DONATE
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 06 May 2026 07:48:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060748
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed May 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 28W, S of
10N, moving slowly westward at 5-10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 63.5W, S
of 20N from near the Anegada Passage to eastern Venezuela, and
moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
southwestward to 01N24W with a tropical wave to the west as
described above. The ITCZ extends from west of the tropical wave
at 00N31W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 03S to 03N between 18W
and 51W, and from 03N to 07N between 07W and 18W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between ridging that extends from well
northeast of the region in the central Atlantic southwestward to
across Florida to the northern Gulf and relatively lower
pressures in central Mexico is supporting moderate to fresh E to
SE winds over the western Gulf, locally strong near Veracruz,
Mexico, along with 3-5 ft seas. In the eastern Gulf, gentle to
moderate winds and 1-3 ft seas prevail. No significant convection
is noted over the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the NE Gulf with lower
pressures over Mexico will support moderate to locally fresh SE
winds in the western Gulf and gentle to moderate winds in the
eastern Gulf through tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong
near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings. Similar winds will
pulse from Tampico to Veracruz, Mexico into early today. A weak
cold front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters Thu
morning, quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the north as
a warm front Fri as high pressure ridging builds back in across
the basin from the east. Looking ahead, another weak front may try
to move into the northern Gulf waters by the end of the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
relatively lower pressure in northern South America continue to
support fresh to strong NE to E winds over the south-cetral
Caribbean including the Gulf of Venezuela, and seas of 6-8 ft.
Similar winds are in the Gulf of Honduras with 3-5 ft seas. The
first tropical wave of the season has moved into the eastern
Caribbean and is described more above. Moderate to fresh winds and
3-6 ft seas prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to
18N, with gentle to moderate winds and 2-5 ft seas elsewhere in
the basin. No significant convection is noted over the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
rest of the week and into the weekend, with similar conditions
expected in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected across the remainder of the eastern and central
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1014 mb low pressure near 32.5N61.5W extends a slow moving cold
front through 31N61W to 26N73W then continuing as a stationary
front to 1015 mb low pressure near the northern Bahamas at 27N77W.
Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of the front to
the east of 68W. Fresh to locally strong S to SW winds and seas
of 5-7 ft prevail in the SE quadrant of the low. A tight pressure
gradient is present in the far NE tropical Atlantic with fresh to
strong winds and 6-9 ft seas noted from near the Madeira Islands
southwestward to a surface trough analyzed from 30N32W to 24N32W.
Gentle to moderate winds dominate the remainder of the tropical
Atlantic, including the SW N Atlantic and Tropical N Atlantic
offshore marine zones, with locally fresh trades south of 15N and
west of 40W. Seas are 5-7 ft across that potential area of locally
fresh trades and 4-6 ft across the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds in the SE
quadrant of the low will impact the waters just south of 31N and
east of the front through this morning as the low slowly shifts
northeast. The northern portion of the front will slowly progress
east as a cold front while the southern portion gradually
dissipates. Another weak cold front will move off northern Florida
Thu night, gradually losing definition as it shifts across the
northern waters through Sat. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh
off northern Hispaniola, increasing to fresh to strong this
weekend. Winds may freshen off northern Florida Sun night ahead of
another front. Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure will be
in place through the forecast period allowing for generally quiet
conditions across the area.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 06 May 2026 07:48:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060748
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed May 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 28W, S of
10N, moving slowly westward at 5-10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of an eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 63.5W, S
of 20N from near the Anegada Passage to eastern Venezuela, and
moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
southwestward to 01N24W with a tropical wave to the west as
described above. The ITCZ extends from west of the tropical wave
at 00N31W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 03S to 03N between 18W
and 51W, and from 03N to 07N between 07W and 18W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between ridging that extends from well
northeast of the region in the central Atlantic southwestward to
across Florida to the northern Gulf and relatively lower
pressures in central Mexico is supporting moderate to fresh E to
SE winds over the western Gulf, locally strong near Veracruz,
Mexico, along with 3-5 ft seas. In the eastern Gulf, gentle to
moderate winds and 1-3 ft seas prevail. No significant convection
is noted over the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure over the NE Gulf with lower
pressures over Mexico will support moderate to locally fresh SE
winds in the western Gulf and gentle to moderate winds in the
eastern Gulf through tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong
near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings. Similar winds will
pulse from Tampico to Veracruz, Mexico into early today. A weak
cold front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters Thu
morning, quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the north as
a warm front Fri as high pressure ridging builds back in across
the basin from the east. Looking ahead, another weak front may try
to move into the northern Gulf waters by the end of the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
relatively lower pressure in northern South America continue to
support fresh to strong NE to E winds over the south-cetral
Caribbean including the Gulf of Venezuela, and seas of 6-8 ft.
Similar winds are in the Gulf of Honduras with 3-5 ft seas. The
first tropical wave of the season has moved into the eastern
Caribbean and is described more above. Moderate to fresh winds and
3-6 ft seas prevail across the remainder of the waters from 11N to
18N, with gentle to moderate winds and 2-5 ft seas elsewhere in
the basin. No significant convection is noted over the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
rest of the week and into the weekend, with similar conditions
expected in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected across the remainder of the eastern and central
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1014 mb low pressure near 32.5N61.5W extends a slow moving cold
front through 31N61W to 26N73W then continuing as a stationary
front to 1015 mb low pressure near the northern Bahamas at 27N77W.
Scattered moderate convection is in the vicinity of the front to
the east of 68W. Fresh to locally strong S to SW winds and seas
of 5-7 ft prevail in the SE quadrant of the low. A tight pressure
gradient is present in the far NE tropical Atlantic with fresh to
strong winds and 6-9 ft seas noted from near the Madeira Islands
southwestward to a surface trough analyzed from 30N32W to 24N32W.
Gentle to moderate winds dominate the remainder of the tropical
Atlantic, including the SW N Atlantic and Tropical N Atlantic
offshore marine zones, with locally fresh trades south of 15N and
west of 40W. Seas are 5-7 ft across that potential area of locally
fresh trades and 4-6 ft across the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong SW winds in the SE
quadrant of the low will impact the waters just south of 31N and
east of the front through this morning as the low slowly shifts
northeast. The northern portion of the front will slowly progress
east as a cold front while the southern portion gradually
dissipates. Another weak cold front will move off northern Florida
Thu night, gradually losing definition as it shifts across the
northern waters through Sat. Winds may pulse to moderate to fresh
off northern Hispaniola, increasing to fresh to strong this
weekend. Winds may freshen off northern Florida Sun night ahead of
another front. Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure will be
in place through the forecast period allowing for generally quiet
conditions across the area.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 06 May 2026 08:50:07 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf