2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 29 May 2026 23:04:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 292304
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat May 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55W south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is seen south of 11N and inland between 46W and 60W.
    Saharan air extends from behind the wave along 50W to the W coast
    of Africa.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 72W south of 15N to
    inland central Venezuela. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this tropical wave over
    the Caribbean waters. However scattered moderate to strong
    convection is inland across Colombia and far western Venezuela on
    either side of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W, then
    curves southwestward to near 07.5N25W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N25W
    to 05N35W to 04.5N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    from 02.5N to 10.5N and E of 24W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is seen south of 11N between 46W and 60W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A sharp and well defined upper level trough extends downward into
    the low levels of the atmosphere, from Mississippi southward and
    across the west-central Gulf, to a 1010 mb surface low across the
    central Bay of Campeche near 20N93W. This feature continues to support
    scattered moderate to strong convection over the central Gulf, E
    of the trough to 85W, from the Yucatan Peninsula to the Florida
    Panhandle. E of this trough, a 1016 mb high is centered offshore
    of Tampa Bay, and is generally yielding gentle to moderate SE to
    S winds across most of the waters E of the trough, with seas 2 to
    4 ft. To the W of the trough, gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends weakly across
    S Florida and into the eastern Gulf. This ridge will sustain
    gentle to moderate SE to S winds through Tue. The exception will
    be evening pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan and in
    the central Gulf through the same period. A pronounced deep-
    layered upper-level trough across the western Gulf combined with
    very warm, humid and unstable air will continue to support
    periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms, across the
    central and eastern Gulf through Sun. Frequent lightning, with
    gusty winds and locally rough seas are expected in strong
    thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the
    latest forecasts.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A deep-layered upper level trough is located over SE Mexico while
    the East Pacific monsoon trough extends across the SW Caribbean.
    The interaction of these features is producing scattered to numerous
    moderate to strong convection in the SW Caribbean S of 12.5N,
    between the NW coast of Colombia and SE Nicaragua. Scattered
    showers embedded in the SE low level wind flow are moving across
    the Gulf of Honduras. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    high pressure ridge north of the region along 25N-26N and the
    Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades and 7-9 ft seas
    across the south-central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will sustain fresh to strong trades
    and rough seas across the central Caribbean through tonight before
    gradually diminishing in areal coverage on Sat. Moderate E to SE
    winds in the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh speeds during
    the night through Mon night, then to strong speeds Tue night and
    again Wed night. The Atlantic ridge will weaken as a couple of
    frontal boundaries move across the western Atlantic. This will
    yield moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas across
    most of the basin through Tue, except the south-central Caribbean,
    where fresh to strong winds and rough seas will persist. A
    tropical wave is forecast to reach the Windward Islands by Sat
    afternoon, leading to increased shower activity.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front is sinking slowly southward across the NW waters,
    extending from 31N61W to 29N73W and then inland across Georgia.
    Ahead of the front, SW winds have increased to fresh to strong
    speeds, N of 28N between 44W and 68W, while seas are building to
    6-10 ft. Scattered moderate convection is occurring along and
    ahead of the front to 60W and NE Florida. All other convection
    across the Atlantic is associated with tropical waves or the
    monsoon trough/ITCZ. A broad ridge extends from 1028 mb high
    pressure near 34N22W southwestward to 24N50W and then weakly W-NW
    to south Florida. This ridge dominates the remaining Atlantic,
    with moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas prevailing across
    the vast majority of the basin S of 20N and W of 25W. Mostly fair
    and hazy conditions dominate the Tropical Atlantic south of 20N,
    and east of 50W to the coast of Africa, due to Saharan air. East
    of 25W and N of 17N, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to
    locally rough seas prevail, confirmed by scatterometer data from
    this morning. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-5 ft seas
    prevail within the ridge axis that extends from just W of the
    Canary Islands through the central Atlantic and to areas just NE
    of the Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge over the western Atlantic
    will support gentle to moderate winds, with moderate seas south
    of 26N through Tue. For the waters north of 26N and east of 70W,
    two cold fronts migrating eastward across the north Atlantic will
    bring fresh to strong winds along with rough seas through tonight,
    then again from Sat night through Sun night accompanying the next
    front. Winds are forecast to reach minimal gale force on either
    side of the second cold front Sat night through Sun night. As a
    result, a Gale Warning has been issued. Rough to very tough seas
    could accompany the strongest winds.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 29 May 2026 23:04:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 292304
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sat May 30 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2200 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55W south of 18N,
    moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is seen south of 11N and inland between 46W and 60W.
    Saharan air extends from behind the wave along 50W to the W coast
    of Africa.

    A Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along 72W south of 15N to
    inland central Venezuela. It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No
    significant convection is associated with this tropical wave over
    the Caribbean waters. However scattered moderate to strong
    convection is inland across Colombia and far western Venezuela on
    either side of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 16.5N16.5W, then
    curves southwestward to near 07.5N25W. The ITCZ extends from 07.5N25W
    to 05N35W to 04.5N50W. Scattered moderate to strong convection is
    from 02.5N to 10.5N and E of 24W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is seen south of 11N between 46W and 60W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A sharp and well defined upper level trough extends downward into
    the low levels of the atmosphere, from Mississippi southward and
    across the west-central Gulf, to a 1010 mb surface low across the
    central Bay of Campeche near 20N93W. This feature continues to support
    scattered moderate to strong convection over the central Gulf, E
    of the trough to 85W, from the Yucatan Peninsula to the Florida
    Panhandle. E of this trough, a 1016 mb high is centered offshore
    of Tampa Bay, and is generally yielding gentle to moderate SE to
    S winds across most of the waters E of the trough, with seas 2 to
    4 ft. To the W of the trough, gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends weakly across
    S Florida and into the eastern Gulf. This ridge will sustain
    gentle to moderate SE to S winds through Tue. The exception will
    be evening pulses of fresh winds off the northern Yucatan and in
    the central Gulf through the same period. A pronounced deep-
    layered upper-level trough across the western Gulf combined with
    very warm, humid and unstable air will continue to support
    periods of scattered showers and thunderstorms, across the
    central and eastern Gulf through Sun. Frequent lightning, with
    gusty winds and locally rough seas are expected in strong
    thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep up to date with the
    latest forecasts.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A deep-layered upper level trough is located over SE Mexico while
    the East Pacific monsoon trough extends across the SW Caribbean.
    The interaction of these features is producing scattered to numerous
    moderate to strong convection in the SW Caribbean S of 12.5N,
    between the NW coast of Colombia and SE Nicaragua. Scattered
    showers embedded in the SE low level wind flow are moving across
    the Gulf of Honduras. The pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    high pressure ridge north of the region along 25N-26N and the
    Colombia Low supports fresh to strong trades and 7-9 ft seas
    across the south-central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
    trades and moderate seas prevail across the remainder of the
    Caribbean.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
    ridge and the Colombian low will sustain fresh to strong trades
    and rough seas across the central Caribbean through tonight before
    gradually diminishing in areal coverage on Sat. Moderate E to SE
    winds in the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh speeds during
    the night through Mon night, then to strong speeds Tue night and
    again Wed night. The Atlantic ridge will weaken as a couple of
    frontal boundaries move across the western Atlantic. This will
    yield moderate to locally fresh winds and moderate seas across
    most of the basin through Tue, except the south-central Caribbean,
    where fresh to strong winds and rough seas will persist. A
    tropical wave is forecast to reach the Windward Islands by Sat
    afternoon, leading to increased shower activity.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front is sinking slowly southward across the NW waters,
    extending from 31N61W to 29N73W and then inland across Georgia.
    Ahead of the front, SW winds have increased to fresh to strong
    speeds, N of 28N between 44W and 68W, while seas are building to
    6-10 ft. Scattered moderate convection is occurring along and
    ahead of the front to 60W and NE Florida. All other convection
    across the Atlantic is associated with tropical waves or the
    monsoon trough/ITCZ. A broad ridge extends from 1028 mb high
    pressure near 34N22W southwestward to 24N50W and then weakly W-NW
    to south Florida. This ridge dominates the remaining Atlantic,
    with moderate to fresh winds and moderate seas prevailing across
    the vast majority of the basin S of 20N and W of 25W. Mostly fair
    and hazy conditions dominate the Tropical Atlantic south of 20N,
    and east of 50W to the coast of Africa, due to Saharan air. East
    of 25W and N of 17N, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to
    locally rough seas prevail, confirmed by scatterometer data from
    this morning. Gentle to moderate or weaker winds and 3-5 ft seas
    prevail within the ridge axis that extends from just W of the
    Canary Islands through the central Atlantic and to areas just NE
    of the Bahamas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge over the western Atlantic
    will support gentle to moderate winds, with moderate seas south
    of 26N through Tue. For the waters north of 26N and east of 70W,
    two cold fronts migrating eastward across the north Atlantic will
    bring fresh to strong winds along with rough seas through tonight,
    then again from Sat night through Sun night accompanying the next
    front. Winds are forecast to reach minimal gale force on either
    side of the second cold front Sat night through Sun night. As a
    result, a Gale Warning has been issued. Rough to very tough seas
    could accompany the strongest winds.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 31 May 2026 11:11:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 30 May 2026 04:15:19 GMT
  • Fri, 29 May 2026 23:11:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 292311
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Fri May 29 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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