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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 16 May 2026 23:52:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 162351
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 43W from 11N southward,
and moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is seen near the central part of the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 67W from near Puerto
Rico southward into central Venezuela. This wave is moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is found
at north-central Venezuela.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Senegal and Guinea-Bissau, then curves southwestward to 05N20W to
01N39W. No ITCZ is analyzed at this time. Scattered moderate
convection is present near and south of the monsoon trough from
02N to 08N east of 25W.
Convergent winds north of the eastern end of the East Pacific
monsoon trough is triggering isolated thunderstorms in the
Caribbean waters near Costa Rica and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A modest surface ridge reaches southwestward from the Florida
Panhandle to north of Veracruz, Mexico. This feature is
supporting light to gentle winds with 1 to 3 ft seas for the
eastern half of the Gulf. Fresh with locally strong NE to E winds
and seas of 3 to 5 ft are present off the northern Yucatan
Peninsula. Moderate with locally fresh SE winds and seas at 2 to 4
ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will persist into the middle of next
week. Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the northwestern
Gulf into early next week between the high pressure and lower
pressure over Mexico. Also expect fresh to occasionally strong
wind pulses off the northwestern Yucatan peninsula during the
evenings into next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A pronounced upper-level trough is producing scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms near the southern coast of Cuba. Refer
to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section above for additional weather
in the Caribbean Sea. A tight pressure gradient between a broad
surface ridge near 24N and a 1007 mb low over far northwestern
Colombia is sustaining fresh to strong NE to E winds and 6 to 9 ft
seas in the central, and part of the southwestern basin. Fresh to
strong E winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft are noted at the Gulf of
Honduras. Light to gentle winds with 2 to 5 ft seas exist in the
lee of Cuba and north Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh E
to SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the
Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the tight gradient will support strong trades
across the central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras into Tue,
with moderate to fresh trades across the remainder of the
Caribbean waters. Large E swell induced rough seas will linger
across Atlantic waters near the Lesser Antilles into Mon night,
then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from east of Bermuda across
31N61W to the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring up to 85 nm along either side of this feature. Refer to
the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the beginning for additional
convection in the Atlantic Basin. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
and seas of 4 to 6 ft are evident near the aforementioned surface
trough, north of 20N and west of 70W. Farther east, a broad
Atlantic Ridge stretching southwestward from a 1030 mb Azores High
across 31N42W to the central Bahamas is maintaining gentle winds
and seas of 4 to 5 ft north of 26N between 35W and 70W. To the
south, moderate to fresh NE to E trades with 6 to 9 ft seas
dominate from 04N to 26N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles/70W.
Gentle to moderate NE to E trades and seas at 5 to 7 ft prevail
for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned Atlantic Ridge
will support fresh trade winds and occasionally rough seas with E
swell into Sun north of the Leeward Islands. A weak trough
extending from 31N62W to the Bahamas will weaken this evening,
leaving tranquil marine conditions in place elsewhere through the
middle of next week.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 16 May 2026 23:52:02 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 162351
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 43W from 11N southward,
and moving westward at around 15 kt. Isolated moderate convection
is seen near the central part of the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 67W from near Puerto
Rico southward into central Venezuela. This wave is moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is found
at north-central Venezuela.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
Senegal and Guinea-Bissau, then curves southwestward to 05N20W to
01N39W. No ITCZ is analyzed at this time. Scattered moderate
convection is present near and south of the monsoon trough from
02N to 08N east of 25W.
Convergent winds north of the eastern end of the East Pacific
monsoon trough is triggering isolated thunderstorms in the
Caribbean waters near Costa Rica and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A modest surface ridge reaches southwestward from the Florida
Panhandle to north of Veracruz, Mexico. This feature is
supporting light to gentle winds with 1 to 3 ft seas for the
eastern half of the Gulf. Fresh with locally strong NE to E winds
and seas of 3 to 5 ft are present off the northern Yucatan
Peninsula. Moderate with locally fresh SE winds and seas at 2 to 4
ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will persist into the middle of next
week. Expect moderate to fresh SE winds over the northwestern
Gulf into early next week between the high pressure and lower
pressure over Mexico. Also expect fresh to occasionally strong
wind pulses off the northwestern Yucatan peninsula during the
evenings into next week.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A pronounced upper-level trough is producing scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms near the southern coast of Cuba. Refer
to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section above for additional weather
in the Caribbean Sea. A tight pressure gradient between a broad
surface ridge near 24N and a 1007 mb low over far northwestern
Colombia is sustaining fresh to strong NE to E winds and 6 to 9 ft
seas in the central, and part of the southwestern basin. Fresh to
strong E winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft are noted at the Gulf of
Honduras. Light to gentle winds with 2 to 5 ft seas exist in the
lee of Cuba and north Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh E
to SE winds and seas of 4 to 6 ft prevail elsewhere in the
Caribbean Sea.
For the forecast, the tight gradient will support strong trades
across the central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras into Tue,
with moderate to fresh trades across the remainder of the
Caribbean waters. Large E swell induced rough seas will linger
across Atlantic waters near the Lesser Antilles into Mon night,
then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends southwestward from east of Bermuda across
31N61W to the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring up to 85 nm along either side of this feature. Refer to
the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section at the beginning for additional
convection in the Atlantic Basin. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
and seas of 4 to 6 ft are evident near the aforementioned surface
trough, north of 20N and west of 70W. Farther east, a broad
Atlantic Ridge stretching southwestward from a 1030 mb Azores High
across 31N42W to the central Bahamas is maintaining gentle winds
and seas of 4 to 5 ft north of 26N between 35W and 70W. To the
south, moderate to fresh NE to E trades with 6 to 9 ft seas
dominate from 04N to 26N between 35W and the Lesser Antilles/70W.
Gentle to moderate NE to E trades and seas at 5 to 7 ft prevail
for the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned Atlantic Ridge
will support fresh trade winds and occasionally rough seas with E
swell into Sun north of the Leeward Islands. A weak trough
extending from 31N62W to the Bahamas will weaken this evening,
leaving tranquil marine conditions in place elsewhere through the
middle of next week.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 18 May 2026 11:14:06 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 17 May 2026 01:14:53 GMT - Sat, 16 May 2026 23:14:06 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 162313
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat May 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf