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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 10:12:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
314
AXNT20 KNHC 271012
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1005 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area
of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If
the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning
on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. This system
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next
48 hours and 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight off Colombia.
Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to 11N38W. The ITCZ continues from 11N38W to 10N59W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
04N to 15N and east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the northern
Gulf waters and off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient
across the basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate
seas.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras, SE Caribbean and off Panama and Costa Rica. Drier
conditions are noted elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present
in the north-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades
and moderate seas are occurring in the Windward Passage and the
rest of the Caribbean south of 18N. North of 18N, light to gentle
winds and slight seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to locally very
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off Colombia.
Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical
development over the next couples of days. The system will bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
tropical cyclone formation.
A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 26N and between 58W and 63W. Similar convection is found
in the waters off NE Florida. The SW North Atlantic is dominated
by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas, west of 60W.
A cold front extends from Morocco to 26N22W to 28N34W, followed by
a stationary front north of our area. Broad high pressure also
prevails across the central and eastern tropical Atlantic,
maintaining moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in
the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical development
over the next couple of days. The system will bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 10:12:35 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
314
AXNT20 KNHC 271012
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1005 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): Satellite imagery
indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated with an area
of low pressure, located several hundred miles west-southwest of
the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better organized tonight. If
the current trends continue, advisories could be initiated on a
short-lived tropical depression or storm later today. However,
environmental conditions are expected to become hostile beginning
on Friday, likely ending its chances for development. This system
has a high chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next
48 hours and 7 days.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook issued by
the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough to very
rough seas through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight off Colombia.
Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W, south of
21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
observed with this wave.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 80W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to 11N38W. The ITCZ continues from 11N38W to 10N59W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from
04N to 15N and east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted in the northern
Gulf waters and off western Florida. A weak pressure gradient
across the basin supports light to gentle winds and moderate
seas.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will persist across the Gulf
waters through early next week, supporting moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong
with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings due to
a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula each
night. A frontal boundary will meander near the northern Gulf
waters during the next few days producing scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms. Mariners can expect gusty winds and higher
seas associated with these storms.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia.
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are evident in the Gulf
of Honduras, SE Caribbean and off Panama and Costa Rica. Drier
conditions are noted elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area,
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present
in the north-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh trades
and moderate seas are occurring in the Windward Passage and the
rest of the Caribbean south of 18N. North of 18N, light to gentle
winds and slight seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh
to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas to locally very
rough seas in the south-central Caribbean through the forecast
period. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight off Colombia.
Winds will pulse to fresh to locally strong in the Windward
Passage at night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently
located in the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical
development over the next couples of days. The system will bring
increasing winds and seas to portions of the Tropical N Atlantic
this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
tropical cyclone formation.
A surface trough located SE of Bermuda is producing a few showers
north of 26N and between 58W and 63W. Similar convection is found
in the waters off NE Florida. The SW North Atlantic is dominated
by a weak high pressure area that supports moderate or lighter
winds and moderate seas, west of 60W.
A cold front extends from Morocco to 26N22W to 28N34W, followed by
a stationary front north of our area. Broad high pressure also
prevails across the central and eastern tropical Atlantic,
maintaining moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the SW N Atlantic waters over the next several days supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds
will pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at
night. An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in
the eastern Atlantic has a high chance of tropical development
over the next couple of days. The system will bring increasing
winds and seas to portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 17:06:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 27 Aug 2026 10:30:06 GMT - Thu, 27 Aug 2026 05:06:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 270506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
Satellite imagery indicate that showers and thunderstorms associated
with an area of low pressure, located several hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, have become better
organized tonight. If the current trends continue, advisories could
be initiated on a short-lived tropical depression or storm later
today. However, environmental conditions are expected to become
hostile beginning on Friday, likely ending its chances for
development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 13:55:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261355
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT WED 26 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-087
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf