2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 11 Dec 2025 16:55:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111655
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Dec 11 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1655 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
    07N17W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 02N47W. Scattered to
    numerous moderate convection is noted from 0.5N to 08N, and east
    of 38W. Isolated convection is also noted from 02N to 06N between
    37W and 47W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from Saint Petersburg, FL to near 25N96W.
    Moderate to fresh N to NE winds follow the front along with seas
    3 to 6 ft. A surface trough is generating isolated convection over
    the Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a broad surface ridge extending
    southeastward from central Texas is dominating the rest of the
    Gulf. Therefore, light to gentle N to NE winds prevail across the
    remainder of the basin along with 2 to 3 ft seas, except for
    moderate winds over the SE Gulf including the Straits of Florida.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds are
    expected over the northern Gulf into this afternoon, in the wake
    of a cold front extending from central Florida to near the Texas-
    Mexico border. The front will progress southeastward through
    tonight before dissipating. Elsewhere, moderate to occasionally
    fresh E to NE winds will occur in the eastern Bay of Campeche and
    offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula each night through Sat.
    Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are expected
    over the remainder of the basin through Sat. Looking ahead, the
    next cold front is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sun, and
    increasing winds and building seas will occur in the wake of the
    front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends across the Yucatan Channel and is
    supporting scattered moderate convection. Fresh to strong ENE to
    E winds and rough seas are evident at the south- central basin.
    Moderate to fresh easterly winds with moderate seas are present
    over the north- central and eastern parts of the basin. Light to
    gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, widespread fresh trade winds are expected over
    the central and eastern Caribbean through Sun morning as a
    moderate pressure gradient prevails between the Colombian low and
    high pressure to the north. Strong E winds will pulse in the
    central basin, and winds may reach near-gale force at times
    offshore of northern Colombia. Rough seas are expected near and to
    the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong trade
    winds and rough seas in E swell will prevail over the Atlantic
    waters and through the passages into the eastern basin through
    this weekend. Looking ahead, a cold front will approach the
    northwestern Caribbean by early next week, and increasing winds
    and building seas will be possible behind the front.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 31N62W to the Bahamas. Scattered to
    numerous moderate convection is noted in the vicinity of the
    trough between 61W-77W. To the W, a cold front extends from 31N71W
    to 28N75W, while a second and stronger cold front extends from
    31N76W to Cocoa Beach, FL. Elsewhere, high pressure ridge
    prevails, anchored by a 1026 mb high centered near 27N44W.

    Fresh to strong SW to W winds and moderate seas are noted
    ahead of the fronts north of 27N, and between 57W and 71W. In the
    wake of the front north of 28.5N, and between 71W and 80W, fresh
    to strong NW winds and rough seas prevail. At the central
    Atlantic north of 27N between 35W and 48W, light to gentle winds
    and rough seas prevail in large mixed swell. For the tropical
    Atlantic, fresh to strong ENE to E winds and rough seas are
    present. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W,
    gentle to moderate ESE to SE winds and moderate seas exist.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold fronts will rapidly
    progress eastward into the central Atlantic through Fri, and
    widespread strong to locally near-gale force SW winds will occur
    ahead of the front, generally north of 28N and east of 70W into
    Fri afternoon. Near and to the west of the cold fronts, fresh to
    locally strong W to NW winds are anticipated, north of 28N from
    offshore of Florida to 70W through late tonight. Rough seas
    associated with this storm system are expected north of 27N, with
    seas slowly subsiding from west to east into this weekend.
    Elsewhere in the central Atlantic, rough seas in mixed N and SE
    swell will prevail through Fri morning, with a new mixed swell
    reinforcing rough seas this weekend. Looking ahead, the next cold
    front is slated to push off the coast of the southeastern United
    States on Sun, and increasing winds and building seas will occur
    in the wake of the front.

    $$ KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 11 Dec 2025 16:55:58 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 111655
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Thu Dec 11 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1655 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 08N13W and extends to
    07N17W. The ITCZ continues from that point to 02N47W. Scattered to
    numerous moderate convection is noted from 0.5N to 08N, and east
    of 38W. Isolated convection is also noted from 02N to 06N between
    37W and 47W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from Saint Petersburg, FL to near 25N96W.
    Moderate to fresh N to NE winds follow the front along with seas
    3 to 6 ft. A surface trough is generating isolated convection over
    the Bay of Campeche. Otherwise, a broad surface ridge extending
    southeastward from central Texas is dominating the rest of the
    Gulf. Therefore, light to gentle N to NE winds prevail across the
    remainder of the basin along with 2 to 3 ft seas, except for
    moderate winds over the SE Gulf including the Straits of Florida.

    For the forecast, moderate to locally fresh N to NE winds are
    expected over the northern Gulf into this afternoon, in the wake
    of a cold front extending from central Florida to near the Texas-
    Mexico border. The front will progress southeastward through
    tonight before dissipating. Elsewhere, moderate to occasionally
    fresh E to NE winds will occur in the eastern Bay of Campeche and
    offshore of the Yucatan Peninsula each night through Sat.
    Otherwise, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas are expected
    over the remainder of the basin through Sat. Looking ahead, the
    next cold front is slated to enter the northern Gulf on Sun, and
    increasing winds and building seas will occur in the wake of the
    front.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A surface trough extends across the Yucatan Channel and is
    supporting scattered moderate convection. Fresh to strong ENE to
    E winds and rough seas are evident at the south- central basin.
    Moderate to fresh easterly winds with moderate seas are present
    over the north- central and eastern parts of the basin. Light to
    gentle winds and slight seas prevail elsewhere.

    For the forecast, widespread fresh trade winds are expected over
    the central and eastern Caribbean through Sun morning as a
    moderate pressure gradient prevails between the Colombian low and
    high pressure to the north. Strong E winds will pulse in the
    central basin, and winds may reach near-gale force at times
    offshore of northern Colombia. Rough seas are expected near and to
    the west of these winds. Elsewhere, fresh to locally strong trade
    winds and rough seas in E swell will prevail over the Atlantic
    waters and through the passages into the eastern basin through
    this weekend. Looking ahead, a cold front will approach the
    northwestern Caribbean by early next week, and increasing winds
    and building seas will be possible behind the front.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A surface trough extends from 31N62W to the Bahamas. Scattered to
    numerous moderate convection is noted in the vicinity of the
    trough between 61W-77W. To the W, a cold front extends from 31N71W
    to 28N75W, while a second and stronger cold front extends from
    31N76W to Cocoa Beach, FL. Elsewhere, high pressure ridge
    prevails, anchored by a 1026 mb high centered near 27N44W.

    Fresh to strong SW to W winds and moderate seas are noted
    ahead of the fronts north of 27N, and between 57W and 71W. In the
    wake of the front north of 28.5N, and between 71W and 80W, fresh
    to strong NW winds and rough seas prevail. At the central
    Atlantic north of 27N between 35W and 48W, light to gentle winds
    and rough seas prevail in large mixed swell. For the tropical
    Atlantic, fresh to strong ENE to E winds and rough seas are
    present. For the remainder of the Atlantic Basin west of 35W,
    gentle to moderate ESE to SE winds and moderate seas exist.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned cold fronts will rapidly
    progress eastward into the central Atlantic through Fri, and
    widespread strong to locally near-gale force SW winds will occur
    ahead of the front, generally north of 28N and east of 70W into
    Fri afternoon. Near and to the west of the cold fronts, fresh to
    locally strong W to NW winds are anticipated, north of 28N from
    offshore of Florida to 70W through late tonight. Rough seas
    associated with this storm system are expected north of 27N, with
    seas slowly subsiding from west to east into this weekend.
    Elsewhere in the central Atlantic, rough seas in mixed N and SE
    swell will prevail through Fri morning, with a new mixed swell
    reinforcing rough seas this weekend. Looking ahead, the next cold
    front is slated to push off the coast of the southeastern United
    States on Sun, and increasing winds and building seas will occur
    in the wake of the front.

    $$ KRV
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 10 Dec 2025 17:40:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 101740
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1245 PM EST WED 10 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 11/1100Z TO 12/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-010

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 72
    A. 12/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 05WSE IOP04
    C. 11/1830Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    42.0N 140.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, 55.0N 125.0W, AND 40.0N 130.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 11/2030Z TO 12/0230Z

    2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
    FOR THE 12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    13/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    14/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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