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2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 15:46:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011546
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed from 06N to 18N and east of 33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 06N to 10N between 42W and 53W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 15N to 19N between 66W and 71W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 22N17W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
    low pres near 17N24W and then to 09N40W. The ITCZ extends from
    09N40W to 07N48W and then from 06N50W to 06N55W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A frontal boundary and upper-level trough over the SE United
    States is producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the NE Gulf waters, while drier weather conditions are found
    in the remainder of the basin. At the surface, a weak pressure
    gradient supports moderate to occasionally fresh westerly winds
    and seas of 2-3 ft north of 27N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in control
    of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
    NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly
    through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over the NE Gulf into the upcoming week as an upper-level
    trough and cold front drop southward toward the Gulf coast. Moderate
    to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the front over
    the far northern Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The combination of a weak surface trough moving across the NE
    Caribbean and an upper-level trough to the west support a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the Leeward Islands
    and nearby waters. Similar activity is noted to the southwest of
    the Cayman Islands and off Costa Rica.

    The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge situated in
    the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep tropics
    sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 6-10 ft
    across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will gradually subside
    today. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades in the central basin through this
    weekend and much of next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Tue through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by
    showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds. The wave will
    quickly move westward across the remainder of the basin through
    Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the SW North Atlantic, especially west of 60W and north of 22N.
    Meanwhile, a weak surface trough in the NE Caribbean is helping to
    generate scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    waters east of the Leeward Islands.

    The remainder of the subtropical and tropical Atlantic is
    influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered near 33N50W.
    This pattern is supporting moderate to locally fresh NE to E
    winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will lift N to
    near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms over the majority
    of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 15:46:26 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 011546
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sat Aug 1 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1505 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    An eastern Atlantic tropical wave is along 24W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong
    convection is observed from 06N to 18N and east of 33W.

    A central Atlantic tropical wave is along 49W, south of 17N,
    moving westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    present from 06N to 10N between 42W and 53W.

    An eastern Caribbean tropical wave is along 68W, south of 19N,
    moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate convection is
    occurring from 15N to 19N between 66W and 71W.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
    Western Sahara near 22N17W and dives southwestward to a 1010 mb
    low pres near 17N24W and then to 09N40W. The ITCZ extends from
    09N40W to 07N48W and then from 06N50W to 06N55W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A frontal boundary and upper-level trough over the SE United
    States is producing scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms
    over the NE Gulf waters, while drier weather conditions are found
    in the remainder of the basin. At the surface, a weak pressure
    gradient supports moderate to occasionally fresh westerly winds
    and seas of 2-3 ft north of 27N. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter
    winds and slight seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, relatively weak high pressure will remain in control
    of the weather pattern across the Gulf, promoting gentle to moderate
    winds for the next several days. The exception will be fresh E to
    NE winds off the northwest coast of the Yucatan peninsula nightly
    through the period. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will
    continue over the NE Gulf into the upcoming week as an upper-level
    trough and cold front drop southward toward the Gulf coast. Moderate
    to fresh southwest winds look to develop ahead of the front over
    the far northern Gulf late this weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    The combination of a weak surface trough moving across the NE
    Caribbean and an upper-level trough to the west support a few
    showers and isolated thunderstorms affecting the Leeward Islands
    and nearby waters. Similar activity is noted to the southwest of
    the Cayman Islands and off Costa Rica.

    The pressure gradient between the subtropical ridge situated in
    the central Atlantic and lower pressures in the deep tropics
    sustain moderate to fresh easterly trade winds and seas of 6-10 ft
    across much of the central and eastern Caribbean Sea. Elsewhere,
    moderate or weaker winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    For the forecast, rough seas offshore Colombia will gradually subside
    today. A persistent enhanced pressure gradient across the Caribbean
    will favor fresh to strong trades in the central basin through this
    weekend and much of next week. Fresh to strong winds will pulse
    in the Gulf of Honduras at night Tue through Thu. A tropical wave,
    currently over the eastern Caribbean near 68W, is accompanied by
    showers and thunderstorms along with gusty winds. The wave will
    quickly move westward across the remainder of the basin through
    Mon night.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Divergence aloft associated with a couple of upper-level troughs
    result in scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms over much
    of the SW North Atlantic, especially west of 60W and north of 22N.
    Meanwhile, a weak surface trough in the NE Caribbean is helping to
    generate scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms across the
    waters east of the Leeward Islands.

    The remainder of the subtropical and tropical Atlantic is
    influenced by a 1025 mb high pressure area centered near 33N50W.
    This pattern is supporting moderate to locally fresh NE to E
    winds and 4-7 ft seas across much of the basin.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a high pressure ridge extending from
    the central Atlantic to the Straits of Florida will lift N to
    near 28N by Sun and change little through next week. The pressure
    gradient between the ridge and a frontal boundary just NW of the
    forecast waters will continue to support fresh to strong SW winds
    along with scattered showers and thunderstorms over the majority
    of the area into the upcoming week. Fresh to strong trades will
    pulse just north of Hispaniola at night through the period.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
  • Mon, 03 Aug 2026 05:07:12 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 01 Aug 2026 21:37:42 GMT
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 17:07:12 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 011707
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sat Aug 1 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Hagen/Pierce
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sat, 01 Aug 2026 13:50:38 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    787
    NOUS42 KNHC 011350
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0950 AM EDT SAT 01 AUGUST 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 02/1100Z TO 03/1100Z AUGUST 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-062

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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