2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 15 Apr 2026 22:01:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 152200
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Apr 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07N13W, then
    continues SW to 02N16W. The ITCZ extends from 02N16W to 00N28W.
    Scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 06S to 05N
    between 12W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge extends from high pressure over the western Atlantic
    across Florida into the Gulf. The pressure gradient between the
    ridge and the diurnal trough Yucatan Peninsula supports fresh E
    to SE winds within 90 nm of the coast of the Yucatan. Elsewhere,
    mainly moderate E winds prevail, except for the NE Gulf where
    light to gentle winds dominate. Seas are mainly 3 to 5 ft, except
    1 to 3 ft in the NE basin.

    For the forecast, gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail
    across most of the basin through Sat. The exception will be off
    the Yucatan Peninsula, where a trough will allow fresh to strong
    winds to pulse during the evenings. Looking ahead, fresh to strong
    NE winds and building seas will follow a cold front moving across
    the northern Gulf Sun and Sun night. The front will stall from
    the Florida Straits to south Texas by late Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Ridging N of the Bahamas is forcing fresh NE winds through the
    Windward Passage and S of Cuba, along with 4 to 6 ft seas. Fresh
    to locally strong winds with seas 4 to 6 ft are also occurring
    just north of Colombia. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker
    with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the west-central Atlantic
    combined with the Colombian low will maintain fresh trade winds
    and moderate seas off the coast of Colombia into Thu, then mainly
    gentle to moderate winds are expected the remainder of the week.
    Fresh to locally strong northeast winds and moderate seas will
    persist south of Cuba, and in the Windward Passage through
    tonight. Winds and seas will diminish across the basin late in
    the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-low is inducing a surface trough that extends from S of
    Bermuda to just NW of the Mon Passage. Scattered moderate
    convection is ongoing from 19N to 24N between 62W and 67W.
    Farther northeast, a stationary front extends from 31N35W to
    29.5N47W. Convection previously associated with this feature has
    dissipated. A Bermuda- Azores High located north of the forecast
    waters is interacting with the surface trough to cause moderate to
    fresh NE winds from Bermuda, across the Bahamas, and to the Cuban
    coast. Seas are 5 to 9 ft east of the Bahamas. A moderate
    pressure gradient between the Bermuda- Azores High and lower
    pressure in the vicinity over the ITCZ is forcing moderate to
    locally fresh NE to E trades and moderate to rough seas over the
    remainder of the forecast waters. Near the coast of NW Africa, NE
    winds are fresh to locally strong north of 29N and east of 27W
    with seas of 7 to 10 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough between Bermuda
    and the Mona Passage will drift west toward the Turks and Caicos
    Islands through tonight, then will remain nearly stationary
    through late Thu while gradually dissipating. Fresh to strong NE
    winds and rough seas will persist west of the trough across the
    southern Bahamas through tonight, with conditions gradually
    improving thereafter as the trough weakens. High pressure will
    follow the trough. Looking ahead, a cold front is forecast to move
    off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the front as
    it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late Mon.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 15 Apr 2026 22:01:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 152200
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Apr 15 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 07N13W, then
    continues SW to 02N16W. The ITCZ extends from 02N16W to 00N28W.
    Scattered to numerous moderate convection is noted from 06S to 05N
    between 12W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge extends from high pressure over the western Atlantic
    across Florida into the Gulf. The pressure gradient between the
    ridge and the diurnal trough Yucatan Peninsula supports fresh E
    to SE winds within 90 nm of the coast of the Yucatan. Elsewhere,
    mainly moderate E winds prevail, except for the NE Gulf where
    light to gentle winds dominate. Seas are mainly 3 to 5 ft, except
    1 to 3 ft in the NE basin.

    For the forecast, gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail
    across most of the basin through Sat. The exception will be off
    the Yucatan Peninsula, where a trough will allow fresh to strong
    winds to pulse during the evenings. Looking ahead, fresh to strong
    NE winds and building seas will follow a cold front moving across
    the northern Gulf Sun and Sun night. The front will stall from
    the Florida Straits to south Texas by late Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Ridging N of the Bahamas is forcing fresh NE winds through the
    Windward Passage and S of Cuba, along with 4 to 6 ft seas. Fresh
    to locally strong winds with seas 4 to 6 ft are also occurring
    just north of Colombia. Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker
    with seas of 3 to 5 ft.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the west-central Atlantic
    combined with the Colombian low will maintain fresh trade winds
    and moderate seas off the coast of Colombia into Thu, then mainly
    gentle to moderate winds are expected the remainder of the week.
    Fresh to locally strong northeast winds and moderate seas will
    persist south of Cuba, and in the Windward Passage through
    tonight. Winds and seas will diminish across the basin late in
    the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-low is inducing a surface trough that extends from S of
    Bermuda to just NW of the Mon Passage. Scattered moderate
    convection is ongoing from 19N to 24N between 62W and 67W.
    Farther northeast, a stationary front extends from 31N35W to
    29.5N47W. Convection previously associated with this feature has
    dissipated. A Bermuda- Azores High located north of the forecast
    waters is interacting with the surface trough to cause moderate to
    fresh NE winds from Bermuda, across the Bahamas, and to the Cuban
    coast. Seas are 5 to 9 ft east of the Bahamas. A moderate
    pressure gradient between the Bermuda- Azores High and lower
    pressure in the vicinity over the ITCZ is forcing moderate to
    locally fresh NE to E trades and moderate to rough seas over the
    remainder of the forecast waters. Near the coast of NW Africa, NE
    winds are fresh to locally strong north of 29N and east of 27W
    with seas of 7 to 10 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough between Bermuda
    and the Mona Passage will drift west toward the Turks and Caicos
    Islands through tonight, then will remain nearly stationary
    through late Thu while gradually dissipating. Fresh to strong NE
    winds and rough seas will persist west of the trough across the
    southern Bahamas through tonight, with conditions gradually
    improving thereafter as the trough weakens. High pressure will
    follow the trough. Looking ahead, a cold front is forecast to move
    off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the front as
    it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late Mon.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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