2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 09:37:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 060936
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Jun 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new tropical wave has emerged off the west coast of Africa. Its
    axis is along 17W S of 15N. The Howmoller Diagram indicates the
    westward propagation of this system. The TPW also shows the
    presence of the wave. Scattered moderate convection is near the
    southern end of the wave axis.

    A second tropical wave is near 30W, south of 13N moving W at 15 to
    20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    where the wave meets the monsoon trough from 03N to 06N between
    25W and 34W.

    Another tropical wave is along 54W, south of 13N, moving westward
    at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    evident from 02N to 10N between 47W and 58W.

    A tropical wave is now in the far eastern Caribbean Sea along
    63W, south of 17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave
    appears to enhance convection over portions of eastern Venezuela.

    Another tropical wave is moving across the Caribbean Sea. Its
    axis is along 80W, south of 18N into the EPAC region. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is observed near the
    northern portion of the wave axis and just south of Jamaica to
    about 14N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of western
    Africa near 12.5N16W and continues southwestward to 04N28W. The
    ITCZ extends from 02N31W to the coast of Brazil near 02.5N51W
    where scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from 00N to 04N W of 48W. Additional convection across the area
    is related to the above mentioned tropical waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic and the SE of the United
    States extends a ridge across the Gulf waters supporting gentle
    to moderate E to SE winds, with the exception of moderate to
    fresh winds in the Straits of Florida and to the N and W of the
    Yucatan Peninsula. Seas are slight to moderate within these wind
    speeds. An area of showers and thunderstorms is noted over the SW
    Gulf, particularly S of 22.5N and W of 94W.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region
    promoting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern Gulf
    and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western Gulf through
    at least early next week. The exception will be off the Yucatan
    Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will allow moderate winds to
    pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the evenings. Slight
    to moderate seas are expected.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please, see the Tropical Waves section above for more details.

    High pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low
    supports moderate to locally fresh trade winds and moderate seas
    across the majority of the basin, with the exception of the SW
    Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted per recent
    scatterometer data. Fresh to locally strong easterly winds are
    blowing in the Gulf of Honduras with moderate seas. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring just south of
    Jamaica, and in the SW Caribbean. Elsewhere, patches of low level
    clouds, embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted producing
    isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
    seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the Atlantic ridge
    north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin
    to increase again over the central Caribbean late tonight into
    Sun, and over the NW part of the basin Sun night into Mon as the
    pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic ridge and a broad
    area of low pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of
    Central America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between the W coast of
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details.

    A frontal boundary extends from 31N60W to the central Bahamas.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along the front.
    High pressure over the southeastern United States and the western
    Atlantic follows this system. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    area is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1028
    mb high pressure situated SW of the Azores 34N33W. Under the influence
    of this feature, a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow is seen N
    of 20N E of front to about 25W. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas are found north of 18N and east of 25W, including the
    Canary Islands. The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate
    to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between
    the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary
    will continue to dissipate today. A surface trough will linger and
    drift westward through Mon night. Then, a cold front will reach the
    northern forecast waters on Tue, and move southward to near 27N by
    Tue night. This weather pattern will support gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas into early next week.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 09:37:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 060936
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Jun 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new tropical wave has emerged off the west coast of Africa. Its
    axis is along 17W S of 15N. The Howmoller Diagram indicates the
    westward propagation of this system. The TPW also shows the
    presence of the wave. Scattered moderate convection is near the
    southern end of the wave axis.

    A second tropical wave is near 30W, south of 13N moving W at 15 to
    20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    where the wave meets the monsoon trough from 03N to 06N between
    25W and 34W.

    Another tropical wave is along 54W, south of 13N, moving westward
    at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
    evident from 02N to 10N between 47W and 58W.

    A tropical wave is now in the far eastern Caribbean Sea along
    63W, south of 17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. The wave
    appears to enhance convection over portions of eastern Venezuela.

    Another tropical wave is moving across the Caribbean Sea. Its
    axis is along 80W, south of 18N into the EPAC region. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is observed near the
    northern portion of the wave axis and just south of Jamaica to
    about 14N.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of western
    Africa near 12.5N16W and continues southwestward to 04N28W. The
    ITCZ extends from 02N31W to the coast of Brazil near 02.5N51W
    where scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted
    from 00N to 04N W of 48W. Additional convection across the area
    is related to the above mentioned tropical waves.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic and the SE of the United
    States extends a ridge across the Gulf waters supporting gentle
    to moderate E to SE winds, with the exception of moderate to
    fresh winds in the Straits of Florida and to the N and W of the
    Yucatan Peninsula. Seas are slight to moderate within these wind
    speeds. An area of showers and thunderstorms is noted over the SW
    Gulf, particularly S of 22.5N and W of 94W.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf region
    promoting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the eastern Gulf
    and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western Gulf through
    at least early next week. The exception will be off the Yucatan
    Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will allow moderate winds to
    pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the evenings. Slight
    to moderate seas are expected.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please, see the Tropical Waves section above for more details.

    High pressure north of the area combined with the Colombian low
    supports moderate to locally fresh trade winds and moderate seas
    across the majority of the basin, with the exception of the SW
    Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted per recent
    scatterometer data. Fresh to locally strong easterly winds are
    blowing in the Gulf of Honduras with moderate seas. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring just south of
    Jamaica, and in the SW Caribbean. Elsewhere, patches of low level
    clouds, embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted producing
    isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
    seas will persist across the Caribbean today as the Atlantic ridge
    north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin
    to increase again over the central Caribbean late tonight into
    Sun, and over the NW part of the basin Sun night into Mon as the
    pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic ridge and a broad
    area of low pressure located over the eastern Pacific offshore of
    Central America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between the W coast of
    Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details.

    A frontal boundary extends from 31N60W to the central Bahamas.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are along the front.
    High pressure over the southeastern United States and the western
    Atlantic follows this system. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast
    area is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1028
    mb high pressure situated SW of the Azores 34N33W. Under the influence
    of this feature, a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow is seen N
    of 20N E of front to about 25W. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and
    rough seas are found north of 18N and east of 25W, including the
    Canary Islands. The strongest winds are between the islands. Moderate
    to fresh trades and moderate seas are elsewhere S of 20N between
    the coast of Africa and the Lesser Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned frontal boundary
    will continue to dissipate today. A surface trough will linger and
    drift westward through Mon night. Then, a cold front will reach the
    northern forecast waters on Tue, and move southward to near 27N by
    Tue night. This weather pattern will support gentle to moderate winds
    and moderate seas into early next week.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 17:11:04 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 06 Jun 2026 09:40:14 GMT
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 05:11:04 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    435
    ABNT20 KNHC 060510
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sat Jun 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:20:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    113
    NOUS42 KNHC 051320
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0920 AM EDT FRI 05 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-005

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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