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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 15:26:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
282
AXNT20 KNHC 181525
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south of 19N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. No significant convection is
evident near this tropical wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 42W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 64W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 15N to 18N and between 59W and 67W.
A southwest Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 10N to 15N west of 80W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N44W to 08N55W to 10N60W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is evident from 11N to 15N and east
of 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area
and the Colombian low will support will support fresh to strong
trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low center north of the area
near 37N48W southwestward to 29N55W to 1015 mb low pressure near
28N64W, then northwestward to 31N72W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted along and ahead of the front.
Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north
of 28N and ahead of the front to 45W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that
sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
weaken into a trough by tonight. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can be expected S of 22N.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 15:26:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
282
AXNT20 KNHC 181525
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Tue Aug 18 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern tropical wave has its axis along 26N, south of 19N,
moving westward at about 10 kt. No significant convection is
evident near this tropical wave.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 42W, south of
18N, moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave at this time.
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave has its axis near 64W, south
of 19N, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is observed from 15N to 18N and between 59W and 67W.
A southwest Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 83W, south
of 20N, moving westward at about 10 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is evident from 10N to 15N west of 80W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
Th monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 20N16W and continues southwestward to 11N40W. The
ITCZ extends from 11N44W to 08N55W to 10N60W. Scattered moderate
to isolated strong convection is evident from 11N to 15N and east
of 37W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Weak high pressure across the Gulf waters support moderate or
weaker winds and slight to moderate seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure pattern will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to locally
strong winds north and west of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean is
supporting moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8
ft across much of the basin, especially south of 18N. Light to
gentle winds and slight to moderate seas are found elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the area
and the Colombian low will support will support fresh to strong
trade winds and rough seas across the south-central Caribbean
through much of the forecast period. Moderate to fresh trades and
moderate seas will prevail in the north-central and eastern
Caribbean into the weekend. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds
and slight to moderate seas are expected.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front extends from a 1014 mb low center north of the area
near 37N48W southwestward to 29N55W to 1015 mb low pressure near
28N64W, then northwestward to 31N72W. Scattered moderate to
isolated strong convection is noted along and ahead of the front.
Moderate to fresh SW-S winds and seas of 5-8 ft are noted north
of 28N and ahead of the front to 45W. The remainder of the
tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge that
sustains moderate or lighter winds and moderate seas. However,
fresh northerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are found in the far
eastern Atlantic off NW Mauritania and southern Western Sahara.
For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned front will
weaken into a trough by tonight. A weak pressure gradient will
support mainly light to gentle winds, locally moderate, across
much of the area N of 22N through the week and into the weekend.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds can be expected S of 22N.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 20 Aug 2026 05:25:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 18 Aug 2026 19:01:20 GMT - Tue, 18 Aug 2026 17:25:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
246
ABNT20 KNHC 181724
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Tue Aug 18 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Katz/Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 14:06:24 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 181406
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT TUE 18 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 19/1100Z TO 20/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-079
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK:
A. POSSIBLE MISSION INTO A DEVELOPING SYSTEM OVER THE CENTRAL
PACIFIC NEAR 14.5N 146.5W FOR 21/1800Z.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO THE SYSTEM
FOR 22/0000Z.
C. POSSIBLE NOAA G-IV SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE MISSION AROUND THE
SYSTEM FOR 22/0000Z.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf