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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 22:43:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
372
AXNT20 KNHC 052243
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 28W S of 17N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted across the southern half of
the wave S of 10N.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W and S of 18N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
southern half of the wave S of 10N.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 46W from 02-17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
southern half of the wave S of 10N.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 77W, south of 19N, moving W at
at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are along the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 10N19W.
The ITCZ continues from that point between the tropical waves to
08N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm on
either side of the ITCZ and W of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends across the Florida Peninsula and
across the northern Gulf to the coast of Texas. Farther south, a
weak trough is positioned over the Bay of Campeche. This pattern
is supporting fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass.
Gentle to moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are
generally 1-3 ft across the basin. Scattered moderate convection
is active over the eastern Gulf at the base of an upper trough
that extends over the Mississippi River valley.
For the forecast, little change is expected in the weather
pattern across the Gulf region as a ridge continues to dominate
the basin. Gentle to moderate winds are forecast over the western
Gulf with light to gentle winds over the eastern Gulf. The
exception will be pulsing winds reaching fresh to strong speeds
off the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Fri. These
winds are the result of local effects associated with a surface
trough. Slight to moderate seas are expected basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
Honduras, with strong E winds noted off northeast Colombia and
northwest Venezuela. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted
elsewhere. Seas are 5-7 ft over the eastern and central Caribbean,
and 3-5 ft elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest
Caribbean. A mid to upper level trough extends from the western
Atlantic across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua.
Upper level divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade
wind flow is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms off
the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to support
fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the
central Caribbean through Fri night. The aerial extent of these
winds will increase tonight into Mon as the Atlantic ridge
continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to strong winds are
expected to extend across most of the east and central Caribbean.
Expect winds to reach near-gale force at night offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from tonight through Fri.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the
basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong E to
SE winds are forecast at night tonight through Tue.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of 20N, and is
anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near 28N38W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring along a surface trough analyzed
from 31N53W to 29N72W. The pattern is supporting gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis,
and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas east
and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward across central Florida into the eastern Gulf of
America early this week. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. Strong winds, with moderate to rough seas, are
expected at night north of Hispaniola, including approaches to the
Windward Passage, from tonight through Fri.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 22:43:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
372
AXNT20 KNHC 052243
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 28W S of 17N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted across the southern half of
the wave S of 10N.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W and S of 18N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
southern half of the wave S of 10N.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 46W from 02-17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted across the
southern half of the wave S of 10N.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 77W, south of 19N, moving W at
at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are along the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 10N19W.
The ITCZ continues from that point between the tropical waves to
08N59W. Scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm on
either side of the ITCZ and W of 30W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends across the Florida Peninsula and
across the northern Gulf to the coast of Texas. Farther south, a
weak trough is positioned over the Bay of Campeche. This pattern
is supporting fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass.
Gentle to moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are
generally 1-3 ft across the basin. Scattered moderate convection
is active over the eastern Gulf at the base of an upper trough
that extends over the Mississippi River valley.
For the forecast, little change is expected in the weather
pattern across the Gulf region as a ridge continues to dominate
the basin. Gentle to moderate winds are forecast over the western
Gulf with light to gentle winds over the eastern Gulf. The
exception will be pulsing winds reaching fresh to strong speeds
off the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Fri. These
winds are the result of local effects associated with a surface
trough. Slight to moderate seas are expected basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
Honduras, with strong E winds noted off northeast Colombia and
northwest Venezuela. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted
elsewhere. Seas are 5-7 ft over the eastern and central Caribbean,
and 3-5 ft elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest
Caribbean. A mid to upper level trough extends from the western
Atlantic across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua.
Upper level divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade
wind flow is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms off
the coasts of Nicaragua and Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to support
fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the
central Caribbean through Fri night. The aerial extent of these
winds will increase tonight into Mon as the Atlantic ridge
continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to strong winds are
expected to extend across most of the east and central Caribbean.
Expect winds to reach near-gale force at night offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from tonight through Fri.
Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the
basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong E to
SE winds are forecast at night tonight through Tue.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of 20N, and is
anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near 28N38W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring along a surface trough analyzed
from 31N53W to 29N72W. The pattern is supporting gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis,
and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas east
and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward across central Florida into the eastern Gulf of
America early this week. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. Strong winds, with moderate to rough seas, are
expected at night north of Hispaniola, including approaches to the
Windward Passage, from tonight through Fri.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 11:13:43 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 06 Jul 2026 01:12:18 GMT - Sun, 05 Jul 2026 23:13:43 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 052313
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 13:19:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051319
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0920 AM EDT SUN 05 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-035
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf