2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 22 Jun 2026 16:29:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 221629
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Jun 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1629 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has it axis along 16.5W, south
    of 17N. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    to isolated strong convection is observed from 04N to 11.5N and
    east of 25.5W.

    Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W,
    south of 16N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms are noted from 07N to 10N and between
    35.5W and 40.5W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 49W, south of
    16N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
    observed near this tropical wave.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 75W, south
    of 19N, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
    observed near the tropical wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N17W and continues
    southwestward to 05N30W and to 04N46.5W. Please read the Tropical
    Waves section for information about convection near the area.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered SW of the Azores extends a
    ridge to the Gulf waters, supporting moderate to fresh southerly
    winds and moderate seas west of 88W. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and slight seas prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin this
    week. Fresh to locally strong easterly winds will pulse off the
    Yucatan peninsula nightly during the first half of the week. A
    moderate pressure gradient will maintain mostly fresh southerly
    winds over the western and central Gulf through late tonight
    before diminishing to gentle to moderate speeds. Slight to
    moderate seas will be with these winds. Light winds along with
    slight seas will prevail over the eastern Gulf through the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The aforementioned subtropical ridge supports fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas over much of the
    Caribbean, especially south of 18N. The strongest winds and
    highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is present in the SW
    Caribbean in association to the end of the Eastern Pacific
    monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned high pressure will prevail
    north of the area. The pressure gradient between the area of high
    pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
    the forecast period. The trade winds are expected to increase to
    near gale across the central portion of the basin over a large
    area south of 15N, including along the coast of Colombia and in
    the Gulf of Venezuela tonight through Tue night. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Pulsing fresh to
    strong winds and moderate to rough seas are expected in the Gulf
    of Honduras nightly. Moderate to fresh winds are expected over
    much of the remainder of the Caribbean through the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1030 mb high pressure system centered SW of the Azores
    dominates the tropical Atlantic waters, supporting moderate to
    locally strong easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft south of
    23N and west of 35W. Farther east, fresh to strong N-NE winds and
    seas of 6-8 ft are found from 14N to 27N and east of 35W.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
    will dominate the region through the forecast period. Winds will
    pulse nightly fresh to locally strong speeds off northern
    Hispaniola and seas may build up to 8 ft. Moderate or lighter
    winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 22 Jun 2026 16:29:36 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 221629
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Mon Jun 22 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1629 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave has it axis along 16.5W, south
    of 17N. The wave is moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate
    to isolated strong convection is observed from 04N to 11.5N and
    east of 25.5W.

    Another eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 37W,
    south of 16N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered showers
    and isolated thunderstorms are noted from 07N to 10N and between
    35.5W and 40.5W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis along 49W, south of
    16N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. No significant convection is
    observed near this tropical wave.

    A central Caribbean tropical wave has its axis along 75W, south
    of 19N, moving westward at 15 kt. No significant convection is
    observed near the tropical wave.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 17N17W and continues
    southwestward to 05N30W and to 04N46.5W. Please read the Tropical
    Waves section for information about convection near the area.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A broad subtropical ridge centered SW of the Azores extends a
    ridge to the Gulf waters, supporting moderate to fresh southerly
    winds and moderate seas west of 88W. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and slight seas prevail.

    For the forecast, high pressure will dominate the basin this
    week. Fresh to locally strong easterly winds will pulse off the
    Yucatan peninsula nightly during the first half of the week. A
    moderate pressure gradient will maintain mostly fresh southerly
    winds over the western and central Gulf through late tonight
    before diminishing to gentle to moderate speeds. Slight to
    moderate seas will be with these winds. Light winds along with
    slight seas will prevail over the eastern Gulf through the week.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The aforementioned subtropical ridge supports fresh to strong
    easterly trade winds and moderate to rough seas over much of the
    Caribbean, especially south of 18N. The strongest winds and
    highest seas are found off NW Colombia. Elsewhere, moderate or
    weaker winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is present in the SW
    Caribbean in association to the end of the Eastern Pacific
    monsoon trough.

    For the forecast, the aforementioned high pressure will prevail
    north of the area. The pressure gradient between the area of high
    pressure and the Colombian low will support fresh to strong trade
    winds and moderate to rough seas in the central Caribbean through
    the forecast period. The trade winds are expected to increase to
    near gale across the central portion of the basin over a large
    area south of 15N, including along the coast of Colombia and in
    the Gulf of Venezuela tonight through Tue night. Seas are expected
    to build to around 13 ft with these winds. Pulsing fresh to
    strong winds and moderate to rough seas are expected in the Gulf
    of Honduras nightly. Moderate to fresh winds are expected over
    much of the remainder of the Caribbean through the week.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A 1030 mb high pressure system centered SW of the Azores
    dominates the tropical Atlantic waters, supporting moderate to
    locally strong easterly trade winds and seas of 4-8 ft south of
    23N and west of 35W. Farther east, fresh to strong N-NE winds and
    seas of 6-8 ft are found from 14N to 27N and east of 35W.
    Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas are
    prevalent.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the aforementioned high pressure
    will dominate the region through the forecast period. Winds will
    pulse nightly fresh to locally strong speeds off northern
    Hispaniola and seas may build up to 8 ft. Moderate or lighter
    winds and moderate seas will prevail elsewhere.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 24 Jun 2026 05:30:50 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 22 Jun 2026 21:06:10 GMT
  • Mon, 22 Jun 2026 17:30:50 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 221730
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Mon Jun 22 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 22 Jun 2026 14:05:37 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 221405
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1005 AM EDT MON 22 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 23/1100Z TO 24/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-022

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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