2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 09:00:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 040900
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0840 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1031
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
    force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones. Gale-
    force winds are expected from 04/1500 to 05/0000 UTC with severe
    gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions
    will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer to the
    Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new eastern Atlantic tropical wave was analyzed near 17W south
    of 14N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    active from 06N to 09N between 13W and 18W.

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 13N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 08N to 11N between 47W and 55W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing the shower and
    thunderstorm activity across NE South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N25W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N25W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection
    is present from 02N to 05N between 21W and 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weakening stationary front extends from southern Florida to SE
    Louisiana. A surface trough extends from 27N89W to the eastern
    Bay of Campeche. A tight pressure gradient behind the front forces
    fresh to strong easterly winds and moderate to rough seas.
    Moderate to fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas are
    present across the southeast Gulf. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
    winds and slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and plenty of
    tropical moisture result in scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf waters, east of 90W.

    For the forecast, pressure is falling over the
    central Gulf along the trough, and low pressure weak may form
    later today near 26N90W even as the front dissipates. This will
    enhance the strong winds and rough seas over the north-central
    Gulf this afternoon and evening. Meanwhile, scattered
    thunderstorms will continue today over the south-central and
    southeast Gulf, south of the front. Winds and seas will diminish
    starting Fri as the low dissipates to a remnant trough as it moves
    onshore over southwest Louisiana, and as a ridge builds from the
    western Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. Looking ahead, this
    pattern will support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight
    to moderate seas into early next week, except for occasionally
    fresh to strong pulses off northwest Yucatan during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A ridge extends from 1031 mb high pressure system centered
    southwest of the Azores southwestward to the Caribbean Sea,
    supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in
    the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    moderate seas are noted in the north-central and eastern
    Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the SW Caribbean, while
    fast- moving showers are passing across the NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
    shift east through Thu, allowing moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas to dominate much of the the Caribbean by
    Fri morning. The exception will be pulsing fresh to strong winds
    off Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night
    through Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge will rebuild north
    of the area by Sun, supporting fresh winds and building seas
    across the central and northwestern Caribbean by Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low pressure near 32N71W to
    the central Bahamas and southern Florida. Scattered showers and a
    few thunderstorms are present along of the front. Moderate to
    fresh N-NE winds and rough seas in NE swell are found behind the
    front. Fresh southerly winds and moderate seas are evident wihtin
    240 nm ahead of the front north of 29N. In the remainder of the
    tropical Atlantic, the basin is being dominated by ridging
    centered around a 1031 mb high located at 34N33W, leading to
    moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally
    rough seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will stall today
    then dissipate Fri into Sat, as high pressure builds across the
    area. This pattern will allow gentle to moderate winds and 3-5 ft
    seas into early next week.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 09:00:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 040900
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jun 4 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0840 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1031
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to near gale-
    force northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones. Gale-
    force winds are expected from 04/1500 to 05/0000 UTC with severe
    gusts. These winds will produce rough seas. Similar conditions
    will persist into the weekend. For more details, refer to the
    Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
    https://wwmiws.wmo.int

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A new eastern Atlantic tropical wave was analyzed near 17W south
    of 14N, moving west at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    active from 06N to 09N between 13W and 18W.

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 37W, south of 13N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough
    axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 50W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted from 08N to 11N between 47W and 55W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 16N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing the shower and
    thunderstorm activity across NE South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 06N25W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N25W to 01N50W. Scattered moderate convection
    is present from 02N to 05N between 21W and 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weakening stationary front extends from southern Florida to SE
    Louisiana. A surface trough extends from 27N89W to the eastern
    Bay of Campeche. A tight pressure gradient behind the front forces
    fresh to strong easterly winds and moderate to rough seas.
    Moderate to fresh easterly winds and slight to moderate seas are
    present across the southeast Gulf. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker
    winds and slight seas prevail. Divergence aloft and plenty of
    tropical moisture result in scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the eastern Gulf waters, east of 90W.

    For the forecast, pressure is falling over the
    central Gulf along the trough, and low pressure weak may form
    later today near 26N90W even as the front dissipates. This will
    enhance the strong winds and rough seas over the north-central
    Gulf this afternoon and evening. Meanwhile, scattered
    thunderstorms will continue today over the south-central and
    southeast Gulf, south of the front. Winds and seas will diminish
    starting Fri as the low dissipates to a remnant trough as it moves
    onshore over southwest Louisiana, and as a ridge builds from the
    western Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. Looking ahead, this
    pattern will support gentle to moderate E to SE winds and slight
    to moderate seas into early next week, except for occasionally
    fresh to strong pulses off northwest Yucatan during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A ridge extends from 1031 mb high pressure system centered
    southwest of the Azores southwestward to the Caribbean Sea,
    supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas in
    the south- central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    moderate seas are noted in the north-central and eastern
    Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are occurring in the SW Caribbean, while
    fast- moving showers are passing across the NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge north of the area will weaken and
    shift east through Thu, allowing moderate to locally fresh trade
    winds and moderate seas to dominate much of the the Caribbean by
    Fri morning. The exception will be pulsing fresh to strong winds
    off Venezuela and in the Gulf of Honduras mainly at night
    through Fri. Looking ahead, the Atlantic ridge will rebuild north
    of the area by Sun, supporting fresh winds and building seas
    across the central and northwestern Caribbean by Sun night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from a 1013 mb low pressure near 32N71W to
    the central Bahamas and southern Florida. Scattered showers and a
    few thunderstorms are present along of the front. Moderate to
    fresh N-NE winds and rough seas in NE swell are found behind the
    front. Fresh southerly winds and moderate seas are evident wihtin
    240 nm ahead of the front north of 29N. In the remainder of the
    tropical Atlantic, the basin is being dominated by ridging
    centered around a 1031 mb high located at 34N33W, leading to
    moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and moderate to locally
    rough seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will stall today
    then dissipate Fri into Sat, as high pressure builds across the
    area. This pattern will allow gentle to moderate winds and 3-5 ft
    seas into early next week.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 23:46:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 04 Jun 2026 16:40:12 GMT
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 11:46:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 041146
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Thu Jun 4 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart/Adams
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 12:59:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT THU 04 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-004

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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