SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 24 Feb 2026 05:44:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 240544
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Feb 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0455 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Large Western Atlantic Northwest Swell:
A large set of NW swell has been generated by a deep low pressure
area (previously a hurricane force low; now a storm force low)
over the NW Atlantic. This NW swell is propagating across the NW
discussion waters, with very rough seas of 12-16 ft over the
waters W of a line from 31N62W to 26N71W. These very rough seas
will shift eastward over the waters N of 26N, reaching as far east
as 46W through midweek before subsiding below 12 ft.
Large Central Atlantic Northwest Swell: A large set of NW swell,
generated by a former storm force low N of the area (currently a
gale force low) is bringing very rough seas of 12-16 ft over the
waters N of a line from 30N45W to 26N41W to 30N30W. These very
rough seas will shift SE through midweek to cover the waters N of
20N and E of 30W before subsiding below 12 ft Thu.
Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 06N21W.
The ITCZ extends from 06N21W to 00N33W and to 02S45W. A few
showers are noted near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1033 mb high pressure system over the Mississippi Valley extends
into the Gulf of America, resulting in fresh to strong northerly
winds and rough seas east of 90W. Moderate to locally fresh NE
winds and rough seas are found in the Bay of Campeche. Moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. The
dry and cold continental airmass moving across the basin sustain
widespread stratocumulus clouds south of 25N, while generally
clear skies prevail north of 25N. Moisture banking along the
eastern flanks of the Sierra Madre Oriental may result in locally
heavy rainfall.
For the forecast, winds and seas will gradually subside from NW
to SE tonight into Tue as the high pressure shifts E-SE and into
the Atlantic by early Wed. Fresh to strong southerly return flow
will develop across the NW Gulf Tue night and expand across the SW
and central Gulf Wed into Thu, ahead of the next cold front
forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu evening. This next front is
expected to stall from the Florida Panhandle to the Mexican
coastal waters late Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cold front eastern from eastern Cuba to Central America. A few
showers are noted near the front. Moisture banking against the
mountainous terrain in Central America may result in locally
heavy rainfall across Honduras, Guatemala and Belize. A pre-
frontal trough is producing some showers over Hispaniola. Fresh to
locally near gale-force northerly winds and rough seas are
occurring behind the front. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh
easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present in the
remainder of the basin south of 15N. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are prevalent north of 15N.
For the forecast, the aforementioned front will slide southeastward,
reaching NW Hispaniola to SE Nicaragua Tue before stalling Wed
from eastern Hispaniola to near the Nicaragau-Costa Rica border.
The strong winds and rough seas will gradually diminish Tue night
through Wed as the front weakens. Broad high pressure will develop
across the central and western Atlantic Thu and Fri and bring a
return to fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
Significant Swells in the western and central Atlantic.
A strong cold front enters the basin near 31N62W and continues
southwestward to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba. Strong to near-
gale NW winds and very rough seas are N of 25N and W of the
front. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate to rough seas are
elsewhere W of the front. Fresh to strong winds, and rough seas
are N of 26N and E of the front to 53W. Farther east, a 1025 mb
high is centered near 29N45W. Light to gentle winds are in the
vicinity of the high center. Moderate to fresh winds prevail S of
the high center due to the pressure gradient between this high and
lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ. Gentle to moderate
winds are noted elsewhere. Moderate to rough seas are elsewhere
across the discussion waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front is expected
to move southeastward and reach from 31N60W to the NW Dominican
Republic Tue morning, while weakening. The front will then stall
from near 31N53W to the NE Dominican Republic early Wed, then
drift W and dissipate through Thu. High pressure will shift into
the Atlantic behind the front Tue night through Wed, and develop a
broad ridge across the region Thu and Fri.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 24 Feb 2026 05:44:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 240544
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Tue Feb 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0455 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Large Western Atlantic Northwest Swell:
A large set of NW swell has been generated by a deep low pressure
area (previously a hurricane force low; now a storm force low)
over the NW Atlantic. This NW swell is propagating across the NW
discussion waters, with very rough seas of 12-16 ft over the
waters W of a line from 31N62W to 26N71W. These very rough seas
will shift eastward over the waters N of 26N, reaching as far east
as 46W through midweek before subsiding below 12 ft.
Large Central Atlantic Northwest Swell: A large set of NW swell,
generated by a former storm force low N of the area (currently a
gale force low) is bringing very rough seas of 12-16 ft over the
waters N of a line from 30N45W to 26N41W to 30N30W. These very
rough seas will shift SE through midweek to cover the waters N of
20N and E of 30W before subsiding below 12 ft Thu.
Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 06N21W.
The ITCZ extends from 06N21W to 00N33W and to 02S45W. A few
showers are noted near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1033 mb high pressure system over the Mississippi Valley extends
into the Gulf of America, resulting in fresh to strong northerly
winds and rough seas east of 90W. Moderate to locally fresh NE
winds and rough seas are found in the Bay of Campeche. Moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. The
dry and cold continental airmass moving across the basin sustain
widespread stratocumulus clouds south of 25N, while generally
clear skies prevail north of 25N. Moisture banking along the
eastern flanks of the Sierra Madre Oriental may result in locally
heavy rainfall.
For the forecast, winds and seas will gradually subside from NW
to SE tonight into Tue as the high pressure shifts E-SE and into
the Atlantic by early Wed. Fresh to strong southerly return flow
will develop across the NW Gulf Tue night and expand across the SW
and central Gulf Wed into Thu, ahead of the next cold front
forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu evening. This next front is
expected to stall from the Florida Panhandle to the Mexican
coastal waters late Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A cold front eastern from eastern Cuba to Central America. A few
showers are noted near the front. Moisture banking against the
mountainous terrain in Central America may result in locally
heavy rainfall across Honduras, Guatemala and Belize. A pre-
frontal trough is producing some showers over Hispaniola. Fresh to
locally near gale-force northerly winds and rough seas are
occurring behind the front. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh
easterly trade winds and moderate seas are present in the
remainder of the basin south of 15N. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas are prevalent north of 15N.
For the forecast, the aforementioned front will slide southeastward,
reaching NW Hispaniola to SE Nicaragua Tue before stalling Wed
from eastern Hispaniola to near the Nicaragau-Costa Rica border.
The strong winds and rough seas will gradually diminish Tue night
through Wed as the front weakens. Broad high pressure will develop
across the central and western Atlantic Thu and Fri and bring a
return to fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
Significant Swells in the western and central Atlantic.
A strong cold front enters the basin near 31N62W and continues
southwestward to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba. Strong to near-
gale NW winds and very rough seas are N of 25N and W of the
front. Moderate to fresh winds, and moderate to rough seas are
elsewhere W of the front. Fresh to strong winds, and rough seas
are N of 26N and E of the front to 53W. Farther east, a 1025 mb
high is centered near 29N45W. Light to gentle winds are in the
vicinity of the high center. Moderate to fresh winds prevail S of
the high center due to the pressure gradient between this high and
lower pressure in the vicinity of the ITCZ. Gentle to moderate
winds are noted elsewhere. Moderate to rough seas are elsewhere
across the discussion waters.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front is expected
to move southeastward and reach from 31N60W to the NW Dominican
Republic Tue morning, while weakening. The front will then stall
from near 31N53W to the NE Dominican Republic early Wed, then
drift W and dissipate through Thu. High pressure will shift into
the Atlantic behind the front Tue night through Wed, and develop a
broad ridge across the region Thu and Fri.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 24 Feb 2026 09:40:21 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 23 Feb 2026 18:20:03 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231819
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0120 PM EST MON 23 FEBRUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-085
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
A. 25/0000Z
B. AFXXX 15WSC IOP39
C. 24/1800Z
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY: 20.0N 160.0W, 35.0N 160.0W, 35.0N 135.0W, AND 20.0N
135.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 24/2030Z TO 25/0230Z
2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
A. 25/0000Z
B. NOAA9 39WSE IOP39
C. 24/1930Z
D. 24 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 70 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY: 25.0N 120.0W, 25.0N 145.0W, 45.0N 145.0W, AND 45.0N
120.0W
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 24/2030Z TO 25/0230Z
3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY
FLY AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR
THE 26/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
27/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf