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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 17:35:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
194
AXNT20 KNHC 261735
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1732 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located a few hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have changed little in
organization over the past several hours. Environmental conditions
are somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or
two as the system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Formation chance
through 48 hours and 7 days is medium.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: Tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea and lower
pressures in northern Colombia will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast period.
Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight and Thu night off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas.
Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring in association with this wave.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 75W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are depicted
over the Windward Passage and between Jamaica and eastern Cuba.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 17N16W to 09N33W to
10N43W. The ITCZ continues from 10N43W to 11N57W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 05N to
13N and east of 20W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 10N to 15N between 50W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers prevail north of 25.5N, while generally dry
conditions are present in the remainder of the Gulf waters. A weak
high pressure system over the NE Gulf maintains moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela.
Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama offshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are noted in the
north- central and SW Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale- force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
development.
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms west of 70W, affecting the Florida coast and NW
Bahamas. Farther east, a weak surface trough along 58W is
producing scattered showers between 56W and 60W and north of 23N.
The rest of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-7 ft are
noted east of 60W. Meanwhile, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are found west of 60W. However, gusty winds and
higher seas are likely near the stronger storms.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters through the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 17:35:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
194
AXNT20 KNHC 261735
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed Aug 26 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1732 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure,
associated with a tropical wave, is located a few hundred miles
west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands. Showers and
thunderstorms associated with this system have changed little in
organization over the past several hours. Environmental conditions
are somewhat favorable for development over the next couple of
days, and a tropical depression could form over the next day or
two as the system moves westward to west-northwestward near 20 mph
across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less conducive by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Environmental
conditions are forecast to become less favorable by this weekend,
potentially ending its chances for development. Formation chance
through 48 hours and 7 days is medium.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
Caribbean Gale Warning: Tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge centered north of the Caribbean Sea and lower
pressures in northern Colombia will support fresh to strong
easterly trade winds and rough seas through the forecast period.
Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight and Thu night off Colombia
and in the Gulf of Venezuela, along with locally very rough seas.
Please refer to the latest HIGH SEAS FORECAST issued
by the National Hurricane Center at website -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 59W, south of 21N,
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No significant deep convection is
occurring in association with this wave.
A central Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 75W, south of 20N,
moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are depicted
over the Windward Passage and between Jamaica and eastern Cuba.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends southwestward from 17N16W to 09N33W to
10N43W. The ITCZ continues from 10N43W to 11N57W. Scattered
moderate to isolated strong convection is occurring from 05N to
13N and east of 20W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted
from 10N to 15N between 50W and 57W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered showers prevail north of 25.5N, while generally dry
conditions are present in the remainder of the Gulf waters. A weak
high pressure system over the NE Gulf maintains moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas across much of the basin.
For the forecast, a weak pressure pattern will persist across the
Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting moderate or
weaker winds and slight seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to locally
strong with moderate seas off western Yucatan during the evenings
due to a diurnal surface trough moving west off the peninsula
each night.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Please see the Special Features section for details on the Gale
Warning in effect for the waters off Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela.
Divergence aloft and tropical moisture combine to produce
scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Gulf of
Honduras, Costa Rica and Panama offshore waters. Dry conditions
prevail elsewhere. Outside of the Gale Warning area, fresh to
strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas are noted in the
north- central and SW Caribbean. Moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas are prevalent in the rest of the basin.
For the forecast, a tight pressure gradient between the
subtropical ridge north of the area and the Colombian low will
support fresh to strong easterly trade winds and rough seas
through the forecast period. Winds will pulse to gale- force
tonight and Thu night off Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela,
along with locally very rough seas. Winds will pulse to fresh to
locally strong in the Windward Passage at night. An area of low
pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the eastern Atlantic
has a medium chance of tropical development over the next 7 days.
The system may bring increasing winds and seas to portions of the
Tropical N Atlantic this weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
an area of low pressure, Invest AL96, that has a high chance of
development.
Divergence aloft supports scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms west of 70W, affecting the Florida coast and NW
Bahamas. Farther east, a weak surface trough along 58W is
producing scattered showers between 56W and 60W and north of 23N.
The rest of the basin is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge.
Moderate to locally fresh easterly winds and seas of 4-7 ft are
noted east of 60W. Meanwhile, moderate or lighter winds and slight
to moderate seas are found west of 60W. However, gusty winds and
higher seas are likely near the stronger storms.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge, and
associated weak pressure gradient, will dominate the SW N Atlantic
waters through the next several days. This will support mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas. Winds will
pulse to fresh to locally strong off northern Hispaniola at night.
An area of low pressure, Invest AL96, currently located in the
eastern Atlantic has a medium chance of tropical development over
the next 7 days. The system may bring increasing winds and seas to
portions of the southeast waters this weekend.
$$
KRV
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 05:29:15 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Wed, 26 Aug 2026 19:14:24 GMT - Wed, 26 Aug 2026 17:29:15 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
786
ABNT20 KNHC 261729
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Wed Aug 26 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave, is located
a few hundred miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
Showers and thunderstorms associated with this system have changed
little in organization over the past several hours. Environmental
conditions are somewhat favorable for development over the next
couple of days, and a tropical depression could form over the next
day or two as the system moves westward to west-northwestward near
20 mph across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
Environmental conditions are forecast to become less conducive by
this weekend, potentially ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 13:55:42 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 261355
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0955 AM EDT WED 26 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 27/1100Z TO 28/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-087
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf