2025 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2025 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Tue, 18 Nov 2025 04:20:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 180420
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Nov 18 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0419 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from near 14N17W, then southwestward
    to 10N22W. The ITCZ extends westward from 10N22W to 03.5N48W.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 02N
    to 09N between the west coast of Africa and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from near Fort Myers, Florida to
    SW Alabama. A surface trough is over the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Otherwise, high pressure north of the area dominates the
    remainder of the basin. Under this weather pattern, scatterometer
    data indicate gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the central
    and western Gulf, and mainly light winds elsewhere. Slight seas
    dominate most of the Gulf waters.

    For the forecast, a stationary front offshore Florida will
    dissipate by Tue morning. High pressure will then build southward
    into the eastern Gulf, allowing moderate to fresh southeast winds
    to establish Tue night through Thu over the central and western
    Gulf. Looking ahead, a weak cold front is likely to move into the
    northern Gulf by the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak low of 1013 mb is spinning midway between the Isle of
    Youth, Cuba and the Cayman Islands. A surface trough extends from
    the low center northward. This low is supporting scattered
    moderate convection over the offshore waters of central Cuba.
    Gentle to moderate NE winds are noted on the NW quadrant of the
    low center. A few showers, with embedded thunderstorms are
    affecting the Leeward Islands. Light to gentle winds and seas of 1
    to 3 ft exist for the remainder of the western Caribbean. Gentle
    to moderate trade winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft dominate the rest of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, a 1013 mb low pressure between Grand Cayman and
    the Isle of Youth will devolve into a surface trough tonight,
    move into the Yucatan Channel Tue, then dissipate Wed. High
    pressure building from the north will gradually cause tradewinds
    to return to normal magnitude by mid-week, with moderate to
    locally fresh NE to E winds expected Wed into the weekend. Pulsing
    strong winds are possible offshore Colombia during the overnight
    and early morning hours.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front has stalled from SE of Bermuda to near West Palm
    Beach, Florida. Gentle to moderate SW to W winds are ahead of the
    front affecting the waters N of 28.5N between 61W and 70W. Rough
    seas, in long period NW swell, follow the front. Scattered
    moderate convection is found north of 21.5N between 55W and 61.5W
    in association to a surface trough. Farther E, a stationary front
    enters the forecast area near 31N36W, and extends SW to near
    23N46W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted along this
    front. The remainder of the east and central Atlantic are under
    the influence of a 1029 mb high pressure located NW of the
    Azores. Moderate to fresh trades, and moderate to rough seas
    dominate the tropical Atlantic, mainly E of 55W. A surface trough
    remains E of the Lesser Antilles along 54W/55W. Scattered
    moderate convection is depicted from 09.5N to 12N between 48W and
    57W in association with this trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will weaken
    Tue then dissipate Wed. High pressure will build behind the front
    between the Carolinas and Bermuda through Fri, supporting gentle
    breezes north of 25N and moderate winds and farther south. Seas
    will generally be moderate or less, but NW swell will lead to
    rough seas N of 28N and E of 70W into Tue night. Looking ahead, SW
    winds may increase slightly off northeast Florida late Fri
    through Sat ahead of a weak cold front moving through the
    southeast U.S.

    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Tue, 18 Nov 2025 04:20:08 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 180420
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    0615 UTC Tue Nov 18 2025

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0000 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0419 UTC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough extends from near 14N17W, then southwestward
    to 10N22W. The ITCZ extends westward from 10N22W to 03.5N48W.
    Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is noted from 02N
    to 09N between the west coast of Africa and 48W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A stationary front extends from near Fort Myers, Florida to
    SW Alabama. A surface trough is over the Yucatan Peninsula.
    Otherwise, high pressure north of the area dominates the
    remainder of the basin. Under this weather pattern, scatterometer
    data indicate gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the central
    and western Gulf, and mainly light winds elsewhere. Slight seas
    dominate most of the Gulf waters.

    For the forecast, a stationary front offshore Florida will
    dissipate by Tue morning. High pressure will then build southward
    into the eastern Gulf, allowing moderate to fresh southeast winds
    to establish Tue night through Thu over the central and western
    Gulf. Looking ahead, a weak cold front is likely to move into the
    northern Gulf by the weekend.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A weak low of 1013 mb is spinning midway between the Isle of
    Youth, Cuba and the Cayman Islands. A surface trough extends from
    the low center northward. This low is supporting scattered
    moderate convection over the offshore waters of central Cuba.
    Gentle to moderate NE winds are noted on the NW quadrant of the
    low center. A few showers, with embedded thunderstorms are
    affecting the Leeward Islands. Light to gentle winds and seas of 1
    to 3 ft exist for the remainder of the western Caribbean. Gentle
    to moderate trade winds and seas of 2 to 4 ft dominate the rest of
    the basin.

    For the forecast, a 1013 mb low pressure between Grand Cayman and
    the Isle of Youth will devolve into a surface trough tonight,
    move into the Yucatan Channel Tue, then dissipate Wed. High
    pressure building from the north will gradually cause tradewinds
    to return to normal magnitude by mid-week, with moderate to
    locally fresh NE to E winds expected Wed into the weekend. Pulsing
    strong winds are possible offshore Colombia during the overnight
    and early morning hours.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    A cold front has stalled from SE of Bermuda to near West Palm
    Beach, Florida. Gentle to moderate SW to W winds are ahead of the
    front affecting the waters N of 28.5N between 61W and 70W. Rough
    seas, in long period NW swell, follow the front. Scattered
    moderate convection is found north of 21.5N between 55W and 61.5W
    in association to a surface trough. Farther E, a stationary front
    enters the forecast area near 31N36W, and extends SW to near
    23N46W. Scattered moderate convection is depicted along this
    front. The remainder of the east and central Atlantic are under
    the influence of a 1029 mb high pressure located NW of the
    Azores. Moderate to fresh trades, and moderate to rough seas
    dominate the tropical Atlantic, mainly E of 55W. A surface trough
    remains E of the Lesser Antilles along 54W/55W. Scattered
    moderate convection is depicted from 09.5N to 12N between 48W and
    57W in association with this trough.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the stationary front will weaken
    Tue then dissipate Wed. High pressure will build behind the front
    between the Carolinas and Bermuda through Fri, supporting gentle
    breezes north of 25N and moderate winds and farther south. Seas
    will generally be moderate or less, but NW swell will lead to
    rough seas N of 28N and E of 70W into Tue night. Looking ahead, SW
    winds may increase slightly off northeast Florida late Fri
    through Sat ahead of a weak cold front moving through the
    southeast U.S.

    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Wed, 19 Nov 2025 17:03:22 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Tue, 18 Nov 2025 09:10:06 GMT
  • Tue, 18 Nov 2025 05:03:22 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 180503
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    100 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Jelsema
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Mon, 17 Nov 2025 16:36:36 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    485
    NOUS42 KNHC 171636
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1135 AM EST MON 17 NOVEMBER 2025
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 18/1100Z TO 19/1100Z NOVEMBER 2025
    TCPOD NUMBER.....25-170

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THE ATLANTIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE NEGATIVE.
    THE PACIFIC WINTER SEASON REQUIREMENTS ARE AS FOLLOWS:

    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
    3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: A USAF WC-130J AIRCRAFT MAY FLY AN
    ATMOSPHERIC RIVERS MISSION OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC FOR THE
    21/0000Z SYNOPTIC TIME.

    $$
    WJM

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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