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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 09:46:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
205
AXNT20 KNHC 200946
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0935 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderated convection is
present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and 32W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 40W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 47W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 61W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms
are evident from 11N to 15N and between 58W and 64W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 74W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
over the Caribbean waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and to
10N51W. The ITCZ extends from 10N51W to 10N60W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to
17N and east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the Gulf waters support moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft in the eastern and central
Bay of Campeche. Moderate southerly winds and seas of 1-3 ft are
found in the western Gulf waters north of 22N and west of 94W. In
the remainder of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas
are prevalent. A few showers are seen in the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much
of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will generate
fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will spread westward
away from the peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the
SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and lower pressures in Colombia supports fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A
few showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the SW
Caribbean, especially off Costa Rica and Panama.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to locally near gale-force trades, along with rough seas,
across the south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
over the north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend
and into early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the
tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a
tropical wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N48W and
continues westward to a 1017 mb low near 30N58W. A trough extends
from the low to 26N69W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
present north of 27N and between 47W and 60W. A few showers are
evident west of 60W and north of 24N. The tropical Atlantic is
dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that supports moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas south of a line from
31N25W to the eastern Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
will weaken to a trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds over most of
the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming weekend and into
early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 09:46:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
205
AXNT20 KNHC 200946
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0935 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 27W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderated convection is
present from 06N to 13N and between 25W and 32W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 40W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
convection is observed from 07N to 15N and between 32W and 47W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 61W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers and isolated thunderstorms
are evident from 11N to 15N and between 58W and 64W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 74W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
over the Caribbean waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 16N17W and continues southwestward to 11N30W and to
10N51W. The ITCZ extends from 10N51W to 10N60W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 04N to
17N and east of 23W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure over the Gulf waters support moderate to locally
fresh easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft in the eastern and central
Bay of Campeche. Moderate southerly winds and seas of 1-3 ft are
found in the western Gulf waters north of 22N and west of 94W. In
the remainder of the basin, light to gentle winds and slight seas
are prevalent. A few showers are seen in the Bay of Campeche.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
central Gulf will prevail over the basin through the forecast
period. A weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to
moderate winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much
of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough will generate
fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan
Peninsula in the early evenings. These winds will spread westward
away from the peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the
SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge north of the
islands and lower pressures in Colombia supports fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas in the south-central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
found in the north-central and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A
few showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the SW
Caribbean, especially off Costa Rica and Panama.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
fresh to locally near gale-force trades, along with rough seas,
across the south-central Caribbean through much of the forecast
period. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail
over the north-central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend
and into early next week, perhaps increase in coverage over the
tropical Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a
tropical wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or
lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N48W and
continues westward to a 1017 mb low near 30N58W. A trough extends
from the low to 26N69W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
present north of 27N and between 47W and 60W. A few showers are
evident west of 60W and north of 24N. The tropical Atlantic is
dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that supports moderate to
fresh easterly trade winds and moderate seas south of a line from
31N25W to the eastern Bahamas. Light to gentle winds and slight to
moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned stationary front
will weaken to a trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mostly light to gentle winds over most of
the waters north of 23N going into the upcoming weekend and into
early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades are
expected south of about 23N, especially off northern Hispaniola
through the period.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 21 Aug 2026 17:20:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Aug 2026 10:30:16 GMT - Thu, 20 Aug 2026 05:20:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
766
ABNT20 KNHC 200520
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 14:42:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
892
NOUS42 KNHC 191441
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT WED 19 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-080 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO SUSPECT AREA EP90 OVER THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC NEAR 12.9N 146.4W FOR 21/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO EP90
FOR 22/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 21/2000Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf