SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ 
Shop Store For Essentials
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 12 Aug 2026 10:24:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
143
AXNT20 KNHC 121024 CCA
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization along a tropical wave located over the central
Atlantic along 38W-39W. An associated 1011 mb low center is
located near 11N36.5W. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development over the next few days and a tropical
depression will likely form within a couple of days while the
system moves W to W-NW at 10 to 15 kt across the central tropical
Atlantic. There is a high chance for tropical formation in the
next 7 days.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving away from the African coast, and is
along 21W, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted ahead of this wave from 08N to 12.5N
between 20W and 24.5W.
See the Special Features section above for information on a
tropical wave along 38W-39W. Low pressure near 11N36.5W
associated with this wave is likely to develop into a tropical
depression over the next couple of days. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 08.5N to 13.5N between 33.5W and 38.5W
The axis of a tropical wave is along 59W extending southward from
18N, moving west at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 11N to 18N between 56W and 61.5W.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 71W S of 22N, crossing
Hispaniola, moving west at around 20 kt. Widely scattered
moderate convection is occurring over Hispaniola and the adjacent
coastal waters.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 87W, S of 21N, extending
through the Gulf of Honduras southward into the far eastern
Pacific, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 14N to 21N and W of 83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.50N17W and
extends to 11.5N22W to 1011 mb low pres near 11N36.5W to 10.5N52W.
Aside from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 13N between
24W and 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Western Atlantic high pressure extends a ridge along 27N-28N,
across Florida and into the N Gulf waters, where a 1019 mb high is
found near 27.5N84.5W. A surface trough has moved westward
offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the eastern Bay of
Campeche, and has triggered scattered moderate convection over the
eastern half of the Bay of Campeche south of 21N. Light winds
prevail across the NE Gulf near the high center, while gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and 2 to 5 ft seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast, the current ridge extends across the northern
Gulf will change little through Sat before weakening Sun. This
pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
evening and night, as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See the Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
impacting the basin.
The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area along 27N-28N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
winds over the central Caribbean south of 17N, with associated
rough seas to 11 ft near the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong
NE winds are also funneling through the Windward Passage. Mainly
moderate winds and seas prevail over the remaining waters.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient induced by the Atlantic
ridge to the north will continue to support fresh to strong
trades over the central portion of the basin through Wed night.
The ridge will begin to strengthen modestly behind a tropical wave
entering the eastern Caribbean Wed night, leading to a
significant expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the
central and eastern portions of the basin through Sat. Winds may
increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia Fri night and Sat
night.
Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms associated with a
tropical wave over the central Atlantic are showing signs of
improved organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter
half of this week while the system moves westward to west-
northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic, and reaches
the Lesser Antilles over the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central Atlantic.
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 27.5N50W, and extending from 25W to
Florida. Mainly gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 23N and
west of 25W, with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh
trade winds are noted S of 24N, with moderate seas. Overnight
satellite scatterometer winds showed broad cyclonic winds between
30W and 40W about Invest AL92, with pockets of winds 20-25 kt.
Seas are 5 to 8 ft in this area. Offshore Africa, fresh to
locally strong NE winds extend from the Canary Islands to 19N then
become moderate across the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas of 5 to 8 ft
prevail across this area. Saharan Air continues to dominate much
of the basin N of 14N between Africa and 60W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure ridge will
sink slightly southward Thu, then change little through Fri
night, before weakening over the weekend. Winds will freshen from
E to W, and south of 23N early Thu through Sat, behind a tropical
wave moving across the Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and
in the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse to strong
speeds each night. Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave over the central Atlantic are
showing signs of improved organization tonight. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development
during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression will
likely form during the latter half of this week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic, and reaches the Lesser Antilles over the weekend.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 12 Aug 2026 10:24:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
143
AXNT20 KNHC 121024 CCA
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Wed Aug 12 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization along a tropical wave located over the central
Atlantic along 38W-39W. An associated 1011 mb low center is
located near 11N36.5W. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development over the next few days and a tropical
depression will likely form within a couple of days while the
system moves W to W-NW at 10 to 15 kt across the central tropical
Atlantic. There is a high chance for tropical formation in the
next 7 days.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is moving away from the African coast, and is
along 21W, moving W at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted ahead of this wave from 08N to 12.5N
between 20W and 24.5W.
See the Special Features section above for information on a
tropical wave along 38W-39W. Low pressure near 11N36.5W
associated with this wave is likely to develop into a tropical
depression over the next couple of days. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 08.5N to 13.5N between 33.5W and 38.5W
The axis of a tropical wave is along 59W extending southward from
18N, moving west at around 20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
is noted from 11N to 18N between 56W and 61.5W.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 71W S of 22N, crossing
Hispaniola, moving west at around 20 kt. Widely scattered
moderate convection is occurring over Hispaniola and the adjacent
coastal waters.
The axis of a tropical wave is along 87W, S of 21N, extending
through the Gulf of Honduras southward into the far eastern
Pacific, moving W at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered to numerous moderate
isolated strong convection is noted from 14N to 21N and W of 83W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14.50N17W and
extends to 11.5N22W to 1011 mb low pres near 11N36.5W to 10.5N52W.
Aside from the convection mentioned in the tropical waves section,
scattered moderate convection is noted from 07N to 13N between
24W and 52W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Western Atlantic high pressure extends a ridge along 27N-28N,
across Florida and into the N Gulf waters, where a 1019 mb high is
found near 27.5N84.5W. A surface trough has moved westward
offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the eastern Bay of
Campeche, and has triggered scattered moderate convection over the
eastern half of the Bay of Campeche south of 21N. Light winds
prevail across the NE Gulf near the high center, while gentle to
moderate E to SE winds and 2 to 5 ft seas are elsewhere.
For the forecast, the current ridge extends across the northern
Gulf will change little through Sat before weakening Sun. This
pattern will produce mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds
across the basin, with pulses of fresh winds occurring north and
west of the Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each
evening and night, as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the
Yucatan Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See the Tropical Waves section above for information on convection
impacting the basin.
The pressure gradient between Atlantic high pressure north of the
area along 27N-28N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong
winds over the central Caribbean south of 17N, with associated
rough seas to 11 ft near the coast of Colombia. Fresh to strong
NE winds are also funneling through the Windward Passage. Mainly
moderate winds and seas prevail over the remaining waters.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient induced by the Atlantic
ridge to the north will continue to support fresh to strong
trades over the central portion of the basin through Wed night.
The ridge will begin to strengthen modestly behind a tropical wave
entering the eastern Caribbean Wed night, leading to a
significant expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the
central and eastern portions of the basin through Sat. Winds may
increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia Fri night and Sat
night.
Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms associated with a
tropical wave over the central Atlantic are showing signs of
improved organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to
become more conducive for development during the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression will likely form during the latter
half of this week while the system moves westward to west-
northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic, and reaches
the Lesser Antilles over the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central Atlantic.
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1021 mb high centered near 27.5N50W, and extending from 25W to
Florida. Mainly gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 23N and
west of 25W, with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh
trade winds are noted S of 24N, with moderate seas. Overnight
satellite scatterometer winds showed broad cyclonic winds between
30W and 40W about Invest AL92, with pockets of winds 20-25 kt.
Seas are 5 to 8 ft in this area. Offshore Africa, fresh to
locally strong NE winds extend from the Canary Islands to 19N then
become moderate across the Cabo Verde Islands. Seas of 5 to 8 ft
prevail across this area. Saharan Air continues to dominate much
of the basin N of 14N between Africa and 60W.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic high pressure ridge will
sink slightly southward Thu, then change little through Fri
night, before weakening over the weekend. Winds will freshen from
E to W, and south of 23N early Thu through Sat, behind a tropical
wave moving across the Caribbean. Fresh trades N of Hispaniola and
in the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse to strong
speeds each night. Looking ahead, showers and thunderstorms
associated with a tropical wave over the central Atlantic are
showing signs of improved organization tonight. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become more conducive for development
during the next couple of days, and a tropical depression will
likely form during the latter half of this week while the system
moves westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic, and reaches the Lesser Antilles over the weekend.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 23:51:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 12 Aug 2026 13:52:12 GMT - Wed, 12 Aug 2026 11:51:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 121151
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 12 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Tropical Atlantic (AL92):
An area of showers and thunderstorms associated with a tropical wave
is located about 900 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde
Islands. Environmental conditions are forecast to be conducive for
development during the next couple of days, and a tropical
depression will likely form while the system moves westward to
west-northwestward across the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...80 percent.
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL93):
An area of low pressure is located about 1050 miles east-northeast
of Bermuda. The circulation is elongated, and the associated
showers and thunderstorms are displaced to the east. The system is
producing an area of gale force winds to its south and east. Some
development of this system is still possible through tonight, and a
short-lived tropical storm could form while it moves eastward to
east-northeastward at around 20 mph across the central subtropical
Atlantic. The system is forecast to reach cooler waters by Thursday,
ending its chances of formation. Addition information on this system
is found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave just offshore of the coast of west Africa is
producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Environmental
conditions are forecast to be generally conducive for some
development of this system during the next several days while it
moves westward or west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
&&
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service
can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01
KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Adams/Katz/Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 11 Aug 2026 14:38:07 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 111438
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1040 AM EDT TUE 11 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 12/1100Z TO 13/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-072
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. SUSPECT AREA (CENTRAL PACIFIC - CP93)
FLIGHT ONE - NOAA 49 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 42
A. 13/0000Z A. 13/0000Z
B. NOAA9 02AAC SURV B. NOAA2 03AAC TDR
C. 12/1730Z C. 12/2000Z
D. NA D. 14.0N 143.0W
E. NA E. 12/2200Z TO 13/0230Z
F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT F. SFC TO 15,000 FT
G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR
H. NO WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. POSSIBLE FIX MISSION INTO CP93 NEAR 15.7N 145.0W FOR
13/1800Z.
B. NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND
CP93 FOR 14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/1730Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO CP93 FOR
14/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 13/2000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf