SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 23 Feb 2026 17:49:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 231749
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Feb 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Northerly Swell:
Residual northerly swell behind a cold front that moved southeast
of the Gulf earlier this morning will sustain 12 to 13 ft seas in
the southwestern and south- central Gulf, including the Bay of
Campeche and Yucatan Channel until later this evening. Afterward,
seas should gradually subside below 12 ft before midnight tonight.
Western Atlantic Gale Northwest Swell:
A strong cold front extends southwestward from near Bermuda
across 31N65W and the central Bahamas to beyond central Cuba.
Large NW swell behind this front is going to maintain 12 to 16 ft
seas north of 26N and east of 29W through Wed morning. As the
front weakens and lifts northeastward Wed afternoon, seas should
steadily subside.
Please read the latest NWS High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Guinea and Sierra Leone, then reaches southwestward to 03N19W.
An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N19W through 02N30W
to north of Belem, Brazil at 00N48W. Widely scattered moderate
convection is noted near both features from 00N to 04N between 50W
and 15W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
Significant Swell.
A prominent surface ridge extending southward from the central
U.S. across the western Gulf to near Bay of Campeche. Outside the
Significant Swell area mentioned in the Special Features section,
the ridge is supporting moderate to fresh N to NNE winds and seas
of 5 to 10 ft at the western Gulf. Fresh to strong N to NNE winds
and 7 to 11 ft seas elsewhere in the Gulf.
For the forecast, winds and seas will gradually subside from NW
to SE through Tue as the high pressure shifts SE overhead. Fresh
to strong southerly return flow will develop across the NW Gulf
Tue night and expand across the SW and central Gulf Wed into Thu,
ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu
evening. This next front is expected to stall from the Florida
Panhandle to the Mexican coastal waters late Fri..
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The southeastern end of a cold front extends from near central
Cuba across the northwestern basin to beyond southern Belize.
Scattered showers are evident up to 50 nm along either side of
this feature. Farther east, a surface trough is producing
scattered showers near Jamaica, the Windward Passage and Haiti.
Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 7 to 11 ft are present
behind the front in the northwestern basin, including the Yucatan
Channel. Fresh NE to ENE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas are noted across
the south-central and southeastern basin, including the ABC
Islands. Gentle to moderate N to NE to ESE winds with 3 to 6 ft
seas prevail for the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, the front will continue to move southeastward
and reach from northwestern Haiti to near the Nicaragua-Costa
Rica border by Tue morning, then stall and dissipate from central
Dominican Republic to southeastern Nicaragua Wed. Expect strong N
to NE winds and rough to very rough seas behind this front
through Tue night. Broad high pressure will develop across the
central and western Atlantic Thu and Fri and bring a return to
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
Significant Swell.
A strong cold front extends southwestward from near Bermuda
across 31N65W and the central Bahamas to beyond central Cuba.
Scattered showers are found up to 50 nm north, and up to 100 nm
south of this boundary. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
at the very beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic
Basin. Outside the areas of Significant Swell mentioned in the
Special Features section, fresh to strong NW winds and seas of 6
to 10 ft are evident behind the cold front. An area of fresh to
strong SW winds and seas at 6 to 10 ft exist north of 25N between
56W and 67W. Otherwise, moderate to fresh SW to W to NW winds with
5 to 8 ft seas dominate north of 20N between 52W and the
Florida/southern Georgia coast. Farther east, a 1022 mb high near
27N46W is supporting gentle winds with 8 to 14 ft seas in large NW
swell north of 20N between 35W and 52W. For the tropical Atlantic
from 03N to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to
fresh NE to Se Winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft are present. For the
remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle to moderate E
to SE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas mixed moderate swells prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front is
expected to reach from 31N61W to the northwest coast of the
Dominican Republic Tue morning, while weakening. It will then
stall from near 29N55W to the central Dominican Republic early
Wed, then drift westward and dissipate through Thu. High pressure
will move into the Atlantic behind the front Tue night through
Wed, and develop a broad ridge across the region Thu and Fri.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 23 Feb 2026 17:49:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 231749
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Mon Feb 23 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Northerly Swell:
Residual northerly swell behind a cold front that moved southeast
of the Gulf earlier this morning will sustain 12 to 13 ft seas in
the southwestern and south- central Gulf, including the Bay of
Campeche and Yucatan Channel until later this evening. Afterward,
seas should gradually subside below 12 ft before midnight tonight.
Western Atlantic Gale Northwest Swell:
A strong cold front extends southwestward from near Bermuda
across 31N65W and the central Bahamas to beyond central Cuba.
Large NW swell behind this front is going to maintain 12 to 16 ft
seas north of 26N and east of 29W through Wed morning. As the
front weakens and lifts northeastward Wed afternoon, seas should
steadily subside.
Please read the latest NWS High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Guinea and Sierra Leone, then reaches southwestward to 03N19W.
An ITCZ continues west-southwestward from 03N19W through 02N30W
to north of Belem, Brazil at 00N48W. Widely scattered moderate
convection is noted near both features from 00N to 04N between 50W
and 15W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
Significant Swell.
A prominent surface ridge extending southward from the central
U.S. across the western Gulf to near Bay of Campeche. Outside the
Significant Swell area mentioned in the Special Features section,
the ridge is supporting moderate to fresh N to NNE winds and seas
of 5 to 10 ft at the western Gulf. Fresh to strong N to NNE winds
and 7 to 11 ft seas elsewhere in the Gulf.
For the forecast, winds and seas will gradually subside from NW
to SE through Tue as the high pressure shifts SE overhead. Fresh
to strong southerly return flow will develop across the NW Gulf
Tue night and expand across the SW and central Gulf Wed into Thu,
ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter the NW Gulf Thu
evening. This next front is expected to stall from the Florida
Panhandle to the Mexican coastal waters late Fri..
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The southeastern end of a cold front extends from near central
Cuba across the northwestern basin to beyond southern Belize.
Scattered showers are evident up to 50 nm along either side of
this feature. Farther east, a surface trough is producing
scattered showers near Jamaica, the Windward Passage and Haiti.
Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 7 to 11 ft are present
behind the front in the northwestern basin, including the Yucatan
Channel. Fresh NE to ENE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas are noted across
the south-central and southeastern basin, including the ABC
Islands. Gentle to moderate N to NE to ESE winds with 3 to 6 ft
seas prevail for the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, the front will continue to move southeastward
and reach from northwestern Haiti to near the Nicaragua-Costa
Rica border by Tue morning, then stall and dissipate from central
Dominican Republic to southeastern Nicaragua Wed. Expect strong N
to NE winds and rough to very rough seas behind this front
through Tue night. Broad high pressure will develop across the
central and western Atlantic Thu and Fri and bring a return to
fresh to strong trades across the central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for information about
Significant Swell.
A strong cold front extends southwestward from near Bermuda
across 31N65W and the central Bahamas to beyond central Cuba.
Scattered showers are found up to 50 nm north, and up to 100 nm
south of this boundary. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section
at the very beginning for additional convection in the Atlantic
Basin. Outside the areas of Significant Swell mentioned in the
Special Features section, fresh to strong NW winds and seas of 6
to 10 ft are evident behind the cold front. An area of fresh to
strong SW winds and seas at 6 to 10 ft exist north of 25N between
56W and 67W. Otherwise, moderate to fresh SW to W to NW winds with
5 to 8 ft seas dominate north of 20N between 52W and the
Florida/southern Georgia coast. Farther east, a 1022 mb high near
27N46W is supporting gentle winds with 8 to 14 ft seas in large NW
swell north of 20N between 35W and 52W. For the tropical Atlantic
from 03N to 20N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles, moderate to
fresh NE to Se Winds and seas of 6 to 9 ft are present. For the
remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle to moderate E
to SE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas mixed moderate swells prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front is
expected to reach from 31N61W to the northwest coast of the
Dominican Republic Tue morning, while weakening. It will then
stall from near 29N55W to the central Dominican Republic early
Wed, then drift westward and dissipate through Thu. High pressure
will move into the Atlantic behind the front Tue night through
Wed, and develop a broad ridge across the region Thu and Fri.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 23 Feb 2026 20:58:47 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 23 Feb 2026 18:20:03 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 231819
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0120 PM EST MON 23 FEBRUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 24/1100Z TO 25/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-085
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
A. 25/0000Z
B. AFXXX 15WSC IOP39
C. 24/1800Z
D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY: 20.0N 160.0W, 35.0N 160.0W, 35.0N 135.0W, AND 20.0N
135.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 24/2030Z TO 25/0230Z
2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
A. 25/0000Z
B. NOAA9 39WSE IOP39
C. 24/1930Z
D. 24 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 70 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
BY: 25.0N 120.0W, 25.0N 145.0W, 45.0N 145.0W, AND 45.0N
120.0W
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 24/2030Z TO 25/0230Z
3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY
FLY AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR
THE 26/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
27/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf