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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 05:08:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 260507
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
located along a tropical wave a few hundred miles south-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce showers and
thunderstorms displaced southwest of its center from 08N to 14N
between 24W and 29W. Peak winds are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft
in the vicinity of the low. This activity has changed little in
organization tonight, but environmental conditions remain somewhat
favorable for gradual development over the next couple of days. A
tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic, though environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable for development
by this weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
South Central Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient
between Atlantic high pressure north of the basin and low pressure
over northern Colombia will support pulsing winds to gale force
in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia tonight and Wed
evening and night, with locally very rough seas.
Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W south of 21N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.
A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 71W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W, south of 21N,
moving westward around 20 kt. Scattered showers prevailing the
wave environment.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 22N17W
to 13N45W. The ITCZ continues from 13N45W to 11N53W. Scattered
showers are noted along the monsoon trough between 34W-40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Northerly mid-level winds across the northern Gulf coast continue
to push scattered showers across northern portions of the Gulf,
southward to the area N of 28N between 88W and 93W. A 1015 mb
high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N93W, while a 1016 mb
high is analyzed near 26N84W. Moderate or weaker winds with seas
1-3 ft prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure ridging will
dominate the basin through the remainder of the week and the
upcoming weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight
seas. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate
seas offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the S-central Caribbean.
Outside of the gale area, the pressure gradient between the 1020
mb Bermuda High near 28N66W and the 1007 mb Colombian Low is
forcing an expanding area of fresh to strong trades over the
central Caribbean, from south of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South
America, where seas are 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere winds are moderate
or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong winds across the Caribbean south of 18N through
the next several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to
minimal gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern
Colombia tonight and Wed evening and night with locally very rough
seas. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A mid Atlantic deep layer trough north of the
Greater Antilles along 60W is forcing scattered moderate
convection north of 23N between 56W-59W.
East of 40W, a stationary front is analyzed along 30N. Surface
ridging prevails elsewhere. Winds extending from the Canary
Islands to north of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N
of 16N and E of 35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the elongated deep layered trough
will continue to support showers and thunderstorms over the waters
north of 20N between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high
pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will
prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times
as the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the
far southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 05:08:07 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 260507
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
located along a tropical wave a few hundred miles south-southwest
of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce showers and
thunderstorms displaced southwest of its center from 08N to 14N
between 24W and 29W. Peak winds are near 25 kt with seas to 7 ft
in the vicinity of the low. This activity has changed little in
organization tonight, but environmental conditions remain somewhat
favorable for gradual development over the next couple of days. A
tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic, though environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable for development
by this weekend. Formation chance through 48 hours is high.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
South Central Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient
between Atlantic high pressure north of the basin and low pressure
over northern Colombia will support pulsing winds to gale force
in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern Colombia tonight and Wed
evening and night, with locally very rough seas.
Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W south of 21N, moving
westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection is occurring
in association with this wave.
A Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 71W south of 20N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently occurring with
this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 86W, south of 21N,
moving westward around 20 kt. Scattered showers prevailing the
wave environment.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Africa near 22N17W
to 13N45W. The ITCZ continues from 13N45W to 11N53W. Scattered
showers are noted along the monsoon trough between 34W-40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Northerly mid-level winds across the northern Gulf coast continue
to push scattered showers across northern portions of the Gulf,
southward to the area N of 28N between 88W and 93W. A 1015 mb
high is centered over the NW Gulf near 29N93W, while a 1016 mb
high is analyzed near 26N84W. Moderate or weaker winds with seas
1-3 ft prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, weak and broad high pressure ridging will
dominate the basin through the remainder of the week and the
upcoming weekend with mainly moderate or weaker winds and slight
seas. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh with locally moderate
seas offshore of the western Yucatan Peninsula during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the S-central Caribbean.
Outside of the gale area, the pressure gradient between the 1020
mb Bermuda High near 28N66W and the 1007 mb Colombian Low is
forcing an expanding area of fresh to strong trades over the
central Caribbean, from south of Jamaica and Hispaniola to South
America, where seas are 6 to 9 ft. Elsewhere winds are moderate
or weaker with seas 3-5 ft. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is occurring south of 17N west of 80W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong winds across the Caribbean south of 18N through
the next several days, along with rough seas. Winds will pulse to
minimal gale force in the Gulf of Venezuela and off northern
Colombia tonight and Wed evening and night with locally very rough
seas. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will dominate
the eastern Caribbean, with gentle to moderate winds and slight to
moderate seas in the NW Caribbean. Winds will pulse to fresh near
the Windward Passage. Looking ahead, low pressure, Invest AL96,
in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop into a
tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to portions
of the Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and the tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
A 1029 mb Azores High is centered north of our waters a 41N40W.
The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high and
lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only forcing
moderate trades across the Tropical Atlantic west of 35W, with
seas 4-7 ft. A mid Atlantic deep layer trough north of the
Greater Antilles along 60W is forcing scattered moderate
convection north of 23N between 56W-59W.
East of 40W, a stationary front is analyzed along 30N. Surface
ridging prevails elsewhere. Winds extending from the Canary
Islands to north of the Cabo Verdes are only moderate to fresh N
of 16N and E of 35W, with seas of 5-8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the elongated deep layered trough
will continue to support showers and thunderstorms over the waters
north of 20N between 55W and 61W through at Thu. Moderate high
pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to fresh trades will
prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds pulsing at times
as the northern extent of tropical waves most westward across the
far southern waters into the weekend. Looking ahead, low pressure,
Invest AL96, in the eastern Atlantic has the potential to develop
into a tropical cyclone and bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters by late Sat into Sun.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 27 Aug 2026 17:11:08 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 26 Aug 2026 06:10:08 GMT - Wed, 26 Aug 2026 05:11:08 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 260510
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Aug 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave, located a
few hundred miles south-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands, is
producing showers and thunderstorms that are displaced to the
southwest of its center. Environmental conditions remain somewhat
favorable for development over the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression is likely to form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west-northwestward across the eastern
and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions are forecast
to become less favorable by this weekend, potentially ending its
chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of
Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Recent
scatterometer wind data indicate that the circulation remains
elongated and broad. Environmental conditions are becoming
increasingly hostile, and development is no longer expected.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 14:10:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
404
NOUS42 KNHC 251410
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT TUE 25 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-086
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf