2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 12 Feb 2026 10:16:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 121016
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Feb 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    South-Central Caribbean Gale Warning:
    A tight pressure gradient between high pressure SE of Bermuda and
    lower pressure over northwest Colombia is supporting gale force
    ENE winds offshore Colombia near Barranquilla early this morning,
    along with seas of up to 11 ft (3.5 m). The gradient will relax
    later today as the high pressure moves farther east, allowing
    gales to end.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on
    these events.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
    Guinea and Sierra Leone near 09N23W, then continues to 02N22W.
    The ITCZ continues from 02N22W to 00N32W. Scattered moderate to
    strong convection is evident from 00N to 02N between 29W and 32W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A nearly stationary front resides along the northern Gulf coast
    from the Florida Panhandle to Deep South Texas. South of this
    boundary, a 1025 mb high pressure centered near 26N92W is
    dominating the weather over the basin. A generally light,
    anticyclonic flow is established over the basin, except for gentle
    NE winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Seas are 3 ft or less.

    For the forecast, high pressure will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf waters through Fri, bringing light
    to gentle SE winds. Southerly winds will increase to moderate to
    fresh speeds Fri night ahead of a cold front that will moves cross
    the west and central waters Sat night and Sun. Strong winds and
    rough seas are possible in the northern Gulf with this frontal
    system.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See the Special Features section above on a Gale Warning.

    A surface trough that extends along 68W through the Mona Passage
    is leading to scattered moderate convection within 120 nm south of
    Puerto Rico. Otherwise, dry conditions prevail, with moderate to
    fresh trades across most of the basin, with the except of the NW,
    where gentle to moderate NE to E winds are ongoing. Seas are 5 to
    7 ft in the central and eastern basin, 5 to 9 ft in the SW, and 3
    to 5 ft in the NW.

    For the forecast, gale-force winds will end early this morning
    offshore Colombia, but will pulse to near gale-force again tonight
    due to the pressure gradient between the Colombia/Panamanian low
    and high pressure centered N of the region. Winds will continue to
    pulse to strong nightly thereafter. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh
    trades will prevail through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Large NW swell over the central Atlantic continues to decay this
    morning and seas have now fallen below 12 ft. Still, the long-
    period-swell is leading to widespread rough seas of 8-11 ft for
    all waters E of 60W. Across the same area, S of 25N, moderate to
    fresh trades dominate. A dissipating cold stationary front from
    31N31W to 25N45W separates two high pressure centers that are
    providing waters N of 25N with mainly gentle winds.

    Waters W of 60W and S of 25N are being dominated by ridging
    associated with the western high pressure, centered near 30N50W
    with 1022 mb. This is inducing gentle winds above moderate seas. N
    of 25N, SW winds have increased to strong ahead of a cold front
    that is sagging southward to just N of the area. Already rough
    seas in this area of strong winds continue to build.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will enter NW waters
    this morning. Ahead of the front, strong SW to W winds will
    prevail N of 28N, along with rough to very rough seas. These
    hazardous conditions will spread east through tonight, then
    diminish Fri as the front weakens. By Fri night the cold front
    will extend from near 31N55W to the SE Bahamas, and the boundary
    will sag SE and out of the area Sat night. On Sun, S winds will
    increase to strong offshore Florida, in advance of another cold
    front that will move off the SE U.S. coast Mon.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 12 Feb 2026 10:16:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 121016
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Feb 12 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    South-Central Caribbean Gale Warning:
    A tight pressure gradient between high pressure SE of Bermuda and
    lower pressure over northwest Colombia is supporting gale force
    ENE winds offshore Colombia near Barranquilla early this morning,
    along with seas of up to 11 ft (3.5 m). The gradient will relax
    later today as the high pressure moves farther east, allowing
    gales to end.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on
    these events.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
    Guinea and Sierra Leone near 09N23W, then continues to 02N22W.
    The ITCZ continues from 02N22W to 00N32W. Scattered moderate to
    strong convection is evident from 00N to 02N between 29W and 32W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A nearly stationary front resides along the northern Gulf coast
    from the Florida Panhandle to Deep South Texas. South of this
    boundary, a 1025 mb high pressure centered near 26N92W is
    dominating the weather over the basin. A generally light,
    anticyclonic flow is established over the basin, except for gentle
    NE winds in the eastern Bay of Campeche. Seas are 3 ft or less.

    For the forecast, high pressure will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf waters through Fri, bringing light
    to gentle SE winds. Southerly winds will increase to moderate to
    fresh speeds Fri night ahead of a cold front that will moves cross
    the west and central waters Sat night and Sun. Strong winds and
    rough seas are possible in the northern Gulf with this frontal
    system.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See the Special Features section above on a Gale Warning.

    A surface trough that extends along 68W through the Mona Passage
    is leading to scattered moderate convection within 120 nm south of
    Puerto Rico. Otherwise, dry conditions prevail, with moderate to
    fresh trades across most of the basin, with the except of the NW,
    where gentle to moderate NE to E winds are ongoing. Seas are 5 to
    7 ft in the central and eastern basin, 5 to 9 ft in the SW, and 3
    to 5 ft in the NW.

    For the forecast, gale-force winds will end early this morning
    offshore Colombia, but will pulse to near gale-force again tonight
    due to the pressure gradient between the Colombia/Panamanian low
    and high pressure centered N of the region. Winds will continue to
    pulse to strong nightly thereafter. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh
    trades will prevail through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Large NW swell over the central Atlantic continues to decay this
    morning and seas have now fallen below 12 ft. Still, the long-
    period-swell is leading to widespread rough seas of 8-11 ft for
    all waters E of 60W. Across the same area, S of 25N, moderate to
    fresh trades dominate. A dissipating cold stationary front from
    31N31W to 25N45W separates two high pressure centers that are
    providing waters N of 25N with mainly gentle winds.

    Waters W of 60W and S of 25N are being dominated by ridging
    associated with the western high pressure, centered near 30N50W
    with 1022 mb. This is inducing gentle winds above moderate seas. N
    of 25N, SW winds have increased to strong ahead of a cold front
    that is sagging southward to just N of the area. Already rough
    seas in this area of strong winds continue to build.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will enter NW waters
    this morning. Ahead of the front, strong SW to W winds will
    prevail N of 28N, along with rough to very rough seas. These
    hazardous conditions will spread east through tonight, then
    diminish Fri as the front weakens. By Fri night the cold front
    will extend from near 31N55W to the SE Bahamas, and the boundary
    will sag SE and out of the area Sat night. On Sun, S winds will
    increase to strong offshore Florida, in advance of another cold
    front that will move off the SE U.S. coast Mon.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 11 Feb 2026 17:30:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    100
    NOUS42 KNHC 111730
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1230 PM EST WED 11 FEBRUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-073

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
    A. 13/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 10WSC IOP29
    C. 12/1725Z
    D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    20.0N 170.0W, 40.0N 170.0W, 40.0N 150.0W, AND 20.0N 150.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 12/2030Z TO 13/0230Z
    F. THE FIRST FIVE DROPSONDES WILL BE RELEASED PRIOR TO 12/2030Z
    FOR THE 12/1800Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
    A. 13/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 29WSE IOP29
    C. 12/1915Z
    D. 30 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    35.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 130.0W, AND 35.0N 130.0W
    E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 12/2030Z TO 13/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
    THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
    RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    14/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
    THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
    RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    15/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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