2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 07 Dec 2025 17:25:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071725
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Dec 7 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will enter the
    northwestern Gulf later today and sweep over the basin early this
    week. Gale force N to NW winds are expected offshore of Veracruz
    Mon afternoon and evening, and will be accompanied by rough seas
    peaking near 11 ft. Widespread fresh to strong N to NW winds and
    rough seas will occur over much of the Gulf into early Tue. Winds
    and seas are expected to diminish from northwest to southeast Tue
    into Wed as the front weakens and stalls.

    Please refer to the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at the website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 06.5N11W and extends
    to 02N17W. The ITCZ continues from 02N17W to 04N22W to 04N48W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 05N east of
    19W, and from 02N to 09N between 26N and 37W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for information on
    upcoming gale conditions expected offshore of Veracruz, Mexico.

    A warm front extends over the northern Gulf from west-central
    Florida near 27N82.5W to 27N95W. Scattered showers are occurring
    near and to the north of this front, and gusty and erratic winds
    and rapidly building seas are expected near this activity.
    Moderate to fresh, with pockets of locally strong, N to NE winds
    are occurring north of this front as observed via recent
    scatterometer satellite data. South of the front, scatterometer
    data show moderate S to SW winds and slight to moderate seas over
    the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast, an old frontal boundary extending from Florida
    to offshore of SE Texas has begun to drift northward as a warm
    front. Scattered showers continue north of the boundary. Moderate
    or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail across
    the basin through this evening as the front weakens and drifts
    northward. A new cold front is expected to enter the NW Gulf
    tonight and overtake the current front, while sweeping across the
    basin through Tue. This will lead to fresh to strong N to NW winds
    and building seas in the wake of this front. Gale-force NW to N
    winds are expected to briefly occur off Veracruz Mon evening
    through midnight. Winds and seas will diminish Tue into Wed as the
    front stalls across the Yucatan Channel and Straits of Florida,
    and high pressure settles across the central Gulf. Light to gentle
    winds and slight seas will persist late Wed through the end of
    next week.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trade winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are noted on
    recent scatterometer data across the Caribbean Sea and through the
    Atlantic Passages, as the pressure gradient prevails between a
    1010 mb low centered over the south-central basin and ridging to
    the north. Locally strong winds and rough seas to 8 ft are
    occurring offshore of northwestern Colombia. Rough seas of 8 to 9
    ft in E swell continue over the waters east of the Lesser Antilles
    and through the passages. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    prevail over the southwestern basin and in the Gulf of Honduras,
    supported by a weak surface trough and low-level moisture in the
    region.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure north of the basin along
    about 25N will support moderate to fresh E trade winds and
    moderate seas over the central and eastern Caribbean through at
    least the middle of next week. Moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A persistent E-NE
    swell will support rough seas across the Atlantic waters and
    passages of the Lesser Antilles through next Thu. Looking ahead, a
    weakening cold front will approach the northwestern Caribbean on
    Tue and linger across the Yucatan Channel and Straits of Florida
    through Wed. High pressure will build across the eastern Gulf of
    America by the middle of next week, leading to strong winds and
    rough seas in the south-central Caribbean into late next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N66.5W southwestward to 28N77W, where
    it becomes stationary and continues through central Florida.
    Recent scatterometer satellite data show moderate to locally fresh
    N to NE winds are occurring north of the front. No significant
    convection is noted near these fronts. Farther east, a surface
    trough has been analyzed from 30N41W to 27N49W. Scatterometer data
    show moderate to fresh SW winds are occurring near the trough,
    with locally strong winds noted near 29N. A large NW swell is
    supporting rough seas over the central Atlantic near this feature
    generally north of 26N and east of 55W, stemming from a complex
    and strong low pressure system centered well north of the area.
    Ridging extends over much of the rest of the Atlantic, from a 1022
    mb high centered near 28N24W. Moderate to fresh trade winds and 6
    to 9 ft seas prevail south of 20N, with light to gentle winds and
    5 to 7 ft seas noted along the ridge axis to 25N.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong winds and
    moderate to rough seas will shift quickly eastward today with the
    aforementioned cold front, before it dissipates this evening. A
    complex low pressure system and strong cold front will move into
    the northwestern tropical Atlantic tonight and Mon, supporting
    widespread strong to near gale-force winds N of 27N, and building
    seas ahead of and behind the front Mon through Tue. The cold front
    will reach from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas and Straits of
    Florida Tue morning, then gradually weaken and stall along about
    26N early Wed. Large N swell will move into the regional waters
    Tue through Wed then diminish Wed night.

    $$
    ADAMS
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 07 Dec 2025 17:25:09 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071725
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Dec 7 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1700 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gulf of America Gale Warning: A strong cold front will enter the
    northwestern Gulf later today and sweep over the basin early this
    week. Gale force N to NW winds are expected offshore of Veracruz
    Mon afternoon and evening, and will be accompanied by rough seas
    peaking near 11 ft. Widespread fresh to strong N to NW winds and
    rough seas will occur over much of the Gulf into early Tue. Winds
    and seas are expected to diminish from northwest to southeast Tue
    into Wed as the front weakens and stalls.

    Please refer to the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the
    National Hurricane Center at the website
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml for more details.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 06.5N11W and extends
    to 02N17W. The ITCZ continues from 02N17W to 04N22W to 04N48W.
    Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 05N east of
    19W, and from 02N to 09N between 26N and 37W.

    GULF OF AMERICA...

    Please see the SPECIAL FEATURES section above for information on
    upcoming gale conditions expected offshore of Veracruz, Mexico.

    A warm front extends over the northern Gulf from west-central
    Florida near 27N82.5W to 27N95W. Scattered showers are occurring
    near and to the north of this front, and gusty and erratic winds
    and rapidly building seas are expected near this activity.
    Moderate to fresh, with pockets of locally strong, N to NE winds
    are occurring north of this front as observed via recent
    scatterometer satellite data. South of the front, scatterometer
    data show moderate S to SW winds and slight to moderate seas over
    the rest of the basin.

    For the forecast, an old frontal boundary extending from Florida
    to offshore of SE Texas has begun to drift northward as a warm
    front. Scattered showers continue north of the boundary. Moderate
    or lighter winds and slight to moderate seas will prevail across
    the basin through this evening as the front weakens and drifts
    northward. A new cold front is expected to enter the NW Gulf
    tonight and overtake the current front, while sweeping across the
    basin through Tue. This will lead to fresh to strong N to NW winds
    and building seas in the wake of this front. Gale-force NW to N
    winds are expected to briefly occur off Veracruz Mon evening
    through midnight. Winds and seas will diminish Tue into Wed as the
    front stalls across the Yucatan Channel and Straits of Florida,
    and high pressure settles across the central Gulf. Light to gentle
    winds and slight seas will persist late Wed through the end of
    next week.

    CARIBBEAN SEA...

    Moderate to fresh trade winds and 5 to 7 ft seas are noted on
    recent scatterometer data across the Caribbean Sea and through the
    Atlantic Passages, as the pressure gradient prevails between a
    1010 mb low centered over the south-central basin and ridging to
    the north. Locally strong winds and rough seas to 8 ft are
    occurring offshore of northwestern Colombia. Rough seas of 8 to 9
    ft in E swell continue over the waters east of the Lesser Antilles
    and through the passages. Scattered showers and thunderstorms
    prevail over the southwestern basin and in the Gulf of Honduras,
    supported by a weak surface trough and low-level moisture in the
    region.

    For the forecast, broad high pressure north of the basin along
    about 25N will support moderate to fresh E trade winds and
    moderate seas over the central and eastern Caribbean through at
    least the middle of next week. Moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas will prevail elsewhere. A persistent E-NE
    swell will support rough seas across the Atlantic waters and
    passages of the Lesser Antilles through next Thu. Looking ahead, a
    weakening cold front will approach the northwestern Caribbean on
    Tue and linger across the Yucatan Channel and Straits of Florida
    through Wed. High pressure will build across the eastern Gulf of
    America by the middle of next week, leading to strong winds and
    rough seas in the south-central Caribbean into late next week.

    ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front extends from 31N66.5W southwestward to 28N77W, where
    it becomes stationary and continues through central Florida.
    Recent scatterometer satellite data show moderate to locally fresh
    N to NE winds are occurring north of the front. No significant
    convection is noted near these fronts. Farther east, a surface
    trough has been analyzed from 30N41W to 27N49W. Scatterometer data
    show moderate to fresh SW winds are occurring near the trough,
    with locally strong winds noted near 29N. A large NW swell is
    supporting rough seas over the central Atlantic near this feature
    generally north of 26N and east of 55W, stemming from a complex
    and strong low pressure system centered well north of the area.
    Ridging extends over much of the rest of the Atlantic, from a 1022
    mb high centered near 28N24W. Moderate to fresh trade winds and 6
    to 9 ft seas prevail south of 20N, with light to gentle winds and
    5 to 7 ft seas noted along the ridge axis to 25N.

    For the forecast west of 55W, fresh to locally strong winds and
    moderate to rough seas will shift quickly eastward today with the
    aforementioned cold front, before it dissipates this evening. A
    complex low pressure system and strong cold front will move into
    the northwestern tropical Atlantic tonight and Mon, supporting
    widespread strong to near gale-force winds N of 27N, and building
    seas ahead of and behind the front Mon through Tue. The cold front
    will reach from near Bermuda to the NW Bahamas and Straits of
    Florida Tue morning, then gradually weaken and stall along about
    26N early Wed. Large N swell will move into the regional waters
    Tue through Wed then diminish Wed night.

    $$
    ADAMS
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 06 Dec 2025 18:07:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    800
    NOUS42 KNHC 061807
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0110 PM EST SAT 06 DECEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 07/1100Z TO 08/1100Z DECEMBER 2025
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-006

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. FLIGHT ONE - TEAL 71
    A. 08/0000Z
    B. AFXXX 02WSE IOP01
    C. 07/1730Z
    D. 25 DROPS APPROXIMATELY 60 NM APART WITHIN AN AREA BOUNDED BY:
    35.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 155.0W, 50.0N 125.0W, AND 35.0N 125.0W
    E. AS HIGH AS POSSIBLE/ 07/2030Z TO 08/0230Z

    2. A NOAA G-IV AIRCRAFT MISSION REQUEST HAS BEEN RECEIVED FROM NCEP
    FOR THE 08/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME BUT CANNOT BE SUPPORTED.
    3. SUCCEEDING DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    09/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.
    4. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    10/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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