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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 29 May 2026 09:49:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
655
AXNT20 KNHC 290949
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri May 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of
15N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Associated convection is
described below in the ITCZ/Monsoon trough section.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W south of
15N to inland central Venezuela. It is moving westward at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this tropical
wave over the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 16N17W, then
curves south then southwestward to near 10N23W. The ITCZ extends
from 10N23W to 03N40W to 05N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 05N to 07N between 18W and 21W, and from 05N to 07N between
37W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper low is centered over the Bay of Campeche near 21N95W.
An associated 1011 mb surface low is centered Ciudad del Carmen in
the Bay of Campeche. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are
active near the surface low and over the south- central Gulf
north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere,
1016 mb high pressure is centered over the eastern Gulf near
27N85W. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes
across the Gulf, except over the far southwest Gulf where gusty
outflows are possible near the thunderstorms. Seas are mostly 2-4
ft across the basin.
For the forecast, the pattern will sustain gentle to moderate E to
SE winds through Tue. The exception will be evening pulses of
fresh winds off the northern Yucatan and in the central Gulf
through the same period. A pronounced deep-layered upper-level
trough across the western Gulf combined with a very warm, humid
and unstable airmass will continue to support periodic showers
and thunderstorms, across the central and eastern Gulf through
Sun. Frequent lightning, with gusty winds and locally rough seas
are expected in strong thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep
up to date with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A generally drier, subsident pattern is in place across the
central and eastern Caribbean, suppressing shower and thunderstorm
activity. Over the northwest Caribbean, divergent southerly flow
in the mid to upper levels of the atmosphere along with abundant
deep layer moisture is supporting late evening, sea-breeze
generated showers and thunderstorms across Belize, with a larger
cluster of thunderstorms off Costa Rica and southeast Nicaragua, responding
to drainage off the land. Broad ridging north of the basin across
the western Atlantic, along with lower pressure over northern
South America is supporting fresh to strong tradewinds across
mainly the central Caribbean, and combined seas of 7-10 ft.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted
elsewhere. Satellite imagery shows a plume of Saharan dust across
the tropical Atlantic that extends westward to the eastern
Caribbean. The dust is expected to increase late in the weekend
and into early next week.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and the Colombian low will sustain fresh to strong
trades and rough seas across the central Caribbean through this
morning before gradually diminishing in areal coverage this
afternoon and evening. Moderate E to SE winds in the Gulf of
Honduras are going to pulse to fresh during the night through Tue
night. The aforementioned high is going to weaken and open up
into a ridge near 24N later today. This will yield moderate to
locally fresh winds and moderate seas across most of the basin
through Tue, except the south-central Caribbean, where fresh to
strong winds and rough seas will persist. Looking ahead, a
tropical wave is forecast to reach the Windward Islands late on
Sat, leading to increased shower activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A ridge stretches west- southwestward from a 1026 mb high between
the eastern Azores and Madeira to the northern Bahamas and off
eastern Florida. This pattern is promoting gentle to moderate
anticyclonic winds along with 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate
swell north of 22N between 35W and the central Bahamas/Florida
coast. Across the tropical Atlantic south of 22N between 35W and
the southeast Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to locally fresh
northeast to east winds and seas in the range of 6 to 8 ft are
present there as depicted in recent scatterometer and altimeter
satellite passes. A Saharan dust plume is observed over this area
roughly from 08N and 20N, with a dense plume of dust over the
waters east of 40W to the coast of Africa.
For the forecast west of 55W, a ridge over the western Atlantic will support
gentle to moderate winds with moderate seas south of 26N through Tue.
For the waters north of 26N and east of 70W, two cold fronts migrating
eastward across the north Atlantic are going to bring fresh to strong
winds along with rough seas through this evening, then again from
Sat night through Sun night. Winds related to the second cold
front might peak at near-gale force from Sat night through Sun.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 29 May 2026 09:49:37 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
655
AXNT20 KNHC 290949
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Fri May 29 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 51W south of
15N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Associated convection is
described below in the ITCZ/Monsoon trough section.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 70W south of
15N to inland central Venezuela. It is moving westward at 15 to
20 kt. No significant convection is associated with this tropical
wave over the Caribbean.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic near 16N17W, then
curves south then southwestward to near 10N23W. The ITCZ extends
from 10N23W to 03N40W to 05N50W. Scattered moderate convection is
from 05N to 07N between 18W and 21W, and from 05N to 07N between
37W and 43W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
An upper low is centered over the Bay of Campeche near 21N95W.
An associated 1011 mb surface low is centered Ciudad del Carmen in
the Bay of Campeche. Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are
active near the surface low and over the south- central Gulf
north of the Yucatan Peninsula, and Yucatan Channel. Elsewhere,
1016 mb high pressure is centered over the eastern Gulf near
27N85W. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate breezes
across the Gulf, except over the far southwest Gulf where gusty
outflows are possible near the thunderstorms. Seas are mostly 2-4
ft across the basin.
For the forecast, the pattern will sustain gentle to moderate E to
SE winds through Tue. The exception will be evening pulses of
fresh winds off the northern Yucatan and in the central Gulf
through the same period. A pronounced deep-layered upper-level
trough across the western Gulf combined with a very warm, humid
and unstable airmass will continue to support periodic showers
and thunderstorms, across the central and eastern Gulf through
Sun. Frequent lightning, with gusty winds and locally rough seas
are expected in strong thunderstorms. Mariners are urged to keep
up to date with the latest forecasts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A generally drier, subsident pattern is in place across the
central and eastern Caribbean, suppressing shower and thunderstorm
activity. Over the northwest Caribbean, divergent southerly flow
in the mid to upper levels of the atmosphere along with abundant
deep layer moisture is supporting late evening, sea-breeze
generated showers and thunderstorms across Belize, with a larger
cluster of thunderstorms off Costa Rica and southeast Nicaragua, responding
to drainage off the land. Broad ridging north of the basin across
the western Atlantic, along with lower pressure over northern
South America is supporting fresh to strong tradewinds across
mainly the central Caribbean, and combined seas of 7-10 ft.
Moderate to fresh E to SE winds and 5-7 ft seas are noted
elsewhere. Satellite imagery shows a plume of Saharan dust across
the tropical Atlantic that extends westward to the eastern
Caribbean. The dust is expected to increase late in the weekend
and into early next week.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
the area and the Colombian low will sustain fresh to strong
trades and rough seas across the central Caribbean through this
morning before gradually diminishing in areal coverage this
afternoon and evening. Moderate E to SE winds in the Gulf of
Honduras are going to pulse to fresh during the night through Tue
night. The aforementioned high is going to weaken and open up
into a ridge near 24N later today. This will yield moderate to
locally fresh winds and moderate seas across most of the basin
through Tue, except the south-central Caribbean, where fresh to
strong winds and rough seas will persist. Looking ahead, a
tropical wave is forecast to reach the Windward Islands late on
Sat, leading to increased shower activity.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A ridge stretches west- southwestward from a 1026 mb high between
the eastern Azores and Madeira to the northern Bahamas and off
eastern Florida. This pattern is promoting gentle to moderate
anticyclonic winds along with 4 to 6 ft seas in mixed moderate
swell north of 22N between 35W and the central Bahamas/Florida
coast. Across the tropical Atlantic south of 22N between 35W and
the southeast Bahamas/Lesser Antilles, moderate to locally fresh
northeast to east winds and seas in the range of 6 to 8 ft are
present there as depicted in recent scatterometer and altimeter
satellite passes. A Saharan dust plume is observed over this area
roughly from 08N and 20N, with a dense plume of dust over the
waters east of 40W to the coast of Africa.
For the forecast west of 55W, a ridge over the western Atlantic will support
gentle to moderate winds with moderate seas south of 26N through Tue.
For the waters north of 26N and east of 70W, two cold fronts migrating
eastward across the north Atlantic are going to bring fresh to strong
winds along with rough seas through this evening, then again from
Sat night through Sun night. Winds related to the second cold
front might peak at near-gale force from Sat night through Sun.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Sat, 30 May 2026 23:29:39 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 29 May 2026 14:31:56 GMT - Fri, 29 May 2026 11:29:39 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 291129
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Fri May 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf