2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 10 Jun 2026 06:10:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100610
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 40W, S of 14N, moving west at
    around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the MONSOON
    TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 50W, S of 15N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 60W, S of 18N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. There is no significant convection
    associated with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
    and extends SW to 06N24W. The ITCZ extends from 06N24W to
    05N40W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted from 04N to 11N between 09W and 19W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 02N to 10N between 31W and 57W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge associated with a 1021 mb high over northern
    Georgia extends southwestward across the north-central and eastern
    Gulf. The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressure
    around TS Cristina and the eastern Pacific monsoon circulation is
    supporting moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds over the SE Gulf
    as well as the western half of the Gulf. Seas are 3-7 ft across
    these waters, with the highest seas of 5 to 7 ft being across the
    Yucatan adjacent waters and the Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere in the
    NE Gulf, winds are moderate or weaker and seas slight. Otherwise,
    scattered to isolated showers are ongoing across the waters from
    the Yucatan Channel to the Florida Panhandle and south of the
    Florida Big Bend.

    For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the
    Gulf region the next few days, supporting gentle to moderate east
    to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to fresh
    winds in the western Gulf through much of this week. Slight to
    moderate seas will also prevail. The exception will be off the
    Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will support fresh E winds
    pulsing to strong speeds during the evenings through Wed. A
    trough or weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan
    Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night,
    accompanied by numerous showers and thunderstorms along with fresh
    to strong winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and T.S.
    Cristina in the Eastern Pacific offshore of Nicaragua supports
    moderate to fresh winds with moderate seas in the north-central
    and NW Caribbean W of 75W. Gentle to moderate trades and moderate
    seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will strengthen slightly
    the next few days as high pressure moves into the W Atlantic,
    leading to widespread moderate to fresh trades with fresh to
    strong E winds in the south-central and NW Caribbean, including
    the Gulf of Honduras. These conditions will prevail through the
    forecast period. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly
    moderate seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N60W to 29N70W to 31N78W.
    Thunderstorms persist east of the southern Bahamas near the
    southern end of a surface pre-frontal trough extending from
    30N55W to 22N65W. With these features, there is a weak pressure
    gradient over the SW N Atlantic waters, which is resulting in
    mainly light to gentle winds and slight seas, except for moderate
    winds and moderate seas to 5 ft in the vicinity of the front.
    The Azores High dominates the remainder of the discussion waters
    N of 17N. A strong pressure gradient between the High and lower
    pressure over NW Africa continue to support fresh to strong NE
    winds and moderate to rough seas N of 20N and E of 35W. Moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas are ongoing elsewhere in the
    subtropical Atlantic. In the tropical Atlantic, the passage of two
    tropical waves is supporting moderate to fresh trades between 40W
    and the Lesser Antilles along with 7 to 8 ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, weak low pressure may form along
    the surface trough Wed near 25N65W, which will then dissipate
    through Thu as it moves to the northeast along with the trough.
    Meanwhile, the cold front will stall along 30N east of 75W
    through late Wed, then will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak
    low pressure. The Atlantic ridge will build across the region late
    Thu through Fri along roughly 25N. Looking ahead, this pattern
    will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola
    at night from Fri night through Sun night.

    $$
    Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 10 Jun 2026 06:10:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 100610
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Wed Jun 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0550 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 40W, S of 14N, moving west at
    around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the MONSOON
    TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 50W, S of 15N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. Nearby convection is discussed in the
    MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ section below.

    The axis of a tropical wave is near 60W, S of 18N, moving
    westward at around 15 kt. There is no significant convection
    associated with this wave at this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends off the coast of Africa near 12N16W
    and extends SW to 06N24W. The ITCZ extends from 06N24W to
    05N40W to 05N52W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection
    is noted from 04N to 11N between 09W and 19W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 02N to 10N between 31W and 57W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface ridge associated with a 1021 mb high over northern
    Georgia extends southwestward across the north-central and eastern
    Gulf. The pressure gradient between this ridge and lower pressure
    around TS Cristina and the eastern Pacific monsoon circulation is
    supporting moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds over the SE Gulf
    as well as the western half of the Gulf. Seas are 3-7 ft across
    these waters, with the highest seas of 5 to 7 ft being across the
    Yucatan adjacent waters and the Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere in the
    NE Gulf, winds are moderate or weaker and seas slight. Otherwise,
    scattered to isolated showers are ongoing across the waters from
    the Yucatan Channel to the Florida Panhandle and south of the
    Florida Big Bend.

    For the forecast, surface ridging will continue to dominate the
    Gulf region the next few days, supporting gentle to moderate east
    to southeast winds over the eastern Gulf, and moderate to fresh
    winds in the western Gulf through much of this week. Slight to
    moderate seas will also prevail. The exception will be off the
    Yucatan Peninsula, where a daily trough will support fresh E winds
    pulsing to strong speeds during the evenings through Wed. A
    trough or weak low pressure center may emerge from the Yucatan
    Peninsula into the Bay of Campeche on Thu through Fri night,
    accompanied by numerous showers and thunderstorms along with fresh
    to strong winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge and T.S.
    Cristina in the Eastern Pacific offshore of Nicaragua supports
    moderate to fresh winds with moderate seas in the north-central
    and NW Caribbean W of 75W. Gentle to moderate trades and moderate
    seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will strengthen slightly
    the next few days as high pressure moves into the W Atlantic,
    leading to widespread moderate to fresh trades with fresh to
    strong E winds in the south-central and NW Caribbean, including
    the Gulf of Honduras. These conditions will prevail through the
    forecast period. Elsewhere, moderate to fresh winds and mostly
    moderate seas will prevail.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from 31N60W to 29N70W to 31N78W.
    Thunderstorms persist east of the southern Bahamas near the
    southern end of a surface pre-frontal trough extending from
    30N55W to 22N65W. With these features, there is a weak pressure
    gradient over the SW N Atlantic waters, which is resulting in
    mainly light to gentle winds and slight seas, except for moderate
    winds and moderate seas to 5 ft in the vicinity of the front.
    The Azores High dominates the remainder of the discussion waters
    N of 17N. A strong pressure gradient between the High and lower
    pressure over NW Africa continue to support fresh to strong NE
    winds and moderate to rough seas N of 20N and E of 35W. Moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas are ongoing elsewhere in the
    subtropical Atlantic. In the tropical Atlantic, the passage of two
    tropical waves is supporting moderate to fresh trades between 40W
    and the Lesser Antilles along with 7 to 8 ft seas.

    For the forecast west of 55W, weak low pressure may form along
    the surface trough Wed near 25N65W, which will then dissipate
    through Thu as it moves to the northeast along with the trough.
    Meanwhile, the cold front will stall along 30N east of 75W
    through late Wed, then will shift northward Thu ahead of the weak
    low pressure. The Atlantic ridge will build across the region late
    Thu through Fri along roughly 25N. Looking ahead, this pattern
    will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds north of Hispaniola
    at night from Fri night through Sun night.

    $$
    Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 11 Jun 2026 17:09:57 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 10 Jun 2026 06:40:12 GMT
  • Wed, 10 Jun 2026 05:09:57 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    606
    ABNT20 KNHC 100509
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 09 Jun 2026 13:50:39 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 091350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT TUE 09 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-009

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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