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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 09:59:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270959
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jun 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0955 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressure over
Colombia will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and
in the Gulf of Venezuela to peak at gale-force this morning, and
again tonight into Sun morning. These winds are forecast to
produce seas in the range of 12 to 15 ft north of Colombia. Please
refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the
National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has is near 36W from 11N
southwestward, and moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is present south of 10N
between 27W and 45W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W, south of 20N, and
moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed south of 14N between 50W and 62W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 86W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is enhancing the shower activity
in Central America and along the eastern Pacific coast.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 09N25W. The ITCZ
extends from 09N25W to 08N34W and then from 03N40W to 00N49W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring east
of 18W and north of 04N.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection continues to
affect the Bay of Campeche as a tropical wave passes by. A weak
high pressure system over the eastern Gulf waters supports gentle
to moderate SE-S winds and seas of 3-5 ft, west of 90W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak ridge will persist over the Gulf region
through the forecast period. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic
winds will generally prevail across the basin during this time,
except for fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the
northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly and moderate to locally
fresh SE to S winds across the northwestern Gulf through the
weekend. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink southward
into the northeast Gulf Mon night and Tue and gradually
dissipate.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning off
Colombia.
Outside of the Gale Warning area, the subtropical ridge over the
central Atlantic is forcing fresh to near gale-force easterly
trade winds and moderate to rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean
and the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a persistent subtropical ridge centered between the
Azores and Bermuda will support fresh to strong easterly trade
winds and rough to locally very rough seas in the central Caribbean
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale- force
offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela during the
nighttime and early morning hours today and tonight. Elsewhere,
pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
are expected in the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Fresh to strong NE
winds and moderate to locally rough seas will briefly affect the
Windward Passage late this afternoon into early Sun. Moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast across the
remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A couple of surface troughs located along 64W and 54W are
producing scattered showers north of 22N and between 45W and 65W.
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are also noted off SE
Florida and the NW Bahamas. The tropical Atlantic is dominated by
a broad subtropical ridge that supports moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a persistent subtropical ridge will
dominate the forecast area through the weekend. Fresh to strong
easterly winds, with locally rough seas are expected offshore
Hispaniola expected this afternoon and tonight. A nearly north-to-
south aligned surface trough located near 64W will shift westward
across the region through Sun, reaching near 70W by Sun morning
while dissipating. This will weaken the ridge and lead to
diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will sink
southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night and
gradually dissipate.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 09:59:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270959
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jun 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0955 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
Atlantic high pressure and relatively lower pressure over
Colombia will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and
in the Gulf of Venezuela to peak at gale-force this morning, and
again tonight into Sun morning. These winds are forecast to
produce seas in the range of 12 to 15 ft north of Colombia. Please
refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the
National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has is near 36W from 11N
southwestward, and moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is present south of 10N
between 27W and 45W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 54W, south of 20N, and
moving westward near 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
observed south of 14N between 50W and 62W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 86W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave is enhancing the shower activity
in Central America and along the eastern Pacific coast.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 09N25W. The ITCZ
extends from 09N25W to 08N34W and then from 03N40W to 00N49W.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring east
of 18W and north of 04N.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection continues to
affect the Bay of Campeche as a tropical wave passes by. A weak
high pressure system over the eastern Gulf waters supports gentle
to moderate SE-S winds and seas of 3-5 ft, west of 90W. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak ridge will persist over the Gulf region
through the forecast period. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic
winds will generally prevail across the basin during this time,
except for fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the
northwestern Yucatan Peninsula nightly and moderate to locally
fresh SE to S winds across the northwestern Gulf through the
weekend. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink southward
into the northeast Gulf Mon night and Tue and gradually
dissipate.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning off
Colombia.
Outside of the Gale Warning area, the subtropical ridge over the
central Atlantic is forcing fresh to near gale-force easterly
trade winds and moderate to rough seas over much of the central
Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern Caribbean
and the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a persistent subtropical ridge centered between the
Azores and Bermuda will support fresh to strong easterly trade
winds and rough to locally very rough seas in the central Caribbean
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale- force
offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela during the
nighttime and early morning hours today and tonight. Elsewhere,
pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
are expected in the Gulf of Honduras tonight. Fresh to strong NE
winds and moderate to locally rough seas will briefly affect the
Windward Passage late this afternoon into early Sun. Moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast across the
remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A couple of surface troughs located along 64W and 54W are
producing scattered showers north of 22N and between 45W and 65W.
A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are also noted off SE
Florida and the NW Bahamas. The tropical Atlantic is dominated by
a broad subtropical ridge that supports moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, a persistent subtropical ridge will
dominate the forecast area through the weekend. Fresh to strong
easterly winds, with locally rough seas are expected offshore
Hispaniola expected this afternoon and tonight. A nearly north-to-
south aligned surface trough located near 64W will shift westward
across the region through Sun, reaching near 70W by Sun morning
while dissipating. This will weaken the ridge and lead to
diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will sink
southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night and
gradually dissipate.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 28 Jun 2026 23:44:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 27 Jun 2026 12:00:05 GMT - Sat, 27 Jun 2026 11:44:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 271144
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Off of the southeastern coast of the U. S.:
A low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the southeastern
coast of the United States along the western end of a frontal
system early next week. Slow development of this system will be
possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 26 Jun 2026 13:50:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT FRI 26 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-026
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf