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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 20 Jun 2026 21:30:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202129
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jun 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2120 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 23W from
03N to 15N. It is moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 04N to 06N between 24W and 28W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 39W from
02N to 16N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 02N to 07N between 35W and 40W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 62W south
of 18N. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are depicted from
11N to 15N between 60W and 62W. This is wave is supporting
moderate to locally fresh winds across the Leeward Islands.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 80W south of 18N. It
is moving westward at about 20 to 25 kt. This wave is
interacting with an upper- level low, which is generating
scattered moderate convection off eastern Panama and off eastern
Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 19N16W,
and continues southwestward to 10N25W to 08N40W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ to 10N56W. Scattered moderate convection
is described in the Tropical Wave section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure ridging stretches westward from the
western Atlantic to across Florida and to the central Gulf. The
pressure gradient between the ridge, and the relatively lower
pressures over Texas and northeastern Mexico has induced moderate
to fresh SE winds west of 90W, with 3-5 ft seas. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds prevail along with seas 1 to 4 ft.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are offshore the Texas coast.
For the forecast, high pressure will continue to prevail across
the NE Gulf. The pressure gradient between the area of high
pressure and relatively lower pressures over Texas and
northeastern Mexico will generally support mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf through the weekend.
These winds are expected to diminish to gentle to moderate speeds
early next week. Slight to moderate seas will accompany these
winds. The weak high pressure over the eastern Gulf will support
light winds and slight seas there through late Mon. A new high
center will become established over the central Gulf by midweek,
with similar conditions expected over much of the basin at that
time.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for convection
across the basin.
The subtropical ridge extends north of the area over the western
Atlantic. The pattern between this ridge and tropical waves over
the eastern and western Caribbean is supporting fresh to strong
trade winds across the central Caribbean, where seas are 7-9 ft.
Moderate to fresh trade winds prevail elsewhere, with 5-7 ft
seas, except for gentle SE winds 3-5 ft over the far northwestern
Caribbean.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge will prevail north of
the area into next week. The pressure gradient between the high
pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean
through the forecast period, with highest winds and seas expected
off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly well into the upcoming week. Moderate to fresh winds are
expected over much of the remainder of the Caribbean through the
middle portion of next week. A tropical wave currently east of
the Lesser Antilles will move through the eastern Caribbean Sun
through late Mon, and across the rest of the basin through late
Wed. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected near the
wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge extends across the entire Atlantic north of
20N, anchored by 1022 mb near 26N52W. The pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh trade winds south of 20N, with 5-7 ft seas,
reaching 8 ft northeast of Barbados. Gentle breezes prevail north
of 20N, with 3-5 ft seas in a broad mix of swell. Upper jet
dynamics are supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms along
30N between 65W and 75W.
For the forecast west of 55W, surface troughing will linger near
and offshore Florida into early next week. Moderate to fresh
trade winds will pulse to strong south of 22N into early next
week, then be at mostly fresh speeds through the rest of the
forecast period.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 20 Jun 2026 21:30:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 202129
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jun 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2120 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 23W from
03N to 15N. It is moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 04N to 06N between 24W and 28W.
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 39W from
02N to 16N moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is depicted from 02N to 07N between 35W and 40W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 62W south
of 18N. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are depicted from
11N to 15N between 60W and 62W. This is wave is supporting
moderate to locally fresh winds across the Leeward Islands.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 80W south of 18N. It
is moving westward at about 20 to 25 kt. This wave is
interacting with an upper- level low, which is generating
scattered moderate convection off eastern Panama and off eastern
Honduras.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic ocean near 19N16W,
and continues southwestward to 10N25W to 08N40W, where it
transitions to the ITCZ to 10N56W. Scattered moderate convection
is described in the Tropical Wave section above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Relatively weak high pressure ridging stretches westward from the
western Atlantic to across Florida and to the central Gulf. The
pressure gradient between the ridge, and the relatively lower
pressures over Texas and northeastern Mexico has induced moderate
to fresh SE winds west of 90W, with 3-5 ft seas. Elsewhere,
light to gentle winds prevail along with seas 1 to 4 ft.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are offshore the Texas coast.
For the forecast, high pressure will continue to prevail across
the NE Gulf. The pressure gradient between the area of high
pressure and relatively lower pressures over Texas and
northeastern Mexico will generally support mostly fresh southerly
winds over the western and central Gulf through the weekend.
These winds are expected to diminish to gentle to moderate speeds
early next week. Slight to moderate seas will accompany these
winds. The weak high pressure over the eastern Gulf will support
light winds and slight seas there through late Mon. A new high
center will become established over the central Gulf by midweek,
with similar conditions expected over much of the basin at that
time.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please refer to the Tropical Waves section above for convection
across the basin.
The subtropical ridge extends north of the area over the western
Atlantic. The pattern between this ridge and tropical waves over
the eastern and western Caribbean is supporting fresh to strong
trade winds across the central Caribbean, where seas are 7-9 ft.
Moderate to fresh trade winds prevail elsewhere, with 5-7 ft
seas, except for gentle SE winds 3-5 ft over the far northwestern
Caribbean.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge will prevail north of
the area into next week. The pressure gradient between the high
pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean
through the forecast period, with highest winds and seas expected
off the coast of Colombia. Pulsing fresh to strong winds and
moderate to rough seas are expected in the Gulf of Honduras
nightly well into the upcoming week. Moderate to fresh winds are
expected over much of the remainder of the Caribbean through the
middle portion of next week. A tropical wave currently east of
the Lesser Antilles will move through the eastern Caribbean Sun
through late Mon, and across the rest of the basin through late
Wed. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected near the
wave.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge extends across the entire Atlantic north of
20N, anchored by 1022 mb near 26N52W. The pattern is supporting
moderate to fresh trade winds south of 20N, with 5-7 ft seas,
reaching 8 ft northeast of Barbados. Gentle breezes prevail north
of 20N, with 3-5 ft seas in a broad mix of swell. Upper jet
dynamics are supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms along
30N between 65W and 75W.
For the forecast west of 55W, surface troughing will linger near
and offshore Florida into early next week. Moderate to fresh
trade winds will pulse to strong south of 22N into early next
week, then be at mostly fresh speeds through the rest of the
forecast period.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 22 Jun 2026 05:20:51 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 20 Jun 2026 21:30:10 GMT - Sat, 20 Jun 2026 17:20:51 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
160
ABNT20 KNHC 201720
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sat Jun 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 20 Jun 2026 13:59:52 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 201359
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EDT SAT 20 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 21/1100Z TO 22/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-020
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf