SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 13 Dec 2025 20:34:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132034
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Dec 14 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
West Atlantic Gale Warning: Gale force winds are forecast to
begin at 15/0000 UTC, lasting through 15/1200 UTC, northwest of a
cold front that will move across the western Atlantic waters.
Seas will range from 12-14 ft. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
East Atlantic Gale Warning: MeteoFrance has issued a Gale
Warning for the MADEIRA and CANARIAS Marine Zones. For Madeira,
the warning is valid through 13/2100 UTC, and for Canarias, the
warning is valid through 14/0000 UTC. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST issued by MeteoFrance at:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2 for more
information.
East Atlantic Significant Swell Event: Strong to near- gale force
north winds has generated a significant area of large, long
period N swell in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Seas 12 ft or
greater are north of 15N and east of 35W, with peak seas to 22 ft
near the Canary Islands. The swell direction is N with 15-19 sec
periods. Seas are forecast to start to decrease tonight,
subsiding below 12 ft by early Monday morning. Please read the
latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by MeteoFrance at:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2 for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through 08N13W and extends
to 05N19W. The ITCZ continues from 05N19W to 01N50W. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N
between 13W and 24W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to
06N between 30W and 50W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the Gulf waters. Seas are in
the 2-4 ft range, except over the NE Gulf where seas of 1-2 ft
prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure located over north Florida and
the adjacent Atlantic waters will slide northeastward and into the
NW Atlantic through tonight ahead of a cold front forecast to
enter the northern Gulf on Sun morning. Strong northerly winds and
rough seas will follow the front. This system is expected to
reach the south-central Gulf along 24N by Mon morning, and move
south of the basin Mon night. Strong high pressure will dominate
the Gulf region in the wake of the front.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, prevail in the south
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft
are elsewhere E of 80W. W of 80W, moderate winds, and seas of 4-6
ft, prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough
seas are expected over the central Caribbean through Sun morning
due to the pressure gradient between the Colombian low and a
modest western Atlantic ridge. Winds will pulse to near gale-force
at night offshore of northern Colombia. Elsewhere, fresh to
locally strong trade winds and rough seas in large E swell will
prevail over the Atlantic waters, through the Atlantic passages
and into the eastern part of the basin through Mon night. A cold
front will enter the northwestern Caribbean Mon, accompanied by
increasing winds and building seas behind the front. This front is
expected to reach from central Cuba to N Belize Tue morning, then
will begin to stall and weaken through Wed.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for more information on
GALE WARNINGS for the western and eastern Atlantic Ocean, and a
SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT in the eastern Atlantic.
A stationary front extends from 31N55W to eastern Cuba. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is along the front. Gentle
to moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft prevail west of the front.
Aside from the gale force winds, and very rough seas discussed in
the SPECIAL FEATURES section above, fresh to near- gale force
winds, and seas of 8-12 ft prevail E of 35W. Fresh to locally
strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft prevail elsewhere S of 22N.
Gentle winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, a cold front is forecast to move off the coast
of the southeastern United States on Sun, followed by strong to
gale-force northerly winds and quickly building seas through Mon
morning. The front is expected to reach from just E of Bermuda to
the NW Bahamas into the Straits by Mon morning, and from 29N55W to
the SE Bahamas and central Cuba by Tue morning. Large N swell
will build in across the regional waters behind the front Sun
night through Tue morning before subsiding. Elsewhere, a
stationary front extending from 31N55W through the SE Bahamas and
across eastern Cuba will lift northward and dissipate on Sun.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 13 Dec 2025 20:34:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 132034
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Dec 14 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
West Atlantic Gale Warning: Gale force winds are forecast to
begin at 15/0000 UTC, lasting through 15/1200 UTC, northwest of a
cold front that will move across the western Atlantic waters.
Seas will range from 12-14 ft. Please read the latest HIGH SEAS
FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
East Atlantic Gale Warning: MeteoFrance has issued a Gale
Warning for the MADEIRA and CANARIAS Marine Zones. For Madeira,
the warning is valid through 13/2100 UTC, and for Canarias, the
warning is valid through 14/0000 UTC. Please read the latest HIGH
SEAS FORECAST issued by MeteoFrance at:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2 for more
information.
East Atlantic Significant Swell Event: Strong to near- gale force
north winds has generated a significant area of large, long
period N swell in the eastern Atlantic Ocean. Seas 12 ft or
greater are north of 15N and east of 35W, with peak seas to 22 ft
near the Canary Islands. The swell direction is N with 15-19 sec
periods. Seas are forecast to start to decrease tonight,
subsiding below 12 ft by early Monday morning. Please read the
latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by MeteoFrance at:
https://wwmiws.wmo.int/index.php/metareas/affiche/2 for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through 08N13W and extends
to 05N19W. The ITCZ continues from 05N19W to 01N50W. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is noted from 02N to 10N
between 13W and 24W. Scattered moderate convection is from 02N to
06N between 30W and 50W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Gentle to moderate winds prevail over the Gulf waters. Seas are in
the 2-4 ft range, except over the NE Gulf where seas of 1-2 ft
prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure located over north Florida and
the adjacent Atlantic waters will slide northeastward and into the
NW Atlantic through tonight ahead of a cold front forecast to
enter the northern Gulf on Sun morning. Strong northerly winds and
rough seas will follow the front. This system is expected to
reach the south-central Gulf along 24N by Mon morning, and move
south of the basin Mon night. Strong high pressure will dominate
the Gulf region in the wake of the front.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft, prevail in the south
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft
are elsewhere E of 80W. W of 80W, moderate winds, and seas of 4-6
ft, prevail.
For the forecast, fresh to strong winds, and moderate to rough
seas are expected over the central Caribbean through Sun morning
due to the pressure gradient between the Colombian low and a
modest western Atlantic ridge. Winds will pulse to near gale-force
at night offshore of northern Colombia. Elsewhere, fresh to
locally strong trade winds and rough seas in large E swell will
prevail over the Atlantic waters, through the Atlantic passages
and into the eastern part of the basin through Mon night. A cold
front will enter the northwestern Caribbean Mon, accompanied by
increasing winds and building seas behind the front. This front is
expected to reach from central Cuba to N Belize Tue morning, then
will begin to stall and weaken through Wed.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section for more information on
GALE WARNINGS for the western and eastern Atlantic Ocean, and a
SIGNIFICANT SWELL EVENT in the eastern Atlantic.
A stationary front extends from 31N55W to eastern Cuba. Scattered
moderate and isolated strong convection is along the front. Gentle
to moderate winds, and seas of 3-5 ft prevail west of the front.
Aside from the gale force winds, and very rough seas discussed in
the SPECIAL FEATURES section above, fresh to near- gale force
winds, and seas of 8-12 ft prevail E of 35W. Fresh to locally
strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft prevail elsewhere S of 22N.
Gentle winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, a cold front is forecast to move off the coast
of the southeastern United States on Sun, followed by strong to
gale-force northerly winds and quickly building seas through Mon
morning. The front is expected to reach from just E of Bermuda to
the NW Bahamas into the Straits by Mon morning, and from 29N55W to
the SE Bahamas and central Cuba by Tue morning. Large N swell
will build in across the regional waters behind the front Sun
night through Tue morning before subsiding. Elsewhere, a
stationary front extending from 31N55W through the SE Bahamas and
across eastern Cuba will lift northward and dissipate on Sun.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 14 Dec 2025 00:26:36 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 13 Dec 2025 17:15:35 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131715
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1215 PM EST SAT 13 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-013
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. MISSION REQUESTS FOR A USAF RESERVE WC-130J AIRCRAFT AND THE
NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT HAVE BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP FOR THE
15/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME, BUT NEITHER REQUEST CAN BE SUPPORTED.
2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
16/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
17/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf