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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 16:30:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
469
AXNT20 KNHC 061629
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed near 39W, S of 18N. This is an
adjustment from previous analyses and combined two analyzed wave
to better reflect current and forecast conditions. The combined
wave is moving W at 10 kt, and is inducing scattered moderate
convection from 05N to 10N between 33W and 43W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W, S of 17N, moving W at
around 20N. Scattered moderate convection associated with this
wave is noted S of 12N between 51W and 59W.
A Caribbean tropical wave axis is near 81W, south of 18N, moving
W at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted S of 15N and W of 80W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N17W and continues
to 11N19. The ITCZ stretches from 09N22W to 07N33W and from 07N41W
to 07N53W. Aside from convection associated with the tropical
waves, described above, scattered moderate convection is noted
within 120 nm of the segment of the ITCZ that extends from 22W to
33W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Subtropical ridging continues to be the dominant feature over the
basin, with the axis extending into the central Gulf from the
east. A surface trough that extends from near Tampa Bay to Mobile
Bay is generating scattered moderate convection across the
northern Gulf. Winds are moderate or weaker, mainly anticyclonic,
through the basin, with generally slight seas, with the except of
some 3 to 5 ft seas in the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, surface ridging will prevail across the basin
through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to moderate
winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for fresh to
strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night. Moderate
or weaker winds are forecast for the eastern half of the Gulf
while slight seas are forecast basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and lower
pressure over northern South America continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the central basin, with moderate to fresh E
winds elsewhere. Seas of 8 to 11 ft are present in the central
basin, with slight seas in the NW basin, and 5 to 7 ft seas
elsewhere. Convection in the far SW basin is associated with a
tropical wave and is described in the above section. Scattered
moderate convection is noted between the Cayman Islands and
western Cuba, being induced by upper-level divergence.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the week. The aerial extent of
these winds will continue to increase today as the Atlantic ridge
continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to strong winds
are expected to extend across most of the east, central and SW
Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at night offshore
of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri. Moderate or
weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin, except
in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong E to SE winds are
forecast at night through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of
20N, and is anchored by 1026 mb high pressure centered near
29N39W. The pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and
3-5 ft seas for waters N of 22N, with mainly fresh trades and 5 to
7 ft seas to the south. Upper level divergence to the east of a
trough aloft is leading to scattered moderate convection N of 23N
and W of 65W, including in the vicinity of the Bahamas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will
stay in place through the forecast period, developing a center of
high pressure E of the Bahamas by Fri. This pattern will continue
to support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 23N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Strong winds, with moderate to
rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including
approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 16:30:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
469
AXNT20 KNHC 061629
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed near 39W, S of 18N. This is an
adjustment from previous analyses and combined two analyzed wave
to better reflect current and forecast conditions. The combined
wave is moving W at 10 kt, and is inducing scattered moderate
convection from 05N to 10N between 33W and 43W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 56W, S of 17N, moving W at
around 20N. Scattered moderate convection associated with this
wave is noted S of 12N between 51W and 59W.
A Caribbean tropical wave axis is near 81W, south of 18N, moving
W at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is noted S of 15N and W of 80W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N17W and continues
to 11N19. The ITCZ stretches from 09N22W to 07N33W and from 07N41W
to 07N53W. Aside from convection associated with the tropical
waves, described above, scattered moderate convection is noted
within 120 nm of the segment of the ITCZ that extends from 22W to
33W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Subtropical ridging continues to be the dominant feature over the
basin, with the axis extending into the central Gulf from the
east. A surface trough that extends from near Tampa Bay to Mobile
Bay is generating scattered moderate convection across the
northern Gulf. Winds are moderate or weaker, mainly anticyclonic,
through the basin, with generally slight seas, with the except of
some 3 to 5 ft seas in the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, surface ridging will prevail across the basin
through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to moderate
winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for fresh to
strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night. Moderate
or weaker winds are forecast for the eastern half of the Gulf
while slight seas are forecast basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and lower
pressure over northern South America continue to support fresh to
strong trades over the central basin, with moderate to fresh E
winds elsewhere. Seas of 8 to 11 ft are present in the central
basin, with slight seas in the NW basin, and 5 to 7 ft seas
elsewhere. Convection in the far SW basin is associated with a
tropical wave and is described in the above section. Scattered
moderate convection is noted between the Cayman Islands and
western Cuba, being induced by upper-level divergence.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the week. The aerial extent of
these winds will continue to increase today as the Atlantic ridge
continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to strong winds
are expected to extend across most of the east, central and SW
Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at night offshore
of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through Fri. Moderate or
weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin, except
in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to strong E to SE winds are
forecast at night through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of
20N, and is anchored by 1026 mb high pressure centered near
29N39W. The pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and
3-5 ft seas for waters N of 22N, with mainly fresh trades and 5 to
7 ft seas to the south. Upper level divergence to the east of a
trough aloft is leading to scattered moderate convection N of 23N
and W of 65W, including in the vicinity of the Bahamas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will
stay in place through the forecast period, developing a center of
high pressure E of the Bahamas by Fri. This pattern will continue
to support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 23N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Strong winds, with moderate to
rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including
approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 08 Jul 2026 05:15:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 06 Jul 2026 20:46:39 GMT - Mon, 06 Jul 2026 17:15:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 061715
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 061345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT MON 06 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-036
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf