2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

356 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

PLEASE SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 26 May 2026 10:58:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 261058
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue May 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1030 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W from 11N southward,
    and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is seen from the Equator to 07N between 35W and 43W.

    An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from 15N southward
    across western Venezuela and central-eastern Colombia. It is
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is evident near the Venezuela-Colombia border.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Mauritania coast
    north of Nouakchott, then curves southwestward to 07N21W. An ITCZ
    continues from 07N21W to 03N36W, then resumes from 01N43W to
    near the Amazon River Delta. Widely scattered moderate convection
    is seen near and up to 170 nm north of both ITCZ segments.

    Convergent surface winds north of the East Pacific monsoon
    trough are triggering numerous heavy showers and isolated
    thunderstorms across the Caribbean waters near Panama and
    northwest Colombia.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A deep mid to upper-level trough reaches southward from eastern
    Texas across the western Gulf to the Yucatan Peninsula, providing
    strong divergent flow over the central and part of the eastern
    Gulf. Along with abundant moisture being advected by surface
    southeasterly winds, scattered to numerous showers with isolated
    strong thunderstorms are occurring over the central and part of
    the eastern Gulf. Frequent lightning, gusty winds, and locally
    rough seas are likely near these thunderstorms.

    Otherwise weak ridging extending from the north-central Atlantic
    through Florida is supporting moderate to fresh SE winds with 3
    to 6 ft seas across the eastern Gulf, including the Florida
    Straits. Gentle to moderate SE winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail
    for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will sustain gentle to
    moderate SE to S winds through the weekend. The exception will be
    evening pulses of fresh to strong winds off the northern Yucatan
    through Thu night. Scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms
    over the central and eastern Gulf should persist through at least
    Wed night. These thunderstorms are capable of producing gusty
    winds, frequent lightning, limited visibility, and locally rough
    seas. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the latest
    forecast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southeastern end of a pronounced mid to upper-level trough is
    enhancing widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms for
    the northwestern basin. Convergent trades are producing similar
    weather between eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and across the
    northeastern basin, including waters near Hispaniola and Puerto
    Rico. Strong to near- gale E winds with seas of 9 to 11 ft are
    present at the south- central basin, while fresh to strong E winds
    and 6 to 8 ft seas are at the north- central basin. Gentle to
    moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft are noted at the lee
    of Cuba, south of the Windward Passage and near Costa Rica and
    Panama. Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
    prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between high pressure
    in the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will continue to
    support fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean with
    rough seas through Thu night. These winds are expected to pulse to
    near- gale force off Barranquilla, Colombia, during night-time
    and morning hours into Thu. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and
    just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to strong each evening
    through the same period. By Fri, most of the basin should
    experience moderate with locally fresh winds and moderate seas,
    except the south-central basin in which fresh to strong winds and
    rough seas will remain through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
    across 31N34W to 24N45W, then continues west-northwestard as a
    stationary front to 25N53W to 29N64W. Patchy showers are evident
    near and up to 80 nm north of this boundary. Refer to the Monsoon
    Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the top for additional
    convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Fresh to locally strong NE winds with 7 to 9 ft seas are noted
    north of the cold/stationary front. Farther south, gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft are found from 20N to
    the cold/stationary front between 35W and 60W. To the west,
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present
    north of 25N between 60W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast.
    Fresh to strong E to SE winds along with 6 to 9 ft seas dominate
    from 20N to 25N and west of 60W, including the Great Bahama Bank.
    For the tropical Atlantic from 05N to 20N between 35W and the
    Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of 6 to
    8 ft are seen. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
    in mixed moderate swells prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic
    Basin west of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
    to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N and west
    of 60W through Wed, including the Great Bahama Bank, as the
    Atlantic high pressure shifts southeastward, tightening the
    pressure gradient. As the high weakens Wed night, winds and seas
    will diminish from east to west. A weakening stationary front from
    25N53W to 29N64W will linger through this morning before
    dissipating later this afternoon. Fresh to locally strong NE winds
    and rough seas north of it will gradually diminish through this
    afternoon.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 26 May 2026 10:58:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 261058
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue May 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1030 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W from 11N southward,
    and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is seen from the Equator to 07N between 35W and 43W.

