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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 04 May 2026 20:42:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 042042
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue May 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 20W, S of
10N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 55W S of 10N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W, and continues
southwestward to 00N27W. The ITCZ continues from 00N27W to 02S43W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted S of
05N between 10W and 30W, and S of 03N between 30W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends across the Florida Straits to the
Yucatan Channel. Gentle to moderate winds, with moderate or lower
seas, prevail across the gulf waters.
For the forecast, the front will dissipate by Tue. Moderate to
fresh SE to S return flow will set up in the W Gulf starting Tue
as high pressure builds into the eastern Gulf. Little change is
anticipated into the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh trades, and seas of 5-7 ft, prevail across the
eastern and central Caribbean. Light and variable winds, and seas
of 2-4 ft, are over the NW Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds,
and seas of 4-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trades over the
S central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of Honduras in the
weekend, with moderate to fresh trades over the remainder of the E
and central Caribbean. The remnants of a frontal boundary
dissipate by Tue in the far NW basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N62W to the Florida Straits.
Weak low pressure of 1015 mb is meandering along this boundary
over the NW Bahamas. Numerous moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the front. Fresh to strong winds,
and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail west of the front. Farther east, a
1015 mb low is centered near 28N33W. The remainder of the
discussion waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 31N49W. The pressure gradient between
this high and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is
supporting moderate to fresh winds N of the ITCZ to near 15N
between 37W and 60W. Seas over these waters are in the 5-7 ft
range. Light winds, and seas of 3-4 ft, are in the vicinity of the
high center. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 3-6 ft,
generally prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front and low will remain
stationary into Tue before the low moves E and the front
transitions into a cold front Tue night and Wed. Fresh to locally
strong NE winds N of the front will slowly diminish into mid- week
as the boundary weakens, with quiescent conditions expected Wed
and Thu for area waters. A weak cold front may reach our NW waters
Thu night and steadily move eastward through the end of the week.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 04 May 2026 20:42:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 042042
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue May 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 20W, S of
10N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a central Atlantic tropical wave is near 55W S of 10N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 15N17W, and continues
southwestward to 00N27W. The ITCZ continues from 00N27W to 02S43W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is noted S of
05N between 10W and 30W, and S of 03N between 30W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends across the Florida Straits to the
Yucatan Channel. Gentle to moderate winds, with moderate or lower
seas, prevail across the gulf waters.
For the forecast, the front will dissipate by Tue. Moderate to
fresh SE to S return flow will set up in the W Gulf starting Tue
as high pressure builds into the eastern Gulf. Little change is
anticipated into the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh trades, and seas of 5-7 ft, prevail across the
eastern and central Caribbean. Light and variable winds, and seas
of 2-4 ft, are over the NW Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds,
and seas of 4-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trades over the
S central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of Honduras in the
weekend, with moderate to fresh trades over the remainder of the E
and central Caribbean. The remnants of a frontal boundary
dissipate by Tue in the far NW basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N62W to the Florida Straits.
Weak low pressure of 1015 mb is meandering along this boundary
over the NW Bahamas. Numerous moderate and isolated strong
convection is in the vicinity of the front. Fresh to strong winds,
and seas of 6-8 ft, prevail west of the front. Farther east, a
1015 mb low is centered near 28N33W. The remainder of the
discussion waters are dominated by high pressure, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 31N49W. The pressure gradient between
this high and lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ is
supporting moderate to fresh winds N of the ITCZ to near 15N
between 37W and 60W. Seas over these waters are in the 5-7 ft
range. Light winds, and seas of 3-4 ft, are in the vicinity of the
high center. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and seas of 3-6 ft,
generally prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front and low will remain
stationary into Tue before the low moves E and the front
transitions into a cold front Tue night and Wed. Fresh to locally
strong NE winds N of the front will slowly diminish into mid- week
as the boundary weakens, with quiescent conditions expected Wed
and Thu for area waters. A weak cold front may reach our NW waters
Thu night and steadily move eastward through the end of the week.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 04 May 2026 23:11:46 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf