2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 20 Jun 2026 05:05:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 200505
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Jun 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 19W, S of 16N. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N and E of 25W.

    A tropical wave is along 34W S of 16N moving west at 15 to 20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 10N between 30W and
    40W.

    Another tropical wave is along 55W S of 18N moving west at around
    20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 08N to 12N
    between 48W and 57W. Similar convection is seen inland over NE
    South America.

    A tropical wave is moving across the Caribbean at 15 to 20 kt.
    Its axis is along 71W S of 17N. The wave appears to enhance
    convection over western Venezuela.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic off the coast of
    Mauritania, and continues southwestward to near 08N27W, then
    westward to 07N41W. The ITCZ extends from 07N41W to 07N53W. Most
    of the convective activity across the area is related to the
    tropical waves described above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Ridging stemming from high pressure in the Atlantic expands into
    the Gulf. The interactions between this ridge and a trough along
    the western Yucatan Peninsula supports fresh to strong trades
    pulsing along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Moderate to fresh trades prevail across much of the Gulf W of 90W,
    while gentle to moderate or weaker winds prevail E of 90W with a
    1018 mb high analyzed in the eastern Gulf. Seas are 4-7 ft across
    much of the basin, except for the far eastern Gulf where slight
    seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring in the far SE Gulf as an upper level shortwave trough
    moves over and just N of the region.

    For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure extends from the
    Atlantic westward across Florida to the central Gulf. The pressure
    gradient between the high pressure and relatively lower pressures
    over Texas and northeastern Mexico will generally support mostly
    fresh southerly winds over the western and central Gulf. The fresh
    winds over the western and central Gulf will diminish to gentle
    to moderate speeds early next week with slight to moderate seas.
    Weak high pressure over the eastern Gulf will support light to
    anticyclonic winds and slight seas there through late Mon. The
    high pressure will become established over the central Gulf by
    midweek, with similar conditions expected over just about the
    entire basin at that time.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure over the central
    Atlantic and the Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades and
    6-8 ft seas across the central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
    Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas prevail in the
    eastern and NW Caribbean. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
    2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail north of the area
    into next week. The pressure gradient between the area of high
    pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
    the forecast period, with highest winds and seas expected off the
    coast of Colombia. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to
    rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through
    Mon, pulsing briefly to near gale- force tonight. Moderate to
    fresh winds are expected over much of the remainder of the
    Caribbean through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
    Lesser Antilles. Please see the Tropical Waves section for more
    details.

    High pressure dominates the Atlantic forecast region, with a 1024
    mb center near 28N58W. Flow around this high and the associated
    ridge axis supports moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    across much of the Atlantic S of 20N as well as over the waters
    between the Turks and Caicos Islands and Hispaniola. A recent
    scatterometer pass confirmed fresh to locally strong N to NE winds
    in a region from 18N to 25N and E of 20W. Gentle to moderate or
    weaker winds prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring N of the Bahamas as an upper level
    shortwave trough moves over and just N of the region.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure across the basin will
    shift slightly eastward tonight as a cold front moves across the
    southeastern U.S. The front will move offshore northeast Florida
    on Sat, then stall and lift north as a warm front Sat night into
    Sun. Fresh southwest winds north of 30N and between 77W and 70W
    will diminish early Sat. Moderate to fresh trade winds will pulse
    to strong south of 22N into early next week, then be at mostly
    fresh speeds through the rest of the forecast period.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 20 Jun 2026 05:05:24 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 200505
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Jun 20 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 19W, S of 16N. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N and E of 25W.

    A tropical wave is along 34W S of 16N moving west at 15 to 20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 10N between 30W and
    40W.

    Another tropical wave is along 55W S of 18N moving west at around
    20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 08N to 12N
    between 48W and 57W. Similar convection is seen inland over NE
    South America.

    A tropical wave is moving across the Caribbean at 15 to 20 kt.
    Its axis is along 71W S of 17N. The wave appears to enhance
    convection over western Venezuela.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic off the coast of
    Mauritania, and continues southwestward to near 08N27W, then
    westward to 07N41W. The ITCZ extends from 07N41W to 07N53W. Most
    of the convective activity across the area is related to the
    tropical waves described above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Ridging stemming from high pressure in the Atlantic expands into
    the Gulf. The interactions between this ridge and a trough along
    the western Yucatan Peninsula supports fresh to strong trades
    pulsing along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Moderate to fresh trades prevail across much of the Gulf W of 90W,
    while gentle to moderate or weaker winds prevail E of 90W with a
    1018 mb high analyzed in the eastern Gulf. Seas are 4-7 ft across
    much of the basin, except for the far eastern Gulf where slight
    seas prevail. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring in the far SE Gulf as an upper level shortwave trough
    moves over and just N of the region.

    For the forecast, a ridge of high pressure extends from the
    Atlantic westward across Florida to the central Gulf. The pressure
    gradient between the high pressure and relatively lower pressures
    over Texas and northeastern Mexico will generally support mostly
    fresh southerly winds over the western and central Gulf. The fresh
    winds over the western and central Gulf will diminish to gentle
    to moderate speeds early next week with slight to moderate seas.
    Weak high pressure over the eastern Gulf will support light to
    anticyclonic winds and slight seas there through late Mon. The
    high pressure will become established over the central Gulf by
    midweek, with similar conditions expected over just about the
    entire basin at that time.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure over the central
    Atlantic and the Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades and
    6-8 ft seas across the central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
    Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas prevail in the
    eastern and NW Caribbean. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
    2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail north of the area
    into next week. The pressure gradient between the area of high
    pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
    the forecast period, with highest winds and seas expected off the
    coast of Colombia. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to
    rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through
    Mon, pulsing briefly to near gale- force tonight. Moderate to
    fresh winds are expected over much of the remainder of the
    Caribbean through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
    Lesser Antilles. Please see the Tropical Waves section for more
    details.

    High pressure dominates the Atlantic forecast region, with a 1024
    mb center near 28N58W. Flow around this high and the associated
    ridge axis supports moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    across much of the Atlantic S of 20N as well as over the waters
    between the Turks and Caicos Islands and Hispaniola. A recent
    scatterometer pass confirmed fresh to locally strong N to NE winds
    in a region from 18N to 25N and E of 20W. Gentle to moderate or
    weaker winds prevail elsewhere. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are occurring N of the Bahamas as an upper level
    shortwave trough moves over and just N of the region.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure across the basin will
    shift slightly eastward tonight as a cold front moves across the
    southeastern U.S. The front will move offshore northeast Florida
    on Sat, then stall and lift north as a warm front Sat night into
    Sun. Fresh southwest winds north of 30N and between 77W and 70W
    will diminish early Sat. Moderate to fresh trade winds will pulse
    to strong south of 22N into early next week, then be at mostly
    fresh speeds through the rest of the forecast period.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 21 Jun 2026 17:04:17 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 20 Jun 2026 06:50:12 GMT
  • Sat, 20 Jun 2026 05:04:17 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 200504
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sat Jun 20 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 19 Jun 2026 13:15:06 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 191314
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0915 AM EDT FRI 19 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-019

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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