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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 22:32:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 012232
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been re-analyzed to the east, and is now
positioned with an axis near 22W, from 02N to 16W, moving W at 5
to 10 kt. Convection previously associated with this wave has
diminished this evening.
A tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with axis near 49W,
moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 05N to 09N between 45W and 50W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, S of Jamaica, moving W at
15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N17W and continues
southwestward to 07N31W. The ITCZ extends from 07N31W to 09N46W
where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then continues
from 07N50W to 08N59W. Aside from the convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is evident from
06N to 10N between 55W and 60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is occurring near surface trough
axes along 95W from 20N to 25N and SE from the mouth of the
Mississippi River to around 26N85W. Otherwise, a weak pressure
gradient is leading to light to gentle winds and slight seas
through the basin.
For the forecast, a ridge across the northern Gulf will continue
to dominate the basin for the remainder of the week. A weakening
frontal trough extending from SE Louisiana to offshore of SW
Florida will gradually dissipate through Thu, with scattered
showers and thunderstorms persisting along the trough. Fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Sun night due to local effects
associated with a daily surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE
winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward
across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas this afternoon,
and will generally remain in place through the weekend. The
pressure gradient between this ridge and the Colombian Low will
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish
slightly through Sun. Expect winds to reach near gale- force each
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in the eastern
Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW
part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms are expected
across the SE Caribbean Thu night through Fri night as an upper-
level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front is across the NW waters, extending from 31N71W
to the NW Bahamas. The boundary also extends NE to the north of
area, and convection sags S of 31N to around 29N between 50W and
60W in association with this portion of the front. A surface
trough along 70W E of the Bahamas is inducing scattered moderate
convection. The Azores High extends a ridge across the remainder
of the subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across the waters S of
22N are moderate to fresh with moderate seas to 6 ft. N of 22N and
E of 35W, a tighter pressure gradient with lower pressures over
NW Africa is leading to fresh to locally strong NE winds along
with rough seas to 10 ft, including the Canary Islands. Moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas
this afternoon. A weakening stationary front is across the NW
waters, from 31N71.5W through the NW Bahamas to the south- central
coast of Florida. The front will gradually dissipate through Thu
while drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S. coast.
The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into central
Florida through the weekend. This pattern will support moderate to
locally fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker
winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to locally strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 22:32:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 012232
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Jul 2 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave has been re-analyzed to the east, and is now
positioned with an axis near 22W, from 02N to 16W, moving W at 5
to 10 kt. Convection previously associated with this wave has
diminished this evening.
A tropical wave extends from 02N to 15N with axis near 49W,
moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 05N to 09N between 45W and 50W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, S of Jamaica, moving W at
15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this
wave at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 22N17W and continues
southwestward to 07N31W. The ITCZ extends from 07N31W to 09N46W
where it is broken by a tropical wave. The ITCZ then continues
from 07N50W to 08N59W. Aside from the convection associated with
the tropical waves, scattered moderate convection is evident from
06N to 10N between 55W and 60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate convection is occurring near surface trough
axes along 95W from 20N to 25N and SE from the mouth of the
Mississippi River to around 26N85W. Otherwise, a weak pressure
gradient is leading to light to gentle winds and slight seas
through the basin.
For the forecast, a ridge across the northern Gulf will continue
to dominate the basin for the remainder of the week. A weakening
frontal trough extending from SE Louisiana to offshore of SW
Florida will gradually dissipate through Thu, with scattered
showers and thunderstorms persisting along the trough. Fresh to
locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan
Peninsula nightly through Sun night due to local effects
associated with a daily surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE
winds will prevail across the western half of the Gulf while
moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E of 90W.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 6-10 ft. The strongest winds
and highest seas are offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward
across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas this afternoon,
and will generally remain in place through the weekend. The
pressure gradient between this ridge and the Colombian Low will
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Fri morning, then diminish
slightly through Sun. Expect winds to reach near gale- force each
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela.
Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will continue in the eastern
Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW
part of the basin. Active showers and thunderstorms are expected
across the SE Caribbean Thu night through Fri night as an upper-
level trough sinks across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front is across the NW waters, extending from 31N71W
to the NW Bahamas. The boundary also extends NE to the north of
area, and convection sags S of 31N to around 29N between 50W and
60W in association with this portion of the front. A surface
trough along 70W E of the Bahamas is inducing scattered moderate
convection. The Azores High extends a ridge across the remainder
of the subtropical Atlantic waters. Winds across the waters S of
22N are moderate to fresh with moderate seas to 6 ft. N of 22N and
E of 35W, a tighter pressure gradient with lower pressures over
NW Africa is leading to fresh to locally strong NE winds along
with rough seas to 10 ft, including the Canary Islands. Moderate
or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Azores High extends a ridge
southwestward across the central Atlantic to the central Bahamas
this afternoon. A weakening stationary front is across the NW
waters, from 31N71.5W through the NW Bahamas to the south- central
coast of Florida. The front will gradually dissipate through Thu
while drifting northwestward toward the southeastern U.S. coast.
The Atlantic ridge will then build weakly westward into central
Florida through the weekend. This pattern will support moderate to
locally fresh E-SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker
winds elsewhere. Expect fresh to locally strong winds each late
afternoon into the early evening hours near the coasts of
Hispaniola and Puerto Rico.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 03 Jul 2026 11:18:38 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 02 Jul 2026 03:21:48 GMT - Wed, 01 Jul 2026 23:18:38 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 012318
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Jul 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 13:12:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 011312
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT WED 01 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-031
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf