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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 28 Nov 2025 16:48:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 281648
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Nov 28 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains inland over the African continent. The
ITCZ extends westward from the coast of Sierra Leone near 08N13W
to the coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection
is from 09N to 14N between 27W and 49W, and from 05N to 09N
between 15W and 35W.
The extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough is enhancing
scattered moderate convection in the SW Caribbean from the coast
of Panama north to 13N between 74W and 82W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Strong high pressure continues to build across the Gulf in the
wake of the cold front that exited the basin earlier this morning.
Recent scatterometer and surface observations indicate fresh to
strong NE winds across the basin, including within the Straits of
Florida and the Yucatan Channel. Seas of 8-10 ft are across the
basin south of 26N, including within the Straits of Florida and
the Yucatan Channel. North of 26N, seas are 4-7 ft.
For the forecast, winds will diminish tonight as high pressure
settles into the region, but fresh to strong southerly flow will
develop in the NW Gulf Sat ahead of the next cold front. This
front will move offshore Texas late Sat night, then stall over the
NW basin through Mon before moving SE through the Gulf Mon night
and Tue.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cold front extends from central Cuba to northern Belize. The
latest satellite scatterometer data shows fresh to strong NE winds
north of the front in the far NW Caribbean, including within the
Yucatan Channel. Seas are analyzed as 8-10 ft north of the front,
including within the Yucatan Channel. Scattered showers are along
the frontal boundary. Ahead of the front, the pressure gradient
between high pressure over the central Atlantic and lower pressure
over Colombia continues to support fresh to strong trades and
8-10 ft seas across the central Caribbean. Elsewhere, trades are
mainly moderate with 4-7 ft seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
over the central Atlantic and lower pressure over the SW Caribbean
will sustain strong trades over the SW and south-central
Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, today. Moderate to
fresh trades are expected elsewhere in the eastern and central
basin through Sun. A cold front extending from western Cuba to the
NE Yucatan Peninsula is followed by fresh to strong NE winds and
rough seas. The front is expected to stall from central Cuba to
the Yucatan Peninsula this evening, then gradually lift N of the
area on Sat. A very weak pressure gradient across the region Mon
and Tue will lead to tranquil marine conditions.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N68W across the central Bahamas to
central Cuba. Recent satellite scatterometer data shows moderate
to fresh NW to N winds west of the front. Seas are 4-7 ft behind
the front, and scattered showers are along the frontal boundary.
Aside from a decaying stationary front and some weak surface
troughs in the central Atlantic, the basin is dominated by high
pressure centered just west of the Azores. Trades are gentle to
moderate, with 4-7 ft seas in open waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic cold front
will drift SE through tonight, then stall Sat and dissipate by
Sun. A tight pressure gradient in the wake of the front will
produce increasing NE winds across much of the forecast area Sat,
diminishing from west to east Sun. Fresh to strong SE winds will
develop across the N and central Florida offshore waters Mon night
ahead of the next cold front forecast to come off the NE Florida
coast Tue night.
$$
Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 28 Nov 2025 16:48:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 281648
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Nov 28 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains inland over the African continent. The
ITCZ extends westward from the coast of Sierra Leone near 08N13W
to the coast of Guyana near 07N59W. Scattered moderate convection
is from 09N to 14N between 27W and 49W, and from 05N to 09N
between 15W and 35W.
The extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough is enhancing
scattered moderate convection in the SW Caribbean from the coast
of Panama north to 13N between 74W and 82W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Strong high pressure continues to build across the Gulf in the
wake of the cold front that exited the basin earlier this morning.
Recent scatterometer and surface observations indicate fresh to
strong NE winds across the basin, including within the Straits of
Florida and the Yucatan Channel. Seas of 8-10 ft are across the
basin south of 26N, including within the Straits of Florida and
the Yucatan Channel. North of 26N, seas are 4-7 ft.
For the forecast, winds will diminish tonight as high pressure
settles into the region, but fresh to strong southerly flow will
develop in the NW Gulf Sat ahead of the next cold front. This
front will move offshore Texas late Sat night, then stall over the
NW basin through Mon before moving SE through the Gulf Mon night
and Tue.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cold front extends from central Cuba to northern Belize. The
latest satellite scatterometer data shows fresh to strong NE winds
north of the front in the far NW Caribbean, including within the
Yucatan Channel. Seas are analyzed as 8-10 ft north of the front,
including within the Yucatan Channel. Scattered showers are along
the frontal boundary. Ahead of the front, the pressure gradient
between high pressure over the central Atlantic and lower pressure
over Colombia continues to support fresh to strong trades and
8-10 ft seas across the central Caribbean. Elsewhere, trades are
mainly moderate with 4-7 ft seas.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
over the central Atlantic and lower pressure over the SW Caribbean
will sustain strong trades over the SW and south-central
Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, today. Moderate to
fresh trades are expected elsewhere in the eastern and central
basin through Sun. A cold front extending from western Cuba to the
NE Yucatan Peninsula is followed by fresh to strong NE winds and
rough seas. The front is expected to stall from central Cuba to
the Yucatan Peninsula this evening, then gradually lift N of the
area on Sat. A very weak pressure gradient across the region Mon
and Tue will lead to tranquil marine conditions.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from 31N68W across the central Bahamas to
central Cuba. Recent satellite scatterometer data shows moderate
to fresh NW to N winds west of the front. Seas are 4-7 ft behind
the front, and scattered showers are along the frontal boundary.
Aside from a decaying stationary front and some weak surface
troughs in the central Atlantic, the basin is dominated by high
pressure centered just west of the Azores. Trades are gentle to
moderate, with 4-7 ft seas in open waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic cold front
will drift SE through tonight, then stall Sat and dissipate by
Sun. A tight pressure gradient in the wake of the front will
produce increasing NE winds across much of the forecast area Sat,
diminishing from west to east Sun. Fresh to strong SE winds will
develop across the N and central Florida offshore waters Mon night
ahead of the next cold front forecast to come off the NE Florida
coast Tue night.
$$
Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 30 Nov 2025 05:13:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 28 Nov 2025 18:50:07 GMT - Fri, 28 Nov 2025 17:13:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 281713
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Fri Nov 28 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 28 Nov 2025 16:29:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 281628
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1130 AM EST FRI 28 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-181
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE MISSIONS ALONG TRACK 66 FOR
THE 01/0000Z AND 01/1200Z SYNOPTIC TIMES.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
