2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

Track The Tropics
SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...

Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 20 Nov 2025 17:43:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    157
    AXNT20 KNHC 201742
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Gambia coast, then
    runs southwestward to 07N21W. An ITCZ continues westward from
    07N21W across 06N35W to 09N52W. Numerous moderate to isolated
    strong convection is occurring near and south of the monsoon
    trough and part of the ITCZ from 03N to 10N between the Sierra
    Leone/Liberia coast and 22W. Widely scattered moderate convection
    is seen near and up to 120 nm north of the rest of the ITCZ.

    Enhanced by an upper-level trough, the eastern end of the East
    Pacific monsoon trough is triggering scattered heavy showers and
    isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean waters near Costa
    Rica, Panama and northwestern Colombia.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the central Gulf.
    Otherwise, a surface ridge related to a 1022 mb high over the
    Florida Panhandle continues to dominate the Gulf. Light to gentle
    winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are found at the northeastern Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh SSE winds and seas at 4 to 5 ft are present off
    the southern Texas and northeastern Mexico. Gentle to moderate
    with locally fresh ESE to SE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for
    the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE to E winds will pulse
    offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche
    each afternoon and evening into next week as a trough develops
    each day and moves westward. Elsewhere in the Gulf, moderate to
    occasionally fresh E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas are
    expected through Fri as ridging prevails over the southeastern
    United States. Looking ahead, fresh SE winds will develop in the
    northwestern Gulf Sun into next week as a low pressure system
    moves through the southern United States.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough is producing widely scattered showers near and
    south of Hispaniola. Convergent trade winds are coupling with
    divergent flow aloft to generate scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over Trinidad and Tobago, and near the southern
    Windward Islands. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
    additional convection in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh NE
    to E winds and seas at 5 to 9 ft are found across the western
    basin, including the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate ENE to
    E winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted in the central and eastern
    basin.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trade winds will occur over
    the basin into next week as low pressure anchors over the south-
    central basin and high pressure prevails north of the region.
    Pulsing strong winds and locally rough seas are expected offshore
    of northern Colombia each night and morning from Sat into next
    week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front curves southwestward from a 1016 mb low near
    33N54W across 31N56W to 28N68W. A surface trough extends southward
    from this low across 31N54W to 21N56W. Scattered moderate
    convection is evident near and up to 150 nm north of the front,
    and near and up to 175 nm east of the trough. A surface trough is
    bringing similar convection near the southeast Bahamas, and Turks
    and Caicos Islands. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at
    the beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Gentle to locally moderate NW to NE winds and seas at 3 to 6 ft
    are found north of 20N between 55W and the Florida/southern
    Georgia coast. To the east, moderate to fresh ENE to SE winds and
    seas of 6 to 9 ft dominate north of 20N between 35W and 55W. For
    the tropical Atlantic from 05N to 20N between 35W and the Lesser
    Antilles, gentle to moderate ESE to E winds and 5 to 6 ft seas are
    found. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle
    with locally moderate ESE to SSE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft in
    mixed moderate swells prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh NE winds will
    occur north of the Greater Antilles and through the southern and
    central Bahamas into early Sat as high pressure prevails to the
    north and low pressure anchors over the south-central Caribbean.
    Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh SW to W winds are expected
    north of 29N and west of 65W, including offshore of northern
    Florida, by Sat as a cold front moves off the east coast of the
    U.S. The front is slated to enter the Atlantic waters east of
    Florida on Sun, leading to moderate N to NE winds and building
    seas in the wake of the front.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 20 Nov 2025 17:43:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    157
    AXNT20 KNHC 201742
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1630 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Gambia coast, then
    runs southwestward to 07N21W. An ITCZ continues westward from
    07N21W across 06N35W to 09N52W. Numerous moderate to isolated
    strong convection is occurring near and south of the monsoon
    trough and part of the ITCZ from 03N to 10N between the Sierra
    Leone/Liberia coast and 22W. Widely scattered moderate convection
    is seen near and up to 120 nm north of the rest of the ITCZ.

    Enhanced by an upper-level trough, the eastern end of the East
    Pacific monsoon trough is triggering scattered heavy showers and
    isolated thunderstorms across the Caribbean waters near Costa
    Rica, Panama and northwestern Colombia.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is causing scattered showers at the central Gulf.
    Otherwise, a surface ridge related to a 1022 mb high over the
    Florida Panhandle continues to dominate the Gulf. Light to gentle
    winds and 1 to 2 ft seas are found at the northeastern Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh SSE winds and seas at 4 to 5 ft are present off
    the southern Texas and northeastern Mexico. Gentle to moderate
    with locally fresh ESE to SE winds and 2 to 4 ft seas prevail for
    the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh NE to E winds will pulse
    offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche
    each afternoon and evening into next week as a trough develops
    each day and moves westward. Elsewhere in the Gulf, moderate to
    occasionally fresh E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas are
    expected through Fri as ridging prevails over the southeastern
    United States. Looking ahead, fresh SE winds will develop in the
    northwestern Gulf Sun into next week as a low pressure system
    moves through the southern United States.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough is producing widely scattered showers near and
    south of Hispaniola. Convergent trade winds are coupling with
    divergent flow aloft to generate scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over Trinidad and Tobago, and near the southern
    Windward Islands. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for
    additional convection in the Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh NE
    to E winds and seas at 5 to 9 ft are found across the western
    basin, including the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to moderate ENE to
    E winds and 3 to 5 ft seas are noted in the central and eastern
    basin.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trade winds will occur over
    the basin into next week as low pressure anchors over the south-
    central basin and high pressure prevails north of the region.
    Pulsing strong winds and locally rough seas are expected offshore
    of northern Colombia each night and morning from Sat into next
    week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front curves southwestward from a 1016 mb low near
    33N54W across 31N56W to 28N68W. A surface trough extends southward
    from this low across 31N54W to 21N56W. Scattered moderate
    convection is evident near and up to 150 nm north of the front,
    and near and up to 175 nm east of the trough. A surface trough is
    bringing similar convection near the southeast Bahamas, and Turks
    and Caicos Islands. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at
    the beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Gentle to locally moderate NW to NE winds and seas at 3 to 6 ft
    are found north of 20N between 55W and the Florida/southern
    Georgia coast. To the east, moderate to fresh ENE to SE winds and
    seas of 6 to 9 ft dominate north of 20N between 35W and 55W. For
    the tropical Atlantic from 05N to 20N between 35W and the Lesser
    Antilles, gentle to moderate ESE to E winds and 5 to 6 ft seas are
    found. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle
    with locally moderate ESE to SSE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft in
    mixed moderate swells prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to fresh NE winds will
    occur north of the Greater Antilles and through the southern and
    central Bahamas into early Sat as high pressure prevails to the
    north and low pressure anchors over the south-central Caribbean.
    Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh SW to W winds are expected
    north of 29N and west of 65W, including offshore of northern
    Florida, by Sat as a cold front moves off the east coast of the
    U.S. The front is slated to enter the Atlantic waters east of
    Florida on Sun, leading to moderate N to NE winds and building
    seas in the wake of the front.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 22 Nov 2025 05:08:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Nov 2025 20:01:58 GMT
  • Thu, 20 Nov 2025 17:08:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    580
    ABNT20 KNHC 201708
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 PM EST Thu Nov 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 20 Nov 2025 17:06:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 201706
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1210 PM EST THU 20 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-173

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page