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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 10:08:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291008
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is analyzed in the far E Atlantic with axis near
    20W, extending from 04N to 19N, and moving westward around 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between
    18W and 22W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 40W,
    extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
    extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
    Anegada Passage, and is moving westward at around 10-15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis along 86W, south
    of 20N and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean, and is
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen S of 16N and W of 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
    Mauritania at 19N16W and continues to 08N45W. The ITCZ begins
    near 08N45W and continues to 07N57W. Other than the convection
    associated with the tropical waves as described above, scattered
    moderate convection is noted within 60 nm on either side of the
    ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is analyzed from north of Tampa Bay into the NE
    Gulf, with scattered showers near the trough axis. The remainder
    of the Gulf is under the influence of a weak 1013 mb high
    centered near 26N90W, which is supporting light to gentle
    anticyclonic winds from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
    Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
    all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
    mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
    Texas.

    For the forecast, surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue during the next couple of days over the NE Gulf
    due to the presence of a frontal boundary north of the area.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are also occurring
    nearshore western Jamaica.

    The pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
    America and the ridge is supporting fresh to strong trades over
    the central to SW Caribbean along with 6 to 8 ft seas. Winds are
    moderate to fresh across the eastern Caribbean and remainder of
    the SW Caribbean, where seas are moderate. Gentle to moderate or
    weaker winds prevail across the remainder of basin, with slight to
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade winds
    will increase from tonight into Thu as the pressure gradient
    between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By
    that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas
    across most of the eastern and central Caribbean, with the
    strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to
    strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through
    Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
    from 31N70W to 28N80W. Fresh SW winds are found north of 25N and
    east of the boundary to near 60W, along with 6-9 ft seas. Nearby
    scattered moderate convection is found east of the trough to near
    65W to the north of 27N. A 1024 mb high pressure near 30N47W and
    an associated ridge dominate the remainder of the subtropical
    Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of
    the monsoon trough and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with
    moderate to fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere southeast
    of the frontal trough. Fresh to strong winds are near Africa to
    the Canary Islands from 17N to 27N to the east of 20W. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
    waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a frontal boundary over the W Atlantic, will
    support fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    from tonight through Sat.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 10:08:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 291008
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Wed Jul 29 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is analyzed in the far E Atlantic with axis near
    20W, extending from 04N to 19N, and moving westward around 10 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 04N to 10N between
    18W and 22W.

    A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 40W,
    extending from 06N to 15N, and moving westward at around 15-20 kt.
    Scattered showers are noted near the wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the E Caribbean with axis near 65W,
    extending from 10N to 19N or from northern Venezuela to near the
    Anegada Passage, and is moving westward at around 10-15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at the moment in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the W Caribbean with axis along 86W, south
    of 20N and into the far eastern Tropical Pacific Ocean, and is
    moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    seen S of 16N and W of 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coast of
    Mauritania at 19N16W and continues to 08N45W. The ITCZ begins
    near 08N45W and continues to 07N57W. Other than the convection
    associated with the tropical waves as described above, scattered
    moderate convection is noted within 60 nm on either side of the
    ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is analyzed from north of Tampa Bay into the NE
    Gulf, with scattered showers near the trough axis. The remainder
    of the Gulf is under the influence of a weak 1013 mb high
    centered near 26N90W, which is supporting light to gentle
    anticyclonic winds from the Yucatan Channel to the high to near
    Galveston Bay, Texas. Moderate anticyclonic winds are closer to
    all coastal locations around the periphery of the high. Seas are
    mainly 1 to 3 ft, except locally higher near NE Mexico and SE
    Texas.

    For the forecast, surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue during the next couple of days over the NE Gulf
    due to the presence of a frontal boundary north of the area.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the TROPICAL WAVES section above for information
    on associated convection. Scattered thunderstorms are also occurring
    nearshore western Jamaica.

    The pressure gradient between relatively low pressure over South
    America and the ridge is supporting fresh to strong trades over
    the central to SW Caribbean along with 6 to 8 ft seas. Winds are
    moderate to fresh across the eastern Caribbean and remainder of
    the SW Caribbean, where seas are moderate. Gentle to moderate or
    weaker winds prevail across the remainder of basin, with slight to
    moderate seas.

    For the forecast, the aerial extent and strength of the trade winds
    will increase from tonight into Thu as the pressure gradient
    between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian Low increases. By
    that time, expect fresh to strong winds and moderate to rough seas
    across most of the eastern and central Caribbean, with the
    strongest winds and highest seas offshore Colombia. Fresh to
    strong winds are expected in the Gulf of Honduras nightly through
    Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A frontal trough reaches from north of the discussion waters
    from 31N70W to 28N80W. Fresh SW winds are found north of 25N and
    east of the boundary to near 60W, along with 6-9 ft seas. Nearby
    scattered moderate convection is found east of the trough to near
    65W to the north of 27N. A 1024 mb high pressure near 30N47W and
    an associated ridge dominate the remainder of the subtropical
    Atlantic waters. Moderate to fresh trades can be found north of
    the monsoon trough and ITCZ to about 22N around the high, with
    moderate to fresh return flow west of 55W and elsewhere southeast
    of the frontal trough. Fresh to strong winds are near Africa to
    the Canary Islands from 17N to 27N to the east of 20W. Moderate or
    weaker winds and moderate seas dominate the remainder of the
    waters.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Bermuda High will maintain a
    ridge farther south than usual, along 24N-25N, through Fri. This,
    in combination with a frontal boundary over the W Atlantic, will
    support fresh to strong SW winds with scattered showers and
    thunderstorms north of 27N and west of 65W for the next several
    days. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola
    from tonight through Sat.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 30 Jul 2026 23:16:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 29 Jul 2026 14:02:55 GMT
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 11:16:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    966
    ABNT20 KNHC 291116
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Wed Jul 29 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 12:46:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    731
    NOUS42 KNHC 291246
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT WED 29 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-059

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARK: ALL REMAINING TASKED REQUIREMENTS FOR TROPICAL
    DEPRESSION FAUSTO WERE CANCELED BY NHC AT 28/2030Z.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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