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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 16:49:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    538
    AXNT20 KNHC 191647
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1640 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 17N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 05N to
    10N and between 27W and 33W.

    A tropical wave is near 50W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Convection is limited at this time.

    A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. Its axis
    is along 71W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is near the northern end of the wave
    axis, just south of Dominican Republic.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal,
    south of Dakar, and continues westward to 11N30W and to 10N48W.
    The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to NE Venezuela near 09N62W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 12N
    and east of 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by a 1018 mb high pressure
    located near 27N90W. This weather pattern supports a gentle to moderate
    anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas. Locally fresh easterly
    winds are found in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to a thermal trough.
    An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms, is affecting the SW
    and west-central parts of the Gulf. An upper-level low spinning over
    NE Mexico is helping to induce this convective activity.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
    through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will support
    mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate
    seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough
    will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
    Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
    westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
    into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong winds across
    the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
    the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
    ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and slight to
    moderate seas prevail elsewhere. These winds are the result of the
    pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
    low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
    offshore waters of Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, including
    the Mona Passage. Similar convective activity is affecting parts
    of western Panama and Costa Rica. Shallow moisture, embedded in
    the trade wind flow, is observed elsewhere producing isolated to
    scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge
    north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean
    into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
    to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to a 1015 mb low pressure
    located near 29N62W. A trough extends from the low center to near the
    SE Bahamas. A band of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
    is associated with these features. Satellite derived winds data show
    moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of the
    stationary front between 48W and 50W, and within about 90 nm south
    of the front between 59W and 62W. The remainder of the Atlantic
    is dominated by the Azores High centered near 40N32W. Under the
    influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate winds are
    occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W, with the
    exception of moderate to fresh NE winds from 20N to 24N E of 26W.
    Seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
    70.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned stationary front
    will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
    gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate,
    across much of the area north of 22N through the week and into
    the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south
    of about 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

    $$
    GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 16:49:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    538
    AXNT20 KNHC 191647
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1640 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 17N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 05N to
    10N and between 27W and 33W.

    A tropical wave is near 50W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
    to 15 kt. Convection is limited at this time.

    A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. Its axis
    is along 71W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is near the northern end of the wave
    axis, just south of Dominican Republic.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal,
    south of Dakar, and continues westward to 11N30W and to 10N48W.
    The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to NE Venezuela near 09N62W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 12N
    and east of 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by a 1018 mb high pressure
    located near 27N90W. This weather pattern supports a gentle to moderate
    anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas. Locally fresh easterly
    winds are found in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to a thermal trough.
    An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms, is affecting the SW
    and west-central parts of the Gulf. An upper-level low spinning over
    NE Mexico is helping to induce this convective activity.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
    through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will support
    mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate
    seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough
    will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
    Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
    westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
    into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong winds across
    the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
    the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
    ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and slight to
    moderate seas prevail elsewhere. These winds are the result of the
    pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
    low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
    offshore waters of Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, including
    the Mona Passage. Similar convective activity is affecting parts
    of western Panama and Costa Rica. Shallow moisture, embedded in
    the trade wind flow, is observed elsewhere producing isolated to
    scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge
    north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
    through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
    moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean
    into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
    to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to a 1015 mb low pressure
    located near 29N62W. A trough extends from the low center to near the
    SE Bahamas. A band of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
    is associated with these features. Satellite derived winds data show
    moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of the
    stationary front between 48W and 50W, and within about 90 nm south
    of the front between 59W and 62W. The remainder of the Atlantic
    is dominated by the Azores High centered near 40N32W. Under the
    influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate winds are
    occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W, with the
    exception of moderate to fresh NE winds from 20N to 24N E of 26W.
    Seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
    70.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned stationary front
    will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
    gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate,
    across much of the area north of 22N through the week and into
    the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south
    of about 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.

    $$
    GR
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 21 Aug 2026 05:29:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Aug 2026 20:45:10 GMT
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 17:29:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 191728
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 19 Aug 2026 14:42:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    892
    NOUS42 KNHC 191441
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1045 AM EDT WED 19 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-080 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
    A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO SUSPECT AREA EP90 OVER THE CENTRAL
    PACIFIC NEAR 12.9N 146.4W FOR 21/1800Z.
    B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO EP90
    FOR 22/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 21/2000Z.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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