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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 03 May 2026 22:48:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
692
AXNT20 KNHC 032248
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon May 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The tropical wave is along 40W/41W, from 10N southward, moving
west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen where
the wave meets the ITCZ. The wave continues to move through a
hostile dry environment which inhibits other impacts.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then continues
SW to near 03N20W. The ITCZ extends from 03N20W to NE Brazil
near 02S45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted from 01N to 05N between 10W and 22W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
The late-season cold front now extends from the NW Bahamas along
the Straits of Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche. An area
of showers and thunderstorms is just S of the front affecting
the Straits of Florida and western Cuba. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are elsewhere along the front. Latest scatterometer
data indicate fresh to strong NW winds over the SW Gulf, including
the Veracruz area. Seas are 9 to 12 ft with these winds. Moderate
to fresh N to NE winds and moderate to locally rough seas are
noted elsewhere N of the front, with the exception of the northern
Gulf where winds and seas are diminishing.
For the forecast, the cold front will stall and gradually wash out
by tomorrow morning over the far SE Gulf. Strong NW winds offshore
of Veracruz will diminish by tonight. Elsewhere, fresh N to NE
winds will continue behind the front into tonight. Expect Mon and
Tue to see quiet conditions prevailing across the Gulf. Moderate
to fresh SE to S return flow will set up in the W Gulf Tue night
into Thu. Looking ahead, Fri may be the start of another quiet
period over the Gulf.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the eastern and central
Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, with gentle to locally
moderate E to SE winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are
4 to 6 ft in the central Caribbean, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere,
except 1 to 3 ft in the lee of Cuba and the Windward Passage,
including also the coastal waters. Scattered moderate convection,
associated with the equatorial trough, continues to flare up in
the SW Caribbean offshore Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and southern
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to
fresh trades over the remainder of the E and central Caribbean
for the next several days. A weakening cold front is approaching
the Yucatan Channel. After the cold front dissipates near the
Yucatan Channel tomorrow, expect SE winds over the Gulf of Honduras
to increase up to fresh to strong speeds Tue through Fri.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from near Bermuda across the NW Bahamas into
the Straits of Florida. Scattered showers and tstorms are along
the front. Recent satellite scatterometer data depict moderate
to fresh N to NE winds north of the front, with 4 to 7 ft seas.
Elsewhere across the tropical and subtropical Atlantic, high
pressure prevails, anchored by 1020 mb high pressure located near
25N63W and 1017 mb high pressure situated SW of the Canary Islands
near 27N24W. Its associated ridge, combined with lower pressures
over W Africa, is promoting an area of moderate to fresh N winds
and moderate to locally rough seas between W Africa and the Cabo
Verde Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trades and moderate
seas are seen across the remainder of the tropical Atlantic.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 4 to 7 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach from 31N59W
to a low pressure area forming near 27N77W Mon morning. The low
will ride along the frontal boundary to be just south of Bermuda
Tue morning with the front extending southwestward to the central
Bahamas. The front should be dissipating by Wed morning. Expect
fresh to strong NE winds north of the front tonight and tomorrow.
Conditions across the forecast waters should become quiescent
Tue through Thu. Looking ahead, a weak cold front may reach the
NW waters Thu night and steadily move eastward.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 03 May 2026 22:48:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
692
AXNT20 KNHC 032248
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon May 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2245 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The tropical wave is along 40W/41W, from 10N southward, moving
west at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen where
the wave meets the ITCZ. The wave continues to move through a
hostile dry environment which inhibits other impacts.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then continues
SW to near 03N20W. The ITCZ extends from 03N20W to NE Brazil
near 02S45W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
noted from 01N to 05N between 10W and 22W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
The late-season cold front now extends from the NW Bahamas along
the Straits of Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche. An area
of showers and thunderstorms is just S of the front affecting
the Straits of Florida and western Cuba. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are elsewhere along the front. Latest scatterometer
data indicate fresh to strong NW winds over the SW Gulf, including
the Veracruz area. Seas are 9 to 12 ft with these winds. Moderate
to fresh N to NE winds and moderate to locally rough seas are
noted elsewhere N of the front, with the exception of the northern
Gulf where winds and seas are diminishing.
For the forecast, the cold front will stall and gradually wash out
by tomorrow morning over the far SE Gulf. Strong NW winds offshore
of Veracruz will diminish by tonight. Elsewhere, fresh N to NE
winds will continue behind the front into tonight. Expect Mon and
Tue to see quiet conditions prevailing across the Gulf. Moderate
to fresh SE to S return flow will set up in the W Gulf Tue night
into Thu. Looking ahead, Fri may be the start of another quiet
period over the Gulf.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
Moderate to fresh trades prevail across the eastern and central
Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela, with gentle to locally
moderate E to SE winds over the NW part of the basin. Seas are
4 to 6 ft in the central Caribbean, and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere,
except 1 to 3 ft in the lee of Cuba and the Windward Passage,
including also the coastal waters. Scattered moderate convection,
associated with the equatorial trough, continues to flare up in
the SW Caribbean offshore Colombia, Panama, Costa Rica, and southern
Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to
fresh trades over the remainder of the E and central Caribbean
for the next several days. A weakening cold front is approaching
the Yucatan Channel. After the cold front dissipates near the
Yucatan Channel tomorrow, expect SE winds over the Gulf of Honduras
to increase up to fresh to strong speeds Tue through Fri.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from near Bermuda across the NW Bahamas into
the Straits of Florida. Scattered showers and tstorms are along
the front. Recent satellite scatterometer data depict moderate
to fresh N to NE winds north of the front, with 4 to 7 ft seas.
Elsewhere across the tropical and subtropical Atlantic, high
pressure prevails, anchored by 1020 mb high pressure located near
25N63W and 1017 mb high pressure situated SW of the Canary Islands
near 27N24W. Its associated ridge, combined with lower pressures
over W Africa, is promoting an area of moderate to fresh N winds
and moderate to locally rough seas between W Africa and the Cabo
Verde Islands. Moderate to locally fresh trades and moderate
seas are seen across the remainder of the tropical Atlantic.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and 4 to 7 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will reach from 31N59W
to a low pressure area forming near 27N77W Mon morning. The low
will ride along the frontal boundary to be just south of Bermuda
Tue morning with the front extending southwestward to the central
Bahamas. The front should be dissipating by Wed morning. Expect
fresh to strong NE winds north of the front tonight and tomorrow.
Conditions across the forecast waters should become quiescent
Tue through Thu. Looking ahead, a weak cold front may reach the
NW waters Thu night and steadily move eastward.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 03 May 2026 23:02:36 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


