2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 23 Dec 2025 04:58:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 230458
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Dec 23 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front will continue to
    move E across Central Atlantic waters through Wed, with strong to
    near gale-force N winds behind it. Significant NW to N swell,
    with period of 8 to 12 seconds, generated by gales N of the
    region is combining with wind-waves to induce very rough seas SE
    of Bermuda that will spread SE across waters N of 21N into Wed
    night. Widespread seas of 12 to 17 ft can be expected from 35W to
    67W during this period. Another cold front may bring similar
    conditions late this week.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 08N13W and
    extends southwestward to 05N20W. The ITCZ extends from 05N20W to
    02N36W to 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N
    to 08N between 05W and 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is over the SW Gulf, generating scattered
    moderate convection within 90 nm of the Mexico coast from Tampico
    to Veracruz. Surface ridging dominates elsewhere. Moderate to
    fresh winds are ongoing over much of the basin, but the latest
    scatterometer imagery reveals strong NE to E winds through the
    Florida Straits and offshore Cuba. Also, winds are gentle W of
    96W. Seas are generally 4 to 6 ft, with rough seas in the Florida
    Straits and offshore Cuba, and 2 to 4 ft seas W of 96W.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure centered off the Mid-
    Atlantic States will move eastward farther into the western
    Atlantic on Tue. This system will support fresh to strong winds
    and moderate to rough seas across the Straits of Florida and the
    SE Gulf through tonight, then mainly fresh winds will prevail
    through Wed night. A ridge will remain in control of the weather
    pattern across the Gulf region trough the middle of the week. A
    high pressure center will settle over the NE Gulf Thu through Fri
    producing mainly a gentle to moderate wind flow.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure in the Atlantic is building southward, tightening
    the pressure gradient between it and the Colombian low. As a
    result, much of the central and western basin is encompassed by
    fresh to strong winds, based on evening scatterometer data, with
    near gale-force winds likely ongoing just offshore Colombia. Seas
    offshore Colombia area rough, with 4 to 7 ft seas occurring
    elsewhere in the aforementioned area. For the eastern Caribbean,
    moderate to fresh trades dominate, with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure N of the area combined
    with the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds in the
    lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and the central Caribbean
    through at least Wed. Otherwise, a new set of long period
    northerly swell will reach the NE Caribbean and the waters just E
    of the Leeward Islands, including the Atlantic passages by the
    middle of the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on significant
    swell that will bring very rough seas to part of the central
    Atlantic into mid-week.

    A cold front extends from 31N56W to the SE Bahamas. A surface
    trough is ahead of this front and extends from 31N50W to 25N60W.
    Scattered moderate convection is N of 26N between 49W and 58W.
    Behind the cold front, strong NE winds were revealed during
    evening scatterometer passes, and seas are rough. To the E of the
    front but W of 40W, winds are moderate or less with seas of 5 to 7
    ft. Farther E, Moderate to fresh E winds prevail with seas of 7 to
    10 ft. In the tradewind belt S of 20N from Africa to the Lesser
    Antilles, moderate to fresh trades and seas of 5 to 7 ft
    dominate.

    For the forecast W of 55W, a cold front extending from 31N56W to the
    southern Bahamas will rapidly progress eastward reaching the SE
    waters by Tue morning. At that time, the cold front will extend
    from 25N55W to eastern Cuba near 21N76W. Then, the front will
    reach from 22N55W to 20N74W by Wed morning while dissipating.
    Strong winds and rough to very rough seas in northerly swell are
    expected in the wake of the front through the middle of week. A
    second cold front is forecast to reach the N waters on Wed, and
    extend from 30N55W to the NW Bahamas by Thu morning. Strong winds
    and rough seas are expected behind the front.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 23 Dec 2025 04:58:48 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 230458
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Dec 23 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0400 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Central Atlantic Significant Swell: A cold front will continue to
    move E across Central Atlantic waters through Wed, with strong to
    near gale-force N winds behind it. Significant NW to N swell,
    with period of 8 to 12 seconds, generated by gales N of the
    region is combining with wind-waves to induce very rough seas SE
    of Bermuda that will spread SE across waters N of 21N into Wed
    night. Widespread seas of 12 to 17 ft can be expected from 35W to
    67W during this period. Another cold front may bring similar
    conditions late this week.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
    information.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the eastern Atlantic near 08N13W and
    extends southwestward to 05N20W. The ITCZ extends from 05N20W to
    02N36W to 02N49W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 01N
    to 08N between 05W and 27W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A surface trough is over the SW Gulf, generating scattered
    moderate convection within 90 nm of the Mexico coast from Tampico
    to Veracruz. Surface ridging dominates elsewhere. Moderate to
    fresh winds are ongoing over much of the basin, but the latest
    scatterometer imagery reveals strong NE to E winds through the
    Florida Straits and offshore Cuba. Also, winds are gentle W of
    96W. Seas are generally 4 to 6 ft, with rough seas in the Florida
    Straits and offshore Cuba, and 2 to 4 ft seas W of 96W.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure centered off the Mid-
    Atlantic States will move eastward farther into the western
    Atlantic on Tue. This system will support fresh to strong winds
    and moderate to rough seas across the Straits of Florida and the
    SE Gulf through tonight, then mainly fresh winds will prevail
    through Wed night. A ridge will remain in control of the weather
    pattern across the Gulf region trough the middle of the week. A
    high pressure center will settle over the NE Gulf Thu through Fri
    producing mainly a gentle to moderate wind flow.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure in the Atlantic is building southward, tightening
    the pressure gradient between it and the Colombian low. As a
    result, much of the central and western basin is encompassed by
    fresh to strong winds, based on evening scatterometer data, with
    near gale-force winds likely ongoing just offshore Colombia. Seas
    offshore Colombia area rough, with 4 to 7 ft seas occurring
    elsewhere in the aforementioned area. For the eastern Caribbean,
    moderate to fresh trades dominate, with seas of 4 to 6 ft.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure N of the area combined
    with the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds in the
    lee of Cuba, the Windward Passage, and the central Caribbean
    through at least Wed. Otherwise, a new set of long period
    northerly swell will reach the NE Caribbean and the waters just E
    of the Leeward Islands, including the Atlantic passages by the
    middle of the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on significant
    swell that will bring very rough seas to part of the central
    Atlantic into mid-week.

    A cold front extends from 31N56W to the SE Bahamas. A surface
    trough is ahead of this front and extends from 31N50W to 25N60W.
    Scattered moderate convection is N of 26N between 49W and 58W.
    Behind the cold front, strong NE winds were revealed during
    evening scatterometer passes, and seas are rough. To the E of the
    front but W of 40W, winds are moderate or less with seas of 5 to 7
    ft. Farther E, Moderate to fresh E winds prevail with seas of 7 to
    10 ft. In the tradewind belt S of 20N from Africa to the Lesser
    Antilles, moderate to fresh trades and seas of 5 to 7 ft
    dominate.

    For the forecast W of 55W, a cold front extending from 31N56W to the
    southern Bahamas will rapidly progress eastward reaching the SE
    waters by Tue morning. At that time, the cold front will extend
    from 25N55W to eastern Cuba near 21N76W. Then, the front will
    reach from 22N55W to 20N74W by Wed morning while dissipating.
    Strong winds and rough to very rough seas in northerly swell are
    expected in the wake of the front through the middle of week. A
    second cold front is forecast to reach the N waters on Wed, and
    extend from 30N55W to the NW Bahamas by Thu morning. Strong winds
    and rough seas are expected behind the front.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 22 Dec 2025 16:26:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 221626
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1125 AM EST MON 22 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-022

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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