2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 20 Dec 2025 10:55:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201055
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Dec 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1040 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coastal border
    of Sierra Leone and Liberia near 07N11W then runs westward to
    near 06N14W. The ITCZ continues from 06N14W to 03N28W to 00N44W.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 01N to 07N between 03W and
    22W and from 00N to 07N between 27W and 44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from the Florida Straits to 24N87W
    where it becomes and stationary front that continues W to just N
    of Tampico, Mexico. A surface trough over the central Bay of
    Campeche is generated scattered moderate convection. Winds basin-
    wide are moderate or weaker from the E to SE, and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, high pressure will continue to build over the
    northern Gulf as the frontal system from the Straits of Florida
    to N of Tampico continues to weaken. Moderate or weaker winds and
    slight seas are expected over much of the basin through Sun as the
    front slowly dissipates. Locally fresh NE winds will be possible
    in the Bay of Campeche on Sun as a trough develops over the
    Yucatan Peninsula and moves westward. Looking ahead, moderate to
    fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas will develop over the
    central and eastern Gulf early next week as a cold front pushes
    off the coast of the southeastern United States. Locally strong NE
    winds and rough seas will be possible through the Florida
    Straits.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure E of the Bahamas and low pressure over NW Colombia
    continues to support a pressure gradient that is resulting in
    fresh to strong NE to E winds in the south-central Caribbean along
    with rough seas to 10 ft. Moderate to fresh trade winds and
    moderate seas are elsewhere in the east, central and southwest
    Caribbean. Moderate or weaker NE to NE winds are over the NW basin
    along with slight seas.

    For the forecast, strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas
    are expected offshore of northern Colombia through Wed as low
    pressure prevails over NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh trade winds
    and moderate seas will occur over much of the remainder basin
    through the middle of next week, supported by high pressure to the
    north. A pair of cold fronts will move across the SW N Atlantic
    waters and will support the development of strong speed NE winds
    in the lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage and south of Hispaniola.
    Elsewhere, rough seas in E to SE swell in the tropical Atlantic
    waters will slowly subside into Sun evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N70W to the northern Bahamas to the
    Straits of Florida. Ahead of the front, there is a 1019 mb high
    near 27N66W. Farther east, a 1015 mb low near 28N56W continues to
    weaken. A broad surface ridge extends across the remainder central
    and eastern subtropical Atlantic waters. West of 55W, winds are
    moderate or weaker and seas moderate to rough. Fresh to strong NE
    to E and E to SE winds along with rough seas to 12 ft are ongoing
    elsewhere over the subtropical waters E of 55W as the pressure
    gradient tightens between the ridge and a frontal boundary that
    extends from NW Africa to 26N28W to 31N35W. Scattered showers are
    to the E of the low and south of the frontal boundary between 21W
    and 35W.

    For the forecast W of 55W, a 1016 mb low located near 28N56W and
    associated weakening stationary front will weaken into a surface
    trough later today. Widespread rough seas in N to NE swell
    associated with this low east of 64W will subside today. Looking
    ahead, a strong cold front will push off the coast of the
    southeastern U.S. Sun night into Mon, supporting widespread strong
    NE winds and rapidly building seas in the wake of the front into
    the middle of next week.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 20 Dec 2025 10:55:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201055
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sat Dec 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1040 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coastal border
    of Sierra Leone and Liberia near 07N11W then runs westward to
    near 06N14W. The ITCZ continues from 06N14W to 03N28W to 00N44W.
    Scattered moderate convection is from 01N to 07N between 03W and
    22W and from 00N to 07N between 27W and 44W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from the Florida Straits to 24N87W
    where it becomes and stationary front that continues W to just N
    of Tampico, Mexico. A surface trough over the central Bay of
    Campeche is generated scattered moderate convection. Winds basin-
    wide are moderate or weaker from the E to SE, and seas are slight.

    For the forecast, high pressure will continue to build over the
    northern Gulf as the frontal system from the Straits of Florida
    to N of Tampico continues to weaken. Moderate or weaker winds and
    slight seas are expected over much of the basin through Sun as the
    front slowly dissipates. Locally fresh NE winds will be possible
    in the Bay of Campeche on Sun as a trough develops over the
    Yucatan Peninsula and moves westward. Looking ahead, moderate to
    fresh NE to E winds and moderate seas will develop over the
    central and eastern Gulf early next week as a cold front pushes
    off the coast of the southeastern United States. Locally strong NE
    winds and rough seas will be possible through the Florida
    Straits.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure E of the Bahamas and low pressure over NW Colombia
    continues to support a pressure gradient that is resulting in
    fresh to strong NE to E winds in the south-central Caribbean along
    with rough seas to 10 ft. Moderate to fresh trade winds and
    moderate seas are elsewhere in the east, central and southwest
    Caribbean. Moderate or weaker NE to NE winds are over the NW basin
    along with slight seas.

    For the forecast, strong to near-gale force winds and rough seas
    are expected offshore of northern Colombia through Wed as low
    pressure prevails over NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh trade winds
    and moderate seas will occur over much of the remainder basin
    through the middle of next week, supported by high pressure to the
    north. A pair of cold fronts will move across the SW N Atlantic
    waters and will support the development of strong speed NE winds
    in the lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage and south of Hispaniola.
    Elsewhere, rough seas in E to SE swell in the tropical Atlantic
    waters will slowly subside into Sun evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N70W to the northern Bahamas to the
    Straits of Florida. Ahead of the front, there is a 1019 mb high
    near 27N66W. Farther east, a 1015 mb low near 28N56W continues to
    weaken. A broad surface ridge extends across the remainder central
    and eastern subtropical Atlantic waters. West of 55W, winds are
    moderate or weaker and seas moderate to rough. Fresh to strong NE
    to E and E to SE winds along with rough seas to 12 ft are ongoing
    elsewhere over the subtropical waters E of 55W as the pressure
    gradient tightens between the ridge and a frontal boundary that
    extends from NW Africa to 26N28W to 31N35W. Scattered showers are
    to the E of the low and south of the frontal boundary between 21W
    and 35W.

    For the forecast W of 55W, a 1016 mb low located near 28N56W and
    associated weakening stationary front will weaken into a surface
    trough later today. Widespread rough seas in N to NE swell
    associated with this low east of 64W will subside today. Looking
    ahead, a strong cold front will push off the coast of the
    southeastern U.S. Sun night into Mon, supporting widespread strong
    NE winds and rapidly building seas in the wake of the front into
    the middle of next week.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 19 Dec 2025 15:53:18 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 191553
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1055 AM EST FRI 19 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-019

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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