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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2026 09:49:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050949
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 26W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Convection previously associated with this wave
    has diminished early this morning.

    A tropical wave is along 43W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 82W,
    extending southward from the Cayman Islands, and moving west at
    10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from the lee of Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N39W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N55W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N
    between 30W and 40W and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1017 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin. A surface trough in the
    Bay of Campeche is producing moderate NE to E winds over the SW
    basin. Seas basin-wide are 1-4 ft. A mid- and upper-level trough
    is leading to scattered moderate convection offshore western Cuba,
    and the aforementioned trough is causing scattered moderate
    convection within 90 nm of the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
    gentle winds and slight seas through the weekend. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, along
    with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 11 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean and NW basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
    and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend, winds will
    increase to near gale. Fresh winds will also pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extending from 27N63W to 21N64W is generating
    scattered moderate convection from 21N to 27N between 57W and 66W.
    Fresh E winds and seas to 8 ft area also occurring in this zone.
    In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and
    moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and in the passages
    of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas today. A
    westward moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and
    Hispaniola into tonight, then approach the Bahamas before shifting
    west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
    locally rough seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and
    central waters this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2026 09:49:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050949
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 26W from 07N to 17N, moving west at
    around 5-10 kt. Convection previously associated with this wave
    has diminished early this morning.

    A tropical wave is along 43W from 08N to 18N, moving west at 5-10
    kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at this
    time.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 82W,
    extending southward from the Cayman Islands, and moving west at
    10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from the lee of Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N26W to 08N39W. The ITCZ extends from 07N43W
    to 07N55W. Scattered moderate convection is from 05N to 10N
    between 30W and 40W and from 06N to 10N between 44W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1017 mb high pressure is centered near 26N86W, supporting light
    to gentle winds across most of the basin. A surface trough in the
    Bay of Campeche is producing moderate NE to E winds over the SW
    basin. Seas basin-wide are 1-4 ft. A mid- and upper-level trough
    is leading to scattered moderate convection offshore western Cuba,
    and the aforementioned trough is causing scattered moderate
    convection within 90 nm of the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate, promoting
    gentle winds and slight seas through the weekend. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, along
    with moderate seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
    the basin.

    Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 11 ft seas persist across
    the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
    pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
    America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted in the E
    Caribbean and NW basin.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
    pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    will continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
    and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend, winds will
    increase to near gale. Fresh winds will also pulse in the Gulf of
    Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
    weaker winds and seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extending from 27N63W to 21N64W is generating
    scattered moderate convection from 21N to 27N between 57W and 66W.
    Fresh E winds and seas to 8 ft area also occurring in this zone.
    In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and
    moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and in the passages
    of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with
    gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a mid- and upper-level trough along
    the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered thunderstorms ongoing
    offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the Bahamas today. A
    westward moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and
    Hispaniola into tonight, then approach the Bahamas before shifting
    west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
    locally rough seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and
    central waters this weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 06 Aug 2026 17:19:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 05 Aug 2026 10:20:06 GMT
  • Wed, 05 Aug 2026 05:19:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    544
    ABNT20 KNHC 050519
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 04 Aug 2026 13:40:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041340
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT TUE 04 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-065

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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