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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 09:34:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050934
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 23W/24W from 04N-16N, and is moving west
at 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 33N, south of 16N, moving W at
15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section
below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 43W, south of 17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 75W, south of 20N, moving W at
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to 17N
between 65W and 75W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W. Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N20W
to 08N23W, from 08N25W to 08N32W, from 07N35N to 08N42W, and from
08N44W to 07N58W. Scattered moderate convection is active from
05N to 12N between 25W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends along roughly 27N from the western
Atlantic, across the Florida peninsula, and across the northern
Gulf to the coast of Texas. Farther south, a weak trough is
positioned over the Yucatan Peninsula. This pattern is supporting
fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, as
noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Gentle to
moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are generally 1-3
ft across the basin. A few showers and thunderstorms are active
over the eastern Gulf at the base of an upper trough that extends
over the Mississippi River valley.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Thu. These winds are the result
of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight to
moderate seas are expected basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela, as confirmed
in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. The scatterometer also
indicated fresh E winds off the coast of Honduras and into the
Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere.
Seas are 5-7 ft over the eastern and central Caribbean, and 3-5 ft
elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest Caribbean.
A mid to upper level trough extends from the western Atlantic
across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua. Upper level
divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade wind flow
is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms off northeast
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central
Caribbean through Thu night. The aerial extent of these winds will
increase tonight into Mon. Expect winds to reach near-gale force
at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from
today through Thu. Moderate to fresh trades will continue in the
eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over
the NW part of the basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where
fresh to strong ESE winds are forecast at night Mon and Tue.
Otherwise, a tropical wave, with axis along 74W will continue to
generate scattered showers and thunderstorms over the central
Caribbean waters today.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of 20N, and is
anchored by 1022 mb high pressure centered near 27N42W. A few
showers and thunderstorms are active along a dissipating
stationary front that extends from 1016 mb low pressure near
25N52W to Bermuda to 31N75W. The pattern is supporting gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis,
and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-8 ft seas east
and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will
continue to build westward into central Florida through Thu. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds
are likely at night N of Hispaniola, including approaches to the
Windward Passage, beginning today.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 09:34:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 050934
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 23W/24W from 04N-16N, and is moving west
at 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 33N, south of 16N, moving W at
15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section
below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 43W, south of 17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 75W, south of 20N, moving W at
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to 17N
between 65W and 75W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W. Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N20W
to 08N23W, from 08N25W to 08N32W, from 07N35N to 08N42W, and from
08N44W to 07N58W. Scattered moderate convection is active from
05N to 12N between 25W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends along roughly 27N from the western
Atlantic, across the Florida peninsula, and across the northern
Gulf to the coast of Texas. Farther south, a weak trough is
positioned over the Yucatan Peninsula. This pattern is supporting
fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, as
noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Gentle to
moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are generally 1-3
ft across the basin. A few showers and thunderstorms are active
over the eastern Gulf at the base of an upper trough that extends
over the Mississippi River valley.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Thu. These winds are the result
of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight to
moderate seas are expected basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela, as confirmed
in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. The scatterometer also
indicated fresh E winds off the coast of Honduras and into the
Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere.
Seas are 5-7 ft over the eastern and central Caribbean, and 3-5 ft
elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest Caribbean.
A mid to upper level trough extends from the western Atlantic
across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua. Upper level
divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade wind flow
is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms off northeast
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central
Caribbean through Thu night. The aerial extent of these winds will
increase tonight into Mon. Expect winds to reach near-gale force
at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from
today through Thu. Moderate to fresh trades will continue in the
eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over
the NW part of the basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where
fresh to strong ESE winds are forecast at night Mon and Tue.
Otherwise, a tropical wave, with axis along 74W will continue to
generate scattered showers and thunderstorms over the central
Caribbean waters today.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of 20N, and is
anchored by 1022 mb high pressure centered near 27N42W. A few
showers and thunderstorms are active along a dissipating
stationary front that extends from 1016 mb low pressure near
25N52W to Bermuda to 31N75W. The pattern is supporting gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis,
and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-8 ft seas east
and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will
continue to build westward into central Florida through Thu. This
pattern will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of
22N, and moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds
are likely at night N of Hispaniola, including approaches to the
Windward Passage, beginning today.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 23:17:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 05 Jul 2026 12:20:05 GMT - Sun, 05 Jul 2026 11:17:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
203
ABNT20 KNHC 051117
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 13:00:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041300
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 04 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-034
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf