2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 06 Apr 2026 17:52:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    367
    AXNT20 KNHC 061752
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front stretches southwestward from
    off the Carolinas coast across 31N78W to beyond central Florida.
    This front will gradually move southeastward and strengthen for
    through Wed, then stall from 31N65W to near the northwest Bahamas
    Wed evening through Thu night. A strong 1030 mb high pressure
    behind the front will cause NE fresh to strong winds currently
    off northeastern and central Florida to near 70W, to increase to
    between near-gale to gale-force by Tue morning. Seas under these
    winds will also build and reach 14 to 17 ft. As the stalled front
    weakens, winds behind it should decrease to between strong and
    near-gale by late Wed night. Seas will also steadily subside Thu
    through Thu night.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near Conakry, then reaches westward to 09N19W. Farther south, an
    ITCZ extends westward from 01N20W to near the Amazon River Delta
    area. No significant convection is seen near the monsoon trough.
    Widely scattered moderate convection is evident up to 155 nm along
    either side of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends southwestward from just off Tampa,
    Florida to a 1013 mb low near 24N94W, then curves southward as a
    cold front to beyond Veracruz, Mexico. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of the stationary front
    across the entier northern Gulf. Scattered showers are found near
    and west of the cold across the west-central and southwestern
    Gulf, including the western Bay of Campeche. Fresh to strong NW to
    NE winds with seas of 7 to 10 ft exist behind the stationary and
    cold front. In addition, winds near Tampico and Veracruz, Mexico
    are peaking at near gale-force. South and east of the fronts,
    gentle NE to E winds with 3 to 6 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the stationary front will start moving
    southeastward as a cold front and reach from SW Florida to the
    eastern Bay of Campeche tonight, then drift slowly southeast of
    the basin Tue and Tue night. Scattered thunderstorms with locally
    gusty winds will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and rough
    seas will continue in the western Gulf behind the front tonight,
    then strong NE winds will develop in the northeastern basin, as
    low pressure develops in the Atlantic after the front exits the
    Gulf of America. Conditions will improve on as high pressure from
    the eastern U.S builds southwestward toward the northern Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A fair and modest trade-wind regime continues across the entire
    Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E to SE trades with seas of 5 to
    7 ft are present at the central and eastern basin. Gentle to
    moderate NNE to ENE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the rest
    of the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure to
    the north and low pressure north of Colombia will maintain
    moderate to fresh winds at the central and eastern through Wed.
    By Wed night, stronger high pressure building south toward the
    region will increase winds to between fresh and strong mainly
    east of 72W.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section at the very beginning about an
    upcoming Gale Warning. An upper-level trough extends southwestward
    from northeast of Bermuda across 31N61W to the central Bahamas.

    A cold front stretches southwestward from off the Carolinas coast
    across 31N78W to beyond central Florida. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are noted behind this front. Coupling with
    convergent southeasterly trade winds, scattered moderate
    convection is found from 21N to 25N between 60W and 70W. In the
    east Atlantic, another cold front reaches southwestward from
    northwest of Medeira across 30N30W to near 29N43W. Scattered
    showers are seen up to 50 nm along either side of the front. Refer
    to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in
    the Atlantic Basin.

    Fresh to strong NW to NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are seen
    off Georgia and northeastern Florida behind the first cold front.
    Fresh NE to ENE winds with 10 to 14 ft seas in large N swell
    exist behind the second cold front in the east Atlantic. Gentle
    winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft are seen north of 29N between 43W and
    the first cold front. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of
    35W, moderate to fresh NE to E trades and 6 to 8 ft seas in
    moderate to large N to NE swell exist.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the first cold front will move
    slowly southeastward and reach from 31N72W to South Florida by
    Tue, then stall from Bermuda to the Florida Straits Wed. Low
    pressure is forecast to form along the front in the vicinity of
    the Bahamas on Tue, then accelerate northeastward along the
    boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Wed. As the
    pressure gradient increases behind this low and strong high
    pressure building into the southeastern U.S., already strong NE
    winds north and west of the front will increase further, with
    gales developing Tue afternoon offshore NE Florida, then spreading
    east between the Bahamas and Bermuda Tue night into Wed. Very
    rough seas in excess of 15 kt are likely in the area of gales.
    With the frontal boundary remaining nearly stationary late this
    week, conditions will be slow to improve.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 06 Apr 2026 17:52:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    367
    AXNT20 KNHC 061752
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front stretches southwestward from
    off the Carolinas coast across 31N78W to beyond central Florida.
    This front will gradually move southeastward and strengthen for
    through Wed, then stall from 31N65W to near the northwest Bahamas
    Wed evening through Thu night. A strong 1030 mb high pressure
    behind the front will cause NE fresh to strong winds currently
    off northeastern and central Florida to near 70W, to increase to
    between near-gale to gale-force by Tue morning. Seas under these
    winds will also build and reach 14 to 17 ft. As the stalled front
    weakens, winds behind it should decrease to between strong and
    near-gale by late Wed night. Seas will also steadily subside Thu
    through Thu night.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near Conakry, then reaches westward to 09N19W. Farther south, an
    ITCZ extends westward from 01N20W to near the Amazon River Delta
    area. No significant convection is seen near the monsoon trough.
    Widely scattered moderate convection is evident up to 155 nm along
    either side of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends southwestward from just off Tampa,
    Florida to a 1013 mb low near 24N94W, then curves southward as a
    cold front to beyond Veracruz, Mexico. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of the stationary front
    across the entier northern Gulf. Scattered showers are found near
    and west of the cold across the west-central and southwestern
    Gulf, including the western Bay of Campeche. Fresh to strong NW to
    NE winds with seas of 7 to 10 ft exist behind the stationary and
    cold front. In addition, winds near Tampico and Veracruz, Mexico
    are peaking at near gale-force. South and east of the fronts,
    gentle NE to E winds with 3 to 6 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the stationary front will start moving
    southeastward as a cold front and reach from SW Florida to the
    eastern Bay of Campeche tonight, then drift slowly southeast of
    the basin Tue and Tue night. Scattered thunderstorms with locally
    gusty winds will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and rough
    seas will continue in the western Gulf behind the front tonight,
    then strong NE winds will develop in the northeastern basin, as
    low pressure develops in the Atlantic after the front exits the
    Gulf of America. Conditions will improve on as high pressure from
    the eastern U.S builds southwestward toward the northern Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A fair and modest trade-wind regime continues across the entire
    Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E to SE trades with seas of 5 to
    7 ft are present at the central and eastern basin. Gentle to
    moderate NNE to ENE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the rest
    of the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure to
    the north and low pressure north of Colombia will maintain
    moderate to fresh winds at the central and eastern through Wed.
    By Wed night, stronger high pressure building south toward the
    region will increase winds to between fresh and strong mainly
    east of 72W.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section at the very beginning about an
    upcoming Gale Warning. An upper-level trough extends southwestward
    from northeast of Bermuda across 31N61W to the central Bahamas.

    A cold front stretches southwestward from off the Carolinas coast
    across 31N78W to beyond central Florida. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are noted behind this front. Coupling with
    convergent southeasterly trade winds, scattered moderate
    convection is found from 21N to 25N between 60W and 70W. In the
    east Atlantic, another cold front reaches southwestward from
    northwest of Medeira across 30N30W to near 29N43W. Scattered
    showers are seen up to 50 nm along either side of the front. Refer
    to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in
    the Atlantic Basin.

    Fresh to strong NW to NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are seen
    off Georgia and northeastern Florida behind the first cold front.
    Fresh NE to ENE winds with 10 to 14 ft seas in large N swell
    exist behind the second cold front in the east Atlantic. Gentle
    winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft are seen north of 29N between 43W and
    the first cold front. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of
    35W, moderate to fresh NE to E trades and 6 to 8 ft seas in
    moderate to large N to NE swell exist.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the first cold front will move
    slowly southeastward and reach from 31N72W to South Florida by
    Tue, then stall from Bermuda to the Florida Straits Wed. Low
    pressure is forecast to form along the front in the vicinity of
    the Bahamas on Tue, then accelerate northeastward along the
    boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Wed. As the
    pressure gradient increases behind this low and strong high
    pressure building into the southeastern U.S., already strong NE
    winds north and west of the front will increase further, with
    gales developing Tue afternoon offshore NE Florida, then spreading
    east between the Bahamas and Bermuda Tue night into Wed. Very
    rough seas in excess of 15 kt are likely in the area of gales.
    With the frontal boundary remaining nearly stationary late this
    week, conditions will be slow to improve.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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