2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 24 Jun 2026 17:10:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 241710
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Jun 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1710 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 31.5W from 15N
    southward, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed from 03N to 10N between 25W and 39W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 61W from 18N
    southward. This wave was repositioned this morning based on wave
    diagnostics tools and satellite imagery. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is seen from 08N to 16N between 57W
    and 65W.

    An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from 18N southward
    into northwestern Venezuela. This wave was repositioned this
    morning based on wave diagnostics tools and satellite
    imagery. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 13N to 15N
    between 67.5W and 72.5W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, then runs
    southwestward to 05N37W. An ITCZ continues westward from 05N37W
    to near 05N50.5W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is seen south of the monsoon trough from 04N to 09N
    and west of 19W.

    The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is bringing
    isolated thunderstorms across the Carribbean waters near Panama.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from north of Cedar Key, Florida to
    Biloxi, Mississippi. No significant convection is depicted in
    association to this front. A modest upper- level trough extends
    southwestward from central Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are evident at the central Bay
    of Campeche. Otherwise, the Atlantic ridge extends across south
    Florida then weakly to the western Gulf. Light to gentle winds and
    seas of 1 to 3 ft are found across the north- central and eastern
    Gulf. Mainly moderate E to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail
    for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will dominate much of
    basin through the weekend. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds
    will generally prevail across the basin during this time, except
    for fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the
    northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly through the weekend. Expect
    scattered showers and a few thunderstorms along a weak cold front
    that has shifted southward into the NE Gulf along 29N this
    morning, before the boundary lifts N of the Gulf tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad Atlantic Ridge across the western Atlantic near 28N
    continues to sustain a robust trade-wind pattern across much of
    the Caribbean Basin. An upper level trough is causing scattered
    moderate convection near Jamaica and the Island of Youth. Refer to
    the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for
    additional convection in the Caribbean Sea. Strong to near-gale NE
    to E winds and seas of 9 to 12 ft are present over the southwestern
    part of the basin, while fresh E winds along with 5 to 7 ft seas
    dominate the central part of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh
    E winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft prevail over the Gulf of Honduras.
    Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas are found at
    the northwestern basin. Moderate to fresh easterly trades and seas
    of 5 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, a broad Atlantic ridge extends from the central
    Atlantic southwestward to south Florida. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to
    strong trade winds, and rough seas in the central basin through
    this morning, then become confined to the south- central basin
    this afternoon and tonight, before expanding northward again to
    18N Thu morning through Sat. Expect winds at near-gale force
    offshore of Colombia during the nighttime and early morning hours,
    with gale-force winds likely S of 13.5N Fri night. Pulsing fresh
    to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas are expected in
    the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Sat night. Fresh trades with
    rough seas should persist east of the Lesser Antilles through
    early Thu morning, diminishing to moderate winds and seas
    afterward.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N77.5W to Saint Agustin, Florida.
    A surface trough ahead of the weak cold front is generating
    scattered showers and strong thunderstorms north of 26.5N and
    between 74W and 78W. Farther east, an upper- level low near 28N65W
    is triggering scattered moderate convection from 25.5N to 29N
    between 62W and 67W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
    Waves sections for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Moderate to locally fresh SW winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted
    east of Florida, north of 28N between 69W and 75W. Otherwise, a
    broad ridge extending west-southwestward from the central Atlantic
    to the Bahamas is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and
    4 to 7 ft seas north of 22N between 35W and the east coast of
    Florida, except NW winds adjacent to southern Georgia and
    northeastern Florida. For the tropical Atlantic from 09N to 22N
    between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to E
    trades and seas at 7 to 9 ft exist. For the remainder of the
    Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle to moderate NE to SE winds and
    seas of 5 to 7 ft prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a 1027 mb high pressure centered
    near 34N46W extends a broad ridge southwestward into southern
    Florida and will dominate the western Atlantic through the
    weekend. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms with strong
    gusty winds will continue across the waters offshore of NE Florida
    through Thu, along and SE of a weak cold front and pre-frontal
    surface rough across the NW zones. Fresh to strong easterly winds
    with locally rough seas are expected near the northern coast of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico each late afternoon through night
    through Fri night. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas are expected south of 22N through Thu
    night before diminishing. Moderate or lighter winds and moderate
    seas will prevail elsewhere.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 24 Jun 2026 17:10:46 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 241710
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Jun 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1710 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 31.5W from 15N
    southward, and moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed from 03N to 10N between 25W and 39W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 61W from 18N
    southward. This wave was repositioned this morning based on wave
    diagnostics tools and satellite imagery. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is seen from 08N to 16N between 57W
    and 65W.

    An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from 18N southward
    into northwestern Venezuela. This wave was repositioned this
    morning based on wave diagnostics tools and satellite
    imagery. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 13N to 15N
    between 67.5W and 72.5W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W, then runs
    southwestward to 05N37W. An ITCZ continues westward from 05N37W
    to near 05N50.5W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is seen south of the monsoon trough from 04N to 09N
    and west of 19W.

    The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is bringing
    isolated thunderstorms across the Carribbean waters near Panama.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from north of Cedar Key, Florida to
    Biloxi, Mississippi. No significant convection is depicted in
    association to this front. A modest upper- level trough extends
    southwestward from central Florida to the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are evident at the central Bay
    of Campeche. Otherwise, the Atlantic ridge extends across south
    Florida then weakly to the western Gulf. Light to gentle winds and
    seas of 1 to 3 ft are found across the north- central and eastern
    Gulf. Mainly moderate E to SE winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail
    for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will dominate much of
    basin through the weekend. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds
    will generally prevail across the basin during this time, except
    for fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the
    northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly through the weekend. Expect
    scattered showers and a few thunderstorms along a weak cold front
    that has shifted southward into the NE Gulf along 29N this
    morning, before the boundary lifts N of the Gulf tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad Atlantic Ridge across the western Atlantic near 28N
    continues to sustain a robust trade-wind pattern across much of
    the Caribbean Basin. An upper level trough is causing scattered
    moderate convection near Jamaica and the Island of Youth. Refer to
    the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections for
    additional convection in the Caribbean Sea. Strong to near-gale NE
    to E winds and seas of 9 to 12 ft are present over the southwestern
    part of the basin, while fresh E winds along with 5 to 7 ft seas
    dominate the central part of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh
    E winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft prevail over the Gulf of Honduras.
    Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and 2 to 4 ft seas are found at
    the northwestern basin. Moderate to fresh easterly trades and seas
    of 5 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, a broad Atlantic ridge extends from the central
    Atlantic southwestward to south Florida. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to
    strong trade winds, and rough seas in the central basin through
    this morning, then become confined to the south- central basin
    this afternoon and tonight, before expanding northward again to
    18N Thu morning through Sat. Expect winds at near-gale force
    offshore of Colombia during the nighttime and early morning hours,
    with gale-force winds likely S of 13.5N Fri night. Pulsing fresh
    to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas are expected in
    the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Sat night. Fresh trades with
    rough seas should persist east of the Lesser Antilles through
    early Thu morning, diminishing to moderate winds and seas
    afterward.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N77.5W to Saint Agustin, Florida.
    A surface trough ahead of the weak cold front is generating
    scattered showers and strong thunderstorms north of 26.5N and
    between 74W and 78W. Farther east, an upper- level low near 28N65W
    is triggering scattered moderate convection from 25.5N to 29N
    between 62W and 67W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical
    Waves sections for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Moderate to locally fresh SW winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft are noted
    east of Florida, north of 28N between 69W and 75W. Otherwise, a
    broad ridge extending west-southwestward from the central Atlantic
    to the Bahamas is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds and
    4 to 7 ft seas north of 22N between 35W and the east coast of
    Florida, except NW winds adjacent to southern Georgia and
    northeastern Florida. For the tropical Atlantic from 09N to 22N
    between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to E
    trades and seas at 7 to 9 ft exist. For the remainder of the
    Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle to moderate NE to SE winds and
    seas of 5 to 7 ft prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a 1027 mb high pressure centered
    near 34N46W extends a broad ridge southwestward into southern
    Florida and will dominate the western Atlantic through the
    weekend. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms with strong
    gusty winds will continue across the waters offshore of NE Florida
    through Thu, along and SE of a weak cold front and pre-frontal
    surface rough across the NW zones. Fresh to strong easterly winds
    with locally rough seas are expected near the northern coast of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico each late afternoon through night
    through Fri night. Otherwise, moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas are expected south of 22N through Thu
    night before diminishing. Moderate or lighter winds and moderate
    seas will prevail elsewhere.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 26 Jun 2026 05:23:50 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 24 Jun 2026 20:08:30 GMT
  • Wed, 24 Jun 2026 17:23:50 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 241723
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Jun 24 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 24 Jun 2026 13:46:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 241346
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0945 AM EDT WED 24 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-024

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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