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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 21 May 2026 09:17:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 210917
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu May 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0915 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 70W, south of 16N and
moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic the coast of Guinea-Bissau
near 12N16W, then curves southwestward to near 05N20W. The ITCZ
extends from 05N20W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present south of 08N. The strongest
convection is evident off Liberia.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1025 mb high pressure system centered east of Bermuda extends
into the Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas. A few showers are occurring in the
nearshore waters of the NW Gulf. Generally dry conditions dominate
the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will change little
during the forecast period. The pressure gradient between it and
relatively lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will
generally maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind
flow across the basin through the weekend, with the exception of
fresh to strong winds pulsing off Yucatan from the late afternoons
and into the night time hours. A series of upper-level
disturbances in a very moist and unstable environment is expected
to keep unsettled weather conditions in the form of scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms in the NW Gulf for the next few
days. Mariners transiting through these waters are advised to be
prepared for rapidly changing weather conditions with this
activity.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Broad ridge located east of Bermuda forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and seas of 6-9 ft across the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas are prevalent.
A few showers are noted south of Cuba, while generally dry
conditions prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, he pressure gradient between the aforementioned
ridge and relatively lower pressures in northern South America
will support fresh to strong trades over the south-central portion
of the Caribbean through the weekend. These trades will continue
to bring rough seas to that portion of the basin. Fresh to strong
trades will also pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras.
Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere through the forecast
period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper level low situated north of the NW Bahamas continues to
enhance the shower activity between 71W and 76W. The rest of the
SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a broad
subtropical ridge east of Bermuda. Moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas are noted south of 27N and west of 55W.
A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N28W and
continues southwestward to 26N41W, followed by a stationary front
to 27N62W. A few light showers are evident ahead of these fronts.
The rest of the central and eastern Atlantic is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure over
France. A moderate pressure gradient between the aforementioned
ridge and lower pressures in western Africa results in moderate to
fresh northerly winds from 14N to 22N and east of 22W. Moderate
to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are present
south of 23N and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large mid to upper-level low and
accompanying surface trough northeast of the Bahamas will
continue to produce scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms from off the central Bahamas southward to the
Windward Passage through at least Thu evening. Some of this
activity may contain strong gusty winds and heavy rain reducing
visibility. Southeast winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds
north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and evenings through the
next few days. Otherwise, high pressure centered just north of the
area will maintain rather quite marine conditions through the
period.
$$
Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 21 May 2026 09:17:15 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 210917
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1215 UTC Thu May 21 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0915 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 70W, south of 16N and
moving westward near 10 kt. No significant convection is noted
near this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic the coast of Guinea-Bissau
near 12N16W, then curves southwestward to near 05N20W. The ITCZ
extends from 05N20W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
strong convection is present south of 08N. The strongest
convection is evident off Liberia.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1025 mb high pressure system centered east of Bermuda extends
into the Gulf waters, supporting moderate or weaker winds and
slight to moderate seas. A few showers are occurring in the
nearshore waters of the NW Gulf. Generally dry conditions dominate
the remainder of the basin.
For the forecast, the aforementioned ridge will change little
during the forecast period. The pressure gradient between it and
relatively lower pressures over Texas and northern Mexico will
generally maintain a gentle to moderate east to southeast wind
flow across the basin through the weekend, with the exception of
fresh to strong winds pulsing off Yucatan from the late afternoons
and into the night time hours. A series of upper-level
disturbances in a very moist and unstable environment is expected
to keep unsettled weather conditions in the form of scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms in the NW Gulf for the next few
days. Mariners transiting through these waters are advised to be
prepared for rapidly changing weather conditions with this
activity.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Broad ridge located east of Bermuda forces fresh to near gale-
force easterly trade winds and seas of 6-9 ft across the central
Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly breezes and moderate seas
are found in the eastern Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras.
Elsewhere, light to gentle winds and slight seas are prevalent.
A few showers are noted south of Cuba, while generally dry
conditions prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, he pressure gradient between the aforementioned
ridge and relatively lower pressures in northern South America
will support fresh to strong trades over the south-central portion
of the Caribbean through the weekend. These trades will continue
to bring rough seas to that portion of the basin. Fresh to strong
trades will also pulse each evening over the Gulf of Honduras.
Mostly moderate trades will remain elsewhere through the forecast
period.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
An upper level low situated north of the NW Bahamas continues to
enhance the shower activity between 71W and 76W. The rest of the
SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is under the influence of a broad
subtropical ridge east of Bermuda. Moderate to fresh easterly
winds and moderate seas are noted south of 27N and west of 55W.
A cold front enters the tropical Atlantic near 31N28W and
continues southwestward to 26N41W, followed by a stationary front
to 27N62W. A few light showers are evident ahead of these fronts.
The rest of the central and eastern Atlantic is dominated by a
broad subtropical ridge anchored by a 1029 mb high pressure over
France. A moderate pressure gradient between the aforementioned
ridge and lower pressures in western Africa results in moderate to
fresh northerly winds from 14N to 22N and east of 22W. Moderate
to locally fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are present
south of 23N and east of 35W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds
and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a large mid to upper-level low and
accompanying surface trough northeast of the Bahamas will
continue to produce scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms from off the central Bahamas southward to the
Windward Passage through at least Thu evening. Some of this
activity may contain strong gusty winds and heavy rain reducing
visibility. Southeast winds will pulse fresh to strong speeds
north of Hispaniola in the afternoons and evenings through the
next few days. Otherwise, high pressure centered just north of the
area will maintain rather quite marine conditions through the
period.
$$
Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 22 May 2026 17:01:25 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Thu, 21 May 2026 10:40:16 GMT - Thu, 21 May 2026 05:01:25 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 210501
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Thu May 21 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf