2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 01 Apr 2026 10:03:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011003
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Apr 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western and Central Atlantic Large Swell:
    A shear line extends from 31N44W to 20N71W. Residual large NE
    swell along with wind waves are sustaining seas of 12 to 15 ft up
    to 300 nm northwest of the shear line east of 68W. As both swell
    and wind waves decline further through today, this should allow
    seas to drop below 12 ft by this evening.

    Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center, at the following website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtm for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is confined to Africa. The ITCZ extends from
    02N17W to 04S38W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    observed along the ITCZ and E of 26W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A broad subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends
    southwestward across northern Florida to near Tampico, Mexico.
    Fresh to strong E winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present across
    the Florida Straits. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 3 to 5
    ft seas prevail north of the Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern
    Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas at 2
    to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate
    seas are expected over the eastern Gulf through Sat night. Over
    the western half of the Gulf, moderate to fresh SE winds are
    forecast, except for strong E to SE winds off the northern Yucatan
    Peninsula at night. A cold front may enter the western Gulf
    Sunday with strong winds and rough seas expected in its
    vicinity.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Strong to near gale-force ENE trades and 8 to 10 ft seas are
    evident off northwestern Colombia, while fresh to strong NE trades
    and seas of 4 to 7 ft dominate the lee of Cuba, north-central and
    the rest of the south-central basin. Fresh to strong ENE winds
    and 7 to 9 ft seas are noted in and southwest of the Windward
    Passage. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft
    prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N
    of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
    winds and rough seas offshore Colombia through the forecast
    period. This pattern will also support fresh to strong NE winds in
    the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of
    Hispaniola through Thu night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the Special Features section for information about the
    large swell.

    A shear line is analyzed from 31N44W to 20N71W. Scattered showers
    are found along the shear line mainly between 50W-63W. Besides
    the very rough seas mentioned in the Special Features section,
    fresh to strong NE winds and 8 to 12 ft seas are up to 300 nm
    northwest of the boundary, except gentle to moderate SE winds with
    5 to 8 ft seas are found north of 27N and west of 72W. To the
    east, north of 20N between 35W and the shear line, moderate to
    fresh NE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas in large northerly swells
    prevail. Gentle to moderate NE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas exist for
    the remainder of Atlantic from 00N to 20N between 35W and the
    Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure will prevail
    across the western Atlantic into this weekend. Fresh to strong NE
    to E winds, and rough to very rough seas, are expected across
    most of the offshore forecast waters through the remainder of the
    week. Winds will diminish this weekend with seas slowly subsiding.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 01 Apr 2026 10:03:31 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011003
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Apr 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western and Central Atlantic Large Swell:
    A shear line extends from 31N44W to 20N71W. Residual large NE
    swell along with wind waves are sustaining seas of 12 to 15 ft up
    to 300 nm northwest of the shear line east of 68W. As both swell
    and wind waves decline further through today, this should allow
    seas to drop below 12 ft by this evening.

    Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center, at the following website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtm for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is confined to Africa. The ITCZ extends from
    02N17W to 04S38W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    observed along the ITCZ and E of 26W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A broad subtropical ridge over the western Atlantic extends
    southwestward across northern Florida to near Tampico, Mexico.
    Fresh to strong E winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present across
    the Florida Straits. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 3 to 5
    ft seas prevail north of the Yucatan Peninsula and in the eastern
    Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas at 2
    to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate
    seas are expected over the eastern Gulf through Sat night. Over
    the western half of the Gulf, moderate to fresh SE winds are
    forecast, except for strong E to SE winds off the northern Yucatan
    Peninsula at night. A cold front may enter the western Gulf
    Sunday with strong winds and rough seas expected in its
    vicinity.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Strong to near gale-force ENE trades and 8 to 10 ft seas are
    evident off northwestern Colombia, while fresh to strong NE trades
    and seas of 4 to 7 ft dominate the lee of Cuba, north-central and
    the rest of the south-central basin. Fresh to strong ENE winds
    and 7 to 9 ft seas are noted in and southwest of the Windward
    Passage. Gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 3 to 5 ft
    prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N
    of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
    winds and rough seas offshore Colombia through the forecast
    period. This pattern will also support fresh to strong NE winds in
    the lee side of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and south of
    Hispaniola through Thu night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the Special Features section for information about the
    large swell.

    A shear line is analyzed from 31N44W to 20N71W. Scattered showers
    are found along the shear line mainly between 50W-63W. Besides
    the very rough seas mentioned in the Special Features section,
    fresh to strong NE winds and 8 to 12 ft seas are up to 300 nm
    northwest of the boundary, except gentle to moderate SE winds with
    5 to 8 ft seas are found north of 27N and west of 72W. To the
    east, north of 20N between 35W and the shear line, moderate to
    fresh NE winds and 7 to 9 ft seas in large northerly swells
    prevail. Gentle to moderate NE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas exist for
    the remainder of Atlantic from 00N to 20N between 35W and the
    Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure will prevail
    across the western Atlantic into this weekend. Fresh to strong NE
    to E winds, and rough to very rough seas, are expected across
    most of the offshore forecast waters through the remainder of the
    week. Winds will diminish this weekend with seas slowly subsiding.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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