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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 16:05:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    890
    AXNT20 KNHC 021605
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 30W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are present from
    07N to 12N and between 28W and 36W.

    A tropical wave has been repositioned along 61W, south of 17N,
    based on surface observations, satellite and wave guidance data.
    The wave is moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are
    noted south of 14N and between 58W and 64W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are seen near the northern
    portion of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pres near 14N27W and then to 10N45W. The ITCZ extends from 10N45W
    to 09N58W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to
    12N between east of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends across
    the Florida Straits into the Gulf waters and along with a frontal
    boundary to the north, sustain moderate to fresh westerly winds
    and moderate seas north of 27N. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
    and slight seas prevail. The aforementioned frontal boundary and
    an upper-level trough over the eastern United States maintain
    unstable conditions across the area, producing scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the northern half of the Gulf. A
    recent scatterometer satellite pass indicate that stronger winds
    are occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds into the upcoming week. The exceptions will be
    fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and over the
    central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 90W into the upcoming week
    as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the northern Caribbean waters, especially
    near Puerto Rico, eastern Hispaniola and south of eastern Cuba. A
    few showers are also seen in the SW Caribbean. The westward-
    building subtropical high pressure system positioned over the
    central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
    rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin through
    much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the
    Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, near
    79W is accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms between
    Jamaica and eastern Cuba and near the Windward Passage. The wave
    will continue quickly moving westward across the remainder of the
    basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    across the SW North Atlantic, west of 60W. The tropical Atlantic
    is dominated by a 1028 mb high pressure system centered near
    33N55W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and
    seas of 4-7 ft north of 28N and west of 75W. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the
    remaining tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little through
    Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on Thu.
    The pressure gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary
    just NW of the forecast waters will continue to support fresh to
    strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over the majority of the area
    into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just
    north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 16:05:51 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    890
    AXNT20 KNHC 021605
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1515 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 30W, south of 20N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are present from
    07N to 12N and between 28W and 36W.

    A tropical wave has been repositioned along 61W, south of 17N,
    based on surface observations, satellite and wave guidance data.
    The wave is moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered showers are
    noted south of 14N and between 58W and 64W.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 79W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. A few showers are seen near the northern
    portion of the wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and dives southwestward to a 1012 mb low
    pres near 14N27W and then to 10N45W. The ITCZ extends from 10N45W
    to 09N58W. Scattered moderate convection is observed from 03N to
    12N between east of 20W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    The western portion of the subtropical ridge extends across
    the Florida Straits into the Gulf waters and along with a frontal
    boundary to the north, sustain moderate to fresh westerly winds
    and moderate seas north of 27N. Elsewhere, light to gentle winds
    and slight seas prevail. The aforementioned frontal boundary and
    an upper-level trough over the eastern United States maintain
    unstable conditions across the area, producing scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms over the northern half of the Gulf. A
    recent scatterometer satellite pass indicate that stronger winds
    are occurring near the stronger convection.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds into the upcoming week. The exceptions will be
    fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Mon. Scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are expected over the eastern Gulf, and over the
    central Gulf N of 25N between 87W and 90W into the upcoming week
    as an upper-level trough and a cold front approach the Gulf coast.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the northern Caribbean waters, especially
    near Puerto Rico, eastern Hispaniola and south of eastern Cuba. A
    few showers are also seen in the SW Caribbean. The westward-
    building subtropical high pressure system positioned over the
    central Atlantic forces fresh to strong easterly trade winds and
    rough seas over much of the central Caribbean. Moderate to locally
    fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin through
    much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse in the
    Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave, near
    79W is accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms between
    Jamaica and eastern Cuba and near the Windward Passage. The wave
    will continue quickly moving westward across the remainder of the
    basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Favorable upper-level conditions and abundant tropical moisture
    combine to produce scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    across the SW North Atlantic, west of 60W. The tropical Atlantic
    is dominated by a 1028 mb high pressure system centered near
    33N55W, supporting fresh to locally strong southerly winds and
    seas of 4-7 ft north of 28N and west of 75W. Elsewhere, moderate
    or weaker winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the
    remaining tropical Atlantic.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to South Florida will change little through
    Tue, then lift N to central Florida on Wed and N of 31N on Thu.
    The pressure gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary
    just NW of the forecast waters will continue to support fresh to
    strong SW winds ahead of the front, along with scattered to
    numerous showers and thunderstorms over the majority of the area
    into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will pulse just
    north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 23:11:00 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 02 Aug 2026 16:30:11 GMT
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 11:11:00 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 021110
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 13:13:21 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    590
    NOUS42 KNHC 021313
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0915 AM EDT SUN 02 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 03/1100Z TO 04/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-063

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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