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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 23:29:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 182328
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is about the wave from 07N to 13N between 23W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W, south of
18N, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 65W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed over Venezuela from 03N to 10.5N between
60W and 67W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 86W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted, mostly over land, from 09N to 16N between 80W
and 87W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N33W to 11N43W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N52W to 12N64W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 14N and east of
22W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 11N to 14N
between 30W and 38W. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted
from 07N to 10N between 51W and 62W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure centered across the Gulf waters south of the
mouth of the Mississippi River supports moderate W-NW winds across
the NE Gulf, and mainly moderate NE to E winds across the
southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3 ft dominate the basin. An upper
level low across the NW Gulf of combining with a low level wind
surge moving across the western Bay of Campeche to produce
squattered moderate convection there. Meanwhile, scattered to
locally numerous moderate to strong afternoon convection has
fired up across the western portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and
the adjacent Gulf waters, and is gradually shifting westward.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the remainder of the week into the weekend. A weak
pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will
generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N and become
stationary along about 27N, from east of the Bahamas into the
central Atlantic. The remnants of the ridge extend from the
central Atlantic to N of Puerto Rico along 22N. This weakened
pressure pattern is supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade
winds and seas of 5-8 ft from 68W into Central America, with light
to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.
Thunderstorms area active across the coastal waters and inland
from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a tropical wave.
For the forecast, central Atlantic high pressure will begin to
build westward and into the Bahamas tonight through Fri. The
pressure gradient between this ridge N of the basin and the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough
seas offshore of Colombia tonight, then expand across much of the
south- central Caribbean through the remainder of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in
the north- central and eastern Caribbean into the weekend.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front enters the local waters near 31N50W and extends
southwestward to a 1015 mb low center near 28N64.5W then continues
to near 27N72W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted along within 150 nm S and SE of the front and low. Moderate
to locally fresh SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted south of
the front to 24N between 44W and 70W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a 1027
mb high near 40W32W, that extends southwestward to just north of
the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of 22N and W
of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.
Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic basin N of 15N and
east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern Bahamas, NW
Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of America.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will weaken
into a trough tonight and gradually dissipate as it lifts
northward through Thu. Central Atlantic high pressure will then
build westward into the area. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds can be expected S
of 22N.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 23:29:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 182328
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south
of 17N, moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is about the wave from 07N to 13N between 23W and 30W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W, south of
18N, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 65W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed over Venezuela from 03N to 10.5N between
60W and 67W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 86W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted, mostly over land, from 09N to 16N between 80W
and 87W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 10N33W to 11N43W.
The ITCZ extends from 08N52W to 12N64W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 14N and east of
22W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 11N to 14N
between 30W and 38W. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted
from 07N to 10N between 51W and 62W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure centered across the Gulf waters south of the
mouth of the Mississippi River supports moderate W-NW winds across
the NE Gulf, and mainly moderate NE to E winds across the
southern Gulf. Slight seas to 3 ft dominate the basin. An upper
level low across the NW Gulf of combining with a low level wind
surge moving across the western Bay of Campeche to produce
squattered moderate convection there. Meanwhile, scattered to
locally numerous moderate to strong afternoon convection has
fired up across the western portions of the Yucatan Peninsula and
the adjacent Gulf waters, and is gradually shifting westward.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the remainder of the week into the weekend. A weak
pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate winds
across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will
generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge recently north of the Caribbean has shifted
eastward as a frontal system has moved southward of 30N and become
stationary along about 27N, from east of the Bahamas into the
central Atlantic. The remnants of the ridge extend from the
central Atlantic to N of Puerto Rico along 22N. This weakened
pressure pattern is supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade
winds and seas of 5-8 ft from 68W into Central America, with light
to gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.
Thunderstorms area active across the coastal waters and inland
from Costa Rica to NE Honduras, behind a tropical wave.
For the forecast, central Atlantic high pressure will begin to
build westward and into the Bahamas tonight through Fri. The
pressure gradient between this ridge N of the basin and the
Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade winds and rough
seas offshore of Colombia tonight, then expand across much of the
south- central Caribbean through the remainder of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail in
the north- central and eastern Caribbean into the weekend.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front enters the local waters near 31N50W and extends
southwestward to a 1015 mb low center near 28N64.5W then continues
to near 27N72W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
noted along within 150 nm S and SE of the front and low. Moderate
to locally fresh SW winds and seas of 4-7 ft are noted south of
the front to 24N between 44W and 70W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad ridge centered on a 1027
mb high near 40W32W, that extends southwestward to just north of
the NE Caribbean. Trade winds across the Atlantic S of 22N and W
of 30W are moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.
Saharan Air continues to dominate the Atlantic basin N of 15N and
east of the Caribbean, as well as the southern Bahamas, NW
Caribbean and into the SE Gulf of America.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will weaken
into a trough tonight and gradually dissipate as it lifts
northward through Thu. Central Atlantic high pressure will then
build westward into the area. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds can be expected S
of 22N.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 11:16:51 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Aug 2026 00:13:38 GMT - Tue, 18 Aug 2026 23:16:51 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 182315
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Tue Aug 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 14:06:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181406
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT TUE 18 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-079
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO A DEVELOPING SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC NEAR 14.5N 146.5W FOR 21/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO THE SYSTEM
FOR 22/0000Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND THE
SYSTEM FOR 22/0000Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf