SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 10:58:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091058
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Jul 09 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into the weekend. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia Fri night and again Sat night.
Gale-force winds are expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night
and Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft off Colombia
Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W south of
16N moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W/67W south of 18N
moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
east of the wave to near 61W from 13N to 15N. Similar activity is
from 16N to 17N between 64W and 68W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along a position
from 19N73W to 14N73W to inland Colombia near 11N74W. It is
moving westward around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
near the wave. Numerous strong and large convective clusters
have recently formed over Colombia from 05N to 11N between 72W
and 75.5W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 10N25W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 08N36W. It resumes at 07N39W
to 07N47W and to the coast of Guyana near 06N57W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 30 nm of the ITCZ between 44W-49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A relatively weak ridge axis extends from the Atlantic westward
across central Florida and to Gulf. It is generally providing for
gentle to moderate east to southeast winds south of 26N east of
94W, and light to gentle southeast to south-southwest winds north
of 26N. Light and variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W.
Latest altimeter satellite data passes and buoy observations
indicate light seas throughout, except for moderate seas south of
25N east of 85W, including the Straits of Florida.
A mid-level trough along within a very moist and unstable
environment is generating scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the SW Gulf. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of about 28N.
For the forecast, the high pressure ridge will change little
through Sat, then shift slightly southeastward afterward. The
weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east to southeast
winds south of 26N east of 94W, and light to gentle southeast to
south-southwest winds north of 26N into the weekend. Light and
variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W. These winds will
gentle to moderate east to southeast winds tonight and change
little into next week. The exception will be occasional fresh to
strong northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at
night. The shower and thunderstorm being produced by the mid-
level trough will persist into tonight as it lifts to the north.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
that are expected to begin in the short-term.
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures over northern South America continues to
result in fresh to near gale-force trades over the central
Caribbean. Seas with these trades are in the range of 8 to 11 ft.
Fresh to strong northeast to east winds are in the Gulf of
Honduras along with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Similar winds are
in the northern portion of the Windward Passage. Seas are 5 to 7
ft with these winds. Elsewhere, mostly fresh trades are over the
basin, except for trades of gentle to moderate speeds in the
northwestern Caribbean. Fresh east winds are south of Cuba to near
21N. Seas are 6 to 8 ft south of 18N and east of 83W, and 3 to 5
ft elsewhere over the basin.
A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean passing just to the
south of Puerto Rico is accompanied by fresh to strong trades
along with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms that are
currently present from 13N to 16N between 61W and 65W.
An upper-level trough that extends from near western Cuba east-
northeastward to a large upper-level low just east of the
southeastern Bahamas has helped to destabilize the atmosphere
over the northern part of the basin west of Haiti. Clusters of
scattered showers and thunderstorms are evident west of about 80W,
including the Gulf of Honduras and the waters adjacent to Belize
and the southern Yucatan Peninsula. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are north of 18N between Haiti and 80W.
For the forecast, trades over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to
fresh to strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through
early next week. The trades associated to the tropical wave will
combine with those trades already present in the central
Caribbean beginning tonight as the wave advances westward.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1026 mb high center is located near 27N46W while a 1023 mb high
center is near 27N62W. These features are anchoring a broad area
of high pressure that covers the area north of 20N and west of
about 18W. The associated ridge axis along 27N stretches westward
across central Florida and to the Gulf of America. The pressure
gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the deep
tropics is sustaining fresh to strong east winds between the
southeastern Bahamas and Hispaniola and between the central
Bahamas and Cuba. Seas of 6 to 8 ft are over these waters. Farther
east, mostly fresh northeast to east trades are south of 21N
between the Lesser Antilles and 44W as well as over the far
eastern Atlantic from 18N to 26N east of 44W to the coast of
Africa. Seas are about 5 to 7 ft over these waters. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds remain along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.
A stationary frontal boundary extends from 31N37W to 30.5N42W and
northwest from there to beyond 31N47W. No significant convection
is present with this feature. however, an area of scattered
showers is seen to its southwest from 28N to 31N between 47W and
53W.
A broad upper-level low moving westward is identified on water
vapor imagery just approaching the southeastern Bahamas near
23N73W. To its east, an area of mostly mid and high-level clouds
is noted from 20N to 27N between 67W and 74W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are embedded within this area of
cloudiness as it shifts toward the west-northwest.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge near 27N
will change little through the period. The present weather
pattern will generally support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail
through Sat night. Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas
are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including the
approaches to the Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 10:58:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 091058
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Jul 09 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1045 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
America will support strong to near gale-force northeast to east
trades over the south-central Caribbean, including the Gulf of
Venezuela into the weekend. Winds are forecast to pulse to gale-
force off the coast of Colombia Fri night and again Sat night.
Gale-force winds are expected in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night
and Sat night. Seas are expected to peak around 14 ft off Colombia
Sat night.
Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W south of
16N moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
occurring near the wave.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 66W/67W south of 18N
moving westward at 20 kt. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are
east of the wave to near 61W from 13N to 15N. Similar activity is
from 16N to 17N between 64W and 68W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is analyzed along a position
from 19N73W to 14N73W to inland Colombia near 11N74W. It is
moving westward around 15 kt. No significant convection is noted
near the wave. Numerous strong and large convective clusters
have recently formed over Colombia from 05N to 11N between 72W
and 75.5W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 21N16W and continues southwestward to 10N25W,
where it transitions to the ITCZ to 08N36W. It resumes at 07N39W
to 07N47W and to the coast of Guyana near 06N57W. Scattered
moderate convection is within 30 nm of the ITCZ between 44W-49W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A relatively weak ridge axis extends from the Atlantic westward
across central Florida and to Gulf. It is generally providing for
gentle to moderate east to southeast winds south of 26N east of
94W, and light to gentle southeast to south-southwest winds north
of 26N. Light and variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W.
Latest altimeter satellite data passes and buoy observations
indicate light seas throughout, except for moderate seas south of
25N east of 85W, including the Straits of Florida.
A mid-level trough along within a very moist and unstable
environment is generating scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms over the SW Gulf. Isolated showers and thunderstorms
are elsewhere south of about 28N.
For the forecast, the high pressure ridge will change little
through Sat, then shift slightly southeastward afterward. The
weather pattern will support gentle to moderate east to southeast
winds south of 26N east of 94W, and light to gentle southeast to
south-southwest winds north of 26N into the weekend. Light and
variable winds are south of 26N west of 94W. These winds will
gentle to moderate east to southeast winds tonight and change
little into next week. The exception will be occasional fresh to
strong northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at
night. The shower and thunderstorm being produced by the mid-
level trough will persist into tonight as it lifts to the north.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
gale conditions offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela
that are expected to begin in the short-term.
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
lower pressures over northern South America continues to
result in fresh to near gale-force trades over the central
Caribbean. Seas with these trades are in the range of 8 to 11 ft.
Fresh to strong northeast to east winds are in the Gulf of
Honduras along with seas of 4 to 6 ft. Similar winds are
in the northern portion of the Windward Passage. Seas are 5 to 7
ft with these winds. Elsewhere, mostly fresh trades are over the
basin, except for trades of gentle to moderate speeds in the
northwestern Caribbean. Fresh east winds are south of Cuba to near
21N. Seas are 6 to 8 ft south of 18N and east of 83W, and 3 to 5
ft elsewhere over the basin.
A tropical wave over the eastern Caribbean passing just to the
south of Puerto Rico is accompanied by fresh to strong trades
along with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms that are
currently present from 13N to 16N between 61W and 65W.
An upper-level trough that extends from near western Cuba east-
northeastward to a large upper-level low just east of the
southeastern Bahamas has helped to destabilize the atmosphere
over the northern part of the basin west of Haiti. Clusters of
scattered showers and thunderstorms are evident west of about 80W,
including the Gulf of Honduras and the waters adjacent to Belize
and the southern Yucatan Peninsula. Isolated showers and
thunderstorms are north of 18N between Haiti and 80W.
For the forecast, trades over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to
fresh to strong speeds in the late afternoons and evenings through
early next week. The trades associated to the tropical wave will
combine with those trades already present in the central
Caribbean beginning tonight as the wave advances westward.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A 1026 mb high center is located near 27N46W while a 1023 mb high
center is near 27N62W. These features are anchoring a broad area
of high pressure that covers the area north of 20N and west of
about 18W. The associated ridge axis along 27N stretches westward
across central Florida and to the Gulf of America. The pressure
gradient between this ridge and lower pressures in the deep
tropics is sustaining fresh to strong east winds between the
southeastern Bahamas and Hispaniola and between the central
Bahamas and Cuba. Seas of 6 to 8 ft are over these waters. Farther
east, mostly fresh northeast to east trades are south of 21N
between the Lesser Antilles and 44W as well as over the far
eastern Atlantic from 18N to 26N east of 44W to the coast of
Africa. Seas are about 5 to 7 ft over these waters. Elsewhere,
moderate or weaker winds remain along with seas of 4 to 6 ft.
A stationary frontal boundary extends from 31N37W to 30.5N42W and
northwest from there to beyond 31N47W. No significant convection
is present with this feature. however, an area of scattered
showers is seen to its southwest from 28N to 31N between 47W and
53W.
A broad upper-level low moving westward is identified on water
vapor imagery just approaching the southeastern Bahamas near
23N73W. To its east, an area of mostly mid and high-level clouds
is noted from 20N to 27N between 67W and 74W. Scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms are embedded within this area of
cloudiness as it shifts toward the west-northwest.
For the forecast west of 55W, the high pressure ridge near 27N
will change little through the period. The present weather
pattern will generally support moderate to fresh trades south of
23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail
through Sat night. Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas
are expected at night north of Hispaniola, including the
approaches to the Windward Passage through early next week.
$$
Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 10 Jul 2026 23:15:11 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 09 Jul 2026 14:50:11 GMT - Thu, 09 Jul 2026 11:15:11 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
346
ABNT20 KNHC 091115
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Thu Jul 9 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 09 Jul 2026 13:40:45 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 091340
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT THU 09 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 10/1100Z TO 11/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-039
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf