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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 11:03:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
979
AXNT20 KNHC 291103
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1055 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly,
is along 53W, south of 21N, moving westward at 20-25 kt. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms are occurring from 14N to 21N and
between 50W and 57W. Strong to gale-force winds are found in the
northern semicircle, along with rough to very rough seas, peaking
around 13 ft (4 m). This tropical wave will approach the waters
east of the Leeward Islands late today as a strong tropical wave,
with winds expected to diminish to 25-30 kt by then, below gale
conditions. Strong winds with gusts to gale-force, rough seas,
accompanied by squalls and thunderstorms will spread into the far
NE Caribbean, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico and the adjacent
waters Sat evening into early next week in association with this
tropical wave.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 16N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean, along 67W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 18N between 64W and 70W.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 81W, south
of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are evident in SW Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W to 08N31W. The ITCZ extends from 05N35W to
10N52W, then resumes from 10N56W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate
convection is present near the monsoon trough in the eastern
Atlantic.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak low pressure system in the northern Gulf waters and
divergence aloft are producing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over much of the basin east of 90W. Moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft are noted in the
Bay of Campeche, while weaker winds and slight seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak area of low pressure over the northern Gulf
waters is producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
These storms may produce gusty winds and higher seas. This system
is expected to remain nearly stationary over the next several
days. The low pressure has a low chance of tropical development
over the next 48 hours and 7 days. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support moderate or lighter winds and slight seas
over much of the basin through the middle of next week. Winds will
pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.
High pressure north of the area forces fresh to strong easterly
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate
to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the
north-central and eastern Caribbean and also in the Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a strong tropical wave, associated with the
remnants of Dolly, is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
This system will also bring gale conditions and rough to very
rough seas to the area east of the Lesser Antilles today. Strong
winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms will spread into the far NE
Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico tonight into early next
week. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressure over South America will
support strong trades and rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish some early next
week as the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure
gradient, but will increase again by the middle of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.
Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are found across
the waters between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly west of
65W. Converging middle level winds and a diffluent pattern aloft
are helping to induce this convective activity.
A ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a pair of surface highs north of our waters. The ridge
supports moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas across much of the forecast waters south of 26N and west of
35W. Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough
seas prevail N of 18N and E of 24N to the coast of west Africa,
including the Canary Islands. Primarily moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere to 35W, under the influence of the
ridge.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave, associated
with the remnants of Dolly, is producing a large area of showers
and thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
This system will also bring strong winds and rough to locally
very rough seas to the SE waters today. These conditions will
spread into the far NE Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
tonight into Mon and toward Hispaniola early next week. Elsewhere,
abundant moisture and an unstable atmosphere generate scattered
to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 65W.
Similar conditions are expected through early next week. At the
surface, the subtropical ridge will dominate the basin supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in the remainder
of the forecast waters. However, winds will pulse to locally
strong off northern Hispaniola through Sun night.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 11:03:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
979
AXNT20 KNHC 291103
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Aug 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1055 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A strong tropical wave, remnants of Dolly,
is along 53W, south of 21N, moving westward at 20-25 kt. Numerous
showers and thunderstorms are occurring from 14N to 21N and
between 50W and 57W. Strong to gale-force winds are found in the
northern semicircle, along with rough to very rough seas, peaking
around 13 ft (4 m). This tropical wave will approach the waters
east of the Leeward Islands late today as a strong tropical wave,
with winds expected to diminish to 25-30 kt by then, below gale
conditions. Strong winds with gusts to gale-force, rough seas,
accompanied by squalls and thunderstorms will spread into the far
NE Caribbean, the Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico and the adjacent
waters Sat evening into early next week in association with this
tropical wave.
Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
- https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 32W, south of 16N, moving westward at
around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted near this wave.
A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean, along 67W, south
of 17N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 13N to 18N between 64W and 70W.
A tropical wave is over the western Caribbean, along 81W, south
of 21N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers and
isolated thunderstorms are evident in SW Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W to 08N31W. The ITCZ extends from 05N35W to
10N52W, then resumes from 10N56W to 09N60W. Scattered moderate
convection is present near the monsoon trough in the eastern
Atlantic.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak low pressure system in the northern Gulf waters and
divergence aloft are producing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms over much of the basin east of 90W. Moderate to
locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 2-4 ft are noted in the
Bay of Campeche, while weaker winds and slight seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, a weak area of low pressure over the northern Gulf
waters is producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
These storms may produce gusty winds and higher seas. This system
is expected to remain nearly stationary over the next several
days. The low pressure has a low chance of tropical development
over the next 48 hours and 7 days. Elsewhere, a weak pressure
gradient will support moderate or lighter winds and slight seas
over much of the basin through the middle of next week. Winds will
pulse to fresh with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the
evenings due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the
peninsula each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.
High pressure north of the area forces fresh to strong easterly
winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate
to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the
north-central and eastern Caribbean and also in the Windward
Passage. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, a strong tropical wave, associated with the
remnants of Dolly, is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
This system will also bring gale conditions and rough to very
rough seas to the area east of the Lesser Antilles today. Strong
winds, rough seas, and thunderstorms will spread into the far NE
Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico tonight into early next
week. Otherwise, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the basin and lower pressure over South America will
support strong trades and rough seas over the south-central
Caribbean this weekend. These winds will diminish some early next
week as the aforementioned tropical wave disrupts the pressure
gradient, but will increase again by the middle of next week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A Gale Warning is in affect in association the remnants of Dolly.
Please, refer to the Special Features section for more details.
Scattered showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are found across
the waters between Bermuda and the Bahamas, particularly west of
65W. Converging middle level winds and a diffluent pattern aloft
are helping to induce this convective activity.
A ridge dominates the remainder of the Atlantic forecast waters,
anchored on a pair of surface highs north of our waters. The ridge
supports moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas across much of the forecast waters south of 26N and west of
35W. Farther east, fresh to strong NE winds and moderate to rough
seas prevail N of 18N and E of 24N to the coast of west Africa,
including the Canary Islands. Primarily moderate winds and
moderate seas prevail elsewhere to 35W, under the influence of the
ridge.
For the forecast west of 55W, a strong tropical wave, associated
with the remnants of Dolly, is producing a large area of showers
and thunderstorms a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands.
This system will also bring strong winds and rough to locally
very rough seas to the SE waters today. These conditions will
spread into the far NE Caribbean, Virgin Islands, and Puerto Rico
tonight into Mon and toward Hispaniola early next week. Elsewhere,
abundant moisture and an unstable atmosphere generate scattered
to numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms west of 65W.
Similar conditions are expected through early next week. At the
surface, the subtropical ridge will dominate the basin supporting
mainly moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas in the remainder
of the forecast waters. However, winds will pulse to locally
strong off northern Hispaniola through Sun night.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 30 Aug 2026 23:33:50 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:22:50 GMT - Sat, 29 Aug 2026 11:33:50 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
824
ABNT20 KNHC 291133
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat Aug 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
East of the Leeward Islands (Remnants of Dolly):
Showers and thunderstorms have increased this morning in
association with the remnants of Tropical Storm Dolly, located
several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands. However, there
are no signs that the system is developing a closed circulation.
Redevelopment of this system is unlikely while it moves westward to
west-northwestward near 25 mph. The wave could bring locally heavy
rains and gusty winds to portions of the Leeward Islands, the Virgin
Islands and Puerto Rico over the next several days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
Northeastern and North-Central Gulf of America:
Disorganized cloudiness and showers over portions of the
northeastern and north-central Gulf of America are associated with a
weak area of low pressure centered about 100 miles south-southwest
of Pensacola, Florida. Development, if any, of this system is
expected to be slow while it drifts westward for the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 29 Aug 2026 15:08:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 291508
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1110 AM EDT SAT 29 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-090
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE GULF OF AMERICA NEAR 28.5N 92.5W FOR 31/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
MISSION AROUND TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FOR 01/0000Z, DEPARTING
KLGB AT 31/1700Z.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND TROPICAL STORM
LOWELL FOR 02/0000Z, DEPARTING PHNL TENTATIVELY AT 01/1900Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO LOWELL FOR
02/1200Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 02/0800Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf