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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 18 Aug 2026 09:34:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 180933
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 24N, south of 19N,
    moving westward at about 10 kt. A few showers are noted near the
    wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 40W, south of
    18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
    associated with this wave at this time.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 62W, south
    of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed south of 19N and between 57W and 67W.

    A SW Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 80W, south of
    20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is present south of 15N and west of
    75W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and
    to 09N46W. The ITCZ extends from 09N46W to 10N58W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 06N to 15N
    and east of 37W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
    weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast, a weak high pressure pattern will support mostly
    gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
    induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds
    north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These
    winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the
    trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
    expected through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
    supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
    ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
    Caribbean waters will support fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
    much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
    Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
    and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low center north of the area
    near 37N49W southwestward to 31N51W to 26N63W and northwestward
    to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted ahead of the front. Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of
    5-8 ft are noted north of 26N and ahead of the front to 44W. The
    remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge that sustains moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas. However, fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft
    are found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and
    southern Western Sahara.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    stall and weaken into a trough today into tonight. Fresh winds in
    the vicinity of the front will diminish today. Otherwise, a weak
    pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds,
    locally moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the
    week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
    winds can be expected S of 22N.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 18 Aug 2026 09:34:19 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 180933
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0925 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 24N, south of 19N,
    moving westward at about 10 kt. A few showers are noted near the
    wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 40W, south of
    18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
    associated with this wave at this time.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 62W, south
    of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed south of 19N and between 57W and 67W.

    A SW Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 80W, south of
    20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is present south of 15N and west of
    75W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and
    to 09N46W. The ITCZ extends from 09N46W to 10N58W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 06N to 15N
    and east of 37W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
    weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast, a weak high pressure pattern will support mostly
    gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
    induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally strong winds
    north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These
    winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night as the
    trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
    expected through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
    supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
    ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the subtropical ridge centered north of the
    Caribbean waters will support fresh to strong easterly trade
    winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean through
    much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
    Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
    and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low center north of the area
    near 37N49W southwestward to 31N51W to 26N63W and northwestward
    to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted ahead of the front. Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of
    5-8 ft are noted north of 26N and ahead of the front to 44W. The
    remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge that sustains moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas. However, fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft
    are found in the far eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and
    southern Western Sahara.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
    stall and weaken into a trough today into tonight. Fresh winds in
    the vicinity of the front will diminish today. Otherwise, a weak
    pressure gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds,
    locally moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the
    week and into the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
    winds can be expected S of 22N.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 23:33:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 18 Aug 2026 13:00:32 GMT
  • Tue, 18 Aug 2026 11:33:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    960
    ABNT20 KNHC 181132
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue Aug 18 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:57:34 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    587
    NOUS42 KNHC 171356
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0955 AM EDT MON 17 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-078

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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