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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 11 Aug 2026 10:20:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111020
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 31W from 05N to 17N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N
    to 13N between 23W and 31W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is along 51W from 06N to 18N, moving
    west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N
    to 15N between 50W and 55W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 62W from 13N to 23N, moving
    west at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 83W S of 20N, moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection are noted from 10N to
    17N and W of 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
    southwestward to 1012 mb low pres near 11N29W to 12N49W. The ITCZ
    extends from 11N53W to 12N61W. Aside from the convection
    mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered showers are
    noted within 200 nm on either side of the boundaries.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High near 29N71W westward
    across the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds,
    and slight seas prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical moderate
    to fresh NE winds are occurring along the N and W coastal waters
    of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft. Moderate to
    fresh easterly winds are blowing through the Straits of Florida,
    producing seas to 4 ft. A low level trough continues to drift
    westward across the east central Gulf and is yielding a small
    cluster of moderate convection well offshore of the mouth of the
    Mississippi River. Afternoon convection across central Florida has
    shifted westward over the waters SW of the entrance to Tampa Bay,
    and is quickly weakening.

    For the forecast, the current ridge surface ridge will dominate
    the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat night.
    Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the basin,
    with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
    west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
    evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
    Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
    seas are expected through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1021 mb Bermuda High near 29N68W
    and a 1008 mb Colombian Low is supporting fresh to strong winds,
    and moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 17.5N
    between 67W and 79W. Scatterometer data depict winds near gale-
    force off the northern coast of Colombia, where seas are estimated
    at around 10 ft. Fresh NE winds prevail through the Windward
    Passage and across the Gulf of Honduras, while moderate to fresh
    trade winds prevail across the NE Caribbean to the Mona Passage in
    advance of an approaching tropical wave. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere across SE and
    NW portions. Ahead of the tropical wave along 80W scattered
    moderate convection is noted between the Cayman Islands and the
    east coast of the Yucatan, across the Gulf of Honduras, and along
    most of the coast of Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades over the central portion of the basin
    through Wed night. The ridge will gradually shift southward to
    near 26N by Thu allowing for the trades to significantly expand in
    coverage to cover the eastern portion of the basin into early
    Sat. Winds are expected to reach near-gale force offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night, except Wed night. Winds
    will pulse up to fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at
    night in the the Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
    1021 mb Bermuda High centered near 29N68W, and a 1022 mb high
    centered near 27N50W. Light to gentle winds generally prevail
    over the waters N of 24N and west of 30W, with slight to moderate
    seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S of 24N and west
    of 30W, and moderate seas to 6 ft. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
    continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to the east of 25W, where
    seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates most of the basin N of
    15N from Africa through the southern Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the current Atlantic will shift
    southward to along 28N today and to near 26N by Thu and change
    little into Sat. The gradient will tighten over the southern
    portion leading to an increase of the trades from the Bahamas
    eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the
    approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to
    strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of low pressure is
    located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
    conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
    tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
    this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
    across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
    tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 11 Aug 2026 10:20:23 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111020
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Tue Aug 11 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 31W from 05N to 17N, moving
    westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N
    to 13N between 23W and 31W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is along 51W from 06N to 18N, moving
    west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 10N
    to 15N between 50W and 55W.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 62W from 13N to 23N, moving
    west at 15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along the wave axis.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 83W S of 20N, moving west at
    15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection are noted from 10N to
    17N and W of 82W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W and continues
    southwestward to 1012 mb low pres near 11N29W to 12N49W. The ITCZ
    extends from 11N53W to 12N61W. Aside from the convection
    mentioned in the tropical waves section, scattered showers are
    noted within 200 nm on either side of the boundaries.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge extends from the Bermuda High near 29N71W westward
    across the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds,
    and slight seas prevail across the Gulf waters. Typical moderate
    to fresh NE winds are occurring along the N and W coastal waters
    of the Yucatan Peninsula, where seas are 2 to 4 ft. Moderate to
    fresh easterly winds are blowing through the Straits of Florida,
    producing seas to 4 ft. A low level trough continues to drift
    westward across the east central Gulf and is yielding a small
    cluster of moderate convection well offshore of the mouth of the
    Mississippi River. Afternoon convection across central Florida has
    shifted westward over the waters SW of the entrance to Tampa Bay,
    and is quickly weakening.

    For the forecast, the current ridge surface ridge will dominate
    the general wind flow pattern across basin through Sat night.
    Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail across the basin,
    with the exception of pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
    west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
    evening and night as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
    Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
    seas are expected through the forecast period.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between a 1021 mb Bermuda High near 29N68W
    and a 1008 mb Colombian Low is supporting fresh to strong winds,
    and moderate to rough seas, over the central Caribbean S of 17.5N
    between 67W and 79W. Scatterometer data depict winds near gale-
    force off the northern coast of Colombia, where seas are estimated
    at around 10 ft. Fresh NE winds prevail through the Windward
    Passage and across the Gulf of Honduras, while moderate to fresh
    trade winds prevail across the NE Caribbean to the Mona Passage in
    advance of an approaching tropical wave. Gentle to moderate
    winds, and slight to moderate seas prevail elsewhere across SE and
    NW portions. Ahead of the tropical wave along 80W scattered
    moderate convection is noted between the Cayman Islands and the
    east coast of the Yucatan, across the Gulf of Honduras, and along
    most of the coast of Nicaragua.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trades over the central portion of the basin
    through Wed night. The ridge will gradually shift southward to
    near 26N by Thu allowing for the trades to significantly expand in
    coverage to cover the eastern portion of the basin into early
    Sat. Winds are expected to reach near-gale force offshore Colombia
    and in the Gulf of Venezuela each night, except Wed night. Winds
    will pulse up to fresh to strong speeds during the evenings and at
    night in the the Windward Passage through the forecast period.
    Otherwise, moderate to fresh trades will prevail elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    High pressure prevails over the waters N of 20N, anchored by a
    1021 mb Bermuda High centered near 29N68W, and a 1022 mb high
    centered near 27N50W. Light to gentle winds generally prevail
    over the waters N of 24N and west of 30W, with slight to moderate
    seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are noted S of 24N and west
    of 30W, and moderate seas to 6 ft. Fresh to strong N to NE winds
    continues from the Canary Islands to 19N to the east of 25W, where
    seas are 5 to 8 ft. Saharan Air dominates most of the basin N of
    15N from Africa through the southern Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the current Atlantic will shift
    southward to along 28N today and to near 26N by Thu and change
    little into Sat. The gradient will tighten over the southern
    portion leading to an increase of the trades from the Bahamas
    eastward. Fresh trades will prevail N of Hispaniola and in the
    approach to the Windward Passage through the period, pulsing to
    strong speeds each night. Of note, an area of low pressure is
    located about 500 miles southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
    Environmental conditions are forecast to gradually become more
    conducive for development during the next day or two, and a
    tropical depression will likely form during the latter half of
    this week while the system moves westward to west-northwestward
    across the central tropical Atlantic. There is a high chance for
    tropical formation of this system within the next 7 days.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 12 Aug 2026 17:04:33 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 11 Aug 2026 11:10:13 GMT
  • Tue, 11 Aug 2026 05:04:33 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 110504
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Tue Aug 11 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Central Tropical Atlantic:
    Shower and thunderstorm activity is currently limited in association
    with an area of low pressure located about 500 miles southwest of
    the Cabo Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to
    gradually become more conducive for development during the next day
    or two, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter
    half of this week while the system moves westward to
    west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.

    East of the Windward Islands:
    Disorganized showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical
    wave are located about 850 miles east of the Windward Islands. Some
    gradual development of this system is possible through the next day
    or two while it moves quickly westward across the central tropical
    Atlantic. The system is expected to encounter a large area of
    environmental dry air by the time it reaches the Windward Islands
    Wednesday night, which should end its chances for development.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    Central Subtropical Atlantic:
    A trough of low pressure located several hundred miles northeast of
    Bermuda is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Some
    development of this system is possible during the next couple of
    days while it moves eastward at around 20 mph across the central
    subtropical Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach cooler waters
    later this week, ending its chances of formation by Thursday.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 10 Aug 2026 14:43:54 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101443
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1045 AM EDT MON 10 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-071

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
    OVER CENTRAL ATLANTIC NEAR 12.0N 55.0W FOR 12/1800Z.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. SUSPECT AREA (CENTRAL PACIFIC - CP93)
    FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49
    A. 12/0000Z
    B. NOAA9 01AAC SURV
    C. 11/1730Z
    D. NA
    E. NA
    F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
    G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
    H. NO WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
    A. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
    CP93 FOR 13/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 12/1730Z.
    B. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 15.0N 144.0W FOR
    13/0000Z.
    C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
    13/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 12/2000Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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