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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 27 Feb 2026 04:06:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270405
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Feb 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gale Warning East of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a GALE WARNING
for the Canarias Offshore Zone. The forecast calls for N to NE
winds to Force 8 on the Beaufort Wind Scale, with severe gusts
between the Canary Islands through at least 28/0000 UTC. Seas
currently range from 12 to 15 ft.
For more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by Meteo-France at website:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiches/2
Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell Event: Seas remain
8 to 11 ft in NW swell across all central and eastern Atlantic
waters east of 60W based on several altimeter passes. One of them,
shows seas of 10 to 14 ft N of 14N and E of 20W. Another swell
event with very rough seas will reach the Madeira and Canary
Islands early next week. Widespread fresh to strong trade winds,
with surges to near-gale force, will sustain 8 to 11 ft seas
elsewhere, as strong subtropical high pressure maintains a tight
pressure gradient across the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the east Atlantic near 07N12W to
04N18W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 04S39W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 04N and E of
29W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Surface ridging prevails across the basin, and provides for
moderate to fresh SE to S winds across the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft across the northern half of the Gulf, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh southerly return flow across
the west and central portions of the Gulf will gradually diminish
tonight ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter the NW
Gulf early Fri. This front is expected to sink slowly southward
across the north half of the Gulf Fri through Sat night and
gradually dissipate. High pressure N of the Gulf will build back
across the basin Sun into early next week.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low
supports fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean,
with the strongest winds offshore Colombia. Seas are 8 to 9 ft
with the strongest winds. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas dominate the eastern Caribbean while mainly moderate SE winds
with moderate seas are noted over the NW part of the basin. Seas
are locally higher, to 8 ft, within Atlantic Passage between the
Lesser Antilles and the Mona Passage, due to long period northerly
swell from the Atlantic.
For the forecast, the broad ridge over the central Atlantic will
continue to extend into the Caribbean Sea through the forecast
period, supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
moderate to rough seas across the central and eastern Caribbean.
Rough seas in mixed swell will prevail in the tropical N Atlantic
through early next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
winds will prevail.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A Gale Warning is in effect E of 35W, and a Significant Swell
Event continues to affect the waters over the central and
eastern Atlantic. Please, see the Special Features section above for
more information.
High pressure dominates the entire Atlantic forecast waters with
a 1035 mb center located W of the Azores. Under the influence of
this system, fresh to strong NE to E winds are noted across most
the waters E of 55W with moderate to fresh winds W of 55W. A
surface trough is analyzed from 30N64W to 24N66W. Seas of 8 to 12
ft in NW swell dominate the waters E of a line from 31N44W to
20N67W. Seas of 4 to 7 ft are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface ridge will continue to
dominate the forecast waters. Rough seas prevail over the SE
waters. Areal coverage of these rough seas will gradually decrease
through Thu night, with a smaller area of rough seas continuing
over portions of the SE waters through the end of the period. A
weak front will shift off the SE U.S. coast early Sat and move
slowly southeastward and weaken across the waters W of 65W through
Sun night before dissipating.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 27 Feb 2026 04:06:12 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 270405
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Fri Feb 27 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0400 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gale Warning East of 35W: Meteo-France has issued a GALE WARNING
for the Canarias Offshore Zone. The forecast calls for N to NE
winds to Force 8 on the Beaufort Wind Scale, with severe gusts
between the Canary Islands through at least 28/0000 UTC. Seas
currently range from 12 to 15 ft.
For more information, please see the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by Meteo-France at website:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiches/2
Central and Eastern Atlantic Significant Swell Event: Seas remain
8 to 11 ft in NW swell across all central and eastern Atlantic
waters east of 60W based on several altimeter passes. One of them,
shows seas of 10 to 14 ft N of 14N and E of 20W. Another swell
event with very rough seas will reach the Madeira and Canary
Islands early next week. Widespread fresh to strong trade winds,
with surges to near-gale force, will sustain 8 to 11 ft seas
elsewhere, as strong subtropical high pressure maintains a tight
pressure gradient across the tropical Atlantic Ocean.
Please read the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the
National Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the east Atlantic near 07N12W to
04N18W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 04S39W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is noted S of 04N and E of
29W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Surface ridging prevails across the basin, and provides for
moderate to fresh SE to S winds across the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft across the northern half of the Gulf, and 4 to 6 ft elsewhere.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh southerly return flow across
the west and central portions of the Gulf will gradually diminish
tonight ahead of the next cold front forecast to enter the NW
Gulf early Fri. This front is expected to sink slowly southward
across the north half of the Gulf Fri through Sat night and
gradually dissipate. High pressure N of the Gulf will build back
across the basin Sun into early next week.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure N of the area combined with the Colombian low
supports fresh to strong trade winds over the central Caribbean,
with the strongest winds offshore Colombia. Seas are 8 to 9 ft
with the strongest winds. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate
seas dominate the eastern Caribbean while mainly moderate SE winds
with moderate seas are noted over the NW part of the basin. Seas
are locally higher, to 8 ft, within Atlantic Passage between the
Lesser Antilles and the Mona Passage, due to long period northerly
swell from the Atlantic.
For the forecast, the broad ridge over the central Atlantic will
continue to extend into the Caribbean Sea through the forecast
period, supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
moderate to rough seas across the central and eastern Caribbean.
Rough seas in mixed swell will prevail in the tropical N Atlantic
through early next week. Elsewhere, mainly moderate to fresh
winds will prevail.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A Gale Warning is in effect E of 35W, and a Significant Swell
Event continues to affect the waters over the central and
eastern Atlantic. Please, see the Special Features section above for
more information.
High pressure dominates the entire Atlantic forecast waters with
a 1035 mb center located W of the Azores. Under the influence of
this system, fresh to strong NE to E winds are noted across most
the waters E of 55W with moderate to fresh winds W of 55W. A
surface trough is analyzed from 30N64W to 24N66W. Seas of 8 to 12
ft in NW swell dominate the waters E of a line from 31N44W to
20N67W. Seas of 4 to 7 ft are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, the surface ridge will continue to
dominate the forecast waters. Rough seas prevail over the SE
waters. Areal coverage of these rough seas will gradually decrease
through Thu night, with a smaller area of rough seas continuing
over portions of the SE waters through the end of the period. A
weak front will shift off the SE U.S. coast early Sat and move
slowly southeastward and weaken across the waters W of 65W through
Sun night before dissipating.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 27 Feb 2026 07:20:07 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 26 Feb 2026 16:55:44 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
138
NOUS42 KNHC 261655
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1155 AM EST THU 26 FEBRUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-088
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
01/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC
RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
02/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
