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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 06 May 2026 20:59:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
594
AXNT20 KNHC 062059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu May 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 31W, S of
11N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and continues
southwestward to near 01N29W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 01N35W to
near 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 08N and E
of 26W, and S of 04N between 31N47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Moderate to fresh SE winds prevail across much of the Gulf W of
87W, where seas are in the 4-6 ft range. Gentle to moderate S to
SE winds and 1-3 ft seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between weak high
pressure over the eastern and central Gulf and lower pressures
over Mexico will support moderate to locally fresh southeast winds
in the western Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern
Gulf through late tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong
near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sat. A weak
cold front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters Thu
morning, quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the north as
a warm front Fri into Sat as high pressure ridging builds back in
across the basin from the east. Another cold front may try to
move into the northern Gulf waters late on Sun, and reach from
north- central Florida to eastern Bay of Campeche by late on Mon,
followed by moderate to fresh north to northeast winds. Scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to
marginally severe, are likely to precede the fronts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds are in the south central Caribbean, where
seas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of
3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
forecast period, with similar conditions expected in the Gulf of
Honduras diminishing Mon. Moderate to fresh trades are expected
across the remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A a weak cold front extends from 31N59W to 26N69W. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are SE of the front. Gentle to
moderate winds, and seas of 3-4 ft, prevail N of the front.
Moderate to fresh winds are N of 29N within 60 nm east of the
front. A surface trough extends from 22N26W to 26N36W. Moderate to
fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are found N of the trough.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will shift E of 55W
early on Thu. Another weak cold front will move off northern
Florida Thu night, gradually losing definition as it shifts across
the northern waters through Sat. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some possibly strong, may precede this front as
it emerges off the coast. Elsewhere, winds may pulse to moderate
to fresh off northern Hispaniola, increasing to fresh to strong
this weekend. Winds may freshen off northern Florida Sun night
ahead of a stronger front. Otherwise, relatively weak high
pressure will be in place through the forecast period allowing for
generally quiet conditions across the area.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 06 May 2026 20:59:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
594
AXNT20 KNHC 062059
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu May 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2100 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 31W, S of
11N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and continues
southwestward to near 01N29W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 01N35W to
near 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 08N and E
of 26W, and S of 04N between 31N47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Moderate to fresh SE winds prevail across much of the Gulf W of
87W, where seas are in the 4-6 ft range. Gentle to moderate S to
SE winds and 1-3 ft seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between weak high
pressure over the eastern and central Gulf and lower pressures
over Mexico will support moderate to locally fresh southeast winds
in the western Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern
Gulf through late tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong
near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sat. A weak
cold front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters Thu
morning, quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the north as
a warm front Fri into Sat as high pressure ridging builds back in
across the basin from the east. Another cold front may try to
move into the northern Gulf waters late on Sun, and reach from
north- central Florida to eastern Bay of Campeche by late on Mon,
followed by moderate to fresh north to northeast winds. Scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to
marginally severe, are likely to precede the fronts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds are in the south central Caribbean, where
seas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of
3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
forecast period, with similar conditions expected in the Gulf of
Honduras diminishing Mon. Moderate to fresh trades are expected
across the remainder of the eastern and central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A a weak cold front extends from 31N59W to 26N69W. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are SE of the front. Gentle to
moderate winds, and seas of 3-4 ft, prevail N of the front.
Moderate to fresh winds are N of 29N within 60 nm east of the
front. A surface trough extends from 22N26W to 26N36W. Moderate to
fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are found N of the trough.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will shift E of 55W
early on Thu. Another weak cold front will move off northern
Florida Thu night, gradually losing definition as it shifts across
the northern waters through Sat. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some possibly strong, may precede this front as
it emerges off the coast. Elsewhere, winds may pulse to moderate
to fresh off northern Hispaniola, increasing to fresh to strong
this weekend. Winds may freshen off northern Florida Sun night
ahead of a stronger front. Otherwise, relatively weak high
pressure will be in place through the forecast period allowing for
generally quiet conditions across the area.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 07 May 2026 00:54:24 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf