2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:22:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272322
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jun 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
    Atlantic high pressure and relatively low pressure over Colombia
    will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela to peaking at gale-force speeds again tonight into
    Sun morning. These winds are forecast to sustain seas in the
    range of 9 to 14 ft northwest through north of Colombia as latest
    altimeter satellite data is already revealing seas greater than
    10 ft. Latest scatterometer data depicts strong to near gale-
    force trade winds in the south-central Caribbean offshore
    northern Colombia. Please refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters
    Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic short-amplitude tropical wave has its axis
    extending from 10N35W to 02N41W. It is moving westward at about 15
    kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120
    nm either side of the wave from 06N to 07N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 20N51W to 14N56W
    to 07N59W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is east of the wave within 60 nm of 12.5N54W.
    Isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere south of 13N
    between 50W and 59W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is just inland Belize and
    Guatemala, or near 88W south of 19N. It is moving westward near
    15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    within 120 nm west of the wave from 15N to 17N. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are within 120 nm east of the wave from 16N
    tom 18N. For future information on this wave please refer to the
    eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 10N21W
    and to 09N25W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N30W to
    08N36W. It resumes at 04N41W to 02N47W and to 01N51W. Numerous
    moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 04N to 11N
    between the coast of Africa and 21W. A squall line emerging off
    the coast is contributing to this activity. Scattered moderate
    convection is within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between 29W-36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1021 mb high center, part of the western extension of Atlantic
    high pressure, is located over the NE Gulf. A ridge extends from
    the high west-southwestward to central Texas. The related gradient
    is generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh southeast to
    south winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft west of 90W and 2 to 3 ft east of
    90W as indicated by recent altimeter satellite data and from recent
    buoy observations. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the ridge will persist into early next week
    providing for a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow across the
    basin during this time, except for fresh to locally strong
    northeast to east winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan
    Peninsula nightly through Thu, and moderate to locally fresh
    southeast to south winds across the northwestern Gulf through Sun
    night. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink
    southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night into Tue and
    gradually dissipate.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section for details regarding
    upcoming gale conditions for offshore Colombia.

    Aside from the expected gale conditions, the pressure gradient
    between Atlantic high pressure and lower pressure in Colombia and
    adjacent areas is resulting in fresh to strong trade winds over much
    of the central Caribbean, and westward from there to the Gulf of
    Honduras as seen in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Fresh
    to strong northeast winds are in the Windward Passage as also seen
    in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Moderate seas are with
    the aforementioned winds. Moderate to fresh trade winds and slight
    seas are over the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
    and slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas in the central
    Caribbean through early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force
    offshore of Colombia tonight into early Sun morning. Elsewhere,
    pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
    are expected in the Gulf of Honduras this evening and tonight. Fresh
    to strong northeast winds and moderate to locally rough seas will
    briefly affect the Windward Passage this evening and tonight.
    Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
    across the remainder of the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A trough is analyzed from 31N64W to 25N67W and to the eastern tip
    of the Dominican Republic while another trough is analyzed from
    26N56W to near 18N60W. Meanwhile, a couple of upper-level lows
    within the general area of these troughs are seen in water vapor
    imagery, with the first one near 28N61W and the second one, less
    defined, near 28N48W. Instability created by these features has
    produced an area of scattered moderate convection from 20N to 27N
    between 44W and 49W, and scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are present from 24N to 28N between 55W and 65W. A
    very moist and unstable easterly wind flow around the southern
    periphery of high pressure ridging that is roughly along 28N has
    lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms
    over and near the northern and central Bahamas extending south
    and southwest to the eastern part of the Straits of Florida. High
    pressure generally covers the basin north of about 15N east of
    the Lesser Antilles, and elsewhere north of the Greater Antilles.
    The related gradient is sustaining moderate to fresh trade winds
    south of about 24N and east of 72W, and also between the Bahamas
    and Cuba. In the far eastern part of the basin, fresh to strong
    north winds are present from 18N to 29N east of 22W to along the
    coast of Africa. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are over these waters. Otherwise,
    seas of moderate state are over the majority of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging will be the
    main feature controlling the general wind flow pattern over the
    area through Mon. Fresh to strong trade winds along with locally
    rough seas are expected offshore Hispaniola this evening and
    tonight. The trough that is along the position from 31N64W to
    25N67W and to the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic will
    continue to shift westward across the western portion of the
    basin tonight, reaching near 70W by Sun morning while
    dissipating. This will slightly weaken the ridge. Looking ahead,
    a low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the
    southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of
    a frontal system early next week. Slow development of this system
    will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.

    $$
    Aguirre
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:22:55 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 272322
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Sun Jun 28 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2315 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Gale Warning: A tight pressure gradient between
    Atlantic high pressure and relatively low pressure over Colombia
    will lead to the trade winds offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf
    of Venezuela to peaking at gale-force speeds again tonight into
    Sun morning. These winds are forecast to sustain seas in the
    range of 9 to 14 ft northwest through north of Colombia as latest
    altimeter satellite data is already revealing seas greater than
    10 ft. Latest scatterometer data depicts strong to near gale-
    force trade winds in the south-central Caribbean offshore
    northern Colombia. Please refer to High Seas and Offshore Waters
    Forecasts issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more information.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic short-amplitude tropical wave has its axis
    extending from 10N35W to 02N41W. It is moving westward at about 15
    kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is within 120
    nm either side of the wave from 06N to 07N.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is analyzed from 20N51W to 14N56W
    to 07N59W. It is moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is east of the wave within 60 nm of 12.5N54W.
    Isolated showers and thunderstorms are elsewhere south of 13N
    between 50W and 59W.

    A western Caribbean tropical wave is just inland Belize and
    Guatemala, or near 88W south of 19N. It is moving westward near
    15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is
    within 120 nm west of the wave from 15N to 17N. Isolated showers
    and thunderstorms are within 120 nm east of the wave from 16N
    tom 18N. For future information on this wave please refer to the
    eastern Pacific Tropical Weather Discussion.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 18N16W and continues southwestward to 10N21W
    and to 09N25W, where it transitions to the ITCZ to 09N30W to
    08N36W. It resumes at 04N41W to 02N47W and to 01N51W. Numerous
    moderate to isolated strong convection is seen from 04N to 11N
    between the coast of Africa and 21W. A squall line emerging off
    the coast is contributing to this activity. Scattered moderate
    convection is within 30 nm north of the ITCZ between 29W-36W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A 1021 mb high center, part of the western extension of Atlantic
    high pressure, is located over the NE Gulf. A ridge extends from
    the high west-southwestward to central Texas. The related gradient
    is generally allowing for moderate to locally fresh southeast to
    south winds and seas of 3 to 5 ft west of 90W and 2 to 3 ft east of
    90W as indicated by recent altimeter satellite data and from recent
    buoy observations. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight
    seas prevail.

    For the forecast, the ridge will persist into early next week
    providing for a gentle to moderate anticyclonic flow across the
    basin during this time, except for fresh to locally strong
    northeast to east winds pulsing off the northwestern Yucatan
    Peninsula nightly through Thu, and moderate to locally fresh
    southeast to south winds across the northwestern Gulf through Sun
    night. Looking ahead, a weak frontal boundary will sink
    southward into the northeast Gulf Mon night into Tue and
    gradually dissipate.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please read the Special Features section for details regarding
    upcoming gale conditions for offshore Colombia.

    Aside from the expected gale conditions, the pressure gradient
    between Atlantic high pressure and lower pressure in Colombia and
    adjacent areas is resulting in fresh to strong trade winds over much
    of the central Caribbean, and westward from there to the Gulf of
    Honduras as seen in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Fresh
    to strong northeast winds are in the Windward Passage as also seen
    in the latest scatterometer satellite data. Moderate seas are with
    the aforementioned winds. Moderate to fresh trade winds and slight
    seas are over the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
    and slight to moderate seas are elsewhere.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient will continue to support
    fresh to strong trade winds and rough seas in the central
    Caribbean through early next week. Winds will pulse to gale-force
    offshore of Colombia tonight into early Sun morning. Elsewhere,
    pulsing fresh to strong winds and moderate to locally rough seas
    are expected in the Gulf of Honduras this evening and tonight. Fresh
    to strong northeast winds and moderate to locally rough seas will
    briefly affect the Windward Passage this evening and tonight.
    Moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are forecast
    across the remainder of the basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A trough is analyzed from 31N64W to 25N67W and to the eastern tip
    of the Dominican Republic while another trough is analyzed from
    26N56W to near 18N60W. Meanwhile, a couple of upper-level lows
    within the general area of these troughs are seen in water vapor
    imagery, with the first one near 28N61W and the second one, less
    defined, near 28N48W. Instability created by these features has
    produced an area of scattered moderate convection from 20N to 27N
    between 44W and 49W, and scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are present from 24N to 28N between 55W and 65W. A
    very moist and unstable easterly wind flow around the southern
    periphery of high pressure ridging that is roughly along 28N has
    lead to the development of scattered showers and thunderstorms
    over and near the northern and central Bahamas extending south
    and southwest to the eastern part of the Straits of Florida. High
    pressure generally covers the basin north of about 15N east of
    the Lesser Antilles, and elsewhere north of the Greater Antilles.
    The related gradient is sustaining moderate to fresh trade winds
    south of about 24N and east of 72W, and also between the Bahamas
    and Cuba. In the far eastern part of the basin, fresh to strong
    north winds are present from 18N to 29N east of 22W to along the
    coast of Africa. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are over these waters. Otherwise,
    seas of moderate state are over the majority of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging will be the
    main feature controlling the general wind flow pattern over the
    area through Mon. Fresh to strong trade winds along with locally
    rough seas are expected offshore Hispaniola this evening and
    tonight. The trough that is along the position from 31N64W to
    25N67W and to the eastern tip of the Dominican Republic will
    continue to shift westward across the western portion of the
    basin tonight, reaching near 70W by Sun morning while
    dissipating. This will slightly weaken the ridge. Looking ahead,
    a low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the
    southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of
    a frontal system early next week. Slow development of this system
    will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.

    $$
    Aguirre
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 29 Jun 2026 11:14:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:52:35 GMT
  • Sat, 27 Jun 2026 23:14:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 272314
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Sat Jun 27 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Offshore of the Southeastern U.S. Coast:
    A broad low pressure area is expected to form offshore of the
    southeastern coast of the United States along the western end of a
    frontal system early next week. Gradual development of this system
    will be possible thereafter while it moves slowly westward.
    * Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
    * Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.

    $$
    Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 27 Jun 2026 12:53:22 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 271253
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT SAT 27 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 28/1100Z TO 29/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-027

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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