SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 05:15:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100515
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0455 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
Fri night and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 13
ft off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is observed
near the trough axis.
Another central Caribbean tropical wave is along 80W, south of
19N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are noted across the southern half of the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N28W to 07N44W, then continues from 07N47W to
05N54W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 05N to 13N
and east of 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A few showers are evident across the NW and central Gulf waters,
while diurnal showers and isolated thunderstorms that developed
over western Cuba and the Yucatan peninsula are moving across the
nearshore waters. The subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic
extends into the Gulf, supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade
winds and moderate seas south of 26N and east of 95W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a rather weak ridge axis extending westward
from the Atlantic across the Gulf along 28N will change little
through the next few days. The weather pattern will support gentle
to moderate east to southeast winds south of 26N, and mostly
light to gentle southeast to south-southwest winds north of 26N
through the period. Winds become mostly light and variable
starting Mon over the north-central and NE Gulf. Occasional fresh
to strong northeast to east winds are expected offshore the
Yucatan peninsula at night into next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
Friday and weekend.
Divergence aloft is supporting showers and isolated over the
western Caribbean and the western Greater Antilles. A strong
subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic continues to dominate
the Caribbean. Outside of the Gale Warning area, strong to near
gale-force easterly trade winds and rough seas are found across
the central Caribbean Sea. Fresh to locally strong NE-E winds and
moderate to rough seas are occurring in the Gulf of Honduras, lee
of Cuba, the Windward Passage and the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia,
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to occasionally
strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through early
next week. A pair of tropical waves will move across the basin
through Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad upper level low centered over the central Bahamas is
enhancing some shower and isolated thunderstorm activity south of
25N and west of 70W. A plume of Saharan dust and dry mid-latitude
air cover much of the tropical Atlantic, suppressing the
development of showers and thunderstorms.
An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N,
anchored by a 1026 mb high center at 28N44W. The pressure gradient
between this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is
supporting fresh to strong easterly winds south of 24N and between
72W and 77W. Seas of 5-8 ft in these waters. Moderate to fresh
westerly winds and moderate winds are evident north of 29N and
west of 50W. Fresh to locally strong easterly breezes and seas of
5-8 ft are found south of 23N and east of 45W. Fresh to locally
strong N-NE winds and seas of 4-8 ft are present north of the
monsoon trough and east of 27W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and seas of 3-6 ft prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 28N will
change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 05:15:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100515
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Jul 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0455 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into early next week. Winds are forecast to pulse to
gale- force off the coast of Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela
Fri night and again Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 13
ft off Colombia Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 70W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is observed
near the trough axis.
Another central Caribbean tropical wave is along 80W, south of
19N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are noted across the southern half of the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 08N28W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N28W to 07N44W, then continues from 07N47W to
05N54W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 05N to 13N
and east of 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A few showers are evident across the NW and central Gulf waters,
while diurnal showers and isolated thunderstorms that developed
over western Cuba and the Yucatan peninsula are moving across the
nearshore waters. The subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic
extends into the Gulf, supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade
winds and moderate seas south of 26N and east of 95W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a rather weak ridge axis extending westward
from the Atlantic across the Gulf along 28N will change little
through the next few days. The weather pattern will support gentle
to moderate east to southeast winds south of 26N, and mostly
light to gentle southeast to south-southwest winds north of 26N
through the period. Winds become mostly light and variable
starting Mon over the north-central and NE Gulf. Occasional fresh
to strong northeast to east winds are expected offshore the
Yucatan peninsula at night into next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
Friday and weekend.
Divergence aloft is supporting showers and isolated over the
western Caribbean and the western Greater Antilles. A strong
subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic continues to dominate
the Caribbean. Outside of the Gale Warning area, strong to near
gale-force easterly trade winds and rough seas are found across
the central Caribbean Sea. Fresh to locally strong NE-E winds and
moderate to rough seas are occurring in the Gulf of Honduras, lee
of Cuba, the Windward Passage and the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and lower pressure over northern South America will
support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force off Colombia,
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, Fri night and Sat night. Trades
over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to occasionally
strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through early
next week. A pair of tropical waves will move across the basin
through Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad upper level low centered over the central Bahamas is
enhancing some shower and isolated thunderstorm activity south of
25N and west of 70W. A plume of Saharan dust and dry mid-latitude
air cover much of the tropical Atlantic, suppressing the
development of showers and thunderstorms.
An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N,
anchored by a 1026 mb high center at 28N44W. The pressure gradient
between this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is
supporting fresh to strong easterly winds south of 24N and between
72W and 77W. Seas of 5-8 ft in these waters. Moderate to fresh
westerly winds and moderate winds are evident north of 29N and
west of 50W. Fresh to locally strong easterly breezes and seas of
5-8 ft are found south of 23N and east of 45W. Fresh to locally
strong N-NE winds and seas of 4-8 ft are present north of the
monsoon trough and east of 27W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and seas of 3-6 ft prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 28N will
change little through the period. The weather pattern will
generally support moderate to fresh trades south of 23N, and light
to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N where moderate
to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail through Sat night.
Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 17:07:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 10 Jul 2026 10:40:05 GMT - Fri, 10 Jul 2026 05:07:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 100507
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jul 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 13:40:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT THU 09 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-039
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf