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- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 14:46:03 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Dolly Advisory Number 5 - Atlantic Remnants of Dolly Advisory Number 5
000
WTNT34 KNHC 281445
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
Remnants Of Dolly Advisory Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042026
1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026
...DOLLY IS NOW AN OPEN TROPICAL WAVE...
...INTERESTS IN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THE REMNANTS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...15.0N 46.9W
ABOUT 1000 MI...1610 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 280 DEGREES AT 25 MPH...41 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
Interests in the Leeward Islands should monitor the progress of
the remnants of Dolly.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the remnants of Dolly were located near
latitude 15.0 North, longitude 46.9 West. The remnants are moving
toward the west near 25 mph (41 km/h) and this motion is expected
to continue for the next couple of days. On the forecast track,
the remnants should be nearing the Leeward Islands Saturday night
and Sunday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. The winds associated with the remnants of Dolly are expected
to decrease below tropical-storm force on Saturday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
to the north of the remnants of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for the remnants of Dolly can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT4 and WMO header
WTNT44 KNHC.
RAINFALL: Heavy rain from the remnants of Dolly could affect the
Leeward Islands late Saturday into Sunday, with rainfall moving into
the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday.
This heavy rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher
terrain of the Leeward Islands.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and
online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php
$$
Forecaster Beven
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 14:45:33 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Dolly Forecast/Advisory Numbe... - Atlantic Remnants of Dolly Forecast/Advisory Number 5
000
WTNT24 KNHC 281445
TCMAT4
REMNANTS OF DOLLY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL042026
1500 UTC FRI AUG 28 2026
REMNANTS OF CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 46.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT 22 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 30SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.0N 46.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.8N 45.8W...POST-TROPICAL
FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 15.6N 50.3W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 80NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.4N 54.7W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.0N 46.9W
THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE
FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
- Fri, 28 Aug 2026 14:47:04 +0000: Atlantic Remnants of Dolly Discussion Number 5 - Atlantic Remnants of Dolly Discussion Number 5
000
WTNT44 KNHC 281446
TCDAT4
Remnants Of Dolly Discussion Number 5
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL042026
1100 AM AST Fri Aug 28 2026
During the past few hours, the center of Dolly passed just north of
NOAA buoy 41041, which did not observe any westerly winds.
Examination of high-resolution satellite imagery also does not
readily indicate any westerly winds south of the center. Based on
this, Dolly has become an open tropical wave, with the initial and
forecast positions being that of the vorticity maximum. The initial
intensity remains 35 kt, with those winds occurring north of the
vorticity center.
The system is moving 280/22 kt, and this motion should continue for
the next 24 h. After that time, a general westward to west-
northwestward motion with a slight decrease in forward speed should
take the remnants of Dolly near the Leeward Island Saturday night or
Sunday, and near Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands by Sunday
afternoon or Sunday night. A continued west-northwestward motion is
expected after that, with the remnants moving through the Greater
Antilles or the Bahamas during the early part of next week.
The system is currently in a hostile environment with significant
southwesterly shear and dry air. These conditions should continue
for at least the next 2-3 days, and the remnants should slowly
weaken during this time. The official forecast shows 24 h of points
where the maximum winds are at tropical-storm force and there is a
well-defined vorticity center. After that, the winds are expected to
decrease below 35 kt, and the system center is expected to become
less well-defined. Some global models hint at the possibility that
Dolly could regenerate in several days, but at this time there is
poor agreement on where and when this might occur. Should conditions
warrant, further information regarding the potential redevelopment
of the remnants of Dolly will be provided in subsequent Tropical
Weather Outlooks.
This is the last advisory on Dolly issued by the National Hurricane
Center. Additional information on this system can be found in High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and online at
ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Heavy rains from the remnants of Dolly could affect the Leeward
Islands late Saturday into Sunday with possible impacts in the
Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Hispaniola Sunday and Monday. This
heavy rain may produce flash flooding within areas of higher terrain
of the Leeward Islands.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/1500Z 15.0N 46.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
12H 29/0000Z 15.6N 50.3W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
24H 29/1200Z 16.4N 54.7W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
36H 30/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Beven

















































