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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 25 Aug 2026 05:21:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 250521
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
    associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
    Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde islands.
    THe wave extends along 19W and S of 20N, with 1010 mb low
    centered near 11N19W. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are
    noted from 08N to 15N between 18W-22W. This system could become a
    tropical depression during the next few days while it moves
    westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern
    and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could
    become less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
    has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7
    days.

    Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
    https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
    this feature.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 45W, south of
    19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered showers prevail along
    the wave axis and S of 15N.

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 61W south of 21N,
    moving westward around 10 kt. No convection is noted with this
    wave at this time.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 73W south of 21N to
    northwest Venezuela, moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
    is noted with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N48W. The
    ITCZ extends from 11N48W to 06N51W to 08N59W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves described above,
    scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm on either
    side of the boundaries.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
    24N86W, and is generally producing light to gentle anticyclonic
    winds across the basin, except moderate NE winds in the eastern
    Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less prevail over the
    basin per buoy observations.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over the
    central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
    remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
    gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
    A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
    of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
    period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
    central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
    Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone of strong
    winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and far NE
    Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
    to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
    elsewhere. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    occurring from 09N to 15N W of 80W, including over portions of
    northern Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the current pattern across the region will
    continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
    seas over the south-central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
    moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
    from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
    basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
    passages several tropical waves that will quickly move west across
    the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
    low pressure, Invest AL96, and tropical wave that emerged off
    Africa.

    A weak surface trough is analyzed across the western Atlantic
    extending SW through 30N75W to 27N79W. Scattered showers are
    within 60 nm of this trough. Moderate SW winds are occurring north
    of the trough. A 1019 mb high pressure is east of this feature
    near 29N70W. South of the high, fresh E-SE winds are noted from
    the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the
    Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere north
    of 20N and west of 60W. Slight to moderate seas prevail north of
    20N and west of 61W. Invest AL95 is currently N of the area. Its
    associated trough prevails over the waters N of 26N between 60W
    and 62W. Scattered moderate convection prevails E of the trough
    mainly N of 24N between 55W-59W. Another weak surface trough is
    analyzed in the East Atlantic from 29N32W to 25N34W. No
    convection related to this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure
    ridging prevails. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of
    the monsoon trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8
    ft seas. Winds are mainly moderate and seas moderate across any
    remainder waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
    in the wake of Invest AL95 prevail north of 24N between 54W and
    60W. Fresh to strong south winds are north of 28N between 55W and
    59W. These conditions will diminish through Tue as the low,
    possibly a tropical cyclone, moves farther away from the forecast
    waters. Elsewhere, moderate to at times fresh trades, will prevail
    S of about 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as
    the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
    southern waters into the weekend.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 25 Aug 2026 05:21:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 250521
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0500 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): A tropical wave and
    associated area of low pressure is analyzed over the far eastern
    Atlantic a few hundred miles southeast of the Cabo Verde islands.
    THe wave extends along 19W and S of 20N, with 1010 mb low
    centered near 11N19W. Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are
    noted from 08N to 15N between 18W-22W. This system could become a
    tropical depression during the next few days while it moves
    westward to west-northwestward at 15 to 20 kt across the eastern
    and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could
    become less conducive for development by the weekend. This system
    has a medium chance of tropical cyclone formation in the next 7
    days.

    Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
    https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
    this feature.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 45W, south of
    19N, moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered showers prevail along
    the wave axis and S of 15N.

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 61W south of 21N,
    moving westward around 10 kt. No convection is noted with this
    wave at this time.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 73W south of 21N to
    northwest Venezuela, moving westward around 10 kt. No convection
    is noted with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 11N48W. The
    ITCZ extends from 11N48W to 06N51W to 08N59W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves described above,
    scattered moderate convection is noted within 200 nm on either
    side of the boundaries.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1016 mb high pressure is centered over the central Gulf near
    24N86W, and is generally producing light to gentle anticyclonic
    winds across the basin, except moderate NE winds in the eastern
    Bay of Campeche. Slight seas of 3 ft or less prevail over the
    basin per buoy observations.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over the
    central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
    remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
    gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
    A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
    of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
    period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between weak high pressure over the western
    Atlantic and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
    continues to allow for moderate to fresh trade winds over the
    central Caribbean from the coast of Hispaniola to the coasts of NW
    Venezuela and northern Colombia, with a narrow zone of strong
    winds along the coasts near the Gulf of Venezuela and far NE
    Colombia. Seas are generally 5 to 7 ft with these trades.
    Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere from 11N
    to 18N, with gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
    elsewhere. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    occurring from 09N to 15N W of 80W, including over portions of
    northern Costa Rica, and Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the current pattern across the region will
    continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant rough
    seas over the south-central Caribbean this week. Elsewhere,
    moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside
    from light to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the
    basin. Winds will pulse at times through the week following
    passages several tropical waves that will quickly move west across
    the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
    low pressure, Invest AL96, and tropical wave that emerged off
    Africa.

    A weak surface trough is analyzed across the western Atlantic
    extending SW through 30N75W to 27N79W. Scattered showers are
    within 60 nm of this trough. Moderate SW winds are occurring north
    of the trough. A 1019 mb high pressure is east of this feature
    near 29N70W. South of the high, fresh E-SE winds are noted from
    the southern Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands to near the
    Windward Passage. Gentle to moderate winds prevail elsewhere north
    of 20N and west of 60W. Slight to moderate seas prevail north of
    20N and west of 61W. Invest AL95 is currently N of the area. Its
    associated trough prevails over the waters N of 26N between 60W
    and 62W. Scattered moderate convection prevails E of the trough
    mainly N of 24N between 55W-59W. Another weak surface trough is
    analyzed in the East Atlantic from 29N32W to 25N34W. No
    convection related to this trough. Otherwise, broad high pressure
    ridging prevails. Moderate to fresh trades dominate from north of
    the monsoon trough and ITCZ between Africa and 56W, with 5 to 8
    ft seas. Winds are mainly moderate and seas moderate across any
    remainder waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and thunderstorms
    in the wake of Invest AL95 prevail north of 24N between 54W and
    60W. Fresh to strong south winds are north of 28N between 55W and
    59W. These conditions will diminish through Tue as the low,
    possibly a tropical cyclone, moves farther away from the forecast
    waters. Elsewhere, moderate to at times fresh trades, will prevail
    S of about 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times as
    the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the far
    southern waters into the weekend.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 26 Aug 2026 17:07:21 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 25 Aug 2026 09:34:17 GMT
  • Tue, 25 Aug 2026 05:07:21 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 250507
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
    An area of low pressure located a couple of hundred miles
    east-northeast of Bermuda is moving northward at 15 to 20 mph.
    Recent scatterometer wind data suggests that the center of
    circulation is broad and elongated, and the associated shower
    activity remains disorganized. This system could still become a
    short-lived tropical depression or storm later today before
    encountering increasingly hostile conditions tonight and Wednesday,
    likely ending its chances for development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.

    Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
    An area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south-southeast
    of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
    thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
    development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
    depression during the next few days while it moves westward to
    west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
    Environmental conditions could become less conducive for development
    by the weekend.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 24 Aug 2026 13:50:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 241350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT MON 24 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-085

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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