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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 19 Jun 2026 22:34:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 192234
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jun 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is added to the 1800 UTC analysis/surface map
along 18W S of 15N. The wave shows up well on satellite imagery
and model diagnostic guidances. The cloud pattern is exhibiting
some cyclonic circulation. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 18W and 23W. Similar
convective activity is also noted over W Africa.
A tropical wave is along 33W S of 16N moving west at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted where the wave meets the
monsoon trough.
Another tropical wave is along 53W S of 18N moving west at 15 to
20 kt. The associated convective activity shows an inverted "V"
pattern, particularly from 08N to 12N between 48W and 57W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern caribbean at 10 to
15 kt. Its axis is along 68W/69W S of 17N. The wave appears to
enhance convection over western Venezuela.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic off the coast of
Mauritania, and continues southwestward to near 08N27W, then
westward to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 07N50W.
Most of the convective activity across the area is related to the
tropical waves described above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Atlantic ridge extends westward across Florida into the Gulf
region. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures
across Mexico and southern Texas supports moderate to fresh SE to
S winds across the west and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate
winds across the eastern Gulf. Seas are 5 to 7 ft W of 90W, and
3 to 5 ft E of 90W, except 1 to 3 ft across the offshore waters
of west Florida south of Tampa Bay, and between western Cuba and
the Florida Keys where seas are in the 1 to 3 ft range. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms located near the southeastern United
States coast and adjacent offshore waters are associated with a
trough of low pressure (the remnants of Arthur). Similar convective
activity is also noted over parts of the State of Florida.
For the forecast, as previously mentioned, the pressure gradient
between the ridge and relatively lower pressures over Texas and
northeastern Mexico will generally support mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf. These winds over the
western and central Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds early next week. Winds over the eastern Gulf will become
light to gentle tonight.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures in northern South America is generally sustaining
fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean where an
altimeter pass indicates seas of 8 to 11 ft. Similar winds speeds
are also noted over the western Caribbean W of 85W, including
the Gulf of Honduras, with seas of 5 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh
trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft are over the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft prevail.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the SW Caribbean.
Some convective activity is flared-up over parts of the Greater
Antilles likely due to daytime heating, local sea breezes and
mountain slope lifting.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail north of the area
into next week. The pressure gradient between the area of high
pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
the forecast period, with highest winds and seas expected off
the coast of Colombia. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate
to rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through
Mon, pulsing briefly to near gale-force tonight. Moderate to fresh
winds are expected over much of the remainder of the Caribbean
through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details.
High pressure dominates the entire Atlantic forecast region, with
a 1024 mb center near 28N57W. Under the influence of this system,
a light to gentle anticyclonic flow is noted N of 22N and E of
70W while moderate to fresh southwest winds are over the waters
east of northern Florida to near 70W. Seas are in general moderate
with these winds. Moderate to locally fresh trades prevail over
the tropical Atlantic along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure across the basin will
shift slightly eastward tonight as a cold front moves across the
southeastern U.S. The front will move offshore northeast Florida
during the weekend, then stall and weaken. Fresh to strong southwest
winds are expected north of 30N and W of 72W through tonight. Moderate
to fresh winds will pulse to strong south of 22N into early next
week.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 19 Jun 2026 22:34:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 192234
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Jun 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is added to the 1800 UTC analysis/surface map
along 18W S of 15N. The wave shows up well on satellite imagery
and model diagnostic guidances. The cloud pattern is exhibiting
some cyclonic circulation. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 06N to 10N between 18W and 23W. Similar
convective activity is also noted over W Africa.
A tropical wave is along 33W S of 16N moving west at 15 to 20 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is noted where the wave meets the
monsoon trough.
Another tropical wave is along 53W S of 18N moving west at 15 to
20 kt. The associated convective activity shows an inverted "V"
pattern, particularly from 08N to 12N between 48W and 57W.
A tropical wave is moving across the eastern caribbean at 10 to
15 kt. Its axis is along 68W/69W S of 17N. The wave appears to
enhance convection over western Venezuela.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic off the coast of
Mauritania, and continues southwestward to near 08N27W, then
westward to 07N40W. The ITCZ extends from 07N40W to 07N50W.
Most of the convective activity across the area is related to the
tropical waves described above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The Atlantic ridge extends westward across Florida into the Gulf
region. The pressure gradient between the ridge and lower pressures
across Mexico and southern Texas supports moderate to fresh SE to
S winds across the west and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate
winds across the eastern Gulf. Seas are 5 to 7 ft W of 90W, and
3 to 5 ft E of 90W, except 1 to 3 ft across the offshore waters
of west Florida south of Tampa Bay, and between western Cuba and
the Florida Keys where seas are in the 1 to 3 ft range. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms located near the southeastern United
States coast and adjacent offshore waters are associated with a
trough of low pressure (the remnants of Arthur). Similar convective
activity is also noted over parts of the State of Florida.
For the forecast, as previously mentioned, the pressure gradient
between the ridge and relatively lower pressures over Texas and
northeastern Mexico will generally support mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf. These winds over the
western and central Gulf will diminish to gentle to moderate
speeds early next week. Winds over the eastern Gulf will become
light to gentle tonight.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures in northern South America is generally sustaining
fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean where an
altimeter pass indicates seas of 8 to 11 ft. Similar winds speeds
are also noted over the western Caribbean W of 85W, including
the Gulf of Honduras, with seas of 5 to 8 ft. Moderate to fresh
trades and seas of 4 to 6 ft are over the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, gentle to moderate winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft prevail.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are over the SW Caribbean.
Some convective activity is flared-up over parts of the Greater
Antilles likely due to daytime heating, local sea breezes and
mountain slope lifting.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail north of the area
into next week. The pressure gradient between the area of high
pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
the forecast period, with highest winds and seas expected off
the coast of Colombia. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate
to rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through
Mon, pulsing briefly to near gale-force tonight. Moderate to fresh
winds are expected over much of the remainder of the Caribbean
through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
details.
High pressure dominates the entire Atlantic forecast region, with
a 1024 mb center near 28N57W. Under the influence of this system,
a light to gentle anticyclonic flow is noted N of 22N and E of
70W while moderate to fresh southwest winds are over the waters
east of northern Florida to near 70W. Seas are in general moderate
with these winds. Moderate to locally fresh trades prevail over
the tropical Atlantic along with seas of 5 to 7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure across the basin will
shift slightly eastward tonight as a cold front moves across the
southeastern U.S. The front will move offshore northeast Florida
during the weekend, then stall and weaken. Fresh to strong southwest
winds are expected north of 30N and W of 72W through tonight. Moderate
to fresh winds will pulse to strong south of 22N into early next
week.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 21 Jun 2026 06:16:08 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 19 Jun 2026 22:34:42 GMT - Fri, 19 Jun 2026 18:16:08 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 191816
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook...RESENT
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore the East Coast of the United States (Remnants of Arthur):
Showers and thunderstorms located near the southeastern United
States coast and adjacent offshore waters are associated with a
trough of low pressure (the remnants of Arthur). Strong upper-level
winds and interaction with a nearby frontal system are expected to
limit any subtropical or tropical development of this system tonight
while it moves northeastward at 25 to 30 mph over the western
Atlantic Ocean. By early Saturday, the system is forecast to merge
with the front while it continues northeastward over cooler waters.
More information on this system, including Gale Warnings, is
available in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...near 0 percent.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 19 Jun 2026 13:15:06 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 191314
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0915 AM EDT FRI 19 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-019
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf