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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 27 Jul 2026 16:57:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    833
    AXNT20 KNHC 271657
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1657 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 26W,
    extending from 09N to 18N, and moving W at 10-15 kt. Isolated
    clusters of moderate convection are noted near the wave.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, extending from 09N to
    21N, and moving W at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
    depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis along 71.5W
    southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 10 to 15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at this time in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 80W, from
    18N southward to central Panama, and moving W at 15 to 20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 11N between 76W and
    83W. Scattered convection is also noted from 16N to 18N along the
    wave axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16.5W and
    continues to 10N49.5W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is along the coast of Africa from 06N to 13N E of 22W.
    Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to 13N between
    31W and 41W and between 49W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
    extends southwestward to northern Florida, and scattered showers
    and thunderstorms from 27N to 29N and east of 86W. Scattered
    moderate convection is found across the Straits of Florida.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted across the western Bay of
    Campeche. A high pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 26.5N90W and
    is supporting light to gentle variable winds, except gentle to
    moderate NW winds along the northeastern Gulf coastal and
    immediate offshore waters. Gentle to moderate SE winds are also
    ongoing in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 2 to 4 ft across the
    basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure remaining over the central
    Gulf will lead toward generally quiescent conditions for the next
    several days. The exception is NE fresh winds just northwest of
    the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the end of the week.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during the next
    couple of days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching weak cold
    front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends westward along 16N-18N, and is
    supporting fresh trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the
    central Caribbean S of 16N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. An mid level trough is supporting
    scattered moderate convection north of 20N between 81W and 84W.

    For the forecast, an increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and high pressure north of the Caribbean will boost
    trades to strong over the S central Caribbean from Tue night
    through the end of the week. Similarly, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh starting Tuesday night. A tropical
    wave moving through the E Caribbean will enhance showers and
    thunderstorms today and tomorrow over the SE Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1025 mb center of high pressure
    near 32N39W extends southwestward to near 24N71W. To the N of 23N
    and west of 67W, scattered to numerous moderate and isolated
    strong convection is occurring ahead of a stalling cold front
    along 31.5N and offshore of the Carolinas. Moderate to locally
    fresh S to SW winds prevail ahead of the front, north of 29N and
    between 61W and 69W. Another area of scattered moderate convection
    is found from 21N to 25N between 56.5W and 63W in association to
    an upper level low. Elsewhere N of 22N and W of 40W, moderate or
    lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. Across the tropical
    Atlantic S of 22N moderate to locally fresh trade winds prevail,
    with seas of 5-8 ft. A 1025 mb high pressure near the Azores is
    promoting moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds from the Canary
    Islands to 40W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge associated with the
    Bermuda High will remain farther south than usual - near 25N -
    through Fri. This in combination with a stationary front offshore
    of the Carolinas is forcing fresh to strong SW winds and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms north of 28N west of 65W for the next
    several days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just
    north of Hispaniola from Wed through Fri.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 27 Jul 2026 16:57:42 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    833
    AXNT20 KNHC 271657
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Jul 27 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1657 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is in the E Atlantic with axis near 26W,
    extending from 09N to 18N, and moving W at 10-15 kt. Isolated
    clusters of moderate convection are noted near the wave.

    An Atlantic tropical wave is along 56W, extending from 09N to
    21N, and moving W at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is
    depicted at this time in association with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean with axis along 71.5W
    southward from 18N into Venezuela, and moving W at 10 to 15 kt. No
    significant convection is depicted at this time in association
    with this wave.

    A tropical wave is in the SW Caribbean with axis near 80W, from
    18N southward to central Panama, and moving W at 15 to 20 kt.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 11N between 76W and
    83W. Scattered convection is also noted from 16N to 18N along the
    wave axis.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16.5W and
    continues to 10N49.5W. Scattered moderate isolated strong
    convection is along the coast of Africa from 06N to 13N E of 22W.
    Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 06N to 13N between
    31W and 41W and between 49W and 53W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    An upper level trough along the eastern seaboard of the U.S.
    extends southwestward to northern Florida, and scattered showers
    and thunderstorms from 27N to 29N and east of 86W. Scattered
    moderate convection is found across the Straits of Florida.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted across the western Bay of
    Campeche. A high pressure of 1017 mb is centered near 26.5N90W and
    is supporting light to gentle variable winds, except gentle to
    moderate NW winds along the northeastern Gulf coastal and
    immediate offshore waters. Gentle to moderate SE winds are also
    ongoing in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are 2 to 4 ft across the
    basin.

    For the forecast, high pressure remaining over the central
    Gulf will lead toward generally quiescent conditions for the next
    several days. The exception is NE fresh winds just northwest of
    the Yucatan peninsula nightly through the end of the week.
    Scattered showers and thunderstorms will continue during the next
    couple of days over the NE Gulf due to an approaching weak cold
    front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic ridge extends westward along 16N-18N, and is
    supporting fresh trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across the
    central Caribbean S of 16N. Moderate or weaker winds and slight
    to moderate seas prevail elsewhere. An mid level trough is supporting
    scattered moderate convection north of 20N between 81W and 84W.

    For the forecast, an increasing pressure gradient between the
    Colombian Low and high pressure north of the Caribbean will boost
    trades to strong over the S central Caribbean from Tue night
    through the end of the week. Similarly, trades over the Gulf of
    Honduras will increase to fresh starting Tuesday night. A tropical
    wave moving through the E Caribbean will enhance showers and
    thunderstorms today and tomorrow over the SE Caribbean.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface ridge extending from a 1025 mb center of high pressure
    near 32N39W extends southwestward to near 24N71W. To the N of 23N
    and west of 67W, scattered to numerous moderate and isolated
    strong convection is occurring ahead of a stalling cold front
    along 31.5N and offshore of the Carolinas. Moderate to locally
    fresh S to SW winds prevail ahead of the front, north of 29N and
    between 61W and 69W. Another area of scattered moderate convection
    is found from 21N to 25N between 56.5W and 63W in association to
    an upper level low. Elsewhere N of 22N and W of 40W, moderate or
    lighter winds and moderate seas prevail. Across the tropical
    Atlantic S of 22N moderate to locally fresh trade winds prevail,
    with seas of 5-8 ft. A 1025 mb high pressure near the Azores is
    promoting moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds from the Canary
    Islands to 40W, where seas are 5 to 8 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge associated with the
    Bermuda High will remain farther south than usual - near 25N -
    through Fri. This in combination with a stationary front offshore
    of the Carolinas is forcing fresh to strong SW winds and scattered
    showers and thunderstorms north of 28N west of 65W for the next
    several days. Fresh to locally strong trades will develop just
    north of Hispaniola from Wed through Fri.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 29 Jul 2026 05:24:10 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 27 Jul 2026 19:07:10 GMT
  • Mon, 27 Jul 2026 17:24:10 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    951
    ABNT20 KNHC 271724
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Jul 27 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Adams/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 27 Jul 2026 16:35:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    781
    NOUS42 KNHC 271635
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1235 PM EDT MON 27 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-057 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. REMARK: AN 8-HOUR NOAA 43 TEST MISSION WILL BE CONDUCTED OFF
    THE NORTH CAROLINA COAST TUESDAY, DEPARTING KLAL AT 28/1400Z.
    ONE SMALL UAS WILL BE RELEASED.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. HURRICANE FAUSTO
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 78 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 79
    A. 28/2330Z A. 29/1130Z
    B. AFXXX 0706E FAUSTO B. AFXXX 0806E FAUSTO
    C. 28/2200Z C. 29/1030Z
    D. 22.3N 153.0W D. 22.6N 155.3W
    E. 28/2300Z TO 29/0230Z E. 29/1100Z TO 29/1430Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    3. REMARK: NOAA G-IV TRAINING MISSION AROUND HURRICANE GENEVIEVE,
    DEPARTING KLGB AT 28/1600Z.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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