2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 02 Jan 2026 21:41:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    957
    AXNT20 KNHC 022141
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jan 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Meteo-France Gale Warning East of 35W:
    The tight pressure gradient between a complex low pressure system
    north of Madeira and a 1024 mb high pressure over Libya results in
    strong to gale-force winds in the Meteo-France Agadir High Seas
    Marine Zone from 03/06z to 03/18z. Refer to the Meteo-France High
    Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int for
    more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough remains mostly over the African Continent. An
    ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 08N15W through 05N26W to
    04N43W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 08N
    between 26W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high centered near 24N86W continues to dominate the
    basins weather. Moderate to fresh SW winds and 4 to 6 ft are
    noted in the northern and far western Gulf. Light to gentle winds
    with 1 to 3 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas at
    the northwestern Gulf are expected to expand eastward into the
    northeastern Gulf tonight, as a warm front associated with a low
    pressure system lifts northward. Briefly strong SW winds will be
    possible on Sat. A cold front will enter the northern Gulf Sat
    afternoon and progress into the central Gulf through Sun,
    supporting moderate to locally fresh N winds in the wake of the
    front. High pressure will settle over the Gulf early next week,
    leading to moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Convection associated with a surface trough extending from
    offshore Colombia through the Windward Passage has diminished late
    this afternoon. Fresh NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present
    in the southern and central basin, with gentle to moderate winds
    and 3 to 6 ft seas in the NE and NW parts of the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds occurring
    west of 75W will diminish through this evening. Moderate to
    occasionally fresh trade winds are expected over the central and
    southeastern Caribbean into early Mon as a broad subtropical ridge
    prevails to the north. Winds may pulse to strong speeds in the
    Gulf of Venezuela through Sat evening. Looking ahead, fresh NE
    winds may develop near the Greater Antilles through the Atlantic
    passages early next week as high pressure builds to the north.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section above for information on a
    Meteo- France Gale Warning.

    A stationary front extends southwestward from the north-central
    Atlantic across 31N54W to 24N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is noted SE of this boundary from 21N to 28N
    between 54W and 64W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
    for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Strong northwest winds behind a cold front in the far NE waters
    are impact waters N of 28N and E of 28W, where very rough seas of
    up to 18 ft are ongoing. A broader area of fresh winds and rough
    seas extend S to 22N and W to 32W. W of the aforementioned
    stationary front in the central Atlantic, fresh winds are S of
    Bermuda, N of 28N between 60W and 75W, where rough seas are also
    present. Finally, moderate to fresh trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft
    are ongoing S 13N between 30W and the Windward Islands. Elsewhere,
    winds and seas are moderate or less, as the basin is dominated by
    a high pressure in the Gulf of America and another near 30N40W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh W winds
    are expected north of 29N through Sat morning as a low pressure
    system emerges off the coast of the Mid Atlantic states and moves
    eastward. Residual rough seas in NW swell occurring north of 29N
    between 70W and 55W will subside through Sat morning. Fresh to
    strong SW winds will develop over the northwest tropical Atlantic
    on Sat ahead of a low pressure system moving through the
    southeastern U.S. Localized winds near-gale force will be possible
    offshore of northern Florida Sat night, and rough seas are
    expected near and to the east of these winds. A cold front is
    slated to push offshore of the southeastern U.S. Sat night into
    Sun and progress eastward through early next week, supporting
    fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas ahead of the front, and
    fresh to locally strong N to NW winds and rough seas in the wake
    of the front. Looking ahead, high pressure will build north of the
    region early next week.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 02 Jan 2026 21:41:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    957
    AXNT20 KNHC 022141
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat Jan 3 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Meteo-France Gale Warning East of 35W:
    The tight pressure gradient between a complex low pressure system
    north of Madeira and a 1024 mb high pressure over Libya results in
    strong to gale-force winds in the Meteo-France Agadir High Seas
    Marine Zone from 03/06z to 03/18z. Refer to the Meteo-France High
    Seas Forecast listed on their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int for
    more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough remains mostly over the African Continent. An
    ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 08N15W through 05N26W to
    04N43W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 05N to 08N
    between 26W and 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1018 mb high centered near 24N86W continues to dominate the
    basins weather. Moderate to fresh SW winds and 4 to 6 ft are
    noted in the northern and far western Gulf. Light to gentle winds
    with 1 to 3 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas at
    the northwestern Gulf are expected to expand eastward into the
    northeastern Gulf tonight, as a warm front associated with a low
    pressure system lifts northward. Briefly strong SW winds will be
    possible on Sat. A cold front will enter the northern Gulf Sat
    afternoon and progress into the central Gulf through Sun,
    supporting moderate to locally fresh N winds in the wake of the
    front. High pressure will settle over the Gulf early next week,
    leading to moderate or weaker winds and slight seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Convection associated with a surface trough extending from
    offshore Colombia through the Windward Passage has diminished late
    this afternoon. Fresh NE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present
    in the southern and central basin, with gentle to moderate winds
    and 3 to 6 ft seas in the NE and NW parts of the basin.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds occurring
    west of 75W will diminish through this evening. Moderate to
    occasionally fresh trade winds are expected over the central and
    southeastern Caribbean into early Mon as a broad subtropical ridge
    prevails to the north. Winds may pulse to strong speeds in the
    Gulf of Venezuela through Sat evening. Looking ahead, fresh NE
    winds may develop near the Greater Antilles through the Atlantic
    passages early next week as high pressure builds to the north.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See the Special Features section above for information on a
    Meteo- France Gale Warning.

    A stationary front extends southwestward from the north-central
    Atlantic across 31N54W to 24N64W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is noted SE of this boundary from 21N to 28N
    between 54W and 64W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
    for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Strong northwest winds behind a cold front in the far NE waters
    are impact waters N of 28N and E of 28W, where very rough seas of
    up to 18 ft are ongoing. A broader area of fresh winds and rough
    seas extend S to 22N and W to 32W. W of the aforementioned
    stationary front in the central Atlantic, fresh winds are S of
    Bermuda, N of 28N between 60W and 75W, where rough seas are also
    present. Finally, moderate to fresh trades and seas of 6 to 8 ft
    are ongoing S 13N between 30W and the Windward Islands. Elsewhere,
    winds and seas are moderate or less, as the basin is dominated by
    a high pressure in the Gulf of America and another near 30N40W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to locally fresh W winds
    are expected north of 29N through Sat morning as a low pressure
    system emerges off the coast of the Mid Atlantic states and moves
    eastward. Residual rough seas in NW swell occurring north of 29N
    between 70W and 55W will subside through Sat morning. Fresh to
    strong SW winds will develop over the northwest tropical Atlantic
    on Sat ahead of a low pressure system moving through the
    southeastern U.S. Localized winds near-gale force will be possible
    offshore of northern Florida Sat night, and rough seas are
    expected near and to the east of these winds. A cold front is
    slated to push offshore of the southeastern U.S. Sat night into
    Sun and progress eastward through early next week, supporting
    fresh to strong SW winds and rough seas ahead of the front, and
    fresh to locally strong N to NW winds and rough seas in the wake
    of the front. Looking ahead, high pressure will build north of the
    region early next week.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 02 Jan 2026 14:18:20 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 021418
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0920 AM EST FRI 02 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-033

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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