2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 27 Dec 2025 06:03:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 270603
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Dec 27 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0530 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western and Central Atlantic Significant Swell:

    A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central
    Atlantic across 31N50W to 28N70W. A new set of large NW swell
    behind the front is producing 12 to 17 ft seas north of 28N
    between 50W and 63W. Expect this area of rough to very rough seas
    to progress eastward through Sat night. Afterward, another set of
    NW swell will arrive and sustain very rough seas through early
    next week.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Sierra Leone coast near
    Freetown, then runs southwestward to 06N18W. An ITCZ continues
    west-southwestward from 06N18W to 03N30W to 01N42W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is observed up to 80 nm
    along either side of the ITCZ. Widely scattered showers are seen
    south of the monsoon trough from 04N to 06N between 10W and 16W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is triggering widely scattered showers at the
    western Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1019 mb high over the
    northeastern Gulf is dominating much of the Gulf with light to
    gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas north of 23N. South of 23N, gentle
    to moderate NE to E winds and seas of 2 to 3 ft prevail,
    including the Florida Straits and Bay of Campeche.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas across the
    Gulf through late Sun. The next cold front is expected to enter
    the northwestern Gulf early Mon, followed by fresh to strong
    northerly winds and rough seas, except gale conditions will be
    possible in the far west-central and southwestern Gulf by Mon
    night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Convergent trade winds continue to generate scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms at the western Gulf of Honduras, and off
    the Nicaragua coast. A broad subtropical ridge in the western
    Atlantic sustains a trade-wind regime across most of the Caribbean
    Sea. Fresh to strong NE winds and seas of 7 to 10 ft are present
    at the south-central basin. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4
    to 6 ft seas are noted at the north-central and part of the
    southwestern basin. Gentle to moderate ENE to E winds and seas at
    3 to 5 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds off
    Colombia through mid week, with moderate to fresh trade winds
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section at the beginning about
    the ongoing significant swell.

    A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central
    Atlantic across 31N50W to 28N70W, then continues northwestward as
    warm front to beyond 31N74W. Scattered moderate convection is
    evident near and up to 80 nm southeast of the cold front east of
    54W. Patchy showers are seen up to 50 nm south of the rest of the
    cold front. At the central Atlantic, convergent southerly winds
    near a surface trough is triggering scattered moderate convection
    north of 22N between 37W and 41W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
    section for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Outside of the large swell area described in the Special Features
    section, moderate to fresh with locally strong SW to NW winds and
    8 to 11 ft seas are noted north of 25N between 35W and 65W. West
    of 65W and north of 25N, gentle to moderate with locally fresh SW
    to W winds and 4 to 8 ft seas exist. To the south from 13N to 25N
    between 35W and the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, a broad subtropical
    ridge is supporting light to gentle winds and 6 to 10 ft seas in
    large NW swell. For the tropical Atlantic from 00Z to 13N and west
    of 35W, moderate to fresh NE to E winds with seas at 6 to 8 ft in
    mixed moderate swell prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move east of 35W
    through early Sun. Fresh to strong winds near the front will
    diminish through tonight. Large N swell following the front will
    mix with earlier large swell still covering the area east of 65W.
    Another cold front will move into the waters between northeast
    Florida and Bermuda by late Sat, and move east of 35W by early
    Mon, leaving a trailing stationary front to dissipate along 21N.
    Strong winds and additional large N swell follow this front across
    waters east of 70W into early next week. A third cold front will
    move off the northeast Florida coast Mon night, and will reach
    from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by late Tue, and from
    31N60W to central Cuba by late Wed.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 27 Dec 2025 06:03:33 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 270603
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Sat Dec 27 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0530 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Western and Central Atlantic Significant Swell:

    A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central
    Atlantic across 31N50W to 28N70W. A new set of large NW swell
    behind the front is producing 12 to 17 ft seas north of 28N
    between 50W and 63W. Expect this area of rough to very rough seas
    to progress eastward through Sat night. Afterward, another set of
    NW swell will arrive and sustain very rough seas through early
    next week.

    Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the Sierra Leone coast near
    Freetown, then runs southwestward to 06N18W. An ITCZ continues
    west-southwestward from 06N18W to 03N30W to 01N42W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is observed up to 80 nm
    along either side of the ITCZ. Widely scattered showers are seen
    south of the monsoon trough from 04N to 06N between 10W and 16W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is triggering widely scattered showers at the
    western Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a 1019 mb high over the
    northeastern Gulf is dominating much of the Gulf with light to
    gentle winds and 1 to 2 ft seas north of 23N. South of 23N, gentle
    to moderate NE to E winds and seas of 2 to 3 ft prevail,
    including the Florida Straits and Bay of Campeche.

    For the forecast, a weak pressure gradient will support gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas across the
    Gulf through late Sun. The next cold front is expected to enter
    the northwestern Gulf early Mon, followed by fresh to strong
    northerly winds and rough seas, except gale conditions will be
    possible in the far west-central and southwestern Gulf by Mon
    night.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Convergent trade winds continue to generate scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms at the western Gulf of Honduras, and off
    the Nicaragua coast. A broad subtropical ridge in the western
    Atlantic sustains a trade-wind regime across most of the Caribbean
    Sea. Fresh to strong NE winds and seas of 7 to 10 ft are present
    at the south-central basin. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4
    to 6 ft seas are noted at the north-central and part of the
    southwestern basin. Gentle to moderate ENE to E winds and seas at
    3 to 5 ft prevail elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the subtropical
    ridge and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds off
    Colombia through mid week, with moderate to fresh trade winds
    elsewhere.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section at the beginning about
    the ongoing significant swell.

    A cold front extends southwestward from the north-central
    Atlantic across 31N50W to 28N70W, then continues northwestward as
    warm front to beyond 31N74W. Scattered moderate convection is
    evident near and up to 80 nm southeast of the cold front east of
    54W. Patchy showers are seen up to 50 nm south of the rest of the
    cold front. At the central Atlantic, convergent southerly winds
    near a surface trough is triggering scattered moderate convection
    north of 22N between 37W and 41W. Refer to the Monsoon Trough/ITCZ
    section for additional convection in the Atlantic Basin.

    Outside of the large swell area described in the Special Features
    section, moderate to fresh with locally strong SW to NW winds and
    8 to 11 ft seas are noted north of 25N between 35W and 65W. West
    of 65W and north of 25N, gentle to moderate with locally fresh SW
    to W winds and 4 to 8 ft seas exist. To the south from 13N to 25N
    between 35W and the Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, a broad subtropical
    ridge is supporting light to gentle winds and 6 to 10 ft seas in
    large NW swell. For the tropical Atlantic from 00Z to 13N and west
    of 35W, moderate to fresh NE to E winds with seas at 6 to 8 ft in
    mixed moderate swell prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will move east of 35W
    through early Sun. Fresh to strong winds near the front will
    diminish through tonight. Large N swell following the front will
    mix with earlier large swell still covering the area east of 65W.
    Another cold front will move into the waters between northeast
    Florida and Bermuda by late Sat, and move east of 35W by early
    Mon, leaving a trailing stationary front to dissipate along 21N.
    Strong winds and additional large N swell follow this front across
    waters east of 70W into early next week. A third cold front will
    move off the northeast Florida coast Mon night, and will reach
    from Bermuda to Jupiter Inlet, Florida by late Tue, and from
    31N60W to central Cuba by late Wed.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 26 Dec 2025 13:49:13 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    213
    NOUS42 KNHC 261349
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EST FRI 26 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-026

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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