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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 22:31:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
595
AXNT20 KNHC 022231
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are present from 06N to 10N and between 30W and
35W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
active over northeastern Venezuela.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are active off Nicaragua and Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and dives southwestward to a 1011 mb low
pressure near 16N30W and then to 10N45W. No significant convection
is evident other than already described in the Tropical Wave
section.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front reaches from Mobile Bay, Alabama across the far
northwest Gulf to Galveston Bay, Texas. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active across the northern Gulf from Texas to
the Big Bend area of Florida. The Atlantic ridge extends east to
west along roughly 24N, from the Florida Straits to the coast of
Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. This pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh SW to W winds north of 28N where seas are 3-5
ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in control
of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to
moderate winds into the upcoming week. The exceptions will be
fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far
northern Gulf, where a cold front approaching the coast will
help to induce moderate to fresh W to SW winds through Mon.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected over
the eastern Gulf, and over the central Gulf N of 25N between 87W
and 92W into the upcoming week as a mid to upper-level trough and
a cold front approach the Gulf coast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The westward- building subtropical high pressure system
positioned over the central Atlantic forces fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the central basin through much of the week
ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras at
night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, near 82W is helping to
enhance numerous showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern
Caribbean. The wave will move inland Central America late tonight
into early Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
between the northern Bahamas and Bermuda. Elsewhere, the tropical
Atlantic is dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered
near 33N56W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds
and seas of 4-6 ft north of 28N and west of 75W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across much of
the remaining tropical Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pattern will change little through Tue,
then lift north to central Florida on Wed and north of 31N on
Thu. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a cold front
moving through the southeastern U.S. will continue to support
fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the majority of the
area well into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will
pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 22:31:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
595
AXNT20 KNHC 022231
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are present from 06N to 10N and between 30W and
35W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
active over northeastern Venezuela.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
are active off Nicaragua and Costa Rica.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and dives southwestward to a 1011 mb low
pressure near 16N30W and then to 10N45W. No significant convection
is evident other than already described in the Tropical Wave
section.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front reaches from Mobile Bay, Alabama across the far
northwest Gulf to Galveston Bay, Texas. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active across the northern Gulf from Texas to
the Big Bend area of Florida. The Atlantic ridge extends east to
west along roughly 24N, from the Florida Straits to the coast of
Tamaulipas in northeast Mexico. This pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh SW to W winds north of 28N where seas are 3-5
ft, and gentle to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in control
of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to
moderate winds into the upcoming week. The exceptions will be
fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far
northern Gulf, where a cold front approaching the coast will
help to induce moderate to fresh W to SW winds through Mon.
Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are expected over
the eastern Gulf, and over the central Gulf N of 25N between 87W
and 92W into the upcoming week as a mid to upper-level trough and
a cold front approach the Gulf coast.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The westward- building subtropical high pressure system
positioned over the central Atlantic forces fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the central basin through much of the week
ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras at
night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, near 82W is helping to
enhance numerous showers and thunderstorms over the southwestern
Caribbean. The wave will move inland Central America late tonight
into early Mon.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
between the northern Bahamas and Bermuda. Elsewhere, the tropical
Atlantic is dominated by a 1026 mb high pressure system centered
near 33N56W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds
and seas of 4-6 ft north of 28N and west of 75W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across much of
the remaining tropical Atlantic.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pattern will change little through Tue,
then lift north to central Florida on Wed and north of 31N on
Thu. The pressure gradient between the ridge and a cold front
moving through the southeastern U.S. will continue to support
fresh to strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the majority of the
area well into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will
pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 11:07:28 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 03 Aug 2026 03:29:05 GMT - Sun, 02 Aug 2026 23:07:28 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 022307
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 13:13:21 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
590
NOUS42 KNHC 021313
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT SUN 02 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-063
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf