2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 04 Apr 2026 05:46:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 040545
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Apr 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0540 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Liberia near 10N14W and continues SW to 03N27W. The ITCZ extends
    from 03N27W to 00N37W to 01S49W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 06S to 03N between 05W and 15W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the
    influence of this ridge, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate
    seas prevail, except in the Straits of Florida where strong E
    winds and 7 to 8 ft seas are ongoing.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the region will begin to
    retreat eastward Sat evening as a cold front approaches the Texas
    coast. The cold front will reach from the Florida Panhandle to Bay
    of Campeche by Sun, then stall as low pressure tracks eastward
    along it into the middle of next week. Strong northeast winds are
    expected across portions of the northern and western Gulf behind
    the front along with rough seas. Moderate to fresh east to
    southeast winds over the Gulf, with the exception of NE part, will
    diminish on Sat, but continue at fresh speeds in the Straits of
    Florida through late Sat night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
    low is supporting fresh trades over the central basin, except for
    strong NE winds offshore Colombia. Seas are moderate except rough
    within the strong speed winds. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are
    across the NW Caribbean while moderate trades are over the E
    basin. Seas over both the NW and E Caribbean are moderate to 5 ft.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    centered near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue
    to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia
    and through the Windward Passage through Sat. The high pressure
    will weaken some as it slides eastward this weekend allowing for
    the the gradient to slacken. This will lead to diminishing winds
    and subsiding seas. An inverted trough will develop from
    Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue and
    drift westward toward the Bahamas. The gradient between it and
    central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh trade winds
    across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure located well north of
    the area and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and
    tropics is allowing for generally strong northeast to east winds
    along with rough seas over much of the waters S of 26N as
    indicated by scatterometer data. Over the far E Atlantic, a
    surface trough extends from a 1017 mb low pressure situated near
    25N26W to 30N23W. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    over much of the waters S of 26N will gradually diminish through
    the weekend as the high weakens while shifting eastward. An
    inverted surface trough is forecast to develop from Hispaniola
    northward into the open Atlantic by Sun night allowing for winds
    to weaken. The trough will track in a general northwestward
    direction into mid-week. A cold front is expected to emerge off
    the southeastern United States coast early on Mon, then slowly
    move southeastward reaching from near 31N70W to South Florida by
    Tue morning and stall into mid-week. Low pressure may then develop
    along the trough at about mid-week as it merges with the frontal
    boundary and while high pressure builds southward N of the frontal
    boundary. The resulting tight pressure gradient will bring strong
    to near gale-force northeast winds along with seas building to a
    rough state behind this front starting early next week. Mariners
    are advised to keep up with the latest forecast, especially beyond
    Mon night.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 04 Apr 2026 05:46:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 040545
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Apr 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0540 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Liberia near 10N14W and continues SW to 03N27W. The ITCZ extends
    from 03N27W to 00N37W to 01S49W. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 06S to 03N between 05W and 15W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge extends across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the
    influence of this ridge, moderate to fresh SE winds and moderate
    seas prevail, except in the Straits of Florida where strong E
    winds and 7 to 8 ft seas are ongoing.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the region will begin to
    retreat eastward Sat evening as a cold front approaches the Texas
    coast. The cold front will reach from the Florida Panhandle to Bay
    of Campeche by Sun, then stall as low pressure tracks eastward
    along it into the middle of next week. Strong northeast winds are
    expected across portions of the northern and western Gulf behind
    the front along with rough seas. Moderate to fresh east to
    southeast winds over the Gulf, with the exception of NE part, will
    diminish on Sat, but continue at fresh speeds in the Straits of
    Florida through late Sat night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area and the Colombian
    low is supporting fresh trades over the central basin, except for
    strong NE winds offshore Colombia. Seas are moderate except rough
    within the strong speed winds. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are
    across the NW Caribbean while moderate trades are over the E
    basin. Seas over both the NW and E Caribbean are moderate to 5 ft.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    centered near Bermuda and low pressure near Colombia will continue
    to support pulsing strong winds and rough seas offshore Colombia
    and through the Windward Passage through Sat. The high pressure
    will weaken some as it slides eastward this weekend allowing for
    the the gradient to slacken. This will lead to diminishing winds
    and subsiding seas. An inverted trough will develop from
    Hispaniola northward into the open Atlantic Mon through Tue and
    drift westward toward the Bahamas. The gradient between it and
    central Atlantic high pressure will maintain fresh trade winds
    across the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure located well north of
    the area and relatively lower pressure in the subtropics and
    tropics is allowing for generally strong northeast to east winds
    along with rough seas over much of the waters S of 26N as
    indicated by scatterometer data. Over the far E Atlantic, a
    surface trough extends from a 1017 mb low pressure situated near
    25N26W to 30N23W. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    over much of the waters S of 26N will gradually diminish through
    the weekend as the high weakens while shifting eastward. An
    inverted surface trough is forecast to develop from Hispaniola
    northward into the open Atlantic by Sun night allowing for winds
    to weaken. The trough will track in a general northwestward
    direction into mid-week. A cold front is expected to emerge off
    the southeastern United States coast early on Mon, then slowly
    move southeastward reaching from near 31N70W to South Florida by
    Tue morning and stall into mid-week. Low pressure may then develop
    along the trough at about mid-week as it merges with the frontal
    boundary and while high pressure builds southward N of the frontal
    boundary. The resulting tight pressure gradient will bring strong
    to near gale-force northeast winds along with seas building to a
    rough state behind this front starting early next week. Mariners
    are advised to keep up with the latest forecast, especially beyond
    Mon night.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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