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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 13 May 2026 05:00:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
109
AXNT20 KNHC 130500
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed May 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 36W from 03N to 14N, moving
westward at 5 to 10 kt. Most of the nearby convection is
associated with the ITCZ as described below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 11N15W and continues SW to 04N19W. The ITCZ extends
from 04N19W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 50 nm of the
coast of Africa between 05N and 11N. Scattered moderate
convection is present S of 02N and W of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from just north of Tampa Bay to a 1013
mb low near 29N86W. A cold front then extends from the low into
the SE Bay of Campeche. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring between the cold front and the W
coast of Florida N of 24N. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are N
and W of the fronts and surface low, while gentle or weaker winds
prevail to the S and E of the fronts. Localized areas of strong E
to NE winds in the far NE Gulf are confirmed by scatterometer
data. Slight seas prevail across the basin, except for locally
moderate seas near Veracruz.
For the forecast, a stationary front extends across central
Florida to a 1013 mb low near 29N86W from which transitions to a
cold front that extends SW to the eastern Bay of Campeche. The
cold front will stall briefly tonight and exit the SE Gulf by Wed
night. Winds will be generally moderate or weaker on either side
of the front, except in the vicinity of the low where fresh to
strong winds are likely as indicated by recent scatterometer data.
High pressure and quiescent conditions will build behind the
front on Wed and Thu. Another weak cold front is forecast to enter
the NE Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
Otherwise, southeast winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh
speeds over the western half of the basin this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong
trade winds and 5-7 ft seas across the south-central to southwest
Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh easterly breezes and
moderate seas are noted across the remainder of the central and
eastern Caribbean along with 4-6 ft seas. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent across the
remainder of the waters including the majority of the western
Caribbean. No significant convection is noted in the basin, except
just offshore Panama and Costa Rica near the monsoon trough
extending along 10N from the eastern Pacific Ocean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the weekend,
with the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh tradewinds are expected across the
remainder of forecast waters through Sun night, pulsing to strong
in the Gulf of Honduras Sat and Sun night. Large E swell with
rough seas will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters from midweek
through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N68W to central Florida with
fresh to strong NE-E winds and 5-9 ft seas in N-NE swell N of the
front. Scattered moderate convection is seen N of 25N and W of
60W, enhanced by an upper level trough. The remainder of the
subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge
anchored by high pressure located well N of the discussion waters.
Fresh to strong trades and seas of 6-9 ft prevail S and E of a
line running from the Turks and Caicos Islands to the Canary
Islands. Areas N and W of this line and away from the stationary
front are seeing moderate or weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
31N68W to just south of Cape Canaveral, Florida will lift north of
the area by Thu morning. Fresh to locally strong winds are
expected west of the front with scattered showers and
thunderstorms along the front. Another weak cold front will move
off the NE Florida coast on Thu, extending from 31N50W to 25N72W
Fri morning, from 31N72W to 26N65W on Sat morning, then E of the
area Sun. Fresh to strong S winds are expected N of 27N ahead of
the front.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 13 May 2026 05:00:28 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
109
AXNT20 KNHC 130500
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Wed May 13 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0500 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is analyzed along 36W from 03N to 14N, moving
westward at 5 to 10 kt. Most of the nearby convection is
associated with the ITCZ as described below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough axis enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Africa near 11N15W and continues SW to 04N19W. The ITCZ extends
from 04N19W to the coast of Brazil near 02S45W. Scattered
moderate isolated strong convection is noted within 50 nm of the
coast of Africa between 05N and 11N. Scattered moderate
convection is present S of 02N and W of 21W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A stationary front extends from just north of Tampa Bay to a 1013
mb low near 29N86W. A cold front then extends from the low into
the SE Bay of Campeche. Scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms are occurring between the cold front and the W
coast of Florida N of 24N. Moderate to fresh N to NE winds are N
and W of the fronts and surface low, while gentle or weaker winds
prevail to the S and E of the fronts. Localized areas of strong E
to NE winds in the far NE Gulf are confirmed by scatterometer
data. Slight seas prevail across the basin, except for locally
moderate seas near Veracruz.
For the forecast, a stationary front extends across central
Florida to a 1013 mb low near 29N86W from which transitions to a
cold front that extends SW to the eastern Bay of Campeche. The
cold front will stall briefly tonight and exit the SE Gulf by Wed
night. Winds will be generally moderate or weaker on either side
of the front, except in the vicinity of the low where fresh to
strong winds are likely as indicated by recent scatterometer data.
High pressure and quiescent conditions will build behind the
front on Wed and Thu. Another weak cold front is forecast to enter
the NE Gulf Thu night and dissipate over the E Gulf on Fri.
Otherwise, southeast winds are forecast to reach moderate to fresh
speeds over the western half of the basin this weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge over the Atlantic forces fresh to strong
trade winds and 5-7 ft seas across the south-central to southwest
Caribbean. Moderate to locally fresh easterly breezes and
moderate seas are noted across the remainder of the central and
eastern Caribbean along with 4-6 ft seas. Moderate or weaker
winds and slight to moderate seas are prevalent across the
remainder of the waters including the majority of the western
Caribbean. No significant convection is noted in the basin, except
just offshore Panama and Costa Rica near the monsoon trough
extending along 10N from the eastern Pacific Ocean.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and the Colombian Low will support fresh to
strong tradewinds over the central Caribbean through the weekend,
with the strongest winds offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela. Moderate to fresh tradewinds are expected across the
remainder of forecast waters through Sun night, pulsing to strong
in the Gulf of Honduras Sat and Sun night. Large E swell with
rough seas will impact the tropical N Atlantic waters from midweek
through the weekend.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A stationary front extends from 31N68W to central Florida with
fresh to strong NE-E winds and 5-9 ft seas in N-NE swell N of the
front. Scattered moderate convection is seen N of 25N and W of
60W, enhanced by an upper level trough. The remainder of the
subtropical Atlantic is under the influence of a broad ridge
anchored by high pressure located well N of the discussion waters.
Fresh to strong trades and seas of 6-9 ft prevail S and E of a
line running from the Turks and Caicos Islands to the Canary
Islands. Areas N and W of this line and away from the stationary
front are seeing moderate or weaker trades and 3-6 ft seas
prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front extending from
31N68W to just south of Cape Canaveral, Florida will lift north of
the area by Thu morning. Fresh to locally strong winds are
expected west of the front with scattered showers and
thunderstorms along the front. Another weak cold front will move
off the NE Florida coast on Thu, extending from 31N50W to 25N72W
Fri morning, from 31N72W to 26N65W on Sat morning, then E of the
area Sun. Fresh to strong S winds are expected N of 27N ahead of
the front.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 13 May 2026 06:40:07 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf