2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 07 Jan 2026 22:06:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072206
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jan 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
    06N19W. The ITCZ continues from 06N19W to 04N30W to 04N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06N E of 17W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge associated with a 1020 high pressure centered offshore
    Fort Myers, Florida, dominating Gulf weather. Gentle anticyclonic
    flow thus encompasses most of the basin, but some moderate to
    locally fresh SW winds are occurring just offshore the lower Texas
    coast as well as off NE Mexico. Seas are 3 ft or less, except
    locally 3 to 5 ft where the fresh winds are present.

    For the forecast, fresh SE to S winds and moderate seas are
    expected to develop west of 90W tonight as the pressure gradient
    increases between ridging over the eastern basin and a developing
    storm system in the central United States. Strong winds will pulse
    offshore of south Texas and northeastern Mexico tonight through
    Thu, and locally rough seas may accompany these winds. Moderate to
    fresh SE winds will expand eastward over much of the Gulf on Thu,
    with these winds continuing through Fri. Looking ahead, a cold
    front will enter the northwestern Gulf late Fri night. Fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and rough seas are expected in the wake of
    the front as it moves over the basin into early next week. Gale
    force winds will be possible offshore of Tampico and Veracruz,
    Mexico Sat into Sun late night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low is
    producing fresh to strong trade winds with 6 to 8 ft seas over the
    south- central Caribbean. Locally fresh N winds are occurring
    south of Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage. Seas of 4 to 6 ft
    are within these winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, strong to occasionally near-gale force NE to E
    winds will pulse offshore of northern Colombia through this
    weekend as low pressure prevails over the region. Rough seas will
    occur near and to the west of these winds. Strong winds are also
    expected each afternoon and evening in the Gulf of Venezuela
    starting on Thu afternoon. Fresh NE to E winds will occur over the
    central Caribbean tonight, including through the Windward
    Passage, with fresh winds expanding over much of the basin through
    late week as the pressure gradient increases between the
    Colombian low and high pressure to the north. Pulsing strong winds
    are expected through the Windward Passage and south of Hispaniola
    nightly starting on Thu night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front has stalled from 31N44W to a 1014 mb low near 21N59W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted E of this front, N of 25N
    between 42W and 48W. Fresh to strong S winds are present in the
    vicinity of this convection. Ridging associated with high pressure
    centered W of the Florida Peninsula is leading to mainly gentle
    winds to the W of the stationary front. To the east, strong high
    pressure of 1037 mb located between the Azores and the Madeiras
    Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast region.
    Strong NE winds are evident N of 15N E of 20W, and from 21N to
    30N between 20W and 30W. Seas are 9 to 12 ft within these winds.
    Moderate to fresh trade winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft are observed
    over the tropical Atlantic E of 50W. Gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas, in long period NE swell, are seen E of the Lesser
    Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh SW to W
    winds and moderate seas occurring west of 67W and north of 29N
    will slowly diminish tonight as a surface trough moves eastward.
    Gentle or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are then
    expected over the northwest tropical Atlantic on Thu as a weak
    pressure gradient develops. High pressure building off the coast
    of the eastern United States on Fri will support moderate to
    locally fresh NE to E winds and building seas over the region
    through this weekend. Looking ahead, a cold front is slated move
    off the coast of the southeastern U.S. on Sun, leading to fresh to
    locally strong NW winds and building seas to 9 ft in the wake of
    the front.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 07 Jan 2026 22:06:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072206
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jan 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and extends to
    06N19W. The ITCZ continues from 06N19W to 04N30W to 04N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06N E of 17W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge associated with a 1020 high pressure centered offshore
    Fort Myers, Florida, dominating Gulf weather. Gentle anticyclonic
    flow thus encompasses most of the basin, but some moderate to
    locally fresh SW winds are occurring just offshore the lower Texas
    coast as well as off NE Mexico. Seas are 3 ft or less, except
    locally 3 to 5 ft where the fresh winds are present.

    For the forecast, fresh SE to S winds and moderate seas are
    expected to develop west of 90W tonight as the pressure gradient
    increases between ridging over the eastern basin and a developing
    storm system in the central United States. Strong winds will pulse
    offshore of south Texas and northeastern Mexico tonight through
    Thu, and locally rough seas may accompany these winds. Moderate to
    fresh SE winds will expand eastward over much of the Gulf on Thu,
    with these winds continuing through Fri. Looking ahead, a cold
    front will enter the northwestern Gulf late Fri night. Fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and rough seas are expected in the wake of
    the front as it moves over the basin into early next week. Gale
    force winds will be possible offshore of Tampico and Veracruz,
    Mexico Sat into Sun late night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low is
    producing fresh to strong trade winds with 6 to 8 ft seas over the
    south- central Caribbean. Locally fresh N winds are occurring
    south of Hispaniola and in the Windward Passage. Seas of 4 to 6 ft
    are within these winds. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, strong to occasionally near-gale force NE to E
    winds will pulse offshore of northern Colombia through this
    weekend as low pressure prevails over the region. Rough seas will
    occur near and to the west of these winds. Strong winds are also
    expected each afternoon and evening in the Gulf of Venezuela
    starting on Thu afternoon. Fresh NE to E winds will occur over the
    central Caribbean tonight, including through the Windward
    Passage, with fresh winds expanding over much of the basin through
    late week as the pressure gradient increases between the
    Colombian low and high pressure to the north. Pulsing strong winds
    are expected through the Windward Passage and south of Hispaniola
    nightly starting on Thu night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front has stalled from 31N44W to a 1014 mb low near 21N59W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted E of this front, N of 25N
    between 42W and 48W. Fresh to strong S winds are present in the
    vicinity of this convection. Ridging associated with high pressure
    centered W of the Florida Peninsula is leading to mainly gentle
    winds to the W of the stationary front. To the east, strong high
    pressure of 1037 mb located between the Azores and the Madeiras
    Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast region.
    Strong NE winds are evident N of 15N E of 20W, and from 21N to
    30N between 20W and 30W. Seas are 9 to 12 ft within these winds.
    Moderate to fresh trade winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft are observed
    over the tropical Atlantic E of 50W. Gentle to moderate winds and
    moderate seas, in long period NE swell, are seen E of the Lesser
    Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh SW to W
    winds and moderate seas occurring west of 67W and north of 29N
    will slowly diminish tonight as a surface trough moves eastward.
    Gentle or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are then
    expected over the northwest tropical Atlantic on Thu as a weak
    pressure gradient develops. High pressure building off the coast
    of the eastern United States on Fri will support moderate to
    locally fresh NE to E winds and building seas over the region
    through this weekend. Looking ahead, a cold front is slated move
    off the coast of the southeastern U.S. on Sun, leading to fresh to
    locally strong NW winds and building seas to 9 ft in the wake of
    the front.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 07 Jan 2026 18:42:46 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 071842
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0145 PM EST WED 07 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-038 AMENDMENT

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 81 (CALL SIGN CHANGED)
    A. 09/0000Z
    B. AF309 06WSE IOP05
    C. 08/1700Z
    D. 11 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    30.0N 155.0W, 30.0N 140.0W, 20.0N 140.0W, AND 20.0N 155.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 08/2030Z TO 09/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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