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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 20:39:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
155
AXNT20 KNHC 292039
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 32W,
south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is found from 03N-07N between 23W-34W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 63W, south
of 14N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is found along the wave axis from 08N-12N
between 60W-64W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 72W, south of
20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N22W. The ITCZ extends from 10N22W to 06N30W
to 06N53W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves
described above, no significant convection is present at this
time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1021 mb high pressure is centered over the north-central Gulf
near 29N87W. A trough is over the Bay of Campeche in the far
southwest Gulf along 92W south of 22N. Moderate S to SW winds and
3 to 5 ft seas are noted over the western Gulf with gentle breezes
and 1 to 3 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Various observations over
southern Mexico including Veracruz are showing minor limitations
to visibility due to haze.
For the forecast, the high pressure will continue to dominate the
Gulf region while a weak cold front is forecast to reach the NE
Gulf late tonight into Tue with little impact in winds and seas.
Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local effects
associated with a thermal trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds
across the western half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to
moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail the remainder
forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E
of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. A
concurrent altimeter pass confirmed seas in these waters are 8-10
ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few thunderstorms are
active across Trinidad into the far northeast part of Venezuela associated
with a tropical wave moving past the Windward Islands. No
significant convection is evident elsewhere over the Caribbean.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the basin combined
with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds
over the central Caribbean through the forecast period, reaching
near-gale force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
at night. Moderate or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder
of the basin during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands near
24N65W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain
active within 90 to 240 nm southeast of an associated surface
trough extending from 25N63W to 19N70W. The remainder of the
Atlantic discussion area is dominated by the subtropical ridge
north of 20N, interrupted only by a surface trough along roughly
45W from 20N to 25N. This pattern is supporting moderate winds and
3-5 ft seas north of 20N, east of 35W. It is also supporting
moderate to fresh trade winds farther south over the deep tropics
east of 35W with 5-7 ft seas, except near 8 ft southeast of
Barbados. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force
northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and
east of 20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent elsewhere east of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, while most of the basin will
experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the late afternoons and early evenings
for the next several days. A weak cold front located off of the SE
United States coast will extend from 31N72W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
along the western end of the frontal system in the next day or
two. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for
some tropical development as the system drifts southward and then
westward before conditions become even less favorable later this
week. Currently, the forecast keeps the low just N of 30N through
Wed.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 20:39:17 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
155
AXNT20 KNHC 292039
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Jun 30 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 32W,
south of 16N, moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is found from 03N-07N between 23W-34W.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 63W, south
of 14N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is found along the wave axis from 08N-12N
between 60W-64W.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 72W, south of
20N, moving westward near 10-15 kt. No convection is noted at
this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N22W. The ITCZ extends from 10N22W to 06N30W
to 06N53W. Aside from the convection related to the tropical waves
described above, no significant convection is present at this
time.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1021 mb high pressure is centered over the north-central Gulf
near 29N87W. A trough is over the Bay of Campeche in the far
southwest Gulf along 92W south of 22N. Moderate S to SW winds and
3 to 5 ft seas are noted over the western Gulf with gentle breezes
and 1 to 3 ft seas are noted elsewhere. Various observations over
southern Mexico including Veracruz are showing minor limitations
to visibility due to haze.
For the forecast, the high pressure will continue to dominate the
Gulf region while a weak cold front is forecast to reach the NE
Gulf late tonight into Tue with little impact in winds and seas.
Fresh to locally strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Sat night due to local effects
associated with a thermal trough. Moderate to fresh E to SE winds
across the western half of the Gulf will diminish to gentle to
moderate speeds Tue morning and then prevail the remainder
forecast period. Moderate or weaker winds are expected elsewhere E
of 90W, except for light to gentle winds in the NE Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge north of the basin continues to force fresh
to near-gale easterly trade winds across much of the central
Caribbean, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass. A
concurrent altimeter pass confirmed seas in these waters are 8-10
ft. The strongest winds and highest seas are found off NW
Colombia. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are
found in the eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
winds and slight to moderate seas prevail. A few thunderstorms are
active across Trinidad into the far northeast part of Venezuela associated
with a tropical wave moving past the Windward Islands. No
significant convection is evident elsewhere over the Caribbean.
For the forecast, the subtropical ridge north of the basin combined
with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds
over the central Caribbean through the forecast period, reaching
near-gale force offshore of Colombia, and in the Gulf of Venezuela
at night. Moderate or lighter winds are forecast across the remainder
of the basin during the next several days.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper-level low centered north of the Leeward Islands near
24N65W. Scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms remain
active within 90 to 240 nm southeast of an associated surface
trough extending from 25N63W to 19N70W. The remainder of the
Atlantic discussion area is dominated by the subtropical ridge
north of 20N, interrupted only by a surface trough along roughly
45W from 20N to 25N. This pattern is supporting moderate winds and
3-5 ft seas north of 20N, east of 35W. It is also supporting
moderate to fresh trade winds farther south over the deep tropics
east of 35W with 5-7 ft seas, except near 8 ft southeast of
Barbados. In the far eastern Atlantic, fresh to near gale-force
northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are evident north of 18N and
east of 20W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
prevalent elsewhere east of 35W.
For the forecast west of 55W, while most of the basin will
experience moderate or weaker winds, trades just north of
Hispaniola will freshen in the late afternoons and early evenings
for the next several days. A weak cold front located off of the SE
United States coast will extend from 31N72W to the central
Florida peninsula by Tue morning. While the front is anticipated
to dissipate on Wed, a broad low pressure area is expected to form
along the western end of the frontal system in the next day or
two. Environmental conditions appear only marginally favorable for
some tropical development as the system drifts southward and then
westward before conditions become even less favorable later this
week. Currently, the forecast keeps the low just N of 30N through
Wed.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 01 Jul 2026 05:33:29 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 29 Jun 2026 21:35:21 GMT - Mon, 29 Jun 2026 17:33:29 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 291733
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Mon Jun 29 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms located off the southeastern
U.S. coast are associated with an area of low pressure along a
frontal boundary. Environmental conditions appear only marginally
favorable for some tropical development over the next day or two as
the system drifts southward and then westward before conditions
become even less favorable later this week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...10 percent.
$$
Forecaster Papin
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 29 Jun 2026 13:36:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 291336
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0940 AM EDT MON 29 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z JUNE TO 01/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-029
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY: POSSIBLE LOW-LEVEL INVEST MISSION
OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC NEAR 31.0N 71.5W FOR 01/1800Z.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf