2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 30 Nov 2025 16:49:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301649
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 30 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Recent scatterometer and
    altimeter passes confirmed a large area of fresh to strong
    easterly winds and 8 to 11 ft seas in a long plume across the
    eastern and central Atlantic from roughly 20N to 28N between 15W
    and 50W. These winds and seas are between strong high pressure
    north of the area and a trough near 51W extending from 15N and
    25N. Scatterometer data also indicated locally near-gale force
    winds near the trough. The trough will continue to move to the
    W-NW at 20 to 25 kt and pass north of the Leeward Islands by mid
    week. Winds will diminish slightly through the period, but given
    the long fetch and duration of the winds, this pattern will
    support seas building to 12 to 13 ft today and Mon over an area
    from 22N to 28N between 45W and 55W. Winds and seas will diminish
    after late Tue, but 8-10 ft seas will persist across tropical
    Atlantic waters east of 60W through the latter part of the week.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 08N13W and
    continues to 06N17W. The ITCZ extends from 06N17W to 03N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 04N to 07N between
    10W and 30W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A new cold front has entered the NW Gulf. As of 1500 UTC, the
    front extends from Vermilion Bay, LA to Padre Island, TX. Fresh to
    strong NE winds are behind the front, with building seas of 5-7
    ft. Scattered showers and tstorms are along the front. A surface
    trough is analyzed in the east central Gulf, from 23N to 27N along
    88W. Locally fresh E winds, and seas to 6 ft, are analyzed near
    the trough. Scattered showers and tstorms are also near the
    trough. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker E winds and 3-5 ft seas
    prevail across the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the front is forecast to stall Mon night into
    Tue, when a low pressure will form off Texas and move
    northeastward across the southeast U.S. into the northwest
    Atlantic. Thereafter, the front will move southeastward farther
    into the basin, but then stall again over the central Gulf through
    mid-week, as another low forms over South Texas. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh southerly flow over the western Gulf as the low
    pressure moves northeastward.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to 15N between 72W and
    76W, ahead of a broad upper trough reaching from the Windward
    Passage to southern Nicaragua. The latest satellite scatterometer
    data indicates fresh to strong NE winds within the Windward
    Passage. Elsewhere across the Caribbean, moderate or weaker trades
    and 3-6 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will
    support moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds across most of
    the basin through the early part of the week. Winds and seas will
    diminish by mid week as the high shifts east. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh NE winds again over the north-central Caribbean and
    off Colombia by late Thu as high pressure builds over the eastern
    U.S.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a
    Significant Swell Event in the Central Atlantic.

    A stationary front from 31N60W to 26N74W, just east of the
    northern Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is from 22N to 31N
    between 65W and 75W. Moderate to fresh NE winds are north of 25N
    between 60W and 80W. The latest satellite scatterometer
    data indicates fresh to strong NE winds on approach to and within
    the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, outside of the area described in
    SPECIAL FEATURES, moderate or weaker trades and 4-7 ft seas
    prevail across the Atlantic Basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
    dissipate later today, and high pressure north of the front will
    shift eastward, allowing winds and seas to diminish. Another weak
    front will stall off the northeast Florida coast by Mon, then lift
    northward Mon night. Expect southerly winds and building seas
    north of 29N and west of 75W late Mon and Tue as low pressure
    moves from the northern Gulf to the Carolinas. Looking ahead,
    these strong southerly winds will shift eastward Tue night into
    Wed, north of 28N ahead of a cold front moving off the northeast
    Florida coast Tue night. This front will reach from Bermuda to
    South Florida by late Wed, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by late
    Thu. Meanwhile, as described in SPECIAL FEATURES, strong winds
    and rough seas will accompany a trough moving westward into the
    waters northeast of the Leeward Islands Sun through Tue night.

    $$
    Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 30 Nov 2025 16:49:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 301649
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Nov 30 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Recent scatterometer and
    altimeter passes confirmed a large area of fresh to strong
    easterly winds and 8 to 11 ft seas in a long plume across the
    eastern and central Atlantic from roughly 20N to 28N between 15W
    and 50W. These winds and seas are between strong high pressure
    north of the area and a trough near 51W extending from 15N and
    25N. Scatterometer data also indicated locally near-gale force
    winds near the trough. The trough will continue to move to the
    W-NW at 20 to 25 kt and pass north of the Leeward Islands by mid
    week. Winds will diminish slightly through the period, but given
    the long fetch and duration of the winds, this pattern will
    support seas building to 12 to 13 ft today and Mon over an area
    from 22N to 28N between 45W and 55W. Winds and seas will diminish
    after late Tue, but 8-10 ft seas will persist across tropical
    Atlantic waters east of 60W through the latter part of the week.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 08N13W and
    continues to 06N17W. The ITCZ extends from 06N17W to 03N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 04N to 07N between
    10W and 30W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    A new cold front has entered the NW Gulf. As of 1500 UTC, the
    front extends from Vermilion Bay, LA to Padre Island, TX. Fresh to
    strong NE winds are behind the front, with building seas of 5-7
    ft. Scattered showers and tstorms are along the front. A surface
    trough is analyzed in the east central Gulf, from 23N to 27N along
    88W. Locally fresh E winds, and seas to 6 ft, are analyzed near
    the trough. Scattered showers and tstorms are also near the
    trough. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker E winds and 3-5 ft seas
    prevail across the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the front is forecast to stall Mon night into
    Tue, when a low pressure will form off Texas and move
    northeastward across the southeast U.S. into the northwest
    Atlantic. Thereafter, the front will move southeastward farther
    into the basin, but then stall again over the central Gulf through
    mid-week, as another low forms over South Texas. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh southerly flow over the western Gulf as the low
    pressure moves northeastward.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered moderate convection is from 12N to 15N between 72W and
    76W, ahead of a broad upper trough reaching from the Windward
    Passage to southern Nicaragua. The latest satellite scatterometer
    data indicates fresh to strong NE winds within the Windward
    Passage. Elsewhere across the Caribbean, moderate or weaker trades
    and 3-6 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure over the western Atlantic will
    support moderate to occasionally fresh trade winds across most of
    the basin through the early part of the week. Winds and seas will
    diminish by mid week as the high shifts east. Looking ahead,
    expect fresh NE winds again over the north-central Caribbean and
    off Colombia by late Thu as high pressure builds over the eastern
    U.S.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information on a
    Significant Swell Event in the Central Atlantic.

    A stationary front from 31N60W to 26N74W, just east of the
    northern Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is from 22N to 31N
    between 65W and 75W. Moderate to fresh NE winds are north of 25N
    between 60W and 80W. The latest satellite scatterometer
    data indicates fresh to strong NE winds on approach to and within
    the Windward Passage. Elsewhere, outside of the area described in
    SPECIAL FEATURES, moderate or weaker trades and 4-7 ft seas
    prevail across the Atlantic Basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
    dissipate later today, and high pressure north of the front will
    shift eastward, allowing winds and seas to diminish. Another weak
    front will stall off the northeast Florida coast by Mon, then lift
    northward Mon night. Expect southerly winds and building seas
    north of 29N and west of 75W late Mon and Tue as low pressure
    moves from the northern Gulf to the Carolinas. Looking ahead,
    these strong southerly winds will shift eastward Tue night into
    Wed, north of 28N ahead of a cold front moving off the northeast
    Florida coast Tue night. This front will reach from Bermuda to
    South Florida by late Wed, and from 31N60W to eastern Cuba by late
    Thu. Meanwhile, as described in SPECIAL FEATURES, strong winds
    and rough seas will accompany a trough moving westward into the
    waters northeast of the Leeward Islands Sun through Tue night.

    $$
    Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 02 Dec 2025 05:16:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 30 Nov 2025 21:06:14 GMT
  • Sun, 30 Nov 2025 17:16:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 301716
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Sun Nov 30 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 30 Nov 2025 16:19:46 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 301619
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1120 AM EST SUN 30 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-183

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTES:
    A. THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.

    B. THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT BUOY
    DEPLOYMENT MISSION IS PLANNED OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC ON 3
    DEC.

    C. THIS WILL BE THE LAST TCPOD OF THE 2025 HURRICANE SEASON UNLESS
    CONDITIONS DICTATE OTHERWISE. WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY
    MESSAGES WILL COMMENCE TOMORROW.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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