2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 16:48:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    641
    AXNT20 KNHC 061648
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Jun 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1647 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave that emerged off the west coast of Africa
    earlier this morning has it axis along 18.5W, south of 15N. This
    wave is moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    depicted from 02N to 06N between 15W and 20W.

    A second tropical wave is near 31W, south of 13N moving W at 15
    to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted where the wave
    meets the monsoon trough from 02N to 07N between 25W and 34W.

    Another tropical wave is along 56W, south of 13.5N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is evident from 04N to 10N between 48W and 57W.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean Sea along 65W,
    south of 14.5N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears
    to enhance convection over portions of Venezuela.

    Another tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean Sea.
    Its axis is along 81W, south of 18.5N into the EPAC region.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed near
    the southern portion of the wave axis and along the eastern end of
    the EPAC monsoon trough.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of western
    Africa near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 03N33W. The
    ITCZ extends from 03N33W to the coast of Brazil near 02N49.5W
    where scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 04N W of
    42W. Additional convection across the area is related to the
    above mentioned tropical waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic and the SE of the United
    States extends a ridge across the Gulf waters supporting gentle
    to moderate SE winds, with the exception of moderate to fresh
    winds N and W of the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas are slight to
    moderate within these wind speeds. A surface trough over the
    western part of the basin is supporting scattered moderate
    convection south of 26N and west of 91W. Another area of scattered
    moderate convection is depicted north of 28N between 86W and 89W.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the
    eastern Gulf and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western
    Gulf through at least early next week. The exception will be off
    the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
    moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
    evenings. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with these winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please, see the Tropical Waves section above for more details.

    High pressure north of the area combined with lower pressures
    across South America supports moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the
    exception of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are
    noted. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    occurring just south of the Hispaniola, Jamaica, and in the SW
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds, embedded in the
    trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to scattered
    passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward.
    Winds will begin to increase again over the central Caribbean late
    tonight into Sun, and over the NW part of the basin Sun night
    into Mon as the pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic
    ridge and a broad area of low pressure located over the eastern
    Pacific offshore of Central America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between the W coast of
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details.

    A frontal boundary extends from 31N61W to near 25N74W. Ahead of
    the front, a surface trough extends from 27N66W to eastern Cuba.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along these two features.
    High pressure over the southeastern United States and the western
    Atlantic follows this frontal boundary. The remainder of the
    Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge,
    anchored by a 1030 mb high pressure situated SW of the Azores
    34N37W. Under the influence of this feature, a gentle to moderate
    E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of front to about 43W. Fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and rough seas are found north of 18N and
    east of 43W, including the Canary Islands. The strongest winds are
    between the islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast of Africa and the Lesser
    Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary will
    begin to weaken today and dissipate early on Sun. A surface
    trough will linger and drift westward through Mon night. A cold
    front will reach from near 31N59W by late Tue, from near 30N55W to
    26N63W and stationary to 27N69W, then shift E of the area Thu as
    a high center N of the area slides eastward along 33N. This
    weather pattern will generally support gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas into next week, except for moderate to fresh
    trades S of 22N between Hispaniola and Cuba beginning late Wed.$$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 16:48:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    641
    AXNT20 KNHC 061648
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Jun 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1647 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The tropical wave that emerged off the west coast of Africa
    earlier this morning has it axis along 18.5W, south of 15N. This
    wave is moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    depicted from 02N to 06N between 15W and 20W.

    A second tropical wave is near 31W, south of 13N moving W at 15
    to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted where the wave
    meets the monsoon trough from 02N to 07N between 25W and 34W.

    Another tropical wave is along 56W, south of 13.5N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is evident from 04N to 10N between 48W and 57W.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean Sea along 65W,
    south of 14.5N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave appears
    to enhance convection over portions of Venezuela.

    Another tropical wave is moving across the western Caribbean Sea.
    Its axis is along 81W, south of 18.5N into the EPAC region.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is observed near
    the southern portion of the wave axis and along the eastern end of
    the EPAC monsoon trough.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of western
    Africa near 14N17W and continues southwestward to 03N33W. The
    ITCZ extends from 03N33W to the coast of Brazil near 02N49.5W
    where scattered moderate convection is noted from 00N to 04N W of
    42W. Additional convection across the area is related to the
    above mentioned tropical waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic and the SE of the United
    States extends a ridge across the Gulf waters supporting gentle
    to moderate SE winds, with the exception of moderate to fresh
    winds N and W of the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas are slight to
    moderate within these wind speeds. A surface trough over the
    western part of the basin is supporting scattered moderate
    convection south of 26N and west of 91W. Another area of scattered
    moderate convection is depicted north of 28N between 86W and 89W.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the
    eastern Gulf and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western
    Gulf through at least early next week. The exception will be off
    the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
    moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
    evenings. Slight to moderate seas will prevail with these winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please, see the Tropical Waves section above for more details.

    High pressure north of the area combined with lower pressures
    across South America supports moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the
    exception of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are
    noted. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    occurring just south of the Hispaniola, Jamaica, and in the SW
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, patches of low level clouds, embedded in the
    trade wind flow, are noted producing isolated to scattered
    passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the
    Atlantic ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward.
    Winds will begin to increase again over the central Caribbean late
    tonight into Sun, and over the NW part of the basin Sun night
    into Mon as the pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic
    ridge and a broad area of low pressure located over the eastern
    Pacific offshore of Central America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between the W coast of
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details.

    A frontal boundary extends from 31N61W to near 25N74W. Ahead of
    the front, a surface trough extends from 27N66W to eastern Cuba.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are along these two features.
    High pressure over the southeastern United States and the western
    Atlantic follows this frontal boundary. The remainder of the
    Atlantic forecast area is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge,
    anchored by a 1030 mb high pressure situated SW of the Azores
    34N37W. Under the influence of this feature, a gentle to moderate
    E to SE flow is seen N of 20N E of front to about 43W. Fresh to
    strong N to NE winds and rough seas are found north of 18N and
    east of 43W, including the Canary Islands. The strongest winds are
    between the islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast of Africa and the Lesser
    Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary will
    begin to weaken today and dissipate early on Sun. A surface
    trough will linger and drift westward through Mon night. A cold
    front will reach from near 31N59W by late Tue, from near 30N55W to
    26N63W and stationary to 27N69W, then shift E of the area Thu as
    a high center N of the area slides eastward along 33N. This
    weather pattern will generally support gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas into next week, except for moderate to fresh
    trades S of 22N between Hispaniola and Cuba beginning late Wed.$$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 08 Jun 2026 05:15:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 06 Jun 2026 21:45:03 GMT
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 17:15:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 061715
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Brown
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 13:54:16 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 061354
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EDT SAT 06 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-006

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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