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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 03:00:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
729
AXNT20 KNHC 050300
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0250 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa was added to the
analysis. The tropical wave extends along 21W from 04N-16N, and is
moving west at 10-15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon
trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 30N, south of 16N, moving W at
10-15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 41W, south of 17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W, south of 20N, moving W at
at 15-20 kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
active on the northern end of the tropical wave moving northward
toward the Turks and Caicos Islands.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W. Segments of the ITCZ extend from 09N22W
to 08N29W, from 08N31N to 08N40W, and from 07N42W to 07N56W.
Scattered moderate convection is active from 05N to 11N between
25W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1017 mb high pressure is centered near 25N85W. Farther south, a
trough reaches across southern Mexico from Chiapas to the Yucatan
Channel. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off
western Cuba on the northern end of this trough. This pattern is
supporting moderate to fresh NE winds and 2-3 ft seas off the
west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, and gentle breezes with 1-3
ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, the weak surface ridge will continue to dominate the
Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through midweek. These winds are the
result of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela. Seas are 4-6
ft. Fresh E winds are noted off the coast of Honduras, but gentle
to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas are noted elsewhere over the
northwest Caribbean. A mid to upper level trough extends from the
western Atlantic across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward
Nicaragua. Upper level divergent flow along with convergent lower
level trade wind flow is support scattered showers and
thunderstorms off southern Haiti and northeast Nicaragua.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also active near the
Yucatan Channel near the northern end of a trough reaching across
southern Mexico.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central
Caribbean through midweek. The aerial extent of these winds will
increase Sun night into Mon. Expect winds to reach near-gale force
at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from
Sun through Wed. Moderate to fresh trades will continue in the
eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over
the NW part of the basin. Otherwise, a tropical wave, with axis
along 70W, is generating scattered showers and thunderstorms, more
concentrated over the Dominican Republic and its Caribbean
waters. The wave and its associated moisture will continue to
impact parts of the eastern and central Caribbean, including
Hispaniola, the rest of this afternoon and tonight.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1022 mb high pressure is centered off the central Bahamas near
27N73W. A trough east of this high pressure reaching from 29N64W
to 26N70W separates the high pressure from the dominant
subtropical ridge which extends from the Azores southwestward
toward 25N65W. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate
breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis, and
moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-8 ft seas east and
south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will continue
to build westward across the western Atlantic into central
Florida through midweek. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. Locally strong winds are likely at night N of
Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage,
beginning on Sun.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 05 Jul 2026 03:00:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
729
AXNT20 KNHC 050300
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0615 UTC Sun Jul 5 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
0250 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave moving off the coast of Africa was added to the
analysis. The tropical wave extends along 21W from 04N-16N, and is
moving west at 10-15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon
trough/ITCZ section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 30N, south of 16N, moving W at
10-15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
An Atlantic tropical wave is near 41W, south of 17N, moving W at
around 15 kt. Convection is described in the Monsoon trough/ITCZ
section below.
A Caribbean tropical wave is near 72W, south of 20N, moving W at
at 15-20 kt. Numerous moderate to isolated strong convection is
active on the northern end of the tropical wave moving northward
toward the Turks and Caicos Islands.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 13N17W and continues
southwestward to 10N20W. Segments of the ITCZ extend from 09N22W
to 08N29W, from 08N31N to 08N40W, and from 07N42W to 07N56W.
Scattered moderate convection is active from 05N to 11N between
25W and 45W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
1017 mb high pressure is centered near 25N85W. Farther south, a
trough reaches across southern Mexico from Chiapas to the Yucatan
Channel. Scattered showers and thunderstorms are active off
western Cuba on the northern end of this trough. This pattern is
supporting moderate to fresh NE winds and 2-3 ft seas off the
west coast of the Yucatan Peninsula, and gentle breezes with 1-3
ft seas elsewhere.
For the forecast, the weak surface ridge will continue to dominate the
Gulf waters through the forecast period supporting gentle to
moderate winds over the western Gulf and light to gentle winds
over the eastern Gulf. The exception will be pulsing winds
reaching fresh to locally strong speeds off the northwestern
Yucatan Peninsula nightly through midweek. These winds are the
result of local effects associated with a surface trough. Slight
to moderate seas are expected.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The subtropical ridge extending north of the area across the
western Atlantic is supporting moderate to fresh trade winds
across the eastern and central Caribbean, with strong E winds
noted off northeast Colombia and northwest Venezuela. Seas are 4-6
ft. Fresh E winds are noted off the coast of Honduras, but gentle
to moderate breezes and 1-3 ft seas are noted elsewhere over the
northwest Caribbean. A mid to upper level trough extends from the
western Atlantic across eastern Cuba and Jamaica, and toward
Nicaragua. Upper level divergent flow along with convergent lower
level trade wind flow is support scattered showers and
thunderstorms off southern Haiti and northeast Nicaragua.
Scattered showers and thunderstorms are also active near the
Yucatan Channel near the northern end of a trough reaching across
southern Mexico.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to support fresh to
strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas over the central
Caribbean through midweek. The aerial extent of these winds will
increase Sun night into Mon. Expect winds to reach near-gale force
at night offshore of Colombia and in the Gulf of Venezuela from
Sun through Wed. Moderate to fresh trades will continue in the
eastern Caribbean while moderate or weaker winds will prevail over
the NW part of the basin. Otherwise, a tropical wave, with axis
along 70W, is generating scattered showers and thunderstorms, more
concentrated over the Dominican Republic and its Caribbean
waters. The wave and its associated moisture will continue to
impact parts of the eastern and central Caribbean, including
Hispaniola, the rest of this afternoon and tonight.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
1022 mb high pressure is centered off the central Bahamas near
27N73W. A trough east of this high pressure reaching from 29N64W
to 26N70W separates the high pressure from the dominant
subtropical ridge which extends from the Azores southwestward
toward 25N65W. This pattern is supporting gentle to moderate
breezes and 3-5 ft seas along and west of the ridge axis, and
moderate to fresh NE to E trade winds and 5-8 ft seas east and
south of the ridge axis.
For the forecast west of 55W, the subtropical ridge will continue
to build westward across the western Atlantic into central
Florida through midweek. This pattern will support moderate to
fresh E to SE trade winds S of 22N, and moderate or weaker winds
elsewhere. Locally strong winds are likely at night N of
Hispaniola, including approaches to the Windward Passage,
beginning on Sun.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 06 Jul 2026 17:01:04 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 05 Jul 2026 05:34:54 GMT - Sun, 05 Jul 2026 05:01:04 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 050500
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 AM EDT Sun Jul 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Gibbs
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sat, 04 Jul 2026 13:00:49 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 041300
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT SAT 04 JULY 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 05/1100Z TO 06/1100Z JULY 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-034
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
KAL
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf