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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 28 Jul 2026 06:14:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 280614
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 33W, extending
    from 08N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Only
    isolated showers are associated with this wave.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 60W,
    extending from 09N to 19N, and moving westward at around 15 kt.
    There is no convection associated with the wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 82W, from
    10N to 18N, and moving westward at around 10-15 kt. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 14N
    between 79W and 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N16W and continues
    to 11N27W to 1015 mb low pressure near 09N36W to 09N39W. The ITCZ
    begins near 09N39W and continues to 09N51W to 08N61W. Scattered
    moderate convection is present offshore Africa, from 05N to 12N
    between Africa and 17W. Similar convection is from 06N to 10N
    between 36W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate convection is ongoing over the from the coastal
    waters of Pensacola to the Tampa Bay area associated with a
    surface trough. Ahead of the trough the tail of a weak cold front
    moves across central Florida. The remainder Gulf is under the
    influence of a 1014 mb high centered near 26N91W, which is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds over the central and SE
    basin along with slight seas. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds
    prevail in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough.
    Moderate to fresh SE to S winds are also W of 95W while moderate
    or weaker NW winds are over the NE Gulf N of 28N.

    For the forecast, high pressure will remain over the central Gulf
    to promote generally quiescent marine conditions for the next
    several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds off the
    northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the
    weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during
    the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching
    weak cold front across the SE U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on any convection.

    Atlantic ridging dominates north of the basin with 1008 mb low
    pressure analyzed just N of Panama near 10N79W. The pressure
    gradient between the two supports moderate to fresh trades over the
    central Caribbean along with 5 to 7 ft seas. Winds are moderate
    or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight to moderate
    seas.

    For the forecast, the increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and western Atlantic high pressure along 25N-26N
    will boost trade winds to strong over the S central Caribbean
    tonight through the end of the week. Trade winds over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh beginning Wednesday night. A
    tropical wave entering the E Caribbean tonight will enhance
    showers and thunderstorms across the E and NE Caribbean tonight
    and tomorrow.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is moving across the SW N Atlantic waters from
    31N74W SW to central coastal Florida near 28N80W. Scattered heavy
    showers and tstms are ahead of this boundary, affecting the
    northern offshore waters N of 27N between 66W and 78W. The Azores
    High dominates the remainder subtropical Atlantic waters and
    provides moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. The gradient
    of pressure between the ridge and the front over the SW waters
    supports moderate to fresh SSW winds W of 60W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual - near 25N - through Fri. This in
    combination with a stationary front offshore of the Carolinas will
    force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 63W for the next several
    days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed through the weekend.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 28 Jul 2026 06:14:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 280614
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Jul 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 33W, extending
    from 08N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20 kt. Only
    isolated showers are associated with this wave.

    A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 60W,
    extending from 09N to 19N, and moving westward at around 15 kt.
    There is no convection associated with the wave at this time.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 82W, from
    10N to 18N, and moving westward at around 10-15 kt. Scattered
    moderate isolated strong convection is noted from 09N to 14N
    between 79W and 83W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N16W and continues
    to 11N27W to 1015 mb low pressure near 09N36W to 09N39W. The ITCZ
    begins near 09N39W and continues to 09N51W to 08N61W. Scattered
    moderate convection is present offshore Africa, from 05N to 12N
    between Africa and 17W. Similar convection is from 06N to 10N
    between 36W and 45W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Scattered moderate convection is ongoing over the from the coastal
    waters of Pensacola to the Tampa Bay area associated with a
    surface trough. Ahead of the trough the tail of a weak cold front
    moves across central Florida. The remainder Gulf is under the
    influence of a 1014 mb high centered near 26N91W, which is
    supporting light to gentle variable winds over the central and SE
    basin along with slight seas. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds
    prevail in the Bay of Campeche associated with a surface trough.
    Moderate to fresh SE to S winds are also W of 95W while moderate
    or weaker NW winds are over the NE Gulf N of 28N.

    For the forecast, high pressure will remain over the central Gulf
    to promote generally quiescent marine conditions for the next
    several days. The exception will be fresh NE winds off the
    northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the
    weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during
    the next couple of days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching
    weak cold front across the SE U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on any convection.

    Atlantic ridging dominates north of the basin with 1008 mb low
    pressure analyzed just N of Panama near 10N79W. The pressure
    gradient between the two supports moderate to fresh trades over the
    central Caribbean along with 5 to 7 ft seas. Winds are moderate
    or weaker across the remainder of basin, with slight to moderate
    seas.

    For the forecast, the increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and western Atlantic high pressure along 25N-26N
    will boost trade winds to strong over the S central Caribbean
    tonight through the end of the week. Trade winds over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh beginning Wednesday night. A
    tropical wave entering the E Caribbean tonight will enhance
    showers and thunderstorms across the E and NE Caribbean tonight
    and tomorrow.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front is moving across the SW N Atlantic waters from
    31N74W SW to central coastal Florida near 28N80W. Scattered heavy
    showers and tstms are ahead of this boundary, affecting the
    northern offshore waters N of 27N between 66W and 78W. The Azores
    High dominates the remainder subtropical Atlantic waters and
    provides moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. The gradient
    of pressure between the ridge and the front over the SW waters
    supports moderate to fresh SSW winds W of 60W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual - near 25N - through Fri. This in
    combination with a stationary front offshore of the Carolinas will
    force fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 63W for the next several
    days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico from Wed through the weekend.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 17:07:20 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 28 Jul 2026 08:53:54 GMT
  • Tue, 28 Jul 2026 05:07:20 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    332
    ABNT20 KNHC 280507
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Jul 28 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 27 Jul 2026 16:35:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    781
    NOUS42 KNHC 271635
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1235 PM EDT MON 27 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-057 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARK: AN 8-HOUR NOAA 43 TEST MISSION WILL BE CONDUCTED OFF
    THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TUESDAY, DEPARTING KLAL AT 28/1400Z.
    ONE SMALL UAS WILL BE RELEASED.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 79
    A. 28/2330Z A. 29/1130Z
    B. AFXXX 0706E FAUSTO B. AFXXX 0806E FAUSTO
    C. 28/2200Z C. 29/1030Z
    D. 22.3N 153.0W D. 22.6N 155.3W
    E. 28/2300Z TO 29/0230Z E. 29/1100Z TO 29/1430Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    3. REMARK: NOAA G-IV TRAINING MISSION AROUND HURRICANE GENEVIEVE,
    DEPARTING KLGB AT 28/1600Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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