2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 05 Dec 2025 10:11:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 051011
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Dec 5 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0955 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 08N13W to 06N21W. The ITCZ
    stretches from 02N21W to 04N33W to 01S46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed south of 11N and between 20W and 50W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low pres near 29N89W to Cabo
    Rojo, Mexico. A few showers are seen north of 28N and between 85W
    and 93W. Fresh to strong N winds and seas of 6-9 ft are occurring
    behind the frontal boundary. Fresh to locally strong SE winds and
    moderate seas are found ahead of the front and north of 29N.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong N winds and rough seas will
    occur in the western Gulf behind the front into this afternoon.
    Mainly moderate or weaker winds are then expected over the basin
    this evening into Sun. Looking ahead, a new cold front is expected
    to enter the northwestern Gulf late on Sun and sweep over the
    basin into early next week, leading to fresh to strong N to NW
    winds and building seas in the wake of the front. Gale-force NW-N
    winds and rough seas may develop off Veracruz Mon afternoon. Winds
    and seas will diminish Tue into Wed.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the Caribbean Sea supports moderate to
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas over much of the basin.
    Rough seas are occurring in the Atlantic passages of the Lesser
    Antilles due to NE-E swell. Pockets of moisture is generating a
    few showers over the central Caribbean, while generally favorable
    weather conditions are found elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the moderate pressure gradient between high
    pressure centered north of the islands and lower pressures in
    northern South America will sustain moderate to fresh easterly
    trade winds and moderate seas over the central and eastern
    Caribbean through the middle of next week. Moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A
    persistent NE-E swell will support rough seas in the Atlantic
    passages of the Lesser Antilles through the forecast period.
    Looking ahead, a cold front may approach the northwestern
    Caribbean early next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N60W to 29N62W, where it becomes
    a dissipating stationary front to the Florida Straits. A few
    surface troughs are seen ahead of this boundary and scattered
    showers are noted east of 60W and north of 25N. Moderate to fresh
    winds and moderate to locally rough seas are found north of 27N
    and between 45W and 63W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
    and moderate seas are occurring south of 23N and west of 71W.
    In the remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, light to
    gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

    A broad subtropical ridge extends southwestward from a 1026 mb
    high pressure near Madeira Island to north of Hispaniola. The
    pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the
    deep tropics results in moderate to fresh easterly winds and rough
    seas south of a line from 31N20W to Puerto Rico. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weakening cold front located east
    of Bermuda is slated to move through the central Atlantic today
    and Sat, leading to fresh winds and rough seas north of 27N and
    east of 65W through tonight. Meanwhile, fresh to locally strong SW
    winds and moderate seas will develop off NE Florida today ahead
    of a cold front that will enter the area tonight. These winds and
    seas will push east quickly Sat into Sat night. The front will
    extend from near Bermuda to central Florida Sun morning and
    dissipate Sun night. Looking ahead, a complex low pressure system
    and strong cold front may move through the northwestern tropical
    Atlantic by early next week, supporting widespread fresh to strong
    winds and building seas ahead of and behind the front.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 05 Dec 2025 10:11:38 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 051011
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Fri Dec 5 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0955 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from 08N13W to 06N21W. The ITCZ
    stretches from 02N21W to 04N33W to 01S46W. Scattered moderate
    convection is observed south of 11N and between 20W and 50W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low pres near 29N89W to Cabo
    Rojo, Mexico. A few showers are seen north of 28N and between 85W
    and 93W. Fresh to strong N winds and seas of 6-9 ft are occurring
    behind the frontal boundary. Fresh to locally strong SE winds and
    moderate seas are found ahead of the front and north of 29N.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong N winds and rough seas will
    occur in the western Gulf behind the front into this afternoon.
    Mainly moderate or weaker winds are then expected over the basin
    this evening into Sun. Looking ahead, a new cold front is expected
    to enter the northwestern Gulf late on Sun and sweep over the
    basin into early next week, leading to fresh to strong N to NW
    winds and building seas in the wake of the front. Gale-force NW-N
    winds and rough seas may develop off Veracruz Mon afternoon. Winds
    and seas will diminish Tue into Wed.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the Caribbean Sea supports moderate to
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas over much of the basin.
    Rough seas are occurring in the Atlantic passages of the Lesser
    Antilles due to NE-E swell. Pockets of moisture is generating a
    few showers over the central Caribbean, while generally favorable
    weather conditions are found elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the moderate pressure gradient between high
    pressure centered north of the islands and lower pressures in
    northern South America will sustain moderate to fresh easterly
    trade winds and moderate seas over the central and eastern
    Caribbean through the middle of next week. Moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A
    persistent NE-E swell will support rough seas in the Atlantic
    passages of the Lesser Antilles through the forecast period.
    Looking ahead, a cold front may approach the northwestern
    Caribbean early next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N60W to 29N62W, where it becomes
    a dissipating stationary front to the Florida Straits. A few
    surface troughs are seen ahead of this boundary and scattered
    showers are noted east of 60W and north of 25N. Moderate to fresh
    winds and moderate to locally rough seas are found north of 27N
    and between 45W and 63W. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
    and moderate seas are occurring south of 23N and west of 71W.
    In the remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, light to
    gentle winds and moderate seas prevail.

    A broad subtropical ridge extends southwestward from a 1026 mb
    high pressure near Madeira Island to north of Hispaniola. The
    pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the
    deep tropics results in moderate to fresh easterly winds and rough
    seas south of a line from 31N20W to Puerto Rico. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a weakening cold front located east
    of Bermuda is slated to move through the central Atlantic today
    and Sat, leading to fresh winds and rough seas north of 27N and
    east of 65W through tonight. Meanwhile, fresh to locally strong SW
    winds and moderate seas will develop off NE Florida today ahead
    of a cold front that will enter the area tonight. These winds and
    seas will push east quickly Sat into Sat night. The front will
    extend from near Bermuda to central Florida Sun morning and
    dissipate Sun night. Looking ahead, a complex low pressure system
    and strong cold front may move through the northwestern tropical
    Atlantic by early next week, supporting widespread fresh to strong
    winds and building seas ahead of and behind the front.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 04 Dec 2025 16:22:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041622
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1125 AM EST THU 04 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-004

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    08/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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