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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 13 Jul 2026 04:31:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 130430
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Jul 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0425 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Numerous scattered to isolated strong
    convection is occurring over NW Colombia and Panama along the
    southern portion of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N35W to the coast of Guyana near 08N60W. A few
    showers are found from 07N to 14N and east of 31W. Similar
    convection is present from 06N to 14N and between 49W and the
    Lesser Antilles.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft supports a few showers over the north-central and
    NE Gulf waters and while similar convection is noted off Veracruz.
    A 1022 mb high pressure over the eastern Gulf sustains mainly
    fresh easterly winds south of 24N and between 87W and 95W. This
    was confirmed by a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in
    these waters are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a stationary front will reside just N of the area
    through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
    Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
    and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
    strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
    each night. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate, supporting
    gentle to moderate SE winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean forces
    strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds across the central
    Caribbean. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured winds up
    to 32 kt off NW Colombia. Seas of 7-10 ft are occurring in the
    central Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and seas of 5-8 ft
    are noted in the Windward Passage and the Gulf of Honduras.
    Moderate to locally fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are evident
    in the eastern Caribbean and the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
    the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will continue
    to support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the central
    Caribbean into mid-week. East winds will pulse strong each
    evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
    supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds south of
    the SE Bahamas and between 71W and 75W. Moderate easterly winds
    and moderate seas are occurring south of 22N and west of 40W.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
    dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to fresh
    trades south of 23N, with gentle winds to the north. Pulsing
    strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola and in
    the Windward Passage.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 13 Jul 2026 04:31:11 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 130430
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Mon Jul 13 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0425 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Numerous scattered to isolated strong
    convection is occurring over NW Colombia and Panama along the
    southern portion of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Mauritania
    near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 09N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 09N35W to the coast of Guyana near 08N60W. A few
    showers are found from 07N to 14N and east of 31W. Similar
    convection is present from 06N to 14N and between 49W and the
    Lesser Antilles.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergence aloft supports a few showers over the north-central and
    NE Gulf waters and while similar convection is noted off Veracruz.
    A 1022 mb high pressure over the eastern Gulf sustains mainly
    fresh easterly winds south of 24N and between 87W and 95W. This
    was confirmed by a recent scatterometer satellite pass. Seas in
    these waters are 3-5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, a stationary front will reside just N of the area
    through midweek, enhancing thunderstorms across the northern
    Gulf waters. Mariners can expect gusty winds, frequent lightning,
    and locally higher seas near the stronger thunderstorms. Fresh to
    strong easterly winds will pulse offshore the Yucatan Peninsula
    each night. Elsewhere, high pressure will dominate, supporting
    gentle to moderate SE winds.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean forces
    strong to near gale-force easterly trade winds across the central
    Caribbean. A recent scatterometer satellite pass captured winds up
    to 32 kt off NW Colombia. Seas of 7-10 ft are occurring in the
    central Caribbean. Fresh to strong NE-E winds and seas of 5-8 ft
    are noted in the Windward Passage and the Gulf of Honduras.
    Moderate to locally fresh NE-E winds and moderate seas are evident
    in the eastern Caribbean and the lee of Cuba. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure north of
    the basin and lower pressures over northern South America will continue
    to support strong to near-gale force trade winds across the central
    Caribbean into mid-week. East winds will pulse strong each
    evening in the Gulf of Honduras and Windward Passage.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An extensive subtropical ridge dominates the tropical Atlantic,
    supporting fresh to locally strong easterly trade winds south of
    the SE Bahamas and between 71W and 75W. Moderate easterly winds
    and moderate seas are occurring south of 22N and west of 40W.
    Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will remain
    dominant through the forecast period, supporting moderate to fresh
    trades south of 23N, with gentle winds to the north. Pulsing
    strong winds are expected each night offshore Hispaniola and in
    the Windward Passage.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 14 Jul 2026 17:00:42 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 13 Jul 2026 09:02:28 GMT
  • Mon, 13 Jul 2026 05:00:42 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    918
    ABNT20 KNHC 130500
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Mon Jul 13 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Cangialosi
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 12 Jul 2026 13:41:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 121340
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT SUN 12 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-042

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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