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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 16:52:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 021652
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W, south of 16N,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 10N and east of 24W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 09N to 12N between 51W and 57W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 20N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring S of 12N and W of 80W, likely enhanced by the Eastern
Pacific monsoon trough extending through the region.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N17W and continues southwestward to 06.5N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 06.5N35W to 09N52W. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 05N to 11N and between 24W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate
or lighter winds and slight seas across the basin. Divergence
aloft is producing a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over
the Bay of Campeche as well as the NE Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Any convection in the SW Caribbean is described in the Tropical
Waves section above.
A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge across the
Atlantic and lower pressures in northern Colombia supports fresh
to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds and seas of 8-12
ft in the central to SW Caribbean. The strongest winds and
highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low will support
fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the
central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish slightly
through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near-gale force each
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in the eastern
Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW
part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms are expected
across the SE Caribbean Thu night through Fri night as an upper-
level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 31N74W to the NW Bahamas, aiding in
the development of scattered moderate convection between the NW
Bahamas and SE Florida. Similar convection is occurring north of
27N and between 50W and 65W. A 1034 mb high pressure system
centered NE of the Azores extends a ridge southwestward to the
waters east of the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 24N and west of 35W. Moderate
to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 5-8 ft are present north of 20N
and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extends from
31N74W to the NW Bahamas and will gradually dissipate today while
drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The
Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into central
Florida through early next week. This pattern will support
moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 16:52:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 021652
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W, south of 16N,
moving W at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 06N to 10N and east of 24W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 09N to 12N between 51W and 57W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 20N, moving
westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring S of 12N and W of 80W, likely enhanced by the Eastern
Pacific monsoon trough extending through the region.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N17W and continues southwestward to 06.5N35W.
The ITCZ extends from 06.5N35W to 09N52W. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 05N to 11N and between 24W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate
or lighter winds and slight seas across the basin. Divergence
aloft is producing a few showers and isolated thunderstorms over
the Bay of Campeche as well as the NE Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will dominate the basin
through the forecast period. Fresh to strong NE to E winds will
pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula nightly through early next week
due to local effects associated with a daily surface trough.
Gentle to moderate easterly winds will prevail across the western
half of the Gulf while moderate or lighter winds are expected
elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Any convection in the SW Caribbean is described in the Tropical
Waves section above.
A tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge across the
Atlantic and lower pressures in northern Colombia supports fresh
to locally near gale-force easterly trade winds and seas of 8-12
ft in the central to SW Caribbean. The strongest winds and
highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
ridge north of the islands and the Colombian Low will support
fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the
central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish slightly
through the weekend. Expect winds to reach near-gale force each
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in the eastern
Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW
part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms are expected
across the SE Caribbean Thu night through Fri night as an upper-
level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 31N74W to the NW Bahamas, aiding in
the development of scattered moderate convection between the NW
Bahamas and SE Florida. Similar convection is occurring north of
27N and between 50W and 65W. A 1034 mb high pressure system
centered NE of the Azores extends a ridge southwestward to the
waters east of the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
seas of 4-8 ft are found south of 24N and west of 35W. Moderate
to fresh N-NE winds and seas of 5-8 ft are present north of 20N
and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate
seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a surface trough extends from
31N74W to the NW Bahamas and will gradually dissipate today while
drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S. coast. The
Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into central
Florida through early next week. This pattern will support
moderate to fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or
weaker winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 05:14:24 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 02 Jul 2026 17:50:05 GMT - Thu, 02 Jul 2026 17:14:24 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 021714
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Thu Jul 2 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 02 Jul 2026 13:34:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 021334
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0935 AM EDT THU 02 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-032
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf