Skip to main content

2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

287 Visitors Tracking The Tropics!

Follow On Facebook

Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

Earn CASH Back On Gas $$$$ Cash Back On Gas
Shop Store For Essentials2026 Hurricane Season Supplies

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

Share this page
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 09:57:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    464
    AXNT20 KNHC 020957
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 21N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along
    the wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are noted along the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 73.5W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring near the Windward Passage and over the waters between
    Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti as well as in the lee of Cuba.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
    southwestward to 10N46W. The ITCZ extends from 10N46W to 10N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection prevails along the ITCZ, as well as
    from 07N to 10N between 30W and 37W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the eastern Gulf. A 1015 mb surface
    high pressure is centered near 25N85W. This pattern is supporting
    fresh to locally strong W to SW winds and 3-6 ft seas off the
    northern Gulf coast, and gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
    1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds for the next several days. The exceptions will
    be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over much of the NE Gulf N of 25N and E of 90W into
    the upcoming week as an upper-level trough and a cold front
    approach the Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over Costa Rica,
    Panama, and southern Nicaragua. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient
    between the subtropical ridge situated in the central Atlantic and
    lower pressures in the deep tropics sustain fresh to strong E
    winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. Winds are near
    gale-force in the Gulf of Venezuela, confirmed by scatterometer
    data from earlier this evening. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the eastern
    Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin
    through much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the central Caribbean near 73W, is accompanied by
    scattered moderate convection near the Windward Passage and the
    nearby waters between Jamaica, Cuba, and Hispaniola as well as in
    the lee of Cuba. The wave will continue quickly moving westward
    across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of
    the basin. Fresh to strong trades continue pulsing along the
    northern coast of Hispaniola. In the waters offshore the SE US
    coast, fresh to strong SW winds are occurring in advance of a cold
    front currently inland.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change
    little through Tue, then lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    ahead of the front, along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    over the majority of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to
    strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through
    the period.

    $$
    Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 09:57:20 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    464
    AXNT20 KNHC 020957
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Sun Aug 2 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1000 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 29W, south of 21N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are noted along
    the wave axis.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 54W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers and isolated
    thunderstorms are noted along the wave axis.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 73.5W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring near the Windward Passage and over the waters between
    Jamaica, Cuba, and Haiti as well as in the lee of Cuba.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 20N16W and dives
    southwestward to 10N46W. The ITCZ extends from 10N46W to 10N51W.
    Scattered moderate convection prevails along the ITCZ, as well as
    from 07N to 10N between 30W and 37W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    Divergent flow aloft is supporting scattered showers and
    thunderstorms across much of the eastern Gulf. A 1015 mb surface
    high pressure is centered near 25N85W. This pattern is supporting
    fresh to locally strong W to SW winds and 3-6 ft seas off the
    northern Gulf coast, and gentle to moderate or weaker winds and
    1-3 ft seas elsewhere.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in
    control of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle
    to moderate winds for the next several days. The exceptions will
    be fresh NE to E winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan
    peninsula nightly through the period, as well as the far northern
    Gulf, where an inland cold front will induce moderate to fresh W
    to SW winds through Monday. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    will continue over much of the NE Gulf N of 25N and E of 90W into
    the upcoming week as an upper-level trough and a cold front
    approach the Gulf coast.


    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active over Costa Rica,
    Panama, and southern Nicaragua. Elsewhere, the pressure gradient
    between the subtropical ridge situated in the central Atlantic and
    lower pressures in the deep tropics sustain fresh to strong E
    winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean. Winds are near
    gale-force in the Gulf of Venezuela, confirmed by scatterometer
    data from earlier this evening. Moderate to fresh easterly trade
    winds and moderate seas prevail across much of the eastern
    Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight to
    moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, an enhanced pressure gradient across the
    Caribbean will favor fresh to strong trades over the central basin
    through much of the week ahead. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Mon through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the central Caribbean near 73W, is accompanied by
    scattered moderate convection near the Windward Passage and the
    nearby waters between Jamaica, Cuba, and Hispaniola as well as in
    the lee of Cuba. The wave will continue quickly moving westward
    across the remainder of the basin through Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the area north of 25N and west of 60W. The remainder of the
    subtropical and tropical Atlantic is influenced by a 1026 mb high
    pressure area centered near 33N54W. This pattern is supporting
    moderate to fresh NE to E winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of
    the basin. Fresh to strong trades continue pulsing along the
    northern coast of Hispaniola. In the waters offshore the SE US
    coast, fresh to strong SW winds are occurring in advance of a cold
    front currently inland.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending
    from the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will change
    little through Tue, then lift to N of 31N on Wed. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    ahead of the front, along with scattered showers and thunderstorms
    over the majority of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to
    strong trades will pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through
    the period.

    $$
    Adams
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 17:17:48 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 02 Aug 2026 10:40:08 GMT
  • Sun, 02 Aug 2026 05:17:48 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 020517
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Mahoney/Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 13:50:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    787
    NOUS42 KNHC 011350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT SAT 01 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-062

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
Share this page