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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 07 May 2026 04:39:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
066
AXNT20 KNHC 070439
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu May 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0438 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 32W, S of
11N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N17.5W and
continues southwestward to near 01S31W. The ITCZ is analyzed from
00N35W to near 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S
of 04N along both, the ITCZ and the monsoon trough.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a 1016 mb high pressure over the E
Gulf and lower pressures over Mexico is supporting gentle to
moderate SE winds over the western Gulf W of 87W, except for fresh
to strong E to SE winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas W of
87W are 3 to 6 ft. Light to gentle variable winds prevail
elsewhere along with seas 1 to 3 ft.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure over the eastern
and central Gulf interacting with lower pressures over Mexico will
support moderate to locally fresh southeast winds in the western
Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern Gulf through
late tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong near the Yucatan
Peninsula in the evenings through Sat. A weak cold front is
forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters by Thu morning,
quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the north as a warm
front Fri into Sat as high pressure ridging builds back in across
the basin from the east. Looking ahead, another cold front may try
to move into the northern Gulf waters late on Sun, and reach from
north-central Florida to eastern Bay of Campeche by late on Mon,
followed by moderate to fresh north to northeast winds. Scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to
marginally severe, are likely to precede the fronts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
relatively lower pressure in northern South America will continue
to support fresh to strong winds over the south central
Caribbean, where seas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh
winds, and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere, except over the Gulf
of Honduras where fresh to strong E winds prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
forecast period, with similar conditions expected in the Gulf of
Honduras though diminishing there Mon. Moderate to fresh trades
are expected across the remainder of the eastern and central
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front extends from 31N57W to 28N63W, then it becomes
stationary from 31N57W to 28N71W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are SE of the cold front. Gentle to moderate winds,
and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail N of the front. Moderate winds are N
of 29N within 60 nm east of the front. A surface trough extends
from 22N35W to 28N34W. Moderate to fresh NE winds, and seas of
6-8 ft are found from 23N to 30N and east of 47W. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front is forecast to slowly
shift east while washing out through Thu. Another front will move
off northern Florida Thu night, gradually losing definition as it
shifts across the northern waters through Sat. Elsewhere, winds
may pulse to moderate to fresh off northern Hispaniola, increasing
to fresh to strong this weekend and into early next week.
Southerly winds are expected to freshen off northern Florida Sun
night ahead of a stronger front that is expected to move across
the northwest forecast waters through Mon night, followed by
moderate to fresh northwest winds. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to marginally severe, are
possible ahead of both fronts. Otherwise, a high pressure ridge
extending from near 31N56W to the Florida Keys will be in place
during the forecast period allowing for generally quiet conditions
across the area.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 07 May 2026 04:39:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
066
AXNT20 KNHC 070439
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Thu May 7 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0438 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 32W, S of
11N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N17.5W and
continues southwestward to near 01S31W. The ITCZ is analyzed from
00N35W to near 01S45W. Scattered moderate convection is noted S
of 04N along both, the ITCZ and the monsoon trough.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The pressure gradient between a 1016 mb high pressure over the E
Gulf and lower pressures over Mexico is supporting gentle to
moderate SE winds over the western Gulf W of 87W, except for fresh
to strong E to SE winds north of the Yucatan Peninsula. Seas W of
87W are 3 to 6 ft. Light to gentle variable winds prevail
elsewhere along with seas 1 to 3 ft.
For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure over the eastern
and central Gulf interacting with lower pressures over Mexico will
support moderate to locally fresh southeast winds in the western
Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern Gulf through
late tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to strong near the Yucatan
Peninsula in the evenings through Sat. A weak cold front is
forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters by Thu morning,
quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the north as a warm
front Fri into Sat as high pressure ridging builds back in across
the basin from the east. Looking ahead, another cold front may try
to move into the northern Gulf waters late on Sun, and reach from
north-central Florida to eastern Bay of Campeche by late on Mon,
followed by moderate to fresh north to northeast winds. Scattered
to numerous showers and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to
marginally severe, are likely to precede the fronts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
relatively lower pressure in northern South America will continue
to support fresh to strong winds over the south central
Caribbean, where seas are in the 6-8 ft range. Moderate to fresh
winds, and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail elsewhere, except over the Gulf
of Honduras where fresh to strong E winds prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
forecast period, with similar conditions expected in the Gulf of
Honduras though diminishing there Mon. Moderate to fresh trades
are expected across the remainder of the eastern and central
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front extends from 31N57W to 28N63W, then it becomes
stationary from 31N57W to 28N71W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms are SE of the cold front. Gentle to moderate winds,
and seas of 3-5 ft, prevail N of the front. Moderate winds are N
of 29N within 60 nm east of the front. A surface trough extends
from 22N35W to 28N34W. Moderate to fresh NE winds, and seas of
6-8 ft are found from 23N to 30N and east of 47W. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate winds, and seas of 4-6 ft, prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the front is forecast to slowly
shift east while washing out through Thu. Another front will move
off northern Florida Thu night, gradually losing definition as it
shifts across the northern waters through Sat. Elsewhere, winds
may pulse to moderate to fresh off northern Hispaniola, increasing
to fresh to strong this weekend and into early next week.
Southerly winds are expected to freshen off northern Florida Sun
night ahead of a stronger front that is expected to move across
the northwest forecast waters through Mon night, followed by
moderate to fresh northwest winds. Scattered to numerous showers
and thunderstorms, some possibly strong to marginally severe, are
possible ahead of both fronts. Otherwise, a high pressure ridge
extending from near 31N56W to the Florida Keys will be in place
during the forecast period allowing for generally quiet conditions
across the area.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 07 May 2026 07:20:06 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf