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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 10:37:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041037
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is just E of the Cape Verde Islands, extending
from 05N to 17N with axis near 23W, moving W at 5-10 kt. Isolated
showers are in the immediate vicinity of the wave axis.
A tropical wave extends from 05N to 17N with axis near 33W, moving
W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 05N
to 12N between 28W and 41W.
A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean, with axis south of 19N and
near 67W, which is moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted between 63W and 73W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ extends from 09N37W to 06N52W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
numerous moderate to strong convection is coming off W Africa and
extends from 04N to 16N between 10W and 21W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 05N to 13N between 44W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
across the SE U.S. and across the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1018
mb high near 26N89W. This supports light to gentle winds and
slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle to
moderate NE to E winds over the Bay of Campeche associated with a
surface trough.
For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the
Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through midweek. These winds are the
result of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
basin and the Colombian Low continues to support fresh to strong
easterly winds and seas of 6-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found offshore
NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-6 ft seas are
across the E Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Otherwise, the E Pacific
extension of the monsoon continues to support numerous moderate to
strong convection over the Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia
offshore waters.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Wed night. Expect winds to
reach near-gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela from Sun through Wed. Moderate to fresh trades
will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker
winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Otherwise, a
tropical wave moving across the Mona Passage this morning will
continue to bring scattered showers and tstms to the eastern
Caribbean through this evening and across the central basin
through early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 31N-33N between 45W and 71W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are between the front and 27N. Similar
shower activity is farther east within 60 nm either side of a
surface trough that extends from 29N45W to 26N52W. Otherwise,
the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward across the
subtropical Atlantic waters, thus supporting moderate to locally
fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas across much of the waters S
of 25N. North of 25N and W of 44W, winds are moderate or weaker
from the SSW and seas slight. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
prevail between the Lesser Antilles and 43W where seas are 7-8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward into central Florida through midweek. This pattern
will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds are
likely at night N of Hispaniola and approaches to the Windward
Passage.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 10:37:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 041037
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jul 4 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is just E of the Cape Verde Islands, extending
from 05N to 17N with axis near 23W, moving W at 5-10 kt. Isolated
showers are in the immediate vicinity of the wave axis.
A tropical wave extends from 05N to 17N with axis near 33W, moving
W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 05N
to 12N between 28W and 41W.
A tropical wave is in the E Caribbean, with axis south of 19N and
near 67W, which is moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted between 63W and 73W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
southwestward to 09N30W. The ITCZ extends from 09N37W to 06N52W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
numerous moderate to strong convection is coming off W Africa and
extends from 04N to 16N between 10W and 21W. Scattered moderate
convection is from 05N to 13N between 44W and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
across the SE U.S. and across the Gulf waters, anchored by a 1018
mb high near 26N89W. This supports light to gentle winds and
slight seas across most of the basin, except for gentle to
moderate NE to E winds over the Bay of Campeche associated with a
surface trough.
For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the
Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through midweek. These winds are the
result of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
basin and the Colombian Low continues to support fresh to strong
easterly winds and seas of 6-10 ft in the central to SW
Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest seas are found offshore
NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-6 ft seas are
across the E Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail. Otherwise, the E Pacific
extension of the monsoon continues to support numerous moderate to
strong convection over the Costa Rica, Panama and Colombia
offshore waters.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Wed night. Expect winds to
reach near-gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela from Sun through Wed. Moderate to fresh trades
will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker
winds will prevail over the NW part of the basin. Otherwise, a
tropical wave moving across the Mona Passage this morning will
continue to bring scattered showers and tstms to the eastern
Caribbean through this evening and across the central basin
through early next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 31N-33N between 45W and 71W. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are between the front and 27N. Similar
shower activity is farther east within 60 nm either side of a
surface trough that extends from 29N45W to 26N52W. Otherwise,
the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward across the
subtropical Atlantic waters, thus supporting moderate to locally
fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas across much of the waters S
of 25N. North of 25N and W of 44W, winds are moderate or weaker
from the SSW and seas slight. Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades
prevail between the Lesser Antilles and 43W where seas are 7-8 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward into central Florida through midweek. This pattern
will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds are
likely at night N of Hispaniola and approaches to the Windward
Passage.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 23:21:51 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 04 Jul 2026 15:40:23 GMT - Sat, 04 Jul 2026 11:21:51 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 041121
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Jul 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 13:00:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041300
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 04 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-034
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf