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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 16:55:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 121655
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jul 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along 72W
from the SW Dominican Republic southward, moving westward at 15
to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 16N southward
between 66W and 73W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through near 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 09N41W. The ITCZ continues from 09N41W
to 07N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ
and W of 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across Florida and into the Gulf region. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in the northern Gulf as diffluent winds
aloft combine with southeasterly moisture return flow at the
surface. A surface trough in the Bay of Campeche also supports
scattered showers and thunderstorms along the trough axis. The
subtropical ridge is supporting gentle to moderate winds east of
88W. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds prevail west of 88W,
strongest winds occurring near the surface trough in the Bay of
Campeche. Seas 2 to 4 ft prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a stationary front will reside just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate, supporting
gentle to moderate SE winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the
Colombian Low supports fresh to strong winds over the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia. Rough seas
are with these winds. Fresh to strong winds are also noted in the
Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas
prevail across the remainder of the basin. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in the far SW Caribbean along the eastern
extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America
will continue to support strong to near-gale force trade winds
across the central Caribbean early this week. East winds will
pulse strong each evening into mid-week in the Gulf of Honduras
and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A diffluent pattern aloft and a surface trough analyzed from
22N64W to 31N55W is helping to induce scattered showers and
thunderstorms across the waters N of 23N between 55W and 62W. The
rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad
subtropical ridge that sustains moderate to fresh winds south of
23N and moderate seas, except for strong winds north of
Hispaniola and the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to fresh
trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 16:55:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 121655
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jul 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean with axis along 72W
from the SW Dominican Republic southward, moving westward at 15
to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 16N southward
between 66W and 73W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through near 18N16W and
continues southwestward to 09N41W. The ITCZ continues from 09N41W
to 07N57W. Scattered moderate convection is noted along the ITCZ
and W of 47W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western Atlantic surface ridge extends west-northwestward
across Florida and into the Gulf region. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in the northern Gulf as diffluent winds
aloft combine with southeasterly moisture return flow at the
surface. A surface trough in the Bay of Campeche also supports
scattered showers and thunderstorms along the trough axis. The
subtropical ridge is supporting gentle to moderate winds east of
88W. Moderate to locally fresh E to SE winds prevail west of 88W,
strongest winds occurring near the surface trough in the Bay of
Campeche. Seas 2 to 4 ft prevail across the basin.
For the forecast, a stationary front will reside just N of the
area through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
each night. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate, supporting
gentle to moderate SE winds.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions forecast for offshore Colombia.
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the
Colombian Low supports fresh to strong winds over the central
Caribbean, with the strongest winds offshore Colombia. Rough seas
are with these winds. Fresh to strong winds are also noted in the
Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas
prevail across the remainder of the basin. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring in the far SW Caribbean along the eastern
extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressures over northern South America
will continue to support strong to near-gale force trade winds
across the central Caribbean early this week. East winds will
pulse strong each evening into mid-week in the Gulf of Honduras
and Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A diffluent pattern aloft and a surface trough analyzed from
22N64W to 31N55W is helping to induce scattered showers and
thunderstorms across the waters N of 23N between 55W and 62W. The
rest of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad
subtropical ridge that sustains moderate to fresh winds south of
23N and moderate seas, except for strong winds north of
Hispaniola and the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to fresh
trades south of 23N, with mainly gentle winds to the north.
Pulsing strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola
and in the Windward Passage.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 14 Jul 2026 05:13:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 12 Jul 2026 20:13:40 GMT - Sun, 12 Jul 2026 17:13:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121713
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 12 Jul 2026 13:41:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT SUN 12 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-042
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf