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2025 Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
2 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
7 Day Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Thu, 07 May 2026 23:25:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072325
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri May 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 33.5W,
S of 11N, and is nearly stationary. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
southwestward to near 00N30W, with the tropical wave described
above to the west. The ITCZ is analyzed from west of the tropical
wave near 00N35W to near the coast of Brazil at 00N45W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted south of 04N and east of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from Mobile Bay, Alabama to near Brownsville,
Texas where it transitions to a stationary front. Dense low to mid
level cloudiness is evident north of the front, but no significant
convection. Fresh NE winds are noted north of the front. Gentle to
moderate breezes and mostly 2-4 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, expect scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the northern offshore waters of Texas tonight and
Fri, then spread south of New Orleans and Florida Panhandle Fri
night as the front sinks a bit farther south. The front will then
stall and lift back to the north as a warm front late Fri night
thru Sat. Afterward, the ridge should build back across the Gulf
from the east. In response, winds will pulse to between fresh and
strong near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sat
night. Looking ahead, another cold front might move into the
northern Gulf waters late Sun, and reach from north-central
Florida to eastern Bay of Campeche by late on Mon, followed by
moderate to fresh N to NE winds. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms, some possibly strong to marginally severe, are
possible to precede the fronts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and low pressure over Colombia supports fresh to strong E
winds in the central Caribbean, where seas are 6-8 ft. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail in the eastern and
southwest Caribbean, as well as in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to
moderate trades and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades with
nighttime pulses to near-gale at the south-central Caribbean along
with locally rough seas through early next week. Similar conditions
are also expected in the Gulf of Honduras, through Sun night.
Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
eastern and central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A dissipating cold front enters the discussion waters near 31N53W
then continues southwestward to near 26N60W. A frontal remnant
trough then extends from that point to near 28N69W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are seen ahead of the front, generally
north of 26N and west of 50W. Moderate SW winds and 3-4 ft seas
are noted off northeast Florida ahead of a cold front in the Gulf.
Gentle breezes and 2-3 ft seas are noted elsewhere north of 20N
and west of 50W. Gentle to moderate NE breezes and 4-7 ft seas
are noted elsewhere across the discussion area.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move off
northeastern Florida late tonight, then gradually weaken as it
shifts eastward north of 28N through Sat. It will bring southerly
moderate winds off northern Florida through Fri. Then a stronger
cold front is expected to follow a similar path Mon through Tue,
followed by moderate to fresh winds. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms, some possibly strong to marginally severe, are
possible ahead of both fronts. Meanwhile, a surface ridge across
the western Atlantic near 28N65W will support fresh to strong
winds off northern Hispaniola might Sat through Mon nights.
$$
Christensen
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Thu, 07 May 2026 23:25:16 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
000
AXNT20 KNHC 072325
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Fri May 8 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2300 UTC.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
The axis of an eastern Atlantic tropical wave is near 33.5W,
S of 11N, and is nearly stationary. Nearby convection is
discussed in the monsoon trough/ITCZ section below.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic near 10N14W and continues
southwestward to near 00N30W, with the tropical wave described
above to the west. The ITCZ is analyzed from west of the tropical
wave near 00N35W to near the coast of Brazil at 00N45W. Scattered
moderate convection is noted south of 04N and east of 25W.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
A cold front extends from Mobile Bay, Alabama to near Brownsville,
Texas where it transitions to a stationary front. Dense low to mid
level cloudiness is evident north of the front, but no significant
convection. Fresh NE winds are noted north of the front. Gentle to
moderate breezes and mostly 2-4 ft seas are noted elsewhere.
For the forecast, expect scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the northern offshore waters of Texas tonight and
Fri, then spread south of New Orleans and Florida Panhandle Fri
night as the front sinks a bit farther south. The front will then
stall and lift back to the north as a warm front late Fri night
thru Sat. Afterward, the ridge should build back across the Gulf
from the east. In response, winds will pulse to between fresh and
strong near the Yucatan Peninsula in the evenings through Sat
night. Looking ahead, another cold front might move into the
northern Gulf waters late Sun, and reach from north-central
Florida to eastern Bay of Campeche by late on Mon, followed by
moderate to fresh N to NE winds. Scattered to numerous showers and
thunderstorms, some possibly strong to marginally severe, are
possible to precede the fronts.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The pressure gradient between high pressure over the western
Atlantic and low pressure over Colombia supports fresh to strong E
winds in the central Caribbean, where seas are 6-8 ft. Moderate
to fresh trades and moderate seas prevail in the eastern and
southwest Caribbean, as well as in the Gulf of Honduras. Gentle to
moderate trades and 2-5 ft seas prevail elsewhere.
For the forecast, the pattern will continue to sustain fresh to strong trades with
nighttime pulses to near-gale at the south-central Caribbean along
with locally rough seas through early next week. Similar conditions
are also expected in the Gulf of Honduras, through Sun night.
Moderate to fresh trades are expected across the remainder of the
eastern and central Caribbean.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
A dissipating cold front enters the discussion waters near 31N53W
then continues southwestward to near 26N60W. A frontal remnant
trough then extends from that point to near 28N69W. Scattered
showers and thunderstorms are seen ahead of the front, generally
north of 26N and west of 50W. Moderate SW winds and 3-4 ft seas
are noted off northeast Florida ahead of a cold front in the Gulf.
Gentle breezes and 2-3 ft seas are noted elsewhere north of 20N
and west of 50W. Gentle to moderate NE breezes and 4-7 ft seas
are noted elsewhere across the discussion area.
For the forecast west of 55W, a cold front will move off
northeastern Florida late tonight, then gradually weaken as it
shifts eastward north of 28N through Sat. It will bring southerly
moderate winds off northern Florida through Fri. Then a stronger
cold front is expected to follow a similar path Mon through Tue,
followed by moderate to fresh winds. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms, some possibly strong to marginally severe, are
possible ahead of both fronts. Meanwhile, a surface ridge across
the western Atlantic near 28N65W will support fresh to strong
winds off northern Hispaniola might Sat through Mon nights.
$$
Christensen
Active Tropical Systems
- Fri, 08 May 2026 03:06:11 +0000: The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th. - NHC Atlantic
The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1st through November 30th.
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Tue, 31 Mar 2026 12:59:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
000
NOUS42 KNHC 311259
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0900 AM EDT TUE 31 MARCH 2026
SUBJECT: WINTER SEASON PLAN OF THE DAY (WSPOD)
VALID 01/1100Z TO 02/1100Z APRIL 2026
WSPOD NUMBER.....25-121
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
NOTE: THIS IS THE LAST WSPOD OF THE SEASON UNLESS CONDITIONS
DICTATE OTHERWISE.
$$
SEF
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf