2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 22:32:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 302232
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jul 01 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical is along 23W and extends from the Cabo Verde Islands
    southward, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is from 04.5N to 09.5N between 19W and 28W.

    A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along 40W, south of
    16N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is observed from 04.5N to 10N and between 30W and 42W.

    A tropical wave is in the Caribbean along 70W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is over
    Venezuelan coastal waters S of 13N between 63W and 70W, while
    scattered moderate to strong convection is along coastal zones of
    eastern Venezuela to far eastern Colombia.

    A tropical wave in the SW Caribbean has its axis near 83W, moving
    westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted over nearby waters at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20.5N16W and
    continues southwestward to 08.5N25W. The ITCZ extends from 08.5N25W
    to 06.5N37W, where it is broken by a tropical wave, then resumes
    from 07N40W to the coast of Brazil near 06N57W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms are occurring along and within 200 nm
    of the ITCZ between 20W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    1020 mb high pressure is centered over south central Mississippi
    and extends a broad ridge south and southeastward across the Gulf
    basin and into the NW Caribbean. The pressure gradient across the
    area favors moderate or weaker E-SE to SE winds across the
    western half of the Gulf and light to gentle winds elsewhere. Seas
    basin-wide are slight, at 4 ft or less. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are weakening across the SW Gulf along a
    westward moving surface trough, and are shifting offshore of the
    Florida Panhandle and central Florida into the local coastal
    waters.

    For the forecast, the ridge across the basin will dominate the
    Gulf region through the remainder of the week. Fresh to locally
    strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula
    nightly through Sat night due to local effects associated with a
    surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail
    across the western half of the Gulf while moderate or weaker winds
    are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds
    in the NE Gulf. A surface trough across N Florida will drift SW
    across the NE Gulf this evening and tonight, with showers and
    thunderstorms expected to shift SW along it through around
    midnight, before dissipating.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic subtropical ridge extends from the NE Atlantic
    southwestward to near 70W and east of the Bahamas, while high
    pressure across the Gulf of America extends southeastward to the
    NW Caribbean. The associated pressure gradient continues to force
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 7-11 ft, with the strongest
    winds and highest seas found offshore of NW Colombia. Moderate to
    fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean while moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
    seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection across the
    Gulf of Honduras is shifting westward and inland.

    For the forecast, the Azores High north of the basin combined
    with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds
    over the central Caribbean through Sat night, except offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are likely to
    reach near gale-force at night. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
    trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or
    weaker winds will prevail over the NW Caribbean. Moderate winds
    across the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh each late
    afternoon through evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front has stalled from near Bermuda southwestward
    across the NE Florida offshore waters then westward across N
    Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms have develop late
    this afternoon along and south of the front to 29N, between 50W
    and 73W, and over much of north and central Florida. A surface
    trough is bringing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to
    the waters from the Turks and Caicos northeastward into the open
    Atlantic near 26N66W. The Azores High extends a broad ridge
    elsewhere southwestward across the subtropical waters, to this
    surface trough near 70W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas of 4 to 7 ft across much of the
    waters W of 25W. East of 25W, a tighter pressure gradient between
    the ridge and lower pressures over NW Africa supports fresh to
    strong NE winds and rough seas 8 to 10 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a frontal trough is moving across
    the NW waters, and extends from 30N70W to central Florida near
    Cape Canaveral. The trough will first drift southward trough Wed
    morning, then begin moving westward late Wed into Thu. Under this
    weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds are expected, except for
    moderate to fresh winds offshore Hispaniola mainly late in the
    afternoons into the early evening hours.

    $$
    Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 22:32:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 302232
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Wed Jul 01 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2130 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical is along 23W and extends from the Cabo Verde Islands
    southward, moving westward at around 10 kt. Scattered moderate
    convection is from 04.5N to 09.5N between 19W and 28W.

    A tropical wave in the central Atlantic is along 40W, south of
    16N, moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection
    is observed from 04.5N to 10N and between 30W and 42W.

    A tropical wave is in the Caribbean along 70W, south of 18N,
    moving westward at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is over
    Venezuelan coastal waters S of 13N between 63W and 70W, while
    scattered moderate to strong convection is along coastal zones of
    eastern Venezuela to far eastern Colombia.

    A tropical wave in the SW Caribbean has its axis near 83W, moving
    westward at 15 kt. No convection is noted over nearby waters at
    this time.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20.5N16W and
    continues southwestward to 08.5N25W. The ITCZ extends from 08.5N25W
    to 06.5N37W, where it is broken by a tropical wave, then resumes
    from 07N40W to the coast of Brazil near 06N57W. Aside from the
    convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms are occurring along and within 200 nm
    of the ITCZ between 20W and 59W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    1020 mb high pressure is centered over south central Mississippi
    and extends a broad ridge south and southeastward across the Gulf
    basin and into the NW Caribbean. The pressure gradient across the
    area favors moderate or weaker E-SE to SE winds across the
    western half of the Gulf and light to gentle winds elsewhere. Seas
    basin-wide are slight, at 4 ft or less. Scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms are weakening across the SW Gulf along a
    westward moving surface trough, and are shifting offshore of the
    Florida Panhandle and central Florida into the local coastal
    waters.

    For the forecast, the ridge across the basin will dominate the
    Gulf region through the remainder of the week. Fresh to locally
    strong NE to E winds will pulse off the NW Yucatan Peninsula
    nightly through Sat night due to local effects associated with a
    surface trough. Gentle to moderate E to SE winds will prevail
    across the western half of the Gulf while moderate or weaker winds
    are expected elsewhere E of 90W, except for light to gentle winds
    in the NE Gulf. A surface trough across N Florida will drift SW
    across the NE Gulf this evening and tonight, with showers and
    thunderstorms expected to shift SW along it through around
    midnight, before dissipating.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The Atlantic subtropical ridge extends from the NE Atlantic
    southwestward to near 70W and east of the Bahamas, while high
    pressure across the Gulf of America extends southeastward to the
    NW Caribbean. The associated pressure gradient continues to force
    fresh to strong easterly trade winds across much of the central
    Caribbean. Seas in these waters are 7-11 ft, with the strongest
    winds and highest seas found offshore of NW Colombia. Moderate to
    fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are found in the eastern
    Caribbean while moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
    seas prevail elsewhere. Scattered moderate convection across the
    Gulf of Honduras is shifting westward and inland.

    For the forecast, the Azores High north of the basin combined
    with the Colombian Low will support fresh to strong trade winds
    over the central Caribbean through Sat night, except offshore
    Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela where winds are likely to
    reach near gale-force at night. Otherwise, moderate to fresh
    trades will continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or
    weaker winds will prevail over the NW Caribbean. Moderate winds
    across the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh each late
    afternoon through evening.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front has stalled from near Bermuda southwestward
    across the NE Florida offshore waters then westward across N
    Florida. Scattered showers and thunderstorms have develop late
    this afternoon along and south of the front to 29N, between 50W
    and 73W, and over much of north and central Florida. A surface
    trough is bringing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms to
    the waters from the Turks and Caicos northeastward into the open
    Atlantic near 26N66W. The Azores High extends a broad ridge
    elsewhere southwestward across the subtropical waters, to this
    surface trough near 70W. This pattern is supporting moderate to
    fresh trades and moderate seas of 4 to 7 ft across much of the
    waters W of 25W. East of 25W, a tighter pressure gradient between
    the ridge and lower pressures over NW Africa supports fresh to
    strong NE winds and rough seas 8 to 10 ft.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a frontal trough is moving across
    the NW waters, and extends from 30N70W to central Florida near
    Cape Canaveral. The trough will first drift southward trough Wed
    morning, then begin moving westward late Wed into Thu. Under this
    weather pattern, moderate or weaker winds are expected, except for
    moderate to fresh winds offshore Hispaniola mainly late in the
    afternoons into the early evening hours.

    $$
    Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
  • Thu, 02 Jul 2026 11:02:24 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 30 Jun 2026 23:02:46 GMT
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 23:02:24 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 302302
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Tue Jun 30 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 30 Jun 2026 13:38:15 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 301338
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0940 AM EDT TUE 30 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-030

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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