SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 23:16:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
622
AXNT20 KNHC 112316
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to support strong to
near gale-force trade winds over the south-central Caribbean,
including the Gulf of Venezuela, into early next week. Latest
satellite scatterometer data showed minimal gale-force winds off
the north coast of Colombia, where satellite altimeter data
showed seas of 12 to 15 ft. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia again tonight through Sun morning.
Rough to very rough seas of 12 to 14 ft are expected with these
winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along 65W
south of 18N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are near the wave axis. The wave appears
to enhance convection over northern Venezuela.
Another tropical wave is along 91W S of 21N affecting SE Mexico
and western Guatemala. Please, see the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N31W. The
ITCZ continues from 09N31W to 06N50W to the coast of Guyana near
08N60W. Convection is limited across the area.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across Florida into the Gulf region. Associated southeasterly
low level flow continues to transport abundant low level moisture
into the basin. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
are noted along the coastal waters on the N Gulf states. Similar
convective activity is occurring over north-central Florida and
the SE Gulf. The subtropical ridge is supporting light to gentle
winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft across the waters east of 88W.
Gentle to moderate E to SE winds generally prevail west of 88W,
where seas are also 2 to 4 ft.
For the forecast, a cold front will become stationary just N of
the area early next week, enhancing thunderstorms across the far
northern Gulf. Mariners in this portion of the basin can expect
gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally higher seas near the
stronger thunderstorms. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate,
supporting mainly gentle to moderate SE winds. Fresh to strong
easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia. A Gale Warning is
in effect.
As previously mentioned, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low supports fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean, with the strongest winds reaching minimal
gale-force offshore Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are with
these winds. Fresh to strong winds are also noted in the Gulf of
Honduras. Moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas dominate
the eastern Caribbean. Rough seas, generated by the strong winds
in the central Caribbean, are reaching the SW part of the basin
where moderate to fresh trades prevail. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are over the SW Caribbean. Convection
has flared-up over the northern Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the basin and lower environmental pressures over northern South
America supports strong to near gale-force easterly trades and rough
seas over the central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage.
This pattern will persist through next week. Winds will pulse to
gale-force off Colombia tonight. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras
will pulse to strong each evening through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low is spinning across eastern Cuba generating
some shower activity. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to
induce scattered showers and thunderstorms across the waters
N of 25N between 52W and 63W. Similar convective activity is
noted N of 28N between 70W and 75W. The rest of the tropical
Atlantic is under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge
that sustains fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate
seas, except for locally rough seas to 8 ft off Haiti and eastern
Cuba, and across the waters east of the Lesser Antilles.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the period, supporting moderate to fresh trades
south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north. Pulsing
strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola and in
the Windward Passage.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 23:16:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
622
AXNT20 KNHC 112316
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jul 11 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low will continue to support strong to
near gale-force trade winds over the south-central Caribbean,
including the Gulf of Venezuela, into early next week. Latest
satellite scatterometer data showed minimal gale-force winds off
the north coast of Colombia, where satellite altimeter data
showed seas of 12 to 15 ft. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia again tonight through Sun morning.
Rough to very rough seas of 12 to 14 ft are expected with these
winds.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along 65W
south of 18N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are near the wave axis. The wave appears
to enhance convection over northern Venezuela.
Another tropical wave is along 91W S of 21N affecting SE Mexico
and western Guatemala. Please, see the Eastern Pacific Tropical
Weather Discussion for more details.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N31W. The
ITCZ continues from 09N31W to 06N50W to the coast of Guyana near
08N60W. Convection is limited across the area.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across Florida into the Gulf region. Associated southeasterly
low level flow continues to transport abundant low level moisture
into the basin. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
are noted along the coastal waters on the N Gulf states. Similar
convective activity is occurring over north-central Florida and
the SE Gulf. The subtropical ridge is supporting light to gentle
winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft across the waters east of 88W.
Gentle to moderate E to SE winds generally prevail west of 88W,
where seas are also 2 to 4 ft.
For the forecast, a cold front will become stationary just N of
the area early next week, enhancing thunderstorms across the far
northern Gulf. Mariners in this portion of the basin can expect
gusty winds, frequent lightning, and locally higher seas near the
stronger thunderstorms. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate,
supporting mainly gentle to moderate SE winds. Fresh to strong
easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula each
night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia. A Gale Warning is
in effect.
As previously mentioned, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian Low supports fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean, with the strongest winds reaching minimal
gale-force offshore Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are with
these winds. Fresh to strong winds are also noted in the Gulf of
Honduras. Moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas dominate
the eastern Caribbean. Rough seas, generated by the strong winds
in the central Caribbean, are reaching the SW part of the basin
where moderate to fresh trades prevail. Scattered showers, with
embedded thunderstorms, are over the SW Caribbean. Convection
has flared-up over the northern Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the basin and lower environmental pressures over northern South
America supports strong to near gale-force easterly trades and rough
seas over the central Caribbean, including the Windward Passage.
This pattern will persist through next week. Winds will pulse to
gale-force off Colombia tonight. Trades over the Gulf of Honduras
will pulse to strong each evening through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low is spinning across eastern Cuba generating
some shower activity. A diffluent pattern aloft is helping to
induce scattered showers and thunderstorms across the waters
N of 25N between 52W and 63W. Similar convective activity is
noted N of 28N between 70W and 75W. The rest of the tropical
Atlantic is under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge
that sustains fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate
seas, except for locally rough seas to 8 ft off Haiti and eastern
Cuba, and across the waters east of the Lesser Antilles.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the period, supporting moderate to fresh trades
south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north. Pulsing
strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola and in
the Windward Passage.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 13 Jul 2026 11:04:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 12 Jul 2026 00:40:18 GMT - Sat, 11 Jul 2026 23:04:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 112304
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 11 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 11 Jul 2026 13:46:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111346
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT SAT 11 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-041
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf