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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 04 Jun 2026 09:00:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040900
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0840 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1031
mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones. Gale-
force winds are expected from 04/1500 to 05/0000 UTC with severe
gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions
will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer to the
Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
https://wwmiws.wmo.int
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new eastern Atlantic tropical wave was analyzed near 17W south
of 14N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
active from 06N to 09N between 13W and 18W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 13N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 08N to 11N between 47W and 55W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing the shower and
thunderstorm activity across NE South America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N25W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N25W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection
is present from 02N to 05N between 21W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weakening stationary front extends from southern Florida to SE
Louisiana. A surface trough extends from 27N89W to the eastern
Bay of Campeche. A tight pressure gradient behind the front forces
fresh to strong easterly winds and moderate to rough seas.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas are
present across the southeast Gulf. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and plenty of
tropical moisture result in scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf waters, east of 90W.
For the forecast, pressure is falling over the
central Gulf along the trough, and low pressure weak may form
later today near 26N90W even as the front dissipates. This will
enhance the strong winds and rough seas over the north-central
Gulf this afternoon and evening. Meanwhile, scattered
thunderstorms will continue today over the south-central and
southeast Gulf, south of the front. Winds and seas will diminish
starting Fri as the low dissipates to a remnant trough as it moves
onshore over southwest Louisiana, and as a ridge builds from the
western Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. Looking ahead, this
pattern will support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight
to moderate seas into early next week, except for occasionally
fresh to strong pulses off northwest Yucatan during the evenings.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A ridge extends from 1031 mb high pressure system centered
southwest of the Azores southwestward to the Caribbean Sea,
supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in
the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are noted in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the SW Caribbean, while
fast- moving showers are passing across the NE Caribbean.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
shift east through Thu, allowing moderate to locally fresh trade
winds and moderate seas to dominate much of the the Caribbean by
Fri morning. The exception will be pulsing fresh to strong winds
off Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night
through Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge will rebuild north
of the area by Sun, supporting fresh winds and building seas
across the central and northwestern Caribbean by Sun night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
the far northeast Atlantic.
A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low pressure near 32N71W to
the central Bahamas and southern Florida. Scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms are present along of the front. Moderate to
fresh N-NE winds and rough seas in NE swell are found behind the
front. Fresh southerly winds and moderate seas are evident wihtin
240 nm ahead of the front north of 29N. In the remainder of the
tropical Atlantic, the basin is being dominated by ridging
centered around a 1031 mb high located at 34N33W, leading to
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally
rough seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will stall today
then dissipate Fri into Sat, as high pressure builds across the
area. This pattern will allow gentle to moderate winds and 3-5 ft
seas into early next week.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 04 Jun 2026 09:00:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 040900
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0840 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1031
mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones. Gale-
force winds are expected from 04/1500 to 05/0000 UTC with severe
gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions
will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer to the
Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
https://wwmiws.wmo.int
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new eastern Atlantic tropical wave was analyzed near 17W south
of 14N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
active from 06N to 09N between 13W and 18W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 13N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 08N to 11N between 47W and 55W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 16N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing the shower and
thunderstorm activity across NE South America.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N25W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N25W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection
is present from 02N to 05N between 21W and 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weakening stationary front extends from southern Florida to SE
Louisiana. A surface trough extends from 27N89W to the eastern
Bay of Campeche. A tight pressure gradient behind the front forces
fresh to strong easterly winds and moderate to rough seas.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas are
present across the southeast Gulf. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and plenty of
tropical moisture result in scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf waters, east of 90W.
For the forecast, pressure is falling over the
central Gulf along the trough, and low pressure weak may form
later today near 26N90W even as the front dissipates. This will
enhance the strong winds and rough seas over the north-central
Gulf this afternoon and evening. Meanwhile, scattered
thunderstorms will continue today over the south-central and
southeast Gulf, south of the front. Winds and seas will diminish
starting Fri as the low dissipates to a remnant trough as it moves
onshore over southwest Louisiana, and as a ridge builds from the
western Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. Looking ahead, this
pattern will support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight
to moderate seas into early next week, except for occasionally
fresh to strong pulses off northwest Yucatan during the evenings.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A ridge extends from 1031 mb high pressure system centered
southwest of the Azores southwestward to the Caribbean Sea,
supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in
the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
moderate seas are noted in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the SW Caribbean, while
fast- moving showers are passing across the NE Caribbean.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
shift east through Thu, allowing moderate to locally fresh trade
winds and moderate seas to dominate much of the the Caribbean by
Fri morning. The exception will be pulsing fresh to strong winds
off Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night
through Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge will rebuild north
of the area by Sun, supporting fresh winds and building seas
across the central and northwestern Caribbean by Sun night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
the far northeast Atlantic.
A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low pressure near 32N71W to
the central Bahamas and southern Florida. Scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms are present along of the front. Moderate to
fresh N-NE winds and rough seas in NE swell are found behind the
front. Fresh southerly winds and moderate seas are evident wihtin
240 nm ahead of the front north of 29N. In the remainder of the
tropical Atlantic, the basin is being dominated by ridging
centered around a 1031 mb high located at 34N33W, leading to
moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally
rough seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front will stall today
then dissipate Fri into Sat, as high pressure builds across the
area. This pattern will allow gentle to moderate winds and 3-5 ft
seas into early next week.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 05 Jun 2026 23:46:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 04 Jun 2026 16:40:12 GMT - Thu, 04 Jun 2026 11:46:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 041146
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart/Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 04 Jun 2026 12:59:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT THU 04 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-004
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


