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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 10:01:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131001
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0920 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure across the western Atlantic along 27N and lower
pressure over northern South America will tighten late this week,
behind a passing tropical wave, increasing trade winds across the
eastern and central Caribbean, and forcing gales to develop Fri
evening in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will
prevail Fri night then diminish below gale-force Sat morning.
Very rough seas to 15 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat. Please
see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located in the
Central Tropical Atlantic along 43W, midway between the Lesser
Antilles and the west coast of Africa. 1011 mb low pressure is
analyzed there near 11N42W. Overnight satellite scatterometer data
showed strong winds north of the low to 20N, between 37W and 48W,
with rough seas to 10 ft. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
will likely form during the next day or so while the system moves
westward or west- northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. There is high chance for tropical formation in
the next 48 hours.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 27W-28W, from 06N to 19N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 13N between 26W and 33W. Overnight
satellite scatterometer data showed strong SW to W winds noted on
the S side of the system. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west- northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.
The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W-68W, extending
from Venezuela across the eastern Dominican Republic, moving
westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection
is noted from 14N to 25N between 67W and 72W.
The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W,
southward across eastern Cuba to northwestern Colombia, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
impacting the Windward Passage, between Cuba and Jamaica, and
nearby waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and extends
southwestward to 10.5N29W to 1011 mb low pressure near 11N42W to
07N51W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 05.5N to 11N E of 19W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, convection
near these features is primarily associated with the tropical
wave and special feature described above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N85W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf. Mainly moderate E to S winds, with
slight to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface
trough has moved offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
central Bay of Campeche overnight, triggering scattered moderate
convection along it. Behind the trough, fresh SE winds prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure across the NE Gulf will change
little through Sat before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will
produce mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin,
with pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night, as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.
The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure along
27N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean S of 17N. Rough seas to 8 ft prevail
over these waters. Fresh to locally strong trade winds and
moderate seas to 6 ft prevail over the northeast Caribbean behind
the tropical wave across the eastern Dominican Republic. Gentle
to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining
waters.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will gradually strengthen
across the Caribbean basin, behind a tropical wave currently
moving across the eastern Caribbean, leading to a significant
expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the eastern and
central portions of the basin, today through Sat. Winds are
expected to increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela Fri night. Looking ahead, an area of showers
and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave located
over the central Atlantic near 42W is showing some signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next day or so, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. This system is forecast to reach the Lesser
Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W Sun morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 28N50W, extending westward to SE
Florida, and northeastward to a 1024 mb high near 35N26W. Mainly
gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 24N and west of 23W,
with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted S of 23N and W of 48W, with moderate seas. Invest AL92 is
currently passing due south of the 1022 mb high center, and
producing a broad swath of fresh to strong winds S of 20N between
37W and 48W. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate to
locally fresh across the Cabo Verde Islands to 30W. Moderate to
locally rough seas prevail across this area. Dry and stable
Saharan Air continues to dominate much of the basin S of 24N to
14N, between Africa and the NE Caribbean.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
sink slightly southward Fri and Fri night, before weakening over
the weekend into early next week. S of 23N, trade winds will
freshen from E to W today through Sat, behind a tropical wave
currently across the eastern Caribbean. Fresh trades N of
Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse
to strong speeds each night. Looking ahead, Invest AL92 is
forecast to reach the Lesser Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W
Sun morning.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 10:01:47 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131001
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu Aug 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0920 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Caribbean Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between subtropical
high pressure across the western Atlantic along 27N and lower
pressure over northern South America will tighten late this week,
behind a passing tropical wave, increasing trade winds across the
eastern and central Caribbean, and forcing gales to develop Fri
evening in the Gulf of Venezuela and offshore Colombia. Gales will
prevail Fri night then diminish below gale-force Sat morning.
Very rough seas to 15 ft will build near and downwind of these
gales in the southwest Caribbean Fri night into early Sat. Please
see the latest NWS High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for further details.
Invest AL92: Showers and thunderstorms are showing some signs of
organization in association with a tropical wave located in the
Central Tropical Atlantic along 43W, midway between the Lesser
Antilles and the west coast of Africa. 1011 mb low pressure is
analyzed there near 11N42W. Overnight satellite scatterometer data
showed strong winds north of the low to 20N, between 37W and 48W,
with rough seas to 10 ft. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be conducive for further development, and a tropical depression
will likely form during the next day or so while the system moves
westward or west- northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. There is high chance for tropical formation in
the next 48 hours.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of a tropical wave is near 27W-28W, from 06N to 19N,
moving west at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong
convection is noted from 08N to 13N between 26W and 33W. Overnight
satellite scatterometer data showed strong SW to W winds noted on
the S side of the system. Environmental conditions are forecast
to be generally conducive for some development, and a tropical
depression could form late this week or this weekend while the
wave moves westward or west- northwestward across the eastern and
central tropical Atlantic. There is a low chance for tropical
cyclone development in the next 48 hours and a medium chance for
development in the next 7 days.
The axis of a Caribbean tropical wave is along 67W-68W, extending
from Venezuela across the eastern Dominican Republic, moving
westward at about 15 kt. Scattered moderate to strong convection
is noted from 14N to 25N between 67W and 72W.
The axis of a central Caribbean tropical wave is along 77W,
southward across eastern Cuba to northwestern Colombia, moving
westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
impacting the Windward Passage, between Cuba and Jamaica, and
nearby waters.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 18N16W and extends
southwestward to 10.5N29W to 1011 mb low pressure near 11N42W to
07N51W. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 05.5N to 11N E of 19W. Elsewhere across the Atlantic, convection
near these features is primarily associated with the tropical
wave and special feature described above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure prevails over the northern Gulf waters, anchored by
a 1018 mb high near 27N85W. Light to gentle winds and slight seas
prevail across the NE Gulf. Mainly moderate E to S winds, with
slight to moderate seas, prevail elsewhere. A diurnal surface
trough has moved offshore the Yucatan Peninsula and into the
central Bay of Campeche overnight, triggering scattered moderate
convection along it. Behind the trough, fresh SE winds prevail.
For the forecast, high pressure across the NE Gulf will change
little through Sat before weakening Sun and Mon. This pattern will
produce mostly gentle to moderate E to SE winds across the basin,
with pulses of fresh winds occurring north and west of the
Yucatan Peninsula and into the Bay of Campeche each evening and
night, as a diurnal surface trough migrates from the Yucatan
Peninsula westward across the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate seas are
expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Special Features section for information on a Gale Warning
that has been issued for portion of the south-central basin
effective Fri night.
The pressure gradient between western Atlantic high pressure along
27N and the Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds
over the south central Caribbean S of 17N. Rough seas to 8 ft prevail
over these waters. Fresh to locally strong trade winds and
moderate seas to 6 ft prevail over the northeast Caribbean behind
the tropical wave across the eastern Dominican Republic. Gentle
to moderate winds and moderate seas prevail over the remaining
waters.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will gradually strengthen
across the Caribbean basin, behind a tropical wave currently
moving across the eastern Caribbean, leading to a significant
expansion in coverage of strong trade winds over the eastern and
central portions of the basin, today through Sat. Winds are
expected to increase to gale-force offshore of Colombia and in the
Gulf of Venezuela Fri night. Looking ahead, an area of showers
and thunderstorms associated with a strong tropical wave located
over the central Atlantic near 42W is showing some signs of
organization. Environmental conditions are forecast to be
conducive for development during the next day or so, and a
tropical depression will likely form while the system moves
westward to west-northwestward across the central tropical
Atlantic. However, by Friday, upper-level winds are likely to
become too strong for development as the system approaches the
Lesser Antilles. This system is forecast to reach the Lesser
Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W Sun morning.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See Special Features section above for information on Invest AL92
located over the central tropical Atlantic.
High pressure prevails over the waters N of 18N, anchored by a
1022 mb high centered near 28N50W, extending westward to SE
Florida, and northeastward to a 1024 mb high near 35N26W. Mainly
gentle winds prevail over the waters N of 24N and west of 23W,
with slight to moderate seas. Moderate to fresh trade winds are
noted S of 23N and W of 48W, with moderate seas. Invest AL92 is
currently passing due south of the 1022 mb high center, and
producing a broad swath of fresh to strong winds S of 20N between
37W and 48W. Offshore Africa, fresh to locally strong NE winds
extend from the Canary Islands to 20N then become moderate to
locally fresh across the Cabo Verde Islands to 30W. Moderate to
locally rough seas prevail across this area. Dry and stable
Saharan Air continues to dominate much of the basin S of 24N to
14N, between Africa and the NE Caribbean.
For the forecast west of 55W, the western Atlantic ridge will
sink slightly southward Fri and Fri night, before weakening over
the weekend into early next week. S of 23N, trade winds will
freshen from E to W today through Sat, behind a tropical wave
currently across the eastern Caribbean. Fresh trades N of
Hispaniola and in the approach to the Windward Passage will pulse
to strong speeds each night. Looking ahead, Invest AL92 is
forecast to reach the Lesser Antilles Sat morning, and reach 70W
Sun morning.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 15:23:01 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Graphics - NHC Atlantic
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Thu, 13 Aug 2026 15:23:01 GMT - Thu, 13 Aug 2026 14:59:41 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Forecast Discussion Number 5 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 PM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026000 WTNT43 KNHC 131459 TCDAT3 Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Discussion Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032026 300 PM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026 Cristobal is entrenched in a hostile environment, with cool SSTs, strong northerly vertical wind shear and dry mid-level air. Organized convection has been absent since around 21-22z yesterday and all that remains is remnant low devoid of convection. The initial intensity is set at 25 kt for this advisory. The remnant low will continue moving rapidly northeastward to east-northeastward today before the remnant low becomes absorbed into the broader flow associated with a deepening upper-level low over Atlantic Canada. This is the last advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 13/1500Z 39.4N 36.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 12H 14/0000Z 41.0N 34.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 24H 14/1200Z...DISSIPATED $$ Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 14:59:09 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Wind Speed Probabilities Number 5 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 1500 UTC THU AUG 13 2026000 FONT13 KNHC 131459 PWSAT3 POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032026 1500 UTC THU AUG 13 2026 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CRISTOBAL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 39.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 36.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT $$ FORECASTER ADAMS/CANGIALOSI - Thu, 13 Aug 2026 14:59:09 +0000: Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Public Advisory Number 5 - NHC Atlantic
Issued at 300 PM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026000 WTNT33 KNHC 131459 TCPAT3 BULLETIN Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal Advisory Number 5 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL032026 300 PM GMT Thu Aug 13 2026 ...CRISTOBAL DEGENERATES TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY... SUMMARY OF 300 PM GMT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...39.4N 36.8W ABOUT 535 MI...865 KM WNW OF THE AZORES MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1018 MB...30.06 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 300 PM GMT (1500 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 36.8 West. The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the northeast near 16 mph (26 km/h) and this motion is expected to continue today. Maximum sustained winds are near 30 mph (45 km/h) with higher gusts. Cristobal is expected to dissipate later tonight. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1018 mb (30.06 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be found in the High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KBWC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php $$ Forecaster Adams/Cangialosi
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 14:59:09 +0000: Summary for Post-Tropical Cyclone Cristobal (AT3/AL032026) - NHC Atlantic
...CRISTOBAL DEGENERATES TO A POST-TROPICAL REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE FINAL NHC ADVISORY... As of 3:00 PM GMT Thu Aug 13 the center of Cristobal was located near 39.4, -36.8 with movement NE at 16 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1018 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 30 mph.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Thu, 13 Aug 2026 16:15:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 131615
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1215 PM EDT THU 13 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 14/1100Z TO 15/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-074
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. TROPICAL STORM LALA
FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 79 FLIGHT TWO - NOAA 49
A. 14/1730Z,2330Z A. 15/0000Z
B. AFXXX 0701C LALA B. NOAA9 0801C LALA
C. 14/1600Z C. 14/2000Z
D. 17.0N 150.5W D. NA
E. 14/1700Z TO 13/2330Z E. NA
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. 41,000 TO 45,000 FT
G. FIX G. SYNOPTIC SURVEILLANCE
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. NO WRA ACTIVATION
FLIGHT THREE - NOAA 42 FLIGHT FOUR - TEAL 77
A. 15/0000Z A. 15/0530Z,1130Z
B. NOAA2 0901C LALA B. AFXXX 1001C LALA
C. 14/2000Z C. 15/0415Z
D. 17.4N 151.7W D. 17.7N 153.0W
E. 14/2200Z TO 15/0230Z E. 14/0500Z TO 14/1130Z
F. SFC TO 15,000 FT F. SFC TO 10,000 FT
G. TAIL DOPPLER RADAR G. FIX
H. WRA ACTIVATION H. WRA ACTIVATION
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY:
A. CONTINUE 6-HOURLY FIX MISSIONS INTO TROPICAL STORM LALA IF
SYSTEM REMAINS A THREAT.
B. POSSIBLE NOAA P-3 TAIL DOPPLER RADAR MISSION INTO TROPICAL
STORM LALA FOR 16/0000Z, DEPARTING PHJR AT 15/2000Z.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf