SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 05 Mar 2026 23:18:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 052318
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Mar 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning:
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and
and the Colombian low will support fresh to near gale-force
trades across the central and eastern Caribbean through Mon.
Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to gale-force during the
overnight hours through Sat night. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are
expected with the strongest winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W, then extends southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ continues
from 04N17W to 00N30W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted S of 03N W of 44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge from the Atlantic extends westward across Florida into
the Gulf region supporting moderate to locally fresh E to SE
winds with moderate seas. Slight seas are noted across the
coastal waters from Florida to Louisiana. A short-wave trough
over the east-central Gulf is helping to induce scattered
showers and thunderstorms over parts of the NE Gulf and west-
central Florida. Convection is flaring-up over the Yucatan
Peninsula.
For the forecast, Atlantic high pressure will continue to extend
a broad ridge southwestward into the Gulf through early next
week. The pressure gradient between the ridge and low pressure
over Mexico will support mainly moderate to fresh E to SE winds
basin-wide. Seas will be slight to moderate through the forecast
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above regarding a Gale Warning
in the south-central Caribbean.
The most recent scatterometer data provide observations of fresh
to strong winds across the central Caribbean, and in the Windward
Passage, with the strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt offshore Colombia,
where seas are in the 8 to 11 ft range. Moderate to fresh trades
and moderate seas dominate the eastern Caribbean with moderate
to locally fresh winds and moderate seas over the NW Caribbean,
including the Gulf of Honduras. An upper-level low over western
Cuba supports the development of showers and thunderstorms over
most of Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and the NW Caribbean, mainly
from 17N to 20N and W of 82W.
For the forecast, a ridge will prevail N of the area into the
weekend. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the Colombian
low will support fresh to near gale-force trades across the
central and eastern Caribbean through Mon. Winds offshore of
Colombia will pulse to gale-force during the overnight hours
through Sat night. Fresh to strong NE winds will pulse in the
Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba through early Sat
evening. In the Gulf of Honduras, fresh to strong winds will
pulse at night through Sun night. Rough seas in easterly trade
wind swell over the tropical N Atlantic will continue through
Tue.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A ridge dominates the Atlantic forecast region, with a 1037 mb
high pressure located NE of the Azores, and a 1027 mb high
pressure situated in the vicinity of Bermuda. Under the influence
of this ridge, fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas are
observed per scatterometer and altimeter data across much of the
waters E of 50W. Moderate to fresh winds dominate the area S of
25N and W of 50W, with seas to 8 ft E of the Bahamas. Gentle to
moderate winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
will prevail S of 25N through Mon night, reaching strong speeds N
of Hispaniola into the Windward passage. Rough seas will prevail
within these winds and E of the central and southern Bahamas
through Tue. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected elsewhere
across the region.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 05 Mar 2026 23:18:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 052318
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Mar 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning:
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and
and the Colombian low will support fresh to near gale-force
trades across the central and eastern Caribbean through Mon.
Winds offshore of Colombia will pulse to gale-force during the
overnight hours through Sat night. Seas of 8 to 12 ft are
expected with the strongest winds.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Guinea
near 10N14W, then extends southwestward to 04N17W. The ITCZ continues
from 04N17W to 00N30W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted S of 03N W of 44W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge from the Atlantic extends westward across Florida into
the Gulf region supporting moderate to locally fresh E to SE
winds with moderate seas. Slight seas are noted across the
coastal waters from Florida to Louisiana. A short-wave trough
over the east-central Gulf is helping to induce scattered
showers and thunderstorms over parts of the NE Gulf and west-
central Florida. Convection is flaring-up over the Yucatan
Peninsula.
For the forecast, Atlantic high pressure will continue to extend
a broad ridge southwestward into the Gulf through early next
week. The pressure gradient between the ridge and low pressure
over Mexico will support mainly moderate to fresh E to SE winds
basin-wide. Seas will be slight to moderate through the forecast
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see Special Features section above regarding a Gale Warning
in the south-central Caribbean.
The most recent scatterometer data provide observations of fresh
to strong winds across the central Caribbean, and in the Windward
Passage, with the strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt offshore Colombia,
where seas are in the 8 to 11 ft range. Moderate to fresh trades
and moderate seas dominate the eastern Caribbean with moderate
to locally fresh winds and moderate seas over the NW Caribbean,
including the Gulf of Honduras. An upper-level low over western
Cuba supports the development of showers and thunderstorms over
most of Cuba, the Cayman Islands, and the NW Caribbean, mainly
from 17N to 20N and W of 82W.
For the forecast, a ridge will prevail N of the area into the
weekend. The pressure gradient between the ridge and the Colombian
low will support fresh to near gale-force trades across the
central and eastern Caribbean through Mon. Winds offshore of
Colombia will pulse to gale-force during the overnight hours
through Sat night. Fresh to strong NE winds will pulse in the
Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba through early Sat
evening. In the Gulf of Honduras, fresh to strong winds will
pulse at night through Sun night. Rough seas in easterly trade
wind swell over the tropical N Atlantic will continue through
Tue.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A ridge dominates the Atlantic forecast region, with a 1037 mb
high pressure located NE of the Azores, and a 1027 mb high
pressure situated in the vicinity of Bermuda. Under the influence
of this ridge, fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas are
observed per scatterometer and altimeter data across much of the
waters E of 50W. Moderate to fresh winds dominate the area S of
25N and W of 50W, with seas to 8 ft E of the Bahamas. Gentle to
moderate winds and moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh easterly winds
will prevail S of 25N through Mon night, reaching strong speeds N
of Hispaniola into the Windward passage. Rough seas will prevail
within these winds and E of the central and southern Bahamas
through Tue. Moderate or weaker winds can be expected elsewhere
across the region.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 06 Mar 2026 01:31:25 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 05 Mar 2026 17:25:32 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
230
NOUS42 KNHC 051725
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1225 PM EST THU 05 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z MARCH 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-095
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf