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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 16:30:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041630
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1627 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W from 05N to 14.5N,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 14N between 17W and 29W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W from 05N to 19N,
moving west at 5 to 10 kt. There is no convection in association
with this wave at this time.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75.5W, from
eastern Cuba to Colombia, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted in the vicinity of the Windward
Passage.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
southwestward to 07N46W. The ITCZ extends from 07N46W to 09N58.5W.
Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 07N to 11N between
40.5W and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 27N87W, supporting light
to gentle winds across most of the basin. Convection has
dissipated in association with a surface trough in the Bay of
Campeche, however, moderate E to SE winds continue over the area.
Seas are slight to 4 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
promoting gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend.
Pulses of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each
night, locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb, centered near
34N59W, and lower pressures over southern Caribbean due to the
passage of a tropical wave and a low center over NW Colombia is
supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin.
Seas in this region are rough to 9 ft. Over the E and NW basin,
moderate to locally fresh trades prevail along with moderate
seas. Broad lift associated with an upper level trough and deep
tropical moisture are aiding in the development of isolated to
scattered moderate convection from 10N to 16N and west of 78.5W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
basin into the weekend, with rough seas there, near gale force at
times. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
weaker winds ands seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid to upper lever trough supports scattered moderate
convection over the SW N Atlantic, including the Florida seaboard,
Great Bahama Bank, and Bahamas offshore waters W of 74W.
Scattered moderate convection has also developed farther east from
21.5N to 29N between 65.5W and 71W. Similar convection is also
present from 21N to 28N between 50W and 62W. The remainder of the
basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate S to SW winds are offshore northern Florida to 72W.
Fresh trades are present offshore Hispaniola, and in a zone from
23.5N to 28N between 48W and 61W. In the far NE Atlantic, strong
to near-gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are evident
off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper
level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
Bahamas into Wed. Locally strong trades will continue pulsing
offshore Hispaniola to near the Windward Passage. A westward
moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into
mid-week, then approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting
west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
locally rough seas.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 16:30:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041630
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1627 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An east Atlantic tropical wave is along 21W from 05N to 14.5N,
moving west at around 10 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
convection is noted from 06N to 14N between 17W and 29W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 39W from 05N to 19N,
moving west at 5 to 10 kt. There is no convection in association
with this wave at this time.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75.5W, from
eastern Cuba to Colombia, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is noted in the vicinity of the Windward
Passage.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N17W and continues
southwestward to 07N46W. The ITCZ extends from 07N46W to 09N58.5W.
Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 07N to 11N between
40.5W and 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1016 mb high pressure is centered near 27N87W, supporting light
to gentle winds across most of the basin. Convection has
dissipated in association with a surface trough in the Bay of
Campeche, however, moderate E to SE winds continue over the area.
Seas are slight to 4 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure will generally dominate,
promoting gentle winds and slight seas into the upcoming weekend.
Pulses of fresh winds will occur of the Yucatan Peninsula each
night, locally strong Wed night, along with moderate seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The gradient between the Bermuda High, of 1025 mb, centered near
34N59W, and lower pressures over southern Caribbean due to the
passage of a tropical wave and a low center over NW Colombia is
supporting fresh to strong trades over the south-central basin.
Seas in this region are rough to 9 ft. Over the E and NW basin,
moderate to locally fresh trades prevail along with moderate
seas. Broad lift associated with an upper level trough and deep
tropical moisture are aiding in the development of isolated to
scattered moderate convection from 10N to 16N and west of 78.5W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to support fresh to strong trades over the central
basin into the weekend, with rough seas there, near gale force at
times. Fresh to locally strong winds will also pulse in the Gulf
of Honduras and Windward Passage. Otherwise, mainly moderate or
weaker winds ands seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A mid to upper lever trough supports scattered moderate
convection over the SW N Atlantic, including the Florida seaboard,
Great Bahama Bank, and Bahamas offshore waters W of 74W.
Scattered moderate convection has also developed farther east from
21.5N to 29N between 65.5W and 71W. Similar convection is also
present from 21N to 28N between 50W and 62W. The remainder of the
basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate S to SW winds are offshore northern Florida to 72W.
Fresh trades are present offshore Hispaniola, and in a zone from
23.5N to 28N between 48W and 61W. In the far NE Atlantic, strong
to near-gale N-NE winds and moderate to rough seas are evident
off Morocco and in the water passages of the Canary Islands.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned mid to upper
level trough along the SE U.S. coast will keep scattered
thunderstorms ongoing offshore Florida and in the vicinity of the
Bahamas into Wed. Locally strong trades will continue pulsing
offshore Hispaniola to near the Windward Passage. A westward
moving trough will pass north of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola into
mid-week, then approach the Bahamas by late week before shifting
west of the area, bringing fresh to locally strong winds and
locally rough seas.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 05:42:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 04 Aug 2026 20:36:24 GMT - Tue, 04 Aug 2026 17:42:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
374
ABNT20 KNHC 041742
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hurley
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 04 Aug 2026 13:40:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT TUE 04 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-065
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf