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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 18:03:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
605
AXNT20 KNHC 141803
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1745 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 28W south
of 18N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm either side of the wave from 05N
to 07N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W south of
18N moving westward at about 15 kt. No deep convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers are possible
near the axis. Scattered moderate convection in the wake of the
wave is along and just inland the coast of South America between
58W and 63W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W south of 19N to
inland Central America. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15
kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is east
of the wave as discussed below under the Caribbean Sea section.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16.5W and continues southwestward to
05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 04.5N30W to 02N44W. It continues
from 02N46W to 01N50W. Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated
strong convection is along the W coast of Africa from 01.5N to
11N east of 18W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A relatively weak and broad high pressure ridge extends from the
western Atlantic westward to the north-central Gulf, with a 1019
mb high near 27N87W. Meanwhile, a broad area of low pressure is
over eastern Mexico. A tight pressure gradient between this low
and the 1019 mb high is maintaining mostly fresh southeast winds
over the western Gulf. Seas with these winds are 5 to 7 ft. The
Yucatan Peninsula trough has moved offshore to the eastern Bay of
Campeche. Moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the NW Gulf from
27N to 28N west of 96W to inland eastern Texas. Similar activity
is from 22N to 25N between 96W and the coast of Mexico, except to
just inland Mexico from near Veracruz to 23N. Isolated showers
are over the southwestern Gulf south of 21.5N and west of 93W.
For the forecast, development of the broad area of low pressure is
not expected during the next day or so while the low remains
inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas during the next
day or so. The system could then re-emerge over the northwestern
Gulf of America around midweek while interacting with a frontal
boundary, but conditions there are expected to be only marginally
conducive for development. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and 1019 mb high pressure over the NE Gulf will
support fresh to strong southeast winds and moderate to rough
seas across the western Gulf through tonight, while scattered
showers and thunderstorms continue there through Mon. The Atlantic
ridge will build westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu, and
combine with lower pressure over South Texas and northeastern
Mexico will promote fresh to strong southerly winds over the
western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The western Atlantic subtropical ridge axis extends through
26N55W westward across central Florida near 28N. The pressure
gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in northern South
America is generally inducing fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas over the central portion of the basin south of 18N.
Seas over these waters are 7 to 10 ft in east to southeast swell.
Buoy 42058 at 15N75W is reporting east winds of 25 kt and seas to
near 11 ft. Elsewhere, latest satellite scatterometer data passes
indicate moderate to fresh winds trades. Moderate seas are over
just about the entire basin, except in the northwest portion,
where lower seas of 2 to 4 ft are present.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection over the southwestern
part of the sea south of 11N from 80W west to along and just inland
the coasts of Costa Rica and Panama is primarily associated to
the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough that extends
into the southwestern Caribbean.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
place through early Mon and will support a large area of fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Thu. The ridge will
reorganize Mon through early Tue then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad high pressure ridge dominates the Atlantic basin roughly
along 26N-27N east of 43W and along 27N-28N west of 43W, stretching
across central Florida. The ridge is anchored by a 1026 mb high
center near 29N32W, and by a 1023 mb high center near 27N53W. The
pressure gradient between the ridge and relatively lower pressures
in the tropics is allowing for moderate to fresh trade winds along
with moderate seas south of about 21N and west of 35W, except from
13N to 25N from the coast of Africa to 35W where fresh northeast
winds are present as noted in a satellite scatterometer data pass
from this morning. Moderate seas are in this area as well.
Otherwise, a weak trough is analyzed from near 31N37W to to 26N46W.
No significant convection is present with this feature. The latest
satellite scatterometer data passes indicate moderate or weaker
anticyclonic winds elsewhere over the basin. Latest altimeter
satellite data passes along with recent buoy reports are indicating
slight to moderate seas elsewhere across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge extends
westward across central Florida and into the NE Gulf of America.
