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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 21:58:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 062158
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous
moderate convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 20W and 25W.
A second tropical wave is along 39W S of 20N, and moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
between 34W and 40W.
A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 11N35W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
limited convective activity is noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.
For the forecast, the surface ridging will dominate across most
of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to
SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf, locally strong tonight.
Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
through Tue night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
to the coast of Cuba.
For the forecast, the ridge north of the region will shift
southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale- force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
central Bahamas southward toward eastern Cuba. Farther north, 1027
mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Recent scatterometer
satellite passes confirmed fresh to strong E winds on the northern
end of the trough from 25N to 28N between 70W and 75W. A
concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed rough seas to 10 ft in
this area as well. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-7 ft
seas prevail elsewhere west of of 65W. Farther east, fresh to
strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted across the Canary
Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to moderate easterly flow
and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will induce
additional shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting west of the
area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the
surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong winds and rough
seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight. Fresh E winds
will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 21:58:41 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 062158
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2130 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Mon night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 19W south 20N. Scattered to numerous
moderate convection is noted from 09N to 13N between 20W and 25W.
A second tropical wave is along 39W S of 20N, and moving west at
15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 08N to 11N
between 34W and 40W.
A third tropical wave is along 52W S of 20N, moving west at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this wave at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near Dakar and continues southwestward to near 11N35W. The ITCZ
extends from 10N40W to the coast of Venezuela near 09.5N61W.
Aside from the convection associated with the tropical waves,
limited convective activity is noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak ridging extends from the western Atlantic to the west-central
Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the Gulf. Seas are 2-4 ft over the southwest Gulf and 1-3
ft elsewhere. Numerous showers and thunderstorms are moving off
the Florida coast north of Tampa Bay into the far northeast Gulf.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active elsewhere north of
the Yucatan Channel, and off the coast of Veracruz.
For the forecast, the surface ridging will dominate across most
of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting gentle to moderate E to
SE winds north of 24N along with slight seas. Pulses of fresh
winds will occur north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into
the Bay of Campeche each night as a surface trough migrates from
the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf, locally strong tonight.
Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the basin
through Tue night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1027 mb high located near Bermuda
and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to strong trades
over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades
are elsewhere over the E Caribbean, the Gulf of Honduras and in
the lee side of Cuba. Seas are generally moderate. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are active from Jamaica to Grand Cayman
to the coast of Cuba.
For the forecast, the ridge north of the region will shift
southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale- force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed. Fresh winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage through
the forecast period, except over the weekend when winds may pulse
to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly moderate to fresh easterlies
will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off the central
Bahamas, and along a surface trough reaching from north of the
central Bahamas southward toward eastern Cuba. Farther north, 1027
mb high pressure is centered near Bermuda. Recent scatterometer
satellite passes confirmed fresh to strong E winds on the northern
end of the trough from 25N to 28N between 70W and 75W. A
concurrent altimeter satellite pass showed rough seas to 10 ft in
this area as well. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and 5-7 ft
seas prevail elsewhere west of of 65W. Farther east, fresh to
strong NE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted across the Canary
Islands and off Western Sahara. Gentle to moderate easterly flow
and 4-6 ft seas are noted over the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will induce
additional shower and thunderstorm activity across the Florida
seaboard and offshores Fri morning before shifting west of the
area Fri night into early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the
surface trough will bring fresh to locally strong winds and rough
seas across the Bahamas offshores through tonight. Fresh E winds
will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 11:09:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 07 Aug 2026 03:54:22 GMT - Thu, 06 Aug 2026 23:09:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 062309
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Aug 6 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 06 Aug 2026 14:15:28 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
369
NOUS42 KNHC 061415
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1015 AM EDT THU 06 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-067
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf