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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Wed, 08 Jul 2026 22:46:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    256
    AXNT20 KNHC 082245
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
    Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
    America will support strong to gale-force NE winds over the south
    central Caribbean tonight. These conditions will resume on Thu
    night and continue pulsing each night through the weekend. Seas
    are expected to peak around 14 ft on Sat.

    Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from
    03N to 15N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered showers are
    noted along the wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W south of
    17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted
    along the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W south of 18N. It
    is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted in the southern half of the basin.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic ocean near 21N17W and
    continues southwestward to 07N35W, where it transitions to the
    ITCZ to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 02N
    to 08N between 36W and 42W. Similar convection is well south of
    the trough from 06N to 11N between the coast of Africa and 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak high pressure is extending westward across the basin from
    the Atlantic. The associated pressure gradient is allowing for
    light to gentle variable winds north of 24N and for gentle to
    moderate easterly winds south of 24N, except for mostly moderate
    winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are of slight state, except for
    moderate state seas in the Bay of Campeche. Meanwhile, a mid to
    upper-level low over the western Bay of Campeche is acting on a
    very unstable and moisture-laden atmosphere. This has lead to the
    development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over much of
    the west-central and southwestern portions of the basin, south of
    about 26N and west of 92W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are also present north of 26N between 86W and 91W.

    For the forecast, the weak high pressure extending westward
    across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
    Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
    Fri through Sat night. The weather pattern will support gentle
    to moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of
    about 26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of
    about 26N. The exception will be occasional fresh to strong
    northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night.
    The mid to upper-level low along with a moist and unstable
    airmass will generate scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms over the SW Gulf, with scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across the basin south of about
    28N through Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
    gale conditions offshore Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
    lower pressures over northern South America is bringing fresh to
    near gale trades over the central Caribbean. Seas with these winds
    are 8 to 11 ft. Moderate to fresh east winds and seas of 4 to 5
    ft are in the Gulf of Honduras while fresh to strong northeast
    winds are funneling into the Windward Passage. Seas there are also
    4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, fresh trades are over the basin, except for
    gentle to moderate winds over the NW Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8
    ft south of 18N and east of 83W and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Upper
    divergence is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic high
    pressure and lower pressures over northern South America will
    support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
    the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight, Fri
    night, and Sat night off Colombia. Gale- force winds are also
    possible in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades
    over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in
    the late afternoons and evenings through early next week. A fast-
    moving tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles this
    evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the eastern
    Caribbean Thu through Fri night. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms may accompany this wave.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N, anchored
    by a 1025 mb high center at 28N46W. The pressure gradient between
    this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is producing
    fresh to strong trades south of 24N. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are with
    these trades. North of 24N, light to gentle winds prevail along
    with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas
    of about 4 to 6 ft remain. An upper level trough north of the
    Hispaniola supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms south
    of 23N between 63W and 74W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
    change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
    The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
    23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
    where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
    Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
    night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
    Windward Passage through early next week.

    $$
    ERA
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Wed, 08 Jul 2026 22:46:01 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    256
    AXNT20 KNHC 082245
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Thu Jul 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2230 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Caribbean Sea Gale Warning: The pressure gradient between the central
    Atlantic high pressure and lower pressures over northern South
    America will support strong to gale-force NE winds over the south
    central Caribbean tonight. These conditions will resume on Thu
    night and continue pulsing each night through the weekend. Seas
    are expected to peak around 14 ft on Sat.

    Please refer to the latest NWS High Seas Forecast at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFEP2.shtml for more details.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 31W from
    03N to 15N, moving westward at about 15 kt. Scattered showers are
    noted along the wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 58W south of
    17N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers are noted
    along the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W south of 18N. It
    is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted in the southern half of the basin.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic ocean near 21N17W and
    continues southwestward to 07N35W, where it transitions to the
    ITCZ to 02N50W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted from 02N
    to 08N between 36W and 42W. Similar convection is well south of
    the trough from 06N to 11N between the coast of Africa and 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Weak high pressure is extending westward across the basin from
    the Atlantic. The associated pressure gradient is allowing for
    light to gentle variable winds north of 24N and for gentle to
    moderate easterly winds south of 24N, except for mostly moderate
    winds in the Bay of Campeche. Seas are of slight state, except for
    moderate state seas in the Bay of Campeche. Meanwhile, a mid to
    upper-level low over the western Bay of Campeche is acting on a
    very unstable and moisture-laden atmosphere. This has lead to the
    development of scattered showers and thunderstorms over much of
    the west-central and southwestern portions of the basin, south of
    about 26N and west of 92W. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    are also present north of 26N between 86W and 91W.

    For the forecast, the weak high pressure extending westward
    across the basin from the Atlantic will change little through
    Thu night, then shift northward to near the northern Gulf coast
    Fri through Sat night. The weather pattern will support gentle
    to moderate east to southeast winds across the Gulf south of
    about 26N, and light to gentle southeast to south winds north of
    about 26N. The exception will be occasional fresh to strong
    northeast to east winds offshore the Yucatan peninsula at night.
    The mid to upper-level low along with a moist and unstable
    airmass will generate scattered to numerous showers and
    thunderstorms over the SW Gulf, with scattered showers and
    isolated thunderstorms elsewhere across the basin south of about
    28N through Thu.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Please refer to the Special Features section above for details on
    gale conditions offshore Colombia and the Gulf of Venezuela.

    The pressure gradient between central Atlantic high pressure and
    lower pressures over northern South America is bringing fresh to
    near gale trades over the central Caribbean. Seas with these winds
    are 8 to 11 ft. Moderate to fresh east winds and seas of 4 to 5
    ft are in the Gulf of Honduras while fresh to strong northeast
    winds are funneling into the Windward Passage. Seas there are also
    4 to 6 ft. Elsewhere, fresh trades are over the basin, except for
    gentle to moderate winds over the NW Caribbean. Seas are 6 to 8
    ft south of 18N and east of 83W and 3 to 5 ft elsewhere. Upper
    divergence is helping to sustain scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms over the Gulf of Honduras.

    For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic high
    pressure and lower pressures over northern South America will
    support fresh to near gale trades over the central Caribbean for
    the next several days. Winds will pulse to gale-force tonight, Fri
    night, and Sat night off Colombia. Gale- force winds are also
    possible in the Gulf of Venezuela Fri night and Sat night. Trades
    over the Gulf of Honduras will pulse to fresh to strong speeds in
    the late afternoons and evenings through early next week. A fast-
    moving tropical wave should reach the Lesser Antilles this
    evening, bringing fresh to strong trades over the eastern
    Caribbean Thu through Fri night. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms may accompany this wave.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    An expansive subtropical ridge axis is roughly along 27N, anchored
    by a 1025 mb high center at 28N46W. The pressure gradient between
    this ridge and lower pressures in the deep tropics is producing
    fresh to strong trades south of 24N. Seas of 5 to 7 ft are with
    these trades. North of 24N, light to gentle winds prevail along
    with seas 3 to 5 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and seas
    of about 4 to 6 ft remain. An upper level trough north of the
    Hispaniola supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms south
    of 23N between 63W and 74W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure ridging near 27N will
    change little through Thu, then shift slightly north afterward.
    The weather pattern will support moderate to fresh trades south of
    23N, and light to gentle winds north of 23N, except north of 29N
    where moderate to fresh south to southwest winds will prevail.
    Strong winds along with moderate to rough seas are expected at
    night north of Hispaniola, including the approaches to the
    Windward Passage through early next week.

    $$
    ERA
Active Tropical Systems
  • Fri, 10 Jul 2026 11:36:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 09 Jul 2026 01:29:01 GMT
  • Wed, 08 Jul 2026 23:36:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    557
    ABNT20 KNHC 082336
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    800 PM EDT Wed Jul 8 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Wed, 08 Jul 2026 13:29:55 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 081329
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0930 AM EDT WED 08 JULY 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z JULY 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-038

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    KAL/RAR

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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