SHOW ME SOME LOVE AND SUPPORT
Website: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
MAIN DONATION PAGEWebsite: TrackTheTropics.com/DONATE
Venmo: @TrackTheTropicsLouisiana
Cash App: Cash.App/$TrackTheTropics
Subscribe: FB.com/TrackTheTropics
2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 17:08:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051707
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 25W from Cabo Verde southward to 03N,
and is moving west at 15 kt. Convection is described in the
Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 35N from 04-17N, moving W at 15
kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section
below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 45W from 02-17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 75-76W, south of 20N, moving W
at at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are near the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N19W. Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N19W
to 08N25W, from 08N27W to 09N34W, from 09N37N to 09N43W, and from
09N46W to 08N60W. Scattered moderate convection is active from
05N to 12N between 25W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends across the Florida Peninsula and
across the northern Gulf to the coast of Texas. Farther south, a
weak trough is positioned over the Bay of Campeche. This pattern
is supporting fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass.
Gentle to moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are
generally 1-3 ft across the basin. Widely scattered moderate
convection is active over the eastern Gulf at the base of an
upper trough that extends over the Mississippi River valley.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Wed. These winds are the result
of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight to
moderate seas are expected basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
Honduras, with strong E winds noted off northeast Colombia and
northwest Venezuela, as confirmed in a recent scatterometer
satellite pass. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere.
Seas are 5-7 ft over the eastern and central Caribbean, and 3-5 ft
elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest Caribbean. A mid to
upper level trough extends from the western Atlantic across
eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua. Upper level
divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade wind flow
is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms off the coasts
of Nicaragua and Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Thu night. The aerial extent of
these winds will increase tonight into Mon. Expect winds to reach
near- gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela from today through Thu. Moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin, except in the Gulf of
Honduras where fresh to strong E to SE winds are forecast at night
tonight through Tue. Otherwise, a tropical wave, with axis along
75W will continue to generate scattered showers and thunderstorms
over the central Caribbean waters today.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of 20N, and is
anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near 29N38W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring along a surface trough analyzed
from 31N53W to 29N72W. The pattern is supporting gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis,
and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-8 ft seas east
and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward into central Florida through Thu. This pattern
will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds are
likely at night N of Hispaniola, including approaches to the
Windward Passage, beginning tonight.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 17:08:04 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 051707
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 25W from Cabo Verde southward to 03N,
and is moving west at 15 kt. Convection is described in the
Monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 35N from 04-17N, moving W at 15
kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ section
below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 45W from 02-17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 75-76W, south of 20N, moving W
at at 10-15 kt. Scattered showers are near the wave axis.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 14N16W and continues
southwestward to 10N19W. Segments of the ITCZ extend from 10N19W
to 08N25W, from 08N27W to 09N34W, from 09N37N to 09N43W, and from
09N46W to 08N60W. Scattered moderate convection is active from
05N to 12N between 25W and 55W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
The subtropical ridge extends across the Florida Peninsula and
across the northern Gulf to the coast of Texas. Farther south, a
weak trough is positioned over the Bay of Campeche. This pattern
is supporting fresh NE winds off the west coast of the Yucatan
Peninsula, as noted in a recent scatterometer satellite pass.
Gentle to moderate breezes are observed elsewhere. Seas are
generally 1-3 ft across the basin. Widely scattered moderate
convection is active over the eastern Gulf at the base of an
upper trough that extends over the Mississippi River valley.
For the forecast, a weak surface ridge will continue to dominate
the Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through Wed. These winds are the result
of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight to
moderate seas are expected basin-wide.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean as well as the Gulf of
Honduras, with strong E winds noted off northeast Colombia and
northwest Venezuela, as confirmed in a recent scatterometer
satellite pass. Gentle to moderate breezes are noted elsewhere.
Seas are 5-7 ft over the eastern and central Caribbean, and 3-5 ft
elsewhere except 1-3 ft in the far northwest Caribbean. A mid to
upper level trough extends from the western Atlantic across
eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward Nicaragua. Upper level
divergent flow along with convergent lower level trade wind flow
is supporting scattered showers and thunderstorms off the coasts
of Nicaragua and Honduras.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between the Atlantic
ridge north of the basin and the Colombian Low will continue to
support fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas
over the central Caribbean through Thu night. The aerial extent of
these winds will increase tonight into Mon. Expect winds to reach
near- gale force at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of
Venezuela from today through Thu. Moderate to fresh trades will
continue in the eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds
will prevail over the NW part of the basin, except in the Gulf of
Honduras where fresh to strong E to SE winds are forecast at night
tonight through Tue. Otherwise, a tropical wave, with axis along
75W will continue to generate scattered showers and thunderstorms
over the central Caribbean waters today.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
The subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic north of 20N, and is
anchored by 1025 mb high pressure centered near 29N38W. Scattered
moderate convection is occurring along a surface trough analyzed
from 31N53W to 29N72W. The pattern is supporting gentle to
moderate breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis,
and moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-8 ft seas east
and south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the Atlantic ridge will continue to
build westward into central Florida through Thu. This pattern
will support moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and
moderate or weaker winds elsewhere. Locally strong winds are
likely at night N of Hispaniola, including approaches to the
Windward Passage, beginning tonight.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 07 Jul 2026 05:07:41 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 05 Jul 2026 18:01:16 GMT - Sun, 05 Jul 2026 17:07:41 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 051707
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster D. Zelinsky
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 13:19:41 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 051319
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0920 AM EDT SUN 05 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-035
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf