2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 22 Jan 2026 10:20:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 221020
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jan 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A strong ridge north of the Caribbean Sea
    is supporting gale-force NE winds that will prevail through this
    morning over the waters offshore Colombia. Winds will continue to
    pulse to near-gale in the same area through the end of the week.
    Rough seas are forecast with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 02N27W. The
    ITCZ extends from 02N27W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted S of 07N and E of 32W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic extends a ridge to the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    moderate seas east of 90W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail. Light showers are evident in the Florida
    Straits due to a dissipating stationary front.

    For the forecast, the next cold front is expected to enter the NW
    Gulf Sat followed by fresh to strong NW to N winds and building
    seas. Reinforcing high pressure in the wake of the front, may
    bring near-gale to gale conditions first near Tampico Sun night,
    then near Veracruz on Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section on a Gale Warning off the
    coast of Colombia.

    Outside of the south-central Caribbean, a surface trough, and
    associated area of moisture, has entered the eastern Caribbean
    enhancing convection. A strong subtropical ridge over the central
    Atlantic supports moderate to strong easterly winds and rough
    seas in the north-central and NE Caribbean, including the
    Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate
    seas are found in the SE Caribbean and lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are evident.

    For the forecast, gale force NE winds will prevail through early this
    morning over the waters offshore Colombia. Winds will continue to
    pulse to near-gale in the same area through the end of the week.
    The trough in the E Caribbean will continue moving W through the
    week, increasing the likelihood of scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the islands and surrounding waters.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed from 30N72W to 23N80W. A few showers
    are noted near this boundary. The tropical Atlantic is dominated
    by an extensive, strong ridge north of Bermuda, supporting fresh
    to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas south of 27N and
    east of 75W. The strongest winds and highest seas are found south
    of 20N and between the Lesser Antilles and Africa. Moderate to
    fresh easterly winds and moderate to rough seas are noted west of
    75W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent. A weak surface trough east of the Lesser Antilles and
    divergence aloft sustains scattered showers south of 20N and east
    of 47W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure will continue
    to promote fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas east of
    75W through today. The pressure gradient over the W Atlantic will
    continue to support fresh NE winds in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    and the Straits of Florida through this morning. The next cold
    front will likely move offshore NE FL by Mon. Ahead of the front,
    fresh to strong SW winds are possible on Sun night, mainly W of
    75W.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 22 Jan 2026 10:20:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 221020
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Jan 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A strong ridge north of the Caribbean Sea
    is supporting gale-force NE winds that will prevail through this
    morning over the waters offshore Colombia. Winds will continue to
    pulse to near-gale in the same area through the end of the week.
    Rough seas are forecast with these winds.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 08N13W and continues southwestward to 02N27W. The
    ITCZ extends from 02N27W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection
    is noted S of 07N and E of 32W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure over the western Atlantic extends a ridge to the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and
    moderate seas east of 90W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
    moderate seas prevail. Light showers are evident in the Florida
    Straits due to a dissipating stationary front.

    For the forecast, the next cold front is expected to enter the NW
    Gulf Sat followed by fresh to strong NW to N winds and building
    seas. Reinforcing high pressure in the wake of the front, may
    bring near-gale to gale conditions first near Tampico Sun night,
    then near Veracruz on Mon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section on a Gale Warning off the
    coast of Colombia.

    Outside of the south-central Caribbean, a surface trough, and
    associated area of moisture, has entered the eastern Caribbean
    enhancing convection. A strong subtropical ridge over the central
    Atlantic supports moderate to strong easterly winds and rough
    seas in the north-central and NE Caribbean, including the
    Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate
    seas are found in the SE Caribbean and lee of Cuba. Elsewhere,
    moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas are evident.

    For the forecast, gale force NE winds will prevail through early this
    morning over the waters offshore Colombia. Winds will continue to
    pulse to near-gale in the same area through the end of the week.
    The trough in the E Caribbean will continue moving W through the
    week, increasing the likelihood of scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the islands and surrounding waters.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough is analyzed from 30N72W to 23N80W. A few showers
    are noted near this boundary. The tropical Atlantic is dominated
    by an extensive, strong ridge north of Bermuda, supporting fresh
    to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas south of 27N and
    east of 75W. The strongest winds and highest seas are found south
    of 20N and between the Lesser Antilles and Africa. Moderate to
    fresh easterly winds and moderate to rough seas are noted west of
    75W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent. A weak surface trough east of the Lesser Antilles and
    divergence aloft sustains scattered showers south of 20N and east
    of 47W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure will continue
    to promote fresh to strong NE to E winds and rough seas east of
    75W through today. The pressure gradient over the W Atlantic will
    continue to support fresh NE winds in the vicinity of the Bahamas
    and the Straits of Florida through this morning. The next cold
    front will likely move offshore NE FL by Mon. Ahead of the front,
    fresh to strong SW winds are possible on Sun night, mainly W of
    75W.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 21 Jan 2026 17:39:31 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 211739
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1240 PM EST WED 21 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 22/1100Z TO 23/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-052 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
    A. 23/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 03WSA TRACK66
    C. 22/2015Z
    D. 10 DROPS AS PUBLISHED ON TRACK BEGINNING WITH DROP POINT 3
    AND ENDING WITH DROP POINT 2.
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 22/2030Z TO 23/0230Z.

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE MISSION ALONG TRACK 66
    FOR 24/0000Z.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 75
    A. 23/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 12WSE IOP11
    C. 22/1830Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED
    BY: 35.0N 130.0W, 35.0N 110.0W, 15.0N 110.0W,
    AND 15.0N 130.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 22/2030Z TO 23/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    24/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: TWO USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE CENTRAL AND EASTERN
    PACIFIC FOR THE 25/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    KAL/SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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