2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Thu, 08 Jan 2026 22:05:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 082205
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Jan 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    GULF OF AMERICA GALE WARNING: A cold front will move off Texas
    early Sat morning, then race southward through the western Gulf.
    North wind will quickly build to gale force before midday Sat
    offshore Tampico, Mexico, with gale conditions spreading to
    offshore Veracruz, Mexico, by Sat evening. Gales are forecast to
    end Sat night offshore Tampico, but will continue offshore
    Veracruz and through the western Bay of Campeche Sun and Sun
    night. Very rough seas will quickly build with the gales, with
    seas likely reaching near 20 ft offshore Veracruz Sat night into
    Sun.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at -
    https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through Sierra Leone near
    08N12W, then runs southwestward to 04N20W. The ITCZ continues
    westward from 04N20W to 04N40W to 02N51W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 10W and 26W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
    Warning that has been issued for western portions of the basin
    starting Saturday.

    A ridge, associated with a 1021 mb high pressure centered NE of
    the Bahamas, dominates the Gulf region. The pressure gradient
    between the ridge and a low pressure system over Texas is
    supporting fresh to locally strong S winds over the western basin
    and gentle to moderate SE winds in the eastern basin. Seas are 5
    to 8 ft in the western basin and 2 to 4 ft in the eastern basin,
    except less than 2 ft within 120 nm of the Florida Peninsula.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong SE to S winds across the
    western half of the Gulf will diminish to moderate to fresh speeds
    tonight while expanding eastward over much of the eastern Gulf.
    These winds will precede the next cold front forecast to come off
    the coast of Texas late Fri night. Strong to near-gale force N
    winds following the front will rapidly reach gale speed near
    Tampico Sat morning, and in Veracruz adjacent waters late Sat
    through Mon morning.The front will exit the basin Mon morning,
    and conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually improve Mon night
    into Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to locally strong trades encompass the central basin,
    including the Windward Passage. Strong to near gale force winds
    are offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 5 to
    8 ft in these area. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh trades
    and seas of 4 to 7 ft dominate, except for 2 to 4 ft seas in the
    NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, strong to near-gale force NE to E winds will
    pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to the
    gradient between building high pressure N of the region and low
    pressure over northern Colombia. Rough seas to 11 ft will occur
    within these winds. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are forecast
    elsewhere in the central and SW Caribbean, including the Windward
    Passage and Hispaniola adjacent waters. Locally strong winds will
    be likely pulsing at night over the Windward Passage Fri night and
    Sat night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will prevail,
    except for fresh NE to E winds in the lee side of Cuba and the
    Gulf of Honduras beginning tonight and continuing into Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A ridge, anchored by a 1021 mb high pressure centered between
    Bermuda and the Bahamas, is supporting a broad area of light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas N fo 20N and W of 40W.
    There is a zone of moderate to locally fresh trades S of 22N thats
    impacting waters N of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and
    Florida Straits, however. A surface trough extends northward from
    the Leeward Islands along 61N to 25N, causing a cluster of
    moderate convection from 22N to 25N between 60W and 63W. A cold
    front extends southward to 31N40W to 27N48W. To the E of this
    front, fresh to strong NE to E winds prevail and continue to the
    African coast, along with rough seas. For the deep tropics between
    the Lesser Antilles and Africa, moderate to fresh trades and 6 to
    9 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure building in
    the wake of a cold front with tail just N of the region will
    support moderate to fresh NE winds across the waters E of the
    Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank and the approaches to the Windward
    Passage from this evening through Sun. A new cold front will
    emerge off the NE Florida coast Sun. Fresh to strong NW winds will
    follow this front, which is forecast to reach from Bermuda to the
    northern Bahamas by Mon morning and dissipate Mon night into Tue.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Thu, 08 Jan 2026 22:05:44 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 082205
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0015 UTC Fri Jan 9 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    2100 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    GULF OF AMERICA GALE WARNING: A cold front will move off Texas
    early Sat morning, then race southward through the western Gulf.
    North wind will quickly build to gale force before midday Sat
    offshore Tampico, Mexico, with gale conditions spreading to
    offshore Veracruz, Mexico, by Sat evening. Gales are forecast to
    end Sat night offshore Tampico, but will continue offshore
    Veracruz and through the western Bay of Campeche Sun and Sun
    night. Very rough seas will quickly build with the gales, with
    seas likely reaching near 20 ft offshore Veracruz Sat night into
    Sun.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at -
    https://www.nhc.noaa/gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through Sierra Leone near
    08N12W, then runs southwestward to 04N20W. The ITCZ continues
    westward from 04N20W to 04N40W to 02N51W. Scattered moderate
    convection is noted from 00N to 05N between 10W and 26W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
    Warning that has been issued for western portions of the basin
    starting Saturday.

    A ridge, associated with a 1021 mb high pressure centered NE of
    the Bahamas, dominates the Gulf region. The pressure gradient
    between the ridge and a low pressure system over Texas is
    supporting fresh to locally strong S winds over the western basin
    and gentle to moderate SE winds in the eastern basin. Seas are 5
    to 8 ft in the western basin and 2 to 4 ft in the eastern basin,
    except less than 2 ft within 120 nm of the Florida Peninsula.

    For the forecast, fresh to strong SE to S winds across the
    western half of the Gulf will diminish to moderate to fresh speeds
    tonight while expanding eastward over much of the eastern Gulf.
    These winds will precede the next cold front forecast to come off
    the coast of Texas late Fri night. Strong to near-gale force N
    winds following the front will rapidly reach gale speed near
    Tampico Sat morning, and in Veracruz adjacent waters late Sat
    through Mon morning.The front will exit the basin Mon morning,
    and conditions in the SW Gulf will gradually improve Mon night
    into Tue.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Fresh to locally strong trades encompass the central basin,
    including the Windward Passage. Strong to near gale force winds
    are offshore Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela. Seas are 5 to
    8 ft in these area. Elsewhere, moderate to locally fresh trades
    and seas of 4 to 7 ft dominate, except for 2 to 4 ft seas in the
    NE Caribbean.

    For the forecast, strong to near-gale force NE to E winds will
    pulse offshore of NW Colombia through Sun night due to the
    gradient between building high pressure N of the region and low
    pressure over northern Colombia. Rough seas to 11 ft will occur
    within these winds. Moderate to fresh NE to E winds are forecast
    elsewhere in the central and SW Caribbean, including the Windward
    Passage and Hispaniola adjacent waters. Locally strong winds will
    be likely pulsing at night over the Windward Passage Fri night and
    Sat night. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds will prevail,
    except for fresh NE to E winds in the lee side of Cuba and the
    Gulf of Honduras beginning tonight and continuing into Sat.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A ridge, anchored by a 1021 mb high pressure centered between
    Bermuda and the Bahamas, is supporting a broad area of light to
    gentle winds and slight to moderate seas N fo 20N and W of 40W.
    There is a zone of moderate to locally fresh trades S of 22N thats
    impacting waters N of Hispaniola, the Turks and Caicos, and
    Florida Straits, however. A surface trough extends northward from
    the Leeward Islands along 61N to 25N, causing a cluster of
    moderate convection from 22N to 25N between 60W and 63W. A cold
    front extends southward to 31N40W to 27N48W. To the E of this
    front, fresh to strong NE to E winds prevail and continue to the
    African coast, along with rough seas. For the deep tropics between
    the Lesser Antilles and Africa, moderate to fresh trades and 6 to
    9 ft seas prevail.

    For the forecast west of 55W, strong high pressure building in
    the wake of a cold front with tail just N of the region will
    support moderate to fresh NE winds across the waters E of the
    Bahamas, the Great Bahama Bank and the approaches to the Windward
    Passage from this evening through Sun. A new cold front will
    emerge off the NE Florida coast Sun. Fresh to strong NW winds will
    follow this front, which is forecast to reach from Bermuda to the
    northern Bahamas by Mon morning and dissipate Mon night into Tue.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 08 Jan 2026 18:24:13 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 081824
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0125 PM EST THU 08 JANUARY 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 09/1100Z TO 10/1100Z JANUARY 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-039

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 74
    A. 10/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 07WSE IOP06
    C. 09/1700Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    30.0N 150.0W, 30.0N 125.0W, 50.0N 125.0W, AND 50.0N 150.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 09/2030Z TO 10/0230Z

    2. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: TWO USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSIONS OVER THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL PACIFIC
    FOR THE 11/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    12/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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