2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 20 Nov 2025 10:11:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201011
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 07N26W. The
    ITCZ continues from that point to 08N52W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection convection prevails along the monsoon
    trough from 04N to 14N.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure centered just offshore Florida continues to dominate
    Gulf weather, providing moderate or weaker SE winds and seas
    generally of 2 to 4 ft. The highest winds and seas are offshore
    TX and far NE Mexico, east of developing low pressure. The calmest
    conditions are offshore Florida.

    For the forecast, mainly moderate E to SE winds and slight to
    moderate seas will occur over the basin through the weekend as
    high pressure prevails over the southeastern U.S. Locally fresh NE
    winds will pulse in the eastern Bay of Campeche each afternoon
    and evening. Looking ahead, fresh to locally strong SE winds may
    develop over the northwestern Gulf for the start of next week as
    low pressure strengthens in the south- central U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough along 70W is inducing scattered moderate
    convection just south of Hispaniola. The eastern extension of the
    East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection along the Caribbean coast of Panama S
    of 11N. Fresh NE trades are present over much of the central and
    western basin, with gentle to moderate winds in the east. Moderate
    seas prevail. Locally strong winds and rough seas are present
    offshore Colombia.

    For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh E to NE winds
    are expected over the Caribbean into the start of next week as a
    moderate pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the
    north and low pressure in the south-central basin. Locally strong
    winds and rough seas will pulse offshore of Colombia starting this
    weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from a 1016 mb low near 32N55W to
    28N68W. Scattered moderate convection is along this front N of 28N
    between 58W and 65W. Extending south from the low is a surface
    trough that continues to 23N55W. Numerous moderate to isolated
    strong convection is noted along this trough N of 25N between 51W
    and 55W. In the far east Atlantic, a cold front stretches from
    31N19W to 27N25W to 29N34W. Fresh NE winds and rough seas follow
    this cold front. Elsewhere, winds and seas are mainly moderate or
    less across the entire basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to occasionally fresh NE
    winds are expected north of Hispaniola and Cuba and into the
    Bahamas through Fri as high pressure prevails over the
    southeastern U.S. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
    seas are expected elsewhere into the weekend. Increasing SW winds
    and building seas may occur offshore of northern Florida this
    weekend ahead of a cold front moving off the southeastern U.S.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 20 Nov 2025 10:11:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 201011
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Thu Nov 20 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N17W to 07N26W. The
    ITCZ continues from that point to 08N52W. Scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection convection prevails along the monsoon
    trough from 04N to 14N.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure centered just offshore Florida continues to dominate
    Gulf weather, providing moderate or weaker SE winds and seas
    generally of 2 to 4 ft. The highest winds and seas are offshore
    TX and far NE Mexico, east of developing low pressure. The calmest
    conditions are offshore Florida.

    For the forecast, mainly moderate E to SE winds and slight to
    moderate seas will occur over the basin through the weekend as
    high pressure prevails over the southeastern U.S. Locally fresh NE
    winds will pulse in the eastern Bay of Campeche each afternoon
    and evening. Looking ahead, fresh to locally strong SE winds may
    develop over the northwestern Gulf for the start of next week as
    low pressure strengthens in the south- central U.S.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough along 70W is inducing scattered moderate
    convection just south of Hispaniola. The eastern extension of the
    East Pacific monsoon trough is triggering scattered moderate to
    isolated strong convection along the Caribbean coast of Panama S
    of 11N. Fresh NE trades are present over much of the central and
    western basin, with gentle to moderate winds in the east. Moderate
    seas prevail. Locally strong winds and rough seas are present
    offshore Colombia.

    For the forecast, moderate to occasionally fresh E to NE winds
    are expected over the Caribbean into the start of next week as a
    moderate pressure gradient prevails between high pressure to the
    north and low pressure in the south-central basin. Locally strong
    winds and rough seas will pulse offshore of Colombia starting this
    weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A stationary front extends from a 1016 mb low near 32N55W to
    28N68W. Scattered moderate convection is along this front N of 28N
    between 58W and 65W. Extending south from the low is a surface
    trough that continues to 23N55W. Numerous moderate to isolated
    strong convection is noted along this trough N of 25N between 51W
    and 55W. In the far east Atlantic, a cold front stretches from
    31N19W to 27N25W to 29N34W. Fresh NE winds and rough seas follow
    this cold front. Elsewhere, winds and seas are mainly moderate or
    less across the entire basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, moderate to occasionally fresh NE
    winds are expected north of Hispaniola and Cuba and into the
    Bahamas through Fri as high pressure prevails over the
    southeastern U.S. Moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate
    seas are expected elsewhere into the weekend. Increasing SW winds
    and building seas may occur offshore of northern Florida this
    weekend ahead of a cold front moving off the southeastern U.S.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 21 Nov 2025 17:10:43 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 20 Nov 2025 10:50:09 GMT
  • Thu, 20 Nov 2025 05:10:43 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 200510
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Thu Nov 20 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 19 Nov 2025 16:24:56 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 191624
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1130 AM EST WED 19 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 20/1100Z TO 21/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-172

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC AND PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE
    NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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