2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 26 Jun 2026 23:47:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 262347
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jun 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
    Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressure over
    Colombia will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela to peak at minimal gale-force tonight
    through early Sat morning, and again Sat night into Sun morning.
    Latest scatterometer satellite data is already depicting trade
    winds of near gale-force over these waters. These winds are
    forecast to produce seas in the range of 12 to 15 ft north of
    Colombia. Latest altimeter satellite data is already indicating
    seas peaking there to about 13 ft. In addition, buoy 42058 at the
    location of 15N75W is currently reporting seas of 13 ft. Please
    refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at websites:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from
    01N31W to 10N26W. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Increased
    scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is present from
    05N to 08N between the wave and 39W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from
    05N53W to 12N50W and to 18N44W. It is moving westward near 15
    kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted from
    05N to 13N between the wave and 55W, and also east of the wave
    to near 49W from 06N to 10N.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 80W south of 18N to
    the eastern Pacific near 06N80W moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
    The wave appears to be enhancing numerous moderate to isolated
    strong convection over northern Panama and its adjacent waters.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W, and extends southwest to 10N22W and to
    06N27.5W. The ITCZ extends from 05N30W to 03N40W and to 03N46W.
    Please read the Tropical Waves section for details on convection.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A rather weak and broad Atlantic high pressure ridge extends
    westward across central Florida, and west-northwestward to
    the north-central Gulf. The associated gradient is generally
    providing for gentle to moderate east to southeast winds
    throughout the basin, except for fresh east winds over
    the central portions of the basin and in the eastern Bay
    of Campeche. Seas are in the range of 2 to 4 ft east of 91W
    and 3 to 5 ft west of 91W.

    Isolated showers are over some areas of the Bay of Campeche and
    eastern Gulf while scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    moving to the northwest are over the Straits of Florida.

    For the forecast, the high pressure ridge will persist over the
    Gulf region through the forecast period. Gentle to moderate
    anticyclonic winds will generally prevail across the basin during
    this time, except for fresh to locally strong northeast to east
    winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly,
    and moderate to locally fresh southeast to south winds across the
    NW Gulf through the weekend. Looking ahead, a weak frontal
    boundary will sink southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night
    and Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section about upcoming gale
    conditions offshore of Colombia.

    A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge in the
    Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep tropics and in northern
    South America is bringing fresh to near gale-force trade winds
    and rough seas in the central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
    trade winds and moderate seas are present over the eastern
    Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight seas prevail throughout the basin.

    For the forecast, a high pressure ridge north of the islands
    combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough seas in the
    central Caribbean through the forecast period. Winds will pulse
    to gale-force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    during the nighttime and early morning hours tonight and again
    Sat. Elsewhere, pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to
    locally rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly
    through Sat night. Fresh to strong northeast winds along with
    moderate to locally rough seas will briefly affect the Windward
    Passage late Sat afternoon into early Sun. Moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast across the
    remainder of the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A trough is analyzed from near 31N58W to 26N60W and to near
    19N59W. An upper-level low dropping southward is near 29N61.5W
    as seen in water vapor imagery. Isolated showers and
    thunderstorms are evident north of 24.5N between 56W and 62W.
    Otherwise, the pressure gradient between a rather broad high
    pressure ridge that is anchored by a 1031 mb high analyzed north
    of the area near 35N49W and relatively lower pressure in the deep
    tropics is allowing for moderate to fresh trade winds along with
    moderate seas over most of the tropical Atlantic as captured in
    the latest scatterometer and altimeter satellite data passes.
    In the far eastern Atlantic, a tight pressure gradient between
    the high pressure and lower pressure in West Africa is bringing
    fresh to strong winds to the waters offshore the coast of Africa
    from 18N to 22.5N between the coast and about 22W. Seas are 6 to
    8 ft with these winds.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the broad high pressure ridge will
    remain across the area through the weekend. Fresh to strong
    easterly winds, with locally rough seas are expected offshore
    Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage, each
    late afternoon and night through Sat night. A nearly north to
    south aligned surface trough across the central Atlantic will
    shift westward across the region through Sun, reaching near 70W
    by Sun morning. This will weaken the ridge resulting in
    diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will slip
    southward over the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 26 Jun 2026 23:47:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 262347
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jun 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2330 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
    Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressure over
    Colombia will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela to peak at minimal gale-force tonight
    through early Sat morning, and again Sat night into Sun morning.
    Latest scatterometer satellite data is already depicting trade
    winds of near gale-force over these waters. These winds are
    forecast to produce seas in the range of 12 to 15 ft north of
    Colombia. Latest altimeter satellite data is already indicating
    seas peaking there to about 13 ft. In addition, buoy 42058 at the
    location of 15N75W is currently reporting seas of 13 ft. Please
    refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at websites:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from
    01N31W to 10N26W. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Increased
    scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is present from
    05N to 08N between the wave and 39W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis extending from
    05N53W to 12N50W and to 18N44W. It is moving westward near 15
    kt. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted from
    05N to 13N between the wave and 55W, and also east of the wave
    to near 49W from 06N to 10N.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 80W south of 18N to
    the eastern Pacific near 06N80W moving westward at 15 to 20 kt.
    The wave appears to be enhancing numerous moderate to isolated
    strong convection over northern Panama and its adjacent waters.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W, and extends southwest to 10N22W and to
    06N27.5W. The ITCZ extends from 05N30W to 03N40W and to 03N46W.
    Please read the Tropical Waves section for details on convection.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A rather weak and broad Atlantic high pressure ridge extends
    westward across central Florida, and west-northwestward to
    the north-central Gulf. The associated gradient is generally
    providing for gentle to moderate east to southeast winds
    throughout the basin, except for fresh east winds over
    the central portions of the basin and in the eastern Bay
    of Campeche. Seas are in the range of 2 to 4 ft east of 91W
    and 3 to 5 ft west of 91W.

    Isolated showers are over some areas of the Bay of Campeche and
    eastern Gulf while scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    moving to the northwest are over the Straits of Florida.

    For the forecast, the high pressure ridge will persist over the
    Gulf region through the forecast period. Gentle to moderate
    anticyclonic winds will generally prevail across the basin during
    this time, except for fresh to locally strong northeast to east
    winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly,
    and moderate to locally fresh southeast to south winds across the
    NW Gulf through the weekend. Looking ahead, a weak frontal
    boundary will sink southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night
    and Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section about upcoming gale
    conditions offshore of Colombia.

    A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge in the
    Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep tropics and in northern
    South America is bringing fresh to near gale-force trade winds
    and rough seas in the central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
    trade winds and moderate seas are present over the eastern
    Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight seas prevail throughout the basin.

    For the forecast, a high pressure ridge north of the islands
    combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough seas in the
    central Caribbean through the forecast period. Winds will pulse
    to gale-force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    during the nighttime and early morning hours tonight and again
    Sat. Elsewhere, pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to
    locally rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly
    through Sat night. Fresh to strong northeast winds along with
    moderate to locally rough seas will briefly affect the Windward
    Passage late Sat afternoon into early Sun. Moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast across the
    remainder of the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A trough is analyzed from near 31N58W to 26N60W and to near
    19N59W. An upper-level low dropping southward is near 29N61.5W
    as seen in water vapor imagery. Isolated showers and
    thunderstorms are evident north of 24.5N between 56W and 62W.
    Otherwise, the pressure gradient between a rather broad high
    pressure ridge that is anchored by a 1031 mb high analyzed north
    of the area near 35N49W and relatively lower pressure in the deep
    tropics is allowing for moderate to fresh trade winds along with
    moderate seas over most of the tropical Atlantic as captured in
    the latest scatterometer and altimeter satellite data passes.
    In the far eastern Atlantic, a tight pressure gradient between
    the high pressure and lower pressure in West Africa is bringing
    fresh to strong winds to the waters offshore the coast of Africa
    from 18N to 22.5N between the coast and about 22W. Seas are 6 to
    8 ft with these winds.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the broad high pressure ridge will
    remain across the area through the weekend. Fresh to strong
    easterly winds, with locally rough seas are expected offshore
    Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage, each
    late afternoon and night through Sat night. A nearly north to
    south aligned surface trough across the central Atlantic will
    shift westward across the region through Sun, reaching near 70W
    by Sun morning. This will weaken the ridge resulting in
    diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will slip
    southward over the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 28 Jun 2026 11:12:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 27 Jun 2026 03:21:56 GMT
  • Fri, 26 Jun 2026 23:12:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 262312
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 26 Jun 2026 13:50:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 261350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT FRI 26 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-026

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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