SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 19 Nov 2025 04:22:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 190422
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Nov 19 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0422 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the E Atlantic near 14N17W and extends
southwestward to 19N23W. The ITCZ continues from that point to
04N50W. Scattered moderate convection prevails within 200 nm on
either side of the features mainly E of 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad surface ridge is dominating much of the Gulf. A surface
trough is analyzed over the Bay of Campeche along 92W. Gentle to
moderate NE to SE winds and slight seas are present across the entire
Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over Florida will
maintain gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate
seas into Sat night across the basin. Low pressure over northern
Mexico may lead to winds increasing to fresh speeds in the NW Gulf
Sun night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough over the NW Caribbean extends from south of Isla
de la Juventud to the Lower Florida Keys. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted along the trough, north of Cuba. To the E,
a surface trough is along 66W and N of 14N. Isolated convection
is found along the trough. The eastern extension of the Pacific's
monsoon trough is enhancing scattered moderate convection across
the SW Caribbean S of 10N between 76W-81W. Moderate to fresh NE to
E trade winds and moderate seas are noted over the south- central
part of the basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and slight
seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough over the NW
Caribbean will move west toward the Yucatan Channel and dissipate
by Wed. With high pressure to the north and the Colombian low to
the south, mainly moderate trades will dominate through the
weekend, with nightly pulses of locally strong winds possible
offshore Colombia.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front over the western Atlantic extends from 31N58W
to 27N78W. To the E, a surface trough extends from 30.5N53W to
25N60W. Divergent upper- level winds are supporting numerous
moderate convection near the trough N of 25N between 50W and 58W.
Isolated showers are found north of Hispaniola in association to
another surface trough. Over the central- Atlantic, a stationary
front runs southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic across
31N37W to 24N42W. Scattered showers are found up to 50 nm along
either side of this feature. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E
winds and moderate seas are present across the tropical Atlantic S
of 20N, while light to gentle variable winds prevail elsewhere E
of the western Atlantic front. Moderate seas prevail across the
basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front over the
western Atlantic will gradually dissipate into Wed night. A weak
cold front will move into northern waters Thu night then stall
over NE waters Fri, before dissipating. Through late week, gentle
breezes will prevail, with mainly slight to moderate seas. Rough
seas in N swell N of 29N and E of 65W will decay tonight. Looking
ahead, SW winds may increase slightly off northeast Florida late
Fri through Sat ahead of a weak cold front moving into the
southeast U.S.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 19 Nov 2025 04:22:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 190422
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Nov 19 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0422 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the E Atlantic near 14N17W and extends
southwestward to 19N23W. The ITCZ continues from that point to
04N50W. Scattered moderate convection prevails within 200 nm on
either side of the features mainly E of 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad surface ridge is dominating much of the Gulf. A surface
trough is analyzed over the Bay of Campeche along 92W. Gentle to
moderate NE to SE winds and slight seas are present across the entire
Gulf.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over Florida will
maintain gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate
seas into Sat night across the basin. Low pressure over northern
Mexico may lead to winds increasing to fresh speeds in the NW Gulf
Sun night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A surface trough over the NW Caribbean extends from south of Isla
de la Juventud to the Lower Florida Keys. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted along the trough, north of Cuba. To the E,
a surface trough is along 66W and N of 14N. Isolated convection
is found along the trough. The eastern extension of the Pacific's
monsoon trough is enhancing scattered moderate convection across
the SW Caribbean S of 10N between 76W-81W. Moderate to fresh NE to
E trade winds and moderate seas are noted over the south- central
part of the basin. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and slight
seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the aforementioned surface trough over the NW
Caribbean will move west toward the Yucatan Channel and dissipate
by Wed. With high pressure to the north and the Colombian low to
the south, mainly moderate trades will dominate through the
weekend, with nightly pulses of locally strong winds possible
offshore Colombia.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front over the western Atlantic extends from 31N58W
to 27N78W. To the E, a surface trough extends from 30.5N53W to
25N60W. Divergent upper- level winds are supporting numerous
moderate convection near the trough N of 25N between 50W and 58W.
Isolated showers are found north of Hispaniola in association to
another surface trough. Over the central- Atlantic, a stationary
front runs southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic across
31N37W to 24N42W. Scattered showers are found up to 50 nm along
either side of this feature. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E
winds and moderate seas are present across the tropical Atlantic S
of 20N, while light to gentle variable winds prevail elsewhere E
of the western Atlantic front. Moderate seas prevail across the
basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front over the
western Atlantic will gradually dissipate into Wed night. A weak
cold front will move into northern waters Thu night then stall
over NE waters Fri, before dissipating. Through late week, gentle
breezes will prevail, with mainly slight to moderate seas. Rough
seas in N swell N of 29N and E of 65W will decay tonight. Looking
ahead, SW winds may increase slightly off northeast Florida late
Fri through Sat ahead of a weak cold front moving into the
southeast U.S.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 20 Nov 2025 17:02:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Nov 2025 05:27:03 GMT - Wed, 19 Nov 2025 05:02:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 190502
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Wed Nov 19 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Jelsema
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 18 Nov 2025 17:21:10 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181721
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1220 PM EST TUE 18 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-171
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
21/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
22/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf