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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 10:08:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131008
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the far eastern Atlantic along 19W, south
of 15N, and moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is observed from 03N to 09N between
13N and 29W.
Another Atlantic tropical wave is along 34W, south of 15N, moving
westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.
A third Atlantic tropical wave is along 52W-53W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
the trough axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W-79W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10 kt. Isolated moderate convection is occurring
near this wave along the coast of Panama, while scattered moderate
to strong convection is seen along the coast and coastal waters
of Colombia, in the eastern Pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 07N26W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N26W to 05.5N33W, then resumes from
04.5N36W to the coast of Brazil near 00.5N50W. Scattered moderate
to strong convection is noted near Africa from 01N to 05.5N E of
12W. Elsewhere, only a few showers are seen near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad area of low pressure extending from low to mid levels of
the atmosphere continues across the SW Gulf this morning, from the
central Bay of Campeche to offshore of NE Mexico, and is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms, especially
south of 25N and west of 91W. Satellite imagery and local upper
air data show strong SE low level winds to 35 kt moving across the
Yucatan Peninsula and across the eastern side of this circulation.
At the surface, a tight pressure gradient between this low and the
Atlantic ridge extending into the NE Gulf sustain fresh to strong SE
winds and moderate to locally rough seas to 9 ft south of 26N and
west of 88W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the low pressure system will shift NW through
the weekend and move inland over northeastern Mexico late Saturday
or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
on Tue and Wed while interacting with a frontal boundary. The
pressure gradient between the low pressure area and a ridge over
the NE Gulf will support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to
rough seas, accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms,
through Sun night. Atlantic high pressure will build westward into
the Gulf Tue and Wed to promote moderate to fresh southerly winds
basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few clusters of moderate convection continue across the NW
Caribbean this morning, N of 18N to the south coast of Cuba, and
into the approach to the Windward Passage, as divergence aloft
sustains this activity. Strong convection across interior portions
of the Gulf of Honduras extends from similar activity associated
with the disturbance in the Bay of Campeche. The subtropical
ridge over the central Atlantic extends N of the area and across
Florida along about 27N, and supports fresh to near gale- force
easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas in the central and
SE Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas are found in the NE Caribbean. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
place through Sun to support a large area of fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean.
Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to
strong SE winds and rough seas will also persist over the Gulf of
Honduras and northwestern Caribbean W of 85W through Sat night.
The ridge will reorganize along 60W Sun night through Mon then
shift slowly NE through midweek, leading to a slight decrease in
wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N37W to 28.5N43W, followed by a
surface trough to 30N52W. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge that extends across central Florida,
supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
south of 22N and west of 35W. Moderate to fresh northerly winds
and moderate seas are found north of 14N an2d east of 25W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will generally
remain in place through Sun. The ridge will then reorganize along
about 60W Sun night and Mon, then shift slowly NE Tue through
Wed. This pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of
22N and a gentle anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW
winds will develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun
evening through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the
SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late
evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 13 Jun 2026 10:08:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 131008
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Sat Jun 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0930 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is in the far eastern Atlantic along 19W, south
of 15N, and moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate
isolated strong convection is observed from 03N to 09N between
13N and 29W.
Another Atlantic tropical wave is along 34W, south of 15N, moving
westward at 15 kt. A few showers are noted near the trough axis.
A third Atlantic tropical wave is along 52W-53W, south of 15N,
moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is seen near
the trough axis.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 78W-79W, south of 18N,
moving westward at 10 kt. Isolated moderate convection is occurring
near this wave along the coast of Panama, while scattered moderate
to strong convection is seen along the coast and coastal waters
of Colombia, in the eastern Pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea-Bissau near 12N16W and continues southwestward to 07N26W.
The ITCZ extends from 07N26W to 05.5N33W, then resumes from
04.5N36W to the coast of Brazil near 00.5N50W. Scattered moderate
to strong convection is noted near Africa from 01N to 05.5N E of
12W. Elsewhere, only a few showers are seen near the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A broad area of low pressure extending from low to mid levels of
the atmosphere continues across the SW Gulf this morning, from the
central Bay of Campeche to offshore of NE Mexico, and is
producing a large area of showers and thunderstorms, especially
south of 25N and west of 91W. Satellite imagery and local upper
air data show strong SE low level winds to 35 kt moving across the
Yucatan Peninsula and across the eastern side of this circulation.
At the surface, a tight pressure gradient between this low and the
Atlantic ridge extending into the NE Gulf sustain fresh to strong SE
winds and moderate to locally rough seas to 9 ft south of 26N and
west of 88W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker anticyclonic winds and
slight to moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast, the low pressure system will shift NW through
the weekend and move inland over northeastern Mexico late Saturday
or Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
on Tue and Wed while interacting with a frontal boundary. The
pressure gradient between the low pressure area and a ridge over
the NE Gulf will support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to
rough seas, accompanied by scattered showers and thunderstorms,
through Sun night. Atlantic high pressure will build westward into
the Gulf Tue and Wed to promote moderate to fresh southerly winds
basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
A few clusters of moderate convection continue across the NW
Caribbean this morning, N of 18N to the south coast of Cuba, and
into the approach to the Windward Passage, as divergence aloft
sustains this activity. Strong convection across interior portions
of the Gulf of Honduras extends from similar activity associated
with the disturbance in the Bay of Campeche. The subtropical
ridge over the central Atlantic extends N of the area and across
Florida along about 27N, and supports fresh to near gale- force
easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas in the central and
SE Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas are found in the NE Caribbean. Elsewhere,
moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas are
prevalent.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge will generally remain in
place through Sun to support a large area of fresh to strong trade
winds and moderate to rough seas across the central Caribbean.
Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of Colombia. Fresh to
strong SE winds and rough seas will also persist over the Gulf of
Honduras and northwestern Caribbean W of 85W through Sat night.
The ridge will reorganize along 60W Sun night through Mon then
shift slowly NE through midweek, leading to a slight decrease in
wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N37W to 28.5N43W, followed by a
surface trough to 30N52W. A few showers are noted near the trough
axis. The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge that extends across central Florida,
supporting moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas
south of 22N and west of 35W. Moderate to fresh northerly winds
and moderate seas are found north of 14N an2d east of 25W.
Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will generally
remain in place through Sun. The ridge will then reorganize along
about 60W Sun night and Mon, then shift slowly NE Tue through
Wed. This pattern will support moderate E to SE trade winds S of
22N and a gentle anticyclonic flow elsewhere through Sun. Fresh SW
winds will develop across the NW waters N of 29N and W of 74W Sun
evening through Tue, as a weak frontal system moves through the
SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late
evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 17:06:19 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 13 Jun 2026 10:20:13 GMT - Sat, 13 Jun 2026 05:06:19 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 130506
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Western Gulf:
Showers and thunderstorms associated with a broad area of low
pressure moving west-northwestward over the Bay of Campeche remain
disorganized. Environmental conditions are forecast to be only
marginally conducive for development before the system moves inland
over eastern Mexico by Sunday. The system could re-emerge over the
northwestern Gulf on Tuesday or Wednesday while interacting with a
frontal boundary, but conditions there are also expected to be only
marginally conducive for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...20 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...20 percent.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 12 Jun 2026 13:45:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 121345
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0945 AM EDT FRI 12 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 13/1100Z TO 14/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-012
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf