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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 15:46:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
549
AXNT20 KNHC 251546
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
of 1009 mb is at 12N23W a few hundred miles south-southeast of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Peak winds are near 25
kt and seas to 7 ft. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development, and this system is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
conducive for development by the weekend. Formation chance through
48 hours is high.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W from 06N-21N,
moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. This
system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W south of
17N moving westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection
is occurring in association with this wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 68W south of 20N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 81W south of 20N
to Panama moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of 80W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1009 mb low at 12N23W, then westward to 11N41W. The
ITCZ begins at 11N41W to 10N49W, where it breaks for an tropical
wave, then begins again at 10N51W to coastal Guyana at 08N59W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring
from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 08N-12N between 29W-38W and from 08N-11N west of
55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak 1017 mb high is centered over the central Gulf near 24N87W
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-4 ft this
morning. A 1015 mb at 30N86W along a trough extending from 30N86W
to 28N87W is accompanied by scattered moderate convection north
of 28N east of 90W.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores High north of the
area and the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft. Elsewhere
winds are moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of
80W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the rest of
the week and into the weekend. Winds may be near gale-force in the
Gulf of Venezuela at night starting tonight, and northwest of
Colombia at night starting Wed night. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impacts to the far eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic
zone starting Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
A 1030 mb Bermuda-Azores High is centered north of our waters a
42N41W. The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high
and lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only
forcing gentle to moderate trades with seas 3-7 ft. An upper-level
trough north of the Greater Antilles is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 22N between 54W-61W.
For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated trough from north of
the area to 29N63W will support showers and thunderstorms over the
waters north of 22N and east of 61W through at least tonight.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to at times fresh
trades, will prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters into the weekend. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.
$$
Landsea
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 15:46:14 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
549
AXNT20 KNHC 251546
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Tue Aug 25 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1430 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (Invest AL96): An area of low pressure
of 1009 mb is at 12N23W a few hundred miles south-southeast of
the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection
is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Peak winds are near 25
kt and seas to 7 ft. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
gradual development, and this system is likely to become a
tropical depression during the next day or two while it moves
westward to west-northwestward across the eastern and central
tropical Atlantic. Environmental conditions could become less
conducive for development by the weekend. Formation chance through
48 hours is high.
Please refer to the latest NHC Tropical Weather Outlook at website:
https://www.hurricanes.gov/text/MIATWOAT.shtml for more details on
this feature.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 23W from 06N-21N,
moving westward around 15 kt. Scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is occurring from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. This
system is Invest AL96, which is discussed in detail above.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 50W south of
17N moving westward around 15 kt. No significant deep convection
is occurring in association with this wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 68W south of 20N.
It is moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. No convection is presently
occurring with this wave.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 81W south of 20N
to Panama moving westward around 10 kt. Scattered moderate and
isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of 80W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough extends from the coast of Mauritania near
19N16W to the 1009 mb low at 12N23W, then westward to 11N41W. The
ITCZ begins at 11N41W to 10N49W, where it breaks for an tropical
wave, then begins again at 10N51W to coastal Guyana at 08N59W.
Scattered moderate and isolated strong convection is occurring
from 09N-14N between 21W-26W. Scattered moderate convection is
occurring from 08N-12N between 29W-38W and from 08N-11N west of
55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak 1017 mb high is centered over the central Gulf near 24N87W
contributing toward moderate or weaker winds with seas 1-4 ft this
morning. A 1015 mb at 30N86W along a trough extending from 30N86W
to 28N87W is accompanied by scattered moderate convection north
of 28N east of 90W.
For the forecast, weak high pressure will remain centered over
the central Gulf through Wed, with the western Atlantic ridge
remaining dominate over the basin thereafter. This will maintain
gentle to locally moderate winds and slight seas into the weekend.
A surface trough will generate locally fresh winds north and west
of the Yucatan Peninsula in the early evenings through the
period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the Bermuda-Azores High north of the
area and the 1008 mb Colombian Low is forcing fresh to strong
trades over the central Caribbean with seas 6-9 ft. Elsewhere
winds are moderate or weaker with seas 2-5 ft. Scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection is occurring south of 16N west of
80W.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between western Atlantic high
pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South America
will continue to maintain fresh to strong trades and resultant
rough seas over the south-central Caribbean through the rest of
the week and into the weekend. Winds may be near gale-force in the
Gulf of Venezuela at night starting tonight, and northwest of
Colombia at night starting Wed night. Elsewhere, mainly moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas will prevail, aside from light
to gentle winds and slight seas in the NW part of the basin. Winds
will pulse at times through the week following passages several
tropical waves that will quickly move west across the basin. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impacts to the far eastern portion of the tropical N Atlantic
zone starting Sat.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please refer to the Special Features section for more details on
low pressure, Invest AL96, and a tropical wave that emerged off
the coast of Africa yesterday.
A 1030 mb Bermuda-Azores High is centered north of our waters a
42N41W. The pressure gradient between the northward-displaced high
and lower pressure over the ITCZ and monsoon trough is only
forcing gentle to moderate trades with seas 3-7 ft. An upper-level
trough north of the Greater Antilles is forcing scattered moderate
and isolated strong convection north of 22N between 54W-61W.
For the forecast west of 55W, an elongated trough from north of
the area to 29N63W will support showers and thunderstorms over the
waters north of 22N and east of 61W through at least tonight.
High pressure dominates the remainder of the waters with mainly
moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas north of 23N
through the remainder of the week. Moderate to at times fresh
trades, will prevail south of 23N, with slightly higher winds
pulsing at times as the northern extent of tropical waves most
westward across the far southern waters into the weekend. Long
period northeast to east swell from an approaching low pressure
system, Invest AL96, or possibly a tropical cyclone, may begin to
impact the far SE portion of the area starting Sat.
$$
Landsea
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 26 Aug 2026 23:52:56 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 25 Aug 2026 15:52:09 GMT - Tue, 25 Aug 2026 11:52:56 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 251152
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Aug 25 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Central Subtropical Atlantic (AL95):
An area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east-northeast
of Bermuda is moving northward to north-northeastward at 15 to 20
mph. The associated shower activity remains disorganized and the
circulation is broad and elongated. This system could still become
a short-lived tropical depression or storm later today before
encountering increasingly hostile conditions tonight and Wednesday,
likely ending its chances for development.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...40 percent.
Eastern Tropical Atlantic (AL96):
An area of low pressure centered a few hundred miles south-southeast
of the Cabo Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for gradual
development, and this system is likely to become a tropical
depression during the next day or two while it moves westward to
west-northwestward across the eastern and central tropical Atlantic.
Environmental conditions could become less conducive for development
by the weekend.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 25 Aug 2026 14:10:57 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
404
NOUS42 KNHC 251410
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1010 AM EDT TUE 25 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 26/1100Z TO 27/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-086
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf