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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 19 Jul 2026 05:25:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    272
    AXNT20 KNHC 190525
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Jul 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0505 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The subtropical ridge north of the
    Caribbean will support strong to near-gale force easterly trade
    winds across the much of the central Caribbean into early Mon,
    before becoming confined to south of 15N. Winds will pulse to
    gale force over the waters north of Colombia tonight. Rough to
    very rough seas, peaking around 14 ft, will develop during the
    times of peak winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    NE Gulf of America (Invest AL91): Recent satellite-wind data and
    nearby surface observations indicate that an area of low pressure
    located over the northeastern Gulf of America is slowly becoming
    better defined. However, its associated shower and thunderstorm
    activity remains disorganized. This activity may produce gusty
    winds, frequent lightning and rough seas. Mariners should exercise
    caution across this area. Regardless, gradual development of this
    system is forecast, and a tropical depression could form over the
    next couple of days as the system moves slowly northward or
    northwestward. Interests along the northern Gulf coast from
    Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, to Louisiana should monitor the
    progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to
    portions of that region during the next several days. An Air Force
    Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
    system later today, if necessary. This system has a medium chance
    for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.

    Please refer to the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A well-defined tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been
    repositioned along 32W, south of 19N, based on recent satellite
    and scatterometer data. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt.
    No significant convection is observed near this wave due to dry
    Saharan air.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are present from 07N to
    13N and between 55W and 63W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward through the
    Cabo Verde Islands to 15N30W and then to 07N44W. The ITCZ extends
    from 07N44W to 07N58W. A few showers are evident within 120 nm on
    both sides of the monsoon trough and ITCZ west of 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details a broad
    low pressure over the eastern Gulf that has a medium chance of
    tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.

    Elsewhere, dry air dominates the remainder of the basin
    suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms. A 1019
    mb high pressure over the NW Gulf waters supports moderate to
    fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft in the eastern Bay of Campeche,
    while light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, broad low pressure has formed offshore of Tampa
    Bay, Florida near 84.5W, and will drift northward over the next
    few days, bringing thunderstorms and heavy rainfall to the NE Gulf
    and adjacent portions of Florida. Gradual development of this
    system is possible and a tropical depression could form over the
    next few days before the system moves inland across the Florida
    Panhandle. Regardless of development, mariners should prepare for
    thunderstorms producing locally gusty winds and higher seas. Away
    from this system, weak high pressure will dominate, producing
    gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas through the
    period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
    near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
    section for more details.

    The 1027 mb subtropical ridge centered near 29N58W in the central
    Atlantic forces strong to gale easterly trade winds across the
    central Caribbean, with the strongest winds occurring off
    Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are found in these waters.
    Moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are present in the
    eastern Caribbean and Windward Passage. Elsewhere, light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms that developed over Panama and
    Costa Rica are also affecting the nearshore waters. Generally dry
    weather conditions are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
    high pressure ridge oriented along 28N, and the Colombian low
    will support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
    Colombia tonight. Otherwise, strong to near- gale force trade
    winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the central
    Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to south of 15N. East
    winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each evening this
    weekend in the Windward Passage.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A couple of weak surface troughs and an upper level low in the
    north- central tropical Atlantic combine to generate isolated
    showers north of 20N and between 36W and 52W. Meanwhile, a broad
    subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic forces fresh
    to locally strong easterly trade winds off northern Hispaniola as
    shown in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Elsewhere in the
    central and western Atlantic, moderate to fresh easterly winds
    and seas of 4-8 ft are occurring south of 25N and west of 45W.
    The highest seas are occurring east of the Windward Islands.

    In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to locally strong N-NE winds
    and seas of 4-8 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and
    east of 22W. In the rest of the basin, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic subtropical
    ridge extends along 28N tonight and will weaken and drift
    northward through early next week as a broad surface trough forms
    E of 50W. This trough will shift westward and reach 65W by Wed.
    Moderate to fresh trades will prevail S of 24N through Tue, with
    gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds are expected during
    the evenings through Tue N of Hispaniola and in the Windward
    Passage. Expect increasing winds and seas N of 22N and E of 70W
    Tue through Wed as the trough approaches.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 19 Jul 2026 05:25:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    272
    AXNT20 KNHC 190525
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sun Jul 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0505 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: The subtropical ridge north of the
    Caribbean will support strong to near-gale force easterly trade
    winds across the much of the central Caribbean into early Mon,
    before becoming confined to south of 15N. Winds will pulse to
    gale force over the waters north of Colombia tonight. Rough to
    very rough seas, peaking around 14 ft, will develop during the
    times of peak winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    NE Gulf of America (Invest AL91): Recent satellite-wind data and
    nearby surface observations indicate that an area of low pressure
    located over the northeastern Gulf of America is slowly becoming
    better defined. However, its associated shower and thunderstorm
    activity remains disorganized. This activity may produce gusty
    winds, frequent lightning and rough seas. Mariners should exercise
    caution across this area. Regardless, gradual development of this
    system is forecast, and a tropical depression could form over the
    next couple of days as the system moves slowly northward or
    northwestward. Interests along the northern Gulf coast from
    Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, to Louisiana should monitor the
    progress of this system as it is expected to bring heavy rain to
    portions of that region during the next several days. An Air Force
    Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the
    system later today, if necessary. This system has a medium chance
    for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.

    Please refer to the latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more
    information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A well-defined tropical wave in the eastern Atlantic has been
    repositioned along 32W, south of 19N, based on recent satellite
    and scatterometer data. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt.
    No significant convection is observed near this wave due to dry
    Saharan air.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are present from 07N to
    13N and between 55W and 63W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward through the
    Cabo Verde Islands to 15N30W and then to 07N44W. The ITCZ extends
    from 07N44W to 07N58W. A few showers are evident within 120 nm on
    both sides of the monsoon trough and ITCZ west of 40W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details a broad
    low pressure over the eastern Gulf that has a medium chance of
    tropical cyclone formation during the next 48 hours.

    Elsewhere, dry air dominates the remainder of the basin
    suppressing the development of showers and thunderstorms. A 1019
    mb high pressure over the NW Gulf waters supports moderate to
    fresh NE winds and seas of 2-4 ft in the eastern Bay of Campeche,
    while light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, broad low pressure has formed offshore of Tampa
    Bay, Florida near 84.5W, and will drift northward over the next
    few days, bringing thunderstorms and heavy rainfall to the NE Gulf
    and adjacent portions of Florida. Gradual development of this
    system is possible and a tropical depression could form over the
    next few days before the system moves inland across the Florida
    Panhandle. Regardless of development, mariners should prepare for
    thunderstorms producing locally gusty winds and higher seas. Away
    from this system, weak high pressure will dominate, producing
    gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas through the
    period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
    near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
    section for more details.

    The 1027 mb subtropical ridge centered near 29N58W in the central
    Atlantic forces strong to gale easterly trade winds across the
    central Caribbean, with the strongest winds occurring off
    Colombia. Rough to very rough seas are found in these waters.
    Moderate to fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are present in the
    eastern Caribbean and Windward Passage. Elsewhere, light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. A few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms that developed over Panama and
    Costa Rica are also affecting the nearshore waters. Generally dry
    weather conditions are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the western Atlantic
    high pressure ridge oriented along 28N, and the Colombian low
    will support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
    Colombia tonight. Otherwise, strong to near- gale force trade
    winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the central
    Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to south of 15N. East
    winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each evening this
    weekend in the Windward Passage.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A couple of weak surface troughs and an upper level low in the
    north- central tropical Atlantic combine to generate isolated
    showers north of 20N and between 36W and 52W. Meanwhile, a broad
    subtropical ridge centered over the central Atlantic forces fresh
    to locally strong easterly trade winds off northern Hispaniola as
    shown in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Elsewhere in the
    central and western Atlantic, moderate to fresh easterly winds
    and seas of 4-8 ft are occurring south of 25N and west of 45W.
    The highest seas are occurring east of the Windward Islands.

    In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to locally strong N-NE winds
    and seas of 4-8 ft are present north of the monsoon trough and
    east of 22W. In the rest of the basin, moderate or weaker winds
    and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic subtropical
    ridge extends along 28N tonight and will weaken and drift
    northward through early next week as a broad surface trough forms
    E of 50W. This trough will shift westward and reach 65W by Wed.
    Moderate to fresh trades will prevail S of 24N through Tue, with
    gentle winds to the N. Pulsing strong winds are expected during
    the evenings through Tue N of Hispaniola and in the Windward
    Passage. Expect increasing winds and seas N of 22N and E of 70W
    Tue through Wed as the trough approaches.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 20 Jul 2026 17:16:52 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 19 Jul 2026 07:50:13 GMT
  • Sun, 19 Jul 2026 05:16:52 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 190516
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sun Jul 19 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91):
    Recent satellite-wind data and nearby surface observations indicate
    that an area of low pressure located over the northeastern Gulf of
    America is slowly becoming better defined. However, its associated
    shower and thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. Regardless,
    gradual development of this system is forecast, and a tropical
    depression could form over the next couple of days as the system
    moves slowly northward or northwestward. Interests along the
    northern Gulf coast from Florida, Alabama, Mississippi, to Louisiana
    should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to
    bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several
    days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
    investigate the system later today, if necessary.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 18 Jul 2026 16:24:46 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 181624
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1225 PM EDT SAT 18 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-048 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. SUSPECT AREA (NORTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA - AL91)
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
    A. 19/1800Z A. 20/0600Z
    B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 02AAA SURVEY
    C. 19/1700Z C. 20/0500Z
    D. 28.5N 85.0W D. 29.1N 85.1W
    E. 19/1730Z TO 19/2230Z E. 20/0530Z TO 20/0900Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST G. SYSTEM SURVEY
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 73
    A. 20/1130Z,1730Z
    B. AFXXX 0302A CYCLONE
    C. 20/1030Z
    D. 29.3N 85.2W
    E. 20/1100Z TO 20/1730Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON AL91 IF
    SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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