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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 13 Jul 2026 22:15:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
677
AXNT20 KNHC 132215
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC tUE Jul 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 81W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection prevails from 12N to 17N between 80W and 87W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 12N20W then to 07N40W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to the coast of Guyana near 08N59W.
Scattered showers are noted along the monsoon trough and E of
45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers over the north-
central and northeast Gulf. The Atlantic ridge extends across
central Florida toward Louisiana. This pattern is supporting
moderate SE winds across the southwest Gulf with 2-4 ft seas,
and gentle breezes elsewhere with 1-3 ft seas.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the area
through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern Gulf
waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean forces
strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds across the central
and SW Caribbean. Seas of 8-10 ft are occurring in the central to
SW Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate seas are
noted in the Windward Passage and the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate
to locally fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are evident in the
eastern Caribbean and the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will
support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the central
Caribbean through the week. East winds will pulse fresh to
locally strong each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE Bahamas and
between 70W and 80W. Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas
are occurring south of 22N and west of 40W. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain dominant through
the forecast period. The weather pattern will support moderate
to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 13 Jul 2026 22:15:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
677
AXNT20 KNHC 132215
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC tUE Jul 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 81W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong
convection prevails from 12N to 17N between 80W and 87W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 12N20W then to 07N40W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to the coast of Guyana near 08N59W.
Scattered showers are noted along the monsoon trough and E of
45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers over the north-
central and northeast Gulf. The Atlantic ridge extends across
central Florida toward Louisiana. This pattern is supporting
moderate SE winds across the southwest Gulf with 2-4 ft seas,
and gentle breezes elsewhere with 1-3 ft seas.
For the forecast, a stationary front will prevail just N of the area
through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern Gulf
waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning, and
locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds will prevail.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean forces
strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds across the central
and SW Caribbean. Seas of 8-10 ft are occurring in the central to
SW Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and moderate seas are
noted in the Windward Passage and the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate
to locally fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are evident in the
eastern Caribbean and the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will
support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the central
Caribbean through the week. East winds will pulse fresh to
locally strong each evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward
Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
supporting fresh easterly trade winds south of the SE Bahamas and
between 70W and 80W. Moderate easterly winds and moderate seas
are occurring south of 22N and west of 40W. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain dominant through
the forecast period. The weather pattern will support moderate
to fresh trades south of 23N, with gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 15 Jul 2026 05:19:55 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 13 Jul 2026 22:15:09 GMT - Mon, 13 Jul 2026 17:19:55 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
749
ABNT20 KNHC 131719
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 13 Jul 2026 13:30:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131330
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT MON 13 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-043
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf