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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 10 Aug 2026 20:37:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
130
AXNT20 KNHC 102037
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 28W from 03N to 17N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N
to 13N between 25W and 35W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 44W from 03N to 17N, moving
west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N
to 14N between 45W and 50W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 57W from 05N to 23N, moving
west at 15 kt. No significant convection currently accompanies
the wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 76W S of 20N, moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are in the vicinity of the wave N
of 17N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N50W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N50W to 10N55W. Aside from the convection
mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered moderate
convection is noted from 07N to 12N between 17W and 22W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High westward across the
northern Gulf. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and slight seas,
prevail across the discussion area.
For the forecast, the ridge will dominate the general wind flow
pattern across basin through Fri before it reorganizes to a weak
high center over the NE Gulf through Sat night. Gentle to moderate
E to SE winds will generally prevail across the basin, with the
exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda High and lower
pressure in northern South America is supporting fresh to strong
winds, and moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas, prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
South America will continue to support fresh to strong trades over
the central portion of the basin through Wed night. The ridge
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu allowing for the
trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
portion of the basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach
near-gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night, except Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the the Windward
Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1023 mb high centered near 30N67W and a 1023 mb high centered near
27N41W. Light to gentle winds generally prevail over the waters N
of 22N, with slight to moderate seas. Gentle to moderate winds,
and moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will shift southward to
along 28N Tue and to near 26N by Thu and change little into Sat.
The gradient will tighten over the southern portion leading to an
increase of the trades from the Bahamas eastward. Fresh trades
will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each night.
Of note, a tropical wave emerging off the coast of west Africa is
expected to interact with an area of low pressure that is located
a few hundred nautical miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
more conducive for development by the middle of the week, and a
tropical depression could form during the latter half of this week
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 10 Aug 2026 20:37:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
130
AXNT20 KNHC 102037
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 28W from 03N to 17N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N
to 13N between 25W and 35W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 44W from 03N to 17N, moving
west at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 09N
to 14N between 45W and 50W.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 57W from 05N to 23N, moving
west at 15 kt. No significant convection currently accompanies
the wave.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 76W S of 20N, moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are in the vicinity of the wave N
of 17N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N50W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N50W to 10N55W. Aside from the convection
mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered moderate
convection is noted from 07N to 12N between 17W and 22W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High westward across the
northern Gulf. Gentle to locally moderate winds, and slight seas,
prevail across the discussion area.
For the forecast, the ridge will dominate the general wind flow
pattern across basin through Fri before it reorganizes to a weak
high center over the NE Gulf through Sat night. Gentle to moderate
E to SE winds will generally prevail across the basin, with the
exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb Bermuda High and lower
pressure in northern South America is supporting fresh to strong
winds, and moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean.
Gentle to moderate winds, and slight to moderate seas, prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
ridging over the western Atlantic and lower pressure in northern
South America will continue to support fresh to strong trades over
the central portion of the basin through Wed night. The ridge
will gradually shift southward to near 26N by Thu allowing for the
trades to significantly expand in coverage to cover the eastern
portion of the basin into early Sat. Winds are expected to reach
near-gale force offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night, except Wed night. Winds will pulse up to fresh to
strong speeds during the evenings and at night in the the Windward
Passage through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
trades will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
1023 mb high centered near 30N67W and a 1023 mb high centered near
27N41W. Light to gentle winds generally prevail over the waters N
of 22N, with slight to moderate seas. Gentle to moderate winds,
and moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will shift southward to
along 28N Tue and to near 26N by Thu and change little into Sat.
The gradient will tighten over the southern portion leading to an
increase of the trades from the Bahamas eastward. Fresh trades
will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward
Passage through the period, pulsing to strong speeds each night.
Of note, a tropical wave emerging off the coast of west Africa is
expected to interact with an area of low pressure that is located
a few hundred nautical miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
more conducive for development by the middle of the week, and a
tropical depression could form during the latter half of this week
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 12 Aug 2026 05:44:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 10 Aug 2026 21:35:46 GMT - Mon, 10 Aug 2026 17:44:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 101744
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest of the
Cabo Verde Islands is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. As this low moves slowly westward, a tropical wave
emerging off the coast of west Africa is expected to interact
with the system in a couple of days. Environmental conditions are
forecast to be more conducive for development by mid-week, and a
tropical depression could form during the latter half of this week
while the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the
central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
wave are located about midway between the coast of west Africa and
the Lesser Antilles. Some gradual development of this system is
possible through mid-week while it moves quickly westward across the
central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are expected to
become less favorable for development later this week as the system
approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Western Subtropical Atlantic:
A trough of low pressure located a few hundred miles north of
Bermuda is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Some development of this system is possible during the next couple
of days while it moves quickly eastward, well to the north of
Bermuda, across the western and central subtropical Atlantic. The
system is forecast to reach cooler waters later this week, ending
its chances of formation after Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 10 Aug 2026 14:43:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 101443
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT MON 10 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-071
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 12.0N 55.0W FOR 12/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (CENTRAL PACIFIC - CP93)
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
A. 12/0000Z
B. NOAA9 01AAC SURV
C. 11/1730Z
D. NA
E. NA
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
CP93 FOR 13/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 12/1730Z.
B. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 15.0N 144.0W FOR
13/0000Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
13/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 12/2000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf