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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 22:46:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
256
AXNT20 KNHC 082245
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to gale-force NE winds over the south
central Caribbean tonight. These conditions will resume on Thu
night and continue pulsing each night through the weekend. Seas
are expected to peak around 14 ft on Sat.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from
03N to 15N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered showers are
noted along the wave axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W south of
17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted
along the wave axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W south of 18N. It
is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted in the southern half of the basin.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic ocean near 21N17W and
continues southwestward to 07N35W, where it transitions to the
ITCZ to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 02N
to 08N between 36W and 42W. Similar convection is well south of
the trough from 06N to 11N between the coast of Africa and 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure is extending westward across the basin from
the Atlantic. The associated pressure gradient is allowing for
light to gentle variable winds north of 24N and for gentle to
moderate easterly winds south of 24N, except for mostly moderate
winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are of slight state, except for
moderate state seas in the Bay of Campeche. Meanwhile, a mid to
upper-level low over the western Bay of Campeche is acting on a
very unstable and moisture-laden atmosphere. This has lead to the
development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over much of
the west-central and southwestern portions of the basin, south of
about 26N and west of 92W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are also present north of 26N between 86W and 91W.
For the forecast, the weak high pressure extending westward
across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
Fri through Sat night. The weather pattern will support gentle
to moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of
about 26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of
about 26N. The exception will be occasional fresh to strong
northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night.
The mid to upper-level low along with a moist and unstable
airmass will generate scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the SW Gulf, with scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across the basin south of about
28N through Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures over northern South America is bringing fresh to
near gale trades over the central Caribbean. Seas with these winds
are 8 to 11 ft. Moderate to fresh east winds and seas of 4 to 5
ft are in the Gulf of Honduras while fresh to strong northeast
winds are funneling into the Windward Passage. Seas there are also
4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, fresh trades are over the basin, except for
gentle to moderate winds over the NW Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8
ft south of 18N and east of 83W and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Upper
divergence is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic high
pressure and lower pressures over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight, Fri
night, and Sat night off Colombia. Gale- force winds are also
possible in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in
the late afternoons and evenings through early next week. A fast-
moving tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles this
evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the eastern
Caribbean Thu through Fri night. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms may accompany this wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N, anchored
by a 1025 mb high center at 28N46W. The pressure gradient between
this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is producing
fresh to strong trades south of 24N. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are with
these trades. North of 24N, light to gentle winds prevail along
with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas
of about 4 to 6 ft remain. An upper level trough north of the
Hispaniola supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms south
of 23N between 63W and 74W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 22:46:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
256
AXNT20 KNHC 082245
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to gale-force NE winds over the south
central Caribbean tonight. These conditions will resume on Thu
night and continue pulsing each night through the weekend. Seas
are expected to peak around 14 ft on Sat.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from
03N to 15N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered showers are
noted along the wave axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W south of
17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted
along the wave axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W south of 18N. It
is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted in the southern half of the basin.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic ocean near 21N17W and
continues southwestward to 07N35W, where it transitions to the
ITCZ to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 02N
to 08N between 36W and 42W. Similar convection is well south of
the trough from 06N to 11N between the coast of Africa and 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure is extending westward across the basin from
the Atlantic. The associated pressure gradient is allowing for
light to gentle variable winds north of 24N and for gentle to
moderate easterly winds south of 24N, except for mostly moderate
winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are of slight state, except for
moderate state seas in the Bay of Campeche. Meanwhile, a mid to
upper-level low over the western Bay of Campeche is acting on a
very unstable and moisture-laden atmosphere. This has lead to the
development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over much of
the west-central and southwestern portions of the basin, south of
about 26N and west of 92W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are also present north of 26N between 86W and 91W.
For the forecast, the weak high pressure extending westward
across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
Fri through Sat night. The weather pattern will support gentle
to moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of
about 26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of
about 26N. The exception will be occasional fresh to strong
northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night.
The mid to upper-level low along with a moist and unstable
airmass will generate scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the SW Gulf, with scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across the basin south of about
28N through Thu.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures over northern South America is bringing fresh to
near gale trades over the central Caribbean. Seas with these winds
are 8 to 11 ft. Moderate to fresh east winds and seas of 4 to 5
ft are in the Gulf of Honduras while fresh to strong northeast
winds are funneling into the Windward Passage. Seas there are also
4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, fresh trades are over the basin, except for
gentle to moderate winds over the NW Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8
ft south of 18N and east of 83W and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Upper
divergence is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic high
pressure and lower pressures over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight, Fri
night, and Sat night off Colombia. Gale- force winds are also
possible in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in
the late afternoons and evenings through early next week. A fast-
moving tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles this
evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the eastern
Caribbean Thu through Fri night. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms may accompany this wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N, anchored
by a 1025 mb high center at 28N46W. The pressure gradient between
this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is producing
fresh to strong trades south of 24N. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are with
these trades. North of 24N, light to gentle winds prevail along
with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas
of about 4 to 6 ft remain. An upper level trough north of the
Hispaniola supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms south
of 23N between 63W and 74W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 11:36:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 09 Jul 2026 01:29:01 GMT - Wed, 08 Jul 2026 23:36:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
557
ABNT20 KNHC 082336
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 13:29:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081329
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT WED 08 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-038
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL/RAR
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf