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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 18 Nov 2025 17:45:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
532
AXNT20 KNHC 181745
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Nov 18 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough runs southwestward from the Senegal coast just
south of Dakar to 11N20W. An ITCZ curves west-southwestward from
11N20W to 05N35W to north of Suriname at 08N54W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted near both features
from 01N to 09N between the Guinea-Bissau/Liberia coast and 45W.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean
waters near Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The northern portion of a surface trough is causing scattered
showers across the Florida Straits. Otherwise, a broad surface
ridge is dominating much of the Gulf. Gentle with locally moderate
ENE to SSE winds and 1 to 4 ft seas are present for the entire
Gulf.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will maintain gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas through Fri
across the Gulf. Looking ahead, a weak cold front is likely to
move into the northern Gulf by Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weak 1013 mb low is persisting midway between the Isle of
Youth, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. Convergent SE winds east of
the low are generating scattered moderate convection between
central Cuba and Jamaica. A surface trough is producing similar
convection near and east of the Lesser Antilles. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in the
Caribbean Sea. Fresh NE to E trade winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft
are evident at the south-central basin. Gentle to moderate NE to
ESE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean
Sea.
For the forecast, the aforementioned low pressure will devolve
into a surface trough later today, move westward to the Yucatan
Channel tonight and then dissipate Wed. High pressure building
from the north will gradually cause trade winds to return to
normal magnitude by midweek, with moderate to locally fresh NE to
E winds expected Wed into the weekend. Pulsing strong winds are
likely offshore Colombia during the overnight and early morning
hours.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak and slow moving cold front extends west-southwestward from
east of Bermuda across 31N62W to the northwest Bahamas. Patchy
showers and occurring near and up to 90 nm north of the front.
Farther east, divergent upper-level winds are enhancing scattered
moderate convection near a surface trough from 27N to 31N between
54W and 60W. Similar synoptic setting is creating similar convection
east of the Turk and Caicos Islands. At the central Atlantic, a
stationary front runs southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic
across 31N36W to 23N45W. Widely scattered showers are found up to
50 nm along either side of this feature. A robust surface trough
is bringing scattered heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms
near the coast of Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana. Refer to
the monsoon trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in the
Atlantic Basin.
Moderate to fresh with locally strong NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas are present near the surface trough from the Suriname and
French Guiana coast northward to 13N. For the rest of the tropical
Atlantic from 06N to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles,
gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft exist.
North of the aforementioned cold front, moderate NE to ESE winds
and seas of 3 to 5 ft are present. Farther east from 20N to 31N
between 51W and the cold front, light to gentle winds and 5 to 8
ft seas in large northerly swell dominate. North of 20N between
35W and 51W, gentle to moderate E winds and seas at 6 to 7 ft are
evident. Gentle to locally moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
slide eastward today and weaken further, stall tonight from
around 31N58W to 27N70W, then dissipate Wed. High pressure will
build southward in the wake of the front through late week,
leading to gentle breezes north of 25N and moderate E winds to
the south. North swell will induce rough seas north of 28N and
east of 70W into tonight. Thereafter, seas will gradually decay
from moderate to slight from west to east across the area through
late week. Looking ahead, SW winds may increase slightly off
northeast Florida late Fri through Sat ahead of a weak cold front
moving through the southeast U.S.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 18 Nov 2025 17:45:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
532
AXNT20 KNHC 181745
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Nov 18 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough runs southwestward from the Senegal coast just
south of Dakar to 11N20W. An ITCZ curves west-southwestward from
11N20W to 05N35W to north of Suriname at 08N54W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted near both features
from 01N to 09N between the Guinea-Bissau/Liberia coast and 45W.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean
waters near Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The northern portion of a surface trough is causing scattered
showers across the Florida Straits. Otherwise, a broad surface
ridge is dominating much of the Gulf. Gentle with locally moderate
ENE to SSE winds and 1 to 4 ft seas are present for the entire
Gulf.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will maintain gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas through Fri
across the Gulf. Looking ahead, a weak cold front is likely to
move into the northern Gulf by Sat.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weak 1013 mb low is persisting midway between the Isle of
Youth, Cuba, and the Cayman Islands. Convergent SE winds east of
the low are generating scattered moderate convection between
central Cuba and Jamaica. A surface trough is producing similar
convection near and east of the Lesser Antilles. Refer to the
Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in the
Caribbean Sea. Fresh NE to E trade winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft
are evident at the south-central basin. Gentle to moderate NE to
ESE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean
Sea.
For the forecast, the aforementioned low pressure will devolve
into a surface trough later today, move westward to the Yucatan
Channel tonight and then dissipate Wed. High pressure building
from the north will gradually cause trade winds to return to
normal magnitude by midweek, with moderate to locally fresh NE to
E winds expected Wed into the weekend. Pulsing strong winds are
likely offshore Colombia during the overnight and early morning
hours.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak and slow moving cold front extends west-southwestward from
east of Bermuda across 31N62W to the northwest Bahamas. Patchy
showers and occurring near and up to 90 nm north of the front.
Farther east, divergent upper-level winds are enhancing scattered
moderate convection near a surface trough from 27N to 31N between
54W and 60W. Similar synoptic setting is creating similar convection
east of the Turk and Caicos Islands. At the central Atlantic, a
stationary front runs southwestward from the northeastern Atlantic
across 31N36W to 23N45W. Widely scattered showers are found up to
50 nm along either side of this feature. A robust surface trough
is bringing scattered heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms
near the coast of Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana. Refer to
the monsoon trough/ITCZ section for additional convection in the
Atlantic Basin.
Moderate to fresh with locally strong NE to E winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas are present near the surface trough from the Suriname and
French Guiana coast northward to 13N. For the rest of the tropical
Atlantic from 06N to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles,
gentle to moderate NE to E winds and seas at 6 to 8 ft exist.
North of the aforementioned cold front, moderate NE to ESE winds
and seas of 3 to 5 ft are present. Farther east from 20N to 31N
between 51W and the cold front, light to gentle winds and 5 to 8
ft seas in large northerly swell dominate. North of 20N between
35W and 51W, gentle to moderate E winds and seas at 6 to 7 ft are
evident. Gentle to locally moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft
seas prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
slide eastward today and weaken further, stall tonight from
around 31N58W to 27N70W, then dissipate Wed. High pressure will
build southward in the wake of the front through late week,
leading to gentle breezes north of 25N and moderate E winds to
the south. North swell will induce rough seas north of 28N and
east of 70W into tonight. Thereafter, seas will gradually decay
from moderate to slight from west to east across the area through
late week. Looking ahead, SW winds may increase slightly off
northeast Florida late Fri through Sat ahead of a weak cold front
moving through the southeast U.S.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 20 Nov 2025 05:34:09 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 18 Nov 2025 21:21:41 GMT - Tue, 18 Nov 2025 17:34:09 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
834
ABNT20 KNHC 181734
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Tue Nov 18 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 18 Nov 2025 17:21:10 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181721
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1220 PM EST TUE 18 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-171
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
21/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
22/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf