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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 22:15:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 172214
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 19N. It is moving
westward at about 10 kt. Convection previously associated with
this wave has diminished this evening
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
Another central tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles with
its axis near 58W, south of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is within 240 nm west of the wave
from 11N to 17N.
A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 77W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at about 10 kt. Numerous moderate
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica, and Panama offshore waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 17N16W and
continues southwestward to 12N25W to 11N39W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ, then continues to 11N50W and to 11N57W. No
significant convection is evident aside from the convection
discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1021 mb, centered offshore Louisiana, dominates
the Gulf waters, supporting mainly gentle winds and slight seas.
offshore the Florida Panhandle moderate W winds have developed in
associated with a trough N of the area. Moderate to fresh NE to N
winds are over the central and eastern Bay of Campeche due to a
westward moving trough that along the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Seas to around 6 ft are over the waters where these
winds are present.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh winds N of
the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Numerous moderate convection is noted in the NW basin W of 82W, in
association with the interaction of a tropical wave to the SE and
a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula. See the Tropical
Waves section above for information on further convection caused
by the tropical wave as well as additional thunderstorms entering
the eastern basin in association with a second tropical wave.
Fresh to locally strong trades and rough seas dominate the central
basin, with moderate to fresh trades in the eastern and southwest
basin, along with moderate seas. In the NW basin, away from
convection where locally higher winds and seas are likely, gentle
winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean through this evening. The area of high
pressure will then weaken through midweek, loosening the pressure
gradient with resultant winds diminishing slightly. High pressure
will build N of the area once again the second half of the week
into the weekend, tightening the pressure gradient, and
strengthening winds over the central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1010 mb low center north of the area
near 35N50W southwestward to 31N51W to 27N60W to 27N70W and
northwestward to 31N74W. East of the front, to about 45W, and N of
27N, scattered moderate convection and fresh to strong SW winds
prevail. To the W, south of the boundary to 25N, scattered
moderate convection also is ongoing.
The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
will stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Winds in the vicinity
of the front will diminish tonight. Otherwise, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the week.
Moderate to locally fresh winds can be expected S of 22N.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 22:15:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 172214
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 19N. It is moving
westward at about 10 kt. Convection previously associated with
this wave has diminished this evening
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 38W, extending
from 02N to 18N, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
Another central tropical wave is east of the Lesser Antilles with
its axis near 58W, south of 20N, moving westward at around 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is within 240 nm west of the wave
from 11N to 17N.
A Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 77W south of 19N.
It is moving westward at about 10 kt. Numerous moderate
convection is ahead of the wave axis and over the Nicaragua, Costa
Rica, and Panama offshore waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through 17N16W and
continues southwestward to 12N25W to 11N39W, where it transitions
to the ITCZ, then continues to 11N50W and to 11N57W. No
significant convection is evident aside from the convection
discussed in the Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure of 1021 mb, centered offshore Louisiana, dominates
the Gulf waters, supporting mainly gentle winds and slight seas.
offshore the Florida Panhandle moderate W winds have developed in
associated with a trough N of the area. Moderate to fresh NE to N
winds are over the central and eastern Bay of Campeche due to a
westward moving trough that along the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula. Seas to around 6 ft are over the waters where these
winds are present.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh winds N of
the Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are expected through the
forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Numerous moderate convection is noted in the NW basin W of 82W, in
association with the interaction of a tropical wave to the SE and
a surface trough over the Yucatan Peninsula. See the Tropical
Waves section above for information on further convection caused
by the tropical wave as well as additional thunderstorms entering
the eastern basin in association with a second tropical wave.
Fresh to locally strong trades and rough seas dominate the central
basin, with moderate to fresh trades in the eastern and southwest
basin, along with moderate seas. In the NW basin, away from
convection where locally higher winds and seas are likely, gentle
winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean through this evening. The area of high
pressure will then weaken through midweek, loosening the pressure
gradient with resultant winds diminishing slightly. High pressure
will build N of the area once again the second half of the week
into the weekend, tightening the pressure gradient, and
strengthening winds over the central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1010 mb low center north of the area
near 35N50W southwestward to 31N51W to 27N60W to 27N70W and
northwestward to 31N74W. East of the front, to about 45W, and N of
27N, scattered moderate convection and fresh to strong SW winds
prevail. To the W, south of the boundary to 25N, scattered
moderate convection also is ongoing.
The central and eastern subtropical Atlantic is under the
influence of a 1028 mb high pressure center located north of
the Azores. Its related gradient is supporting moderate or weaker
winds and moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned cold front will
will stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Winds in the vicinity
of the front will diminish tonight. Otherwise, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally
moderate, across much of the area N of 22N through the week.
Moderate to locally fresh winds can be expected S of 22N.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 05:19:10 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 17 Aug 2026 22:15:45 GMT - Mon, 17 Aug 2026 17:19:10 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 171718
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 13:57:34 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
587
NOUS42 KNHC 171356
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT MON 17 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-078
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf