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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Wed, 06 May 2026 17:40:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
665
AXNT20 KNHC 061740
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed May 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 30W, S of
11N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a weak eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W, S
of 17N from near the Anegada Passage to central Venezuela, and is
moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and continues
southwestward to near 01N28W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 02N31W to
near 00N48W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is occurring
from 02N to 08N between 13W and 24W. Scattered moderate convection
is also occurring S of 05N and W of 24W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Lower pressure associated with a cold front over the south-central
US is driving fresh SE winds across much of the Gulf W of 87W,
where seas of 3-6 ft prevail. Gentle to moderate S to SE winds and
1-3 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure over the NE Gulf with lower
pressures over Mexico will support moderate to locally fresh
southeast winds in the western Gulf and gentle to moderate winds
in the eastern Gulf through tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to
strong near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings. Similar winds
will pulse from Tampico to Veracruz, Mexico into early today. A
weak cold front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters
Thu morning, quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the
north as a warm front Fri as high pressure ridging builds back in
across the basin from the east. Looking ahead, another weak front
may try to move into the northern Gulf waters by the end of the
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure over the west Atlantic and low pressure over
Colombia supports moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas across
much of the central and eastern Caribbean, confirmed by recent
scatterometer data. Winds are locally fresh to strong in the
south-central Caribbean near the coast of Colombia, with seas of
6-8 ft in this area. The remainder of the basin is seeing moderate
to locally fresh trades and 2-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
rest of the week and into the weekend, with similar conditions
expected in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected across the remainder of the eastern and central
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front is analyzed SE of Bermuda from 31N59W southwestward
to near 26.5N67W. A stationary front then continues from that
point to 27.5W76W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
along and ahead of the front N of 24N and W of 55W.
Gentle to moderate E winds and 5-7 ft seas are occurring behind
the front, while mainly gentle S winds and seas of 3-5 ft are
occurring ahead of the front. A surface trough is analyzed in the
eastern Atlantic from 27N37W to 24N26W. The pressure gradient
between this trough and high pressure to the north supports fresh
to strong NE winds and 6-8 ft seas N of 22N between the Canary
Islands and 40W. Much of the remaining Atlantic S of 20N is seeing
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail, while areas N
of 20N and away from any aforementioned features are seeing
gentle to moderate or weaker trades and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front extending from
31N59W to 26N69W will shift E of 55W early on Thu. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are SE of the front. Another
weak cold front will move off northern Florida Thu night,
gradually losing definition as it shifts across the northern
waters through Sat. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms, some possibly strong, may precede this front as it
emerges off the coast. Elsewhere, winds may pulse to moderate to
fresh off northern Hispaniola, increasing to fresh to strong this
weekend. Winds may freshen off northern Florida Sun night ahead of
a stronger front. Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure will
be in place through the forecast period allowing for generally
quiet conditions across the area.
$$
Adams
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Wed, 06 May 2026 17:40:52 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
665
AXNT20 KNHC 061740
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1815 UTC Wed May 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
1700 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 30W, S of
11N, moving westward at around 10 kt. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
The axis of a weak eastern Caribbean tropical wave is near 65W, S
of 17N from near the Anegada Passage to central Venezuela, and is
moving westward at around 10 kt. No significant convection is
associated with this wave.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 11N15W and continues
southwestward to near 01N28W. The ITCZ is analyzed from 02N31W to
near 00N48W. Numerous moderate to strong convection is occurring
from 02N to 08N between 13W and 24W. Scattered moderate convection
is also occurring S of 05N and W of 24W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Lower pressure associated with a cold front over the south-central
US is driving fresh SE winds across much of the Gulf W of 87W,
where seas of 3-6 ft prevail. Gentle to moderate S to SE winds and
1-3 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, high pressure over the NE Gulf with lower
pressures over Mexico will support moderate to locally fresh
southeast winds in the western Gulf and gentle to moderate winds
in the eastern Gulf through tonight. Winds will pulse to fresh to
strong near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings. Similar winds
will pulse from Tampico to Veracruz, Mexico into early today. A
weak cold front is forecast to enter the NW Gulf coastal waters
Thu morning, quickly stall Thu evening, then lift back to the
north as a warm front Fri as high pressure ridging builds back in
across the basin from the east. Looking ahead, another weak front
may try to move into the northern Gulf waters by the end of the
weekend.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
High pressure over the west Atlantic and low pressure over
Colombia supports moderate to fresh trades and 3-6 ft seas across
much of the central and eastern Caribbean, confirmed by recent
scatterometer data. Winds are locally fresh to strong in the
south-central Caribbean near the coast of Colombia, with seas of
6-8 ft in this area. The remainder of the basin is seeing moderate
to locally fresh trades and 2-5 ft seas prevail.
For the forecast, the pressure gradient between central Atlantic
high pressure and relatively lower pressure in northern South
America will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades over the
south-central Caribbean along with locally rough seas through the
rest of the week and into the weekend, with similar conditions
expected in the Gulf of Honduras. Moderate to fresh trades are
expected across the remainder of the eastern and central
Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A cold front is analyzed SE of Bermuda from 31N59W southwestward
to near 26.5N67W. A stationary front then continues from that
point to 27.5W76W. Scattered moderate convection is occurring
along and ahead of the front N of 24N and W of 55W.
Gentle to moderate E winds and 5-7 ft seas are occurring behind
the front, while mainly gentle S winds and seas of 3-5 ft are
occurring ahead of the front. A surface trough is analyzed in the
eastern Atlantic from 27N37W to 24N26W. The pressure gradient
between this trough and high pressure to the north supports fresh
to strong NE winds and 6-8 ft seas N of 22N between the Canary
Islands and 40W. Much of the remaining Atlantic S of 20N is seeing
moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail, while areas N
of 20N and away from any aforementioned features are seeing
gentle to moderate or weaker trades and moderate seas prevail.
For the forecast west of 55W, a weak cold front extending from
31N59W to 26N69W will shift E of 55W early on Thu. Scattered to
numerous showers and thunderstorms are SE of the front. Another
weak cold front will move off northern Florida Thu night,
gradually losing definition as it shifts across the northern
waters through Sat. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms, some possibly strong, may precede this front as it
emerges off the coast. Elsewhere, winds may pulse to moderate to
fresh off northern Hispaniola, increasing to fresh to strong this
weekend. Winds may freshen off northern Florida Sun night ahead of
a stronger front. Otherwise, relatively weak high pressure will
be in place through the forecast period allowing for generally
quiet conditions across the area.
$$
Adams
Active Tropical Systems
- Wed, 06 May 2026 18:01:16 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf