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Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
- Fri, 05 Jun 2026 23:12:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
696
AXNT20 KNHC 052312
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jun 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb
high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
pressures in northwest Africa supports strong to gale- force
northerly winds in the marine zone of Agadir. Gale-force winds are
expected to occur through 06/1200 UTC, with severe gusts. These
winds will create rough seas of 10-12 ft and higher. Similar
conditions will continue into the weekend. For more details, refer
to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
https://wwmiws.wmo.int.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 23W-24W, south of 13N, moving west at 10
kt. Scattered moderate convection is present from 03N to 08N
between 18W and 30W.
A tropical wave is along 49W-50W, south of 13N, moving westward
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
evident S of 09N between 44W and 54W.
Another tropical wave is along 60W-61W, south of 17N, moving
westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the
wave axis S of 10N and extends inland across Venezuela.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 72W-73W,
south of 176N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
strong convection is noted from 11N to 18.5N between 70W and 78W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14.5N17W and continues southwestward to 05N28W. The
ITCZ extends from 05N28W to 08N47W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted from 03.5N to 09.5N between 09W and
19W. Elsewhere, significant convection in this area is primarily
associated with the tropical waves previously mentioned.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Recent satellite scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong E
to SE winds over the northeastern Gulf and into SE Louisiana,
north of a dissipated stationary front that extended across
western Cuba to to near the mouth of the Mississippi River. Seas
across these waters are 3 to 4 ft offshore of western Florida and
increase to 6 to 8 ft E of the Mississippi Delta. Gentle to
moderate E to SE winds prevail elsewhere E of 93W, where seas are
3 to 5 ft. W of 93W winds are light and variable, with seas of 3
to 5 ft NW portions and 3 ft or less SW portions. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are across NE central portions,
near the dissipated frontal boundary, and across NW portions.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate E to SE winds will generally
prevail across the Gulf region through Tue. The exception will be
off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
evenings. Disturbed weather may develop across south-central and
eastern portions of the basin Thu night through Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The Atlantic ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure located
near 33N33W, extends southwestward to near 25N70W, and north of
the N Caribbean. The ridge, combined with the Colombian low,
supports fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in
the south-central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras, where seas
are 5 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Scattered convection is active across
central portions generally N of 14N, as a tropical wave interacts
with an upper trough across the western Atlantic and Bahamas.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the Atlantic
ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
exception will be fresh to strong pulses in the Gulf of Honduras
tonight. Winds will begin to increase again over the central
Caribbean by Sat night, and over the NW part of the basin early
next week as the pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic
ridge and broad area of low pressure over the eastern Pacific
offshore of Central America.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
the Meteo-France forecast region.
A stationary frontal boundary extends from SE of Bermuda through
31N63W southwestward through the central Bahamas and into western
Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing over much of the
central and southern Bahamas, and within 180 nm SE of the frontal
boundary, supported by a middle to upper-level trough across the
western Atlantic. Weak high pressure across the SE U.S. is promoting
gentle to moderate N to NE winds behind the front, where seas are
5 to 6 ft in N to NE swell. To the east, 1028 mb high pressure is
located SW of the Azores, producing a broad subtropical ridge,
supporting moderate to fresh trades across the vast majority of
the Atlantic W of 30W, and seas of 5 to 8 ft. Fresh to strong SW
winds prevail within 180 nm east of the stationary front, and N of
29N. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas are found north
of 18N and east of 30W, where seas area 6 to 8 ft. Gentle to
moderate trades and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Saharan air
dominates the region S of 23N between Africa and 40W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front from SE of
Bermuda to the central Bahamas and western Cuba will dissipate
late into Sat. High pressure will build in the wake of the front.
This pattern will support gentle to moderate winds and moderate
seas into early next week.
$$
Stripling
Tropical Weather Discussion
- Fri, 05 Jun 2026 23:12:39 +0000: NHC Atlantic Tropical Weather Discussion - NHC Tropical Weather Discussion (Atlantic)
696
AXNT20 KNHC 052312
TWDAT
Tropical Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
0015 UTC Sat Jun 6 2026
Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America
Gulf of America, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South
America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the
Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite
imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis.
Based on 1800 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through
2230 UTC.
...SPECIAL FEATURES...
Gale Warning East of 35W: The pressure gradient between a 1028 mb
high pressure system centered southwest of the Azores and lower
pressures in northwest Africa supports strong to gale- force
northerly winds in the marine zone of Agadir. Gale-force winds are
expected to occur through 06/1200 UTC, with severe gusts. These
winds will create rough seas of 10-12 ft and higher. Similar
conditions will continue into the weekend. For more details, refer
to the Meteo-France High Seas Forecast listed on their website
https://wwmiws.wmo.int.
...TROPICAL WAVES...
A tropical wave is along 23W-24W, south of 13N, moving west at 10
kt. Scattered moderate convection is present from 03N to 08N
between 18W and 30W.
A tropical wave is along 49W-50W, south of 13N, moving westward
at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate isolated strong convection is
evident S of 09N between 44W and 54W.
Another tropical wave is along 60W-61W, south of 17N, moving
westward at 15-20 kt. Scattered moderate convection is near the
wave axis S of 10N and extends inland across Venezuela.
A tropical wave is over the central Caribbean along 72W-73W,
south of 176N, moving westward at 15 kt. Scattered moderate to
strong convection is noted from 11N to 18.5N between 70W and 78W.
...MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ...
The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of
Senegal near 14.5N17W and continues southwestward to 05N28W. The
ITCZ extends from 05N28W to 08N47W. Scattered moderate isolated
strong convection is noted from 03.5N to 09.5N between 09W and
19W. Elsewhere, significant convection in this area is primarily
associated with the tropical waves previously mentioned.
...GULF OF AMERICA...
Recent satellite scatterometer data indicated fresh to strong E
to SE winds over the northeastern Gulf and into SE Louisiana,
north of a dissipated stationary front that extended across
western Cuba to to near the mouth of the Mississippi River. Seas
across these waters are 3 to 4 ft offshore of western Florida and
increase to 6 to 8 ft E of the Mississippi Delta. Gentle to
moderate E to SE winds prevail elsewhere E of 93W, where seas are
3 to 5 ft. W of 93W winds are light and variable, with seas of 3
to 5 ft NW portions and 3 ft or less SW portions. Scattered
showers and isolated thunderstorms are across NE central portions,
near the dissipated frontal boundary, and across NW portions.
For the forecast, gentle to moderate E to SE winds will generally
prevail across the Gulf region through Tue. The exception will be
off the Yucatan Peninsula, where a diurnal trough will support
moderate winds to pulse to fresh, occasionally strong, during the
evenings. Disturbed weather may develop across south-central and
eastern portions of the basin Thu night through Fri.
...CARIBBEAN SEA...
The Atlantic ridge, anchored by a 1028 mb high pressure located
near 33N33W, extends southwestward to near 25N70W, and north of
the N Caribbean. The ridge, combined with the Colombian low,
supports fresh to strong easterly trade winds and moderate seas in
the south-central Caribbean and the Gulf of Honduras, where seas
are 5 to 7 ft. Elsewhere, moderate or lighter winds and slight to
moderate seas prevail. Scattered convection is active across
central portions generally N of 14N, as a tropical wave interacts
with an upper trough across the western Atlantic and Bahamas.
For the forecast, moderate to fresh E to SE trade winds and moderate
seas will persist across the Caribbean into Sat as the Atlantic
ridge north of the area weakens and shifts eastward. The
exception will be fresh to strong pulses in the Gulf of Honduras
tonight. Winds will begin to increase again over the central
Caribbean by Sat night, and over the NW part of the basin early
next week as the pressure gradient tightens between the Atlantic
ridge and broad area of low pressure over the eastern Pacific
offshore of Central America.
...ATLANTIC OCEAN...
Please read the Special Features section about a Gale Warning in
the Meteo-France forecast region.
A stationary frontal boundary extends from SE of Bermuda through
31N63W southwestward through the central Bahamas and into western
Cuba. Scattered moderate convection is ongoing over much of the
central and southern Bahamas, and within 180 nm SE of the frontal
boundary, supported by a middle to upper-level trough across the
western Atlantic. Weak high pressure across the SE U.S. is promoting
gentle to moderate N to NE winds behind the front, where seas are
5 to 6 ft in N to NE swell. To the east, 1028 mb high pressure is
located SW of the Azores, producing a broad subtropical ridge,
supporting moderate to fresh trades across the vast majority of
the Atlantic W of 30W, and seas of 5 to 8 ft. Fresh to strong SW
winds prevail within 180 nm east of the stationary front, and N of
29N. Fresh to strong N to NE winds and rough seas are found north
of 18N and east of 30W, where seas area 6 to 8 ft. Gentle to
moderate trades and moderate seas prevail elsewhere. Saharan air
dominates the region S of 23N between Africa and 40W.
For the forecast west of 55W, a stationary front from SE of
Bermuda to the central Bahamas and western Cuba will dissipate
late into Sat. High pressure will build in the wake of the front.
This pattern will support gentle to moderate winds and moderate
seas into early next week.
$$
Stripling
Active Tropical Systems
- Sun, 07 Jun 2026 11:23:02 +0000: There are no tropical cyclones at this time. - NHC Atlantic
No tropical cyclones as of Sat, 06 Jun 2026 01:28:05 GMT - Fri, 05 Jun 2026 23:23:02 +0000: Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook - NHC Atlantic
066
ABNT20 KNHC 052322
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Scheduled Reconnaissance Flight Plans
- Fri, 05 Jun 2026 13:20:51 +0000: Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day - Weather Reconnaissance Flights Plan of the Day
113
NOUS42 KNHC 051320
REPRPD
WEATHER RECONNAISSANCE FLIGHTS
CARCAH, NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER, MIAMI, FL.
0920 AM EDT FRI 05 JUNE 2026
SUBJECT: TROPICAL CYCLONE PLAN OF THE DAY (TCPOD)
VALID 06/1100Z TO 07/1100Z JUNE 2026
TCPOD NUMBER.....26-005
I. ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
II. PACIFIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
$$
WJM
NNNN
Marine Weather Discussion
- Mon, 17 May 2021 15:22:40 +0000: NHC Marine Weather Discussion - NHC Marine Weather Discussion
000
AGXX40 KNHC 171522
MIMATS
Marine Weather Discussion
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1122 AM EDT Mon May 17 2021
Marine Weather Discussion for the Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea,
and Tropical North Atlantic from 07N to 19N between 55W and 64W
and the Southwest North Atlantic including the Bahamas
This is the last Marine Weather Discussion issued by the National
Hurricane Center. For marine information, please see the Tropical
Weather Discussion at: hurricanes.gov.
...GULF OF MEXICO...
High pressure along the middle Atlantic coasts extending SW to
the NE Gulf will remain generally stationary throughout the
week. This will support moderate to fresh E to SE winds over the
basin through Tue. Winds will increase to fresh to strong late
Tue through Fri as low pressure deepens across the Southern
Plains.
...CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
A ridge NE of the Caribbean Sea will shift eastward and weaken,
diminishing winds and seas modestly through Wed. Trade winds
will increase basin wide Wed night through Fri night as high
pressure builds across the western Atlantic.
...SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
A weakening frontal boundary from 25N65W to the central Bahamas
will drift SE and dissipate through late Tue. Its remnants will
drift N along 23N-24N. The pressure gradient between high
pressure off of Hatteras and the frontal boundary will support
an area of fresh to strong easterly winds N of 23N and W of 68W
with seas to 11 ft E of the Bahamas late Tue through Fri.
$$
.WARNINGS...Any changes impacting coastal NWS offices will be
coordinated through AWIPS II Collaboration Chat, or by
telephone:
.GULF OF MEXICO...
None.
.CARIBBEAN SEA AND TROPICAL N ATLANTIC FROM 07N TO 19N BETWEEN
55W AND 64W...
None.
.SW N ATLANTIC INCLUDING THE BAHAMAS...
None.
$$
*For detailed zone descriptions, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/abouttafbprod.shtml#OWF
Note: gridded marine forecasts are available in the National
Digital Forecast Database (NDFD) at:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine/grids.php
For additional information, please visit:
http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/marine
$$
.Forecaster GR. National Hurricane Center.
Atlantic Tropical Monthly Summary
- Thu, 01 May 2025 13:04:51 +0000: Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary - Atlantic Monthly Tropical Weather Summary
000<br />ABNT30 KNHC 011304<br />TWSAT <br /><br />Monthly Tropical Weather Summary<br />NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL<br />900 AM EDT Thu May 1 2025<br /><br />This is the last National Hurricane Center (NHC) Tropical Weather <br />Summary (TWS) text product that will be issued for the Atlantic <br />basin. The tropical cyclone statistics from the TWS will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov beginning with the 2025 hurricane season. This <br />change will allow for more frequent updates to the statistics and <br />the addition of graphics and links to supporting information that <br />this text only format cannot support. An account of tropical <br />cyclone names, classification (i.e., tropical depression, tropical <br />storm, or hurricane), and maximum sustained wind speed will be found <br />on hurricanes.gov at this url beginning around July 1: <br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?basin=atl<br /><br />A sample webpage is provided here, with the "2023 Atlantic Summary <br />Table (PDF)" example linked below the Tropical Cyclone Reports <br />(TCRs):<br /><br />https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/data/tcr/index.php?season=2023&basin=atl <br /><br />This information will be updated no less frequently than monthly <br />during the hurricane season and will be updated after the season's <br />TCRs are completed to document the official record of the season's <br />tropical cyclone activity. Previously, the statistics and data in <br />the TWS were based on real-time operational assessments and were <br />not updated when the season's TCRs were complete. The new <br />web-based format allows the information to be updated once the <br />post-analysis for the season is complete. <br /><br />For more information, see Service Change Notice 25-22: Migration of <br />the Tropical Weather Summary Information from Text Product Format to <br />hurricanes.gov:<br /><br />https://www.weather.gov/media/notification/pdf_2025/scn25-<br />22_moving_info_from_tws_to_hurricanes.gov.pdf


