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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 16:49:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
538
AXNT20 KNHC 191647
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1640 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 17N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 05N to
10N and between 27W and 33W.
A tropical wave is near 50W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Convection is limited at this time.
A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. Its axis
is along 71W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is near the northern end of the wave
axis, just south of Dominican Republic.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal,
south of Dakar, and continues westward to 11N30W and to 10N48W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to NE Venezuela near 09N62W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 12N
and east of 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by a 1018 mb high pressure
located near 27N90W. This weather pattern supports a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas. Locally fresh easterly
winds are found in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to a thermal trough.
An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms, is affecting the SW
and west-central parts of the Gulf. An upper-level low spinning over
NE Mexico is helping to induce this convective activity.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate
seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough
will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong winds across
the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere. These winds are the result of the
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
offshore waters of Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, including
the Mona Passage. Similar convective activity is affecting parts
of western Panama and Costa Rica. Shallow moisture, embedded in
the trade wind flow, is observed elsewhere producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean
into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to a 1015 mb low pressure
located near 29N62W. A trough extends from the low center to near the
SE Bahamas. A band of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
is associated with these features. Satellite derived winds data show
moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of the
stationary front between 48W and 50W, and within about 90 nm south
of the front between 59W and 62W. The remainder of the Atlantic
is dominated by the Azores High centered near 40N32W. Under the
influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate winds are
occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W, with the
exception of moderate to fresh NE winds from 20N to 24N E of 26W.
Seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
70.
For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned stationary front
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate,
across much of the area north of 22N through the week and into
the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south
of about 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.
$$
GR
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 16:49:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
538
AXNT20 KNHC 191647
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 19 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1640 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 17N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 05N to
10N and between 27W and 33W.
A tropical wave is near 50W, south of 18N, moving westward at 10
to 15 kt. Convection is limited at this time.
A tropical wave is moving across the central Caribbean. Its axis
is along 71W, south of 19N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is near the northern end of the wave
axis, just south of Dominican Republic.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Senegal,
south of Dakar, and continues westward to 11N30W and to 10N48W.
The ITCZ extends from 10N48W to NE Venezuela near 09N62W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is evident from 05N to 12N
and east of 27W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge dominates the Gulf region, anchored by a 1018 mb high pressure
located near 27N90W. This weather pattern supports a gentle to moderate
anticyclonic flow with slight to moderate seas. Locally fresh easterly
winds are found in the eastern Bay of Campeche due to a thermal trough.
An area of showers, with embedded thunderstorms, is affecting the SW
and west-central parts of the Gulf. An upper-level low spinning over
NE Mexico is helping to induce this convective activity.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf waters
through the forecast period. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds and slight to locally moderate
seas across much of the basin. A diurnally induced surface trough
will generate fresh to locally strong winds north and west of the
Yucatan peninsula early each evening. These winds will spread
westward away from the Yucatan at night as the trough migrates
into the SW Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Recent scatterometer data indicate fresh to strong winds across
the south-central Caribbean, and moderate to fresh winds across
the remainder of the central part of the basin. Seas are 6 to 8
ft with these winds. Gentle to moderate trades and slight to
moderate seas prevail elsewhere. These winds are the result of the
pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and the Colombian
low. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are noted across the
offshore waters of Dominican Republic and Puerto Rico, including
the Mona Passage. Similar convective activity is affecting parts
of western Panama and Costa Rica. Shallow moisture, embedded in
the trade wind flow, is observed elsewhere producing isolated to
scattered passing showers.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between a subtropical ridge
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern Caribbean
into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from near 31N48W to a 1015 mb low pressure
located near 29N62W. A trough extends from the low center to near the
SE Bahamas. A band of scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
is associated with these features. Satellite derived winds data show
moderate to fresh S to SW winds within about 150 nm south of the
stationary front between 48W and 50W, and within about 90 nm south
of the front between 59W and 62W. The remainder of the Atlantic
is dominated by the Azores High centered near 40N32W. Under the
influence of this system, mainly gentle to moderate winds are
occurring S of 24N E of 40W, and S of 22N W of 40W, with the
exception of moderate to fresh NE winds from 20N to 24N E of 26W.
Seas are generally moderate E of 70W, and slight to moderate W of
70.
For the forecast west of 55W, the above mentioned stationary front
will weaken to a frontal trough today. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate,
across much of the area north of 22N through the week and into
the weekend. Moderate to locally fresh trades are expected south
of about 22N, especially off northern Hispaniola through the period.
$$
GR
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 21 Aug 2026 05:29:35 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 19 Aug 2026 20:45:10 GMT - Wed, 19 Aug 2026 17:29:35 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 191728
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 19 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 19 Aug 2026 14:42:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
892
NOUS42 KNHC 191441
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1045 AM EDT WED 19 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-080 CORRECTION
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO SUSPECT AREA EP90 OVER THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC NEAR 12.9N 146.4W FOR 21/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO EP90
FOR 22/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 21/2000Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf