SUPPORT TRACK THE TROPICS
Over the last decade plus if you appreciate the information and tracking I provide during the season along with this website which donations help keep it running please consider a one time... recurring or yearly donation if you are able to help me out...
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
DONATE2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Mon, 24 Nov 2025 19:39:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
844
AXNT20 KNHC 241939
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Nov 25 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1900 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 11N18.5W. The ITCZ extends from
11N18.5W to 09N127W to 10.5N35W and to 09N48.5W to 10.5N56W.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring east of 30W from 09N
and 28N. Similar convection is noted from 07N to 12.5N between 49W
and 61W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak stationary front extends from just north of Tampa Bay,
Florida to near the SE tip of Louisiana. No significant convection
is noted over the basin on conventional visible and infrared
satellite imagery. Moderate to fresh SE-S winds are noted north of
23N and west of 95W due to a locally tight pressure gradient in
the area. Gentle to moderate SE-S winds dominate the remainder of
the basin, except light to gentle in the NE Gulf. Seas are 4-7 ft
near the moderate to fresh winds, 1-2 ft in the NE Gulf, and 2-4
ft across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, a stationary front extending across the
northern Gulf will lift northward by tonight as low pressure
develops over the Southern Plains. Expect fresh southerly flow off
the Texas coast through tonight supported by the gradient between
low pressure over northeast Mexico and high pressure off the
Carolinas. These winds will diminish Tue ahead of a frontal
boundary that will be nearing the Texas coast. A stronger
reinforcing cold front will overtake the frontal boundary early
Wed, then move into the NW Gulf. The cold front will then sweep to
the southeast of the basin by Thu night into Fri, followed by
fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas into the
weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
frontal boundary.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft continues to support widely scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms in the Gulf of Honduras and off Costa
Rica, Panama, and NW Colombia. Fresh to strong NE winds prevail
in the central Caribbean, strongest offshore northern Colombia.
Seas in these waters are 6-9 ft, as confirmed by an earlier
altimeter pass. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and mainly
moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge north of
the islands and lower pressures in NW Colombia will sustain fresh
to strong trade winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean
through late this week. The strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt, and
highest seas of 9 to 11 ft are expected offshore Colombia mainly
at night. In the remainder of the basin, the weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh winds along with moderate seas through
the period. Looking ahead, a cold front will enter the NW
Caribbean on Fri, followed by strong winds and rough seas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front extends from near Bermuda to the near Cape
Canaveral, Florida. No significant convection is noted near the
front. Seas of 4-6 ft in mainly NW swell are noted north of the
front. Gentle to moderate winds dominate the remainder of the
waters north of 19N and west of 50W, along with 3-4 ft seas.
Farther east, a weak 1016 mb low pressure is near 29.5N48W. A
surface trough extends from this low to 21N47W. Scattered moderate
convection is present north of 21N between 43W and the trough
axis. Moderate to fresh SE-S winds are found north of 26N and east
of the trough to around 40W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1028 mb high
pressure system near the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 15N and
between 30W and 46W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and rough
seas are found north of 26N between 20W and 35W. Farthest southeast,
fresh to strong NE-E winds and rough seas are found from 10N to
20N and east of 28W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the eastern portion of the cold
front will continue eastward and reach from 31N52W to 27N63W by
Tue morning, while the portion west of 70W starts to lift north.
High pressure located off the Carolinas will shift eastward
following the front, supporting moderate to fresh northeast to
east winds and moderate seas over the region. Looking ahead, winds
and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of a stronger
cold front expected to move off the northeast Florida coast Wed
night. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits of Florida
by early Fri, followed by fresh to strong NW winds and building
seas through Fri night. Looking ahead, a tightened pressure
gradient in the wake of the front is forecast to bring increasing
winds and building seas across much of the forecast area during
the upcoming weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Mon, 24 Nov 2025 19:39:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
844
AXNT20 KNHC 241939
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Tue Nov 25 2025
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1900 UTC.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12.5N16.5W and
continues southwestward to 11N18.5W. The ITCZ extends from
11N18.5W to 09N127W to 10.5N35W and to 09N48.5W to 10.5N56W.
Scattered moderate convection is occurring east of 30W from 09N
and 28N. Similar convection is noted from 07N to 12.5N between 49W
and 61W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A weak stationary front extends from just north of Tampa Bay,
Florida to near the SE tip of Louisiana. No significant convection
is noted over the basin on conventional visible and infrared
satellite imagery. Moderate to fresh SE-S winds are noted north of
23N and west of 95W due to a locally tight pressure gradient in
the area. Gentle to moderate SE-S winds dominate the remainder of
the basin, except light to gentle in the NE Gulf. Seas are 4-7 ft
near the moderate to fresh winds, 1-2 ft in the NE Gulf, and 2-4
ft across the remainder of the waters.
For the forecast, a stationary front extending across the
northern Gulf will lift northward by tonight as low pressure
develops over the Southern Plains. Expect fresh southerly flow off
the Texas coast through tonight supported by the gradient between
low pressure over northeast Mexico and high pressure off the
Carolinas. These winds will diminish Tue ahead of a frontal
boundary that will be nearing the Texas coast. A stronger
reinforcing cold front will overtake the frontal boundary early
Wed, then move into the NW Gulf. The cold front will then sweep to
the southeast of the basin by Thu night into Fri, followed by
fresh to strong northeast winds and building seas into the
weekend. Scattered showers and thunderstorms may accompany the
frontal boundary.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Divergence aloft continues to support widely scattered showers
and isolated thunderstorms in the Gulf of Honduras and off Costa
Rica, Panama, and NW Colombia. Fresh to strong NE winds prevail
in the central Caribbean, strongest offshore northern Colombia.
Seas in these waters are 6-9 ft, as confirmed by an earlier
altimeter pass. Moderate to locally fresh NE to E winds and mainly
moderate seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between a ridge north of
the islands and lower pressures in NW Colombia will sustain fresh
to strong trade winds and rough seas in the central Caribbean
through late this week. The strongest winds of 25 to 30 kt, and
highest seas of 9 to 11 ft are expected offshore Colombia mainly
at night. In the remainder of the basin, the weather pattern will
support moderate to fresh winds along with moderate seas through
the period. Looking ahead, a cold front will enter the NW
Caribbean on Fri, followed by strong winds and rough seas.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weak cold front extends from near Bermuda to the near Cape
Canaveral, Florida. No significant convection is noted near the
front. Seas of 4-6 ft in mainly NW swell are noted north of the
front. Gentle to moderate winds dominate the remainder of the
waters north of 19N and west of 50W, along with 3-4 ft seas.
Farther east, a weak 1016 mb low pressure is near 29.5N48W. A
surface trough extends from this low to 21N47W. Scattered moderate
convection is present north of 21N between 43W and the trough
axis. Moderate to fresh SE-S winds are found north of 26N and east
of the trough to around 40W.
The rest of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a 1028 mb high
pressure system near the Azores. Moderate to locally fresh
easterly winds and moderate seas are occurring north of 15N and
between 30W and 46W. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and rough
seas are found north of 26N between 20W and 35W. Farthest southeast,
fresh to strong NE-E winds and rough seas are found from 10N to
20N and east of 28W. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, the eastern portion of the cold
front will continue eastward and reach from 31N52W to 27N63W by
Tue morning, while the portion west of 70W starts to lift north.
High pressure located off the Carolinas will shift eastward
following the front, supporting moderate to fresh northeast to
east winds and moderate seas over the region. Looking ahead, winds
and seas will diminish west of 70W by Wed, ahead of a stronger
cold front expected to move off the northeast Florida coast Wed
night. The front will reach from Bermuda to the Straits of Florida
by early Fri, followed by fresh to strong NW winds and building
seas through Fri night. Looking ahead, a tightened pressure
gradient in the wake of the front is forecast to bring increasing
winds and building seas across much of the forecast area during
the upcoming weekend.
$$
Lewitsky
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 26 Nov 2025 05:29:26 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Mon, 24 Nov 2025 20:24:32 GMT - Mon, 24 Nov 2025 17:29:26 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241729
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Mon, 24 Nov 2025 15:01:23 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 241501
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
1000 AM EST MON 24 NOVEMBER 2025
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 25/1100Z TO 26/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
TCPOD NUMBER.....25-177
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf