2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 12 Dec 2025 21:01:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 122101
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Dec 13 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    East Atlantic Gale Warnings:
    MeteoFrance has issued Gale Warnings for their MADEIRA and
    CANARIAS Marine Zones. For Madeira, the warning is valid through
    13/12Z at least, and for Canarias, the warning is valid from
    12/15Z to 13/12Z at least. Please visit website:
    wwmiws.wmo.int/ index.php/metareas/display/2 for more information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
    06N19W. The ITCZ continues from 06N19W to 03N33W to 04N40W to
    03N48W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from 05N to 08N between the coast of Africa and 16W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06N between 20W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. Moderate southerly
    winds prevail over the waters W of 90W. Gentle to moderate winds
    are over the SE Gulf, and light to gentle winds are elsewhere.
    Seas are in the 1-3 ft range.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure located over north Florida
    will slide eastward and into the Atlantic through Sat to produce
    moderate to occasionally fresh E to SE winds across the S and W
    Gulf. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are
    expected over the remainder of the basin through Sat. The next
    cold front is expected to enter the northern Gulf on Sun morning,
    bringing increasing winds and building seas behind the front. The
    front is expected to reach the south-central Gulf along 24N/25N by
    Mon morning, and move south of the basin Mon night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends over the NW Caribbean, with scattered
    moderate convection in its vicinity. Fresh to strong winds prevail
    over the south central Caribbean, where seas are in the 7-10 ft
    range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are elsewhere
    E of 80W. Moderate winds, and seas of 4-5 ft prevail W of 80W.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough
    seas are expected over the central Caribbean through Sun morning
    due to the pressure gradient between the Colombian low and the
    Atlantic ridge. Winds will pulse to near gale-force at night
    offshore of northern Colombia. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
    trade winds and rough seas in large E swell will prevail over the
    Atlantic waters and through the passages and into the eastern part
    of the basin through Mon. A cold front will enter the
    northwestern Caribbean early Mon, accompanied by increasing winds
    and building seas behind the front. This front is expected to
    reach from central Cuba to N Belize Tue evening then begin to
    stall and weaken.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for more information
    about the Gale warning in effect over the Eastern Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from 31N59W across the SE Bahamas to the
    coast of eastern Cuba. Fresh to strong SW winds are noted ahead of
    the front, generally north of 30N to 50W. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and seas of 3-6 ft, prevail W of the front. Seas of 8-9 ft
    are found N of 29N between 52W and 70W. Farther east, a cold
    front extends from 31N10W to 24N24W to 25N35W. Aside from the area
    of gale force winds discussed above, fresh to near- gale force
    winds, and seas of 10-17 ft, prevail N of the front. Fresh to
    locally strong winds, and seas of 7-10 ft, prevail elsewhere S of
    24N. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, are noted
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the front is forecast to become stationary
    tonight into Sat, then lift northward while dissipating. Large NW
    swell is expected north of 27N behind the front through Sat
    morning. The next cold front is forecast to move off the coast of
    the southeastern United States on Sun, with increasing winds and
    quickly building seas expected behind the front. The front is
    forecast to reach from just E of Bermuda to the central Bahamas by
    Mon morning, and from 29N55W to the SE Bahamas and central Cuba
    Tue morning.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 12 Dec 2025 21:01:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 122101
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Dec 13 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    East Atlantic Gale Warnings:
    MeteoFrance has issued Gale Warnings for their MADEIRA and
    CANARIAS Marine Zones. For Madeira, the warning is valid through
    13/12Z at least, and for Canarias, the warning is valid from
    12/15Z to 13/12Z at least. Please visit website:
    wwmiws.wmo.int/ index.php/metareas/display/2 for more information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
    06N19W. The ITCZ continues from 06N19W to 03N33W to 04N40W to
    03N48W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from 05N to 08N between the coast of Africa and 16W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 03N to 06N between 20W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure prevails over the Gulf waters. Moderate southerly
    winds prevail over the waters W of 90W. Gentle to moderate winds
    are over the SE Gulf, and light to gentle winds are elsewhere.
    Seas are in the 1-3 ft range.

    For the forecast, weak high pressure located over north Florida
    will slide eastward and into the Atlantic through Sat to produce
    moderate to occasionally fresh E to SE winds across the S and W
    Gulf. Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are
    expected over the remainder of the basin through Sat. The next
    cold front is expected to enter the northern Gulf on Sun morning,
    bringing increasing winds and building seas behind the front. The
    front is expected to reach the south-central Gulf along 24N/25N by
    Mon morning, and move south of the basin Mon night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends over the NW Caribbean, with scattered
    moderate convection in its vicinity. Fresh to strong winds prevail
    over the south central Caribbean, where seas are in the 7-10 ft
    range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-7 ft, are elsewhere
    E of 80W. Moderate winds, and seas of 4-5 ft prevail W of 80W.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough
    seas are expected over the central Caribbean through Sun morning
    due to the pressure gradient between the Colombian low and the
    Atlantic ridge. Winds will pulse to near gale-force at night
    offshore of northern Colombia. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong
    trade winds and rough seas in large E swell will prevail over the
    Atlantic waters and through the passages and into the eastern part
    of the basin through Mon. A cold front will enter the
    northwestern Caribbean early Mon, accompanied by increasing winds
    and building seas behind the front. This front is expected to
    reach from central Cuba to N Belize Tue evening then begin to
    stall and weaken.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the Special Features section above for more information
    about the Gale warning in effect over the Eastern Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from 31N59W across the SE Bahamas to the
    coast of eastern Cuba. Fresh to strong SW winds are noted ahead of
    the front, generally north of 30N to 50W. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and seas of 3-6 ft, prevail W of the front. Seas of 8-9 ft
    are found N of 29N between 52W and 70W. Farther east, a cold
    front extends from 31N10W to 24N24W to 25N35W. Aside from the area
    of gale force winds discussed above, fresh to near- gale force
    winds, and seas of 10-17 ft, prevail N of the front. Fresh to
    locally strong winds, and seas of 7-10 ft, prevail elsewhere S of
    24N. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 6-8 ft, are noted
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the front is forecast to become stationary
    tonight into Sat, then lift northward while dissipating. Large NW
    swell is expected north of 27N behind the front through Sat
    morning. The next cold front is forecast to move off the coast of
    the southeastern United States on Sun, with increasing winds and
    quickly building seas expected behind the front. The front is
    forecast to reach from just E of Bermuda to the central Bahamas by
    Mon morning, and from 29N55W to the SE Bahamas and central Cuba
    Tue morning.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 12 Dec 2025 17:33:40 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 121733
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1235 PM EST FRI 12 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-012

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. MISSION REQUESTS FOR A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE
    NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP FOR THE
    14/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME, BUT NEITHER REQUEST CAN BE SUPPORTED.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    15/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    16/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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