2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 23 Apr 2026 04:29:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    389
    AXNT20 KNHC 230429
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Apr 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W, then curves southwestward to 00N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 00N35W to 01N38W to 01N51W. Numerous moderate
    to scattered strong convection is observed south of the monsoon
    trough and east of 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Low-level convergence from western Cuba to SE Texas results in
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially over the
    central Gulf waters. Dry conditions are noted elsewhere. Moderate
    to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring east of
    90W and south of 26N, eastern Bay of Campeche and in the north-
    central Gulf waters. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate
    seas will persist in the SE Gulf through Thu night. High pressure
    will build across the Gulf region, with a relatively weak
    pressure gradient across the area. This will result in gentle to
    moderate SE winds and moderate seas basin-wide through late week.
    The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
    trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front is draped across Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and
    the Cayman Islands, supporting a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms. The pressure gradient between this weakening front
    and higher pressures to the north support fresh to strong NE winds
    in the lee of Cuba and Windward Passage, as shown by a recent
    scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in these waters are 4-7 ft.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 3-6 ft
    are found in the south-central and NW Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE winds are expected
    across the Windward Passage and south of Cuba through tonight.
    High pressure located N of the basin will weaken over the next
    couple of days and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean Sea into the weekend. This will result in
    mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across
    the entire basin Fri through Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from a storm-force low pressure in the North
    Atlantic to 31N51W and then to 23N57W, where it becomes a
    stationary front to northern Hispaniola. Scattered showers are
    noted near and ahead of this boundary. Moderate to locally strong
    N-NE winds and rough seas are occurring within behind this front.
    Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are found under the ridge
    between Florida and Bermuda.

    In the NE Atlantic, a broad low pressure is producing large
    northerly swell, supporting rough seas north of 27N and between
    17W and 37W, along with moderate to locally fresh westerly winds.
    Moderate to locally fresh northerly winds and seas pf 5-8 ft are
    present south of 23N and east of 23W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
    gradient prevails sustaining moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extends from near
    31N51W to 23N58W, then stationary to eastern Cuba. Fresh to
    locally strong N to NE winds and rough seas will follow the front
    as it moves eastward through tonight. Conditions will gradually
    improve late this week as the front weakens and eventually stalls
    over the SE waters. High pressure in the wake of the front will
    weaken over the next couple of days, bringing a gentle to moderate
    anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas through the
    weekend. The exception will be over the NE waters where fresh
    westerly winds and rough seas are expected beginning on Fri as
    another cold front reaches the area by Sat.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 23 Apr 2026 04:29:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    389
    AXNT20 KNHC 230429
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Thu Apr 23 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W, then curves southwestward to 00N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 00N35W to 01N38W to 01N51W. Numerous moderate
    to scattered strong convection is observed south of the monsoon
    trough and east of 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Low-level convergence from western Cuba to SE Texas results in
    scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms, especially over the
    central Gulf waters. Dry conditions are noted elsewhere. Moderate
    to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring east of
    90W and south of 26N, eastern Bay of Campeche and in the north-
    central Gulf waters. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE winds and moderate
    seas will persist in the SE Gulf through Thu night. High pressure
    will build across the Gulf region, with a relatively weak
    pressure gradient across the area. This will result in gentle to
    moderate SE winds and moderate seas basin-wide through late week.
    The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
    trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A stationary front is draped across Hispaniola, eastern Cuba and
    the Cayman Islands, supporting a few showers and isolated
    thunderstorms. The pressure gradient between this weakening front
    and higher pressures to the north support fresh to strong NE winds
    in the lee of Cuba and Windward Passage, as shown by a recent
    scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in these waters are 4-7 ft.
    Moderate to locally fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 3-6 ft
    are found in the south-central and NW Caribbean. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, fresh to locally strong NE winds are expected
    across the Windward Passage and south of Cuba through tonight.
    High pressure located N of the basin will weaken over the next
    couple of days and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    across the Caribbean Sea into the weekend. This will result in
    mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas across
    the entire basin Fri through Sun.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from a storm-force low pressure in the North
    Atlantic to 31N51W and then to 23N57W, where it becomes a
    stationary front to northern Hispaniola. Scattered showers are
    noted near and ahead of this boundary. Moderate to locally strong
    N-NE winds and rough seas are occurring within behind this front.
    Light to gentle winds and moderate seas are found under the ridge
    between Florida and Bermuda.

    In the NE Atlantic, a broad low pressure is producing large
    northerly swell, supporting rough seas north of 27N and between
    17W and 37W, along with moderate to locally fresh westerly winds.
    Moderate to locally fresh northerly winds and seas pf 5-8 ft are
    present south of 23N and east of 23W. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
    gradient prevails sustaining moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extends from near
    31N51W to 23N58W, then stationary to eastern Cuba. Fresh to
    locally strong N to NE winds and rough seas will follow the front
    as it moves eastward through tonight. Conditions will gradually
    improve late this week as the front weakens and eventually stalls
    over the SE waters. High pressure in the wake of the front will
    weaken over the next couple of days, bringing a gentle to moderate
    anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas through the
    weekend. The exception will be over the NE waters where fresh
    westerly winds and rough seas are expected beginning on Fri as
    another cold front reaches the area by Sat.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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