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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:22:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 272322
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jun 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
Atlantic high pressure and relatively low pressure over Colombia
will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela to peaking at gale-force speeds again tonight into
Sun morning. These winds are forecast to sustain seas in the
range of 9 to 14 ft northwest through north of Colombia as latest
altimeter satellite data is already revealing seas greater than
10 ft. Latest scatterometer data depicts strong to near gale-
force trade winds in the south-central Caribbean offshore
northern Colombia. Please refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters
Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic short-amplitude tropical wave has its axis
extending from 10N35W to 02N41W. It is moving westward at about 15
kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120
nm either side of the wave from 06N to 07N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 20N51W to 14N56W
to 07N59W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is east of the wave within 60 nm of 12.5N54W.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere south of 13N
between 50W and 59W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is just inland Belize and
Guatemala, or near 88W south of 19N. It is moving westward near
15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
within 120 nm west of the wave from 15N to 17N. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 120 nm east of the wave from 16N
tom 18N. For future information on this wave please refer to the
eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 10N21W
and to 09N25W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N30W to
08N36W. It resumes at 04N41W to 02N47W and to 01N51W. Numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 04N to 11N
between the coast of Africa and 21W. A squall line emerging off
the coast is contributing to this activity. Scattered moderate
convection is within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between 29W-36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1021 mb high center, part of the western extension of Atlantic
high pressure, is located over the NE Gulf. A ridge extends from
the high west-southwestward to central Texas. The related gradient
is generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh southeast to
south winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft west of 90W and 2 to 3 ft east of
90W as indicated by recent altimeter satellite data and from recent
buoy observations. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
seas prevail.
For the forecast, the ridge will persist into early next week
providing for a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow across the
basin during this time, except for fresh to locally strong
northeast to east winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Thu, and moderate to locally fresh
southeast to south winds across the northwestern Gulf through Sun
night. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink
southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night into Tue and
gradually dissipate.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section for details regarding
upcoming gale conditions for offshore Colombia.
Aside from the expected gale conditions, the pressure gradient
between Atlantic high pressure and lower pressure in Colombia and
adjacent areas is resulting in fresh to strong trade winds over much
of the central Caribbean, and westward from there to the Gulf of
Honduras as seen in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Fresh
to strong northeast winds are in the Windward Passage as also seen
in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Moderate seas are with
the aforementioned winds. Moderate to fresh trade winds and slight
seas are over the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas in the central
Caribbean through early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force
offshore of Colombia tonight into early Sun morning. Elsewhere,
pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
are expected in the Gulf of Honduras this evening and tonight. Fresh
to strong northeast winds and moderate to locally rough seas will
briefly affect the Windward Passage this evening and tonight.
Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
across the remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A trough is analyzed from 31N64W to 25N67W and to the eastern tip
of the Dominican Republic while another trough is analyzed from
26N56W to near 18N60W. Meanwhile, a couple of upper-level lows
within the general area of these troughs are seen in water vapor
imagery, with the first one near 28N61W and the second one, less
defined, near 28N48W. Instability created by these features has
produced an area of scattered moderate convection from 20N to 27N
between 44W and 49W, and scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are present from 24N to 28N between 55W and 65W. A
very moist and unstable easterly wind flow around the southern
periphery of high pressure ridging that is roughly along 28N has
lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms
over and near the northern and central Bahamas extending south
and southwest to the eastern part of the Straits of Florida. High
pressure generally covers the basin north of about 15N east of
the Lesser Antilles, and elsewhere north of the Greater Antilles.
The related gradient is sustaining moderate to fresh trade winds
south of about 24N and east of 72W, and also between the Bahamas
and Cuba. In the far eastern part of the basin, fresh to strong
north winds are present from 18N to 29N east of 22W to along the
coast of Africa. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are over these waters. Otherwise,
seas of moderate state are over the majority of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging will be the
main feature controlling the general wind flow pattern over the
area through Mon. Fresh to strong trade winds along with locally
rough seas are expected offshore Hispaniola this evening and
tonight. The trough that is along the position from 31N64W to
25N67W and to the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic will
continue to shift westward across the western portion of the
basin tonight, reaching near 70W by Sun morning while
dissipating. This will slightly weaken the ridge. Looking ahead,
a low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the
southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of
a frontal system early next week. Slow development of this system
will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:22:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 272322
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jun 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2315 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
Atlantic high pressure and relatively low pressure over Colombia
will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela to peaking at gale-force speeds again tonight into
Sun morning. These winds are forecast to sustain seas in the
range of 9 to 14 ft northwest through north of Colombia as latest
altimeter satellite data is already revealing seas greater than
10 ft. Latest scatterometer data depicts strong to near gale-
force trade winds in the south-central Caribbean offshore
northern Colombia. Please refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters
Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic short-amplitude tropical wave has its axis
extending from 10N35W to 02N41W. It is moving westward at about 15
kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120
nm either side of the wave from 06N to 07N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 20N51W to 14N56W
to 07N59W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is east of the wave within 60 nm of 12.5N54W.
Isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere south of 13N
between 50W and 59W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is just inland Belize and
Guatemala, or near 88W south of 19N. It is moving westward near
15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
within 120 nm west of the wave from 15N to 17N. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms are within 120 nm east of the wave from 16N
tom 18N. For future information on this wave please refer to the
eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 10N21W
and to 09N25W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N30W to
08N36W. It resumes at 04N41W to 02N47W and to 01N51W. Numerous
moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 04N to 11N
between the coast of Africa and 21W. A squall line emerging off
the coast is contributing to this activity. Scattered moderate
convection is within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between 29W-36W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1021 mb high center, part of the western extension of Atlantic
high pressure, is located over the NE Gulf. A ridge extends from
the high west-southwestward to central Texas. The related gradient
is generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh southeast to
south winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft west of 90W and 2 to 3 ft east of
90W as indicated by recent altimeter satellite data and from recent
buoy observations. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
seas prevail.
For the forecast, the ridge will persist into early next week
providing for a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow across the
basin during this time, except for fresh to locally strong
northeast to east winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Thu, and moderate to locally fresh
southeast to south winds across the northwestern Gulf through Sun
night. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink
southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night into Tue and
gradually dissipate.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please read the Special Features section for details regarding
upcoming gale conditions for offshore Colombia.
Aside from the expected gale conditions, the pressure gradient
between Atlantic high pressure and lower pressure in Colombia and
adjacent areas is resulting in fresh to strong trade winds over much
of the central Caribbean, and westward from there to the Gulf of
Honduras as seen in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Fresh
to strong northeast winds are in the Windward Passage as also seen
in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Moderate seas are with
the aforementioned winds. Moderate to fresh trade winds and slight
seas are over the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
and slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas in the central
Caribbean through early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force
offshore of Colombia tonight into early Sun morning. Elsewhere,
pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
are expected in the Gulf of Honduras this evening and tonight. Fresh
to strong northeast winds and moderate to locally rough seas will
briefly affect the Windward Passage this evening and tonight.
Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
across the remainder of the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A trough is analyzed from 31N64W to 25N67W and to the eastern tip
of the Dominican Republic while another trough is analyzed from
26N56W to near 18N60W. Meanwhile, a couple of upper-level lows
within the general area of these troughs are seen in water vapor
imagery, with the first one near 28N61W and the second one, less
defined, near 28N48W. Instability created by these features has
produced an area of scattered moderate convection from 20N to 27N
between 44W and 49W, and scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are present from 24N to 28N between 55W and 65W. A
very moist and unstable easterly wind flow around the southern
periphery of high pressure ridging that is roughly along 28N has
lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms
over and near the northern and central Bahamas extending south
and southwest to the eastern part of the Straits of Florida. High
pressure generally covers the basin north of about 15N east of
the Lesser Antilles, and elsewhere north of the Greater Antilles.
The related gradient is sustaining moderate to fresh trade winds
south of about 24N and east of 72W, and also between the Bahamas
and Cuba. In the far eastern part of the basin, fresh to strong
north winds are present from 18N to 29N east of 22W to along the
coast of Africa. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are over these waters. Otherwise,
seas of moderate state are over the majority of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging will be the
main feature controlling the general wind flow pattern over the
area through Mon. Fresh to strong trade winds along with locally
rough seas are expected offshore Hispaniola this evening and
tonight. The trough that is along the position from 31N64W to
25N67W and to the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic will
continue to shift westward across the western portion of the
basin tonight, reaching near 70W by Sun morning while
dissipating. This will slightly weaken the ridge. Looking ahead,
a low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the
southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of
a frontal system early next week. Slow development of this system
will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 11:14:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:52:35 GMT - Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:14:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 272314
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
A broad low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the
southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of a
frontal system early next week. Gradual development of this system
will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 27 Jun 2026 12:53:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 271253
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 27 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-027
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf