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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 15 May 2026 16:15:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
074
AXNT20 KNHC 151615
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri May 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 33W, south of 13N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted
across the northern half of the wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 55W, south of 13N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted across
the southern half of the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W then curves
southwestward to 05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 00N38W to 02N30W
to 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is present south of 07N
and E of 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Continental high pressure of 1017 mb is centered S of Louisiana
and dominates the basin. Winds are mainly light to gentle and
anticyclonic, but moderate S winds are present in the NW Gulf.
Seas are 1 to 3 ft in the NE basin and 2 to 4 ft in the SW. Dry
air is in place and no convection is occurring.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate into early next
week. As low pressure deepens over Texas, the pressure gradient
will tighten and SE winds will increase to moderate to fresh over
the western Gulf this weekend, then continue through early next
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weakening stationary front is analyzed in the NW Caribbean from
western Cuba to near Cozumel. The only remaining convection in
the basin is within 90 nm of the coast of Panama, where the
Eastern Pacific monsoon trough is aiding in thunderstorm
development. The pressure gradient between high pressure centered
E of Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is leading to
strong E winds in the central and southern Caribbean, highest
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Rough seas are
also present where the strong winds are ongoing. For the remainder
of the basin, aside from the NW, moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas prevail. In the NW basin, mainly gentle E winds and
2 to 4 ft seas are present.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to near gale trades across the central Caribbean, with the
strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Honduras.
Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
forecast waters, pulsing to strong in the Gulf of Honduras at
night Sat through Tue. Large W swell resulting in rough seas will
impact the tropical N Atlantic waters into Mon, then begin to
subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening stationary front extends from W of Bermuda to the
Florida Straits. Scattered moderate convection is N of 24N, E of
the front to 62W. Winds in this zone of convection are fresh to
strong out of the SW, and seas are rough. Behind this front, the
tail end of a cold front extends from 31N75W to 28N81W. Moderate
to fresh winds are noted W of the front. Elsewhere N of 20N,
mainly moderate E winds and moderate seas dominate. To the S of
20N, fresh trades and rough seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will gradually
dissipate into the weekend. Fresh to strong SW winds NE of the
boundary N of 28N will lift N of the region later today, allowing
rough seas to diminish. Thereafter, mainly tranquil marine
conditions with moderate to strong easterly winds will prevail
through early next week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 15 May 2026 16:15:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
074
AXNT20 KNHC 151615
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Fri May 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1600 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 33W, south of 13N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered showers are noted
across the northern half of the wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 55W, south of 13N,
moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted across
the southern half of the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 16N17W then curves
southwestward to 05N30W. The ITCZ extends from 00N38W to 02N30W
to 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is present south of 07N
and E of 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Continental high pressure of 1017 mb is centered S of Louisiana
and dominates the basin. Winds are mainly light to gentle and
anticyclonic, but moderate S winds are present in the NW Gulf.
Seas are 1 to 3 ft in the NE basin and 2 to 4 ft in the SW. Dry
air is in place and no convection is occurring.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate into early next
week. As low pressure deepens over Texas, the pressure gradient
will tighten and SE winds will increase to moderate to fresh over
the western Gulf this weekend, then continue through early next
week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A weakening stationary front is analyzed in the NW Caribbean from
western Cuba to near Cozumel. The only remaining convection in
the basin is within 90 nm of the coast of Panama, where the
Eastern Pacific monsoon trough is aiding in thunderstorm
development. The pressure gradient between high pressure centered
E of Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is leading to
strong E winds in the central and southern Caribbean, highest
offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Rough seas are
also present where the strong winds are ongoing. For the remainder
of the basin, aside from the NW, moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas prevail. In the NW basin, mainly gentle E winds and
2 to 4 ft seas are present.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
fresh to near gale trades across the central Caribbean, with the
strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Honduras.
Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
forecast waters, pulsing to strong in the Gulf of Honduras at
night Sat through Tue. Large W swell resulting in rough seas will
impact the tropical N Atlantic waters into Mon, then begin to
subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening stationary front extends from W of Bermuda to the
Florida Straits. Scattered moderate convection is N of 24N, E of
the front to 62W. Winds in this zone of convection are fresh to
strong out of the SW, and seas are rough. Behind this front, the
tail end of a cold front extends from 31N75W to 28N81W. Moderate
to fresh winds are noted W of the front. Elsewhere N of 20N,
mainly moderate E winds and moderate seas dominate. To the S of
20N, fresh trades and rough seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will gradually
dissipate into the weekend. Fresh to strong SW winds NE of the
boundary N of 28N will lift N of the region later today, allowing
rough seas to diminish. Thereafter, mainly tranquil marine
conditions with moderate to strong easterly winds will prevail
through early next week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 17 May 2026 05:14:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 15 May 2026 17:18:02 GMT - Fri, 15 May 2026 17:14:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 151714
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri May 15 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
&&
Today, May 15, marks the first day of the routine issuance of the
Atlantic basin Tropical Weather Outlook in 2026. This product
describes significant areas of disturbed weather and their
potential for tropical cyclone formation during the next seven
days. The Tropical Weather Outlook is issued from May 15 through
November 30 each year. The issuance times of this product are 2 AM,
8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the change to standard time in
November, the issuance times are 1 AM, 7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A graphical version of the Tropical Weather Outlook is available on
the web at: https://www.hurricanes.gov.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf