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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 16 May 2026 10:08:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
771
AXNT20 KNHC 161007
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An central Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W, from 12N
southward, moving westward at around 15 kt. Convection previously
associated with this wave has waned overnight.
An Atlantic tropical wave is crossing the Windward Islands this
morning along 62W, from 13N southward into Venezuela, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is mainly
inland over Venezuela.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then curves
southwestward to 01N30W. The ITCZ is noted from 01N40W to 01N47W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is present along and S of
the monsoon trough E of 24W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Ridging anchored by a 1023 mb high pressure centered just offshore
the Carolinas is dominating the basin, with weak diurnal troughs
along the west coast of the Florida Peninsula and in the Bay of
Campeche. Fresh SE winds are E of the trough in the Bay of
Campeche, and also in the NW Gulf within 90 nm of the coast.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker. Seas are 2 to 5 ft in
the western basin, and 2 ft or less in the east.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate into the middle of
next week. With the high pressure centered NE of the region and
lower pressure over Texas, the pressure gradient will support
fresh SE winds over the western Gulf through early next week.
Evening pulses of strong winds are expected to move offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula due to a diurnal trough.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a broad surface ridge oriented
along 31N and a 1008 mb low over far northern Colombia is
sustaining strong NE to E winds and 8 to 11 ft seas in the
central basin. Mainly fresh winds with 5 to 7 ft seas prevail
elsewhere in the Caribbean, except for gentle to moderate E winds
with slight seas in the NW basin. Scattered moderate convection
has developed within 90 nm of the coasts of Panama, Costa Rica,
and Nicaragua due to converging low-level winds and the influence
of the East Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N
of the area and the Colombian Low will support strong trades
across the central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras into Tue,
with moderate to fresh trades across the remainder of the forecast
waters. Large E swell resulting in rough seas will impact the
tropical N Atlantic waters into Mon night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak surface trough extends from near 31N62W to the central
Bahamas. Scattered moderate to strong convection has increased in
coverage overnight in association with this trough in the vicinity
of the central Bahamas. N of 30N between 52W and 62W, moderate SW
winds are ahead of the trough. Otherwise, much of the basin is
dominated by a 1031 mb Azores high. This is leading to widespread
moderate to fresh easterly winds, with moderate seas. S of 21N,
rough seas in a mix of wind waves and easterly swell prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the trough will dissipate today,
leaving tranquil marine conditions in place into the middle of
next week. Moderate to fresh east winds and mainly moderate seas
will prevail.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 16 May 2026 10:08:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
771
AXNT20 KNHC 161007
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat May 16 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0900 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An central Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W, from 12N
southward, moving westward at around 15 kt. Convection previously
associated with this wave has waned overnight.
An Atlantic tropical wave is crossing the Windward Islands this
morning along 62W, from 13N southward into Venezuela, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is mainly
inland over Venezuela.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W, then curves
southwestward to 01N30W. The ITCZ is noted from 01N40W to 01N47W.
Scattered moderate to strong convection is present along and S of
the monsoon trough E of 24W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Ridging anchored by a 1023 mb high pressure centered just offshore
the Carolinas is dominating the basin, with weak diurnal troughs
along the west coast of the Florida Peninsula and in the Bay of
Campeche. Fresh SE winds are E of the trough in the Bay of
Campeche, and also in the NW Gulf within 90 nm of the coast.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker. Seas are 2 to 5 ft in
the western basin, and 2 ft or less in the east.
For the forecast, high pressure will dominate into the middle of
next week. With the high pressure centered NE of the region and
lower pressure over Texas, the pressure gradient will support
fresh SE winds over the western Gulf through early next week.
Evening pulses of strong winds are expected to move offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula due to a diurnal trough.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A tight pressure gradient between a broad surface ridge oriented
along 31N and a 1008 mb low over far northern Colombia is
sustaining strong NE to E winds and 8 to 11 ft seas in the
central basin. Mainly fresh winds with 5 to 7 ft seas prevail
elsewhere in the Caribbean, except for gentle to moderate E winds
with slight seas in the NW basin. Scattered moderate convection
has developed within 90 nm of the coasts of Panama, Costa Rica,
and Nicaragua due to converging low-level winds and the influence
of the East Pacific monsoon trough.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure N
of the area and the Colombian Low will support strong trades
across the central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras into Tue,
with moderate to fresh trades across the remainder of the forecast
waters. Large E swell resulting in rough seas will impact the
tropical N Atlantic waters into Mon night, then begin to subside.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak surface trough extends from near 31N62W to the central
Bahamas. Scattered moderate to strong convection has increased in
coverage overnight in association with this trough in the vicinity
of the central Bahamas. N of 30N between 52W and 62W, moderate SW
winds are ahead of the trough. Otherwise, much of the basin is
dominated by a 1031 mb Azores high. This is leading to widespread
moderate to fresh easterly winds, with moderate seas. S of 21N,
rough seas in a mix of wind waves and easterly swell prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the trough will dissipate today,
leaving tranquil marine conditions in place into the middle of
next week. Moderate to fresh east winds and mainly moderate seas
will prevail.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 17 May 2026 23:39:26 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 16 May 2026 13:20:13 GMT - Sat, 16 May 2026 11:39:26 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 161139
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sat May 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf