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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:14:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 190014
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    western Atlantic high pressure ridge north of the basin roughly
    along 27N-28N and the Colombian low will continue to support
    pulsing northeast to east winds to gale force over the waters
    north of Colombia tonight. Otherwise, strong to near-gale force
    trade winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the
    central Caribbean into early Mon before becoming confined to
    south of 15N. Rough to very rough seas, in the 12 to 14 ft range,
    will develop during the times of peak winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (Invest AL91): Satellite
    images and surface observations indicate that a broad surface low is
    located over the eastern Gulf of America. Within this area of broad
    low pressure, a 1015 mb low is analyzed over the eastern Gulf near
    27N84.5W. Presently, winds are light. Satellite imagery shows
    disorganized moderate to isolated strong convection from 26N to 28N
    between 85W and 88W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are elsewhere from 23N to 29N east of 90W. This activity may produce
    gusty winds, frequent lightning and rough seas. Mariners should
    exercise caution across this area. Gradual development of this
    system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression while
    it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few
    days. Interests along the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and
    southwestern Georgia should monitor the progress of this system as
    it is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of that region during
    the next several days. This system has a medium chance for tropical
    cyclone formation during the next 48 hours. Please refer to the
    latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from
    03N to 20N moving westward near 15 kt. Isolated showers are
    near axis from 04N to 10N and from 15N to 20N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55W south
    of 18N to inland South America. It is moving westward around
    20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 10N between
    52W and 58W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
    continues southwestward to 16N23W and to 07N42W, where it
    transitions to the ITCZ to 07N45W and to 07N52W. Scattered
    moderate convection is south of the trough from 09N to 13N
    between 19W-24W. A 1012 low is near 12N20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on a broad
    low pressure area over the eastern section of the Gulf that has a
    medium chance for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48
    hours.

    Elsewhere, a 1021 mb high center that is located south-southwest of
    Louisiana continues to basically control the wind regime throughout
    the basin generally maintaining gentle to moderate winds. Slight to
    moderate seas pretty much prevail.

    For the forecast, the low pressure will slowly move northward
    or north-northwestward during the next few days bringing heavy
    rain to the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern
    Georgia. There is a medium chance of tropical formation with this
    system through the next 48 hours. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will
    dominate, producing gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate
    seas through early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
    near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
    section for more details. Winds are expected to peak to gale force
    tonight.

    The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
    relatively lower pressure to its south is generally sustaining
    strong to near gale-force trades over the central Caribbean, with
    the strongest winds of near gale force noted offshore Colombia
    per latest satellite scatterometer data passes. Latest satellite
    altimeter data passes indicate rough to very rough seas to 14 ft
    over these same waters. Meanwhile, the latest satellite
    scatterometer data passes show mostly fresh trades south of about
    18N and east of 82W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft over these waters. Light
    to gentle trades along with slight to moderate seas are present
    elsewhere.

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms are over the southeastern
    part of the basin, and also from 10N to 14N west of 82W to
    inland Nicaragua and northern Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
    pressure ridge axis oriented along 27N-28N and the Colombian low
    will support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
    Colombia early tonight. Otherwise, strong to near-gale force
    trade winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the
    central Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to south of
    15N. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each this
    evening and on Sun evening in the Windward Passage.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak trough is analyzed from near 31N32W to 28N35W. Another
    weak trough is from 31N37W to 26N40W. Isolated weak showers are
    seen north of 25N between 30W and 50W. Otherwise, broad high
    pressure, anchored by a 1025 mb high centered near 29N56W,
    covers the central Atlantic and reaches westward to near 76W. The
    related gradient is generally allowing for moderate to fresh
    trades south of about 25N and west of 46W, and from 15N to 24N
    east of 35W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over these waters, except for
    higher seas of 5 to 7 ft from 08N to 20N between 54W and the
    Lesser Antilles. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds are
    north of 20N and east of 20W to along the coast of Africa.
    Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Latest satellite scatterometer
    data passes reveal south to southwest winds of 10 to 15 kt south
    of the monsoon trough, and east to southeast winds of 10 to 15
    kt south of the ITCZ. Seas are mostly 4 to 6 ft over these
    waters. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate seas are
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western periphery of the
    Atlantic high pressure will gradually weaken and drift northward
    through the rest of the weekend as a broad surface trough forms
    E of 50W. This trough will shift westward and reach 65W by Wed.
    Moderate to fresh trades will prevail south of 24N, with gentle
    winds to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected during the
    evenings this weekend N of Hispaniola and in the Windward
    Passage.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:14:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 190014
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jul 19 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0000 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURE...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
    western Atlantic high pressure ridge north of the basin roughly
    along 27N-28N and the Colombian low will continue to support
    pulsing northeast to east winds to gale force over the waters
    north of Colombia tonight. Otherwise, strong to near-gale force
    trade winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the
    central Caribbean into early Mon before becoming confined to
    south of 15N. Rough to very rough seas, in the 12 to 14 ft range,
    will develop during the times of peak winds.

    Please read the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST
    issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (Invest AL91): Satellite
    images and surface observations indicate that a broad surface low is
    located over the eastern Gulf of America. Within this area of broad
    low pressure, a 1015 mb low is analyzed over the eastern Gulf near
    27N84.5W. Presently, winds are light. Satellite imagery shows
    disorganized moderate to isolated strong convection from 26N to 28N
    between 85W and 88W. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    are elsewhere from 23N to 29N east of 90W. This activity may produce
    gusty winds, frequent lightning and rough seas. Mariners should
    exercise caution across this area. Gradual development of this
    system is possible, and it could become a tropical depression while
    it moves slowly northward or north-northwestward during the next few
    days. Interests along the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and
    southwestern Georgia should monitor the progress of this system as
    it is expected to bring heavy rain to portions of that region during
    the next several days. This system has a medium chance for tropical
    cyclone formation during the next 48 hours. Please refer to the
    latest TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK issued by the National Hurricane
    Center at www.hurricanes.gov for more information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from
    03N to 20N moving westward near 15 kt. Isolated showers are
    near axis from 04N to 10N and from 15N to 20N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 55W south
    of 18N to inland South America. It is moving westward around
    20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 07N to 10N between
    52W and 58W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and
    continues southwestward to 16N23W and to 07N42W, where it
    transitions to the ITCZ to 07N45W and to 07N52W. Scattered
    moderate convection is south of the trough from 09N to 13N
    between 19W-24W. A 1012 low is near 12N20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section for details on a broad
    low pressure area over the eastern section of the Gulf that has a
    medium chance for tropical cyclone formation during the next 48
    hours.

    Elsewhere, a 1021 mb high center that is located south-southwest of
    Louisiana continues to basically control the wind regime throughout
    the basin generally maintaining gentle to moderate winds. Slight to
    moderate seas pretty much prevail.

    For the forecast, the low pressure will slowly move northward
    or north-northwestward during the next few days bringing heavy
    rain to the Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern
    Georgia. There is a medium chance of tropical formation with this
    system through the next 48 hours. Elsewhere, weak high pressure will
    dominate, producing gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate
    seas through early next week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A Gale Warning remains in effect for the south-central Caribbean
    near the coast of Colombia. Please refer to the Special Features
    section for more details. Winds are expected to peak to gale force
    tonight.

    The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
    relatively lower pressure to its south is generally sustaining
    strong to near gale-force trades over the central Caribbean, with
    the strongest winds of near gale force noted offshore Colombia
    per latest satellite scatterometer data passes. Latest satellite
    altimeter data passes indicate rough to very rough seas to 14 ft
    over these same waters. Meanwhile, the latest satellite
    scatterometer data passes show mostly fresh trades south of about
    18N and east of 82W. Seas are 6 to 8 ft over these waters. Light
    to gentle trades along with slight to moderate seas are present
    elsewhere.

    Isolated showers and thunderstorms are over the southeastern
    part of the basin, and also from 10N to 14N west of 82W to
    inland Nicaragua and northern Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic high
    pressure ridge axis oriented along 27N-28N and the Colombian low
    will support NE winds pulsing to gale-force across the waters N of
    Colombia early tonight. Otherwise, strong to near-gale force
    trade winds and rough seas will prevail across the much of the
    central Caribbean into early Mon, before contracting to south of
    15N. East winds will pulse fresh to locally strong each this
    evening and on Sun evening in the Windward Passage.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak trough is analyzed from near 31N32W to 28N35W. Another
    weak trough is from 31N37W to 26N40W. Isolated weak showers are
    seen north of 25N between 30W and 50W. Otherwise, broad high
    pressure, anchored by a 1025 mb high centered near 29N56W,
    covers the central Atlantic and reaches westward to near 76W. The
    related gradient is generally allowing for moderate to fresh
    trades south of about 25N and west of 46W, and from 15N to 24N
    east of 35W. Seas are 4 to 6 ft over these waters, except for
    higher seas of 5 to 7 ft from 08N to 20N between 54W and the
    Lesser Antilles. Fresh to strong north to northeast winds are
    north of 20N and east of 20W to along the coast of Africa.
    Seas are 5 to 7 ft with these winds. Latest satellite scatterometer
    data passes reveal south to southwest winds of 10 to 15 kt south
    of the monsoon trough, and east to southeast winds of 10 to 15
    kt south of the ITCZ. Seas are mostly 4 to 6 ft over these
    waters. Moderate or weaker winds along with moderate seas are
    elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the western periphery of the
    Atlantic high pressure will gradually weaken and drift northward
    through the rest of the weekend as a broad surface trough forms
    E of 50W. This trough will shift westward and reach 65W by Wed.
    Moderate to fresh trades will prevail south of 24N, with gentle
    winds to the north. Pulsing strong winds are expected during the
    evenings this weekend N of Hispaniola and in the Windward
    Passage.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 20 Jul 2026 11:29:16 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 19 Jul 2026 00:17:10 GMT
  • Sat, 18 Jul 2026 23:29:16 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 182329
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Jul 18 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Northern Gulf of America and near Florida (AL91):
    Satellite images and surface observations indicate that a broad
    surface low is located over the eastern Gulf of America. The
    associated winds are currently light, and the shower and
    thunderstorm activity remains disorganized. However, gradual
    development of this system is possible, and it could become a
    tropical depression while it moves slowly northward or
    north-northwestward during the next few days. Interests along the
    Florida Gulf coast, southern Alabama, and southwestern Georgia
    should monitor the progress of this system as it is expected to
    bring heavy rain to portions of that region during the next several
    days. An Air Force Reserve reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
    investigate the system on Sunday, if needed.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...medium...50 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 18 Jul 2026 16:24:46 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 181624
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1225 PM EDT SAT 18 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-048 CORRECTION

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. SUSPECT AREA (NORTHEAST GULF OF AMERICA - AL91)
    FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71 FLIGHT TWO - TEAL 72
    A. 19/1800Z A. 20/0600Z
    B. AFXXX 01AAA INVEST B. AFXXX 02AAA SURVEY
    C. 19/1700Z C. 20/0500Z
    D. 28.5N 85.0W D. 29.1N 85.1W
    E. 19/1730Z TO 19/2230Z E. 20/0530Z TO 20/0900Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. LOW-LEVEL INVEST G. SYSTEM SURVEY
    H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION

    FLIGHT THREE - TEAL 73
    A. 20/1130Z,1730Z
    B. AFXXX 0302A CYCLONE
    C. 20/1030Z
    D. 29.3N 85.2W
    E. 20/1100Z TO 20/1730Z
    F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
    G. FIX
    H. WRA ACTIVATION

    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: CONTINUE 6-HRLY FIXES ON AL91 IF
    SYSTEM DEVELOPS AND IS A THREAT.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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