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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 04:09:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140409
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 02N to 09N and east of 33W .
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 40W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is currently
occurring with this wave.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of
19N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
currently occurring with this wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Most convection with this wave is in
the eastern North Pacific waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 05N27W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N27W to 03N29W and then continues from
03N41W to 00N50W. A few showers are seen near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A few showers are noted on satellite imagery near the broad area
of low pressure in the western Gulf. The tight pressure gradient
between this low and a 1018 mb ridge in the eastern Gulf sustain
fresh to locally strong SE winds and moderate to locally rough
seas west of a line from southern Louisiana to NE Yucatan and
north of 22N. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, an elongated area of low pressure from just
offshore of eastern Mexico to the central Bay of Campeche
continues to produce bands of shower and thunderstorm activity,
mainly across eastern portions. Significant development is not
anticipated before the low pressure area shifts inland over
eastern Mexico by early Sunday. The system could re-emerge over
the northwestern Gulf of America on Tue or Wed while interacting
with a frontal boundary. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and 1018 mb high pressure over the east-central Gulf
will support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas,
accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms, across the
western Gulf through Sun night. The Atlantic ridge will build
westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu, and combine with lower
pressure over South Texas and northeastern Mexico will promote
fresh to strong southerly winds over the western Gulf, and
moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical moisture combined to
produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, north of 18N
and between 74W and 82W. This activity is also affecting portions
of central and eastern Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Jamaica.
Similar storms are also noted in the isthmus of Panama, Costa
Rica, and nearby waters.
The tight pressure gradient between the sub-tropical ridge over
the central Atlantic and lower pressures in northern South America
forces fresh to near gale easterly trade winds and moderate to
rough seas over much of the basin, south of 19N. A recent
scatterometer satellite pass captured winds up to 33 kt off
northern Colombia. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends through 26N55W
westward across central Florida along 28N and into the NE Gulf of
America. The ridge will generally remain in place through Sun
night to support a large area of fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean. Expect
highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing winds to
fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly through Thu. The ridge north of the area will reorganize
Sun night through early Tue then shift slowly NE through midweek,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
central and southeast Bahamas and central and eastern Cuba. The
remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by broad ridging
along 27N, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas south of 22N and west of 35W. Fresh to strong
northerly winds and moderate to locally rough seas are found
north of 17N and east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge extends
through 26N55W westward across central Florida along 28N and into
the NE Gulf of America, and will generally remain in place
through Sun night. The ridge will reorganize Sun night through
early Tue, then shift slowly NE through Wed. This pattern will
support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a gentle
anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun evening, then become SE to
S winds across much of the area waters through midweek. Fresh SW
winds will briefly develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of
74W late Sun into Sun night, then become moderate winds through
Wed, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect
fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening across
Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 04:09:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140409
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed from 02N to 09N and east of 33W .
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 40W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is currently
occurring with this wave.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of
19N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
currently occurring with this wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Most convection with this wave is in
the eastern North Pacific waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 05N27W.
The ITCZ extends from 05N27W to 03N29W and then continues from
03N41W to 00N50W. A few showers are seen near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A few showers are noted on satellite imagery near the broad area
of low pressure in the western Gulf. The tight pressure gradient
between this low and a 1018 mb ridge in the eastern Gulf sustain
fresh to locally strong SE winds and moderate to locally rough
seas west of a line from southern Louisiana to NE Yucatan and
north of 22N. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, an elongated area of low pressure from just
offshore of eastern Mexico to the central Bay of Campeche
continues to produce bands of shower and thunderstorm activity,
mainly across eastern portions. Significant development is not
anticipated before the low pressure area shifts inland over
eastern Mexico by early Sunday. The system could re-emerge over
the northwestern Gulf of America on Tue or Wed while interacting
with a frontal boundary. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and 1018 mb high pressure over the east-central Gulf
will support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas,
accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms, across the
western Gulf through Sun night. The Atlantic ridge will build
westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu, and combine with lower
pressure over South Texas and northeastern Mexico will promote
fresh to strong southerly winds over the western Gulf, and
moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft and plenty of tropical moisture combined to
produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, north of 18N
and between 74W and 82W. This activity is also affecting portions
of central and eastern Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and Jamaica.
Similar storms are also noted in the isthmus of Panama, Costa
Rica, and nearby waters.
The tight pressure gradient between the sub-tropical ridge over
the central Atlantic and lower pressures in northern South America
forces fresh to near gale easterly trade winds and moderate to
rough seas over much of the basin, south of 19N. A recent
scatterometer satellite pass captured winds up to 33 kt off
northern Colombia. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends through 26N55W
westward across central Florida along 28N and into the NE Gulf of
America. The ridge will generally remain in place through Sun
night to support a large area of fresh to strong trade winds and
moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean. Expect
highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing winds to
fresh to strong speeds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly through Thu. The ridge north of the area will reorganize
Sun night through early Tue then shift slowly NE through midweek,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are affecting the
central and southeast Bahamas and central and eastern Cuba. The
remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by broad ridging
along 27N, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas south of 22N and west of 35W. Fresh to strong
northerly winds and moderate to locally rough seas are found
north of 17N and east of 25W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge extends
through 26N55W westward across central Florida along 28N and into
the NE Gulf of America, and will generally remain in place
through Sun night. The ridge will reorganize Sun night through
early Tue, then shift slowly NE through Wed. This pattern will
support moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N and a gentle
anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun evening, then become SE to
S winds across much of the area waters through midweek. Fresh SW
winds will briefly develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of
74W late Sun into Sun night, then become moderate winds through
Wed, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S. Expect
fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening across
Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 15 Jun 2026 17:32:08 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 14 Jun 2026 06:26:11 GMT - Sun, 14 Jun 2026 05:32:08 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 140531
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Southwestern Gulf of America:
A broad area of low pressure located along the coast of eastern
Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development is not expected as the low moves farther inland over
eastern Mexico during the next day or so. The system could then
re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America on Tuesday or
Wednesday while interacting with a frontal boundary, but conditions
there are expected to be only marginally conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 13:50:52 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
158
NOUS42 KNHC 131350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT SAT 13 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-013
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf