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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 28 May 2026 10:54:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
118
AXNT20 KNHC 281054
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu May 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 40W from 14N southward,
and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is seen from 05N to 08N between 38W and 43W.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is near 52W from 11N to
southward, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 01N to 08N between 50W and 61W,
including French Guiana and Suriname.
A southwestern Caribbean tropical wave is near 78W from 14N
southward across eastern Panama into the Pacific Ocean. It is
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection associated with this
wave is mentioned in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Senegal coast
near Dakar, then curves southwestward to 03N24W. An ITCZ
continues westward from 03N24W to 01N37W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted south of the monsoon trough from 03N to 10N
east of 17W. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted north
of the ITCZ from 02N to 06N between 25W and 37W.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A pronounced upper-level trough across the western Gulf is
combining with abundant tropical moisture to produce scattered
heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with locally gusty winds
and rough seas at the southwestern and central Gulf. Otherwise,
weak ridging across the northeastern Gulf and northern Florida is
supporting gentle to moderate SE to S winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft
for the entire Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will sustain moderate to locally
fresh SE to S winds through Fri, then diminish to between gentle
and moderate over the weekend. The exception will be evening
pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan through this
weekend. Scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms will
persist at the southwestern and central Gulf until this evening,
then the eastern Gulf tonight and Fri. Frequent lightning with
gusty winds and locally rough seas are expected in strong
thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the
latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The southeastern end of an upper-level trough near the Yucatan
Peninsula is enhancing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms off the coast of Nicaragua and in the Gulf of
Honduras. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional
convection in the Caribbean Sea. Strong to near-gale E winds and
seas of 9 to 11 ft are noted at the south-central basin, while
fresh to strong E winds with 6 to 8 ft seas are evident at the
north-central and part of the southwestern basin. Gentle to
moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft dominate the lee of
Cuba and waters near Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh E to
SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean
Sea.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between a 1020 mb
high in the western Atlantic and a 1006 mb Colombian low will
continue to support fresh to strong trades and rough seas across
the central Caribbean through this evening before gradually
diminishing in areal coverage late tonight through Fri. Winds are
expected to pulse to near-gale force off northwestern Colombia
this morning and then this evening. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras
and just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to locally strong
early this morning, and then tonight. The aforementioned high is
going to weaken and open up into a ridge near 24N by Fri. This
will yield moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas
across most of the basin through the weekend, except the south-
central basin, where fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
remain.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An Atlantic Ridge stretching west-southwestward from 1024 mb high
near Madeira across 30N30W to a 1020 mb high north of Leeward
Islands near 25N63W is promoting gentle with locally moderate
winds and 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate swells north of 22N
between 35W and the central Bahamas/Florida coast. For the
tropical Atlantic from 06N to 22N between 35W and the southeast
Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds
and seas at 6 to 8 ft are seen. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
and 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate swells prevail elsewhere
in the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned Atlantic Ridge
will support gentle to moderate winds with moderate seas south of
28N into nearly next week. For the waters north of 28N and east of
70W, two cold fronts migrating eastward across the north Atlantic
is going to bring fresh to strong winds along with rough seas
tonight through Fri evening, then again from Sat night through Sun
night.
$$
Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 28 May 2026 10:54:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
118
AXNT20 KNHC 281054
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu May 28 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is near 40W from 14N southward,
and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is seen from 05N to 08N between 38W and 43W.
Another central Atlantic tropical wave is near 52W from 11N to
southward, and moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is present from 01N to 08N between 50W and 61W,
including French Guiana and Suriname.
A southwestern Caribbean tropical wave is near 78W from 14N
southward across eastern Panama into the Pacific Ocean. It is
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Convection associated with this
wave is mentioned in the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Senegal coast
near Dakar, then curves southwestward to 03N24W. An ITCZ
continues westward from 03N24W to 01N37W. Scattered moderate
convection is noted south of the monsoon trough from 03N to 10N
east of 17W. Widely scattered moderate convection is noted north
of the ITCZ from 02N to 06N between 25W and 37W.
The eastern end of the East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering
numerous heavy showers and isolated strong thunderstorms across
the Caribbean waters near Costa Rica and Panama.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A pronounced upper-level trough across the western Gulf is
combining with abundant tropical moisture to produce scattered
heavy showers and strong thunderstorms with locally gusty winds
and rough seas at the southwestern and central Gulf. Otherwise,
weak ridging across the northeastern Gulf and northern Florida is
supporting gentle to moderate SE to S winds and seas of 3 to 6 ft
for the entire Gulf.
For the forecast, the ridge will sustain moderate to locally
fresh SE to S winds through Fri, then diminish to between gentle
and moderate over the weekend. The exception will be evening
pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan through this
weekend. Scattered heavy showers and strong thunderstorms will
persist at the southwestern and central Gulf until this evening,
then the eastern Gulf tonight and Fri. Frequent lightning with
gusty winds and locally rough seas are expected in strong
thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the
latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The southeastern end of an upper-level trough near the Yucatan
Peninsula is enhancing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms off the coast of Nicaragua and in the Gulf of
Honduras. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ section for additional
convection in the Caribbean Sea. Strong to near-gale E winds and
seas of 9 to 11 ft are noted at the south-central basin, while
fresh to strong E winds with 6 to 8 ft seas are evident at the
north-central and part of the southwestern basin. Gentle to
moderate NE to SE winds and seas at 4 to 6 ft dominate the lee of
Cuba and waters near Costa Rica and Panama. Moderate to fresh E to
SE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas prevail for the rest of the Caribbean
Sea.
For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between a 1020 mb
high in the western Atlantic and a 1006 mb Colombian low will
continue to support fresh to strong trades and rough seas across
the central Caribbean through this evening before gradually
diminishing in areal coverage late tonight through Fri. Winds are
expected to pulse to near-gale force off northwestern Colombia
this morning and then this evening. Trades in the Gulf of Honduras
and just north of Jamaica will reach fresh to locally strong
early this morning, and then tonight. The aforementioned high is
going to weaken and open up into a ridge near 24N by Fri. This
will yield moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas
across most of the basin through the weekend, except the south-
central basin, where fresh to strong winds and rough seas will
remain.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An Atlantic Ridge stretching west-southwestward from 1024 mb high
near Madeira across 30N30W to a 1020 mb high north of Leeward
Islands near 25N63W is promoting gentle with locally moderate
winds and 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate swells north of 22N
between 35W and the central Bahamas/Florida coast. For the
tropical Atlantic from 06N to 22N between 35W and the southeast
Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds
and seas at 6 to 8 ft are seen. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds
and 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate swells prevail elsewhere
in the Atlantic Basin west of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned Atlantic Ridge
will support gentle to moderate winds with moderate seas south of
28N into nearly next week. For the waters north of 28N and east of
70W, two cold fronts migrating eastward across the north Atlantic
is going to bring fresh to strong winds along with rough seas
tonight through Fri evening, then again from Sat night through Sun
night.
$$
Chan
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 29 May 2026 17:00:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 28 May 2026 11:10:12 GMT - Thu, 28 May 2026 05:00:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 280500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu May 28 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf