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DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 05 Feb 2026 10:51:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051050
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Feb 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings...
A Strong Cold Front:
A strong cold front moving off the southeast U.S. coast today is
going to produce widespread fresh to near gale-force SW to NW
winds off eastern Florida and over the Bahamas. By this evening,
these winds near 30N76W will reach gale-force, along with 9 to 11
ft seas. As the cold front pushes farther eastward Fri and Fri
night, gale-force winds will spread into the central Atlantic,
north of 28N between 60W and 70W. Peak seas will also build to
between 12 and 15 ft. This area of gale-force winds and very rough
seas will shift farther eastward on Sat, and then northeastward
to north of 31N on Sat night.
A Deepening Low Pressure:
A low pressure is expected to enter the Atlantic along the North
Carolina coast on Fri night, then rapidly deepen as it track
eastward into the western Atlantic. It will produce a large area
of westerly gale-force winds north of 28N between 62W and 72W.
Seas will peak at 12 to 18 ft. These winds and seas are going to
move eastward, to north of 26N between 54W and 70W on Sun with
seas build higher to between 22 and 29 ft. Once the low has
pulled farther northeastward into the north-central Atlantic,
conditions should gradually improve starting Sun night.
Central Atlantic Significant Swell Event:
Seas at 12 to 16 ft in large NW swell, north of 27N and east of
45W will continue to slide eastward through tonight, and shift
east of 35W by early Fri morning.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on
all three events above.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea,
then curves southwestward to 03N19W. The ITCZ continues west-
southwestward from 03N19W to 00N38W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring near both features from 01S to 07N
between 10W and 33W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front curves southwestward from Cedar Key, Florida to just
north of Tampico, Mexico. Fresh to near gale-force N to NNE winds
and rough seas to 11 ft follow this front. Ahead of the front, a
surface trough extends along the offshore waters from Tampico to
Veracruz, generating some showers. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds
are ahead of the front across the E Bay of Campeche and the far SE
basin.
For the forecast, the cold front is forecast to move southward
across the Gulf waters through early this afternoon. The front
will continue to bring fresh to near gale-force N wind and rough
seas across much of the Gulf through early this evening when
conditions are forecast to improve from west to east. High
pressure will build over the NW Gulf in the wake of the front and
will remain in control of the weather pattern across the basin
through Mon.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tail of a stationary front extends from the northern Leeward
Islands westward to the SE offshore waters of Puerto Rico. A
surfarce trough extends from south-central Cuba to the eastern
Gulf of Honduras and is generating scattered showers and tstms,
including the Grand Cayman Islands. Otherwise, a tight pressure
gradient between the Atlantic subropical ridge and the low
pressure over NW Colombia continue to support a broad area of
fresh to locally strong trade winds over the central Caribbean
where seas are up to 9 ft.
For the forecast, the tail of the stationary front is forecast to
dissipate this morning. A cold front, currently moving across the
Gulf of America, will reach the NW Caribbean early this afternoon
and will merge with a surface trough that currently extends from
south-central Cuba to the offshore waters of E Honduras. Fresh to
strong N winds and building seas will follow this front, forecast
to reach from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras tonight and
from Haiti to Panama Fri morning where it will start to weaken.
Fresh to strong N winds with rough seas in the SW Caribbean
associated with the front will persist through Sat, diminishing to
moderate to fresh speeds Sat night into Sun.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for details on two Gale
Warnings and Significant Swell.
A cold front extends from 31N20W to 25N35W to 22N48W where it
stalls and then continues across the far SE offshore waters,
to the northern Leeward Islands. The remainder subtropical
Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge centered by a
1024 mb high just E of Bermuda. Moderate to fresh SW winds are
ongoing over the central and NE Florida offshore waters ahead of
the new cold front. Winds of similar speed are along the
cold/stationary boundary.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will begin to
lift N today while weakening. A cold front will move off NE
Florida today. Gale-force winds and rough seas are expected on
either side of the front, across the waters N of 26N, from this
evening through Fri evening. The front will reach from near
Bermuda to Hispaniola by Fri morning, and from 30N55W to Puerto
Rico Fri night into early Sat. Following this front, a strong low
pressure building N of the forecast region could bring a second
round of gale-force winds and very rough to high seas across the N
waters N of 25N Sat through Sun.
$$
Ramos
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 05 Feb 2026 10:51:06 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051050
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Feb 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1040 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Western and Central Atlantic Gale Warnings...
A Strong Cold Front:
A strong cold front moving off the southeast U.S. coast today is
going to produce widespread fresh to near gale-force SW to NW
winds off eastern Florida and over the Bahamas. By this evening,
these winds near 30N76W will reach gale-force, along with 9 to 11
ft seas. As the cold front pushes farther eastward Fri and Fri
night, gale-force winds will spread into the central Atlantic,
north of 28N between 60W and 70W. Peak seas will also build to
between 12 and 15 ft. This area of gale-force winds and very rough
seas will shift farther eastward on Sat, and then northeastward
to north of 31N on Sat night.
A Deepening Low Pressure:
A low pressure is expected to enter the Atlantic along the North
Carolina coast on Fri night, then rapidly deepen as it track
eastward into the western Atlantic. It will produce a large area
of westerly gale-force winds north of 28N between 62W and 72W.
Seas will peak at 12 to 18 ft. These winds and seas are going to
move eastward, to north of 26N between 54W and 70W on Sun with
seas build higher to between 22 and 29 ft. Once the low has
pulled farther northeastward into the north-central Atlantic,
conditions should gradually improve starting Sun night.
Central Atlantic Significant Swell Event:
Seas at 12 to 16 ft in large NW swell, north of 27N and east of
45W will continue to slide eastward through tonight, and shift
east of 35W by early Fri morning.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecasts
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details on
all three events above.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea,
then curves southwestward to 03N19W. The ITCZ continues west-
southwestward from 03N19W to 00N38W. Scattered moderate
convection is occurring near both features from 01S to 07N
between 10W and 33W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front curves southwestward from Cedar Key, Florida to just
north of Tampico, Mexico. Fresh to near gale-force N to NNE winds
and rough seas to 11 ft follow this front. Ahead of the front, a
surface trough extends along the offshore waters from Tampico to
Veracruz, generating some showers. Moderate to fresh W to NW winds
are ahead of the front across the E Bay of Campeche and the far SE
basin.
For the forecast, the cold front is forecast to move southward
across the Gulf waters through early this afternoon. The front
will continue to bring fresh to near gale-force N wind and rough
seas across much of the Gulf through early this evening when
conditions are forecast to improve from west to east. High
pressure will build over the NW Gulf in the wake of the front and
will remain in control of the weather pattern across the basin
through Mon.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tail of a stationary front extends from the northern Leeward
Islands westward to the SE offshore waters of Puerto Rico. A
surfarce trough extends from south-central Cuba to the eastern
Gulf of Honduras and is generating scattered showers and tstms,
including the Grand Cayman Islands. Otherwise, a tight pressure
gradient between the Atlantic subropical ridge and the low
pressure over NW Colombia continue to support a broad area of
fresh to locally strong trade winds over the central Caribbean
where seas are up to 9 ft.
For the forecast, the tail of the stationary front is forecast to
dissipate this morning. A cold front, currently moving across the
Gulf of America, will reach the NW Caribbean early this afternoon
and will merge with a surface trough that currently extends from
south-central Cuba to the offshore waters of E Honduras. Fresh to
strong N winds and building seas will follow this front, forecast
to reach from eastern Cuba to the Gulf of Honduras tonight and
from Haiti to Panama Fri morning where it will start to weaken.
Fresh to strong N winds with rough seas in the SW Caribbean
associated with the front will persist through Sat, diminishing to
moderate to fresh speeds Sat night into Sun.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the Special Features section for details on two Gale
Warnings and Significant Swell.
A cold front extends from 31N20W to 25N35W to 22N48W where it
stalls and then continues across the far SE offshore waters,
to the northern Leeward Islands. The remainder subtropical
Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge centered by a
1024 mb high just E of Bermuda. Moderate to fresh SW winds are
ongoing over the central and NE Florida offshore waters ahead of
the new cold front. Winds of similar speed are along the
cold/stationary boundary.
For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will begin to
lift N today while weakening. A cold front will move off NE
Florida today. Gale-force winds and rough seas are expected on
either side of the front, across the waters N of 26N, from this
evening through Fri evening. The front will reach from near
Bermuda to Hispaniola by Fri morning, and from 30N55W to Puerto
Rico Fri night into early Sat. Following this front, a strong low
pressure building N of the forecast region could bring a second
round of gale-force winds and very rough to high seas across the N
waters N of 25N Sat through Sun.
$$
Ramos
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 05 Feb 2026 14:40:11 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 04 Feb 2026 18:20:13 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041820
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0120 PM EST WED 04 FEBRUARY 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z FEBRUARY 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-066
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 77
A. 05/1800Z
B. AFXXX 26WSE IOP25
C. 05/1700Z
D. 10 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
25.0N 150.0W, 40.0N 150.0W, 40.0N 125.0W, AND 25.0N 125.0W
E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 05/1430Z TO 05/2030Z
2. FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
A. 06/0000Z
B. NOAA9 27WSE IOP25
C. 05/1900Z
D. 35 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
25.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 125.0W, AND 25.0N 125.0W
E. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT/ 05/2030Z TO 06/0230Z
F. THE FIRST FIVE DROPSONDES WILL BE RELEASED PRIOR TO 05/2030Z
FOR THE 05/1800Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND
THE NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MAY FLY TWO CONCURRENT ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS
MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE 07/0000Z
SYNOPTIC TIME.
4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
AN ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE CENTRAL PACIFIC FOR THE
08/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf