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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 29 Jul 2026 04:56:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290456
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed in the far E Atlantic with axis near
19W, extending from 04N to 19N, and moving westward around 10 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 15W
and 21W.
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 39W,
extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20
kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
Anegada Passage, and is moving westward at around 10-15 kt. No
significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
with this wave.
A tropical wave is in the WW Caribbean with axis along 85W, south
of 20N and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean, and is
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
seen S of 18N and W of 81W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
Mauritania at 19N16W and continues to 07N45W. The ITCZ begins
near 07N45W and continues to 07.5N57W. Other than the convection
associated with the tropical waves as described above, a small
cluster of scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
between 42W and 48W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough is analyzed from north of Tampa Bay into the NE
Gulf, with scattered showers near the trough axis. The remainder
of the Gulf is under the influence of a weak 1013 mb high
centered near 26N92W, which is supporting light to gentle
anticyclonic winds from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
Texas.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue during the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to
the presence of a frontal boundary over north-central Florida.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are also occurring
nearshore western Jamaica.
The pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
America and the ridge is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades over the central to SW Caribbean along with 7 to 10 ft
seas. Winds are moderate to fresh across the eastern Caribbean and
remainder of the SW Caribbean, where seas are moderate. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds prevail across the remainder of basin,
with slight to moderate seas.
For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low
increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
Wed through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
through 31N71W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida. Fresh to locally
strong SW winds are found north of 27N and east of the boundary to
near 65W, along with 5-8 ft seas. Nearby scattered moderate
convection is found east of the trough to near 65W to the north of
24N. A 1024 mb high pressure near 30N45W and an associated ridge
dominate the remainder of the subtropical Atlantic waters.
Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of the monsoon trough
and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with moderate to locally
fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere southeast of the
frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are near Africa to
the Canary Islands from 17N to 27N to the east of 20W. Moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida,
will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
days. Fresh to strong trades will develop just north of Hispaniola
and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 29 Jul 2026 04:56:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 290456
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed in the far E Atlantic with axis near
19W, extending from 04N to 19N, and moving westward around 10 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between 15W
and 21W.
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 39W,
extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20
kt. Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.
A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
Anegada Passage, and is moving westward at around 10-15 kt. No
significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
with this wave.
A tropical wave is in the WW Caribbean with axis along 85W, south
of 20N and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean, and is
moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
seen S of 18N and W of 81W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
Mauritania at 19N16W and continues to 07N45W. The ITCZ begins
near 07N45W and continues to 07.5N57W. Other than the convection
associated with the tropical waves as described above, a small
cluster of scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
between 42W and 48W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface trough is analyzed from north of Tampa Bay into the NE
Gulf, with scattered showers near the trough axis. The remainder
of the Gulf is under the influence of a weak 1013 mb high
centered near 26N92W, which is supporting light to gentle
anticyclonic winds from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
Texas.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
continue during the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to
the presence of a frontal boundary over north-central Florida.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are also occurring
nearshore western Jamaica.
The pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
America and the ridge is supporting fresh to locally strong
trades over the central to SW Caribbean along with 7 to 10 ft
seas. Winds are moderate to fresh across the eastern Caribbean and
remainder of the SW Caribbean, where seas are moderate. Gentle to
moderate or weaker winds prevail across the remainder of basin,
with slight to moderate seas.
For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade
winds will increase from late Wed into Thu as the pressure
gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low
increases. By that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate
to rough seas across most of the eastern and central Caribbean,
with the strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh
to strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly from
Wed through Fri.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
through 31N71W to near Cape Canaveral, Florida. Fresh to locally
strong SW winds are found north of 27N and east of the boundary to
near 65W, along with 5-8 ft seas. Nearby scattered moderate
convection is found east of the trough to near 65W to the north of
24N. A 1024 mb high pressure near 30N45W and an associated ridge
dominate the remainder of the subtropical Atlantic waters.
Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of the monsoon trough
and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with moderate to locally
fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere southeast of the
frontal trough. Fresh to locally strong winds are near Africa to
the Canary Islands from 17N to 27N to the east of 20W. Moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
in combination with a stationary frontal boundary off NE Florida,
will force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
days. Fresh to strong trades will develop just north of Hispaniola
and Puerto Rico from Wed through Sat.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 30 Jul 2026 17:11:14 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 29 Jul 2026 07:40:13 GMT - Wed, 29 Jul 2026 05:11:14 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
891
ABNT20 KNHC 290511
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 28 Jul 2026 14:23:32 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 281423
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1025 AM EDT TUE 28 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 29/1100Z TO 30/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-058
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM FAUSTO
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
A. 30/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0906E FAUSTO
C. 29/2230Z
D. 23.2N 158.0W
E. 29/2330Z TO 30/0300Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf