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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 24 May 2026 16:00:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 241600
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun May 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 28W from 12N southward, moving westward
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection, enhanced by the
Monsoon Trough and nearby ITCZ, is from the equator to 05N between
26W and 31W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 58W, south of 12N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to
09N between 58W and 61W, including coastal and inland areas of
Guyana and Venezuela.
A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 81W, south of
15N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. This wave is
nearly stationary, with surface and upper air data from San Andres
Island indicating the wave remains east of the island. No
significant convection is noted at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Dakar, Senegal and
continues southwestward to 05N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N31W
to 01N50W. Outside of the convection related to the tropical
waves, scattered moderate convection is from 03N to 08N east of
20W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection persists from 24N
to 31N between 90W and 97W. This includes a squall line analyzed
along 25N between 91W and 97W. This convection, enhanced by upper
level divergence, will continue through the afternoon, and provide
for locally strong winds. Weak 1011 mb low pressure is co-
located in the Bay of Campeche with the diurnal trough. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas prevail across the
Gulf.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into
the Gulf region. This system will continue to support a gentle to
moderate E to SE wind flow through the middle of the week, with
the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from
the late afternoons and into the night time hours due to local
effects associated with a thermal trough. An upper-level
disturbance continues to enhance the development of numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf, more concentrated
over the NW part of the basin. These thunderstorms are capable of
producing gusty winds, frequent lightning and locally rough seas.
The SE flow will continue to advect abundant tropical moisture
through at least the middle of the week helping to induce more
convective activity across the Gulf waters. Mariners are urged to
keep up with the latest forecast.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and the
Colombian Low continues to support fresh to strong trades in the
central Caribbean, including off the southern tip of Hispaniola,
and in the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, trades are moderate to
fresh per the latest scatterometer data. Seas are 4-7 ft across
the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean through at least
Wed night. Fresh to locally strong trades will pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras through the period. Fresh trades
elsewhere across the basin will begin to increase in coverage
starting Mon as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift
southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic waters, providing
moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas across the basin. Winds
are light to gentle north of 25N, in closer proximity to high
pressures centered north of the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, winds are forecast to increase over
most of the waters S of 25N starting Mon, including the waters
between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to the
Windward Passage as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to
shift east-southeastward tightening the pressure gradient. The
high pressure will then begin to weaken Wed allowing for the tight
pressure gradient to slacken leading to diminishing winds. Fresh
to strong trades will pulse north of Hispaniola through Tue night
into Wed. The western part of a cold front will push south across
the eastern portion of the area from tonight into early Mon before
stalling near 27N, and dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong
northeast winds along with moderate to rough seas will follow the
front, subsiding late Tue.
$$
Mahoney
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 24 May 2026 16:00:22 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 241600
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Sun May 24 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1530 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 28W from 12N southward, moving westward
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection, enhanced by the
Monsoon Trough and nearby ITCZ, is from the equator to 05N between
26W and 31W.
A tropical wave is analyzed along 58W, south of 12N, moving
westward at 10-15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is from 06N to
09N between 58W and 61W, including coastal and inland areas of
Guyana and Venezuela.
A tropical wave in the western Caribbean is near 81W, south of
15N and into the Eastern Pacific region to near 05N. This wave is
nearly stationary, with surface and upper air data from San Andres
Island indicating the wave remains east of the island. No
significant convection is noted at this time.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near Dakar, Senegal and
continues southwestward to 05N25W. The ITCZ extends from 03N31W
to 01N50W. Outside of the convection related to the tropical
waves, scattered moderate convection is from 03N to 08N east of
20W.
GULF OF AMERICA...
Scattered moderate isolated strong convection persists from 24N
to 31N between 90W and 97W. This includes a squall line analyzed
along 25N between 91W and 97W. This convection, enhanced by upper
level divergence, will continue through the afternoon, and provide
for locally strong winds. Weak 1011 mb low pressure is co-
located in the Bay of Campeche with the diurnal trough. Elsewhere,
gentle to moderate SE winds and 2-4 ft seas prevail across the
Gulf.
For the forecast, the Atlantic ridge extends across Florida into
the Gulf region. This system will continue to support a gentle to
moderate E to SE wind flow through the middle of the week, with
the exception of fresh to strong winds pulsing off NW Yucatan from
the late afternoons and into the night time hours due to local
effects associated with a thermal trough. An upper-level
disturbance continues to enhance the development of numerous
showers and thunderstorms over the western Gulf, more concentrated
over the NW part of the basin. These thunderstorms are capable of
producing gusty winds, frequent lightning and locally rough seas.
The SE flow will continue to advect abundant tropical moisture
through at least the middle of the week helping to induce more
convective activity across the Gulf waters. Mariners are urged to
keep up with the latest forecast.
CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge and the
Colombian Low continues to support fresh to strong trades in the
central Caribbean, including off the southern tip of Hispaniola,
and in the Gulf of Honduras. Elsewhere, trades are moderate to
fresh per the latest scatterometer data. Seas are 4-7 ft across
the basin.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between high pressure
north of the area and the Colombian low will support fresh to
strong trades over the south-central Caribbean through at least
Wed night. Fresh to locally strong trades will pulse each evening
over the Gulf of Honduras through the period. Fresh trades
elsewhere across the basin will begin to increase in coverage
starting Mon as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to shift
southeastward tightening the pressure gradient.
ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A broad subtropical ridge dominates the Atlantic waters, providing
moderate to fresh trades and 4-7 ft seas across the basin. Winds
are light to gentle north of 25N, in closer proximity to high
pressures centered north of the area.
For the forecast west of 55W, winds are forecast to increase over
most of the waters S of 25N starting Mon, including the waters
between Cuba and the Bahamas as well as the entrance to the
Windward Passage as a stronger Atlantic high pressure begins to
shift east-southeastward tightening the pressure gradient. The
high pressure will then begin to weaken Wed allowing for the tight
pressure gradient to slacken leading to diminishing winds. Fresh
to strong trades will pulse north of Hispaniola through Tue night
into Wed. The western part of a cold front will push south across
the eastern portion of the area from tonight into early Mon before
stalling near 27N, and dissipating on Tue. Fresh to strong
northeast winds along with moderate to rough seas will follow the
front, subsiding late Tue.
$$
Mahoney
Active Tropical Systems
- Mon, 25 May 2026 23:22:27 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 24 May 2026 16:40:13 GMT - Sun, 24 May 2026 11:22:27 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 241122
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Sun May 24 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Kelly
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf