2026 Hurricane Season – Track The Tropics – Spaghetti Models

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Track The Tropics is the #1 source to track the tropics 24/7! Since 2013 the main goal of the site is to bring all of the important links and graphics to ONE PLACE so you can keep up to date on any threats to land during the Atlantic Hurricane Season! Hurricane Season 2026 in the Atlantic starts on June 1st and ends on November 30th. Do you love Spaghetti Models? Well you've come to the right place!! Remember when you're preparing for a storm: Run from the water; hide from the wind!

2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

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2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 2 Day GTWO graphic
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook Atlantic 7 Day GTWO graphic

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
  • Mon, 06 Apr 2026 10:04:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 061004
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move offshore the SE
    U.S. coast today, then move slowly SE and reach from 31N72W to
    South Florida by Tue, then stall from Bermuda to the Florida
    Straits Wed. Low pressure is forecast to form along the front in
    the vicinity of the Bahamas on Tue, then accelerate NE along the
    boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Wed. As the
    pressure gradient increases behind this low and strong high
    pressure building into the SE U.S., already strong NE winds N and
    W of the front will increase further, with gales developing Tue
    afternoon offshore NE Florida, then spreading east between the
    Bahamas and Bermuda Tue night into Wed. Very rough seas in excess
    of 15 kt are likely in the area of gales. With the frontal
    boundary remaining nearly stationary late this week, conditions
    will be slow to improve.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Sierra Leone near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N21W.
    The ITCZ extends from 04N21W to 01N45W. Only isolated convection
    exists within about 150 nm of both of these features.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from Apalachicola Bay to just north of
    Veracruz, Mexico. Strong to near gale force N winds are N of the
    front within 150 nm of the Mexican coast as well as with 180 nm of
    the Texas and Louisiana coasts. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted ahead of the front from the Bay of Campeche northward to
    around 27N between 91W and 96W. Seas where the strong winds exist
    are 8 to 11 ft. S and E of the front, gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move slowly SE and reach
    from SW Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche tonight, then drift
    slowly SE of the basin Tue and Tue night. Thunderstorms with
    locally gusty winds will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and
    rough seas will continue in the western Gulf behind the front
    through tonight, then strong NE winds will develop in the NE
    basin, as low pressure develops in the Atlantic after the front
    exits the Gulf of America. Conditions will improve some Fri and
    Fri night as high pressure from the eastern U.S builds
    southwestward toward the northern Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A benign trade wind dominant weather pattern prevails through the
    basin, with moderate to fresh E winds through the central and
    eastern basin, and gentle NE winds in the west. Moderate seas are
    present, except for slight in the NW basin.

    For the forecast, a trough oriented north of Haiti will meander
    into mid-week, disrupting the typical pressure gradient through
    the basin and leading to mainly gentle winds over the western
    basin, with moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Caribbean. By
    Wed night, strong high pressure building south toward the region
    will replace the trough and winds in the south-central Caribbean
    will increase to fresh to strong.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
    Warning that has been issued for portions of the SW Atlantic
    starting Tuesday.

    A broad subtropical ridge covers the region and support moderate
    to fresh NE to E winds across the central subtropical waters along
    with seas to 7 ft. Over the SW N Atlantic waters, rough seas in
    decaying NE to E swell exist E of the Bahamas. A weak trough along
    70W is inducing scattered moderate convection N of the Antilles to
    24N between 62W and 77W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, hazardous marine conditions are
    expected this week NW of a line from 31N60W to the SE Bahamas, as
    very rough seas and gale conditions will impact some areas.
    Details can be found in the Special Features section above.

    $$
    Konarik
Tropical Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 06 Apr 2026 10:04:54 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
    000
    AXNT20 KNHC 061004
    TWDAT

    Tropical Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1215 UTC Mon Apr 6 2026

    Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
    Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
    America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
    Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
    imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.

    Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
    0930 UTC.

    ...SPECIAL FEATURES...

    Atlantic Gale Warning: A cold front will move offshore the SE
    U.S. coast today, then move slowly SE and reach from 31N72W to
    South Florida by Tue, then stall from Bermuda to the Florida
    Straits Wed. Low pressure is forecast to form along the front in
    the vicinity of the Bahamas on Tue, then accelerate NE along the
    boundary and out of the basin toward Bermuda by Wed. As the
    pressure gradient increases behind this low and strong high
    pressure building into the SE U.S., already strong NE winds N and
    W of the front will increase further, with gales developing Tue
    afternoon offshore NE Florida, then spreading east between the
    Bahamas and Bermuda Tue night into Wed. Very rough seas in excess
    of 15 kt are likely in the area of gales. With the frontal
    boundary remaining nearly stationary late this week, conditions
    will be slow to improve.

    Please read the latest High Seas Forecast issued by the National
    Hurricane Center at website:
    https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/MIAHSFAT2.shtml

    ...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...

    The monsoon trough reaches the Atlantic through the coast of
    Sierra Leone near 09N13W and continues southwestward to 04N21W.
    The ITCZ extends from 04N21W to 01N45W. Only isolated convection
    exists within about 150 nm of both of these features.

    ...GULF OF AMERICA...

    A cold front extends from Apalachicola Bay to just north of
    Veracruz, Mexico. Strong to near gale force N winds are N of the
    front within 150 nm of the Mexican coast as well as with 180 nm of
    the Texas and Louisiana coasts. Scattered moderate convection is
    noted ahead of the front from the Bay of Campeche northward to
    around 27N between 91W and 96W. Seas where the strong winds exist
    are 8 to 11 ft. S and E of the front, gentle winds and slight seas
    prevail.

    For the forecast, the cold front will move slowly SE and reach
    from SW Florida to the eastern Bay of Campeche tonight, then drift
    slowly SE of the basin Tue and Tue night. Thunderstorms with
    locally gusty winds will accompany the front. Strong NE winds and
    rough seas will continue in the western Gulf behind the front
    through tonight, then strong NE winds will develop in the NE
    basin, as low pressure develops in the Atlantic after the front
    exits the Gulf of America. Conditions will improve some Fri and
    Fri night as high pressure from the eastern U.S builds
    southwestward toward the northern Gulf.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA...

    A benign trade wind dominant weather pattern prevails through the
    basin, with moderate to fresh E winds through the central and
    eastern basin, and gentle NE winds in the west. Moderate seas are
    present, except for slight in the NW basin.

    For the forecast, a trough oriented north of Haiti will meander
    into mid-week, disrupting the typical pressure gradient through
    the basin and leading to mainly gentle winds over the western
    basin, with moderate to fresh winds over the eastern Caribbean. By
    Wed night, strong high pressure building south toward the region
    will replace the trough and winds in the south-central Caribbean
    will increase to fresh to strong.

    ...ATLANTIC OCEAN...

    See Special Features section above for information on a Gale
    Warning that has been issued for portions of the SW Atlantic
    starting Tuesday.

    A broad subtropical ridge covers the region and support moderate
    to fresh NE to E winds across the central subtropical waters along
    with seas to 7 ft. Over the SW N Atlantic waters, rough seas in
    decaying NE to E swell exist E of the Bahamas. A weak trough along
    70W is inducing scattered moderate convection N of the Antilles to
    24N between 62W and 77W.

    For the forecast west of 55W, hazardous marine conditions are
    expected this week NW of a line from 31N60W to the SE Bahamas, as
    very rough seas and gale conditions will impact some areas.
    Details can be found in the Special Features section above.

    $$
    Konarik
Active Tropical Systems
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
  • Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
    000
    NOUS42 KNHC 311259
    REPRPD
    WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
    CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
    0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
    SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
    VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
    WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121

    I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
    1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
    2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.

    NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
    DICTATE OTHERWISE.

    $$
    SEF

    NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
  • Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion

    000
    AGXX40 KNHC 171522
    MIMATS

    Marine Weather Discussion
    NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
    1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021

    Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
    and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
    and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas

    This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
    Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
    Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.

    ...GULF OF MEXICO...

    High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
    the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
    week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
    basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
    Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
    Plains.

    ...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...

    A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
    diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
    will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
    pressure builds across the western Atlantic.

    ...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...

    A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
    will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
    drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
    pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
    an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
    with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.

    $$

    .WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
    coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
    telephone:

    .GULF OF MEXICO...
    None.

    .CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
    55W AND 64W...
    None.

    .SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
    None.

    $$

    *For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF

    Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
    Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php

    For additional information, please visit:
    http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine

    $$

    .Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
  • Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
    000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf
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