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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 31 Jul 2026 15:15:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 311515
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 07N to 12N between 35W and 43W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 10N to 15N between 60W and 66W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed south of 20N and west of 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 26N15W and dives southward to a 1009 mb low
    pres near 17N20W and then continues southwestward to 09N42W.
    Scattered moderate convection is evident from 08N to 13N and east
    of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-
    level trough north of the area is producing a few showers and
    isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, while generally
    dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into
    next week as an upper-level trough drops southward toward the
    Gulf states as a very moist and unstable airmass prevails over
    region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces strong to locally
    near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough to locally very
    rough seas across much of the central Caribbean. The strongest
    winds and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia. A recent
    scatterometer satellite pass showed peak winds to 33 kt. An
    altimeter pass from a few hours ago indicated seas up to 16 ft.
    Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in
    the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba.

    Aside from the convection mentioned in the Tropical Waves section,
    an upper-level trough over the NE Caribbean generates scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the nearby islands
    and coastal waters. Diurnal heating is likely to support some
    thunderstorm activity developing over parts of Cuba and Hispaniola
    later this afternoon. Meanwhile, a surface trough just east of the
    Lesser Antilles will aid in the formation of showers and
    thunderstorms later today and tomorrow, especially across the
    Leeward Islands.

    For the forecast, the overnight gale-force winds off Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela have diminished to near gale-force winds,
    however, very rough seas remain offshore of Colombia. These seas
    will slowly subside through Sat. Elsewhere across the central
    Caribbean, fresh to strong trades will begin to diminish in
    coverage beginning and through the weekend. Fresh trades elsewhere
    south S of about 18N will also diminish in coverage through the
    weekend. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level trough north of the SW North Atlantic is producing
    numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and west
    of 69W. Similar upper-level dynamics also support a few showers in
    the north-central Atlantic and north of Puerto Rico.

    The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical
    ridge situated over the central Atlantic. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and lower pressures associated with the frontal
    boundary draped across the SE US and into the western Atlantic
    sustain moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas north of 26N
    and west of 60W. In the remainder of the basin, moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are prevalent. The exception is
    south of the monsoon trough and east of 30W, where moderate to
    fresh SW winds and moderate seas are noted.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    near 30N55W to the Straits of Florida will lift N to near 28N by
    Sun and change little into early next week. The gradient between
    the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters
    will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of 70W
    through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 31 Jul 2026 15:15:45 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 311515
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Jul 31 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 41W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 07N to 12N between 35W and 43W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 63W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 10N to 15N between 60W and 66W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 85W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed south of 20N and west of 81W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 26N15W and dives southward to a 1009 mb low
    pres near 17N20W and then continues southwestward to 09N42W.
    Scattered moderate convection is evident from 08N to 13N and east
    of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
    Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    locally moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-
    level trough north of the area is producing a few showers and
    isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, while generally
    dry conditions are prevalent in the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain in control of the
    weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
    moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
    fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
    nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into
    next week as an upper-level trough drops southward toward the
    Gulf states as a very moist and unstable airmass prevails over
    region.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces strong to locally
    near gale-force easterly trade winds and rough to locally very
    rough seas across much of the central Caribbean. The strongest
    winds and highest seas are occurring off NW Colombia. A recent
    scatterometer satellite pass showed peak winds to 33 kt. An
    altimeter pass from a few hours ago indicated seas up to 16 ft.
    Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in
    the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    moderate seas prevail, except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba.

    Aside from the convection mentioned in the Tropical Waves section,
    an upper-level trough over the NE Caribbean generates scattered
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the nearby islands
    and coastal waters. Diurnal heating is likely to support some
    thunderstorm activity developing over parts of Cuba and Hispaniola
    later this afternoon. Meanwhile, a surface trough just east of the
    Lesser Antilles will aid in the formation of showers and
    thunderstorms later today and tomorrow, especially across the
    Leeward Islands.

    For the forecast, the overnight gale-force winds off Colombia and
    in the Gulf of Venezuela have diminished to near gale-force winds,
    however, very rough seas remain offshore of Colombia. These seas
    will slowly subside through Sat. Elsewhere across the central
    Caribbean, fresh to strong trades will begin to diminish in
    coverage beginning and through the weekend. Fresh trades elsewhere
    south S of about 18N will also diminish in coverage through the
    weekend. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras
    tonight, then to fresh speeds for the remainder of the period.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An upper-level trough north of the SW North Atlantic is producing
    numerous showers and isolated thunderstorms north of 26N and west
    of 69W. Similar upper-level dynamics also support a few showers in
    the north-central Atlantic and north of Puerto Rico.

    The remainder of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical
    ridge situated over the central Atlantic. The pressure gradient
    between this ridge and lower pressures associated with the frontal
    boundary draped across the SE US and into the western Atlantic
    sustain moderate to fresh SW winds and moderate seas north of 26N
    and west of 60W. In the remainder of the basin, moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are prevalent. The exception is
    south of the monsoon trough and east of 30W, where moderate to
    fresh SW winds and moderate seas are noted.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    near 30N55W to the Straits of Florida will lift N to near 28N by
    Sun and change little into early next week. The gradient between
    the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the forecast waters
    will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds along with
    scattered showers and thunderstorms north of 26N and west of 70W
    through the weekend. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north
    of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 05:01:49 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 31 Jul 2026 18:06:37 GMT
  • Fri, 31 Jul 2026 17:01:49 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 311701
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Roberts
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Fri, 31 Jul 2026 13:51:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT FRI 31 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-061

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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