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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 23:04:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
503
AXNT20 KNHC 312304
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave was added to the surface
analysis near 20W from 04N to 20N, moving west at 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is evident from 10N to 13N between
16W and 20W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 05N to 10N between 42W and 48W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 12N to 16N between 62W and 68W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 87W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is evident
near this tropical wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Western Sahara near 23N15W and dives southward to a 1009 mb low
pres near 15N21W and then continues southwestward to 07N45W.
Scattered moderate convection is evident from 14N to 17N between
55W and 60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
locally moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-
level trough north of the area is producing a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the
coast, while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the
remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
week as an upper-level trough drops southward toward the Gulf
states as a very moist and unstable airmass prevails over
region. In addition, a cold front will move across the southern
U.S. Sat night through Sun night, with fresh southwest winds
developing ahead of it over the northern portion of the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough seas across
much of the central Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest
seas are occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail,
except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, very rough seas offshore of Colombia left
behind the recent gale winds will slowly subside through Sat.
Elsewhere across the central Caribbean, fresh to strong trades
will begin to diminish in coverage beginning and through the
weekend. Fresh trades elsewhere south S of about 18N will also
diminish in coverage through the weekend. Fresh to strong winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then to fresh speeds
for the remainder of the period. A tropical wave, currently over
the eastern Caribbean near 66W, is accompanied increasing showers
and thunderstorms along with gusty winds. The wave will quickly
move through the rest of the eastern Caribbean tonight and Sun
morning, and across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are active north of 24N and
west of 65W, along a deep layer trough reaching from 31N75W to
South Florida. Fresh to strong SW winds are evident within 120 nm
east of this feature, with 5-7 ft seas. Elsewhere, the remainder
of the subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026
mb high pressure area centered near 32N52W. This pattern is
supporting mostly moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will persist along 28N
into next week. The gradient between the ridge and a frontal
boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue to support
fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 26N and west of 65W through the weekend.
Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at
night through the period.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 23:04:27 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
503
AXNT20 KNHC 312304
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave was added to the surface
analysis near 20W from 04N to 20N, moving west at 10-15 kt.
Scattered moderate convection is evident from 10N to 13N between
16W and 20W.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 05N to 10N between 42W and 48W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 20-25 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 12N to 16N between 62W and 68W.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 87W, south of 19N,
moving westward at 15-20 kt. No significant convection is evident
near this tropical wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Western Sahara near 23N15W and dives southward to a 1009 mb low
pres near 15N21W and then continues southwestward to 07N45W.
Scattered moderate convection is evident from 14N to 17N between
55W and 60W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends into the
Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight to
locally moderate seas. Divergence aloft associated with an upper-
level trough north of the area is producing a few showers and
isolated thunderstorms over the NE Gulf waters, mainly along the
coast, while generally dry conditions are prevalent in the
remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, the surface ridge will remain in control of the
weather pattern across the Gulf region promoting gentle to
moderate winds for the next several days. The exception will be
fresh NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula
nightly through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
will continue over the NE Gulf through the weekend and into next
week as an upper-level trough drops southward toward the Gulf
states as a very moist and unstable airmass prevails over
region. In addition, a cold front will move across the southern
U.S. Sat night through Sun night, with fresh southwest winds
developing ahead of it over the northern portion of the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin forces fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough to locally very rough seas across
much of the central Caribbean. The strongest winds and highest
seas are occurring off NW Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly
breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern Caribbean.
Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas prevail,
except for slight seas in the lee of Cuba.
For the forecast, very rough seas offshore of Colombia left
behind the recent gale winds will slowly subside through Sat.
Elsewhere across the central Caribbean, fresh to strong trades
will begin to diminish in coverage beginning and through the
weekend. Fresh trades elsewhere south S of about 18N will also
diminish in coverage through the weekend. Fresh to strong winds
will pulse in the Gulf of Honduras tonight, then to fresh speeds
for the remainder of the period. A tropical wave, currently over
the eastern Caribbean near 66W, is accompanied increasing showers
and thunderstorms along with gusty winds. The wave will quickly
move through the rest of the eastern Caribbean tonight and Sun
morning, and across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Clusters of showers and thunderstorms are active north of 24N and
west of 65W, along a deep layer trough reaching from 31N75W to
South Florida. Fresh to strong SW winds are evident within 120 nm
east of this feature, with 5-7 ft seas. Elsewhere, the remainder
of the subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026
mb high pressure area centered near 32N52W. This pattern is
supporting mostly moderate NE to E winds and 4-6 ft seas across
the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the ridge will persist along 28N
into next week. The gradient between the ridge and a frontal
boundary just NW of the forecast waters will continue to support
fresh to strong SW winds along with scattered showers and
thunderstorms north of 26N and west of 65W through the weekend.
Fresh to strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at
night through the period.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 02 Aug 2026 11:04:13 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 01 Aug 2026 00:51:23 GMT - Fri, 31 Jul 2026 23:04:13 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
944
ABNT20 KNHC 312304
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jul 31 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 31 Jul 2026 13:51:05 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311350
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0950 AM EDT FRI 31 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-061
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf