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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 07 Jul 2026 22:07:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072207
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
    Bermuda- Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure
    over N South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over
    the central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
    reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
    diminishing tomorrow. Expect rough to locally rough seas with the
    peak winds. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at
    website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more
    details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Its
    axis is along 26.5W south of 17N. It is moving westward at 15 to
    20 kt. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
    trough/ITCZ section below.

    A well defined tropical wave is along 47W south of 17N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Any nearby convection is described in
    the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    Another tropical wave is analyzed near 62W entering the far
    eastern Caribbean Sea, and extends southward into far eastern
    Venezuela. It is moving westward at 20 to 25 kt. Any nearby
    convection is described in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    The tropical wave previously located along 85W is relocated
    farther E along 82W based on tropical wave diagnostic and surface
    observations. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
    trough/ITCZ section below.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 09N26W. The
    ITCZ extends from 08N28W to 09N45W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 21W
    and 34W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
    between 36W and 42W, and also from 08N to 13N between 42W and
    54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak ridge continues the dominate the Gulf region producing a
    gentle to moderate wind flow, except moderate to fresh in the
    central Bay of Campeche due to a weak surface trough analyzed from
    along 94W. Slight to moderate seas are noted across the basin,
    highest in the central Bay of Campeche. An upper-level low over
    the western Gulf is enhancing the development of showers and
    thunderstorms over parts of the basin, more concentrated over the
    Bay of Campeche and near the northern Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, the diurnal trough moving westward from the
    Yucatan peninsula will cause fresh NE to E winds offshore of the
    peninsula nightly through the weekend. An upper-level low will
    cause scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf
    for the next couple of days. Elsewhere, winds and seas should be
    quiescent.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
    a Gale Warning.

    A tight pressure gradient is present over the central Caribbean
    due to the Bermuda-Azores high north of the area and lower
    pressure over northern South America resulting in fresh to near
    gale-force winds there. Rough seas dominate this area. Moderate to
    fresh trades prevail elsewhere along with moderate seas, except
    gentle to moderate in the lee of Cuba. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are occurring over portions of the western
    Caribbean, particularly W of 85W, including in the vicinity of the
    Gulf of Honduras. Patches of low level moisture, embedded in the
    trade wind flow, are moving westward across the area producing
    isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-
    Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure over N
    South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the
    central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
    reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
    diminishing tomorrow. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and
    evenings through the weekend. A vigorous tropical wave should
    reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh to strong
    trades over the E Caribbean on Thu and Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
    Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
    details. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) from CIMSS and the Geocolor
    satellite imagery show abundant African dust over this area into
    the eastern Caribbean.

    As it is normal for this time of the year, the Bermuda-Azores
    High dominates the Atlantic forecast waters. Moderate to fresh
    winds are observed along the southern periphery of its associated
    ridge, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Light to gentle winds are near the
    ridge axis, mainly N of 25N. Seas are generally moderate across
    the basin, except slight to moderate from 25N to 29N under the
    ridge and corresponding lighter winds. An exception is fresh to
    strong N-NE winds from offshore northern Africa near the Canary
    and Madeira Islands to the Cabo Verde Islands and just WNW of
    there. An upper-level low spinning between Hispaniola and the
    southeastern Bahamas is generating some shower activity.

    For the forecast west of 55W, ridging associated with the
    Bermuda- Azores High will remain farther south than usual - near
    27N. Waters north of 29N will have moderate to fresh SW to W winds
    beginning tomorrow night for the next several days. Additionally,
    fresh to strong trades will continue just north of Hispaniola and
    over the approaches to the Windward Passage through the weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 07 Jul 2026 22:07:10 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 072207
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jul 8 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the
    Bermuda- Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure
    over N South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over
    the central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
    reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
    diminishing tomorrow. Expect rough to locally rough seas with the
    peak winds. Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at
    website: https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more
    details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is just southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Its
    axis is along 26.5W south of 17N. It is moving westward at 15 to
    20 kt. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
    trough/ITCZ section below.

    A well defined tropical wave is along 47W south of 17N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Any nearby convection is described in
    the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    Another tropical wave is analyzed near 62W entering the far
    eastern Caribbean Sea, and extends southward into far eastern
    Venezuela. It is moving westward at 20 to 25 kt. Any nearby
    convection is described in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.

    The tropical wave previously located along 85W is relocated
    farther E along 82W based on tropical wave diagnostic and surface
    observations. Any nearby convection is described in the monsoon
    trough/ITCZ section below.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Africa near 14N16W and continues southwestward to 09N26W. The
    ITCZ extends from 08N28W to 09N45W to 09N59W. Scattered moderate
    isolated strong convection is noted from 06N to 11N between 21W
    and 34W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 06N to 09N
    between 36W and 42W, and also from 08N to 13N between 42W and
    54W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak ridge continues the dominate the Gulf region producing a
    gentle to moderate wind flow, except moderate to fresh in the
    central Bay of Campeche due to a weak surface trough analyzed from
    along 94W. Slight to moderate seas are noted across the basin,
    highest in the central Bay of Campeche. An upper-level low over
    the western Gulf is enhancing the development of showers and
    thunderstorms over parts of the basin, more concentrated over the
    Bay of Campeche and near the northern Yucatan Peninsula.

    For the forecast, the diurnal trough moving westward from the
    Yucatan peninsula will cause fresh NE to E winds offshore of the
    peninsula nightly through the weekend. An upper-level low will
    cause scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf
    for the next couple of days. Elsewhere, winds and seas should be
    quiescent.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
    a Gale Warning.

    A tight pressure gradient is present over the central Caribbean
    due to the Bermuda-Azores high north of the area and lower
    pressure over northern South America resulting in fresh to near
    gale-force winds there. Rough seas dominate this area. Moderate to
    fresh trades prevail elsewhere along with moderate seas, except
    gentle to moderate in the lee of Cuba. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms are occurring over portions of the western
    Caribbean, particularly W of 85W, including in the vicinity of the
    Gulf of Honduras. Patches of low level moisture, embedded in the
    trade wind flow, are moving westward across the area producing
    isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda-
    Azores High north of the area along with lower pressure over N
    South America will produce fresh to near gale trades over the
    central Caribbean for the next several days. Peak winds should
    reach gales just north of Colombia tonight before slightly
    diminishing tomorrow. Additionally, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong late afternoons and
    evenings through the weekend. A vigorous tropical wave should
    reach the Lesser Antilles Wed evening, bringing fresh to strong
    trades over the E Caribbean on Thu and Fri.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Three tropical waves are moving westward between W Africa and the
    Lesser Antilles. Please, see the Tropical Waves section for more
    details. The Saharan Air Layer (SAL) from CIMSS and the Geocolor
    satellite imagery show abundant African dust over this area into
    the eastern Caribbean.

    As it is normal for this time of the year, the Bermuda-Azores
    High dominates the Atlantic forecast waters. Moderate to fresh
    winds are observed along the southern periphery of its associated
    ridge, with the exception of fresh to strong winds just north of
    Hispaniola and Puerto Rico. Light to gentle winds are near the
    ridge axis, mainly N of 25N. Seas are generally moderate across
    the basin, except slight to moderate from 25N to 29N under the
    ridge and corresponding lighter winds. An exception is fresh to
    strong N-NE winds from offshore northern Africa near the Canary
    and Madeira Islands to the Cabo Verde Islands and just WNW of
    there. An upper-level low spinning between Hispaniola and the
    southeastern Bahamas is generating some shower activity.

    For the forecast west of 55W, ridging associated with the
    Bermuda- Azores High will remain farther south than usual - near
    27N. Waters north of 29N will have moderate to fresh SW to W winds
    beginning tomorrow night for the next several days. Additionally,
    fresh to strong trades will continue just north of Hispaniola and
    over the approaches to the Windward Passage through the weekend.

    $$
    Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 09 Jul 2026 05:22:36 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 07 Jul 2026 22:46:23 GMT
  • Tue, 07 Jul 2026 17:22:36 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 071722
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    Issued by the NWS Weather Prediction Center College Park MD
    200 PM EDT Tue Jul 7 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster B. Hurley
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 07 Jul 2026 12:51:09 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    976
    NOUS42 KNHC 071251
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 07 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-037

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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