2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 10:42:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 271042
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Nov 27 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough runs westward from the Sierra Leone Coast to
    near 07N15W, then continues as the ITCZ from 07N15W to 08N35W to
    06N50W. Scattered moderate convection is present near these
    features from 03N to 12N between the Liberia coast and 45W.

    Aided by divergent flow aloft, the eastern end of the East
    Pacific monsoon trough is causing numerous heavy showers and
    isolated strong thunderstorms over the Caribbean offshore waters
    of Costa Rica, western Panama and Nicaragua.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend to 27N92W where it
    stalls and then continues to southern Texas. Active showers and
    thunderstorms are ahead of this frontal boundary being enhanced by
    the presence of two surface troughs, one over the SE basin and the
    other in the Bay of Campeche. Fresh to locally strong N to NE
    winds follow this front along with seas to 8 ft.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move SE and is expected to
    extend from near Tampa to Tampico later this morning, from the
    Florida Straits to near Cabo Rojo, Mexico tonight, and then exit
    the Gulf to the southeast by Fri morning. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will continue along and ahead of the cold front.
    Fresh to strong NE winds will follow in the wake of the cold
    front, with conditions improving Fri night through Sat. Fresh to
    strong return flow will set up in the NW Gulf Fri night and Sat.
    Looking ahead, the next cold front will emerge from the Texas
    coast Sat night and meander slowly southeastward across the NW
    Gulf Sun through Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A tight pressure gradient associated with the Bermuda High and
    lower pressure linked to the E extension of the Pacific monsoon
    continues to support strong to near gales off Colombia and most of
    the SW basin. Seas with these winds are rough in the 8 to 12 ft.
    Moderate to fresh are elsewhere in the central and E Caribbean
    along with moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas are ongoing in the NW Caribbean waters. Otherwise,
    heavy showers and scattered tstms are affecting the offshore
    waters of W Panama, Nicaragua and Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and lower pressure over the SW Caribbean will sustain strong to
    near gale-force trades over the SW and portions of the central
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, through Fri morning.
    Moderate to fresh trades are forecast elsewhere in the eastern and
    central basin through Mon. A cold front will enter the NW
    Caribbean on Fri morning, followed by fresh to strong NE winds.
    The front is forecast to stall from central Cuba to the Yucatan
    Peninsula Fri night, then gradually dissipate over the NW
    Caribbean on Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends southwestward from 31N36W through
    26N50W to 24N61W. High pressure of 1029 mb N of this boundary
    continues to support moderate to fresh NE to E winds over the
    central subtropical Atlantic waters between 38W and 68W where seas
    are rough to 10 ft. A new cold front is emerging off of the NE
    Florida coast this morning, preceded and followed by moderate to
    fresh winds. Seas are moderate. Surface ridging along with
    moderate or weaker winds and seas are ongoing elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh NE winds along the stationary
    front east of 65W will diminish this morning, as the front dissipates.
    A 1029 mb Bermuda High to the north of the front will help to
    sustain fresh E-NE winds south of 23N and in the approach to the
    Windward Passage through tonight before diminishing on Fri. The
    new cold front coming off the NE Florida coast this morning will
    be followed by fresh to locally strong N to NE winds. The cold
    front will extend from 31N72W to the Florida Straits tonight, from
    31N63W through the central Bahamas by Fri night, and then
    dissipate from 31N59W the NW Bahamas by Sun morning. A tight
    pressure gradient in the wake of the front is forecast to bring
    increasing NE winds across much of the forecast area Sat,
    gradually diminishing from west to east Sun.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 10:42:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 271042
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Nov 27 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1020 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough runs westward from the Sierra Leone Coast to
    near 07N15W, then continues as the ITCZ from 07N15W to 08N35W to
    06N50W. Scattered moderate convection is present near these
    features from 03N to 12N between the Liberia coast and 45W.

    Aided by divergent flow aloft, the eastern end of the East
    Pacific monsoon trough is causing numerous heavy showers and
    isolated strong thunderstorms over the Caribbean offshore waters
    of Costa Rica, western Panama and Nicaragua.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from the Florida Big Bend to 27N92W where it
    stalls and then continues to southern Texas. Active showers and
    thunderstorms are ahead of this frontal boundary being enhanced by
    the presence of two surface troughs, one over the SE basin and the
    other in the Bay of Campeche. Fresh to locally strong N to NE
    winds follow this front along with seas to 8 ft.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move SE and is expected to
    extend from near Tampa to Tampico later this morning, from the
    Florida Straits to near Cabo Rojo, Mexico tonight, and then exit
    the Gulf to the southeast by Fri morning. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will continue along and ahead of the cold front.
    Fresh to strong NE winds will follow in the wake of the cold
    front, with conditions improving Fri night through Sat. Fresh to
    strong return flow will set up in the NW Gulf Fri night and Sat.
    Looking ahead, the next cold front will emerge from the Texas
    coast Sat night and meander slowly southeastward across the NW
    Gulf Sun through Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A tight pressure gradient associated with the Bermuda High and
    lower pressure linked to the E extension of the Pacific monsoon
    continues to support strong to near gales off Colombia and most of
    the SW basin. Seas with these winds are rough in the 8 to 12 ft.
    Moderate to fresh are elsewhere in the central and E Caribbean
    along with moderate seas. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas are ongoing in the NW Caribbean waters. Otherwise,
    heavy showers and scattered tstms are affecting the offshore
    waters of W Panama, Nicaragua and Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
    and lower pressure over the SW Caribbean will sustain strong to
    near gale-force trades over the SW and portions of the central
    Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, through Fri morning.
    Moderate to fresh trades are forecast elsewhere in the eastern and
    central basin through Mon. A cold front will enter the NW
    Caribbean on Fri morning, followed by fresh to strong NE winds.
    The front is forecast to stall from central Cuba to the Yucatan
    Peninsula Fri night, then gradually dissipate over the NW
    Caribbean on Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends southwestward from 31N36W through
    26N50W to 24N61W. High pressure of 1029 mb N of this boundary
    continues to support moderate to fresh NE to E winds over the
    central subtropical Atlantic waters between 38W and 68W where seas
    are rough to 10 ft. A new cold front is emerging off of the NE
    Florida coast this morning, preceded and followed by moderate to
    fresh winds. Seas are moderate. Surface ridging along with
    moderate or weaker winds and seas are ongoing elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh NE winds along the stationary
    front east of 65W will diminish this morning, as the front dissipates.
    A 1029 mb Bermuda High to the north of the front will help to
    sustain fresh E-NE winds south of 23N and in the approach to the
    Windward Passage through tonight before diminishing on Fri. The
    new cold front coming off the NE Florida coast this morning will
    be followed by fresh to locally strong N to NE winds. The cold
    front will extend from 31N72W to the Florida Straits tonight, from
    31N63W through the central Bahamas by Fri night, and then
    dissipate from 31N59W the NW Bahamas by Sun morning. A tight
    pressure gradient in the wake of the front is forecast to bring
    increasing NE winds across much of the forecast area Sat,
    gradually diminishing from west to east Sun.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 28 Nov 2025 23:24:27 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 27 Nov 2025 17:00:15 GMT
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 11:24:27 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 271124
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 AM EST Thu Nov 27 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 14:18:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271418
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0920 AM EST THU 27 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-180

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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