SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 23:03:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
556
AXNT20 KNHC 042302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 28N, south of 16N, moving W at
10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 04N to 11N between 21W and 27W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W, south of 17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 05.5N to
11.5N between 33W and 39W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W, south of 20N, moving W at
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 17N
between 66W and 74W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
southwestward to 09N22W. The ITCZ is analyzed in two segments,
from 08N27W to 08.5N36W, and from 09N38W to 06N55W. Aside from
the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
moderate convection is from 04N to 12N between 15W and 51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
to Florida, while a weak ridge persists across the SE U.S. and
extends south-southwestward across the north Gulf waters. This
pattern supports light to gentle winds and slight seas across
most of the basin, except for moderate NE to E winds along coastal
sections of the Yucatan Peninsula associated with afternoon
thermal trough. Convergent low level winds are leading to
scattered showers across the SE Gulf, and scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms across the north central Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through midweek. These winds are the
result of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
1025 mb high pressure is centered over the central Atlantic near
29N37W and extends a relatively narrow ridge westward to the NW
Bahamas and central Florida. The pressure gradient between this
subtropical ridge and a 1010 mb Colombian Low continues to
support fresh to locally strong easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft
in the central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds
and moderate seas are across the E Caribbean, behind the tropical
wave. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail NW portions. Broad middle to upper-level low
pressure across the western half of the basin is supporting
scattered strong afternoon convection across Hispaniola and Cuba,
and across the SW Caribbean south of 14N to the E Pacific
extension of the monsoon continues, including inland over Panama,
Costa Rica, and southeastern Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through midweek. The aerial extent of
these winds will increase Sun night into Mon, and then expand
across much of the basin east of 80W Tue through Thu as high
pressure strengthens north of the basin. Expect winds to reach
near-gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela from Sun through Wed. Active thunderstorms across SW
portions of the basin will slowly shift northward into NW portions
Sun through Tue.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 32N-33N between 56W and 74W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms persist between the front and 27N between 53W and
73W. Similar shower activity is farther east within 90 nm either
side of a surface trough that extends from 30N46W to 26N53W.
Otherwise, the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward into the
subtropical Atlantic waters, to 1025 mb high pressure near 29N37W,
then westward to the NW Bahamas and central Florida. This pressure
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds across much
of the waters S of 22N between 25W and 70W, where seas are
generally 6 to 8 ft. North of 22N and W of 40W away from the
front and surface trough, winds are moderate or weaker from the S
to SE with seas slight.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will build
westward into central Florida through midweek. This pattern will
support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds are
likely each evening and night N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
including approaches to the Windward Passage, beginning on Sun.
Look for winds to strengthen to fresh to strong S of 23N Tue night
and Wed as a strong tropical wave moves approaches the region.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 23:03:00 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
556
AXNT20 KNHC 042302
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 28N, south of 16N, moving W at
10-15 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is noted
from 04N to 11N between 21W and 27W.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 39W, south of 17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is seen from 05.5N to
11.5N between 33W and 39W.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W, south of 20N, moving W at
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is noted S of 17N
between 66W and 74W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 12N16W and continues
southwestward to 09N22W. The ITCZ is analyzed in two segments,
from 08N27W to 08.5N36W, and from 09N38W to 06N55W. Aside from
the convection associated with the tropical waves, scattered
moderate convection is from 04N to 12N between 15W and 51W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
High pressure extends a ridge across the western Atlantic SW
to Florida, while a weak ridge persists across the SE U.S. and
extends south-southwestward across the north Gulf waters. This
pattern supports light to gentle winds and slight seas across
most of the basin, except for moderate NE to E winds along coastal
sections of the Yucatan Peninsula associated with afternoon
thermal trough. Convergent low level winds are leading to
scattered showers across the SE Gulf, and scattered showers and a
few thunderstorms across the north central Gulf.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period, supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through midweek. These winds are the
result of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
1025 mb high pressure is centered over the central Atlantic near
29N37W and extends a relatively narrow ridge westward to the NW
Bahamas and central Florida. The pressure gradient between this
subtropical ridge and a 1010 mb Colombian Low continues to
support fresh to locally strong easterly winds and seas of 6-9 ft
in the central to SW Caribbean. Moderate to fresh easterly winds
and moderate seas are across the E Caribbean, behind the tropical
wave. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to moderate
seas prevail NW portions. Broad middle to upper-level low
pressure across the western half of the basin is supporting
scattered strong afternoon convection across Hispaniola and Cuba,
and across the SW Caribbean south of 14N to the E Pacific
extension of the monsoon continues, including inland over Panama,
Costa Rica, and southeastern Nicaragua.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic ridge
north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through midweek. The aerial extent of
these winds will increase Sun night into Mon, and then expand
across much of the basin east of 80W Tue through Thu as high
pressure strengthens north of the basin. Expect winds to reach
near-gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela from Sun through Wed. Active thunderstorms across SW
portions of the basin will slowly shift northward into NW portions
Sun through Tue.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A weakening frontal boundary continues to meander just north of
the area along 32N-33N between 56W and 74W. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms persist between the front and 27N between 53W and
73W. Similar shower activity is farther east within 90 nm either
side of a surface trough that extends from 30N46W to 26N53W.
Otherwise, the Azores High extends a ridge southwestward into the
subtropical Atlantic waters, to 1025 mb high pressure near 29N37W,
then westward to the NW Bahamas and central Florida. This pressure
pattern is supporting moderate to fresh NE to E winds across much
of the waters S of 22N between 25W and 70W, where seas are
generally 6 to 8 ft. North of 22N and W of 40W away from the
front and surface trough, winds are moderate or weaker from the S
to SE with seas slight.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will build
westward into central Florida through midweek. This pattern will
support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds are
likely each evening and night N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
including approaches to the Windward Passage, beginning on Sun.
Look for winds to strengthen to fresh to strong S of 23N Tue night
and Wed as a strong tropical wave moves approaches the region.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 11:10:31 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 04 Jul 2026 23:11:27 GMT - Sat, 04 Jul 2026 23:10:31 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 042310
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sat Jul 4 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Beven
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 13:00:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041300
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 04 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-034
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf