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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 09:54:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 070954
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0940 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is E of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near 22W,
extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 5-10 kt. Numerous
moderate to strong convection extends from 06N to 20N between 11W
and 22W.
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 41W,
extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 53W,
extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection extends from 07N to 12N between 48W and 58W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak ridging extends from the southwestern Atlantic to the
western Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to
SE winds across the Gulf and slight seas. In the Bay of Campeche,
a surface trough is supporting moderate to fresh winds as well as
scattered showers. Otherwise, scattered showers associated with a
surface trough moving across the northern Bahamas are reaching the
SE Gulf.
For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will
dominate across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting
gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight
seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night as a
surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.
Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the
basin through Tue night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located NW of
Bermuda, and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf
of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to
fresh trades are elsewhere over the SW and E Caribbean with
moderate seas. Otherwise, an upper-level low centered between
Jamaica and Haiti is supporting scattered showers and
thunderstorms in the Windward Passage and the lee side of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
and portions of the SW basin through Tue night. Over the weekend,
the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and
to gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there,
building to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in
wind speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage through the forecast period, except over the
weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly
moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across the northern
Bahamas and adjacent waters due to a westward moving surface
trough. Aside from the shower activity, the trough is bringing
moderate to fresh E to SE winds to the Bahamas offshores along
with moderate to locally rough seas. Surface ridging dominate the
remainder subtropical Atlantic waters, thus providing moderate or
weaker winds between 30W and 65W. East of 30W, fresh to locally
strong NE winds and moderate seas prevail across the Canary
Islands and off Western Sahara.
For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
thunderstorms activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough
will bring fresh winds and moderate to rough seas across the
Bahamas offshores through this afternoon. Fresh E winds will
prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 09:54:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 070954
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0940 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the Bermuda
High and the Colombian low will continue to support fresh to strong
trades in the south-central and portions of the SW Caribbean
through Tue night. Over the weekend, the ridge N of the region
will shift southward, acting to increase the pressure gradient and
accelerating the winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela to near gale-force speed and to gale-force speed at
night. Rough seas will prevail there, building to very rough at
times this weekend with the increase in wind speed.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is E of the Cape Verde Islands with axis near 22W,
extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 5-10 kt. Numerous
moderate to strong convection extends from 06N to 20N between 11W
and 22W.
A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 41W,
extending from 05N to 19N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. No
significant convection is associated with this wave at this time.
A tropical wave is E of the Lesser Antilles with axis near 53W,
extending from 05N to 20N, and moving west at 15-20 kt. Scattered
moderate convection extends from 07N to 12N between 48W and 58W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N16W to 12N38W. The
ITCZ continues from 10N41W to 06N57W. Aside from the convection
associated with the tropical waves, limited convective activity is
noted elsewhere.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak ridging extends from the southwestern Atlantic to the
western Gulf. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate E to
SE winds across the Gulf and slight seas. In the Bay of Campeche,
a surface trough is supporting moderate to fresh winds as well as
scattered showers. Otherwise, scattered showers associated with a
surface trough moving across the northern Bahamas are reaching the
SE Gulf.
For the forecast, surface ridging from the Bermuda High will
dominate across most of the Gulf through late Tue, supporting
gentle to moderate E to SE winds north of 24N along with slight
seas. Pulses of fresh winds will occur north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each night as a
surface trough migrates from the Yucatan Peninsula to the SW Gulf.
Slight to moderate seas are forecast for this portion of the
basin through Tue night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between a 1025 mb high located NW of
Bermuda, and the Colombian low continues to support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf
of Venezuela, along with moderate to rough seas. Moderate to
fresh trades are elsewhere over the SW and E Caribbean with
moderate seas. Otherwise, an upper-level low centered between
Jamaica and Haiti is supporting scattered showers and
thunderstorms in the Windward Passage and the lee side of Cuba.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High
and relatively lower pressure in northern South America will
continue to support fresh to strong trades in the south-central
and portions of the SW basin through Tue night. Over the weekend,
the ridge N of the region will shift southward, acting to increase
the pressure gradient and accelerating the winds offshore
Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela to near gale-force speed and
to gale-force speed at night. Rough seas will prevail there,
building to very rough at times this weekend with the increase in
wind speed. Fresh winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras and
Windward Passage through the forecast period, except over the
weekend when winds may pulse to strong speed. Otherwise, mainly
moderate to fresh easterlies will prevail elsewhere.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active across the northern
Bahamas and adjacent waters due to a westward moving surface
trough. Aside from the shower activity, the trough is bringing
moderate to fresh E to SE winds to the Bahamas offshores along
with moderate to locally rough seas. Surface ridging dominate the
remainder subtropical Atlantic waters, thus providing moderate or
weaker winds between 30W and 65W. East of 30W, fresh to locally
strong NE winds and moderate seas prevail across the Canary
Islands and off Western Sahara.
For the forecast west of 55W, a westward moving surface trough
over the northern Bahamas offshores will support showers and
thunderstorms activity across the Florida seaboard and offshores
through this morning before shifting west of the area tonight into
early Sat. Aside from the shower activity, the surface trough
will bring fresh winds and moderate to rough seas across the
Bahamas offshores through this afternoon. Fresh E winds will
prevail N of Hispaniola and in the approaches of the Windward
Passage through the period, reaching strong speeds Sun night, Mon
night, and Tue night as the Bermuda High shifts southward.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 08 Aug 2026 23:35:13 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 07 Aug 2026 16:10:07 GMT - Fri, 07 Aug 2026 11:35:13 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 071135
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri Aug 7 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 07 Aug 2026 13:45:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
338
NOUS42 KNHC 071345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT FRI 07 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-068
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf