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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 16:50:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
431
AXNT20 KNHC 261650
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has an axis along 19W from 08N to 17N, moving W
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noticed from 08N to
18N and E of 22W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 49W, from 06N
to 22N, moving W at around 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are seen
near the wave axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 65W, from
the 17N65W southward into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen near the
wave axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N16W and continues
to 11N42W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 08N47W where it is
broken by a tropical wave, and then resumes from 07N49W to
06N55W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 06N to 14N
between 22W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high pressure is centered over the Gulf near 26N87W. A
surface trough extending off the SW FL coast near Naples is
generating scattered moderate convection over the nearshore
waters. A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the SW basin.
Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin.
Seas are 1-3 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas to the basin
into mid-week. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each
afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan
Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops daily and drifts
westward.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
the Atlantic ridge is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over
the central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6-8
ft. Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and 3-6 ft
seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
Honduras. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
weaker, with slight seas. In the SW Caribbean, scattered moderate
convection is occurring along the coasts of Panama, Costa Rica,
and Nicaragua, enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The
ridge will weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas
to diminish over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking
ahead, winds and seas will increase again across the central
Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A pair of surface troughs in the western Atlantic are facilitating
the development of scattered moderate convection N of 27N and W of
65W, with more widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
impacting the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh SW winds are seen in this
region as well. In the central Atlantic, an upper- level trough
is aiding in the development of scattered moderate convection NE
of the Lesser Antilles from 16N to 22N between 54W and 60W.
Another area of scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen along
and near a surface trough in the central Atlantic analyzed from
31N44W to 26N54W. Surface ridging prevails across much of the
remaining Atlantic, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas across much of the basin. Scatterometer data from
this morning indicate fresh to strong NE winds in the vicinity of
the Canary Islands. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
and the Atlantic ridge to the east.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 16:50:43 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
431
AXNT20 KNHC 261650
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jul 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has an axis along 19W from 08N to 17N, moving W
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noticed from 08N to
18N and E of 22W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has an axis along 49W, from 06N
to 22N, moving W at around 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are seen
near the wave axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 65W, from
the 17N65W southward into Venezuela, moving W at around 15 kt.
Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are seen near the
wave axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave has an axis along 75W, moving W
at around 15 kt. No convection is currently associated with this
wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 21N16W and continues
to 11N42W. The ITCZ extends from 11N42W to 08N47W where it is
broken by a tropical wave, and then resumes from 07N49W to
06N55W. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 06N to 14N
between 22W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high pressure is centered over the Gulf near 26N87W. A
surface trough extending off the SW FL coast near Naples is
generating scattered moderate convection over the nearshore
waters. A surface trough over the Bay of Campeche is generating
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the SW basin.
Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds dominate much of the basin.
Seas are 1-3 ft basin-wide.
For the forecast, high pressure centered over the Gulf will bring
gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas to the basin
into mid-week. Pulsing fresh NE to E winds are likely each
afternoon and evening along and just north of the Yucatan
Peninsula beginning on Mon as a trough develops daily and drifts
westward.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between low pressure over NW Colombia and
the Atlantic ridge is forcing fresh to locally strong trades over
the central to SW Caribbean, generally S of 15N, where seas are 6-8
ft. Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and 3-6 ft
seas prevail in the eastern Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
Honduras. Across the NW Caribbean, NE to E winds are moderate or
weaker, with slight seas. In the SW Caribbean, scattered moderate
convection is occurring along the coasts of Panama, Costa Rica,
and Nicaragua, enhanced by the East Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds
with moderate to locally rough seas across the south-central
Caribbean today, with fresh winds in the Gulf of Honduras. The
ridge will weaken and shift east tonight, allowing winds and seas
to diminish over the central Caribbean into mid week. Looking
ahead, winds and seas will increase again across the central
Caribbean starting Wed as the ridge builds north of the area.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A pair of surface troughs in the western Atlantic are facilitating
the development of scattered moderate convection N of 27N and W of
65W, with more widely scattered showers and thunderstorms
impacting the Bahamas. Moderate to fresh SW winds are seen in this
region as well. In the central Atlantic, an upper- level trough
is aiding in the development of scattered moderate convection NE
of the Lesser Antilles from 16N to 22N between 54W and 60W.
Another area of scattered showers and thunderstorms are seen along
and near a surface trough in the central Atlantic analyzed from
31N44W to 26N54W. Surface ridging prevails across much of the
remaining Atlantic, supporting moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas across much of the basin. Scatterometer data from
this morning indicate fresh to strong NE winds in the vicinity of
the Canary Islands. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and slight
to moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move offshore the
SE U.S. today, then stall. SW winds will increase and seas will
build N of 25N through the middle of the week between this front
and the Atlantic ridge to the east.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 28 Jul 2026 05:20:24 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 26 Jul 2026 21:52:47 GMT - Sun, 26 Jul 2026 17:20:24 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 261720
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 26 Jul 2026 15:57:53 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261557
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1200 PM EDT SUN 26 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-056
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 77
A. 27/1730Z,2330Z A. 28/0530Z,1130Z
B. AFXXX 0502A FAUSTO B. AFXXX 0602A FAUSTO
C. 27/1530Z C. 28/0400Z
D. 21.0N 147.0W D. 21.5N 149.8W
E. 27/1700Z TO 27/2330Z E. 28/0500Z TO 28/1130Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM
REMAINS A THREAT.
3. REMARK: NOAA G-IV TRAINING MISSION AROUND HURRICANE FAUSTO,
DEPARTING PHOG AT 27/1730Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf