2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 24 Apr 2026 10:34:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 241034
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Apr 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W, then curves southwestward to 00N26W. The ITCZ
    extends from 00N26W to 02S40W to 00S50W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is observed from 04S to 10N between 06W
    and 26W. Scattered moderate convection is from 08S to 04N between
    25W and 38W, and from 02S to 12N W of 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered to isolated showers continue to move eastward away from
    the Florida Straits this morning while dense fog was repored over
    the NW Gulf offshore waters. A 1019 mb high NE of the northern
    Bahamas extends a ridge across Florida and into the western Gulf.
    A weak pressure gradient over the region is supporting gentle to
    moderate SE winds and slight to moderate seas. Otherwise, satellite
    images indicate that smoke from agricultural fires in SE Mexico
    is affecting the SW Gulf waters. Mariners may experience
    diminished visibility in the area.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
    region, with a relatively weak pressure gradient across the area.
    This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds and moderate seas
    basin-wide through Mon. The exception will be off the Yucatan
    Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will pulse moderate winds to
    fresh during the evenings. Southeasterly winds are forecast to
    reach moderate to fresh speeds over the western half of Gulf Mon
    night into mid-week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the lee
    side of central and eastern Cuba as well as the Windward Passage
    due to the tail of a dissipating stationary front that extends
    across Hispaniola to the offshore waters of southern Cuba.
    Otherwise, a 1019 mb high is NE of the northern Bahamas and is
    supporting moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
    basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure located N of the basin will
    weaken over the next couple of days as the remnants of a frontal
    boundary, currently located north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
    lifts northward as a trough during the upcoming weekend. This
    weather pattern will support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean Sea into Mon, resulting in mainly gentle to
    moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across the entire
    basin. Winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds over
    the central and eastern Caribbean Mon night through mid-week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near 31N39W to 26N47W where it becomes
    a dissipating stationary front to Hispaniola near 19N69W. The
    front is supporting scattered showers in the Great Bahama Bank
    while an area of showers continue to migrate from the Florida
    Straits to the northern Bahamas. Between the front and the areas
    of showers is a 1019 mb high NE of the northern Bahamas, which is
    supporting moderate or lighter E to SE winds and slight to
    moderate seas across the SW N Atlantic waters. Another 1019 mb
    high is E of the front over the E subtropical Atlantic waters,
    which is supporting moderate to fresh SW winds ahead of the front
    to 30W and N of 26N. Seas with these winds are 5 to 8 ft. Moderate
    to fresh NNE winds are between the Canary and Cape Verde Islands,
    and the coast of NW Africa with moderate seas. Otherwise, moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
    dissipate today and the remnant moisture will lift northward as a
    trough Sat through Sun. A weak low may develop along the trough
    axis E of the Bahamas on Sun. This will support gentle to moderate
    winds with slight to moderate seas across most of the forecast
    area through the weekend. The exception will be over the NE waters
    where fresh to locally strong westerly winds and rough seas are
    expected beginning today as another cold front clips the region by
    late Sat into Sun.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 24 Apr 2026 10:34:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 241034
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Apr 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W, then curves southwestward to 00N26W. The ITCZ
    extends from 00N26W to 02S40W to 00S50W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection is observed from 04S to 10N between 06W
    and 26W. Scattered moderate convection is from 08S to 04N between
    25W and 38W, and from 02S to 12N W of 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered to isolated showers continue to move eastward away from
    the Florida Straits this morning while dense fog was repored over
    the NW Gulf offshore waters. A 1019 mb high NE of the northern
    Bahamas extends a ridge across Florida and into the western Gulf.
    A weak pressure gradient over the region is supporting gentle to
    moderate SE winds and slight to moderate seas. Otherwise, satellite
    images indicate that smoke from agricultural fires in SE Mexico
    is affecting the SW Gulf waters. Mariners may experience
    diminished visibility in the area.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
    region, with a relatively weak pressure gradient across the area.
    This will result in gentle to moderate SE winds and moderate seas
    basin-wide through Mon. The exception will be off the Yucatan
    Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will pulse moderate winds to
    fresh during the evenings. Southeasterly winds are forecast to
    reach moderate to fresh speeds over the western half of Gulf Mon
    night into mid-week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the lee
    side of central and eastern Cuba as well as the Windward Passage
    due to the tail of a dissipating stationary front that extends
    across Hispaniola to the offshore waters of southern Cuba.
    Otherwise, a 1019 mb high is NE of the northern Bahamas and is
    supporting moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
    basin-wide.

    For the forecast, high pressure located N of the basin will
    weaken over the next couple of days as the remnants of a frontal
    boundary, currently located north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
    lifts northward as a trough during the upcoming weekend. This
    weather pattern will support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean Sea into Mon, resulting in mainly gentle to
    moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across the entire
    basin. Winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh speeds over
    the central and eastern Caribbean Mon night through mid-week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from near 31N39W to 26N47W where it becomes
    a dissipating stationary front to Hispaniola near 19N69W. The
    front is supporting scattered showers in the Great Bahama Bank
    while an area of showers continue to migrate from the Florida
    Straits to the northern Bahamas. Between the front and the areas
    of showers is a 1019 mb high NE of the northern Bahamas, which is
    supporting moderate or lighter E to SE winds and slight to
    moderate seas across the SW N Atlantic waters. Another 1019 mb
    high is E of the front over the E subtropical Atlantic waters,
    which is supporting moderate to fresh SW winds ahead of the front
    to 30W and N of 26N. Seas with these winds are 5 to 8 ft. Moderate
    to fresh NNE winds are between the Canary and Cape Verde Islands,
    and the coast of NW Africa with moderate seas. Otherwise, moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
    dissipate today and the remnant moisture will lift northward as a
    trough Sat through Sun. A weak low may develop along the trough
    axis E of the Bahamas on Sun. This will support gentle to moderate
    winds with slight to moderate seas across most of the forecast
    area through the weekend. The exception will be over the NE waters
    where fresh to locally strong westerly winds and rough seas are
    expected beginning today as another cold front clips the region by
    late Sat into Sun.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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