SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 03:33:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 300333
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0325 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been introduced in the far eastern Atlantic
along 19W, south of 16N, based on satellite imagery, total
precipitable water and wave guidance data. The wave is moving
westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 35W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 03N to 09N and between 23W and 40W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 66W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present south of 15N and between 55W and 66W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 74W, south
of 19N, moving westward near 15 kt. No convection is noted at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 09N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N24W to 07N34W and continues from 07N37W to
05N54W. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 05N to 09N
and east of 19W. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 04N to
09N and between 40W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a high pressure in the NE Gulf and
lower pressures in Mexico support fresh to locally strong NE-E
winds and moderate seas south of 23N and between 88W and 94W.
Gentle to moderate E-SE winds and slight to moderate seas are
found in the remainder of the western Gulf (west of 90W).
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region.
Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local effects associated
with a surface trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the
western half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds Tue morning and then prevail the remainder forecast period.
Moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except
for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found across the
Greater Antilles and nearby waters mainly due to diurnal heating.
Similar convection is present in the SE Caribbean and off NE
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
winds over the central Caribbean through the forecast period,
reaching near-gale force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela at night. Moderate or lighter winds are forecast across
the remainder of the basin during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The shower and thunderstorms activity north of the Leeward Islands
has mostly dissipated. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is
dominated by a broad subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft south of 22N and
east of 30W.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 20N and east of
24W. A recent scatterometer satellite pass showed winds up to 32
kt between the water passages in the Canary Islands. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, while most of the basin will
experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the late afternoons and early evenings
for the next several days. A weak cold front located off of the SE
United States coast will extend from 31N72W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. The front is anticipated to
dissipate on Wed while the low pressure area N of the region
associated with the front appear to have only a marginally
favorable environment for some tropical development as the system
drifts southward and then westward later this week. Currently, the
forecast keeps the low just N of 30N through Wed.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 03:33:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 300333
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0325 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been introduced in the far eastern Atlantic
along 19W, south of 16N, based on satellite imagery, total
precipitable water and wave guidance data. The wave is moving
westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 35W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is observed from 03N to 09N and between 23W and 40W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 66W, south
of 16N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present south of 15N and between 55W and 66W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 74W, south
of 19N, moving westward near 15 kt. No convection is noted at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 09N24W. The
ITCZ extends from 09N24W to 07N34W and continues from 07N37W to
05N54W. Scattered moderate convection is evident from 05N to 09N
and east of 19W. Isolated moderate convection is noted from 04N to
09N and between 40W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a high pressure in the NE Gulf and
lower pressures in Mexico support fresh to locally strong NE-E
winds and moderate seas south of 23N and between 88W and 94W.
Gentle to moderate E-SE winds and slight to moderate seas are
found in the remainder of the western Gulf (west of 90W).
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region.
Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local effects associated
with a surface trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the
western half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds Tue morning and then prevail the remainder forecast period.
Moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except
for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 5-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are found across the
Greater Antilles and nearby waters mainly due to diurnal heating.
Similar convection is present in the SE Caribbean and off NE
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the Bermuda-Azores High north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
winds over the central Caribbean through the forecast period,
reaching near-gale force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of
Venezuela at night. Moderate or lighter winds are forecast across
the remainder of the basin during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The shower and thunderstorms activity north of the Leeward Islands
has mostly dissipated. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is
dominated by a broad subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft south of 22N and
east of 30W.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly
winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 20N and east of
24W. A recent scatterometer satellite pass showed winds up to 32
kt between the water passages in the Canary Islands. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, while most of the basin will
experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the late afternoons and early evenings
for the next several days. A weak cold front located off of the SE
United States coast will extend from 31N72W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. The front is anticipated to
dissipate on Wed while the low pressure area N of the region
associated with the front appear to have only a marginally
favorable environment for some tropical development as the system
drifts southward and then westward later this week. Currently, the
forecast keeps the low just N of 30N through Wed.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 17:13:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 30 Jun 2026 10:00:05 GMT - Tue, 30 Jun 2026 05:13:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 300513
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Shower and thunderstorm activity remains limited and disorganized
in association with an area of low pressure along a frontal
boundary located off the southeastern U.S. coast. Environmental
conditions appear only marginally favorable for some tropical
development over the next day or two as the system drifts southward
and then westward before conditions become even less favorable later
this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 13:36:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 291336
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT MON 29 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-029
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 31.0N 71.5W FOR 01/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf