2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 25 Nov 2025 20:34:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    801
    AXNT20 KNHC 252033
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Nov 26 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and continues
    to 08N15W. The ITCZ extends from 08N15W to 07N20W to 08N35W to
    07N50W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 07N to 09N
    between 18W and 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from south-central Louisiana to South
    Texas near the mouth of the Rio Grande. A few showers and
    thunderstorms are active ahead of this front. A few additional
    showers and thunderstorms are active over the southwest Gulf along
    95W from 21N to 25N, ahead of a trough over the Bay of Campeche
    and associated with the subtropical jet active near the area.
    Farther east, 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 27N86W. This
    pattern is supporting gentle to moderate SE to S winds and 2 to 4
    ft seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, a stronger reinforcing cold front will overtake
    the aforementioned weak front early Wed while reaching from the
    western Florida Panhandle to 28N90W to NE Mexico. The cold front
    will then sweep to the southeast of the basin by Thu night into
    Fri, followed by fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas
    into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may
    accompany the fronts. Moderate to fresh return flow under strong
    high pressure is forecast by Sat afternoon. Another front may move
    into the NW waters early Sun.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the area continues to force fresh to
    strong easterly winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. A
    recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated strong to near-gale
    force winds off the coast of Colombia, with mostly moderate to
    fresh trade winds elsewhere across the eastern and central
    Caribbean. A concurrent altimeter satellite pass indicated 8 to 11
    ft seas near the strong to gale-force winds. Combined seas are 5
    to 7 ft elsewhere over the eastern and central Caribbean. Gentle
    to moderate E winds and 3 to 5 ft are observed over the northwest
    Caribbean. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the
    far southwest Caribbean from Panama to off Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between high
    pressure north of the basin and lower pressures over NW Colombia
    will sustain fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
    in the central Caribbean through early Fri. The strongest winds of
    25 to 30 kt, and highest seas peaking near 12 ft are expected
    offshore Colombia mainly at night. In the remainder of the basin,
    the weather pattern will support moderate to fresh winds along
    with moderate seas through early Fri. Looking ahead, a cold front
    will slowly enter the NW Caribbean on Fri, followed by strong
    winds and rough seas through Fri night. The front may stall and
    wash out over the NW Caribbean by Sat with conditions gradually
    improving for the remainder of the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from near 31N52W to 28N70W, where it
    becomes a stationary front that extends to 28N78W. Moderate to
    fresh N to NE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are active north of the
    front east of 65W. Moderate to fresh E winds and 5 to 6 ft seas
    are noted south of 25N between 65W and 75W, with moderate E to SE
    winds and 4 to 5 ft seas elsewhere east of 55W. Farther east,
    scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough from
    22N to 30N between 43W and 47W. Another trough is southwest of the
    Canary Islands from 20N28W to 27N23W. Numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are also active on the north of the trough from 26N
    to 28N between 20W and 25W. Fresh E winds and 5 to 8 ft seas noted
    north of the trough from 27N to 30N between 23W and 30W. Gentle to
    moderate NE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas are noted elsewhere east of
    55W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the eastern portion of the front
    will continue eastward and reach from 26N55W to 25N70W by early
    Wed, while the western portion dissipates. High pressure located
    off New England will shift eastward following the front,
    supporting moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate
    seas over the region, locally rough near 55W. Looking ahead, winds
    and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of a stronger
    cold front expected to move off the northeast Florida coast Wed
    night. The front will reach from near Bermuda to the Straits of
    Florida by early Fri, followed by fresh to strong NW winds and
    building seas through Fri night. A tightened pressure gradient in
    the wake of the front is forecast to bring increasing winds and
    building seas across much of the forecast area Sat, gradually
    diminishing from west to east Sun.

    $$
    Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 25 Nov 2025 20:34:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    801
    AXNT20 KNHC 252033
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Nov 26 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2030 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 09N13W and continues
    to 08N15W. The ITCZ extends from 08N15W to 07N20W to 08N35W to
    07N50W. Scattered moderate convection is present from 07N to 09N
    between 18W and 23W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A weak cold front extends from south-central Louisiana to South
    Texas near the mouth of the Rio Grande. A few showers and
    thunderstorms are active ahead of this front. A few additional
    showers and thunderstorms are active over the southwest Gulf along
    95W from 21N to 25N, ahead of a trough over the Bay of Campeche
    and associated with the subtropical jet active near the area.
    Farther east, 1018 mb high pressure is centered near 27N86W. This
    pattern is supporting gentle to moderate SE to S winds and 2 to 4
    ft seas across the basin.

    For the forecast, a stronger reinforcing cold front will overtake
    the aforementioned weak front early Wed while reaching from the
    western Florida Panhandle to 28N90W to NE Mexico. The cold front
    will then sweep to the southeast of the basin by Thu night into
    Fri, followed by fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas
    into the weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may
    accompany the fronts. Moderate to fresh return flow under strong
    high pressure is forecast by Sat afternoon. Another front may move
    into the NW waters early Sun.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    High pressure north of the area continues to force fresh to
    strong easterly winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. A
    recent scatterometer satellite pass indicated strong to near-gale
    force winds off the coast of Colombia, with mostly moderate to
    fresh trade winds elsewhere across the eastern and central
    Caribbean. A concurrent altimeter satellite pass indicated 8 to 11
    ft seas near the strong to gale-force winds. Combined seas are 5
    to 7 ft elsewhere over the eastern and central Caribbean. Gentle
    to moderate E winds and 3 to 5 ft are observed over the northwest
    Caribbean. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over the
    far southwest Caribbean from Panama to off Costa Rica.

    For the forecast, the tight pressure gradient between high
    pressure north of the basin and lower pressures over NW Colombia
    will sustain fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
    in the central Caribbean through early Fri. The strongest winds of
    25 to 30 kt, and highest seas peaking near 12 ft are expected
    offshore Colombia mainly at night. In the remainder of the basin,
    the weather pattern will support moderate to fresh winds along
    with moderate seas through early Fri. Looking ahead, a cold front
    will slowly enter the NW Caribbean on Fri, followed by strong
    winds and rough seas through Fri night. The front may stall and
    wash out over the NW Caribbean by Sat with conditions gradually
    improving for the remainder of the weekend.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from near 31N52W to 28N70W, where it
    becomes a stationary front that extends to 28N78W. Moderate to
    fresh N to NE winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are active north of the
    front east of 65W. Moderate to fresh E winds and 5 to 6 ft seas
    are noted south of 25N between 65W and 75W, with moderate E to SE
    winds and 4 to 5 ft seas elsewhere east of 55W. Farther east,
    scattered showers and thunderstorms are active along a trough from
    22N to 30N between 43W and 47W. Another trough is southwest of the
    Canary Islands from 20N28W to 27N23W. Numerous showers and
    thunderstorms are also active on the north of the trough from 26N
    to 28N between 20W and 25W. Fresh E winds and 5 to 8 ft seas noted
    north of the trough from 27N to 30N between 23W and 30W. Gentle to
    moderate NE winds and 4 to 6 ft seas are noted elsewhere east of
    55W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the eastern portion of the front
    will continue eastward and reach from 26N55W to 25N70W by early
    Wed, while the western portion dissipates. High pressure located
    off New England will shift eastward following the front,
    supporting moderate to fresh northeast to east winds and moderate
    seas over the region, locally rough near 55W. Looking ahead, winds
    and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of a stronger
    cold front expected to move off the northeast Florida coast Wed
    night. The front will reach from near Bermuda to the Straits of
    Florida by early Fri, followed by fresh to strong NW winds and
    building seas through Fri night. A tightened pressure gradient in
    the wake of the front is forecast to bring increasing winds and
    building seas across much of the forecast area Sat, gradually
    diminishing from west to east Sun.

    $$
    Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 27 Nov 2025 11:31:54 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 26 Nov 2025 02:26:49 GMT
  • Tue, 25 Nov 2025 23:31:54 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    423
    ABNT20 KNHC 252331
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    700 PM EST Tue Nov 25 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 25 Nov 2025 14:46:16 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    315
    NOUS42 KNHC 251446
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0945 AM EST TUE 25 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-178

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM/KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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