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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 09:42:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060942
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 33W S of 17N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt.
Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 41W and S of 18N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 50W south of 19N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 79W, south of 19N, moving W at
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is active from 09N to
20N between 80W and 87W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W to 10N20W.
Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N22W to 08N32W, from 06N33W to
06N40W, from 07N42W to 07N50W, and from 07N52W to 06N57W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted within 240 nm on either
side of the ITCZ and west of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends across the Florida Peninsula and
across the northern Gulf to the coast of Texas. A surface trough
reaches from Mobile Bay, Alabama to Tampa, Florida. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active off the western Florida Panhandle along
this trough. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also active over the
southeast Gulf, under divergent flow aloft. Farther south, a weak
trough is positioned over the Bay of Campeche. This pattern is
supporting fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass.
Gentle to moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are
generally 1-3 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, surface ridging is forecast to prevail across the
basin through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for
locally fresh to strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula
at night. Locally moderate or weaker winds are forecast for the
eastern half of the Gulf while mainly slight seas are forecast
basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela. Seas are
7-10 ft over the south-central Caribbean in the area of strongest
trade winds, and 6-7 ft elsewhere east of 80W. A recent
scatterometer satellite pass indicated fresh to strong easterly
winds across the Gulf of Honduras, likely related to scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms active in that area, associated
with divergent flow aloft on the east side of an upper low
centered over the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas across the Gulf of
Honduras are 4-6 ft, and 2-4 ft elsewhere over the northwest
Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the weekend. The aerial
extent of these winds will continue to increase today as the
Atlantic ridge continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to
strong winds are expected to extend across most of the east,
central and SW Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through
Fri. Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the
basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to locally
strong E to SE winds are forecast at night through the forecast
period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of
20N, and is anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near
29N39W. The pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and
3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis, and moderate to
fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas east and south of the
ridge axis. Upper divergent flow is supporting a few showers and
thunderstorms from 25N to 30N 45W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will stay
in place through the forecast period, developing a center of high
pressure E of the Bahamas by Fri. This pattern will continue to
support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 23N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds, with
moderate to rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola,
including approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 09:42:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 060942
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Mon Jul 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 33W S of 17N, moving W at 10 to 15 kt.
Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 41W and S of 18N, moving W at
10 to 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 50W south of 19N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 79W, south of 19N, moving W at
at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is active from 09N to
20N between 80W and 87W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W to 10N20W.
Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N22W to 08N32W, from 06N33W to
06N40W, from 07N42W to 07N50W, and from 07N52W to 06N57W.
Scattered moderate convection is noted within 240 nm on either
side of the ITCZ and west of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends across the Florida Peninsula and
across the northern Gulf to the coast of Texas. A surface trough
reaches from Mobile Bay, Alabama to Tampa, Florida. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are active off the western Florida Panhandle along
this trough. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also active over the
southeast Gulf, under divergent flow aloft. Farther south, a weak
trough is positioned over the Bay of Campeche. This pattern is
supporting fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass.
Gentle to moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are
generally 1-3 ft across the basin.
For the forecast, surface ridging is forecast to prevail across the
basin through the forecast period, thus supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western half of the Gulf, except for
locally fresh to strong ENE winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula
at night. Locally moderate or weaker winds are forecast for the
eastern half of the Gulf while mainly slight seas are forecast
basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela. Seas are
7-10 ft over the south-central Caribbean in the area of strongest
trade winds, and 6-7 ft elsewhere east of 80W. A recent
scatterometer satellite pass indicated fresh to strong easterly
winds across the Gulf of Honduras, likely related to scattered
showers and a few thunderstorms active in that area, associated
with divergent flow aloft on the east side of an upper low
centered over the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas across the Gulf of
Honduras are 4-6 ft, and 2-4 ft elsewhere over the northwest
Caribbean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through the weekend. The aerial
extent of these winds will continue to increase today as the
Atlantic ridge continues to build westward. By Wed, the fresh to
strong winds are expected to extend across most of the east,
central and SW Caribbean. Expect winds to reach near-gale force at
night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela through
Fri. Moderate or weaker winds will prevail over the NW part of the
basin, except in the Gulf of Honduras where fresh to locally
strong E to SE winds are forecast at night through the forecast
period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The Atlantic subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of
20N, and is anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near
29N39W. The pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes and
3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis, and moderate to
fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-7 ft seas east and south of the
ridge axis. Upper divergent flow is supporting a few showers and
thunderstorms from 25N to 30N 45W and 70W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic subtropical ridge will stay
in place through the forecast period, developing a center of high
pressure E of the Bahamas by Fri. This pattern will continue to
support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 23N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds, with
moderate to rough seas are expected at night north of Hispaniola,
including approaches to the Windward Passage, through Fri night.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 23:36:27 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 06 Jul 2026 14:20:10 GMT - Mon, 06 Jul 2026 11:36:27 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 061136
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 061345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT MON 06 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-036
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf