2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 02 Apr 2026 10:22:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 021022
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Apr 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Guinea coast north
    of Conakry, then curves southwestward to 02N21W. An ITCZ
    continues from 02N21W across 00N29W to northwest of Fortaleza,
    Brazil. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    south of the monsoon trough from 00N to 03N between 10W and 16W,
    and north of the ITCZ within 200 nm of 04N30W. Widely scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is seen farther west from
    00N to 03N between 38W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A robust upper-level trough stretching southward from the Florida
    Panhandle to the Yucatan Peninsula is triggering scattered showers
    and thunderstorms north of the Yucatan Peninsula. Otherwise, a
    surface ridge reaching southwestward from the Florida Big Bend
    area to near Tampico, Mexico is dominating much of the Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present
    northwest and north of the Yucatan Peninsula and across the
    Florida Straits. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 2 to 4 ft
    seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate the Gulf
    through Sat, supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds with
    occasional strong north of the Yucatan Peninsula, in the
    northwestern Gulf and Florida Straits. Seas are expected to be
    moderate during this period. On Sun, a cold front will enter the
    northwestern Gulf and then move southeastward through early next
    week, bringing strong to near gale-force winds and rough seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Latest ASCAT satellite scatterometer data reveal fresh to strong
    NE to E trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft at the south-central basin.
    Fresh with locally strong ENE trades are also noted at the lee of
    Cuba and Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola. Seas range
    from 5 to 7 ft at the lee of Cuba and south of Hispaniola. Seas
    in and near the Windward Passage are from 6 to 9 ft. Gentle to
    moderate ENE to ESE winds and 3 to 6 ft seas prevail elsewhere in
    the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a surface ridge
    near 30N and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE
    winds and rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night. This
    pattern will also support fresh to strong NE to E winds along with
    moderate to rough seas in the lee side of Cuba, the Windward
    Passage, and south of Hispaniola through Fri night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A deep layer trough near 24N59W is generating scattered moderate
    convection from 20N to 27N between 50W and 61W. A surface trough
    is triggering widely scattered showers near the northwest
    Bahamas and southeastern Florida. A broad 1015 mb low pressure is
    causing patchy showers southwest of the Canary Islands. Refer to
    the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the beginning for additional
    convection in the Atlantic Basin. A large 1036 mb high at the
    north Atlantic is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds and
    seas of 9 to 11 ft north of 20N between 45W and the Bahamas,
    except gentle to moderate SE winds with 4 to 7 ft seas off
    northeastern Florida. Farther east from 20N to 31N between 35W and
    45W, moderate NE to E winds and seas at 7 to 9 ft in large NE
    swell exist. For remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W,
    gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft in mixed
    moderate swells prevail from 00N to 20N west of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure at the north
    Atlantic will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    mainly south of 28N, including the central and southeast Bahamas
    through this weekend. Afterward, the high is going to weaken which
    should allow both winds and seas to gradually subside early next
    week. On Mon night and Tue, a cold front exiting the southeastern
    U.S. will cause building winds and seas off northeastern Florida.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 02 Apr 2026 10:22:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 021022
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Apr 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0900 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Guinea coast north
    of Conakry, then curves southwestward to 02N21W. An ITCZ
    continues from 02N21W across 00N29W to northwest of Fortaleza,
    Brazil. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    south of the monsoon trough from 00N to 03N between 10W and 16W,
    and north of the ITCZ within 200 nm of 04N30W. Widely scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is seen farther west from
    00N to 03N between 38W and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A robust upper-level trough stretching southward from the Florida
    Panhandle to the Yucatan Peninsula is triggering scattered showers
    and thunderstorms north of the Yucatan Peninsula. Otherwise, a
    surface ridge reaching southwestward from the Florida Big Bend
    area to near Tampico, Mexico is dominating much of the Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are present
    northwest and north of the Yucatan Peninsula and across the
    Florida Straits. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 2 to 4 ft
    seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the surface ridge will dominate the Gulf
    through Sat, supporting moderate to fresh E to SE winds with
    occasional strong north of the Yucatan Peninsula, in the
    northwestern Gulf and Florida Straits. Seas are expected to be
    moderate during this period. On Sun, a cold front will enter the
    northwestern Gulf and then move southeastward through early next
    week, bringing strong to near gale-force winds and rough seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Latest ASCAT satellite scatterometer data reveal fresh to strong
    NE to E trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft at the south-central basin.
    Fresh with locally strong ENE trades are also noted at the lee of
    Cuba and Windward Passage, and south of Hispaniola. Seas range
    from 5 to 7 ft at the lee of Cuba and south of Hispaniola. Seas
    in and near the Windward Passage are from 6 to 9 ft. Gentle to
    moderate ENE to ESE winds and 3 to 6 ft seas prevail elsewhere in
    the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a surface ridge
    near 30N and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong NE
    winds and rough seas offshore Colombia through Sat night. This
    pattern will also support fresh to strong NE to E winds along with
    moderate to rough seas in the lee side of Cuba, the Windward
    Passage, and south of Hispaniola through Fri night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A deep layer trough near 24N59W is generating scattered moderate
    convection from 20N to 27N between 50W and 61W. A surface trough
    is triggering widely scattered showers near the northwest
    Bahamas and southeastern Florida. A broad 1015 mb low pressure is
    causing patchy showers southwest of the Canary Islands. Refer to
    the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the beginning for additional
    convection in the Atlantic Basin. A large 1036 mb high at the
    north Atlantic is supporting fresh to strong NE to E winds and
    seas of 9 to 11 ft north of 20N between 45W and the Bahamas,
    except gentle to moderate SE winds with 4 to 7 ft seas off
    northeastern Florida. Farther east from 20N to 31N between 35W and
    45W, moderate NE to E winds and seas at 7 to 9 ft in large NE
    swell exist. For remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W,
    gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft in mixed
    moderate swells prevail from 00N to 20N west of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure at the north
    Atlantic will sustain fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas
    mainly south of 28N, including the central and southeast Bahamas
    through this weekend. Afterward, the high is going to weaken which
    should allow both winds and seas to gradually subside early next
    week. On Mon night and Tue, a cold front exiting the southeastern
    U.S. will cause building winds and seas off northeastern Florida.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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