2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 10:35:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 121035
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jun 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Heavy rainfall across the Yucatan peninsula and northern Belize:
    Broad low pressure is expected to develop over northern Central
    America and southern Mexico over the next couple of days. The
    combination of sustained upper-level divergence east of an upper
    low that is located over the eastern Bay of Campeche, and a
    tropical wave moving through the Yucatan Peninsula while abundant
    deep tropical moisture remains in place will provide the potential
    for heavy rainfall over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula into Sat.
    Increasing deep convection is presently over the eastern Bay of
    Campeche and portions of the Yucatan Peninsula. The heaviest
    rainfall accumulations may be as high as 6 to 8 inches over this
    48 hour period, primarily across northern Belize and southern part
    of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. Rainfall of up to 2 to 4
    inches is possible across eastern Campeche and eastern Yucatan
    states as well. Localized flooding is possible. Please refer to
    local meteorological agencies for further guidance.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 26W-27W, S of 16N,
    moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in
    the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has been added to the 06Z
    analysis along 46W, S of 15N, moving westward near 15 kt. The wave
    axis is clearly identified in precipitable water imagery. Nearby
    convection is discussed in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 56W-57W, S of
    12N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
    in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 68W, S of
    17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers prevail
    between the wave axis and 61W, to the south of 15N.

    Another eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 73W-74W,
    south of 18N, moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant
    convection is occurring at the present time near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends off the coast of Africa near
    14N17W and extends southwestward to 08N25W, where it transitions
    to the ITCZ, continuing on to the coast of Brazil near 05.5N53W.
    Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is across the
    waters of W Africa from 02N to 12N E of 18W. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 04.5N to 11.5N between
    19W and 32W, from 05N to 07.5N between 36W and 41W, and from 05.5N
    to 07N between 51W and 54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough extends from the eastern Bay of Campeche
    northeastward to the offshore waters of the Yucatan Peninsula,
    and extends into the middle atmosphere. Recent satellite
    scatterometer data showed fresh to strong E to SE winds across the
    northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula to 24N, and east of the
    surface trough. This feature is producing scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms across the basin S of 25N between the
    Yucatan Channel and 93.5W. Weak high pressure across the western
    Atlantic extends a ridge westward across Florida and into the NE
    Gulf, and is producing a modest pressure gradient between the
    ridge and the trough. Seas are estimated to be 5-7 ft across this
    area. Elsewhere across the basin, moderate SE winds prevail across
    the western Gulf, with 3-5 ft seas, with gentle southerly winds
    over the eastern Gulf and 2-3 ft seas.

    For the forecast, high pressure will persist across northeastern
    Gulf through Tue. Farther south, a broad trough of low pressure
    extending from the Yucatan Peninsula northeastward into the
    southern Gulf will shift slowly northwestward through the
    weekend, and move inland across NE Mexico and S Texas on Sun. This
    pattern will support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to
    rough seas shifting from the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula to the
    coast of Texas through early Sun, accompanied by numerous showers
    and thunderstorms. Winds and seas will diminish Mon and Tue after
    the low pressure moves inland and weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    1019 mb high pressure near 29N69W extends a ridge westward across
    Florida and the NE Gulf of America. Two tropical waves are moving
    quickly across the central Caribbean overnight, south of the
    ridge. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed fresh to strong
    SE winds across the far northwest Caribbean west of 80W, with
    near- gale force wind between Roatan and northern Belize. These
    winds are occurring between the Atlantic ridge to the northeast,
    and a surface trough over northern Central America. Seas are
    likely 5-8 ft in this area. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring across the northwest Caribbean W of
    81W. This pattern is also supporting fresh trade winds across the
    south- central and southeast Caribbean, with strong winds pulsing
    off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela, where seas are 7-9
    ft. Moderate E winds prevail elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
    place north of region through early next week to support a
    large area of fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough
    seas across the central Caribbean through Sun, as a pair of
    tropical waves move westward across the region. Expect highest
    winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong SE winds
    and rough seas will also persist over the northwestern Caribbean,
    to the W of 83W, including the Gulf of Honduras, through Sat
    evening. Expect active showers and thunderstorms across portions
    of the Yucatan Channel and adjacent Yucatan waters through early
    Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms remain active N of
    26N between 50W and 59W, associated with a weak area of low
    pressure near 29.5N58.5W, with an lingering frontal trough
    extending eastward to 31N41W. A broad ridge extends from the
    Azores to south of the trough near 24N55W. 1019 mb high pressure
    is centered W of the low pressure near 29N69W and extends a weak
    ridge westward across Florida into the eastern Gulf. This pattern
    is support moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas
    south of 22N and between 35W and 60W, and moderate E to SE winds @
    of 22N between 60W and 80W. Mostly gentle breezes and 4-6 ft seas
    prevail elsewhere within the ridge.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the current western Atlantic ridge
    will generally remain in place through early next week. The weak
    low pressure near 29.5N58.5W will shift NE and out of the
    forecast waters through early Sat, then allow the ridge to
    reorganize across the area through early next week. This pattern
    will support moderate E-SE trade winds S of 22N and gentle
    anticyclonic winds elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will
    develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening
    through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S.
    Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
    across waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 10:35:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 121035
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Jun 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Heavy rainfall across the Yucatan peninsula and northern Belize:
    Broad low pressure is expected to develop over northern Central
    America and southern Mexico over the next couple of days. The
    combination of sustained upper-level divergence east of an upper
    low that is located over the eastern Bay of Campeche, and a
    tropical wave moving through the Yucatan Peninsula while abundant
    deep tropical moisture remains in place will provide the potential
    for heavy rainfall over Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula into Sat.
    Increasing deep convection is presently over the eastern Bay of
    Campeche and portions of the Yucatan Peninsula. The heaviest
    rainfall accumulations may be as high as 6 to 8 inches over this
    48 hour period, primarily across northern Belize and southern part
    of the Mexican state of Quintana Roo. Rainfall of up to 2 to 4
    inches is possible across eastern Campeche and eastern Yucatan
    states as well. Localized flooding is possible. Please refer to
    local meteorological agencies for further guidance.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis near 26W-27W, S of 16N,
    moving westward 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in
    the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has been added to the 06Z
    analysis along 46W, S of 15N, moving westward near 15 kt. The wave
    axis is clearly identified in precipitable water imagery. Nearby
    convection is discussed in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 56W-57W, S of
    12N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Nearby convection is discussed
    in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 68W, S of
    17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers prevail
    between the wave axis and 61W, to the south of 15N.

    Another eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 73W-74W,
    south of 18N, moving westward at about 15 kt. No significant
    convection is occurring at the present time near this wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis extends off the coast of Africa near
    14N17W and extends southwestward to 08N25W, where it transitions
    to the ITCZ, continuing on to the coast of Brazil near 05.5N53W.
    Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is across the
    waters of W Africa from 02N to 12N E of 18W. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 04.5N to 11.5N between
    19W and 32W, from 05N to 07.5N between 36W and 41W, and from 05.5N
    to 07N between 51W and 54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough extends from the eastern Bay of Campeche
    northeastward to the offshore waters of the Yucatan Peninsula,
    and extends into the middle atmosphere. Recent satellite
    scatterometer data showed fresh to strong E to SE winds across the
    northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula to 24N, and east of the
    surface trough. This feature is producing scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms across the basin S of 25N between the
    Yucatan Channel and 93.5W. Weak high pressure across the western
    Atlantic extends a ridge westward across Florida and into the NE
    Gulf, and is producing a modest pressure gradient between the
    ridge and the trough. Seas are estimated to be 5-7 ft across this
    area. Elsewhere across the basin, moderate SE winds prevail across
    the western Gulf, with 3-5 ft seas, with gentle southerly winds
    over the eastern Gulf and 2-3 ft seas.

    For the forecast, high pressure will persist across northeastern
    Gulf through Tue. Farther south, a broad trough of low pressure
    extending from the Yucatan Peninsula northeastward into the
    southern Gulf will shift slowly northwestward through the
    weekend, and move inland across NE Mexico and S Texas on Sun. This
    pattern will support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to
    rough seas shifting from the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula to the
    coast of Texas through early Sun, accompanied by numerous showers
    and thunderstorms. Winds and seas will diminish Mon and Tue after
    the low pressure moves inland and weakens.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    1019 mb high pressure near 29N69W extends a ridge westward across
    Florida and the NE Gulf of America. Two tropical waves are moving
    quickly across the central Caribbean overnight, south of the
    ridge. Recent satellite scatterometer data showed fresh to strong
    SE winds across the far northwest Caribbean west of 80W, with
    near- gale force wind between Roatan and northern Belize. These
    winds are occurring between the Atlantic ridge to the northeast,
    and a surface trough over northern Central America. Seas are
    likely 5-8 ft in this area. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring across the northwest Caribbean W of
    81W. This pattern is also supporting fresh trade winds across the
    south- central and southeast Caribbean, with strong winds pulsing
    off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela, where seas are 7-9
    ft. Moderate E winds prevail elsewhere with 4-6 ft seas.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
    place north of region through early next week to support a
    large area of fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough
    seas across the central Caribbean through Sun, as a pair of
    tropical waves move westward across the region. Expect highest
    winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong SE winds
    and rough seas will also persist over the northwestern Caribbean,
    to the W of 83W, including the Gulf of Honduras, through Sat
    evening. Expect active showers and thunderstorms across portions
    of the Yucatan Channel and adjacent Yucatan waters through early
    Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms remain active N of
    26N between 50W and 59W, associated with a weak area of low
    pressure near 29.5N58.5W, with an lingering frontal trough
    extending eastward to 31N41W. A broad ridge extends from the
    Azores to south of the trough near 24N55W. 1019 mb high pressure
    is centered W of the low pressure near 29N69W and extends a weak
    ridge westward across Florida into the eastern Gulf. This pattern
    is support moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas
    south of 22N and between 35W and 60W, and moderate E to SE winds @
    of 22N between 60W and 80W. Mostly gentle breezes and 4-6 ft seas
    prevail elsewhere within the ridge.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the current western Atlantic ridge
    will generally remain in place through early next week. The weak
    low pressure near 29.5N58.5W will shift NE and out of the
    forecast waters through early Sat, then allow the ridge to
    reorganize across the area through early next week. This pattern
    will support moderate E-SE trade winds S of 22N and gentle
    anticyclonic winds elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW winds will
    develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun evening
    through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the SE U.S.
    Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening
    across waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 13 Jun 2026 23:48:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:10:17 GMT
  • Fri, 12 Jun 2026 11:48:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    919
    ABNT20 KNHC 121148
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Western Gulf:
    A broad area of low pressure has formed over the far southern Bay
    of Campeche and is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to be only marginally
    conducive for development before the system moves inland over
    eastern Mexico late Saturday or Sunday. The system could re-emerge
    over the northwestern Gulf on Tuesday and Wednesday while
    interacting with a frontal boundary, but there too, conditions are
    only expected to be marginally conducive for any development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 11 Jun 2026 13:35:48 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 111335
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0935 AM EDT THU 11 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-011

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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