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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 22:34:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
891
AXNT20 KNHC 162234
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 35W from 06N to
20N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Convection associated with this
wave has diminished this evening.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W from 06N to 22N,
moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 12N to 14N between 50W and 55W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W from Hispaniola to
Colombia, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 12N to 18N between 68W and 77W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and extends
southwestward to 13N25W to 12N35W. The ITCZ begins near 12N40W
and continues to 13N45W to 12N50W. Another segment of the ITCZ is
noted from 11N55W to 09N60W. No significant convection is evident
aside from the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves section
above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge extends across the northern Gulf anchored by a 1021 mb
high pressure center just offshore Louisiana. Scattered moderate
convection is present in the west-central Gulf in association with
a surface trough that extends roughly 120 nm offshore from
Tampico, Mexico, to Frontera, Mexico. A diurnal increase of NE
winds to moderate to fresh speeds is occurring in the eastern Bay
of Campeche, otherwise winds are light to gentle. Seas are mainly
1 to 3 ft, with localized 4 ft seas near the Yucatan Channel and
in the Florida Straits.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for details on Central Caribbean
convection because caused by a tropical wave. In the NW basin,
scattered moderate convection is noted between Cuba and Jamaica,
and northward from the Gulf of Honduras to just offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula. The pressure gradient between low pressure to
the south and the Atlantic ridge centered east of the Bahamas is
supporting strong E winds and 10-12 ft seas over the central
Caribbean, and fresh NE to E winds and 7-9 ft seas across most of
the rest of the basin. Moderate NE winds and 3-5 ft seas
elsewhere over the northwest Caribbean north and west of the
Cayman Islands.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. A tropical wave in the central
Caribbean is accompanied by active convection which will create
locally higher winds and seas. The wave will continue westward
across the western Caribbean early this week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A pre-frontal trough has moved S of 31N and extends this evening
from 31N59W to 27N64W. Scattered moderate convection associated
with this trough and the parent cold front are impacting waters N
of 27N between 52W and 72W. Otherwise, the Bermuda-Azores high,
anchored by a 1022 mb high center N of the Bahamas dominates.
Ahead of the aforementioned trough, fresh SW winds and 6 to 8 ft
seas extend E to 50W. Otherwise, moderate seas and moderate or
weaker winds dominate the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front will move into the
northern waters east of 70W late today. The front will move across
the northern forecast waters on Mon then weaken into a trough by
Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front
and E of 70W today and tonight.
$$
Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 22:34:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
891
AXNT20 KNHC 162234
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Aug 17 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2200 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is noted along 35W from 06N to
20N, moving west at 10 to 15 kt. Convection associated with this
wave has diminished this evening.
A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 53W from 06N to 22N,
moving W at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted
from 12N to 14N between 50W and 55W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 73W from Hispaniola to
Colombia, moving westward at around 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is noted from 12N to 18N between 68W and 77W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W, and extends
southwestward to 13N25W to 12N35W. The ITCZ begins near 12N40W
and continues to 13N45W to 12N50W. Another segment of the ITCZ is
noted from 11N55W to 09N60W. No significant convection is evident
aside from the convection discussed in the Tropical Waves section
above.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A ridge extends across the northern Gulf anchored by a 1021 mb
high pressure center just offshore Louisiana. Scattered moderate
convection is present in the west-central Gulf in association with
a surface trough that extends roughly 120 nm offshore from
Tampico, Mexico, to Frontera, Mexico. A diurnal increase of NE
winds to moderate to fresh speeds is occurring in the eastern Bay
of Campeche, otherwise winds are light to gentle. Seas are mainly
1 to 3 ft, with localized 4 ft seas near the Yucatan Channel and
in the Florida Straits.
For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf
waters through the week. A weak pressure gradient will support
mostly gentle to moderate winds across much of the basin. A
diurnally induced surface trough will generate fresh to
occasionally strong winds N of the Yucatan peninsula early each
evening. These winds will spread westward away from the Yucatan at
night as the trough migrates into the SW Gulf. Slight to moderate
seas are expected through the forecast period.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
See Tropical Waves section above for details on Central Caribbean
convection because caused by a tropical wave. In the NW basin,
scattered moderate convection is noted between Cuba and Jamaica,
and northward from the Gulf of Honduras to just offshore the
Yucatan Peninsula. The pressure gradient between low pressure to
the south and the Atlantic ridge centered east of the Bahamas is
supporting strong E winds and 10-12 ft seas over the central
Caribbean, and fresh NE to E winds and 7-9 ft seas across most of
the rest of the basin. Moderate NE winds and 3-5 ft seas
elsewhere over the northwest Caribbean north and west of the
Cayman Islands.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge N of the
area and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong winds over
the central Caribbean though Mon. A tropical wave in the central
Caribbean is accompanied by active convection which will create
locally higher winds and seas. The wave will continue westward
across the western Caribbean early this week.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A pre-frontal trough has moved S of 31N and extends this evening
from 31N59W to 27N64W. Scattered moderate convection associated
with this trough and the parent cold front are impacting waters N
of 27N between 52W and 72W. Otherwise, the Bermuda-Azores high,
anchored by a 1022 mb high center N of the Bahamas dominates.
Ahead of the aforementioned trough, fresh SW winds and 6 to 8 ft
seas extend E to 50W. Otherwise, moderate seas and moderate or
weaker winds dominate the basin.
For the forecast west of 55W, the pressure gradient between a
ridge along 28N and a tropical wave moving through the central
Caribbean Sea will support fresh to locally strong NE to E winds
south of 22N through tonight. A cold front will move into the
northern waters east of 70W late today. The front will move across
the northern forecast waters on Mon then weaken into a trough by
Tue. Fresh to strong SW to W winds are expected ahead of the front
and E of 70W today and tonight.
$$
Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 18 Aug 2026 11:16:58 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 17 Aug 2026 03:26:33 GMT - Sun, 16 Aug 2026 23:16:58 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 162316
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Aug 16 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 16 Aug 2026 13:24:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 161324
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 16 AUGUST 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 17/1100Z TO 18/1100Z AUGUST 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-077
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf