2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 24 Dec 2025 21:28:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 242128
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Dec 25 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2045 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Very large NW swell is combining
    with waves generated by strong NNE winds behind a cold front moving
    eastward through the Central Atlantic to induce very rough seas
    greater than 12 ft across a wide swath of waters N of 22N between
    40W and 59W. Rough seas greater than 8 ft cover the waters N of a
    line from 23N73W to 19N53W to 30N38W. Peak seas near 14 ft will
    subside below 12 ft overnight. Another cold front extending from a
    storm force low north of the area has entered the forecast waters. A
    new set of NW swell generated from this storm will bring another
    round of very rough seas to the region starting on Thu and
    continuing through Fri. Gale force winds are expected behind the
    front tonight into Thursday, mainly N of 30N.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 10N14W to
    04.5N19W. The ITCZ continues from 04.5N19W to 00N49W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 13W and 16W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough extends over the SW Gulf with scattered moderate
    convection in the vicinity of the trough. Moderate to fresh winds
    are over the SE Gulf, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.
    Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the SE Gulf and 2-4 ft
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure centered over southern
    Mississippi will continue to support moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds and moderate to rough seas across the Straits of Florida and
    the southeast Gulf through tonight. Areas of fog are possible
    across the northern Gulf into Thu. A ridge will remain in control
    of the weather pattern across the Gulf region the remainder of
    the week, with a high pressure center located over the northeast
    Gulf Thu through Sat. This system will produce mainly a gentle to
    moderate wind flow with slight to moderate seas. The next cold
    front is slated to enter the northwest Gulf on Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong winds over the
    south central Caribbean, with seas in the 7-9 ft range. Fresh to
    strong winds are also over the Windward Passage. Elsewhere W of
    70W, moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft prevail. E of
    70W, gentle to moderate winds and seas of 2-4 ft are noted.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure across the western
    Atlantic combined with the Colombian low will continue to support
    fresh to strong winds in the lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage,
    and the central Caribbean through Thu night, except through Mon
    off Colombia. Long period northerly swell moving into the
    northeastern passages will gradually subside Thu. This will be
    followed by additional northerly swell arriving into northeastern
    passages late Fri into Sat before subsiding Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on significant
    swell/Gale Warning.

    Aside from conditions discussed above, a cold front extends from
    31N37W to 24N47W where it transitions to a weakening stationary
    front that continues to 20N64W. Scattered moderate and isolated
    strong convection is in the vicinity of the front. Fresh to
    strong winds are N of 27N within 60 nm west of the front. A second
    cold front enters the waters near 31N66W to 30N75W. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the
    front. Fresh to strong winds are N of 30N east of the front to
    69W. Elsewhere moderate or weaker winds with moderate seas
    generally prevails.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the tail of a weakening stationary
    front extending from 23N50W to north of the Puerto Rico will
    gradually dissipate through late today. A stronger front extending
    from near Bermuda to 30N75W will move into the waters north of
    27N and east of 75W through early Thu. Large swell continues to
    impact the region east of the Bahamas. Strong winds and a new
    group of large reinforcing swell will follow this front, mainly
    over the waters east of 70W through tonight through Thu. Winds to
    gale force will briefly impact the area north of 30N southeast of
    Bermuda overnight. Another front will move into the waters between
    northeast Florida and Bermuda Fri, before moving east of the area
    Sat, bringing additional reinforcing swell east of 70W. Yet
    another front will move off the northeast Florida coast Sat, and
    move east of the region through Mon.

    $$
    AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 24 Dec 2025 21:28:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 242128
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Dec 25 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2045 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: Very large NW swell is combining
    with waves generated by strong NNE winds behind a cold front moving
    eastward through the Central Atlantic to induce very rough seas
    greater than 12 ft across a wide swath of waters N of 22N between
    40W and 59W. Rough seas greater than 8 ft cover the waters N of a
    line from 23N73W to 19N53W to 30N38W. Peak seas near 14 ft will
    subside below 12 ft overnight. Another cold front extending from a
    storm force low north of the area has entered the forecast waters. A
    new set of NW swell generated from this storm will bring another
    round of very rough seas to the region starting on Thu and
    continuing through Fri. Gale force winds are expected behind the
    front tonight into Thursday, mainly N of 30N.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 10N14W to
    04.5N19W. The ITCZ continues from 04.5N19W to 00N49W. Scattered
    moderate convection is noted from 05N to 09N between 13W and 16W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough extends over the SW Gulf with scattered moderate
    convection in the vicinity of the trough. Moderate to fresh winds
    are over the SE Gulf, with gentle to moderate winds elsewhere.
    Seas are in the 4-6 ft range over the SE Gulf and 2-4 ft
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure centered over southern
    Mississippi will continue to support moderate to fresh NE to E
    winds and moderate to rough seas across the Straits of Florida and
    the southeast Gulf through tonight. Areas of fog are possible
    across the northern Gulf into Thu. A ridge will remain in control
    of the weather pattern across the Gulf region the remainder of
    the week, with a high pressure center located over the northeast
    Gulf Thu through Sat. This system will produce mainly a gentle to
    moderate wind flow with slight to moderate seas. The next cold
    front is slated to enter the northwest Gulf on Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between high pressure N of the area and the
    Colombian low is supporting fresh to locally strong winds over the
    south central Caribbean, with seas in the 7-9 ft range. Fresh to
    strong winds are also over the Windward Passage. Elsewhere W of
    70W, moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft prevail. E of
    70W, gentle to moderate winds and seas of 2-4 ft are noted.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure across the western
    Atlantic combined with the Colombian low will continue to support
    fresh to strong winds in the lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage,
    and the central Caribbean through Thu night, except through Mon
    off Colombia. Long period northerly swell moving into the
    northeastern passages will gradually subside Thu. This will be
    followed by additional northerly swell arriving into northeastern
    passages late Fri into Sat before subsiding Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on significant
    swell/Gale Warning.

    Aside from conditions discussed above, a cold front extends from
    31N37W to 24N47W where it transitions to a weakening stationary
    front that continues to 20N64W. Scattered moderate and isolated
    strong convection is in the vicinity of the front. Fresh to
    strong winds are N of 27N within 60 nm west of the front. A second
    cold front enters the waters near 31N66W to 30N75W. Scattered
    moderate and isolated strong convection is in the vicinity of the
    front. Fresh to strong winds are N of 30N east of the front to
    69W. Elsewhere moderate or weaker winds with moderate seas
    generally prevails.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the tail of a weakening stationary
    front extending from 23N50W to north of the Puerto Rico will
    gradually dissipate through late today. A stronger front extending
    from near Bermuda to 30N75W will move into the waters north of
    27N and east of 75W through early Thu. Large swell continues to
    impact the region east of the Bahamas. Strong winds and a new
    group of large reinforcing swell will follow this front, mainly
    over the waters east of 70W through tonight through Thu. Winds to
    gale force will briefly impact the area north of 30N southeast of
    Bermuda overnight. Another front will move into the waters between
    northeast Florida and Bermuda Fri, before moving east of the area
    Sat, bringing additional reinforcing swell east of 70W. Yet
    another front will move off the northeast Florida coast Sat, and
    move east of the region through Mon.

    $$
    AL
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 24 Dec 2025 15:00:58 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    624
    NOUS42 KNHC 241500
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EST WED 24 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-024

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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