2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 29 Jun 2026 20:39:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    155
    AXNT20 KNHC 292039
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 32W,
    south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is found from 03N-07N between 23W-34W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 63W, south
    of 14N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is found along the wave axis from 08N-12N
    between 60W-64W.

    A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 72W, south of
    20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N22W. The ITCZ extends from 10N22W to 06N30W
    to 06N53W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves
    described above, no significant convection is present at this
    time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    1021 mb high pressure is centered over the north-central Gulf
    near 29N87W. A trough is over the Bay of Campeche in the far
    southwest Gulf along 92W south of 22N. Moderate S to SW winds and
    3 to 5 ft seas are noted over the western Gulf with gentle breezes
    and 1 to 3 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Various observations over
    southern Mexico including Veracruz are showing minor limitations
    to visibility due to haze.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will continue to dominate the
    Gulf region while a weak cold front is forecast to reach the NE
    Gulf late tonight into Tue with little impact in winds and seas.
    Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW
    Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local effects
    associated with a thermal trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds
    across the western half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to
    moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail the remainder
    forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E
    of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
    to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. A
    concurrent altimeter pass confirmed seas in these waters are 8-10
    ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
    Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
    found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few thunderstorms are
    active across Trinidad into the far northeast part of Venezuela associated
    with a tropical wave moving past the Windward Islands. No
    significant convection is evident elsewhere over the Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the basin combined
    with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds
    over the central Caribbean through the forecast period, reaching
    near-gale force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    at night. Moderate or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder
    of the basin during the next several days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands near
    24N65W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain
    active within 90 to 240 nm southeast of an associated surface
    trough extending from 25N63W to 19N70W. The remainder of the
    Atlantic discussion area is dominated by the subtropical ridge
    north of 20N, interrupted only by a surface trough along roughly
    45W from 20N to 25N. This pattern is supporting moderate winds and
    3-5 ft seas north of 20N, east of 35W. It is also supporting
    moderate to fresh trade winds farther south over the deep tropics
    east of 35W with 5-7 ft seas, except near 8 ft southeast of
    Barbados. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force
    northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and
    east of 20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent elsewhere east of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, while most of the basin will
    experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
    Hispaniola will freshen in the late afternoons and early evenings
    for the next several days. A weak cold front located off of the SE
    United States coast will extend from 31N72W to the central
    Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
    to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
    along the western end of the frontal system in the next day or
    two. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for
    some tropical development as the system drifts southward and then
    westward before conditions become even less favorable later this
    week. Currently, the forecast keeps the low just N of 30N through
    Wed.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 29 Jun 2026 20:39:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    155
    AXNT20 KNHC 292039
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 32W,
    south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is found from 03N-07N between 23W-34W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 63W, south
    of 14N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is found along the wave axis from 08N-12N
    between 60W-64W.

    A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 72W, south of
    20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
    southwestward to 10N22W. The ITCZ extends from 10N22W to 06N30W
    to 06N53W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves
    described above, no significant convection is present at this
    time.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    1021 mb high pressure is centered over the north-central Gulf
    near 29N87W. A trough is over the Bay of Campeche in the far
    southwest Gulf along 92W south of 22N. Moderate S to SW winds and
    3 to 5 ft seas are noted over the western Gulf with gentle breezes
    and 1 to 3 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Various observations over
    southern Mexico including Veracruz are showing minor limitations
    to visibility due to haze.

    For the forecast, the high pressure will continue to dominate the
    Gulf region while a weak cold front is forecast to reach the NE
    Gulf late tonight into Tue with little impact in winds and seas.
    Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW
    Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local effects
    associated with a thermal trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds
    across the western half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to
    moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail the remainder
    forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E
    of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
    to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. A
    concurrent altimeter pass confirmed seas in these waters are 8-10
    ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
    Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
    found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few thunderstorms are
    active across Trinidad into the far northeast part of Venezuela associated
    with a tropical wave moving past the Windward Islands. No
    significant convection is evident elsewhere over the Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the basin combined
    with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds
    over the central Caribbean through the forecast period, reaching
    near-gale force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
    at night. Moderate or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder
    of the basin during the next several days.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands near
    24N65W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain
    active within 90 to 240 nm southeast of an associated surface
    trough extending from 25N63W to 19N70W. The remainder of the
    Atlantic discussion area is dominated by the subtropical ridge
    north of 20N, interrupted only by a surface trough along roughly
    45W from 20N to 25N. This pattern is supporting moderate winds and
    3-5 ft seas north of 20N, east of 35W. It is also supporting
    moderate to fresh trade winds farther south over the deep tropics
    east of 35W with 5-7 ft seas, except near 8 ft southeast of
    Barbados. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force
    northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and
    east of 20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent elsewhere east of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, while most of the basin will
    experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
    Hispaniola will freshen in the late afternoons and early evenings
    for the next several days. A weak cold front located off of the SE
    United States coast will extend from 31N72W to the central
    Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
    to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
    along the western end of the frontal system in the next day or
    two. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for
    some tropical development as the system drifts southward and then
    westward before conditions become even less favorable later this
    week. Currently, the forecast keeps the low just N of 30N through
    Wed.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 01 Jul 2026 05:33:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 29 Jun 2026 21:35:21 GMT
  • Mon, 29 Jun 2026 17:33:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 291733
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the southeastern
    U.S. coast are associated with an area of low pressure along a
    frontal boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally
    favorable for some tropical development over the next day or two as
    the system drifts southward and then westward before conditions
    become even less favorable later this week.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 29 Jun 2026 13:36:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 291336
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT MON 29 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-029

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
    OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 31.0N 71.5W FOR 01/1800Z.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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