The ridge will generally remain in place through early Mon, then
reorganize Mon through early Tue, then shift slowly northeastward
through Thu. This pattern will generally support moderate east to
southeast trade winds south of 22N, then become moderate to fresh
through Wed. Gentle anticyclonic flow will prevail elsewhere through
tonight then become gentle to moderate southeast to south winds Mon
through Wed. Fresh southwest winds will develop across the NW
forecast waters, namely north of 29N and west of 74W late Sun
through early Mon, then expand eastward to 70W through early Wed, as
a weak frontal system moves through the southeastern U.S. Expect
fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening across
Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 18:03:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
605
AXNT20 KNHC 141803
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jun 14 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1745 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 28W south
of 18N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm either side of the wave from 05N
to 07N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 44W south of
18N moving westward at about 15 kt. No deep convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 64W south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated showers are possible
near the axis. Scattered moderate convection in the wake of the
wave is along and just inland the coast of South America between
58W and 63W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W south of 19N to
inland Central America. It is moving westward at about 10 to 15
kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is east
of the wave as discussed below under the Caribbean Sea section.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16.5W and continues southwestward to
05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 04.5N30W to 02N44W. It continues
from 02N46W to 01N50W. Scattered to numerous moderate to isolated
strong convection is along the W coast of Africa from 01.5N to
11N east of 18W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A relatively weak and broad high pressure ridge extends from the
western Atlantic westward to the north-central Gulf, with a 1019
mb high near 27N87W. Meanwhile, a broad area of low pressure is
over eastern Mexico. A tight pressure gradient between this low
and the 1019 mb high is maintaining mostly fresh southeast winds
over the western Gulf. Seas with these winds are 5 to 7 ft. The
Yucatan Peninsula trough has moved offshore to the eastern Bay of
Campeche. Moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the NW Gulf from
27N to 28N west of 96W to inland eastern Texas. Similar activity
is from 22N to 25N between 96W and the coast of Mexico, except to
just inland Mexico from near Veracruz to 23N. Isolated showers
are over the southwestern Gulf south of 21.5N and west of 93W.
For the forecast, development of the broad area of low pressure is
not expected during the next day or so while the low remains
inland over northeastern Mexico or southern Texas during the next
day or so. The system could then re-emerge over the northwestern
Gulf of America around midweek while interacting with a frontal
boundary, but conditions there are expected to be only marginally
conducive for development. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and 1019 mb high pressure over the NE Gulf will
support fresh to strong southeast winds and moderate to rough
seas across the western Gulf through tonight, while scattered
showers and thunderstorms continue there through Mon. The Atlantic
ridge will build westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu, and
combine with lower pressure over South Texas and northeastern
Mexico will promote fresh to strong southerly winds over the
western Gulf, and moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The western Atlantic subtropical ridge axis extends through
26N55W westward across central Florida near 28N. The pressure
gradient between the ridge and lower pressures in northern South
America is generally inducing fresh to strong trade winds and
rough seas over the central portion of the basin south of 18N.
Seas over these waters are 7 to 10 ft in east to southeast swell.
Buoy 42058 at 15N75W is reporting east winds of 25 kt and seas to
near 11 ft. Elsewhere, latest satellite scatterometer data passes
indicate moderate to fresh winds trades. Moderate seas are over
just about the entire basin, except in the northwest portion,
where lower seas of 2 to 4 ft are present.
Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection over the southwestern
part of the sea south of 11N from 80W west to along and just inland
the coasts of Costa Rica and Panama is primarily associated to
the eastern extension of the East Pacific monsoon trough that extends
into the southwestern Caribbean.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
place through early Mon and will support a large area of fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the central
Caribbean. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Thu. The ridge will
reorganize Mon through early Tue then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad high pressure ridge dominates the Atlantic basin roughly
along 26N-27N east of 43W and along 27N-28N west of 43W, stretching
across central Florida. The ridge is anchored by a 1026 mb high
center near 29N32W, and by a 1023 mb high center near 27N53W. The
pressure gradient between the ridge and relatively lower pressures
in the tropics is allowing for moderate to fresh trade winds along
with moderate seas south of about 21N and west of 35W, except from
13N to 25N from the coast of Africa to 35W where fresh northeast
winds are present as noted in a satellite scatterometer data pass
from this morning. Moderate seas are in this area as well.
Otherwise, a weak trough is analyzed from near 31N37W to to 26N46W.
No significant convection is present with this feature. The latest
satellite scatterometer data passes indicate moderate or weaker
anticyclonic winds elsewhere over the basin. Latest altimeter
satellite data passes along with recent buoy reports are indicating
slight to moderate seas elsewhere across the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge extends
westward across central Florida and into the NE Gulf of America.
The ridge will generally remain in place through early Mon, then
reorganize Mon through early Tue, then shift slowly northeastward
through Thu. This pattern will generally support moderate east to
southeast trade winds south of 22N, then become moderate to fresh
through Wed. Gentle anticyclonic flow will prevail elsewhere through
tonight then become gentle to moderate southeast to south winds Mon
through Wed. Fresh southwest winds will develop across the NW
forecast waters, namely north of 29N and west of 74W late Sun
through early Mon, then expand eastward to 70W through early Wed, as
a weak frontal system moves through the southeastern U.S. Expect
fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late evening across
Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 16 Jun 2026 05:32:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 14 Jun 2026 18:03:25 GMT - Sun, 14 Jun 2026 17:32:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 141732
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northwestern Gulf of America:
A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico is
producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development is not expected during the next day or so while the
trough remains inland and drifts northward over northeastern Mexico
or southern Texas. The system is then forecast to move northeastward
and could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America late
Tuesday or Wednesday, where environmental conditions may support
some development around midweek. Regardless of formation chances,
heavy rainfall and flash flooding are possible across portions of
eastern and southern Texas and Louisiana this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 13:30:40 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141330
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 14 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-014
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf