2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

229 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

PLEASE SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 30 May 2026 10:37:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301037
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat May 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move across the waters
    between northeast Florida and Bermuda tonight into early next
    week. A tight pressure gradient will support gale force winds on
    either side of the cold front early Sun, south-southeast of
    Bermuda near 30N63W. Strong to near-gale force winds, rough to
    very rough seas, and scattered to numerous thunderstorms are also
    expected mainly along and ahead of the front, north of 26N.
    Conditions will improve Mon as the front weakens and high pressure
    builds in its wake.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new tropical wave has been introduced in the eastern Atlantic
    along 16W, south of 15N based on recent satellite imagery, total
    precipitable water and tropical wave guidance. The wave is moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 04N to 08N between 10W and 20W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 05N to 10N between 48W and
    57W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 74W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
    associated with this tropical wave over the Caribbean waters.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 11N15W, continues southwestward to 06N20W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N20W to 03N51W. No significant convection is
    observed other than what was already discussed in the tropical
    wave section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft associated with a sharp upper level trough over
    the western Gulf and a broad surface trough over the central Gulf
    combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over a good portion of the eastern half of the basin. At the
    surface, a weak pressure gradient results in moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas. However, stronger winds
    and higher seas can occur near the strongest storms.

    For the forecast, the pattern will sustain gentle to moderate E
    to SE winds through mid week. The exception will be evening pulses
    of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan and in the central Gulf
    through the same period. A pronounced deep-layered upper-level
    trough across the western Gulf combined with a very warm, humid
    and unstable airmass will continue to support periodic showers and
    thunderstorms, across the central and eastern Gulf through Sun.
    Frequent lightning, with gusty winds and locally rough seas are
    expected in strong thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to
    date with the latest forecasts.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A few showers and thunderstorms are active over the far southwest
    Caribbean, east of San Andres Island. No other significant
    convection is observed at this time. A strong Atlantic ridge over
    the central Atlantic extends southwestward into the Caribbean Sea
    supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
    ft in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh breezes and
    moderate seas are found in the rest of the central and eastern
    Caribbean and NW Caribbean, mainly south of 20N. Elsewhere, light
    to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will support moderate to
    fresh E to SE trade winds across most of the basin through the
    early part of the week, with fresh to strong winds and rough seas
    over the south-central Caribbean. Looking ahead, the area of fresh
    to strong winds and rough seas will expand across the central
    Caribbean Tue and Wed as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A few thunderstorms are active this morning near a
    1011 mb low pressure area off northeast Florida. The low is along
    a stationary front between northeast Florida and Bermuda, north of
    a ridge along 25N. Broad ridging extends from 1028 mb high
    pressure near 30N30W to the near the Bahamas. Fresh to strong SW
    winds and 7 to 9 ft seas are likely within 300 nm east of the
    front, north of 28N. Mainly fresh NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are
    noted south of the ridge over the deep tropics west of 35W, with
    fresh to strong NE winds and 6-9 ft seas east of 35W. Gentle to
    moderate breezes and 3-5 ft are noted elsewhere. A large area of
    Saharan dust is also noted over the Atlantic north of 10N and east
    of 50W, which is likely suppressing convection over the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds and rough
    seas will follow the low pressure as it moves eastward through
    tonight ahead of a reinforcing cold front moving into the area.
    The combined fronts will shift eastward, reaching from Bermuda to
    the northern Bahamas by early Sun. Expect strong winds and rough
    to very rough seas along and ahead of the front north of 25N Sun,
    with gale-force winds south of Bermuda near 30N63W by Sun
    afternoon. The front will weaken and stall from 31N57W to 27N65W
    by early Mon. Winds and seas diminish west of the front as high
    pressure builds between northeast Florida and Bermuda. Looking
    ahead, a second low pressure area and accompanying front may move
    off northeast Florida by late Mon and shift eastward toward
    Bermuda through mid week, accompanied fresh to strong winds and
    rough seas over the waters north of 27N.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 30 May 2026 10:37:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301037
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat May 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move across the waters
    between northeast Florida and Bermuda tonight into early next
    week. A tight pressure gradient will support gale force winds on
    either side of the cold front early Sun, south-southeast of
    Bermuda near 30N63W. Strong to near-gale force winds, rough to
    very rough seas, and scattered to numerous thunderstorms are also
    expected mainly along and ahead of the front, north of 26N.
    Conditions will improve Mon as the front weakens and high pressure
    builds in its wake.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new tropical wave has been introduced in the eastern Atlantic
    along 16W, south of 15N based on recent satellite imagery, total
    precipitable water and tropical wave guidance. The wave is moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    from 04N to 08N between 10W and 20W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed from 05N to 10N between 48W and
    57W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 74W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
    associated with this tropical wave over the Caribbean waters.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 11N15W, continues southwestward to 06N20W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N20W to 03N51W. No significant convection is
    observed other than what was already discussed in the tropical
    wave section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft associated with a sharp upper level trough over
    the western Gulf and a broad surface trough over the central Gulf
    combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over a good portion of the eastern half of the basin. At the
    surface, a weak pressure gradient results in moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas. However, stronger winds
    and higher seas can occur near the strongest storms.

    For the forecast, the pattern will sustain gentle to moderate E
    to SE winds through mid week. The exception will be evening pulses
    of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan and in the central Gulf
    through the same period. A pronounced deep-layered upper-level
    trough across the western Gulf combined with a very warm, humid
    and unstable airmass will continue to support periodic showers and
    thunderstorms, across the central and eastern Gulf through Sun.
    Frequent lightning, with gusty winds and locally rough seas are
    expected in strong thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to
    date with the latest forecasts.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A few showers and thunderstorms are active over the far southwest
    Caribbean, east of San Andres Island. No other significant
    convection is observed at this time. A strong Atlantic ridge over
    the central Atlantic extends southwestward into the Caribbean Sea
    supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
    ft in the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh breezes and
    moderate seas are found in the rest of the central and eastern
    Caribbean and NW Caribbean, mainly south of 20N. Elsewhere, light
    to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will support moderate to
    fresh E to SE trade winds across most of the basin through the
    early part of the week, with fresh to strong winds and rough seas
    over the south-central Caribbean. Looking ahead, the area of fresh
    to strong winds and rough seas will expand across the central
    Caribbean Tue and Wed as the ridge builds north of the area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A few thunderstorms are active this morning near a
    1011 mb low pressure area off northeast Florida. The low is along
    a stationary front between northeast Florida and Bermuda, north of
    a ridge along 25N. Broad ridging extends from 1028 mb high
    pressure near 30N30W to the near the Bahamas. Fresh to strong SW
    winds and 7 to 9 ft seas are likely within 300 nm east of the
    front, north of 28N. Mainly fresh NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are
    noted south of the ridge over the deep tropics west of 35W, with
    fresh to strong NE winds and 6-9 ft seas east of 35W. Gentle to
    moderate breezes and 3-5 ft are noted elsewhere. A large area of
    Saharan dust is also noted over the Atlantic north of 10N and east
    of 50W, which is likely suppressing convection over the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds and rough
    seas will follow the low pressure as it moves eastward through
    tonight ahead of a reinforcing cold front moving into the area.
    The combined fronts will shift eastward, reaching from Bermuda to
    the northern Bahamas by early Sun. Expect strong winds and rough
    to very rough seas along and ahead of the front north of 25N Sun,
    with gale-force winds south of Bermuda near 30N63W by Sun
    afternoon. The front will weaken and stall from 31N57W to 27N65W
    by early Mon. Winds and seas diminish west of the front as high
    pressure builds between northeast Florida and Bermuda. Looking
    ahead, a second low pressure area and accompanying front may move
    off northeast Florida by late Mon and shift eastward toward
    Bermuda through mid week, accompanied fresh to strong winds and
    rough seas over the waters north of 27N.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 31 May 2026 23:21:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 30 May 2026 16:30:38 GMT
  • Sat, 30 May 2026 11:21:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 301121
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sat May 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page