2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 07 Apr 2026 10:01:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    805
    AXNT20 KNHC 071001
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from 31N75W to
    near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today, then
    stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida Straits
    line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from the
    Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.
    Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.
    As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
    the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
    tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this
    morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,
    through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure
    moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be
    generated by these gales,

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information
    on the Gale Warning.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the African coast at
    08N12W, then reaches SW to 01N24W. The ITCZ extends from 00N26W
    to 00N45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted S of 04N along both of these features.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A nearly-stationary front extends from just south of Tampa Bay to
    a 1013 mb low pressure centered near 24N91W. A cold front then
    extends from the low to the western coast of the Yucatan
    Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is along and south of the
    front in the SE Gulf. N of the boundary in the NE Gulf, fresh to
    locally strong NE to E winds have developed, and rough seas are
    building. W of the cold front as well as in the NW Gulf, fresh to
    locally strong N winds prevail, with subsiding rough seas.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the SW
    Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and rough seas in
    the NE Gulf will increase as the low tracks east along the slow-
    moving front and across Florida into tonight. Thunderstorms with
    locally gusty can be expected across the eastern Gulf ahead of the
    low. The front will then stall into late week over the far SE
    basin and only gradually dissipate, leaving a tight pressure
    gradient between it and building high pressure from the SE U.S.
    This will maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the NE
    basin much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
    Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat
    Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure in the central
    Atlantic and lower pressure in South America is inducing fresh
    trades over the central and eastern basin, with seas of 5 to 7 ft.
    In the western Caribbean, the typical trade winds have been
    disrupted by a cold front to the north in the Gulf of America,
    causing winds to be light and seas to be slight. No significant
    convection is occurring in the basin early this morning.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail
    over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to
    moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build
    southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,
    especially in the south-central basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features above for information on a
    Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from 31N75W to near Melbourne,
    Florida. Strong to near gale force NE to E winds are N of this
    boundary, with building rough seas. Scattered moderate convection
    is south of this boundary, within 120 nm of the Florida coast. A
    surface tough extends north from Puerto Rico along 68W to 24N. It
    is inducing scattered moderate convection along and W of it to
    70W, and is also producing strong southerly winds just E of its
    axis. In the eastern Atlantic, a weakening cold front extends from
    just NW of the Canary Islands, to 26N30W to 28N42N. Fresh to
    locally strong NE winds follow this front, with building rough to
    very rough seas. The rest of the basin, E of 65W, has mainly fresh
    trades and moderate seas, although NE swell has propagated ahead
    of the eastern Atlantic cold front, and rough seas now cover
    waters N of 20N and E of 50W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
    31N75W to near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today,
    then stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida
    Straits line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from
    the Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.
    Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.
    As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
    the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
    tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this
    morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,
    through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure
    moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be
    generated by these gales, and rough seas in N swell will impact a
    much larger area through the end of the week. The front is likely
    to linger over the basin into the weekend, so marine conditions
    could be slow to improve.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 07 Apr 2026 10:01:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    805
    AXNT20 KNHC 071001
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from 31N75W to
    near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today, then
    stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida Straits
    line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from the
    Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.
    Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.
    As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
    the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
    tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this
    morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,
    through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure
    moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be
    generated by these gales,

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information
    on the Gale Warning.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the African coast at
    08N12W, then reaches SW to 01N24W. The ITCZ extends from 00N26W
    to 00N45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    noted S of 04N along both of these features.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A nearly-stationary front extends from just south of Tampa Bay to
    a 1013 mb low pressure centered near 24N91W. A cold front then
    extends from the low to the western coast of the Yucatan
    Peninsula. Scattered moderate convection is along and south of the
    front in the SE Gulf. N of the boundary in the NE Gulf, fresh to
    locally strong NE to E winds have developed, and rough seas are
    building. W of the cold front as well as in the NW Gulf, fresh to
    locally strong N winds prevail, with subsiding rough seas.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong winds and rough seas in the SW
    Gulf will decrease today, but strong NE winds and rough seas in
    the NE Gulf will increase as the low tracks east along the slow-
    moving front and across Florida into tonight. Thunderstorms with
    locally gusty can be expected across the eastern Gulf ahead of the
    low. The front will then stall into late week over the far SE
    basin and only gradually dissipate, leaving a tight pressure
    gradient between it and building high pressure from the SE U.S.
    This will maintain the strong winds and rough seas over the NE
    basin much of the week, with near gale conditions possible Wed and
    Thu offshore Florida. Conditions will begin to improve somewhat
    Fri as the high pressure builds southwestward across the northern
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure in the central
    Atlantic and lower pressure in South America is inducing fresh
    trades over the central and eastern basin, with seas of 5 to 7 ft.
    In the western Caribbean, the typical trade winds have been
    disrupted by a cold front to the north in the Gulf of America,
    causing winds to be light and seas to be slight. No significant
    convection is occurring in the basin early this morning.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong trades will prevail
    over the central and eastern basin into Thu, with gentle to
    moderate winds to the west. Strong high pressure will then build
    southward from the western Atlantic, leading to increasing winds,
    especially in the south-central basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features above for information on a
    Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from 31N75W to near Melbourne,
    Florida. Strong to near gale force NE to E winds are N of this
    boundary, with building rough seas. Scattered moderate convection
    is south of this boundary, within 120 nm of the Florida coast. A
    surface tough extends north from Puerto Rico along 68W to 24N. It
    is inducing scattered moderate convection along and W of it to
    70W, and is also producing strong southerly winds just E of its
    axis. In the eastern Atlantic, a weakening cold front extends from
    just NW of the Canary Islands, to 26N30W to 28N42N. Fresh to
    locally strong NE winds follow this front, with building rough to
    very rough seas. The rest of the basin, E of 65W, has mainly fresh
    trades and moderate seas, although NE swell has propagated ahead
    of the eastern Atlantic cold front, and rough seas now cover
    waters N of 20N and E of 50W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extends from
    31N75W to near Melbourne, Florida. This front will drift SE today,
    then stall through much of the week along a Bermuda to Florida
    Straits line. Low pressure will track NE along the boundary from
    the Florida Peninsula tonight to N of the area near Bermuda Thu.
    Thunderstorms with gusty winds will accompany this low pressure.
    As strong high pressure builds toward the region from the SE U.S.,
    the pressure gradient between it and the cold front will be quite
    tight, and NE gales will develop offshore NE Florida this
    morning. These gales will spread E to about 73W, mainly N of 28N,
    through Wed night, before gradually ending as the low pressure
    moves N of the area. Very rough seas of 16 to 19 ft will be
    generated by these gales, and rough seas in N swell will impact a
    much larger area through the end of the week. The front is likely
    to linger over the basin into the weekend, so marine conditions
    could be slow to improve.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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