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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 04:10:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
559
AXNT20 KNHC 170409
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0405 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has been introduced in the eastern Atlantic
along 17W, south of 20N, based on satellite data and tropical
wave guidance. The wave is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 07N to 18N and east
of 22W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 37W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near
this wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 14N between 51W and 61W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 kt. The wave is enhancing convection over Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N40W to 11N54W and then from 11N56W to 10N62W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate to
fresh NE-E winds and seas of 2-4 ft south of 25N and east of 95W.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. A few
showers are seen in the eastern Bay of Campeche and western Gulf
waters, while dry conditions are prevalent elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to occasionally
strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening.
These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night
as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Favorable upper level conditions and tropical moisture combine to
produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the SW
Caribbean and off central Cuba. Meanwhile, a tight pressure
gradient supports fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds in
the central Caribbean and Windward Passage. This was confirmed by
a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in these waters are
7-10 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted in the eastern Caribbean and in the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. Fresh to strong winds over the
central basin will resume Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical wave in the
central Caribbean will move across the western Caribbean through
Tue before moving W of the region.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1012 mb low pressure system near
33N56W to 29N63W and to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present north of 25N and between 51W and 72W.
Moderate to locally strong SW-W winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found
north of 26N and between 50W and 65W. The remainder of the SW
North Atlantic is dominated by a ridge that supports moderate to
locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas south of 24N
and west of 60W.
The central and eastern tropical Atlantic is under the influence
of a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near the Azores.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Similar winds and seas
are present south of the monsoon trough and ITCZ and west of 31W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front extending from 31N56W
to 30N70W will continue to move across the northern forecast
waters on Mon then stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Fresh to
strong SW to W winds are ahead of the front along with scattered
showers and tstms.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 Aug 2026 04:10:03 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
559
AXNT20 KNHC 170409
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0405 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A new tropical wave has been introduced in the eastern Atlantic
along 17W, south of 20N, based on satellite data and tropical
wave guidance. The wave is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is observed from 07N to 18N and east
of 22W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 37W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near
this wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
noted from 10N to 14N between 51W and 61W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 75W, south of 19N, moving
westward at 15 kt. The wave is enhancing convection over Colombia.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal
near 15N17W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The ITCZ extends
from 11N40W to 11N54W and then from 11N56W to 10N62W. No significant
convection is evident aside from the convection discussed in the
Tropical Waves section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure dominates the Gulf waters, supporting moderate to
fresh NE-E winds and seas of 2-4 ft south of 25N and east of 95W.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail. A few
showers are seen in the eastern Bay of Campeche and western Gulf
waters, while dry conditions are prevalent elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support mostly
gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A diurnally
induced surface trough will generate fresh to occasionally
strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each evening.
These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at night
as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas
are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Favorable upper level conditions and tropical moisture combine to
produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms in the SW
Caribbean and off central Cuba. Meanwhile, a tight pressure
gradient supports fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds in
the central Caribbean and Windward Passage. This was confirmed by
a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in these waters are
7-10 ft. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted in the eastern Caribbean and in the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. Fresh to strong winds over the
central basin will resume Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure redevelops E of the Bahamas. A tropical wave in the
central Caribbean will move across the western Caribbean through
Tue before moving W of the region.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1012 mb low pressure system near
33N56W to 29N63W and to 31N71W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present north of 25N and between 51W and 72W.
Moderate to locally strong SW-W winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found
north of 26N and between 50W and 65W. The remainder of the SW
North Atlantic is dominated by a ridge that supports moderate to
locally strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas south of 24N
and west of 60W.
The central and eastern tropical Atlantic is under the influence
of a 1026 mb high pressure system centered near the Azores.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
noted north of the monsoon trough and ITCZ. Similar winds and seas
are present south of the monsoon trough and ITCZ and west of 31W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front extending from 31N56W
to 30N70W will continue to move across the northern forecast
waters on Mon then stall and weaken into a trough by Tue. Fresh to
strong SW to W winds are ahead of the front along with scattered
showers and tstms.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 17:07:02 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 17 Aug 2026 09:10:13 GMT - Mon, 17 Aug 2026 05:07:02 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
667
ABNT20 KNHC 170506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Aug 17 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 13:24:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 161324
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 16 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-077
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf