SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 14:28:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 291428
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1420 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W,
south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is found from 03N-08N between 25W-32W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 61W, south of
14N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
found along the wave axis from 06N-10N between 59W-61W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 69W, south of
20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends from 10N20W to 05N40W to
06N53W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves
described above, no significant convection is present at this
time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1019 mb high pressure is centered over the northeast Gulf near
28N86W. A trough is over the Bay of Campeche in the far southwest
Gulf along 92W south of 22N. Moderate S to SW winds and 3 to 5 ft
seas are noted over the western Gulf with gentle breezes and 1 to
3 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Various observations over southern
Mexico including Veracruz are showing minor limitations to
visibility due to haze.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region while
a weak cold front is forecast to reach the NE Gulf late tonight
into Tue with little impact in winds and seas. Fresh to locally
strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula
nightly through Fri night due to local effects associated with a
thermal trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the western
half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate speeds Tue
morning and then prevail the remainder forecast period. Moderate
or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except for light
to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. A few thunderstorms are active across
Trinidad associated with a tropical wave moving into the Windward
Islands. No significant convection is evident elsewhere.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
winds over the central Caribbean through the forecast period,
reaching near-gale speeds offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate
or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder of the basin
during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands near
24N65W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain
active within 180 nm southeast of an associated surface trough
extending from 26N62W to 21N67W. The remainder of the Atlantic
discussion area is dominated by the subtropical ridge north of
20N, interrupted only by a surface trough along roughly 45W from
20N to 25N. This pattern is supporting moderate winds and 3-5 ft
seas north of 20N, east of 35W. It is also supporting moderate to
fresh trade winds farther south over the deep tropics east of 35W
with 5-7 ft seas, except near 8 ft southeast of Barbados. In the
far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly winds and
seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and east of 20W.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent elsewhere
east of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the forecast area through today. While most of the basin will
experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings for
the next several days. A weak cold front will push off of the SE
United States coast today and extend from 31N72W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
along the western end of the frontal system in the next day or
two. Gradual development is possible while the system drifts
southward and then westward before environmental conditions become
less conducive later this week.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 14:28:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 291428
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Jun 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1420 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 30W,
south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is found from 03N-08N between 25W-32W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 61W, south of
14N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
found along the wave axis from 06N-10N between 59W-61W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 69W, south of
20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W. The ITCZ extends from 10N20W to 05N40W to
06N53W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves
described above, no significant convection is present at this
time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1019 mb high pressure is centered over the northeast Gulf near
28N86W. A trough is over the Bay of Campeche in the far southwest
Gulf along 92W south of 22N. Moderate S to SW winds and 3 to 5 ft
seas are noted over the western Gulf with gentle breezes and 1 to
3 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Various observations over southern
Mexico including Veracruz are showing minor limitations to
visibility due to haze.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region while
a weak cold front is forecast to reach the NE Gulf late tonight
into Tue with little impact in winds and seas. Fresh to locally
strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula
nightly through Fri night due to local effects associated with a
thermal trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds across the western
half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate speeds Tue
morning and then prevail the remainder forecast period. Moderate
or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except for light
to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 8-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. A few thunderstorms are active across
Trinidad associated with a tropical wave moving into the Windward
Islands. No significant convection is evident elsewhere.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the basin
combined with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade
winds over the central Caribbean through the forecast period,
reaching near-gale speeds offshore of Colombia at night. Moderate
or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder of the basin
during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands near
24N65W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain
active within 180 nm southeast of an associated surface trough
extending from 26N62W to 21N67W. The remainder of the Atlantic
discussion area is dominated by the subtropical ridge north of
20N, interrupted only by a surface trough along roughly 45W from
20N to 25N. This pattern is supporting moderate winds and 3-5 ft
seas north of 20N, east of 35W. It is also supporting moderate to
fresh trade winds farther south over the deep tropics east of 35W
with 5-7 ft seas, except near 8 ft southeast of Barbados. In the
far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force northerly winds and
seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and east of 20W.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent elsewhere
east of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will dominate
the forecast area through today. While most of the basin will
experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the afternoons and early evenings for
the next several days. A weak cold front will push off of the SE
United States coast today and extend from 31N72W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
along the western end of the frontal system in the next day or
two. Gradual development is possible while the system drifts
southward and then westward before environmental conditions become
less conducive later this week.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 30 Jun 2026 23:53:06 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 29 Jun 2026 15:00:05 GMT - Mon, 29 Jun 2026 11:53:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 291149
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the southeastern
U.S. coast are associated with an area of low pressure along a
frontal boundary. Environmental conditions only appear marginally
favorable for some tropical development over the next day or two as
the system drifts southward and then westward before conditions
become even less favorable later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 13:36:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 291336
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT MON 29 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-029
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 31.0N 71.5W FOR 01/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf