2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 06 Apr 2026 21:09:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062109
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front stretches from well offshore
    the United States Mid-Atlantic region through 31N76W to near Cape
    Canaveral, Florida. The cold front will move slowly SE and reach
    from just N of Bermuda to near Palm Beach, FL by Wed morning. Low
    pressure is forecast to form along the front in the vicinity of
    the NW Bahamas on Tue, then move NE along the boundary and out of
    the basin toward Bermuda by Thu. Strong high pressure building N
    of the front will produce strong to near gale- force NE winds by
    early Tue, then increase to gale-force midday Tue through at least
    Wed night as the low pressure moves along the front. Very rough
    seas in excess of 15 ft are likely in the area of gales, and will
    linger N of the front through late Thu. The front is expected to
    stall from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by Thu night and
    gradually weaken into the weekend, with marine conditions to
    slowly improve.

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from
    N-central Florida along 28.5N to 1013 mb low pres centered near
    25N93W, then continues southward as a cold front to the central
    Bay of Campeche to near Coatzacoalcos. Strong to near gale-force
    winds will prevail N of the front into tonight, with gale- force
    winds near Veracruz through this evening. Rough to very rough seas
    will accompany these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information
    on both Gale Warnings.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near Conakry, then reaches westward to 09N19W. Farther south, the
    ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 02N15W to near the Amazon
    River Delta area. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N
    to 06N between 07N and 13W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features above for details on a Gale
    Warning in the SW Gulf of Mexico near Veracruz, Mexico.

    Otherwise, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring from near and N of the stationary front across the
    waters N of 24N and E of 92W per the latest infrared satellite
    imagery. Scattered showers are found near and west of the cold
    across the W-central and SW Gulf, including the western Bay of
    Campeche. Fresh to strong NW to NE winds with seas of 6-12 ft
    exist behind the stationary and cold front. In addition, winds
    near Veracruz, Mexico are peaking at gale-force. S and E of the
    fronts, gentle to locally moderate NE to E winds with 2-5 ft seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, strong to near gale-force winds will prevail
    N of the front into tonight, with gale-force winds near Veracruz
    through this evening. The front will reach from near Sarasota,
    Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche by midday Tue, then move S
    and across the Straits of Florida Wed through Thu, where it will
    dissipate. The low pressure will shift E-NE along the front Tue
    through Wed night to produce scattered thunderstorms with locally
    gusty winds, and also produce strong NE winds across much of the
    NE basin. Conditions will begin to improve Fri through Sat as high
    pressure over the NE U.S builds southwestward across the northern
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A fair and modest trade-wind regime continues across the entire
    Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E-SE trades with seas of 5-7 ft
    are present in the central and eastern basin, locally to 8 ft near
    Atlantic Passages. Gentle to moderate NNE to ENE winds and 2-5 ft
    seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean Sea. No significant
    convection is noted over the offshore waters.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    across the N-central Atlantic and low pressure over South America
    will continue to support fresh to locally strong E to SE winds
    over the eastern half of the basin, S of 16N, through early Thu,
    and gentle to moderate NE winds across the western portion. By
    Thu, strong high pressure across the western Atlantic will build
    southward toward the region to bring a return to more typical
    fresh to strong winds across south-central portions offshore of
    Colombia and NW Venezuela.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features above for details on a
    developing Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

    A cold front is moving slowly SE across the northwestern zones
    this afternoon, extending from 31N76W to near Daytona Beach, FL,
    and Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted behind
    this front. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas of 6-8 ft
    are noted behind the front. Coupling with convergent
    southeasterly trade winds, scattered moderate convection is found
    from 20N to 25N between 58W and 69W. In the east Atlantic,
    another cold front reaches southwestward from northwest of Madeira
    across 31N23W to near 28N42W. Scattered showers are seen up to 650
    nm along either side of the front. Fresh to strong N-NE winds and
    8-14 ft seas in northerly swells are found behind the front.
    Mainly moderate to fresh trades dominate the remainder of the
    waters S of 29N and E of 68W, with gentle to moderate return flow
    W of 68W and E of the front off the United States. Seas are 5-7 ft
    in mainly N-NE swells S of the eastern Atlantic front and E of
    35W, and 6-9 ft elsewhere/westward.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front in the SW N Atlantic
    will move slowly SE and reach from just N of Bermuda to near Palm
    Beach, FL by Wed morning. Low pressure is forecast to form along
    the front in the vicinity of the NW Bahamas on Tue, then move NE
    along the boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Thu.
    Strong high pressure building N of the front will produce strong
    to near gale- force NE winds by early Tue, then increase to gale-
    force midday Tue through at least Wed night as the low pressure
    moves along the front. Very rough seas in excess of 15 ft are
    likely in the area of gales, and will linger N of the front
    through late Thu. The front is expected to stall from near Bermuda
    to the Straits of Florida by Thu night and gradually weaken into
    the weekend, with marine conditions to slowly improve.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 06 Apr 2026 21:09:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 062109
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Tue Apr 7 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front stretches from well offshore
    the United States Mid-Atlantic region through 31N76W to near Cape
    Canaveral, Florida. The cold front will move slowly SE and reach
    from just N of Bermuda to near Palm Beach, FL by Wed morning. Low
    pressure is forecast to form along the front in the vicinity of
    the NW Bahamas on Tue, then move NE along the boundary and out of
    the basin toward Bermuda by Thu. Strong high pressure building N
    of the front will produce strong to near gale- force NE winds by
    early Tue, then increase to gale-force midday Tue through at least
    Wed night as the low pressure moves along the front. Very rough
    seas in excess of 15 ft are likely in the area of gales, and will
    linger N of the front through late Thu. The front is expected to
    stall from near Bermuda to the Straits of Florida by Thu night and
    gradually weaken into the weekend, with marine conditions to
    slowly improve.

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A stationary front extends from
    N-central Florida along 28.5N to 1013 mb low pres centered near
    25N93W, then continues southward as a cold front to the central
    Bay of Campeche to near Coatzacoalcos. Strong to near gale-force
    winds will prevail N of the front into tonight, with gale- force
    winds near Veracruz through this evening. Rough to very rough seas
    will accompany these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information
    on both Gale Warnings.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near Conakry, then reaches westward to 09N19W. Farther south, the
    ITCZ extends west-southwestward from 02N15W to near the Amazon
    River Delta area. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N
    to 06N between 07N and 13W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features above for details on a Gale
    Warning in the SW Gulf of Mexico near Veracruz, Mexico.

    Otherwise, scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are
    occurring from near and N of the stationary front across the
    waters N of 24N and E of 92W per the latest infrared satellite
    imagery. Scattered showers are found near and west of the cold
    across the W-central and SW Gulf, including the western Bay of
    Campeche. Fresh to strong NW to NE winds with seas of 6-12 ft
    exist behind the stationary and cold front. In addition, winds
    near Veracruz, Mexico are peaking at gale-force. S and E of the
    fronts, gentle to locally moderate NE to E winds with 2-5 ft seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, strong to near gale-force winds will prevail
    N of the front into tonight, with gale-force winds near Veracruz
    through this evening. The front will reach from near Sarasota,
    Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche by midday Tue, then move S
    and across the Straits of Florida Wed through Thu, where it will
    dissipate. The low pressure will shift E-NE along the front Tue
    through Wed night to produce scattered thunderstorms with locally
    gusty winds, and also produce strong NE winds across much of the
    NE basin. Conditions will begin to improve Fri through Sat as high
    pressure over the NE U.S builds southwestward across the northern
    Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A fair and modest trade-wind regime continues across the entire
    Caribbean Sea. Moderate to fresh E-SE trades with seas of 5-7 ft
    are present in the central and eastern basin, locally to 8 ft near
    Atlantic Passages. Gentle to moderate NNE to ENE winds and 2-5 ft
    seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean Sea. No significant
    convection is noted over the offshore waters.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
    across the N-central Atlantic and low pressure over South America
    will continue to support fresh to locally strong E to SE winds
    over the eastern half of the basin, S of 16N, through early Thu,
    and gentle to moderate NE winds across the western portion. By
    Thu, strong high pressure across the western Atlantic will build
    southward toward the region to bring a return to more typical
    fresh to strong winds across south-central portions offshore of
    Colombia and NW Venezuela.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please refer to the Special Features above for details on a
    developing Gale Warning in the SW N Atlantic.

    A cold front is moving slowly SE across the northwestern zones
    this afternoon, extending from 31N76W to near Daytona Beach, FL,
    and Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted behind
    this front. Fresh to strong NE winds and building seas of 6-8 ft
    are noted behind the front. Coupling with convergent
    southeasterly trade winds, scattered moderate convection is found
    from 20N to 25N between 58W and 69W. In the east Atlantic,
    another cold front reaches southwestward from northwest of Madeira
    across 31N23W to near 28N42W. Scattered showers are seen up to 650
    nm along either side of the front. Fresh to strong N-NE winds and
    8-14 ft seas in northerly swells are found behind the front.
    Mainly moderate to fresh trades dominate the remainder of the
    waters S of 29N and E of 68W, with gentle to moderate return flow
    W of 68W and E of the front off the United States. Seas are 5-7 ft
    in mainly N-NE swells S of the eastern Atlantic front and E of
    35W, and 6-9 ft elsewhere/westward.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front in the SW N Atlantic
    will move slowly SE and reach from just N of Bermuda to near Palm
    Beach, FL by Wed morning. Low pressure is forecast to form along
    the front in the vicinity of the NW Bahamas on Tue, then move NE
    along the boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Thu.
    Strong high pressure building N of the front will produce strong
    to near gale- force NE winds by early Tue, then increase to gale-
    force midday Tue through at least Wed night as the low pressure
    moves along the front. Very rough seas in excess of 15 ft are
    likely in the area of gales, and will linger N of the front
    through late Thu. The front is expected to stall from near Bermuda
    to the Straits of Florida by Thu night and gradually weaken into
    the weekend, with marine conditions to slowly improve.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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