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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 09:51:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
265
AXNT20 KNHC 300951
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0935 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall across the NE Caribbean: A strong tropical
wave, associated with the remnants of Dolly, is moving across the
northern Leeward Islands producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms, especially from 15N to 22N and between 56W and
65W. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there
are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is
unlikely while the wave moves westward to west-northwestward at
about 25 mph. The system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty
winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico over the next couple of days. The wave is expected to
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the adjacent
waters over the next several days. Rainfall amounts and the
location of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as
local topography will enhance orographic lift and support the
heaviest rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for
specific rainfall forecasts for your local area.
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring within 90 nm on both sides of the
trough axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 62W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Fresh to locally near gale-force
winds and rough seas are associated with this wave. Recently a
buoy north of the Leeward Islands reported winds gusts to 41 kt
and gusts to 43 kt has been reported in the northern Leewards. See
the Special Features section above for more information on this
wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 18N, moving
westward near 20 kt. No significant convection is noted over
water.
For information about the tropical wave crossing Central America,
please read the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 11N29W. The
ITCZ extends from 12N31W to 11N37W and then from 09N40W to 07N47W
and to 10N62W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
present within 150 nm on both sides of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1015 mb low pres south of the mouth of the Mississippi River is
producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the
north-central Gulf waters. A surface trough is noted in the
eastern Gulf, also supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. A weak high pressure system dominates the
remainder of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
and seas of 2-4 ft are found in the north-central and eastern Gulf
waters, especially east of 90W and eastern Bay of Campeche.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, some slow development of this system
(aforementioned low pres) is possible during the next few days as
it drifts westward across the northern Gulf. Regardless of
development, mariners over the northern Gulf waters can expect
thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally higher seas over the
next few days. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will persist through
the forecast period, sustaining moderate or weaker winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the northern Leeward Islands.
The eastern Pacific monsoon trough is helping to enhance a few
showers and isolated thunderstorms in the southwest Caribbean
waters, especially off Panama. High pressure north of the islands
sustains fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft
in the central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly will bring
scattered showers and thunderstorms, strong winds and rough seas
today to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and nearby waters
south of 23N, and then Hispaniola and SE Bahamas on Mon.
Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer trough will
aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early this week. To
the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting mainly
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to
locally strong off northern Hispaniola through tonight.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the Leeward Islands.
Abundant moisture, a surface trough and divergence aloft associated
with an upper level trough over the eastern United States combine
to generate numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms west of
70W. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning and
higher seas near the strongest storms. Elsewhere, a broad
subtropical ridge dominates the remainder of the tropical Atlantic
between Africa and the Bahamas. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail across the area, outside of the influence of
the remnants of Dolly. However, fresh northerly winds and seas of
5-9 ft are found off Morocco and northern Mauritania.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms, strong winds and
rough seas today to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and nearby
waters south of 23N, and then Hispaniola and SE Bahamas on Mon.
Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep- layer trough
will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early this
week. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola through tonight..
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 09:51:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
265
AXNT20 KNHC 300951
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sun Aug 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0935 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Significant Rainfall across the NE Caribbean: A strong tropical
wave, associated with the remnants of Dolly, is moving across the
northern Leeward Islands producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms, especially from 15N to 22N and between 56W and
65W. Satellite data and surface observations indicate that there
are no signs of a closed surface circulation, and redevelopment is
unlikely while the wave moves westward to west-northwestward at
about 25 mph. The system could bring locally heavy rains and gusty
winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and
Puerto Rico over the next couple of days. The wave is expected to
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and the adjacent
waters over the next several days. Rainfall amounts and the
location of the highest totals will vary from island to island, as
local topography will enhance orographic lift and support the
heaviest rainfall. Please refer to your local weather agency for
specific rainfall forecasts for your local area.
Please, refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at
www.hurricanes.gov for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 38W, south of 17N,
moving westward at around 15 kt. A few showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring within 90 nm on both sides of the
trough axis.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 62W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Fresh to locally near gale-force
winds and rough seas are associated with this wave. Recently a
buoy north of the Leeward Islands reported winds gusts to 41 kt
and gusts to 43 kt has been reported in the northern Leewards. See
the Special Features section above for more information on this
wave.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 18N, moving
westward near 20 kt. No significant convection is noted over
water.
For information about the tropical wave crossing Central America,
please read the Eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 11N29W. The
ITCZ extends from 12N31W to 11N37W and then from 09N40W to 07N47W
and to 10N62W. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
present within 150 nm on both sides of the monsoon trough and
ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1015 mb low pres south of the mouth of the Mississippi River is
producing scattered showers and a few thunderstorms across the
north-central Gulf waters. A surface trough is noted in the
eastern Gulf, also supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. A weak high pressure system dominates the
remainder of the basin. Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds
and seas of 2-4 ft are found in the north-central and eastern Gulf
waters, especially east of 90W and eastern Bay of Campeche.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, some slow development of this system
(aforementioned low pres) is possible during the next few days as
it drifts westward across the northern Gulf. Regardless of
development, mariners over the northern Gulf waters can expect
thunderstorms with gusty winds and locally higher seas over the
next few days. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will persist through
the forecast period, sustaining moderate or weaker winds and
slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh with moderate seas off
western Yucatan during the evenings due to a diurnal surface
trough moving west off the peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for rainfall
information associated with a strong tropical wave moving across
the northern Leeward Islands.
The eastern Pacific monsoon trough is helping to enhance a few
showers and isolated thunderstorms in the southwest Caribbean
waters, especially off Panama. High pressure north of the islands
sustains fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft
in the central Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly will bring
scattered showers and thunderstorms, strong winds and rough seas
today to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and nearby waters
south of 23N, and then Hispaniola and SE Bahamas on Mon.
Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep-layer trough will
aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early this week. To
the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting mainly
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will pulse to
locally strong off northern Hispaniola through tonight.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for information
about the strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly, moving across
the Leeward Islands.
Abundant moisture, a surface trough and divergence aloft associated
with an upper level trough over the eastern United States combine
to generate numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms west of
70W. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning and
higher seas near the strongest storms. Elsewhere, a broad
subtropical ridge dominates the remainder of the tropical Atlantic
between Africa and the Bahamas. Moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail across the area, outside of the influence of
the remnants of Dolly. However, fresh northerly winds and seas of
5-9 ft are found off Morocco and northern Mauritania.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned remnants of Dolly
will bring scattered showers and thunderstorms, strong winds and
rough seas today to the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico and nearby
waters south of 23N, and then Hispaniola and SE Bahamas on Mon.
Elsewhere, abundant tropical moisture and a deep- layer trough
will aide in scattered thunderstorms W of 70W into early this
week. To the east, the subtropical ridge will dominate, supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to locally strong off northern Hispaniola through tonight..
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 31 Aug 2026 17:05:34 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 30 Aug 2026 10:10:15 GMT - Sun, 30 Aug 2026 05:05:34 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 300505
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Aug 30 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
A strong tropical wave, the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly,
continues to produce an area of showers and thunderstorms just east
of the northern Leeward Islands. Satellite data and surface
observations indicate that there are no signs of a closed surface
circulation, and redevelopment is unlikely while the wave moves
westward to west-northwestward at about 25 mph. The system could
bring locally heavy rains and gusty winds to portions of the
Leeward Islands, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico over the next
couple of days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northern Gulf of America (AL97):
A weak area of low pressure located about 100 miles south of
the coast of southeastern Louisiana continues to produce
disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some slow development of
this system is possible during the next few days as it drifts
westward across the northern Gulf. Interests along the Louisiana
and Upper Texas coasts should monitor the progress of this system.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:08:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 291508
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1110 AM EDT SAT 29 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-090
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA NEAR 28.5N 92.5W FOR 31/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
MISSION AROUND TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FOR 01/0000Z, DEPARTING
KLGB AT 31/1700Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND TROPICAL STORM
LOWELL FOR 02/0000Z, DEPARTING PHNL TENTATIVELY AT 01/1900Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO LOWELL FOR
02/1200Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 02/0800Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf