2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 14 Nov 2025 04:45:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 140445
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Nov 14 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0430 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: Gale-force winds follow a cold front moving
    into Morocco. Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for the
    Agadir zone which will be valid through at least 14/06 UTC.

    For more information, please refer to Meteo-France's website at:
    http://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 07N22W. The
    ITCZ continues from 08N40W to 06N57W along the coast of Guyana.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 05N-08N east of
    20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1023 mb high pressure is centered near 29N87W. Fresh NE winds
    and moderate seas reach from the Straits of Florida to the
    Yucatan Channel, between this high pressure and lower pressure
    over the Caribbean. Gentle to moderate NE winds and slight seas
    are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure centered
    over the NE Gulf and relatively lower pressure to the south will
    allow for moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas
    across the southeastern Gulf through Fri evening, including the
    Straits of Florida and Yucatan Channel. High pressure will slip SE
    through the weekend, leading to lighter winds in the SE Gulf and
    increasing southerly winds in the western Gulf. By Mon night and
    Tue, fresh winds will develop in the NW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A shearline extends from the Windward Passage to the Gulf of
    Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the Gulf
    north of Roatan. Fresh NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
    noted north of the shearline. High pressure north of the Caribbean
    along with a 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing NE to E fresh
    trades in the SW Caribbean with rough seas. Over the central and
    eastern Caribbean, the trades are moderate to fresh with moderate
    seas.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds to the S of Cuba will
    gradually diminish Fri as high pressure to the N weakens. Similar
    conditions offshore Colombia and Venezuela tonight will improve as
    the overall gradient weakens and a gentle to moderate trade wind
    regime becomes established for the weekend. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will continue west of about 80W through at least
    early Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
    effect for the Agadir zone.

    A stationary front extends from 1015 mb low pressure near 31N53W
    to the Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and
    rough seas are noted north of the front, east of 70W. Moderate to
    fresh NE winds and moderate seas extend across the southern
    Bahamas between the ridge and the easternmost front. An area of
    rough NW swell persists north of 22N between 40W and 60W. Over the
    eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong NW winds and rough to very
    rough seas follow the front mentioned in the Special Features
    section, north of 21N and east of 40W. Gentle to moderate breezes
    and moderate seas are noted elsewhere east of 25W. Gentle to
    moderate breezes and moderate seas are noted elsewhere across the
    basin, under the influence of 1020 mb high pressure centered near
    28N40W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds behind the W Atlantic front
    will diminish Fri as the front gradually dissipates into the
    weekend. Seas up to 10 ft E of 60W will decay below 8 ft by the
    weekend. A new cold front moving eastward away from the
    southeastern U.S. overnight will lead to moderate to fresh west to
    northwest winds and locally rough seas north of 29N through
    tonight. The cold front is expected to reach the central Atlantic
    by late Fri. Looking ahead, a series of cold fronts passing north
    of the region this weekend will lead to strengthening winds and
    building seas over the northern forecast waters while weak high
    pressure prevails elsewhere. Conditions over these waters quiet
    down some early next week.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 14 Nov 2025 04:45:57 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 140445
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Nov 14 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0430 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Agadir Gale Warning: Gale-force winds follow a cold front moving
    into Morocco. Meteo-France has issued a Gale Warning for the
    Agadir zone which will be valid through at least 14/06 UTC.

    For more information, please refer to Meteo-France's website at:
    http://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/display/2.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W to 07N22W. The
    ITCZ continues from 08N40W to 06N57W along the coast of Guyana.
    Scattered moderate convection is occurring from 05N-08N east of
    20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1023 mb high pressure is centered near 29N87W. Fresh NE winds
    and moderate seas reach from the Straits of Florida to the
    Yucatan Channel, between this high pressure and lower pressure
    over the Caribbean. Gentle to moderate NE winds and slight seas
    are noted elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure centered
    over the NE Gulf and relatively lower pressure to the south will
    allow for moderate to fresh northeast winds and moderate seas
    across the southeastern Gulf through Fri evening, including the
    Straits of Florida and Yucatan Channel. High pressure will slip SE
    through the weekend, leading to lighter winds in the SE Gulf and
    increasing southerly winds in the western Gulf. By Mon night and
    Tue, fresh winds will develop in the NW Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A shearline extends from the Windward Passage to the Gulf of
    Honduras. Scattered moderate convection is occurring in the Gulf
    north of Roatan. Fresh NE winds and moderate to rough seas are
    noted north of the shearline. High pressure north of the Caribbean
    along with a 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing NE to E fresh
    trades in the SW Caribbean with rough seas. Over the central and
    eastern Caribbean, the trades are moderate to fresh with moderate
    seas.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong NE winds to the S of Cuba will
    gradually diminish Fri as high pressure to the N weakens. Similar
    conditions offshore Colombia and Venezuela tonight will improve as
    the overall gradient weakens and a gentle to moderate trade wind
    regime becomes established for the weekend. Scattered showers and
    thunderstorms will continue west of about 80W through at least
    early Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Refer to the section above for details on the Gale Warning in
    effect for the Agadir zone.

    A stationary front extends from 1015 mb low pressure near 31N53W
    to the Windward Passage. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds and
    rough seas are noted north of the front, east of 70W. Moderate to
    fresh NE winds and moderate seas extend across the southern
    Bahamas between the ridge and the easternmost front. An area of
    rough NW swell persists north of 22N between 40W and 60W. Over the
    eastern Atlantic, fresh to strong NW winds and rough to very
    rough seas follow the front mentioned in the Special Features
    section, north of 21N and east of 40W. Gentle to moderate breezes
    and moderate seas are noted elsewhere east of 25W. Gentle to
    moderate breezes and moderate seas are noted elsewhere across the
    basin, under the influence of 1020 mb high pressure centered near
    28N40W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, winds behind the W Atlantic front
    will diminish Fri as the front gradually dissipates into the
    weekend. Seas up to 10 ft E of 60W will decay below 8 ft by the
    weekend. A new cold front moving eastward away from the
    southeastern U.S. overnight will lead to moderate to fresh west to
    northwest winds and locally rough seas north of 29N through
    tonight. The cold front is expected to reach the central Atlantic
    by late Fri. Looking ahead, a series of cold fronts passing north
    of the region this weekend will lead to strengthening winds and
    building seas over the northern forecast waters while weak high
    pressure prevails elsewhere. Conditions over these waters quiet
    down some early next week.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 15 Nov 2025 17:04:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 14 Nov 2025 05:53:06 GMT
  • Fri, 14 Nov 2025 05:04:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    654
    ABNT20 KNHC 140504
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 13 Nov 2025 16:09:02 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    178
    NOUS42 KNHC 131608
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1110 AM EST THU 13 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-166

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS
    ARE NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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