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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 20:38:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 142038
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jun 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 29W south
of 17N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm either side of the wave from 05N to
09N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46/47W south
of 18N moving westward at about 15 kt. No deep convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 65/66W south of
18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection in the wake of the wave is along and just inland the
coast of South America between 62W and 64W.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis near 86W south
of 19N to inland Central America. It is moving westward at about
10 to 15 kt. Most associated convection associated with this wave
is in the eastern north pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits the coast of Africa near 12N16W and
extends SW to near 06N24W. The ITCZ extends from 06N24W to 05N27W.
It resumes from 04N31W to 04N45W. Aside from convection noted in
the TROPICAL WAVES section above, scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is noted from 01N to 14N between 10W and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. A 1007 mb low is
centered over central Mexico. The pressure gradient between these
features is supporting moderate winds W of 90W. Light to gentle
winds prevail over the waters E of 90W. Seas are in the 4-6 ft
range W of 90W, and 1-2 ft E of 90W.
For the forecast, a broad area of low pressure located over
eastern Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Development is not expected during the next day or so
while the low remains inland over northeastern Mexico or southern
Texas. The system could then re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
of America around midweek while interacting with a frontal
boundary, but conditions there are expected to be only marginally
conducive for development. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and 1019 mb high pressure over the NE Gulf will
support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas across
the western Gulf through tonight, while scattered showers and
thunderstorms continue there through Mon. The Atlantic ridge will
build westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu, and combine with
lower pressure over South Texas and northeastern Mexico will
promote fresh to strong southerly winds over the western Gulf, and
moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft prevail over the
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft
are over the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas
of 3-6 ft, are found over the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will generally
remain in place through early Mon and will support a large area of
fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the
central Caribbean. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Thu. The ridge will
reorganize Mon through early Tue then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure dominates the discussion waters N of 20N, anchored
by a 1023 mb high near 27N53W, and a 1026 mb high near 29N32W. The
pressure gradient between the area of high pressure, and falling
pressure over Africa with a tropical wave over western Africa, is
supporting fresh to strong winds N of 20N and E of 20W to the
coast of Africa. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft,
prevail elsewhere over the waters E of 30W, and S of 20N. Light to
gentle winds, and seas of 3-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally remain
in place through early Mon, then reorganize Mon through early
Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu. This pattern will support
moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N, then become moderate to
fresh through Wed. Gentle anticyclonic flow will prevail elsewhere
through tonight then become gentle to moderate SE to S winds Mon
through Wed. Fresh SW winds develop across the NW waters N of 29N
and W of 74W late Sun through early Mon, then expand eastward to
70W through early Wed, as a weak frontal system moves through the
SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late
evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
AL
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 20:38:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 142038
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Mon Jun 15 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2030 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A far eastern Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 29W south
of 17N moving westward at 10 to 15 kt. Scattered moderate
convection is within 180 nm either side of the wave from 05N to
09N.
A central Atlantic tropical wave has its axis near 46/47W south
of 18N moving westward at about 15 kt. No deep convection is
presently occurring near this wave.
An eastern Caribbean Sea tropical wave is along 65/66W south of
18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Scattered moderate
convection in the wake of the wave is along and just inland the
coast of South America between 62W and 64W.
A western Caribbean Sea tropical wave has its axis near 86W south
of 19N to inland Central America. It is moving westward at about
10 to 15 kt. Most associated convection associated with this wave
is in the eastern north pacific.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough exits the coast of Africa near 12N16W and
extends SW to near 06N24W. The ITCZ extends from 06N24W to 05N27W.
It resumes from 04N31W to 04N45W. Aside from convection noted in
the TROPICAL WAVES section above, scattered moderate and isolated
strong convection is noted from 01N to 14N between 10W and 20W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A 1018 mb high is centered over the NE Gulf. A 1007 mb low is
centered over central Mexico. The pressure gradient between these
features is supporting moderate winds W of 90W. Light to gentle
winds prevail over the waters E of 90W. Seas are in the 4-6 ft
range W of 90W, and 1-2 ft E of 90W.
For the forecast, a broad area of low pressure located over
eastern Mexico is producing disorganized shower and thunderstorm
activity. Development is not expected during the next day or so
while the low remains inland over northeastern Mexico or southern
Texas. The system could then re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
of America around midweek while interacting with a frontal
boundary, but conditions there are expected to be only marginally
conducive for development. The pressure gradient between the low
pressure area and 1019 mb high pressure over the NE Gulf will
support fresh to strong SE winds and moderate to rough seas across
the western Gulf through tonight, while scattered showers and
thunderstorms continue there through Mon. The Atlantic ridge will
build westward into the Gulf Tue through Thu, and combine with
lower pressure over South Texas and northeastern Mexico will
promote fresh to strong southerly winds over the western Gulf, and
moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Gulf.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
Fresh to strong winds, and seas of 8-10 ft prevail over the
central Caribbean. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft
are over the eastern Caribbean. Gentle to moderate winds, and seas
of 3-6 ft, are found over the western Caribbean.
For the forecast, high pressure north of the area will generally
remain in place through early Mon and will support a large area of
fresh to strong trade winds and moderate to rough seas across the
central Caribbean. Expect highest winds and seas off the coast of
Colombia. Pulsing winds to fresh to strong speeds are expected in
the Gulf of Honduras nightly through Thu. The ridge will
reorganize Mon through early Tue then shift slowly NE through Thu,
leading to a slight decrease in wind and seas across the basin.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
High pressure dominates the discussion waters N of 20N, anchored
by a 1023 mb high near 27N53W, and a 1026 mb high near 29N32W. The
pressure gradient between the area of high pressure, and falling
pressure over Africa with a tropical wave over western Africa, is
supporting fresh to strong winds N of 20N and E of 20W to the
coast of Africa. Moderate to fresh winds, and seas of 5-7 ft,
prevail elsewhere over the waters E of 30W, and S of 20N. Light to
gentle winds, and seas of 3-4 ft, prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast west of 55W, high pressure will generally remain
in place through early Mon, then reorganize Mon through early
Tue, then shift slowly NE through Thu. This pattern will support
moderate E to SE trade winds S of 22N, then become moderate to
fresh through Wed. Gentle anticyclonic flow will prevail elsewhere
through tonight then become gentle to moderate SE to S winds Mon
through Wed. Fresh SW winds develop across the NW waters N of 29N
and W of 74W late Sun through early Mon, then expand eastward to
70W through early Wed, as a weak frontal system moves through the
SE U.S. Expect fresh to strong winds each afternoon through late
evening across Atlantic waters near Puerto Rico and Hispaniola.
$$
AL
Active Tropical Systems
- Tue, 16 Jun 2026 11:21:21 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 14 Jun 2026 23:22:04 GMT - Sun, 14 Jun 2026 23:21:21 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
000
ABNT20 KNHC 142321
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Sun Jun 14 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Northwestern Gulf of America:
A trough of low pressure located over northeastern Mexico continues
to produce disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity.
Development is not expected during the next day or so while the
trough remains inland and drifts generally northward over
northeastern Mexico and southern Texas. The system is then forecast
to move northeastward and could re-emerge over the northwestern Gulf
of America late Tuesday or Wednesday, where environmental conditions
may support some development around midweek. Regardless of tropical
cyclone formation, heavy rainfall and flash flooding are possible
across portions of eastern and southern Texas and Louisiana this
week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...low...30 percent.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Sun, 14 Jun 2026 13:30:40 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 141330
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0930 AM EDT SUN 14 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 15/1100Z TO 16/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-014
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf