2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 03:21:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050321
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jun 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0315 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1030
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to gale-force
    northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones.
    Scatterometer data from 04/2132Z UTC showed strong to gale-force
    winds peaking at 34 kt occurring off the coast of Morocco. Gale-
    force winds are expected to occur through 05/0000 UTC with severe
    gusts. These winds will produce rough seas 10 ft and higher.
    Similar conditions will persist into the weekend. For more
    details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on
    their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 13N,
    moving west at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present
    from 04N to 09N and between 16W and 24W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44W, south of 12N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is evident from 02N to 08N and between 37W and
    45W.

    Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of
    16N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed south of 12N and between 45W and
    60W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing shower and thunderstorm
    activity across northern South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 06N30W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N30W to 04N43W, and then from 03N45W to the
    coast of Brazil near 01N50W. The convection near these features
    has been described in the TROPICAL WAVES section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extend through the Florida Straits to near
    25N86W in the eastern Gulf. Meanwhile, a weak surface is analyzed
    along 89W, from the Yucatan peninsula to 28N87W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is seen over the SE Gulf
    waters, while diurnal storms across the Gulf coast of Mexico
    extend into the nearshore waters. Fresh to locally strong easterly
    winds and seas of 4-8 ft are present in the northern and eastern
    Gulf waters. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, scattered thunderstorms will continue this
    evening over the south-central and southeast Gulf. Winds and seas
    will diminish starting Fri as a ridge builds from the western
    Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. This pattern will support gentle
    to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas into early
    next week, except for occasionally fresh to strong pulses off
    northwest Yucatan during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A 1030 mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores
    extends southwestward to the Caribbean Sea, supporting fresh to
    strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the south-
    central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in the north-central
    and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail. The storm activity is diminishing
    in the SW Caribbean, while a few showers are seen in the lee of
    Cuba. Pockets of low-level moisture are also evident across the
    basin sustaining fast-moving, shallow showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
    seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the Atlantic
    ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
    exceptions will be fresh to strong pulses off western Venezuela
    tonight, and in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night. Fresh
    to strong SE winds and building are possible over the northwest
    and north-central Caribbean late Sat through early next week as
    the Atlantic ridge rebuilds north of area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas,
    followed by a stationary front to the Florida Straits. Scattered
    showers are present ahead of the front, especially north of 27N.
    The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to locally fresh and
    moderate seas across much of the central and western tropical
    Atlantic. Fresh to strong N-NE winds and rough seas are found
    north of 18N and east of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will dissipate Fri into
    Sat, as high pressure builds across the area. This pattern will
    allow gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas into early next
    week.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 03:21:56 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 050321
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Jun 5 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0315 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between the 1030
    mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
    pressures in northwest Africa result in strong to gale-force
    northerly winds in the Agadir High Seas Marine Zones.
    Scatterometer data from 04/2132Z UTC showed strong to gale-force
    winds peaking at 34 kt occurring off the coast of Morocco. Gale-
    force winds are expected to occur through 05/0000 UTC with severe
    gusts. These winds will produce rough seas 10 ft and higher.
    Similar conditions will persist into the weekend. For more
    details, refer to the Meteo- France High Seas Forecast listed on
    their website https://wwmiws.wmo.int.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 20W, south of 13N,
    moving west at 10 kt. Scattered moderate convection is present
    from 04N to 09N and between 16W and 24W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 44W, south of 12N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is evident from 02N to 08N and between 37W and
    45W.

    Another central Atlantic tropical wave is along 55W, south of
    16N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed south of 12N and between 45W and
    60W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 15N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. No deep convection is noted over the
    Caribbean waters. The wave is enhancing shower and thunderstorm
    activity across northern South America.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Mauritania near 19N16W and continues southwestward to 06N30W. The
    ITCZ extends from 06N30W to 04N43W, and then from 03N45W to the
    coast of Brazil near 01N50W. The convection near these features
    has been described in the TROPICAL WAVES section above.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extend through the Florida Straits to near
    25N86W in the eastern Gulf. Meanwhile, a weak surface is analyzed
    along 89W, from the Yucatan peninsula to 28N87W. Scattered
    moderate to isolated strong convection is seen over the SE Gulf
    waters, while diurnal storms across the Gulf coast of Mexico
    extend into the nearshore waters. Fresh to locally strong easterly
    winds and seas of 4-8 ft are present in the northern and eastern
    Gulf waters. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, scattered thunderstorms will continue this
    evening over the south-central and southeast Gulf. Winds and seas
    will diminish starting Fri as a ridge builds from the western
    Atlantic into the eastern Gulf. This pattern will support gentle
    to moderate E to SE winds and slight to moderate seas into early
    next week, except for occasionally fresh to strong pulses off
    northwest Yucatan during the evenings.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A 1030 mb high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores
    extends southwestward to the Caribbean Sea, supporting fresh to
    strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in the south-
    central Caribbean and Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh
    easterly winds and moderate seas are noted in the north-central
    and eastern Caribbean. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and
    slight to moderate seas prevail. The storm activity is diminishing
    in the SW Caribbean, while a few showers are seen in the lee of
    Cuba. Pockets of low-level moisture are also evident across the
    basin sustaining fast-moving, shallow showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
    seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the Atlantic
    ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
    exceptions will be fresh to strong pulses off western Venezuela
    tonight, and in the Gulf of Honduras tonight and Fri night. Fresh
    to strong SE winds and building are possible over the northwest
    and north-central Caribbean late Sat through early next week as
    the Atlantic ridge rebuilds north of area.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
    the far northeast Atlantic.

    A cold front extends from near Bermuda to the central Bahamas,
    followed by a stationary front to the Florida Straits. Scattered
    showers are present ahead of the front, especially north of 27N.
    The remainder of the tropical Atlantic is dominated by a broad
    subtropical ridge, supporting moderate to locally fresh and
    moderate seas across much of the central and western tropical
    Atlantic. Fresh to strong N-NE winds and rough seas are found
    north of 18N and east of 35W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the front will dissipate Fri into
    Sat, as high pressure builds across the area. This pattern will
    allow gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas into early next
    week.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Sat, 06 Jun 2026 17:16:14 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 05 Jun 2026 05:56:33 GMT
  • Fri, 05 Jun 2026 05:16:14 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 050516
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Berg
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Thu, 04 Jun 2026 12:59:29 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 041259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT THU 04 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-004

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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