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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 22:55:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 292255
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Dec 30 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front is analyzed from
near Perry, Florida to Tampico, Mexico. Earlier scatterometer
data confirmed gale force N to NW winds following the front over
the western Gulf, and gale force winds are likely reaching south
of the Rio Grande off northwest Mexico. These conditions will
expand to areas offshore of Tampico and Veracruz later this
evening and tonight. Prolonged gale force winds and significant
very rough seas will persist over the western Bay of Campeche
through late Tue night. Seas will peak around 20 ft off Veracruz
Tue. Conditions will improve from north to south by midweek.
Central Atlantic Gale and Significant Swell: A cold front,
stemming from a storm-force low north of the area, enters the
discussion waters near 31N37W and then curves southwestward and
westward to near 20N67W, where it becomes a stationary front that
extends northwestward toward the northern Bahamas. Scattered
moderate convection producing gale-force winds is seen within 90
nm ahead of the front north of 29N. Strong to near- gale force
winds with frequent gusts to gale force are on either side of the
front north of 23N between 35W and 55W. Large N swell generated
from the storm system is producing very rough seas greater than 12
ft over the forecast waters north of 22N between 35W and 60W.
These very rough seas will shift eastward while gradually
subsiding from south to north through the week.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 10N13W and continues to 04N20W. The ITCZ continues
from 04N20W to 05N35W to 02N50W. No significant convection is
observed along the monsoon trough or ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section above regarding gale
warnings.
A strong cold front is analyzed from near Perry, Florida to
Tampico, Mexico. In addition to the gale- force winds following
the front over the western Gulf, strong to near-gale force winds
and building seas cover the Gulf elsewhere north of the front.
Gentle breezes and slight seas are noted south of the front. A few
showers and thunderstorms are noted along a surface trough
analyzed over the Bay of Campeche, but no significant convection
is noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, elsewhere behind the front, widespread strong
to near- gale force winds and rough seas are expected, with winds
and seas slowly diminishing from north to south Tue into early
Wed. High pressure will build over the northern Gulf around
midweek, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight seas over
the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure n of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds and seas of
7-10 ft over the south central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
winds and seas of 5-7 ft prevail over the eastern and north
central Caribbean. Moderate winds and moderate seas are noted
elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh trade winds will occur over the central
Caribbean into early Wed as high pressure prevails north of the
basin. Winds will pulse to strong speeds in the south-central
Caribbean, and may reach near-gale force offshore of Colombia late
tonight. Rough seas are expected near and to the west of the
strongest winds. Over the Atlantic waters, rough seas in N swell
are expected through late Thu before seas subside. Looking ahead,
a cold front is slated to enter the northwestern Caribbean on Tue,
and fresh to locally strong N winds and rough seas are expected
in the wake of the front, including through the Yucatan Channel.
The front will weaken and eventually dissipate over the
northwestern basin by late week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for details on a gale
warning and a significant swell event in the central Atlantic.
In addition to the conditions described in the Special Features
section, rough seas 8 to 10 ft cover the waters north of 20N
between 20W and 60W, up to the area of very rough seas outlined
above. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are
over the deep tropics south of 13N between 25W and 60W.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, very rough seas in N swell will prevail north of 22N
and east of 62W through Tue morning as a strong cold front in the
central Atlantic moves eastward. Widespread rough seas associated
with this front will continue east of 65W today, with seas slowly
subsiding from west to east through midweek. Elsewhere, fresh to
strong W to SW winds offshore of northern and central Florida will
prevail this afternoon as a strong cold front moves through the
southern United States. The front is slated to push off the coast
by this evening, with fresh to strong W to NW winds and rough seas
expected in the wake of the front. The front will progress
eastward through midweek, with fresh to strong SW winds likely
ahead of the front, and fresh to locally strong NW winds following
the front. Rough seas associated with the front are expected
north of 28N, with seas subsiding from west to east Tue through
Wed. Looking ahead, the next cold front moving off the coast of
the United States is forecast to enter the northwest tropical
Atlantic late this week, with increasing winds and building seas
likely near and behind the front.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 22:55:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 292255
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Dec 30 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front is analyzed from
near Perry, Florida to Tampico, Mexico. Earlier scatterometer
data confirmed gale force N to NW winds following the front over
the western Gulf, and gale force winds are likely reaching south
of the Rio Grande off northwest Mexico. These conditions will
expand to areas offshore of Tampico and Veracruz later this
evening and tonight. Prolonged gale force winds and significant
very rough seas will persist over the western Bay of Campeche
through late Tue night. Seas will peak around 20 ft off Veracruz
Tue. Conditions will improve from north to south by midweek.
Central Atlantic Gale and Significant Swell: A cold front,
stemming from a storm-force low north of the area, enters the
discussion waters near 31N37W and then curves southwestward and
westward to near 20N67W, where it becomes a stationary front that
extends northwestward toward the northern Bahamas. Scattered
moderate convection producing gale-force winds is seen within 90
nm ahead of the front north of 29N. Strong to near- gale force
winds with frequent gusts to gale force are on either side of the
front north of 23N between 35W and 55W. Large N swell generated
from the storm system is producing very rough seas greater than 12
ft over the forecast waters north of 22N between 35W and 60W.
These very rough seas will shift eastward while gradually
subsiding from south to north through the week.
Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
Hurricane Center at website:
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more
information.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
Guinea near 10N13W and continues to 04N20W. The ITCZ continues
from 04N20W to 05N35W to 02N50W. No significant convection is
observed along the monsoon trough or ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Please read the Special Features section above regarding gale
warnings.
A strong cold front is analyzed from near Perry, Florida to
Tampico, Mexico. In addition to the gale- force winds following
the front over the western Gulf, strong to near-gale force winds
and building seas cover the Gulf elsewhere north of the front.
Gentle breezes and slight seas are noted south of the front. A few
showers and thunderstorms are noted along a surface trough
analyzed over the Bay of Campeche, but no significant convection
is noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, elsewhere behind the front, widespread strong
to near- gale force winds and rough seas are expected, with winds
and seas slowly diminishing from north to south Tue into early
Wed. High pressure will build over the northern Gulf around
midweek, supporting moderate or weaker winds and slight seas over
the basin.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure n of the area and the
Colombian low is supporting fresh to strong winds and seas of
7-10 ft over the south central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh
winds and seas of 5-7 ft prevail over the eastern and north
central Caribbean. Moderate winds and moderate seas are noted
elsewhere.
For the forecast, fresh trade winds will occur over the central
Caribbean into early Wed as high pressure prevails north of the
basin. Winds will pulse to strong speeds in the south-central
Caribbean, and may reach near-gale force offshore of Colombia late
tonight. Rough seas are expected near and to the west of the
strongest winds. Over the Atlantic waters, rough seas in N swell
are expected through late Thu before seas subside. Looking ahead,
a cold front is slated to enter the northwestern Caribbean on Tue,
and fresh to locally strong N winds and rough seas are expected
in the wake of the front, including through the Yucatan Channel.
The front will weaken and eventually dissipate over the
northwestern basin by late week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
See the Special Features section above for details on a gale
warning and a significant swell event in the central Atlantic.
In addition to the conditions described in the Special Features
section, rough seas 8 to 10 ft cover the waters north of 20N
between 20W and 60W, up to the area of very rough seas outlined
above. Moderate to locally fresh winds, and seas of 6-8 ft are
over the deep tropics south of 13N between 25W and 60W.
Elsewhere, winds are moderate or weaker with moderate seas.
For the forecast west of 55W, very rough seas in N swell will prevail north of 22N
and east of 62W through Tue morning as a strong cold front in the
central Atlantic moves eastward. Widespread rough seas associated
with this front will continue east of 65W today, with seas slowly
subsiding from west to east through midweek. Elsewhere, fresh to
strong W to SW winds offshore of northern and central Florida will
prevail this afternoon as a strong cold front moves through the
southern United States. The front is slated to push off the coast
by this evening, with fresh to strong W to NW winds and rough seas
expected in the wake of the front. The front will progress
eastward through midweek, with fresh to strong SW winds likely
ahead of the front, and fresh to locally strong NW winds following
the front. Rough seas associated with the front are expected
north of 28N, with seas subsiding from west to east Tue through
Wed. Looking ahead, the next cold front moving off the coast of
the United States is forecast to enter the northwest tropical
Atlantic late this week, with increasing winds and building seas
likely near and behind the front.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 23:02:20 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 29 Dec 2025 15:05:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
273
NOUS42 KNHC 291505
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1005 AM EST MON 29 DECEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 30/1100Z TO 31/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-029
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