    An central Caribbean tropical wave is near 71W from 15N southward
    across western Venezuela and central-eastern Colombia. It is
    moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is evident near the Venezuela-Colombia border.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Mauritania coast
    north of Nouakchott, then curves southwestward to 07N21W. An ITCZ
    continues from 07N21W to 03N36W, then resumes from 01N43W to
    near the Amazon River Delta. Widely scattered moderate convection
    is seen near and up to 170 nm north of both ITCZ segments.

    Convergent surface winds north of the East Pacific monsoon
    trough are triggering numerous heavy showers and isolated
    thunderstorms across the Caribbean waters near Panama and
    northwest Colombia.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A deep mid to upper-level trough reaches southward from eastern
    Texas across the western Gulf to the Yucatan Peninsula, providing
    strong divergent flow over the central and part of the eastern
    Gulf. Along with abundant moisture being advected by surface
    southeasterly winds, scattered to numerous showers with isolated
    strong thunderstorms are occurring over the central and part of
    the eastern Gulf. Frequent lightning, gusty winds, and locally
    rough seas are likely near these thunderstorms.

    Otherwise weak ridging extending from the north-central Atlantic
    through Florida is supporting moderate to fresh SE winds with 3
    to 6 ft seas across the eastern Gulf, including the Florida
    Straits. Gentle to moderate SE winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft prevail
    for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will sustain gentle to
    moderate SE to S winds through the weekend. The exception will be
    evening pulses of fresh to strong winds off the northern Yucatan
    through Thu night. Scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms
    over the central and eastern Gulf should persist through at least
    Wed night. These thunderstorms are capable of producing gusty
    winds, frequent lightning, limited visibility, and locally rough
    seas. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the latest
    forecast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southeastern end of a pronounced mid to upper-level trough is
    enhancing widely scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms for
    the northwestern basin. Convergent trades are producing similar
    weather between eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and across the
    northeastern basin, including waters near Hispaniola and Puerto
    Rico. Strong to near- gale E winds with seas of 9 to 11 ft are
    present at the south- central basin, while fresh to strong E winds
    and 6 to 8 ft seas are at the north- central basin. Gentle to
    moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft are noted at the lee
    of Cuba, south of the Windward Passage and near Costa Rica and
    Panama. Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
    prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, tight pressure gradient between high pressure
    in the western Atlantic and the Colombian low will continue to
    support fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean with
    rough seas through Thu night. These winds are expected to pulse to
    near- gale force off Barranquilla, Colombia, during night-time
    and morning hours into Thu. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras and
    just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to strong each evening
    through the same period. By Fri, most of the basin should
    experience moderate with locally fresh winds and moderate seas,
    except the south-central basin in which fresh to strong winds and
    rough seas will remain through the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front curves southwestward from the north-central Atlantic
    across 31N34W to 24N45W, then continues west-northwestard as a
    stationary front to 25N53W to 29N64W. Patchy showers are evident
    near and up to 80 nm north of this boundary. Refer to the Monsoon
    Trough/ITCZ and Tropical Waves sections at the top for additional
    convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Fresh to locally strong NE winds with 7 to 9 ft seas are noted
    north of the cold/stationary front. Farther south, gentle to
    moderate NE to E winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft are found from 20N to
    the cold/stationary front between 35W and 60W. To the west,
    gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas of 5 to 7 ft are present
    north of 25N between 60W and the Florida/southern Georgia coast.
    Fresh to strong E to SE winds along with 6 to 9 ft seas dominate
    from 20N to 25N and west of 60W, including the Great Bahama Bank.
    For the tropical Atlantic from 05N to 20N between 35W and the
    Lesser Antilles, moderate to fresh NE to E winds and seas of 6 to
    8 ft are seen. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas
    in mixed moderate swells prevail for the remainder of the Atlantic
    Basin west of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong winds with moderate
    to rough seas are anticipated across waters south of 25N and west
    of 60W through Wed, including the Great Bahama Bank, as the
    Atlantic high pressure shifts southeastward, tightening the
    pressure gradient. As the high weakens Wed night, winds and seas
    will diminish from east to west. A weakening stationary front from
    25N53W to 29N64W will linger through this morning before
    dissipating later this afternoon. Fresh to locally strong NE winds
    and rough seas north of it will gradually diminish through this
    afternoon.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 27 May 2026 23:17:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 26 May 2026 15:50:22 GMT
  • Tue, 26 May 2026 11:17:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    478
    ABNT20 KNHC 261117
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Tue May 26 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page