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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 02 May 2026 22:52:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 022252
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun May 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2250 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A late-season cold front extends
from near Tampa Bay, Florida to near Veracruz, Mexico. Latest
scatterometer data indicate strong to gale force northerly winds
in the wake of the front, with the strongest winds in the Tampico
area. Satellite altimeter and moored buoy data indicates seas
ranging from 8 to 11 ft. The cold front will reach from SW Florida
to the Bay of Campeche on Sun morning, then stall and gradually
wash out by Mon morning. The gales will slide along the Mexican coast
near Veracruz this evening, before diminishing Sun afternoon. Seas
will build to 12 or 13 ft in strongest winds. Marine conditions
will improve by early Mon, with ridging gradually building back
over the basin into early Tue. Currently, a wide band of showers
and thunderstorms is related to front over Florida and the NE
Gulf. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas are likely
within this convective band.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The first tropical wave of the season is analyzed along 33W,
from 12N southward, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is near the southern tip of the wave axis S
of 04N between 30W and 35W. The wave continues to move through
hostile dry conditions which inhibit other impacts.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through Sierra Leone near
08N12W, then continues SW to near 03N18W. The ITCZ extends from
03N18W to NE Brazil near 02S46W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is S of 01N between 30W and 43W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for information on
a Gale Warning for the western Gulf.
As referenced above, a cold front is moving across the Gulf
waters and extends from near Tampa Bay, Florida to near Veracruz,
Mexico, with strong to gale force winds and rough seas behind
it. An active band of showers and thunderstorms is over Florida
and the NE Gulf. Ahead of the front, moderate to fresh S to SW
winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast, please, see the Special Features section for
more details. Looking ahead, moderate to fresh SE to S return
flow will set up in the W Gulf Tue night and Wed. Another cold
front may reach the NW Gulf by Thu.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1019 mb high pressure in the Atlantic
located near 25N58W and a 1009 mb low pressure over northern Colombia
is sustaining fresh to strong trades in the central Caribbean. Moderate
to fresh winds are noted elsewhere across the basin per the latest
satellite scatterometer data. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are within the strongest
winds in the central Caribbean, and 3 to 5 ft are observed elsewhere.
Convection is flare-up over the Yucatan Peninsula. A large area of
showers and thunderstorms is affecting the SW Caribbean, particularly
south of 12N, between 75W and 84W. This includes coastal regions of
Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and southern Nicaragua. Gusty winds,
frequent lightning, and higher seas are likely in this area.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean and moderate to fresh trades over
the remainder of the E and central Caribbean for the next several
days. The SE fresh to strong winds over the Gulf of Honduras will
diminish on Sun as a weakening cold front approaches the Yucatan
Channel. After the cold front dissipates near the Yucatan Channel
on Mon, expect SE winds over the Gulf of Honduras to increase again
Tue through Thu.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front has emerged off of the SE United States coast and extends
from a 1005 mb low pressure located N of the area near 34N73W to
north-central Florida. A wide band of showers and thunderstorms is
related to front. Mainly fresh winds are observed ahead and behind
the front N of 27N. High pressure dominates the remainder of the
forecast waters, with a 1020 mb center located just W of the Canary
Islands, and a 1019 mb center situated near 25N58W. Its associated
ridge extends westward reaching the Bahamas, South Florida and
the Greater Antilles. The pressure gradient between the ridge and
lower pressures over W Africa is promoting an area of moderate
to fresh N winds and moderate to rough seas between W Africa and
the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trades are seen
across the remainder of the tropical Atlantic. Elsewhere E of 70W,
light to gentle winds are noted. W of 70W and SE of the aforementioned
cold front, moderate to locally fresh SE to S winds are blowing.
Moderate seas dominate the entire forecast region.
For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned cold front will
reach from near 31N72W to the N Bahamas on Sun morning, and from
31N60W to a low forming near 27N74W Mon morning. The low will ride
along the frontal boundary to be just south of Bermuda Tue morning
with the front extending southwestward to the central Bahamas.
The front should be dissipating by Wed morning. Expect fresh to
strong SW winds south of the front tonight and Sun, followed by
fresh to strong NE winds north of the front on Mon and Tue. Looking
ahead, conditions should become quiet Tue night through Thu.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 02 May 2026 22:52:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 022252
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun May 3 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2250 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A late-season cold front extends
from near Tampa Bay, Florida to near Veracruz, Mexico. Latest
scatterometer data indicate strong to gale force northerly winds
in the wake of the front, with the strongest winds in the Tampico
area. Satellite altimeter and moored buoy data indicates seas
ranging from 8 to 11 ft. The cold front will reach from SW Florida
to the Bay of Campeche on Sun morning, then stall and gradually
wash out by Mon morning. The gales will slide along the Mexican coast
near Veracruz this evening, before diminishing Sun afternoon. Seas
will build to 12 or 13 ft in strongest winds. Marine conditions
will improve by early Mon, with ridging gradually building back
over the basin into early Tue. Currently, a wide band of showers
and thunderstorms is related to front over Florida and the NE
Gulf. Gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas are likely
within this convective band.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The first tropical wave of the season is analyzed along 33W,
from 12N southward, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is near the southern tip of the wave axis S
of 04N between 30W and 35W. The wave continues to move through
hostile dry conditions which inhibit other impacts.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through Sierra Leone near
08N12W, then continues SW to near 03N18W. The ITCZ extends from
03N18W to NE Brazil near 02S46W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is S of 01N between 30W and 43W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for information on
a Gale Warning for the western Gulf.
As referenced above, a cold front is moving across the Gulf
waters and extends from near Tampa Bay, Florida to near Veracruz,
Mexico, with strong to gale force winds and rough seas behind
it. An active band of showers and thunderstorms is over Florida
and the NE Gulf. Ahead of the front, moderate to fresh S to SW
winds and 3 to 5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast, please, see the Special Features section for
more details. Looking ahead, moderate to fresh SE to S return
flow will set up in the W Gulf Tue night and Wed. Another cold
front may reach the NW Gulf by Thu.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1019 mb high pressure in the Atlantic
located near 25N58W and a 1009 mb low pressure over northern Colombia
is sustaining fresh to strong trades in the central Caribbean. Moderate
to fresh winds are noted elsewhere across the basin per the latest
satellite scatterometer data. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are within the strongest
winds in the central Caribbean, and 3 to 5 ft are observed elsewhere.
Convection is flare-up over the Yucatan Peninsula. A large area of
showers and thunderstorms is affecting the SW Caribbean, particularly
south of 12N, between 75W and 84W. This includes coastal regions of
Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and southern Nicaragua. Gusty winds,
frequent lightning, and higher seas are likely in this area.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north
of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean and moderate to fresh trades over
the remainder of the E and central Caribbean for the next several
days. The SE fresh to strong winds over the Gulf of Honduras will
diminish on Sun as a weakening cold front approaches the Yucatan
Channel. After the cold front dissipates near the Yucatan Channel
on Mon, expect SE winds over the Gulf of Honduras to increase again
Tue through Thu.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front has emerged off of the SE United States coast and extends
from a 1005 mb low pressure located N of the area near 34N73W to
north-central Florida. A wide band of showers and thunderstorms is
related to front. Mainly fresh winds are observed ahead and behind
the front N of 27N. High pressure dominates the remainder of the
forecast waters, with a 1020 mb center located just W of the Canary
Islands, and a 1019 mb center situated near 25N58W. Its associated
ridge extends westward reaching the Bahamas, South Florida and
the Greater Antilles. The pressure gradient between the ridge and
lower pressures over W Africa is promoting an area of moderate
to fresh N winds and moderate to rough seas between W Africa and
the Cabo Verde Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trades are seen
across the remainder of the tropical Atlantic. Elsewhere E of 70W,
light to gentle winds are noted. W of 70W and SE of the aforementioned
cold front, moderate to locally fresh SE to S winds are blowing.
Moderate seas dominate the entire forecast region.
For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned cold front will
reach from near 31N72W to the N Bahamas on Sun morning, and from
31N60W to a low forming near 27N74W Mon morning. The low will ride
along the frontal boundary to be just south of Bermuda Tue morning
with the front extending southwestward to the central Bahamas.
The front should be dissipating by Wed morning. Expect fresh to
strong SW winds south of the front tonight and Sun, followed by
fresh to strong NE winds north of the front on Mon and Tue. Looking
ahead, conditions should become quiet Tue night through Thu.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 03 May 2026 04:29:45 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf