2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 13 Apr 2026 16:48:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 131648
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Apr 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1645 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued Gale Warnings for
    the marine zones of Agadir through 14/12Z and Tarfaya through
    14/00Z. The pressure gradient between a 1029 mb high pressure
    located midway between the Azores and the Madeira Islands and
    relatively lower pressures in NW Africa supports these gale force
    winds (Force 8 on the Beaufort Wind Scale) with severe gusts. Very
    rough seas, in long period NW swell, are also reaching this area.

    Please refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast product, listed
    on the website at https://wwmiws.wmo.int. for more information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13.5W, then
    continues SW to near 00.5S28W. The ITCZ extends from 00.5S28W to
    near 01S42W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 04N
    between 25W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure centered over the western Atlantic extends a ridge
    across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
    system, fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas are noted over the
    SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida. Moderate to fresh E
    winds are observed W of the Yucatan peninsula associated with a
    thermal trough. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and
    moderate seas are observed elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned high pressure over the
    western Atlantic extends a ridge across Florida into the Gulf
    region. This system will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds
    and mostly moderate seas through Fri. Expect stronger winds to
    pulse across the SE part of the Gulf, including the Florida
    Straits, through Tue, and off the Yucatan Peninsula each night
    through Wed, driven by local effects associated with a thermal
    trough.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front over the Atlantic that reaches Hispaniola and
    a pre-frontal trough are helping to induce scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the Mona Passage and
    Puerto Rico. High pressure over the western Atlantic combined with
    the Colombian low supports fresh to strong trades over the south-
    central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 8 to
    9 ft offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds and moderate seas
    are also noted in the Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba.
    Moderate with locally fresh NE to E winds and 3 to 6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic
    combined with the Colombian low will maintain fresh to strong
    trade winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean and
    near the coast of Colombia today, then mainly fresh winds are
    expected through Wed night. Fresh to strong northeast winds and
    building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage,
    and south of Hispaniola through the the middle of the week. Winds
    and seas will diminish across the basin late in the week. week.
    Winds and seas will diminish across the basin late in the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about Gale Warnings off
    Morocco.

    Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are active along
    a stationary front that extends from 31N54W to Hispaniola. Fresh
    to near-gale NE winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft are found near and
    behind the aforementioned frontal boundary, with the exception of
    moderate E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas off NE and central Florida.
    High pressure follows the front and extends a ridge across the
    western Atlantic and Florida into the Gulf of America. E of the
    front, high pressure of 1029 mb located midway between the Azores
    and the Madeira Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic
    forecast region. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are noted per
    scatterometer data N of 10N and S of a line from 30N19W to
    24N40W. Seas of 6 to 10 ft are within these winds. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are active along a stationary front extending from
    near 31N54W to Hispaniola. The front will dissipate late today but
    a frontal trough will persist reaching Puerto Rico by this
    evening. Then, the frontal trough will move westward through Wed
    while weakening. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas will
    persist west of the front/trough mainly south of 27N through
    midweek, then diminishing through Fri.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 13 Apr 2026 16:48:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 131648
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Apr 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1645 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Gale Warning E of 35W: Meteo-France has issued Gale Warnings for
    the marine zones of Agadir through 14/12Z and Tarfaya through
    14/00Z. The pressure gradient between a 1029 mb high pressure
    located midway between the Azores and the Madeira Islands and
    relatively lower pressures in NW Africa supports these gale force
    winds (Force 8 on the Beaufort Wind Scale) with severe gusts. Very
    rough seas, in long period NW swell, are also reaching this area.

    Please refer to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast product, listed
    on the website at https://wwmiws.wmo.int. for more information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13.5W, then
    continues SW to near 00.5S28W. The ITCZ extends from 00.5S28W to
    near 01S42W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 04N
    between 25W and 50W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure centered over the western Atlantic extends a ridge
    across Florida into the Gulf region. Under the influence of this
    system, fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas are noted over the
    SE Gulf, including the Straits of Florida. Moderate to fresh E
    winds are observed W of the Yucatan peninsula associated with a
    thermal trough. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds and
    moderate seas are observed elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned high pressure over the
    western Atlantic extends a ridge across Florida into the Gulf
    region. This system will maintain moderate to fresh E to SE winds
    and mostly moderate seas through Fri. Expect stronger winds to
    pulse across the SE part of the Gulf, including the Florida
    Straits, through Tue, and off the Yucatan Peninsula each night
    through Wed, driven by local effects associated with a thermal
    trough.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front over the Atlantic that reaches Hispaniola and
    a pre-frontal trough are helping to induce scattered to numerous
    showers and thunderstorms over Hispaniola, the Mona Passage and
    Puerto Rico. High pressure over the western Atlantic combined with
    the Colombian low supports fresh to strong trades over the south-
    central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 8 to
    9 ft offshore Colombia. Fresh to strong winds and moderate seas
    are also noted in the Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba.
    Moderate with locally fresh NE to E winds and 3 to 6 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic
    combined with the Colombian low will maintain fresh to strong
    trade winds and rough seas over the south-central Caribbean and
    near the coast of Colombia today, then mainly fresh winds are
    expected through Wed night. Fresh to strong northeast winds and
    building seas will prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage,
    and south of Hispaniola through the the middle of the week. Winds
    and seas will diminish across the basin late in the week. week.
    Winds and seas will diminish across the basin late in the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about Gale Warnings off
    Morocco.

    Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms are active along
    a stationary front that extends from 31N54W to Hispaniola. Fresh
    to near-gale NE winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft are found near and
    behind the aforementioned frontal boundary, with the exception of
    moderate E winds and 5 to 7 ft seas off NE and central Florida.
    High pressure follows the front and extends a ridge across the
    western Atlantic and Florida into the Gulf of America. E of the
    front, high pressure of 1029 mb located midway between the Azores
    and the Madeira Islands dominates the remainder of the Atlantic
    forecast region. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are noted per
    scatterometer data N of 10N and S of a line from 30N19W to
    24N40W. Seas of 6 to 10 ft are within these winds. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are active along a stationary front extending from
    near 31N54W to Hispaniola. The front will dissipate late today but
    a frontal trough will persist reaching Puerto Rico by this
    evening. Then, the frontal trough will move westward through Wed
    while weakening. Fresh to strong NE winds and rough seas will
    persist west of the front/trough mainly south of 27N through
    midweek, then diminishing through Fri.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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