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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 19 Feb 2026 16:15:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
960
AXNT20 KNHC 191615
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Feb 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800Z UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1615 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains confined to the African continent. The
ITCZ extends from 02N11W to 02N30W and to 02N50W. Scattered
moderate convection is observed from 04N southward along the
ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The combination of surface ridging over the eastern Gulf and lower
pressure over Mexico is resulting in a pressure gradient that is
supporting moderate to fresh S to SE winds basin-wide. Seas are
slight east of 86W and moderate elsewhere. The southerly flow in
the western Gulf is lifting smoke from agricultural fires in
southern Mexico northward. Mariners are advised that this may
reduce the visibility in the area. Aside from lower visibility
from the smoke mainly over the southwestern portion of the basin,
dense fog is ongoing over the northern Gulf waters, east of 86W
and north of 28N.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh S to SE winds
and moderate seas are expected over the central and western Gulf
through Fri. Locally strong E to SE winds will pulse in the south-
central basin, north of the Yucatan Peninsula, each afternoon and
night through Fri as a trough develops daily over the region. A
strong cold front will move into the northern Gulf this weekend
and shift across the basin through early next week. Gale force
winds and very rough seas will be possible offshore of Veracruz
Sun night into Mon. Widespread fresh to strong N to NE winds and
rough seas are expected elsewhere in the wake of the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered southeast of Bermuda continues
to affect the Caribbean Sea, supporting strong to near gale-force
NE to E winds and rough seas in the south-central and portions of
the southwestern Caribbean. Moderate to fresh E winds and
moderate seas are found in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean. In the Gulf of Honduras, fresh to strong SE winds and
seas to 6 ft are ongoing.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds will pulse in the
south- central Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
the Colombian low. Winds may reach near-gale force each night
offshore of northern Colombia, and rough seas are expected near
and to the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to strong E to SE
winds and occasionally rough seas will occur in the Gulf of
Honduras into early Sun. Otherwise, moderate to occasionally fresh
trade winds are expected over the rest of the Caribbean basin
through the forecast period. Rough seas will develop east of the
Lesser Antilles tonight into the weekend as N swell progresses
through the central tropical Atlantic.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of both the
Bermuda and Azores Highs, which extend a ridge across the
tropical Atlantic waters. Between both ridges, a slow moving cold
front extends from 31N39W to 28N46W where it stalls while
continuing to 24N69W. Over the southwestern, North Atlantic
waters, winds are mainly moderate or weaker, however rough seas to
11 ft prevails east of 65W to about 34W. Over the far eastern
subtropical Atlantic, winds are fresh to locally strong, including
the Canary Islands, and seas are 5 to 8 ft. Over the tropical
Atlantic, moderate to fresh NE to E winds are present west of 35W.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, rough seas east of 70W will slowly
subside from west to east through early Fri. Elsewhere, moderate
to locally fresh S to SW winds will prevail offshore of northern
Florida into this weekend. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
elsewhere through Sat. A strong cold front will push offshore of
the southeastern U.S. on Sun, with increasing winds and rapidly
building seas expected in the wake of the front through early next
week.
$$
Nepaul
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 19 Feb 2026 16:15:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
960
AXNT20 KNHC 191615
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Thu Feb 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800Z UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1615 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough remains confined to the African continent. The
ITCZ extends from 02N11W to 02N30W and to 02N50W. Scattered
moderate convection is observed from 04N southward along the
ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The combination of surface ridging over the eastern Gulf and lower
pressure over Mexico is resulting in a pressure gradient that is
supporting moderate to fresh S to SE winds basin-wide. Seas are
slight east of 86W and moderate elsewhere. The southerly flow in
the western Gulf is lifting smoke from agricultural fires in
southern Mexico northward. Mariners are advised that this may
reduce the visibility in the area. Aside from lower visibility
from the smoke mainly over the southwestern portion of the basin,
dense fog is ongoing over the northern Gulf waters, east of 86W
and north of 28N.
For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh S to SE winds
and moderate seas are expected over the central and western Gulf
through Fri. Locally strong E to SE winds will pulse in the south-
central basin, north of the Yucatan Peninsula, each afternoon and
night through Fri as a trough develops daily over the region. A
strong cold front will move into the northern Gulf this weekend
and shift across the basin through early next week. Gale force
winds and very rough seas will be possible offshore of Veracruz
Sun night into Mon. Widespread fresh to strong N to NE winds and
rough seas are expected elsewhere in the wake of the front.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered southeast of Bermuda continues
to affect the Caribbean Sea, supporting strong to near gale-force
NE to E winds and rough seas in the south-central and portions of
the southwestern Caribbean. Moderate to fresh E winds and
moderate seas are found in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean. In the Gulf of Honduras, fresh to strong SE winds and
seas to 6 ft are ongoing.
For the forecast, fresh to strong trade winds will pulse in the
south- central Caribbean through this weekend as a moderate
pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the north and
the Colombian low. Winds may reach near-gale force each night
offshore of northern Colombia, and rough seas are expected near
and to the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to strong E to SE
winds and occasionally rough seas will occur in the Gulf of
Honduras into early Sun. Otherwise, moderate to occasionally fresh
trade winds are expected over the rest of the Caribbean basin
through the forecast period. Rough seas will develop east of the
Lesser Antilles tonight into the weekend as N swell progresses
through the central tropical Atlantic.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of both the
Bermuda and Azores Highs, which extend a ridge across the
tropical Atlantic waters. Between both ridges, a slow moving cold
front extends from 31N39W to 28N46W where it stalls while
continuing to 24N69W. Over the southwestern, North Atlantic
waters, winds are mainly moderate or weaker, however rough seas to
11 ft prevails east of 65W to about 34W. Over the far eastern
subtropical Atlantic, winds are fresh to locally strong, including
the Canary Islands, and seas are 5 to 8 ft. Over the tropical
Atlantic, moderate to fresh NE to E winds are present west of 35W.
Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, rough seas east of 70W will slowly
subside from west to east through early Fri. Elsewhere, moderate
to locally fresh S to SW winds will prevail offshore of northern
Florida into this weekend. Moderate or weaker winds are expected
elsewhere through Sat. A strong cold front will push offshore of
the southeastern U.S. on Sun, with increasing winds and rapidly
building seas expected in the wake of the front through early next
week.
$$
Nepaul
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 19 Feb 2026 17:50:19 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 18 Feb 2026 17:34:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181734
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1235 PM EST WED 18 FEBRUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-080
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78
A. 20/0000Z
B. AFXXX 10WSC IOP34
C. 19/1830Z
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY: 25.0N 180.0W, 40.0N 180.0W, 40.0N 160.0W, AND 25.0N
160.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 19/2030Z TO 20/0230Z
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
21/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
22/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf