2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 26 Feb 2026 03:59:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    401
    AXNT20 KNHC 260359
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Feb 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell Event:
    Large NW swell propagating across the central and eastern waters
    is supporting rough to very rough seas. Seas are forecast to
    subside below 12 ft E of 35W by Thu morning, but rough seas of 8
    to 11 ft will persist into the upcoming weekend. Over the central
    waters seas of 8 to 12 ft will gradually subside from NW to SE
    over the next couple of days.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea near 10N13W and continues southwestward to 04N19W. The
    ITCZ extends from 04N19W to 00N31W and to near 02S46W. Scattered
    moderate convection is observed within 120 nm on both sides of the
    monsoon trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An extensive subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends
    into the Gulf waters, supporting fresh to strong southerly winds
    and rough seas in the NW Gulf. Fresh to locally strong easterly
    winds and moderate seas are seen north of the Yucatan peninsula.
    Elsewhere, moderate to occasionally fresh anticyclonic winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure extending from the central
    Atlantic southwestward across the Gulf will shift E-NE across the
    western Atlantic through Fri. Fresh to strong southerly return
    flow across the NW Gulf will expand across the SW and central Gulf
    tonight into Thu ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter
    the NW Gulf early Fri. This weak cold front is expected to sink
    slowly southward across the north half of the Gulf Fri through Sat
    night and gradually dissipate. High pressure N of the Gulf will
    dominate the basin Sun and Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southern portion of a stationary front continues to bring
    scattered showers to Hispaniola and nearby waters. The remnants of
    the frontal boundary in the central Caribbean support a few showers
    near the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua. The tight pressure
    gradient between the expansive subtropical ridge in the central
    Atlantic and lower pressures in northern Colombia sustain strong
    to near gale-force NE-E winds and rough seas in the south-central
    Caribbean. Mainly fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
    occurring in the north-central, including the Windward Passage,
    and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered NE of Bermuda extends a ridge
    southwestward across S Florida and into the W Gulf of America. The
    high will shift NE across the Atlantic through early Sat and
    maintain a broad ridge across the central and western Atlantic,
    bringing a return to fresh to strong trades across the central
    Caribbean. Meanwhile, rough seas in mixed swell will prevail in
    the Tropical N Atlantic through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
    the Significant Swell Event in the central and eastern Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from 31N50W to the northern Dominican
    Republic. A few showers are occurring near this boundary, with
    the strongest convection affecting the SE Bahamas and nearby
    waters. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate to
    rough seas are found south of 25N and west of the front. Seas of 8
    to 11 ft in NW swell follow the front. The rest of the central
    and eastern Atlantic is under the influence of an expansive
    subtropical ridge anchored by a 1032 mb high pressure located SW
    of the Azores near 34N32W. The pressure gradient between this
    ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics and western Africa
    forces moderate to locally strong trade winds and rough to very
    rough seas over much of the central and eastern Atlantic.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will drift W and dissipate
    Thu as the high pressure N of the front shifts NE into the
    central Atlantic, producing a broad ridge across the entire region
    that is expected to persist until Sat. A weak front will move off
    the SE U.S. coast Sat and move slowly southeastward and weaken
    through Sun. Seas will gradually subside through Thu night, with
    seas lingering around 8 ft over the SE waters through the end of
    the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 26 Feb 2026 03:59:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    401
    AXNT20 KNHC 260359
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Feb 26 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell Event:
    Large NW swell propagating across the central and eastern waters
    is supporting rough to very rough seas. Seas are forecast to
    subside below 12 ft E of 35W by Thu morning, but rough seas of 8
    to 11 ft will persist into the upcoming weekend. Over the central
    waters seas of 8 to 12 ft will gradually subside from NW to SE
    over the next couple of days.

    Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Guinea near 10N13W and continues southwestward to 04N19W. The
    ITCZ extends from 04N19W to 00N31W and to near 02S46W. Scattered
    moderate convection is observed within 120 nm on both sides of the
    monsoon trough and ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An extensive subtropical ridge over the central Atlantic extends
    into the Gulf waters, supporting fresh to strong southerly winds
    and rough seas in the NW Gulf. Fresh to locally strong easterly
    winds and moderate seas are seen north of the Yucatan peninsula.
    Elsewhere, moderate to occasionally fresh anticyclonic winds and
    slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure extending from the central
    Atlantic southwestward across the Gulf will shift E-NE across the
    western Atlantic through Fri. Fresh to strong southerly return
    flow across the NW Gulf will expand across the SW and central Gulf
    tonight into Thu ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter
    the NW Gulf early Fri. This weak cold front is expected to sink
    slowly southward across the north half of the Gulf Fri through Sat
    night and gradually dissipate. High pressure N of the Gulf will
    dominate the basin Sun and Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southern portion of a stationary front continues to bring
    scattered showers to Hispaniola and nearby waters. The remnants of
    the frontal boundary in the central Caribbean support a few showers
    near the coasts of Honduras and Nicaragua. The tight pressure
    gradient between the expansive subtropical ridge in the central
    Atlantic and lower pressures in northern Colombia sustain strong
    to near gale-force NE-E winds and rough seas in the south-central
    Caribbean. Mainly fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
    occurring in the north-central, including the Windward Passage,
    and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure centered NE of Bermuda extends a ridge
    southwestward across S Florida and into the W Gulf of America. The
    high will shift NE across the Atlantic through early Sat and
    maintain a broad ridge across the central and western Atlantic,
    bringing a return to fresh to strong trades across the central
    Caribbean. Meanwhile, rough seas in mixed swell will prevail in
    the Tropical N Atlantic through the middle of next week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
    the Significant Swell Event in the central and eastern Atlantic.

    A stationary front extends from 31N50W to the northern Dominican
    Republic. A few showers are occurring near this boundary, with
    the strongest convection affecting the SE Bahamas and nearby
    waters. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate to
    rough seas are found south of 25N and west of the front. Seas of 8
    to 11 ft in NW swell follow the front. The rest of the central
    and eastern Atlantic is under the influence of an expansive
    subtropical ridge anchored by a 1032 mb high pressure located SW
    of the Azores near 34N32W. The pressure gradient between this
    ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics and western Africa
    forces moderate to locally strong trade winds and rough to very
    rough seas over much of the central and eastern Atlantic.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will drift W and dissipate
    Thu as the high pressure N of the front shifts NE into the
    central Atlantic, producing a broad ridge across the entire region
    that is expected to persist until Sat. A weak front will move off
    the SE U.S. coast Sat and move slowly southeastward and weaken
    through Sun. Seas will gradually subside through Thu night, with
    seas lingering around 8 ft over the SE waters through the end of
    the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 25 Feb 2026 16:42:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 251642
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1145 AM EST WED 25 FEBRUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....36-07

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
    THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
    RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
    01/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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