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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 17 Apr 2026 17:47:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171747
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Apr 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Senegal and Guinea-Bissau, then reaches southwestward to 03N18W.
An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N18W through 01S30W
to near the Amazon River Delta. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is near the ITCZ from 06S to 02N between 21W
and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends southwestward from a 1019 mb high near
the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate to
fresh SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are see at the northwestern
Gulf. Light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are noted at the
northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 3
to 5 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will remain in place and slowly
weaken through Sat, maintaining gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across most of the Gulf through Sat. The exception will be off
the Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will result in a
locally tighter pressure gradient to support a pulsing of fresh to
strong winds during the evenings. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
and building seas are going to follow a cold front moving across
the northern Gulf Sat night through the early part of next week.
The front should stall from the Florida Straits to south Texas by
late Mon then dissipate through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The leading edge of a trade-wind surge is moving across the
eastern basin, while a pronounced upper-level trough also cuts
across the same general area from the Mona Passage through
Panama. Enhanced by dynamics and moisture related to the upper-
level trough, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
occurring across the eastern basin. Moderate to fresh E winds and
seas of 4 to 6 ft are present for the eastern basin. Gentle to
locally moderate NE to ENE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail
elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the southern end of a broad surface trough
currently over the eastern tip of Cuba and near Jamaica will
drift slowly westward and weaken through Sat. This feature will
disrupt the typical weather pattern across the central and
western basin with a weaker than usual pressure gradient. This
weaker pressure gradient will support mainly gentle to moderate
winds through midweek next week. Fresh NE winds may develop early
next week across the Windward Passage associated with a late-
season cold front moving into Cuba.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad surface trough extends southward from near Bermuda across
31N69W to beyond the central Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Patchy
showers are present near and up to 150 nm west of the trough,
including the Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
at the beginning for additional weather in the Atlantic Basin.
A large 1023 mb high near 33N52W is providing light to gentle
winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in moderate N to ENE swell, north of
25N between 35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the
remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, moderate to fresh NE
to E winds and 6 to 8 ft seas in mixed swells prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
will dissipate through Sat. High pressure will build into the area
from the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is forecast
to move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect
fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the
front as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late
Mon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 17 Apr 2026 17:47:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 171747
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri Apr 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1630 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Senegal and Guinea-Bissau, then reaches southwestward to 03N18W.
An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N18W through 01S30W
to near the Amazon River Delta. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is near the ITCZ from 06S to 02N between 21W
and 50W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A surface ridge extends southwestward from a 1019 mb high near
the Florida Big Bend area to south of Tampico, Mexico. Moderate to
fresh SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft are see at the northwestern
Gulf. Light to gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are noted at the
northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 3
to 5 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will remain in place and slowly
weaken through Sat, maintaining gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across most of the Gulf through Sat. The exception will be off
the Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will result in a
locally tighter pressure gradient to support a pulsing of fresh to
strong winds during the evenings. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
and building seas are going to follow a cold front moving across
the northern Gulf Sat night through the early part of next week.
The front should stall from the Florida Straits to south Texas by
late Mon then dissipate through Tue.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The leading edge of a trade-wind surge is moving across the
eastern basin, while a pronounced upper-level trough also cuts
across the same general area from the Mona Passage through
Panama. Enhanced by dynamics and moisture related to the upper-
level trough, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
occurring across the eastern basin. Moderate to fresh E winds and
seas of 4 to 6 ft are present for the eastern basin. Gentle to
locally moderate NE to ENE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail
elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea, including the Gulf of Honduras.
For the forecast, the southern end of a broad surface trough
currently over the eastern tip of Cuba and near Jamaica will
drift slowly westward and weaken through Sat. This feature will
disrupt the typical weather pattern across the central and
western basin with a weaker than usual pressure gradient. This
weaker pressure gradient will support mainly gentle to moderate
winds through midweek next week. Fresh NE winds may develop early
next week across the Windward Passage associated with a late-
season cold front moving into Cuba.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad surface trough extends southward from near Bermuda across
31N69W to beyond the central Bahamas and Great Bahama Bank. Patchy
showers are present near and up to 150 nm west of the trough,
including the Bahamas. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
at the beginning for additional weather in the Atlantic Basin.
A large 1023 mb high near 33N52W is providing light to gentle
winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft in moderate N to ENE swell, north of
25N between 35W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast. For the
remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, moderate to fresh NE
to E winds and 6 to 8 ft seas in mixed swells prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned surface trough
will dissipate through Sat. High pressure will build into the area
from the east in the wake of the trough. A cold front is forecast
to move off the coast of northeast Florida Sun night. Expect
fresh to strong N to NE winds and building seas in the wake of the
front as it reaches from Bermuda to the Florida Straits by late
Mon, and from 31N60W to central Cuba by late Tue.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 17 Apr 2026 21:06:11 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


