2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 25 Feb 2026 03:22:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 250322
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Feb 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0315 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Significant Swell:
    Large NW swell propagating across the western waters is supporting
    very rough seas of 12 to 16 ft over the waters N of a line from
    31N71W to 25N63W to 31N51W. These very rough seas will propagate
    eastward through Wed, reaching the waters near 45W before
    subsiding below 12 ft.

    Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell:
    Large N-NW swell propagating across the central and eastern waters
    is supporting very rough seas of 12 to 16 ft within 31N37W to
    17N44W and to 31N17W. This swell will continue to spread eastward
    over the remainder of the eastern Atlantic waters N of 20N
    through midweek. Very rough seas will linger over these far
    eastern waters through the end of the week.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at websites:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 03N24W.
    The ITCZ extends from 03N24W to 00N33W and to 02S44W. Scattered
    moderate to isolate strong convection is observed south of 04N and between
    30W and 44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure system near
    western Florida and lower pressures over Mexico and Texas support
    moderate to locally strong southerly winds and moderate seas from
    the mouth of the Mississippi River to Veracruz. Moderate to
    locally fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft are noted within 90 nm
    of the western coast of Yucatan. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
    and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, seas will continue to subside across the
    Straits of Florida and the Yucatan Channel, in the wake of the
    recent cold front now across the Caribbean. Fresh to strong
    southerly return flow will develop across the NW Gulf tonight and
    expand across the SW and central Gulf Wed into Thu, ahead of the
    next cold front forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu night. This next
    front is expected to stall from the Florida Big Bend to the
    central Mexican coastal waters Sat, then dissipate by Sun as high
    pressure returns.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front extends from Haiti to Costa Rica and a few
    showers are evident on satellite imagery near this boundary. The
    pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge near Florida
    and lower pressures associated with the frontal boundary sustain
    fresh to near gale-force NE within 250 nm behind the front. This
    was confirmed by a recent scatterometer satellite pass. The
    strongest winds are occurring between Haiti and Jamaica. Seas in
    these waters are 7-10 ft. Fresh to strong NE winds and moderate
    seas are found in the south- central and SE Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, this front will gradually dissipate through Wed.
    The strong winds will gradually veer NE and diminish tonight
    through Wed as the front weakens. Broad high pressure will develop
    across the central and western Atlantic Wed through Sat and bring
    a return to fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean.
    Meanwhile, rough seas in mixed northerly swell will prevail in the
    Tropical N Atlantic throughout the next several days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
    Significant Swell in the western Atlantic, and another Significant
    Swell in the central and eastern Atlantic.

    A weakening cold front extends from 31N57W to Hispaniola. A few
    showers are noted near this boundary. Fresh to locally strong S-SW
    winds and rough to very rough seas are occurring ahead of the
    front to 50W and north of 28N. Moderate to fresh NW winds and
    rough seas are present south of 25N and west of the front. The
    remainder of the SW North Atlantic is dominated by a 1024 mb high
    pressure system near western Florida, supporting moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate to rough seas.

    The rest of the central and eastern Atlantic is under the
    influence of an expansive subtropical ridge centered north of our
    waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower
    pressures in the deep tropics and western Africa forces moderate
    to locally strong and rough to very rough seas over much of the
    central and eastern Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front is
    expected to move slowly southeastward and continue to weaken,
    stalling from near 29N55W to the NE Dominican Republic Wed, before
    drifting W and dissipating Thu. High pressure will shift into the
    Atlantic behind the front tonight through Wed, and develop a
    broad ridge across the region Thu through Sat. A weak front will
    move off the SE U.S. coast late in the weekend and remain just N
    of the area. Meanwhile, seas will gradually subside through Thu,
    lingering to around 8 ft over the SE waters through the end of the
    period.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 25 Feb 2026 03:22:30 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 250322
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Feb 25 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0315 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western Atlantic Significant Swell:
    Large NW swell propagating across the western waters is supporting
    very rough seas of 12 to 16 ft over the waters N of a line from
    31N71W to 25N63W to 31N51W. These very rough seas will propagate
    eastward through Wed, reaching the waters near 45W before
    subsiding below 12 ft.

    Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell:
    Large N-NW swell propagating across the central and eastern waters
    is supporting very rough seas of 12 to 16 ft within 31N37W to
    17N44W and to 31N17W. This swell will continue to spread eastward
    over the remainder of the eastern Atlantic waters N of 20N
    through midweek. Very rough seas will linger over these far
    eastern waters through the end of the week.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at websites:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 03N24W.
    The ITCZ extends from 03N24W to 00N33W and to 02S44W. Scattered
    moderate to isolate strong convection is observed south of 04N and between
    30W and 44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1024 mb high pressure system near
    western Florida and lower pressures over Mexico and Texas support
    moderate to locally strong southerly winds and moderate seas from
    the mouth of the Mississippi River to Veracruz. Moderate to
    locally fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft are noted within 90 nm
    of the western coast of Yucatan. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
    and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, seas will continue to subside across the
    Straits of Florida and the Yucatan Channel, in the wake of the
    recent cold front now across the Caribbean. Fresh to strong
    southerly return flow will develop across the NW Gulf tonight and
    expand across the SW and central Gulf Wed into Thu, ahead of the
    next cold front forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu night. This next
    front is expected to stall from the Florida Big Bend to the
    central Mexican coastal waters Sat, then dissipate by Sun as high
    pressure returns.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front extends from Haiti to Costa Rica and a few
    showers are evident on satellite imagery near this boundary. The
    pressure gradient between the aforementioned ridge near Florida
    and lower pressures associated with the frontal boundary sustain
    fresh to near gale-force NE within 250 nm behind the front. This
    was confirmed by a recent scatterometer satellite pass. The
    strongest winds are occurring between Haiti and Jamaica. Seas in
    these waters are 7-10 ft. Fresh to strong NE winds and moderate
    seas are found in the south- central and SE Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, this front will gradually dissipate through Wed.
    The strong winds will gradually veer NE and diminish tonight
    through Wed as the front weakens. Broad high pressure will develop
    across the central and western Atlantic Wed through Sat and bring
    a return to fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean.
    Meanwhile, rough seas in mixed northerly swell will prevail in the
    Tropical N Atlantic throughout the next several days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
    Significant Swell in the western Atlantic, and another Significant
    Swell in the central and eastern Atlantic.

    A weakening cold front extends from 31N57W to Hispaniola. A few
    showers are noted near this boundary. Fresh to locally strong S-SW
    winds and rough to very rough seas are occurring ahead of the
    front to 50W and north of 28N. Moderate to fresh NW winds and
    rough seas are present south of 25N and west of the front. The
    remainder of the SW North Atlantic is dominated by a 1024 mb high
    pressure system near western Florida, supporting moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate to rough seas.

    The rest of the central and eastern Atlantic is under the
    influence of an expansive subtropical ridge centered north of our
    waters. The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower
    pressures in the deep tropics and western Africa forces moderate
    to locally strong and rough to very rough seas over much of the
    central and eastern Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front is
    expected to move slowly southeastward and continue to weaken,
    stalling from near 29N55W to the NE Dominican Republic Wed, before
    drifting W and dissipating Thu. High pressure will shift into the
    Atlantic behind the front tonight through Wed, and develop a
    broad ridge across the region Thu through Sat. A weak front will
    move off the SE U.S. coast late in the weekend and remain just N
    of the area. Meanwhile, seas will gradually subside through Thu,
    lingering to around 8 ft over the SE waters through the end of the
    period.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 24 Feb 2026 16:58:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 241658
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1200 PM EST TUE 24 FEBRUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-086

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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