2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 21 Apr 2026 23:07:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    139
    AXNT20 KNHC 212307
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Apr 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic off the coast of Guinea
    Bissau near 12N16W, then curves southwestward through 07N20W to
    03N24W. An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N24W through
    00N38W to the coast of Brazil near 01S46W. Scattered to numerous
    moderate to scattered strong convection is flaring up near and
    south of the monsoon trough S of 07N between 10W and 22W.
    Scattered moderate convection is found near and up to 180 nm
    along either side of the ITCZ between 22W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The southern end of a recent cold front has moved into western
    Cuba, with the remnants extending westward across the entrance to
    the Yucatan Channel. Scattered light to moderate showers extends
    across the Florida Straits westward to 87W. Two modest surface
    troughs are triggering additional showers over the central and
    southwestern Gulf. Fresh to strong E to ESE winds and seas of 6
    to 9 ft dominate the Florida Straits and southeastern Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh SE winds with 3 to 6 ft seas are noted at the
    northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate SE return flow across the NW
    Gulf is producing areas of broken to overcast low and mid clouds
    across the SE Texas and Louisiana coastal waters. Seas are 3 to 5
    ft across the western third of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong E winds and rough seas
    will gradually diminish through Wed morning across the Florida
    Straits and the SE Gulf, as the cold front dissipates across Cuba
    and the NW Caribbean, and high pressure builds across the northern
    basin. As the high settles over the region, gentle to moderate SE
    winds will develop basin-wide by Wed night, then persist through
    late week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Daytime heating has led to scattered moderate afternoon convection
    across Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba this afternoon. An Atlantic
    cold front extends from the central Atlantic through 24N70W and
    through the central Bahamas and across western Cuba. High pressure
    along the middle Atlantic coast of the U.S. is north of the front
    and is currently yielding only a modest trade-wind regime across
    the basin this evening. Moderate to locally fresh E-NE winds
    prevail across south central portions, through the Windward
    Passage, and in the lee of Cuba. Seas are 3 to 6 ft across the
    south central portions, and 3 to 5 ft in the Windward Passage, and
    2 to 4 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will persist north
    of the basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    over the Caribbean basin into the weekend, as the cold front
    gradually dissipates through Thu. Fresh NE winds will occur
    tonight through Wed night across the Windward Passage and south of
    Cuba as the cold front moves southward across Cuba, then
    dissipates along the N coast of Hispaniola Thu. Tranquil marine
    conditions are expected across the entire basin Fri through the
    weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front curves southwestward from E of Bermuda through
    31N60W, through the central Bahamas and into western Cuba. Scattered
    moderate convection is seen near and up to 180 nm east and southeast
    of this boundary. To the south, convergent trade winds are
    coupling with divergent winds aloft to trigger numerous heavy
    showers and scattered thunderstorms near the coast of French
    Guiana, and State of Amapa in Brazil.

    1030 mb high pressure is along the middle Atlantic coast of the
    U.S. The associated pressure gradient between this high and front
    continues to produce fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 8
    to 13 ft north of the front, except for moderate winds and seas
    offshore of NE Florida to 75W. Fresh with locally strong S to SW
    winds and seas at 5 to 8 ft are found ahead of the front, north of
    27N between 56W and the front. To the east, 1020 mb high pressure
    is centered near 33N41W and extends a broad and weak ridge
    southward into the tropical Atlantic. Gentle to moderate NE to E
    winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft prevail across the waters S of 23N
    between 30W and the Lesser Antilles. Large NW to N swell is moving
    through the northern waters, producing seas of 7 to 10 ft to the
    north of 24N between the Canary Islands and 40W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move
    southeastward and weaken through Thu, reaching from 25N55W to the
    N coast of Hispaniola Thu morning. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
    and rough seas will continue to follow the front through Wed
    night, with conditions gradually improving late this week as the
    front weakens and eventually stalls Fri over SE waters. High
    pressure will settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda for
    the end of the week, bringing tranquil marine conditions to area
    waters through the weekend.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 21 Apr 2026 23:07:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    139
    AXNT20 KNHC 212307
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Apr 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic off the coast of Guinea
    Bissau near 12N16W, then curves southwestward through 07N20W to
    03N24W. An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N24W through
    00N38W to the coast of Brazil near 01S46W. Scattered to numerous
    moderate to scattered strong convection is flaring up near and
    south of the monsoon trough S of 07N between 10W and 22W.
    Scattered moderate convection is found near and up to 180 nm
    along either side of the ITCZ between 22W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The southern end of a recent cold front has moved into western
    Cuba, with the remnants extending westward across the entrance to
    the Yucatan Channel. Scattered light to moderate showers extends
    across the Florida Straits westward to 87W. Two modest surface
    troughs are triggering additional showers over the central and
    southwestern Gulf. Fresh to strong E to ESE winds and seas of 6
    to 9 ft dominate the Florida Straits and southeastern Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh SE winds with 3 to 6 ft seas are noted at the
    northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate SE return flow across the NW
    Gulf is producing areas of broken to overcast low and mid clouds
    across the SE Texas and Louisiana coastal waters. Seas are 3 to 5
    ft across the western third of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong E winds and rough seas
    will gradually diminish through Wed morning across the Florida
    Straits and the SE Gulf, as the cold front dissipates across Cuba
    and the NW Caribbean, and high pressure builds across the northern
    basin. As the high settles over the region, gentle to moderate SE
    winds will develop basin-wide by Wed night, then persist through
    late week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Daytime heating has led to scattered moderate afternoon convection
    across Hispaniola, Jamaica and Cuba this afternoon. An Atlantic
    cold front extends from the central Atlantic through 24N70W and
    through the central Bahamas and across western Cuba. High pressure
    along the middle Atlantic coast of the U.S. is north of the front
    and is currently yielding only a modest trade-wind regime across
    the basin this evening. Moderate to locally fresh E-NE winds
    prevail across south central portions, through the Windward
    Passage, and in the lee of Cuba. Seas are 3 to 6 ft across the
    south central portions, and 3 to 5 ft in the Windward Passage, and
    2 to 4 ft elsewhere.

    For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will persist north
    of the basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    over the Caribbean basin into the weekend, as the cold front
    gradually dissipates through Thu. Fresh NE winds will occur
    tonight through Wed night across the Windward Passage and south of
    Cuba as the cold front moves southward across Cuba, then
    dissipates along the N coast of Hispaniola Thu. Tranquil marine
    conditions are expected across the entire basin Fri through the
    weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front curves southwestward from E of Bermuda through
    31N60W, through the central Bahamas and into western Cuba. Scattered
    moderate convection is seen near and up to 180 nm east and southeast
    of this boundary. To the south, convergent trade winds are
    coupling with divergent winds aloft to trigger numerous heavy
    showers and scattered thunderstorms near the coast of French
    Guiana, and State of Amapa in Brazil.

    1030 mb high pressure is along the middle Atlantic coast of the
    U.S. The associated pressure gradient between this high and front
    continues to produce fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 8
    to 13 ft north of the front, except for moderate winds and seas
    offshore of NE Florida to 75W. Fresh with locally strong S to SW
    winds and seas at 5 to 8 ft are found ahead of the front, north of
    27N between 56W and the front. To the east, 1020 mb high pressure
    is centered near 33N41W and extends a broad and weak ridge
    southward into the tropical Atlantic. Gentle to moderate NE to E
    winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft prevail across the waters S of 23N
    between 30W and the Lesser Antilles. Large NW to N swell is moving
    through the northern waters, producing seas of 7 to 10 ft to the
    north of 24N between the Canary Islands and 40W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move
    southeastward and weaken through Thu, reaching from 25N55W to the
    N coast of Hispaniola Thu morning. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
    and rough seas will continue to follow the front through Wed
    night, with conditions gradually improving late this week as the
    front weakens and eventually stalls Fri over SE waters. High
    pressure will settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda for
    the end of the week, bringing tranquil marine conditions to area
    waters through the weekend.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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