2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Fri, 24 Apr 2026 03:59:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 240359
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Apr 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W, then curves southwestward to 00N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 02N22W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed south of 05N and east of 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A few showers are seen over the SE Gulf waters, especially close
    to the coast of Cuba. Generally dry conditions are noted
    elsewhere. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    found in the eastern Bay of Campeche and SE Gulf. However,
    mariners may experience stronger gusts associated with the
    stronger convection. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    Satellite images indicate that smoke from agricultural fires in SE
    Mexico is affecting the SW Gulf waters. Mariners may experience
    diminished visibility in the area.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf region,
    with a relatively weak pressure gradient across the area. This
    will result in gentle to moderate SE winds and moderate seas
    basin-wide through the weekend into the early part of next week.
    The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
    trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh during the evenings.
    Meanwhile, gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas are
    likely in an area of showers and thunderstorms currently located
    over the far SE Gulf and the Florida Straits, which is moving
    eastward tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of
    18N due to a stationary front draped across Hispaniola and
    between eastern Cuba and Jamaica and divergence aloft. Meanwhile,
    drier weather conditions evident in the rest of the basin. The
    pressure gradient between a weak ridge to the north of the islands
    and the frontal boundary supports fresh to locally strong NE-E
    winds and moderate seas in the Windward Passage. Moderate to
    locally fresh easterly winds and slight seas are found in the lee
    of Cuba. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, high pressure located N of the basin will weaken
    over the next couple of days as the remnants of a frontal
    boundary, currently located north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
    lifts northward as a trough during the upcoming weekend. This
    weather pattern will support a weaker than usual pressure
    gradient across the Caribbean Sea into the weekend, resulting in
    mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
    across the entire basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from a low pressure near the Azores to
    31N42W and to 26N51W, followed by a stationary front to
    Hispaniola. A few showers are noted near this boundary. Moderate
    to fresh southerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are present ahead of
    the front to 31W and north of 27N. Rough seas are noted behind the
    front to 51W and north of 27N. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
    winds and moderate seas are evident south of 25N and west of 60W.
    The remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is dominated
    by a broad subtropical ridge.

    The central and eastern Atlantic are under the influence of a 1020
    mb high pressure system near 27N30W. The pressure gradient between
    this ridge and lower pressures in western Africa support moderate
    to fresh northerly winds and seas of 6-8 ft from 08N to 27N and
    east of 23W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
    prevail.

    A cold front extends southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of
    the area near 38N40W south-southwestward to 31N45W and to
    25N53W, where it transitions to a stationary front to 20N61W and
    to across north-central Hispaniola and to Haiti. A trough extends
    from the northern Leeward Islands to near 15N65W. Isolated
    showers are possible near the trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extends from near
    31N41W to 25N50W where it becomes a stationary front to
    Hispaniola near 19N69W. The front will remain nearly stationary
    just N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico on Fri. The remnant moisture
    associated with the frontal boundary will lift northward as a
    trough Sat through Sun. A weak low may develop along the trough
    axis E of the Bahamas on Sun. This will support gentle to moderate
    winds with slight to moderate seas across most of the forecast
    area through the weekend. The exception will be over the NE waters
    where fresh to locally strong westerly winds and rough seas are
    expected beginning on Fri as another cold front clips the region
    by late Sat into Sun.

    $$
    Delgado
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Fri, 24 Apr 2026 03:59:40 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 240359
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Fri Apr 24 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0355 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    A monsoon trough enters the Atlantic along the coast of Guinea
    near 11N15W, then curves southwestward to 00N35W. The ITCZ
    extends from 02N22W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate to isolated
    strong convection is observed south of 05N and east of 30W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A few showers are seen over the SE Gulf waters, especially close
    to the coast of Cuba. Generally dry conditions are noted
    elsewhere. Moderate to fresh easterly winds and moderate seas are
    found in the eastern Bay of Campeche and SE Gulf. However,
    mariners may experience stronger gusts associated with the
    stronger convection. In the remainder of the basin, moderate or
    lighter winds and slight to moderate seas prevail.

    Satellite images indicate that smoke from agricultural fires in SE
    Mexico is affecting the SW Gulf waters. Mariners may experience
    diminished visibility in the area.

    For the forecast, high pressure will prevail across the Gulf region,
    with a relatively weak pressure gradient across the area. This
    will result in gentle to moderate SE winds and moderate seas
    basin-wide through the weekend into the early part of next week.
    The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal
    trough will pulse moderate winds to fresh during the evenings.
    Meanwhile, gusty winds, frequent lightning, and higher seas are
    likely in an area of showers and thunderstorms currently located
    over the far SE Gulf and the Florida Straits, which is moving
    eastward tonight.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A few showers and isolated thunderstorms are occurring north of
    18N due to a stationary front draped across Hispaniola and
    between eastern Cuba and Jamaica and divergence aloft. Meanwhile,
    drier weather conditions evident in the rest of the basin. The
    pressure gradient between a weak ridge to the north of the islands
    and the frontal boundary supports fresh to locally strong NE-E
    winds and moderate seas in the Windward Passage. Moderate to
    locally fresh easterly winds and slight seas are found in the lee
    of Cuba. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
    moderate seas are prevalent.

    For the forecast, high pressure located N of the basin will weaken
    over the next couple of days as the remnants of a frontal
    boundary, currently located north of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico,
    lifts northward as a trough during the upcoming weekend. This
    weather pattern will support a weaker than usual pressure
    gradient across the Caribbean Sea into the weekend, resulting in
    mainly gentle to moderate winds and slight to moderate seas
    across the entire basin.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A weak cold front extends from a low pressure near the Azores to
    31N42W and to 26N51W, followed by a stationary front to
    Hispaniola. A few showers are noted near this boundary. Moderate
    to fresh southerly winds and seas of 5-8 ft are present ahead of
    the front to 31W and north of 27N. Rough seas are noted behind the
    front to 51W and north of 27N. Moderate to locally fresh easterly
    winds and moderate seas are evident south of 25N and west of 60W.
    The remainder of the SW North Atlantic, west of 55W, is dominated
    by a broad subtropical ridge.

    The central and eastern Atlantic are under the influence of a 1020
    mb high pressure system near 27N30W. The pressure gradient between
    this ridge and lower pressures in western Africa support moderate
    to fresh northerly winds and seas of 6-8 ft from 08N to 27N and
    east of 23W. Elsewhere, moderate or weaker winds and moderate seas
    prevail.

    A cold front extends southwestward from a 1001 mb low north of
    the area near 38N40W south-southwestward to 31N45W and to
    25N53W, where it transitions to a stationary front to 20N61W and
    to across north-central Hispaniola and to Haiti. A trough extends
    from the northern Leeward Islands to near 15N65W. Isolated
    showers are possible near the trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front extends from near
    31N41W to 25N50W where it becomes a stationary front to
    Hispaniola near 19N69W. The front will remain nearly stationary
    just N of Hispaniola and Puerto Rico on Fri. The remnant moisture
    associated with the frontal boundary will lift northward as a
    trough Sat through Sun. A weak low may develop along the trough
    axis E of the Bahamas on Sun. This will support gentle to moderate
    winds with slight to moderate seas across most of the forecast
    area through the weekend. The exception will be over the NE waters
    where fresh to locally strong westerly winds and rough seas are
    expected beginning on Fri as another cold front clips the region
    by late Sat into Sun.

    $$
    Delgado
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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