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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 26 Jun 2026 05:50:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 260550
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Jun 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning:
A tight pressure gradient between an Atlantic Ridge and the
Colombian Low will cause trade winds off Colombia and over the
Gulf of Venezuela to peak at minimal gale-force Fri night through
early Sat morning, and possible on Sat night again. Seas under
these winds are expected to range from 12 to 15 ft north of
Colombia and 4 to 7 ft in the Gulf of Venezuela. Please refer to
High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National
Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A newly analyzed far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 24W
from 10N southward, and moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 23W and 31W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 43W from 16N southward,
and moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Widely scattered moderate
convection is observed from 08N to 15N between 38W and 48W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W from Haiti southward
to the Colombia-Venezuela border. It is moving westward at 10 to
15 kt. Isolated thunderstorms are occurring near the border.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 85W from 19N southward
across Honduras and Nicaragua into Costa Rica. It is moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present
over Honduras and Nicaragua.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Gambia coast, then
curves southwestward to 07N19W. An ITCZ continues from 07N19W to
04N24W, then from 04N25W westward to near the coastal border of
French Guiana and Brazil. Scattered moderate convection is evident
near the monsoon trough, near the coast of Gambia and southern
Senegal. Similar convection is noted up to 200 nm along either
side of the second ITCZ segment.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is producing
scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection in
the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica and western Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A diurnal trough is triggering scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the southeastern Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a
surface ridge running southwestward from a 1018 mb high at the
northeastern Gulf to near Tampico, Mexico dominates much of the
Gulf. Light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft are found at the
northeastern Gulf, and the western Bay of Campeche. Moderate to
fresh with locally strong NE winds and 3 to 6 ft seas exist at the
eastern Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate with locally fresh E
to SE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the
Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
into early next week. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds will
generally prevail across the basin during this time, except for
fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly, and moderate to fresh SE to S winds
across the far northwestern Gulf through the weekend. Looking
ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink southward into the east-
central Gulf Mon night and Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about an upcoming Gale
Warning.
Convergent trade winds are occurring near Jamaica and near the
southern coast of Cuba. Refer to the Tropical Waves section for
additional convection in the basin. Tight pressure gradient
between a broad Atlantic Ridge and the Colombian Low supports
strong to near-gale NE to E winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft at the
south-central basin. Fresh to strong easterly trades and 6 to 8
ft seas dominate the north-central and part of the southwestern
basin. Gentle to moderate E to ESE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft are
noted at the northwestern basin. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds
and 4 to 6 ft seas prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle winds
with 1 to 3 ft seas near Costa Rica and Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will support fresh to
strong easterly trade winds, and moderate to locally very rough
seas in the central basin through early next week. Elsewhere,
pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Sat night.
Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
in the remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level shortwave near 31N61W is enhancing scattered
moderate convection north of 25N between 55W and 65W. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the beginning
for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin. A broad Atlantic
Ridge stretching west-southwestward from a 1032 mb high near
34N47W across 31N68W to beyond central Florida is supporting
gentle to moderate ENE to SSE winds with 4 to 6 ft seas, north of
25N between 35W and the coast of Floria/southern Georgia. From 07N
to 25N between 35W and the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to
locally fresh ENE to E trade winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are
evident. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W, gentle to
moderate NE to E to SE winds and 5 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate
swells prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned ridge will
continue to dominate the western Atlantic through the weekend.
Fresh to strong easterly winds, with locally rough seas are
expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
Passage, each late afternoon and night through Fri night. A
nearly north-to-south aligned surface trough across the central
Atlantic will shift westward across the region Fri through Sun,
reaching near 70W by Sun morning. This will weaken the ridge and
lead to diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will
sink southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 26 Jun 2026 05:50:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 260550
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Jun 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning:
A tight pressure gradient between an Atlantic Ridge and the
Colombian Low will cause trade winds off Colombia and over the
Gulf of Venezuela to peak at minimal gale-force Fri night through
early Sat morning, and possible on Sat night again. Seas under
these winds are expected to range from 12 to 15 ft north of
Colombia and 4 to 7 ft in the Gulf of Venezuela. Please refer to
High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts issued by the National
Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A newly analyzed far eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 24W
from 10N southward, and moving westward at 5 to 10 kt. Scattered
moderate convection is seen from 02N to 08N between 23W and 31W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 43W from 16N southward,
and moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Widely scattered moderate
convection is observed from 08N to 15N between 38W and 48W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W from Haiti southward
to the Colombia-Venezuela border. It is moving westward at 10 to
15 kt. Isolated thunderstorms are occurring near the border.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is near 85W from 19N southward
across Honduras and Nicaragua into Costa Rica. It is moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present
over Honduras and Nicaragua.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Gambia coast, then
curves southwestward to 07N19W. An ITCZ continues from 07N19W to
04N24W, then from 04N25W westward to near the coastal border of
French Guiana and Brazil. Scattered moderate convection is evident
near the monsoon trough, near the coast of Gambia and southern
Senegal. Similar convection is noted up to 200 nm along either
side of the second ITCZ segment.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is producing
scattered to numerous moderate to isolated strong convection in
the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica and western Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A diurnal trough is triggering scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the southeastern Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a
surface ridge running southwestward from a 1018 mb high at the
northeastern Gulf to near Tampico, Mexico dominates much of the
Gulf. Light to gentle winds and seas of 1 to 2 ft are found at the
northeastern Gulf, and the western Bay of Campeche. Moderate to
fresh with locally strong NE winds and 3 to 6 ft seas exist at the
eastern Bay of Campeche. Gentle to moderate with locally fresh E
to SE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the
Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
into early next week. Gentle to moderate anticyclonic winds will
generally prevail across the basin during this time, except for
fresh to locally strong NE to E winds pulsing off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly, and moderate to fresh SE to S winds
across the far northwestern Gulf through the weekend. Looking
ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink southward into the east-
central Gulf Mon night and Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section about an upcoming Gale
Warning.
Convergent trade winds are occurring near Jamaica and near the
southern coast of Cuba. Refer to the Tropical Waves section for
additional convection in the basin. Tight pressure gradient
between a broad Atlantic Ridge and the Colombian Low supports
strong to near-gale NE to E winds and seas of 8 to 11 ft at the
south-central basin. Fresh to strong easterly trades and 6 to 8
ft seas dominate the north-central and part of the southwestern
basin. Gentle to moderate E to ESE winds and seas at 2 to 4 ft are
noted at the northwestern basin. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds
and 4 to 6 ft seas prevail elsewhere, except light to gentle winds
with 1 to 3 ft seas near Costa Rica and Panama.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will support fresh to
strong easterly trade winds, and moderate to locally very rough
seas in the central basin through early next week. Elsewhere,
pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Sat night.
Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
in the remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level shortwave near 31N61W is enhancing scattered
moderate convection north of 25N between 55W and 65W. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the beginning
for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin. A broad Atlantic
Ridge stretching west-southwestward from a 1032 mb high near
34N47W across 31N68W to beyond central Florida is supporting
gentle to moderate ENE to SSE winds with 4 to 6 ft seas, north of
25N between 35W and the coast of Floria/southern Georgia. From 07N
to 25N between 35W and the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to
locally fresh ENE to E trade winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are
evident. For the remainder of the Atlantic west of 35W, gentle to
moderate NE to E to SE winds and 5 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate
swells prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned ridge will
continue to dominate the western Atlantic through the weekend.
Fresh to strong easterly winds, with locally rough seas are
expected offshore Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward
Passage, each late afternoon and night through Fri night. A
nearly north-to-south aligned surface trough across the central
Atlantic will shift westward across the region Fri through Sun,
reaching near 70W by Sun morning. This will weaken the ridge and
lead to diminishing winds. Looking ahead, a weak cold front will
sink southward into the waters off northeastern Florida Mon night.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 17:01:26 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 26 Jun 2026 07:40:09 GMT - Fri, 26 Jun 2026 05:01:26 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 260501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 25 Jun 2026 13:21:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
403
NOUS42 KNHC 251321
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT THU 25 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-025
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf