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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 19 Jul 2026 05:25:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
272
AXNT20 KNHC 190525
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Jul 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0505 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The subtropical ridge north of the
Caribbean will support strong to near-gale force easterly trade
winds across the much of the central Caribbean into early Mon,
before becoming confined to south of 15N. Winds will pulse to
gale force over the waters north of Colombia tonight. Rough to
very rough seas, peaking around 14 ft, will develop during the
times of peak winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
NE Gulf of America (Invest AL91): Recent satellite-wind data and
nearby surface observations indicate that an area of low pressure
located over the northeastern Gulf of America is slowly becoming
better defined. However, its associated shower and thunderstorm
activity remains disorganized. This activity may produce gusty
winds, frequent lightning and rough seas. Mariners should exercise
caution across this area. Regardless, gradual development of this
system is forecast, and a tropical depression could form over the
next couple of days as the system moves slowly northward or
northwestward. Interests along the northern Gulf coast from
Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, to Louisiana should monitor the
progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to
portions of that region during the next several days. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today, if necessary. This system has a medium chance
for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.
Please refer to the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A well-defined tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been
repositioned along 32W, south of 19N, based on recent satellite
and scatterometer data. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt.
No significant convection is observed near this wave due to dry
Saharan air.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are present from 07N to
13N and between 55W and 63W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward through the
Cabo Verde Islands to 15N30W and then to 07N44W. The ITCZ extends
from 07N44W to 07N58W. A few showers are evident within 120 nm on
both sides of the monsoon trough and ITCZ west of 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please refer to the Special Features section for details a broad
low pressure over the eastern Gulf that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere, dry air dominates the remainder of the basin
suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms. A 1019
mb high pressure over the NW Gulf waters supports moderate to
fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft in the eastern Bay of Campeche,
while light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, broad low pressure has formed offshore of Tampa
Bay, Florida near 84.5W, and will drift northward over the next
few days, bringing thunderstorms and heavy rainfall to the NE Gulf
and adjacent portions of Florida. Gradual development of this
system is possible and a tropical depression could form over the
next few days before the system moves inland across the Florida
Panhandle. Regardless of development, mariners should prepare for
thunderstorms producing locally gusty winds and higher seas. Away
from this system, weak high pressure will dominate, producing
gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas through the
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
section for more details.
The 1027 mb subtropical ridge centered near 29N58W in the central
Atlantic forces strong to gale easterly trade winds across the
central Caribbean, with the strongest winds occurring off
Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are found in these waters.
Moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are present in the
eastern Caribbean and Windward Passage. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms that developed over Panama and
Costa Rica are also affecting the nearshore waters. Generally dry
weather conditions are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
high pressure ridge oriented along 28N, and the Colombian low
will support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
Colombia tonight. Otherwise, strong to near- gale force trade
winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the central
Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to south of 15N. East
winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each evening this
weekend in the Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A couple of weak surface troughs and an upper level low in the
north- central tropical Atlantic combine to generate isolated
showers north of 20N and between 36W and 52W. Meanwhile, a broad
subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic forces fresh
to locally strong easterly trade winds off northern Hispaniola as
shown in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Elsewhere in the
central and western Atlantic, moderate to fresh easterly winds
and seas of 4-8 ft are occurring south of 25N and west of 45W.
The highest seas are occurring east of the Windward Islands.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to locally strong N-NE winds
and seas of 4-8 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and
east of 22W. In the rest of the basin, moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic subtropical
ridge extends along 28N tonight and will weaken and drift
northward through early next week as a broad surface trough forms
E of 50W. This trough will shift westward and reach 65W by Wed.
Moderate to fresh trades will prevail S of 24N through Tue, with
gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds are expected during
the evenings through Tue N of Hispaniola and in the Windward
Passage. Expect increasing winds and seas N of 22N and E of 70W
Tue through Wed as the trough approaches.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 19 Jul 2026 05:25:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
272
AXNT20 KNHC 190525
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Jul 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0505 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURE...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The subtropical ridge north of the
Caribbean will support strong to near-gale force easterly trade
winds across the much of the central Caribbean into early Mon,
before becoming confined to south of 15N. Winds will pulse to
gale force over the waters north of Colombia tonight. Rough to
very rough seas, peaking around 14 ft, will develop during the
times of peak winds.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
NE Gulf of America (Invest AL91): Recent satellite-wind data and
nearby surface observations indicate that an area of low pressure
located over the northeastern Gulf of America is slowly becoming
better defined. However, its associated shower and thunderstorm
activity remains disorganized. This activity may produce gusty
winds, frequent lightning and rough seas. Mariners should exercise
caution across this area. Regardless, gradual development of this
system is forecast, and a tropical depression could form over the
next couple of days as the system moves slowly northward or
northwestward. Interests along the northern Gulf coast from
Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, to Louisiana should monitor the
progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to
portions of that region during the next several days. An Air Force
Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
system later today, if necessary. This system has a medium chance
for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.
Please refer to the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
information.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A well-defined tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been
repositioned along 32W, south of 19N, based on recent satellite
and scatterometer data. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt.
No significant convection is observed near this wave due to dry
Saharan air.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are present from 07N to
13N and between 55W and 63W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward through the
Cabo Verde Islands to 15N30W and then to 07N44W. The ITCZ extends
from 07N44W to 07N58W. A few showers are evident within 120 nm on
both sides of the monsoon trough and ITCZ west of 40W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please refer to the Special Features section for details a broad
low pressure over the eastern Gulf that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.
Elsewhere, dry air dominates the remainder of the basin
suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms. A 1019
mb high pressure over the NW Gulf waters supports moderate to
fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft in the eastern Bay of Campeche,
while light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, broad low pressure has formed offshore of Tampa
Bay, Florida near 84.5W, and will drift northward over the next
few days, bringing thunderstorms and heavy rainfall to the NE Gulf
and adjacent portions of Florida. Gradual development of this
system is possible and a tropical depression could form over the
next few days before the system moves inland across the Florida
Panhandle. Regardless of development, mariners should prepare for
thunderstorms producing locally gusty winds and higher seas. Away
from this system, weak high pressure will dominate, producing
gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas through the
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
section for more details.
The 1027 mb subtropical ridge centered near 29N58W in the central
Atlantic forces strong to gale easterly trade winds across the
central Caribbean, with the strongest winds occurring off
Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are found in these waters.
Moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are present in the
eastern Caribbean and Windward Passage. Elsewhere, light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few
showers and isolated thunderstorms that developed over Panama and
Costa Rica are also affecting the nearshore waters. Generally dry
weather conditions are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
high pressure ridge oriented along 28N, and the Colombian low
will support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
Colombia tonight. Otherwise, strong to near- gale force trade
winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the central
Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to south of 15N. East
winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each evening this
weekend in the Windward Passage.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A couple of weak surface troughs and an upper level low in the
north- central tropical Atlantic combine to generate isolated
showers north of 20N and between 36W and 52W. Meanwhile, a broad
subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic forces fresh
to locally strong easterly trade winds off northern Hispaniola as
shown in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Elsewhere in the
central and western Atlantic, moderate to fresh easterly winds
and seas of 4-8 ft are occurring south of 25N and west of 45W.
The highest seas are occurring east of the Windward Islands.
In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to locally strong N-NE winds
and seas of 4-8 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and
east of 22W. In the rest of the basin, moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic subtropical
ridge extends along 28N tonight and will weaken and drift
northward through early next week as a broad surface trough forms
E of 50W. This trough will shift westward and reach 65W by Wed.
Moderate to fresh trades will prevail S of 24N through Tue, with
gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds are expected during
the evenings through Tue N of Hispaniola and in the Windward
Passage. Expect increasing winds and seas N of 22N and E of 70W
Tue through Wed as the trough approaches.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 20 Jul 2026 17:16:52 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 19 Jul 2026 07:50:13 GMT - Sun, 19 Jul 2026 05:16:52 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 190516
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91):
Recent satellite-wind data and nearby surface observations indicate
that an area of low pressure located over the northeastern Gulf of
America is slowly becoming better defined. However, its associated
shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Regardless,
gradual development of this system is forecast, and a tropical
depression could form over the next couple of days as the system
moves slowly northward or northwestward. Interests along the
northern Gulf coast from Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, to Louisiana
should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to
bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several
days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system later today, if necessary.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 18 Jul 2026 16:24:46 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181624
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1225 PM EDT SAT 18 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-048 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (NORTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA - AL91)
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
A. 19/1800Z A. 20/0600Z
B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 02AAA SURVEY
C. 19/1700Z C. 20/0500Z
D. 28.5N 85.0W D. 29.1N 85.1W
E. 19/1730Z TO 19/2230Z E. 20/0530Z TO 20/0900Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST G. SYSTEM SURVEY
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 73
A. 20/1130Z,1730Z
B. AFXXX 0302A CYCLONE
C. 20/1030Z
D. 29.3N 85.2W
E. 20/1100Z TO 20/1730Z
F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON AL91 IF
SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf