SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
Tropical Atlantic Weather Resources
- NOAA National Hurricane Center
- International Meteorology Database
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Track Probabilities
- Brian McNoldy Atlantic Headquarters
- Brian McNoldy Tropical Satellite Sectors
- Brian McNoldy Infrared Hovmoller
- Brian McNoldy Past TC Radar Loops
- Weather Nerds TC Guidance
- Twister Data Model Guidance
- NOAA Tropical Cyclone Tracks
- Albany GFS/ EURO Models/ Ensembles
- Albany Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- Albany Tropical Atlantic Model Maps
- Pivotal Weather Model Guidance
- Weather Online Model Guidance
- UKMet Model Guidance/ Analysis/ Sat
- ECMWF (EURO) Model Guidance
- FSU Tropical Model Outputs
- FSU Tropical Cyclone Genesis
- Penn State Tropical E-Wall
- NOAA HFIP Ruc Models
- Navy NRL TC Page
- College of DuPage Model Guidance
- WXCharts Model Guidance
- NOAA NHC Analysis Tools
- NOAA NHC ATCF Directory
- NOAA NCEP/EMC Cyclogenesis Tracking
- NOAA NCEP/EMC HWRF Model
- NOAA HFIP Model Products
- University of Miami Ocean Heat
- COLA Max Potential Hurricane Intensity
- Colorado State RAMMB TC Tracking
- Colorado State RAMMB Floaters
- Colorado State RAMMB GOES-16 Viewer
- NOAA NESDIS GOES Satellite
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-A
- ASCAT Ocean Surface Winds METOP-B
- Michael Ventrice Waves / MJO Maps
- TropicalAtlantic.com Analysis / Recon
- NCAR/RAL Tropical Cyclone Guidance
- CyclonicWX Tropical Resources
Historic Louisiana Storms By Month
January
June
July
August
September
October
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 14 Nov 2025 04:45:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140445
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Nov 14 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Agadir Gale Warning: Gale-force winds follow a cold front moving
into Morocco. Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for the
Agadir zone which will be valid through at least 14/06 UTC.
For more information, please refer to Meteo-France's website at:
http://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 07N22W. The
ITCZ continues from 08N40W to 06N57W along the coast of Guyana.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 05N-08N east of
20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1023 mb high pressure is centered near 29N87W. Fresh NE winds
and moderate seas reach from the Straits of Florida to the
Yucatan Channel, between this high pressure and lower pressure
over the Caribbean. Gentle to moderate NE winds and slight seas
are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure centered
over the NE Gulf and relatively lower pressure to the south will
allow for moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas
across the southeastern Gulf through Fri evening, including the
Straits of Florida and Yucatan Channel. High pressure will slip SE
through the weekend, leading to lighter winds in the SE Gulf and
increasing southerly winds in the western Gulf. By Mon night and
Tue, fresh winds will develop in the NW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A shearline extends from the Windward Passage to the Gulf of
Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the Gulf
north of Roatan. Fresh NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
noted north of the shearline. High pressure north of the Caribbean
along with a 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing NE to E fresh
trades in the SW Caribbean with rough seas. Over the central and
eastern Caribbean, the trades are moderate to fresh with moderate
seas.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds to the S of Cuba will
gradually diminish Fri as high pressure to the N weakens. Similar
conditions offshore Colombia and Venezuela tonight will improve as
the overall gradient weakens and a gentle to moderate trade wind
regime becomes established for the weekend. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will continue west of about 80W through at least
early Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the Agadir zone.
A stationary front extends from 1015 mb low pressure near 31N53W
to the Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and
rough seas are noted north of the front, east of 70W. Moderate to
fresh NE winds and moderate seas extend across the southern
Bahamas between the ridge and the easternmost front. An area of
rough NW swell persists north of 22N between 40W and 60W. Over the
eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong NW winds and rough to very
rough seas follow the front mentioned in the Special Features
section, north of 21N and east of 40W. Gentle to moderate breezes
and moderate seas are noted elsewhere east of 25W. Gentle to
moderate breezes and moderate seas are noted elsewhere across the
basin, under the influence of 1020 mb high pressure centered near
28N40W.
For the forecast west of 55W, winds behind the W Atlantic front
will diminish Fri as the front gradually dissipates into the
weekend. Seas up to 10 ft E of 60W will decay below 8 ft by the
weekend. A new cold front moving eastward away from the
southeastern U.S. overnight will lead to moderate to fresh west to
northwest winds and locally rough seas north of 29N through
tonight. The cold front is expected to reach the central Atlantic
by late Fri. Looking ahead, a series of cold fronts passing north
of the region this weekend will lead to strengthening winds and
building seas over the northern forecast waters while weak high
pressure prevails elsewhere. Conditions over these waters quiet
down some early next week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 14 Nov 2025 04:45:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 140445
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Nov 14 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0430 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Agadir Gale Warning: Gale-force winds follow a cold front moving
into Morocco. Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for the
Agadir zone which will be valid through at least 14/06 UTC.
For more information, please refer to Meteo-France's website at:
http://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 07N22W. The
ITCZ continues from 08N40W to 06N57W along the coast of Guyana.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 05N-08N east of
20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1023 mb high pressure is centered near 29N87W. Fresh NE winds
and moderate seas reach from the Straits of Florida to the
Yucatan Channel, between this high pressure and lower pressure
over the Caribbean. Gentle to moderate NE winds and slight seas
are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure centered
over the NE Gulf and relatively lower pressure to the south will
allow for moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas
across the southeastern Gulf through Fri evening, including the
Straits of Florida and Yucatan Channel. High pressure will slip SE
through the weekend, leading to lighter winds in the SE Gulf and
increasing southerly winds in the western Gulf. By Mon night and
Tue, fresh winds will develop in the NW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A shearline extends from the Windward Passage to the Gulf of
Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the Gulf
north of Roatan. Fresh NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
noted north of the shearline. High pressure north of the Caribbean
along with a 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing NE to E fresh
trades in the SW Caribbean with rough seas. Over the central and
eastern Caribbean, the trades are moderate to fresh with moderate
seas.
For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds to the S of Cuba will
gradually diminish Fri as high pressure to the N weakens. Similar
conditions offshore Colombia and Venezuela tonight will improve as
the overall gradient weakens and a gentle to moderate trade wind
regime becomes established for the weekend. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms will continue west of about 80W through at least
early Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
effect for the Agadir zone.
A stationary front extends from 1015 mb low pressure near 31N53W
to the Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and
rough seas are noted north of the front, east of 70W. Moderate to
fresh NE winds and moderate seas extend across the southern
Bahamas between the ridge and the easternmost front. An area of
rough NW swell persists north of 22N between 40W and 60W. Over the
eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong NW winds and rough to very
rough seas follow the front mentioned in the Special Features
section, north of 21N and east of 40W. Gentle to moderate breezes
and moderate seas are noted elsewhere east of 25W. Gentle to
moderate breezes and moderate seas are noted elsewhere across the
basin, under the influence of 1020 mb high pressure centered near
28N40W.
For the forecast west of 55W, winds behind the W Atlantic front
will diminish Fri as the front gradually dissipates into the
weekend. Seas up to 10 ft E of 60W will decay below 8 ft by the
weekend. A new cold front moving eastward away from the
southeastern U.S. overnight will lead to moderate to fresh west to
northwest winds and locally rough seas north of 29N through
tonight. The cold front is expected to reach the central Atlantic
by late Fri. Looking ahead, a series of cold fronts passing north
of the region this weekend will lead to strengthening winds and
building seas over the northern forecast waters while weak high
pressure prevails elsewhere. Conditions over these waters quiet
down some early next week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 15 Nov 2025 17:04:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 14 Nov 2025 05:53:06 GMT - Fri, 14 Nov 2025 05:04:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
654
ABNT20 KNHC 140504
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 13 Nov 2025 16:09:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
178
NOUS42 KNHC 131608
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1110 AM EST THU 13 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-166
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS
ARE NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
