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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 08:42:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100842
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 41W, S of 14N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 53W, S of 15N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 61W, S of 18N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. There is no significant convection
associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 11N15W
and extends SW to 05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 05N30W to 04N52W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted within 90 nm either side of
the monsoon trough/ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds persist over the southern Gulf,
south of 24N, between weak high pressure extending from the
western Gulf to northeast Gulf, and lower pressure farther
southwest, anchored by T.S. Cristina off the Pacific coast of El
Salvador. Seas are 5-7 ft in the south-central Gulf, and 2-4 feet
elsewhere. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are active over the
far southwest Gulf, along the coasts of Tabasco and Veracrz. A
few showers and thunderstorms are active from 24N to 26N supported
by upper level divergent flow.
For the forecast, the surface ridging will continue to dominate the Gulf
region the next few days, supporting gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to fresh
winds in the western Gulf through much of this week. Slight to
moderate seas will also prevail. The exception will be off the
Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will support fresh E
winds pulsing to strong speeds during the evenings through Wed.
A trough or weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan
Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night,
accompanied by numerous thunderstorms, strong winds, and rough
seas across the west-central Gulf into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and T.S.
Cristina in the Eastern Pacific offshore of El Salvador supports
moderate to fresh winds with moderate seas from the central
Caribbean to the northwest Caribbean. Gentle to moderate trades
and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
T.S. Cristina in the Eastern Pacific offshore of El Salvador supports
fresh E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas from south-central to the
northwest Caribbean. Gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
prevail elsewhere. Looking ahead, a ridge will build across the
western Atlantic Thu night through Sun. Expect fresh to strong SE
winds and rough seas over the northwest Caribbean west of 85W Thu
into Sat, between the ridge and the remnant of Cristina over
southern Mexico. The building ridge will also support fresh to
strong trade winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean
through Sun.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Thunderstorms persist near weak 1015 mb low pressure 25N64W on
the southern end of a surface trough extending to 30N55W. A
weak stationary front reaches from the Carolinas to south of
Bermuda. These features are distrupting the typical subtropical
ridge over the area west of 60W, supporting only gentle breezes
and 2-4 ft seas. Farther east, a ridge extends from 1029 mb high
pressure over the Azores ot 25N50W. Elsewhere east of 35W, the
pattern is supporting gentle SE to S breezes and 5-6 ft seas along
the ridge axis, and moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of the
ridge axis. East of 35W, fresh to strong NE winds 7-9 ft seas are
noted north of 24N, and gentle to moderate NE breezes and 4-6 ft
seas south of 24N.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure will dissipate as
it moves northeastward along the trough through Thu. Meanwhile, a
weak stationary front currently between northeast Florida and
Bermuda will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak low pressure.
The Atlantic ridge will build across the region late Thu through
Fri along roughly 25N. Looking ahead, this pattern will support
moderate to fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola at night from
Fri night through Sun night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 08:42:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 100842
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0830 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 41W, S of 14N, moving west at
10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the Monsoon
Trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 53W, S of 15N, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 61W, S of 18N, moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. There is no significant convection
associated with this wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 11N15W
and extends SW to 05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 05N30W to 04N52W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted within 90 nm either side of
the monsoon trough/ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds persist over the southern Gulf,
south of 24N, between weak high pressure extending from the
western Gulf to northeast Gulf, and lower pressure farther
southwest, anchored by T.S. Cristina off the Pacific coast of El
Salvador. Seas are 5-7 ft in the south-central Gulf, and 2-4 feet
elsewhere. Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are active over the
far southwest Gulf, along the coasts of Tabasco and Veracrz. A
few showers and thunderstorms are active from 24N to 26N supported
by upper level divergent flow.
For the forecast, the surface ridging will continue to dominate the Gulf
region the next few days, supporting gentle to moderate east to
southeast winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to fresh
winds in the western Gulf through much of this week. Slight to
moderate seas will also prevail. The exception will be off the
Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will support fresh E
winds pulsing to strong speeds during the evenings through Wed.
A trough or weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan
Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night,
accompanied by numerous thunderstorms, strong winds, and rough
seas across the west-central Gulf into Sun.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and T.S.
Cristina in the Eastern Pacific offshore of El Salvador supports
moderate to fresh winds with moderate seas from the central
Caribbean to the northwest Caribbean. Gentle to moderate trades
and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and
T.S. Cristina in the Eastern Pacific offshore of El Salvador supports
fresh E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas from south-central to the
northwest Caribbean. Gentle to moderate trades and moderate seas
prevail elsewhere. Looking ahead, a ridge will build across the
western Atlantic Thu night through Sun. Expect fresh to strong SE
winds and rough seas over the northwest Caribbean west of 85W Thu
into Sat, between the ridge and the remnant of Cristina over
southern Mexico. The building ridge will also support fresh to
strong trade winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean
through Sun.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Thunderstorms persist near weak 1015 mb low pressure 25N64W on
the southern end of a surface trough extending to 30N55W. A
weak stationary front reaches from the Carolinas to south of
Bermuda. These features are distrupting the typical subtropical
ridge over the area west of 60W, supporting only gentle breezes
and 2-4 ft seas. Farther east, a ridge extends from 1029 mb high
pressure over the Azores ot 25N50W. Elsewhere east of 35W, the
pattern is supporting gentle SE to S breezes and 5-6 ft seas along
the ridge axis, and moderate to fresh NE to E winds south of the
ridge axis. East of 35W, fresh to strong NE winds 7-9 ft seas are
noted north of 24N, and gentle to moderate NE breezes and 4-6 ft
seas south of 24N.
For the forecast west of 55W, the low pressure will dissipate as
it moves northeastward along the trough through Thu. Meanwhile, a
weak stationary front currently between northeast Florida and
Bermuda will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak low pressure.
The Atlantic ridge will build across the region late Thu through
Fri along roughly 25N. Looking ahead, this pattern will support
moderate to fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola at night from
Fri night through Sun night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 11 Jun 2026 23:36:59 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 10 Jun 2026 13:20:15 GMT - Wed, 10 Jun 2026 11:36:59 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 101136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Bay of Campeche:
A broad area of low pressure could form over the Bay of Campeche
late this week. Conditions are not expected to be favorable for
significant development, and the system should move inland over
eastern Mexico late this weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 09 Jun 2026 13:50:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT TUE 09 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-009
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf