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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 21 May 2026 23:00:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
664
AXNT20 KNHC 212300
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic is analyzed near 37W, south of 10N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is found near the
wave axis.
An Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 75W, south of 15N
based on tropical wave diagnostics, moving westward near 10 kt.
This wave is currently interacting with lower pressures near
Colombia and the eastern end of the Eastern Pacific Monsoon
Trough. Thus, scattered to locally numerous moderate to strong
convection is depicted south of 10N and over land behind the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic the coast near 12.5N16.5W,
then curves southwestward to near 03N23W. The ITCZ extends from
03N23W to 00.5N34W. Another portion of the ITCZ then extends from
01N39W to the coast of Brazil at 02N51W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is present south of 06.5N and east of
27W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 01N to 04N
between 27W and 34W, and south of 08.5N between 44W and 53W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1025 mb high pressure system centered east of Bermuda extends a
ridge into the eastern Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker
E to SE winds and seas 2 to 4 ft across the eastern half of the
basin and southwest portions. Numerous showers and thunderstorms
developed earlier this afternoon about a surface trough now
extending from the southwest Louisiana coast to just offshore of
Tampico Mexico. Areas of heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds
associated with this activity have formed an outflow boundary that
extends from offshore of central Louisiana the 23N96W. Mid-
afternoon satellite scatterometer winds showed strong and gusty
winds to near gale-force between the trough and the outflow
boundary, where seas have to be locally higher. This convection
has since begun to diminish in coverage and intensity.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little during the
forecast period. The pressure gradient between it and relatively
lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend, with the exception of fresh to
strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and
into the night time hours. A series of upper-level disturbances
moving through a very moist and unstable environment are expected
to keep unsettled weather conditions in the form of large
thunderstorm complexes, that will be moving ENE across the NW and
west-central Gulf sections during the next few days. Mariners
transiting through these waters should check the latest forecast
and weather conditions prior to beginning or continuing their
transits.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad ridge, centered on a 1025 mb high located east of Bermuda,
extends into the eastern Gulf of America. The resultant pressure
gradient is forcing fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas
of 6-9 ft across the central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
and slight seas are prevalent. Scattered light to moderate showers
and moving across the northeast Caribbean, as well as NW portions.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central portion of the Caribbean into early next week. These
trades will continue to bring rough seas to that portion of the
basin. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening over
the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere
through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad middle to upper-level low is situated across the N half of
the Bahamas and adjacent waters between 70W and 80W. This feature
continues to enhance the shower activity between 69W and 75W. The
rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 50W, is under the
influence of a broad subtropical ridge centered east of Bermuda.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are noted south
of 24N and west of 50W.
A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N25W and
continues southwestward to 24N50W to 27N63W. A few light showers
are evident ahead of this front. The rest of the central and
eastern Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge
anchored by the eastern extension of the 1025 mb high pressure
east of Bermuda. A moderate pressure gradient between the
aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in western Africa results
in moderate to fresh northerly winds from 10N to 25N and east of
30W. Seas there are 4 to 8 ft in NW swell. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the large middle to upper-level low
ENE of the Bahamas will continue to produce scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms from east of the Bahamas to near 71W,
and southward to the vicinity of the Turks and Caicos through
early Fri. Some of this activity may contain strong gusty winds
and heavy rain reducing visibility. The low is forecast to lift N
of the area by early on Fri evening. Southeast winds will pulse
fresh to strong speeds north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and
evenings going into early next week. Otherwise, high pressure
centered just north of the area will maintain rather quite marine
conditions through the period.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 21 May 2026 23:00:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
664
AXNT20 KNHC 212300
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri May 22 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A eastern Atlantic is analyzed near 37W, south of 10N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Isolated moderate convection is found near the
wave axis.
An Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 75W, south of 15N
based on tropical wave diagnostics, moving westward near 10 kt.
This wave is currently interacting with lower pressures near
Colombia and the eastern end of the Eastern Pacific Monsoon
Trough. Thus, scattered to locally numerous moderate to strong
convection is depicted south of 10N and over land behind the wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic the coast near 12.5N16.5W,
then curves southwestward to near 03N23W. The ITCZ extends from
03N23W to 00.5N34W. Another portion of the ITCZ then extends from
01N39W to the coast of Brazil at 02N51W. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is present south of 06.5N and east of
27W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 01N to 04N
between 27W and 34W, and south of 08.5N between 44W and 53W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1025 mb high pressure system centered east of Bermuda extends a
ridge into the eastern Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker
E to SE winds and seas 2 to 4 ft across the eastern half of the
basin and southwest portions. Numerous showers and thunderstorms
developed earlier this afternoon about a surface trough now
extending from the southwest Louisiana coast to just offshore of
Tampico Mexico. Areas of heavy rainfall and strong gusty winds
associated with this activity have formed an outflow boundary that
extends from offshore of central Louisiana the 23N96W. Mid-
afternoon satellite scatterometer winds showed strong and gusty
winds to near gale-force between the trough and the outflow
boundary, where seas have to be locally higher. This convection
has since begun to diminish in coverage and intensity.
For the forecast, high pressure extending from the western
Atlantic to the northern Gulf will change little during the
forecast period. The pressure gradient between it and relatively
lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will generally
maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind flow across
the basin through the weekend, with the exception of fresh to
strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from the late afternoons and
into the night time hours. A series of upper-level disturbances
moving through a very moist and unstable environment are expected
to keep unsettled weather conditions in the form of large
thunderstorm complexes, that will be moving ENE across the NW and
west-central Gulf sections during the next few days. Mariners
transiting through these waters should check the latest forecast
and weather conditions prior to beginning or continuing their
transits.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad ridge, centered on a 1025 mb high located east of Bermuda,
extends into the eastern Gulf of America. The resultant pressure
gradient is forcing fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas
of 6-9 ft across the central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
and slight seas are prevalent. Scattered light to moderate showers
and moving across the northeast Caribbean, as well as NW portions.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and relatively lower pressures in northern South
America will support fresh to strong trades over the south-
central portion of the Caribbean into early next week. These
trades will continue to bring rough seas to that portion of the
basin. Fresh to strong trades will also pulse each evening over
the Gulf of Honduras. Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere
through the forecast period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad middle to upper-level low is situated across the N half of
the Bahamas and adjacent waters between 70W and 80W. This feature
continues to enhance the shower activity between 69W and 75W. The
rest of the SW North Atlantic, west of 50W, is under the
influence of a broad subtropical ridge centered east of Bermuda.
Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are noted south
of 24N and west of 50W.
A stationary front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N25W and
continues southwestward to 24N50W to 27N63W. A few light showers
are evident ahead of this front. The rest of the central and
eastern Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge
anchored by the eastern extension of the 1025 mb high pressure
east of Bermuda. A moderate pressure gradient between the
aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in western Africa results
in moderate to fresh northerly winds from 10N to 25N and east of
30W. Seas there are 4 to 8 ft in NW swell. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the large middle to upper-level low
ENE of the Bahamas will continue to produce scattered to numerous
showers and thunderstorms from east of the Bahamas to near 71W,
and southward to the vicinity of the Turks and Caicos through
early Fri. Some of this activity may contain strong gusty winds
and heavy rain reducing visibility. The low is forecast to lift N
of the area by early on Fri evening. Southeast winds will pulse
fresh to strong speeds north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and
evenings going into early next week. Otherwise, high pressure
centered just north of the area will maintain rather quite marine
conditions through the period.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 23 May 2026 11:13:34 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 21 May 2026 23:15:34 GMT - Thu, 21 May 2026 23:13:34 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 212313
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu May 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf