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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 22:07:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072207
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
Bermuda- Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure
over N South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over
the central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
diminishing tomorrow. Expect rough to locally rough seas with the
peak winds. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at
website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Its
axis is along 26.5W south of 17N. It is moving westward at 15 to
20 kt. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
trough/ITCZ section below.
A well defined tropical wave is along 47W south of 17N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Any nearby convection is described in
the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
Another tropical wave is analyzed near 62W entering the far
eastern Caribbean Sea, and extends southward into far eastern
Venezuela. It is moving westward at 20 to 25 kt. Any nearby
convection is described in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The tropical wave previously located along 85W is relocated
farther E along 82W based on tropical wave diagnostic and surface
observations. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 09N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N28W to 09N45W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 21W
and 34W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
between 36W and 42W, and also from 08N to 13N between 42W and
54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues the dominate the Gulf region producing a
gentle to moderate wind flow, except moderate to fresh in the
central Bay of Campeche due to a weak surface trough analyzed from
along 94W. Slight to moderate seas are noted across the basin,
highest in the central Bay of Campeche. An upper-level low over
the western Gulf is enhancing the development of showers and
thunderstorms over parts of the basin, more concentrated over the
Bay of Campeche and near the northern Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the diurnal trough moving westward from the
Yucatan peninsula will cause fresh NE to E winds offshore of the
peninsula nightly through the weekend. An upper-level low will
cause scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf
for the next couple of days. Elsewhere, winds and seas should be
quiescent.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
a Gale Warning.
A tight pressure gradient is present over the central Caribbean
due to the Bermuda-Azores high north of the area and lower
pressure over northern South America resulting in fresh to near
gale-force winds there. Rough seas dominate this area. Moderate to
fresh trades prevail elsewhere along with moderate seas, except
gentle to moderate in the lee of Cuba. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are occurring over portions of the western
Caribbean, particularly W of 85W, including in the vicinity of the
Gulf of Honduras. Patches of low level moisture, embedded in the
trade wind flow, are moving westward across the area producing
isolated to scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-
Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure over N
South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the
central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
diminishing tomorrow. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of
Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and
evenings through the weekend. A vigorous tropical wave should
reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh to strong
trades over the E Caribbean on Thu and Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) from CIMSS and the Geocolor
satellite imagery show abundant African dust over this area into
the eastern Caribbean.
As it is normal for this time of the year, the Bermuda-Azores
High dominates the Atlantic forecast waters. Moderate to fresh
winds are observed along the southern periphery of its associated
ridge, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just north of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Light to gentle winds are near the
ridge axis, mainly N of 25N. Seas are generally moderate across
the basin, except slight to moderate from 25N to 29N under the
ridge and corresponding lighter winds. An exception is fresh to
strong N-NE winds from offshore northern Africa near the Canary
and Madeira Islands to the Cabo Verde Islands and just WNW of
there. An upper-level low spinning between Hispaniola and the
southeastern Bahamas is generating some shower activity.
For the forecast west of 55W, ridging associated with the
Bermuda- Azores High will remain farther south than usual - near
27N. Waters north of 29N will have moderate to fresh SW to W winds
beginning tomorrow night for the next several days. Additionally,
fresh to strong trades will continue just north of Hispaniola and
over the approaches to the Windward Passage through the weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 22:07:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072207
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
Bermuda- Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure
over N South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over
the central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
diminishing tomorrow. Expect rough to locally rough seas with the
peak winds. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at
website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Its
axis is along 26.5W south of 17N. It is moving westward at 15 to
20 kt. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
trough/ITCZ section below.
A well defined tropical wave is along 47W south of 17N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Any nearby convection is described in
the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
Another tropical wave is analyzed near 62W entering the far
eastern Caribbean Sea, and extends southward into far eastern
Venezuela. It is moving westward at 20 to 25 kt. Any nearby
convection is described in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The tropical wave previously located along 85W is relocated
farther E along 82W based on tropical wave diagnostic and surface
observations. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 09N26W. The
ITCZ extends from 08N28W to 09N45W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 21W
and 34W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
between 36W and 42W, and also from 08N to 13N between 42W and
54W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak ridge continues the dominate the Gulf region producing a
gentle to moderate wind flow, except moderate to fresh in the
central Bay of Campeche due to a weak surface trough analyzed from
along 94W. Slight to moderate seas are noted across the basin,
highest in the central Bay of Campeche. An upper-level low over
the western Gulf is enhancing the development of showers and
thunderstorms over parts of the basin, more concentrated over the
Bay of Campeche and near the northern Yucatan Peninsula.
For the forecast, the diurnal trough moving westward from the
Yucatan peninsula will cause fresh NE to E winds offshore of the
peninsula nightly through the weekend. An upper-level low will
cause scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf
for the next couple of days. Elsewhere, winds and seas should be
quiescent.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
a Gale Warning.
A tight pressure gradient is present over the central Caribbean
due to the Bermuda-Azores high north of the area and lower
pressure over northern South America resulting in fresh to near
gale-force winds there. Rough seas dominate this area. Moderate to
fresh trades prevail elsewhere along with moderate seas, except
gentle to moderate in the lee of Cuba. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are occurring over portions of the western
Caribbean, particularly W of 85W, including in the vicinity of the
Gulf of Honduras. Patches of low level moisture, embedded in the
trade wind flow, are moving westward across the area producing
isolated to scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-
Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure over N
South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the
central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
diminishing tomorrow. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of
Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and
evenings through the weekend. A vigorous tropical wave should
reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh to strong
trades over the E Caribbean on Thu and Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) from CIMSS and the Geocolor
satellite imagery show abundant African dust over this area into
the eastern Caribbean.
As it is normal for this time of the year, the Bermuda-Azores
High dominates the Atlantic forecast waters. Moderate to fresh
winds are observed along the southern periphery of its associated
ridge, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just north of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Light to gentle winds are near the
ridge axis, mainly N of 25N. Seas are generally moderate across
the basin, except slight to moderate from 25N to 29N under the
ridge and corresponding lighter winds. An exception is fresh to
strong N-NE winds from offshore northern Africa near the Canary
and Madeira Islands to the Cabo Verde Islands and just WNW of
there. An upper-level low spinning between Hispaniola and the
southeastern Bahamas is generating some shower activity.
For the forecast west of 55W, ridging associated with the
Bermuda- Azores High will remain farther south than usual - near
27N. Waters north of 29N will have moderate to fresh SW to W winds
beginning tomorrow night for the next several days. Additionally,
fresh to strong trades will continue just north of Hispaniola and
over the approaches to the Windward Passage through the weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 05:22:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 07 Jul 2026 22:46:23 GMT - Tue, 07 Jul 2026 17:22:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 071722
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster B. Hurley
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 12:51:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
976
NOUS42 KNHC 071251
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 07 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-037
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf