2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

136 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

PLEASE SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 21 Apr 2026 18:13:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 211813
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Apr 21 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
    southern Senegal and Guinea Bissau, then curves southwestward
    through 06N20W to 03N24W. An ITCZ continues west-southwestward
    from 03N24W through 00N35W to near Sao Luis, Brazil. Numerous
    moderate to scattered strong convection is flaring up near and
    south of the monsoon trough from 07S to 05N between 10W and
    20W. Scattered moderate convection is found near and up to 100 nm
    along either side of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The southeastern end of a cold front curves southwestward across
    the Florida Straits to just northwest of the Yucatan Channel.
    Scattered showers are observed near and up to 60 nm north of the
    front. Two modest surface troughs are triggering additional
    showers at the central Gulf. Fresh to strong ENE winds and seas of
    6 to 8 ft dominate the Florida Straits and southeastern Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds with 3 to 6 ft seas are noted at
    the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas
    at 2 to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the cold front is going to move over Cuba this
    afternoon. In response, fresh to locally strong winds and rough
    seas will gradually diminish in the southeastern Gulf in the wake
    of the front into tonight. Gentle to moderate southeasterly winds
    will return to the Gulf on Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southwestern end of a surface trough is producing patchy
    showers near Hispaniola. Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime is
    persisting across much of the basin. Moderate ENE winds and seas
    of 3 to 6 ft are present at the lee of Cuba and northwest of
    Colombia. Mainly gentle NE to E winds with 2 to 4 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will persist north
    of the basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    over the Caribbean basin throughout the week. Fresh to locally
    strong NE winds will develop tonight and Wed night across the
    Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba, associated with a late-
    season cold front moving across Cuba. The front is expected to
    dissipate near the Windward Passage Wed night. Tranquil marine
    conditions are expected across the entire basin Fri and Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front curves southwestward from northeast of Bermuda across
    31N62W to beyond the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate
    convection is seen near and up to 200 nm southeast of this
    boundary. To the south, convergent trade winds are coupling with
    divergent winds aloft to trigger numerous heavy showers and
    scattered thunderstorms near the coast of French Guiana, and State
    of Amapa in Brazil.

    Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 9 to 11 ft are evident
    behind the aforementioned front, except gentle to moderate NE to
    ENE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas off northeast Florida to 75W. Fresh
    with locally strong S to SW winds and seas at 5 to 8 ft are found
    ahead of the front, north of 28N between 56W and the front. To the
    east, gentle to moderate ENE to SSE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft
    dominate north of 20N between 35W and 55W. For the remainder of
    the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle to moderate NE to E winds
    and 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate swells.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong NE winds and rough
    seas will follow the front as it progresses eastward through Thu,
    although conditions in the wake of the front will gradually
    improve as the front weakens late this week. High pressure will
    settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda for the end of the
    week, bringing tranquil conditions to area waters into the
    weekend.

    $$

    Chan
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 21 Apr 2026 18:13:21 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 211813
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Tue Apr 21 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1600 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near the coastal border of
    southern Senegal and Guinea Bissau, then curves southwestward
    through 06N20W to 03N24W. An ITCZ continues west-southwestward
    from 03N24W through 00N35W to near Sao Luis, Brazil. Numerous
    moderate to scattered strong convection is flaring up near and
    south of the monsoon trough from 07S to 05N between 10W and
    20W. Scattered moderate convection is found near and up to 100 nm
    along either side of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The southeastern end of a cold front curves southwestward across
    the Florida Straits to just northwest of the Yucatan Channel.
    Scattered showers are observed near and up to 60 nm north of the
    front. Two modest surface troughs are triggering additional
    showers at the central Gulf. Fresh to strong ENE winds and seas of
    6 to 8 ft dominate the Florida Straits and southeastern Gulf.
    Moderate to fresh E to ESE winds with 3 to 6 ft seas are noted at
    the northeastern Gulf. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds and seas
    at 2 to 4 ft prevail for the rest of the Gulf.

    For the forecast, the cold front is going to move over Cuba this
    afternoon. In response, fresh to locally strong winds and rough
    seas will gradually diminish in the southeastern Gulf in the wake
    of the front into tonight. Gentle to moderate southeasterly winds
    will return to the Gulf on Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The southwestern end of a surface trough is producing patchy
    showers near Hispaniola. Otherwise, a modest trade-wind regime is
    persisting across much of the basin. Moderate ENE winds and seas
    of 3 to 6 ft are present at the lee of Cuba and northwest of
    Colombia. Mainly gentle NE to E winds with 2 to 4 ft seas prevail
    elsewhere in the Caribbean Sea.

    For the forecast, weak Atlantic high pressure will persist north
    of the basin and support a weaker than usual pressure gradient
    over the Caribbean basin throughout the week. Fresh to locally
    strong NE winds will develop tonight and Wed night across the
    Windward Passage and in the lee of Cuba, associated with a late-
    season cold front moving across Cuba. The front is expected to
    dissipate near the Windward Passage Wed night. Tranquil marine
    conditions are expected across the entire basin Fri and Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front curves southwestward from northeast of Bermuda across
    31N62W to beyond the central Bahamas. Scattered moderate
    convection is seen near and up to 200 nm southeast of this
    boundary. To the south, convergent trade winds are coupling with
    divergent winds aloft to trigger numerous heavy showers and
    scattered thunderstorms near the coast of French Guiana, and State
    of Amapa in Brazil.

    Fresh to strong N to NE winds and seas of 9 to 11 ft are evident
    behind the aforementioned front, except gentle to moderate NE to
    ENE winds and 5 to 8 ft seas off northeast Florida to 75W. Fresh
    with locally strong S to SW winds and seas at 5 to 8 ft are found
    ahead of the front, north of 28N between 56W and the front. To the
    east, gentle to moderate ENE to SSE winds and seas of 4 to 7 ft
    dominate north of 20N between 35W and 55W. For the remainder of
    the Atlantic Basin west of 35W, gentle to moderate NE to E winds
    and 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate swells.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to strong NE winds and rough
    seas will follow the front as it progresses eastward through Thu,
    although conditions in the wake of the front will gradually
    improve as the front weakens late this week. High pressure will
    settle in between northeast Florida and Bermuda for the end of the
    week, bringing tranquil conditions to area waters into the
    weekend.

    $$

    Chan
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page