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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 04:25:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 010425
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jun 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic
near 31N60W and continues southwestward to 25N75W, where it
becomes a stationary front to NE Florida. A recent scatterometer
satellite pass captured strong to gale-force SW winds ahead of the
front to 57W and north of 29N. Rough seas are occurring in these
waters. Gale-force winds will move north of our area by 0600 UTC.
Conditions will improve Mon.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 30W, south of 12N and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 02N to 09N and between 24W and 37W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 17N and moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Relatively dry air over the basin is
precluding convection near this wave at this time.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 15N and moving
westward at around 15 kt. No deep convection is noted around this
system.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, then curves southwestward to 06N29W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N29W to 04N51W. Scattered moderate convection
is evident from 03N to 13N and east of 24W. Similar convection is
seen within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating supported the development of
showers and thunderstorms over Yucatan during the afternoon and
evening hours. The storm activity is currently affecting the
eastern Bay of Campeche and off northern Yucatan. A few showers
are also noted in the central and eastern Gulf. A weak pressure
gradient supports moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and slight
to moderate seas west of a line from SE Louisiana to western Cuba.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf waters
through midweek supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds with
moderate seas. The exception will be evening pulses of fresh
winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula and in the central Gulf
through the same period. An upper-level trough across the
western Gulf will continue to support showers and thunderstorms
across the east and central Gulf through the early part of the
week. Expect fresh to strong E winds and moderate to rough seas
across the NE Gulf Wed and Wed night as a frontal boundary
reaches the area.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge NE of
the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia results in
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across
the central Caribbean. Fresh to locally strong easterly breezes
and moderate seas are found in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to
fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
and remainder of the NW Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating continue to support scattered
showers and thunderstorms over Cuba, Hispaniola, Yucatan and
Central America and nearby waters. Drier conditions are present
elsewhere in the basin.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
will support moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the
basin into Mon, with fresh to strong winds and rough seas over
the south-central Caribbean. The area of fresh to strong winds
and rough seas will expand across the east and central Caribbean
Mon night into Tue as the ridge north of the area strengthens.
Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish slightly starting
late Wed as the ridge north of the basin weakens.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning for
waters SE of Bermuda.
A cold front extends from 31N60W to 25N75W, followed by a
stationary front to NE Florida. Scattered showers are noted ahead
of the front to 55W and north of 24N and west of 76W. Fresh to
strong SW winds and rough seas are present ahead of the front to
50W and north of 27W. Rough seas are also present behind the front
to 65W and north of 27W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are occurring in the remainder of the SW North Atlantic (west
of 55W, north of 20N).
The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure system
centered near 33N33W. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures in the deep tropics sustain fresh to locally strong
N-NE winds and rough seas east of a line from 31N33W to the
northern Leeward Islands. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will shift
southeastward, reaching from 31N58W to 25N70W by early Mon morning
when fresh to strong SW winds and moderate to locally rough seas
will continue to affect the NE waters. Meanwhile, another low
pressure system will move off northeast Florida by late Mon and
shift eastward toward Bermuda by late Tue before dissipating.
Associated winds to minimal gale-force are likely southeast of
Bermuda by late Tue. Looking ahead, a third low pressure area will
dissipate as it moves between northeast Florida and Bermuda Wed
and Thu.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 01 Jun 2026 04:25:34 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 010425
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Mon Jun 1 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0355 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic
near 31N60W and continues southwestward to 25N75W, where it
becomes a stationary front to NE Florida. A recent scatterometer
satellite pass captured strong to gale-force SW winds ahead of the
front to 57W and north of 29N. Rough seas are occurring in these
waters. Gale-force winds will move north of our area by 0600 UTC.
Conditions will improve Mon.
Please read the latest High Seas and Offshore Waters Forecast
issued by the National Hurricane Center at websites -
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml and
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/offshores.php for more details.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 30W, south of 12N and
moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
present from 02N to 09N and between 24W and 37W.
A central Caribbean tropical wave is along 72W, south of 17N and moving
westward at 10 to 15 kt. Relatively dry air over the basin is
precluding convection near this wave at this time.
A western Caribbean tropical wave is along 82W, south of 15N and moving
westward at around 15 kt. No deep convection is noted around this
system.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Mauritania near 18N16W, then curves southwestward to 06N29W. The
ITCZ extends from 06N29W to 04N51W. Scattered moderate convection
is evident from 03N to 13N and east of 24W. Similar convection is
seen within 120 nm on both sides of the ITCZ.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating supported the development of
showers and thunderstorms over Yucatan during the afternoon and
evening hours. The storm activity is currently affecting the
eastern Bay of Campeche and off northern Yucatan. A few showers
are also noted in the central and eastern Gulf. A weak pressure
gradient supports moderate to locally fresh E-SE winds and slight
to moderate seas west of a line from SE Louisiana to western Cuba.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas prevail.
For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf waters
through midweek supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds with
moderate seas. The exception will be evening pulses of fresh
winds off the northern Yucatan Peninsula and in the central Gulf
through the same period. An upper-level trough across the
western Gulf will continue to support showers and thunderstorms
across the east and central Gulf through the early part of the
week. Expect fresh to strong E winds and moderate to rough seas
across the NE Gulf Wed and Wed night as a frontal boundary
reaches the area.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The tight pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge NE of
the islands and lower pressures in northern Colombia results in
fresh to strong easterly trade winds and seas of 5-8 ft across
the central Caribbean. Fresh to locally strong easterly breezes
and moderate seas are found in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to
fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas are noted in the eastern
and remainder of the NW Caribbean. Elsewhere, light to gentle
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent.
Divergence aloft and diurnal heating continue to support scattered
showers and thunderstorms over Cuba, Hispaniola, Yucatan and
Central America and nearby waters. Drier conditions are present
elsewhere in the basin.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge combined with the Colombian low
will support moderate to fresh trade winds across most of the
basin into Mon, with fresh to strong winds and rough seas over
the south-central Caribbean. The area of fresh to strong winds
and rough seas will expand across the east and central Caribbean
Mon night into Tue as the ridge north of the area strengthens.
Looking ahead, winds and seas will diminish slightly starting
late Wed as the ridge north of the basin weakens.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning for
waters SE of Bermuda.
A cold front extends from 31N60W to 25N75W, followed by a
stationary front to NE Florida. Scattered showers are noted ahead
of the front to 55W and north of 24N and west of 76W. Fresh to
strong SW winds and rough seas are present ahead of the front to
50W and north of 27W. Rough seas are also present behind the front
to 65W and north of 27W. Moderate or weaker winds and moderate
seas are occurring in the remainder of the SW North Atlantic (west
of 55W, north of 20N).
The rest of the tropical Atlantic are dominated by a broad
subtropical ridge anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure system
centered near 33N33W. The pressure gradient between this ridge
and lower pressures in the deep tropics sustain fresh to locally strong
N-NE winds and rough seas east of a line from 31N33W to the
northern Leeward Islands. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the cold front will shift
southeastward, reaching from 31N58W to 25N70W by early Mon morning
when fresh to strong SW winds and moderate to locally rough seas
will continue to affect the NE waters. Meanwhile, another low
pressure system will move off northeast Florida by late Mon and
shift eastward toward Bermuda by late Tue before dissipating.
Associated winds to minimal gale-force are likely southeast of
Bermuda by late Tue. Looking ahead, a third low pressure area will
dissipate as it moves between northeast Florida and Bermuda Wed
and Thu.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 02 Jun 2026 17:02:32 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 01 Jun 2026 09:10:13 GMT - Mon, 01 Jun 2026 05:02:32 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 010502
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
&&
Today marks the first day of the Atlantic hurricane season, which
will run until November 30. The long-term averages for the number of
named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes are 14, 7, and 3,
respectively.
The list of names for 2026 is as follows:
Name Pronunciation Name Pronunciation
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Arthur AR-thur Leah LEE-ah
Bertha BUR-thuh Marco MAR-koe
Cristobal krees-TOH-bahl Nana NA-na
Dolly DAH-lee Omar OH-mar
Edouard eh-DWARD Paulette pawl-LET
Fay fay Rene re-NAY
Gonzalo gohn-SAH-loh Sally SAL-ee
Hanna HAN-uh Teddy TEHD-ee
Isaias ees-ah-EE-ahs Vicky VIH-kee
Josephine JOH-seh-feen Wilfred WILL-fred
Kyle KY-ull
A full list of Atlantic basin tropical cyclone names and
pronunciations can be found at:
www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/aboutnames_pronounce_atlc.pdf
This product, the Tropical Weather Outlook, briefly describes
significant areas of disturbed weather and their potential for
tropical cyclone formation during the next seven days. The issuance
times of this product are 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT. After the
change to standard time in November, the issuance times are 1 AM,
7 AM, 1 PM, and 7 PM EST.
A Special Tropical Weather Outlook will be issued to provide
updates, as necessary, in between the regularly scheduled issuances
of the Tropical Weather Outlook. Special Tropical Weather Outlooks
will be issued under the same WMO and AWIPS headers as the regular
Tropical Weather Outlooks.
A standard package of products, consisting of the tropical cyclone
public advisory, the forecast/advisory, the cyclone discussion, and
a wind speed probability product is issued every six hours for all
ongoing tropical cyclones. In addition, a special advisory package
may be issued at any time to advise of significant unexpected
changes or to modify watches or warnings.
NHC has the option to issue advisories, watches, and warnings for
disturbances that are not yet a tropical cyclone, but which pose the
threat of bringing tropical storm or hurricane conditions to land
areas within 72 hours. For these land-threatening "potential
tropical cyclones", NHC will issue the full suite of advisory and
watch/warning products. Potential tropical cyclones share the
naming conventions currently in place for tropical depressions,
being numbered from a single list (e.g., "One", "Two", "Three",
etc.).
The Tropical Cyclone Update is a brief statement to inform of
significant changes in a tropical cyclone, to post or cancel watches
or warnings, or to provide hourly position updates between
intermediate advisories when the storm center is easily followed by
radar. It can also be used in lieu of or to precede the issuance of
a special advisory package. Tropical Cyclone Updates, which can be
issued at any time, can be found under the WMO header WTNT61-65
KNHC, and under AWIPS header MIATCUAT1-5.
All NHC text and graphical products are available on the web at
https://www.hurricanes.gov. More information on NHC text and
graphical products can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/NHC_Product_Description.pdf.
New and updated products for the 2026 season can be found at
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/2026NHCNewProductsAndServices.pdf
You can also interact with NHC on Facebook at
https://www.facebook.com/NWSNHC. Notifications are available via X
when select National Hurricane Center products are issued.
Information about our Atlantic X feed (@NHC_Atlantic) is available
at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/socialmedia/.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf