the coastal waters. Scattered moderate convection,
    associated with the equatorial trough, continues to flare up in
    the SW Caribbean offshore Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and southern
    Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
    strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to
    fresh trades over the remainder of the E and central Caribbean
    for the next several days. A weakening cold front is approaching
    the Yucatan Channel. After the cold front dissipates near the
    Yucatan Channel tomorrow, expect SE winds over the Gulf of Honduras
    to increase up to fresh to strong speeds Tue through Fri.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near Bermuda across the NW Bahamas into
    the Straits of Florida. Scattered showers and tstorms are along
    the front. Recent satellite scatterometer data depict moderate
    to fresh N to NE winds north of the front, with 4 to 7 ft seas.
    Elsewhere across the tropical and subtropical Atlantic, high
    pressure prevails, anchored by 1020 mb high pressure located near
    25N63W and 1017 mb high pressure situated SW of the Canary Islands
    near 27N24W. Its associated ridge, combined with lower pressures
    over W Africa, is promoting an area of moderate to fresh N winds
    and moderate to locally rough seas between W Africa and the Cabo
    Verde Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trades and moderate
    seas are seen across the remainder of the tropical Atlantic.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 4 to 7 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach from 31N59W
    to a low pressure area forming near 27N77W Mon morning. The low
    will ride along the frontal boundary to be just south of Bermuda
    Tue morning with the front extending southwestward to the central
    Bahamas. The front should be dissipating by Wed morning. Expect
    fresh to strong NE winds north of the front tonight and tomorrow.
    Conditions across the forecast waters should become quiescent
    Tue through Thu. Looking ahead, a weak cold front may reach the
    NW waters Thu night and steadily move eastward.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 03 May 2026 22:48:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    692
    AXNT20 KNHC 032248
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Mon May 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2245 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave is along 40W/41W, from 10N southward, moving
    west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen where
    the wave meets the ITCZ. The wave continues to move through a
    hostile dry environment which inhibits other impacts.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then continues
    SW to near 03N20W. The ITCZ extends from 03N20W to NE Brazil
    near 02S45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted from 01N to 05N between 10W and 22W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    The late-season cold front now extends from the NW Bahamas along
    the Straits of Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche. An area
    of showers and thunderstorms is just S of the front affecting
    the Straits of Florida and western Cuba. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are elsewhere along the front. Latest scatterometer
    data indicate fresh to strong NW winds over the SW Gulf, including
    the Veracruz area. Seas are 9 to 12 ft with these winds. Moderate
    to fresh N to NE winds and moderate to locally rough seas are
    noted elsewhere N of the front, with the exception of the northern
    Gulf where winds and seas are diminishing.

    For the forecast, the cold front will stall and gradually wash out
    by tomorrow morning over the far SE Gulf. Strong NW winds offshore
    of Veracruz will diminish by tonight. Elsewhere, fresh N to NE
    winds will continue behind the front into tonight. Expect Mon and
    Tue to see quiet conditions prevailing across the Gulf. Moderate
    to fresh SE to S return flow will set up in the W Gulf Tue night
    into Thu. Looking ahead, Fri may be the start of another quiet
    period over the Gulf.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the eastern and central
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, with gentle to locally
    moderate E to SE winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are
    4 to 6 ft in the central Caribbean, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere,
    except 1 to 3 ft in the lee of Cuba and the Windward Passage,
    including also the coastal waters. Scattered moderate convection,
    associated with the equatorial trough, continues to flare up in
    the SW Caribbean offshore Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and southern
    Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
    strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to
    fresh trades over the remainder of the E and central Caribbean
    for the next several days. A weakening cold front is approaching
    the Yucatan Channel. After the cold front dissipates near the
    Yucatan Channel tomorrow, expect SE winds over the Gulf of Honduras
    to increase up to fresh to strong speeds Tue through Fri.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near Bermuda across the NW Bahamas into
    the Straits of Florida. Scattered showers and tstorms are along
    the front. Recent satellite scatterometer data depict moderate
    to fresh N to NE winds north of the front, with 4 to 7 ft seas.
    Elsewhere across the tropical and subtropical Atlantic, high
    pressure prevails, anchored by 1020 mb high pressure located near
    25N63W and 1017 mb high pressure situated SW of the Canary Islands
    near 27N24W. Its associated ridge, combined with lower pressures
    over W Africa, is promoting an area of moderate to fresh N winds
    and moderate to locally rough seas between W Africa and the Cabo
    Verde Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trades and moderate
    seas are seen across the remainder of the tropical Atlantic.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 4 to 7 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach from 31N59W
    to a low pressure area forming near 27N77W Mon morning. The low
    will ride along the frontal boundary to be just south of Bermuda
    Tue morning with the front extending southwestward to the central
    Bahamas. The front should be dissipating by Wed morning. Expect
    fresh to strong NE winds north of the front tonight and tomorrow.
    Conditions across the forecast waters should become quiescent
    Tue through Thu. Looking ahead, a weak cold front may reach the
    NW waters Thu night and steadily move eastward.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page