2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 18:18:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071818
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion...Corected
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026

    Corrected Caribbean Sea forecast

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1653 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 27W, south of 12N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. A cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection
    is observed where the wave meets the monsoon trough, from 04N to
    07N between 23W and 29W.

    A tropical wave is along 37.5W, south of 16.5N, moving westward
    at around 15 kt. A few showers are noted on either side of the
    wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 65W, south of
    18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Convection is limited.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean Sea near 71W, south
    of 18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is enhancing
    convection over portions of western Venezuela, including the Lake
    Maracaibo area.

    A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean Sea along 85.5W,
    south of 20N to across western Panama and into the eastern
    Pacific Ocean, slowly moving around 5 kt. Most of the convection
    related to this wave is over the EPAC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of W
    Africa near 14N17W, and continues southwestward to 04N30W. The
    ITCZ extends from 04N30W to the coast of Brazil near 02N49W.
    Other than the convection associated with two tropical waves, a
    large area of moderate to isolated strong convection is observed
    near the coast of W Africa, covering the waters from 01N to 11.5N
    and east of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure located over the western Atlantic just E of Bermuda
    extends a ridge across the SE of United States, including
    Florida, into the Gulf region. This system is supporting gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds east of 89W, along with seas 1 to 4 ft.
    While moderate to locally fresh SE winds along seas 4 to 6 ft
    prevail west of 89W. Clusters of moderate to strong convection are
    depicted west of 94W.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the
    eastern Gulf and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western
    Gulf through Mon. Winds will be easterly at mostly fresh speeds
    across most of the western and central Gulf S of 26N through
    midweek. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
    diurnal trough will support moderate winds to pulse to fresh,
    occasionally strong, during the evenings through Wed. Slight to
    moderate seas will occur with these winds. For late in the week, a
    possible trough, or low pressure may shift northward from the
    Yucatan Peninsula into the south-central Gulf of America
    accompanied by numerous showers and thunderstorms along with fresh
    to strong winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...Corrected

    Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please see the Tropical Waves section above for more details,
    including any associated significant convection.

    Otherwise, high pressure north of the area centered just E of
    Bermuda, combined with lower pressures across South America
    supports moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the exception
    of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted. An
    upper level trough over the central Caribbean is helping to induce
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the Windward
    Passage, between Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central
    Caribbean south of 17N between 68W and 82W. Elsewhere, patches of
    low level clouds, embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted
    producing isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas
    will persist across the Caribbean today as Atlantic high pressure
    weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin to increase again over
    the central Caribbean late tonight into Mon, and over the NW part of
    the basin Mon night into Tue as the pressure gradient tightens
    between the Atlantic high pressure and a broad area of low pressure
    located over the eastern Pacific offshore of Central America.
    Looking ahead, fresh to strong SE winds may be present in the
    northwestern Caribbean Wed through Thu as a possible trough, or low
    pressure shifts northward from the Yucatan Peninsula into the south-
    central Gulf of America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward between the western coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details including any related significant
    convection.

    A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends from
    near 31N56W to the central Bahamas into eastern Cuba. Scattered
    to numerous showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are along and
    ahead of this trough, affecting the SE Bahamas and the Turks and
    Caicos Islands. A 1022 mb high pressure located just E of Bermuda
    follows this trough. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area
    is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1031 mb
    high pressure situated SW of the Azores near 34N33W. Under the
    influence of this system, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is
    seen N of 20N E of the trough to about 44W. Fresh to locally
    strong NE to E winds and rough seas are found north of 20N and
    east of 44W, including the Canary Islands. The strongest winds are
    between the islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast of Africa and the Lesser
    Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will remain
    nearly stationary through Mon night. A weak cold front will move
    into the forecast north-central waters Tue, then stall near 27N
    Tue through Wed, and gradually dissipate by Thu. High pressure
    will follow the front. It will be centered near Bermuda by Wed,
    then move eastward by Thu. This weather pattern will generally
    support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas through
    midweek, except for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N between the
    southeastern Bahamas and Hispaniola and westward to the waters
    between the Bahamas and Cuba.


    $$
    KRV
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 18:18:29 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 071818
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion...Corected
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1815 UTC Sun Jun 7 2026

    Corrected Caribbean Sea forecast

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 1200 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    1653 UTC.

    ...TROPICAL WAVES...

    A tropical wave is along 27W, south of 12N, moving westward at
    15 to 20 kt. A cluster of moderate to isolated strong convection
    is observed where the wave meets the monsoon trough, from 04N to
    07N between 23W and 29W.

    A tropical wave is along 37.5W, south of 16.5N, moving westward
    at around 15 kt. A few showers are noted on either side of the
    wave axis.

    A tropical wave is over the eastern Caribbean along 65W, south of
    18N, moving westward at 15 to 20 kt. Convection is limited.

    A tropical wave is in the central Caribbean Sea near 71W, south
    of 18N, moving westward at around 15 kt. The wave is enhancing
    convection over portions of western Venezuela, including the Lake
    Maracaibo area.

    A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean Sea along 85.5W,
    south of 20N to across western Panama and into the eastern
    Pacific Ocean, slowly moving around 5 kt. Most of the convection
    related to this wave is over the EPAC.

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of W
    Africa near 14N17W, and continues southwestward to 04N30W. The
    ITCZ extends from 04N30W to the coast of Brazil near 02N49W.
    Other than the convection associated with two tropical waves, a
    large area of moderate to isolated strong convection is observed
    near the coast of W Africa, covering the waters from 01N to 11.5N
    and east of 21W.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    High pressure located over the western Atlantic just E of Bermuda
    extends a ridge across the SE of United States, including
    Florida, into the Gulf region. This system is supporting gentle to
    moderate E to SE winds east of 89W, along with seas 1 to 4 ft.
    While moderate to locally fresh SE winds along seas 4 to 6 ft
    prevail west of 89W. Clusters of moderate to strong convection are
    depicted west of 94W.

    For the forecast, a ridge will continue to dominate the Gulf
    region supporting gentle to moderate E to SE winds over the
    eastern Gulf and moderate to fresh SE to S winds over the western
    Gulf through Mon. Winds will be easterly at mostly fresh speeds
    across most of the western and central Gulf S of 26N through
    midweek. The exception will be off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a
    diurnal trough will support moderate winds to pulse to fresh,
    occasionally strong, during the evenings through Wed. Slight to
    moderate seas will occur with these winds. For late in the week, a
    possible trough, or low pressure may shift northward from the
    Yucatan Peninsula into the south-central Gulf of America
    accompanied by numerous showers and thunderstorms along with fresh
    to strong winds and building seas.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...Corrected

    Three tropical waves are moving westward across the Caribbean Sea.
    Please see the Tropical Waves section above for more details,
    including any associated significant convection.

    Otherwise, high pressure north of the area centered just E of
    Bermuda, combined with lower pressures across South America
    supports moderate to locally fresh E to SE trade winds and
    moderate seas across the majority of the basin, with the exception
    of the SW Caribbean where light to gentle winds are noted. An
    upper level trough over the central Caribbean is helping to induce
    scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms over the Windward
    Passage, between Haiti and Jamaica, and over the central
    Caribbean south of 17N between 68W and 82W. Elsewhere, patches of
    low level clouds, embedded in the trade wind flow, are noted
    producing isolated to scattered passing showers.

    For the forecast, moderate to fresh trade winds and moderate seas
    will persist across the Caribbean today as Atlantic high pressure
    weakens and shifts eastward. Winds will begin to increase again over
    the central Caribbean late tonight into Mon, and over the NW part of
    the basin Mon night into Tue as the pressure gradient tightens
    between the Atlantic high pressure and a broad area of low pressure
    located over the eastern Pacific offshore of Central America.
    Looking ahead, fresh to strong SE winds may be present in the
    northwestern Caribbean Wed through Thu as a possible trough, or low
    pressure shifts northward from the Yucatan Peninsula into the south-
    central Gulf of America.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    Two tropical waves are moving westward between the western coast
    of Africa and the Lesser Antilles. Please refer to the Tropical
    Waves section for more details including any related significant
    convection.

    A surface trough, remnants of an old frontal boundary, extends from
    near 31N56W to the central Bahamas into eastern Cuba. Scattered
    to numerous showers, with embedded thunderstorms, are along and
    ahead of this trough, affecting the SE Bahamas and the Turks and
    Caicos Islands. A 1022 mb high pressure located just E of Bermuda
    follows this trough. The remainder of the Atlantic forecast area
    is dominated by a broad subtropical ridge, anchored by a 1031 mb
    high pressure situated SW of the Azores near 34N33W. Under the
    influence of this system, a gentle to moderate E to SE flow is
    seen N of 20N E of the trough to about 44W. Fresh to locally
    strong NE to E winds and rough seas are found north of 20N and
    east of 44W, including the Canary Islands. The strongest winds are
    between the islands. Moderate to fresh trades and moderate seas
    are elsewhere S of 20N between the coast of Africa and the Lesser
    Antilles.

    For the forecast west of 55W, the surface trough will remain
    nearly stationary through Mon night. A weak cold front will move
    into the forecast north-central waters Tue, then stall near 27N
    Tue through Wed, and gradually dissipate by Thu. High pressure
    will follow the front. It will be centered near Bermuda by Wed,
    then move eastward by Thu. This weather pattern will generally
    support gentle to moderate winds and moderate seas through
    midweek, except for moderate to fresh trades S of 22N between the
    southeastern Bahamas and Hispaniola and westward to the waters
    between the Bahamas and Cuba.


    $$
    KRV
Active Tropical Systems
  • Tue, 09 Jun 2026 06:14:34 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
    No tropical cyclones as of Sun, 07 Jun 2026 22:37:26 GMT
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 18:14:34 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
    000
    ABNT20 KNHC 071814
    TWOAT

    Tropical Weather Outlook
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    200 PM EDT Sun Jun 7 2026

    For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

    Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.

    $$
    Forecaster Pasch
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Sun, 07 Jun 2026 13:56:33 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 071356
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    1000 AM EDT SUN 07 JUNE 2026
    SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
    VALID 08/1100Z TO 09/1100Z JUNE 2026
    TCPOD NUMBER.....26-007

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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