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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 06 Aug 2026 21:58:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062158
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous
    moderate convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 20W and 25W.


    A second tropical wave is along 39W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
    between 34W and 40W.

    A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
    near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 11N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 10N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
    limited convective activity is noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
    Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
    ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
    the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
    the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface ridging will dominate across most
    of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
    the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf, locally strong tonight.
    Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
    through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
    the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
    to the coast of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the ridge north of the region will shift
    southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale- force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
    the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
    to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
    will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
    Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
    central Bahamas southward toward eastern Cuba. Farther north, 1027
    mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Recent scatterometer
    satellite passes confirmed fresh to strong E winds on the northern
    end of the trough from 25N to 28N between 70W and 75W. A
    concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed rough seas to 10 ft in
    this area as well. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-7 ft
    seas prevail elsewhere west of of 65W. Farther east, fresh to
    strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted across the Canary
    Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to moderate easterly flow
    and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will induce
    additional shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
    seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting west of the
    area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the
    surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong winds and rough
    seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight. Fresh E winds
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
    Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
    night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 06 Aug 2026 21:58:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062158
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
    High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
    trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
    through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
    will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website
    - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous
    moderate convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 20W and 25W.


    A second tropical wave is along 39W S of 20N, and moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
    between 34W and 40W.

    A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
    20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
    near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 11N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 10N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W.
    Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
    limited convective activity is noted elsewhere.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
    Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
    across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
    ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
    the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
    the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.

    For the forecast, the surface ridging will dominate across most
    of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to
    SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
    winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
    the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
    the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf, locally strong tonight.
    Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
    through Tue night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
    and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
    over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
    along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
    are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
    the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. Scattered
    showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
    to the coast of Cuba.

    For the forecast, the ridge north of the region will shift
    southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
    accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
    Venezuela to near gale- force speed and to gale-force speed at
    night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
    times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
    will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
    the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
    to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
    will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
    Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
    central Bahamas southward toward eastern Cuba. Farther north, 1027
    mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Recent scatterometer
    satellite passes confirmed fresh to strong E winds on the northern
    end of the trough from 25N to 28N between 70W and 75W. A
    concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed rough seas to 10 ft in
    this area as well. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-7 ft
    seas prevail elsewhere west of of 65W. Farther east, fresh to
    strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted across the Canary
    Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to moderate easterly flow
    and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will induce
    additional shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
    seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting west of the
    area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the
    surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong winds and rough
    seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight. Fresh E winds
    will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
    Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
    night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 08 Aug 2026 11:09:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 07 Aug 2026 03:54:22 GMT
  • Thu, 06 Aug 2026 23:09:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 062309
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Katz/Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 06 Aug 2026 14:15:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    369
    NOUS42 KNHC 061415
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1015 AM EDT THU 06 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-067

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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