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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 09 Jun 2026 10:20:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091020
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Jun 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, from 15N to 05N, moving
west at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 43W, from 15N to 05N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the MONSOON
TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 54W, from 16N to 05N, moving
westward at around 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in
the MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 81W, south of 18N to 10N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The tropical wave is interacting
with a mid-level trough, which is enhancing convection. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is noted from 10N to 18N between
75W and 83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 11N15W
to 08N18W. The ITCZ extends from 08N18W to 04N51W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted within 240 nm N of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Surface ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1025 mb
high pressure centered over the NW Atlantic. A surface trough
is analyzed from 30N84W to 25N83W. Scattered showers are noted
in the vicinity of the trough N of 25N and E of 90W. To the SW,
another trough is analyzed from 22N91W to 19N92W. Scattered
moderate to strong convection prevails across the Bay of
Campeche W if the trough and S of 20N. Moderate to fresh E to SE
winds prevail over the Gulf waters W of 87W along with 3 to 6 ft
seas. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds prevail elsewhere along
with slight seas.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will continue to dominate the
Gulf region through the week, supporting gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to fresh
winds in the western Gulf. Slight to moderate seas will prevail.
The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
trough will support moderate to fresh E winds pulsing to fresh to
speeds during the evenings through Wed. A trough or weak low
pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay
of Campeche, on Thu through Fri night accompanied by numerous
showers and thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and
building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A strong pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge, a tropical
wave with axis along 79W, and T.S. Cristina in the Eastern
Pacific, offshore of Nicaragua, supports fresh to strong E to SE
winds with moderate seas in the NW Caribbean, including the Gulf
of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the aforementioned conditions will likely last
through the forecast period. In addition, a trough or weak low
pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay
of Campeche perhaps later Thu through Fri night, maintaining a
tight pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean and the Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly moderate
seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 27N73W to 23N75W. Another trough is
analyzed from 31N62W to 27N70W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are near and E of second trough mainly W of 57W.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N
of 20N, anchored by a 1033 mb high centered SW of the Azores near
36N34W. Moderate or weaker winds are N of 20N and W of 50W,
moderate to fresh NE to E winds are between 35W and 50W while
fresh to strong NE winds are elsewhere E of 35W along with rough
seas to 10 ft. Across the tropical Atlantic waters, winds are
moderate to fresh and seas moderate to 7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
remain nearly stationary through midweek. A weak cold front will
move across the N waters Tue, then move very slowly or stall on
Wed, gradually dissipating by Thu. High pressure in the wake of
the front will shift eastward north of the area through the end of
the week while weakening, with the associated ridge extending
toward Florida and southeastern Georgia. The related pressure
gradient will generally allow for gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas. Increasing moisture resulting in
unsettled weather conditions is likely to impact the far western
section of the basin during the week.
$$
ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 09 Jun 2026 10:20:50 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091020
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Jun 9 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1015 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 29W, from 15N to 05N, moving
west at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 43W, from 15N to 05N, moving
westward at 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the MONSOON
TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is near 54W, from 16N to 05N, moving
westward at around 10 to 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in
the MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 81W, south of 18N to 10N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. The tropical wave is interacting
with a mid-level trough, which is enhancing convection. Scattered
moderate to strong convection is noted from 10N to 18N between
75W and 83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 11N15W
to 08N18W. The ITCZ extends from 08N18W to 04N51W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted within 240 nm N of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Surface ridging prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1025 mb
high pressure centered over the NW Atlantic. A surface trough
is analyzed from 30N84W to 25N83W. Scattered showers are noted
in the vicinity of the trough N of 25N and E of 90W. To the SW,
another trough is analyzed from 22N91W to 19N92W. Scattered
moderate to strong convection prevails across the Bay of
Campeche W if the trough and S of 20N. Moderate to fresh E to SE
winds prevail over the Gulf waters W of 87W along with 3 to 6 ft
seas. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds prevail elsewhere along
with slight seas.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will continue to dominate the
Gulf region through the week, supporting gentle to moderate east
to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to fresh
winds in the western Gulf. Slight to moderate seas will prevail.
The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
trough will support moderate to fresh E winds pulsing to fresh to
speeds during the evenings through Wed. A trough or weak low
pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay
of Campeche, on Thu through Fri night accompanied by numerous
showers and thunderstorms along with fresh to strong winds and
building seas.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A strong pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge, a tropical
wave with axis along 79W, and T.S. Cristina in the Eastern
Pacific, offshore of Nicaragua, supports fresh to strong E to SE
winds with moderate seas in the NW Caribbean, including the Gulf
of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail
elsewhere.
For the forecast, the aforementioned conditions will likely last
through the forecast period. In addition, a trough or weak low
pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan Peninsula into the Bay
of Campeche perhaps later Thu through Fri night, maintaining a
tight pressure gradient over the NW Caribbean and the Gulf of
Honduras. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly moderate
seas will prevail.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A surface trough extends from 27N73W to 23N75W. Another trough is
analyzed from 31N62W to 27N70W. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are near and E of second trough mainly W of 57W.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the discussion waters N
of 20N, anchored by a 1033 mb high centered SW of the Azores near
36N34W. Moderate or weaker winds are N of 20N and W of 50W,
moderate to fresh NE to E winds are between 35W and 50W while
fresh to strong NE winds are elsewhere E of 35W along with rough
seas to 10 ft. Across the tropical Atlantic waters, winds are
moderate to fresh and seas moderate to 7 ft.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned trough will
remain nearly stationary through midweek. A weak cold front will
move across the N waters Tue, then move very slowly or stall on
Wed, gradually dissipating by Thu. High pressure in the wake of
the front will shift eastward north of the area through the end of
the week while weakening, with the associated ridge extending
toward Florida and southeastern Georgia. The related pressure
gradient will generally allow for gentle to moderate winds and
slight to moderate seas. Increasing moisture resulting in
unsettled weather conditions is likely to impact the far western
section of the basin during the week.
$$
ERA
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 10 Jun 2026 23:14:41 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 09 Jun 2026 15:30:49 GMT - Tue, 09 Jun 2026 11:14:41 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 091114
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 09 Jun 2026 13:50:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT TUE 09 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-009
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf