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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 04:03:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
413
AXNT20 KNHC 090403
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0340 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through the middle
of next week, with gale-force winds occurring tonight offshore of
Colombia, and near gale-force winds occurring inside the Gulf of
Venezuela. The ridge N of the region will gradually shift
southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night. Seas will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the
time of the gale-force winds tonight, and then peak at 10 to 11
ft each of the next few nights.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is near 35W-36W from 07N to 19N, moving west near
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets the
monsoon trough. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
from 07.5N to 12.5N between 32W and 42W.
A tropical wave is along 43W from 12N to 21N, moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no
significant convection currently accompanies the wave.
A tropical wave has entered the eastern Caribbean, and is along
62W from 09N to 18N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 12N to 16N between 59W and 65W. Recent
satellite scatterometer data shows fresh to strong winds from 13N
to 21.5N on either side of the wave axis.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16N and continues southwestward to near 11N22.5W
then on to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N44W to 09N50W to
12N61W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 06N
to 17N E of 20W to the coast of Africa. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 21W and 31W.
Elsewhere, convective activity across the area is related to the
tropical waves.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A low level trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida
Big Bend area to near 26N85.5W. Scattered moderate convection is
seen east of this trough to interior portions of central Florida.
A 1023 mb Bermuda High extends a weak ridge westward along 32N and
inland across the northern Gulf states, and drapped across the
low level trough. This weak pressure pattern across the Gulf is
supporting mostly light to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across
the basin. Moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring across the
western coastal waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a
thermal trough there. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the central
portions of the basin, and along the Mexican coast between Cabo
Rojo and Veracruz.
For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from
the Florida Big Bend into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
showers and thunderstorms through tonight as the trough shifts NW
and inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of Campeche
and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface trough.
Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High westward
across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the basin
through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E to SE
winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds will
occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough
migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
for the waters north of Colombia.
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located just west
of Bermuda and a 1007 mb Colombian low continues to support fresh
to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean south of 16N and
between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 11 ft across much of this
area. Fresh to locally strong trade accompany a tropical wave
across the eastern Caribbean, to the N of 14N, where seas are 4 to
6 ft. Active weather near the wave is described above. Moderate
to fresh trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean while
gentle to moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are
2 to 5 ft with these winds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
continue between Cuba and Jamaica, across the Cayman Islands and
regional waters, including the Yucatan Channel, and are supported
by upper level troughing extending from the NE Caribbean west-
northwestward to the Yucatan channel.
For the forecast, the ridge N of the basin will gradually shift
southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night. Winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds during the
evenings and nights in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage
through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther
southward later next week, which may combine with an approaching
tropical wave to increase easterly trade winds again across the
basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms continue off northeast
Florida, N of 29N and extend northeastward to 74W, to the east of
a low level trough moving across the NE Gulf of America and
extending into SE Georgia. A broad ridge dominates the waters
north of 25N across the basin, broken only by a trough reaching
from 32N50W to 28N57W. Saharan air and suspended dust is evident
east of this trough, north of 13N. The pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N and west of 55W into
the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft. South of 22N and east
of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to the Cabo Verde
Islands, where seas are 4 to 5 ft. Fresh to strong NE winds and
5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands southwestward to 20N.
Elsewhere within the ridge, mostly gentle to moderate breezes and
3-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers across the NW
zones off of Florida will diminish overnight as a surface trough,
currently over the eastern Gulf of America, continues to move W
away from the area. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High will shift
southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will prevail N
of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage through
the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night. The
Atlantic ridge will sink a bit farther southward later next week,
which may combine with an approaching tropical wave to produce
stronger easterly winds. Of note, a tropical wave is expected to
move off the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Gradual development
will be possible thereafter and a tropical depression could form
during the second half of next week while the system moves
westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. The
latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium chance
of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 09 Aug 2026 04:03:32 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
413
AXNT20 KNHC 090403
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Aug 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0340 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb
Bermuda High and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to support fresh to strong trades in the
south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean through the middle
of next week, with gale-force winds occurring tonight offshore of
Colombia, and near gale-force winds occurring inside the Gulf of
Venezuela. The ridge N of the region will gradually shift
southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night. Seas will build into the 12 to 13 ft range during the
time of the gale-force winds tonight, and then peak at 10 to 11
ft each of the next few nights.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is near 35W-36W from 07N to 19N, moving west near
15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is where the wave meets the
monsoon trough. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
from 07.5N to 12.5N between 32W and 42W.
A tropical wave is along 43W from 12N to 21N, moving west at 10
to 15 kt. Saharan Air surrounds this wave, and thus no
significant convection currently accompanies the wave.
A tropical wave has entered the eastern Caribbean, and is along
62W from 09N to 18N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is from 12N to 16N between 59W and 65W. Recent
satellite scatterometer data shows fresh to strong winds from 13N
to 21.5N on either side of the wave axis.
Looking ahead, a tropical wave is expected to move off the west
coast of Africa on Tuesday. Some development of this system will
be possible during the middle to latter part of next week while it
moves westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
The latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium
chance of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16N and continues southwestward to near 11N22.5W
then on to 11N43W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N44W to 09N50W to
12N61W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is noted from 06N
to 17N E of 20W to the coast of Africa. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 12N between 21W and 31W.
Elsewhere, convective activity across the area is related to the
tropical waves.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A low level trough over the eastern Gulf extends from the Florida
Big Bend area to near 26N85.5W. Scattered moderate convection is
seen east of this trough to interior portions of central Florida.
A 1023 mb Bermuda High extends a weak ridge westward along 32N and
inland across the northern Gulf states, and drapped across the
low level trough. This weak pressure pattern across the Gulf is
supporting mostly light to gentle breezes and 1-3 ft seas across
the basin. Moderate to fresh NE winds are occurring across the
western coastal waters of the Yucatan Peninsula, ahead of a
thermal trough there. Diffluent flow aloft is supporting
scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the central
portions of the basin, and along the Mexican coast between Cabo
Rojo and Veracruz.
For the forecast, the surface trough extending southwestward from
the Florida Big Bend into the eastern Gulf will support scattered
showers and thunderstorms through tonight as the trough shifts NW
and inland. Similar activity is expected in the Bay of Campeche
and SW Gulf with the passage of a diurnal surface trough.
Otherwise, a surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High westward
across the northern Gulf, and will dominate most of the basin
through late Tue. This will support gentle to moderate E to SE
winds north of 24N with slight seas. Pulses of fresh winds will
occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of
Campeche each evening and night as a diurnal surface trough
migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in effect
for the waters north of Colombia.
The pressure gradient between a 1023 mb high pressure located just west
of Bermuda and a 1007 mb Colombian low continues to support fresh
to strong trades over the south-central Caribbean south of 16N and
between 68W and 80W. Seas are 6 to 11 ft across much of this
area. Fresh to locally strong trade accompany a tropical wave
across the eastern Caribbean, to the N of 14N, where seas are 4 to
6 ft. Active weather near the wave is described above. Moderate
to fresh trades are over the remainder of the E Caribbean while
gentle to moderate E winds are observed elsewhere. Seas are
2 to 5 ft with these winds. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
continue between Cuba and Jamaica, across the Cayman Islands and
regional waters, including the Yucatan Channel, and are supported
by upper level troughing extending from the NE Caribbean west-
northwestward to the Yucatan channel.
For the forecast, the ridge N of the basin will gradually shift
southward to along 28N through Tue and maintain strong to near
gale-force winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
each night. Winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds during the
evenings and nights in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage
through the forecast period. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
will prevail elsewhere. The Atlantic ridge will shift farther
southward later next week, which may combine with an approaching
tropical wave to increase easterly trade winds again across the
basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and a few thunderstorms continue off northeast
Florida, N of 29N and extend northeastward to 74W, to the east of
a low level trough moving across the NE Gulf of America and
extending into SE Georgia. A broad ridge dominates the waters
north of 25N across the basin, broken only by a trough reaching
from 32N50W to 28N57W. Saharan air and suspended dust is evident
east of this trough, north of 13N. The pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh trade winds south of 22N and west of 55W into
the E Caribbean, where seas are 4 to 7 ft. South of 22N and east
of 55W gentle to moderate trades prevail to the Cabo Verde
Islands, where seas are 4 to 5 ft. Fresh to strong NE winds and
5-8 ft seas extend from the Canary Islands southwestward to 20N.
Elsewhere within the ridge, mostly gentle to moderate breezes and
3-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers across the NW
zones off of Florida will diminish overnight as a surface trough,
currently over the eastern Gulf of America, continues to move W
away from the area. Otherwise, a 1023 mb Bermuda High will shift
southward to along 28N through Tue. Fresh E winds will prevail N
of Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage through
the period, pulsing to strong speeds each evening and night. The
Atlantic ridge will sink a bit farther southward later next week,
which may combine with an approaching tropical wave to produce
stronger easterly winds. Of note, a tropical wave is expected to
move off the west coast of Africa on Tuesday. Gradual development
will be possible thereafter and a tropical depression could form
during the second half of next week while the system moves
westward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. The
latest Tropical Weather Outlook gives this system a medium chance
of tropical cyclone formation through 7 days.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 10 Aug 2026 11:28:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 09 Aug 2026 04:17:40 GMT - Sat, 08 Aug 2026 23:28:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 082328
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Aug 8 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A broad area of disturbed weather associated with a tropical wave
is located a few hundred miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Some gradual development is possible during the early to middle part
of next week while the disturbance moves westward across the central
tropical Atlantic. Upper-level winds are expected to become much
less conducive for development later in the week when the system
approaches the Lesser Antilles.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
Eastern and Central Tropical Atlantic:
Another tropical wave is expected to move off the west coast of
Africa on Tuesday. Gradual development will be possible thereafter
and a tropical depression could form during the second half of next
week while the system moves westward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 14:22:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 081422
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EDT SAT 08 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-069
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO DEVELOPING SYSTEM NEAR 12.0N 142.5W
FOR 11/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
DEVELOPING SYSTEM FOR 12/0000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf