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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 23:27:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 262327
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An 1008 mb area of low
pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located a few
hundred nautical miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
near 12.5N31W. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this
system have changed little in organization over the past several
hours. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is
noted within roughly 150 nm of the center of AL96. Associated
winds and seas will spread west of 35W into the High Seas Forecast
area overnight into early Thu. Environmental conditions are
somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of days,
and a tropical depression could form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W west of the Cabo
Verde Islands, south of 21N, and is associated with Invest AL96.
Please refer to the Special Features section above for more
details and the potential for tropical cyclone formation.
A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W moving across the
Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south of
22N, moving quickly westward at around 25 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water,
but it may be assisting with some convection over portions of
Venezuela.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 77W, south of 21N
over eastern Cuba to portions of Jamaica to near the border of
Colombia and Panama, moving quickly westward around 20 kt. No
significant deep convection is occurring in association with this
wave over water.
A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula to
near the coast of the NW Caribbean Sea.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 18N17W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 12.5N31W to 10.5N45W. The ITCZ
extends from 10.5N45W to 13N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, no significant deep convection
is present near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Isolated to widely scattered showers prevail north of mainly 23N,
while generally dry conditions are present in the remainder of
the Gulf waters, except in the Bay of Campeche where a weak
surface trough is supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Weak ridging prevails across the remainder of the
basin at the surface supporting mainly gentle winds, to moderate
in the Bay of Campeche and the Straits of Florida. Seas are slight
across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.
Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere over water, while diurnal thunderstorm activity
is over portions of Cuba and Hispaniola. Outside of the Gale
Warning area, fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate
seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W with
6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades prevail across
the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with gentle to
locally moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N between 64W and 77W, and is
also enhancing diurnal activity over portions of the western
Bahamas and Florida Peninsula. A weak surface trough runs from
north of the waters through 31N58W to 25N63W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are found within 90-120 nm either side
of the trough. To the east, a cold front extends from the Iberian
Peninsula to just northwest of the Canary Islands to 30N35W with
no noticeable convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to
strong winds associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N
between 27W and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N
between 26W and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north
of the monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh
northerly winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to
26N to the east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the
remainder of the offshore and open waters. Mainly slight seas are
west of 70W, with mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the
waters, except also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the
cold front mentioned.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 23:27:25 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 262327
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Thu Aug 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An 1008 mb area of low
pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located a few
hundred nautical miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands
near 12.5N31W. Showers and thunderstorms associated with this
system have changed little in organization over the past several
hours. Scattered to numerous moderate to strong convection is
noted within roughly 150 nm of the center of AL96. Associated
winds and seas will spread west of 35W into the High Seas Forecast
area overnight into early Thu. Environmental conditions are
somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of days,
and a tropical depression could form over the next day or two as
the system moves westward to west- northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. This system has a
medium chance of tropical cyclone formation through the next 48
hours and 7 days. Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather
Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Please refer to the latest
HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued by the National Hurricane Center at
website - https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 31W west of the Cabo
Verde Islands, south of 21N, and is associated with Invest AL96.
Please refer to the Special Features section above for more
details and the potential for tropical cyclone formation.
A Tropical N Atlantic tropical wave is along 61W moving across the
Lesser Antilles and into the far eastern Caribbean Sea, south of
22N, moving quickly westward at around 25 kt. No significant deep
convection is occurring in association with this wave over water,
but it may be assisting with some convection over portions of
Venezuela.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 77W, south of 21N
over eastern Cuba to portions of Jamaica to near the border of
Colombia and Panama, moving quickly westward around 20 kt. No
significant deep convection is occurring in association with this
wave over water.
A tropical wave has departed the NW Caribbean Sea, now over the
central Yucatan Peninsula to the far eastern Pacific Ocean, and is
helping to enhance convection over portions of the peninsula to
near the coast of the NW Caribbean Sea.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 18N17W to 1008 mb
low pressure, Invest AL96, near 12.5N31W to 10.5N45W. The ITCZ
extends from 10.5N45W to 13N60W. Other than the convection
described above with Invest AL96, no significant deep convection
is present near the monsoon trough and ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Isolated to widely scattered showers prevail north of mainly 23N,
while generally dry conditions are present in the remainder of
the Gulf waters, except in the Bay of Campeche where a weak
surface trough is supporting scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms. Weak ridging prevails across the remainder of the
basin at the surface supporting mainly gentle winds, to moderate
in the Bay of Campeche and the Straits of Florida. Seas are slight
across the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section above for details on the
Gale Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf
of Venezuela.
Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama nearshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere over water, while diurnal thunderstorm activity
is over portions of Cuba and Hispaniola. Outside of the Gale
Warning area, fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate
seas are noted elsewhere from 11N to 18N between 68W and 80W with
6 to 9 ft seas. Moderate to locally fresh trades prevail across
the remainder of the waters from 11N to 18N, with gentle to
locally moderate trades elsewhere. Seas are slight in the NW
Caribbean, and moderate across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale-force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a medium chance of
tropical cyclone formation.
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms from roughly 27N to 31N between 64W and 77W, and is
also enhancing diurnal activity over portions of the western
Bahamas and Florida Peninsula. A weak surface trough runs from
north of the waters through 31N58W to 25N63W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are found within 90-120 nm either side
of the trough. To the east, a cold front extends from the Iberian
Peninsula to just northwest of the Canary Islands to 30N35W with
no noticeable convective activity near the boundary. Fresh to
strong winds associated with Invest AL96 are found from 10N to 22N
between 27W and 36W, with rough to very rough seas from 09N to 19N
between 26W and 33W. Moderate to fresh winds are elsewhere north
of the monsoon trough to 24N between 26W and 40W, with fresh
northerly winds funneling along the coast of Africa from 18N to
26N to the east of 23W. Moderate or weaker winds dominate the
remainder of the offshore and open waters. Mainly slight seas are
west of 70W, with mainly moderate seas across the remainder of the
waters, except also slight withing about 150 nm ahead/south of the
cold front mentioned.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters over the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 11:39:47 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 27 Aug 2026 04:20:30 GMT - Wed, 26 Aug 2026 23:39:47 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
825
ABNT20 KNHC 262339
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Wed Aug 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located
several hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have slightly
improved in organization over the last several hours. However,
recently received satellite wind data suggests that the circulation
is not yet well-defined. Environmental conditions are somewhat
favorable for development over the next couple of days, and a
tropical depression could form within the next day or two as the
system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph across the
eastern and central tropical Atlantic. However, environmental
conditions are expected to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 13:55:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261355
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT WED 26 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-087
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf