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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 18 May 2026 09:59:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
379
AXNT20 KNHC 180959
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon May 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W, south of 11N,
moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted south of 07N and between 19W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 13N,
moving westward around 10 kt. No significant convection is
observed near the wave axis.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is present
near the wave axis in the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W, then continues
southwestward to 04N20W. The ITCZ extends from 04N23W to 01N41W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 05N between 28N
and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a broad subtropical ridge over the
Atlantic and lower pressure over Mexico sustain fresh SE winds
and moderate seas over much of the western and south- central Gulf
waters. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail. No convection is present in the basin.
Agricultural fires in SE Mexico and Central America are causing
hazy conditions in the western Gulf waters, with the worst
conditions occurring in the Bay of Campeche. Mariners are advised
to use caution due to decreased visibilities in these waters.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will extend
a ridge over and just north of the Gulf through late week. Expect
moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this week
between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico. Also
expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings through mid-week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft is sustaining scattered moderate convection in
the vicinity of Hispaniola, the Windward Passage, and in the
waters between Cuba and Jamaica. A tight pressure gradient between
the subtropical high to the north and low pressure over Colombia
is supporting strong NE to E winds and 7 to 10 ft in the central
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
continue to support fresh to strong trades across the central
Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras into Wed, with moderate to
fresh trades across the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough
seas can be expected in the central Caribbean during this time.
Large E swell resulting in rough seas will impact the tropical
Atlantic waters into Tue night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from 31N59W to 25N71W.
Coupling with an upper-level trough over the western Atlantic,
scattered moderate to isolated convection is occurring north of
21N and between 65W and 73W. Most of the basin is dominated by an
extensive subtropical ridge centered near 31N36W. The pressure
gradient between this high and low pressure along the monsoon
trough and ITCZ is leading to fresh trades S of 23N, with gentle
winds to the north. Moderate seas generally prevail, although an
area of rough seas exist from 05N to 22N W of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and rough seas
with E swell east of the Leeward Islands and N of Hispaniola
today. A weak surface trough from E of Bermuda to around 25N72W
will dissipate today, leaving tranquil marine conditions in place
through mid- week.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 18 May 2026 09:59:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
379
AXNT20 KNHC 180959
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon May 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W, south of 11N,
moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted south of 07N and between 19W and 25W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 57W, south of 13N,
moving westward around 10 kt. No significant convection is
observed near the wave axis.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 81W, south of 17N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. No significant convection is present
near the wave axis in the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W, then continues
southwestward to 04N20W. The ITCZ extends from 04N23W to 01N41W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N to 05N between 28N
and 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a broad subtropical ridge over the
Atlantic and lower pressure over Mexico sustain fresh SE winds
and moderate seas over much of the western and south- central Gulf
waters. Elsewhere, mainly moderate winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail. No convection is present in the basin.
Agricultural fires in SE Mexico and Central America are causing
hazy conditions in the western Gulf waters, with the worst
conditions occurring in the Bay of Campeche. Mariners are advised
to use caution due to decreased visibilities in these waters.
For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will extend
a ridge over and just north of the Gulf through late week. Expect
moderate to fresh SE winds over the western Gulf early this week
between the high pressure and lower pressure over Mexico. Also
expect fresh to strong wind pulses off the northwest Yucatan
peninsula during the evenings through mid-week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft is sustaining scattered moderate convection in
the vicinity of Hispaniola, the Windward Passage, and in the
waters between Cuba and Jamaica. A tight pressure gradient between
the subtropical high to the north and low pressure over Colombia
is supporting strong NE to E winds and 7 to 10 ft in the central
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast, the aforementioned pressure gradient will
continue to support fresh to strong trades across the central
Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras into Wed, with moderate to
fresh trades across the remainder of the forecast waters. Rough
seas can be expected in the central Caribbean during this time.
Large E swell resulting in rough seas will impact the tropical
Atlantic waters into Tue night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from 31N59W to 25N71W.
Coupling with an upper-level trough over the western Atlantic,
scattered moderate to isolated convection is occurring north of
21N and between 65W and 73W. Most of the basin is dominated by an
extensive subtropical ridge centered near 31N36W. The pressure
gradient between this high and low pressure along the monsoon
trough and ITCZ is leading to fresh trades S of 23N, with gentle
winds to the north. Moderate seas generally prevail, although an
area of rough seas exist from 05N to 22N W of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure centered over the
central Atlantic will support fresh trade winds and rough seas
with E swell east of the Leeward Islands and N of Hispaniola
today. A weak surface trough from E of Bermuda to around 25N72W
will dissipate today, leaving tranquil marine conditions in place
through mid- week.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 19 May 2026 23:26:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 18 May 2026 11:40:14 GMT - Mon, 18 May 2026 11:26:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 181126
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon May 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf