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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 05 Aug 2026 16:31:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051631
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 27W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from
06N to 11.5N between 25W and 29W.
A tropical wave is along 43.5W from 08N to 18.5N, moving west at
5 to 10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
wave at this time.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 82.5W,
extending southward from west of the Cayman Islands, and moving
west at 5 to 10 kt. Isolated to scattered moderate convection is
noted along and to the west of the wave axis from 09N to 19N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N27W to 08N49W. The ITCZ extends from 08N49W
to 08N58W. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 10N
between 29W and 34W and from 07N to 10N between 36.5W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 28.5N85W, supporting
light to gentle winds across most of the basin. A surface trough
in the Bay of Campeche is producing moderate E to SE winds over
the SW basin. Seas basin-wide are 1 to 4 ft. A mid- and upper-
level trough is leading to scattered moderate convection over the
eastern Gulf, and the aforementioned trough is causing scattered
moderate convection over the western Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
promoting gentle to occasionally moderate winds, and slight seas
through the upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur
west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, along with moderate
seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
the basin.
Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 10 ft seas persist across
the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend, winds will
increase to near gale. Rough seas will prevail there, building to
very rough at times this weekend. Fresh winds will also pulse in
the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly
moderate or weaker winds and seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid- and upper-level trough along the SE U.S. coast is
supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms offshore Florida
and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. A surface trough extending
from 24.5N63W to 19N67W is generating scattered moderate
convection from 19N to 27N between 56W and 67W. Fresh to locally
strong E winds and seas to 8 ft area also occurring in this zone.
In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and
moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and in the passages
of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with
gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid- and upper-
level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
Bahamas through at least today. A westward moving surface trough
will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into tonight, then
approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting west of the area by late
Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
during the upcoming weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 05 Aug 2026 16:31:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051631
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 27W from 06N to 17N, moving west at
around 5 to 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from
06N to 11.5N between 25W and 29W.
A tropical wave is along 43.5W from 08N to 18.5N, moving west at
5 to 10 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
wave at this time.
A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis near 82.5W,
extending southward from west of the Cayman Islands, and moving
west at 5 to 10 kt. Isolated to scattered moderate convection is
noted along and to the west of the wave axis from 09N to 19N.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N27W to 08N49W. The ITCZ extends from 08N49W
to 08N58W. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to 10N
between 29W and 34W and from 07N to 10N between 36.5W and 42W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 28.5N85W, supporting
light to gentle winds across most of the basin. A surface trough
in the Bay of Campeche is producing moderate E to SE winds over
the SW basin. Seas basin-wide are 1 to 4 ft. A mid- and upper-
level trough is leading to scattered moderate convection over the
eastern Gulf, and the aforementioned trough is causing scattered
moderate convection over the western Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
promoting gentle to occasionally moderate winds, and slight seas
through the upcoming weekend. Pulses of fresh winds will occur
west of the Yucatan Peninsula each night, along with moderate
seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for information on convection in
the basin.
Fresh to strong E trade winds and 8 to 10 ft seas persist across
the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean, between high
pressure north of area and lower pressure over northern South
America. Moderate E winds and 3-6 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support strong trades in the south-central basin,
and as the gradient tightenings into the weekend, winds will
increase to near gale. Rough seas will prevail there, building to
very rough at times this weekend. Fresh winds will also pulse in
the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly
moderate or weaker winds and seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid- and upper-level trough along the SE U.S. coast is
supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms offshore Florida
and in the vicinity of the Bahamas. A surface trough extending
from 24.5N63W to 19N67W is generating scattered moderate
convection from 19N to 27N between 56W and 67W. Fresh to locally
strong E winds and seas to 8 ft area also occurring in this zone.
In the far NE Atlantic, strong to near- gale N-NE winds and
moderate to rough seas are evident off Morocco and in the passages
of the Canary Islands. Elsewhere, surface ridging prevails, with
gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid- and upper-
level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
Bahamas through at least today. A westward moving surface trough
will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into tonight, then
approach the Bahamas Thu before shifting west of the area by late
Fri, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and locally rough
seas. Weak ridging settles across the northern and central waters
during the upcoming weekend, bringing tranquil marine conditions.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 05:25:18 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 05 Aug 2026 18:38:21 GMT - Wed, 05 Aug 2026 17:25:18 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 051725
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 05 Aug 2026 12:58:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051258
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT WED 05 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-066
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf