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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 25 Jun 2026 17:34:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251734
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jun 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning:
A tight pressure gradient between an Atlantic Ridge and the
Colombian Low will cause trade winds off Colombia to peak at gale-
force Fri night and early Sat morning. Seas under these winds are
expected to range between 12 and 15 ft. Please refer to High Seas
and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane
Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W from 16N
southward, and moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 01N to 08N between 33W and 39W.
A eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 70W from eastern
Dominican Republic southward into western Venezuela. Scattered
moderate convection is seen in the northeastern Caribbean,
including waters south of the Dominican Republic, Mona Passage,
and Puerto Rico.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 82W from near the
Cayman Islands southward into western Panama. It is moving
westward around 5-10 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are noted in the western Caribbean W of 80W and S of
20N, including the Gulf of Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
southwestward to 07N19W. The ITCZ then continues from 07N19W to
05N25W to 07N33W, where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ
then resumes from 05N38W to 04N52W. In addition to the convection
described in the Tropical Waves section above, scattered moderate
convection is ongoing from 02N to 10N between 15W and 25W, as well
as from 03N to 08N between 39W and 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front runs from near the mouth of the Mississippi
River to the Big Bend of Florida, and is enhancing scattered
moderate convection N of 28N and E of 91W. A surface trough in the
SW Gulf also appears to enhance scattered moderate convection S
of 23N and W of 94W. Aside from convection, gentle to moderate
or weaker E to SE winds and slight seas prevail across much of
the Gulf.
For the forecast, a weakening stationary front will trigger
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the north-
central and northeastern Gulf today. Otherwise, a ridge will
continue to dominate the Gulf region into early next week. Gentle
to moderate anticyclonic winds will generally prevail across the
basin during this time, except for fresh to locally strong NE to E
winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly, and
moderate to fresh SE winds across the far northwestern Gulf
through the weekend. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will
sink southward into the east-central Gulf Mon night and Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about an upcoming Gale
Warning, and please refer to the Tropical Waves section for
details on convection in the basin.
The pressure gradient between ridging across much of the Atlantic
and the Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades across much
of the central Caribbean, as well as seas of 9-12 ft in the
south-central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas prevail in the E Caribbean, with gentle to moderate
or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
winds, and rough to very rough seas in the central Caribbean
through Sat morning. Expect winds at near-gale force offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela during the nighttime and
early morning hours. On Fri night and early Sat morning, winds off
Colombia will peak at gale-force. Pulsing fresh to strong winds
and moderate to locally rough seas are expected in the Gulf of
Honduras nightly through Sat night. Fresh trades with rough seas
should persist east of the Lesser Antilles through midday today,
diminishing to moderate winds and seas thereafter through Sun.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends across the waters offshore SE GA/NE FL
to near Jacksonville, FL. An upper level shortwave over the region
is helping to enhance showers and thunderstorms N of the Bahamas.
An upper level low S of Bermuda is also enhancing showers and
thunderstorms in the region. The remainder of the Atlantic is
dominated by ridging, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weakening stationary front will
trigger some showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds east of
northeastern Florida through this evening. Otherwise, a ridge will
continue to dominate the forecast area through the weekend. Fresh
to strong easterly winds with locally rough seas are expected
near the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico each late
afternoon and night through Fri night. Moderate to locally fresh
trade winds and moderate seas are expected south of 22N through
Fri. A north-to- south aligned surface trough across the central
Atlantic will shift westward across the region early Fri through
late Sat, reaching 70W Sun morning. This will weaken the ridge and
lead to diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will
sink southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 25 Jun 2026 17:34:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 251734
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jun 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning:
A tight pressure gradient between an Atlantic Ridge and the
Colombian Low will cause trade winds off Colombia to peak at gale-
force Fri night and early Sat morning. Seas under these winds are
expected to range between 12 and 15 ft. Please refer to High Seas
and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane
Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 37W from 16N
southward, and moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 01N to 08N between 33W and 39W.
A eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 70W from eastern
Dominican Republic southward into western Venezuela. Scattered
moderate convection is seen in the northeastern Caribbean,
including waters south of the Dominican Republic, Mona Passage,
and Puerto Rico.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 82W from near the
Cayman Islands southward into western Panama. It is moving
westward around 5-10 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are noted in the western Caribbean W of 80W and S of
20N, including the Gulf of Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
southwestward to 07N19W. The ITCZ then continues from 07N19W to
05N25W to 07N33W, where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ
then resumes from 05N38W to 04N52W. In addition to the convection
described in the Tropical Waves section above, scattered moderate
convection is ongoing from 02N to 10N between 15W and 25W, as well
as from 03N to 08N between 39W and 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front runs from near the mouth of the Mississippi
River to the Big Bend of Florida, and is enhancing scattered
moderate convection N of 28N and E of 91W. A surface trough in the
SW Gulf also appears to enhance scattered moderate convection S
of 23N and W of 94W. Aside from convection, gentle to moderate
or weaker E to SE winds and slight seas prevail across much of
the Gulf.
For the forecast, a weakening stationary front will trigger
scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the north-
central and northeastern Gulf today. Otherwise, a ridge will
continue to dominate the Gulf region into early next week. Gentle
to moderate anticyclonic winds will generally prevail across the
basin during this time, except for fresh to locally strong NE to E
winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly, and
moderate to fresh SE winds across the far northwestern Gulf
through the weekend. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will
sink southward into the east-central Gulf Mon night and Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about an upcoming Gale
Warning, and please refer to the Tropical Waves section for
details on convection in the basin.
The pressure gradient between ridging across much of the Atlantic
and the Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades across much
of the central Caribbean, as well as seas of 9-12 ft in the
south-central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas prevail in the E Caribbean, with gentle to moderate
or weaker winds and 2-5 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
winds, and rough to very rough seas in the central Caribbean
through Sat morning. Expect winds at near-gale force offshore of
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela during the nighttime and
early morning hours. On Fri night and early Sat morning, winds off
Colombia will peak at gale-force. Pulsing fresh to strong winds
and moderate to locally rough seas are expected in the Gulf of
Honduras nightly through Sat night. Fresh trades with rough seas
should persist east of the Lesser Antilles through midday today,
diminishing to moderate winds and seas thereafter through Sun.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends across the waters offshore SE GA/NE FL
to near Jacksonville, FL. An upper level shortwave over the region
is helping to enhance showers and thunderstorms N of the Bahamas.
An upper level low S of Bermuda is also enhancing showers and
thunderstorms in the region. The remainder of the Atlantic is
dominated by ridging, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weakening stationary front will
trigger some showers and thunderstorms with gusty winds east of
northeastern Florida through this evening. Otherwise, a ridge will
continue to dominate the forecast area through the weekend. Fresh
to strong easterly winds with locally rough seas are expected
near the northern coasts of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico each late
afternoon and night through Fri night. Moderate to locally fresh
trade winds and moderate seas are expected south of 22N through
Fri. A north-to- south aligned surface trough across the central
Atlantic will shift westward across the region early Fri through
late Sat, reaching 70W Sun morning. This will weaken the ridge and
lead to diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will
sink southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 05:44:17 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 25 Jun 2026 18:01:14 GMT - Thu, 25 Jun 2026 17:44:17 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 251744
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jun 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 25 Jun 2026 13:21:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
403
NOUS42 KNHC 251321
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT THU 25 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-025
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf