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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 20 May 2026 04:29:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
765
AXNT20 KNHC 200429
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 61W, south of 16N,
and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 06N19W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N19W to 02N51W. Scattered moderate convection
is observed within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1028 mb high pressure system near Bermuda extends westward to
the Gulf waters supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and moderate seas south of 25N and between 88W and 94W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
Generally dry conditions are found across the basin, except for a
few showers in the nearshore waters of western Florida, Veracruz
and Tamaulipas.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across
the Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf,
pulsing to strong Wed night offshore the Yucatan Peninsula.
Beginning Thu, the pressure gradient will relax and tranquil
marine conditions should prevail through the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the islands dominates
the Caribbean Sea. The tight pressure gradient between the
aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics
result in fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean, with the highest winds occurring off NW
Colombia. Seas in these waters are 6-9 ft. Fresh to locally strong
easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the Gulf of
Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are evident in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and seas of 2-5 ft are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north
of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
trades over the S central Caribbean into the weekend. Fresh to
strong trades will also occur over the Gulf of Honduras tonight.
Large E to SE swell will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters
tonight. Looking ahead, there will be a resumption of the fresh
to strong trades over the Gulf of Honduras starting Sat night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The interaction between an upper level low near 29N75W and a
surface trough in the area results in scattered showers between
70W and 78W. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W,
is under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge near Bermuda.
Fresh to locally strong easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring off northern Hispaniola. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are evident south of 27N and west of
55W.
Farther east, a cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near
31N38W and continues southwestward to 27N59W. Moderate to fresh
winds and moderate seas are present north of 28N and between 27W
and 45W. An expansive ridge dominates the rest of the central and
eastern Atlantic. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8
ft are found south of 24N and west of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a deep layer trough E of the
Bahamas will continue to produce scattered thunderstorms through
Thu. SE winds will pulse fresh to strong north of Hispaniola
afternoons and evenings into the weekend. Elsewhere, surface
ridging north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
quiescent through the weekend.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 20 May 2026 04:29:49 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
765
AXNT20 KNHC 200429
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed May 20 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 61W, south of 16N,
and moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
near the trough axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of the
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W, then runs southwestward to 06N19W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N19W to 02N51W. Scattered moderate convection
is observed within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1028 mb high pressure system near Bermuda extends westward to
the Gulf waters supporting fresh to strong easterly trade winds
and moderate seas south of 25N and between 88W and 94W. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.
Generally dry conditions are found across the basin, except for a
few showers in the nearshore waters of western Florida, Veracruz
and Tamaulipas.
For the forecast, a surface ridge will remain over the SE United
States for the next several days, forcing E to SE winds across
the Gulf. Expect moderate to fresh winds over the W Gulf,
pulsing to strong Wed night offshore the Yucatan Peninsula.
Beginning Thu, the pressure gradient will relax and tranquil
marine conditions should prevail through the weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the islands dominates
the Caribbean Sea. The tight pressure gradient between the
aforementioned ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics
result in fresh to near gale-force easterly trade winds in the
central Caribbean, with the highest winds occurring off NW
Colombia. Seas in these waters are 6-9 ft. Fresh to locally strong
easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the Gulf of
Honduras. Meanwhile, moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate
seas are evident in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and seas of 2-5 ft are prevalent.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Bermuda High north
of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong
trades over the S central Caribbean into the weekend. Fresh to
strong trades will also occur over the Gulf of Honduras tonight.
Large E to SE swell will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters
tonight. Looking ahead, there will be a resumption of the fresh
to strong trades over the Gulf of Honduras starting Sat night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The interaction between an upper level low near 29N75W and a
surface trough in the area results in scattered showers between
70W and 78W. The remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W,
is under the influence of a broad subtropical ridge near Bermuda.
Fresh to locally strong easterly winds and moderate seas are
occurring off northern Hispaniola. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and seas of 5-8 ft are evident south of 27N and west of
55W.
Farther east, a cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near
31N38W and continues southwestward to 27N59W. Moderate to fresh
winds and moderate seas are present north of 28N and between 27W
and 45W. An expansive ridge dominates the rest of the central and
eastern Atlantic. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8
ft are found south of 24N and west of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or
weaker winds and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a deep layer trough E of the
Bahamas will continue to produce scattered thunderstorms through
Thu. SE winds will pulse fresh to strong north of Hispaniola
afternoons and evenings into the weekend. Elsewhere, surface
ridging north of our waters should cause winds and seas to remain
quiescent through the weekend.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 21 May 2026 17:02:03 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 20 May 2026 09:02:26 GMT - Wed, 20 May 2026 05:02:03 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 200501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Wed May 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf