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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 22:55:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 202255
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W-34W, south of 22N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
    strong convection is present from 08N to 13N and between 27W and
    32W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed from 08N to 13.5N and between 40W and 49W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection
    are noted from 10N to 13N between 63W and 68W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
    over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16.5W and continues southwestward to 11.5N26W
    and to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N48W to 11N61W.
    Outside of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered
    moderate convection is occurring from 04N to 16N and east of 25W.
    Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted elsewhere
    from 07.5N to 13.5N between 27W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
    NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered clusters of moderate to
    strong convection across the Florida Panhandle to extreme
    southern Mississippi and the nearshore waters, as well as across
    interior and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula. Scattered
    showers and a few thunderstorms dots the waters offshore of SE
    Louisiana. At the surface, 1019 mb high pressure centered near
    25N88W dominates the basin with light to gentle anticyclonic
    winds, strongest offshore of the Florida Panhandle and the SW
    Gulf. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
    central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
    This weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
    basin. A surface trough over the Yucatan will generate fresh to
    locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
    the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
    peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on limited
    convection across the basin.

    The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered SW of
    Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
    fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 65W
    and 78W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
    over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 8 ft in the
    south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
    most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
    fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-
    central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the north-
    central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into early
    next week, and may increase in coverage over the tropical
    Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
    wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
    tropics.

    A stationary frontal trough enters the tropical Atlantic near
    31N50W and continues southwestward to 27N68W. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted N of 26N between 46W and 57W,
    while scattered showers are within 60 nm of the trough between
    57W and 68W. The rest of the basin remains under the influence of
    subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
    except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 11N and
    21N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE
    wind prevail across the northeastern waters from the Canary
    Islands southward to 19N and E of 26W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
    thunderstorms will persist this evening between the northern
    Bahamas and Bermuda, and along a trough extending from 29N55W to
    27N70W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support mostly
    light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of 23N going
    into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades
    are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
    Hispaniola through the period.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 22:55:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 202255
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Aug 21 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 33W-34W, south of 22N,
    moving westward at around 20 kt. Scattered moderated isolated
    strong convection is present from 08N to 13N and between 27W and
    32W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 45W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    observed from 08N to 13.5N and between 40W and 49W.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is along 69W, south of 19N, moving
    westward at 15 to 20 kt. Isolated clusters of moderate convection
    are noted from 10N to 13N between 63W and 68W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 83W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at around 15 kt. Associated convection is limited
    over Central America, while area Caribbean waters are rain free.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16.5W and continues southwestward to 11.5N26W
    and to 10.5N48W. The ITCZ extends from 10.5N48W to 11N61W.
    Outside of convection associated with tropical wave, scattered
    moderate convection is occurring from 04N to 16N and east of 25W.
    Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted elsewhere
    from 07.5N to 13.5N between 27W and 51W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A deep layered upper level low over N Florida extends into the far
    NW Caribbean and is supporting scattered clusters of moderate to
    strong convection across the Florida Panhandle to extreme
    southern Mississippi and the nearshore waters, as well as across
    interior and eastern portions of the Florida Peninsula. Scattered
    showers and a few thunderstorms dots the waters offshore of SE
    Louisiana. At the surface, 1019 mb high pressure centered near
    25N88W dominates the basin with light to gentle anticyclonic
    winds, strongest offshore of the Florida Panhandle and the SW
    Gulf. Seas are generally 3 ft or less.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure centered over the
    central Gulf will prevail over the basin through early next week.
    This weak pressure pattern will support mostly gentle to moderate
    winds and slight to locally moderate seas across much of the
    basin. A surface trough over the Yucatan will generate fresh to
    locally strong winds north and west of the Yucatan Peninsula in
    the early evenings. These winds will spread westward away from the
    peninsula at night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    See Tropical Waves section above for information on limited
    convection across the basin.

    The pressure gradient between weak high pressure centered SW of
    Bermuda and low pressure over northern Colombia is supporting
    fresh to strong trades over the south- central basin between 65W
    and 78W, with moderate to fresh trades elsewhere, except gentle
    over the NW basin. Seas are moderate, except 7 to 8 ft in the
    south-central portion, and slight in the NW. Saharan Air across
    most of the basin is aiding in limiting convection.

    For the forecast, high pressure north of the Caribbean will force
    fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas across the south-
    central Caribbean through much of the forecast period. Moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail over the north-
    central and eastern Caribbean through the weekend and into early
    next week, and may increase in coverage over the tropical
    Atlantic and eastern Caribbean starting Sun night as a tropical
    wave moves across those waters. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight to moderate seas are expected.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Tropical Waves section for information on convection in deep
    tropics.

    A stationary frontal trough enters the tropical Atlantic near
    31N50W and continues southwestward to 27N68W. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted N of 26N between 46W and 57W,
    while scattered showers are within 60 nm of the trough between
    57W and 68W. The rest of the basin remains under the influence of
    subtropical ridging, supporting moderate or weaker winds and seas,
    except for a belt of moderate to fresh trades between 11N and
    21N, where seas are 5 to 7 ft. Fresh to locally strong N to NE
    wind prevail across the northeastern waters from the Canary
    Islands southward to 19N and E of 26W. Seas there are 5 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, scattered showers and a few
    thunderstorms will persist this evening between the northern
    Bahamas and Bermuda, and along a trough extending from 29N55W to
    27N70W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure gradient will support mostly
    light to gentle winds over most of the waters north of 23N going
    into early next week. Meanwhile, moderate to locally fresh trades
    are expected south of about 23N, especially off northern
    Hispaniola through the period.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 22 Aug 2026 11:34:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:34:51 GMT
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 23:34:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 202334
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Thu Aug 20 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Northeastern Atlantic:
    A non-tropical area of low pressure is expected to develop along a
    front over the northeastern Atlantic by early Friday. This system
    could separate from its fronts and acquire some subtropical or
    tropical characteristics later Friday or Saturday while it moves
    generally eastward or east-southeastward toward Portugal and
    northwestern Spain. For more information, see High Seas Forecasts
    issued by Meteo France.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    &&
    High Seas Forecasts issued by Meteo France can be found under WMO
    header FQNT50 LFPW and on the web at
    https://tgftp.nws.noaa.gov/data/raw/fq/fqnt50.lfpw..txt

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 20 Aug 2026 16:05:13 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    447
    NOUS42 KNHC 201605
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1205 PM EDT THU 20 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-081

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
    A. 21/1730Z,2330Z A. 22/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 0102C CYCLONE B. NOAA2 0202C CYCLONE
    C. 21/1430Z C. 21/2000Z
    D. 13.6N 146.8W D. 14.0N 147.5W
    E. 21/1700Z TO 21/2330Z E. 21/2200Z TO 22/0230Z
    F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
    G. FIX G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 78
    A. 22/0530Z,1130Z
    B. AFXXX 0302C CYCLONE
    C. 22/0230Z
    D. 14.5N 148.4W
    E. 22/0500Z TO 22/1130Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
    A. CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES IF SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.
    B. NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO TD 2-C FOR
    23/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 22/2000Z.

    3. REMARK: DURING THE NOAA 42 MISSION TASKED FOR THE 22/0000Z
    SYNOPTIC TIME, FOUR SMALL UAS ARE PLANNED FOR RELEASE WITHIN
    THE WRA. THEY WILL OPERATE AT OR BELOW 5,000 FT FOR ABOUT
    1 TO 2 HOURS.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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