2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 10 Apr 2026 16:10:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    578
    AXNT20 KNHC 101610
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1555 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is mainly confined to the African continent.
    The ITCZ extends from near the coast of Sierra Leone near 07N13W
    to 00N25W and to 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A strong ridge over the eastern United States is supporting
    moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft north of a
    line from SE Texas to the western tip of Cuba. Light to gentle
    winds and moderate seas are noted south the aforementioned line. A
    few showers are noted east of southern Texas, while generally dry
    conditions persist across the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
    support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the
    northeast Gulf through early this afternoon. Moderate to fresh
    east to southeast winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere
    across the basin through the middle of next week, except for
    occasional strong east winds off western Cuba and off the
    northwest Yucatan. Rough seas will continue in the Straits of
    Florida into early next week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are moving across the NW Gulf in the offshore waters of Texas.
    This activity may hold together through this afternoon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the strong ridge over the eastern
    United States and lower pressures in northern South America
    results in fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 6-9
    ft across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the north- central,
    SW and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    seas of 2-4 ft prevail. No significant convection is seen across
    the basin. However, shallow pockets of moisture are causing
    isolated showers in the eastern and central Caribbean.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from
    the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and
    increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the
    south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next
    week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
    prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
    Hispaniola starting on Sat night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N65W and
    stretches southwestward to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted north of
    23N and between 60W and 72W. The tight pressure gradient between
    this front and the ridge over the eastern United States sustains
    fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas behind the front.
    Fresh to locally strong southerly winds and rough seas are evident
    ahead of the front to 57W and north of 28N.

    The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of
    an extensive subtropical ridge south of the Azores that forces
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds over much of the central and
    eastern Atlantic, especially north of 12N and east of 57W. Seas in
    these waters are 8-12 ft. Moderate to locally fresh and seas of
    6-10 ft are present elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between the
    front and ridge over the eastern United States will maintain
    strong northeast through tonight, then mostly fresh wind speeds
    will prevail until Sun. Rough seas from large northeast swell will
    linger into the start of next week between Bermuda and the
    Bahamas. Fresh to strong northeast winds are expected early on Sun
    and continue through early next week as the pressure gradient
    tightens across the area.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 10 Apr 2026 16:10:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    578
    AXNT20 KNHC 101610
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Fri Apr 10 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1555 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough is mainly confined to the African continent.
    The ITCZ extends from near the coast of Sierra Leone near 07N13W
    to 00N25W and to 02S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted
    within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A strong ridge over the eastern United States is supporting
    moderate to fresh easterly winds and seas of 5-8 ft north of a
    line from SE Texas to the western tip of Cuba. Light to gentle
    winds and moderate seas are noted south the aforementioned line. A
    few showers are noted east of southern Texas, while generally dry
    conditions persist across the remainder of the basin.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure over the eastern U.S. will
    support strong northeast winds and rough seas across the
    northeast Gulf through early this afternoon. Moderate to fresh
    east to southeast winds and moderate seas prevail elsewhere
    across the basin through the middle of next week, except for
    occasional strong east winds off western Cuba and off the
    northwest Yucatan. Rough seas will continue in the Straits of
    Florida into early next week. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are moving across the NW Gulf in the offshore waters of Texas.
    This activity may hold together through this afternoon.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The pressure gradient between the strong ridge over the eastern
    United States and lower pressures in northern South America
    results in fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 6-9
    ft across the south-central Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the north- central,
    SW and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    seas of 2-4 ft prevail. No significant convection is seen across
    the basin. However, shallow pockets of moisture are causing
    isolated showers in the eastern and central Caribbean.

    For the forecast, strong high pressure building southward from
    the western Atlantic will tighten the pressure gradient and
    increase winds over the basin, leading to strong winds over the
    south- central Caribbean through the weekend and into early next
    week. Fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas will
    prevail south of Cuba, in the Windward Passage, and south of
    Hispaniola starting on Sat night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N65W and
    stretches southwestward to the SE Bahamas and eastern Cuba.
    Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms are noted north of
    23N and between 60W and 72W. The tight pressure gradient between
    this front and the ridge over the eastern United States sustains
    fresh to locally strong NE winds and rough seas behind the front.
    Fresh to locally strong southerly winds and rough seas are evident
    ahead of the front to 57W and north of 28N.

    The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is under the influence of
    an extensive subtropical ridge south of the Azores that forces
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds over much of the central and
    eastern Atlantic, especially north of 12N and east of 57W. Seas in
    these waters are 8-12 ft. Moderate to locally fresh and seas of
    6-10 ft are present elsewhere.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between the
    front and ridge over the eastern United States will maintain
    strong northeast through tonight, then mostly fresh wind speeds
    will prevail until Sun. Rough seas from large northeast swell will
    linger into the start of next week between Bermuda and the
    Bahamas. Fresh to strong northeast winds are expected early on Sun
    and continue through early next week as the pressure gradient
    tightens across the area.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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